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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into the Tuesday

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Speaker 1: morning edition on the Daily Juice podcast? Here every morning,

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Speaker 1: it is the Daily Juice. I'm your host, Matt Parolt

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Speaker 1: here on bettingpros dot com. We're always being brought to

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Speaker 1: you by bet MGM. You can follow me on Twitter

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Speaker 1: at sports Talk Matt. Now, I know some of you

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Speaker 1: guys are probably tuning in today because you want me

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Speaker 1: to rehash what happened on Twitter. I'm not gonna do it.

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Speaker 1: It's not really worth it. If you're not aware of

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Speaker 1: what I'm talking about, that's a good thing. No need

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Speaker 1: to get into it. It was on the Discord Channel,

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Speaker 1: it was on Twitter. I got a couple dm from

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Speaker 1: folks that brought up another podcast that was trying to

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Speaker 1: say that they're the only ones that do this, and

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Speaker 1: they're using some semantic argument that because there is quicker

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Speaker 1: than ours and theirs drops in the morning, that means

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Speaker 1: they're the only ones doing what they're doing, which is

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Speaker 1: so dumb. But fine, Okay, we're gonna drop it and

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Speaker 1: move on. There's just no need to get into it.

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Speaker 1: If people need to make themselves feel big about that,

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Speaker 1: that's fine. It's just not accurate, and it's in the

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Speaker 1: media business. Look, there can be coke and pepsi and

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Speaker 1: you can have your choices. There can be McDonalds and

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Speaker 1: Burger King. You can have your choices, and both can

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Speaker 1: be very successful, and both can grow. And I'm all

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Speaker 1: for the Twitter community growing, the sports gambling community growing,

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Speaker 1: I'm all for our discord channel becoming as big and

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Speaker 1: widespread as possible. So I'm not sitting here trying to

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Speaker 1: pick fights. I was very respectful. I just thought it

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Speaker 1: was a little bit wrong to be saying that when

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Speaker 1: our podcast, The Daily Juice has been going on longer.

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Speaker 1: I've done this podcast from a hospital room. I do

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Speaker 1: this podcast on Christmas Day. I did this podcast on

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Speaker 1: New Year's Day. So I'm, you know, giving up time,

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Speaker 1: family time, everyday, health time to record this podcast. So

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Speaker 1: when someone says they're the only ones doing something like this,

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Speaker 1: I do take offense to it, and I do think

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Speaker 1: there needs to be some clarity to that. And I

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Speaker 1: do think that saying that this person's using should be altered,

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Speaker 1: you know, should not be used. But that's just Hey,

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Speaker 1: I whatever, do your thing, man, do whatever you need

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Speaker 1: to do, whatever you make the and we make official

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Speaker 1: plays here. Okay, we don't give just leans, we give

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Speaker 1: official plays. And by the way, betting overnight is actually

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Speaker 1: the smarter way of doing it. Just FYI, Betting on

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Speaker 1: the lines once they open is the best line. Closing

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Speaker 1: line value is actually a thing. And we've talked about

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Speaker 1: CLV a lot. But like, you want the best number,

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Speaker 1: So betting overnight, betting in the morning doesn't really it

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Speaker 1: doesn't make a lot of sense. Okay, it just doesn't.

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Speaker 1: It's so you get the worst of the number and

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Speaker 1: you're recommending the worst of the number. That doesn't make

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Speaker 1: a lot of sense. Now granted, on the other side,

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Speaker 1: you can get a better number closer to tip off

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Speaker 1: sometimes if you're taking dogs, sometimes are you gonna go?

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Speaker 1: And I mean there are two sides to the coin, right,

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Speaker 1: Betting overnight can be better or betting right up to

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Speaker 1: But that's not what he's doing. He's betting in the

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Speaker 1: morning for games at night. So the line has moved

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Speaker 1: all so you're going in the middle of the line move.

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Speaker 1: That doesn't make any sense. The best thing would do

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Speaker 1: to drop a podcast at four o'clock Eastern. That would

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Speaker 1: be the right thing to do. Where we go overnight

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Speaker 1: and then you go at four o'cloatern, so you get

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Speaker 1: the number right before the game start. That would make

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Speaker 1: more sense than to do it at nine am to

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Speaker 1: ten am whenever that is that podcast drops in the morning.

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Speaker 1: That doesn't make any sense. So here I was saying,

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Speaker 1: what's it, gonna talk about it, and now I'm here

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Speaker 1: talking about it. But anyways, it just it got under

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Speaker 1: my skin a little bit because of the things that

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Speaker 1: we're written. But that's fine. We do our thing. That's it.

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Speaker 1: We move on, all right. So last night frustrating night.

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Speaker 1: As you can tell, I'm frustrated today. And that's just

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Speaker 1: the way that it goes. Okay, this is hard. The

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Speaker 1: under six and a half goals, I felt pretty good

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Speaker 1: about that, but then I mean, one of the goaltenders,

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Speaker 1: I think it was Hellibuk let in a goal from

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Speaker 1: mid ice, Like what are you doing? Like you just

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Speaker 1: you just can't do that, And when that goes I

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Speaker 1: knew that was going to burn me. I'm like, you

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Speaker 1: let in a fluke goal like that, We're screwed. And

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Speaker 1: it was two to one until the third period, and

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Speaker 1: then three goals get scored in the third period overtime shootout,

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Speaker 1: four to three the final and we lose the under.

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Speaker 1: Now we got the Tampa Bay in Montreal two leg parlay,

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Speaker 1: correct if you added the third leg like I said, Hey,

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Speaker 1: if you want to bit the third leg for some fun,

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Speaker 1: is plus two twenty five or better? That hit as well,

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Speaker 1: So that made up for the night. I know a

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Speaker 1: lot of you guys were thanking me on this, but

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Speaker 1: like again, I don't play Parley's. I'm saying, hey, don't

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Speaker 1: play Parli's and then the parlies are cashing. So what

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Speaker 1: am I doing today? I'm gonna do two bets today

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Speaker 1: that are pretty stupid. But because it's Tuesday of Super

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Speaker 1: Bowl week, and because Dan Harris and I on Wednesday

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Speaker 1: ta tape our big hour long betting pros prop podcast

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Speaker 1: which will drop and be in place of The Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice by the way, Okay, we're gonna record that podcast

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Speaker 1: and then we're gonna drop it. And I don't know yet.

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Speaker 1: I let me rethink that I may do too. We

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Speaker 1: may just do the Dan Harris Prop special and then

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Speaker 1: do another like five to ten minute podcast for the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice just with a couple of quick plays and

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Speaker 1: whatnot for Thursday. But you'll get that. So we're gonna

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Speaker 1: be obviously heavily committed where we're gonna roll a lot.

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Speaker 1: It's the super Bowl, right, so we're gonna get heavily

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Speaker 1: involved here. But so that was the only thing to

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Speaker 1: hit yesterday. And basketball was rough, I mean really rough.

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Speaker 1: Missouri's date got killed. What happened to that team? I

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Speaker 1: really thought that was the play. They lost three straight games.

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Speaker 1: They had been a really good team against the spread,

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Speaker 1: they're at home. I thought they would keep it close

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Speaker 1: against Loyola Chicago. I can't wait for Loyola against Drake.

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Speaker 1: That game is going to be awesome in the Missouri Valley.

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Speaker 1: And then Drake just blew the living daylights out of

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Speaker 1: Illinois State. And I talked to Dave Sheripin on my show,

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Speaker 1: and I thought I might be on the wrong side

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Speaker 1: because he was like, well, there's two ways of looking

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Speaker 1: at that. And if you look at the line move

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Speaker 1: and the sharp money coming in, they think the Illinois

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Speaker 1: State gave it their all in Game one and they lost,

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Speaker 1: so now they got to run it back again. There

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Speaker 1: could be a bunch of defeated kids, you know, the

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Speaker 1: energy level might not be there, And that's exactly what happened.

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Speaker 1: Drake just ransacked them out of the Nap Center. Huge

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Speaker 1: win for Drake by thirty five points. So that was,

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Speaker 1: you know, it was either to come down to the

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Speaker 1: Dave texted me and said, you either going to come

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Speaker 1: down to the wire or are you gonna get killed?

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Speaker 1: And we got killed. So not a good day there.

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Speaker 1: And so basketball was brutal Texas Texas oh and three

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Speaker 1: in basketball, one and one in hockey. But then the

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Speaker 1: plus one point fifty helped a little bit, but still

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Speaker 1: a losing day. So not the way we want to

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Speaker 1: start Monday. But let's hopefully rally here a little bit,

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Speaker 1: so a little down for the week after Sunday and Monday,

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Speaker 1: and so let's roll here for the rest of the week. Now,

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Speaker 1: we've got a lot of really cool things happening, a

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Speaker 1: lot of cool things about to go down here for

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Speaker 1: the daily juice coming from the Discord Channel. The Discord

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Speaker 1: Channel has become just this really special special thing. I

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Speaker 1: had a couple of guys from ESPN shock on my

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Speaker 1: DMS reach out to me and say, Hey, I'm hearing

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Speaker 1: about this Discord channel. What's going on? Tell me about it?

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Speaker 1: And so people are starting to pay attention. I had

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Speaker 1: the sharpest MMA better that I know reach out to

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Speaker 1: me on DM and said, Hey, what's going on with

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Speaker 1: Discord Channel. I want to hop in here. So just

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Speaker 1: so you guys know, there could be some people you're

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Speaker 1: talking to that you don't know. They make up bake handles.

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Speaker 1: You can be anonymous and they may be really sharp people,

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Speaker 1: and they may be really you know, people whose name

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Speaker 1: you would recognize if you heard it. So let's just

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Speaker 1: make sure we're keeping our behavior down, keeping our language appropriate,

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Speaker 1: and don't get too crazy, right, we want to keep

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Speaker 1: that community growing. We'll over get over three thousand people

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Speaker 1: in the Discord channel now bettingpros dot com, slash chat

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Speaker 1: to get into that, and a lot of people are

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Speaker 1: finding out about it. They're talking about it and they

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Speaker 1: think it's cool. So I love it. I want to

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Speaker 1: keep it growing. I don't want it to go anywhere else. Now,

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Speaker 1: speaking of the Discord Channel, here's the thing about today.

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Speaker 1: The guys at Betting Pros have announced a Discord specific

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Speaker 1: Super Bowl Squares contest. Okay, here's how it's going to work.

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Speaker 1: They're going to be selecting one hundred entrants to participate.

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Speaker 1: The deadline to enter is Friday at noon Eastern. Once

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Speaker 1: we have our one hundred entrants, we'll be inviting the

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Speaker 1: lucky group into a private Super Bowl Squares channel. From there,

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Speaker 1: we'll assign the one hundred groups of numbers at random,

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Speaker 1: so you have equals shot at the best and worst combinations.

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Speaker 1: We'll be giving away some Daily Juice swag to the

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Speaker 1: halftime in final score winners. The first quarter winner will

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Speaker 1: get a hat, the halftime winner get to hat and

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Speaker 1: a T shirt, the third quarter winner gets a T shirt,

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Speaker 1: and the final score winner gets a hat, a T

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Speaker 1: shirt and a hoodie from the Daily Juice. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: hook you up with DJ swag to be around and

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Speaker 1: to be in this. Okay, This link is pinned to

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Speaker 1: the top of the discord channel from Betting Pro, so

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Speaker 1: when you go into the discord, you can just click on,

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Speaker 1: you know, find the Betting pros handle. Click on that.

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Speaker 1: You'll get the list of all their postings and you

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Speaker 1: can go and find this and you're gonna go to uh, sorry,

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Speaker 1: you go to Fantasy dot pro slash. Let me make

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Speaker 1: sure I'm reading this whole thing correctly. Here, uh Fantasy

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Speaker 1: dot pro Slash BP super Bowl Squares so it's www

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Speaker 1: dot f n t s Y dot p ro O

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Speaker 1: slash BP super Bowl Squares. It's easier just to go

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Speaker 1: to the Discord channel and to click on to click

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Speaker 1: on the link. Then to have me give that out.

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Speaker 1: I know that wasn't a good way of reading that,

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Speaker 1: but just go to the Discord channel, Bettingpros dot com

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Speaker 1: slast chat to get into it, and then go and

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Speaker 1: search Betting Pros the post the actual handle Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: and you'll find a link to this contest. This is

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Speaker 1: very very cool. So you can win a Betting Pros hat,

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Speaker 1: you can win a Daily Juice t shirt, Daily Juice hoodie,

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Speaker 1: all really cool things. Limit is to one hundred entries.

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Speaker 1: That's just the Discord guys, that's just a Discord super

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Speaker 1: Bowl contest. We've got the Betting Pros and well, I

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Speaker 1: guess to say, Fantasy Pros, Dan Harris and I doing

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Speaker 1: our live stream at four point thirty on Sunday leading

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Speaker 1: up to the Super Bowl where we've got those incredible

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Speaker 1: pristine auction mystery boxes to be given away. One of

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Speaker 1: those boxes includes a autographed helmet, all right, an autographed

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Speaker 1: helmet that will be signed or has been signed by

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Speaker 1: a former NFL MVP and Super Bowl MVP. Okay, so

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Speaker 1: it's a pretty cool thing. And we've got more DJ

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice shirts, Daily Juice hoodies. I'm supposed to be

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Speaker 1: getting some other stuff as well. So that's all going

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Speaker 1: to be coming up on Sunday for the Super Bowl.

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Speaker 1: So we've got our Daily Juice, We've got our Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice Discord giveaway contest for the squares, We've got the

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Speaker 1: live stream. I mean, we've got you covered here for

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Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. We want to get you guys fired up,

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Speaker 1: revved up, and give you a ton of free and

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Speaker 1: cool stuff. So let's get to the place for today.

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Speaker 1: And it's Tuesday. So I'm gonna get a little exotic

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Speaker 1: and I'm going to be a little bit different. I'm

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Speaker 1: only gonna have one point twenty five units in play

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Speaker 1: Tonight's okay, So the worst I could lose is one

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Speaker 1: point twenty five units. I told you I'm going to

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Speaker 1: be going light here leading into the super Bowl because

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Speaker 1: I don't want to hammer my bank roll before the

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Speaker 1: Super Bowl. But here is my one play in the NHL.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to go back to the money line parlay

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Speaker 1: two leg thing. We just cashed. Okay, it's the same,

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Speaker 1: except it's a little better. It's plus one sixty eight

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Speaker 1: that you can get here, plus one seventy. We'll call it. Okay,

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Speaker 1: most books plus one seventy. Montreal against Vancouver. They just

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Speaker 1: killed Vancouver. Vancouver is not good, all right. They are

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Speaker 1: not good. They're playing horrific defense. They give up so

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Speaker 1: many goals defensively. They are awful right now, and Montreal

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Speaker 1: is one of the better teams and they could be

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Speaker 1: the best team in that division right now. I told

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Speaker 1: you guys going into the season, really really high on Montreal.

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Speaker 1: Montreal's nine to six and one. They got fourteen points.

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Speaker 1: Only the Maple Leafs have a better seven to to

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Speaker 1: one record. Here, Vancouver is six and six, they've got

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Speaker 1: twelve points. But I just don't think they're that good away.

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Speaker 1: They're two and four. They've given up forty three goals

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Speaker 1: so far. Audit was given up forty four. That's the

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Speaker 1: high in the NHL. Vancouver has given up forty three goals.

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Speaker 1: That is way too high. Okay, Montreal's at home. Montreal

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Speaker 1: just won the game. Big, I'm gonna go back and

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Speaker 1: take Montreal on the money line, Okay, so Montreal money

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Speaker 1: lines about minus one eighty. Then I'm gonna go and

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna hit the New York Islanders and homegainst the

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Speaker 1: Buffalo Sabers. You might go, whoa, Matt really? Three and

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Speaker 1: two the New York Islanders. You're going back to these guys.

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Speaker 1: They're awful so far this year. They're three four and

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Speaker 1: two on the year. I've only scored nineteen goals. It's

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Speaker 1: one of the worst offenses in all of the NHL.

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Speaker 1: Only eighteen goals for the Carolina Hurricanes coming in below that.

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Speaker 1: That's just our sixteen goals for the Anaheim Ducks too,

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Speaker 1: So it's third worst in the NHL right now from

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Speaker 1: an offensive standpoint. Here's the thing. They're at home against Buffalo,

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Speaker 1: who equally is not that great. Okay, Buffalo's four four

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Speaker 1: and two. This has to break here. They've got to

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Speaker 1: get a victory. The Islanders are going to be desperate

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Speaker 1: to get a win. They need a win desperately right now.

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Speaker 1: So take just moneyline Islanders to win, to snap the

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Speaker 1: losing streak, to get their first win in six games.

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Speaker 1: They beat the Buffalo Sabers. So two leg plus one

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Speaker 1: seventy money line parlay from Montreal against the New York Islanders.

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Speaker 1: Is it unlike me to do this? Yes? Is it

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Speaker 1: because I don't want to bet a lot tonight? Yes,

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Speaker 1: So that's kind of the reason why I'm doing this.

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Speaker 1: And then one college basketball play to tell you guys

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Speaker 1: about and Toledo and Akron are going to play a

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Speaker 1: ball of a basketball game. I want to take Toledo. Okay,

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Speaker 1: they're laying five and a half. I want to take it.

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Speaker 1: But the number opened up at seven and the numbers

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Speaker 1: coming down because Akron won the first matchup outright as

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Speaker 1: three and a half point home favorites. So they can run,

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Speaker 1: they can shoot, and they can score alongside with Toledo, who,

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Speaker 1: as we talked about, Littleson's my new favorite player. The

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Speaker 1: dude is just he's Joe Dirt and so they call

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Speaker 1: him shoots sons threes, just looks like a dude that

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Speaker 1: you'd be like, you're a basketball player, how are you

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Speaker 1: a besket But WHOA Toledo is the better team here

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Speaker 1: and they are at home. However, I'm a little concerned

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Speaker 1: that Akron might be able to hang around. Look what

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Speaker 1: just happened with Texas Tech. Different story, but Akron can score.

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Speaker 1: That's my problem. Acron can shoot. Akron can score. Akron

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Speaker 1: scoring seventy six points per game. Aledo's scoring eighty point

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Speaker 1: six points per game. Three points. Shooting pretty decent, okay,

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Speaker 1: they're shooting from three thirty three percent for Akron, fifty

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Speaker 1: eight percent on two point shots though, that's pretty good. Now.

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Speaker 1: Toledo's shooting thirty eight percent from three. That's twentieth best

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Speaker 1: in the country. They're all right on two point shooting

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Speaker 1: fifty one percent, but Toledo efficiency wise really good with

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Speaker 1: shooting efficiency twenty sevens in the country and shooting efficiency

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Speaker 1: and effective field goal percentage both these teams fifty four

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Speaker 1: percent for Akron fifty four point three percent for Toledo.

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Speaker 1: That's both in the top fifty for effective field goal percentages.

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Speaker 1: Both these teams defensively are okay. They're not awful, but

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Speaker 1: they're not great either, giving up about sixty eight and

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Speaker 1: seventy points per game the first game between these two teams,

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Speaker 1: the over the total for this game is one forty

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Speaker 1: eight and a half. The total in their first matchup

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Speaker 1: was set at one forty nine and a half and

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Speaker 1: went over by thirty nine and a half points. Ninety

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Speaker 1: five ninety four was the final between Toledo and Akron.

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Speaker 1: I don't think we get there, but I am going

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Speaker 1: to play the over here. I just think these teams

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Speaker 1: don't stop. These teams shoot threes, these teams run, run, run,

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Speaker 1: and Akron just they're not great. Here they're five and

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Speaker 1: six to the over. But I mean when they play Toledo,

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Speaker 1: let me look at the over and mostly it's them

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Speaker 1: scoring and their opponents don't score all that much. So

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Speaker 1: I'm going over here with this game. Half a unit

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Speaker 1: one forty eight and a half for Toledo and Akron

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Speaker 1: over for them. So the two plays for a half

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Speaker 1: a unit over one forty eight and a half for

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Speaker 1: Toledo and Akron in Montreal and the New York Islanders

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Speaker 1: plus one seventy money line parlay. Okay, now I've got

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Speaker 1: a quarter unit in play on three games. This is

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Speaker 1: unlike anything I do, and I don't think this is

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Speaker 1: a smart play. Gonna make it anyway, because I just

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Speaker 1: think it's a decent way of playing three basketball games.

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Speaker 1: And if you want to fade this, fine, If you

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Speaker 1: don't want to play this, I get it. But a

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Speaker 1: teaser in college basketball is massive negative ev okay is

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Speaker 1: not the way to play this. However, Baylor is laying

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Speaker 1: five and a half, Nevada is laying five and a half,

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Speaker 1: and Akron is laying five and a half. Right, so

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Speaker 1: you got three teams all laying five and a half.

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Speaker 1: If you tease it down four point teaser, okay, four

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Speaker 1: point teaser, it's plus two point thirty. So it's Akron

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Speaker 1: minus one and a half. Sorry, Toledo minus one and

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Speaker 1: a half. Excuse me, Toledo minus one and a half,

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Speaker 1: Baylor minus one and a half and Nevada minus one

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Speaker 1: and a half. Here, UNLV I think comes out and

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Speaker 1: plays a whole lot harder. Tj Otzenberger called out the

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Speaker 1: veterans called out all sorts of I mean, I think

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Speaker 1: you're gonna get a really good effort from U and

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Speaker 1: LV can't take them though. I just can't not against

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Speaker 1: They are in the three hundredths for effective three goal

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Speaker 1: percentage defense and Nevada is decent enough. And Nevada hit

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Speaker 1: all their threes in the first matchup because they all

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Speaker 1: were wide open. If they hit them again, UNLV's getting

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Speaker 1: blown out. They just don't go the three point line

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Speaker 1: and they might get Bryce Hamilton back, and they need

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Speaker 1: Bryce Hamilton back. But if he's a game time decision

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Speaker 1: that ankle was kept him out of the first matchup.

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Speaker 1: If he doesn't play in the second matchup, the number

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Speaker 1: millionflate there a little bit. So if you tweet tease

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Speaker 1: it down and Nevada MIAs one and a half, Baylor

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Speaker 1: is at Texas, Texas Shaka Smart is back. This is

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Speaker 1: a monster game for Texas. Obviously, right Baylor has been

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Speaker 1: one of the best teams against the number. Baylor is

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Speaker 1: one of the best teams in the country, but it

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Speaker 1: feels like it's Baylor, Gonzaga and then everybody else. And

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Speaker 1: I like Texas a lot. Maybe they hang tight, maybe

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Speaker 1: they push, but I could just as easily see Texas

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Speaker 1: losing by two as I can seeing Texas lose by twenty.

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Speaker 1: So that's my problem with that game is like, you

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Speaker 1: want to take Baylor, but five and a half six

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Speaker 1: seams heavy for a road team in the Big twelve

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Speaker 1: when there's so much intensity on this game, so it's

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Speaker 1: essentially just Baylor to win. They'll win by two. I

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Speaker 1: guess it's you know, they win by one. It blows

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Speaker 1: up the whole teaser but maybe all the time you

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Speaker 1: guys listen to this, you can get it at one.

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Speaker 1: I would prefer teasing it down to one or maybe

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Speaker 1: even a pick if you can get it down that lone.

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Speaker 1: But Baylor on the other side, and then I just

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Speaker 1: think Toledo is going to do enough to win this

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Speaker 1: game over Akron at home. Okay, could be tight last

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Speaker 1: second shot type thing, but I'll take Toledo to win

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Speaker 1: the game after losing the first game at Akron, they

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Speaker 1: hold serve their on their home court and they win.

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Speaker 1: So that's plus two thirty odds. I bet it for

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Speaker 1: a quarter unit just to kind of have something to watch.

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Speaker 1: It's not a smart bet. Don't bet college basketball teasers.

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Speaker 1: I'm not recommending it. I'm just giving it because I

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Speaker 1: think could be fun to watch tonight, because it's something

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Speaker 1: to watch, to to pay attention to as we kind

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Speaker 1: of get ourselves ready for the super Bowl and just

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Speaker 1: kind of roll into it. So I want to be

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Speaker 1: light tonight. I don't want to be heavy. It's a

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Speaker 1: chance to make up a little bit here. If we

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Speaker 1: were to hit both this teaser and this parlay, we

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Speaker 1: wind up you know, getting our getting a unit or

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Speaker 1: so back from last night, so don't hate that. So

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Speaker 1: again to recap, Toledo Akron over one forty eight and

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Speaker 1: a half for a half a unit, Montreal and the

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Speaker 1: New York Islanders plus one M and D money line

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Speaker 1: parlay for a half of units, and then for a

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Speaker 1: quarter units, we're going Nevada mines one and a half,

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Speaker 1: Toledo and Baylor one and a half four point teaser

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Speaker 1: plus two thirty the odds on that for a quarter units.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Perrault. Follow me on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: sports Talk Matt. Every single morning, it's the Daily Juice Podcast.

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Speaker 1: There are others, but I like ours. It's the Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice Podcast, brought to you. I bet them GM