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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast pot all right,

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Speaker 1: here we go.

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Speaker 2: Fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, Hony Cody five fifty.

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Speaker 3: And the Kick as Black the College Football World Stundu,

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Speaker 3: Oh my goodness, he.

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Speaker 2: Stumbled and bumble the lateral turn the counter.

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Speaker 4: On the job.

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Speaker 2: Don't you believe I'm not gonna tap them off the field?

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Speaker 1: The Knights.

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Speaker 2: God, it's not the size of the dog in the fight.

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Speaker 2: It's the size of the fight in the dog.

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Speaker 5: What's up the gener Nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 5: on Campus Podcast. This is the week seven college football

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Speaker 5: betting for you. I'm stucky enjoining me as always my

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Speaker 5: fellow BBOC Coast Wilson.

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Speaker 1: Got a great slate ahead of us.

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Speaker 5: With a number of marquee matchups which we'll get to

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Speaker 5: in just a moment. Heads up, we do record three

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Speaker 5: and out live six pm Eastern every Thursday night on

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Speaker 5: our YouTube channel, so we will cover pretty in depth

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Speaker 5: the lsu O Miss games and the LUO Miss game

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Speaker 5: and Red River Texas, Oklahoma, so if you're looking for

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Speaker 5: those games, they will be at the end of the episode.

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Speaker 5: We also cover some quit watch a lot of teams

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Speaker 5: right now on quit watch early in the college football season,

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Speaker 5: and no, I am not betting UAB unless Ope play. Well,

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Speaker 5: we'll talk about that later. Let's just dive right in

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Speaker 5: to the marquee matchups of the weekend. It's another fabulous

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Speaker 5: weekend of college football.

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Speaker 2: Let's check out the marquee matchups.

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Speaker 4: We'll all end up betting for Week seven.

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Speaker 5: Well cover three here. As I said, lsu O miss

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Speaker 5: Red River at the end of the show, let's start

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Speaker 5: with Penn State USC. Well, you know I can't win

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Speaker 5: this bet on my track work with Penn State twelve

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Speaker 5: percent twelve percent against the spread. Went back and looked

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Speaker 5: over the past couple of years trying to bet Penn State.

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Speaker 5: They have consistently either found ways the cover is a

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Speaker 5: favorite or let me down when I back him as

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Speaker 5: a favorite. I don't know they're sitting here is around

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Speaker 5: a four four and a half point favorite here total

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Speaker 5: fifty and a half.

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Speaker 2: We got a lot of work to do and we

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Speaker 2: got tremendous challenges.

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Speaker 5: When I look at this game, Nick Singleton should play it.

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Speaker 5: I think he is important. He was really missed last

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Speaker 5: week for Penn State. He provides that explosive rushing element

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Speaker 5: to this offense, they're still not hitting enough explosives, they

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Speaker 5: still go pretty slow and USC, Yeah, you know the

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Speaker 5: problem I have with them in their offense here is

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Speaker 5: can their offensive line hold up? Can their tackles hold up?

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Speaker 5: And I'm not sure that that's going to be the case,

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Speaker 5: and that could just basically put their offense into the dumpster.

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Speaker 5: So I'm inclined to lean under here. Penn State very methodical,

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Speaker 5: very slow. Yeah, explosive element still missing from the offense.

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Speaker 5: And then USC, I just think is not going to

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Speaker 5: be able to do what it wants to do on

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Speaker 5: offense because of the matchup up front. But once again,

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Speaker 5: I don't know anything when it comes to Penn State games.

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Speaker 5: This is your chance to try to convince me on

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Speaker 5: the side or whatever. You're thinking, What do you got here?

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Speaker 1: Yeah?

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Speaker 2: I took Penn State minus three. I think you and

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Speaker 2: I talked about it on Sunday when we're doing the

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Speaker 2: recap pod of I thought this thing would rise, and

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Speaker 2: it did finally caught some resistance up around five and

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Speaker 2: a half and six. Because there's major issues with USC

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Speaker 2: and their offensive line, specifically at both tackle positions. They

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Speaker 2: are inexperienced, they are undersized and they'd have no depth.

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Speaker 2: That is a real problem against a Penn State defense

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Speaker 2: that right now is ranked fifth in pass rush, and

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Speaker 2: I get the strength. The schedule hasn't been high for

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Speaker 2: Penn State, but I have a lot of faith the

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Speaker 2: Penn State is producing edge rushers that are to get

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Speaker 2: to quarterbacks. Another problem, Miller Moss came out on fire

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Speaker 2: from a time to throw perspective. How long did it

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Speaker 2: take Miller Moss to get rid of the football? About

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Speaker 2: two point zero two seconds in the first two games.

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Speaker 2: That number has crawled over what the standard is is

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Speaker 2: of two point five. You can't have these kinds of

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Speaker 2: offensive tackles and just pass blocking in general, have this

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Speaker 2: be this poor and release the ball over two point

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Speaker 2: five seconds. It is a major problem. And if you're

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Speaker 2: going to be a passing offense, you've got to fix this.

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Speaker 2: The numbers are bad when they get into scoring position. Offensively,

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Speaker 2: they're sixty third. If they are not getting ex explosives,

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Speaker 2: which USC has not been producing any on offense on

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Speaker 2: the ground or through the air, it's going to be

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Speaker 2: a problem. I say all that, I mean there's resistance

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Speaker 2: on this number. I'm not really sure I would still

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Speaker 2: buy USC. I could buy the fact that Penn State's

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Speaker 2: traveling west.

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Speaker 1: I could buy the.

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Speaker 2: Fact that they're going to start slow. But at the

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Speaker 2: same time, you know, there's numbers that are coming out

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Speaker 2: of total Nikki here. I mean, they have a kind

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Speaker 2: of some problems with pass blocking, but it doesn't matter.

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Speaker 2: USC generates no pass rush. They're eighty third in havoc.

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Speaker 2: They can't defend the rush. So you know, Singleton, if

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Speaker 2: he plays ca Tron Allen, they're going to have no

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Speaker 2: problems running the ball whatsoever.

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Speaker 5: USC's that's what Minnesota did that last week. Minnesota ran

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Speaker 5: it forty times for two hundred yards. And Penn State's

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Speaker 5: backfield is better, their offensive line, their scheme is better.

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Speaker 1: You have to respect their pass more. And USC.

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Speaker 5: You know, they missed last week Eric Gentry, who I

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Speaker 5: think is going to be out for the year. In

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Speaker 5: his place, he was, I think he's the best run defender.

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Speaker 5: It might be their highest rated defender on the season.

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Speaker 5: In his place, now you get the kid Beavers. Yeah,

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Speaker 5: and last week.

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Speaker 2: He's had forty nine total snaps this year, so.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, and he was playing he played I think how

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Speaker 5: many steps he played, like forty four snaps and before

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Speaker 5: you know, this is a guy I think that was

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Speaker 5: slotted to play strong safety, so this is like a

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Speaker 5: position change for him as well. Not as good as

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Speaker 5: a run defender. So I think Penn State can replicate

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Speaker 5: what Minnesota did with their success on the ground going slow,

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Speaker 5: which again I think it leads me to the lends

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Speaker 5: me to the under here, which I'll probably be on.

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Speaker 2: Let me say this about Eric Gentry because you mentioned it.

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Speaker 2: I just wanted to look it up. The best run

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Speaker 2: defender on this team, It's not even close. PFF grades

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Speaker 2: him ninety one point eight. The next best run defender

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Speaker 2: corner Greedy Vance at seventy five point seven. The massive

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Speaker 2: drop and run defense here is unbelievable. How many mistackles

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Speaker 2: so far forty this year for marriage Gentry is bad.

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Speaker 4: Uh.

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Speaker 2: I think there could be a case to be made

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Speaker 2: the Penn State star slow because the're out west. I

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Speaker 2: think there'll be a case to be made that they'll

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Speaker 2: keep it close because they're going to run the ball

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Speaker 2: and have some with that. I don't know how you bet.

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Speaker 1: Usc I can't I make the game six. I'd still

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Speaker 1: bet it all right.

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Speaker 5: You like Hunt State, I like the under yeah, maybe

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Speaker 5: I'll join you. Not going on the board yet, but

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Speaker 5: let's move on. Before we get to Oregon, Ohio State

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Speaker 5: obviously the biggest game of the day, Let's talk a

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Speaker 5: little Colorado Kansas State.

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Speaker 2: Dion Sanders, Deon Sanders, Dion Sanders, Dion, Dion saluting as

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Speaker 2: he goes.

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Speaker 1: What does you know he'd find the.

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Speaker 5: One Colorado now surprisingly right in the mix in the

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Speaker 5: Big twelve. I mean, if you look at the Big

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Speaker 5: twelve standings right now, Colorado sits at two and zero,

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Speaker 5: Kansas State one and one. I mean this is close too.

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Speaker 5: I mean, who knows in the Big twelve, but this

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Speaker 5: could be an elimination game for Kansas State. So they

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Speaker 5: are sitting at still around four. As we record this,

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Speaker 5: Colorado has taken some money. It spreads at.

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Speaker 2: Four three and a halves. There's three and I mean,

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Speaker 2: you can't even keep up with this thing. It keeps diving.

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Speaker 2: It's three and a halves, now.

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Speaker 1: Three and a halves.

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Speaker 5: I mean, I show value in Kansas State, but I

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Speaker 5: am I may have underestimated. Colorado has shown me some things.

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Speaker 5: But maybe that game against UCF, I mean, maybe that

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Speaker 5: that they were the ones who forced UCF to quit.

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Speaker 5: But I worry about the Kansas State secondary here. The

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Speaker 5: Kansas State secondary is extremely vulnerable, and they're also in

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Speaker 5: their past. Rush doesn't really scare me that much to

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Speaker 5: like make Sanders really pay for you know, still an

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Speaker 5: offensive line that has issues, but that's that's probably against UCF,

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Speaker 5: Like UCF had issues in the secondary and they haven't

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Speaker 5: been really getting home against the quarterback. I do think that,

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Speaker 5: you know, from a props perspective, this is a huge

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Speaker 5: game for Kansas State. Why not you got a unleash

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Speaker 5: Avery Johnson who's still an inconsistent passer and his legs,

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Speaker 5: how does he knock over his rushing prop Colorado can't

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Speaker 5: defend mobile quarterbacks North Dakota State. In the opener, cam

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Speaker 5: Miller sixteen for eighty one. Jefferson went twenty for seventy six.

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Speaker 5: Oh Baylor, I mean Sawyer Robertson nine for eighty two.

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Speaker 5: Earls Sawyer. So I'm gonna dabble in some Avery Johnson

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Speaker 5: maybe maybe some upside there with like one hundred plus

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Speaker 5: or something. But I'm worried about the Kansas State secondary here.

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Speaker 1: What do you say?

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Speaker 2: I don't think that is the only prop you should

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Speaker 2: be hitting. I have never come out with so many

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Speaker 2: prop bets my life, and I'm not a prop better.

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Speaker 2: Let's first off, let's address the fact that, yes, I

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Speaker 2: took a Kansas State minus six in this spot coming

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Speaker 2: off of a bye I thought Colorado would be on

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Speaker 2: the downswing. Didn't happen. You're going to see live wagers

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Speaker 2: covering up that six on Kansas State. If I get

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Speaker 2: the opportunity, maybe they get the ball first, maybe they score.

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Speaker 2: Just so everybody out there knows if I can cover

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Speaker 2: up that six, I will because I am way more

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Speaker 2: interested in a couple of props, and I'm way more

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Speaker 2: interested in the total nervous about Kansas State because last

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Speaker 2: time they went on a road in primetime, BYU just

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Speaker 2: carved them up. Wasn't even close, it was over fast.

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Speaker 2: They've had no success, Kansay has had no success in

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Speaker 2: stopping at posing passing teams. So the handicap really for

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Speaker 2: Colorado we know is Shuara Sanders. How great he is

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Speaker 2: fifteen big time throws a turnover worthy play rate less

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Speaker 2: than one percent. But the guy that's going to cook

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Speaker 2: here is Lejohnte Wester. The slot has massive advantages. What

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Speaker 2: Kansas State is going to put in front of him.

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Speaker 2: The Kansas State defensive finishing drives rank comes from allowing

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Speaker 2: more field goals than touchdowns. That is not the Colorado offense.

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Speaker 2: Colorado is all about quick touchdowns. You go to the

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Speaker 2: other side of the ball. You mentioned it, stuck, I

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Speaker 2: mean Avery Johnson, DJ Giddon's high rush explosives here. I

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Speaker 2: don't expect that to change. Connor Riley's kept up what

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Speaker 2: Colin Klin was doing. Multiple run concepts coming out of

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Speaker 2: their twenty five plays of inside zone, power, counter or man.

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Speaker 2: They run everything. Johnson two hundred, two hundred and twenty

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Speaker 2: yards on the ground from designed run calls and five explosives.

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Speaker 1: You're right, stuck. He should absolutely cook here.

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Speaker 2: Let's give credit to the Colorado defensive coordinator Robert Livingson,

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Speaker 2: who came in from the Cincinnati Bengals. He's improved a

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Speaker 2: number of areas here. Colorado's allowing just two point seven

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Speaker 2: points on drives across the forty This is the tenth

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Speaker 2: best team in the nation and stops. That is a

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Speaker 2: PFF metric that defines that the defines a play as

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Speaker 2: the offense had a complete failure. Basically a one on

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Speaker 2: one tackle right, Colorado's tenth. I mean that is a

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Speaker 2: discipline defense. Here's one stat I could not get over.

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Speaker 2: I still can't get over this. Colorado's offense is a

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Speaker 2: major three and out team.

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Speaker 1: It's boom or bust.

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Speaker 2: Either I'm three plays and out or I'm touchdown with

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Speaker 2: Sugar Sanders's arm. Kansas State opponents are sixteenth fastest time

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Speaker 2: in FBS and touchdown scores. When Kansas State allows you

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Speaker 2: to get a touchdown, it's within two minutes.

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Speaker 5: Think about all the busted comverages down like against Tulane Corners.

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Speaker 2: Last thing, I'll say, Corners, Jacob Parish and Keenan Garber,

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Speaker 2: they're going to be responsible for tracking down Travis Hunter.

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Speaker 2: They've allowed thirty four or fifty one targets to hit

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Speaker 2: most of them explosive. I see Colorado taking shots and

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Speaker 2: I see success. I see Wester being that, but more

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Speaker 2: importantly stuck. I would take an Avery Johnson prop I

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Speaker 2: would take I would take I would take a Wester prop.

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Speaker 2: I would take a Shugarer prop. This is gonna be

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Speaker 2: a lot of numbers here.

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Speaker 1: I take the over.

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Speaker 2: The over is the best play for me.

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Speaker 5: All right, let's move ought to the big one between

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Speaker 5: Oregon and Ohio State, a top five matchup in Eugene

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Speaker 5: Austin Stadium. Rare for Oregon to be a home dog.

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Speaker 5: I think they've been favored in thirty three straight. You

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Speaker 5: gotta go back to twenty seven or twenty seventeen or

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Speaker 5: twenty eighteen against Washington, the last time that they were

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Speaker 5: a home dog. This line sitting around three saw some

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Speaker 5: Ohio State money early. It's been a consistent trickle of

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Speaker 5: Oregon since limits are rays Now is are there gonna

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Speaker 5: be some potential by orders on Ohio State at three?

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 5: Interesting market. This game is really difficult. We're gonna head

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Speaker 5: a gap because both like Ohio State hasn't really faced anybody.

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Speaker 5: And these Big Ten seasons are two games. Now, if

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Speaker 5: you're a top of the Big Ten, it sound like

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Speaker 5: the sec you have, your seasons are two games. And

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Speaker 5: this year Michigan is terrible. So saw Michigan. What are

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Speaker 5: they gonna be three touchdown favorites by that point in

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Speaker 5: that game? Honestly, they might be three touchdown favorites against Michigan.

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Speaker 5: So their season is at Oregon and at Penn State,

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Speaker 5: and they'd probably get in the playoff.

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Speaker 1: They lose both, but.

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Speaker 5: You win those games, you know you're setting yourself up

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Speaker 5: to win the Big Ten to get a buye. So,

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Speaker 5: like we've seen with other teams in the Big Ten recently,

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Speaker 5: you just don't. You don't why, why show anything?

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Speaker 1: Right?

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Speaker 5: And they've probably been holding some things for this game,

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Speaker 5: And I'm sure Oregon has been holding some things for

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Speaker 5: this game. Although Oregon has at least played in the

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Speaker 5: close game where we had to see a bit more.

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Speaker 5: Now you could take that one of two ways. All right,

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Speaker 5: they've actually been tested, they've played in close game. But

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Speaker 5: on the flip side, they should have lost at home

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Speaker 5: the Boise State. Now, Ashton Genty is the best running

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Speaker 5: back in the country. I mean, is he just that

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Speaker 5: good he can't be stopped? Or are there questions with

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Speaker 5: the Oregon run defense. I trust the Oregon pass defense

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Speaker 5: more than their run defense. The metrics aren't great, but

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Speaker 5: there's gent in there. But then again, you look at

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Speaker 5: Ohio State. They have a pretty damn good you could

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Speaker 5: argue the best running back duo in the country. They

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Speaker 5: also have a great wide receiver room. I still have

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Speaker 5: some questions about the offensive line in Ohio State. The

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Speaker 5: defense on paper is out standing. My fear is that

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Speaker 5: Ohio State with how you can how they can scare

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Speaker 5: Oregon with their passing that because you know, you have

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Speaker 5: like Buka, and you have Jeremiah Smith, who is unbelievable

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Speaker 5: already as a freshman, spread him out and then what

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Speaker 5: is Chip Kelly best known as scheming up runs and

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Speaker 5: then they can just gash Oregon similar to what Boise

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Speaker 5: State did without the scary passing attack. Right, that's my

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Speaker 5: fear here. But my numbers say Oregon. You know, coming

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Speaker 5: into the year, I had Oregon favored in this game.

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Speaker 5: Now since I've dropped Oregon a bit, I still can't

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Speaker 5: get the three right. So I've just but we still

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Speaker 5: the data points are lacking for both of these teams,

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Speaker 5: so there's still a lot of uncertainty. We're gonna learn

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Speaker 5: a lot about a lot in this game. But I

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Speaker 5: trust Landing more than Day. Day has not been good

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Speaker 5: in these top five road spots over the past, you know,

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Speaker 5: since he's arrived in Columbus, he also he gets like

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Speaker 5: hold Turtle, He'll get too conservative at times, like on

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Speaker 5: a fourth down, and I trust Lanning to to go

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Speaker 5: for it here. Now the Oregon offense cann't have success

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Speaker 5: moving the ball. There's been no explosiveness. I think they

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Speaker 5: do miss bo Nicks's legs. I do think Oregon has

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Speaker 5: a special teams edge as well, so maybe like the

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Speaker 5: home field, you have to This is how I'm trying

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Speaker 5: to think about this. You have the home field, you

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Speaker 5: have I think the coaching advantage on just like in

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Speaker 5: game decision making, the special team's edge. If I can

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Speaker 5: get the hook, might just take Oregon.

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Speaker 1: I get.

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Speaker 5: I don't feel super great about it, just because the

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Speaker 5: lack of data points you some curious sky your thoughts

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Speaker 5: in this game.

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Speaker 2: I agree with you that three and a half is

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Speaker 2: where I would play Oregon. There is one national book

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Speaker 2: out there as we're recording this, it's still holding three

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Speaker 2: and a half at a decent price, so that would

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Speaker 2: be the last that I would buy of it. I

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Speaker 2: am much more interested in a couple of players in

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Speaker 2: this game. There's just so much familiarity between these two

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Speaker 2: teams that I have to expect they're gonna come out

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Speaker 2: and spend.

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Speaker 1: Player Prop Wilson. That's a turn, you know.

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Speaker 2: Sometimes you get into the x's and o's and the

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Speaker 2: person on the scheme and like just some things pop out,

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Speaker 2: and there's a couple of players in this game that

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Speaker 2: I think purposely have been held off film. You know,

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Speaker 2: let's talk about the familiarity between these two coaching stats.

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Speaker 2: Not just Chip Kelly no Oregon. Of course he does.

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Speaker 2: He just coached the UCLA. He was a former coach there,

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Speaker 2: got him to the twenty eleven BCS title game. But

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Speaker 2: that doesn't matter. The one coach that really knows everything

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Speaker 2: is Carlos Lachlan. He is now the running backs coach

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Speaker 2: of Ohio State. He was hired the first week of

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Speaker 2: April from Oregon, so he knows, you know, those running

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Speaker 2: backs extremely well, and he knows how to attack the

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Speaker 2: Oregon defense extremely well. So I think the first quarter

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Speaker 2: is a feel it out process, like a boxing match.

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Speaker 1: With a bunch of jabs.

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Speaker 2: Quinn, Shawn Jenkins, Treveon Henderson five point five plus yards

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Speaker 2: per carry. Both of the strength of schedules here have

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Speaker 2: been pretty soft, and when they have faced rushing offenses.

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Speaker 1: They've kind of been destroyed.

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Speaker 2: I think the one thing that we haven't seen is

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Speaker 2: that Will Howard had his most designed runs of the

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Speaker 2: season last week at six. He had over forty designed

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Speaker 2: runs for Kansas State last year. We all know he

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Speaker 2: can tuck it and run. We haven't seen that. I

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Speaker 2: think Chip Kelly's held it off film, and I think

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Speaker 2: we're going to see a lot of that right now.

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Speaker 2: Will Howard's over rushing prop is at sixteen and a half.

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Speaker 2: Go watch some Kansas State film. He's capable of doing

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Speaker 2: what Oregon really doesn't defend as well as they do

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Speaker 2: the pass, which is run right up the gut, run

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Speaker 2: inside zone.

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Speaker 5: I also agree with this game probably starts slow, feel

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Speaker 5: each other out. I don't mind the first half under here,

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Speaker 5: but for the full game. What scares me about Oregon

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Speaker 5: is the red zone. So they don't have super big

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Speaker 5: targets right in a wide receiver, and they don't have

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Speaker 5: bo Nix's rushing ability right, so it becomes much more

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Speaker 5: difficult for them to execute when the field shrinks. Whereas

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Speaker 5: Ohio State has receivers who can go up get the ball,

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Speaker 5: dynamic running backs, they have a quarterback that can run

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Speaker 5: the ball and effectively use his legs. I trust Ohio

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Speaker 5: State to finish off drives in the red zone more

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Speaker 5: than Oregon. You know, really could end up being the difference.

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Speaker 2: Well, Ohio State runs a lot of inside zone and

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Speaker 2: organ has been shredded by it. So I do like

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Speaker 2: Ohio State's ability get down the field and run the ball.

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Speaker 2: What's the strength of the Orgon defense. It's this second

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Speaker 2: in the nation havoc. But that all comes from the secondary.

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Speaker 2: From a total perspective, stuck, I think we agree that

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Speaker 2: first quarter under there's going to be a point where

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Speaker 2: this pivots and we're going to start throwing hay makers.

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Speaker 2: Just watch what Orgon's done on their explosive plays. There

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Speaker 2: hasn't been that many from Dylan Gabriel, but look, Dylan

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Speaker 2: Gabriel is not running the ball whatsoever. Look what they've

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Speaker 2: done on their most explosive plays. It's on film. They

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Speaker 2: move the pocket to the left, Dylan Gabriel runs ourpo

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Speaker 2: They moved the pocket to the left, Dylan Gabriel fakes

385
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Speaker 2: that he's running, chucks it downfield. When that pocket starts

386
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Speaker 2: moving for Orgon, you can expect some sort of explosive

387
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Speaker 2: play to come. I think will Stein has purposely left

388
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Speaker 2: Dylan Gabriel what he is capable doing off film. Right now,

389
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Speaker 2: his average depth of target is below seven. Extremely bo nixish,

390
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Speaker 2: but We know Dylan Gabriel can go deeper than that

391
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Speaker 2: because his career at Oklahoma was well above that. And

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Speaker 2: then Jordan James is a guy that I think you

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Speaker 2: should take over seventy three and a half on his

394
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Speaker 2: rushing yards, Jordan James is dominating in power run concepts.

395
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Speaker 2: Eleven of his thirty one attempts in power have gone

396
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Speaker 2: for explosive plays. You flip over and look at Ohio State.

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Speaker 2: They've been good against zone read option negative zero point

398
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Speaker 2: six epa versus power. It is extremely low, that screams

399
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Speaker 2: Jordan James. I like Jordan James over seventy three and

400
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Speaker 2: a half. You can get Dylan Gabriel to score a

401
00:20:17,640 --> 00:20:21,080
Speaker 2: touchdown around plus two twenty ish out there. I like

402
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Speaker 2: Oregon in the three and a half. I'd be the

403
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Speaker 2: last number I buy. I think the game starts slow.

404
00:20:24,840 --> 00:20:28,000
Speaker 2: You can expect a live over to come in somewhere. Also,

405
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Speaker 2: keep in mind about point flips. I know it's a

406
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Speaker 2: short sample, but I went back a couple extra years.

407
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Speaker 2: Dan Landing right now is ninetieth in the middle eight.

408
00:20:36,119 --> 00:20:38,000
Speaker 2: Ryan Day's thirty second in the middle eight. I'm not

409
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Speaker 2: sure Ryan Day can finish this game, but around the

410
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Speaker 2: middle eight. There's just been better clock manager on the

411
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Speaker 2: Ohio State side, But I like the over after we

412
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Speaker 2: get a cup about two series of just straight running.

413
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Speaker 2: I think Will Howard's gonna clip sixteen and a half

414
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Speaker 2: because that's his better option than throwing into this Oregon secondary.

415
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Speaker 2: Ultimately Ducks pull this off by covering the number. But

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Speaker 2: I definitely like Dylan Gabriel get in games to go

417
00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:01,879
Speaker 2: over his prop and Will Howard to get over his

418
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Speaker 2: rushing prop.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, kind of on the same page three and a

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Speaker 5: half for Oregon. I think first half under is the

421
00:21:08,119 --> 00:21:10,960
Speaker 5: look but difficult game to a handicap because data points

422
00:21:10,960 --> 00:21:12,920
Speaker 5: have not been great, and I agree. I think both

423
00:21:12,920 --> 00:21:16,520
Speaker 5: teams have been holding a lot back. So I'm really

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Speaker 5: looking forward to watching this one. All right, let's move

425
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Speaker 5: on to the rundown. Let's hit said about six games here.

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Speaker 5: Let's start Iowa State West Virginia. I think we're going

427
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Speaker 5: to head to head here. I like West Virginia. Here,

428
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Speaker 5: I'm putting it on the board. Well, graded at three,

429
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Speaker 5: you know, I have some three and a half, but uh,

430
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Speaker 5: we're graded at three. I mean, look, Iowa State is

431
00:21:36,680 --> 00:21:39,000
Speaker 5: going to hit some explosives in the air against this

432
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Speaker 5: West Virginia secondary. But Western's gonna be able to run

433
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Speaker 5: the ball on Iowa. See Iowa States down to like

434
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Speaker 5: three third stringers at linebacker. Now, it's bad and they

435
00:21:49,040 --> 00:21:50,960
Speaker 5: haven't some of haven't really played anybody. They had to

436
00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:53,960
Speaker 5: comeback win against Iowa West Virginia. By the way, their

437
00:21:54,040 --> 00:21:59,760
Speaker 5: two losses are to pit and in again, they should

438
00:21:59,760 --> 00:22:07,080
Speaker 5: have won. And boy, that fifteam is lucky to get

439
00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:09,880
Speaker 5: lost the pen. The Penn State two teams are undefeated.

440
00:22:11,119 --> 00:22:15,760
Speaker 5: I think that the injuries for Iowa State are too

441
00:22:15,840 --> 00:22:19,399
Speaker 5: much here. I think West Virginia can just run the

442
00:22:19,400 --> 00:22:21,840
Speaker 5: ball and take advantage of these linebacker injuries.

443
00:22:22,680 --> 00:22:27,680
Speaker 1: I like the years. Yeah like Iowa State.

444
00:22:28,000 --> 00:22:30,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, I do love Iowa State. There's a little bit

445
00:22:30,280 --> 00:22:32,240
Speaker 2: of a havoc factor. I would worry about West Virginia,

446
00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:34,680
Speaker 2: especially when they're not just absolutely running it up the gut,

447
00:22:34,720 --> 00:22:36,960
Speaker 2: which they might do in this game. But Iowa State

448
00:22:37,040 --> 00:22:40,360
Speaker 2: has better numbers defensively, in quality and finishing drives. We'll

449
00:22:40,359 --> 00:22:42,199
Speaker 2: see if that plays out here on the road. But

450
00:22:43,040 --> 00:22:45,560
Speaker 2: you know, I'm uncomfortable on the fact that Iowa State

451
00:22:45,600 --> 00:22:47,639
Speaker 2: is one hundred and fifteenth and tackling They're getting sloppy

452
00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:49,120
Speaker 2: and they're allowing explosives and.

453
00:22:49,040 --> 00:22:51,640
Speaker 5: They have no linebackers left right, I.

454
00:22:51,560 --> 00:22:53,800
Speaker 2: Know, and West Virginia's top twenty five in both Russian

455
00:22:53,800 --> 00:22:56,439
Speaker 2: past EPA. I mean, I think there's a havoc problem

456
00:22:56,440 --> 00:22:59,119
Speaker 2: here for West Virginia. So if they play clean football

457
00:22:59,160 --> 00:23:01,639
Speaker 2: and don't turn it over. By the way, West Virginia

458
00:23:01,680 --> 00:23:04,520
Speaker 2: is near dead last and coverage grading, they're near dead

459
00:23:04,720 --> 00:23:08,399
Speaker 2: their bottom twenty and finishing drives defensively, They've got to

460
00:23:08,400 --> 00:23:10,600
Speaker 2: clean some stuff up through the air defensively because they've

461
00:23:10,640 --> 00:23:12,800
Speaker 2: been taking advantage of on the back seven rock Obec

462
00:23:13,840 --> 00:23:15,480
Speaker 2: maybe not shown it so far this year, but we

463
00:23:15,560 --> 00:23:18,400
Speaker 2: know he has an absolute cannon. So we'll go head

464
00:23:18,400 --> 00:23:20,520
Speaker 2: to head here. But West Virginia's got to play a

465
00:23:20,520 --> 00:23:21,359
Speaker 2: clean football game for you.

466
00:23:21,760 --> 00:23:24,280
Speaker 5: Well, you mentioned West Virginia's numbers on defense, Yeah, they

467
00:23:24,280 --> 00:23:26,480
Speaker 5: were second. Are definitely some questions, but they played Penn State.

468
00:23:27,000 --> 00:23:29,360
Speaker 5: You know, they played pitt They played Kansas, Stay played

469
00:23:29,640 --> 00:23:35,320
Speaker 5: Who's Iowa State play North Dakota, Iowa? Arkansas State, Houston

470
00:23:35,600 --> 00:23:38,040
Speaker 5: before the quarterback change, who couldn't score a point for

471
00:23:38,119 --> 00:23:42,360
Speaker 5: weeks and Baylor. I mean, I can't really play anybody yet.

472
00:23:42,480 --> 00:23:44,240
Speaker 2: You're disparaging our Iowa offense.

473
00:23:44,720 --> 00:23:46,760
Speaker 5: Come on now, well we need them this week. More

474
00:23:46,760 --> 00:23:52,359
Speaker 5: on that later. South Carolina at Alabama, you like South

475
00:23:52,359 --> 00:23:56,080
Speaker 5: County references earlier this week? I think I'm gonna get there.

476
00:23:56,920 --> 00:23:59,760
Speaker 5: I'm just worried if they fall behind, what is the

477
00:24:01,000 --> 00:24:03,439
Speaker 5: because then it's going to look like last week. But

478
00:24:04,000 --> 00:24:05,520
Speaker 5: I think this numbers inflatd. I think a lot of

479
00:24:05,520 --> 00:24:09,520
Speaker 5: times people are like, oh, this team loss, this big

480
00:24:09,600 --> 00:24:11,560
Speaker 5: favor got upset, But a lot of us they come

481
00:24:11,560 --> 00:24:13,480
Speaker 5: out flat the next week, and then the line is inflated,

482
00:24:13,600 --> 00:24:15,800
Speaker 5: and by the way, Alabama is Tennessee on deck. That

483
00:24:15,920 --> 00:24:18,040
Speaker 5: South Canda defense is still pretty good. You like the

484
00:24:18,080 --> 00:24:18,600
Speaker 5: Cocks here?

485
00:24:18,880 --> 00:24:19,200
Speaker 2: I do.

486
00:24:19,280 --> 00:24:19,480
Speaker 4: I do.

487
00:24:19,800 --> 00:24:22,000
Speaker 2: It's not a I mean I like this number. I

488
00:24:22,040 --> 00:24:23,760
Speaker 2: make it nineteen and a half. That's what drew me

489
00:24:23,760 --> 00:24:26,040
Speaker 2: to it above twenty one. And I think there's some

490
00:24:26,040 --> 00:24:27,560
Speaker 2: things that you have to look at here, like is

491
00:24:27,600 --> 00:24:30,080
Speaker 2: Alabama's offense going to be able to just instantly score

492
00:24:30,160 --> 00:24:30,680
Speaker 2: through the air?

493
00:24:31,119 --> 00:24:31,760
Speaker 1: I don't think so.

494
00:24:31,880 --> 00:24:34,719
Speaker 2: I mean South Carolina's top ten and defensive passing success right,

495
00:24:34,760 --> 00:24:37,800
Speaker 2: they're ARYD twelfth in coverage by PFF. That is a

496
00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:40,119
Speaker 2: lot of data that tells me that South Carolina is

497
00:24:40,160 --> 00:24:43,840
Speaker 2: playing legit defense against passing offenses that could be a

498
00:24:43,880 --> 00:24:46,639
Speaker 2: problem against, you know, an Alabama team that thrives on

499
00:24:46,680 --> 00:24:51,240
Speaker 2: creating quick explosives. And didn't Alabama have problem with a

500
00:24:51,280 --> 00:24:54,440
Speaker 2: mobile quarterback against South Florida. I mean that's in there too.

501
00:24:55,840 --> 00:24:57,879
Speaker 2: You know there's other things here. I mean South Carolina

502
00:24:58,000 --> 00:25:00,480
Speaker 2: is top ten and defending pass explosive that kind of

503
00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:02,600
Speaker 2: takes you know, maybe they can do something with Ryan Williams.

504
00:25:02,600 --> 00:25:04,440
Speaker 2: Maybe you know, have twelve men on the field and

505
00:25:04,480 --> 00:25:06,280
Speaker 2: have more guard Ryan Williams. I don't know, but I

506
00:25:06,320 --> 00:25:09,399
Speaker 2: think there's enough here to say that South Carolina, with

507
00:25:09,440 --> 00:25:13,200
Speaker 2: a mobile quarterback on one side and then a very strong,

508
00:25:13,520 --> 00:25:17,160
Speaker 2: havoc minded top fifteen havoc defense with great coverage, can

509
00:25:17,160 --> 00:25:18,600
Speaker 2: at least put a little bit of a dent in

510
00:25:18,600 --> 00:25:21,000
Speaker 2: this Alabama offense and stop them up just a little bit.

511
00:25:21,200 --> 00:25:23,600
Speaker 2: And you can't blame strength to schedule here for anything.

512
00:25:23,640 --> 00:25:25,879
Speaker 2: Both these teams just slip inside the top thirty. So

513
00:25:25,920 --> 00:25:28,119
Speaker 2: these are legit numbers of South Carolina has on defense

514
00:25:28,160 --> 00:25:29,120
Speaker 2: defending the pass.

515
00:25:29,400 --> 00:25:32,040
Speaker 5: Yeah, I would be a little bit concerned if if

516
00:25:32,119 --> 00:25:34,640
Speaker 5: fortune of South kind of starting corners out.

517
00:25:34,760 --> 00:25:38,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, necked up last week. That would be a buy off.

518
00:25:38,720 --> 00:25:41,960
Speaker 1: That's something to yeah to a monitor, just.

519
00:25:42,040 --> 00:25:45,119
Speaker 2: A good old friendly expression from the Deep South.

520
00:25:45,520 --> 00:25:47,680
Speaker 1: Bye and hurried.

521
00:25:47,359 --> 00:25:51,920
Speaker 5: Back Arizona BYU. I think Arizona gets them, yeah.

522
00:25:52,119 --> 00:25:54,240
Speaker 2: I mean we never believed in BYU from the beginning,

523
00:25:54,240 --> 00:25:55,680
Speaker 2: and we know what Arizona can do through the air

524
00:25:55,720 --> 00:25:56,320
Speaker 2: and reds left.

525
00:25:56,520 --> 00:25:59,439
Speaker 5: I mean, you got to attack this Arizona team on

526
00:25:59,440 --> 00:26:02,040
Speaker 5: the ground, yep, and by you can't really do that.

527
00:26:02,600 --> 00:26:04,359
Speaker 2: Well. Not only that, I think it was a little

528
00:26:04,359 --> 00:26:05,879
Speaker 2: bit of a mirage about what they came out and

529
00:26:05,880 --> 00:26:07,840
Speaker 2: did to Baylor to start that game. You can't really,

530
00:26:07,880 --> 00:26:10,159
Speaker 2: I mean once Baylor woke up, it turned into a

531
00:26:10,160 --> 00:26:13,600
Speaker 2: completely different game. So no, I like Arizona here, and

532
00:26:13,640 --> 00:26:15,800
Speaker 2: you know, I mean Brent Brennan, it's his first year.

533
00:26:16,359 --> 00:26:18,160
Speaker 2: Second half of the season could be a completely different

534
00:26:18,160 --> 00:26:20,720
Speaker 2: story with some of these numbers, especially from how they're

535
00:26:20,760 --> 00:26:23,200
Speaker 2: executing in the red zone, which has been poor, how

536
00:26:23,280 --> 00:26:26,080
Speaker 2: they're executing in the trench been poor. I think they

537
00:26:26,080 --> 00:26:27,760
Speaker 2: have a chance to get better on both sides of

538
00:26:27,760 --> 00:26:29,320
Speaker 2: the ball. I think I agree with you here.

539
00:26:29,640 --> 00:26:31,920
Speaker 5: Retslav has some mistakes coming his way. And by the way,

540
00:26:31,920 --> 00:26:35,200
Speaker 5: I mean they beat Southern Illinois. They caught SMU and

541
00:26:35,240 --> 00:26:37,240
Speaker 5: they got pretty lucky in that game. But they caught

542
00:26:37,280 --> 00:26:40,600
Speaker 5: SMU and SMU was still in disarray. From a quarterback perspective,

543
00:26:40,680 --> 00:26:44,439
Speaker 5: they beat Wyoming, who cares It'd beat Kansas State at home,

544
00:26:44,480 --> 00:26:47,280
Speaker 5: and I mean they had what twenty eight points in

545
00:26:47,280 --> 00:26:50,800
Speaker 5: like two minutes off Flukes. I mean they were outplayed

546
00:26:50,800 --> 00:26:52,440
Speaker 5: in that game in a down to down basis. Then yeah,

547
00:26:52,640 --> 00:26:55,240
Speaker 5: at Baylor, it just jumped out to that big lead

548
00:26:55,280 --> 00:26:57,680
Speaker 5: and held on. I know they're coming off the buye here,

549
00:26:57,720 --> 00:27:02,560
Speaker 5: but I think Arizona gets them. Florida at Tennessee. Tennessee

550
00:27:02,600 --> 00:27:04,359
Speaker 5: over two touchdown favored.

551
00:27:04,440 --> 00:27:04,640
Speaker 1: Here.

552
00:27:05,119 --> 00:27:07,960
Speaker 5: Is Wilson going to play for Florida? That's a key

553
00:27:08,040 --> 00:27:12,840
Speaker 5: question here. Does Florida bounce back? I would be inclined

554
00:27:13,400 --> 00:27:15,440
Speaker 5: to bet this over, and I think that's the look here.

555
00:27:15,480 --> 00:27:18,800
Speaker 5: If Wilson plays. The Tennessee defense has issues. Been talking

556
00:27:18,800 --> 00:27:21,960
Speaker 5: about their secondary is bad. I haven't been tested yet.

557
00:27:22,160 --> 00:27:24,000
Speaker 5: I think Florida can have some success throwing it.

558
00:27:24,520 --> 00:27:24,720
Speaker 4: Yeah.

559
00:27:24,960 --> 00:27:28,359
Speaker 5: I do expect Tennessee's offense to get back on track here.

560
00:27:28,440 --> 00:27:31,600
Speaker 5: Why because Florida's defense is not good. They can't stop

561
00:27:31,640 --> 00:27:33,640
Speaker 5: the run. That's what you have to look at. Soy,

562
00:27:33,640 --> 00:27:36,680
Speaker 5: I like Arkansas last week. That's why incorrectly like Oklahoma.

563
00:27:36,840 --> 00:27:39,600
Speaker 5: It stop the run, you can slow down Sampson. You

564
00:27:39,640 --> 00:27:44,640
Speaker 5: can get this offense. So I couldn't lay over two touchdowns.

565
00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:46,280
Speaker 5: But if this number keeps coming down, I would look

566
00:27:46,320 --> 00:27:48,159
Speaker 5: at actually, maybe look at Tennessee first half. You got

567
00:27:48,240 --> 00:27:50,439
Speaker 5: remember they have Alabama on deck. Pipel generally has been

568
00:27:50,520 --> 00:27:54,720
Speaker 5: very good in first halves. It should be a raucous environment.

569
00:27:56,840 --> 00:28:01,440
Speaker 5: Florida's still doing their quarterback rotation, and Napier's been horrendous

570
00:28:01,440 --> 00:28:07,240
Speaker 5: on the road. So yeah, I would lean Tennessee first half,

571
00:28:08,280 --> 00:28:12,840
Speaker 5: and we'll look at the over, especially if Wilson plays,

572
00:28:12,840 --> 00:28:14,520
Speaker 5: which is what I'm monitoring any thoughts here.

573
00:28:15,080 --> 00:28:17,160
Speaker 2: I'm having a hard time getting to this number. I'm

574
00:28:17,200 --> 00:28:18,560
Speaker 2: just a little bit shy of where it's at, so

575
00:28:18,600 --> 00:28:22,840
Speaker 2: I respect the move that's happened here. Plus, Florida's outside

576
00:28:22,880 --> 00:28:25,440
Speaker 2: the top one hundred and rushing success rate defensively, which

577
00:28:25,480 --> 00:28:27,320
Speaker 2: tells me that Sampson might be the one that has

578
00:28:27,320 --> 00:28:32,200
Speaker 2: the bigger game here. I'm still a little set back

579
00:28:32,680 --> 00:28:34,800
Speaker 2: by the game plan that Travis Williams put on this

580
00:28:34,840 --> 00:28:38,480
Speaker 2: Tennessee defense to stop them from throwing this personnel group

581
00:28:38,520 --> 00:28:40,200
Speaker 2: that he put out there that he's never shown on

582
00:28:40,240 --> 00:28:43,160
Speaker 2: tape once. Well, now that's out there for everybody to watch.

583
00:28:43,440 --> 00:28:47,360
Speaker 2: And it's not like besides one Deontay Thornton explosive pass

584
00:28:47,400 --> 00:28:49,720
Speaker 2: against Ou that, oh, you didn't have success at least

585
00:28:49,720 --> 00:28:51,760
Speaker 2: put it throwing up a couple of hurdles on the

586
00:28:51,760 --> 00:28:54,080
Speaker 2: way to the end zone when that game got played.

587
00:28:54,120 --> 00:28:56,600
Speaker 2: So I'm a little hesitant on what this Tennessee offense

588
00:28:56,720 --> 00:28:59,080
Speaker 2: is and if the book has been out there and

589
00:28:59,120 --> 00:29:01,640
Speaker 2: now Travis william has told everybody how to defend this.

590
00:29:01,760 --> 00:29:03,960
Speaker 2: So I can't get there. I could be talked into

591
00:29:03,960 --> 00:29:06,240
Speaker 2: the Florida number. I haven't bet it, but I agree

592
00:29:06,240 --> 00:29:09,160
Speaker 2: with you. I think they can have success, especially on offense.

593
00:29:09,880 --> 00:29:11,600
Speaker 2: Some of the numbers in here suggest that they're going

594
00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:13,600
Speaker 2: to be able to do some damage here at least

595
00:29:13,640 --> 00:29:15,600
Speaker 2: get a couple scores to hang around. So I haven't

596
00:29:15,600 --> 00:29:17,960
Speaker 2: made a decision between Over and Florida, but I'm there

597
00:29:18,720 --> 00:29:20,200
Speaker 2: scared money don't make money.

598
00:29:20,320 --> 00:29:24,360
Speaker 5: You know, Wake Forest Clemson, Clemson has been rolling. I

599
00:29:24,440 --> 00:29:25,680
Speaker 5: might be able to get here on Wake if they

600
00:29:25,680 --> 00:29:27,640
Speaker 5: get the twenty one. I mean, their defense is terrible,

601
00:29:27,760 --> 00:29:30,880
Speaker 5: they have more injuries. Clemson should be able to score.

602
00:29:31,000 --> 00:29:35,000
Speaker 5: But Clayborn in company that wake Forest offense has some juice. Yeah,

603
00:29:35,200 --> 00:29:38,000
Speaker 5: you have three touchdowns at home. Hope this line keeps

604
00:29:38,040 --> 00:29:40,360
Speaker 5: going up. Clemson takes a ton of money every week now,

605
00:29:40,360 --> 00:29:41,480
Speaker 5: so maybe if it gets there.

606
00:29:41,840 --> 00:29:43,400
Speaker 3: Well, fund's in the winning.

607
00:29:43,640 --> 00:29:46,040
Speaker 2: Fun is in the winning. It's hard to win if

608
00:29:46,040 --> 00:29:49,440
Speaker 2: you can't have fun winning, why you do it. Wake

609
00:29:49,480 --> 00:29:51,840
Speaker 2: Forest's defensive numbers have been horrific all year. But the

610
00:29:51,880 --> 00:29:54,479
Speaker 2: one thing that they do do is they stop explosive rushing.

611
00:29:55,080 --> 00:29:57,120
Speaker 2: That's something that you have to have against Clemson's office

612
00:29:57,120 --> 00:29:58,920
Speaker 2: because that's the only way that they have chunk yards.

613
00:29:59,280 --> 00:30:02,640
Speaker 2: Wake Forest is offense, you know, strength to schedule fifty second.

614
00:30:02,760 --> 00:30:03,320
Speaker 1: Not too bad.

615
00:30:03,720 --> 00:30:05,960
Speaker 2: They're producing a lot of success on the ground and

616
00:30:06,000 --> 00:30:08,400
Speaker 2: they're not beating themselves. They're top twenty five and havoc allowed,

617
00:30:08,440 --> 00:30:12,120
Speaker 2: which is where Clemson's defense thrives. Because there are other

618
00:30:12,160 --> 00:30:14,960
Speaker 2: areas where Clemson is really struggling. They're outside the top

619
00:30:15,000 --> 00:30:17,880
Speaker 2: one hundred line yards, they're not producing a pass rush,

620
00:30:18,360 --> 00:30:21,200
Speaker 2: they're outside the top one hundred defensive finishing drives.

621
00:30:21,480 --> 00:30:22,560
Speaker 1: If you can get into position.

622
00:30:22,600 --> 00:30:25,080
Speaker 2: You can get points on Clemson. The problem is everybody's

623
00:30:25,080 --> 00:30:27,560
Speaker 2: focusing on how many rush explosives and these huge gains

624
00:30:27,560 --> 00:30:28,920
Speaker 2: that they see or putting up. I don't know one

625
00:30:29,000 --> 00:30:32,920
Speaker 2: hundred and eighty points on Apple State Wake Forest. They

626
00:30:33,120 --> 00:30:34,560
Speaker 2: they can hang around, they can score some points.

627
00:30:34,600 --> 00:30:35,360
Speaker 1: So I agree with you.

628
00:30:35,400 --> 00:30:38,040
Speaker 2: I make it right on twenty one. I think I

629
00:30:38,080 --> 00:30:39,840
Speaker 2: feel like this is going to be a Saturday morning

630
00:30:39,840 --> 00:30:41,720
Speaker 2: steam that has be getting on the Demon decks.

631
00:30:42,240 --> 00:30:44,920
Speaker 5: Yeah, Donovan Green is out, which is unfortunate because when

632
00:30:44,920 --> 00:30:48,200
Speaker 5: he's healthy, he's one of the best receivers in the

633
00:30:48,240 --> 00:30:51,560
Speaker 5: ACC and he's just been banged off the past couple

634
00:30:51,600 --> 00:30:56,160
Speaker 5: of weeks. Right, Hi, Let's move on to Vanderbilt Kentucky,

635
00:30:57,120 --> 00:31:04,520
Speaker 5: who has arrived the Diego whisper. I think I've gotten

636
00:31:04,560 --> 00:31:07,120
Speaker 5: every bandy game right this year, and I wanted to

637
00:31:07,160 --> 00:31:10,920
Speaker 5: fade Vanderbilt. I think they're still celebrating on Broadway. Diego

638
00:31:11,000 --> 00:31:15,560
Speaker 5: might still be turned. I wanted to fade them here

639
00:31:15,720 --> 00:31:18,400
Speaker 5: in this spot. I just Stoops has not been good

640
00:31:18,400 --> 00:31:20,360
Speaker 5: off a bye. By the way, He's four and ten

641
00:31:20,360 --> 00:31:22,520
Speaker 5: against the spreadfield, the cover back a touchdown per game.

642
00:31:23,040 --> 00:31:25,920
Speaker 5: His teams generally haven't come out very sharp. But and

643
00:31:25,920 --> 00:31:29,040
Speaker 5: I also don't want to lay two touchdowns with this

644
00:31:29,120 --> 00:31:32,920
Speaker 5: Kentucky team in a game that could have eight possessions.

645
00:31:33,320 --> 00:31:35,120
Speaker 1: So what do I think the play is? Here? Under

646
00:31:35,160 --> 00:31:36,920
Speaker 1: all the way under under under.

647
00:31:37,040 --> 00:31:39,960
Speaker 5: I also played Bandy team total under. I mean this

648
00:31:40,040 --> 00:31:42,920
Speaker 5: Kentucky defense is the real deal. What they did to

649
00:31:42,960 --> 00:31:45,320
Speaker 5: Ole Miss, holding Ole Miss to seventeen points without their

650
00:31:45,320 --> 00:31:52,560
Speaker 5: top corner. They held Georgia below seventeen points too. I

651
00:31:52,600 --> 00:31:54,760
Speaker 5: think Hal's I don't think Vandy can move the ball

652
00:31:54,760 --> 00:31:57,120
Speaker 5: on the ground. You can't run it on Kentucky. Kentucky

653
00:31:57,160 --> 00:31:59,640
Speaker 5: will take away the explosives. I think Vanderbilt might be

654
00:31:59,640 --> 00:32:02,200
Speaker 5: a bit they don't have two weeks putting everything into

655
00:32:02,240 --> 00:32:05,680
Speaker 5: the game plan against Alabama. I think Kentucky's defensive line

656
00:32:05,680 --> 00:32:09,440
Speaker 5: will just dominate this Vandy offensive line. And the Vandy

657
00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:14,760
Speaker 5: defense has been pretty good. I mean, they held their

658
00:32:14,800 --> 00:32:16,720
Speaker 5: own against.

659
00:32:16,440 --> 00:32:19,240
Speaker 2: Alabama rush defending the rush, yes, and defending.

660
00:32:18,960 --> 00:32:22,320
Speaker 5: The run, and that's where Kentucky's been best. Kentucky's offense

661
00:32:22,360 --> 00:32:26,120
Speaker 5: has been good running the ball one hundred and twenty

662
00:32:26,120 --> 00:32:29,640
Speaker 5: third past success rate, fourteenth rush success rate, well, Vandy

663
00:32:30,000 --> 00:32:34,400
Speaker 5: top fifteen rush success right on defense, so Dandy wants

664
00:32:34,440 --> 00:32:38,520
Speaker 5: to go super slow Kentucky. They talked about tempo not happening.

665
00:32:38,600 --> 00:32:44,240
Speaker 5: They're super slow, limited possessions under under under low scoring game.

666
00:32:44,480 --> 00:32:45,200
Speaker 1: I'll say.

667
00:32:46,560 --> 00:32:52,280
Speaker 5: Kentucky twenty four Vandy thirteen.

668
00:32:53,200 --> 00:32:56,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, twelve and a half was out there on Sunday

669
00:32:56,360 --> 00:32:58,200
Speaker 2: for a couple of hours, and so I jumped on

670
00:32:58,240 --> 00:33:00,800
Speaker 2: that as a numbers play from a hangover perspective. But

671
00:33:00,840 --> 00:33:04,320
Speaker 2: I was aware of what Stoops does off of a

672
00:33:04,360 --> 00:33:06,400
Speaker 2: bye and the total, which makes it a little bit tough.

673
00:33:06,400 --> 00:33:08,360
Speaker 2: But at fourteen and a half, if we get that live,

674
00:33:09,040 --> 00:33:11,360
Speaker 2: it's not going to do their pre kick. But fourteen

675
00:33:11,360 --> 00:33:13,400
Speaker 2: and a half live, I probably would come back on this,

676
00:33:13,480 --> 00:33:16,080
Speaker 2: but I completely agree with you on this under. I

677
00:33:16,120 --> 00:33:18,600
Speaker 2: would really kind of focus on the first half under.

678
00:33:18,920 --> 00:33:21,640
Speaker 2: When you look and say, well, can Diego run the

679
00:33:21,640 --> 00:33:24,400
Speaker 2: ball against this Kentucky defensive line, The answer is absolutely not.

680
00:33:24,520 --> 00:33:26,719
Speaker 2: This offensive line for Vanderbilt is outside the top one

681
00:33:26,800 --> 00:33:28,960
Speaker 2: hundred line yards, which means Diego's the ones got to

682
00:33:29,000 --> 00:33:31,120
Speaker 2: do all the running himself. It's just not going to

683
00:33:31,160 --> 00:33:33,120
Speaker 2: happen against this Kentucky defense when you look at what

684
00:33:33,160 --> 00:33:35,520
Speaker 2: they do, especially defensive stuff. Right if it's like fourth

685
00:33:35,520 --> 00:33:38,360
Speaker 2: and one third and two Kentucky's top fifteen and defensive

686
00:33:38,400 --> 00:33:38,840
Speaker 2: stuff rate.

687
00:33:38,920 --> 00:33:41,720
Speaker 1: So I agree with you.

688
00:33:41,720 --> 00:33:43,080
Speaker 2: I think this is an under all the way. There's

689
00:33:43,120 --> 00:33:44,800
Speaker 2: going to be a huge period of hangover, so I

690
00:33:45,120 --> 00:33:46,800
Speaker 2: would do first half under, but I am going to

691
00:33:46,840 --> 00:33:49,080
Speaker 2: try to get out of Kentucky gets first score. We

692
00:33:49,160 --> 00:33:50,800
Speaker 2: had a live number over. I will get out of

693
00:33:50,800 --> 00:33:52,480
Speaker 2: the twelve and a half that was on the open

694
00:33:52,520 --> 00:33:53,800
Speaker 2: for the Wildcats.

695
00:33:54,320 --> 00:33:56,880
Speaker 1: All right, good stuff there, It's time to get.

696
00:33:57,440 --> 00:34:00,960
Speaker 4: To some trash, the trash man and pick of the week.

697
00:34:01,520 --> 00:34:04,920
Speaker 1: I'm the trash man. Just throw me the trash, your garbage,

698
00:34:05,240 --> 00:34:06,000
Speaker 1: and you know it.

699
00:34:06,320 --> 00:34:08,480
Speaker 2: Totally unreliable, undependable.

700
00:34:08,480 --> 00:34:09,040
Speaker 5: That's it.

701
00:34:09,160 --> 00:34:09,759
Speaker 1: You've been told off.

702
00:34:09,840 --> 00:34:10,360
Speaker 2: How do you like that?

703
00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:11,000
Speaker 3: Good?

704
00:34:12,040 --> 00:34:15,080
Speaker 5: All right, we're back for some trash. Last week the

705
00:34:15,120 --> 00:34:17,520
Speaker 5: trash man he just missed. He missed a couple of

706
00:34:17,520 --> 00:34:20,080
Speaker 5: appointment he was missing. Hols is not picking up the

707
00:34:20,120 --> 00:34:22,640
Speaker 5: trash right the first couple of weeks. Got back on

708
00:34:22,719 --> 00:34:26,279
Speaker 5: track last week. Hopefully carry that throughout the rest of

709
00:34:26,320 --> 00:34:28,120
Speaker 5: the year. We got four trash picks this s week.

710
00:34:28,200 --> 00:34:30,840
Speaker 5: He's always I'll give a couple of senses. You say,

711
00:34:31,080 --> 00:34:34,960
Speaker 5: if you agree or not, Let's start off on the island.

712
00:34:35,040 --> 00:34:39,799
Speaker 5: Baby Hawaii against Boise State. Give me three touchdowns here.

713
00:34:40,040 --> 00:34:40,560
Speaker 1: I think it's two.

714
00:34:40,600 --> 00:34:43,400
Speaker 5: I I'm around eighteen. Yeah, Jens, he's gonna run wild.

715
00:34:43,560 --> 00:34:46,160
Speaker 5: He's gonna get his Although Hawaii defense been a little

716
00:34:46,160 --> 00:34:48,160
Speaker 5: fisier than I thought they'd be this year. The problem

717
00:34:48,200 --> 00:34:51,040
Speaker 5: is Boise State can't stop anybody. I mean Utah State

718
00:34:51,080 --> 00:34:54,160
Speaker 5: out here putting up thirty on them. Georgia Southern put

719
00:34:54,239 --> 00:34:56,520
Speaker 5: up forty five if you needed the back doors and

720
00:34:56,600 --> 00:34:59,920
Speaker 5: be wide open. And Boise has bigger fish to fry.

721
00:35:00,120 --> 00:35:02,240
Speaker 5: We've seen that with gents. He's not playing the second

722
00:35:02,239 --> 00:35:05,799
Speaker 5: ads of these games, right, So I think back doors open,

723
00:35:05,840 --> 00:35:09,080
Speaker 5: I think Hawaii can score. I think this is a

724
00:35:09,120 --> 00:35:13,319
Speaker 5: good by low spot on Hawaii and Boise he's reaching

725
00:35:13,320 --> 00:35:15,680
Speaker 5: the top of its market bye week than UNLV.

726
00:35:17,000 --> 00:35:20,920
Speaker 1: Too many points. Give me the bows. I'm gonna agree

727
00:35:20,960 --> 00:35:21,160
Speaker 1: with you.

728
00:35:21,920 --> 00:35:24,720
Speaker 2: There are Boise State defensively as one hundred and sixteenth

729
00:35:24,760 --> 00:35:27,920
Speaker 2: against the defensive against pass explosives, that is, the run

730
00:35:27,960 --> 00:35:30,480
Speaker 2: and shoot offense all the way. There are some holes

731
00:35:30,480 --> 00:35:32,799
Speaker 2: on this defense. And hey, man, if Georgia Southern's going

732
00:35:32,840 --> 00:35:34,919
Speaker 2: to put up a fifty burger in hang with Boise State,

733
00:35:35,120 --> 00:35:37,200
Speaker 2: Hawaii's offense can absolutely do the same. And by the way,

734
00:35:37,239 --> 00:35:40,920
Speaker 2: Hawaii's defense, they're still top fifteen in defensive HAVOC. I

735
00:35:40,920 --> 00:35:44,080
Speaker 2: mean they can strip balls. So this should be pretty

736
00:35:44,080 --> 00:35:45,120
Speaker 2: interesting game. I like it.

737
00:35:46,480 --> 00:35:48,400
Speaker 1: Put it on the in the agree or no, not that?

738
00:35:48,719 --> 00:35:49,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, oh yeah, I put it in agree. I just

739
00:35:49,880 --> 00:35:52,480
Speaker 2: would like twenty one. But I'll hang. I'll hang until

740
00:35:52,480 --> 00:35:56,600
Speaker 2: it's there, all right. Next up Buffalo, We'll go with

741
00:35:56,640 --> 00:36:00,680
Speaker 2: the Bulls against Buffalo against Toledo.

742
00:36:01,640 --> 00:36:05,040
Speaker 3: Sometimes the game can be so bad it's almost good,

743
00:36:05,280 --> 00:36:06,040
Speaker 3: you know what I'm saying.

744
00:36:06,760 --> 00:36:09,319
Speaker 5: No, there's a ten out there right now. That's what

745
00:36:09,640 --> 00:36:11,680
Speaker 5: I would search for. I'm still better than nine and

746
00:36:11,719 --> 00:36:13,279
Speaker 5: a half. There is a fate, it's Toledo. I do

747
00:36:14,040 --> 00:36:16,080
Speaker 5: not believe in this team. I think Miami Ohia.

748
00:36:15,880 --> 00:36:16,680
Speaker 1: Was way down. I know they won.

749
00:36:16,719 --> 00:36:19,520
Speaker 5: They got the revenge last week Marble spot deep my Ohio.

750
00:36:19,640 --> 00:36:21,719
Speaker 5: Go on the road to Buffalo, and the next two

751
00:36:21,719 --> 00:36:24,560
Speaker 5: weeks you have bowling greedy Northern Illinois. There's your MAC

752
00:36:24,719 --> 00:36:29,320
Speaker 5: title race sleepy spot here at noon Buffalo off of

753
00:36:29,480 --> 00:36:32,840
Speaker 5: Bye got embarrassed at Yukon. I think Pete Lombo is

754
00:36:32,840 --> 00:36:35,279
Speaker 5: a good coach. Well, haven't focused here massive turnover on

755
00:36:35,280 --> 00:36:36,560
Speaker 5: the rosters. So I think the bye came in a

756
00:36:36,560 --> 00:36:39,799
Speaker 5: good time. And Toledo they can't run the ball lick.

757
00:36:40,280 --> 00:36:43,399
Speaker 5: Buffalo strengths in the secondary. Tucker Gleason, by the way,

758
00:36:43,400 --> 00:36:45,080
Speaker 5: he'll have some get He'll look good one week, the

759
00:36:45,080 --> 00:36:47,880
Speaker 5: next week he's completing twenty percent of his passes. We

760
00:36:47,920 --> 00:36:50,200
Speaker 5: have a data point with both of these teams. By

761
00:36:50,200 --> 00:36:53,279
Speaker 5: the way U Mass Buffalo destroyed him, Toledo should have

762
00:36:53,320 --> 00:36:56,959
Speaker 5: lost to them. Yeah, I like Buffalo. Here catch double digits.

763
00:36:56,960 --> 00:36:58,440
Speaker 5: I make this around a touchdown, I.

764
00:36:58,400 --> 00:37:00,440
Speaker 2: Make it six, and I'm gonna agree with you, but

765
00:37:00,760 --> 00:37:03,560
Speaker 2: I would really like to know how Buffalo is going

766
00:37:03,600 --> 00:37:06,040
Speaker 2: to score. These numbers are horrific, but.

767
00:37:08,080 --> 00:37:09,000
Speaker 1: They agree on the agree.

768
00:37:09,040 --> 00:37:12,200
Speaker 2: But we're only agree because I will say this, Toledo

769
00:37:12,239 --> 00:37:14,880
Speaker 2: has a horrible special team's rank, and Pete Limbo is like,

770
00:37:14,960 --> 00:37:16,960
Speaker 2: what the best special teams coach in the history of

771
00:37:16,960 --> 00:37:17,680
Speaker 2: college football?

772
00:37:17,719 --> 00:37:19,000
Speaker 1: So yeah, give it to me.

773
00:37:19,880 --> 00:37:33,000
Speaker 5: Let's get super ugly Southern miss.

774
00:37:30,239 --> 00:37:32,400
Speaker 1: Ulm. I'm fading my ULM boys.

775
00:37:32,719 --> 00:37:35,759
Speaker 5: I mean, look, David great, but their offense is still hard,

776
00:37:35,960 --> 00:37:38,840
Speaker 5: horrendous and they play They're the slowest team in the country.

777
00:37:39,239 --> 00:37:41,920
Speaker 5: It's different when you're asking the cover as dogs. Now

778
00:37:42,000 --> 00:37:45,759
Speaker 5: you're asking the cover of touchdown as favorites. Southern Miss

779
00:37:45,760 --> 00:37:51,000
Speaker 5: actually showed some fight last week. I this is we're

780
00:37:51,000 --> 00:37:53,600
Speaker 5: at the peak with the Warrawks. You're asking this team

781
00:37:54,080 --> 00:37:56,960
Speaker 5: that just wants to hand it off to Hardy and

782
00:37:57,360 --> 00:38:02,480
Speaker 5: play four possessions to let you're asking them the cover a.

783
00:38:02,480 --> 00:38:04,239
Speaker 1: Touchdown now in league play.

784
00:38:04,440 --> 00:38:06,440
Speaker 5: I think we're going to be too far agree or

785
00:38:06,480 --> 00:38:09,560
Speaker 5: disagree or you shook from last week with Southern Mess.

786
00:38:09,719 --> 00:38:10,320
Speaker 1: I am shook.

787
00:38:10,320 --> 00:38:12,399
Speaker 2: I don't know what I'd like to ask you. I'm

788
00:38:12,400 --> 00:38:15,919
Speaker 2: looking at the camera, Louisiana. What happened last week? Gas

789
00:38:16,000 --> 00:38:17,520
Speaker 2: run out of the tank? Or did we just decide

790
00:38:17,560 --> 00:38:18,960
Speaker 2: to quit playing at the end of the game, Thank

791
00:38:19,000 --> 00:38:21,439
Speaker 2: you very much. I'm a little shook by these ul

792
00:38:21,480 --> 00:38:26,240
Speaker 2: and numbers like almost dead last in explosives, creating finishing drives,

793
00:38:27,000 --> 00:38:28,920
Speaker 2: Like how is this offense?

794
00:38:29,560 --> 00:38:31,600
Speaker 1: How are they winning these games? How?

795
00:38:31,840 --> 00:38:32,240
Speaker 2: How?

796
00:38:32,480 --> 00:38:33,320
Speaker 1: I don't okay?

797
00:38:33,440 --> 00:38:36,120
Speaker 5: So their deef that's been good, and I mean they

798
00:38:36,160 --> 00:38:41,200
Speaker 5: also have played like Uab who we've seen, Troy who

799
00:38:41,200 --> 00:38:44,080
Speaker 5: we've seen, and the upset JAMIU. But they were out

800
00:38:44,080 --> 00:38:46,160
Speaker 5: gay in that game by like two hundred yards or something. Yeah,

801
00:38:46,320 --> 00:38:48,040
Speaker 5: agree or disagree or past.

802
00:38:47,920 --> 00:38:50,200
Speaker 2: I will agree with you. One thing I'll throw in here,

803
00:38:50,600 --> 00:38:53,640
Speaker 2: ULM thirty three point four seconds per play. That might

804
00:38:53,680 --> 00:38:54,799
Speaker 2: be the slowest in the nation.

805
00:38:54,880 --> 00:38:56,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, they're the slowest in the country.

806
00:38:56,360 --> 00:38:59,120
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean that's this game should be a grinder

807
00:38:59,400 --> 00:39:01,120
Speaker 5: on an agree Colin.

808
00:39:01,120 --> 00:39:03,560
Speaker 2: I agree, love the under a lot more, but I agree,

809
00:39:04,000 --> 00:39:06,520
Speaker 2: so I put it off here. Yeah, let's do it.

810
00:39:06,840 --> 00:39:09,040
Speaker 2: Oh my god, I've never agreed on like more than

811
00:39:09,040 --> 00:39:09,880
Speaker 2: two tracks all.

812
00:39:09,760 --> 00:39:12,600
Speaker 1: Three trash or so far in the agree and last.

813
00:39:12,960 --> 00:39:15,160
Speaker 2: Exactly shower after this segment.

814
00:39:15,719 --> 00:39:21,759
Speaker 5: Nevada against Oregon State. I don't think Oregon State's any good.

815
00:39:21,960 --> 00:39:25,160
Speaker 5: Faded them last week, faded them again here. They can't

816
00:39:25,200 --> 00:39:29,080
Speaker 5: defend the run. That's a problem against this wolf pack

817
00:39:29,160 --> 00:39:32,799
Speaker 5: rush attack. Beavers are what outside the top one hundred

818
00:39:32,800 --> 00:39:34,640
Speaker 5: and twenty and both rushed success rate and n EPA

819
00:39:35,160 --> 00:39:40,759
Speaker 5: for rush. Nevada could easily be what before and one

820
00:39:41,120 --> 00:39:43,320
Speaker 5: if it didn't lose coin flips, they should have be

821
00:39:43,360 --> 00:39:46,600
Speaker 5: Georgia Southern. They were unlucky to beat SMU and that

822
00:39:46,719 --> 00:39:50,560
Speaker 5: is aged much better and uh and then they lost

823
00:39:50,560 --> 00:39:54,000
Speaker 5: to San Jose State in the final seconds when the

824
00:39:54,080 --> 00:39:56,080
Speaker 5: when the legend Nick Nash threw a touchdown pass. So

825
00:39:56,320 --> 00:39:58,880
Speaker 5: they've been pretty unlucky Oregon State, by the way, here

826
00:39:58,880 --> 00:40:03,239
Speaker 5: are there wins, Idaho State, whatever, san Diego State's thrown

827
00:40:03,239 --> 00:40:06,399
Speaker 5: out there, the corpse of Purdue, and then Colorado State

828
00:40:06,440 --> 00:40:09,680
Speaker 5: in double overtime. That's not a great resume. Can't stop

829
00:40:09,719 --> 00:40:14,400
Speaker 5: the run. They also also played double overtime game in

830
00:40:14,480 --> 00:40:19,240
Speaker 5: elevation next week in elevation. It's not a great spot.

831
00:40:19,360 --> 00:40:21,920
Speaker 5: And then who do they don't they have I think

832
00:40:22,040 --> 00:40:25,560
Speaker 5: if they have UNLB on deck two, so do the

833
00:40:25,560 --> 00:40:30,759
Speaker 5: home dog the home running dog? Oh agree or disagree?

834
00:40:31,719 --> 00:40:33,000
Speaker 2: I just threw money down on it and put in

835
00:40:33,040 --> 00:40:34,080
Speaker 2: the app and no Abata, let's go.

836
00:40:34,440 --> 00:40:34,680
Speaker 4: Wow.

837
00:40:35,440 --> 00:40:37,400
Speaker 2: I mean the SMU game has stuck with me so

838
00:40:37,480 --> 00:40:40,200
Speaker 2: much because of Nevada's coverage, because they're they are, I

839
00:40:40,280 --> 00:40:43,759
Speaker 2: mean the PBu University of Mountain West. But that's not

840
00:40:43,840 --> 00:40:46,080
Speaker 2: what's going to happen here. What I can't get over

841
00:40:46,560 --> 00:40:49,560
Speaker 2: is Avery Morrow just running all. I cannot get over

842
00:40:49,560 --> 00:40:50,680
Speaker 2: this Oregon State rush defense.

843
00:40:50,719 --> 00:40:52,240
Speaker 1: It is horrific.

844
00:40:52,480 --> 00:40:53,399
Speaker 2: So yeah, we'll pack.

845
00:40:54,080 --> 00:40:57,799
Speaker 5: Oh, by the way, again, I didn't even mention that

846
00:40:57,880 --> 00:41:01,280
Speaker 5: I like, it's not trash Colorado State. I like Colorido

847
00:41:01,280 --> 00:41:05,440
Speaker 5: of State again this week against San Jose State Santase State.

848
00:41:05,719 --> 00:41:09,920
Speaker 5: I mean, play somebody. Horton is back, They're healthier on defense.

849
00:41:10,239 --> 00:41:12,840
Speaker 5: I like the Rams there as well. All right, bone

850
00:41:12,920 --> 00:41:17,359
Speaker 5: a bonus trash segment. Colin said, you agreed with me, Yeah,

851
00:41:17,480 --> 00:41:20,200
Speaker 5: on all of the track. I'm telling you, I'm not

852
00:41:20,200 --> 00:41:23,760
Speaker 5: agreeing with this one. You're back on your Rice bullshit.

853
00:41:24,280 --> 00:41:26,640
Speaker 5: I saw this come across the app. Would you like

854
00:41:26,760 --> 00:41:28,239
Speaker 5: to defend yourself here?

855
00:41:29,280 --> 00:41:32,640
Speaker 2: Rice is covering this game. All right, let's look at

856
00:41:32,680 --> 00:41:36,680
Speaker 2: you TSA here. One hundred and twenty second coverage Absolutely

857
00:41:36,680 --> 00:41:37,360
Speaker 2: cannot deflude.

858
00:41:37,360 --> 00:41:38,879
Speaker 1: Do they have to cover. They don't have to cover

859
00:41:38,960 --> 00:41:41,239
Speaker 1: anyone against Rice. Absolutely, That's all.

860
00:41:41,280 --> 00:41:43,319
Speaker 2: That's all Rice is doing these days is throwing the ball.

861
00:41:43,600 --> 00:41:44,719
Speaker 1: That's all they do is throw the ball.

862
00:41:44,719 --> 00:41:46,120
Speaker 2: I'm not saying they're good at throwing the ball.

863
00:41:46,239 --> 00:41:46,719
Speaker 1: That's all they do.

864
00:41:47,400 --> 00:41:49,480
Speaker 2: They're third and pass blocking and no one's gonna touch them.

865
00:41:49,520 --> 00:41:51,879
Speaker 2: They're gonna get balls down the field. It's a heavy

866
00:41:51,960 --> 00:41:55,040
Speaker 2: tempo game. Rice is absolutely covering this game. You want

867
00:41:55,080 --> 00:41:56,239
Speaker 2: to disagree and put it on put it on a

868
00:41:56,280 --> 00:41:57,400
Speaker 2: disagreement side of the board.

869
00:41:57,480 --> 00:41:59,200
Speaker 1: No, I'm not bet. I'm not better to decide.

870
00:41:59,280 --> 00:42:05,040
Speaker 2: I away add on defense, they're really bad defending the passage.

871
00:42:05,280 --> 00:42:09,080
Speaker 5: Rice is bad at everything. But I will I might

872
00:42:09,080 --> 00:42:11,800
Speaker 5: put home field of ends in this game at zero.

873
00:42:12,600 --> 00:42:16,360
Speaker 5: Do you know the Rice Stadium? The Rice Stadium seats

874
00:42:16,400 --> 00:42:19,319
Speaker 5: seventy five thousand. It's the most depressing thing when they're

875
00:42:19,320 --> 00:42:21,400
Speaker 5: this bad, they're they're one and four, they cover the

876
00:42:21,480 --> 00:42:26,680
Speaker 5: end zones with like banners or whatever, and then it's

877
00:42:26,719 --> 00:42:29,840
Speaker 5: completely empty. But I think there's stadiums set seventy seventy

878
00:42:29,840 --> 00:42:34,040
Speaker 5: five thousand. Rice Stadium, Yeah, and there's like seven families

879
00:42:34,080 --> 00:42:36,560
Speaker 5: in the stands when they're this bad, and then you

880
00:42:36,600 --> 00:42:38,040
Speaker 5: just have the Rice al signs and.

881
00:42:39,719 --> 00:42:40,240
Speaker 1: No thanks.

882
00:42:40,480 --> 00:42:43,279
Speaker 2: You know, I have not brushed off the algia all year,

883
00:42:43,360 --> 00:42:44,520
Speaker 2: and I am ready stuck.

884
00:42:44,560 --> 00:42:45,239
Speaker 1: You better be ready.

885
00:42:45,280 --> 00:42:45,680
Speaker 2: It's coming.

886
00:42:46,680 --> 00:42:49,000
Speaker 5: All right, Well, good luck to you watching that game

887
00:42:49,360 --> 00:42:52,879
Speaker 5: during in prime time seven pm Eastern. You'll be the

888
00:42:53,080 --> 00:42:54,960
Speaker 5: you'll be the only one, you and the seven families

889
00:42:55,000 --> 00:42:56,880
Speaker 5: at Rice Stadium, all right, before we go.

890
00:42:57,000 --> 00:42:57,600
Speaker 1: Three and out.

891
00:42:57,840 --> 00:43:00,920
Speaker 5: There's no Arkansas game this week, but we have to

892
00:43:00,920 --> 00:43:02,000
Speaker 5: go nowhere fast.

893
00:43:04,320 --> 00:43:07,160
Speaker 4: You are about to enter a world unlike any you've

894
00:43:07,200 --> 00:43:11,680
Speaker 4: ever seen before, where the beautiful, the brutal, and the brave,

895
00:43:11,960 --> 00:43:26,320
Speaker 4: all meat.

896
00:43:29,800 --> 00:43:33,600
Speaker 5: San Diego State at Wyoming gross. Oh god, all right,

897
00:43:33,640 --> 00:43:36,560
Speaker 5: we finally got one wrong here last week. I think

898
00:43:36,560 --> 00:43:41,319
Speaker 5: Wyoming's without what the top five backs in this game? God,

899
00:43:41,400 --> 00:43:45,680
Speaker 5: this game is horrifying. What do you got here? Over

900
00:43:45,800 --> 00:43:46,160
Speaker 5: or under?

901
00:43:46,480 --> 00:43:48,600
Speaker 2: Well? I think San Diego State on the money line

902
00:43:48,640 --> 00:43:49,800
Speaker 2: was the best bet and what I put in what

903
00:43:49,920 --> 00:43:52,120
Speaker 2: I have money on. I went with the over on

904
00:43:52,160 --> 00:43:55,080
Speaker 2: this one, and I would love forty one. But let's

905
00:43:55,120 --> 00:43:56,640
Speaker 2: just let's grade at forty two and a half.

906
00:43:57,480 --> 00:43:58,160
Speaker 1: It's gross.

907
00:43:58,680 --> 00:44:01,440
Speaker 2: There are things here from a San Diego State EPA

908
00:44:01,560 --> 00:44:05,080
Speaker 2: perspective that are rising week after week after week. Sean

909
00:44:05,200 --> 00:44:08,120
Speaker 2: Lewis has grown leaps and bounds with what they're doing.

910
00:44:08,160 --> 00:44:12,040
Speaker 2: From a Russian pass EPA. Wyoming is horrific in defending

911
00:44:12,080 --> 00:44:15,640
Speaker 2: pass explosives horrific and coverage, I mean, defense is so

912
00:44:15,800 --> 00:44:18,120
Speaker 2: bad that I can barely find a damn stat that's

913
00:44:18,120 --> 00:44:20,839
Speaker 2: within the top one hundred. And that's a soft strength

914
00:44:20,920 --> 00:44:22,960
Speaker 2: schedule in ninety ninth for Wyoming, and things are getting

915
00:44:22,960 --> 00:44:26,040
Speaker 2: worse because San Diego State plays so fast and because

916
00:44:26,040 --> 00:44:28,440
Speaker 2: I expect them to score, there'll be extra possessions here

917
00:44:28,440 --> 00:44:30,719
Speaker 2: for Wyoming, because San Diego State runs twenty three point

918
00:44:30,800 --> 00:44:33,040
Speaker 2: nine seconds per play. I don't like the fact that

919
00:44:33,080 --> 00:44:35,239
Speaker 2: we've covered a huge key in forty one, but let's

920
00:44:35,280 --> 00:44:37,040
Speaker 2: for the record, let's go over. I like San Diego

921
00:44:37,040 --> 00:44:39,920
Speaker 2: State better and this, but for the record, over this week.

922
00:44:40,320 --> 00:44:41,960
Speaker 5: I have no thoughts on this game, and I hope

923
00:44:41,960 --> 00:44:44,960
Speaker 5: I see zero plays. All right, all right for you

924
00:44:44,960 --> 00:44:46,239
Speaker 5: at air, let's go three and out.

925
00:44:48,360 --> 00:44:51,120
Speaker 2: Great, let's make it a quick three and out.

926
00:44:52,200 --> 00:44:54,359
Speaker 5: All right, let's dive right into some Friday night lights.

927
00:44:54,400 --> 00:44:56,479
Speaker 5: Let's kick things off in a big ten.

928
00:44:57,239 --> 00:44:59,919
Speaker 2: Let's here, gentlemen, clear eyes, full hard.

929
00:45:00,960 --> 00:45:06,120
Speaker 5: Let's go play some football clash between Northwestern and Maryland

930
00:45:06,120 --> 00:45:08,279
Speaker 5: and College Park. Maryland sitting around a ten, ten and

931
00:45:08,280 --> 00:45:11,160
Speaker 5: a half point favorite here. They've taken a little bit

932
00:45:11,160 --> 00:45:13,080
Speaker 5: of money. The over has taken a little bit of

933
00:45:13,080 --> 00:45:15,000
Speaker 5: money up to forty five, and I think the biggest

934
00:45:15,000 --> 00:45:19,439
Speaker 5: advantage in this game is the Maryland passing attack. Billy

935
00:45:19,520 --> 00:45:22,719
Speaker 5: Edwards has been really good against the Northwestern secondary. Northwestern

936
00:45:22,760 --> 00:45:26,640
Speaker 5: run defense has been a lot better than its pass defense.

937
00:45:27,239 --> 00:45:32,320
Speaker 5: Northwestern offense has showed a little bit more juice since

938
00:45:32,360 --> 00:45:35,839
Speaker 5: making the quarterback change. Saw that against Indiana even though

939
00:45:35,840 --> 00:45:37,680
Speaker 5: they didn't get to the window, they were right there

940
00:45:37,719 --> 00:45:39,919
Speaker 5: at the end. Who do you like here?

941
00:45:40,360 --> 00:45:42,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think what you just mentioned is a part

942
00:45:42,160 --> 00:45:43,920
Speaker 2: of the reason that I lean to the over here,

943
00:45:43,960 --> 00:45:46,480
Speaker 2: and I'm probably going to end up playing that. And

944
00:45:46,520 --> 00:45:49,120
Speaker 2: you know, let's start off on the Northwestern side for them,

945
00:45:49,239 --> 00:45:50,680
Speaker 2: like how are they going to score some points at?

946
00:45:50,719 --> 00:45:52,640
Speaker 2: But the Maryland pass rush is going to be completely

947
00:45:52,719 --> 00:45:57,600
Speaker 2: neutralized here because Northwestern is offensively seventeenth and pass blocking,

948
00:45:57,600 --> 00:45:59,359
Speaker 2: and that's the best part of Maryland's defense is getting

949
00:45:59,360 --> 00:46:01,960
Speaker 2: to the quarterback. So you would expect a little bit

950
00:46:01,960 --> 00:46:05,000
Speaker 2: more methodical drives, a little bit more scoring chances, and

951
00:46:05,040 --> 00:46:07,239
Speaker 2: the best chance of explosives from Northwestern may come from

952
00:46:07,280 --> 00:46:08,880
Speaker 2: camp order in the ground game, and that is an

953
00:46:08,920 --> 00:46:11,440
Speaker 2: area with Maryland you could probably get some traction on.

954
00:46:11,840 --> 00:46:13,759
Speaker 2: And then Maryland's best chance of scoring, of course is

955
00:46:13,760 --> 00:46:15,680
Speaker 2: Billy Edwards. I mean, this is not the same passer

956
00:46:15,719 --> 00:46:18,279
Speaker 2: that we've seen from years before, a thirteen to five,

957
00:46:18,320 --> 00:46:21,160
Speaker 2: big time throw to turn over worthy play rate. And

958
00:46:21,400 --> 00:46:23,640
Speaker 2: you know Northwestern is one hundred and seventeenth and allowing

959
00:46:23,719 --> 00:46:25,120
Speaker 2: explosives in the past.

960
00:46:25,239 --> 00:46:26,319
Speaker 1: I mean, they're pretty bad.

961
00:46:26,440 --> 00:46:29,640
Speaker 2: So I think there's a chance here to get some

962
00:46:29,760 --> 00:46:32,600
Speaker 2: unexpected points, not just because of the changes that Northwestern

963
00:46:32,680 --> 00:46:34,719
Speaker 2: has made, but because they can neutralize the best part

964
00:46:34,719 --> 00:46:36,560
Speaker 2: of the Maryland defense crab.

965
00:46:38,320 --> 00:46:39,799
Speaker 1: That's what Maryland does.

966
00:46:41,520 --> 00:46:45,239
Speaker 5: Yeah, I think the look here is the is over

967
00:46:45,400 --> 00:46:48,480
Speaker 5: nothing as well. Not a game I'm running to bat

968
00:46:48,520 --> 00:46:52,719
Speaker 5: and I despise Northwestern overs, but I think it's over

969
00:46:52,880 --> 00:46:57,080
Speaker 5: nothing there. Let's move on to another ugly one in

970
00:46:57,120 --> 00:47:00,879
Speaker 5: the Mountain West between un LV and Utah State. Utah

971
00:47:00,960 --> 00:47:07,319
Speaker 5: State is just dreadful UNLV. What's sitting as a as

972
00:47:07,360 --> 00:47:11,440
Speaker 5: we speak, eighteen and a half nineteen point favorite total

973
00:47:12,120 --> 00:47:16,399
Speaker 5: around sixty six and a half sky high. I think

974
00:47:16,400 --> 00:47:20,000
Speaker 5: this line is a little bit inflated where and it's

975
00:47:20,040 --> 00:47:22,200
Speaker 5: not the best spot for UNOV coming off that really

976
00:47:22,239 --> 00:47:25,839
Speaker 5: heartbreaking loss against Syracuse. They have Oregon State, then they

977
00:47:25,880 --> 00:47:30,239
Speaker 5: have the big one against Boise State on deck. The

978
00:47:30,280 --> 00:47:32,960
Speaker 5: reason why I especially think this is a pretty poor

979
00:47:33,040 --> 00:47:37,680
Speaker 5: spot is their defense was on the field for the

980
00:47:37,840 --> 00:47:43,160
Speaker 5: entire game last week against Syracuse, which just controlled the

981
00:47:43,239 --> 00:47:46,480
Speaker 5: clock throughout you know end the game went to overtime.

982
00:47:46,800 --> 00:47:51,040
Speaker 5: Now you're going to elevation. Do I trust the Utah

983
00:47:51,080 --> 00:47:55,520
Speaker 5: State defense to get any stops. Not really, but I

984
00:47:55,560 --> 00:47:58,799
Speaker 5: think they can potentially. You know, maybe this is a

985
00:47:58,840 --> 00:48:03,239
Speaker 5: look at gets out to a lead and then you

986
00:48:03,360 --> 00:48:06,600
Speaker 5: come in on Utah State live. UNLV might want to

987
00:48:06,640 --> 00:48:10,280
Speaker 5: save some of its bullets. Their defense could become extremely

988
00:48:10,320 --> 00:48:12,680
Speaker 5: fatigued in elevation after last week.

989
00:48:13,160 --> 00:48:14,600
Speaker 1: So Utah State.

990
00:48:14,520 --> 00:48:17,239
Speaker 5: Second half, looking at Uta State potentially live, you can

991
00:48:17,239 --> 00:48:21,640
Speaker 5: get them over like three touchdowns because there should be

992
00:48:22,160 --> 00:48:24,400
Speaker 5: plenty of scoring and back and forth in this game.

993
00:48:24,800 --> 00:48:25,560
Speaker 1: What do you see here?

994
00:48:25,920 --> 00:48:27,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, there's a stat that came out of this game.

995
00:48:27,560 --> 00:48:30,320
Speaker 2: I was just shocked because Utah State is dead last

996
00:48:30,320 --> 00:48:32,080
Speaker 2: in a category and I didn't realize it until I

997
00:48:32,080 --> 00:48:34,600
Speaker 2: started going down a wormhole. It is a big number.

998
00:48:34,640 --> 00:48:36,600
Speaker 2: It is a little bit over inflated, But keep in

999
00:48:36,600 --> 00:48:38,920
Speaker 2: mind that UNLV has still played a strength of schedule

1000
00:48:38,920 --> 00:48:42,839
Speaker 2: outside the top one hundred, which tells you things about Kansas, Syracuse,

1001
00:48:43,560 --> 00:48:46,719
Speaker 2: Utah Tech, Dixie States on there. And you know, at

1002
00:48:46,800 --> 00:48:48,919
Speaker 2: least Utah State's got a strength of schedule thirty eighth.

1003
00:48:48,920 --> 00:48:51,279
Speaker 2: So you're seeing inflated number here because public perception is

1004
00:48:51,400 --> 00:48:54,879
Speaker 2: UNLV they have not really played a really tough schedule. Now,

1005
00:48:54,960 --> 00:48:57,959
Speaker 2: quarterback Spencer Peatrice there for Utah State. He's taken over.

1006
00:48:58,400 --> 00:49:01,000
Speaker 2: UNLV has given up explosives in the air, but their

1007
00:49:01,000 --> 00:49:03,160
Speaker 2: coverage numbers have been in the top forty, so they

1008
00:49:03,200 --> 00:49:04,640
Speaker 2: do have a little bit of success, right, but they

1009
00:49:04,680 --> 00:49:07,319
Speaker 2: can be had for a couple of explosive passes and

1010
00:49:07,320 --> 00:49:09,279
Speaker 2: you can thank Kyle mccordy from Syracuse for that. He

1011
00:49:09,320 --> 00:49:12,000
Speaker 2: had seven explosive passes three hundred and fifty five yards.

1012
00:49:12,480 --> 00:49:14,680
Speaker 2: Not really sure if Utah State's offense can replicate that,

1013
00:49:14,800 --> 00:49:17,640
Speaker 2: but that offense is way better than that Utah State defense.

1014
00:49:17,719 --> 00:49:21,440
Speaker 2: It has been horrific and now Hodje Malik Williams up

1015
00:49:21,520 --> 00:49:23,879
Speaker 2: to four hundred nine yards through the air, one hundred

1016
00:49:23,920 --> 00:49:25,920
Speaker 2: and seventy two on the ground, and eight total tds

1017
00:49:25,920 --> 00:49:26,640
Speaker 2: through two games.

1018
00:49:26,960 --> 00:49:27,840
Speaker 1: He is elite.

1019
00:49:28,360 --> 00:49:30,080
Speaker 2: Got a question whether or not they just held him

1020
00:49:30,080 --> 00:49:32,320
Speaker 2: out of conference play and waited it from Mountain West.

1021
00:49:33,000 --> 00:49:35,320
Speaker 2: Here's what I just cannot get over this Utah State

1022
00:49:35,400 --> 00:49:38,279
Speaker 2: d It gave up sixty two to Boise. Recently, they

1023
00:49:38,320 --> 00:49:42,080
Speaker 2: gave up forty five to Temple's offense. That's just over

1024
00:49:42,120 --> 00:49:43,920
Speaker 2: the past two games. So you would think UNLB is

1025
00:49:43,960 --> 00:49:45,839
Speaker 2: going to be able to do some damage here, maybe

1026
00:49:45,920 --> 00:49:48,319
Speaker 2: take a quarter to the elevation sets in before they

1027
00:49:48,320 --> 00:49:52,080
Speaker 2: get warmed up. But the Utah State defense gives up

1028
00:49:52,480 --> 00:49:55,359
Speaker 2: the highest amount of points in the second quarter of

1029
00:49:55,440 --> 00:49:58,560
Speaker 2: any team in the nation. It's nineteen point four points.

1030
00:49:59,080 --> 00:50:01,080
Speaker 2: That is far ahead of the next team Kent State.

1031
00:50:01,120 --> 00:50:03,360
Speaker 2: It's even farther ahead of the next team North Texas.

1032
00:50:03,560 --> 00:50:05,319
Speaker 2: I don't know what's going on in second quarters with

1033
00:50:05,440 --> 00:50:09,680
Speaker 2: Utah State. They are horrific from a defensive standpoint, So

1034
00:50:09,800 --> 00:50:11,640
Speaker 2: for me, there's a lot of overs here, So you

1035
00:50:11,719 --> 00:50:13,160
Speaker 2: got to kind of comb through what you want because

1036
00:50:13,239 --> 00:50:15,120
Speaker 2: UNLB could start off slow at the elevation, but they're

1037
00:50:15,120 --> 00:50:17,719
Speaker 2: gonna kick it up and Hodgemalleink Williams should I like

1038
00:50:17,800 --> 00:50:20,360
Speaker 2: first first half over thirty four and a half.

1039
00:50:20,960 --> 00:50:22,720
Speaker 1: There is a bye week on deck for UNLB.

1040
00:50:22,800 --> 00:50:24,719
Speaker 2: I don't know if that plays a factor, and maybe

1041
00:50:24,760 --> 00:50:26,759
Speaker 2: the fourth quarter if there's like a monster lead here.

1042
00:50:27,680 --> 00:50:29,320
Speaker 2: But you know, I think the best wager here is

1043
00:50:29,360 --> 00:50:30,800
Speaker 2: a first half over in the thirty four and a

1044
00:50:30,840 --> 00:50:33,560
Speaker 2: half because of how horrific Utah State has been in

1045
00:50:33,600 --> 00:50:36,320
Speaker 2: the second quarter. And I actually think, you know, Spencer

1046
00:50:36,360 --> 00:50:38,680
Speaker 2: Petris could get some explosives here. They might be able

1047
00:50:38,680 --> 00:50:39,920
Speaker 2: to help out with that thirty four and a half.

1048
00:50:40,000 --> 00:50:41,239
Speaker 2: So I do like the over in the first half,

1049
00:50:41,239 --> 00:50:43,600
Speaker 2: but I like un l Lea's team total over. A

1050
00:50:43,680 --> 00:50:44,879
Speaker 2: lot of overs here to pick from.

1051
00:50:45,600 --> 00:50:47,200
Speaker 5: No, yeah, I mean, do you want to think could get

1052
00:50:47,200 --> 00:50:48,960
Speaker 5: them themselves? U and B doesn't have a boy. They

1053
00:50:48,960 --> 00:50:51,879
Speaker 5: got over Than State next week and then Boise, So yeah,

1054
00:50:51,880 --> 00:50:53,440
Speaker 5: I agree, if they have a big lead, they could

1055
00:50:53,680 --> 00:50:56,960
Speaker 5: potentially and they're they're but they'd was fatigued, so I

1056
00:50:56,960 --> 00:50:59,440
Speaker 5: don't I don't even hate the full game over, but

1057
00:51:00,000 --> 00:51:03,880
Speaker 5: I'll be looking for Utah State live, staying with that

1058
00:51:04,040 --> 00:51:08,160
Speaker 5: team in Utah. Let's move on to the big twelve

1059
00:51:09,120 --> 00:51:13,120
Speaker 5: in the night clash between Arizona State and Utah and Tempe.

1060
00:51:13,480 --> 00:51:17,920
Speaker 5: This line's the bouncing all over was. I was going

1061
00:51:17,960 --> 00:51:22,600
Speaker 5: to break some news here, but Brett McMurphy beat me

1062
00:51:22,640 --> 00:51:26,520
Speaker 5: to the punch that came Rising will indeed start. So

1063
00:51:26,600 --> 00:51:28,840
Speaker 5: this line was coming down, down, down. There was rumors

1064
00:51:28,840 --> 00:51:30,839
Speaker 5: that Cam Rising wasn't going to play. No one knows

1065
00:51:30,840 --> 00:51:33,719
Speaker 5: anything when it comes to Utah gets announced that he's

1066
00:51:33,760 --> 00:51:35,319
Speaker 5: in the line comes back up.

1067
00:51:36,600 --> 00:51:38,840
Speaker 1: We as we're recording.

1068
00:51:38,400 --> 00:51:40,920
Speaker 5: This, the line sitting what is it? Utah six and

1069
00:51:40,960 --> 00:51:41,239
Speaker 5: a half?

1070
00:51:41,280 --> 00:51:44,080
Speaker 2: Still, Yeah, we just raced up to six and a half.

1071
00:51:44,400 --> 00:51:46,960
Speaker 5: I still think with Cam Rising it's too cheap. I

1072
00:51:46,960 --> 00:51:50,319
Speaker 5: think it should be over a touchdown. I also, if

1073
00:51:50,320 --> 00:51:51,800
Speaker 5: you were listening to the podcast or other week, I

1074
00:51:51,880 --> 00:51:55,720
Speaker 5: bet Utah to win the Big Twelve, which I still

1075
00:51:55,760 --> 00:51:57,720
Speaker 5: like if you can find that out there with Cam Rising,

1076
00:51:58,400 --> 00:52:03,440
Speaker 5: this is probably the best team in the Big Twelve.

1077
00:52:04,160 --> 00:52:09,000
Speaker 5: Win this game and they're right back in business. So

1078
00:52:09,480 --> 00:52:12,319
Speaker 5: I like Utah for the game. I mean, look, Arizona State,

1079
00:52:12,360 --> 00:52:16,040
Speaker 5: they're improved. Scatoo has been great, but I mean, come on,

1080
00:52:16,120 --> 00:52:18,040
Speaker 5: who would they beat? They beat a one win Kansas

1081
00:52:18,080 --> 00:52:21,600
Speaker 5: team who melts down every single week. They beat Wyoming,

1082
00:52:22,239 --> 00:52:25,520
Speaker 5: who is abysmal. I mean it's hard to putting words

1083
00:52:25,520 --> 00:52:32,040
Speaker 5: how bad Wyoming is. Yeah, and Mississippi State, Like, I

1084
00:52:32,120 --> 00:52:34,839
Speaker 5: think the love for Arizona State has gone too far.

1085
00:52:34,920 --> 00:52:35,879
Speaker 1: They can't throw the ball.

1086
00:52:36,000 --> 00:52:38,600
Speaker 5: What's you talking to do here? Just load the box.

1087
00:52:38,760 --> 00:52:41,360
Speaker 5: They're going to take away to run. Good luck to

1088
00:52:41,400 --> 00:52:45,399
Speaker 5: the Arizona State offense. But if Utah wins this game, right,

1089
00:52:46,160 --> 00:52:50,160
Speaker 5: they have one loss in league play, but say that

1090
00:52:50,320 --> 00:52:52,680
Speaker 5: they win in Tempi this weekend, then they have TCU

1091
00:52:52,719 --> 00:52:57,480
Speaker 5: at home at Houston, BYU at home at Colorado home

1092
00:52:57,520 --> 00:53:02,319
Speaker 5: against Iowa State at UCF. So, I like, Utah, get some.

1093
00:53:02,400 --> 00:53:04,479
Speaker 5: I already as some Iowa State, right, and that Utah

1094
00:53:04,600 --> 00:53:07,480
Speaker 5: I was taking could be huge. Yeah, I got myself

1095
00:53:07,480 --> 00:53:10,000
Speaker 5: some Utah too. I think with Cam Rising back, this

1096
00:53:10,040 --> 00:53:11,560
Speaker 5: Sprea should be over seven. What do you see here?

1097
00:53:11,800 --> 00:53:13,720
Speaker 2: I would make this game nine with Cam Rising.

1098
00:53:13,760 --> 00:53:15,000
Speaker 1: So I actually I'm like eight eight.

1099
00:53:15,600 --> 00:53:16,480
Speaker 2: I don't think it's done.

1100
00:53:16,680 --> 00:53:19,279
Speaker 1: And so he still might not play. By the way

1101
00:53:19,320 --> 00:53:21,640
Speaker 1: we're sitting here confirmed that he's in. Who knows he

1102
00:53:21,800 --> 00:53:23,719
Speaker 1: did to be an hour before kick?

1103
00:53:23,760 --> 00:53:25,640
Speaker 5: He's out. He's out for the year. It gets announced.

1104
00:53:25,800 --> 00:53:28,400
Speaker 2: Listen to Arizona State. You ask ash yourself, like, how

1105
00:53:28,400 --> 00:53:30,440
Speaker 2: are they going to score here? They're dead last defensively

1106
00:53:30,440 --> 00:53:32,920
Speaker 2: in finishing drives. That's how big it is if Camp plays,

1107
00:53:32,920 --> 00:53:35,320
Speaker 2: Because if you have any kind of offensive pulse on

1108
00:53:35,360 --> 00:53:36,719
Speaker 2: the field, you're going to be able to score on

1109
00:53:36,760 --> 00:53:38,520
Speaker 2: Arizona State. I can't tell you how bad you have

1110
00:53:38,560 --> 00:53:40,719
Speaker 2: to be to be dead last and finishing drives and

1111
00:53:40,760 --> 00:53:43,080
Speaker 2: stuck is right? What is this Arizona State offense going

1112
00:53:43,120 --> 00:53:46,279
Speaker 2: to do? The Utah's defense top fifth, top ten and

1113
00:53:46,320 --> 00:53:51,280
Speaker 2: defensive finishing drives top fifteen in quality drives. Defensively, numbers

1114
00:53:51,320 --> 00:53:53,280
Speaker 2: are good enough to be top thirty in defensive havoc.

1115
00:53:53,280 --> 00:53:55,480
Speaker 2: What Sam Levit gonna do? Throw pass explosives.

1116
00:53:55,560 --> 00:53:56,880
Speaker 1: His chances of that are zero.

1117
00:53:56,920 --> 00:54:00,239
Speaker 2: Here, best player on the team is Cam Skaatebow, and

1118
00:54:00,280 --> 00:54:02,680
Speaker 2: nobody is moving the chains and creating explosives on the

1119
00:54:02,719 --> 00:54:05,719
Speaker 2: ground against Utah. So I agree with stuck completely. If

1120
00:54:05,760 --> 00:54:07,680
Speaker 2: you're nervous about to spread and the rise and all that,

1121
00:54:07,760 --> 00:54:09,000
Speaker 2: maybe go throw the money line down.

1122
00:54:09,040 --> 00:54:09,879
Speaker 1: But I agree with you start.

1123
00:54:09,920 --> 00:54:11,600
Speaker 2: I think I think the play is getting a little

1124
00:54:11,640 --> 00:54:13,680
Speaker 2: piece of Utah to win this because the schedule coming

1125
00:54:13,760 --> 00:54:15,439
Speaker 2: up is conducive than making a run here.

1126
00:54:15,960 --> 00:54:19,920
Speaker 5: Yep, all right, let's move on to second down, and

1127
00:54:20,080 --> 00:54:23,239
Speaker 5: let's talk our favorite overdogs. You new here, that's our

1128
00:54:23,280 --> 00:54:24,640
Speaker 5: favorite favorites.

1129
00:54:24,800 --> 00:54:25,960
Speaker 4: It's called the overdogs.

1130
00:54:25,960 --> 00:54:27,400
Speaker 1: Partway, I'm going to.

1131
00:54:27,480 --> 00:54:31,319
Speaker 5: Roll with actually no lot a team that has made

1132
00:54:31,360 --> 00:54:34,000
Speaker 5: it once into this segment. For me, I'm going with Iowa.

1133
00:54:34,920 --> 00:54:37,560
Speaker 5: I like Iowa here against Washington. I think I had

1134
00:54:37,600 --> 00:54:40,280
Speaker 5: Iowa against Nevada and one of the most painful covers.

1135
00:54:40,360 --> 00:54:44,000
Speaker 5: It was like an eleven hour game rain delay. I

1136
00:54:44,120 --> 00:54:47,160
Speaker 5: like Iowa here against Washington. I think that these teams

1137
00:54:49,120 --> 00:54:53,200
Speaker 5: after playing Michigan are getting for beating Michigan or getting

1138
00:54:53,200 --> 00:54:57,319
Speaker 5: a bit overvalued. Michigan stinks. People like I don't know

1139
00:54:57,880 --> 00:55:01,399
Speaker 5: how how to get this through. Michigan is a bad

1140
00:55:01,440 --> 00:55:05,200
Speaker 5: football team, like they should have lost to Minnesota at home.

1141
00:55:06,280 --> 00:55:10,359
Speaker 5: They were dominated by Texas. They they had their one

1142
00:55:10,400 --> 00:55:12,919
Speaker 5: blip against USC, and we have we've seen USC hasn't

1143
00:55:12,960 --> 00:55:14,839
Speaker 5: been that great when they unveiled a new offense, they

1144
00:55:14,880 --> 00:55:17,520
Speaker 5: still needed some luck at the end to get that win.

1145
00:55:17,840 --> 00:55:21,520
Speaker 5: And then they gets significantly outplayed by Washington out west.

1146
00:55:21,800 --> 00:55:24,719
Speaker 5: This isn't a great spot for Washington either out I

1147
00:55:24,760 --> 00:55:27,479
Speaker 5: mean home out the Rutgers back to the West coast.

1148
00:55:27,480 --> 00:55:31,439
Speaker 5: Get your national championship revenge over Michigan. Now flying back

1149
00:55:31,480 --> 00:55:35,080
Speaker 5: east for a noon kick against Iowa. Kirk Farent's been

1150
00:55:35,239 --> 00:55:38,560
Speaker 5: very good after a loss at home as an underdoger

1151
00:55:38,600 --> 00:55:41,320
Speaker 5: favored of less than a touchdown, fucking close to seventy

1152
00:55:41,360 --> 00:55:44,640
Speaker 5: percent against the spread. Why do I really like this game?

1153
00:55:44,680 --> 00:55:45,399
Speaker 1: Though? One?

1154
00:55:45,520 --> 00:55:47,440
Speaker 5: I think Caleb Johnson and the i offense will hit

1155
00:55:47,520 --> 00:55:52,520
Speaker 5: enough run explosives. That's basically their offense. The Washington run

1156
00:55:52,560 --> 00:55:57,200
Speaker 5: defense is vulnerable now against Michigan didn't matter because you

1157
00:55:57,239 --> 00:55:59,200
Speaker 5: could just load the box. They don't have anyone to

1158
00:55:59,200 --> 00:56:01,120
Speaker 5: throw to. Can't believe I'm about to say this, but

1159
00:56:01,160 --> 00:56:03,640
Speaker 5: the Iowa passing offense actually has a little bit more

1160
00:56:03,719 --> 00:56:05,600
Speaker 5: juice than the Michigan passing offense. You have to respect

1161
00:56:05,600 --> 00:56:07,920
Speaker 5: it a little bit. So I think Iowa will hit

1162
00:56:08,040 --> 00:56:13,080
Speaker 5: enough rush explosives and they're gonna win all of all

1163
00:56:13,120 --> 00:56:18,880
Speaker 5: of the margins. Right, penalties, where's what's Washington one hundred

1164
00:56:18,880 --> 00:56:20,720
Speaker 5: and ten hundred and twentieth, you know where they're averaging

1165
00:56:21,120 --> 00:56:23,600
Speaker 5: over seventy penalty yards per game. You know where Iowa

1166
00:56:23,680 --> 00:56:27,120
Speaker 5: was number one in the country. There are fifty fewer

1167
00:56:27,239 --> 00:56:30,440
Speaker 5: yards per game in penalties. Special teams. You know, that's

1168
00:56:30,440 --> 00:56:34,200
Speaker 5: one of the worst special teams units in the country. Washington,

1169
00:56:34,920 --> 00:56:38,320
Speaker 5: you know, as a great special teams unit. Again Iowa.

1170
00:56:38,960 --> 00:56:44,000
Speaker 5: So and then it's just all those little things. Probably

1171
00:56:44,080 --> 00:56:46,719
Speaker 5: turnovers to gonna win the turner battle. That's how Iowa

1172
00:56:46,800 --> 00:56:49,880
Speaker 5: wins these games at home. Probably gonna happen again in

1173
00:56:49,920 --> 00:56:52,160
Speaker 5: a great spot off the loss catching Washington and just

1174
00:56:52,520 --> 00:56:55,600
Speaker 5: a tough travel spot, tough situational spot. So yeah, I

1175
00:56:55,640 --> 00:56:58,200
Speaker 5: think the special teams, the field position battle will be

1176
00:56:58,280 --> 00:57:01,759
Speaker 5: won by Iowa and pen just all the things that.

1177
00:57:02,600 --> 00:57:05,359
Speaker 1: Are you gonna send Brady Gross out there a field

1178
00:57:05,400 --> 00:57:06,480
Speaker 1: goal again this week?

1179
00:57:06,960 --> 00:57:10,040
Speaker 2: Hope not give me Iowa? Well, I mean for you

1180
00:57:10,080 --> 00:57:11,960
Speaker 2: getting to Iowa win, maybe you send them out there.

1181
00:57:12,120 --> 00:57:14,640
Speaker 2: I don't know, Listen, I don't know what we're doing here.

1182
00:57:14,680 --> 00:57:17,080
Speaker 2: You're going Iowa, I'm going to Illinois. Kind of big

1183
00:57:17,120 --> 00:57:19,880
Speaker 2: ten freaks, are we with these overdogs here? Look, it's

1184
00:57:20,440 --> 00:57:22,360
Speaker 2: there's a lot of things you could say about this game.

1185
00:57:22,400 --> 00:57:24,200
Speaker 2: I mean, it's a revenge game for Brett Bilima.

1186
00:57:24,680 --> 00:57:26,360
Speaker 1: Uh, he lost sue Quin.

1187
00:57:28,480 --> 00:57:30,120
Speaker 2: I would say it's probably the last I got four

1188
00:57:30,120 --> 00:57:33,040
Speaker 2: bullet points as the last one. I mean, Listen, Bilama

1189
00:57:33,040 --> 00:57:35,040
Speaker 2: lost this game forty four to nineteen to his former

1190
00:57:35,080 --> 00:57:39,080
Speaker 2: defensive coordinator. There's an axe to grind here all the way. Uh,

1191
00:57:39,240 --> 00:57:41,680
Speaker 2: there's just no answers for Luke Altmeyer what he's doing.

1192
00:57:41,720 --> 00:57:44,360
Speaker 2: Eleven to one TD to I in t ratio boiler

1193
00:57:44,360 --> 00:57:46,920
Speaker 2: Makers since they fire Graham Harrow. The offense is completely

1194
00:57:46,920 --> 00:57:49,640
Speaker 2: in the tank. The defense is completely in the tank. Boy,

1195
00:57:49,680 --> 00:57:52,080
Speaker 2: Look at this schedule. Notre Dame sixty six to seven,

1196
00:57:52,160 --> 00:57:54,560
Speaker 2: Oregon State thirty eight to twenty one, Nebraska twenty eight

1197
00:57:54,640 --> 00:57:57,840
Speaker 2: ten and fifty two to six to the explosive Wisconsin Badgers.

1198
00:57:58,400 --> 00:58:00,720
Speaker 2: There's a short week coming up Oregon next week that's

1199
00:58:00,760 --> 00:58:04,240
Speaker 2: going to be even worse. Four of the highest profile

1200
00:58:04,320 --> 00:58:08,000
Speaker 2: recruits for Purdue have decommitted like in the last ten days,

1201
00:58:08,520 --> 00:58:11,080
Speaker 2: So I have to ask how long until these players

1202
00:58:11,080 --> 00:58:11,480
Speaker 2: have quit?

1203
00:58:12,160 --> 00:58:14,840
Speaker 5: I think the top corner also said that he's sitting

1204
00:58:14,840 --> 00:58:16,920
Speaker 5: out the year. Had it before last week?

1205
00:58:17,120 --> 00:58:17,360
Speaker 1: Yeah?

1206
00:58:17,680 --> 00:58:19,520
Speaker 2: I hate to take an easy one here in this

1207
00:58:19,560 --> 00:58:22,480
Speaker 2: section for favorite overdog, and I really don't like backing

1208
00:58:22,480 --> 00:58:25,120
Speaker 2: Beilama with big numbers, but this is just you just

1209
00:58:25,160 --> 00:58:26,760
Speaker 2: can't deny what's going on here with Purdue.

1210
00:58:26,800 --> 00:58:28,640
Speaker 5: Yeah, are we going full game or first half here?

1211
00:58:29,080 --> 00:58:33,080
Speaker 1: Both? What do you want for official full game? As

1212
00:58:33,120 --> 00:58:33,400
Speaker 1: of today?

1213
00:58:33,440 --> 00:58:34,960
Speaker 2: I'm sure this is going to steam on Saturday.

1214
00:58:35,280 --> 00:58:38,480
Speaker 5: Okay, just unbettable. There's a couple teams I can't bet

1215
00:58:38,840 --> 00:58:41,560
Speaker 5: in college football right now. I shouldn't say camp And

1216
00:58:41,680 --> 00:58:45,520
Speaker 5: there's a number for everything. For example, UAB, I think

1217
00:58:45,960 --> 00:58:46,640
Speaker 5: has quit.

1218
00:58:46,960 --> 00:58:47,640
Speaker 1: When you're losing.

1219
00:58:47,680 --> 00:58:50,720
Speaker 2: That's all everybody wants to talk about UCFS on quit watch,

1220
00:58:50,920 --> 00:58:54,080
Speaker 2: Oklahoma State is Yes, there's so much quit watch this weekend.

1221
00:58:54,480 --> 00:58:57,360
Speaker 5: If the board flash UAB plus twenty eight. Would I

1222
00:58:57,400 --> 00:59:01,880
Speaker 5: bet it? I think I I don't know, man.

1223
00:59:01,880 --> 00:59:04,080
Speaker 2: I mean they saw the triple right, they saw Navy.

1224
00:59:04,640 --> 00:59:06,440
Speaker 2: It was horrific, but they saw it.

1225
00:59:06,440 --> 00:59:09,600
Speaker 5: It's getting close, it's getting up there. I don't know,

1226
00:59:09,840 --> 00:59:13,400
Speaker 5: Probably would have to. Two favorite favorites are Iowa and Illinois.

1227
00:59:13,640 --> 00:59:15,520
Speaker 5: What could go wrong? All right, let's move on to

1228
00:59:15,600 --> 00:59:25,560
Speaker 5: third down. Our favorite underdogs turning good weekends into great weekends.

1229
00:59:26,080 --> 00:59:31,320
Speaker 5: It's time for the money line parlay. Hit this last week.

1230
00:59:31,920 --> 00:59:33,680
Speaker 5: Let's I think it was our second time we've hit

1231
00:59:33,800 --> 00:59:40,600
Speaker 5: this year. Let's keep the momentum rolling. I'm going continue

1232
00:59:40,600 --> 00:59:47,000
Speaker 5: with the theme quit watch since he UCF. I mean,

1233
00:59:47,080 --> 00:59:49,080
Speaker 5: is anyone going to show up for this game? They

1234
00:59:49,120 --> 00:59:50,840
Speaker 5: looked at last two weeks. I mean they looked like

1235
00:59:50,880 --> 00:59:54,840
Speaker 5: I didn't show up against Florida and Cincinnati. By the way,

1236
00:59:55,200 --> 01:00:00,520
Speaker 5: I mean, this team is I think, still flying under

1237
01:00:00,520 --> 01:00:03,800
Speaker 5: the radar a bit if you look at their schedule.

1238
01:00:05,640 --> 01:00:08,480
Speaker 5: They lost to pitt in a game they should have won.

1239
01:00:08,560 --> 01:00:12,760
Speaker 5: They blew and pit by the ways undefeated. They they

1240
01:00:12,800 --> 01:00:16,560
Speaker 5: were up huge in that game, blew it late, wore down.

1241
01:00:16,600 --> 01:00:18,560
Speaker 5: There was a delay of game on the defense on

1242
01:00:18,600 --> 01:00:20,960
Speaker 5: a fourth down that would have clinched the game, and

1243
01:00:21,000 --> 01:00:22,560
Speaker 5: they ended up losing by one.

1244
01:00:22,920 --> 01:00:24,480
Speaker 1: Their other loss was.

1245
01:00:24,440 --> 01:00:27,160
Speaker 5: At Texas Tech, who's in first place in the Big twelve,

1246
01:00:27,240 --> 01:00:30,400
Speaker 5: by three in a game that was back and forth throughout,

1247
01:00:30,880 --> 01:00:32,600
Speaker 5: and they had all their running backs get hurt in

1248
01:00:32,640 --> 01:00:36,560
Speaker 5: that game. Corey Kiner back this week. But where Cincinnati

1249
01:00:36,600 --> 01:00:40,959
Speaker 5: is gonna eat is in the passing attack. Sowarsby's been great.

1250
01:00:41,040 --> 01:00:45,680
Speaker 5: UCF can't cover anybody, they can't get pressure, and this

1251
01:00:45,760 --> 01:00:48,720
Speaker 5: offense just looks lifeless. Give me the Bearcats.

1252
01:00:50,000 --> 01:00:53,280
Speaker 4: After evaluating millions and biass of data in lead blink

1253
01:00:53,320 --> 01:00:57,280
Speaker 4: of the Night League gamble trying two thousands runner vs.

1254
01:00:57,840 --> 01:01:02,360
Speaker 2: Cincinnati by two, finds, Yeah, I'm gonna go with LSU

1255
01:01:02,440 --> 01:01:06,040
Speaker 2: here for underdog money line parlay. It's just an amazing

1256
01:01:06,080 --> 01:01:09,480
Speaker 2: situational spot for LSU. Old Miss. This is their seventh

1257
01:01:09,520 --> 01:01:13,000
Speaker 2: straight game. This is their third straight SEC game, back

1258
01:01:13,000 --> 01:01:15,400
Speaker 2: to back travel after you know, they had to bounce

1259
01:01:15,440 --> 01:01:17,920
Speaker 2: back after the Kentucky loss. They went on to beat

1260
01:01:17,960 --> 01:01:21,160
Speaker 2: South Carolina. You know, I know this law, this roster

1261
01:01:21,280 --> 01:01:23,040
Speaker 2: is loaded, but this is a seventh straight game and

1262
01:01:23,080 --> 01:01:24,960
Speaker 2: third straight in the SEC. It's that's not you know,

1263
01:01:25,000 --> 01:01:27,360
Speaker 2: to be taken lightly LSU is completely off of a

1264
01:01:27,400 --> 01:01:29,600
Speaker 2: bye week. Any tweaks that they needed, you know, they've

1265
01:01:29,640 --> 01:01:32,960
Speaker 2: been fined since the USC game. Ole Miss is still

1266
01:01:33,040 --> 01:01:35,600
Speaker 2: a really soft strength of schedule eighty first, and we're

1267
01:01:35,600 --> 01:01:37,640
Speaker 2: finding out these teams that have strength of schedules that

1268
01:01:37,640 --> 01:01:40,120
Speaker 2: are still pretty poor. Sometimes they get rocked by offenses

1269
01:01:40,160 --> 01:01:42,280
Speaker 2: they haven't seen before. I think that's what we're going

1270
01:01:42,320 --> 01:01:44,880
Speaker 2: to see here Now. Ole Miss has a HAVOC number

1271
01:01:44,960 --> 01:01:47,040
Speaker 2: that is top five, a top but they're number one

1272
01:01:47,080 --> 01:01:49,840
Speaker 2: in defensive havoc this week, Top five and pass rush.

1273
01:01:50,320 --> 01:01:52,880
Speaker 2: It's just not going to apply here. LSU is eleventh

1274
01:01:52,880 --> 01:01:55,640
Speaker 2: and pass blocking. Garrett Nusmeyer is being protected by two

1275
01:01:55,640 --> 01:01:58,600
Speaker 2: of the best offensive tackles in the nation fifteen percent

1276
01:01:58,640 --> 01:02:02,560
Speaker 2: pressure rate. Usmeyer is fine against this Old Miss havoc

1277
01:02:02,600 --> 01:02:05,280
Speaker 2: that's coming for him. The coverage grading is what really

1278
01:02:05,280 --> 01:02:06,960
Speaker 2: sticks out in the Old Miss analytics.

1279
01:02:07,000 --> 01:02:07,919
Speaker 1: Why is it so low?

1280
01:02:07,960 --> 01:02:11,280
Speaker 2: For Pete Golding he runs a strict Cover one, you

1281
01:02:11,320 --> 01:02:15,680
Speaker 2: go into Nusmeyer, he dominates Cover one fifty seven percent

1282
01:02:15,720 --> 01:02:18,600
Speaker 2: success rate, twenty three point five percent of the time.

1283
01:02:18,960 --> 01:02:22,280
Speaker 2: Nussmeyer is throwing explosives when he passes against a Cover

1284
01:02:22,360 --> 01:02:26,760
Speaker 2: one positive EPA per pass. It's just a powder keg

1285
01:02:26,800 --> 01:02:28,520
Speaker 2: that's going to be able to be exposed on the

1286
01:02:28,560 --> 01:02:31,520
Speaker 2: back end of the ole Miss defense. Also, is there

1287
01:02:31,560 --> 01:02:35,120
Speaker 2: a running game here from a freshman Kayden Durham dorm Yeah,

1288
01:02:35,200 --> 01:02:36,960
Speaker 2: I mean behind two of the best tackles, like I said,

1289
01:02:36,960 --> 01:02:40,080
Speaker 2: in the nation from a run blocking perspective. Also, his

1290
01:02:40,120 --> 01:02:42,040
Speaker 2: attempts are growing game by game. He had leven in

1291
01:02:42,120 --> 01:02:44,400
Speaker 2: his last game. He's averaging now four point five yards

1292
01:02:44,440 --> 01:02:47,240
Speaker 2: after first contact and that was and that's over the

1293
01:02:47,320 --> 01:02:49,280
Speaker 2: last two games against South Carolina.

1294
01:02:49,640 --> 01:02:50,680
Speaker 1: In South Bama.

1295
01:02:50,840 --> 01:02:53,720
Speaker 2: Old Miss heavy tempo. Is that really what you want

1296
01:02:53,720 --> 01:02:56,200
Speaker 2: to do here? Twenty two seconds per play? LSU loves

1297
01:02:56,200 --> 01:02:57,680
Speaker 2: to control the clock, and you're going to let them

1298
01:02:57,720 --> 01:02:59,440
Speaker 2: control this easily. They're going to own the time of

1299
01:02:59,480 --> 01:03:04,400
Speaker 2: possession plus injury. Is there anybody more important than Trey Harris.

1300
01:03:04,720 --> 01:03:07,200
Speaker 2: Trey Harris has sixty four targets. Let's look at the

1301
01:03:07,240 --> 01:03:10,520
Speaker 2: list after him, Juice Well's thirty, Caden Lee twenty one.

1302
01:03:10,920 --> 01:03:13,600
Speaker 2: Trey Harris is a monster part of the pie of

1303
01:03:13,640 --> 01:03:15,720
Speaker 2: this ole Miss offense. I don't like what they have

1304
01:03:15,800 --> 01:03:18,240
Speaker 2: on the back end from a coverage grading. When you

1305
01:03:18,360 --> 01:03:20,920
Speaker 2: when Jackson Dart who has these It really does have

1306
01:03:21,000 --> 01:03:24,360
Speaker 2: tremendous numbers with pressure. He has improved so much throwing

1307
01:03:24,360 --> 01:03:27,480
Speaker 2: into traffic and mid range stuff. But you lose your

1308
01:03:27,520 --> 01:03:31,120
Speaker 2: top guy in Trey Harris, who is accumulated around forty

1309
01:03:31,200 --> 01:03:33,480
Speaker 2: to fifty percent of the offense.

1310
01:03:33,520 --> 01:03:36,200
Speaker 1: From a passing perspective, it's any key down, that's what

1311
01:03:36,280 --> 01:03:36,880
Speaker 1: he's looking for.

1312
01:03:37,200 --> 01:03:41,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly, So LSU, here go Tigers, We're coming.

1313
01:03:42,240 --> 01:03:43,160
Speaker 1: I agree.

1314
01:03:43,400 --> 01:03:46,120
Speaker 5: We're putting it on our board, our white board of

1315
01:03:46,120 --> 01:03:51,560
Speaker 5: transparency unveiled last week. This board looks very pretty. It's

1316
01:03:51,600 --> 01:03:53,360
Speaker 5: not going to maintain this way for me. At least

1317
01:03:53,640 --> 01:03:55,439
Speaker 5: five and zero on games you agreed on last week,

1318
01:03:55,520 --> 01:03:58,200
Speaker 5: I had to head on two and oh trash segment

1319
01:03:58,320 --> 01:04:03,120
Speaker 5: two and oh LSU on the agree section. Yeah, I mean, look,

1320
01:04:03,280 --> 01:04:05,880
Speaker 5: number one, it's a great spot. Number two, the strength

1321
01:04:05,920 --> 01:04:08,600
Speaker 5: of the Old Miss defense is there and their run day.

1322
01:04:09,000 --> 01:04:09,240
Speaker 1: Yeah.

1323
01:04:09,360 --> 01:04:10,920
Speaker 5: But so even if ellis who can't get the run

1324
01:04:10,960 --> 01:04:13,040
Speaker 5: game going, I think thus Myers gonna be able to

1325
01:04:13,120 --> 01:04:17,000
Speaker 5: drop back. And where LSU's offense line does excel is

1326
01:04:17,040 --> 01:04:19,560
Speaker 5: in pass protection, right, so they're gonna be able to

1327
01:04:19,600 --> 01:04:20,320
Speaker 5: give him time.

1328
01:04:20,560 --> 01:04:20,760
Speaker 1: Yeah.

1329
01:04:20,760 --> 01:04:22,360
Speaker 5: I think this buy came at a really good time

1330
01:04:22,400 --> 01:04:25,560
Speaker 5: for a team, the new defensive coordinator, new scheme. Catching

1331
01:04:25,560 --> 01:04:27,280
Speaker 5: over a field goal here, even at a field goal,

1332
01:04:27,320 --> 01:04:29,800
Speaker 5: I think is fine. Brian Kelly, for what it's worth,

1333
01:04:29,920 --> 01:04:32,320
Speaker 5: thirty five and eighteen against the spread as an underdog,

1334
01:04:32,960 --> 01:04:35,240
Speaker 5: hit in two thirds of the time twenty seven, thirteen

1335
01:04:35,320 --> 01:04:37,800
Speaker 5: and one, close to sixty eight percent when catching over

1336
01:04:37,840 --> 01:04:41,320
Speaker 5: a field goal after a buye been pretty damn good.

1337
01:04:41,400 --> 01:04:44,320
Speaker 5: Fifteen to eight to one against the spread, sixty five percent,

1338
01:04:44,360 --> 01:04:46,200
Speaker 5: covering by about three and a half points per game.

1339
01:04:46,880 --> 01:04:48,880
Speaker 5: LSU fans remember, I was like, I feel like I

1340
01:04:48,880 --> 01:04:50,000
Speaker 5: never get the bad LSU.

1341
01:04:50,120 --> 01:04:55,080
Speaker 1: And here we are LSU Go Tigers, Go Taggers.

1342
01:04:55,440 --> 01:04:56,560
Speaker 3: There's no question a mind it.

1343
01:04:56,920 --> 01:04:59,640
Speaker 1: Let's go beyond all right?

1344
01:05:00,360 --> 01:05:06,400
Speaker 5: Is our underdog money line parlay Cincy LSU. And let's

1345
01:05:06,400 --> 01:05:10,320
Speaker 5: move on to We're gonna go for it on fourth down.

1346
01:05:10,960 --> 01:05:14,000
Speaker 5: Favorite bet of the weekend.

1347
01:05:14,600 --> 01:05:16,960
Speaker 1: God damn, this is fun.

1348
01:05:17,280 --> 01:05:21,280
Speaker 5: I'm getting a little crazy going. I'm going to UCLA against Minnesota.

1349
01:05:21,680 --> 01:05:25,560
Speaker 5: Continue I talked about earlier Minnesota. Yeah, they played Michigan tough,

1350
01:05:25,920 --> 01:05:29,400
Speaker 5: Michigan stinks. Then they caught USC in a great spot

1351
01:05:30,080 --> 01:05:32,720
Speaker 5: like that. There was wind conditions. There was wind conditions

1352
01:05:32,760 --> 01:05:35,360
Speaker 5: which really hurt USC. You know, they were able to

1353
01:05:35,360 --> 01:05:37,600
Speaker 5: come back late in that game. They were able to

1354
01:05:37,640 --> 01:05:40,280
Speaker 5: run the ball. But this is a tough spot for

1355
01:05:40,320 --> 01:05:42,120
Speaker 5: them traveling out west. For what it's worth, Big Ten

1356
01:05:42,160 --> 01:05:44,960
Speaker 5: teams going two time zones or more one in eight

1357
01:05:45,440 --> 01:05:47,880
Speaker 5: straight up something to keep an eye on with this

1358
01:05:47,920 --> 01:05:52,320
Speaker 5: new Big Ten schedule and ACC two with the increased travel.

1359
01:05:52,800 --> 01:05:55,480
Speaker 5: But do you see always been feistier than I expected.

1360
01:05:55,520 --> 01:05:56,800
Speaker 5: I like some of the changes they made on the

1361
01:05:56,800 --> 01:06:01,080
Speaker 5: offensive line last week. This Minnesota team just doesn't profile

1362
01:06:01,480 --> 01:06:04,280
Speaker 5: as a team that you want to back as a favor.

1363
01:06:04,360 --> 01:06:07,960
Speaker 5: This game should be super low possessions a lot of

1364
01:06:08,000 --> 01:06:11,720
Speaker 5: I mean the UCLA wants to go slow, Minnesota wants

1365
01:06:11,760 --> 01:06:15,760
Speaker 5: to go slow, run the ball. I think that this

1366
01:06:15,800 --> 01:06:19,560
Speaker 5: spread should be closer to a field goal. You know,

1367
01:06:19,680 --> 01:06:23,880
Speaker 5: Minnesota off that emotional win over USC heading out west

1368
01:06:23,920 --> 01:06:27,000
Speaker 5: to play UCLA, who's covered three straight. Their defense is

1369
01:06:27,040 --> 01:06:29,800
Speaker 5: still playing hard, their offense is starting to figure some

1370
01:06:29,840 --> 01:06:32,520
Speaker 5: things out. And by the way, you want to talk

1371
01:06:32,560 --> 01:06:38,480
Speaker 5: about a strength to schedule Ucla, this will feel like

1372
01:06:38,840 --> 01:06:42,760
Speaker 5: a welcome relief. Who they played the past four weeks.

1373
01:06:43,080 --> 01:06:48,960
Speaker 5: Indiana now Top twenty team, Oregon Top five team, LSU,

1374
01:06:49,360 --> 01:06:52,760
Speaker 5: top twenty team and Penn State top ten teams. They

1375
01:06:52,800 --> 01:06:55,920
Speaker 5: had four straight top twenty teams. The travel is an

1376
01:06:55,960 --> 01:06:59,880
Speaker 5: ideal and you know, just playing all these tough teams.

1377
01:07:00,080 --> 01:07:03,880
Speaker 5: But I think Minnesota washes that out because Minnesota has

1378
01:07:03,880 --> 01:07:09,200
Speaker 5: gone from what Iowa to Michigan to USC three, you know,

1379
01:07:09,720 --> 01:07:14,040
Speaker 5: physically demanding emotional games. So I think that that advantage

1380
01:07:14,120 --> 01:07:16,560
Speaker 5: potential a vanags from Minnesota. You throwing, you know, both

1381
01:07:16,560 --> 01:07:20,080
Speaker 5: teams are traveling, I think washes out. So I like,

1382
01:07:20,200 --> 01:07:22,840
Speaker 5: UCLA here, give me the home dog, and which should

1383
01:07:22,880 --> 01:07:23,760
Speaker 5: be a low scoring game.

1384
01:07:25,040 --> 01:07:27,280
Speaker 2: I'm probably going to join you here, which is weird

1385
01:07:27,280 --> 01:07:29,040
Speaker 2: after all the feelings I had for UCLA for the

1386
01:07:29,120 --> 01:07:31,120
Speaker 2: last couple of months. Put it on the board or

1387
01:07:31,160 --> 01:07:34,520
Speaker 2: now we are on the board, We're going, oh baby,

1388
01:07:34,600 --> 01:07:35,760
Speaker 2: row the boat can stop.

1389
01:07:35,800 --> 01:07:39,400
Speaker 1: It ain't rowing sink the boat. You know what trailblazers do.

1390
01:07:39,960 --> 01:07:43,320
Speaker 3: They plays trails for other people to become.

1391
01:07:43,240 --> 01:07:46,480
Speaker 2: Ly let's go red River. I really thought I was

1392
01:07:46,480 --> 01:07:47,560
Speaker 2: going to be on Oklahoma air.

1393
01:07:48,000 --> 01:07:49,520
Speaker 3: That's good, that's a good thing.

1394
01:07:49,960 --> 01:07:52,000
Speaker 2: I thought the spread would be too high. Power ratings

1395
01:07:52,000 --> 01:07:54,480
Speaker 2: got updated this past weekend. I made it fourteen on

1396
01:07:54,520 --> 01:07:56,760
Speaker 2: the dot. Thought I would sit back. Maybe see if

1397
01:07:56,760 --> 01:07:58,440
Speaker 2: at thirteen and a half popped it never popped. I

1398
01:07:58,440 --> 01:08:01,720
Speaker 2: think it might still pop, but I would probably.

1399
01:08:01,480 --> 01:08:01,959
Speaker 1: Hit it again.

1400
01:08:02,040 --> 01:08:05,080
Speaker 2: I like the long Horns that much. Now Quinn Ewers

1401
01:08:05,160 --> 01:08:08,440
Speaker 2: is back. He has been flawless in a crowded pocket

1402
01:08:08,440 --> 01:08:10,520
Speaker 2: this season. He's been great with pressure. So even if

1403
01:08:10,520 --> 01:08:13,120
Speaker 2: Oklahoma is able to get some pass this offensive line,

1404
01:08:13,600 --> 01:08:17,080
Speaker 2: he's been great. Plethora of targets for this Long Horns

1405
01:08:17,120 --> 01:08:21,040
Speaker 2: offense right now, led by Matthew Gordon Golden and Isaiah Bond.

1406
01:08:21,280 --> 01:08:24,320
Speaker 2: Youwers is going to go up against Cover three in

1407
01:08:24,360 --> 01:08:26,559
Speaker 2: the against the secondary for the Sooners is which they

1408
01:08:26,640 --> 01:08:28,400
Speaker 2: what they run for coverage when they go in zone,

1409
01:08:28,400 --> 01:08:31,360
Speaker 2: which is most of the time. Yours last year dominated

1410
01:08:31,600 --> 01:08:35,200
Speaker 2: Cover three fifty eight percent success rate, explosive pass on

1411
01:08:35,200 --> 01:08:37,479
Speaker 2: one of every four attempts. You go and look, I

1412
01:08:37,520 --> 01:08:39,439
Speaker 2: know Texas lost this game last year, Quinn, you were

1413
01:08:39,520 --> 01:08:41,800
Speaker 2: still went for three hundred and forty six yards thirty

1414
01:08:41,800 --> 01:08:44,680
Speaker 2: one to thirty seven passing. I'm not questioning Quinn you

1415
01:08:44,840 --> 01:08:47,960
Speaker 2: was coming into this game. Now, you know the rushing

1416
01:08:48,000 --> 01:08:51,479
Speaker 2: attack top twenty in success rate, but the Texas offensive

1417
01:08:51,479 --> 01:08:53,679
Speaker 2: line is seventy second in lineyards. So What that tells

1418
01:08:53,720 --> 01:08:57,960
Speaker 2: you is the Jayden Blue, Jared Gibson, Quinteraveon Wisner. They

1419
01:08:57,960 --> 01:09:00,559
Speaker 2: have created highlight yards. The running backs are doing work here.

1420
01:09:01,040 --> 01:09:03,680
Speaker 2: Defensive havoc is the reason that OU bet Auburn. They

1421
01:09:03,680 --> 01:09:05,719
Speaker 2: were whipped that entire game. You get a Kip Lewis

1422
01:09:05,720 --> 01:09:08,120
Speaker 2: pick six and it crush stuck an eye. So I

1423
01:09:08,200 --> 01:09:10,439
Speaker 2: just I don't see that happening here. Quinn Ewers was

1424
01:09:10,600 --> 01:09:14,520
Speaker 2: really good against this defense last year, same coverage aspect.

1425
01:09:14,880 --> 01:09:16,600
Speaker 2: Quinn's proved it over a lot of games of what

1426
01:09:16,640 --> 01:09:18,720
Speaker 2: he can do against this Now on the other side

1427
01:09:18,760 --> 01:09:21,000
Speaker 2: of the ball, you know, they really haven't faced an

1428
01:09:21,040 --> 01:09:23,840
Speaker 2: offense in the top sixty per sp plus. But the

1429
01:09:23,880 --> 01:09:26,800
Speaker 2: Michigan game is a perfect template for what is about

1430
01:09:26,800 --> 01:09:30,559
Speaker 2: to happen here. Right, do we expect Oklahoma to throw? No,

1431
01:09:31,040 --> 01:09:31,960
Speaker 2: everybody's still hurt.

1432
01:09:32,000 --> 01:09:34,320
Speaker 5: Burks is out, Yeah, Burk's just got an ouncetyle. And

1433
01:09:34,320 --> 01:09:36,320
Speaker 5: by the way, Michigan at least can run the ball

1434
01:09:36,360 --> 01:09:40,240
Speaker 5: a bit. Yeah, Oklahoma can't run it. I still think

1435
01:09:40,320 --> 01:09:43,599
Speaker 5: that's the way you attack Texas in the future, right, Like,

1436
01:09:44,080 --> 01:09:45,960
Speaker 5: but you have to have a competent passing attack, right

1437
01:09:46,920 --> 01:09:49,200
Speaker 5: that they respect against Michigan. They in respect it. They

1438
01:09:49,400 --> 01:09:51,400
Speaker 5: can shut Michigan down. Well, you don't really have to

1439
01:09:51,439 --> 01:09:54,720
Speaker 5: respect the Oklahoma passing attack. And Oklahoma can't run it.

1440
01:09:54,920 --> 01:09:57,320
Speaker 5: How do they keep up with Texas unless the defense

1441
01:09:57,400 --> 01:10:01,200
Speaker 5: has just a superhuman effort, which it's hard to envision

1442
01:10:01,200 --> 01:10:03,760
Speaker 5: them keeping Texas and check by the way, I would

1443
01:10:03,880 --> 01:10:06,960
Speaker 5: lean under here, not sure I can get there, because

1444
01:10:07,000 --> 01:10:10,600
Speaker 5: I tweeted out remind me last year, and I bookmarked

1445
01:10:10,600 --> 01:10:12,679
Speaker 5: it and put it on my calendar. I said, remind

1446
01:10:12,720 --> 01:10:17,120
Speaker 5: me not to ever bet a Red River under again

1447
01:10:17,160 --> 01:10:18,640
Speaker 5: in my life. I mean, if you looked at some

1448
01:10:18,680 --> 01:10:21,519
Speaker 5: of these scores, they're all like forty five forty fifty

1449
01:10:21,560 --> 01:10:23,800
Speaker 5: to forty five fifty three. I had the worst luck

1450
01:10:23,800 --> 01:10:26,680
Speaker 5: in this game. By the how's Oklahoma gonna move it?

1451
01:10:26,800 --> 01:10:28,719
Speaker 2: I think the better bet is the Oklahoma team total

1452
01:10:28,800 --> 01:10:31,439
Speaker 2: under because I don't know if Sark wants to stop scoring,

1453
01:10:31,520 --> 01:10:33,519
Speaker 2: and I think the handygame. So the reason why I

1454
01:10:33,520 --> 01:10:35,120
Speaker 2: waited on this numbers is I wanted to know the

1455
01:10:35,160 --> 01:10:37,960
Speaker 2: wide receivers and you mentioned it like Burke soft tissue gone,

1456
01:10:38,040 --> 01:10:41,400
Speaker 2: Andrew Anthony a setback, more surgery. Jalil Ferub just came out.

1457
01:10:41,320 --> 01:10:41,760
Speaker 1: Of a boot.

1458
01:10:41,760 --> 01:10:43,320
Speaker 2: You've seen people come out of a boot. They ain't

1459
01:10:43,400 --> 01:10:47,040
Speaker 2: running flyer outs and go routes down the field. What's

1460
01:10:47,080 --> 01:10:49,800
Speaker 2: the rest of this offense? You mentioned it's success rate

1461
01:10:50,000 --> 01:10:53,160
Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty third both passing and running. Like

1462
01:10:53,160 --> 01:10:54,360
Speaker 2: they're not going to be able to run the ball.

1463
01:10:54,400 --> 01:10:55,920
Speaker 2: They're one hundred and twenty eight of success rate in

1464
01:10:55,960 --> 01:10:57,360
Speaker 2: passing downs they get behind the chains.

1465
01:10:57,360 --> 01:10:58,840
Speaker 1: Oh you gets even the worse.

1466
01:10:59,000 --> 01:11:02,200
Speaker 3: Because I've told several times I've been on my knees

1467
01:11:02,400 --> 01:11:03,640
Speaker 3: plenty in this profession.

1468
01:11:04,040 --> 01:11:07,879
Speaker 5: First Red River rivalry, it's an SEC game. So finally

1469
01:11:07,920 --> 01:11:12,400
Speaker 5: this game just means more here, it just means more.

1470
01:11:14,600 --> 01:11:17,000
Speaker 2: One thing that I want to touch on about why

1471
01:11:17,280 --> 01:11:21,800
Speaker 2: Texas is for real a national title contender. Me and

1472
01:11:21,840 --> 01:11:25,519
Speaker 2: Steve Sarkisian had a conversation at SEC media Days Casher tickets.

1473
01:11:26,000 --> 01:11:27,920
Speaker 2: I said, why can't you score in the red zone?

1474
01:11:27,920 --> 01:11:30,160
Speaker 2: Where's the touchdowns? We just don't have ro Sean, we

1475
01:11:30,160 --> 01:11:32,320
Speaker 2: don't have Vijon. I said, do you have any options?

1476
01:11:32,360 --> 01:11:34,479
Speaker 2: I got two dozen options here during practice and we

1477
01:11:34,560 --> 01:11:36,360
Speaker 2: got to figure out who it is. Let's go and

1478
01:11:36,360 --> 01:11:40,320
Speaker 2: look right now, what's going on. Twelve different players have

1479
01:11:40,400 --> 01:11:43,160
Speaker 2: scored a touchdown for Texas. I believe eight of them

1480
01:11:43,160 --> 01:11:46,040
Speaker 2: have scored at least two touchdowns. There are so many

1481
01:11:46,080 --> 01:11:48,680
Speaker 2: options that are getting into the red zone and I'm

1482
01:11:48,720 --> 01:11:51,439
Speaker 2: sorry getting touchdowns in the red zone. This team is

1483
01:11:51,520 --> 01:11:55,040
Speaker 2: touchdown crazy. Sark is in his bag and he has

1484
01:11:55,080 --> 01:11:58,800
Speaker 2: so many options on this offense. Listen. I mean, I'm

1485
01:11:58,800 --> 01:12:01,559
Speaker 2: not disrespecting Danny Stuts and the defense for OU, but

1486
01:12:01,640 --> 01:12:04,160
Speaker 2: they just it's like Tennessee. You just can't hold it up.

1487
01:12:04,200 --> 01:12:05,599
Speaker 2: You're not gonna be able to cover with this, You're

1488
01:12:05,640 --> 01:12:07,759
Speaker 2: not gonna be able to score with this, and things

1489
01:12:07,800 --> 01:12:10,040
Speaker 2: like Auburn are going to continue to happen when your

1490
01:12:10,080 --> 01:12:12,240
Speaker 2: offense continues to be bottom ten in the nation, no

1491
01:12:12,320 --> 01:12:15,519
Speaker 2: matter what it does. Give me Texas here, if you

1492
01:12:15,560 --> 01:12:17,360
Speaker 2: want to be patient, look for a thirteen and a half.

1493
01:12:17,400 --> 01:12:20,040
Speaker 2: I do think there's just gonna be enough OU in here.

1494
01:12:20,040 --> 01:12:22,559
Speaker 2: This is way too big of a number, But you know,

1495
01:12:22,720 --> 01:12:25,479
Speaker 2: I think fourteen is the number five fire on good.

1496
01:12:25,840 --> 01:12:29,120
Speaker 5: It also won't be at noon, which is very odd. Yeah,

1497
01:12:29,160 --> 01:12:31,519
Speaker 5: So an SEC game between Texas and now Floma, that's not.

1498
01:12:31,560 --> 01:12:34,479
Speaker 2: A new everybody getting drunk, right, There's gonna be a

1499
01:12:34,479 --> 01:12:36,880
Speaker 2: more rowdy crowd of drunkenness.

1500
01:12:36,520 --> 01:12:38,800
Speaker 3: Supporting the program the right way. Don't matter what the

1501
01:12:38,800 --> 01:12:41,640
Speaker 3: temperature is, what time it is, Okay, when it's not

1502
01:12:41,680 --> 01:12:42,000
Speaker 3: giving me.

1503
01:12:42,000 --> 01:12:44,360
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, we want to tell gate all day. Well sorry, okay,

1504
01:12:44,479 --> 01:12:45,080
Speaker 1: show up.

1505
01:12:45,439 --> 01:12:48,839
Speaker 5: Yeah, it should be an awesome atmosphere as always, biggest

1506
01:12:48,880 --> 01:12:52,599
Speaker 5: favorite Texas, the biggest favorite. They've been in this series

1507
01:12:52,680 --> 01:12:56,479
Speaker 5: since two thousand and five when you won the national title.

1508
01:12:56,520 --> 01:12:59,960
Speaker 5: Hook them all right, good stuff there the board update,

1509
01:13:00,360 --> 01:13:03,960
Speaker 5: Oh man, the Trash, the four Trash.

1510
01:13:04,640 --> 01:13:06,439
Speaker 1: You might as well keep it on all weekend after

1511
01:13:06,479 --> 01:13:07,040
Speaker 1: that segment.

1512
01:13:07,080 --> 01:13:10,160
Speaker 2: You might going to keep the whole outfit on Board.

1513
01:13:09,880 --> 01:13:13,040
Speaker 5: Of Transparency agree, which we're five and oh on this

1514
01:13:13,120 --> 01:13:16,880
Speaker 5: year we have LSU Ucla and then All four Trash

1515
01:13:17,080 --> 01:13:19,160
Speaker 5: Hawaii Buffalo you on monroean Nevada.

1516
01:13:19,320 --> 01:13:20,320
Speaker 1: This has never happened.

1517
01:13:20,320 --> 01:13:23,080
Speaker 5: This is a show first only one head to head

1518
01:13:23,400 --> 01:13:27,320
Speaker 5: in Morgantown, Iowa, State West Virginia. All right, that'll do

1519
01:13:27,360 --> 01:13:29,800
Speaker 5: it for us, thanks as always the conference joining me.

1520
01:13:29,840 --> 01:13:32,320
Speaker 5: Thanks to our producer Matt Mitchell in the back end.

1521
01:13:32,439 --> 01:13:34,400
Speaker 5: Make sure you subscribe on Subscribe, subscribe to a friends

1522
01:13:34,479 --> 01:13:37,479
Speaker 5: on Enemy, subscribe our YouTube channel as well. Live show

1523
01:13:37,800 --> 01:13:40,920
Speaker 5: ten thirty am Eastern Saturday group of five guys. Their

1524
01:13:40,920 --> 01:13:42,640
Speaker 5: episodes out always do a great job. Make sure you

1525
01:13:42,720 --> 01:13:44,920
Speaker 5: check them out, give them some support. So I have

1526
01:13:45,000 --> 01:13:47,679
Speaker 5: to take all of the Diego cover just the president

1527
01:13:47,720 --> 01:13:51,320
Speaker 5: of the fan club. But I hope you enjoyed the show.

1528
01:13:51,479 --> 01:13:55,080
Speaker 5: Enjoy a great college football Slate recap episode be out

1529
01:13:55,120 --> 01:13:56,879
Speaker 5: Monday morning is always. Don't forget to call the voicemails

1530
01:13:56,920 --> 01:13:58,880
Speaker 5: nine five nine Bad Beat. Thanks for tuning in, We'll

1531
01:13:58,920 --> 01:13:59,400
Speaker 5: catch out later.

1532
01:14:00,120 --> 01:14:01,479
Speaker 1: Cheers. Peace Out.

1533
01:14:09,720 --> 01:14:14,240
Speaker 4: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1534
01:14:14,280 --> 01:14:17,040
Speaker 4: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1535
01:14:17,080 --> 01:14:20,200
Speaker 4: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler