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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcasts pod.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Right in the corner.

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Speaker 3: Then seconds of ah, so it just goes through out

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Speaker 3: the basket, under the basket.

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Speaker 4: That's the true for the wind god racle, just water

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Speaker 4: that one from the fucking love.

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Speaker 5: What's up the generation? Welcome to the Big Bets on

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Speaker 5: Campus Podcast. This is the College Basketball Conference Tournament Betting Preview,

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Speaker 5: Part four. I'm stucky and joining me today harm my

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Speaker 5: fellow BBOC calls Mike Calabrese and the one and only

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Speaker 5: josh On aka Duck. Today we will cover the Big Sky,

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Speaker 5: the coastal some, we'll talk some swackhin and then at

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Speaker 5: the end I'll bring in Tanner. We'll go through the

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Speaker 5: America East, which is just dreadful this year. Holy Molly.

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Speaker 5: I mean, I think the random tempon they're behind the swack,

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Speaker 5: but we march on. I haven't slept in days. It

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Speaker 5: was just we were just talking about how I'm prepping all

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Speaker 5: three hundred re prepping all three hundred and sixty five teams,

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Speaker 5: just check tracking down injuries and statuses and style changes,

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Speaker 5: and I'm probably not even going to bet most of

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Speaker 5: these teams. And then they're done. And then it's completely

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Speaker 5: meaningless for next year because all these teams change. But

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Speaker 5: the labor of love would not do any of these

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Speaker 5: without being one hundred percent completely fully prepared. Uh so

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Speaker 5: we are ready for you, guys. Let's dive right in.

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Speaker 5: So we'll start in the coastal. This is a thirteen

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Speaker 5: team term that'll take place in Washington, d c its

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Speaker 5: on some flow hoops. I do have a flow Hoop

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Speaker 5: subscription that I will be using for those, and then

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Speaker 5: the rest is on CBS Sports Network. You have the

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Speaker 5: twelve thirteen game between NCA and T and Northeastern on Friday,

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Speaker 5: and then your second round on Saturday, quarterfinals on Sunday,

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Speaker 5: which the four teams. The top four teams received a

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Speaker 5: I guess a double bibe are really a bye because

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Speaker 5: there's only two teams playing in the opening round, and

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Speaker 5: that's top seed UNC Wilmington, the second seed Charleston, third

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Speaker 5: seed HOSTRA, and the fourth seed Monmouth. As far as

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Speaker 5: odds are concerned, HOSTRA is the favorite at plus well

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Speaker 5: the book one book that I'm using here, they're the

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Speaker 5: three seed, but they're the favorite plus one ninety five.

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Speaker 5: UNC Wilmington's the one, but they're plus two sixty, and

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Speaker 5: then you have Charleston the two at five to one.

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Speaker 5: William and Mary Is the sixth seed has to play

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Speaker 5: an extra day. Their next at plus nine hundred. Then

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Speaker 5: Monmouth the four seed is plus nine fifty thousand in

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Speaker 5: Drexel are next talousand and fifteen to one, Drexel twenty

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Speaker 5: to one, and then you start to get into some

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Speaker 5: longer shots. So let's see. I mean, I think we

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Speaker 5: can Northeast of the playing game nca and C at Northeastern.

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Speaker 5: I mean, you want to watch a really exciting freshman.

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Speaker 5: Checkout Lewis Walker from NCAA and T who can go off.

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Speaker 5: But and Northeastern has been hurt all year. I never

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Speaker 5: know who's KMORI playing is. They've had so many injuries.

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Speaker 5: Neither of those teams are a threat to win five

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Speaker 5: games in five days. So we can kind of skip

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Speaker 5: over that game.

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Speaker 2: We have.

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Speaker 5: I guess let's start at the top. I know Duck

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Speaker 5: from looking at his Twitter is a big UNC Wilmington fan.

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Speaker 5: There's shot volume Kings. They win all the extras right

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Speaker 5: like turnovers, rebounding, physical team, right seven footer in the middle,

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Speaker 5: and Wessler. They're well balanced. They play very slow and methodical.

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Speaker 5: They're the one seed get the winner of stony Brook

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Speaker 5: and Campbell Campbell. They have an offense that has potential

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Speaker 5: with Johnson and Smith and stony Brook. They'll shoot a

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Speaker 5: ton of threes, so there's some variants there. If they're

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Speaker 5: not hitting a high clip, the offense is just dreadful though.

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Speaker 5: I mean, they just need Eric Pratt to go bananas

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Speaker 5: and then UNCW would just kill them in like all

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Speaker 5: the extra categories. So I think if you're UNCWFN, you

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Speaker 5: want to see Stonybrook just because Campbell can be a

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Speaker 5: dangerous offense in any given day. And then if the

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Speaker 5: unc Wan's gonna get the winner of the eight nine

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Speaker 5: stony Brook Campbell, Monmouth before will get the winner of Drexel.

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Speaker 5: In the playing game, Drexel and Talsand are basically the

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Speaker 5: same teams except like Drexel will make a shot occasionally,

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Speaker 5: Twsand won't, but we'll get offensive rebounds and doesn't turn

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Speaker 5: it over. But there they neither can shoot. Their defenses

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Speaker 5: are really good, they're kind of clones and they just

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Speaker 5: play ugly, ugly games. Drexel defense really good, offense bad.

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Speaker 5: Same with Talsand, but Drexel Monmouth. I'm sort of interested

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Speaker 5: in Monmouth and the reason, you know, around ten to one,

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Speaker 5: right they I get a bye at the quarters. This

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Speaker 5: Monmouth team is a completely different animal with a point guard.

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Speaker 5: And they didn't have a point guard for most of

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Speaker 5: the season until McClain became eligible. So he was there

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Speaker 5: was some NCAA rule that was they said he's not

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Speaker 5: he could practice, he was going through all the team activities,

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Speaker 5: but he wasn't playing with the team until let's see,

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Speaker 5: his first game of the season was on February fifth.

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Speaker 5: Since then, they've gone six and two. There are only

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Speaker 5: two losses were at Charleston and at UNC Wilmington. They

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Speaker 5: have a top one hundred offense over that stretch and

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Speaker 5: he's been amazing. You look at the two Drexel games.

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Speaker 5: They got blown out by Drexel at home early in

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Speaker 5: the season they didn't have a point guard, and then

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Speaker 5: with McClain they blew out Drexel at Drexel and McClain

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Speaker 5: was amazing, and you can go, I mean this team

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Speaker 5: basically was playing without a point guard. They had Jack

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Speaker 5: Collins running point, not a point guard by any stretch.

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Speaker 5: I mean, you have a twenty eight percent turnover rate.

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Speaker 5: So they now have someone who's actually running the offense

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Speaker 5: who also can shoot the three as well, something that

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Speaker 5: Collins can't do, So he adds another dimension there. They're

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Speaker 5: playing faster, they just have a higher potential. Now, it's

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Speaker 5: not a great matchup against UNC Wilmington because the best

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Speaker 5: part of Monmo's defense is they turn you over. UNC

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Speaker 5: Wilmington doesn't really turn it over. Monmouth is good on

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Speaker 5: the offensive glass. That's hard to do against UNC Wilmington.

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Speaker 5: But from a price perspective, I don't know, I don't

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Speaker 5: I think Monmouth is getting a bit disrespected because they've

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Speaker 5: been a different team since McLain became eligible, and they

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Speaker 5: actually have a point guard. So those are some of

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Speaker 5: my thoughts on the top half, Duck, I'll go to

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Speaker 5: you thoughts across the board on the top half of

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Speaker 5: the bracket.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I don't see anyone see that eight

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Speaker 3: or lower as having any value. Drexel's two inconsistent offensively,

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Speaker 3: and a real bad matchup for them against Monmouth and

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Speaker 3: then NC Wilmington if they were to advance past that point.

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Speaker 3: Campbell'st it just gets worse and worse down the line.

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Speaker 3: I think only the top seven would have any sort

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Speaker 3: of conceivable chance of winning this tournament. Towson at fifteen

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Speaker 3: to one is interesting to me because it's a team

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Speaker 3: that has one of the better defenses in this conference.

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Speaker 3: They're an excellent rebounding team, and they can really pull

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Speaker 3: you into the deep end with how slow they play

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Speaker 3: and just some of that ferocity that they play with

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Speaker 3: on defense. They limit second chances, they force you into

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Speaker 3: bad shots. They were the preseason favorite to win this league.

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Speaker 3: Now they're fifteen to one, and you look at guys

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Speaker 3: like doom Via Tehada, Dylan Williamson, they can all do

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Speaker 3: some creative things offensively, and you just get a setting

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Speaker 3: against Towson where you're in the neutral environment, the game's

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Speaker 3: going to be played at sixty or sixty one possessions,

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Speaker 3: and when you look up at the under eight time

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Speaker 3: out the second half and you've only scored forty two

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Speaker 3: points and you're in this battle with Towson, they can

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Speaker 3: just force teams to squeeze the ball a little harder

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Speaker 3: on offense and maybe play a little tight. So I

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Speaker 3: look at a team like Towson, who's already defeated Charleston

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Speaker 3: this season and could get a favorable draw. Depending on

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Speaker 3: which variant Hofstra team shows up in the quarters, could

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Speaker 3: be worth a look in this tournament. Objectively, for me,

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Speaker 3: Wilmington is the best team in the CAA this year.

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Speaker 3: They are so strong in the post with Westler. Like

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Speaker 3: you had mentioned before, Greedy Williams has emerged as such

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Speaker 3: a fantastic ball handler for them. He in general is

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Speaker 3: really pesky on the defensive end. And for Wilmington guys

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Speaker 3: like Christian May Nolan Hodge, they've been much more aggressive

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Speaker 3: going to the rim and getting to the line. Madison

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Speaker 3: Derr has emerged. Jonathan Lemoth, who was a reserve bench

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Speaker 3: player for them, has really emerged into an offensive weapon

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Speaker 3: the last five or six games. I like these guys

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Speaker 3: at plus two to sixty because the biggest challengers to

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Speaker 3: UNC Wilmington are all on the other side side of

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Speaker 3: the bracket. When you look at College of Charleston, Hofstra, Towson,

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Speaker 3: and Wilmington would only have to beat one of those

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Speaker 3: teams to win this league. I think it's a dangerous

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Speaker 3: bunch that can win a game in the NCAA Tournament

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Speaker 3: in the right situation. So my bet win it all

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Speaker 3: is on Wilmington, But I do think that Tawson is

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Speaker 3: priced as a competitive long shot.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I'll get to my thoughts on the bottom half

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Speaker 5: in a bit. I know you love you at see Wilmington, Cavery.

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Speaker 5: Do you have any thoughts on the top half or

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Speaker 5: do you want to move to the bottom. I mean,

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Speaker 5: just real quick, I agree on Towson.

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Speaker 6: I mean I can echo it here. Pat Scary is

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Speaker 6: always a difficult out. Four straight CAA tournaments, He's won

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Speaker 6: at least one game. We know what theirm is. They're

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Speaker 6: going to play really good defense. They're going to contest everything.

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Speaker 6: They don't foul a lot. You know, they have a

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Speaker 6: very low turno rate on offense and as you said, stuck,

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Speaker 6: they just can't shoot the basketball. But when you look

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Speaker 6: at like their absolute top ends ideal situation from this year,

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Speaker 6: they beat Liberty. They scored seventy two in that game

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Speaker 6: to beat the Flames, a team that's probably going to

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Speaker 6: go dancing. They shot fifty percent from the field there.

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Speaker 6: They also recently beat Charleston. So I think in terms

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Speaker 6: of their path, if you are one to consider, you know,

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Speaker 6: those hedge opportunities if you get a fifteen to one

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Speaker 6: to the semi finals likely, you know.

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Speaker 1: Drawing the Pride from Offstra.

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Speaker 6: There's absolutely a way to be able to extract money

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Speaker 6: out of that ticket. So I think I'm gonna probably

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Speaker 6: sprinkle on Tousan from those teams in the second round

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Speaker 6: to make a deep run. That's the only one that

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Speaker 6: I really have an interest in.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, thousand needs. I mean, look, they have two really

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Speaker 5: I mean really good players are high usage in Tyler Tejada,

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Speaker 5: who's like a tough shot maker, can't really shoot the three.

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Speaker 5: And then Dylan Williamson, who last year shot forty four

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Speaker 5: percent from three. This year he's been a little better

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Speaker 5: of late. They need him and they need him to

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Speaker 5: have big games. And I mean he just to close

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Speaker 5: the year at stony Brook, he went seven to thirteen

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Speaker 5: from three, dropped twenty eight in that win. So like

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Speaker 5: he had twenty seven a couple of weeks ago, but

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Speaker 5: then he has and he had twenty nine against Hampton,

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Speaker 5: twenty four against Elon. But then there's games mixed in

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Speaker 5: a zero three two Like they need Williamson. It's just hard.

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Speaker 5: Can they get a good Williamson for four games in

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Speaker 5: a row or at least like three, It's tough because yeah,

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Speaker 5: the my biggest worry with Talsand because they can beat

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Speaker 5: I mean, look Charleston. To me, I'm not a Charleston guy.

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Speaker 5: I mean I love counter But other than that, like

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Speaker 5: their offense is they're kind of like shot volume losers too.

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Speaker 5: They cannot shoot the ball at all. They are huge

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Speaker 5: inside and you could see some zone from them from

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Speaker 5: mac and they did lose. They're only meeting the Talsand

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Speaker 5: And in that game, Talsand was like, let mean, let

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Speaker 5: me pull up the actual numbers. Talsand went. They won

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Speaker 5: sixty one to fifty two thousand shots, four of twenty

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Speaker 5: six from three and one by nine. So yeah, they

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Speaker 5: didn't have to I mean, Williamson in that game was

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Speaker 5: oh of seven from two, one of eight from three.

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Speaker 5: He was one of fifteen in that game. And they

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Speaker 5: still beat Charleston. I don't know if they have the

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Speaker 5: offense to beat Astra. And you see, Wilmington is just

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Speaker 5: kind of like a better version of Talsand in my opinion,

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Speaker 5: which scares me. But you don't have to worry about that.

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Speaker 5: You just want to get them to the final now,

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Speaker 5: So I don't hate the look. Towns is just gonna

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Speaker 5: try to grind games down that they can just get

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Speaker 5: in any shot making. They certainly should beat Hampton and

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Speaker 5: they can beat Charleston. In the very bottom half, it's

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Speaker 5: you have William and Mary the sixth versus Elon, the

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Speaker 5: eleven winner will take on Hofstra. Hofstra is the best

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Speaker 5: analytical team. They're said they think per kempum to the

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Speaker 5: second best offense in the second best defense. Team can shoot,

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Speaker 5: they have probably the best backcourt and Cruz Davis and edmean,

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Speaker 5: I mean just unbelievable pick and roll offense. They they

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Speaker 5: play slow the other methodical. Here's what's interesting about that

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Speaker 5: bottom half Hofstra. So if you start first William and Mary,

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Speaker 5: who's a high variance team. I mean, you want to

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Speaker 5: talk about games of runs. They play super super fast,

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Speaker 5: awesome offense, a lot of great cutting in motion. Their

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Speaker 5: defense is horrendous. There'll be tons of runs in their games.

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Speaker 5: They play Elon to start, Elon swept them and Is

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Speaker 5: but Is and they did it with one of the

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Speaker 5: games without Klatchik, who I think is their most important player.

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Speaker 5: He's been like in and out of the lineup to

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Speaker 5: end of the year. He missed a bunch of games. I

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Speaker 5: don't know how healthy he is. Elon amazingly, that'd be

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Speaker 5: the last team I guess is first and has the

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Speaker 5: metrics away from home metric for what that's worth. They

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Speaker 5: also won at Hofstra, and William and Mary also beat Hobstra,

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Speaker 5: so Lopsters zero to two against these two teams in

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Speaker 5: their only meetings, and then Elon the eleven swept the six.

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Speaker 5: William and Mary they both had the offensive chops on

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Speaker 5: the right day to give Hofstra a game, which they

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Speaker 5: did during the regular season, and they both won. I

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Speaker 5: can't get myself to get there on any long shot

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Speaker 5: on William and mahor and Eon, but that you could potentially.

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Speaker 5: I don't know who's gonna win that game. That William

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Speaker 5: Mary Young game, no idea they'll be runs in that game,

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Speaker 5: That's all I know. But I would think William and

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Speaker 5: Mary more so than Elon can pick off Hofster because

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Speaker 5: that offense when it's clicking is electric. Give any thoughts there,

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Speaker 5: duck in the bottom bottom half.

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Speaker 3: I mean, William and Mary is super interesting. This team

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Speaker 3: swept UNCW during the regular season, they defeated Hofstra already

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Speaker 3: this year. They can play with anybody in this league,

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Speaker 3: and they can lose against anybody in this conference. It's

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Speaker 3: just a group that has been widely variant and so

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Speaker 3: inconsistent down the stretch.

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Speaker 5: If you're one of the one unc woman's gotta be

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Speaker 5: happy that they don't that they're to but they got

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Speaker 5: swept by the eleven. That they got to play like

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Speaker 5: that just sums it up.

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Speaker 3: I will say this, and you mentioned shopping around. Will

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Speaker 3: always advocate for that. If you like William and Mary

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Speaker 3: at Caesars, they're twenty to one, so you'll want to

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Speaker 3: bet them there. They can give anybody in this league

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Speaker 3: a run, and they could throw up a stinker and

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Speaker 3: lose to Elon. So you're gonna get the variants if

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Speaker 3: you can tolerate the variants. William and Mary is dangerous offensively.

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Speaker 3: They're one of the few teams in this league that

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Speaker 3: plays very very fast. They seek to attack the they'll

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Speaker 3: shoot threes. Most of the teams that are serious contenders

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Speaker 3: in this league play very slow, but William and Mary

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Speaker 3: can be an interesting change of pace here in the

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Speaker 3: right setting.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 5: I mean it's a very very slow league. Outside of Monmouth.

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Speaker 5: Is will run at time, especially with McLean. Charleston wants

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Speaker 5: to get up and down a little bit. And then

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Speaker 5: William Marriy's like one of the fastest team in the country,

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Speaker 5: like their games are. But then other than that, there

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Speaker 5: are like Drexel Talsand Hofster UNC Wilmington. They want to

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Speaker 5: play grinders. Hampton to Hampton towsand you know, ugly that

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Speaker 5: game is going to be talk about missshots in a

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Speaker 5: neutral venue and a.

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Speaker 3: Ton of foul shots. Hampton gets to the line and

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Speaker 3: they cannot keep their opponents off the stripe. They're fouling

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Speaker 3: at an alarmingly high rate.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, Hampton did beat Talson earlier this year in a

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Speaker 5: game that I would expect this to be kind of

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Speaker 5: like it was sixty three sixty two, and then Talsand

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Speaker 5: beat them by thirty two at when Williamson had one

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Speaker 5: of his DA's he went and that was without Taota.

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Speaker 5: I think, yeah, Taota didn't play that game. Williamson went

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Speaker 5: six to twelve, from two, five to eight, from three

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Speaker 5: drop twenty nine. That's when Thosand's at its best. All right,

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Speaker 5: picks here, I'm gonna say, if you like, if you

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Speaker 5: have to, if I had to pick the winner, I'm

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Speaker 5: gonna say Hofstra gets it done. But for value and betting.

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Speaker 5: I'm gonna be sprinkling some on Monmouth Calvary's.

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Speaker 6: I'm going hofster here. I mean, the real pride showed

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Speaker 6: up late in the season. They closed eight and one.

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Speaker 6: They get that win over Charleston on the road, Monmouth

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Speaker 6: also on the road, a smothering defensive performance against Drexel.

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Speaker 6: Real balance that you mentioned in conference play, second in

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Speaker 6: offensive efficiency, second in defensive efficiency.

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Speaker 5: You mentioned the.

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Speaker 6: Guard play in Davis and ed Mead also plot Nikoff

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Speaker 6: like he's somebody who can go hot and you know,

320
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Speaker 6: make five or six triples in a game. But the

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Speaker 6: real story to me is their defense, which played at

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Speaker 6: an elite level from late January on in that window,

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Speaker 6: the thirteenth ranked defense in the entire country, according to Tourbeck,

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Speaker 6: leading the country in a field goal percentage defense. Now

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Speaker 6: part of that has been, you know, they've been running

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Speaker 6: a bit lucky in terms of teams not knocking down shots,

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Speaker 6: but they continue to rebound the ball. Well, they're not

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Speaker 6: giving up many clean looks. I just think that, you know,

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Speaker 6: Vegas is sending us a message here when you're locked

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Speaker 6: into the three seed, but you are, you know, the

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Speaker 6: shortest team and the favorite here to go ahead and

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Speaker 6: cut down the nets and get the automatic bid. I'm

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Speaker 6: going to go with the Flying Dutchman. I think it's

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Speaker 6: a very winnable situation for them to get to the

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Speaker 6: semi finals. And then, because this league is so wide open,

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Speaker 6: you don't necessarily have to go through all the top

337
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Speaker 6: teams to end up winning it, So there could be

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Speaker 6: some chaos on both sides the bracket.

339
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Speaker 5: Ilacofser here, speedy Claxon, go and dance and all right,

340
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Speaker 5: good stuff there. How I didn't ask you duck your pick,

341
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Speaker 5: and then who do you like from somehow? Who do

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Speaker 5: you like from a betting perspective?

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Speaker 3: I mean my pick to win this is UNC Wilmington,

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Speaker 3: And this is a this is an objective play. The

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Speaker 3: metrics love Monmouth's defense and I don't. And I saw Wilmington.

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Speaker 3: They were able to shred Monmouth consistently up and down

347
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Speaker 3: the floor. They're a different team with McLean, But I

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Speaker 3: just feel like Wilmington's path to get to the semis

349
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Speaker 3: is much easier than Hofstra, College of Charleston, Towson or

350
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Speaker 3: anybody else. And so I think when you're trying to

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Speaker 3: figure out the value here, I mean Hostra, they came

352
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Speaker 3: on down the stretch, but they also played Drexel, stony Brook, Hampton, Northeastern.

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Speaker 3: I mean they beat the bottom of this league, which

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Speaker 3: is why maybe these numbers on the Dutchman look a

355
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Speaker 3: little bit better than they are. I want unc Wilmington

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Speaker 3: at this price point. I think there is some value

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Speaker 3: in taking a flyer on Towson and I will say

358
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Speaker 3: College of Charleston five to one plus five fifty. They

359
00:18:38,040 --> 00:18:40,800
Speaker 3: received such a boost when Connor Hickman came back from

360
00:18:41,440 --> 00:18:44,000
Speaker 3: being ruled ineligible and then he was eligible, so now

361
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Speaker 3: he's back on the team. And I mean I saw

362
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Speaker 3: these guys. They were down by fifteen in Trask on

363
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Speaker 3: Senior Night with UNCW trying to clinch the conference, and

364
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Speaker 3: they came all the way back to win. I do

365
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Speaker 3: think Charleston is dangerous and they're priced as a team

366
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Speaker 3: that could be worth sniff. But Wilmington plus two sixty

367
00:19:02,320 --> 00:19:04,359
Speaker 3: and toosand plus fifteen hundred or my plays.

368
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Speaker 6: If Wessler gets himself in foul trouble, I think that

369
00:19:07,480 --> 00:19:11,080
Speaker 6: should be curtains early for UNCW. Because they don't turn

370
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Speaker 6: anybody over. They play really slow, they don't shoot the ball,

371
00:19:14,160 --> 00:19:16,639
Speaker 6: very well inside the arc two point you know shots.

372
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Speaker 6: I think they're outside the top two forty in terms

373
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Speaker 6: of Division One teams. They need him to play and

374
00:19:21,400 --> 00:19:24,639
Speaker 6: play well for three games and it's it's popped up.

375
00:19:24,640 --> 00:19:26,760
Speaker 6: It hasn't been a consistent theme, but he has got

376
00:19:26,840 --> 00:19:28,879
Speaker 6: himself into foul trouble a few times where if he

377
00:19:28,920 --> 00:19:31,719
Speaker 6: only plays twenty five minutes, I think they are susceptible

378
00:19:31,720 --> 00:19:33,760
Speaker 6: to lose at any point in this tournament. But if

379
00:19:33,760 --> 00:19:36,199
Speaker 6: he stays on the floor, plays efficiently, you know, is

380
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Speaker 6: the double double machine that you know the Seahawks have

381
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Speaker 6: relied on all season. I think your points are well taken.

382
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Speaker 6: It's just that's my concern and that's what moved me

383
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Speaker 6: off of the Seahawks.

384
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Speaker 5: Yeah, I will say a couple other final points for Monmouth,

385
00:19:50,480 --> 00:19:53,720
Speaker 5: like yeah, they're not a better defensive team with McClain,

386
00:19:54,680 --> 00:19:56,960
Speaker 5: Like he's very small and he just mocks their offense

387
00:19:56,960 --> 00:19:58,280
Speaker 5: like they were basically I gu said they were playing

388
00:19:58,320 --> 00:20:01,480
Speaker 5: that a point guard. They also with any death especially

389
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Speaker 5: I don't know this Cornelis Robinson isn't great, but he

390
00:20:03,680 --> 00:20:06,400
Speaker 5: was hurt in the year. I don't know his status,

391
00:20:06,520 --> 00:20:09,080
Speaker 5: but especially without him, it's like they play like six guys,

392
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Speaker 5: so they got to win three games in three days.

393
00:20:12,119 --> 00:20:15,639
Speaker 5: So those are some things that are against mommouth, but

394
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Speaker 5: they're definitely a way different offense now that they actually

395
00:20:18,640 --> 00:20:20,200
Speaker 5: have a point guard. They were playing without a point

396
00:20:20,240 --> 00:20:24,960
Speaker 5: guard for the whole year up until February, and McLean's

397
00:20:25,000 --> 00:20:27,040
Speaker 5: been incredible and then Rivera Torres is very good for

398
00:20:27,080 --> 00:20:27,560
Speaker 5: them as well.

399
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Speaker 1: All right, good stuff there.

400
00:20:30,840 --> 00:20:38,280
Speaker 5: Let's move on to the Big Sky Starch Madness Boise, Idaho.

401
00:20:39,000 --> 00:20:41,880
Speaker 5: All ten teams made it and this will kick off

402
00:20:42,000 --> 00:20:46,200
Speaker 5: the first round games on March seventh. Quarterfinals March eighth,

403
00:20:46,240 --> 00:20:49,240
Speaker 5: and ninth. Top two seeds will get an extra day

404
00:20:49,760 --> 00:20:53,720
Speaker 5: in between the semi finals, so the top six seeds

405
00:20:53,720 --> 00:20:57,120
Speaker 5: get a bye. You're playing games or Idaho State, Northern Arizona, Idaho,

406
00:20:57,200 --> 00:21:00,960
Speaker 5: Sacramento State, odds all over the place Wide Open League.

407
00:21:01,080 --> 00:21:05,360
Speaker 5: Portland State is the one seed they finally closed out.

408
00:21:05,359 --> 00:21:08,800
Speaker 5: They had a huge lead and almost blew it, but

409
00:21:08,920 --> 00:21:11,600
Speaker 5: they're not the favorite to win this league. The two

410
00:21:11,640 --> 00:21:15,000
Speaker 5: seed is Montana State. The three seed Eastern Washington. It

411
00:21:15,080 --> 00:21:18,359
Speaker 5: was red hot down the stretch. The four seed Montana,

412
00:21:19,280 --> 00:21:22,400
Speaker 5: the five seed Northern Colorado was red hot down the stretch,

413
00:21:23,200 --> 00:21:24,960
Speaker 5: and then you have the six seed Weaver State. It

414
00:21:25,000 --> 00:21:27,960
Speaker 5: was pretty hot down the stretcher. This is wide open.

415
00:21:28,440 --> 00:21:31,639
Speaker 5: I can knock out Idaho State. Northern Arizona is the

416
00:21:31,800 --> 00:21:35,720
Speaker 5: nine to ten. I mean, look, Idaho's state. They're thirty

417
00:21:35,720 --> 00:21:38,679
Speaker 5: five to one. They're slow, they're pick and roll defense

418
00:21:38,800 --> 00:21:43,440
Speaker 5: is aw bysmal. They're good on the glass, they work

419
00:21:43,480 --> 00:21:45,720
Speaker 5: through the post a lot, but their offense is just okay.

420
00:21:45,760 --> 00:21:50,360
Speaker 5: They're DIA has major major issues. I don't like where

421
00:21:50,359 --> 00:21:53,520
Speaker 5: that team is trended. I can't see them making a

422
00:21:53,520 --> 00:21:57,880
Speaker 5: deep run. And then you have Northern Arizona, who's just bad.

423
00:21:57,960 --> 00:22:01,880
Speaker 5: I mean they're slow, they can shoot, which is all

424
00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:03,359
Speaker 5: they can do. They have some guys who can shoot.

425
00:22:03,359 --> 00:22:04,960
Speaker 5: They're super young freshman backcourt.

426
00:22:05,240 --> 00:22:09,280
Speaker 6: They cannot defense stuck, they can't defend anything editing, and

427
00:22:09,320 --> 00:22:10,840
Speaker 6: they can't get any rebounds.

428
00:22:11,400 --> 00:22:13,720
Speaker 5: So like occasionally they'll have one of their you know

429
00:22:13,800 --> 00:22:16,840
Speaker 5: guys get hot from the perimeter. But like this team

430
00:22:16,840 --> 00:22:21,240
Speaker 5: can't make a run. So I'm exing them out. But

431
00:22:21,320 --> 00:22:23,919
Speaker 5: Portland State's gonna get the winner. That's like their biggest benefit.

432
00:22:23,960 --> 00:22:26,280
Speaker 5: As you get Idahostate in Northern Arizona. But Portland State

433
00:22:26,320 --> 00:22:28,119
Speaker 5: could lose anyone, but Portland State is one of the

434
00:22:28,119 --> 00:22:30,440
Speaker 5: worst one seeds in the country. This is a team

435
00:22:30,440 --> 00:22:34,000
Speaker 5: their defense is very good, but in Portland State, by

436
00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:36,200
Speaker 5: the way, is plus four point thirty. They're about like

437
00:22:36,280 --> 00:22:38,480
Speaker 5: the fourth favorite despite being the one seed. Terry Miller

438
00:22:38,520 --> 00:22:41,480
Speaker 5: is an unbelievable player, can score all over the court.

439
00:22:42,359 --> 00:22:45,879
Speaker 5: Henderson at the point by not at the rim. They

440
00:22:45,920 --> 00:22:48,000
Speaker 5: have a really good rim defense. Their defense is really good.

441
00:22:48,040 --> 00:22:51,000
Speaker 5: They can force turnovers on offense, it's ugly. They have

442
00:22:51,040 --> 00:22:53,840
Speaker 5: to get offensive rebounds or like score off turnovers. They

443
00:22:53,880 --> 00:22:59,399
Speaker 5: can't shoot, and yeah, they basically need like offensive rebounds

444
00:22:59,400 --> 00:23:01,160
Speaker 5: and steals and the other thing. The reason I don't

445
00:23:01,200 --> 00:23:03,040
Speaker 5: like this Portland State team and the reason that the

446
00:23:03,040 --> 00:23:05,000
Speaker 5: one seed is basically no one could make a three

447
00:23:05,040 --> 00:23:07,640
Speaker 5: against them, and they won like every close game. They

448
00:23:07,640 --> 00:23:10,959
Speaker 5: had all these crazy comebacks and then finally caught up

449
00:23:10,960 --> 00:23:13,240
Speaker 5: with them at the end of the season. They have

450
00:23:13,359 --> 00:23:16,320
Speaker 5: no depth and you saw that at the end of

451
00:23:16,320 --> 00:23:20,760
Speaker 5: the year on the Thursday to Saturday games they had

452
00:23:20,760 --> 00:23:22,320
Speaker 5: no legs. I mean, it's a team that lost four

453
00:23:22,359 --> 00:23:25,520
Speaker 5: or six to close the year. I don't think I

454
00:23:25,560 --> 00:23:27,760
Speaker 5: mean that they are what three hundred and fortieth in

455
00:23:27,800 --> 00:23:31,679
Speaker 5: bench minutes. This type of format, I know that all

456
00:23:31,680 --> 00:23:33,080
Speaker 5: have an extra day off, but they've got to go

457
00:23:33,200 --> 00:23:38,760
Speaker 5: March eighth, tenth, eleventh, three games in four days. I

458
00:23:38,760 --> 00:23:41,080
Speaker 5: don't see it. With that offense and the lack of depth.

459
00:23:41,560 --> 00:23:43,240
Speaker 5: They need to be like, they're like an energy team

460
00:23:43,280 --> 00:23:46,159
Speaker 5: and they need their legs. So I'm out on Portland State,

461
00:23:46,480 --> 00:23:48,280
Speaker 5: which means the top half for me comes down to

462
00:23:48,320 --> 00:23:51,439
Speaker 5: Montana or Northern Colorado. It's an easy decision for me.

463
00:23:51,480 --> 00:23:53,560
Speaker 5: I'm all about Northern Colorado. It's my favorite future of

464
00:23:53,560 --> 00:23:57,120
Speaker 5: this episode. I love Quinn Ankor, probably the best point

465
00:23:57,160 --> 00:24:02,359
Speaker 5: guard in this conference, Idaho transfer who destroyed Idaho in

466
00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:05,400
Speaker 5: both meetings this year. Brock Whisney, Zach Block can shoot,

467
00:24:05,440 --> 00:24:09,639
Speaker 5: but they Whisney underneath. I mean, this offense when it's clicking,

468
00:24:09,680 --> 00:24:12,040
Speaker 5: is the best in the league in my opinion. Smiley

469
00:24:12,119 --> 00:24:15,040
Speaker 5: is a great offensive mine. Then they can beat you

470
00:24:15,119 --> 00:24:16,840
Speaker 5: in so many different ways in offense, but it's usually

471
00:24:16,920 --> 00:24:18,920
Speaker 5: Danker leading the way. But Danker could score thirty five.

472
00:24:19,040 --> 00:24:22,600
Speaker 5: He also could have fifteen assists. Their two point defense

473
00:24:22,640 --> 00:24:25,160
Speaker 5: improved some down the stretch. They're still shaky and their

474
00:24:25,160 --> 00:24:28,280
Speaker 5: ball screen. Their post defense can still be got, but

475
00:24:28,480 --> 00:24:30,960
Speaker 5: I like to draw because they're gonna play Portland State

476
00:24:31,920 --> 00:24:35,720
Speaker 5: and Portland State needs offensive rebounds. Northern Colorado can limit them.

477
00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:38,480
Speaker 5: And it's just I think it's a really good match

478
00:24:38,520 --> 00:24:41,840
Speaker 5: with Calorado and then Montana. I'm not a Montana guy.

479
00:24:42,359 --> 00:24:45,840
Speaker 5: Northern Colorado just beat them by thirty to close the year,

480
00:24:46,560 --> 00:24:49,320
Speaker 5: and Montana look money. Williams is great, but there's two

481
00:24:49,320 --> 00:24:52,920
Speaker 5: reliant on him, and they are shot volume losers. They

482
00:24:52,960 --> 00:24:55,280
Speaker 5: are three hundred and sixty second the country in field

483
00:24:55,280 --> 00:24:57,800
Speaker 5: goal attempt rate because they turn it over. They don't

484
00:24:57,800 --> 00:25:00,880
Speaker 5: get offensive rebounds, which means which is why they're first

485
00:25:00,920 --> 00:25:03,960
Speaker 5: in effective field goal percentage but tenth in offensive efficiency.

486
00:25:04,480 --> 00:25:08,080
Speaker 5: So yeah, I'm not a Montana guy. I think Northern

487
00:25:08,119 --> 00:25:10,440
Speaker 5: Colorado gets to the title. They're my favorite future. You

488
00:25:10,440 --> 00:25:12,320
Speaker 5: got to shop around. Need like better than four to one,

489
00:25:12,359 --> 00:25:13,920
Speaker 5: like some books. They're three to one on their plus

490
00:25:13,960 --> 00:25:18,480
Speaker 5: four to fifty. Quinn Denker is my guy. I'm riding him.

491
00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:21,480
Speaker 5: I like this straw like they avoided the hotter teams,

492
00:25:21,880 --> 00:25:23,560
Speaker 5: more dangerous teams in the bottom half, Like I think

493
00:25:23,600 --> 00:25:25,960
Speaker 5: the more I didn't want to see Eastern Washington I

494
00:25:25,960 --> 00:25:27,360
Speaker 5: didn't want to see Weever, I didn't want to see

495
00:25:27,359 --> 00:25:29,880
Speaker 5: Montana State all those teams at the battle each other

496
00:25:29,920 --> 00:25:32,720
Speaker 5: in the bottom. And I think Portland State's very vulnerable.

497
00:25:32,840 --> 00:25:33,960
Speaker 5: I'm not a Montana guy.

498
00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:34,440
Speaker 6: Hear me.

499
00:25:34,520 --> 00:25:36,399
Speaker 5: Northern Colorado coming out at the top. Calvary is what

500
00:25:36,440 --> 00:25:37,359
Speaker 5: he's seeing in the top half.

501
00:25:38,640 --> 00:25:41,040
Speaker 6: We essentially have the same script or reading from the

502
00:25:41,040 --> 00:25:43,760
Speaker 6: same hymnal here. As you mentioned, the Bears played great

503
00:25:43,800 --> 00:25:46,480
Speaker 6: late since February first, top twenty five in effective field

504
00:25:46,480 --> 00:25:48,359
Speaker 6: goal percentage on both ends of the floor. They closed

505
00:25:48,440 --> 00:25:51,080
Speaker 6: nine and one straight up, seven and three against the spread.

506
00:25:51,240 --> 00:25:54,400
Speaker 6: They smacked Portland State by twelve. Denker, You're right, he's

507
00:25:54,400 --> 00:25:56,199
Speaker 6: the best player in this entire league. He'd go for

508
00:25:56,240 --> 00:25:58,840
Speaker 6: eighty points in a three game stretch and just carry them.

509
00:25:59,200 --> 00:26:02,040
Speaker 6: And the other art argument here is that you start

510
00:26:02,080 --> 00:26:03,919
Speaker 6: to look at some of these low major leagues and

511
00:26:03,920 --> 00:26:06,240
Speaker 6: now teams play at home obviously throw out the window.

512
00:26:06,440 --> 00:26:07,960
Speaker 6: The Bears are number one in the Big Sky and

513
00:26:08,000 --> 00:26:09,920
Speaker 6: has the Metric away from Home rating, and I think

514
00:26:09,920 --> 00:26:12,280
Speaker 6: that comes into play in a major way. You mentioned

515
00:26:12,400 --> 00:26:14,560
Speaker 6: how tenacious they are in the glass, you know, Whisney

516
00:26:14,680 --> 00:26:17,639
Speaker 6: and then ring Niiri as well. These are guys that

517
00:26:17,680 --> 00:26:20,000
Speaker 6: can go after you know, and get boards on both ends.

518
00:26:20,280 --> 00:26:24,239
Speaker 6: So I love them both from how they're playing, the

519
00:26:24,280 --> 00:26:26,520
Speaker 6: opponents that they're going to have to roll through, and

520
00:26:26,840 --> 00:26:28,960
Speaker 6: I really, I mean, Duck and I were kind of talking,

521
00:26:29,160 --> 00:26:30,960
Speaker 6: you know, ahead of this episode. We kind of go

522
00:26:31,000 --> 00:26:32,920
Speaker 6: through some of the teams, you know, at the top

523
00:26:32,960 --> 00:26:35,200
Speaker 6: that we think are kind of destined for an early exit.

524
00:26:35,880 --> 00:26:38,440
Speaker 6: The most fugazy team I think in low major basketball

525
00:26:38,480 --> 00:26:40,639
Speaker 6: is Portland State as a one seed, you know, for

526
00:26:40,680 --> 00:26:42,480
Speaker 6: them to be priced at four to one, I just

527
00:26:42,480 --> 00:26:44,560
Speaker 6: don't think that aligns with the reality and the kind

528
00:26:44,600 --> 00:26:46,760
Speaker 6: of play they've had. And Jalen Henderson, by the way,

529
00:26:47,000 --> 00:26:49,520
Speaker 6: high variants, high usage, kind of team leader. He can

530
00:26:49,560 --> 00:26:51,560
Speaker 6: go for damn near triple double as he did in

531
00:26:51,600 --> 00:26:54,000
Speaker 6: the season finale, goes for twenty ten and seven, and

532
00:26:54,000 --> 00:26:56,000
Speaker 6: then there's other nights where he shoots four for seventeen

533
00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:59,280
Speaker 6: against Eastern Washington, eight turnovers in a game against Montana.

534
00:26:59,640 --> 00:27:01,719
Speaker 6: And there's second best player, by the way for the Vikings,

535
00:27:01,800 --> 00:27:04,800
Speaker 6: Terry Miller Junior, has struggled with foul trouble and he's

536
00:27:04,800 --> 00:27:07,280
Speaker 6: just had some strange games where he's been super passive

537
00:27:07,359 --> 00:27:09,720
Speaker 6: late in the season. Two points and two rebounds against

538
00:27:09,760 --> 00:27:12,520
Speaker 6: Montana for you know, you know, he should be the

539
00:27:12,560 --> 00:27:15,560
Speaker 6: best big in the entire league. That's that's problematic, and

540
00:27:15,560 --> 00:27:18,240
Speaker 6: then one for six against Idaho. I think Portland State

541
00:27:18,280 --> 00:27:20,080
Speaker 6: is just trending in the wrong direction. So I'm gonna

542
00:27:20,119 --> 00:27:23,639
Speaker 6: go ahead with Northern Colorado here. If Montana was a

543
00:27:23,680 --> 00:27:25,840
Speaker 6: little bit better, I've been shopping around seeing if anything

544
00:27:25,840 --> 00:27:28,160
Speaker 6: would change in terms of their price. Seven to one,

545
00:27:28,200 --> 00:27:30,240
Speaker 6: it's probably a pass for me. If they get closer

546
00:27:30,280 --> 00:27:32,600
Speaker 6: to nine to ten to one, maybe I would consider it.

547
00:27:32,680 --> 00:27:34,960
Speaker 6: But you know, they crashed out late. They lost six

548
00:27:35,000 --> 00:27:37,840
Speaker 6: of their last nine games, but they did sweep Portland State.

549
00:27:38,160 --> 00:27:41,080
Speaker 6: So if they get lucky and they get by Northern Colorado,

550
00:27:41,320 --> 00:27:42,960
Speaker 6: I think they have a real good shot to just

551
00:27:43,040 --> 00:27:45,639
Speaker 6: ride Money Williams past Portland State. And you know, Travis

552
00:27:45,680 --> 00:27:48,120
Speaker 6: Dekuhrer has won this tournament three times in the past

553
00:27:48,160 --> 00:27:50,800
Speaker 6: seven you know, opportunities. So when you get one of

554
00:27:50,800 --> 00:27:53,720
Speaker 6: the best players, it's either Denker or Money and yet

555
00:27:53,840 --> 00:27:56,080
Speaker 6: arguably the best coach against the Portland State team that's

556
00:27:56,119 --> 00:27:56,880
Speaker 6: kind of leaking oil.

557
00:27:57,080 --> 00:27:58,640
Speaker 1: I think probably the winner is going to come from

558
00:27:58,680 --> 00:27:59,240
Speaker 1: those three.

559
00:28:00,040 --> 00:28:02,479
Speaker 6: But I'm gonna hitch my wagon to Northern Colorado here

560
00:28:02,480 --> 00:28:03,920
Speaker 6: at plus four fifty dock.

561
00:28:04,000 --> 00:28:05,280
Speaker 5: What are you saying in the top half.

562
00:28:05,400 --> 00:28:08,160
Speaker 3: Same script. Northern Colorado has absolutely been on fire down

563
00:28:08,200 --> 00:28:11,879
Speaker 3: the stretch. They started the conference portion of their schedule

564
00:28:11,960 --> 00:28:15,760
Speaker 3: just one and seven, but they have absolutely been.

565
00:28:16,160 --> 00:28:17,840
Speaker 5: And some of that was top locked, like they lost

566
00:28:17,840 --> 00:28:21,240
Speaker 5: a bunch of close games. Yet Montana trip is a disaster.

567
00:28:21,280 --> 00:28:22,560
Speaker 5: Then they lost a bunch of close games and then

568
00:28:23,320 --> 00:28:24,000
Speaker 5: they turned it on.

569
00:28:25,119 --> 00:28:27,920
Speaker 3: But I mean, you mentioned Denker and Brock Whisney, exquisite

570
00:28:27,920 --> 00:28:29,880
Speaker 3: players in this league. And I'm telling you right now,

571
00:28:29,960 --> 00:28:33,400
Speaker 3: if Yamakazi starts hitting the three ball more consistently, it's

572
00:28:33,400 --> 00:28:35,439
Speaker 3: going to be a Kama Kazi for their opponents because

573
00:28:35,600 --> 00:28:38,600
Speaker 3: they will be very, very dangerous. And I look at Montana,

574
00:28:38,960 --> 00:28:41,160
Speaker 3: complete dog shit down the stretch, three and six to

575
00:28:41,240 --> 00:28:45,360
Speaker 3: end the season and absolute garbage on the road. Montana

576
00:28:45,960 --> 00:28:49,320
Speaker 3: is fading. I think Northern Colorado will have no issue

577
00:28:49,320 --> 00:28:51,240
Speaker 3: handling them like they just they just did.

578
00:28:52,000 --> 00:28:54,240
Speaker 1: And you know, Portland State has.

579
00:28:56,040 --> 00:28:59,160
Speaker 3: Put together a fair resume, but their defense really tapered

580
00:28:59,200 --> 00:29:02,200
Speaker 3: off down the stretch. And you mentioned the depth and

581
00:29:02,240 --> 00:29:04,600
Speaker 3: some of the tired legs. It could be real trouble

582
00:29:04,600 --> 00:29:06,400
Speaker 3: getting them in a setting where they have to win

583
00:29:07,040 --> 00:29:08,760
Speaker 3: three games in three days. I don't know that they

584
00:29:08,760 --> 00:29:12,480
Speaker 3: would have the depth to do that. Northern Colorado is

585
00:29:12,520 --> 00:29:14,800
Speaker 3: the team that is the hot hand. When you're in

586
00:29:14,800 --> 00:29:16,880
Speaker 3: a seventy two hour event, you want to play a

587
00:29:16,920 --> 00:29:20,400
Speaker 3: team that's been hot, and Northern Colorado is that team.

588
00:29:20,520 --> 00:29:22,800
Speaker 3: On this side of the bracket here, Idaho State Northern

589
00:29:22,800 --> 00:29:25,760
Speaker 3: Arizona will not threaten. In my opinion, I think Montana

590
00:29:25,960 --> 00:29:28,760
Speaker 3: is just such a draw down. I will say this

591
00:29:28,800 --> 00:29:31,080
Speaker 3: about this league. It's the probably the most wide open

592
00:29:31,160 --> 00:29:33,600
Speaker 3: league I've seen in the Big Sky in sometime. Every

593
00:29:33,640 --> 00:29:35,640
Speaker 3: game in this tournament is going to be priced at

594
00:29:35,640 --> 00:29:39,280
Speaker 3: minus five or tighter. So these games are going to

595
00:29:39,280 --> 00:29:42,480
Speaker 3: be tough. But it's Northern Colorado were nothing for me

596
00:29:42,520 --> 00:29:43,160
Speaker 3: on the side.

597
00:29:44,160 --> 00:29:46,320
Speaker 5: Let's move to the bottom half. We're on the same page.

598
00:29:46,320 --> 00:29:52,120
Speaker 5: In the top half, Idaho Sacramento State will open up

599
00:29:52,360 --> 00:29:56,320
Speaker 5: play in the first round. Sacramento State, I mean that

600
00:29:56,400 --> 00:29:58,480
Speaker 5: Mike Dibby's their coach. If you didn't know they want

601
00:29:58,480 --> 00:30:02,720
Speaker 5: to play super super fan asked, it's Mikey Williams, like

602
00:30:02,880 --> 00:30:04,480
Speaker 5: he's been out, But I don't know if he's even

603
00:30:04,720 --> 00:30:08,960
Speaker 5: It's pretty inefficient. It's all about Prophet Johnson, their their guards.

604
00:30:08,960 --> 00:30:11,800
Speaker 5: It's just like go get a bucket. Their defense is horrendous.

605
00:30:11,840 --> 00:30:13,920
Speaker 5: They either force a turnover or they give up an

606
00:30:13,920 --> 00:30:16,920
Speaker 5: easy bucket. They can't rebound their three hundred and fifty

607
00:30:16,960 --> 00:30:19,360
Speaker 5: fifth and as the metrics away from home metric like

608
00:30:19,480 --> 00:30:26,480
Speaker 5: total dud, I knows interesting. I assume Colton Mitchell will

609
00:30:26,480 --> 00:30:29,480
Speaker 5: be back. He's important for them. He missed time to

610
00:30:29,560 --> 00:30:33,160
Speaker 5: end the season. A good good rim defense. They limit

611
00:30:33,200 --> 00:30:37,360
Speaker 5: threes and their drop they can be had in pick

612
00:30:37,400 --> 00:30:40,080
Speaker 5: and roll, but they'll shoot a ton of threes, which

613
00:30:40,320 --> 00:30:44,000
Speaker 5: there's some variants there. If they're going in, could they

614
00:30:44,000 --> 00:30:47,680
Speaker 5: give Montana State a game? I assuming Idaho takes care.

615
00:30:47,720 --> 00:30:48,920
Speaker 5: I mean, I don't just close the air in a

616
00:30:48,920 --> 00:30:52,360
Speaker 5: game that didn't mean anything. Took care of Eastern Washington

617
00:30:52,360 --> 00:30:56,000
Speaker 5: who was red hot, and it was, you know, an

618
00:30:56,040 --> 00:30:58,680
Speaker 5: important game for Eastern Washington, meant nothing to Idaho. I

619
00:30:58,720 --> 00:31:02,880
Speaker 5: mean this Idoho team does have up side. Montana State

620
00:31:03,480 --> 00:31:08,840
Speaker 5: at some books is close to or the favorite. I'm

621
00:31:09,360 --> 00:31:12,080
Speaker 5: not there yet. I mean Jed Miller's been great, but

622
00:31:12,120 --> 00:31:15,120
Speaker 5: they have some injuries like McMahon's hurt. They lost Brown

623
00:31:15,680 --> 00:31:18,720
Speaker 5: earlier this season. They're so relying on jump shots. They're

624
00:31:18,760 --> 00:31:21,280
Speaker 5: like a jump shooting team and they take a ton

625
00:31:21,320 --> 00:31:24,720
Speaker 5: of bad shots. So I don't really see it with

626
00:31:24,760 --> 00:31:26,560
Speaker 5: Montana State. I mean an easily could come out of this,

627
00:31:26,640 --> 00:31:29,480
Speaker 5: but I'm not running to bet them at four to one.

628
00:31:30,560 --> 00:31:33,640
Speaker 5: And then you have Eastern Washington weaver super interesting game.

629
00:31:33,680 --> 00:31:37,840
Speaker 5: I mean Eastern Washington got red, red hot, similar to

630
00:31:37,840 --> 00:31:41,880
Speaker 5: Northern Colorado down the stretch before losing their finale. I

631
00:31:41,880 --> 00:31:43,520
Speaker 5: mean this team was on fire and almost had a chance.

632
00:31:43,560 --> 00:31:45,320
Speaker 5: They I think, what did they start Duck one in

633
00:31:45,680 --> 00:31:49,840
Speaker 5: two and seven? Were they at one point like Northern Colorado? Yeah?

634
00:31:49,920 --> 00:31:52,960
Speaker 3: East Washington was five and seventeen overall at one point

635
00:31:52,960 --> 00:31:55,560
Speaker 3: this season. Absolutely, you talk about a team that's played

636
00:31:55,600 --> 00:31:59,280
Speaker 3: the hand right the turnaround. When you're five and seventeen,

637
00:31:59,320 --> 00:32:02,280
Speaker 3: you're drawing. There's not a lot happening. Here's not got

638
00:32:02,320 --> 00:32:05,560
Speaker 3: a lot of momentum. The turnaround with Eastern Washington has

639
00:32:05,600 --> 00:32:09,040
Speaker 3: been absolutely unreal, and they win in a variety of ways.

640
00:32:09,120 --> 00:32:10,520
Speaker 3: They can lose in a variety of ways, but they

641
00:32:10,560 --> 00:32:13,560
Speaker 3: can win high scoring games. They can win defensive slogs,

642
00:32:13,560 --> 00:32:17,000
Speaker 3: that are played at sixty two possessions. It is a

643
00:32:17,400 --> 00:32:22,080
Speaker 3: it's a team that can absolutely handle Weber and Montana State.

644
00:32:22,160 --> 00:32:24,400
Speaker 3: It's it's a real dangerous bunch, especially with how they've

645
00:32:24,400 --> 00:32:25,400
Speaker 3: been playing down the stretch.

646
00:32:26,320 --> 00:32:28,040
Speaker 5: They had a chance to get the one seed after

647
00:32:28,080 --> 00:32:30,400
Speaker 5: starting five to seventeen. Like in the final week. The

648
00:32:31,280 --> 00:32:33,960
Speaker 5: offense is very good. I mean Moses at the point

649
00:32:34,760 --> 00:32:37,560
Speaker 5: now that he's like just full on go at point

650
00:32:37,680 --> 00:32:39,479
Speaker 5: like that. Their offense is taken off, but it's not.

651
00:32:39,720 --> 00:32:42,240
Speaker 5: They had They've been very lucky from the three point

652
00:32:42,280 --> 00:32:44,480
Speaker 5: line in the month of February right ten plus ten

653
00:32:44,680 --> 00:32:48,600
Speaker 5: twelve percent delta, which has contributed because their defense does

654
00:32:48,680 --> 00:32:50,760
Speaker 5: have issues and teams haven't been able to make shots.

655
00:32:50,960 --> 00:32:53,000
Speaker 5: But their offense yet they've been shooting forty percent. They're

656
00:32:53,040 --> 00:32:57,320
Speaker 5: not overly three point reliant. And Hamilton and WHOI those

657
00:32:57,320 --> 00:33:01,320
Speaker 5: guys inside they can score inside as well. Now they're

658
00:33:01,320 --> 00:33:04,880
Speaker 5: gonna take on a Weaver State team, which they also

659
00:33:04,920 --> 00:33:10,120
Speaker 5: have a pretty dangerous offense. T John Say, Billy Ami,

660
00:33:10,840 --> 00:33:16,800
Speaker 5: Bartie Ainen the Finn He's an electric offensive player. That's

661
00:33:16,840 --> 00:33:20,080
Speaker 5: a fascinating game and the winner of that game can

662
00:33:20,120 --> 00:33:23,720
Speaker 5: certainly take out Montana State Calbarys, you have any thoughts

663
00:33:23,720 --> 00:33:25,960
Speaker 5: on the bottom half, Yeah.

664
00:33:25,840 --> 00:33:28,360
Speaker 6: I mean if McMahon wasn't banged up, because it's not

665
00:33:28,480 --> 00:33:30,520
Speaker 6: just that he took a bad fall and left a

666
00:33:30,520 --> 00:33:32,160
Speaker 6: game he was already playing with I think a torn

667
00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:35,200
Speaker 6: ligaman and a stress fracture in that foot, So yeah,

668
00:33:35,600 --> 00:33:37,960
Speaker 6: I feel like he's I would be shocked if he

669
00:33:38,000 --> 00:33:41,240
Speaker 6: played significant minutes here. So I'm moving off of Montana State.

670
00:33:41,360 --> 00:33:45,000
Speaker 6: And sometimes they can feel like we put too much

671
00:33:45,040 --> 00:33:48,360
Speaker 6: stock in how teams finish. But Eastern Washington it's not

672
00:33:48,400 --> 00:33:50,280
Speaker 6: just that they won all those games. It's that they

673
00:33:50,360 --> 00:33:53,920
Speaker 6: beat all the top teams along the way, and they've had,

674
00:33:54,000 --> 00:33:54,320
Speaker 6: you know.

675
00:33:54,280 --> 00:33:56,360
Speaker 1: Multiple nights where they have different leading scorers.

676
00:33:56,360 --> 00:33:59,000
Speaker 6: They get three guys at the top from an offensive

677
00:33:59,000 --> 00:34:01,560
Speaker 6: perspective who can eat them on any given game. I

678
00:34:01,600 --> 00:34:02,880
Speaker 6: think this is a team that's going to come out

679
00:34:02,920 --> 00:34:03,960
Speaker 6: of this end of the bracket.

680
00:34:05,040 --> 00:34:05,760
Speaker 1: Montana State.

681
00:34:05,800 --> 00:34:07,960
Speaker 6: I really if they had a full deck, I would

682
00:34:07,960 --> 00:34:10,160
Speaker 6: be scared of them cutting down the nets as a champion.

683
00:34:10,400 --> 00:34:13,040
Speaker 6: But because of the jump shooting nature on a neutral

684
00:34:13,040 --> 00:34:15,920
Speaker 6: floor and with the injury to McMahon, I think I'm

685
00:34:15,960 --> 00:34:17,279
Speaker 6: out on the bobs Doc.

686
00:34:17,320 --> 00:34:21,080
Speaker 5: Any thoughts on the bottom halfs particularly you know, maybe

687
00:34:21,160 --> 00:34:23,919
Speaker 5: you think you're interested in Idaho, but particularly Montana State,

688
00:34:23,960 --> 00:34:25,760
Speaker 5: EW Weber or anything there.

689
00:34:26,640 --> 00:34:29,239
Speaker 3: I mean with Montana State, it's just such fly by

690
00:34:29,280 --> 00:34:31,080
Speaker 3: the seat of your pants hoops with these guys. They

691
00:34:31,120 --> 00:34:33,239
Speaker 3: play slow, they shoot a ton of threes, they make

692
00:34:33,280 --> 00:34:35,960
Speaker 3: a lot of shots. Yeah, the defense has not been

693
00:34:36,080 --> 00:34:38,480
Speaker 3: overly aggressive. They don't send you to the line, but

694
00:34:38,520 --> 00:34:40,759
Speaker 3: they're not going to take gambles and forest turnovers. Just

695
00:34:40,800 --> 00:34:44,080
Speaker 3: not overly aggressive in that nature or on the glass.

696
00:34:44,400 --> 00:34:46,040
Speaker 3: And they're not at full strength right now. They're down

697
00:34:46,040 --> 00:34:50,160
Speaker 3: a couple of important guys. They lost to Idaho and

698
00:34:50,320 --> 00:34:53,440
Speaker 3: Sacramento State this year, and all four matchups against their

699
00:34:53,480 --> 00:34:57,759
Speaker 3: potential next opponent, either Eastern Washington or Weber, were down

700
00:34:57,800 --> 00:35:00,400
Speaker 3: to the wire games. I mean, Montana States team that

701
00:35:00,440 --> 00:35:02,400
Speaker 3: could go to the final or they could get bounced

702
00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:05,279
Speaker 3: very very early, And for that volatility reason, I have

703
00:35:05,360 --> 00:35:07,719
Speaker 3: no interest in playing them. I mean, I can get

704
00:35:07,719 --> 00:35:11,280
Speaker 3: talked into Eastern Washington on this side of the bracket.

705
00:35:10,200 --> 00:35:14,760
Speaker 3: I think a team that would challenge Northern Colorado would

706
00:35:14,760 --> 00:35:17,680
Speaker 3: be on this side, and they're all going to beat

707
00:35:17,680 --> 00:35:20,799
Speaker 3: each other up. You know, Weaber State is a fascinating

708
00:35:20,800 --> 00:35:24,239
Speaker 3: case because their defense is very poor. The offense can

709
00:35:24,280 --> 00:35:26,840
Speaker 3: be explosive at times. But the problem with Weber is

710
00:35:26,840 --> 00:35:29,839
Speaker 3: they routinely go through long stretches four or five six

711
00:35:29,880 --> 00:35:32,440
Speaker 3: minutes where they don't score, and they could be up

712
00:35:32,480 --> 00:35:35,000
Speaker 3: ten and down ten in the same half, and if

713
00:35:35,040 --> 00:35:38,120
Speaker 3: they have a situation where the offense runs dry, could

714
00:35:38,160 --> 00:35:39,520
Speaker 3: be real trouble for Weaver State.

715
00:35:40,680 --> 00:35:44,560
Speaker 5: All right, time for picks. Who you got? And then

716
00:35:44,719 --> 00:35:46,680
Speaker 5: what do you like from a betting perspective. I got

717
00:35:46,680 --> 00:35:50,279
Speaker 5: Northern Colorado winning this thing. It's also I like from

718
00:35:50,320 --> 00:35:54,479
Speaker 5: a betting perspective, nothing else really interests me. I'll go

719
00:35:55,840 --> 00:36:02,200
Speaker 5: Northern Colorado over Eastern Washington in a matchup of the

720
00:36:02,239 --> 00:36:05,520
Speaker 5: two teams that got red hot down the stretch. Quinn

721
00:36:05,600 --> 00:36:09,880
Speaker 5: Anker Tournament MVP, don't let me down, brother, Doc.

722
00:36:10,000 --> 00:36:11,600
Speaker 1: You same thing.

723
00:36:11,600 --> 00:36:13,319
Speaker 3: And we didn't compare notes before this, but I have

724
00:36:13,440 --> 00:36:15,680
Speaker 3: Northern Colorado winning the whole thing, and I would place

725
00:36:15,719 --> 00:36:18,560
Speaker 3: a wager on them at that plus four to twenty

726
00:36:18,600 --> 00:36:21,720
Speaker 3: five plus four to fifty type of range, and then

727
00:36:21,880 --> 00:36:24,640
Speaker 3: maybe a wager that would be about half of that

728
00:36:24,760 --> 00:36:26,719
Speaker 3: amount on Eastern Washington on the other side.

729
00:36:26,800 --> 00:36:28,080
Speaker 1: Is exactly what I had written.

730
00:36:27,840 --> 00:36:31,800
Speaker 5: Down Cabrey's this is a simple podcast.

731
00:36:31,880 --> 00:36:34,400
Speaker 6: All three of us have the same title game, same champion,

732
00:36:34,600 --> 00:36:37,560
Speaker 6: anything north of four to one at Northern Colorado. I

733
00:36:37,560 --> 00:36:40,440
Speaker 6: think they're the class here and I feel comfortable in

734
00:36:40,480 --> 00:36:43,560
Speaker 6: the low major leagues rolling with a top player Money Williams.

735
00:36:43,719 --> 00:36:45,080
Speaker 1: I think Just is going to be let down by

736
00:36:45,120 --> 00:36:45,759
Speaker 1: his teammates.

737
00:36:45,840 --> 00:36:47,960
Speaker 6: Quinn Denker is either a one A or one B

738
00:36:48,120 --> 00:36:50,279
Speaker 6: situation as player of the year in this league, so

739
00:36:50,280 --> 00:36:51,120
Speaker 6: I'll go ahead with him.

740
00:36:51,800 --> 00:36:57,000
Speaker 5: All right, good stuff. Can't wait for starch madness.

741
00:36:58,120 --> 00:37:00,759
Speaker 1: We have to talk some swackhins swaction.

742
00:37:03,080 --> 00:37:07,360
Speaker 5: Can we get serious now? We don't have the bracket,

743
00:37:07,680 --> 00:37:11,960
Speaker 5: but this starts. When does this actually start? It starts Monday,

744
00:37:12,120 --> 00:37:15,520
Speaker 5: so like we can't put this in the Sunday pods

745
00:37:16,480 --> 00:37:18,040
Speaker 5: and then we're doing the rest of our pots. So

746
00:37:18,040 --> 00:37:19,640
Speaker 5: we have We're just gonna talk about it here. The

747
00:37:19,680 --> 00:37:22,800
Speaker 5: other thing with the swack you never know who's playing

748
00:37:23,640 --> 00:37:26,080
Speaker 5: every single team. I swear like that. I never seen

749
00:37:26,120 --> 00:37:27,959
Speaker 5: a league that this is every year. I maybe because

750
00:37:28,040 --> 00:37:30,080
Speaker 5: it's like a tempo league if you like tempo free

751
00:37:30,080 --> 00:37:34,200
Speaker 5: throws and turnovers and inefficient and non teams that can't

752
00:37:34,200 --> 00:37:38,120
Speaker 5: shoot the swack is for you. Twelve teen tournament. They

753
00:37:38,160 --> 00:37:39,960
Speaker 5: had used to be eight now then it was ten

754
00:37:40,040 --> 00:37:41,840
Speaker 5: last year. Now it's twelve. All twelve make it.

755
00:37:42,520 --> 00:37:45,040
Speaker 6: Hey, listen that letter writing campaign from all of us

756
00:37:45,040 --> 00:37:47,240
Speaker 6: Mississippi Valley State fans. We finally got the Delts.

757
00:37:47,280 --> 00:37:49,920
Speaker 1: Devil's in there. They deserve an opportunity to play their

758
00:37:49,960 --> 00:37:50,759
Speaker 1: way to the big dance.

759
00:37:51,440 --> 00:37:53,040
Speaker 5: So I mean some injuries to watch if you're like

760
00:37:53,120 --> 00:37:56,680
Speaker 5: really into this. Morris for Alcorn, Joseph for Prairie View,

761
00:37:56,800 --> 00:37:59,480
Speaker 5: Doc Bradley for Bethune Cookman. He's been in a boot.

762
00:37:59,800 --> 00:38:03,360
Speaker 5: He's a microwave score when he's healthy. I don't I

763
00:38:03,360 --> 00:38:04,640
Speaker 5: think he's out for the year. But I don't know

764
00:38:05,480 --> 00:38:09,719
Speaker 5: abilgad The I think he's Egyptian big for Southern, he's

765
00:38:09,840 --> 00:38:11,880
Speaker 5: really good, but he hasn't been playing and didn't make

766
00:38:11,920 --> 00:38:14,840
Speaker 5: their recent Bama trip. I don't know his status. Texas

767
00:38:14,840 --> 00:38:17,760
Speaker 5: Southern Hupstead, don't know what's going on with him. Jackson

768
00:38:17,760 --> 00:38:20,719
Speaker 5: State is I mean, they're basically just a one man team.

769
00:38:20,719 --> 00:38:22,759
Speaker 5: DeShawn Ruff and how many shots can you get up?

770
00:38:22,800 --> 00:38:25,480
Speaker 5: And can you score forty? Otherwise they're losing, but they're

771
00:38:25,520 --> 00:38:30,520
Speaker 5: now shorthanded lots of injuries everywhere. There are some odds

772
00:38:30,560 --> 00:38:33,640
Speaker 5: out there. If you chop around at the Bathun and

773
00:38:33,680 --> 00:38:35,600
Speaker 5: Southern are like the co favorites. Bithun is the most

774
00:38:35,600 --> 00:38:39,160
Speaker 5: talented team. They got the heady brothers Dakobet. He's been

775
00:38:39,200 --> 00:38:40,880
Speaker 5: incredible for them, But they don't have a point guard.

776
00:38:41,360 --> 00:38:42,840
Speaker 5: They don't really really have a true point guard, so

777
00:38:42,920 --> 00:38:46,280
Speaker 5: like turnovers can be an issue. They are electric in transition,

778
00:38:46,400 --> 00:38:49,160
Speaker 5: but and they want to just attack the rim. Their

779
00:38:49,160 --> 00:38:51,319
Speaker 5: half court offense can be ugly tho though, but in

780
00:38:51,360 --> 00:38:55,680
Speaker 5: this league they usually can get out in transition and

781
00:38:56,280 --> 00:38:59,240
Speaker 5: they are usually the better team in that aspect. Southern

782
00:39:00,280 --> 00:39:02,279
Speaker 5: they also want to run, but their transition D is

783
00:39:02,360 --> 00:39:04,400
Speaker 5: really bad. Like that's might be what separates them in

784
00:39:04,400 --> 00:39:08,160
Speaker 5: Bethune because Bathun's transition d's actually good. Southern forces a

785
00:39:08,160 --> 00:39:10,279
Speaker 5: lot of turnovers, they mix up their defense. Their half

786
00:39:10,320 --> 00:39:13,520
Speaker 5: quardo is a bit more functional than Bethune. I don't

787
00:39:13,520 --> 00:39:15,440
Speaker 5: know the status of that will go out. It's important,

788
00:39:16,280 --> 00:39:20,359
Speaker 5: but those are the two co favorites. Like some notes

789
00:39:20,400 --> 00:39:21,920
Speaker 5: on other teams like Alabama A and m or, I

790
00:39:21,920 --> 00:39:23,440
Speaker 5: think you can get them around like seven eight to one.

791
00:39:23,440 --> 00:39:25,520
Speaker 5: Now again, the only thing we know is Misipi Valley

792
00:39:25,520 --> 00:39:28,880
Speaker 5: State is the lowest seed and the Thune will be

793
00:39:28,920 --> 00:39:31,920
Speaker 5: the top seed. Everything else in between is up for grabs.

794
00:39:32,719 --> 00:39:34,480
Speaker 5: Album A and M statisically is the best offense, but

795
00:39:34,480 --> 00:39:36,520
Speaker 5: their defense is so bad. They'll mix in some zone,

796
00:39:36,560 --> 00:39:38,200
Speaker 5: but they want to slow the game down. On offense.

797
00:39:38,200 --> 00:39:41,239
Speaker 5: Their transition D is bad. They couldn't keep up with

798
00:39:41,280 --> 00:39:42,839
Speaker 5: the top two teams when they played them this year.

799
00:39:44,400 --> 00:39:48,320
Speaker 5: Grambling is all D, no offense. They have major turnover issues.

800
00:39:48,960 --> 00:39:53,480
Speaker 5: Pine Bluff decent offense, their D is very bad. Alabama

801
00:39:53,520 --> 00:39:57,359
Speaker 5: State offense is brutal. Defense is okay. Florida A and M.

802
00:39:58,400 --> 00:40:00,719
Speaker 5: You're gonna see some zones press. They got a good

803
00:40:00,719 --> 00:40:04,000
Speaker 5: transition defense, but their offense is just so bad. They're

804
00:40:04,040 --> 00:40:06,000
Speaker 5: the rebounders of the league. That's how they have to win.

805
00:40:06,120 --> 00:40:09,480
Speaker 5: Mention Jackson State. It's basically Deshaun ruffin Ole miss transfer.

806
00:40:09,600 --> 00:40:13,040
Speaker 5: It's gonna take a billion shots, especially if they remain shorthanded.

807
00:40:13,360 --> 00:40:15,960
Speaker 5: Prairie View is super fast. Like there's a lot of

808
00:40:15,960 --> 00:40:18,080
Speaker 5: teams that are temp tempo. Prairie View is super fast.

809
00:40:18,320 --> 00:40:19,640
Speaker 5: They're good on the glass, but they don't have a

810
00:40:19,640 --> 00:40:23,960
Speaker 5: point guard, so turnovers are they have a are a

811
00:40:24,000 --> 00:40:28,360
Speaker 5: disaster for them. Don't know the status of Joseph Alcorn State,

812
00:40:28,800 --> 00:40:32,120
Speaker 5: like try to force turnovers and I don't know the

813
00:40:32,120 --> 00:40:34,839
Speaker 5: status of Morris. And then Missouri Valley State the worst

814
00:40:34,840 --> 00:40:37,000
Speaker 5: team in the league, very consistent. They started dead lasts

815
00:40:37,040 --> 00:40:39,160
Speaker 5: on Kempoon. They still are dead lasts on Kempound. An

816
00:40:39,160 --> 00:40:41,839
Speaker 5: interesting thing about Missispi Valley State can't say I watch

817
00:40:41,880 --> 00:40:44,680
Speaker 5: their most recent game. If you go to Kempound and

818
00:40:46,320 --> 00:40:49,880
Speaker 5: this will be my contribution to the swack pond. You

819
00:40:49,880 --> 00:40:51,879
Speaker 5: got to kempoum. You click on mis Misissipi Valley State

820
00:40:53,440 --> 00:40:57,200
Speaker 5: and you click on their last game against Alcorn State.

821
00:40:57,200 --> 00:40:58,400
Speaker 5: And by the way, they won two to four. The

822
00:40:58,880 --> 00:41:00,239
Speaker 5: Missis Valley State has won two before.

823
00:41:00,280 --> 00:41:02,040
Speaker 1: Don't let the Delta Devils get hot.

824
00:41:03,160 --> 00:41:05,640
Speaker 5: If you click on I'm sorry. If you just click

825
00:41:05,640 --> 00:41:07,840
Speaker 5: on miss City Died State on kempom and you scroll

826
00:41:07,920 --> 00:41:10,359
Speaker 5: down and then you score down to the depth chart

827
00:41:10,440 --> 00:41:14,440
Speaker 5: of the past five games they have, it says on

828
00:41:14,560 --> 00:41:17,920
Speaker 5: point guard PJ McDonald, you can't click on he's a

829
00:41:17,920 --> 00:41:21,000
Speaker 5: ghost player. It happened sometimes in the swag, So I'm like,

830
00:41:21,000 --> 00:41:24,520
Speaker 5: who the hell is PJ McDonald. So I went to a.

831
00:41:24,600 --> 00:41:27,239
Speaker 5: I found a box score. He did play in their

832
00:41:27,280 --> 00:41:32,640
Speaker 5: most recent game. He hasn't played all year, and there's

833
00:41:32,960 --> 00:41:34,560
Speaker 5: I don't know who he is. There's nothing on the

834
00:41:34,560 --> 00:41:37,799
Speaker 5: basketball or roster about him. There's a football player on

835
00:41:37,920 --> 00:41:41,439
Speaker 5: the Mississippi Dalied state who's like a defensive lineman. He's

836
00:41:41,480 --> 00:41:45,279
Speaker 5: like two seventy five. And then I looked at the

837
00:41:45,280 --> 00:41:47,399
Speaker 5: hometown for the guy in the box score, and it's

838
00:41:47,440 --> 00:41:50,000
Speaker 5: that guy. They played a football player five minutes a

839
00:41:50,000 --> 00:41:51,839
Speaker 5: point guard. I don't know. I don't know what's going

840
00:41:51,880 --> 00:41:54,040
Speaker 5: on there. It's completely meaningless. But I was like, this

841
00:41:54,080 --> 00:41:55,319
Speaker 5: is the rabbit holes. I go down at the four

842
00:41:55,320 --> 00:41:57,480
Speaker 5: in the morning. I don't know who that is. I

843
00:41:57,480 --> 00:41:59,520
Speaker 5: think it's the football player. Like, so, if you type

844
00:41:59,560 --> 00:42:06,080
Speaker 5: in p J McDonald MVSU, the first thing he comes up.

845
00:42:06,080 --> 00:42:08,239
Speaker 5: He's on the football roster. He's an offensive line and

846
00:42:08,280 --> 00:42:10,799
Speaker 5: he's six five, two seventy. That has to be him.

847
00:42:10,840 --> 00:42:14,600
Speaker 5: And he has the same hometown as so apparently they're

848
00:42:14,600 --> 00:42:16,280
Speaker 5: playing him at point guard for a couple of minutes

849
00:42:16,520 --> 00:42:19,319
Speaker 5: last game. I don't know what's going on anyway.

850
00:42:19,000 --> 00:42:22,800
Speaker 6: Listen, he's he's a trim down six five, two seventy

851
00:42:23,200 --> 00:42:26,719
Speaker 6: he's now added to the ESPN page. He's got a

852
00:42:26,719 --> 00:42:31,160
Speaker 6: forward page for the Delta Devils, so at least he's.

853
00:42:31,040 --> 00:42:33,800
Speaker 1: Being tracked there. So you have found the right guy.

854
00:42:34,160 --> 00:42:37,640
Speaker 5: Unbelievable. Uh, just a cluster fuck of the league.

855
00:42:39,480 --> 00:42:39,719
Speaker 1: Duc.

856
00:42:40,040 --> 00:42:42,040
Speaker 5: Well, actually, I gotta go to Cabriys first. I know

857
00:42:42,080 --> 00:42:42,920
Speaker 5: you love your swaction.

858
00:42:43,560 --> 00:42:46,160
Speaker 6: I do love my seaction. Listen, let's bring up the

859
00:42:46,160 --> 00:42:48,560
Speaker 6: obvious fact. You brought it up at the top. These

860
00:42:48,600 --> 00:42:51,239
Speaker 6: offenses stink by and large. The average offensive ken PUM

861
00:42:51,320 --> 00:42:53,399
Speaker 6: rating for these teams is three hundred and thirteenth. Only

862
00:42:53,440 --> 00:42:55,439
Speaker 6: two teams are inside the top two sixty in terms

863
00:42:55,480 --> 00:42:58,160
Speaker 6: of effective field goal percentage, so it makes sense to

864
00:42:58,239 --> 00:43:01,640
Speaker 6: gravitate towards the teams that can and score consistently. If

865
00:43:01,640 --> 00:43:03,879
Speaker 6: you're trying to think about teams winning multiple games over

866
00:43:03,960 --> 00:43:06,279
Speaker 6: multiple days, that year would be there. This year it

867
00:43:06,280 --> 00:43:08,799
Speaker 6: would be beuon Cookman in Texas Southern. But a quick

868
00:43:08,880 --> 00:43:11,319
Speaker 6: history lesson paints a different picture when you're looking about

869
00:43:11,360 --> 00:43:14,440
Speaker 6: betting this from a future's perspective. The last five champions

870
00:43:14,520 --> 00:43:17,200
Speaker 6: in the SWACK have averaged a conference offensive rating a

871
00:43:17,320 --> 00:43:20,160
Speaker 6: four point four out of twelve and in defensive ranking

872
00:43:20,280 --> 00:43:22,640
Speaker 6: of four point two out of twelve. The average seed

873
00:43:22,640 --> 00:43:25,879
Speaker 6: of the champion heading into the conference tournament has been

874
00:43:25,920 --> 00:43:28,200
Speaker 6: three point eight, with Grambling being the only one seed

875
00:43:28,200 --> 00:43:30,640
Speaker 6: to win in the past five years. So that brings

876
00:43:30,640 --> 00:43:32,759
Speaker 6: you to Bethune Cookman, who's the one seed fourteen to

877
00:43:32,880 --> 00:43:35,960
Speaker 6: three in SWACK play. They looked great against top competition

878
00:43:36,000 --> 00:43:38,280
Speaker 6: in the Swack, boasting a five to one mark against

879
00:43:38,280 --> 00:43:41,400
Speaker 6: all the teams that currently have ten conference wins. But

880
00:43:41,560 --> 00:43:44,920
Speaker 6: Doctor Bradley not being there makes it almost impossible to

881
00:43:45,440 --> 00:43:47,120
Speaker 6: play the favorite here because.

882
00:43:46,960 --> 00:43:48,000
Speaker 1: He hasn't played in a month.

883
00:43:48,320 --> 00:43:50,479
Speaker 6: They're not as dominant without him on the floor because

884
00:43:50,520 --> 00:43:53,160
Speaker 6: he's a double double machine. And without him, they lost

885
00:43:53,160 --> 00:43:56,200
Speaker 6: to Alcorn and Jackson State on the road and needed

886
00:43:56,200 --> 00:43:58,720
Speaker 6: a late three to fourth overtime against Texas Southern before

887
00:43:58,719 --> 00:44:00,279
Speaker 6: pulling out in overtime win.

888
00:44:00,440 --> 00:44:03,799
Speaker 1: So I can't bet Bethune Cookman with that Doctor Bradley and.

889
00:44:03,719 --> 00:44:06,480
Speaker 6: Then Texas Southern, by the way, you know, they played

890
00:44:06,480 --> 00:44:08,320
Speaker 6: great late in the season six and two with that

891
00:44:08,400 --> 00:44:11,200
Speaker 6: overtime loss to Bethune, They beat Southern, they beat Florida

892
00:44:11,239 --> 00:44:13,400
Speaker 6: A and M at their place. The key is the

893
00:44:13,400 --> 00:44:17,120
Speaker 6: availability of Troy Hupstead. He left the game against Mississippi

894
00:44:17,160 --> 00:44:19,880
Speaker 6: Valley State. There was nothing written about it, so I

895
00:44:19,920 --> 00:44:23,160
Speaker 6: went for Yeah. I went to Swack TV and I

896
00:44:23,239 --> 00:44:25,360
Speaker 6: watched the exact play in which he got hurt. It

897
00:44:25,400 --> 00:44:27,640
Speaker 6: looks like a calf injury. He could barely shoot. His

898
00:44:27,680 --> 00:44:30,960
Speaker 6: foul shots comes off the floor. Hasn't played since. I'm

899
00:44:30,960 --> 00:44:33,520
Speaker 6: gonna wait right up until the eleventh hour if I

900
00:44:33,520 --> 00:44:36,120
Speaker 6: can get availability on him, if he's gonna play, I'm

901
00:44:36,120 --> 00:44:37,560
Speaker 6: gonna go ahead and lock it in because he's a

902
00:44:37,560 --> 00:44:38,600
Speaker 6: fifteen to nine guy.

903
00:44:38,800 --> 00:44:40,080
Speaker 1: He gets all the tough buckets.

904
00:44:40,080 --> 00:44:43,480
Speaker 6: He's impressive from a defensive perspective around the rim.

905
00:44:43,800 --> 00:44:45,759
Speaker 1: And the last month with him playing most of the time, they.

906
00:44:45,719 --> 00:44:48,800
Speaker 6: Finished twenty eighth in effective field goal percentage per Torvik.

907
00:44:48,920 --> 00:44:51,040
Speaker 6: So if I can get them at let's call it

908
00:44:51,120 --> 00:44:53,120
Speaker 6: plus three point fifty or better to win this thing.

909
00:44:53,120 --> 00:44:54,840
Speaker 6: And I know that he's going and I know that

910
00:44:54,880 --> 00:44:57,080
Speaker 6: doctor Bradley's on the sideline. I'll take one of the

911
00:44:57,080 --> 00:44:59,520
Speaker 6: best players in the Swack Johnny Jones, who's won this

912
00:44:59,520 --> 00:45:01,919
Speaker 6: tournament three times in the past six years. He's gone

913
00:45:02,000 --> 00:45:05,760
Speaker 6: dancing six times in his career, you know, across really

914
00:45:06,000 --> 00:45:08,000
Speaker 6: a pretty storied career. I know that it didn't work

915
00:45:08,040 --> 00:45:10,920
Speaker 6: out at LSU. But this guy can coach. He's done

916
00:45:11,080 --> 00:45:13,560
Speaker 6: more with less multiple times in his career. I think

917
00:45:13,600 --> 00:45:16,239
Speaker 6: Texas Southern is the angle here. But you're just not

918
00:45:16,320 --> 00:45:18,560
Speaker 6: going to find information about a lot of these teams.

919
00:45:18,640 --> 00:45:20,440
Speaker 6: They played so close to the vest. They barely have

920
00:45:20,520 --> 00:45:23,080
Speaker 6: beat reporters. So if you have to just like make

921
00:45:23,120 --> 00:45:25,440
Speaker 6: go through SWAXV it's free. You can at least get

922
00:45:25,480 --> 00:45:27,640
Speaker 6: some of the play by play in color commentary to

923
00:45:27,640 --> 00:45:29,720
Speaker 6: get a feel for these teams leading into the tournament.

924
00:45:30,360 --> 00:45:35,600
Speaker 5: Well, you mentioned that Alcorn beat Beefoon. Why I mentioned Alcorn.

925
00:45:35,719 --> 00:45:37,680
Speaker 5: They just want to force turnovers like that's the one

926
00:45:37,680 --> 00:45:39,960
Speaker 5: of their strengths. That's what happened. And Petun doesn't have

927
00:45:40,000 --> 00:45:42,920
Speaker 5: a point guard and Alcorn controlled the tempo. You know

928
00:45:43,160 --> 00:45:45,239
Speaker 5: Thethune Cookman in that game, I was fifty seven fifty five.

929
00:45:45,280 --> 00:45:49,880
Speaker 5: That's a pure Alcorn game. Bethune Cookman had a thirty

930
00:45:49,960 --> 00:45:54,640
Speaker 5: six percent turnover rate. Thirty six percent. They turned it

931
00:45:54,680 --> 00:45:56,640
Speaker 5: over twenty three times in a game in the fifties.

932
00:45:57,600 --> 00:46:00,920
Speaker 5: That's their I mean Alcorn beat him. They Alcorn was

933
00:46:00,920 --> 00:46:05,399
Speaker 5: one at eight from three and beat Bethune because they

934
00:46:05,440 --> 00:46:09,120
Speaker 5: forced turnovers. That is what would be Bethune's downfalls if

935
00:46:09,120 --> 00:46:10,879
Speaker 5: you can slow them down and then turn them over

936
00:46:10,920 --> 00:46:15,040
Speaker 5: and you don't let them in transition. Duck, what are

937
00:46:15,040 --> 00:46:17,799
Speaker 5: your thoughts on some swatchin I.

938
00:46:17,760 --> 00:46:20,080
Speaker 3: Mean, imagine in today's day and age of college basketball

939
00:46:20,080 --> 00:46:22,759
Speaker 3: and everything we've seen, watching a basketball game where a

940
00:46:22,760 --> 00:46:26,600
Speaker 3: team only shoots eight threes. That's the swack for you.

941
00:46:26,600 --> 00:46:28,839
Speaker 3: You know, Bethune's probably the best team in this league.

942
00:46:28,920 --> 00:46:31,280
Speaker 3: Southern is priced in a way that kind of leads

943
00:46:31,320 --> 00:46:34,759
Speaker 3: me to want to not because they's second right now,

944
00:46:34,800 --> 00:46:37,680
Speaker 3: but there's not a lot of margin between two through

945
00:46:37,719 --> 00:46:40,359
Speaker 3: five and at plus two point fifty if you really

946
00:46:40,440 --> 00:46:43,400
Speaker 3: search hard to find some odds, Southern's just not really attractive.

947
00:46:44,719 --> 00:46:46,400
Speaker 3: I mean, I wish the doctor was playing for Bathun

948
00:46:46,440 --> 00:46:48,160
Speaker 3: because it would make it a little bit easier for me.

949
00:46:48,239 --> 00:46:50,600
Speaker 3: But I do think Texas Southern is a team that

950
00:46:51,680 --> 00:46:54,000
Speaker 3: is coming on of late. They've won ten out of

951
00:46:54,000 --> 00:46:57,360
Speaker 3: fourteen to close the or to finish out the season

952
00:46:57,440 --> 00:46:59,359
Speaker 3: up to this point. They've got some athletic dudes who

953
00:46:59,400 --> 00:47:02,760
Speaker 3: can score. I think that you know, if you get

954
00:47:03,080 --> 00:47:05,160
Speaker 3: them into the top three, they'll get a much more

955
00:47:05,160 --> 00:47:07,520
Speaker 3: favorable draw. You do get penalized if you're in the

956
00:47:07,520 --> 00:47:10,080
Speaker 3: bottom six and you have to win so many more

957
00:47:10,160 --> 00:47:11,920
Speaker 3: games just to get to the quarters. And so I

958
00:47:11,920 --> 00:47:13,640
Speaker 3: think being in that top two or three is really

959
00:47:13,640 --> 00:47:17,279
Speaker 3: important for Texas Southern. But outside of that, I mean,

960
00:47:17,280 --> 00:47:22,080
Speaker 3: it's just gonna be a tournament filled with turnovers, frenetic

961
00:47:22,239 --> 00:47:25,200
Speaker 3: pace at times that result in zero points, a ton

962
00:47:25,200 --> 00:47:29,520
Speaker 3: of foul shooting. It's going to be really bizarre basketball.

963
00:47:29,760 --> 00:47:33,440
Speaker 3: I think Texas Southern and Bathune are the two teams

964
00:47:33,440 --> 00:47:35,399
Speaker 3: that I would believe have the best chance to win

965
00:47:35,440 --> 00:47:37,960
Speaker 3: this tournament, So those are likely where my plays will be.

966
00:47:38,840 --> 00:47:41,000
Speaker 3: And then the winner gets to dance for a little

967
00:47:41,000 --> 00:47:42,640
Speaker 3: while and pack their bags and go to Dayton for

968
00:47:42,719 --> 00:47:46,080
Speaker 3: the for the first four. So Texas Southern, I think,

969
00:47:46,520 --> 00:47:48,760
Speaker 3: you know there are some odds out there at seven

970
00:47:48,760 --> 00:47:50,520
Speaker 3: to one or eight to one could be worth it.

971
00:47:50,560 --> 00:47:52,960
Speaker 3: And then Bathun at plus two fifty or so is

972
00:47:52,960 --> 00:47:53,719
Speaker 3: where i'd want to look.

973
00:47:55,160 --> 00:47:57,360
Speaker 5: I got nothing here. I can't come on here and

974
00:47:57,440 --> 00:47:58,960
Speaker 5: lie you and say like this is the team I want.

975
00:47:59,160 --> 00:48:00,800
Speaker 5: We don't know the brack yet, but just want to

976
00:48:00,840 --> 00:48:03,600
Speaker 5: provide some insight. If I get some like injury insight,

977
00:48:03,800 --> 00:48:06,640
Speaker 5: maybe I'll have a play all right, now I'm gonna

978
00:48:06,640 --> 00:48:09,960
Speaker 5: throw it to myself in Tanner talk to America East

979
00:48:10,000 --> 00:48:12,600
Speaker 5: and we'll be back for the South Land. All right,

980
00:48:12,640 --> 00:48:16,040
Speaker 5: it's time to bring on my guy Tanner McGrath, America

981
00:48:16,040 --> 00:48:18,719
Speaker 5: East expert. No one else. I had got to talk

982
00:48:18,719 --> 00:48:21,560
Speaker 5: to you about what should be some bad basketball? What

983
00:48:21,640 --> 00:48:24,759
Speaker 5: happened to this league? Man? If you like for what

984
00:48:24,760 --> 00:48:29,440
Speaker 5: it's where a top eight make it? Sorry Binghamton, you

985
00:48:30,280 --> 00:48:34,760
Speaker 5: did not qualify campus sites host depth not really a question.

986
00:48:34,840 --> 00:48:41,360
Speaker 5: We go Saturday Tuesday Saturday top seed UMBC. They are

987
00:48:41,800 --> 00:48:43,080
Speaker 5: minus two hundred.

988
00:48:42,760 --> 00:48:46,240
Speaker 2: Dish minus two sixty last I saw, Yeah.

989
00:48:46,120 --> 00:48:48,680
Speaker 5: I'm looking at a book now they're also they came

990
00:48:48,719 --> 00:48:50,959
Speaker 5: down a bit minus two hundred, which is my fair

991
00:48:51,000 --> 00:48:57,680
Speaker 5: price Vermont plus two twenty. I would need like three

992
00:48:57,719 --> 00:49:00,520
Speaker 5: to one, I think to consider them. But those are

993
00:49:00,520 --> 00:49:05,799
Speaker 5: the two best teams low around twenty one. So I'll

994
00:49:05,840 --> 00:49:07,800
Speaker 5: get into us. And then it's like, you know, Njit

995
00:49:07,960 --> 00:49:10,160
Speaker 5: who was in first? How is Nngiit explain to me

996
00:49:10,200 --> 00:49:12,840
Speaker 5: like I'm five, how was Nji t a couple weeks ago?

997
00:49:13,600 --> 00:49:15,920
Speaker 5: And by the way, this league is second worst in

998
00:49:16,000 --> 00:49:19,239
Speaker 5: the country only the MIAK really bad. And I mean

999
00:49:19,280 --> 00:49:25,040
Speaker 5: if you just like filter on tour VIC since jan one.

1000
00:49:25,520 --> 00:49:28,680
Speaker 5: Just to show how bad this league has been. UNBC

1001
00:49:28,719 --> 00:49:31,200
Speaker 5: has clearly the best team, been clear the best team

1002
00:49:31,200 --> 00:49:33,200
Speaker 5: there one hundred and sixty third. Then you have Vermont

1003
00:49:33,320 --> 00:49:35,920
Speaker 5: is two to eighty first, and then the rest of

1004
00:49:36,000 --> 00:49:41,520
Speaker 5: three twelve are below. Njit Low, I mean just some bad,

1005
00:49:41,640 --> 00:49:46,400
Speaker 5: bad offenses. UNBC they have the top offense and top defense.

1006
00:49:47,000 --> 00:49:52,200
Speaker 5: They are the deserved favorite. Valentine Armstrong are electric. They crushed.

1007
00:49:52,640 --> 00:49:55,920
Speaker 5: So when we're looking at the bracket, they will start. Yeah,

1008
00:49:55,960 --> 00:49:58,279
Speaker 5: they'll start with the napster. Who we are. We're gonna

1009
00:49:58,280 --> 00:50:00,480
Speaker 5: move them through. Do you have anything, Nless, you have

1010
00:50:00,480 --> 00:50:01,600
Speaker 5: anything to say about ne Ampshire?

1011
00:50:02,280 --> 00:50:04,440
Speaker 2: Not really, I mean they they I thought they were

1012
00:50:04,480 --> 00:50:06,040
Speaker 2: pretty good early in the year, but then their three

1013
00:50:06,080 --> 00:50:08,040
Speaker 2: stopped falling and that's kind of a big part of

1014
00:50:08,080 --> 00:50:11,160
Speaker 2: their inside out offense. So but UNBC should cruise, especially

1015
00:50:11,160 --> 00:50:11,760
Speaker 2: with how they're.

1016
00:50:11,560 --> 00:50:16,920
Speaker 5: Playing, and then they would get the winner of UMass

1017
00:50:17,000 --> 00:50:18,400
Speaker 5: Lowell and Albany.

1018
00:50:19,440 --> 00:50:23,800
Speaker 2: They well they oh I'm sorry they received. Yeah, they receed,

1019
00:50:23,920 --> 00:50:24,720
Speaker 2: So it might.

1020
00:50:24,560 --> 00:50:29,280
Speaker 5: Not be, but I would imagine this. Let's see, Vermont

1021
00:50:29,520 --> 00:50:33,239
Speaker 5: should beat Bryant. I don't know, I feel like that's

1022
00:50:33,480 --> 00:50:35,440
Speaker 5: probably how it's going to play out. But well, i'll

1023
00:50:35,440 --> 00:50:37,520
Speaker 5: get your thoughts on that. If they were to play

1024
00:50:37,520 --> 00:50:40,319
Speaker 5: the winner, if Chalk holds the winner of Loll and

1025
00:50:40,400 --> 00:50:47,640
Speaker 5: Albany U NBC did crush Lowell twice and they did

1026
00:50:47,680 --> 00:50:53,080
Speaker 5: beat Albany twice, but they were close. Well is I

1027
00:50:53,120 --> 00:50:56,520
Speaker 5: mean they can rebound. They're good rebounders, good too a rebounders.

1028
00:50:56,560 --> 00:51:00,000
Speaker 5: That's kind of how they would stay in games. Austin,

1029
00:51:00,520 --> 00:51:02,360
Speaker 5: he's important with his status.

1030
00:51:02,320 --> 00:51:06,000
Speaker 2: Should be fully healthy. Actually he masters. Yeah, I missed

1031
00:51:06,000 --> 00:51:07,960
Speaker 2: a few games because of personal reasons, family reasons. I

1032
00:51:07,960 --> 00:51:10,400
Speaker 2: was thinking of someone else. He Austin Green's fine. Matters

1033
00:51:10,400 --> 00:51:14,279
Speaker 2: a lot. He kind of is like the Taquets offenses,

1034
00:51:14,480 --> 00:51:16,120
Speaker 2: you know, they run everything through the big men, and

1035
00:51:16,120 --> 00:51:18,440
Speaker 2: he's kind of the high post pinman that runs a lot.

1036
00:51:18,480 --> 00:51:20,400
Speaker 2: I mean, Montess is the main scorer, but Green matters

1037
00:51:20,440 --> 00:51:22,880
Speaker 2: a lot, and he'll play. Just before we get.

1038
00:51:22,760 --> 00:51:30,439
Speaker 5: To their potential matchup with UNBC Albany Lowell Albany at

1039
00:51:30,440 --> 00:51:32,920
Speaker 5: low it's worth mentioning. I don't know, they'll be like

1040
00:51:32,920 --> 00:51:36,840
Speaker 5: a possession dog. Low will be a possession favored I

1041
00:51:36,880 --> 00:51:38,920
Speaker 5: would say, I don't know. Two and a half three.

1042
00:51:40,120 --> 00:51:44,160
Speaker 5: In the regular season, Albany lost by ten at home

1043
00:51:44,440 --> 00:51:49,919
Speaker 5: and twelve on the road. Albany's had some injuries and

1044
00:51:51,200 --> 00:51:53,480
Speaker 5: so which there's like they've had guys in and now

1045
00:51:53,520 --> 00:51:57,319
Speaker 5: Amir Lindsay's are a very good point guard, the iron Man.

1046
00:51:58,160 --> 00:51:59,840
Speaker 5: What do you see in that matchup? Is is it

1047
00:51:59,880 --> 00:52:01,920
Speaker 5: a yeah matchup for Albany's that or was just random

1048
00:52:01,960 --> 00:52:03,440
Speaker 5: that blew him out twice.

1049
00:52:04,280 --> 00:52:05,759
Speaker 2: We'll go into Lowell a little bit more. I kind

1050
00:52:05,800 --> 00:52:08,640
Speaker 2: of like Lowell in this tournament. Think about Albany is

1051
00:52:08,800 --> 00:52:12,520
Speaker 2: such a tough team to diagnose what happened to them

1052
00:52:12,520 --> 00:52:15,520
Speaker 2: this year. I mean the big problem for Albany is

1053
00:52:15,560 --> 00:52:18,439
Speaker 2: coaching issues. Dwayne Killings just can never put he puts

1054
00:52:18,440 --> 00:52:21,000
Speaker 2: together talented rosters, he never gets the most out of him,

1055
00:52:21,080 --> 00:52:24,360
Speaker 2: and then injury issues like the same three guys sat

1056
00:52:24,440 --> 00:52:26,560
Speaker 2: at times this season. It seems like going into the

1057
00:52:26,600 --> 00:52:29,800
Speaker 2: tournament right now, they'll have Lindsay, They'll have Zach Matulau,

1058
00:52:29,840 --> 00:52:32,320
Speaker 2: who is kind of there. They have a bunch of lengthy,

1059
00:52:32,360 --> 00:52:35,720
Speaker 2: switchable athletic wings that surround a mere Lindsay at point

1060
00:52:35,719 --> 00:52:38,279
Speaker 2: with shooting range. My favorite bunch among the bunch is

1061
00:52:38,320 --> 00:52:40,840
Speaker 2: Matulu who was out for a while, Albany played bad

1062
00:52:41,280 --> 00:52:43,439
Speaker 2: back in they're playing a little bit more. They run

1063
00:52:43,520 --> 00:52:46,880
Speaker 2: mostly Iso stuff through Lindsay and it was Jayden Kempson,

1064
00:52:46,880 --> 00:52:48,759
Speaker 2: although I'm not sure if he'll be healthy for this.

1065
00:52:49,840 --> 00:52:52,880
Speaker 2: The big part that happened with the Lowell thing was defensively,

1066
00:52:52,960 --> 00:52:55,520
Speaker 2: Killings shifted into a Miba zone look, ran a lot

1067
00:52:55,560 --> 00:52:58,600
Speaker 2: of ambasoone stuff kind of helped their dribble defense issues

1068
00:52:58,600 --> 00:53:02,720
Speaker 2: which they've had for years. And oke okechu Akik great anchor,

1069
00:53:02,760 --> 00:53:06,360
Speaker 2: good shop blocker, and they can still force turnovers, but

1070
00:53:06,400 --> 00:53:09,239
Speaker 2: as many zone defenses too, specifically, this one give up

1071
00:53:09,239 --> 00:53:12,680
Speaker 2: boatloads of unguarded catch and shoot opportunities and it leaves

1072
00:53:12,680 --> 00:53:14,640
Speaker 2: the glass wide open. And that's how Lowell swept the

1073
00:53:14,640 --> 00:53:18,000
Speaker 2: regular season series. They won the rebounding battle ninety eight

1074
00:53:18,040 --> 00:53:20,800
Speaker 2: to fifty five across the two games, pretty much in

1075
00:53:20,840 --> 00:53:24,560
Speaker 2: the gates any potential shot volume battle shot volume advantage

1076
00:53:24,560 --> 00:53:27,399
Speaker 2: Albany usually has against a lot of other teams, and

1077
00:53:28,400 --> 00:53:30,000
Speaker 2: I think that will happen again Lowell. You might be

1078
00:53:30,120 --> 00:53:33,279
Speaker 2: underrating Lowell a little bit. Their offense is can be

1079
00:53:33,360 --> 00:53:36,920
Speaker 2: really elite at times, especially with the way that Darryl

1080
00:53:36,960 --> 00:53:39,239
Speaker 2: Yepto is playing the D two transfer who came up

1081
00:53:40,400 --> 00:53:43,080
Speaker 2: was high on him before. I think he's finally starting

1082
00:53:43,160 --> 00:53:45,880
Speaker 2: settled in next to Xavier Spencer. The Carlton transfer has

1083
00:53:45,880 --> 00:53:49,799
Speaker 2: been really good. What's amazing about Lowell is just Pat

1084
00:53:49,840 --> 00:53:52,520
Speaker 2: Duckuett lost everyone from last year and it's built the

1085
00:53:52,560 --> 00:53:55,480
Speaker 2: same exact team. I mean, flex offense that's uber efficient,

1086
00:53:55,560 --> 00:53:58,440
Speaker 2: rem oriented, they bashed the offensive boards, elite and transition

1087
00:53:59,080 --> 00:54:01,200
Speaker 2: turnover issues, don't play defense. I mean it's the same

1088
00:54:01,200 --> 00:54:04,600
Speaker 2: team as like shoot, Yeah, they can't shoot. They don't

1089
00:54:04,640 --> 00:54:06,719
Speaker 2: really shoot. They don't really shoot, so they just try

1090
00:54:06,719 --> 00:54:09,840
Speaker 2: to get to the room. Yeah, exactly so in that matchup,

1091
00:54:10,120 --> 00:54:12,120
Speaker 2: but they got.

1092
00:54:11,360 --> 00:54:14,080
Speaker 5: Troy by UNBC twice? Is there any reason why that

1093
00:54:14,120 --> 00:54:16,279
Speaker 5: would be different? And I mean UNBC is clearly the

1094
00:54:16,280 --> 00:54:19,520
Speaker 5: best team right, like yet they have that I love

1095
00:54:19,600 --> 00:54:21,719
Speaker 5: Valentin A. Armstrong, Like, why would I think they lost

1096
00:54:21,760 --> 00:54:23,920
Speaker 5: by twenty four twice? Why would that be different this

1097
00:54:23,960 --> 00:54:25,000
Speaker 5: time around?

1098
00:54:25,160 --> 00:54:27,400
Speaker 2: I don't think it should be. In fact, actually UNBC

1099
00:54:28,160 --> 00:54:31,239
Speaker 2: could win by more. First of all, NBC hasn't lost

1100
00:54:31,280 --> 00:54:35,520
Speaker 2: at home this year. Jim Ferry did just an incredible

1101
00:54:35,600 --> 00:54:38,280
Speaker 2: job building this roster, especially scouting the D two levels.

1102
00:54:38,320 --> 00:54:41,600
Speaker 2: I mean bringing up dj Armstrong, bringing up Jail like

1103
00:54:41,640 --> 00:54:43,560
Speaker 2: Kai King, who I know, New Haven's D one now,

1104
00:54:43,560 --> 00:54:49,040
Speaker 2: but still, what really happened was last year they just

1105
00:54:49,040 --> 00:54:51,279
Speaker 2: couldn't play defense because they were too small, and then

1106
00:54:51,280 --> 00:54:56,120
Speaker 2: they brought in some lengthy wings who played defense. The offense,

1107
00:54:56,120 --> 00:54:57,959
Speaker 2: they're always going to score you, NBC Jim Ferry. Offense

1108
00:54:58,000 --> 00:54:59,359
Speaker 2: is always going to score. The guards do a really

1109
00:54:59,360 --> 00:55:02,440
Speaker 2: good job created space shooting. They're kind of a rim

1110
00:55:02,560 --> 00:55:05,239
Speaker 2: attack and kickoffense. But the defense got a lot better

1111
00:55:05,239 --> 00:55:07,799
Speaker 2: because the dribble defense was really really good behind you know,

1112
00:55:07,960 --> 00:55:13,000
Speaker 2: digs Valentine, Armstrong, King's okay, but they're the best dribble

1113
00:55:13,040 --> 00:55:15,640
Speaker 2: and pick and roll ball screen coverage INGI in the conference.

1114
00:55:16,000 --> 00:55:20,839
Speaker 2: And then finally, my guy, Jose Roberto Tnson broke out

1115
00:55:20,840 --> 00:55:22,760
Speaker 2: in the second half of conference play. I've been waiting

1116
00:55:22,760 --> 00:55:24,120
Speaker 2: for him to settle into the role. He's a D

1117
00:55:24,160 --> 00:55:27,719
Speaker 2: two transfer from Palm Beach Atlantic. He's six foot ten.

1118
00:55:27,800 --> 00:55:31,439
Speaker 2: He's a legit big man on this roster who gives

1119
00:55:31,440 --> 00:55:34,919
Speaker 2: them length and rebounding on the defensive end. Out yeah,

1120
00:55:35,000 --> 00:55:37,479
Speaker 2: some reportection. He fits perfectly on the offensive end because

1121
00:55:37,480 --> 00:55:39,880
Speaker 2: he's good in transition. He can play five out, He

1122
00:55:39,880 --> 00:55:42,719
Speaker 2: can play off the bounce or shoot, and he moves

1123
00:55:42,760 --> 00:55:45,279
Speaker 2: the ball pretty well. So once he settled in into

1124
00:55:45,320 --> 00:55:48,000
Speaker 2: that five spot next to Odounwu in the three guards,

1125
00:55:48,800 --> 00:55:53,440
Speaker 2: the UNBC took off two ways and they are hitting

1126
00:55:53,480 --> 00:55:55,920
Speaker 2: their you know, the they're kind of peaking at the

1127
00:55:55,960 --> 00:55:58,400
Speaker 2: right time here. With Tonson playing like an All Conference

1128
00:55:58,440 --> 00:56:00,960
Speaker 2: candidate as he has, it's going to be really really

1129
00:56:01,000 --> 00:56:02,760
Speaker 2: hard to take down the Retrievers in this tournament.

1130
00:56:03,280 --> 00:56:06,080
Speaker 5: All right, So if we assume that U NBC like

1131
00:56:06,160 --> 00:56:08,080
Speaker 5: you would think about Lowell twenty to one.

1132
00:56:08,440 --> 00:56:11,399
Speaker 2: So here's my argument for Lowell. I talked about how

1133
00:56:11,840 --> 00:56:13,759
Speaker 2: Patrickett did a really good job this year, kind of

1134
00:56:13,800 --> 00:56:15,560
Speaker 2: like rebuilding that team. I thought they were going to

1135
00:56:15,600 --> 00:56:17,719
Speaker 2: be terrible. They really weren't there. They're just the same team.

1136
00:56:17,760 --> 00:56:21,279
Speaker 2: They were really good offense, don't play defense, grab a

1137
00:56:21,280 --> 00:56:24,480
Speaker 2: lot of offensive rebounds. The reason why I'm thinking about

1138
00:56:24,480 --> 00:56:28,440
Speaker 2: that twenty one is that I think NJIT is going

1139
00:56:28,440 --> 00:56:31,879
Speaker 2: through a big, big regression patch here, and what kind

1140
00:56:31,880 --> 00:56:35,120
Speaker 2: of happened with NJIT is Grant bill Meyer awesome job

1141
00:56:35,160 --> 00:56:36,640
Speaker 2: this year and the reason why they jumped up was

1142
00:56:36,640 --> 00:56:38,399
Speaker 2: because they were the one team that really brought back

1143
00:56:38,400 --> 00:56:42,600
Speaker 2: a corps of experienced players. Sebastian Robinson became a stud

1144
00:56:42,680 --> 00:56:44,960
Speaker 2: all of a sudden as a dribble creator and getting

1145
00:56:45,000 --> 00:56:47,600
Speaker 2: to the rim, and then they put shot makers around

1146
00:56:47,640 --> 00:56:51,319
Speaker 2: him on the wings, Melvinie Bodcoli's a decent post guy,

1147
00:56:51,480 --> 00:56:53,600
Speaker 2: and then David Bolden, who was an elite shotmaker from

1148
00:56:54,040 --> 00:56:55,640
Speaker 2: the back there, and so seb rob was able to

1149
00:56:55,680 --> 00:56:58,600
Speaker 2: create dribble drives and then they kind of orbited around him.

1150
00:56:59,160 --> 00:57:01,799
Speaker 5: I would he hesidant, called David WoT I am an

1151
00:57:01,840 --> 00:57:02,839
Speaker 5: elite shot maker, but.

1152
00:57:03,480 --> 00:57:06,600
Speaker 2: He's pretty good. Well, hey, elite shot maker for the

1153
00:57:06,840 --> 00:57:09,320
Speaker 2: Eric East level, which is all I watched. So yes,

1154
00:57:10,160 --> 00:57:12,240
Speaker 2: But in the second half of the season, the shots

1155
00:57:12,239 --> 00:57:16,080
Speaker 2: stopped falling and that started to show their underlying bad process,

1156
00:57:16,120 --> 00:57:19,280
Speaker 2: which is they still take too many dribble you know,

1157
00:57:19,360 --> 00:57:22,479
Speaker 2: mid range jumpers, and said rob you could see later

1158
00:57:22,560 --> 00:57:24,160
Speaker 2: in the year he stopped getting to the rim and

1159
00:57:24,200 --> 00:57:27,520
Speaker 2: he started settling too much for those high post turnarounds

1160
00:57:27,520 --> 00:57:29,920
Speaker 2: and fades and stuff. I think they finished last in

1161
00:57:30,040 --> 00:57:34,280
Speaker 2: average two point shot distance. On the other end, they

1162
00:57:34,320 --> 00:57:36,919
Speaker 2: were a really good interior defense. They just shelled up

1163
00:57:36,960 --> 00:57:38,600
Speaker 2: and they walled off the rim. They were really good

1164
00:57:38,760 --> 00:57:41,200
Speaker 2: against the dribble forced a ton of turnovers down there.

1165
00:57:41,800 --> 00:57:44,080
Speaker 2: This is something I haven't really diagnosed yet. I'm trying

1166
00:57:44,080 --> 00:57:45,800
Speaker 2: to watch film on it because I still think Melvinie

1167
00:57:45,800 --> 00:57:48,800
Speaker 2: Boncoli is arguably the best interior defender in the conference.

1168
00:57:48,840 --> 00:57:51,680
Speaker 2: Same with Jordan Rodgers, who I think is good interior defense.

1169
00:57:51,720 --> 00:57:54,800
Speaker 2: Just started showing cracks. I mean, Vermont and Albany ripped

1170
00:57:54,800 --> 00:57:57,800
Speaker 2: them apart down the stretch, and so I think they're

1171
00:57:58,480 --> 00:58:01,480
Speaker 2: I think they're starting to tank. And if they play

1172
00:58:01,720 --> 00:58:05,320
Speaker 2: Maine in the first round, yes, and Maine might not

1173
00:58:05,360 --> 00:58:08,240
Speaker 2: be healthy unfortunately, because I don't know about TJ. Beal.

1174
00:58:08,320 --> 00:58:11,080
Speaker 2: But Chris Markwood is the best coach in the conference.

1175
00:58:11,120 --> 00:58:14,160
Speaker 2: I mean, the injuries killed the Black Bears this year.

1176
00:58:14,400 --> 00:58:17,240
Speaker 2: He dragged that team to six wins really with two things.

1177
00:58:17,280 --> 00:58:19,480
Speaker 2: The development of his guards. Logan Carry Macai Gray has

1178
00:58:19,560 --> 00:58:22,560
Speaker 2: dribble creators in the scheme, and then they patented two

1179
00:58:22,680 --> 00:58:26,280
Speaker 2: three aggressive zone defense, which reeks havoc on opponents with

1180
00:58:26,360 --> 00:58:28,320
Speaker 2: you know, the hard guards at the top of it. Also,

1181
00:58:28,360 --> 00:58:31,000
Speaker 2: Ace Flag started making his jumpers, making him a good

1182
00:58:31,040 --> 00:58:32,600
Speaker 2: like kind of pick and pop guy in the offense.

1183
00:58:32,600 --> 00:58:35,480
Speaker 2: And he's a good defender on the other side. So

1184
00:58:36,240 --> 00:58:39,920
Speaker 2: if Maine upsets NJI T, which I think could happen

1185
00:58:40,160 --> 00:58:46,080
Speaker 2: if they're healthy, then Lowell would avoid UNBC until the final.

1186
00:58:46,440 --> 00:58:50,560
Speaker 2: And I don't know if Lowell could take down say Vermont,

1187
00:58:50,680 --> 00:58:52,280
Speaker 2: but they I would think they'd have a better chance,

1188
00:58:52,280 --> 00:58:54,520
Speaker 2: and against UMBC, which is just peaking at the right time.

1189
00:58:54,800 --> 00:58:56,520
Speaker 2: So if I was gonna throw a dart, I think

1190
00:58:56,560 --> 00:58:58,720
Speaker 2: one of the top two teams wins it. But I'd

1191
00:58:58,720 --> 00:59:01,520
Speaker 2: think about Lowell twenty to one. Who again, just an

1192
00:59:01,560 --> 00:59:03,640
Speaker 2: elite offense, who if they make a few shots, like,

1193
00:59:03,840 --> 00:59:06,439
Speaker 2: can keep up with anyone, high variance games, stuff like that.

1194
00:59:07,400 --> 00:59:08,920
Speaker 5: All right, moving down to the bottom, if we just

1195
00:59:08,920 --> 00:59:10,880
Speaker 5: talked a little bit about NJI Team Maine, Yeah, I

1196
00:59:10,880 --> 00:59:15,560
Speaker 5: mean NJIT really faded down the stretch, lost four straight

1197
00:59:15,600 --> 00:59:19,160
Speaker 5: to close out the season, including a seventeen point loss

1198
00:59:19,200 --> 00:59:23,600
Speaker 5: at Bryant. They lost three straight at home as well. Maine.

1199
00:59:23,680 --> 00:59:26,080
Speaker 5: You mentioned some of the reasons why their offense might

1200
00:59:26,120 --> 00:59:27,840
Speaker 5: have a little bit more upside now. They are known

1201
00:59:27,880 --> 00:59:31,360
Speaker 5: for their defense, can force turners really bad on the

1202
00:59:31,360 --> 00:59:32,919
Speaker 5: glass both ways.

1203
00:59:32,640 --> 00:59:36,520
Speaker 2: But that's baked into their scheme super extended defense.

1204
00:59:36,600 --> 00:59:40,360
Speaker 5: Yeah, aggressive, and so NJTA Maine, you think main. I mean,

1205
00:59:40,360 --> 00:59:43,640
Speaker 5: what's the njt's going to be three four point favorites.

1206
00:59:43,640 --> 00:59:44,960
Speaker 5: You think Maine it's worth a look.

1207
00:59:44,840 --> 00:59:47,520
Speaker 2: There, Yeah, I do. I mean, depending on if TJ.

1208
00:59:47,760 --> 00:59:50,120
Speaker 2: Beal is healthy. He missed the last few games of

1209
00:59:50,160 --> 00:59:53,120
Speaker 2: the regular season. My black bear guy. He says, this

1210
00:59:53,200 --> 00:59:56,200
Speaker 2: is it's not a big deal. He was hurting warm ups,

1211
00:59:56,240 --> 00:59:59,479
Speaker 2: but doesn't get confirmation if he's playing either way. He said,

1212
00:59:59,600 --> 01:00:02,680
Speaker 2: very new Patriots like miss three on that injury. Also,

1213
01:00:02,760 --> 01:00:06,080
Speaker 2: Basher Nikolang probably won't be playing tough year for mark Wood,

1214
01:00:06,120 --> 01:00:09,320
Speaker 2: but they're just catching NJT at a great time. I

1215
01:00:09,320 --> 01:00:14,440
Speaker 2: think that with the way their offense is working, I

1216
01:00:14,480 --> 01:00:16,240
Speaker 2: don't I think that they could have a little bit

1217
01:00:16,240 --> 01:00:19,160
Speaker 2: of a tough time mains. Threes have to fall, though,

1218
01:00:19,200 --> 01:00:22,520
Speaker 2: because Maine's ballscreen motion offense works really well when the

1219
01:00:22,560 --> 01:00:24,480
Speaker 2: shots are falling, because then you kind of have to

1220
01:00:24,600 --> 01:00:27,080
Speaker 2: bring the space out and then you can just get

1221
01:00:27,120 --> 01:00:29,560
Speaker 2: downhill a little bit easier. When they're not falling, everything

1222
01:00:29,640 --> 01:00:32,840
Speaker 2: dries up. But with NJT just fading like they are,

1223
01:00:32,880 --> 01:00:34,600
Speaker 2: and I don't really believe in them in this tournament.

1224
01:00:34,720 --> 01:00:36,520
Speaker 5: I mean, that's what happened in the regular season. They

1225
01:00:36,520 --> 01:00:39,560
Speaker 5: each one on each other's home court. Yeah, well Main

1226
01:00:39,600 --> 01:00:41,800
Speaker 5: lost film and they went six of twenty eight from three,

1227
01:00:42,400 --> 01:00:46,040
Speaker 5: and Main one at NJIT when they went nine of

1228
01:00:46,080 --> 01:00:47,040
Speaker 5: twenty from three.

1229
01:00:47,360 --> 01:00:49,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, And I mean I think all things consider both

1230
01:00:49,880 --> 01:00:52,040
Speaker 2: teams kind of shoot equally. And I actually think Maine

1231
01:00:52,920 --> 01:00:56,120
Speaker 2: right now could be could make a few more shots

1232
01:00:56,160 --> 01:00:58,200
Speaker 2: than NJT is making. Right now, that offense is just

1233
01:00:58,520 --> 01:01:01,800
Speaker 2: starting to break. Man could easily pull that out or

1234
01:01:01,880 --> 01:01:04,600
Speaker 2: keep it within one possession. I think they'll probably be

1235
01:01:04,600 --> 01:01:07,200
Speaker 2: a four point dog, So I think that's worth of Look, yeah,

1236
01:01:07,240 --> 01:01:09,000
Speaker 2: depending on what the number ends, it might.

1237
01:01:08,920 --> 01:01:10,680
Speaker 5: Be shorter the way and JT's playing later.

1238
01:01:10,840 --> 01:01:11,080
Speaker 6: All right.

1239
01:01:11,200 --> 01:01:15,920
Speaker 5: Vermont Bryant, I mean, so two teams that you know

1240
01:01:15,960 --> 01:01:19,200
Speaker 5: we're used to. I mean the recent history. Last year

1241
01:01:19,720 --> 01:01:22,160
Speaker 5: Bryant was a top one hundred and fifty team, went

1242
01:01:22,200 --> 01:01:24,240
Speaker 5: to the NCAA tournament. And you want to talk about

1243
01:01:24,240 --> 01:01:27,760
Speaker 5: a falloff. This they lost everybody, like like a lot

1244
01:01:27,760 --> 01:01:30,200
Speaker 5: of teams in the Americas. They lost their coach, Martelly

1245
01:01:30,280 --> 01:01:33,160
Speaker 5: left for VCU. They stole a lot of length, but

1246
01:01:33,360 --> 01:01:38,840
Speaker 5: it is it's now just bad length. They're slow now

1247
01:01:38,880 --> 01:01:42,720
Speaker 5: and bad. Like last year, they were long, exciting, top

1248
01:01:42,760 --> 01:01:46,320
Speaker 5: ten in adjusted tempo. Now they're three hundred and thirty first,

1249
01:01:46,720 --> 01:01:50,160
Speaker 5: they are bottom twenty offense, bottom twenty defense. They did

1250
01:01:50,200 --> 01:01:53,600
Speaker 5: beat UNBC at home somehow. They did blow out NJIT

1251
01:01:54,960 --> 01:01:57,920
Speaker 5: late in the year at home, But like, what is

1252
01:01:58,440 --> 01:02:02,240
Speaker 5: what is to like about this Bryant team? And are

1253
01:02:02,320 --> 01:02:06,800
Speaker 5: I mean they play Vermont to start and in what

1254
01:02:07,280 --> 01:02:09,880
Speaker 5: in they lost by They're gonna have to go to Vermont.

1255
01:02:09,880 --> 01:02:13,200
Speaker 5: They lost by twenty seven at Vermont and then they

1256
01:02:13,240 --> 01:02:16,600
Speaker 5: lost by ten at home to Vermont. And it's noteworthy

1257
01:02:16,640 --> 01:02:20,440
Speaker 5: that Vermont is not the same team that they've been

1258
01:02:20,440 --> 01:02:23,080
Speaker 5: there plus two sixty five, they are the second best team.

1259
01:02:23,400 --> 01:02:25,200
Speaker 5: They still want to play slow. The second best offense

1260
01:02:25,240 --> 01:02:27,800
Speaker 5: and the second best defense in terms of adjusted deficiency.

1261
01:02:28,640 --> 01:02:32,680
Speaker 5: Two really good offensive players, and they Alden Guss and Hurley.

1262
01:02:33,480 --> 01:02:35,480
Speaker 5: But this defense is just not the same. I mean,

1263
01:02:35,560 --> 01:02:42,320
Speaker 5: you see a Becker defense that I mean usually a

1264
01:02:42,400 --> 01:02:44,560
Speaker 5: lot of times top one hundred, top usually top one

1265
01:02:44,600 --> 01:02:46,840
Speaker 5: hundred and fifty. I mean, they're two hundred and fifty

1266
01:02:46,880 --> 01:02:52,200
Speaker 5: third in adjusted deficiency and they really really miss your

1267
01:02:52,240 --> 01:02:53,480
Speaker 5: guy O'Leary.

1268
01:02:54,080 --> 01:02:57,840
Speaker 2: I thinkgues Yeah is out on the perimeter.

1269
01:02:58,160 --> 01:03:03,760
Speaker 5: So it's just not the same defense is so yeah,

1270
01:03:03,800 --> 01:03:05,760
Speaker 5: this Brian team is a polar officer. When we saw

1271
01:03:05,800 --> 01:03:07,480
Speaker 5: last year, I don't think that Brian can go into

1272
01:03:07,560 --> 01:03:11,960
Speaker 5: Vermont and win that game. But you're closer to Vermont

1273
01:03:11,960 --> 01:03:13,960
Speaker 5: than May and you would know better. Is Romano on

1274
01:03:14,040 --> 01:03:14,680
Speaker 5: upset alert?

1275
01:03:15,200 --> 01:03:18,040
Speaker 2: No, And I'll touch on both teams just for a

1276
01:03:18,120 --> 01:03:22,040
Speaker 2: second here, I mean going to be yes, they will

1277
01:03:22,120 --> 01:03:24,440
Speaker 2: And you know, kind of a gross season for Bryant.

1278
01:03:24,560 --> 01:03:27,240
Speaker 2: Thought they botched the coaching higher with Jamie and Christian.

1279
01:03:27,400 --> 01:03:30,280
Speaker 2: That was just bad. He was out in Italy, was

1280
01:03:30,280 --> 01:03:32,360
Speaker 2: coaching Italy, so they had they were late in the portal,

1281
01:03:32,360 --> 01:03:35,120
Speaker 2: had to go very young. Their star portal grab Quincy Allen.

1282
01:03:35,200 --> 01:03:37,000
Speaker 2: He got hurt and never saw the court. Toward the

1283
01:03:37,040 --> 01:03:39,400
Speaker 2: beginning of the year, the defense was decent. Christian leaned

1284
01:03:39,400 --> 01:03:41,600
Speaker 2: into the like length and switchability of his defense to

1285
01:03:41,680 --> 01:03:44,640
Speaker 2: just play drop switch protect the rim, did not catch

1286
01:03:44,680 --> 01:03:48,160
Speaker 2: you shoot opportunities. The offense went through like three phases.

1287
01:03:49,320 --> 01:03:51,920
Speaker 2: Started with this plotting motion based offense to generate late

1288
01:03:51,960 --> 01:03:54,120
Speaker 2: shotcock threes for a bunch of non shooters like no

1289
01:03:54,200 --> 01:03:57,000
Speaker 2: shooting on the squad, and then they start trying to

1290
01:03:57,000 --> 01:03:59,480
Speaker 2: play a ball sent screen centric offense. Run by the

1291
01:03:59,480 --> 01:04:02,479
Speaker 2: frost point are tied to Ballast who just wasn't ready

1292
01:04:02,480 --> 01:04:04,400
Speaker 2: as a freshman to run that type of offense. He

1293
01:04:04,400 --> 01:04:06,120
Speaker 2: also had the shooting yips this year, one of the

1294
01:04:06,160 --> 01:04:09,360
Speaker 2: worst conference shooting performances I can remember from any player.

1295
01:04:09,840 --> 01:04:12,920
Speaker 2: Finally they found something on offense by leaning into more

1296
01:04:13,160 --> 01:04:17,200
Speaker 2: big to big dribble handoff actions. Kegan Harvey finally started

1297
01:04:17,200 --> 01:04:20,640
Speaker 2: playing better late in conference play. Timothy Rudovski one of

1298
01:04:20,680 --> 01:04:23,600
Speaker 2: the more enticing young prospects at the low major levels,

1299
01:04:23,640 --> 01:04:25,880
Speaker 2: like really big can put the ball on the court

1300
01:04:26,000 --> 01:04:29,440
Speaker 2: to mix tons of shots all and then Aaron Davis

1301
01:04:29,640 --> 01:04:32,320
Speaker 2: Microwave shorter score. All three of those guys are big,

1302
01:04:32,600 --> 01:04:34,400
Speaker 2: can put the ball on the floor and shoot. But

1303
01:04:34,480 --> 01:04:37,000
Speaker 2: as the offense found life, the defense regressed. Some of

1304
01:04:37,040 --> 01:04:39,760
Speaker 2: that was due to some unlucky shooting variants, but again,

1305
01:04:39,840 --> 01:04:43,120
Speaker 2: like you said, not enough speed, really slow kind of

1306
01:04:43,120 --> 01:04:49,880
Speaker 2: like plotting and for Vermont, so really two things to

1307
01:04:49,920 --> 01:04:55,800
Speaker 2: look two ways you can look at Vermont. One is inconsistency.

1308
01:04:55,840 --> 01:04:58,120
Speaker 2: They're being inconsistent at times, like I think about the

1309
01:04:58,120 --> 01:05:00,400
Speaker 2: Lowell game, the second Lowl game, which they won by two.

1310
01:05:01,200 --> 01:05:03,320
Speaker 2: They couldn't keep low off the boards, which is like

1311
01:05:03,360 --> 01:05:05,800
Speaker 2: a Becker staple, and then their transition defense was terrible,

1312
01:05:05,840 --> 01:05:09,080
Speaker 2: which is another Becker's staple. Becker staple the two Binghamton games,

1313
01:05:09,400 --> 01:05:12,360
Speaker 2: lack of physicality got like bodied by Binghamton who were

1314
01:05:12,400 --> 01:05:15,720
Speaker 2: down like five starters. The defense was really bad at

1315
01:05:15,720 --> 01:05:17,120
Speaker 2: the beginning of the year because the couldn't stop anyone

1316
01:05:17,160 --> 01:05:19,520
Speaker 2: off the bounce. And then Yalden is a cone on

1317
01:05:19,560 --> 01:05:22,000
Speaker 2: defense for as good as he is on offense, but

1318
01:05:22,040 --> 01:05:26,080
Speaker 2: the dribble defense is trended up. Noah Barnett got healthy.

1319
01:05:26,120 --> 01:05:27,920
Speaker 2: He kind of hides y'alld in a little bit on

1320
01:05:27,960 --> 01:05:30,360
Speaker 2: the in tier. Sean Blake got better gets the dribble.

1321
01:05:30,640 --> 01:05:33,960
Speaker 2: TJ Long came back from injury, and Lucas Mari, Spanish

1322
01:05:34,040 --> 01:05:36,080
Speaker 2: pro who came in figured out how to play off

1323
01:05:36,080 --> 01:05:38,440
Speaker 2: ball so he could provide more defensive length and searchability

1324
01:05:38,840 --> 01:05:40,720
Speaker 2: on offense. The offense is a lot better than it

1325
01:05:40,800 --> 01:05:43,680
Speaker 2: was last year. Two man game with Hurley and Guss

1326
01:05:43,760 --> 01:05:46,800
Speaker 2: is so so deadly, can be impossible to stop when

1327
01:05:46,800 --> 01:05:49,320
Speaker 2: you just run them through dribble handoffs, ball screens. They'll

1328
01:05:49,400 --> 01:05:51,720
Speaker 2: run some flex actions with Hurley as the screener. You

1329
01:05:51,800 --> 01:05:54,680
Speaker 2: get Gus open in the posts and his like back down,

1330
01:05:55,080 --> 01:05:57,320
Speaker 2: get to his right hand scoop lay up. Is can

1331
01:05:57,320 --> 01:05:59,560
Speaker 2: be impossible to stop this level just you know, a

1332
01:05:59,640 --> 01:06:02,160
Speaker 2: motion four round one Becker offense, a lot of simple

1333
01:06:02,200 --> 01:06:03,080
Speaker 2: off ball actions.

1334
01:06:03,520 --> 01:06:04,400
Speaker 1: They have really good defense.

1335
01:06:04,480 --> 01:06:06,680
Speaker 2: Last year was ugly, Yes it was really bad, but

1336
01:06:06,720 --> 01:06:09,320
Speaker 2: they brought they have shot makers. Now they have really

1337
01:06:09,360 --> 01:06:11,600
Speaker 2: good depth. Not that that might matter here, but like

1338
01:06:11,720 --> 01:06:14,560
Speaker 2: Momo Nekugla, he can back up Sean Blake at the backport.

1339
01:06:14,600 --> 01:06:17,240
Speaker 2: Both are really good triple creators. Long and Johnson could

1340
01:06:17,240 --> 01:06:19,840
Speaker 2: shoot the lights of out off the wing after Hurley.

1341
01:06:20,360 --> 01:06:22,360
Speaker 2: The offensive sets taken run with Johnson are awesome, but

1342
01:06:22,680 --> 01:06:26,040
Speaker 2: he gives up a ton defensively. The other way, Mary

1343
01:06:26,040 --> 01:06:27,800
Speaker 2: can play up and down the lineup because some flexibility.

1344
01:06:27,840 --> 01:06:30,040
Speaker 2: I'd love to see Gus bust in the tournament. The

1345
01:06:30,120 --> 01:06:32,560
Speaker 2: one big thing about Vermont in their four conference losses,

1346
01:06:32,600 --> 01:06:35,960
Speaker 2: opponents shot thirty eight for eighty seven from three forty

1347
01:06:36,000 --> 01:06:40,480
Speaker 2: four percent. So I do wonder if we're underrating Vermont

1348
01:06:40,560 --> 01:06:43,360
Speaker 2: just a little bit here. But in regards to that

1349
01:06:43,400 --> 01:06:45,680
Speaker 2: first round matchup, man, I just don't see it with

1350
01:06:45,720 --> 01:06:47,000
Speaker 2: Brian and the coaching is so bad.

1351
01:06:47,040 --> 01:06:49,160
Speaker 5: Brian'll chuck up a Ton of three. So there's some

1352
01:06:49,240 --> 01:06:50,160
Speaker 5: variants there.

1353
01:06:49,960 --> 01:06:52,320
Speaker 2: But and they just they get better coaching this match

1354
01:06:52,360 --> 01:06:54,800
Speaker 2: Becker at home, Yeah, and they get bad shots and

1355
01:06:54,920 --> 01:06:57,440
Speaker 2: the amount of late the late game execution for this

1356
01:06:57,520 --> 01:06:59,320
Speaker 2: year from Bryant. You saw in the last game in

1357
01:06:59,320 --> 01:07:02,000
Speaker 2: the regular season. It's the Manster was so so bad.

1358
01:07:02,040 --> 01:07:04,560
Speaker 2: It was like ridiculous, how many late game leads they blew.

1359
01:07:04,600 --> 01:07:07,160
Speaker 2: So I don't believe in Brian in that first round matchup.

1360
01:07:07,200 --> 01:07:10,919
Speaker 2: And I do know Vermont's it's good. They're not the

1361
01:07:10,920 --> 01:07:12,439
Speaker 2: dominant team that they used to be. Yeah.

1362
01:07:12,440 --> 01:07:15,120
Speaker 5: I mean the one thing you look at with with

1363
01:07:15,360 --> 01:07:19,280
Speaker 5: Vermont to know that they're not the same dominant team

1364
01:07:19,480 --> 01:07:23,280
Speaker 5: is in recent seasons, the bad teams in the league

1365
01:07:23,320 --> 01:07:28,120
Speaker 5: would get crushed. Yeah this year, right, they beat Binghamton

1366
01:07:28,200 --> 01:07:33,120
Speaker 5: at home by one, They barely beat Maine, They lost

1367
01:07:33,160 --> 01:07:37,360
Speaker 5: to NJIT at home. They beat Loll by two. So

1368
01:07:37,480 --> 01:07:40,760
Speaker 5: like a lot these these usually are like fifteen to

1369
01:07:40,800 --> 01:07:42,960
Speaker 5: twenty point wins. So there are and a lot of

1370
01:07:42,960 --> 01:07:46,680
Speaker 5: that I think is just the defense isn't as good.

1371
01:07:47,160 --> 01:07:52,640
Speaker 5: But we should get a Vermont UNBC final, which is

1372
01:07:52,680 --> 01:07:55,440
Speaker 5: why they are head and shoulders above the rest of

1373
01:07:55,480 --> 01:07:57,960
Speaker 5: the class in the Odds Department, that game would be

1374
01:07:58,040 --> 01:08:01,440
Speaker 5: played at UMBC first time they would host the finals

1375
01:08:01,440 --> 01:08:04,320
Speaker 5: since they won the tournament when they beat Virginia. Is

1376
01:08:04,360 --> 01:08:08,280
Speaker 5: that right? Yes, So these teams they split on each

1377
01:08:08,320 --> 01:08:11,480
Speaker 5: other's home court this year. Is there any reason to

1378
01:08:11,480 --> 01:08:15,320
Speaker 5: believe that Vermont with Becker right, he's gonna have some

1379
01:08:15,360 --> 01:08:17,080
Speaker 5: extra prep. He's gonna prep prep time. It sound like

1380
01:08:17,120 --> 01:08:19,280
Speaker 5: it's a quick turnaround. Can they get it done in

1381
01:08:19,320 --> 01:08:25,200
Speaker 5: Baltimore's UNBC just have too much offense? What's the path

1382
01:08:25,240 --> 01:08:27,200
Speaker 5: for Vermont winning that game? I mean, if you look

1383
01:08:27,240 --> 01:08:29,639
Speaker 5: in the regular season, they lost in the roads seventy

1384
01:08:29,680 --> 01:08:34,960
Speaker 5: five to sixty two, and at home they played more

1385
01:08:35,000 --> 01:08:37,880
Speaker 5: of their style. I mean, if it's a game sixty

1386
01:08:37,880 --> 01:08:40,040
Speaker 5: four to fifty five, but UNBC went six of twenty

1387
01:08:40,040 --> 01:08:46,200
Speaker 5: six from three, and in the UNBC win they went

1388
01:08:46,479 --> 01:08:49,040
Speaker 5: eleven of twenty six from three, fifteen point difference on

1389
01:08:49,080 --> 01:08:52,680
Speaker 5: the same amount of shots. Is there any reason to

1390
01:08:52,680 --> 01:08:55,720
Speaker 5: believe that Vermont could get it done in Baltimore? Or

1391
01:08:55,760 --> 01:08:57,320
Speaker 5: does the NBC just have too much offense?

1392
01:08:58,000 --> 01:08:59,439
Speaker 2: Of course they can get it done. I mean, it

1393
01:08:59,520 --> 01:09:03,160
Speaker 2: really comes down for Vermont. There's two big problems that

1394
01:09:03,160 --> 01:09:07,200
Speaker 2: they have to handle. And the first is they have

1395
01:09:07,320 --> 01:09:10,240
Speaker 2: to their dribble defense has to hold up against the

1396
01:09:10,360 --> 01:09:12,920
Speaker 2: trio of guards, which, like I said, it's been shaky

1397
01:09:12,960 --> 01:09:15,880
Speaker 2: at times, it's been a lot better recently. So that

1398
01:09:16,000 --> 01:09:17,400
Speaker 2: kind of gives me a little bit of hope. If

1399
01:09:17,400 --> 01:09:21,040
Speaker 2: you can get Hurley, Blake, Maury and Long out there

1400
01:09:21,080 --> 01:09:24,479
Speaker 2: against the trio of guards, you can switch those guys.

1401
01:09:24,520 --> 01:09:27,599
Speaker 2: You can keep them from really getting into their attack

1402
01:09:27,640 --> 01:09:29,439
Speaker 2: and kick offense where they move the ball around so

1403
01:09:29,439 --> 01:09:32,240
Speaker 2: well and then create so much space on the exterior.

1404
01:09:32,439 --> 01:09:37,240
Speaker 2: That's the second is the UNBC interior defense has trended up.

1405
01:09:37,280 --> 01:09:39,840
Speaker 2: Like I said, behind Tonshon, they have done a really

1406
01:09:39,880 --> 01:09:42,559
Speaker 2: good job really. I think in both meetings on Gussie

1407
01:09:42,600 --> 01:09:46,599
Speaker 2: Alden kind of they haven't been full on double teaming

1408
01:09:46,680 --> 01:09:49,840
Speaker 2: him or like fronting him, but they've been stunting at

1409
01:09:49,880 --> 01:09:51,800
Speaker 2: him at really good times, and they've been forcing him.

1410
01:09:51,800 --> 01:09:54,799
Speaker 2: Tonshin specifically has been forcing him to catch the ball

1411
01:09:55,200 --> 01:10:00,519
Speaker 2: way further away from the basket so for Vermont to

1412
01:10:00,680 --> 01:10:02,920
Speaker 2: step up there and win, which they absolutely could because

1413
01:10:02,920 --> 01:10:05,559
Speaker 2: they're still a very good even if they're inconsistent around

1414
01:10:05,600 --> 01:10:07,760
Speaker 2: the edges. I think, like the type of stuff that

1415
01:10:07,760 --> 01:10:10,000
Speaker 2: Becker usually didn't have to think twice about like rebounding

1416
01:10:10,000 --> 01:10:13,000
Speaker 2: and fouling and dumb shit. They've been a little bit

1417
01:10:13,040 --> 01:10:15,120
Speaker 2: more consistent. They're from a pure half court offense and

1418
01:10:15,160 --> 01:10:18,160
Speaker 2: half court defense perspective. This team's not that much worse

1419
01:10:18,200 --> 01:10:21,519
Speaker 2: than UNBC, but they have to hang out. They have

1420
01:10:21,560 --> 01:10:23,479
Speaker 2: to hold up against the dribble on defense, and they

1421
01:10:23,479 --> 01:10:30,080
Speaker 2: have to get Gus easier touches down low on offense. Otherwise,

1422
01:10:31,080 --> 01:10:32,439
Speaker 2: I mean UNBC is just going to be able to

1423
01:10:32,520 --> 01:10:36,120
Speaker 2: run its offense, and when Gus can't get down low,

1424
01:10:36,600 --> 01:10:39,280
Speaker 2: then it kind of starts messing with their perimeter actions

1425
01:10:39,320 --> 01:10:43,120
Speaker 2: that they can run around off ball from him. So UNBC,

1426
01:10:43,360 --> 01:10:45,880
Speaker 2: you know, right, full favorite amazing year. Jim Ferry built

1427
01:10:45,880 --> 01:10:48,120
Speaker 2: an awesome roster, coached it up really well, brought it

1428
01:10:48,120 --> 01:10:50,960
Speaker 2: all together, and they're hitting. I mean, the momentum is

1429
01:10:50,960 --> 01:10:54,720
Speaker 2: going straight up with Taunton, but you know what, Becker

1430
01:10:55,080 --> 01:10:57,519
Speaker 2: might still have his fastball. They have a path. They're

1431
01:10:57,640 --> 01:11:00,880
Speaker 2: very talented. Vermont a lot of shots. I think that

1432
01:11:01,560 --> 01:11:03,160
Speaker 2: they might have a higher ceiling if they made the

1433
01:11:03,160 --> 01:11:05,120
Speaker 2: tournament that they didn't pass years, just because of how

1434
01:11:05,120 --> 01:11:07,519
Speaker 2: many more shot makers they have, even if their defense

1435
01:11:07,640 --> 01:11:11,120
Speaker 2: is worse. But it's gonna's.

1436
01:11:10,680 --> 01:11:12,160
Speaker 5: Margins upset again.

1437
01:11:12,240 --> 01:11:15,080
Speaker 2: There we go, Well, it's gonna happen. One of these years,

1438
01:11:15,240 --> 01:11:17,400
Speaker 2: one of the margins will be right. The margins are

1439
01:11:17,439 --> 01:11:20,720
Speaker 2: thin for for Vermont just because UNBC is so well

1440
01:11:20,800 --> 01:11:22,840
Speaker 2: rounded and they're playing so well at the right time.

1441
01:11:23,280 --> 01:11:26,439
Speaker 2: If I had to pick between the top two two, I.

1442
01:11:26,360 --> 01:11:30,080
Speaker 5: Will say the conference championship games tend to always like

1443
01:11:30,080 --> 01:11:32,200
Speaker 5: to look for unders there. Yeah, they tend to be

1444
01:11:32,200 --> 01:11:39,120
Speaker 5: played slower, more conservative, also benefits Vermont.

1445
01:11:39,600 --> 01:11:42,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, UNBC has really pumped the brakes this year too for.

1446
01:11:42,200 --> 01:11:43,320
Speaker 1: What Yeah, they're still there.

1447
01:11:43,320 --> 01:11:46,519
Speaker 5: I mean they're ninety six percentile transition do they don't

1448
01:11:46,560 --> 01:11:49,280
Speaker 5: let anything transition? Vermont doesn't let anything in transition, But

1449
01:11:49,840 --> 01:11:52,680
Speaker 5: UNBC doesn't run as much. I mean they're like, but

1450
01:11:53,080 --> 01:11:56,200
Speaker 5: they are very good in transition. So but if it's

1451
01:11:56,200 --> 01:11:58,639
Speaker 5: a more half court game, which usually get against mart

1452
01:11:58,920 --> 01:12:02,360
Speaker 5: it's just even slower. I think that benefits Vermont, even

1453
01:12:02,360 --> 01:12:03,479
Speaker 5: if it's just marginal.

1454
01:12:03,960 --> 01:12:05,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean just to I mean, if I had

1455
01:12:05,880 --> 01:12:08,080
Speaker 2: to pick between the top two from like a betting perspective,

1456
01:12:08,240 --> 01:12:10,600
Speaker 2: I'd be inclined to take you know, Vermont at like

1457
01:12:10,680 --> 01:12:13,880
Speaker 2: plus two fifty or whatever and then throw, you know,

1458
01:12:13,960 --> 01:12:16,880
Speaker 2: throw a dart at at Lowell. I just I wouldn't

1459
01:12:16,920 --> 01:12:18,800
Speaker 2: lay the minus two hundred with the NBC.

1460
01:12:19,280 --> 01:12:25,240
Speaker 5: Nope, I would not either. UNBC could they threaten anybody?

1461
01:12:25,479 --> 01:12:26,880
Speaker 5: Like what kind of team do they need to play?

1462
01:12:27,520 --> 01:12:31,040
Speaker 2: They they need to play a team with kind of

1463
01:12:31,040 --> 01:12:35,760
Speaker 2: a lackluster dribble defense, specifically because everybody.

1464
01:12:35,479 --> 01:12:37,080
Speaker 5: Is sixteen, so like they can't be there.

1465
01:12:37,120 --> 01:12:39,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, it's gonna be it's gonna be tough, but

1466
01:12:39,040 --> 01:12:41,439
Speaker 2: specifically because UNBC. A lot of people think about it.

1467
01:12:43,560 --> 01:12:45,960
Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, but a lot of people think of NBC

1468
01:12:46,040 --> 01:12:48,759
Speaker 2: as this like you know, five out piece and space

1469
01:12:48,800 --> 01:12:50,880
Speaker 2: offense where they stretch the floor and shoot it. It's

1470
01:12:50,880 --> 01:12:53,080
Speaker 2: not really that. It's all about dribble creation, getting to

1471
01:12:53,080 --> 01:12:56,120
Speaker 2: the rim and then that opens up everything else. It's

1472
01:12:56,160 --> 01:12:58,479
Speaker 2: their guards have to get downhill for the whole offense

1473
01:12:58,520 --> 01:13:01,479
Speaker 2: to work together. So if they get a bad dribble defense,

1474
01:13:02,120 --> 01:13:04,439
Speaker 2: I kind of think that they might be live there.

1475
01:13:04,479 --> 01:13:07,760
Speaker 2: On the other end, like I said, really really good

1476
01:13:07,760 --> 01:13:09,840
Speaker 2: ball screen coverage unit, So if you get a ball

1477
01:13:09,880 --> 01:13:13,240
Speaker 2: screen centric attack, they could hang there. Was especially if

1478
01:13:13,280 --> 01:13:15,240
Speaker 2: you get Kan Diggs on the court trying to switch

1479
01:13:15,280 --> 01:13:18,280
Speaker 2: against a lot of point guards really good six man.

1480
01:13:18,680 --> 01:13:21,519
Speaker 2: They need to avoid post heavy teams. That's still the

1481
01:13:21,560 --> 01:13:23,640
Speaker 2: one big weakness. That's how Brian beat them in their

1482
01:13:23,680 --> 01:13:25,800
Speaker 2: early season. If you get a team that can just

1483
01:13:25,880 --> 01:13:28,920
Speaker 2: dump it down to the post, tension is good. They

1484
01:13:29,320 --> 01:13:31,519
Speaker 2: oh Dunemu was not. They still don't really have another

1485
01:13:31,680 --> 01:13:34,000
Speaker 2: fourth man who can go in there and stop the post.

1486
01:13:34,040 --> 01:13:35,280
Speaker 2: That's where you beat you, NBC.

1487
01:13:36,040 --> 01:13:39,640
Speaker 5: Well that's every one seed. So you are sixteen. I

1488
01:13:39,640 --> 01:13:41,719
Speaker 5: think the one you want is Yukon if they're the one,

1489
01:13:42,160 --> 01:13:45,120
Speaker 5: just because they play slow and they're stay played. They

1490
01:13:45,160 --> 01:13:49,320
Speaker 5: played down to everybody like yeah, it's they haven't been

1491
01:13:49,360 --> 01:13:53,679
Speaker 5: dominated against these uh inferior teams. But all right, official

1492
01:13:53,720 --> 01:13:56,960
Speaker 5: picks you NBC, but value Vermont dark Lowell.

1493
01:13:57,479 --> 01:14:00,759
Speaker 2: I'd say so yep, okay, And I hope that UNBC

1494
01:14:00,840 --> 01:14:02,400
Speaker 2: makes it to Dayton because that would be good for

1495
01:14:02,439 --> 01:14:02,960
Speaker 2: the conference.

1496
01:14:03,280 --> 01:14:08,800
Speaker 5: All right, good stuff, enjoy the tournament. Check out Tanner Hat.

1497
01:14:08,840 --> 01:14:11,200
Speaker 5: Tanner's Truth does a lot of good work for US

1498
01:14:11,479 --> 01:14:13,639
Speaker 5: mid major madness as well. Think I'll be for you there,

1499
01:14:13,880 --> 01:14:17,160
Speaker 5: so thanks for joining me. Enjoy your ugly basketball. Talk

1500
01:14:17,160 --> 01:14:19,240
Speaker 5: to you later, brother. All right, let's move on to

1501
01:14:19,280 --> 01:14:23,320
Speaker 5: the Southland here we have McNeese State is the favorite

1502
01:14:23,640 --> 01:14:27,880
Speaker 5: plus one fifteen, Steven F. Austin not far behind it

1503
01:14:27,960 --> 01:14:33,639
Speaker 5: plus one forty, and then you have ut Rio Grand

1504
01:14:33,640 --> 01:14:35,200
Speaker 5: at five to one, and then you get into some

1505
01:14:35,240 --> 01:14:37,760
Speaker 5: super long shots Texas A and M. Corpus Christy twenty

1506
01:14:37,800 --> 01:14:39,559
Speaker 5: to one, New Orleans thirty three to one, and then

1507
01:14:39,760 --> 01:14:42,920
Speaker 5: who cares. And the reason that Steven F. Austin and

1508
01:14:43,000 --> 01:14:45,400
Speaker 5: McNeese are such heavy favorites not only are that the

1509
01:14:45,400 --> 01:14:50,960
Speaker 5: two best teams, but this format really rewards the top

1510
01:14:50,960 --> 01:14:54,040
Speaker 5: two seeds, so you have, for what it's worth, the

1511
01:14:54,040 --> 01:14:56,439
Speaker 5: top Only the top eight make it, but the top

1512
01:14:56,479 --> 01:14:59,360
Speaker 5: two seeds Steven F. Austin mcneise get double buys to

1513
01:14:59,439 --> 01:15:03,599
Speaker 5: the semis on Tuesday, March tenth. The three and four

1514
01:15:03,680 --> 01:15:06,960
Speaker 5: seed Rio Grand and Corpus Christie they get single buyes

1515
01:15:06,960 --> 01:15:10,920
Speaker 5: to the quarters. And then you're five through eight New Orleans, Houston,

1516
01:15:11,000 --> 01:15:16,880
Speaker 5: Christian Nichols and Northwestern State. They start on Sunday and

1517
01:15:16,920 --> 01:15:19,600
Speaker 5: they would have to win, you know, four games in

1518
01:15:19,680 --> 01:15:22,920
Speaker 5: four days, whereas Stephen F. Austin and McNeice have to

1519
01:15:22,960 --> 01:15:25,400
Speaker 5: just win two games in two days. And they are

1520
01:15:25,439 --> 01:15:28,000
Speaker 5: clearly the best teams. Hence, while you see those odds.

1521
01:15:28,120 --> 01:15:32,880
Speaker 5: This also will take place in Lake Charles. That's the

1522
01:15:32,880 --> 01:15:35,320
Speaker 5: home of McNeese, not the one seat Stephen F. Austin.

1523
01:15:35,320 --> 01:15:38,080
Speaker 5: It's just where this tournament takes place. It's a big

1524
01:15:38,280 --> 01:15:41,160
Speaker 5: advantage for McNee state. One of the other reasons that

1525
01:15:41,200 --> 01:15:45,880
Speaker 5: they are the favored here. I will mention if you're

1526
01:15:45,920 --> 01:15:50,360
Speaker 5: looking for, you know, not one of those teams that's

1527
01:15:50,400 --> 01:15:53,720
Speaker 5: you know, that's not McNeice or Stephen F. Austin. I

1528
01:15:53,760 --> 01:15:58,360
Speaker 5: can't go anywhere else, you know, I can't go with

1529
01:15:58,400 --> 01:16:02,120
Speaker 5: anyone playing in the first round, although I mean New Orleans,

1530
01:16:02,120 --> 01:16:03,479
Speaker 5: who's just a team that wants to get to the

1531
01:16:03,479 --> 01:16:05,600
Speaker 5: line and get offensive rebounds. They are a team that

1532
01:16:05,680 --> 01:16:09,320
Speaker 5: beat TCU on the road. They beat Tulane on the road.

1533
01:16:10,080 --> 01:16:13,639
Speaker 5: It's a very bizarre team. They on the they went

1534
01:16:13,720 --> 01:16:18,920
Speaker 5: to Mississippi State lost in overtime, and you know, they

1535
01:16:19,000 --> 01:16:23,120
Speaker 5: beat Steven F. Austin on the road recently. So this

1536
01:16:23,200 --> 01:16:27,080
Speaker 5: is a team that just like very jackal and Hyde,

1537
01:16:27,640 --> 01:16:30,720
Speaker 5: So they are worth mentioning. They could also lose to anybody,

1538
01:16:31,120 --> 01:16:34,840
Speaker 5: and then Rio Grand is worth mentioning because they're a

1539
01:16:34,920 --> 01:16:37,400
Speaker 5: very high variants team. Uh, they're gonna shoot a lot

1540
01:16:37,400 --> 01:16:38,920
Speaker 5: of threes and they can make them and when they're on,

1541
01:16:40,360 --> 01:16:46,200
Speaker 5: they can beat anybody in this league. They earlier this

1542
01:16:46,360 --> 01:16:51,719
Speaker 5: year they beat McNeice by three, So, you know, because

1543
01:16:51,760 --> 01:16:54,719
Speaker 5: of the variants, maybe they're interesting. They recently did lose

1544
01:16:54,760 --> 01:16:56,840
Speaker 5: at McNeese and then in regards to Stephen F. Austin,

1545
01:16:56,840 --> 01:17:00,040
Speaker 5: they lost by nine. Is that the only time I

1546
01:17:00,040 --> 01:17:01,400
Speaker 5: played him? I think the oh then early in the

1547
01:17:01,400 --> 01:17:04,240
Speaker 5: season they've lost by thirteen. But they're interesting just because

1548
01:17:04,280 --> 01:17:07,400
Speaker 5: of the variants and the way that they play. So,

1549
01:17:08,840 --> 01:17:12,759
Speaker 5: having said that, Calvary is curious to get your thoughts

1550
01:17:13,320 --> 01:17:17,280
Speaker 5: on the south Land? Is this just really all about

1551
01:17:18,200 --> 01:17:21,799
Speaker 5: McNeice and Steven F. Austin, who's been a very pleasant

1552
01:17:21,800 --> 01:17:24,920
Speaker 5: surprise me. Stephen Austin kembom started two thirty four up

1553
01:17:24,920 --> 01:17:30,080
Speaker 5: to eighty eight. Keon Thompson has been incredible for them,

1554
01:17:31,240 --> 01:17:33,040
Speaker 5: and you know they have they have some other very

1555
01:17:33,040 --> 01:17:38,080
Speaker 5: good players as well, but it's all about Keon Thompson.

1556
01:17:38,160 --> 01:17:38,960
Speaker 5: What are you seeing here?

1557
01:17:39,760 --> 01:17:40,000
Speaker 2: Yeah?

1558
01:17:40,000 --> 01:17:43,519
Speaker 6: I mean to start with Rio grand Valley. I mean,

1559
01:17:43,600 --> 01:17:46,120
Speaker 6: Corey Godden is a flame thrower. He could make five

1560
01:17:46,200 --> 01:17:48,720
Speaker 6: or six threes and keep them around, but at five

1561
01:17:48,800 --> 01:17:51,960
Speaker 6: to one, that's insulting giving given the format, given the

1562
01:17:51,960 --> 01:17:54,040
Speaker 6: fact that they're going to have to beat both McNeice

1563
01:17:54,240 --> 01:17:56,840
Speaker 6: and probably Steven f austin, you know, in some kind

1564
01:17:56,840 --> 01:17:58,280
Speaker 6: of order to be able to cut down. Then that's

1565
01:17:58,280 --> 01:18:01,080
Speaker 6: I need closer to twenty to one, really consider anyone

1566
01:18:01,160 --> 01:18:04,240
Speaker 6: other than the Cowboys and the Lumberjacks here. It's also

1567
01:18:04,560 --> 01:18:07,519
Speaker 6: incredibly unfair. This is not just the like a random draw.

1568
01:18:07,600 --> 01:18:09,599
Speaker 6: This is the fourth straight year McNeese gets to play

1569
01:18:09,600 --> 01:18:11,920
Speaker 6: this tournament on their own floor. Like they got to

1570
01:18:11,960 --> 01:18:14,040
Speaker 6: get together in the Southland and pick some other at

1571
01:18:14,160 --> 01:18:17,000
Speaker 6: least truly neutral site venue, or give it to Steven

1572
01:18:17,040 --> 01:18:18,880
Speaker 6: faust and give it to somebody else at some point,

1573
01:18:19,840 --> 01:18:21,639
Speaker 6: just to break down these two teams. So the Cowboys,

1574
01:18:21,640 --> 01:18:23,880
Speaker 6: they're relentless on defense. If you haven't watched them play,

1575
01:18:24,000 --> 01:18:27,759
Speaker 6: it's pressure, pressure, pressure, full court press, trapping, constant ball pressure.

1576
01:18:27,960 --> 01:18:28,720
Speaker 1: They win because they.

1577
01:18:28,680 --> 01:18:31,520
Speaker 6: Force turnovers on over twenty one percent of opponents possessions

1578
01:18:31,800 --> 01:18:33,479
Speaker 6: and they protect the ball so they have a top

1579
01:18:33,520 --> 01:18:35,960
Speaker 6: twenty you know, giveaway rate there. The result is the

1580
01:18:35,960 --> 01:18:38,120
Speaker 6: second best turnover margin in the sport, and they need

1581
01:18:38,160 --> 01:18:39,479
Speaker 6: it because they're really bad on.

1582
01:18:39,439 --> 01:18:40,280
Speaker 1: The defensive glass.

1583
01:18:40,320 --> 01:18:42,559
Speaker 6: They give up ten offensive rebounds per game, so that

1584
01:18:42,680 --> 01:18:45,519
Speaker 6: helps even things out. They also foul tum though, which

1585
01:18:45,560 --> 01:18:47,120
Speaker 6: is something to keep in mind. You know, they go

1586
01:18:47,200 --> 01:18:49,759
Speaker 6: ten deep in their rotation with guys in double digit

1587
01:18:49,800 --> 01:18:51,920
Speaker 6: minutes because they need to be able to move people

1588
01:18:51,960 --> 01:18:54,639
Speaker 6: in and out due to foul trouble, lots of interchangeable parts.

1589
01:18:54,640 --> 01:18:56,920
Speaker 6: On defense, most of their lineup is guard heavy, with

1590
01:18:56,960 --> 01:18:58,559
Speaker 6: guys between like six three and six.

1591
01:18:58,560 --> 01:19:00,600
Speaker 1: Five and then their go to guy offensively.

1592
01:19:00,640 --> 01:19:03,200
Speaker 6: The whole engine of their offense is Larry Johnson, a

1593
01:19:03,200 --> 01:19:06,520
Speaker 6: former four star who had power conference, you know, scholarship

1594
01:19:06,520 --> 01:19:10,080
Speaker 6: offers from everywhere, the SEC, the Big twelve, ACC Big East.

1595
01:19:10,240 --> 01:19:12,720
Speaker 6: Everyone took a shot at this kid, but he's you know,

1596
01:19:13,200 --> 01:19:16,599
Speaker 6: someone who signed with Creighton, didn't play ends up at mcneise.

1597
01:19:16,760 --> 01:19:18,599
Speaker 6: He's the perfect combo guard to make it all happen.

1598
01:19:18,640 --> 01:19:20,960
Speaker 6: He's a three level scorer. He's best when he's attacking

1599
01:19:20,960 --> 01:19:22,519
Speaker 6: the room and get into the line. Now, on the

1600
01:19:22,560 --> 01:19:24,679
Speaker 6: Steven F. Austin side of things, they have so much.

1601
01:19:24,640 --> 01:19:25,240
Speaker 1: Going for them.

1602
01:19:25,400 --> 01:19:29,120
Speaker 6: Their entire rotation played every game together, all thirty one games.

1603
01:19:29,320 --> 01:19:32,719
Speaker 6: Kean Thompson, Latif Patrick are strong guards and they're really

1604
01:19:33,040 --> 01:19:36,120
Speaker 6: you know, from just a pure muscular standpoint, you're gonna

1605
01:19:36,360 --> 01:19:38,400
Speaker 6: flip on the game. There's six one two hundred six

1606
01:19:38,520 --> 01:19:40,880
Speaker 6: two two o five. They look like you know, power

1607
01:19:40,960 --> 01:19:44,040
Speaker 6: running backs running downhill, particularly when they get in the lane.

1608
01:19:44,120 --> 01:19:45,920
Speaker 6: Ten foul shots per game between the two of them,

1609
01:19:45,920 --> 01:19:48,400
Speaker 6: and Patrick can really shoot from downtown. As a team,

1610
01:19:48,439 --> 01:19:51,720
Speaker 6: they shoot over thirty six percent from deep. But like McNeice,

1611
01:19:51,760 --> 01:19:53,800
Speaker 6: they're a threat to win this tournament and it doesn't

1612
01:19:53,840 --> 01:19:55,800
Speaker 6: just stop there. They're also a threat to win a

1613
01:19:55,800 --> 01:19:58,559
Speaker 6: game as a twelve or thirteen seed in March Madness.

1614
01:19:58,600 --> 01:20:01,519
Speaker 6: So I think that they they're a team that I'm

1615
01:20:02,280 --> 01:20:03,600
Speaker 6: leaning towards. I know that they have to do it

1616
01:20:03,640 --> 01:20:06,040
Speaker 6: on mcneice's home floor, but they don't go balls to

1617
01:20:06,040 --> 01:20:09,240
Speaker 6: the wolves for turnovers, and because of that, they're rarely

1618
01:20:09,280 --> 01:20:11,120
Speaker 6: out of position in the half court. They don't give

1619
01:20:11,200 --> 01:20:13,640
Speaker 6: up good looks from threes. Opponents are making fewer than

1620
01:20:13,680 --> 01:20:15,760
Speaker 6: six triples per game, which is top ten in the

1621
01:20:15,880 --> 01:20:19,320
Speaker 6: entire country, and they're elite by low major, you know

1622
01:20:19,479 --> 01:20:21,960
Speaker 6: standards in terms of rebounding. It's not just size. They

1623
01:20:22,000 --> 01:20:24,720
Speaker 6: also will roll out five guards. No one's taller than

1624
01:20:24,760 --> 01:20:27,080
Speaker 6: six to five. But they're not trapping they're not out

1625
01:20:27,120 --> 01:20:29,840
Speaker 6: of position, they don't turn it over, So I think,

1626
01:20:29,880 --> 01:20:32,920
Speaker 6: you know, McNeice really needs to if they end up

1627
01:20:33,240 --> 01:20:35,479
Speaker 6: cutting down the nets. They need to get matched up

1628
01:20:35,479 --> 01:20:37,639
Speaker 6: against a team in March Madison's sloppy with the ball

1629
01:20:37,800 --> 01:20:39,360
Speaker 6: to be able to create those opportunities.

1630
01:20:39,360 --> 01:20:40,160
Speaker 1: But Steve F.

1631
01:20:40,160 --> 01:20:41,920
Speaker 6: Austin I think is just too well coached. You know,

1632
01:20:42,000 --> 01:20:45,760
Speaker 6: Matt Bryer coach under Grant McCaslin. His teams feel very

1633
01:20:45,880 --> 01:20:49,519
Speaker 6: vintage gritty mccasly in Texas Tech to me, where they

1634
01:20:49,840 --> 01:20:52,080
Speaker 6: make it absolutely brutal to score in the half court.

1635
01:20:52,120 --> 01:20:54,759
Speaker 6: They split with mcneise one by seven at home, lost

1636
01:20:54,800 --> 01:20:56,439
Speaker 6: by two on the same floor.

1637
01:20:57,120 --> 01:20:58,360
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be able to get over the

1638
01:20:58,439 --> 01:20:58,760
Speaker 1: hump here.

1639
01:20:58,760 --> 01:21:00,519
Speaker 6: I'm gonna take an advantage of little bit of the

1640
01:21:00,520 --> 01:21:02,040
Speaker 6: pricing and take them at plus one forty.

1641
01:21:03,240 --> 01:21:05,800
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, if you can, if you can, like

1642
01:21:05,880 --> 01:21:08,280
Speaker 5: for example, mcnease did play Michigan earlier this year, it

1643
01:21:08,280 --> 01:21:10,000
Speaker 5: was on the road. They lost one twelve to seventy one.

1644
01:21:10,040 --> 01:21:12,280
Speaker 5: If you can take care of the ball, you're gonna

1645
01:21:12,320 --> 01:21:14,200
Speaker 5: get a ton of offensive rebounds, you're gonna get the

1646
01:21:14,200 --> 01:21:15,920
Speaker 5: line and score on them, and they can't they can't

1647
01:21:15,920 --> 01:21:18,479
Speaker 5: really shoot, so there's not that upside as far as

1648
01:21:18,560 --> 01:21:22,320
Speaker 5: like beating someone in the term. Yeah, there is some

1649
01:21:22,439 --> 01:21:24,599
Speaker 5: variance to McNeese because of the way that they play.

1650
01:21:24,520 --> 01:21:26,880
Speaker 5: They're gonna give up a ton of threes open three

1651
01:21:26,920 --> 01:21:29,559
Speaker 5: point books. They're very aggressive defense, and they'll give up

1652
01:21:29,880 --> 01:21:35,639
Speaker 5: offensive rebounds from a I just ran this with my numbers.

1653
01:21:35,960 --> 01:21:38,639
Speaker 5: I'm at because I'm giving McNeese full home court where

1654
01:21:38,640 --> 01:21:44,719
Speaker 5: this is, I'm at fifty percent. So like anything plus money,

1655
01:21:44,840 --> 01:21:49,920
Speaker 5: I would consider, And I never usually see value in

1656
01:21:50,080 --> 01:21:54,120
Speaker 5: the favorites around a pick, but in this case I

1657
01:21:54,120 --> 01:21:56,120
Speaker 5: do with Stephen f Austin, I can't play them at

1658
01:21:56,120 --> 01:21:58,360
Speaker 5: plus one forty if assuming they play a road game

1659
01:21:59,040 --> 01:22:03,160
Speaker 5: in say how these teams power rated dead even for

1660
01:22:03,240 --> 01:22:06,639
Speaker 5: what it's worth. McNeese and Stephen of Austin, what are

1661
01:22:06,640 --> 01:22:08,479
Speaker 5: they on? Curious to see what they are on Kempom.

1662
01:22:08,960 --> 01:22:12,519
Speaker 5: They have McNeice. I think McNee significantly.

1663
01:22:12,040 --> 01:22:14,200
Speaker 3: Higher sixty ninth against eighty eighth.

1664
01:22:14,240 --> 01:22:17,439
Speaker 5: Yeah, yeah, I'm see I've McNeice like one point better,

1665
01:22:18,200 --> 01:22:20,920
Speaker 5: but they're pretty similar. I mean it's depending on what

1666
01:22:21,320 --> 01:22:24,880
Speaker 5: waiting I use. Duck curious in your thoughts on south

1667
01:22:24,960 --> 01:22:27,280
Speaker 5: Land all right.

1668
01:22:27,360 --> 01:22:29,799
Speaker 3: So I've said it before, Jerky Sea to your pants hoops.

1669
01:22:29,840 --> 01:22:32,720
Speaker 3: This conference has defined that phrase for me. If you

1670
01:22:32,720 --> 01:22:34,280
Speaker 3: want to know what the game script is going to

1671
01:22:34,280 --> 01:22:36,599
Speaker 3: be for every one of these, you're going to get

1672
01:22:36,600 --> 01:22:38,679
Speaker 3: a twenty six to twenty one game. At the half,

1673
01:22:38,800 --> 01:22:41,200
Speaker 3: teams won't be able to shoot, no fouls are going

1674
01:22:41,240 --> 01:22:42,920
Speaker 3: to be called, Guys are going to get mauled in

1675
01:22:42,960 --> 01:22:45,280
Speaker 3: the lane. And then the second half is going to

1676
01:22:45,280 --> 01:22:48,200
Speaker 3: see one hundred and two combined points, fifty six combined

1677
01:22:48,200 --> 01:22:51,160
Speaker 3: foul shots, and a game that inches over the post

1678
01:22:51,160 --> 01:22:55,040
Speaker 3: to total by two points unnecessarily after seeing twenty two

1679
01:22:55,120 --> 01:22:57,479
Speaker 3: points scored in the last ninety seconds.

1680
01:22:57,720 --> 01:23:00,920
Speaker 6: Everyone NIC's a real event session for some bad beats

1681
01:23:00,920 --> 01:23:03,599
Speaker 6: on totals, but you earned it. You bet approximately seven

1682
01:23:03,680 --> 01:23:06,080
Speaker 6: thousand totals this year in college shoops.

1683
01:23:07,120 --> 01:23:08,120
Speaker 1: Every game is the same.

1684
01:23:08,360 --> 01:23:10,959
Speaker 3: Now, I will say I do not see a tremendous

1685
01:23:10,960 --> 01:23:14,439
Speaker 3: amount of value in anybody other than McNeice and Steven F. Austin,

1686
01:23:14,479 --> 01:23:17,880
Speaker 3: and the margins are razor thin. I think mcneise is

1687
01:23:17,920 --> 01:23:19,920
Speaker 3: a hair better on defense. They've got a little bit

1688
01:23:19,960 --> 01:23:23,519
Speaker 3: more heighten and tenacity in the post. They get to

1689
01:23:23,520 --> 01:23:26,640
Speaker 3: host the event, they're the best defense in the Southland

1690
01:23:26,960 --> 01:23:30,760
Speaker 3: in blocking and altering shots. They do force some turnovers.

1691
01:23:31,240 --> 01:23:34,559
Speaker 3: I think if McNeice is able to apply a little

1692
01:23:34,600 --> 01:23:36,880
Speaker 3: pressure and turn Steven F. Austin over and they don't

1693
01:23:36,880 --> 01:23:38,400
Speaker 3: turn the ball over a lot, so it would be

1694
01:23:38,439 --> 01:23:42,800
Speaker 3: a challenge. You know, McNeice had the lead in their

1695
01:23:42,840 --> 01:23:45,840
Speaker 3: game against most recent game against Stephen F. Austin at

1696
01:23:45,840 --> 01:23:47,599
Speaker 3: the under four time out in the second half. They

1697
01:23:47,600 --> 01:23:49,560
Speaker 3: scored one point the rest of the way in the

1698
01:23:49,640 --> 01:23:52,120
Speaker 3: last three fifty nine. I think there's something to learn

1699
01:23:52,160 --> 01:23:54,720
Speaker 3: a little bit from that previous matchup that they can

1700
01:23:54,760 --> 01:23:58,280
Speaker 3: take into a final year. There's gonna be foul foul

1701
01:23:58,320 --> 01:24:00,280
Speaker 3: shots late, there's gonna be fouls called, there's going to

1702
01:24:00,320 --> 01:24:03,679
Speaker 3: be activity in the paint. McNeice is a little better

1703
01:24:03,720 --> 01:24:06,240
Speaker 3: foul shooting team. They make about seventy five percent compared

1704
01:24:06,280 --> 01:24:08,280
Speaker 3: to sixty eight percent for Steven F. Austin. That could

1705
01:24:08,280 --> 01:24:10,880
Speaker 3: come into play here, Stuck, you said at the beginning

1706
01:24:10,920 --> 01:24:14,280
Speaker 3: of this that New Orleans was interesting. The Privateers play very,

1707
01:24:14,400 --> 01:24:16,479
Speaker 3: very fast. They've got some guys that can get to

1708
01:24:16,520 --> 01:24:19,240
Speaker 3: the rim. They are excellent at getting to the line,

1709
01:24:19,280 --> 01:24:21,440
Speaker 3: and so if they could get one of these teams

1710
01:24:21,439 --> 01:24:23,600
Speaker 3: into foul trouble early. I mean, they could win a

1711
01:24:23,640 --> 01:24:26,559
Speaker 3: game that you wouldn't expect and possibly get to the

1712
01:24:26,600 --> 01:24:29,599
Speaker 3: Semis after taking out Texas A and m Corpus CHRISTI

1713
01:24:30,360 --> 01:24:32,720
Speaker 3: So does that all get baked into the price? I

1714
01:24:32,800 --> 01:24:34,920
Speaker 3: really don't know. I don't see a lot of value

1715
01:24:34,920 --> 01:24:37,840
Speaker 3: in anybody other than the first two. And you're really

1716
01:24:37,880 --> 01:24:39,880
Speaker 3: kind of just flipping a coin again, the margins are

1717
01:24:39,920 --> 01:24:43,640
Speaker 3: going to be razor thin. I would lean mcneie. You

1718
01:24:43,640 --> 01:24:45,000
Speaker 3: could make a case for either one.

1719
01:24:46,160 --> 01:24:50,240
Speaker 5: Yeah, I will say Keon Thompson was miserable in the

1720
01:24:50,280 --> 01:24:56,000
Speaker 5: first meeting with McNeice and they still only lost on

1721
01:24:56,040 --> 01:25:01,599
Speaker 5: the road by two and and he was.

1722
01:25:05,200 --> 01:25:06,320
Speaker 1: Or no, they will yeah.

1723
01:25:06,400 --> 01:25:09,960
Speaker 5: And then in the second meeting, granted it was at home,

1724
01:25:10,520 --> 01:25:15,720
Speaker 5: Thompson was much better at twenty one points and they

1725
01:25:15,880 --> 01:25:19,200
Speaker 5: reduced their turnovers a bit. Now, granted mcneise went six

1726
01:25:19,240 --> 01:25:22,160
Speaker 5: of twenty seven from three, which helped, But mcneise is

1727
01:25:22,200 --> 01:25:25,080
Speaker 5: not a great three point shooting team. Yeah, I mean

1728
01:25:25,160 --> 01:25:28,640
Speaker 5: my pick just the home court. Another freshman to know

1729
01:25:28,760 --> 01:25:30,200
Speaker 5: this freshman, I mean a lot a lot of these

1730
01:25:30,439 --> 01:25:33,320
Speaker 5: lower level freshmen don't get a lot like Larry Johnson

1731
01:25:35,320 --> 01:25:36,920
Speaker 5: is a very good, good player. He wasn't.

1732
01:25:37,200 --> 01:25:39,360
Speaker 3: Larry Johnson's a guy. Larry Johnson's a guy who won't

1733
01:25:39,360 --> 01:25:41,040
Speaker 3: spend a lot of time in this league. We'll see

1734
01:25:41,080 --> 01:25:41,679
Speaker 3: him elsewhere.

1735
01:25:42,120 --> 01:25:47,040
Speaker 5: Yep, all right, final picks. I've just given how much

1736
01:25:47,040 --> 01:25:49,360
Speaker 5: better the top two teams are. I respect you to

1737
01:25:49,600 --> 01:25:53,720
Speaker 5: Rio Grand and their high variants, but I think we

1738
01:25:53,800 --> 01:25:57,519
Speaker 5: get Steven F. Austin versus mcneise. I think the home

1739
01:25:57,560 --> 01:26:01,040
Speaker 5: court with McNeice in their style will end up being

1740
01:26:01,040 --> 01:26:03,439
Speaker 5: the difference. And I don't mind them at plus money

1741
01:26:03,640 --> 01:26:05,000
Speaker 5: because I think they get there and then they'll be

1742
01:26:05,040 --> 01:26:06,439
Speaker 5: favorites on their own court.

1743
01:26:06,920 --> 01:26:07,120
Speaker 1: Douc.

1744
01:26:07,520 --> 01:26:09,479
Speaker 3: Last thing I'll say on Stephen F. And I will

1745
01:26:09,520 --> 01:26:11,519
Speaker 3: say it's one A, one B.

1746
01:26:12,000 --> 01:26:12,519
Speaker 5: Stephen F.

1747
01:26:12,560 --> 01:26:15,800
Speaker 3: Austin hit a point in the season where every game

1748
01:26:15,920 --> 01:26:18,120
Speaker 3: was hard. There were no rocking cheer winners, there were

1749
01:26:18,120 --> 01:26:21,320
Speaker 3: no knights off. Every single game down the stretch was

1750
01:26:21,360 --> 01:26:24,800
Speaker 3: a grind. Maybe that taxes them in the final here

1751
01:26:24,800 --> 01:26:27,200
Speaker 3: in this one, after a couple of hard battles, I'll

1752
01:26:27,200 --> 01:26:29,000
Speaker 3: take McNeice to win the tournament priest.

1753
01:26:29,080 --> 01:26:32,639
Speaker 6: I'll go Stephen F. Austin over McNeice. Also, if you're

1754
01:26:32,640 --> 01:26:34,640
Speaker 6: looking for something a little bit spicier. I'm glad we

1755
01:26:34,680 --> 01:26:37,519
Speaker 6: brought up New Orleans. Take them against the spread in

1756
01:26:37,560 --> 01:26:41,599
Speaker 6: that first round matchup against who they got, Houston Christian,

1757
01:26:41,960 --> 01:26:44,639
Speaker 6: and then roll that over to the money line against

1758
01:26:44,840 --> 01:26:47,599
Speaker 6: Texas A and m Corpus Christi in the corner finals.

1759
01:26:47,840 --> 01:26:49,000
Speaker 1: I think that they're gonna get there.

1760
01:26:49,000 --> 01:26:51,080
Speaker 6: And if you want to get extra spicy at the

1761
01:26:51,200 --> 01:26:53,200
Speaker 6: end of it, take them plus the points against Stephen F.

1762
01:26:53,200 --> 01:26:53,439
Speaker 5: Austin.

1763
01:26:53,439 --> 01:26:55,840
Speaker 6: I don't think they win outright, but they've clearly shown

1764
01:26:55,840 --> 01:26:58,080
Speaker 6: that they can punch up in the non con and

1765
01:26:58,280 --> 01:27:01,200
Speaker 6: against the top teams in both McNeice and Steven Foss,

1766
01:27:01,200 --> 01:27:03,760
Speaker 6: and they weren't outclassed at all in those matchups. So

1767
01:27:04,160 --> 01:27:06,000
Speaker 6: you know, if you're just looking for a different way

1768
01:27:06,080 --> 01:27:08,320
Speaker 6: to make this interesting, and this is not a league

1769
01:27:08,360 --> 01:27:10,679
Speaker 6: where I think anyone outside of the top two teams

1770
01:27:10,720 --> 01:27:12,760
Speaker 6: are live to be able to cut down, then's just

1771
01:27:12,800 --> 01:27:14,240
Speaker 6: an interesting way about attacking it.

1772
01:27:14,640 --> 01:27:17,479
Speaker 5: All right, that'll do it, By the way, we will

1773
01:27:17,479 --> 01:27:22,439
Speaker 5: be back March eighth, Sunday. I'll be recording with a

1774
01:27:22,520 --> 01:27:25,880
Speaker 5: number of folks here well, Hit Big twelve, Big ten, ACC,

1775
01:27:26,040 --> 01:27:29,840
Speaker 5: coffe Usay, Big West, Whack, Big East, sec AAC and

1776
01:27:29,880 --> 01:27:33,879
Speaker 5: then on Monday, so that'll be two separate episodes. Monday,

1777
01:27:34,439 --> 01:27:38,360
Speaker 5: Duck and Breez will take us home and depending on

1778
01:27:38,400 --> 01:27:40,280
Speaker 5: how I feel, maybe I'll join, but I probably will

1779
01:27:40,320 --> 01:27:43,360
Speaker 5: have nothing left in the tank. A ten Mountain West,

1780
01:27:43,560 --> 01:27:46,880
Speaker 5: miac Mac and Ivy and that I'll have you covered

1781
01:27:46,920 --> 01:27:51,720
Speaker 5: for all thirty one. Thank you to Tanner, Duck and

1782
01:27:51,760 --> 01:27:54,559
Speaker 5: Mike for joining me. Banks to our producer David Barlas

1783
01:27:54,600 --> 01:27:57,280
Speaker 5: Tyler's work. Shout out the Giff as well. Most importantly,

1784
01:27:57,280 --> 01:27:59,200
Speaker 5: thanks to all of you for tuning in. Make sure

1785
01:27:59,200 --> 01:28:01,160
Speaker 5: you subscribe on some scrip. Subscribe to a friend one enemy.

1786
01:28:01,200 --> 01:28:02,320
Speaker 5: Know the drill be a five star. If you have

1787
01:28:02,320 --> 01:28:04,400
Speaker 5: to get a chance, really helps it's out. I hope

1788
01:28:04,400 --> 01:28:07,920
Speaker 5: you're enjoying all these previews. Much more to come. You

1789
01:28:07,960 --> 01:28:10,920
Speaker 5: won't find more thorough coverage then you will hear big

1790
01:28:11,000 --> 01:28:13,439
Speaker 5: guts on campus. Thanks again for tuning in. Good luck

1791
01:28:13,479 --> 01:28:15,360
Speaker 5: on all of you waiters. It's going to be a

1792
01:28:15,360 --> 01:28:17,280
Speaker 5: hell of the month. We'll catch only. The Choice.

1793
01:28:34,200 --> 01:28:38,720
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1794
01:28:38,760 --> 01:28:41,519
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1795
01:28:41,560 --> 01:28:44,720
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