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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into the Friday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Peralti and following me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: We are on Bettingpros dot Com every morning and being

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Speaker 1: brought to you by bet MGM each and every day.

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Speaker 1: All right, So last night Stephen Gotzkowski once again, he

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Speaker 1: doesn't cost me money directly, but the missfield goal really

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Speaker 1: swung that game in a bad direction. Would have cut

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Speaker 1: the lead down to three, and then who knows, maybe

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Speaker 1: there would have been a stop, but that Titans defense

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Speaker 1: could not stop the Colts at all in just a

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Speaker 1: bad game, not a good teaser. So the Titans plus

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Speaker 1: seven does not hit, and the over would have hit,

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Speaker 1: but the over by itself, without teasing it would have

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Speaker 1: hit as well. So the better play would have been

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Speaker 1: the Colts and the over, not the teaser. So we

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Speaker 1: said we're down one unit because well, our other bet

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Speaker 1: for yesterday Bubba over Colin Morikawa. Well that thing is

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Speaker 1: still continuing because they only got half of the first

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Speaker 1: round in so at the time of taping tomorrow morning

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Speaker 1: when they start that tournament back up again, Morikawa leads

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Speaker 1: by one stroke over Bubba Watson. But they got a

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Speaker 1: bunch of holes left to go, so hopefully Bubba can

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Speaker 1: rebound here and Bubba can get a victory for us

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Speaker 1: to kind of ease a little bit, only half a unit,

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Speaker 1: but to ease a bit on that loss yesterday. So

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Speaker 1: the four game four bet winning streak comes to an

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Speaker 1: end thanks to the Colts and the Titans. And those

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Speaker 1: two teams play again in two weeks in Indianapolis, and

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Speaker 1: something tells me the number is not going to be

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Speaker 1: minus one for Indianapolis at the time at the close

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Speaker 1: of the line, it may be quite higher. Six six

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Speaker 1: and a half or so. Good win for the Colts.

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Speaker 1: They're now tied atop the AFC South and they have

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Speaker 1: the tiebreaker over the Titans. Not a great performance at

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Speaker 1: all for the Titans in my nine and a half

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Speaker 1: over win total for them, getting a little scary because

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Speaker 1: they have the Ravens coming up next weekend and then

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Speaker 1: the Colts on the road, and it's they got six

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Speaker 1: wins right now. I needed that win, I think, because

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Speaker 1: it would have been seven, and then I think they

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Speaker 1: would have won three other games now ten and six.

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Speaker 1: I don't know, it might be hard to get to

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Speaker 1: for the Titans, and my pick for them to go

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Speaker 1: to the Super Bowl. That's really looking shaky right now

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Speaker 1: after their defense can't stop anybody. They got lit up

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Speaker 1: at home last night by the Indianapolis Colts. All right,

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Speaker 1: for the plays today, I have got two games in

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Speaker 1: college football on Friday. In one game in college football,

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Speaker 1: I want you to bet now for Saturday, a little

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Speaker 1: bit ahead of schedule here a little bit, but we're

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Speaker 1: gonna make a couple of one unit plays today on

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Speaker 1: a Friday night, and then we're gonna go ahead and

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Speaker 1: we're gonna bet a game on Saturday, because I think

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Speaker 1: the line's gonna move one. People start to kind of

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Speaker 1: figure out a little bit what's going on. The numbers

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Speaker 1: already dropped below fourteen, but I think we can take

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Speaker 1: it at thirteen and a half. And I'll explain the play,

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Speaker 1: the pick and the play coming out in just one second.

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Speaker 1: But first before we do that, it's Master's Week, right,

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Speaker 1: We've got all our Master's play still alive, all four

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Speaker 1: still going. I'm not gonna add anything just yet. I

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Speaker 1: may on Saturday, but right now we're gonna let the

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Speaker 1: Bubba and call in play out let DJ cape, keep

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Speaker 1: going and let our head to heads fading. Bryce and

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Speaker 1: Dave Shambau. By the way, that was so far, so good. Okay,

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Speaker 1: he did he scrambled incredibly well. I don't know how

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Speaker 1: he shot two wonder, to be quite honest, I watched

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Speaker 1: almost every single shot he took yesterday, and he was

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Speaker 1: all over the place, scrambled like a mother and got

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Speaker 1: himself a two under par that should have been like

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Speaker 1: a minus eight with how well he scrambled to get

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Speaker 1: pars over and over again, because like I handicapped his

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Speaker 1: second shot. His second stroke on that golf course is

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Speaker 1: a disaster. He said. This is like a par sixty

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Speaker 1: seven for me. No, simply not for you know, the scientist.

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Speaker 1: You can hit the ball as far as you want,

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Speaker 1: but that second shot, if you can't control it, if

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Speaker 1: you can't put it in the right place, Augusta's gonna

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Speaker 1: bite you. And my guess is, after all the low

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Speaker 1: scoring on Thursday, my guess is they're gonna make some

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Speaker 1: adjustments to the pin placements coming up for the second round.

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Speaker 1: And my guess is the pin placement's gonna be a

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Speaker 1: little bit more difficult on Friday and Saturday than what

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Speaker 1: we saw on Thursday. The folks that Augusta don't normally

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Speaker 1: like to see seven unders and six unders getting thrown

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Speaker 1: up there consistently for round. So sixty five sixty six

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Speaker 1: is my guess is we're gonna see some more difficult

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Speaker 1: golf be played in the next couple of days and

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Speaker 1: that could be really bad news for Bryson day Chambau.

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Speaker 1: So our fading of him with Rory and uh and

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Speaker 1: with John Rahm not bad so far. So we'll see

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Speaker 1: how that those play out for the next couple of days.

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Speaker 1: But the Masters is where you can get the bet

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Speaker 1: sign up and bet one dollar on a golfer to

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Speaker 1: win the Masters. It's that easy, it's that simple. It's

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Speaker 1: one hundred bucks in free wagers. It is available in

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Speaker 1: the Great States of Tennessee, Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey, and

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Speaker 1: West Virginia. Use the promo code Juice one hundred. Go

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Speaker 1: to betmgm dot com for terms and conditions. You must

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Speaker 1: be twenty one years or older and physically look at

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Speaker 1: it in Tennessee, Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey, or West Virginia.

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Speaker 1: Please gamp responsibly get a gambling problem called one hundred

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Speaker 1: five to two forty seven hundred in Colorado and Nevada,

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Speaker 1: one hundred gambler in New Jersey and West Virginia, or

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Speaker 1: one hundred and nine with it in Indiana. Okay, let's

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Speaker 1: talk about college football tonight. My plays inside of the

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Speaker 1: Discord chat were not good by the way I gave

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Speaker 1: a prop bet out really missed on that, and then

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Speaker 1: all the COVID problems for boys. I said, yeah, go

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Speaker 1: and take cs, you take a fly or why not

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Speaker 1: have some action on a college game? Small wagers on both.

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Speaker 1: But eh, not good. So hopefully I can give away

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Speaker 1: some more better winners here on our discord channel. Bettingpros

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Speaker 1: dot com slash chat to join our Discord channel. But

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Speaker 1: here is where we are for tonight. We've got three

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Speaker 1: games in college football. I got picks and plays on

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Speaker 1: two of them. Here's where I'm going tonight, and I it. Look,

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Speaker 1: it's Friday night. So Big ten football on Friday night

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Speaker 1: is a little bit weird to me. It's not really

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Speaker 1: what we normally see. I'm somebody who says, you know,

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Speaker 1: Friday night should be about high school football. But because

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Speaker 1: of all the COVID issues in what states are playing,

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Speaker 1: what states are not, I'm not too upset about, you know,

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Speaker 1: all the Friday night football that's happening. But to me,

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Speaker 1: I would prefer if we didn't have Friday night football,

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Speaker 1: but you know we do, so on Friday night tonight,

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Speaker 1: We've got three games. Florida Atlantic is at Florida International,

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Speaker 1: Iowa is at Minnesota, in East Carolina is at Cincinnati.

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Speaker 1: Let's start with the Big Ten, all right, Let's start

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Speaker 1: with Iowa on the road at Minnesota. So the Hawk

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Speaker 1: gys yes last game, were five and a half point

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Speaker 1: favorites at home and they won by forty two. They

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Speaker 1: had really two bad luck losses in their first two

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Speaker 1: games against Purdue on the road in Northwestern at home.

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Speaker 1: To me, I think this is an Iowa team that's

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Speaker 1: starting to find its footing. On the opposite from Minnesota,

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Speaker 1: they got beat by Michigan, Sorry by Michigan by twenty

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Speaker 1: five at home. They lost to Maryland by one on

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Speaker 1: the road as seventeen and a half point favorites, and

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Speaker 1: then they come on the road last week against Illinois

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Speaker 1: and Illinois just got awful and they win by twenty

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Speaker 1: seven and everything everyone's like, oh, yes, everything's great with

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Speaker 1: Minnesota their back. I just don't see it. I just

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Speaker 1: don't think they're very good. I think they've had major

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Speaker 1: COVID problems, They've had major concerns and questions. I just

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Speaker 1: think the road the boat thing was cute and corny

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Speaker 1: for a while. I think Iowa got off to a

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Speaker 1: rough start and they were really close, and that Michigan

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Speaker 1: State game everything kind of clicked for them. I know

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Speaker 1: they're on the road, but they're laying three and a

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Speaker 1: half points on the road. I would prefer three obviously,

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Speaker 1: So if you want to buy the half a point,

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Speaker 1: I don't mind it. But I just think Iowa was

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Speaker 1: the better football team. I think Iowa's got the better defense,

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Speaker 1: and in a cold weather environment type of football game

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Speaker 1: on a Friday night, I think this is Iowa football weather.

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Speaker 1: I think this is Iowa's time to get another victory here.

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Speaker 1: They tasted it last week against Michigan State. I think

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Speaker 1: Iowa comes back here and covers that three and a

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Speaker 1: half point line. We're gonna go one unit on the

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Speaker 1: Hawkeyes to beat Minnesota on the road. Iowa minus three

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Speaker 1: and a half. In the second game, Cincinnati is going

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Speaker 1: up against Eastern Carolina East Carolina at home or sorry,

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Speaker 1: on the road rather at the line's twenty seven and

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Speaker 1: a half. All right, this under is crumbling, The total

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Speaker 1: is crumbling. It opened at fifty eight. I bet it

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Speaker 1: at fifty six and a half. I last checked it.

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Speaker 1: It's fifty six and going down. Be careful with this number,

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Speaker 1: don't get it too low. But Cincinnati games right now

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Speaker 1: are two and four to are four and two to

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Speaker 1: the under. And East Carolina has not been scoring a

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Speaker 1: ton of points. Last time out against Tulane, they scored

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Speaker 1: twenty one. They scored thirty against Tulsa, twenty three against Navy. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: they put up forty four against South Florida and twenty

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Speaker 1: nine against Georgia Southern. But everyone is having a tough

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Speaker 1: time against Cincinnati. They have a top ten defense. You

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Speaker 1: simply do not score right now on Cincinnati it's mostly

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Speaker 1: their defense, although their offense has been doing some pretty

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Speaker 1: good things as well. So I'm at little nervous about

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Speaker 1: Cincey putting up a big number here. But I'm just

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Speaker 1: gonna think that's gonna be a running attack and you

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Speaker 1: just aren't going to score here against Cincy. Four yards

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Speaker 1: per play is number two in the country right now.

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Speaker 1: They're giving up ten points per game. That's number two

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Speaker 1: in the country right now. You just don't move the

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Speaker 1: ball on these guys. You can't run the ball. Two

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Speaker 1: point five yards rushing is really really good. Five point

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Speaker 1: eight yards passing is also in the top ten. All

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Speaker 1: the stats, all the numbers are poorting towards Cincinnati. It's

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Speaker 1: just twenty seven and a half is a monster number

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Speaker 1: to lay at home or not. Twenty seven and a

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Speaker 1: half is too big. I can't get involved with a

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Speaker 1: back door cover or something nasty here. I'm just gonna

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Speaker 1: lay the fifty six and a half and I'm taking

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Speaker 1: the under for Cincinnati again. They're four and two to

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Speaker 1: the under so far this year. Two of the last

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Speaker 1: three games have come in on the under. I just

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Speaker 1: don't think East Carolina's gonna score very much. You may

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Speaker 1: even want to go with a Cincinnati team total and

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Speaker 1: go with the over if you want something a little

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Speaker 1: bit on the alternative. I think they'll score. I mean,

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Speaker 1: the team total probably is gonna be somewhere in neighborhood

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Speaker 1: of thirty points or so. But East Carolina I just

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Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna score more than ten points. And

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Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be like a thirty to ten

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Speaker 1: type of victory here for Cincy. I don't know if

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Speaker 1: they cover. It'll be close. Maybe maybe it's a thirty

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Speaker 1: seven to ten type of victory. You know it's right

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Speaker 1: on the number, and you know, one play here or there,

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Speaker 1: forty to ten type of victory. Maybe they do cover,

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Speaker 1: but it's all on the under fifty six and a

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Speaker 1: half points here for Cincinnati and East Carolina. So primetime

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Speaker 1: game in Cincinnati. I don't see East Carolina scoring very

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Speaker 1: much at all. We're gonna play the under fifty six

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Speaker 1: and a half here Cincinnati in East Carolina for one unit,

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Speaker 1: and I got a game I want you to bet.

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Speaker 1: Right now. Boston College is hosting Notre Dame. I am

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Speaker 1: a Boston guy. My father went to Boston College. Law.

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Speaker 1: I have gone to these games where Boston College has

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame coming into Alumni Stadium. This is the super

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Speaker 1: Bowl here. The line opened at sixteen, it's been bet

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Speaker 1: down to thirteen and a half, and it's kind of

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Speaker 1: held at thirteen and a half. But ian book, outside

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Speaker 1: of the game against Clemson, has not been great. He

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Speaker 1: played the game of his life. Notre Dame played the

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Speaker 1: game of their life. And if you want to go

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Speaker 1: back to the mid nineties, after beating number one Florida State,

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame went on the road to Boston College and

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Speaker 1: lost the game outright, I don't hate it. If you

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Speaker 1: want to sprinkle on the money line for Boston College

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Speaker 1: to beat Notre Dame outright, BC's quarterback is a Notre

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Speaker 1: Dame transfer. Okay, you got a program that is going

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Speaker 1: to be incredibly hungry. The only time the Boston media

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Speaker 1: pays attention to Boston College football is when Notre Dame

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Speaker 1: comes calling, and they happen to be the number two

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Speaker 1: ranked team in the country coming in, you're gonna get

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Speaker 1: BC's best shot. BC normally loses this game in heartbreaking fashion,

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Speaker 1: but they often keep it close. They often fight really hard.

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Speaker 1: In Boston College. So far this year is five and

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Speaker 1: three against the spread and five and two in games

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Speaker 1: in the ACC against the spread. Now, they were fourteen

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Speaker 1: and a half point favorites against Syracuse last week and

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Speaker 1: they only won by three. You could say they were

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Speaker 1: looking ahead, which is very possible. Right. They lost by

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Speaker 1: six to Clemson, catching twenty six and a half cover

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Speaker 1: that spread by twenty points. Played the game of their lives.

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Speaker 1: It wasn't Trevor Lawrence, but they played the game of

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Speaker 1: their lives. I think once people start to realize that

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Speaker 1: it's Boston College against Notre Dame again, I would prefer

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Speaker 1: the fourteen, but I'll take thirteen and a half. I

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Speaker 1: think you're gonna see a lot of people jump on

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Speaker 1: Boston College, and I think this number is gonna dive,

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Speaker 1: So I think you should bet it. Now. Bet Boston

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Speaker 1: College at home for one unit at home against Notre Dame.

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Speaker 1: BC plays their Super Bowl Notre Dame's coming off of

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Speaker 1: their win in their Super Bowl let down City on

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Speaker 1: the road. Boston College hangs around, probably loses, but they

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Speaker 1: hang around enough to cover that thirteen and a half

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Speaker 1: point number for Notre Dame, and they put a scare

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Speaker 1: at least into the Irish here. I don't think they're

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Speaker 1: gonna blow them out, even though they have gone on

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Speaker 1: the road. I mean, they blew up Pittsburgh on the road,

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Speaker 1: so they've gotten blowout wins before. I just think this

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Speaker 1: BC team, as long as they don't turn the football

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Speaker 1: over a ton and give Ian Book short fields. Ian

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Speaker 1: Book is due to have a letdown. He's due to

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Speaker 1: have a mistake field game. Turn the football over BC

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Speaker 1: plus thirteen and a half. So two plays tonight. We

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Speaker 1: are going Iowa minus three and a half against the

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Speaker 1: Minnesota Gophers on the road, and we're gonna take the

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Speaker 1: under for Cincinnati and East Carolina. Here. Fifty six and

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Speaker 1: a half is the number that I got on that

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Speaker 1: grab that quickly because that number is going to go down.

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Speaker 1: A lot of people are gonna take the under here

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Speaker 1: tonight for Cincinnati in East Carolina BC plus thirteen and

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Speaker 1: a half coming up on Saturday. Those are our three

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Speaker 1: plays for us here on a Friday Morning's Daily Juice.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolt, followed me on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt, I will talk to you in the

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Speaker 1: discord chap Betty pros dot Com slash for the games

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Speaker 1: on Friday nights at obviously the games on Saturday as well.

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Speaker 1: Every morning gets the daily juice of bettingpros dot com,

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Speaker 1: presented by bed MGM