1 00:00:01,760 --> 00:00:06,280 Speaker 1: Now from our nation's capital. This is Bloomberg sound On. 2 00:00:07,200 --> 00:00:11,280 Speaker 1: When it comes to Russia's warreams, Russia is failing, training 3 00:00:11,320 --> 00:00:14,480 Speaker 1: is succeeded. It has already lost a lot of military capability. 4 00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:17,720 Speaker 1: One of their most acute needs is for artillery. Bloomberg 5 00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:22,240 Speaker 1: sound on Politics, Policy and perspective from DC's top names. 6 00:00:22,600 --> 00:00:25,520 Speaker 1: I will work every single day to make sure that 7 00:00:25,600 --> 00:00:28,840 Speaker 1: Stacy Arams is never your governor or your next president. 8 00:00:28,960 --> 00:00:31,800 Speaker 1: I'm proud to have President Trump's endorsement. We will get this, 9 00:00:32,159 --> 00:00:36,600 Speaker 1: we will win. He's a fearless, magnified a Bloomberg sound 10 00:00:36,640 --> 00:00:42,360 Speaker 1: on with Joe Matthew on Bloomberg Radio. They're back in 11 00:00:42,479 --> 00:00:45,960 Speaker 1: the bubble. Lawmakers returning to town, just in time for 12 00:00:46,000 --> 00:00:49,440 Speaker 1: Elon Musk to take over Twitter. You can't write it 13 00:00:49,440 --> 00:00:53,040 Speaker 1: better than this. Welcome to the fastest hour in politics. 14 00:00:53,040 --> 00:00:55,400 Speaker 1: As the White House gives its first reaction to the 15 00:00:55,400 --> 00:01:00,160 Speaker 1: Twitter story, invoking section to thirty and facing a long 16 00:01:00,240 --> 00:01:03,080 Speaker 1: to do list as lawmakers return and a closing window 17 00:01:03,120 --> 00:01:06,080 Speaker 1: of opportunity on Capitol Hill. We'll talk about it all 18 00:01:06,080 --> 00:01:10,360 Speaker 1: with Greg Valier, chief policy strategist at a g F Investments. 19 00:01:10,680 --> 00:01:13,240 Speaker 1: The State Department says Ukraine has been even harder on 20 00:01:13,280 --> 00:01:17,160 Speaker 1: the Russian military than first reported. Imagine we'll discuss it 21 00:01:17,240 --> 00:01:19,600 Speaker 1: later with Brett Ruin of the Global Situation Room. After 22 00:01:19,680 --> 00:01:23,080 Speaker 1: a weekend that saw the Secretaries of State and Defense 23 00:01:23,240 --> 00:01:26,840 Speaker 1: on the ground in Kiev, our signature panel is in place. 24 00:01:26,840 --> 00:01:30,840 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Politics contributors Jeanie Chanzano and Rick Davis are with 25 00:01:30,959 --> 00:01:33,200 Speaker 1: us for the hour, and the Twitter story is resonating 26 00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:36,679 Speaker 1: here in Washington as well, where there's, of course for months, 27 00:01:36,680 --> 00:01:39,480 Speaker 1: been an active conversation for years, really about everything from 28 00:01:39,920 --> 00:01:43,720 Speaker 1: anti trust to censorship, to the mental well being of 29 00:01:43,720 --> 00:01:47,000 Speaker 1: our children. Now you add the big takeover by Elon Musk, 30 00:01:47,080 --> 00:01:48,800 Speaker 1: it's top of mind, and you know it's gonna come 31 00:01:48,840 --> 00:01:51,840 Speaker 1: up in the White House briefing. It did today. Here's 32 00:01:51,840 --> 00:01:56,080 Speaker 1: how Press Secretary Jensaki delivered the administration's response. I'm not 33 00:01:56,080 --> 00:01:59,320 Speaker 1: going to comment on a specific transaction. What I can 34 00:01:59,400 --> 00:02:00,960 Speaker 1: tell you as a John all matter no matter who 35 00:02:01,000 --> 00:02:05,120 Speaker 1: owns or runs Twitter. The President has long been concerned 36 00:02:05,160 --> 00:02:08,760 Speaker 1: about the power of large social media platforms, what they have, 37 00:02:08,800 --> 00:02:11,280 Speaker 1: that power they have over our everyday lives. Has long 38 00:02:11,360 --> 00:02:13,880 Speaker 1: argued that tech platforms must be held accountable for the 39 00:02:13,919 --> 00:02:16,960 Speaker 1: harms they cause. He has been a strong supporter of 40 00:02:17,000 --> 00:02:21,000 Speaker 1: fundamental reforms to achieve that goal, including reforms to Section 41 00:02:21,080 --> 00:02:25,519 Speaker 1: to thirty, enacting antitrust reforms, requiring more transparency and more. 42 00:02:25,600 --> 00:02:30,960 Speaker 1: And he's encouraged that there's bipartisan interest in Congress. Remembering 43 00:02:31,240 --> 00:02:33,960 Speaker 1: this White House has had a strained relationship with Elon 44 00:02:34,080 --> 00:02:36,320 Speaker 1: Musk right after choosing not to invite him to any 45 00:02:36,400 --> 00:02:38,440 Speaker 1: number of events about electric cars. They've had a lot 46 00:02:38,480 --> 00:02:42,080 Speaker 1: of them, featuring Ford, featuring GM and others. Some have 47 00:02:42,120 --> 00:02:45,720 Speaker 1: said it's because Tesla doesn't use union labor, although the 48 00:02:45,720 --> 00:02:47,400 Speaker 1: White House has never said that. And of course we 49 00:02:47,440 --> 00:02:49,440 Speaker 1: saw a picture of you know, Marty Walsh, weare and 50 00:02:49,480 --> 00:02:51,840 Speaker 1: Cowboy Boots hanging out there at the Big Plant, Texas 51 00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:55,600 Speaker 1: with Elon Musk. Still a loaded response from the White House, 52 00:02:55,600 --> 00:03:00,040 Speaker 1: though help be referring to the harms language that and 53 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:03,200 Speaker 1: sak he just used the harms that tech platforms cause, 54 00:03:04,680 --> 00:03:08,160 Speaker 1: referring presumably to social media, even invoking Section to thirty 55 00:03:08,240 --> 00:03:11,880 Speaker 1: may as well go right for it, grabbed the the 56 00:03:12,000 --> 00:03:15,960 Speaker 1: third rail, and the deal is technically not even done. 57 00:03:16,320 --> 00:03:19,200 Speaker 1: We have questions for Greg Valier, as always, whose note 58 00:03:19,240 --> 00:03:22,919 Speaker 1: this morning was strikingly optimistic, and we're gonna get into 59 00:03:22,960 --> 00:03:24,840 Speaker 1: that in a minutic Greg, welcome back. Are you more 60 00:03:24,919 --> 00:03:27,040 Speaker 1: or less likely to use Twitter once it's owned by 61 00:03:27,040 --> 00:03:31,320 Speaker 1: Elon Musk? Probably about the same. I mean this, this 62 00:03:31,360 --> 00:03:34,520 Speaker 1: will divide Washington, Joe, no question. On the left, there's 63 00:03:34,560 --> 00:03:39,200 Speaker 1: a feeling that he could enable hate, hate emails, hate tweets. 64 00:03:39,560 --> 00:03:41,360 Speaker 1: And on the right, I think there's a feeling that 65 00:03:41,440 --> 00:03:44,760 Speaker 1: censorship could be an issue as it was with Donald Trump. 66 00:03:45,120 --> 00:03:49,640 Speaker 1: So anything that involves Donald Trump and Musk and both parties, 67 00:03:49,760 --> 00:03:52,560 Speaker 1: you know, is going to be controversial. Well. Absolutely. By 68 00:03:52,560 --> 00:03:54,720 Speaker 1: the way, Trump said today on Fox that he's not 69 00:03:54,720 --> 00:03:57,360 Speaker 1: going back to Twitter anyway, even if he's invited, which 70 00:03:57,400 --> 00:03:58,840 Speaker 1: I thought was kind of fortunately. You know, he's got 71 00:03:58,840 --> 00:04:03,440 Speaker 1: his own what is it truth social or something like that. Yeah, 72 00:04:04,120 --> 00:04:06,360 Speaker 1: you know, he he can say that show. But if 73 00:04:06,360 --> 00:04:08,200 Speaker 1: he had a chance to go back, you don't buy it. 74 00:04:09,560 --> 00:04:11,960 Speaker 1: He'd be crazy not to go back. And the amount 75 00:04:11,960 --> 00:04:15,280 Speaker 1: of publicity he generate would be just too great. If 76 00:04:15,280 --> 00:04:17,960 Speaker 1: he's going to run in it would be a big plus. 77 00:04:18,760 --> 00:04:21,919 Speaker 1: How about invoking Section to thirty and antitrust, Both of 78 00:04:21,920 --> 00:04:24,960 Speaker 1: these have been kind of hanging out there. Uh, they 79 00:04:25,080 --> 00:04:28,040 Speaker 1: dragged the CEOs of these companies to Washington to testify. 80 00:04:28,200 --> 00:04:30,839 Speaker 1: Nobody has really pulled the trigger despite a lot of legislation, 81 00:04:31,400 --> 00:04:35,080 Speaker 1: UH that's been filed. Is this type of headline, Uh, 82 00:04:35,400 --> 00:04:39,200 Speaker 1: maybe push lawmakers into this direction. To your point, it's 83 00:04:39,240 --> 00:04:43,159 Speaker 1: a bipartisan desire to do something. It's just that Democrats 84 00:04:43,200 --> 00:04:46,760 Speaker 1: and Republicans want to do it for different reasons exactly. 85 00:04:47,080 --> 00:04:49,320 Speaker 1: So I think that it's not out of the question 86 00:04:49,400 --> 00:04:52,679 Speaker 1: that you'll have the antitrust edition at the Justice Department 87 00:04:52,800 --> 00:04:56,040 Speaker 1: or maybe the Federal Trade Commission at least look into this, 88 00:04:56,279 --> 00:04:59,560 Speaker 1: have hearings, gather evidence. But since it's going to be 89 00:04:59,640 --> 00:05:02,080 Speaker 1: a p avidly held company, and since I don't see 90 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:06,280 Speaker 1: any true anti trust competition on pricing things like that, 91 00:05:06,680 --> 00:05:08,720 Speaker 1: it'll be a tough case to make. But you know, 92 00:05:08,800 --> 00:05:12,320 Speaker 1: with a deal this big, Washington will look at it. Right. 93 00:05:12,400 --> 00:05:14,120 Speaker 1: Valier didn't know when he woke up this morning he 94 00:05:14,240 --> 00:05:17,080 Speaker 1: was going to be a Twitter analysts on an international broadcast. 95 00:05:17,160 --> 00:05:18,880 Speaker 1: But you know, I had to get your two cents 96 00:05:18,960 --> 00:05:23,800 Speaker 1: on this after we heard from Senator Elizabeth Warren on 97 00:05:23,960 --> 00:05:26,600 Speaker 1: Sunday Morning TV. At least two shows is that a 98 00:05:26,680 --> 00:05:29,400 Speaker 1: half Ginsburg. By the way, I asked somebody that this morning, 99 00:05:29,480 --> 00:05:31,239 Speaker 1: and they had no idea what I was talking about, 100 00:05:31,279 --> 00:05:33,680 Speaker 1: which is why I realized that I am getting too old. 101 00:05:33,720 --> 00:05:37,040 Speaker 1: But uh, just yeah, not a full Ginsburg. That's all 102 00:05:37,080 --> 00:05:40,800 Speaker 1: five shows. Now, I'd love to hear what Senator Warren 103 00:05:40,880 --> 00:05:43,680 Speaker 1: said and then get your response to this, Greg, because 104 00:05:43,839 --> 00:05:46,680 Speaker 1: this is kind of a call to action two hundred 105 00:05:46,800 --> 00:05:49,760 Speaker 1: days out from the mid terms. Here's Elizabeth Warren. We've 106 00:05:49,760 --> 00:05:53,480 Speaker 1: got nearly two hundred days left between now and the election, 107 00:05:54,000 --> 00:05:56,360 Speaker 1: and there are families who are trying to make the 108 00:05:56,440 --> 00:05:59,360 Speaker 1: decision at the check outline which groceries to send back 109 00:05:59,440 --> 00:06:02,480 Speaker 1: because they and afford them. There are millions of people 110 00:06:02,520 --> 00:06:04,960 Speaker 1: across this country who are saying they are not ready 111 00:06:05,040 --> 00:06:07,640 Speaker 1: for student loan payments to be turned back on they 112 00:06:07,760 --> 00:06:11,560 Speaker 1: simply can't afford them. There are millions of people across 113 00:06:11,640 --> 00:06:15,560 Speaker 1: this country who say that prices at the pump, prices 114 00:06:15,880 --> 00:06:18,360 Speaker 1: at to try to buy a pound of hamburger, have 115 00:06:18,640 --> 00:06:22,160 Speaker 1: all gone up and they need help. So she got 116 00:06:22,160 --> 00:06:24,120 Speaker 1: all the greatest hits prices at the pump, the price 117 00:06:24,160 --> 00:06:29,480 Speaker 1: of hamburger, um. But this was a two hundred day warning. 118 00:06:29,520 --> 00:06:33,080 Speaker 1: I guess we can say from from the progressive point 119 00:06:33,160 --> 00:06:36,320 Speaker 1: of view, still banging the drum on inflation though, Greg, 120 00:06:36,480 --> 00:06:39,640 Speaker 1: just like Republicans are. Yeah, you've got to look at 121 00:06:39,839 --> 00:06:43,920 Speaker 1: the progressive agenda and you've got to conclude, to be fair, 122 00:06:44,080 --> 00:06:48,559 Speaker 1: that most of it has failed. Defund the police, minimum tax, 123 00:06:49,240 --> 00:06:52,840 Speaker 1: Medicare for all. There are all these very expensive initiatives 124 00:06:52,920 --> 00:06:56,200 Speaker 1: that haven't made it. And I think Joe Biden's attachment 125 00:06:56,279 --> 00:07:00,400 Speaker 1: to progressive UH last year was a negative for him. 126 00:07:00,480 --> 00:07:04,800 Speaker 1: He it precluded him from getting more done well. And 127 00:07:04,880 --> 00:07:07,880 Speaker 1: of course he hasn't been speaking that language himself. And 128 00:07:07,960 --> 00:07:11,520 Speaker 1: it's interesting to see the Senator UH from Massachusetts weighing 129 00:07:11,720 --> 00:07:14,840 Speaker 1: here knowing that there could be some difficult results coming 130 00:07:15,040 --> 00:07:18,840 Speaker 1: in November. Greg. She she weighed in on that as well, 131 00:07:19,800 --> 00:07:23,320 Speaker 1: but also allowed for the possibility of Democrats to maintain control. 132 00:07:23,520 --> 00:07:27,120 Speaker 1: That's that's not in your crystal ball, is it? No? 133 00:07:27,480 --> 00:07:29,840 Speaker 1: But I would say this show. I think this was 134 00:07:29,920 --> 00:07:33,560 Speaker 1: a shot from Elizabeth Warren to Bernie Sanders, basically saying, 135 00:07:33,680 --> 00:07:36,840 Speaker 1: don't even think about running at the age of three 136 00:07:36,960 --> 00:07:39,800 Speaker 1: or eighty four. I think Warren feels this could be 137 00:07:39,920 --> 00:07:43,360 Speaker 1: her turn, and I think she that was a not 138 00:07:43,560 --> 00:07:48,160 Speaker 1: too subtle shot at Bernie imagine Warren Trump, Greg Valier, 139 00:07:48,240 --> 00:07:52,560 Speaker 1: you'd show up for that. Indeed every day I felt 140 00:07:52,640 --> 00:07:55,640 Speaker 1: like Tom Keane this morning when I read your note 141 00:07:55,680 --> 00:07:59,560 Speaker 1: to clients. Check this out, the poetry from Greg amid 142 00:07:59,640 --> 00:08:03,320 Speaker 1: The dew Woman Gloom over geopolitics and inflation. We begin 143 00:08:03,400 --> 00:08:06,160 Speaker 1: this week with a contrarian look at reasons for optimism. 144 00:08:07,360 --> 00:08:10,160 Speaker 1: I love the way you started things off here, Greg. 145 00:08:10,320 --> 00:08:12,080 Speaker 1: I think if Tom were with me, he would ask, 146 00:08:12,240 --> 00:08:15,840 Speaker 1: he would ask, what is there possibly to be optimistic 147 00:08:15,880 --> 00:08:18,040 Speaker 1: about right now? You wrote that with the Dow still 148 00:08:18,160 --> 00:08:21,280 Speaker 1: freshly down, about a thousand points, of war going overseas, 149 00:08:21,360 --> 00:08:25,280 Speaker 1: and god knows what else. Well, thank you, there's there 150 00:08:25,360 --> 00:08:28,160 Speaker 1: are things that are not all that negative. You've got. 151 00:08:28,520 --> 00:08:31,120 Speaker 1: I think the chance to Russia could bog down. British 152 00:08:31,200 --> 00:08:35,680 Speaker 1: intelligence is predicting that you had a really strong sign 153 00:08:35,720 --> 00:08:41,120 Speaker 1: of NATO unity with Macrone winning by seventeen points. You've 154 00:08:41,160 --> 00:08:42,920 Speaker 1: also got I think at the said the fact that 155 00:08:43,000 --> 00:08:45,240 Speaker 1: they do want to fight inflation. That's a good thing. 156 00:08:45,640 --> 00:08:47,880 Speaker 1: I think maybe we're getting close to that being in 157 00:08:48,160 --> 00:08:51,240 Speaker 1: the markets, and I'm not convinced the rates are going 158 00:08:51,320 --> 00:08:53,839 Speaker 1: to go up by quite so much because of China. 159 00:08:54,160 --> 00:08:57,160 Speaker 1: I think that could be a retardant to economic growth. 160 00:08:57,440 --> 00:09:01,040 Speaker 1: In one final thing, Joe, the budget deficits, it has plunged. 161 00:09:01,320 --> 00:09:04,319 Speaker 1: No one's talking about this when the budget deficit has 162 00:09:04,360 --> 00:09:08,200 Speaker 1: fallen dramatically, still another piece of good news. And since 163 00:09:08,240 --> 00:09:10,480 Speaker 1: nobody cares about the deficit one way or the other, 164 00:09:10,559 --> 00:09:13,680 Speaker 1: apparently Joe Biden gets no credit for that, right of course, 165 00:09:13,760 --> 00:09:17,880 Speaker 1: not all right, then, revenue growth is when you point 166 00:09:17,920 --> 00:09:20,880 Speaker 1: out here, uh you you mentioned the Fed as well. 167 00:09:20,960 --> 00:09:23,280 Speaker 1: There's been a big conversation about whether the Fed can 168 00:09:23,640 --> 00:09:27,600 Speaker 1: achieve a soft landing or whether we're talking about a recession, 169 00:09:27,640 --> 00:09:29,760 Speaker 1: if even a quick one next year, maybe it's even 170 00:09:29,880 --> 00:09:34,240 Speaker 1: just one month of of of negative growth. What does 171 00:09:34,480 --> 00:09:38,439 Speaker 1: your forecast tell us about that? Well, obviously you have 172 00:09:38,600 --> 00:09:40,760 Speaker 1: to stick with a consensus that the next two or 173 00:09:40,880 --> 00:09:43,920 Speaker 1: three f O m C policy meetings you'll get fifty 174 00:09:43,960 --> 00:09:47,880 Speaker 1: basis points increase. But I would argue by the fall, 175 00:09:48,120 --> 00:09:51,240 Speaker 1: if the economy is starting to slow, if inflation doesn't 176 00:09:51,280 --> 00:09:53,880 Speaker 1: look quite as hot, we go to twenty five basis 177 00:09:53,960 --> 00:09:56,480 Speaker 1: point rate hikes for the last two or three meetings 178 00:09:56,600 --> 00:09:59,400 Speaker 1: of the year. I don't think the Fed will overdo it. 179 00:09:59,559 --> 00:10:02,160 Speaker 1: They know the markets are worried that the FED could 180 00:10:02,840 --> 00:10:05,880 Speaker 1: kick into a recession. I don't think the Fed will 181 00:10:05,920 --> 00:10:09,120 Speaker 1: do it. So at that point, you know, we're coming 182 00:10:09,200 --> 00:10:12,480 Speaker 1: off the summer. You like to think that COVID rates 183 00:10:12,600 --> 00:10:17,840 Speaker 1: are pretty low. You just mentioned we just avoided a recession. Uh, 184 00:10:18,200 --> 00:10:21,160 Speaker 1: Inflation is coming down a little bit, looks like it peaked. 185 00:10:22,040 --> 00:10:24,800 Speaker 1: Does that start to turn the conversation politically as well? 186 00:10:24,920 --> 00:10:28,520 Speaker 1: Or is it just too late for that? Probably too late. 187 00:10:28,679 --> 00:10:32,839 Speaker 1: I maybe if the move on inflation to downward is 188 00:10:32,960 --> 00:10:35,920 Speaker 1: clear by mid to late summer, it could help Joe Biden, 189 00:10:36,480 --> 00:10:39,400 Speaker 1: you know, the gas pump and grocery stores. But once 190 00:10:39,480 --> 00:10:42,679 Speaker 1: that attitude gets solidified, it's hard to change. And there 191 00:10:42,880 --> 00:10:47,319 Speaker 1: is a belief among American voters that runaway spending has 192 00:10:47,360 --> 00:10:50,679 Speaker 1: exacerbated inflation. And I would argue if you look at 193 00:10:50,840 --> 00:10:53,839 Speaker 1: spending and revenues, it's a totally different story. It's a 194 00:10:53,920 --> 00:10:57,800 Speaker 1: much more positive story. So in our remaining thirty seconds here, 195 00:10:57,800 --> 00:11:00,720 Speaker 1: does a does a mini build back better happened between 196 00:11:00,760 --> 00:11:04,600 Speaker 1: now and November? Maybe a couple of things, maybe something 197 00:11:04,679 --> 00:11:08,920 Speaker 1: on the environment, like pre kindergarten for kids. Uh, But 198 00:11:09,040 --> 00:11:11,480 Speaker 1: it certainly isn't going to be anything great. In fact, 199 00:11:12,160 --> 00:11:15,920 Speaker 1: Democrats wish they had taken Mansion's offer of one point 200 00:11:16,000 --> 00:11:18,599 Speaker 1: five trillion. That would be nirvana. If it seems like 201 00:11:18,679 --> 00:11:21,480 Speaker 1: a lot of money now, doesn't it. Greg Valier with US, 202 00:11:21,880 --> 00:11:25,160 Speaker 1: the chief US policy strategist at a g F Investments, 203 00:11:25,160 --> 00:11:28,400 Speaker 1: always a fascinating and in this case, optimistic conversation. How 204 00:11:28,440 --> 00:11:31,360 Speaker 1: about that now for a Monday. We'll assemble the panel 205 00:11:31,400 --> 00:11:33,360 Speaker 1: next that will make you smile to Rick and Janie 206 00:11:33,400 --> 00:11:36,439 Speaker 1: are on the way on sound on. This is Bloomberg. 207 00:11:38,559 --> 00:11:42,320 Speaker 1: You're listening to Bloomberg. You sound on with Joe Matthew 208 00:11:42,720 --> 00:11:47,439 Speaker 1: on Bloomberg Radio. You could do a quick news search 209 00:11:47,760 --> 00:11:50,360 Speaker 1: for Twitter, as I just did on the terminal. The 210 00:11:50,440 --> 00:11:52,760 Speaker 1: top headline, at least at the moment, Twitter deal is 211 00:11:52,800 --> 00:11:57,719 Speaker 1: said to include reverse termination fee. These are the kind 212 00:11:57,720 --> 00:11:59,520 Speaker 1: of things you have to remember as we talk about 213 00:11:59,559 --> 00:12:03,200 Speaker 1: these war old changing stories like Elon Musk buying Twitter. 214 00:12:03,280 --> 00:12:06,800 Speaker 1: It includes a provision, as I read, that the billionaires 215 00:12:06,840 --> 00:12:08,880 Speaker 1: required to pay the company a fee if you were 216 00:12:08,920 --> 00:12:11,040 Speaker 1: to walk away or the deal falls apart. According to 217 00:12:11,120 --> 00:12:15,079 Speaker 1: people familiar with the matter, Twitter's advisors negotiated for the 218 00:12:15,280 --> 00:12:18,640 Speaker 1: so called reverse breakup fee. The people said, so you know, 219 00:12:19,480 --> 00:12:21,880 Speaker 1: it's not a done deal well late, you know when 220 00:12:21,920 --> 00:12:26,200 Speaker 1: it is. As we assemble the panel with Bloomberg Politics 221 00:12:26,320 --> 00:12:31,320 Speaker 1: contributors Jeannie Chanzano and Rick Davis emerging from their beautiful 222 00:12:31,400 --> 00:12:34,360 Speaker 1: spring weekend. It's great to have both of you guys here, Genie. 223 00:12:34,440 --> 00:12:38,559 Speaker 1: The White House response was clearly thought out, and I'd 224 00:12:38,640 --> 00:12:40,760 Speaker 1: like to go back through it for a minute with you. 225 00:12:40,960 --> 00:12:42,760 Speaker 1: This is Jen Saki, as we played for you a 226 00:12:42,840 --> 00:12:46,520 Speaker 1: couple of minutes ago. Uh. Not gonna comment on this transaction, 227 00:12:46,679 --> 00:12:48,959 Speaker 1: she says, and then proceeds to, you know, give you 228 00:12:49,080 --> 00:12:52,920 Speaker 1: this list of of pretty interesting indications about where we 229 00:12:53,000 --> 00:12:55,480 Speaker 1: might be going. That the president has long been concerned 230 00:12:55,480 --> 00:13:00,400 Speaker 1: about the power of large social media platforms. He says, 231 00:13:00,920 --> 00:13:03,679 Speaker 1: he's long argued tech platforms must be held accountable for 232 00:13:03,720 --> 00:13:07,720 Speaker 1: the harms they cause, and then later refers to reforms 233 00:13:07,800 --> 00:13:11,080 Speaker 1: to sections to thirty and anti trust reform. What are 234 00:13:11,120 --> 00:13:13,880 Speaker 1: we in for this year? You know that is the 235 00:13:14,040 --> 00:13:17,839 Speaker 1: not comment comment that we got from Jenasaki, and you know, 236 00:13:18,280 --> 00:13:21,480 Speaker 1: to me, it had strong echoes of the speech we 237 00:13:21,600 --> 00:13:24,440 Speaker 1: heard from Barack Obama at Stanford the other day. I mean, 238 00:13:24,480 --> 00:13:28,400 Speaker 1: Barack Obama came out very publicly and said that he 239 00:13:28,640 --> 00:13:35,080 Speaker 1: charged that online distance disinformation, It exemplifies humanities worse impulses, 240 00:13:35,120 --> 00:13:38,880 Speaker 1: I think was his his his line, and disinformation he 241 00:13:39,000 --> 00:13:42,559 Speaker 1: said puts democracy at risk. And you juxtapose that with 242 00:13:42,720 --> 00:13:45,839 Speaker 1: what Elon Musk is saying, free speech the bedrock of 243 00:13:45,880 --> 00:13:49,240 Speaker 1: a functioning democracy, absolutely in Twitter being the digital town square. 244 00:13:49,600 --> 00:13:52,520 Speaker 1: How do you come together with those two points? And 245 00:13:52,600 --> 00:13:55,520 Speaker 1: I think we're hearing echoes of Barack Obama's view all 246 00:13:55,600 --> 00:13:58,839 Speaker 1: across the Democrats, all across the left, and certainly in 247 00:13:58,920 --> 00:14:02,319 Speaker 1: the Obama administer ration. And I would not be surprised 248 00:14:02,360 --> 00:14:05,160 Speaker 1: if we see a headlong movement if if if Democrats 249 00:14:05,200 --> 00:14:10,119 Speaker 1: are able into a more you know, sort of a discussion, 250 00:14:10,160 --> 00:14:11,360 Speaker 1: if you will, if they ei they're not going to 251 00:14:11,400 --> 00:14:13,559 Speaker 1: have Congress, probably, but if they are allowed to lead 252 00:14:13,600 --> 00:14:16,040 Speaker 1: any of that towards more regulation or at least some 253 00:14:16,160 --> 00:14:19,040 Speaker 1: regulation in that space hasn't been. Republicans, though, have been 254 00:14:19,080 --> 00:14:22,280 Speaker 1: crying about Section two thirty for for quite a lot longer. Rick, 255 00:14:22,320 --> 00:14:24,520 Speaker 1: Were you surprised to hear this come from the administration? 256 00:14:24,600 --> 00:14:27,440 Speaker 1: And if they try to change this for different reasons, 257 00:14:27,440 --> 00:14:30,400 Speaker 1: I wonder if that's if that's workable. Yeah, it's hard 258 00:14:30,400 --> 00:14:32,200 Speaker 1: to tell what they would be willing to do or 259 00:14:32,280 --> 00:14:36,480 Speaker 1: not do, especially assuming that the must deal goes through. 260 00:14:36,640 --> 00:14:39,680 Speaker 1: And you're right, Republicans have been screaming about Section two 261 00:14:39,720 --> 00:14:42,880 Speaker 1: thirty because they really think that the social media platforms 262 00:14:42,920 --> 00:14:46,160 Speaker 1: have carved out their own censorship and they have been 263 00:14:46,840 --> 00:14:50,800 Speaker 1: diminishing the conservative voices across these platforms. And so, uh, 264 00:14:51,160 --> 00:14:54,440 Speaker 1: if you believe what Elon Musk is telling us today, UH, 265 00:14:54,640 --> 00:14:57,560 Speaker 1: he's basically gonna let everybody to have have their say 266 00:14:57,640 --> 00:15:00,960 Speaker 1: and try to do less uh quotes censorship on his own. 267 00:15:01,000 --> 00:15:03,840 Speaker 1: Which Uh, it's very hard to decide how this is 268 00:15:03,840 --> 00:15:06,320 Speaker 1: all going to play out. And uh and and yet 269 00:15:06,440 --> 00:15:09,560 Speaker 1: I do think the administration showed their hand by throwing 270 00:15:09,640 --> 00:15:14,760 Speaker 1: out a very tough statement pre deal on on Elon 271 00:15:14,840 --> 00:15:19,200 Speaker 1: Musk's transaction with Twitter, you've put together your share of deals, Rick? 272 00:15:19,400 --> 00:15:22,480 Speaker 1: Was that was that response that I mentioned to have 273 00:15:22,720 --> 00:15:27,840 Speaker 1: the fee built in a reverse termination feed just because 274 00:15:27,880 --> 00:15:31,200 Speaker 1: they're dealing with a vol little personality. No, I mean 275 00:15:31,640 --> 00:15:35,640 Speaker 1: it's not too unusual with major public markets deals, especially 276 00:15:35,720 --> 00:15:37,760 Speaker 1: those that might be on a go private basis. And 277 00:15:38,200 --> 00:15:41,120 Speaker 1: and and because it is going to hurt the company 278 00:15:41,200 --> 00:15:44,040 Speaker 1: if this deal doesn't go through, uh, and so the 279 00:15:44,120 --> 00:15:48,280 Speaker 1: company needs some way to recapture. Uh that that kind 280 00:15:48,360 --> 00:15:51,600 Speaker 1: of impact if it does happen, so I break up 281 00:15:51,680 --> 00:15:55,640 Speaker 1: fees like that or not unusual. Probably this one is 282 00:15:55,640 --> 00:15:59,160 Speaker 1: gonna be in the historical size because of the size 283 00:15:59,200 --> 00:16:02,800 Speaker 1: of the transaction, but otherwise business as usual on Wall Street. 284 00:16:02,960 --> 00:16:04,840 Speaker 1: What's more likely as we kind of look down the 285 00:16:04,920 --> 00:16:09,080 Speaker 1: next couple of months or even years under this Biden administration, genie, 286 00:16:09,160 --> 00:16:12,640 Speaker 1: is it antitrust or or is it managing Section to thirty? 287 00:16:12,680 --> 00:16:16,200 Speaker 1: Managing the liabilities or the protection from liabilities for these companies? 288 00:16:16,680 --> 00:16:19,920 Speaker 1: You know, I think they should pursue Section to thirty. Myself. 289 00:16:20,040 --> 00:16:22,240 Speaker 1: I'm not sure that they will do that, but I 290 00:16:22,360 --> 00:16:24,800 Speaker 1: think that would be the wiser of the two moves. 291 00:16:25,240 --> 00:16:28,920 Speaker 1: They may go full throttle on both fronts, but again, 292 00:16:29,160 --> 00:16:32,040 Speaker 1: you know, they are going to need bipartisan support to 293 00:16:32,160 --> 00:16:36,400 Speaker 1: do any and this gulf between Democrats and Republicans on 294 00:16:36,520 --> 00:16:39,440 Speaker 1: this issue is very fascinating, and we have every reason 295 00:16:39,520 --> 00:16:43,240 Speaker 1: to believe that Elon Musk believes what conservatives have been saying, 296 00:16:43,360 --> 00:16:47,040 Speaker 1: which that social media has been de emphasizing their voices 297 00:16:47,080 --> 00:16:50,360 Speaker 1: and emphasizing liberal voices. He's made he made it clear 298 00:16:50,480 --> 00:16:53,120 Speaker 1: that he wants to create a balance there and allow 299 00:16:53,280 --> 00:16:57,680 Speaker 1: everybody to speak freely. Um, so you know, whether conservatives 300 00:16:57,720 --> 00:17:00,640 Speaker 1: in fact are still as gung ho on regulation as 301 00:17:00,680 --> 00:17:02,840 Speaker 1: they have been in the past is going to be 302 00:17:02,920 --> 00:17:05,640 Speaker 1: a big question. I think going forward, Rick, what kind 303 00:17:05,640 --> 00:17:07,399 Speaker 1: of a lobbying people are asking you, who's going to 304 00:17:07,440 --> 00:17:10,159 Speaker 1: be the CEO? What kind of a lobbying operation a 305 00:17:10,320 --> 00:17:13,359 Speaker 1: Washington operation will Elon Musk need to have here if 306 00:17:13,400 --> 00:17:15,320 Speaker 1: this goes through, Well, we pretty much know he's not 307 00:17:15,359 --> 00:17:17,800 Speaker 1: going to have the current CEO, who he called a 308 00:17:18,000 --> 00:17:20,840 Speaker 1: Joseph Stalin type figure at one point in time. So 309 00:17:21,480 --> 00:17:23,040 Speaker 1: my guess is that deal is not gonna get done 310 00:17:23,080 --> 00:17:26,160 Speaker 1: for him. But uh, look, I think that uh they're 311 00:17:26,280 --> 00:17:30,520 Speaker 1: they're already huge lobbying campaigns in Washington, both around Section 312 00:17:30,560 --> 00:17:34,159 Speaker 1: to thirty and an impact on you know, teens, and 313 00:17:34,400 --> 00:17:37,560 Speaker 1: and there's just a laundry list of issues that affect 314 00:17:37,960 --> 00:17:40,360 Speaker 1: a big tech and of course how does the new 315 00:17:40,440 --> 00:17:44,080 Speaker 1: Twitter get along with other big text like Amazon and 316 00:17:44,160 --> 00:17:46,320 Speaker 1: Apple and knows that are already in the hot hot 317 00:17:46,400 --> 00:17:50,040 Speaker 1: seat in Congress. Fascinating be a help wanted sign, I 318 00:17:50,240 --> 00:17:54,320 Speaker 1: I suspect on the legislative Liaison office at Twitter. But 319 00:17:54,440 --> 00:17:57,119 Speaker 1: we'll see as we spend time with Rick and Jeanie 320 00:17:57,160 --> 00:17:59,560 Speaker 1: on a Monday, and we'll bring in Brett Bruin next 321 00:17:59,600 --> 00:18:03,159 Speaker 1: this week earned the geopolitics, there is more than Elon 322 00:18:03,280 --> 00:18:06,359 Speaker 1: happening today as we cast our view to Ukraine on 323 00:18:06,480 --> 00:18:09,879 Speaker 1: the fastest hour in politics. This is Bloomberg. So, as 324 00:18:09,920 --> 00:18:14,520 Speaker 1: I mentioned, UH, some pretty high powered officials when we 325 00:18:14,680 --> 00:18:16,359 Speaker 1: when we consider the idea, well, we might send a 326 00:18:16,480 --> 00:18:20,080 Speaker 1: US official to Ukraine. We weren't thinking the Secretary of 327 00:18:20,200 --> 00:18:22,600 Speaker 1: Defense or State for that matter, but both showed up 328 00:18:22,640 --> 00:18:27,200 Speaker 1: together on Sunday, generating some pretty remarkable headlines, the first 329 00:18:27,240 --> 00:18:30,040 Speaker 1: of them from Anthony Blincoln of State saying that diplomats 330 00:18:30,040 --> 00:18:32,240 Speaker 1: are going to be on their way back. US diplomats 331 00:18:32,280 --> 00:18:36,760 Speaker 1: will come back from Poland and head back into Ukraine, UH, 332 00:18:36,920 --> 00:18:40,200 Speaker 1: starting in the coming days. Serious part of our commitment 333 00:18:40,440 --> 00:18:42,879 Speaker 1: going forward involves a number of things that I was 334 00:18:42,920 --> 00:18:46,000 Speaker 1: able to share with President Silonski yesterday, including the return 335 00:18:46,040 --> 00:18:51,600 Speaker 1: of American diplomats to Ukraine starting next week. Starting next week, 336 00:18:51,800 --> 00:18:54,440 Speaker 1: I guess they'll start in Leviv and then eventually work 337 00:18:54,520 --> 00:18:56,760 Speaker 1: their way into other parts of the country. Imagine a 338 00:18:56,840 --> 00:19:00,600 Speaker 1: situation with the U. S Embassy reopening in Kiev. The 339 00:19:00,640 --> 00:19:04,920 Speaker 1: Secretary of Defense, as I mentioned, was also there Lloyd 340 00:19:04,960 --> 00:19:07,720 Speaker 1: Austin helping to generate this headline on the terminal USC 341 00:19:07,880 --> 00:19:12,280 Speaker 1: is major depletion of Russian forces. I love this, uh 342 00:19:12,600 --> 00:19:14,919 Speaker 1: angle on the story here. Not only are they showing up, 343 00:19:15,000 --> 00:19:19,679 Speaker 1: you know, in a show of solidarity, but letting us know. Uh. 344 00:19:20,760 --> 00:19:23,320 Speaker 1: And this is, by the way, a State Department official 345 00:19:23,440 --> 00:19:27,840 Speaker 1: who brief reporters on condition of anonymity, Russia now facing 346 00:19:27,880 --> 00:19:33,280 Speaker 1: a significant depletion of its hardware and its forces in Ukraine, 347 00:19:33,400 --> 00:19:36,480 Speaker 1: both hardware and human. As the war drags on, in 348 00:19:36,600 --> 00:19:41,280 Speaker 1: Russian production lines confront shortages of components and parts. Listened 349 00:19:41,280 --> 00:19:44,800 Speaker 1: to Secretary of Defense Austin not only on the fact 350 00:19:44,880 --> 00:19:47,879 Speaker 1: that we're you know, we're not gonna pretty hard or 351 00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:51,920 Speaker 1: Ukraine is using our hardware, but the idea from here 352 00:19:52,080 --> 00:19:55,119 Speaker 1: is to keep them down here, Secretary Austin, you want 353 00:19:55,160 --> 00:19:59,119 Speaker 1: to see Russia weakened to the degree that it can't 354 00:19:59,440 --> 00:20:02,560 Speaker 1: do the kind of things that it has done in 355 00:20:02,800 --> 00:20:06,120 Speaker 1: invading Ukraine. It has already lost a lot of military 356 00:20:06,280 --> 00:20:08,920 Speaker 1: capability and a lot of a lot of its troops, 357 00:20:09,000 --> 00:20:12,200 Speaker 1: quite frankly, and we want to see them not have 358 00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:16,840 Speaker 1: the capability to very quickly reproduce that capability. Let's bringing 359 00:20:16,880 --> 00:20:19,960 Speaker 1: Brett Ruin of the Global Situation Room, President and former 360 00:20:20,040 --> 00:20:23,640 Speaker 1: Director of Global Engagement at the White House. It's great 361 00:20:23,680 --> 00:20:26,280 Speaker 1: to have you back, Brett. Thanks for being here. Is 362 00:20:26,359 --> 00:20:29,399 Speaker 1: this a turning point for Ukraine and that more people 363 00:20:29,440 --> 00:20:33,639 Speaker 1: are talking about not just holding off Russia or maybe 364 00:20:33,800 --> 00:20:38,000 Speaker 1: Kiev will still be standing, but in fact winning this war. Well, 365 00:20:38,080 --> 00:20:41,919 Speaker 1: you heard that yesterday from State Deparming spokesperson Ned Price, 366 00:20:41,960 --> 00:20:45,879 Speaker 1: who suggested that Russia is losing. And that was an 367 00:20:45,960 --> 00:20:50,800 Speaker 1: important change in what we were hearing out of Washington, 368 00:20:50,960 --> 00:20:54,920 Speaker 1: which you know previously had, if you will, been pretty 369 00:20:55,000 --> 00:20:59,760 Speaker 1: circumspect when it came to the Ukrainians prospects. But there 370 00:20:59,880 --> 00:21:03,080 Speaker 1: was a level of confidence that was exuded both by 371 00:21:03,160 --> 00:21:08,160 Speaker 1: Secretaries Austin as well as Lincoln and echoed here in Washington. 372 00:21:08,240 --> 00:21:11,879 Speaker 1: So I think they are clearly seeing on the battlefield 373 00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:15,440 Speaker 1: that things have taken a turn for the worst. Or 374 00:21:15,800 --> 00:21:18,840 Speaker 1: the Russian military, we know that they cannot get supplies 375 00:21:18,920 --> 00:21:23,240 Speaker 1: to fix tanks, to replace hardware that's sitting down the 376 00:21:23,280 --> 00:21:26,760 Speaker 1: side of the road somewhere north of Kiev. Where where 377 00:21:26,800 --> 00:21:30,320 Speaker 1: does Russia go now in terms of reinforcing if there's 378 00:21:30,400 --> 00:21:32,800 Speaker 1: some major onslaught as we keep hearing to the east, 379 00:21:32,840 --> 00:21:36,360 Speaker 1: regrouping and shaping. Where are they getting the hardware from. Well, 380 00:21:36,400 --> 00:21:38,640 Speaker 1: you know, a lot of the listeners here at Bloomberg 381 00:21:38,760 --> 00:21:42,960 Speaker 1: Radio will be familiar with supply chain challenges, and this 382 00:21:43,240 --> 00:21:47,080 Speaker 1: is perhaps one of the biggest supply chain challenges because 383 00:21:47,160 --> 00:21:51,400 Speaker 1: they're cut off from most manufacturers, they're cut off from 384 00:21:51,520 --> 00:21:56,160 Speaker 1: getting access to financing, and so this is a real 385 00:21:56,320 --> 00:21:59,399 Speaker 1: quagmire for the Kremlin and one that I'm not certain 386 00:21:59,760 --> 00:22:03,080 Speaker 1: they had figured a way out of when this conflict began. 387 00:22:03,359 --> 00:22:07,600 Speaker 1: So for Putin it is going to be extraordinarily difficult, 388 00:22:07,600 --> 00:22:10,560 Speaker 1: and I think what we're likely to see are one 389 00:22:10,880 --> 00:22:14,399 Speaker 1: what is already being witnessed on the battlefield in the 390 00:22:14,520 --> 00:22:17,200 Speaker 1: last few days, which is just throwing everything in the 391 00:22:17,320 --> 00:22:21,520 Speaker 1: kitchen sink, no matter how inaccurate, is just really for 392 00:22:21,680 --> 00:22:24,159 Speaker 1: a show of force. But ultimately I think they're going 393 00:22:24,200 --> 00:22:27,280 Speaker 1: to have to scale back their ambition to the east 394 00:22:27,320 --> 00:22:29,680 Speaker 1: and south as we're hearing, or something smaller than that. 395 00:22:30,760 --> 00:22:33,200 Speaker 1: I think, even something smaller than that, I don't know 396 00:22:33,760 --> 00:22:36,720 Speaker 1: that just based on some of the reports that we're 397 00:22:36,760 --> 00:22:39,280 Speaker 1: getting in the last few days. You know, British Intelligence 398 00:22:39,320 --> 00:22:42,800 Speaker 1: has been doing these daily public updates that the Russians 399 00:22:42,840 --> 00:22:46,760 Speaker 1: are advancing much. They're certainly firing an awful lot, but 400 00:22:47,119 --> 00:22:49,639 Speaker 1: we're seeing cases where the Ukrainians have been able to 401 00:22:49,720 --> 00:22:52,879 Speaker 1: counter attack where the Russians are losing grounds. So I 402 00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:56,280 Speaker 1: think the Russians are going to struggle to hold on 403 00:22:56,720 --> 00:22:59,200 Speaker 1: to territory because it is not just this notion. And 404 00:22:59,560 --> 00:23:01,480 Speaker 1: we heard the last few days of you know, this 405 00:23:01,720 --> 00:23:05,760 Speaker 1: land grab strategy that Putin have. The problem being you've 406 00:23:05,800 --> 00:23:07,520 Speaker 1: got to not only grab it, you've got to hold 407 00:23:07,600 --> 00:23:09,679 Speaker 1: onto it. And the Russians have been proven they can 408 00:23:09,760 --> 00:23:13,119 Speaker 1: do that. Well, they certainly haven't. And a lot of 409 00:23:13,200 --> 00:23:15,320 Speaker 1: folks are wondering if you know there's going to be 410 00:23:15,520 --> 00:23:18,200 Speaker 1: at some point an off ramp to the negotiating table 411 00:23:18,280 --> 00:23:22,880 Speaker 1: here or is that simply not in Vladimir Putin's nature breath? Well, 412 00:23:22,960 --> 00:23:25,680 Speaker 1: he is projecting, and we heard from the f T 413 00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:28,840 Speaker 1: just in the last couple of days that Putin is 414 00:23:28,920 --> 00:23:31,960 Speaker 1: saying I'm done with diplomacy and we're gonna settle this 415 00:23:32,080 --> 00:23:35,280 Speaker 1: thing on the battlefield. But you've got to take Putin's 416 00:23:35,320 --> 00:23:38,679 Speaker 1: comments with a big bag of salt, because he often 417 00:23:39,160 --> 00:23:42,440 Speaker 1: says one thing and means or does another thing. This 418 00:23:42,640 --> 00:23:45,639 Speaker 1: is one of those cases, and ultimately I think Putin 419 00:23:45,760 --> 00:23:48,480 Speaker 1: is going to be forced into a position where he 420 00:23:48,720 --> 00:23:51,680 Speaker 1: is going to have to find some sort of settlement 421 00:23:51,920 --> 00:23:56,080 Speaker 1: otherwise he risks. And we've seen cases where Russia itself 422 00:23:56,240 --> 00:23:58,399 Speaker 1: oil tanks on the Russian side of the border are 423 00:23:58,440 --> 00:24:01,480 Speaker 1: getting attacked. That's going going to really put Putin in 424 00:24:01,520 --> 00:24:04,800 Speaker 1: a difficult spot. Well, it sure is, uh and hopefully 425 00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:06,680 Speaker 1: keep the US out of a different spot. It was 426 00:24:06,720 --> 00:24:08,520 Speaker 1: only a couple of weeks ago we were starting to 427 00:24:08,600 --> 00:24:12,240 Speaker 1: talk about a much more meaningful conversation with Chris Coons, 428 00:24:12,280 --> 00:24:13,960 Speaker 1: for instance, is saying, you know, maybe it's time to 429 00:24:13,960 --> 00:24:16,800 Speaker 1: start putting troops back on the table. It does feel 430 00:24:16,840 --> 00:24:18,920 Speaker 1: to me, Brett, like things have really kind of turned 431 00:24:18,920 --> 00:24:21,960 Speaker 1: in the last you know, four or five days. Well, 432 00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:26,919 Speaker 1: I would caution only that obviously there remains the nuclear option, 433 00:24:27,000 --> 00:24:29,560 Speaker 1: and that's when we've got to work to avoid to 434 00:24:29,840 --> 00:24:33,240 Speaker 1: make clear to Putin how costly it would be for him. 435 00:24:33,560 --> 00:24:37,480 Speaker 1: But secondly, let's forget that Russia is going to be 436 00:24:37,760 --> 00:24:40,359 Speaker 1: asymmetric in how they respond. We've got to be on 437 00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:42,919 Speaker 1: the lookout for other kinds of attacks. Brett Brewin always 438 00:24:42,920 --> 00:24:46,280 Speaker 1: a great conversation the Global Situation Room, President veteran of 439 00:24:46,320 --> 00:24:49,320 Speaker 1: the Obama White House, where he was Director of Global Engagements. 440 00:24:49,600 --> 00:24:53,760 Speaker 1: The panel next, this is Bloomberg. You're listening to Bloomberg. 441 00:24:53,840 --> 00:25:00,040 Speaker 1: You sound on with Joe Matthew on Bloomberg Radio. The 442 00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:05,200 Speaker 1: judge made the decision verbally during a status conference Monday. 443 00:25:05,480 --> 00:25:08,919 Speaker 1: I read in the story from Bloomberg Government, we've got 444 00:25:09,000 --> 00:25:12,720 Speaker 1: a breaker here, We've got a screamer. The Biden administration 445 00:25:12,880 --> 00:25:18,320 Speaker 1: must hold off on plans to end Title forty two. 446 00:25:18,520 --> 00:25:21,320 Speaker 1: This just broke on the terminal. Biden's move to end 447 00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:25,520 Speaker 1: border expulsions faces set back in court. I should say so, 448 00:25:26,560 --> 00:25:29,400 Speaker 1: U s District Court for the Western District of Louisiana 449 00:25:30,040 --> 00:25:34,080 Speaker 1: granting a request from a multi state coalition to temporarily 450 00:25:34,400 --> 00:25:38,080 Speaker 1: preserve Title forty two. Again, this is not an immigration policy, 451 00:25:38,760 --> 00:25:41,800 Speaker 1: but it affects the border. It's a COVID pandemic policy 452 00:25:41,880 --> 00:25:46,639 Speaker 1: that they got in effect during the Trump administration to 453 00:25:46,800 --> 00:25:52,560 Speaker 1: keep the country safe from COVID. And here we are 454 00:25:52,600 --> 00:25:57,919 Speaker 1: still arguing about this in April of two. Let's reassemble 455 00:25:58,000 --> 00:26:00,840 Speaker 1: the panel. Rick and Jennie are with us Blomberg Politics 456 00:26:00,880 --> 00:26:03,480 Speaker 1: contributors are signature panel better be here for a day 457 00:26:03,560 --> 00:26:06,200 Speaker 1: like this. We didn't know this was coming, although maybe 458 00:26:06,240 --> 00:26:08,160 Speaker 1: we knew it was coming at some point to think 459 00:26:08,240 --> 00:26:10,960 Speaker 1: that the courts would step in here, Rick Davis, is 460 00:26:11,000 --> 00:26:14,320 Speaker 1: that what the administration was hoping for? You know? It 461 00:26:14,440 --> 00:26:17,639 Speaker 1: just sounds like more confusion for the administration. So, uh, 462 00:26:17,800 --> 00:26:22,040 Speaker 1: you know, it's it's it's they've really bungled their immigration policy. 463 00:26:22,119 --> 00:26:24,640 Speaker 1: They went out after the remain in Mexico policy early. 464 00:26:24,720 --> 00:26:27,840 Speaker 1: Now this Title forty two has been lifted. Uh and 465 00:26:28,200 --> 00:26:31,440 Speaker 1: uh and and it just seems like they haven't really 466 00:26:31,520 --> 00:26:33,760 Speaker 1: focused on what the impact is at the state level. 467 00:26:33,800 --> 00:26:36,639 Speaker 1: They didn't consult states that are impacted by the border, 468 00:26:37,280 --> 00:26:39,639 Speaker 1: and and now the whole thing seems to be adding 469 00:26:39,680 --> 00:26:42,720 Speaker 1: a lot of confusion. Frankly, very reminiscent of the current 470 00:26:42,800 --> 00:26:44,960 Speaker 1: COVID policy, where it just doesn't seem to be a 471 00:26:45,000 --> 00:26:47,840 Speaker 1: strategy in play. Here. Well, here we go again, Jeannie, 472 00:26:48,040 --> 00:26:49,840 Speaker 1: Does this at least give the White House cover? You know, 473 00:26:49,880 --> 00:26:52,200 Speaker 1: I'm saying this in a sort of counterintuitive sense, but 474 00:26:52,480 --> 00:26:55,200 Speaker 1: it was unclear what they were going to do when 475 00:26:55,280 --> 00:26:57,760 Speaker 1: this lifted at the end of May. Elizabeth Warren yesterday 476 00:26:57,800 --> 00:27:00,480 Speaker 1: morning suggested that the White House was coming up with 477 00:27:00,560 --> 00:27:06,320 Speaker 1: contingency plans. They just bought themselves some time to that. Yeah, 478 00:27:06,600 --> 00:27:08,800 Speaker 1: the judge brought them sometime to that extent. It is 479 00:27:08,840 --> 00:27:12,040 Speaker 1: a gift for the Biden administration. But what we understand 480 00:27:12,359 --> 00:27:15,159 Speaker 1: is that they the White House was fully prepared to 481 00:27:15,320 --> 00:27:18,720 Speaker 1: try to defend the removal of this title forty two. 482 00:27:19,200 --> 00:27:22,119 Speaker 1: As Rick mentioned, this is something that has been really 483 00:27:22,240 --> 00:27:26,080 Speaker 1: troubling for particularly Democrats on border states, but not just 484 00:27:26,280 --> 00:27:29,119 Speaker 1: on border states. You look at the mess that Maggie 485 00:27:29,200 --> 00:27:31,880 Speaker 1: hasn't got in going to the border, and she got 486 00:27:31,960 --> 00:27:34,240 Speaker 1: hit from people both on the left and the right 487 00:27:34,359 --> 00:27:37,240 Speaker 1: for that visit. So it is a fraud issue for 488 00:27:37,440 --> 00:27:41,760 Speaker 1: Democrats running this election cycle, as it is every election cycle. 489 00:27:42,280 --> 00:27:44,160 Speaker 1: And you know, I think one of the things that's 490 00:27:44,240 --> 00:27:47,800 Speaker 1: gotten the Biden administration tripped up here quite frankly, is 491 00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:51,280 Speaker 1: they keep it saying this is a matter of public health, 492 00:27:51,400 --> 00:27:54,520 Speaker 1: not politics. It is a matter of public health, but 493 00:27:54,640 --> 00:27:57,879 Speaker 1: it's also politics, and what's tripping them up is you 494 00:27:58,040 --> 00:28:01,240 Speaker 1: can't divorce the two. And what's happened now is we 495 00:28:01,320 --> 00:28:05,800 Speaker 1: have moved into an era where we have judges, unelected judges, 496 00:28:05,920 --> 00:28:09,440 Speaker 1: courts deciding public policy that's not the way it should be. 497 00:28:09,960 --> 00:28:13,040 Speaker 1: It should be Congress, it should be the administration. They 498 00:28:13,160 --> 00:28:16,399 Speaker 1: must stop claiming this is something for the CDC. This 499 00:28:16,560 --> 00:28:19,440 Speaker 1: is a political decision and should be treated that way. Rick, 500 00:28:19,480 --> 00:28:20,920 Speaker 1: I know this is not a new story for you. 501 00:28:21,400 --> 00:28:26,159 Speaker 1: Of John McCain obviously sought a bipartisan deal struck one 502 00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:31,199 Speaker 1: on on comprehensive immigration reform. If this kind of thing 503 00:28:31,320 --> 00:28:34,359 Speaker 1: is not the catalyst for a bigger conversation, uh, is 504 00:28:34,400 --> 00:28:36,680 Speaker 1: it ever going to happen? Yeah. I think it's a 505 00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:39,680 Speaker 1: really good point, Joe, because all these things, taken in 506 00:28:39,760 --> 00:28:42,560 Speaker 1: a vacuum, uh, don't really make any sense to the 507 00:28:42,600 --> 00:28:45,160 Speaker 1: American voters. I mean, and and it certainly sends the 508 00:28:45,240 --> 00:28:47,520 Speaker 1: run signals to the border. I mean, there's an argument 509 00:28:48,120 --> 00:28:51,080 Speaker 1: that the Biden administration entered into this process to say 510 00:28:51,120 --> 00:28:53,920 Speaker 1: come one, come all, and they now have a massive 511 00:28:53,960 --> 00:28:57,000 Speaker 1: border crisis that seems to be going unattended. Now they're 512 00:28:57,000 --> 00:29:00,880 Speaker 1: getting locked into a legal battle, is leaving them even 513 00:29:00,960 --> 00:29:04,760 Speaker 1: fewer options. So maybe step back and Uh, certainly, I 514 00:29:04,800 --> 00:29:07,240 Speaker 1: don't think anything's going to happen in this election year 515 00:29:07,920 --> 00:29:11,280 Speaker 1: with all the heated debate on immigration. But maybe after 516 00:29:11,400 --> 00:29:16,040 Speaker 1: that at the end of a one term policy initiative, 517 00:29:16,160 --> 00:29:18,800 Speaker 1: they could maybe try to get something passed on immigration form, 518 00:29:19,040 --> 00:29:22,040 Speaker 1: which is desperately needed. We need jobs to be filled, 519 00:29:22,160 --> 00:29:24,680 Speaker 1: we need order security, and all those things have to 520 00:29:24,760 --> 00:29:28,160 Speaker 1: work together. Maybe after the mid terms. Of grown up conversation, 521 00:29:28,280 --> 00:29:30,960 Speaker 1: Jennie or am I just being cute? Um? You know? 522 00:29:31,120 --> 00:29:33,720 Speaker 1: I I wish it were so, But as you look back, 523 00:29:33,880 --> 00:29:36,840 Speaker 1: this issue goes back. Let's just you know, think about 524 00:29:36,920 --> 00:29:40,440 Speaker 1: George W. Bush was elected to address this issue. He 525 00:29:40,560 --> 00:29:43,600 Speaker 1: wasn't able to do so. Barack Obama is so frustrated 526 00:29:43,880 --> 00:29:46,640 Speaker 1: he took the pen and issued in an executive order 527 00:29:46,680 --> 00:29:50,160 Speaker 1: in Dhaka. This has been going on for decades. Donald 528 00:29:50,200 --> 00:29:53,440 Speaker 1: Trump ran on fixing this issue, left it unaddressed, and 529 00:29:53,960 --> 00:29:56,320 Speaker 1: I would love to think that after the mid term 530 00:29:56,400 --> 00:29:58,800 Speaker 1: it would be addressed. But can you imagine if Republicans 531 00:29:58,880 --> 00:30:01,560 Speaker 1: control Congress US and in bide in the White House, 532 00:30:01,600 --> 00:30:03,520 Speaker 1: that they're going to get any deal on something as 533 00:30:03,600 --> 00:30:06,360 Speaker 1: front as immigration. I wish I could say yes, but 534 00:30:06,440 --> 00:30:09,440 Speaker 1: I am not optimistic. Well, so let's talk reality just 535 00:30:09,520 --> 00:30:11,920 Speaker 1: for a moment before we move on. Rick Davis, what 536 00:30:11,960 --> 00:30:13,760 Speaker 1: do you advise the president to do here? I mean, 537 00:30:13,840 --> 00:30:17,080 Speaker 1: can we buy a couple of months, UM and and 538 00:30:17,360 --> 00:30:20,360 Speaker 1: and maybe hammer out at least a policy to replace 539 00:30:21,040 --> 00:30:23,720 Speaker 1: Title forty two. Get you past the mid terms so 540 00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:26,360 Speaker 1: you can have a bigger conversation. Well, on a recent 541 00:30:26,400 --> 00:30:30,959 Speaker 1: conference call, officials from the Department of Homeland Security UH 542 00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:34,000 Speaker 1: indicated that they were going to ramp up the remain 543 00:30:34,080 --> 00:30:37,400 Speaker 1: in Mexico policy to offset some of the impact on 544 00:30:37,520 --> 00:30:40,920 Speaker 1: Title forty two. And we remember a very controversial policy 545 00:30:40,960 --> 00:30:44,640 Speaker 1: of the Trump administration where we kept people in Mexico 546 00:30:44,760 --> 00:30:49,400 Speaker 1: while their asylum UH cases were processed. And they can 547 00:30:49,600 --> 00:30:53,080 Speaker 1: use that law UH to be able to try and 548 00:30:53,680 --> 00:30:56,520 Speaker 1: stop some of the flow that would result from the 549 00:30:56,680 --> 00:31:00,840 Speaker 1: lifting of the Title forty two. So that the DH Department, 550 00:31:01,160 --> 00:31:03,720 Speaker 1: they get it, they understand they can't handle that flow 551 00:31:03,760 --> 00:31:06,280 Speaker 1: of immigration, and so they're trying to use what rules 552 00:31:06,360 --> 00:31:09,440 Speaker 1: they have available to this. But but that it's going 553 00:31:09,520 --> 00:31:11,880 Speaker 1: to be very hard for the Biden administration to resist 554 00:31:11,920 --> 00:31:16,040 Speaker 1: the call from immigration activists who helped elect him UH 555 00:31:16,160 --> 00:31:20,040 Speaker 1: to to drop those those policies. Also, boy, this is 556 00:31:20,960 --> 00:31:23,840 Speaker 1: this is a little foreshadowing for what we're gonna be 557 00:31:23,880 --> 00:31:27,120 Speaker 1: spending time talking about long past. Some of the current 558 00:31:27,200 --> 00:31:30,080 Speaker 1: issues here UH and have been of course for years. 559 00:31:30,800 --> 00:31:33,080 Speaker 1: I don't know if you were watching what was happening 560 00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:37,520 Speaker 1: in Delaware over the weekend, not Wilmington's but Delaware, Ohio, 561 00:31:39,000 --> 00:31:42,560 Speaker 1: where where Donald Trump held the latest big old rally 562 00:31:42,600 --> 00:31:46,000 Speaker 1: to the Delaware County Fairgrounds. You've probably held campaign events 563 00:31:46,040 --> 00:31:50,000 Speaker 1: therek Uh. And this of course was to hammer home 564 00:31:50,200 --> 00:31:53,120 Speaker 1: and and really kind of announce formally the endorsement of 565 00:31:53,200 --> 00:31:58,200 Speaker 1: Jade Vance in the Republican Senate primary. Uh that the 566 00:31:58,320 --> 00:32:00,840 Speaker 1: president former president spent a lot of time on a 567 00:32:00,920 --> 00:32:03,160 Speaker 1: lot of issues. I think j d Vance may have 568 00:32:03,200 --> 00:32:06,160 Speaker 1: gotten the least amount of time, certainly compared to issues 569 00:32:06,240 --> 00:32:09,600 Speaker 1: like water pressure, for instance. But listen to Donald Trump 570 00:32:09,680 --> 00:32:14,760 Speaker 1: here rolling out the candidate in Delaware, Ohio. I have 571 00:32:14,960 --> 00:32:16,400 Speaker 1: to do what I have to do. We have to 572 00:32:16,440 --> 00:32:19,560 Speaker 1: pick somebody that could win. And this guy is. He's tough, 573 00:32:19,640 --> 00:32:24,240 Speaker 1: he's smart, he's a former marine. He's a Yale educated lawyer, 574 00:32:24,280 --> 00:32:26,280 Speaker 1: a great student. You know, went to Yale, got a 575 00:32:26,400 --> 00:32:30,520 Speaker 1: law degree. He's a great student. He's a fearless magnify 576 00:32:30,680 --> 00:32:33,440 Speaker 1: that I thought he sounded like he was from Boston 577 00:32:33,520 --> 00:32:36,000 Speaker 1: there for a minute, Jennie Um. We've talked a lot 578 00:32:36,040 --> 00:32:40,200 Speaker 1: about the endorsements and the amount of capital he's putting 579 00:32:40,240 --> 00:32:43,280 Speaker 1: on the line here. Is this a game changer in Ohio? 580 00:32:44,960 --> 00:32:47,200 Speaker 1: It's not a game changer yet. I'm gonna try to 581 00:32:47,440 --> 00:32:50,800 Speaker 1: try to keep that in my mind. Magnafy. Yeah, I 582 00:32:50,880 --> 00:32:53,160 Speaker 1: can't say do the Boston accent so well, even though 583 00:32:53,160 --> 00:32:55,840 Speaker 1: I lived there. Um, but you know, it's not a 584 00:32:55,920 --> 00:32:58,720 Speaker 1: game changer yet. But but I certainly think it could 585 00:32:58,760 --> 00:33:03,640 Speaker 1: have an impact. We've seen Trump so far have minimal impact. 586 00:33:03,800 --> 00:33:06,160 Speaker 1: But again it's early. I think we'll know in about 587 00:33:06,280 --> 00:33:09,480 Speaker 1: six weeks. And of course, to your point, he spent 588 00:33:09,640 --> 00:33:12,680 Speaker 1: much of that night talking about water and water pressure 589 00:33:12,840 --> 00:33:15,320 Speaker 1: and you know, dishwashers and his need to wash his 590 00:33:15,480 --> 00:33:17,880 Speaker 1: air and flush toilets, and you know it was you 591 00:33:17,960 --> 00:33:21,120 Speaker 1: know that J. D Vance got, you know, minimal amount 592 00:33:21,120 --> 00:33:24,160 Speaker 1: of tension compared to water pressure. It's we're going to 593 00:33:24,240 --> 00:33:26,640 Speaker 1: prove that to you in a second, Rick, What what 594 00:33:26,760 --> 00:33:29,800 Speaker 1: does this gift do for J. D. Vance? Well, it's 595 00:33:29,800 --> 00:33:33,560 Speaker 1: already elevated him from sort of you know, uh challenger 596 00:33:33,680 --> 00:33:37,040 Speaker 1: to uh the front runner in this race. And and 597 00:33:37,200 --> 00:33:39,320 Speaker 1: it's actually not taken but a couple of weeks to 598 00:33:39,360 --> 00:33:42,640 Speaker 1: do so. So uh, it's pretty extraordinary in the sense 599 00:33:42,760 --> 00:33:47,160 Speaker 1: of improving j d Vance's chances to win this primary, 600 00:33:47,880 --> 00:33:51,120 Speaker 1: whether it actually bears out that way or not. Jennie's right, 601 00:33:51,160 --> 00:33:54,160 Speaker 1: well know him just a few weeks uh when this 602 00:33:54,280 --> 00:33:57,560 Speaker 1: primary is held. But uh then the real campaign begins, 603 00:33:57,760 --> 00:33:59,920 Speaker 1: and the question is is j d vance really ready 604 00:34:00,360 --> 00:34:03,400 Speaker 1: for prime time in Ohio? And um, you know that's 605 00:34:04,160 --> 00:34:06,040 Speaker 1: it's not gonna do Donald Trump any good in the 606 00:34:06,160 --> 00:34:08,719 Speaker 1: short run to win in some of these primaries, if if, 607 00:34:08,880 --> 00:34:10,880 Speaker 1: if his candids didn't get beat in the general election. 608 00:34:10,960 --> 00:34:13,279 Speaker 1: And so I think that the jury is gonna be 609 00:34:13,280 --> 00:34:15,200 Speaker 1: out for a while on this one. Welcome to the 610 00:34:15,400 --> 00:34:19,359 Speaker 1: NFL j D Evance. You heard Donald Trump there say 611 00:34:20,400 --> 00:34:22,640 Speaker 1: I did what I had to do. I had to 612 00:34:23,080 --> 00:34:25,320 Speaker 1: pick the guy I thought could win. He went on 613 00:34:25,440 --> 00:34:28,319 Speaker 1: to say, quote he's a guy that said some bad 614 00:34:28,640 --> 00:34:32,000 Speaker 1: s about me, But you know what every one of 615 00:34:32,040 --> 00:34:36,600 Speaker 1: the others did also unquote at the genies point. And 616 00:34:36,680 --> 00:34:39,240 Speaker 1: it's my fault. I brought it up first. Water pressure 617 00:34:39,320 --> 00:34:42,600 Speaker 1: loomed large at this event. I'm gonna let this wash 618 00:34:42,719 --> 00:34:46,400 Speaker 1: over you before we say goodbye today with more from Ohio. 619 00:34:46,560 --> 00:34:50,279 Speaker 1: Here's Donald Trump. So you're sitting there washing you high, 620 00:34:50,360 --> 00:34:53,399 Speaker 1: n jol Come on, water come out, baby, I want 621 00:34:53,400 --> 00:34:56,120 Speaker 1: to wash, but I got rid of it. Same thing 622 00:34:56,239 --> 00:34:59,600 Speaker 1: with showers. I'd go into a shower and I'd go 623 00:34:59,680 --> 00:35:01,880 Speaker 1: to a hotel that was new, and I said, I 624 00:35:01,960 --> 00:35:04,960 Speaker 1: can't say in these places, why the water just drips 625 00:35:05,000 --> 00:35:06,920 Speaker 1: out a little bit slowly. I want to take good 626 00:35:06,960 --> 00:35:09,960 Speaker 1: care of my hair. I don't want that. No, it's sure. 627 00:35:11,320 --> 00:35:13,000 Speaker 1: I mean I put the soap in. It takes you 628 00:35:13,120 --> 00:35:15,800 Speaker 1: twenty minutes after water come out to get the damn 629 00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:18,520 Speaker 1: so bad. Yeah, it's like sixty all over again. But 630 00:35:20,360 --> 00:35:22,320 Speaker 1: and I won't talk about the third element of a 631 00:35:22,400 --> 00:35:24,680 Speaker 1: bathroom because every time I do, the fake news only 632 00:35:24,760 --> 00:35:27,280 Speaker 1: talks about that. But you know what I'm talking about 633 00:35:27,880 --> 00:35:32,600 Speaker 1: one time, two times, five times, ten times. Okay, you 634 00:35:32,760 --> 00:35:36,520 Speaker 1: can't make it up, but it just never is less interesting. 635 00:35:36,640 --> 00:35:38,719 Speaker 1: He did. By the way, you remember the rules that 636 00:35:38,800 --> 00:35:44,719 Speaker 1: he introduced to exempt dishwashers, washing machines, dryers from efficiency regulations. 637 00:35:44,920 --> 00:35:49,239 Speaker 1: I can't speak to the other one. Thank god. It's 638 00:35:49,320 --> 00:35:51,400 Speaker 1: only Monday. Hey, I'll see you early if you're up 639 00:35:51,480 --> 00:35:54,200 Speaker 1: on surveillance and back here on sound on tomorrow. I'm 640 00:35:54,280 --> 00:35:56,000 Speaker 1: Joe Matthew. This is Bloomberg