WEBVTT - BI Weekend: Meta, Constellation Deal, Tesla Robotaxi Limits 

0:00:00.280 --> 0:00:11.600
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. This is Bloomberg Intelligence

0:00:11.720 --> 0:00:13.800
<v Speaker 1>with Alex Steel and Paul Sweeney.

0:00:13.920 --> 0:00:17.119
<v Speaker 2>The real ap performance has been in US corporate high yield.

0:00:17.320 --> 0:00:19.680
<v Speaker 3>Are the companies lean enough? Have they trimmed all the fats?

0:00:19.720 --> 0:00:22.880
<v Speaker 2>The semiconductor business is a really cyclical.

0:00:22.480 --> 0:00:26.680
<v Speaker 1>Business, breaking market headlines and corporate news from across the globe.

0:00:26.720 --> 0:00:29.200
<v Speaker 3>Do investors like the M and A that we've seen?

0:00:29.400 --> 0:00:32.360
<v Speaker 2>These are two big time blue chip companies.

0:00:32.600 --> 0:00:36.400
<v Speaker 3>Window between the peak and cunt changing super fast.

0:00:36.240 --> 0:00:41.280
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Intelligence with Alex Steele and Paul Sweeney on Bloomberg Radio.

0:00:42.560 --> 0:00:44.959
<v Speaker 2>On Today's Bloomberg Intelligence Show, we dig inside the big

0:00:45.000 --> 0:00:47.280
<v Speaker 2>business stories impacting Wall Street and the global markets.

0:00:47.360 --> 0:00:49.320
<v Speaker 3>Each and every week we provide in depth research and

0:00:49.400 --> 0:00:51.159
<v Speaker 3>data on some of the two thousand companies and one

0:00:51.240 --> 0:00:53.880
<v Speaker 3>hundred and thirty industries our analysts cover worldwide.

0:00:53.960 --> 0:00:56.800
<v Speaker 2>Today, we'll take a look at the telecommunications company Comcast

0:00:56.840 --> 0:00:58.640
<v Speaker 2>and how it's benefiting from its theme parks.

0:00:58.760 --> 0:01:00.680
<v Speaker 3>Plus we'll look at how oil and gas companies are

0:01:00.720 --> 0:01:02.760
<v Speaker 3>investing in low carbon technologies.

0:01:03.040 --> 0:01:03.160
<v Speaker 4>Well.

0:01:03.200 --> 0:01:05.840
<v Speaker 2>First, we begin with some news in tech and energy.

0:01:06.000 --> 0:01:08.480
<v Speaker 3>This week, Constellation Energy agreed to sell power from a

0:01:08.480 --> 0:01:11.720
<v Speaker 3>Clinton Nuclear Plan in Illinois to the tech giant Meta Platforms.

0:01:11.720 --> 0:01:14.680
<v Speaker 3>It's a twenty year contract starting in mid twenty twenty seven.

0:01:14.760 --> 0:01:16.920
<v Speaker 2>And this comes as nuclear power has emerged as one

0:01:16.959 --> 0:01:19.319
<v Speaker 2>of the biggest winners from the AI fueled search and

0:01:19.360 --> 0:01:20.319
<v Speaker 2>electricity demand.

0:01:20.520 --> 0:01:22.080
<v Speaker 3>For more on the tech side, we are joined by

0:01:22.080 --> 0:01:25.000
<v Speaker 3>man Deep saying Bloomberg Intelligence in your tech industry analyst,

0:01:25.160 --> 0:01:27.479
<v Speaker 3>and we first ask man Deep why Meta needs this

0:01:27.560 --> 0:01:29.200
<v Speaker 3>deal with Constellation.

0:01:29.319 --> 0:01:31.959
<v Speaker 5>If they're raising their capex, which they did it in

0:01:32.040 --> 0:01:36.000
<v Speaker 5>their last earnings, that capex is going towards you know,

0:01:36.040 --> 0:01:40.119
<v Speaker 5>getting more AI chips, and you know, if you are

0:01:40.160 --> 0:01:43.240
<v Speaker 5>putting more AI chips, you need more power. So clearly

0:01:43.880 --> 0:01:47.960
<v Speaker 5>that is where the shortage is right now. And look,

0:01:48.080 --> 0:01:52.440
<v Speaker 5>if this is an AI supercycle that we all believe

0:01:52.600 --> 0:01:55.400
<v Speaker 5>it is going to be the case, and I think

0:01:55.520 --> 0:01:58.560
<v Speaker 5>you will see a power supercycle as well. And in

0:01:58.600 --> 0:02:02.080
<v Speaker 5>this case, all the higher scalers will be looking to

0:02:02.160 --> 0:02:05.760
<v Speaker 5>procure power for their data centers. I mean, Meta serves

0:02:05.760 --> 0:02:10.959
<v Speaker 5>over three billion monthly active users across their family of apps. Now, granted,

0:02:11.440 --> 0:02:15.160
<v Speaker 5>those users right now are using more CPU compute, but

0:02:15.200 --> 0:02:19.600
<v Speaker 5>if you're rolling out AI tools and LLM searches, you

0:02:19.720 --> 0:02:22.320
<v Speaker 5>need more power for the AI chips, and I think

0:02:22.360 --> 0:02:23.680
<v Speaker 5>that's the intent here.

0:02:24.200 --> 0:02:25.520
<v Speaker 6>And Mandy, let's be honest here.

0:02:25.560 --> 0:02:27.920
<v Speaker 2>I mean, all you tech guys, you Silicon Valley guys,

0:02:27.919 --> 0:02:30.280
<v Speaker 2>you always think you're the smartest guys in the room.

0:02:30.680 --> 0:02:31.440
<v Speaker 6>But let's be honest.

0:02:31.480 --> 0:02:33.840
<v Speaker 2>You guys don't know anything about the oil and gas

0:02:33.880 --> 0:02:36.960
<v Speaker 2>business and the nuclear business. Why is Meta And I'm

0:02:37.000 --> 0:02:39.079
<v Speaker 2>guessing some others are going to kind of get more

0:02:39.160 --> 0:02:43.160
<v Speaker 2>deeply and strategically involved in the energy side of their business.

0:02:43.200 --> 0:02:44.040
<v Speaker 6>Is this a trend here?

0:02:44.680 --> 0:02:47.760
<v Speaker 5>Just look at how far they have come in terms

0:02:47.840 --> 0:02:51.400
<v Speaker 5>of you know, infrastructure, like a company like Google. Not

0:02:51.520 --> 0:02:55.320
<v Speaker 5>only are they designing their own data centers and you know,

0:02:56.240 --> 0:03:00.360
<v Speaker 5>creating their own chips, and now they are you know,

0:03:00.480 --> 0:03:04.000
<v Speaker 5>procuring power to the extent that they want to make

0:03:04.040 --> 0:03:08.800
<v Speaker 5>sure that these AI chips, which can have volatile power needs,

0:03:09.240 --> 0:03:12.960
<v Speaker 5>are most optimized when it comes to the efficiency of

0:03:13.000 --> 0:03:18.200
<v Speaker 5>their infrastructure. And that's why these hyperscalar companies really have

0:03:18.360 --> 0:03:21.639
<v Speaker 5>got so many different aspects to their mode. So it's

0:03:21.680 --> 0:03:25.320
<v Speaker 5>not just about the search algorithm or in the case

0:03:25.360 --> 0:03:28.360
<v Speaker 5>of Meta, you know, their social media knowledge graph. It

0:03:28.480 --> 0:03:31.760
<v Speaker 5>is about the entirety of how they run their infrastructure,

0:03:31.800 --> 0:03:34.280
<v Speaker 5>and that is what is a long term mode, because

0:03:34.320 --> 0:03:38.200
<v Speaker 5>nobody else can operate at the scale at at which

0:03:38.440 --> 0:03:40.440
<v Speaker 5>these hyperscalers are operating right now.

0:03:40.640 --> 0:03:42.440
<v Speaker 3>This is a fun fact in the article Bible Rate

0:03:42.560 --> 0:03:44.880
<v Speaker 3>from Bloomberg. So Meta first of all, has a global

0:03:44.960 --> 0:03:45.520
<v Speaker 3>energy head.

0:03:45.920 --> 0:03:49.160
<v Speaker 6>They have a global energy head. Okay, all right, so

0:03:49.200 --> 0:03:49.480
<v Speaker 6>they do.

0:03:49.560 --> 0:03:51.600
<v Speaker 3>They're really kind of ramping that out, and they were

0:03:51.640 --> 0:03:54.360
<v Speaker 3>looking at proposals. They announced in December they were looking

0:03:54.400 --> 0:03:56.680
<v Speaker 3>at proposals for as much as coore gigawatts of new

0:03:56.800 --> 0:04:01.520
<v Speaker 3>US reactors, and it received fifty from a range of companies,

0:04:01.840 --> 0:04:07.480
<v Speaker 3>including Constellation. To that point, I'm also wondering Mande the

0:04:07.520 --> 0:04:11.600
<v Speaker 3>significance of when they're building data centers and hyperscalers for lllms,

0:04:11.600 --> 0:04:14.280
<v Speaker 3>a large language model and that training versus when they

0:04:14.320 --> 0:04:17.160
<v Speaker 3>have to build stuff for inference, which could be smaller

0:04:17.200 --> 0:04:20.000
<v Speaker 3>and more co located, so closer to the cities, closer

0:04:20.000 --> 0:04:22.080
<v Speaker 3>to our Paul and I have our phone. Does that

0:04:22.080 --> 0:04:24.800
<v Speaker 3>tend to look different than in terms of their power needs.

0:04:25.200 --> 0:04:28.800
<v Speaker 5>Absolutely, And I think so far the market was concentrated

0:04:28.839 --> 0:04:33.320
<v Speaker 5>towards training. Every year you would have a ten times

0:04:33.440 --> 0:04:37.640
<v Speaker 5>larger model, which was more intelligent and it could do

0:04:37.760 --> 0:04:40.320
<v Speaker 5>more in terms of you know, answering your queries. But

0:04:40.760 --> 0:04:44.520
<v Speaker 5>with inferencing your right. I mean, the traffic patterns may

0:04:44.600 --> 0:04:48.520
<v Speaker 5>vary depending on the population, and so if you're serving

0:04:48.520 --> 0:04:52.160
<v Speaker 5>traffic in New York, it's very different from serving traffic

0:04:52.200 --> 0:04:55.200
<v Speaker 5>somewhere else that may not have the same concentration. And

0:04:56.000 --> 0:04:59.280
<v Speaker 5>with that, I think the challenge these companies have had

0:04:59.360 --> 0:05:03.160
<v Speaker 5>is the transfer lines can be upgraded. I mean you need,

0:05:03.880 --> 0:05:07.640
<v Speaker 5>you know, a pretty lengthy review process and the whole

0:05:07.680 --> 0:05:11.080
<v Speaker 5>thing may take years. So right now they are trying

0:05:11.120 --> 0:05:15.960
<v Speaker 5>to procure power wherever they can to offset the increased consumption,

0:05:16.160 --> 0:05:18.760
<v Speaker 5>and some of it may come at the expense of

0:05:18.960 --> 0:05:24.599
<v Speaker 5>power usage for some other purpose. Then you know why

0:05:24.680 --> 0:05:28.919
<v Speaker 5>data center is being prioritized here, and that is what

0:05:29.040 --> 0:05:32.920
<v Speaker 5>will be interesting because with inferencing, the power needs can

0:05:32.960 --> 0:05:35.160
<v Speaker 5>be variable. I mean, one trend we have seen is

0:05:35.480 --> 0:05:39.800
<v Speaker 5>with reasoning, you need more compute, so you know, the

0:05:39.880 --> 0:05:42.440
<v Speaker 5>model is thinking a lot more at the time you

0:05:42.480 --> 0:05:45.440
<v Speaker 5>are putting the prompt in, as opposed to training, where

0:05:45.640 --> 0:05:48.640
<v Speaker 5>all of the training is happening in background over a

0:05:48.720 --> 0:05:51.760
<v Speaker 5>period of a few weeks. So reasoning is per query

0:05:52.320 --> 0:05:55.560
<v Speaker 5>and depending on how complex your query is the model

0:05:55.640 --> 0:05:57.520
<v Speaker 5>is doing more work and that's why it may need

0:05:57.560 --> 0:05:58.080
<v Speaker 5>more power.

0:05:58.600 --> 0:06:01.760
<v Speaker 2>Another data point from this new Bloomberg News article, Meta

0:06:01.839 --> 0:06:05.200
<v Speaker 2>is contracting for more power after the company's total electricity

0:06:05.200 --> 0:06:08.160
<v Speaker 2>consumption nearly tripled from twenty.

0:06:07.960 --> 0:06:10.440
<v Speaker 6>Nineteen to twenty twenty three. So yeah, I guess they

0:06:11.279 --> 0:06:13.240
<v Speaker 6>need some more energy man deposition in the.

0:06:13.160 --> 0:06:16.679
<v Speaker 2>CAPEX numbers for Meta and for these other tech companies,

0:06:16.760 --> 0:06:18.880
<v Speaker 2>or they need to take those CAPEX numbers up even

0:06:18.920 --> 0:06:21.120
<v Speaker 2>more if they're going to get deeper into the energy space.

0:06:21.720 --> 0:06:25.320
<v Speaker 5>I mean, all signs are the CAPEX numbers may continue

0:06:25.360 --> 0:06:29.600
<v Speaker 5>to go up, but right now, the biggest component of

0:06:29.640 --> 0:06:34.560
<v Speaker 5>the CAPEX is still the spend on the GPU chips. Obviously,

0:06:34.600 --> 0:06:38.080
<v Speaker 5>the power needs will take some portion of the CAPEX,

0:06:38.080 --> 0:06:40.680
<v Speaker 5>but it's still not as big as the chips. And

0:06:40.760 --> 0:06:42.880
<v Speaker 5>think of it this way. If you're getting you know,

0:06:43.400 --> 0:06:47.160
<v Speaker 5>twenty thousand Nvidia chips, the cost of keeping them idle

0:06:47.279 --> 0:06:49.599
<v Speaker 5>or not being able to utilize them one hundred percent

0:06:49.720 --> 0:06:52.840
<v Speaker 5>is way higher than anything you are spending in terms of,

0:06:53.240 --> 0:06:56.480
<v Speaker 5>you know, the energy deal that they had. So clearly

0:06:56.600 --> 0:06:59.760
<v Speaker 5>they are focusing on utilizing the chips that they have already,

0:07:00.360 --> 0:07:04.080
<v Speaker 5>and that's why they are proactive with you know, these

0:07:04.120 --> 0:07:04.839
<v Speaker 5>power deals.

0:07:05.400 --> 0:07:07.839
<v Speaker 2>Our thanks to Man Deep Seeing Bloomberg Intelligence senior tech

0:07:07.839 --> 0:07:08.640
<v Speaker 2>industry analyst.

0:07:09.080 --> 0:07:11.720
<v Speaker 3>We recently focused on a Bloomberg Big Take story entitled

0:07:11.760 --> 0:07:15.080
<v Speaker 3>A fatal Tesla crash shows the limits of full self Driving.

0:07:15.200 --> 0:07:17.440
<v Speaker 3>You can find it on Bloomberg dot Com and the Terminal.

0:07:17.560 --> 0:07:20.320
<v Speaker 2>The story looks at how federal regulators are investigating whether

0:07:20.400 --> 0:07:24.280
<v Speaker 2>Tesla's robotaxi system is dangerous even with the human behind

0:07:24.280 --> 0:07:24.640
<v Speaker 2>the wheel.

0:07:24.680 --> 0:07:26.880
<v Speaker 3>From where we were joined by Craig Trudell, Bloomberg Global

0:07:26.920 --> 0:07:29.400
<v Speaker 3>Autos Editor. We first asked Craig to walk us through

0:07:29.440 --> 0:07:32.360
<v Speaker 3>the details of what the issues are with completely autonomous vehicles.

0:07:32.800 --> 0:07:35.040
<v Speaker 7>I guess maybe the thing to start with is the

0:07:35.120 --> 0:07:37.160
<v Speaker 7>Teslas that you can buy today that are on the

0:07:37.240 --> 0:07:40.800
<v Speaker 7>road now are not that right. They are not autonomous.

0:07:41.080 --> 0:07:45.560
<v Speaker 7>You can pay extra for a system called full self driving,

0:07:45.600 --> 0:07:49.440
<v Speaker 7>and yet it's a miss snowmer. It's a system that

0:07:49.480 --> 0:07:52.720
<v Speaker 7>you have to pay attention to at all times. You know,

0:07:53.040 --> 0:07:55.920
<v Speaker 7>if you get into a crash, it is it is

0:07:56.000 --> 0:07:59.280
<v Speaker 7>on you. And we've seen that, you know, play out

0:08:00.080 --> 0:08:02.560
<v Speaker 7>when Tesla customers have you know, tried to come after

0:08:02.600 --> 0:08:05.280
<v Speaker 7>the company. The company says, look, you know, we we

0:08:06.000 --> 0:08:08.880
<v Speaker 7>warned you. We told you that you know, you're you're

0:08:08.960 --> 0:08:13.040
<v Speaker 7>responsible for driving while using this system. The company is

0:08:13.080 --> 0:08:15.160
<v Speaker 7>trying to make this leap, that's been trying to make

0:08:15.160 --> 0:08:17.880
<v Speaker 7>the sleep for years, to eventually get to a point

0:08:17.880 --> 0:08:21.040
<v Speaker 7>where you do not have to to supervise and you know,

0:08:21.520 --> 0:08:24.120
<v Speaker 7>even to take it further than that, you know, take

0:08:24.120 --> 0:08:27.280
<v Speaker 7>the human out from behind the wheel altogether. And we

0:08:27.360 --> 0:08:30.240
<v Speaker 7>hear Musk, you know, talk about that quite a bit

0:08:30.360 --> 0:08:33.479
<v Speaker 7>lately because it's something that they're actually trying to commercialize,

0:08:33.800 --> 0:08:36.120
<v Speaker 7>even just in the next matter of you know, next

0:08:36.120 --> 0:08:40.000
<v Speaker 7>week or so. There's a lot of questions about how

0:08:40.080 --> 0:08:43.080
<v Speaker 7>exactly they intend to do that, whether they can do it,

0:08:43.240 --> 0:08:46.840
<v Speaker 7>especially after he's predicted, you know, year after year that

0:08:46.840 --> 0:08:49.199
<v Speaker 7>they're on the cusp of doing it. And part of

0:08:49.240 --> 0:08:52.920
<v Speaker 7>the reason there are doubts is is because of the hardware.

0:08:52.960 --> 0:08:55.520
<v Speaker 7>And I think that's kind of an important aspect of

0:08:55.520 --> 0:08:59.720
<v Speaker 7>today's story is is this particular crash involves, you know,

0:09:00.320 --> 0:09:03.120
<v Speaker 7>an incident where a driver was using full self driving

0:09:03.320 --> 0:09:07.559
<v Speaker 7>driving into the sun, and that appeared to play a

0:09:07.600 --> 0:09:12.120
<v Speaker 7>part in the crash, which resulted in a fatality, and

0:09:12.200 --> 0:09:15.719
<v Speaker 7>it led to a federal investigation that is ongoing.

0:09:18.360 --> 0:09:21.520
<v Speaker 3>I mean, this is all very much feels as part

0:09:21.559 --> 0:09:23.600
<v Speaker 3>of the growing pains as we kind of understand this

0:09:23.679 --> 0:09:27.320
<v Speaker 3>technology and how it works itself out. So what are

0:09:27.360 --> 0:09:29.880
<v Speaker 3>the steps that Tesla's taking and that the regulators are

0:09:29.880 --> 0:09:30.680
<v Speaker 3>taking at this time.

0:09:32.280 --> 0:09:35.240
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, so you know, we should acknowledge that this incident

0:09:35.320 --> 0:09:39.240
<v Speaker 7>happened in November twenty twenty three. You know, Tesla has

0:09:39.280 --> 0:09:44.000
<v Speaker 7>has changed. They've they've made upgrades both to hardware and software.

0:09:44.600 --> 0:09:48.240
<v Speaker 7>You know, hardware for certain customers, they should say, but

0:09:48.400 --> 0:09:53.359
<v Speaker 7>you know, in terms of their approach to the sensor

0:09:53.400 --> 0:09:57.080
<v Speaker 7>system for their vehicles, Elon Musk has been you know,

0:09:57.120 --> 0:09:59.880
<v Speaker 7>really sort of out on a limb and having this

0:10:00.080 --> 0:10:04.040
<v Speaker 7>you that all you need is cameras and company companies

0:10:04.080 --> 0:10:06.440
<v Speaker 7>that are also in this space. I think the one

0:10:06.559 --> 0:10:10.560
<v Speaker 7>people recognize the most is Weimo, the Google company, and

0:10:11.160 --> 0:10:14.040
<v Speaker 7>they use a mix of camera, radar and wide R

0:10:14.240 --> 0:10:18.000
<v Speaker 7>and their sensor set is much more expensive. It's more extensive.

0:10:18.240 --> 0:10:20.200
<v Speaker 7>You know, these sensors are placed all over the vehicle.

0:10:21.640 --> 0:10:24.880
<v Speaker 7>But you know, the sort of bet here on the

0:10:24.880 --> 0:10:27.240
<v Speaker 7>part of Weimo is that is worth it. It will

0:10:27.280 --> 0:10:30.160
<v Speaker 7>mean this system is safer. What Musk has tried to

0:10:30.200 --> 0:10:33.599
<v Speaker 7>do is go with the cheaper route, go with the

0:10:34.640 --> 0:10:36.600
<v Speaker 7>you know system that he can afford to put in

0:10:36.640 --> 0:10:39.600
<v Speaker 7>every Tesla, and make this bet that you know, he

0:10:39.640 --> 0:10:44.000
<v Speaker 7>can develop his way to autonomy faster by sort of

0:10:44.080 --> 0:10:47.680
<v Speaker 7>leveraging the broader Tesla fleet, even if it means putting

0:10:47.800 --> 0:10:50.559
<v Speaker 7>you know, cars on the road that you know, draw

0:10:50.600 --> 0:10:53.640
<v Speaker 7>scrutiny from federal regulators as to whether or not that

0:10:53.760 --> 0:10:58.240
<v Speaker 7>this is you know, unreasonably unsafe.

0:10:59.440 --> 0:11:03.600
<v Speaker 2>So, Craig, I think Elon Musk is back at the company.

0:11:04.600 --> 0:11:05.280
<v Speaker 6>What does that mean?

0:11:05.440 --> 0:11:08.080
<v Speaker 2>I mean, are you hearing anything like, Okay, now we

0:11:08.120 --> 0:11:09.080
<v Speaker 2>can get back on track.

0:11:09.160 --> 0:11:11.880
<v Speaker 6>Now we can really move forward, maybe at you know,

0:11:12.160 --> 0:11:13.600
<v Speaker 6>higher velocity. What's that mean?

0:11:15.280 --> 0:11:17.560
<v Speaker 7>Yeah? I'm you know, I think it's difficult to tell

0:11:17.559 --> 0:11:20.839
<v Speaker 7>at this point because he's kind of coming back to

0:11:21.000 --> 0:11:24.920
<v Speaker 7>business means coming back to so many businesses, right, and

0:11:25.040 --> 0:11:28.200
<v Speaker 7>so on a day to day yeah, we're you know,

0:11:28.360 --> 0:11:32.160
<v Speaker 7>we're seeing him travel to to his various companies, you know,

0:11:32.360 --> 0:11:35.760
<v Speaker 7>devoting some time and attention to to them. But it's

0:11:35.840 --> 0:11:38.560
<v Speaker 7>not as though he's sort of one hundred percent, uh,

0:11:38.840 --> 0:11:42.440
<v Speaker 7>you know, focusing in on Tesla and neglecting all of

0:11:42.480 --> 0:11:46.079
<v Speaker 7>his other businesses. We see him, you know, regularly engaging

0:11:46.120 --> 0:11:50.200
<v Speaker 7>with you know, users on x about you know, troubleshooting

0:11:50.520 --> 0:11:53.400
<v Speaker 7>problems that they have with that service. You know, I

0:11:53.559 --> 0:11:58.200
<v Speaker 7>would say he is you know, more actively engaging there

0:11:58.280 --> 0:12:02.880
<v Speaker 7>on on teslas and definitely is trying to sort of

0:12:02.880 --> 0:12:05.600
<v Speaker 7>send this signal that you know, okay, it's it's time

0:12:05.640 --> 0:12:08.400
<v Speaker 7>to get back to business here. But whether or not

0:12:08.520 --> 0:12:11.040
<v Speaker 7>that's you know, resulting in sort of tangible changes at

0:12:11.040 --> 0:12:12.559
<v Speaker 7>the company, I think remains.

0:12:12.160 --> 0:12:12.600
<v Speaker 8>To be seen.

0:12:13.120 --> 0:12:16.200
<v Speaker 3>What's the rush for autonomous driving?

0:12:18.240 --> 0:12:22.280
<v Speaker 7>You know, I think forty thousand people die on US

0:12:22.360 --> 0:12:24.800
<v Speaker 7>roads every year, right, and so the rush of course

0:12:24.880 --> 0:12:27.559
<v Speaker 7>is to bend that, you know, to to change that.

0:12:27.720 --> 0:12:30.360
<v Speaker 7>And I think one of the challenges that you have

0:12:30.480 --> 0:12:33.400
<v Speaker 7>if you're a company in this space is we've now

0:12:33.559 --> 0:12:35.760
<v Speaker 7>you know, seen a lot of companies pursue this for

0:12:35.880 --> 0:12:38.680
<v Speaker 7>you know, roughly a decade. That number has not budged.

0:12:38.760 --> 0:12:41.200
<v Speaker 7>So you know, we still have a long way to

0:12:41.280 --> 0:12:46.520
<v Speaker 7>go to where this capability is you know, making putting

0:12:46.520 --> 0:12:47.720
<v Speaker 7>a dent in those figures.

0:12:48.240 --> 0:12:48.480
<v Speaker 9>All right.

0:12:48.480 --> 0:12:51.480
<v Speaker 3>Thanks to Craig Drudell, Bloomberg Global Autos editor coming up

0:12:51.520 --> 0:12:54.200
<v Speaker 3>a conversation with the CEO of Tay Technologies and the

0:12:54.200 --> 0:12:56.800
<v Speaker 3>company's approach to commercial fusion power.

0:12:56.920 --> 0:12:59.560
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to Bloomberg Intelligence on Bloomberg Radio, but riding

0:12:59.640 --> 0:13:01.880
<v Speaker 2>in depth research and data on two thousand companies in

0:13:01.920 --> 0:13:04.800
<v Speaker 2>one hundred and thirty industries. You can access Bloomberg Intelligence

0:13:04.880 --> 0:13:06.120
<v Speaker 2>via b I go on the terminal.

0:13:06.160 --> 0:13:08.840
<v Speaker 3>I'm Paul Sweeney, an amalk Steel, and this is Bloomberg.

0:13:13.640 --> 0:13:17.360
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live

0:13:17.440 --> 0:13:20.480
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android

0:13:20.520 --> 0:13:23.840
<v Speaker 1>Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever

0:13:23.880 --> 0:13:26.959
<v Speaker 1>you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.

0:13:27.800 --> 0:13:29.920
<v Speaker 3>We move next to the telecommunication space.

0:13:30.280 --> 0:13:33.360
<v Speaker 2>The cable provider Comcast recently opened its newest theme park

0:13:33.400 --> 0:13:37.000
<v Speaker 2>in Florida, called Universal Epic Universe. The goal is to

0:13:37.040 --> 0:13:39.360
<v Speaker 2>keep guests staying longer and spending more in the competitive

0:13:39.480 --> 0:13:40.600
<v Speaker 2>Orlando market.

0:13:40.440 --> 0:13:43.600
<v Speaker 3>And according to research from Bloomberg Intelligence, Comcast theme parks

0:13:43.600 --> 0:13:46.760
<v Speaker 3>are poised to become of its most valuable assets, with

0:13:46.880 --> 0:13:49.880
<v Speaker 3>revenue and IBADASA to jump around forty percent from twenty

0:13:49.920 --> 0:13:51.600
<v Speaker 3>twenty four to twenty twenty six.

0:13:52.000 --> 0:13:54.560
<v Speaker 2>For more on what this means, guest host John Tucker

0:13:54.559 --> 0:13:57.160
<v Speaker 2>and I were joined by Githa Rong Andathan Bloomberg, intelligence

0:13:57.280 --> 0:14:00.360
<v Speaker 2>US media analyst, who first asked Githa to talk about

0:14:00.400 --> 0:14:01.439
<v Speaker 2>Universal's new park.

0:14:01.960 --> 0:14:05.160
<v Speaker 8>May twenty second was the grand opening of Epic Universe

0:14:05.280 --> 0:14:09.000
<v Speaker 8>in Florida. This is the first big park that has

0:14:09.040 --> 0:14:12.280
<v Speaker 8>opened in Florida in twenty five years, and it was

0:14:12.520 --> 0:14:15.400
<v Speaker 8>the biggest investment by Comcast in a theme park. They

0:14:15.440 --> 0:14:18.520
<v Speaker 8>spent over seven billion dollars on just this park. So,

0:14:18.640 --> 0:14:22.080
<v Speaker 8>as you said, huge investments by Comcast in their theme

0:14:22.120 --> 0:14:25.040
<v Speaker 8>park business. This is really an area of growth for them,

0:14:25.720 --> 0:14:29.120
<v Speaker 8>especially now that their broadband business is struggling actually quite

0:14:29.160 --> 0:14:29.400
<v Speaker 8>a bit.

0:14:29.840 --> 0:14:31.760
<v Speaker 10>So what is this likely to do for their earnings?

0:14:33.000 --> 0:14:35.360
<v Speaker 8>So, you know, you kind of think about Comcast and

0:14:35.360 --> 0:14:39.760
<v Speaker 8>you think about Disney. For Comcast, so let me start

0:14:39.800 --> 0:14:42.640
<v Speaker 8>with Disney. So for Disney, parks is actually sixty percent

0:14:42.640 --> 0:14:46.560
<v Speaker 8>of their profits. For Comcasts, it's really maybe less than

0:14:46.600 --> 0:14:50.320
<v Speaker 8>six percent. So again for Comcasts, you know, eighty percent

0:14:50.400 --> 0:14:52.840
<v Speaker 8>of their of their money, of their profits still comes

0:14:52.840 --> 0:14:55.160
<v Speaker 8>from the cable business. But really, as we kind of

0:14:55.200 --> 0:14:58.360
<v Speaker 8>think about what their strategy is here and you look

0:14:58.360 --> 0:15:01.000
<v Speaker 8>at all of their portfolio of assets, I mean, we're

0:15:01.080 --> 0:15:04.320
<v Speaker 8>really excited about the theme park business because growth is great,

0:15:04.520 --> 0:15:07.840
<v Speaker 8>returns on investment are great, and this is really a

0:15:07.840 --> 0:15:11.160
<v Speaker 8>fantastic way for comcasts, just like what Disney has done

0:15:11.280 --> 0:15:14.360
<v Speaker 8>with kind of deepening all of those relationships with those

0:15:14.440 --> 0:15:16.680
<v Speaker 8>universal characters. You think of all the ip that they

0:15:16.680 --> 0:15:19.960
<v Speaker 8>have with Minions, with Jurassic Park, now with Wicked, you know,

0:15:19.960 --> 0:15:22.120
<v Speaker 8>and some of the other franchises that they have with

0:15:22.160 --> 0:15:25.280
<v Speaker 8>Harry Potter. You know, this is just such a great

0:15:25.320 --> 0:15:27.520
<v Speaker 8>way to build on that fan engagement.

0:15:28.280 --> 0:15:30.080
<v Speaker 2>How much can the theme park business, how much do

0:15:30.080 --> 0:15:32.560
<v Speaker 2>you think that could be worth for comcasts? Because again

0:15:32.600 --> 0:15:36.200
<v Speaker 2>you mentioned that some of their core businesses, like the

0:15:36.280 --> 0:15:39.200
<v Speaker 2>video business, the tridtional cable business, even the broadband business,

0:15:39.200 --> 0:15:42.280
<v Speaker 2>they're facing some headwinds here. Theme parks are going to

0:15:42.280 --> 0:15:45.440
<v Speaker 2>become more and more important important for investors I think

0:15:45.480 --> 0:15:47.240
<v Speaker 2>going forward. So what do you think the valuation could.

0:15:47.040 --> 0:15:50.600
<v Speaker 8>Be absolutely, Paul, So that's a really really important point

0:15:50.600 --> 0:15:52.240
<v Speaker 8>that you bring up. So you think of the cable business,

0:15:52.240 --> 0:15:55.680
<v Speaker 8>which is really their mainstay. Cable valuations have actually dropped

0:15:55.760 --> 0:15:58.400
<v Speaker 8>pretty significantly over the past few years. We've gone from

0:15:58.440 --> 0:16:01.320
<v Speaker 8>about ten x to around six and a half to

0:16:01.400 --> 0:16:05.320
<v Speaker 8>seven times EBITDA multiple you think about the park business though,

0:16:05.360 --> 0:16:07.720
<v Speaker 8>it's actually quite the opposite. You know, most of the

0:16:08.120 --> 0:16:10.400
<v Speaker 8>some of the pure play pure play park operators are

0:16:10.440 --> 0:16:13.480
<v Speaker 8>treating it about you know, twelve to fourteen times IBADA.

0:16:13.600 --> 0:16:16.480
<v Speaker 8>So again this is an area of growth. You know,

0:16:16.600 --> 0:16:20.760
<v Speaker 8>experiential businesses are seeing this huge upswing. And so we

0:16:20.840 --> 0:16:24.120
<v Speaker 8>think that just based on about five billion in ibitdah,

0:16:24.160 --> 0:16:26.560
<v Speaker 8>which we think Comcasts can get to in a few

0:16:26.640 --> 0:16:29.640
<v Speaker 8>years time, that business could be easily worth you know,

0:16:29.720 --> 0:16:32.480
<v Speaker 8>forty five fifty billion dollars or upwards of that.

0:16:33.600 --> 0:16:37.240
<v Speaker 10>So my takeaway is there are Disney wanna be at

0:16:37.240 --> 0:16:39.160
<v Speaker 10>this point. I got to wonder if like they're going

0:16:39.200 --> 0:16:41.160
<v Speaker 10>to start poaching Disney executives too.

0:16:42.880 --> 0:16:45.720
<v Speaker 8>That's very possible. I mean, right now, there's still a

0:16:45.760 --> 0:16:48.520
<v Speaker 8>pretty small player John when you compare them to Disney.

0:16:48.520 --> 0:16:50.400
<v Speaker 8>So you just kind of think about Disney in terms

0:16:50.440 --> 0:16:53.000
<v Speaker 8>of theme park visitations. We are looking at about one

0:16:53.080 --> 0:16:56.840
<v Speaker 8>hundred and fifty million global visitors to Disney parks every year.

0:16:57.200 --> 0:17:00.680
<v Speaker 8>Compare that to Universal or Comcast sparks it's about sixty million,

0:17:00.960 --> 0:17:03.960
<v Speaker 8>So still much smaller than Disney. But what they're doing

0:17:03.960 --> 0:17:05.840
<v Speaker 8>now is a lot of expansion. So we had this

0:17:05.920 --> 0:17:09.040
<v Speaker 8>new park, Epic Universe, which opened just last week. They're

0:17:09.040 --> 0:17:11.920
<v Speaker 8>actually opening a new park in London in a few

0:17:11.960 --> 0:17:15.520
<v Speaker 8>years time. They're expanding with new properties in Las Vegas

0:17:15.600 --> 0:17:18.520
<v Speaker 8>in Texas. So basically, when you put all of that together,

0:17:18.640 --> 0:17:21.800
<v Speaker 8>we're thinking that they are basically going to expand visitation

0:17:21.840 --> 0:17:24.560
<v Speaker 8>from about sixty million to by fifty percent to about

0:17:24.720 --> 0:17:27.560
<v Speaker 8>you know, eighty to ninety million. So they're really kind

0:17:27.560 --> 0:17:32.040
<v Speaker 8>of closing in on that gap with Disney stepping back.

0:17:32.240 --> 0:17:35.560
<v Speaker 2>The Comcast stock story, I mean, how do people view

0:17:35.600 --> 0:17:39.320
<v Speaker 2>it here, because again, cable TV business just in secular decline.

0:17:39.400 --> 0:17:42.440
<v Speaker 2>The broadband business, which had saved it for a good

0:17:42.480 --> 0:17:45.639
<v Speaker 2>decade or so, that seems to be stalling because a

0:17:45.680 --> 0:17:48.160
<v Speaker 2>competition and the cable networks, I don't know what they're

0:17:48.200 --> 0:17:51.320
<v Speaker 2>doing with them. What do investors think about Comcast.

0:17:52.400 --> 0:17:55.120
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, it's really a tough story right now, Paul, as

0:17:55.160 --> 0:17:58.720
<v Speaker 8>you rightly point out, I mean, broadband is again majority

0:17:58.760 --> 0:18:01.560
<v Speaker 8>of this business is really tough to how broadband does.

0:18:01.680 --> 0:18:05.000
<v Speaker 8>So you know, any stock movements are directly correlated to

0:18:05.520 --> 0:18:07.439
<v Speaker 8>the health of the broadband business, which actually is in

0:18:07.480 --> 0:18:10.119
<v Speaker 8>a very very tough spot right now. So this is

0:18:10.119 --> 0:18:12.359
<v Speaker 8>a business that was gaining about one to two million

0:18:12.400 --> 0:18:15.359
<v Speaker 8>subscribers every year. They are still one of the largest

0:18:15.359 --> 0:18:18.560
<v Speaker 8>broadband providers at about thirty million subscribers in the US,

0:18:18.880 --> 0:18:21.199
<v Speaker 8>but they are going to lose close to about a

0:18:21.200 --> 0:18:23.760
<v Speaker 8>million subscribers this year. As you know, the telecoms kind

0:18:23.760 --> 0:18:27.919
<v Speaker 8>of really intensified competition. So it's really a tough story

0:18:28.000 --> 0:18:29.800
<v Speaker 8>right now. The one thing that we are kind of

0:18:29.840 --> 0:18:32.199
<v Speaker 8>looking at in terms of a positive catalyst is the

0:18:32.240 --> 0:18:35.399
<v Speaker 8>spin off of the cable networks. So this is something

0:18:35.400 --> 0:18:38.520
<v Speaker 8>that they announced last year. It probably happens a little

0:18:38.520 --> 0:18:41.600
<v Speaker 8>bit later this year. They're calling it Versut. What's going

0:18:41.680 --> 0:18:43.399
<v Speaker 8>to be interesting is not just the spin but what

0:18:43.480 --> 0:18:46.159
<v Speaker 8>happens after the spin. So will Comcast really look to

0:18:46.280 --> 0:18:51.120
<v Speaker 8>become kind of this consolidator of media assets and that would,

0:18:51.160 --> 0:18:52.879
<v Speaker 8>I think be a little bit of an interesting story

0:18:52.880 --> 0:18:56.760
<v Speaker 8>in media. But unless they can really revive growth in

0:18:56.800 --> 0:18:59.040
<v Speaker 8>their broadband business, I think it's going to be a

0:18:59.080 --> 0:18:59.960
<v Speaker 8>little bit of a tough sell.

0:19:00.280 --> 0:19:04.280
<v Speaker 10>What's Disney's response to Universal to Comcast?

0:19:05.040 --> 0:19:08.800
<v Speaker 8>So Disney a huge response in terms of what they

0:19:08.880 --> 0:19:11.360
<v Speaker 8>have planned over the next few years. John, So they

0:19:11.359 --> 0:19:14.760
<v Speaker 8>are really kind of doubling down on their parks business. Again,

0:19:14.800 --> 0:19:17.200
<v Speaker 8>this is really the bread and butter for Disney. Sixty

0:19:17.240 --> 0:19:20.119
<v Speaker 8>percent of their profit comes from the parks business. So

0:19:20.160 --> 0:19:24.520
<v Speaker 8>they have about a sixty billion investment planned for parks

0:19:24.880 --> 0:19:27.399
<v Speaker 8>over the next you know, seven to eight years. And

0:19:27.440 --> 0:19:30.120
<v Speaker 8>it's not just the theme park experience, it's you know,

0:19:30.359 --> 0:19:32.600
<v Speaker 8>they're having parks on water, what they call parks on water,

0:19:32.600 --> 0:19:36.280
<v Speaker 8>which are the cruises, and that's a huge investment for them.

0:19:36.720 --> 0:19:40.040
<v Speaker 8>You know, we think that that business basically doubles triples

0:19:40.080 --> 0:19:42.960
<v Speaker 8>revenue as they keep on adding these new cruise ships,

0:19:44.280 --> 0:19:47.240
<v Speaker 8>you know, to their fleet. So are they are doubling

0:19:47.280 --> 0:19:48.440
<v Speaker 8>down on parks as well?

0:19:48.880 --> 0:19:49.119
<v Speaker 5>All right?

0:19:49.119 --> 0:19:52.240
<v Speaker 3>Thanks together, mang An Athen Bloomberg, Intelligence analyst on US Media.

0:19:52.520 --> 0:19:54.840
<v Speaker 2>We've moved next to the energy space this week.

0:19:54.880 --> 0:19:57.719
<v Speaker 3>We looked at a company called Tay Technologies. Tay develops

0:19:57.720 --> 0:20:00.640
<v Speaker 3>commercial fusion power with the cleanest environment profile.

0:20:00.920 --> 0:20:03.639
<v Speaker 2>The company also recently raised more than one hundred and

0:20:03.640 --> 0:20:06.320
<v Speaker 2>fifty million dollars in its latest funding round, exceeding the

0:20:06.320 --> 0:20:08.000
<v Speaker 2>company's initial target for the round.

0:20:08.160 --> 0:20:10.160
<v Speaker 3>For more and what the company is doing, host Paul

0:20:10.320 --> 0:20:13.840
<v Speaker 3>John Tucker and I were joined by Michael Binderbauer, CEO

0:20:13.960 --> 0:20:17.520
<v Speaker 3>of Tay technologies. We began the conversation by asking Michael

0:20:17.560 --> 0:20:19.959
<v Speaker 3>to break down exactly what fusion power is.

0:20:20.520 --> 0:20:23.160
<v Speaker 9>So it's basically what nature does, based right, It keeps

0:20:23.240 --> 0:20:25.600
<v Speaker 9>us our life and energy here on the planet from

0:20:25.640 --> 0:20:28.679
<v Speaker 9>the Sun son any star you look up suffusion reactor

0:20:28.720 --> 0:20:31.119
<v Speaker 9>basically right. So what we're trying to do is to

0:20:31.160 --> 0:20:36.080
<v Speaker 9>replicate that terristrially to make essentially copious power, carbon free,

0:20:36.280 --> 0:20:39.520
<v Speaker 9>clean and sustainable for the future of humanity.

0:20:40.160 --> 0:20:44.320
<v Speaker 2>Where are you in the process at tay So.

0:20:44.200 --> 0:20:47.240
<v Speaker 9>We're very close. We're just one machine a way to

0:20:47.240 --> 0:20:49.439
<v Speaker 9>get to a point where we actually harvest more energy

0:20:49.480 --> 0:20:52.040
<v Speaker 9>than what we're putting into the facility. This has been

0:20:52.400 --> 0:20:55.000
<v Speaker 9>obviously a long journey. It's hard to do terristrially. The

0:20:55.040 --> 0:20:57.080
<v Speaker 9>stars have a lot of gravity. We don't have that.

0:20:57.160 --> 0:20:59.520
<v Speaker 9>We have to use other means, magnets and all sorts

0:20:59.560 --> 0:21:02.000
<v Speaker 9>of things, and as you've probably seen over the last

0:21:02.040 --> 0:21:05.040
<v Speaker 9>few years, has been a playthrow of news inching really

0:21:05.080 --> 0:21:07.639
<v Speaker 9>really close to the goal line across multiple efforts on

0:21:07.720 --> 0:21:10.520
<v Speaker 9>the planet. So we're about a three year way to

0:21:10.520 --> 0:21:14.320
<v Speaker 9>get tonate energy and somewhere early twenty thirties we hopefully

0:21:14.359 --> 0:21:15.600
<v Speaker 9>have a power plant online.

0:21:16.840 --> 0:21:18.800
<v Speaker 3>What would be if you're able to achieve it and

0:21:18.840 --> 0:21:21.520
<v Speaker 3>have a power plant, Like, what is that? Is that

0:21:21.640 --> 0:21:24.879
<v Speaker 3>just tremendous amount of energy with like no footprint.

0:21:26.280 --> 0:21:28.800
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, it's very small footprint. So it's the highest energy

0:21:28.800 --> 0:21:31.560
<v Speaker 9>density fuel you can have, by the factor of five

0:21:31.680 --> 0:21:35.800
<v Speaker 9>to ten, higher than fission. Even it utilizes hydrogen or

0:21:36.000 --> 0:21:40.080
<v Speaker 9>light species that are ubiquitous. So there's infinite fuel supply

0:21:40.119 --> 0:21:43.080
<v Speaker 9>if you will, and you would harvest clean energy out

0:21:43.119 --> 0:21:45.679
<v Speaker 9>of that at probably starting in a scale of a

0:21:45.720 --> 0:21:48.320
<v Speaker 9>gas fired turbine, so something like four or five hundred

0:21:48.320 --> 0:21:51.520
<v Speaker 9>makawatts per plant, and it would literally be able to

0:21:51.520 --> 0:21:53.760
<v Speaker 9>distribute wherever you needed it in the grid.

0:21:54.640 --> 0:21:54.840
<v Speaker 11>Is there?

0:21:55.119 --> 0:22:00.240
<v Speaker 2>Can you talk about the economics surrounding this technology? Gee,

0:22:00.240 --> 0:22:02.840
<v Speaker 2>who would be the who would be the users, the buyers,

0:22:02.960 --> 0:22:04.480
<v Speaker 2>the developers of this technology?

0:22:05.520 --> 0:22:07.520
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, so I think what we're seeing and this gets

0:22:07.520 --> 0:22:09.800
<v Speaker 9>to what we just announced, you know, raising capital. We

0:22:09.840 --> 0:22:13.200
<v Speaker 9>really have a long partnership with Google and they've been

0:22:13.200 --> 0:22:15.760
<v Speaker 9>deep with us on machine learning and tools to help

0:22:15.800 --> 0:22:19.479
<v Speaker 9>make this more efficient and more economic, and in fact,

0:22:19.600 --> 0:22:22.280
<v Speaker 9>they would be a great first off taker for that, right,

0:22:22.400 --> 0:22:26.879
<v Speaker 9>all the hyperscalers, everybody that has high energy, intense applications

0:22:27.320 --> 0:22:30.040
<v Speaker 9>growing at tremendous rates right with a gap between supply

0:22:30.080 --> 0:22:34.399
<v Speaker 9>and demand. Developing is looking for electrons and particularly green electrons.

0:22:34.400 --> 0:22:36.639
<v Speaker 9>So those would be probably the first off takers for

0:22:36.720 --> 0:22:37.480
<v Speaker 9>the technology.

0:22:37.720 --> 0:22:40.240
<v Speaker 10>Oh, I got to ask, what sets you with John Tucker?

0:22:40.280 --> 0:22:41.119
<v Speaker 3>He likes his fusion?

0:22:41.280 --> 0:22:44.119
<v Speaker 10>What sets you apart from ETR in terms of the

0:22:44.480 --> 0:22:49.600
<v Speaker 10>reactor itself, the containment that's act fusion reactor or what?

0:22:50.760 --> 0:22:54.080
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, so good question. So Eater and others are working

0:22:54.080 --> 0:22:56.600
<v Speaker 9>on tokamacs, we actually are not. We're working what you

0:22:56.640 --> 0:22:59.960
<v Speaker 9>see if you have a visual and even have a

0:23:00.119 --> 0:23:02.800
<v Speaker 9>compact machine not the size of gas turbine that can

0:23:02.800 --> 0:23:06.080
<v Speaker 9>make about the same output as those other plants. It's

0:23:06.280 --> 0:23:09.719
<v Speaker 9>much more efficient to uses smaller magnets. There's various tricks

0:23:09.720 --> 0:23:11.800
<v Speaker 9>in the physics that allow you to do that, and

0:23:11.840 --> 0:23:15.200
<v Speaker 9>that brings something that's more compact, cheaper to produce, of course,

0:23:15.560 --> 0:23:18.639
<v Speaker 9>more economic to deploy, easier to maintain, etc. And you

0:23:18.680 --> 0:23:22.280
<v Speaker 9>can essentially centralize these. We think we can build those

0:23:22.640 --> 0:23:25.879
<v Speaker 9>sort of cookie cutter in the factory and deploy on site.

0:23:26.000 --> 0:23:27.960
<v Speaker 9>And the other thing I should add is that sighting

0:23:28.280 --> 0:23:31.640
<v Speaker 9>on this compared to the other nuclear cousin which is fission. Right,

0:23:31.760 --> 0:23:35.359
<v Speaker 9>It is a lot easier. There's no meltdown possibility, there's

0:23:35.359 --> 0:23:39.160
<v Speaker 9>no sort of nuclear accident of substance that people would

0:23:39.200 --> 0:23:41.240
<v Speaker 9>have to worry about. It's truly clean and benign, and

0:23:41.280 --> 0:23:43.399
<v Speaker 9>so you can deploy it where you need it in

0:23:43.440 --> 0:23:44.800
<v Speaker 9>a much more straightforward way.

0:23:44.920 --> 0:23:49.760
<v Speaker 10>And there's no use of beryllium in that reactor, no, No.

0:23:49.960 --> 0:23:53.280
<v Speaker 9>In fact, ours is using hydrogen and boron, both of

0:23:53.280 --> 0:23:55.439
<v Speaker 9>which are light and super ubiquitous.

0:23:55.760 --> 0:23:58.159
<v Speaker 10>Well deterium as the fuel, right.

0:23:59.080 --> 0:24:02.919
<v Speaker 9>So tritium is one fuel cycle that's used by some

0:24:03.000 --> 0:24:05.440
<v Speaker 9>of us in the fusion community, and we can burn

0:24:05.520 --> 0:24:08.800
<v Speaker 9>that too, but we're really focused on hydrogen and boron. Ultimately,

0:24:09.480 --> 0:24:11.919
<v Speaker 9>that turns out that only makes helium, so you have

0:24:11.960 --> 0:24:15.040
<v Speaker 9>no neutrons, you have no radioactivity to speak of. It's

0:24:15.200 --> 0:24:17.160
<v Speaker 9>just a nirvana of energy. Essentially.

0:24:17.200 --> 0:24:18.600
<v Speaker 2>You get ubiguous.

0:24:18.119 --> 0:24:22.440
<v Speaker 9>Fuel in no radioactivity or pollution in the process, totally sustainable,

0:24:23.000 --> 0:24:26.360
<v Speaker 9>and we think it will be competitive from a cost perspective.

0:24:26.359 --> 0:24:29.160
<v Speaker 9>It will be probably starting out midfield in current generation

0:24:29.560 --> 0:24:32.239
<v Speaker 9>asset costs, so you're not as cheap as you know,

0:24:32.320 --> 0:24:36.119
<v Speaker 9>gas or renewables, but you're not as expensive as fision

0:24:36.200 --> 0:24:38.760
<v Speaker 9>is today. Is somewhere in the midfield and then trending down.

0:24:39.200 --> 0:24:41.840
<v Speaker 3>Okay, let's pretend that neither of us understood what any

0:24:41.880 --> 0:24:43.760
<v Speaker 3>of you guys were talking about in terms of brilliant.

0:24:44.160 --> 0:24:45.800
<v Speaker 3>That's why we have him right. He knows a lot

0:24:45.840 --> 0:24:48.959
<v Speaker 3>about a lot of different things. Before we let you go,

0:24:49.160 --> 0:24:52.119
<v Speaker 3>just how hard is it to have gotten to where

0:24:52.160 --> 0:24:52.600
<v Speaker 3>you are?

0:24:52.720 --> 0:24:52.840
<v Speaker 2>Like?

0:24:52.880 --> 0:24:54.600
<v Speaker 3>What has been like the biggest hurdle?

0:24:55.600 --> 0:24:57.399
<v Speaker 4>Oh gosh, it's been an enormous journey. I mean, I

0:24:57.440 --> 0:24:57.879
<v Speaker 4>have aged.

0:24:58.160 --> 0:25:00.200
<v Speaker 9>I started this out at graduate school with my really

0:25:00.240 --> 0:25:02.960
<v Speaker 9>in PhD mantour and then it took us about twenty

0:25:02.960 --> 0:25:06.080
<v Speaker 9>plus years to amalgamate the technology around it. There's a

0:25:06.080 --> 0:25:10.040
<v Speaker 9>lot of esoteric, absolutely extreme things. You've got a master

0:25:10.200 --> 0:25:15.320
<v Speaker 9>power supplies, accelerator technology, diagnostics, feedback loops, you know, use

0:25:15.359 --> 0:25:17.000
<v Speaker 9>a lot of machine learning and AI, a lot of

0:25:17.000 --> 0:25:19.359
<v Speaker 9>that we developed together with Google in the last decade

0:25:19.480 --> 0:25:21.159
<v Speaker 9>that can react on the blink of an eye to

0:25:21.200 --> 0:25:25.240
<v Speaker 9>make changes in what happens inside and do that reliably

0:25:25.320 --> 0:25:27.960
<v Speaker 9>and consistently. And so those are all the technologies we

0:25:28.040 --> 0:25:30.119
<v Speaker 9>now have. So now we're putting in the last machine.

0:25:30.280 --> 0:25:30.880
<v Speaker 4>So it's been a.

0:25:30.800 --> 0:25:33.880
<v Speaker 9>Long journey and developing lots of technology to do that.

0:25:34.240 --> 0:25:37.000
<v Speaker 2>Thanks to Michael Binderbauer, CEO Take Technologies.

0:25:37.280 --> 0:25:38.760
<v Speaker 3>Coming up in the program, we're going to look at

0:25:38.800 --> 0:25:41.000
<v Speaker 3>oil and gas companies and how they're investing in low

0:25:41.000 --> 0:25:42.000
<v Speaker 3>carbon technologies.

0:25:42.080 --> 0:25:45.000
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to Bloomberg Intelligence on Bloomberg Radio, providing in

0:25:45.040 --> 0:25:47.439
<v Speaker 2>depth research and data on two thousand companies and one

0:25:47.560 --> 0:25:50.520
<v Speaker 2>hundred and thirty industries. You can access Bloomberg Intelligence via

0:25:50.600 --> 0:25:52.440
<v Speaker 2>bi go on the terminal, Umpaul.

0:25:52.119 --> 0:25:54.480
<v Speaker 3>Sweeney, an amlex deal, and this is Bloomberg.

0:26:01.520 --> 0:26:05.200
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live

0:26:05.280 --> 0:26:08.400
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android

0:26:08.400 --> 0:26:11.679
<v Speaker 1>Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever

0:26:11.760 --> 0:26:15.640
<v Speaker 1>you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.

0:26:15.720 --> 0:26:18.200
<v Speaker 3>Each week we look at research from Bloomberg and EF

0:26:18.240 --> 0:26:20.240
<v Speaker 3>previously known as New Energy Finance.

0:26:20.520 --> 0:26:23.119
<v Speaker 2>They're the team at Bloomberg that tracks and analyzes the

0:26:23.240 --> 0:26:27.520
<v Speaker 2>energy transition from commodities to power, transport, industries, buildings, and

0:26:27.560 --> 0:26:28.600
<v Speaker 2>agricultural sectors.

0:26:28.640 --> 0:26:30.359
<v Speaker 3>This week we looked at oil and gas companies and

0:26:30.400 --> 0:26:32.480
<v Speaker 3>how they're investing in low carbon technologies.

0:26:32.560 --> 0:26:35.560
<v Speaker 2>For more, we were joined by David Dhugherty, BNEF, head

0:26:35.560 --> 0:26:37.120
<v Speaker 2>of Natural Resources Research.

0:26:37.359 --> 0:26:39.720
<v Speaker 3>We first asked David what US oil companies are thinking

0:26:39.760 --> 0:26:42.080
<v Speaker 3>with regards to investing in fossil fuels and more green

0:26:42.119 --> 0:26:43.160
<v Speaker 3>friendly technologies.

0:26:43.680 --> 0:26:46.280
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, economically friendly is a great choice of word versus

0:26:46.359 --> 0:26:51.080
<v Speaker 4>environmentally friendly. Two separate things sometimes, and the story's very

0:26:51.080 --> 0:26:53.439
<v Speaker 4>different if you're looking at a US major versus a

0:26:53.480 --> 0:26:58.359
<v Speaker 4>European major, and even the technology they'll invest in. In general,

0:26:58.440 --> 0:27:01.520
<v Speaker 4>the group of big oil companies talk about investing about

0:27:01.520 --> 0:27:05.000
<v Speaker 4>seven eight percent in low carbon technologies things like wind, solar,

0:27:05.600 --> 0:27:09.119
<v Speaker 4>carbon capture, renewable fuels. Yeah, and it's plateaued around there

0:27:09.160 --> 0:27:10.359
<v Speaker 4>for the last two three years.

0:27:10.520 --> 0:27:14.000
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it's something I mean like that. But what we

0:27:14.080 --> 0:27:16.560
<v Speaker 3>learn is that the Trump administration is taking back some

0:27:16.680 --> 0:27:18.480
<v Speaker 3>of the loans and the money that a lot of

0:27:18.520 --> 0:27:20.840
<v Speaker 3>these oil companies are using for some of those projects.

0:27:21.200 --> 0:27:24.360
<v Speaker 3>Xon in particular, they have a project in Texas it's

0:27:24.359 --> 0:27:27.320
<v Speaker 3>going to use hydrogen, and that funding is poof gone.

0:27:27.400 --> 0:27:31.200
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, right, so now what happens? Now? What happens? I mean,

0:27:31.359 --> 0:27:32.880
<v Speaker 4>you know, a tax BIK would be great for somebody

0:27:32.880 --> 0:27:35.760
<v Speaker 4>like an Xcell. They could probably go ahead without it. Arguably,

0:27:36.400 --> 0:27:40.600
<v Speaker 4>the pro oil Trump administration isn't necessarily ticking the boxes

0:27:40.600 --> 0:27:42.640
<v Speaker 4>for the oil companies to the moment, we're seeing these

0:27:42.680 --> 0:27:46.360
<v Speaker 4>tax breaks, we're seeing really low prices, not necessarily all

0:27:46.359 --> 0:27:49.480
<v Speaker 4>down to policy. It's worth highlighting, but not not beautiful.

0:27:49.480 --> 0:27:51.520
<v Speaker 4>If if you're a US oil company, for example, or

0:27:51.560 --> 0:27:56.040
<v Speaker 4>with exposure to US production, particularly on shore shale for example,

0:27:56.080 --> 0:27:57.840
<v Speaker 4>it's not a great time for them. It's not the

0:27:57.840 --> 0:27:59.880
<v Speaker 4>worst time, but it's not a great time.

0:28:00.280 --> 0:28:02.879
<v Speaker 11>Are the European energy companies or are just outside of the

0:28:02.960 --> 0:28:05.000
<v Speaker 11>US energy companies, Are they stepping up and trying to

0:28:05.040 --> 0:28:10.600
<v Speaker 11>fill that void for some more environmental friendly technology because.

0:28:10.359 --> 0:28:11.760
<v Speaker 3>They got so punished.

0:28:11.320 --> 0:28:14.680
<v Speaker 4>For that just like a yep, they made some decisions.

0:28:14.720 --> 0:28:16.920
<v Speaker 4>Maybe I'm not sure they would make again. That said,

0:28:16.920 --> 0:28:19.520
<v Speaker 4>some of the biggest players are still at the European

0:28:19.520 --> 0:28:23.240
<v Speaker 4>with equinor for example, last year wind Solar made a

0:28:23.320 --> 0:28:26.160
<v Speaker 4>comeback that's really interesting. They've got really per cassular stories,

0:28:26.240 --> 0:28:29.880
<v Speaker 4>much lower returns, center of traditionals. So you're definitely seeing

0:28:29.880 --> 0:28:32.440
<v Speaker 4>a split between the US and the European majors for sure,

0:28:33.200 --> 0:28:35.000
<v Speaker 4>But the environment's completely changing for all of them.

0:28:35.640 --> 0:28:37.960
<v Speaker 3>So I hear your point, particularly in the US, like

0:28:37.960 --> 0:28:41.640
<v Speaker 3>then Exon, they can probably still push ahead in Texas

0:28:41.680 --> 0:28:44.120
<v Speaker 3>even without the loan. They might not like it, but

0:28:44.160 --> 0:28:46.240
<v Speaker 3>they can manage it. But a lot of these companies can't.

0:28:46.880 --> 0:28:49.160
<v Speaker 3>So what happens to the projects that are already underway

0:28:49.160 --> 0:28:53.000
<v Speaker 3>to deal with you know, carbon capture, director capture, decarbonization.

0:28:53.440 --> 0:28:55.040
<v Speaker 4>They go looking for more money or they stop.

0:28:55.320 --> 0:28:57.000
<v Speaker 3>Is the money there ex government?

0:28:58.400 --> 0:29:00.760
<v Speaker 4>I think so? I think so, Like this jitter is

0:29:00.800 --> 0:29:02.520
<v Speaker 4>for sure, right, this is a four year window. And

0:29:02.600 --> 0:29:03.880
<v Speaker 4>is it a four year window or is it an

0:29:03.920 --> 0:29:06.200
<v Speaker 4>eight year window? Nobody knows. Nobody's going to bet on

0:29:06.240 --> 0:29:10.320
<v Speaker 4>that or guess, but you know, for the right anything

0:29:10.560 --> 0:29:12.480
<v Speaker 4>will happen for the right price. I guess the is

0:29:12.520 --> 0:29:15.560
<v Speaker 4>the the bottom line. But it's a huge question mark

0:29:15.840 --> 0:29:18.200
<v Speaker 4>for us in the in the next four years for sure.

0:29:18.640 --> 0:29:20.320
<v Speaker 2>But if we have oil down here in the low

0:29:20.440 --> 0:29:24.520
<v Speaker 2>sixties for an extended period of time, what are the

0:29:24.560 --> 0:29:27.520
<v Speaker 2>oil companies? I mean, do they have capital to invest

0:29:27.680 --> 0:29:30.920
<v Speaker 2>back into fossil fuels or do they just give it

0:29:30.920 --> 0:29:31.680
<v Speaker 2>back to shareholder?

0:29:32.440 --> 0:29:34.360
<v Speaker 4>It's a mix. If you look at like the players

0:29:34.400 --> 0:29:37.040
<v Speaker 4>that don't have let's say a family presence, right, you

0:29:37.080 --> 0:29:39.960
<v Speaker 4>know your mom knows, I know, Chevron, Exxon. If you

0:29:39.960 --> 0:29:41.960
<v Speaker 4>think of an EOG or any of those companies that

0:29:42.000 --> 0:29:45.480
<v Speaker 4>don't have less necessarily a like a household name, they've

0:29:45.480 --> 0:29:48.680
<v Speaker 4>got a very different way of operating. At around sixty dollars,

0:29:48.720 --> 0:29:50.720
<v Speaker 4>you're getting into territory where it's going to start to

0:29:50.800 --> 0:29:53.560
<v Speaker 4>hurt a lot of the US shale players. Fifty five

0:29:53.640 --> 0:29:55.360
<v Speaker 4>is where you'll see bock and start to fall out

0:29:55.360 --> 0:29:58.200
<v Speaker 4>of profitability. That will go down, and you're about twelve

0:29:58.280 --> 0:30:00.160
<v Speaker 4>dollars below that for a break even for some something

0:30:00.240 --> 0:30:02.880
<v Speaker 4>in the permium. So there's still space to play. But

0:30:03.400 --> 0:30:06.440
<v Speaker 4>you know, the guidance we're seeing for CAPEX quarter on

0:30:06.520 --> 0:30:09.400
<v Speaker 4>quarter is down about three four percent, whereas production is

0:30:09.440 --> 0:30:11.880
<v Speaker 4>down marginally like one percent. So the impact of the

0:30:11.880 --> 0:30:15.200
<v Speaker 4>actual production will happen a lot later than the CAPEC story.

0:30:15.480 --> 0:30:18.000
<v Speaker 4>But they're starting to, you know, tighten their belt a

0:30:18.000 --> 0:30:19.640
<v Speaker 4>bit when it comes to spend, and we'll see that

0:30:19.680 --> 0:30:22.920
<v Speaker 4>in barrel terms later like more delayed. You will see

0:30:22.960 --> 0:30:24.240
<v Speaker 4>it come through. You're not seeing it yet.

0:30:24.400 --> 0:30:26.560
<v Speaker 3>I also have to wonder too, what winds up happening

0:30:27.080 --> 0:30:30.040
<v Speaker 3>with say offshore projects, so onshore is much more reactive,

0:30:30.520 --> 0:30:32.480
<v Speaker 3>but say Gulf of Mexico, a lot of production is

0:30:32.520 --> 0:30:35.160
<v Speaker 3>going to come online that investment decision was made years ago,

0:30:35.200 --> 0:30:36.560
<v Speaker 3>so you can do nothing about it. But then if

0:30:36.600 --> 0:30:39.400
<v Speaker 3>you're making decisions today with this oil price, looking at

0:30:39.400 --> 0:30:42.640
<v Speaker 3>the curve for twenty twenty seven, twenty eight, that's when

0:30:42.680 --> 0:30:43.880
<v Speaker 3>you get some question marks.

0:30:44.000 --> 0:30:46.480
<v Speaker 4>One hundred percent. Yeah, and that plus like all this

0:30:46.560 --> 0:30:50.040
<v Speaker 4>actual barrel's coming off from OPEC new projects in Guyana

0:30:50.040 --> 0:30:53.320
<v Speaker 4>for example, coming on line and ramping up short term

0:30:53.480 --> 0:30:56.840
<v Speaker 4>looks like pain. Longer term, this investment still needed. Otherwise

0:30:56.840 --> 0:31:01.880
<v Speaker 4>you get into territory of price spikes or causing short supply.

0:31:02.040 --> 0:31:04.520
<v Speaker 4>So it's a really delicate balance for the moment.

0:31:04.840 --> 0:31:06.880
<v Speaker 2>So if I were to go to the oil patch

0:31:06.960 --> 0:31:08.680
<v Speaker 2>down there in Texas, would they be happy today or

0:31:08.720 --> 0:31:09.240
<v Speaker 2>not so much?

0:31:09.400 --> 0:31:12.520
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, it's been worse, and I think we have a

0:31:13.280 --> 0:31:16.840
<v Speaker 4>habit of saying crazy times, crazy times. It's not really

0:31:16.840 --> 0:31:18.719
<v Speaker 4>that crazy at the moment. Sixty dollars if you think

0:31:18.760 --> 0:31:20.880
<v Speaker 4>about it, we had fifty five flat for about what

0:31:21.320 --> 0:31:24.400
<v Speaker 4>two years, just two three years ago, and Texas was booming.

0:31:24.400 --> 0:31:27.280
<v Speaker 4>When you're in Houston, it's flying right. So we're not

0:31:27.320 --> 0:31:29.440
<v Speaker 4>in the territory of fear just yet. And no one

0:31:29.480 --> 0:31:32.200
<v Speaker 4>makes for great headline, but data wise, we're still a

0:31:32.200 --> 0:31:35.560
<v Speaker 4>bit away from the pain, and ushal always surprises to

0:31:35.600 --> 0:31:37.440
<v Speaker 4>the upside when it comes to efficiencies and when it

0:31:37.480 --> 0:31:40.360
<v Speaker 4>comes to how resilient it is.

0:31:40.400 --> 0:31:42.560
<v Speaker 3>Right, and then to your point, the production is only

0:31:42.560 --> 0:31:45.360
<v Speaker 3>down fractionally whereas capex is down more speaks to that point.

0:31:45.360 --> 0:31:47.400
<v Speaker 3>But I feel like the difference this time is that

0:31:47.880 --> 0:31:50.960
<v Speaker 3>oil companies went into this administration super pumped. I mean

0:31:51.160 --> 0:31:53.080
<v Speaker 3>super pumped is actually an understatement.

0:31:53.120 --> 0:31:55.240
<v Speaker 4>Pumped is a great choice, yeah, exactly.

0:31:55.240 --> 0:31:57.400
<v Speaker 3>But then the reality has been so much different. It

0:31:57.440 --> 0:32:02.160
<v Speaker 3>feels like that's the differentiation versus underlying oil price and

0:32:02.320 --> 0:32:04.320
<v Speaker 3>a little confusion. I mean, what was a billion dollars

0:32:04.360 --> 0:32:07.280
<v Speaker 3>the oil industry gave to or the energy industry gave

0:32:07.360 --> 0:32:10.800
<v Speaker 3>to President Trump? And then they're like wait what, So

0:32:10.840 --> 0:32:13.680
<v Speaker 3>it feels like that's a little bit different. There is

0:32:13.720 --> 0:32:17.080
<v Speaker 3>there one form of low capture, a low carbon investment that's.

0:32:16.960 --> 0:32:23.360
<v Speaker 4>Just toast ooh. Green hydrogen csis book cards to justify

0:32:23.480 --> 0:32:25.680
<v Speaker 4>without some form of a tax break, and the knock

0:32:25.760 --> 0:32:28.440
<v Speaker 4>on impact for that's pretty pretty significant if you think

0:32:28.480 --> 0:32:31.400
<v Speaker 4>of it, and things of like e fiels or synthetic fuels,

0:32:31.480 --> 0:32:33.400
<v Speaker 4>all of that is needed to make those things down

0:32:33.440 --> 0:32:37.960
<v Speaker 4>the line. So those two kind of toast the other

0:32:38.000 --> 0:32:41.040
<v Speaker 4>ones wind Solar there could have stune in their ground

0:32:41.040 --> 0:32:41.360
<v Speaker 4>a bit.

0:32:41.280 --> 0:32:44.160
<v Speaker 2>More thanks to David dharerty bn EF, head of Natural

0:32:44.200 --> 0:32:45.120
<v Speaker 2>Resources Research.

0:32:45.440 --> 0:32:47.880
<v Speaker 3>We move next to some news from the financial sector.

0:32:48.200 --> 0:32:51.160
<v Speaker 2>This week, Wells Fargo CEO Charlie Sharp cleared the Federal

0:32:51.200 --> 0:32:54.400
<v Speaker 2>Reserve seven year old cap on assets, allowing the bank

0:32:54.480 --> 0:32:56.360
<v Speaker 2>to grow and compete larger rivals.

0:32:56.520 --> 0:32:56.800
<v Speaker 9>For more.

0:32:56.840 --> 0:32:58.920
<v Speaker 3>In this we were joined by Hannah Levet Bloomberg, senior

0:32:58.920 --> 0:32:59.640
<v Speaker 3>finance reporter.

0:33:00.120 --> 0:33:02.560
<v Speaker 2>First asked, Hannah, how Wells Fargo is now positioned for

0:33:02.600 --> 0:33:04.080
<v Speaker 2>its next stage of growth.

0:33:04.720 --> 0:33:07.680
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, so this has truly been such a long saga

0:33:07.720 --> 0:33:11.160
<v Speaker 12>for them. Like I started covering Wells Fargo more than

0:33:11.200 --> 0:33:15.320
<v Speaker 12>seven years ago, they had just gotten put under this cap.

0:33:15.360 --> 0:33:17.720
<v Speaker 12>At the time, I was still enjoying my mid twenties,

0:33:18.840 --> 0:33:22.840
<v Speaker 12>and you know, now we are no longer there. For

0:33:22.960 --> 0:33:26.040
<v Speaker 12>Charlie Sharf, this means that he can finally play offense.

0:33:26.120 --> 0:33:28.760
<v Speaker 12>He can you know, they're not capped in size to

0:33:28.800 --> 0:33:31.560
<v Speaker 12>their level at the end of twenty seventeen anymore. And

0:33:31.640 --> 0:33:34.640
<v Speaker 12>remember that's been a huge deal for them along the way.

0:33:34.720 --> 0:33:36.880
<v Speaker 12>I mean, some of the businesses that he's marked for

0:33:36.920 --> 0:33:41.480
<v Speaker 12>growth like the trading business most notably that's been constrained

0:33:42.080 --> 0:33:44.080
<v Speaker 12>because it's more balance sheet heavy and they haven't been

0:33:44.080 --> 0:33:46.920
<v Speaker 12>able to allocate that balance sheet because they're restricted. And

0:33:47.360 --> 0:33:50.240
<v Speaker 12>like just for context, JP Morgan, the biggest US bank,

0:33:50.280 --> 0:33:53.880
<v Speaker 12>has grown almost an entire Wells Fargo in terms of

0:33:53.880 --> 0:33:55.600
<v Speaker 12>assets in the time that Wells has been capped.

0:33:55.760 --> 0:33:59.520
<v Speaker 6>Wow, all right, Hanna, I you know a full discorder.

0:33:59.560 --> 0:34:02.720
<v Speaker 2>I have my account with Wells Fargo, but I'm guessing

0:34:02.720 --> 0:34:04.600
<v Speaker 2>the CEO and the management team there they want.

0:34:04.440 --> 0:34:06.160
<v Speaker 6>To do something more than that. They think they can

0:34:06.200 --> 0:34:08.040
<v Speaker 6>do a little bit bigger and better than Paul's and

0:34:08.080 --> 0:34:08.800
<v Speaker 6>needs checking account.

0:34:08.800 --> 0:34:11.960
<v Speaker 2>So what are some of the the businesses you mentioned trading?

0:34:12.000 --> 0:34:15.680
<v Speaker 2>Are there other editors where they think they can really

0:34:15.680 --> 0:34:17.440
<v Speaker 2>grow by allocating more capital there?

0:34:17.880 --> 0:34:22.920
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, absolutely, so the businesses that Charlie Sharff marked for growth,

0:34:23.239 --> 0:34:25.040
<v Speaker 12>you know in this time while he was running the firm,

0:34:25.080 --> 0:34:28.720
<v Speaker 12>but it was still under the cap where investment banking

0:34:28.800 --> 0:34:33.840
<v Speaker 12>and trading and wealth management and credit card. But virtually

0:34:33.840 --> 0:34:36.560
<v Speaker 12>every business aside from mortgage, which they've said they're shrinking.

0:34:36.600 --> 0:34:38.520
<v Speaker 12>And remember Wells Farga used to be huge and mortgage

0:34:38.520 --> 0:34:40.520
<v Speaker 12>at one point they were churning out one in every

0:34:40.520 --> 0:34:43.759
<v Speaker 12>three home loans in the country. Every business other than

0:34:43.760 --> 0:34:46.120
<v Speaker 12>that should grow now, and they have room to do that.

0:34:46.360 --> 0:34:50.520
<v Speaker 12>But I think those businesses where they've already said that

0:34:50.600 --> 0:34:54.760
<v Speaker 12>they're targeting growth, that may be where the earliest moves are.

0:34:55.400 --> 0:34:58.120
<v Speaker 12>You know, we've reported that they're working on a high

0:34:58.239 --> 0:35:02.480
<v Speaker 12>end credit card, so that could be something that people see.

0:35:02.600 --> 0:35:05.520
<v Speaker 12>But yeah, so it really just it goes across all

0:35:05.560 --> 0:35:07.480
<v Speaker 12>of those and beyond now because they don't have this

0:35:07.520 --> 0:35:10.879
<v Speaker 12>constraint anymore, so.

0:35:11.040 --> 0:35:13.360
<v Speaker 3>How quickly can they scale in the other parts of

0:35:13.400 --> 0:35:14.200
<v Speaker 3>their business.

0:35:14.840 --> 0:35:17.560
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, well, it's an interesting question, right because we've seen,

0:35:18.160 --> 0:35:20.520
<v Speaker 12>you know, the tales of banks trying to grow too

0:35:20.560 --> 0:35:24.520
<v Speaker 12>fast and then having you know, a calamitous blow up,

0:35:24.520 --> 0:35:27.360
<v Speaker 12>and so that's something that they definitely want to avoid.

0:35:27.360 --> 0:35:29.279
<v Speaker 12>And Charlie Sharff has talked about that that it's not

0:35:30.280 --> 0:35:33.719
<v Speaker 12>like an on switch day one, but it does give

0:35:33.760 --> 0:35:36.959
<v Speaker 12>them more flexibility so they can you know, the most

0:35:36.960 --> 0:35:40.239
<v Speaker 12>immediate thing is the trading business where they just have capacity,

0:35:41.480 --> 0:35:47.239
<v Speaker 12>but besides that, it's more being able to lean into

0:35:47.280 --> 0:35:53.760
<v Speaker 12>more enthusiastically those growth initiatives that they've already kind of outlined, right.

0:35:54.280 --> 0:35:55.360
<v Speaker 6>So Hannah.

0:35:55.440 --> 0:35:58.400
<v Speaker 2>They now have them regulatory capability to maybe do more,

0:35:58.520 --> 0:36:01.120
<v Speaker 2>to maybe grow a little bit more quickly.

0:36:01.400 --> 0:36:03.080
<v Speaker 6>Did they have the balance sheet to do that? Did

0:36:03.120 --> 0:36:04.279
<v Speaker 6>they have the capital to do that?

0:36:04.760 --> 0:36:06.680
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, they have a ton of excess capital, and that's

0:36:06.719 --> 0:36:09.840
<v Speaker 12>been a theme throughout. I mean even in the earliest

0:36:09.920 --> 0:36:13.560
<v Speaker 12>days of the asset cap like, they couldn't deployed that capital,

0:36:13.640 --> 0:36:17.920
<v Speaker 12>so they gave investors a bigger dividend and more buybacks

0:36:18.000 --> 0:36:20.000
<v Speaker 12>than they were expecting. It was sort of like a

0:36:21.320 --> 0:36:23.239
<v Speaker 12>you wouldn't think that would be the outcome, but it

0:36:23.440 --> 0:36:27.960
<v Speaker 12>was at the time. So they've had excess capital. And

0:36:28.280 --> 0:36:30.880
<v Speaker 12>also because the banks in general were preparing for the

0:36:30.880 --> 0:36:35.520
<v Speaker 12>possibility of tougher capital rules that have not panned out,

0:36:35.600 --> 0:36:37.640
<v Speaker 12>so they were a lot of them been hoarding capital anyway,

0:36:37.680 --> 0:36:38.399
<v Speaker 12>sitting on a bunch of.

0:36:38.320 --> 0:36:42.480
<v Speaker 3>Extra Well, we're seeing in Wall Street it's definitely a

0:36:42.480 --> 0:36:45.240
<v Speaker 3>competition for talent, particularly if you wrap in hedge funds

0:36:45.239 --> 0:36:48.400
<v Speaker 3>as well as huge asset managers are private equity. Can

0:36:48.440 --> 0:36:49.680
<v Speaker 3>Weill's Hargo play in that game.

0:36:50.719 --> 0:36:54.960
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, they already have been. I mean they hired Fernando Rivas,

0:36:55.040 --> 0:36:57.719
<v Speaker 12>who is the head of the Corporate Investment Bank there.

0:36:58.480 --> 0:37:02.080
<v Speaker 12>He was a major hire from JP Morgan, so that

0:37:02.239 --> 0:37:04.560
<v Speaker 12>that was huge for them, and you know they've made

0:37:04.600 --> 0:37:08.439
<v Speaker 12>other hires over the years. Doug Bronstein is there, another

0:37:08.480 --> 0:37:14.319
<v Speaker 12>former JPM executive and he's vice chair. They have very

0:37:14.360 --> 0:37:16.680
<v Speaker 12>summers running wealth, so they have you know, they've been

0:37:16.719 --> 0:37:18.920
<v Speaker 12>able to get talent at the highest level and then

0:37:19.040 --> 0:37:20.279
<v Speaker 12>you know even further down as well.

0:37:20.600 --> 0:37:23.160
<v Speaker 3>All Right, Thanks to Hannah Lovit, Bloomberg Senior Finance Reporter.

0:37:23.800 --> 0:37:28.520
<v Speaker 1>This is the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast, available on Apple, Spotify,

0:37:28.680 --> 0:37:32.160
<v Speaker 1>and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live each

0:37:32.200 --> 0:37:36.000
<v Speaker 1>weekday ten am to noon Eastern on Bloomberg dot com,

0:37:36.080 --> 0:37:39.600
<v Speaker 1>the iHeartRadio app, tune In, and the Bloomberg Business app.

0:37:40.040 --> 0:37:42.960
<v Speaker 1>You can also watch us live every weekday on YouTube

0:37:43.360 --> 0:37:45.600
<v Speaker 1>and always on the Bloomberg terminal.