1 00:00:04,600 --> 00:00:07,680 Speaker 1: So the big question is this, how do investors like 2 00:00:07,880 --> 00:00:11,800 Speaker 1: us get access to the ideas, information, and most importantly, 3 00:00:12,039 --> 00:00:14,800 Speaker 1: the right people that give us the tools and information 4 00:00:15,000 --> 00:00:19,000 Speaker 1: we need to make informed and educated decisions to have success. 5 00:00:19,600 --> 00:00:22,360 Speaker 1: That is the question, and this podcast will give us 6 00:00:22,360 --> 00:00:25,520 Speaker 1: the answers. This is Mark Moss, your host. Let's get 7 00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:28,000 Speaker 1: this started. Hello, and welcome to another episode of the 8 00:00:28,000 --> 00:00:31,880 Speaker 1: Market Disruptors podcast. Today I am sitting down with Philip Bonello, 9 00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:35,360 Speaker 1: previously with Ikey Guy Fund. He has been doing research 10 00:00:35,440 --> 00:00:38,519 Speaker 1: into bitcoin and crypto for a number of years and 11 00:00:38,560 --> 00:00:41,400 Speaker 1: has some amazing insights from all the research that he's done. 12 00:00:41,440 --> 00:00:46,080 Speaker 1: And today we dig into a paper, a investment thesis 13 00:00:46,120 --> 00:00:48,479 Speaker 1: that he's put together based off of the book The 14 00:00:48,600 --> 00:00:51,720 Speaker 1: Sovereign Individual. If you haven't read the book, I highly 15 00:00:51,760 --> 00:00:53,680 Speaker 1: recommend it, but today we'll give you the cliff notes 16 00:00:53,680 --> 00:00:56,640 Speaker 1: of it. But there's three points that the book makes 17 00:00:56,640 --> 00:01:00,000 Speaker 1: and he makes into this investment thesis, which is well, 18 00:01:00,120 --> 00:01:01,480 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna spoil it for you're gonna have to 19 00:01:01,520 --> 00:01:03,120 Speaker 1: pay attention, but we get into some great talks. The 20 00:01:03,120 --> 00:01:06,360 Speaker 1: book is amazing. It was written in seven on the 21 00:01:06,360 --> 00:01:09,640 Speaker 1: internet was just in its early stages, and it's amazing 22 00:01:10,000 --> 00:01:12,920 Speaker 1: how prophetic this book is and all the things that 23 00:01:13,000 --> 00:01:15,319 Speaker 1: are coming coming to fruition today. It seems like the 24 00:01:15,360 --> 00:01:19,520 Speaker 1: book was just recently written. So anyway, it's a great conversation. 25 00:01:19,840 --> 00:01:22,400 Speaker 1: You're gonna learn a lot about what this technology is doing, 26 00:01:22,480 --> 00:01:25,440 Speaker 1: the shift that's happening in the world, the behavior changes 27 00:01:26,200 --> 00:01:29,240 Speaker 1: that are happening right now, and what the world, you know, 28 00:01:29,240 --> 00:01:31,720 Speaker 1: the global macrof picture of the world is doing right 29 00:01:31,760 --> 00:01:35,000 Speaker 1: now to really push the adoption of the branding technology. 30 00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:37,520 Speaker 1: A great conversation, a great book, and let's just go 31 00:01:37,520 --> 00:01:40,000 Speaker 1: ahead and just jump right into it. Everyone. Welcome to 32 00:01:40,040 --> 00:01:43,319 Speaker 1: the Market Disruptors Podcast Today. I am joined by Philip Vonello. 33 00:01:43,400 --> 00:01:46,240 Speaker 1: He has previously had a research over at Ikey. Guy 34 00:01:46,440 --> 00:01:49,400 Speaker 1: has been researching crypto assets and bitcoin um and has 35 00:01:49,440 --> 00:01:53,200 Speaker 1: some really good insights. He's written a paper recently about 36 00:01:53,240 --> 00:01:55,360 Speaker 1: a book on the sovereign individual and kind of an 37 00:01:55,400 --> 00:01:58,320 Speaker 1: investment thesis around that which was was amazing, kind of 38 00:01:58,360 --> 00:02:00,400 Speaker 1: rock the world. Everyone's been talking about it, and so 39 00:02:00,480 --> 00:02:02,520 Speaker 1: I wanted to have him on to discuss that. I'm 40 00:02:02,520 --> 00:02:07,400 Speaker 1: super excited. Welcome Philip, Hey, thanks Mark, thanks for having me. Yeah. 41 00:02:07,440 --> 00:02:09,880 Speaker 1: So um, you know, we've we've we've had the privilege 42 00:02:09,919 --> 00:02:12,280 Speaker 1: to talk a little bit. I read your paper, Um, so, 43 00:02:12,400 --> 00:02:14,560 Speaker 1: lots of stuff to dig into. But before we do that, 44 00:02:14,880 --> 00:02:16,320 Speaker 1: maybe just kind of fill us in a little bit 45 00:02:16,360 --> 00:02:18,959 Speaker 1: on what you've been working on and kind of where 46 00:02:18,960 --> 00:02:24,200 Speaker 1: you're at right now. Yeah. So, like you said, I 47 00:02:24,200 --> 00:02:26,519 Speaker 1: worked in sorry for a little bit, uh than with 48 00:02:26,600 --> 00:02:29,440 Speaker 1: head research. I guy. Recently, I've just been taking some 49 00:02:29,520 --> 00:02:34,079 Speaker 1: time off exploring different kind of avenues. And one of 50 00:02:34,160 --> 00:02:35,840 Speaker 1: the things that I've been digging into a bunch of 51 00:02:36,000 --> 00:02:39,000 Speaker 1: just kind of a worldview. So, as you mentioned, I 52 00:02:39,120 --> 00:02:42,919 Speaker 1: recently published kind of an investment thesis based on the 53 00:02:42,960 --> 00:02:47,560 Speaker 1: book The Sovereign Individual, which is a really trucient book 54 00:02:47,600 --> 00:02:53,000 Speaker 1: written in I'm almost embarrassed to say that I read 55 00:02:53,040 --> 00:02:56,880 Speaker 1: it recently because it's such a a lot of a 56 00:02:56,880 --> 00:02:58,640 Speaker 1: lot of people in the bigcoin space really love The 57 00:02:58,639 --> 00:03:02,680 Speaker 1: Sovereign Individual the book, and it really was an eye 58 00:03:02,720 --> 00:03:06,120 Speaker 1: opener for me. Yeah. So the last couple of years 59 00:03:06,200 --> 00:03:08,920 Speaker 1: you've been doing research, Um, tell us a little bit 60 00:03:08,960 --> 00:03:12,640 Speaker 1: about the kind of research that you've been doing though. Yeah. 61 00:03:12,720 --> 00:03:16,200 Speaker 1: So in two thousand and eighteen, I really dug in 62 00:03:16,280 --> 00:03:20,160 Speaker 1: and tried to understand why any of these crypto assets 63 00:03:20,200 --> 00:03:22,360 Speaker 1: were valuable. So what that kind of led me to 64 00:03:22,480 --> 00:03:26,760 Speaker 1: is building out a series of different frameworks. So essentially 65 00:03:26,840 --> 00:03:29,240 Speaker 1: the way that I look at the entire crypto asset 66 00:03:29,280 --> 00:03:32,160 Speaker 1: world is through the ones of productive assets and non 67 00:03:32,240 --> 00:03:35,560 Speaker 1: productive assets. So you can think think of non productive 68 00:03:35,560 --> 00:03:39,520 Speaker 1: assets as something like bitcoin. By holding X, you don't 69 00:03:39,520 --> 00:03:43,280 Speaker 1: get any any why there's no exhougenists cash flow, right, um, 70 00:03:43,360 --> 00:03:45,920 Speaker 1: similar to something like gold. Uh. And then in the 71 00:03:45,920 --> 00:03:50,560 Speaker 1: productive asset category, if you hold X, you get why right, 72 00:03:50,600 --> 00:03:53,320 Speaker 1: there's an exhaugenists cash flow coming into the system. Uh. 73 00:03:53,360 --> 00:03:56,840 Speaker 1: Something you know that's something like Auger, right, where with 74 00:03:56,880 --> 00:03:59,760 Speaker 1: Auger you can you can stake rep and you're going 75 00:03:59,840 --> 00:04:03,000 Speaker 1: to get a certain amount of and returned to the 76 00:04:03,040 --> 00:04:07,160 Speaker 1: proportion of REP that you stay. So that really led 77 00:04:07,200 --> 00:04:10,200 Speaker 1: me to build out a series of valuation models. It 78 00:04:10,280 --> 00:04:13,720 Speaker 1: really helped frame my thinking for the entire space. Uh. 79 00:04:13,760 --> 00:04:16,599 Speaker 1: And I kind of took that thinking and evaluated the 80 00:04:16,680 --> 00:04:20,400 Speaker 1: broader ecosystem and um kind of how value accruise in 81 00:04:20,400 --> 00:04:24,080 Speaker 1: the in the whole system. In the crypto stack, I 82 00:04:24,080 --> 00:04:27,200 Speaker 1: would say, so you really dug into these different assets 83 00:04:27,200 --> 00:04:31,960 Speaker 1: and kind of classified them into productive and nonproductive. Um. 84 00:04:32,000 --> 00:04:34,560 Speaker 1: But then were you also kind of looking at UM. 85 00:04:34,600 --> 00:04:36,240 Speaker 1: It sounds like you were also looking at maybe like 86 00:04:36,279 --> 00:04:39,640 Speaker 1: the act the macro economic picture as well, to see 87 00:04:39,720 --> 00:04:42,400 Speaker 1: where do these new assets, where do they fit into 88 00:04:42,400 --> 00:04:45,720 Speaker 1: the big picture of kind of where the world's at. Yeah, 89 00:04:45,760 --> 00:04:47,560 Speaker 1: So a lot of what we did I was thinking 90 00:04:47,560 --> 00:04:50,200 Speaker 1: about the macro perspective, given what's going on in the 91 00:04:50,200 --> 00:04:54,320 Speaker 1: world right now, what is the demand for these crypto assets? Uh, 92 00:04:54,520 --> 00:04:57,159 Speaker 1: you know bigcoin sets that are really pretty interesting space, 93 00:04:57,200 --> 00:05:00,280 Speaker 1: and that it's both a risk asset but it's trying 94 00:05:00,320 --> 00:05:02,680 Speaker 1: to be this reserve asset. I think the rest of 95 00:05:02,680 --> 00:05:05,440 Speaker 1: crypto is pretty solidly and kind of the risk asset 96 00:05:05,480 --> 00:05:10,120 Speaker 1: category M and then and then taking a step deeper, 97 00:05:10,160 --> 00:05:14,039 Speaker 1: it's okay, based on that macro perspective, what is the 98 00:05:14,080 --> 00:05:18,000 Speaker 1: crypto macro looking like right now? And broadly the crypto 99 00:05:18,040 --> 00:05:20,599 Speaker 1: macro a lot of time is influenced by Bitcoin, and 100 00:05:20,600 --> 00:05:23,280 Speaker 1: so we use a lot of enchain metrics to kind 101 00:05:23,279 --> 00:05:27,800 Speaker 1: of study cycle UM and and how we think all 102 00:05:27,839 --> 00:05:30,120 Speaker 1: coins are going to react to the bigcoin cycle and 103 00:05:30,480 --> 00:05:32,880 Speaker 1: how bigcoin is gonna react and so on and so forth. 104 00:05:33,480 --> 00:05:36,799 Speaker 1: And then and then the final level was digging deeper 105 00:05:36,800 --> 00:05:39,839 Speaker 1: into each one of the projects, analyzing the product that 106 00:05:40,120 --> 00:05:42,279 Speaker 1: each one of them had, and then the asset that 107 00:05:43,040 --> 00:05:45,760 Speaker 1: each one of those had with relation to the product. Um. 108 00:05:45,880 --> 00:05:48,600 Speaker 1: Like I said, a lot of these are nonproductive assets, 109 00:05:48,600 --> 00:05:52,400 Speaker 1: and in our view, there's not really a link between 110 00:05:52,640 --> 00:05:56,840 Speaker 1: that non productive asset, uh, and I guess you know 111 00:05:56,880 --> 00:06:00,080 Speaker 1: the product. Yeah, yeah. I I like looking at the 112 00:06:00,120 --> 00:06:02,760 Speaker 1: macro view, especially when you're dealing with like technology like this, 113 00:06:02,839 --> 00:06:05,120 Speaker 1: because it gives you I I kind of feel like 114 00:06:05,160 --> 00:06:07,880 Speaker 1: the bigger picture is almost easier to see than the 115 00:06:07,920 --> 00:06:10,719 Speaker 1: small picture. Like if someone says, hey, Mark and I 116 00:06:10,720 --> 00:06:12,800 Speaker 1: get asked us all the time, like where's bitcoin going 117 00:06:12,839 --> 00:06:14,240 Speaker 1: to be in a week or in a month, And 118 00:06:14,279 --> 00:06:16,800 Speaker 1: I'm like, I don't really know, but I kind of 119 00:06:16,880 --> 00:06:18,159 Speaker 1: have a feeling of where it's going to be in 120 00:06:18,160 --> 00:06:21,000 Speaker 1: five years from now. Um And and a lot of 121 00:06:21,000 --> 00:06:22,680 Speaker 1: times I think about it like you watch one of 122 00:06:22,680 --> 00:06:24,640 Speaker 1: those movies where people go back in you know, in 123 00:06:24,680 --> 00:06:27,159 Speaker 1: a time machine, and if they touched one little thing 124 00:06:27,200 --> 00:06:28,440 Speaker 1: and then they go back to the future, it makes 125 00:06:28,480 --> 00:06:30,800 Speaker 1: this massive impact. And that's kind of like we can 126 00:06:30,800 --> 00:06:33,320 Speaker 1: see these little things happening today that have that massive impact. 127 00:06:33,400 --> 00:06:36,919 Speaker 1: That's pretty cool. UM. So thanks for giving us that 128 00:06:36,920 --> 00:06:40,440 Speaker 1: background I think it's important to to get your perspective 129 00:06:40,480 --> 00:06:42,920 Speaker 1: as we move into this. But so, so you wrote 130 00:06:43,000 --> 00:06:45,000 Speaker 1: this kind of investment thesis off this book The Sovereign 131 00:06:45,040 --> 00:06:47,839 Speaker 1: Individual Um, which as you said, is kind of big 132 00:06:47,880 --> 00:06:50,000 Speaker 1: in the in the in the bitcoin space, maybe because 133 00:06:50,040 --> 00:06:52,960 Speaker 1: it was for telling of what was going to happen, right, 134 00:06:53,000 --> 00:06:59,360 Speaker 1: I mean the book was written there wasn't really I mean, 135 00:06:59,360 --> 00:07:01,359 Speaker 1: the Internet was a round, but it wasn't even really 136 00:07:01,560 --> 00:07:04,159 Speaker 1: hadn't even really taken hold yet. So for them to 137 00:07:04,200 --> 00:07:06,680 Speaker 1: write this book at that time was a pretty big, 138 00:07:07,160 --> 00:07:09,040 Speaker 1: pretty big deal. It was like they did a good job. 139 00:07:09,080 --> 00:07:12,000 Speaker 1: So kind of give us the overview of what the 140 00:07:12,000 --> 00:07:14,200 Speaker 1: books about and maybe your investment thesis you pulled out 141 00:07:14,200 --> 00:07:16,680 Speaker 1: of it. Yeah. So, I mean one of the things 142 00:07:16,720 --> 00:07:18,720 Speaker 1: that's that's really interesting about the book is that they 143 00:07:19,000 --> 00:07:21,960 Speaker 1: do a pretty good job of predicting bitcoin. You know, 144 00:07:23,040 --> 00:07:25,160 Speaker 1: they think that there's going to be a currency that's 145 00:07:25,200 --> 00:07:27,400 Speaker 1: backed by gold. So they're a little off in that respect, 146 00:07:27,800 --> 00:07:34,120 Speaker 1: but but still pretty incredible insight. I Mean, broadly, what 147 00:07:34,240 --> 00:07:39,720 Speaker 1: The Sovereign Individual talks about is the logical violence, uh, 148 00:07:39,760 --> 00:07:43,600 Speaker 1: and how that has really affected big trends throughout history, 149 00:07:43,680 --> 00:07:48,840 Speaker 1: so especially starting with kind of the agricultural movement. With 150 00:07:48,960 --> 00:07:51,600 Speaker 1: our with humans moved to agriculture, we started to have 151 00:07:51,640 --> 00:07:55,880 Speaker 1: their mergence of personal property, and with their emergence of 152 00:07:55,960 --> 00:08:01,280 Speaker 1: personal property, violence at scale uh really became valuable. So 153 00:08:01,440 --> 00:08:04,520 Speaker 1: we we saw the rise of these different types of 154 00:08:05,600 --> 00:08:09,400 Speaker 1: bureaucratic entities, these different kind of organizations to really uh 155 00:08:10,240 --> 00:08:16,000 Speaker 1: ah provide protection for groups of individuals who needed that protection. Right. 156 00:08:16,680 --> 00:08:19,960 Speaker 1: And and then as we move into the information age, 157 00:08:20,560 --> 00:08:24,000 Speaker 1: a lot of that stuff gets turned on its head. Uh. 158 00:08:24,160 --> 00:08:29,040 Speaker 1: So there's there's reduced information asymmetry. Uh, you know, there's 159 00:08:30,640 --> 00:08:33,920 Speaker 1: the potential for money that is outside the control of 160 00:08:34,280 --> 00:08:39,800 Speaker 1: a central government. And then encryption completely changes the logic 161 00:08:39,880 --> 00:08:42,440 Speaker 1: of violence and the way that individuals can protect themselves. 162 00:08:42,720 --> 00:08:46,480 Speaker 1: So for the first time, really, um, an individual can 163 00:08:46,720 --> 00:08:49,760 Speaker 1: hold let's say a billion dollars and and there there 164 00:08:49,840 --> 00:08:53,720 Speaker 1: the way that they protect that billion dollars is just 165 00:08:53,840 --> 00:08:56,400 Speaker 1: about as good as the way that the US government 166 00:08:56,400 --> 00:08:59,880 Speaker 1: would protect that billion dollars. Right. Encryption decreases the cost 167 00:09:00,040 --> 00:09:04,600 Speaker 1: of protection and decrease. It also decreases the leverage that 168 00:09:04,720 --> 00:09:09,120 Speaker 1: violence has on people. Yeah. Yeah, So let's let's unpack 169 00:09:09,200 --> 00:09:11,640 Speaker 1: that a little bit. So you talk about information technology. 170 00:09:11,720 --> 00:09:15,680 Speaker 1: So the Internet was information technology, right, so decentralized information. 171 00:09:15,760 --> 00:09:20,080 Speaker 1: So previous to the Internet, Um, information you said had 172 00:09:21,280 --> 00:09:25,440 Speaker 1: eight what do you call it? Asymmetric information? I forget 173 00:09:25,480 --> 00:09:30,280 Speaker 1: to work just there's uh information asymmetry. Right, So certain 174 00:09:30,440 --> 00:09:33,680 Speaker 1: certain organizations have control over all this information and they 175 00:09:34,080 --> 00:09:37,760 Speaker 1: distributed only to their members and think about about it 176 00:09:37,800 --> 00:09:40,280 Speaker 1: like that. Yeah, and so information was controlled and really 177 00:09:40,320 --> 00:09:42,200 Speaker 1: you could chase this all the way back to you know, 178 00:09:42,240 --> 00:09:45,080 Speaker 1: Martin Luther times in in Europe and whatever, the four 179 00:09:45,480 --> 00:09:48,840 Speaker 1: dreds where the church kind of controlled the scripture and 180 00:09:48,880 --> 00:09:50,880 Speaker 1: it wasn't until the printing press came out that then 181 00:09:50,920 --> 00:09:53,560 Speaker 1: it was able to spread that information. And that's what 182 00:09:53,720 --> 00:09:57,079 Speaker 1: broke the power at the church had over and uh 183 00:09:57,160 --> 00:09:59,440 Speaker 1: and the Internet has taken that a step further, right, 184 00:09:59,480 --> 00:10:04,320 Speaker 1: So we have kind of leveled the plane field on information. YEA, yeah, 185 00:10:04,400 --> 00:10:09,520 Speaker 1: that's exactly that's exactly right. Um, I mean yeah, sorry, 186 00:10:09,520 --> 00:10:13,000 Speaker 1: go ahead, Well I was gonna say so because the 187 00:10:13,040 --> 00:10:17,760 Speaker 1: information is now spread out and across borders, across the globe. 188 00:10:18,280 --> 00:10:21,720 Speaker 1: You made the point, right, it's broken down the jurisdictional barriers. 189 00:10:21,720 --> 00:10:23,840 Speaker 1: So now instead of like one country that kind of 190 00:10:23,840 --> 00:10:25,680 Speaker 1: has all the information Now it's kind of starting to 191 00:10:25,720 --> 00:10:30,920 Speaker 1: be global. Yeah, absolutely, and I think that's um, that's 192 00:10:30,960 --> 00:10:34,520 Speaker 1: one of the biggest drivers to this, this broader trend. 193 00:10:35,240 --> 00:10:38,880 Speaker 1: Everyone has access to the same information, so everyone can 194 00:10:38,920 --> 00:10:41,880 Speaker 1: be educated in relatively the same way. And when everyone 195 00:10:41,920 --> 00:10:44,720 Speaker 1: can be educated in the same way, then everyone can 196 00:10:44,760 --> 00:10:48,640 Speaker 1: do mostly the same jobs, jobs that used to be 197 00:10:48,720 --> 00:10:52,199 Speaker 1: considered skill to work. Right, And so when you think 198 00:10:52,240 --> 00:10:56,080 Speaker 1: about kind of mean reversion, uh, the people who used 199 00:10:56,120 --> 00:10:58,160 Speaker 1: to do that skilled work in the developed countries are 200 00:10:58,360 --> 00:11:00,800 Speaker 1: are used to these high wages, but now they're being 201 00:11:00,880 --> 00:11:04,600 Speaker 1: undercut by people who can provide those those same that 202 00:11:04,640 --> 00:11:07,800 Speaker 1: same level of work for potentially a quarter of the 203 00:11:07,880 --> 00:11:12,560 Speaker 1: quarter of the cost, right, And so it seems relatively inevitable, 204 00:11:12,559 --> 00:11:16,920 Speaker 1: inevitable that there's going to be this mean reversion from 205 00:11:16,960 --> 00:11:19,760 Speaker 1: both the developed countries and the developing countries. And so 206 00:11:20,880 --> 00:11:22,280 Speaker 1: I think that was that was one of the key 207 00:11:22,320 --> 00:11:26,040 Speaker 1: insights that I took away from the book m just 208 00:11:26,200 --> 00:11:31,840 Speaker 1: this idea of decreasing information asymmetry. There's a decreasing value 209 00:11:31,840 --> 00:11:36,120 Speaker 1: to location, so the exit costs are are much easier. 210 00:11:36,200 --> 00:11:39,839 Speaker 1: You know, let's let's say, uh, my wages personally are 211 00:11:39,880 --> 00:11:42,320 Speaker 1: are going down. I can no longer afford to live 212 00:11:42,679 --> 00:11:45,160 Speaker 1: in l A, So I have to go to a 213 00:11:45,160 --> 00:11:50,280 Speaker 1: different jurisdiction, a jurisdiction that might be more business friendly. Uh. 214 00:11:50,400 --> 00:11:54,800 Speaker 1: They have lower taxes, um. You know, they have subsidies 215 00:11:54,800 --> 00:12:00,320 Speaker 1: for starting up entrepreneurial ventures, um and and and it's 216 00:12:00,320 --> 00:12:02,160 Speaker 1: really easy to do that because I can run I 217 00:12:02,200 --> 00:12:06,120 Speaker 1: can run my business from anywhere in the world. We're 218 00:12:06,280 --> 00:12:09,520 Speaker 1: we're previously you know. Uh, there's there's a lot of 219 00:12:09,559 --> 00:12:12,320 Speaker 1: value in being in the central locations. And we haven't 220 00:12:12,400 --> 00:12:15,640 Speaker 1: quite seen that shift fully yet, but you can see 221 00:12:15,679 --> 00:12:17,560 Speaker 1: the beginnings of it. I mean it's it's definitely not 222 00:12:17,760 --> 00:12:20,000 Speaker 1: fully shifted, but we've definitely seen the beginnings of it. 223 00:12:20,080 --> 00:12:23,440 Speaker 1: What's interesting is, at least I don't know, I haven't 224 00:12:23,480 --> 00:12:26,760 Speaker 1: fact checked it, but a decade ago maybe there's an 225 00:12:26,760 --> 00:12:29,079 Speaker 1: author Daniel Pink He wrote a book called A Whole 226 00:12:29,080 --> 00:12:32,959 Speaker 1: New Mind, And basically the point that he made in 227 00:12:33,000 --> 00:12:35,320 Speaker 1: the book is that, um, the whole world has been 228 00:12:35,320 --> 00:12:38,760 Speaker 1: set up for technical roles. College teaches people technical, SA 229 00:12:38,880 --> 00:12:42,800 Speaker 1: t s are technical. All the jobs were technical, right, engineers, etcetera. 230 00:12:43,760 --> 00:12:46,640 Speaker 1: But because of the Internet, as you're saying, UM, now 231 00:12:46,679 --> 00:12:50,320 Speaker 1: it's taken technical roles and made them commodities. And so 232 00:12:50,400 --> 00:12:53,599 Speaker 1: now being the engineer or whatever, the codeer, the developer 233 00:12:54,120 --> 00:12:55,960 Speaker 1: is not where you want to be because now that's 234 00:12:55,960 --> 00:12:58,199 Speaker 1: been commoditized, right, I can hire does dozen them over 235 00:12:58,200 --> 00:13:00,839 Speaker 1: in New Delhi or whatever. And so he calls it 236 00:13:00,880 --> 00:13:02,280 Speaker 1: a whole new mind because we kind of have a 237 00:13:02,280 --> 00:13:05,080 Speaker 1: creative side and analytical side of the brain supposedly, And 238 00:13:05,080 --> 00:13:07,480 Speaker 1: he said, in order to be successful in this new age, 239 00:13:07,800 --> 00:13:09,679 Speaker 1: you have to use the creative side of your brain. 240 00:13:10,080 --> 00:13:11,959 Speaker 1: And instead of being like if you think of like 241 00:13:12,000 --> 00:13:14,120 Speaker 1: an orchestra, instead of being the best troumbone player, the 242 00:13:14,160 --> 00:13:17,560 Speaker 1: best horn player, you're the conductor. And I can't play 243 00:13:17,559 --> 00:13:19,520 Speaker 1: the music better than any of those people, but I 244 00:13:19,520 --> 00:13:23,079 Speaker 1: can make them make beautiful music together. Yep. And and 245 00:13:23,080 --> 00:13:28,079 Speaker 1: and those people today have more leverage than ever before. Right, 246 00:13:28,120 --> 00:13:32,440 Speaker 1: So uh there's creative people, yeah, the creative people. Right. 247 00:13:32,480 --> 00:13:38,000 Speaker 1: So essentially, entrepreneurs and investors have more leverage than they 248 00:13:38,000 --> 00:13:41,000 Speaker 1: ever had before because, uh, they can be really creative. 249 00:13:41,000 --> 00:13:43,880 Speaker 1: They can coordinate all these resources while they're sitting in 250 00:13:43,920 --> 00:13:47,840 Speaker 1: the living room. Right. Um. On the flip side of that, 251 00:13:48,000 --> 00:13:53,960 Speaker 1: workers have more competition than than ever before. So uh, yeah, 252 00:13:54,040 --> 00:13:57,040 Speaker 1: you know, work, work, works, smart, not hard, you know, 253 00:13:57,080 --> 00:14:00,600 Speaker 1: there maybe something something to that. Yeah, well, the school 254 00:14:00,640 --> 00:14:03,000 Speaker 1: systems definitely have not kept up with the with the 255 00:14:03,080 --> 00:14:05,760 Speaker 1: changes of technology, and so there's still training everyone to 256 00:14:05,800 --> 00:14:08,320 Speaker 1: be technical, technical, technical, but we've gone to a creative 257 00:14:08,320 --> 00:14:11,880 Speaker 1: world and so um, there's a there's a big challenge there, 258 00:14:11,880 --> 00:14:13,360 Speaker 1: which we'll get into. I know, you start talking a 259 00:14:13,360 --> 00:14:15,160 Speaker 1: lot about education, and that's the part that I'm pretty 260 00:14:15,160 --> 00:14:19,440 Speaker 1: passionate about. It's interesting though, you know when you look 261 00:14:19,440 --> 00:14:21,160 Speaker 1: at what's going on in the world today with you know, 262 00:14:21,240 --> 00:14:23,320 Speaker 1: all over the world right now, right from Iran and 263 00:14:23,400 --> 00:14:26,160 Speaker 1: Lebanon and Hong Kong, especially Hong Kong, but Chile, and 264 00:14:26,240 --> 00:14:29,280 Speaker 1: I mean you name it right, it's erupting and especially 265 00:14:29,280 --> 00:14:33,640 Speaker 1: like in Hong Kong. Um but it, as you called it, 266 00:14:33,680 --> 00:14:37,840 Speaker 1: borderless information reduces jurisdictional barriers and and I find it 267 00:14:38,040 --> 00:14:42,080 Speaker 1: like hard to believe that in this world today a 268 00:14:42,200 --> 00:14:45,840 Speaker 1: country can still own you, Yeah, like your own you're 269 00:14:45,920 --> 00:14:49,160 Speaker 1: you're basically slave, right, You're owned by the country. And 270 00:14:50,040 --> 00:14:52,720 Speaker 1: how in the US, right half of my wages go 271 00:14:52,800 --> 00:14:57,080 Speaker 1: to the government and I can't leave. Yeah, I mean 272 00:14:58,120 --> 00:15:00,520 Speaker 1: I think that's a cheat problem. I think there are 273 00:15:00,920 --> 00:15:05,560 Speaker 1: some technical challenges to that. Right, our systems are set 274 00:15:05,640 --> 00:15:09,000 Speaker 1: up in a way that we inherently give over our 275 00:15:09,120 --> 00:15:12,600 Speaker 1: data when when we use a given application. Um. But 276 00:15:13,080 --> 00:15:16,400 Speaker 1: like what you were talking about as far as high taxation, 277 00:15:17,120 --> 00:15:19,920 Speaker 1: it's gonna be really interesting interesting in the coming years 278 00:15:20,800 --> 00:15:24,800 Speaker 1: with kind of the wealth tax, you know, the whole 279 00:15:24,840 --> 00:15:28,800 Speaker 1: movement of tax the billionaires, um, and potential for something 280 00:15:28,840 --> 00:15:33,160 Speaker 1: like m M T. Right, Really wealthy people especially will 281 00:15:33,160 --> 00:15:36,640 Speaker 1: probably be leading the charge of Okay, how do I 282 00:15:36,680 --> 00:15:40,120 Speaker 1: protect my well here? Um? I might have to either 283 00:15:40,160 --> 00:15:43,320 Speaker 1: protect it from seizure or if they're protected from inflation, right, 284 00:15:43,360 --> 00:15:47,720 Speaker 1: And you know, the coins are pretty pretty interesting tool 285 00:15:47,760 --> 00:15:50,360 Speaker 1: for that. If you look at how um, you know, 286 00:15:50,560 --> 00:15:53,440 Speaker 1: life has evolved, um, I mean not since the beginning, 287 00:15:53,480 --> 00:15:55,360 Speaker 1: but just you know, you look at like Game of 288 00:15:55,400 --> 00:15:57,960 Speaker 1: Thrones or whatever, right, and it's just like little tribes 289 00:15:58,000 --> 00:15:59,960 Speaker 1: and the one would attack the other one to see 290 00:16:00,000 --> 00:16:02,440 Speaker 1: older resources. And so you know, you kind of had 291 00:16:02,480 --> 00:16:05,200 Speaker 1: to get these like kingdoms which then became countries, and 292 00:16:05,200 --> 00:16:08,040 Speaker 1: still countries were taken over the countries to steal their resources. 293 00:16:08,680 --> 00:16:11,360 Speaker 1: But now moving into like this more information age, which 294 00:16:11,360 --> 00:16:13,160 Speaker 1: I guess we'll get to like a near encryption part, 295 00:16:13,360 --> 00:16:15,280 Speaker 1: which is now we can protect our resources in a 296 00:16:15,320 --> 00:16:18,520 Speaker 1: completely different way, which means the threats that we have 297 00:16:18,560 --> 00:16:20,200 Speaker 1: are not the same as they always have. Like someone 298 00:16:20,240 --> 00:16:22,120 Speaker 1: can't just come take over my house because my assets 299 00:16:22,160 --> 00:16:24,160 Speaker 1: aren't or my you know, it's not in my house, right, 300 00:16:24,240 --> 00:16:29,160 Speaker 1: it's like digital or whatever. Yeah, and you know, there 301 00:16:29,200 --> 00:16:32,440 Speaker 1: there are still levers to be pulled in the physical world. 302 00:16:32,640 --> 00:16:37,760 Speaker 1: You can still be attacked physically, still be killed, right, Um, 303 00:16:37,880 --> 00:16:42,360 Speaker 1: but more and more assets are outside of the purview 304 00:16:42,440 --> 00:16:46,200 Speaker 1: of of kind of government government interference, outside of just 305 00:16:46,280 --> 00:16:54,640 Speaker 1: physical coercion. I and and that that's a really interesting trend. Yeah. Yeah, So, um, 306 00:16:54,720 --> 00:16:57,760 Speaker 1: while I see the information being uh this kind of 307 00:16:58,320 --> 00:17:02,120 Speaker 1: commercial or more or list kind of jurisdictional thing dropping, 308 00:17:02,320 --> 00:17:04,640 Speaker 1: it's gonna be interesting to see how that plays out. Um. 309 00:17:04,680 --> 00:17:07,800 Speaker 1: I know you quoted um Jil Carlson and she had 310 00:17:07,800 --> 00:17:10,280 Speaker 1: talked about how the Internet grew up and it and 311 00:17:10,320 --> 00:17:14,119 Speaker 1: it created this borderless um you know, mind share, information share, 312 00:17:14,359 --> 00:17:18,159 Speaker 1: but financials got left behind. And it reminded me of 313 00:17:18,480 --> 00:17:20,880 Speaker 1: a story I saw Eric Vorhees right a while ago 314 00:17:20,920 --> 00:17:23,680 Speaker 1: where he kind of talked about, imagine if we had 315 00:17:23,720 --> 00:17:26,639 Speaker 1: this internet and instead of this Internet, that connected the 316 00:17:26,640 --> 00:17:29,040 Speaker 1: whole world and we all shared information. Imagine if we 317 00:17:29,080 --> 00:17:31,280 Speaker 1: each had our own little regional internet and we just 318 00:17:31,320 --> 00:17:33,719 Speaker 1: had the United States Internet and there was a China Internet. Well, 319 00:17:33,720 --> 00:17:35,639 Speaker 1: I guess there was a China Internet, but you know, 320 00:17:35,920 --> 00:17:38,280 Speaker 1: each country had their own little internet, and how different 321 00:17:38,280 --> 00:17:41,399 Speaker 1: it would be. And then he made the point, well, okay, 322 00:17:41,400 --> 00:17:43,720 Speaker 1: now that you've imagine that, well, that's exactly how money works. 323 00:17:44,480 --> 00:17:47,560 Speaker 1: And so um. Anyway, it's interesting to to kind of 324 00:17:47,600 --> 00:17:51,520 Speaker 1: look back and see how the information has been decentralized 325 00:17:51,560 --> 00:17:55,600 Speaker 1: and how hopefully money's next there. Yeah, which takes us 326 00:17:55,640 --> 00:17:58,320 Speaker 1: to the second point of your paper, which was that 327 00:17:58,920 --> 00:18:00,680 Speaker 1: or from the book, which is the creation of non 328 00:18:00,760 --> 00:18:05,440 Speaker 1: sovereign digital money. And I guess that kind of creates 329 00:18:05,520 --> 00:18:08,879 Speaker 1: competition with the money, which once we have competition with 330 00:18:08,920 --> 00:18:11,440 Speaker 1: the money, then you said, it decreases the power of 331 00:18:11,480 --> 00:18:16,200 Speaker 1: inflation and taxation. Yeah, and and so so take take 332 00:18:16,240 --> 00:18:19,080 Speaker 1: a quick step back. You know, when I started thinking 333 00:18:19,119 --> 00:18:24,680 Speaker 1: about this thesis broadly, I looked at it through uh 334 00:18:24,960 --> 00:18:29,200 Speaker 1: kind of sources of demand and I use acquired defend 335 00:18:29,760 --> 00:18:33,360 Speaker 1: bond learn and feel as kind of the sources there 336 00:18:33,680 --> 00:18:36,160 Speaker 1: and what are what are those? Those are? Those are 337 00:18:36,200 --> 00:18:40,199 Speaker 1: like the five human motivations. Yeah, and you know, we 338 00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:44,080 Speaker 1: can like it's up for debate what what are the 339 00:18:44,160 --> 00:18:47,800 Speaker 1: primary human motivations? But I, uh, we we know for 340 00:18:47,840 --> 00:18:51,280 Speaker 1: sure greed and fear right to at least yeah, yeah, 341 00:18:51,760 --> 00:18:54,840 Speaker 1: you know, so acquired defend. But I think there you know, 342 00:18:54,920 --> 00:18:58,040 Speaker 1: there's a there definitely is an inherent desire to learn, 343 00:18:58,400 --> 00:19:00,919 Speaker 1: there's a there's a design are to be loved, So 344 00:19:01,000 --> 00:19:03,840 Speaker 1: that's kind of the bonding. And I think there is 345 00:19:03,920 --> 00:19:07,240 Speaker 1: a desire to feel or to escape right from from 346 00:19:07,280 --> 00:19:11,520 Speaker 1: your mind or what have you. And so U four 347 00:19:11,560 --> 00:19:14,000 Speaker 1: of those are borrowed from the book Driven, which which 348 00:19:14,800 --> 00:19:17,840 Speaker 1: talks about it in a different context. But I the 349 00:19:17,880 --> 00:19:20,800 Speaker 1: reason I wanted to look at things, uh through the 350 00:19:20,880 --> 00:19:24,440 Speaker 1: lens of demand is because I really like the way 351 00:19:24,440 --> 00:19:29,040 Speaker 1: that Jeff Bezos framed uh. You know, he he talked 352 00:19:29,080 --> 00:19:33,000 Speaker 1: about people ask them all the time what's changed or 353 00:19:33,000 --> 00:19:35,760 Speaker 1: what's going to change in ten years, and he always says, well, 354 00:19:35,880 --> 00:19:38,359 Speaker 1: it's a lot easier to look at what's not going 355 00:19:38,400 --> 00:19:41,520 Speaker 1: to change, right, And I think broadly you can look 356 00:19:41,560 --> 00:19:46,040 Speaker 1: at human motivations and how they're not going to change. Um. 357 00:19:46,160 --> 00:19:50,720 Speaker 1: But what's interesting in the crypto space is that I 358 00:19:50,760 --> 00:19:55,120 Speaker 1: think there is a behavior change that needs to happen, right, 359 00:19:55,160 --> 00:19:59,760 Speaker 1: So we're very much focused on, uh, this idea of 360 00:20:00,080 --> 00:20:05,840 Speaker 1: acquire agreed right now, and to an extent, have ignored 361 00:20:08,200 --> 00:20:12,720 Speaker 1: kind of our defensive practices. We outsource, we outsource protection. 362 00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:16,439 Speaker 1: And this is evident in and the way that we 363 00:20:16,560 --> 00:20:20,159 Speaker 1: use applications today because all like Facebook has all of 364 00:20:20,200 --> 00:20:24,560 Speaker 1: our data, Google has all of our data. Right. Um, 365 00:20:24,600 --> 00:20:26,600 Speaker 1: it's just the way that it's set up. And people 366 00:20:26,600 --> 00:20:31,199 Speaker 1: people brought like pretty much don't care. So one of 367 00:20:31,240 --> 00:20:35,960 Speaker 1: the trends that I see is is as it um 368 00:20:36,080 --> 00:20:40,640 Speaker 1: is that we'll see this, uh, this motivation of defend, 369 00:20:40,920 --> 00:20:46,000 Speaker 1: this need for defensive technologies to increase, right, and so 370 00:20:46,000 --> 00:20:49,800 Speaker 1: so the idea of digital money is kind of a 371 00:20:50,080 --> 00:20:54,879 Speaker 1: defensive technology. People don't really care about it until they 372 00:20:54,920 --> 00:20:58,760 Speaker 1: have to. You ask most people right now, they say, oh, 373 00:20:58,800 --> 00:21:02,360 Speaker 1: the U S dollars. Fine, it's it's the US dollar, right. 374 00:21:03,040 --> 00:21:05,320 Speaker 1: But I think there's all different levels to that, right. 375 00:21:05,359 --> 00:21:08,040 Speaker 1: So I work with all types of investors and go 376 00:21:08,080 --> 00:21:10,159 Speaker 1: through training stuff. And it's like in the beginning, when 377 00:21:10,200 --> 00:21:12,240 Speaker 1: you're young and you have and you don't have much money, 378 00:21:12,359 --> 00:21:14,480 Speaker 1: you're just risky, right, You're greedy, I need to get 379 00:21:14,480 --> 00:21:16,680 Speaker 1: more money. But as you get older and you have money, 380 00:21:16,760 --> 00:21:18,960 Speaker 1: than it switches and now you have to protect that money. 381 00:21:18,960 --> 00:21:21,840 Speaker 1: Were like, you're young and single and you're thinking about yourself. Well, 382 00:21:21,840 --> 00:21:23,719 Speaker 1: now I'm a father and I have kids, and like, 383 00:21:23,800 --> 00:21:27,639 Speaker 1: you're better to be sure I'm ready to protect that family. Right. So, 384 00:21:27,680 --> 00:21:30,760 Speaker 1: I think our motivations as humans are the same, but 385 00:21:30,800 --> 00:21:34,840 Speaker 1: they change as we go through life. Maybe yeah, yeah, 386 00:21:34,880 --> 00:21:38,520 Speaker 1: that that's definitely possible. And uh, I think it's probably 387 00:21:38,560 --> 00:21:43,159 Speaker 1: an environmentally dependent um you know, some someone someone in 388 00:21:43,240 --> 00:21:45,560 Speaker 1: Venezuela is definitely a lot more sensitive to the idea 389 00:21:45,560 --> 00:21:50,520 Speaker 1: of inflation than someone in uh from the US. Um 390 00:21:50,560 --> 00:21:54,600 Speaker 1: And and I think I think that those environmental factors 391 00:21:54,600 --> 00:22:00,600 Speaker 1: definitely affect the demands our motivations. So so so that's 392 00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:02,359 Speaker 1: kind of what I what I argue in the paper 393 00:22:02,920 --> 00:22:06,720 Speaker 1: that we have this technology, we have the ability to 394 00:22:06,760 --> 00:22:11,600 Speaker 1: opt out of these systems. We understand the supply right, 395 00:22:12,280 --> 00:22:16,040 Speaker 1: twenty one million bitcoin. That's a great narrative, but I 396 00:22:16,040 --> 00:22:19,680 Speaker 1: think a lot of people are you know, they're they're 397 00:22:19,760 --> 00:22:22,400 Speaker 1: arguing about demand. Where is the demand going to come from? 398 00:22:22,480 --> 00:22:26,119 Speaker 1: And uh, as we see more capital controls, as we 399 00:22:26,200 --> 00:22:29,680 Speaker 1: see increase inflation, as we see increased taxation, then the 400 00:22:29,800 --> 00:22:36,359 Speaker 1: demand for an asset like bitcoin will increase. And with that, 401 00:22:36,760 --> 00:22:39,160 Speaker 1: it's also the idea of kind of these self sovereign 402 00:22:39,160 --> 00:22:45,760 Speaker 1: and technologies. So right now bitcoin is firmly speculation right exchanges, funds, 403 00:22:46,200 --> 00:22:49,080 Speaker 1: data providers, rugrad services, that's where all of the investment 404 00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:54,200 Speaker 1: is going. There was this idea of decentralized exchanges. Um, 405 00:22:54,320 --> 00:22:58,800 Speaker 1: they haven't gained a whole lot of adoption, h but 406 00:22:58,880 --> 00:23:01,800 Speaker 1: I think that's gonna be. They're going to be very 407 00:23:01,800 --> 00:23:04,960 Speaker 1: important at some point. At some point. Uh, self sovereign 408 00:23:05,000 --> 00:23:06,840 Speaker 1: custody is going to be very important at some point, 409 00:23:06,840 --> 00:23:10,320 Speaker 1: Like the user experience for custody has to improve. Well, 410 00:23:10,320 --> 00:23:12,320 Speaker 1: I think you made You made the point that those 411 00:23:12,359 --> 00:23:14,480 Speaker 1: things emerge when there's a need, and that's kind of 412 00:23:14,520 --> 00:23:18,240 Speaker 1: capitalism and its best right. So it's like, um, there 413 00:23:18,320 --> 00:23:20,680 Speaker 1: is starting to be a need for having a non 414 00:23:20,680 --> 00:23:23,399 Speaker 1: sovereign digital money. And as you said, right in the 415 00:23:23,440 --> 00:23:27,040 Speaker 1: US people don't see that, but in Venezuela or you know, 416 00:23:27,280 --> 00:23:29,560 Speaker 1: Lebanon or Iran, when the bank's just open back up 417 00:23:29,600 --> 00:23:33,000 Speaker 1: after whatever a month, like they have a need for that. Um, 418 00:23:33,400 --> 00:23:36,040 Speaker 1: the essentialized exchanges. We haven't really seen a need for that, 419 00:23:36,080 --> 00:23:39,440 Speaker 1: but once we see more increased you know, regulatory crackdowns, 420 00:23:40,200 --> 00:23:41,639 Speaker 1: there will be a need for it. And then and 421 00:23:41,680 --> 00:23:43,840 Speaker 1: then my hope anyway is that we'll we'll see that 422 00:23:43,880 --> 00:23:47,520 Speaker 1: start to pop up again. Yeah. And and in some ways, 423 00:23:47,760 --> 00:23:54,959 Speaker 1: these fully decentralized systems UH aren't necessarily the way to go. 424 00:23:55,119 --> 00:23:56,480 Speaker 1: You know, like you look at bit macs, you look 425 00:23:56,480 --> 00:24:00,359 Speaker 1: at finance, you look at usd T. They aren't wholly 426 00:24:00,400 --> 00:24:04,000 Speaker 1: immutable or not centership resistance or completely centership resist and 427 00:24:04,240 --> 00:24:06,840 Speaker 1: you're still depending on a third party, right, But they've 428 00:24:06,840 --> 00:24:10,040 Speaker 1: been able to kind of skirt regulations and they've been 429 00:24:10,400 --> 00:24:15,399 Speaker 1: extremely successful, you know, almost because of that. Yeah. But 430 00:24:15,440 --> 00:24:17,639 Speaker 1: if we're sticking on the back to point number two, 431 00:24:17,680 --> 00:24:19,959 Speaker 1: So we talked about point number one was the information 432 00:24:20,000 --> 00:24:23,320 Speaker 1: reducing the jurisdictional barriers. Number two was creation of non 433 00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:27,600 Speaker 1: sovereign digital money um and and I think you're talking 434 00:24:27,640 --> 00:24:31,439 Speaker 1: about inflict the the sovereign individual. The information technology is 435 00:24:31,480 --> 00:24:34,320 Speaker 1: helping to push that digital money obviously because it's built 436 00:24:34,320 --> 00:24:38,040 Speaker 1: off of the Internet. UM and it's decreasing the power 437 00:24:38,080 --> 00:24:40,480 Speaker 1: of inflation. So right now, the governments around the world, 438 00:24:40,520 --> 00:24:43,760 Speaker 1: including United States are are pushing inflation on us right there, 439 00:24:43,720 --> 00:24:47,080 Speaker 1: stealing the value of our money. So that is a 440 00:24:47,160 --> 00:24:51,119 Speaker 1: reason that's causing this creation of this non sovereign money. 441 00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:54,280 Speaker 1: And yeah, and and I guess a competition for money, 442 00:24:54,720 --> 00:25:00,720 Speaker 1: right definitely. And I think right now, the logical conclusion 443 00:25:00,720 --> 00:25:04,399 Speaker 1: there is Okay, well, I'm gonna buy gold rum. But 444 00:25:04,400 --> 00:25:08,800 Speaker 1: but then, um, you think about transporting golden, You think 445 00:25:08,840 --> 00:25:13,280 Speaker 1: about the ability for someone to seize your gold. You 446 00:25:13,280 --> 00:25:15,760 Speaker 1: think about the ability for something for you to store, 447 00:25:16,480 --> 00:25:18,600 Speaker 1: let's say a couple of billion dollars for the gold. 448 00:25:18,680 --> 00:25:22,000 Speaker 1: You know. Talking about these really wealthy people, I think 449 00:25:22,040 --> 00:25:24,080 Speaker 1: that's where the trend is probably going to start because 450 00:25:24,800 --> 00:25:28,600 Speaker 1: they see these problems. They'll see these problems before everybody else. 451 00:25:29,359 --> 00:25:32,760 Speaker 1: And and that's where we'll see the difference, right in 452 00:25:32,840 --> 00:25:36,040 Speaker 1: this the reason for the center to persistence and um, 453 00:25:36,520 --> 00:25:40,000 Speaker 1: and the more the more that governments inflate their money 454 00:25:40,160 --> 00:25:42,919 Speaker 1: and sees people's money, the more they're going to be 455 00:25:42,960 --> 00:25:47,560 Speaker 1: pushing people to options like this, right yeah, absolutely, Yeah, 456 00:25:48,359 --> 00:25:51,439 Speaker 1: it's kind of unstoppable. I think. I guess we just 457 00:25:51,440 --> 00:25:53,840 Speaker 1: have to ask ourselves to the questions, do we think 458 00:25:53,880 --> 00:25:57,600 Speaker 1: governments will magically wake up and be fiscally responsible at 459 00:25:57,600 --> 00:25:59,800 Speaker 1: some point or will they continue to push it as 460 00:25:59,800 --> 00:26:02,199 Speaker 1: far as they can push it. And again, going back 461 00:26:02,240 --> 00:26:05,680 Speaker 1: to human motivation, I think we know the answer, right, yeah, yeah, 462 00:26:05,960 --> 00:26:08,840 Speaker 1: you know, the these systems are set up in a 463 00:26:08,880 --> 00:26:13,120 Speaker 1: way that they want to get real people. The people 464 00:26:13,119 --> 00:26:15,920 Speaker 1: in power want to get reelected. The easiest way for 465 00:26:16,400 --> 00:26:18,880 Speaker 1: them to get reelected is for their economies to do well. 466 00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:21,880 Speaker 1: For their economy to do well, they should probably print 467 00:26:21,880 --> 00:26:26,520 Speaker 1: more money so that the equities markets continue to boom. Yeah. 468 00:26:26,960 --> 00:26:29,560 Speaker 1: So the third final point was the encryption. That encryption 469 00:26:29,600 --> 00:26:32,879 Speaker 1: produces the cost of protection um and decreases the leverage 470 00:26:32,880 --> 00:26:35,439 Speaker 1: of violence scale. And we touched on that um. But 471 00:26:35,480 --> 00:26:38,400 Speaker 1: I guess when you add all that together, I mean, 472 00:26:38,840 --> 00:26:42,840 Speaker 1: it's the encryption you're saying, is is protection for us? 473 00:26:42,840 --> 00:26:45,600 Speaker 1: And I guess with point number one about information, So 474 00:26:45,680 --> 00:26:49,280 Speaker 1: we could have information that could be protected, uh and 475 00:26:49,280 --> 00:26:52,919 Speaker 1: and secret or private, but then also then money we 476 00:26:53,000 --> 00:26:56,560 Speaker 1: can create our money, save our money and then encrypted 477 00:26:56,600 --> 00:27:01,520 Speaker 1: all I mean going to that point yeah and um 478 00:27:01,560 --> 00:27:04,840 Speaker 1: so so yeah, we we have the ability currently to 479 00:27:04,880 --> 00:27:07,320 Speaker 1: send information around the world in in an instant but 480 00:27:07,400 --> 00:27:13,639 Speaker 1: like you mentioned, there there are there is the ability 481 00:27:13,680 --> 00:27:16,240 Speaker 1: to censor a lot of that a lot of that information, right, 482 00:27:16,640 --> 00:27:19,040 Speaker 1: and so that's where this idea of kind of these 483 00:27:19,080 --> 00:27:22,320 Speaker 1: crypto applications comes in. And my as a hobby kind 484 00:27:22,320 --> 00:27:26,280 Speaker 1: of brought this idea of dissident technology, which I think 485 00:27:26,359 --> 00:27:30,600 Speaker 1: is as as an elegant way to describe the value 486 00:27:30,600 --> 00:27:35,879 Speaker 1: proposition of crypto more broadly, um, it's it's it's something 487 00:27:36,359 --> 00:27:39,760 Speaker 1: this whole movement is really to be able to exist 488 00:27:39,800 --> 00:27:44,399 Speaker 1: outside of the purview of government protection. It's kind of 489 00:27:44,400 --> 00:27:50,440 Speaker 1: saying we can protect ourselves now, let us and and so, 490 00:27:51,840 --> 00:27:57,280 Speaker 1: and encryption is is a really interesting thing because it 491 00:27:57,320 --> 00:27:59,240 Speaker 1: makes it easier. It makes it easier for me to 492 00:27:59,240 --> 00:28:02,440 Speaker 1: protect myself just as and pretty much just as easily 493 00:28:02,480 --> 00:28:07,160 Speaker 1: as a large corporation, um can protect themselves. And then 494 00:28:07,200 --> 00:28:09,960 Speaker 1: also what do you think about a large corporation versus 495 00:28:09,960 --> 00:28:13,640 Speaker 1: an individual. A large corporation is a honeypot, right, And 496 00:28:13,720 --> 00:28:16,760 Speaker 1: if you're if you're keeping your assets with that with 497 00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:22,720 Speaker 1: that organization, that corporation, their their encryption probably isn't any 498 00:28:23,160 --> 00:28:27,800 Speaker 1: better than encryption that you have available. Um. So, so 499 00:28:28,440 --> 00:28:31,360 Speaker 1: you look at the reward for attacking that organization versus 500 00:28:31,359 --> 00:28:34,720 Speaker 1: the reward for attacking the individual and it it tilts that, 501 00:28:34,880 --> 00:28:37,480 Speaker 1: it tilts that scale. Yeah, and we see it happen 502 00:28:37,520 --> 00:28:40,480 Speaker 1: all the time, right target and experience, and they're all 503 00:28:40,520 --> 00:28:42,479 Speaker 1: getting hacked. The n s A was hacked, and when 504 00:28:42,480 --> 00:28:44,480 Speaker 1: they hacked the n s A, they stole their hacking software, 505 00:28:44,560 --> 00:28:47,960 Speaker 1: right because they are those honeypots. And it's kind of 506 00:28:48,000 --> 00:28:51,120 Speaker 1: like if if you would go rob a bank that 507 00:28:51,200 --> 00:28:52,880 Speaker 1: had a billion dollars, or would you go rob a 508 00:28:52,920 --> 00:28:57,000 Speaker 1: billion banks that had one dollar each? Yeah exactly, it's 509 00:28:57,040 --> 00:29:00,400 Speaker 1: like that that so you but you talk about how 510 00:29:00,520 --> 00:29:03,440 Speaker 1: like as individuals have more control of their property than 511 00:29:03,560 --> 00:29:05,480 Speaker 1: we have more need to defend that property, which I 512 00:29:05,520 --> 00:29:07,080 Speaker 1: kind of made like as I get more money or 513 00:29:07,120 --> 00:29:11,440 Speaker 1: as I get a family, and how we've been outsourcing that. 514 00:29:11,480 --> 00:29:13,320 Speaker 1: And I think back to kind of like how you know, 515 00:29:13,400 --> 00:29:17,600 Speaker 1: the banking system started, so you know whatever the eighteen hundreds. 516 00:29:17,600 --> 00:29:19,800 Speaker 1: Previous to the eighteen hundreds, I would just store my 517 00:29:19,880 --> 00:29:23,160 Speaker 1: gold in the ground somewhere or whatever um and then 518 00:29:23,200 --> 00:29:24,760 Speaker 1: eventually I could just put it in a bank and 519 00:29:24,760 --> 00:29:27,360 Speaker 1: then that bank would be I'd be outsourcing the security 520 00:29:27,600 --> 00:29:30,200 Speaker 1: right to that bank. So maybe it's only been a 521 00:29:30,200 --> 00:29:32,120 Speaker 1: couple of hundred years we've been doing that. I mean, 522 00:29:32,240 --> 00:29:34,480 Speaker 1: do you see that being this big behavior change, you 523 00:29:34,480 --> 00:29:38,240 Speaker 1: think that that's gonna have to be made. Yeah, So 524 00:29:38,280 --> 00:29:40,600 Speaker 1: I think, you know, I think it's really Yeah, it's 525 00:29:40,600 --> 00:29:44,920 Speaker 1: been since really the agricultural revolution, since the emergence of 526 00:29:45,120 --> 00:29:48,440 Speaker 1: personal property, that we've kind of had this outsourcing and 527 00:29:48,520 --> 00:29:53,200 Speaker 1: protection because you know, like the biggest guy in town, 528 00:29:53,200 --> 00:29:55,840 Speaker 1: the most powerful guy in town, that's the person who 529 00:29:55,920 --> 00:29:59,440 Speaker 1: who you can hire to protect your assets, right, and 530 00:29:59,640 --> 00:30:02,320 Speaker 1: he gets some of his guys around, and now he 531 00:30:02,320 --> 00:30:05,640 Speaker 1: has this little army and you pay, you pay that 532 00:30:05,720 --> 00:30:08,280 Speaker 1: leader to protect you. Right. And that that in in 533 00:30:08,280 --> 00:30:12,640 Speaker 1: in different forms and fashions, has kind of persisted. Um. 534 00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:16,720 Speaker 1: And now with the idea of this dissident technology crypto broadly, 535 00:30:17,400 --> 00:30:21,680 Speaker 1: I there are two there are two levers that people 536 00:30:21,720 --> 00:30:23,760 Speaker 1: kind of think about. I think in the crypto world 537 00:30:23,840 --> 00:30:27,360 Speaker 1: it's like cost efficiencies and um, it's the idea that Okay, 538 00:30:27,360 --> 00:30:31,320 Speaker 1: there's no middleman anymore, and so now there's decreased rent 539 00:30:31,360 --> 00:30:34,560 Speaker 1: seeking and and I can buy that to a certain extent. Right, 540 00:30:35,960 --> 00:30:38,920 Speaker 1: some some of the costs will come down, but there 541 00:30:38,960 --> 00:30:42,920 Speaker 1: there still is rent seeking on the part of someone 542 00:30:43,320 --> 00:30:46,760 Speaker 1: within the or some people within the system. Right, Um, 543 00:30:46,800 --> 00:30:50,840 Speaker 1: and the the efficiency isn't that, it's not that great. 544 00:30:52,080 --> 00:30:55,360 Speaker 1: What is a big kind of like the ten Ex 545 00:30:55,480 --> 00:30:59,680 Speaker 1: improvement is the defensibility of these systems. And and that's 546 00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:02,800 Speaker 1: where I think, Uh, that's where I think we need 547 00:31:02,840 --> 00:31:07,000 Speaker 1: to see demand. And right now we're everyone in cryptos 548 00:31:07,080 --> 00:31:10,920 Speaker 1: like why aren't people adopting any of these things? And 549 00:31:11,120 --> 00:31:15,800 Speaker 1: I think it's just it's just to demand issue. Right, Um, 550 00:31:15,840 --> 00:31:20,040 Speaker 1: there hasn't there hasn't been enough ruined to to demand 551 00:31:20,080 --> 00:31:23,960 Speaker 1: these type of protective services. Um, even though we have 552 00:31:24,120 --> 00:31:29,320 Speaker 1: had that Equifax, you know, equifacts hack, Facebook, Yahoo, like 553 00:31:29,400 --> 00:31:31,720 Speaker 1: all all of these big all of these big hacks 554 00:31:31,760 --> 00:31:39,480 Speaker 1: and hum, these large data holders really mishandling our our property, 555 00:31:39,560 --> 00:31:42,760 Speaker 1: right um. And and so we're gonna have to see 556 00:31:42,880 --> 00:31:47,280 Speaker 1: a shift of behavior from kind of this this motivation 557 00:31:47,320 --> 00:31:51,840 Speaker 1: of acquired to this motivation to defend your your digital 558 00:31:51,840 --> 00:31:56,400 Speaker 1: assets as as we increasingly have more digital assets. Yeah. 559 00:31:56,440 --> 00:31:59,840 Speaker 1: But when you talk about dissident tech, maybe just unpacked 560 00:31:59,840 --> 00:32:01,440 Speaker 1: that what are what are you talking about like that 561 00:32:01,480 --> 00:32:03,040 Speaker 1: as kind of like a whole or maybe as that 562 00:32:03,040 --> 00:32:08,400 Speaker 1: can asset Yeah, I'm talking about both like things that 563 00:32:08,520 --> 00:32:13,440 Speaker 1: can resist censorship and things that are generally anti fragile, 564 00:32:13,600 --> 00:32:21,280 Speaker 1: so UM and like fight against the government or to 565 00:32:21,320 --> 00:32:23,240 Speaker 1: a certain extent that you know, that's one of the 566 00:32:23,600 --> 00:32:27,000 Speaker 1: that's one of the use cases. But it's also um 567 00:32:27,600 --> 00:32:31,480 Speaker 1: like you think about like mesh networking versus some of 568 00:32:31,520 --> 00:32:35,600 Speaker 1: the r I s p s currently there. These are 569 00:32:35,600 --> 00:32:40,000 Speaker 1: central points of failure and they're easy, they're they're outdated 570 00:32:40,040 --> 00:32:44,160 Speaker 1: in many respects, and they're easy to take down. UM. 571 00:32:44,200 --> 00:32:47,280 Speaker 1: Whereas if if you can create these these networks that 572 00:32:47,320 --> 00:32:51,120 Speaker 1: are really resilient, and even better than resilient, they're anti 573 00:32:51,120 --> 00:32:54,240 Speaker 1: fragile as people try to attack them, you're making them 574 00:32:54,240 --> 00:33:00,320 Speaker 1: stronger something something really like like bitcoin. Uh, that's that's 575 00:33:00,360 --> 00:33:02,560 Speaker 1: kind of the holy grail, and I think that's what 576 00:33:02,960 --> 00:33:06,520 Speaker 1: we're starting to work towards. But we're starting to see, yeah, 577 00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:09,560 Speaker 1: very really does for for those that don't know exactly 578 00:33:09,560 --> 00:33:11,040 Speaker 1: what he was just talking about. So what we're seeing 579 00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:13,680 Speaker 1: like in Iran right now is they took down the internet. Uh, 580 00:33:13,760 --> 00:33:15,960 Speaker 1: the Internet went down in Iran because they don't want 581 00:33:16,040 --> 00:33:18,200 Speaker 1: them communicating, or or even in Hong Kong, we don't 582 00:33:18,200 --> 00:33:21,560 Speaker 1: want the protesters communicating, and so they have mess networks, 583 00:33:21,560 --> 00:33:25,080 Speaker 1: which basically allow phones to communicate one by one and 584 00:33:25,120 --> 00:33:28,160 Speaker 1: kind of create their own network that can't be taken down. 585 00:33:28,720 --> 00:33:31,960 Speaker 1: And so, um, I mean I think that that this 586 00:33:32,000 --> 00:33:34,480 Speaker 1: type of technology is in a direct response to that 587 00:33:34,520 --> 00:33:38,640 Speaker 1: stuff that's that's happening. Um, you made a quote about, um, 588 00:33:38,720 --> 00:33:42,600 Speaker 1: the balance of the lion and the lamb, and how 589 00:33:42,960 --> 00:33:44,840 Speaker 1: if the I think you said, like, if the lion 590 00:33:44,920 --> 00:33:46,840 Speaker 1: got faster, there would eat they would eat too many 591 00:33:46,840 --> 00:33:48,800 Speaker 1: of the lambs. And if the lamb got stronger than 592 00:33:48,840 --> 00:33:53,520 Speaker 1: the lions would starve, and there needs to be this balance. Um, 593 00:33:53,640 --> 00:33:55,600 Speaker 1: do you see like the lion being the state and 594 00:33:55,640 --> 00:34:03,360 Speaker 1: the lambs being the citizens. Yeah, basically, essentially nation states 595 00:34:03,760 --> 00:34:09,920 Speaker 1: have benefited from being very strong militarily, they provided protective services. 596 00:34:11,200 --> 00:34:18,520 Speaker 1: But now the equation is has changed drastically. More happens 597 00:34:18,520 --> 00:34:23,279 Speaker 1: outside of the purview of the state. Individuals can protect themselves. 598 00:34:24,560 --> 00:34:28,440 Speaker 1: Information isn't controlled as much by the state. And so 599 00:34:29,800 --> 00:34:33,600 Speaker 1: my the way that I described as us lambs individuals 600 00:34:34,440 --> 00:34:37,080 Speaker 1: have grown wings. You know, we can we can kind 601 00:34:37,080 --> 00:34:43,399 Speaker 1: of avoid the lion, avoid this predator. And and it's 602 00:34:43,480 --> 00:34:50,319 Speaker 1: it's this this idea that nation states will continuously have 603 00:34:50,520 --> 00:34:55,760 Speaker 1: to treat citizens more like customers, right, and that would 604 00:34:56,880 --> 00:35:00,480 Speaker 1: exactly you know, wouldn't it be nice? And it it should, 605 00:35:00,840 --> 00:35:03,239 Speaker 1: that should be the way that things happen. Right, we 606 00:35:03,360 --> 00:35:08,640 Speaker 1: give so much money to these these sovereigns, but are 607 00:35:08,680 --> 00:35:11,080 Speaker 1: are they the best people to handle the money? Right? 608 00:35:11,560 --> 00:35:14,120 Speaker 1: And you start you start to think about that, and 609 00:35:14,880 --> 00:35:19,200 Speaker 1: it seems far fetch that that a nation would treat 610 00:35:19,239 --> 00:35:22,000 Speaker 1: you as a customer. But I think Singapore is a 611 00:35:22,000 --> 00:35:25,560 Speaker 1: great example. In Singapore's reference frequently in the Sovereign Individual, 612 00:35:25,600 --> 00:35:29,920 Speaker 1: which was written and now we can look at Singapore, 613 00:35:30,239 --> 00:35:35,239 Speaker 1: you know, twenty years later, and it's it's pretty shocking, right, 614 00:35:35,600 --> 00:35:39,480 Speaker 1: Singapore has been incredibly business friendly and what has happened. 615 00:35:39,600 --> 00:35:42,640 Speaker 1: A lot of businesses has moved to Singapore. It's interesting 616 00:35:42,640 --> 00:35:44,680 Speaker 1: that we even have to say that, especially as both 617 00:35:44,680 --> 00:35:46,440 Speaker 1: of us it in the United States right now, because 618 00:35:46,440 --> 00:35:48,520 Speaker 1: in the United States, it's supposed to be like a 619 00:35:48,520 --> 00:35:51,439 Speaker 1: servant leader, right Like it's supposed to be the people 620 00:35:51,440 --> 00:35:53,719 Speaker 1: that are supposed to be serving the people. It's a 621 00:35:53,800 --> 00:35:57,799 Speaker 1: government of the people for the people. However, there's been 622 00:35:57,840 --> 00:36:00,120 Speaker 1: a massive shift over the last probably decade or so 623 00:36:00,200 --> 00:36:02,640 Speaker 1: where now I think the average person looks at the 624 00:36:02,680 --> 00:36:05,879 Speaker 1: government as as a ruling class right there, they're not 625 00:36:06,000 --> 00:36:09,120 Speaker 1: representing us anymore. They're doing as they want, and now 626 00:36:09,239 --> 00:36:11,160 Speaker 1: for us to even have to talk about that, like 627 00:36:11,239 --> 00:36:13,600 Speaker 1: they should curious as a customer, Like, no, they should 628 00:36:13,600 --> 00:36:17,239 Speaker 1: look at us as their bosses. Yeah, but anyway, that's 629 00:36:17,239 --> 00:36:20,960 Speaker 1: not the case. But yeah, maybe it's hard, it's hard 630 00:36:21,000 --> 00:36:23,799 Speaker 1: to imagine, but maybe at some point where, um, with 631 00:36:23,840 --> 00:36:26,040 Speaker 1: those three factors, as you said, right, with the with 632 00:36:26,080 --> 00:36:30,520 Speaker 1: the widespread use of information breaking down the barriers that 633 00:36:30,560 --> 00:36:33,080 Speaker 1: we could move to the country that best suited our needs, 634 00:36:33,120 --> 00:36:37,120 Speaker 1: and then they started competing for us. Yeah, exactly, with 635 00:36:37,160 --> 00:36:39,840 Speaker 1: more happening outside of the purview of governments, the ability 636 00:36:39,960 --> 00:36:44,640 Speaker 1: of individuals to protect their property through encryption, decreasing decreasing 637 00:36:44,640 --> 00:36:49,960 Speaker 1: information asymmetry, and decreasing the value of location, people can 638 00:36:50,000 --> 00:36:53,439 Speaker 1: easily go to other places. And when when people start 639 00:36:53,480 --> 00:36:57,680 Speaker 1: to leave, then revenues start to decrease. Right. Problem The 640 00:36:57,680 --> 00:36:59,719 Speaker 1: problem is is, as you identified, kind of like the 641 00:36:59,760 --> 00:37:03,439 Speaker 1: five of human motivations, one of those being greed, which 642 00:37:03,480 --> 00:37:07,479 Speaker 1: seems to be bigger and more powerful than the other ones, 643 00:37:07,920 --> 00:37:10,400 Speaker 1: especially with certain individuals. And so you're always going to 644 00:37:10,480 --> 00:37:12,600 Speaker 1: have these people that are gonna want to control, right, So, 645 00:37:12,719 --> 00:37:16,479 Speaker 1: like you know, uh, we see it in the Parent 646 00:37:16,480 --> 00:37:19,160 Speaker 1: Teacher Association. I see at my homeowners association. We see it, 647 00:37:19,239 --> 00:37:21,200 Speaker 1: you know, at the presidential level. Um. So it's like 648 00:37:21,200 --> 00:37:23,319 Speaker 1: one country says, hey, come set up here. We're like, 649 00:37:23,440 --> 00:37:26,440 Speaker 1: you know, business friendly. But then eventually someone's gonna want 650 00:37:26,440 --> 00:37:29,360 Speaker 1: to control that. Do you think that that greed factor 651 00:37:29,400 --> 00:37:33,640 Speaker 1: always is going to take over? Absolutely? Yeah. I mean, 652 00:37:34,320 --> 00:37:37,839 Speaker 1: but I think all of these things are just checked right, 653 00:37:38,480 --> 00:37:42,920 Speaker 1: and as a few businesses, as a few billionaires, you know, 654 00:37:42,960 --> 00:37:48,279 Speaker 1: start to leave jurisdiction that has high taxes and high 655 00:37:48,320 --> 00:37:52,080 Speaker 1: inflation to a jurisdiction which is more friendly towards these 656 00:37:52,080 --> 00:37:55,319 Speaker 1: wealthy people and more friendly towards businesses, then then I 657 00:37:55,360 --> 00:37:57,560 Speaker 1: think more countries start to take notice. You know. I 658 00:37:57,600 --> 00:38:00,839 Speaker 1: think we're both in California, which is probably u at 659 00:38:00,920 --> 00:38:03,080 Speaker 1: least the second worst state in the in the nation 660 00:38:03,080 --> 00:38:05,440 Speaker 1: behind New York, if not the worst state for taxes 661 00:38:05,480 --> 00:38:07,440 Speaker 1: and the way they treat businesses. And we've seen businesses 662 00:38:07,520 --> 00:38:10,520 Speaker 1: leave the state in droves. The rich have left the 663 00:38:10,560 --> 00:38:12,920 Speaker 1: state in droves. The rich have left New York in droves, 664 00:38:12,960 --> 00:38:15,520 Speaker 1: and they're all headed to lower tax regions no state 665 00:38:15,520 --> 00:38:18,840 Speaker 1: tax regions, Texas, Florida, etcetera. But yet the States haven't 666 00:38:18,960 --> 00:38:22,239 Speaker 1: decided to change. If anything, they've gotten, they've doubled down 667 00:38:22,280 --> 00:38:26,920 Speaker 1: on it. Yeah, I mean we'll see, we don't know. 668 00:38:27,320 --> 00:38:31,080 Speaker 1: I think this is the trend. But I think timing 669 00:38:31,200 --> 00:38:34,320 Speaker 1: is timing is a big question. Yeah. Now you made 670 00:38:34,360 --> 00:38:36,800 Speaker 1: you made one point, um that I wanted to touch 671 00:38:36,840 --> 00:38:39,600 Speaker 1: on where Um. I guess the first point was about 672 00:38:39,600 --> 00:38:42,360 Speaker 1: information and now with the widespread information and allows us 673 00:38:42,440 --> 00:38:44,960 Speaker 1: this arbitrage to live kind of wherever we want. And 674 00:38:45,000 --> 00:38:47,640 Speaker 1: you talked about how it's an especially interesting sector. You 675 00:38:47,719 --> 00:38:51,440 Speaker 1: made the comment, um, because of the way that it 676 00:38:51,480 --> 00:38:56,080 Speaker 1: gives people this you know, ability to access information, um, 677 00:38:56,120 --> 00:38:59,440 Speaker 1: which can really take hold. And how you're expecting like 678 00:38:59,480 --> 00:39:03,080 Speaker 1: the edge industry to grow to ten trillion you said, 679 00:39:03,080 --> 00:39:07,719 Speaker 1: by um and add a hundred teachers. Wh Where did 680 00:39:07,719 --> 00:39:10,920 Speaker 1: you kind of come up with that thesis that thought, Yeah, 681 00:39:11,080 --> 00:39:14,440 Speaker 1: these these are estimates that I found in a fairly 682 00:39:14,480 --> 00:39:17,440 Speaker 1: comprehensive report. I actually should probably link it in in 683 00:39:17,520 --> 00:39:23,000 Speaker 1: the in the paper. But UM, I think that education 684 00:39:23,120 --> 00:39:27,200 Speaker 1: is really the the gating factor here because it it 685 00:39:28,120 --> 00:39:32,120 Speaker 1: kind of allows the rest of it to fall into place. Uh. 686 00:39:32,280 --> 00:39:36,120 Speaker 1: And when you think about education, people can become educated 687 00:39:36,160 --> 00:39:39,680 Speaker 1: really easily. Uh, They have also the information at their fingertips. 688 00:39:40,160 --> 00:39:42,600 Speaker 1: Uh what is what is maybe a little bit more 689 00:39:42,600 --> 00:39:48,040 Speaker 1: difficult is the accreditation. And when when I think about 690 00:39:48,080 --> 00:39:51,919 Speaker 1: the real value of universities right now, it's it's in accreditation. 691 00:39:52,040 --> 00:39:54,760 Speaker 1: Right like you went to Stanford, you went to Harvard, 692 00:39:54,920 --> 00:39:59,240 Speaker 1: you went to Yale. Uh that that that holds power 693 00:39:59,520 --> 00:40:02,960 Speaker 1: right there, you know. And uh, um, but that power 694 00:40:03,040 --> 00:40:05,640 Speaker 1: is being reduced. I made a video about this. Um. 695 00:40:05,680 --> 00:40:08,480 Speaker 1: A lot of the big fortune companies have taken away 696 00:40:08,600 --> 00:40:11,360 Speaker 1: the requirement to have a college degree. Now, Apple, A, 697 00:40:11,480 --> 00:40:14,200 Speaker 1: T and T, Marriott Hotels, they've all taken away that 698 00:40:14,280 --> 00:40:18,920 Speaker 1: requirement now. Yeah, and so that's that again, right, like 699 00:40:19,040 --> 00:40:21,439 Speaker 1: the one little change in the drastic difference it makes. 700 00:40:21,480 --> 00:40:24,120 Speaker 1: And so by changing that, it takes away that that 701 00:40:24,120 --> 00:40:26,759 Speaker 1: accreditation piece, and so that's gonna help us, right. I 702 00:40:26,800 --> 00:40:29,440 Speaker 1: agree with that viewpoint. That's why I was just curious 703 00:40:29,440 --> 00:40:31,560 Speaker 1: about that. I think that's probably the biggest shift that 704 00:40:31,600 --> 00:40:34,759 Speaker 1: we'll see. Yeah, and I think that that opens up 705 00:40:35,880 --> 00:40:40,120 Speaker 1: an opportunity for someone to make a really good accreditation service, 706 00:40:40,480 --> 00:40:45,200 Speaker 1: right whatever it may be. Like, um, I think it 707 00:40:45,320 --> 00:40:50,960 Speaker 1: was Eric Tornberg he was talking about, right, what is 708 00:40:50,960 --> 00:40:53,160 Speaker 1: like the next linked in the next iteration of LinkedIn, 709 00:40:53,440 --> 00:40:56,200 Speaker 1: because linked In in in a way is is providing these 710 00:40:56,239 --> 00:41:00,640 Speaker 1: accreditation services and it's like an online resume, But can 711 00:41:00,640 --> 00:41:03,239 Speaker 1: you take out a step further further or is is 712 00:41:03,280 --> 00:41:06,000 Speaker 1: it do you have an online portfolio or you know, 713 00:41:06,239 --> 00:41:09,120 Speaker 1: what does this tend to look like? And and there's 714 00:41:09,120 --> 00:41:12,200 Speaker 1: a big opportunity to own that that point kind of 715 00:41:12,840 --> 00:41:16,200 Speaker 1: my my thought on that is uh, because h is 716 00:41:16,200 --> 00:41:18,120 Speaker 1: is that we're already seeing this shift, right and and 717 00:41:18,160 --> 00:41:20,520 Speaker 1: they and they said like in the next two years, 718 00:41:20,560 --> 00:41:22,799 Speaker 1: I think like jobs and the US are projected to 719 00:41:22,800 --> 00:41:25,279 Speaker 1: be gig jobs. And so what we're starting to see 720 00:41:25,320 --> 00:41:27,920 Speaker 1: is like I want to specialize in running Facebook ads, 721 00:41:28,760 --> 00:41:30,200 Speaker 1: and I can work for five or six or ten 722 00:41:30,239 --> 00:41:32,320 Speaker 1: companies to run just Facebook ads, and I can be 723 00:41:32,320 --> 00:41:34,840 Speaker 1: the best Facebook ads guy. Where I can be a copywriter, 724 00:41:35,200 --> 00:41:36,920 Speaker 1: or I can be a video editor and I can 725 00:41:36,960 --> 00:41:39,000 Speaker 1: just be a video editor. I can be a bookkeeper 726 00:41:39,160 --> 00:41:40,520 Speaker 1: and I don't have to be hired full time with 727 00:41:40,560 --> 00:41:42,240 Speaker 1: this company to be a bookkeeper. Just be a bookkeeper 728 00:41:42,239 --> 00:41:45,120 Speaker 1: for twenty companies, right um. And so it allows me 729 00:41:45,200 --> 00:41:47,080 Speaker 1: to just learn how to do bookkeeping, or learn how 730 00:41:47,120 --> 00:41:48,840 Speaker 1: to do Facebook ads, or learn how to do whatever 731 00:41:48,920 --> 00:41:51,359 Speaker 1: and I can watch YouTube videos for that, right, Um, 732 00:41:51,400 --> 00:41:53,719 Speaker 1: and then I can just offer those services on a 733 00:41:53,719 --> 00:41:56,440 Speaker 1: gig basis. And people think gig jobs are bad, but 734 00:41:56,440 --> 00:41:59,440 Speaker 1: they don't they have to be um. And maybe just 735 00:41:59,520 --> 00:42:01,960 Speaker 1: that whole because like as you already made, the case 736 00:42:02,000 --> 00:42:05,360 Speaker 1: that we agreed on is that like that that technical 737 00:42:05,480 --> 00:42:10,160 Speaker 1: role is diminishing M and so, UM, maybe I don't 738 00:42:10,200 --> 00:42:12,279 Speaker 1: need that college degree to go get that job at 739 00:42:12,320 --> 00:42:14,440 Speaker 1: a T and T. I could just become a bookkeeper 740 00:42:14,600 --> 00:42:16,399 Speaker 1: and work for ten companies on the side and live 741 00:42:16,400 --> 00:42:18,839 Speaker 1: in a jurisdiction that has cheap rates, and I could 742 00:42:18,880 --> 00:42:22,680 Speaker 1: live a very good life exactly. Yeah, I completely agree 743 00:42:22,680 --> 00:42:27,040 Speaker 1: with that. Uh yeah, I think we'll we'll continue to 744 00:42:27,040 --> 00:42:30,799 Speaker 1: see more of that because, uh, people are going to 745 00:42:30,880 --> 00:42:36,560 Speaker 1: become more and more disgruntled in developed countries because because 746 00:42:37,040 --> 00:42:41,800 Speaker 1: they expect high wages and they pay a lot of taxes, 747 00:42:42,440 --> 00:42:45,520 Speaker 1: they pay a lot through inflation. Uh, and they pay 748 00:42:45,560 --> 00:42:50,080 Speaker 1: a lot just for their property. Right. Yeah. Yeah, Well, 749 00:42:50,120 --> 00:42:52,800 Speaker 1: some good stuff we went through. UM. I want to 750 00:42:52,840 --> 00:42:55,960 Speaker 1: wrap it up with one last point here, one question. 751 00:42:56,000 --> 00:42:58,120 Speaker 1: And so you said that, Um, you think the tipping 752 00:42:58,120 --> 00:43:01,880 Speaker 1: point will be in the next ten years. Um, I 753 00:43:01,880 --> 00:43:04,000 Speaker 1: guess based off of your thesis and what you're seeing. 754 00:43:04,080 --> 00:43:06,359 Speaker 1: You think the tipping point when this really all kicks 755 00:43:06,360 --> 00:43:11,359 Speaker 1: in isn't ten ears. Yeah, and I think that that 756 00:43:11,520 --> 00:43:18,840 Speaker 1: revolves mostly around, uh, the idea of distance technology and 757 00:43:20,719 --> 00:43:26,480 Speaker 1: centership resists in digital money. Um, it's pretty wild right now. 758 00:43:26,920 --> 00:43:30,080 Speaker 1: But I mean you you read the Sovereign Individual, it 759 00:43:30,160 --> 00:43:33,120 Speaker 1: sounds like it was written last week, to be honest, 760 00:43:33,200 --> 00:43:36,800 Speaker 1: right there are It talks a lot about the rising 761 00:43:37,560 --> 00:43:46,759 Speaker 1: nationalism and like these neo Luddites and um, higher higher inflation. Uh, 762 00:43:46,920 --> 00:43:51,200 Speaker 1: these trends of taxation. And it's it's pretty wild too 763 00:43:52,480 --> 00:43:55,680 Speaker 1: to read, to read the Sovereign Individual today because it 764 00:43:55,840 --> 00:44:01,920 Speaker 1: it honestly was just so oppression. UM. So I you know, 765 00:44:02,000 --> 00:44:04,040 Speaker 1: the ten years is kind of a guest. You know, 766 00:44:04,640 --> 00:44:09,560 Speaker 1: it's it's hard to time these things, right, but yeah, 767 00:44:09,719 --> 00:44:12,319 Speaker 1: just based on how things are, how quickly things seem 768 00:44:12,360 --> 00:44:16,280 Speaker 1: to be moving, um in the press in the press today, Yeah, 769 00:44:16,400 --> 00:44:18,280 Speaker 1: it seems like just in the last six months, seeing 770 00:44:18,280 --> 00:44:21,120 Speaker 1: the increase in rise or in the last year, the 771 00:44:21,200 --> 00:44:25,879 Speaker 1: increase and rise in UH in in demonstrations and protests 772 00:44:25,920 --> 00:44:28,719 Speaker 1: and and and the need for this distant tech as 773 00:44:28,719 --> 00:44:32,279 Speaker 1: you're talking about seeing the mesh networks and facial recognition 774 00:44:32,360 --> 00:44:35,600 Speaker 1: stuff being pushed just in the last couple of months, 775 00:44:35,600 --> 00:44:38,840 Speaker 1: and in Iran and Hong Kong it's almost like the 776 00:44:38,880 --> 00:44:42,400 Speaker 1: governments are wanting to usher this and even faster. So, um, 777 00:44:42,520 --> 00:44:45,399 Speaker 1: I agree with you. Timing it's almost impossible. Um, but 778 00:44:45,480 --> 00:44:47,600 Speaker 1: at the rate we're going, maybe ten years might be 779 00:44:47,640 --> 00:44:50,680 Speaker 1: a long shot or a long time we'll see. Yeah, 780 00:44:50,719 --> 00:44:54,319 Speaker 1: definitely possible. I don't know. Cool, well, good stuff, phil If. 781 00:44:54,320 --> 00:44:56,359 Speaker 1: I appreciate you taking the time to go through that. Um, 782 00:44:56,400 --> 00:44:58,160 Speaker 1: Like I said, there was a great book. Anyone that's listening, 783 00:44:58,440 --> 00:44:59,759 Speaker 1: you should just go read the book on your own. 784 00:44:59,800 --> 00:45:01,200 Speaker 1: There's a a lot of good stuff. We can't sum 785 00:45:01,200 --> 00:45:05,040 Speaker 1: it up in forty five minutes here. So Philip, I 786 00:45:05,080 --> 00:45:08,320 Speaker 1: know you're I guess where's you're on? Twitter? Obviously you 787 00:45:08,400 --> 00:45:10,239 Speaker 1: posted this on there. Is that the best place for 788 00:45:10,239 --> 00:45:14,920 Speaker 1: people to keep up keep up with you or anything? Um? Yeah, 789 00:45:14,960 --> 00:45:17,080 Speaker 1: I have a substack that you can find on Twitter. 790 00:45:17,400 --> 00:45:20,040 Speaker 1: I'd say Twitter is the easiest place to start. Phil 791 00:45:20,120 --> 00:45:23,840 Speaker 1: J Banello, UM, yeah, cool, and we'll link to that 792 00:45:23,880 --> 00:45:26,440 Speaker 1: in the show notes for everybody. So Philip, anyway, thanks 793 00:45:26,480 --> 00:45:30,959 Speaker 1: for thanks for joining today. Thanks a lot market It's fun. Hey, 794 00:45:31,040 --> 00:45:33,960 Speaker 1: if you like this episode of the Market Disruptors Podcast, 795 00:45:34,120 --> 00:45:36,560 Speaker 1: please help us take this to the top of the 796 00:45:36,560 --> 00:45:39,479 Speaker 1: podcast charts. Just please do me a favor and rate, 797 00:45:39,520 --> 00:45:42,880 Speaker 1: review and subscribe. Taking fifteen seconds to just leave a 798 00:45:42,920 --> 00:45:45,439 Speaker 1: quick review goes a long way in helping us reach 799 00:45:45,480 --> 00:45:49,040 Speaker 1: more people and disrupt more markets. I really appreciate you listening, 800 00:45:49,239 --> 00:45:51,840 Speaker 1: and I'll see you next time on the Market Instructors podcast.