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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast. I'm just about that action molso.

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Speaker 1: All right, here we go, throwing in Joe. I'm saying

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Speaker 1: it to cash stop. Most gamblers when they go to gamble,

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Speaker 1: they go to win. That's incredible. Big bank, small bank.

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Speaker 1: I like to make money. All right, this is just

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Speaker 1: the ultimate kaba.

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Speaker 2: You want to pass.

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Speaker 1: And we are come away? What is up?

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Speaker 2: Everybody?

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Speaker 3: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast presented by FanDuel. I'm

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Speaker 3: your host, Chris Raybond, and this is your NFL Week

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Speaker 3: seven betting preview where we talk about our favorite totals, teasers, underdogs,

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Speaker 3: and of course we build our weekly Sunday six pack

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Speaker 3: of against the spread bets with the help of my

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Speaker 3: co host, the Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation, Stucky Stuck.

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Speaker 1: What's going on, brother?

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Speaker 2: Another good weekend in the books. They won't all be good,

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Speaker 2: but I think on the show, and I think everything

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Speaker 2: I bet was just on the show. It got six

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Speaker 2: and two, two and one six pack. We both hit

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Speaker 2: our teasers, we both hit our totals, we hit our

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Speaker 2: money on underdog parlay again and yeah I went two

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Speaker 2: and one in the six pack. I know you got

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Speaker 2: shafted on two of the worst beats the Staints and

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Speaker 2: the Jags is brutal. But my one loss of the Dolphins, happy, happy,

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Speaker 2: happy with the play. It's weird. I bet on a

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Speaker 2: backup and the backup gets hurt and then the like like,

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Speaker 2: I don't know how that works, but you know, the

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Speaker 2: Dolphins held held the Vikings until a late run to

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Speaker 2: like two hundred and twenty yards and that Wattle fumble

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Speaker 2: at the end was just absolutely killer at I also

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Speaker 2: played the Ravens or my other loss, would would play

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Speaker 2: them again, I mean at seven yards per play to

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Speaker 2: three point nine, you know, and they blew another level.

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Speaker 2: Talk about them later in the show. But happy with

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Speaker 2: the overall weekend. And I know you've been rolling as well,

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Speaker 2: so hopefully we can all keep going and just keep

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Speaker 2: finding winners and breaking down these games for all of

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Speaker 2: our loyal listeners.

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Speaker 3: Is there, let's get to it quick. Heads up to

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Speaker 3: our listeners. The NBA is back and that means the

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Speaker 3: return of Buckets, Action Networks basketball betting podcast with new

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Speaker 3: episodes every weekday this NBA season. So if you want

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Speaker 3: to buy some hoops, like our famous NBA fanatic Stucky,

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Speaker 3: checkout Buckets, hosted by Action NBA experts like Matt Moore,

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Speaker 3: j Money, Sean Little, and Brandon Anderson. All right, tom

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Speaker 3: To talks on Thursday night football, So let's get it

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Speaker 3: started with some Saints Cardinals.

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Speaker 2: It's not the best game, but it's the only game tonight.

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Speaker 2: Let's bet Thursday night football.

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Speaker 3: So we got these Saints going to Arizona here. Two

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Speaker 3: and a half point underdogs are the Saints. The total

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Speaker 3: is forty three and a half. The Cardinals are getting

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Speaker 3: the Andre Hopkins back, which is I mean, just from

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Speaker 3: a statistical standpoint massive. I mean, their point differential swing

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Speaker 3: is about fifteen points in games he's played versus games

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Speaker 3: he's missed, so you know that's obviously big. But we

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Speaker 3: don't know exactly how long he's gonna play. And the

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Speaker 3: Saints are banged up as well. Wide receiver no Michael Thomas,

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Speaker 3: no Jarvis Landry.

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Speaker 1: What do you think of this matchup?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? This is Yeah, that's it's ugly. I mean there's

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Speaker 2: an injury concerns on both sides. You mentioned offensive line

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Speaker 2: for Cardinals, receivers for the Saints, you know Lattimore. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: it's just you know, Mark Keith Brown is out, Hopkins

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Speaker 2: is in like what do you expect from Hopkins, Like,

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Speaker 2: I don't know, it's a it's a weird situation. Is

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Speaker 2: he gonna get like full run? He also hasn't played

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Speaker 2: like end of year, Like he didn't agree he.

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Speaker 3: Wasn't as good as he used to be like that

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Speaker 3: last year, But Cliff said, we'll see when he you know,

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Speaker 3: Hopkins is pushing to play like every snap, and but

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Speaker 3: if it's like you know, it's kind of hard when

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Speaker 3: guys come back. So I'm guessing it will be more

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Speaker 3: in that, you know, like seventy five eighty percent snap range,

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Speaker 3: Like they'll probably get him out for some run blocking

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Speaker 3: snaps or some snaps where you know they have some

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Speaker 3: like gadget play for Rondo more, which they're gonna have

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Speaker 3: like six times per game. So that's what I'm kind

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Speaker 3: of expecting, maybe like seventy five eighty percent.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean when there is a healthy Hopkins. Historically,

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Speaker 2: I mean Kyler Murray for what it's worth, is eight

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Speaker 2: and two with Hopkins nineteen touchdowns, nine interceptions, average is

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Speaker 2: about two hundred eight yards passing per game. Without him,

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Speaker 2: he's three and seven. He's also completing eight percent fewer

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Speaker 2: passes two hundred and thirty eight yards per game, eleven touchdowns,

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Speaker 2: six interceptions, so it's it's important if he's fully healthy,

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Speaker 2: which we don't know. But look, I mean this, This

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Speaker 2: Arizona team is a mess. The worst thing is I

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Speaker 2: don't know what they do during the week. They continue

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Speaker 2: to come out and go down big early on. They

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Speaker 2: are getting out scored in the first half eighty nine

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Speaker 2: to twenty nine, including forty one to three in the

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Speaker 2: first quarter. On the year, they're averaging one point seven

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Speaker 2: points per game on their first three drives combined. It's

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Speaker 2: the worst in the NFL by far. Then you know,

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Speaker 2: then they sometimes pick it up in the second if

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Speaker 2: they don't even do that last week against Seattle's defense.

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Speaker 2: The offensive line is a mess, the play calling is

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Speaker 2: a mess, and yeah, I just I can't trust this team.

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Speaker 2: They've also been bad at home historically, so you know,

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Speaker 2: it's a short week, but both teams are like traveling,

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Speaker 2: so I don't think it's an advantage. Not I trust

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Speaker 2: Cliff Kingsbury to have an advantage on a short week,

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Speaker 2: So you know, I think this is a perfect spot

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Speaker 2: to tease the Saints low total, tease them up over

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Speaker 2: eight or seven just any anything over a touchdown, I

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Speaker 2: personally tease them with Zappi hour. Hopefully he starts over

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Speaker 2: mac Jones, but regardless, with like teasing the Patriots down

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Speaker 2: under three. That's how I approach this. For what it's worth,

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Speaker 2: unders have been killing it overall, and on Thursday Nights,

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Speaker 2: the unders are now fifty seven and thirty seven on

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Speaker 2: the year, sixty and a half percent. That's the best

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Speaker 2: start through six since nineteen ninety four. They're actually sixty

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Speaker 2: five percent nineteen ninety one and underdogs are fifty five

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Speaker 2: thirty eight one. They're killing it as well, which makes

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Speaker 2: sense lower scoring games, underdogs are covering more often, harder

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Speaker 2: to build margin in the scoring environment. What is the culprit, Well,

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Speaker 2: a lot of it is these, uh you know, cover two,

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Speaker 2: A lot of let's prevent the exposive plays. And if

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Speaker 2: you look at the big plays so far this year,

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Speaker 2: pass plays over twenty yards, pass plays over thirty yards,

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Speaker 2: they are down significantly across the board. There's also some

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Speaker 2: bad quarterback play, et cetera. So yeah, I would lean,

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Speaker 2: I make this a coin flip game, so you know

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Speaker 2: two and a half I would lean Saints and they've

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Speaker 2: been playing well with Dalton, even though even without the weapons,

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Speaker 2: he's been like an average you know, an average quarterback

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Speaker 2: if you look for EPA per play, and so I

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Speaker 2: would lean them at two and a half. If I

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Speaker 2: got three, I would play the Saints. I doubt it

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Speaker 2: gets there, so I think the play here is teasing

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Speaker 2: the Saints up over a touchdown. If you need a partner,

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Speaker 2: we'll talk about someone Sunday later the show. But I

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Speaker 2: actually did a Thursday night Monday night six point teaser.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I have it as a coin flip as well.

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Speaker 3: I think there's a couple of ways you could play

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Speaker 3: this one. You kind of mentioned it with the under.

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Speaker 3: I have this total around forty three, which I guess

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Speaker 3: I'm about a point and a half lower than the market,

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Speaker 3: well maybe a half a point at some spots, lower

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Speaker 3: than the market. For that exact reason, I think, you know,

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Speaker 3: the Cardinals offense has been struggling, and maybe it gets better,

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Speaker 3: but I look at their defense and it's it's surviving.

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Speaker 3: It's like hanging in there. They're really good at limiting

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Speaker 3: passes to the outside and too wide receivers, which I

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Speaker 3: didn't expect. Byron Murphy is actually playing pretty well. So

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Speaker 3: you know, primetime unders down at least one and a

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Speaker 3: half points, which this one is seventy and forty three

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Speaker 3: sixty two percent since twenty fifteen, so that's a nineteen

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Speaker 3: percent ROI.

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Speaker 1: Now, you talked about the.

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Speaker 3: First half and just coming out slow for Arizona, which

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Speaker 3: obviously contributes to the under. So here's a crazy one.

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Speaker 3: Cliff Kingsbury in the first half is seven and nineteen

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Speaker 3: on the money line at home in his career seven

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Speaker 3: and nineteen with one push. Now when he is a

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Speaker 3: favorite on the money line at home in the first half,

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Speaker 3: he is five nine and one. The Saints are plus

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Speaker 3: one fifteen, So you could play the Saints at plus money.

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Speaker 3: That's been winning almost two out of every three times,

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Speaker 3: so love that as well.

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Speaker 1: I think you could kind of do that if you don't.

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Speaker 1: If we don't get the.

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Speaker 2: Three, I would say. My one pushback on you on

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Speaker 2: that is that the Cardinals clearly don't prepare so having

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Speaker 2: a short week would actually help them because the other

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Speaker 2: team gets less preparation time. Baby oh man. That is

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Speaker 2: kind of a joke but kind of not really right.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, let's see, does he ever is this? I'm gonna

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Speaker 3: look if it's if there was everyone.

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Speaker 2: He's been awful in prime time, so I'm assuming I

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Speaker 2: think they've lost five straight him and Kyler.

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Speaker 3: On Thursday, you're uh your you're two and o fading

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Speaker 3: Cliff on the first half money winer home. So yeah, okay,

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Speaker 3: Thursday two and oh Saturday two and oh so that

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Speaker 3: that short prep is still it's even worse. Essentially undefeated,

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Speaker 3: it's undefeated. You don't lose these bets apparently, but uh yeah,

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Speaker 3: it's Saturday night game.

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Speaker 2: I think it was the Colt's disaster. Remember that.

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, you were on the Colts on that one, right.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Kingsbury just watched it. That game, so many like

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Speaker 2: the Colts were playing with like the tight end is

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Speaker 2: like their their tackle. They had like five offensive linemen

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Speaker 2: out and it was bad.

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Speaker 3: Cliff is four and eleven against the spread as a

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Speaker 3: home favorite, so fading him, you're seventy three percent against

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Speaker 3: the spread. I mean, everything kind of points to the Saints.

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Speaker 3: If you check the Action Network ap our pro signals,

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Speaker 3: the sharp action is on the Saints.

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Speaker 1: Big money is on the Saints.

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Speaker 4: Uh.

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Speaker 3: This is one of those spots where you know, I

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Speaker 3: think I think playing the Saints in some type of way,

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Speaker 3: like you said, teasing it, you go first half against

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Speaker 3: against the three. We played the three, But that's kind

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Speaker 3: of the way I would approach this one. And we'll

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Speaker 3: get the under as well. All right, let's uh, let's

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Speaker 3: jump into the six.

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Speaker 2: Pack Thursday per action. Let's crack open the Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 3: All right, you are up nineteen to seventeen. Way we

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Speaker 3: do it, we have a little fun contest with each

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Speaker 3: other where our first two picks count is two points,

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Speaker 3: our third is a point. Total is a point that

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Speaker 3: will do in the next segment. And then if you

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Speaker 3: sweep the six pack the three six pack bets, you

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Speaker 3: also get an extra point.

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Speaker 1: So you're up nineteen to seventeen. And your first this week,

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Speaker 1: where are you going?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? For my first pick of the week, seventh Sunday

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Speaker 2: six Pack presented by Fandle, I'm going with the Denver

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Speaker 2: Broncos minus one at home over the New York Football Jets.

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Speaker 2: I don't care who plays quarterback. I actually kind of

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Speaker 2: maybe hope that Brett Ripon plays quarterback. I think is

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Speaker 2: one start. He actually beat the Jets a couple of

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Speaker 2: years ago. But this line coming down to one is

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Speaker 2: all I want. I mean the look aadline was seven

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Speaker 2: and a half and look, the Broncos could have won

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Speaker 2: at the charters with historic penalty numbers. And Russell Wilson

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Speaker 2: throw for fifteen yards in the second half and overtime.

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Speaker 2: He's not adding anything to the offense. I don't know

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Speaker 2: if it's because he's hurt or not, but it can't

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Speaker 2: get any worse with Brett Rippin and there I will

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Speaker 2: tell you that. So I don't care if preterpan'stuck it.

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Speaker 2: Just give me a better line here. I don't think

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Speaker 2: it's going to be some huge upgrade. Although he looks

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Speaker 2: fine when he's played, he probably will has a higher

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Speaker 2: risk of turnovers. But Russell Wilson has no command of

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Speaker 2: this offense right now. He's missing wide open guys and

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Speaker 2: his arm strength isn't there. He's missing throws. It just

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Speaker 2: doesn't look comfortable. So whatever, I don't care plays quarterback.

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Speaker 2: This is a pure fade of the Jets. I think

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Speaker 2: the Jets defense for what it's where it's a bit overrated.

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Speaker 2: There's still twenty third and success rate. There are eleventh

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Speaker 2: and epa per play, But looking who they faced, I mean,

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Speaker 2: here are their wins. They beat for Set by one

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Speaker 2: in a miracle comeback, and what have we seen from

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Speaker 2: the Browns since then? Garbage miraculous comeback. In that game

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Speaker 2: they beat Trubisky and then Picket in his NFL debut,

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Speaker 2: in another miraculous comeback, even with Picket throwing three picks

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Speaker 2: and even miraculous come back, they were trying by double

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Speaker 2: digits in both those games against Picket and Brissette, two

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Speaker 2: backup quarterbacks, and they took the lead on touchdowns in

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Speaker 2: the final thirty seconds. All right, who else did they beat?

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Speaker 2: Another quarterback making their NFL debut, this time a third

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Speaker 2: stringer in Skyler Thompson. They did win forty to seventeen,

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Speaker 2: completely misleading. He was nineteen seventeen in the fourth quarter.

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Speaker 2: Game was even statistically even with Skyler Thompson playing hardly.

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Speaker 2: And then last week, yeah, they beat the Packers twenty

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Speaker 2: seven to ten. I grated it as a loss, so

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Speaker 2: roll they should have covered. I think I had it

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Speaker 2: as a Packers two to a half point win. Jets

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Speaker 2: scored on two trick plays on offense, a special team's touchdown,

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Speaker 2: and they blocked a field goal. Each team had two

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Speaker 2: hundred and seventy eight total yards. Wilson threw for one

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Speaker 2: hundred and ten yards negative point four EPA per drop back.

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Speaker 2: Only quarterback was worse last week was PJ. Walker. And

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Speaker 2: if you look over the last three years, EPA per

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Speaker 2: play minimum seventy five dropbacks, the two worst swell the

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Speaker 2: three worst quarterbacks in the league set there seventy of them,

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Speaker 2: Jake Lutan, Zach Wilson, and PJ. Walker. Zack Wilson is PJ. Walker.

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Speaker 2: Joe Flacco's numbers are better than Zach Wilson's this year,

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Speaker 2: and he can't throw. Last week, they got the you know,

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Speaker 2: Briest Hall has been amazing. They got the feast on

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Speaker 2: arguably the worst run defense in the NFL right now,

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Speaker 2: the Packers got a bunch.

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Speaker 3: Of Huggain again, like every year. We're like, if they

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Speaker 3: could just improve their run defense, the team would be

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Speaker 3: a lot better.

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Speaker 2: These are two limited offenses. The Broncos have the better defense.

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Speaker 2: The Broncos might have the best defense in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: I mean, they are playing out of their minds. And look,

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Speaker 2: they got Simmons back. You have certain who just takes

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Speaker 2: away one receiver from the game. Now, the second corner

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Speaker 2: spot without Darby is a weakness. But at Zach Wilson,

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Speaker 2: he can't throw the ball like it literally doesn't matter.

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Speaker 2: Alex Singleton. By the way, Alex Singleton played last week

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Speaker 2: place at Josie Jewel like the Denver depth on defense

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Speaker 2: is insane. Alex Singleer did had twenty one tackles last week.

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Speaker 2: That's the fourth most in NFL history since tackles have

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Speaker 2: been recorded. So Zack Wilson under pressure, which he's gonna

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Speaker 2: be all game here, four of twenty three on the

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Speaker 2: air for forty nine yards, zero touchdowns, two interceptions, a

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Speaker 2: seventeen percent turnover worthy throw rate. So yeah, Broncos, this

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Speaker 2: look at them was seven and a half. Broncos arguably

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Speaker 2: could have won at the Chargers. They had a muff punt,

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Speaker 2: they lose it over time, Okay, they still covered it.

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Speaker 2: I think they exceeded expectations. This line drops because Russell Wilson,

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Speaker 2: who everyone's laughing at, might be out. No, I mean,

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Speaker 2: I'm taking the Broncos here. The Jets easily could have

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Speaker 2: zero wins this year. Zero wins. They have all miraculous

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Speaker 2: you know, fourth quarters, Yeah, I mean, yeah, they should

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Speaker 2: have beat Scott Thompson but that game was really close

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Speaker 2: to the fourth quarter too. They could easily have one win.

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Speaker 2: They're not gonna be able to run the ball here against Denver.

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Speaker 2: Zach Wilson on the road, I will fade him. There's

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Speaker 2: turnovers coming. This is He's worse than Cooper Rush. I

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Speaker 2: would I would start a franchise with Cooper Rush over

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Speaker 2: Zach Wilson any day of the week. Give me the

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Speaker 2: Broncos minus one at home, Broncos country ripping country. Let's ride.

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Speaker 3: It's called the danger Which and it's dangerously good.

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Speaker 1: Jeez, that is dangerous, man.

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Speaker 3: You just stole on my thunder from my total later on,

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Speaker 3: because I actually had that same stat written down for

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Speaker 3: Zach Wilson. Four out of twenty under pressure. Yeah, three

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Speaker 3: pass rating of three under pressure. I don't mind taking

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Speaker 3: the Broncos here. I do think it is more of

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Speaker 3: a toss up than than you're alluding to, because I mean,

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Speaker 3: you kind of broke it down. The Jets beat a

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Speaker 3: bunch of bad offenses and bad quarterbacks, but this might

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Speaker 3: be the king of them, right, you know, right here

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Speaker 3: in Denver, Like this team might be worse than all

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Speaker 3: those offenses with these quarterbacks.

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Speaker 1: Unfortunately, yeah.

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Speaker 2: But but here's the thing. The biggest difference is the line.

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Speaker 2: Now we're only laying one on. The Jets are starting

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Speaker 2: to get respect in the market, and the Broncos have

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Speaker 2: by far the best defense out of any of those teams.

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Speaker 2: Especially with the Packers. You can just run on and

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Speaker 2: that's all the Jets did. I mean, Wilson through for

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Speaker 2: one hundred yards, but it was seven and a half.

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Speaker 2: Look at in altitude Jets second straight road game. That

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Speaker 2: that's the differentiating factor for me. This line has just

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Speaker 2: come down way too much one one and I don't

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Speaker 2: think there's much of a difference between who we see

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Speaker 2: with Russell Wilson today and Brett Rippon. It can't get worse.

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Speaker 3: Listen, I don't think they're as terrible as you're saying

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Speaker 3: they are. I think they're actually improving, like week by week.

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Speaker 3: I think they have a lot of talent, and I

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Speaker 3: think Zach is getting you know a little bit better.

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Speaker 1: But you know, the pressure.

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Speaker 2: Look, I don't think the Jets are troubles I'm saying

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Speaker 2: I think that in compared to the market pressure, I

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Speaker 2: think they're improving.

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Speaker 1: It's gonna be like that's that's it, though, Like when

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Speaker 1: he's under pressure, it's a rat so like I get it.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, all right.

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Speaker 1: Let's uh, let's start.

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Speaker 2: It off right now, you know.

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Speaker 3: I mean, if you've got you finally defeated Cooper Rush,

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Speaker 3: now you gotta on quarterback. Let's go with for my

342
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Speaker 3: first pick, the second overall pick of the week seven

343
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Speaker 3: Sunday six pack, We're gonna go with the Washington football

344
00:17:13,119 --> 00:17:16,359
Speaker 3: team plus five and a half at home against the

345
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Speaker 3: green Bay Packers. And you know the reason I picked

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Speaker 3: the Jets against the Packers last week.

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Speaker 1: I talked about it. Jets could what could they do

348
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Speaker 1: on defense?

349
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Speaker 3: They could rush for get to the quarterback, get pressure

350
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Speaker 3: on Rogers, and I think Washington could do a lot

351
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Speaker 3: of the same things. Washington is tenth and ft three eight,

352
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Speaker 3: but their third and pressure rate green Bay is just

353
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Speaker 3: the cupboards kind of bear right here at wide receiver.

354
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Speaker 3: I mean, you got Allen Wizard playing well, but that

355
00:17:45,400 --> 00:17:48,840
Speaker 3: hasn't made a difference. And Rogers, you know, his passer

356
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Speaker 3: rating one oh three queen sixty five under pressure, and

357
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Speaker 3: you know that's kind of been the story with him.

358
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Speaker 3: And then this Washington team they play a lot of

359
00:17:57,560 --> 00:18:01,840
Speaker 3: man coverage and green Bay struggles against man coverage. They're

360
00:18:01,840 --> 00:18:06,600
Speaker 3: twentieth in yards per attempt against man coverage, and allenz

361
00:18:06,640 --> 00:18:08,960
Speaker 3: Our is the only receiver that averages two yards route

362
00:18:09,040 --> 00:18:11,119
Speaker 3: per route run. Randall Cobb was their second best. He

363
00:18:11,200 --> 00:18:13,840
Speaker 3: was at one point nine, but he's out now. So

364
00:18:14,680 --> 00:18:17,439
Speaker 3: you know, Romeo Doves hasn't been separating as much against

365
00:18:17,440 --> 00:18:19,000
Speaker 3: man coverage. And you know, you just got a whole

366
00:18:19,000 --> 00:18:21,239
Speaker 3: bunch of tight ends running backs that's not gonna get

367
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Speaker 3: the job done. So I think it's going to be

368
00:18:23,600 --> 00:18:26,960
Speaker 3: another you know, kind of slow struggle of a game

369
00:18:27,320 --> 00:18:29,159
Speaker 3: for for this Green total.

370
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Speaker 2: Yeah, these have been crushing and these it's hard to

371
00:18:33,040 --> 00:18:33,680
Speaker 2: get separation.

372
00:18:33,840 --> 00:18:35,199
Speaker 3: I would never make you know me, I would not

373
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Speaker 3: make this pick if it was Carson Wentz. But I'm

374
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Speaker 3: getting Tayo Heinike here. So like now we got a

375
00:18:39,840 --> 00:18:41,439
Speaker 3: little bit of a you know, we could maybe our

376
00:18:41,480 --> 00:18:44,720
Speaker 3: offense could get more than ninety three yards passing because

377
00:18:44,760 --> 00:18:46,840
Speaker 3: this Green Bay defense, what are they gonna do, Like

378
00:18:46,920 --> 00:18:49,640
Speaker 3: if they blitzed, It's been the same whether blitzer, don't

379
00:18:49,640 --> 00:18:53,000
Speaker 3: blitz them. So they're fourth in boots rate, so they

380
00:18:53,000 --> 00:18:55,359
Speaker 3: could butitz them, fine, go ahead, you know, like that's

381
00:18:55,359 --> 00:18:58,360
Speaker 3: not gonna really do anything. And then also Green Bay

382
00:18:58,400 --> 00:19:01,280
Speaker 3: can't stop the run. Washington is pretty good at stopping

383
00:19:01,280 --> 00:19:01,640
Speaker 3: to run.

384
00:19:02,200 --> 00:19:02,560
Speaker 1: UH.

385
00:19:02,560 --> 00:19:05,320
Speaker 3: And Washington, you know, Robert Tunyan was a guy who

386
00:19:05,680 --> 00:19:08,879
Speaker 3: Rogers started leaning on last week he came alive for

387
00:19:09,359 --> 00:19:12,520
Speaker 3: UH ten catches well, Washington's third and d v A

388
00:19:12,520 --> 00:19:15,720
Speaker 3: against tight ends. They're allowing twenty nine point nine schedule

389
00:19:15,760 --> 00:19:17,960
Speaker 3: adjusted yards per game to tight ends.

390
00:19:18,280 --> 00:19:18,440
Speaker 2: UH.

391
00:19:18,480 --> 00:19:20,640
Speaker 3: And you've talked about how their run defense has really

392
00:19:20,640 --> 00:19:23,119
Speaker 3: come on strong, uh, you know this last month of

393
00:19:23,119 --> 00:19:24,760
Speaker 3: the season. And I know they get they get with

394
00:19:24,800 --> 00:19:26,439
Speaker 3: that big run to Herbert, but they also stopped them

395
00:19:26,520 --> 00:19:28,840
Speaker 3: up to one on that drive, So I'll give give

396
00:19:28,880 --> 00:19:31,760
Speaker 3: them a push on that on that one. And I

397
00:19:31,840 --> 00:19:33,960
Speaker 3: just think it's going to be a struggle for for

398
00:19:34,119 --> 00:19:37,480
Speaker 3: Rogers facing another team that's top five in pressure rate.

399
00:19:37,800 --> 00:19:39,639
Speaker 1: Jets are top five and pressure rate as well.

400
00:19:39,800 --> 00:19:42,719
Speaker 3: Now, Washington does blitz a little more, but uh, you know,

401
00:19:43,000 --> 00:19:45,400
Speaker 3: you don't blitz a ton against Rogers, no one does.

402
00:19:45,480 --> 00:19:47,960
Speaker 3: So I still think Washington can be like a top

403
00:19:48,040 --> 00:19:51,760
Speaker 3: tennis pressure team without Whitston, because you know, they their

404
00:19:51,760 --> 00:19:54,000
Speaker 3: pressure rate is higher than their blitzer rate, which is

405
00:19:54,000 --> 00:19:55,720
Speaker 3: always something you look for in.

406
00:19:55,720 --> 00:19:56,760
Speaker 1: These type of matchups.

407
00:19:57,160 --> 00:20:00,680
Speaker 3: And uh yeah, give me the Washington football a team here,

408
00:20:00,960 --> 00:20:04,960
Speaker 3: Taylor Heinegy, you can. I'm finally out of Washington football

409
00:20:05,000 --> 00:20:09,760
Speaker 3: team against the spread. Jail h betting on Heineke because

410
00:20:09,800 --> 00:20:12,399
Speaker 3: once he's gone. So Washington plus five and a half

411
00:20:12,600 --> 00:20:13,520
Speaker 3: at home against the Pack.

412
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Speaker 2: Yeah, I actually got the guy. I actually bet the

413
00:20:16,119 --> 00:20:19,480
Speaker 2: Commanders last week and covered somehow they did not deserve

414
00:20:19,520 --> 00:20:21,880
Speaker 2: to cover. That was a disgusting game, which you made

415
00:20:21,960 --> 00:20:23,800
Speaker 2: up for the goal line, made up for the Tennessee

416
00:20:23,840 --> 00:20:27,160
Speaker 2: loss when Washington couldn't score at the goal line in Chicago,

417
00:20:27,240 --> 00:20:29,879
Speaker 2: charging to go on, but what a mess. Yeah, I

418
00:20:30,240 --> 00:20:32,760
Speaker 2: always I love listening out all the I listened to,

419
00:20:32,920 --> 00:20:34,640
Speaker 2: Like all the pressers that I listened to. J Rogers

420
00:20:34,680 --> 00:20:36,600
Speaker 2: is my favorite want to listen to because sometimes it's

421
00:20:36,640 --> 00:20:38,600
Speaker 2: just like a smart ass and then we'll also tell

422
00:20:38,640 --> 00:20:42,040
Speaker 2: you some things without telling you some things. And yeah,

423
00:20:42,200 --> 00:20:43,959
Speaker 2: sometimes he can sound like a dick, but yeah he's

424
00:20:44,000 --> 00:20:45,719
Speaker 2: not boring. And some of them are so boring and

425
00:20:45,760 --> 00:20:48,320
Speaker 2: they just say generic stuff. So I was tweeting out

426
00:20:48,440 --> 00:20:49,760
Speaker 2: right after his presser, I was like, he's he just

427
00:20:49,800 --> 00:20:53,320
Speaker 2: said simplified the offense twenty five times that like I've

428
00:20:54,000 --> 00:20:56,640
Speaker 2: it's all he kept saying, all you gotta simplifi. It's

429
00:20:56,680 --> 00:20:58,760
Speaker 2: like the scheme is great. Now generally that doesn't lead

430
00:20:58,800 --> 00:21:00,640
Speaker 2: to better results in the NFL. Now, I get why

431
00:21:00,640 --> 00:21:02,600
Speaker 2: you're saying that. You know, let's take the motion out.

432
00:21:02,680 --> 00:21:05,920
Speaker 2: Let's these are young guys. They're not getting separation. But guy,

433
00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:09,080
Speaker 2: so we'll see what that looks like. But I agree

434
00:21:09,119 --> 00:21:11,560
Speaker 2: with you on the matchup here that if you simplify

435
00:21:11,600 --> 00:21:13,320
Speaker 2: the offense, it's like, well, you can't run it, you

436
00:21:13,320 --> 00:21:15,840
Speaker 2: can't lean on your running it, and you're washing fifth

437
00:21:15,840 --> 00:21:19,320
Speaker 2: and success rate against the run seventh EPA per rush

438
00:21:19,400 --> 00:21:22,520
Speaker 2: on defense. So and then their weaknesses, you know, they

439
00:21:22,520 --> 00:21:25,080
Speaker 2: have some weaknesses in the secondary, but like the Green

440
00:21:25,119 --> 00:21:27,680
Speaker 2: Bay is not getting separation against anyone with these receivers,

441
00:21:27,720 --> 00:21:30,400
Speaker 2: so yeah, and the offensive line hasn't been playing well.

442
00:21:30,560 --> 00:21:34,720
Speaker 2: The defense can't stop the run. Low total home dog

443
00:21:34,760 --> 00:21:36,760
Speaker 2: here and if you look back, so yeah, I think

444
00:21:36,800 --> 00:21:38,840
Speaker 2: it's either. And then the special team's pack has been

445
00:21:38,840 --> 00:21:41,439
Speaker 2: mess so yeah, I agree, it's the commanders are nothing here.

446
00:21:41,440 --> 00:21:44,480
Speaker 2: And I went back and look, since twenty twenty through

447
00:21:44,600 --> 00:21:48,160
Speaker 2: last week, fifty two quarterbacks with at least two hundred

448
00:21:48,160 --> 00:21:53,440
Speaker 2: and fifty plays ep Yeah, completion percentage over expectation plus EPA.

449
00:21:53,840 --> 00:21:56,800
Speaker 2: Heinike thirty fifth of fifty two quarterbacks. He's in like

450
00:21:56,840 --> 00:22:01,639
Speaker 2: the golf Daniel Jones range Wentz forty first a fifty

451
00:22:01,640 --> 00:22:05,760
Speaker 2: two quarterback, thank you. So he's like Flacco Dalton and

452
00:22:05,800 --> 00:22:08,640
Speaker 2: then if you go way down past black A Dalton,

453
00:22:08,680 --> 00:22:11,720
Speaker 2: you'll eventually get to Zach Wilson. So yeah, Heinicky, I

454
00:22:11,760 --> 00:22:12,920
Speaker 2: think is a slight upgrade.

455
00:22:13,000 --> 00:22:16,040
Speaker 3: Absolutely, there's a reason I'm like you think I was kidding.

456
00:22:16,040 --> 00:22:18,760
Speaker 3: I will not bet I refuse to bet on Carson

457
00:22:18,800 --> 00:22:20,960
Speaker 3: Wentz like that. I've made some stupid bests in my

458
00:22:21,000 --> 00:22:23,280
Speaker 3: life and I will continue to. But one thing I

459
00:22:23,320 --> 00:22:25,680
Speaker 3: will not do is ben on Carson Wentz. It does

460
00:22:25,720 --> 00:22:28,720
Speaker 3: introduce a little more volativity like Wentz is just he

461
00:22:28,840 --> 00:22:31,800
Speaker 3: just plays like that normally. But I think Heinike sometimes

462
00:22:31,840 --> 00:22:35,160
Speaker 3: tries to kind of be that spark but no longer.

463
00:22:35,080 --> 00:22:37,600
Speaker 2: Force a throw to double cover sometimes or something. But

464
00:22:37,920 --> 00:22:40,080
Speaker 2: you know, you could also get bonehead of throws like

465
00:22:40,080 --> 00:22:44,160
Speaker 2: that from Wentz too. Yeah, overall, it's not a huge difference,

466
00:22:44,200 --> 00:22:47,560
Speaker 2: but it's an improvement. At worse, it's not a it's

467
00:22:47,600 --> 00:22:48,880
Speaker 2: not a downgrade at all.

468
00:22:49,760 --> 00:22:53,200
Speaker 1: And before we get into our next pick. We've been

469
00:22:53,200 --> 00:22:54,679
Speaker 1: really loving this quick slipt.

470
00:22:54,800 --> 00:22:56,720
Speaker 3: A lot of people have been asking us questions about it,

471
00:22:56,840 --> 00:22:59,680
Speaker 3: So why don't you tell people exactly what it is

472
00:22:59,680 --> 00:23:00,280
Speaker 3: and what it can do.

473
00:23:00,800 --> 00:23:05,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, shout to our sponsors FanDuel. They have awesome new

474
00:23:05,080 --> 00:23:08,240
Speaker 2: technology that it's only on the Action app right now.

475
00:23:08,640 --> 00:23:09,920
Speaker 2: If you go on there, you'll see it right now.

476
00:23:09,920 --> 00:23:11,760
Speaker 2: So if you have fandel you're in a legal state,

477
00:23:12,000 --> 00:23:14,960
Speaker 2: which you should and get as many outs as you can,

478
00:23:14,720 --> 00:23:16,679
Speaker 2: you'll go on. You'll see all the lines for a

479
00:23:16,680 --> 00:23:19,359
Speaker 2: certain bet, and then you know, you can select a

480
00:23:19,359 --> 00:23:22,800
Speaker 2: book that you want. And there's now a fandual quick

481
00:23:22,800 --> 00:23:25,359
Speaker 2: slip if you have a FanDuel account, you just click

482
00:23:25,480 --> 00:23:29,400
Speaker 2: that and it'll take you right to your Fandel account

483
00:23:29,680 --> 00:23:31,960
Speaker 2: and it'll be preloaded and then you could just put

484
00:23:31,960 --> 00:23:34,359
Speaker 2: the amount you want to bet in hit submit. So,

485
00:23:34,600 --> 00:23:37,560
Speaker 2: you know, say you're following Chris on his commander's bet

486
00:23:37,600 --> 00:23:39,240
Speaker 2: for the you know he's betting the commanders for the

487
00:23:39,240 --> 00:23:42,320
Speaker 2: first time ever. You're excited and you know you're driving

488
00:23:42,359 --> 00:23:43,800
Speaker 2: and you listen to this late you're just in a

489
00:23:43,840 --> 00:23:46,399
Speaker 2: time crunch on the app, you know, or you're on

490
00:23:46,440 --> 00:23:48,600
Speaker 2: the app scroll and you say, oh, look, Chris likes

491
00:23:48,600 --> 00:23:50,960
Speaker 2: the Commanders. You see it in the fandom quick Slip.

492
00:23:51,000 --> 00:23:53,119
Speaker 2: You don't have to then see Chris likes it. Go

493
00:23:53,160 --> 00:23:56,359
Speaker 2: to your FanDuel account, log in, find the Commanders, like

494
00:23:56,440 --> 00:23:58,560
Speaker 2: you just click the fandol quick slip and then it

495
00:23:58,760 --> 00:24:01,320
Speaker 2: preloads it boom, just the mount And it is so

496
00:24:01,840 --> 00:24:05,720
Speaker 2: easy and so user friendly, So make sure you check

497
00:24:05,720 --> 00:24:08,880
Speaker 2: out that features. Just another reason to sink your fandle

498
00:24:09,040 --> 00:24:11,960
Speaker 2: account up. With the action of a gap. It just

499
00:24:11,960 --> 00:24:14,680
Speaker 2: makes everything so much easier and saves time and energy

500
00:24:14,720 --> 00:24:18,480
Speaker 2: and wasteless time searching around on sportsbooks for lines.

501
00:24:18,760 --> 00:24:22,400
Speaker 3: You wouldn't believe how much that comes in handy when

502
00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:25,400
Speaker 3: because like sometimes like I've missed out on like two

503
00:24:25,520 --> 00:24:28,040
Speaker 3: or three yards on a prop because I had to

504
00:24:28,080 --> 00:24:30,720
Speaker 3: go and like log into and go scrow and find

505
00:24:30,720 --> 00:24:33,040
Speaker 3: the actual bet, especially when you're betting props, like you

506
00:24:33,040 --> 00:24:36,760
Speaker 3: know you have the game right and and I've lost

507
00:24:36,800 --> 00:24:38,360
Speaker 3: like twenty thirty cents of juice.

508
00:24:38,440 --> 00:24:41,040
Speaker 1: I've lost like two three yards doing that.

509
00:24:41,160 --> 00:24:43,280
Speaker 3: So it's a quick slip is a real time slaver,

510
00:24:43,880 --> 00:24:45,480
Speaker 3: So make sure you check it out if you have

511
00:24:45,480 --> 00:24:46,240
Speaker 3: a fan duel account.

512
00:24:46,600 --> 00:24:48,240
Speaker 1: All right, we're you going with your second pick.

513
00:24:48,480 --> 00:24:50,720
Speaker 2: For my second pick and the third overall of the

514
00:24:50,760 --> 00:24:55,760
Speaker 2: week seven Sunday six pack, I'm going with the Cincinnati

515
00:24:55,760 --> 00:24:59,680
Speaker 2: Bengals minus six at home against the red hot covering

516
00:24:59,720 --> 00:25:03,360
Speaker 2: machine sans the Atlanta Falcons. So this is I think

517
00:25:03,400 --> 00:25:07,000
Speaker 2: the Falcons are to me a bit like the Jets,

518
00:25:07,000 --> 00:25:10,080
Speaker 2: and I think that the market has just we were

519
00:25:10,160 --> 00:25:13,080
Speaker 2: finally getting value. I haven't faded the Falcons yet this year.

520
00:25:13,560 --> 00:25:16,240
Speaker 2: I know you had with the Bucks. You should have covered, like,

521
00:25:16,520 --> 00:25:18,600
Speaker 2: let me go through these games. They lost by one

522
00:25:18,640 --> 00:25:20,560
Speaker 2: the Jamis in Week one divisional game whatever, it was

523
00:25:20,600 --> 00:25:22,080
Speaker 2: a coin flip game. Then they got a coin flip

524
00:25:22,119 --> 00:25:24,520
Speaker 2: win over Seattle to come back to win coin flip

525
00:25:24,560 --> 00:25:27,520
Speaker 2: game win over the Browns. Probably should have lost that game.

526
00:25:27,520 --> 00:25:29,320
Speaker 2: We're down twenty eight to three in the second half

527
00:25:29,400 --> 00:25:31,440
Speaker 2: of the Rams. Have we seen in the Rams lately?

528
00:25:31,600 --> 00:25:33,120
Speaker 2: That looks a lot worse now. They had a late

529
00:25:33,160 --> 00:25:34,960
Speaker 2: block punt for a touchdown and just a bunch of

530
00:25:35,000 --> 00:25:36,960
Speaker 2: fluky stuff late. They're down twenty one in the second

531
00:25:37,000 --> 00:25:40,000
Speaker 2: half of the Bucks before Tampa Bay had secondary injuries.

532
00:25:40,000 --> 00:25:42,080
Speaker 2: And by the way, the Bucks don't look as good

533
00:25:42,119 --> 00:25:44,240
Speaker 2: as we thought. Over the past couple weeks as well,

534
00:25:44,320 --> 00:25:46,320
Speaker 2: and then one of the most misleading wins of the

535
00:25:46,359 --> 00:25:49,000
Speaker 2: year of the forty nine ers, who had eight defensive

536
00:25:49,000 --> 00:25:52,359
Speaker 2: starters out They were also outgained, they lost the yards

537
00:25:52,359 --> 00:25:55,800
Speaker 2: per play, they got a defensive score and San Francisco

538
00:25:56,160 --> 00:25:58,600
Speaker 2: in their final six drives four of them went into

539
00:25:58,640 --> 00:26:02,120
Speaker 2: Atlanta territory. They got the z row points. So am

540
00:26:02,119 --> 00:26:03,720
Speaker 2: I taking too much from that game with all the

541
00:26:03,760 --> 00:26:06,760
Speaker 2: injuries San Francisco had? Absolutely not? And it was just

542
00:26:06,840 --> 00:26:09,800
Speaker 2: a fluky game in general. So yeah, and look, now,

543
00:26:09,800 --> 00:26:12,000
Speaker 2: if you look back, like just perception can change. You

544
00:26:12,040 --> 00:26:14,400
Speaker 2: look back, it's like, oh, they covered against the Bucks

545
00:26:14,400 --> 00:26:16,280
Speaker 2: and Rams. Not grantit, they' around three scores and getting

546
00:26:16,280 --> 00:26:19,000
Speaker 2: blown out. But the Bucks and Rams, it's like, well,

547
00:26:19,680 --> 00:26:21,399
Speaker 2: I looked that good, and the Browns have been a

548
00:26:21,440 --> 00:26:25,200
Speaker 2: disaster since. So a lot of these these results don't

549
00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:26,760
Speaker 2: look as good as they might have, even though they

550
00:26:26,800 --> 00:26:31,280
Speaker 2: were kind of fluky. Now here's from a matchup perspective.

551
00:26:31,520 --> 00:26:33,880
Speaker 2: And all the Bengals too, is cover somehow every game.

552
00:26:33,920 --> 00:26:35,399
Speaker 2: They just find ways to cover. Thing. That's twelve and

553
00:26:35,400 --> 00:26:38,760
Speaker 2: two against his spread of the last fourteen. The Falcons

554
00:26:38,880 --> 00:26:41,439
Speaker 2: have potential cluster of injuries in the second and I

555
00:26:41,440 --> 00:26:44,680
Speaker 2: think Terrell's going to play. He's been bad. I don't

556
00:26:44,680 --> 00:26:46,399
Speaker 2: know if he was listening to all the hype, but

557
00:26:46,440 --> 00:26:48,159
Speaker 2: he hasn't been great. And you know, he was an

558
00:26:48,200 --> 00:26:50,160
Speaker 2: All Pro last year and I think it'll be fine,

559
00:26:50,160 --> 00:26:52,520
Speaker 2: but he hasn't been great. Casey Hayward going on the

560
00:26:52,520 --> 00:26:54,880
Speaker 2: IR it's a big loss. He's been playing well for them,

561
00:26:55,480 --> 00:26:58,600
Speaker 2: and you know he had Oliver get nicked up last

562
00:26:58,600 --> 00:27:01,159
Speaker 2: week and Terrell also nicked up. I think they were

563
00:27:01,160 --> 00:27:03,520
Speaker 2: holding them out for percussion of reasons. But secondary not

564
00:27:03,600 --> 00:27:07,040
Speaker 2: at full strength, and that's not great when you don't

565
00:27:07,040 --> 00:27:11,320
Speaker 2: get pressure. Falcons defense one point two percent QB Harry rate,

566
00:27:11,560 --> 00:27:14,960
Speaker 2: four point one percent adjusted sack grate, twelve point two

567
00:27:15,000 --> 00:27:19,240
Speaker 2: percent pressure rate, all dead last in the NFL, so

568
00:27:19,800 --> 00:27:22,399
Speaker 2: already a bad defense. You don't get any pressure, and

569
00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:25,040
Speaker 2: your secondary isn't a full strength going up against the

570
00:27:25,040 --> 00:27:29,040
Speaker 2: Bengals offense that we've been questioning. But last week I

571
00:27:29,080 --> 00:27:31,240
Speaker 2: loved some of the things they did throwing on early downs,

572
00:27:31,800 --> 00:27:33,639
Speaker 2: some of the formations they were running. I think they

573
00:27:33,680 --> 00:27:35,400
Speaker 2: might be starting figure out. The offensive line will only

574
00:27:35,400 --> 00:27:37,159
Speaker 2: get better, but it doesn't matter. The Falcons get no

575
00:27:37,480 --> 00:27:42,159
Speaker 2: pressure whatsoever. And for what it's worth, the Bengals defense

576
00:27:42,160 --> 00:27:44,399
Speaker 2: has been pretty good this year. I love some of

577
00:27:44,440 --> 00:27:46,720
Speaker 2: the adjustments they're making in the second half, so I'm

578
00:27:46,760 --> 00:27:48,760
Speaker 2: not afraid. I'm not as afraid of like the Falcons

579
00:27:48,760 --> 00:27:51,560
Speaker 2: sneaking in the back door here higher total, so I'm

580
00:27:51,600 --> 00:27:54,520
Speaker 2: not as worried about leg six. Here. The Bengals have

581
00:27:54,560 --> 00:27:58,040
Speaker 2: only allowed twenty seven points all season in the second half,

582
00:27:58,119 --> 00:28:00,480
Speaker 2: nine field goals in six games. It's four and a

583
00:28:00,520 --> 00:28:01,800
Speaker 2: half points. Be again, they still have don't a lot

584
00:28:01,840 --> 00:28:05,400
Speaker 2: of touchdown so yeah. And the fact even if even

585
00:28:05,440 --> 00:28:08,960
Speaker 2: if Dac Taylor his natural self he wants to come

586
00:28:09,000 --> 00:28:10,560
Speaker 2: back out and say I'm gonna run it all day

587
00:28:10,840 --> 00:28:13,840
Speaker 2: with mixing the Falcons run defense is dreadful, so that

588
00:28:13,920 --> 00:28:16,000
Speaker 2: I think will even work. So yeah, I think this

589
00:28:16,080 --> 00:28:18,200
Speaker 2: is a great spot to get since he this a look,

590
00:28:18,240 --> 00:28:20,399
Speaker 2: that line was like ten ten and a half. It's

591
00:28:20,400 --> 00:28:22,000
Speaker 2: probably what I would have made it early in the year.

592
00:28:23,160 --> 00:28:26,000
Speaker 2: I think I'm at like eight nine, So getting this

593
00:28:26,119 --> 00:28:28,760
Speaker 2: under seven because of the Falcons, you know, being six

594
00:28:28,840 --> 00:28:32,600
Speaker 2: now gets spread. Their offense has been better than many expected,

595
00:28:32,600 --> 00:28:34,560
Speaker 2: and the offense has been pretty good. But since he

596
00:28:34,600 --> 00:28:37,800
Speaker 2: should cook here and get enough stops to cover this number.

597
00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:40,360
Speaker 2: And I think this is the right time to sell

598
00:28:40,400 --> 00:28:43,000
Speaker 2: the Falcons, who have who have a lot of flukey

599
00:28:43,040 --> 00:28:43,720
Speaker 2: covers in there.

600
00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:47,200
Speaker 1: I don't like laying though that many points. That's the

601
00:28:47,200 --> 00:28:49,560
Speaker 1: way Devil's advocate. You know, I've been fading that.

602
00:28:50,000 --> 00:28:52,320
Speaker 3: I tried to fade the Falcons looking at Okay, they

603
00:28:52,320 --> 00:28:55,040
Speaker 3: don't get pressure. But the thing about the Bengals is

604
00:28:55,080 --> 00:28:57,400
Speaker 3: Joe Burrow brings on his own pressure a lot, right,

605
00:28:57,480 --> 00:28:59,920
Speaker 3: Like he's it's not about the defense with Joe Burrows.

606
00:29:00,280 --> 00:29:04,160
Speaker 3: But I do agree that this Secon, this wide receiving corps,

607
00:29:04,240 --> 00:29:07,320
Speaker 3: should have a field day against the Falcons. So it's

608
00:29:07,360 --> 00:29:10,520
Speaker 3: really gonna come down to can the Falcons shorten the

609
00:29:10,560 --> 00:29:13,880
Speaker 3: game and go on these like you know, fifteen play

610
00:29:13,960 --> 00:29:17,280
Speaker 3: drives running football? Uh? You know, if they can, it's

611
00:29:17,280 --> 00:29:20,360
Speaker 3: gonna be a long day. But uh you know, you

612
00:29:20,400 --> 00:29:22,400
Speaker 3: figure at some point they're gonna stop covering too, right,

613
00:29:22,440 --> 00:29:25,080
Speaker 3: Like that was that was half of my reasoning betting

614
00:29:25,080 --> 00:29:27,200
Speaker 3: the Bucks against It was like this Falcons, syam, like

615
00:29:27,320 --> 00:29:28,400
Speaker 3: it's got to end sometime.

616
00:29:29,360 --> 00:29:31,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, I've been I've been on the Falcons a bunch,

617
00:29:31,400 --> 00:29:34,400
Speaker 2: and every time I said, Wow, that was so lucky,

618
00:29:34,400 --> 00:29:37,600
Speaker 2: and then I like, so, I've been watching them closely

619
00:29:38,200 --> 00:29:41,080
Speaker 2: and they've been getting away with murder and get some

620
00:29:41,160 --> 00:29:44,080
Speaker 2: injury luck. And you think about the Bucks injuries. They

621
00:29:44,080 --> 00:29:46,800
Speaker 2: their whole secretary went down to forty nine ers, whole

622
00:29:46,800 --> 00:29:49,680
Speaker 2: defense was out, so you throw that in the equation

623
00:29:49,760 --> 00:29:52,640
Speaker 2: as well. Their offensive numbers are a little bit inflated,

624
00:29:53,080 --> 00:29:56,840
Speaker 2: and this total is higher, one of the higher totals

625
00:29:56,840 --> 00:29:58,760
Speaker 2: on the board this pep, which I agree with. So

626
00:29:58,960 --> 00:30:04,760
Speaker 2: I'm not as afraid as Lane six. So let's go Bengals.

627
00:30:05,400 --> 00:30:12,000
Speaker 2: The Cincinnati Bengals came roaring back all right.

628
00:30:12,040 --> 00:30:15,400
Speaker 3: For my second pick and the fourth overall of the week,

629
00:30:15,840 --> 00:30:20,000
Speaker 3: number seven Sunday six pack presented by FanDuel, I am

630
00:30:20,040 --> 00:30:23,280
Speaker 3: going with the Seattle Seahawks plus six and a half

631
00:30:23,400 --> 00:30:27,560
Speaker 3: against the Los Angeles Chargers, and I like this one

632
00:30:27,600 --> 00:30:30,840
Speaker 3: for a few reasons. First of all, I think Seattle

633
00:30:31,000 --> 00:30:34,400
Speaker 3: on offense matches up well here, which you know, the

634
00:30:34,560 --> 00:30:38,760
Speaker 3: Chargers are playing the seventh most man coverage and Seattle

635
00:30:39,080 --> 00:30:41,520
Speaker 3: ten point seven yards per target against man cover.

636
00:30:41,600 --> 00:30:44,920
Speaker 1: That's second best in the league. The Chargers.

637
00:30:45,000 --> 00:30:48,360
Speaker 3: They also aren't getting much pressure without Joey Bosa. I

638
00:30:48,400 --> 00:30:51,040
Speaker 3: know they you know, got some time we wwitzes and

639
00:30:51,360 --> 00:30:53,040
Speaker 3: on Russell Wilson, but I think that was more of

640
00:30:53,080 --> 00:30:55,200
Speaker 3: a symptom of the Broncos. They just figured out the

641
00:30:55,240 --> 00:30:59,360
Speaker 3: Broncos offense, which is not hard to do. But Gino Smith,

642
00:30:59,800 --> 00:31:01,960
Speaker 3: when he gets a clean pocket, his passer rating is

643
00:31:02,000 --> 00:31:04,240
Speaker 3: one point fifteen and even when he gets pressured, it's

644
00:31:04,240 --> 00:31:07,520
Speaker 3: still eighty nine. So he has been good across the

645
00:31:07,520 --> 00:31:09,560
Speaker 3: board really hasn't matter whether he blitz him or not.

646
00:31:09,800 --> 00:31:13,200
Speaker 3: One o six rating when not blitzed, one thirteen when blitzed.

647
00:31:13,760 --> 00:31:16,280
Speaker 3: And then you look at the you know, these receivers

648
00:31:16,320 --> 00:31:19,880
Speaker 3: can kind of hang with this Chargers offense. DK metcalf

649
00:31:20,880 --> 00:31:23,800
Speaker 3: ty of Lockett obviously, but you also got Kenneth Walker

650
00:31:24,040 --> 00:31:26,320
Speaker 3: and he's playing really well, and I think he gives

651
00:31:26,360 --> 00:31:30,880
Speaker 3: them another weapon and it introduces some volatility to this,

652
00:31:30,920 --> 00:31:33,080
Speaker 3: which is what you wanted. The dog because Kenneth Lockers

653
00:31:33,120 --> 00:31:34,520
Speaker 3: just breaking tack his weft and right like some of

654
00:31:34,520 --> 00:31:36,000
Speaker 3: thet tack because he was breaking last week.

655
00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:37,880
Speaker 1: I have no idea how he got out of them.

656
00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:39,280
Speaker 1: He just kept kept going.

657
00:31:39,320 --> 00:31:42,600
Speaker 3: And this Charger team, the Broncos, this is kind of

658
00:31:42,600 --> 00:31:44,640
Speaker 3: a symptom of how bad their offense is right now

659
00:31:44,720 --> 00:31:46,760
Speaker 3: that they couldn't run the ball against the Chargers, but

660
00:31:47,400 --> 00:31:49,480
Speaker 3: this Charger's run defense is not very good. It's still

661
00:31:49,520 --> 00:31:52,800
Speaker 3: twenty second in DVA. So I think the Seahawks are

662
00:31:52,800 --> 00:31:55,080
Speaker 3: going to have multiple ways to attack here, and I

663
00:31:55,120 --> 00:31:56,360
Speaker 3: think they could score some points.

664
00:31:56,440 --> 00:31:58,800
Speaker 1: You're also getting the Chargers obviously on short rest.

665
00:31:59,200 --> 00:32:01,280
Speaker 3: They don't really have much of a home field advantage

666
00:32:01,720 --> 00:32:03,920
Speaker 3: to begin with out there in La.

667
00:32:04,600 --> 00:32:07,600
Speaker 1: Uh you know, looking at the you know this Charger team.

668
00:32:07,640 --> 00:32:10,560
Speaker 3: Yes, they're going to get back Keenan Allen maybe probably,

669
00:32:10,600 --> 00:32:13,360
Speaker 3: but on defense, I still think there's gonna be a

670
00:32:13,400 --> 00:32:14,240
Speaker 3: lot of issues.

671
00:32:14,320 --> 00:32:14,800
Speaker 1: You know, j C.

672
00:32:15,000 --> 00:32:17,600
Speaker 3: Jackson got benched last week, but now he's going to

673
00:32:17,640 --> 00:32:19,320
Speaker 3: be back in the lineup, and I don't think that's

674
00:32:19,320 --> 00:32:22,240
Speaker 3: a good thing, you know, going against uh Lockett and Metcalf,

675
00:32:22,240 --> 00:32:25,160
Speaker 3: because Jackson's obviously hurt, like he's not He's either hurt

676
00:32:25,240 --> 00:32:28,400
Speaker 3: or he's just not good in this news like scheme

677
00:32:29,120 --> 00:32:30,880
Speaker 3: outside of New England. I don't know what it is,

678
00:32:30,920 --> 00:32:36,160
Speaker 3: but I just think, yeah, yeah, because Jones, I mean,

679
00:32:36,240 --> 00:32:38,240
Speaker 3: Jones is playing real well. I think he's a number

680
00:32:38,240 --> 00:32:41,560
Speaker 3: one greater corner as a rookie, which is crazy, but yeah,

681
00:32:41,600 --> 00:32:44,640
Speaker 3: I'm just trying to catch, uh, catch the Chargers here,

682
00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:47,680
Speaker 3: coming off the short rest with a team that's going

683
00:32:47,720 --> 00:32:50,160
Speaker 3: to put up put up some points here, and you.

684
00:32:50,080 --> 00:32:53,240
Speaker 1: Know, Charges, they really haven't been dominant.

685
00:32:53,280 --> 00:32:55,360
Speaker 3: You know, we all love their roster heading into the

686
00:32:55,360 --> 00:32:56,840
Speaker 3: season and like, yoh, this is one of the best

687
00:32:56,960 --> 00:32:59,600
Speaker 3: rosters in the league. I know that they've lost a

688
00:32:59,640 --> 00:33:02,000
Speaker 3: lot of guys to like a lot of high end

689
00:33:02,000 --> 00:33:04,040
Speaker 3: guys to injury that you know, many of them are

690
00:33:04,200 --> 00:33:05,959
Speaker 3: just still out or at less than one hundred percent.

691
00:33:06,320 --> 00:33:11,000
Speaker 1: But this Charger team, they only have one win by

692
00:33:11,120 --> 00:33:13,840
Speaker 1: more than five.

693
00:33:13,640 --> 00:33:16,280
Speaker 3: Points and that was a thirty four to twenty four

694
00:33:16,320 --> 00:33:19,560
Speaker 3: win against the Houston Texans where the Texans were right

695
00:33:19,600 --> 00:33:22,320
Speaker 3: in that game at twenty seven to twenty four. Uh,

696
00:33:22,400 --> 00:33:24,680
Speaker 3: and then you know the Chargers needed a wait, Austin

697
00:33:24,720 --> 00:33:27,960
Speaker 3: Ecker touchdown just over two minutes to go to pull

698
00:33:28,000 --> 00:33:30,479
Speaker 3: away and get the you know, the double digit win.

699
00:33:30,640 --> 00:33:34,520
Speaker 3: So I don't see this Charger team blowing the Seahawks out.

700
00:33:34,560 --> 00:33:36,800
Speaker 1: And I think the Seahawks have are a live dog here.

701
00:33:36,800 --> 00:33:37,440
Speaker 1: I think they could.

702
00:33:37,520 --> 00:33:39,160
Speaker 3: I think they could score some points in this matchup,

703
00:33:39,240 --> 00:33:41,600
Speaker 3: especially with the Chargers on short rest.

704
00:33:42,800 --> 00:33:45,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'd be a little right about the Seahawks defense,

705
00:33:45,240 --> 00:33:48,600
Speaker 2: especially they keep it on Wensley and well Pipkins is

706
00:33:48,600 --> 00:33:51,360
Speaker 2: limited to. Their offensive line is just a mess. And

707
00:33:51,400 --> 00:33:53,760
Speaker 2: then if Keenan Allen can go full, he's just really important.

708
00:33:53,760 --> 00:33:56,680
Speaker 2: It's just like a possession receiver takes the heat off

709
00:33:56,720 --> 00:33:59,960
Speaker 2: Mike Williams, and that the Seahawks defenses is really bad.

710
00:34:00,160 --> 00:34:02,920
Speaker 2: I never mind taking points against the Chargers. I every

711
00:34:02,960 --> 00:34:04,200
Speaker 2: time I watch the Chargers the game, I'll give this

712
00:34:04,280 --> 00:34:06,240
Speaker 2: to live in a simulation because every Chargers game is

713
00:34:06,280 --> 00:34:08,439
Speaker 2: the same, Like it'll be a four point game late

714
00:34:08,560 --> 00:34:11,720
Speaker 2: and someone off the ball and they'll like it. There's

715
00:34:11,760 --> 00:34:13,719
Speaker 2: just never any margin. These games are all the same.

716
00:34:13,880 --> 00:34:16,040
Speaker 2: So I don't mind taking the points here, especially with

717
00:34:16,440 --> 00:34:18,640
Speaker 2: short weekend, there's almost no home field.

718
00:34:18,640 --> 00:34:21,239
Speaker 3: As you said, Seahawks defense, it was bad, like don't

719
00:34:21,239 --> 00:34:23,719
Speaker 3: get me wrong, but I've been watching them pretty close

720
00:34:23,760 --> 00:34:26,120
Speaker 3: these last few weeks. They are starting to improve. You know,

721
00:34:26,520 --> 00:34:29,480
Speaker 3: Wooland obviously at cornerback is playing really well. I mean,

722
00:34:29,640 --> 00:34:32,120
Speaker 3: he's going to be a problem if he's not already.

723
00:34:32,200 --> 00:34:35,360
Speaker 3: And then they're starting to make some schematic changes as well,

724
00:34:35,680 --> 00:34:38,759
Speaker 3: like they're playing less base defense, they're taking Barton out

725
00:34:38,840 --> 00:34:41,560
Speaker 3: some and you know, getting getting a little more athletic

726
00:34:42,280 --> 00:34:45,120
Speaker 3: at the coverage spots, and just you know, I've seen

727
00:34:45,160 --> 00:34:47,239
Speaker 3: some things I like because this defense was, you know,

728
00:34:47,280 --> 00:34:49,600
Speaker 3: a couple of weeks ago, this defense was dead like

729
00:34:49,920 --> 00:34:54,480
Speaker 3: bottom three in the league in DVOA, and now it's

730
00:34:54,560 --> 00:34:57,280
Speaker 3: up to twenty second, and you know, watching the defense,

731
00:34:57,560 --> 00:35:00,240
Speaker 3: I see some of that improvement. So you know, I

732
00:35:00,560 --> 00:35:03,320
Speaker 3: need him not to be a you know, bottom three defense,

733
00:35:03,360 --> 00:35:05,080
Speaker 3: which I don't think they already Moore. I think they're

734
00:35:05,080 --> 00:35:09,799
Speaker 3: getting making modest improvements, so hopefully that that keeps up.

735
00:35:10,480 --> 00:35:12,480
Speaker 2: By the way, like three, the first couple of years

736
00:35:12,480 --> 00:35:14,320
Speaker 2: of this podcast, I used to yell that J. C.

737
00:35:14,480 --> 00:35:17,000
Speaker 2: Jackson was a fraud and not good, and then I

738
00:35:17,040 --> 00:35:19,680
Speaker 2: had a completely one to eighty and then rate him

739
00:35:19,719 --> 00:35:23,400
Speaker 2: really highly because his results just were insane. But whenever

740
00:35:23,440 --> 00:35:25,160
Speaker 2: I watched him, like early on, I was like, he's

741
00:35:25,200 --> 00:35:28,960
Speaker 2: getting so lucky, and Belichick obviously did something with him,

742
00:35:28,960 --> 00:35:31,759
Speaker 2: and then in that scheme where it just worked because

743
00:35:31,760 --> 00:35:33,200
Speaker 2: I always thought he was the most seat. He was

744
00:35:33,440 --> 00:35:37,120
Speaker 2: like kind of like a digs early on, and he

745
00:35:37,120 --> 00:35:39,120
Speaker 2: would get like picks and he was aggressive, but I

746
00:35:39,160 --> 00:35:40,719
Speaker 2: was like, man, this guy's holes in his game, but

747
00:35:40,800 --> 00:35:43,319
Speaker 2: he was all his results. You couldn't argue with him.

748
00:35:43,320 --> 00:35:44,239
Speaker 2: And I was like, all right, this guy's inn a

749
00:35:44,280 --> 00:35:47,880
Speaker 2: leite corner. He leaves New England, he's getspenced. This happens

750
00:35:47,880 --> 00:35:50,520
Speaker 2: a lot with these New England defensive backs once they

751
00:35:50,600 --> 00:35:54,919
Speaker 2: leave town. All right, for my third pick of the week,

752
00:35:54,960 --> 00:35:59,160
Speaker 2: seven Sunday six pack, we got a disagreement, So here's

753
00:35:59,160 --> 00:36:01,000
Speaker 2: what we're gonna do. I'll get to share my pick.

754
00:36:01,040 --> 00:36:04,399
Speaker 2: In the second Raybon likes the other side. And what

755
00:36:04,400 --> 00:36:06,439
Speaker 2: we're going to do here is I'll make my case,

756
00:36:06,520 --> 00:36:09,239
Speaker 2: Raybon will make his case. You can decide who you

757
00:36:09,880 --> 00:36:11,680
Speaker 2: want to back. All you have to do is then

758
00:36:11,760 --> 00:36:15,399
Speaker 2: go on leave a five star review on the Action

759
00:36:15,480 --> 00:36:17,719
Speaker 2: Network podcast. Just leave a five star review and then

760
00:36:17,760 --> 00:36:19,880
Speaker 2: just say who you're backing. You can either say Stock

761
00:36:20,000 --> 00:36:22,239
Speaker 2: or Raybon or the team that I'm backing or the

762
00:36:22,280 --> 00:36:24,920
Speaker 2: team that is backing. Well, if you pick the right side,

763
00:36:25,160 --> 00:36:27,440
Speaker 2: our producer will pick a winner and we'll send you

764
00:36:27,560 --> 00:36:29,399
Speaker 2: like a bunch of gear, We'll send you a free

765
00:36:29,440 --> 00:36:31,799
Speaker 2: pro subscription. So make it a little fun. And then

766
00:36:31,840 --> 00:36:35,600
Speaker 2: obviously five star REVIEWSI always help the podcast. So you know,

767
00:36:35,680 --> 00:36:36,960
Speaker 2: we never want to make a case for a bet

768
00:36:36,960 --> 00:36:40,160
Speaker 2: we don't like. And this is the fifth pick. Was

769
00:36:40,280 --> 00:36:42,719
Speaker 2: my final bet and Raybn's final bet, and this is

770
00:36:42,760 --> 00:36:45,640
Speaker 2: what we're going with. So for my third pick in

771
00:36:45,680 --> 00:36:47,799
Speaker 2: the fifth overall the Sunday sixth back, I'm going with

772
00:36:47,840 --> 00:36:51,520
Speaker 2: the Jacksonville Jaguars minus three at home against the New

773
00:36:51,600 --> 00:36:54,480
Speaker 2: York Giants. Before Raybun tells you about the Daniel Jones

774
00:36:54,560 --> 00:36:59,480
Speaker 2: road trends and how well David's been doing. Look, we

775
00:37:00,239 --> 00:37:03,279
Speaker 2: Nick Giffin, Sean Kerner. They have these luck ratings and

776
00:37:03,360 --> 00:37:05,960
Speaker 2: they're they're really good tool check them out on Actionork

777
00:37:06,000 --> 00:37:08,359
Speaker 2: dot Com. Giants obviously number one in luck on those

778
00:37:08,400 --> 00:37:11,040
Speaker 2: metrics this year. Let's go through what they've done. And

779
00:37:11,080 --> 00:37:13,640
Speaker 2: I was high this team coming in, but it's it's

780
00:37:13,760 --> 00:37:15,919
Speaker 2: gone too far. And you know, their defense has been bad.

781
00:37:16,280 --> 00:37:18,239
Speaker 2: Marnindelle has done some good things, but then in their

782
00:37:18,239 --> 00:37:21,359
Speaker 2: thirtieth and DVOA this is just the perfect Bilo cell

783
00:37:21,400 --> 00:37:24,200
Speaker 2: high spot. Like Giants off a miraculous win. I mean

784
00:37:24,239 --> 00:37:26,120
Speaker 2: like they got out they were down double digits again

785
00:37:26,160 --> 00:37:28,400
Speaker 2: in the fourth quarter, they were out gained seven to

786
00:37:28,440 --> 00:37:31,799
Speaker 2: three point nine yards per play, that's like as big

787
00:37:31,800 --> 00:37:34,359
Speaker 2: of a gap as you'll see in the NFL. Think

788
00:37:34,360 --> 00:37:36,080
Speaker 2: they're out gating four hundred and ten to two hundred

789
00:37:36,080 --> 00:37:38,239
Speaker 2: and thirty. Had no business winning that game. A couple

790
00:37:38,280 --> 00:37:41,040
Speaker 2: of fluke Gravens turnovers late and ended up winning. Let's

791
00:37:41,040 --> 00:37:43,439
Speaker 2: look at what they've done. They beat the Titans by one.

792
00:37:44,560 --> 00:37:46,960
Speaker 2: They lost at home to Cooper Rush. I mean, that's

793
00:37:47,560 --> 00:37:49,759
Speaker 2: you should get two losses for that. They beat the

794
00:37:49,760 --> 00:37:52,799
Speaker 2: Panthers at home by three. They were tied in the

795
00:37:52,800 --> 00:37:55,160
Speaker 2: fourth where they had two fifty plus yard field goals.

796
00:37:55,520 --> 00:37:57,120
Speaker 2: That looks a lot worse. They beat the Bears at

797
00:37:57,160 --> 00:37:59,640
Speaker 2: home by eight, and then they beat the Packers in London,

798
00:37:59,640 --> 00:38:02,400
Speaker 2: which again keeps looking worse and worse. They tried twenty

799
00:38:02,400 --> 00:38:04,600
Speaker 2: to ten in the fourth. They're down seventeen to nothing.

800
00:38:04,840 --> 00:38:07,640
Speaker 2: In that game, they outscored the Packers fourteen to nothing. Well,

801
00:38:07,719 --> 00:38:10,320
Speaker 2: then they took a safety in the fourth quarter. And

802
00:38:10,320 --> 00:38:12,120
Speaker 2: then last week they beat the Ravens at home by four.

803
00:38:12,200 --> 00:38:14,040
Speaker 2: They trailed twenty to ten again in the fourth, got

804
00:38:14,040 --> 00:38:17,360
Speaker 2: some fluke turners, were completely dominated statistically, so they have

805
00:38:17,440 --> 00:38:20,120
Speaker 2: five to one possession wins of the year over the Bears.

806
00:38:20,719 --> 00:38:26,800
Speaker 2: Panthers Titans, Packers, and Ravens. They were tied or trailed

807
00:38:26,840 --> 00:38:30,960
Speaker 2: in the fourth quarter in all five and the fourth quarter.

808
00:38:30,960 --> 00:38:34,200
Speaker 2: They're outscoring teams forty five to ten if you remove

809
00:38:34,239 --> 00:38:38,319
Speaker 2: the intentional safety they took, just getting every break is

810
00:38:38,320 --> 00:38:41,200
Speaker 2: going their way late in games. Daniel Jones also hasn't

811
00:38:41,239 --> 00:38:43,040
Speaker 2: thrown his pick yet, even though he started a bunch

812
00:38:43,080 --> 00:38:46,680
Speaker 2: of turnover worthy throws under pressure. And here's what the

813
00:38:46,760 --> 00:38:49,480
Speaker 2: Jags gonna do. The Jags run dye I loved this

814
00:38:49,640 --> 00:38:53,479
Speaker 2: year and they are sixth and success rate against the run.

815
00:38:54,840 --> 00:38:57,560
Speaker 2: They can shut down this Giants rushing attack. What's it

816
00:38:57,600 --> 00:38:59,880
Speaker 2: going to be from there, It's gonna be Jones under pressure.

817
00:39:00,200 --> 00:39:02,880
Speaker 2: He's under pressure on forty six percent of his dropbacks.

818
00:39:02,920 --> 00:39:05,160
Speaker 2: I think it's the third highest in the NFL. He

819
00:39:05,200 --> 00:39:06,920
Speaker 2: hasn't thrown his pick yet. He only has he two

820
00:39:06,960 --> 00:39:10,560
Speaker 2: touchdowns of no interceptions. But they're coming. And then on

821
00:39:10,560 --> 00:39:15,239
Speaker 2: the other side Jacksonville, I mean, this is this is

822
00:39:15,280 --> 00:39:17,520
Speaker 2: the time to buy them. They're coming off three straight losses.

823
00:39:18,040 --> 00:39:20,680
Speaker 2: They lost by eight and Philly in a monsoon which

824
00:39:20,680 --> 00:39:23,520
Speaker 2: they lost the turn of a battle five nothing. They

825
00:39:23,840 --> 00:39:26,759
Speaker 2: lost at home to the Texans despite one of the

826
00:39:26,800 --> 00:39:29,520
Speaker 2: most the biggest discrepancy box scores that you'll see. I

827
00:39:29,560 --> 00:39:31,480
Speaker 2: think they all gained by two hundred and fifty yards.

828
00:39:31,719 --> 00:39:34,400
Speaker 2: And then last week they have a last second loss

829
00:39:34,480 --> 00:39:38,120
Speaker 2: against Indianapolis, a brutal loss. Trevor Lawrence became the first

830
00:39:38,160 --> 00:39:42,000
Speaker 2: quarterback in NFL history to lose a game with twenty

831
00:39:42,000 --> 00:39:46,000
Speaker 2: plus pass attempts, a ninety percent plus completion percentage, three

832
00:39:46,040 --> 00:39:49,359
Speaker 2: plus touchdowns and no interceptions one hundred and three years

833
00:39:49,400 --> 00:39:53,360
Speaker 2: of football. Has never happened. Quarterback plays that well and

834
00:39:53,400 --> 00:39:55,960
Speaker 2: they lose. So yeah, I think this is the time

835
00:39:56,000 --> 00:39:58,640
Speaker 2: to buy the Jags. This Giants team is feisty, the

836
00:39:58,800 --> 00:40:02,560
Speaker 2: well coach, but teams are starting to get some film

837
00:40:02,760 --> 00:40:05,000
Speaker 2: on what the Giants want to do with their run

838
00:40:05,040 --> 00:40:07,879
Speaker 2: game with Daniel Jones. Gotta give a lot of credit

839
00:40:07,960 --> 00:40:11,359
Speaker 2: to Dable, but last week, what have they average? Two

840
00:40:11,360 --> 00:40:13,600
Speaker 2: point seven yards per carry? And the Ravens are not

841
00:40:13,760 --> 00:40:17,080
Speaker 2: a great run defense, And so yeah, I think the

842
00:40:17,200 --> 00:40:20,480
Speaker 2: Jags will be ready here. For three straight losses, Giants

843
00:40:20,520 --> 00:40:23,600
Speaker 2: have been arguably the luckiest team in the NFL. I

844
00:40:23,600 --> 00:40:26,719
Speaker 2: think the luck cruns out here. Taking the Jags minus three.

845
00:40:27,000 --> 00:40:31,240
Speaker 2: We can't see there ain't.

846
00:40:31,040 --> 00:40:37,160
Speaker 1: No good guy ver Ain't no bad guy, only you

847
00:40:37,440 --> 00:40:40,240
Speaker 1: and me, and we just disagreed.

848
00:40:47,120 --> 00:40:51,000
Speaker 3: So for my third and final pick of the Sunday

849
00:40:51,000 --> 00:40:53,680
Speaker 3: six pack, with sixth overall, I'm going with the New

850
00:40:53,760 --> 00:40:59,400
Speaker 3: York Giants plus three at the Jacksonville Jaguars. And obviously

851
00:40:59,440 --> 00:41:02,759
Speaker 3: the Giants have been lucky, but the point is you're

852
00:41:02,760 --> 00:41:06,319
Speaker 3: trying to get a team getting points here, like we're

853
00:41:06,320 --> 00:41:08,560
Speaker 3: going to fade the Giants at some point, but why

854
00:41:08,600 --> 00:41:11,080
Speaker 3: not fade them when they're actually a favorite instead of

855
00:41:11,120 --> 00:41:15,200
Speaker 3: against the Jags team that listen. Point taking about the

856
00:41:15,200 --> 00:41:17,359
Speaker 3: Colts and what they did last week, But I don't

857
00:41:17,360 --> 00:41:20,440
Speaker 3: think you realize. I don't think people really last week.

858
00:41:21,800 --> 00:41:22,240
Speaker 2: The Jags.

859
00:41:22,920 --> 00:41:23,240
Speaker 1: Listen.

860
00:41:23,719 --> 00:41:28,680
Speaker 4: I like the Dragons, the Jags against the Colts this year,

861
00:41:29,000 --> 00:41:33,399
Speaker 4: I think the Jaguars playing the Coats has distorted their view,

862
00:41:33,560 --> 00:41:37,240
Speaker 4: their perception in the market, and it's actually creating value

863
00:41:37,280 --> 00:41:37,960
Speaker 4: on the Giants.

864
00:41:38,000 --> 00:41:40,880
Speaker 3: Even though I do agree the Giants have been lucky.

865
00:41:41,120 --> 00:41:44,839
Speaker 3: Absolutely they shouldn't be five and one. I agree, but

866
00:41:45,120 --> 00:41:47,200
Speaker 3: that doesn't matter for this game. All that matters is

867
00:41:47,239 --> 00:41:49,840
Speaker 3: who has the upper hand. And here's why I like

868
00:41:49,880 --> 00:41:53,120
Speaker 3: the Giants in this game. And I think that the

869
00:41:53,120 --> 00:41:56,680
Speaker 3: Coats playing the coach twice has kind of really warped

870
00:41:56,719 --> 00:41:59,759
Speaker 3: everything because the Giants thirteen, we know what they're going

871
00:41:59,800 --> 00:42:03,400
Speaker 3: to do on defense under Wing Martindale. They play man

872
00:42:03,440 --> 00:42:06,560
Speaker 3: coverage at the third highest rate in the league. They're

873
00:42:06,560 --> 00:42:09,120
Speaker 3: gonna bring a lot of pressure as well.

874
00:42:09,160 --> 00:42:15,080
Speaker 1: But Jacksonville Jaguars against man coverage thirtieth in yards per

875
00:42:15,160 --> 00:42:18,600
Speaker 1: tempt at four point nine and thirty first in yards

876
00:42:18,600 --> 00:42:22,399
Speaker 1: for completion at seven point five. Now why is this significant?

877
00:42:22,880 --> 00:42:25,560
Speaker 3: Because when you look at the Jaguars and what they

878
00:42:25,719 --> 00:42:30,879
Speaker 3: when they've had success, it's been almost all against zone.

879
00:42:30,920 --> 00:42:33,759
Speaker 3: The people are playing zone against the Jaguars at the

880
00:42:33,800 --> 00:42:34,799
Speaker 3: second highest.

881
00:42:34,560 --> 00:42:35,960
Speaker 1: Rate in the league.

882
00:42:35,960 --> 00:42:36,680
Speaker 2: And why is that?

883
00:42:37,000 --> 00:42:39,600
Speaker 1: Because they've played the Colts twice. The Coats played.

884
00:42:39,440 --> 00:42:41,960
Speaker 3: Zone more than pretty much any team in the league.

885
00:42:42,280 --> 00:42:45,680
Speaker 3: I don't they didn't play a single snap of man

886
00:42:45,719 --> 00:42:49,360
Speaker 3: coverage the last game against the Jaguars. So this is

887
00:42:49,520 --> 00:42:53,359
Speaker 3: gonna be a complete shock to the system. And we're

888
00:42:53,360 --> 00:42:56,560
Speaker 3: looking at, you know, the Jaguars season long numbers, and yeah,

889
00:42:56,600 --> 00:42:59,480
Speaker 3: they were good, but they played this Colt zone defense

890
00:42:59,560 --> 00:43:03,480
Speaker 3: that they just match up perfectly with, and they haven't

891
00:43:03,520 --> 00:43:06,160
Speaker 3: played any of the type of defenses really that they

892
00:43:06,200 --> 00:43:06,799
Speaker 3: match up poorly.

893
00:43:06,960 --> 00:43:10,200
Speaker 1: They also played Houston. What does Houston do? Plays all

894
00:43:10,320 --> 00:43:13,200
Speaker 1: pretty much all zone? Philadelphia we know they love to

895
00:43:13,200 --> 00:43:14,719
Speaker 1: play zone. Well, it's like.

896
00:43:14,920 --> 00:43:18,719
Speaker 3: Across the board we see this Jags team outside of Washington,

897
00:43:18,880 --> 00:43:21,440
Speaker 3: who we kind of like cat scratching, like, how did

898
00:43:21,719 --> 00:43:25,120
Speaker 3: jackson Ville loose to Washington? Well, Washington actually plays man coverage,

899
00:43:25,400 --> 00:43:27,319
Speaker 3: not that they play it well, but they play it.

900
00:43:27,480 --> 00:43:30,520
Speaker 3: So Trevor Lawrence in two games against the Coats has gone.

901
00:43:30,560 --> 00:43:33,160
Speaker 2: Forty five of fifty two.

902
00:43:33,640 --> 00:43:36,600
Speaker 3: He's he's been completed seven passes and fifty two attempts

903
00:43:36,719 --> 00:43:37,359
Speaker 3: against the Coats.

904
00:43:37,400 --> 00:43:40,279
Speaker 1: Against everyone else, he's eighty eight of one fifty one.

905
00:43:40,680 --> 00:43:45,240
Speaker 3: You know, it's normal, you know, kind of below average,

906
00:43:45,560 --> 00:43:49,239
Speaker 3: inefficient Trevor Lawrence. Even with those two games against the

907
00:43:49,280 --> 00:43:51,680
Speaker 3: Coats and completing forty five to fifty two passes, he's

908
00:43:51,680 --> 00:43:54,680
Speaker 3: still under seven yards in the temp. So I think

909
00:43:54,920 --> 00:43:58,320
Speaker 3: that the Giants coaching in this matchup and their scheme

910
00:43:58,840 --> 00:44:02,440
Speaker 3: is actually gonna make all of the difference because this

911
00:44:02,640 --> 00:44:05,520
Speaker 3: Jags offense to me, is very overrated, and you look

912
00:44:05,520 --> 00:44:09,239
Speaker 3: at their receivers and the only guy that's really been

913
00:44:09,280 --> 00:44:13,200
Speaker 3: good against man coverage well too, Jamal Agnoing a very

914
00:44:13,200 --> 00:44:16,600
Speaker 3: small sample, but he's injured, and then Zay Jones. But

915
00:44:17,080 --> 00:44:19,840
Speaker 3: the Giants can they can usually take away one receiver.

916
00:44:19,920 --> 00:44:23,919
Speaker 3: Christian Kirk has not been good against man covered at all.

917
00:44:24,200 --> 00:44:27,239
Speaker 3: This Jags team against the Texans, they scored six points. Now,

918
00:44:27,239 --> 00:44:28,280
Speaker 3: they should have had more points.

919
00:44:28,320 --> 00:44:29,160
Speaker 1: You say, yeah, they.

920
00:44:29,040 --> 00:44:31,520
Speaker 3: Got unlucky there, but it's also because they're just not

921
00:44:31,719 --> 00:44:34,360
Speaker 3: that great on offense. They're just not there yet, and

922
00:44:34,400 --> 00:44:37,560
Speaker 3: they struggle against certain coverages. And this Giants team is

923
00:44:37,560 --> 00:44:39,640
Speaker 3: gonna be able to do something that I think they

924
00:44:39,680 --> 00:44:42,960
Speaker 3: just haven't seen up until this point with this volume.

925
00:44:43,040 --> 00:44:45,200
Speaker 3: So I think it's gonna be a low scoring game.

926
00:44:45,280 --> 00:44:47,000
Speaker 3: If you take what I said and you want to

927
00:44:47,040 --> 00:44:49,200
Speaker 3: play the under because of it, you don't feel comfortable

928
00:44:49,200 --> 00:44:52,440
Speaker 3: with the Giants, be my guest, but you know, I

929
00:44:52,440 --> 00:44:54,440
Speaker 3: think the Giants get it done here. This is the

930
00:44:54,520 --> 00:44:57,000
Speaker 3: exact kind of team you want to keep taking points with. Now,

931
00:44:57,040 --> 00:44:59,120
Speaker 3: if they were like a three point favorite, if it

932
00:44:59,160 --> 00:45:01,200
Speaker 3: was reversed, or like, let's say, you know, maybe they

933
00:45:01,239 --> 00:45:03,200
Speaker 3: win war convincingly in one of these games, and like,

934
00:45:03,360 --> 00:45:05,960
Speaker 3: you know, it's Giants, you know, it's a pick them

935
00:45:06,000 --> 00:45:07,320
Speaker 3: or something that's a little different.

936
00:45:07,480 --> 00:45:09,040
Speaker 1: But we're getting a field goal here.

937
00:45:09,800 --> 00:45:12,160
Speaker 3: You know, do you really think Jacksonville is going to

938
00:45:12,200 --> 00:45:13,920
Speaker 3: beat them by more than a field goal when they

939
00:45:13,920 --> 00:45:16,800
Speaker 3: struggle against the exact kind of scheme that the Giants

940
00:45:16,880 --> 00:45:17,760
Speaker 3: run on defense.

941
00:45:18,000 --> 00:45:21,920
Speaker 1: I don't personally think so. And I mean, it doesn't hurt.

942
00:45:21,800 --> 00:45:24,319
Speaker 3: That Daniel Jones is twelve and four as a road

943
00:45:24,360 --> 00:45:28,280
Speaker 3: underdog against the spread, including a perfect ten to zero

944
00:45:28,320 --> 00:45:30,360
Speaker 3: against the spread when the number is seven and a

945
00:45:30,400 --> 00:45:31,040
Speaker 3: half or less.

946
00:45:31,280 --> 00:45:32,680
Speaker 1: I don't even really think that applies.

947
00:45:32,719 --> 00:45:32,959
Speaker 2: Point.

948
00:45:33,160 --> 00:45:35,640
Speaker 3: This Giant scheme is going to make all the difference

949
00:45:35,640 --> 00:45:37,000
Speaker 3: against this Jags offense.

950
00:45:37,480 --> 00:45:39,759
Speaker 2: I actually disagree because of the coverages. If you dig

951
00:45:39,800 --> 00:45:42,640
Speaker 2: a little deeper, yeah, the yards per play against man

952
00:45:42,800 --> 00:45:46,240
Speaker 2: hasn't been great. But the biggest defense that they struggled

953
00:45:46,280 --> 00:45:48,400
Speaker 2: with all year, and this is what the Texans ran

954
00:45:48,480 --> 00:45:50,760
Speaker 2: the entire game when they held them the six points.

955
00:45:51,080 --> 00:45:52,880
Speaker 2: And this is what Lawrence really struggled with in this

956
00:45:52,920 --> 00:45:56,840
Speaker 2: first ever game. It's cover two. They and the Giants

957
00:45:56,880 --> 00:45:58,759
Speaker 2: run zero, Cover two, they run man, and then some

958
00:45:58,920 --> 00:46:03,920
Speaker 2: cover three. Trevor Lawrence against Cover two this year fifty

959
00:46:04,040 --> 00:46:08,760
Speaker 2: percent on target rate against all their defense eighty two percent.

960
00:46:09,320 --> 00:46:12,160
Speaker 2: So he is in this bucket of quarterbacks that are

961
00:46:12,200 --> 00:46:16,160
Speaker 2: struggling with the two high safety cover two defense and

962
00:46:16,200 --> 00:46:18,600
Speaker 2: the Giants run none of it.

963
00:46:19,160 --> 00:46:21,359
Speaker 1: We will we shall, we shall see leave a.

964
00:46:21,280 --> 00:46:22,960
Speaker 2: Review five star view and just go to year about

965
00:46:22,960 --> 00:46:25,560
Speaker 2: who you're siding with? Now it's gonna end three.

966
00:46:25,719 --> 00:46:27,480
Speaker 1: I know we'll both of you that that would be

967
00:46:27,760 --> 00:46:30,319
Speaker 1: just swimming. Who do we get?

968
00:46:30,360 --> 00:46:30,400
Speaker 2: So?

969
00:46:30,400 --> 00:46:32,120
Speaker 1: Who do we got a quarterback this week? Let's see

970
00:46:32,160 --> 00:46:33,520
Speaker 1: we got some.

971
00:46:33,680 --> 00:46:40,240
Speaker 3: Joe Burrow, so Gino Smith, Heineke, maybe Bret Rippon, Trevor

972
00:46:40,280 --> 00:46:41,640
Speaker 3: Lawrence and Daniel.

973
00:46:41,360 --> 00:46:43,920
Speaker 2: Joel back to roots?

974
00:46:48,880 --> 00:46:49,239
Speaker 1: All right?

975
00:46:49,640 --> 00:46:53,680
Speaker 3: So yeah, Stucky has Cincinnati minus six, Denver minus one,

976
00:46:53,800 --> 00:46:56,640
Speaker 3: and the Jags minus three. I have Washington plus five

977
00:46:56,680 --> 00:46:59,040
Speaker 3: and a half, Seattle plus six and a half, and

978
00:46:59,360 --> 00:47:02,520
Speaker 3: the New York Giants plus three. That is gonna do

979
00:47:02,600 --> 00:47:06,840
Speaker 3: it for the week seven Sunday six Pack presented by FanDuel.

980
00:47:07,520 --> 00:47:11,840
Speaker 1: Now it is time for the coaches pep Talk. There's

981
00:47:11,880 --> 00:47:14,319
Speaker 1: not one of you, not one of you that's learned

982
00:47:14,440 --> 00:47:14,839
Speaker 1: how to win.

983
00:47:15,480 --> 00:47:17,800
Speaker 3: This week's coach is pep talk is an actual coaches

984
00:47:17,840 --> 00:47:21,200
Speaker 3: pep talk. It comes to us from college football coach PJ. Fleck,

985
00:47:21,719 --> 00:47:23,399
Speaker 3: who dedicating it to stuff.

986
00:47:23,440 --> 00:47:26,160
Speaker 2: Pleck sometimes reminds me of Dan Campbell. The speech just

987
00:47:26,200 --> 00:47:29,000
Speaker 2: kind of sounds like Dan Campbell. Dan Campbell's coming off

988
00:47:28,960 --> 00:47:30,520
Speaker 2: of a buy here. We'll talk about this game later.

989
00:47:31,440 --> 00:47:33,799
Speaker 2: It's time to start blazing some trails again and get

990
00:47:33,840 --> 00:47:37,400
Speaker 2: back to your covering ways. Off two straight non covers.

991
00:47:38,160 --> 00:47:40,960
Speaker 2: Fire the boys up, get out there, bite some knee caps,

992
00:47:41,800 --> 00:47:45,759
Speaker 2: and lay some trails. Mister Campbell, you know have they

993
00:47:45,800 --> 00:47:46,680
Speaker 2: haven't met about you.

994
00:47:47,080 --> 00:47:49,560
Speaker 5: They haven't met your heart, they haven't met your spirit,

995
00:47:50,080 --> 00:47:52,719
Speaker 5: they haven't met your soul. If they gave me one

996
00:47:52,760 --> 00:47:54,719
Speaker 5: word to describe you right now, man, that it would

997
00:47:54,719 --> 00:47:55,680
Speaker 5: be a trailblazer.

998
00:47:56,000 --> 00:47:57,120
Speaker 2: You know what trailblazers do.

999
00:47:57,680 --> 00:48:01,560
Speaker 5: They blaze trails for other people to be comingly. You

1000
00:48:01,680 --> 00:48:05,320
Speaker 5: have blazed trails for others who thought this was never possible.

1001
00:48:06,160 --> 00:48:10,400
Speaker 3: All right, let's jump into our favorite total of the week.

1002
00:48:11,080 --> 00:48:13,319
Speaker 1: All right, you started us off with six packs.

1003
00:48:13,360 --> 00:48:18,800
Speaker 3: I'll go with my total first, and my favorite total

1004
00:48:18,840 --> 00:48:25,040
Speaker 3: for week number seven is the Jets Broncos under thirty

1005
00:48:25,040 --> 00:48:26,880
Speaker 3: eight and a half Denver.

1006
00:48:28,239 --> 00:48:31,040
Speaker 1: We know what this team's does, and it's play defense.

1007
00:48:31,520 --> 00:48:34,399
Speaker 3: They're allowing just sixteen and a half points per game,

1008
00:48:35,560 --> 00:48:38,960
Speaker 3: but they're averaging just fifteen point two, so combined total

1009
00:48:39,360 --> 00:48:42,560
Speaker 3: just under thirty two points. See, you got about a

1010
00:48:42,600 --> 00:48:45,360
Speaker 3: touchdown a cushion just based on their previous stample size.

1011
00:48:45,960 --> 00:48:49,200
Speaker 3: And then you know, as you mentioned this Jets offense,

1012
00:48:49,880 --> 00:48:53,359
Speaker 3: Zach Wilson's kryptonite is still going to be pressure. And

1013
00:48:53,840 --> 00:48:56,520
Speaker 3: you know, even without Randy Gregory, this Broncos team is

1014
00:48:56,520 --> 00:48:58,440
Speaker 3: still going to be able to get pressure. You know,

1015
00:48:58,560 --> 00:49:01,120
Speaker 3: Browning's playing well. You know, still got Bradley Chubb coming

1016
00:49:01,160 --> 00:49:03,880
Speaker 3: off the edge. So Jack Wilson's passer rating goes to

1017
00:49:04,000 --> 00:49:08,080
Speaker 3: three three when under pressure, it's one hundred and eleven.

1018
00:49:08,600 --> 00:49:12,880
Speaker 3: When he's clean, it's three under pressure. So this is

1019
00:49:12,920 --> 00:49:15,040
Speaker 3: gonna be an ugly game from this Jets offense. And

1020
00:49:15,640 --> 00:49:17,800
Speaker 3: I think this Jets defense is finally starting to improve

1021
00:49:17,840 --> 00:49:19,160
Speaker 3: and you know, leverage some of.

1022
00:49:19,160 --> 00:49:20,399
Speaker 1: That talent that they got.

1023
00:49:20,440 --> 00:49:23,440
Speaker 3: You know, they are in the top five in pressure

1024
00:49:23,480 --> 00:49:25,239
Speaker 3: rate and they're blitzing at a bottom five rate, so

1025
00:49:25,239 --> 00:49:28,440
Speaker 3: they're able to rush for and get home. Quinn Williams

1026
00:49:28,440 --> 00:49:31,160
Speaker 3: is playing really well, and you know the corners on

1027
00:49:31,200 --> 00:49:35,640
Speaker 3: the outside are playing well in Sauce Gardner and DJ Reid.

1028
00:49:35,800 --> 00:49:39,399
Speaker 3: So you know the Broncos they're skilled players. At least

1029
00:49:39,400 --> 00:49:41,360
Speaker 3: a receiver are pretty good. But now you have these

1030
00:49:41,400 --> 00:49:44,719
Speaker 3: two Jets corners that are, you know, excellent, So I

1031
00:49:44,760 --> 00:49:47,520
Speaker 3: don't think that's gonna be a lot of offense for

1032
00:49:47,600 --> 00:49:48,360
Speaker 3: Denver doing that.

1033
00:49:49,000 --> 00:49:50,960
Speaker 1: And uh, yeah, you know.

1034
00:49:50,920 --> 00:49:54,000
Speaker 3: We've seen what happens if you know Russell Wilson's under pressure,

1035
00:49:54,280 --> 00:49:56,400
Speaker 3: it's it's not gonna be pretty and ripping.

1036
00:49:56,719 --> 00:49:57,520
Speaker 1: It's the same deal.

1037
00:49:57,520 --> 00:50:00,160
Speaker 3: We don't have a large sample on him, but in

1038
00:50:00,200 --> 00:50:02,359
Speaker 3: twenty twenty he did play some had a ninety eight

1039
00:50:02,440 --> 00:50:05,440
Speaker 3: rating when clean what you usually expect, and his passer

1040
00:50:05,520 --> 00:50:09,440
Speaker 3: rating got to twenty seven went under pressure. So I

1041
00:50:09,480 --> 00:50:11,879
Speaker 3: think this is going to be an ugly game that

1042
00:50:12,000 --> 00:50:15,239
Speaker 3: you know it's in Denver, So I don't expect the

1043
00:50:15,320 --> 00:50:18,200
Speaker 3: Jets to have much offensive success. And yeah, they did

1044
00:50:18,200 --> 00:50:21,120
Speaker 3: score what they had a bunch of special teams plays

1045
00:50:21,160 --> 00:50:24,560
Speaker 3: that led to points for him last week, and it

1046
00:50:24,640 --> 00:50:27,520
Speaker 3: was still a twenty seven to ten game, thirty seven

1047
00:50:27,520 --> 00:50:31,000
Speaker 3: total points against the Packers. And this Denver offense is

1048
00:50:31,040 --> 00:50:33,440
Speaker 3: not even as good as the Packers.

1049
00:50:33,880 --> 00:50:34,680
Speaker 1: Offense right now.

1050
00:50:34,719 --> 00:50:37,400
Speaker 3: So give me the under thirty eight and a half

1051
00:50:37,520 --> 00:50:40,440
Speaker 3: for Jets Broncos. Ugly, ugly game, I'll expected.

1052
00:50:41,360 --> 00:50:45,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna go with the Bucks Panthers under forty

1053
00:50:45,200 --> 00:50:47,480
Speaker 2: and a half. There's something wrong with the Bucks offense

1054
00:50:47,560 --> 00:50:49,040
Speaker 2: right now. The one they can't run the ball if

1055
00:50:49,040 --> 00:50:51,160
Speaker 2: it's a lone as it playing well, There's just not

1056
00:50:51,200 --> 00:50:53,359
Speaker 2: a lot of continuity. You know, Brady missed a lot

1057
00:50:53,400 --> 00:50:56,120
Speaker 2: of time in camp and then he's like going to

1058
00:50:56,200 --> 00:50:59,600
Speaker 2: craft parties on Friday nights and flying by himself. And

1059
00:51:00,040 --> 00:51:01,759
Speaker 2: the receivers have been in and out. There's just no

1060
00:51:01,840 --> 00:51:04,480
Speaker 2: rhythm to this offense. I mean, they couldn't score against

1061
00:51:04,520 --> 00:51:09,880
Speaker 2: the Steelers practice squad last week, pretty embarrassing. The Panthers

1062
00:51:09,960 --> 00:51:14,040
Speaker 2: defense has been slightly above average overall, and they'll compete

1063
00:51:14,080 --> 00:51:16,759
Speaker 2: in Tampa's defense still a top ten unit. And then

1064
00:51:16,800 --> 00:51:18,400
Speaker 2: you have the Panthers' offense, which is the worst in

1065
00:51:18,440 --> 00:51:20,960
Speaker 2: the league. And you know, if you look at EPA

1066
00:51:21,440 --> 00:51:24,279
Speaker 2: per play, but Panthers are thirty second by far, our

1067
00:51:24,440 --> 00:51:27,480
Speaker 2: worst offense in league. And they even dowgraded a quarterback.

1068
00:51:27,480 --> 00:51:30,440
Speaker 2: But Baker Brayfield to PJ. Walker is a down grade.

1069
00:51:30,520 --> 00:51:34,279
Speaker 2: And the Bucks are seventeenth EPA per play. This is

1070
00:51:34,320 --> 00:51:39,040
Speaker 2: not a great offense right now. Divisional game outdoors, I

1071
00:51:39,040 --> 00:51:41,000
Speaker 2: know it's a low total with Brady, I think this

1072
00:51:41,080 --> 00:51:44,480
Speaker 2: is the lowest in his career outside of Buffalo with Wind.

1073
00:51:45,120 --> 00:51:47,640
Speaker 2: Panthers do have some quarterback injuries, but based on what

1074
00:51:47,680 --> 00:51:51,400
Speaker 2: Wilke said today, it does look like they will all play,

1075
00:51:51,600 --> 00:51:53,600
Speaker 2: which is good news because their defense was competing against

1076
00:51:53,600 --> 00:51:56,360
Speaker 2: the Rams last week and then all their corners. You

1077
00:51:56,880 --> 00:52:00,000
Speaker 2: already had j C. Horn now, and then Dante Jacks

1078
00:52:00,239 --> 00:52:02,719
Speaker 2: got hurt, and then you had a fourth and fifth

1079
00:52:02,719 --> 00:52:04,920
Speaker 2: string corners in there, and then the Rams offense started

1080
00:52:04,960 --> 00:52:07,120
Speaker 2: moving it. But it looks like all their corners are

1081
00:52:07,160 --> 00:52:09,719
Speaker 2: at least trending in the right direction this week, which

1082
00:52:09,760 --> 00:52:14,200
Speaker 2: is good. And the Panthers offense like all it is McCaffrey,

1083
00:52:14,800 --> 00:52:17,120
Speaker 2: that's not good news Against the Bucks. The Bucks have

1084
00:52:17,200 --> 00:52:18,520
Speaker 2: a great run dy and then the best in the

1085
00:52:18,560 --> 00:52:21,560
Speaker 2: league at covering backs once again, and there's a reason

1086
00:52:21,680 --> 00:52:26,400
Speaker 2: McCaffrey and seven starts against the Bucks has done absolutely nothing.

1087
00:52:26,600 --> 00:52:29,040
Speaker 2: Fifty rush yards per game, had a three and a

1088
00:52:29,080 --> 00:52:33,600
Speaker 2: half yards per carry clip and thirty seven reception yards

1089
00:52:33,600 --> 00:52:36,600
Speaker 2: per game, right around eighty five yards per game against

1090
00:52:36,600 --> 00:52:39,279
Speaker 2: the Bucks his career average and non Bucks games he's

1091
00:52:39,280 --> 00:52:43,560
Speaker 2: around one hundred and thirty. So they they match up well,

1092
00:52:43,640 --> 00:52:46,320
Speaker 2: running backs, whether it's running the ball or catching the ball.

1093
00:52:46,719 --> 00:52:50,719
Speaker 2: And if you could take away McCaffrey from this this offense,

1094
00:52:51,480 --> 00:52:58,440
Speaker 2: it's pretty scary. So yeah, this is like twenty I

1095
00:52:58,600 --> 00:53:00,600
Speaker 2: lean Bucks too. I just can't try right now, and

1096
00:53:00,640 --> 00:53:02,040
Speaker 2: I can't lay this big of a number. But this

1097
00:53:02,040 --> 00:53:05,759
Speaker 2: feels like like, let's call it twenty four to ten,

1098
00:53:06,280 --> 00:53:08,640
Speaker 2: twenty seven to ten at the most. I wouldn't be

1099
00:53:08,640 --> 00:53:12,600
Speaker 2: shocked that the Panthers get shut out, honestly, Yeah, don't mind, pants,

1100
00:53:12,600 --> 00:53:15,359
Speaker 2: don't mind. The Panthers win the team total under This

1101
00:53:15,400 --> 00:53:18,040
Speaker 2: reminds me of like the Falcons game, Angry Bucks because

1102
00:53:18,080 --> 00:53:21,120
Speaker 2: divisional opponent. Now the Falcons all their secondary got hurt.

1103
00:53:22,360 --> 00:53:25,279
Speaker 2: But you know the Falcons offense saw a lot better

1104
00:53:25,320 --> 00:53:27,000
Speaker 2: than the Panthers, and you know that was twenty one

1105
00:53:27,040 --> 00:53:28,719
Speaker 2: nothing at the half. I could see a similar thing.

1106
00:53:29,840 --> 00:53:33,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, the Christian McCaffrey last week.

1107
00:53:33,160 --> 00:53:39,920
Speaker 3: Had eighty nine of the one hundred and nineteen passing

1108
00:53:40,000 --> 00:53:46,400
Speaker 3: yards for the Carolina Panthers. Now, the Bucks defense is

1109
00:53:46,520 --> 00:53:48,560
Speaker 3: number two in DVOA against running backs.

1110
00:53:48,680 --> 00:53:50,960
Speaker 1: But get this schedule adjust for a year the number

1111
00:53:51,000 --> 00:53:53,600
Speaker 1: one or two schedule adjusted receiving yards per game.

1112
00:53:53,640 --> 00:53:57,000
Speaker 3: So the league average for running back yards allowed or

1113
00:53:57,080 --> 00:53:59,520
Speaker 3: running back yards in the passing game is thirty five

1114
00:53:59,560 --> 00:54:04,160
Speaker 3: and a half game. The Bucks allow schedule adjusted twelve

1115
00:54:04,239 --> 00:54:08,320
Speaker 3: point three. That is number one in the league by

1116
00:54:08,480 --> 00:54:13,480
Speaker 3: full seven point two yards per Football Outsiders over the

1117
00:54:13,560 --> 00:54:17,719
Speaker 3: number two team, which is the New Orleans Saints. So

1118
00:54:18,600 --> 00:54:22,160
Speaker 3: like this, Yeah, it's a nightmare matchup for McCaffrey on paper,

1119
00:54:22,280 --> 00:54:25,319
Speaker 3: and as you mentioned, it's played out like that in

1120
00:54:25,760 --> 00:54:28,680
Speaker 3: you know, in reality as well. And we have a

1121
00:54:28,719 --> 00:54:31,840
Speaker 3: similar opponent to look back on in terms of the

1122
00:54:31,840 --> 00:54:36,399
Speaker 3: receiving usage and that Saints team. McCaffrey, he played him

1123
00:54:36,440 --> 00:54:40,560
Speaker 3: in Week three, four targets, two catches, seven yards, so

1124
00:54:41,320 --> 00:54:43,800
Speaker 3: you know, he's getting eighty nine of the one hundred

1125
00:54:43,800 --> 00:54:46,800
Speaker 3: and ninety passing yards. They're not gonna have an answer

1126
00:54:47,960 --> 00:54:49,440
Speaker 3: if he's getting seven yards. He did run for one

1127
00:54:49,480 --> 00:54:51,439
Speaker 3: hundred yards in that game against New Orleans. The total

1128
00:54:51,520 --> 00:54:53,880
Speaker 3: ended up with thirty six, So either way, yeah, I

1129
00:54:53,960 --> 00:54:56,640
Speaker 3: like it all right. So that's gonna wrap it for

1130
00:54:56,719 --> 00:55:01,200
Speaker 3: a favorite total. Stuck is going Panthers Bucks under forty

1131
00:55:01,239 --> 00:55:03,520
Speaker 3: and a half. I'm going Broncos Jets under thirty eight

1132
00:55:03,760 --> 00:55:08,480
Speaker 3: and a half. Now it's time for our favorite teazer.

1133
00:55:08,239 --> 00:55:08,720
Speaker 1: Of the week.

1134
00:55:09,760 --> 00:55:16,000
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, six point teasers.

1135
00:55:14,360 --> 00:55:19,359
Speaker 5: Don't change, don't tease me.

1136
00:55:20,120 --> 00:55:26,600
Speaker 1: Try to please. Stucky has a lot of great content

1137
00:55:27,360 --> 00:55:28,000
Speaker 1: on teasers.

1138
00:55:28,000 --> 00:55:30,360
Speaker 3: He just dropped some some new content as well, so

1139
00:55:30,440 --> 00:55:33,120
Speaker 3: be sure to check it out. Just just google Stucky teasers.

1140
00:55:33,560 --> 00:55:35,479
Speaker 3: He talks about which key numbers you want to get through,

1141
00:55:35,840 --> 00:55:36,960
Speaker 3: I know all that good stuff.

1142
00:55:37,760 --> 00:55:38,879
Speaker 1: So yeah, where are you going?

1143
00:55:39,560 --> 00:55:41,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, ideally you want to tease through three and seven

1144
00:55:42,480 --> 00:55:46,160
Speaker 2: underdog up from you know, around two to three through three,

1145
00:55:46,280 --> 00:55:49,399
Speaker 2: seven and favorite it's you know around a touchdown, down

1146
00:55:49,400 --> 00:55:51,799
Speaker 2: below touchdown and a field goal. That's what I'm doing here.

1147
00:55:51,840 --> 00:55:54,359
Speaker 2: I'm gonna tease this the Dolphins on Sunday night, down

1148
00:55:54,480 --> 00:55:56,640
Speaker 2: from seven and a half to one and a half,

1149
00:55:56,960 --> 00:56:00,239
Speaker 2: tow it back, Steelers defense, a lot of injury. He's

1150
00:56:00,680 --> 00:56:03,000
Speaker 2: this is not a raw rock spot man. We make

1151
00:56:03,000 --> 00:56:06,479
Speaker 2: the simple complex in this business, don't. We likely see

1152
00:56:06,520 --> 00:56:09,320
Speaker 2: Mitch Trubisky, who I think is a significant downgrade from

1153
00:56:09,600 --> 00:56:12,600
Speaker 2: Kenny Pickett. Kenny pickets are great against the Blitz too,

1154
00:56:12,920 --> 00:56:15,120
Speaker 2: which matters against the Dolphins, But I doubt you see

1155
00:56:15,160 --> 00:56:17,640
Speaker 2: him here. You probably see Trubisky. Series are so really

1156
00:56:17,640 --> 00:56:22,480
Speaker 2: bad football team, Dolphins, big time bounce back spot here.

1157
00:56:23,360 --> 00:56:26,280
Speaker 2: U love them and love this matchup for their offense,

1158
00:56:26,640 --> 00:56:28,439
Speaker 2: and I'll tease them down. And they're going to tease

1159
00:56:28,480 --> 00:56:31,960
Speaker 2: the Colts up this Titans team. If I can get three,

1160
00:56:32,000 --> 00:56:34,480
Speaker 2: I'm taking the Colts. That the Colts almost made my

1161
00:56:34,520 --> 00:56:36,480
Speaker 2: six pack. I mean the Cults are closed minus four

1162
00:56:36,520 --> 00:56:38,160
Speaker 2: at home a couple of weeks ago against the type.

1163
00:56:38,239 --> 00:56:40,399
Speaker 2: Now they're catching two and a half. It's Titans seem yes,

1164
00:56:40,400 --> 00:56:42,640
Speaker 2: they're coming off of buy let me get my weekly

1165
00:56:42,680 --> 00:56:45,640
Speaker 2: Titan slander and they buy last week. I have people

1166
00:56:45,640 --> 00:56:47,719
Speaker 2: who follow me. They're there. They changed their names to

1167
00:56:48,280 --> 00:56:51,200
Speaker 2: Titans owned Stucky. Yeah, for two weeks they did. But

1168
00:56:51,200 --> 00:56:53,279
Speaker 2: I would take them any time. Like that Washington game.

1169
00:56:53,320 --> 00:56:55,279
Speaker 2: Washington got dominated by the Commanders. Do you see the

1170
00:56:55,280 --> 00:56:57,799
Speaker 2: Commanders against the Bears? How do you get dominated by

1171
00:56:57,800 --> 00:57:00,759
Speaker 2: the commanders? Titans, by the way, they're good on their

1172
00:57:00,800 --> 00:57:03,960
Speaker 2: scripted portion of the plays. Remember I said Arizona averages

1173
00:57:04,000 --> 00:57:06,919
Speaker 2: one and a half points for their first three drive.

1174
00:57:07,160 --> 00:57:10,279
Speaker 2: Titans are at twelve and a half. That's by far

1175
00:57:10,600 --> 00:57:13,399
Speaker 2: number one in the NFL. After the first quarter. They

1176
00:57:13,400 --> 00:57:16,000
Speaker 2: are dead last in EPA per play. They do nothing

1177
00:57:16,040 --> 00:57:18,440
Speaker 2: on offense after the first quarter, just like what happened

1178
00:57:18,520 --> 00:57:20,880
Speaker 2: in the first matchup with the Colts. But now word

1179
00:57:20,920 --> 00:57:22,040
Speaker 2: is out on what they're trying to do. In the

1180
00:57:22,040 --> 00:57:24,480
Speaker 2: scripted portion, you saw Washington shut it down. The Colts

1181
00:57:24,480 --> 00:57:27,680
Speaker 2: have already seen it. The Titans are also scoring touchdowns

1182
00:57:27,680 --> 00:57:31,560
Speaker 2: on ninety two percent of the red zone trips ninety two.

1183
00:57:32,200 --> 00:57:35,680
Speaker 2: That is not sustainable at all. There's this major regression

1184
00:57:35,720 --> 00:57:38,960
Speaker 2: coming in that department. By the way, the Titans defense

1185
00:57:39,000 --> 00:57:43,240
Speaker 2: also stinks their thirtieth and epa per play. Yeah, I mean,

1186
00:57:43,400 --> 00:57:45,160
Speaker 2: but think about this after the first quarter. The Titans

1187
00:57:45,200 --> 00:57:48,919
Speaker 2: offense has been worse than the Panthers this season. And

1188
00:57:49,920 --> 00:57:51,480
Speaker 2: you know, Vray Bowl is great off the bye. I'll

1189
00:57:51,480 --> 00:57:53,480
Speaker 2: give him credit, and he's you know, he's great as

1190
00:57:53,520 --> 00:57:55,040
Speaker 2: an underdogg but you want to face him as a favorite.

1191
00:57:55,080 --> 00:57:56,800
Speaker 2: Frabel's four to zer against the spreading straight up off

1192
00:57:56,800 --> 00:57:59,240
Speaker 2: of a bye proverb by fourteen points per game. But

1193
00:57:59,440 --> 00:58:01,920
Speaker 2: Frank right great on the road, seventeen and six against

1194
00:58:01,920 --> 00:58:04,400
Speaker 2: the spread, number one in the NFL among all head

1195
00:58:04,400 --> 00:58:08,960
Speaker 2: coaches since he's been hired. And yeah, I think this

1196
00:58:09,040 --> 00:58:11,240
Speaker 2: is there's value on the Colts here, But like it's

1197
00:58:11,280 --> 00:58:13,680
Speaker 2: two and a half so this doesn't really matter to

1198
00:58:13,680 --> 00:58:15,320
Speaker 2: to one. Like I may get a point to get three,

1199
00:58:15,360 --> 00:58:17,360
Speaker 2: I'll take it, but happily tease us up in a

1200
00:58:17,400 --> 00:58:20,480
Speaker 2: lower scoring game and not that much of an adjustment

1201
00:58:20,520 --> 00:58:23,720
Speaker 2: for home field advantage in the divisional game. Colts to

1202
00:58:23,760 --> 00:58:27,760
Speaker 2: have injury questions as well, I'll tease them up over eight.

1203
00:58:28,120 --> 00:58:30,800
Speaker 2: Take the Colts plus eight and a half and I

1204
00:58:30,840 --> 00:58:36,160
Speaker 2: will take the Dolphins minus one, and Cults are gonna

1205
00:58:36,160 --> 00:58:36,680
Speaker 2: win that game.

1206
00:58:36,520 --> 00:58:38,720
Speaker 3: Out of the well my teaser, I'm gonna go with

1207
00:58:38,920 --> 00:58:42,640
Speaker 3: the I'm gonna see the Saints up to eight and

1208
00:58:42,640 --> 00:58:46,720
Speaker 3: a half and the let's go with the Raiders. Actually,

1209
00:58:46,800 --> 00:58:49,920
Speaker 3: let's go the Raiders down to a point over the

1210
00:58:49,920 --> 00:58:52,040
Speaker 3: Texans here. You know, both teams coming off of buy

1211
00:58:52,800 --> 00:58:55,120
Speaker 3: I think the Raiders are the better team, and I

1212
00:58:55,160 --> 00:58:57,640
Speaker 3: think they you know, they talk about a team that

1213
00:58:57,680 --> 00:58:59,200
Speaker 3: needs to get right and has been unlucky.

1214
00:58:59,360 --> 00:59:02,440
Speaker 1: I mean, the Raiders are you know, near the top

1215
00:59:02,480 --> 00:59:02,640
Speaker 1: of it was.

1216
00:59:02,760 --> 00:59:05,680
Speaker 3: I think they also match up well in this spot.

1217
00:59:05,760 --> 00:59:07,919
Speaker 3: You know, Houston they're gonna play a ton of zone.

1218
00:59:07,960 --> 00:59:10,800
Speaker 3: They don't get a ton of pressure, and they don't

1219
00:59:12,000 --> 00:59:15,120
Speaker 3: they don't blitz very much, so you know, I think

1220
00:59:15,480 --> 00:59:17,360
Speaker 3: Deavonte Adams is gonna be able to eat here. They've

1221
00:59:17,360 --> 00:59:20,080
Speaker 3: been weak against perimeter receivers, and I think Josh Jacobs

1222
00:59:20,080 --> 00:59:22,640
Speaker 3: is gonna eat because they've been weak against the runs.

1223
00:59:22,720 --> 00:59:25,240
Speaker 3: So I think the Raiders can can put up some

1224
00:59:25,280 --> 00:59:29,160
Speaker 3: points here, and yeah, I think they win this game.

1225
00:59:29,920 --> 00:59:32,720
Speaker 3: Maybe maybe it's a seven point game. Maybe I wouldn't

1226
00:59:32,760 --> 00:59:35,760
Speaker 3: lay the full seven, but I don't mind the point.

1227
00:59:36,480 --> 00:59:36,880
Speaker 1: So stuck.

1228
00:59:36,960 --> 00:59:39,600
Speaker 3: You have the Coats up to eight and a half

1229
00:59:39,720 --> 00:59:42,000
Speaker 3: from two and a half and the Dolphins down from

1230
00:59:42,520 --> 00:59:47,000
Speaker 3: seven to one as a favorite. I have the Raiders

1231
00:59:47,000 --> 00:59:48,840
Speaker 3: down from seven to one as a favorite, and the

1232
00:59:48,960 --> 00:59:51,360
Speaker 3: Saints up from two and a half to eight and

1233
00:59:51,440 --> 00:59:55,840
Speaker 3: a half as an underdog against the Cardinals. Let's now

1234
00:59:56,040 --> 01:00:01,160
Speaker 3: jump into our week number seven money line underdog.

1235
01:00:00,640 --> 01:00:09,480
Speaker 4: Harley turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for

1236
01:00:09,560 --> 01:00:11,080
Speaker 4: the money line parlay.

1237
01:00:12,480 --> 01:00:14,680
Speaker 3: All right, man, I gotta give you major props because

1238
01:00:15,320 --> 01:00:18,600
Speaker 3: I believe you hit five of six this year like

1239
01:00:18,920 --> 01:00:22,440
Speaker 3: money line dogs, So that is that is just outrageous.

1240
01:00:22,720 --> 01:00:25,680
Speaker 3: As a podcast, we've hit three of our six parties.

1241
01:00:26,160 --> 01:00:28,720
Speaker 3: That's I mean, yeah, And if this is how we

1242
01:00:28,760 --> 01:00:30,680
Speaker 3: do though, I feel like every year we're like.

1243
01:00:30,600 --> 01:00:32,720
Speaker 2: Oh, none of them not, none of them haven't blast.

1244
01:00:32,960 --> 01:00:34,960
Speaker 2: We were really close on the other thidth and.

1245
01:00:35,520 --> 01:00:38,040
Speaker 1: So let's keep it going. Where are you going for

1246
01:00:39,040 --> 01:00:40,160
Speaker 1: week number seven?

1247
01:00:40,640 --> 01:00:44,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna go again. I look for decent like

1248
01:00:44,360 --> 01:00:47,120
Speaker 2: matchups so that I like, and then high variance dogs

1249
01:00:47,360 --> 01:00:50,440
Speaker 2: and in high variance games for a number of reasons.

1250
01:00:50,440 --> 01:00:52,600
Speaker 2: So I'm gonna go with the lion Detroit Lions here

1251
01:00:53,000 --> 01:00:55,440
Speaker 2: against the Dallas Cowboys. Why do I think this is

1252
01:00:55,480 --> 01:00:58,960
Speaker 2: high variants? Obviously, bringing Dak back in over Cooper Rusher

1253
01:00:59,000 --> 01:01:01,280
Speaker 2: has been miserable all year. I mean, the Cowboys were

1254
01:01:01,280 --> 01:01:03,439
Speaker 2: scoring ten fewer points than they were scoring last year.

1255
01:01:04,440 --> 01:01:06,920
Speaker 2: They've gone from like twenty eight to eight seventeen eighteen.

1256
01:01:07,560 --> 01:01:11,560
Speaker 2: But it's Dak Prescott's first came back, and you recalled

1257
01:01:11,600 --> 01:01:13,800
Speaker 2: last year against Denver in his first game back, he

1258
01:01:13,960 --> 01:01:17,640
Speaker 2: was horrific at home. He finished nineteen to thirty nine

1259
01:01:17,680 --> 01:01:21,480
Speaker 2: for two hundred and thirty yards, was inaccurate, looked uncomfortable.

1260
01:01:21,560 --> 01:01:23,600
Speaker 2: That could happen here, happens in your first game back,

1261
01:01:24,400 --> 01:01:27,640
Speaker 2: so we'll see. So I think that the uncertainty of

1262
01:01:27,640 --> 01:01:29,600
Speaker 2: what Dak will look like in his first game back

1263
01:01:30,200 --> 01:01:33,600
Speaker 2: create some variants here. Also, Cowboys coming off a brutal

1264
01:01:33,640 --> 01:01:35,919
Speaker 2: stretch like they've been all they were in New York,

1265
01:01:36,080 --> 01:01:39,840
Speaker 2: short week, go back to Dallas, then they fly out West.

1266
01:01:39,920 --> 01:01:42,480
Speaker 2: They played emotional game in Philly, come back go Meanwhile,

1267
01:01:42,480 --> 01:01:45,200
Speaker 2: Detroit's been had a bye week and they really needed

1268
01:01:45,200 --> 01:01:47,640
Speaker 2: to buy like they were as banged up as any

1269
01:01:47,640 --> 01:01:49,560
Speaker 2: team in the league. So they'll be a lot healthier here.

1270
01:01:49,960 --> 01:01:52,680
Speaker 2: And but their defense stinks, so you got to hope

1271
01:01:52,720 --> 01:01:55,400
Speaker 2: that Dak's a little off. But their offensive line is

1272
01:01:55,440 --> 01:01:58,560
Speaker 2: at least good, and you need that to have a

1273
01:01:58,600 --> 01:02:02,280
Speaker 2: shot against this Dallas defensive front. You saw even when

1274
01:02:02,400 --> 01:02:06,320
Speaker 2: Lane Johnson went out against Philla, it changed the entire game.

1275
01:02:06,640 --> 01:02:08,760
Speaker 2: Lines have one of the best offensive lines in the NFL.

1276
01:02:08,840 --> 01:02:13,320
Speaker 2: That's just a massive against Dallas. So there's some matchup things.

1277
01:02:13,360 --> 01:02:15,960
Speaker 2: The situation off the buy with Dak just coming back,

1278
01:02:17,040 --> 01:02:19,600
Speaker 2: let's roll with Detroit here.

1279
01:02:20,160 --> 01:02:21,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, And I'm on Rossin Brown.

1280
01:02:21,520 --> 01:02:23,920
Speaker 3: I mean being healthy because I don't know how healthy

1281
01:02:23,920 --> 01:02:25,600
Speaker 3: he was in that Patriots game. I know he was

1282
01:02:25,640 --> 01:02:29,760
Speaker 3: out there, but first time in what like fifteen games

1283
01:02:29,760 --> 01:02:32,480
Speaker 3: you see him essentially be a non factor, So I

1284
01:02:32,480 --> 01:02:35,840
Speaker 3: didn't have him back will be big. So yeah, I'm thinking,

1285
01:02:35,880 --> 01:02:37,240
Speaker 3: would you, uh, what do you how do you feel

1286
01:02:37,280 --> 01:02:38,800
Speaker 3: about the plus seven?

1287
01:02:38,960 --> 01:02:40,520
Speaker 1: Like, what if it got to seven and a half?

1288
01:02:40,560 --> 01:02:43,040
Speaker 2: Maybe, yeah, ifig got to seven and a half, I

1289
01:02:43,080 --> 01:02:45,600
Speaker 2: would I would take it. You know. It's just hard

1290
01:02:45,600 --> 01:02:47,960
Speaker 2: to know what Dak's going to look like. But he's

1291
01:02:48,000 --> 01:02:49,600
Speaker 2: not gonna look like way back. I mean, you guess

1292
01:02:49,640 --> 01:02:53,160
Speaker 2: he could, but there's the downside. Risk is supportive of

1293
01:02:53,200 --> 01:02:56,200
Speaker 2: a Detroit play. So yeah, I'll probably have the lines

1294
01:02:56,200 --> 01:02:58,440
Speaker 2: if he gets to seven. I'm assuming that the public

1295
01:02:58,520 --> 01:03:00,360
Speaker 2: is going to be on Dallas with you know, the

1296
01:03:00,360 --> 01:03:02,360
Speaker 2: Lions haven't looked good the last couple of weeks after

1297
01:03:02,360 --> 01:03:04,560
Speaker 2: they're buy before their by, they didn't cover, they got

1298
01:03:04,560 --> 01:03:06,720
Speaker 2: blown out by New England. They you know, they lost

1299
01:03:06,960 --> 01:03:10,600
Speaker 2: at home to Seattle. Dak coming back for Dallas with

1300
01:03:10,640 --> 01:03:13,640
Speaker 2: this defense, like Michael Parsons like, the public's poably going

1301
01:03:13,680 --> 01:03:16,000
Speaker 2: to support Dallas here. So yeah, if you can get

1302
01:03:16,000 --> 01:03:18,440
Speaker 2: seven and a half, I don't mind Detroit. But because

1303
01:03:18,480 --> 01:03:20,640
Speaker 2: of the variants here, because I do think they match well,

1304
01:03:20,640 --> 01:03:21,800
Speaker 2: I think they'll be able to do the ball because

1305
01:03:21,800 --> 01:03:24,920
Speaker 2: their offensive line will give golf time golf indoors. Right,

1306
01:03:24,960 --> 01:03:27,200
Speaker 2: He's not going to be a Pumpkin. There's a lot

1307
01:03:27,200 --> 01:03:29,680
Speaker 2: of things working for Detroit who really needed that buy,

1308
01:03:29,720 --> 01:03:31,520
Speaker 2: like they had so many injuries on defense and offense.

1309
01:03:32,000 --> 01:03:34,000
Speaker 2: So yeah, I don't mind Detroit at all here, especially

1310
01:03:34,000 --> 01:03:35,160
Speaker 2: if you can get seven and a half.

1311
01:03:35,520 --> 01:03:36,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, I like it. I like that they're coming off

1312
01:03:36,880 --> 01:03:37,160
Speaker 1: to buy.

1313
01:03:37,440 --> 01:03:39,040
Speaker 3: This is that time of year where we're starting to

1314
01:03:39,080 --> 01:03:42,320
Speaker 3: see at least I have seen some of these defenses

1315
01:03:42,400 --> 01:03:44,760
Speaker 3: that are like we were, start improving a little, making

1316
01:03:44,800 --> 01:03:47,080
Speaker 3: some schematic changes and things like that, and some of

1317
01:03:47,120 --> 01:03:48,760
Speaker 3: the younger players are getting a little better.

1318
01:03:48,920 --> 01:03:50,440
Speaker 1: You know. I think we're seeing that with the Seahawks.

1319
01:03:50,480 --> 01:03:53,000
Speaker 3: I think we're seeing it with the Jets, you know,

1320
01:03:53,640 --> 01:03:56,000
Speaker 3: So maybe the Lions are next.

1321
01:03:56,480 --> 01:03:56,760
Speaker 2: Yep.

1322
01:03:57,120 --> 01:04:00,600
Speaker 3: I am going with my money line, Doug. I'm just

1323
01:04:00,640 --> 01:04:03,560
Speaker 3: gonna I'm just gonna go all in and we're gonna

1324
01:04:03,560 --> 01:04:05,040
Speaker 3: go with the forty nine ers here. We're gonna bet

1325
01:04:05,120 --> 01:04:09,760
Speaker 3: on the Chiefs uh to go back to back. Kyle Shanahan.

1326
01:04:10,320 --> 01:04:13,480
Speaker 3: Since he's been coaching the forty nine Ers as a

1327
01:04:13,640 --> 01:04:19,520
Speaker 3: moneyline home dog, he's won uh seven of the fifteen,

1328
01:04:19,560 --> 01:04:21,280
Speaker 3: so almost almost half.

1329
01:04:21,320 --> 01:04:22,520
Speaker 1: He's won straight up.

1330
01:04:22,800 --> 01:04:24,800
Speaker 3: Five out of the last seven times the forty nine

1331
01:04:24,880 --> 01:04:28,000
Speaker 3: Ers have been an underdog at home, they've put out

1332
01:04:28,040 --> 01:04:31,120
Speaker 3: the outright upset. So uh, I think the forty nine ers,

1333
01:04:31,200 --> 01:04:34,600
Speaker 3: you know, listen, just because they weigh an egg against

1334
01:04:34,600 --> 01:04:37,800
Speaker 3: the Falcons. A lot of injuries, obviously, Uh, you know,

1335
01:04:37,840 --> 01:04:39,200
Speaker 3: this is still one of the I think one of

1336
01:04:39,200 --> 01:04:41,880
Speaker 3: the better teams in football. I'm just hoping we get

1337
01:04:42,520 --> 01:04:44,840
Speaker 3: enough guys back, you know, maybe one or two, maybe

1338
01:04:44,840 --> 01:04:48,160
Speaker 3: get some Bosa or something like that. But I think

1339
01:04:48,200 --> 01:04:50,960
Speaker 3: the public is gonna be pretty down on San Francisco.

1340
01:04:51,000 --> 01:04:53,800
Speaker 3: Nobody's nobody's really nobody wants to touch them after that

1341
01:04:53,840 --> 01:04:55,840
Speaker 3: loss to the Falcons, especially not against the Chiefs. But

1342
01:04:56,280 --> 01:04:58,160
Speaker 3: you know, I think you know, Chiefs came coming still

1343
01:04:58,160 --> 01:04:59,800
Speaker 3: coming off even though they didn't win, it's still coming

1344
01:04:59,840 --> 01:05:02,240
Speaker 3: off like an emotional game. Now they're going on the

1345
01:05:02,360 --> 01:05:06,320
Speaker 3: road to this Niners team that solid all around. I mean,

1346
01:05:06,400 --> 01:05:09,400
Speaker 3: you know, they can exploit the Chiefs defense, which is

1347
01:05:09,400 --> 01:05:11,480
Speaker 3: twenty eighth in DVOA. You know, you still got Debo,

1348
01:05:11,520 --> 01:05:14,160
Speaker 3: you still got a Yuki, still got Kittle, He's still

1349
01:05:14,200 --> 01:05:17,400
Speaker 3: you know, he's still been running pretty effectively even without

1350
01:05:17,440 --> 01:05:18,160
Speaker 3: Trent Williams.

1351
01:05:18,560 --> 01:05:20,120
Speaker 1: And then on the other side of the.

1352
01:05:20,040 --> 01:05:22,600
Speaker 3: Ball, still a pretty talented defense even with half the

1353
01:05:22,600 --> 01:05:25,840
Speaker 3: starter's gone. Uh, and you know the Chiefs aren't the

1354
01:05:25,840 --> 01:05:28,320
Speaker 3: Falcons like it actually might play into the forty nine

1355
01:05:28,400 --> 01:05:30,240
Speaker 3: ers hands a little bit that the you know, the

1356
01:05:30,320 --> 01:05:32,800
Speaker 3: Chiefs aren't going to just run the ball fifty times

1357
01:05:32,960 --> 01:05:33,840
Speaker 3: like the Falcons wills.

1358
01:05:33,880 --> 01:05:35,600
Speaker 1: So give me the San Francisco forty nine ers at

1359
01:05:35,640 --> 01:05:36,680
Speaker 1: plus one thirty two.

1360
01:05:37,320 --> 01:05:39,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, don't. I don't mind it. We'll see if ken't

1361
01:05:39,520 --> 01:05:41,520
Speaker 2: see's a couple of the forty nine ers defensive injuries

1362
01:05:41,520 --> 01:05:44,280
Speaker 2: are and both of their tackles are questionable, but they

1363
01:05:44,280 --> 01:05:47,240
Speaker 2: had eight defensive starters they could potentially be without this week.

1364
01:05:47,240 --> 01:05:48,800
Speaker 2: I don't think they will. But Kim Ooll's on Ir,

1365
01:05:49,160 --> 01:05:51,440
Speaker 2: ti Year's on Ir, Mosley's on Ir both wards and

1366
01:05:51,440 --> 01:05:53,800
Speaker 2: the secondary questionable who hung this is? And concussion protocol

1367
01:05:53,800 --> 01:05:56,840
Speaker 2: boast is questionable, arn't set is questionable like holy moly.

1368
01:05:57,360 --> 01:06:00,200
Speaker 2: But uh, yeah, I think if you're getting the three

1369
01:06:00,480 --> 01:06:03,440
Speaker 2: more with the variance too, with all right or some

1370
01:06:03,600 --> 01:06:06,040
Speaker 2: gonna play, the case's run defense has been better. I

1371
01:06:06,120 --> 01:06:07,800
Speaker 2: have to give him credit for that. Their thirteenth TVOA.

1372
01:06:07,880 --> 01:06:10,200
Speaker 2: They're twenty eighth against the past though, but they're giving

1373
01:06:10,240 --> 01:06:12,240
Speaker 2: up pressure. So you just hope that some of these

1374
01:06:12,280 --> 01:06:14,320
Speaker 2: defenders play so but yeah, they've been great in the spot.

1375
01:06:14,360 --> 01:06:16,000
Speaker 2: J EMMG sixteen to four against the spread as an

1376
01:06:16,040 --> 01:06:18,560
Speaker 2: underdog the most profitable cornerback as an underdog over the

1377
01:06:18,600 --> 01:06:21,720
Speaker 2: past twenty years. And I also like to point as

1378
01:06:21,720 --> 01:06:23,800
Speaker 2: if you can get over three too, that's what I'm

1379
01:06:23,800 --> 01:06:28,120
Speaker 2: waiting for. Mahome's twenty seven thirty and one against the

1380
01:06:28,160 --> 01:06:31,480
Speaker 2: spread as more than a field goal favorite. So yeah,

1381
01:06:31,720 --> 01:06:36,200
Speaker 2: I think that the spot here screams San Francisco.

1382
01:06:36,880 --> 01:06:38,919
Speaker 1: You know, it's just these underdogs this year.

1383
01:06:38,960 --> 01:06:41,400
Speaker 3: Man, he's underdog and it looks like sharp money's on

1384
01:06:41,440 --> 01:06:43,560
Speaker 3: the under in this game, which is interesting.

1385
01:06:43,640 --> 01:06:47,400
Speaker 2: So yeah, I can't see that. But Sam, I assume that,

1386
01:06:47,480 --> 01:06:51,160
Speaker 2: like with the defensive injuries, San Francisco's a snail man

1387
01:06:51,240 --> 01:06:52,800
Speaker 2: like and they're gonna have like a game plan to

1388
01:06:52,800 --> 01:06:56,400
Speaker 2: slow the game up and they just play so methodically

1389
01:06:56,480 --> 01:06:58,880
Speaker 2: like and then just and it's not like Kansas City

1390
01:06:58,960 --> 01:07:01,800
Speaker 2: is getting these huge chunks plays. Yeah, I would lean

1391
01:07:01,840 --> 01:07:03,480
Speaker 2: over because I think both it depends on how many

1392
01:07:03,520 --> 01:07:05,560
Speaker 2: guys are out for the stet. When San Francisco's defense

1393
01:07:05,600 --> 01:07:07,520
Speaker 2: is healthy, they're right there with the Broncos, like it's

1394
01:07:07,520 --> 01:07:09,400
Speaker 2: so surprised that Broncos game meant at eleven to ten.

1395
01:07:09,640 --> 01:07:13,480
Speaker 2: There might just be long drives that like if there's

1396
01:07:13,560 --> 01:07:15,040
Speaker 2: just a turnover in the red zone or a couple

1397
01:07:15,000 --> 01:07:17,000
Speaker 2: of field goals, you're under is dead, just like we

1398
01:07:17,040 --> 01:07:19,600
Speaker 2: saw at the Bill's Chiefs last week, Like, yeah, that

1399
01:07:19,680 --> 01:07:21,400
Speaker 2: was dead in the first quarter because you'd two long

1400
01:07:21,480 --> 01:07:23,439
Speaker 2: drives that ended in no points.

1401
01:07:23,800 --> 01:07:26,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's I mean, it's it's actually crazy too that

1402
01:07:26,360 --> 01:07:31,400
Speaker 3: the Falcons Niners game stayed under, because wasn't that like

1403
01:07:31,600 --> 01:07:34,440
Speaker 3: was it twenty one to fourteen at the twenty something

1404
01:07:34,480 --> 01:07:35,919
Speaker 3: it was a lot of there's like twenty eight points

1405
01:07:36,600 --> 01:07:37,360
Speaker 3: in the first half.

1406
01:07:37,520 --> 01:07:37,760
Speaker 1: Yeah.

1407
01:07:38,000 --> 01:07:41,480
Speaker 2: The forty nine ers last six drives ended in four

1408
01:07:41,520 --> 01:07:45,680
Speaker 2: of them ended in Atlanta territory. They scored zero points

1409
01:07:45,720 --> 01:07:46,240
Speaker 2: in all of them.

1410
01:07:46,600 --> 01:07:48,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, So LOOKI for some regressions to the mean there.

1411
01:07:48,920 --> 01:07:50,640
Speaker 3: Take it from the Titans, give it to me, give

1412
01:07:50,640 --> 01:07:51,520
Speaker 3: it to the forty nine ers.

1413
01:07:51,520 --> 01:07:51,680
Speaker 2: Man.

1414
01:07:52,240 --> 01:07:54,160
Speaker 3: So for the money line dog parlay, you got Detroit

1415
01:07:54,200 --> 01:07:57,600
Speaker 3: plus to fifty, San Francisco plus went thirty two, parlayed

1416
01:07:57,640 --> 01:07:58,160
Speaker 3: them together.

1417
01:07:58,360 --> 01:08:00,400
Speaker 1: It's about just over a seven payout.

1418
01:08:00,440 --> 01:08:03,760
Speaker 3: So one hundred dollars gets you back eight twelve thousand

1419
01:08:03,800 --> 01:08:07,240
Speaker 3: dollars gets you back with over eight times. Now it's

1420
01:08:07,320 --> 01:08:11,720
Speaker 3: time for games that we haven't covered yet in any

1421
01:08:11,720 --> 01:08:16,640
Speaker 3: other segment but are still, as they say, meaningful to

1422
01:08:16,760 --> 01:08:18,679
Speaker 3: some that's.

1423
01:08:18,439 --> 01:08:20,559
Speaker 1: Going to be a touchdown, but that may be meaningful

1424
01:08:20,640 --> 01:08:23,400
Speaker 1: to some of you. And you know what I mean,

1425
01:08:24,040 --> 01:08:24,559
Speaker 1: I stuck.

1426
01:08:24,720 --> 01:08:27,760
Speaker 3: We got only only one game here. It's I don't know,

1427
01:08:27,760 --> 01:08:29,519
Speaker 3: I think you're on a two game of mother streak bet.

1428
01:08:29,439 --> 01:08:31,120
Speaker 1: In the Ravens right now. What's going on?

1429
01:08:31,360 --> 01:08:33,280
Speaker 3: I wanted you about the Giants, man, I know, I

1430
01:08:33,280 --> 01:08:34,800
Speaker 3: know you're gonna say they were just lucky, but that's

1431
01:08:35,160 --> 01:08:37,679
Speaker 3: kind of point defying every everything.

1432
01:08:38,000 --> 01:08:41,240
Speaker 2: I would play that again. Yeah, Look, the Ravens have

1433
01:08:41,360 --> 01:08:45,479
Speaker 2: three losses to the Giants, Bills, and Dolphins. They've tried

1434
01:08:45,479 --> 01:08:47,720
Speaker 2: for a total of one hundred and twenty seconds in

1435
01:08:47,760 --> 01:08:51,559
Speaker 2: those games. One hundred and twenty seconds. People are like, oh,

1436
01:08:51,600 --> 01:08:53,559
Speaker 2: well the Ravens just that's what they do. They blow leads.

1437
01:08:53,640 --> 01:08:56,880
Speaker 2: It's just just freaky stuff that happens. And it's football.

1438
01:08:56,880 --> 01:08:59,000
Speaker 2: There's there. It's like, I'm as high on the Ravens

1439
01:08:59,000 --> 01:09:00,599
Speaker 2: as I was higher on the raven After that game.

1440
01:09:00,640 --> 01:09:03,080
Speaker 2: They they got upgraded the Giants got downgraded. You know,

1441
01:09:03,120 --> 01:09:05,320
Speaker 2: you just hope that the regression in late games is

1442
01:09:05,479 --> 01:09:07,240
Speaker 2: over with and then you actually get it going forward.

1443
01:09:07,280 --> 01:09:09,679
Speaker 2: But it's still one of the most the best coach

1444
01:09:09,760 --> 01:09:11,920
Speaker 2: team in the NFL. Now, what I will say is

1445
01:09:11,920 --> 01:09:15,200
Speaker 2: Baitan or sab Bateman has become extremely important with Bateman

1446
01:09:15,280 --> 01:09:17,680
Speaker 2: on the field this year. Seven point nine yards per

1447
01:09:17,800 --> 01:09:21,160
Speaker 2: drop back, point to eight epa per drop back, you know,

1448
01:09:21,240 --> 01:09:23,960
Speaker 2: that's the Chiefs offense. Point to eight epa per drop by.

1449
01:09:23,960 --> 01:09:26,040
Speaker 2: It's the right of the Chiefs, just below the Bills

1450
01:09:26,200 --> 01:09:29,360
Speaker 2: without Baitman. Five point four yards per drop back. Negative

1451
01:09:29,400 --> 01:09:32,960
Speaker 2: point oh eight epa per drop back. That's the Washington offense.

1452
01:09:33,320 --> 01:09:35,880
Speaker 2: So it's obviously, yeah, there's a lot of noise in

1453
01:09:35,920 --> 01:09:38,920
Speaker 2: there and opponents, but but it's it's noticeable. So we'll

1454
01:09:38,920 --> 01:09:40,920
Speaker 2: see if he plays. He was limited today. All kinds

1455
01:09:40,920 --> 01:09:42,880
Speaker 2: of injuries in this game, like the whole the entire

1456
01:09:42,920 --> 01:09:47,400
Speaker 2: Brown teams on, like the uh didn't practice today. This

1457
01:09:47,520 --> 01:09:50,160
Speaker 2: line is probably about right. Browns are a mess. They

1458
01:09:50,160 --> 01:09:53,120
Speaker 2: just don't the defense is a mess for set Is

1459
01:09:53,840 --> 01:09:57,240
Speaker 2: turned it back into for Set Ravens below the box here,

1460
01:09:57,560 --> 01:09:59,360
Speaker 2: just like they kind of did against the Giants. Raven

1461
01:09:59,360 --> 01:10:02,320
Speaker 2: should win the game, but a lot of injury, a

1462
01:10:02,360 --> 01:10:04,759
Speaker 2: lot of important injuries to monitor, like even Lamar Jackson

1463
01:10:04,880 --> 01:10:07,960
Speaker 2: was limited today. I'm sure it'll be fine, but especially

1464
01:10:08,040 --> 01:10:10,040
Speaker 2: on the Brown side. But this line's about right. She'll

1465
01:10:10,040 --> 01:10:13,320
Speaker 2: be around six or seven, depending on injury swings. I

1466
01:10:13,320 --> 01:10:15,479
Speaker 2: don't have much here. Keep an eye on the Action

1467
01:10:15,560 --> 01:10:18,240
Speaker 2: app to see if I play anything based on some

1468
01:10:18,360 --> 01:10:20,160
Speaker 2: news the rest of the week, but this line looks

1469
01:10:20,200 --> 01:10:20,599
Speaker 2: pretty fair.

1470
01:10:20,640 --> 01:10:23,320
Speaker 3: I can't believe you didn't mention my favorite stat or

1471
01:10:23,560 --> 01:10:26,479
Speaker 3: I mean you I think got me alerted to it.

1472
01:10:26,520 --> 01:10:29,880
Speaker 3: But Kevin Stefanski is two and eleven against the spread

1473
01:10:30,400 --> 01:10:33,719
Speaker 3: in the division like that is that's pretty nuts?

1474
01:10:34,080 --> 01:10:37,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, things are going sideways quick in Cleveland. That

1475
01:10:37,840 --> 01:10:39,320
Speaker 2: was an embarrassing loss last week.

1476
01:10:39,640 --> 01:10:41,720
Speaker 3: We even just one of those teams, It's like, and

1477
01:10:41,760 --> 01:10:43,240
Speaker 3: there are a lot of teams like that in the NFL,

1478
01:10:43,320 --> 01:10:45,720
Speaker 3: especially this time of year where we don't you know,

1479
01:10:45,800 --> 01:10:48,120
Speaker 3: everyone hasn't completely formed their identity yet.

1480
01:10:48,120 --> 01:10:49,639
Speaker 1: But it's just like we even could.

1481
01:10:49,800 --> 01:10:52,240
Speaker 3: It feels like they could squeak out a win against anyone,

1482
01:10:52,240 --> 01:10:54,840
Speaker 3: but they could also lose to like anyone, and I

1483
01:10:54,920 --> 01:10:58,320
Speaker 3: mean anyone like Cleveland could cleven could like give up

1484
01:10:58,640 --> 01:11:01,080
Speaker 3: twenty five points to the Bears, lose, you know, and

1485
01:11:00,880 --> 01:11:02,719
Speaker 3: then and then turn around and beat the Chiefs twenty

1486
01:11:02,720 --> 01:11:05,599
Speaker 3: three twenty or something. It's just the odd team. Talk

1487
01:11:05,680 --> 01:11:09,599
Speaker 3: some Survivor real quick. Last week, Rams got the job done.

1488
01:11:09,680 --> 01:11:12,599
Speaker 3: So if you're in Survivor, hopefully you're opposed to winning

1489
01:11:12,600 --> 01:11:14,800
Speaker 3: by now. I mean, this is a gauntlet of a year.

1490
01:11:14,920 --> 01:11:17,280
Speaker 3: I think a lot of people just got caught up

1491
01:11:17,320 --> 01:11:20,080
Speaker 3: early and got knocked out this week.

1492
01:11:20,760 --> 01:11:22,240
Speaker 1: I want to hear you think about this one.

1493
01:11:22,520 --> 01:11:25,759
Speaker 3: I lean New England, you know, looking at their schedule,

1494
01:11:26,160 --> 01:11:29,400
Speaker 3: I don't really see you know, the Jets are a

1495
01:11:29,439 --> 01:11:32,040
Speaker 3: little feistier than I'd like, So I'm not like, you

1496
01:11:32,040 --> 01:11:34,240
Speaker 3: know that that week eleven home game, coming off to

1497
01:11:34,280 --> 01:11:36,800
Speaker 3: buy against the Jets is tempting, but I don't know,

1498
01:11:36,840 --> 01:11:38,960
Speaker 3: it's not the same. It doesn't look as good as

1499
01:11:39,000 --> 01:11:41,680
Speaker 3: it looked before the season started. And outside of that,

1500
01:11:41,760 --> 01:11:44,080
Speaker 3: you got Jets on the road, you got the coach,

1501
01:11:44,120 --> 01:11:48,200
Speaker 3: you got the Vikings, the Bills, Cardinals in Arizona, so

1502
01:11:48,400 --> 01:11:52,160
Speaker 3: I mean, I guess you could use them there, Vegas, Cincinnati, Miami, Buffalo.

1503
01:11:52,200 --> 01:11:54,200
Speaker 3: So I mean, this is really the only time I

1504
01:11:54,200 --> 01:11:58,000
Speaker 3: would consider using the Patriots outside of maybe that home

1505
01:11:58,000 --> 01:11:58,920
Speaker 3: game against the Jets.

1506
01:11:58,920 --> 01:12:00,000
Speaker 1: So what do you think?

1507
01:12:00,880 --> 01:12:02,600
Speaker 2: I like it? What's that I was gonna go with

1508
01:12:02,720 --> 01:12:04,320
Speaker 2: as well? And you're still a lot I'm not, so

1509
01:12:04,439 --> 01:12:05,200
Speaker 2: let's roll with it.

1510
01:12:05,640 --> 01:12:06,760
Speaker 1: Do it all right?

1511
01:12:06,840 --> 01:12:09,280
Speaker 3: That is gonna wrap it up for the week seven

1512
01:12:09,439 --> 01:12:12,960
Speaker 3: Action Network Podcast presented by FanDuel. If you want to

1513
01:12:13,000 --> 01:12:16,639
Speaker 3: follow Stucky on Twitter, you can at Stucky too. I'm

1514
01:12:16,680 --> 01:12:19,800
Speaker 3: at Chris Raybond and we're at those same handles on

1515
01:12:19,920 --> 01:12:23,680
Speaker 3: the free award winning Action Network app. Be sure to

1516
01:12:23,720 --> 01:12:26,000
Speaker 3: check out actionnetwork dot com for all of our fantasy

1517
01:12:26,320 --> 01:12:46,519
Speaker 3: batting content. Until next time, He's got this money.