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Speaker 1: Wonder up.

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Speaker 2: Guys, how are you welcome into a Sunday morning episode

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Speaker 2: of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Pereltz.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 2: at Sports Talk Matt following, Well, an unfortunate day. We

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Speaker 2: could have had really a three and two day. We

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Speaker 2: probably still would have been down a little bit because

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Speaker 2: of the A and M. We laid the mis one

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Speaker 2: twenty five and they lost outright one seventy nine Alabama

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Speaker 2: and Kentucky. That's what that fell. One seventy nine, We

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Speaker 2: almost got there with that, and then one fifty two

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Speaker 2: that's what the Auburn and the Georgia game fell. That

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Speaker 2: bet coming from the Discord channel chat that we did,

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Speaker 2: but live bets on both of those games.

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Speaker 1: If you were with.

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Speaker 2: Us for the live stream or if you're on the

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Speaker 2: Discord channel, I should say I told you to take

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Speaker 2: a under one eighty eight and a half for Alabama

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Speaker 2: Kentucky in an over one twenty six and a half

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Speaker 2: for Auburn and Georgia or Alabama Kentucky in Auburn and Georgia.

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Speaker 1: So I came in with live vets.

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Speaker 2: They cashed on that we had I went five and

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Speaker 2: four overall on the day. I was slightly up on

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Speaker 2: the day, but officially we're down one point four or

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Speaker 2: five units. But if you were with us there, we

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Speaker 2: talked about Duke. Duke came in, talked about Vandy. Vandy

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Speaker 2: came in, those plays cashed. It was a you know,

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Speaker 2: Saint Mary's won the game, outright, Saint Mary's in Auburn, Georgia.

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Speaker 2: Those were the two bets that we added to the card.

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Speaker 2: Arkansas wins outright, We got that Alabama and Kentucky could

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Speaker 2: have gone over, should have gone over, fell one seventy nine.

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Speaker 2: And then Texa, A and M money line did not

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Speaker 2: as Tennessee really played well. Shot the lights out. To me,

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Speaker 2: my gosh, it was just come guys, guy going for

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Speaker 2: thirty and then hitting a ton of threes. Tennessee shot

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Speaker 2: forty eight percent from behind three point line. Not typical

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Speaker 2: for a Tennessee team shooting that. The Rock and A

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Speaker 2: and M is just back to back losses for them,

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Speaker 2: and I don't like the way they're playing at all

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Speaker 2: for Buzz Williams and what they're doing here heading.

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Speaker 1: Towards the SEC tournament.

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Speaker 2: So losing day yesterday, losing day day before, So we

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Speaker 2: need to end the week strong.

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Speaker 1: Here. We need to get ourselves a winning day.

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Speaker 2: I've got two college basketball bets and i have two

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Speaker 2: NBA player props. I'm going to show you what you

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Speaker 2: guys can do with the prop bet cheat sheet and

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Speaker 2: the prop bet analyzer. You're gonna have to bear with

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Speaker 2: me if you're listening to the podcast these are. This

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Speaker 2: is one of the podcasts where you might want to

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Speaker 2: go to YouTube and watch this so you can look

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Speaker 2: at the graphics and get a.

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Speaker 1: Better idea as to what I'm talking about.

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Speaker 2: But before we do that, if you guys haven't gone

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Speaker 2: and downloading the Betting Pros app yet, I would hunt

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Speaker 2: undred percent go and do so. Well.

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Speaker 1: Why if you.

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Speaker 2: Double the free Betting Pros app for iOS and Android

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Speaker 2: with Sportsbook Sync, you can automatically track your bets across

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Speaker 2: all major sportsbooks in one spot. Easily monitor your bet

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Speaker 2: performance by sport and bet type, including game picks, props,

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Speaker 2: and parlays. Create custom betting systems. More on that in

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Speaker 2: a second. To find winning trends and profitable opportunities, get

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Speaker 2: a free trial of Betting Pros Premium by download the

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Speaker 2: app at bettingpros dot com slash apps and activating your

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Speaker 2: free trial on the upgrade screen. Once again, that's Bettingpros

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Speaker 2: dot Com slash apps. A couple things I learned about

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Speaker 2: the app which is pretty interesting. So in the current

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Speaker 2: iteration of our house rules of the terms of service,

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Speaker 2: they call it, your data will not be sold.

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Speaker 1: Your data will not be sold.

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Speaker 2: Information on your sportsbook sinc Will not be then told

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Speaker 2: to the sports books. It's on your phone, it's your data,

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Speaker 2: it's your information. I think that needs to be highlighted

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Speaker 2: and talked about more. I learned that when everybody was

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Speaker 2: here for Betting Pros. Because there are some apps that

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Speaker 2: sink and do the sportsbook sink and then take that

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Speaker 2: data and use it for other reasons.

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Speaker 1: We do not do that. It's a very big deal.

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Speaker 1: It's a very big deal to me.

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Speaker 2: It's a very big deal to betters that that information

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Speaker 2: does not make its way back to the books. What

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Speaker 2: you bet, when you bet, how you bet, all those

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Speaker 2: things should be yours and yours alone. If you use

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Speaker 2: the sportsbook sink in the Betting Pros app to track

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Speaker 2: your own bets to make yourself a better better you

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Speaker 2: should not have to worry about that information when you

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Speaker 2: get better to then fall into.

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Speaker 1: The hands of someone else. Very cool.

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Speaker 2: Download the betting pros app and if you guys, go

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Speaker 2: and activate the premium side. What I'm gonna show you

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Speaker 2: here are premium bets. The prop bet cheat sheet is

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Speaker 2: something that is available partially for free, and then there

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Speaker 2: are some extra data points if you are user or

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Speaker 2: user on the premium side. One of the premium features

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Speaker 2: is the ability to highlight positive EV expected value of

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Speaker 2: a bet the expected value of a play. Not to

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Speaker 2: get into that wonky, but basically you're looking at the

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Speaker 2: number versus the projection and whether or not there is

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Speaker 2: expected value there with the play.

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Speaker 1: People talking about value.

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Speaker 2: Okay, I'm gonna show you two prop bets that I

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Speaker 2: found on the prop bet cheat sheet that are among

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Speaker 2: the most are the highest expected value EV for today

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Speaker 2: in the NBA. One is involving Drew Holliday. Another is

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Speaker 2: involving Jimmy Butler, Warriors and the Celtics. So let's say

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Speaker 2: you find this information on the prop betcheat sheet. You

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Speaker 2: then can put on the far right hand side on desktop,

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Speaker 2: same thing as a button you can press on the app.

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Speaker 2: That's the prop bet analyzer. When the prop bet analyzer

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Speaker 2: pops up, you're going to see these things on your screen. One,

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Speaker 2: you see the Drew Holiday being active, which is always important,

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Speaker 2: right sometimes says DTD to be determined day to day?

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Speaker 1: Is he playing yes or no? Important?

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Speaker 2: Drew Holliy's playing today against the next You see all

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Speaker 2: of these different prop bets, points, assists, rebounds.

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Speaker 1: These are the best odds.

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Speaker 2: That are available at the sportsbooks that betting pros is

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Speaker 2: synced in with, which is most of them. Then it's

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Speaker 2: the prop best analysis where if you look at how

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Speaker 2: many times over the last five, ten and fifteen games

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Speaker 2: has this prop Drew Holliday points eight and a half

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Speaker 2: is his prop bet for points today? How many times

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Speaker 2: has it gone over If you look at the latest five,

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Speaker 2: it's not that good until you get to the projection

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Speaker 2: and the bet cheat sheet is projecting over eight and

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Speaker 2: a half points. The prop bet analysis comes in and

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Speaker 2: tells you that, well, right now, maybe not.

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Speaker 1: But why would it think that? You got to dig

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Speaker 1: a little deeper.

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Speaker 2: Then you go and realize that eight and a half

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Speaker 2: for Drew Holliday up against the New York Knicks, he's

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Speaker 2: been way over this. He's been going over into the

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Speaker 2: green of the last five six times. He's five and

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Speaker 2: one to the over for his points on his props.

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Speaker 2: So you see this information and it can help you say, Okay,

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Speaker 2: I like this. The prop bet cheat sheet likes the

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Speaker 2: over expected value on this is one of the most

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Speaker 2: the best expected value on this prop and the numbers

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Speaker 2: head to head when Drew Holliday plays the Knicks, including

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Speaker 2: earlier this year where he flew over eight and a

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Speaker 2: half points. Even though there are trends that you would say, well,

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Speaker 2: recently Drew Holliday hasn't been scoring all that much, but

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Speaker 2: you can see why the prop bet chee chet is projecting.

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Speaker 2: In the prop bet analysis, an analyzer is projecting over

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Speaker 2: eight and a half points for Drew Holliday. That's our

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Speaker 2: first bet for today, Drew Holliday of the Boston Celtics

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Speaker 2: against the Knicks over eight and a half points. Now,

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Speaker 2: what about unders. Let's talk about a second play. Let's

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Speaker 2: talk about Jimmy Butler. Jimmy Butler twenty and a half.

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Speaker 2: His point projection for the Warriors two games so far

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Speaker 2: at Houston, at Sacramento, this home against Dallas, Jimmy Butler

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Speaker 2: is expected to score less than twenty and a half points.

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Speaker 2: Look at the general trend of how Jiman Butler's played

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Speaker 2: going all the way back to the first of the

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Speaker 2: year January first, only two games where Jimmy Butler's gone

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Speaker 2: over twenty and a half points. The prop bet cheat sheet,

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Speaker 2: the prop bet Analysis Analyzer, and the trends all point

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Speaker 2: towards Jimmy Butler under twenty and a half points today

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Speaker 2: for the Golden State Warriors up against the Dallas Mavericks.

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Speaker 2: Both those bets we're jumping in with and we're taking

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Speaker 2: them here today for our first two plays on the day,

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Speaker 2: we're going to go under twenty and a half points

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Speaker 2: Jean Butler over eight and a half points for Drew Holliday. Again,

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Speaker 2: these are things you can find with a Betting Pros

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Speaker 2: Premium subscription on the app and on desktop. There's going

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Speaker 2: to be other times where I can walk us through

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Speaker 2: all this. But both these games on ABC New York

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Speaker 2: and Boston. It's a one o'clock Eastern time start, and

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Speaker 2: it's a three point thirty Eastern time start for Golden

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Speaker 2: State hosting Dallas. So you've got nationally televised games. Everyone's

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Speaker 2: gonna be able to watch this figure. It's a good

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Speaker 2: time to have two different prop bets in play. I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna bet a half unit point five to five and

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Speaker 2: point five eights to win a half a unit on

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Speaker 2: both these plays. Drew Holliday over eight and a half points,

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Speaker 2: Jimmy Jimmy Butler under twenty and a half points. Both

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Speaker 2: those prop bets are widely available. And I'm not even

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Speaker 2: getting wonky. Okay, I'm not even getting in the weeds here.

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Speaker 2: And I could get into the weeds here, but I'm

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Speaker 2: not going to. I can talk about points and rebounds

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Speaker 2: and assists. I could talk about just points and assists.

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Speaker 2: I can talk about rebounds and assists, I mean blocks,

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Speaker 2: three point shots, assists, rebounds. Okay, I'm not even going

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Speaker 2: I'm just going for this in the purpose of showing you, guys,

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Speaker 2: what the prop bet cheat cheet can do combined with

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Speaker 2: the prop bet analyzer, just to give you an idea

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Speaker 2: of what the application when you are a betting pros

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Speaker 2: premium subscriber, what that can look like. Okay, if you

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Speaker 2: like doing research, if you like looking at trends, if

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Speaker 2: you like looking at data, all things I like to do.

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Speaker 2: You guys know me as a trend better. Okay, I

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Speaker 2: get information, look at trends, look at numbers, look at prices,

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Speaker 2: make bets.

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Speaker 1: That's how I bet.

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Speaker 2: Okay, everyone has their own system, everyone has their own process.

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Speaker 2: But when it comes to NBA Player Props, I'm often

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Speaker 2: looking at these data points and pulling bets from the

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Speaker 2: prop bet cheat sheet and from the prop bet analyzer

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Speaker 2: that's available. It's a lot of information. It's overwhelming, not

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Speaker 2: gonna lie. When you look at it, you're like, wow,

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Speaker 2: that's a lot. But when you start to look at

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Speaker 2: the reasons why the bet is being targeted, why it's

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Speaker 2: being pulled out, the expected value combined with the price,

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Speaker 2: combined with the projection and the trends, it's all really good. Okay,

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Speaker 2: we'll get to systems later. Maybe we'll do it. I'll

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Speaker 2: call it Sunday sessions. Maybe every Sunday we'll have a

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Speaker 2: Sunday session and show you guys, different things that are

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Speaker 2: happening and different things that are going into how you

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Speaker 2: can make bets. We'll do systems later, but that is

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Speaker 2: how I'm betting NBA Player props and how you can too.

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Speaker 2: Download the Betting Pros app, check out the free trial

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Speaker 2: on the application. Make your own wagers, make your own assessments,

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Speaker 2: find your own value, and make plays off of it.

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Speaker 2: It could be quite profitable if you're doing the research

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Speaker 2: and doing the work. Two college basketball bets to get

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Speaker 2: to on the daily Juice card for today. Let's start

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Speaker 2: with Indiana, who is hosting Perdue. It is a four

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Speaker 2: point loss according to kempom. The numbers was four, now

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Speaker 2: it's three and a half. Why well, these teams played

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Speaker 2: at Purdue on the thirty first of January in eighty

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Speaker 2: one seventy six win for Perdue at home. This Indiana

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Speaker 2: team is playing much better now. I know you can say,

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Speaker 2: Matt they just lost to Ucla. They pushed Ucla and

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Speaker 2: they beat Michigan State. I'm not gonna jump up it

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Speaker 2: down and say Indiana is gonna come here and win

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Speaker 2: this game outright, but they very well might. Purdue's eleven

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Speaker 2: and five ats in the Big Ten. Indiana is nine

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Speaker 2: and six. But recently three straight losses for Purdue, they

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Speaker 2: haven't looked good. They lost to Michigan State by nine,

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Speaker 2: didn't cover, lost to Wisconsin by ten, didn't cover. They

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Speaker 2: were six point favorites in that game and against Michigan.

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Speaker 2: They were catching three and they lost by two. They

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Speaker 2: did cover that game, but they didn't win. Three straight

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Speaker 2: losses for Purdue. On the flip side, Indiana has covered

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Speaker 2: two of the last three games, lost Ucla at home.

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Speaker 2: In their last game catching two, lost by four Michigan State.

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Speaker 1: They lost by four.

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Speaker 2: They covered as eleven and a half point dogs on

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Speaker 2: the road, and then they lost by three at home

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Speaker 2: to Michigan catching three and a half, the same number

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Speaker 2: they're catching right now, which is three and a half.

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Speaker 2: I don't want three. I want three and a half, Okay,

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Speaker 2: that's important to me. I want over one possession for

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Speaker 2: Indiana here at home. They are fourteen and twelve this

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Speaker 2: year ATS wise, nine and six in the Big Ten.

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Speaker 2: Like I said, nine and six at home ATS wise.

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Speaker 2: Perdue is seven and six against the number on the

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Speaker 2: road this year, as I mentioned, they're very good eleven

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Speaker 2: and five in the Big Ten. But for this one,

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Speaker 2: I got a reeling Purdue team. I got a home

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Speaker 2: dog catching three and a half. Indiana plus three and

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Speaker 2: a half for one point one units, and finally USC

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Speaker 2: at Rutgers. You might go, Matt, wow, I can I

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Speaker 2: betting any Big East games? Hold on a second, but

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Speaker 2: the biggest schedule is tremendous. But no, I'm not going

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Speaker 2: to officially bet any Big East games here today. Normally

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Speaker 2: I would on a Sunday, but I'll explain here in

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Speaker 2: just one second. I'm going to take a home Rutgers

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Speaker 2: team laying three and a half to USC. Rutgers is

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Speaker 2: seven and seven ats this year, eight and seven and

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Speaker 2: one in the Big Ten. USC is seven and eight ats,

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Speaker 2: eleven and fifteen overall, and four and five on the road.

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Speaker 2: And they're coming off of a seventeen point road loss

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Speaker 2: to Maryland. This is the second game of the road

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Speaker 2: trip for them, losing at Maryland badly. Now they're against Rutgers,

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Speaker 2: coming off of a four point win at Washington. They

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Speaker 2: were catching two and a half. Rutgers won by four.

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Speaker 2: It snapped a three game losing streak for Rutgers. They

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Speaker 2: got to get after it if they want to make

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Speaker 2: an a type of noise coming up in March seven

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Speaker 2: and seven. As I mentioned, ats at home here for

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Speaker 2: Rutgers and at home. Look, Rutgers is nine and five

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Speaker 2: ats at home this year. USC is three and six

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Speaker 2: on the road. They're one in four straight up over

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Speaker 2: their last five basketball games. They're six and nine in conference.

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Speaker 2: Rutgers is six and ten. Rutgers needs this game US

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Speaker 2: he does two, but I'm gonna lay the points here

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Speaker 2: with Rutgers. It's a one point win for Rutgers. According

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Speaker 2: to Kempom, I'm gonna lay the three and a half

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Speaker 2: just because I don't like USC. I'm gonna take that

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Speaker 2: overtime victory over Washington. Give this team some bouncing their

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Speaker 2: step to come back home to play play USC because

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Speaker 2: they've got Michigan next on the road and then Purdue

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Speaker 2: on the road as well, two very tough road games

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Speaker 2: up ahead for Rutgers. They got to win this game,

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Speaker 2: almost a must win for them here today for the

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Speaker 2: Scarlet Knights. I'll lay the three and a half Rutgers

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Speaker 2: mins three and a half for one point one units.

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Speaker 1: All right, so plays for today.

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Speaker 2: Drew Holliday over eight and a half points better to

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Speaker 2: win a half a unit, Jimmy Butler under twenty and

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Speaker 2: a half points, bet to win a half a unit

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Speaker 2: and a plus three and a half at home against

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Speaker 2: Purdue for one point one units, and Rutgers laying three

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Speaker 2: and a half points for one point one units at

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Speaker 2: home against usc for the Big East plays. So Ukon's

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Speaker 2: at Saint John's first game of the day. I don't

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Speaker 2: know what to do about this. I mean, I think

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Speaker 2: Saint John's is the play. They're fourteen and two in conference.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Yukon had to rally to beat Villanova on

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Speaker 2: the road. They were I mean at home rather they

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Speaker 2: should have. They were down by double digits in the

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Speaker 2: first half against Villanova. They rallied, doing the game by seven,

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Speaker 2: they didn't cover. They lost in overtime to Seaton Hall.

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Speaker 2: So like, my gut says, go ahead and take the

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Speaker 2: red storm here. But Yukon has a way of just

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Speaker 2: doing this when they're playing teams the numbers four and

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Speaker 2: a half, where they just you know, rise up and

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Speaker 2: play really well or shoot the basketball really well. I

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Speaker 2: would I mean Saint john'ss a lean to lean on

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Speaker 2: four and a half to Saint John's. But I don't

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Speaker 2: know if that's going to get me to the window

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Speaker 2: to bet the game. The Creighton Blue Jays, I mean,

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Speaker 2: what's up with Ryan Cockbrunner if he doesn't play or

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Speaker 2: he isn't as effective. I mean, they're taking on Georgetown,

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Speaker 2: the team that beat them, that started this whole streak.

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Speaker 1: I mean they were.

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Speaker 2: They lost by twenty four points at Georgetown. That's what

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Speaker 2: kickstarted the win streak for the Creyton Blue Jays. Basically,

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Speaker 2: you know, they won two games in a row after that.

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Speaker 2: They lost eighty one fifty seven at Georgetown. Then they

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Speaker 2: beat Villanova, they beat Saint John's, they lost to Marquette,

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Speaker 2: and then they won nine straight games. They've lost back

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Speaker 2: to back games to Yukon in Saint John's, They've got

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Speaker 2: Georgetown to Paul Xavier at Seton Hall in Butler. There

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Speaker 2: really is no reason why the Creighton Blue Jays can't

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Speaker 2: run the table here. Win this game at home. The

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Speaker 2: game's on Peacock. They're eleven and four, run the table,

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Speaker 2: don't lose again, and hope that Saint John's, who has

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Speaker 2: a much more difficult schedule than they do, stumbles. Saint

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Speaker 2: John's got a game, like I mentioned against Yukon today

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Speaker 2: which could be tough for them. They're at Butler, they're

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Speaker 2: home for Seaton Hall, and they're at Marquette. Hard to

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Speaker 2: see Seaton Hall. Sorry, Saint John's losing two games, but

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Speaker 2: they could. I mean, it's not nuts that Jays haven't

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Speaker 2: played in a week. Let's see what they do here today.

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Speaker 2: I mean it's a big number. I don't it's a

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Speaker 2: ten point win according to kempom. The numbers eleven and

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Speaker 2: a half numbers right, Jay's win, But I don't think

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Speaker 2: I can lay it, So not playing any.

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Speaker 1: Big East games. That's why we're not touching the Big East.

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Speaker 1: All right. My name is Matt Paroltz.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 2: at Sports Talk Matt every single morning where every guys

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Speaker 2: get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice