Speaker 1: Be sure to catch live editions of the Ben Maller
Speaker 1: Show weekdays at two a m. Eastern eleven pm Pacific.
Speaker 1: If you thought four hours a day, minutes a week
Speaker 1: was enough, I think again. He's the last remnants of
Speaker 1: the old Republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He treats
Speaker 1: crackheads in the ghetto cutter the same as the rich
Speaker 1: pill poppers in the penthouse, the clearing House of hot
Speaker 1: takes break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with
Speaker 1: Ben Maller starts right now. That it does. We are
Speaker 1: in the air everywhere you name it, the power of podcasting,
Speaker 1: the global reach, and we are glad you have chosen
Speaker 1: to spent another weekend with The Fifth Hour with Ben
Speaker 1: Maller and uh somebody else. I forget who, because four
Speaker 1: hours are not and off eight days a week. And
Speaker 1: as you already know, because you found us, you can
Speaker 1: find the podcast on the I Heart podcast network and
Speaker 1: available wherever you get your kiss people. Send me messages everyone,
Speaker 1: and I'll say, hey, what about the podcast on Fox?
Speaker 1: This is this is not on Fox Sports Radio. This
Speaker 1: is not a Fox Sports radio podcast. It is an
Speaker 1: I Heart podcast, but it is a spinoff of the
Speaker 1: Ben Maller Radio Show and for Better or Worse. We
Speaker 1: are joined from West of the four oh five by
Speaker 1: David Gascon. I don't know if it's a I don't
Speaker 1: know what. I don't know if that's accurate to say.
Speaker 1: I don't know if it's a spinoff or an upgrade
Speaker 1: over night weekly show, upgrade, upgrade? What thinks us an
Speaker 1: upgrade other than you? Upgrade in life and age and enthusiasm,
Speaker 1: snob appeal, I got that exactly. I don't know if
Speaker 1: away with snob high brow you can you can do that,
Speaker 1: I can do that. The unsavory braggart, you can put
Speaker 1: that in there. Persnickety, that's also use. Pernickety is a
Speaker 1: good word. Yes, it's a fun word, so I use word.
Speaker 1: It's a good snipe woord like it's fun like Hornswoggle
Speaker 1: is a good word. Flamm X is a good word.
Speaker 1: These are the words I need to use more. I
Speaker 1: try to work them into my lexicon, but I need
Speaker 1: you need to use them more. You know what you
Speaker 1: don't use for anger? You don't use livid at all.
Speaker 1: I haven't heard you say living in a long time. No,
Speaker 1: I do not usually use livid. I use enraged. Infuriated.
Speaker 1: It's good. That's that's one that I've used a lot.
Speaker 1: Piste off obviously everyone uses that one. Uh. I like,
Speaker 1: you know, what's good is on the war path that paints,
Speaker 1: that paints a good visual like that, that makes me
Speaker 1: go back to my glory day as of Nintendo sixty
Speaker 1: four with Donkey Kong or something like that. You were
Speaker 1: on the you were on the warpath. But here's any
Speaker 1: vortex of outrage, that's a good one. It's a solid,
Speaker 1: solid way to describe something. Is that what you would
Speaker 1: describe the um the Beat and and natural reporters for
Speaker 1: the l A Times are you? Are you referring to
Speaker 1: the Justin Turner story a few days back? Uh? Yeah,
Speaker 1: Well listen that we often I work in I guess
Speaker 1: we work in media, and I think this is me
Speaker 1: it kind of it's radio. It's not really it's not
Speaker 1: the normal normal media. But uh yeah, I've never been
Speaker 1: a big fan of the panic peddlers. Uh. And this
Speaker 1: was tremendous. Man chicken little running around ringing the bell.
Speaker 1: Oh my god, Justin Turner, the Merchant of Doom. It's
Speaker 1: so so ridiculous. And I I didn't know the other
Speaker 1: people were doing having these debates about oh my god,
Speaker 1: this is the worst thing in the world and all
Speaker 1: this stuff and Turner needs to be suspended and just stop,
Speaker 1: just stop the guy. No one's gonna die from this.
Speaker 1: Number one, that's the most important thing. Number two, what
Speaker 1: what are we doing here? He was he was around
Speaker 1: all those guys. It's not like there's a light switch.
Speaker 1: As I said on the on the radio the day,
Speaker 1: It's not like a light switch. Were you all of
Speaker 1: a sudden. Well, now, now if he stays away, everything's good.
Speaker 1: He was around those guys for days before he finally
Speaker 1: tested positive. So stop. Yeah, And if that's the case,
Speaker 1: would you have kept you would have kept fellow Raised
Speaker 1: players off a flight to go back home to Tampa.
Speaker 1: You probably would have kept the entire umpiring crew away
Speaker 1: from boarding a plane and going home. Well exactly. I
Speaker 1: mean that's the thing. Because they claim it takes a
Speaker 1: while for this thing to settle in and take ten days.
Speaker 1: Usually it's when in a five day period, it could
Speaker 1: take ten, fourteen days or whatever. So yeah, they seemed
Speaker 1: like they were they were flying when they were flying back,
Speaker 1: and uh, you know, the world will go on. I
Speaker 1: think this will this will be all right, but it
Speaker 1: made for some great They must get tremendous ratings here
Speaker 1: with this. You know, if it bleeds, it leads stuff.
Speaker 1: And you know, the more lower lured the story, the
Speaker 1: better the ray things are gonna be. And there you go. Yeah,
Speaker 1: my favorite is not reading the article, but reading the
Speaker 1: comments or reading the comments to the tweet from said publication,
Speaker 1: like that was the best. Well, what's it's great because
Speaker 1: it's a lot of hacks, media hacks making it all
Speaker 1: about them, you know, about their emotions and how they
Speaker 1: were affected by Justin Turner's actions. It's it's very amusing,
Speaker 1: it is. It's good, But that's the world we live
Speaker 1: in now. And as you've gotta know, you've gotta you
Speaker 1: gotta make it all is, make it all about you,
Speaker 1: play the victim card rights the whole cottage industry there.
Speaker 1: It's bewildering, but there's no end in. So it's that
Speaker 1: twisted logic that is going on. But it's the way
Speaker 1: of the world. But who is guilty about this? Like,
Speaker 1: think about this for a second, because you get you
Speaker 1: get journalists and reporters and hosts on both sides, but
Speaker 1: they're clearly advocates for something or someone who's guilty of that.
Speaker 1: The most though, is the people writing their checks or
Speaker 1: is the is the way that the media is now
Speaker 1: where people can be on a television at any given
Speaker 1: time and gain that celebrity status immediately. It's like it's
Speaker 1: a self fulfilling prophecy. Though. The media like they hire
Speaker 1: people that come from the same background educational wise, and
Speaker 1: they they don't know for sure, but they have a
Speaker 1: pretty good idea of their leanings on different issues, and
Speaker 1: so they hire these people and then you know they're
Speaker 1: from all different backgrounds, but they have the same beliefs
Speaker 1: system So it ends up in the situation when but
Speaker 1: uh so, normally on on our Friday podcast, we have
Speaker 1: a conversation some old radio friend that I've known over
Speaker 1: the years, or a political pundit or whoever we get on,
Speaker 1: we'll put on. We've had athletes on this week, though
Speaker 1: we decided not to do that because we would like
Speaker 1: to use our a lot of time a little bit differently.
Speaker 1: I don't know if you know this, but next week
Speaker 1: is going to be a crazy week in American history
Speaker 1: because on Tuesday, and it probably won't be decided on Tuesday,
Speaker 1: but there's a little presidential election and uh, and then
Speaker 1: you know, take a day or two or three or four,
Speaker 1: who the hell knows, but that is going to be
Speaker 1: the number one story. And so I thought we would
Speaker 1: try to decode it. And there's a couple of things
Speaker 1: we're gonna do here on this podcast. The first thing
Speaker 1: we're gonna do is give the Mallard Handbook to voting,
Speaker 1: the Mallor Handbook Voting. And then the second thing we're
Speaker 1: going to do is going to try to decipher um
Speaker 1: the gambling odds because when you look at the you know,
Speaker 1: the election, people are on one side or the other, right,
Speaker 1: you know, people obviously it's split pretty close to down
Speaker 1: the middle in the country where you got half Republicans,
Speaker 1: half Democrats and all that stuff. So the the thing
Speaker 1: about gambling here is this is actually something that can
Speaker 1: bring us all together. Right, this this is now you
Speaker 1: can laugh, but this is something for the common goal
Speaker 1: of making money. Right. Politics are known to divide people,
Speaker 1: and you're cliches. You're not supposed to talk about them
Speaker 1: when you're Thanksgiving dinner, you're hanging out with your loved
Speaker 1: ones over any holidays. But if you can make money
Speaker 1: if you're a Democrat and you can wake a couple
Speaker 1: of bucks and you bet on Trump to win a
Speaker 1: state that you're and he's all but guaranteed to win,
Speaker 1: why would you not do that? And if you're even
Speaker 1: if you're Republican, you know, do you think Joe Biden's
Speaker 1: gonna lose California? I mean, that's easy money right there.
Speaker 1: You put a bet down, Bam, you win a couple
Speaker 1: of bucks. Um, So we're gonna hammer that. So that's
Speaker 1: what's on the agenda, and anything else that pops up
Speaker 1: is that is that? Okay, I guess gonna be a provably.
Speaker 1: I'm really curious about the Mallard school of voting. All right,
Speaker 1: So the Mallard school of voting is pretty simple. I
Speaker 1: I've I learned this years ago. Now I'm the only
Speaker 1: one in the entire state that I live in that
Speaker 1: does this. But essentially, there's so many propositions and nobody
Speaker 1: really has the time to go through all of them
Speaker 1: unless you're like a retired person, and then you have
Speaker 1: the time to go through all the all the prepositions.
Speaker 1: So what I do my move is, does this increase taxes?
Speaker 1: If in any way there's a tax increase. No. My
Speaker 1: default position on all props, all all propositions is no, no, no,
Speaker 1: no no. Now lately I have added another thing just
Speaker 1: in California here where I live, and I really want
Speaker 1: to thank the people spending money on advertising here because
Speaker 1: what I've noticed is when I see a commercial and um,
Speaker 1: you know, so and so proposition is endorsed by Gavin Newsom,
Speaker 1: that's a no. Even if it's not involving tax, that's
Speaker 1: a no. Uh So anything he does, so that's that's it.
Speaker 1: And as far as the political things, uh, you know,
Speaker 1: you don't have to go. I think one of the
Speaker 1: big things here is you don't. It's a test. You
Speaker 1: don't have to answer all the questions. People think you
Speaker 1: have to fill out every part of the ballot or
Speaker 1: the ballot's not complete. Some people think that. I don't
Speaker 1: know why it says on the ballot you don't have
Speaker 1: to but um, you know, if you don't have any
Speaker 1: clue and you think you didn't study up, then don't
Speaker 1: you don't have to vote? I mean, you don't have
Speaker 1: to fill out every part of the ballot, is what
Speaker 1: I'm trying to say. So that's pretty much the basics there.
Speaker 1: When it comes to the propositions anything involving taxes. No,
Speaker 1: they got enough of my money. Reallocate the money, find
Speaker 1: a way to spend the money better. You got enough
Speaker 1: of it, you don't need any more of it. And uh.
Speaker 1: And there's also just a general belief here which a
Speaker 1: lot of a lot of people, the uneducated apparently to understand.
Speaker 1: There is no such thing as a free lunch, like
Speaker 1: if you know, always be a free education, free you know, medicine,
Speaker 1: somebody's gonna pay for it, free health care exactly, that's healthcare,
Speaker 1: medic but someone's gonna pay for it, and so stop
Speaker 1: and person is gonna pay for it in one way
Speaker 1: or another? Is you so you know, But it's that
Speaker 1: that magic trick you can convince stupid people. Well, no,
Speaker 1: you're gonna get it for free. You're not gonna know
Speaker 1: they're gonna get that money out of you one way
Speaker 1: or another, so you just you won't realize what's going on,
Speaker 1: and you'll think you're getting something. It's like anything way,
Speaker 1: no business gives crap away for free without the thinking
Speaker 1: that they're going to get something in return for it. Right,
Speaker 1: It's it's beautiful in the sense nowadays to which people
Speaker 1: don't realize that or see it until it hits him
Speaker 1: upside the face. And I'll give you a perfect example
Speaker 1: of this. I had um. I had surgery a couple
Speaker 1: of years ago to fix a deviated septum, and Bennon,
Speaker 1: when it came time to pay the pipe piper, I
Speaker 1: had four different bills from four different parties. Uh an anesthesiologist,
Speaker 1: a surgeon, the regular doctor that operated on me, and
Speaker 1: then also the hospital all getting their cut one different
Speaker 1: way or another, as opposed to like the old school
Speaker 1: days when they would just build you right through the hospital.
Speaker 1: But now it's like the doctors are having to pay
Speaker 1: to use the hospital for their surgery, so now they
Speaker 1: have to take it out of you in order to
Speaker 1: get compensated for what they're doing Insteade hospital and operating room.
Speaker 1: So it's kind of like when you go to the barbershop.
Speaker 1: A lot of these barbershops they rent out the chairs
Speaker 1: of the barbershop and okay, all right, so it's the same. Yeah.
Speaker 1: I remember my mom, you know, miss she Rest in Peace,
Speaker 1: was sick and she was in the hospital a lot
Speaker 1: with different things, and you get the the check. They
Speaker 1: just keep coming in like the little these checks one
Speaker 1: by one for different different tests that were done in
Speaker 1: different craps that was done. Um, it's pretty pretty crazy.
Speaker 1: And then the other thing is obviously the UM I
Speaker 1: don't know is the exploitation, the taking advantage of the insurance,
Speaker 1: not that anybody has, not that anyone has sympathy or
Speaker 1: empathy for you know, big time major insurance companies. Right,
Speaker 1: these are big, monstrous operations. But you know when you
Speaker 1: charge the hospital charges five dollars for the Thailand all
Speaker 1: pill because they can and they know the insurance will
Speaker 1: pay it. A little sketching, Yeah, it's it's a it's
Speaker 1: a trillion dollar industry. And I'll put it this way, Ben,
Speaker 1: is that doctors are there to to fix you. They're
Speaker 1: not there to help you get better. You know, if
Speaker 1: that was the case in medical school, they would teach
Speaker 1: all of these guys about nutrition, and they fucking don't
Speaker 1: and we're suckers. Well well yeah, it's like the well
Speaker 1: that's the whole conspiracy, you want to go deep state
Speaker 1: Illuminati conspiracy that you know, if if they did have
Speaker 1: a cure for cancer, would they release it like a
Speaker 1: general cure because see the problem with cancers like a
Speaker 1: million different kinds of cancers. But if they found a
Speaker 1: magic placebo, would they release it because a lot of
Speaker 1: money is generated from people that have to get chemotherapy
Speaker 1: and have to have treatments and all that stuff. And um,
Speaker 1: now I think they would, And I'll tell you why.
Speaker 1: The Mather theory, my my working theory on this is
Speaker 1: they would. If they found a magic cure for cancer,
Speaker 1: they would. There'd just be another illness that would pop
Speaker 1: up that would replace it. You know, they'd move the
Speaker 1: goalposts a little bit and they'd be like, all right,
Speaker 1: well there's no more cancer, hallelujah. But we'll we'll figure
Speaker 1: something else out of here, and then we're we're good
Speaker 1: to go. As long as we have a big illness
Speaker 1: that will take down certain percentage of the population and
Speaker 1: keep them in the hospital, we're good to go. Well,
Speaker 1: we got a lot. We got diabetes, we got heart attacks,
Speaker 1: we got Alzheimer's dementia. Obviously, Um, you know, people die.
Speaker 1: Oh there's a there's a ton of ways to get
Speaker 1: sick and die, and we're all gonna choose one of
Speaker 1: them eventually. If we're lucky enough to live long enough
Speaker 1: to have one of those take us out and not
Speaker 1: die suddenly. So yeah, that's good times. That'd be curious though, Yeah,
Speaker 1: I mean because a lot of this stuff too. Don't
Speaker 1: forget these guys have heavy, heavy money involved in stocks
Speaker 1: and and all these. Yeah, yeah, they have a financial
Speaker 1: incentive to keep certain things going the way they are.
Speaker 1: But then then the flip side of that is there's
Speaker 1: also people that invest uh. And I won't reveal any
Speaker 1: names here, I will not I will protect the guilty,
Speaker 1: But who invest in medical companies like this whole Corona thing,
Speaker 1: like this COVID nineteen. There are people gambling right now
Speaker 1: on the stock market that they will bet on the
Speaker 1: medical company that comes up with the the vaccine uh.
Speaker 1: And then they get the deal, and you know, every
Speaker 1: country buys a you know, gazillion of these vaccine things
Speaker 1: and then they make all the money in their profits
Speaker 1: go through the roof and the stock goes up, and
Speaker 1: then whoever invested in that makes a ton of money.
Speaker 1: So it does work the other way too, Yes, it does.
Speaker 1: Cut you wouldn't be one of those people, would you guess?
Speaker 1: I am one of those people. But they say, like,
Speaker 1: don't don't work for the comp that you want to
Speaker 1: be in bed with, invest in the company that you
Speaker 1: want to be in bed with, and that's what I'm
Speaker 1: trying to do. But you know, like we you know,
Speaker 1: a lot of companies nowadays, especially here in the world
Speaker 1: of COVID, they've pulled back on their four oh one
Speaker 1: K contributions. So I have, in turn decided to not
Speaker 1: put money into my four oh one K and invested
Speaker 1: on my own accord. And so that's been doing homework
Speaker 1: and bullshitting with you about certain stocks. Another it was
Speaker 1: great back in the old days, were like matched the
Speaker 1: four oh one kid was Oh my god, it was
Speaker 1: fifty fifty. Whatever you have dollar you put in, they
Speaker 1: give you an extra dollar. It was great. Uh, I
Speaker 1: don't I don't remember, but I it only it didn't
Speaker 1: last that. It was only the first couple of years
Speaker 1: I got in a radio. But uh yeah, it's it's
Speaker 1: gone the other way. No, but I listen. I I
Speaker 1: have a guy I used blind Scott for a while
Speaker 1: that didn't work out so well, and another guy that
Speaker 1: didn't work out so well. But the guy got now
Speaker 1: is pretty good. It's pretty good. He's pretty sharp. Kind
Speaker 1: of an advisor who pays attention. I pay attention a
Speaker 1: little bit, but you know you don't want to. You're
Speaker 1: playing with real money here. It's kind of like exactly.
Speaker 1: It's which which makes me all the more maddening that
Speaker 1: you can't, actually, or you couldn't up until recently, gamble
Speaker 1: on sports and so of these states. But betting on
Speaker 1: a penny stock becoming a big time player on Wall Street,
Speaker 1: that's perfectly fine. That's perfectly of course. What I what
Speaker 1: I did with Blind Scott is he gave me the
Speaker 1: one weed company that that sucked and couldn't sell weed,
Speaker 1: and so that was like a good stock that became
Speaker 1: a penny stock. Yeah, with the other way. But then
Speaker 1: I get emails every once in a while from from
Speaker 1: Blind Scott, my guy in Boston, who tells me how
Speaker 1: much money he just made by some investment. I shake
Speaker 1: my head every time I see, well, you schmuck, you schmuck.
Speaker 1: You did not give me that advice. I dare you
Speaker 1: you did not give me the advice. But see the
Speaker 1: the old, the old advice that that Warren Buffett gave
Speaker 1: back in the day, as he says, don't don't invest
Speaker 1: in in many stocks, like, only invest in a handful
Speaker 1: of them, and that'll take you to where you want
Speaker 1: to go. Like you know, it's a gambling You don't
Speaker 1: want to bet on every single game in the NFL.
Speaker 1: You want to bet on like two or three that
Speaker 1: you feel the best about. It's called discipline, money management,
Speaker 1: and discipline, which is the reason. The main reason people
Speaker 1: think the reason that gamblers don't win on sports is
Speaker 1: because of you. It's so hard, it's too hard, and
Speaker 1: all that stuff. It is difficult. But the number one
Speaker 1: reason I've heard from people who work in that industry,
Speaker 1: the gambling industry, the number one thing is there's no
Speaker 1: self control. I'm in Vegas. I gotta bet on the game.
Speaker 1: There's only one game left. I'm gonna bet on it.
Speaker 1: Even if it's a ship bet and it's it's a
Speaker 1: terrible bet, you still bet on it because you're there.
Speaker 1: You want to have a little action. I'll never forget
Speaker 1: the the grandma in front of me at the sports
Speaker 1: book window, who bet? I think it was like ten
Speaker 1: grand if I remember correctly, I know the number changes
Speaker 1: every time because I was so but she bet thousands
Speaker 1: of dollars on the Saints to win the Super Bowl
Speaker 1: a year they did not win the Super Bowl because
Speaker 1: she was from Louisiana and she was, you know, from
Speaker 1: the you know, the land of the Bayou, and she
Speaker 1: wanted to bet on her Saints and she did and
Speaker 1: you know, thousands of dollars just because you know, it's
Speaker 1: not that's not good money management. It's not. And the
Speaker 1: other thing also, which is I bring this up a lot,
Speaker 1: and I apologize if you've already heard it a million times.
Speaker 1: Bad job by me. But the sports books and the
Speaker 1: people running the gambling websites, anytime somebody hits like a
Speaker 1: seven team parlay, they love to tweet that out. They
Speaker 1: love to promote that. Why would they promote that, because
Speaker 1: that's they're losing money on that. No, they know for
Speaker 1: that one guy that makes twenty thousand or fifty thousand
Speaker 1: dollars on a seventeen parlay, that they will make their
Speaker 1: money back in spades on other people, that it's a
Speaker 1: sucker bet to bet to parlays. And so they know, hey,
Speaker 1: let me put this out there. And I like the
Speaker 1: story too. It's great to see somebody who you know,
Speaker 1: bets seven random games and hits them all and went
Speaker 1: a bunch of money. But I know that for Joe Blow,
Speaker 1: that ain't gonna happen, and so I got sidetracked and
Speaker 1: I started with my political analysis on how to how
Speaker 1: to vote, and we morphed into do you have any
Speaker 1: tips gascons west of the four oh five tips anything
Speaker 1: that involves tax increasy sc sc SC sc S. Is
Speaker 1: that the guest gon strategy I, um, so the tax
Speaker 1: strategy like you you actually mentioned it hit the nail
Speaker 1: run on the head, is that you look for retired
Speaker 1: people that have time to break this down and and
Speaker 1: talk about it. Um. I have two friends, um, both
Speaker 1: of their parents actually move out of California because of
Speaker 1: said taxes and have moved to states like Idaho and Utah.
Speaker 1: But they're all in in tune with what's going on
Speaker 1: politically in in the state of California. And then also
Speaker 1: the chief I had my dad and also go through
Speaker 1: this stuff with me too, and so all three people,
Speaker 1: Ben I kid, you not came to the same conclusion
Speaker 1: on the prop beds here in California. No across the
Speaker 1: board except yes on twenty and twenty two. I know
Speaker 1: for those we have a lot of listeners in California,
Speaker 1: So walk through twy need to be a yes, all right,
Speaker 1: So I gotta I gotta pull this bad boy up
Speaker 1: because I had a lot of them that were this
Speaker 1: the Is this the one with the property taxes is
Speaker 1: somehow related to that or no? Yeah? So two has
Speaker 1: to do with the contracted employers and the employees. So
Speaker 1: if you do recall like Uber and lift, and I
Speaker 1: think that's the extent to like door Dash and some
Speaker 1: of those companies. Okay, so this is the one where yeah, okay,
Speaker 1: so they want to get rid of that we're making
Speaker 1: more more expensive in California. What they want to do
Speaker 1: is they want to end independent contractors, and in doing so,
Speaker 1: that would force employeers to hire these people as wage earners,
Speaker 1: and that wouldn't happen. So basically independent contractors would be
Speaker 1: put out of work by this um due to the Okay,
Speaker 1: so yes would be actually the good thing and not. Okay,
Speaker 1: so you vote yes on that, alright, Alright, I haven't
Speaker 1: voted yet. So I texted you a link to all
Speaker 1: this stuff, a little cheat sheet if you don't oh
Speaker 1: did you? Yeah, I must. What did you do that?
Speaker 1: Like seconds ago? When people, oh you just did I
Speaker 1: don't know, I don't know. I was sending you stories
Speaker 1: about people we used to work with who've been accused
Speaker 1: of crimes. I don't know. I wasn't looking at what
Speaker 1: you were sending me. Why you look at at Prop
Speaker 1: twenty and basically what it says, it's a it's a
Speaker 1: measure that repairs some of the damages by our former
Speaker 1: governor Jerry Brown, uh, the laws that he made California
Speaker 1: a little bit less safe. Um. It increases penalties for
Speaker 1: for theft and fraud crimes that Jerry Brown had reduced
Speaker 1: to like misdemeanors, requires convicts to submit a DNA for
Speaker 1: the state and federal data databases. UH. It also restores
Speaker 1: the ability of a proe board to keep prisoners behind
Speaker 1: bars that they deemed dangerous. So that that is what
Speaker 1: we're doing, increase in the law and safety here in
Speaker 1: the state and decreasing some of the more dangerous crimes
Speaker 1: here in in the They have a few more propositions
Speaker 1: at least we're here in California where we live. Oh
Speaker 1: my god, I mean really yeah, I mean if I mean,
Speaker 1: the one that jumped out to me the most was
Speaker 1: Prop And for those that don't know, it's a catch release,
Speaker 1: no cash bail. Oh yeah, like you know that's gonna
Speaker 1: pass it's California, man, it's California. They're gonna that's gonna pass.
Speaker 1: They're gonna. I mean, if you remember the summertime, you
Speaker 1: can remember what happened in New York. Like people in
Speaker 1: New York that was your catch or release, throwing molotov
Speaker 1: cocktails in the morning, getting arrested and throwing them again
Speaker 1: at night. You had you had an attorney, a young
Speaker 1: female and attorney through a molotov cocktail at a cop
Speaker 1: and she got arrested a lot with her boyfriend. They
Speaker 1: both got out within twenty four hours. Like can you
Speaker 1: think about Like I know people don't want to think
Speaker 1: about this, but could you imagine throwing a molotop cocktail
Speaker 1: at someone in law enforcement in China? Like you wouldn't
Speaker 1: be thrown by the bars, You'd be thrown into the
Speaker 1: gulag or the ground. Actually be thrown in bang bang
Speaker 1: You're dead. I think would be the way the way
Speaker 1: that would go. All right, well, good news there, and
Speaker 1: you want to go over the propositions in New York
Speaker 1: or Ohio or Texas or just this. We live in California,
Speaker 1: so we'll be a West coast bias. Man. We should
Speaker 1: get it from your brothers. Then yeah, well I know
Speaker 1: my my brother in Wisconsin will will vote the opposite
Speaker 1: of mine vote when I'm voting, So I know that.
Speaker 1: And then I don't know what my brother New York's
Speaker 1: got going on, but you got all I do know
Speaker 1: my brother in New York, who's lived in New York
Speaker 1: since the early nineties. Uh, not a big fan of
Speaker 1: Mayor to Blasio. Not a big fan of the way
Speaker 1: New York City is going here in recent years, right
Speaker 1: into the ship hole. Uh so, not not a big
Speaker 1: raw rock guys, So are you ready to do some
Speaker 1: gambling here? Are you ready? This is gonna be It
Speaker 1: could be a tradition every four years, God forbid, we're
Speaker 1: still doing this in four years. I used to do
Speaker 1: this on the radio, guest gunt, so I want you
Speaker 1: to know this is a bit that I used to
Speaker 1: do on the radio, and when I did it before,
Speaker 1: even though politics have always been obviously uh fiery and
Speaker 1: all that at it never was that over the top
Speaker 1: like it is now. Yeah, this is flammable. This is
Speaker 1: it's a highly flammable material. But we're gonna do it anyway.
Speaker 1: And again we believe, you know, talking about politics and
Speaker 1: people say the dividus. But even if you're a Democrat
Speaker 1: and you know you think we're just a couple of
Speaker 1: Republican bosos or whatever, Listen, we can all make money.
Speaker 1: I'm willing to bet on bets that go towards the
Speaker 1: Democrats if I know it's a sure thing. I'm not.
Speaker 1: I'm in it to win it. Okay, we can have
Speaker 1: the common goal that's all unite as people, every man,
Speaker 1: woman and child, and make money. Right, make money. And
Speaker 1: if you live in a state that allows you to
Speaker 1: bet on this stuff, take advantage of it, right, take
Speaker 1: advantage of it. There there's not a lot of sure
Speaker 1: things when it comes to some of these states. It
Speaker 1: is as close it's in some of these states. All right,
Speaker 1: So I'll walk through this. Now, we gotta keep track
Speaker 1: of this. So are you gonna write this down or
Speaker 1: we need somebody a listener to write this down. I'll
Speaker 1: write it and I'll be curious to see where we go.
Speaker 1: Now are you when you did this before? Did you
Speaker 1: tie any of these bets to parlays or these just
Speaker 1: straight up independent bets? Well, it's these are all obviously
Speaker 1: prop bets, so we would just do individual profits. But
Speaker 1: you can parlay them. Okay, if you want um. So
Speaker 1: I'll just go through this in no particular order, no
Speaker 1: particular order. Now, why don't I start with the Should
Speaker 1: I start with the the bets you should make that,
Speaker 1: I think? Or should I start with the bets you
Speaker 1: shouldn't make the safest or the worst? What do you want?
Speaker 1: Let's be the safest, right, dash money out of the way,
Speaker 1: all right. So this is kind of obviously if you
Speaker 1: follow political politics even a little bit, just casually, and
Speaker 1: I'm on the sidelines, I worry. I'm a sports guy.
Speaker 1: I mean, that's my my passion. But how can you not.
Speaker 1: The NBA has become a political party recently. So it's
Speaker 1: like the the third or the fourth political party, I
Speaker 1: don't know. So it's sports are sports and politics are intertwined,
Speaker 1: which is a mistake, but they've decided to go down
Speaker 1: that road. So as a sports talk to your host,
Speaker 1: you have to pay attention. All right. So if you
Speaker 1: want to make money, and this goes for Democrats or Republicans,
Speaker 1: there are a few states where Donald Trump is garroltre
Speaker 1: garltree to win. The most obvious one is Alabama. All right,
Speaker 1: Now you can bet on this state by state props.
Speaker 1: They are available, you've gotta shop around. Um, they're not
Speaker 1: available everywhere. We'll tell you gotta look a little bit. Uh.
Speaker 1: But Alabama Trump. Is there any way that Alabama would
Speaker 1: vote for Joe Biden? No way? Right? Yeah, the Republican
Speaker 1: nominee has one Alabama by twenty points since the twenty
Speaker 1: four election, and in Trump won by That's a pretty
Speaker 1: big gap there in Alabama. Now, I'm gonna throw Texas
Speaker 1: out here. Some people think Texas might be in play.
Speaker 1: I don't believe it. I don't buy it. Some people
Speaker 1: say it's a swing state and people are yapping about that. Now,
Speaker 1: this is not as big a guarantee as Alabama, But
Speaker 1: I find it hard to believe based on some of
Speaker 1: the comments of Joe Biden and his people in the
Speaker 1: weeks up to the election, involving anti gun positions and fracking,
Speaker 1: which seemed to be I know it's cliche, but seemed
Speaker 1: to be very important issues to the people of Texas. Uh.
Speaker 1: Maybe I'm wrong, but I think that's SIMI come on, right,
Speaker 1: how about South Carolina? That's another one South Carolina minus
Speaker 1: six going red. Yeah, I mean, you're not getting value
Speaker 1: on that but you went a little, bet a lot,
Speaker 1: went a little with very little chance of actually losing.
Speaker 1: To put this in any kind of sports context, this
Speaker 1: would be the equivalent of Kansas City and the New
Speaker 1: York Jets. You're betting the Kansas City money line exactly. Yeah, Yeah,
Speaker 1: that's good point. You have a twenty point favorite. You
Speaker 1: have a twenty point favor is betting the morning. I
Speaker 1: just have to win the game. You just have to
Speaker 1: show up and win the game. Make sure you show
Speaker 1: up on time. Don't don't be all staggered and drunk,
Speaker 1: and play the game you're to win. So South Carolina
Speaker 1: is that Oklahoma again? Oil industry? You know, the oil
Speaker 1: industry is big in Oklahoma, and uh, Joe Biden's anti oil.
Speaker 1: He's been very clear about that. I don't even been clear,
Speaker 1: but he's he's talked out of both sides of his mouth.
Speaker 1: So you have to decide, and um, you know, say
Speaker 1: what you want a boy Trump, but he's been very
Speaker 1: supportive of the the oil industry. So you gotta say
Speaker 1: Oklahoma was on that list. Any other states those are mine.
Speaker 1: So there's a couple other ones that jumped out to me. Um,
Speaker 1: South Dakota is minus sixties. I don't know anything about
Speaker 1: South Dakota politics. But Tennessee is uh is minus five thousand.
Speaker 1: I don't know. A lot of California is moving to Tennessee.
Speaker 1: A lot of California liberals moving to Tennessee. Don't know.
Speaker 1: Utah's minus five thousand. Yeah. Utah's one where you would assume, yeah,
Speaker 1: that would be that would be a stutter. Yeah, Trump
Speaker 1: doesn't win Utah. Um. I think I told you the
Speaker 1: other one off the air, Idaho. Idaho is minus ten thousand.
Speaker 1: Oh is that right? Yeah, doing a lot of police
Speaker 1: go to Idaho. It's like retired police or they go
Speaker 1: to retire to Idaho, get off the grade, go to
Speaker 1: hunt in the whole nine yards. So yeah, Oklahoma and
Speaker 1: Idaho are probably your pick, your your biggest chock on
Speaker 1: favorites to win. Have you ever been to Idaho, by
Speaker 1: the way, I've never been there, I have. Yeah. Is
Speaker 1: it good? Is it nice? I seem I assume it's
Speaker 1: just like Washington State or something like the same geographical area,
Speaker 1: like when you get outside in the boon docks and
Speaker 1: you have fun. That's all I think we asked or
Speaker 1: someone asked us this back during the summertime if you hunt.
Speaker 1: But if you hunt like I think you'd have a
Speaker 1: really good time out there. Well, I hunt, and I
Speaker 1: caught a certain steak. It's in my freezer right there. Yeah,
Speaker 1: pretty impressive. It's a good catch. Cut it, cut it,
Speaker 1: cut it, cut it, cut it all right. Now, if
Speaker 1: you're a Republican, you want to win money, bet on
Speaker 1: a Democrat to win the presidential election. We're focusing on again.
Speaker 1: This is as you said, chiefs Jets, this is the
Speaker 1: opposite for the Democrats, for Joe Biden. California A California A. Yeah,
Speaker 1: there is no way that Donald Trump wins California. That
Speaker 1: is guaranteed to go. In fact, if Trump won California,
Speaker 1: that would be the single biggest political upset of all time.
Speaker 1: People think his election win was the biggest upset of
Speaker 1: all time. No, if Trump were to win California, that
Speaker 1: would be know, it's Joe Biden's gonna win one of
Speaker 1: the odds and I don't even have that in front
Speaker 1: of me here, but that's for California to go Democrat,
Speaker 1: it would be minus oh wowm actually minus fourth thou
Speaker 1: Wison for a Democrat to win it, and Republican one thousand.
Speaker 1: That's actually not as strong as I thought it would be. Now.
Speaker 1: The other one that's obviously is New York, New York,
Speaker 1: the big Apple. Right, even Trumps there from New York,
Speaker 1: New York. He's moved to Florida. But yeah, there's very
Speaker 1: not very little. There's no chance Trump's gonna lose New York. Right,
Speaker 1: that's not New York. New York is minus T going blue.
Speaker 1: All right. Uh. Then the other one for Biden, I
Speaker 1: would assume, because of his history politically, would be Delaware.
Speaker 1: How how the hell could Joe Biden lose Delaware? He
Speaker 1: was the senator for like every my entire life up
Speaker 1: until ten years ago. He was the senator in del
Speaker 1: I'm not kidding, by the way, up until he became
Speaker 1: the Vice president of the United States. He was the
Speaker 1: senator from that time I was born until he became
Speaker 1: the vice president, which is insane to me. I had
Speaker 1: a I had looked something up because you mentioned California,
Speaker 1: and I found this online and it said that outside
Speaker 1: of nineteen sixty four, California was primarily a Republican state
Speaker 1: until nineteen when Bill Clinton wanted How wild is that?
Speaker 1: And then it just has completely gone the other ways.
Speaker 1: God straight blue. Yeah, I got one more on the
Speaker 1: Biden if you want to win money on this and
Speaker 1: our friends listening in Minnesota, right, that's you think that
Speaker 1: Biden's got to take Minnesota, don't you. I mean, that's
Speaker 1: it seems that way. They there's there's He's not a
Speaker 1: big favorite in Minnesota. He's only minus three sixty. But
Speaker 1: Minnesota I read I was doing some research, guests, because
Speaker 1: I'm a loser and I do political research for a
Speaker 1: dumb podcast, but that Minnesota has voted blue other than
Speaker 1: Richard Nixon in nineteen seventy two. He won there. But
Speaker 1: other than that, Minnesota is voted blue since JFK in
Speaker 1: nineteen sixty. So it's Tricky Dick and nobody else that
Speaker 1: they've supported on the Republican side in the state of Minnesota.
Speaker 1: We don't forget the riots though during the summertime, and
Speaker 1: then you get the city council members that have actually
Speaker 1: asked for defunding of the police, and then they get
Speaker 1: private security. Um, you might get some people a little
Speaker 1: piste off and going the other way just out of spite.
Speaker 1: Now the worst states that are completely a toss up
Speaker 1: that if you this is real gambling Arizona. Who the
Speaker 1: fuck knows what they're gonna do in Arizona, No idea.
Speaker 1: Half the people think Biden's gonna win. Half the people
Speaker 1: think Trump's gonna win. Arizona does have a history of
Speaker 1: being a red state. Um, But I don't know, man.
Speaker 1: It's like, you know, like California has moved to Arizona,
Speaker 1: which is wild. You move away from what you didn't like,
Speaker 1: going to vote the same way. It's like the guy
Speaker 1: I told you. I was in the line at Walmart
Speaker 1: returning something. This guy was behind me from Texas and
Speaker 1: he was complaining he was missing family in California. And
Speaker 1: he's like, you know, lifetime Texan, like the whole he
Speaker 1: might as well wearing a cowboy hat and boots. And
Speaker 1: he's given me this whole rap about how you know
Speaker 1: it sucks all these people from California moving to Texas
Speaker 1: and they're voting the same way they did in California.
Speaker 1: Now Texas is turnaly like California is complaining and all
Speaker 1: this to give me this And I was like, all right, dude,
Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I don't know what's going on.
Speaker 1: Calm down. I'm thought, I'm not living in Texas, Man,
Speaker 1: I don't mind voting that way. I didn't do that.
Speaker 1: How about North Carolina? North Carolina looks like it has
Speaker 1: the biggest split. North Carolina both ways as minus one
Speaker 1: fifteen Blue or red. Yeah, yeah, that's South Carolina's red
Speaker 1: and North Carolina's up in the air. Why would that
Speaker 1: be though it's the Carolinas. Why would one of the
Speaker 1: Carolinas be one way and the other one up in
Speaker 1: the air. Don't know, that's a good question. Strange. What's
Speaker 1: in the water. How about Wisconsin state? My my younger
Speaker 1: brother lives in He's on team blue, and that's that's
Speaker 1: in the air. That's a toss up state, right, That's
Speaker 1: a that's in play, that could go either way. Yeah,
Speaker 1: Wisconsin Democrat minus three hundred, Republican plus two twenty. The
Speaker 1: Wyoming's minus ten thousand for Trumps, right because there's only
Speaker 1: seven people that live in the state, so they that's
Speaker 1: great about Iowa. They got all those independent voters in Iowa,
Speaker 1: Yeah they do. Yeah, they're really split all the way
Speaker 1: around where our friends in Iowa do here. Now, you
Speaker 1: know what I was shocked to see based on on
Speaker 1: this with the Electoral College but the popular vote is
Speaker 1: pretty tight too, Like it has Biden winning minus five
Speaker 1: fifty but Trump plus three fifty. That's that's pretty damn it.
Speaker 1: All right. So so again just to recap, though, we'll
Speaker 1: move on to some other I have some other odds
Speaker 1: here in front. I did a lot of research here.
Speaker 1: Guest again, I'm a I'm a loser. I am a
Speaker 1: freaking loser, all right. So my safest bet on Biden
Speaker 1: guaranteed to win money, mallard guarantee. You should never take
Speaker 1: advice from a podcaster overnight radio guy. California, New York,
Speaker 1: Delaware for Biden, Maryland too, Okay, you're putting Marylo. That's
Speaker 1: you're you're putting Maryland. I got California, New York, Delaware
Speaker 1: for Biden for Trump, Alabama, South Carolina, and Oklahoma Oklahoma, Idaho, Okay,
Speaker 1: Idaho and soklahomare both minus. Keep track of this. We'll
Speaker 1: see how we do, alright. We'll see how we do
Speaker 1: on that. Uh, and you know, we'll move all right.
Speaker 1: So I have some other props here, some other props
Speaker 1: on this I don't think we need to do. They
Speaker 1: have the state by state electoral college props. That's way too.
Speaker 1: I mean that will be here all day, will be
Speaker 1: here all day. Nobody wants that. Um, I do have
Speaker 1: here the popular vote odds? All right, which party will
Speaker 1: win the popular vote in the presidentential election? Now the
Speaker 1: odds I have here, Uh, this is from odds Shark
Speaker 1: are minus five fifty that the Democrats we'll win. Now
Speaker 1: you understand how the odds work. So for those that don't,
Speaker 1: if the uneducated, I won't help you, that implies a
Speaker 1: five fifty minus five fifty bet implies that there's an
Speaker 1: eighty almost an eight five pc chance that the Democrats
Speaker 1: are going to win the popular vote. It's like it's
Speaker 1: like being favored by what like a touchdown or eight points.
Speaker 1: That's that's more than that. That's that's like having Randy
Speaker 1: Johnson in his prime on the mound against a team
Speaker 1: that's gonna lose a hundred games. Is what that's like.
Speaker 1: That's it's you're getting. That's a big number. That's a
Speaker 1: big no bur um. But that's where it's at, you know. Now.
Speaker 1: In Trump's vote count was sixty two point nine million.
Speaker 1: Hillary Clinton was at sixty five point eight. So it
Speaker 1: was close. It was very close, right, it was very close.
Speaker 1: But will it be that close again? It's up in
Speaker 1: the air. And will the winner Here's another one. Now,
Speaker 1: I'm gonna vote the Democrats win the popular vote. You
Speaker 1: want to take the Republicans as an upset? No, I
Speaker 1: think you're not. You're not a sucker. I got you,
Speaker 1: all right. Will the winner of the popular vote also
Speaker 1: win the electoral college? Now, keep in mind that Trump
Speaker 1: did not win the popular vote, but he won the
Speaker 1: electoral college. And you don't have to win the popular
Speaker 1: vote to win the election. People don't seem to understand that,
Speaker 1: even though we've just seen it multiple times in the
Speaker 1: last twenty years. Um. So the odds on this are
Speaker 1: minus two forty that the winner of the popular vote
Speaker 1: will also win the electoral college. Uh, and so that's
Speaker 1: about a seventy percent chance. I this is actually a
Speaker 1: bit that I'll go the other way, and I'll say that,
Speaker 1: you know, if we think Trump's gonna win again, that
Speaker 1: that would be a no vote because it would be
Speaker 1: the same thing as in Steen, where you get more
Speaker 1: votes on the Democratic side, but the Republican gets the
Speaker 1: electoral college. See, his ground game is stronger than Biden's.
Speaker 1: He's been campaigning all over the country, which I think
Speaker 1: gives him an advantage of being front and center, even
Speaker 1: while being well front and center. But the also also
Speaker 1: thing is that CNN has been the Donald Trump propaganda channel,
Speaker 1: even though they don't realize that they're not that bright,
Speaker 1: but they talk about him all the time. Every news channel, MSNBC,
Speaker 1: the people that are political that watched these political shows,
Speaker 1: they just ranted, any publicity is good publicity, which was
Speaker 1: talking about They're talking about Trump, which is so odd
Speaker 1: because they basically said in sixteen that Hillary dominated him
Speaker 1: in in contributions and in fundraising what she did, but
Speaker 1: he didn't need to raise more than her because he
Speaker 1: had the free advertising television and radio. Like you just mentioned.
Speaker 1: It was wild, and I think it's the same thing now. Alright,
Speaker 1: more prop bets. This is a good one because we
Speaker 1: work in sports radio and we have been inundated, we
Speaker 1: have been overwhelmed. We've been indoctrinated with vote, Get out
Speaker 1: and Vote. Pete Carroll on TV with a cute commercial,
Speaker 1: Lebron James, get out and vote, Wokesters, the Wocalati in
Speaker 1: the NBA with the vote on the uniforms and the
Speaker 1: whole thing. Get out and vote percentage of voter turnout
Speaker 1: for the presidential election over under sixty point five percent
Speaker 1: of the American people will vote. Now over is minus
Speaker 1: one fifty, minus one fifty under is plus one ten.
Speaker 1: What's the total again, sixty point five percent of the
Speaker 1: American people? And what's the what are we as a country?
Speaker 1: Three hundred and sixty? I think we are? And let
Speaker 1: me let me get the I got. I got have
Speaker 1: to go to the world meter on this. Let me
Speaker 1: go to the world meeter on this. Three out of
Speaker 1: thirty one million, three thirty one million people. So let's
Speaker 1: do some more math. And I said there would be
Speaker 1: no math. Guest gun, they said there would be no math.
Speaker 1: So if I'm correct, uh, let's see sixty percent of
Speaker 1: three D thirty one, So it would be if we're
Speaker 1: doing sixty two hundred and one million or two hundred
Speaker 1: one million, nine ten thousand. Are you sure I have
Speaker 1: a D eighty four million? That's what I have? Well,
Speaker 1: you're doing what am I doing it wrong? I'm gonna
Speaker 1: hold on sixty one of three hundred Uh oh, you're right,
Speaker 1: two hundred two hundred millions. Only that mhm, this is
Speaker 1: tough one. I mean they been a lot of a
Speaker 1: lot of propaganda to vote, I know. But the thing,
Speaker 1: but I think people are lazy. I think people a
Speaker 1: lot of people like, you know, screw these people. I
Speaker 1: don't want to vote. Screw you. I'm not gonna vote.
Speaker 1: Who cares. Let's see here the thing mail in voting. Yeah,
Speaker 1: that's true. That's an equalizer. And there's else to do
Speaker 1: right now because of COVID. Yeah, but it takes effort
Speaker 1: to fill out a ballot and mail it in, right,
Speaker 1: It takes effort. People are lazy human nature. People are lazy, right,
Speaker 1: And a lot of people don't care. I mean, we
Speaker 1: think these political people like everyone's all upset. You know,
Speaker 1: these athletes think everyone's all A lot of people don't
Speaker 1: give a ship athletes the vote, Yeah, exactly, as we learned.
Speaker 1: As then many of them were not even registered to
Speaker 1: vote because who they cares? You know. And then I
Speaker 1: think the less likely to vote would be the the
Speaker 1: up and comers that are just able to like the
Speaker 1: eighteen and twenty four year olds. I disagree. I think
Speaker 1: when you first it was I grew up in a
Speaker 1: family that kind of cared about politics, but it was
Speaker 1: like a big deal. Your first presidential election when you
Speaker 1: turn eighteen, that's like a big deal. You know. He
Speaker 1: is like a write of passage. You finally get to
Speaker 1: vote for president and as a big deal. And I
Speaker 1: remember when I first did. I was telling my family
Speaker 1: about like how I voted, and I voted. I didn't
Speaker 1: vote like political party. I went one way on certain
Speaker 1: things and one way and another. I got fucking decimated.
Speaker 1: So I'm like, what the fun. You gotta pick a side, man,
Speaker 1: You gonna pick a side, all right. So over on,
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the under. I'm gonna I'm not gonna
Speaker 1: believe in the American people. I'm gonna say, I'll say
Speaker 1: it's like fifty five percent, but it's not gonna be
Speaker 1: over six. So I'll take the under total votal voter
Speaker 1: turnout easier for me to say. I'm gonna take the
Speaker 1: plus one ten. As a value play. You want in
Speaker 1: on this, Gascunt, I'm gonna I'm gonna take the over
Speaker 1: optimistic Pollyanna Gascunt. Yeah, I just think, yeah, I think
Speaker 1: we're gonna have more engagement this year than than we
Speaker 1: have before. And well, I agree, we'll have more, but
Speaker 1: we can have more and not that sixty threshold. It's
Speaker 1: a large number. It's a big number. Man. That's a
Speaker 1: massive country, three thirty million people. And this is assuming
Speaker 1: that that ballots that do get sent in a little
Speaker 1: bit later counted to Now do we count in the
Speaker 1: the people that are going to vote three or four times?
Speaker 1: Does that count as part of the sixty percent? I
Speaker 1: don't know. How's that work? Well, if we count them,
Speaker 1: we have to count the dead. If you count that, well,
Speaker 1: that's Chicago politics politics, right, that's Chicago politics. All right.
Speaker 1: Here's another one voter turnout for election over under a
Speaker 1: hundred and forty nine point five million voters, a hundred
Speaker 1: and forty nine So this, if you vote over, then
Speaker 1: you're gonna on the first one. You gotta vote over
Speaker 1: on this, don't you? I think so? Yeah, I think
Speaker 1: it's safe to say I'll take the under. I don't
Speaker 1: believe in people. I don't bet on people. I'll take
Speaker 1: the under at least when it comes to this, well,
Speaker 1: will Trump lose every state he lost in? Definitely? Not. Now, yes,
Speaker 1: is minus to ten though, so you're gonna take no
Speaker 1: at plus one seventy. So which state that Trump lost
Speaker 1: do you think he's going to win this election cycle.
Speaker 1: Um right, now, do do do do? Do? Do Do? Do? Do
Speaker 1: Do do? I don't have the list in front of
Speaker 1: me here, yeah, um states that Trump lost in. Um. Um, Well,
Speaker 1: I can get it. I think I get it. I
Speaker 1: got a link Carolina. Second, let me see if I
Speaker 1: can get this up. I have a couple of political
Speaker 1: sets that they go to. Let's see, all right, he uh,
Speaker 1: I think he's gonna win. I think he's gonna win Minnesota. Okay,
Speaker 1: So here I have let's here the states Trump lost in,
Speaker 1: New Hampshire, Minnesota, Nevada, Maine, Colorado, in Virginia. So I
Speaker 1: Nevada would be Nevada, New Hampshire are very close. I
Speaker 1: mean all those were pretty close within a few hundred
Speaker 1: thousand votes. Or actually, in the case of Maine, how
Speaker 1: about Maine, our friends in the great state of Maine,
Speaker 1: it was like less than a little over two thousand votes,
Speaker 1: f little over two thousand votes. New Hampshire was about
Speaker 1: three thousand. Minnesota was forty thousand votes in favor of Hillary. Uh. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I I now that I look at the list, guess
Speaker 1: I I agree that one of those will flip that
Speaker 1: whether it's Nevada or Maine one of those ago the
Speaker 1: other way. So I'll say yes on that. That's a
Speaker 1: minus to sixty. I see here minus two sixty. Now
Speaker 1: the odds changing a little bit. The gambling market. The
Speaker 1: gambling market, Uh, let's see, well Trump we to every
Speaker 1: state he won in TwixT, that one's going to be
Speaker 1: this is this is Yes is plus four d no
Speaker 1: is minus seven hundred. So the gambling market tells you
Speaker 1: that they think this is He's not gonna win everything. Okay,
Speaker 1: because last week I saw that Biden was leading in Pennsylvania.
Speaker 1: But after what what down last weekend and now into
Speaker 1: this week, it shows that Trump leads by three points.
Speaker 1: So I think if he loses a state of the
Speaker 1: ones that he did win, I think he loses Pennsylvania,
Speaker 1: but I don't think he's losing Florida. Yeah. Well, those
Speaker 1: are the big ones in the rust belt, right, the
Speaker 1: rust Belt, the Upper Midwest, the dairy belt. You know
Speaker 1: that's uh, but Minnesota, Wisconsin, the dairy belt, those are
Speaker 1: big and just having the pulse of the people from
Speaker 1: the people that call in. We have so many great
Speaker 1: listeners of Fox prustrated all over the country, but especially
Speaker 1: in the Midwest and the middle part of the country.
Speaker 1: I just get the sense from these people maybe it's
Speaker 1: confirmation biased because of the show, but that they're still
Speaker 1: all in on Trump and all that. Uh. But yeah,
Speaker 1: I think the smart bet would be no, because you know,
Speaker 1: I think it would be a little bit of a
Speaker 1: change here, Like he could take Nevada, but he'll give
Speaker 1: up uh, you know, pick pick a state, you know, Pennsylvania,
Speaker 1: He'll give up one of those other other states. I
Speaker 1: don't have. I don't have any friends I think that
Speaker 1: I directly talked to that are are either moderate or red.
Speaker 1: Everyone's blue. Well, you live in California, man, what do
Speaker 1: you want? That doesn't matter. It doesn't matter location, location, location.
Speaker 1: Plus a lot of people with Trump don't want to
Speaker 1: admit it because they get shipped from people if they
Speaker 1: say they support Trump, they get tagged with the isms.
Speaker 1: I guess you're into racism and all these. Um let's
Speaker 1: see what are the Trump bets? When will Trump be
Speaker 1: replaced as president? You want that one? Yeah, give me
Speaker 1: that one is plus twelve hundred, one is minus one,
Speaker 1: two is plus thirty three thirty three hundred plus four
Speaker 1: would be plus five thousand, twenty five or later. Which
Speaker 1: would seem to indicate that he will not only win
Speaker 1: this election but then stay on after that. That is
Speaker 1: plus two hundred. Yeah, I I just saw an allowed
Speaker 1: on alarming prop bed. But I'll wait to get to
Speaker 1: that one. I think if he does get removed, it
Speaker 1: will be obviously one. Yeah, okay, well Donald, here's a
Speaker 1: negative one. Will Donald and Milania Trump be divorced? By one? Now?
Speaker 1: The gossip pages though, use those tawdry gossip pages. Uh yeah,
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go now on that. I think there's a
Speaker 1: lot of bull crap. Oh, here's one. This must have
Speaker 1: been written by somebody from the Blue Party. Will Donald
Speaker 1: Trump be in Russia on February one? You can only
Speaker 1: bet yes on that at plus plus. It does not stop,
Speaker 1: It does not stop. What else do we have? I
Speaker 1: got a few more of these here? Do you want?
Speaker 1: Do you want early presidential election candidates from Yes, Yes,
Speaker 1: let's do that. How about this one for the Democratic Party?
Speaker 1: Your odds on favorite? Can you guess? Oh? I don't know,
Speaker 1: cam Kamala Harris or Kamala Harris. She's tied for second
Speaker 1: right now. The leader is Alexandria Ocasio Cortez Favorite Democratic?
Speaker 1: Can you guess who the Republican candidate is, as like,
Speaker 1: I have no idea what the Republicans. I the odds
Speaker 1: on favorite is Donald Trump? What? Yes? Oh, so they
Speaker 1: think he's gonna lose this election and then come back
Speaker 1: and run again. Oh interesting, NICKI Haley is running second,
Speaker 1: and then John Kasik and Mark Cuban and Mike Pants
Speaker 1: are running a third. Mark Q was not a really
Speaker 1: a Republican though, Come on, but Trump, that's a good play.
Speaker 1: Right close election, Trump loses, Biden fuckx up the country
Speaker 1: more over the next four years and crime runs rapid
Speaker 1: and all the taxes go up, and Trump's like, hey,
Speaker 1: call me in, coach, I'm ready to play. Put me
Speaker 1: back in. That's actually a good call. I could totally.
Speaker 1: People would be like, oh, I gave Biden a chance.
Speaker 1: He fucked, But didn't Biden say he's only gonna run
Speaker 1: one time? I didn't that maybe lied. I don't know,
Speaker 1: I didn't. I read that quote that he said he's
Speaker 1: only be a one term president, he's not going to
Speaker 1: run for re election because of his age. I don't
Speaker 1: remember that, but I remember reading that that He's like,
Speaker 1: because he's seventy seven, right two? Next time? He's around.
Speaker 1: So that poses my next question, and this is the
Speaker 1: one I want to hammer. This is like a This
Speaker 1: is like a field goal bet in the super Bowl.
Speaker 1: But have you found a prop bet for Joe Biden
Speaker 1: that if he wins the election, will he or will
Speaker 1: he not serve out his complete first term? I have not. Um,
Speaker 1: that's a very ghoulish maccab one. Now you would say
Speaker 1: he wouldn't serve his full term, not for scandal, but
Speaker 1: for health reasons. Uh well, I mean they had that
Speaker 1: before Trump got elected. They said would he finish out
Speaker 1: his first term or would he be impeached? I don't
Speaker 1: think if Joe Biden wins, he finishes his full first term. Um. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I haven't really thought about it. Um, but he's certainly
Speaker 1: You look tape of Biden when he still had his fastball,
Speaker 1: you know, you're I mean, he was so sharp and
Speaker 1: you know, political hacks though, but he he was on
Speaker 1: his game. He was good. He was good at politics.
Speaker 1: He sucks now he's terrible. He's like we get at Bernie's.
Speaker 1: But hey, he's got a chance to be the president. Um.
Speaker 1: What other problem I got? Us? Senate control started the Congress.
Speaker 1: I think I think the Republicans are keeping the Senate.
Speaker 1: Democrats are actually favored the gambling market. Democrats are minus
Speaker 1: one eight. Oh wow, minus one eight favorite for the
Speaker 1: Democrats to control the Senate. So if you get Biden
Speaker 1: and Democrats controlling the Senate control three all three? Uh yeah?
Speaker 1: All the House of Representatives? How's that going? How's that
Speaker 1: going to go? I think that goes blue? Okay, so
Speaker 1: what you said no, you said you hope it goes red,
Speaker 1: but now you said blue? No, no for the Senate.
Speaker 1: For the Senate, yes, so you think the Senate goes
Speaker 1: But which is what they're saying that Democrats minus one
Speaker 1: d al right, but what are Republicans on that? Republicans
Speaker 1: on the Senate are plus one thirty five? Wow plus.
Speaker 1: You don't like that? Not something I put money on.
Speaker 1: It's chance the Republicans will when the Senate have to
Speaker 1: control the balance of power if you will in their favor. Um. Oh,
Speaker 1: here's one. Will Donald Trump be kicked off Twitter? Before? Now?
Speaker 1: This is I've heard this that if Trump is no
Speaker 1: longer president, he will be kicked off Twitter. This will
Speaker 1: be like the magnum opus of the the dopes that
Speaker 1: run Twitter, that they'll find you know, oh he's not president,
Speaker 1: we're gonna kick him off, you know. But if he wins,
Speaker 1: I don't I only think he can really kicked the
Speaker 1: president off Twitter. So this really depends if you think
Speaker 1: Trump's gonna lose or not. Yes is plus eight hundred,
Speaker 1: No is minus hundred. The counter argument, as as much
Speaker 1: as the was it that Dorsey guy? Is that the
Speaker 1: guy's name Jack Dorsey? Yeah, and uh, he's kind of
Speaker 1: changed his appearance. He looks like Jesus all of a sudden.
Speaker 1: Have you seen the photo of him this week? Anyway? Uh? Yeah,
Speaker 1: I mean it's it's one of these double edged swords
Speaker 1: things like politically, the people that are on Twitter obviously
Speaker 1: cannot stand Republicans and hate Republicans and they try to
Speaker 1: block Republicans and all that their enemies of Republicans. But
Speaker 1: Trump's good for Twitter. I mean this, I mean the
Speaker 1: fact that every news organization is quoting what Trump said
Speaker 1: on Twitter. That's a that's wonderful. It's free advertising, endless
Speaker 1: free advertising. Why would you give that up? And even
Speaker 1: when he's no longer president, you're still you look at this,
Speaker 1: You're like, hey, uh, you know, he's still the former president. Yeah,
Speaker 1: it's it's the engagements, right, because no matter what he tweets,
Speaker 1: there's always people responding to something. Yeah, I just realized,
Speaker 1: I guess a little voice in my head just pointed
Speaker 1: out that we've gotten so carried away with this that
Speaker 1: we've gone way further than we were supposed to go
Speaker 1: on this pod. Yes, we were, We're just a couple
Speaker 1: of hacks. Uh, we've we've completely blown the clock so
Speaker 1: much for being on time, Mather by the clock for
Speaker 1: the clock, posibly all about the clock. So how about
Speaker 1: because I have I have a little something that I
Speaker 1: have acquired for our our live streaming, Benny Versus the
Speaker 1: Penny purposes, which is available by the way, Friday night
Speaker 1: nine thirty in the West and after the Witching Hour
Speaker 1: twelve thirty in the East. We'll have Benny Versus the Penny.
Speaker 1: If if we can get someone to do a parlay
Speaker 1: with like let's say five five picks and then tweet
Speaker 1: you a picture of it, Um, we'll put that on
Speaker 1: the show and we'll find a way to put that
Speaker 1: person on Benny Versus the Penny for a segment. Yeah,
Speaker 1: and if you want to play along. I know this
Speaker 1: is a podcast. And one of the things I love
Speaker 1: about the podcast is you can listen whenever. One of
Speaker 1: the things I hate about it we don't get real
Speaker 1: time feedback. So if you want to play this little game,
Speaker 1: you heard our bets on the election, If you want
Speaker 1: to write down your bets, but you gotta email them
Speaker 1: to me before the elect don't. Don't be one of
Speaker 1: these uh retrospect guys at these hindsight guys after the election.
Speaker 1: But bet on that I knew, I bet I got
Speaker 1: everything right. No, don't do that, But I like, I
Speaker 1: like your idea. If you could bet of like a
Speaker 1: five leg parlay on the Biden states and the Trump
Speaker 1: states that are guaranteed, how do you lose that? I mean,
Speaker 1: I guess there's always a chance, but man, yes, all right.
Speaker 1: So to recap you have for Republicans, you go Alabama, Texas,
Speaker 1: South Carolina, Oklahoma. I also added Idaho because of the
Speaker 1: same odds as Oklahoma. For Democrats and Biden, you go California,
Speaker 1: New York, Delaware, and then I added Maryland because it's
Speaker 1: pretty high for him as well. Popular vote, you went Democrat. Um,
Speaker 1: you went under the total vote which is under sixty
Speaker 1: point five and also under the total hundred and forty
Speaker 1: nine over under hundred nine and a half million Americans. Right,
Speaker 1: you went under on that, yes, so okay, and you
Speaker 1: went over yes, very optimistic, ask yeah, what happened? All right,
Speaker 1: I'm gonna tell your dad, man, this is not I
Speaker 1: guess I'm gonna tell on you man. I'm gonna I'm
Speaker 1: gonna snitch. I'm gonna do it. All right, Well, that
Speaker 1: will have no time for the other podcast. But that's fine,
Speaker 1: I mean, that's fine. I'm okay with that, right, I'm
Speaker 1: I'm fine with that. You know, the next time we're
Speaker 1: excited about the election, right, we're gonna get get out
Speaker 1: and vote. That is that we have to do something
Speaker 1: like pearl clutching and like take a set. All right,
Speaker 1: what one more profit, one more properful? We get out here?
Speaker 1: Over under? How many writing votes yours truly gets I've
Speaker 1: already gotten too. I've already had two people that have
Speaker 1: sent me their vote that they have written my name
Speaker 1: in ed from Spokane and the blind Scott Hotties have
Speaker 1: voted for me as their president, their commander in chief.
Speaker 1: So we've got to not that we should encourage this,
Speaker 1: and we're certainly not. But we know they're are plenty
Speaker 1: of malle militia people that are that have fully taken
Speaker 1: the cool aid. We love you, you know, they're drinking
Speaker 1: the purple kool aid. So I'm gonna say I get
Speaker 1: I think I've got three more votes, say six total,
Speaker 1: I can get to five. I think there's three more
Speaker 1: people I can get that are p ones that don't
Speaker 1: give a shit about politics and just as a lark,
Speaker 1: like because people are pressuring the vote, and so like, okay,
Speaker 1: i'll vote. I'll vote for mallor do you want me
Speaker 1: to vote? You didn't tell me you to vote for
Speaker 1: I'll vote for mallor So that means you'd probably get
Speaker 1: these people from either California, New York, Massachusetts or I
Speaker 1: think those are I think those are the well know,
Speaker 1: how can do big in Texas, We do big in Minnesota, Maine,
Speaker 1: we do very well in Maine. But those states are questionable.
Speaker 1: Those are like tops. Okay, so you're not yeah, only
Speaker 1: if you're in a state which is already the centered
Speaker 1: in your votes, completely irrelevant, can you vote for mallor
Speaker 1: that's it. We gotta get out of here, all right?
Speaker 1: They all right? Uh, appreciate it. Good luck. Will be
Speaker 1: back on Saturday and Sunday Benny Versus the Penny again.
Speaker 1: Most people listen to this podcast prior to late Friday night,
Speaker 1: so Benny Versus the Penny Friday night to night thirty
Speaker 1: in the West in the Pacific time zone, and then
Speaker 1: at twelve thirty am, past the Witching Hour, in the
Speaker 1: middle of the Witching hour. Uh, and that will be
Speaker 1: obviously after midnight early Saturday morning. Have a great day
Speaker 1: today and go Team Red, go Team Blue. Uh. Just
Speaker 1: try not to burn down the country. Please have a wonderful,
Speaker 1: wonderful day. Be sure to catch live editions of The
Speaker 1: Ben Meller Show weekdays at two am Eastern eleven pm
Speaker 1: Pacific