1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:10,080 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. You're listening to the 2 00:00:10,119 --> 00:00:13,840 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast. Catch us live weekdays at 3 00:00:13,880 --> 00:00:17,119 Speaker 1: noon and five pm Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android 4 00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:20,520 Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever 5 00:00:20,560 --> 00:00:24,079 Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube. 6 00:00:25,400 --> 00:00:27,720 Speaker 2: It was an interesting weekend. Yeah, do you know stand 7 00:00:27,800 --> 00:00:29,360 Speaker 2: clear of the closing doors? 8 00:00:29,400 --> 00:00:30,960 Speaker 3: Please? Do you know that line? That's right? 9 00:00:31,160 --> 00:00:31,520 Speaker 4: I do. 10 00:00:31,640 --> 00:00:33,680 Speaker 5: I do know that there were a couple policy things 11 00:00:33,680 --> 00:00:34,599 Speaker 5: that have happened over the last week. 12 00:00:34,640 --> 00:00:35,760 Speaker 4: I'd like to stand clear of it. 13 00:00:36,360 --> 00:00:37,120 Speaker 3: Fine. 14 00:00:37,520 --> 00:00:40,280 Speaker 5: You know, we're following Venezuela and we've got another tanker, 15 00:00:40,320 --> 00:00:41,840 Speaker 5: maybe on the run, maybe it's empty. 16 00:00:41,840 --> 00:00:43,520 Speaker 4: We're not quite sure what the rules are there. 17 00:00:44,440 --> 00:00:47,360 Speaker 5: And Rubio was asked about this at his press conference 18 00:00:47,360 --> 00:00:47,839 Speaker 5: on Friday. 19 00:00:47,880 --> 00:00:50,000 Speaker 4: We were just talking about, right, where does this policy go? 20 00:00:50,080 --> 00:00:52,360 Speaker 5: What I'm trying to figure out is what the administration 21 00:00:52,440 --> 00:00:53,720 Speaker 5: really wants from Venezuela. 22 00:00:53,800 --> 00:00:55,560 Speaker 3: Well, it goes to a third tanker. 23 00:00:55,560 --> 00:00:58,240 Speaker 2: Apparently we got we nailed the second tanker over the weekend, 24 00:00:58,280 --> 00:01:00,800 Speaker 2: and then found a third that we're now chasing out 25 00:01:00,800 --> 00:01:03,000 Speaker 2: of the Caribbean. They turned tail and ran and I 26 00:01:03,000 --> 00:01:06,720 Speaker 2: guess we've got eyes on this empty tanker right now 27 00:01:06,760 --> 00:01:09,200 Speaker 2: that may or may not be pursuing property of the 28 00:01:09,280 --> 00:01:11,240 Speaker 2: new US Shadow Fleet. 29 00:01:11,640 --> 00:01:13,360 Speaker 3: Nick Watams is with us to talk about this. 30 00:01:13,520 --> 00:01:15,880 Speaker 2: Listen to what the Secretary of State said, as Christina 31 00:01:15,920 --> 00:01:17,119 Speaker 2: is referring here's Marco Rubio. 32 00:01:17,880 --> 00:01:19,199 Speaker 6: It is clear that. 33 00:01:19,120 --> 00:01:22,080 Speaker 7: The current status quote with the Venezuelan regime is intolerable 34 00:01:22,080 --> 00:01:24,720 Speaker 7: for the United States. The status quote that they operate 35 00:01:24,800 --> 00:01:28,680 Speaker 7: and cooperate with terrorist organizations against the national. 36 00:01:28,440 --> 00:01:29,520 Speaker 6: Interests of the United States. 37 00:01:29,880 --> 00:01:33,920 Speaker 7: Not just cooperate, but partner with and participate in activities 38 00:01:33,920 --> 00:01:35,039 Speaker 7: to threat in the national interest in. 39 00:01:35,000 --> 00:01:35,760 Speaker 6: The United States. 40 00:01:35,920 --> 00:01:39,440 Speaker 7: So yes, our goal is to change that dynamic, and 41 00:01:39,440 --> 00:01:41,200 Speaker 7: that's why the President's doing what he's doing. 42 00:01:43,640 --> 00:01:46,280 Speaker 5: With us as Nick Watams, Nick, your official title is 43 00:01:46,280 --> 00:01:49,120 Speaker 5: Bloomberg US National Security Team Lead, but you and I 44 00:01:49,120 --> 00:01:51,320 Speaker 5: have worked together forever, and when we used to work 45 00:01:51,360 --> 00:01:53,280 Speaker 5: for different nowarks in the State Department, I just referred 46 00:01:53,280 --> 00:01:55,960 Speaker 5: to you as guys whose office I would run into 47 00:01:56,000 --> 00:01:57,400 Speaker 5: when I didn't know what was going. 48 00:01:57,240 --> 00:02:00,520 Speaker 3: On and had questions to ask. So still, yeah, so 49 00:02:00,520 --> 00:02:01,160 Speaker 3: I got some more. 50 00:02:01,120 --> 00:02:04,240 Speaker 4: Questions, Nick, what's going on here? 51 00:02:04,280 --> 00:02:08,320 Speaker 5: Because for a long time, anything that hinted of regime 52 00:02:08,440 --> 00:02:12,800 Speaker 5: change or was regime change adjacent? Was verbiage that people 53 00:02:12,800 --> 00:02:16,280 Speaker 5: at the state's department diplomats the Americans really didn't want 54 00:02:16,320 --> 00:02:18,320 Speaker 5: to say, where's. 55 00:02:17,960 --> 00:02:18,720 Speaker 4: That ball moved? 56 00:02:18,919 --> 00:02:21,880 Speaker 8: Well, I mean your question at the very beginning of 57 00:02:21,919 --> 00:02:24,320 Speaker 8: this what's going on in Venezuela is still something we're 58 00:02:24,360 --> 00:02:26,560 Speaker 8: all actually trying to figure out. I mean, the administration 59 00:02:26,680 --> 00:02:29,080 Speaker 8: has moved very clearly. You had Christy know Him today 60 00:02:29,160 --> 00:02:32,280 Speaker 8: saying on Fox Maduro has got to go. So they 61 00:02:32,280 --> 00:02:34,560 Speaker 8: have been very explicit that they see Maduro as an 62 00:02:34,600 --> 00:02:38,440 Speaker 8: obstacle to Venezuela's future. Rubio and his press conference was 63 00:02:38,560 --> 00:02:41,679 Speaker 8: very evasive on this issue, saying, you know, the situation 64 00:02:41,800 --> 00:02:45,160 Speaker 8: is intolerable, but not openly advocating for regime change. Christy 65 00:02:45,200 --> 00:02:47,919 Speaker 8: Knowam takes it a step forward today, But we still 66 00:02:48,000 --> 00:02:50,440 Speaker 8: don't really know the full strategy. So they're putting this 67 00:02:50,520 --> 00:02:54,040 Speaker 8: pressure on these tankers, they're launching strikes on alleged narco 68 00:02:54,080 --> 00:02:57,000 Speaker 8: traffickers coming from in the Caribbean and the Eastern Pacific. 69 00:02:57,360 --> 00:03:00,560 Speaker 8: But what is that strategy moving toward is an anti 70 00:03:00,639 --> 00:03:04,480 Speaker 8: drug effort, is a desire to boost Maduro from power? 71 00:03:04,800 --> 00:03:07,079 Speaker 8: The administration has not said how it wants to get 72 00:03:07,080 --> 00:03:08,960 Speaker 8: from point A to point B. What we do know 73 00:03:09,040 --> 00:03:11,640 Speaker 8: though now is going back to one of the terms 74 00:03:11,639 --> 00:03:13,480 Speaker 8: that was famous from the time we worked together at 75 00:03:13,480 --> 00:03:16,280 Speaker 8: the State Department, maximum pressure, and that really. 76 00:03:16,040 --> 00:03:18,640 Speaker 2: Seems to be what it's about. We're showing some images 77 00:03:18,720 --> 00:03:21,200 Speaker 2: right now of just that. There's a wealth of videotape 78 00:03:21,200 --> 00:03:24,280 Speaker 2: that's coming out of the Caribbean of US boarding tankers 79 00:03:25,040 --> 00:03:28,800 Speaker 2: blowing up alleged drug boats. Nick, let's focus on the 80 00:03:28,840 --> 00:03:31,720 Speaker 2: tankers for a minute, because this third one kind of 81 00:03:31,760 --> 00:03:33,760 Speaker 2: runs against the grain of the narrative last week and 82 00:03:33,760 --> 00:03:37,680 Speaker 2: that we were pursuing sanctioned tankers. This one may be 83 00:03:37,840 --> 00:03:39,760 Speaker 2: under a false flag, but is not on the list 84 00:03:39,800 --> 00:03:41,160 Speaker 2: of sanctioned tankers. 85 00:03:41,200 --> 00:03:43,400 Speaker 3: Can we legally take this thing? Well? 86 00:03:43,440 --> 00:03:45,720 Speaker 8: I mean, this is the question we are all trying 87 00:03:45,760 --> 00:03:48,560 Speaker 8: to figure out because this administration has been so aggressive 88 00:03:48,600 --> 00:03:50,960 Speaker 8: and pushing the bounds of what is legal and what's 89 00:03:51,000 --> 00:03:53,120 Speaker 8: not and what we would consider to have been totally 90 00:03:53,200 --> 00:03:56,160 Speaker 8: unacceptable in a previous administration. What they're saying on this 91 00:03:56,200 --> 00:03:58,600 Speaker 8: one is maybe it's not about the tanker, but it's 92 00:03:58,600 --> 00:04:05,080 Speaker 8: about the oil. So we have so many sanctions on Venezuela. 93 00:04:03,240 --> 00:04:04,080 Speaker 3: We can't get you. 94 00:04:04,080 --> 00:04:06,680 Speaker 8: On the tanker the name of the tanker at being 95 00:04:06,720 --> 00:04:10,040 Speaker 8: on some Treasury Department list, but we know it's cargo 96 00:04:10,240 --> 00:04:13,400 Speaker 8: is essentially something that Venezuela should not be allowed. 97 00:04:13,120 --> 00:04:13,520 Speaker 3: To trade in. 98 00:04:13,640 --> 00:04:15,440 Speaker 8: So we're going to go after it on those grounds. 99 00:04:16,279 --> 00:04:19,440 Speaker 8: So many questions here about the legal boundaries and whether 100 00:04:19,600 --> 00:04:21,480 Speaker 8: a reason like that would hold up in a quart 101 00:04:21,520 --> 00:04:23,880 Speaker 8: of law. But what you see from this administration is 102 00:04:24,160 --> 00:04:27,080 Speaker 8: they don't care. They're doing it, and you know, a 103 00:04:27,120 --> 00:04:29,080 Speaker 8: real big question on where things go from there. 104 00:04:29,320 --> 00:04:32,640 Speaker 5: The other question I had is there are still legal 105 00:04:32,880 --> 00:04:34,880 Speaker 5: oil tankers coming out of Venezuela. I mean I was 106 00:04:34,920 --> 00:04:36,720 Speaker 5: reading up today a fifth of Venezuela and oil is 107 00:04:36,760 --> 00:04:40,479 Speaker 5: still processed in the United States. Chevron is still operating 108 00:04:40,520 --> 00:04:42,800 Speaker 5: there in partnership with Pitaves and a lot of places. 109 00:04:43,360 --> 00:04:44,800 Speaker 4: Is there a risk to. 110 00:04:44,760 --> 00:04:46,760 Speaker 5: Those tankers if you were that company, would you want 111 00:04:46,760 --> 00:04:47,560 Speaker 5: to put that oil on the. 112 00:04:47,520 --> 00:04:48,240 Speaker 4: Water right now? 113 00:04:48,360 --> 00:04:52,239 Speaker 8: Well, you have seen a lot of shippers just turning 114 00:04:52,279 --> 00:04:55,040 Speaker 8: their tankers around because they don't want to face those risks. 115 00:04:55,080 --> 00:04:57,839 Speaker 8: I mean, it is a sort of fascinating dynamic about 116 00:04:57,839 --> 00:05:00,560 Speaker 8: this that, yes, Chevron does have a general license that 117 00:05:00,640 --> 00:05:03,640 Speaker 8: basically gives it not carte blanche, but they are allowed 118 00:05:03,640 --> 00:05:06,960 Speaker 8: to do business because they have had over the years 119 00:05:07,440 --> 00:05:09,920 Speaker 8: a lot of operations in Venezuela. And as you say, 120 00:05:10,040 --> 00:05:14,720 Speaker 8: Venezuela and oil is really sour, it's really sludgy. It 121 00:05:14,800 --> 00:05:16,800 Speaker 8: needs to be it's hard to process, it needs to 122 00:05:16,839 --> 00:05:19,440 Speaker 8: be refined. And the place where that has traditionally happened 123 00:05:19,560 --> 00:05:21,800 Speaker 8: is in the US. So they have kept that channel 124 00:05:21,839 --> 00:05:25,360 Speaker 8: open through a series of licenses. So it's expected that 125 00:05:25,480 --> 00:05:28,320 Speaker 8: those tankers would be allowed to pass through this quarantine. 126 00:05:28,360 --> 00:05:30,479 Speaker 8: They're calling it a quarantine, not a blockade, because a 127 00:05:30,520 --> 00:05:34,400 Speaker 8: blockade is an active war. But what we are seeing 128 00:05:34,600 --> 00:05:36,400 Speaker 8: is that a lot of those other tankers are just 129 00:05:36,480 --> 00:05:37,920 Speaker 8: turning around or not willing. 130 00:05:37,640 --> 00:05:38,080 Speaker 9: To risk it. 131 00:05:38,120 --> 00:05:41,800 Speaker 2: I guess we take all these tankers to Greenland once 132 00:05:41,839 --> 00:05:45,240 Speaker 2: we get them all together. Because he's not letting go 133 00:05:45,279 --> 00:05:48,320 Speaker 2: of the bit on Greenland. No, Nick, the President said 134 00:05:48,400 --> 00:05:52,440 Speaker 2: last evening, he's naming Jeff Landry, the governor of Louisiana, 135 00:05:53,000 --> 00:05:57,200 Speaker 2: who's not from Greenland, to be his special envoy in 136 00:05:57,240 --> 00:06:01,240 Speaker 2: this case because Landry quote understands how essential Greenland is 137 00:06:01,240 --> 00:06:05,320 Speaker 2: to our national security. Presumably Governor Landry read this on truth, 138 00:06:05,400 --> 00:06:08,240 Speaker 2: social and then issued his own statement saying, this in 139 00:06:08,279 --> 00:06:11,640 Speaker 2: no way affects my position as governor of Louisiana. 140 00:06:11,880 --> 00:06:13,840 Speaker 3: Right, are we playing around here? 141 00:06:14,000 --> 00:06:16,520 Speaker 2: Is this just something to distract us from another thing? 142 00:06:16,640 --> 00:06:18,720 Speaker 2: Or are we actually going to annex Greenland as. 143 00:06:18,600 --> 00:06:22,720 Speaker 8: Something you know, I don't really believe very often in 144 00:06:22,760 --> 00:06:25,880 Speaker 8: the distract us from another thing narrative on a lot 145 00:06:25,920 --> 00:06:28,720 Speaker 8: of these. I think what you're seeing though, is an administration. 146 00:06:28,839 --> 00:06:31,320 Speaker 8: You know, when Trump came back into office, there was 147 00:06:31,360 --> 00:06:33,359 Speaker 8: a lot of talk about Greenland. It was really in 148 00:06:33,400 --> 00:06:37,159 Speaker 8: the news attention with Denmark jd Vance went there Junior. 149 00:06:37,360 --> 00:06:39,719 Speaker 8: Then it kind of faded away and we all thought 150 00:06:39,760 --> 00:06:42,159 Speaker 8: and a lot of Republicans who were very uneasy with 151 00:06:42,400 --> 00:06:46,240 Speaker 8: the President's desire to annex Greenland and Panama Canal were 152 00:06:46,279 --> 00:06:47,560 Speaker 8: I think, sort of relieved that. 153 00:06:47,560 --> 00:06:48,920 Speaker 3: This had faded from the headlines. 154 00:06:49,160 --> 00:06:51,560 Speaker 8: But what we're seeing here really is an indication that 155 00:06:51,720 --> 00:06:55,720 Speaker 8: President Trump has not forgotten about Greenland. He wants Greenland, 156 00:06:56,120 --> 00:06:58,200 Speaker 8: and he is going to keep pressuring this issue. So 157 00:06:58,320 --> 00:07:01,320 Speaker 8: where this decision came from it particular moment, we haven't 158 00:07:01,360 --> 00:07:03,320 Speaker 8: figured it out yet, But what you can be sure 159 00:07:03,360 --> 00:07:07,320 Speaker 8: of is that despite the unease, the feeling of queasiness 160 00:07:07,360 --> 00:07:10,600 Speaker 8: among Republicans about this. The President has not forgotten is 161 00:07:10,640 --> 00:07:11,840 Speaker 8: going to keep pushing this issue. 162 00:07:11,920 --> 00:07:14,200 Speaker 5: So I was actually in Greenland not too long ago, 163 00:07:14,440 --> 00:07:18,840 Speaker 5: and they have this There is a new for breaking news. 164 00:07:18,840 --> 00:07:20,800 Speaker 5: There's a new direct flight from Newark. You can fly 165 00:07:20,840 --> 00:07:22,240 Speaker 5: four hours to Greenland. 166 00:07:22,280 --> 00:07:22,800 Speaker 4: It's amazing. 167 00:07:22,800 --> 00:07:25,320 Speaker 5: So they're getting the first batch of American tourists. And 168 00:07:25,360 --> 00:07:26,800 Speaker 5: they told me, first of all, the first couple of 169 00:07:26,840 --> 00:07:28,840 Speaker 5: planes did have a lot of maga folks who came 170 00:07:28,880 --> 00:07:30,760 Speaker 5: off the plane with red hats, and we're walking around 171 00:07:30,760 --> 00:07:33,280 Speaker 5: looking like they were picking out places to live. So 172 00:07:33,360 --> 00:07:36,600 Speaker 5: now when you walk downtown in Greenland, they have shirts 173 00:07:36,600 --> 00:07:38,840 Speaker 5: that essentially say Greenland for Greenlanders. 174 00:07:38,320 --> 00:07:39,440 Speaker 4: And a lot of like anti Trump. 175 00:07:39,440 --> 00:07:39,920 Speaker 3: Totally sure. 176 00:07:40,160 --> 00:07:42,200 Speaker 5: Yeah, But the irony is they said they would have 177 00:07:42,400 --> 00:07:45,320 Speaker 5: liked the economic interest from the US, just maybe not 178 00:07:45,760 --> 00:07:46,880 Speaker 5: at this level of right. 179 00:07:47,240 --> 00:07:49,040 Speaker 8: I think the level of intensity has made a lot 180 00:07:49,040 --> 00:07:50,120 Speaker 8: of people very uncomfortable. 181 00:07:50,160 --> 00:07:53,480 Speaker 2: The EU weighed in on this, by the way, saying 182 00:07:53,520 --> 00:07:57,840 Speaker 2: that it stands in full solidarity with Denmark and Greenland. 183 00:07:58,040 --> 00:08:00,120 Speaker 3: So add this to the list of conversation. 184 00:08:00,280 --> 00:08:03,600 Speaker 8: Right, and what Landry will do as the envoy is 185 00:08:03,760 --> 00:08:07,200 Speaker 8: very much unclear. We've seen the President propose a lot 186 00:08:07,200 --> 00:08:09,360 Speaker 8: of these envoys in the past, and then their job 187 00:08:09,440 --> 00:08:12,120 Speaker 8: description is very unclear, so a lot of questions. 188 00:08:12,160 --> 00:08:14,120 Speaker 2: The governor will never buy a drink in Greenland, I 189 00:08:14,560 --> 00:08:17,840 Speaker 2: can assume right now if he's confirmed. I don't think 190 00:08:17,880 --> 00:08:20,680 Speaker 2: that's a confirmable position. Nick, Thank you so much. Great 191 00:08:20,720 --> 00:08:23,800 Speaker 2: to see Nick Wadams and start things off here in 192 00:08:24,000 --> 00:08:28,880 Speaker 2: the national security space. Stay with us on Balance of Power. 193 00:08:28,920 --> 00:08:30,680 Speaker 2: We'll have much more coming up after this. 194 00:08:33,960 --> 00:08:37,440 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast. Catch 195 00:08:37,520 --> 00:08:40,560 Speaker 1: us live weekdays at noon and five pm Eastern on 196 00:08:40,679 --> 00:08:43,920 Speaker 1: Apple Cocklay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. 197 00:08:43,960 --> 00:08:47,000 Speaker 1: You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our 198 00:08:47,000 --> 00:08:51,560 Speaker 1: flagship New York station, Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 199 00:08:53,280 --> 00:08:57,559 Speaker 2: Predicting the direction of crypto has left many people broke. 200 00:08:58,000 --> 00:09:00,920 Speaker 2: Nathan Dean, of course, talks crypto with US way of regulation, 201 00:09:00,960 --> 00:09:04,200 Speaker 2: along with all the issues that are percolating here in Washington. 202 00:09:04,600 --> 00:09:06,880 Speaker 2: Christina Raffini, this is the man we talked to when 203 00:09:06,920 --> 00:09:08,679 Speaker 2: we want to know what the folks outside of the 204 00:09:08,760 --> 00:09:11,760 Speaker 2: studio are thinking, particularly terminal users, and right now, one 205 00:09:11,800 --> 00:09:14,600 Speaker 2: of the big question questions, is we'll be able to 206 00:09:14,640 --> 00:09:17,400 Speaker 2: fund the government when lawmakers come back, or are we 207 00:09:17,440 --> 00:09:20,840 Speaker 2: going to do this whole thing countdown to shut down 208 00:09:20,840 --> 00:09:22,040 Speaker 2: again to the end of January. 209 00:09:22,080 --> 00:09:24,200 Speaker 4: I mean that's not just a question for terminal users. 210 00:09:24,200 --> 00:09:26,720 Speaker 4: That's a terminal question for anyone in Washington. 211 00:09:26,800 --> 00:09:27,920 Speaker 3: See what you did? Oh, I got that. 212 00:09:28,320 --> 00:09:29,480 Speaker 4: You know, I got to keep up with you guys. 213 00:09:29,480 --> 00:09:31,280 Speaker 3: It's perpetual for sure. 214 00:09:31,360 --> 00:09:33,520 Speaker 2: And you know, Nathan, of course does this for a 215 00:09:33,520 --> 00:09:37,000 Speaker 2: living as our senior US policy analyst known to some 216 00:09:37,080 --> 00:09:38,040 Speaker 2: as America's Dad. 217 00:09:38,280 --> 00:09:39,840 Speaker 3: Did you win at flag football? 218 00:09:40,240 --> 00:09:42,960 Speaker 10: We lost in a two point last second two point conversion, 219 00:09:43,040 --> 00:09:45,480 Speaker 10: but everybody got two donuts afterwards, so they were I 220 00:09:45,480 --> 00:09:46,000 Speaker 10: was going to say. 221 00:09:46,400 --> 00:09:48,560 Speaker 4: Nathan, do you want him calling you America's dad? 222 00:09:48,920 --> 00:09:51,040 Speaker 3: On board? One hundred percent? Absolutely, I mean. 223 00:09:50,880 --> 00:09:52,560 Speaker 5: You were just talking to us about taking your kids 224 00:09:52,559 --> 00:09:55,120 Speaker 5: to Disney World. So it does vaguely accurate, but all right, 225 00:09:55,200 --> 00:09:56,199 Speaker 5: you know, I got to run with it. 226 00:09:56,280 --> 00:09:58,480 Speaker 2: This got to is that called like the Japan theory 227 00:09:58,559 --> 00:10:02,040 Speaker 2: or something. Nathan is uncovered a theory and has proven 228 00:10:02,120 --> 00:10:05,280 Speaker 2: it that it's actually cheaper to take your kids to 229 00:10:05,480 --> 00:10:08,560 Speaker 2: Disney Tokyo than it is to Disney Orlando. 230 00:10:08,720 --> 00:10:10,120 Speaker 10: Yeah, there was a meme and then we're going to 231 00:10:10,160 --> 00:10:11,880 Speaker 10: Disney in Florida. So I was like, you know, let's 232 00:10:11,880 --> 00:10:13,200 Speaker 10: compare contrast. 233 00:10:12,760 --> 00:10:15,760 Speaker 3: And I find that a boom There is a Bloomberg. 234 00:10:15,360 --> 00:10:17,920 Speaker 10: Piece to this, though the Japanese yen did play into 235 00:10:17,920 --> 00:10:18,480 Speaker 10: a part of that. 236 00:10:18,880 --> 00:10:19,720 Speaker 3: This is a currency. 237 00:10:19,880 --> 00:10:21,560 Speaker 10: I think they had the end actually been a little 238 00:10:21,600 --> 00:10:23,400 Speaker 10: bit stronger than it would have been closer to even 239 00:10:23,480 --> 00:10:26,200 Speaker 10: but you know, I had my monitor up and was 240 00:10:26,200 --> 00:10:26,679 Speaker 10: looking at that. 241 00:10:26,760 --> 00:10:28,440 Speaker 2: Now people are going to start calling you about this 242 00:10:28,520 --> 00:10:31,800 Speaker 2: to get the plan because now they know they've got 243 00:10:31,800 --> 00:10:34,640 Speaker 2: his number already. Everyone's going to come back after New 244 00:10:34,720 --> 00:10:36,840 Speaker 2: Year's and be reminded that we just went over a cliff, 245 00:10:37,720 --> 00:10:40,360 Speaker 2: a healthcare cliff, and there's no plan to fund the 246 00:10:40,400 --> 00:10:44,160 Speaker 2: government past the end of January. Although I read that 247 00:10:44,200 --> 00:10:46,640 Speaker 2: there was very quietly over the weekend an important moment 248 00:10:46,720 --> 00:10:51,200 Speaker 2: when the two approaches shares got together and carved out 249 00:10:51,280 --> 00:10:55,559 Speaker 2: top lines. Is there a chance that grown ups actually 250 00:10:55,800 --> 00:10:58,520 Speaker 2: engage when Congress comes back to DC. 251 00:10:58,720 --> 00:11:00,600 Speaker 10: Let's the over under on a shutdown, we think, so 252 00:11:00,640 --> 00:11:03,040 Speaker 10: we're at a thirty percent chance of a shutdown, and 253 00:11:03,080 --> 00:11:06,720 Speaker 10: we're pretty low on that because look, it's twenty twenty six. 254 00:11:06,760 --> 00:11:09,280 Speaker 10: It's an election year. Neither party wants a shutdown in 255 00:11:09,320 --> 00:11:12,600 Speaker 10: an election year. From the Republican perspective, they got largely 256 00:11:12,640 --> 00:11:15,719 Speaker 10: the blame amongst independence for this past shutdown, and. 257 00:11:15,679 --> 00:11:17,319 Speaker 6: So obviously they don't want to rock the boat there. 258 00:11:17,360 --> 00:11:20,000 Speaker 10: And from the Democratic perspective, they had big wins of Virginia, 259 00:11:20,040 --> 00:11:22,640 Speaker 10: New Jersey, Miami, New York City. They don't want to 260 00:11:22,679 --> 00:11:25,560 Speaker 10: rock the boat there, and so it's easiest thing to do. 261 00:11:25,640 --> 00:11:27,600 Speaker 10: As you both know from being in this city for 262 00:11:27,600 --> 00:11:29,920 Speaker 10: a long time, the best thing for Congress to do in. 263 00:11:29,840 --> 00:11:31,240 Speaker 6: The situation is to kick the can. 264 00:11:31,480 --> 00:11:33,160 Speaker 10: They'll kick the can again in the situation, and I 265 00:11:33,200 --> 00:11:34,720 Speaker 10: don't think there's a shutdown. 266 00:11:34,800 --> 00:11:37,080 Speaker 5: As we come up on the new year and many 267 00:11:37,120 --> 00:11:40,280 Speaker 5: of us will be sitting at home, possibly hungover. I 268 00:11:40,320 --> 00:11:43,480 Speaker 5: was talking to you earlier about the Epstein hangover for 269 00:11:43,520 --> 00:11:45,760 Speaker 5: the new year and what the. 270 00:11:45,600 --> 00:11:48,080 Speaker 4: Repercussions of all of that will be. 271 00:11:48,160 --> 00:11:50,040 Speaker 5: If it's going to resurface, if you think it's going 272 00:11:50,120 --> 00:11:52,240 Speaker 5: to stay with us, how do you think that's going 273 00:11:52,320 --> 00:11:54,560 Speaker 5: to impact Congress's ability to get things done? 274 00:11:54,679 --> 00:11:56,600 Speaker 10: Yeah, I mean what we've told our clients is that 275 00:11:56,720 --> 00:11:59,480 Speaker 10: you know, the Epstein case in particular, is really no 276 00:11:59,559 --> 00:12:01,839 Speaker 10: investing angle to it that we don't cover all that much. 277 00:12:01,920 --> 00:12:04,200 Speaker 10: But for every day they talk about Epstein in January, 278 00:12:04,520 --> 00:12:06,960 Speaker 10: is not a day that President Trump's talking about affordability. 279 00:12:07,040 --> 00:12:08,680 Speaker 10: If you go back to a speech from last week, 280 00:12:08,760 --> 00:12:11,000 Speaker 10: it was all about trying to reset the narrative for 281 00:12:11,080 --> 00:12:13,560 Speaker 10: next year's elections, to try and get this back out 282 00:12:13,559 --> 00:12:16,520 Speaker 10: of affordability. And you know, for everything that we're seeing 283 00:12:16,520 --> 00:12:19,520 Speaker 10: in terms of the Epstein, you know issue, it's going 284 00:12:19,520 --> 00:12:22,080 Speaker 10: to return back. But for January, really the big things 285 00:12:22,120 --> 00:12:24,280 Speaker 10: for us is the shutdown, which we are at a 286 00:12:24,280 --> 00:12:26,680 Speaker 10: thirty percent chance, and we also think the Supreme Court's 287 00:12:26,679 --> 00:12:29,600 Speaker 10: going to come back and deny President Trump's AEPA tariffs. 288 00:12:29,160 --> 00:12:30,920 Speaker 6: Whoa, which is something that we're just waiting for. 289 00:12:31,280 --> 00:12:33,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, well, so I guess we bury the lead because 290 00:12:33,360 --> 00:12:35,400 Speaker 2: no one's going to care about a shutdown or a 291 00:12:35,400 --> 00:12:39,320 Speaker 2: cr if that happens. I think the words that Kevin 292 00:12:39,360 --> 00:12:43,320 Speaker 2: Hassett used on CBS Face the Nation yesterday was we 293 00:12:43,360 --> 00:12:47,440 Speaker 2: will have a major administrative problem if they're ordered to 294 00:12:47,480 --> 00:12:50,760 Speaker 2: refund that money. You're saying it's going to happen. Is 295 00:12:50,760 --> 00:12:52,840 Speaker 2: the refund necessarily part of a settlement. 296 00:12:52,960 --> 00:12:55,040 Speaker 10: So we're at a sixty percent chance that the Supreme 297 00:12:55,040 --> 00:12:57,360 Speaker 10: Court's going to come back and say that these are unlawful, 298 00:12:57,400 --> 00:12:58,760 Speaker 10: so we'll fall off on the Trade Court, in the 299 00:12:58,800 --> 00:13:02,640 Speaker 10: Appeals court, a little bit more discussion amongst our even 300 00:13:02,720 --> 00:13:04,920 Speaker 10: and our internal team about whether or not the refunds 301 00:13:04,920 --> 00:13:07,079 Speaker 10: will be a portion of it. Now, Bloomberg News is 302 00:13:07,120 --> 00:13:09,640 Speaker 10: called this refund chaos, and I love that word because, 303 00:13:10,000 --> 00:13:11,880 Speaker 10: to the best of our knowledge, there's really no way 304 00:13:11,920 --> 00:13:13,640 Speaker 10: that a company can say and say, give me five 305 00:13:13,679 --> 00:13:14,480 Speaker 10: hundred million dollars. 306 00:13:14,480 --> 00:13:15,400 Speaker 3: I've got a receipts. 307 00:13:15,440 --> 00:13:18,080 Speaker 10: It's got to be piecemeal, you know, individual line items. 308 00:13:18,320 --> 00:13:20,280 Speaker 10: And also we can't figure out that there's a way 309 00:13:20,320 --> 00:13:22,160 Speaker 10: that there's actually an electronic wire here. 310 00:13:22,160 --> 00:13:23,560 Speaker 6: We're talking about paper checks. 311 00:13:23,920 --> 00:13:26,240 Speaker 10: So refund chaos is something that companies should just be 312 00:13:26,280 --> 00:13:27,559 Speaker 10: prepared for over the next. 313 00:13:27,360 --> 00:13:29,120 Speaker 6: Couple of quarters, account of years. 314 00:13:29,320 --> 00:13:31,400 Speaker 10: But the bigger question is is that will the Trump 315 00:13:31,440 --> 00:13:34,800 Speaker 10: administration say, look, okay, we can't do IEEP anymore. Let's 316 00:13:34,840 --> 00:13:36,880 Speaker 10: go back to section two thirty two or section three 317 00:13:36,920 --> 00:13:39,079 Speaker 10: oh one if you don't know what I'm talking about. Essentially, 318 00:13:39,120 --> 00:13:42,840 Speaker 10: investigations take time, takes three, four or five six months, 319 00:13:43,240 --> 00:13:44,880 Speaker 10: so it'll be easy for the White House to come 320 00:13:44,880 --> 00:13:46,680 Speaker 10: back and say, okay, we're going to now and launch 321 00:13:46,720 --> 00:13:47,480 Speaker 10: an investigation. 322 00:13:48,000 --> 00:13:49,719 Speaker 6: But the question is, and we're putting this in. 323 00:13:49,679 --> 00:13:53,000 Speaker 10: One of our black Swan categories, is that will the 324 00:13:53,040 --> 00:13:56,679 Speaker 10: Trump administration say, okay, we've launched this investigation, and now 325 00:13:56,679 --> 00:13:59,840 Speaker 10: we're going to reapply tariffs, say in June, July, August, 326 00:14:00,080 --> 00:14:03,880 Speaker 10: months right before the midterm cycle. Therefore prices will go 327 00:14:03,920 --> 00:14:04,520 Speaker 10: back up again. 328 00:14:04,760 --> 00:14:05,719 Speaker 6: We're not exactly sure. 329 00:14:06,280 --> 00:14:08,400 Speaker 5: That's a hard place for the administration to be because 330 00:14:08,400 --> 00:14:11,200 Speaker 5: on principle, if they lose, especially if they lose in 331 00:14:11,240 --> 00:14:14,000 Speaker 5: this court, which has been very generous to them, they've 332 00:14:14,000 --> 00:14:17,360 Speaker 5: got an optics problem. But they've also got an optics problem. 333 00:14:17,440 --> 00:14:20,800 Speaker 5: They're raising prices right before an elections that could be 334 00:14:20,840 --> 00:14:21,440 Speaker 5: tough for them. 335 00:14:21,520 --> 00:14:24,240 Speaker 10: And not to mention trade deals that are essentially deals 336 00:14:24,280 --> 00:14:26,160 Speaker 10: just on pieces of paper, they haven't been ratified or 337 00:14:26,200 --> 00:14:26,800 Speaker 10: anything like that. 338 00:14:26,880 --> 00:14:29,000 Speaker 6: So then you get a geopolitical question here. 339 00:14:29,080 --> 00:14:31,360 Speaker 10: So you know, the main message that we've been telling 340 00:14:31,360 --> 00:14:33,840 Speaker 10: to our clients about twenty twenty six is that forget Congress. 341 00:14:33,840 --> 00:14:37,120 Speaker 10: I hate saying that because I love Congress, but you know, 342 00:14:37,240 --> 00:14:39,760 Speaker 10: every day they're here in Washington next year. Their component 343 00:14:39,880 --> 00:14:41,720 Speaker 10: is campaigning against them back home. They don't want to 344 00:14:41,720 --> 00:14:44,640 Speaker 10: be here. So twenty twenty six is a story about deregulation. 345 00:14:44,680 --> 00:14:46,960 Speaker 10: Because the regulators live here, They've got to do something, 346 00:14:47,400 --> 00:14:50,120 Speaker 10: and it's about these tariffs. The question from the White 347 00:14:50,120 --> 00:14:52,560 Speaker 10: House sas is that are they going to reinstitute these 348 00:14:52,640 --> 00:14:54,920 Speaker 10: tariffs if the Supreme Court deems them unlawful like we 349 00:14:55,000 --> 00:14:57,440 Speaker 10: think so, or are they going to have a political 350 00:14:57,520 --> 00:15:00,960 Speaker 10: question of are we going to institute our sorry policy 351 00:15:01,000 --> 00:15:03,840 Speaker 10: that's unpopular with the American populace just months before. 352 00:15:03,640 --> 00:15:05,680 Speaker 2: The elections, you talk around the kids like that black 353 00:15:05,720 --> 00:15:09,160 Speaker 2: Swan event. Second half of the year. Now Congress doesn't matter. 354 00:15:09,280 --> 00:15:13,480 Speaker 2: This is a whole different side of Nathan Dean that said, 355 00:15:13,840 --> 00:15:17,720 Speaker 2: could we have a full year cr so Congress really 356 00:15:17,720 --> 00:15:18,320 Speaker 2: doesn't matter? 357 00:15:18,560 --> 00:15:19,080 Speaker 6: I don't think so. 358 00:15:19,240 --> 00:15:21,880 Speaker 10: I think I think the appropriators look, they want to 359 00:15:21,880 --> 00:15:22,520 Speaker 10: get stuff done. 360 00:15:22,560 --> 00:15:24,000 Speaker 6: I mean, they want to be relevant here. 361 00:15:24,040 --> 00:15:26,200 Speaker 10: I mean, if there's one thing that we've seen over 362 00:15:26,280 --> 00:15:29,040 Speaker 10: since President Trump has taken office is that the White 363 00:15:29,040 --> 00:15:31,040 Speaker 10: House has really tried to claw back some of the 364 00:15:31,080 --> 00:15:34,560 Speaker 10: authority on appropriations to the detriment of Congress. And I 365 00:15:34,560 --> 00:15:36,600 Speaker 10: think both parties want to be able to say no, 366 00:15:37,080 --> 00:15:39,640 Speaker 10: we Congress, we are the appropriators. Let's get this back 367 00:15:39,680 --> 00:15:42,240 Speaker 10: into our ball side of the court. You know, I 368 00:15:42,360 --> 00:15:44,760 Speaker 10: wouldn't rule out a short term cr maybe did March, 369 00:15:44,960 --> 00:15:47,160 Speaker 10: but I think, you know, at the end of the day, 370 00:15:47,160 --> 00:15:48,960 Speaker 10: I think both parties want to get something done to 371 00:15:49,080 --> 00:15:51,080 Speaker 10: just least get us through the rest of the fiscal year. 372 00:15:51,080 --> 00:15:51,800 Speaker 4: And look at ahead. 373 00:15:52,520 --> 00:15:56,400 Speaker 5: We were mentioning deregulation and passing what are your deregulation 374 00:15:56,520 --> 00:15:58,440 Speaker 5: greatest hits you see coming up next year? 375 00:15:58,560 --> 00:16:00,960 Speaker 10: So obviously the banking industry I think is the biggest one. 376 00:16:01,400 --> 00:16:03,000 Speaker 10: You know, the banks have been writing a lot of 377 00:16:03,080 --> 00:16:05,160 Speaker 10: sentiment since the election on deregulation. 378 00:16:05,640 --> 00:16:06,720 Speaker 6: Now it's actually happening. 379 00:16:06,840 --> 00:16:09,480 Speaker 10: We had a proposal that was finalized right before Thanksgiving 380 00:16:09,480 --> 00:16:11,720 Speaker 10: that's going to return about thirteen billion dollars in capital 381 00:16:11,760 --> 00:16:14,120 Speaker 10: to the big banks. There's two more proposals that are 382 00:16:14,120 --> 00:16:16,040 Speaker 10: coming out the first half of next year, maybe probably 383 00:16:16,080 --> 00:16:18,560 Speaker 10: in the first quarter. We estimate back in the Napkin 384 00:16:18,640 --> 00:16:20,880 Speaker 10: math that you're going to be around sixty billion dollars 385 00:16:20,920 --> 00:16:23,400 Speaker 10: in return capital to the Bank Americas and the JP 386 00:16:23,480 --> 00:16:26,360 Speaker 10: Morgan's of the world. Cryptocurrency, even though there's this debate 387 00:16:26,400 --> 00:16:29,080 Speaker 10: in Congress about a crypto bill. The regulators are still 388 00:16:29,120 --> 00:16:31,840 Speaker 10: moving forward. The FDIIC just launched its new proposal on 389 00:16:31,880 --> 00:16:34,640 Speaker 10: stable coin implementation. There's probably another one on that and 390 00:16:34,640 --> 00:16:37,240 Speaker 10: will lead to a higher institutional usage. And just like 391 00:16:37,320 --> 00:16:39,600 Speaker 10: JP Morgan announced this morning that they're thinking about getting 392 00:16:39,600 --> 00:16:44,560 Speaker 10: into institutionalized crypto. The combination of regulation plus Congress next 393 00:16:44,640 --> 00:16:48,320 Speaker 10: year on crypto is essentially creating this regulatory framework that 394 00:16:48,480 --> 00:16:50,680 Speaker 10: just both banks and non banks are going to want 395 00:16:50,680 --> 00:16:51,080 Speaker 10: to play in. 396 00:16:52,200 --> 00:16:55,320 Speaker 2: You know, you start talking about the next steps here 397 00:16:55,360 --> 00:16:58,200 Speaker 2: in Congress. Jody Arrington was speaking very confidently on the 398 00:16:58,240 --> 00:17:02,760 Speaker 2: program last week about another reconcilly plan. If Congress is 399 00:17:02,840 --> 00:17:06,920 Speaker 2: going to be that ineffective next year, is that even possible? 400 00:17:06,960 --> 00:17:09,639 Speaker 2: He thought that, even flagged that as a potential to 401 00:17:09,720 --> 00:17:10,920 Speaker 2: solve the healthcare standoff. 402 00:17:11,000 --> 00:17:13,159 Speaker 10: Oh, I mean Senator Lindsay Graham over the weekend and 403 00:17:13,200 --> 00:17:14,720 Speaker 10: said we're going to go for it on healthcare. 404 00:17:15,160 --> 00:17:17,600 Speaker 6: But I go back to the question one game. If 405 00:17:17,640 --> 00:17:17,879 Speaker 6: it was. 406 00:17:17,920 --> 00:17:19,960 Speaker 10: Easy, they would have already done it, you know, in 407 00:17:20,040 --> 00:17:21,320 Speaker 10: reconciliation one point zero. 408 00:17:21,359 --> 00:17:22,359 Speaker 6: And I'm not saying they can't. 409 00:17:22,640 --> 00:17:24,800 Speaker 10: I'm just saying is that, you know, we have to 410 00:17:24,800 --> 00:17:27,160 Speaker 10: look at the scope of what this reconciliation bill would 411 00:17:27,160 --> 00:17:29,840 Speaker 10: look like. There's also been talk about potentially giving President 412 00:17:29,880 --> 00:17:33,120 Speaker 10: Trump AIPA authority through this reconciliation bill, through a two 413 00:17:33,119 --> 00:17:35,440 Speaker 10: thousand dollars check. You know, there's a lot of different 414 00:17:35,480 --> 00:17:38,000 Speaker 10: ideas that are flowing around right now. Back in early 415 00:17:38,000 --> 00:17:40,120 Speaker 10: twenty twenty five, they call this two big two beautiful. 416 00:17:40,320 --> 00:17:42,480 Speaker 10: I'm not sure if they're still sticking with that, but 417 00:17:42,840 --> 00:17:43,480 Speaker 10: I will say. 418 00:17:43,560 --> 00:17:45,280 Speaker 3: Congress could give him a EPA authority. 419 00:17:45,520 --> 00:17:47,080 Speaker 6: That's you know, that's one of the things works. 420 00:17:47,160 --> 00:17:49,320 Speaker 3: Well, it's the parliamentary I'm going to do with that. 421 00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:49,919 Speaker 6: Well, that's it. 422 00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:52,320 Speaker 10: You know, there's been discussions about if the Supreme Court 423 00:17:52,400 --> 00:17:55,919 Speaker 10: doesn't give you AEPA theority authority. Congress is largely delegated 424 00:17:56,320 --> 00:17:58,920 Speaker 10: TERIF authority to the president. They didn't claw that back, 425 00:17:58,960 --> 00:18:01,600 Speaker 10: and so Congress sort of say, look, we will give 426 00:18:01,640 --> 00:18:04,520 Speaker 10: this authority to you all, subject to the parliamentary emplots. 427 00:18:04,920 --> 00:18:07,000 Speaker 10: So you know, but what we're saying to our clients 428 00:18:07,080 --> 00:18:08,520 Speaker 10: is is that lots of headlines are going to be 429 00:18:08,520 --> 00:18:11,399 Speaker 10: floating around every lobbyist, every lawmaker is going to. 430 00:18:11,400 --> 00:18:12,639 Speaker 6: Say, hey, what if we can do this? 431 00:18:12,720 --> 00:18:14,920 Speaker 10: What if we can do that, But then ultimately they're 432 00:18:14,920 --> 00:18:16,639 Speaker 10: going to be hit with the idea that there's an 433 00:18:16,680 --> 00:18:19,240 Speaker 10: extremely thin margin in the House. If it was easy, 434 00:18:19,240 --> 00:18:21,359 Speaker 10: they would have already done it. So we're either saying 435 00:18:21,359 --> 00:18:25,440 Speaker 10: no reconciliation bill or very very small scoped reconciliation bill 436 00:18:25,680 --> 00:18:28,000 Speaker 10: with determined issues to be determined. 437 00:18:28,840 --> 00:18:32,200 Speaker 5: What are the major stumbling blocks still on healthcare? Because 438 00:18:32,200 --> 00:18:34,439 Speaker 5: you are starting to hear some of the same things 439 00:18:34,480 --> 00:18:35,440 Speaker 5: on the right and the left. 440 00:18:35,480 --> 00:18:37,280 Speaker 4: They just don't seem to be able to get it 441 00:18:37,359 --> 00:18:38,919 Speaker 4: together on so many levels. 442 00:18:39,280 --> 00:18:41,720 Speaker 5: But are any of them surmountable or to your point, 443 00:18:41,760 --> 00:18:43,240 Speaker 5: do you think this is just going to be an 444 00:18:43,320 --> 00:18:44,960 Speaker 5: enduring battle that we have all the way down to 445 00:18:44,960 --> 00:18:45,440 Speaker 5: the midterms. 446 00:18:45,480 --> 00:18:46,240 Speaker 6: So there's two issues. 447 00:18:46,280 --> 00:18:48,960 Speaker 10: And when you have the subsidies argument, now the subsids argument, 448 00:18:49,040 --> 00:18:52,240 Speaker 10: it's essentially people get subsidies right now, and then subsidies 449 00:18:52,240 --> 00:18:55,400 Speaker 10: are going to go away. Premiums you know, we've had anecdotally, 450 00:18:55,480 --> 00:18:57,360 Speaker 10: you know, one thousand dollars in premiums going up. 451 00:18:57,280 --> 00:18:57,919 Speaker 6: To four thousand. 452 00:18:58,280 --> 00:19:01,600 Speaker 10: That's not easy for some to come in and say, look, 453 00:19:01,720 --> 00:19:03,520 Speaker 10: we support that as a policy, which is why a 454 00:19:03,560 --> 00:19:06,080 Speaker 10: lot of these moderate Republicans have been trying to use 455 00:19:06,119 --> 00:19:07,440 Speaker 10: discharge petitions. 456 00:19:07,040 --> 00:19:07,680 Speaker 6: To get that through. 457 00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:10,280 Speaker 10: The second one is just the replacement on trying to 458 00:19:10,280 --> 00:19:13,080 Speaker 10: get Obamacare, or at least from the Republican angle, trying 459 00:19:13,119 --> 00:19:15,040 Speaker 10: to shift us a little bit more into the private sector. 460 00:19:15,359 --> 00:19:18,439 Speaker 10: But again, you're playing with something that people actually see 461 00:19:18,560 --> 00:19:21,920 Speaker 10: day in and day out, and so it's extremely difficult 462 00:19:21,960 --> 00:19:25,440 Speaker 10: to get that done, especially in an election year, especially 463 00:19:25,480 --> 00:19:27,760 Speaker 10: just months before the midterms, when a lot of the 464 00:19:27,760 --> 00:19:29,720 Speaker 10: politicians are going to say no, no, let's try and 465 00:19:29,800 --> 00:19:30,560 Speaker 10: kick the can on this. 466 00:19:30,680 --> 00:19:32,120 Speaker 6: We just want to not rock the vote. 467 00:19:32,119 --> 00:19:33,679 Speaker 3: You've got a podcast up today. 468 00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:35,800 Speaker 6: Not this week. We're till twenty twenty six. 469 00:19:35,680 --> 00:19:37,919 Speaker 2: Off till twenty twenty six, so don't be disappointed. But 470 00:19:37,920 --> 00:19:40,000 Speaker 2: you'll hear them on this podcast, which is why things 471 00:19:40,200 --> 00:19:43,159 Speaker 2: all come together on a Monday. Nathan Dean, many thanks 472 00:19:43,200 --> 00:19:44,600 Speaker 2: as always. If they get. 473 00:19:44,480 --> 00:19:46,200 Speaker 3: Donuts when they lose, what do they get when they win? 474 00:19:46,680 --> 00:19:48,399 Speaker 2: We're doing its really. I thought you were going to 475 00:19:48,440 --> 00:19:51,679 Speaker 2: say Ribb's something. It's Youricago boy. Thank you, Nathan as always. 476 00:19:51,720 --> 00:19:56,800 Speaker 2: Merry Christmas. This is Blueberg. Stay with us on Balance 477 00:19:56,840 --> 00:19:59,000 Speaker 2: of Power. We'll have much more coming up after this. 478 00:20:03,320 --> 00:20:06,800 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast. Catch 479 00:20:06,840 --> 00:20:09,840 Speaker 1: us live weekdays at noon and five pm Eastern on 480 00:20:10,000 --> 00:20:13,720 Speaker 1: Almalcarchlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen 481 00:20:13,760 --> 00:20:16,879 Speaker 1: on demand wherever you get your podcasts, or watch us 482 00:20:16,920 --> 00:20:19,400 Speaker 1: live on YouTube. 483 00:20:20,000 --> 00:20:21,840 Speaker 2: President, of course, has done a lot of talking about 484 00:20:21,880 --> 00:20:27,120 Speaker 2: AI when it comes specifically to regulations, the competition between 485 00:20:27,760 --> 00:20:31,760 Speaker 2: national or federal regulations and state REGs, as well the 486 00:20:31,880 --> 00:20:36,280 Speaker 2: need for clean, uninterruptible power. This is something that we 487 00:20:36,320 --> 00:20:38,920 Speaker 2: have heard about quite a bit from the President of 488 00:20:38,960 --> 00:20:40,840 Speaker 2: the United States, in this case back in August. 489 00:20:40,840 --> 00:20:45,639 Speaker 11: Listen because of the genius and creativity of Silicon Valley, 490 00:20:45,680 --> 00:20:50,719 Speaker 11: and it is incredible, incredible genius, without question, the most 491 00:20:50,760 --> 00:20:52,720 Speaker 11: brilliant place anywhere on Earth. 492 00:20:52,760 --> 00:20:55,160 Speaker 6: America is the country. 493 00:20:54,720 --> 00:20:58,679 Speaker 11: That started the AI race, and as President of the 494 00:20:58,760 --> 00:21:02,679 Speaker 11: United States, I'm here today to declare that America is 495 00:21:02,800 --> 00:21:04,040 Speaker 11: going to win it. 496 00:21:05,720 --> 00:21:06,399 Speaker 3: God knows. 497 00:21:07,000 --> 00:21:10,880 Speaker 2: The administration has put its chips on the AI story, 498 00:21:11,000 --> 00:21:14,480 Speaker 2: the AI spend, the AI race, and this bit of 499 00:21:14,560 --> 00:21:17,760 Speaker 2: news from Reuters about Nvidia finally putting up h two 500 00:21:17,840 --> 00:21:20,960 Speaker 2: hundreds to China certainly has investors in a good mood. 501 00:21:21,000 --> 00:21:24,280 Speaker 2: It's got shares of in Nvidia move and higher here 502 00:21:24,359 --> 00:21:26,560 Speaker 2: up little more than one percent, but the whole space 503 00:21:26,640 --> 00:21:29,680 Speaker 2: is moving higher along with all of the mag seven 504 00:21:29,720 --> 00:21:31,240 Speaker 2: well with the exception of Apple today. 505 00:21:31,240 --> 00:21:32,879 Speaker 3: But that's not so much an AI story. 506 00:21:33,200 --> 00:21:35,800 Speaker 2: This brings us to the broader conversation about the data 507 00:21:35,800 --> 00:21:38,080 Speaker 2: center build out. And if you just get on the 508 00:21:38,160 --> 00:21:42,159 Speaker 2: terminal or get online, go to whatever site is search 509 00:21:42,480 --> 00:21:46,159 Speaker 2: data center and tell me what kind of headlines you see. 510 00:21:46,720 --> 00:21:49,879 Speaker 2: They'll talk about nimbiism, they'll talk about the need for energy, 511 00:21:50,040 --> 00:21:54,320 Speaker 2: they'll talk about power and electricity rates going up, and 512 00:21:54,359 --> 00:21:56,800 Speaker 2: they'll talk about the regulations that we just mentioned. That's 513 00:21:56,840 --> 00:21:58,800 Speaker 2: why we wanted to spend some time with Joseph Micah, 514 00:21:58,960 --> 00:22:02,240 Speaker 2: director of the Energy Security and Climate Change Program at CSIS, 515 00:22:02,280 --> 00:22:05,240 Speaker 2: the Center for Strategic and International Studies, the home of 516 00:22:05,240 --> 00:22:07,680 Speaker 2: Gregory Allen, who's had some great conversations with us here 517 00:22:07,960 --> 00:22:09,720 Speaker 2: about AI, and I've been looking forward to this one 518 00:22:09,760 --> 00:22:10,200 Speaker 2: with Joseph. 519 00:22:10,200 --> 00:22:12,720 Speaker 3: It's great to see you. Welcome to Bloomberg TV and Radio. Hey, 520 00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:14,240 Speaker 3: thank you for having me a real so sure. 521 00:22:14,040 --> 00:22:16,520 Speaker 2: Everyone's got a different complaint. It seems at the moment 522 00:22:16,520 --> 00:22:20,120 Speaker 2: about data center, it went from a story of inspiration 523 00:22:20,320 --> 00:22:23,480 Speaker 2: over the summer by the time Jensen Wan got here 524 00:22:23,520 --> 00:22:27,760 Speaker 2: for the big GtC conference in Washington, we couldn't say 525 00:22:27,840 --> 00:22:31,480 Speaker 2: enough about how early the innings were that we were in. 526 00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:34,000 Speaker 2: Now there's a big worry about. Boy, we're bumping our 527 00:22:34,040 --> 00:22:38,840 Speaker 2: heads against the ceiling on energy capacity, on nimbiism, on 528 00:22:38,960 --> 00:22:42,119 Speaker 2: just available ground, and of course the fight over regulations. 529 00:22:42,640 --> 00:22:45,240 Speaker 3: We'll start more broad here, if you would. 530 00:22:45,280 --> 00:22:47,479 Speaker 2: When you see a story like this and AI stocks 531 00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:49,640 Speaker 2: are popping up again, where are we in this race? 532 00:22:49,920 --> 00:22:51,000 Speaker 12: You know, I think it's a little bit like a 533 00:22:51,040 --> 00:22:52,879 Speaker 12: tailor two cities. It's the best of times, it's the 534 00:22:52,920 --> 00:22:53,600 Speaker 12: worst of times. 535 00:22:53,600 --> 00:22:53,840 Speaker 3: Wow. 536 00:22:54,000 --> 00:22:57,080 Speaker 12: Looking back at twenty twenty five, it's been a remarkable 537 00:22:57,119 --> 00:22:58,480 Speaker 12: year of continued acceleration. 538 00:22:58,880 --> 00:22:59,040 Speaker 3: You know. 539 00:22:59,160 --> 00:23:02,360 Speaker 12: Industry reports released a couple of weeks ago showed that 540 00:23:02,560 --> 00:23:06,879 Speaker 12: hyperscalers signed contracts for new data centers as large in 541 00:23:06,960 --> 00:23:08,880 Speaker 12: Q three of this year as they did in twenty 542 00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:11,840 Speaker 12: twenty four altogether. And when we think about the buildout 543 00:23:11,840 --> 00:23:13,800 Speaker 12: that we expect to see over the next five years, 544 00:23:14,200 --> 00:23:17,320 Speaker 12: that's going to continue to happen. All of the challenges 545 00:23:17,359 --> 00:23:22,600 Speaker 12: that you raise, power, availability, water, use, a general sense 546 00:23:22,680 --> 00:23:25,720 Speaker 12: that society is not getting the benefits of the data 547 00:23:25,760 --> 00:23:28,720 Speaker 12: center build out, those are going to almost probably get 548 00:23:28,760 --> 00:23:31,480 Speaker 12: worse over that whole acceleration period rather than better. 549 00:23:31,520 --> 00:23:33,800 Speaker 2: That's really interesting because, yeah, you point, water use is 550 00:23:33,840 --> 00:23:35,640 Speaker 2: another one. A lot of people are just hearing about 551 00:23:35,680 --> 00:23:38,119 Speaker 2: these data centers. If you live in northern Virginia outside 552 00:23:38,160 --> 00:23:40,840 Speaker 2: of Washington, that's been your reality for a while. But 553 00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:42,679 Speaker 2: somebody comes to your neighborhood they want to put up 554 00:23:42,680 --> 00:23:44,040 Speaker 2: a data center and they say, well, you're going to 555 00:23:44,040 --> 00:23:45,320 Speaker 2: take my water away and you're going to make my 556 00:23:45,359 --> 00:23:49,440 Speaker 2: electricity rates go open. So it started a conversation about 557 00:23:49,480 --> 00:23:52,439 Speaker 2: what can these data centers and these projects do on 558 00:23:52,480 --> 00:23:54,639 Speaker 2: their own off grid, and will that be the answer 559 00:23:54,640 --> 00:23:55,240 Speaker 2: to all of them. 560 00:23:55,520 --> 00:23:56,800 Speaker 12: It won't be the answer for all of them, but 561 00:23:56,800 --> 00:23:58,840 Speaker 12: it will be a big part of the answer, particularly, 562 00:23:58,880 --> 00:23:59,680 Speaker 12: i think for the big ones. 563 00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:00,000 Speaker 3: Yeah. 564 00:24:00,080 --> 00:24:01,760 Speaker 12: So let's say you want to build a really large 565 00:24:01,840 --> 00:24:04,000 Speaker 12: data center, right, you have to spend a lot of 566 00:24:04,000 --> 00:24:06,440 Speaker 12: money on the chips, You have to spend a lot 567 00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:09,080 Speaker 12: of time and effort to get the right software and 568 00:24:09,160 --> 00:24:12,040 Speaker 12: data in place. And one of the things we're seeing 569 00:24:12,240 --> 00:24:15,240 Speaker 12: develop in the industry is so they look at these large, 570 00:24:15,280 --> 00:24:18,000 Speaker 12: sort of gigawatt scale facilities, is you need to probably 571 00:24:18,000 --> 00:24:22,199 Speaker 12: bring your own power, and then the real question to you, 572 00:24:22,440 --> 00:24:25,320 Speaker 12: for you as a developer is can you build the 573 00:24:25,400 --> 00:24:28,280 Speaker 12: right mix that's going to be reliable and how much 574 00:24:28,280 --> 00:24:33,240 Speaker 12: do you trust your on site generation for providing those 575 00:24:33,320 --> 00:24:37,080 Speaker 12: chips with power all the time twenty four seven because 576 00:24:37,119 --> 00:24:39,240 Speaker 12: you want to be running them. They're so expensive, you 577 00:24:39,280 --> 00:24:40,680 Speaker 12: want to be running them as much as you can. 578 00:24:41,080 --> 00:24:42,960 Speaker 12: And that's where we're seeing a lot of really interesting 579 00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:47,359 Speaker 12: policy development between regulators and developers so that developers can 580 00:24:47,359 --> 00:24:51,119 Speaker 12: bring their own power, build quickly, not burden everybody else, 581 00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:52,240 Speaker 12: but also rely. 582 00:24:52,119 --> 00:24:52,960 Speaker 6: On the grid when they need to. 583 00:24:53,119 --> 00:24:56,720 Speaker 2: Really interesting this talk of nuclear I think for many 584 00:24:56,720 --> 00:25:00,520 Speaker 2: people who have sent stocks like oaklow and constantly to 585 00:25:00,800 --> 00:25:03,760 Speaker 2: record highs this year, they're starting to come down on 586 00:25:03,760 --> 00:25:05,560 Speaker 2: a hold on, guys, this is maybe a five or 587 00:25:05,600 --> 00:25:07,320 Speaker 2: ten years out story. We're not building a lot of 588 00:25:07,359 --> 00:25:09,880 Speaker 2: new nuclear power plants. You specialize in energy, and I'm 589 00:25:09,880 --> 00:25:13,240 Speaker 2: just curious, specifically, how you look at this space now 590 00:25:13,280 --> 00:25:16,040 Speaker 2: and if we're really telling a natural gas story for 591 00:25:16,440 --> 00:25:17,399 Speaker 2: the next several years. 592 00:25:17,520 --> 00:25:20,040 Speaker 12: I think the story breaks down into two time frames, Joe. 593 00:25:20,280 --> 00:25:23,120 Speaker 12: Over the next few years, we have to use what's 594 00:25:23,200 --> 00:25:24,720 Speaker 12: right in front of us, and that's going to be 595 00:25:24,760 --> 00:25:28,560 Speaker 12: mix sure natural gas, solar power, increasingly batteries, a big 596 00:25:28,600 --> 00:25:31,199 Speaker 12: surprise over the past year, and a really strong outlook 597 00:25:31,200 --> 00:25:33,080 Speaker 12: for next year. And then of course you've read the 598 00:25:33,080 --> 00:25:37,000 Speaker 12: stories about the few nuclear reactors. They're sort of constructed, 599 00:25:37,080 --> 00:25:40,120 Speaker 12: recently retired, can be restarted, but you know, we don't 600 00:25:40,160 --> 00:25:42,080 Speaker 12: have a dozen of those land around. It's really two 601 00:25:42,200 --> 00:25:46,639 Speaker 12: or three projects post twenty thirty. That's really where I 602 00:25:46,640 --> 00:25:50,800 Speaker 12: think the sort of new nuclear technologies could come online, 603 00:25:51,000 --> 00:25:54,840 Speaker 12: where even older technologies, the large nuclear reactors that we 604 00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:57,919 Speaker 12: built much of the industrial capacity of the late twentieth 605 00:25:57,960 --> 00:26:00,960 Speaker 12: century upon, could be back on the grid, coming back 606 00:26:01,000 --> 00:26:01,600 Speaker 12: onto the grid. 607 00:26:02,119 --> 00:26:03,760 Speaker 6: And then of course there's questions. 608 00:26:03,520 --> 00:26:05,160 Speaker 12: Around you know, how much natural gas are when you're 609 00:26:05,160 --> 00:26:07,120 Speaker 12: building on the twenty thirties, what are the price pressures 610 00:26:07,160 --> 00:26:10,720 Speaker 12: there for the next five years. The story is almost 611 00:26:10,800 --> 00:26:12,920 Speaker 12: kind of written. It's just how quickly can we do it? 612 00:26:13,359 --> 00:26:15,960 Speaker 12: And after that then we get into sort of policy 613 00:26:16,080 --> 00:26:18,320 Speaker 12: and strategic thinking around energy sources. 614 00:26:18,400 --> 00:26:20,840 Speaker 2: I want to ask you about regulation, but with regard 615 00:26:20,880 --> 00:26:23,200 Speaker 2: to power. You see Michael Burry, the guy from the 616 00:26:23,520 --> 00:26:27,000 Speaker 2: Big Short who's been shorting in video and really questioning 617 00:26:27,040 --> 00:26:31,040 Speaker 2: this AI spend which he says, is a circular investing 618 00:26:32,240 --> 00:26:36,119 Speaker 2: destined to fail. He's specifically calling out in Vidia today 619 00:26:36,520 --> 00:26:40,920 Speaker 2: for what he refers to as power hungry microchips over alternatives, 620 00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:44,639 Speaker 2: questioning the longevity of say a Blackwell or a Ruben, 621 00:26:45,320 --> 00:26:49,200 Speaker 2: and it's give and take deals in compensation. The more 622 00:26:49,240 --> 00:26:52,240 Speaker 2: efficient these chips get, the less power they'll need in 623 00:26:52,280 --> 00:26:55,320 Speaker 2: a data center. Could we be in a situation where 624 00:26:55,320 --> 00:26:58,679 Speaker 2: we were overbuilding or overlaying fiber, for instance, a lot 625 00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:02,520 Speaker 2: of years ago, where we're designing these data centers for 626 00:27:02,600 --> 00:27:05,720 Speaker 2: this massive intake of power when at some. 627 00:27:05,720 --> 00:27:08,000 Speaker 3: Point they're going to be in a box. 628 00:27:08,320 --> 00:27:10,119 Speaker 12: I think there's two ways to look at that question, 629 00:27:10,400 --> 00:27:12,679 Speaker 12: whether you're looking at it from the firm level or 630 00:27:12,680 --> 00:27:15,560 Speaker 12: from the sort of societal level. You know, in our 631 00:27:15,600 --> 00:27:21,639 Speaker 12: modeling we incorporated significant efficiency gains in the accelerated chips necessary. 632 00:27:21,359 --> 00:27:22,520 Speaker 3: That's already part of your view. 633 00:27:22,640 --> 00:27:25,600 Speaker 12: We already see ninety gigawatts of data center demand in 634 00:27:25,640 --> 00:27:28,200 Speaker 12: the US by twenty thirty for AI alone, that leave 635 00:27:28,240 --> 00:27:32,280 Speaker 12: alone traditional web services. That's a medium to upper endestment 636 00:27:32,280 --> 00:27:34,720 Speaker 12: when you look across the range of consulting firms and 637 00:27:34,760 --> 00:27:37,960 Speaker 12: industry specialists. So efficiency doesn't get you out of the 638 00:27:38,000 --> 00:27:41,399 Speaker 12: need to build a lot of new data centers. Now, 639 00:27:41,480 --> 00:27:43,520 Speaker 12: it could be like, for a variety of reasons, we 640 00:27:43,560 --> 00:27:46,240 Speaker 12: don't end up needing all that capacity. Yeah, maybe it's 641 00:27:46,240 --> 00:27:47,320 Speaker 12: a bubble something like that. 642 00:27:49,200 --> 00:27:49,879 Speaker 3: If you built it. 643 00:27:50,640 --> 00:27:54,240 Speaker 12: So, say you built a lot of electricity generation capacity, 644 00:27:55,480 --> 00:27:57,439 Speaker 12: society can absorb that capacity. 645 00:27:57,480 --> 00:27:59,800 Speaker 6: Okay Ai Data centers are the big story right now. 646 00:28:00,040 --> 00:28:03,119 Speaker 12: There's a lot of market correction and adjustment happening because 647 00:28:03,160 --> 00:28:05,720 Speaker 12: this is just a tidal wave of new demand. But 648 00:28:05,760 --> 00:28:08,760 Speaker 12: if you look at the next twenty years, we expect 649 00:28:08,800 --> 00:28:11,639 Speaker 12: to see significant electricity demand growth in the United States 650 00:28:11,640 --> 00:28:14,520 Speaker 12: for a variety of reasons. You've got reshoring of manufacturing. 651 00:28:14,880 --> 00:28:18,960 Speaker 12: Chip fabs take five hundred megawatts to a gigawatt themselves. 652 00:28:19,400 --> 00:28:23,120 Speaker 12: You've got electrification of the light passenger duty fleet, you've 653 00:28:23,160 --> 00:28:25,960 Speaker 12: got electrification of homes and businesses, and you've just got 654 00:28:26,000 --> 00:28:29,159 Speaker 12: economic growth. You know, the story of the last fifteen 655 00:28:29,200 --> 00:28:32,000 Speaker 12: years in energy and electricity for the United States was 656 00:28:32,080 --> 00:28:36,000 Speaker 12: one of plenty of new supply and major efficiency gains, 657 00:28:36,000 --> 00:28:36,760 Speaker 12: mostly because. 658 00:28:36,520 --> 00:28:37,320 Speaker 3: Of led lighting. 659 00:28:37,920 --> 00:28:40,640 Speaker 12: Over the next twenty years, we need a lot of electricity. 660 00:28:40,640 --> 00:28:44,640 Speaker 12: It's fundamental for our economic security and growth, and so 661 00:28:45,320 --> 00:28:52,400 Speaker 12: I'm very sanguine about the risks overbuilding electricities over the 662 00:28:52,400 --> 00:28:53,800 Speaker 12: next couple decades. 663 00:28:53,880 --> 00:28:58,040 Speaker 2: The EO that President Trump signed recently on a federal 664 00:28:58,600 --> 00:29:04,040 Speaker 2: landscape for AI regulations versus each state having its own 665 00:29:04,080 --> 00:29:06,160 Speaker 2: and creating a patchwork here and he says, if you're 666 00:29:06,200 --> 00:29:08,680 Speaker 2: in VIDIA, you just can't do business easily enough. It 667 00:29:08,720 --> 00:29:10,600 Speaker 2: slows things down to the point that will lose the 668 00:29:10,640 --> 00:29:11,240 Speaker 2: AI race. 669 00:29:11,280 --> 00:29:11,720 Speaker 9: Is right. 670 00:29:12,360 --> 00:29:14,520 Speaker 12: I think that everybody when you talk to I, talk 671 00:29:14,560 --> 00:29:16,920 Speaker 12: to my colleagues at CSIS, talk to people here in town. 672 00:29:17,000 --> 00:29:20,200 Speaker 12: Everybody agrees that a federalized system would be better for 673 00:29:20,280 --> 00:29:24,240 Speaker 12: diffusion than a patchwork. What does that federalized system look like? 674 00:29:24,840 --> 00:29:27,360 Speaker 12: So politically still have to write that, don't Yeah, of course, 675 00:29:27,400 --> 00:29:30,160 Speaker 12: and there I think there are big debates about how 676 00:29:30,200 --> 00:29:32,440 Speaker 12: do you incorporate safety, how do you deal with minors, 677 00:29:32,440 --> 00:29:33,600 Speaker 12: how do you deal with privacy? 678 00:29:34,280 --> 00:29:35,760 Speaker 6: And you know, whether. 679 00:29:35,520 --> 00:29:38,560 Speaker 12: You're a federalist or you look at or federal authority 680 00:29:38,560 --> 00:29:41,680 Speaker 12: as being the key here that we still don't need 681 00:29:41,720 --> 00:29:44,480 Speaker 12: to get over these big political debates. The structure of 682 00:29:44,480 --> 00:29:47,160 Speaker 12: the regulations is only half about. The content side is 683 00:29:47,520 --> 00:29:48,240 Speaker 12: of course one thing. 684 00:29:48,240 --> 00:29:50,959 Speaker 2: And we can talk about whether AI is eventually going 685 00:29:50,960 --> 00:29:53,240 Speaker 2: to eat us alive. But in terms of the data 686 00:29:53,240 --> 00:29:58,480 Speaker 2: center build out, having a federal policy would hasten the 687 00:29:58,600 --> 00:29:59,560 Speaker 2: end of this race, would it? 688 00:29:59,640 --> 00:30:00,080 Speaker 3: Not sure? 689 00:30:00,080 --> 00:30:03,160 Speaker 12: And we've seen from the Department of Energy in particular, 690 00:30:03,320 --> 00:30:07,120 Speaker 12: a real effort to use federal authority to help speed 691 00:30:07,160 --> 00:30:10,960 Speaker 12: the build out. On the electricity side, they've made significant 692 00:30:11,040 --> 00:30:13,920 Speaker 12: investments in nuclear power to help deal with the sort 693 00:30:13,960 --> 00:30:17,520 Speaker 12: of sustainable growth of the industry in years forward. But 694 00:30:17,560 --> 00:30:21,120 Speaker 12: they've also looked to change the way regulations apply to 695 00:30:21,560 --> 00:30:25,320 Speaker 12: large loads like new data centers, sort of federalizing the 696 00:30:25,360 --> 00:30:29,200 Speaker 12: way that works. That's traditionally a state responsibility. There's an 697 00:30:29,240 --> 00:30:34,800 Speaker 12: ongoing case at the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, the federal 698 00:30:34,800 --> 00:30:39,360 Speaker 12: body in charge of the electricity grade, to figure out 699 00:30:39,360 --> 00:30:41,840 Speaker 12: how to do that right. And there again there's some 700 00:30:41,840 --> 00:30:45,240 Speaker 12: political debates you know who, you know, who needs to 701 00:30:45,280 --> 00:30:47,800 Speaker 12: pay for grade upgrades when you're building new data centers. 702 00:30:48,320 --> 00:30:50,640 Speaker 12: But Firk's in a good position, I think, to resolve 703 00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:52,800 Speaker 12: a lot of those things and make sure that the 704 00:30:52,840 --> 00:30:54,760 Speaker 12: best models are used. 705 00:30:54,800 --> 00:30:57,720 Speaker 2: National really interesting, this has been a fascinating conversation. That 706 00:30:57,800 --> 00:31:00,920 Speaker 2: build out still has another five years. First point you made, 707 00:31:00,920 --> 00:31:01,520 Speaker 2: that's right. 708 00:31:01,400 --> 00:31:03,760 Speaker 6: If you're in a second Industrial Revolution. It might be 709 00:31:03,760 --> 00:31:04,440 Speaker 6: twenty five. 710 00:31:04,480 --> 00:31:07,240 Speaker 2: Facet, it might be twenty five years. That sounds like 711 00:31:07,560 --> 00:31:10,240 Speaker 2: second inning. I don't know, Joseph, don't be a stranger, 712 00:31:10,400 --> 00:31:14,280 Speaker 2: Joseph miikat csis great conversation. Thank you for the insights. 713 00:31:15,920 --> 00:31:18,080 Speaker 2: Stay with us on Balance of Power. We'll have much 714 00:31:18,120 --> 00:31:19,320 Speaker 2: more coming up after this. 715 00:31:22,600 --> 00:31:26,080 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast. Catch 716 00:31:26,160 --> 00:31:29,200 Speaker 1: us live weekdays at noon and five pm Eastern on 717 00:31:29,320 --> 00:31:32,560 Speaker 1: Apple Cocklay and Android Auto with the blue Berg Business App. 718 00:31:32,600 --> 00:31:35,640 Speaker 1: You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our 719 00:31:35,640 --> 00:31:39,440 Speaker 1: flagship New York station, Just say Alexa Play Bloomberg. 720 00:31:39,480 --> 00:31:40,440 Speaker 4: Eleven thirty. 721 00:31:41,880 --> 00:31:44,440 Speaker 2: Was this time on Friday, we were anticipating the release 722 00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:47,200 Speaker 2: of the Epstein files. They hit right before the late 723 00:31:47,320 --> 00:31:49,440 Speaker 2: edition of Balance of Power on Friday, and boy, that 724 00:31:49,480 --> 00:31:51,600 Speaker 2: was quite a doozy of a conversation. They were coming 725 00:31:51,640 --> 00:31:55,280 Speaker 2: out in real time with massive redactions. We were scrolling 726 00:31:55,320 --> 00:31:58,840 Speaker 2: through them live on the air, blank page after blank page. 727 00:31:59,520 --> 00:32:02,280 Speaker 3: And of course this is not the full lot. 728 00:32:02,920 --> 00:32:06,400 Speaker 2: Todd Blanche, the Deputy ag suggesting that there are hundreds 729 00:32:06,400 --> 00:32:08,160 Speaker 2: of thousands and they will continue to be released in 730 00:32:08,160 --> 00:32:08,440 Speaker 2: the weeks. 731 00:32:08,480 --> 00:32:08,880 Speaker 3: Aheaf right. 732 00:32:08,920 --> 00:32:11,240 Speaker 5: I mean, obviously they were all supposed to be released 733 00:32:11,840 --> 00:32:13,800 Speaker 5: on Friday, but as we discussed leading up to that, 734 00:32:13,840 --> 00:32:15,640 Speaker 5: because we were getting signals from the AG's office that 735 00:32:15,680 --> 00:32:18,400 Speaker 5: wasn't going to happen. There really is no enforcement mechanism 736 00:32:18,440 --> 00:32:20,240 Speaker 5: for that. So they've released some and they're going to 737 00:32:20,240 --> 00:32:23,600 Speaker 5: release more, and who knows, somebody online was joking the 738 00:32:23,640 --> 00:32:26,200 Speaker 5: Department of Justice mixed up their highlighter with their sharpie 739 00:32:26,200 --> 00:32:27,720 Speaker 5: because so much helps aredacted it was. 740 00:32:27,640 --> 00:32:29,440 Speaker 3: Just black lives. We see full black pages. 741 00:32:29,840 --> 00:32:31,680 Speaker 2: Was startling, and of course, look, there's a lot of 742 00:32:31,720 --> 00:32:34,120 Speaker 2: sensitive information here, and of course they're looking to protect. 743 00:32:34,640 --> 00:32:37,960 Speaker 2: As we learned for the first time Friday, twelve hundred victims. 744 00:32:38,400 --> 00:32:41,440 Speaker 2: That's how many names were unearthed from these files. And 745 00:32:41,480 --> 00:32:44,280 Speaker 2: as a result, about a half dozen photos were taken 746 00:32:44,360 --> 00:32:46,400 Speaker 2: off of the server over the weekend. One of them 747 00:32:46,520 --> 00:32:48,560 Speaker 2: included a photograph of Donald Trump, and so there was 748 00:32:48,600 --> 00:32:52,959 Speaker 2: an immediate outcry of conspiracy. Those were in some cases 749 00:32:52,960 --> 00:32:56,160 Speaker 2: were reinstated. But we're hearing from the lawmakers Christina, and 750 00:32:56,200 --> 00:32:58,080 Speaker 2: we've talked to both of them here recently, who were 751 00:32:58,120 --> 00:33:01,280 Speaker 2: on the discharge petition. The Democrat wrote ConA, the Republican 752 00:33:01,320 --> 00:33:04,640 Speaker 2: Tom Massey, they want to hold the Attorney General in contempt. 753 00:33:05,400 --> 00:33:07,400 Speaker 5: I mean, I think that's interesting. We'll see if it 754 00:33:07,440 --> 00:33:09,680 Speaker 5: happens or not. But the problem with this issue is 755 00:33:10,120 --> 00:33:12,040 Speaker 5: there are so many eyes on it that something like 756 00:33:12,040 --> 00:33:13,640 Speaker 5: that photo you were just talking about, which was a 757 00:33:13,720 --> 00:33:15,800 Speaker 5: drawer with a bunch of picture frames and it looks 758 00:33:15,840 --> 00:33:17,480 Speaker 5: like it might have had a familiar face in there, and. 759 00:33:17,440 --> 00:33:19,000 Speaker 4: All of a sudden it was up and it was down. 760 00:33:19,160 --> 00:33:21,440 Speaker 5: You've got too many people, too invested in this to 761 00:33:21,560 --> 00:33:23,560 Speaker 5: really get away with that kind of thing because people 762 00:33:23,600 --> 00:33:25,120 Speaker 5: notice it and they noticed that it went away, So 763 00:33:25,560 --> 00:33:26,440 Speaker 5: all eyes are on it. 764 00:33:26,680 --> 00:33:29,280 Speaker 4: And as we were just talking about with Nathan. 765 00:33:29,320 --> 00:33:31,000 Speaker 5: We're gonna have to see how much this plays for 766 00:33:31,080 --> 00:33:32,840 Speaker 5: the next year, because although it was a big deal 767 00:33:32,840 --> 00:33:35,720 Speaker 5: on Friday, it then kind of fizzled. I'm not sure 768 00:33:35,720 --> 00:33:37,640 Speaker 5: it got as much coverage, as much pickup as we 769 00:33:37,720 --> 00:33:39,480 Speaker 5: were expecting, and I'm not quite sure that's. 770 00:33:39,720 --> 00:33:42,360 Speaker 3: In terms of public reaction that's fair. 771 00:33:42,440 --> 00:33:44,480 Speaker 2: Now, as we mentioned, there's going to be a resolution 772 00:33:44,880 --> 00:33:47,800 Speaker 2: in the Senate Chuck Schumer introducing today that would direct 773 00:33:47,840 --> 00:33:51,680 Speaker 2: the Chamber to initiate legal actions against the DOJ for 774 00:33:51,720 --> 00:33:55,160 Speaker 2: what he calls blatant disregard of the law. Massey and Conna, 775 00:33:55,200 --> 00:33:59,560 Speaker 2: who I mentioned, say they're considering bringing inherent contempt charges 776 00:33:59,560 --> 00:34:03,120 Speaker 2: against BONDI let's see what our panel thinks today. Bloomberg 777 00:34:03,160 --> 00:34:06,520 Speaker 2: Politics contributor Genie Shanzano is with us, of course, our 778 00:34:06,560 --> 00:34:10,600 Speaker 2: democratic analyst and democracy visiting fellow at Harvard Kennedy School's 779 00:34:10,640 --> 00:34:13,400 Speaker 2: Ash Center. Were joined as well by republican strategist Greta, 780 00:34:13,480 --> 00:34:15,480 Speaker 2: joints policy director at Brownstein. 781 00:34:15,560 --> 00:34:17,440 Speaker 3: Hya. It's great to see you both. Genie. 782 00:34:17,440 --> 00:34:19,239 Speaker 2: You've had the weekend to consider this, and I know 783 00:34:19,280 --> 00:34:22,560 Speaker 2: you were with us of course late Friday when these 784 00:34:22,719 --> 00:34:27,600 Speaker 2: files emerged. What's your thought about what is left? We 785 00:34:27,640 --> 00:34:30,840 Speaker 2: could be getting document dumps any moment now, and we 786 00:34:30,880 --> 00:34:34,040 Speaker 2: could continue right into the new year, and they may 787 00:34:34,080 --> 00:34:36,840 Speaker 2: show us a lot more than Bill Clinton. What should 788 00:34:36,880 --> 00:34:39,800 Speaker 2: we have in mind here as this process unfolds. 789 00:34:41,080 --> 00:34:45,040 Speaker 9: Yeah, they absolutely might. By some accounts, there are something 790 00:34:45,239 --> 00:34:50,080 Speaker 9: like five hundred gigabytes of material and about three have 791 00:34:50,200 --> 00:34:53,120 Speaker 9: been released, so there is a lot more to go, 792 00:34:53,280 --> 00:34:57,840 Speaker 9: percentage wise, the amount of redactions and the amount of 793 00:34:57,960 --> 00:35:02,279 Speaker 9: material missing material that people know should be in there, 794 00:35:02,840 --> 00:35:07,759 Speaker 9: including the original sixty count indictment against Jeffrey Epstein, and 795 00:35:07,840 --> 00:35:11,120 Speaker 9: then the memorandum as to why he was only charged 796 00:35:11,160 --> 00:35:14,279 Speaker 9: with two counts in the end, all missing, and of course, 797 00:35:14,280 --> 00:35:17,600 Speaker 9: as we talked about, heavy, heavy redactions all to come. 798 00:35:17,760 --> 00:35:20,560 Speaker 9: So people are very frustrated with the amount of material 799 00:35:20,600 --> 00:35:25,080 Speaker 9: missing and the redactions. But there was some material released 800 00:35:25,120 --> 00:35:30,200 Speaker 9: on Friday which is utterly horrifying, including for the first 801 00:35:30,239 --> 00:35:33,880 Speaker 9: time we see the document from Maria Farmer to the 802 00:35:34,080 --> 00:35:39,920 Speaker 9: FBI September third, nineteen ninety six, charging Jeffrey Ebstein with pornography. 803 00:35:40,320 --> 00:35:44,560 Speaker 9: He is not even investigated really for another decade, and 804 00:35:44,600 --> 00:35:48,680 Speaker 9: we're thirty years after that. So when we talk about 805 00:35:48,719 --> 00:35:52,479 Speaker 9: the entire federal government, starting with the FBI, falling down 806 00:35:52,520 --> 00:35:56,120 Speaker 9: on this, that is a horrifying example. And to your point, Joe, 807 00:35:56,200 --> 00:36:01,200 Speaker 9: twelve hundred potential victims, if not more so, a lot 808 00:36:01,200 --> 00:36:03,720 Speaker 9: of material released and tons yet to come. 809 00:36:05,800 --> 00:36:07,840 Speaker 4: And Greta those twelve hundred victims. 810 00:36:08,000 --> 00:36:11,440 Speaker 5: The government has said and possibly there's a point here, 811 00:36:11,440 --> 00:36:13,080 Speaker 5: and I want to ask you what you think that 812 00:36:13,160 --> 00:36:15,640 Speaker 5: one of the reasons they're not able to release everything, 813 00:36:15,680 --> 00:36:17,600 Speaker 5: the reason it's taking so long is they do need 814 00:36:17,640 --> 00:36:20,040 Speaker 5: to comb those files and make sure they're not inadvertently 815 00:36:20,440 --> 00:36:23,520 Speaker 5: divulging the identity of victims. This is something the victims' families, 816 00:36:23,520 --> 00:36:26,440 Speaker 5: of victims themselves have been very outspoken about that. There 817 00:36:26,480 --> 00:36:28,040 Speaker 5: have been, you know, releases in the past that have 818 00:36:28,080 --> 00:36:32,719 Speaker 5: compromised their identities. But you have that weighed with this 819 00:36:32,760 --> 00:36:36,000 Speaker 5: feeling even from as Joe is just saying some Republicans 820 00:36:36,040 --> 00:36:38,920 Speaker 5: on the committee that the AG is not doing what 821 00:36:39,000 --> 00:36:39,719 Speaker 5: it needs to do. 822 00:36:39,800 --> 00:36:40,880 Speaker 4: So what is your take on that? 823 00:36:40,960 --> 00:36:43,280 Speaker 5: And do you think Pam Bondi could really have congressional 824 00:36:43,280 --> 00:36:44,279 Speaker 5: action taken against her. 825 00:36:46,360 --> 00:36:50,239 Speaker 13: No, and let's be clear, it's one Republican on the committee, 826 00:36:50,560 --> 00:36:53,640 Speaker 13: It's not the majority of Republicans on the committee. So 827 00:36:54,080 --> 00:36:57,280 Speaker 13: I think that there is a lot of focus obviously 828 00:36:57,320 --> 00:36:59,480 Speaker 13: on these documents. I think there should be a lot 829 00:36:59,480 --> 00:37:04,040 Speaker 13: of focus how Bill Clinton is throughout, and I think 830 00:37:04,120 --> 00:37:07,040 Speaker 13: that narrative is sort of lost, right. You know, there's 831 00:37:07,160 --> 00:37:10,799 Speaker 13: there's been a number of opportunities for the FBI to 832 00:37:10,880 --> 00:37:14,959 Speaker 13: release these documents since they first started combing through the 833 00:37:15,040 --> 00:37:17,560 Speaker 13: various things that Jeffrey Epstein was. 834 00:37:17,560 --> 00:37:19,600 Speaker 6: And should have been charged with, and so. 835 00:37:19,800 --> 00:37:22,560 Speaker 3: Ultimately, you know, it's it is a. 836 00:37:22,480 --> 00:37:26,480 Speaker 13: Little interesting that now ultimately Pam Bondi is the only 837 00:37:26,520 --> 00:37:29,399 Speaker 13: one that could possibly release these documents over the course 838 00:37:29,400 --> 00:37:32,319 Speaker 13: of the years, and trying to play catch up and 839 00:37:32,400 --> 00:37:35,400 Speaker 13: comb through these which were you know, very much hidden 840 00:37:35,600 --> 00:37:38,800 Speaker 13: when when President Trump was sworn into office this time, 841 00:37:39,040 --> 00:37:41,600 Speaker 13: and ultimately make sure that they are releasing them in 842 00:37:41,640 --> 00:37:46,360 Speaker 13: a proactive but also a way that protects victims and 843 00:37:46,480 --> 00:37:47,480 Speaker 13: also people who. 844 00:37:47,320 --> 00:37:48,720 Speaker 4: Are caught up in these. 845 00:37:48,560 --> 00:37:51,520 Speaker 13: Documents who literally did nothing wrong and don't want to 846 00:37:51,520 --> 00:37:53,680 Speaker 13: be associated with someone like Jeffrey Epstein. 847 00:37:54,719 --> 00:37:56,439 Speaker 2: Well, I think the point is there's a law now 848 00:37:56,600 --> 00:37:59,400 Speaker 2: though right Jenny had mandated the release of these files 849 00:37:59,400 --> 00:38:02,279 Speaker 2: by Friday, the administration did not meet the deadline and 850 00:38:02,320 --> 00:38:05,040 Speaker 2: also did not meet the requirement that there would be 851 00:38:05,080 --> 00:38:08,680 Speaker 2: a searchable database. So there is some accountability here for 852 00:38:08,719 --> 00:38:09,640 Speaker 2: the Attorney General. 853 00:38:09,640 --> 00:38:15,840 Speaker 3: Now there is, I mean, oh, sorry the story Jie 854 00:38:15,840 --> 00:38:16,960 Speaker 3: first and then Greta go ahead. 855 00:38:18,160 --> 00:38:21,839 Speaker 9: Yeah, the Epstein Files Transparency Act. And you know, they 856 00:38:21,920 --> 00:38:25,759 Speaker 9: had thirty days, and so if any of us are 857 00:38:25,960 --> 00:38:29,560 Speaker 9: under the requirement of a law that requires thirty days, 858 00:38:29,920 --> 00:38:32,040 Speaker 9: Todd Blanche went out this weekend and said, well, we 859 00:38:32,080 --> 00:38:36,040 Speaker 9: had two hundred lawyers working through this, you know, absolutely, 860 00:38:36,120 --> 00:38:37,759 Speaker 9: but if they weren't going to get through it, in 861 00:38:37,840 --> 00:38:40,800 Speaker 9: thirty days. Given it's a law, they had to get 862 00:38:40,880 --> 00:38:44,680 Speaker 9: maybe two hundred more lawyers. Do we know what's going 863 00:38:44,760 --> 00:38:48,319 Speaker 9: to happen in terms of the Attorney General? Absolutely not. 864 00:38:48,560 --> 00:38:51,960 Speaker 9: We're hearing things from Rocanna, We're hearing things from Tom Massey. 865 00:38:52,000 --> 00:38:55,279 Speaker 9: I'm not sure that they'll go five partisan support to 866 00:38:55,320 --> 00:38:55,920 Speaker 9: take any. 867 00:38:55,760 --> 00:38:56,920 Speaker 4: Action on any of this. 868 00:38:57,800 --> 00:39:01,360 Speaker 9: But the reality is is that this is a total 869 00:39:01,880 --> 00:39:04,000 Speaker 9: political mess for the White House. 870 00:39:04,280 --> 00:39:05,920 Speaker 3: When Susie Wilds says. 871 00:39:05,800 --> 00:39:08,960 Speaker 9: Pam Bondy with the entire White House has whiffed one 872 00:39:08,960 --> 00:39:12,200 Speaker 9: this and continues to because every day they're talking about 873 00:39:12,239 --> 00:39:15,080 Speaker 9: Jeffrey Epstein, they're not talking about what they want to 874 00:39:15,120 --> 00:39:18,479 Speaker 9: be and so this is a problem for the White 875 00:39:18,520 --> 00:39:22,160 Speaker 9: House politically. And of course, back to my consistent message 876 00:39:22,320 --> 00:39:27,239 Speaker 9: for the victims and survivors as well, gret I don't know. 877 00:39:27,200 --> 00:39:28,799 Speaker 5: If you wanted to go ahead with what you're going 878 00:39:28,840 --> 00:39:30,359 Speaker 5: to say earlier, I also want to ask you. I mean, 879 00:39:30,400 --> 00:39:33,279 Speaker 5: to that point, the White House knows that this is 880 00:39:33,320 --> 00:39:36,160 Speaker 5: an issue that Democrats can go after them about ahead 881 00:39:36,160 --> 00:39:38,000 Speaker 5: of the midterms, leading up to all of these things 882 00:39:38,000 --> 00:39:39,040 Speaker 5: they're trying to get done. 883 00:39:39,320 --> 00:39:40,320 Speaker 4: Why not do better? 884 00:39:40,400 --> 00:39:42,640 Speaker 5: Why not put more pressure on the age to get 885 00:39:42,640 --> 00:39:44,439 Speaker 5: this done so they can get it off their plate 886 00:39:44,480 --> 00:39:47,520 Speaker 5: and move on with their agenda. 887 00:39:47,640 --> 00:39:50,200 Speaker 13: Well, I think that they are doing the absolute best 888 00:39:50,239 --> 00:39:52,839 Speaker 13: they can. I don't know where one would procure an 889 00:39:52,840 --> 00:39:56,400 Speaker 13: additional two hundred lawyers to cone through Jeffrey Epstein documents 890 00:39:56,400 --> 00:40:00,120 Speaker 13: in a way that ultimately was serving the best interests 891 00:40:00,160 --> 00:40:03,280 Speaker 13: of the victims and of the other people that are 892 00:40:03,719 --> 00:40:07,160 Speaker 13: mentioned in these files, while also providing the transparency that 893 00:40:07,239 --> 00:40:09,680 Speaker 13: Democrats have failed to provide since Bill Clinton was in 894 00:40:09,760 --> 00:40:12,920 Speaker 13: office and started flying around on the low Leader Express 895 00:40:13,040 --> 00:40:16,360 Speaker 13: with Jeffrey Epstein. So I think there's a lot of 896 00:40:16,400 --> 00:40:19,239 Speaker 13: catch up. Thirty days is an incredibly short period of 897 00:40:19,280 --> 00:40:21,960 Speaker 13: time to go through that many documents in a way 898 00:40:22,000 --> 00:40:26,439 Speaker 13: that is responsible. Ultimately, I'm sure that Democrats would love 899 00:40:26,560 --> 00:40:31,200 Speaker 13: to just release everything so they could ultimately try to 900 00:40:31,320 --> 00:40:34,960 Speaker 13: find more victims that they could use as talking points 901 00:40:34,960 --> 00:40:37,399 Speaker 13: for this narrative that they continue to push when they 902 00:40:37,480 --> 00:40:40,759 Speaker 13: literally have decades of failing to do anything about this. 903 00:40:41,840 --> 00:40:45,920 Speaker 2: So you really seem to think this is a Democrat issue, Greta, 904 00:40:45,960 --> 00:40:46,839 Speaker 2: Am I reading you right? 905 00:40:47,000 --> 00:40:49,480 Speaker 3: This is the Epstein thing is a Democrat story? 906 00:40:50,800 --> 00:40:54,200 Speaker 13: Well, I think ultimately there is one president who is 907 00:40:54,320 --> 00:41:00,640 Speaker 13: caught in the Epstein files so far potentially partially nude 908 00:41:00,719 --> 00:41:04,279 Speaker 13: with victims of Jeffrey Epstein. So you know, I mean, 909 00:41:04,400 --> 00:41:08,239 Speaker 13: I think that that is certainly pretty newsy, but ultimately 910 00:41:08,400 --> 00:41:14,040 Speaker 13: I do think the picture is he in a hot 911 00:41:14,040 --> 00:41:16,160 Speaker 13: tub with any of the victims of Jeffrey Epstein. 912 00:41:17,200 --> 00:41:19,600 Speaker 3: Well, no, but you didn't make that the criteria. 913 00:41:19,680 --> 00:41:22,799 Speaker 2: You said, there's only one president who's who's photographed in 914 00:41:22,840 --> 00:41:24,640 Speaker 2: the files, And we've seen a lot of pictures of 915 00:41:24,640 --> 00:41:25,520 Speaker 2: Trump floating around. 916 00:41:25,719 --> 00:41:27,560 Speaker 3: I said, we're not even through half of these yet 917 00:41:27,640 --> 00:41:28,440 Speaker 3: of the president. 918 00:41:29,800 --> 00:41:33,880 Speaker 2: Well, these the president's the president who is in office 919 00:41:33,920 --> 00:41:38,200 Speaker 2: now is in photographs with multiple redacted women. We don't 920 00:41:38,200 --> 00:41:41,480 Speaker 2: know who they are, do we. 921 00:41:41,480 --> 00:41:44,600 Speaker 13: Well, there's Democrats who've redacted some of those photos, and 922 00:41:44,640 --> 00:41:48,240 Speaker 13: then there are other potential women's department. 923 00:41:48,800 --> 00:41:52,279 Speaker 4: Yeah, right, let me finish my thought. 924 00:41:52,600 --> 00:41:56,520 Speaker 13: What I was saying was that, certainly there are pictures 925 00:41:56,880 --> 00:42:00,640 Speaker 13: that have been released by the attorney general who is 926 00:42:00,680 --> 00:42:06,200 Speaker 13: serving President Trump. In previous administrations, democratic administrations, they have 927 00:42:06,320 --> 00:42:10,160 Speaker 13: released nothing. So ultimately, whether these were compelled by law 928 00:42:10,239 --> 00:42:14,279 Speaker 13: or by not, those pictures of the president were not redacted. 929 00:42:14,440 --> 00:42:15,360 Speaker 4: They were released. 930 00:42:15,640 --> 00:42:18,040 Speaker 13: And while there are certainly redactions which were to be 931 00:42:18,160 --> 00:42:21,960 Speaker 13: expected as per the law that President Trump signed. There 932 00:42:22,280 --> 00:42:25,120 Speaker 13: is certainly been a ton release and there is more 933 00:42:25,160 --> 00:42:26,840 Speaker 13: to be released, and it will be done in a 934 00:42:26,840 --> 00:42:30,719 Speaker 13: way that is responsible and keeping the victims top of mind. 935 00:42:32,680 --> 00:42:33,160 Speaker 4: Before we go. 936 00:42:33,200 --> 00:42:35,000 Speaker 5: We don't have a ton of time, but Genia, I 937 00:42:35,040 --> 00:42:38,200 Speaker 5: want to ask you if you've been keeping your eye 938 00:42:38,200 --> 00:42:42,040 Speaker 5: on the Turning Points USA convention out in Arizona and 939 00:42:42,280 --> 00:42:43,000 Speaker 5: some of the sound. 940 00:42:43,120 --> 00:42:44,560 Speaker 4: Do we have time to play the sound or no. 941 00:42:44,640 --> 00:42:45,160 Speaker 4: We're just going to. 942 00:42:45,160 --> 00:42:47,480 Speaker 5: Ask you if what you're thinking about what's going on 943 00:42:47,520 --> 00:42:49,920 Speaker 5: about there. You know you've got Tucker Carlson, Ben Shapiro, 944 00:42:50,000 --> 00:42:51,319 Speaker 5: You've got all kinds. 945 00:42:51,360 --> 00:42:52,440 Speaker 4: I mean, are the kids fighting? 946 00:42:52,480 --> 00:42:54,960 Speaker 5: Is this an opportunity for Democrats or are you know 947 00:42:55,000 --> 00:42:56,160 Speaker 5: they're going to mess it up again? 948 00:42:58,000 --> 00:43:00,200 Speaker 9: Well, of course I had to follow Christina because Ki 949 00:43:00,239 --> 00:43:03,440 Speaker 9: Minaj was there, so she was the special test. Absolutely, 950 00:43:04,480 --> 00:43:06,919 Speaker 9: And yeah, I think the most interesting thing was JD. 951 00:43:07,040 --> 00:43:10,400 Speaker 9: Van's trying to walk this tightrope. And it's going to 952 00:43:10,480 --> 00:43:12,200 Speaker 9: be curious to me. I know, we're short on time. 953 00:43:12,239 --> 00:43:14,600 Speaker 9: It's going to be curious to me as the leading 954 00:43:14,600 --> 00:43:17,920 Speaker 9: contender for the Republican nomination early as it is Can 955 00:43:18,040 --> 00:43:20,239 Speaker 9: he keep up walking that type robe as we go 956 00:43:20,320 --> 00:43:23,400 Speaker 9: forward or is he going to be forced to pull aside? 957 00:43:23,480 --> 00:43:25,280 Speaker 9: And I think that's going to be the big question. 958 00:43:25,360 --> 00:43:28,920 Speaker 9: And vig Ramaswami he did take a side, which was interesting. 959 00:43:30,280 --> 00:43:32,839 Speaker 2: We're going to get into our next hour with our 960 00:43:32,880 --> 00:43:36,080 Speaker 2: panel on geopolitics, Christina Raffini and Joe Matthew. 961 00:43:36,120 --> 00:43:38,759 Speaker 3: This is Bloomberg. Thanks for listening to the Balance of 962 00:43:38,800 --> 00:43:39,759 Speaker 3: Power podcast. 963 00:43:40,360 --> 00:43:43,480 Speaker 2: Make sure to subscribe if you haven't already, at Apple, Spotify, 964 00:43:43,600 --> 00:43:46,160 Speaker 2: or wherever you get your podcasts, and you can find 965 00:43:46,239 --> 00:43:49,040 Speaker 2: us live every weekday from Washington, DC at New Time 966 00:43:49,120 --> 00:43:51,240 Speaker 2: Eastern at Bloomberg dot com