1 00:00:01,120 --> 00:00:04,920 Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Show. 2 00:00:05,240 --> 00:00:09,039 Speaker 1: Championship games have been played, the bracket and bowl games 3 00:00:09,080 --> 00:00:11,440 Speaker 1: are set, which means there's only one thing left to do. 4 00:00:12,039 --> 00:00:14,920 Speaker 1: Make some wagers. Today we take a first look at 5 00:00:14,920 --> 00:00:17,360 Speaker 1: the early lines for the four first round college football 6 00:00:17,400 --> 00:00:20,400 Speaker 1: playoff games. We'll also make our picks for the Army 7 00:00:20,480 --> 00:00:23,800 Speaker 1: Navy game and the early bowl games as well. I'm 8 00:00:23,800 --> 00:00:26,440 Speaker 1: your host, Seth Wilcock, coming off my best weekend of 9 00:00:26,520 --> 00:00:30,080 Speaker 1: college football betting since Week one of the season. Apparently 10 00:00:30,120 --> 00:00:32,120 Speaker 1: I need to be thrown down more on Mac and 11 00:00:32,159 --> 00:00:35,080 Speaker 1: Sun Belt games, is what I learned here this past weekend. 12 00:00:35,320 --> 00:00:38,159 Speaker 1: I'm rocking and rolling with the best cast in the business, 13 00:00:38,200 --> 00:00:42,160 Speaker 1: including the heel of this particular program, really Rell, Terrell 14 00:00:42,240 --> 00:00:45,080 Speaker 1: Furman Junior. Just two weeks to Christmas, Terrell, are you 15 00:00:45,120 --> 00:00:46,760 Speaker 1: feeling those holiday vibes? 16 00:00:47,159 --> 00:00:50,080 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I'm definitely filling holiday viyes. After the last 17 00:00:50,080 --> 00:00:52,519 Speaker 2: Friday that we had swept the board on a Friday, 18 00:00:52,560 --> 00:00:56,200 Speaker 2: it was a great, great way to start the college 19 00:00:56,240 --> 00:00:59,840 Speaker 2: football weekend. Really, I count championship weekend as kind of bowlseason. 20 00:01:00,080 --> 00:01:02,720 Speaker 2: It just feels it doesn't feel like regular season games 21 00:01:02,720 --> 00:01:04,680 Speaker 2: to me, so I love when we get to this 22 00:01:04,720 --> 00:01:07,400 Speaker 2: time of year. We got off high. Hey teetered and 23 00:01:07,480 --> 00:01:11,800 Speaker 2: tittered a little bit over there. But nonetheless, unfortunately for 24 00:01:11,920 --> 00:01:15,360 Speaker 2: my two co hosts, well really everybody on the staff, 25 00:01:15,440 --> 00:01:17,479 Speaker 2: all of our teams didn't get it done, as Rock 26 00:01:17,520 --> 00:01:21,479 Speaker 2: Obeck just got embarrassed, absolutely embarrassed by Cam Scattipo and 27 00:01:21,560 --> 00:01:24,960 Speaker 2: that Arizona State squad. Very very sad, but nonetheless, my 28 00:01:25,040 --> 00:01:27,400 Speaker 2: guy Rock Obec coming back to Iowall State next year. 29 00:01:27,440 --> 00:01:28,320 Speaker 2: Let's go Cyclones. 30 00:01:28,840 --> 00:01:31,000 Speaker 1: Let's go glad to hear you picked up a new 31 00:01:31,040 --> 00:01:34,319 Speaker 1: fan base over this season, Terrell. We're also joined by 32 00:01:34,319 --> 00:01:37,200 Speaker 1: a guy who Santa visit him early this season, giving 33 00:01:37,240 --> 00:01:41,480 Speaker 1: Texas a delightful first round matchup against Clemson. Boggs, how 34 00:01:41,520 --> 00:01:43,399 Speaker 1: are you today and have you come to terms yet? 35 00:01:43,440 --> 00:01:46,040 Speaker 1: The Quinn viewers really might be the grinch that steals 36 00:01:46,040 --> 00:01:46,920 Speaker 1: your Christmas this year. 37 00:01:47,560 --> 00:01:51,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I when you can't punch the ball 38 00:01:51,440 --> 00:01:54,640 Speaker 3: in and you miss field goals, I mean they should 39 00:01:54,840 --> 00:01:58,160 Speaker 3: they should have beat Georgia, but you know the mistakes, 40 00:01:58,200 --> 00:02:01,480 Speaker 3: mistakes cost you a bye week rest and extra time 41 00:02:01,520 --> 00:02:02,520 Speaker 3: to prep and all that. 42 00:02:03,920 --> 00:02:08,560 Speaker 2: It really cost you. Look, I think this is in 43 00:02:08,600 --> 00:02:11,000 Speaker 2: a great position to make the final game. 44 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:15,600 Speaker 3: They they are and and I will accept that. I 45 00:02:15,600 --> 00:02:18,840 Speaker 3: think Penn State also kind of you know, put themselves 46 00:02:18,840 --> 00:02:20,040 Speaker 3: in a better. 47 00:02:20,880 --> 00:02:23,200 Speaker 2: Make have the greatest chances. 48 00:02:23,680 --> 00:02:27,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, so you know I am. I'm very excited. 49 00:02:27,520 --> 00:02:29,920 Speaker 3: But it's one of those weekends. Like the previous weekend, 50 00:02:29,960 --> 00:02:33,240 Speaker 3: my bets were bad in Texas won. Happy this week 51 00:02:33,280 --> 00:02:36,040 Speaker 3: my bets were great and Texas lost and I was sad. 52 00:02:36,120 --> 00:02:37,720 Speaker 3: It wasn't until I was going in to put in 53 00:02:37,880 --> 00:02:40,600 Speaker 3: my Thursday night bets. Uh, you know last night when 54 00:02:40,600 --> 00:02:42,799 Speaker 3: I was prepping for that show that I saw, Hey 55 00:02:42,880 --> 00:02:44,920 Speaker 3: last week you were pretty good. I had the big 56 00:02:45,000 --> 00:02:50,760 Speaker 3: green circle around around my name, which was nice to see. So, uh, 57 00:02:50,800 --> 00:02:52,760 Speaker 3: we've got a couple of bowl games coming up here. 58 00:02:52,880 --> 00:02:55,920 Speaker 3: We're gonna you know, talk about uh, the big playoff 59 00:02:55,960 --> 00:02:59,480 Speaker 3: games as well. But yeah, I'm excited for Bowl season. Man, 60 00:02:59,520 --> 00:03:02,600 Speaker 3: it's here. We're trying to keep track of everyone who's 61 00:03:02,639 --> 00:03:05,200 Speaker 3: opting out and in the transfer portal, and in the 62 00:03:05,240 --> 00:03:09,360 Speaker 3: transfer portal that but might still stay and play. There's 63 00:03:09,520 --> 00:03:12,040 Speaker 3: so many things to go into it. It makes picking 64 00:03:12,040 --> 00:03:14,360 Speaker 3: some of these games a little more difficult. But we'll 65 00:03:14,360 --> 00:03:16,519 Speaker 3: give you we'll give you the blow by blow here 66 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:19,800 Speaker 3: and it's gonna be fun. Another good week and the 67 00:03:19,840 --> 00:03:22,840 Speaker 3: big tournament starts for the first time. Boys, I am 68 00:03:22,960 --> 00:03:24,919 Speaker 3: so excited for it. It's gonna be a lot of fun. 69 00:03:25,280 --> 00:03:27,840 Speaker 1: I agree with you, gentlemen. Thanks to everyone who watches 70 00:03:27,919 --> 00:03:31,320 Speaker 1: and listens every single episode as a whole, we're swinging 71 00:03:31,320 --> 00:03:34,280 Speaker 1: a hot back last week as the conference title games 72 00:03:34,360 --> 00:03:37,560 Speaker 1: unfolded three and zero on Friday. As Terrell alluded to, also, 73 00:03:37,600 --> 00:03:39,480 Speaker 1: the games on Saturday, we were split on but I 74 00:03:39,480 --> 00:03:41,440 Speaker 1: felt like we were on the totals for the right 75 00:03:41,480 --> 00:03:43,080 Speaker 1: side of them. I know, Bogs, you were on the 76 00:03:43,200 --> 00:03:46,360 Speaker 1: under in Georgia, Texas. You're also on the over for 77 00:03:46,480 --> 00:03:49,360 Speaker 1: Penn State Oregon as well. So great week for us. 78 00:03:49,360 --> 00:03:51,960 Speaker 1: But what do you always say about the next week, Bogs? 79 00:03:52,200 --> 00:03:54,000 Speaker 3: This is the most important week because this is the 80 00:03:54,000 --> 00:03:54,960 Speaker 3: week we're playing. 81 00:03:54,760 --> 00:03:57,640 Speaker 1: Right now exactly. So if you're watching here on YouTube, 82 00:03:57,640 --> 00:03:59,800 Speaker 1: please let us know down in the comments below, do 83 00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:03,160 Speaker 1: you think the college football playoff bracket and the committee 84 00:04:03,160 --> 00:04:05,400 Speaker 1: got it right? Overall, we want to hear from you. 85 00:04:05,600 --> 00:04:07,560 Speaker 1: I know there's been a lot of upset fan bases 86 00:04:07,600 --> 00:04:13,440 Speaker 1: Alabama fans CC yeah, CC yeah. And then we also 87 00:04:13,520 --> 00:04:15,640 Speaker 1: had Miami fans still a little bit upset, even though 88 00:04:15,640 --> 00:04:17,279 Speaker 1: they kind of knew that their fate was sealed the 89 00:04:17,279 --> 00:04:21,000 Speaker 1: week before. But overall, I'm very happy with what we got. 90 00:04:21,080 --> 00:04:23,159 Speaker 1: But I want to hear from the Betting Pros community. 91 00:04:24,200 --> 00:04:25,760 Speaker 3: We won sixteen. 92 00:04:25,680 --> 00:04:29,560 Speaker 1: Yes, more football, more teams included, the better. While you 93 00:04:29,600 --> 00:04:31,400 Speaker 1: are here as well, please like this video If you 94 00:04:31,480 --> 00:04:33,760 Speaker 1: enjoy this type of content, subscribe to the channel if 95 00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:36,120 Speaker 1: you are new, and before we jump in, I did 96 00:04:36,160 --> 00:04:39,760 Speaker 1: want to remind everybody about the Betting Pros Discord. Looking 97 00:04:39,760 --> 00:04:42,280 Speaker 1: to up your game at sports betting well, then join 98 00:04:42,360 --> 00:04:46,320 Speaker 1: our exclusive sports Betting Discord community at Bettingpros dot com 99 00:04:46,360 --> 00:04:49,760 Speaker 1: slash chat. Not only can you connect with expert cappers 100 00:04:49,880 --> 00:04:53,760 Speaker 1: who provide free picks for the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL 101 00:04:53,880 --> 00:04:56,440 Speaker 1: player props, live betting, and more, but now you can 102 00:04:56,480 --> 00:04:59,640 Speaker 1: also participate in our weekly community picks. Cast your vote 103 00:04:59,640 --> 00:05:02,360 Speaker 1: and see how your picks stack up against the experts 104 00:05:02,360 --> 00:05:06,839 Speaker 1: and track your success. Today, let's look at the early 105 00:05:06,920 --> 00:05:09,640 Speaker 1: line of the first round playoff games, starting with the 106 00:05:09,680 --> 00:05:12,799 Speaker 1: Battle of the Hoosier State that'll take place on Friday, 107 00:05:12,839 --> 00:05:16,440 Speaker 1: December twentieth at eight pm Eastern time in South Bend. 108 00:05:16,880 --> 00:05:19,360 Speaker 1: The seventh seeded Notre Dame Fighting Irish. They are seven 109 00:05:19,400 --> 00:05:22,000 Speaker 1: and a half point favorites against the ninth ranked Indiana 110 00:05:22,000 --> 00:05:25,640 Speaker 1: Hoosiers Marcus Freeman's men. They are nine two to one 111 00:05:25,760 --> 00:05:28,359 Speaker 1: ats this season. You have been printing money if you 112 00:05:28,400 --> 00:05:30,640 Speaker 1: have been betting the Fighting Irish. There are eleven and 113 00:05:30,720 --> 00:05:32,840 Speaker 1: one straight up with of course, they're only lost coming 114 00:05:32,920 --> 00:05:36,719 Speaker 1: in that upset against Northern Illinois. Their marquee wins include 115 00:05:36,760 --> 00:05:40,000 Speaker 1: Texas A and M Georgia Tech Louisville Army if you 116 00:05:40,040 --> 00:05:43,160 Speaker 1: want to throw USC in that mix as well. Funny enough, though, 117 00:05:43,240 --> 00:05:45,800 Speaker 1: Notre Dame's kind of looking like an academy team at 118 00:05:45,800 --> 00:05:49,080 Speaker 1: times this season. One hundred first in passing offense, tenth 119 00:05:49,120 --> 00:05:52,360 Speaker 1: in rushing, led by dole threat quarterback Riley Leonard. They're 120 00:05:52,400 --> 00:05:55,400 Speaker 1: also ninth in total defense as it stands now. For 121 00:05:55,480 --> 00:05:58,640 Speaker 1: the Irish, star running back Jeremiah Love is expected to 122 00:05:58,640 --> 00:06:02,120 Speaker 1: play after injuring his knee against USC. They should get 123 00:06:02,200 --> 00:06:06,279 Speaker 1: also defensive tackle Howard cross Back as well. The only 124 00:06:06,360 --> 00:06:10,120 Speaker 1: major concern for them injury wise is their breakout freshman 125 00:06:10,200 --> 00:06:14,240 Speaker 1: linebacker kVA Is remaining out. He's been out since they 126 00:06:14,240 --> 00:06:16,440 Speaker 1: faced Army. Expected to be out for this one as well. 127 00:06:16,920 --> 00:06:19,240 Speaker 1: I you, on the other hand, led by Kirk Signetti 128 00:06:19,520 --> 00:06:22,320 Speaker 1: nine to three ats eleven to one straight up. Their 129 00:06:22,360 --> 00:06:25,320 Speaker 1: only loss comes to Ohio State. They do have somewhat 130 00:06:25,320 --> 00:06:29,520 Speaker 1: impressive wins against Michigan, Nebraska, Washington. Curtis Rourke has led 131 00:06:29,520 --> 00:06:32,279 Speaker 1: this team the twenty ninth passing offense in the country, 132 00:06:32,440 --> 00:06:35,120 Speaker 1: but they are very much run to pass driven offense 133 00:06:35,560 --> 00:06:37,880 Speaker 1: that is led by Justice Ellison, their RB one in 134 00:06:37,920 --> 00:06:40,520 Speaker 1: the backfield. They also do have the number one rushing 135 00:06:40,600 --> 00:06:43,839 Speaker 1: defense and tenth best passing defense in the nation. The 136 00:06:43,839 --> 00:06:47,960 Speaker 1: Hoosiers could be out their starting cornerback Jeremiah Johnson, who 137 00:06:48,000 --> 00:06:51,000 Speaker 1: is questionable. Boggs, where do you see this line going 138 00:06:51,080 --> 00:06:52,600 Speaker 1: and do you have an early lean at all? 139 00:06:53,080 --> 00:06:56,760 Speaker 3: Yeah? I think that most people that I've seen picking 140 00:06:56,800 --> 00:07:00,200 Speaker 3: this game this week handicap burst experts, how I want 141 00:07:00,240 --> 00:07:02,840 Speaker 3: to call them, they're on the Notre Dame side. I'm 142 00:07:02,880 --> 00:07:05,920 Speaker 3: not so sure. I know that Ohio State rolled Indiana, 143 00:07:05,920 --> 00:07:08,480 Speaker 3: and I think there's questions about whether Indiana deserves to 144 00:07:08,480 --> 00:07:11,800 Speaker 3: be in this spot or not. Right, but I like 145 00:07:11,840 --> 00:07:14,679 Speaker 3: the extra prep time here. I don't feel like Notre 146 00:07:14,760 --> 00:07:17,840 Speaker 3: Dame is just a sure thing as most people do. 147 00:07:18,520 --> 00:07:20,440 Speaker 3: They're not going to pass like Ohio State did. And 148 00:07:20,480 --> 00:07:23,040 Speaker 3: Ohio State didn't pass for a ton of yards on Indiana. 149 00:07:23,080 --> 00:07:25,640 Speaker 3: It was two hundred and one, but Will Howard was 150 00:07:25,680 --> 00:07:28,520 Speaker 3: twenty two of twenty six. He did throw that early pick. 151 00:07:28,840 --> 00:07:32,240 Speaker 3: But can they run on Indiana like they have on 152 00:07:32,280 --> 00:07:34,520 Speaker 3: anyone else. I think it's a big question for Notre Dame. 153 00:07:35,080 --> 00:07:37,800 Speaker 3: I'm not sure Ohio State didn't run with great success 154 00:07:37,800 --> 00:07:41,000 Speaker 3: against Indiana. Charlotte is the only team this season to 155 00:07:41,000 --> 00:07:43,440 Speaker 3: put up over one hundred and fifty rushing yards on Indiana. 156 00:07:43,840 --> 00:07:46,200 Speaker 3: And to be clear, I still think Notre Dame is 157 00:07:46,240 --> 00:07:49,360 Speaker 3: going to win this game. I think they'll be able 158 00:07:49,400 --> 00:07:51,480 Speaker 3: to run. I just don't know if it's going to 159 00:07:51,560 --> 00:07:55,360 Speaker 3: be at such a highly successful clip. We did see 160 00:07:55,400 --> 00:07:57,880 Speaker 3: them kind of have a week game against USC. We 161 00:07:57,920 --> 00:08:02,680 Speaker 3: saw Jordania a pass for three hundred and sixty yards 162 00:08:03,080 --> 00:08:05,960 Speaker 3: against them. There's just not a strong passing offense here. 163 00:08:06,200 --> 00:08:09,280 Speaker 3: They Notre Dame does get Jeremiah Love back for this game, 164 00:08:09,280 --> 00:08:12,040 Speaker 3: and as you mentioned, how Across the big defensive tackle 165 00:08:12,080 --> 00:08:15,440 Speaker 3: as well. I just if this game is going to 166 00:08:15,520 --> 00:08:18,520 Speaker 3: stay at more than a touchdown seven and a half. 167 00:08:18,960 --> 00:08:21,800 Speaker 3: I think I'm taking Indiana. That's my early lean here. 168 00:08:22,760 --> 00:08:25,720 Speaker 3: I know that Notre Dame has been the better team. 169 00:08:25,880 --> 00:08:28,040 Speaker 3: They're a strong team, and there are questions about Indiana. 170 00:08:28,640 --> 00:08:30,440 Speaker 3: I think they deserve to be here. I think they 171 00:08:30,520 --> 00:08:32,480 Speaker 3: keep this game a little bit tighter. So if it's 172 00:08:32,520 --> 00:08:34,800 Speaker 3: over a touchdown, I'm gonna be taking the Hoosiers. 173 00:08:34,960 --> 00:08:36,600 Speaker 1: Do you think it stays their bogs? Do you think 174 00:08:36,640 --> 00:08:37,880 Speaker 1: it's staying at seven and a half? 175 00:08:38,040 --> 00:08:41,319 Speaker 3: I do because most of the money and tickets are 176 00:08:41,320 --> 00:08:44,439 Speaker 3: on Indiana. They're a fun story, so the public wants 177 00:08:44,480 --> 00:08:46,760 Speaker 3: to bet them. A lot of people don't like Notre 178 00:08:46,840 --> 00:08:49,720 Speaker 3: Dame as well, not a surprise, Yeah that Notre Dame 179 00:08:50,240 --> 00:08:52,880 Speaker 3: gets hated on a little bit here. But yeah, I 180 00:08:52,920 --> 00:08:55,160 Speaker 3: think I like the Hoosiers plus the points. If it's 181 00:08:55,160 --> 00:08:56,600 Speaker 3: going to be over a touchdown, What. 182 00:08:56,559 --> 00:08:58,600 Speaker 1: About you, Dreelle? How do you see this one going 183 00:08:58,880 --> 00:09:00,000 Speaker 1: about ten days out from now? 184 00:09:00,480 --> 00:09:02,360 Speaker 2: Well, I'm going ahead and locking it in in the 185 00:09:02,400 --> 00:09:04,880 Speaker 2: Betting Pros app right now. You can go give me 186 00:09:04,920 --> 00:09:07,600 Speaker 2: a file of bettingpros dot com slash Terrell. Yeah, I'm 187 00:09:07,600 --> 00:09:09,839 Speaker 2: taking Indiana. I'm taking Indiana on the money line. This 188 00:09:10,040 --> 00:09:13,160 Speaker 2: is a hammer smashed spot of I love Indiana to 189 00:09:13,200 --> 00:09:16,199 Speaker 2: get this done. I truly do believe we're gonna get 190 00:09:16,240 --> 00:09:18,960 Speaker 2: one or two dogs that are gonna surprise us outright. 191 00:09:19,120 --> 00:09:23,960 Speaker 2: Maybe maybe one, but we could be surprised by two. 192 00:09:24,120 --> 00:09:27,000 Speaker 2: I really do think that Indiana can be that one though. 193 00:09:27,000 --> 00:09:29,920 Speaker 2: One this is these schools are four hours apart. They're 194 00:09:29,960 --> 00:09:32,640 Speaker 2: four hours apart. This is the little brother of Notre 195 00:09:32,720 --> 00:09:34,959 Speaker 2: Dame has been the football powerhouse, all of that, and 196 00:09:35,080 --> 00:09:38,200 Speaker 2: Kirk Signetti gets to fuel his team with all of that. 197 00:09:38,400 --> 00:09:41,120 Speaker 2: We've seen Kurk Signetti over there in the group of 198 00:09:41,120 --> 00:09:43,200 Speaker 2: five be able to get his team up for these 199 00:09:43,240 --> 00:09:45,400 Speaker 2: Power five games and really really be able to show 200 00:09:45,440 --> 00:09:47,440 Speaker 2: up and coach up a really good team he had 201 00:09:47,480 --> 00:09:50,360 Speaker 2: time to prepare. They're not worried about the travel spot. 202 00:09:50,400 --> 00:09:52,440 Speaker 2: This is the best travel spot of all the playoff 203 00:09:52,520 --> 00:09:55,559 Speaker 2: actually because they're staying in state. So I think that 204 00:09:55,640 --> 00:09:59,120 Speaker 2: also counts for something. I think Indiana's offense is enough 205 00:09:59,120 --> 00:10:01,640 Speaker 2: where they're not gonna Notre Dames defense isn't gonna make 206 00:10:01,679 --> 00:10:03,560 Speaker 2: this a one sided game. And if you're telling me 207 00:10:03,559 --> 00:10:07,440 Speaker 2: that you're gonna give that Indiana offense opportunities the Ohio 208 00:10:07,559 --> 00:10:09,880 Speaker 2: State game, I feel like that gave them a wake 209 00:10:09,960 --> 00:10:12,880 Speaker 2: up call of hey, these special team issues, all these 210 00:10:12,920 --> 00:10:15,680 Speaker 2: little things that can go and make a game really 211 00:10:15,720 --> 00:10:18,160 Speaker 2: really go against us. We got to cut those out 212 00:10:18,200 --> 00:10:19,880 Speaker 2: and at least keep this one close. I think this 213 00:10:19,920 --> 00:10:21,960 Speaker 2: is one hundred percent within a one score game, but 214 00:10:22,040 --> 00:10:24,600 Speaker 2: I think Indiana's actually gonna come out with the outright win. 215 00:10:25,160 --> 00:10:27,560 Speaker 2: And this is the game that Marcus Freeman just kind 216 00:10:27,640 --> 00:10:30,640 Speaker 2: of tote set the end and they don't look as 217 00:10:30,679 --> 00:10:32,960 Speaker 2: good and they're not as prepared as Indiana. I just 218 00:10:32,960 --> 00:10:36,640 Speaker 2: think prepared preparation is really really big. And the college 219 00:10:36,679 --> 00:10:39,040 Speaker 2: football playoff with that week off, and I think Kurt 220 00:10:39,040 --> 00:10:41,200 Speaker 2: Signetti is going to be really really good with this preparation. 221 00:10:42,000 --> 00:10:44,800 Speaker 1: Okay, my initial lean is to the under a fifty 222 00:10:44,800 --> 00:10:48,120 Speaker 1: and a half. Indiana's best element on offense is their 223 00:10:48,160 --> 00:10:51,880 Speaker 1: passing game. Notre Dame, despite losing Ben Morrison, still their 224 00:10:51,880 --> 00:10:55,400 Speaker 1: strength is their passing defense as well. Indiana also is 225 00:10:55,440 --> 00:10:58,440 Speaker 1: the best rushing defense, and that is really what is 226 00:10:58,520 --> 00:11:01,920 Speaker 1: leading Notre Dames teams. They're running attack with love and Leonard. 227 00:11:01,920 --> 00:11:03,920 Speaker 1: I don't think they've faced a challenge like this, So 228 00:11:04,520 --> 00:11:06,800 Speaker 1: any love for the under from either of you guys 229 00:11:07,040 --> 00:11:09,320 Speaker 1: or the total at all twenty seven degrees at game 230 00:11:09,360 --> 00:11:11,440 Speaker 1: time as well, so it's gonna be chilly up there. 231 00:11:11,800 --> 00:11:14,160 Speaker 3: I think the under is a safer play for sure, 232 00:11:14,679 --> 00:11:19,319 Speaker 3: and mainly because we saw Indiana get dismantled by Ohio 233 00:11:19,320 --> 00:11:22,439 Speaker 3: State's defensive line. So if Notre Dame has that type 234 00:11:22,440 --> 00:11:26,040 Speaker 3: of a game where they're just breaking down this Indiana 235 00:11:26,080 --> 00:11:28,160 Speaker 3: o line, this one's gonna be wrapped up real quick. 236 00:11:28,280 --> 00:11:30,600 Speaker 3: But I think if Indiana sticks in this game, I 237 00:11:30,640 --> 00:11:32,400 Speaker 3: think they're gonna have a hard time stopping the run 238 00:11:32,440 --> 00:11:35,520 Speaker 3: game from Notre Dame. And I think there are points 239 00:11:35,520 --> 00:11:38,200 Speaker 3: to be scored. So if it goes the way we 240 00:11:38,280 --> 00:11:40,480 Speaker 3: think it does, Terrell and I right now, I think 241 00:11:40,520 --> 00:11:44,920 Speaker 3: you're over, the over is probably in play. But if 242 00:11:44,960 --> 00:11:47,800 Speaker 3: it doesn't go that way, which it very well could, 243 00:11:47,840 --> 00:11:50,520 Speaker 3: I mean what the books think. Yeah, the books do 244 00:11:50,600 --> 00:11:53,040 Speaker 3: think it is gonna go in Notre Dame's favor, then 245 00:11:53,080 --> 00:11:53,840 Speaker 3: I like the under. 246 00:11:54,000 --> 00:11:56,520 Speaker 2: I think Notre Dame team total under is probably the 247 00:11:56,559 --> 00:11:58,640 Speaker 2: best bet for me there in this one. I just 248 00:11:59,160 --> 00:12:02,440 Speaker 2: I think that this Indiana passing attack can really really 249 00:12:02,559 --> 00:12:04,720 Speaker 2: light you up at multiple points in the season. And 250 00:12:04,760 --> 00:12:07,400 Speaker 2: they talk about the difficulty and schedule, well, I mean 251 00:12:07,440 --> 00:12:09,680 Speaker 2: Notre Dame really didn't have that difficult of a schedule either, 252 00:12:09,760 --> 00:12:12,079 Speaker 2: So I think that there could be a possibility of 253 00:12:12,160 --> 00:12:14,120 Speaker 2: Indiana being able to run and score up here. But 254 00:12:14,640 --> 00:12:17,440 Speaker 2: I just think that Indiana defense and the defensive line 255 00:12:17,480 --> 00:12:20,280 Speaker 2: and all of that, they're really, really really gonna get 256 00:12:20,320 --> 00:12:22,319 Speaker 2: after that Notre Dame offense, and I don't think Notre 257 00:12:22,400 --> 00:12:23,560 Speaker 2: Dame's gonna be able to score much. 258 00:12:24,400 --> 00:12:27,480 Speaker 1: Okay, all right, Well we'll revisit that a week from now. 259 00:12:27,720 --> 00:12:30,760 Speaker 1: As it stands, it looks like we're leaning towards the Hoosiers. 260 00:12:30,800 --> 00:12:34,600 Speaker 1: I like the under as well. On Saturday, December twenty first, 261 00:12:34,760 --> 00:12:37,640 Speaker 1: at noon, the sixth seed Penn State and nine Lions 262 00:12:37,679 --> 00:12:40,080 Speaker 1: are eight and a half point favorites against the eleven 263 00:12:40,160 --> 00:12:45,320 Speaker 1: seeded SMU Mustangs in Happy Valley. SMU coming off that heartbreaking, 264 00:12:45,440 --> 00:12:49,480 Speaker 1: just heartbreaking ACC Championship loss to Clemson. They are now 265 00:12:49,559 --> 00:12:52,920 Speaker 1: eight and five ats eleven and two overall. Their only 266 00:12:52,960 --> 00:12:55,199 Speaker 1: other loss was to BYU all the way back in 267 00:12:55,240 --> 00:12:58,640 Speaker 1: Week two. Rhett Lashly's team is currently twenty eighth in 268 00:12:58,679 --> 00:13:01,640 Speaker 1: total defense, but they're run defense much better than their 269 00:13:01,679 --> 00:13:05,320 Speaker 1: passing defense. Quarterback Kevin Jennings he has led this team 270 00:13:05,360 --> 00:13:09,000 Speaker 1: their twentieth total offensive ranking as well. No new injuries 271 00:13:09,040 --> 00:13:12,160 Speaker 1: to report for SMU Penn State. They're coming off a 272 00:13:12,200 --> 00:13:14,839 Speaker 1: loss in their title game to Oregon. They dropped to 273 00:13:14,920 --> 00:13:18,160 Speaker 1: eleven and two straight up six and seven ats. They 274 00:13:18,200 --> 00:13:20,880 Speaker 1: of course, also lost to Ohio State earlier this year, 275 00:13:21,200 --> 00:13:24,760 Speaker 1: and their best win has come against Illinois. Drew Aller. 276 00:13:24,880 --> 00:13:27,600 Speaker 1: He's had his moments at times this season, gentlemen. He 277 00:13:27,640 --> 00:13:30,280 Speaker 1: has led the Nitney Lions to the fifteenth ranked total 278 00:13:30,320 --> 00:13:33,440 Speaker 1: offense obviously, has great weapons in the backfield Tyler Warrant 279 00:13:33,440 --> 00:13:35,640 Speaker 1: tight end as well. They also have the sixth ranked 280 00:13:35,679 --> 00:13:38,800 Speaker 1: total defense. For the Nitney Lions, Penn State is hoping 281 00:13:38,840 --> 00:13:41,800 Speaker 1: to get back tackle Anthony and Donka. He's been dealing 282 00:13:41,800 --> 00:13:44,240 Speaker 1: with an injury for quite some time. Trell, have you 283 00:13:44,280 --> 00:13:47,080 Speaker 1: settled on a side yet and are you betting it now? 284 00:13:47,120 --> 00:13:49,360 Speaker 1: Are you waiting for some line movement potentially? 285 00:13:50,080 --> 00:13:52,240 Speaker 2: No, I think I'm fine taking the side now. I 286 00:13:52,240 --> 00:13:55,080 Speaker 2: don't really I don't really feel the best about this one, 287 00:13:55,200 --> 00:13:58,800 Speaker 2: just because SMU coming up north into Penn State, this 288 00:13:58,880 --> 00:14:00,360 Speaker 2: is one of the worst travels spots, So we go 289 00:14:00,400 --> 00:14:01,760 Speaker 2: from one of the best travel spots to one of 290 00:14:01,800 --> 00:14:04,079 Speaker 2: the worst travel spots in SMU going up to Penn State. 291 00:14:04,400 --> 00:14:07,160 Speaker 2: But I just think that they are so hungry and 292 00:14:07,200 --> 00:14:10,359 Speaker 2: they they are going to give us a game regardless. 293 00:14:10,400 --> 00:14:12,040 Speaker 2: Do they go out here and get this out right win? 294 00:14:12,120 --> 00:14:14,560 Speaker 2: I don't know, and I don't think so. This is 295 00:14:14,559 --> 00:14:16,880 Speaker 2: probably the dog that I'm not sprinkling the money line on. 296 00:14:17,160 --> 00:14:19,080 Speaker 2: But if you're telling me that, I have to trust 297 00:14:19,400 --> 00:14:22,960 Speaker 2: Drew to keep the offense going enough to just continuously 298 00:14:23,040 --> 00:14:24,880 Speaker 2: lay on points, lay on points, lay on points. We 299 00:14:24,920 --> 00:14:27,920 Speaker 2: saw what Clemson did. Clemson got out early in SMU, 300 00:14:28,080 --> 00:14:31,600 Speaker 2: not giving up, not giving up, not giving up, just pesky, pesky, pesky. 301 00:14:31,840 --> 00:14:34,360 Speaker 2: And I can see Jennings being able to do that 302 00:14:34,440 --> 00:14:36,000 Speaker 2: on the offensive side of ball and be able to 303 00:14:36,040 --> 00:14:38,600 Speaker 2: move the ball a little bit on Penn State. So 304 00:14:38,720 --> 00:14:40,960 Speaker 2: right now, I like SMU plus the points. I'm gonna 305 00:14:40,960 --> 00:14:43,440 Speaker 2: wait see how I feel about this one. I'm not 306 00:14:43,480 --> 00:14:45,840 Speaker 2: as confident as this one is Indiana, but I'm on 307 00:14:45,880 --> 00:14:47,440 Speaker 2: the side of SMU on points right now. 308 00:14:47,960 --> 00:14:50,000 Speaker 1: Bogs, do you have an initial lean and can you 309 00:14:50,000 --> 00:14:52,600 Speaker 1: tell us any information about where the money's coming in on? 310 00:14:53,120 --> 00:14:56,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, the money was acting weird yesterday, so I honestly 311 00:14:56,400 --> 00:14:59,120 Speaker 3: can't Okay, I'll tell you which way it's going, but 312 00:14:59,560 --> 00:15:02,040 Speaker 3: I could tell tell you in this game. My big 313 00:15:02,120 --> 00:15:05,400 Speaker 3: question in this is can the SMUO line hold up 314 00:15:05,680 --> 00:15:09,000 Speaker 3: against this Penn State pass rush. If they can't, Penn 315 00:15:09,080 --> 00:15:11,280 Speaker 3: State is going to wrap this up real quick. I 316 00:15:11,320 --> 00:15:13,840 Speaker 3: think this game is over in the first half type 317 00:15:13,840 --> 00:15:17,480 Speaker 3: of a game if they cannot keep Abdul Carter and 318 00:15:17,520 --> 00:15:22,680 Speaker 3: Sutton and everyone off of Jennings. Here, we've seen Jennings 319 00:15:22,720 --> 00:15:25,680 Speaker 3: turn the ball over. He did early against Clemson, obviously 320 00:15:25,720 --> 00:15:29,120 Speaker 3: against Duke, and that crazy minus six turnover margin game 321 00:15:29,280 --> 00:15:32,120 Speaker 3: that they still somehow won with a miracle kept them 322 00:15:32,120 --> 00:15:34,240 Speaker 3: in the playoff. By the way, they didn't know it then, 323 00:15:34,600 --> 00:15:37,280 Speaker 3: but that win kept them in the playoff. But Penn 324 00:15:37,280 --> 00:15:39,280 Speaker 3: State should be able to score. I don't question that 325 00:15:39,320 --> 00:15:43,320 Speaker 3: at all. Clemson, Pitt Boston College, Duke, Louisville TCU all 326 00:15:43,320 --> 00:15:46,280 Speaker 3: put up twenty five plus points against SMU, so I 327 00:15:46,320 --> 00:15:49,360 Speaker 3: think Penn State is better on offense than most of 328 00:15:49,400 --> 00:15:52,720 Speaker 3: those teams. They had problems against Ohio State, they had 329 00:15:52,720 --> 00:15:56,240 Speaker 3: problems against Illinois, but I mean they just gashed Oregon 330 00:15:56,280 --> 00:15:58,920 Speaker 3: for five hundred and eighteen yards. So I don't think 331 00:15:59,000 --> 00:16:01,840 Speaker 3: I have any issue with this Penn State offense at all, 332 00:16:02,280 --> 00:16:04,400 Speaker 3: I think I want to wait. I want to see 333 00:16:04,440 --> 00:16:06,920 Speaker 3: if we can get this number a little bit lower. 334 00:16:07,240 --> 00:16:11,360 Speaker 3: VP likes this a closer of Penn State minus seven 335 00:16:11,360 --> 00:16:13,560 Speaker 3: and a half instead of eight and a half. Is 336 00:16:13,560 --> 00:16:14,800 Speaker 3: it still at eight and a half? Is that what 337 00:16:14,840 --> 00:16:15,200 Speaker 3: you said? 338 00:16:15,760 --> 00:16:18,480 Speaker 2: Ye, some nines out there's some knights out there. 339 00:16:19,280 --> 00:16:21,120 Speaker 3: Well, I wanted to come down. I wanted to come 340 00:16:21,160 --> 00:16:22,640 Speaker 3: the other way, and I want to take Penn State. 341 00:16:22,720 --> 00:16:25,880 Speaker 3: But eight and a half. I think I'm okay taking 342 00:16:25,920 --> 00:16:28,400 Speaker 3: Penn State. I do think they win this. I do 343 00:16:28,480 --> 00:16:31,680 Speaker 3: think they win this going away a little bit. Would 344 00:16:31,680 --> 00:16:35,320 Speaker 3: a game against Alabama been a little better, Maybe maybe 345 00:16:35,320 --> 00:16:37,960 Speaker 3: it would have been better, but they didn't deserve. 346 00:16:38,360 --> 00:16:41,080 Speaker 2: They didn't deserve. It might not have been as good. 347 00:16:41,200 --> 00:16:43,239 Speaker 2: It might not be Oklahoma. 348 00:16:43,360 --> 00:16:45,640 Speaker 3: And I like how they got fact checked on their posts. 349 00:16:45,640 --> 00:16:47,880 Speaker 3: To their ad was like, we're gonna have to relook 350 00:16:47,920 --> 00:16:51,200 Speaker 3: at our uh you know, non conference schedule, and then 351 00:16:51,400 --> 00:16:53,480 Speaker 3: you know it's like Alabama lost all three of their 352 00:16:53,480 --> 00:16:56,640 Speaker 3: games in conference. Don't believe anything they're saying, so uh, 353 00:16:56,720 --> 00:16:59,760 Speaker 3: you know, uh, they lost. S MU won, SMU deserves 354 00:16:59,800 --> 00:17:02,240 Speaker 3: to be here. But I do think Penn State is 355 00:17:02,280 --> 00:17:04,280 Speaker 3: better team, and I think Penn I think this one 356 00:17:04,320 --> 00:17:09,120 Speaker 3: is one where they are pesky. To two Trell's credit here, 357 00:17:09,119 --> 00:17:10,880 Speaker 3: they are very pesky, and they come back and they 358 00:17:10,880 --> 00:17:13,160 Speaker 3: don't give up. That's how you win when you lose 359 00:17:13,400 --> 00:17:15,960 Speaker 3: a turnover marchin by six. That's how you stay in 360 00:17:16,000 --> 00:17:19,000 Speaker 3: this game when you get down so quick to Clemson. Right. 361 00:17:19,200 --> 00:17:21,600 Speaker 3: So I don't think at any point that this game 362 00:17:21,680 --> 00:17:23,919 Speaker 3: is over, but I do think there's a chance for 363 00:17:23,960 --> 00:17:26,320 Speaker 3: Penn State to look fairly dominant in this one. So 364 00:17:26,720 --> 00:17:29,800 Speaker 3: I will, you know, lay the points here, but not 365 00:17:29,880 --> 00:17:32,040 Speaker 3: with a ton of confidence. And I'm hoping it comes 366 00:17:32,040 --> 00:17:34,720 Speaker 3: back down before we make our official picks next week. 367 00:17:34,920 --> 00:17:38,919 Speaker 2: Oh, Western Kentucky, South Florida, Wisconsin, and Mercer. That was 368 00:17:38,960 --> 00:17:43,000 Speaker 2: the non conference schedule. I can only imagine how much 369 00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:47,520 Speaker 2: worse that non conference schedule could get Western Kentucky, South Florida, 370 00:17:47,560 --> 00:17:48,879 Speaker 2: Wisconsin and Mercer. 371 00:17:49,320 --> 00:17:52,040 Speaker 3: Mercer is going to become a rival. We're gonna is 372 00:17:52,040 --> 00:17:53,200 Speaker 3: gonna be seeing them every year. 373 00:17:53,280 --> 00:17:55,960 Speaker 2: They're about to go down to the FCS ranks and 374 00:17:56,000 --> 00:17:58,879 Speaker 2: grab some FCS teams and say yeah, some more SCS 375 00:17:58,920 --> 00:18:01,240 Speaker 2: teams and say yeah, we're gonna play against four FCS 376 00:18:01,280 --> 00:18:02,800 Speaker 2: teams this year, Dickens. 377 00:18:03,680 --> 00:18:07,000 Speaker 1: Before we continue, I did remind everybody to please join 378 00:18:07,040 --> 00:18:10,000 Speaker 1: our college football podcast group. You can sink your picks 379 00:18:10,080 --> 00:18:12,479 Speaker 1: or use the quick pick feature on the Betting Pro 380 00:18:12,600 --> 00:18:14,520 Speaker 1: Sports betting app to get a chance to win some 381 00:18:14,560 --> 00:18:18,000 Speaker 1: free prizes. Elevate your betting strategy and join the conversation 382 00:18:18,080 --> 00:18:23,760 Speaker 1: today at bettingpros dot com slash College in Austin. The 383 00:18:23,800 --> 00:18:27,600 Speaker 1: fifth seeded Burnt Orange opened as eleven point favorites over 384 00:18:27,640 --> 00:18:31,000 Speaker 1: the twelve seed Clemson Tigers. Clemson, they drilled a fifty 385 00:18:31,080 --> 00:18:34,160 Speaker 1: six yard game winning field goal to win the ACC 386 00:18:34,400 --> 00:18:37,520 Speaker 1: Championship and to punch their ticket into the playoffs and 387 00:18:37,600 --> 00:18:40,679 Speaker 1: to get to six and seven ats Clemson. They have 388 00:18:40,720 --> 00:18:44,879 Speaker 1: three losses this season. They've lost to Georgia, Louisville, South Carolina. 389 00:18:45,160 --> 00:18:47,800 Speaker 1: The defense has been suspect. We've talked about that all year, 390 00:18:47,920 --> 00:18:50,320 Speaker 1: but k club Nick and Phil Maffa have led this 391 00:18:50,359 --> 00:18:53,200 Speaker 1: team to the twelfth total offense. Wide receiver Tyler Brown 392 00:18:53,240 --> 00:18:53,919 Speaker 1: no doubt about it. 393 00:18:53,960 --> 00:18:54,480 Speaker 3: Back on the. 394 00:18:54,400 --> 00:18:57,639 Speaker 1: Injury report already for Dabo Sweeney as is RB two 395 00:18:57,840 --> 00:19:00,880 Speaker 1: Jay Haynes. Texas still waiting on the return of left 396 00:19:00,880 --> 00:19:03,639 Speaker 1: tackle Calvin Banks, and they have now dropped to eleven 397 00:19:03,680 --> 00:19:06,480 Speaker 1: and two straight up seven to six ATS after a 398 00:19:06,600 --> 00:19:10,560 Speaker 1: second loss to Georgia in the SEC Championship game. Longhorns 399 00:19:10,640 --> 00:19:13,840 Speaker 1: quarterback Quinn Viewers hasn't been a difference maker as of late. 400 00:19:14,200 --> 00:19:16,720 Speaker 1: Despite the play calling of Sark. This team has fallen 401 00:19:16,800 --> 00:19:20,000 Speaker 1: to eighteenth in total offense twenty fifth in scoring offense, 402 00:19:20,200 --> 00:19:22,440 Speaker 1: but the defense has stepped up in a major way, 403 00:19:22,560 --> 00:19:25,960 Speaker 1: ranking first against the pass fifteenth against the run. This 404 00:19:26,040 --> 00:19:28,400 Speaker 1: is another game. I'm starting to like the under. Here 405 00:19:28,520 --> 00:19:31,159 Speaker 1: boys fifty two points. Texas eight three to two to 406 00:19:31,240 --> 00:19:33,680 Speaker 1: the under this season, and they've scored an average twenty 407 00:19:33,680 --> 00:19:36,240 Speaker 1: two point five points over the past month four and 408 00:19:36,320 --> 00:19:39,080 Speaker 1: zho to the under. Clemson has scored a total of 409 00:19:39,160 --> 00:19:43,959 Speaker 1: seventeen points in their two games against SEC scoals this season. Boggs, 410 00:19:44,000 --> 00:19:46,000 Speaker 1: Do you like the total early with me? Are you 411 00:19:46,080 --> 00:19:47,480 Speaker 1: more interested in a side? 412 00:19:47,880 --> 00:19:51,119 Speaker 3: No? I like the under as well. I think that 413 00:19:51,760 --> 00:19:53,959 Speaker 3: it's a factor of two things, and they're both on 414 00:19:54,040 --> 00:19:57,000 Speaker 3: Texas side. Texas defense is the best in the country. 415 00:19:57,000 --> 00:20:01,560 Speaker 3: I don't think that's really debatable anymore. And their offense 416 00:20:01,600 --> 00:20:04,399 Speaker 3: cannot punch the ball in and they're missing field goals. 417 00:20:04,600 --> 00:20:08,160 Speaker 3: So with a weak offense and one of the best 418 00:20:08,160 --> 00:20:10,560 Speaker 3: defenses in the country. I think it's hard to pick 419 00:20:10,560 --> 00:20:12,560 Speaker 3: an over in a game like this. Clemson had that 420 00:20:12,600 --> 00:20:15,320 Speaker 3: great win over SMU. They only put up three hundred 421 00:20:15,320 --> 00:20:17,600 Speaker 3: and twenty six yards, though, and they gave up a 422 00:20:17,600 --> 00:20:20,840 Speaker 3: bunch of yards in that comeback for SMU. They had 423 00:20:20,840 --> 00:20:22,959 Speaker 3: four hundred nineteen against South Carolina, but they wire run 424 00:20:23,000 --> 00:20:25,000 Speaker 3: over for four hundred and thirty one in that game. 425 00:20:25,240 --> 00:20:28,040 Speaker 3: Gave up four hundred and fifty eight to SMU last week. 426 00:20:28,119 --> 00:20:32,520 Speaker 3: I just think the crazy strong defense of Texas is 427 00:20:32,560 --> 00:20:35,320 Speaker 3: going to be able to limit Klubnik. Now, Klubnik is 428 00:20:35,359 --> 00:20:38,399 Speaker 3: a Austin native. He's going back to Austin. It's a 429 00:20:38,400 --> 00:20:41,240 Speaker 3: homecoming for him. It's a good storyline that you're gonna 430 00:20:41,240 --> 00:20:43,680 Speaker 3: hear about talked about in this game a ton in 431 00:20:43,720 --> 00:20:45,959 Speaker 3: the pregame and inside of it. 432 00:20:45,960 --> 00:20:46,200 Speaker 1: Here. 433 00:20:46,320 --> 00:20:48,600 Speaker 3: Quinn Ewers and Klubnik played in a state title game 434 00:20:48,600 --> 00:20:49,000 Speaker 3: a couple. 435 00:20:48,880 --> 00:20:49,760 Speaker 1: Of years ago as well. 436 00:20:50,080 --> 00:20:53,199 Speaker 3: Yeah, so you know this is it's a fun rivalry game. 437 00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:56,119 Speaker 3: There's a lot of fun stories and narratives here. But 438 00:20:56,160 --> 00:20:59,120 Speaker 3: I do think this game boils down to what happens 439 00:20:59,160 --> 00:21:02,159 Speaker 3: with Texas on offense. Are they punching the ball in 440 00:21:02,240 --> 00:21:03,960 Speaker 3: after being able to move it, because they've moved it 441 00:21:04,040 --> 00:21:06,560 Speaker 3: on everybody. They just have not scored. They didn't score 442 00:21:06,600 --> 00:21:09,440 Speaker 3: well Na and M. They obviously didn't score well enough 443 00:21:09,440 --> 00:21:11,720 Speaker 3: and missed some field goals against Georgia to send that 444 00:21:11,720 --> 00:21:15,320 Speaker 3: game into overtime. So this is about punching the ball 445 00:21:15,359 --> 00:21:17,359 Speaker 3: in for Texas. They will be able to move the 446 00:21:17,400 --> 00:21:20,000 Speaker 3: ball everybody has. On Clemson, I don't know if they're 447 00:21:20,000 --> 00:21:22,360 Speaker 3: going to be able to slow down Klubnik. I do 448 00:21:22,400 --> 00:21:24,040 Speaker 3: think they will be because I think this is the 449 00:21:24,080 --> 00:21:27,359 Speaker 3: best defense in the country, but I think me the 450 00:21:27,480 --> 00:21:30,880 Speaker 3: under is the safest play. I still like belong Horns here. 451 00:21:30,920 --> 00:21:33,200 Speaker 3: I've been a doubter on Clemson this whole year. I 452 00:21:33,280 --> 00:21:35,399 Speaker 3: think every time they've been in a huge game outside 453 00:21:35,440 --> 00:21:38,400 Speaker 3: of this one against SMU, they have not really been good. 454 00:21:38,400 --> 00:21:40,479 Speaker 3: And they almost let SMU come back in this one 455 00:21:40,520 --> 00:21:42,600 Speaker 3: and bounce them out of the tournament. So I think 456 00:21:42,640 --> 00:21:47,080 Speaker 3: this is a Texas win, but I can't say going 457 00:21:47,160 --> 00:21:50,280 Speaker 3: away it should be. But the way the offense has 458 00:21:50,280 --> 00:21:51,480 Speaker 3: been playing, you can't say that. 459 00:21:51,880 --> 00:21:55,080 Speaker 1: Terrell. We are early in the week prior to these 460 00:21:55,119 --> 00:21:56,720 Speaker 1: games being played, so I'm not going to ask you 461 00:21:56,800 --> 00:21:59,199 Speaker 1: horns up, horns down. But is there a number you 462 00:21:59,200 --> 00:22:01,360 Speaker 1: could maybe see that would make you want to get 463 00:22:01,400 --> 00:22:04,119 Speaker 1: invested in a side here, whether that's Texas or me. 464 00:22:04,280 --> 00:22:06,640 Speaker 1: We've already seen that number. With Clemson, you can get 465 00:22:06,720 --> 00:22:08,040 Speaker 1: them at plus twelve. 466 00:22:08,600 --> 00:22:11,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, and I would absolutely love to take plus twelve 467 00:22:11,800 --> 00:22:14,320 Speaker 2: with Clemson. You can't lay that matter of points with Texas. 468 00:22:14,359 --> 00:22:16,840 Speaker 2: And Boggs said it. He didn't want to say it, 469 00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:18,879 Speaker 2: but he said it. They can't punch the ball in. 470 00:22:19,160 --> 00:22:20,920 Speaker 2: You can't. I can't trust you to cover the line 471 00:22:20,920 --> 00:22:22,840 Speaker 2: if you can't put points on the board. So yeah, 472 00:22:22,880 --> 00:22:24,720 Speaker 2: I do agree with y'all underplay. I do think the 473 00:22:24,760 --> 00:22:27,280 Speaker 2: under is a very good play. But Dabbo's gonna keep 474 00:22:27,280 --> 00:22:29,280 Speaker 2: this team in the game, and Texas is gonna let him, 475 00:22:29,400 --> 00:22:32,320 Speaker 2: and I think it's gonna be on Klebnick's legs. Actually, 476 00:22:32,560 --> 00:22:35,280 Speaker 2: I think the fact that he can bring some duality 477 00:22:35,359 --> 00:22:37,240 Speaker 2: and some spot nuity to the offense and kind of 478 00:22:37,240 --> 00:22:39,080 Speaker 2: make something shake with his legs when the play starts 479 00:22:39,080 --> 00:22:41,920 Speaker 2: breaking down, if he makes the right decision and he's 480 00:22:42,040 --> 00:22:45,360 Speaker 2: not throwing the ball into heavy traffic and he's hey, 481 00:22:45,440 --> 00:22:47,399 Speaker 2: all right, it's not there. Take off of my legs, 482 00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:49,159 Speaker 2: get a good gain, and we'll get back on the 483 00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:51,280 Speaker 2: next down. Then I think that they're gonna continue to 484 00:22:51,280 --> 00:22:52,920 Speaker 2: move the ball, move the ball, move the ball, which 485 00:22:52,960 --> 00:22:55,240 Speaker 2: is gonna kill clock, kill clock, kill clock. That's gonna 486 00:22:55,240 --> 00:22:57,719 Speaker 2: help the under and that's also not gonna give Texas 487 00:22:57,760 --> 00:23:00,119 Speaker 2: a lot of opportunities to put the ball in the 488 00:23:00,200 --> 00:23:02,840 Speaker 2: end zone here. So I think that twelve is way 489 00:23:02,880 --> 00:23:05,320 Speaker 2: too many points, And honestly, it's up the Texas if 490 00:23:05,320 --> 00:23:06,800 Speaker 2: they want to win this game or not. I think 491 00:23:06,840 --> 00:23:09,760 Speaker 2: Texas absolutely has everything they need to just be able 492 00:23:09,760 --> 00:23:11,840 Speaker 2: to go out here and win this game. But I 493 00:23:11,880 --> 00:23:14,200 Speaker 2: mean we've seen it. They don't at like they want 494 00:23:14,200 --> 00:23:16,160 Speaker 2: to win the game sometimes and they're like, all right, 495 00:23:16,240 --> 00:23:18,199 Speaker 2: we're gonna go to the Kansas City Chiefs approach. We're 496 00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:20,480 Speaker 2: just gonna play this close, close, close, close close, all right. 497 00:23:20,560 --> 00:23:22,040 Speaker 2: I can't say plus twelve with you, though. 498 00:23:22,400 --> 00:23:25,399 Speaker 1: It's interesting because as the season has gone along, I 499 00:23:25,440 --> 00:23:28,280 Speaker 1: feel like Texas doesn't have a bunch of elite players. 500 00:23:28,280 --> 00:23:30,560 Speaker 1: They have like a bunch of really really good players, right, 501 00:23:30,600 --> 00:23:33,560 Speaker 1: A bunch of depth that offensive line, definitely the strength there, 502 00:23:33,680 --> 00:23:36,440 Speaker 1: especially Banks, who will be probably a top ten pick 503 00:23:36,440 --> 00:23:38,480 Speaker 1: if you can get back this season. But do you 504 00:23:38,520 --> 00:23:40,639 Speaker 1: guys feel that too. Like last year at Michigan, we 505 00:23:40,680 --> 00:23:43,719 Speaker 1: had you know, Will Johnson over there. We also had 506 00:23:44,200 --> 00:23:46,199 Speaker 1: Graham on the front end, We had a Blake quorum, 507 00:23:46,240 --> 00:23:48,359 Speaker 1: we had JJ McCarthy. I just feel like Texas is 508 00:23:48,359 --> 00:23:51,560 Speaker 1: missing a little bit of pizazz, if you would. 509 00:23:51,359 --> 00:23:53,840 Speaker 3: I mean, and I think that's what everybody feels like. 510 00:23:53,960 --> 00:23:58,240 Speaker 3: And everyone knows the answer to this question. It's put 511 00:23:58,280 --> 00:24:02,240 Speaker 3: our chin, let him go spin. Yeah, that's the pizazz. 512 00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:03,639 Speaker 1: Yeah, right right. 513 00:24:03,760 --> 00:24:06,720 Speaker 3: And but I do think that if you if you 514 00:24:06,840 --> 00:24:09,800 Speaker 3: make that move, you have to make it in game. 515 00:24:09,920 --> 00:24:12,320 Speaker 3: Quinn has to fail first. I think he's earned that. 516 00:24:12,640 --> 00:24:15,239 Speaker 3: So I think Quinn has to go out here in 517 00:24:15,320 --> 00:24:18,000 Speaker 3: this game with a little bit of extra rest, sure 518 00:24:18,040 --> 00:24:19,920 Speaker 3: and fail in the first half for you to make 519 00:24:19,960 --> 00:24:24,359 Speaker 3: that move. Now, I think the preemptive move is, let's 520 00:24:24,359 --> 00:24:26,520 Speaker 3: design a bunch of plays for Arch, not just near 521 00:24:26,560 --> 00:24:28,480 Speaker 3: the goal line, and not just in fourth and short, 522 00:24:28,520 --> 00:24:31,560 Speaker 3: third and short, Let's let's get him in in some series. 523 00:24:31,760 --> 00:24:34,880 Speaker 3: So I think you're gonna see that already. But it's 524 00:24:34,880 --> 00:24:37,600 Speaker 3: gonna be one of those things where if Texas is 525 00:24:37,760 --> 00:24:41,640 Speaker 3: tied or losing going into halftime. Out of halftime, here 526 00:24:41,680 --> 00:24:43,520 Speaker 3: comes Arch and that's it. 527 00:24:43,520 --> 00:24:45,320 Speaker 2: It's gonna be a play. This, this is gonna be 528 00:24:45,359 --> 00:24:47,119 Speaker 2: the play to spark Texas. They're gonna bring Arch in 529 00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:49,240 Speaker 2: a game every It's gonna be some third and short, 530 00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:51,480 Speaker 2: fourth and short, something like that, and they're like, oh, 531 00:24:51,600 --> 00:24:53,520 Speaker 2: Arch is running, Arch is running, and then he's gonna 532 00:24:53,520 --> 00:24:56,000 Speaker 2: throw the ball over the top for a touchdowns and 533 00:24:56,040 --> 00:24:57,040 Speaker 2: that's gonna be the sport. 534 00:24:57,760 --> 00:25:00,000 Speaker 3: By the way, I bought an Arch scoring on Texas 535 00:25:00,119 --> 00:25:01,159 Speaker 3: and m Christmas ornament. 536 00:25:01,560 --> 00:25:03,480 Speaker 1: So there you go. There you go. 537 00:25:03,640 --> 00:25:06,600 Speaker 2: Love it the fact that they were selling that. 538 00:25:08,400 --> 00:25:10,040 Speaker 3: First buyer right here. 539 00:25:10,119 --> 00:25:13,480 Speaker 1: There you go. The first round of the college football playoffs. 540 00:25:13,480 --> 00:25:16,480 Speaker 1: It will round out in Columbus, Ohio, where the eight 541 00:25:16,560 --> 00:25:19,399 Speaker 1: seed Ohio State buck Guys. They are laying seven and 542 00:25:19,440 --> 00:25:22,919 Speaker 1: a half points against the ninth seeded Tennessee Volunteers. We 543 00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:26,360 Speaker 1: last saw Ohio State lose to Michigan at the Horseshoe, 544 00:25:26,440 --> 00:25:29,320 Speaker 1: handing them their second loss of the season after already 545 00:25:29,359 --> 00:25:32,560 Speaker 1: losing to Oregon back in early October. They do, however, 546 00:25:32,640 --> 00:25:35,560 Speaker 1: have great wins against Penn State Indiana, and they sit 547 00:25:35,600 --> 00:25:38,280 Speaker 1: at five hundred and six and six ats this season. 548 00:25:38,600 --> 00:25:41,920 Speaker 1: The offense has definitely underperformed given the talent both out 549 00:25:41,920 --> 00:25:44,679 Speaker 1: wide and in the backfield. But their defense, led by 550 00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:47,600 Speaker 1: the likes of Caleb Downs, Jack Sawyer ty Leek Williams, 551 00:25:48,000 --> 00:25:51,600 Speaker 1: is first in total defense, second against the past, seventh 552 00:25:51,640 --> 00:25:55,200 Speaker 1: against the run. Could that spell trouble against Tennessee? Here, Terrell, 553 00:25:55,359 --> 00:25:58,800 Speaker 1: they are seven and five ATS sixty fifth in passing offense, 554 00:25:58,960 --> 00:26:00,120 Speaker 1: but ninth in rush. 555 00:26:01,280 --> 00:26:01,800 Speaker 3: I don't know. 556 00:26:01,960 --> 00:26:03,840 Speaker 1: I think this could be trold for Tennessee. What do 557 00:26:03,880 --> 00:26:04,320 Speaker 1: you think, man? 558 00:26:04,560 --> 00:26:06,280 Speaker 2: Yeah? I mean this is one of the games that 559 00:26:06,320 --> 00:26:09,879 Speaker 2: I'm just super duper confident off the rip. I'm taking 560 00:26:09,880 --> 00:26:12,159 Speaker 2: Ohio State, and I don't think anything's gonna change my 561 00:26:12,200 --> 00:26:14,480 Speaker 2: mind in the next week of me not taking Ohio State. 562 00:26:14,800 --> 00:26:18,080 Speaker 2: I mean, the fact that you can lose to Michigan, 563 00:26:18,200 --> 00:26:20,159 Speaker 2: not make your title game, get a bye, and then 564 00:26:20,200 --> 00:26:23,960 Speaker 2: a home playoff game against an SEC team coming up north. 565 00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:26,960 Speaker 2: And the SEC has been talking all of this all 566 00:26:27,000 --> 00:26:29,480 Speaker 2: of Hey, I guess we got to schedule a weeker 567 00:26:29,480 --> 00:26:31,320 Speaker 2: out of conference. Oh yeah, you about to see why 568 00:26:31,359 --> 00:26:33,399 Speaker 2: you need to schedule weeker out of conference because Ohio 569 00:26:33,480 --> 00:26:36,960 Speaker 2: State's about to be mad. They're gonna be livid, and 570 00:26:37,040 --> 00:26:40,680 Speaker 2: Ryan Day understands he is coaching from his job every 571 00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:43,440 Speaker 2: single game from here on out. You gotta at least 572 00:26:43,440 --> 00:26:46,440 Speaker 2: make the national championship. There's no way Ryan Day keeps 573 00:26:46,440 --> 00:26:49,080 Speaker 2: his job after the embarrassment to Michigan all these years 574 00:26:49,119 --> 00:26:50,960 Speaker 2: and this was the year, this was the year to 575 00:26:50,960 --> 00:26:53,439 Speaker 2: handle Michigan and hand Michigan and l and you couldn't 576 00:26:53,440 --> 00:26:56,439 Speaker 2: even do that. Still, like, I think that they are 577 00:26:56,480 --> 00:26:58,879 Speaker 2: fed up and they're looking for any reason. And when 578 00:26:58,880 --> 00:27:01,320 Speaker 2: they're looking for any reason, and you gotta do what 579 00:27:01,440 --> 00:27:03,600 Speaker 2: you can. It's kind of like remember the Titans where 580 00:27:03,600 --> 00:27:05,080 Speaker 2: they said that they were going to fire the coach 581 00:27:05,119 --> 00:27:06,840 Speaker 2: after an L and he was like, all right, we're 582 00:27:06,840 --> 00:27:08,520 Speaker 2: just gonna go win all the games, and they went 583 00:27:08,560 --> 00:27:11,119 Speaker 2: and won all the games. Well, here we go. I 584 00:27:11,160 --> 00:27:13,840 Speaker 2: think that this is either the end of Ryan Day 585 00:27:14,240 --> 00:27:18,679 Speaker 2: or Ohio State just dogs. This Tennessee offense that is 586 00:27:18,840 --> 00:27:21,920 Speaker 2: so up and down, and with the good special teams 587 00:27:21,920 --> 00:27:23,720 Speaker 2: that you've seen Ohio State in a lot of these games. 588 00:27:23,720 --> 00:27:25,560 Speaker 2: With that special teams really really be able to get 589 00:27:25,560 --> 00:27:28,800 Speaker 2: block punts and touchdowns and all of that. I can't 590 00:27:28,800 --> 00:27:30,960 Speaker 2: see myself getting off in Ohio State at all. 591 00:27:31,600 --> 00:27:34,480 Speaker 1: This is also the only spread that I'm already thinking 592 00:27:34,520 --> 00:27:37,119 Speaker 1: about getting invested as well with Ohio State trail. So 593 00:27:37,160 --> 00:27:39,400 Speaker 1: I like it because I feel like if Tennessee can't 594 00:27:39,400 --> 00:27:42,680 Speaker 1: get Dylan Sampson going against this defense, they will struggle. 595 00:27:42,840 --> 00:27:45,480 Speaker 1: They had a close game against Oklahoma, the best rushing 596 00:27:45,520 --> 00:27:48,120 Speaker 1: defense they faced this season. They only put up seventeen 597 00:27:48,160 --> 00:27:51,359 Speaker 1: points against Georgia, the only other top forty rushing defense 598 00:27:51,400 --> 00:27:54,720 Speaker 1: they face. The projected high in temperature this day is 599 00:27:54,760 --> 00:27:58,200 Speaker 1: going to be thirty seven degrees, and Nico and Nigo's 600 00:27:58,240 --> 00:28:02,040 Speaker 1: from Long Beach, California, I guess, so I think it's 601 00:28:02,080 --> 00:28:05,040 Speaker 1: gonna be cold, blistery up there, bogs, and I don't 602 00:28:05,080 --> 00:28:07,080 Speaker 1: think Nico and this team can handle it. So I'm 603 00:28:07,119 --> 00:28:09,959 Speaker 1: also going Ohio State here early that I haven't bet 604 00:28:10,000 --> 00:28:11,960 Speaker 1: it yet, it's my lean. Do you have an early 605 00:28:12,080 --> 00:28:14,360 Speaker 1: lean here in any insight on maybe if there will 606 00:28:14,400 --> 00:28:15,240 Speaker 1: be movement here? 607 00:28:15,640 --> 00:28:19,320 Speaker 3: I do, but I'm not as confident as you guys are. 608 00:28:20,000 --> 00:28:22,240 Speaker 3: I'm having a harder time with this one because I 609 00:28:22,320 --> 00:28:26,119 Speaker 3: tell you what I do like specifically on Tennessee's side 610 00:28:26,160 --> 00:28:29,640 Speaker 3: on defense, is I like this mismatch of the Tennessee 611 00:28:29,720 --> 00:28:34,000 Speaker 3: defensive line against the weakness of this team. The offensive 612 00:28:34,000 --> 00:28:36,879 Speaker 3: line for Ohio State Donaman Jackson has had some tough 613 00:28:37,000 --> 00:28:39,920 Speaker 3: grade since filling in at left tackle. When you know, 614 00:28:39,920 --> 00:28:41,720 Speaker 3: when Simmons went down, they moved him from left guard 615 00:28:41,720 --> 00:28:44,600 Speaker 3: to left tackle. He hasn't had the best transition there. 616 00:28:44,840 --> 00:28:48,680 Speaker 3: The whole offensive line had bad grades against Michigan. They 617 00:28:48,720 --> 00:28:51,520 Speaker 3: also weren't great against Indiana. I told you that offense 618 00:28:51,640 --> 00:28:55,760 Speaker 3: was okay. They were really good on those short passes Northwestern. 619 00:28:55,800 --> 00:28:58,479 Speaker 3: They didn't have good grades the O line, and they 620 00:28:58,480 --> 00:29:00,800 Speaker 3: were just okay against Purdue. So I do think that 621 00:29:00,800 --> 00:29:05,640 Speaker 3: that's a fairly sizable mismatch in Tennessee's favor. However, I 622 00:29:05,680 --> 00:29:07,880 Speaker 3: think the mismatch between Tennessee O line and the Ohio 623 00:29:07,880 --> 00:29:12,640 Speaker 3: State D line, I think that's tougher for Tennessee. And 624 00:29:12,680 --> 00:29:15,760 Speaker 3: the fact that, as you guys mentioned, Nico is young, 625 00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:19,960 Speaker 3: he's taken too many sacks, he's thrown picks, and what 626 00:29:20,080 --> 00:29:23,280 Speaker 3: Terrell said, I think a punt block, a kick return, 627 00:29:23,800 --> 00:29:26,440 Speaker 3: a kick block, you know, something like that in Ohio 628 00:29:26,480 --> 00:29:29,320 Speaker 3: State's favor is going to be the swinging point of 629 00:29:29,320 --> 00:29:32,360 Speaker 3: this game. So I'm on the Ohio State side, but 630 00:29:32,960 --> 00:29:35,880 Speaker 3: I don't think Tennessee goes away as quickly as y'all 631 00:29:35,880 --> 00:29:38,160 Speaker 3: are saying. I think Tennessee sticks around in this game 632 00:29:38,360 --> 00:29:40,760 Speaker 3: for a little bit. I think it's low scoring. I 633 00:29:40,840 --> 00:29:42,920 Speaker 3: kind of like the under in this one because of 634 00:29:42,960 --> 00:29:46,240 Speaker 3: the mismatch of both defensive lines first both offensive lines, 635 00:29:46,520 --> 00:29:49,400 Speaker 3: So I think this could be low scoring and scrappy. 636 00:29:49,600 --> 00:29:52,720 Speaker 3: But I think the difference in this game is the 637 00:29:52,720 --> 00:29:56,280 Speaker 3: playmakers that Ohio State has on the outside, Jeremiah Smith 638 00:29:56,280 --> 00:29:59,720 Speaker 3: and Meccagbuka, the running backs. I just think there's too 639 00:29:59,840 --> 00:30:02,760 Speaker 3: much much offensive firepower for them to be held back 640 00:30:02,800 --> 00:30:05,040 Speaker 3: the entire game. So I think we see a couple 641 00:30:05,120 --> 00:30:07,800 Speaker 3: big plays from Ohio State make the difference here. As 642 00:30:07,840 --> 00:30:10,560 Speaker 3: long as you don't get a terrible offensive game plan 643 00:30:10,840 --> 00:30:15,000 Speaker 3: like you did against Michigan, I think Ohio State's safe bogs. 644 00:30:15,000 --> 00:30:17,800 Speaker 1: Do you think seven and a half at even money 645 00:30:17,840 --> 00:30:20,560 Speaker 1: currently over at Fandel as well is the best we're 646 00:30:20,560 --> 00:30:23,200 Speaker 1: going to see this. I mean, both these programs have 647 00:30:23,360 --> 00:30:26,240 Speaker 1: huge fan bases, they're big brands. You know they're gonna 648 00:30:26,280 --> 00:30:28,440 Speaker 1: have a lot of public money just on the fan 649 00:30:28,480 --> 00:30:29,280 Speaker 1: bases alone. 650 00:30:29,520 --> 00:30:31,440 Speaker 3: Yeah, a lot of money on Tennessee right now. So 651 00:30:31,560 --> 00:30:34,920 Speaker 3: I can't see that coming back down towards Ohio state 652 00:30:35,000 --> 00:30:37,200 Speaker 3: side a little bit. I just don't think it should 653 00:30:37,240 --> 00:30:39,720 Speaker 3: move though. I think this line is very correct, so 654 00:30:40,400 --> 00:30:44,800 Speaker 3: I don't think I see it moving too much. Like 655 00:30:45,480 --> 00:30:48,480 Speaker 3: we're right in line with this. We're a little bit 656 00:30:48,520 --> 00:30:51,800 Speaker 3: on the Tennessee side in terms of BP projections, so 657 00:30:51,840 --> 00:30:54,080 Speaker 3: if it comes back down, it'll probably be right on 658 00:30:54,120 --> 00:30:57,080 Speaker 3: top of that. So not a ton of confidence with 659 00:30:57,160 --> 00:30:59,080 Speaker 3: this game, not like you guys have for me. 660 00:30:59,400 --> 00:31:01,920 Speaker 1: Okay, while we have to weigh over a week for 661 00:31:01,960 --> 00:31:03,840 Speaker 1: the playoff games to be played, we do have some 662 00:31:03,920 --> 00:31:07,160 Speaker 1: live action this weekend, starting with the Army Navy game 663 00:31:07,480 --> 00:31:11,920 Speaker 1: going down at Northwest Stadium in Landover, Maryland on Saturday 664 00:31:12,000 --> 00:31:14,840 Speaker 1: at three pm Eastern time. The Black Knights are favored 665 00:31:15,040 --> 00:31:17,640 Speaker 1: by six and a half over the midship Men, and 666 00:31:17,680 --> 00:31:19,920 Speaker 1: it's kind of easy to understand why, right guys. I mean, 667 00:31:20,040 --> 00:31:24,120 Speaker 1: Army just won the AAC Championship thirty five to fourteen. 668 00:31:24,360 --> 00:31:27,720 Speaker 1: It was a route against Tulane. Everyone from their top 669 00:31:27,840 --> 00:31:30,600 Speaker 1: ranked rushing offense and their tenth ranked total defense should 670 00:31:30,600 --> 00:31:32,960 Speaker 1: be up for this game. Army is currently eight and 671 00:31:33,080 --> 00:31:36,360 Speaker 1: three and one ATS and if they win, they'll set 672 00:31:36,360 --> 00:31:39,479 Speaker 1: a skull record for a twelve wins Navy should get 673 00:31:39,560 --> 00:31:43,040 Speaker 1: quarterback Blake Horvath back after dealing with some rib injuries earlier. 674 00:31:43,040 --> 00:31:45,640 Speaker 1: This month, They've been a respectable eight and three straight 675 00:31:45,720 --> 00:31:48,520 Speaker 1: up seven to four ats. They too have a top 676 00:31:48,520 --> 00:31:51,960 Speaker 1: ten rushing offense, but their defense ranks outside the top 677 00:31:52,040 --> 00:31:56,320 Speaker 1: seventy in all major categories. Bogs. Army has won the 678 00:31:56,400 --> 00:31:58,760 Speaker 1: last two in this rivalry. Do they make it three 679 00:31:58,760 --> 00:32:00,840 Speaker 1: in a row on Saturday or will they take their 680 00:32:00,840 --> 00:32:02,000 Speaker 1: foot off the gas man? 681 00:32:02,280 --> 00:32:04,160 Speaker 3: How do you not take Army here? I think is 682 00:32:04,200 --> 00:32:06,960 Speaker 3: my initial thought in this game. I actually like the 683 00:32:07,040 --> 00:32:08,880 Speaker 3: over as well. I think that you know are. 684 00:32:10,840 --> 00:32:11,640 Speaker 1: Thirty game. 685 00:32:11,920 --> 00:32:14,080 Speaker 3: This game traditionally goes under. I mean a lot of 686 00:32:14,120 --> 00:32:17,040 Speaker 3: money has been made by people taking the under in 687 00:32:17,120 --> 00:32:19,440 Speaker 3: this football game. So I'm not gonna sit here and 688 00:32:19,440 --> 00:32:23,160 Speaker 3: say I love love the over is, but I do 689 00:32:23,440 --> 00:32:25,920 Speaker 3: like it here. I like it better than laying the 690 00:32:25,920 --> 00:32:27,880 Speaker 3: points and take an Army I think. I do think. 691 00:32:28,160 --> 00:32:29,680 Speaker 3: I don't think Navy is a bad team at all. 692 00:32:29,720 --> 00:32:31,840 Speaker 3: Blake Corvath has been strong, He's going to be back 693 00:32:31,880 --> 00:32:33,840 Speaker 3: for this game. I just don't think they have the 694 00:32:33,880 --> 00:32:37,000 Speaker 3: defense that Army does at Navy. Uh yes, Army was 695 00:32:37,080 --> 00:32:39,800 Speaker 3: rolled by Notre Dame, but they beat the breaks off 696 00:32:39,800 --> 00:32:41,760 Speaker 3: of most other teams, including too Lane in the AC 697 00:32:41,920 --> 00:32:44,720 Speaker 3: title game last week. This is the number one rushing 698 00:32:44,800 --> 00:32:48,520 Speaker 3: offense in the country. Navy hasn't been great at stopping 699 00:32:48,560 --> 00:32:51,040 Speaker 3: the run. Give me Army to win this one and cover. 700 00:32:51,520 --> 00:32:54,240 Speaker 3: But the over is my favorite beat in this game. 701 00:32:54,280 --> 00:32:56,760 Speaker 3: I like the fact that Horvath is playing for Navy 702 00:32:56,880 --> 00:32:59,920 Speaker 3: makes them way better. But I just think Army does 703 00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:02,960 Speaker 3: the heavy lifting and scores here, and the fact that 704 00:33:03,800 --> 00:33:06,320 Speaker 3: you know Horvath is in this game makes it more 705 00:33:06,360 --> 00:33:08,720 Speaker 3: possible for Navy to be in this game and score points. 706 00:33:08,960 --> 00:33:11,160 Speaker 3: So the overs my favorite play. But I also lay 707 00:33:11,160 --> 00:33:11,960 Speaker 3: the points and take an. 708 00:33:11,960 --> 00:33:15,640 Speaker 1: Army trelle You are an American hero military man. Which 709 00:33:15,640 --> 00:33:16,760 Speaker 1: branch are you going with here? 710 00:33:17,160 --> 00:33:20,760 Speaker 2: Oh? Yeah? And I mean I understand first of all, 711 00:33:21,280 --> 00:33:23,320 Speaker 2: the under is the lock. I mean, there's nothing new 712 00:33:23,440 --> 00:33:26,440 Speaker 2: you think. Fifteen one in one is the under in 713 00:33:26,480 --> 00:33:29,600 Speaker 2: the last seventeen meetings at a neutral site, fifteen one 714 00:33:29,640 --> 00:33:32,160 Speaker 2: in one. I'm not going against that. It doesn't matter 715 00:33:32,160 --> 00:33:34,080 Speaker 2: what the totals at is, and the total is always 716 00:33:34,120 --> 00:33:37,160 Speaker 2: around this number. It constantly goes over because what is 717 00:33:37,200 --> 00:33:39,720 Speaker 2: the what is these two teams they're both running the 718 00:33:39,720 --> 00:33:41,920 Speaker 2: football teams. They both run a bunch of clock. You 719 00:33:41,960 --> 00:33:44,320 Speaker 2: could go back to the first scar fast the first quarter. 720 00:33:44,360 --> 00:33:46,200 Speaker 2: You could look at it could be over and you 721 00:33:46,280 --> 00:33:49,360 Speaker 2: only saw two and a half possessions, so it could 722 00:33:49,400 --> 00:33:51,320 Speaker 2: be very very quick for this I can see a 723 00:33:51,440 --> 00:33:53,960 Speaker 2: seven to three first quarter. That would be the most. 724 00:33:54,000 --> 00:33:55,920 Speaker 2: That's if you have the over you're hoping for a 725 00:33:55,920 --> 00:33:58,120 Speaker 2: seven to three first quarter. That's how you're you're sitting 726 00:33:58,120 --> 00:33:59,640 Speaker 2: here saying, they all right, now, we're. 727 00:33:59,520 --> 00:34:01,200 Speaker 3: Pacing some three. 728 00:34:01,400 --> 00:34:01,640 Speaker 2: Yes. 729 00:34:01,720 --> 00:34:04,560 Speaker 3: So because it's under forty points, so I. 730 00:34:04,440 --> 00:34:07,360 Speaker 2: Think it's gonna be a little bit of Maybe I 731 00:34:07,480 --> 00:34:10,399 Speaker 2: like Army early because I do think that Bryson Dally 732 00:34:10,440 --> 00:34:13,840 Speaker 2: in the offense may shell shock this Navy team early 733 00:34:13,920 --> 00:34:15,920 Speaker 2: on and be able to put up a quick score. 734 00:34:16,000 --> 00:34:18,560 Speaker 2: But I don't think Navy's going away in this game. 735 00:34:18,640 --> 00:34:22,680 Speaker 2: This is a rivalry, ugly rivalry game. I mean Army Navy, 736 00:34:22,680 --> 00:34:25,400 Speaker 2: doesn't matter if it's football, basketball. These games are competitive. 737 00:34:25,640 --> 00:34:29,000 Speaker 2: These games are serious. And even in the heyday of 738 00:34:29,120 --> 00:34:31,200 Speaker 2: some of those best Navy teams, when it was flipped 739 00:34:31,200 --> 00:34:33,920 Speaker 2: around and Navy was the ones that was pushing everybody 740 00:34:33,960 --> 00:34:36,200 Speaker 2: around and controlling the line of scrimmage and had the 741 00:34:36,200 --> 00:34:39,200 Speaker 2: better option play and all of that, they were still 742 00:34:39,760 --> 00:34:42,759 Speaker 2: covering this line against Army was still covering this line. 743 00:34:42,800 --> 00:34:45,680 Speaker 2: Both of these two teams play single possession games, and 744 00:34:45,760 --> 00:34:47,879 Speaker 2: I can see something like that. I mean Army didn't 745 00:34:47,920 --> 00:34:50,080 Speaker 2: cover against air Force. When they played air Force earlier 746 00:34:50,120 --> 00:34:52,000 Speaker 2: on in the year triple option team, they would have 747 00:34:52,000 --> 00:34:53,919 Speaker 2: covered this line, but they didn't cover the game there. 748 00:34:54,040 --> 00:34:56,879 Speaker 2: I think Navy is really getting up for this, and defensively, 749 00:34:56,920 --> 00:34:59,400 Speaker 2: with the week to prepare, they're going to have a 750 00:34:59,440 --> 00:35:02,040 Speaker 2: game plan ready that's not gonna let Army just score 751 00:35:02,160 --> 00:35:04,600 Speaker 2: up and down at will on them. So I do 752 00:35:04,680 --> 00:35:06,359 Speaker 2: love the under. I think that this is a low 753 00:35:06,400 --> 00:35:08,520 Speaker 2: scoring game, but I also think that the six and 754 00:35:08,560 --> 00:35:10,640 Speaker 2: a half is too many points because I think this 755 00:35:10,760 --> 00:35:12,440 Speaker 2: Navy team just isn't going away. 756 00:35:12,960 --> 00:35:15,520 Speaker 1: And before we continue, I did want to tell everybody 757 00:35:15,560 --> 00:35:18,840 Speaker 1: about Fast Break Bets. If you'll like betting on basketball, 758 00:35:18,880 --> 00:35:22,160 Speaker 1: then join host Terrell Furman on the Fast Break Bets podcast. 759 00:35:22,360 --> 00:35:25,760 Speaker 1: It's your daily dose of basketball betting in fifteen minutes 760 00:35:25,840 --> 00:35:28,640 Speaker 1: or less. Tune in every single day for your rapid 761 00:35:28,680 --> 00:35:31,840 Speaker 1: fire fix of all things basketball, from the w to 762 00:35:31,960 --> 00:35:35,480 Speaker 1: the Association to college basketball. And more. Make sure you 763 00:35:35,520 --> 00:35:38,040 Speaker 1: guys are checking out the Fast Break Bets podcast right 764 00:35:38,080 --> 00:35:40,480 Speaker 1: here on the Betting Pros YouTube and wherever you get 765 00:35:40,520 --> 00:35:44,000 Speaker 1: your podcast. Terrelle College basketball also heating back up. You 766 00:35:44,080 --> 00:35:45,400 Speaker 1: never sleep, do you, my friend? 767 00:35:45,719 --> 00:35:48,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, definitely don't sleep. And we're getting We're about to 768 00:35:48,360 --> 00:35:51,600 Speaker 2: get heavy, heavy in the college basketball betting as college 769 00:35:51,600 --> 00:35:54,680 Speaker 2: football rams down, so ooh we're gonna see it. So 770 00:35:54,760 --> 00:35:58,560 Speaker 2: but hey, Ace Bailly and Dylan Harper over there, Rutgers 771 00:35:58,680 --> 00:36:02,640 Speaker 2: look really really good, look really really good as a 772 00:36:02,640 --> 00:36:05,879 Speaker 2: freshman young duo. I would just love to see them 773 00:36:05,880 --> 00:36:07,759 Speaker 2: play college basketball now. I know they're about to make 774 00:36:07,760 --> 00:36:11,200 Speaker 2: the jump, but yeah, look like a really fun young duo. 775 00:36:11,280 --> 00:36:13,320 Speaker 2: And that Recers team looks really really interesting. 776 00:36:13,800 --> 00:36:16,680 Speaker 1: I'll take your word for it. Man. Staying on Saturday, 777 00:36:16,719 --> 00:36:19,399 Speaker 1: we have the Salute to Service Bowl, kicking off at 778 00:36:19,480 --> 00:36:23,839 Speaker 1: nine pm Eastern time in Montgomery, Alabama, South Alabama. They 779 00:36:23,840 --> 00:36:28,279 Speaker 1: are seven point favorites against Western Michigan South Alabama. Very 780 00:36:28,320 --> 00:36:30,120 Speaker 1: middle of the road Sun Belt team. I think you 781 00:36:30,160 --> 00:36:32,919 Speaker 1: could fairly say finishing six and six straight up five 782 00:36:32,960 --> 00:36:36,800 Speaker 1: and seven ats. They have a top twenty scoring offense, 783 00:36:36,840 --> 00:36:40,279 Speaker 1: but are ninety ninth total defense. The Jaguars could be 784 00:36:40,320 --> 00:36:44,479 Speaker 1: without quarterback Go Lopez as well, who's questionable. They also 785 00:36:44,520 --> 00:36:47,920 Speaker 1: be without their leading rusher Fluff Bothwell, who did hit 786 00:36:47,960 --> 00:36:51,640 Speaker 1: the transfer portal Western Michigan equally mid MAC team, I 787 00:36:51,640 --> 00:36:53,840 Speaker 1: would say six and six straight up five and seven 788 00:36:53,920 --> 00:36:57,440 Speaker 1: ats as well. Their offense on paper is worse eighty 789 00:36:57,480 --> 00:37:00,960 Speaker 1: second in total offense and their defense on first until 790 00:37:01,040 --> 00:37:04,919 Speaker 1: defense as well. They're leading wide receiver Titan Blake Bosma. 791 00:37:05,040 --> 00:37:07,319 Speaker 1: He's in the portal as is one of their top 792 00:37:07,360 --> 00:37:10,880 Speaker 1: defensive players edge Corey Walker Trell. Do youve a side 793 00:37:10,920 --> 00:37:12,200 Speaker 1: in the sleut to service. 794 00:37:11,880 --> 00:37:15,000 Speaker 2: Ball, Yeah, I do. I love Western Michigan plus the 795 00:37:15,040 --> 00:37:18,640 Speaker 2: points here, it's really hard for me to take South 796 00:37:18,719 --> 00:37:22,040 Speaker 2: Alabama with it looks like Goo Lopez is not gonna play. 797 00:37:22,960 --> 00:37:26,359 Speaker 2: We'll see. I mean, the injury, what concerns are really 798 00:37:26,360 --> 00:37:28,640 Speaker 2: big there, But Fluff boff Well is going off to 799 00:37:28,760 --> 00:37:32,000 Speaker 2: bigger and better things. And if you tech stay tapped 800 00:37:32,040 --> 00:37:34,320 Speaker 2: in a lot with the South Alabama team and watching 801 00:37:34,360 --> 00:37:37,320 Speaker 2: him play, you knew that this is a transfer portal 802 00:37:37,360 --> 00:37:39,840 Speaker 2: candidate of somebody who's gonna go off to a bigger school, 803 00:37:39,880 --> 00:37:41,719 Speaker 2: do some big things and possibly have a run in 804 00:37:41,719 --> 00:37:44,719 Speaker 2: the NFL, so not surprising, but he's just such a 805 00:37:44,760 --> 00:37:46,880 Speaker 2: big part of their offense and what they do scoring. 806 00:37:47,080 --> 00:37:49,439 Speaker 2: And I think this Western Michigan team coming down here 807 00:37:49,480 --> 00:37:51,040 Speaker 2: with a little bit of a chip on their shoulder, 808 00:37:51,320 --> 00:37:54,640 Speaker 2: coming down to Alabama to play this game South Alabama, 809 00:37:55,160 --> 00:37:57,200 Speaker 2: They're gonna have the crowd a little bit. I think 810 00:37:57,200 --> 00:37:59,520 Speaker 2: they're gonna get up and what is a neutral site 811 00:37:59,520 --> 00:38:01,600 Speaker 2: but feels quite a more like a road game here. 812 00:38:01,760 --> 00:38:04,600 Speaker 2: I like Western Michigan, Western Michigan in the MAC to 813 00:38:04,600 --> 00:38:06,279 Speaker 2: be able to keep this one close. I'm taking them 814 00:38:06,280 --> 00:38:07,839 Speaker 2: plus the points, so I'll speak a lot of money 815 00:38:07,880 --> 00:38:10,080 Speaker 2: line because these games can go either kind of way. 816 00:38:10,120 --> 00:38:12,680 Speaker 2: And if they don't have their starting quarterback and starting 817 00:38:12,800 --> 00:38:15,560 Speaker 2: running back that is, you know, all conference than one 818 00:38:15,640 --> 00:38:18,840 Speaker 2: hundred percent. I think that there's a lot of opening 819 00:38:19,440 --> 00:38:22,920 Speaker 2: door possibility opening for Western Michigan get out right when here. 820 00:38:23,280 --> 00:38:27,080 Speaker 1: Bogman, candidly, I haven't really kept up much with South Bama. 821 00:38:27,200 --> 00:38:30,120 Speaker 1: I wasn't familiar with Fluff's game coming into this one. 822 00:38:30,239 --> 00:38:33,799 Speaker 1: So do you have any thoughts on South Alabama or 823 00:38:33,840 --> 00:38:35,080 Speaker 1: Western Michigan as a whole. 824 00:38:35,400 --> 00:38:37,680 Speaker 3: Yeah, not my favorite game. It is one if you're 825 00:38:37,680 --> 00:38:41,239 Speaker 3: doing those confidence matchups, this one would be very low. 826 00:38:41,320 --> 00:38:43,640 Speaker 3: Okay for me, this would be a single digit game 827 00:38:44,400 --> 00:38:47,279 Speaker 3: for sure. But I'll say this, I'm not touching the 828 00:38:47,280 --> 00:38:50,280 Speaker 3: total with Lopez questionable. But I do still like South Alabama, 829 00:38:50,640 --> 00:38:53,279 Speaker 3: like Trell alluded to, is basically a home game for them. 830 00:38:53,960 --> 00:38:56,120 Speaker 3: WMU has had just such a bad defense. I just 831 00:38:56,160 --> 00:38:59,480 Speaker 3: cannot take the points with them. I don't feel like 832 00:38:59,480 --> 00:39:02,960 Speaker 3: it's a very matchup for the Broncos either. South Bama 833 00:39:03,080 --> 00:39:06,239 Speaker 3: is gettable, but really it's through the air, and this 834 00:39:06,280 --> 00:39:09,360 Speaker 3: is a run first team. I believe they pass it 835 00:39:09,440 --> 00:39:12,319 Speaker 3: like a forty four point six percent clip somewhere in 836 00:39:12,320 --> 00:39:15,760 Speaker 3: that range. So and also like if they are playing comeback, 837 00:39:15,920 --> 00:39:19,040 Speaker 3: they just lost their leader in receptions and receiving touchdowns, 838 00:39:19,160 --> 00:39:22,080 Speaker 3: and they're tight in Bosma. Who's in the portal? You know, 839 00:39:22,120 --> 00:39:24,440 Speaker 3: we know South Alabama's gonna pass, and they lost their 840 00:39:24,480 --> 00:39:27,640 Speaker 3: sack leader and Corey Walker as you alluded to as well, 841 00:39:28,120 --> 00:39:31,920 Speaker 3: we show a big advantage to South Alabama if Lopez 842 00:39:32,080 --> 00:39:36,280 Speaker 3: is playing MVP, but I don't think he is either. 843 00:39:36,840 --> 00:39:39,280 Speaker 3: I still would lay this seven and a half because 844 00:39:39,640 --> 00:39:42,000 Speaker 3: we see this as more of a thirteen and a 845 00:39:42,040 --> 00:39:45,680 Speaker 3: half point game. Should Lopez be in there, so I 846 00:39:45,800 --> 00:39:48,120 Speaker 3: know he's a big part of this team, and he 847 00:39:48,280 --> 00:39:51,920 Speaker 3: is the bigger loss to his team than Bosma and Walker. 848 00:39:51,960 --> 00:39:55,000 Speaker 3: For Western Michigan, I just think that Western Michigan doesn't 849 00:39:55,040 --> 00:39:58,520 Speaker 3: have anything without those guys. So for me, I'm gonna 850 00:39:58,520 --> 00:40:00,320 Speaker 3: take the Jags and lay the points. 851 00:40:01,000 --> 00:40:03,760 Speaker 1: On Tuesday night, we have the Miami Beach Bowl between 852 00:40:03,800 --> 00:40:06,560 Speaker 1: the twenty fifth ranked of Memphis Tigers and the West 853 00:40:06,640 --> 00:40:10,640 Speaker 1: Virginia Mountaineers. Memphis finished fourth in the AAC ten and 854 00:40:10,719 --> 00:40:14,200 Speaker 1: two straight up six five and one ats. As always, 855 00:40:14,200 --> 00:40:17,280 Speaker 1: the Tigers have an explosive offense twelfth in total offense. 856 00:40:17,760 --> 00:40:21,000 Speaker 1: They also are top ten against the run on defense, 857 00:40:21,160 --> 00:40:24,000 Speaker 1: but one hundred and fourteenth in the nation against the pass. 858 00:40:24,320 --> 00:40:26,719 Speaker 1: But weirdly that kind of sets them up pretty well 859 00:40:26,760 --> 00:40:30,200 Speaker 1: against West Virginia. After finishing six and six and middle 860 00:40:30,200 --> 00:40:33,239 Speaker 1: of the road in the Big twelve standings, WVU has 861 00:40:33,320 --> 00:40:35,719 Speaker 1: fired Neil Brown. A lot of rich Rod calls out 862 00:40:35,760 --> 00:40:37,960 Speaker 1: there on the internet for him to maybe return there 863 00:40:38,000 --> 00:40:40,840 Speaker 1: once again. Top thirty in rushing, but they're passing offense 864 00:40:40,920 --> 00:40:43,040 Speaker 1: ranks outside of the top one hundred bogs. Do you 865 00:40:43,080 --> 00:40:45,880 Speaker 1: see any value currently on the board with Memphis favored 866 00:40:45,920 --> 00:40:46,600 Speaker 1: by two and a half. 867 00:40:47,040 --> 00:40:50,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, I like Memphis in this game. And Chad Scott 868 00:40:50,400 --> 00:40:54,080 Speaker 3: took overs the OC. You know, he's the OC as 869 00:40:54,120 --> 00:40:56,839 Speaker 3: the interim head coach in this game. And to have 870 00:40:57,000 --> 00:40:59,680 Speaker 3: not a lot of guys transferred yet is pretty impressive 871 00:40:59,680 --> 00:41:02,279 Speaker 3: for West Virginia with their head coach leaving. But that's 872 00:41:02,280 --> 00:41:04,320 Speaker 3: why they took this early game. They took this early 873 00:41:04,360 --> 00:41:06,520 Speaker 3: game to give them a chance to keep the kids 874 00:41:06,560 --> 00:41:09,319 Speaker 3: there and then go into the transfer portal before the 875 00:41:09,360 --> 00:41:13,080 Speaker 3: twenty eighth, of course, so it's been impressive that they've 876 00:41:13,120 --> 00:41:16,440 Speaker 3: been able to keep it. But Memphis wanted an early Bowl. 877 00:41:17,000 --> 00:41:20,760 Speaker 3: They also wanted a game that was within driving distance 878 00:41:20,880 --> 00:41:24,120 Speaker 3: of them. Don't know who's driving from Memphis seven hours 879 00:41:24,120 --> 00:41:28,080 Speaker 3: to Frisco on a Tuesday, But okay, it's a close 880 00:41:28,120 --> 00:41:32,560 Speaker 3: game in proximity for Memphis. I just think that Memphis 881 00:41:32,600 --> 00:41:34,920 Speaker 3: is too experienced. They're one of the better G five 882 00:41:34,960 --> 00:41:37,480 Speaker 3: teams in the country. This is another game that the 883 00:41:37,560 --> 00:41:40,399 Speaker 3: underdog just doesn't match up well. WVU is a much 884 00:41:40,400 --> 00:41:43,359 Speaker 3: better rushing team than passing. Memphis has played top ten 885 00:41:43,440 --> 00:41:46,200 Speaker 3: run defense this season. Give me Seth Head again. Who 886 00:41:46,239 --> 00:41:50,399 Speaker 3: is the AAC all time leading passer right now, and 887 00:41:50,440 --> 00:41:52,600 Speaker 3: the Tigers in this game, the pass defense is bad 888 00:41:52,640 --> 00:41:55,959 Speaker 3: for WVU. Memphis has a lot of experience. I'm laying 889 00:41:56,000 --> 00:41:57,280 Speaker 3: the points and taking the Tigers. 890 00:41:57,520 --> 00:41:59,200 Speaker 1: Yeah. I think this is probably one of my favorite 891 00:41:59,239 --> 00:42:01,960 Speaker 1: sides as well, with with Memphis minus two and a half. 892 00:42:02,000 --> 00:42:03,879 Speaker 1: If you want to forget the points, mius one forty 893 00:42:03,880 --> 00:42:06,040 Speaker 1: two on the money line, where are you going to reil? 894 00:42:08,040 --> 00:42:09,560 Speaker 1: I love WVU, No. 895 00:42:09,920 --> 00:42:13,799 Speaker 2: I really don't love WVU. They actually annoying me relatively, 896 00:42:13,840 --> 00:42:18,000 Speaker 2: But I think that so who were the two losses 897 00:42:18,160 --> 00:42:21,279 Speaker 2: to Memphis? Well, one was Navy. What does Navy do? 898 00:42:21,760 --> 00:42:24,480 Speaker 2: They run the football, but they run the football unconventionally, 899 00:42:24,719 --> 00:42:28,279 Speaker 2: and I think that's where WVU get some It's the 900 00:42:28,400 --> 00:42:31,879 Speaker 2: unconventional running of the football, the quarterback taking off when 901 00:42:31,880 --> 00:42:33,840 Speaker 2: you're not expecting them to take off and having a 902 00:42:33,880 --> 00:42:35,719 Speaker 2: twenty yard game. And I think that he can do 903 00:42:35,760 --> 00:42:38,440 Speaker 2: that in this game. And so I'm not one hundred 904 00:42:38,440 --> 00:42:41,279 Speaker 2: percent there on just jumping on the Memphis side of this. 905 00:42:41,600 --> 00:42:43,640 Speaker 2: But what I do like is the over. I think 906 00:42:43,640 --> 00:42:45,520 Speaker 2: the over is a great play. I think that Memphis 907 00:42:45,600 --> 00:42:47,080 Speaker 2: is going to be able to score the ball, and 908 00:42:47,160 --> 00:42:50,000 Speaker 2: if I'm right about WVU and their contribution of things 909 00:42:50,040 --> 00:42:52,160 Speaker 2: and being able to find those those rushing lanes and 910 00:42:52,200 --> 00:42:54,440 Speaker 2: that rushing attack that will work against this team and 911 00:42:54,480 --> 00:42:56,279 Speaker 2: open up their pass game a little bit. They'll be 912 00:42:56,280 --> 00:42:57,919 Speaker 2: able to put up some points too. And I've seen 913 00:42:58,880 --> 00:43:01,560 Speaker 2: Memphis spurry on the defensive side of ball and be 914 00:43:01,640 --> 00:43:03,680 Speaker 2: able to let other teams just hang around in the 915 00:43:03,680 --> 00:43:05,960 Speaker 2: game and score points. So I like the over in 916 00:43:06,000 --> 00:43:07,760 Speaker 2: the game. I think this is a high scoring affair, 917 00:43:07,840 --> 00:43:10,360 Speaker 2: but not one hundred percent there on mephis just yet. 918 00:43:10,560 --> 00:43:10,799 Speaker 1: Yeah. 919 00:43:10,840 --> 00:43:13,919 Speaker 3: Look roster wise, the Big twelve versus G five team, 920 00:43:14,280 --> 00:43:17,640 Speaker 3: So yeah, you know that there is a threat for 921 00:43:17,840 --> 00:43:20,480 Speaker 3: WVU for sure. Iistink Memphis one of the better G 922 00:43:20,600 --> 00:43:22,719 Speaker 3: five teams, so but we can both be right on 923 00:43:22,760 --> 00:43:23,440 Speaker 3: this one. 924 00:43:24,040 --> 00:43:27,120 Speaker 1: We've got another G five game in the Boca Raton Bowl, 925 00:43:27,120 --> 00:43:30,080 Speaker 1: with JMU favored by six and a half against Western 926 00:43:30,160 --> 00:43:33,719 Speaker 1: Kentucky on Wednesday evening. This is despite the news that 927 00:43:33,840 --> 00:43:38,640 Speaker 1: JMU quarterback Alonso Barnett the Third is out Billy Atkins 928 00:43:38,680 --> 00:43:41,720 Speaker 1: in at quarterback. They'll also be without starting left tackle 929 00:43:42,160 --> 00:43:46,120 Speaker 1: Jesse Raimel, who hit the portal. This could actually hurt 930 00:43:46,160 --> 00:43:50,040 Speaker 1: the Dukes, who ranked twenty fourth in scoring offense JMU 931 00:43:50,120 --> 00:43:52,719 Speaker 1: in their first year without sig Signetty. They're eight and 932 00:43:52,800 --> 00:43:56,439 Speaker 1: four straight up six and six ats WKU, of course, 933 00:43:56,480 --> 00:43:59,799 Speaker 1: coming off that embarrassing fifty two to twelve lost two 934 00:44:00,080 --> 00:44:04,240 Speaker 1: Jacksonville State in the Conference USA title game. They're ninety 935 00:44:04,280 --> 00:44:08,400 Speaker 1: six ranked in total defense and they was absolutely exposed 936 00:44:08,480 --> 00:44:12,080 Speaker 1: on last Friday night. And their second leading wide receiver, 937 00:44:12,200 --> 00:44:15,080 Speaker 1: Easton Messer, he is also now in the portal trell 938 00:44:15,200 --> 00:44:17,040 Speaker 1: Do you have a feel about this one at all? 939 00:44:17,280 --> 00:44:20,520 Speaker 1: WKU feels like it's kind of on the schneid right now, 940 00:44:20,560 --> 00:44:23,760 Speaker 1: But no Barnett for JMU makes this line feel quite big. 941 00:44:24,120 --> 00:44:26,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, it does. It does feel a little bit too big. 942 00:44:26,040 --> 00:44:28,799 Speaker 2: I understand why the line grew because I do think JMU, 943 00:44:28,880 --> 00:44:31,080 Speaker 2: on paper full strength, is a better team and they 944 00:44:31,080 --> 00:44:33,600 Speaker 2: probably should easily be able to get the cover here. 945 00:44:33,640 --> 00:44:36,719 Speaker 2: But Billy Atkins, I mean, it's been a while since 946 00:44:36,719 --> 00:44:39,000 Speaker 2: we've seen him in the starting role. Last time we 947 00:44:39,040 --> 00:44:40,920 Speaker 2: did it was against Marshall and he didn't look good. 948 00:44:40,920 --> 00:44:42,920 Speaker 2: He threw four interceptions. That was some years ago. He's 949 00:44:42,960 --> 00:44:44,640 Speaker 2: grown in the program, and I think that's the good 950 00:44:44,640 --> 00:44:46,719 Speaker 2: thing about it, is the fact that he's stayed with 951 00:44:46,760 --> 00:44:49,040 Speaker 2: this team, and he's grown in the program, but that 952 00:44:49,080 --> 00:44:53,239 Speaker 2: doesn't always translate into wins and laying points with that. 953 00:44:53,360 --> 00:44:54,759 Speaker 2: I don't think I want to lay points with that. 954 00:44:54,840 --> 00:44:56,560 Speaker 2: I think that he can make this a competitive game, 955 00:44:56,600 --> 00:44:59,640 Speaker 2: and maybe this is interesting. But WKU, I think that 956 00:44:59,719 --> 00:45:02,879 Speaker 2: they can put together a nice game plan and give 957 00:45:03,040 --> 00:45:05,840 Speaker 2: JMU some fits. Maybe JMU still gets to win, but 958 00:45:06,600 --> 00:45:08,239 Speaker 2: I don't know. I don't know about that. I'm not 959 00:45:08,280 --> 00:45:10,640 Speaker 2: feeling laying the points with Billy Atkins here, so I'm 960 00:45:10,680 --> 00:45:13,000 Speaker 2: taking WKA plus points Bogs. 961 00:45:13,960 --> 00:45:17,040 Speaker 3: Well. I still I have questions about this game still, 962 00:45:17,080 --> 00:45:21,520 Speaker 3: and my questions are because felt camp for WKU went 963 00:45:21,560 --> 00:45:24,400 Speaker 3: into the portal. It's unclear whether he's gonna play this 964 00:45:24,440 --> 00:45:26,760 Speaker 3: game or not. But if he doesn't play this game, 965 00:45:27,200 --> 00:45:30,200 Speaker 3: the second string and third string in Turner Heldon and TJ. 966 00:45:30,280 --> 00:45:34,000 Speaker 3: Finley are both in the portal as well. Yeah, so WKU, 967 00:45:34,080 --> 00:45:37,319 Speaker 3: with a rhythm passing offense, may be down to their 968 00:45:37,360 --> 00:45:40,080 Speaker 3: fourth quarterback in this game. And this is the danger 969 00:45:40,480 --> 00:45:43,839 Speaker 3: of betting these Bowl games early. So you know, let's 970 00:45:43,880 --> 00:45:46,560 Speaker 3: wait till the day before. Let's see let's get these 971 00:45:46,600 --> 00:45:49,440 Speaker 3: reports and see what's happening here. But I don't expect 972 00:45:49,480 --> 00:45:51,120 Speaker 3: him to play. I expect him to be down to 973 00:45:51,160 --> 00:45:54,960 Speaker 3: their fourth quarterback and a fourth versus a second. Give 974 00:45:55,040 --> 00:45:58,440 Speaker 3: me the second, and well, you know we've heard James Madison. 975 00:45:58,480 --> 00:46:02,520 Speaker 3: I feel like has done a relatively great job here, 976 00:46:02,880 --> 00:46:05,680 Speaker 3: Bob Chesney. You know, they lost Signetti, they lost a 977 00:46:05,760 --> 00:46:09,319 Speaker 3: ton of transfers as well, and they still are in 978 00:46:09,360 --> 00:46:11,920 Speaker 3: a bowl game here. I think it's a pretty impressive job. 979 00:46:12,239 --> 00:46:15,720 Speaker 3: So I think Atkins can do a lot of similar 980 00:46:15,840 --> 00:46:19,480 Speaker 3: things that Barnett can. Who's up for the Bill Dudley Award, 981 00:46:19,480 --> 00:46:22,760 Speaker 3: which I didn't realize they give to the best player 982 00:46:22,800 --> 00:46:26,840 Speaker 3: in the Commonwealth of Virginia. I'm sure Trella is familiar 983 00:46:26,880 --> 00:46:29,799 Speaker 3: with this award, but I didn't know anything about it. 984 00:46:29,840 --> 00:46:33,680 Speaker 3: So Barnett is up for that award with a couple 985 00:46:33,719 --> 00:46:36,319 Speaker 3: other guys on a couple of defensive players, one from 986 00:46:36,360 --> 00:46:39,360 Speaker 3: Tech and one from Virginia for that award. But freshman 987 00:46:39,440 --> 00:46:41,880 Speaker 3: quarterback jac Evans, he said, is gonna get some chances 988 00:46:41,880 --> 00:46:44,960 Speaker 3: as well. I just I like the Dukes, but I 989 00:46:45,040 --> 00:46:47,320 Speaker 3: like the under. With these backup quarterbacks, I think the 990 00:46:47,480 --> 00:46:48,719 Speaker 3: under is the best play here. 991 00:46:49,200 --> 00:46:51,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's probably not a bad play at all. We'll 992 00:46:51,719 --> 00:46:54,400 Speaker 1: go ahead and round out the program with the label 993 00:46:54,520 --> 00:46:58,480 Speaker 1: in Sofi Stadium on Wednesday night, with cal currently favored 994 00:46:58,520 --> 00:47:01,120 Speaker 1: by two and a half points over LV. We did 995 00:47:01,200 --> 00:47:04,200 Speaker 1: see some pretty steep line movement since earlier in the week. 996 00:47:04,280 --> 00:47:07,239 Speaker 1: That was because it was just announced honestly, moments before 997 00:47:07,280 --> 00:47:09,799 Speaker 1: we went live. I hope everyone was up to date 998 00:47:09,840 --> 00:47:13,680 Speaker 1: on this. Quarterback Fernando Mendoza is entering the portal. I 999 00:47:13,719 --> 00:47:16,240 Speaker 1: don't think he's going to be playing in this game. 1000 00:47:16,840 --> 00:47:20,440 Speaker 1: UNLV is ten and three with their two losses coming 1001 00:47:20,440 --> 00:47:22,360 Speaker 1: to Boise State. Of course, they have another loss in 1002 00:47:22,400 --> 00:47:25,240 Speaker 1: there as well, including last week's twenty one to seven 1003 00:47:25,400 --> 00:47:28,200 Speaker 1: loss in the Mountain West Championship game. They are seven 1004 00:47:28,239 --> 00:47:31,880 Speaker 1: and six ATS, but they lose head coach Barry Odom 1005 00:47:31,920 --> 00:47:36,160 Speaker 1: who's left for Purdue, and starting qrnerback Tony Grimes also 1006 00:47:36,239 --> 00:47:39,759 Speaker 1: in the portal. Still, they have quarterback Hodgemlik Williams, a 1007 00:47:39,760 --> 00:47:42,759 Speaker 1: fan favorite of our guy Terrell there. He has pushed 1008 00:47:42,800 --> 00:47:46,120 Speaker 1: this team to fourteenth in scoring offense and also fifth 1009 00:47:46,160 --> 00:47:49,960 Speaker 1: in rushing offense in the nation. The calgorithm it was 1010 00:47:50,000 --> 00:47:52,480 Speaker 1: a fun story. I know a lot of people enjoyed 1011 00:47:52,640 --> 00:47:54,920 Speaker 1: the game day that was out there on the West 1012 00:47:54,920 --> 00:47:56,240 Speaker 1: Coast earlier this season. 1013 00:47:57,080 --> 00:47:59,359 Speaker 2: Yeah, I know either what derailed the season? They should 1014 00:47:59,360 --> 00:47:59,799 Speaker 2: have beat him. 1015 00:48:00,200 --> 00:48:02,279 Speaker 1: Yeah, and they ultimately finished six and six straight up 1016 00:48:02,320 --> 00:48:05,879 Speaker 1: six and six ats, most recently losing six of their 1017 00:48:05,920 --> 00:48:09,440 Speaker 1: last nine games. However, they do have the superior defense, 1018 00:48:09,680 --> 00:48:13,640 Speaker 1: including being ranked six against the pass, but as we mentioned, 1019 00:48:13,760 --> 00:48:17,720 Speaker 1: Fernando Mendoza their starting quarterback. He is entering the portal. 1020 00:48:17,719 --> 00:48:21,400 Speaker 1: Their second leading wide receiver, Nysa Hunter also in the 1021 00:48:21,440 --> 00:48:24,919 Speaker 1: portal bogs. With all this portal talk, do you have 1022 00:48:25,280 --> 00:48:27,520 Speaker 1: a lean here at all? Yeah? 1023 00:48:27,560 --> 00:48:31,880 Speaker 3: I mean I do. I don't like UNLV in this matchup, 1024 00:48:32,120 --> 00:48:36,799 Speaker 3: but with Mendoza leaving, what I really hate about this 1025 00:48:36,880 --> 00:48:39,760 Speaker 3: matchup is that COW was favored. This is going to flip. 1026 00:48:40,239 --> 00:48:42,799 Speaker 3: UNLV should probably be favored if Mendoza is not going. 1027 00:48:42,960 --> 00:48:44,440 Speaker 1: So why I think we have to get on UNLV 1028 00:48:44,520 --> 00:48:45,239 Speaker 1: now if we want to. 1029 00:48:45,360 --> 00:48:48,160 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, so let's take the plus points with UNLV. 1030 00:48:48,560 --> 00:48:51,040 Speaker 3: I don't like this matchup, though, I'll say that because 1031 00:48:51,200 --> 00:48:54,000 Speaker 3: we have Barry Otam leaving. We know that UNLV runs 1032 00:48:54,040 --> 00:48:57,280 Speaker 3: the ball at a fifty five percent clip goal, plays 1033 00:48:57,280 --> 00:48:59,960 Speaker 3: well against the run, and they haven't really been soundly 1034 00:49:00,120 --> 00:49:03,080 Speaker 3: beat outside of that game against SMU. They have a 1035 00:49:03,080 --> 00:49:05,480 Speaker 3: bad loss. They lost to Florida State, so that is 1036 00:49:05,520 --> 00:49:08,360 Speaker 3: a terrible loss. But they should have beat Miami. They 1037 00:49:08,440 --> 00:49:10,960 Speaker 3: lost seventeen to fifteen, a pit twenty four to three 1038 00:49:11,040 --> 00:49:14,640 Speaker 3: versus NC State. They lost by eight points to Syracuse. 1039 00:49:14,680 --> 00:49:17,439 Speaker 3: These are good teams that they've played. They have played 1040 00:49:17,480 --> 00:49:19,959 Speaker 3: a hard schedule. They have not played in Mountain West 1041 00:49:19,960 --> 00:49:24,400 Speaker 3: schedule like UNLV has. So I do think Cal is 1042 00:49:24,440 --> 00:49:27,680 Speaker 3: the better team. But losing your starting quarterback it is 1043 00:49:27,960 --> 00:49:32,399 Speaker 3: a huge loss, especially in a game that's sooner in 1044 00:49:32,440 --> 00:49:37,040 Speaker 3: this bowl process here, So I'll take the points in UNLV. 1045 00:49:37,640 --> 00:49:39,360 Speaker 3: I'm not real happy about it, though. I don't like 1046 00:49:39,400 --> 00:49:41,920 Speaker 3: this would be another low confidence game for me. If 1047 00:49:41,960 --> 00:49:45,360 Speaker 3: Mendoza was playing, I think I would take Cal with confidence. 1048 00:49:45,600 --> 00:49:48,480 Speaker 3: Really don't like that they're favored, But without Mendoza, I 1049 00:49:48,600 --> 00:49:51,439 Speaker 3: just can't take them. I'll be taking UNLV. I don't 1050 00:49:51,560 --> 00:49:52,000 Speaker 3: like it though. 1051 00:49:52,360 --> 00:49:56,239 Speaker 1: Trail one last ride with Hodge Maleek Williamson company here, Yeah, of. 1052 00:49:56,200 --> 00:49:58,560 Speaker 2: Course, like, come on, now, this cow team is not 1053 00:49:58,640 --> 00:50:01,399 Speaker 2: like that. They're really no. I just let you guys 1054 00:50:01,440 --> 00:50:03,880 Speaker 2: talk them up, you know, to let you let you 1055 00:50:04,000 --> 00:50:06,080 Speaker 2: build and build and build for me to just come 1056 00:50:06,120 --> 00:50:07,920 Speaker 2: in here and say we need to hammer you NLV 1057 00:50:08,040 --> 00:50:11,000 Speaker 2: in this spot. Yes, I kind of wish Mendoza was 1058 00:50:11,000 --> 00:50:13,239 Speaker 2: playing so that we could just go ahead and x 1059 00:50:13,320 --> 00:50:15,640 Speaker 2: out that the Mendoza factor. I don't think Mendoza was 1060 00:50:15,680 --> 00:50:17,440 Speaker 2: a factor at all. I think that they're gonna are 1061 00:50:17,480 --> 00:50:20,719 Speaker 2: they gonna put up more points with most Mendoza, Yes, 1062 00:50:20,920 --> 00:50:22,799 Speaker 2: but that's not gonna do anything for the defense, and 1063 00:50:22,840 --> 00:50:25,839 Speaker 2: the defense has been been worse over the past month. 1064 00:50:26,200 --> 00:50:28,560 Speaker 2: They got lucky to get out of there with the 1065 00:50:28,600 --> 00:50:31,719 Speaker 2: cover against wake Forest. They had Syracuse come in there 1066 00:50:31,760 --> 00:50:34,880 Speaker 2: off of loss on the road and embarrass them in 1067 00:50:35,040 --> 00:50:37,880 Speaker 2: their own place. Syracuse Common Cord went and threw the 1068 00:50:37,880 --> 00:50:39,920 Speaker 2: ball all over the field on them, and then they 1069 00:50:39,960 --> 00:50:42,160 Speaker 2: went and got into a I understand it's a rivalry game, 1070 00:50:42,160 --> 00:50:44,839 Speaker 2: but you getting into a grudge match with Stanford at 1071 00:50:44,840 --> 00:50:47,879 Speaker 2: three and eight is not good for the resume as well. 1072 00:50:47,920 --> 00:50:50,040 Speaker 2: And then SMU did what SMU was supposed to do 1073 00:50:50,080 --> 00:50:52,200 Speaker 2: and destroy this team. Like I think that this cow 1074 00:50:52,320 --> 00:50:54,960 Speaker 2: team for weeks has been showing us who they are 1075 00:50:55,000 --> 00:50:58,160 Speaker 2: and there actually might not even be a BOLL team. 1076 00:50:58,160 --> 00:51:00,840 Speaker 2: That might be early season success and not late season 1077 00:51:00,840 --> 00:51:03,480 Speaker 2: success that really really carried them to this bowl game, 1078 00:51:03,520 --> 00:51:06,839 Speaker 2: and so I think that, yeah, I'm all over UNLV here. 1079 00:51:06,880 --> 00:51:09,920 Speaker 2: I like UNLV's defense, I like the offense way more 1080 00:51:09,960 --> 00:51:12,759 Speaker 2: of UNLV side, and I bet I'm probably gonna end 1081 00:51:12,840 --> 00:51:15,560 Speaker 2: up making in this game. Is UNLV team total over? Like, 1082 00:51:15,640 --> 00:51:17,400 Speaker 2: I just think that UNLV is gonna be able to 1083 00:51:17,400 --> 00:51:19,480 Speaker 2: take advantage of this cow defense and put up some 1084 00:51:19,520 --> 00:51:21,799 Speaker 2: points regardless. So I like the over for the game. 1085 00:51:21,840 --> 00:51:23,920 Speaker 2: I like UNLV team sod over, and I'm on the 1086 00:51:23,960 --> 00:51:25,000 Speaker 2: UNLV side all the way. 1087 00:51:25,239 --> 00:51:28,480 Speaker 3: It's right. I think kaj Maleek Williams knows where LA 1088 00:51:28,640 --> 00:51:30,960 Speaker 3: is on a map? You think he can question that? 1089 00:51:31,320 --> 00:51:33,440 Speaker 2: Very questionable if he knows where LA is at on 1090 00:51:33,520 --> 00:51:33,839 Speaker 2: a map. 1091 00:51:35,680 --> 00:51:38,200 Speaker 1: Well, guys, this has been an absolute blast. I can't 1092 00:51:38,200 --> 00:51:41,000 Speaker 1: wait to talk again about some of these playoff games 1093 00:51:41,040 --> 00:51:43,400 Speaker 1: next week, while also continue to breaking down the bowl 1094 00:51:43,440 --> 00:51:46,680 Speaker 1: slates as they are released. Keep up to date with 1095 00:51:46,800 --> 00:51:49,840 Speaker 1: all of us on our personal twitters, Keep up today, 1096 00:51:49,960 --> 00:51:52,560 Speaker 1: just with the college football betting scene as a whole. 1097 00:51:52,800 --> 00:51:54,479 Speaker 1: If you can, there's gonna be a lot of moving 1098 00:51:54,520 --> 00:51:56,400 Speaker 1: and shaking. We got to keep our heads on swivels 1099 00:51:56,719 --> 00:51:59,080 Speaker 1: as we head down the stretch here. That's gonna do it. 1100 00:51:59,080 --> 00:52:01,319 Speaker 1: For us today on the bet Pros College Football Show. 1101 00:52:01,440 --> 00:52:03,640 Speaker 1: Thank you so much for watching. We will be back 1102 00:52:03,719 --> 00:52:06,759 Speaker 1: next week with another episode. Until then, like this video 1103 00:52:06,760 --> 00:52:09,000 Speaker 1: if you enjoyed it, subscribe to the ben Pros YouTube 1104 00:52:09,080 --> 00:52:11,799 Speaker 1: channel and the podcast feed, Plus download the benk Pros 1105 00:52:11,800 --> 00:52:15,240 Speaker 1: app and sync your sportsbooks today. For Terrell Furman Junior 1106 00:52:15,280 --> 00:52:19,320 Speaker 1: and Scott Bagman, I'm Seth Wilcock. Take care of y'all. 1107 00:52:19,320 --> 00:52:21,480 Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 1108 00:52:21,719 --> 00:52:24,080 Speaker 4: If you love the show, the best freeway to support 1109 00:52:24,160 --> 00:52:27,080 Speaker 4: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts 1110 00:52:27,160 --> 00:52:30,160 Speaker 4: or Spotify. 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