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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites the podcast. I am Shad Millman

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Speaker 1: from the Action Network. It is Wednesday, January nine. Listen up.

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Speaker 1: Before we get to Scooch, I gotta remind you guys,

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Speaker 1: we are doing a live Super Bowl podcast on January

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Speaker 1: in Manhattan. Honest to god, we have people flying in

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Speaker 1: from as far away as California to come see this.

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Speaker 1: I've gotten emails like that, like saying, hey, I want

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Speaker 1: to make sure I get in. I'm flying account from

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Speaker 1: California with two friends. Um. We have hundreds of people

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Speaker 1: who have signed up for this already. Space is running out.

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Speaker 1: Go to Action Network dot com slash Favorites, go sign up,

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Speaker 1: see me, see black Jack Fletcher, see Jeff Schwartze Paula Duca.

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Speaker 1: Maybe some surprise appearances from all of your podcast favorites.

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Speaker 1: Scooch will be weighing in. Uh, it's going to be

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Speaker 1: a blast. Come check it out January six pm in

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Speaker 1: New York Action Network dot Com slash Favorites. We are

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Speaker 1: thirty six hours removed from the college football national title game.

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Speaker 1: We are in the middle of the wild card divisional week.

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Speaker 1: We have so much to talk about with my best

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Speaker 1: friend in the world, A man I have known for

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Speaker 1: twenty years, a man with a legendary laugh, the sense

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Speaker 1: of humor that could diffuse any violatile situation. One of

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Speaker 1: the most respected bookmakers in the history of the world,

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Speaker 1: A likely first ballot Hall of Famer in the Sports

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Speaker 1: Betting Hall of Fame from the Orleans representing all the

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Speaker 1: Boyd gaming books in the state of this world. Mr

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Speaker 1: Bob Scucci, my goodness, what introduction? What do you think

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Speaker 1: of that? My intro gets longer and longer each time.

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Speaker 1: Here's the thing, as you know, As you know, it's

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Speaker 1: January seven, We're a week end of the year, and

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Speaker 1: I feel good about what's happened so far. Like I

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Speaker 1: get up every day and my life is about moving

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Speaker 1: the needle. Okay, Like every year I make the same

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Speaker 1: New Year's resolution. I want to live up to my potential.

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Speaker 1: That's it. I feel like I have vast amounts of

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Speaker 1: potential and I would like to live up to it,

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Speaker 1: and every day I would work towards that goal. I

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Speaker 1: don't say that to be sarcastic. I am saying it earnestly,

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Speaker 1: you know. I feel like, if you're going to get

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Speaker 1: a shot, take it and use all the talent you have, right,

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Speaker 1: So you're with me, right, um, And I feel really

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Speaker 1: good about how the year has gone so far. Action Network,

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Speaker 1: as you know, that's where I work. Phenomenal first week,

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Speaker 1: Like I think we exceeded all the expectations we had

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Speaker 1: for what we would do in the first week around

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Speaker 1: college football in NFL playoffs, and like literally every day

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Speaker 1: they're sending out these reports. Oh my god, record breaking,

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Speaker 1: Oh my god, record breaking. And more people use the

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Speaker 1: app today than ever before. More people were on our

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Speaker 1: website today than ever before. Last night, I'm watching, I'm

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Speaker 1: watching like the real time in Google Analytics, real time

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Speaker 1: users can current users on the site highest we've ever had. Right,

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Speaker 1: Like the editors and the writers are doing such a

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Speaker 1: good job, and like everyone of the product team is

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Speaker 1: like building momentum, Like we're adding things and it's exciting.

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Speaker 1: Feel great about that. Like to move the needle, that's

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Speaker 1: what my kids say. They always there, like, Dad, you

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Speaker 1: moved the needle today. And then like one year this

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Speaker 1: past year for my birthday, Uh, my older son Zach,

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Speaker 1: he got me a package of needles, said Dad, I

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Speaker 1: hope you moved the deal every day that you did

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Speaker 1: that for me and that nice. So I'm feeling great,

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Speaker 1: Like I'm feeling fantastic, Like our two guys are to

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Speaker 1: college football guys, Colin Wilson and Stucky Like. They had

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Speaker 1: been talking about Clemson since literally May. I just tweeted

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Speaker 1: something out this morning. Uh that was May two, eighteen,

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Speaker 1: Colin Wilson saying, I believe Clemson has solved its explosiveness

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Speaker 1: issues with Trevor Lawrence. I am betting them to make

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Speaker 1: the College football Playoff and to win it all. Wow,

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Speaker 1: and he did. That's pretty strong. It's pretty good, right. Yeah. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: So I'm feeling great. I have all these reasons to

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Speaker 1: feel great. We're gonna feast. We are going to fucking

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Speaker 1: feast during the rest of the NFL playoffs. I can

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Speaker 1: feel it. I can feel the momentum, I can feel

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Speaker 1: the audience coming our way. I am super excited about it.

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Speaker 1: Um can't wait quick. How much of the repeal of

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Speaker 1: past but do you think contributed to the success of

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Speaker 1: the Action Network. I think it's everything, Um, I think. Look,

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Speaker 1: I joined Action Network before it was Action Network. In

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Speaker 1: September seventeen, I officially signed with my Currents and the

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Speaker 1: Churning Group and the three companies we were buying UH

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Speaker 1: and merging together Sports Insights, Fantasy Labs, and UH the

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Speaker 1: Sports Action app. We had to finish the paperwork yet,

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Speaker 1: So like Action Network didn't exist until October three, two seventeen,

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Speaker 1: everyone who joined Action Network was all in on this concept,

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Speaker 1: not having any idea what was going to happened with PASPA,

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Speaker 1: right because UH in June of two thousand seventeen, UM

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Speaker 1: they had decided to the Supreme Court had decided here

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Speaker 1: the New Jersey case. That happens to be like the

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Speaker 1: moment when I decided I'm leaving ESPN and joining the

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Speaker 1: Action Network. Like for the month before that, I had

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Speaker 1: been talking to Currents and my currents at the Turning

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Speaker 1: Group and like been thinking about it, but I hadn't

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Speaker 1: like sort of turned the corner. And then like I

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Speaker 1: had had a meeting with CERNS and this guy Brian

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Speaker 1: Mead who started Sports Action, and this guy Mark Kamal,

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Speaker 1: and they ran through their entire business model and sort

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Speaker 1: of what their plans were. And initially I looked at

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Speaker 1: him and I'm like, dudes, this is brilliant. You kind

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Speaker 1: of don't need me because you got it all mapped

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Speaker 1: out and they were very kind and solicitous and they're like, well,

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Speaker 1: we'd think we'd like you to join anyways. And then uh,

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Speaker 1: then then the Supreme Court decided they were hearing PASPA um,

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Speaker 1: and I thought to myself, there's sixty percent chance it

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Speaker 1: it gets overturned, like the gambling advances. Right, So I'm like,

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Speaker 1: it's gonna be two thirds, like either New Jersey is

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Speaker 1: gonna get it, they're gonna repeal all of PASPA or

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Speaker 1: it's gonna stay the way it is. And like I figured,

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Speaker 1: all right, two thirds of a chance, I'm going right.

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Speaker 1: So then it gets repealed, and it's just a dramatic

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Speaker 1: change because all of a sudden, there's all this attention,

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Speaker 1: all this conversation. There's more states like coming online, and

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Speaker 1: so I do think there's like just an increase in

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Speaker 1: the amount of interest and activity, but uh, in conversation

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Speaker 1: around sports betting. But look at this point, we're still

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Speaker 1: a tiny company, Like we are growing fast and we

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Speaker 1: are excited about the progress. And it's super cool like

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Speaker 1: our CEO, Patrick keane Um, who's amazing, like he was

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Speaker 1: we were gonna call yesterday and he was talking about

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Speaker 1: like he's been at you know, he was a Google

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Speaker 1: before with public, right, Like he's seen sort of he's

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Speaker 1: seen the growth of companies, UM when they're in the

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Speaker 1: nascent stages, and knows what it's like when you start

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Speaker 1: out at such a smells base that like everything sort

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Speaker 1: of grows exponentially from there. So we're in that stage, right,

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Speaker 1: And also like we're in that stage and it's hyper

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Speaker 1: intense because it's college football bull season and NFL playoffs, um,

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Speaker 1: and so we're seeing more and more attention and like

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Speaker 1: more and more people are coming to the table because

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Speaker 1: they're interested in this. So I think passed as a

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Speaker 1: part of it. And I think there's sort of an

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Speaker 1: underserved audience too. Wow, that's good stuff. What do you

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Speaker 1: think of that? And I know from well, I think

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Speaker 1: it's just the beginning and and just from my perspective,

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Speaker 1: this past year has been like no other in the industry.

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Speaker 1: Just it's been a whirlwinds since that decision, and I'm

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Speaker 1: just seeing the landscape change in a lot of companies.

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Speaker 1: And uh so I'm just curious as to you know,

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Speaker 1: how much it affected you, and you've so eloquently told me.

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Speaker 1: I agree with you, thank you. See that's what I'm

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Speaker 1: talking about kindness, kindness, the Year of kindness. Scoots compliment

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Speaker 1: to me last night. You know, I like rarely get

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Speaker 1: to have dinner with my family because I traveled so

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Speaker 1: much and and um, last night we haven't had dinner.

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Speaker 1: We had dinner from five until five and PM. It

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Speaker 1: was really because like I had a call at five

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Speaker 1: thirty my younger son like had you know, he was

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Speaker 1: playing squash and so he was like had a squash

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Speaker 1: event at six and so, uh, we decided, my wife

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Speaker 1: and I looked at each other, We're like, ship, we

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Speaker 1: gotta make dinner right now if we all want to

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Speaker 1: have dinner together. And in those ten minutes, like immediately,

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Speaker 1: my kids are fifteen and twelve, and like they're just

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Speaker 1: laying into me like and like they're sort of sarcastic,

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Speaker 1: like smarter than anybody tone and like I laid in

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Speaker 1: my bed right like I know where they get it.

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Speaker 1: But I had said to him, like, dudes, it's the

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Speaker 1: your kindness, Like let's let's be kind right, And so

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Speaker 1: I said, everyone say four nice things about mom, like

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Speaker 1: she made dinner, Like I was really nice of her.

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Speaker 1: She was crazy. She's an architect, she's got like she

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Speaker 1: you know, she wants to work part time, but she's

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Speaker 1: so freaking busy she's working full time. And um, I'm like,

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Speaker 1: she made dinner. Like, let's let's say something four nice

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Speaker 1: things about mom. So my twelve year old, who's incredibly

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Speaker 1: sort of observant and thoughtful, says something really sweet about

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Speaker 1: my wife that is more than just like you know,

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Speaker 1: she's hot or I appreciate her making dinner. Uh, And

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Speaker 1: I'm like, wow, that is like a really keen observation.

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Speaker 1: He goes, No, oh, what he goes, don't say something stupid.

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Speaker 1: I'm like what he goes, like, I don't even know

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Speaker 1: if I believe you the way you're saying it. I

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Speaker 1: just can't trust that this is a kind comment. So

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Speaker 1: I'm just not going to accept it. I'm like, what

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Speaker 1: the fund is happening here? That? Like, I can't even

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Speaker 1: compliment my son when he's saying something nice about his

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Speaker 1: mom and my wife. So I appreciate you complimenting me

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Speaker 1: because you don't get it anywhere, because I have created

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Speaker 1: a house of horrors, right all right, you're of kindness,

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Speaker 1: your kindness, my friend, Listen, this is out on Wednesday,

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Speaker 1: but last night with a cod Football playoff. Um, you

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Speaker 1: know what's interesting. Uh, at some point I'll let you talk.

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Speaker 1: But I was on the radio a bunch before the

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Speaker 1: Code Football Playoff and I said, everybody, if I'm bet

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Speaker 1: in this game, I'm ben Clemson on the money line

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Speaker 1: because I don't think the spread matters. I think it's

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Speaker 1: like Alabama's gonna blow him out, or if Clemson's gonna win,

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Speaker 1: if Clemson's gonna cover, they're gonna win. And then I

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Speaker 1: never bet the game, and I regret that. How how'd

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Speaker 1: it go for you? You know what's frustrating for me? No?

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Speaker 1: Not great. And here's why it's frustrating, because since we

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Speaker 1: put the line out, I said, let's I told the

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Speaker 1: the entire staff, I said, let's favor Clemson in this one.

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Speaker 1: Let's be the absolute lowest. Anyone that bets Clemson at

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Speaker 1: our place is going to get at least a half

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Speaker 1: a point the worst of the number. So when everybody

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Speaker 1: was at six, we were at five and a half.

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Speaker 1: When everyone was at five and a half, we were

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Speaker 1: at four and a half. Um, we started taking some

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Speaker 1: professional money at minus four and a half. And uh,

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Speaker 1: I just told the guys, I let him take it.

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Speaker 1: Take it, and we had such a bad NFL weekend

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Speaker 1: that every parlay and every teaser was even either going

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Speaker 1: to Clemson or going to Alabama or going to the over.

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Speaker 1: We had no chance of winning the game. We were

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Speaker 1: just whatever we were going to win in straight bets

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Speaker 1: was mitigated by all the parlays and teasers that were

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Speaker 1: carried over from Saturday and Sunday's NFL games, So we

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Speaker 1: were just kind of in a no wins. It was

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Speaker 1: still the best scenario we could have. Second best it

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Speaker 1: would have if it stayed under, it would have been

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Speaker 1: the best because everybody had the over in that game.

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Speaker 1: We opened sixty, went down to kind of fifty nine,

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Speaker 1: and took a bunch back late on the over, so

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Speaker 1: that was a bad number. But we just didn't do

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Speaker 1: as well on the game as as we should have

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Speaker 1: taken such a position on Clemson. Crazy game, really crazy game.

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Speaker 1: Loved it so much fun. What was interesting to me

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Speaker 1: and I was tracking this sort of on our site

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Speaker 1: as we as the game was going on, is you know,

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Speaker 1: we had posted a story um about the two thousand

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Speaker 1: nine National Champion odds, so not the game that was happening,

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Speaker 1: but for next season, that thing freaking skyrocketed like people

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Speaker 1: could not wait to start talking about next season already.

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Speaker 1: That to me shows an appetite, right like that is

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Speaker 1: where people's heads are at. Um. It was a like

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Speaker 1: such an exciting first quarter within between the pick six

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Speaker 1: and the seventy yard bomb from Tua, like that story

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Speaker 1: was driving insane amount of traffic. Are you surprised? Are

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Speaker 1: you surprised at at sort of people looking ahead already

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Speaker 1: to want to at all? When did you post odds

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Speaker 1: for next year college football? Yesterday? And we have the

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Speaker 1: typical We have Clemson actually the favorite, Alabama the second favorite,

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Speaker 1: and then uh, Georgia Ohio State, you know, the the

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Speaker 1: usual suspects. Have you taken any um big bets on

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Speaker 1: anybody at at longer odds? Little a little bit on

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame at thirty one? Um? But I mean nothing

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Speaker 1: from many professionals that are you know, seeing an opportunity yet?

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Speaker 1: Speaking along odds, do you know what the it's the

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Speaker 1: nineteen anniversary I believe of the Music City Miracle? Wow,

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Speaker 1: already it seems like yesterday. Do you know where I

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Speaker 1: was for the Music City Miracle? You were at the

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Speaker 1: Stardust Because I remember, I remember people betting on that game.

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Speaker 1: I remember you being behind the counter. That's the super Bowl.

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Speaker 1: That was the Super Bowl where I was in Joe

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Speaker 1: Lupo's office at the Stardust and we were watching the

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Speaker 1: Super Bowl together and you guys were freaking out because

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Speaker 1: of the liability. I was at a diner. I was

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Speaker 1: at a diner with Alan Boston in some strip mall

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Speaker 1: in Vegas. He had a hundred thousand dollars on the

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Speaker 1: Titans in that game. We were eating oatmeal at this

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Speaker 1: diner and he would always get mad at me because

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Speaker 1: he felt like I scraped my spoon with my teeth

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Speaker 1: when I ate. You can imagine that that's something Alan

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Speaker 1: would get irritated with. And and uh, he looked at it.

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Speaker 1: You know, this is back in two thousand. He looked

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Speaker 1: at his page here and saw that like he had

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Speaker 1: lost this bet, and he like just tossed his page

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Speaker 1: around at the table like all that sucks. And then

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Speaker 1: we got into his gold corvette and a buddy of

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Speaker 1: has called and said, can you believe that finish? And

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Speaker 1: he said what happened? And he was told and he

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Speaker 1: looked at me, he goes just one dollars And then

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Speaker 1: we peeled out of that parking lot like nothing, back

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Speaker 1: to his house to go spend it all in college basketball.

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Speaker 1: No way, I don't remember you telling me that before.

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Speaker 1: I've never told you that story. No, No, it's pretty good, right.

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Speaker 1: You're getting my best today, Scooch. Yeah. Can we talk

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Speaker 1: about We got a lot to talk about. We have

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Speaker 1: so much talk about. We do have to get to

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Speaker 1: the game. I gotta talk about the Bears. Can I

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Speaker 1: tell you what I did. I bet the Chargers on

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Speaker 1: the money line. That was a win. I bet Philip

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Speaker 1: Rivers under two hundred and fifty three yards. That was

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Speaker 1: a win. I bet Lamar Jackson under fifteen and a

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Speaker 1: half completions. Boy, that one came close, but that was

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Speaker 1: a win. Uh. In the Bears game, I hadn't bet

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Speaker 1: a side because I wanted the Bears at four and

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Speaker 1: a half. I never got them. And so then the

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Speaker 1: game's three three, and I see the Bears live betting

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Speaker 1: at minus three and a half, and so I unload, unload,

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Speaker 1: throw all discipline out the window on the Bears at

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Speaker 1: minus three and a half. So then they're up, they

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Speaker 1: fall behind. I'm like, okay, I'm gonna lose the bet,

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Speaker 1: but give me a chance to win the game. We

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Speaker 1: know what happened. Oh yeah, we have finished because I

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Speaker 1: had the Bears in one of my Super Bowl pools,

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Speaker 1: of which I would win, you know, a few thousand dollars.

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Speaker 1: And Uh, a buddy of mine texted me this morning.

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Speaker 1: He's like, hey, tough beat last weekend. Can you send

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Speaker 1: me the check because the Bears are out of it?

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Speaker 1: That's great. Yeah, I feel really bad for you, but hey,

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Speaker 1: by the way, I need that money. Feel really bad.

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Speaker 1: It didn't go well for you guys either this weekend. No, no,

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Speaker 1: we were done that. You know that That Colts game

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Speaker 1: was just that just put such a damper on the

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Speaker 1: on the weekend for us, and and we thought we

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Speaker 1: were kind of favored the Colts a little bit. I

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Speaker 1: know at one point. I don't know if you still did,

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Speaker 1: but you had liked Houston pretty good. Did I bet

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Speaker 1: them a minus one and a half? Yeah, So that

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Speaker 1: game was terrible that right out of the gate. But

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Speaker 1: that Cowboys, Oh my god, the Cowboys game was just disaster.

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Speaker 1: Uh Janikowski? Who who? Who would have figured that Janikowski

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Speaker 1: going out of the game would have affected the line

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Speaker 1: as much as it did. Amazing, right that. Yeah, I

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Speaker 1: mean that game is the difference of them making the

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Speaker 1: two point conversion or missing the two point conversion was

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Speaker 1: the difference of hundreds of thousands of dollars. And uh.

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Speaker 1: And that's just the way it goes. I mean, you know,

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Speaker 1: we we were at two and a half, we were

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Speaker 1: at two. We're at one and a half in a

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Speaker 1: game false two. I had the Cowboys minus one and

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Speaker 1: a half. Beautiful, brilliant. It's the mindset of the better, right. Um.

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Speaker 1: I had to be in the city all day on Saturday,

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Speaker 1: visiting my inn laws in Staten Island, New York. So

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Speaker 1: I didn't even get home back to Connecticut until halftime

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Speaker 1: of the Cowboys game. Turn it on, and towards the

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Speaker 1: end of the game, people start talking about like looking

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Speaker 1: ahead to the two point conversion that the Seahawks are

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Speaker 1: inevitably gonna have to do if they score a touchdown,

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Speaker 1: as being like the difference maker. And because I knew

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Speaker 1: I had the Cowboys one and a half, I wasn't

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Speaker 1: even thinking about like anybody who could have had two

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Speaker 1: or two and a half. Um, and I'm like, oh

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Speaker 1: my god, that's gonna suck. And that's exactly what happened. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: it's I do feel like with kickers this year, like

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Speaker 1: those those sort of backdoor cover scenarios, teams are down

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Speaker 1: by ten, they're making a comeback. It's really not gonna

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Speaker 1: turn out. But it has everything to do with the spread,

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Speaker 1: Like those two point conversion attempts in the kicking has

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Speaker 1: had a huge impact. Like I don't know if it's

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Speaker 1: a tangible impact that is quantifiable, but I certainly believe

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Speaker 1: it is a psychological impact where people are just like

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Speaker 1: freaking out at the end of games, even during the

336
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Speaker 1: at the end of the game for sure, but during

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00:20:57,960 --> 00:21:01,520
Speaker 1: the game you could almost sense it sometimes when a

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Speaker 1: team scores a touchdown that looks like it's going to

339
00:21:04,359 --> 00:21:06,760
Speaker 1: tie it up and they miss an extra points and

340
00:21:06,800 --> 00:21:09,560
Speaker 1: at seven to six instead of seven seven, you can

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Speaker 1: just kind of feel that it's going to have some

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Speaker 1: sort of an impact at some point in the game

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Speaker 1: with regards to the points bred and uh, and it

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Speaker 1: does seem like there's uh, there's been a lot more

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Speaker 1: intrigue as a result of the kickers make missing field

346
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Speaker 1: goals or extra points this year. Yeah, I know the

347
00:21:26,960 --> 00:21:30,800
Speaker 1: NFL didn't do this because of betting, but it sure

348
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Speaker 1: feels like the changes in the kicking game have an

349
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Speaker 1: injury list type impact on people's interest in uh in

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Speaker 1: gambling in the NFL. They have, and they're skewing the numbers.

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Speaker 1: You know. You go back, you know, ten years, and

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Speaker 1: you look at all of the UM the games that

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Speaker 1: were decided by three points, and they were somewhere in

354
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Speaker 1: the neighborhood of like fourteen and a half percent of

355
00:21:54,520 --> 00:21:58,879
Speaker 1: all NFL games were um decided by three points and

356
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Speaker 1: the numbers of two and five. There was virtually no

357
00:22:02,720 --> 00:22:05,080
Speaker 1: games that were decided by five points or two points,

358
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Speaker 1: so you could kind of skip some of those dead

359
00:22:06,840 --> 00:22:09,280
Speaker 1: numbers and moving lines. A lot of that starting to

360
00:22:09,320 --> 00:22:12,840
Speaker 1: shift as a result of the moving back of the

361
00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:16,480
Speaker 1: kicking of the extra point. So the adjustments are going

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Speaker 1: to have to be made, and you're gonna start seeing

363
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Speaker 1: in the coming years those kind of shifting of you know,

364
00:22:22,000 --> 00:22:24,760
Speaker 1: the dead numbers aren't dead anymore, so, so they're gonna

365
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Speaker 1: have some relevance in terms of linemaking. Better start getting better,

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Speaker 1: you know what I'm saying. Yeah, two, take hold of

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Speaker 1: your destinary destiny, live up to your potential. Okay, do it, Scooch,

368
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Speaker 1: be the best bookmaker you can be. Try and try,

369
00:22:50,680 --> 00:22:58,800
Speaker 1: and Buddy, you didn't sound convinced. We got some games

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Speaker 1: to talk about, and they are so, they're so so,

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00:23:02,720 --> 00:23:05,560
Speaker 1: they're great games all the way around. The Chiefs five

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Speaker 1: and a half point favorits. That line open at five tricky, tricky, tricky. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: speaking of dead numbers, we opened it on one. We

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Speaker 1: actually opened this like in the beginning of the third

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Speaker 1: quarter of the Colts Texans game, because they had that

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Speaker 1: game well in hand, and all of the early money

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Speaker 1: was on the Colts. And some of it is you

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Speaker 1: mentioned psychological betting. Some of it is just you're watching

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Speaker 1: how dominant the Colts are in a particular game, so

380
00:23:35,400 --> 00:23:38,520
Speaker 1: immediately when you see the next line come up, uh,

381
00:23:38,640 --> 00:23:41,879
Speaker 1: the instinct is, oh, they're getting five points against the Chiefs,

382
00:23:41,920 --> 00:23:45,200
Speaker 1: and it's an immediate bet. And then cooler minds prevail

383
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Speaker 1: as like the next day and now you're starting to

384
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Speaker 1: look at it, say, you know what, the Chiefs are

385
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Speaker 1: pretty good. So so the betting on the Colts kind

386
00:23:53,080 --> 00:23:56,080
Speaker 1: of cooled down after Sunday and into Monday. We started

387
00:23:56,080 --> 00:23:59,399
Speaker 1: getting uh, some Chiefs money and now we're dead even

388
00:23:59,440 --> 00:24:02,000
Speaker 1: on the game at five and a half so we

389
00:24:02,359 --> 00:24:05,680
Speaker 1: opened five, went to five and a half um, but

390
00:24:06,200 --> 00:24:09,119
Speaker 1: it's been dead even since, both in ticket count and

391
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Speaker 1: end in money. The people that are betting the Colts,

392
00:24:13,080 --> 00:24:15,440
Speaker 1: the recreational betters, are betting them on the money line.

393
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Speaker 1: And and this is another trend I think I mentioned

394
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Speaker 1: before in all the big games now national championship games,

395
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Speaker 1: super Bowl, when you get the good teams playing each other,

396
00:24:25,760 --> 00:24:28,399
Speaker 1: the uh, instead of taking the points at four or

397
00:24:28,440 --> 00:24:30,960
Speaker 1: four and a half five that the trend is to

398
00:24:31,080 --> 00:24:32,920
Speaker 1: just bet bet them on the money line. You're getting

399
00:24:32,960 --> 00:24:35,520
Speaker 1: better value. And we're starting to see less and less

400
00:24:35,600 --> 00:24:39,640
Speaker 1: games being decided by the point spread. In other words,

401
00:24:39,640 --> 00:24:42,959
Speaker 1: if the favorite wins, they've been usually covering, and if

402
00:24:43,000 --> 00:24:45,440
Speaker 1: the underdog wins, they win the game. Out right, there's

403
00:24:45,520 --> 00:24:49,360
Speaker 1: very few win and no covers um by by the favorite.

404
00:24:49,400 --> 00:24:52,720
Speaker 1: So the public is recognizing that, and we're getting tremendous

405
00:24:52,760 --> 00:24:56,080
Speaker 1: action on all the underdogs on the money lines, and

406
00:24:56,160 --> 00:24:59,120
Speaker 1: some of these favorites, you know, we're they're laying the points.

407
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Speaker 1: So from a bookmaking perspective, we would love to see

408
00:25:02,720 --> 00:25:07,159
Speaker 1: a lot of win and no covers this weekend. What

409
00:25:07,200 --> 00:25:10,080
Speaker 1: should I do? That's all great, I'm really excited for

410
00:25:10,119 --> 00:25:12,760
Speaker 1: you and your win and no covers? What should I do?

411
00:25:13,240 --> 00:25:16,600
Speaker 1: Hold on? Hold on, hold on, hold on, hold on.

412
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Speaker 1: Let me take that back. I'm only hoping for the best.

413
00:25:21,080 --> 00:25:23,600
Speaker 1: I hope you get win and no covers. Do you

414
00:25:23,680 --> 00:25:27,040
Speaker 1: think you could tell me what I might like to do? Uh?

415
00:25:27,080 --> 00:25:31,120
Speaker 1: As a better see kind? I just felt like that

416
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Speaker 1: was I'm really I feel really bad for you about

417
00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:40,240
Speaker 1: the Bears. Can you send me the check? But yeah,

418
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Speaker 1: I get what you mean, and I think what you

419
00:25:43,480 --> 00:25:46,040
Speaker 1: should do is take the hotter team. Who's the hotter

420
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Speaker 1: team right now? I think, I mean, since you look

421
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Speaker 1: at December one, I think that's right around the time

422
00:25:52,520 --> 00:25:56,960
Speaker 1: that uh Kareem hunt went went out and and the

423
00:25:57,040 --> 00:26:00,800
Speaker 1: Chiefs have really struggled against the points bread and losing.

424
00:26:01,119 --> 00:26:04,119
Speaker 1: I think two games straight up, and which team is

425
00:26:04,160 --> 00:26:07,200
Speaker 1: hotter right now and getting points? I think if from

426
00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:10,119
Speaker 1: a value perspective, I think you go with the Colts.

427
00:26:10,359 --> 00:26:13,119
Speaker 1: I agree with you, and I like seeing this number

428
00:26:13,800 --> 00:26:17,240
Speaker 1: go up. I'm actually just wondering, do I wait on it?

429
00:26:17,359 --> 00:26:23,560
Speaker 1: Do we think that it'll get to six? I think

430
00:26:23,600 --> 00:26:29,640
Speaker 1: some places open six? So can it go back to six? Uh? Yeah,

431
00:26:30,400 --> 00:26:32,120
Speaker 1: you might be able to find a six out there,

432
00:26:33,640 --> 00:26:35,840
Speaker 1: being that the early money was on the Colts and

433
00:26:35,880 --> 00:26:39,280
Speaker 1: then we started seeing some Chiefs money coming back. Um,

434
00:26:39,400 --> 00:26:43,800
Speaker 1: I think when the public starts to filter in town

435
00:26:43,880 --> 00:26:46,399
Speaker 1: and uh, they'll start laying the favorite a little bit.

436
00:26:46,400 --> 00:26:48,119
Speaker 1: I think the sharp guys are gonna be on the Colts,

437
00:26:48,119 --> 00:26:50,520
Speaker 1: though I don't see I don't see them laying this

438
00:26:50,640 --> 00:26:52,399
Speaker 1: five five and a half. What do you think of

439
00:26:52,440 --> 00:26:57,520
Speaker 1: the total in this game? I think you just bet

440
00:26:57,560 --> 00:27:00,920
Speaker 1: one way, A bet bet over on these games, especially

441
00:27:00,920 --> 00:27:04,119
Speaker 1: after all the after all the unders last week. I

442
00:27:04,160 --> 00:27:06,960
Speaker 1: said not Now, everything's gonna go the opposite way. I mean,

443
00:27:07,000 --> 00:27:10,760
Speaker 1: we're already probably ten times as many bets on the over.

444
00:27:10,840 --> 00:27:13,880
Speaker 1: We're at fifty seven and we have ten times as

445
00:27:13,920 --> 00:27:16,960
Speaker 1: many bets on the over. Absolutely nobody's betting the under

446
00:27:17,000 --> 00:27:21,480
Speaker 1: in this one. Really. Yeah. Matter of fact, I'm going

447
00:27:21,520 --> 00:27:23,560
Speaker 1: to go to fifty seven and a half right now.

448
00:27:23,960 --> 00:27:30,600
Speaker 1: Oh my god, that was such a surprise. I didn't

449
00:27:30,600 --> 00:27:38,760
Speaker 1: see that coming. Oh I can't believe it. Uh. This

450
00:27:38,840 --> 00:27:45,600
Speaker 1: next game, Dallas is a seven point dog against the Chargers. Um,

451
00:27:45,800 --> 00:27:47,919
Speaker 1: bets are coming in, and I mean against the Rams.

452
00:27:48,240 --> 00:27:51,680
Speaker 1: The bets are coming in on Dallas. But the money's

453
00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:59,159
Speaker 1: coming in on the Rams. Yeah, you know, the and

454
00:27:59,240 --> 00:28:03,199
Speaker 1: the generals, the sharp guys, they seem to be on

455
00:28:03,240 --> 00:28:05,120
Speaker 1: the Rams. And we're not getting some of the big

456
00:28:05,119 --> 00:28:10,359
Speaker 1: bets yet. But uh, from some of the professional handicappers

457
00:28:10,359 --> 00:28:14,840
Speaker 1: that uh that we know from you know, around town,

458
00:28:15,359 --> 00:28:19,119
Speaker 1: they've been coming in in small amounts on at minus seven.

459
00:28:19,160 --> 00:28:20,960
Speaker 1: So I think they feel like the right number in

460
00:28:20,960 --> 00:28:23,760
Speaker 1: this game should be somewhere in the neighborhood neighborhood of eight,

461
00:28:23,800 --> 00:28:27,160
Speaker 1: eight and a half. Um. This game has got the

462
00:28:27,240 --> 00:28:32,040
Speaker 1: general public kind of stumped because they, like I said

463
00:28:32,160 --> 00:28:35,800
Speaker 1: last week, they've been loving, loving the Cowboys the last month,

464
00:28:36,440 --> 00:28:39,960
Speaker 1: and but they've loved the Rams all year, so they're

465
00:28:40,000 --> 00:28:42,000
Speaker 1: kind of don't know which way to go on this one.

466
00:28:42,040 --> 00:28:45,240
Speaker 1: I think their heart tells them that taking Dallas right

467
00:28:45,280 --> 00:28:47,880
Speaker 1: now and their defense is looking good, and that they've

468
00:28:48,000 --> 00:28:51,240
Speaker 1: they've pulled out some really nice wins and they're getting

469
00:28:51,280 --> 00:28:53,480
Speaker 1: seven points that I think their heart tells them they

470
00:28:53,640 --> 00:28:56,320
Speaker 1: love to bet the Cowboys, and then they're like, you know,

471
00:28:56,360 --> 00:28:58,960
Speaker 1: but their Rams are really good and they're remembering this

472
00:28:59,080 --> 00:29:01,560
Speaker 1: Rams team from early in the year, so it's got

473
00:29:01,600 --> 00:29:03,400
Speaker 1: I'm kind of stumped. I'm looking at the ticket account

474
00:29:03,400 --> 00:29:06,960
Speaker 1: in this one, and we have less bets on this

475
00:29:07,000 --> 00:29:09,200
Speaker 1: game than any of the four on the board right now,

476
00:29:09,240 --> 00:29:11,760
Speaker 1: which is really odd. You would think that these two

477
00:29:12,080 --> 00:29:14,440
Speaker 1: teams would draw the most action, and I think some

478
00:29:14,520 --> 00:29:16,400
Speaker 1: of it is just because they, like I said, it's

479
00:29:16,400 --> 00:29:17,960
Speaker 1: got them, they don't know which way to go yet

480
00:29:17,960 --> 00:29:23,560
Speaker 1: in this one, well, let's um subscribe to the theory

481
00:29:23,600 --> 00:29:26,800
Speaker 1: you have for the Colts and the Chiefs down the stretch.

482
00:29:26,960 --> 00:29:32,120
Speaker 1: Like the Rams, We're not a team that covered at all.

483
00:29:32,920 --> 00:29:35,920
Speaker 1: They were a team that one but struggled to win.

484
00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:39,600
Speaker 1: In some cases they flat out lost. Jared Goff did

485
00:29:39,640 --> 00:29:41,680
Speaker 1: not look as good the second half of the season

486
00:29:41,720 --> 00:29:44,360
Speaker 1: as you did the first half of the season. And

487
00:29:44,400 --> 00:29:49,920
Speaker 1: the Cowboys are smoking. Their defense is sick right now.

488
00:29:50,320 --> 00:29:54,880
Speaker 1: Their defensive backs are playing so tight they are freaking

489
00:29:55,000 --> 00:30:01,400
Speaker 1: stick them on receivers. There there linebackers can just cover

490
00:30:01,480 --> 00:30:08,040
Speaker 1: the field lightning speed. So why wouldn't I take like

491
00:30:08,120 --> 00:30:11,600
Speaker 1: the Cowboys with a big number. I've seen nothing that

492
00:30:11,640 --> 00:30:16,400
Speaker 1: tells me they can't keep up with this team. I agree,

493
00:30:16,440 --> 00:30:19,440
Speaker 1: And this is the time of year when the defense

494
00:30:19,600 --> 00:30:22,800
Speaker 1: is really shine. And what I mean by that is

495
00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:26,360
Speaker 1: you see these high powered offenses and they look unstoppable.

496
00:30:26,400 --> 00:30:29,440
Speaker 1: But when you get into playoff time, it's in the

497
00:30:29,480 --> 00:30:33,520
Speaker 1: old cliche of the defense wins championships. This is when

498
00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:38,560
Speaker 1: when it happens and seven points. There's a lot of

499
00:30:38,600 --> 00:30:42,920
Speaker 1: points in a divisional playoff. And uh, I'm starting to

500
00:30:42,960 --> 00:30:45,560
Speaker 1: think that when I mentioned some of these professional handicappers

501
00:30:45,560 --> 00:30:48,520
Speaker 1: that aren't betting real big, it's almost as if they're

502
00:30:48,520 --> 00:30:51,160
Speaker 1: trying to get us off the number to go to

503
00:30:51,240 --> 00:30:53,680
Speaker 1: seven and a half, knowing it's a key number, and

504
00:30:53,680 --> 00:30:56,920
Speaker 1: then coming in heavy on the Cowboys on game day.

505
00:30:57,160 --> 00:31:00,640
Speaker 1: I mean, this might be the old you know, switcher

506
00:31:00,880 --> 00:31:05,240
Speaker 1: exag on the switch a ru on us. So we

507
00:31:05,240 --> 00:31:07,280
Speaker 1: we're gonna be careful not to move it off the seven.

508
00:31:07,280 --> 00:31:10,200
Speaker 1: Well we'll just move the money. Uh. But I'm starting

509
00:31:10,240 --> 00:31:12,280
Speaker 1: to see some money line bets on the Cowboys to

510
00:31:12,880 --> 00:31:15,920
Speaker 1: uh from not just the public, like I said, but

511
00:31:17,560 --> 00:31:20,440
Speaker 1: some some some sharp guys. It's it's odd they're betting.

512
00:31:20,840 --> 00:31:23,200
Speaker 1: They're betting the money line on the Cowboys and the

513
00:31:23,280 --> 00:31:27,680
Speaker 1: points on the Rams. So that's not even just like

514
00:31:28,520 --> 00:31:35,000
Speaker 1: the middle they can solve no, no, so they might

515
00:31:35,040 --> 00:31:39,640
Speaker 1: just different different betting groups are positioning themselves. So we

516
00:31:39,640 --> 00:31:41,920
Speaker 1: were really high on the money line only because we're

517
00:31:41,920 --> 00:31:44,920
Speaker 1: trying to offset some teasers, knowing that seven points is

518
00:31:44,960 --> 00:31:47,960
Speaker 1: a key teaser line to tease down to pick them.

519
00:31:48,000 --> 00:31:50,200
Speaker 1: So maybe they're just grabbing, you know, a plus two

520
00:31:50,240 --> 00:31:53,280
Speaker 1: seventy with us knowing that there's some plus two sixties

521
00:31:53,320 --> 00:31:59,760
Speaker 1: out there. You know who's really good at middling? Who Chad? Middle?

522
00:32:00,840 --> 00:32:08,280
Speaker 1: Middle Monster? What is your name? The middle Monster? Okay,

523
00:32:09,840 --> 00:32:12,720
Speaker 1: you could also call me Millie Monster, but middle Monster

524
00:32:12,920 --> 00:32:17,520
Speaker 1: is sort of the English translation, the old English translation.

525
00:32:18,360 --> 00:32:21,000
Speaker 1: Gotcha kind of action getting in the total in this game?

526
00:32:23,640 --> 00:32:25,320
Speaker 1: What's that? What kind of action you're getting in the

527
00:32:25,360 --> 00:32:28,880
Speaker 1: total here? Forty nine and a half? Forty nine? Um,

528
00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:32,080
Speaker 1: forty nine and a half is what we're using now. Um,

529
00:32:32,280 --> 00:32:34,320
Speaker 1: pretty good two way on the total, not as off,

530
00:32:34,480 --> 00:32:38,240
Speaker 1: not as skewed as the Colts Chiefs game, where it's

531
00:32:38,280 --> 00:32:41,200
Speaker 1: just all lopsided on on the over. But this game,

532
00:32:41,240 --> 00:32:44,680
Speaker 1: I think maybe um the Cowboys defense, like you mentioned,

533
00:32:44,760 --> 00:32:47,320
Speaker 1: to make some pause a little bit about betting this

534
00:32:47,360 --> 00:32:50,880
Speaker 1: game over. It's a tough one. Yeah, it's a tough one.

535
00:32:53,400 --> 00:32:55,200
Speaker 1: I have a strong opinion on the total right now.

536
00:32:56,200 --> 00:33:00,160
Speaker 1: Um l A Chargers visiting New England. I'm in love

537
00:33:00,200 --> 00:33:03,000
Speaker 1: with this team Scooch. I love Philip Rivers. I love

538
00:33:03,080 --> 00:33:06,720
Speaker 1: this defense. They were playing three defensive backs that linebacker

539
00:33:06,840 --> 00:33:10,600
Speaker 1: this week. It was genius. I loved watching this game

540
00:33:10,640 --> 00:33:16,560
Speaker 1: like it was such a championship fight in that first half. UM,

541
00:33:17,000 --> 00:33:20,600
Speaker 1: so much fun, just a ball like even though the

542
00:33:20,920 --> 00:33:24,040
Speaker 1: like there wasn't any scoring, and like to me, the

543
00:33:24,080 --> 00:33:28,680
Speaker 1: way they were hitting each other was outstanding, out standing

544
00:33:30,640 --> 00:33:33,720
Speaker 1: four points. Like the money's coming in on the Chargers,

545
00:33:33,760 --> 00:33:35,400
Speaker 1: like that game open to four and a half. I

546
00:33:35,440 --> 00:33:37,280
Speaker 1: know a lot of guys who have already bet the

547
00:33:37,360 --> 00:33:40,280
Speaker 1: Chargers in the under. Could be three to five inches

548
00:33:40,280 --> 00:33:44,600
Speaker 1: of snow in Foxboro this weekend. Tie it all together

549
00:33:44,640 --> 00:33:46,480
Speaker 1: for me? What are the wise guys doing? What is

550
00:33:46,520 --> 00:33:48,280
Speaker 1: the snow do to the total? What will the snow

551
00:33:48,320 --> 00:33:51,840
Speaker 1: do to the people's ideas of what they want to bet? Yeah,

552
00:33:51,880 --> 00:33:55,440
Speaker 1: they pounded the under in this one, Um, so start

553
00:33:55,520 --> 00:33:58,800
Speaker 1: starting with that one. Um, we're down to forty five

554
00:33:58,800 --> 00:34:01,520
Speaker 1: and a half. We opened to forty seven and a half.

555
00:34:02,440 --> 00:34:04,680
Speaker 1: H and we just got to keep an eye on,

556
00:34:04,880 --> 00:34:07,400
Speaker 1: like you said, the weather there, because you know, if

557
00:34:07,400 --> 00:34:10,000
Speaker 1: it clears up and they're it's not as bad as

558
00:34:10,040 --> 00:34:13,000
Speaker 1: they they expected, then the number pops right back up,

559
00:34:13,040 --> 00:34:16,400
Speaker 1: and we get when we get mettled. But the game itself,

560
00:34:16,719 --> 00:34:20,439
Speaker 1: this is the most fascinating to me on the game

561
00:34:20,480 --> 00:34:22,840
Speaker 1: on the board. As soon as we hung this with

562
00:34:23,400 --> 00:34:25,799
Speaker 1: you know, as much money as we got on the

563
00:34:25,880 --> 00:34:28,959
Speaker 1: Chargers against the Ravens, we knew that the public would

564
00:34:29,000 --> 00:34:31,799
Speaker 1: kind of be in love with the Chargers. Um. So

565
00:34:31,880 --> 00:34:35,120
Speaker 1: we kind of lowered what our initial line would have

566
00:34:35,160 --> 00:34:38,760
Speaker 1: been with Patriots Chargers, and we lowered it and opened

567
00:34:39,520 --> 00:34:42,760
Speaker 1: what we thought was a low number at five uh.

568
00:34:42,840 --> 00:34:45,400
Speaker 1: And that the money just came pouring in on the

569
00:34:45,480 --> 00:34:48,040
Speaker 1: Chargers both. And this is the part that surprised me.

570
00:34:48,080 --> 00:34:50,520
Speaker 1: I knew that the sharp guys would probably see value

571
00:34:50,520 --> 00:34:54,360
Speaker 1: in the Chargers, but the public. I thought that, really,

572
00:34:54,400 --> 00:34:56,960
Speaker 1: I thought the public would just favor the Patriots in

573
00:34:57,000 --> 00:34:59,400
Speaker 1: this one. No One, as much as they've loved the Chargers,

574
00:34:59,800 --> 00:35:02,520
Speaker 1: the Chargers still kind of fell onto the radar a

575
00:35:02,560 --> 00:35:05,839
Speaker 1: lot of the year, um, meaning that as good as

576
00:35:05,880 --> 00:35:08,120
Speaker 1: they are, as good as their record is, they didn't

577
00:35:08,120 --> 00:35:11,279
Speaker 1: really start drawing that big money that we used to

578
00:35:11,320 --> 00:35:14,200
Speaker 1: see weekend and week out with the Steelers and the

579
00:35:14,239 --> 00:35:17,040
Speaker 1: Patriots and you know, the Rams and the Saints, all

580
00:35:17,040 --> 00:35:19,720
Speaker 1: those teams that would just draw a tremendous amount of action.

581
00:35:20,120 --> 00:35:23,240
Speaker 1: We never really got that with the Chargers until uh

582
00:35:23,440 --> 00:35:26,840
Speaker 1: really last week with the with the Ravens. So I

583
00:35:26,880 --> 00:35:30,319
Speaker 1: thought that this would be a little bit more uh

584
00:35:30,440 --> 00:35:33,200
Speaker 1: skewed towards the Patriots, and it's not. Both public and

585
00:35:33,200 --> 00:35:36,480
Speaker 1: sharp guys are both on the Chargers, um, so that

586
00:35:36,560 --> 00:35:39,560
Speaker 1: this is gonna be We're we haven't needed the Patriots

587
00:35:39,600 --> 00:35:42,400
Speaker 1: this big since the Super Bowl last year and that

588
00:35:42,440 --> 00:35:50,560
Speaker 1: didn't work out too well. This feels like a money

589
00:35:50,600 --> 00:35:55,520
Speaker 1: line spot for the Chargers and we're heavy on the

590
00:35:55,560 --> 00:35:58,279
Speaker 1: money line there too. I'm gonna move this down. As

591
00:35:58,320 --> 00:36:01,200
Speaker 1: a matter of fact, we're at plus plus one seventy five.

592
00:36:01,239 --> 00:36:08,560
Speaker 1: I think we should go to plus one seventy. Well,

593
00:36:08,600 --> 00:36:16,080
Speaker 1: it's just seeing if the guys are paying attention, nailed it, Um,

594
00:36:16,120 --> 00:36:18,280
Speaker 1: you're getting hit from all sides on this. Then everyone

595
00:36:18,360 --> 00:36:21,520
Speaker 1: wants the Chargers. God, everyone wants the Chargers. And it

596
00:36:21,600 --> 00:36:24,359
Speaker 1: just feels like whenever one wants the Chargers, and I've

597
00:36:24,400 --> 00:36:27,680
Speaker 1: got Tom Brady with a week off at home playing

598
00:36:27,719 --> 00:36:32,200
Speaker 1: in the snow. Boy, oh boy, oh boy, does it

599
00:36:32,400 --> 00:36:34,680
Speaker 1: feel like I'm gonna want about the Patriots. I am

600
00:36:34,719 --> 00:36:37,640
Speaker 1: just waiting for this number to go lower. Yeah, if

601
00:36:37,640 --> 00:36:39,400
Speaker 1: it goes to three and a half, I think I

602
00:36:39,400 --> 00:36:43,480
Speaker 1: think you have to play the Patriots. I think so too. Yeah. Also,

603
00:36:43,560 --> 00:36:46,520
Speaker 1: why do you think people are pounding the unders moved

604
00:36:46,560 --> 00:36:51,239
Speaker 1: the point and a half? Well, I mean, whether it's

605
00:36:51,280 --> 00:36:54,279
Speaker 1: not public money, it's it's mostly sharp guys, whether what,

606
00:36:55,440 --> 00:37:04,759
Speaker 1: whether or not the weather? But um bum ha, do

607
00:37:04,800 --> 00:37:09,480
Speaker 1: I amuse you what? I'm a clown for your amusement?

608
00:37:09,560 --> 00:37:18,000
Speaker 1: Do you think I'm funny? Okay? Philadelphia New Orleans? New

609
00:37:18,080 --> 00:37:20,080
Speaker 1: Orleans an eight point favorite? This game open to ten.

610
00:37:20,160 --> 00:37:21,920
Speaker 1: A lot of people come in and the Eagles. You

611
00:37:21,920 --> 00:37:24,680
Speaker 1: know what I think? What do you think the Nick

612
00:37:25,320 --> 00:37:32,440
Speaker 1: Folds story is done? Finished? I didn't know that you

613
00:37:32,520 --> 00:37:33,799
Speaker 1: were going to go there, but I thought you're going

614
00:37:33,880 --> 00:37:37,640
Speaker 1: the other way completed. I think this is the weekend

615
00:37:38,280 --> 00:37:43,959
Speaker 1: Drew Brees and the Saints undressed the Eagles. I think

616
00:37:44,000 --> 00:37:46,600
Speaker 1: this is the weekend where you see what would have

617
00:37:46,680 --> 00:37:49,759
Speaker 1: happened in the NFC Title Game last year, where the

618
00:37:49,840 --> 00:37:52,440
Speaker 1: Saints would have gone to the Super Bowl. And I

619
00:37:52,440 --> 00:37:54,680
Speaker 1: am not saying this because the Saints are the only

620
00:37:54,760 --> 00:37:59,800
Speaker 1: team I have left alive. Of the nearly dozen teams

621
00:37:59,880 --> 00:38:05,759
Speaker 1: I chose to win the Super Bowl. Mhm, I can't

622
00:38:05,760 --> 00:38:10,279
Speaker 1: say I agree with you. I just feel like the now,

623
00:38:10,640 --> 00:38:15,760
Speaker 1: the Saints obviously have the better defense, but the Eagles

624
00:38:15,800 --> 00:38:22,080
Speaker 1: defense has been playing really really well. No, no, no, Scooch.

625
00:38:22,719 --> 00:38:26,200
Speaker 1: Here's what the Bears exposed. The Bears did two things

626
00:38:26,680 --> 00:38:31,040
Speaker 1: that four things wrong in this game. Okay, you're ready. Yeah.

627
00:38:31,160 --> 00:38:35,520
Speaker 1: Number one. Uh, look, not calling the time out on

628
00:38:35,560 --> 00:38:37,360
Speaker 1: the goal line costs him some time that could have

629
00:38:37,400 --> 00:38:39,160
Speaker 1: gotten some plays that could have gotten closer in the

630
00:38:39,200 --> 00:38:43,200
Speaker 1: field goal than the missfield goal obviously blocked, shanked, whatever,

631
00:38:43,760 --> 00:38:49,000
Speaker 1: the personal foul on Adams on the Eagles touchdown drive

632
00:38:49,360 --> 00:38:52,239
Speaker 1: that gave him a tense six lead um to me,

633
00:38:52,400 --> 00:38:56,560
Speaker 1: the biggest thing the Bears ignored Tarik Kone. He's your

634
00:38:56,560 --> 00:38:59,719
Speaker 1: best playmaker. This is an Eagles team that could not

635
00:39:00,160 --> 00:39:03,479
Speaker 1: up with him. Their defensive backs would not be able

636
00:39:03,520 --> 00:39:05,000
Speaker 1: to keep up with him. The first time he touched

637
00:39:05,040 --> 00:39:08,080
Speaker 1: the ball, he gained twenty yards. He was targeted three

638
00:39:08,160 --> 00:39:11,080
Speaker 1: more times the rest of the game. Then at the

639
00:39:11,120 --> 00:39:13,320
Speaker 1: end of the game, he returns the kickoff that that

640
00:39:14,080 --> 00:39:16,680
Speaker 1: practically puts them in field position, in field goal position

641
00:39:16,800 --> 00:39:19,800
Speaker 1: right um. The rest of the game. He was freaking

642
00:39:19,840 --> 00:39:22,160
Speaker 1: ignored he'd lined up in the backfield, like there was

643
00:39:22,200 --> 00:39:25,440
Speaker 1: a third and four and they brought in Benny Cunningham

644
00:39:25,480 --> 00:39:28,960
Speaker 1: and gave Benny Cunningham the ball, Like why was Tarikon

645
00:39:29,120 --> 00:39:33,360
Speaker 1: not Mitch Drubisky's first option on half a dozen more plays?

646
00:39:33,760 --> 00:39:37,200
Speaker 1: I think in space, this Eagles team has a really

647
00:39:37,200 --> 00:39:40,360
Speaker 1: hard time from a defensive backfield point of view. Also,

648
00:39:40,840 --> 00:39:43,120
Speaker 1: I think these defensive backs will not be able to

649
00:39:43,160 --> 00:39:46,399
Speaker 1: cover the Eagles receivers. I mean the Saints receivers. Bears

650
00:39:46,400 --> 00:39:49,440
Speaker 1: receivers are not very good, and they were getting open

651
00:39:49,680 --> 00:39:52,000
Speaker 1: and it wasn't until the second half when this is

652
00:39:52,040 --> 00:39:55,160
Speaker 1: the fifth thing, like Mattnege did not give Miss Trubisky

653
00:39:55,160 --> 00:39:56,520
Speaker 1: the ball. And this was my issue with the Bears

654
00:39:56,560 --> 00:39:59,960
Speaker 1: all year, Like Mr Trubisky was playing great, and there

655
00:40:00,000 --> 00:40:02,080
Speaker 1: were too many times this year where Matt Nigi took

656
00:40:02,080 --> 00:40:03,719
Speaker 1: the ball out of his hands where they could have

657
00:40:03,760 --> 00:40:05,759
Speaker 1: gotten a little bit better field position. A couple of

658
00:40:05,760 --> 00:40:08,680
Speaker 1: games they lost and it hurt the Bears. And in

659
00:40:08,680 --> 00:40:11,280
Speaker 1: this year, this game, the second half, he was clearly

660
00:40:11,280 --> 00:40:13,200
Speaker 1: showing he could throw over the top of this defense

661
00:40:13,520 --> 00:40:16,840
Speaker 1: and it was too late. And so you give me

662
00:40:16,920 --> 00:40:19,640
Speaker 1: Drew Brees thrown over the top to these receivers against

663
00:40:19,719 --> 00:40:26,399
Speaker 1: these defensive backs, and I'm telling you right now, blowout City. Well,

664
00:40:26,440 --> 00:40:30,080
Speaker 1: I love the way you've broken down the game. I

665
00:40:30,160 --> 00:40:32,879
Speaker 1: still think that the sharp guys are betting this game

666
00:40:33,000 --> 00:40:34,920
Speaker 1: under which means it's not going to be as high

667
00:40:35,280 --> 00:40:37,120
Speaker 1: scoring or it's not that doesn't figure to be as

668
00:40:37,160 --> 00:40:40,719
Speaker 1: high scoring as the general public may think. And I

669
00:40:40,719 --> 00:40:43,560
Speaker 1: think with two good defenses going at each other, I

670
00:40:43,560 --> 00:40:47,160
Speaker 1: think eight points is is a lot of points. Um.

671
00:40:47,239 --> 00:40:51,200
Speaker 1: You know that I agree with a lot of what

672
00:40:51,239 --> 00:40:53,600
Speaker 1: you're saying, but I think the value here is still

673
00:40:53,600 --> 00:40:58,720
Speaker 1: on the Eagles. My analysis was significantly better than yours.

674
00:40:58,880 --> 00:41:02,560
Speaker 1: Yours was was could do this? I could do that.

675
00:41:03,840 --> 00:41:09,280
Speaker 1: Mine was tactical and strategic, and it took into account

676
00:41:09,280 --> 00:41:11,720
Speaker 1: like everything that happened in the game and then spun

677
00:41:11,760 --> 00:41:16,080
Speaker 1: it forward to project into the next round. What did

678
00:41:16,120 --> 00:41:19,200
Speaker 1: you do? I did nothing, not just giving you the winner.

679
00:41:23,239 --> 00:41:25,160
Speaker 1: So you think it's going to go under two? The

680
00:41:25,200 --> 00:41:26,919
Speaker 1: lines moved from fifty one and a half to fifty

681
00:41:26,960 --> 00:41:30,879
Speaker 1: and a half. I do, I do. This is gonna

682
00:41:30,880 --> 00:41:33,120
Speaker 1: be our chase game, brother, This is gonna be the

683
00:41:33,120 --> 00:41:35,560
Speaker 1: game where after I've won all day Saturday and Sunday,

684
00:41:35,560 --> 00:41:38,359
Speaker 1: I'm gonna unload on the Saints that what will end

685
00:41:38,400 --> 00:41:41,120
Speaker 1: up being like a touchdown and it might come back

686
00:41:41,120 --> 00:41:48,120
Speaker 1: to haunt me. What do you think of that? Well,

687
00:41:48,160 --> 00:41:50,160
Speaker 1: I know we're gonna need the Eagles, so maybe a

688
00:41:50,239 --> 00:41:53,879
Speaker 1: lot of mine is just wishful thinking. Uh. That would

689
00:41:53,880 --> 00:41:59,160
Speaker 1: be our our worst case scenarios to have have everything

690
00:41:59,200 --> 00:42:01,040
Speaker 1: coming down to this Saints game and have the Saints

691
00:42:01,040 --> 00:42:03,919
Speaker 1: and all blowout. That would just cap off a bad

692
00:42:03,960 --> 00:42:07,799
Speaker 1: weekend for us. Let's play some scootroo let. All right,

693
00:42:15,920 --> 00:42:18,319
Speaker 1: why don't you go first? I feel like you won

694
00:42:18,440 --> 00:42:25,000
Speaker 1: last week? Okay? I I had Houston, he had you had?

695
00:42:25,080 --> 00:42:27,320
Speaker 1: Oh we both lost. I had Houston. You at Seattle.

696
00:42:28,640 --> 00:42:30,600
Speaker 1: I don't remember what number I got. Did I get

697
00:42:30,600 --> 00:42:34,279
Speaker 1: a good number? I don't even think we know, but

698
00:42:34,320 --> 00:42:36,680
Speaker 1: I think you got it a like I think you

699
00:42:36,760 --> 00:42:38,799
Speaker 1: got it well at the time, you just want to

700
00:42:38,800 --> 00:42:40,799
Speaker 1: give me a loss anyone we recorded it. I think

701
00:42:40,840 --> 00:42:43,080
Speaker 1: we recorded on like a Tuesday, and I think the

702
00:42:43,160 --> 00:42:45,799
Speaker 1: number then was like one or one and a half

703
00:42:45,840 --> 00:42:47,560
Speaker 1: because I ended up betting the Cowboys at one and

704
00:42:47,560 --> 00:42:52,000
Speaker 1: a half or what not. It is where it is, brother,

705
00:42:52,120 --> 00:42:54,960
Speaker 1: You know what I'm saying, all right, you gotta get

706
00:42:55,000 --> 00:42:59,319
Speaker 1: the best of the number. Okay, you definitely didn't get

707
00:42:59,320 --> 00:43:02,600
Speaker 1: it at two and a half. No, I know, I

708
00:43:02,640 --> 00:43:06,359
Speaker 1: know I didn't get too and a half. All right,

709
00:43:06,640 --> 00:43:10,000
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna I'm gonna I like the Cowboys. I

710
00:43:10,040 --> 00:43:13,239
Speaker 1: think seven points is a lot against the Rams. I

711
00:43:13,280 --> 00:43:16,720
Speaker 1: think the Cowboys defense are stepping up. They're gonna shut

712
00:43:16,719 --> 00:43:20,480
Speaker 1: the Rams offense down. We'll shoot. I wanted to take

713
00:43:20,520 --> 00:43:25,600
Speaker 1: that seriously, Yeah, I thought you were going to take

714
00:43:25,600 --> 00:43:28,720
Speaker 1: the Saints. You just made such a brilliant case for them.

715
00:43:28,800 --> 00:43:35,200
Speaker 1: I thought about it. You know what I'm gonna do?

716
00:43:36,120 --> 00:43:39,759
Speaker 1: What Chargers. I don't want to do it because I

717
00:43:39,800 --> 00:43:44,160
Speaker 1: don't want them to win? Should I do? You don't

718
00:43:44,160 --> 00:43:47,600
Speaker 1: want who to win? I don't want the Patriots to win. Okay,

719
00:43:48,520 --> 00:43:52,680
Speaker 1: but four is a really tempting number. But you said earlier,

720
00:43:52,719 --> 00:43:54,399
Speaker 1: if it goes to three and a half, you you'd

721
00:43:54,440 --> 00:43:58,200
Speaker 1: bet the Patriots. So before you like the Patriots at

722
00:43:58,200 --> 00:44:00,600
Speaker 1: minus four? Is that it's tempting? That what you're saying.

723
00:44:00,600 --> 00:44:03,040
Speaker 1: I guess That's what I'm gonna do. Okay, But I

724
00:44:03,080 --> 00:44:05,920
Speaker 1: don't want to root for the Patriots. I got you,

725
00:44:05,960 --> 00:44:08,160
Speaker 1: but I gotta make the right gotta making an emotional decision,

726
00:44:08,200 --> 00:44:10,880
Speaker 1: so I'm going with the Patriots at minus four. Alrighty,

727
00:44:13,000 --> 00:44:16,279
Speaker 1: we did it, Scooch. Listen. People need to know they

728
00:44:16,320 --> 00:44:22,279
Speaker 1: can sign up to attend Our Favorites podcast live at

729
00:44:22,440 --> 00:44:26,920
Speaker 1: Folies in Manhattan on January at six pm, That is

730
00:44:27,600 --> 00:44:32,640
Speaker 1: five in Manhattan, six pm January. Space is running out.

731
00:44:32,760 --> 00:44:37,160
Speaker 1: It's Action network dot com slash Favorites. Action Network dot

732
00:44:37,200 --> 00:44:40,440
Speaker 1: com slash Favorites, go R s v P. There's already

733
00:44:40,480 --> 00:44:42,920
Speaker 1: literally like many more than a hundred people who have

734
00:44:42,960 --> 00:44:45,560
Speaker 1: signed up for this thing, and space is limited. Seriously,

735
00:44:46,080 --> 00:44:48,439
Speaker 1: thank you for listening to The Favorites will be back

736
00:44:48,520 --> 00:44:51,719
Speaker 1: on Friday with black Jack Fletcher. You can download the

737
00:44:51,760 --> 00:44:56,799
Speaker 1: podcast at Apple podcast Radio dot com, Slash the Favorites,

738
00:44:57,320 --> 00:44:59,760
Speaker 1: and anywhere else you'd like to get your podcasts. Scooch,

739
00:45:00,000 --> 00:45:11,280
Speaker 1: thanks for joining. See you next week. Thanks chat Chem