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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Pros MLB. This is the

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Speaker 1: Fantasy Baseball Podcast. It is me Joey P joe P

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Speaker 1: Zapia And in case you missed it, yesterday on our

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Speaker 1: YouTube channel, we had our Fantasy Baseball Fest twenty twenty five,

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Speaker 1: and lucky for you, if you missed it, it's still

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Speaker 1: up there on the channel right now, so go back

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Speaker 1: and watch it on demand at your leisure over the weekend.

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Speaker 1: But if you're on the go today and you want

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Speaker 1: to hear some of the best of the fest, well,

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Speaker 1: guess what, it's your lucky day because we have it

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Speaker 1: here right here on our audio channels here on Fantasy Pros.

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Speaker 1: Wherever you get your podcast, subscribe today, and when you

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Speaker 1: go to the YouTube channel, subscribe over there too. We're

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Speaker 1: trying to get to twenty five thousand subscribers for opening

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Speaker 1: Day and we can do it with your help. We

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Speaker 1: had a star studded affair with the best minds in

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Speaker 1: fantasy baseball to get you ready to dominate all your leagues. So,

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Speaker 1: without further ado, let's kick off the best of the fest.

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Speaker 1: As the Welsh and I sat down with Derek Cardy

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Speaker 1: to talk about some of the best bets you can

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Speaker 1: make in Major League Baseball in twenty twenty five. I

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Speaker 1: want to start with a low wind total here of

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Speaker 1: the Chicago White Sox, because Derek Carty, that's where you're starting.

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Speaker 1: And I understand the White Sox are bad, and I

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Speaker 1: love that small numbers sometimes are easy w's. But I

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Speaker 1: want to hear the reasoning behind this White Sox over

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Speaker 1: on the wind total.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm sure this is the first bet that everybody

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Speaker 2: that's tuning in wants to hear. You tune in to

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Speaker 2: hear me talk about why the White Socks are going

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Speaker 2: to be are going to be good this year.

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Speaker 3: I think you did this with the A's last year,

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Speaker 3: didn't didn't you. It's like you just got to pick

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Speaker 3: the bottom barrel of it all. I love it, CARDI

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Speaker 3: we getting the mud.

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Speaker 2: We're going with the White Sox over over six or

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Speaker 2: over fifty three and a half wins. I think the

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Speaker 2: best line right now is like minus one tenant DraftKings.

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Speaker 2: This opened at fifty at some books, and it's been

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Speaker 2: creeping up. There's some sixty four and a half's out

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Speaker 2: there now. You look at what the bad X. My

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Speaker 2: projection system is projecting for the White Sox though it's

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Speaker 2: projecting sixty six wins and we're getting a fifty three

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Speaker 2: and a half line, Like, it's just absurd. The line

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Speaker 2: is too low. It's too low. I said the same

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Speaker 2: thing last year with Oakland, and it worked out really

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Speaker 2: nicely when a team was as bad or looked as

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Speaker 2: bad as the White Sox did last year. Of course,

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Speaker 2: the betting market is going to be like, nobody wants

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Speaker 2: to bet the over on them, so we can set

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Speaker 2: whatever line we want, because no one really wants to

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Speaker 2: bet the over no matter what line we put. And

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Speaker 2: so they said it even lower than they probably should,

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Speaker 2: and that gives us, that gives us value on betting

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Speaker 2: the over if we have the stones to do it. So, yeah,

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Speaker 2: the White Sox were really really bad last year. They

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Speaker 2: are actually a really bad team, but they're not like

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Speaker 2: historically bad. Probably most teams are not just by sheer.

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Speaker 3: Probably they were last year. They were historically bad last year.

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Speaker 3: But to your point, yeah, but.

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Speaker 2: Are they actually that bad or did they just cut?

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Speaker 2: Were they bad combined with just like you know, bad

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Speaker 2: variants over one hundred and sixty two games. Most likely

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Speaker 2: it's the second one. They're bad I haven't projected for

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Speaker 2: the second fewest wins in baseball this year, or maybe

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Speaker 2: even the most or losses rather or maybe the most

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Speaker 2: losses in baseball, But fifty three and a half is

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Speaker 2: extremely low. You have to be really, really, really bad,

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Speaker 2: and it's almost impossible to project any team's true talent

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Speaker 2: level to be that bad.

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Speaker 3: Ever, and by the way, people don't people realize they should.

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Speaker 3: Derek Cardi, creator of the bat and the bat x projections,

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Speaker 3: which you can see on fangraphs and you see all

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Speaker 3: over the place rated out this year as well on

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Speaker 3: the baseball projections here at Fantasy Pros. One question for

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Speaker 3: you on that total. When you're doing season long totals

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Speaker 3: like this where you're getting minus money bets, so you're

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Speaker 3: you know, you're a fifty three and a half I

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Speaker 3: think was the number, and you're betting a season long

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Speaker 3: at minus money, what's your relative approach to Like I

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Speaker 3: want to go too crazy into like unit betting, but

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Speaker 3: like you know, like someone's like, hey, you know I

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Speaker 3: usually bet this on normal stuff, but you got to

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Speaker 3: wait a whole season long, Like what is your approach

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Speaker 3: to betting this? Are you like five units in when

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Speaker 3: you're betting a win total to play out for the

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Speaker 3: whole season. Same thing I guess would apply for The

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Speaker 3: only problem is like awards, you know you're getting big

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Speaker 3: plus money these type of like over home run, I've

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Speaker 3: got one I'm gonna play or something like this, Like

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Speaker 3: how are you unit betting this type of bet?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean minus one tens standard, so you know,

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Speaker 2: it's it's kind of you know, your normal amount. The

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Speaker 2: only thing I'll say is that I don't put a

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Speaker 2: ton into season long props just because you have to

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Speaker 2: wait until the end of the season, or in the

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Speaker 2: case of the White Sox maybe until August.

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Speaker 3: And that's that's kind of what I mean by dere

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Speaker 3: because like you're investing in a standard one ten bet,

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Speaker 3: but it's dragging over the entire season, Like are you

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Speaker 3: more compelled to be like, well, if I'm going to

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Speaker 3: season long this, I love this. This has got to

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Speaker 3: be you know, five units in what I would normally

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Speaker 3: do on just a daily bet.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's it's not a it's not a question that

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Speaker 2: has an actual correct answer. It's kind of just like,

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Speaker 2: how do you feel about tying up your money that long?

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Speaker 2: What does your bankroll look like, what do you want

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Speaker 2: to you know, be able to have in the chamber

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Speaker 2: for the season. This one does project really well. I'm

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Speaker 2: not the kind of person though that it's like, well,

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Speaker 2: this one I like a lot, so I'm just gonna

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Speaker 2: fire five or ten units at it. The way I

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Speaker 2: approach betting is that I'm going to place a lot

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Speaker 2: of bets long term, and usually i'm flat betting, and

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Speaker 2: so I'm not saying, Okay, this one's definitely gonna win,

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Speaker 2: and this one, I don't know if this one's gonna win.

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Speaker 2: Like every bet I place, I think is positive expected value.

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Speaker 2: I place the bet I'm going to lose some and

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Speaker 2: in the long run I expect to win more than

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Speaker 2: I lose and to come out profitable. And that's always

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Speaker 2: been the case. So here, I do think the edge

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Speaker 2: on this one is big, but I'm not recommending you

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Speaker 2: bet your house on it.

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Speaker 1: No, Well that's good, you know. It's funny. Timing is

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Speaker 1: everything when it comes to wagers.

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Speaker 4: Two.

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Speaker 1: Because I and bet the Red Sox over the weekend

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Speaker 1: before the Garrett Cole News and the quote unquote second

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Speaker 1: Opinion came out to win the American League East, and

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Speaker 1: I got a number in the three fifties and now

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Speaker 1: it's dropped to the two seventies after the Garrett Cole

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Speaker 1: news drop. So timing is everything when you're looking at

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Speaker 1: making your wagers too. So if you see opportunities.

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Speaker 2: On some anti Yankees bets earlier that are looking pretty

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Speaker 2: good right now, like Yankee not to make the playoffs

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Speaker 2: plus two point fifty kind of thing or under ninety

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Speaker 2: wins or whatever it was said.

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Speaker 1: At Yeah, well Derek Carry has already got me going

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Speaker 1: after the show to bet something else now that he's

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Speaker 1: dropped that one on me. But that's the whole point,

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Speaker 1: is that you know, when you anticipate good news or

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Speaker 1: bad news, there's sometimes value in the market, and that's

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Speaker 1: something you have to pay attention to that's out there.

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Speaker 1: Speaking of the Boston Red Sox, so I mentioned earlier

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Speaker 1: Garrett Crochet, Well, you've got a wager on him that

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Speaker 1: you're looking to place. And I really like this one too.

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Speaker 1: It's one that I am planning on betting as soon

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Speaker 1: as he gets right there at the end of spring training.

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Speaker 1: I don't like to make too many bets before spring

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Speaker 1: training's over because anything can happen, but this one is

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Speaker 1: definitely all my radar as well. Let's talk about it.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and I don't do as well a bunch of

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Speaker 3: crazy season long bets like Cardi saying it's not huge

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Speaker 3: in my market. But last year on this Fantasy Fest,

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Speaker 3: what was my play, Joe, It was stolen based leader

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Speaker 3: Ellie de la Cruz at six to one. This is

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Speaker 3: my Ellie for this year, and it is Garrett Crochet

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Speaker 3: to lead the league in strikeouts, and I found it

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Speaker 3: as good as ten to one right now, so even

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Speaker 3: better than that Ellie number. As you can see up

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Speaker 3: on the screen, we've got some projections up there. I'll

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Speaker 3: throw a few things at you with Garrett Croche and

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Speaker 3: you're probably at nauseum. You've heard me talk about Gerrett

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Speaker 3: Crochet on Fantasy pros videos everywhere. According to the bat

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Speaker 3: Derek Carty's projection system, Garrett Crochet is projected fifth in

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Speaker 3: the league in strikeouts at two hundred and six so

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Speaker 3: that is twelve less strikeouts than the leader, who is

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Speaker 3: Dylan Cease at two hundred and eighteen strikeouts. But it's

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Speaker 3: all about the innings. It is all about the innings

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Speaker 3: of Garrett Crochet. Thirty more projected innings for that leader

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Speaker 3: Dylan Cruz than Garrett Crochet. According to the BAT and

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Speaker 3: most projection systems, he's right around the one fifty marker

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Speaker 3: one fifty two to be exact, so thirty less innings

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Speaker 3: projected than Dylan Cees. Yet he is one of, if

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Speaker 3: not the top, across multiple projection systems you look, he's

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Speaker 3: one or two in k per nine. According to the BAT,

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Speaker 3: there are eight projected two hundred strikeout pitchers. Six of

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Speaker 3: those eight have at least one hundred and seventy three

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Speaker 3: or more projected innings, So again, that is twenty less

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Speaker 3: innings than any of those other players. The only other

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Speaker 3: guy is Blake Snell, who is like a strikeout or

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Speaker 3: two less a couple more innings than Garrett Croche. I

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Speaker 3: love this. I love the team context, the division. Obviously,

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Speaker 3: can you know, bring in some questions here, but at

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Speaker 3: the end of the day, I think it's easy to

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Speaker 3: play in a world where he can blow past these

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Speaker 3: projected innings. He had one hundred and forty six innings

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Speaker 3: last season last season, and we are barely projecting any

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Speaker 3: positive upside on innings. You're looking at a Yankees team

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Speaker 3: that's playing from behind. You guys want to place bets

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Speaker 3: up on the Red Sox to take to the division.

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Speaker 3: They're gonna need Garrett Crochet more than ever. There's obviously

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Speaker 3: an injury toll of making any starting pitcher bet, but

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Speaker 3: you're looking at one of the highest strikeout pitchers in baseball,

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Speaker 3: and the only thing that is holding him back from

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Speaker 3: every single projection system being the leader in strikeouts are

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Speaker 3: those innings. And I think there is a lot of

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Speaker 3: cushion on those innings, and I think there's a lot

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Speaker 3: of value on that. That's the other thing. If Garrett

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Speaker 3: Crochet was like four to one or like second in strikeouts,

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Speaker 3: this might feel a little bit different. We're talking close

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Speaker 3: to ten to one right now on this bet. So

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Speaker 3: this is my absolute favorite of any of these. When

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Speaker 3: you talk about awards or you know, season long stat

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Speaker 3: projecting type of things, I love Garrett Croche to lead

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Speaker 3: the league in strikeouts. CARTI, I'd be very curious at

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Speaker 3: what you have to say about this one, because I

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Speaker 3: laid out using your projection system some of what's on Crochet.

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Speaker 3: What do you think about placing this bet.

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Speaker 2: I like it for basically the reason that you said,

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Speaker 2: you know, innings are are not even something that most

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Speaker 2: projection systems are projecting directly like I'm not. I'm just

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Speaker 2: using ATC's basically aggregate innings projections. We don't know which

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Speaker 2: pictures are going to stay healthy, Like the innings are

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Speaker 2: just kind of like this guy hasn't really done it

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Speaker 2: before he could get hurt. We're going to play conservative.

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Speaker 2: We don't know if Crochet is one of the guys

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Speaker 2: that goes over two hundred innings, like he has the

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Speaker 2: stuff easily to be the least. So yeah, if you're

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Speaker 2: getting great odds on it, then then I like it

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Speaker 2: because on a per rating basis, Crochet should certainly be

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Speaker 2: better than ten to one.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and right now plus eight point fifty in some

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Speaker 1: markets I've seen has even gone down to So this

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Speaker 1: is one where you know, one less guy. And Garrett

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Speaker 1: Cole too now enters into that conversation too, so you

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Speaker 1: can see all of a sudden, when the field starts

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Speaker 1: to whittle down, all of a sudden, less competition. I

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Speaker 1: think the innings is clearly the only thing we have

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Speaker 1: to worry about here. But I'm with you, Wash, I'm

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Speaker 1: not super worried, and I'm starting to really buy the

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Speaker 1: red soxs here.

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Speaker 5: I have.

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Speaker 1: I'm in a parlay for a couple divisions. I like

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Speaker 1: to do those. They're fun. You throw ten bucks, you

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Speaker 1: can win a couple grand. I got real close on

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Speaker 1: two NFL ones last year, one of which I did

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Speaker 1: get late on a redo that was a very nice return.

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Speaker 1: But one of them it was I think it was

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Speaker 1: like a twenty bucks or something. It would have brought

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Speaker 1: back three grand, and I missed it by one division

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Speaker 1: one division I got wrong. Very frustrating, but it's fun. Nonetheless,

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Speaker 1: this is the ride we take here. Always a fun

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Speaker 1: time to sit with Derek Cardy and talk about some

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Speaker 1: of the futures of the future of Major League Baseball

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Speaker 1: this season. Next up here, Joe Rico, the Welsh and

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Speaker 1: myself had a great discussion about some players that we

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Speaker 1: might be thinking twice about and maybe you should too.

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Speaker 1: Players to avoid Here's some best of the fest right

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Speaker 1: for your ears. What a great time we're having here

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Speaker 1: on the Fantasy Baseball Fest twenty twenty five between two

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Speaker 1: Joes happens Now and Welsh. Officially you're between us, that's right.

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Speaker 1: Joe Rico's here and we're gonna talk about some players.

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Speaker 1: To avoid full disclosure, I'm probably gonna draft all these

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Speaker 1: guys so they can yell and scream these two all

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Speaker 1: they want about not drafting these guys. I'm probably taking

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Speaker 1: them just for spite.

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Speaker 3: Have we talked about this, by the way, like I

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Speaker 3: have a test for everybody, and I want you to

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Speaker 3: see if you can figure this out there. I have

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Speaker 3: never seen it, and I actually think Joe has gone

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Speaker 3: into the developers and he has made them code something.

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Speaker 3: Joe Piece of Pia is the most hater of haters.

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Speaker 3: When you are in the draft draft simulator and you

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Speaker 3: get your analysis at the end, it is like a

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Speaker 3: video game. It's like Tyson at the end of Knockout

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Speaker 3: where you can't do it. If you can get Joe

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Speaker 3: to love your draft, I want you to send a

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Speaker 3: screenshot in where he's the number one analyst to do

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Speaker 3: it and tweet at us. Because every draft I see

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Speaker 3: it is Joe piece of PA hates Joe. Piece of

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Speaker 3: PA hates Joe piece of PA hates. I feel like

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Speaker 3: you did it. I feel like you did it, Joe,

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Speaker 3: and you do it every year. Yeah, it's crazy.

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Speaker 1: Is notorious in the NFL world. I am notorious for

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Speaker 1: this that if you get a good grade for me,

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Speaker 1: then it's really different. It's because my ranks are not

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Speaker 1: like everybody else's. Because that's the whole point. What are

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Speaker 1: we trying to do here? Always have the same. If

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Speaker 1: I'm not higher on certain guys or lower on certain

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Speaker 1: guys than the consensus, than what's my purpose here? And

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Speaker 1: Joe Rico, look, it's good to be negative on some players,

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Speaker 1: especially on their value. And I know the first guy

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Speaker 1: that you want to talk about today is one of

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Speaker 1: my favorite guys just having a really good spring too.

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Speaker 1: It's James Wood. I mean, I understand that people are

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Speaker 1: very excited about James Wood. And I get it that

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Speaker 1: James Wood is starting to fly up draft boards. He

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Speaker 1: is my breakout from the National League East this year.

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Speaker 1: I think he's going to be a complete rock star.

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Speaker 1: Twenty five homers, I think he's gonna have and he's

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Speaker 1: gonna blow that nineteen out of the water. I think

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Speaker 1: he's gonna have twenty five steel. I think he's gonna

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Speaker 1: be a monster. What are you so worried about when

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Speaker 1: it comes to James Wood.

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Speaker 6: Joey, There are a couple things.

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Speaker 7: First of all, great to say see you guys wells,

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Speaker 7: Great to see you attack on your feet.

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Speaker 6: Well, it's great, it's good. Okay, it's good.

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Speaker 7: That's but with James Wood, I really like him. I

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Speaker 7: just don't like the price. If he was going in

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Speaker 7: the seventies of the eighties in most rooms, then I

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Speaker 7: would be a lot more willing to take a chance

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Speaker 7: on him. I've seen him going the third round. Recently,

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Speaker 7: people start moving up players in spring training. They get

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Speaker 7: on the hype mobile and they start running around their

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Speaker 7: draft rooms and pushing players up. For me, I like

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Speaker 7: to stick to the values that I've had throughout all

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Speaker 7: of draft season, whether it's a round value, whether it's

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Speaker 7: an auction dollar value. And then you see, guys, why

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Speaker 7: a Langkord's another one. But James Wood is also getting

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Speaker 7: pushed up in draft rooms, and I understand the hype.

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Speaker 7: But you also have to acknowledge the twenty nine percent

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Speaker 7: strikeout rate, the fact that he does, at this point

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Speaker 7: in time, have a serious ground ball problem. The launch

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Speaker 7: angle was two point four degrees last year. Yes, he

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Speaker 7: hits the crap out of the ball. Fifty two percent

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Speaker 7: hard hit rate is great, eleven percent bail rate is

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Speaker 7: really good. But if we're looking at him in his

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Speaker 7: a fourth round player, as you're second or third hitter

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Speaker 7: as a foundation of your team, I think there's a

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Speaker 7: lot of risk.

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Speaker 6: Maybe he's able to raise the ball.

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Speaker 7: More and get the twenty five thirty home runs, but

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Speaker 7: I'm kind of buying the projections to say he's gonna

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Speaker 7: be around twenty. I think he can steal around twenty

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Speaker 7: bases give you a decent batting average, but I also

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Speaker 7: worry a little bit about the lineup around him. I

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Speaker 7: don't think it's bad by any means, but it's not

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Speaker 7: a juggernaut. James Wood needs to absolutely thrive to return

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Speaker 7: a third round even a fourth round value, and I

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Speaker 7: just don't see it at that price. And I know

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Speaker 7: I'm on an island here with you guys.

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Speaker 1: You know, look, I am going to just be Devil's

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Speaker 1: advocate Albacino in this entire segment with both of you,

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Speaker 1: because I love you both dearly. You're wonderful human beings

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Speaker 1: and your wonderful analyst. My other side of this coin

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Speaker 1: is I'm looking at the minor league track record of

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Speaker 1: this dude three oh two, four oh two, five thirty

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Speaker 1: nine slash with a nine to forty one ops. I mean,

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Speaker 1: the guy that is elite level stuff, and of course

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Speaker 1: young players will have their ups and downs to struggle,

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Speaker 1: there will be adjustments. But from everything I've seen with

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Speaker 1: James would so far, and what I've seen hasn't been

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Speaker 1: him flying too far in my drafts where I go,

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Speaker 1: oh no, it's untenable. Now that might change in the

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Speaker 1: next two weeks. To Joe a Rico's point, if he

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Speaker 1: starts going ahead of some other guys where it starts

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Speaker 1: getting to that untenable place, then I'm okay with it.

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Speaker 1: But he is in that range of players that you

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Speaker 1: know that I don't care for, like Michael Harris, like

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Speaker 1: I much rather have the upside of games.

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Speaker 3: That's how you get Joe to hate your draft. By

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Speaker 3: the way, if you put Michael Harris, oh a few.

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Speaker 1: Draft Michael Harris, it's automatic, instig giant f But if

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Speaker 1: he's going up ahead of Brent Rooker, That's where I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna start drawing the line. I think that's where it

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Speaker 1: crosses for me. Well, I want to get a super

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Speaker 1: chat in here so real quick.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and then I want to do it.

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Speaker 1: I want I want you to break this tie one

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Speaker 1: way or another.

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Speaker 3: Okay, Well I am I'm on the firm other side

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Speaker 3: of it, I understand the and I don't disagree with

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Speaker 3: the value of what you're talking about. When he's pushed

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Speaker 3: up to the third round, when he starts going into

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Speaker 3: like the thirties or something like that, it does feel

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Speaker 3: like what you're doing, it's I thought you were going

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Speaker 3: to do before the icarus flying a little too close

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Speaker 3: to the sun, Like he's lying a little too close

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Speaker 3: to his inability to have a return. But you know,

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Speaker 3: the overall hit skills are incredible, and one thing you

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Speaker 3: talked about the lawn changle here, and you can't just

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Speaker 3: throw this on any singular player and just be like, oh,

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Speaker 3: they're gonna odd automatically fix it. But if you want

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Speaker 3: to take a couple you know, similar really tall, big

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Speaker 3: long extended arm type of players that have had big

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Speaker 3: hard hit skills changes, go and take a look at

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Speaker 3: Elie day La Cruz in his rookie year where he

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Speaker 3: had a six degree launchangle next season nine point seven,

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Speaker 3: ONEO Cruz four point six in his rookie year eight

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Speaker 3: point three to ten point five, nine point eight, and

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Speaker 3: ONEO Cruz is an interesting one because ONEO Cruz has

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Speaker 3: really big hard hit and big barrel numbers, and that's

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Speaker 3: exactly what we saw out of out of James Wood

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Speaker 3: this past year. He ended up having popping this up here,

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Speaker 3: a ten point six barrel rate, fifty two percent hard

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Speaker 3: hit rate, big massive average evs and then only two

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Speaker 3: point four the degree launch aangle change. I think that

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Speaker 3: can change. Plus he can hit lefties. He doesn't have

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Speaker 3: lefty righty split struggles. He just has a strikeout problem,

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Speaker 3: so there might be some down ticks in there. But

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Speaker 3: like I think you can look at some previous guys

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Speaker 3: that have had some similar skill sets of hard hit

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Speaker 3: and how they approached launch angle. I think that is

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Speaker 3: an easy er change and I think you will see

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Speaker 3: that change this year, hopefully into the double digits. And

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Speaker 3: if you do think James Wood's a twenty five to

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Speaker 3: twenty five guys, so yes, I don't want him to

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Speaker 3: fly too close to the sun where you can't return

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Speaker 3: that value. But I'm willing to make my investment on

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Speaker 3: James would because I do think there's a sky's the

404
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Speaker 3: limit type of thing, and maybe he goes one way

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Speaker 3: or the other. I wouldn't be shocked if he hits

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Speaker 3: thirty homers this year, but maybe that's like my O'Neal Cruise,

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Speaker 3: and maybe he does the opposite. Maybe he's a twenty

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Speaker 3: thirty guy. I really do think he's going to beat

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Speaker 3: projections though this year, So I get the worry. I'm

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Speaker 3: just firmly on the other side of this specific one.

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Speaker 6: Don't worry.

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Speaker 1: Rico Brady and I can tag team up on the

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Speaker 1: Welsh in just a second. I'm sure that's coming around.

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Speaker 7: So I was gonna say O'Neil Cruse is a great

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Speaker 7: comp because he's another guy who has all the tools,

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Speaker 7: all the hard hit rates in the world, and yet

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Speaker 7: twenty one and twenty two last year for the Homers

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Speaker 7: and installing bases. I think if you got that in

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Speaker 7: the third or fourth Fromjames Wood, you'd probably be a

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Speaker 7: little bit disappointed. Not that it would be a terrible season,

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Speaker 7: but I think it'd be a little bit disappointing. If

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Speaker 7: I'm looking over the last week, his minimum pick is

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Speaker 7: thirty eight.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, that's rough. That's that is That is absolutely rough.

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Speaker 3: But I'm not sure you would be like, dang, I

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Speaker 3: messed up my draft. If you got twenty one, twenty

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Speaker 3: two or twenty two twenty four out of James Wood,

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Speaker 3: I really don't think you would. You would just be like, oh,

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Speaker 3: I didn't get all of the upside, and maybe there's

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Speaker 3: a guy right behind it, you know, passing passing. Brent

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Speaker 3: Rooker's a really interesting one. Brent Rooker provides absolutely no

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Speaker 3: stolen base up side. But if he hits close to

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Speaker 3: his average, if he hits like two sixty two seventy

434
00:19:36,840 --> 00:19:39,560
Speaker 3: and it's thirty five plus homers, that might be more

435
00:19:39,640 --> 00:19:41,480
Speaker 3: valuable than getting a twenty twenty guy. So I think

436
00:19:41,480 --> 00:19:43,600
Speaker 3: that can be in an argument. But as far as

437
00:19:43,600 --> 00:19:46,080
Speaker 3: like you know, we had to pit guys here to

438
00:19:46,200 --> 00:19:48,719
Speaker 3: pick the guy to avoid James Wood, I'm just on

439
00:19:48,760 --> 00:19:50,880
Speaker 3: the other side. James Wood and White Langford are two

440
00:19:51,040 --> 00:19:52,439
Speaker 3: I want to get one of those guys coming out

441
00:19:52,480 --> 00:19:52,960
Speaker 3: of my draft.

442
00:19:53,320 --> 00:19:55,080
Speaker 1: Well, I mean just also throw this out there too,

443
00:19:55,080 --> 00:19:57,080
Speaker 1: only your crews had way more swinging miss than James

444
00:19:57,080 --> 00:19:59,400
Speaker 1: would in the minor leagues as well. Let's get to

445
00:19:59,440 --> 00:20:01,919
Speaker 1: another nation because the guys clearly don't want to invest

446
00:20:02,200 --> 00:20:05,280
Speaker 1: in this horrible, terrible, no good lineup that I find

447
00:20:05,359 --> 00:20:07,359
Speaker 1: incredibly exciting this year, that I think is going to

448
00:20:07,400 --> 00:20:11,400
Speaker 1: be a team that covers on a weekly basis more

449
00:20:11,440 --> 00:20:15,480
Speaker 1: than people realize because of the athleticism of cruise of

450
00:20:15,600 --> 00:20:19,280
Speaker 1: Wood and this guy CJ. Abrams. Now, in all fairness,

451
00:20:19,960 --> 00:20:22,000
Speaker 1: we've had an up and down relationship with Abrams. He

452
00:20:22,040 --> 00:20:24,320
Speaker 1: was an extreme value not that long ago, and Welsh

453
00:20:24,359 --> 00:20:27,840
Speaker 1: and I were buying back in Now it is significantly

454
00:20:27,920 --> 00:20:30,639
Speaker 1: more expensive. I get that. So what do you do

455
00:20:30,720 --> 00:20:32,800
Speaker 1: here with CJ. Abrams at the current cost, because it

456
00:20:32,800 --> 00:20:33,719
Speaker 1: looks like you're fading him.

457
00:20:33,720 --> 00:20:36,639
Speaker 3: Welsha, Why yeah, I've been. I've been a fader of C. J.

458
00:20:36,680 --> 00:20:40,119
Speaker 3: Abrams and it is tough because completely acknowledging. You know,

459
00:20:40,160 --> 00:20:42,360
Speaker 3: you're looking at guys like you know, if you were

460
00:20:42,359 --> 00:20:45,200
Speaker 3: to get C. J. Abrams stat line last year out

461
00:20:45,280 --> 00:20:47,520
Speaker 3: of a guy like James Wood, you would be really happy.

462
00:20:47,560 --> 00:20:51,000
Speaker 3: He ended up having a twenty thirty season, twenty Homer's

463
00:20:51,040 --> 00:20:53,840
Speaker 3: thirty one stolen bases. He's like our new modern day

464
00:20:54,080 --> 00:20:56,560
Speaker 3: Chris Davis. Chris Davis, he said, like two forty five

465
00:20:56,600 --> 00:20:58,720
Speaker 3: or two forty six for three straight seasons. So you're

466
00:20:58,720 --> 00:21:01,760
Speaker 3: seeing consistency in there. But I just have some worries.

467
00:21:01,800 --> 00:21:04,280
Speaker 3: You know, My work coming into last year was he

468
00:21:04,520 --> 00:21:07,520
Speaker 3: was optimizing, and it's not a bad thing to like optimize.

469
00:21:07,520 --> 00:21:09,760
Speaker 3: It your hit profile. But like overall, it was like

470
00:21:09,800 --> 00:21:13,040
Speaker 3: it's an under below average batting profile kind of across

471
00:21:13,080 --> 00:21:15,600
Speaker 3: the board. But he also doesn't barrel of bunch, doesn't

472
00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:19,560
Speaker 3: hit the ball really crazy hard on average, it's well

473
00:21:19,560 --> 00:21:22,000
Speaker 3: below average. He just gets the ball in the air.

474
00:21:22,040 --> 00:21:23,720
Speaker 3: He does a really good job of just like pulling

475
00:21:23,760 --> 00:21:25,639
Speaker 3: fly balls, getting it out, and he had a fifteen

476
00:21:25,680 --> 00:21:29,720
Speaker 3: degree launching now to his credit, last season, he improved

477
00:21:29,720 --> 00:21:31,960
Speaker 3: his exfl average X of lassy by a mile prower.

478
00:21:32,040 --> 00:21:34,560
Speaker 3: His hard hit numbers went up with that as well.

479
00:21:34,600 --> 00:21:37,880
Speaker 3: His strikeouts went up. But you take this below average

480
00:21:38,000 --> 00:21:40,199
Speaker 3: hitting profile and then you take it what happened at

481
00:21:40,240 --> 00:21:42,400
Speaker 3: the back half of last year. I am still concerned

482
00:21:42,440 --> 00:21:45,360
Speaker 3: about that. He did not hit righties this past year.

483
00:21:45,359 --> 00:21:48,280
Speaker 3: He hit two twenty three. He's stunk in the second half.

484
00:21:48,440 --> 00:21:51,439
Speaker 3: He hit two oh three post All Star break, and

485
00:21:51,480 --> 00:21:54,879
Speaker 3: then everybody knows he also got suspended. He got suspended

486
00:21:54,920 --> 00:21:56,760
Speaker 3: at the end of the season for staying out all

487
00:21:56,840 --> 00:21:59,200
Speaker 3: night gambling. So there's that little head case issue that's

488
00:21:59,240 --> 00:22:03,040
Speaker 3: going on there. He comes into camp, he's gained a

489
00:22:03,080 --> 00:22:05,400
Speaker 3: bunch of muscle. It was like twenty pounds muscle. He's

490
00:22:05,400 --> 00:22:08,360
Speaker 3: had a good spring. I might be wrong about this one,

491
00:22:08,600 --> 00:22:12,920
Speaker 3: but in that like I don't believe in the power continue.

492
00:22:12,960 --> 00:22:14,879
Speaker 3: That's the big one is like I think he's a

493
00:22:14,920 --> 00:22:18,120
Speaker 3: sub twenty home run hitter. I don't feel the need

494
00:22:18,160 --> 00:22:20,359
Speaker 3: to chase the stolen bases like I have before. So

495
00:22:20,400 --> 00:22:22,399
Speaker 3: then also, why if I don't need feel the need

496
00:22:22,480 --> 00:22:24,240
Speaker 3: to chase those stolen bases, do I need a sub

497
00:22:24,240 --> 00:22:26,440
Speaker 3: too to fifty batting average? And then on top of it,

498
00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:30,160
Speaker 3: it's like that second half, some questionable personal stuff that's

499
00:22:30,200 --> 00:22:34,280
Speaker 3: going on, and an underlying profile that really just doesn't

500
00:22:34,640 --> 00:22:36,520
Speaker 3: like play up, like oh, you're gonna become a two

501
00:22:36,640 --> 00:22:38,520
Speaker 3: ninety hitter. All of those things have me concerned. And

502
00:22:38,520 --> 00:22:40,120
Speaker 3: then you look at his ADP and I just think

503
00:22:40,280 --> 00:22:42,720
Speaker 3: it's a little too expensive for like the draft needs

504
00:22:42,760 --> 00:22:45,040
Speaker 3: that I want. So I'm I'm kind of out on

505
00:22:45,080 --> 00:22:47,640
Speaker 3: cj Abrams, especially when he cracks inside like the top

506
00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:49,920
Speaker 3: sixty or fifty or something like that. But Arika, I

507
00:22:49,960 --> 00:22:52,119
Speaker 3: don't know if you feel different about C. J Abrams

508
00:22:52,160 --> 00:22:52,400
Speaker 3: at all.

509
00:22:53,200 --> 00:22:53,360
Speaker 6: No.

510
00:22:53,480 --> 00:22:55,560
Speaker 7: I did a video, a short video on the channel

511
00:22:55,720 --> 00:22:57,320
Speaker 7: maybe a month ago where C. J Abrams was one

512
00:22:57,359 --> 00:22:59,360
Speaker 7: of the fades. Another one was Garrett Cole by the way,

513
00:22:59,640 --> 00:23:01,600
Speaker 7: but I'm completely on the same page as you. Hear

514
00:23:02,400 --> 00:23:05,800
Speaker 7: like the head case stuff. Aside with the casino, he

515
00:23:05,960 --> 00:23:08,560
Speaker 7: was just kind of pedestrian last year, and we're not

516
00:23:08,600 --> 00:23:11,320
Speaker 7: getting any draft discount, maybe like a few picks, but

517
00:23:11,359 --> 00:23:13,480
Speaker 7: this is where he was going last year, third, fourth,

518
00:23:13,480 --> 00:23:16,000
Speaker 7: fifth round, depending on your format. And I think the

519
00:23:16,000 --> 00:23:18,280
Speaker 7: stolen base thing is really key because last year, coming

520
00:23:18,320 --> 00:23:20,240
Speaker 7: off of forty seven steals, you could maybe make the

521
00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:22,200
Speaker 7: case to push him up a little bit more, went

522
00:23:22,240 --> 00:23:24,639
Speaker 7: down to thirty one. Can he get back up to

523
00:23:24,680 --> 00:23:27,200
Speaker 7: forty maybe, But I don't. I don't need to pay

524
00:23:27,240 --> 00:23:30,160
Speaker 7: for steals with such a shaky profile. Like you've laid

525
00:23:30,200 --> 00:23:31,800
Speaker 7: out a really good case. He doesn't give you batting

526
00:23:31,800 --> 00:23:32,680
Speaker 7: average doesn't.

527
00:23:32,560 --> 00:23:34,680
Speaker 3: If he's hit in chew eighty. He's hit in chew eighty.

528
00:23:34,800 --> 00:23:37,720
Speaker 3: We're having a much different discussion here, much different discussion.

529
00:23:37,760 --> 00:23:40,680
Speaker 1: Even that's a discussion if I might for a moment,

530
00:23:40,720 --> 00:23:44,000
Speaker 1: because earlier today he came out of a game hit

531
00:23:44,040 --> 00:23:46,320
Speaker 1: a triple, then came out about an hour or so ago.

532
00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:48,560
Speaker 1: Of course, this from the Fantasy Pro's news desk, which

533
00:23:48,600 --> 00:23:50,919
Speaker 1: is pretty much just Mike Mayer on a hamster wheel

534
00:23:51,359 --> 00:23:53,280
Speaker 1: with an iPad. I think at this point he's just

535
00:23:53,359 --> 00:23:56,679
Speaker 1: running around. He's always typing the news out. If his

536
00:23:57,040 --> 00:23:59,879
Speaker 1: value slips, Let's say maybe it's a hammy or something

537
00:23:59,920 --> 00:24:03,560
Speaker 1: just kind of spitballing here. If for whatever reason, any

538
00:24:03,600 --> 00:24:05,520
Speaker 1: sort of injury sets them back here in spring and

539
00:24:05,560 --> 00:24:09,080
Speaker 1: you see that ADP start to drop to seventy five

540
00:24:09,119 --> 00:24:11,239
Speaker 1: to one hundred overall, Welsh? Would that changer too?

541
00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:11,439
Speaker 5: It on?

542
00:24:11,480 --> 00:24:11,800
Speaker 6: Abrams?

543
00:24:11,840 --> 00:24:12,880
Speaker 1: Would you buy back in then?

544
00:24:13,320 --> 00:24:16,000
Speaker 3: Yeah? Like one thing is I'm not like I can

545
00:24:16,000 --> 00:24:18,480
Speaker 3: be a little agnostic about players sometimes, Like I don't

546
00:24:18,520 --> 00:24:21,040
Speaker 3: have many players where I'm like out, like you know,

547
00:24:21,119 --> 00:24:24,359
Speaker 3: like there's no chance, there's no possibility, like sure if

548
00:24:24,560 --> 00:24:27,240
Speaker 3: if he came at better discounts, but you know there

549
00:24:27,240 --> 00:24:29,040
Speaker 3: are some shortstops of some decent value.

550
00:24:29,040 --> 00:24:29,199
Speaker 8: You know.

551
00:24:29,240 --> 00:24:30,680
Speaker 3: Something in the chat I think a couple of people

552
00:24:30,760 --> 00:24:33,320
Speaker 3: have talked about, was, Hey, would you rather take CJ.

553
00:24:33,400 --> 00:24:37,600
Speaker 3: Abrams inside the top, you know, fifty or wait for Bobaschett. Now,

554
00:24:37,600 --> 00:24:41,040
Speaker 3: Bobachet is not going to probably provide you any stolen bases.

555
00:24:41,080 --> 00:24:44,320
Speaker 3: But if I could wait fifty picks and round out

556
00:24:44,320 --> 00:24:46,639
Speaker 3: my team in other spots and take Bobachett, let's say

557
00:24:46,680 --> 00:24:48,880
Speaker 3: it ninety five or one hundred. I'm going to do

558
00:24:48,920 --> 00:24:53,120
Speaker 3: that for batting average and a jump back in in homers.

559
00:24:53,160 --> 00:24:58,000
Speaker 3: But yeah, if Abrams dropped closer to the like eighty range,

560
00:24:58,040 --> 00:25:00,000
Speaker 3: then I think you're you're mitigating a little bit more

561
00:25:00,119 --> 00:25:02,000
Speaker 3: or risk. But I still kind of stand firm on

562
00:25:02,040 --> 00:25:04,440
Speaker 3: where it is. But if he repeats, hey, listen, twenty thirty,

563
00:25:04,480 --> 00:25:06,520
Speaker 3: We'll all kind of j erriico and I'll be wrong

564
00:25:06,560 --> 00:25:07,040
Speaker 3: about that.

565
00:25:07,880 --> 00:25:11,240
Speaker 1: All right. You know what, Bobachet's injury last year. I'm

566
00:25:11,280 --> 00:25:13,520
Speaker 1: curious with the contract coming up here and with the

567
00:25:13,560 --> 00:25:15,639
Speaker 1: new rules changes, maybe we see a little bit more

568
00:25:15,640 --> 00:25:18,400
Speaker 1: stile basis from Bobaschet than we think. Quick shout out

569
00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:21,240
Speaker 1: and reminder. If you're getting ready for your drafts, use

570
00:25:21,320 --> 00:25:25,840
Speaker 1: the Fantasy Pros mock draft simulator. It's got complete realistic

571
00:25:25,880 --> 00:25:28,359
Speaker 1: mock drafts you can run in minutes without waiting in

572
00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:30,840
Speaker 1: between picks. Of course, at the end, I will probably

573
00:25:30,880 --> 00:25:33,280
Speaker 1: hate your draft, but hey, that's part of tough love

574
00:25:33,600 --> 00:25:35,800
Speaker 1: and learning. You can tailor your mock drafts to your

575
00:25:35,880 --> 00:25:40,160
Speaker 1: league specific settings, including roster configurations and scoring systems. Receive

576
00:25:40,240 --> 00:25:43,399
Speaker 1: instant feedback and draft grades like mine, or maybe a

577
00:25:43,440 --> 00:25:45,720
Speaker 1: better one like Welsh, maybe a B plus from Welsh

578
00:25:45,760 --> 00:25:47,800
Speaker 1: and a mine is from Joe Rico. Now way you

579
00:25:47,840 --> 00:25:51,280
Speaker 1: can refine your strategy and gain competitive edge over your

580
00:25:51,400 --> 00:25:54,879
Speaker 1: league mates. Prepare confidently to dominate your draft with the

581
00:25:54,920 --> 00:25:57,800
Speaker 1: cheat code. And that's the mock draft simulator at fantasypros

582
00:25:57,840 --> 00:26:01,960
Speaker 1: dot com slash mock or again just download MLB Draft

583
00:26:02,000 --> 00:26:03,679
Speaker 1: Wizard wherever you get your apps today.

584
00:26:04,160 --> 00:26:06,520
Speaker 3: And someone asked, by the way, how do I get

585
00:26:06,600 --> 00:26:08,440
Speaker 3: Joe to hate my draft at the end, That's how

586
00:26:08,480 --> 00:26:09,960
Speaker 3: you do it. You can sink your leagues, or you

587
00:26:10,000 --> 00:26:12,880
Speaker 3: can just go into draft simulator, really lock it up,

588
00:26:12,960 --> 00:26:14,679
Speaker 3: do a draft, and at the end you'll get all

589
00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:17,840
Speaker 3: the insights that we give and you can show Joe hating.

590
00:26:17,560 --> 00:26:21,160
Speaker 1: You hashtag free hate. Every year, we have our list

591
00:26:21,240 --> 00:26:23,320
Speaker 1: of our players that we've just simply got to have,

592
00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:26,080
Speaker 1: and Kelly Kirby the Wonky Penguin has some of her

593
00:26:26,119 --> 00:26:28,680
Speaker 1: own as well. So we sat with her, the Welsh,

594
00:26:28,720 --> 00:26:31,480
Speaker 1: and myself to talk about our must have players and

595
00:26:31,560 --> 00:26:34,040
Speaker 1: the targets that we are not leaving drafts without in

596
00:26:34,080 --> 00:26:36,600
Speaker 1: twenty twenty five. And these are names you should pay

597
00:26:36,640 --> 00:26:40,040
Speaker 1: attention to, So let's get to them, right now, all right,

598
00:26:40,080 --> 00:26:43,879
Speaker 1: we have our must have players coming up here, and Kelly,

599
00:26:43,960 --> 00:26:46,679
Speaker 1: we're starting with a guy that I've been drafting everywhere.

600
00:26:46,680 --> 00:26:49,040
Speaker 1: I just took him in the in the right slam

601
00:26:49,080 --> 00:26:51,120
Speaker 1: that we're all in their draft in a way they're

602
00:26:51,200 --> 00:26:54,800
Speaker 1: going in that slow draft. I am very, very bullish

603
00:26:54,960 --> 00:26:57,240
Speaker 1: on this player. I like the over on him for

604
00:26:57,320 --> 00:26:59,200
Speaker 1: home run totals. I even like him to lead the

605
00:26:59,240 --> 00:27:01,880
Speaker 1: league potentially home runs this year. That's right, I said it,

606
00:27:01,960 --> 00:27:04,120
Speaker 1: And it's Brenton Brooker. So let's talk about him. Let's

607
00:27:04,119 --> 00:27:07,679
Speaker 1: talk about the Athletics, because they're moving out of that ballpark,

608
00:27:07,800 --> 00:27:10,360
Speaker 1: which is a place says way too much foul territory,

609
00:27:10,400 --> 00:27:13,120
Speaker 1: which cost hitters at times. It's a much more hitter

610
00:27:13,200 --> 00:27:16,359
Speaker 1: friendly environment Zacramento. We know this. It's old PCL stuff.

611
00:27:16,440 --> 00:27:18,879
Speaker 1: So why are you so bullish on brent Rooker in

612
00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:19,720
Speaker 1: twenty twenty five?

613
00:27:20,440 --> 00:27:22,720
Speaker 5: I mean, I'm bullish, but I'm not delusional. I don't

614
00:27:22,720 --> 00:27:25,119
Speaker 5: think he's going to lead the American League in home runs,

615
00:27:25,160 --> 00:27:26,719
Speaker 5: but I mean, I guess we can go there if

616
00:27:26,720 --> 00:27:27,080
Speaker 5: you want to.

617
00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:29,919
Speaker 1: Let's go there. Why can't he hit forty five and

618
00:27:29,960 --> 00:27:31,920
Speaker 1: do it? And why can't Aaron Judge get pitched around

619
00:27:31,920 --> 00:27:34,560
Speaker 1: all year. I mean, I'm just saying that is true.

620
00:27:34,600 --> 00:27:36,560
Speaker 5: I just I don't know how he can overtake Judge.

621
00:27:36,560 --> 00:27:39,640
Speaker 5: But that is fine. I love him. I've loved him

622
00:27:39,960 --> 00:27:41,760
Speaker 5: like for the last couple of years, and then last

623
00:27:41,800 --> 00:27:45,280
Speaker 5: year it just like entirely paid off with the number

624
00:27:45,320 --> 00:27:47,720
Speaker 5: of homers he hit, the power he showed. We're not

625
00:27:47,720 --> 00:27:49,639
Speaker 5: going to get that batting average again. I mean, he

626
00:27:49,680 --> 00:27:52,040
Speaker 5: batted two ninety three. I think that's going to fall

627
00:27:52,160 --> 00:27:55,199
Speaker 5: at least to like two sixty. But I'm not drafting

628
00:27:55,280 --> 00:27:57,760
Speaker 5: him for batting average. I want all the homers. I

629
00:27:57,840 --> 00:28:02,080
Speaker 5: love that the ballpark is changed, even if it supposedly

630
00:28:02,119 --> 00:28:04,560
Speaker 5: has like the same type of dimensions. I also, isn't

631
00:28:04,560 --> 00:28:06,879
Speaker 5: it like one hundred and ninety degrees like on the

632
00:28:06,880 --> 00:28:10,600
Speaker 5: field and Sacramento all the time. And I hear that

633
00:28:10,640 --> 00:28:12,920
Speaker 5: he carries the ball. I wouldn't know. I live in Minnesota,

634
00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:15,480
Speaker 5: so but yeah, I like what he would do with

635
00:28:15,520 --> 00:28:19,520
Speaker 5: the counting stats, just those three big ones that I

636
00:28:19,760 --> 00:28:22,320
Speaker 5: in my draft strategy today, I talked about like I

637
00:28:22,800 --> 00:28:25,639
Speaker 5: want people who are going to hit thirty and one

638
00:28:25,720 --> 00:28:28,679
Speaker 5: hundred RBIs and like ninety runs if possible, Like I

639
00:28:28,680 --> 00:28:30,880
Speaker 5: want those guys, three of them if I can get them,

640
00:28:31,160 --> 00:28:35,120
Speaker 5: and he's just my target every draft and.

641
00:28:35,040 --> 00:28:37,080
Speaker 1: I would throw into the lineup has improved around him

642
00:28:37,080 --> 00:28:38,840
Speaker 1: as well. He got Lawrence Butler at the top, now

643
00:28:38,920 --> 00:28:41,680
Speaker 1: Rooker hitting the two spot, and Bladet and Langoliers like

644
00:28:42,000 --> 00:28:44,960
Speaker 1: Soda Shrum here hitting the five spot. Gloff has had

645
00:28:44,960 --> 00:28:47,680
Speaker 1: some moments up and down, but you know he's got

646
00:28:47,680 --> 00:28:49,600
Speaker 1: a little bit of poppy even down at the bottom.

647
00:28:49,680 --> 00:28:51,480
Speaker 1: You know, Jacob Wilson at nine projects to be a

648
00:28:51,520 --> 00:28:54,400
Speaker 1: nice major league player. All of a sudden, this Athletics team,

649
00:28:54,400 --> 00:28:57,560
Speaker 1: I think is far more intriguing, and I think they're

650
00:28:57,560 --> 00:28:59,600
Speaker 1: gonna be very pesky in twenty twenty five. They're gonna

651
00:28:59,600 --> 00:29:01,760
Speaker 1: give a lot of teams fits. Maybe they'll come out

652
00:29:01,800 --> 00:29:03,600
Speaker 1: with a ton of ws, but kind of like the

653
00:29:03,680 --> 00:29:05,640
Speaker 1: Nationals early, I think a team's gonna hang around a

654
00:29:05,720 --> 00:29:08,720
Speaker 1: lot more games because of the offense that they might

655
00:29:08,760 --> 00:29:10,600
Speaker 1: be able to bring here. And I think that is

656
00:29:10,600 --> 00:29:13,120
Speaker 1: a very exciting one. Well, we've talked about this before.

657
00:29:13,720 --> 00:29:17,560
Speaker 1: In twenty twenty five. It's ironic because now steels have

658
00:29:17,680 --> 00:29:20,360
Speaker 1: become easier to find with the new rules changes. It's

659
00:29:20,440 --> 00:29:22,280
Speaker 1: power that you have to cover a little bit more.

660
00:29:22,480 --> 00:29:24,640
Speaker 1: And to me, Brent Rooker is going in a spot

661
00:29:24,680 --> 00:29:27,800
Speaker 1: where you can really draft him feel good about getting

662
00:29:27,840 --> 00:29:30,000
Speaker 1: a guy with thirty five forty home r own potential,

663
00:29:30,200 --> 00:29:31,400
Speaker 1: maybe even a little bit more.

664
00:29:32,040 --> 00:29:34,840
Speaker 3: It's not quite the same, but you can almost just

665
00:29:34,880 --> 00:29:37,560
Speaker 3: say power is the new steals like you've got to keep.

666
00:29:37,600 --> 00:29:40,440
Speaker 3: It's an arm It's an arms race of power. And

667
00:29:40,800 --> 00:29:44,680
Speaker 3: you know guys like Victor Robless, Jack McCarthy. I mean,

668
00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:46,000
Speaker 3: even if you want to look at like the Bryce

669
00:29:46,080 --> 00:29:49,360
Speaker 3: Terrang's like, you can find you legit can find thirty

670
00:29:49,360 --> 00:29:52,680
Speaker 3: to forty stolen bases with good batting average and double

671
00:29:52,720 --> 00:29:56,680
Speaker 3: digit homers outside the top one hundred. It's harder and

672
00:29:56,720 --> 00:30:00,560
Speaker 3: harder to find that for power especially comes with some

673
00:30:00,600 --> 00:30:03,320
Speaker 3: batting average, and you know, maybe you don't want it

674
00:30:03,360 --> 00:30:05,360
Speaker 3: like devoid of runs or something like that. So to

675
00:30:05,360 --> 00:30:07,840
Speaker 3: what Kelly said, getting those three high end categories of

676
00:30:08,080 --> 00:30:11,080
Speaker 3: homer's RBI in runs and if it comes with batting average,

677
00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:14,280
Speaker 3: it's even more valuable. I completely agree here. Brent Rooker

678
00:30:14,280 --> 00:30:16,360
Speaker 3: makes the only thing that's negative about Brent Rooker and

679
00:30:16,440 --> 00:30:18,880
Speaker 3: systems that only qualifies at util that kind of stink.

680
00:30:19,200 --> 00:30:21,640
Speaker 3: But you know that is worth it. I mean, thirty

681
00:30:21,640 --> 00:30:25,080
Speaker 3: five homers feels good, ninety ninety feels really good, and

682
00:30:25,120 --> 00:30:27,480
Speaker 3: we know we can find those stolen bases later, so

683
00:30:27,800 --> 00:30:30,440
Speaker 3: there is more of a priority than ever before that.

684
00:30:30,520 --> 00:30:33,040
Speaker 3: Like I remember last year thinking like, oh, you know,

685
00:30:33,080 --> 00:30:34,840
Speaker 3: do you really want to take an Austin Riley? Do

686
00:30:34,880 --> 00:30:36,680
Speaker 3: you really want to take even I know you're kind

687
00:30:36,720 --> 00:30:38,480
Speaker 3: of down endeavors, but like, do you want to do that? Well,

688
00:30:38,520 --> 00:30:42,640
Speaker 3: thirty plus homers ninety ninety one hundred hundred, Brent Rooker

689
00:30:42,800 --> 00:30:45,000
Speaker 3: is just like a two round cheaper version than some

690
00:30:45,040 --> 00:30:47,200
Speaker 3: of those. So I completely agree in the world of

691
00:30:47,280 --> 00:30:50,160
Speaker 3: must haves, I'm on board with Brent Rooker.

692
00:30:50,520 --> 00:30:54,360
Speaker 1: All right, let's see about Spencer Schwellenbach. Here a picture

693
00:30:54,560 --> 00:30:57,000
Speaker 1: that last year came up. It didn't get off to

694
00:30:57,040 --> 00:30:59,560
Speaker 1: the best start, but my goodness, did it finish strong.

695
00:30:59,600 --> 00:31:02,320
Speaker 1: And Spencer Schwellenbach a guy covered by a lot of

696
00:31:02,400 --> 00:31:05,880
Speaker 1: quote unquote experts in the space. These days, you cannot

697
00:31:06,240 --> 00:31:08,160
Speaker 1: turn on a podcast, it feels like and not here

698
00:31:08,240 --> 00:31:11,520
Speaker 1: somebody talking about Spencer Swellenbach and we're guilty as well.

699
00:31:11,600 --> 00:31:14,640
Speaker 1: So well, let's discuss the opportunity that he has in

700
00:31:14,640 --> 00:31:17,400
Speaker 1: twenty twenty five you look at some of these projections

701
00:31:17,440 --> 00:31:20,360
Speaker 1: here for him, and certainly looks like a very strong

702
00:31:20,400 --> 00:31:23,920
Speaker 1: pitcher for the Atlanta Braves coming into this season, an

703
00:31:24,040 --> 00:31:27,640
Speaker 1: organization that has continued to grow good pitching over the

704
00:31:27,640 --> 00:31:30,640
Speaker 1: many many decades now, and they're in a spot here

705
00:31:30,640 --> 00:31:32,960
Speaker 1: where Schwellenbach now looks to be a guy making thirty

706
00:31:33,000 --> 00:31:35,800
Speaker 1: starts this year. So let's talk about the projections for him,

707
00:31:35,840 --> 00:31:38,600
Speaker 1: and let's talk about Spencer Schwellenbach and why you are

708
00:31:38,600 --> 00:31:39,800
Speaker 1: so in on him this season.

709
00:31:40,080 --> 00:31:41,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, and I'll point out I'm not going to do

710
00:31:41,840 --> 00:31:43,520
Speaker 3: this a lot, but like you're right, everyone he is

711
00:31:43,520 --> 00:31:45,560
Speaker 3: talking about Schwellenbach. But I do want to say I've

712
00:31:45,560 --> 00:31:47,840
Speaker 3: been doing it on this channel since like November December

713
00:31:47,880 --> 00:31:50,400
Speaker 3: November like, so I've been pretty consistent, so this should

714
00:31:50,440 --> 00:31:52,600
Speaker 3: not be a shock. There'll be players that we haven't, like,

715
00:31:52,640 --> 00:31:54,000
Speaker 3: talked a ton about, but there's going to be a

716
00:31:54,040 --> 00:31:56,920
Speaker 3: couple of players that like I'm heavily attached to, like

717
00:31:57,080 --> 00:31:59,720
Speaker 3: I have to have, and Spencer Schwellenbach has been that

718
00:32:00,240 --> 00:32:02,560
Speaker 3: since day one. So in the world of must haves,

719
00:32:02,760 --> 00:32:07,080
Speaker 3: especially based on his cost, there is like sp like

720
00:32:07,200 --> 00:32:10,160
Speaker 3: legitimately like sp like two fantasy upside. I don't want

721
00:32:10,160 --> 00:32:11,480
Speaker 3: to be like he's going to be like a top

722
00:32:11,520 --> 00:32:13,360
Speaker 3: ten guy, but you know, like could he be a

723
00:32:13,360 --> 00:32:15,560
Speaker 3: top fifteen guy. I definitely think it's out there. The

724
00:32:15,640 --> 00:32:17,280
Speaker 3: costs makes sense, and I want him on every single

725
00:32:17,320 --> 00:32:20,720
Speaker 3: one of my teams. Last season, twenty five point four

726
00:32:20,760 --> 00:32:23,320
Speaker 3: percent K percentage, one of the few to have an

727
00:32:23,400 --> 00:32:25,880
Speaker 3: under five percent walk rate. So he had an over

728
00:32:25,960 --> 00:32:30,200
Speaker 3: twenty K minus walk percentage, which is great under three

729
00:32:30,200 --> 00:32:33,880
Speaker 3: and a half ERA and expected ERA great. And he

730
00:32:34,080 --> 00:32:36,720
Speaker 3: induced a lot of bad contact under five percent barrel

731
00:32:36,800 --> 00:32:38,120
Speaker 3: rate against, which is great.

732
00:32:38,360 --> 00:32:38,520
Speaker 1: Guy.

733
00:32:38,600 --> 00:32:42,200
Speaker 3: There's five pitches, the two lower, the curveball and the

734
00:32:42,240 --> 00:32:44,800
Speaker 3: split fingers, so two of those bigger breaking type of

735
00:32:44,880 --> 00:32:48,720
Speaker 3: pitches over forty percent with rate last season, and Schwellenbach

736
00:32:48,960 --> 00:32:51,720
Speaker 3: had an absurd into the year, so you know, you

737
00:32:51,800 --> 00:32:53,880
Speaker 3: talk about some of these numbers. He had a four

738
00:32:53,880 --> 00:32:56,840
Speaker 3: to four to three ERA in the pre All Star break,

739
00:32:56,880 --> 00:32:59,400
Speaker 3: so his first forty four innings. He finished the season

740
00:32:59,680 --> 00:33:03,600
Speaker 3: almost eighty innings with a two point seventy three e

741
00:33:03,600 --> 00:33:07,400
Speaker 3: eighty six strikeouts and just thirteen walks. So there's a

742
00:33:07,520 --> 00:33:11,360
Speaker 3: high arsenal of pitches he's throwing. That split fingers absolutely

743
00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:14,400
Speaker 3: devastating and I've likened it to this. Everybody in the

744
00:33:14,400 --> 00:33:18,120
Speaker 3: world loves Brian Wu rightfully so throws as pitches really

745
00:33:18,160 --> 00:33:20,240
Speaker 3: low walk rate, but he has like a twenty percent

746
00:33:20,320 --> 00:33:24,560
Speaker 3: k percentage. Spincher Swellenbach is like what you would want

747
00:33:24,720 --> 00:33:29,080
Speaker 3: Brian Wu to grow into. And this guy is still growing,

748
00:33:29,160 --> 00:33:32,000
Speaker 3: so I really love it. Mid nineties fastball. I think

749
00:33:32,040 --> 00:33:33,880
Speaker 3: that split finger is going to take a step up,

750
00:33:33,920 --> 00:33:36,480
Speaker 3: as you know, kind of split fingers are a new rage.

751
00:33:36,800 --> 00:33:41,000
Speaker 3: So Spincher Schwellenbach is an absolute must have a fantasy

752
00:33:41,040 --> 00:33:43,479
Speaker 3: starting pitcher for me. And you can get him usually

753
00:33:43,520 --> 00:33:46,040
Speaker 3: around like SP three, or if you're waiting, it's more

754
00:33:46,040 --> 00:33:47,960
Speaker 3: of an SP two. But he's a must have.

755
00:33:48,600 --> 00:33:51,280
Speaker 1: You heard it here first everyone, you want your wus

756
00:33:51,440 --> 00:33:54,120
Speaker 1: to grow into Schwellenbox. That is the most important thing

757
00:33:54,120 --> 00:33:54,520
Speaker 1: you could.

758
00:33:54,360 --> 00:33:55,800
Speaker 3: Possibly have, Like the birds and the beach.

759
00:33:56,400 --> 00:33:58,239
Speaker 1: There you go, there you go. You know this is

760
00:33:58,240 --> 00:34:00,280
Speaker 1: important conversations we're having here on the chat. I'll make

761
00:34:00,280 --> 00:34:02,520
Speaker 1: sure you subscribe to the channel because you're not going

762
00:34:02,600 --> 00:34:05,720
Speaker 1: to get this conversation anywhere else. I guarantee you Kelly

763
00:34:05,760 --> 00:34:10,160
Speaker 1: Kirby better return on investment of Spencer's Spencer Schwellenbach currently

764
00:34:10,719 --> 00:34:14,040
Speaker 1: ninety second overall, or Spencer Streider at one twenty six

765
00:34:14,320 --> 00:34:17,200
Speaker 1: and follow up question, why is everybody in the Atlanta's

766
00:34:17,239 --> 00:34:18,400
Speaker 1: pitching system named Spencer?

767
00:34:19,520 --> 00:34:21,600
Speaker 5: Well, I was going to say that, don't do what

768
00:34:21,680 --> 00:34:23,680
Speaker 5: I did in one of the drafts I was in

769
00:34:23,680 --> 00:34:25,640
Speaker 5: where I missed out on Schwellenbach, and I was like,

770
00:34:25,680 --> 00:34:33,839
Speaker 5: that's fine, I'll just draft Raghetty. Yeah, like they're equal. Yeah,

771
00:34:33,920 --> 00:34:37,759
Speaker 5: I mean I am Streriider makes me nervous, so I

772
00:34:37,760 --> 00:34:41,240
Speaker 5: would definitely in terms of value, Yeah, he could obviously

773
00:34:41,280 --> 00:34:44,200
Speaker 5: be a great value. Schwellenbach to me, is just a

774
00:34:44,320 --> 00:34:47,359
Speaker 5: much stronger is a much stronger pick. I don't really

775
00:34:47,440 --> 00:34:51,799
Speaker 5: care where he is for this season. If Strider comes

776
00:34:51,800 --> 00:34:53,719
Speaker 5: back and lights the world on fire, then that's great,

777
00:34:53,800 --> 00:34:56,759
Speaker 5: but I would rather have Schwellenbach. I will settle for

778
00:34:56,880 --> 00:34:58,880
Speaker 5: Ragetty apparently, and we'll.

779
00:34:58,760 --> 00:35:02,560
Speaker 1: Go from Hey, Getty's last off starts were pretty impressive. Yeah,

780
00:35:02,719 --> 00:35:03,920
Speaker 1: let's you know, can.

781
00:35:03,800 --> 00:35:06,080
Speaker 3: We get a whole rotation of Spencer's.

782
00:35:07,280 --> 00:35:08,320
Speaker 5: Turnbull?

783
00:35:08,960 --> 00:35:11,200
Speaker 3: I don't think he's still out there though. Let chat

784
00:35:11,480 --> 00:35:13,319
Speaker 3: give us some more Spencers. Let's see if we only

785
00:35:13,360 --> 00:35:17,560
Speaker 3: get our Spenser, more Spencers and closer we're just trying

786
00:35:17,560 --> 00:35:18,960
Speaker 3: to figure out if we can do see if you

787
00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:19,680
Speaker 3: guys can do it.

788
00:35:19,680 --> 00:35:22,960
Speaker 1: It's time to get ready for your drafts, and the

789
00:35:23,040 --> 00:35:27,239
Speaker 1: Draft Assistant will make those decisions much easier to make

790
00:35:27,320 --> 00:35:30,279
Speaker 1: during your fantasy draft. It connects directly to your draft.

791
00:35:30,360 --> 00:35:32,520
Speaker 1: You can sink your leagues for free, and it provides

792
00:35:32,600 --> 00:35:35,760
Speaker 1: real time suggestions. It's like having us there in the draft.

793
00:35:35,760 --> 00:35:38,680
Speaker 1: You can create cheat sheets as well, which are really useful.

794
00:35:38,800 --> 00:35:42,239
Speaker 1: It'll tell you all the players who are picking after you.

795
00:35:42,480 --> 00:35:45,919
Speaker 1: The managers are going to already have relief pictures. Don't

796
00:35:45,920 --> 00:35:48,080
Speaker 1: take a relief picture here, take them on the way back.

797
00:35:48,120 --> 00:35:51,279
Speaker 1: All these little insights, all these little moments, these reminders,

798
00:35:51,320 --> 00:35:55,080
Speaker 1: these little coachable, teachable moments are all there for you.

799
00:35:55,120 --> 00:35:57,520
Speaker 1: If the Draft Assistant is linked to your league. So

800
00:35:57,760 --> 00:36:01,920
Speaker 1: download right now the Draft Assist fantasypros dot Com, slash Assistant,

801
00:36:02,000 --> 00:36:04,600
Speaker 1: or again, as I said, just go and download the

802
00:36:04,760 --> 00:36:07,440
Speaker 1: Draft Wizard app wherever you get your apps, and that

803
00:36:07,560 --> 00:36:09,840
Speaker 1: way you can use the Draft Assistant, which fully integrates

804
00:36:09,840 --> 00:36:13,480
Speaker 1: and customizes to your leagues. Again, the ranks, the cheat sheets,

805
00:36:13,800 --> 00:36:16,759
Speaker 1: you can use different experts, pick your experts, or just

806
00:36:16,840 --> 00:36:19,880
Speaker 1: use the consensus rankings as well. That way, you know

807
00:36:19,960 --> 00:36:22,040
Speaker 1: you're going to dominate your draft and you're going to

808
00:36:22,120 --> 00:36:24,959
Speaker 1: have the cheat code that nobody else does. So use

809
00:36:25,160 --> 00:36:27,759
Speaker 1: it right now Fantasy rose dot com slash Assistant or

810
00:36:28,040 --> 00:36:31,320
Speaker 1: again Fantasy Baseball Draft Wizard app. Download it today wherever

811
00:36:31,320 --> 00:36:34,440
Speaker 1: you get your apps from. Every single season, there are

812
00:36:34,480 --> 00:36:38,600
Speaker 1: players that are ready to absolutely explode and be breakouts,

813
00:36:38,840 --> 00:36:40,880
Speaker 1: and those are the guys that you really want to

814
00:36:40,960 --> 00:36:43,239
Speaker 1: make sure that you get. So when it comes to

815
00:36:43,280 --> 00:36:46,279
Speaker 1: the hitters, we had a great conversation with our boy,

816
00:36:46,360 --> 00:36:50,279
Speaker 1: case Bubba and his podcast partner Ryan Bloomfield. You know

817
00:36:50,360 --> 00:36:54,000
Speaker 1: them as Bubba and bloom which sounds like a publishing company,

818
00:36:54,040 --> 00:36:56,200
Speaker 1: but you know what, let's guys know what they're talking about,

819
00:36:56,239 --> 00:36:58,040
Speaker 1: so they're going to publish some breakout hitters with me

820
00:36:58,120 --> 00:37:02,600
Speaker 1: and Welsh. Right now, let's start with Casey Babba, who

821
00:37:02,680 --> 00:37:05,240
Speaker 1: is the first guy on your list here, Garrett and Mitchell,

822
00:37:05,320 --> 00:37:07,719
Speaker 1: let's discuss him and why you think you could be

823
00:37:07,760 --> 00:37:09,120
Speaker 1: head for a breakout this season.

824
00:37:10,080 --> 00:37:12,560
Speaker 9: It's one of those that he was expected to be

825
00:37:12,600 --> 00:37:15,360
Speaker 9: the starting centerfielder last season, broken hand in the spring training,

826
00:37:16,520 --> 00:37:19,520
Speaker 9: has the prospect hype behind him put an elite prospect

827
00:37:19,560 --> 00:37:23,640
Speaker 9: because junior Cameranaro took that in Milwaukee, and rightfully so.

828
00:37:24,200 --> 00:37:25,839
Speaker 9: But you have a guy that Garrett Mitchell, who has

829
00:37:25,840 --> 00:37:28,600
Speaker 9: shown decent power and a good amount of speed with

830
00:37:28,600 --> 00:37:30,960
Speaker 9: the good batting average in the minor leagues, hit eight

831
00:37:30,960 --> 00:37:33,000
Speaker 9: homers of the leves Deals, hit two fifty five last

832
00:37:33,080 --> 00:37:35,640
Speaker 9: year at sixty nine games once your return from injury.

833
00:37:35,719 --> 00:37:37,360
Speaker 9: And it's kind of a running joke on our show

834
00:37:37,760 --> 00:37:39,719
Speaker 9: that I have a team Garrett Mitchell over and over

835
00:37:39,760 --> 00:37:43,080
Speaker 9: again as Ryan shakes his head. But for me, Mitchell

836
00:37:43,120 --> 00:37:45,320
Speaker 9: supposed to as expected to hit in the middle of

837
00:37:45,320 --> 00:37:47,279
Speaker 9: the Brewers order, the top half that order at least

838
00:37:47,360 --> 00:37:50,000
Speaker 9: is very very good still, and if he can get

839
00:37:50,040 --> 00:37:52,279
Speaker 9: there play one hundred and fifty plus games on a

840
00:37:52,320 --> 00:37:54,480
Speaker 9: healthy season, I think this was like a fifteen to

841
00:37:54,480 --> 00:37:57,480
Speaker 9: twenty five guy, maybe more, maybe less. I don't know,

842
00:37:57,520 --> 00:37:59,840
Speaker 9: well shouldn't know. The prospect that is better, but the

843
00:38:00,080 --> 00:38:01,960
Speaker 9: skills are definitely there. It's been the playing time, in

844
00:38:02,000 --> 00:38:04,000
Speaker 9: the health. I think he's got it this year, and

845
00:38:04,120 --> 00:38:06,360
Speaker 9: you know, you look at ADP and people aren't as

846
00:38:06,400 --> 00:38:08,239
Speaker 9: excited about him. It feels like this year than last year,

847
00:38:08,239 --> 00:38:09,640
Speaker 9: and that just spells breakout for me.

848
00:38:10,480 --> 00:38:14,040
Speaker 1: All right, Garrett Mitchell playing for Milwaukee team. That look,

849
00:38:14,120 --> 00:38:16,000
Speaker 1: I mean, Churio is now the leader of this offense.

850
00:38:16,040 --> 00:38:20,240
Speaker 1: You can't really put a lot of faith in Christian Yelich. Ever,

851
00:38:20,680 --> 00:38:22,680
Speaker 1: his health has continued to be up and down to

852
00:38:23,360 --> 00:38:25,759
Speaker 1: you know, for the least of it. Well, what's your

853
00:38:25,760 --> 00:38:27,960
Speaker 1: opinion right now of that Brewers lineup when you look

854
00:38:28,000 --> 00:38:29,080
Speaker 1: at it one through nine?

855
00:38:29,360 --> 00:38:33,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, Well, specifically, I think Garrett Mitchell makes it really solid.

856
00:38:33,239 --> 00:38:34,640
Speaker 3: I'm in on it. I mean, I think there's some

857
00:38:34,719 --> 00:38:37,000
Speaker 3: sneaky gyms in there you want to talk about. You

858
00:38:37,080 --> 00:38:39,080
Speaker 3: want to do this, you know, the sleeper thing, and

859
00:38:39,120 --> 00:38:41,480
Speaker 3: you want to go really deep. Joey, your teas definitely

860
00:38:41,480 --> 00:38:43,759
Speaker 3: could be one of those guys good batting average. I've

861
00:38:43,800 --> 00:38:45,960
Speaker 3: been preaching this for a year and a half and

862
00:38:46,000 --> 00:38:48,799
Speaker 3: it's been weird. But Caleb Durbin, you know, when he

863
00:38:48,840 --> 00:38:51,000
Speaker 3: was a Yankees prospect in the AFL two years ago,

864
00:38:51,080 --> 00:38:53,520
Speaker 3: I talked on a I think it was on The

865
00:38:53,760 --> 00:38:56,200
Speaker 3: Athletic with or No. I think it was the CBS

866
00:38:56,239 --> 00:38:59,359
Speaker 3: Show with James Trianta's when we were talking about Caleb Durbin,

867
00:38:59,360 --> 00:39:01,920
Speaker 3: whose teammates with and Dude is a stolen based monster.

868
00:39:01,960 --> 00:39:05,040
Speaker 3: He just broke this past year the AFL record for

869
00:39:05,080 --> 00:39:07,560
Speaker 3: most stolen bases. I know people felt whatever, but the

870
00:39:07,600 --> 00:39:09,440
Speaker 3: guy's got some sneaky pop. He's going to be a

871
00:39:09,440 --> 00:39:11,719
Speaker 3: third basement on this team. If he played every single day,

872
00:39:11,719 --> 00:39:15,280
Speaker 3: guy could steal fifty. So I think there's sneaky power

873
00:39:15,680 --> 00:39:18,240
Speaker 3: kind of across this lineup. And I think Garrett Mitchell

874
00:39:18,320 --> 00:39:20,520
Speaker 3: is actually one of the hidden gems across the board

875
00:39:20,520 --> 00:39:23,040
Speaker 3: because he's like, he's not the like back back in

876
00:39:23,120 --> 00:39:25,520
Speaker 3: I'm throwing a dart. He's not the high cost of

877
00:39:25,520 --> 00:39:28,760
Speaker 3: William Contreras or like Christian Yelich with some of those questions.

878
00:39:28,960 --> 00:39:31,960
Speaker 3: Garrett Mitchell sits in there and there's a range of outcomes.

879
00:39:31,960 --> 00:39:36,560
Speaker 3: I think the low range is like two fifty two, sixty, fifteen, fifteen,

880
00:39:36,600 --> 00:39:38,680
Speaker 3: and I think a high range could push twenty twenty.

881
00:39:38,760 --> 00:39:40,440
Speaker 3: And I know that's like an arbitrary number we throw

882
00:39:40,440 --> 00:39:42,480
Speaker 3: out sometime, but I wouldn't be shocked at it. And

883
00:39:42,520 --> 00:39:44,520
Speaker 3: I also wouldn't be shocked if he hit for average,

884
00:39:44,560 --> 00:39:47,319
Speaker 3: like average average, not the projected to forty two. There

885
00:39:47,480 --> 00:39:50,080
Speaker 3: he hit two seventies. So I'm with Bubba here, like

886
00:39:50,239 --> 00:39:52,879
Speaker 3: big time. I'm a huge team Garrett Mitchell. He's got

887
00:39:52,920 --> 00:39:55,719
Speaker 3: to be my outfield four or five. Like if I miss,

888
00:39:56,320 --> 00:39:58,520
Speaker 3: I need my shares of Victor Roebliss as like my

889
00:39:58,560 --> 00:40:01,239
Speaker 3: outfielder for perfectly, and then Garrett Mitchell would be my

890
00:40:01,239 --> 00:40:02,480
Speaker 3: outfielder five if I could.

891
00:40:02,880 --> 00:40:05,280
Speaker 1: All right, let's get Bloomfield up at the bat here,

892
00:40:05,440 --> 00:40:07,560
Speaker 1: and let's talk about Matt Shaw. So we are gonna

893
00:40:07,560 --> 00:40:10,200
Speaker 1: start with a rookie, but a rookie that has uh,

894
00:40:10,440 --> 00:40:13,920
Speaker 1: certainly position flexibility there, right, he could play different spots

895
00:40:13,920 --> 00:40:16,359
Speaker 1: in the infield, which always is gonna help. Uh. He

896
00:40:16,440 --> 00:40:19,160
Speaker 1: has I think, very little if nothing left to prove

897
00:40:19,200 --> 00:40:22,279
Speaker 1: here at the minor league level. So Ryan, let's talk

898
00:40:22,280 --> 00:40:24,480
Speaker 1: about Matt Shaw here, a guy who is on a

899
00:40:24,480 --> 00:40:26,440
Speaker 1: lot of people's list for Rookie of the year. The

900
00:40:26,520 --> 00:40:28,520
Speaker 1: Cubs have gone all in. You go out there, you

901
00:40:28,560 --> 00:40:31,880
Speaker 1: acquire Kyle Tucker. You are pushing your chips and you

902
00:40:31,960 --> 00:40:34,080
Speaker 1: got two big dogs at the top of this rotation.

903
00:40:34,600 --> 00:40:37,640
Speaker 1: You go got some, you go done, got some book

904
00:40:40,360 --> 00:40:43,160
Speaker 1: Bob and Blooms. When I get that recormend it, sure

905
00:40:43,239 --> 00:40:47,040
Speaker 1: he's gonna be tasty. But look, you've got a situation

906
00:40:47,120 --> 00:40:49,640
Speaker 1: with Matt Shaw where he is going to get the

907
00:40:49,640 --> 00:40:52,280
Speaker 1: majority of bats. No matter when it starts, it's eventually

908
00:40:52,280 --> 00:40:54,399
Speaker 1: gonna be the majority at the major league level. I'm

909
00:40:54,400 --> 00:40:57,080
Speaker 1: excited about him. Let's hear somebody else like you talk

910
00:40:57,080 --> 00:40:59,960
Speaker 1: about why everybody watching and listening right now in the

911
00:41:00,000 --> 00:41:03,160
Speaker 1: YouTube channel should be excited about Matt Shaw this season.

912
00:41:03,680 --> 00:41:03,879
Speaker 5: Yeah.

913
00:41:03,880 --> 00:41:07,120
Speaker 10: And I'm kind of notorious for drafting old, boring veteran

914
00:41:07,160 --> 00:41:10,759
Speaker 10: players and drafting like the oldest team possible. Matt Shaw

915
00:41:10,840 --> 00:41:13,680
Speaker 10: is the exception to that because it's it's I mean,

916
00:41:13,719 --> 00:41:15,680
Speaker 10: the price is so cheap, it's outside a top two

917
00:41:15,760 --> 00:41:18,520
Speaker 10: hundred pick. And for me, like, if Matt Shaw doesn't hit,

918
00:41:18,560 --> 00:41:21,719
Speaker 10: it doesn't ruin your team. And I just I don't know.

919
00:41:21,960 --> 00:41:24,239
Speaker 10: I think the parallels to this time last year. There

920
00:41:24,320 --> 00:41:27,200
Speaker 10: was a guy who was a pretty good prospect whose

921
00:41:27,239 --> 00:41:31,520
Speaker 10: team was starting the season overseas, was named in the

922
00:41:31,560 --> 00:41:35,000
Speaker 10: starting lineup right before that overseas trip and went on

923
00:41:35,080 --> 00:41:37,080
Speaker 10: to do some big things, and that was Jackson Merrill.

924
00:41:37,120 --> 00:41:40,120
Speaker 10: And I can see Matt Shaw doing the same exact

925
00:41:40,200 --> 00:41:43,680
Speaker 10: thing down to the tea of the Cubs traveling overseas,

926
00:41:43,680 --> 00:41:46,200
Speaker 10: and Matt Shaw is making that trip and will be

927
00:41:46,200 --> 00:41:48,680
Speaker 10: the starting third baseman for the Chicago Cubs. I think

928
00:41:48,760 --> 00:41:51,839
Speaker 10: we've seen some comments already in the chat here that

929
00:41:51,840 --> 00:41:54,840
Speaker 10: that Matt Shaw Rookie of the Year twenty twenty. I

930
00:41:54,840 --> 00:41:57,440
Speaker 10: think that can absolutely have given what we saw for

931
00:41:57,560 --> 00:42:01,239
Speaker 10: Matt Shaw and the upper miners last season and at

932
00:42:01,280 --> 00:42:04,879
Speaker 10: third base where if you look at third base after

933
00:42:04,880 --> 00:42:09,959
Speaker 10: two hundred eightyp it is brutal fellas and Matt Shaw

934
00:42:10,040 --> 00:42:12,360
Speaker 10: is that is that guy where once you're outside the

935
00:42:12,360 --> 00:42:14,319
Speaker 10: top two hundred, I like to kind of speculate on

936
00:42:14,360 --> 00:42:16,960
Speaker 10: that ceiling. And Matt Shaw has as high as ceiling

937
00:42:17,000 --> 00:42:19,240
Speaker 10: as anybody going in the in the top two hundred.

938
00:42:19,280 --> 00:42:21,399
Speaker 3: And I think the playing time, which is the.

939
00:42:21,320 --> 00:42:24,080
Speaker 10: Most important thing for rookies and prospects coming up in

940
00:42:24,120 --> 00:42:26,040
Speaker 10: redraft leagues, I think it's going to be there.

941
00:42:26,320 --> 00:42:28,919
Speaker 1: Well share the prospect guy right now, Shaw's plus four

942
00:42:29,000 --> 00:42:31,279
Speaker 1: hundred for Rookie of the Year. I love that Ryan

943
00:42:31,320 --> 00:42:33,160
Speaker 1: mentioned Jackson Merril because that was kind of the guy

944
00:42:33,160 --> 00:42:34,640
Speaker 1: I don't want the game out of nowhere, But I

945
00:42:34,640 --> 00:42:36,960
Speaker 1: don't remember talking to anybody who was as high on

946
00:42:37,000 --> 00:42:39,239
Speaker 1: Jackson Merril as you were. You had Rookie of the

947
00:42:39,320 --> 00:42:43,040
Speaker 1: Year shares for him. Do you see him Jackson Merrill esque?

948
00:42:43,160 --> 00:42:47,479
Speaker 1: Sort of breakthrough right away and then just gets better

949
00:42:47,520 --> 00:42:49,200
Speaker 1: as it goes. Kind of season for Matt Shaw. Like

950
00:42:49,200 --> 00:42:50,280
Speaker 1: we saw at a Meryl last.

951
00:42:50,120 --> 00:42:52,799
Speaker 3: Year by one of the greatest collectibles I would have

952
00:42:53,040 --> 00:42:56,800
Speaker 3: in my collection is I was able to get Jackson

953
00:42:56,840 --> 00:43:00,520
Speaker 3: Merrill to sign his rookie card with the inscription of

954
00:43:00,560 --> 00:43:02,960
Speaker 3: my odds I bet on him for Rookie of the Year.

955
00:43:03,040 --> 00:43:05,560
Speaker 3: I have it. I have it here. Oh but it

956
00:43:05,600 --> 00:43:07,719
Speaker 3: didn't cash, and he loved it, and it would have been.

957
00:43:07,800 --> 00:43:09,640
Speaker 3: It's still the kind of the greatest thing ever. But

958
00:43:09,680 --> 00:43:12,320
Speaker 3: I got it. It was like seventeen to one last season,

959
00:43:12,400 --> 00:43:15,680
Speaker 3: so I was definitely in on that. Yeah, I'm I'm

960
00:43:16,000 --> 00:43:18,319
Speaker 3: so co signing on this. I'm actually up right now.

961
00:43:18,440 --> 00:43:21,080
Speaker 3: I'm in taut draft and hold and I just took.

962
00:43:21,080 --> 00:43:23,400
Speaker 3: I got Matt Shaw because I didn't have a third basement.

963
00:43:23,400 --> 00:43:25,680
Speaker 3: I got a two fifty six. And I think that's

964
00:43:25,719 --> 00:43:28,880
Speaker 3: a screaming deal for a guy that twenty homers thirty

965
00:43:28,880 --> 00:43:33,160
Speaker 3: stolen bases last season. Four average, not a crazy worrisome

966
00:43:34,640 --> 00:43:36,560
Speaker 3: strikeout ratio. Actually, we just did it. We have a

967
00:43:36,560 --> 00:43:38,399
Speaker 3: Sleep article coming out this week, and I put Matt

968
00:43:38,440 --> 00:43:40,680
Speaker 3: Shaw in there because like he's going to get all

969
00:43:40,680 --> 00:43:43,560
Speaker 3: the opportunity this entire season long. He's got a really

970
00:43:43,560 --> 00:43:47,120
Speaker 3: good skill set. Twenty twenty is in line again. It

971
00:43:47,160 --> 00:43:49,719
Speaker 3: could waiver, it could be more like eighteen and twenty five.

972
00:43:49,760 --> 00:43:51,919
Speaker 3: I think he's going to steal. I just think he's

973
00:43:51,960 --> 00:43:54,200
Speaker 3: one of the great picks to get in on and

974
00:43:54,239 --> 00:43:56,000
Speaker 3: it's the rookie of the year. Could be tough with

975
00:43:56,120 --> 00:43:59,439
Speaker 3: Rokie Sazaki, but the reason he is at that four

976
00:43:59,520 --> 00:44:02,239
Speaker 3: hundred mark because Rookie's keeping him back. If not, I

977
00:44:02,280 --> 00:44:04,080
Speaker 3: think he would be the odds would be a lot

978
00:44:04,120 --> 00:44:05,520
Speaker 3: worse in this situation.

979
00:44:06,480 --> 00:44:08,600
Speaker 1: Next guy on our list is a guy that I'm

980
00:44:08,600 --> 00:44:10,239
Speaker 1: buying back in on hard and last year I was

981
00:44:10,280 --> 00:44:11,719
Speaker 1: fading at the top and why should I had a

982
00:44:11,760 --> 00:44:13,920
Speaker 1: lot of discussion. I thought they were maybe pushing a

983
00:44:13,920 --> 00:44:16,600
Speaker 1: little bit too much too soon with Jackson Holiday. I

984
00:44:16,600 --> 00:44:18,600
Speaker 1: don't think that this year. I look at Jackson Holiday

985
00:44:18,680 --> 00:44:22,160
Speaker 1: is an absolute steal because I like the adjustments that

986
00:44:22,200 --> 00:44:23,320
Speaker 1: he's made in the offseason.

987
00:44:23,320 --> 00:44:23,520
Speaker 4: Two.

988
00:44:23,600 --> 00:44:25,400
Speaker 1: He's gotten rid of the leg kick. Everything's getting a

989
00:44:25,400 --> 00:44:28,400
Speaker 1: little bit simpler. He's getting a little bit fuller in

990
00:44:28,440 --> 00:44:30,920
Speaker 1: the body too. He's, you know, twenty year old kid

991
00:44:30,960 --> 00:44:34,239
Speaker 1: last year and as the body develops, the power will

992
00:44:34,239 --> 00:44:35,920
Speaker 1: continue to develop. To you a little bit. I don't

993
00:44:35,920 --> 00:44:38,160
Speaker 1: expect to be a thirty five home run guy. He's

994
00:44:38,160 --> 00:44:40,520
Speaker 1: a trunk kid, and he's a kid that has excelled

995
00:44:40,520 --> 00:44:42,200
Speaker 1: at every single level, looks at the big leagues and

996
00:44:42,200 --> 00:44:44,960
Speaker 1: it's only a matter of time. Welsh talk to me

997
00:44:45,000 --> 00:44:47,799
Speaker 1: about Jackson Holiday in twenty twenty five, Why you think

998
00:44:48,280 --> 00:44:51,320
Speaker 1: this is the year that finally he has his breakout.

999
00:44:51,600 --> 00:44:53,600
Speaker 3: Well, yeah, to like completely avoid the add of the

1000
00:44:53,680 --> 00:44:55,560
Speaker 3: microut adage, like we talked about, it's like, you know,

1001
00:44:55,600 --> 00:44:58,080
Speaker 3: rookie year, they struggle, blah blah blah. I was shocked

1002
00:44:58,120 --> 00:45:00,759
Speaker 3: at how bad Holiday was to be because like one

1003
00:45:00,760 --> 00:45:02,120
Speaker 3: of the things he was primed to be in the

1004
00:45:02,160 --> 00:45:06,080
Speaker 3: minors was just such a phenomenal young hitter, high OBP.

1005
00:45:06,440 --> 00:45:10,520
Speaker 3: Wasn't striking out four average power was there, big strong kid,

1006
00:45:10,800 --> 00:45:13,680
Speaker 3: steals bases really aggressively, and I had did this like

1007
00:45:14,040 --> 00:45:17,080
Speaker 3: you know, like projected prospect stat line, and one of

1008
00:45:17,080 --> 00:45:18,960
Speaker 3: the things I did that I think surprise people was

1009
00:45:18,960 --> 00:45:21,719
Speaker 3: I was very aggressive on Jackson Holidays stolen bases last year,

1010
00:45:21,719 --> 00:45:24,320
Speaker 3: and just nothing worked because he couldn't hit secondary pitches

1011
00:45:24,360 --> 00:45:27,120
Speaker 3: and sliders ate him. Up and he was just trash.

1012
00:45:27,200 --> 00:45:29,799
Speaker 3: So a full off season of that being able. You know,

1013
00:45:29,840 --> 00:45:32,800
Speaker 3: he's got his own ranch at his house with Matt Holidays,

1014
00:45:32,840 --> 00:45:35,440
Speaker 3: his dad, and you know they're working through that, breaking

1015
00:45:35,480 --> 00:45:38,280
Speaker 3: down the swing, trying to lower that, trying to shorten

1016
00:45:38,280 --> 00:45:40,600
Speaker 3: that swing out. We've seen good results in spring which

1017
00:45:40,600 --> 00:45:43,040
Speaker 3: make me feel encouraged. He's got a homer, he's got

1018
00:45:43,040 --> 00:45:45,399
Speaker 3: a couple extra base hits, he's hitting two seventy six.

1019
00:45:45,640 --> 00:45:48,279
Speaker 3: But also this he has five stolen base attempts. He

1020
00:45:48,280 --> 00:45:51,640
Speaker 3: has been caught twice, but he's stolen three bases. Aggressive

1021
00:45:51,920 --> 00:45:55,719
Speaker 3: in the spring. In thirty one played appearances, he has

1022
00:45:55,760 --> 00:45:59,560
Speaker 3: attempted five stolen bases. That's huge. And guess what, he's

1023
00:45:59,560 --> 00:46:02,080
Speaker 3: got the plaint time in front of him. Good things change. Sure,

1024
00:46:02,560 --> 00:46:04,440
Speaker 3: Koby Mayo could go to third, they can move Westburg

1025
00:46:04,520 --> 00:46:07,440
Speaker 3: to second, but you got injury stuff with Gunnar Henderson.

1026
00:46:07,440 --> 00:46:09,480
Speaker 3: I think they're committed this year to Jackson holiday. I

1027
00:46:09,480 --> 00:46:11,359
Speaker 3: think you're going to see that average come back up.

1028
00:46:11,840 --> 00:46:14,239
Speaker 3: I think you're gonna see him hit secondary pitches, and

1029
00:46:14,320 --> 00:46:17,120
Speaker 3: I think he's gonna aggressively steal what the stat line

1030
00:46:17,200 --> 00:46:18,719
Speaker 3: is going to be. I'm not one hundred percent sure.

1031
00:46:18,719 --> 00:46:21,520
Speaker 3: But to me, he's a post hype sleeper because he

1032
00:46:21,640 --> 00:46:23,959
Speaker 3: is well out, you know, outside the two hundreds. People

1033
00:46:23,960 --> 00:46:26,680
Speaker 3: are just not in on Jackson Holiday this season. I

1034
00:46:26,719 --> 00:46:29,800
Speaker 3: think Jackson Holiday should is and should be as exciting

1035
00:46:29,800 --> 00:46:32,480
Speaker 3: to people as Matt Shaw for this year. But he's

1036
00:46:32,520 --> 00:46:34,160
Speaker 3: just not going to be Rookie of the Year eligible.

1037
00:46:34,280 --> 00:46:37,360
Speaker 3: So the cheap investment of Jackson Holiday makes a lot

1038
00:46:37,440 --> 00:46:39,680
Speaker 3: of sense to me, and I think he's gonna breakout, Bubba.

1039
00:46:39,719 --> 00:46:42,960
Speaker 1: The consensus ADP is one ninety overall on Jackson Holiday.

1040
00:46:43,000 --> 00:46:43,640
Speaker 1: Are you buying him?

1041
00:46:43,640 --> 00:46:43,839
Speaker 4: There?

1042
00:46:44,719 --> 00:46:46,319
Speaker 9: Seeah, I was hoping you weren't going to go my

1043
00:46:46,320 --> 00:46:47,440
Speaker 9: direction because this is the one.

1044
00:46:47,520 --> 00:46:48,399
Speaker 1: Well that's why I did.

1045
00:46:48,760 --> 00:46:48,960
Speaker 5: Yeah.

1046
00:46:49,440 --> 00:46:51,440
Speaker 9: Every time we talk about him on our show, I'm like,

1047
00:46:51,480 --> 00:46:53,520
Speaker 9: I do not know what to do with Jackson Holiday.

1048
00:46:53,600 --> 00:46:56,080
Speaker 9: We saw such a poor start. We saw him come

1049
00:46:56,080 --> 00:46:58,480
Speaker 9: back with the swing changes. He had some moments, still

1050
00:46:58,880 --> 00:47:01,640
Speaker 9: sketchy right now. He's locked in the second base, but

1051
00:47:01,640 --> 00:47:03,800
Speaker 9: there's a lot of options in Baltimore if he struggles,

1052
00:47:03,800 --> 00:47:06,080
Speaker 9: like could he go back down? There's a million questions.

1053
00:47:06,120 --> 00:47:08,560
Speaker 9: For me, I'm not in on him. I get it though,

1054
00:47:08,600 --> 00:47:11,799
Speaker 9: Like what Welsh said, I understand the process before and

1055
00:47:12,040 --> 00:47:14,040
Speaker 9: if he goes off, will never see one ninety again,

1056
00:47:14,160 --> 00:47:16,640
Speaker 9: nothing close to it. So I get the whole concept

1057
00:47:16,640 --> 00:47:19,040
Speaker 9: of the breakout. It fits the mold. I'm just not

1058
00:47:19,160 --> 00:47:22,520
Speaker 9: there because I have no clue on what you fully expect.

1059
00:47:22,520 --> 00:47:24,279
Speaker 9: Like I feel like he's maybe two or three years

1060
00:47:24,280 --> 00:47:27,240
Speaker 9: away from being that guy, not this year, least.

1061
00:47:27,040 --> 00:47:28,160
Speaker 6: For me Ryan.

1062
00:47:28,400 --> 00:47:31,279
Speaker 1: I mean at second base, it's kind of rough out there.

1063
00:47:31,520 --> 00:47:32,680
Speaker 1: And if I'm going to take a shot on a

1064
00:47:32,719 --> 00:47:35,560
Speaker 1: guy with massive upside, he's a guy that has that.

1065
00:47:35,680 --> 00:47:37,919
Speaker 1: And with the Gunner Henderson injury, you're seeing him start

1066
00:47:37,920 --> 00:47:40,560
Speaker 1: to play a little shortstop too. That's a good thing

1067
00:47:40,600 --> 00:47:42,960
Speaker 1: maybe a little bit more position flexibility for him as

1068
00:47:43,000 --> 00:47:46,640
Speaker 1: the season goes on. And to me at second base,

1069
00:47:46,840 --> 00:47:49,680
Speaker 1: I'm willing to take that shot on Holiday, are you?

1070
00:47:51,719 --> 00:47:53,960
Speaker 10: I'll give the cop out answer. Maybe I think the

1071
00:47:54,600 --> 00:47:58,080
Speaker 10: shallower league that you're in, I think Jackson Holiday gets

1072
00:47:58,120 --> 00:48:00,719
Speaker 10: more attractive to me. So like a team league, a

1073
00:48:00,760 --> 00:48:03,000
Speaker 10: twelve team league where you are kind of banking a

1074
00:48:03,040 --> 00:48:05,480
Speaker 10: little bit more later in the draft on a ceiling

1075
00:48:05,520 --> 00:48:08,759
Speaker 10: of a Jackson Holiday, which is immense could work out.

1076
00:48:08,960 --> 00:48:11,560
Speaker 10: I play in mostly twelve fifteen teamers. I want to

1077
00:48:11,640 --> 00:48:14,640
Speaker 10: hire floor. I want a little bit more certainty even,

1078
00:48:14,760 --> 00:48:17,080
Speaker 10: you know, even at one ninety. So I'm kind of

1079
00:48:17,080 --> 00:48:19,640
Speaker 10: on on on Bobba's side here, which for as often

1080
00:48:19,640 --> 00:48:21,400
Speaker 10: as we do a show together, we are usually on

1081
00:48:21,440 --> 00:48:24,239
Speaker 10: opposite sides of almost every player, which is probably a

1082
00:48:24,239 --> 00:48:24,640
Speaker 10: good thing.

1083
00:48:25,080 --> 00:48:26,919
Speaker 4: But I'm with Bubb.

1084
00:48:27,120 --> 00:48:29,520
Speaker 10: I think I just think we're depending on it or

1085
00:48:29,560 --> 00:48:31,120
Speaker 10: we're planning on it to happen this year, and I

1086
00:48:31,120 --> 00:48:31,920
Speaker 10: don't I don't know.

1087
00:48:31,960 --> 00:48:35,440
Speaker 1: If I want to, says chat drop it out on

1088
00:48:35,520 --> 00:48:38,640
Speaker 1: Jackson Holiday, we can get a poll on that. Just

1089
00:48:38,640 --> 00:48:42,360
Speaker 1: a quick reminder also that leading off this year is

1090
00:48:42,440 --> 00:48:45,000
Speaker 1: going to be on Twitch. That's right, your favorite Fantasy

1091
00:48:45,000 --> 00:48:48,680
Speaker 1: Baseball program with these two handsome devils is going to

1092
00:48:48,719 --> 00:48:51,960
Speaker 1: be on YouTube on demand as always, but we're going

1093
00:48:52,040 --> 00:48:53,879
Speaker 1: to be live this year on Twitch, and we want

1094
00:48:53,920 --> 00:48:57,200
Speaker 1: you to join us for that Twitch stream every single

1095
00:48:57,280 --> 00:49:00,120
Speaker 1: day live noon Eastern time at Twitch dot e v

1096
00:49:00,239 --> 00:49:04,720
Speaker 1: slash Fantasy Pros. Why because it was fun to try

1097
00:49:04,719 --> 00:49:06,480
Speaker 1: something new and we want to see if we can

1098
00:49:06,520 --> 00:49:10,120
Speaker 1: make Twitch our new big thing here over on Fantasy

1099
00:49:10,120 --> 00:49:13,480
Speaker 1: Pros MLB. So all the peanuts, all the cracker jacks

1100
00:49:13,480 --> 00:49:15,160
Speaker 1: who join us all the time, we want you to

1101
00:49:15,200 --> 00:49:16,879
Speaker 1: be there with us live. You're the ones that make

1102
00:49:16,880 --> 00:49:19,920
Speaker 1: the show. Yes, you can get your personalities, your questions

1103
00:49:19,920 --> 00:49:22,080
Speaker 1: of comments also out there live. And if you miss

1104
00:49:22,120 --> 00:49:24,600
Speaker 1: it live, that's okay. It's still going on the YouTube channel.

1105
00:49:24,920 --> 00:49:28,200
Speaker 1: Don't worry. But we'd love for you to experience fantasy

1106
00:49:28,200 --> 00:49:31,320
Speaker 1: baseball with us every single day on our new Twitch

1107
00:49:31,600 --> 00:49:35,560
Speaker 1: channel that's Twitch dot tv slash Fantasy Pros. It's very easy,

1108
00:49:35,640 --> 00:49:37,919
Speaker 1: it's very simple. Even the Welsh figured it out.

1109
00:49:38,160 --> 00:49:39,960
Speaker 3: Look at that too, Look at those arms.

1110
00:49:40,000 --> 00:49:43,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, you're about to embrace me and hug me and

1111
00:49:43,960 --> 00:49:46,640
Speaker 1: uh and love on me, which is nice. Yes I'm screaming.

1112
00:49:46,760 --> 00:49:49,800
Speaker 1: No I'm not. I'm not worthy of your love. That's

1113
00:49:50,080 --> 00:49:50,799
Speaker 1: that's what it is.

1114
00:49:50,840 --> 00:49:54,480
Speaker 10: But it's amazing what photoshop can do to enhance Welsh's arms.

1115
00:49:54,520 --> 00:49:58,120
Speaker 3: Apparently, I mean it's jack. I look, it's not photoshopped.

1116
00:49:58,200 --> 00:49:59,560
Speaker 3: I'm not jee it's the opposite.

1117
00:49:59,600 --> 00:50:06,759
Speaker 1: Probably, I'm more like the you know commercial with you

1118
00:50:06,840 --> 00:50:09,680
Speaker 1: and Frank Thomas hitting batting practice. I don't remember that.

1119
00:50:10,680 --> 00:50:12,879
Speaker 1: And it's not just about the hitters. We also talked

1120
00:50:13,000 --> 00:50:17,719
Speaker 1: breakout pitchers with Lance Brozdowski, the Welsh, and Joe Arico.

1121
00:50:17,880 --> 00:50:20,560
Speaker 1: Lance were the best pitching minds out there in this space,

1122
00:50:20,800 --> 00:50:23,759
Speaker 1: had some great names that he was dropping here in

1123
00:50:23,880 --> 00:50:26,800
Speaker 1: our fantasy Fest twenty twenty five. So get your pens

1124
00:50:26,840 --> 00:50:30,960
Speaker 1: and pencils ready, where your notes ready in your mobile device.

1125
00:50:31,040 --> 00:50:34,000
Speaker 1: I don't know whatever you do nowadays, but look take

1126
00:50:34,040 --> 00:50:37,560
Speaker 1: notes somewhere because these names are going to crush twenty

1127
00:50:37,600 --> 00:50:38,240
Speaker 1: twenty five.

1128
00:50:38,880 --> 00:50:41,240
Speaker 3: Let's get into it, Lance. Let's start with your first

1129
00:50:41,280 --> 00:50:44,279
Speaker 3: breakout pitcher and let's go. It's kind of a two

1130
00:50:44,280 --> 00:50:45,440
Speaker 3: for I. Actually I don't even know what we have

1131
00:50:45,520 --> 00:50:48,200
Speaker 3: on the graphics here before we see it. We've got

1132
00:50:48,239 --> 00:50:50,920
Speaker 3: Max Meyer on the list here. But also you're going

1133
00:50:51,000 --> 00:50:53,440
Speaker 3: to be throwing in some Ryan Weathers because I know

1134
00:50:53,520 --> 00:50:56,200
Speaker 3: he has been a big topic of conversation and really

1135
00:50:56,239 --> 00:50:59,280
Speaker 3: showed some big signs last year. But give us both

1136
00:50:59,320 --> 00:51:03,640
Speaker 3: of the maybe people didn't expect too Marlin's breakout starting pitchers.

1137
00:51:04,120 --> 00:51:06,279
Speaker 11: Yeah, this is this is my staff. So I do

1138
00:51:06,360 --> 00:51:09,239
Speaker 11: think we're so good with stuff, models and everything on

1139
00:51:09,280 --> 00:51:12,120
Speaker 11: the public side that when I often look at I

1140
00:51:12,200 --> 00:51:14,960
Speaker 11: tend to delay my looking at ADP. I honestly probably

1141
00:51:14,960 --> 00:51:16,759
Speaker 11: looked at it for the first time maybe a week ago.

1142
00:51:16,840 --> 00:51:19,520
Speaker 11: I don't do much off season drafting. So when I

1143
00:51:19,560 --> 00:51:21,759
Speaker 11: looked at it a lot of the time, I'm like, ah, dang,

1144
00:51:21,800 --> 00:51:24,120
Speaker 11: everyone's in on that guy. And it's not particularly surprising

1145
00:51:24,160 --> 00:51:26,359
Speaker 11: because of how ubiquitous stuff, models and all these other

1146
00:51:26,400 --> 00:51:28,319
Speaker 11: things are. What I tend to go for on the

1147
00:51:28,400 --> 00:51:31,319
Speaker 11: edge side is things that are not caught. I don't think,

1148
00:51:31,360 --> 00:51:34,160
Speaker 11: at least in projections. And one of the big things here,

1149
00:51:34,239 --> 00:51:38,000
Speaker 11: the Marlins turned over a bunch of pitching staff, just

1150
00:51:38,560 --> 00:51:41,279
Speaker 11: completely wiped the floor with pretty much everybody they had.

1151
00:51:41,280 --> 00:51:43,200
Speaker 11: They brought in a new director of pitching, new pitching coach,

1152
00:51:43,239 --> 00:51:45,479
Speaker 11: and assistant pitching coach, in a variety of other people

1153
00:51:45,480 --> 00:51:48,000
Speaker 11: they like, doubled their analytics staff, and I think the

1154
00:51:48,080 --> 00:51:50,200
Speaker 11: games from that are going to be seeing quickest at

1155
00:51:50,200 --> 00:51:53,319
Speaker 11: the major league level. And to me, that means all

1156
00:51:53,360 --> 00:51:55,000
Speaker 11: of these guys are in play for me. Edward Cabrera,

1157
00:51:55,040 --> 00:51:58,319
Speaker 11: Max Meyer, Ryan Weathers, Samuel Contra. I like him a lot.

1158
00:51:58,360 --> 00:52:00,320
Speaker 11: We'll see where the innings go on him. You're pres

1159
00:52:00,440 --> 00:52:02,120
Speaker 11: lay again, those guys are tougher to draft, So I'm

1160
00:52:02,160 --> 00:52:03,800
Speaker 11: going with you guys that I think are in the

1161
00:52:03,880 --> 00:52:06,320
Speaker 11: rotation off the bat. Max Meyer's one of them. Pretty

1162
00:52:06,320 --> 00:52:08,240
Speaker 11: obvious last year he shouldn't have been throwing the fastball

1163
00:52:08,280 --> 00:52:11,120
Speaker 11: as much as he did. We saw this small sample

1164
00:52:11,160 --> 00:52:12,680
Speaker 11: we did get of him in spring. He's throwing a

1165
00:52:12,680 --> 00:52:15,520
Speaker 11: better sinker. He added a sweeper. It's a nasty pitch.

1166
00:52:15,760 --> 00:52:17,759
Speaker 11: He's got a really good feel for spin. I think

1167
00:52:17,760 --> 00:52:21,239
Speaker 11: that sider the og pitch at Minnesota, that was just

1168
00:52:21,280 --> 00:52:23,520
Speaker 11: an absolute banger. Just even in the draft and everything,

1169
00:52:23,560 --> 00:52:25,560
Speaker 11: everyone thought that was at least like a seventy grade pitch.

1170
00:52:25,800 --> 00:52:27,720
Speaker 11: That's still a great offering, but now you have everything

1171
00:52:27,719 --> 00:52:29,600
Speaker 11: on top of it that will allow him to succeed.

1172
00:52:29,640 --> 00:52:33,040
Speaker 11: It's a big ballpark. If you're trying to scout wins here,

1173
00:52:33,120 --> 00:52:34,760
Speaker 11: you're not going to get him. That team is projected

1174
00:52:34,800 --> 00:52:37,040
Speaker 11: really low. But I have a bold take video probably

1175
00:52:37,040 --> 00:52:38,520
Speaker 11: coming out next week, and I could tease one of

1176
00:52:38,560 --> 00:52:40,080
Speaker 11: the bold takes there is that I think the Marlins

1177
00:52:40,120 --> 00:52:42,640
Speaker 11: starting pitchers specifically, we'll have like a top.

1178
00:52:42,520 --> 00:52:43,520
Speaker 1: Five VRA in baseball.

1179
00:52:43,680 --> 00:52:46,400
Speaker 11: I'm all in on the infrastructure change there and it

1180
00:52:46,520 --> 00:52:48,440
Speaker 11: not being caught properly in projections.

1181
00:52:49,400 --> 00:52:51,640
Speaker 3: With Ryan Weathers. Just to throw him in here, both

1182
00:52:51,640 --> 00:52:55,520
Speaker 3: these guys have like a similar three hundred plus eightyp.

1183
00:52:55,800 --> 00:52:59,960
Speaker 3: He's obviously been popping I saw you can keep Maximine

1184
00:53:00,080 --> 00:53:01,600
Speaker 3: up here because we're talking about both these guys just

1185
00:53:01,600 --> 00:53:03,799
Speaker 3: for people to look at. But like, where is your

1186
00:53:03,800 --> 00:53:06,640
Speaker 3: preference run between Max Meyer and Ryan Weathers as far

1187
00:53:06,680 --> 00:53:09,560
Speaker 3: as investment, if you could only have one for this season,

1188
00:53:09,920 --> 00:53:12,640
Speaker 3: which of those breakout Marlin's pitchers are you locking into?

1189
00:53:13,360 --> 00:53:15,040
Speaker 11: Probably Weathers just because you have a little bit more

1190
00:53:15,040 --> 00:53:17,919
Speaker 11: of a track record. We've seen it, right with Meyer,

1191
00:53:18,000 --> 00:53:19,799
Speaker 11: we have not seen it almost at all. So you're

1192
00:53:19,800 --> 00:53:22,480
Speaker 11: betting on a lot more of like a change in

1193
00:53:22,560 --> 00:53:24,480
Speaker 11: variety of directions. And I think stuff models just like

1194
00:53:24,560 --> 00:53:27,440
Speaker 11: Ryan Weathers better, particularly from a fastball standpoint. So on

1195
00:53:27,480 --> 00:53:30,000
Speaker 11: those two pillars, I probably lean Weathers. But yeah, I

1196
00:53:30,040 --> 00:53:32,040
Speaker 11: mean the fastball improvement for Weathers looks really good. I

1197
00:53:32,040 --> 00:53:33,719
Speaker 11: think he tweaked his change up as well. He's going

1198
00:53:33,760 --> 00:53:35,920
Speaker 11: to be throwing a shorter slider a lot more. I

1199
00:53:36,040 --> 00:53:38,120
Speaker 11: just I'm all in on this staff being able to

1200
00:53:38,160 --> 00:53:40,200
Speaker 11: kind of bump all these guys up, particularly on the

1201
00:53:40,239 --> 00:53:43,080
Speaker 11: rate stats specifically like era whip strikeouts. I think they're

1202
00:53:43,080 --> 00:53:45,239
Speaker 11: all going to go over if all these guys only

1203
00:53:45,280 --> 00:53:47,040
Speaker 11: win eight games. Just make sure you front load your

1204
00:53:47,040 --> 00:53:49,120
Speaker 11: staff with guys that are projected a little bit more

1205
00:53:49,120 --> 00:53:50,800
Speaker 11: strongly on the win side, which is what I probably

1206
00:53:50,840 --> 00:53:53,040
Speaker 11: plan on doing if I'm targeting some of these guys

1207
00:53:53,040 --> 00:53:54,920
Speaker 11: two or three of them late to add to my

1208
00:53:55,000 --> 00:53:59,040
Speaker 11: bench and have as early kind of breakout starting pitchers

1209
00:53:59,360 --> 00:54:00,880
Speaker 11: that I can eventually saw into my lineup.

1210
00:54:01,040 --> 00:54:04,719
Speaker 3: Arico, Meyer or Weathers, either one of those targets. I

1211
00:54:04,760 --> 00:54:07,200
Speaker 3: feel like Weathers is He's kind of a hot commodity

1212
00:54:07,320 --> 00:54:11,200
Speaker 3: right now. There's a pillar of hot commodities. Gavin Williams

1213
00:54:11,200 --> 00:54:13,040
Speaker 3: has be kind of become one of the biggest why

1214
00:54:13,160 --> 00:54:15,279
Speaker 3: Chris Sanchez is probably like the top, and then it's

1215
00:54:15,480 --> 00:54:17,840
Speaker 3: Gavin Williams, and then the lower of the commodities been

1216
00:54:17,920 --> 00:54:21,520
Speaker 3: Ryan Weathers, Rico, either one of Meyer, Weathers in your

1217
00:54:22,120 --> 00:54:25,600
Speaker 3: you know, potential last round pick Arsenal, Yeah, I.

1218
00:54:25,560 --> 00:54:27,120
Speaker 6: Have a good few shares of Max Meyer.

1219
00:54:27,160 --> 00:54:29,520
Speaker 7: I did a few of those fifty round draft and holds,

1220
00:54:29,560 --> 00:54:31,719
Speaker 7: and he was earlier in draft season. I think I've

1221
00:54:31,719 --> 00:54:32,840
Speaker 7: looked at it a couple days ago. I was like

1222
00:54:32,880 --> 00:54:35,160
Speaker 7: a thirty fifth round pick and a fifteen team league.

1223
00:54:35,800 --> 00:54:37,560
Speaker 7: That's not the price anymore, for sure, so you are

1224
00:54:37,680 --> 00:54:39,120
Speaker 7: going to have to adjust to the market. But I

1225
00:54:39,120 --> 00:54:42,040
Speaker 7: think it's reasonable. You know, last year, I just wonder

1226
00:54:42,160 --> 00:54:44,040
Speaker 7: if the Marlins may have gotten in his head a

1227
00:54:44,040 --> 00:54:44,480
Speaker 7: little bit.

1228
00:54:44,560 --> 00:54:46,080
Speaker 6: That he had a few good starts.

1229
00:54:45,719 --> 00:54:47,920
Speaker 7: He got sent down, then when he came back, and

1230
00:54:47,920 --> 00:54:49,440
Speaker 7: he actually struggled when he was sent down, and he

1231
00:54:49,440 --> 00:54:51,799
Speaker 7: struggled when he came back up. So I wonder if

1232
00:54:51,840 --> 00:54:53,040
Speaker 7: they may have gotten in his head a little bit.

1233
00:54:53,040 --> 00:54:54,680
Speaker 7: But I think the things that Lance points out about

1234
00:54:54,719 --> 00:54:58,000
Speaker 7: the entire organization essentially changing over in terms of the pitchers,

1235
00:54:58,239 --> 00:55:01,600
Speaker 7: the pitching coaches is a huge factor that doesn't get captured.

1236
00:55:01,640 --> 00:55:03,400
Speaker 7: Nobody really talks about that kind of thing, which is

1237
00:55:03,400 --> 00:55:05,200
Speaker 7: why we bring somebody like Lance on for this kind

1238
00:55:05,200 --> 00:55:07,120
Speaker 7: of show, because you're going to highlight things like that

1239
00:55:06,800 --> 00:55:07,960
Speaker 7: that we don't really look at.

1240
00:55:07,960 --> 00:55:09,640
Speaker 6: And I think that's a really key point.

1241
00:55:09,920 --> 00:55:12,279
Speaker 7: People are going to be caught up in the projections

1242
00:55:12,320 --> 00:55:14,480
Speaker 7: and they're not great, and the barrel rate last year

1243
00:55:14,520 --> 00:55:17,920
Speaker 7: was bad, But I think Max Meyer is the preferred

1244
00:55:17,920 --> 00:55:20,120
Speaker 7: target for me. I like them both, but I'm a

1245
00:55:20,120 --> 00:55:22,719
Speaker 7: little bit more invested personally in Max Meyer this year.

1246
00:55:22,960 --> 00:55:25,360
Speaker 3: Lance, Can I ask you one last question, just to

1247
00:55:25,360 --> 00:55:27,560
Speaker 3: make this a quick answer, but one more Marlins thing.

1248
00:55:27,800 --> 00:55:31,040
Speaker 3: I did a video just recently that I think one

1249
00:55:31,120 --> 00:55:33,480
Speaker 3: of the greatest ADP values, and I know people are

1250
00:55:33,560 --> 00:55:35,160
Speaker 3: more common to be like, I'm gonna pick someone in

1251
00:55:35,200 --> 00:55:37,759
Speaker 3: the three hundreds, I said Sandel Contra was one of

1252
00:55:37,800 --> 00:55:39,960
Speaker 3: the best values because he's almost going outside the top

1253
00:55:40,080 --> 00:55:43,000
Speaker 3: one fifty. Obviously that's creeping a tiny bit. There's back

1254
00:55:43,000 --> 00:55:45,200
Speaker 3: and forth about whatever type of limitations that could be

1255
00:55:45,239 --> 00:55:48,600
Speaker 3: out there. But between you know, him hitting almost triple digits,

1256
00:55:48,640 --> 00:55:53,400
Speaker 3: averaging high nineties, theoretical no limitations, and clearly being traded,

1257
00:55:53,480 --> 00:55:55,520
Speaker 3: I think there's so much that's working in his favor.

1258
00:55:55,840 --> 00:55:58,239
Speaker 3: What do you think the odds on are when he

1259
00:55:58,280 --> 00:56:00,720
Speaker 3: gets traded? What is that boost to him his value?

1260
00:56:00,719 --> 00:56:04,520
Speaker 3: And when he's like outside the top you know, thirty sps,

1261
00:56:04,560 --> 00:56:06,640
Speaker 3: do you think he deserves to be higher baking in

1262
00:56:06,680 --> 00:56:09,360
Speaker 3: that like when he gets traded ability or do you

1263
00:56:09,400 --> 00:56:11,600
Speaker 3: think you know some of the stuff that he doesn't

1264
00:56:11,600 --> 00:56:13,759
Speaker 3: get the whiffs Sometimes it has to go deeper into

1265
00:56:13,800 --> 00:56:15,640
Speaker 3: games and the value of the Marlins kinds of brings

1266
00:56:15,640 --> 00:56:17,160
Speaker 3: it down. What do you think that value looks like

1267
00:56:17,200 --> 00:56:20,120
Speaker 3: if with him being moved for Sandual Contra. Yeah, I

1268
00:56:20,160 --> 00:56:21,759
Speaker 3: plan on probably having a good amount of him.

1269
00:56:22,000 --> 00:56:22,120
Speaker 2: Uh.

1270
00:56:22,440 --> 00:56:24,800
Speaker 11: I think the angle I would look at is like, okay,

1271
00:56:24,960 --> 00:56:27,160
Speaker 11: if he is slow rolled in they gahor croch seame

1272
00:56:27,160 --> 00:56:29,640
Speaker 11: where he's throwing four or five innings for a month.

1273
00:56:29,760 --> 00:56:32,840
Speaker 11: You know, I often think that is when your staff

1274
00:56:32,840 --> 00:56:34,880
Speaker 11: as a fantasy owner is the healthiest, such that I

1275
00:56:34,880 --> 00:56:37,759
Speaker 11: can probably backfill and be somewhat confident and not having

1276
00:56:37,760 --> 00:56:39,839
Speaker 11: to roll out some like mid season starter that I've

1277
00:56:39,840 --> 00:56:42,000
Speaker 11: never seen, you know that got jumped up from double

1278
00:56:42,040 --> 00:56:44,520
Speaker 11: A that it maybe looks fun. So I don't mind

1279
00:56:44,560 --> 00:56:48,160
Speaker 11: that like early there won't be that much innings in

1280
00:56:48,200 --> 00:56:50,200
Speaker 11: a worst case scenario. There's also a chance he throws

1281
00:56:50,200 --> 00:56:52,200
Speaker 11: against skeins. I believe it is an opening day and

1282
00:56:52,440 --> 00:56:54,800
Speaker 11: goes seven or eight. And he was correct when he

1283
00:56:54,840 --> 00:56:56,520
Speaker 11: said in his scrum the other day that you know

1284
00:56:56,680 --> 00:56:59,080
Speaker 11: there are no limitations. He hasn't been talked to about

1285
00:56:59,080 --> 00:57:01,799
Speaker 11: limitations or anything. So that is a variable there that

1286
00:57:01,840 --> 00:57:04,600
Speaker 11: I think is suppressing his overall cost that I'm happy

1287
00:57:04,600 --> 00:57:06,840
Speaker 11: to scoop up because if they let him loose, like,

1288
00:57:06,960 --> 00:57:09,920
Speaker 11: I see no reason why he isn't the Sandy of past.

1289
00:57:09,920 --> 00:57:12,440
Speaker 3: I think great thing. Our Fantasy pros MLB channel in

1290
00:57:12,480 --> 00:57:14,920
Speaker 3: the YouTube said, where do we think al Contra ends up.

1291
00:57:14,960 --> 00:57:16,120
Speaker 3: Love to hear it in the chat. Where do you

1292
00:57:16,160 --> 00:57:17,800
Speaker 3: think he ends up? I think a lot of people are.

1293
00:57:17,920 --> 00:57:20,000
Speaker 3: We talked about it a little bit earlier with the

1294
00:57:20,040 --> 00:57:23,040
Speaker 3: CBS guys, but you know, Yankees, I think you obviously

1295
00:57:23,040 --> 00:57:25,720
Speaker 3: could look at the Mets as another option. So let's

1296
00:57:25,760 --> 00:57:27,000
Speaker 3: hear it in the chat. Where do you think Sandy

1297
00:57:27,040 --> 00:57:30,280
Speaker 3: el Contra ends up? Joe Rico, you have a breakout pitcher,

1298
00:57:30,600 --> 00:57:32,800
Speaker 3: and oh boy, I'm glad you're doing it so I

1299
00:57:32,880 --> 00:57:36,280
Speaker 3: don't have to do it. Said pitcher is Brandon Fott.

1300
00:57:36,440 --> 00:57:38,880
Speaker 3: I hate to ever have to talk about him because

1301
00:57:38,880 --> 00:57:41,480
Speaker 3: then everybody gets on my case. A year two early,

1302
00:57:41,560 --> 00:57:45,440
Speaker 3: maybe expected era quite a bit lower that sweeper getting

1303
00:57:45,440 --> 00:57:48,920
Speaker 3: stuff going with the sinker. I think Brandon Fott is

1304
00:57:48,960 --> 00:57:52,000
Speaker 3: just still such a great value. The expected era tells

1305
00:57:52,080 --> 00:57:53,640
Speaker 3: us a lot. But why don't you tell us why

1306
00:57:53,640 --> 00:57:55,320
Speaker 3: Brandon Fott is your breakout pitcher?

1307
00:57:56,200 --> 00:57:56,400
Speaker 6: Yeah?

1308
00:57:56,440 --> 00:57:58,320
Speaker 7: I've been very interested in him emo through a little

1309
00:57:58,320 --> 00:57:59,840
Speaker 7: bit of cold water when we did a show together

1310
00:58:00,200 --> 00:58:02,400
Speaker 7: weeks ago about his ability to get left handers out,

1311
00:58:02,440 --> 00:58:04,840
Speaker 7: which is something that I need to consider. But when

1312
00:58:04,880 --> 00:58:07,320
Speaker 7: you look at his track record in the minor leagues,

1313
00:58:07,480 --> 00:58:09,400
Speaker 7: I believe it was twenty twenty two, he led all

1314
00:58:09,400 --> 00:58:11,880
Speaker 7: the minor leagues in strikeouts. It's been a little bit

1315
00:58:11,880 --> 00:58:13,440
Speaker 7: of a rocky road, but he threw one hundred and

1316
00:58:13,440 --> 00:58:15,640
Speaker 7: eighty one innings last year, which is massive in terms

1317
00:58:15,640 --> 00:58:18,280
Speaker 7: of projecting the volume. The four to seventy one era

1318
00:58:18,440 --> 00:58:20,400
Speaker 7: is not going to impress anybody, but like you mentioned,

1319
00:58:20,720 --> 00:58:23,440
Speaker 7: all the era estimators are about a run lower three

1320
00:58:23,560 --> 00:58:24,680
Speaker 7: fifty eight expected FIP.

1321
00:58:24,720 --> 00:58:26,040
Speaker 6: I really like to look at Sierra.

1322
00:58:26,080 --> 00:58:28,480
Speaker 7: I think Sierra is probably the best of the era estimators,

1323
00:58:28,640 --> 00:58:30,960
Speaker 7: and that was a three sixty five. His stuff is

1324
00:58:31,080 --> 00:58:34,200
Speaker 7: very good, comes out above average. Specifically, the slider is excellent,

1325
00:58:34,480 --> 00:58:37,120
Speaker 7: and it's a very good team. The Diamondbacks scored more

1326
00:58:37,160 --> 00:58:39,200
Speaker 7: runs than anybody else in Major League Baseball last year,

1327
00:58:39,240 --> 00:58:41,240
Speaker 7: so I think with the innings you can also project

1328
00:58:41,880 --> 00:58:45,040
Speaker 7: probably twelve to thirteen wins out of him. Overall, I

1329
00:58:45,040 --> 00:58:47,560
Speaker 7: think Brandon Fodd is a really really nice pick. Now

1330
00:58:47,640 --> 00:58:49,600
Speaker 7: there are some people who will push him up in drafts,

1331
00:58:49,640 --> 00:58:52,120
Speaker 7: but generally speaking about pick one point eighty to two

1332
00:58:52,240 --> 00:58:54,640
Speaker 7: hundred in most rooms, and I can definitely get behind

1333
00:58:54,720 --> 00:58:55,520
Speaker 7: him in that range.

1334
00:58:55,920 --> 00:58:59,320
Speaker 3: And he's locked into significant amount of innings and you know,

1335
00:58:59,720 --> 00:59:02,560
Speaker 3: like I have obviously a tenuous relationship as being like

1336
00:59:02,600 --> 00:59:05,000
Speaker 3: a Brandon Fought guy for a long time, but really

1337
00:59:05,040 --> 00:59:07,560
Speaker 3: pour into the season. He had a three nine seven

1338
00:59:07,600 --> 00:59:10,360
Speaker 3: first half ERA five nine to three second half ERA,

1339
00:59:10,960 --> 00:59:14,440
Speaker 3: and his problem twofold has been going deep into the

1340
00:59:14,440 --> 00:59:17,280
Speaker 3: season and deep into games too. He got absolutely blown

1341
00:59:17,360 --> 00:59:19,479
Speaker 3: up fifth inning on and you have to be able

1342
00:59:19,480 --> 00:59:21,240
Speaker 3: to get to the fifth inning. So you know, when

1343
00:59:21,280 --> 00:59:23,320
Speaker 3: you talk about left handers, you'd love for him develop

1344
00:59:23,400 --> 00:59:26,680
Speaker 3: some type of change up, you know, just to keep

1345
00:59:26,720 --> 00:59:28,200
Speaker 3: that off a little bit, to be able to get

1346
00:59:28,200 --> 00:59:29,960
Speaker 3: into that sweep or more, and like you said, be

1347
00:59:30,000 --> 00:59:33,640
Speaker 3: able to control those left handers. But there's definitely good

1348
00:59:33,680 --> 00:59:36,560
Speaker 3: strikeout potential with Brandon Fott. Lance. Do you have any

1349
00:59:36,640 --> 00:59:40,640
Speaker 3: takes on Brandon Fought? I mean, obviously from a fantasy perspective,

1350
00:59:40,640 --> 00:59:43,240
Speaker 3: but from a growth perspective this year do you think

1351
00:59:43,280 --> 00:59:46,480
Speaker 3: he can overcome which is fine twenty four percent k percentage,

1352
00:59:46,520 --> 00:59:49,920
Speaker 3: five percent walk rate, a run lower estimator as far

1353
00:59:49,920 --> 00:59:51,760
Speaker 3: as era. Do you think he can kind of come

1354
00:59:52,160 --> 00:59:55,560
Speaker 3: come to a little bit more with what some expectations are.

1355
00:59:56,320 --> 00:59:58,560
Speaker 11: Yeah, he's odd. I like him overall. I think he's

1356
00:59:58,600 --> 01:00:00,640
Speaker 11: a guy that I plug in is more like a horse,

1357
01:00:00,760 --> 01:00:03,320
Speaker 11: Like I'm confident in taking the over on his twenty

1358
01:00:03,320 --> 01:00:04,960
Speaker 11: to twenty five projection you have on screen right there,

1359
01:00:05,000 --> 01:00:08,080
Speaker 11: Like I think he's gonna go one seventy plus, but

1360
01:00:08,600 --> 01:00:11,080
Speaker 11: he's got lefty problems overall, Like he ran into the's

1361
01:00:11,080 --> 01:00:12,760
Speaker 11: a ton last year, and it's a byproduct of the

1362
01:00:12,800 --> 01:00:14,920
Speaker 11: fact that he doesn't really have the best four seam shape.

1363
01:00:15,360 --> 01:00:19,000
Speaker 11: You know, Sinker's opposite hand, Inness really relies on location sweeper,

1364
01:00:19,080 --> 01:00:21,400
Speaker 11: even though his has like this lift component that generally

1365
01:00:21,440 --> 01:00:24,880
Speaker 11: works and becomes a little more platoon neutral. The change

1366
01:00:24,920 --> 01:00:27,080
Speaker 11: up was the pitch in my in the minors that

1367
01:00:27,200 --> 01:00:29,040
Speaker 11: was really good for him, and when he came up

1368
01:00:29,080 --> 01:00:30,560
Speaker 11: in a couple of years ago or whatever it was,

1369
01:00:30,640 --> 01:00:33,040
Speaker 11: that first year wasn't great and it's like slowly improved,

1370
01:00:33,400 --> 01:00:35,439
Speaker 11: but I still wonder whether there's like a better grip

1371
01:00:35,480 --> 01:00:37,680
Speaker 11: there or something he could go to. I think Savant

1372
01:00:37,760 --> 01:00:40,440
Speaker 11: has a tracked that he threw two splitters, or he

1373
01:00:40,480 --> 01:00:41,800
Speaker 11: had a day or a game. I think it was

1374
01:00:41,800 --> 01:00:43,520
Speaker 11: in Washington where he threw a bunch of splitters and

1375
01:00:43,520 --> 01:00:45,240
Speaker 11: I was like, what is that? And I was like,

1376
01:00:45,280 --> 01:00:46,960
Speaker 11: just throw that, Like that's better than your change up.

1377
01:00:47,000 --> 01:00:50,040
Speaker 11: You know, I'm not entirely sure if he's going to

1378
01:00:50,080 --> 01:00:51,960
Speaker 11: solve the lefty problems, but he's a guy that I'm

1379
01:00:51,960 --> 01:00:54,840
Speaker 11: like waiting to see some kind of location or shape

1380
01:00:54,880 --> 01:00:57,760
Speaker 11: change on whether it's I move my fastball here or

1381
01:00:57,800 --> 01:01:00,160
Speaker 11: like I'm gonna throw like this bullet slider to try

1382
01:01:00,200 --> 01:01:01,720
Speaker 11: to help a little bit with down and swing miss

1383
01:01:01,760 --> 01:01:04,280
Speaker 11: as opposed to the sweeper. There's like ways for him

1384
01:01:04,320 --> 01:01:06,640
Speaker 11: to get to it. I just I haven't seen it yet,

1385
01:01:06,680 --> 01:01:09,600
Speaker 11: so I'm hoping that, like early in April, it's like, oh, yeah,

1386
01:01:09,640 --> 01:01:11,720
Speaker 11: here we go. Here's a nice little you know, the

1387
01:01:11,800 --> 01:01:13,760
Speaker 11: change up looks different and he moves his fastball around

1388
01:01:13,760 --> 01:01:15,000
Speaker 11: a little more, and it's like, okay, I could get

1389
01:01:15,040 --> 01:01:16,960
Speaker 11: a little confident in him regressing back to the average

1390
01:01:17,040 --> 01:01:17,600
Speaker 11: versus well.

1391
01:01:17,800 --> 01:01:20,320
Speaker 3: Also, everybody talking about the kick change, like I don't know,

1392
01:01:20,400 --> 01:01:23,120
Speaker 3: maybe experiment with that, like yeah, let's see it. Let's

1393
01:01:23,120 --> 01:01:24,920
Speaker 3: see it. Other guys are doing it. It is the

1394
01:01:25,080 --> 01:01:28,320
Speaker 3: pitch du joor for this season, from split fingers last

1395
01:01:28,400 --> 01:01:31,000
Speaker 3: year to sweepers the year before. It's kick changes and

1396
01:01:31,400 --> 01:01:33,640
Speaker 3: any type of growth like that could be a really

1397
01:01:33,640 --> 01:01:36,400
Speaker 3: big difference between him being a workhorse and maybe being

1398
01:01:36,400 --> 01:01:39,800
Speaker 3: a lot more viable in fantasy. We've got another breakout

1399
01:01:39,840 --> 01:01:41,880
Speaker 3: pitcher coming up here for Lance in just a second.

1400
01:01:42,320 --> 01:01:45,360
Speaker 3: But we've talked about some amazing players in here that

1401
01:01:45,440 --> 01:01:48,000
Speaker 3: might provide some amazing bets. So friends, go over to

1402
01:01:48,040 --> 01:01:50,640
Speaker 3: Betting Pros on the app today. You can download the

1403
01:01:50,640 --> 01:01:53,400
Speaker 3: free Betting Pros app for iOS or Android ahead of

1404
01:01:53,440 --> 01:01:56,760
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1405
01:01:56,800 --> 01:01:59,920
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1406
01:02:00,200 --> 01:02:01,800
Speaker 3: You can go and check out. You can see right

1407
01:02:01,840 --> 01:02:04,120
Speaker 3: now undermine. I have got a couple of the bets

1408
01:02:04,120 --> 01:02:06,440
Speaker 3: that I talked about very early in the show, like

1409
01:02:06,800 --> 01:02:10,400
Speaker 3: Garrett Crochet to lead the league in strikeouts at I

1410
01:02:10,400 --> 01:02:12,760
Speaker 3: think I got eight and a half to one some places.

1411
01:02:12,800 --> 01:02:14,920
Speaker 3: That's at nine. You can track them and make your

1412
01:02:14,960 --> 01:02:17,800
Speaker 3: bets there easily monitor your bet performance by sport and

1413
01:02:17,920 --> 01:02:21,640
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1414
01:02:21,680 --> 01:02:25,320
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01:02:27,200 --> 01:02:30,000
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Speaker 3: app and activating your trial on the upgrade screen. Go

1418
01:02:33,720 --> 01:02:36,880
Speaker 3: and do that today. All right, boys, let's get to

1419
01:02:36,960 --> 01:02:38,240
Speaker 3: this next one and then we're going to get to

1420
01:02:38,280 --> 01:02:41,960
Speaker 3: the super chat that's on screen. Lance, Your breakout picture

1421
01:02:42,040 --> 01:02:45,120
Speaker 3: number two is a guy that we have talked about,

1422
01:02:45,480 --> 01:02:48,520
Speaker 3: Gavin Williams. So break this bad boy down because he

1423
01:02:48,640 --> 01:02:51,120
Speaker 3: is one of the pictures d jore Why and how

1424
01:02:51,160 --> 01:02:53,840
Speaker 3: excited should we be about Gavin Williams and Fantasy this year?

1425
01:02:54,320 --> 01:02:56,400
Speaker 11: Yeah, this seems to be a pretty popular pick, which

1426
01:02:56,400 --> 01:02:57,560
Speaker 11: I'm kind of bummed to bet. I saw it was

1427
01:02:57,560 --> 01:03:00,520
Speaker 11: on Ineno's Breakoup Pitchers post as well. I was like, yeah,

1428
01:03:00,560 --> 01:03:02,440
Speaker 11: you beat me to it, But yeah, this is an

1429
01:03:02,440 --> 01:03:04,160
Speaker 11: easy one. Like a lot of the times, we'll see

1430
01:03:04,200 --> 01:03:07,040
Speaker 11: adjustments in spring and we'll see good results, and I

1431
01:03:07,880 --> 01:03:10,200
Speaker 11: sometimes those or whatever, but when you can actually tie

1432
01:03:10,200 --> 01:03:11,840
Speaker 11: them back to some reporting that I saw from the

1433
01:03:12,080 --> 01:03:15,120
Speaker 11: MLB dot com that said he's tweaked his mechanics trying

1434
01:03:15,120 --> 01:03:17,240
Speaker 11: to stay taller over his back leg. And what we

1435
01:03:17,280 --> 01:03:19,640
Speaker 11: see there is that the force teams picked up a

1436
01:03:19,640 --> 01:03:21,280
Speaker 11: little bit of carry, so it's got a little more

1437
01:03:21,320 --> 01:03:24,160
Speaker 11: of that rise and hop same Velocity's release heights changed.

1438
01:03:24,200 --> 01:03:26,040
Speaker 11: I imagine when we get our mangled data in season,

1439
01:03:26,040 --> 01:03:27,760
Speaker 11: that'll be up a bit. I think it just makes

1440
01:03:27,800 --> 01:03:31,280
Speaker 11: the fastball slightly more unique, even if stuff plus overall

1441
01:03:31,320 --> 01:03:34,080
Speaker 11: is still probably gonna believe that the trade off between

1442
01:03:34,080 --> 01:03:36,280
Speaker 11: his prioryor fastball and this fastball is pretty even. He

1443
01:03:36,360 --> 01:03:38,440
Speaker 11: also tweaked his slider, trying to turned it into more

1444
01:03:38,440 --> 01:03:40,760
Speaker 11: of like a true sweeper. On Savan, it says he

1445
01:03:40,800 --> 01:03:42,920
Speaker 11: was throwing a slider and a cutter last year. I'm

1446
01:03:42,920 --> 01:03:45,000
Speaker 11: pretty confident that was just one pitch. For some reason,

1447
01:03:45,040 --> 01:03:47,080
Speaker 11: it was being tracked differently. It's one of these oddities

1448
01:03:47,080 --> 01:03:48,200
Speaker 11: that I always pick up on that I don't think

1449
01:03:48,200 --> 01:03:50,560
Speaker 11: anybody cares about, but I love finding that stuff.

1450
01:03:50,720 --> 01:03:51,680
Speaker 6: So anyways, I think.

1451
01:03:51,560 --> 01:03:54,160
Speaker 11: It's one slider, and I also think going forwards, I

1452
01:03:54,160 --> 01:03:56,480
Speaker 11: don't think I've heard anybody mention is like, I think

1453
01:03:56,560 --> 01:03:59,200
Speaker 11: there's room to add back some kind of cutter, and

1454
01:03:59,320 --> 01:04:01,760
Speaker 11: I love the concept that will maybe get down the

1455
01:04:01,800 --> 01:04:05,520
Speaker 11: road more of these efficient fastball guys adding sinkers too.

1456
01:04:05,880 --> 01:04:08,120
Speaker 11: So I think he's good as is with these changes.

1457
01:04:08,160 --> 01:04:09,880
Speaker 11: And then I also think you could see some tweaks

1458
01:04:09,880 --> 01:04:12,280
Speaker 11: in season. We saw Tanner Biby at a sinker late

1459
01:04:12,400 --> 01:04:15,040
Speaker 11: last year. He also added like a second slider off

1460
01:04:15,080 --> 01:04:17,760
Speaker 11: the sweeper, So the guardians are great at pitching development.

1461
01:04:18,200 --> 01:04:20,320
Speaker 11: You know, the concern he is just the injury side.

1462
01:04:20,360 --> 01:04:22,480
Speaker 11: This guy's been hurt for the majority of his career,

1463
01:04:22,760 --> 01:04:24,120
Speaker 11: Like even in the minor leagues and stuff, he was

1464
01:04:24,120 --> 01:04:27,400
Speaker 11: always running into injuries. So the thing I like going

1465
01:04:27,400 --> 01:04:29,120
Speaker 11: for on the breakout side is more like on a

1466
01:04:29,160 --> 01:04:31,240
Speaker 11: per inning basis, I think he will break out. So

1467
01:04:31,280 --> 01:04:33,360
Speaker 11: even if he I l's for some reason at some

1468
01:04:33,400 --> 01:04:35,120
Speaker 11: point in the year, if you could get to like

1469
01:04:35,160 --> 01:04:37,120
Speaker 11: one twenty one to thirty innings, I think he'll break

1470
01:04:37,160 --> 01:04:39,680
Speaker 11: out based on the pitch total alone, And then if

1471
01:04:39,680 --> 01:04:41,640
Speaker 11: I'm on a fantasy he's on my fantasy squad, I

1472
01:04:41,680 --> 01:04:43,680
Speaker 11: hopefully can be able to backfilm and have some pitching depth.

1473
01:04:44,000 --> 01:04:45,920
Speaker 3: And that's kind of the thing I talked about with

1474
01:04:45,960 --> 01:04:47,920
Speaker 3: Garrett Crochet. And when you look at a lot of

1475
01:04:47,960 --> 01:04:50,320
Speaker 3: projections too, like he's way up there, but the innings

1476
01:04:50,320 --> 01:04:53,360
Speaker 3: are projected low. If you can beat the projected innings

1477
01:04:53,360 --> 01:04:55,840
Speaker 3: you're gonna have, you have the potential to be a

1478
01:04:55,840 --> 01:04:58,520
Speaker 3: top three or four overall fantasy starting pitcher this year.

1479
01:04:58,560 --> 01:05:00,000
Speaker 3: Gavin Williams is in there, and you know I would

1480
01:05:00,080 --> 01:05:02,320
Speaker 3: throw this side as well, Lance, which is interesting is

1481
01:05:02,480 --> 01:05:03,760
Speaker 3: you know, you were kind of like, oh dang, some

1482
01:05:03,760 --> 01:05:06,040
Speaker 3: people already talking about it. Yeah, but it's like, you know,

1483
01:05:06,080 --> 01:05:07,800
Speaker 3: in the grand scope of it, if you look at

1484
01:05:07,840 --> 01:05:11,800
Speaker 3: ECR and Fantasy pros where rankers go, he's still SP

1485
01:05:12,000 --> 01:05:14,040
Speaker 3: seventy three, you know, So, I mean there's a lot

1486
01:05:14,080 --> 01:05:17,160
Speaker 3: of improvement there. I talked about Chris Sanchez as kind

1487
01:05:17,160 --> 01:05:19,480
Speaker 3: of a sleeper. He's not really a sleeper because everybody

1488
01:05:19,560 --> 01:05:21,440
Speaker 3: in the community kind of knows about him. But if

1489
01:05:21,440 --> 01:05:24,760
Speaker 3: you're talking about investment in what your return can be,

1490
01:05:24,920 --> 01:05:26,840
Speaker 3: there's that the same thing is kind of happening. Gam

1491
01:05:26,880 --> 01:05:30,920
Speaker 3: Williams hasn't had that breakout as far as these projections go.

1492
01:05:31,520 --> 01:05:34,880
Speaker 3: Real quick, if you're looking at ERA, let's do ere

1493
01:05:35,000 --> 01:05:40,120
Speaker 3: in innings over under under, I guess, yeah, just go

1494
01:05:40,280 --> 01:05:42,720
Speaker 3: under the era, over the era, and then over the

1495
01:05:42,760 --> 01:05:44,080
Speaker 3: innings or under the innings.

1496
01:05:44,560 --> 01:05:46,240
Speaker 11: I think he's I think he's like a mid threes guy.

1497
01:05:46,240 --> 01:05:47,800
Speaker 11: I think he's like a three five to three seven.

1498
01:05:47,880 --> 01:05:50,000
Speaker 11: If I had to project him and the innings, I

1499
01:05:50,240 --> 01:05:53,520
Speaker 11: wish I could push. I'll probably take like one thirty five,

1500
01:05:53,640 --> 01:05:55,680
Speaker 11: So I guess I'll go over. But you know, if

1501
01:05:55,720 --> 01:05:58,360
Speaker 11: he gets to like a one seventy, Like, that's amazing

1502
01:05:58,440 --> 01:06:00,960
Speaker 11: that that is a breakout. But my bet more is

1503
01:06:01,000 --> 01:06:02,720
Speaker 11: that I could get him on a per earning basis

1504
01:06:02,920 --> 01:06:05,320
Speaker 11: better than his costs, such that I only get him

1505
01:06:05,360 --> 01:06:08,240
Speaker 11: allocate like one hundred and thirty if on my squad

1506
01:06:08,280 --> 01:06:08,640
Speaker 11: to a.

1507
01:06:08,560 --> 01:06:11,080
Speaker 3: Guy like him, that makes him probably like Joey, like

1508
01:06:11,840 --> 01:06:14,120
Speaker 3: SP the round fifty. I mean, I think there's like

1509
01:06:14,320 --> 01:06:16,520
Speaker 3: SP fifty to forty upside a Rico. I don't know,

1510
01:06:16,560 --> 01:06:18,560
Speaker 3: are you? Are you in in the Gavin Williams streets.

1511
01:06:19,680 --> 01:06:21,680
Speaker 7: I'm going to preface my comments by saying Lance there's

1512
01:06:21,680 --> 01:06:23,080
Speaker 7: a lot more about pitching than I do, and he's

1513
01:06:23,080 --> 01:06:25,360
Speaker 7: a lot smarter than I am. But I'm not interested

1514
01:06:25,560 --> 01:06:27,720
Speaker 7: just be based on the injury risk. I think people

1515
01:06:27,720 --> 01:06:29,080
Speaker 7: are going to push him up. People are going to

1516
01:06:29,080 --> 01:06:31,000
Speaker 7: push them up a lot in draft season because people

1517
01:06:31,040 --> 01:06:33,320
Speaker 7: like Lance and Eno and a lot of smart pitching.

1518
01:06:33,360 --> 01:06:36,640
Speaker 7: The smartest people are are highlighting him, and he's being

1519
01:06:36,840 --> 01:06:39,360
Speaker 7: shared around on social media a lot. I just worry

1520
01:06:39,440 --> 01:06:41,640
Speaker 7: about the elbow holding up. He missed half of last

1521
01:06:41,640 --> 01:06:45,800
Speaker 7: season with the elbow soreness, which I believe was inflammation.

1522
01:06:45,920 --> 01:06:47,680
Speaker 7: There's all kinds of different things that can happen, but

1523
01:06:47,720 --> 01:06:50,600
Speaker 7: I believe it was inflammation of the elbow. The performance

1524
01:06:50,640 --> 01:06:53,960
Speaker 7: once he came back was leaving something to be desired.

1525
01:06:54,840 --> 01:06:56,960
Speaker 7: I can he stay healthy for a whole Season's kind

1526
01:06:56,960 --> 01:06:59,120
Speaker 7: of my main concern. I don't doubt that the Guardians

1527
01:06:59,120 --> 01:07:01,760
Speaker 7: are fantastic with pitch and development. They've proven that they are.

1528
01:07:02,200 --> 01:07:03,480
Speaker 7: It's just a matter of if he's going to be

1529
01:07:03,480 --> 01:07:04,680
Speaker 7: able to stay on the field enough.

1530
01:07:04,720 --> 01:07:08,040
Speaker 6: And I don't know. That's really the only concern for me.

1531
01:07:08,120 --> 01:07:08,280
Speaker 4: Yeah.

1532
01:07:08,320 --> 01:07:10,880
Speaker 3: My only pushback sometimes on stuff like that is it's

1533
01:07:10,880 --> 01:07:13,040
Speaker 3: similar to the Jackson holiday stuff where it's like we

1534
01:07:13,120 --> 01:07:16,160
Speaker 3: break down and earlier with the Bubba and Bloom segment

1535
01:07:16,360 --> 01:07:18,160
Speaker 3: where you look at some of these guys you're like, okay,

1536
01:07:18,200 --> 01:07:20,480
Speaker 3: there's risk to it's like outside the top one fifty.

1537
01:07:20,520 --> 01:07:22,400
Speaker 3: When you start to get to that, it's like the

1538
01:07:23,120 --> 01:07:27,000
Speaker 3: risk it's so much less, Like I don't care so much.

1539
01:07:27,400 --> 01:07:31,560
Speaker 3: Even Gavin Williams's absolute highest singular rank is one fifty

1540
01:07:31,640 --> 01:07:34,280
Speaker 3: six overall. I don't know what sp that ends up being,

1541
01:07:34,640 --> 01:07:37,800
Speaker 3: but the risk is still relatively low, and you get

1542
01:07:37,800 --> 01:07:40,680
Speaker 3: outside the top two hundreds, it's almost non existent for

1543
01:07:40,760 --> 01:07:43,640
Speaker 3: potential upsides. That's why it's like I can't I wouldn't

1544
01:07:43,640 --> 01:07:45,080
Speaker 3: really refute the.

1545
01:07:45,080 --> 01:07:48,480
Speaker 1: Last few seasons we have seen rookies make huge impacts

1546
01:07:48,520 --> 01:07:53,560
Speaker 1: on fantasy seasons, both positively and negatively. So instead of

1547
01:07:53,600 --> 01:07:56,040
Speaker 1: looking at the negative, we're going to switch to the positive.

1548
01:07:56,440 --> 01:07:59,520
Speaker 1: Worm and Mayor talked with Eric Cross about some of

1549
01:07:59,520 --> 01:08:01,960
Speaker 1: the rookie that are going to have a big impact

1550
01:08:02,000 --> 01:08:05,160
Speaker 1: on your fantasy seasons in twenty twenty five, when they

1551
01:08:05,200 --> 01:08:08,080
Speaker 1: might arrive, and what those stats might look like. Here's

1552
01:08:08,160 --> 01:08:10,680
Speaker 1: Eric Cross with the boys for more on the rookies.

1553
01:08:11,160 --> 01:08:13,200
Speaker 8: I suppose I can make way for the guy that

1554
01:08:13,240 --> 01:08:15,080
Speaker 8: you're going to start us off with here, Eric, who

1555
01:08:15,160 --> 01:08:17,680
Speaker 8: is of course Red Sox huge breakoup prospect from last year.

1556
01:08:17,680 --> 01:08:18,960
Speaker 8: I'll let you tee it up.

1557
01:08:19,680 --> 01:08:23,479
Speaker 12: Yeah, Now, Christian Campbell maybe had the biggest breakout. There's

1558
01:08:23,479 --> 01:08:25,360
Speaker 12: a lot of breakouts every year, as there always are,

1559
01:08:25,640 --> 01:08:27,599
Speaker 12: but he might have been the biggest breakout of the.

1560
01:08:27,520 --> 01:08:28,639
Speaker 4: Twenty twenty four season.

1561
01:08:29,400 --> 01:08:32,479
Speaker 12: He was a guy coming into the season that there's

1562
01:08:32,560 --> 01:08:33,080
Speaker 12: a bit of hype.

1563
01:08:33,120 --> 01:08:35,200
Speaker 4: It was like he was a complete unknown and he

1564
01:08:35,320 --> 01:08:36,479
Speaker 4: was a fourth round pick.

1565
01:08:36,880 --> 01:08:39,400
Speaker 12: There was a good base of tools already there, and

1566
01:08:39,520 --> 01:08:42,160
Speaker 12: the hit tool, the speed for those questions of how

1567
01:08:42,240 --> 01:08:45,280
Speaker 12: much power would he get to and you know, he

1568
01:08:45,360 --> 01:08:48,680
Speaker 12: answered those questions in spades last year, having in one

1569
01:08:48,720 --> 01:08:51,439
Speaker 12: of the best all round seasons offensively we've seen in

1570
01:08:51,960 --> 01:08:52,679
Speaker 12: quite some time.

1571
01:08:52,960 --> 01:08:55,160
Speaker 4: He had twenty home runs, twenty.

1572
01:08:54,880 --> 01:08:58,160
Speaker 12: Four steals, slash three thirty four, thirty nine, five point

1573
01:08:58,160 --> 01:09:00,679
Speaker 12: fifty eight, flew up three levels him here.

1574
01:09:01,160 --> 01:09:01,639
Speaker 4: He was here.

1575
01:09:01,960 --> 01:09:04,920
Speaker 12: I'm near Double A Portland for the Red Sox and

1576
01:09:05,200 --> 01:09:06,840
Speaker 12: he was here for I think it was about fifty

1577
01:09:06,840 --> 01:09:09,120
Speaker 12: five sixty games something like that before he got the

1578
01:09:09,120 --> 01:09:13,480
Speaker 12: bump up to Triple A and he was as advertised

1579
01:09:13,800 --> 01:09:17,360
Speaker 12: every game I saw. I saw probably fifteen twenty games

1580
01:09:17,360 --> 01:09:20,240
Speaker 12: of him. I was just spectacular watching him play both

1581
01:09:20,280 --> 01:09:24,840
Speaker 12: offensively and defensively. You know, the all round package is there,

1582
01:09:25,200 --> 01:09:27,759
Speaker 12: you know, the contact skills, even though he added power.

1583
01:09:28,040 --> 01:09:30,280
Speaker 12: You know, sometimes that trade off is maybe the contact

1584
01:09:30,280 --> 01:09:32,479
Speaker 12: goes down a little bit, maybe that k rate goes

1585
01:09:32,560 --> 01:09:34,960
Speaker 12: up a little bit. That was not the case with

1586
01:09:35,120 --> 01:09:39,120
Speaker 12: Christian Campbell last year. He still maintained contact rate right

1587
01:09:39,120 --> 01:09:43,439
Speaker 12: around eighty percent overall last year, Will having the you know,

1588
01:09:43,840 --> 01:09:47,479
Speaker 12: phenomenal approach, you know, walk rate under twenty percent. I

1589
01:09:47,560 --> 01:09:49,679
Speaker 12: mean acculy me a k rate under twenty percent, walk

1590
01:09:49,760 --> 01:09:54,040
Speaker 12: rate around fourteen percent, while having above average quality of

1591
01:09:54,080 --> 01:09:56,920
Speaker 12: contact as well, and still running you know, well on

1592
01:09:56,960 --> 01:09:59,080
Speaker 12: the base pass and efficiently in the base pass as well.

1593
01:09:59,160 --> 01:10:01,280
Speaker 12: So he's to be one of those guys that just

1594
01:10:01,360 --> 01:10:04,559
Speaker 12: impacts the game in so many ways. You know, maybe

1595
01:10:04,640 --> 01:10:07,759
Speaker 12: brings multi position eligibility. I'm still not even sure worries

1596
01:10:07,800 --> 01:10:10,439
Speaker 12: to play for this Red Sox team this year. I

1597
01:10:10,439 --> 01:10:13,280
Speaker 12: mean last year he kind of almost split right down

1598
01:10:13,320 --> 01:10:16,880
Speaker 12: the middle, second base, short stop in outfield, and I think,

1599
01:10:16,960 --> 01:10:19,360
Speaker 12: you know, probably more so second base in outfield right now,

1600
01:10:19,800 --> 01:10:21,720
Speaker 12: but maybe Story gets hurt again and he has to

1601
01:10:21,720 --> 01:10:24,360
Speaker 12: pay some short stop, So good chance you get multi

1602
01:10:24,520 --> 01:10:28,479
Speaker 12: positional eligibility from him and just really good five category

1603
01:10:28,520 --> 01:10:31,920
Speaker 12: production while not having to worry about, you know, a

1604
01:10:31,920 --> 01:10:33,200
Speaker 12: low average or anything like that.

1605
01:10:33,320 --> 01:10:35,320
Speaker 4: So he's not tearing it up right now in spring.

1606
01:10:35,840 --> 01:10:37,200
Speaker 4: It's it's looked better of late.

1607
01:10:37,280 --> 01:10:39,960
Speaker 12: But I'm so very much you know, on board here

1608
01:10:40,479 --> 01:10:43,599
Speaker 12: the hype train and definitely confident that cam'p be. Look,

1609
01:10:43,600 --> 01:10:45,479
Speaker 12: it'll have a very good career starting this year. So

1610
01:10:45,760 --> 01:10:47,920
Speaker 12: I've've already gotten a lot of shares at him in

1611
01:10:48,000 --> 01:10:50,840
Speaker 12: redraft leagues and I'll continue to do so here leading

1612
01:10:50,920 --> 01:10:51,639
Speaker 12: up to opening Day.

1613
01:10:52,200 --> 01:10:54,639
Speaker 8: Yeah, you mentioned redraft, by the way, just to be clear,

1614
01:10:54,680 --> 01:10:56,519
Speaker 8: since we're talking rookies, we're not looking at this through

1615
01:10:56,520 --> 01:10:59,040
Speaker 8: the prism of like keeper or dynasty. This is rookies

1616
01:10:59,040 --> 01:11:01,599
Speaker 8: that we're interested in drafting for redraft for the twenty

1617
01:11:01,680 --> 01:11:04,680
Speaker 8: twenty five season. I mean, it doesn't get to be

1618
01:11:04,720 --> 01:11:07,200
Speaker 8: a more picture perfect breakout minor league season than what

1619
01:11:07,200 --> 01:11:09,320
Speaker 8: we got from Christian Campbell last year. Like, this is

1620
01:11:09,400 --> 01:11:11,960
Speaker 8: everything you could have possibly asked for if you're looking

1621
01:11:11,960 --> 01:11:14,240
Speaker 8: at him as a you know, future fantasy asset or

1622
01:11:14,360 --> 01:11:16,160
Speaker 8: you know, as a Red Sox fan for your team,

1623
01:11:16,680 --> 01:11:19,040
Speaker 8: where you said you have a lot of them already, Eric,

1624
01:11:19,080 --> 01:11:20,920
Speaker 8: where are you drafting? Because if you look at like

1625
01:11:20,920 --> 01:11:23,639
Speaker 8: his expert consensus ranking on Fantasy Pros, it's really low.

1626
01:11:23,680 --> 01:11:25,479
Speaker 8: It's like three hundredth or something overall.

1627
01:11:25,680 --> 01:11:27,479
Speaker 3: So where are you at what point you're.

1628
01:11:27,400 --> 01:11:29,080
Speaker 8: Draft saying this is where I'm going to take the

1629
01:11:29,120 --> 01:11:31,240
Speaker 8: swing on a really high upside rookie.

1630
01:11:31,960 --> 01:11:34,240
Speaker 12: Yeah, so I'm beginning him a lot in like the

1631
01:11:34,280 --> 01:11:36,599
Speaker 12: two fifty the two eighty range. I think his ADP

1632
01:11:36,800 --> 01:11:38,760
Speaker 12: is something like two eighty two ninety something like that.

1633
01:11:38,960 --> 01:11:40,960
Speaker 12: So I think I've been jumping ADP a little bit,

1634
01:11:41,040 --> 01:11:43,880
Speaker 12: not a ton, though, but I've seen them also, you know,

1635
01:11:43,920 --> 01:11:45,400
Speaker 12: get taken a round or two ahead of where I

1636
01:11:45,439 --> 01:11:49,080
Speaker 12: even wanted to take him, which is unfortunate, but you

1637
01:11:49,080 --> 01:11:52,920
Speaker 12: know that's part of ADP this year is actually really fun,

1638
01:11:52,920 --> 01:11:56,120
Speaker 12: you know, like Jackson Job in that range, Kumar Rocker,

1639
01:11:56,360 --> 01:11:59,519
Speaker 12: there's a lot of fun young players going in that range.

1640
01:11:59,560 --> 01:12:01,599
Speaker 12: Like Roman Anthony was going in there, but he since

1641
01:12:01,680 --> 01:12:04,320
Speaker 12: kind of fallen into the three hundreds ADP wise. But yeah,

1642
01:12:04,320 --> 01:12:06,880
Speaker 12: I think anything after two fifty, you know, I think

1643
01:12:07,120 --> 01:12:09,479
Speaker 12: you can afford to take a little bit more upside,

1644
01:12:09,680 --> 01:12:12,680
Speaker 12: you know, risk there, even with you know, one of

1645
01:12:12,680 --> 01:12:15,360
Speaker 12: the top process. None of these guys are for sure.

1646
01:12:15,240 --> 01:12:17,800
Speaker 12: We know that we've seen the top guys struggle, so

1647
01:12:18,160 --> 01:12:19,479
Speaker 12: you know, at that point in your draft, it's not

1648
01:12:19,479 --> 01:12:22,120
Speaker 12: gonna hurt you too much if it doesn't work out.

1649
01:12:22,160 --> 01:12:25,760
Speaker 12: But obviously the potential ROI is massive, Like you could

1650
01:12:25,760 --> 01:12:27,479
Speaker 12: be a guy we're talking about is a top one

1651
01:12:27,520 --> 01:12:29,960
Speaker 12: hundred draft pick at this time next year. So yeah,

1652
01:12:29,960 --> 01:12:32,680
Speaker 12: I think that two fifty to to eighty range I

1653
01:12:32,680 --> 01:12:35,160
Speaker 12: think is pretty fair for Christian Campbell Mayor.

1654
01:12:35,200 --> 01:12:37,840
Speaker 8: I'm assuming you pretty much agree with everything that Eric

1655
01:12:37,920 --> 01:12:38,280
Speaker 8: just said.

1656
01:12:39,160 --> 01:12:42,000
Speaker 11: Yeah, for the most part. The biggest question, like Eric said,

1657
01:12:42,040 --> 01:12:43,200
Speaker 11: is is he going to play? Is he going to

1658
01:12:43,240 --> 01:12:45,880
Speaker 11: be on the roster right away? There's questions about what

1659
01:12:45,920 --> 01:12:47,920
Speaker 11: the heck is going on with Profiel Devers right now.

1660
01:12:49,000 --> 01:12:51,200
Speaker 11: Everyone assumed Alex Bregman is gonna be starting second basement.

1661
01:12:51,200 --> 01:12:54,679
Speaker 11: He's been playing third base every day, and Christian Campbell

1662
01:12:54,680 --> 01:12:57,040
Speaker 11: has been splitting time between second base and the outfield.

1663
01:12:57,080 --> 01:12:59,960
Speaker 11: And the Red Sox have a weird situation right now

1664
01:13:00,000 --> 01:13:02,200
Speaker 11: where they're not necessarily like super banged up injury wise,

1665
01:13:02,240 --> 01:13:04,599
Speaker 11: but they have something going around their clubhouse where like

1666
01:13:05,040 --> 01:13:06,880
Speaker 11: a third of their roster is down with an illness

1667
01:13:06,880 --> 01:13:08,960
Speaker 11: like Willie Orrobreo has missed a bunch of times, just

1668
01:13:09,000 --> 01:13:11,560
Speaker 11: in Kass from an Anthony. And the other thing is

1669
01:13:11,600 --> 01:13:14,160
Speaker 11: that they need right handed bats in their lineup, which

1670
01:13:14,240 --> 01:13:18,240
Speaker 11: is another kind of you know factor helping Christian Campbell

1671
01:13:18,280 --> 01:13:20,840
Speaker 11: potentially make the roster. I read a really good piece

1672
01:13:20,880 --> 01:13:23,320
Speaker 11: in The Athletic recently about how the Red Sox kind

1673
01:13:23,320 --> 01:13:25,559
Speaker 11: of just changed his swing after they drafted him. They

1674
01:13:25,560 --> 01:13:27,240
Speaker 11: really liked his contact ability, but they thought they could

1675
01:13:27,280 --> 01:13:30,400
Speaker 11: tap into more power and they have and there was.

1676
01:13:30,439 --> 01:13:32,400
Speaker 11: It was an interesting read about how the Red Sox

1677
01:13:32,439 --> 01:13:34,679
Speaker 11: specifically are training you know, kind of their top three

1678
01:13:35,280 --> 01:13:37,720
Speaker 11: and how they're really just like a you know, just

1679
01:13:37,800 --> 01:13:39,360
Speaker 11: throwing all kinds of stuff with them in the batting

1680
01:13:39,360 --> 01:13:41,600
Speaker 11: cages where they can use this tool to replicate like

1681
01:13:41,800 --> 01:13:44,080
Speaker 11: actual pitches from around the league, and they're just like

1682
01:13:44,160 --> 01:13:47,360
Speaker 11: trying to break their swings and it's like working out

1683
01:13:47,400 --> 01:13:49,599
Speaker 11: really well for them. So the biggest question for him

1684
01:13:49,600 --> 01:13:52,759
Speaker 11: ADP two eighty seven, so not a very expensive price tag,

1685
01:13:53,160 --> 01:13:56,959
Speaker 11: but like like Crosshead, you can potentially get positional eligibility

1686
01:13:57,000 --> 01:13:59,120
Speaker 11: for him. He could be second based outfield eligible, maybe

1687
01:13:59,120 --> 01:14:03,080
Speaker 11: even some short stop we'll see and power speed combo

1688
01:14:03,160 --> 01:14:04,519
Speaker 11: that you can get really late in the draft. The

1689
01:14:04,520 --> 01:14:06,160
Speaker 11: only question is is he going to be in the

1690
01:14:06,200 --> 01:14:07,160
Speaker 11: lineup and on the roster?

1691
01:14:08,160 --> 01:14:10,240
Speaker 8: Is that two fifty two eighty range also where you

1692
01:14:10,280 --> 01:14:11,519
Speaker 8: would be looking to draft him there?

1693
01:14:12,280 --> 01:14:15,040
Speaker 11: Yeah, I have him in one draft. I waited like

1694
01:14:15,040 --> 01:14:17,880
Speaker 11: a little too long for him in DGFBI, which which

1695
01:14:17,920 --> 01:14:19,559
Speaker 11: is a format I'm a little bit more nervous to

1696
01:14:19,560 --> 01:14:22,880
Speaker 11: take rookies in anyway, just because if you're wrong and

1697
01:14:22,880 --> 01:14:24,760
Speaker 11: he's not on the roster, it really kills you in

1698
01:14:24,800 --> 01:14:27,280
Speaker 11: a format like that, but if you're right, it really helps.

1699
01:14:27,479 --> 01:14:28,680
Speaker 11: But I didn't get him in that draft, but I

1700
01:14:28,680 --> 01:14:31,640
Speaker 11: did get him in a sour cap draft recently, so

1701
01:14:31,800 --> 01:14:33,360
Speaker 11: ADP doesn't help there because I had to pay a

1702
01:14:33,360 --> 01:14:36,760
Speaker 11: price for him. But yeah, ADP two eighty seven, I

1703
01:14:36,760 --> 01:14:38,240
Speaker 11: would be willing to take him a couple of rounds

1704
01:14:38,280 --> 01:14:40,479
Speaker 11: before that, you know, depending on like my roster bill,

1705
01:14:40,600 --> 01:14:42,760
Speaker 11: just to have him on my bench for the upside.

1706
01:14:42,960 --> 01:14:44,920
Speaker 8: We're all in agreement there, mayor, who's the first rookie

1707
01:14:44,920 --> 01:14:46,080
Speaker 8: you want to talk about?

1708
01:14:46,760 --> 01:14:49,880
Speaker 11: Despite being a Red Sox fan, I'll go with Jason

1709
01:14:49,880 --> 01:14:53,080
Speaker 11: Dominguez And it encouraged me to say that as someone

1710
01:14:53,080 --> 01:14:56,439
Speaker 11: who doesn't want the Yankees to do well. But I

1711
01:14:56,600 --> 01:14:59,880
Speaker 11: just I don't know. It feels like and I'm interested

1712
01:14:59,840 --> 01:15:02,439
Speaker 11: to get cross his opinion on this. It almost feels

1713
01:15:02,439 --> 01:15:03,880
Speaker 11: like we're getting I don't know if it's like prospect

1714
01:15:03,960 --> 01:15:07,400
Speaker 11: fatigue or what's going on, but I feel like this

1715
01:15:07,439 --> 01:15:09,120
Speaker 11: was one of the top prospects in baseball and it's

1716
01:15:09,120 --> 01:15:11,639
Speaker 11: like people forgot about it. His ADP is one forty,

1717
01:15:11,680 --> 01:15:15,000
Speaker 11: like not super cheap, but also not expensive. And I

1718
01:15:15,080 --> 01:15:17,599
Speaker 11: mentioned this on an episode of the cycle recently, and

1719
01:15:18,600 --> 01:15:20,479
Speaker 11: maybe I'm going a little bit too far for far

1720
01:15:20,560 --> 01:15:22,880
Speaker 11: with it, but like we talk about someone like Jacksonurio,

1721
01:15:22,920 --> 01:15:25,280
Speaker 11: whose ADP is just shooting up right now. The ADP

1722
01:15:25,400 --> 01:15:27,400
Speaker 11: is nineteen. We just saw him go in the first

1723
01:15:27,479 --> 01:15:30,840
Speaker 11: round of a main event draft on FBC, which is

1724
01:15:30,880 --> 01:15:33,519
Speaker 11: wild to see. And I'm not saying it's gonna happen,

1725
01:15:34,160 --> 01:15:37,600
Speaker 11: but there's a world where Jacksonio kind of underperforms his

1726
01:15:37,680 --> 01:15:41,800
Speaker 11: projections and Jason Domanngez slightly outperforms his projections. And I'm

1727
01:15:41,800 --> 01:15:43,599
Speaker 11: not talking about by a lot, because the projections are

1728
01:15:43,640 --> 01:15:48,000
Speaker 11: not that far off where Jason Domingez like outperforms Jacksoniro

1729
01:15:48,080 --> 01:15:50,960
Speaker 11: or performs like very similarly one hundred and twenty picks

1730
01:15:51,000 --> 01:15:54,640
Speaker 11: later in your drafts like power speed Combo. You know,

1731
01:15:54,680 --> 01:15:56,839
Speaker 11: if he hits well, should hit fairly high in that lineup,

1732
01:15:57,200 --> 01:15:59,759
Speaker 11: really good home ballpark. And the Yankees need him especially,

1733
01:15:59,840 --> 01:16:02,439
Speaker 11: you know, with losing Juan Soto. You know, we kind

1734
01:16:02,439 --> 01:16:05,080
Speaker 11: of salivated over the idea of like Jason Domingez learning

1735
01:16:05,080 --> 01:16:07,880
Speaker 11: from Juan Soto and kind of like coming up next

1736
01:16:07,880 --> 01:16:10,080
Speaker 11: to him. But now without him, they need him even more.

1737
01:16:10,600 --> 01:16:13,920
Speaker 11: And so I really, you know, one hundred and twenty

1738
01:16:13,960 --> 01:16:18,640
Speaker 11: picks after Jackson Turio, not too like, you know, dissimilar projections.

1739
01:16:19,479 --> 01:16:21,840
Speaker 3: It seems like a lead winner to me, Eric, what

1740
01:16:21,840 --> 01:16:22,519
Speaker 3: do you think about that?

1741
01:16:22,720 --> 01:16:25,160
Speaker 8: I know, when we were planning out this segment, you

1742
01:16:25,200 --> 01:16:27,320
Speaker 8: had said like you were kind of sticking away from

1743
01:16:27,479 --> 01:16:30,040
Speaker 8: some of the more obvious names like Roki or Dylan Cruz,

1744
01:16:30,080 --> 01:16:32,759
Speaker 8: and you actually mentioned Dimingez as one of those names.

1745
01:16:32,920 --> 01:16:34,320
Speaker 8: But now that we're talking about him, what do you

1746
01:16:34,320 --> 01:16:36,920
Speaker 8: think about this not comparison that Mayor is making, but

1747
01:16:37,320 --> 01:16:41,400
Speaker 8: this difference in ADP between a guy like Churio and Dimingez.

1748
01:16:41,439 --> 01:16:44,519
Speaker 8: Do you see them as it's a viable outcome that

1749
01:16:44,560 --> 01:16:46,519
Speaker 8: they might actually finish fairly close to each other by

1750
01:16:46,520 --> 01:16:47,240
Speaker 8: the end of the season.

1751
01:16:48,280 --> 01:16:48,840
Speaker 4: I mean, I.

1752
01:16:48,840 --> 01:16:51,679
Speaker 12: Wouldn't entirely rule it out, because you know, Jackson Curio

1753
01:16:52,000 --> 01:16:54,080
Speaker 12: more of an aggressive hitter that kind of leads to

1754
01:16:54,120 --> 01:16:58,200
Speaker 12: some prolonged slumps at times. I'm I'm not necessarily worried

1755
01:16:58,200 --> 01:17:01,240
Speaker 12: about Jackson Surio is obviously he's a phenomenal talent. Everyone

1756
01:17:01,280 --> 01:17:04,439
Speaker 12: knows that. But Domingez could be a phenomenal talent as well.

1757
01:17:04,560 --> 01:17:06,479
Speaker 12: I mean, like fast forward a year, we could be

1758
01:17:06,479 --> 01:17:08,479
Speaker 12: all sitting here talking, you know, in March of twenty

1759
01:17:08,479 --> 01:17:11,160
Speaker 12: twenty six, and we're talking about you know, Domingues is

1760
01:17:11,160 --> 01:17:13,439
Speaker 12: like a top twenty five, top thirty picks something like that,

1761
01:17:13,520 --> 01:17:16,719
Speaker 12: So you know the upside that's there for Dominguez and yeah,

1762
01:17:16,760 --> 01:17:20,519
Speaker 12: the fatigue, I mean he was It's been really kind

1763
01:17:20,520 --> 01:17:23,120
Speaker 12: of an odd roller coaster, you know, minor league career

1764
01:17:23,160 --> 01:17:26,360
Speaker 12: for Dominguez because obviously he signed right in the year

1765
01:17:26,439 --> 01:17:29,720
Speaker 12: before the lost twenty twenty years, so he didn't even

1766
01:17:29,880 --> 01:17:31,920
Speaker 12: have a chance to really debut until I think it

1767
01:17:31,920 --> 01:17:35,479
Speaker 12: was roughly two years after he sign and everyone remembers

1768
01:17:35,560 --> 01:17:40,600
Speaker 12: the bo Jackson, Mickey manno Mike Trout, just insanely ridiculous

1769
01:17:41,040 --> 01:17:44,280
Speaker 12: comps and unfair to put on a sixteen seventeen year old.

1770
01:17:44,120 --> 01:17:46,040
Speaker 4: Prospect or anybody for that matter.

1771
01:17:46,600 --> 01:17:49,599
Speaker 12: But then he rose up and you know, became one

1772
01:17:49,600 --> 01:17:50,800
Speaker 12: of the best process in the game.

1773
01:17:51,080 --> 01:17:53,360
Speaker 4: Actually, I liked that little range there with him and.

1774
01:17:54,040 --> 01:17:56,360
Speaker 12: Dylan Cruz and at that one thirty one forty won

1775
01:17:56,400 --> 01:18:00,879
Speaker 12: fifty range of drafts because at that point you probably

1776
01:18:00,920 --> 01:18:03,560
Speaker 12: already have I mean at least your outfield one and

1777
01:18:03,680 --> 01:18:06,800
Speaker 12: probably even your outfield two unless you really wait on

1778
01:18:06,880 --> 01:18:07,360
Speaker 12: an outfield.

1779
01:18:07,479 --> 01:18:09,720
Speaker 4: So for the most part, Do Mingas should.

1780
01:18:09,479 --> 01:18:12,000
Speaker 12: Be at your outfield three and especially if you get

1781
01:18:12,040 --> 01:18:14,719
Speaker 12: you know, two outfielders that you feel good about, you want'

1782
01:18:14,720 --> 01:18:17,479
Speaker 12: maybe little bit on the safer side with your first

1783
01:18:17,479 --> 01:18:20,000
Speaker 12: two outfielders, you can afford to maybe go a little

1784
01:18:20,040 --> 01:18:23,360
Speaker 12: bit more upside with that outfield three. I mean, do

1785
01:18:23,439 --> 01:18:26,360
Speaker 12: Minga's and crews absolutely could each you know, blow pass

1786
01:18:26,439 --> 01:18:30,000
Speaker 12: their ADP de Minga's that massive power speed blend that

1787
01:18:30,200 --> 01:18:32,160
Speaker 12: you know, more power from the left side, which obviously

1788
01:18:32,320 --> 01:18:35,040
Speaker 12: plays well at Yankee Stadium. I didn't think he's still

1789
01:18:35,080 --> 01:18:37,040
Speaker 12: run this much after he was putting up the big

1790
01:18:37,080 --> 01:18:39,160
Speaker 12: stolen based sumbers and the low miners. I thought that

1791
01:18:39,160 --> 01:18:41,160
Speaker 12: woul kind of fizzle out. It hasn't yet, and he's

1792
01:18:41,160 --> 01:18:43,840
Speaker 12: still shown the willingness to run. So yeah, really fun

1793
01:18:43,840 --> 01:18:46,679
Speaker 12: power speed blend there. So yeah, Do Mingas could absolutely

1794
01:18:46,760 --> 01:18:49,000
Speaker 12: jump up there and get up into that elite range

1795
01:18:49,040 --> 01:18:49,479
Speaker 12: next year.

1796
01:18:50,040 --> 01:18:54,360
Speaker 8: I'm definitely wary of the prospect fatigue because he is somebody,

1797
01:18:54,400 --> 01:18:56,240
Speaker 8: as you mentioned that we've been hearing about for just

1798
01:18:56,439 --> 01:19:00,400
Speaker 8: so long, still obviously really young, and I don't want

1799
01:19:00,439 --> 01:19:02,760
Speaker 8: to hold it against him that he maybe had a

1800
01:19:02,760 --> 01:19:04,880
Speaker 8: bit of a roller coaster of a minor league career,

1801
01:19:05,479 --> 01:19:08,200
Speaker 8: just given what we all believe the talent can be there.

1802
01:19:09,400 --> 01:19:11,880
Speaker 8: Let me put this question to you, Eric, if you

1803
01:19:11,960 --> 01:19:13,960
Speaker 8: had to predict right now, and we're not going to

1804
01:19:14,000 --> 01:19:15,400
Speaker 8: hold you to this a year from now, but if

1805
01:19:15,400 --> 01:19:17,200
Speaker 8: you have to predict right now, what do you think

1806
01:19:17,200 --> 01:19:22,400
Speaker 8: Domingos is ADP will be for twenty twenty six drafts?

1807
01:19:23,000 --> 01:19:24,840
Speaker 12: Don't I don't think it will get quite as high

1808
01:19:24,840 --> 01:19:28,400
Speaker 12: as you know where we're taking Churio this year, but.

1809
01:19:28,360 --> 01:19:28,960
Speaker 4: Maybe I think it.

1810
01:19:28,960 --> 01:19:30,920
Speaker 12: Maybe you can get into the Jackson male range, so

1811
01:19:30,960 --> 01:19:33,240
Speaker 12: I think it's like the little mid thirties. It's also

1812
01:19:33,240 --> 01:19:35,800
Speaker 12: like that, also like the thirty of the thirty five range,

1813
01:19:36,400 --> 01:19:38,439
Speaker 12: back into the second early part of the third and

1814
01:19:38,479 --> 01:19:41,120
Speaker 12: then in the fifteen team or I think that's pretty realistic.

1815
01:19:41,560 --> 01:19:42,400
Speaker 8: Same question, Maire.

1816
01:19:43,960 --> 01:19:46,360
Speaker 11: Yeah, I was just looking up Quiet Langford because how's

1817
01:19:46,360 --> 01:19:48,320
Speaker 11: that for a comp of someone that people are really

1818
01:19:48,360 --> 01:19:51,160
Speaker 11: excited about this year? He's going forty seven. I could

1819
01:19:51,200 --> 01:19:53,720
Speaker 11: see Jason Dimingo is easily top fifty next year.

1820
01:19:54,560 --> 01:19:57,479
Speaker 8: The cheat sheet Creator is your personal guide to perfect

1821
01:19:57,560 --> 01:20:01,559
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1822
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1823
01:20:04,880 --> 01:20:08,040
Speaker 8: every pick is strategic and tailored to your league settings.

1824
01:20:08,040 --> 01:20:10,080
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1825
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Speaker 8: slash sheet or on the Fantasy Baseball Draft Wizard app.

1827
01:20:18,200 --> 01:20:20,320
Speaker 1: There you have it, everybody. That is the best of

1828
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1840
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1841
01:20:57,680 --> 01:20:58,479
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1842
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1843
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