1 00:00:00,800 --> 00:00:04,040 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney, alongside 2 00:00:04,040 --> 00:00:06,920 Speaker 1: my co host Matt Miller. Every business day we bring 3 00:00:06,960 --> 00:00:11,520 Speaker 1: you interviews from CEOs, market pros, and Bloomberg experts, along 4 00:00:11,560 --> 00:00:15,600 Speaker 1: with essential market moving news. Find the Bloomberg Markets Podcast 5 00:00:15,600 --> 00:00:18,479 Speaker 1: on Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen to podcasts, and 6 00:00:18,480 --> 00:00:22,360 Speaker 1: at Bloomberg dot com slash podcast. Markets selling off today, 7 00:00:22,360 --> 00:00:24,439 Speaker 1: A lot of filters are asking themselves this morning. Is 8 00:00:24,480 --> 00:00:28,400 Speaker 1: this a you know, a healthy pullback and otherwise upward 9 00:00:28,440 --> 00:00:32,120 Speaker 1: biased market or is this something different? Let's check in 10 00:00:32,120 --> 00:00:37,159 Speaker 1: with Sylvia Jablonsky, chief investment officer for Defiance et S. So, Sylvia, 11 00:00:37,200 --> 00:00:39,760 Speaker 1: when you see action like this today, what do you 12 00:00:39,880 --> 00:00:41,639 Speaker 1: make of it? We haven't seen it too often, these 13 00:00:41,680 --> 00:00:44,720 Speaker 1: types of pullbacks in this recent bull market. What do 14 00:00:44,800 --> 00:00:48,760 Speaker 1: you make of it? Good morning? UM. You know, I 15 00:00:48,800 --> 00:00:52,800 Speaker 1: think today is partially a result of what we're hearing 16 00:00:52,960 --> 00:00:55,600 Speaker 1: in China. You know, Hong Kong aquity saw a big 17 00:00:55,640 --> 00:00:59,320 Speaker 1: sell off during the Asia trading session. UM. Europe followed 18 00:00:59,400 --> 00:01:03,160 Speaker 1: to you have the ever Grand group issue that I 19 00:01:03,200 --> 00:01:05,600 Speaker 1: think bought some some fear and volatility to the market. 20 00:01:05,680 --> 00:01:07,280 Speaker 1: But you know, there are a couple of other things 21 00:01:07,280 --> 00:01:09,839 Speaker 1: going on. You still have COVID cases, You still have 22 00:01:10,120 --> 00:01:12,280 Speaker 1: you know, the idea that September is the worst track 23 00:01:12,319 --> 00:01:15,560 Speaker 1: record for for any month historically, and the second half 24 00:01:15,600 --> 00:01:17,360 Speaker 1: of it tends to be, you know, worse than the 25 00:01:17,400 --> 00:01:20,199 Speaker 1: first and certainly the worst training period of the year. 26 00:01:20,760 --> 00:01:23,480 Speaker 1: And then there's the concern about d C and and 27 00:01:23,640 --> 00:01:26,480 Speaker 1: raising the depth ceiling and you know, sort of corporate 28 00:01:26,480 --> 00:01:28,560 Speaker 1: tax fears and things like that. So, you know, long 29 00:01:28,560 --> 00:01:30,480 Speaker 1: stories short, I think that there are a lot of 30 00:01:30,520 --> 00:01:33,520 Speaker 1: reasons why there's solatility in the market. But you know, 31 00:01:33,560 --> 00:01:36,600 Speaker 1: I remain very bullish on the market in the year. 32 00:01:36,680 --> 00:01:39,800 Speaker 1: The fundamentals are good. We're in economic recovery, and I 33 00:01:39,800 --> 00:01:42,280 Speaker 1: think days like today, you know, if you can sort 34 00:01:42,280 --> 00:01:43,959 Speaker 1: of grin and bear it, I think it's a great 35 00:01:44,000 --> 00:01:46,440 Speaker 1: day to buy on the dips, particularly in the in 36 00:01:46,520 --> 00:01:50,040 Speaker 1: the top quality name. So, um, you know, I don't 37 00:01:50,040 --> 00:01:52,400 Speaker 1: think that this is the beginning of sort of the end. 38 00:01:52,480 --> 00:01:55,000 Speaker 1: I mean, the biggest pullback we've seen in the last 39 00:01:55,000 --> 00:01:57,640 Speaker 1: couple of years is is, you know, four percent. The 40 00:01:57,680 --> 00:02:00,000 Speaker 1: average pullback of the SMP by hundred is about fourteen 41 00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:03,320 Speaker 1: fift over time, so it's really not that bad. It's 42 00:02:03,320 --> 00:02:05,960 Speaker 1: a little bit of altility in the market for various reasons. 43 00:02:06,720 --> 00:02:10,960 Speaker 1: Are you still bullish when you look at um the 44 00:02:11,040 --> 00:02:14,840 Speaker 1: progress or lack thereof on the infrastructure bill? I mean, 45 00:02:14,880 --> 00:02:18,960 Speaker 1: the idea that fiscal spending from this government has added three, 46 00:02:19,120 --> 00:02:21,960 Speaker 1: four or five six percentage points per quarter for the 47 00:02:22,040 --> 00:02:27,120 Speaker 1: last you know, four five quarters, and that now that 48 00:02:27,280 --> 00:02:31,360 Speaker 1: fiscal um kind of punch bowl maybe empty. Isn't that 49 00:02:31,440 --> 00:02:35,640 Speaker 1: a worry for markets? You know? I think just a 50 00:02:35,639 --> 00:02:38,680 Speaker 1: lot a lot of the corporations within the in the 51 00:02:38,720 --> 00:02:42,359 Speaker 1: market that are essentially leading the market, UM, are are 52 00:02:42,400 --> 00:02:44,919 Speaker 1: just just cash heavy. You know, they have incredibly strong 53 00:02:45,040 --> 00:02:48,000 Speaker 1: balance sheets. Um I think that you know, they're they're 54 00:02:48,000 --> 00:02:50,480 Speaker 1: sort of well positioned. So even if that spending isn't 55 00:02:50,880 --> 00:02:53,160 Speaker 1: coming into the market to the level was before, I 56 00:02:53,200 --> 00:02:55,840 Speaker 1: do expect them to have you know, perhaps they won't 57 00:02:55,840 --> 00:02:58,560 Speaker 1: have sixty year over year revenue growth, but I still 58 00:02:58,600 --> 00:03:01,520 Speaker 1: expect them to be in the green for for the 59 00:03:01,560 --> 00:03:05,280 Speaker 1: coming years. And you know, rates remain very low. I 60 00:03:05,320 --> 00:03:07,240 Speaker 1: think that even if we get to a point where 61 00:03:07,280 --> 00:03:10,080 Speaker 1: we start getting announcements about tapering, don't forget that rates 62 00:03:10,080 --> 00:03:12,880 Speaker 1: remain very low. So if you have this combination of 63 00:03:12,919 --> 00:03:16,200 Speaker 1: strong balance sheets and low rates and you know, continue 64 00:03:16,280 --> 00:03:19,359 Speaker 1: demand strong consumer I mean, the retail numbers were phenomenal there, 65 00:03:19,520 --> 00:03:23,120 Speaker 1: their UM temper cent higher than than the pre COVID periods. 66 00:03:23,120 --> 00:03:26,440 Speaker 1: We've got this consumer spending out there. I think it's 67 00:03:26,440 --> 00:03:28,800 Speaker 1: still a fairly rosy picture. You know. What could set 68 00:03:28,800 --> 00:03:31,919 Speaker 1: it back though, I think will be uh any kind 69 00:03:31,919 --> 00:03:34,680 Speaker 1: of you know, corporate taxation that that is that is 70 00:03:34,680 --> 00:03:38,120 Speaker 1: really negative towards the bottom line. UM. I think, you know, 71 00:03:38,720 --> 00:03:40,960 Speaker 1: depending on what long term and short term type of 72 00:03:41,000 --> 00:03:43,800 Speaker 1: gain taxes look like for individuals, that might impact the market. 73 00:03:43,880 --> 00:03:47,520 Speaker 1: But overall, I expect to see at the market end 74 00:03:47,600 --> 00:03:51,440 Speaker 1: up and continue to move in a robust way. So 75 00:03:51,440 --> 00:03:53,600 Speaker 1: so you were suggesting, you know, and sell offs like 76 00:03:53,600 --> 00:03:56,120 Speaker 1: we're seeing this morning, to buy on that weakness. What 77 00:03:56,200 --> 00:04:00,840 Speaker 1: sectors would you be buying here on this type of weakness? Yeah, 78 00:04:00,880 --> 00:04:03,520 Speaker 1: so you know, so that this morning I looked at UM. 79 00:04:03,560 --> 00:04:05,760 Speaker 1: I looked at the five five G trade, which which 80 00:04:05,800 --> 00:04:07,400 Speaker 1: I love. You know, I think five g's the future. 81 00:04:07,440 --> 00:04:10,080 Speaker 1: You've got these you have these companies which are spanned 82 00:04:10,080 --> 00:04:15,560 Speaker 1: from telecom um to radio technology to semiconductors. So UM, 83 00:04:15,600 --> 00:04:16,920 Speaker 1: you have the five G E T s, you have 84 00:04:16,960 --> 00:04:20,680 Speaker 1: everything from like the naivideo's UM, the A m d s, 85 00:04:20,760 --> 00:04:25,440 Speaker 1: the stocks like Nokia, UM, you know, an American tower. 86 00:04:25,480 --> 00:04:28,880 Speaker 1: I think that five gs the future, augmented reality, AI, 87 00:04:29,040 --> 00:04:32,320 Speaker 1: dated processing, all of all of this relies on five G. 88 00:04:33,040 --> 00:04:35,080 Speaker 1: I also think that it's a good time to look 89 00:04:35,080 --> 00:04:38,680 Speaker 1: at crypto. I think that you know, it's it's suspiciously 90 00:04:38,960 --> 00:04:41,680 Speaker 1: um getting sort of a hammer today and in regards 91 00:04:41,720 --> 00:04:44,680 Speaker 1: to what we saw coming out of China. And you know, 92 00:04:44,680 --> 00:04:47,400 Speaker 1: I'm very bullish on the long term price of bitcoin 93 00:04:47,440 --> 00:04:49,840 Speaker 1: and the ethereum. UM. You know, I think n f 94 00:04:49,880 --> 00:04:51,680 Speaker 1: t s are going to propel all of this forward too. 95 00:04:51,720 --> 00:04:54,480 Speaker 1: So I think particularly for investors that have some risk 96 00:04:54,520 --> 00:04:57,240 Speaker 1: tolerance and they're excited about the crypto space. You know, 97 00:04:57,240 --> 00:04:59,800 Speaker 1: when you see these pullbacks, UM, they're they're certainly good 98 00:04:59,839 --> 00:05:01,400 Speaker 1: up change to get in if you haven't had the 99 00:05:01,400 --> 00:05:06,120 Speaker 1: opportunity to do so. UM. What do you think about 100 00:05:06,160 --> 00:05:09,720 Speaker 1: the housing market right now? Does that worry you, Sylvia? 101 00:05:09,839 --> 00:05:14,480 Speaker 1: Because UM, it's not just the case in the US 102 00:05:14,480 --> 00:05:17,279 Speaker 1: that prices have soared, I mean thirty percent. There's a 103 00:05:17,279 --> 00:05:19,679 Speaker 1: story on the Bloomberg today talking about, UM, the housing 104 00:05:19,720 --> 00:05:22,240 Speaker 1: prices in the US up thirty percent since the mid 105 00:05:22,279 --> 00:05:25,200 Speaker 1: two thousands, when you know, Michael Bury was sitting in 106 00:05:25,240 --> 00:05:28,960 Speaker 1: front of his computer listening to Metallica placing short bets 107 00:05:29,000 --> 00:05:32,279 Speaker 1: on um the market. Should we be worried that this 108 00:05:32,320 --> 00:05:37,320 Speaker 1: housing market has gone too far, too fast in New York, London, Paris, Berlin. 109 00:05:39,800 --> 00:05:42,640 Speaker 1: I think it's you know, I think it's something that 110 00:05:42,800 --> 00:05:44,800 Speaker 1: we should sort of sit back and think on in 111 00:05:44,880 --> 00:05:46,880 Speaker 1: terms of, like, if you're a buyer in the market 112 00:05:46,920 --> 00:05:49,160 Speaker 1: now looking to buy a home, I mean, chances are 113 00:05:49,200 --> 00:05:51,839 Speaker 1: that you're going to overpay for it. You've seen you know, 114 00:05:51,920 --> 00:05:54,160 Speaker 1: people all over the world sort of sitting on our 115 00:05:54,200 --> 00:05:56,680 Speaker 1: hands in terms of buying a home, you know. And 116 00:05:56,720 --> 00:05:59,120 Speaker 1: I think it depends on where right, Like I mean 117 00:05:59,160 --> 00:06:00,719 Speaker 1: I live in New York City. I actually think you 118 00:06:00,760 --> 00:06:02,720 Speaker 1: do have deals in the city, but you definitely don't 119 00:06:02,760 --> 00:06:05,080 Speaker 1: have guilt in like Westchester when people are trying to flee, 120 00:06:05,160 --> 00:06:07,159 Speaker 1: So it's sit on your hand and wait until it 121 00:06:07,160 --> 00:06:08,840 Speaker 1: falls a little bit. I do think they're a little 122 00:06:08,839 --> 00:06:11,279 Speaker 1: bit inflated. Hey, Sylvia, thanks so much for joining us. 123 00:06:11,360 --> 00:06:15,400 Speaker 1: Really appreciate it. Sylvia Jablonski, chief investment officer for Defiance 124 00:06:15,520 --> 00:06:17,839 Speaker 1: E t F. She's out with the call this morning. 125 00:06:18,040 --> 00:06:23,520 Speaker 1: By this dip Jose Herrera. He is one of the 126 00:06:23,560 --> 00:06:27,000 Speaker 1: founders and the CEO of Horatio, which is a company 127 00:06:27,040 --> 00:06:31,400 Speaker 1: that helps um improve the customer experience of startups and 128 00:06:31,440 --> 00:06:35,880 Speaker 1: small businesses which maybe had been having problems. And it's 129 00:06:35,920 --> 00:06:38,839 Speaker 1: interesting especially now, I think because of not the supply 130 00:06:38,920 --> 00:06:42,440 Speaker 1: chain shortage so much as the labor shortage and the 131 00:06:42,520 --> 00:06:47,040 Speaker 1: changes that we've seen during the pandemic. Jose, UM, talk 132 00:06:47,120 --> 00:06:49,440 Speaker 1: to us first about your business and how it's developed 133 00:06:49,480 --> 00:06:54,479 Speaker 1: throughout throughout this this difficult period. Thank you for helping 134 00:06:54,560 --> 00:06:56,240 Speaker 1: me today and it's a pleasure to talk to you 135 00:06:56,279 --> 00:06:58,760 Speaker 1: both today. UM. Yeah. So, Horrisio is a company that 136 00:06:59,040 --> 00:07:02,200 Speaker 1: works with fast growing e commerce brands to enhance their 137 00:07:02,200 --> 00:07:05,880 Speaker 1: customer experience and provide a dedicated team of associates that 138 00:07:05,920 --> 00:07:08,479 Speaker 1: are proud to represent their brand values and voice, and 139 00:07:08,600 --> 00:07:13,080 Speaker 1: ultimately mitigate any customer frustrations that may arise as part 140 00:07:13,120 --> 00:07:16,880 Speaker 1: of the shopping process. And so, as you mentioned, we 141 00:07:16,920 --> 00:07:21,000 Speaker 1: are having significant issues with global ports shutting down across 142 00:07:21,040 --> 00:07:23,720 Speaker 1: the world, and now with the holiday season, we are 143 00:07:23,720 --> 00:07:25,960 Speaker 1: also expecting a lot of issues when it comes to 144 00:07:26,560 --> 00:07:29,600 Speaker 1: significant shipping delays from FedEx and other delivery partners, and 145 00:07:29,640 --> 00:07:31,800 Speaker 1: so We are working with all these fast growing e 146 00:07:31,840 --> 00:07:35,440 Speaker 1: commerce brands to prepare themselves for the busy holiday period 147 00:07:35,760 --> 00:07:39,280 Speaker 1: that's coming in a couple of weeks. So Jose does 148 00:07:39,480 --> 00:07:43,280 Speaker 1: the customer experience. It's become more and more automated. It's 149 00:07:43,280 --> 00:07:47,120 Speaker 1: almost impossible to reach a human these days, and I 150 00:07:47,200 --> 00:07:50,320 Speaker 1: gotta think that results and if I'm just representative of 151 00:07:50,400 --> 00:07:53,520 Speaker 1: the general consumer tremendous frustration. What are some of the 152 00:07:53,520 --> 00:07:56,840 Speaker 1: solutions you guys are thinking about. Yeah, and I think 153 00:07:56,920 --> 00:08:00,200 Speaker 1: that's exactly the reason why Horatio exists. We are the 154 00:08:00,240 --> 00:08:04,120 Speaker 1: perfect balance between leveraging AI and also the human touch. 155 00:08:04,200 --> 00:08:06,880 Speaker 1: So we provide dedicated teams and of humans that are 156 00:08:06,920 --> 00:08:09,760 Speaker 1: proud to represent these companies brand values and voice. So 157 00:08:09,800 --> 00:08:12,960 Speaker 1: we provide first time personalized omni channel customer support so 158 00:08:13,000 --> 00:08:15,760 Speaker 1: that the customers can reach out through whatever channel they want, 159 00:08:15,840 --> 00:08:19,600 Speaker 1: whether it's chat, email, SMS, which nowadays more more than 160 00:08:19,840 --> 00:08:22,480 Speaker 1: seventy percent of consumers want to ask questions through text, 161 00:08:22,960 --> 00:08:26,760 Speaker 1: and so we allow these uh consumers to reach out 162 00:08:26,760 --> 00:08:30,200 Speaker 1: through the preferred method of their choice, but leveraging both 163 00:08:30,240 --> 00:08:33,360 Speaker 1: AI and the human touch to provide an amazing customer experience. 164 00:08:34,480 --> 00:08:36,280 Speaker 1: You know, I don't know if it's because I'm old, 165 00:08:36,720 --> 00:08:38,679 Speaker 1: but I'm guessing Paul is going to agree with me. 166 00:08:38,960 --> 00:08:41,720 Speaker 1: I want to call a place and talk to humans 167 00:08:41,720 --> 00:08:45,000 Speaker 1: straight away. I don't want to be uh doing some 168 00:08:45,200 --> 00:08:48,360 Speaker 1: chat bought action where the thing has no idea what 169 00:08:48,480 --> 00:08:50,839 Speaker 1: I need or can't meet my demands. I don't want 170 00:08:50,840 --> 00:08:52,800 Speaker 1: to be sending an email where I know I'm not 171 00:08:52,800 --> 00:08:56,840 Speaker 1: going to get a response back. Um, but isn't it 172 00:08:56,920 --> 00:08:59,080 Speaker 1: difficult to get a call center up and running? I mean, 173 00:08:59,120 --> 00:09:01,360 Speaker 1: how do you get some one who knows about the 174 00:09:01,400 --> 00:09:06,319 Speaker 1: product and um, you know, can speak not just English 175 00:09:06,320 --> 00:09:09,800 Speaker 1: but whatever language customers are calling in, and and can 176 00:09:09,640 --> 00:09:14,080 Speaker 1: and can deal with the customer intelligently. Definitely, it's extremely 177 00:09:14,160 --> 00:09:16,839 Speaker 1: important to two number one as a brand be very 178 00:09:16,840 --> 00:09:20,440 Speaker 1: proactive with your customers so that you mitigate the risk 179 00:09:20,480 --> 00:09:23,640 Speaker 1: of of of needing a huge call center operation. And 180 00:09:23,679 --> 00:09:25,760 Speaker 1: that's why we leverage the other channels that I mentioned 181 00:09:26,080 --> 00:09:29,240 Speaker 1: which are easier to manage in scale, like SMS, social 182 00:09:29,240 --> 00:09:33,680 Speaker 1: media emails. So you have to anticipate any challenges that 183 00:09:33,760 --> 00:09:36,760 Speaker 1: your consumers may expect from you, and then also have, 184 00:09:37,000 --> 00:09:40,320 Speaker 1: like you mentioned, availability through phone if needed. UM. So 185 00:09:40,360 --> 00:09:41,680 Speaker 1: with a lot of the brands that we work with 186 00:09:41,800 --> 00:09:44,839 Speaker 1: we provide a concierge level approach to phone, so if 187 00:09:44,880 --> 00:09:47,560 Speaker 1: we are not able to fix your issue over the 188 00:09:47,600 --> 00:09:50,640 Speaker 1: other channels, we allow you to schedule a call for 189 00:09:50,760 --> 00:09:52,560 Speaker 1: fifteen minutes so that you know that we are going 190 00:09:52,640 --> 00:09:55,040 Speaker 1: to be calling you at a specific time so you 191 00:09:55,040 --> 00:09:57,920 Speaker 1: don't have to wait in line. Particularly now day when 192 00:09:58,440 --> 00:10:02,200 Speaker 1: we are seeing unprecedented num revers of customer inquiries and 193 00:10:02,280 --> 00:10:05,640 Speaker 1: now with the holiday period coming, what's the what's the 194 00:10:05,679 --> 00:10:08,400 Speaker 1: size of your customer base? I mean, how quickly could 195 00:10:08,400 --> 00:10:10,880 Speaker 1: you scale up? Would it be possible for you to help? 196 00:10:10,880 --> 00:10:15,080 Speaker 1: For example, the airlines, your lens is A is A 197 00:10:15,360 --> 00:10:18,280 Speaker 1: is a huge challenge nowadays. I think that you know, 198 00:10:18,520 --> 00:10:21,199 Speaker 1: because of the way that they are structured, it will 199 00:10:21,280 --> 00:10:24,120 Speaker 1: take months for them to to to really fix those issues. 200 00:10:24,400 --> 00:10:27,800 Speaker 1: And I think that um, you know, we are better 201 00:10:27,840 --> 00:10:30,800 Speaker 1: set up for e commerce direct to consumer brands. I 202 00:10:30,800 --> 00:10:33,680 Speaker 1: think that airlines are have to fix a lot of 203 00:10:33,720 --> 00:10:37,520 Speaker 1: issues and incorporate more AI and analytics to fix their 204 00:10:37,559 --> 00:10:41,480 Speaker 1: underlying historical issues that they faced in the past. All right, 205 00:10:41,559 --> 00:10:44,920 Speaker 1: so Jose, just in thirty seconds, how has the pandemic 206 00:10:45,000 --> 00:10:47,360 Speaker 1: kind of changed your business and customer service in general? 207 00:10:48,960 --> 00:10:53,719 Speaker 1: It has definitely accelerated e commerce. UH five years right, 208 00:10:53,720 --> 00:10:57,840 Speaker 1: I think that, UM, the pandemic really shifted. I think 209 00:10:57,840 --> 00:11:01,000 Speaker 1: that the number was some something along the lines of 210 00:11:01,080 --> 00:11:04,360 Speaker 1: sales happen online. And I think that before COVID we 211 00:11:04,360 --> 00:11:07,280 Speaker 1: were at a ten percent of silver happening online or 212 00:11:07,280 --> 00:11:10,920 Speaker 1: even less. And so it has definitely accelerated, UH, the 213 00:11:11,080 --> 00:11:15,920 Speaker 1: need for customer support across all organizations. And I think 214 00:11:16,000 --> 00:11:19,080 Speaker 1: that we are not going to see these stopping anytime soon. 215 00:11:19,080 --> 00:11:20,600 Speaker 1: And I think that you know now that the holidays 216 00:11:20,640 --> 00:11:23,319 Speaker 1: are coming soon, we are expecting a few percent uptick 217 00:11:23,360 --> 00:11:27,640 Speaker 1: in customer service inquiries. More people are going to need 218 00:11:27,720 --> 00:11:29,559 Speaker 1: to use your service. As Jose, thanks so much for 219 00:11:29,640 --> 00:11:32,640 Speaker 1: joining us, Jose Herrera. They're one of the founders and 220 00:11:32,679 --> 00:11:36,920 Speaker 1: the CEO of Horatio, a company that helps e commerce 221 00:11:37,600 --> 00:11:42,120 Speaker 1: businesses tech businesses tailor their customer experience. And we're going 222 00:11:42,120 --> 00:11:47,679 Speaker 1: into a difficult period. They're gonna need it. The talk 223 00:11:47,760 --> 00:11:53,280 Speaker 1: has certainly escalated as it relates to taper, UH, the 224 00:11:53,400 --> 00:11:56,440 Speaker 1: bond purchases funder Federal Reserve, maybe even raising some rates 225 00:11:56,440 --> 00:11:59,640 Speaker 1: some point in the foreseeable future. Yet I look at 226 00:11:59,640 --> 00:12:02,800 Speaker 1: the ten year it stuck at one point three kind 227 00:12:02,800 --> 00:12:05,480 Speaker 1: of words, been for a long time. Let's check in 228 00:12:05,520 --> 00:12:07,800 Speaker 1: with one of the pros and the fixed income markets 229 00:12:07,800 --> 00:12:09,640 Speaker 1: to get a sense of what's going on. R J. Gallo, 230 00:12:10,040 --> 00:12:13,400 Speaker 1: Senior portfolio management head of the municipal bondup but federated Hermes. 231 00:12:14,200 --> 00:12:17,760 Speaker 1: R J. The bond markets just like saying, ho hum, 232 00:12:17,960 --> 00:12:21,280 Speaker 1: so what I mean, how concerned are you about that? 233 00:12:21,480 --> 00:12:27,719 Speaker 1: You know, tapering these FED purchases and then ultimately raising rates. Well, 234 00:12:27,760 --> 00:12:31,719 Speaker 1: good morning, Um, the taper discussion has gone on for 235 00:12:31,800 --> 00:12:36,680 Speaker 1: so long it's it's it's almost baked in, right, and 236 00:12:36,720 --> 00:12:40,240 Speaker 1: I think the set has been bailed out. The set 237 00:12:40,440 --> 00:12:43,640 Speaker 1: was very forward looking, and getting taper out there months 238 00:12:43,640 --> 00:12:46,760 Speaker 1: in advance world is different than when it just sort 239 00:12:46,800 --> 00:12:49,600 Speaker 1: of came up. Um, So that's you know, you got 240 00:12:49,600 --> 00:12:52,199 Speaker 1: to congratulate the set on that part. Introducing the market 241 00:12:52,200 --> 00:12:54,000 Speaker 1: to it over and over and over helps. But I 242 00:12:54,040 --> 00:12:56,640 Speaker 1: think the FA's also being helped by the simple fact 243 00:12:56,880 --> 00:13:00,360 Speaker 1: that on the fiscal policy side, the amount of debt 244 00:13:00,360 --> 00:13:04,280 Speaker 1: issuance in coming months is itself going to taper. So 245 00:13:04,320 --> 00:13:06,600 Speaker 1: although the demand will go down from the FED, that 246 00:13:06,640 --> 00:13:10,040 Speaker 1: will be partly offset by by lesser issuance from the U. S. 247 00:13:10,080 --> 00:13:12,760 Speaker 1: Treasury but you've also got some of the fiscal follies 248 00:13:12,800 --> 00:13:14,680 Speaker 1: going on in Washington. We don't have a budget for 249 00:13:14,760 --> 00:13:17,600 Speaker 1: next year. The death ceiling thing looms over our heads. 250 00:13:18,280 --> 00:13:21,040 Speaker 1: Everyone always thinks the death ceiling shouldn't matter. But how 251 00:13:21,040 --> 00:13:24,439 Speaker 1: often does the s a seated American president challenge the 252 00:13:24,480 --> 00:13:26,880 Speaker 1: validity of an election they lost. You know, weird things 253 00:13:26,920 --> 00:13:29,640 Speaker 1: can happen, And I think when weird things happen in Washington, 254 00:13:29,920 --> 00:13:32,240 Speaker 1: and we are now facing another event risk in Washington, 255 00:13:32,600 --> 00:13:35,400 Speaker 1: that might bring about some caution in the markets. Um, 256 00:13:35,520 --> 00:13:37,480 Speaker 1: that might be another reason why bond yields really aren't 257 00:13:37,520 --> 00:13:40,000 Speaker 1: doing much. Not to mention the Chinese news that we're 258 00:13:40,000 --> 00:13:43,160 Speaker 1: all talking about this morning, well, and we just also 259 00:13:43,200 --> 00:13:48,640 Speaker 1: had a great conversation with Rich Miller about the fiscal cliff. Um, 260 00:13:48,679 --> 00:13:53,000 Speaker 1: this is an economy that's been juiced by trillions and 261 00:13:53,080 --> 00:13:56,640 Speaker 1: trillions of dollars of fiscal spending that looks like it 262 00:13:56,760 --> 00:14:00,880 Speaker 1: may come to an end. How do you how do 263 00:14:00,920 --> 00:14:05,160 Speaker 1: you input that into your into your calculations? Um? I 264 00:14:05,240 --> 00:14:09,520 Speaker 1: noticed that that your federator, excuse me, Bloomberg this morning 265 00:14:09,600 --> 00:14:12,520 Speaker 1: ran an article about this very point and looked at 266 00:14:12,520 --> 00:14:14,760 Speaker 1: the Hutchins Center, which is a group out of the 267 00:14:14,760 --> 00:14:17,680 Speaker 1: Broken's Institution which tries to look at the cumulative impact 268 00:14:18,000 --> 00:14:21,360 Speaker 1: of government spending in tax decisions, not just the GDP impact. 269 00:14:21,600 --> 00:14:23,760 Speaker 1: You know, in GDP accounting, if the government cuts a 270 00:14:23,840 --> 00:14:26,280 Speaker 1: check to you or me that doesn't directly add to GDP, 271 00:14:26,520 --> 00:14:28,760 Speaker 1: it only has the GDP when we spend it. Right, 272 00:14:29,080 --> 00:14:32,000 Speaker 1: So the GDP accounting for government spending will often under 273 00:14:32,040 --> 00:14:36,160 Speaker 1: state fiscal policies influence and to your point, at the 274 00:14:36,200 --> 00:14:39,320 Speaker 1: amount of influence has been massive. Think of the p 275 00:14:39,320 --> 00:14:41,400 Speaker 1: p P loans which were really grants. Think of all 276 00:14:41,400 --> 00:14:45,000 Speaker 1: the checks cut to household trillions of dollars. Right, So, 277 00:14:45,080 --> 00:14:48,160 Speaker 1: clearly the government can't keep that spending pace up. It 278 00:14:48,200 --> 00:14:51,200 Speaker 1: has to diminish on a sequential basis, and it already 279 00:14:51,240 --> 00:14:53,240 Speaker 1: is expected to do so. The Hutchings Center does a 280 00:14:53,280 --> 00:14:56,280 Speaker 1: great job of trying to quantify the the you know, 281 00:14:56,360 --> 00:15:00,680 Speaker 1: the impact on GDP of those changes, and they're clearly 282 00:15:00,720 --> 00:15:03,480 Speaker 1: below the line there in the red incoming quarters, including 283 00:15:03,680 --> 00:15:06,080 Speaker 1: the one we're in. So you have to wonder, can 284 00:15:06,080 --> 00:15:09,120 Speaker 1: the Biden program in Washington, namely the three and half 285 00:15:09,160 --> 00:15:12,560 Speaker 1: trillion dollar reconciation Reconciliation Bill as well as the Infrastructure 286 00:15:12,560 --> 00:15:15,640 Speaker 1: bill which is so far proceeding on a bipartisan basis. 287 00:15:15,880 --> 00:15:18,760 Speaker 1: How much will it offset that headwind. It's not going 288 00:15:18,800 --> 00:15:22,320 Speaker 1: to give us another CARES Act. Those bills are are 289 00:15:22,360 --> 00:15:25,160 Speaker 1: are both of them are over ten years. You know, 290 00:15:25,200 --> 00:15:27,280 Speaker 1: the Cares Act and the American Rescue Plan were over 291 00:15:27,320 --> 00:15:30,440 Speaker 1: a couple of quarters. So we are facing a fiscal 292 00:15:30,440 --> 00:15:32,920 Speaker 1: policy headwind no matter how you cut it. The question 293 00:15:33,000 --> 00:15:35,280 Speaker 1: is the degree in terms of how the Biden Plan 294 00:15:35,320 --> 00:15:38,880 Speaker 1: gets enacted or trimmed further in the coming months. So 295 00:15:39,040 --> 00:15:42,120 Speaker 1: r J your head of the Municial bond group at Federated, 296 00:15:42,320 --> 00:15:47,920 Speaker 1: how are you guys positioning your municipal bond portfolios? Um, 297 00:15:47,920 --> 00:15:49,720 Speaker 1: we believe well, First of all, munities have had a 298 00:15:49,800 --> 00:15:53,360 Speaker 1: very very strong year. We've talked about that in the past. Um, 299 00:15:53,440 --> 00:15:57,000 Speaker 1: the simple fact that taxes were expected to rise, and 300 00:15:57,000 --> 00:15:59,960 Speaker 1: now we have real proposals out of Washington, their soldier 301 00:16:00,120 --> 00:16:03,680 Speaker 1: proposals that would raise marginal rates for for individuals, especially 302 00:16:03,760 --> 00:16:07,200 Speaker 1: high income individuals. Also higher capital gains rates and higher 303 00:16:07,240 --> 00:16:11,160 Speaker 1: corporate tax rates. Um. You know that's finally manifesting in 304 00:16:11,280 --> 00:16:14,600 Speaker 1: the discussions in Washington. Munis I think expected that, and 305 00:16:14,600 --> 00:16:18,000 Speaker 1: that's why muni ratios are all very low, historically low 306 00:16:18,040 --> 00:16:20,760 Speaker 1: the ratio of triple ammuni yield to a triple a 307 00:16:21,040 --> 00:16:23,760 Speaker 1: UH to a treasury yield. These days, if you look 308 00:16:23,760 --> 00:16:26,520 Speaker 1: at the Bloomberg series, you know, on the tenure part 309 00:16:26,560 --> 00:16:30,520 Speaker 1: of the curves around, that's unusually low, but that's pricing 310 00:16:30,520 --> 00:16:33,760 Speaker 1: in those tax increases. UM. We've been pretty positive on 311 00:16:33,880 --> 00:16:37,800 Speaker 1: munies all year, to include within munies taking more credit risks, 312 00:16:37,800 --> 00:16:40,880 Speaker 1: so high yield munies have done extremely well. We've caught 313 00:16:40,920 --> 00:16:42,600 Speaker 1: a good bit of that in all of our different 314 00:16:42,600 --> 00:16:45,960 Speaker 1: strategies here at the company, at Federated hermes Um. At 315 00:16:46,000 --> 00:16:48,880 Speaker 1: this point, spreads are tight, like they are everywhere. There's 316 00:16:48,880 --> 00:16:51,440 Speaker 1: not a lot of cheap assets left in munis or 317 00:16:51,440 --> 00:16:56,160 Speaker 1: anywhere else for that matter, reflecting the FEDS highly accommodated 318 00:16:56,200 --> 00:16:59,160 Speaker 1: monetary policy. So we're getting a little bit more cautious, 319 00:16:59,200 --> 00:17:00,760 Speaker 1: not in the sense that we're heading for some sort 320 00:17:00,760 --> 00:17:03,560 Speaker 1: of washout munities, but we think the prospects of incremental 321 00:17:03,600 --> 00:17:07,360 Speaker 1: out performance from here aren't so great. Tight ratios, tight spreads, 322 00:17:08,359 --> 00:17:10,399 Speaker 1: you know, at this point you're sort of clipping coupon 323 00:17:10,400 --> 00:17:13,280 Speaker 1: and trying to make up some good idiots and cratic 324 00:17:13,320 --> 00:17:16,480 Speaker 1: calls on security selection to eke out performance. Are J 325 00:17:16,640 --> 00:17:19,320 Speaker 1: always great to talk to. You really appreciate you joining 326 00:17:19,400 --> 00:17:22,840 Speaker 1: us today as well. So, um, I mean it's interesting 327 00:17:23,240 --> 00:17:27,480 Speaker 1: what we see in markets markets today, but you don't. 328 00:17:28,800 --> 00:17:30,719 Speaker 1: I mean today is I think a little bit special 329 00:17:30,720 --> 00:17:32,720 Speaker 1: and we'll see tomorrow if it if it continues on. 330 00:17:32,840 --> 00:17:34,920 Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean you had to, you know, sell off, 331 00:17:34,960 --> 00:17:36,879 Speaker 1: but kind of a little bit of studying here here 332 00:17:37,080 --> 00:17:40,239 Speaker 1: in the mid day. Yes. And also I mean, as 333 00:17:40,280 --> 00:17:43,760 Speaker 1: I talked about the top, we sometimes exaggerate, exaggerate the 334 00:17:43,920 --> 00:17:46,720 Speaker 1: you know, the size of it's not even a two 335 00:17:46,720 --> 00:17:49,119 Speaker 1: percent drop. Ye. So at the worst point. R J. 336 00:17:49,200 --> 00:17:52,520 Speaker 1: Gallo as senior portfolio manager and head of the Muni 337 00:17:52,520 --> 00:17:57,320 Speaker 1: Bond Group at Federated Hermes, they've got six forty six 338 00:17:57,359 --> 00:18:00,760 Speaker 1: billion dollars and assets under management, about a hundred and 339 00:18:00,880 --> 00:18:04,040 Speaker 1: change in equities under Management's are great to get his take, 340 00:18:04,760 --> 00:18:12,080 Speaker 1: this is Bloomberg. Okay, Well, we've certainly heard about income inequality, 341 00:18:12,160 --> 00:18:16,359 Speaker 1: wealth inequality. How about housing inequality? The big take story 342 00:18:16,400 --> 00:18:20,600 Speaker 1: today entitled Storing Housing inequality is now a global political 343 00:18:20,840 --> 00:18:23,439 Speaker 1: fault line. The dream of owning a home is increasingly 344 00:18:23,440 --> 00:18:27,280 Speaker 1: out of reach. Democratic and are authoritarian governments alike are 345 00:18:27,320 --> 00:18:29,520 Speaker 1: struggling with the consequences with the story. Here today is 346 00:18:29,560 --> 00:18:33,199 Speaker 1: Alan Crawford, senior editor for International Government in Bloomberg News, 347 00:18:33,280 --> 00:18:36,159 Speaker 1: running us on the phone from Burglin. That's where all 348 00:18:36,160 --> 00:18:39,200 Speaker 1: the smart, cool kids are. I guess Alan, thanks so 349 00:18:39,280 --> 00:18:42,440 Speaker 1: much for joining us here talk to us about housing inequality. 350 00:18:42,480 --> 00:18:46,720 Speaker 1: What's really driving it out there? Well, I think it's 351 00:18:46,760 --> 00:18:51,800 Speaker 1: probably no surprise to to listeners to assure that house 352 00:18:51,800 --> 00:18:55,679 Speaker 1: prices are are hitting fresh records worldwide and as a 353 00:18:55,720 --> 00:18:59,280 Speaker 1: result of the pandemic. And that's that's due to issues 354 00:18:59,320 --> 00:19:03,360 Speaker 1: like all to low interest rates, the fact that very 355 00:19:03,359 --> 00:19:06,160 Speaker 1: few homes are actually being built and put on the market. 356 00:19:06,560 --> 00:19:09,679 Speaker 1: But what is what is new is that this is 357 00:19:09,720 --> 00:19:14,120 Speaker 1: happening globally and it we're starting to see the political 358 00:19:14,200 --> 00:19:18,160 Speaker 1: impact of this because it's not just about the pure numbers. 359 00:19:18,520 --> 00:19:23,720 Speaker 1: It's also a generational issue because statistically we know that 360 00:19:23,800 --> 00:19:27,320 Speaker 1: Baby boomers are far more likely to own their own 361 00:19:27,320 --> 00:19:31,359 Speaker 1: home than Millennials and Generation Z, so these that latter 362 00:19:31,840 --> 00:19:36,840 Speaker 1: cohort of society risks getting completely left behind. Here. What 363 00:19:36,960 --> 00:19:39,919 Speaker 1: kind of problems does this mean? We've all seen staring 364 00:19:40,000 --> 00:19:43,919 Speaker 1: home prices and it's I have to say, Uh, sometimes 365 00:19:43,960 --> 00:19:48,960 Speaker 1: the numbers are pretty shocking increased in the US since 366 00:19:49,160 --> 00:19:53,320 Speaker 1: the mid two thousands, which you know, uh and and 367 00:19:53,320 --> 00:19:55,760 Speaker 1: then you were telling me this morning about Boise, Idaho 368 00:19:55,800 --> 00:19:58,679 Speaker 1: saw an increase of in the first quarter of this 369 00:19:58,760 --> 00:20:01,280 Speaker 1: year alone. What does this mean in for politicians? Alan, 370 00:20:01,320 --> 00:20:03,399 Speaker 1: What does this mean for elections around the world? What 371 00:20:03,440 --> 00:20:07,919 Speaker 1: does this mean for governments? Well, in the US, it 372 00:20:08,040 --> 00:20:11,760 Speaker 1: means that some of the traditional policies that are that 373 00:20:12,119 --> 00:20:18,119 Speaker 1: are you traditionally deployed to try and expand affordable homes, 374 00:20:18,280 --> 00:20:23,600 Speaker 1: the risk backfiring, the risk just putting more more petrol 375 00:20:23,680 --> 00:20:27,800 Speaker 1: gasoline on the fire of the housing market. And but 376 00:20:28,080 --> 00:20:31,560 Speaker 1: so that that just exacerbates the existing gulf. But what 377 00:20:31,600 --> 00:20:36,000 Speaker 1: we're seeing is that there's also a parallel crisis in 378 00:20:36,119 --> 00:20:39,320 Speaker 1: terms of the rental market in many cities, not everywhere, 379 00:20:39,560 --> 00:20:42,159 Speaker 1: but in many cities. And we see that here in Berlin. 380 00:20:42,840 --> 00:20:46,119 Speaker 1: The city government is under pressure and in fact, just 381 00:20:46,280 --> 00:20:50,600 Speaker 1: last week it bought fifteen thousand departments to try and 382 00:20:50,640 --> 00:20:55,160 Speaker 1: the swage this public anger over the rent price increases. 383 00:20:55,600 --> 00:20:57,760 Speaker 1: A couple of months ago, we saw the collapse of 384 00:20:57,800 --> 00:21:00,720 Speaker 1: the Swedies government for a variety of reasons, but at 385 00:21:00,760 --> 00:21:05,680 Speaker 1: its heart were proposed changes to two rental caps which 386 00:21:05,720 --> 00:21:09,280 Speaker 1: were completely out of favor with the coalition parties, and 387 00:21:09,320 --> 00:21:13,480 Speaker 1: the government collapse. So the point is there's no uniform 388 00:21:13,640 --> 00:21:18,760 Speaker 1: political impact here, but it's it's really stoking uncertainty and 389 00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:22,280 Speaker 1: in some cases instability. I'm kind of wondering what what's 390 00:21:22,359 --> 00:21:26,040 Speaker 1: kind of the source of this housing issue on a 391 00:21:26,040 --> 00:21:28,880 Speaker 1: global scale. It's it seems to me a supply and demand. 392 00:21:28,920 --> 00:21:32,720 Speaker 1: I mean, you know what's changed here. Is there a 393 00:21:32,800 --> 00:21:38,399 Speaker 1: sudden surgeon people looking for residences or is there just 394 00:21:38,680 --> 00:21:43,120 Speaker 1: a supply has come out of the market. What's happened there? 395 00:21:43,240 --> 00:21:47,600 Speaker 1: There are different it depends on the market. But for 396 00:21:47,640 --> 00:21:51,960 Speaker 1: what the single unifying factor is the pandemic And and 397 00:21:51,960 --> 00:21:55,040 Speaker 1: and amid that, as I said, you've got these really 398 00:21:55,040 --> 00:21:59,000 Speaker 1: low interest rates which are fueling purchases, and you've got 399 00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:03,199 Speaker 1: this idea that the families are shifting their priorities or 400 00:22:03,280 --> 00:22:06,480 Speaker 1: have been over the past eighteen months in terms of spending, 401 00:22:06,600 --> 00:22:09,760 Speaker 1: with fewer holidays, they're putting more money into really state 402 00:22:10,280 --> 00:22:15,000 Speaker 1: and fewer homes being built. That these factors all seem 403 00:22:15,080 --> 00:22:20,240 Speaker 1: to be coming together at once and and geographically spread 404 00:22:20,320 --> 00:22:24,440 Speaker 1: around the developed world, and that that's really what's new Well, 405 00:22:24,480 --> 00:22:27,040 Speaker 1: you've got a lot more investment as well, right in housing, 406 00:22:27,119 --> 00:22:29,040 Speaker 1: as people see the prices go up and there's so 407 00:22:29,119 --> 00:22:32,840 Speaker 1: much um cash floating around the system. Um, they put 408 00:22:32,880 --> 00:22:36,640 Speaker 1: that money into housing, and that exacerbates the problem, whereas 409 00:22:36,880 --> 00:22:39,879 Speaker 1: we haven't been building enough new housing at least I 410 00:22:39,920 --> 00:22:41,840 Speaker 1: know that's the case in the US, and I know 411 00:22:41,920 --> 00:22:44,119 Speaker 1: that's the case here in Berlin as well. Um to 412 00:22:44,200 --> 00:22:46,720 Speaker 1: keep up with with that demand. I wonder what the 413 00:22:46,760 --> 00:22:49,800 Speaker 1: answer is alan um. And I know that this has 414 00:22:49,880 --> 00:22:54,240 Speaker 1: historically been a real problem to deal with rising home prices, 415 00:22:54,440 --> 00:22:58,119 Speaker 1: rising apartment rents. You haven't had, um, you haven't had 416 00:22:58,160 --> 00:23:02,920 Speaker 1: any sort of utopian um successes where a government stiggers 417 00:23:02,920 --> 00:23:06,520 Speaker 1: out a way to keep prices at bay and doesn't 418 00:23:06,560 --> 00:23:09,439 Speaker 1: you know, screw up the whole market, Not as far 419 00:23:09,480 --> 00:23:12,600 Speaker 1: as I'm aware, But there are interesting examples playing out 420 00:23:12,720 --> 00:23:14,960 Speaker 1: right now in Canada, where there's of course an election 421 00:23:15,000 --> 00:23:19,560 Speaker 1: today that Justin Trudeau called his snap election, thinking that 422 00:23:19,600 --> 00:23:22,399 Speaker 1: he would fight this on his handling of the pandemic, 423 00:23:22,720 --> 00:23:27,119 Speaker 1: which was broadly congrats. He was congratulated for that. Instead, 424 00:23:27,200 --> 00:23:32,200 Speaker 1: he's fighting on issues of affordability and principally of housing, 425 00:23:32,840 --> 00:23:39,280 Speaker 1: and he has proposed. His proposed solutions include a two 426 00:23:39,400 --> 00:23:43,480 Speaker 1: year ban on foreign buyers, but in fact, interestingly his 427 00:23:43,600 --> 00:23:49,960 Speaker 1: conservative opponent has the same policy and the the New 428 00:23:50,000 --> 00:23:54,880 Speaker 1: Democratic Party, the third party polling they are proposing something 429 00:23:54,920 --> 00:23:58,920 Speaker 1: like a twenty percent tax on foreign buyers. UM. That 430 00:24:00,440 --> 00:24:05,719 Speaker 1: really these kind of like issues that these Um what 431 00:24:05,720 --> 00:24:08,960 Speaker 1: I'm trying to say is that these political parties are 432 00:24:09,119 --> 00:24:14,040 Speaker 1: broadly sharing the the the idea that there is some 433 00:24:14,160 --> 00:24:17,920 Speaker 1: kind of crisis in housing, but they really differ over 434 00:24:17,920 --> 00:24:21,280 Speaker 1: the proposed solutions. And at the moment there are I 435 00:24:21,280 --> 00:24:25,600 Speaker 1: am not yet aware of any sustainable things. You know. 436 00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:28,800 Speaker 1: One of the issues has been, at least in the States, 437 00:24:29,000 --> 00:24:32,359 Speaker 1: they're just not building entry level housing stock. They're building 438 00:24:32,400 --> 00:24:34,439 Speaker 1: the big, big Mick mansions and things like that. Is 439 00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:37,200 Speaker 1: that a u an issue We're seeing in other countries 440 00:24:37,240 --> 00:24:40,840 Speaker 1: as well? Alan it is. And there's an interesting little 441 00:24:40,840 --> 00:24:44,960 Speaker 1: example which didn't make it into the final article from England, 442 00:24:45,000 --> 00:24:50,919 Speaker 1: the South of England, which traditionally it's strongly conservative territory. 443 00:24:51,040 --> 00:24:54,480 Speaker 1: This is the Conservative Party of Prime Minister Boris Johnson. Now, 444 00:24:54,680 --> 00:24:57,840 Speaker 1: whatever you think of his government, the pro breaks it stands, 445 00:24:58,400 --> 00:25:03,680 Speaker 1: it's popular. I however, there was a special election by 446 00:25:03,760 --> 00:25:07,840 Speaker 1: election in a district which had been hailed by his 447 00:25:07,920 --> 00:25:12,160 Speaker 1: party since nine two. I'm being lost to the opposition 448 00:25:12,320 --> 00:25:16,639 Speaker 1: Alan Crawford with our Big Take story. This is Bloomberg. 449 00:25:16,920 --> 00:25:20,000 Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to the Bloomberg Markets podcast. You can 450 00:25:20,040 --> 00:25:23,800 Speaker 1: subscribe and listen to interviews with Apple Podcasts or whatever 451 00:25:23,880 --> 00:25:27,560 Speaker 1: podcast platform you prefer. I'm Matt Miller. I'm on Twitter 452 00:25:27,840 --> 00:25:31,240 Speaker 1: at Matt Miller Vy three and on ball Sweeney I'm 453 00:25:31,240 --> 00:25:33,879 Speaker 1: on Twitter at pt Sweeney. Before the podcast, you can 454 00:25:33,920 --> 00:25:36,160 Speaker 1: always catch us worldwide at Bloomberg Radio.