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Speaker 1: This is the Action Network Podcast all.

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Speaker 2: The way, and it is good.

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Speaker 3: To trick your down.

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Speaker 1: M.

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Speaker 3: You got real telling we don't concentrate on golf.

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Speaker 4: What's up everybody, and welcome once again to the Action

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Speaker 4: Network Podcast, The Golf Edition, presented by Bet MGM. I'm

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Speaker 4: Jason Sobol of Golf bet He is Justin Ready, the

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Speaker 4: head of content for the fifteenth Club. Over the next

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Speaker 4: little bit, we're gonna get into this week's Wells Fargo Championship.

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Speaker 4: We'll make our DFS line up the world of course,

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Speaker 4: go through our five questions in five minutes, and we'll

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Speaker 4: go through.

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Speaker 1: Last weekend's vals Bar Championship. Apologies, I'm about to sound

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Speaker 1: a little different. I have an unstable internet connection. About

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Speaker 1: to jump on the phone here, but you'll still be

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Speaker 1: able to hear me, unfortunately, just not as clearly as usual.

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Speaker 2: It's unfortunate.

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Speaker 3: I was really looking forward to talking to myself the

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Speaker 3: next hour, but I guess we'll let you come in

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Speaker 3: chime in from the landline, and we're gonna, you know.

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Speaker 2: It's gonna be workman like.

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Speaker 3: You know, We're gonna push through this like a number

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Speaker 3: four starter with a four to seven e RA against

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Speaker 3: a good team, just you know, just got to push

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Speaker 3: through and get to the finish line.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. I feel like the proper analogy here is that

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Speaker 1: I cracked my driver on the second tea and I'm

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Speaker 1: just gonna have to, you know, knock a threewood around

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Speaker 1: here and try to get it done with it.

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Speaker 3: Look if Seawoo Kim can pup with a three wood

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Speaker 3: at Augusta National, we can hear.

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Speaker 1: There you go, that's exactly it. So, uh's let's review

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Speaker 1: on the weekend a little bit here and talk about

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Speaker 1: what I was hoping for. Would be a Keegan Bradley victory.

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Speaker 1: Had him first round leader. That was fantastic. I really

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Speaker 1: enjoyed watching him on Thursday. Had him for top five,

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Speaker 1: no sweat there, even though he tried to blow it

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Speaker 1: a little bit at the end. Had him for our

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Speaker 1: rights and that would have been a nice little cherry

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Speaker 1: on top, but we didn't get it. Sam Burns looked

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Speaker 1: really strong down the stretch, whereas Keig and Bradley looked

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Speaker 1: like the guy tried to win his first PGA Tour

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Speaker 1: title and staid the other way around. And Sam Burns,

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Speaker 1: at the age of twenty four, is a PGA Tour

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Speaker 1: champion for the first time.

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Speaker 3: Excellent. This really felt like a kid kicking the door

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Speaker 3: down someone who had been, you know, on the precipice

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Speaker 3: of breaking through with the victory for a while. My

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Speaker 3: favorite note about Sam from the week he's now letter

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Speaker 3: co led following nine rounds this season on the PGA Tour.

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Speaker 3: That's three more than any other player, justin Thomas' second

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Speaker 3: with six. He absolutely putted his tail off. He gained

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Speaker 3: more than nine strokes on the field on the greens.

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Speaker 3: That was the most by a winner at the vals

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Speaker 3: Bar since Luke Donald, one of the best putters of

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Speaker 3: the last twenty thirty years. In twenty twelve he gained

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Speaker 3: a few more than that, but fifty nine for sixty

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Speaker 3: one putting inside ten feet. That can sometimes be a

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Speaker 3: little bit misleading, but anytime you've got sixty one putts

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Speaker 3: from a particular range, he had plenty from four to

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Speaker 3: eight feet. Rank really high in that metric two, you know,

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Speaker 3: rank third in the field for the weekend strokes game putting.

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Speaker 3: He made three shot win. He put his foot down

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Speaker 3: and got the job done. It was really good to

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Speaker 3: see because this feels like kind of a culmination of

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Speaker 3: a lot of really good golf over the last twelve

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Speaker 3: to eighteen months.

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Speaker 1: And I mentioned he's twenty four years old. We'll get

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Speaker 1: into during the five Questions a few things about some

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Speaker 1: of these young guns out there. But I just think

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Speaker 1: it's interesting to note that while we all sort of

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Speaker 1: lumped together the Moricowa's and Hovelins and Matthew Wolfs, and

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Speaker 1: you know, we kind of say, well, see who Kim

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Speaker 1: he's twenty five BA he's been around for a long time,

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Speaker 1: and Will's alexaorso he's the young kid that just parts

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Speaker 1: on first onto the scene. He's twenty four years old.

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Speaker 1: He's older than Colin Maric. It's just they're all right

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Speaker 1: there in the same age range. And if you want

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Speaker 1: to go past I've used twenty five as sort of

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Speaker 1: that barometer all day, talking about ten players now twenty

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Speaker 1: five or younger inside the top fifty on the world ranking.

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Speaker 1: But if you go just a little bit past that,

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Speaker 1: John Rahm, Chris, John Huzenenut which I finally got right,

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Speaker 1: Matt Fit's, you're all twenty sire twenty seven. You know,

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Speaker 1: there are guys that are within this age range that

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Speaker 1: aren't much older than these guys it just it all

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Speaker 1: lends itself to wow. This up and coming generation that's

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Speaker 1: sort of part of the President generation and the future generation.

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Speaker 1: These guys are really really good players already.

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Speaker 2: There's a lot of depth there too.

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Speaker 3: You mentioned the big list of names, and even Justin

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Speaker 3: Thomas just turned twenty eight. I mean, you know that's

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Speaker 3: that's not exactly an old man out there. So just

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Speaker 3: you're right, a big list of players we're going to

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Speaker 3: see globally too, right, It's not just American or European.

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Speaker 3: It's players from Asia, players in South Africa, you know,

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Speaker 3: maybe are a stronger contingent for the International President's Team

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Speaker 3: Cup moving forward the next decade or so too. So

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Speaker 3: it's an exciting time to be a golf fan for sure.

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Speaker 3: And this feels like the next way we have that.

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Speaker 3: You know, we talked about that high school class of

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Speaker 3: twenty eleven for so long, headlined by Jordan Speith and

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Speaker 3: then JT. Xander part of that group a lot of

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Speaker 3: other great, really talent players. This feels like the next

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Speaker 3: wave right behind them. And you know, Sam Burns someone

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Speaker 3: whose iron plays consistently improved over the last several seasons.

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Speaker 3: He's always since he turned pro had really good numbers

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Speaker 3: off the tee, and you see what he's capable of hunning.

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Speaker 3: This is a kid whose talent is capable of carrying him.

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Speaker 3: See any golf course he goes to and can make

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Speaker 3: him a contender if he just gets a little bit

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Speaker 3: more consistent.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's the one thing I've been saying about him

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Speaker 1: for a while. So I was really impressed last year

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Speaker 1: with how his game travels. You know, this is not

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Speaker 1: I know he's got the nickname Berriuda Burns, but this

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Speaker 1: is not just a kid who only plays well in

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Speaker 1: the Southeast where he's from, or only plays well in

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Speaker 1: a certain part. He went to Houston, played really well.

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Speaker 1: He went to Riviera, played really well. At the Genesis,

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Speaker 1: he was the fifty four to old leader. Now goes

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Speaker 1: to Tampa, plays really well there. I like the fact

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Speaker 1: that his game travels. I'm not ready to put him

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Speaker 1: in the upper echelon of players in the world, but

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Speaker 1: I always say that what separates the top players from

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Speaker 1: the next tier is that the top players can win anywhere,

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Speaker 1: any place, anytime. And the more the more opportunities you

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Speaker 1: give yourself and the more you're able to go out

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Speaker 1: and compete on different kinds of golf courses. The more

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Speaker 1: valuable you are, first of all to yourself. Secondly for

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Speaker 1: our purposes the betters out there. You're able to go

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Speaker 1: out there and say, wow, you know, on any given week,

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Speaker 1: Sam Burn's the guy that can show up on a

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Speaker 1: leader board. That makes him very valuable to us, just

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Speaker 1: real quick looking back at Keegan Bradley, we come out

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Speaker 1: of this with positive vibes toward Keegan or negative vibes.

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Speaker 1: Looks so good for really three and a half rounds

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Speaker 1: and then just unraveled with that t shot in the

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Speaker 1: water on thirteen, missed a couple of really short putts,

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Speaker 1: looked like he was just sort of dejected after that

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Speaker 1: and mentally kind of out of it the last couple

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Speaker 1: of holes when Sam Burns was pretty much running away

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Speaker 1: with this thing. But do we still have some positive

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Speaker 1: takes coming out of this for Keegan?

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Speaker 2: I think you have to.

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Speaker 3: I mean, ball striking wise, he's one of the more

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Speaker 3: consistent players on tour and has been for several years.

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Speaker 3: It's just been his struggle to adapt since the anchor

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Speaker 3: putting band went into effect. He just hasn't been the

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Speaker 3: same player on the greens I'm statistic. I came up

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Speaker 3: with Over the last three seasons, now forty percent of

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Speaker 3: Keegan Bradley's rounds he's had positive strokes gain putting. His

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Speaker 3: scoring average is sixty eight point seven. Sixty percent of

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Speaker 3: the time he loses strokes to the field when he

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Speaker 3: puts three shots higher his scoring average. I mean, it's

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Speaker 3: an enormous difference. So and he's even set himself if

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Speaker 3: he just he basically has said in interviews, Hey, if

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Speaker 3: I just put zero, if I just have a neutral

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Speaker 3: strokes gain putting number, I'm good because my ball striking

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Speaker 3: is there, I can drive it at an elite level.

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Speaker 3: My iron play, which he you know, kind of wavered

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Speaker 3: a little bit Sunday, but for the most part weekend week,

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Speaker 3: I was really good. This guy strikes the ball like

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Speaker 3: a stallion. It's just his putting numbers are are all

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Speaker 3: over the place, and they were this week. They were great,

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Speaker 3: positive through two rounds and then negative in rounds three

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Speaker 3: and four, And that's kind of the way it worked out.

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Speaker 3: He was for seven putting between four and eight feet

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Speaker 3: rounds one and two. That little mid range that kind

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Speaker 3: of determined golf tournaments. It feels like rounds three, four,

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Speaker 3: four for nine.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's usually. So we'll get talk about the Wells

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Speaker 1: Fargo Championship in a minute. I think some of the

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Speaker 1: five questions, it's my turn to ask you this week.

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Speaker 1: So some of these questions have to deal with this

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Speaker 1: past week. So let's get them in now before we

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Speaker 1: move ahead and start talking about our favorite bets for

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Speaker 1: this current week. So you're ready for the five questions.

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Speaker 2: I'm ready, fire at will Bud.

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Speaker 1: Five minutes. Five questions you never asked.

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Speaker 3: I gotta be honest with you.

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Speaker 1: I get a little irritated when somebody called me away

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Speaker 1: from my golf. This is five under okay. So there

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Speaker 1: are ten players aged twenty five or younger in the

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Speaker 1: top fifty of the world ranking, which I mentioned a

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Speaker 1: minute ago, by the way, and this is one of

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Speaker 1: the questions. But that seems like a lot. Do you

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Speaker 1: have any idea how to like quantify? Is that a lot?

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Speaker 1: Is that more than we have usually seen over the

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Speaker 1: past ten fifteen years?

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Speaker 3: Oh, in the top fifty in the world. I feel

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Speaker 3: like there was a time I've looked up recently when

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Speaker 3: rom first turned pro and won a lot, and then.

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Speaker 2: It was still JT.

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Speaker 3: Speth fit that mold maybe Patrick Cantlet Xander. I mean,

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Speaker 3: I think it seems eleven out of the top fifty

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Speaker 3: seems like a pretty high number. And look, there's been

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Speaker 3: an ongoing trend in golf where younger players are winning

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Speaker 3: more often. I wrote about it last year for the

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Speaker 3: PGA Tour, where you know, the average the mean age

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Speaker 3: of winners is significantly younger than a generation ago. So

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Speaker 3: there may be a time in recent history where it

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Speaker 3: was close to being eclipse or in the ballpark. But

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Speaker 3: going back before that, you ain't gonna find it because

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Speaker 3: you get back back around before twenty ten and there's

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Speaker 3: just not that amount of wins by players under the

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Speaker 3: age of twenty five unless your names Tiger was.

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Speaker 1: Okay, yes, okay, So that was a bonus question. That

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Speaker 1: was even the first question. Let's get to the first

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Speaker 1: question more. We're Kwah, Hoblin, m Wolf, Sheffler, Neeman, Dalataurus, Burns,

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Speaker 1: McIntyre and Kim Are those ten inside the top fifty

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Speaker 1: right now twenty five and under career earnings from right

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Speaker 1: this very second through the end of time, which one

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Speaker 1: do you take?

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Speaker 2: Wow, that's a good question.

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Speaker 1: Thank you paid for.

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Speaker 3: I oh, Man, there's so many ways you can go

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Speaker 3: with this. I'm gonna take Victor Hobland, and my my

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Speaker 3: answer might change two weeks from now.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't think you can go wrong with Colin

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Speaker 2: more Kawa.

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Speaker 3: His iron play since he's turned pro, is as good

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Speaker 3: as anybody top five, and strokes he can't approach her

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Speaker 3: round since he turned professional. Victor Hoblin's right there, though, man,

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Speaker 3: like he's so consistent with his ball striking. He's going

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Speaker 3: to improve around the greens, which self professed. I remember

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Speaker 3: when he was contending, or it might have been when

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Speaker 3: he won his first tournament BJA Tour, he said that

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Speaker 3: he sucked her on the greens, which was unbelievable. Gotta

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Speaker 3: be something that he improves on over time. Man, Matthew

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Speaker 3: Wolf's ceiling just seems so high. I know we can

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Speaker 3: be prisoners in the moment. He hasn't played great the

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Speaker 3: last few months, but you feel like he's so talented

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Speaker 3: he's gonna get it back. Man. I'll go with Victor Hobland.

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Speaker 3: I feel like, I mean, I feel like also too.

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Speaker 3: We might look back in ten years at that Oklahoma

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Speaker 3: State team and just marvel at the town on that roster.

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Speaker 2: I know he kind of already did. Team that won

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Speaker 2: I think it was ten eleven tournaments, won the national.

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Speaker 3: Championship, got to host the National Championship with Matthew Wolf

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Speaker 3: and Victor Hoblin and Chris Fintur on their team.

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Speaker 2: Which, okay, like you know that seems fair, but no,

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Speaker 2: I'll go with Victor Hoblin.

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Speaker 3: But you could talk me into a couple of those

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Speaker 3: other guys for sure.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, I went Colin Mori Cowa and answering

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Speaker 1: this question, but I said the same thing as you.

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Speaker 1: This is so fluid that by Monday of next week

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Speaker 1: my mind could change on again. So if you thought

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Speaker 1: that was a good question, here's question two, which is

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Speaker 1: even better. Which one of those ten do you say it? Oh? Man?

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Speaker 2: You always there's always a negative angle. I'm always so positive.

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Speaker 3: I'm like, I'm trying to get my ted lasso on

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Speaker 3: and be positive at all times, which I need.

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Speaker 1: They all might win. Did you put in the career

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Speaker 1: but somebody's got to come in last?

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Speaker 2: Did you put Seawoo in that group? Yes, okay, I'll

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Speaker 2: say Seawoo.

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Speaker 3: Kim simply because look we've seen how huge his ceiling is.

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Speaker 3: I would not be shocked if that guy won a

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Speaker 3: US Open by four shots at some point in his career.

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Speaker 2: But the ceiling is not consistently there.

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Speaker 3: Right, He's a guy who runs super hot and at

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Speaker 3: times like when he won the Players Championship, like who

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Speaker 3: is this guy? Where did this performance come from? But

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Speaker 3: then he has bouts with inconsistency that he can fight

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Speaker 3: from time to time. So, man, I guess I'll pick

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Speaker 3: Seawoo Kim. You know, I'm not Rob McIntyre or somebody.

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Speaker 3: I probably need to see a little bit more on

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Speaker 3: the global stage. I know he says some success in Europe,

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Speaker 3: but I guess I'll pick Seawoo Kim to fade out

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Speaker 3: of the group. With so much talent from those guys

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Speaker 3: who are in the top fifty and twenty.

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Speaker 1: Five hundred, that's fair. I'm wanna call Te'll see who

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Speaker 1: that you're fading him. And you know he's gonna build

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Speaker 1: brooks Keeka, you know, chip on his shoulder. But you

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Speaker 1: know that's okay, all right? Question three camera in Trongali

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Speaker 1: has now we're in the most money in PJ Tour

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Speaker 1: history without a win, thirteen million, seven hundred and forty

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Speaker 1: three thousand, nine hundred and thirty eight dollars. I want

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Speaker 1: to see what a win is worth to you justin ray, Okay, okay,

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Speaker 1: think about now thirteen point seven million, zero victories. If

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Speaker 1: you were camera in Trongali. Would you trade his career

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Speaker 1: right now for a million out grillow eleven point eight

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Speaker 1: million and one win? Yes, they're giving up about two

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Speaker 1: million a win. Would you do it?

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Speaker 2: Yes? Without question?

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Speaker 1: Okay, okay. Would you trade for William mcgert's career ten

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Speaker 1: point seven million, three million less and one win?

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Speaker 2: William mcgertz win was the memorial.

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Speaker 3: I mean that's like a that's almost like a PGA

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Speaker 3: tour win and a half.

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Speaker 2: So yes, I would trade.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, okay. Would you trade for Sun Kang's career nine

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Speaker 1: point six million and one win? That's four point one

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Speaker 1: million that you're taking out of the checkbook.

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Speaker 3: All right, that's a little bit that's you know, first

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Speaker 3: of all, I can't answer appropriately about Sun Kang, and

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Speaker 3: I'll give you a reason why. Several years ago, he

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Speaker 3: was the fifty four leader at Houston, my hometown, and

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Speaker 3: he talked about how much he hated Texas at the

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Speaker 3: post game, at the post round press conference, just kind

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Speaker 3: of unprompted, and and he went out and lost.

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Speaker 2: Russell Hindley beat him the next day.

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Speaker 3: So I have a I have a small vendetta against

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Speaker 3: Sun Kang for his negative opinion.

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Speaker 2: And then he went won in Texas the next season.

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Speaker 1: So then he won in Texas. Hey, we know whatever.

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Speaker 3: So I'll try to remove that inherent bias from me.

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Speaker 3: But I'm still gonna say, Okay, now I take Cameron Tringali.

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Speaker 1: Okay, all right, last one, and this one's a little

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Speaker 1: bit different. Cameron Dregali thirteen point seven million or Jim

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Speaker 1: Herman seven point seven million and two wins.

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Speaker 3: Give me the two wins.

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Speaker 1: You're basically paying six million dollars for two trophies.

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Speaker 3: Well, yeah, Herman's career is not over yet. I mean

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Speaker 3: he's he just he's still got exemptions from Wyndham was

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Speaker 3: last season right after True, he's got a couple more years. Yeah, No,

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Speaker 3: I think two wins is a pretty big separator. I'd

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Speaker 3: say give me a plus. He won the Houston Open, So.

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Speaker 2: All right, the fifth.

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Speaker 1: Majors, No wrong answer? Okay, question number four. Justin Thomas

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Speaker 1: led the field at in this book in Strokes gained

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Speaker 1: Teta green, strokes gained off the tee and strokes gained

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Speaker 1: on approach shots. You the stats guru, J Ray, tell

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Speaker 1: me how rare?

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Speaker 3: Is this pretty significantly rare to lead in You said

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Speaker 3: with stroke skin off the tee and approached, And.

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Speaker 1: Then I'm saying it now and questioning myself since you

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Speaker 1: don't have that your fingertips, but I believe it was

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Speaker 1: t to green off the t and approach.

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Speaker 3: Okay, So if you lead in strokes gained off the

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Speaker 3: tee and approach, both of those numbers go into strokes

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Speaker 3: gain t de green along with strokes gain around the green.

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Speaker 3: So if you lead those two, there's a really good

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00:16:37,480 --> 00:16:39,200
Speaker 3: chance that you're going to lead strokes gain t de

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Speaker 3: green as well. It does not happen very often, just

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Speaker 3: a handful of times, small handful of times a season

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Speaker 3: where a player will lead in both those statistics, and

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Speaker 3: usually it results in either a win or maybe it's

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Speaker 3: a close finish down the stretch like top three type situation.

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Speaker 3: But JT putted so poorly that I mean, and he

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Speaker 3: tell you himself, he just putted himself out of it,

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Speaker 3: and he struck the ball brilliantly, and I take that

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Speaker 3: as a positive moving forward, especially going to ke a

347
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Speaker 3: PGA championship. But doesn't happen very often. I don't have

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Speaker 3: it right in front of me, but I you know,

349
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Speaker 3: maybe three times a season on the PGA Tour at

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Speaker 3: of forty some events, so it doesn't happen very much.

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Speaker 1: Okay, question number five. If you thought Kegan Bradley lost

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Speaker 1: a heartbreaker, John Daly did basically the same thing, putting

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Speaker 1: a ball in the water, but on the eighteenth all

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Speaker 1: losing on PGA Tour champions on Sunday evening. What's your

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Speaker 1: favorite John Daly stat over the years?

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Speaker 2: So in nineteen ninety seven, John Daly averaged three hundred

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Speaker 2: and two yards off the tee. That was more than

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Speaker 2: seven yards longer than Tiger Woods who was second. And

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Speaker 2: that statistic so he's seven yards ahead of second place,

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Speaker 2: pretty good number. He beat the PGA.

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Speaker 3: Tour average that season by thirty five yards. He was

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Speaker 3: out driving the average length player on tour by thirty

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Speaker 3: five So that differential, to give you some perspective, by percentage,

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Speaker 3: is about thirteen percent. For a player in twenty twenty

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Speaker 3: one to outdrive the PGA Tour average by thirteen percent,

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Speaker 3: they would need to average three point thirty five off

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Speaker 3: the team, so that would be fourteen That would be

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Speaker 3: fourteen yards longer than Bryson de Shambeau averages this season

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Speaker 3: leading the tour.

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Speaker 1: Three.

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Speaker 3: Wow, that's the advantage that at his peak with distance

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Speaker 3: that John Daly had in the bag when nobody else had.

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Speaker 1: That's tremendous. That's really good. That's good way to end

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Speaker 1: our five questions as well. Well done, well Answerada.

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Speaker 2: Gladic could deliver, mister Sobel.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's take a look at these betting odds

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Speaker 1: for this week's Wolds Fargo Championship. Looking at our sponsor

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Speaker 1: bet MGM, they have John Rahm with a ten to

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Speaker 1: one number next to his name, same as Justin Thomas

380
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Speaker 1: co favorites. I saw JT is a little bit more

381
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Speaker 1: of a favorite in a couple other books, but ten

382
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Speaker 1: to one to three each of them seems about right.

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Speaker 1: Bryce and the Shambo fourteen to one, Rory eighteen to one,

384
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Speaker 1: alongside Xander Shoffley, Victor Hoblind at twenty, Web Simpson m

385
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Speaker 1: quail hollow number at twenty two, Patrick Cantley twenty five,

386
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Speaker 1: Tony Fenou twenty eight, Patrick Reid and Will Zelatrris rounding

387
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Speaker 1: out that top tier, both of those guys at thirty

388
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Speaker 1: to one. I have a feeling I know where you're

389
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Speaker 1: going with this, but one name stick out to you

390
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Speaker 1: as a guy that you really like from this top tier.

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Speaker 3: It does far and away, and I'll give a little

392
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Speaker 3: preamble beforehand to explain why I'm so high on this

393
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Speaker 3: player this week. So, the most significant statistical trend at

394
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Speaker 3: Quail Hollow over the last decade or so is that

395
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Speaker 3: there's much less emphasis on great approach play in terms

396
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Speaker 3: of players who have great success there. It's a start

397
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Speaker 3: contrast to like vals Bar, which we saw last week,

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Speaker 3: where the majority or the highest percentage of strokes came

399
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Speaker 3: from approach shots by winners. In recent years, that's not

400
00:19:57,680 --> 00:20:00,960
Speaker 3: the case of Quail Hollow. Players gain than seventy percent

401
00:20:01,000 --> 00:20:03,960
Speaker 3: of their strokes among winners, players will gain more than

402
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Speaker 3: seventy percent of their strokes off the tee and putting.

403
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Speaker 2: And that may seem a.

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00:20:08,560 --> 00:20:10,359
Speaker 3: Little bit odd because when you think of Quail Hollow,

405
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Speaker 3: the first tournament you think of as the twenty seventeen

406
00:20:12,240 --> 00:20:15,840
Speaker 3: PGA Championship won by Justin Thomas, who is one of

407
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Speaker 3: the best approach players in the world over the last

408
00:20:17,840 --> 00:20:21,679
Speaker 3: five years. But since twenty ten, winners at Kuayle Hollow

409
00:20:21,720 --> 00:20:23,919
Speaker 3: have an average stroke scene to approach rank of about

410
00:20:23,920 --> 00:20:27,159
Speaker 3: twenty nine. The PGA Tour average in that span is

411
00:20:27,320 --> 00:20:31,440
Speaker 3: like thirteen, so it's not as significant as normal, and

412
00:20:31,680 --> 00:20:34,639
Speaker 3: you're gonna gain more strokes off the tee and on

413
00:20:34,720 --> 00:20:37,399
Speaker 3: the greens. Think about how successful Rory McElroy has been

414
00:20:37,440 --> 00:20:40,120
Speaker 3: over the years, two time winner here, the only two

415
00:20:40,160 --> 00:20:43,200
Speaker 3: time winner of this golf tournament. It's history so successful

416
00:20:43,240 --> 00:20:45,359
Speaker 3: off the tea has gained almost two full strokes per

417
00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:47,880
Speaker 3: round in his career at Quayle Hollow and it's really

418
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Speaker 3: reaped a lot of big time rewards. So all that

419
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Speaker 3: being said, I love the big golfer this week. I

420
00:20:53,560 --> 00:20:55,920
Speaker 3: love Bryson de Shambo. The last time he played here

421
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Speaker 3: he finished solo fourth, and that was in twenty eighteen

422
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Speaker 3: when he was kind of Bryson one point zero, not

423
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Speaker 3: quite Bryson two point zh who's the longest player in

424
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Speaker 3: the world. And Deshambo. If you just isolate strokes gained

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Speaker 3: off the t strokes game putting, this year, he gains

426
00:21:12,560 --> 00:21:15,840
Speaker 3: more strokes than anybody When you combine those two it's

427
00:21:15,840 --> 00:21:18,320
Speaker 3: a perfect statistical fit. So at the top of the board,

428
00:21:18,680 --> 00:21:20,480
Speaker 3: obviously it's gonna be tough to pick. John Ram and

429
00:21:20,600 --> 00:21:23,359
Speaker 3: Justin Thomas can contend literally every week, but Bryson and

430
00:21:23,440 --> 00:21:28,000
Speaker 3: shambo statistical profile really really strongly fits well.

431
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Speaker 2: Hollow Club.

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Speaker 1: The best analyst in the game can make you change

433
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Speaker 1: your mind on things, and what you did right there

434
00:21:36,440 --> 00:21:39,520
Speaker 1: is making me rethink a lot of what I'm thinking

435
00:21:39,560 --> 00:21:42,560
Speaker 1: already this week. But I'm not moving away from my

436
00:21:42,640 --> 00:21:45,360
Speaker 1: favorite picks from the top of the board. It's look,

437
00:21:45,960 --> 00:21:48,080
Speaker 1: there was one player at the best ball Striking Stats

438
00:21:48,080 --> 00:21:50,920
Speaker 1: which just talked about him last week at Innisbrook. It's

439
00:21:50,920 --> 00:21:53,480
Speaker 1: also a player who's won a major championship on this

440
00:21:53,560 --> 00:21:56,840
Speaker 1: golf course. It just feels like everything's falling into place

441
00:21:56,880 --> 00:21:59,600
Speaker 1: for Justin Thomas. Might not win this week, but I

442
00:21:59,680 --> 00:22:03,240
Speaker 1: can't see him being very far down the leaderboard. And

443
00:22:03,280 --> 00:22:05,800
Speaker 1: again it's not him. I'm gonna stick with the other

444
00:22:05,920 --> 00:22:08,760
Speaker 1: Chalky play in John Rahm. I just think that Jen

445
00:22:08,840 --> 00:22:11,920
Speaker 1: Ram is ready. I picked him at the Masters thinking

446
00:22:11,920 --> 00:22:14,680
Speaker 1: he might get there a few days earlier than he did.

447
00:22:14,720 --> 00:22:17,679
Speaker 1: He got there Wednesday, had about half a day of prep,

448
00:22:18,119 --> 00:22:21,080
Speaker 1: shot seventy two seventy two seventy two, even part every

449
00:22:21,160 --> 00:22:24,359
Speaker 1: day the first three days, and then finished with a

450
00:22:24,440 --> 00:22:27,080
Speaker 1: six under sixty six in the final round to finish

451
00:22:27,160 --> 00:22:30,119
Speaker 1: a share of fifth place, which we'll go back on

452
00:22:30,280 --> 00:22:32,920
Speaker 1: look at his Wikipedia page years from now and say, wow,

453
00:22:33,000 --> 00:22:35,720
Speaker 1: he's Grand Masters that year he was fifth place. It

454
00:22:35,840 --> 00:22:38,879
Speaker 1: really never even got going until Sunday. And I still

455
00:22:38,920 --> 00:22:40,720
Speaker 1: think that if he had had a few more days

456
00:22:40,720 --> 00:22:43,879
Speaker 1: to prep instead of being a daddy back home, which

457
00:22:44,359 --> 00:22:48,800
Speaker 1: don't we don't grudge him whatsoever, I think he might

458
00:22:48,840 --> 00:22:52,440
Speaker 1: have still been a little bit closer and maybe had

459
00:22:52,440 --> 00:22:56,000
Speaker 1: a chance to Nitpitdecky there in the end. So I

460
00:22:56,080 --> 00:22:58,560
Speaker 1: do like genre moving forward. Let's take a look at

461
00:22:58,560 --> 00:23:02,160
Speaker 1: this of second tier, and there's a lot of guys

462
00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:06,000
Speaker 1: to look at here. Abraham answer playing really well. Obviously

463
00:23:06,320 --> 00:23:09,840
Speaker 1: we've seen what Troungali and Max Homa have done recently.

464
00:23:09,960 --> 00:23:12,960
Speaker 1: Some jam was my pick last week. Looked pretty good

465
00:23:12,960 --> 00:23:14,720
Speaker 1: for a couple of days, then kind of fell apart.

466
00:23:14,760 --> 00:23:19,360
Speaker 1: He got Kegan Bradley there once again. My favorite overall

467
00:23:19,400 --> 00:23:23,639
Speaker 1: play this week is in this range. It's interesting, you know,

468
00:23:23,800 --> 00:23:25,879
Speaker 1: we tell you to shop around for a good number

469
00:23:26,400 --> 00:23:30,960
Speaker 1: on bet MGM. Harold Varner is sixty six to one.

470
00:23:31,440 --> 00:23:34,280
Speaker 1: I've seen some longer odds in some other books, but

471
00:23:34,640 --> 00:23:37,440
Speaker 1: still sixty six to one not a bad number. I

472
00:23:37,520 --> 00:23:39,480
Speaker 1: just feel like he's the guy who's playing some of

473
00:23:39,520 --> 00:23:42,159
Speaker 1: the best golf of his career. T two at RBC

474
00:23:42,320 --> 00:23:45,640
Speaker 1: Heritage a few weeks ago. He's a member at Quaal Hollow.

475
00:23:45,840 --> 00:23:49,040
Speaker 1: I've got reports from Quayle Hollow members who have played

476
00:23:49,040 --> 00:23:52,280
Speaker 1: with him a lot recently and said he's playing better.

477
00:23:52,320 --> 00:23:55,600
Speaker 1: He's striping the ball better than he ever has before.

478
00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:58,200
Speaker 1: He is my pick to win this week. I don't

479
00:23:58,280 --> 00:24:03,119
Speaker 1: usually got and get this far into the odds board

480
00:24:03,200 --> 00:24:07,400
Speaker 1: for a guy to be my overall favorite play to win,

481
00:24:07,560 --> 00:24:10,600
Speaker 1: but I really like Harold Barter the third taking a

482
00:24:10,720 --> 00:24:13,439
Speaker 1: chance on a guy with a lot of potential and

483
00:24:13,520 --> 00:24:14,639
Speaker 1: upside this week.

484
00:24:14,720 --> 00:24:16,400
Speaker 2: Over the course of Harold's career too.

485
00:24:16,440 --> 00:24:19,440
Speaker 3: That kind of fits the analytical profile I talked about,

486
00:24:19,440 --> 00:24:22,080
Speaker 3: where you know, the strongest part of Harold's game and

487
00:24:22,119 --> 00:24:25,000
Speaker 3: his PGA Tour career has usually been his driver, and

488
00:24:25,040 --> 00:24:26,560
Speaker 3: that's a club he's going to be able to gain

489
00:24:26,560 --> 00:24:28,360
Speaker 3: a lot of strokes with on the field.

490
00:24:28,160 --> 00:24:28,840
Speaker 2: At Quail Hollow.

491
00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:30,879
Speaker 3: I think that's a really that's a sharp pick and

492
00:24:30,960 --> 00:24:33,080
Speaker 3: what a popular win that would be for the North

493
00:24:33,119 --> 00:24:35,560
Speaker 3: Carolina do to break through get a win.

494
00:24:35,720 --> 00:24:37,320
Speaker 2: So, I mean everyone loves him.

495
00:24:37,359 --> 00:24:39,680
Speaker 3: It goes across the guy. I mean, you can't you

496
00:24:39,720 --> 00:24:43,280
Speaker 3: can't root against, especially on you know, de facto home

497
00:24:43,320 --> 00:24:46,119
Speaker 3: turf this week in North Carolina. My favorite play on

498
00:24:46,119 --> 00:24:48,680
Speaker 3: the board, and I'm gonna have him sprinkled everywhere. This

499
00:24:48,720 --> 00:24:51,919
Speaker 3: is a guy with four consecutive top fifteen finishes. He

500
00:24:51,960 --> 00:24:53,679
Speaker 3: won this golf tournament a couple of years ago, but

501
00:24:53,720 --> 00:24:56,520
Speaker 3: it was held to a different golf course. But statistically,

502
00:24:57,240 --> 00:25:00,359
Speaker 3: Brian Harmon really fits what I like here. From that

503
00:25:00,400 --> 00:25:04,000
Speaker 3: same analytical profile, I was talking about Harman top twenty

504
00:25:04,040 --> 00:25:07,439
Speaker 3: in scoring average on the PGA Tour despite being ranked

505
00:25:07,520 --> 00:25:10,520
Speaker 3: outside the top one hundred in strokes gain approach.

506
00:25:10,640 --> 00:25:11,320
Speaker 2: What does that mean?

507
00:25:11,560 --> 00:25:13,959
Speaker 3: He's getting a ton of strokes with his driver and

508
00:25:14,000 --> 00:25:16,040
Speaker 3: with his putter, and I think that as hot as

509
00:25:16,080 --> 00:25:19,280
Speaker 3: he's been at, I'm seeing him at forty to one

510
00:25:19,359 --> 00:25:22,720
Speaker 3: to win. I mean, I don't know if he'll win outright,

511
00:25:22,760 --> 00:25:25,879
Speaker 3: but I think the floor is incredibly high for his performance.

512
00:25:26,840 --> 00:25:28,960
Speaker 3: I love him for a top twenty, for a top ten,

513
00:25:29,680 --> 00:25:32,080
Speaker 3: I think he's got a lot of value this week,

514
00:25:32,240 --> 00:25:34,280
Speaker 3: as hot as he's played and the way he fits

515
00:25:34,320 --> 00:25:35,800
Speaker 3: statistically on this golf course.

516
00:25:37,000 --> 00:25:38,960
Speaker 1: I am right there with you. I wrote him up

517
00:25:38,960 --> 00:25:41,639
Speaker 1: in my column this week as a top five play,

518
00:25:41,800 --> 00:25:44,400
Speaker 1: thirteenth or better in each of his last four starts

519
00:25:44,760 --> 00:25:47,560
Speaker 1: riding a heater. And yes, he won an eagle point

520
00:25:47,600 --> 00:25:50,960
Speaker 1: back in twenty seventeen when Quail was being prepped for

521
00:25:51,040 --> 00:25:54,760
Speaker 1: the PGA Championship that year. But he still has only

522
00:25:54,840 --> 00:25:58,200
Speaker 1: one miss cut in seven starts at Quail Hollow. He's

523
00:25:58,240 --> 00:26:00,639
Speaker 1: got a couple of top twenty five finishes, so not

524
00:26:00,800 --> 00:26:03,880
Speaker 1: like this is a bad course for him whatsoever. Moving

525
00:26:03,920 --> 00:26:06,480
Speaker 1: a little further on the board, I think there's some

526
00:26:06,560 --> 00:26:10,359
Speaker 1: guys and you know, maybe more for top twenty, top thirty,

527
00:26:10,400 --> 00:26:15,359
Speaker 1: top forty type plays DFS lineups, but I think there's

528
00:26:15,359 --> 00:26:18,440
Speaker 1: some value in the one hundred to one and bigger

529
00:26:18,520 --> 00:26:22,120
Speaker 1: range this week. Aaron Wise, the guy who was co

530
00:26:22,240 --> 00:26:26,440
Speaker 1: runner up three years ago Adam Shank has played really well,

531
00:26:26,480 --> 00:26:33,720
Speaker 1: three straight top twenty five finishes. Doc Redmond, Doc Redman,

532
00:26:36,560 --> 00:26:38,280
Speaker 1: Doctor Semmy.

533
00:26:38,000 --> 00:26:39,119
Speaker 3: The news got it.

534
00:26:42,320 --> 00:26:44,240
Speaker 1: I thought I could quit Doc Redman, and then he

535
00:26:44,280 --> 00:26:47,920
Speaker 1: had great ball striking numbers on Sunday in Tampa. If

536
00:26:47,920 --> 00:26:50,280
Speaker 1: he does bounce back and start playing some good golf,

537
00:26:50,600 --> 00:26:53,480
Speaker 1: I don't want to miss that. And then JT posting

538
00:26:53,520 --> 00:26:55,600
Speaker 1: this guy who tends to play some of his best

539
00:26:55,640 --> 00:26:58,879
Speaker 1: golf in the Carolinas. He's a North Carolina guy. I

540
00:26:58,960 --> 00:27:00,960
Speaker 1: think he could have a nice anybody else in that

541
00:27:01,320 --> 00:27:03,320
Speaker 1: sort of big number of range that you're looking at

542
00:27:03,320 --> 00:27:05,440
Speaker 1: this week, I do doc Redmandy.

543
00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:07,200
Speaker 3: By the way, one of the best names is not

544
00:27:07,240 --> 00:27:08,440
Speaker 3: just golf but all of sports.

545
00:27:08,560 --> 00:27:09,160
Speaker 1: What a name.

546
00:27:10,760 --> 00:27:17,040
Speaker 3: Menes brought up that dude could be playing nineteen fifties

547
00:27:17,080 --> 00:27:19,760
Speaker 3: college basketball or baseball in the thirties.

548
00:27:19,880 --> 00:27:23,280
Speaker 2: You know, awesome name. Okay, back to the topic.

549
00:27:23,040 --> 00:27:25,600
Speaker 1: And hey, a house call the Carolina guy. I hope

550
00:27:25,640 --> 00:27:26,920
Speaker 1: he's making a house call this week.

551
00:27:27,359 --> 00:27:29,560
Speaker 2: There you go, all right, the long shot. I like it.

552
00:27:29,560 --> 00:27:30,840
Speaker 2: I see him at one hundred to one.

553
00:27:31,240 --> 00:27:33,639
Speaker 3: There are ten players on the PGA Tour this season

554
00:27:33,880 --> 00:27:36,240
Speaker 3: who average half a stroke gain per round off the

555
00:27:36,280 --> 00:27:40,480
Speaker 3: tee and average positive strokes gain per round putting. Nine

556
00:27:40,520 --> 00:27:43,240
Speaker 3: of those players are pretty much household dames for golf fans.

557
00:27:43,640 --> 00:27:46,240
Speaker 3: The tenth guy on that list is Cameron Davis. It's

558
00:27:46,280 --> 00:27:48,800
Speaker 3: made three of his last four cuts top ten on

559
00:27:48,840 --> 00:27:51,280
Speaker 3: the PGA Tour and strokes gamed off the tee. I'm

560
00:27:51,280 --> 00:27:53,639
Speaker 3: gonna stick with this formula where off the tea and

561
00:27:53,680 --> 00:27:56,200
Speaker 3: putting are where players are going to gain the most strokes.

562
00:27:56,400 --> 00:27:59,280
Speaker 3: Strokes gain approach not as significant at Quail Hollow as

563
00:27:59,280 --> 00:28:01,919
Speaker 3: it is in a lot of golf courses. Cameron Davis

564
00:28:02,000 --> 00:28:04,320
Speaker 3: is my favorite long shot around there at one hundred

565
00:28:04,359 --> 00:28:07,560
Speaker 3: to one. You could talk me into maybe Ryan Moore

566
00:28:07,600 --> 00:28:08,320
Speaker 3: played well.

567
00:28:08,119 --> 00:28:08,800
Speaker 2: Early in the week.

568
00:28:08,840 --> 00:28:11,360
Speaker 3: He has some decent history on this golf course. He's

569
00:28:11,359 --> 00:28:14,560
Speaker 3: at one twenty five. But that's the one that screams

570
00:28:14,560 --> 00:28:15,879
Speaker 3: at me. Is Cameron Davis.

571
00:28:16,200 --> 00:28:16,679
Speaker 1: I like that.

572
00:28:18,640 --> 00:28:21,760
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601
00:29:42,000 --> 00:29:44,040
Speaker 5: Thanks for listening. Now back to the show.

602
00:29:46,000 --> 00:29:48,479
Speaker 1: Get into our DFS lineups. We do it every week here.

603
00:29:48,520 --> 00:29:51,200
Speaker 1: We also do it on The Gimme Wednesday, eight thirty

604
00:29:51,200 --> 00:29:54,840
Speaker 1: pm Eastern times. Check your local social channels for the

605
00:29:54,880 --> 00:29:56,800
Speaker 1: two of us in the Manda Rose on the Gimme

606
00:29:56,960 --> 00:29:57,480
Speaker 1: every week.

607
00:29:58,720 --> 00:30:01,600
Speaker 3: Well, I want to be a DSS millionaire. You're just

608
00:30:01,800 --> 00:30:02,960
Speaker 3: one lineup away.

609
00:30:03,360 --> 00:30:05,920
Speaker 1: We're gonna go Nosinos with him, and you're gonna play

610
00:30:05,920 --> 00:30:08,560
Speaker 1: better than you ever dreamed of, because God damn it,

611
00:30:08,920 --> 00:30:09,320
Speaker 1: that's what.

612
00:30:09,280 --> 00:30:10,040
Speaker 2: I demand of you.

613
00:30:10,600 --> 00:30:15,280
Speaker 1: So let's get drafting. Would you like the first pick

614
00:30:15,320 --> 00:30:17,680
Speaker 1: for our DFS lineup on DraftKings this week?

615
00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:19,479
Speaker 2: Why not? I'll get us started.

616
00:30:19,800 --> 00:30:21,760
Speaker 3: I'll go with a guy who I mentioned earlier at

617
00:30:21,760 --> 00:30:24,920
Speaker 3: eighty seven hundred. I think Brian Harmon is an exceptional

618
00:30:25,000 --> 00:30:28,120
Speaker 3: value this week, really high floor in terms of performance

619
00:30:28,160 --> 00:30:30,560
Speaker 3: for me. We mentioned three. It was a four straight

620
00:30:30,600 --> 00:30:33,080
Speaker 3: top fifteen finishes. I talked to you about how he's

621
00:30:33,080 --> 00:30:35,920
Speaker 3: in the top twenty and scoring average despite not necessarily

622
00:30:35,920 --> 00:30:37,520
Speaker 3: gaining a ton of strokes on approach.

623
00:30:37,880 --> 00:30:39,720
Speaker 2: Brian Harmon at eighty seven hundred to get.

624
00:30:39,640 --> 00:30:42,640
Speaker 1: Us kicked off. Yeah, I will have him in a

625
00:30:42,640 --> 00:30:46,280
Speaker 1: lot of lineups myself. Speaking of value, talk about Harold Varner.

626
00:30:46,520 --> 00:30:49,600
Speaker 1: Everyone's gonna be on Whip Simpson because he's a Quail

627
00:30:49,680 --> 00:30:52,080
Speaker 1: Hollow member and a lot of people know it lives

628
00:30:52,120 --> 00:30:55,040
Speaker 1: right off the seventh Holl. But Harold Varner joined the

629
00:30:55,040 --> 00:30:57,560
Speaker 1: club not that long ago, and like I said earlier,

630
00:30:57,560 --> 00:31:00,720
Speaker 1: he's been playing some really strong golf there to the members.

631
00:31:01,200 --> 00:31:04,000
Speaker 1: Seventy six hundred this week, I'm going to smash that

632
00:31:04,040 --> 00:31:05,360
Speaker 1: at a lot of different spots.

633
00:31:05,640 --> 00:31:06,240
Speaker 2: I like that.

634
00:31:06,800 --> 00:31:09,720
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go back for some more value. You have

635
00:31:09,760 --> 00:31:12,160
Speaker 3: a save a little bit of money going down the line.

636
00:31:12,280 --> 00:31:14,400
Speaker 3: I mentioned Cameron Davis and why I like them a lot,

637
00:31:14,440 --> 00:31:17,560
Speaker 3: and I'm really glued to this analytical formula where players

638
00:31:17,560 --> 00:31:19,680
Speaker 3: are going to gain more strokes off the tee and

639
00:31:19,720 --> 00:31:22,800
Speaker 3: with putting. That's exactly what Cameron Davis does best. I

640
00:31:22,880 --> 00:31:24,800
Speaker 3: mentioned that he's one of those ten players who fits

641
00:31:24,840 --> 00:31:28,160
Speaker 3: that profile perfectly. Cameron Davis just seventy one hundred.

642
00:31:28,200 --> 00:31:28,960
Speaker 2: I really like that.

643
00:31:29,200 --> 00:31:31,120
Speaker 3: I think you can have a big week at Wells Fargo.

644
00:31:32,480 --> 00:31:36,719
Speaker 1: Okay, well got some money to spend night oh boy.

645
00:31:37,640 --> 00:31:41,440
Speaker 1: You know when I when I think about well, na

646
00:31:42,720 --> 00:31:45,560
Speaker 1: trying to think about driving and putting guys that do it. Well,

647
00:31:47,880 --> 00:31:50,720
Speaker 1: I'm looking up now on the list, know, maybe not him,

648
00:31:50,960 --> 00:31:51,200
Speaker 1: Can I.

649
00:31:51,280 --> 00:31:51,840
Speaker 3: Can I give you?

650
00:31:52,240 --> 00:31:53,920
Speaker 2: Can I give you some numbers? Then partner?

651
00:31:54,440 --> 00:31:58,080
Speaker 1: Yes? Please? All right? All in my head, I'm thinking

652
00:31:58,080 --> 00:31:59,240
Speaker 1: about these guys. Okay.

653
00:32:00,000 --> 00:32:03,960
Speaker 3: So with this this formula I went through and I

654
00:32:04,000 --> 00:32:06,240
Speaker 3: came up with the players who were averaging the most

655
00:32:06,240 --> 00:32:09,680
Speaker 3: stroke scene off the tee plus putting per around this season.

656
00:32:09,720 --> 00:32:12,280
Speaker 3: So here are the leaders among guys in the field.

657
00:32:12,800 --> 00:32:16,320
Speaker 3: One Rice and the Shamba. Two Matt Fitzpatrick, which is

658
00:32:16,400 --> 00:32:18,440
Speaker 3: kind of surprising. He's been a good better driver at

659
00:32:18,440 --> 00:32:22,080
Speaker 3: the ball than you think. Sung JM is on that list.

660
00:32:23,160 --> 00:32:29,840
Speaker 3: Joaquin Neeman, Xander Patrick, Reid, Patrick Cantlay and then Hovelin,

661
00:32:30,080 --> 00:32:34,640
Speaker 3: Corey Connors, Webb Simpson member at Quell. How of course

662
00:32:35,120 --> 00:32:37,400
Speaker 3: harmon my guy who I picked. And then you get

663
00:32:37,400 --> 00:32:39,320
Speaker 3: into like Ron McElroy. So I had a ton of

664
00:32:39,320 --> 00:32:43,360
Speaker 3: surprises there. Maybe Joaquin Neeman might pop and stick out.

665
00:32:43,400 --> 00:32:44,520
Speaker 3: I'm Matt Fitzpatrick not.

666
00:32:44,520 --> 00:32:44,960
Speaker 2: In the field.

667
00:32:45,000 --> 00:32:48,040
Speaker 3: I highlighted his name erroneously on my spreadsheet full disclosure,

668
00:32:48,640 --> 00:32:50,960
Speaker 3: but sun jm is he's he's a part of that group.

669
00:32:50,960 --> 00:32:52,560
Speaker 3: I know you picked him to win last week. So

670
00:32:52,920 --> 00:32:54,880
Speaker 3: but a little bit of help there on the players

671
00:32:54,920 --> 00:32:56,120
Speaker 3: who fit the formula.

672
00:32:55,840 --> 00:32:56,160
Speaker 2: That I like.

673
00:32:57,360 --> 00:32:59,520
Speaker 1: Okay, that's perfect. Only to go with a guy who

674
00:32:59,560 --> 00:33:01,560
Speaker 1: was actually laid some very good golf on this golf

675
00:33:01,600 --> 00:33:05,200
Speaker 1: course in the past ninety three hundred. He fits your model,

676
00:33:05,200 --> 00:33:07,200
Speaker 1: so he's gonna fit my model as well. Patrick Reed,

677
00:33:08,360 --> 00:33:08,840
Speaker 1: I love it.

678
00:33:08,920 --> 00:33:11,240
Speaker 3: I have Patrick Reid's one of my favorite picks this week.

679
00:33:11,680 --> 00:33:14,000
Speaker 3: I'm gonna have money on him to top five. Nearly

680
00:33:14,000 --> 00:33:16,840
Speaker 3: won that PGA Championship year in twenty seventeen, you know,

681
00:33:16,880 --> 00:33:20,000
Speaker 3: finished tied for second place, also missed the cut last

682
00:33:20,000 --> 00:33:20,720
Speaker 3: week at Valspar.

683
00:33:20,880 --> 00:33:21,760
Speaker 2: That does not bother me.

684
00:33:21,800 --> 00:33:24,960
Speaker 3: He'shot, seventy seventy two, not bad, you know, not huge

685
00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:27,560
Speaker 3: blow up rounds. When he won Tory earlier this year

686
00:33:27,600 --> 00:33:30,920
Speaker 3: by three million shots, it came immediately following him as cut.

687
00:33:31,000 --> 00:33:33,800
Speaker 3: So not a guy who that bothered a lot. All right,

688
00:33:33,800 --> 00:33:36,200
Speaker 3: So I've got we got seventeen to three left for

689
00:33:36,240 --> 00:33:37,800
Speaker 3: our last two players.

690
00:33:38,320 --> 00:33:41,280
Speaker 2: I'm gonna find I'm going with the other member. I'm

691
00:33:41,320 --> 00:33:45,360
Speaker 2: going with Web Stimpson. I think his floor so unbelievably high.

692
00:33:45,440 --> 00:33:48,160
Speaker 3: This week he's ten two, which is kind of pricey,

693
00:33:48,440 --> 00:33:52,360
Speaker 3: but I mean the guy has He's been really consistent.

694
00:33:52,600 --> 00:33:54,840
Speaker 3: Twelve of the Masters, ninth of the RBC, his last

695
00:33:54,840 --> 00:33:58,560
Speaker 3: two starts, fifth on tour, and scoring average has been

696
00:33:58,600 --> 00:34:01,160
Speaker 3: six years since he's had a time, so it's been

697
00:34:01,200 --> 00:34:05,080
Speaker 3: a minute. But man, just a lot of real consistent

698
00:34:05,080 --> 00:34:08,320
Speaker 3: golf over the years here, all right, webs.

699
00:34:09,200 --> 00:34:11,800
Speaker 1: Okay, I like that, leaving me with seventy one hundred.

700
00:34:12,200 --> 00:34:14,279
Speaker 1: First name I see when I look it up is

701
00:34:14,360 --> 00:34:18,640
Speaker 1: Aaron Wise, who high feeling, low floor. I mean, that's

702
00:34:18,640 --> 00:34:21,040
Speaker 1: the best way to describe him when he's on. He's

703
00:34:21,080 --> 00:34:24,160
Speaker 1: a really good player, and as I wrote in my

704
00:34:24,400 --> 00:34:27,160
Speaker 1: preview about him this week, for regular golf fans who

705
00:34:27,280 --> 00:34:29,360
Speaker 1: look at him and say he's underperformed over the past

706
00:34:29,600 --> 00:34:32,680
Speaker 1: twelve to eighteen months, I think betters would look at

707
00:34:32,719 --> 00:34:36,040
Speaker 1: him and say, not only is undervalued, we can find

708
00:34:36,040 --> 00:34:39,400
Speaker 1: some value on Aaron Wise. I do think that both

709
00:34:39,400 --> 00:34:42,560
Speaker 1: of those things are true. I will have Smarron Wise

710
00:34:42,640 --> 00:34:45,000
Speaker 1: this week, but if we're just making one line up here,

711
00:34:45,480 --> 00:34:47,840
Speaker 1: I don't know that I want to get into a

712
00:34:47,880 --> 00:34:51,160
Speaker 1: guy with such a low floor. Keith Mitchell starting to

713
00:34:51,160 --> 00:34:55,160
Speaker 1: play some decent golf. Don't mind Mitchell there. JT. Posts

714
00:34:55,280 --> 00:34:57,600
Speaker 1: is the guy that I mentioned. But I go back

715
00:34:57,640 --> 00:35:00,560
Speaker 1: to the guy that I said, just when I thought

716
00:35:00,640 --> 00:35:04,879
Speaker 1: I was out, pull me back in. I can't get

717
00:35:04,880 --> 00:35:07,680
Speaker 1: off Doc Redmond. When he's striking, the ball strikes it

718
00:35:07,719 --> 00:35:15,920
Speaker 1: really well. Doc Redman, this is the guy that I,

719
00:35:16,000 --> 00:35:18,480
Speaker 1: you know, I've been talking about for twelve months now.

720
00:35:19,080 --> 00:35:22,799
Speaker 1: He had eight of twelve finishes last year at one

721
00:35:22,840 --> 00:35:25,920
Speaker 1: point in the top thirty. When he gets going, he

722
00:35:25,960 --> 00:35:30,320
Speaker 1: gets really going. One of my favorite most predictive stats

723
00:35:30,680 --> 00:35:34,919
Speaker 1: is round four ball striking numbers from the previous week.

724
00:35:35,040 --> 00:35:37,000
Speaker 1: Doc Redman was right at the top of that list

725
00:35:37,320 --> 00:35:40,160
Speaker 1: round four in Tampa. So you've got to think something

726
00:35:40,320 --> 00:35:43,160
Speaker 1: carries over to at least Thursday and Friday at Wells

727
00:35:43,200 --> 00:35:44,000
Speaker 1: Fargo this week.

728
00:35:44,480 --> 00:35:48,920
Speaker 3: Okay, I like it you and your consistent confidence throughout

729
00:35:48,960 --> 00:35:51,640
Speaker 3: the podcast here and Doc Redman's performance has sold me.

730
00:35:51,719 --> 00:35:54,200
Speaker 3: I'm all in. I like our team has got a

731
00:35:54,280 --> 00:35:57,560
Speaker 3: lot of We're in the Carolinas. This is a this

732
00:35:57,640 --> 00:35:59,279
Speaker 3: is a team I'd be happy to go to a

733
00:35:59,320 --> 00:36:02,160
Speaker 3: Southern cookout with with with HV three.

734
00:36:02,560 --> 00:36:07,120
Speaker 2: Web Simpson knows what he's doing, you know, Harmon, I

735
00:36:07,520 --> 00:36:07,799
Speaker 2: like it.

736
00:36:07,880 --> 00:36:10,799
Speaker 3: I like I like the whole construct we've got going

737
00:36:10,840 --> 00:36:11,760
Speaker 3: on here with our six.

738
00:36:13,280 --> 00:36:15,239
Speaker 1: Patrick reed is not going to a cookout with the

739
00:36:15,280 --> 00:36:18,680
Speaker 1: other five guys, I'll tell you that much, but fair enough.

740
00:36:18,760 --> 00:36:22,879
Speaker 3: But you know, we got the general the mean here

741
00:36:23,040 --> 00:36:25,719
Speaker 3: of the vibe is very positive and you've got some

742
00:36:25,800 --> 00:36:29,239
Speaker 3: bona fide great skill set there with Patrick Reid where

743
00:36:29,239 --> 00:36:31,919
Speaker 3: it really counts, and my fictional barbecue in my head

744
00:36:31,920 --> 00:36:32,720
Speaker 3: that I'd like to be attend.

745
00:36:34,680 --> 00:36:37,560
Speaker 1: And I know our podcast producer Matt Mitchell is playing

746
00:36:37,560 --> 00:36:40,239
Speaker 1: our Doc Redmond music, So I'm gonna lay out here

747
00:36:40,280 --> 00:36:47,480
Speaker 1: for just a couple more seconds. Uh huh, Doctor, do me?

748
00:36:47,760 --> 00:36:48,200
Speaker 1: What is.

749
00:36:52,000 --> 00:36:55,920
Speaker 2: To them?

750
00:36:55,960 --> 00:36:59,120
Speaker 1: There? It is there? It is love it. We've got

751
00:36:59,160 --> 00:37:02,160
Speaker 1: actual music for Doc Redman. How good is our guy,

752
00:37:02,200 --> 00:37:05,880
Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell, Jay Ray, I love the team as our squad,

753
00:37:06,040 --> 00:37:09,920
Speaker 1: Cameron Davis, Brian Harmon, Doc Redmond, Patrick Reid, Whip Simpson,

754
00:37:10,320 --> 00:37:12,920
Speaker 1: Harold Varter the third. Any final thoughts going into the

755
00:37:12,920 --> 00:37:14,760
Speaker 1: Wells Fargo Championship this week.

756
00:37:15,000 --> 00:37:17,120
Speaker 3: Keep an eye on that formula I mentioned strokes stain

757
00:37:17,200 --> 00:37:20,640
Speaker 3: approach won't be as important as they normally are, So guys,

758
00:37:20,640 --> 00:37:23,000
Speaker 3: who gain a lot of shots on the field with

759
00:37:23,080 --> 00:37:26,560
Speaker 3: their irons. Don't expect a ton out of them this week.

760
00:37:27,120 --> 00:37:29,719
Speaker 3: Maybe lean more towards guys who are able to gain

761
00:37:29,760 --> 00:37:32,319
Speaker 3: shots off the team with the putter. Now that I've

762
00:37:32,360 --> 00:37:34,160
Speaker 3: said all this, someone who leads the tour in that

763
00:37:34,200 --> 00:37:37,120
Speaker 3: stadtle win the golf tournament. But you know, no back off.

764
00:37:37,239 --> 00:37:39,200
Speaker 1: You've been talking about this for an hour now, don't

765
00:37:39,239 --> 00:37:40,759
Speaker 1: back off it right at the very end. And I'm

766
00:37:40,800 --> 00:37:44,080
Speaker 1: looking for a long shot this week. Remember Max Homa

767
00:37:44,200 --> 00:37:46,520
Speaker 1: was not close to the player that Max Homa is

768
00:37:46,600 --> 00:37:48,920
Speaker 1: right now, back when he won this golf tournament in

769
00:37:49,000 --> 00:37:52,360
Speaker 1: twenty nineteen. This place, we've seen Garrick ertzt We've seen

770
00:37:52,560 --> 00:37:55,040
Speaker 1: some other players kind of come out from nowhere to

771
00:37:55,120 --> 00:37:58,720
Speaker 1: win this golf tournament, even with some big names involved.

772
00:37:58,800 --> 00:38:00,960
Speaker 1: So don't be afraid to take a couple of long

773
00:38:01,000 --> 00:38:03,560
Speaker 1: shots this week. Like I said, HB three is my

774
00:38:03,760 --> 00:38:07,160
Speaker 1: favorite play this week. Thanks so much to everybody out

775
00:38:07,200 --> 00:38:10,640
Speaker 1: there for listening to this edition of the Action Network

776
00:38:10,680 --> 00:38:14,719
Speaker 1: Podcast presented by bet MGM. Good luck with all of

777
00:38:14,760 --> 00:38:17,839
Speaker 1: your bets for this week's Wells Fargo Championship. Here's open

778
00:38:17,960 --> 00:38:30,480
Speaker 1: you in the green. We're finished talking,