1 00:00:13,640 --> 00:00:15,600 Speaker 1: One of guys, how are you welcome into a Saturday 2 00:00:15,600 --> 00:00:18,079 Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt 3 00:00:18,120 --> 00:00:21,320 Speaker 1: Perrault at Sports Talk. Matt to follow me on Twitter 4 00:00:21,400 --> 00:00:24,840 Speaker 1: after a rough night last night. The bet MGM offer 5 00:00:24,880 --> 00:00:28,520 Speaker 1: is available above me on the YouTube video Betting Pros YouTube. 6 00:00:28,640 --> 00:00:30,840 Speaker 1: It's a ten dollars bet one hundred and fifty bucks 7 00:00:30,920 --> 00:00:32,959 Speaker 1: with that promo code Juice one fifty with a new 8 00:00:32,960 --> 00:00:37,160 Speaker 1: account from BETMGM. So the Lightning Man, they lose three 9 00:00:37,200 --> 00:00:40,040 Speaker 1: to two and we put the full unit down on that, 10 00:00:40,120 --> 00:00:43,040 Speaker 1: so that kind of put us literally behind the eight 11 00:00:43,040 --> 00:00:45,440 Speaker 1: ball and pretty much into a dead night. But the 12 00:00:45,440 --> 00:00:48,240 Speaker 1: Red Sox are up four to two into the top 13 00:00:48,280 --> 00:00:50,360 Speaker 1: of the ninth inning here, so we'll see if the 14 00:00:50,400 --> 00:00:52,400 Speaker 1: Red Sox hold on for the run line. That was 15 00:00:52,400 --> 00:00:54,640 Speaker 1: a plus one fifteen bet coming back on that side. 16 00:00:54,680 --> 00:00:57,080 Speaker 1: So it's a losing night, but not that bad if 17 00:00:57,080 --> 00:00:58,960 Speaker 1: we get the plus one fifteen half a unit play 18 00:00:58,960 --> 00:01:00,480 Speaker 1: on the Red Sox to come in and so four 19 00:01:00,520 --> 00:01:02,480 Speaker 1: to two, it's skin of our teeth. Can't give up 20 00:01:02,520 --> 00:01:03,960 Speaker 1: a single run in the ninth inning or that. If 21 00:01:03,960 --> 00:01:05,920 Speaker 1: they score more runs here, maybe they blow it open 22 00:01:06,160 --> 00:01:07,880 Speaker 1: in the ninth but it looks like a one in 23 00:01:07,920 --> 00:01:12,240 Speaker 1: one night, but down the point four or so due 24 00:01:12,280 --> 00:01:14,000 Speaker 1: to the fact that we had that full bet on 25 00:01:14,120 --> 00:01:17,640 Speaker 1: full unit bet going on the lightning frustration. The Rangers 26 00:01:17,680 --> 00:01:19,680 Speaker 1: are a very good hockey team. I don't know what 27 00:01:19,720 --> 00:01:21,560 Speaker 1: to make of the lightning. To be quite honest, at 28 00:01:21,600 --> 00:01:24,399 Speaker 1: Vasilevskis stat now seventeen to zero after a loss goes 29 00:01:24,440 --> 00:01:26,720 Speaker 1: to seventeen and one. They scored a goal in the 30 00:01:26,720 --> 00:01:30,160 Speaker 1: first three minutes and then they didn't get anything else. 31 00:01:30,280 --> 00:01:32,600 Speaker 1: So my hockey bets have not been great. So I'm 32 00:01:32,600 --> 00:01:35,240 Speaker 1: going to go a little exotic today with hockey. It 33 00:01:35,319 --> 00:01:39,600 Speaker 1: is a Saturday with a big fight in Australia and 34 00:01:39,640 --> 00:01:42,240 Speaker 1: a UFC card to get into. So I've got a 35 00:01:42,280 --> 00:01:44,640 Speaker 1: boxing bet, I've got a UFC bet, and I've got 36 00:01:44,680 --> 00:01:47,680 Speaker 1: a hockey bet for you guys coming up here today. 37 00:01:47,800 --> 00:01:50,800 Speaker 1: So let's start with hockey. And I haven't been good 38 00:01:50,800 --> 00:01:52,880 Speaker 1: in hockey. There's a couple different ways you can do this, 39 00:01:53,240 --> 00:01:55,240 Speaker 1: and I was really good. I was due to cool off. 40 00:01:55,320 --> 00:01:58,640 Speaker 1: I was really hitting my hockey bets consistently. But you 41 00:01:58,640 --> 00:02:01,640 Speaker 1: can bet the over in this game you want. You 42 00:02:01,760 --> 00:02:04,040 Speaker 1: also can bet over one and a half goals in 43 00:02:04,080 --> 00:02:08,480 Speaker 1: the first period if you want so, it's minus one 44 00:02:08,639 --> 00:02:12,239 Speaker 1: ninety for over one and a half goals. The anticipation 45 00:02:12,400 --> 00:02:14,600 Speaker 1: is that these teams are gonna come out flying, that 46 00:02:14,800 --> 00:02:17,000 Speaker 1: Edmonton's going to have a ton of jump and they're 47 00:02:17,040 --> 00:02:19,400 Speaker 1: going to ride the home crowd right out of the gates. 48 00:02:20,400 --> 00:02:24,960 Speaker 1: You can bet Edmonton three way, which is, if it ties, 49 00:02:25,080 --> 00:02:27,960 Speaker 1: if it's one point one, you lose. That's plus one 50 00:02:28,000 --> 00:02:32,000 Speaker 1: eighty five. Okay, not bad. But what I'm going to 51 00:02:32,080 --> 00:02:34,480 Speaker 1: do instead is I'm going to take Edmonton to be 52 00:02:34,639 --> 00:02:39,040 Speaker 1: leading after the first period at even money. Now, if 53 00:02:39,040 --> 00:02:42,760 Speaker 1: it's tied, I push, so one one is no foul. 54 00:02:42,840 --> 00:02:44,520 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna give myself a little bit of an 55 00:02:44,520 --> 00:02:47,440 Speaker 1: out there. If you bet the three way, though, if 56 00:02:47,440 --> 00:02:50,360 Speaker 1: it ties, you lose. But the three way, if you 57 00:02:50,360 --> 00:02:52,240 Speaker 1: believe it's a one nothing or two to one lead 58 00:02:52,480 --> 00:02:56,160 Speaker 1: for Edmonton, you got yourself a win and it's a 59 00:02:56,160 --> 00:02:58,400 Speaker 1: plus one eighty five wager. So it just depends on 60 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:00,920 Speaker 1: how much you want to get after it, how risk 61 00:03:01,040 --> 00:03:03,120 Speaker 1: tolerance you want to get into it. I think the 62 00:03:03,200 --> 00:03:05,440 Speaker 1: safer play, the more likely play, is to keep the 63 00:03:05,480 --> 00:03:07,960 Speaker 1: tie in order and that Edmonton comes out and they 64 00:03:08,000 --> 00:03:11,079 Speaker 1: lead one nothing two to one or tied, and we 65 00:03:11,160 --> 00:03:14,560 Speaker 1: push the over. One and a half goals is at 66 00:03:14,600 --> 00:03:18,160 Speaker 1: minus one ninety is insane. I'm hoping for one nothing. 67 00:03:18,320 --> 00:03:20,519 Speaker 1: That's what I'm hoping for. Edmonton just scores first, it 68 00:03:20,639 --> 00:03:23,480 Speaker 1: lead one nothing, we win this after one essentially a 69 00:03:23,560 --> 00:03:27,560 Speaker 1: one period hockey bet for us. I lean towards the over. 70 00:03:28,120 --> 00:03:31,280 Speaker 1: I will look to live bet this. If Edmonton's gonna 71 00:03:31,280 --> 00:03:34,079 Speaker 1: win a game, it's going to be tonight. Do I 72 00:03:34,120 --> 00:03:36,560 Speaker 1: think they win a game tonight? I don't know. The 73 00:03:36,640 --> 00:03:38,760 Speaker 1: part of me says no. A party says it's a 74 00:03:38,760 --> 00:03:42,400 Speaker 1: total mismatch. Even with the new barn and their crowd 75 00:03:42,720 --> 00:03:46,120 Speaker 1: in Canada and everything else, it looks like a total mismatch. 76 00:03:46,160 --> 00:03:48,640 Speaker 1: But if Edmonton's going to get a game, this is 77 00:03:48,680 --> 00:03:51,080 Speaker 1: the game tonight. They're going to get half a unit, 78 00:03:52,040 --> 00:03:55,840 Speaker 1: even money Edmonton to lead, not a three way bet. 79 00:03:56,080 --> 00:04:00,240 Speaker 1: Tie is a push, Okay, ti is a push, even money, 80 00:04:00,400 --> 00:04:03,520 Speaker 1: half a unit Edmonton to lead after one period up 81 00:04:03,520 --> 00:04:07,440 Speaker 1: against the Colorado Avalanche coming up here tonight in the 82 00:04:07,480 --> 00:04:11,720 Speaker 1: Western Conference Finals. Okay, It's go to combat sports. So 83 00:04:11,920 --> 00:04:15,000 Speaker 1: Devin Haney is a fighter who I have watched for 84 00:04:15,040 --> 00:04:17,480 Speaker 1: a while now. He's twenty three years old. He's fighting 85 00:04:17,520 --> 00:04:21,159 Speaker 1: George Cambosa's junior for the undisputed lightweight championship of the world. 86 00:04:21,480 --> 00:04:24,719 Speaker 1: This fight is in Australia. Okay, the total rounds in 87 00:04:24,760 --> 00:04:26,520 Speaker 1: this fight is set at ten and a half. It's 88 00:04:26,600 --> 00:04:29,560 Speaker 1: minus three ninety to the over. Okay, give you an 89 00:04:29,600 --> 00:04:33,240 Speaker 1: idea of where we are. Haney is the better fighter 90 00:04:34,120 --> 00:04:37,560 Speaker 1: Devin Haney has been. He's taken a lot of grief. Okay, 91 00:04:38,080 --> 00:04:42,240 Speaker 1: He's been a guy that's been ridiculed and laughed at. 92 00:04:42,360 --> 00:04:45,200 Speaker 1: And you know, people have said the Cambosas win over 93 00:04:45,279 --> 00:04:47,679 Speaker 1: tf ME Lopez was a little bit shocking that Lopez 94 00:04:47,680 --> 00:04:50,720 Speaker 1: didn't take it seriously and that you know, Jorgy Lenaries 95 00:04:50,800 --> 00:04:53,560 Speaker 1: really hurt Devin Haney rattled him a bit and now 96 00:04:53,560 --> 00:04:57,120 Speaker 1: you got the home field advantage in Australia. I'm not 97 00:04:57,360 --> 00:04:58,960 Speaker 1: loving the fact that I'm gonna have to go to 98 00:04:59,040 --> 00:05:02,400 Speaker 1: the cards. Okay, I'm gonna be totally honest here. I'm 99 00:05:02,400 --> 00:05:07,480 Speaker 1: gonna need Devin Haney to just absolutely overwhelmed George kem 100 00:05:07,560 --> 00:05:11,919 Speaker 1: Boss Junior with his ability to throw the jab. I 101 00:05:12,000 --> 00:05:14,520 Speaker 1: need him to be behind the jab the entire fight 102 00:05:15,000 --> 00:05:17,920 Speaker 1: point point point point point that's what I'm gonna need 103 00:05:17,960 --> 00:05:22,039 Speaker 1: here for this fight. But Devin Haney by decision is 104 00:05:22,080 --> 00:05:24,320 Speaker 1: even money and I think it's the better way of 105 00:05:24,360 --> 00:05:27,440 Speaker 1: betting this fight. I know it's dangerous. I hate that 106 00:05:27,480 --> 00:05:29,920 Speaker 1: I have to go to boxing judges, and by going 107 00:05:29,960 --> 00:05:34,440 Speaker 1: to boxing judges in Australia with an Australian fighter, I'm 108 00:05:34,480 --> 00:05:37,240 Speaker 1: walking myself into it. But there's more money in America 109 00:05:37,279 --> 00:05:41,120 Speaker 1: and there's more money in boxing with Devin Haney having 110 00:05:41,200 --> 00:05:44,520 Speaker 1: these belts. So I mean, King Bosa's is gonna have 111 00:05:44,560 --> 00:05:46,599 Speaker 1: to come at him and hit him really hard, a 112 00:05:46,640 --> 00:05:49,800 Speaker 1: lot of overwhelming him with combinations, gonna have to hurt 113 00:05:49,839 --> 00:05:51,560 Speaker 1: him with his power, and I think Kim Bosas is 114 00:05:51,560 --> 00:05:52,960 Speaker 1: gonna have to knock him out because I don't think 115 00:05:53,040 --> 00:05:55,000 Speaker 1: if this fight goes to the cards. I just I 116 00:05:55,040 --> 00:05:56,919 Speaker 1: think could be like a nine to three type of 117 00:05:56,960 --> 00:06:00,480 Speaker 1: domination that Haney a buddy of mine who's a big 118 00:06:00,520 --> 00:06:02,640 Speaker 1: boxing guy here in Townsend. It's not gonna stun me 119 00:06:02,680 --> 00:06:06,240 Speaker 1: if Haney doesn't blank him just totally every round, Like 120 00:06:06,279 --> 00:06:08,760 Speaker 1: it's not even a competitive fight. That Devin Haney finally 121 00:06:08,760 --> 00:06:11,160 Speaker 1: gets his moment in the sun to show off, and 122 00:06:11,200 --> 00:06:13,320 Speaker 1: even the judges they won't be able to steal it 123 00:06:13,360 --> 00:06:17,520 Speaker 1: from Devin Haney Hani over cambosis. Half a unit even 124 00:06:17,640 --> 00:06:20,960 Speaker 1: money by decision is what we're jumping in here with 125 00:06:21,600 --> 00:06:24,479 Speaker 1: for a boxing fight happening in Australia. I believe the 126 00:06:24,480 --> 00:06:27,160 Speaker 1: fight though, he's gonna happen at eleven o'clock Eastern time, 127 00:06:27,240 --> 00:06:29,159 Speaker 1: so I think that fight check your localistings, but I 128 00:06:29,160 --> 00:06:32,640 Speaker 1: think that fight's going to be a normal time. It's 129 00:06:32,640 --> 00:06:34,200 Speaker 1: gonna be over in Australia, but I think it's gonna 130 00:06:34,200 --> 00:06:36,000 Speaker 1: be in the middle of the day in Australia, so 131 00:06:36,120 --> 00:06:38,839 Speaker 1: night time for us for that to happen, okay, And 132 00:06:38,880 --> 00:06:43,320 Speaker 1: then I've got one other fight. It is Volkoff versus 133 00:06:43,400 --> 00:06:47,320 Speaker 1: rosen Strike. It is the main event for UFC Fight 134 00:06:47,440 --> 00:06:52,960 Speaker 1: Nights here in Vegas, Drago against Biggie Boy. Look, Volkov's 135 00:06:52,960 --> 00:06:56,479 Speaker 1: a weird dude, okay. Volkoff's average fight time is or 136 00:06:56,560 --> 00:07:00,200 Speaker 1: his average fight time is fourteen twenty six. This is 137 00:07:00,200 --> 00:07:02,800 Speaker 1: a five round main event fight. Fourteen to twenty six. 138 00:07:03,080 --> 00:07:07,400 Speaker 1: Rosen Strike nine to thirty. Okay. Rosen Strike is a 139 00:07:07,440 --> 00:07:10,360 Speaker 1: big is a big dude, but Volkov's six seven two 140 00:07:10,760 --> 00:07:14,200 Speaker 1: and fifty pounds. This might be like big Boy Timber 141 00:07:14,360 --> 00:07:18,520 Speaker 1: falls hard. Okay, But because it's a five run fight, 142 00:07:18,800 --> 00:07:23,080 Speaker 1: because it's heavyweights, I think rosen Strike knocks him out. 143 00:07:23,160 --> 00:07:27,440 Speaker 1: I think Volgan Strike Rosesdrike will knock out Volkov. But 144 00:07:27,600 --> 00:07:30,280 Speaker 1: because I'm going even money even money on the first 145 00:07:30,320 --> 00:07:33,120 Speaker 1: two bets tonight, I thought it might be a little 146 00:07:33,160 --> 00:07:36,520 Speaker 1: bit more conservative. And the fight to not go the 147 00:07:36,640 --> 00:07:40,480 Speaker 1: distance is minus one fifty, so just don't go to 148 00:07:40,520 --> 00:07:44,280 Speaker 1: the cards. Goes to the cards could be a problem 149 00:07:44,720 --> 00:07:48,760 Speaker 1: in terms of what Volkov has done. He had an 150 00:07:48,880 --> 00:07:51,920 Speaker 1: armbar submission in his last fight, which was a loss. 151 00:07:52,560 --> 00:07:56,280 Speaker 1: His last two fights before that were both unanimous decisions. 152 00:07:56,440 --> 00:07:59,760 Speaker 1: He went three rounds and five rounds and Seial Gone. 153 00:07:59,760 --> 00:08:02,920 Speaker 1: He went five rounds with Cereal Gone and lost by 154 00:08:02,960 --> 00:08:06,840 Speaker 1: the decision. Don't love that, okay. He went to it 155 00:08:06,920 --> 00:08:09,640 Speaker 1: with Blades to a decision, Greg Hardy went to a 156 00:08:09,640 --> 00:08:12,560 Speaker 1: decisions a five round and a three round fight. Okay. 157 00:08:12,640 --> 00:08:15,440 Speaker 1: Volkov is just he will do this. He will have 158 00:08:15,480 --> 00:08:17,240 Speaker 1: these fights that will go five rounds. That's not what 159 00:08:17,240 --> 00:08:19,720 Speaker 1: happens with Rosenstrike though. Even though his last fight against 160 00:08:19,720 --> 00:08:22,840 Speaker 1: Blades did go to a decision a three rounder with 161 00:08:22,960 --> 00:08:25,200 Speaker 1: Gone Too, Gon went to a decision too, but he 162 00:08:25,280 --> 00:08:28,680 Speaker 1: had a knockout victory in his fight before that knockout 163 00:08:28,760 --> 00:08:31,640 Speaker 1: victory fight before that two rounds one round for that 164 00:08:31,760 --> 00:08:34,360 Speaker 1: to be ending. So I'm hoping that we get this 165 00:08:34,400 --> 00:08:36,439 Speaker 1: thing where the fight does not go to the distance. 166 00:08:36,480 --> 00:08:38,760 Speaker 1: I'm not sure who wins because it's a heavyweight fight 167 00:08:38,880 --> 00:08:41,760 Speaker 1: and weird things happen in heavyweight fights. I think Roses 168 00:08:41,800 --> 00:08:44,200 Speaker 1: Strike does wind up winning this fight gets a knockout. 169 00:08:44,800 --> 00:08:47,320 Speaker 1: But I'm just gonna bet half a unit on the 170 00:08:47,360 --> 00:08:51,679 Speaker 1: fight to end before the cards. The fight will not 171 00:08:51,800 --> 00:08:54,120 Speaker 1: go the distance. The answer is no, will the fight 172 00:08:54,200 --> 00:08:58,240 Speaker 1: go the distance? No? Okay? Three bets half a unit 173 00:08:58,320 --> 00:09:02,440 Speaker 1: on each play here on a Setaturday. We're going Edmonton 174 00:09:02,520 --> 00:09:07,000 Speaker 1: to be leading after one period up against the Calor 175 00:09:07,080 --> 00:09:11,480 Speaker 1: Avalanche even money, half a unit, Devin Haney by decision 176 00:09:11,760 --> 00:09:15,560 Speaker 1: over George Cambosis, even money, and the fight not to 177 00:09:15,559 --> 00:09:18,000 Speaker 1: go to the distance. Main events for UFC Fight Night 178 00:09:18,000 --> 00:09:21,400 Speaker 1: here in Vegas roses Strike against Volkov the fight will 179 00:09:21,400 --> 00:09:25,000 Speaker 1: not go the distance. Half a unit at minus one fifty. 180 00:09:25,360 --> 00:09:27,280 Speaker 1: Those are the three bets for us on a Saturday. 181 00:09:27,320 --> 00:09:29,480 Speaker 1: Follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt If I 182 00:09:29,480 --> 00:09:31,360 Speaker 1: add any baseball or anything else I want to jump 183 00:09:31,400 --> 00:09:33,880 Speaker 1: in on. I'll let you guys know here on a Saturday, 184 00:09:33,920 --> 00:09:36,719 Speaker 1: but let's have some fun, let's catch some tickets. I'll 185 00:09:36,760 --> 00:09:38,640 Speaker 1: be back on a Sunday. You can follow me on 186 00:09:38,679 --> 00:09:41,440 Speaker 1: Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning, it's 187 00:09:41,520 --> 00:09:43,760 Speaker 1: dale Ju's Podcast. 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