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Speaker 1: Ladies and gentlemen. It's bowl season.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: It's the most wonderful time.

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Speaker 2: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 2: on Campus podcast presented by Bett MGM. This is the

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Speaker 2: College Football Bowl Betting Preview, Part four. I'm stuck you

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Speaker 2: Joining me as always is Colin Wilson. We have nine

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Speaker 2: bowls to get to. We're gonna cover Saturday, December thirtieth

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Speaker 2: and Monday January first, twenty twenty four. That obviously includes

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Speaker 2: both college Football playoff games, which I'm excited to get into.

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Speaker 2: Before we get to those games, though, we have seven

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Speaker 2: wretched bowls with backup quarterbacks the Lord to get through.

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Speaker 2: Colin's going on.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna have a CLV burn pile at the end

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Speaker 1: of the season, right. You know, people talk about COLV

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Speaker 1: a lot. We generally don't on this podcast. But you

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Speaker 1: always want to get ahead of the number. You want

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Speaker 1: to beat the market. You want to get yourself options

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Speaker 1: for later on. But then you have to make a

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Speaker 1: decision at the end before kick are you going to

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Speaker 1: come back on top of it or you're going to

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Speaker 1: trust what your initial read was and enjoy the fact

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Speaker 1: that you beat the market. Boy, this Bowl season is

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Speaker 1: just I don't know how anybody doesn't have a flinch

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Speaker 1: or a PTSD you wanted to come back because this

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Speaker 1: theme has been wrong on every single game.

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Speaker 2: We're recording this right for the USC game. USC is

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Speaker 2: getting hit now, so we're probably doomed. There were there too,

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Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean over a long run, you're ahead

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Speaker 2: of the market. You're going to make out and be okay.

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Speaker 2: Although it's just a different Bowl world now with all

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Speaker 2: these opt outs and the market just might be dead

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Speaker 2: wrong more often than usual, but there's always going to

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Speaker 2: be streets where you just you know, when you're beating

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Speaker 2: the market, you're still losing just nature that is. But

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Speaker 2: let's get right into it. Let's start Saturday, December thirtieth,

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Speaker 2: the noon Eastern on ESPN the Chick fil A Peach Bowl,

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Speaker 2: oh Atlanta, Georgia and Mercedes Benz stadiums an Ole, miss

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Speaker 2: at Penn State. Penn State somewhere around right around four

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Speaker 2: point favorite total sitting at forty eight and a half.

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Speaker 2: I will say I'm not a fast food I don't

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Speaker 2: eat any fast food except chickile A is my one exception.

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Speaker 2: And I'll say the most typical thing. Ever, sadly it's

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Speaker 2: always closed on the one day I wanted the most.

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Speaker 2: But are you are you? Are you a fast food guy?

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Speaker 1: I am a Chick fil A guy because of the

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Speaker 1: grilled nuggets they have. I mean, if you're on a

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Speaker 1: protein diet or anything like ACNS or anything like that,

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Speaker 1: you're not going to get a better fast food choice

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Speaker 1: than the Chick fil A drive through. And I heard

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Speaker 1: I read a story they might start serving on Sundays.

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Speaker 1: You know, the economy is a bitch right now. You

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Speaker 1: got to make your money when you can, even if

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Speaker 1: you're a Baptist.

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Speaker 2: So let's get into I'll go through player news. First,

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Speaker 2: backup quarterback Spencer Sanders. Well, most academically ineligible. How do

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Speaker 2: you become academically ineligible Ole Miss as a football player

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Speaker 2: so people will not be playing.

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Speaker 1: And as a freshman either, I mean what is that? Yeah,

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Speaker 1: you went to grad school and didn't go to class.

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Speaker 1: I mean this needs an investigation.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, this should be a thirty for thirty on this

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Speaker 2: U ole Miss. You know, the good thing with these

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Speaker 2: two teams is it looks like both will have close

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Speaker 2: to full rosters. Ole Miss their starting edge Cedric Johnson.

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Speaker 2: He opted out. That'll hurt from a defensive perspective. Penn

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Speaker 2: State a lot of coaching changes. You will see no

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Speaker 2: new DC. They're gonna keep Coos. He's running the show

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Speaker 2: for the bowl game, despite hiring Andy kottel Nicki from

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Speaker 2: Kansas and defensive coordinator Manadiez took the duke head coach job. No.

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Speaker 2: One in the portal. Christian Driver a wide receiver, he

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Speaker 2: had like twenty seven snaps for Penn State as of now,

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Speaker 2: injuries only Harrison Wallace to wide receiver, but he hasn't

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Speaker 2: played since Week nine. They do have two opt outs

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Speaker 2: in Chop Robinson, their star defensive end in cornerback Johnny Dixon,

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Speaker 2: their stud left tackle for Shano who could be a

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Speaker 2: first time dre efpick. He declared, but he is at practice,

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Speaker 2: so I don't know if he's gonna play. The whole

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Speaker 2: game is gonna be limited if he's not even to

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Speaker 2: go in, but he is with the team and did

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Speaker 2: at least practice this week. You also have Kaylin King,

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Speaker 2: Curdie Jacobs, Theo Johnson, de Quinn Hardy. They also they

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Speaker 2: even know they declared. They also they're playing, so that's

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Speaker 2: a good sign for Penn State's care level. You have

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Speaker 2: all these guys who, outside of Robinson and Dixon declared

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Speaker 2: for the NFL Draft, most are going to play. We'll

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Speaker 2: see on Fishanu and then Ole Miss looks like a

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Speaker 2: pretty close to a full roster outside of Cedric Johnson

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Speaker 2: who opted out. The weird thing about this bowl game,

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Speaker 2: you know, it's not a college wable playoff game. These

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Speaker 2: are two marquee programs. Ole Miss has been hitting the

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Speaker 2: portal so hard, so how distracted is Kiffin? And then

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Speaker 2: you have Franklin dealing with all these coaching changes, and

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Speaker 2: he's obviously hitting recruiting in the portal as well. But

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Speaker 2: they these teams have a lot going on, these both

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Speaker 2: of these head coaches leading up to this game. I

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Speaker 2: generally think this line. I have a slight lean to

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Speaker 2: the over, but you know, I wouldn't mind taking Ole

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Speaker 2: Miss live if because what I think this game probably

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Speaker 2: comes down to it. It's Lane Kiffin in a bowl.

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Speaker 2: They're gonna go for it on fourth down like five

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Speaker 2: or six times, so that's gonna create so much variance

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Speaker 2: with the side. In total, Penn State will probably play

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Speaker 2: it a little bit more conservative than Old Miss will

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Speaker 2: but like Ole Miss, the first drive of the game,

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Speaker 2: they're gonna get on in the thirty. If it's like

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Speaker 2: fourth and six, they're gonna go for it. And if

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Speaker 2: they get it, you know, just think about the swing

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Speaker 2: in the live market. So I generally think that this

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Speaker 2: is a pretty fair line and total. I made a

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Speaker 2: total a little higher, but not much. What are you

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Speaker 2: seeing here between Ole Miss and Penn State and the

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Speaker 2: Chick fil a Peach Bowl.

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Speaker 1: I like the over two. I mean I had forty eight,

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Speaker 1: I would buy it over. So we're sitting on forty

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Speaker 1: eight and a half as we record, So definitely keep

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Speaker 1: your eye out on that and then on you know,

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Speaker 1: on the Penn State side of the ball. Drew Aller

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Speaker 1: is finally throwing downfield. First six games of the year

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Speaker 1: average depth of target around seven yards, ended the season

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Speaker 1: over eight because there was this huge push for explosives

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Speaker 1: and eleven yards average depth of targeting Indiana and Michigan

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Speaker 1: State to close the season. Alers not committed a turnover

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Speaker 1: worthy play since Week nine, only four on the season.

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Speaker 1: He has been very good with BALLD discipline and not

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Speaker 1: making mistakes, so I'm expecting dre Aler to have success

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Speaker 1: throwing into this quarters coverage, He's throwing a lot deeper now.

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Speaker 1: Ole Miss was fifty second in tackle grading, ninety seventh

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Speaker 1: allowed and on target, so they receivers are getting hit

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Speaker 1: in stride against his Old Miss defense. I expect Juraler

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Speaker 1: to have a big game here to throw down field

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Speaker 1: the other side. With ole Miss on offense, it really

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Speaker 1: starts with quin Shawn Judkins average success rate using inside

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Speaker 1: zone and power. There's no Chop Robinson here at edge,

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Speaker 1: so it's surely going to draw the old Miss ground

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Speaker 1: attack away from the other edge of Disa Isaac. I

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Speaker 1: like the over if we can get it at forty eight.

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Speaker 1: I think Penn State has decided to back here, although

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Speaker 1: it is on the rise. I'm not sure where I

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Speaker 1: would stop here. Probably I definitely wouldn't take a six,

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Speaker 1: so I guess as we record, I would take a

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Speaker 1: four and a half.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. I think Dixon, by the way, supposed to opt

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Speaker 2: out if it hasn't been officially announced. But it looks

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Speaker 2: like King at Hardy Isaac, who accepted a Senior Bowl,

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Speaker 2: their linebacker Jacobson. It looks like they're all going to

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Speaker 2: play THEO Johnson their tight end. But I think Dixon

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Speaker 2: and Robinson are going to opt out. But this game.

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Speaker 2: There's been a lot of bad bowl games. I mean,

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Speaker 2: we look at Tulane today with everyone they add up.

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Speaker 2: But this, this game, I think will be a pretty

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Speaker 2: good football game.

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Speaker 1: Have you heard James Franklin's motivation? Penn State is the

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Speaker 1: first team that can win all six New Year's Six

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Speaker 1: Bowl games, the first program in history. I didn't know that.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, no, no college balloffs. Let's move on to the

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Speaker 2: trans Perfect Music City Bowl between Maryland and Auburn. This

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Speaker 2: game will be played Saturday, December thirty two, Gimmeaster in ESPN, Nashville,

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Speaker 2: Tennessee in Nissan Stadium. Uh, Auburn sitting around a six

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Speaker 2: and a half. I don't know what trans Perfect is. Uh,

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Speaker 2: it looks like translation services.

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Speaker 1: Okays made it this far end of ball season.

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Speaker 2: It's trent. They translate languages. Interesting. I guess there like

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Speaker 2: a like interpreters and so anyway, probably heavy heavy law presence.

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Speaker 2: But Auburn sitting around a seven point favround a touchdown

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Speaker 2: favorite total forty six and a half. Let's go through

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Speaker 2: player news here. Auburn transfer portal couple receivers the Johnson's Uh.

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Speaker 2: Then it looks like from this I don't think it's

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Speaker 2: official yet, but star cornerbacks DJ James and Neramia Pritchett

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Speaker 2: are expected to opt out, as well as defensive tackle

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Speaker 2: Marcus Harris. You Free said he doesn't expect all. He

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Speaker 2: doesn't expect any of those three to play. There are

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Speaker 2: other studs, starting safety Jalen Simpson. He is expected to

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Speaker 2: play despite accepting a senior bal invitation, but he is

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Speaker 2: dealing with a hamstring injury, so I would not be

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Speaker 2: surprised if he just does end up sitting out. Maryland.

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Speaker 2: The news there they're starting quarterback Tya Tagabala. He opted out,

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Speaker 2: which means Billy Edwards Junior will start. Maybe Cameron Edge

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Speaker 2: will also get some looks. They're starting cornerback Harry Still

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Speaker 2: also opted out. A couple other players are starting tight

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Speaker 2: end Cory deitschis a couple other defenders. Although Coleil he's

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Speaker 2: a cornerback, he lost his job late in the near

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Speaker 2: bar him a linebacker. He's important. When I look at

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Speaker 2: this game, I played Maryland here, I thought this was

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Speaker 2: too much of an overreaction. This is still an Auburn

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Speaker 2: team that remains limited offensively, and they're gonna have a

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Speaker 2: really thin wide receiver room and they're vulnerable on defense.

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Speaker 2: Right their pass defense was really good, but they're gonna

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Speaker 2: have a bunch of guys that probably opt out in

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Speaker 2: the secondary. But you can run a bit on Auburn,

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Speaker 2: and I think that's the path here for Maryland. Billy

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Speaker 2: Edwards has some experience, so I think Marlon can have

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Speaker 2: some success running the ball. Auburn horrible on third down offense.

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Speaker 2: Maryland's defense actually excels in that department. So I just

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Speaker 2: don't think Auburn has the juice and where do they

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Speaker 2: stand mentally after that Alabama loss? But I just don't

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Speaker 2: think they have the offensive juice to be laying a

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Speaker 2: touchdown here. So I think this is too much of

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Speaker 2: an overreaction to Tay. He's a good player being not

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Speaker 2: in the lineup. But I think I think Maryland is

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Speaker 2: a live dog here and I think they're going to

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Speaker 2: rely on their ground game and you're gonna see a

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Speaker 2: lot of Henvy. It's gonna have a couple of broken runs,

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Speaker 2: I think, And I think Maryland's the side here, especially

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Speaker 2: at seven or better.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it's completely over sold here and Billy

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Speaker 1: Edwards is not that bad of a quarterback here. He

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Speaker 1: started against Northwestern NC State in a bowl game last year.

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Speaker 1: Three to OTD the I N T. He's got an

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Speaker 1: average depth of target of nine point four yards. He

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Speaker 1: did generate two hundred and thirty rushing yards last year,

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Speaker 1: but he also had five fumbles and thirty one rushing attempts.

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Speaker 1: This guy is a red zone tank. He's had six

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Speaker 1: rushing tds this season on thirteen attempts. He is the

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Speaker 1: goal line tush push Jalen Hurts six hundred pounds squad

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Speaker 1: guy when you go to the other side of the ball.

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Speaker 1: Heavy run ratio for Auburn's offense, that's all on Peyton, Thorn,

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Speaker 1: and Jark was Hunter high success rate running inside and

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Speaker 1: outside zone. Maryland was horrific against inside zone forty two

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Speaker 1: percent success rate. Maryland has a high coverage grade. They

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Speaker 1: ran exclusively in quarters and Thorn was pretty average against

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Speaker 1: that all seasons. So we'll see what they can do.

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Speaker 2: I agree with you.

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Speaker 1: I think the number's gone way too high. I would

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Speaker 1: have made this Auburn minus two with Talia Tagoveyola in

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Speaker 1: the game, so it's seven. You're definitely pushing the card

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Speaker 1: here because Billy Edwards is not a big drop off whatsoever.

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Speaker 1: It's just a different offense and you got a hole.

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Speaker 1: You got fifteen practices to prepare for this. There is

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Speaker 1: a big middle eight difference here in favor of you

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Speaker 1: freeze over Mike Loxley, probably one of the biggest and

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Speaker 1: all of ball season. You know, you could argue that

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Speaker 1: the point spread is too high and maybe you want

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Speaker 1: a way to see who controls halftime in the middle eight.

235
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Speaker 1: The big loss is Michael Harris on the defensive interior,

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Speaker 1: considering Maryland cannot defend inside zone. So I do think

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Speaker 1: Auburn wins the game. I think seven is way too inflated,

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Speaker 1: which makes Auburn my parlay piece of the day on

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Speaker 1: December thirtieth.

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Speaker 2: Edwards, by the way, against Michigan four carries, three yards,

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Speaker 2: three touchdowns, So yeah, he will be certainly utilized in

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Speaker 2: short yardage, whether it's third, fourth and one, and then

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Speaker 2: anytime they're near the goal line. But yeah, I always

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Speaker 2: looking for anytime.

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Speaker 1: TV prop's that's what we should be betting.

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Speaker 2: Yes, yeah, I'll definitely look into that. Maryland. I think

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Speaker 2: it's going to be the running dog here. And with

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Speaker 2: the Auburn wide receiver room. Just I mean, it wasn't

249
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Speaker 2: very good anyway, and now you've got a couple guys missing.

250
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Speaker 2: It's just, you know, this is an offense that Maryland's

251
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Speaker 2: defense can hang with. So I definitely think asking Auburn

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Speaker 2: to win by more than a touchdown is a little

253
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Speaker 2: too much. So yeah, I'm gonna ride with the Turps here.

254
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Speaker 2: Let's move on to oh god, the Capitol One Orange Bowl.

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Speaker 3: What else do you need to know?

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Speaker 2: You tell me what's in you a while between Florida

257
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Speaker 2: State and Georgia. Georgia's that I don't know, fifty point

258
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Speaker 2: favorite by non What is every time I look, it's

259
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Speaker 2: the line goes up? What are they? Nineteen and a half? Now?

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Speaker 1: I was getting questioned when I hit it at fourteen people,

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Speaker 1: are you sure? It seems like too much? I'm like, yeah,

262
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Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure. Here we go. But hey, if steam's wrong.

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Speaker 2: Yeah you're screwed now.

264
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Speaker 1: Flaria Georgia mean the end of this handicap, I want

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Speaker 1: you to tell me what number you take Florida State

266
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Speaker 1: because I don't even know where i'd take it.

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Speaker 2: There's a lot of news here. Florida State so Faria

268
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Speaker 2: state rasive right now is a nineteen and a half

269
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Speaker 2: point dog. Totals down to forty four and a half.

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Speaker 2: Let's start with Georgia. A bunch of guys in the portal.

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Speaker 2: Let's see Makai Muse their wide receiver punt returner. I'm

272
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Speaker 2: just gona dame the ones that are kind of important.

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Speaker 2: A couple of linebackers Marvin Jenes Junior sorry, Domus Johnson

274
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Speaker 2: and went to Kentucky opt outs Brock Bowers and Amarius

275
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Speaker 2: Mims did not travel with the team, so they're tackling

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Speaker 2: tight end. They're also dealing with injuries. Will not play

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Speaker 2: potential opt outs. I would say maybe Tate Rattledge, Kamari

278
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Speaker 2: Lassiter and his years tackles, but they're all practicing and

279
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Speaker 2: travel with the team, So it looks like Georgia and

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Speaker 2: Beck confirmed he's gonna start and return. Twenty twenty four,

281
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Speaker 2: Bullard van Prin, they all stated they're gonna play. Mccaukee's

282
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Speaker 2: dealing with injury, but he's gonna give it a go.

283
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Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean you got robrob Thomas, Julian Humphrey

284
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Speaker 2: have been dealing with injuries, but it looks like Georgia

285
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Speaker 2: is going to have most of its roster outside of

286
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Speaker 2: Bowers and Mems, and then a couple of injuries to

287
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Speaker 2: watch now Florida State man all right, so Jordan Travis

288
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Speaker 2: as everyone knows, out for the year. Then Tate Rodamaker

289
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Speaker 2: hit the portal, so third stringer Brock Glenn who started

290
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Speaker 2: the a SEC championship, and it was a disaster. We'll start, well,

291
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Speaker 2: let's go through the rest of that will be out

292
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Speaker 2: in Florida State, n Kean Coleman, starting receiver opted out.

293
00:15:07,680 --> 00:15:10,320
Speaker 2: Starting receiver Johnny Wilson opted out. Starting tight end Jean

294
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Speaker 2: Bell opted out. Starting running back Trade Benson opted out,

295
00:15:13,080 --> 00:15:15,480
Speaker 2: Starting d n Jared Verse opted out. Starting de tackle

296
00:15:15,560 --> 00:15:18,760
Speaker 2: Fabian Lovett opted out. Starting safety a Keen Dent opted out.

297
00:15:18,920 --> 00:15:22,320
Speaker 2: Starting cornerback Ernardo Green opted out. Starting cornerback Jerry and

298
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Speaker 2: Jones opted out. UH their Toeal Feelly they're running back

299
00:15:26,880 --> 00:15:29,760
Speaker 2: had surgery. Not on the depth chart, and let's go

300
00:15:29,760 --> 00:15:33,000
Speaker 2: to the transfer portal. Starting linebacker DJ Lundy not on

301
00:15:33,000 --> 00:15:36,840
Speaker 2: the depth chart. Portal defensive tackle Malcolm Ray portal not

302
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Speaker 2: on depth chart. Offensive tackle Bless Harris portal not on

303
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Speaker 2: depth chart. I'm only naming players that start the start

304
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Speaker 2: play a lot. Either running back Rodney Hill portal not

305
00:15:46,000 --> 00:15:49,200
Speaker 2: on the depth chart. Does look like Joshua Farmer, the

306
00:15:49,240 --> 00:15:52,240
Speaker 2: defensive lineman. He paused his transfer portal recus he is

307
00:15:52,240 --> 00:15:54,520
Speaker 2: on the depth chart, so a whole play. But you're

308
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Speaker 2: talking that's no one's offered me any money. I'm coming

309
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Speaker 2: back to show my skills. Twelve Yeah, no, that was

310
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Speaker 2: I saw that twelve thirteen. Fourteen starters out for Florida State,

311
00:16:06,040 --> 00:16:11,000
Speaker 2: including both quarterbacks. They're running back, their tight end, they're

312
00:16:11,040 --> 00:16:15,120
Speaker 2: two star receivers, an offensive lineman, almost their entire secondary,

313
00:16:15,360 --> 00:16:18,840
Speaker 2: almost their entire defensive line or the best players in

314
00:16:18,880 --> 00:16:22,800
Speaker 2: the defensive line. This is an absolute shell unit and

315
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Speaker 2: they have you know, Brock Glenn the quarterback. I don't

316
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Speaker 2: it's hard. I don't know how to I don't know

317
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Speaker 2: how to make this number. It's very difficult. But I

318
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Speaker 2: won't bet Florida State. I do worry, like now, it's

319
00:16:34,520 --> 00:16:36,800
Speaker 2: good that Georgia's all these guys are playing for Georgia,

320
00:16:36,880 --> 00:16:39,120
Speaker 2: because I would I would normally worry. It's like this

321
00:16:39,160 --> 00:16:43,480
Speaker 2: is the SEC Dead fish Bowl where the team that

322
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Speaker 2: you know lost the SEC championship. That was back to

323
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Speaker 2: back national championships. Now you're going to play Brock Lenn

324
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Speaker 2: in the Capitol One Orange Bowl like this this Georgia care. Yeah,

325
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Speaker 2: even if they don't care, they probably could still blow

326
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Speaker 2: this open. But the fact that all these guys are

327
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Speaker 2: playing shows me that they do care. In Florida State,

328
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Speaker 2: it looks like they're just checked out. I could only

329
00:17:07,119 --> 00:17:09,360
Speaker 2: lay it. I don't know if I could. I recommend

330
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Speaker 2: laying nineteen and a half now, but in order to

331
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Speaker 2: play Florida State, if you gave me twenty eight of

332
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Speaker 2: that Florida State.

333
00:17:20,240 --> 00:17:23,240
Speaker 1: You might get that by the end of the first quarter. Well,

334
00:17:23,280 --> 00:17:25,119
Speaker 1: you're talking to a guy that thought Eastern Michigan was

335
00:17:25,119 --> 00:17:27,640
Speaker 1: a cute little play. So I'll see see you later

336
00:17:27,640 --> 00:17:32,480
Speaker 1: to that money. Look started research in this game. You know,

337
00:17:32,520 --> 00:17:34,359
Speaker 1: brock Glenn, we can get into his stats twenty one

338
00:17:34,359 --> 00:17:37,200
Speaker 1: to twenty eight, no big time throws against Louisville. There's

339
00:17:37,200 --> 00:17:40,960
Speaker 1: no rushing aspect to his game. I made this stat

340
00:17:41,080 --> 00:17:43,320
Speaker 1: up in my Bowl notes and didn't realize that toe

341
00:17:43,400 --> 00:17:46,320
Speaker 1: Philly wasn't on the depth chart. FSU is missing more

342
00:17:46,320 --> 00:17:49,520
Speaker 1: than sixty percent of their receiving yards, receiving touchdowns, rushing

343
00:17:49,560 --> 00:17:51,560
Speaker 1: yards like, I think that number might be up over

344
00:17:51,680 --> 00:17:55,600
Speaker 1: seventy percent. Now, this might be the lowest amount of

345
00:17:55,640 --> 00:17:57,879
Speaker 1: scholarship players on a Bowl team in the history of

346
00:17:57,920 --> 00:18:00,640
Speaker 1: the sport. I would actually like to bet on over under.

347
00:18:00,680 --> 00:18:03,720
Speaker 1: I probably placed it at about forty seven. You know,

348
00:18:04,119 --> 00:18:05,480
Speaker 1: I don't know. You could name a couple of people

349
00:18:05,480 --> 00:18:06,000
Speaker 1: that are still there.

350
00:18:06,040 --> 00:18:07,800
Speaker 2: There's a way we should be playing Texas A and M.

351
00:18:07,880 --> 00:18:10,320
Speaker 1: That should be the ball that would be worth betting. Now,

352
00:18:10,320 --> 00:18:12,640
Speaker 1: you're right, Carson Beck is back to play. But when

353
00:18:12,640 --> 00:18:15,640
Speaker 1: I started diving into Georgia and what these guys are

354
00:18:15,640 --> 00:18:18,600
Speaker 1: playing for, I just can't believe it. Now. The first

355
00:18:18,600 --> 00:18:21,760
Speaker 1: time I heard a Kirby smart locker room speech was

356
00:18:21,760 --> 00:18:23,400
Speaker 1: a couple of years ago. I thought, that can't be him.

357
00:18:23,400 --> 00:18:26,359
Speaker 1: There's no way like this came from him. Then I

358
00:18:26,400 --> 00:18:27,960
Speaker 1: heard the locker room speech a year ago at the

359
00:18:28,040 --> 00:18:31,000
Speaker 1: National title game, and I wanted to run through a wall.

360
00:18:32,760 --> 00:18:35,960
Speaker 4: No, Joe ass is prepared for this ship for fucking

361
00:18:36,119 --> 00:18:38,760
Speaker 4: a three hundred by day, I think about the fuckers

362
00:18:38,800 --> 00:18:40,760
Speaker 4: in that locker room, all the shit you went through

363
00:18:40,800 --> 00:18:41,400
Speaker 4: this week.

364
00:18:41,240 --> 00:18:43,880
Speaker 2: To get ready to this game. Now is when you play.

365
00:18:43,760 --> 00:18:47,720
Speaker 4: The fucking price. A nervous about ship. Go out here

366
00:18:47,960 --> 00:18:50,720
Speaker 4: and fuck their ass up. Don't think about ship. You

367
00:18:50,800 --> 00:18:53,600
Speaker 4: think about knocking the ship out, of doing your ship up.

368
00:18:53,640 --> 00:18:56,960
Speaker 4: On here, do knock their asshof stay off the fucking good,

369
00:18:56,960 --> 00:18:58,240
Speaker 4: tackle the fucking man with the ball.

370
00:18:58,400 --> 00:19:00,120
Speaker 2: The ship's easy. The ship.

371
00:19:04,280 --> 00:19:04,480
Speaker 4: Call.

372
00:19:05,960 --> 00:19:07,919
Speaker 1: Now you go and look at these player quotes and

373
00:19:08,000 --> 00:19:10,520
Speaker 1: I'm just like, I just kind of laugh. I think

374
00:19:10,520 --> 00:19:12,600
Speaker 1: you and I talked about the podcast. Well, Kirby convinced

375
00:19:12,600 --> 00:19:15,879
Speaker 1: these guys they are underdogs. So defensive back Tyke Smith,

376
00:19:16,400 --> 00:19:19,280
Speaker 1: we're playing for one another, We're playing for something bigger

377
00:19:19,320 --> 00:19:21,639
Speaker 1: than ourselves. And I'm like, well, what are they playing for?

378
00:19:21,760 --> 00:19:24,720
Speaker 1: Tight end Oscar Dell. We've got something to prove. This

379
00:19:24,760 --> 00:19:27,960
Speaker 1: could be the winningest senior class in Georgia history. Then

380
00:19:28,040 --> 00:19:31,040
Speaker 1: Kirby says it. I think yesterday at the press conference,

381
00:19:31,480 --> 00:19:35,320
Speaker 1: we told the kids, we've calculated all the math. This

382
00:19:35,440 --> 00:19:38,880
Speaker 1: Georgia team, this senior class is one went away from

383
00:19:38,880 --> 00:19:41,480
Speaker 1: beating last year's group and being the all time winningest

384
00:19:41,720 --> 00:19:45,160
Speaker 1: set of Georgia Bulldogs in the history of Georgia. He's

385
00:19:45,359 --> 00:19:48,399
Speaker 1: feeding these kids that they can be the winningest Georgia

386
00:19:48,440 --> 00:19:50,880
Speaker 1: team in the history of the Georgia Bulldogs. And that's

387
00:19:50,920 --> 00:19:53,320
Speaker 1: why they're all sticking around. They're all playing for something

388
00:19:53,320 --> 00:19:57,000
Speaker 1: bigger than themselves. Carson Beck is getting ready for next year. Hey,

389
00:19:57,040 --> 00:19:59,399
Speaker 1: Nebraska got the Rayola kids, so you know, good for

390
00:19:59,440 --> 00:20:02,240
Speaker 1: Carson Beck's sticking a round. But how does Kirby Smart

391
00:20:02,240 --> 00:20:05,159
Speaker 1: make this shut up? I would say Georgia in the

392
00:20:05,160 --> 00:20:06,920
Speaker 1: first half. It's at ten and a half right now.

393
00:20:07,080 --> 00:20:09,160
Speaker 1: That might be a little bit too high considering Georgia's

394
00:20:09,160 --> 00:20:12,199
Speaker 1: sleepwalks in the first quarter. Although, if these players are

395
00:20:12,200 --> 00:20:13,920
Speaker 1: all playing, they're playing for a purpose and I don't

396
00:20:13,920 --> 00:20:16,119
Speaker 1: think they're going to take their foot off the gas.

397
00:20:16,160 --> 00:20:18,639
Speaker 1: So maybe split I would halfway split a bet between

398
00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:22,000
Speaker 1: the first half full game. I don't see because of

399
00:20:22,040 --> 00:20:24,520
Speaker 1: what's going on off the field. A part of me

400
00:20:24,600 --> 00:20:28,520
Speaker 1: feels like Florida State is trying to opt out of

401
00:20:28,520 --> 00:20:32,360
Speaker 1: the ACC. That's the biggest opt out, and their ultimate

402
00:20:32,400 --> 00:20:34,080
Speaker 1: desired goal is to come in and get some of

403
00:20:34,119 --> 00:20:36,919
Speaker 1: that TV money from Greg Sankie and the SEC. I

404
00:20:36,920 --> 00:20:39,400
Speaker 1: don't see Kirby Smart stopping here. You want to get

405
00:20:39,400 --> 00:20:41,280
Speaker 1: into the SEC, you want to be in our league.

406
00:20:41,680 --> 00:20:43,840
Speaker 1: Let me give you a little reminder about why you

407
00:20:43,880 --> 00:20:45,720
Speaker 1: don't want to be here. Facing me every year. I

408
00:20:45,800 --> 00:20:48,560
Speaker 1: just I don't see Georgia letting up. The way they're talking,

409
00:20:49,440 --> 00:20:51,480
Speaker 1: the way they're saying what they need this ball for,

410
00:20:52,359 --> 00:20:55,920
Speaker 1: and considering what the talent level that Florida State's putting.

411
00:20:55,720 --> 00:20:59,120
Speaker 2: Out there, I don't know, just mentally, where's Florida State?

412
00:20:59,160 --> 00:21:02,200
Speaker 2: They went undefeat, didn't get into the College to All playoff,

413
00:21:03,280 --> 00:21:06,359
Speaker 2: and now they all a opted at Like where what

414
00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:09,119
Speaker 2: is the effort like leading up to the Bowl there? Like,

415
00:21:09,160 --> 00:21:11,000
Speaker 2: do you think the staff was putting everything into this

416
00:21:11,040 --> 00:21:14,160
Speaker 2: game that they're out recruiting? Right, dealing with the fallout

417
00:21:14,200 --> 00:21:17,800
Speaker 2: from all this the focus level, and that's excluding the

418
00:21:17,840 --> 00:21:20,080
Speaker 2: talent just coming into this game, even if they had

419
00:21:20,119 --> 00:21:22,119
Speaker 2: all these guys playing, was going to be a major

420
00:21:22,160 --> 00:21:25,000
Speaker 2: obstacle for them to overcome. Yeah, Seah, there's a reason

421
00:21:25,040 --> 00:21:27,359
Speaker 2: this line is continuing to steam up. What would you

422
00:21:27,359 --> 00:21:29,120
Speaker 2: what number would you play that you need?

423
00:21:29,240 --> 00:21:32,120
Speaker 1: Well, you're at twenty eight, I would play I'd play

424
00:21:32,160 --> 00:21:35,560
Speaker 1: Florida State in the first half at fourteen. I would

425
00:21:35,600 --> 00:21:38,240
Speaker 1: really play the first quarter at ten because there's a

426
00:21:38,320 --> 00:21:40,760
Speaker 1: chance that you're right, the coaches haven't.

427
00:21:40,760 --> 00:21:43,920
Speaker 2: But Georgia's come out slow all year, right, Right, So I'm.

428
00:21:43,840 --> 00:21:46,000
Speaker 1: I actually might wait. If there's a Georgia, if there's

429
00:21:46,000 --> 00:21:48,040
Speaker 1: a Florida State ten in the first quarter, I'd easily

430
00:21:48,080 --> 00:21:49,520
Speaker 1: scoop that up. I'm not sure if we'll get there.

431
00:21:49,960 --> 00:21:51,480
Speaker 1: We're ten and a half for the half. I'm not

432
00:21:51,520 --> 00:21:54,600
Speaker 1: sure that's enough. But listen, Georgia wants to come out

433
00:21:54,600 --> 00:21:57,120
Speaker 1: and have two lackluster drives in a row, you're gonna

434
00:21:57,119 --> 00:21:59,000
Speaker 1: get a better live number. And that's what they've done

435
00:21:59,000 --> 00:21:59,440
Speaker 1: all season.

436
00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:03,679
Speaker 2: Yeah, what an absolutely gross game. Moving on this, at

437
00:22:03,720 --> 00:22:05,000
Speaker 2: least this game will be on at the same time.

438
00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:07,520
Speaker 2: Kill me what I'm saying this, but at least we

439
00:22:07,880 --> 00:22:12,600
Speaker 2: the Barstool Bowl the Barstool Arizona Bowl on c W Saturday,

440
00:22:12,600 --> 00:22:28,639
Speaker 2: December thirty four to thirty Eastern in Tucson, the Arizona Stadium.

441
00:22:30,400 --> 00:22:34,560
Speaker 2: Toledo versus Wyoming. Wyoming out past the field goal favor here,

442
00:22:35,320 --> 00:22:39,560
Speaker 2: total sitting at forty four and a half. Let's go

443
00:22:39,760 --> 00:22:45,200
Speaker 2: through some news here. Daikuon Finn starting quarterback for Toledo.

444
00:22:45,920 --> 00:22:48,720
Speaker 2: He hit the portal was a Baylor? Did he get

445
00:22:48,760 --> 00:22:50,840
Speaker 2: to go to Baylor?

446
00:22:52,440 --> 00:22:53,639
Speaker 1: I don't know how that helps.

447
00:22:54,880 --> 00:22:58,240
Speaker 2: Tucker Gleason will start. He did get some experience last

448
00:22:58,280 --> 00:23:00,720
Speaker 2: year's sixty nine snaps. This year, he's more of like

449
00:23:00,760 --> 00:23:04,480
Speaker 2: a gun slinger than Finn, who has way more mobility.

450
00:23:04,760 --> 00:23:07,639
Speaker 2: They're starting left guard than he's Scary, who's a good one.

451
00:23:08,000 --> 00:23:12,159
Speaker 2: He's also in the portal. I'd also probably guessed that

452
00:23:12,280 --> 00:23:14,840
Speaker 2: Quinyon Mitchell, who's like a potential first or second onnd

453
00:23:14,880 --> 00:23:17,920
Speaker 2: dret pick the best cornerback at the group of five level,

454
00:23:17,920 --> 00:23:20,919
Speaker 2: I'd assume he probably sits out, but nothing's been confirmed.

455
00:23:20,960 --> 00:23:26,000
Speaker 1: There, didn't you who Penny Boone?

456
00:23:26,560 --> 00:23:28,520
Speaker 2: Oh, Penny Boone? Wow, I didn't even see that.

457
00:23:28,520 --> 00:23:30,640
Speaker 1: I got a few hours ago. Yeah, I mean it's

458
00:23:30,680 --> 00:23:32,800
Speaker 1: happening fast here, Penny Boone.

459
00:23:32,800 --> 00:23:35,560
Speaker 2: That's huge. So now, Penny Boone the most talented back

460
00:23:35,840 --> 00:23:38,600
Speaker 2: in the MAC and they weren't a great run blocking unit,

461
00:23:38,640 --> 00:23:41,600
Speaker 2: and it was his his legs and Finn's legs that

462
00:23:41,760 --> 00:23:44,760
Speaker 2: made that offense go. Now you're taking both out of

463
00:23:44,800 --> 00:23:50,119
Speaker 2: the equation. You also have Wyoming. This is Craig Bowle's

464
00:23:50,240 --> 00:23:53,119
Speaker 2: last hurrah. He will retire after the Arizona Bowl. Offense

465
00:23:53,160 --> 00:23:55,520
Speaker 2: coordinator Tim Plastik will also be the new head coach

466
00:23:55,760 --> 00:23:59,399
Speaker 2: at North Dakota State. From a player personnel perspective, Not

467
00:23:59,760 --> 00:24:03,960
Speaker 2: much news for Wyoming. They're starting cornerback Holby Taylor. He

468
00:24:03,960 --> 00:24:06,560
Speaker 2: committed to Vanderbilt. He didn't play the final two games though,

469
00:24:06,600 --> 00:24:09,200
Speaker 2: but he obviously won't be there. Then they're starting right

470
00:24:09,240 --> 00:24:11,800
Speaker 2: tackle Kayden Barnett. He won't play the Bowl following surgery,

471
00:24:11,840 --> 00:24:14,920
Speaker 2: but he was out the last couple of games. Right

472
00:24:14,960 --> 00:24:17,520
Speaker 2: guard Jack Walsh kicked out there. He'll stay at right

473
00:24:17,560 --> 00:24:19,880
Speaker 2: tackle just like he did, and Bowl said. Everyone else

474
00:24:19,920 --> 00:24:25,000
Speaker 2: appears to be healthy and playing. Yeah, without without Boone,

475
00:24:25,600 --> 00:24:31,879
Speaker 2: without Finn, this is Wyoming or nothing. I would prefer. Yeah,

476
00:24:32,000 --> 00:24:35,680
Speaker 2: it's Wyoming. Still, it's not the most electric offense at

477
00:24:35,680 --> 00:24:37,879
Speaker 2: I've prefer a field goal if you want to take

478
00:24:37,920 --> 00:24:40,800
Speaker 2: a money line parlay with like Georgia money line to

479
00:24:40,840 --> 00:24:43,280
Speaker 2: get it down. I have them in a round robin.

480
00:24:43,800 --> 00:24:46,080
Speaker 2: But I think the Wyoming run game can work here.

481
00:24:46,280 --> 00:24:48,640
Speaker 2: It's actually Toledo is a little soft there this year

482
00:24:48,680 --> 00:24:50,600
Speaker 2: after losing a couple of really good players in the

483
00:24:50,600 --> 00:24:54,120
Speaker 2: front seven. And this is a big coaching number one motivation.

484
00:24:54,280 --> 00:24:58,480
Speaker 2: Like Toledo, you lose the MAC Championship game, you have

485
00:24:58,600 --> 00:25:01,479
Speaker 2: your quarterback and your back hit the sorr running hit

486
00:25:01,480 --> 00:25:07,560
Speaker 2: the portal Candle's been you know, entertaining job offers. I

487
00:25:07,600 --> 00:25:09,439
Speaker 2: don't know if the focus is there. Well, this is

488
00:25:09,480 --> 00:25:12,880
Speaker 2: the last hur Off or Bowl. I'm assuming that Wyoming

489
00:25:12,960 --> 00:25:15,639
Speaker 2: is going to show up here. Everything I've read signals

490
00:25:15,680 --> 00:25:17,879
Speaker 2: to me that they're fired up and it's just a

491
00:25:17,920 --> 00:25:20,680
Speaker 2: big mismatch. I mean, you look at Jason Kandall's bowl

492
00:25:20,760 --> 00:25:24,399
Speaker 2: history not good. Craig Bowl has always been good, So

493
00:25:24,840 --> 00:25:28,840
Speaker 2: I think this is this is Wyoming? Uh all the way,

494
00:25:29,240 --> 00:25:29,760
Speaker 2: what do you say?

495
00:25:30,000 --> 00:25:32,080
Speaker 1: I'm not sure the market's reacting enough. Looks like we

496
00:25:32,119 --> 00:25:33,920
Speaker 1: had to move from three up to three and a

497
00:25:34,000 --> 00:25:36,440
Speaker 1: half at a couple of the books with the announcement

498
00:25:36,480 --> 00:25:38,840
Speaker 1: of Penny Boon being out, And of course we're recording

499
00:25:38,840 --> 00:25:41,040
Speaker 1: this on Wednesday at night, so the Penny Boon news

500
00:25:41,080 --> 00:25:43,840
Speaker 1: is pretty fresh. And most of these notes that I have,

501
00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:46,480
Speaker 1: we're gonna make a case for why maybe you'd want

502
00:25:46,480 --> 00:25:49,280
Speaker 1: an inflated rockets line. Toledo runs a lot of power

503
00:25:49,280 --> 00:25:52,600
Speaker 1: and outside zone with Penny Boone, heaviest run direction over

504
00:25:52,680 --> 00:25:54,640
Speaker 1: left guard. Well, guess what they're missing their left guard

505
00:25:54,680 --> 00:25:57,879
Speaker 1: and the missing Penny Boone. So the reasons why you

506
00:25:57,880 --> 00:25:59,840
Speaker 1: would want to invest in this offense I mean there's

507
00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:02,280
Speaker 1: Than and Tucker gleaes and says he's a bad you know,

508
00:26:02,400 --> 00:26:04,320
Speaker 1: like like Stuck said, he's a gun slinger. Twelve to

509
00:26:04,359 --> 00:26:07,440
Speaker 1: three T to iron t ratio almost double as many

510
00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:10,040
Speaker 1: big time throws as turnover worthy plays. He had wheels

511
00:26:10,080 --> 00:26:12,119
Speaker 1: last year he ran for two hundred and thirty seven yards.

512
00:26:12,160 --> 00:26:15,240
Speaker 1: That was split between scrambles and designed But when you're

513
00:26:15,240 --> 00:26:18,560
Speaker 1: missing Penny Boon and you're missing your primary offensive lineman

514
00:26:18,600 --> 00:26:22,400
Speaker 1: where you run that zone, that makes it a lot tougher. Now,

515
00:26:22,600 --> 00:26:24,919
Speaker 1: I've loved Wyoming all year. I took him to one

516
00:26:24,960 --> 00:26:27,399
Speaker 1: the Mountain West, but Peasley ended the season on fire

517
00:26:27,480 --> 00:26:30,399
Speaker 1: against Well. It was why in Nevada's defenses, but he

518
00:26:30,480 --> 00:26:32,280
Speaker 1: had He ended up with a twenty to five TD

519
00:26:32,359 --> 00:26:34,879
Speaker 1: to I in t ratio. He had over one hundred

520
00:26:34,920 --> 00:26:38,399
Speaker 1: rushing yards in Week thirteen with two rushing tds. Peasley

521
00:26:38,400 --> 00:26:42,120
Speaker 1: wasn't great against quarters coverage, but this is a max secondary.

522
00:26:42,320 --> 00:26:45,320
Speaker 1: I projected this Toledo minus one. I thought this was

523
00:26:45,359 --> 00:26:48,639
Speaker 1: way too inflated at four. I cannot touch them with

524
00:26:48,680 --> 00:26:52,240
Speaker 1: a ten foot pole without Penny Boon running a zone

525
00:26:52,240 --> 00:26:54,800
Speaker 1: read option that goes over their best offensive lineman that

526
00:26:54,840 --> 00:26:56,440
Speaker 1: won't be. Neither of them will be in this game.

527
00:26:56,520 --> 00:26:58,480
Speaker 1: So I would still buy Wyoming at three and a

528
00:26:58,520 --> 00:27:00,639
Speaker 1: half even. I think there's a minus five out there.

529
00:27:00,680 --> 00:27:02,080
Speaker 1: You could buy it down to one fifteen.

530
00:27:02,880 --> 00:27:07,679
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to the rely a Quest Bowl.

531
00:27:08,160 --> 00:27:12,120
Speaker 2: We're gonna head to Monday, January first, in the New year, noon,

532
00:27:12,160 --> 00:27:16,239
Speaker 2: Eastern ESPN, Tampa Floer Raymond James Stadium. Wisconsin will take

533
00:27:16,280 --> 00:27:19,040
Speaker 2: on LSU else. He's a ten point favor over under

534
00:27:19,040 --> 00:27:21,480
Speaker 2: fifty five and a half. Wisconsin opt out. Starting running

535
00:27:21,520 --> 00:27:26,359
Speaker 2: back Braylan Allen, starting center Tennor Borderlini, starting cornerback Jason Matrix.

536
00:27:27,080 --> 00:27:29,119
Speaker 2: Jake Renfrow has missed the past two seasons at an

537
00:27:29,119 --> 00:27:31,840
Speaker 2: injury hope start at center. He actually started at CINCI

538
00:27:31,880 --> 00:27:33,639
Speaker 2: a couple of years ago. It didn't play at all

539
00:27:33,680 --> 00:27:38,240
Speaker 2: this year. A bunch of receivers Skyler bell Dk are out.

540
00:27:38,280 --> 00:27:42,280
Speaker 2: They're starting linebackers Jordan Turner, starting defensive lineman Burtis Johnson,

541
00:27:42,800 --> 00:27:46,400
Speaker 2: Darien Varner one of their defensive ends injuries. Their cornerback

542
00:27:46,440 --> 00:27:48,720
Speaker 2: Alexander Smith hasn't played. He's not on the Deptroit hasn't

543
00:27:48,720 --> 00:27:52,040
Speaker 2: played since Week eleven. Bryson Green their wide receiver. He

544
00:27:52,040 --> 00:27:53,760
Speaker 2: missed the finals against He is on the depth chartal

545
00:27:53,800 --> 00:27:56,359
Speaker 2: see if he plays, and then Chess Mlucy was lost

546
00:27:56,359 --> 00:27:57,760
Speaker 2: for the year. They could be really thin at the

547
00:27:57,800 --> 00:28:00,719
Speaker 2: skilled positions. Wisconsin has a Yeah, they have a lot

548
00:28:00,800 --> 00:28:05,000
Speaker 2: missing and skill positions and on defense. LSU transfer portal

549
00:28:06,080 --> 00:28:11,480
Speaker 2: starting quarterback stage Ryan nothing really major, but Jayden Daniels,

550
00:28:11,600 --> 00:28:15,359
Speaker 2: Heisman Trophy winner, did opt out. Garrett Nussmeyer will start

551
00:28:15,400 --> 00:28:18,760
Speaker 2: at quarterback. They do have some injuries. Although Mikai Wingo

552
00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:21,159
Speaker 2: hasn't played since weeknd, he's been practicing. Brian Kesey is

553
00:28:21,160 --> 00:28:23,920
Speaker 2: gonna play. That's huge, It's one of their best defensive tackles.

554
00:28:24,280 --> 00:28:27,320
Speaker 2: Their cornerback situation is still a little messy for LSU.

555
00:28:27,600 --> 00:28:30,200
Speaker 2: I thought Brian Thomas end or Milik Neighbors might opt out,

556
00:28:30,200 --> 00:28:32,840
Speaker 2: but Kelly said both are slated to play, although Neighbors

557
00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:36,080
Speaker 2: didn't practice the other day, but apparently they're both gonna play.

558
00:28:36,680 --> 00:28:40,840
Speaker 2: Nuss Meyer is more than capable. I you know, it's

559
00:28:40,840 --> 00:28:43,000
Speaker 2: hard for me to see because I think nus Meyer

560
00:28:43,040 --> 00:28:46,280
Speaker 2: can operate this offense just fine, and they could score

561
00:28:46,280 --> 00:28:50,320
Speaker 2: on the shorthanded Wisconsin defense. What I'm struggling to just

562
00:28:50,840 --> 00:28:53,760
Speaker 2: figure out I haven't pulled the trigger on this game.

563
00:28:53,880 --> 00:28:56,120
Speaker 2: Is like, do I really want to lay ten with LSU?

564
00:28:56,760 --> 00:28:58,920
Speaker 2: Because does it matter who they would play, especially in

565
00:28:58,960 --> 00:29:01,880
Speaker 2: a bowl? That their defense is that bad that anyone

566
00:29:02,240 --> 00:29:05,360
Speaker 2: could score with him and Lane double digits. It's just

567
00:29:05,520 --> 00:29:07,800
Speaker 2: not smart, so I had That's why I haven't pulled

568
00:29:07,840 --> 00:29:10,520
Speaker 2: the trigger yet. But then again, like Wisconsin, who's Wisconsin

569
00:29:10,600 --> 00:29:12,680
Speaker 2: throwing to? And I don't even know who they're throwing

570
00:29:12,720 --> 00:29:15,600
Speaker 2: to as of right now. I lean all SSU even

571
00:29:15,640 --> 00:29:17,520
Speaker 2: at minus ten, I think it's LUSU or nothing. What

572
00:29:17,560 --> 00:29:18,080
Speaker 2: do you see here?

573
00:29:18,440 --> 00:29:21,120
Speaker 1: I took a first half under listen, I'm not impressed

574
00:29:21,160 --> 00:29:25,200
Speaker 1: with something. This Wisconsin is Like this team this entire year,

575
00:29:25,240 --> 00:29:28,200
Speaker 1: You've had the personnel of big boy football, you know,

576
00:29:28,280 --> 00:29:30,520
Speaker 1: the thick offensive lineman, the thick running backs, and you

577
00:29:30,560 --> 00:29:33,520
Speaker 1: brought in Phil Longo to run this twenty four seconds

578
00:29:33,600 --> 00:29:36,280
Speaker 1: per play spread offense. It's just And you can see

579
00:29:36,280 --> 00:29:39,400
Speaker 1: in Tanner Mordecai's numbers right, six tds of four I iNTS,

580
00:29:40,040 --> 00:29:43,000
Speaker 1: eight point eight percent drop rate that's the highest in

581
00:29:43,040 --> 00:29:46,200
Speaker 1: his career is three years, dating back to SMU. Now,

582
00:29:46,240 --> 00:29:48,840
Speaker 1: he doesn't have any skilled positions whatsoever there at Wisconsin.

583
00:29:48,920 --> 00:29:51,600
Speaker 1: Two of the top eight targets are in for this game,

584
00:29:52,080 --> 00:29:54,480
Speaker 1: thirty nine rushing attempts for Mordecai. I think he's the

585
00:29:54,560 --> 00:29:57,080
Speaker 1: rushing leader out of everybody on the board with Jackson

586
00:29:57,120 --> 00:29:59,560
Speaker 1: Acker with that injury there, and Mordecai might be the

587
00:29:59,640 --> 00:30:03,760
Speaker 1: leading rusher this Wisconsin defense. They're missing key contributors on

588
00:30:03,800 --> 00:30:06,680
Speaker 1: the line at corner and in linebacker. And I think

589
00:30:06,720 --> 00:30:09,080
Speaker 1: when you say that nus Meyer is capable of taking

590
00:30:09,120 --> 00:30:13,800
Speaker 1: over this offense, absolutely, but the offense is completely different

591
00:30:13,840 --> 00:30:17,080
Speaker 1: without Jayden Daniels. With Jayden Daniels, you're an inside zone

592
00:30:17,120 --> 00:30:21,040
Speaker 1: team and man in power run schemes are second. That's

593
00:30:21,080 --> 00:30:24,040
Speaker 1: what you're looking at later on, because the whole offense

594
00:30:24,120 --> 00:30:27,960
Speaker 1: was Jaden Daniels, you know, present the zone read option,

595
00:30:28,600 --> 00:30:32,120
Speaker 1: slant deep ball. That changes now Now you can turn

596
00:30:32,160 --> 00:30:34,440
Speaker 1: into more of a traditional pocket passer. With nus Meyer,

597
00:30:34,480 --> 00:30:36,880
Speaker 1: who's got an arm that can throw across three states.

598
00:30:37,680 --> 00:30:40,640
Speaker 1: Wisconsin's defense, which is between a three four, two four five,

599
00:30:40,680 --> 00:30:43,800
Speaker 1: They're gonna give us a lot of different looks. More importantly,

600
00:30:43,840 --> 00:30:48,120
Speaker 1: they're twenty seventh and defensive pass EPA allowed. Not saying

601
00:30:48,160 --> 00:30:49,440
Speaker 1: that nus Meyer can't get a going.

602
00:30:49,520 --> 00:30:49,920
Speaker 2: I love him.

603
00:30:49,920 --> 00:30:51,760
Speaker 1: I've been a fan of this kid forever and been

604
00:30:51,800 --> 00:30:53,959
Speaker 1: waiting for him to start. But I think it's going

605
00:30:54,000 --> 00:30:56,360
Speaker 1: to be slow going because it's a different offensive system

606
00:30:56,560 --> 00:30:58,440
Speaker 1: that's going to be trotten out there than it has

607
00:30:58,480 --> 00:31:00,160
Speaker 1: been all year of the Jayden Daniels. Now. I know

608
00:31:00,200 --> 00:31:02,200
Speaker 1: they've had fifteen practices to get ready for this, but

609
00:31:02,800 --> 00:31:04,800
Speaker 1: still this is live game action. I think the first

610
00:31:04,840 --> 00:31:07,720
Speaker 1: couple series are going to be a little chopping. So

611
00:31:08,000 --> 00:31:11,640
Speaker 1: Wisconsin has no offense, zero missing, nearly every skill position

612
00:31:11,680 --> 00:31:14,160
Speaker 1: player the LSU and the new offense with nus they'll

613
00:31:14,200 --> 00:31:15,880
Speaker 1: pick it up. They'll get it going and passing down

614
00:31:15,960 --> 00:31:18,680
Speaker 1: to some point. But I'm taking first half under here.

615
00:31:18,680 --> 00:31:20,160
Speaker 1: There's a couple of twenty eight's out there.

616
00:31:20,000 --> 00:31:22,640
Speaker 2: On the board. All right, let's go on to the

617
00:31:22,840 --> 00:31:25,320
Speaker 2: cheese it. Oh good to have a good another good

618
00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:32,840
Speaker 2: cheese at bowl. Who's ready show who's a cheesy cheese

619
00:31:32,920 --> 00:31:36,440
Speaker 2: it Citrus Bowl between Iowan and Tennessee Tennessee around the

620
00:31:36,480 --> 00:31:39,360
Speaker 2: touchdown favorite total thirty five and a half A Josh

621
00:31:39,440 --> 00:31:41,600
Speaker 2: pipel A game with Josh pipel A Bowl game the

622
00:31:41,680 --> 00:31:43,440
Speaker 2: Josh pipe in the total thirty five and a half.

623
00:31:43,520 --> 00:31:45,760
Speaker 2: What is going on? Well, it's Iowa. This game will

624
00:31:45,760 --> 00:31:49,520
Speaker 2: be played Monday, January first, one pm Eastern ABC in Orlando, Florida,

625
00:31:49,560 --> 00:31:53,160
Speaker 2: Camping World Stadium. So Tennessee News opt out still Milton,

626
00:31:53,560 --> 00:31:56,720
Speaker 2: which means Nico the or star freshman i'm oleva will

627
00:31:56,720 --> 00:32:01,080
Speaker 2: get to start under center. They're starting both running backs

628
00:32:01,360 --> 00:32:05,880
Speaker 2: Ory Small Jalen Wright opted out starting din Tyler Barron Portal,

629
00:32:06,000 --> 00:32:10,920
Speaker 2: starting safety, Wesley Walker Portal, starting cornerback Denico Slaughter Portal

630
00:32:11,160 --> 00:32:14,880
Speaker 2: starting slot to Mary McDonald Portal, although he hasn't played

631
00:32:14,880 --> 00:32:18,640
Speaker 2: since Week ten. Some other depth corner pieces that played

632
00:32:19,040 --> 00:32:22,160
Speaker 2: at least one hundred fifty snaps Brandon Turnage Portal, Warren

633
00:32:22,160 --> 00:32:25,719
Speaker 2: Burrell Portal, left guard Addison Nichols, who got some run Portal.

634
00:32:26,040 --> 00:32:28,000
Speaker 2: Also looks like I mean, this is a team that's

635
00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:30,120
Speaker 2: been banged up all Yeah. They lost spide receiver Grugh

636
00:32:30,200 --> 00:32:32,840
Speaker 2: McCoy for the season, one of the best corners, Kamal

637
00:32:32,880 --> 00:32:37,280
Speaker 2: Hayden wide receiver, Dante Thornton, Keenan Peely at linebacker, Arion

638
00:32:37,320 --> 00:32:40,080
Speaker 2: Carter at linebacker. They're all done for the year. Spragan's

639
00:32:40,480 --> 00:32:42,840
Speaker 2: their starting right guard. He's out not on the depth

640
00:32:42,920 --> 00:32:46,480
Speaker 2: chart injury carriage. They're starting left guard. He didn't play

641
00:32:46,480 --> 00:32:49,640
Speaker 2: against Vandy, will see if he goes Omar Norman Lott

642
00:32:49,640 --> 00:32:52,120
Speaker 2: one of their d linemen. He didn't play, and neither

643
00:32:52,160 --> 00:32:54,920
Speaker 2: did Roman Harrison, although they both are on the depth chart.

644
00:32:55,400 --> 00:32:59,400
Speaker 2: But Tennessee has lost a lot, specifically in the secondary

645
00:33:00,160 --> 00:33:02,840
Speaker 2: and in the backfield. And then they will be starting

646
00:33:03,400 --> 00:33:08,280
Speaker 2: freshman Nico iam Aleva. Iowa not much news. I mean,

647
00:33:08,320 --> 00:33:10,400
Speaker 2: they basically have their old team except Cooper Jean, they're

648
00:33:10,440 --> 00:33:13,240
Speaker 2: starting quarterback and stud punt returner who's out for the year.

649
00:33:13,880 --> 00:33:16,240
Speaker 2: Starting right tackled Jennings Dunker didn't plan in the Big

650
00:33:16,240 --> 00:33:18,720
Speaker 2: Ten title, but Freend said him and Senter Logan Jones

651
00:33:18,760 --> 00:33:21,400
Speaker 2: are doing well health wise. So other than the entrants

652
00:33:21,400 --> 00:33:23,720
Speaker 2: they suffered early in the air, quarterback Kate mcnamher, both

653
00:33:23,720 --> 00:33:27,120
Speaker 2: their tight ends all in Lache. Some were saying Lache

654
00:33:27,240 --> 00:33:28,880
Speaker 2: might be back for this game, but he's not. They're out.

655
00:33:28,880 --> 00:33:31,680
Speaker 2: But other than that, like no one like Deontay Vines

656
00:33:31,680 --> 00:33:33,960
Speaker 2: the wide receiver hit the portal, and their backup quarterback

657
00:33:34,440 --> 00:33:37,240
Speaker 2: Spencer Betrist did. But other than that, Iowa has like

658
00:33:37,240 --> 00:33:40,520
Speaker 2: its full team Now, the question becomes what are we

659
00:33:40,560 --> 00:33:43,680
Speaker 2: going to get from Nico the young freshman phenom quarterback

660
00:33:44,120 --> 00:33:46,880
Speaker 2: ken I is Iowa capable of taking advantage of the

661
00:33:46,960 --> 00:33:50,680
Speaker 2: defensive losses on Tennessee. You have to remember it's still

662
00:33:50,680 --> 00:33:55,720
Speaker 2: Deacon Hill a quarterback. He's basically a left guard. Maybe

663
00:33:55,720 --> 00:33:58,360
Speaker 2: Tennessee could use in the guard if all their guys

664
00:33:58,360 --> 00:33:58,800
Speaker 2: don't play.

665
00:33:58,800 --> 00:34:02,440
Speaker 1: A few offensive linemen have been catching touchdown passes as ballseason, so.

666
00:34:02,760 --> 00:34:06,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, maybe we've got a throwback pass to Deacon Hill.

667
00:34:06,200 --> 00:34:08,480
Speaker 2: I think this game, to me is very difficult to

668
00:34:08,480 --> 00:34:12,040
Speaker 2: handicap because Nico playing race. I mean, it just increases

669
00:34:12,040 --> 00:34:15,200
Speaker 2: the variants so much. Like now Tennessee could now win,

670
00:34:15,760 --> 00:34:18,880
Speaker 2: you know, by twenty eight if he is spectacular. But

671
00:34:18,920 --> 00:34:21,560
Speaker 2: this is a hard defense to go against for your

672
00:34:21,560 --> 00:34:26,280
Speaker 2: first start. Zone base, don't give up any explosive plays,

673
00:34:26,760 --> 00:34:29,719
Speaker 2: force you into mistakes, because that's the other end of

674
00:34:29,760 --> 00:34:33,280
Speaker 2: the spectrum is that this could also just lead to,

675
00:34:33,560 --> 00:34:36,719
Speaker 2: you know, two pick sixes in the first quarter disaster.

676
00:34:37,280 --> 00:34:39,759
Speaker 2: So the variants now is huge. I would tend to

677
00:34:39,840 --> 00:34:43,080
Speaker 2: lean towards like I wouldn't trust a young quarterback going

678
00:34:43,160 --> 00:34:46,480
Speaker 2: up against this defense in his first start. It's a

679
00:34:46,600 --> 00:34:48,719
Speaker 2: very complex defense to go against, and you're just not

680
00:34:48,800 --> 00:34:51,760
Speaker 2: You got to be patient, you got to see the field,

681
00:34:51,760 --> 00:34:53,799
Speaker 2: and you get tricked into throws and you're not going

682
00:34:53,840 --> 00:34:56,560
Speaker 2: to hit explosives. It's tough to go the whole game

683
00:34:56,600 --> 00:34:59,279
Speaker 2: without making a couple of key mistakes, which might be

684
00:34:59,320 --> 00:35:01,880
Speaker 2: the difference in this What do you see here? So

685
00:35:01,960 --> 00:35:02,480
Speaker 2: I took.

686
00:35:02,360 --> 00:35:05,480
Speaker 1: Iowa and the bull confidence pool. I thought that they

687
00:35:05,520 --> 00:35:07,640
Speaker 1: could have won this out right, even with Joe Milton there.

688
00:35:08,160 --> 00:35:11,960
Speaker 1: You mentioned that Iowa exclusive zone average blitz. They flashed

689
00:35:11,960 --> 00:35:14,000
Speaker 1: a heavy amount of cover three in quarters, and Joe

690
00:35:14,040 --> 00:35:17,759
Speaker 1: Milton was he had his moments. Good luck to you,

691
00:35:17,960 --> 00:35:20,719
Speaker 1: but you know that I think now with Nico in there,

692
00:35:21,120 --> 00:35:22,879
Speaker 1: which we talked to boy, you and I talked about

693
00:35:22,920 --> 00:35:25,120
Speaker 1: this back in August, Nico is the one that suited

694
00:35:25,120 --> 00:35:28,400
Speaker 1: to run Josh Heipel's offense from a timing perspective. But

695
00:35:28,600 --> 00:35:31,360
Speaker 1: they just don't have any of the targets, the explosive

696
00:35:31,360 --> 00:35:33,319
Speaker 1: targets that are needed there to score the points. So

697
00:35:33,640 --> 00:35:35,640
Speaker 1: you're right, the variance is huge here, but it could

698
00:35:35,640 --> 00:35:38,720
Speaker 1: include a lot of points. But I think you've already

699
00:35:38,800 --> 00:35:40,279
Speaker 1: I mean the play that I wanted to take as

700
00:35:40,320 --> 00:35:42,680
Speaker 1: I came on to this podcast. I think you already

701
00:35:42,719 --> 00:35:44,000
Speaker 1: made the case and you don't even know that you

702
00:35:44,040 --> 00:35:48,520
Speaker 1: said it. So, I mean the question is is Iowa's

703
00:35:48,800 --> 00:35:52,480
Speaker 1: does a month of preparation help the Hawkeyes? And if

704
00:35:52,480 --> 00:35:55,440
Speaker 1: you look at their bull season and I don't understand

705
00:35:55,440 --> 00:35:57,880
Speaker 1: what's going on when Iowa gets a full month to prepare,

706
00:35:57,920 --> 00:36:00,280
Speaker 1: what is going on to their offense? Last year twenty

707
00:36:00,320 --> 00:36:02,520
Speaker 1: one points in the Music City Bowl. A year before,

708
00:36:02,600 --> 00:36:05,520
Speaker 1: seventeen points against Kentucky two years ago, that was in

709
00:36:05,560 --> 00:36:09,000
Speaker 1: this Bowl, three Bowls, Penstripe Holiday out back. Here's Iowa's

710
00:36:09,040 --> 00:36:11,719
Speaker 1: totals twenty seven to twenty seven and forty nine. I

711
00:36:11,800 --> 00:36:14,840
Speaker 1: get it. I know the offense has regressed. Their team

712
00:36:14,920 --> 00:36:17,840
Speaker 1: total right now is sitting at thirteen and a half.

713
00:36:17,960 --> 00:36:20,400
Speaker 1: You already said out loud, there could be Nico could

714
00:36:20,400 --> 00:36:24,360
Speaker 1: have a couple pick sixes. I think Iowa over thirteen

715
00:36:24,360 --> 00:36:27,440
Speaker 1: and a half is not only a a sound investment

716
00:36:27,719 --> 00:36:29,600
Speaker 1: considering I don't think Tennessee's going to be able to

717
00:36:29,600 --> 00:36:31,359
Speaker 1: stand up. I think it's a field position game, it's

718
00:36:31,360 --> 00:36:32,680
Speaker 1: a pun game. I think Iowa is going to be

719
00:36:32,719 --> 00:36:35,200
Speaker 1: in good shape. They are going to fill the stadium

720
00:36:35,200 --> 00:36:37,479
Speaker 1: with their fans. They travel like no other fan base

721
00:36:37,520 --> 00:36:40,840
Speaker 1: on New Year's Day. B Nico's in there. He's gonna

722
00:36:40,840 --> 00:36:44,200
Speaker 1: make mistakes here against this defense of Iowa. It doesn't matter.

723
00:36:44,200 --> 00:36:46,480
Speaker 1: I mean, they're gonna be set up great. If Nico

724
00:36:46,520 --> 00:36:49,359
Speaker 1: can't get it figured out. And hey, let's see Nico

725
00:36:49,400 --> 00:36:51,839
Speaker 1: does get it figured out, Iowa may get extra possessions here.

726
00:36:52,320 --> 00:36:54,400
Speaker 1: I'm not expecting much out of the Iowa offense. I

727
00:36:54,440 --> 00:36:57,239
Speaker 1: do think that they can score a touchdown here. But

728
00:36:58,560 --> 00:37:01,240
Speaker 1: you know, I think Iowa over thirteen and a half

729
00:37:01,760 --> 00:37:04,800
Speaker 1: is doable. I mean, considering I'm based on past Bowl

730
00:37:04,880 --> 00:37:07,000
Speaker 1: history and now we have a fresh new quarterback that's

731
00:37:07,000 --> 00:37:10,359
Speaker 1: never run the system or seen this defense. I've already

732
00:37:10,360 --> 00:37:12,040
Speaker 1: got iowall plus seven. I think I'm gonna bet Iowa

733
00:37:12,120 --> 00:37:13,040
Speaker 1: over thirteen and a half.

734
00:37:13,960 --> 00:37:15,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't mind that they probably will open it

735
00:37:15,800 --> 00:37:17,319
Speaker 2: up a little bit more. They might actually go for

736
00:37:17,320 --> 00:37:19,720
Speaker 2: it on the fourth downs. It's a bowl, by the way,

737
00:37:20,120 --> 00:37:24,399
Speaker 2: since twenty fifteen, everyone always clowns the Big Ten West.

738
00:37:24,440 --> 00:37:28,160
Speaker 2: The Big Ten West has played thirty six Bowl games

739
00:37:28,280 --> 00:37:30,040
Speaker 2: since twenty fifteen. What do you think their record is?

740
00:37:31,200 --> 00:37:36,960
Speaker 2: Five twenty seven and nine, twenty seven and nine. So

741
00:37:37,000 --> 00:37:42,440
Speaker 2: there might be something to like these ugly rugged teams

742
00:37:42,440 --> 00:37:44,360
Speaker 2: that just defend and come in and win a pound

743
00:37:44,400 --> 00:37:47,000
Speaker 2: and run where that the other team is just not

744
00:37:47,080 --> 00:37:50,640
Speaker 2: interested in playing that style in a bowl game, right,

745
00:37:50,719 --> 00:37:54,240
Speaker 2: And yeah, I mean, I mean we talk about bowls

746
00:37:54,280 --> 00:37:56,000
Speaker 2: and twenty seven and nine of the Big Toss two

747
00:37:56,000 --> 00:37:58,280
Speaker 2: and os so far this year. We've talked about this before.

748
00:37:58,440 --> 00:38:00,919
Speaker 1: All the coaches, they always say the ackling falls off,

749
00:38:00,920 --> 00:38:02,719
Speaker 1: the defense falls off when you take a break. But

750
00:38:02,760 --> 00:38:04,759
Speaker 1: maybe that's just just does as not applicable to Big

751
00:38:04,800 --> 00:38:05,759
Speaker 1: ten West defenses.

752
00:38:06,200 --> 00:38:09,120
Speaker 2: Big ten West so far this Pols season, Northwestern upset, Utah,

753
00:38:09,640 --> 00:38:14,160
Speaker 2: Minnesota covered against Bowling Green two and o so far. Rutgers,

754
00:38:14,160 --> 00:38:17,560
Speaker 2: who we'd like coming out, who they're not in the

755
00:38:17,600 --> 00:38:19,200
Speaker 2: Big ten West? Who else we have left? Do we

756
00:38:19,239 --> 00:38:22,120
Speaker 2: have anything besides Iowa? We got Wisconsin. We just talked

757
00:38:22,120 --> 00:38:27,920
Speaker 2: about the Nebraska Purdue Many Illinois and didn't make it right. So, yeah,

758
00:38:28,200 --> 00:38:31,040
Speaker 2: twenty seven to nine. I was shocked by that too.

759
00:38:31,800 --> 00:38:34,560
Speaker 2: Shout out Nick who tweeted that to me. All right,

760
00:38:34,600 --> 00:38:36,799
Speaker 2: let's move on to Yeah, I don't mind that that

761
00:38:36,800 --> 00:38:39,200
Speaker 2: team total over that's super low for a bowl. Let's

762
00:38:39,200 --> 00:38:41,960
Speaker 2: go to the Fiesta Bowl. January first, one pm Eastern

763
00:38:42,000 --> 00:38:49,760
Speaker 2: between Liberty and Oregon. Liberty Liberty Liberty the RBO Fiesta Bowl.

764
00:38:50,280 --> 00:38:52,600
Speaker 2: This is the same time as Ioa, Tennessee. He's there.

765
00:38:52,640 --> 00:38:54,160
Speaker 2: You know. I got three games around the afternoon before

766
00:38:54,160 --> 00:38:55,880
Speaker 2: we get to the Cultur playoff, which well get to next.

767
00:38:56,480 --> 00:39:01,080
Speaker 2: This game will be played in Glendell, Zona. Oregon's a

768
00:39:01,080 --> 00:39:03,359
Speaker 2: sixteen and a half point favorite over under sixty seven

769
00:39:03,360 --> 00:39:07,319
Speaker 2: and a half Liberty transfer portal starting quarterback, excuse me,

770
00:39:07,360 --> 00:39:11,560
Speaker 2: starting cornerback Preston Hodge in the portal. Kendy Charles, the

771
00:39:11,600 --> 00:39:14,480
Speaker 2: defensive linean. He hasn't played since week eleven, and they're

772
00:39:14,480 --> 00:39:16,600
Speaker 2: starting linebacker Jerome Jolly. He didn't play in the conference

773
00:39:16,600 --> 00:39:18,719
Speaker 2: title game. He was injured. We'll see what his status is.

774
00:39:18,960 --> 00:39:22,120
Speaker 2: Same thing with Corey Jones, one of their safeties. Oregon.

775
00:39:22,680 --> 00:39:25,080
Speaker 2: I assumed a bunch of a bunch more players were

776
00:39:25,080 --> 00:39:27,200
Speaker 2: gonna opt out than they did. But Bo Knicks is

777
00:39:27,200 --> 00:39:30,839
Speaker 2: gonna play, Bucky Arian's gonna play. We still could get

778
00:39:30,920 --> 00:39:34,319
Speaker 2: some more news. But Brandon Dorles, there's stud defensive lineman.

779
00:39:34,320 --> 00:39:36,120
Speaker 2: He came out and said he's gonna play. Their center,

780
00:39:36,200 --> 00:39:40,320
Speaker 2: Jackson Powers Johnson he opted out their wide receiver, Troy Franklin,

781
00:39:40,800 --> 00:39:43,799
Speaker 2: he's their best receiver. He opted out. They're starting cornerback

782
00:39:43,960 --> 00:39:46,760
Speaker 2: Kyrie Jackson, he opted out, So only three opt outs

783
00:39:47,680 --> 00:39:51,120
Speaker 2: as of right now. Maybe Tes Johnson, I don't think so.

784
00:39:51,200 --> 00:39:54,520
Speaker 2: Tight En, Terrence Ferguson, maybe I don't think so. Maybe

785
00:39:54,560 --> 00:39:57,719
Speaker 2: Birch probably Jordan Burch's the defensive end. He's also dealing

786
00:39:57,719 --> 00:40:00,719
Speaker 2: with injury. I could see him. But other than that,

787
00:40:00,800 --> 00:40:06,200
Speaker 2: it looks like Oregon cares here. Like Nixon Irving playing

788
00:40:06,360 --> 00:40:09,319
Speaker 2: kind of surprising to me against Liberty. I if Nix

789
00:40:09,400 --> 00:40:12,520
Speaker 2: is playing and Irving is playing, Liberty is not getting

790
00:40:12,560 --> 00:40:16,280
Speaker 2: any stops. Let's be honest bow next season then full effects.

791
00:40:17,840 --> 00:40:21,680
Speaker 2: We watched New Mexico State with regardless of what quarterback

792
00:40:21,719 --> 00:40:24,040
Speaker 2: they had in move up and down the field. They're

793
00:40:24,080 --> 00:40:26,600
Speaker 2: playing in conference to USA with one of the worst

794
00:40:26,600 --> 00:40:30,400
Speaker 2: schedules in the country. There, they are completely reliant on

795
00:40:30,400 --> 00:40:32,719
Speaker 2: Turner like getting picks, which is just not going to

796
00:40:32,760 --> 00:40:35,480
Speaker 2: happen against Nicks, and they're just not gonna be able

797
00:40:35,480 --> 00:40:37,440
Speaker 2: to tackle in space, and so Oregon's gonna get their

798
00:40:37,440 --> 00:40:40,080
Speaker 2: points here. The reason is total sitting at sixty eight,

799
00:40:40,960 --> 00:40:44,560
Speaker 2: Do I want to lay seventeen of the Oregon Not really.

800
00:40:45,160 --> 00:40:48,759
Speaker 2: There could be just some letdown still. Oregon is so

801
00:40:48,800 --> 00:40:51,839
Speaker 2: close to the college will playoff that Washington loss, but

802
00:40:51,880 --> 00:40:55,000
Speaker 2: it seems like they care. Liberty probably can put up

803
00:40:55,040 --> 00:41:01,120
Speaker 2: some points here. Backdoor risk is massive here, especially at

804
00:41:01,160 --> 00:41:03,120
Speaker 2: seventeen and a half, Like you're up twenty four late

805
00:41:03,160 --> 00:41:05,320
Speaker 2: as a blowout and you'll have Stalter Goot on the

806
00:41:05,360 --> 00:41:08,120
Speaker 2: field and score. If I had to take this, I

807
00:41:08,160 --> 00:41:10,719
Speaker 2: probably take Liberty, but no strong field. What do you

808
00:41:10,719 --> 00:41:13,160
Speaker 2: see here in the the RBO fiestaval.

809
00:41:12,880 --> 00:41:14,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean if this was played during the season,

810
00:41:14,560 --> 00:41:16,600
Speaker 1: I would have made Oregon minus nineteen and a half.

811
00:41:16,640 --> 00:41:18,560
Speaker 1: So I would definitely wait for some game day steam

812
00:41:18,560 --> 00:41:21,680
Speaker 1: before I would partake. But you know, I think the

813
00:41:21,719 --> 00:41:24,320
Speaker 1: thing is, what's the mindset of these players for Oregon.

814
00:41:24,360 --> 00:41:26,200
Speaker 1: Bo Knicks came out and said, I want to finish

815
00:41:26,280 --> 00:41:28,320
Speaker 1: the season right. I didn't want to leave college football

816
00:41:28,360 --> 00:41:31,160
Speaker 1: with a loss in the Pactal Championship. He's going to

817
00:41:31,239 --> 00:41:35,319
Speaker 1: have some extremely explosive skilled position players around him from

818
00:41:35,320 --> 00:41:38,839
Speaker 1: Bucky Irving, James Jordan Tesz Johnson averages three point two

819
00:41:38,920 --> 00:41:42,839
Speaker 1: yards per route run. That is razy explosive, you know,

820
00:41:42,840 --> 00:41:46,719
Speaker 1: forgive me if I mispronounce it, Iyo Panini La Lu

821
00:41:46,800 --> 00:41:49,360
Speaker 1: La Lou will take over at center forty six snaps

822
00:41:49,360 --> 00:41:51,720
Speaker 1: a season. He had three hundred at both guard positions,

823
00:41:51,719 --> 00:41:53,279
Speaker 1: So I don't you know, at least we have some

824
00:41:53,320 --> 00:41:58,719
Speaker 1: experience that's going in over Jackson powers Johnson Liberty. They

825
00:41:58,719 --> 00:42:01,320
Speaker 1: have a near service had tom Me rush pass ratio

826
00:42:01,520 --> 00:42:04,719
Speaker 1: like seventy percent heavy inside zone, they use man, they

827
00:42:04,840 --> 00:42:06,759
Speaker 1: use pull lead. All of them have a pretty high

828
00:42:06,760 --> 00:42:08,400
Speaker 1: sucess rate. But I keep going back one hundred and

829
00:42:08,440 --> 00:42:11,399
Speaker 1: thirty third strength to schedule Liberty. I mean, come on,

830
00:42:11,520 --> 00:42:15,960
Speaker 1: you're just in a bathtub full of degenerate teams in

831
00:42:16,000 --> 00:42:17,680
Speaker 1: the Conference USA, and then you're gonna show up, and

832
00:42:17,680 --> 00:42:19,879
Speaker 1: if he has to bowl and play organ it's hard

833
00:42:19,920 --> 00:42:23,279
Speaker 1: to gauge that. So Liberty finished ninety third and rush explosives.

834
00:42:23,719 --> 00:42:26,800
Speaker 1: Oregon was top forty and stopping chunk yards on the ground,

835
00:42:27,160 --> 00:42:29,600
Speaker 1: So we'll see. You know, Oregon defends every single one

836
00:42:29,640 --> 00:42:33,120
Speaker 1: of those run concepts with average success rate, a much

837
00:42:33,160 --> 00:42:36,120
Speaker 1: tougher schedule than what Liberty has ever faced. So I

838
00:42:36,120 --> 00:42:39,839
Speaker 1: think this game really comes down to Liberty's quarterback Cayden

839
00:42:39,880 --> 00:42:43,160
Speaker 1: Salter and his arm. Oregon was top twenty six, Top

840
00:42:43,160 --> 00:42:46,440
Speaker 1: twenty five, and PFF coverage grading twelve in defensive pass EPA.

841
00:42:47,680 --> 00:42:50,120
Speaker 1: I think there's a there's a chance for some points here.

842
00:42:51,040 --> 00:42:54,280
Speaker 1: Liberty's defense finished eleventh and havoc and it wasn't TFLs

843
00:42:54,280 --> 00:42:57,640
Speaker 1: were causing fumbles. It was all PBUs interceptions. They only

844
00:42:57,640 --> 00:43:00,520
Speaker 1: trailed Florida State. So I think there is a chance

845
00:43:00,560 --> 00:43:02,920
Speaker 1: here to take to get a mistake from bow Knicks

846
00:43:03,480 --> 00:43:06,200
Speaker 1: turn that into some points. So I'm not gonna play

847
00:43:06,239 --> 00:43:08,920
Speaker 1: the side. I do like the over in this game,

848
00:43:08,960 --> 00:43:10,799
Speaker 1: and I'll tell you why not. Only do I think

849
00:43:10,840 --> 00:43:12,400
Speaker 1: there's a path for Liberty to create some having and

850
00:43:12,400 --> 00:43:14,799
Speaker 1: get some points up on the board. I don't see

851
00:43:14,840 --> 00:43:18,160
Speaker 1: bo Knicks walking off that field until the end of

852
00:43:18,200 --> 00:43:21,040
Speaker 1: the fourth quarter. The way they're all talking about his

853
00:43:21,080 --> 00:43:24,120
Speaker 1: relationship with Dan Lanning, his relationship with the players on

854
00:43:24,160 --> 00:43:26,600
Speaker 1: the team, they're all coming back to play together. I

855
00:43:26,680 --> 00:43:28,359
Speaker 1: just I don't think you show up and play one

856
00:43:28,400 --> 00:43:30,200
Speaker 1: half and then call it a day. I think you're

857
00:43:30,239 --> 00:43:32,960
Speaker 1: out there and still playing. Now, there's another thing. This

858
00:43:33,080 --> 00:43:38,279
Speaker 1: Fiesta Bowl considerably a high amount of points every single year.

859
00:43:38,680 --> 00:43:40,840
Speaker 1: I know the Arizona Cardinals play there in the NFL.

860
00:43:40,880 --> 00:43:43,040
Speaker 1: But for some reason, when the Fiesta Bowl gets played

861
00:43:43,320 --> 00:43:46,480
Speaker 1: and they wheel that turf on in there, everybody's slipping

862
00:43:46,480 --> 00:43:49,040
Speaker 1: and sliding all over the place. Michigan and TCU put

863
00:43:49,080 --> 00:43:52,160
Speaker 1: one hundred points up in this bowl. Trevor Lawrence and

864
00:43:52,320 --> 00:43:54,840
Speaker 1: Justin Fields had like eighty points in this bowl. I

865
00:43:54,840 --> 00:43:56,520
Speaker 1: don't know what is going on with this turf. It

866
00:43:56,600 --> 00:44:00,640
Speaker 1: is the same thing every year. No one can stay upright.

867
00:44:00,800 --> 00:44:03,480
Speaker 1: They're slipping and sliding and as I check.

868
00:44:03,640 --> 00:44:05,680
Speaker 2: And that impacts the pass rush too. You just can't

869
00:44:05,680 --> 00:44:06,200
Speaker 2: get a grip.

870
00:44:06,239 --> 00:44:12,160
Speaker 1: And Oregon is second in creating broken tackles. Liberty's seventy

871
00:44:12,440 --> 00:44:14,440
Speaker 1: seventy second and allowing broken tackles.

872
00:44:14,600 --> 00:44:16,800
Speaker 2: There's that's that's what the conference to say. Schedule.

873
00:44:17,040 --> 00:44:20,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, so I give me points, I'll say. I'll

874
00:44:20,920 --> 00:44:22,560
Speaker 1: say over here, I don't think Bonux comes off the

875
00:44:22,600 --> 00:44:23,680
Speaker 1: field till the end of fourth.

876
00:44:27,320 --> 00:44:30,160
Speaker 2: All right, it's that time. You can move on finally

877
00:44:30,400 --> 00:44:32,839
Speaker 2: to games where we don't have to list out the

878
00:44:33,239 --> 00:44:36,799
Speaker 2: countless number of players who aren't playing. Let's get to

879
00:44:37,440 --> 00:44:44,840
Speaker 2: the college football layoff. Let's start with Alabama Michigan.

880
00:44:47,440 --> 00:44:51,440
Speaker 4: I know what you shit, don't stay.

881
00:44:51,520 --> 00:44:52,839
Speaker 1: But lit.

882
00:45:02,800 --> 00:45:06,759
Speaker 2: In the Rose Bowl presented by Prudential, Monday, January first,

883
00:45:06,760 --> 00:45:10,440
Speaker 2: five pm Eastern n Pasadena, Michigan, one and a half

884
00:45:10,480 --> 00:45:13,319
Speaker 2: point favorite. Air total tick down below forty five to

885
00:45:13,320 --> 00:45:16,520
Speaker 2: forty four and a half. I will give quick news here.

886
00:45:16,640 --> 00:45:19,320
Speaker 2: Jase McClellin, he didn't play the SEC Championship. He's questionable

887
00:45:19,320 --> 00:45:22,200
Speaker 2: to play. Their running back Boy McKinstry suffered a concussion,

888
00:45:22,200 --> 00:45:25,360
Speaker 2: but he's since cleared. Protocol. Michigan, they lost their studs

889
00:45:25,400 --> 00:45:29,560
Speaker 2: starting right guard Zach Center for the season, quarterback Will Johnson,

890
00:45:29,600 --> 00:45:32,239
Speaker 2: he missed a Big Ten title game. He confirmed he

891
00:45:32,280 --> 00:45:35,320
Speaker 2: will play, and their starting linebacker Junior Colson. He is

892
00:45:35,360 --> 00:45:40,040
Speaker 2: expected to play despite two casts. His casts on both hands.

893
00:45:40,080 --> 00:45:44,040
Speaker 2: It's gonna be double clubbed at linebacker. Other than that,

894
00:45:44,120 --> 00:45:47,160
Speaker 2: you know, you're not going to have any major portal

895
00:45:47,200 --> 00:45:49,640
Speaker 2: news for teams in the playoffs. So pretty close to

896
00:45:49,680 --> 00:45:55,480
Speaker 2: full rosters here. I so I broke this game down

897
00:45:56,400 --> 00:45:59,000
Speaker 2: a couple of times over the past few weeks. I

898
00:45:59,160 --> 00:46:02,560
Speaker 2: like the under, but I missed it. I wanted forty

899
00:46:02,560 --> 00:46:04,480
Speaker 2: five or better. So we'll see if it ticks backed up.

900
00:46:04,880 --> 00:46:06,480
Speaker 2: I think with these playoff games you have to remember

901
00:46:06,560 --> 00:46:10,520
Speaker 2: is it's they're on January first. Easier games where you know,

902
00:46:10,600 --> 00:46:13,759
Speaker 2: unless there's like huge groups that all agree, public can

903
00:46:13,840 --> 00:46:16,680
Speaker 2: have a say. So if like there's everyone is betting

904
00:46:16,719 --> 00:46:19,399
Speaker 2: one side or total, yeah, I can impact the line

905
00:46:19,400 --> 00:46:21,640
Speaker 2: a little bit. You might get some immediate sharp by back,

906
00:46:21,680 --> 00:46:23,920
Speaker 2: but I would imagine, you know, it's twenty four and

907
00:46:23,920 --> 00:46:26,359
Speaker 2: a half, you might get some public over. I also

908
00:46:26,360 --> 00:46:29,600
Speaker 2: think you'll probably get public Alabama, So just keep that

909
00:46:29,640 --> 00:46:32,760
Speaker 2: in mind. I mean, the line's one and a half,

910
00:46:32,880 --> 00:46:36,279
Speaker 2: it's not as important, but I so I like the

911
00:46:36,360 --> 00:46:37,880
Speaker 2: under because I think number one to be played at

912
00:46:38,040 --> 00:46:42,120
Speaker 2: snail's pace. Michigan plays very slow. Alabama and their biggest

913
00:46:42,120 --> 00:46:45,000
Speaker 2: games this year has played really slow. Now, I don't

914
00:46:45,000 --> 00:46:46,640
Speaker 2: think it's gonna be any exposive plays in this game.

915
00:46:46,640 --> 00:46:49,000
Speaker 2: I think that's gonna be Michigan's main focus. Take away

916
00:46:49,000 --> 00:46:53,120
Speaker 2: the exposive plays, take away Milro's legs, yep. And that's

917
00:46:53,200 --> 00:46:55,560
Speaker 2: how they have to approach this. On the other side,

918
00:46:55,840 --> 00:47:01,200
Speaker 2: Michigan simply cannot afford like Michigan's game plan here has

919
00:47:01,239 --> 00:47:03,319
Speaker 2: to be keep this low scoring. By the way, two

920
00:47:03,320 --> 00:47:05,480
Speaker 2: good punters too, which lends itself to an under for

921
00:47:05,520 --> 00:47:08,239
Speaker 2: flipping field position. But Michigan's not going to be able

922
00:47:08,239 --> 00:47:11,279
Speaker 2: to drop back and throw the ball with how their

923
00:47:11,280 --> 00:47:15,839
Speaker 2: offensive line has been protecting a specialecifically a tackle when

924
00:47:15,840 --> 00:47:20,000
Speaker 2: you're going up against bras Well and Turner and company.

925
00:47:20,040 --> 00:47:22,880
Speaker 2: You saw this against Penn State, so it's against Iowa.

926
00:47:23,120 --> 00:47:26,800
Speaker 2: They simply can't pass protect and it's a major problem.

927
00:47:26,800 --> 00:47:28,759
Speaker 2: So they're gonna to lean on the ground game. I

928
00:47:28,840 --> 00:47:31,600
Speaker 2: might still like a first half under This game might

929
00:47:31,640 --> 00:47:34,399
Speaker 2: eventually have to open up, depending on if one team

930
00:47:34,400 --> 00:47:35,680
Speaker 2: gets lead, but I think both teams are going to

931
00:47:35,760 --> 00:47:38,279
Speaker 2: play close to the best, rely on their defense, try

932
00:47:38,360 --> 00:47:42,080
Speaker 2: not to make a mistake. You like Alabama, I'm going

933
00:47:42,120 --> 00:47:44,239
Speaker 2: to disagree you. I like Michigan. Here the two things

934
00:47:44,239 --> 00:47:46,120
Speaker 2: that are just from a numbers perspective, I think Michigan

935
00:47:46,160 --> 00:47:48,560
Speaker 2: over a field goal vavor. But I will admit Michigan

936
00:47:48,680 --> 00:47:52,360
Speaker 2: is hard to rate because they played nobody. You know,

937
00:47:52,400 --> 00:47:54,360
Speaker 2: you played Ohio State, Penn State. But they played so

938
00:47:54,520 --> 00:47:57,920
Speaker 2: many bad offenses that could be inflating their defensive numbers.

939
00:47:58,480 --> 00:48:01,480
Speaker 2: But I think the Alabama offense is easier to prepare

940
00:48:01,520 --> 00:48:05,200
Speaker 2: for with thirty days, And it's interesting this Michigan look.

941
00:48:05,320 --> 00:48:10,560
Speaker 2: Johnt Carball, don't gamble. Don't associate with gamblers.

942
00:48:12,239 --> 00:48:14,000
Speaker 1: Avoid it like the plague.

943
00:48:15,040 --> 00:48:19,399
Speaker 2: Let's check in with bow Dog Jim. You gotta say

944
00:48:19,600 --> 00:48:21,719
Speaker 2: everything's save has been here, done that hardball, oh and

945
00:48:21,800 --> 00:48:23,480
Speaker 2: six in his last six bowl games. I don't know

946
00:48:23,480 --> 00:48:24,799
Speaker 2: if it's in their head they talk about, Hey, we're

947
00:48:24,800 --> 00:48:27,520
Speaker 2: gonna do less last year, we overthought it. We're trying

948
00:48:27,560 --> 00:48:30,239
Speaker 2: to change up everything they do. It's very interesting, but

949
00:48:30,480 --> 00:48:32,040
Speaker 2: I think that they can get their offensive line in

950
00:48:32,160 --> 00:48:35,280
Speaker 2: order in the run game, korm and Edwards healthier now

951
00:48:35,640 --> 00:48:38,040
Speaker 2: with thirty days off, I think they can get a

952
00:48:38,040 --> 00:48:41,000
Speaker 2: push against this Alabama team. And people have to remember

953
00:48:42,000 --> 00:48:44,759
Speaker 2: the other complicated factor is the Alabama's offense is is

954
00:48:44,840 --> 00:48:46,600
Speaker 2: different in the second half the year, right, so like

955
00:48:46,680 --> 00:48:49,840
Speaker 2: their season, all metrics are worse. You had some backup starting.

956
00:48:51,080 --> 00:48:52,759
Speaker 2: But this is an Alabama team that went what four

957
00:48:52,840 --> 00:48:55,160
Speaker 2: or five and oh one possession games, beat Georgia by

958
00:48:55,200 --> 00:48:57,560
Speaker 2: thirties and press win. But they also beat Arkansas by three,

959
00:48:58,120 --> 00:49:01,839
Speaker 2: They beat you know, Texas and by six. They should

960
00:49:01,880 --> 00:49:04,160
Speaker 2: have lost to Auburn. It's not like this team has

961
00:49:04,160 --> 00:49:07,040
Speaker 2: been a juggernaut. This is not your older brothers Alabama team.

962
00:49:07,200 --> 00:49:09,560
Speaker 2: They stole some missions on the offensive line. It's not

963
00:49:09,719 --> 00:49:13,000
Speaker 2: all world talent on the outside or running back. We'll

964
00:49:13,000 --> 00:49:16,360
Speaker 2: see if mcleoun can even go. The defense is super talented,

965
00:49:16,600 --> 00:49:19,840
Speaker 2: especially in the back end. I think Edwards in the

966
00:49:19,880 --> 00:49:22,960
Speaker 2: slot maybe is your wild card here. I don't know

967
00:49:23,000 --> 00:49:25,200
Speaker 2: if Michigan's wide receivers are gonna be able to do much,

968
00:49:25,719 --> 00:49:27,040
Speaker 2: but I think they're gonna be able to get a

969
00:49:27,080 --> 00:49:31,360
Speaker 2: push up front. McCarthy's legs, Edwards in the slot, healthy

970
00:49:31,600 --> 00:49:34,920
Speaker 2: korm and Edwards. I think Milro makes one or two mistakes.

971
00:49:36,000 --> 00:49:39,760
Speaker 2: That's the difference in the game. I'm calling it twenty

972
00:49:39,760 --> 00:49:41,120
Speaker 2: three to twenty Michigan.

973
00:49:42,080 --> 00:49:45,239
Speaker 1: Well, I guess we can say I am calling it

974
00:49:45,280 --> 00:49:49,200
Speaker 1: with you. On Tuesday, I submitted my full ride up

975
00:49:49,239 --> 00:49:53,120
Speaker 1: for this Bowl. Our editor Pete can attest that I

976
00:49:53,160 --> 00:49:56,480
Speaker 1: put this in on Tuesday. I have decided to go

977
00:49:56,520 --> 00:49:59,600
Speaker 1: with Michigan in this game. I think my take I flipped.

978
00:49:59,600 --> 00:50:01,000
Speaker 1: My take on this game was is I have a

979
00:50:01,080 --> 00:50:03,720
Speaker 1: nine to one on Alabama. I'm not hedging a penny

980
00:50:03,880 --> 00:50:06,640
Speaker 1: yet until I did a full deep dive analysis. I

981
00:50:06,680 --> 00:50:09,719
Speaker 1: did a full deep dive analysis. I wrote it up yesterday.

982
00:50:10,120 --> 00:50:11,719
Speaker 2: Man, I thought we were going to argue over this.

983
00:50:11,840 --> 00:50:14,840
Speaker 1: No, and so I think what you have to do

984
00:50:14,920 --> 00:50:16,960
Speaker 1: when you when you handicap sports like we do, It

985
00:50:16,960 --> 00:50:19,720
Speaker 1: doesn't matter what sport it is. If you love something

986
00:50:19,760 --> 00:50:21,839
Speaker 1: so much, try to make a case on the other

987
00:50:21,880 --> 00:50:24,000
Speaker 1: side and see if you can. And with all this

988
00:50:24,120 --> 00:50:28,399
Speaker 1: noise that's going on with Alabama, my writing and where

989
00:50:28,400 --> 00:50:31,960
Speaker 1: I get into everything, run concepts, coverages, motion, everything I

990
00:50:31,960 --> 00:50:33,680
Speaker 1: can think of, I try to put in the rite

991
00:50:33,719 --> 00:50:36,400
Speaker 1: ups over at Action Network. Let's see what is the

992
00:50:36,440 --> 00:50:39,359
Speaker 1: happy path for Michigan to win this game. So when

993
00:50:39,400 --> 00:50:41,400
Speaker 1: you think about it, will Michigan try to line up

994
00:50:41,400 --> 00:50:43,799
Speaker 1: and play bully ball over the Alabama defensive line like

995
00:50:43,840 --> 00:50:45,600
Speaker 1: it did in twenty twenty one in the Peach Bowl

996
00:50:45,600 --> 00:50:48,919
Speaker 1: against Georgia because they got murdered thirty three to eight.

997
00:50:49,560 --> 00:50:52,880
Speaker 1: Or are you going to go spread tempo explosives twenty

998
00:50:52,880 --> 00:50:56,520
Speaker 1: twenty two TCU style in the Fiesta Bowl. I think

999
00:50:56,520 --> 00:50:58,400
Speaker 1: the latter way is the only way your offense is

1000
00:50:58,440 --> 00:50:59,839
Speaker 1: going to be able to beat Alabama. If you think

1001
00:50:59,880 --> 00:51:02,120
Speaker 1: you're simply just gonna line up and run zone read

1002
00:51:02,200 --> 00:51:05,360
Speaker 1: with Blake Korum, it's not gonna work. Jaj McCarthy isn't healthy,

1003
00:51:05,520 --> 00:51:08,080
Speaker 1: It's not gonna work. The path for Michigan to win

1004
00:51:08,120 --> 00:51:12,960
Speaker 1: this game is as follows A. On defense, you have

1005
00:51:13,040 --> 00:51:16,600
Speaker 1: to follow Texas and Georgia's blueprint. And what Kirby Smart

1006
00:51:16,840 --> 00:51:20,400
Speaker 1: and Steve Sarkisian did was they kept Milroe in the pocket.

1007
00:51:20,480 --> 00:51:24,640
Speaker 1: Or remember we talked about pass rush integrity. You have to

1008
00:51:24,680 --> 00:51:27,400
Speaker 1: keep Jaln Milroe in the pocket. You have to take

1009
00:51:27,440 --> 00:51:30,239
Speaker 1: away the deep pass. Twenty four big time throws, no

1010
00:51:30,640 --> 00:51:33,360
Speaker 1: mistakes on throws over twenty yards.

1011
00:51:33,840 --> 00:51:35,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, best deep auter in collegeotball.

1012
00:51:35,960 --> 00:51:38,640
Speaker 1: I'm back a little bit. Ten to nineteen yard throws,

1013
00:51:38,880 --> 00:51:42,480
Speaker 1: one big time throw, seven turnover worthy plays on sixty

1014
00:51:42,520 --> 00:51:45,799
Speaker 1: two attempts. Get him to throw in between the hash

1015
00:51:45,880 --> 00:51:48,720
Speaker 1: marks in the middle of the field ten to nineteen

1016
00:51:48,840 --> 00:51:52,200
Speaker 1: yards and he makes mistakes all day. Now, Milroe is

1017
00:51:52,239 --> 00:51:54,640
Speaker 1: going to be have pressure all day. Edge Mike Morris

1018
00:51:54,680 --> 00:51:57,000
Speaker 1: had thirty seven pressures. He's gonna be able to get

1019
00:51:57,000 --> 00:52:01,200
Speaker 1: around this Alabama offensive line. And yes, the Wolverines were

1020
00:52:01,239 --> 00:52:03,880
Speaker 1: really high in defensive havock. They almost always are, but

1021
00:52:03,920 --> 00:52:06,839
Speaker 1: generally it's like tackles for loss and PBUs. This year

1022
00:52:06,880 --> 00:52:11,000
Speaker 1: they forced thirteen fumbles. Milroe is susceptible to putting that

1023
00:52:11,040 --> 00:52:14,359
Speaker 1: ball on the carpet, and Michigan, for some reason this

1024
00:52:14,480 --> 00:52:17,000
Speaker 1: year has been better at getting the ball out of

1025
00:52:17,000 --> 00:52:19,880
Speaker 1: the opposing team's hands, and Milroe likes to put it

1026
00:52:19,880 --> 00:52:22,799
Speaker 1: out there. So on offense, though, I don't think it's

1027
00:52:22,840 --> 00:52:25,520
Speaker 1: a big leap of faith to say that Michigan's defense

1028
00:52:25,560 --> 00:52:27,640
Speaker 1: can do all of that to Milroe, I think that's

1029
00:52:27,640 --> 00:52:31,400
Speaker 1: completely plausible. This side of the ball, on Michigan's offense

1030
00:52:31,480 --> 00:52:34,360
Speaker 1: is where I probably needed to have a little faith

1031
00:52:34,920 --> 00:52:37,960
Speaker 1: to say that this can happen. First off, against Alabama's defense,

1032
00:52:38,000 --> 00:52:40,120
Speaker 1: you don't run outside zone because they dominate it. Well,

1033
00:52:40,120 --> 00:52:43,480
Speaker 1: guess what. Michigan doesn't run outside zone nearly all inside

1034
00:52:44,120 --> 00:52:47,920
Speaker 1: man power concepts from Quorum and Edwards. You have to

1035
00:52:47,960 --> 00:52:52,280
Speaker 1: minimize the loss of Zener Zach Zenner, their starright guard.

1036
00:52:52,320 --> 00:52:54,960
Speaker 1: He's taken nearly every snap there since twenty twenty one.

1037
00:52:55,160 --> 00:52:56,680
Speaker 1: So you're gonna have to come up with run concepts

1038
00:52:56,719 --> 00:52:59,239
Speaker 1: that go away from that. Now McCarthy must be a

1039
00:52:59,320 --> 00:53:02,080
Speaker 1: viable threat and inside zone reads or korns just gonna

1040
00:53:02,080 --> 00:53:05,600
Speaker 1: get destroyed. If Alabama doesn't think McCarthy can run, game

1041
00:53:05,640 --> 00:53:07,920
Speaker 1: over right, but you would think he's healthy. He went

1042
00:53:07,960 --> 00:53:11,880
Speaker 1: into the Iowa game, he said, my ankle almost completely healthy,

1043
00:53:11,960 --> 00:53:13,479
Speaker 1: so he should be after a month.

1044
00:53:13,560 --> 00:53:16,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, his legs will be huge here. I think. Look

1045
00:53:16,120 --> 00:53:19,160
Speaker 2: at his scrambling drives, third down scrambles.

1046
00:53:19,400 --> 00:53:22,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, look at his scrambles. He's had sixteen scrambles this year.

1047
00:53:22,600 --> 00:53:25,640
Speaker 1: What do you have last year twenty four? He's been

1048
00:53:25,760 --> 00:53:28,680
Speaker 1: limited front and I think that's effected the passing game too.

1049
00:53:29,040 --> 00:53:30,719
Speaker 1: So as much as we hate that he hasn't thrown

1050
00:53:30,760 --> 00:53:32,439
Speaker 1: for over one hundred and fifty yards in the last

1051
00:53:32,440 --> 00:53:35,600
Speaker 1: four games of the season against his best competition, he's hurt.

1052
00:53:35,640 --> 00:53:37,839
Speaker 1: And if he can't get outside the pocket, he can't

1053
00:53:37,880 --> 00:53:41,840
Speaker 1: extend plays. Now he can, he has to hit slants

1054
00:53:41,880 --> 00:53:44,680
Speaker 1: to the slot. Now. I say that because I went

1055
00:53:44,719 --> 00:53:47,120
Speaker 1: into the route tree about what Alabama's defending. I mean

1056
00:53:47,200 --> 00:53:50,439
Speaker 1: no disrespect to kool Aid, McKinstry, Terry and Arnold, who's

1057
00:53:50,440 --> 00:53:53,920
Speaker 1: an absolute animal. You know, all these guys are great,

1058
00:53:53,960 --> 00:53:57,719
Speaker 1: but they're at the white out corner position. They're not

1059
00:53:57,760 --> 00:54:00,800
Speaker 1: in the slot. Covering the slot has been a serious

1060
00:54:00,840 --> 00:54:03,399
Speaker 1: problem for Alabama from a success right, they're only forty

1061
00:54:03,400 --> 00:54:06,560
Speaker 1: one percent and defending the slot, well, wouldn't you know it,

1062
00:54:06,840 --> 00:54:09,120
Speaker 1: McCarthy hits the slot all the time, and who does

1063
00:54:09,160 --> 00:54:12,640
Speaker 1: he hit? Roman Wilson eleven tds on the air, almost

1064
00:54:12,719 --> 00:54:17,759
Speaker 1: exclusively through slants in the slot. Alabama's worst route is

1065
00:54:17,800 --> 00:54:21,040
Speaker 1: to defend that. Roman Wilson is a McCarthy favorite. I

1066
00:54:21,120 --> 00:54:23,960
Speaker 1: went back to the TCU game last year because if

1067
00:54:24,000 --> 00:54:26,319
Speaker 1: you're going to use this game plan to have a

1068
00:54:26,320 --> 00:54:28,520
Speaker 1: little bit of vertical in your game, a little bit

1069
00:54:28,560 --> 00:54:30,440
Speaker 1: more tempo and to be a little bit out of

1070
00:54:30,480 --> 00:54:32,520
Speaker 1: the bag, shown more dipping into the bag and doing

1071
00:54:32,560 --> 00:54:36,080
Speaker 1: things romand Wilson was the favorite target against TCU. He

1072
00:54:36,080 --> 00:54:39,440
Speaker 1: had six targets TD. I mean, he was an animal

1073
00:54:39,520 --> 00:54:42,120
Speaker 1: last year. Not gonna Like I said, You're just not

1074
00:54:42,120 --> 00:54:44,080
Speaker 1: gonna throw outside, You're gonna hit on the inside. So

1075
00:54:45,120 --> 00:54:47,720
Speaker 1: that is the happy path. Do I believe the Michigan

1076
00:54:47,760 --> 00:54:51,760
Speaker 1: defense can replicate the Texas and Georgia blueprint of locking

1077
00:54:51,800 --> 00:54:54,480
Speaker 1: Milroe in the pocket and taking away the deep pass. Absolutely?

1078
00:54:55,320 --> 00:54:55,440
Speaker 2: Do.

1079
00:54:55,560 --> 00:54:57,800
Speaker 1: I think they can force interceptions over the middle of

1080
00:54:57,800 --> 00:55:00,680
Speaker 1: the field. Absolutely. Do I think they can strip? Yeah,

1081
00:55:00,719 --> 00:55:02,920
Speaker 1: After I've seen these numbers, they've been stripping everybody of

1082
00:55:02,960 --> 00:55:05,680
Speaker 1: the ball, So I think I fully believe the Michigan

1083
00:55:05,760 --> 00:55:06,279
Speaker 1: defense can have.

1084
00:55:06,280 --> 00:55:06,759
Speaker 2: Their way here.

1085
00:55:07,480 --> 00:55:10,759
Speaker 1: McCarthy's ankle is paramount to this handicap. We're not going

1086
00:55:10,800 --> 00:55:12,920
Speaker 1: to know how healthy he is, but trust me, we're

1087
00:55:12,960 --> 00:55:14,720
Speaker 1: going to know real fast. And if he is mobile

1088
00:55:14,719 --> 00:55:16,400
Speaker 1: and he can get outside the pocket, and he can

1089
00:55:16,480 --> 00:55:18,560
Speaker 1: do all these things and hit the slot to Roman Wilson,

1090
00:55:19,719 --> 00:55:23,040
Speaker 1: Michigan's going to win this game now. Timing on this,

1091
00:55:23,160 --> 00:55:24,840
Speaker 1: I have a nine to one Alabama. I think a

1092
00:55:24,840 --> 00:55:28,319
Speaker 1: lot of people have Alabama futures. I am going to

1093
00:55:28,360 --> 00:55:31,480
Speaker 1: put a Michigan. There are some out there minus one, fifteens,

1094
00:55:31,520 --> 00:55:34,320
Speaker 1: minus one, twenties. I am going to hit it tonight

1095
00:55:34,320 --> 00:55:35,920
Speaker 1: at one book. I'm going to hit it again tomorrow

1096
00:55:35,920 --> 00:55:38,800
Speaker 1: at another book. I'm going to take a Michigan national

1097
00:55:38,840 --> 00:55:42,640
Speaker 1: title future as a hedge to my Alabama nine to one.

1098
00:55:43,320 --> 00:55:45,600
Speaker 1: If you want to play the game outright, that's fine.

1099
00:55:45,719 --> 00:55:47,920
Speaker 1: We'll worry about the handicap and all the futures and everything,

1100
00:55:47,920 --> 00:55:50,560
Speaker 1: but that is how I'm going to play it. Plus,

1101
00:55:50,640 --> 00:55:52,560
Speaker 1: in addition to this game, I'm going to play a

1102
00:55:52,640 --> 00:55:56,840
Speaker 1: Roman Wilson two to one. Anytime TD out of the slot,

1103
00:55:57,040 --> 00:55:58,840
Speaker 1: that is, to me, that is the path. I'm not

1104
00:55:58,880 --> 00:56:01,160
Speaker 1: sure mccarthyn get in by self off he's mobile, maybe

1105
00:56:01,200 --> 00:56:03,560
Speaker 1: he can. But considering what I see out of the

1106
00:56:03,600 --> 00:56:07,120
Speaker 1: TCU last year, where Searon Moore likes to go and

1107
00:56:07,160 --> 00:56:11,040
Speaker 1: where Alabama cannot defend is in the slot. Gimme Roman

1108
00:56:11,040 --> 00:56:13,920
Speaker 1: Wilson a time. TD Michigan moves on to the national title,

1109
00:56:13,960 --> 00:56:22,000
Speaker 1: and oh boy, full right dog Jacks, I'm running photog

1110
00:56:22,080 --> 00:56:22,680
Speaker 1: gym as well.

1111
00:56:23,239 --> 00:56:24,800
Speaker 2: I think Lovelin can have a big day, but I

1112
00:56:24,800 --> 00:56:27,839
Speaker 2: think using Edwards, a healthier Edwards in the passing game,

1113
00:56:28,320 --> 00:56:31,000
Speaker 2: lining them up in different places, and I think just

1114
00:56:31,080 --> 00:56:32,920
Speaker 2: him and korm will be healthier after this break, and

1115
00:56:32,960 --> 00:56:34,879
Speaker 2: then they could figure out some of the offensive line.

1116
00:56:34,920 --> 00:56:38,160
Speaker 2: With al Ziner, they were shuffling moving your tackle to guard.

1117
00:56:38,800 --> 00:56:43,320
Speaker 2: Uh you know who would have to move Barnhardt to

1118
00:56:43,480 --> 00:56:45,800
Speaker 2: right guard. So now you get time to work together.

1119
00:56:46,400 --> 00:56:48,000
Speaker 2: I think they're gonna have success running it, and they're

1120
00:56:48,000 --> 00:56:49,520
Speaker 2: gonna have some different looks, and yeah, i think they're

1121
00:56:49,520 --> 00:56:53,600
Speaker 2: gonna confuse Milroe into mistakes in that intermediate range, and

1122
00:56:53,640 --> 00:56:54,680
Speaker 2: that's gonna be the difference.

1123
00:56:55,560 --> 00:56:57,279
Speaker 1: I will be by the way for everybody out there.

1124
00:56:57,320 --> 00:56:59,839
Speaker 1: I will be on the field at the Rose Bowl

1125
00:57:00,239 --> 00:57:02,960
Speaker 1: super early, and I will be having all eyes on

1126
00:57:03,040 --> 00:57:07,759
Speaker 1: JJ McCarthy his mobility, Donovan Edwards his mobility. It's the

1127
00:57:07,800 --> 00:57:10,240
Speaker 1: same thing when I was watching Darnell Washington Lad McConkie

1128
00:57:10,280 --> 00:57:12,560
Speaker 1: in the National Title last year. I am exclusively looking

1129
00:57:12,640 --> 00:57:14,799
Speaker 1: for them to cut and burn, and if I see

1130
00:57:14,800 --> 00:57:16,880
Speaker 1: that out of them, I will be tweeting.

1131
00:57:18,960 --> 00:57:21,640
Speaker 2: All right, Let's move on to the All State Sugar

1132
00:57:21,680 --> 00:57:24,920
Speaker 2: Bowl Monday, January first, eight forty five pm Eastern the

1133
00:57:25,040 --> 00:57:40,080
Speaker 2: ESPN at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans between Washington

1134
00:57:40,080 --> 00:57:43,040
Speaker 2: and Texas, the second semi final. Texas is a four

1135
00:57:43,080 --> 00:57:46,840
Speaker 2: point favorite total sixty three and a half ish. Interestingly enough,

1136
00:57:46,880 --> 00:57:49,400
Speaker 2: these two teams met in the Alima Bowl last year.

1137
00:57:49,960 --> 00:57:51,880
Speaker 2: Washington won is what I think. I think round the

1138
00:57:51,920 --> 00:57:55,320
Speaker 2: field goal four point underdog twenty seven to twenty. I

1139
00:57:55,360 --> 00:57:56,920
Speaker 2: took a lot from that game. So when they met

1140
00:57:57,000 --> 00:57:59,960
Speaker 2: last year, Texas, who runs a lot of quarters coverage,

1141
00:58:00,560 --> 00:58:02,720
Speaker 2: you know as much as some of the I think

1142
00:58:02,720 --> 00:58:06,800
Speaker 2: their top five or ten among Power five teams in quarters, right, so,

1143
00:58:06,840 --> 00:58:09,960
Speaker 2: which means too deep. You have fall four covered, hard

1144
00:58:09,960 --> 00:58:11,919
Speaker 2: to get harder to get explosive plays when you play

1145
00:58:11,920 --> 00:58:14,840
Speaker 2: at a lot of quarters. That's that's at least the

1146
00:58:14,920 --> 00:58:17,720
Speaker 2: goal that's what they did last year. They said, we're

1147
00:58:17,720 --> 00:58:21,360
Speaker 2: not going to give you explosive plays to Pennix in

1148
00:58:21,520 --> 00:58:24,320
Speaker 2: Washington and Pennis went one of ten on throws twenty

1149
00:58:24,320 --> 00:58:28,160
Speaker 2: plus yards downfield. Where Washington killed them because they had,

1150
00:58:28,320 --> 00:58:30,240
Speaker 2: you know, close to four and fifty yards of offense

1151
00:58:31,240 --> 00:58:35,200
Speaker 2: was running the ball and short passes. I mean, I

1152
00:58:35,200 --> 00:58:37,880
Speaker 2: think he was eleven eleven on screens. I think like

1153
00:58:37,920 --> 00:58:41,240
Speaker 2: twelve or fifteen for one hundred and forty eight yards

1154
00:58:41,240 --> 00:58:45,560
Speaker 2: on short passes. So that's how they killed Texas. So

1155
00:58:45,600 --> 00:58:49,000
Speaker 2: what's the difference this year. I think that they're gonna

1156
00:58:49,000 --> 00:58:51,280
Speaker 2: have the same scheme. They're gonna have the same game,

1157
00:58:51,320 --> 00:58:52,760
Speaker 2: but we're not gonna because I don't think that they

1158
00:58:52,800 --> 00:58:57,800
Speaker 2: trust their corners to man up with you know, especially

1159
00:58:57,800 --> 00:58:59,800
Speaker 2: with now a healthy McMillan. But you have McMillan, Polk

1160
00:59:00,040 --> 00:59:05,080
Speaker 2: and three NFL caliber receivers on the outside. And that's

1161
00:59:05,080 --> 00:59:09,320
Speaker 2: Texas weak point is their coverage at the cornerback position.

1162
00:59:09,360 --> 00:59:10,920
Speaker 2: So I think that they're going to play a lot

1163
00:59:10,920 --> 00:59:13,760
Speaker 2: of quarters, a lot of two deep safeties, and they're

1164
00:59:13,800 --> 00:59:15,520
Speaker 2: gonna say you're not going to get the explosive play.

1165
00:59:16,240 --> 00:59:19,800
Speaker 2: The difference with this Texas defense is that you can't

1166
00:59:19,840 --> 00:59:22,360
Speaker 2: run on them. Last year it was okay runby, but

1167
00:59:22,640 --> 00:59:24,600
Speaker 2: this year it's an elite. No one can run on them.

1168
00:59:24,640 --> 00:59:27,080
Speaker 2: You just can't do it. Their defensive line with sweat

1169
00:59:27,160 --> 00:59:32,520
Speaker 2: sorel Murphy, Burke, you know, even linebacker Ford, their slot Barren.

1170
00:59:32,640 --> 00:59:35,960
Speaker 2: Their cornerbacks are really good in run defense with Watson Brooks,

1171
00:59:36,520 --> 00:59:40,280
Speaker 2: all good tacklers. So this matchup with a Joe Moore

1172
00:59:40,320 --> 00:59:42,160
Speaker 2: Award winning offensive lines, he'ld be a fascining one. But

1173
00:59:42,200 --> 00:59:44,360
Speaker 2: you just can't run on Texas and they're going to

1174
00:59:44,440 --> 00:59:47,680
Speaker 2: be able to play their safeties deep and stop the run.

1175
00:59:48,000 --> 00:59:51,360
Speaker 2: So then it comes down to Pennix and the short

1176
00:59:51,400 --> 00:59:56,120
Speaker 2: passing attack, which you know, hitting crossers, things of that nature,

1177
00:59:56,120 --> 00:59:57,520
Speaker 2: and I think that they'll be able to move the ball.

1178
00:59:57,840 --> 01:00:00,479
Speaker 2: Their wide receivers are too talented. But but I think

1179
01:00:00,520 --> 01:00:04,680
Speaker 2: will happen is one. This is gonna happen to both teams.

1180
01:00:04,720 --> 01:00:08,480
Speaker 2: By the way, in the red zone Washington, the field shrinks.

1181
01:00:09,080 --> 01:00:11,040
Speaker 2: Middle of the field is easier, and that's where Penis

1182
01:00:11,080 --> 01:00:13,160
Speaker 2: loves to throw it. Middle of the field is easier

1183
01:00:13,160 --> 01:00:15,880
Speaker 2: to defend, and I think Texas's defense is going to

1184
01:00:15,920 --> 01:00:18,160
Speaker 2: step up in the red zone. And by the way,

1185
01:00:18,200 --> 01:00:20,880
Speaker 2: Texas offense, which I'll get to in a second, because

1186
01:00:20,880 --> 01:00:22,280
Speaker 2: of the loss of Jonathan Brooks, and it's not a

1187
01:00:22,280 --> 01:00:25,640
Speaker 2: great run blocking offensive line and they love to hit explosives.

1188
01:00:25,920 --> 01:00:27,680
Speaker 2: Their offense isn't that great in the red zone, so

1189
01:00:27,720 --> 01:00:30,400
Speaker 2: I think, and the Washington Boys a four two five

1190
01:00:30,600 --> 01:00:33,120
Speaker 2: ben don't break. I think there's gonna be a lot

1191
01:00:33,120 --> 01:00:35,240
Speaker 2: of stops in the red zone here, which are conducive

1192
01:00:35,240 --> 01:00:37,000
Speaker 2: to an under. I flipped. I thought I was gonna

1193
01:00:37,040 --> 01:00:40,000
Speaker 2: like the over. I like the under here, so I'll

1194
01:00:40,000 --> 01:00:42,280
Speaker 2: go through it. But I so I think what's gonna

1195
01:00:42,280 --> 01:00:45,080
Speaker 2: happen issh's gonnavo the ball. But Texas is going to

1196
01:00:45,120 --> 01:00:48,880
Speaker 2: be able to generate pressure on you know, up the

1197
01:00:48,920 --> 01:00:52,840
Speaker 2: middle specifically, and that's what throws off Penics in this offense. Also,

1198
01:00:52,840 --> 01:00:57,200
Speaker 2: their offense works best with play action. All every single

1199
01:00:57,240 --> 01:01:00,000
Speaker 2: one of Penis's interceptions this year, all nine of them

1200
01:01:00,200 --> 01:01:02,640
Speaker 2: came without play action. And if the run game isn't working,

1201
01:01:02,640 --> 01:01:04,920
Speaker 2: which I don't think it will, play action won't be

1202
01:01:05,000 --> 01:01:08,000
Speaker 2: as effective. But I think Washington'll move the ball. Texa's

1203
01:01:08,000 --> 01:01:10,439
Speaker 2: got to play a little softer, but they're gonna have

1204
01:01:11,360 --> 01:01:15,600
Speaker 2: opportunities to get sacks, negative plays and stop drives. And

1205
01:01:15,640 --> 01:01:17,240
Speaker 2: then when they Washington just get in the red zone,

1206
01:01:17,240 --> 01:01:19,880
Speaker 2: they're going to get some stops. Other side when Texas

1207
01:01:19,920 --> 01:01:25,320
Speaker 2: has the ball, great pass blocking offensive line, not a

1208
01:01:25,320 --> 01:01:27,840
Speaker 2: great run blocking off its line, and they're missing Brooks

1209
01:01:27,840 --> 01:01:31,640
Speaker 2: and the run punch just isn't there. We also don't

1210
01:01:31,640 --> 01:01:34,160
Speaker 2: know if zeger Worthy is fully healthy, which would be huge.

1211
01:01:34,880 --> 01:01:37,600
Speaker 2: So I think Texas will be able to move the

1212
01:01:37,600 --> 01:01:38,960
Speaker 2: ball some Both teams are gonna be able to move

1213
01:01:38,960 --> 01:01:40,560
Speaker 2: the ball. There's a reason this total is high, but

1214
01:01:40,680 --> 01:01:42,680
Speaker 2: I think they're going to struggle some in the red zone.

1215
01:01:43,040 --> 01:01:47,960
Speaker 2: I think this Washington defense is underrated. Ultimately, a lot

1216
01:01:47,960 --> 01:01:50,760
Speaker 2: of it. We saw it against Oregon. Their season long

1217
01:01:50,800 --> 01:01:54,000
Speaker 2: metrics were impacted by injuries. You know, some of their

1218
01:01:54,000 --> 01:01:57,240
Speaker 2: best players can fab their safety toolly their best defensive tackle,

1219
01:01:57,480 --> 01:02:00,760
Speaker 2: Assve Turner, one of their best defensive backs. They were

1220
01:02:00,760 --> 01:02:03,760
Speaker 2: all hurt for long stretches. They really came on the

1221
01:02:03,800 --> 01:02:05,880
Speaker 2: end of the year. They made some schematic tweaks. They

1222
01:02:05,920 --> 01:02:07,920
Speaker 2: started to play really well. Was their offense that kind

1223
01:02:07,920 --> 01:02:10,680
Speaker 2: of started the struggle. And then there's this wild card,

1224
01:02:11,000 --> 01:02:13,800
Speaker 2: Zach Durfy, who Washington won't stop talking about this guy

1225
01:02:13,800 --> 01:02:16,680
Speaker 2: who just became eligible. He was screwed by the NCAA.

1226
01:02:17,080 --> 01:02:20,440
Speaker 2: Apparently he's like he's been ripping up practice. He can

1227
01:02:20,480 --> 01:02:23,280
Speaker 2: provide some Apparently he's gonna have like two or three

1228
01:02:23,280 --> 01:02:25,240
Speaker 2: sacksim are of the message words that I'm reading. But

1229
01:02:25,280 --> 01:02:28,320
Speaker 2: he can help with the edge rush. So look, games

1230
01:02:28,480 --> 01:02:30,960
Speaker 2: can be played at a fast pace. Both defenses can

1231
01:02:31,000 --> 01:02:33,840
Speaker 2: hold up in the red zone where Texas's offenses struggled,

1232
01:02:34,040 --> 01:02:38,280
Speaker 2: and Washington zone can be contained. And yeah, I think

1233
01:02:38,280 --> 01:02:41,360
Speaker 2: that there's gonna be a focus on taking away the

1234
01:02:41,360 --> 01:02:44,680
Speaker 2: explosive play stops in the red zone, a couple of

1235
01:02:44,760 --> 01:02:51,480
Speaker 2: negative plays to end drives, slow pace. I think this

1236
01:02:51,600 --> 01:02:54,960
Speaker 2: total is too high, scary, but I like the under.

1237
01:02:55,280 --> 01:02:57,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, sixty two being key. I see it going down

1238
01:02:57,520 --> 01:02:59,000
Speaker 1: that to that, So if you want to grab it.

1239
01:02:59,840 --> 01:03:03,080
Speaker 1: I agree with stuck because mostly because when you're betting

1240
01:03:03,080 --> 01:03:06,200
Speaker 1: on the Texas offense, it's a complete crapshoot. You're staying

1241
01:03:06,200 --> 01:03:08,560
Speaker 1: at the Roulett wheel with finishing drives. When it comes

1242
01:03:08,640 --> 01:03:10,640
Speaker 1: to Texas, now they're missing part of their run game.

1243
01:03:11,640 --> 01:03:15,600
Speaker 2: I mean, if worthy's not a hundred percent, that's you

1244
01:03:15,680 --> 01:03:16,040
Speaker 2: never know.

1245
01:03:16,200 --> 01:03:18,960
Speaker 1: Now you know, I went back to that Alomobile game too,

1246
01:03:19,000 --> 01:03:21,360
Speaker 1: but really just for one specific reason, because this is

1247
01:03:21,400 --> 01:03:23,640
Speaker 1: a big battle between the Washington offensive line. They won

1248
01:03:23,720 --> 01:03:26,360
Speaker 1: the Joe Moore Award. They're going up against I don't know,

1249
01:03:26,400 --> 01:03:30,320
Speaker 1: the best run stuffing defensive front seven and all of

1250
01:03:30,320 --> 01:03:33,280
Speaker 1: college football good, you know, good and cumulative pressures there

1251
01:03:33,360 --> 01:03:36,640
Speaker 1: sixth so this is good on good. Texas was eleventh,

1252
01:03:36,640 --> 01:03:39,120
Speaker 1: and pass rush per PFF. So when you go back

1253
01:03:39,120 --> 01:03:41,080
Speaker 1: into that box score from last year when they saw

1254
01:03:41,080 --> 01:03:44,320
Speaker 1: each other, where Pete Kuitokowski got his chance to rattle

1255
01:03:44,360 --> 01:03:47,720
Speaker 1: Michael Pennox, there were fifty five true passing attempts by

1256
01:03:47,800 --> 01:03:51,280
Speaker 1: Michael Pennox. There was only five pressures, and I mean

1257
01:03:51,320 --> 01:03:53,280
Speaker 1: that included Sweat and a couple of other names that

1258
01:03:53,320 --> 01:03:55,960
Speaker 1: you're seeing in that defensive front seven right now. Five

1259
01:03:56,080 --> 01:03:59,520
Speaker 1: pressures and fifty five true passing attempts, no quarterback, one

1260
01:03:59,600 --> 01:04:03,440
Speaker 1: quarterback kit, four quarterback hurries. They just didn't have an

1261
01:04:03,440 --> 01:04:07,080
Speaker 1: effect on Pennis whatsoever. Now it's a year later, I

1262
01:04:07,120 --> 01:04:08,880
Speaker 1: get it, but I just wanted to see how much

1263
01:04:08,920 --> 01:04:11,160
Speaker 1: did they rattle Pinix last year, and they didn't at all.

1264
01:04:11,680 --> 01:04:14,960
Speaker 1: So the question is, can Penix pick apart this Texas secondary,

1265
01:04:15,000 --> 01:04:17,520
Speaker 1: And you're right, I just I don't see Washington's not

1266
01:04:17,560 --> 01:04:19,760
Speaker 1: gonna line up and just run the ball with Dylan Johnson. Right,

1267
01:04:20,000 --> 01:04:23,600
Speaker 1: they obviously need to have some semblance of a run

1268
01:04:23,640 --> 01:04:25,160
Speaker 1: game so that they can get the play action because

1269
01:04:25,160 --> 01:04:28,000
Speaker 1: everything is predicated on their play action. But if you

1270
01:04:28,040 --> 01:04:29,479
Speaker 1: go and look and see what they did to Orgon,

1271
01:04:29,680 --> 01:04:31,600
Speaker 1: they split out into five wides. I mean they were

1272
01:04:31,640 --> 01:04:33,680
Speaker 1: throwing Dylan Johnson out in the slot. I mean there

1273
01:04:33,760 --> 01:04:36,280
Speaker 1: was they spread it out. They really stretched the field.

1274
01:04:36,680 --> 01:04:38,960
Speaker 1: Looks something more like a Tennessee offense than it did

1275
01:04:39,000 --> 01:04:41,440
Speaker 1: anything else. So we'll see what Caleb de Bor comes

1276
01:04:41,480 --> 01:04:43,960
Speaker 1: up with. But usually it's all predicated off the play

1277
01:04:43,960 --> 01:04:46,960
Speaker 1: action pass. Now you're gonna get a nickel defense from Texas.

1278
01:04:47,120 --> 01:04:49,320
Speaker 1: They're gonna change between three and four man fronts. They

1279
01:04:49,320 --> 01:04:52,080
Speaker 1: have a moderate blitz at thirty three percent. They're pretty

1280
01:04:52,080 --> 01:04:55,600
Speaker 1: average in creating pressure coverage wise, You're right, it's all quarters.

1281
01:04:55,640 --> 01:04:57,800
Speaker 1: They had a high success rate. Sometimes they use cover

1282
01:04:57,880 --> 01:05:02,760
Speaker 1: three and one, mostly quarters. I think also amazing is

1283
01:05:02,800 --> 01:05:06,600
Speaker 1: what Penix does with blitz. His pressure to sack ratio

1284
01:05:06,720 --> 01:05:10,240
Speaker 1: is three point two percent. Compare that to compare that

1285
01:05:10,920 --> 01:05:14,400
Speaker 1: to jaln Milroe, who's like thirty percent pressure to sack ratio. Like,

1286
01:05:14,440 --> 01:05:18,000
Speaker 1: you can't get to Penix. He is nfl ready. That

1287
01:05:18,560 --> 01:05:20,520
Speaker 1: arm of his just does wonders. He's gonna get rid

1288
01:05:20,560 --> 01:05:23,880
Speaker 1: of the ball before the blitz can get home. And

1289
01:05:23,960 --> 01:05:26,600
Speaker 1: you know, Pennix has dominated cover three in quarters at

1290
01:05:26,680 --> 01:05:29,440
Speaker 1: least a sixty percent success rate, one of the highest

1291
01:05:29,520 --> 01:05:32,360
Speaker 1: rates of EPA. And he creates a big plan in

1292
01:05:32,400 --> 01:05:35,720
Speaker 1: thirty two percent of attempts against quarters. So there is

1293
01:05:35,760 --> 01:05:40,040
Speaker 1: an avenue here. I think Washington is just gonna toy

1294
01:05:40,080 --> 01:05:45,320
Speaker 1: with this secondary Roma, Duns, Jayalen, McMillan, Hulk, They're all explosive.

1295
01:05:45,560 --> 01:05:48,960
Speaker 1: You go into the routes hitch, Texas has a thirty

1296
01:05:49,000 --> 01:05:52,960
Speaker 1: seven percent success rate against hitch. That's really bad. Texas

1297
01:05:52,960 --> 01:05:55,520
Speaker 1: has a thirty seven percent success rate against wide receiver

1298
01:05:55,680 --> 01:05:59,560
Speaker 1: screen that's really bad. And then out routes Texas bumps

1299
01:05:59,560 --> 01:06:02,760
Speaker 1: it up to fit. That's average. But for what Washington

1300
01:06:02,840 --> 01:06:06,000
Speaker 1: runs with those three wide receivers I named, Texas has

1301
01:06:06,040 --> 01:06:08,560
Speaker 1: not been good at defending those passing routes whatsoever.

1302
01:06:09,560 --> 01:06:10,640
Speaker 2: Go to the other side of the ball.

1303
01:06:10,800 --> 01:06:13,960
Speaker 1: What's the best place to attack the Washington defense? Is

1304
01:06:13,960 --> 01:06:16,080
Speaker 1: it through the rush or where is it at? And

1305
01:06:16,360 --> 01:06:19,320
Speaker 1: I really had to examine that Oregon box spot because

1306
01:06:19,680 --> 01:06:22,320
Speaker 1: where did this defense come from. Oregon was stuffed thirty

1307
01:06:22,360 --> 01:06:25,160
Speaker 1: percent of their rush attempts, which is national average. But

1308
01:06:25,200 --> 01:06:28,480
Speaker 1: Oregon averaged six point two yards per carry and they

1309
01:06:28,520 --> 01:06:32,080
Speaker 1: generated just one explosive run. So how are you able

1310
01:06:32,080 --> 01:06:34,960
Speaker 1: to generate six point two yards per carry not get

1311
01:06:34,960 --> 01:06:37,960
Speaker 1: that many points and you only had one explosive Oregon

1312
01:06:38,360 --> 01:06:41,640
Speaker 1: average five point four average distance to go in third

1313
01:06:41,720 --> 01:06:44,960
Speaker 1: downs and they only went three of ten in third downs.

1314
01:06:45,000 --> 01:06:49,760
Speaker 1: Why the defense of Washington absolutely swarmed. There were eleven

1315
01:06:49,840 --> 01:06:51,800
Speaker 1: hats round the football on first contract.

1316
01:06:51,840 --> 01:06:54,960
Speaker 2: That's your safeties are healthy now. And people forget Washington

1317
01:06:55,040 --> 01:06:58,840
Speaker 2: is in Texas or Alabama in that their depth is

1318
01:06:58,880 --> 01:07:02,160
Speaker 2: it as good. So the depth like your backup safeties.

1319
01:07:02,240 --> 01:07:05,040
Speaker 2: It's a bigger drop off at Washington because it's just

1320
01:07:05,040 --> 01:07:07,520
Speaker 2: the recruiting hasn't all the way got there yet. So

1321
01:07:07,640 --> 01:07:10,520
Speaker 2: when their defenders were hurt this year, the drop off

1322
01:07:10,560 --> 01:07:13,840
Speaker 2: was significant. Well yet cluster injuries at safety.

1323
01:07:13,800 --> 01:07:15,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, and now they're all completely healthy. And if that

1324
01:07:15,960 --> 01:07:19,280
Speaker 1: defense swarms like it did against Oregon, I mean that

1325
01:07:19,360 --> 01:07:21,919
Speaker 1: Texas rushing attack, it's going to have some problems. Quinn

1326
01:07:21,960 --> 01:07:25,640
Speaker 1: yours should have Xavier Worthy, He's got Adi Mitchell. He's

1327
01:07:25,640 --> 01:07:28,120
Speaker 1: going to get some man coverage here. Washington runs twenty

1328
01:07:28,120 --> 01:07:32,480
Speaker 1: five percent man coverage. Texas was horrible against man coverage,

1329
01:07:32,480 --> 01:07:36,000
Speaker 1: a forty one percent success rate. When Washington does go zone,

1330
01:07:36,080 --> 01:07:39,000
Speaker 1: it's generally quarters or cover three. Quinn Ewer has had

1331
01:07:39,040 --> 01:07:41,320
Speaker 1: a ton of success against that. So we'll see what

1332
01:07:41,440 --> 01:07:45,520
Speaker 1: the decision is here to pivot between that for Tchuck moral. Now,

1333
01:07:45,600 --> 01:07:47,439
Speaker 1: if you just want to go straight advantages in this game,

1334
01:07:47,480 --> 01:07:51,080
Speaker 1: special team's advantage that belongs to Texas. Tackle grading that

1335
01:07:51,120 --> 01:07:54,360
Speaker 1: belongs to Texas explosives, believe it or not, that actually

1336
01:07:54,400 --> 01:07:58,440
Speaker 1: belongs to the Texas passing per EPA middle eight. That's Washington.

1337
01:07:58,520 --> 01:08:00,800
Speaker 1: Kalin de Woor has definitely got the hand here as

1338
01:08:00,800 --> 01:08:03,640
Speaker 1: far as in game management coaching. So there is a

1339
01:08:03,680 --> 01:08:06,600
Speaker 1: clear path for me to see Washington winning this game

1340
01:08:06,960 --> 01:08:10,520
Speaker 1: through the air fast track of the Superdome. The defense

1341
01:08:10,560 --> 01:08:13,440
Speaker 1: with their safeties crowding a line of scrimmage on rushing attempts,

1342
01:08:13,640 --> 01:08:15,440
Speaker 1: I think they're going to be okay in coverage against

1343
01:08:15,480 --> 01:08:18,559
Speaker 1: Quinn Hewers. And like I said before, Texas is an

1344
01:08:18,600 --> 01:08:22,080
Speaker 1: absolute crap shoot in scoring opportunities when they get drives

1345
01:08:22,120 --> 01:08:24,519
Speaker 1: past the forty yard line. It was good and it

1346
01:08:24,600 --> 01:08:27,000
Speaker 1: cashed our Big twelve championship at the end of the season.

1347
01:08:27,600 --> 01:08:29,280
Speaker 1: I'm not sure they get it done here. I think

1348
01:08:29,439 --> 01:08:32,640
Speaker 1: Washington covers. This game is not closing at four. This

1349
01:08:32,720 --> 01:08:34,719
Speaker 1: game is closing it three or two and a half.

1350
01:08:35,040 --> 01:08:36,400
Speaker 1: I'm going to put it in in the app. Now

1351
01:08:36,400 --> 01:08:39,160
Speaker 1: I don't have my Washington hundred to one in the app.

1352
01:08:39,200 --> 01:08:42,680
Speaker 1: I will take Washington plus four. I think they went

1353
01:08:42,680 --> 01:08:44,200
Speaker 1: out right and they go to the national title game

1354
01:08:44,200 --> 01:08:45,000
Speaker 1: against Michigan.

1355
01:08:47,479 --> 01:08:48,840
Speaker 2: Now, what do you think about? I mean, so the

1356
01:08:48,880 --> 01:08:51,479
Speaker 2: other thing here is you have Sark with time to prepare.

1357
01:08:51,560 --> 01:08:53,680
Speaker 2: What is he going to cook up? And then but

1358
01:08:53,760 --> 01:08:56,960
Speaker 2: de bor is RD Maybe in two or three years,

1359
01:08:56,960 --> 01:08:59,120
Speaker 2: he's considered the best coaching college football off depending on

1360
01:08:59,160 --> 01:09:01,920
Speaker 2: who retires. All that guy does is cover. All he

1361
01:09:01,960 --> 01:09:04,280
Speaker 2: does is succeed as an underdog. Do you think this

1362
01:09:04,320 --> 01:09:07,080
Speaker 2: is an edge for Washington with the time to repair

1363
01:09:07,120 --> 01:09:07,599
Speaker 2: with Debor?

1364
01:09:08,000 --> 01:09:10,880
Speaker 1: Absolutely? I mean Debor, I'll have to look it up.

1365
01:09:10,880 --> 01:09:12,880
Speaker 1: It's on Wikipedia. He's like one hundred and eleven as

1366
01:09:12,880 --> 01:09:15,439
Speaker 1: a head coach. He doesn't lose games at all. He

1367
01:09:15,520 --> 01:09:17,600
Speaker 1: covers like an animal last year. I think what they

1368
01:09:17,680 --> 01:09:20,320
Speaker 1: cover almost every game last year. But when you look at.

1369
01:09:20,200 --> 01:09:21,680
Speaker 2: Did you go back to when he was a coordinator,

1370
01:09:21,760 --> 01:09:24,200
Speaker 2: Like this cover rate is crazy And when you.

1371
01:09:24,120 --> 01:09:27,000
Speaker 1: Look at things like middle eight, that tells you really

1372
01:09:27,000 --> 01:09:28,719
Speaker 1: who's in tune with the clock and how to manage

1373
01:09:28,760 --> 01:09:31,599
Speaker 1: the game. I mean, Debor is one of the best.

1374
01:09:31,760 --> 01:09:34,439
Speaker 1: I mean, he's he's better than Sark. We're looking at

1375
01:09:34,640 --> 01:09:37,400
Speaker 1: twenty third for Washington, forty fifth for Sark, and Sark

1376
01:09:37,920 --> 01:09:40,840
Speaker 1: is generally a pretty good game manager. I mean, there's

1377
01:09:40,880 --> 01:09:43,519
Speaker 1: no shortage of love between me and Sark. But Dobor

1378
01:09:43,640 --> 01:09:45,080
Speaker 1: is just a better in game coach.

1379
01:09:45,120 --> 01:09:48,759
Speaker 2: Here I'm gonna disagree on here. I don't mind taking

1380
01:09:48,760 --> 01:09:50,800
Speaker 2: watching the once. I'm gonna snake on. My call is ah.

1381
01:09:52,160 --> 01:09:57,240
Speaker 2: I'm gonna say Texas thirty, Washington twenty.

1382
01:09:57,000 --> 01:10:01,400
Speaker 1: Seven, well more will cover. But my one hundred to

1383
01:10:01,400 --> 01:10:02,800
Speaker 1: one that I got from the West Gate, I'll have

1384
01:10:02,800 --> 01:10:04,680
Speaker 1: to cry in it, wipe away my tears.

1385
01:10:05,320 --> 01:10:06,559
Speaker 2: You're gonna have a shot. I think this one, this

1386
01:10:06,600 --> 01:10:07,920
Speaker 2: game is good. I think both games are gonna be

1387
01:10:07,960 --> 01:10:11,320
Speaker 2: really good and really close. And then I'll make up

1388
01:10:11,320 --> 01:10:14,080
Speaker 2: for a lot of these Bowl blowouts we're seeing with

1389
01:10:14,120 --> 01:10:16,240
Speaker 2: all the opt outs all right, Before we get out

1390
01:10:16,240 --> 01:10:18,680
Speaker 2: of here, we'll have our live show. By the way,

1391
01:10:18,680 --> 01:10:20,800
Speaker 2: if you'd like any props, we'll talk about them. That'll

1392
01:10:20,800 --> 01:10:23,120
Speaker 2: be out Saturday. We'll talk about the College twelve playoff

1393
01:10:23,520 --> 01:10:27,240
Speaker 2: and some of these other bowl games on Saturday ten

1394
01:10:27,280 --> 01:10:30,559
Speaker 2: thirty am Eastern for BBOC Live. We will also have

1395
01:10:30,680 --> 01:10:32,800
Speaker 2: I'll have something written up for the playoffs. Colin will

1396
01:10:33,120 --> 01:10:34,559
Speaker 2: on the action of our gap and action of work

1397
01:10:34,600 --> 01:10:38,240
Speaker 2: dot Com. Let's uh, and then we'll obviously have a

1398
01:10:38,320 --> 01:10:42,679
Speaker 2: National Championship preview episode. So well, actually, let's go three

1399
01:10:42,680 --> 01:10:42,920
Speaker 2: and now.

1400
01:10:44,560 --> 01:10:46,719
Speaker 1: Let's make it a quick three and out.

1401
01:10:47,560 --> 01:10:50,400
Speaker 2: We'll be the first down favorite Bowl bet from the

1402
01:10:50,439 --> 01:10:52,960
Speaker 2: non playoff, second on your favorite playoff bet, and then

1403
01:10:52,960 --> 01:10:56,240
Speaker 2: third down predictions for who's gonna win our first down

1404
01:10:56,320 --> 01:10:59,160
Speaker 2: favorite Bowl bet. I'm gonna go Maryland catching seven. I

1405
01:10:59,200 --> 01:11:03,280
Speaker 2: think it's too many points'silver reaction to the quarterback news.

1406
01:11:03,720 --> 01:11:06,439
Speaker 2: Auburn has guys out on in the secondary. They can

1407
01:11:06,520 --> 01:11:08,840
Speaker 2: be run on. I think can being company. That's the

1408
01:11:08,960 --> 01:11:12,880
Speaker 2: route here. Edwards has experience running dog with Maryland. Their

1409
01:11:12,920 --> 01:11:15,920
Speaker 2: defense can match up with this underwhelming Auburn offense. That

1410
01:11:16,000 --> 01:11:19,360
Speaker 2: has some receivers out, So give me the Terps catching

1411
01:11:19,400 --> 01:11:22,680
Speaker 2: a touchdown. Where are you going for your favorite ball bet?

1412
01:11:23,400 --> 01:11:26,879
Speaker 1: I'm going to take Iowa over thirteen and a half

1413
01:11:27,160 --> 01:11:30,960
Speaker 1: team total. I believe in this defense. I believe the

1414
01:11:30,960 --> 01:11:32,920
Speaker 1: scheme they're going to put up against a quarterback getting

1415
01:11:32,960 --> 01:11:36,519
Speaker 1: his first start ever, trying to run a timing offense

1416
01:11:36,600 --> 01:11:38,880
Speaker 1: that Josh Hipel wants to put in place. I think

1417
01:11:38,960 --> 01:11:40,920
Speaker 1: Nico is going to be great next year if he's

1418
01:11:40,960 --> 01:11:44,080
Speaker 1: the starter. But this is a really tough ask in

1419
01:11:44,120 --> 01:11:47,920
Speaker 1: a very early January first bowl game. Defense is a

1420
01:11:47,920 --> 01:11:50,120
Speaker 1: part of this. Hey, that counts as points too. I'm

1421
01:11:50,120 --> 01:11:53,360
Speaker 1: gonna go Iowa over thirteen and a half team total

1422
01:11:53,720 --> 01:11:58,200
Speaker 1: in the which which bawls that again? Is that the

1423
01:11:58,520 --> 01:11:59,960
Speaker 1: is it the Gator? He used to be the Gator?

1424
01:12:00,479 --> 01:12:01,559
Speaker 2: Chi's at Citrus Bowl?

1425
01:12:01,640 --> 01:12:04,479
Speaker 1: Jesus Citrus Ball. I have over thirteen and a half

1426
01:12:04,520 --> 01:12:07,000
Speaker 1: team totals.

1427
01:12:07,080 --> 01:12:11,800
Speaker 2: Color all right? Then, favorite bet for the college wail

1428
01:12:11,840 --> 01:12:14,360
Speaker 2: plaoff semi finals. I'm gonna go with Michigan money line.

1429
01:12:14,479 --> 01:12:17,880
Speaker 2: I think that they are I have empowered as a

1430
01:12:17,880 --> 01:12:19,559
Speaker 2: better team. I think they'll be able to run the ball.

1431
01:12:19,600 --> 01:12:22,000
Speaker 2: They're gonna I think they're gonna benefit most from the

1432
01:12:22,040 --> 01:12:25,000
Speaker 2: time off, get their backs healthier, get the offensive line

1433
01:12:25,040 --> 01:12:27,280
Speaker 2: in order. They're gonna force mill Row into mistakes in

1434
01:12:27,280 --> 01:12:31,000
Speaker 2: an intermediate range. And I think Michigan pulls this out

1435
01:12:31,040 --> 01:12:33,800
Speaker 2: if I didn't mention this earlier. By the way, wash

1436
01:12:33,880 --> 01:12:36,760
Speaker 2: from a special team's perspective too, so that like two

1437
01:12:36,840 --> 01:12:40,719
Speaker 2: good punters, two good kickers. But I think Michigan finds

1438
01:12:40,760 --> 01:12:44,160
Speaker 2: a way. Call it, uh twenty three twenty.

1439
01:12:44,840 --> 01:12:46,519
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Washington plus four. I'll go to the

1440
01:12:46,560 --> 01:12:49,120
Speaker 1: other college football playoff. I'm gonna take the dog the

1441
01:12:49,200 --> 01:12:51,680
Speaker 1: Huskies here plus four. I don't think it closes it

1442
01:12:51,760 --> 01:12:54,160
Speaker 1: for so I'd probably scoop it up. Now, there's a

1443
01:12:54,200 --> 01:12:56,840
Speaker 1: lot of advantages all over this stat board that are

1444
01:12:56,840 --> 01:13:00,559
Speaker 1: in Texas's favor, but one area is not defending the pass.

1445
01:13:00,800 --> 01:13:02,720
Speaker 1: You go back to this Alibile Bowl last year that

1446
01:13:02,760 --> 01:13:05,080
Speaker 1: these two teams played, in the fact that Texas was

1447
01:13:05,080 --> 01:13:08,679
Speaker 1: only able to create five pressures and fifty five true

1448
01:13:08,800 --> 01:13:11,599
Speaker 1: passing attempts by Michael Pennix. You're not gonna be able

1449
01:13:11,640 --> 01:13:13,160
Speaker 1: to get hands on him. He has a three point

1450
01:13:13,200 --> 01:13:15,559
Speaker 1: two percent pressure to sack ratio. He will get rid

1451
01:13:15,600 --> 01:13:18,760
Speaker 1: of the ball before he feels any heat on him whatsoever.

1452
01:13:19,080 --> 01:13:23,120
Speaker 1: Now the defense absolutely change. They're healthy. They change for that.

1453
01:13:23,479 --> 01:13:26,800
Speaker 1: Against Oregon in the PAC twelve Championship, everybody swarmed the ball.

1454
01:13:26,880 --> 01:13:28,800
Speaker 1: Is Texas going to have some success running the ball,

1455
01:13:29,040 --> 01:13:31,879
Speaker 1: of course, but the first contact they make with Washington,

1456
01:13:32,439 --> 01:13:34,040
Speaker 1: it's not going to be one tackler. It's going to

1457
01:13:34,120 --> 01:13:40,040
Speaker 1: be all eleven. Texas has spottiness and offensive finishing drives.

1458
01:13:40,560 --> 01:13:43,439
Speaker 1: They're losing a big piece Jonathan Brooks, and they're rushing attack.

1459
01:13:44,240 --> 01:13:46,640
Speaker 1: Quinn Ewers is facing a coverage look that generally he

1460
01:13:46,720 --> 01:13:49,519
Speaker 1: struggles with. When it comes to Washington. Kalin de Borr

1461
01:13:49,600 --> 01:13:52,280
Speaker 1: is a better endgame manager. Give me the four in

1462
01:13:52,360 --> 01:13:55,120
Speaker 1: this game. I'm pulling for Washington to win outright, even

1463
01:13:55,120 --> 01:13:56,720
Speaker 1: though I have futures on both. But I think the

1464
01:13:56,800 --> 01:13:57,439
Speaker 1: Huskies cover.

1465
01:13:58,160 --> 01:14:03,240
Speaker 2: I did final just outright addictions. I'm gonna say Texas

1466
01:14:03,280 --> 01:14:07,040
Speaker 2: by three thirty to twenty seven. I'll say Michigan by three.

1467
01:14:07,200 --> 01:14:12,679
Speaker 2: We get two great semis Michigan Texas Championship, which would

1468
01:14:12,720 --> 01:14:15,840
Speaker 2: suck for you for your futures. Yeah, So, but are

1469
01:14:15,840 --> 01:14:17,479
Speaker 2: you going with your futures call or are you gonna

1470
01:14:17,600 --> 01:14:18,320
Speaker 2: unotionally head.

1471
01:14:18,479 --> 01:14:22,120
Speaker 1: Considering that ticket pace fifty thousand dollars, I cannot imagine

1472
01:14:22,120 --> 01:14:24,240
Speaker 1: stepping up to a Vegas window with twenty five k

1473
01:14:24,360 --> 01:14:27,320
Speaker 1: saying let me bet on Jim Harbaugh. I must be

1474
01:14:27,400 --> 01:14:30,320
Speaker 1: on an alternate planet. I'm going to go Washington over

1475
01:14:30,360 --> 01:14:34,200
Speaker 1: Michigan in the National Championship game down in Houston, same scenario.

1476
01:14:34,280 --> 01:14:36,639
Speaker 1: Michael Pennick's playing on a fast track, going up against

1477
01:14:36,640 --> 01:14:38,640
Speaker 1: the defense where they get a good look. I got

1478
01:14:38,680 --> 01:14:41,759
Speaker 1: the better endgame. Coach Kaitlin Debor can not be stopped.

1479
01:14:41,760 --> 01:14:44,559
Speaker 1: He is here to take over the world. So long

1480
01:14:44,640 --> 01:14:46,080
Speaker 1: to the PAC twelve. I'm going to back you.

1481
01:14:46,040 --> 01:14:50,080
Speaker 2: Huskies going out on top with a PAC twelve national

1482
01:14:50,160 --> 01:14:55,720
Speaker 2: championship in its final year. Of course, whatever championship matchup is,

1483
01:14:55,760 --> 01:14:58,800
Speaker 2: we will preview it in our National Championship preview. We

1484
01:14:58,840 --> 01:15:02,800
Speaker 2: will also have our Gambling Heisman favorite callers. We'll do

1485
01:15:02,840 --> 01:15:04,320
Speaker 2: a bunch of giveaways to make sure you be a

1486
01:15:04,360 --> 01:15:06,920
Speaker 2: five star review. You'd say whatever, but they really help

1487
01:15:07,000 --> 01:15:07,360
Speaker 2: us out.

1488
01:15:08,160 --> 01:15:11,240
Speaker 5: Hey, Stucky, this is producer Matt. My apologies, I didn't

1489
01:15:11,240 --> 01:15:13,280
Speaker 5: get you the list of winners. I'll just do that

1490
01:15:13,400 --> 01:15:17,439
Speaker 5: real quick. I'll just grab eleven reviewers here to win

1491
01:15:17,520 --> 01:15:21,519
Speaker 5: a prize. If you hear your review name right now,

1492
01:15:21,800 --> 01:15:26,000
Speaker 5: just email me at Podcasts at Actionnetwork dot com. That's

1493
01:15:26,120 --> 01:15:30,840
Speaker 5: podcasts plural at Actionnetwork dot com. Okay, here we go.

1494
01:15:30,880 --> 01:15:35,800
Speaker 5: Here are winners. Cabo Rave Football two four four four four,

1495
01:15:36,360 --> 01:15:41,240
Speaker 5: gv Burnette, Brian app That King twenty one three sixty

1496
01:15:41,320 --> 01:15:46,479
Speaker 5: before Dawn, p So Swits, Feed the Kids Caleb Spang,

1497
01:15:46,760 --> 01:15:50,519
Speaker 5: k Mendel and Mason eight two two. I also want

1498
01:15:50,560 --> 01:15:52,720
Speaker 5: to send a message to the guy who gave us

1499
01:15:52,720 --> 01:15:55,639
Speaker 5: the one star review and said that the show would

1500
01:15:55,640 --> 01:15:59,040
Speaker 5: be better once Stucky was replaced. I've got bad news

1501
01:15:59,040 --> 01:16:01,200
Speaker 5: for you. We're not going to do that, and I

1502
01:16:01,240 --> 01:16:04,160
Speaker 5: would argue you suck. Please eat a bag of shit.

1503
01:16:04,479 --> 01:16:07,120
Speaker 5: Good luck everybody, and thanks for listening. Oh and happy

1504
01:16:07,200 --> 01:16:07,559
Speaker 5: New Year.

1505
01:16:07,880 --> 01:16:09,840
Speaker 2: And then we'll be getting into college basketball. More news

1506
01:16:09,840 --> 01:16:13,200
Speaker 2: to come on that front, starting in January a couple

1507
01:16:13,200 --> 01:16:16,000
Speaker 2: episodes a week. As always, also live show will be

1508
01:16:16,000 --> 01:16:19,519
Speaker 2: back Saturday mornings for college basketball. But thanks for tuning

1509
01:16:19,560 --> 01:16:22,599
Speaker 2: in if you're watching on YouTube. If that subscribe like button,

1510
01:16:22,600 --> 01:16:25,240
Speaker 2: it really helps us out. Thanks as always to Colin

1511
01:16:25,280 --> 01:16:27,760
Speaker 2: for joining me. Thanks to our producing the back end.

1512
01:16:28,360 --> 01:16:32,000
Speaker 2: It's our last long episode. It's bittersweet. It's been a

1513
01:16:32,040 --> 01:16:34,639
Speaker 2: great year. Let's close out strong, Let's have a good,

1514
01:16:34,720 --> 01:16:38,760
Speaker 2: profitable cultural playoffs, semifinals and hope that bounces and opt

1515
01:16:38,760 --> 01:16:40,639
Speaker 2: outs go our way with the rest of these messy

1516
01:16:40,640 --> 01:16:43,599
Speaker 2: bowl games. But good luck with all your wagers again.

1517
01:16:43,640 --> 01:16:46,559
Speaker 2: Make sure subscribe, toubscribe, tel Friend, tell on Enemy, leave

1518
01:16:46,600 --> 01:16:50,360
Speaker 2: that five star review. Live show ten thirty am mes

1519
01:16:50,360 --> 01:16:52,680
Speaker 2: on Saturday. We'll see you then. Good luck on all

1520
01:16:52,680 --> 01:16:53,479
Speaker 2: of your wager's years.

1521
01:16:53,640 --> 01:16:54,160
Speaker 1: Peace out.

1522
01:16:56,200 --> 01:16:56,559
Speaker 5: It's the.

1523
01:16:58,560 --> 01:17:07,400
Speaker 3: Time, the most squanical time, all the most squanical time

1524
01:17:08,479 --> 01:17:23,720
Speaker 3: of the.

1525
01:17:16,400 --> 01:17:19,840
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1526
01:17:20,280 --> 01:17:23,120
Speaker 2: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1527
01:17:23,400 --> 01:17:26,040
Speaker 2: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1528
01:17:26,080 --> 01:17:26,879
Speaker 2: hundred Gambler