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Speaker 1: Unless you already have a new job locked down and

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Speaker 1: lined up, it's probably not the best idea to quit

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Speaker 1: your job in twenty twenty four because the jobs market

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Speaker 1: is not exactly what they're telling you it is now.

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Speaker 1: The first clue we have of this is at the

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Speaker 1: same time we have announcements of layoffs happening, while we

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Speaker 1: have reports saying that job's growth is happening like crazy.

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Speaker 1: Amazon's Twitch is cutting hundreds of employees that amount to

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Speaker 1: thirty five percent of its staff. Great American Media is

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Speaker 1: going through layoffs. Duo Lingo, the language learning app, is

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Speaker 1: laying off ten percent of its contract workers. Luber Freight

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Speaker 1: is slashing jobs, black Rock is cutting three percent of

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Speaker 1: its global workforce, The NFL is cutting employees, and companies

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Speaker 1: like Nike, Intel, and City Group are all planning layoffs

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Speaker 1: for twenty twenty four. So how do we have that

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Speaker 1: happening at the same time as we see these blowout

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Speaker 1: jobs report numbers? Case in point, US payrolls increased by

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Speaker 1: two hundred and sixteen thousand just in December, which beat expectations.

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Speaker 1: As a result, the US unemployment rate is showing to

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Speaker 1: be at record loads. In fact, we have to go

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Speaker 1: all the way back to the late sixties before we

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Speaker 1: see the unemployment rate at a lower point than where

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Speaker 1: we're at today. So how can all of these things

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Speaker 1: be true at the same time. Well, on one hand,

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Speaker 1: they're not actually all true at the same time, and

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Speaker 1: on the other hand, it's just a matter of how

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Speaker 1: you measure. So I'm going to explain exactly where these

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Speaker 1: numbers come from, exactly how this works. And just in

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Speaker 1: case there's anybody out there watching this video who actually

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Speaker 1: works for one of these useless government bureaucracies don't work,

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Speaker 1: I'm going to explain how this works in simple, smooth

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Speaker 1: brain terms. Got to be inclusive, right. I got my

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Speaker 1: very first job when I turned sixteen, and I worked

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Speaker 1: at Harkins Theaters. I was making seven dollars and ten

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Speaker 1: cents per hour, and I distinctly remember number one my

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Speaker 1: first day working. It was an eight hour shift and

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Speaker 1: by the end of it, I felt like I had

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Speaker 1: just gone through a torture session. Sweeping popcorn up off

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Speaker 1: of carpet with brooms that are probably ten cents apiece

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Speaker 1: don't work very well. Picking up trash from people who

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Speaker 1: just leave all of their trash in the movie theater

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Speaker 1: and by the end of it, my feet hurt from

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Speaker 1: standing all day. And to this day, it is actually

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Speaker 1: the worst job I ever had in my life. And

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Speaker 1: my first paycheck was thirty two dollars gross and my

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Speaker 1: net was around sixteen or seventeen dollars. And I looked

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Speaker 1: at the pastub and saw that they took something out

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Speaker 1: called Medicare social security, and so I went to them.

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Speaker 1: I said, hey, you made a mistake. I'm not getting

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Speaker 1: something called social Security or Medicare, Like why are you

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Speaker 1: charging me for this? And they just laughed there like

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Speaker 1: welcome to taxes. So fast forward, I don't know. A

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Speaker 1: year later something like that, and I got my second job,

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Speaker 1: which I actually got at the exact same time because

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Speaker 1: they were both part time jobs. My second job was

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Speaker 1: a landscape installation job. So he and a couple other

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Speaker 1: guys on the crew, we'd go into a house, we'd

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Speaker 1: go into a backyard and we'd install a new landscape.

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Speaker 1: So we'd put in gravel, we'd dig the holes, plant trees,

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Speaker 1: put in the irrigation, everything. And to this day, that

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Speaker 1: was actually the hardest job I ever had, but I

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Speaker 1: didn't care. I was very happy because that job paid

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Speaker 1: nine dollars an hour, which at the time felt like

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Speaker 1: I was rich. And I was able to do both

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Speaker 1: of these jobs at the same time because they were

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Speaker 1: a part time for a couple of months before I

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Speaker 1: headed off to college. So let me ask you a

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Speaker 1: question about this situation. What was my personal impact on

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Speaker 1: the job's market. Well, the number one way that you

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Speaker 1: see people address this question is simply by going to

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Speaker 1: the businesses themselves and asking them how many employees they had.

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Speaker 1: So if somebody had gone to Harkins Theaters at the

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Speaker 1: point at which they hired me, then Harkins Theaters would

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Speaker 1: have said, yes, we added one employee, and so the

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Speaker 1: government bureaucrat would have written down on his little form

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Speaker 1: that we added one job. And then he would have

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Speaker 1: gone down the street to the landscape installation company and

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Speaker 1: he said, hey, what's your situation with jobs? And my

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Speaker 1: boss would have said, hey, we added one employee. So

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Speaker 1: the government bureaucrat would have marked on his check sheet

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Speaker 1: that we added yet another job. So from the bureaucrat's perspective,

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Speaker 1: two jobs would have been added to the economy and

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Speaker 1: it would have looked like great economic strength. This way

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Speaker 1: of counting jobs is what's known as the Establishment Survey,

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Speaker 1: and it's where we get numbers like this showing December

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Speaker 1: payrolls increasing by two hundred and sixteen thousand. But if

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Speaker 1: you have any critical thinking skills, you're probably looking at

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Speaker 1: that and thinking, well, wait, that actually doesn't count as

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Speaker 1: two jobs. That's one person working two part time jobs,

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Speaker 1: and you'd be absolutely correct. And this is where the

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Speaker 1: second way of measuring jobs comes in, which is actually

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Speaker 1: asking people how many jobs they have. The Establishment Survey

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Speaker 1: obviously showed an increase in jobs for December, while the

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Speaker 1: Household Survey, which asks individuals how many jobs they hold,

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Speaker 1: showed a decline of six hundred eighty three thousand jobs,

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Speaker 1: which is the largest loss since April of twenty twenty,

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Speaker 1: when the government forced people to stop working. As that

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Speaker 1: wasn't bad enough on its own. If somebody is working

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Speaker 1: three jobs, that's not even counted in the household survey.

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Speaker 1: It maxes out at two jobs per person. Now, if

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Speaker 1: we follow this train of thought a little bit farther,

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Speaker 1: we can see that the next thing this highlights is

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Speaker 1: that people are losing full time jobs left and right,

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Speaker 1: and they're replacing them with multiple part time jobs. In fact,

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Speaker 1: full time employment fell in December by the most since

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Speaker 1: again April of twenty twenty, which again was when the

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Speaker 1: government forced people to stop working and also incentivize them

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Speaker 1: to by sending them stimulus checks. So if we take

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Speaker 1: out this April of twenty twenty low, the fall in

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Speaker 1: full time employment that happened in December of twenty twenty

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Speaker 1: three is almost unprecedented. Here we can see a big

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Speaker 1: divergence between the number of people who are working full

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Speaker 1: time is dropping versus the number of people working part

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Speaker 1: time is rising. This means that the number of people

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Speaker 1: who are holding multiple jobs is higher than it's been

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Speaker 1: in years. As if all of that wasn't bad enough,

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Speaker 1: Even if we want to take it at face value

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Speaker 1: and just look at the Establishment survey which claims that

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Speaker 1: December saw an increase in two hundred and sixteen thousand jobs,

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Speaker 1: let's take a look at how accurate this survey has

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Speaker 1: been over the course of the last year. In twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty three, ten of the twelve months jobs numbers were

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Speaker 1: revised downward. If we take a look at the cumulative

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Speaker 1: effect of all of the downward revisions that happened during

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Speaker 1: the year of twenty twenty three. It means that one quarter,

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Speaker 1: twenty five percent of all the jobs that were claimed

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Speaker 1: to have been created during twenty twenty three were not

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Speaker 1: actually there. They were revised away one or two months

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Speaker 1: after the report came out, But that still leaves seventy

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Speaker 1: five percent of those job gains that happened. So we

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Speaker 1: have to ask where were those jobs, because that actually

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Speaker 1: matters too. It turns out that sixty percent of the

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Speaker 1: jobs that were created in twenty twenty three were either

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Speaker 1: government or healthcare, which in the United States is government.

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Speaker 1: We can see industries like transper rotation and warehousing and

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Speaker 1: information all lost jobs, and the massive dominating net increase

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Speaker 1: in jobs came strictly from healthcare and from government. Now,

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Speaker 1: for anybody out there who is thinking, well, those jobs

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Speaker 1: are still necessary and it's still a net gain, even

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Speaker 1: if it's not ideal, it's still a net gain that

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Speaker 1: we had those jobs. I'm going to ask you to

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Speaker 1: put on your thinking cap for a minute while we

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Speaker 1: go to our imaginary hypothetical island economy to see how

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Speaker 1: this plays out in reality. Imagine there are ten people

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Speaker 1: who are deserted on an island, and it just so

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Speaker 1: happens that one person is very good at fishing. Another

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Speaker 1: person is very good at building huts. Another person's good

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Speaker 1: at climbing trees and so they can climb up and

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Speaker 1: go get coconuts. Another person is good at finding and

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Speaker 1: filtering stream water for drinking water. You can see how

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Speaker 1: this goes. There are ten people, and pretty much every

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Speaker 1: single one of them has some natural talents or skills

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Speaker 1: that they're able to use to provide some value to

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Speaker 1: themselves and to others. The person who fishes doesn't want

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Speaker 1: just fish, and so they're going to trade some of

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Speaker 1: those fish for some coconuts. They're going to trade some

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Speaker 1: of those fish for some huts, like whise. The people

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Speaker 1: who build huts are able to get coconuts and fish

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Speaker 1: for building the huts. It's a great little econ. But

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Speaker 1: there is one person who doesn't have any skills that

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Speaker 1: they can produce something that other people want. I'm going

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Speaker 1: to call this person the bureaucrat. So the bureaucrat sits

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Speaker 1: down in a rock and he thinks, hey, the person

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Speaker 1: who collects the drinking water wants some coconuts because they

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Speaker 1: have no coconuts. But the person who collects the coconuts

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Speaker 1: doesn't want any water because they get all of their

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Speaker 1: drinking water they want from their own coconuts. So the

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Speaker 1: self appointed bureaucrat looks around and thinks, my value that

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Speaker 1: I'm going to provide is to force people to share

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Speaker 1: in the way that I see fit. So I'm going

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Speaker 1: to tell the person who collects the coconuts that they

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Speaker 1: must share one coconut with the person who collects the water. Now,

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Speaker 1: you might be sitting there thinking, well, this is still

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Speaker 1: a net gain, because there's somebody that's forcing equality and

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Speaker 1: forcing some sharing to happen. And certainly when looking at

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Speaker 1: it from the standpoint only of the person who collects

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Speaker 1: the water, yes, that person is better off because they

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Speaker 1: get the water and they get the coconuts. But we're

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Speaker 1: forgetting the fact that the self appointed bureaucrat is themselves

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Speaker 1: not producing anything of value. So not only are they

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Speaker 1: forcing a distribution that wouldn't happen absent the bureaucrat, but

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Speaker 1: the rest of the island must produce an excess in

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Speaker 1: order to support the bureaucrat. And so while there is

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Speaker 1: some good, some gain happening for some players like the bureaucrat,

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Speaker 1: and some good happening for the person who collects the water.

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Speaker 1: The entire island is much worse off than they would

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Speaker 1: be without the bureaucrat there in the first place, because

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Speaker 1: there would be much more abundance, more goods available for

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Speaker 1: them to share with themselves if they didn't have to

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Speaker 1: support the bureaucrat. So I'm not claiming that every government

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Speaker 1: job added in every healthcare job added is only bad.

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Speaker 1: What I am claiming is the economy is worse off

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Speaker 1: as a result of those jobs existing than they would

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Speaker 1: be if those jobs simply didn't exist, because every single

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Speaker 1: one of those jobs that exists must be funded by

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Speaker 1: taking away from the productive capacity of somebody else who's

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Speaker 1: producing in the economy in order to pay for those

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Speaker 1: who are not. Now, let's bring this full circle to

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Speaker 1: talk about your job and your employment situation. Number one,

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Speaker 1: if you do not quit your job, if you don't already

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Speaker 1: have something lined up, most job postings that are out

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Speaker 1: today are ghost jobs. Ghost jobs are openings that are

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Speaker 1: posted by companies that will never be filled. Sometimes the

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Speaker 1: companies want to make themselves look good. Sometimes it's hiring

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Speaker 1: managers that need to fill quotas on applications and interviews.

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Speaker 1: Ghost jobs are a thing and so if you look

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Speaker 1: out at all the job postings and think, hey, it's

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Speaker 1: an interviewers, it's an employee's market. I'm going to quit

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Speaker 1: my job and just hope that I land something soon,

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Speaker 1: that's a bad idea. Number Two. If you do have

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Speaker 1: another job lined up, you should almost certainly take it.

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Speaker 1: Studies have shown time and time again that the more

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Speaker 1: you switch jobs, the more you will earn compared to

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Speaker 1: people who stick with the same job. This is because

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Speaker 1: it's much easier to negotiate for higher salaries and pay

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Speaker 1: increases when switching to a new company than it is

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Speaker 1: to just get a raise in your current role or

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Speaker 1: in a promotion. And number three, no matter what the

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Speaker 1: economy is like, there are always opportunities to make more money,

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Speaker 1: increase your income, and multiply your wealth. This is one

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Speaker 1: of the things that I teach Inheriting Financial University how

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Speaker 1: to build a six figure side hustle while you have

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Speaker 1: a full time job. This gives you an escape plan

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Speaker 1: if you want it. Certainly, if you'd rather, you can

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Speaker 1: just enjoy the extra income of a full time job

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Speaker 1: and a six figure side hustle, or you can use

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Speaker 1: it to escape the rat race fire your nine to five,

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Speaker 1: go all in on your business and live life on

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Speaker 1: your own terms. Spend more time with your family. Actually

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Speaker 1: control how much income you make, not how it artificially

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Speaker 1: capped by your employer. I teach the exact playbook that

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Speaker 1: I used to go from zero dollars in income, zero

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Speaker 1: social media presence, no flywheel, nothing existing, to growing my

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Speaker 1: business to over six figures a month. That sounds like

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Speaker 1: something that you'd like to take action on this year.

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Speaker 1: Join Herese Financial University link is in the description below.

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Speaker 1: As always, thank you so much watching have a great day.