1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:08,760 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. President Trump says he 2 00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:11,760 Speaker 1: wants to ban institutional investors from buying single family homes. 3 00:00:11,800 --> 00:00:15,160 Speaker 1: In a truth social post yesterday, he said that housing 4 00:00:15,160 --> 00:00:19,160 Speaker 1: should be for people and not corporations. His proposal sparked 5 00:00:19,160 --> 00:00:22,840 Speaker 1: market reaction, of course, on homebuilder stocks and landlords of 6 00:00:22,840 --> 00:00:26,320 Speaker 1: single family homes. Let's bring in Jonathan Miller. He is president, CEO, 7 00:00:26,360 --> 00:00:28,840 Speaker 1: and co founder of the real estate appraisal and consulting 8 00:00:28,880 --> 00:00:32,080 Speaker 1: firm Miller, Samuel and Jonathan. You and other experts in 9 00:00:32,080 --> 00:00:34,959 Speaker 1: this space have made the point that institutional investors are 10 00:00:35,000 --> 00:00:38,479 Speaker 1: not a big player in the single family rental market, 11 00:00:38,680 --> 00:00:41,160 Speaker 1: yet they make for a convenience gapegoat. 12 00:00:41,240 --> 00:00:44,920 Speaker 2: Why is that, Well, I think that you know, they're 13 00:00:45,040 --> 00:00:48,880 Speaker 2: very much in the public eye, very visible. They only 14 00:00:48,920 --> 00:00:52,360 Speaker 2: account for about one percent of the single family housing stock, 15 00:00:52,640 --> 00:00:56,800 Speaker 2: and it's so banning them from purchasing. I think the 16 00:00:56,840 --> 00:01:01,800 Speaker 2: perception with the public is that they dominate inventory. They basically, 17 00:01:01,960 --> 00:01:05,200 Speaker 2: you know, one of the most challenging aspects of housing 18 00:01:05,240 --> 00:01:08,199 Speaker 2: and why there were in an affordability crisis is because 19 00:01:08,200 --> 00:01:14,959 Speaker 2: there's been inadequate supply. However, there are very tiny a 20 00:01:15,000 --> 00:01:18,080 Speaker 2: one percent sort of number. And then on top of it, 21 00:01:19,880 --> 00:01:24,720 Speaker 2: the highest concentration of institutional investors Wall Street per se 22 00:01:25,400 --> 00:01:29,280 Speaker 2: is in the South, the Sun Belt, which has excess 23 00:01:29,319 --> 00:01:34,520 Speaker 2: supply right now. So I'm having a hard time connecting 24 00:01:34,600 --> 00:01:38,679 Speaker 2: the dots on how this will help improve affordability. I 25 00:01:38,720 --> 00:01:43,640 Speaker 2: think it's a non issue generally. For solving that problem. 26 00:01:43,720 --> 00:01:45,280 Speaker 1: You make a lot of important points, and it's a 27 00:01:45,319 --> 00:01:47,160 Speaker 1: reminder of how at the end of the day, real 28 00:01:47,240 --> 00:01:50,160 Speaker 1: estate is very local. Housing supply and housing demand is 29 00:01:50,280 --> 00:01:53,320 Speaker 1: very local to each specific market. Yet when it comes 30 00:01:53,360 --> 00:01:56,960 Speaker 1: to perceptions, there is this sense that these institutional investors 31 00:01:57,040 --> 00:01:59,960 Speaker 1: Wall Street type of firms like a Blackstone, play this 32 00:02:00,120 --> 00:02:02,600 Speaker 1: outsize role. And part of it is because they came 33 00:02:02,640 --> 00:02:06,080 Speaker 1: in during the financial crisis, or in the week of 34 00:02:06,120 --> 00:02:08,359 Speaker 1: the financial crisis, and did swoop in and buy a 35 00:02:08,400 --> 00:02:11,600 Speaker 1: lot of single family homes at a time when Americans 36 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:15,280 Speaker 1: were losing their homes, So that looms large in the 37 00:02:15,280 --> 00:02:16,600 Speaker 1: public consciousness. 38 00:02:17,520 --> 00:02:23,880 Speaker 2: Absolutely, the perception perception is value, and so they were 39 00:02:24,480 --> 00:02:27,760 Speaker 2: highly visible coming in and sort of you know, scooping 40 00:02:27,880 --> 00:02:33,800 Speaker 2: up twenty twelve, twenty thirteen, a tremendous volume of foreclosed 41 00:02:33,960 --> 00:02:38,720 Speaker 2: homes after the financial crisis and have made it work, 42 00:02:38,919 --> 00:02:43,640 Speaker 2: and some of the firms have even sold off part 43 00:02:43,639 --> 00:02:47,120 Speaker 2: of their portfolios. As you know, the market has peaked 44 00:02:47,120 --> 00:02:50,399 Speaker 2: in the last couple of years. So I don't see 45 00:02:50,639 --> 00:02:56,040 Speaker 2: I see this as disconnected from what the actual problem is. 46 00:02:56,120 --> 00:03:01,360 Speaker 2: The problem is to enhance affordability, and I don't think 47 00:03:01,560 --> 00:03:06,120 Speaker 2: the institutional aspect of the housing market has much to 48 00:03:06,160 --> 00:03:07,480 Speaker 2: do with it right. 49 00:03:07,520 --> 00:03:09,760 Speaker 1: Well, to be fair, President Trump is not the only 50 00:03:09,760 --> 00:03:12,440 Speaker 1: one who has suggested something like this. Elizabeth Warren, the 51 00:03:12,560 --> 00:03:16,440 Speaker 1: Massachusetts Senator, has also said something similar. So this is 52 00:03:16,480 --> 00:03:21,000 Speaker 1: a bipartisan kind of approach to trying to tackle affordability 53 00:03:21,000 --> 00:03:23,320 Speaker 1: in the housing market. You say the solution is to 54 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:27,280 Speaker 1: build more housing, but that takes a long time. That's 55 00:03:27,320 --> 00:03:29,680 Speaker 1: not something that happens overnight. What kind of timeline are 56 00:03:29,680 --> 00:03:31,919 Speaker 1: we talking about, even if you could open this figure 57 00:03:31,960 --> 00:03:34,760 Speaker 1: and just allow builders to start building more homes. 58 00:03:35,640 --> 00:03:38,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, and also too, you know, a lot of the 59 00:03:38,600 --> 00:03:41,360 Speaker 2: housing that we're building is skewing to the higher end 60 00:03:41,520 --> 00:03:45,520 Speaker 2: because of land costs, because of product cost because of 61 00:03:45,600 --> 00:03:48,720 Speaker 2: labor costs. All those things make it very difficult. But 62 00:03:48,800 --> 00:03:52,880 Speaker 2: if you create over supply or modest oversupply, you place 63 00:03:53,000 --> 00:03:58,119 Speaker 2: pressure on housing prices and that sort of melts into 64 00:03:58,160 --> 00:04:01,280 Speaker 2: the next layer below that and then below that. It 65 00:04:01,400 --> 00:04:03,960 Speaker 2: is not a surefire solution, but it's just one of 66 00:04:04,000 --> 00:04:07,640 Speaker 2: those things. The other thing is, you know, a lot 67 00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:10,840 Speaker 2: of the challenge of single family affordability has been zoning, 68 00:04:11,080 --> 00:04:17,120 Speaker 2: and cities like Minneapolis have banned single family zoning new 69 00:04:17,160 --> 00:04:22,360 Speaker 2: construction within the municipality and trying to move towards multifamily 70 00:04:22,480 --> 00:04:26,120 Speaker 2: and high density areas. There's many things that can be done. 71 00:04:26,160 --> 00:04:28,640 Speaker 2: I think to your point that both sides of the 72 00:04:28,680 --> 00:04:33,679 Speaker 2: aisle are disconnected from the actual problem in this idea 73 00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:40,280 Speaker 2: that you know, inventory is inventory is very local, very regional, 74 00:04:40,760 --> 00:04:43,360 Speaker 2: and when we look at markets like the Northeast or 75 00:04:43,480 --> 00:04:46,920 Speaker 2: the Midwest very tight in terms of supply. We look 76 00:04:46,920 --> 00:04:50,239 Speaker 2: at Sunbelt very soft because they were able to create 77 00:04:50,240 --> 00:04:53,800 Speaker 2: and build more housing during the migration pattern that we 78 00:04:53,839 --> 00:04:58,040 Speaker 2: saw during COVID, where people left the Northeast and the 79 00:04:58,080 --> 00:05:00,840 Speaker 2: West coast to go to more affordable housing, and that 80 00:05:01,120 --> 00:05:05,680 Speaker 2: soon ended because the demand was so high. You have 81 00:05:05,720 --> 00:05:09,039 Speaker 2: to remember that mortgage rates are double what they were 82 00:05:09,760 --> 00:05:12,760 Speaker 2: and still housing prices are rising, right, so it is 83 00:05:12,960 --> 00:05:13,800 Speaker 2: all about supply