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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast.

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Speaker 2: Poda, All right here we are right in the corner.

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Speaker 3: Then seconds of age, so it just goes throw down

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Speaker 3: the basket under the basket.

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Speaker 2: That's the true for the wind. God, I'm Verracle. I

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Speaker 2: just water big that one from a fucking love. What's

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Speaker 2: up the generation? Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast.

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Speaker 2: This is the College Basketball n c Double A Tournament

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Speaker 2: betting preview, fourth Thursday. I'm stucky in enjoining me or

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Speaker 2: my fellow BBOC Coast Christian and Greg. Oh boy, I

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Speaker 2: cannot wait to get into these games. It is the

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Speaker 2: best time of the year. Everyone has hope. Right now,

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Speaker 2: your brackets are still intact. You're gonna win all of

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Speaker 2: your bets, and hopefully we can help you pick some

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Speaker 2: winners and help you fill out that bracket. We're gonna

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Speaker 2: go through game by game on Thursday two we don't

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Speaker 2: know about Maybe we'll talk a little BYU versus their

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Speaker 2: potential opponent who cares about the Michigan game. They're just

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Speaker 2: gonna crush somebody. But we'll go through each of the

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Speaker 2: fourteen matchups that we do know on Thursday. After this

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Speaker 2: later today, recording an episode with Duck and Calabery's going

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Speaker 2: through every game on Friday. Also have a live show

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Speaker 2: Thursday morning to go through the games, any updates, favorite bets,

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Speaker 2: cover any news, and then we'll do the same thing

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Speaker 2: on Saturday for the round of thirty two. Greg, Merry Christmas.

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Speaker 2: How goes it? How's your week? This is one of

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Speaker 2: the quickest. You would think that, Like, what's the longest

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Speaker 2: for me is Thursday morning because I'm so I'm busy

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Speaker 2: every single second from selection Sunday, from the the brackets

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Speaker 2: release until you know, Thursday morning, and then Thursday morning

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Speaker 2: feels like an eternity. But this week always goes by

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Speaker 2: so fastering, which is not It's nice to be this

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Speaker 2: busy because it's still my favorite two days of the year.

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Speaker 3: How you feeling feeling great? It is the best time

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Speaker 3: of year, like you said, for people like us. I

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Speaker 3: am distracted this week because I have my son's first

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Speaker 3: birthday tomorrow, so my wife is just like running around

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Speaker 3: buying gifts and decorations and organizing a party for Sunday.

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Speaker 3: And I'm just like knee deep in thirty two games

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Speaker 3: trying to break it all down. So I know you

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Speaker 3: can relate as as a father now stuck. It gets

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Speaker 3: a little different when the family starts growing up, but

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Speaker 3: the joy, the passion is still here.

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Speaker 2: I'm pumped. Yeah. Fortunately my wife is. She just knows

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Speaker 2: during football and basketball's right now. I am a horrendous father. So, Kristen,

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Speaker 2: how you feeling.

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Speaker 1: I'm good.

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Speaker 4: I was talking to somebody else staying like, oh, this

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Speaker 4: week takes forever, and I'm like, we're we're on different planets,

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Speaker 4: like they're all excited for Thursday. Not that I'm trust me,

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Speaker 4: I'm very excited for Thursday, but all of a sudden,

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Speaker 4: you know, from November, from before November, all the way

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Speaker 4: until that bracket's revealed, like everything it's kind of in

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Speaker 4: the frame of my mind, like what's going to happen

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Speaker 4: in the tournament? How will I like this team in

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Speaker 4: the tournament or not? And then to only have a

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Speaker 4: few days to just get all my thoughts in order

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Speaker 4: and stuff can always be a lot. But I'm super

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Speaker 4: excited for this year's tournament and trying to.

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Speaker 1: Relax and enjoy it a bit too.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I do one of the things that I'm hoping

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Speaker 2: I do. Hope we get a list. It's getting harder

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Speaker 2: and harder to get more chaos in the early rounds.

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Speaker 2: Is the gap grows now on paper, theoretically it'll make

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Speaker 2: for more interesting and better matchups down the line. Right,

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Speaker 2: you think back all the years we've had upsets and

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Speaker 2: Cinderella is you know, in the Elite A this sweek sixteen.

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Speaker 2: Then you'll get like some team getting their doors blown off.

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Speaker 2: But you know, this year, the thirteen through fifteen seeds

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Speaker 2: are all favored by at least thirteen and a half points.

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Speaker 2: In the history of the tournament, we've never even had

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Speaker 2: all of them favored by ten plus points, and this

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Speaker 2: is a year after all of them won outright, I

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Speaker 2: think the closest margin was nine points. So I'm hoping

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Speaker 2: that we get a little more casts, just because these

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Speaker 2: two days lose a little bit of the luster, right

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Speaker 2: if it's just Chalk City. So but we'll see how

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Speaker 2: it goes. Regardless, we have bets, which is always going

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Speaker 2: to make it interesting, and everyone's brackets and the contest

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Speaker 2: that you're in. This is always going to be two

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Speaker 2: of the most exciting days of the year. So let's

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Speaker 2: go through these games chronologically. We'll start right when you'll

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Speaker 2: hear the CBS music which will just get my blood flowing.

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Speaker 2: Twelve to fifteen Eastern on CBS in the East Region,

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Speaker 2: we have TCU take on Ohio State in Greenville, South Carolina.

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Speaker 2: Ohio State is a two and a half point favorite

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Speaker 2: total one six and a half. Ohio State went from well,

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Speaker 2: I don't know if they're going to make the tournament,

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Speaker 2: to they're on the bubble to they're clearly in after

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Speaker 2: a late season surge. Greg, I know you have a

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Speaker 2: hot take here. What do you like? Yeah, I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: be on the Buckeyes here.

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Speaker 3: I think this is the draw that they would be

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Speaker 3: hoping for, a team that can't really brutalize them inside

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Speaker 3: and whose offense just flat out isn't really good enough

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Speaker 3: to run away with it.

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Speaker 2: I think you look at key positional matchups. One needs

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Speaker 2: to go right for Ohio State.

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Speaker 3: Their guards need to win one on one matchups Thornton

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Speaker 3: and Mobley against small guards. I think is a reasonable

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Speaker 3: outcome for them. And then I think they've got Devin

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Speaker 3: Royle to throw at David Punch. I just think they

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Speaker 3: like their chances in those key spots.

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Speaker 2: TCU is good. Don't give me wrong. I liked them.

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Speaker 2: I liked betting them a lot this year down the stretch.

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Speaker 3: But I think this shapes up well for Ohio State

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Speaker 3: stars to have a big night minus two and a half.

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Speaker 2: I'll be on it. I will be against you here.

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Speaker 2: I like TCU. I think with this this matchup first

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Speaker 2: came out, I said, this is a bad matchup for Thornton.

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Speaker 2: TCU will hedge. Their pick and roll defense is elite

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Speaker 2: eighty ninth percentile per Synergy twenty fourth percentile frequency. It's

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Speaker 2: very difficult for a lead guard to run pick and

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Speaker 2: roll the lead ball handler. Ohio State, that's their most

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Speaker 2: efficient offense. Obviously, with Thornton a ninety seventh percentile pick

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Speaker 2: and roll ball handler offense. I think TCU can take

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Speaker 2: the ball out of Thornton's hands, force others to beat them,

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Speaker 2: which you know, maybe they can. Bying them has been

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Speaker 2: great down the stretch. Additionally, a couple other things. I

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Speaker 2: think TCU can live on the offensive. The last year

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Speaker 2: they can get to the line, got to make their

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Speaker 2: free throws. They're not a great free throw shooting team.

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Speaker 2: And then Ohio State they lacked depth. They get in

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Speaker 2: foul trouble here. That could be problematic in Ohio State yes,

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Speaker 2: they've been very good down the stretch. But since February first,

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Speaker 2: they're shooting forty two percent from three. They're seven percent

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Speaker 2: better than they were prior to February first. So there's

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Speaker 2: some shooting looming, shooting regression possible, and so I think

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Speaker 2: TCU can win the shot volume here. They've been big

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Speaker 2: game They've been a big game team all year long.

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Speaker 2: They've been a top fifteen top fifteen defense in top

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Speaker 2: one hundred games, they've played thirteen of them. Ohio State meanwhile,

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Speaker 2: in those in top one hundred games is eighty on defense.

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Speaker 2: Neutral court tc has been one of the best teams

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Speaker 2: in the country. I mean it's a team that's five

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Speaker 2: to zer against the spread on neutral courts, depending on

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Speaker 2: what number you got. They blew out Wisconsin, they beat

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Speaker 2: Florida on a neutral court. So and then what puts

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Speaker 2: it over the top for me? Gimme Dixon over Diebler.

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Speaker 2: You're guy Deebler, Greg who now consistently ride with TCU. Christian,

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Speaker 2: I think this game, by the way, screams down to

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Speaker 2: the wire. I think it's a really good game to have.

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Speaker 2: Kick things off. Christian, you want to break the tie?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I think you guys covered most of the main points.

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Speaker 4: One wrinkle is I had the same thought about Bruce

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Speaker 4: just kind of get trying to get the ball out

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Speaker 4: of his hands, like like aggressive hard heads, like they're

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Speaker 4: kind of like a Houston light and how they want

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Speaker 4: to play. But something that Deebler has done really interesting

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Speaker 4: is move Bruce off the ball more. That worked against Michigan,

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Speaker 4: that worked against Iowa. And I mean, he it's actually

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Speaker 4: absurd how good he is. We don't talk about him

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Speaker 4: enough because like you have like a Brandon in that

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Speaker 4: league of Bennetts, Sturt's so many exciting freshmen, Like he

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Speaker 4: is unreal and he takes care of the ball and

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Speaker 4: he's incredibly efficient.

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Speaker 1: So like he's just the type of.

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Speaker 4: Guy that you know, if this gets tight and in

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Speaker 4: the half court and it's closed in those last eight minutes,

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Speaker 4: Like he is definitely the best guard on the floor.

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Speaker 1: And I think that means a lot.

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Speaker 4: But I'm still signing TCU because I just I'm looking

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Speaker 4: at ot Ohio State did a non con Like you

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Speaker 4: lost at pitt You know what I'm saying.

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Speaker 1: You played West Virginian double overtime.

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Speaker 4: They played Notre Dame in a one point game, I

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Speaker 4: kind of feel like just familiarity with the Big Ten

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Speaker 4: and Bruce being a god like carried them and like

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Speaker 4: they were a great at they were great at beating

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Speaker 4: the bad teams in their schedule. Like their worst loss

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Speaker 4: in Big ten player was at Washington, which is like

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Speaker 4: on the West Coast against you know, a lottery pick.

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Speaker 4: I so all that to say, I'm leading TCO. I

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Speaker 4: think Punch and Edmonds and those guys are two. I

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Speaker 4: thought it in the front court. And to your point,

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Speaker 4: Stocky Jamie Dixon has been pretty good in the tournament.

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Speaker 4: You know, they won their first round game twice in

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Speaker 4: a row, lost to Utah State, and then last year

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Speaker 4: missed it. So he's hungry to be back here. And

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Speaker 4: I had one other point, what was it? Oh Ohio

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Speaker 4: State has literally six dudes. Gabe Cups is going to

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Speaker 4: die if he's out there on the court against TCU

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Speaker 4: and the.

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Speaker 2: TCU draws a ton of fouls or high still value.

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Speaker 2: They have to avoid foul trouble here.

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Speaker 4: And I counterpoint to myself is like Michigan is such

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Speaker 4: a monstrous front court and like more athletic than them,

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Speaker 4: and that should have been a matchup that punished them.

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Speaker 1: But I mean there's a level of familiarity.

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Speaker 4: Seen them for a third time, I think, and they

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Speaker 4: were able to really take the air out of the

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Speaker 4: ball and like make that a half court game. I

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Speaker 4: just think in a different environment against a team they

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Speaker 4: haven't seen before, really aggressive with those guards, the way

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Speaker 4: they defend with depth. TC has the side for me,

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Speaker 4: but never fun going against Bruce in a setting like this.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I will say if this game is really closer,

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Speaker 2: I expect it to be. There's two things that there's

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Speaker 2: one thing that could and TC's going to get to

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Speaker 2: the line of ton if they're calling it tight. TC's

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Speaker 2: not a good free throw shooting team. Ohio State is

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Speaker 2: over seventy seven percent on the air, team shooting over

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Speaker 2: seventy seven percent from the line over the past twenty

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Speaker 2: years in the tournament one on one sixty one and

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Speaker 2: two against the spread sixty two point three percent, and

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Speaker 2: the Big Ten they've been a wagon in the round

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Speaker 2: of sixty four lane year. The 're eight now against

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Speaker 2: the spread, and since twenty seventeen or thirty six twenty

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Speaker 2: and one against the spread, five hundred against the spread

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Speaker 2: are better than all eight tournaments over the past eight.

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Speaker 1: Wait real quick.

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Speaker 4: That's the first game of the day, right, yep, guys,

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Speaker 4: I'm on like a seven year streak. It's actually unbelievable

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Speaker 4: of getting the first game wrong. Like I remember it

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Speaker 4: was Louisville, Minnesota. I was a freshman in college. Ever

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Speaker 4: since then, I've gone every single first game wrong. It's

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Speaker 4: typically like an eight nine. Maybe it's the second game sometimes,

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Speaker 4: but like it's I've not had a perfect bracket live

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Speaker 4: by one pm Eastern, Like I can't even remember.

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Speaker 2: Actually made or two or you're just cursed. I will say,

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Speaker 2: we mentioned Michigan. Yeah, you mentioned on how to stay

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Speaker 2: playing Michigan to I mean Michigan to play Virginia tof

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Speaker 2: on a neutral, which is worth noting. And one of

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Speaker 2: the keys is going to be I mean, if Mobile

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Speaker 2: gets hot, that's that's when Ohio State is at its best.

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Speaker 2: Greg the one thing I'll I just asked about Michigan,

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Speaker 2: like Ohio State played them close, Wisconsin without Winter played

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Speaker 2: them close, Purdue destroyed them. I think part of that

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Speaker 2: was I'm not sure it speaks how good Michigan is

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Speaker 2: and the fact that they were in the Big Ten

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Speaker 2: title were they were? I think they were just a

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Speaker 2: little little bored looking forward a little to the tournament.

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Speaker 2: Would you agree with that or was there something to

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Speaker 2: worry about with Michigan. I'm in between on it.

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Speaker 3: I think Dusty May was doing some out of character

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Speaker 3: schematic things. I mean, he's not an auto bench guy,

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Speaker 3: and when Cado picked up two fouls in the semi final,

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Speaker 3: he just threw him on the bench basically to see, Okay,

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Speaker 3: what do we do if we were without him in

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Speaker 3: the NCAA tournament. I think zero to five against the

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Speaker 3: spread since the case and injury is something to monitor here.

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Speaker 2: I do not think they're the.

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Speaker 3: Same team, but I would not write them off based

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Speaker 3: on anything you saw in conference tournament week.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean you just got to there. They have

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Speaker 2: such good their defense is so good that you and

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Speaker 2: then after losing case on, I think that he'll do

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Speaker 2: this in the tournament, but you have to keep getting

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Speaker 2: there to facilitate and run your offense and just tell them, dude,

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Speaker 2: it's okay to not be aggressive and you have rim protection.

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Speaker 2: So I think that he will, but that you could

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Speaker 2: tell that their offense just didn't have any continuity or

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Speaker 2: flow and he went off the floor. All right, let's

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Speaker 2: move on. To the second game on Thursday twelve forty

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Speaker 2: Eastern on True TV. The thirteen seed Troy will take

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Speaker 2: on four seed Nebraska. Nebraska thirteen and a half point

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Speaker 2: favored here total one thirty seven and a half in

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Speaker 2: the South Region. This game will be played in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma,

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Speaker 2: and get some Nebraska fans here looking for that first tourney.

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Speaker 2: When can they finally get it done? Nebraska Troy Christian,

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Speaker 2: I think you have you said that you have a

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Speaker 2: strong take care what do you like?

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Speaker 4: Well, I have a shown I have a lot to say.

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Speaker 4: I don't know if I'm the cop. I definitely lean

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Speaker 4: towards Troy. They're my favorite mid major. I had circled

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Speaker 4: and when I first saw the matchup, I didn't love

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Speaker 4: it because they're two best players aren't great three point shooters,

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Speaker 4: but they're willing three point shooters. And then I kind

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Speaker 4: of talked myself into you know, Troy does get a

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Speaker 4: lot of threes up. They got, you know, around top

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Speaker 4: fifty three point tempt rate in the country, and they

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Speaker 4: do have some actual shooters in the Campbell Brothers and

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Speaker 4: Cross off the bench and shoot a bit too. But

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Speaker 4: I just love this dude. Valdez, you know, a six

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Speaker 4: to seven dude who can create out of the pick

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Speaker 4: and roll, and the success that he had against USC

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Speaker 4: and against San Diego State, and just chemistry wise with

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Speaker 4: this Troy team.

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Speaker 1: To lose four starters in the portal and then.

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Speaker 4: To just slide everybody up and have all your bench

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Speaker 4: guys from last year become your starters this year, and

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Speaker 4: the fact that there's familiarity of all of them being

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Speaker 4: here last year. I just don't know if Nebraska like defensively,

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Speaker 4: like defensively, Troy's like right, I think Troy's rock solid,

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Speaker 4: and you know, guarding Nebraska's complex motion or like dealing

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Speaker 4: with the mass beyond the perimeter or even down on

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Speaker 4: the block. There's lots to deal with. But I don't know,

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Speaker 4: just in a March environment. I was talking myself into

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Speaker 4: Nebraska's a Final four sleeper like a week ago, but

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Speaker 4: now I'm just like, do I trust like Hoiberg and

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Speaker 4: Lawrence and like these guys to like capitalize on a

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Speaker 4: Troy team that like really wants you to go in

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Speaker 4: the mid range and score there.

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Speaker 1: I'm like, which guard is gonna kill me off the bounce?

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Speaker 4: Like last year against Kentucky was you know, Butler and

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Speaker 4: Brea getting in there and making plays and like Garrison

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Speaker 4: killed them.

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 4: I just think Troy's are really good mid major and

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Speaker 4: I think we're getting thirteen and one of these damn

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Speaker 4: upsets has to happen, and this is one that I

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Speaker 4: think is live.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't have the strongest take from it. Against

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Speaker 2: the spread perspective, I can people a lot of people

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Speaker 2: are making a case for Troy upsetting Nebraska. The reason

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Speaker 2: I could see that, the only reason I can see that.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Troy they had some wild results. I mean

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Speaker 2: they went the triple overtime with a healthy USC. Earlier

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Speaker 2: this year, they won at San Diego State in double overtime.

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Speaker 2: You know, they beat Akron, But over the past month

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Speaker 2: of the season they beat nothing but dregs, and then

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Speaker 2: in the conference tournament they played a team on playing

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Speaker 2: four and four days and then six and six days.

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Speaker 2: They do have like a physical front court that maybe

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Speaker 2: can give Nebraska problems, but they're not a great three

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Speaker 2: point shooting team, and you need to be against Nebraska.

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Speaker 2: They're also super reliant on the offensive glass. Nebraska is

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Speaker 2: pretty good in the defensive class limiting second chance opportunities.

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Speaker 2: But I will say there is going to be three

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Speaker 2: point variants in this game, which is why I could

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Speaker 2: you could say, okay, there, you know there could be

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Speaker 2: an upset here. Troy is gonna shoot a ton of threes.

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Speaker 2: As you mentioned, they're not very good, they're not very efficient.

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Speaker 2: And then we know in Nebraska games they're going to

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Speaker 2: shoot a ton of threes. They're eleventh three point right,

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Speaker 2: and they're gonna give up with a ton of threes.

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Speaker 2: They have the fifth highest three point attempts rate allowed

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Speaker 2: on defense. So what does that mean Troy's going to

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Speaker 2: be attempting a ton of threes and what will crash first?

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Speaker 2: Since February first, Troy shooting thirty percent from three. They

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Speaker 2: were thirty four percent before then, so maybe some positive

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Speaker 2: regression looming. They're only twenty eight percent over the past month,

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Speaker 2: so maybe they're due for a big day. But defensively,

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Speaker 2: since February first, teams have shot twenty five percent from three.

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Speaker 2: They were thirty four percent from before. We know investing

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Speaker 2: can get a ton of threes, So can Troy make

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Speaker 2: forty percent of their threes here? Forty forty five? Can

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Speaker 2: they have a big shooting night, then yeah, they're gonna

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Speaker 2: be in this game. If they're not, and Nebraska gets

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Speaker 2: hot from three and Troy's turning it over a bit,

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Speaker 2: Sanford's getting some transition threes. I could see this being

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Speaker 2: a blowout. So I don't think it's the best matchup

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Speaker 2: for Troy, but they're going to get their threes up,

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Speaker 2: and if Campbell and company can get hot, they can

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Speaker 2: make this a game. I don't have too strong of

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Speaker 2: a Takekrea, ID give anything to a.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not playing it against the spread just because

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Speaker 3: it's I think a huge number and too many people

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Speaker 3: I respect see the Troy side of this. I don't

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Speaker 3: see the live dog potential here.

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Speaker 2: It's pretty simple for me.

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Speaker 3: I know I'm being very I don't know elementary about it,

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Speaker 3: but I think it's a terrible matchup for Victor Valdez,

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Speaker 3: who I love, but he's shooting twenty one percent from

355
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Speaker 3: three on ridiculous volume. He's two for twenty four from three. Like,

356
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Speaker 3: you get the defense that forces bad shooters to make threes.

357
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Speaker 3: That's the whole scheme. Anytime you run up against teams

358
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Speaker 3: that are willing shooters that can't make shots, it's a

359
00:18:33,840 --> 00:18:38,320
Speaker 3: dream matchup for the Nebraska defense. I basically didn't really

360
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Speaker 3: consider Troy just at first glance. Looking at this, maybe

361
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Speaker 3: I'll regret that, but one point I would just add

362
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Speaker 3: part of the reason I'm kind of just in on Nebraska.

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Speaker 2: I like their chances to make a little run in

364
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Speaker 2: this draw.

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Speaker 3: I mean we're talking about, like, if they get there,

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Speaker 3: a Florida Nebraska game could be interesting.

367
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Speaker 2: They're gonna get destroyed on the boards.

368
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Speaker 3: But that backcourt that is willing shooters that can't shoot

369
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Speaker 3: against that defense. It's like there's a little bit of

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Speaker 3: a path for some interesting games here.

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Speaker 2: And everyone's out on.

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Speaker 3: Nebraska because they had a horrible month to conclude the season.

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Speaker 3: I think it's a good time to buy low in general.

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Speaker 3: So I'm staying away for this game against the spread.

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Speaker 3: I don't think Troy wins the game.

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Speaker 2: I do have some Nebraska and a bunch of Calcutta's.

377
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Speaker 2: Troy will change up defenses a lot with Scott Cross.

378
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Speaker 2: I think they're one of the most zone heavy teams

379
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Speaker 2: in the field, and they also press. They'll extend pressure

380
00:19:31,080 --> 00:19:34,480
Speaker 2: to try and slow you down. Nebraska they don't see

381
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Speaker 2: a ton of press obviously in the big ten. They

382
00:19:36,200 --> 00:19:38,800
Speaker 2: don't see a ton of zone, but they great down

383
00:19:38,800 --> 00:19:41,239
Speaker 2: the ninety seven percentile against zone obviously with all those

384
00:19:41,240 --> 00:19:44,680
Speaker 2: shooters and their ball movement, and they have enough ball

385
00:19:44,680 --> 00:19:48,639
Speaker 2: handles the handle press, they're ninety eighth percentile against the press. Again,

386
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Speaker 2: small sample size, but worth noting. All right, let's move on.

387
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Speaker 2: I do think Nebraska is interesting now just because of

388
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Speaker 2: the variants nature of them. Well, coach, they just moved

389
00:20:01,119 --> 00:20:04,960
Speaker 2: the ball so well. But let's move on to the

390
00:20:05,000 --> 00:20:09,560
Speaker 2: third game of the day between South Florida and Louisville.

391
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Speaker 2: Louisville's a five and a half point favorite here total

392
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Speaker 2: one sixty five and a half. This should be a

393
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Speaker 2: track meet two teams that want to get up and

394
00:20:19,040 --> 00:20:23,600
Speaker 2: down play very fast. This game is one third Eastern

395
00:20:23,600 --> 00:20:28,200
Speaker 2: on TNT and we'll be played in Buffalo, New York.

396
00:20:29,240 --> 00:20:32,840
Speaker 2: I've seen tons of hot takes on this South Florida

397
00:20:33,200 --> 00:20:36,480
Speaker 2: trendy dog. People. Don't everyone who cares if it's a

398
00:20:36,480 --> 00:20:40,320
Speaker 2: trendy dog. If you like it, play it. You guys

399
00:20:40,359 --> 00:20:44,120
Speaker 2: both said, I actually rate one one five to ten.

400
00:20:44,160 --> 00:20:46,240
Speaker 2: How strong you feel you both are tens on this game.

401
00:20:47,960 --> 00:20:51,640
Speaker 2: Ucf rimmen three offense. They get steals, they get offensive

402
00:20:51,640 --> 00:20:54,920
Speaker 2: rebound super athletic Isaiah and Nelson as an unlimited motor.

403
00:20:54,960 --> 00:20:58,280
Speaker 2: Wes enis Curtisinus's son for those old like me, is

404
00:20:58,280 --> 00:21:02,119
Speaker 2: a player. Joseph Pinion very talented player, and Louisville can

405
00:21:02,160 --> 00:21:05,480
Speaker 2: be turned over at times, which may get USF in transition.

406
00:21:05,520 --> 00:21:09,320
Speaker 2: Louisville's transition d is not great. And here's if you're

407
00:21:09,320 --> 00:21:12,600
Speaker 2: looking for an upset. Two red flags or maybe I

408
00:21:12,600 --> 00:21:16,159
Speaker 2: should say three. Louisville in like quad one games that

409
00:21:16,200 --> 00:21:17,760
Speaker 2: have not been great, like when they've had a step

410
00:21:17,840 --> 00:21:20,760
Speaker 2: up three hundred and fifty seventh away from home, three

411
00:21:20,840 --> 00:21:23,560
Speaker 2: hundred and sixty third in paper tiger factor, you have

412
00:21:23,560 --> 00:21:27,080
Speaker 2: the Michel Brown questions, but at the end of the day,

413
00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:30,919
Speaker 2: it's still Louisville. They're gonna shoot a ton of threes,

414
00:21:31,920 --> 00:21:34,480
Speaker 2: which is a huge It's going to be a huge

415
00:21:34,520 --> 00:21:36,400
Speaker 2: factor in this game. If they're red hot from three,

416
00:21:36,960 --> 00:21:41,480
Speaker 2: not sure USF can keep up if they're off. There's

417
00:21:41,480 --> 00:21:43,119
Speaker 2: not gonna be much of a difference between these teams from

418
00:21:43,119 --> 00:21:47,439
Speaker 2: an athletics standpoint, and USF might have the advantage at

419
00:21:47,440 --> 00:21:49,439
Speaker 2: the rim. Krishn, I'll go to you first. What are

420
00:21:49,440 --> 00:21:49,960
Speaker 2: you seeing here.

421
00:21:51,359 --> 00:21:52,480
Speaker 1: I like USF.

422
00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:55,879
Speaker 4: I think ISAA Nelson being such a monster on the

423
00:21:55,920 --> 00:22:01,480
Speaker 4: glass is huge here, and just his defensive versatility like Louisville,

424
00:22:01,520 --> 00:22:04,919
Speaker 4: whether it's true whether it's the Egyptian Magician or Zugris

425
00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:07,320
Speaker 4: who they've been using more lately when those guys are

426
00:22:07,320 --> 00:22:09,280
Speaker 4: doing the zoom on the perimeter. Like, I just think

427
00:22:09,359 --> 00:22:11,720
Speaker 4: Nelson and the way this team has defended over the

428
00:22:11,760 --> 00:22:14,400
Speaker 4: past month, like is a good matchup for being able

429
00:22:14,440 --> 00:22:18,240
Speaker 4: to just stay with that action and communicate and to

430
00:22:18,359 --> 00:22:21,960
Speaker 4: like make guys like mc I mean, Conwell is super good, right,

431
00:22:22,000 --> 00:22:24,560
Speaker 4: and he takes a ton of threes, like more than

432
00:22:24,600 --> 00:22:27,159
Speaker 4: we've really seen in his career. McNeely, I'm kind of

433
00:22:27,200 --> 00:22:31,200
Speaker 4: whatever on Woolly and you know he's all right. I'm

434
00:22:31,440 --> 00:22:33,600
Speaker 4: the dude who really I think could kill USF is

435
00:22:33,680 --> 00:22:36,640
Speaker 4: Javon Hadley because USF will go with the four guard lineup,

436
00:22:37,080 --> 00:22:40,040
Speaker 4: and Hadley has been playing really well. He's turned into

437
00:22:40,080 --> 00:22:42,680
Speaker 4: from like kind of a high usage like a glue guy,

438
00:22:42,680 --> 00:22:45,959
Speaker 4: into more valusage guy, like he's a he's a matchup nightmare,

439
00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:47,719
Speaker 4: as like a kind of face up four who can

440
00:22:47,720 --> 00:22:49,440
Speaker 4: step out and shoot it and be physical.

441
00:22:49,560 --> 00:22:51,280
Speaker 1: So he's the one guy I'm scared of.

442
00:22:51,320 --> 00:22:55,359
Speaker 4: But in terms of just the guard play in the

443
00:22:55,400 --> 00:22:58,399
Speaker 4: offensive spacing, it's very similar between these two teams, and

444
00:22:58,920 --> 00:23:01,439
Speaker 4: it's just better. Vibes south Looride. I think Hodgon might

445
00:23:01,480 --> 00:23:03,600
Speaker 4: be a better coach than Pat Kelsey. I'm already willing

446
00:23:03,640 --> 00:23:05,800
Speaker 4: to say that, And whether they have Mikel or not

447
00:23:05,880 --> 00:23:08,080
Speaker 4: doesn't really change my opinion that much, just because he's

448
00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:10,440
Speaker 4: been in and out, and sure there was a period

449
00:23:10,480 --> 00:23:13,400
Speaker 4: in the middle where they were definitely better with Mikel.

450
00:23:13,480 --> 00:23:15,800
Speaker 4: But I'm not sure he comes back and does that.

451
00:23:15,800 --> 00:23:17,399
Speaker 4: I don't know how much he cares about playing. Like

452
00:23:17,400 --> 00:23:19,600
Speaker 4: people want to question Darren Peterson sart, I'm a little

453
00:23:19,600 --> 00:23:20,040
Speaker 4: bit more on.

454
00:23:21,080 --> 00:23:24,520
Speaker 2: Does my a game in the past two weeks.

455
00:23:24,640 --> 00:23:26,000
Speaker 1: Is Mikel bad teammate?

456
00:23:26,119 --> 00:23:28,640
Speaker 4: So I don't know. Maybe his back's just messed up.

457
00:23:28,680 --> 00:23:31,400
Speaker 4: Maybe he's gonna play and drop thirty. I don't know, man,

458
00:23:31,400 --> 00:23:34,040
Speaker 4: But Nelson's a boss. This team has awesome cameracchry. They're

459
00:23:34,040 --> 00:23:37,480
Speaker 4: great on both ends. The game environment's comfortable for them.

460
00:23:38,520 --> 00:23:42,320
Speaker 2: I'll take the points, yeah, I mean I do think

461
00:23:42,359 --> 00:23:48,719
Speaker 2: that like there's like with Wooley in there, he can

462
00:23:48,760 --> 00:23:52,720
Speaker 2: get to the rim. You get more of a driver.

463
00:23:52,920 --> 00:23:56,680
Speaker 2: I think MIKEL. Brown like just introduces more variants into

464
00:23:56,680 --> 00:23:59,359
Speaker 2: the game because he could just he's gonna get up

465
00:23:59,359 --> 00:24:01,880
Speaker 2: a ton of three, right, and he could get hot

466
00:24:01,960 --> 00:24:05,439
Speaker 2: or if he's so. I don't think it's like drastically

467
00:24:05,440 --> 00:24:07,119
Speaker 2: that worse of a team, but there's a little bit

468
00:24:07,119 --> 00:24:09,280
Speaker 2: more variance with Brown in there, and a little I

469
00:24:09,320 --> 00:24:10,879
Speaker 2: think a little bit of a higher ceiling because of

470
00:24:10,920 --> 00:24:12,360
Speaker 2: his talent. Greg, what are you seeing here?

471
00:24:12,960 --> 00:24:16,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, I completely think if Mike Hel's there, it does

472
00:24:16,320 --> 00:24:19,840
Speaker 3: change the outcome. From my perspective, I think I'd be

473
00:24:19,880 --> 00:24:22,840
Speaker 3: surprised if he plays or at least plays at full strength.

474
00:24:23,720 --> 00:24:25,760
Speaker 3: I'm with you guys on the confusion, with that bad

475
00:24:25,840 --> 00:24:28,119
Speaker 3: vibes all around with Louisville. I am on usf to

476
00:24:28,119 --> 00:24:31,080
Speaker 3: win this game. It's a simple pack Helsea fade for me.

477
00:24:31,280 --> 00:24:33,120
Speaker 3: It's in the early time slot again, which I feel

478
00:24:33,119 --> 00:24:35,280
Speaker 3: like is a gift from the schedule makers. There's gonna

479
00:24:35,280 --> 00:24:37,520
Speaker 3: be a little PTSD to last year when they were

480
00:24:37,520 --> 00:24:39,680
Speaker 3: like the first or second game and just late.

481
00:24:41,680 --> 00:24:41,960
Speaker 2: Yeah.

482
00:24:42,080 --> 00:24:44,600
Speaker 3: I just I want no part of pac Helsea in March.

483
00:24:44,640 --> 00:24:46,240
Speaker 3: I want no part of this Louisville.

484
00:24:45,840 --> 00:24:46,520
Speaker 2: Team right now.

485
00:24:46,680 --> 00:24:50,920
Speaker 3: I would also point out that Ryan Comwell historically has

486
00:24:50,960 --> 00:24:54,399
Speaker 3: had some stinkers in big moments to end seasons. I

487
00:24:54,440 --> 00:24:57,119
Speaker 3: mean you go back even to his early days. He

488
00:24:57,160 --> 00:25:00,159
Speaker 3: had that one for ten game against Seaton Hall a

489
00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:03,240
Speaker 3: couple of years ago. He last year three for ten

490
00:25:03,280 --> 00:25:05,800
Speaker 3: against Illinois in the tournament when they lost. I just

491
00:25:06,560 --> 00:25:09,720
Speaker 3: I don't trust anyone on Louisville to rise to the occasion.

492
00:25:09,960 --> 00:25:12,200
Speaker 3: I think you guys laid out the case for why

493
00:25:12,280 --> 00:25:14,719
Speaker 3: South Florida should feel confident. I think their athletes are

494
00:25:14,760 --> 00:25:17,280
Speaker 3: going to be fine in this game. I love them inside.

495
00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:19,720
Speaker 3: I think they can generate some second chances, and I

496
00:25:19,760 --> 00:25:21,960
Speaker 3: think they can make enough threes to win a three

497
00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:26,400
Speaker 3: point variance game. So I'm on the dog here outright, all.

498
00:25:26,359 --> 00:25:29,000
Speaker 2: Right, I will say us I will be on USF

499
00:25:30,840 --> 00:25:35,040
Speaker 2: definitely money line in some capacity. ROUND think they're a

500
00:25:35,080 --> 00:25:36,560
Speaker 2: good money line piece, Like you're looking to take a

501
00:25:36,560 --> 00:25:38,680
Speaker 2: shot of the moneyline dog, just because the variants of Louisville,

502
00:25:39,080 --> 00:25:41,480
Speaker 2: the way that USF plays and can match up athletically,

503
00:25:42,600 --> 00:25:46,400
Speaker 2: and then you know the questions with Mickel Brown, I'll

504
00:25:46,400 --> 00:25:49,000
Speaker 2: probably have USF advancing in my bracket as well. All Right,

505
00:25:49,080 --> 00:25:51,240
Speaker 2: let's move on to the fourth game of the day

506
00:25:51,240 --> 00:25:56,720
Speaker 2: in the West Region between high Point and Wisconsin. Wisconsin

507
00:25:57,600 --> 00:26:02,760
Speaker 2: is a high Point took some money on open I

508
00:26:02,760 --> 00:26:04,600
Speaker 2: think they were from twelve and a half down to

509
00:26:04,680 --> 00:26:06,840
Speaker 2: nine and a half. Think it's up to ten ten

510
00:26:06,920 --> 00:26:09,080
Speaker 2: and a half now. Wisconsin got a little bit of buyback.

511
00:26:09,320 --> 00:26:12,359
Speaker 2: Total one sixty four and a half. Very high total.

512
00:26:12,400 --> 00:26:18,119
Speaker 2: This should be a fun game in Portland, Oregon, so

513
00:26:18,280 --> 00:26:21,639
Speaker 2: some travel here to consider for both teams. This game's

514
00:26:21,640 --> 00:26:27,680
Speaker 2: at one fifty eastern on TBS. I will say, look,

515
00:26:27,760 --> 00:26:32,000
Speaker 2: high Point has an elite transition offense, but and their

516
00:26:32,040 --> 00:26:34,240
Speaker 2: defense it's much different than last year. Last year was

517
00:26:34,280 --> 00:26:38,320
Speaker 2: more Baman drop new coach. They're more aggressive. Now they're

518
00:26:38,400 --> 00:26:41,000
Speaker 2: turnover kings. They forced a ton of turnovers. But here's

519
00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:44,000
Speaker 2: the thing. Wisconsin doesn't turn it over. They also don't foul.

520
00:26:44,119 --> 00:26:47,080
Speaker 2: High Point likes to get to the line, and Wisconsin's

521
00:26:47,200 --> 00:26:52,280
Speaker 2: transition defense grades out elite, so that is problematic for

522
00:26:52,359 --> 00:26:55,520
Speaker 2: high Point. High Point does have an elite pick and

523
00:26:55,600 --> 00:26:59,040
Speaker 2: roll defense, which is important against Wisconsin, but the competition

524
00:26:59,160 --> 00:27:00,960
Speaker 2: shaky like that to be mentioned for high Point, they

525
00:27:00,960 --> 00:27:05,720
Speaker 2: didn't play a top one hundred opponent all year. I again,

526
00:27:05,840 --> 00:27:09,000
Speaker 2: this is these are early games. There's teams that are

527
00:27:09,640 --> 00:27:11,600
Speaker 2: have a lot of three point variants. Wisconsin's gonna get

528
00:27:11,640 --> 00:27:14,439
Speaker 2: up a lot of threes, and when they're on like,

529
00:27:14,520 --> 00:27:16,000
Speaker 2: there's just no way high points canna be able to

530
00:27:16,080 --> 00:27:18,040
Speaker 2: keep up because you're not. They're not gonna get free

531
00:27:18,040 --> 00:27:19,680
Speaker 2: points against Wisconsin. They're not gonna be able to get it

532
00:27:19,760 --> 00:27:22,399
Speaker 2: on transition as much Wisconsin doesn't turn it over like

533
00:27:22,400 --> 00:27:25,359
Speaker 2: I said, AND's gonna get a ton of threes. Are

534
00:27:25,400 --> 00:27:27,840
Speaker 2: there are there bigs on? Are they making them? If so,

535
00:27:28,359 --> 00:27:31,520
Speaker 2: I think this is probably trouble for a high point

536
00:27:31,800 --> 00:27:33,640
Speaker 2: and they just won't be able to keep up. Should

537
00:27:33,680 --> 00:27:36,520
Speaker 2: be a super high scoring, fun game with lots of runs.

538
00:27:36,840 --> 00:27:38,840
Speaker 2: We've seen that, and I mean, look at a lot

539
00:27:38,840 --> 00:27:43,119
Speaker 2: of Wisconsin games are live vetting dreams. We saw that

540
00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:45,439
Speaker 2: against Illinois they were down fifteen, looks like they were

541
00:27:45,440 --> 00:27:47,480
Speaker 2: a goot to get blown out. We saw that against Michigan,

542
00:27:47,520 --> 00:27:48,920
Speaker 2: look like they're about to get blown it look like

543
00:27:48,920 --> 00:27:50,159
Speaker 2: they were about to blow out Michigan and looked like

544
00:27:50,160 --> 00:27:51,840
Speaker 2: they were about to get blown out, and then it

545
00:27:51,840 --> 00:27:56,160
Speaker 2: comes down to the final possession in both greg any

546
00:27:56,280 --> 00:27:58,680
Speaker 2: update on no on Winter.

547
00:27:59,080 --> 00:28:01,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, sounds like they inspect him back. He returned to

548
00:28:01,359 --> 00:28:06,560
Speaker 3: practice this week. If it's full strength, full minute load,

549
00:28:06,640 --> 00:28:09,000
Speaker 3: I don't know. I don't expect that, but I think

550
00:28:09,000 --> 00:28:09,440
Speaker 3: you'll play.

551
00:28:09,840 --> 00:28:15,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, he helps with rim protection for sure. So Greg

552
00:28:15,240 --> 00:28:17,919
Speaker 2: got let me see, you said you're you're about a

553
00:28:17,920 --> 00:28:20,600
Speaker 2: five and then you're kind of luke warm on a

554
00:28:20,640 --> 00:28:22,680
Speaker 2: take on this game. What are you saying here? I've

555
00:28:22,720 --> 00:28:23,560
Speaker 2: got to play here.

556
00:28:23,600 --> 00:28:25,520
Speaker 3: It's not my strongest play by any means, but I

557
00:28:25,560 --> 00:28:27,600
Speaker 3: am going to be on high point against the spread.

558
00:28:27,640 --> 00:28:29,000
Speaker 3: If you can get it ten and a half, I

559
00:28:29,040 --> 00:28:30,200
Speaker 3: think that's a great number.

560
00:28:30,840 --> 00:28:33,119
Speaker 2: I just look at a couple things with this. You

561
00:28:33,160 --> 00:28:34,280
Speaker 2: mentioned the spot stuck.

562
00:28:34,440 --> 00:28:39,960
Speaker 3: This is a weird trip to a ten fifty local

563
00:28:40,040 --> 00:28:43,600
Speaker 3: time tip offs for Wisconsin, who just played three games

564
00:28:43,640 --> 00:28:45,520
Speaker 3: in three days at the Big Ten Tournament. High point

565
00:28:45,560 --> 00:28:47,960
Speaker 3: has to travel too, I get it, But I just

566
00:28:48,040 --> 00:28:51,000
Speaker 3: expect a sleepy, weird environment.

567
00:28:50,520 --> 00:28:53,800
Speaker 2: For a off for what two weeks? So yeah, they

568
00:28:53,960 --> 00:28:56,600
Speaker 2: at least they've got some rest. I just I don't know.

569
00:28:56,680 --> 00:28:59,040
Speaker 2: And then you add in Christians making fun of me

570
00:28:59,040 --> 00:28:59,880
Speaker 2: before we click record.

571
00:29:00,000 --> 00:29:03,240
Speaker 3: We have all these psychological handicaps, especially with the Big

572
00:29:03,240 --> 00:29:03,720
Speaker 3: Ten teams.

573
00:29:03,760 --> 00:29:04,640
Speaker 2: I watch so much.

574
00:29:05,120 --> 00:29:08,800
Speaker 3: This Wisconsin team's draw for this tournament is a death trap.

575
00:29:08,920 --> 00:29:11,880
Speaker 3: I mean, they got served a guilla team basically to

576
00:29:12,120 --> 00:29:14,840
Speaker 3: go through this game, then potentially Arkansas just to get

577
00:29:14,840 --> 00:29:17,800
Speaker 3: to Arizona. Like I feel like they gotta feel like

578
00:29:17,800 --> 00:29:20,480
Speaker 3: they took a shotgun to the chest on selection Sunday.

579
00:29:20,560 --> 00:29:23,200
Speaker 3: I really do wonder how they're gonna respond to that,

580
00:29:23,240 --> 00:29:25,960
Speaker 3: And I think you look at the schematic nature of

581
00:29:26,000 --> 00:29:29,360
Speaker 3: this game, high Points, two biggest issues on the defensive

582
00:29:29,400 --> 00:29:32,480
Speaker 3: side to me are that they are really vulnerable on

583
00:29:32,520 --> 00:29:35,600
Speaker 3: the boards for second chances, Wisconsin is not going to

584
00:29:35,640 --> 00:29:38,000
Speaker 3: crash the glass in a major way. And then the

585
00:29:38,040 --> 00:29:41,040
Speaker 3: fact that they usually foul a ton and Wisconsin doesn't

586
00:29:41,040 --> 00:29:42,720
Speaker 3: really get to the free throw line all that much.

587
00:29:42,760 --> 00:29:44,080
Speaker 2: They just bomb a bunch of threes.

588
00:29:44,160 --> 00:29:47,040
Speaker 3: So I think high points two biggest vulnerabilities aren't really

589
00:29:47,080 --> 00:29:49,120
Speaker 3: gonna be exposed in this game.

590
00:29:49,440 --> 00:29:52,880
Speaker 2: Can they win the turnover battle? Probably not against a

591
00:29:52,880 --> 00:29:55,400
Speaker 2: Wisconsin backcourt that is so good at taking care of

592
00:29:55,440 --> 00:29:55,760
Speaker 2: the ball.

593
00:29:55,840 --> 00:29:58,600
Speaker 3: But can they at least force like eight to ten

594
00:29:58,680 --> 00:30:00,959
Speaker 3: in this game and cause so problems and get out

595
00:30:01,000 --> 00:30:03,560
Speaker 3: in transition? I do think Wisconsin can get lack of

596
00:30:03,600 --> 00:30:05,840
Speaker 3: days ago at times and if it's just going to

597
00:30:05,880 --> 00:30:07,960
Speaker 3: be a track meet and high Point can get a

598
00:30:07,960 --> 00:30:10,440
Speaker 3: couple turnovers and get out and run, I think they're

599
00:30:10,480 --> 00:30:12,000
Speaker 3: gonna hang around in this one.

600
00:30:12,040 --> 00:30:14,760
Speaker 2: I really do. I wouldn't take them on the money line.

601
00:30:14,760 --> 00:30:16,600
Speaker 2: I wouldn't sprinkle it, but if you can get ten

602
00:30:16,640 --> 00:30:19,240
Speaker 2: and a half, I think it's a decent play. Yeah,

603
00:30:19,280 --> 00:30:21,040
Speaker 2: I mentioned the game of runs. This might be a

604
00:30:21,200 --> 00:30:24,480
Speaker 2: very good live bedding game, especially because the start of

605
00:30:24,520 --> 00:30:26,920
Speaker 2: this game could be very weird because you have you

606
00:30:26,960 --> 00:30:29,360
Speaker 2: mentioned Wisconsin ten to fifty am Local just played three

607
00:30:29,400 --> 00:30:31,880
Speaker 2: and three days traveling out to Portland, and they're gonna

608
00:30:31,880 --> 00:30:33,479
Speaker 2: shoot a ton of threes? How do they? How are

609
00:30:33,480 --> 00:30:35,280
Speaker 2: their legs early? Like? How are their legs? How are

610
00:30:35,280 --> 00:30:39,600
Speaker 2: they adjusting to the time and in a neutral venue right?

611
00:30:39,640 --> 00:30:42,240
Speaker 2: Like are they just ice cold? Like I could see

612
00:30:42,240 --> 00:30:45,320
Speaker 2: Wisconsin being down like sixteen to two right six minutes

613
00:30:45,320 --> 00:30:46,600
Speaker 2: into the game. Then they go on a big run

614
00:30:46,680 --> 00:30:49,600
Speaker 2: on the other end of high Point also new venue,

615
00:30:49,640 --> 00:30:52,280
Speaker 2: also ten fifty am Local on the West coast, New

616
00:30:52,360 --> 00:30:54,160
Speaker 2: Venue and they've been off for a week and a half.

617
00:30:54,440 --> 00:30:57,560
Speaker 2: So is there a RUSS there or like are they so?

618
00:30:57,920 --> 00:30:59,520
Speaker 2: I think that the start of this game could be

619
00:30:59,560 --> 00:31:03,720
Speaker 2: weird and you could see one team jump out and

620
00:31:04,360 --> 00:31:06,920
Speaker 2: either of these teams can go on big runs. I

621
00:31:06,960 --> 00:31:08,240
Speaker 2: think it's gonna be a game of run. So I

622
00:31:08,320 --> 00:31:10,880
Speaker 2: might be looking to bet this game live depending on

623
00:31:10,920 --> 00:31:13,880
Speaker 2: how it goes over the first like five six minutes,

624
00:31:13,920 --> 00:31:17,360
Speaker 2: if there's one team that jumps out, because I don't

625
00:31:17,400 --> 00:31:19,400
Speaker 2: think that either one of these teams is going to

626
00:31:19,440 --> 00:31:22,760
Speaker 2: get up fifteen and then win by forty, so it

627
00:31:22,760 --> 00:31:24,880
Speaker 2: should be a back and forth game. I know you

628
00:31:25,200 --> 00:31:26,880
Speaker 2: don't have any strong take on here, Christian anything you

629
00:31:26,880 --> 00:31:27,880
Speaker 2: want to add a censor two.

630
00:31:28,240 --> 00:31:29,880
Speaker 1: I like Greg's angle. I love Wisconsin.

631
00:31:29,960 --> 00:31:31,720
Speaker 4: They got screwed with their draw and I think that

632
00:31:31,760 --> 00:31:36,240
Speaker 4: there's like they kind of set up as the team

633
00:31:36,320 --> 00:31:39,280
Speaker 4: the random team to get upset. I don't think High

634
00:31:39,280 --> 00:31:40,880
Speaker 4: pointill be able to turn them over. Like Boyd and

635
00:31:40,880 --> 00:31:43,040
Speaker 4: Black Bull are just playing on another level right now.

636
00:31:43,600 --> 00:31:47,840
Speaker 4: It's more so Wisconsin's shooting bigs is like the wild

637
00:31:47,840 --> 00:31:49,760
Speaker 4: card that allowed them to, you know, beat Michigan in

638
00:31:49,800 --> 00:31:54,160
Speaker 4: Illinois Michigan State perdue and really catch such a rhythm

639
00:31:54,400 --> 00:31:57,040
Speaker 4: in Big ten play and High Points not like they

640
00:31:57,040 --> 00:31:58,840
Speaker 4: have these It's not like they have Vodo Vodo like

641
00:31:58,920 --> 00:32:01,400
Speaker 4: last year where it's like this big wrinkle to have

642
00:32:01,440 --> 00:32:02,840
Speaker 4: those guys stepping out and shooting it.

643
00:32:02,920 --> 00:32:05,520
Speaker 1: So, I don't know. I think this is.

644
00:32:07,280 --> 00:32:09,000
Speaker 4: A game that could definitely be close, but I'm not

645
00:32:09,080 --> 00:32:12,080
Speaker 4: like jumping to go fad to Wisconsin right now. They're

646
00:32:12,120 --> 00:32:14,840
Speaker 4: just those guards are just dialed right now. And that

647
00:32:14,960 --> 00:32:16,280
Speaker 4: wrap heater was unreal.

648
00:32:17,440 --> 00:32:19,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, that was crazy for me. On the next game,

649
00:32:19,400 --> 00:32:22,520
Speaker 2: I'll throw to myself for a word on Robinhood. What

650
00:32:22,560 --> 00:32:26,720
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656
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00:33:11,160 --> 00:33:15,680
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00:33:15,720 --> 00:33:19,920
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666
00:33:24,360 --> 00:33:29,360
Speaker 2: next game up, we are headed to back to Greenville,

667
00:33:29,400 --> 00:33:33,520
Speaker 2: South Carolina, where one seed Duke will kick off its

668
00:33:33,520 --> 00:33:38,960
Speaker 2: tournament campaign against sixteen seed Sienna. Duke is opened to

669
00:33:39,040 --> 00:33:41,760
Speaker 2: twenty five and a half point favor. Thought that was fair,

670
00:33:41,960 --> 00:33:43,920
Speaker 2: went out the twenty nine and a half. Thought that

671
00:33:44,080 --> 00:33:47,400
Speaker 2: was outrageous. One of my favorite bets the vers round

672
00:33:47,400 --> 00:33:48,840
Speaker 2: Siena plus twenty nine and a half. I think it's

673
00:33:48,880 --> 00:33:50,640
Speaker 2: come down to tick twenty and I still like it there.

674
00:33:51,720 --> 00:33:54,120
Speaker 2: This line is crazy to me. Now, Duke win by

675
00:33:54,120 --> 00:33:57,080
Speaker 2: forty shore, But how many possessions are going to be

676
00:33:57,120 --> 00:34:03,360
Speaker 2: in this game? Number one? I mean, Duke. Sianna is

677
00:34:03,400 --> 00:34:07,400
Speaker 2: super slow. They're a complete snail. Duke is very slow

678
00:34:07,440 --> 00:34:11,759
Speaker 2: as well. I do not think Foster and GUNGNM are

679
00:34:11,760 --> 00:34:13,879
Speaker 2: going to play. Why would you rush Gungba back here?

680
00:34:13,960 --> 00:34:15,759
Speaker 2: I don't, and he's not even doing any on court

681
00:34:15,760 --> 00:34:17,480
Speaker 2: activities here. I think there's a chance he plays in

682
00:34:17,560 --> 00:34:20,920
Speaker 2: round two. But Duke's not the same team. We saw that,

683
00:34:20,960 --> 00:34:23,200
Speaker 2: and we saw these crazy numbers in the ACC tournament,

684
00:34:23,239 --> 00:34:25,319
Speaker 2: Like they opened eight and a half against Virginia that

685
00:34:25,320 --> 00:34:27,640
Speaker 2: got bet down to six. They opened eighteen and a

686
00:34:27,680 --> 00:34:31,000
Speaker 2: half against Florida State that got bet down. Like these

687
00:34:31,000 --> 00:34:36,319
Speaker 2: are like peak full strength Duke numbers and Sienna. Look,

688
00:34:36,760 --> 00:34:39,080
Speaker 2: they can't they cannot get in foul trouble here. They

689
00:34:39,080 --> 00:34:41,280
Speaker 2: have no depth right now. They've blasically played five guys

690
00:34:41,280 --> 00:34:43,719
Speaker 2: in the MAC tournament, but they generally do a good

691
00:34:43,760 --> 00:34:46,960
Speaker 2: job of defending without failing. As long as they do that, Gavin,

692
00:34:47,000 --> 00:34:49,479
Speaker 2: as long as Gavin Doti or Justice Schulitz don't don't

693
00:34:49,480 --> 00:34:52,800
Speaker 2: get inflautrouble in the first six minutes, which is definitely

694
00:34:52,800 --> 00:34:55,600
Speaker 2: concerned against Boozer. But I would just like say, hey,

695
00:34:55,920 --> 00:34:58,040
Speaker 2: Boozer is gonna get his when he gets near the room,

696
00:34:58,080 --> 00:35:00,799
Speaker 2: is about the dunk. It just don't touch him. Then

697
00:35:00,800 --> 00:35:02,759
Speaker 2: I think they can hit enough mid range jumpers and

698
00:35:03,040 --> 00:35:05,680
Speaker 2: keep this slowed, this game down to State within thirty.

699
00:35:06,400 --> 00:35:07,960
Speaker 2: This line is crazy. I think Sean is more of

700
00:35:07,960 --> 00:35:11,000
Speaker 2: a fifteen than a sixteen. And you know they did

701
00:35:11,000 --> 00:35:13,560
Speaker 2: lose Antonio Chandler, but their two point defense been much

702
00:35:13,600 --> 00:35:15,800
Speaker 2: better with a seven footer in there. And ry Riley

703
00:35:15,800 --> 00:35:19,960
Speaker 2: Molby the Iowa transfer. He was outstanding in the mac tournament.

704
00:35:21,360 --> 00:35:24,280
Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean, Gavin Doti's a scorer like he's

705
00:35:24,800 --> 00:35:26,600
Speaker 2: and shots can score in the mid range. Their top

706
00:35:26,680 --> 00:35:30,520
Speaker 2: forty team in mid range attempt and mid range field

707
00:35:30,520 --> 00:35:32,520
Speaker 2: goal percentage. And that's where Duke click lets you live

708
00:35:32,520 --> 00:35:35,120
Speaker 2: and wants you to live. And the other key thing

709
00:35:35,640 --> 00:35:40,680
Speaker 2: Brendan Coyle, who was did not lost from three point line.

710
00:35:40,680 --> 00:35:42,440
Speaker 2: I mean, this was a forty percent three point shooter

711
00:35:42,520 --> 00:35:45,880
Speaker 2: last year, lost all of his confidence. Well over the

712
00:35:45,920 --> 00:35:49,200
Speaker 2: past month he's found a shot again. He went five

713
00:35:49,239 --> 00:35:52,600
Speaker 2: of nine, five of twelve, two of seven. I mean,

714
00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:54,239
Speaker 2: this is a guy who was going like, oh of seven,

715
00:35:54,320 --> 00:35:57,080
Speaker 2: two of ten this year. He's shooting twenty nine percent,

716
00:35:57,120 --> 00:35:59,359
Speaker 2: but over the past four or five games he's at

717
00:35:59,360 --> 00:36:01,840
Speaker 2: forty percent. He has more confidence. Just a couple of

718
00:36:01,840 --> 00:36:05,719
Speaker 2: those threes goes a long way. And the other thing

719
00:36:05,880 --> 00:36:08,719
Speaker 2: Duke has all these like these injuries, they're not gonna

720
00:36:08,800 --> 00:36:10,759
Speaker 2: like care if they're up, you know, to push this

721
00:36:10,800 --> 00:36:15,239
Speaker 2: so if needed, and Sanna doesn't have that, Sana's gonna

722
00:36:15,239 --> 00:36:18,080
Speaker 2: play their guys the whole game. If needed the back

723
00:36:18,080 --> 00:36:20,520
Speaker 2: door win, the back door opportunity is gonna be huge.

724
00:36:20,640 --> 00:36:23,680
Speaker 2: Like if they're down thirty five with four to go,

725
00:36:24,440 --> 00:36:29,200
Speaker 2: Duke's bringing in all the reserves and Siantle will play

726
00:36:29,200 --> 00:36:31,440
Speaker 2: it out with their starters and they you know, they

727
00:36:31,440 --> 00:36:35,080
Speaker 2: could finish on a twelve to two run. So if

728
00:36:35,160 --> 00:36:38,239
Speaker 2: needed the back door, with opportunities massive here, but just

729
00:36:38,320 --> 00:36:42,600
Speaker 2: low possession game, I think this is way too many points.

730
00:36:44,320 --> 00:36:46,440
Speaker 2: There's a chance Sienna's like up in this game with

731
00:36:46,640 --> 00:36:49,480
Speaker 2: like ten in and then like an ugly game as

732
00:36:49,520 --> 00:36:51,480
Speaker 2: long as they hit a couple of shots. Now they're

733
00:36:51,480 --> 00:36:54,879
Speaker 2: not gonna win, but they can keep this within twenty five.

734
00:36:55,680 --> 00:36:57,239
Speaker 2: I know you guys don't know any takes here, any

735
00:36:57,320 --> 00:36:59,080
Speaker 2: anything you want to add, Greg, I.

736
00:36:59,080 --> 00:37:01,640
Speaker 3: Would be on the dog for everything you just laid

737
00:37:01,640 --> 00:37:03,600
Speaker 3: out if I was on this, But Duke is my

738
00:37:03,680 --> 00:37:06,120
Speaker 3: title pick and I really want no part of stip

739
00:37:06,160 --> 00:37:08,080
Speaker 3: stepping in front of them at any point in this tournament.

740
00:37:09,200 --> 00:37:12,000
Speaker 2: Of course, you do you have anything you want to add? Nope,

741
00:37:13,080 --> 00:37:17,440
Speaker 2: all right, let's move on to head back to the

742
00:37:17,480 --> 00:37:20,680
Speaker 2: South for the next game on the slate between McNeice

743
00:37:21,320 --> 00:37:25,200
Speaker 2: and Vanderbilt in a five twelve matchup three fifteen Eastern

744
00:37:25,280 --> 00:37:27,839
Speaker 2: on True TV. People make sure you find where your

745
00:37:27,840 --> 00:37:29,520
Speaker 2: True TV is. Again, it's that time of the year.

746
00:37:31,080 --> 00:37:34,120
Speaker 2: There's no more. I mean, I guess everyone should know

747
00:37:34,120 --> 00:37:36,879
Speaker 2: now there's here's games on True TV throughout the year.

748
00:37:37,080 --> 00:37:40,000
Speaker 2: But what was that show? There was a show, an

749
00:37:40,040 --> 00:37:43,279
Speaker 2: awful show that it was so scripted, but I would

750
00:37:43,280 --> 00:37:47,400
Speaker 2: always end up watching some of it Repo. What was

751
00:37:47,440 --> 00:37:51,439
Speaker 2: it called Operation Repo? Does anyone remember how that horrendous show?

752
00:37:51,920 --> 00:37:54,120
Speaker 1: I swear it's always in Practical Jokers that comes on.

753
00:37:54,280 --> 00:37:56,279
Speaker 2: Now, this is like, this is like a I don't know,

754
00:37:56,280 --> 00:37:58,279
Speaker 2: maybe like five six years ago, and it was like

755
00:37:58,320 --> 00:38:02,680
Speaker 2: this stage show where they these these guys would go

756
00:38:02,719 --> 00:38:04,520
Speaker 2: and like repost someone's car and then they would like

757
00:38:05,400 --> 00:38:08,239
Speaker 2: there would be like a stage fight, and dude, Greg,

758
00:38:08,239 --> 00:38:10,360
Speaker 2: do you remember the show? I vaguely remember.

759
00:38:10,400 --> 00:38:12,080
Speaker 3: I have no idea what it's called, but I remember

760
00:38:12,120 --> 00:38:13,360
Speaker 3: it being on constantly.

761
00:38:13,840 --> 00:38:21,279
Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, Well anyway, Vanderbilt mcneise. Vanderbilt took a

762
00:38:21,320 --> 00:38:23,080
Speaker 2: little bit of money on Open eleven and a half

763
00:38:23,120 --> 00:38:27,120
Speaker 2: point favorite total, pretty steady around one fifty and a half.

764
00:38:28,160 --> 00:38:30,319
Speaker 2: You both have very very strong takes on this game.

765
00:38:30,320 --> 00:38:36,640
Speaker 2: You said so before I did, well, I'll share a

766
00:38:36,719 --> 00:38:38,560
Speaker 2: quick overview of this game. It should be a lot

767
00:38:38,600 --> 00:38:41,040
Speaker 2: of fouls. Both defenses filed both offenses, so a lot

768
00:38:41,080 --> 00:38:43,520
Speaker 2: of fouls. Both teams are good at the line. This

769
00:38:43,640 --> 00:38:47,520
Speaker 2: is similar to High Point Wisconsin in that McNeese look.

770
00:38:47,560 --> 00:38:51,319
Speaker 2: They're underscreening, they switch, they gamble, they help, they're very

771
00:38:51,360 --> 00:38:54,760
Speaker 2: aggressive on defense. There are a transition and the Rimmer

772
00:38:54,760 --> 00:38:58,319
Speaker 2: line offense. So as a result, but here's the thing.

773
00:38:58,640 --> 00:39:01,520
Speaker 2: Just similar to High Point wisconn't like IP one wants

774
00:39:01,520 --> 00:39:05,200
Speaker 2: to steal aggressive, Vandy doesn't turn it over. McNeese is

775
00:39:05,239 --> 00:39:07,480
Speaker 2: gonna press a lot. You don't really You're gonna press

776
00:39:07,840 --> 00:39:13,880
Speaker 2: Tanner and Miles. So it's gonna be hard for McNeice

777
00:39:13,920 --> 00:39:16,560
Speaker 2: to get many transition opportunities when they do, Andandy's transition

778
00:39:16,640 --> 00:39:20,239
Speaker 2: d isn't great. But Dandy can handle the press here,

779
00:39:20,239 --> 00:39:24,960
Speaker 2: which I think is massive. Now, Vandy's defense does force

780
00:39:25,000 --> 00:39:27,080
Speaker 2: you to work in isolation. McNeese is pretty comfortable there.

781
00:39:27,120 --> 00:39:29,320
Speaker 2: I mean, they have high level athletes. That's one of

782
00:39:29,320 --> 00:39:31,000
Speaker 2: the reasons Vandy struggled a bit with Old Miss. Like

783
00:39:31,040 --> 00:39:34,680
Speaker 2: Ole Miss is comfortable in isolation. That's basically their entire offense. Uh,

784
00:39:34,960 --> 00:39:37,319
Speaker 2: McNeice is fine working when they have to work in

785
00:39:37,320 --> 00:39:40,799
Speaker 2: the half court, working in isolation, but Dandy's gonna get

786
00:39:40,800 --> 00:39:43,239
Speaker 2: a ton of open threes here, Like the aggressive underscreening

787
00:39:43,280 --> 00:39:46,800
Speaker 2: by McNeice gives you a ton of threes three looks.

788
00:39:46,800 --> 00:39:50,759
Speaker 2: And Bandy is an elite jump shooting team who's like

789
00:39:50,840 --> 00:39:54,600
Speaker 2: du for just a red hot day because McNee is

790
00:39:54,600 --> 00:39:56,319
Speaker 2: gonna just try to take away the rim right by

791
00:39:56,400 --> 00:40:00,520
Speaker 2: underscreening induced jump shots. So I mean Vandy else ninety

792
00:40:00,520 --> 00:40:05,200
Speaker 2: seven percentile open catch and shoot frequency that they're open

793
00:40:05,320 --> 00:40:08,000
Speaker 2: catch and shoot frequency when they get open looks ninety

794
00:40:08,040 --> 00:40:09,719
Speaker 2: seven percentile, So they're gonna have a ton of open

795
00:40:09,719 --> 00:40:12,919
Speaker 2: looks here if they're hitting and they're hot. I don't

796
00:40:12,960 --> 00:40:15,279
Speaker 2: think McNeice can keep up here because they're just not

797
00:40:15,320 --> 00:40:17,239
Speaker 2: going to get the easy buckets in transition and they're

798
00:40:17,280 --> 00:40:20,320
Speaker 2: not going to turn Vandy over. Uh. But if Andy's

799
00:40:20,360 --> 00:40:22,279
Speaker 2: off all right, Vandy's not gonna kill them on the

800
00:40:22,320 --> 00:40:25,120
Speaker 2: offensive glass, which they're also vulnerable let because of their

801
00:40:25,200 --> 00:40:30,000
Speaker 2: aggressive d So again probably comes down to Vandy shooting.

802
00:40:30,000 --> 00:40:31,839
Speaker 2: But I know you guys have hot takes on this. Greg.

803
00:40:31,920 --> 00:40:34,360
Speaker 2: I'll start with you what he's saying, yeah.

804
00:40:34,160 --> 00:40:37,960
Speaker 3: I'm gonna be on the dog here and uh from following.

805
00:40:37,719 --> 00:40:42,399
Speaker 2: Post post hide by. Remember last year everyone was on mcneise. Now, yeah,

806
00:40:42,600 --> 00:40:43,919
Speaker 2: a lot of love for McNeese.

807
00:40:43,960 --> 00:40:47,120
Speaker 3: The year after the year, the we weren't just will

808
00:40:47,200 --> 00:40:51,760
Speaker 3: Wade storyline here, right, I like it.

809
00:40:50,840 --> 00:40:53,080
Speaker 2: Funny, we'll wait, We'll wait in the plane and McNeice

810
00:40:53,360 --> 00:40:55,000
Speaker 2: McNeese not amazing.

811
00:40:55,239 --> 00:40:58,799
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think, Uh, look, I I have not been

812
00:40:58,960 --> 00:41:01,120
Speaker 3: as high on van and as I think both of

813
00:41:01,120 --> 00:41:04,160
Speaker 3: you guys have been throughout the year. I'm fully expecting

814
00:41:04,239 --> 00:41:06,200
Speaker 3: Christians strong side to be on the opposite side of

815
00:41:06,200 --> 00:41:10,120
Speaker 3: me here in a moment. Someone, Yeah, I here's my

816
00:41:10,480 --> 00:41:15,759
Speaker 3: sort of stance on this. I think McNeice is arguably

817
00:41:15,840 --> 00:41:18,400
Speaker 3: the best mid major in this tournament, and they're not

818
00:41:18,440 --> 00:41:22,440
Speaker 3: really being discussed that way for some reason. Eleven and

819
00:41:22,480 --> 00:41:24,479
Speaker 3: a half's a lot of points here for a team

820
00:41:24,480 --> 00:41:27,719
Speaker 3: that is sixty eighth on Ken Palm, that has high

821
00:41:27,719 --> 00:41:30,480
Speaker 3: major caliber athletes in a lot of spots here. I mean,

822
00:41:30,520 --> 00:41:33,440
Speaker 3: Garway Dull and Larry Johnson are guys that should be

823
00:41:33,480 --> 00:41:36,600
Speaker 3: playing in power conferences in art and are at mcneise

824
00:41:36,640 --> 00:41:39,560
Speaker 3: and have had great years in I don't know, I

825
00:41:39,680 --> 00:41:42,760
Speaker 3: just think we talk so much about like, well, Vandy's

826
00:41:42,760 --> 00:41:46,040
Speaker 3: not going to turn it over. This is the number

827
00:41:46,040 --> 00:41:49,960
Speaker 3: one steel forcing team in the country, right like they could,

828
00:41:50,040 --> 00:41:51,560
Speaker 3: and if they do, all of a sudden, you take

829
00:41:51,600 --> 00:41:54,400
Speaker 3: away one of Andy's superpowers. I fully agree they're going

830
00:41:54,440 --> 00:41:56,919
Speaker 3: to get open threes in this game. But I don't

831
00:41:56,920 --> 00:41:59,799
Speaker 3: know a team with a bunch of plus athletes that

832
00:42:00,400 --> 00:42:03,480
Speaker 3: kind of play chaotic defensively, that have some size that

833
00:42:03,520 --> 00:42:06,200
Speaker 3: can frustrate Tyler Tanner. I don't think that's who I

834
00:42:06,239 --> 00:42:08,839
Speaker 3: would want to see if I was a Vanderbilt believer here.

835
00:42:09,239 --> 00:42:12,040
Speaker 2: Then when mcneice's on offense, like they can beat up.

836
00:42:12,040 --> 00:42:14,640
Speaker 3: Vandy in a couple of areas where Vandy's really vulnerable,

837
00:42:14,680 --> 00:42:18,040
Speaker 3: they can generate second chances here. They can get to

838
00:42:18,080 --> 00:42:20,040
Speaker 3: the free throw line a ton in this game, I think,

839
00:42:20,080 --> 00:42:22,560
Speaker 3: and Vandy fouls a lot, So I see eleven and

840
00:42:22,600 --> 00:42:25,359
Speaker 3: a half is just too many points. I really am

841
00:42:25,400 --> 00:42:28,120
Speaker 3: flirting with taking the money line here. I think this

842
00:42:28,200 --> 00:42:31,160
Speaker 3: is a live dog, but I'll be safely on mcneesse

843
00:42:31,160 --> 00:42:32,080
Speaker 3: plus eleven and a half.

844
00:42:33,000 --> 00:42:34,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm right down. I'm leaning Vandy. I mean here,

845
00:42:35,320 --> 00:42:38,600
Speaker 2: this is a good nugget from Matthew Winnick a good

846
00:42:38,640 --> 00:42:42,400
Speaker 2: follow on Twitter, which kind of speaks to the growing

847
00:42:42,440 --> 00:42:45,840
Speaker 2: gap of you know, yeah, high majors versus mid majors.

848
00:42:46,840 --> 00:42:49,440
Speaker 2: You look at the five to twelve matchups, five twelves

849
00:42:49,440 --> 00:42:52,839
Speaker 2: are all Power Conference versus mid majors. Top twenty five,

850
00:42:53,600 --> 00:42:56,680
Speaker 2: top one hundred mid majors in matchups this year. Of

851
00:42:56,719 --> 00:43:00,000
Speaker 2: that top twenty five Power Conference teams, top one hundre

852
00:43:00,200 --> 00:43:02,719
Speaker 2: mid majors, the Power Conference teams are twelve and zero

853
00:43:02,880 --> 00:43:07,239
Speaker 2: with a plus nineteen average margin of victory. Almost all

854
00:43:07,280 --> 00:43:10,560
Speaker 2: of them were complete blowouts, and McNeese just wasn't the

855
00:43:10,560 --> 00:43:12,000
Speaker 2: same team this year. You look at the results when

856
00:43:12,000 --> 00:43:16,759
Speaker 2: they couldn't force turnovers even against you know, subpar competition.

857
00:43:17,600 --> 00:43:22,239
Speaker 2: The other thing worth noting McNeese shot the three. They

858
00:43:22,239 --> 00:43:24,479
Speaker 2: were a very good home team this year and thrive

859
00:43:24,560 --> 00:43:27,000
Speaker 2: in Lake Charles and their aggressive defense thrives at home.

860
00:43:27,200 --> 00:43:29,319
Speaker 2: They shot the three seven and a half percent better

861
00:43:29,360 --> 00:43:32,680
Speaker 2: at home this year than away from home. Christian, I

862
00:43:32,680 --> 00:43:35,600
Speaker 2: know you love Andy. You want to make your case

863
00:43:35,600 --> 00:43:36,479
Speaker 2: and add anything here.

864
00:43:36,880 --> 00:43:37,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, let's talk.

865
00:43:37,800 --> 00:43:40,040
Speaker 4: So this is our third straight This is our third

866
00:43:40,080 --> 00:43:41,760
Speaker 4: straight year of McNeese in the tournament.

867
00:43:42,000 --> 00:43:43,040
Speaker 1: What happened to year one.

868
00:43:43,200 --> 00:43:45,719
Speaker 4: McNeese enters the tournament thirty and three, which, by the way,

869
00:43:45,760 --> 00:43:47,680
Speaker 4: that was the year that they won at VCU at

870
00:43:47,760 --> 00:43:51,080
Speaker 4: UAB at Michigan before the wheels completely fell off.

871
00:43:51,080 --> 00:43:53,279
Speaker 1: They started to fall off there under do you want it?

872
00:43:53,320 --> 00:43:54,480
Speaker 1: Sorry to bring that up, Greg, but.

873
00:43:54,440 --> 00:43:57,040
Speaker 4: Anyways, I was one of the idiots that talked myself

874
00:43:57,080 --> 00:43:59,800
Speaker 4: into McNeice plus six and a half against Gonzaga, and

875
00:44:00,160 --> 00:44:03,600
Speaker 4: Zaga came out there and said, screw your defensive turnover eight,

876
00:44:03,880 --> 00:44:07,440
Speaker 4: screw your Shahada wells isoball. We're going to destroy you

877
00:44:07,440 --> 00:44:08,920
Speaker 4: because we're a well coached team. We're not going to

878
00:44:08,960 --> 00:44:12,160
Speaker 4: get punked by the AAU All Stars of Last Chance,

879
00:44:12,239 --> 00:44:14,000
Speaker 4: you of dudes who got kicked out of their school.

880
00:44:14,200 --> 00:44:16,120
Speaker 1: Okay, and what happened last year?

881
00:44:16,160 --> 00:44:20,280
Speaker 4: Clemson scored thirteen points in the first half and still

882
00:44:20,440 --> 00:44:25,440
Speaker 4: only lost by what by two points? They scored thirteen points.

883
00:44:25,440 --> 00:44:29,239
Speaker 4: It was Jayden Zachary just missing spot up threes and

884
00:44:29,400 --> 00:44:30,680
Speaker 4: actually shot he shot well.

885
00:44:30,680 --> 00:44:31,560
Speaker 1: In the second half.

886
00:44:31,360 --> 00:44:33,680
Speaker 4: Whatever, Clemson literally couldn't hit a shot. And then what

887
00:44:33,680 --> 00:44:36,120
Speaker 4: happens when they played a well coached team with a

888
00:44:36,200 --> 00:44:39,680
Speaker 4: Ryan Nemhard, Braiden Smith type point guard. Perdue got out

889
00:44:39,719 --> 00:44:42,880
Speaker 4: early and controlled the entire game. Tyler Tanner is in

890
00:44:42,880 --> 00:44:45,760
Speaker 4: that category of a Braiden Smith or a Ryan Emhard

891
00:44:45,760 --> 00:44:47,520
Speaker 4: where he's not going to be rattled.

892
00:44:47,360 --> 00:44:48,720
Speaker 1: By the AAU All Stars.

893
00:44:48,920 --> 00:44:51,279
Speaker 4: And yes, I understand that's a good point Stucky about

894
00:44:51,320 --> 00:44:52,600
Speaker 4: them being comfortable in isolation.

895
00:44:53,040 --> 00:44:56,680
Speaker 1: And you know, uh kind of like all.

896
00:44:56,640 --> 00:45:00,000
Speaker 4: Miss and like mckney's runs some very simple stuff.

897
00:45:00,120 --> 00:45:04,120
Speaker 1: Offensively, it's ball screen, go go hoop, go score.

898
00:45:04,280 --> 00:45:07,960
Speaker 4: And Vandy just played Arkansas and I think Darius Acoff

899
00:45:08,000 --> 00:45:10,400
Speaker 4: is a little bit better than these McNeese dudes. And

900
00:45:10,440 --> 00:45:13,120
Speaker 4: if Trevon Brazili and Billy Richmond didn't get hot, Vandy's

901
00:45:13,120 --> 00:45:15,520
Speaker 4: an SEC champion and probably a three seed the committee

902
00:45:15,560 --> 00:45:17,480
Speaker 4: so damn lazy. They probably would have just like did

903
00:45:17,480 --> 00:45:19,280
Speaker 4: a little flip flop if they had won that game.

904
00:45:19,440 --> 00:45:22,520
Speaker 4: So Vanderbilt is a ridiculously good five seed. They crushed

905
00:45:22,560 --> 00:45:25,040
Speaker 4: everyone in non conference. They took care of bad teams.

906
00:45:25,040 --> 00:45:27,120
Speaker 4: I will say the Memphis game is like a slight

907
00:45:27,560 --> 00:45:30,560
Speaker 4: at Memphis is real tough. That's like somewhat comparable to

908
00:45:30,600 --> 00:45:33,560
Speaker 4: the McNeese thing maybe, But like they took care of

909
00:45:33,680 --> 00:45:37,000
Speaker 4: everybody in non con like, I don't know, man, I

910
00:45:37,040 --> 00:45:38,680
Speaker 4: think they're so good. I don't think they're gonna get

911
00:45:38,719 --> 00:45:40,560
Speaker 4: punked by the AAU All Stars. And I think this

912
00:45:40,680 --> 00:45:44,440
Speaker 4: McNeese thing is just a facade. That Clemson game was

913
00:45:44,480 --> 00:45:46,880
Speaker 4: like the ugliest thing I've ever seen, Like the least

914
00:45:46,920 --> 00:45:50,560
Speaker 4: likable and endearing upset I can remember in my entire life.

915
00:45:50,600 --> 00:45:52,440
Speaker 1: And it's not happening against Vanderbilt. That was against a

916
00:45:52,440 --> 00:45:53,640
Speaker 1: Clemson team with one guard.

917
00:45:54,200 --> 00:45:58,800
Speaker 2: Sorry I'm done, Yeah, I mean I'm leaning Vandy for

918
00:46:00,400 --> 00:46:07,880
Speaker 2: no other reason than ah to uh see uh Aura

919
00:46:08,040 --> 00:46:11,560
Speaker 2: khan ah sulk.

920
00:46:11,840 --> 00:46:13,120
Speaker 1: Wait one last it's.

921
00:46:14,440 --> 00:46:16,440
Speaker 2: We're gonna get stories on this kid. But with the

922
00:46:16,560 --> 00:46:18,279
Speaker 2: with the radio again, I'm over it.

923
00:46:18,920 --> 00:46:21,040
Speaker 1: Well okay, like just real quick.

924
00:46:21,120 --> 00:46:23,279
Speaker 4: I sometimes get persuaded by oh, they got like the

925
00:46:23,320 --> 00:46:25,759
Speaker 4: Down Cup, they got the Down transfers and Power Conference. Yeah,

926
00:46:25,800 --> 00:46:28,399
Speaker 4: Jirell Colbert fell out of rotation at SMU. That's why

927
00:46:28,440 --> 00:46:31,520
Speaker 4: he's at McNeice. Like Larry Johnson got kicked out of creating.

928
00:46:31,520 --> 00:46:33,359
Speaker 4: He can definitely hoop. He super talented. He can dunk

929
00:46:33,400 --> 00:46:35,440
Speaker 4: whatever guard you all got kicked off the team and

930
00:46:35,480 --> 00:46:38,279
Speaker 4: see you all like it's it's last chance you it's

931
00:46:38,320 --> 00:46:40,560
Speaker 4: the we're more talented than their teams in the Southland.

932
00:46:40,600 --> 00:46:43,520
Speaker 4: And guess what team played them really well in the Southland,

933
00:46:43,760 --> 00:46:45,960
Speaker 4: ut Real Grande Valley because Khalil Fenal is a real

934
00:46:46,040 --> 00:46:49,000
Speaker 4: good coach. That's an offensive skilled team. They they that

935
00:46:49,000 --> 00:46:50,600
Speaker 4: game went triple overtime in the Southland.

936
00:46:50,840 --> 00:46:53,160
Speaker 2: You they can shoot, Yeah, they.

937
00:46:53,080 --> 00:46:55,600
Speaker 4: Can shoot, and they're not They're like, they're not gonna

938
00:46:55,600 --> 00:46:57,960
Speaker 4: get pumped and McNeice just wants to punk.

939
00:46:57,680 --> 00:47:03,719
Speaker 2: You or con all right, let's move on. You haven't

940
00:47:03,719 --> 00:47:09,279
Speaker 2: seen Vanny get punk this year like Texas And I.

941
00:47:09,239 --> 00:47:12,080
Speaker 3: Think acting like this team is unpunkable because they're well coach,

942
00:47:12,239 --> 00:47:13,040
Speaker 3: just a little crazy.

943
00:47:13,080 --> 00:47:14,800
Speaker 2: Texas destroyed them.

944
00:47:15,040 --> 00:47:17,759
Speaker 4: Texas floor is a lot lower than that was a

945
00:47:17,800 --> 00:47:20,440
Speaker 4: four point game with eight minutes left, and it was

946
00:47:20,480 --> 00:47:24,719
Speaker 4: a road game and they were undefeated at the time. Yeah,

947
00:47:24,880 --> 00:47:27,319
Speaker 4: I mean that's the NBA players on that team and

948
00:47:27,360 --> 00:47:29,600
Speaker 4: a team that draws fouls more than anyone in the country.

949
00:47:29,880 --> 00:47:33,600
Speaker 2: Sure, I mean did I will? I will also say

950
00:47:33,600 --> 00:47:36,919
Speaker 2: that that is like Texas team, the offense that's very,

951
00:47:37,160 --> 00:47:40,200
Speaker 2: very comfortable in ISO. So that's that is the one

952
00:47:40,200 --> 00:47:40,839
Speaker 2: thing that does worry.

953
00:47:40,880 --> 00:47:43,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean if Larry Johnson, Gary duall go for

954
00:47:43,440 --> 00:47:45,719
Speaker 4: thirty each and Vandy doesn't shoot the three, well, they're

955
00:47:45,719 --> 00:47:46,200
Speaker 4: gonna lose.

956
00:47:46,239 --> 00:47:49,320
Speaker 1: I just I'm willing to take to trust the boys.

957
00:47:49,520 --> 00:47:54,279
Speaker 2: I'm obviously, I mean there are like we'll see all like,

958
00:47:54,600 --> 00:47:56,359
Speaker 2: Tanner's got to handle the length better than he did

959
00:47:56,360 --> 00:47:58,759
Speaker 2: against Arkansas. But it's very nice to have this is

960
00:47:58,760 --> 00:48:01,200
Speaker 2: where do you have in Duke Miles huge having that second

961
00:48:01,200 --> 00:48:04,239
Speaker 2: ball handler? And but all right, let's be on to

962
00:48:04,239 --> 00:48:11,200
Speaker 2: the next game. Hawaii taking on Arkansas in the West

963
00:48:11,280 --> 00:48:17,399
Speaker 2: Region four twenty five Eastern tip on TBS. This game

964
00:48:18,239 --> 00:48:23,719
Speaker 2: is We'll be played in Portland, Oregon, Arkansas fifteen and

965
00:48:23,760 --> 00:48:29,280
Speaker 2: a half point favor total one sixty one and a half.

966
00:48:30,160 --> 00:48:31,799
Speaker 2: All right, Greg, I know you don't have any hot

967
00:48:31,840 --> 00:48:33,920
Speaker 2: takes on this game. I'll get a sentence from me

968
00:48:33,960 --> 00:48:37,359
Speaker 2: if you have it. After I'm going back and forth

969
00:48:37,400 --> 00:48:39,480
Speaker 2: in this game. I still haven't decided. I think this

970
00:48:39,560 --> 00:48:42,239
Speaker 2: is a it's just a tough spot for Arkansas. Right

971
00:48:42,239 --> 00:48:46,120
Speaker 2: they played three and three days they win the SEC championship. Yeah,

972
00:48:47,360 --> 00:48:50,240
Speaker 2: they they had all of their brick layers went shot

973
00:48:50,280 --> 00:48:52,840
Speaker 2: seventy percent from three against Bandy like that had I

974
00:48:52,840 --> 00:48:55,440
Speaker 2: don't know if that's necessarily repeatable. Cal Pari has been

975
00:48:55,480 --> 00:48:57,920
Speaker 2: out coached countless times in the tournament. I mean he's

976
00:48:57,920 --> 00:49:00,000
Speaker 2: two and eight against the spread as a fifteen plus

977
00:49:00,000 --> 00:49:01,960
Speaker 2: point favor For what it's worth, he's four and nine

978
00:49:01,960 --> 00:49:04,719
Speaker 2: against the spread with a minus four and a half

979
00:49:04,760 --> 00:49:08,080
Speaker 2: point cover margin on average. When he has a seven

980
00:49:08,120 --> 00:49:11,319
Speaker 2: plus seed differential in the first round. That's the worst

981
00:49:11,360 --> 00:49:14,160
Speaker 2: of all time, the least profitable, I should say, right

982
00:49:14,160 --> 00:49:17,840
Speaker 2: there with Mark Feu for what it's worth. And you

983
00:49:17,880 --> 00:49:20,719
Speaker 2: want to talk about three point like a game where

984
00:49:20,719 --> 00:49:25,320
Speaker 2: there could be some potential three point regression, I mean

985
00:49:25,440 --> 00:49:31,719
Speaker 2: it's screams screams ha whai. So if you look since

986
00:49:31,760 --> 00:49:36,920
Speaker 2: February first, Hawaii shot twenty eight percent from three. They

987
00:49:36,920 --> 00:49:38,520
Speaker 2: are not a good shooting team, but they were about

988
00:49:38,560 --> 00:49:42,719
Speaker 2: thirty three and a half percent before February first. Additionally,

989
00:49:43,239 --> 00:49:46,560
Speaker 2: if you look on the defense of that end, teams

990
00:49:46,600 --> 00:49:48,879
Speaker 2: against Hawai, who limits threes as well as any team

991
00:49:48,880 --> 00:49:50,920
Speaker 2: in the country, teams have shot thirty five percent since

992
00:49:50,960 --> 00:49:52,680
Speaker 2: February first. Before then it was twenty seven and a

993
00:49:52,680 --> 00:49:55,120
Speaker 2: half percent. So maybe a natural correction there, but they've

994
00:49:55,120 --> 00:49:59,680
Speaker 2: been unlucky since February first. Two way on the three Arkansas. Meanwhile,

995
00:50:00,239 --> 00:50:04,080
Speaker 2: I mean this team has been they've shotten forty two

996
00:50:04,200 --> 00:50:06,520
Speaker 2: and a half percent from three since February first. Now

997
00:50:06,520 --> 00:50:08,640
Speaker 2: are they a good shooting team? Of course, I mean

998
00:50:08,680 --> 00:50:11,640
Speaker 2: Akoff has shoots fifty percent on catching shoot threes is insane.

999
00:50:11,880 --> 00:50:16,000
Speaker 2: But there are other dorks, like they're not gonna keep

1000
00:50:16,080 --> 00:50:19,360
Speaker 2: hitting threes. And you know, like Billy Richmond is like

1001
00:50:19,760 --> 00:50:23,080
Speaker 2: an eighteen percent three point shooter. Uh, you know, you

1002
00:50:23,120 --> 00:50:26,560
Speaker 2: can expect Wagner around thirty three percent. Brazil is what

1003
00:50:26,719 --> 00:50:28,719
Speaker 2: I don't know, probably around thirty three percent. You can

1004
00:50:28,800 --> 00:50:31,520
Speaker 2: expect them over time. So when if they shoot nine

1005
00:50:31,560 --> 00:50:35,160
Speaker 2: of twelve, those three combined, yeah, there Archanel's gonna blow Hawaii. Now,

1006
00:50:35,640 --> 00:50:39,759
Speaker 2: Hawaii plays a very very very unique defense in that

1007
00:50:39,840 --> 00:50:45,040
Speaker 2: it's the most disciplined drop. They never help, so they

1008
00:50:45,080 --> 00:50:49,319
Speaker 2: limit threes. They have a Fish Johnson who's a very

1009
00:50:49,360 --> 00:50:52,719
Speaker 2: interesting seven footer. Maybe can give Arkansas some problems, but

1010
00:50:52,960 --> 00:50:56,680
Speaker 2: that's gonna result in a lot of ISO for Thomas

1011
00:50:56,719 --> 00:51:00,319
Speaker 2: and Acuff, which is probably not ideal. But there's a

1012
00:51:00,400 --> 00:51:06,359
Speaker 2: chance that Hawaii throws out some unique zone here and

1013
00:51:06,520 --> 00:51:09,479
Speaker 2: just I think we'll have some unique defensive looks and

1014
00:51:09,800 --> 00:51:12,200
Speaker 2: if there's one coach who's never ready for a unique

1015
00:51:12,200 --> 00:51:15,080
Speaker 2: defensive look in the tournament. It's coach cal I can

1016
00:51:15,120 --> 00:51:19,279
Speaker 2: tell you that it's a Kentucky fan. So what with

1017
00:51:19,320 --> 00:51:22,640
Speaker 2: all this is said, like Arkansas has has too much talent? Did?

1018
00:51:22,680 --> 00:51:25,840
Speaker 2: The guard mismatch is huge? Now, Arkansas doesn't force a

1019
00:51:25,880 --> 00:51:29,080
Speaker 2: lot of turnovers. That's good news for Hawaii because Hawaii

1020
00:51:29,120 --> 00:51:32,239
Speaker 2: will turn it over their guards. Their point guard play

1021
00:51:32,680 --> 00:51:35,799
Speaker 2: is not great. I mean they play in the Big

1022
00:51:35,800 --> 00:51:38,759
Speaker 2: West and they ranked three hundred and seventeenth in the

1023
00:51:38,800 --> 00:51:42,040
Speaker 2: country and turnover rate. Now, the good thing Arkansas is

1024
00:51:42,080 --> 00:51:44,600
Speaker 2: not an overly aggressive defense. It's not a great defense

1025
00:51:44,640 --> 00:51:48,240
Speaker 2: in general. You know, they ranked two hundred and fortieth

1026
00:51:48,239 --> 00:51:50,920
Speaker 2: in turn of rate, but it's it's still the Arkansas

1027
00:51:51,040 --> 00:51:56,200
Speaker 2: length against Hawaii. So my fear is Hawaii turning it

1028
00:51:56,239 --> 00:51:58,560
Speaker 2: over is gonna Now why is a great transition defense

1029
00:51:58,600 --> 00:52:00,239
Speaker 2: on paper? Now, again, they play in the Big Now,

1030
00:52:00,239 --> 00:52:03,000
Speaker 2: there's some teams that get out and run all day,

1031
00:52:02,080 --> 00:52:07,040
Speaker 2: your your Fulagins and Northridges, but this is that's not Arkansas.

1032
00:52:07,080 --> 00:52:08,680
Speaker 2: You're not playing against NBA guards. So my fear is

1033
00:52:08,680 --> 00:52:11,600
Speaker 2: just Hawaii turning it over incessantly. And then Arkansas is

1034
00:52:11,600 --> 00:52:14,719
Speaker 2: gonna score. It will in transition. But I do think

1035
00:52:14,760 --> 00:52:16,759
Speaker 2: that there's a path here whe Hawaii makes this really

1036
00:52:16,800 --> 00:52:21,360
Speaker 2: interesting for a half and then just has Arkansas and

1037
00:52:21,400 --> 00:52:24,880
Speaker 2: a little bit of a tiffy offensively and they're not prepared,

1038
00:52:25,280 --> 00:52:27,880
Speaker 2: and then the talent will eventually just take over. So

1039
00:52:27,960 --> 00:52:31,000
Speaker 2: I might be looking at like Hawaii sneaky Hawaii first

1040
00:52:31,040 --> 00:52:34,799
Speaker 2: half plus eight and a half first half money line.

1041
00:52:35,400 --> 00:52:38,520
Speaker 2: I could see Arkansas being down by you know, a

1042
00:52:38,640 --> 00:52:43,839
Speaker 2: couple at the half. But yeah, I guess I'm leaning

1043
00:52:43,840 --> 00:52:49,440
Speaker 2: Hawaii right now. But the turnovers concerned me because it's

1044
00:52:49,560 --> 00:52:53,120
Speaker 2: Arkansas would just eat them in transition and then you're

1045
00:52:53,120 --> 00:52:55,279
Speaker 2: just gonna have a cuff in isolation and there's no

1046
00:52:55,280 --> 00:52:57,239
Speaker 2: one that in Hawaii that can guard them. So I'm

1047
00:52:57,320 --> 00:52:59,640
Speaker 2: very curious to see what if Hawaii changes up their

1048
00:52:59,640 --> 00:53:05,120
Speaker 2: defense bit. So we shall see. Uh, Christian, you have

1049
00:53:05,160 --> 00:53:05,719
Speaker 2: a tatake here.

1050
00:53:06,400 --> 00:53:07,480
Speaker 1: Yeah.

1051
00:53:07,800 --> 00:53:10,000
Speaker 4: I have a kind of greg psychological angle here of

1052
00:53:10,120 --> 00:53:13,719
Speaker 4: Arkansas like kind of on top of the world, Like

1053
00:53:13,800 --> 00:53:16,040
Speaker 4: they know how good they are, they're so talented, they're

1054
00:53:16,040 --> 00:53:19,160
Speaker 4: playing really well, and now you're just like, how do

1055
00:53:19,160 --> 00:53:21,360
Speaker 4: you get up for like Hawaii.

1056
00:53:21,120 --> 00:53:23,440
Speaker 2: Early tip in Portland after three and three days, so

1057
00:53:23,480 --> 00:53:25,360
Speaker 2: like yeah, and Hawaii. By the way, he's traveling from Vegas,

1058
00:53:25,360 --> 00:53:27,320
Speaker 2: so it's not they're not traveling from Hawaii.

1059
00:53:27,320 --> 00:53:30,560
Speaker 4: Right, So just like a bit of a sleepy spot.

1060
00:53:30,600 --> 00:53:33,600
Speaker 4: And like with cal and you know, I don't know

1061
00:53:33,840 --> 00:53:36,239
Speaker 4: post char Acter Vanderbilt. He he just says so many

1062
00:53:36,239 --> 00:53:38,120
Speaker 4: weird things sometimes I just question, like where the team.

1063
00:53:38,280 --> 00:53:40,080
Speaker 4: He's like, we're not playing for the name on the

1064
00:53:40,080 --> 00:53:41,759
Speaker 4: front of our jersey, We're doing it for the back,

1065
00:53:41,800 --> 00:53:44,000
Speaker 4: like it's about these kids. Stuff like that.

1066
00:53:44,160 --> 00:53:44,600
Speaker 2: Like I don't know.

1067
00:53:44,640 --> 00:53:45,680
Speaker 1: He just says some weird things.

1068
00:53:45,880 --> 00:53:49,680
Speaker 4: And while in theory like Acuff, like nobody can guard Acuff,

1069
00:53:49,719 --> 00:53:53,000
Speaker 4: he will get whatever he wants schematically, like I agree,

1070
00:53:53,000 --> 00:53:54,840
Speaker 4: we could see some zone and we saw that obviously

1071
00:53:54,840 --> 00:53:58,120
Speaker 4: with Oakland Kentucky. And two I'm old enough to remember

1072
00:53:58,160 --> 00:54:01,040
Speaker 4: when in November Arkansas. Arkansas didn't have a single head

1073
00:54:01,080 --> 00:54:03,280
Speaker 4: scratching loss this year, right, Their worst losses were at Auburn,

1074
00:54:03,280 --> 00:54:06,279
Speaker 4: out Georgia and SEC play. They're head scratching games to

1075
00:54:06,320 --> 00:54:08,600
Speaker 4: me were when they played Sanford and Winthrop very close

1076
00:54:08,640 --> 00:54:10,920
Speaker 4: at home. And Sanford and Winthrop are teams that have

1077
00:54:11,000 --> 00:54:15,719
Speaker 4: lowessistory allowed, like not Hawaii level of the commitment to

1078
00:54:15,719 --> 00:54:18,799
Speaker 4: the deep drop but similar schemes, and Arkansas only had

1079
00:54:18,840 --> 00:54:22,600
Speaker 4: thirteen assists in both those games, and that just makes

1080
00:54:22,640 --> 00:54:26,480
Speaker 4: me think, you know, there's a world where Hawaii can

1081
00:54:26,600 --> 00:54:29,640
Speaker 4: can definitely keep this close. And and you know the

1082
00:54:30,280 --> 00:54:32,960
Speaker 4: you're still down Knox, which is another I still think

1083
00:54:33,000 --> 00:54:34,200
Speaker 4: they're better with him.

1084
00:54:34,480 --> 00:54:35,520
Speaker 1: It's a sleepy spot.

1085
00:54:35,880 --> 00:54:38,319
Speaker 4: It's a very solid defensive team from a league that

1086
00:54:38,360 --> 00:54:41,000
Speaker 4: has like historically done well in this league. And it's

1087
00:54:41,040 --> 00:54:43,680
Speaker 4: fifteen points. I totally think Hawaii could be up, behalf

1088
00:54:43,719 --> 00:54:46,960
Speaker 4: and could be live. This could be that one. Like

1089
00:54:47,239 --> 00:54:51,160
Speaker 4: we talk about how these thirteen through fifteen seeds like

1090
00:54:51,520 --> 00:54:54,080
Speaker 4: they're all huge dogs, and it looks like we.

1091
00:54:54,040 --> 00:54:55,759
Speaker 1: Might not get one this year. There's gonna be one

1092
00:54:55,840 --> 00:54:56,520
Speaker 1: random one.

1093
00:54:56,719 --> 00:54:58,919
Speaker 4: And I can't like sell you because if they play

1094
00:54:58,920 --> 00:55:00,680
Speaker 4: this game one hundred times, Arkans I was gonna.

1095
00:55:00,480 --> 00:55:02,879
Speaker 1: Win eighty of them, ninety of them.

1096
00:55:03,320 --> 00:55:06,040
Speaker 4: But totally think this is one that I've got my

1097
00:55:06,320 --> 00:55:08,520
Speaker 4: antenna up for something weird could happen.

1098
00:55:09,400 --> 00:55:12,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, one thing I do know is Arkansas will be unprepared.

1099
00:55:12,400 --> 00:55:16,200
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to the next game.

1100
00:55:17,400 --> 00:55:22,880
Speaker 3: You have one sentence I think barring Hawaii abandoning the

1101
00:55:22,920 --> 00:55:25,120
Speaker 3: no health defense that has like been the story of

1102
00:55:25,160 --> 00:55:30,120
Speaker 3: their season. Darius Acuff's a nightmare matchup for them. He's

1103
00:55:30,160 --> 00:55:32,520
Speaker 3: probably just going to torch them in isolations all game.

1104
00:55:32,800 --> 00:55:35,759
Speaker 2: Have forty, so I play a price, but I think

1105
00:55:35,800 --> 00:55:38,320
Speaker 2: Hawaii would be fine if he had four. Like whatever,

1106
00:55:39,080 --> 00:55:41,680
Speaker 2: get your forties when you get forty anyway.

1107
00:55:41,520 --> 00:55:43,200
Speaker 4: But can't you adjust, Like are you really going to

1108
00:55:43,280 --> 00:55:45,799
Speaker 4: be that close to Billy Richmond when a Cuff is

1109
00:55:45,840 --> 00:55:46,720
Speaker 4: like going crazy?

1110
00:55:46,840 --> 00:55:49,080
Speaker 2: No, I think that they're they're going to have to adjust.

1111
00:55:49,360 --> 00:55:50,880
Speaker 1: And that's probably the zone he went.

1112
00:55:50,840 --> 00:55:55,520
Speaker 2: Zone against Fullarton, So like they have changed at times,

1113
00:55:57,360 --> 00:56:01,279
Speaker 2: don't have They'll have early wrinkles, but all right, let's

1114
00:56:01,280 --> 00:56:03,120
Speaker 2: be won in the next game. I mean, a Coff's

1115
00:56:03,120 --> 00:56:05,520
Speaker 2: gonna go crazier, but like wouldn't he's gonna go crazy

1116
00:56:05,520 --> 00:56:10,279
Speaker 2: against it doesn't go crazy against every defense. So in

1117
00:56:10,320 --> 00:56:13,080
Speaker 2: a way, like if you've got to help a little bit,

1118
00:56:13,120 --> 00:56:16,640
Speaker 2: and then you just like dork Billy Richmond, but you're

1119
00:56:16,760 --> 00:56:20,560
Speaker 2: you're you're not like losing your mind if Akoff gets forty.

1120
00:56:22,080 --> 00:56:25,680
Speaker 2: So but it's all why he has to limit the turnovers.

1121
00:56:26,040 --> 00:56:28,640
Speaker 2: That's key because that's been a problem for them all year.

1122
00:56:28,680 --> 00:56:32,359
Speaker 2: Their point guard play is very shaky. All right, let's

1123
00:56:32,360 --> 00:56:34,719
Speaker 2: be one in the next game VCU in North Carolina

1124
00:56:34,760 --> 00:56:37,640
Speaker 2: six to fifty Eastern on TNT in the South Region.

1125
00:56:37,719 --> 00:56:40,120
Speaker 2: Super fascinating six eleven matchup.

1126
00:56:40,160 --> 00:56:40,279
Speaker 4: VC.

1127
00:56:40,360 --> 00:56:41,880
Speaker 2: You gets in on the final day by winning the

1128
00:56:41,880 --> 00:56:43,960
Speaker 2: A ten. This game will be in Greenville, South Carolina,

1129
00:56:44,040 --> 00:56:46,279
Speaker 2: So you might get there's some VCU fans, but you

1130
00:56:46,360 --> 00:56:49,080
Speaker 2: definitely have a bigger UNC presence. UNC two and a

1131
00:56:49,080 --> 00:56:51,680
Speaker 2: half point favorite. Here been some back and forth in

1132
00:56:51,719 --> 00:56:54,560
Speaker 2: the market total down a tick to one fifty three

1133
00:56:54,560 --> 00:56:58,880
Speaker 2: and a half VCU. They have an identity in coaches. Man,

1134
00:56:58,920 --> 00:57:01,920
Speaker 2: you look at all their coaches, back to Shaka or

1135
00:57:01,960 --> 00:57:07,520
Speaker 2: odes Odem Martelli. Now Martelli is adopted what VS has

1136
00:57:07,520 --> 00:57:10,399
Speaker 2: always been. They're gonna have great athletes, and they're gonna press,

1137
00:57:10,440 --> 00:57:12,720
Speaker 2: and they're gonna pressure you. One of the heaviest presses

1138
00:57:12,719 --> 00:57:18,520
Speaker 2: in the tournament. Here. The interesting how this game is

1139
00:57:18,600 --> 00:57:20,640
Speaker 2: called He's whistled was going to be important. I think

1140
00:57:20,640 --> 00:57:22,560
Speaker 2: because UNC doesn't really fail. VCU wants to get to

1141
00:57:22,600 --> 00:57:26,160
Speaker 2: the line attack the room. VSU funnels you to the rim,

1142
00:57:27,160 --> 00:57:29,160
Speaker 2: where they have a lot of length. They're rim, So

1143
00:57:29,200 --> 00:57:31,680
Speaker 2: I think this is where UNC could really miss Caleb Wilson.

1144
00:57:31,720 --> 00:57:35,440
Speaker 2: It's not the same caliber or frequency of a rim

1145
00:57:35,480 --> 00:57:41,040
Speaker 2: attacking offense without Wilson. But an interesting fact is that

1146
00:57:42,800 --> 00:57:46,880
Speaker 2: you don't want like VS is gonna press and try

1147
00:57:46,920 --> 00:57:49,960
Speaker 2: to you know, cause this game to be a little chaotic.

1148
00:57:50,480 --> 00:57:53,280
Speaker 2: U n C grades out super elite against the press.

1149
00:57:53,320 --> 00:57:56,000
Speaker 2: They have ball handlers. Their ninety seven percent against the press,

1150
00:57:56,840 --> 00:57:58,800
Speaker 2: and one of their best games they played, they played

1151
00:57:58,800 --> 00:58:01,200
Speaker 2: some fucking awful zone. For what I mean awful press

1152
00:58:01,320 --> 00:58:04,880
Speaker 2: is like with Syracuse press them or Georgia Tech, like

1153
00:58:04,920 --> 00:58:07,960
Speaker 2: there's a lot of bad press. But they went to Virginia,

1154
00:58:08,400 --> 00:58:11,520
Speaker 2: who presses a lot, and they scored one point four

1155
00:58:11,560 --> 00:58:13,880
Speaker 2: points per possession in press offense. And guess who was

1156
00:58:13,920 --> 00:58:17,760
Speaker 2: the guess who has a similar structured defense. Well, guess

1157
00:58:17,800 --> 00:58:19,840
Speaker 2: with the coach of Virginia who was at Virginia Tech

1158
00:58:20,120 --> 00:58:24,000
Speaker 2: VCU last year. So UNC did go into Virginia and

1159
00:58:24,040 --> 00:58:27,400
Speaker 2: win andhredded the press and pressure defense from Virginia. For

1160
00:58:27,440 --> 00:58:29,960
Speaker 2: what it's worth, Greg, I know you have a very

1161
00:58:30,000 --> 00:58:32,160
Speaker 2: hot take on this game. I'm leading VCU this game.

1162
00:58:32,200 --> 00:58:36,320
Speaker 2: This game is this should be a thriller like this

1163
00:58:36,400 --> 00:58:39,560
Speaker 2: will be I think last team at the ball wins.

1164
00:58:40,160 --> 00:58:40,919
Speaker 2: What are you saying here?

1165
00:58:41,240 --> 00:58:44,240
Speaker 3: Really fun game? I'm gonna be on VCU out right here.

1166
00:58:44,520 --> 00:58:48,200
Speaker 3: I don't love the press numbers, that's real.

1167
00:58:48,360 --> 00:58:49,600
Speaker 2: I mean I remember.

1168
00:58:49,680 --> 00:58:54,680
Speaker 3: Visitably watching them eviscerate the Virginia press. That scares me.

1169
00:58:54,720 --> 00:58:56,880
Speaker 3: It's a bad data point for this game, but just

1170
00:58:57,240 --> 00:58:59,240
Speaker 3: point playing to me. Since Wilson's went down, I don't

1171
00:58:59,280 --> 00:59:01,640
Speaker 3: think UNC is anywhere near the caliber they were before.

1172
00:59:01,760 --> 00:59:05,640
Speaker 3: They're forty ninth in adjusted offensive efficiency, fiftieth in defensive

1173
00:59:05,640 --> 00:59:07,160
Speaker 3: efficiency since that injury.

1174
00:59:08,120 --> 00:59:09,479
Speaker 2: To me, they're an overseateed team.

1175
00:59:09,680 --> 00:59:12,640
Speaker 3: Where they're at, you have to play the value in

1176
00:59:12,680 --> 00:59:15,680
Speaker 3: the NCAA tournament, and for them to be favored when

1177
00:59:15,680 --> 00:59:18,080
Speaker 3: that's the caliber they've been playing overall down the stretch

1178
00:59:18,120 --> 00:59:21,280
Speaker 3: for a month, I just think it's a live dog situation.

1179
00:59:21,720 --> 00:59:24,080
Speaker 3: I think Djokovic is good enough to at least play

1180
00:59:24,240 --> 00:59:25,040
Speaker 3: with THEYSAR.

1181
00:59:25,160 --> 00:59:26,520
Speaker 2: He can stretch them out a little.

1182
00:59:26,360 --> 00:59:29,600
Speaker 3: Bit, and I think that's a matchup you feel comfortable

1183
00:59:29,600 --> 00:59:32,360
Speaker 3: at least in matching the scoring with. And then bottom line,

1184
00:59:32,400 --> 00:59:34,320
Speaker 3: I like us to use guards more. I mean, I

1185
00:59:34,360 --> 00:59:37,680
Speaker 3: think Derek Dixon's had a good season. He's been a

1186
00:59:37,720 --> 00:59:39,240
Speaker 3: big part of why I think they've been able to

1187
00:59:39,280 --> 00:59:42,400
Speaker 3: effectively handle pressure defense. But at the same time, it's

1188
00:59:42,440 --> 00:59:44,760
Speaker 3: the true freshman his first NCAA tournament game with a

1189
00:59:44,760 --> 00:59:46,520
Speaker 3: lot on his plate without his superstar.

1190
00:59:46,960 --> 00:59:48,320
Speaker 2: I think Nick Lewis is coming on.

1191
00:59:48,400 --> 00:59:51,400
Speaker 3: He just had an awesome monster game in the conference tournament.

1192
00:59:51,480 --> 00:59:54,240
Speaker 3: So I'll take VCU outright, just on a value play.

1193
00:59:54,280 --> 00:59:56,240
Speaker 3: With Carolina not being the same since the injury.

1194
00:59:57,760 --> 01:00:01,760
Speaker 2: Hear something crazy on North Carolina. Here's my bets on

1195
01:00:01,840 --> 01:00:06,320
Speaker 2: North Carolina. I've bet five straight North Carolina games. I've

1196
01:00:06,320 --> 01:00:08,000
Speaker 2: been fading them. I don't think the market is properly

1197
01:00:08,000 --> 01:00:14,120
Speaker 2: adjusting for Kayla Wilson. Here's how they've went. I bet them, uh,

1198
01:00:16,480 --> 01:00:18,680
Speaker 2: I bet them against I should say four straight. I

1199
01:00:18,680 --> 01:00:23,520
Speaker 2: bet Va Tech plus seven. It pushed. I bet Clemson

1200
01:00:23,560 --> 01:00:29,640
Speaker 2: plus four, it pushed. I bet Clemson minus one in

1201
01:00:29,680 --> 01:00:33,919
Speaker 2: the ACC tournament. It pushed. And then I had Duke

1202
01:00:34,000 --> 01:00:38,360
Speaker 2: minus fifteen and a half. Uh, and that lost on

1203
01:00:38,520 --> 01:00:41,439
Speaker 2: like or seven. I think minus seventeen and a half.

1204
01:00:41,800 --> 01:00:44,320
Speaker 2: That lost on like the ridiculous back Door by a

1205
01:00:44,400 --> 01:00:46,880
Speaker 2: point and a half. I'm oh three and one, I

1206
01:00:46,880 --> 01:00:50,440
Speaker 2: mean oh one and three against the spread, all and

1207
01:00:50,480 --> 01:00:52,240
Speaker 2: with the games were decided by total of one and

1208
01:00:52,240 --> 01:00:58,000
Speaker 2: a half points. So if I bet this game, the

1209
01:00:58,040 --> 01:01:00,520
Speaker 2: only thing, the most important thing to me is the hook.

1210
01:01:00,680 --> 01:01:04,960
Speaker 2: Otherwise it's gonna push Chris, do you have anything you

1211
01:01:04,960 --> 01:01:05,560
Speaker 2: want to add here?

1212
01:01:06,880 --> 01:01:07,560
Speaker 1: I agree with Greg.

1213
01:01:07,640 --> 01:01:09,919
Speaker 4: I'm just kind of out on Carolina without VCU. I'm

1214
01:01:09,920 --> 01:01:13,000
Speaker 4: sorry without klob and I just think VCU has better guards.

1215
01:01:13,360 --> 01:01:16,360
Speaker 4: Too much Dixon, too much, Trembles, too inconsistent. I'm just

1216
01:01:16,920 --> 01:01:17,600
Speaker 4: I'm just out.

1217
01:01:18,040 --> 01:01:20,520
Speaker 2: Hopefully Bogo Watch doesn't turn into Steph Curry like he

1218
01:01:20,560 --> 01:01:24,000
Speaker 2: did against Clemson. All right, let's move on to the

1219
01:01:24,000 --> 01:01:28,200
Speaker 2: next game, Greg, let's go head to head. Actually, no,

1220
01:01:28,320 --> 01:01:31,760
Speaker 2: that's that's we have. We have some games in between, Uh, Greg,

1221
01:01:31,800 --> 01:01:33,520
Speaker 2: and you're looking to fade BYU. I would I would

1222
01:01:33,520 --> 01:01:36,320
Speaker 2: tend to agree. We have the Michigan whoever they're going

1223
01:01:36,400 --> 01:01:39,760
Speaker 2: to decide to eviscerate. Uh. Those will be the games

1224
01:01:39,960 --> 01:01:42,840
Speaker 2: at seven ten and seven twenty five. But we're gonna

1225
01:01:42,880 --> 01:01:45,240
Speaker 2: move ahead to matchups. We know Texas A and M

1226
01:01:45,280 --> 01:01:47,920
Speaker 2: Saint Mary's seven thirty five Eastern on True TV. SA

1227
01:01:48,000 --> 01:01:50,000
Speaker 2: Mary's tow and a half point favorite total one and

1228
01:01:50,040 --> 01:01:53,240
Speaker 2: a half. It's the Contrast Bowl, like You couldn't ask

1229
01:01:53,320 --> 01:01:59,000
Speaker 2: for bigger contrasts and styles than this particular game. Saint

1230
01:01:59,040 --> 01:02:01,480
Speaker 2: Mary's wants to grow this to an absolute halt like

1231
01:02:01,480 --> 01:02:04,680
Speaker 2: did it against Bandy? Similar vibes here, I mean same Mary's.

1232
01:02:04,680 --> 01:02:06,560
Speaker 2: What do they just play pressure SEC teams every year

1233
01:02:06,720 --> 01:02:09,320
Speaker 2: in the field and then same and then Texa A

1234
01:02:09,320 --> 01:02:10,680
Speaker 2: and M wants to make this game of circus and

1235
01:02:10,720 --> 01:02:13,320
Speaker 2: they're gonna press, throw out, maybe throw off them zone

1236
01:02:13,320 --> 01:02:16,360
Speaker 2: although Saint mary has been elite zone offense this year

1237
01:02:17,520 --> 01:02:19,480
Speaker 2: now and they want to pressure you. They want to

1238
01:02:19,680 --> 01:02:23,880
Speaker 2: turn this game into a circus. Who wins like Randy

1239
01:02:23,880 --> 01:02:28,080
Speaker 2: Bennett or Bucky I will say Saint Mary's did struggle

1240
01:02:28,200 --> 01:02:30,640
Speaker 2: some with the Santa Clair pressure this year a couple

1241
01:02:30,640 --> 01:02:35,920
Speaker 2: of times. That's the best comp league camp. But the

1242
01:02:35,920 --> 01:02:38,680
Speaker 2: Texas A and M defense is not. They've stopped causing turnovers.

1243
01:02:38,680 --> 01:02:41,240
Speaker 2: Their turnover rates since February first is drop six and

1244
01:02:41,280 --> 01:02:45,200
Speaker 2: a half percent since prior to February first. That's problematic.

1245
01:02:45,680 --> 01:02:48,760
Speaker 2: Uh Mary should live on the offensive glass here, but

1246
01:02:48,880 --> 01:02:50,880
Speaker 2: the press might like take them out of their offense

1247
01:02:50,960 --> 01:02:53,960
Speaker 2: right and then then not allow them to get into

1248
01:02:54,000 --> 01:02:56,120
Speaker 2: their sets. But if they can just get shots off

1249
01:02:56,120 --> 01:02:58,480
Speaker 2: and not turn it over. They're probably gonna get a

1250
01:02:58,480 --> 01:03:01,680
Speaker 2: ton of offensive rebounds here and some nice looks at the rim,

1251
01:03:02,640 --> 01:03:04,880
Speaker 2: so a lot. I mean, this is this is just

1252
01:03:05,040 --> 01:03:09,520
Speaker 2: like the biggest contrast you could imagine. You both are.

1253
01:03:11,480 --> 01:03:14,400
Speaker 2: What do we do? I not have this stame written

1254
01:03:14,440 --> 01:03:17,320
Speaker 2: down now you're oh, Christian, you're right, you said one

1255
01:03:17,360 --> 01:03:19,280
Speaker 2: to ten your take on this game. You're a fifteen.

1256
01:03:20,400 --> 01:03:21,600
Speaker 2: So what do you like here?

1257
01:03:22,520 --> 01:03:23,520
Speaker 1: I don't even know what I like.

1258
01:03:23,640 --> 01:03:26,000
Speaker 4: It's just it's the most interesting matchup on the slate,

1259
01:03:26,040 --> 01:03:28,080
Speaker 4: and I've just been thinking about it NonStop. And what's

1260
01:03:28,080 --> 01:03:29,960
Speaker 4: so interesting is this is the same thing that happened

1261
01:03:30,040 --> 01:03:32,640
Speaker 4: last year because I was like, they were playing Vandy

1262
01:03:32,680 --> 01:03:35,560
Speaker 4: in the first round and I was like, oh, it's

1263
01:03:35,600 --> 01:03:38,680
Speaker 4: gonna be death for Vandy, like having to deal with

1264
01:03:38,680 --> 01:03:41,160
Speaker 4: those guys in the post, slowing the game down, taking

1265
01:03:41,200 --> 01:03:41,920
Speaker 4: care of the ball.

1266
01:03:42,760 --> 01:03:44,680
Speaker 1: And what happened.

1267
01:03:44,680 --> 01:03:46,919
Speaker 4: Saint Mary's dragged him through mud fifteen to fifty six.

1268
01:03:47,440 --> 01:03:49,280
Speaker 4: Saint Mary's couldn't hit a three, though they're much breth

1269
01:03:49,280 --> 01:03:51,560
Speaker 4: three point shooting team this year, and I have to

1270
01:03:51,600 --> 01:03:54,440
Speaker 4: make everything about Vandy. I'm sorry, but basically Vandy, it

1271
01:03:54,480 --> 01:03:56,280
Speaker 4: was just a lot of Jason Edwards having to like

1272
01:03:56,640 --> 01:04:01,960
Speaker 4: make stuff happen and you know, fouling, and but essentially

1273
01:04:02,040 --> 01:04:04,520
Speaker 4: Saint Mary's was able to set that pace right, Vandy

1274
01:04:04,560 --> 01:04:07,720
Speaker 4: couldn't really speed the game up. What happened when Vandy

1275
01:04:07,720 --> 01:04:10,000
Speaker 4: and Saint Mary's played this year it was ninety six

1276
01:04:10,080 --> 01:04:14,080
Speaker 4: seventy one in the Bahamas because you know, Washington and

1277
01:04:14,160 --> 01:04:18,200
Speaker 4: mcloughton and Okaarake can space the floor. You know, Duke

1278
01:04:18,680 --> 01:04:20,840
Speaker 4: and Tyler were cooking. That was when they had Frankie

1279
01:04:20,880 --> 01:04:22,920
Speaker 4: two and they and they caused havoc. They turned the

1280
01:04:22,960 --> 01:04:25,520
Speaker 4: Saint mary The ball over like fifteen times and Josh

1281
01:04:25,600 --> 01:04:28,640
Speaker 4: Dent was coughing it up. So what happens in this

1282
01:04:28,680 --> 01:04:32,160
Speaker 4: matchup is A and M able to use their shooting

1283
01:04:32,240 --> 01:04:34,320
Speaker 4: and having Ag at the five and Clemens in there,

1284
01:04:34,320 --> 01:04:36,000
Speaker 4: who I know they've been starting the last few games

1285
01:04:36,280 --> 01:04:38,120
Speaker 4: to really spread it out and create enough space for

1286
01:04:38,160 --> 01:04:40,160
Speaker 4: their drivers to get to the ram and make things

1287
01:04:40,200 --> 01:04:43,160
Speaker 4: work in a half court setting. Or is it just

1288
01:04:43,160 --> 01:04:44,880
Speaker 4: going to be a nightmare having to deal with the

1289
01:04:44,880 --> 01:04:48,000
Speaker 4: bigs tapping out the offensive rebounds. Wessels and mckieva are

1290
01:04:48,040 --> 01:04:50,520
Speaker 4: really skilled down there, and this team can actually shoot it.

1291
01:04:50,600 --> 01:04:52,960
Speaker 4: So last year, Vandy would double the post to kick

1292
01:04:53,000 --> 01:04:54,680
Speaker 4: it out to Morawskis and he'd hit the side of

1293
01:04:54,720 --> 01:04:57,320
Speaker 4: the backboard or you know, it would be whoever. But

1294
01:04:57,400 --> 01:04:59,720
Speaker 4: now this team can actually shoot because they freed Mikey Lewis.

1295
01:04:59,720 --> 01:05:02,880
Speaker 4: Morales is a better shooter and Dylan Shaw can shoot too,

1296
01:05:03,280 --> 01:05:07,920
Speaker 4: So I think Saint Mary's is better equipped to deal

1297
01:05:07,960 --> 01:05:10,080
Speaker 4: with this pressure type team. And what happened with Vandy

1298
01:05:10,120 --> 01:05:13,280
Speaker 4: and the Bahamas that was obviously Vandy just elite. But

1299
01:05:13,320 --> 01:05:14,720
Speaker 4: I think there is a world where A and M

1300
01:05:14,760 --> 01:05:17,160
Speaker 4: can really speed this thing up, make it so make

1301
01:05:17,200 --> 01:05:21,080
Speaker 4: it Sat Mary's uncomfortable. They just haven't seen any team

1302
01:05:21,280 --> 01:05:24,440
Speaker 4: like tex A and M since Vanderbilt in November.

1303
01:05:24,480 --> 01:05:28,320
Speaker 2: Like a player is kind of similar Clara pressures extends pressure. Yeah, but.

1304
01:05:30,360 --> 01:05:33,280
Speaker 4: Alan Graves gives you that age, that mcgloughton type of

1305
01:05:33,720 --> 01:05:37,160
Speaker 4: big but in terms of just skill of the guards

1306
01:05:37,360 --> 01:05:41,320
Speaker 4: and ability to to make things happen when they are

1307
01:05:41,360 --> 01:05:44,320
Speaker 4: stuck in the half court, like it's still with with

1308
01:05:44,400 --> 01:05:47,160
Speaker 4: Isaac's and Lane and and Griffin and Domingaz.

1309
01:05:46,720 --> 01:05:47,840
Speaker 1: There's still a lot of shooting.

1310
01:05:48,200 --> 01:05:49,800
Speaker 4: I have no idea what to do, so I'm sorry

1311
01:05:49,800 --> 01:05:53,280
Speaker 4: for leading with the fifteen I keep swaying myself to, oh, like,

1312
01:05:53,400 --> 01:05:54,680
Speaker 4: let's just lean with the Bucky ball.

1313
01:05:54,720 --> 01:05:55,480
Speaker 1: They're more talented.

1314
01:05:55,480 --> 01:05:57,760
Speaker 4: It's gonna be insane, but it's gonna be fun and

1315
01:05:57,760 --> 01:05:58,640
Speaker 4: we're gonna rock with it.

1316
01:05:58,920 --> 01:06:00,600
Speaker 1: Or same. Mary's just gonna the air of the ball.

1317
01:06:00,680 --> 01:06:02,120
Speaker 1: Dent's gonna take it.

1318
01:06:02,200 --> 01:06:04,120
Speaker 4: And like I said, they're going to actually make their

1319
01:06:04,160 --> 01:06:05,960
Speaker 4: open threes this year, and like last year, they're also

1320
01:06:06,000 --> 01:06:07,240
Speaker 4: the best free throw shooting.

1321
01:06:06,920 --> 01:06:09,960
Speaker 1: Team in the country Saint Mary's this year, which.

1322
01:06:09,760 --> 01:06:14,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, man, how is this whistled? That's important? But Team

1323
01:06:14,880 --> 01:06:17,480
Speaker 2: Mary's also since February firs, they're shooting forty three percent

1324
01:06:17,560 --> 01:06:20,400
Speaker 2: from three. That's the best in the field. They were

1325
01:06:20,440 --> 01:06:22,600
Speaker 2: thirty seven percent before. This is still really good, but

1326
01:06:23,760 --> 01:06:24,760
Speaker 2: been definitely running a bit.

1327
01:06:24,800 --> 01:06:26,560
Speaker 4: And also to your point, Stucky about text A and

1328
01:06:26,680 --> 01:06:30,560
Speaker 4: M's turnover eight being way down lately, very important. But

1329
01:06:31,440 --> 01:06:35,880
Speaker 4: something to consider is just like now they're out of

1330
01:06:35,880 --> 01:06:38,160
Speaker 4: the SEC. The SEC was had some teams that were

1331
01:06:38,240 --> 01:06:43,160
Speaker 4: really good taking care of the ball. Vanderbilt Arkansas will miss.

1332
01:06:43,760 --> 01:06:47,720
Speaker 1: You know, is Joshua Dent on that level of able

1333
01:06:47,760 --> 01:06:48,360
Speaker 1: to handle those.

1334
01:06:48,480 --> 01:06:50,680
Speaker 4: They're going to trap that first pass every time, like

1335
01:06:50,920 --> 01:06:53,760
Speaker 4: it is hell to go against So when I can

1336
01:06:53,960 --> 01:06:56,400
Speaker 4: convince myself of why Saint Mary's is going to be

1337
01:06:56,440 --> 01:06:58,640
Speaker 4: too much to overcome down low around the block and

1338
01:06:58,680 --> 01:07:01,000
Speaker 4: the open threes, they're gonna be able to get in

1339
01:07:01,040 --> 01:07:03,200
Speaker 4: the drop coverage, making it just tough for like Hill

1340
01:07:03,240 --> 01:07:05,240
Speaker 4: and Lane to get anything around the rim. Then I

1341
01:07:05,320 --> 01:07:07,640
Speaker 4: come back to but bucket ball is insane, and it's

1342
01:07:07,680 --> 01:07:09,680
Speaker 4: like they're gonna drive them nuts and they're gonna make

1343
01:07:09,680 --> 01:07:11,520
Speaker 4: it even impossible for those seven footers to get the

1344
01:07:11,560 --> 01:07:12,880
Speaker 4: ball and be so scrappy.

1345
01:07:13,320 --> 01:07:16,200
Speaker 1: So I'm just gonna lose sleep over this game for

1346
01:07:16,200 --> 01:07:18,919
Speaker 1: the next few days. But it's the most interesting game

1347
01:07:18,960 --> 01:07:19,640
Speaker 1: on the slate to me.

1348
01:07:20,520 --> 01:07:24,760
Speaker 2: You know, I could see this, I could see similar vibes.

1349
01:07:25,040 --> 01:07:27,440
Speaker 2: I could see that the game. I could see this

1350
01:07:27,520 --> 01:07:31,600
Speaker 2: game playing out similar to like they wouldn't shock me

1351
01:07:31,640 --> 01:07:36,840
Speaker 2: if this happened. Mary's kind of controls the game, getting

1352
01:07:36,840 --> 01:07:40,080
Speaker 2: offensive rebounds, get into the line, and they keep it

1353
01:07:40,080 --> 01:07:46,640
Speaker 2: in like the sixties, And does this remind anyone of

1354
01:07:49,760 --> 01:07:52,480
Speaker 2: Northern Iowa, Texas A and M and Northern i was

1355
01:07:52,560 --> 01:07:54,920
Speaker 2: up sixty nine to fifty seven with forty four seconds

1356
01:07:54,960 --> 01:07:57,520
Speaker 2: to go and lost, So like I could see Mary's

1357
01:07:57,520 --> 01:08:00,600
Speaker 2: being in control like the turn but like A makes

1358
01:08:00,640 --> 01:08:03,080
Speaker 2: a furious push with the press and gets turnovers late,

1359
01:08:03,440 --> 01:08:06,640
Speaker 2: this game could get weird late, one of the craziest

1360
01:08:06,640 --> 01:08:10,800
Speaker 2: comebacks in NCAA history. Can I get my thoughts on this?

1361
01:08:11,000 --> 01:08:14,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, I am all over Saint Mary's here, all over it.

1362
01:08:14,360 --> 01:08:16,479
Speaker 3: I want no part of Bucky Ball, or at least

1363
01:08:16,560 --> 01:08:20,240
Speaker 3: not with this particular group of players. I think it

1364
01:08:20,320 --> 01:08:24,080
Speaker 3: is the most interesting stylistic matchup. However, I think Randy

1365
01:08:24,080 --> 01:08:26,880
Speaker 3: Bennett's a great coach, and I think with days to

1366
01:08:26,920 --> 01:08:29,360
Speaker 3: prep for this, they are going to figure it out

1367
01:08:29,400 --> 01:08:31,920
Speaker 3: and solve it. I think they can get a bunch

1368
01:08:31,960 --> 01:08:34,920
Speaker 3: of second chances. I think this Texas A and M

1369
01:08:34,960 --> 01:08:37,080
Speaker 3: team has been terrible. For two months.

1370
01:08:37,439 --> 01:08:40,439
Speaker 2: They're three and nine versus NCAA tournament teams. This year.

1371
01:08:40,640 --> 01:08:42,719
Speaker 2: They're one and six versus NCAA tournament teams.

1372
01:08:42,680 --> 01:08:48,280
Speaker 3: Since February first, they just got absolutely dogged by Porter Moser,

1373
01:08:49,040 --> 01:08:51,240
Speaker 3: Like I just want no part of this. And you

1374
01:08:51,240 --> 01:08:52,680
Speaker 3: look at some of the guys in this team, like

1375
01:08:52,920 --> 01:08:54,600
Speaker 3: who do you want to put your stock in in

1376
01:08:54,640 --> 01:08:58,479
Speaker 3: an NCAA tournament setting like pop Isaacs, Like just this

1377
01:08:58,479 --> 01:09:00,639
Speaker 3: this is not the group of guys for the chaotic

1378
01:09:00,720 --> 01:09:02,840
Speaker 3: system to work. I think they get a bunch of

1379
01:09:02,880 --> 01:09:06,479
Speaker 3: credit for their one buckety ball NCAA tournament appearance where

1380
01:09:06,479 --> 01:09:08,000
Speaker 3: they took Kansas to the wire.

1381
01:09:08,240 --> 01:09:08,559
Speaker 4: There was a.

1382
01:09:08,600 --> 01:09:12,040
Speaker 3: Kansas team that visibly hated each other that had no

1383
01:09:12,200 --> 01:09:14,759
Speaker 3: success for three years. Like that was the right group

1384
01:09:14,800 --> 01:09:18,320
Speaker 3: for buckyball to work against. Saint Mary's is not at all.

1385
01:09:18,439 --> 01:09:20,680
Speaker 3: I think this team's too disciplined. I think they are

1386
01:09:20,760 --> 01:09:23,560
Speaker 3: just gonna feast on a very undisciplined Texas A and

1387
01:09:23,680 --> 01:09:26,120
Speaker 3: M team and create some separation here.

1388
01:09:26,479 --> 01:09:29,559
Speaker 4: Wait, Greg just made a really good point that I

1389
01:09:29,560 --> 01:09:32,799
Speaker 4: didn't think of until he said it. In that Vanderbil

1390
01:09:32,840 --> 01:09:34,560
Speaker 4: game they lost by twenty five November. That was on

1391
01:09:34,600 --> 01:09:37,320
Speaker 4: a one day prep in an MT versus four days

1392
01:09:37,320 --> 01:09:38,200
Speaker 4: to prep for bucket ball.

1393
01:09:38,240 --> 01:09:41,400
Speaker 1: That's very different. Yeah, for sure, I think that might be.

1394
01:09:41,640 --> 01:09:43,680
Speaker 1: That might be Greg might have just pushed me over

1395
01:09:43,680 --> 01:09:45,080
Speaker 1: to the Saint Mary's. But it's gonna be.

1396
01:09:45,320 --> 01:09:47,840
Speaker 4: It's gonna piss me off though, And I'm watching just

1397
01:09:47,880 --> 01:09:51,000
Speaker 4: the ten ol run. Oh I had another set ready.

1398
01:09:51,240 --> 01:09:53,360
Speaker 4: So A and M is sixteenth in the country with

1399
01:09:53,400 --> 01:09:56,880
Speaker 4: twenty nine kill shots. Saint Mary's has given up only

1400
01:09:56,920 --> 01:10:00,680
Speaker 4: four all year, only Arizona, Michigan in Utah Valley have

1401
01:10:00,760 --> 01:10:01,960
Speaker 4: given up less kill shots.

1402
01:10:02,920 --> 01:10:05,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I will say yeah, anim has not

1403
01:10:05,000 --> 01:10:07,639
Speaker 2: been great. The thing with Oklahoma is they have they

1404
01:10:07,800 --> 01:10:10,559
Speaker 2: don't turn it over. They have very good backcourt, can

1405
01:10:10,560 --> 01:10:13,240
Speaker 2: handle pressure, styles, do make fights. So Ken Mary's handle

1406
01:10:13,280 --> 01:10:16,040
Speaker 2: the pressure. That's That's what I think. This will come

1407
01:10:16,040 --> 01:10:21,240
Speaker 2: down to very interesting game schematically. By the way, what

1408
01:10:21,320 --> 01:10:25,080
Speaker 2: is March don for? Obviously college hoops, spring training, baseball, Yeah,

1409
01:10:25,120 --> 01:10:26,920
Speaker 2: that too, but it's also known as the time when

1410
01:10:26,920 --> 01:10:28,639
Speaker 2: we have one of the absolute best deals on Action

1411
01:10:28,840 --> 01:10:31,439
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1412
01:10:31,520 --> 01:10:33,439
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1413
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1414
01:10:35,840 --> 01:10:37,320
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1415
01:10:37,360 --> 01:10:39,400
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1416
01:10:39,439 --> 01:10:42,280
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1417
01:10:42,320 --> 01:10:45,120
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1419
01:10:49,800 --> 01:10:51,280
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to the next game. Greg,

1420
01:10:51,360 --> 01:10:53,439
Speaker 2: Let's go head to head. Headed to the Lights late

1421
01:10:53,600 --> 01:10:58,320
Speaker 2: nine to twenty five Eastern Penn Illinois Illinois laying twenty

1422
01:10:58,320 --> 01:11:00,439
Speaker 2: four and a half total one point fifteen and a half.

1423
01:11:01,439 --> 01:11:04,960
Speaker 2: Can TJ Power recreate some magic? Pen comes back late

1424
01:11:05,000 --> 01:11:09,240
Speaker 2: against Harvard, forces overtime and wins, comes back late against Yale,

1425
01:11:09,240 --> 01:11:13,040
Speaker 2: who inexplicably didn't foul, and wins in overtime. TJ Power

1426
01:11:13,080 --> 01:11:18,040
Speaker 2: went for forty four the ex Virginia and Duke transfer.

1427
01:11:19,240 --> 01:11:22,200
Speaker 2: A little bit of positive news on Penn's front pen

1428
01:11:22,439 --> 01:11:25,679
Speaker 2: last weekend was without one of its better offensive players,

1429
01:11:25,760 --> 01:11:30,120
Speaker 2: and Pan today said that Ethan Roberts, who are leading

1430
01:11:30,160 --> 01:11:36,759
Speaker 2: score by zero point one over power, is back and

1431
01:11:36,760 --> 01:11:39,680
Speaker 2: and practicing his concussion issues, so we'll see if he

1432
01:11:39,720 --> 01:11:42,240
Speaker 2: can go. That would give a boost their offense. I

1433
01:11:42,280 --> 01:11:46,639
Speaker 2: think Illinois destroys Ben. I will be on Illinois. I'm

1434
01:11:46,640 --> 01:11:49,040
Speaker 2: trying to this line got bet really early. I'm trying

1435
01:11:49,040 --> 01:11:50,760
Speaker 2: to see like if this is going to come back

1436
01:11:50,800 --> 01:11:52,800
Speaker 2: down a little bit, it's gonna be some buyback and

1437
01:11:52,840 --> 01:11:56,400
Speaker 2: then maybe with the pen injury news. But I just

1438
01:11:56,439 --> 01:11:59,920
Speaker 2: think Illinois number one, Illinois, if they're gonna hit their threes,

1439
01:12:00,000 --> 01:12:02,760
Speaker 2: theyve been cold for a month. If they have their threes,

1440
01:12:02,800 --> 01:12:05,800
Speaker 2: they're gonna win this game. One hundred and ten to

1441
01:12:05,840 --> 01:12:08,759
Speaker 2: sixty eight. But even if they don't hit their threes,

1442
01:12:08,880 --> 01:12:10,320
Speaker 2: like if they if they have forty percent, that's what

1443
01:12:10,320 --> 01:12:13,000
Speaker 2: the score is gonna be. If they don't hit their threes,

1444
01:12:13,040 --> 01:12:15,040
Speaker 2: they're gonna get every offensive rebound, they're gonna score it. Well,

1445
01:12:15,040 --> 01:12:18,440
Speaker 2: there's gonna be a layup line. The two point discrepancy

1446
01:12:18,479 --> 01:12:22,240
Speaker 2: between these teams is gonna be stunning. I mean, you

1447
01:12:22,280 --> 01:12:25,800
Speaker 2: look at this is a Penn team that ranks three

1448
01:12:25,880 --> 01:12:28,160
Speaker 2: hundred and forty six in the country in two point

1449
01:12:28,200 --> 01:12:31,599
Speaker 2: percentage on offense, two hundred and ninety second on two

1450
01:12:31,640 --> 01:12:35,400
Speaker 2: point defense. Illinois can play its drop and take away

1451
01:12:35,400 --> 01:12:38,200
Speaker 2: the three. They're obviously gonna be like, hey, TJ Power

1452
01:12:38,240 --> 01:12:41,920
Speaker 2: can't beat us, and they're gonna destroy them on the glass,

1453
01:12:41,920 --> 01:12:45,360
Speaker 2: They're gonna destroy them at the rim. And this Illinois team,

1454
01:12:45,720 --> 01:12:47,519
Speaker 2: they are just I'm curious to get Greg State because

1455
01:12:47,520 --> 01:12:49,360
Speaker 2: I know he likes Pen. I haven't heard anyone make

1456
01:12:49,360 --> 01:12:51,519
Speaker 2: a case for Illinoise. Maybe I'm only one, but this

1457
01:12:51,600 --> 01:12:55,360
Speaker 2: Illinois team is just the definition of all year, the

1458
01:12:55,360 --> 01:12:57,040
Speaker 2: team that comes up short in the big game and

1459
01:12:57,080 --> 01:13:02,920
Speaker 2: then just sand blasts these overmatch teams. I mean, you

1460
01:13:02,960 --> 01:13:09,080
Speaker 2: go back to Who's like teams that are in Penn's league,

1461
01:13:09,200 --> 01:13:11,320
Speaker 2: I don't know, Like Florida Gulf Coast they beat by

1462
01:13:11,360 --> 01:13:13,599
Speaker 2: fifty by the way Penn played who Penn played nobody

1463
01:13:13,600 --> 01:13:16,840
Speaker 2: all year. They played Villanova and lost by thirty and

1464
01:13:16,920 --> 01:13:19,840
Speaker 2: in in that game, I think it's the best team

1465
01:13:19,880 --> 01:13:23,080
Speaker 2: they played all year. They played Providence, they lost by

1466
01:13:23,080 --> 01:13:30,280
Speaker 2: twenty five. They played Offstra at home they lost by seventeen,

1467
01:13:31,320 --> 01:13:34,639
Speaker 2: and they lost by one at Rutgers. But the best

1468
01:13:34,640 --> 01:13:37,040
Speaker 2: thing they played all year was Villanova. They lost ninety

1469
01:13:37,120 --> 01:13:41,200
Speaker 2: to sixty three, and Penn shot fifty percent from three

1470
01:13:41,560 --> 01:13:44,519
Speaker 2: in the game. They shot thirty five percent from two.

1471
01:13:45,040 --> 01:13:49,360
Speaker 2: Villanova shot sixty three percent from two. So I just

1472
01:13:49,400 --> 01:13:52,240
Speaker 2: don't know how Penn is going to get any stops whatsoever.

1473
01:13:53,920 --> 01:13:56,120
Speaker 2: Here's Penn's defense. The thing that does well is it's

1474
01:13:56,120 --> 01:13:59,760
Speaker 2: Forts's turnovers. Illinois never turns it over. So I don't

1475
01:13:59,800 --> 01:14:01,600
Speaker 2: know if gets any stops. Now you do have the

1476
01:14:01,640 --> 01:14:04,880
Speaker 2: fran angle, the familiarity. Maybe Greg's going with that. I

1477
01:14:05,000 --> 01:14:08,400
Speaker 2: like Illinois. I think Illinois wins by thirty plus, Greg,

1478
01:14:08,400 --> 01:14:08,920
Speaker 2: what do you got?

1479
01:14:09,320 --> 01:14:12,320
Speaker 3: I think Illinois wins comfortably. I am going to take

1480
01:14:12,360 --> 01:14:15,000
Speaker 3: the points part of it is the Fran angle. The

1481
01:14:15,120 --> 01:14:19,040
Speaker 3: core of it, though, is I just I smell something

1482
01:14:19,200 --> 01:14:21,960
Speaker 3: with Illinois, which is the Brad Underwood this time of

1483
01:14:22,080 --> 01:14:24,719
Speaker 3: year thing where some guys are burned out and there's

1484
01:14:24,720 --> 01:14:27,479
Speaker 3: a weird vibe to it. You mentioned the three point shooting.

1485
01:14:27,479 --> 01:14:31,559
Speaker 3: They're due for some positive regression. Obviously, the Visage brothers

1486
01:14:31,560 --> 01:14:34,759
Speaker 3: are like two for twenty seven from three or something

1487
01:14:34,800 --> 01:14:37,439
Speaker 3: crazy in their last three weeks. But those guys have

1488
01:14:37,560 --> 01:14:41,599
Speaker 3: just genuinely regressed, like as players over the full course.

1489
01:14:41,840 --> 01:14:43,479
Speaker 2: Doesn't that even not matter in this game. They're gonna

1490
01:14:43,479 --> 01:14:44,519
Speaker 2: get every offensive rebound.

1491
01:14:44,600 --> 01:14:47,439
Speaker 3: It doesn't if they go inside. Those guys never want

1492
01:14:47,439 --> 01:14:51,120
Speaker 3: to be inside. They just float on the perimeter. I uh, Look,

1493
01:14:51,160 --> 01:14:53,360
Speaker 3: Woggler has not been the same. Part of the reason

1494
01:14:53,400 --> 01:14:56,720
Speaker 3: Illinois was so good through February was that Walkler was

1495
01:14:56,800 --> 01:14:59,479
Speaker 3: like the most efficient guard in the country. And he's

1496
01:14:59,520 --> 01:15:01,519
Speaker 3: just been good, good, and I don't want to call

1497
01:15:01,560 --> 01:15:03,759
Speaker 3: it a freshman wall, but I think teams have figured

1498
01:15:03,800 --> 01:15:07,160
Speaker 3: out that if you just get a little physical with him,

1499
01:15:07,200 --> 01:15:09,320
Speaker 3: put somebody on him, face guard him, whatever you can

1500
01:15:09,320 --> 01:15:09,720
Speaker 3: get to him.

1501
01:15:09,760 --> 01:15:11,519
Speaker 2: Not is Penn gonna do that? Probably not?

1502
01:15:12,080 --> 01:15:16,679
Speaker 3: But fran is familiar with what Brad Underwood runs. He's

1503
01:15:16,720 --> 01:15:18,600
Speaker 3: seen this before. I think you look at some of

1504
01:15:18,680 --> 01:15:21,599
Speaker 3: Penn's bigger games, they slow their tempo down, they don't

1505
01:15:21,600 --> 01:15:24,479
Speaker 3: play as fast as they normally do. Illinois plays slow

1506
01:15:24,520 --> 01:15:26,479
Speaker 3: in general. If this is a slow game, as I

1507
01:15:26,520 --> 01:15:29,200
Speaker 3: expect it can be, it's a lot of points, especially

1508
01:15:29,360 --> 01:15:32,000
Speaker 3: when I think Penn with Roberts back in the lineup,

1509
01:15:32,320 --> 01:15:35,400
Speaker 3: has two guys that can just bomb threes over the

1510
01:15:35,439 --> 01:15:39,040
Speaker 3: passive Illinois defense. And I think there's at least enough

1511
01:15:39,120 --> 01:15:41,240
Speaker 3: data points like stuck. You pulled out some games from

1512
01:15:41,280 --> 01:15:44,519
Speaker 3: November where they blitz teams by fifty. You also had

1513
01:15:44,520 --> 01:15:47,040
Speaker 3: the ut Rio Grand Valley game they won by fourteen.

1514
01:15:47,360 --> 01:15:50,000
Speaker 3: You've got games against like Penn State and Maryland, who

1515
01:15:50,000 --> 01:15:54,040
Speaker 3: are stinky big ten teams that were single digits. I

1516
01:15:54,040 --> 01:15:56,759
Speaker 3: don't think this Illinois team necessarily has the killer instinct

1517
01:15:56,760 --> 01:15:59,960
Speaker 3: we want them to. It just harkens back to previous

1518
01:16:00,120 --> 01:16:02,280
Speaker 3: years where it's like, well, they're due to make their shots,

1519
01:16:03,000 --> 01:16:06,000
Speaker 3: and they just insist on guys that aren't making shots,

1520
01:16:06,040 --> 01:16:09,040
Speaker 3: continuing to bomb from three instead of taking those advantages

1521
01:16:09,280 --> 01:16:11,719
Speaker 3: they have inside. It's kind of the problem with Underwood

1522
01:16:11,760 --> 01:16:13,639
Speaker 3: teams for me at this point in the year. There's

1523
01:16:13,720 --> 01:16:16,400
Speaker 3: rumors that Stoyakovich is already two feet out the door

1524
01:16:16,479 --> 01:16:17,240
Speaker 3: ready to portal.

1525
01:16:17,920 --> 01:16:20,400
Speaker 2: I do not trust the vibes with this group right now.

1526
01:16:20,600 --> 01:16:22,680
Speaker 3: I think they have no killer instinct, quite frankly, to

1527
01:16:22,680 --> 01:16:25,120
Speaker 3: beat a team by forty unless they get hot from

1528
01:16:25,160 --> 01:16:27,479
Speaker 3: three and make fifty percent, which stuck.

1529
01:16:27,520 --> 01:16:27,840
Speaker 2: You're right.

1530
01:16:27,840 --> 01:16:29,360
Speaker 3: If they do, this is going to be one hundred

1531
01:16:29,360 --> 01:16:32,360
Speaker 3: and ten to fifty. But I'll take my chances that

1532
01:16:32,479 --> 01:16:36,320
Speaker 3: Roberts and Power can keep pen within twenty four points.

1533
01:16:37,120 --> 01:16:38,760
Speaker 2: All right, we're going ahead to add there. Let's move

1534
01:16:38,800 --> 01:16:40,559
Speaker 2: on to way real quick.

1535
01:16:40,720 --> 01:16:43,160
Speaker 4: Yeah what we got maybe the over I don't know,

1536
01:16:43,240 --> 01:16:45,200
Speaker 4: but shout out early portal predictions.

1537
01:16:45,200 --> 01:16:48,320
Speaker 1: Soyakovich to ole Miss, Oh god.

1538
01:16:49,640 --> 01:16:52,200
Speaker 2: I can see it. All right, let's continue on the

1539
01:16:52,240 --> 01:16:54,360
Speaker 2: night's late Saint Louis Georgia should be a fun one

1540
01:16:54,479 --> 01:16:56,680
Speaker 2: total one sixty nine and a half. I could see this.

1541
01:16:57,200 --> 01:16:59,960
Speaker 2: I would lean on over. Actually this would be shawmaking transition.

1542
01:17:00,080 --> 01:17:03,160
Speaker 2: And this is the eight to nine matchup Buffalo New

1543
01:17:03,200 --> 01:17:10,160
Speaker 2: York nine Buffalo, New York late tip there CBS Georgia

1544
01:17:10,200 --> 01:17:13,320
Speaker 2: tow and a half point favorite sky high total. George

1545
01:17:13,400 --> 01:17:16,160
Speaker 2: is gonna press does that disrupt Saint Louis. Saint Louis

1546
01:17:16,240 --> 01:17:19,040
Speaker 2: half court offense is elite, just half court against man.

1547
01:17:19,840 --> 01:17:21,799
Speaker 2: Can be shaky against zone, even though they can shoot,

1548
01:17:22,600 --> 01:17:24,400
Speaker 2: can be shaky at times against the press, which is

1549
01:17:24,400 --> 01:17:26,280
Speaker 2: gonna just like disrupt their flow. George is gonna press.

1550
01:17:26,439 --> 01:17:29,280
Speaker 2: Georgia will throw zone out. Uh so this is like

1551
01:17:29,320 --> 01:17:33,599
Speaker 2: a very interesting schematic matchup. And then because Georgia might

1552
01:17:33,640 --> 01:17:34,760
Speaker 2: have to zone here because what do you do with

1553
01:17:34,800 --> 01:17:38,200
Speaker 2: surreal Like because Abba can pull them out off the rim.

1554
01:17:39,520 --> 01:17:44,800
Speaker 2: This is a super super interesting schematic battle. I will say.

1555
01:17:44,800 --> 01:17:46,400
Speaker 2: People are like, well, George has been a top twenty

1556
01:17:46,400 --> 01:17:48,280
Speaker 2: team over the past month. Well, yeah, they shot forty

1557
01:17:48,320 --> 01:17:52,360
Speaker 2: three percent from three over the past month. Before then

1558
01:17:52,400 --> 01:17:54,960
Speaker 2: they were at thirty one percent. Like, it's been stunning.

1559
01:17:55,120 --> 01:17:57,400
Speaker 2: You don't talk about three point regression. It's Georgia. Uh

1560
01:17:57,960 --> 01:18:01,559
Speaker 2: screams off the page. But Saint Louis also stumbled down

1561
01:18:01,560 --> 01:18:03,439
Speaker 2: the stretch. Shirts talked about how his teams didn't have

1562
01:18:03,520 --> 01:18:05,160
Speaker 2: munch confidence. They're not in a good headspace. He talked

1563
01:18:05,200 --> 01:18:07,320
Speaker 2: about that a lot. But maybe the game regained some

1564
01:18:07,400 --> 01:18:11,559
Speaker 2: mojo in the A ten tournament, even though you know

1565
01:18:11,680 --> 01:18:16,760
Speaker 2: they didn't win it. Very interesting game here. Coaching match.

1566
01:18:16,800 --> 01:18:18,320
Speaker 2: I think I would give the coaching at to Saint Louis.

1567
01:18:18,360 --> 01:18:21,120
Speaker 2: I think that's your angle here, Greg. Yeah, I just

1568
01:18:21,160 --> 01:18:22,080
Speaker 2: want to back shirts.

1569
01:18:22,120 --> 01:18:24,679
Speaker 3: I think he's a rising star and in his first

1570
01:18:24,760 --> 01:18:27,320
Speaker 3: NCAA tournament appearance, I'll take two and a half points

1571
01:18:27,320 --> 01:18:30,439
Speaker 3: with him. This isn't my strongest play, but it's a play.

1572
01:18:30,640 --> 01:18:32,800
Speaker 3: I've been very in on the Saint Louis team. I

1573
01:18:32,800 --> 01:18:34,760
Speaker 3: think it's a good by low spot given how they

1574
01:18:34,800 --> 01:18:38,200
Speaker 3: finished the season. I mean, some of those games little

1575
01:18:38,200 --> 01:18:41,360
Speaker 3: fluky to me. They definitely aren't the team they looked

1576
01:18:41,400 --> 01:18:43,760
Speaker 3: like in mid February. But I think that team is

1577
01:18:43,760 --> 01:18:47,640
Speaker 3: in there, and I'll just take sort of the evaluation

1578
01:18:47,760 --> 01:18:49,640
Speaker 3: by the dip on a team I really really.

1579
01:18:49,400 --> 01:18:54,200
Speaker 1: Like, Christian, do you have an in the year, Hey Louis.

1580
01:18:54,720 --> 01:18:56,000
Speaker 1: I think they can score well enough.

1581
01:18:57,400 --> 01:18:58,639
Speaker 2: This is gonna be a fun game to watch. There's

1582
01:18:58,640 --> 01:18:59,559
Speaker 2: gonna a lot of shot making.

1583
01:19:00,320 --> 01:19:01,759
Speaker 1: Yeah.

1584
01:19:01,800 --> 01:19:05,560
Speaker 4: And they it's crazy how well they're greid as a

1585
01:19:05,600 --> 01:19:09,519
Speaker 4: defensive team, considering like who they're five man is like,

1586
01:19:09,880 --> 01:19:13,400
Speaker 4: they're just very positionally sound in the right spots. And

1587
01:19:13,400 --> 01:19:16,280
Speaker 4: and I don't know if George is gonna get much easy.

1588
01:19:16,360 --> 01:19:18,439
Speaker 1: I gotta don't know if they can. I don't know.

1589
01:19:18,760 --> 01:19:20,120
Speaker 1: They can obviously get hot.

1590
01:19:20,160 --> 01:19:22,800
Speaker 2: But oh, by the way, I missed four or five

1591
01:19:22,840 --> 01:19:26,439
Speaker 2: Eastern TNT in Buffalo, North Dakota State, Michigan State, Michigan State.

1592
01:19:26,439 --> 01:19:28,679
Speaker 1: Out of sixtys, Michigan State five million.

1593
01:19:29,439 --> 01:19:34,000
Speaker 2: These these uh yeah, I don't really trust these Summit

1594
01:19:34,040 --> 01:19:38,120
Speaker 2: teams in the tournament. North Dakota State very aggressive defense

1595
01:19:38,160 --> 01:19:41,680
Speaker 2: this year. They're gonna like double trap. That's where it's

1596
01:19:41,760 --> 01:19:44,160
Speaker 2: nice to have fears. Michigan State offense is kind of

1597
01:19:44,160 --> 01:19:49,280
Speaker 2: broken there lately. I think it's probably about right, Greg.

1598
01:19:49,280 --> 01:19:50,559
Speaker 2: Do you have any take here on Michigan State, North

1599
01:19:50,600 --> 01:19:53,040
Speaker 2: Dakota State. No, I'm staying away from this one.

1600
01:19:53,160 --> 01:19:56,080
Speaker 3: I don't want a Summit League team that relies on

1601
01:19:56,200 --> 01:19:58,120
Speaker 3: rebounding against the Spartans, though.

1602
01:19:58,640 --> 01:20:06,160
Speaker 2: Also traveling out to Buffalo. Yeah. North Dakota State, Yeah,

1603
01:20:06,200 --> 01:20:09,160
Speaker 2: they want to work and they work inside out, and

1604
01:20:09,200 --> 01:20:10,639
Speaker 2: I don't know if they have a force enough turners

1605
01:20:10,640 --> 01:20:12,800
Speaker 2: against Michigan State. Michig can say three point defense has

1606
01:20:12,800 --> 01:20:14,960
Speaker 2: been bad lately, but it's always good, so like I

1607
01:20:14,960 --> 01:20:17,439
Speaker 2: could see North Akota State shooting like twenty percent from

1608
01:20:17,439 --> 01:20:23,360
Speaker 2: three in this game. Finishing up the nights like Kenessau State, Gonzaga, Portland, Oregon. Tough,

1609
01:20:23,640 --> 01:20:28,280
Speaker 2: tough draw for Kennessaul fourteen seed, tremendous job after losing

1610
01:20:28,280 --> 01:20:31,120
Speaker 2: Coddle to a gambling investigation. If if you see he's eligible,

1611
01:20:31,600 --> 01:20:35,760
Speaker 2: suddenly bet Gonzaga. It was for point shaving. But he's

1612
01:20:35,800 --> 01:20:38,000
Speaker 2: kicked off the team. But they've done r J. Johnson

1613
01:20:38,040 --> 01:20:40,280
Speaker 2: picked up the slack. They've been great athletic, they're very athletic,

1614
01:20:40,320 --> 01:20:42,519
Speaker 2: offensive rebounders, play super hard. Gonzaga twenty and a half

1615
01:20:42,520 --> 01:20:45,200
Speaker 2: point favorite here few has not been good as a

1616
01:20:45,439 --> 01:20:47,559
Speaker 2: large favor with a huge seed differential in the first round.

1617
01:20:47,600 --> 01:20:50,799
Speaker 2: For what it's worth, total one fifty four and a half,

1618
01:20:53,240 --> 01:20:55,720
Speaker 2: kind of lean, kind of Saul just finding a way

1619
01:20:55,760 --> 01:20:58,160
Speaker 2: to stay within twenty but no strong takes Christian Giveney

1620
01:20:58,200 --> 01:20:58,599
Speaker 2: takes here.

1621
01:20:59,800 --> 01:21:02,160
Speaker 1: No, but give me Mark a few in round one?

1622
01:21:02,800 --> 01:21:06,880
Speaker 2: No, yeah, given, Greg, do you have anything there least

1623
01:21:06,920 --> 01:21:10,519
Speaker 2: appetizing game on the card for me? And then finally

1624
01:21:11,320 --> 01:21:14,280
Speaker 2: talk about a Yeah, I have Idaho Houston. Yesterday it

1625
01:21:14,280 --> 01:21:16,120
Speaker 2: was a twenty year anniversary the last time a Big

1626
01:21:16,160 --> 01:21:20,240
Speaker 2: Sky team won a tournament game Montana. They will take

1627
01:21:20,280 --> 01:21:22,519
Speaker 2: on Houston to fifteen to two. Houston's twenty three and

1628
01:21:22,520 --> 01:21:24,280
Speaker 2: a half point favorite of taken some money total one

1629
01:21:24,320 --> 01:21:26,639
Speaker 2: thirty six and a half. On paper, who's Idaho matches up? Well?

1630
01:21:27,520 --> 01:21:30,439
Speaker 2: They good room defense, they're good on the defensive glass,

1631
01:21:31,400 --> 01:21:33,639
Speaker 2: they can they'll shoot threes and they can make them.

1632
01:21:34,760 --> 01:21:38,400
Speaker 2: But it's they're in the big sky like all that

1633
01:21:38,439 --> 01:21:40,400
Speaker 2: I don't know is gonna work against Houston, and Houston

1634
01:21:40,960 --> 01:21:46,040
Speaker 2: pummels these teams in the first round. Calvin Sampson as

1635
01:21:46,040 --> 01:21:48,920
Speaker 2: a favorite and this Ranger hires twelve point cover margin,

1636
01:21:49,160 --> 01:21:54,960
Speaker 2: wins by forty thirty two twenty eight like destroys these teams.

1637
01:21:55,720 --> 01:21:58,800
Speaker 2: I can't lay twenty three and a half, but I'm

1638
01:21:58,840 --> 01:22:00,599
Speaker 2: not betting Idaho. Chris any take care.

1639
01:22:01,200 --> 01:22:04,680
Speaker 4: Yes, the one thing that people forget about is in

1640
01:22:04,720 --> 01:22:07,880
Speaker 4: twenty twenty four, Houston was weirdly in a game with

1641
01:22:08,120 --> 01:22:10,599
Speaker 4: Cleveland State in the one sixteen that was like a

1642
01:22:10,640 --> 01:22:11,720
Speaker 4: game in the second half.

1643
01:22:11,760 --> 01:22:13,160
Speaker 1: They won sixty three fifty two.

1644
01:22:13,880 --> 01:22:17,080
Speaker 4: So that anecdotally, in my mind, I just feel like

1645
01:22:17,080 --> 01:22:20,200
Speaker 4: Houston crushes all these teams, but that was proof that

1646
01:22:20,640 --> 01:22:21,120
Speaker 4: they might not.

1647
01:22:21,360 --> 01:22:23,320
Speaker 1: So I'm not running to lay the huge number.

1648
01:22:24,520 --> 01:22:27,360
Speaker 2: Yeah that I had Houston. I usually bet Houston is

1649
01:22:27,360 --> 01:22:32,360
Speaker 2: these big favorites. Now, that was Northern Kentucky.

1650
01:22:32,800 --> 01:22:35,440
Speaker 1: I'm sorry, what did I say?

1651
01:22:35,920 --> 01:22:38,680
Speaker 2: In Cleveland State? And that was weird because early he

1652
01:22:38,720 --> 01:22:41,160
Speaker 2: was one of the worst defensive rebounding teams in the country.

1653
01:22:41,560 --> 01:22:42,920
Speaker 2: And that Houston team is like a story if you

1654
01:22:42,960 --> 01:22:47,320
Speaker 2: good on the offensive glass, and uh yeah, they do.

1655
01:22:47,960 --> 01:22:50,479
Speaker 2: The problem is Houston turns it over seventeen times in

1656
01:22:50,520 --> 01:22:51,160
Speaker 2: that game.

1657
01:22:51,040 --> 01:22:53,559
Speaker 1: Where Cleveland State from I guess they're in the same league.

1658
01:22:53,600 --> 01:22:58,479
Speaker 2: But they're in the same league, all right, then great,

1659
01:22:58,479 --> 01:23:01,280
Speaker 2: do you have anything Houston? Idah? I wanna play Houston.

1660
01:23:01,400 --> 01:23:03,200
Speaker 2: You've laid out the case here.

1661
01:23:03,520 --> 01:23:06,160
Speaker 3: I usually I'm on Houston in the opening round under

1662
01:23:06,160 --> 01:23:06,879
Speaker 3: Calvin Sampson.

1663
01:23:06,920 --> 01:23:08,400
Speaker 2: It's usually profitable.

1664
01:23:08,640 --> 01:23:11,839
Speaker 3: Obviously there's data points against it too, but just across

1665
01:23:11,880 --> 01:23:14,400
Speaker 3: the board, that's been a good angle, and I think

1666
01:23:14,439 --> 01:23:17,320
Speaker 3: an Idaho team that is the fifth best defensive rebounding

1667
01:23:17,320 --> 01:23:18,760
Speaker 3: team in the sport. This is just one of those

1668
01:23:18,760 --> 01:23:21,679
Speaker 3: matchups where it's like, oh, our superpower got taken from us,

1669
01:23:22,120 --> 01:23:25,240
Speaker 3: Like this is Houston athletes and physicality.

1670
01:23:25,280 --> 01:23:28,080
Speaker 2: If they neutralize that, I think they run away with it. Also,

1671
01:23:28,160 --> 01:23:30,160
Speaker 2: no one in the Big Sky offensive rebounds They're twenty

1672
01:23:30,240 --> 01:23:34,120
Speaker 2: ninth as a conference an offensive rebounding rate. So yeah,

1673
01:23:34,200 --> 01:23:39,960
Speaker 2: a little different caliber of athletes here for you know,

1674
01:23:40,040 --> 01:23:42,839
Speaker 2: Rasmussen and company to deal with. But you know Colet Mitchell,

1675
01:23:43,320 --> 01:23:46,400
Speaker 2: he can get hot. Brickner I did as a decent team,

1676
01:23:46,439 --> 01:23:48,920
Speaker 2: but it's just too much of that. They're gonna shoot

1677
01:23:48,920 --> 01:23:51,400
Speaker 2: a ton of threes. So there's some variants there, but

1678
01:23:52,040 --> 01:23:54,479
Speaker 2: I don't think the athletic and talent gap is going

1679
01:23:54,560 --> 01:23:57,719
Speaker 2: to be massive. But congrats to the boys in Moscow.

1680
01:23:57,760 --> 01:23:59,519
Speaker 2: It's good to see them in the dance.

1681
01:24:00,120 --> 01:24:00,400
Speaker 1: All right.

1682
01:24:00,400 --> 01:24:02,320
Speaker 2: Before we get out of here, I do people for

1683
01:24:02,520 --> 01:24:04,400
Speaker 2: people throwing out their brackets. Who you got winning it all?

1684
01:24:04,920 --> 01:24:07,240
Speaker 2: And and your final four? If you have a finalized

1685
01:24:07,240 --> 01:24:10,120
Speaker 2: and you can say subject could change final four for me.

1686
01:24:10,360 --> 01:24:15,400
Speaker 3: I got Duke, Houston, Michigan and Purdue. I'm going Duke

1687
01:24:15,439 --> 01:24:16,840
Speaker 3: over Michigan in the championship.

1688
01:24:18,200 --> 01:24:24,960
Speaker 4: Christian Uh, I've got Arizona, Michigan, Houston, Yukon, And I've

1689
01:24:25,000 --> 01:24:26,559
Speaker 4: got Arizona over Houston.

1690
01:24:27,800 --> 01:24:31,320
Speaker 2: I will share mine on the Friday show. All right,

1691
01:24:31,439 --> 01:24:33,560
Speaker 2: that'll do it all the games on Thursday broke it

1692
01:24:33,600 --> 01:24:35,679
Speaker 2: down a couple of hours. Now we'll do Friday. Thanks

1693
01:24:35,680 --> 01:24:39,080
Speaker 2: to Greg and Christian for joining me, most partly thanks

1694
01:24:39,120 --> 01:24:40,680
Speaker 2: to all of you for tuning in. Thanks to our

1695
01:24:40,720 --> 01:24:44,240
Speaker 2: producers as well. Love the Friday Games, breakdown on myself,

1696
01:24:44,320 --> 01:24:47,719
Speaker 2: Duck Mike. We have live shows Thursday, Saturday ten Thurday

1697
01:24:47,720 --> 01:24:50,280
Speaker 2: in Eastern. Podcast will be back next week breaking down

1698
01:24:50,280 --> 01:24:53,479
Speaker 2: the sweek sixteen. Can't wait for that. Enjoy the games,

1699
01:24:53,880 --> 01:24:56,600
Speaker 2: get your attorney, start off right good foot, Wish you

1700
01:24:56,640 --> 01:24:58,320
Speaker 2: luck and only raders will catch you on later cheers.

1701
01:25:16,680 --> 01:25:20,120
Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1702
01:25:20,560 --> 01:25:23,400
Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1703
01:25:23,680 --> 01:25:26,280
Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1704
01:25:26,360 --> 01:25:27,160
Speaker 1: hundred gambler