WEBVTT - President-Elect Joe Biden’s Economic Team

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser. Every day

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<v Speaker 1>Global News Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser along with

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<v Speaker 1>Tim Stanovic, and we covered some of today's virus headlines.

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<v Speaker 1>You've heard it. We continue to see the drug big

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<v Speaker 1>farm of companies going for regulatory clearance for their vaccines. UH.

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<v Speaker 1>New York state statewide daily hospitalizations jumping the most since April.

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<v Speaker 1>One system in the New York metro area that was

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<v Speaker 1>on the front line last spring dealing with COVID is

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<v Speaker 1>the Atlantic Health System. They've got seven hospitals in New Jersey.

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<v Speaker 1>They've got about seventeen thousand team members. UH and UH

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<v Speaker 1>they are really covering much of the state of New Jersey.

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<v Speaker 1>So great to have back with us. Brian Granulotti, he's

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<v Speaker 1>CEO of Atlanta Health System. He joined this on the

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<v Speaker 1>phone for Morristown, New Jersey. Hey, Brian, good to have

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<v Speaker 1>you here with Tim and myself. I think we talked

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<v Speaker 1>with you at the end of April. It was not

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<v Speaker 1>a good time. Where are we today in comparison, Well,

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<v Speaker 1>thanks thanks for having us back. It's quite different for

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<v Speaker 1>us than it than it was back in the spring,

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<v Speaker 1>particularly the time that we spoke. UM. You know, we

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<v Speaker 1>were up over nine hundred patients in our hospitals per

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<v Speaker 1>day and uh today, UM, we're about the pace of

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<v Speaker 1>increase has been a lot slower than we experienced in April.

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<v Speaker 1>And we're also seeing fewer patients in our intensive carry

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<v Speaker 1>unit and fewer patients on ventilators. And that's because of

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<v Speaker 1>some of the great strides we've made in learning about

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<v Speaker 1>this virus and how to take care of patients. UM. Differently,

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<v Speaker 1>we've also set up a program called Hospital at Home

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<v Speaker 1>and that really has allowed us to keep more people

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<v Speaker 1>in their homes getting UH oxygen treatments and and other

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<v Speaker 1>needed treatments. So all in all, the virus is back.

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<v Speaker 1>Um uh it is really endemic in the community. But

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<v Speaker 1>we're not seeing that crazy growth that we saw over

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<v Speaker 1>a three to four week period in the spring. Brian,

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<v Speaker 1>are you concerned at all that you will start to

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<v Speaker 1>see that that crazy growth again as we see the

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<v Speaker 1>cases rise around the country and then also the positivity

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<v Speaker 1>rate at least in the New York City area above

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<v Speaker 1>four percent and of the last seven days and rising. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, Um, it's interesting all of our modeling that

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<v Speaker 1>we're doing UM does not show us hitting those levels again.

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<v Speaker 1>Because you gotta remember, we were doubling the number of

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<v Speaker 1>cases that we had in our hospitals every uh two

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<v Speaker 1>to three days for about a three or four week period,

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<v Speaker 1>and this has been a slower uptake UM, starting probably

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<v Speaker 1>at the end of September beginning of October, and Um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, we're seeing things plateau a little bit, then

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<v Speaker 1>go up a little bit. The big concern we have though,

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<v Speaker 1>is what human behavior is going to be like UM,

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<v Speaker 1>and so we are expecting to see a bump now

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<v Speaker 1>and probably four or five days after the Thanksgiving holiday. Ryan,

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<v Speaker 1>how are your team members right now? Carol mentioned that

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<v Speaker 1>you have about seventeen thousand of them, and I know

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<v Speaker 1>they've been working around the clock keeping us safe. How

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<v Speaker 1>are they doing? You know this is this has been

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<v Speaker 1>tough on all people who work in healthcare. UM. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>I know there's a general fatigue in the country right

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<v Speaker 1>now regarding this crisis. And we do have a light

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<v Speaker 1>at the end of the tunnel with the vaccines, and

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<v Speaker 1>we can talk about that. But our team members have

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<v Speaker 1>been at this for a long time. And even when

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<v Speaker 1>our gate account went down over the summer months, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>we were still preparing for um. Uh I called it

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<v Speaker 1>coexisting with COVID, but we were preparing for what we're

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<v Speaker 1>seeing right now. So UM, while they're ready and UM,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, we're taking great care of our patients and

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<v Speaker 1>we're keeping our team members safe. UM. They are fatigued

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<v Speaker 1>and like all of us would like to see, UH,

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<v Speaker 1>life get back to a bit more normal than it

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<v Speaker 1>is right now. It's interesting what you said about it.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, it's been a slower uptake And why do

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<v Speaker 1>you think that is? Is it because when the numbers

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<v Speaker 1>do start to pick up, that we've all like kind

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<v Speaker 1>of been there before understand what we need to do

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<v Speaker 1>to kind of back off. So we all go back

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<v Speaker 1>to social distancing wearing masking, you know, wearing masks. Is

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<v Speaker 1>that why it's slower? Brian, Well, when we first saw

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<v Speaker 1>this occurring, I used to say, follow the train lines

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<v Speaker 1>because we have you know, organizations in northern New Jersey,

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<v Speaker 1>um and uh, right off the train line. And when

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<v Speaker 1>you did them mapping on that, you could see that

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<v Speaker 1>high concentration and UM, so we're working from home, not

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<v Speaker 1>having him as much transit is obviously a difference right now.

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<v Speaker 1>So that's that's part of it. The other part of

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<v Speaker 1>it is the measures that were taken by um, the

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<v Speaker 1>state of New Jersey, state in New York. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>I think our governor here in New Jersey has done

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<v Speaker 1>a very responsible job of trying to balance the health

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<v Speaker 1>of the citizen read the resources that we have available

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<v Speaker 1>to care for them. Uh, and the economy and uh.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, we're all doing our part to keep the

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<v Speaker 1>economy open because we don't want to go back to

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<v Speaker 1>that time where everything was shut down. The dilemma, though,

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<v Speaker 1>strikes on your point about masking and other things like that,

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<v Speaker 1>because it's it's your personal responsibility as a citizen to

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<v Speaker 1>take these things seriously. And one of the reasons in

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<v Speaker 1>New Jersey that we're seeing. Uh, you know, a better

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<v Speaker 1>performance right now is because people are taking that seriously.

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<v Speaker 1>But you can track back these these outbreaks to gatherings,

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<v Speaker 1>to events where people didn't do that, and that's really

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<v Speaker 1>where personal responsibility steps in. So I always tell people,

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<v Speaker 1>if you want to get back to where we were, um,

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<v Speaker 1>you want to not have restrictions in place, just do

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<v Speaker 1>simple things. Wear a mask, you know, use common sense

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<v Speaker 1>about gatherings and social distancing, and uh, wash your hands.

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<v Speaker 1>Because we have such good news about vaccines right now

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<v Speaker 1>that um, you know, we can have a much different

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<v Speaker 1>summer if we really work hard this winter. Hey, so, Brian,

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<v Speaker 1>one thing and before we move on to kind of

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<v Speaker 1>talking about a vaccine and the rollout of that, is

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<v Speaker 1>the types of COVID patients that you're seeing. It does

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<v Speaker 1>sound like it's not as severe, but are you seeing

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of long um of covid um long haulers.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm just curious what you're seeing in the demographics of

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<v Speaker 1>who's getting the virus. Has any of that changed. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>we're seeing um uh a much younger population UM testing

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<v Speaker 1>positive right now, and um, you know, we're seeing fewer

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<v Speaker 1>patients go into the hospital. But your point about what

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<v Speaker 1>happens afterwards is an important one. We've opened something in

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<v Speaker 1>Atlantic called the Covidcovery Center, and we've had that open

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<v Speaker 1>for about two months now, and what we're trying to

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<v Speaker 1>do is to create a medical home for these patients

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<v Speaker 1>who can't seem to shake some of the impacts of

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<v Speaker 1>this virus. So I'll give you a quick example. We've

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<v Speaker 1>got some young UH patients who are seemingly doing well, um,

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<v Speaker 1>but when they exert themselves in any manner, their their

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<v Speaker 1>oxygen levels just dropped dramatically, and UM. We can't figure

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<v Speaker 1>out why. Um. And we're trying to understand that. The

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<v Speaker 1>same thing with this concept of brain fog. We've got

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<v Speaker 1>so many patients that just don't feel right and UH

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<v Speaker 1>are are suffering from that. So this is turning into

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<v Speaker 1>a real chronic disease. And one of the things when

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<v Speaker 1>I when I talk about this, particularly to younger folks

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<v Speaker 1>who think that their bulletproof on this, is that this

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<v Speaker 1>is a very difficult virus. And while you may not,

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<v Speaker 1>um see the dramatic impacts on you like we saw

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<v Speaker 1>in New York and New Jersey and the spring fentile

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<v Speaker 1>at and everything like that, this is still something that

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<v Speaker 1>you have to take very seriously, and we're hoping to

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<v Speaker 1>get that message across. But in the meantime, we've created

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<v Speaker 1>a service that we think will be a medical home

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<v Speaker 1>for patients who really are taking this on as a

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<v Speaker 1>chronic disease. Now, yeah, I don't know if any of

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<v Speaker 1>you have seen. I think it was at sixty minutes

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<v Speaker 1>at a piece on some of the long haulers and

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<v Speaker 1>it was, you know, one was a runner and it's

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<v Speaker 1>just young people and just their life has been you know,

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<v Speaker 1>turned upside down and it's devastating that couldn't walk. So

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<v Speaker 1>it's it is definitely something that has to be taken seriously.

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<v Speaker 1>It's something that just affects everybody differently exactly you get it,

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<v Speaker 1>you don't know how it's going to affect you, and

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<v Speaker 1>that's something we all need to keep in mind. Um, Brian,

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<v Speaker 1>I want to talk about the vaccine and how you're

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<v Speaker 1>planning on rolling it out and distributing it once it

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<v Speaker 1>becomes widely available. How do you do that at Atlantic

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<v Speaker 1>Health System? So, Um, we've had planning underway for the

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<v Speaker 1>last several months to make sure that as soon as

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<v Speaker 1>we are able to, we will get this vaccine in

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<v Speaker 1>people's arms because the development of the vaccine had has

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<v Speaker 1>been nothing short of remarkable because what we the government

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<v Speaker 1>has been able to do is to hedge companies financial

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<v Speaker 1>bets on this vaccine and allow them to follow the

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<v Speaker 1>science and get it done safely, but at the same

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<v Speaker 1>time begin production on these. So we're going to start

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<v Speaker 1>to see, assuming UH this moves forward like we expect

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<v Speaker 1>this week and over the next couple of weeks, vaccines

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<v Speaker 1>being sent to each of the states and then UM

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<v Speaker 1>being delivered to sites like our Atlantic health hospitals UM,

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<v Speaker 1>and then we have plans to UH to get those

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<v Speaker 1>into the arms of people, and that's going to be

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<v Speaker 1>the real challenge. We're gonna have to set priorities at

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<v Speaker 1>the beginning, and so we're looking forward to the guidance

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<v Speaker 1>that we're going to get from the government this week

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<v Speaker 1>UM states to put together plans, but generally it seems

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<v Speaker 1>like it's gonna be health care workers first, and we

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<v Speaker 1>think that that's really important, and then working on people

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<v Speaker 1>who have other vulnerabilities and people who are older because

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<v Speaker 1>the goal here is to obviously get as much vacccine

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<v Speaker 1>out into the general public. Right probably the middle of

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<v Speaker 1>the year. Uh, and that's going to be important, but

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<v Speaker 1>the key thing is people having confidence in taking it. Yeah, no,

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<v Speaker 1>I know. I think the CDC right, I think they're

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<v Speaker 1>voting actually today on who will be first in line

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<v Speaker 1>for a vaccine, so we we will be looking out

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<v Speaker 1>for that headline. Hey, Brian, thank you so much. I

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<v Speaker 1>know your world is crazy and you're so kind to

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<v Speaker 1>always find some time for us. So stay safe and

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<v Speaker 1>we wish you well and I'm sure we'll be checking

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<v Speaker 1>in again with you over the next couple of months.

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<v Speaker 1>Brian Granue Lotty, Chief executive Officer Atlantic Health System, on

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<v Speaker 1>the phone from Morristown, New Jersey. This is Bloomberg Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week with Carol Masser from Bloomberg Radio. Listening to Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Business Week Carol Masser along with Tim Stanovic, and we

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<v Speaker 1>know running a political campaign, it's about fundraising, it's about

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<v Speaker 1>getting voters, it's about building infrastructure and support. It's also

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<v Speaker 1>about building out campaign technology, which we know is critical

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<v Speaker 1>for Donald true Up and the Republicans back in twenties

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<v Speaker 1>sixteen and for the Democrats this past November. So let's

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<v Speaker 1>get into a great story in the magazine. It's about

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<v Speaker 1>the digital machine that Democrats need to keep winning. Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Business Bloomberg business Week national correspondent Josh Green excuse me,

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<v Speaker 1>is joining us. He's on the phone in DC, along

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<v Speaker 1>with Bloomberg Business Week editor Joel Webber on the access

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<v Speaker 1>line in Brooklyn. Um, Joel, this is an interesting story.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean technology, we saw the Republicans use it. Now

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<v Speaker 1>it seems like Democrats have figured it out. Yeah. And

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<v Speaker 1>who better than to write about to write about the

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<v Speaker 1>story than you know, our great m and a reporter

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<v Speaker 1>Josh Green, who also headed to the Yeah, exactly. He's multifaceted,

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<v Speaker 1>that Josh Green. Um. But that was sort of the

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<v Speaker 1>root of it because he had done a story for

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<v Speaker 1>the magazine in twenty seventeen about mobilized America. Um. But

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<v Speaker 1>the biggest theme here is not only that marriage that

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<v Speaker 1>I'm sure he's going to talk about in a second.

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<v Speaker 1>But you know, there's a there's a line in the

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<v Speaker 1>story where in today's story where he yesterday story where

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<v Speaker 1>he throws back to the Obama momentum back when Obama

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<v Speaker 1>was re elected and sort of the the tech um

0:12:12.679 --> 0:12:17.360
<v Speaker 1>prowess that was was bestowed upon Democrats and then but

0:12:17.520 --> 0:12:19.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, there was there was one thing that was missing,

0:12:19.400 --> 0:12:22.520
<v Speaker 1>which is it didn't have any lasting ability. And what

0:12:22.679 --> 0:12:25.640
<v Speaker 1>Josh has found here is that, you know, we're beginning

0:12:25.640 --> 0:12:27.880
<v Speaker 1>to see a marriage here that may be able to

0:12:27.920 --> 0:12:30.840
<v Speaker 1>become something of a machine. How about that, Josh? Can

0:12:30.880 --> 0:12:32.959
<v Speaker 1>I can I just take every word out of your

0:12:32.960 --> 0:12:37.520
<v Speaker 1>reporting for myself, but over to you for more M

0:12:37.520 --> 0:12:39.960
<v Speaker 1>and A. I'd like to ide them. I think this

0:12:40.080 --> 0:12:41.959
<v Speaker 1>might be the first M and A I've ever reported,

0:12:42.360 --> 0:12:46.720
<v Speaker 1>So let's let's put a toy. The reason that I

0:12:46.760 --> 0:12:48.880
<v Speaker 1>was prompted to report on an M, M and A

0:12:49.040 --> 0:12:51.120
<v Speaker 1>for the first time in my like ten plus years

0:12:51.160 --> 0:12:53.480
<v Speaker 1>blober career was that, as you said, I wrote about

0:12:53.520 --> 0:12:57.079
<v Speaker 1>one of these companies back into late seventeen because they

0:12:57.080 --> 0:12:59.880
<v Speaker 1>were a start up by a couple of young millennials

0:13:00.040 --> 0:13:03.199
<v Speaker 1>which appalled that Donald's they gotten elected of Democrats couldn't

0:13:03.200 --> 0:13:05.640
<v Speaker 1>beat him, and so they wanted to develop new political

0:13:05.679 --> 0:13:08.680
<v Speaker 1>technology to reach the kind of voters authority plant couldn't

0:13:08.679 --> 0:13:12.320
<v Speaker 1>reach and hadn't turned out. Um you know, so so

0:13:12.360 --> 0:13:14.719
<v Speaker 1>they called me up actually a couple of weeks ago

0:13:14.720 --> 0:13:16.480
<v Speaker 1>and said, hey, you know, we've built our company into

0:13:16.480 --> 0:13:18.640
<v Speaker 1>a hundred plush people were now going to merge with

0:13:18.720 --> 0:13:21.400
<v Speaker 1>a big Democratic tech company called every Action they were

0:13:21.440 --> 0:13:25.720
<v Speaker 1>being acquired UM. But to me, the evolution of this

0:13:25.800 --> 0:13:28.760
<v Speaker 1>company and its acquisition was really emblematic of something I

0:13:28.760 --> 0:13:31.440
<v Speaker 1>think was really important in this last election. Hasn't gotten

0:13:31.520 --> 0:13:37.560
<v Speaker 1>enough attention because Democrats rightly spent the months since since

0:13:37.640 --> 0:13:40.800
<v Speaker 1>Trump was defeated kind of bickering and shooting at each other,

0:13:40.880 --> 0:13:43.800
<v Speaker 1>which I think is taken away from UM. What I

0:13:43.800 --> 0:13:45.720
<v Speaker 1>talked about in the lead to this piece was that

0:13:46.040 --> 0:13:50.600
<v Speaker 1>the Democrats organizing and fundraising prowess, driven by this kind

0:13:50.600 --> 0:13:53.960
<v Speaker 1>of political technology just produced more than any billion votes

0:13:54.520 --> 0:13:58.840
<v Speaker 1>for jo Blinden in any hope that Democrats have of

0:13:58.840 --> 0:14:01.840
<v Speaker 1>of broadening their verning coalition and winning racist in the

0:14:01.840 --> 0:14:03.679
<v Speaker 1>mid terms, and that sort of thing is going to

0:14:03.800 --> 0:14:05.760
<v Speaker 1>depend on this machine that was built. And the fact

0:14:05.760 --> 0:14:09.320
<v Speaker 1>that these two political technology companies are coming together and

0:14:09.400 --> 0:14:13.920
<v Speaker 1>joining means that Democrats organizing and tech abilities are going

0:14:13.960 --> 0:14:17.559
<v Speaker 1>to grow even larger now. As Joel alluded to, UM,

0:14:17.960 --> 0:14:21.480
<v Speaker 1>Democrats were plagued for years and years and years, even

0:14:21.520 --> 0:14:24.440
<v Speaker 1>when Obama was winning. They were plagued by a fundamental

0:14:24.520 --> 0:14:27.640
<v Speaker 1>structural shortcoming in the way that they did politics, and

0:14:27.680 --> 0:14:31.080
<v Speaker 1>that was that every time you had a big presidential

0:14:31.080 --> 0:14:33.760
<v Speaker 1>campaign like Obama come along, he actually had to build

0:14:33.760 --> 0:14:36.240
<v Speaker 1>his own technology internally, They had to kind of start

0:14:36.280 --> 0:14:39.720
<v Speaker 1>from scratch. You know. It's like getting a job at Bloomberg,

0:14:39.720 --> 0:14:40.880
<v Speaker 1>but in order to get there, I have to like

0:14:40.960 --> 0:14:43.400
<v Speaker 1>build my own car to to sort of drive. I mean,

0:14:43.520 --> 0:14:45.800
<v Speaker 1>one of these problems where when you step back and

0:14:45.800 --> 0:14:48.560
<v Speaker 1>look at it from somebody outside politics, it seems sort

0:14:48.600 --> 0:14:50.840
<v Speaker 1>of absurd that nobody thought to fix this earlier. But

0:14:50.880 --> 0:14:53.680
<v Speaker 1>this was a big problem. Obama built a big techno operation.

0:14:53.720 --> 0:14:56.160
<v Speaker 1>As soon as this campaign ended, it all dissolved and

0:14:56.160 --> 0:14:59.000
<v Speaker 1>went away, you know, and Hillary had to start from scratch.

0:14:59.080 --> 0:15:02.640
<v Speaker 1>So what these companies done is basically take the technology,

0:15:02.680 --> 0:15:06.160
<v Speaker 1>building outside campaigns that can grow and exist and innovate

0:15:06.760 --> 0:15:10.240
<v Speaker 1>UM beyond a single campaign cycle. I think the fact

0:15:10.320 --> 0:15:12.600
<v Speaker 1>that Democrats turned out eighty million votes even while they

0:15:12.600 --> 0:15:15.840
<v Speaker 1>didn't achieve all they wanted to, shows how powerful this

0:15:16.040 --> 0:15:18.880
<v Speaker 1>was and how powerful they can be moving forward. So, Josh,

0:15:18.880 --> 0:15:21.320
<v Speaker 1>I mean you described this as a salesforce like platform

0:15:21.400 --> 0:15:25.400
<v Speaker 1>for liberal campaigns and causes UM and the company mobilized.

0:15:25.560 --> 0:15:27.680
<v Speaker 1>When these two companies together, I mean, what is the

0:15:27.720 --> 0:15:30.320
<v Speaker 1>actual technology that they have? What are they able to

0:15:30.360 --> 0:15:33.320
<v Speaker 1>do now, well, they do a lot of things. It's

0:15:33.400 --> 0:15:36.000
<v Speaker 1>interesting about Mobilize, which I first wrote about, was they

0:15:36.000 --> 0:15:38.480
<v Speaker 1>looked at Hillary's loss and they all, right, she performed

0:15:38.520 --> 0:15:42.560
<v Speaker 1>really badly among millennials and really badly among black voters

0:15:42.560 --> 0:15:45.600
<v Speaker 1>compared to Obama. Why And what they figured out was

0:15:45.640 --> 0:15:48.320
<v Speaker 1>that the traditional ways of organizing you get a list

0:15:48.360 --> 0:15:50.160
<v Speaker 1>on a piece of paper, you go out and you

0:15:50.240 --> 0:15:54.280
<v Speaker 1>knock on doors, didn't really reach those populations, either because

0:15:54.320 --> 0:15:56.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, they're transient like millennials, or they move around

0:15:56.880 --> 0:15:59.360
<v Speaker 1>a lot. And so they thought that, well, look, the

0:15:59.360 --> 0:16:01.560
<v Speaker 1>one way to reach everybody. Everybody has a cell from now,

0:16:01.560 --> 0:16:04.520
<v Speaker 1>whether you're young, old, black, white, Um. They built the

0:16:04.520 --> 0:16:07.920
<v Speaker 1>technology through an app, and this is something that's scaled

0:16:07.960 --> 0:16:10.280
<v Speaker 1>and they tested it out in I wrote a big

0:16:10.320 --> 0:16:12.840
<v Speaker 1>feature for Business Week about how they were doing in

0:16:12.880 --> 0:16:15.680
<v Speaker 1>the Virginia off your elections. That worked wonderfully, and the

0:16:15.720 --> 0:16:18.520
<v Speaker 1>Party do its credit, recognized this and spread it all

0:16:18.560 --> 0:16:22.080
<v Speaker 1>across the country in the mid term election. Uh. In

0:16:22.120 --> 0:16:25.880
<v Speaker 1>the midterm races which Democrats won handily. UH. I think

0:16:25.960 --> 0:16:29.600
<v Speaker 1>twenty of the something like twenty six Democratic presidential candidates

0:16:29.600 --> 0:16:33.160
<v Speaker 1>from this past cycle used the technology. So what it

0:16:33.240 --> 0:16:35.600
<v Speaker 1>really is. You know, one of the founders described it

0:16:35.640 --> 0:16:38.680
<v Speaker 1>to me as an engagement funnel. You know, it takes

0:16:38.760 --> 0:16:41.920
<v Speaker 1>you have all these sort of hyper excited new to

0:16:42.000 --> 0:16:44.800
<v Speaker 1>politics activists who people were out in the Women's March

0:16:45.360 --> 0:16:47.840
<v Speaker 1>U doing March for Our Lives, not necessarily things that

0:16:47.840 --> 0:16:50.520
<v Speaker 1>will campaign related, but suddenly they're inspired and they want

0:16:50.560 --> 0:16:54.160
<v Speaker 1>to get involved. These apps in this technology helps funnel

0:16:54.240 --> 0:16:57.640
<v Speaker 1>that initiative, that eagerness to participate, and connects them with

0:16:57.680 --> 0:17:01.000
<v Speaker 1>a local campaign that can actually use their help. That's

0:17:01.000 --> 0:17:03.480
<v Speaker 1>really what we saw with Joe Biden's campaign, the fact

0:17:03.560 --> 0:17:05.520
<v Speaker 1>that Biden really was kind of in his basement, he

0:17:05.560 --> 0:17:08.240
<v Speaker 1>wasn't out their campaigning, and yet through this use of

0:17:08.280 --> 0:17:10.880
<v Speaker 1>technology and being able to kind of connect people, they

0:17:10.920 --> 0:17:13.240
<v Speaker 1>managed to turn out eighty million votes and help Buyden

0:17:13.280 --> 0:17:16.439
<v Speaker 1>to defeat Trump. I think that's a critical piece of

0:17:16.480 --> 0:17:20.040
<v Speaker 1>technological evolution that's going to be important going forward for

0:17:20.080 --> 0:17:23.400
<v Speaker 1>both parties, but especially for Democrats. So Josh, let's spend

0:17:23.400 --> 0:17:26.440
<v Speaker 1>this forward. We've got, you know, Georgia Senate race here

0:17:26.480 --> 0:17:28.360
<v Speaker 1>on the horizon. After that, we're gonna have some mid terms,

0:17:28.440 --> 0:17:30.920
<v Speaker 1>Like when are we gonna see sort of the fruits

0:17:30.920 --> 0:17:33.040
<v Speaker 1>of this marriage and and how are we going to

0:17:33.119 --> 0:17:35.439
<v Speaker 1>be evaluating them? And just got about a minute, Josh,

0:17:36.320 --> 0:17:39.040
<v Speaker 1>you I think I think we're already sing on your

0:17:39.080 --> 0:17:41.439
<v Speaker 1>people on the grandom. There's lots of volunteers. I was

0:17:41.440 --> 0:17:43.919
<v Speaker 1>talking to one of the Mobilized founders who said that

0:17:44.000 --> 0:17:47.240
<v Speaker 1>the engagement the the volunteer engagement around the Georgia Senate

0:17:47.320 --> 0:17:50.280
<v Speaker 1>races is even higher than it was in the midterm

0:17:50.280 --> 0:17:53.359
<v Speaker 1>elections in twenty eighteen. On the other hand, Republicans have

0:17:53.480 --> 0:17:56.119
<v Speaker 1>their biggest engagement driver, and that's Donald Trump, and it

0:17:56.119 --> 0:17:57.919
<v Speaker 1>sounds like he's gonna be heading down there in the

0:17:57.960 --> 0:18:02.080
<v Speaker 1>next week. UM. So you know, both sides this won't

0:18:02.080 --> 0:18:04.040
<v Speaker 1>come as news to anybody, but both sides are just

0:18:04.080 --> 0:18:06.200
<v Speaker 1>trying to turn out every single vote they can because

0:18:06.200 --> 0:18:09.840
<v Speaker 1>it looks like a very close pair of elections. I

0:18:09.840 --> 0:18:14.879
<v Speaker 1>think if Democrats are able to rekindle the outpouring that

0:18:14.960 --> 0:18:17.360
<v Speaker 1>Joe Biden received, they're going to be a pretty good shape.

0:18:17.960 --> 0:18:22.080
<v Speaker 1>We just don't know yet whether Democrats can win um

0:18:22.400 --> 0:18:25.720
<v Speaker 1>or excite people Trump not on the top of the ticket.

0:18:25.760 --> 0:18:28.399
<v Speaker 1>We're gonna find out on all right, Well, good stuff

0:18:28.400 --> 0:18:31.440
<v Speaker 1>as always, Josh, Thank you so much. Who knew political

0:18:31.560 --> 0:18:34.320
<v Speaker 1>m and a reporter also Bloomberg Business Week national correspondent.

0:18:34.400 --> 0:18:36.680
<v Speaker 1>Do it. He can do it all. Josh Green. Anything

0:18:36.720 --> 0:18:38.760
<v Speaker 1>you want to ever know about politics and the campaign

0:18:38.800 --> 0:18:41.320
<v Speaker 1>trail Man, You've just got to read Josh's stuff. Of course,

0:18:41.359 --> 0:18:45.359
<v Speaker 1>author of the book that explains the election outcome. We're

0:18:45.400 --> 0:18:47.600
<v Speaker 1>talking about Devil's bargain. Steve Bannon, Donald Trump of the

0:18:47.680 --> 0:18:50.720
<v Speaker 1>Nationalist Uprising. Josh of course on the phone from DC

0:18:50.880 --> 0:18:52.639
<v Speaker 1>and Bloomberg Business we get it. Or Deel Webber on

0:18:52.680 --> 0:18:57.040
<v Speaker 1>the access line in Brooklyn sees Bloomberg Business Week with

0:18:57.119 --> 0:19:01.879
<v Speaker 1>kirol Messer on Bloomberg Radio for Secretary of Treasury. I

0:19:01.920 --> 0:19:05.480
<v Speaker 1>am really pleased to be able to nominate Janet Yelling.

0:19:05.840 --> 0:19:09.320
<v Speaker 1>No one is better prepared to deal with these crisis.

0:19:09.600 --> 0:19:13.520
<v Speaker 1>I wish it weren't as much of a crisis future secretary.

0:19:14.119 --> 0:19:15.919
<v Speaker 1>And of course that was President like Joe Biden just

0:19:16.000 --> 0:19:20.080
<v Speaker 1>earlier today nominating Janet Yellen, former Fed chief, to be

0:19:20.160 --> 0:19:22.199
<v Speaker 1>the next Treasury secretary. And I really do think this

0:19:22.280 --> 0:19:25.160
<v Speaker 1>Biden economic team, tim is really one of our top

0:19:25.160 --> 0:19:27.120
<v Speaker 1>stories at the day, and certainly at this hour. Yeah,

0:19:27.160 --> 0:19:28.680
<v Speaker 1>it is. It's it's a lot of first Not only

0:19:28.720 --> 0:19:32.160
<v Speaker 1>does it include yelling, of course, but near Tandon as well,

0:19:32.200 --> 0:19:33.960
<v Speaker 1>and if she would be confirmed, she would have a

0:19:33.960 --> 0:19:36.000
<v Speaker 1>lot of first to go along with her as well.

0:19:36.280 --> 0:19:38.439
<v Speaker 1>And it's I think exciting to see for a lot

0:19:38.480 --> 0:19:41.800
<v Speaker 1>of people because President like Biden has said he wants

0:19:41.840 --> 0:19:44.560
<v Speaker 1>his cabinet to look like America, and it seems like

0:19:44.600 --> 0:19:47.040
<v Speaker 1>he's making good on that promise. Yeah. Really when he

0:19:47.040 --> 0:19:49.520
<v Speaker 1>was announcing all the people very very diverse. Let's get

0:19:49.520 --> 0:19:52.520
<v Speaker 1>some thoughts from our Bloomberg News Politics editor Wendy Benjaminson.

0:19:52.640 --> 0:19:56.640
<v Speaker 1>She is back with us on the phone from Washington. So, Wendy,

0:19:56.800 --> 0:20:00.080
<v Speaker 1>I mean it really does look like in general, and

0:20:00.119 --> 0:20:02.639
<v Speaker 1>certainly with this economic team that Joe Biden is thinking

0:20:02.640 --> 0:20:07.199
<v Speaker 1>about uh diversity and thinking about what America looks like

0:20:07.280 --> 0:20:11.200
<v Speaker 1>and what his team meets to look like. Yes, absolutely, Carol,

0:20:11.280 --> 0:20:15.280
<v Speaker 1>I mean he is, um, he is making a point

0:20:15.320 --> 0:20:17.760
<v Speaker 1>about them being diverse. He is certainly showing them to

0:20:17.840 --> 0:20:20.960
<v Speaker 1>be diverse. And there are many many first as as

0:20:20.960 --> 0:20:23.399
<v Speaker 1>you said, you know, um. Janet Yellen would be the

0:20:23.400 --> 0:20:26.760
<v Speaker 1>first female Treasury secretary. Cecilia Roused would be the first

0:20:26.760 --> 0:20:30.120
<v Speaker 1>African American to head the Council of Economic Advisors. Near

0:20:30.119 --> 0:20:32.399
<v Speaker 1>a tandem is an Indian American who would leave the

0:20:32.480 --> 0:20:34.919
<v Speaker 1>Office of Management and Budget, although women have led that

0:20:35.000 --> 0:20:38.840
<v Speaker 1>office before. UM, So it's um so he really is

0:20:38.960 --> 0:20:42.720
<v Speaker 1>working on that now. There are some UM Representative Jim

0:20:42.760 --> 0:20:45.440
<v Speaker 1>Clyburne from South Carolina who feels that there aren't enough

0:20:45.760 --> 0:20:49.280
<v Speaker 1>African Americans being selected yet, but there's still a lot

0:20:49.280 --> 0:20:51.120
<v Speaker 1>of names to go and we'll see where that leads.

0:20:51.520 --> 0:20:53.440
<v Speaker 1>When do you want to hit on your attendant for

0:20:53.480 --> 0:20:55.480
<v Speaker 1>a second, because it does seem like if there is

0:20:55.600 --> 0:20:57.800
<v Speaker 1>one person here who is seeming to get a lot

0:20:57.800 --> 0:20:59.920
<v Speaker 1>of flak from both the right and the left, it's

0:21:00.040 --> 0:21:02.920
<v Speaker 1>it's her, And I'm wondering what the chances are of

0:21:03.240 --> 0:21:07.200
<v Speaker 1>her being thrown in there, um because the Biden team

0:21:07.240 --> 0:21:10.600
<v Speaker 1>needs someone not to be confirmed, someone to be protected

0:21:10.640 --> 0:21:16.920
<v Speaker 1>by Republicans right there. Well, you know, as the Biden team,

0:21:16.960 --> 0:21:19.880
<v Speaker 1>of course, they are one thousand percent behind her and

0:21:20.320 --> 0:21:23.480
<v Speaker 1>they did not want a shirk from nominating someone they

0:21:23.480 --> 0:21:27.840
<v Speaker 1>believed to be highly qualified, even though she has irritated

0:21:27.920 --> 0:21:33.119
<v Speaker 1>Republicans um to no end, and the highest second highest

0:21:33.200 --> 0:21:36.880
<v Speaker 1>ranking Senator, John Poone today said, you know pretty much

0:21:37.040 --> 0:21:41.080
<v Speaker 1>it's not going to happen, and um, the Lindsey Graham,

0:21:41.119 --> 0:21:43.960
<v Speaker 1>who said who chairs the Budget Committee, which would have

0:21:44.000 --> 0:21:46.760
<v Speaker 1>to first confirm the director of the Office of Management

0:21:46.800 --> 0:21:48.760
<v Speaker 1>and Budget um said it's going to be a real

0:21:48.880 --> 0:21:52.199
<v Speaker 1>uphelp climb for her. But their reasoning is not that

0:21:52.240 --> 0:21:56.080
<v Speaker 1>she's not qualified. Um, it's not anything else. It's that

0:21:56.240 --> 0:22:00.399
<v Speaker 1>she has tweeted insulting things at Republicans. O. There's and

0:22:00.480 --> 0:22:03.160
<v Speaker 1>I think anyone who's been on earth for the last

0:22:03.400 --> 0:22:11.880
<v Speaker 1>year does that? Does that a bit? Yeah? Right, I'm

0:22:11.880 --> 0:22:15.480
<v Speaker 1>just gonna say it is right, Carol, And we're parents.

0:22:16.359 --> 0:22:18.040
<v Speaker 1>So I do wonder though, is I mean, I mean,

0:22:18.440 --> 0:22:21.760
<v Speaker 1>is there somebody on this list who you thinks better

0:22:21.840 --> 0:22:25.200
<v Speaker 1>chances or worst chances of getting past Republicans If Mitch

0:22:25.280 --> 0:22:28.800
<v Speaker 1>McConnell Republicans hold on to the Senate, right, Well, I

0:22:28.840 --> 0:22:33.040
<v Speaker 1>do think Janet Yellen will have almost no problem getting confirmed. Um.

0:22:33.080 --> 0:22:35.119
<v Speaker 1>You know, she was confirmed to be FED chair by

0:22:35.119 --> 0:22:38.800
<v Speaker 1>a Republican Senate and senators really don't like to admit

0:22:38.840 --> 0:22:40.960
<v Speaker 1>they're ever wrong. So if they confirmed her, one self

0:22:41.000 --> 0:22:45.400
<v Speaker 1>confirmed her again. Um. And uh, and you know she's

0:22:45.400 --> 0:22:48.399
<v Speaker 1>well respected. Her politics may not agree with their politics,

0:22:48.440 --> 0:22:52.239
<v Speaker 1>but there's no question she's respected. She's topping you know,

0:22:52.520 --> 0:22:55.000
<v Speaker 1>I just don't see that one happening. You're tandon maybe

0:22:55.119 --> 0:22:57.560
<v Speaker 1>the one that gets tossed back. She is the only

0:22:57.640 --> 0:23:00.040
<v Speaker 1>one so far that everybody has said hold of and

0:23:00.200 --> 0:23:02.680
<v Speaker 1>this may not work. So she's really that's going to

0:23:02.760 --> 0:23:05.920
<v Speaker 1>be the fight to see if Biden decides it's really

0:23:06.040 --> 0:23:08.160
<v Speaker 1>really worth it to have that fight, and he may.

0:23:09.320 --> 0:23:10.920
<v Speaker 1>You know, I just want to mention, you know, a

0:23:11.000 --> 0:23:14.920
<v Speaker 1>couple of headlines uh that have crossed, um, the Bloomberg terminal,

0:23:14.960 --> 0:23:17.080
<v Speaker 1>Bill Barr, you know, saying that the Department of Justice

0:23:17.080 --> 0:23:20.119
<v Speaker 1>hasn't uncovered widespread voting fraud. I just find it fascinating

0:23:20.160 --> 0:23:22.439
<v Speaker 1>that these kind of headlines are still crossing. And then

0:23:22.520 --> 0:23:24.720
<v Speaker 1>we've got you know, the president elect putting together his team.

0:23:24.840 --> 0:23:27.400
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's just how do you make sense? Continue

0:23:27.440 --> 0:23:30.000
<v Speaker 1>to make sense? Wendy Andy's kind of two Washington's right

0:23:30.040 --> 0:23:35.359
<v Speaker 1>now exactly. Well, I think it's one Washington and tender

0:23:35.680 --> 0:23:38.520
<v Speaker 1>or another Washington. I think really there's one person in

0:23:38.640 --> 0:23:41.600
<v Speaker 1>town who believes that Donald Trump won the election. That's

0:23:41.640 --> 0:23:45.200
<v Speaker 1>Donald Trump. Um the I mean his own attorney general,

0:23:45.280 --> 0:23:48.320
<v Speaker 1>as you said today, said he'd seen no evidence of

0:23:48.400 --> 0:23:51.399
<v Speaker 1>election frauduct to a to an extent that would change

0:23:51.480 --> 0:23:54.360
<v Speaker 1>the results of the election. Bill Barr did just leave

0:23:54.400 --> 0:23:56.159
<v Speaker 1>the White House. We're waiting to find out if he

0:23:56.280 --> 0:23:58.520
<v Speaker 1>left with his job or he left, you know, to

0:23:58.680 --> 0:24:00.920
<v Speaker 1>carry a gardenboard box out of the Justice Department. We

0:24:00.960 --> 0:24:03.879
<v Speaker 1>don't know yet. Um, we don't know. But um. But

0:24:04.600 --> 0:24:07.760
<v Speaker 1>Trump's lawyer Rudy Giuliani came back and said, well, Bar

0:24:07.880 --> 0:24:09.879
<v Speaker 1>doesn't know what he's talking about. We have tons of

0:24:09.960 --> 0:24:12.840
<v Speaker 1>evidence and he won't look at it, and um, that

0:24:13.000 --> 0:24:15.880
<v Speaker 1>sort of thing. So no, I mean, everyone, even these

0:24:16.320 --> 0:24:19.200
<v Speaker 1>the senators I was just talking about, are talking about

0:24:19.280 --> 0:24:23.080
<v Speaker 1>confirming Biden's picks, even though they will not call him

0:24:23.119 --> 0:24:25.960
<v Speaker 1>the president elect or acknowledge that he won the election.

0:24:26.560 --> 0:24:29.040
<v Speaker 1>So that's that's where we are right now. Yeah, and

0:24:29.119 --> 0:24:31.440
<v Speaker 1>and Wendy, we are seeing another headline cross the Bloomberg

0:24:31.480 --> 0:24:33.800
<v Speaker 1>from the Associated Press that says that bar has appointed

0:24:33.880 --> 0:24:37.000
<v Speaker 1>Durham Special Council to keep investigating the Russia prope origins

0:24:37.119 --> 0:24:39.920
<v Speaker 1>under the new administration. What are the implications of this

0:24:40.119 --> 0:24:42.639
<v Speaker 1>for for President elect Biden and when he becomes President

0:24:42.680 --> 0:24:47.080
<v Speaker 1>Biden in January. Well, this is a big decision President

0:24:47.160 --> 0:24:50.480
<v Speaker 1>elect Biden will have to make and his administration, and

0:24:50.560 --> 0:24:53.480
<v Speaker 1>we should watch very carefully who he chooses as attorney

0:24:53.560 --> 0:24:56.680
<v Speaker 1>general as a signal to where that decision will go.

0:24:57.400 --> 0:25:01.440
<v Speaker 1>Does he want to spend the next four years relitigating

0:25:02.040 --> 0:25:04.720
<v Speaker 1>the Russia probe, the Trump you know, and everything that

0:25:05.080 --> 0:25:08.879
<v Speaker 1>Democrats feel the Trump administration did wrong and and invest

0:25:08.960 --> 0:25:11.520
<v Speaker 1>to gage your political opponents, which is always sort of

0:25:11.560 --> 0:25:15.520
<v Speaker 1>anathema and American politic that used to be. And or

0:25:15.600 --> 0:25:18.320
<v Speaker 1>does he want to, as he said throughout the campaign,

0:25:18.640 --> 0:25:21.800
<v Speaker 1>healed the country, unify the country, and move forward, focusing

0:25:21.880 --> 0:25:25.399
<v Speaker 1>on the economic recovery and getting us all past the pandemic.

0:25:26.000 --> 0:25:29.400
<v Speaker 1>So I think, you know, there was talk that someone

0:25:29.520 --> 0:25:31.960
<v Speaker 1>like pre Perrara, who used to be the U S.

0:25:32.000 --> 0:25:34.720
<v Speaker 1>Attorney in the Southern District of New York, might be

0:25:34.800 --> 0:25:37.879
<v Speaker 1>the attorney general. Not so much anymore, which does signal

0:25:38.320 --> 0:25:40.560
<v Speaker 1>that maybe he doesn't want to, you know, spend the

0:25:40.640 --> 0:25:44.760
<v Speaker 1>next four years investigating Donald Trump. It's fascinating my understanding

0:25:44.880 --> 0:25:48.040
<v Speaker 1>just reading the ap right through. I guess bars saying

0:25:48.160 --> 0:25:52.280
<v Speaker 1>that during investigation narrowing to focus more on the conduct

0:25:52.359 --> 0:25:55.639
<v Speaker 1>of FBI agents who had worked on that Russia investigation.

0:25:55.800 --> 0:25:57.320
<v Speaker 1>So it is kind of fascinating to see that that

0:25:57.560 --> 0:26:01.960
<v Speaker 1>could cold, cold could continue excuse me into the next administration. Um, Wendy, Wendy,

0:26:02.040 --> 0:26:04.760
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much, really appreciate it. Wendy Benjaminson, she's

0:26:04.760 --> 0:26:07.560
<v Speaker 1>Politics editor Bloomberg News, joining us on the phone from Washington,

0:26:07.680 --> 0:26:09.560
<v Speaker 1>d C. That will be fascinating if it carries over

0:26:09.680 --> 0:26:12.359
<v Speaker 1>right to bid Biden administration. Yeah. I have serious choices

0:26:12.400 --> 0:26:14.159
<v Speaker 1>to make about whether he wants to end it or

0:26:14.240 --> 0:26:16.800
<v Speaker 1>keep it going, because their implications for both. Yeah, exactly,

0:26:16.840 --> 0:26:18.679
<v Speaker 1>And I do get the feeling he wants to move forward,

0:26:18.760 --> 0:26:25.480
<v Speaker 1>so we shall see roc journal. Yeah, but you let

0:26:25.560 --> 0:26:30.400
<v Speaker 1>me drive. Oh no, no, nor home, honey, please, I'll

0:26:30.400 --> 0:26:36.879
<v Speaker 1>do the riding drivel. I want to drive, just drive

0:26:37.080 --> 0:26:50.119
<v Speaker 1>by the question trying. This is the drive to the globe.

0:26:50.920 --> 0:26:55.359
<v Speaker 1>Give me thanks, we'll drive us to dawn on Bloomberg Radio. Yes. Indeed,

0:26:55.440 --> 0:26:58.080
<v Speaker 1>just about eleven minutes left to go in the Tuesday trade.

0:26:58.119 --> 0:26:59.679
<v Speaker 1>It is time for the drive to the clothes. Nice

0:26:59.720 --> 0:27:03.040
<v Speaker 1>to wall come. Sarah Malock. She is head of Global Equities,

0:27:03.080 --> 0:27:05.880
<v Speaker 1>Chief Investment Officer of Global Equities over at Nuvine. They've

0:27:05.920 --> 0:27:08.720
<v Speaker 1>got roughly one point one trillion in assets under management,

0:27:09.000 --> 0:27:11.679
<v Speaker 1>and she's joining us on the phone from San Francisco. Sarett.

0:27:11.760 --> 0:27:15.080
<v Speaker 1>Nice to have you here with Tim and myself. Um,

0:27:15.640 --> 0:27:17.520
<v Speaker 1>let's talk a little bit about what we're seeing in

0:27:17.600 --> 0:27:20.520
<v Speaker 1>the markets, because it does feel like there's some enthusiasms,

0:27:20.560 --> 0:27:22.720
<v Speaker 1>some risk on once again back in the trade. What

0:27:22.800 --> 0:27:26.240
<v Speaker 1>do you make of it? We think that the market

0:27:26.320 --> 0:27:28.840
<v Speaker 1>basically is setting up for a return to normal. We

0:27:28.920 --> 0:27:32.000
<v Speaker 1>have a nice set up for once for past some

0:27:32.119 --> 0:27:34.080
<v Speaker 1>of these near term bumped in the road, you know,

0:27:34.160 --> 0:27:36.560
<v Speaker 1>the elections behind us. We like we have a divided

0:27:36.640 --> 0:27:39.720
<v Speaker 1>government which is market friendly. We have a vaccine coming,

0:27:40.080 --> 0:27:43.880
<v Speaker 1>potential stimulus, low interest rates, low inflation. All of that's

0:27:44.000 --> 0:27:46.960
<v Speaker 1>very good. We do think will be a focus on

0:27:47.040 --> 0:27:50.960
<v Speaker 1>earnings growth. So was about valuations expanding and driving the

0:27:51.040 --> 0:27:54.879
<v Speaker 1>market is going to be about earnings growth driving the markets. Now.

0:27:55.160 --> 0:27:57.280
<v Speaker 1>In the meantime, we do have concerns. Obviously, we have

0:27:57.359 --> 0:27:59.680
<v Speaker 1>a huge spike in the virus and we're seeing some

0:28:00.040 --> 0:28:01.919
<v Speaker 1>not a shutdown. So the next few months are going

0:28:02.000 --> 0:28:03.960
<v Speaker 1>to be bumpy, but we're setting up for a nice

0:28:04.320 --> 0:28:07.040
<v Speaker 1>period past that time. Sarah, we'll talk about that in

0:28:07.280 --> 0:28:09.080
<v Speaker 1>just a second. But I'm singing your bio right now.

0:28:09.119 --> 0:28:11.600
<v Speaker 1>That you went to cal Poly in San Luis Obispo,

0:28:12.119 --> 0:28:15.320
<v Speaker 1>that's where I'm from, so it's great to talk to

0:28:15.640 --> 0:28:19.320
<v Speaker 1>a fellow former resident of San Luis Obispo. It's a

0:28:19.400 --> 0:28:23.000
<v Speaker 1>fantastic place. Yeah, go Mustang's exactly. I grew up going

0:28:23.040 --> 0:28:25.959
<v Speaker 1>to those soccer and basketball games when I was a kid.

0:28:26.040 --> 0:28:28.199
<v Speaker 1>It was so much fun. What do these next two

0:28:28.240 --> 0:28:30.879
<v Speaker 1>months look like? These bumpy two months? If you know

0:28:31.000 --> 0:28:34.120
<v Speaker 1>we have potentially the president is not going to concede,

0:28:34.160 --> 0:28:36.600
<v Speaker 1>We have no idea if he will go to the inauguration?

0:28:36.720 --> 0:28:40.200
<v Speaker 1>Do markets care about that? I think that's more noise

0:28:40.320 --> 0:28:42.440
<v Speaker 1>because the markets, do you realize that we will get

0:28:42.520 --> 0:28:44.880
<v Speaker 1>through that? The main concern for us over the next

0:28:44.920 --> 0:28:47.840
<v Speaker 1>couple of months, or really how bad is the economic slowdown?

0:28:47.920 --> 0:28:50.520
<v Speaker 1>Because that resets the bar that we recover from. So

0:28:50.640 --> 0:28:54.240
<v Speaker 1>how low does that bargo before we finally have that reopening,

0:28:54.280 --> 0:28:57.080
<v Speaker 1>And that, of course depends on how this virus continues

0:28:57.120 --> 0:28:59.160
<v Speaker 1>to go. Now, there could be some upside if we

0:28:59.240 --> 0:29:01.600
<v Speaker 1>got did me list during the lame duck session, but

0:29:01.880 --> 0:29:03.680
<v Speaker 1>our view right now is that you likely don't get

0:29:03.720 --> 0:29:06.320
<v Speaker 1>that until the first quarter. So definitely a rocky couple

0:29:06.360 --> 0:29:09.920
<v Speaker 1>of months and the market will stay volatile around that

0:29:10.080 --> 0:29:13.440
<v Speaker 1>kind of information coming out. Well, you know, Oh good,

0:29:13.520 --> 0:29:16.000
<v Speaker 1>did you say, Oh San Francisco, how does it feel

0:29:16.040 --> 0:29:20.000
<v Speaker 1>right now with the virus? Definitely quiet, you know, it's

0:29:20.040 --> 0:29:22.960
<v Speaker 1>definitely California is having a lot of issues. San Francisco

0:29:23.520 --> 0:29:25.760
<v Speaker 1>is slowing down. We moved back to the purpose here.

0:29:26.160 --> 0:29:28.520
<v Speaker 1>Things are closing again, so you know, starting you feel

0:29:28.560 --> 0:29:31.360
<v Speaker 1>a lot more like March and April around here. So

0:29:31.720 --> 0:29:34.120
<v Speaker 1>as an investor, yeah, I mean I do feel like

0:29:34.440 --> 0:29:37.320
<v Speaker 1>we understand a vaccine is coming right, We can at

0:29:37.360 --> 0:29:39.280
<v Speaker 1>this point get a little bit of a timeline and

0:29:39.480 --> 0:29:42.800
<v Speaker 1>understand maybe maybe we're back to normal by late spring,

0:29:42.920 --> 0:29:46.520
<v Speaker 1>maybe by summer. Um Having said that, how do you

0:29:46.600 --> 0:29:49.200
<v Speaker 1>play the market at this point? We constantly talk about rotation?

0:29:49.760 --> 0:29:52.400
<v Speaker 1>But again tech was interesting again this you know, on

0:29:52.520 --> 0:29:55.560
<v Speaker 1>this Tuesday, So I'm wondering how you see it, especially

0:29:55.640 --> 0:29:59.280
<v Speaker 1>from a global perspective. I mean, November was an interesting

0:29:59.400 --> 0:30:02.200
<v Speaker 1>month because the markets up about double digits for the month.

0:30:02.280 --> 0:30:04.920
<v Speaker 1>So really we expect the market most likely to take

0:30:04.960 --> 0:30:07.800
<v Speaker 1>a breather as we go through this volatility, and we're

0:30:07.920 --> 0:30:10.840
<v Speaker 1>less about the rotation at this point. Cyclicals have had

0:30:11.200 --> 0:30:14.240
<v Speaker 1>such a nice rally. We know growth stocks are very crowded.

0:30:14.280 --> 0:30:16.560
<v Speaker 1>They gave back a bit, we're most more focused on

0:30:16.680 --> 0:30:20.600
<v Speaker 1>more of a mild risk on environment and focusing on earning.

0:30:20.640 --> 0:30:22.400
<v Speaker 1>So it's not we think it'll be less about is

0:30:22.480 --> 0:30:24.320
<v Speaker 1>a growth as it cyclicals? Which one do you want

0:30:24.360 --> 0:30:26.720
<v Speaker 1>to own? It's about owning those companies in any of

0:30:27.120 --> 0:30:29.760
<v Speaker 1>those areas that can have strong earnings growth, So areas

0:30:29.840 --> 0:30:32.680
<v Speaker 1>like healthcare where the elections behind you as a yield

0:30:32.680 --> 0:30:35.800
<v Speaker 1>curve starts to gradually steep, and are their financials that

0:30:35.920 --> 0:30:38.760
<v Speaker 1>we like? And in growth and technology sectors, which ones

0:30:38.800 --> 0:30:41.959
<v Speaker 1>look more attractive, like Google looks more attractive maybe than

0:30:42.000 --> 0:30:44.360
<v Speaker 1>Amazon because Google has not had the run that Amazon

0:30:44.480 --> 0:30:47.120
<v Speaker 1>had this year, So being more selective within the sectors

0:30:47.200 --> 0:30:49.760
<v Speaker 1>rather than making that larger macro trade or do I

0:30:49.840 --> 0:30:51.240
<v Speaker 1>want to be in growth or do I want to

0:30:51.280 --> 0:30:53.760
<v Speaker 1>be in value? Syroly and I were talking about Airbnb

0:30:53.920 --> 0:30:56.320
<v Speaker 1>just a few minutes ago and just the massive number

0:30:56.400 --> 0:30:57.840
<v Speaker 1>of I p o s that we've seen this year,

0:30:58.160 --> 0:30:59.880
<v Speaker 1>and the way that December is shaping up to just

0:31:00.080 --> 0:31:01.960
<v Speaker 1>be the end of a huge year for I p

0:31:02.080 --> 0:31:05.040
<v Speaker 1>o s. Why are so many companies right now saying

0:31:05.160 --> 0:31:08.160
<v Speaker 1>this is the right time to raise money? I mean,

0:31:08.200 --> 0:31:11.240
<v Speaker 1>I think you know, the markets have been strong you know,

0:31:11.360 --> 0:31:15.560
<v Speaker 1>companies like Airbnb obviously had their own secular tail winds. Um.

0:31:15.640 --> 0:31:18.640
<v Speaker 1>You know, those could accelerate as more people feel comfortable

0:31:18.760 --> 0:31:21.720
<v Speaker 1>thing and houses going forward as they travel and the

0:31:21.800 --> 0:31:24.080
<v Speaker 1>way that we travel changes over time. You know. I

0:31:24.120 --> 0:31:27.640
<v Speaker 1>think access to capital within with low interest rates has

0:31:27.680 --> 0:31:29.640
<v Speaker 1>just been interesting in general in terms of m and

0:31:29.720 --> 0:31:32.160
<v Speaker 1>A UM and death that companies are taking on. So

0:31:32.200 --> 0:31:34.680
<v Speaker 1>I just think there's a lot of capital coming into

0:31:34.760 --> 0:31:38.160
<v Speaker 1>companies all that's very positive, especially with the market returns

0:31:38.160 --> 0:31:41.840
<v Speaker 1>that we've seen here today. So I you know, I

0:31:41.840 --> 0:31:43.720
<v Speaker 1>don't know how much you guys talk about this, Sarah,

0:31:43.800 --> 0:31:46.080
<v Speaker 1>but the disconnect between Main Street and Wall Street, and

0:31:46.280 --> 0:31:48.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, Timura and I were talking about it off

0:31:48.040 --> 0:31:50.640
<v Speaker 1>air that it really just feel like the small business community,

0:31:50.760 --> 0:31:53.560
<v Speaker 1>the midsize business community has been left behind. And I

0:31:53.640 --> 0:31:56.960
<v Speaker 1>know a lot of that isn't publicly held, UM, but

0:31:57.040 --> 0:31:59.000
<v Speaker 1>we talked about it being the backbone of the economy.

0:31:59.400 --> 0:32:01.400
<v Speaker 1>How many dis suestions do you guys have a new vene?

0:32:01.400 --> 0:32:04.760
<v Speaker 1>We're seeing this disconnect between people who feel okay if

0:32:04.800 --> 0:32:07.960
<v Speaker 1>they're in the markets or other asset classes versus those

0:32:08.040 --> 0:32:11.040
<v Speaker 1>who are not but are really important to certainly our

0:32:11.120 --> 0:32:14.520
<v Speaker 1>society and our economy overall, and what that means potentially

0:32:14.800 --> 0:32:19.520
<v Speaker 1>going forward. I would say that's a bigger discussion almost

0:32:19.640 --> 0:32:22.040
<v Speaker 1>on main street, so I hear more about that from

0:32:22.400 --> 0:32:26.760
<v Speaker 1>individuals who are investors and clients who are who are concerned. Internally,

0:32:26.800 --> 0:32:29.080
<v Speaker 1>our view is been that this recession was an event

0:32:29.200 --> 0:32:31.400
<v Speaker 1>driven and if you look at history, they tend to

0:32:31.440 --> 0:32:34.160
<v Speaker 1>be deep and short lived and have these pretty fast rebounds,

0:32:34.440 --> 0:32:37.280
<v Speaker 1>which is what we saw because it's based around one event,

0:32:37.320 --> 0:32:40.040
<v Speaker 1>which was a COVID nineteen. Once we start to see

0:32:40.040 --> 0:32:42.280
<v Speaker 1>a path out of that, the market tends to rebound

0:32:42.400 --> 0:32:45.160
<v Speaker 1>quite quickly. I think in the small business space, we're

0:32:45.160 --> 0:32:47.920
<v Speaker 1>actually big fans of small caps as public companies because

0:32:48.200 --> 0:32:50.720
<v Speaker 1>they were pretty recently at about two decade lows in

0:32:50.840 --> 0:32:52.840
<v Speaker 1>terms of valuation, but we think they'll have a lot

0:32:52.880 --> 0:32:55.880
<v Speaker 1>of operating leverage coming out of this cycle. So we

0:32:55.920 --> 0:32:57.800
<v Speaker 1>do like small companies, but we do think that things

0:32:57.840 --> 0:32:59.320
<v Speaker 1>are going to change in terms of which one is

0:32:59.360 --> 0:33:02.160
<v Speaker 1>our success and which ones are the survivors, and even

0:33:02.240 --> 0:33:05.560
<v Speaker 1>new industries that may pop up because of what's happened

0:33:05.640 --> 0:33:08.040
<v Speaker 1>in this pandemic. But it definitely is a concern and

0:33:08.120 --> 0:33:09.920
<v Speaker 1>all that cash that's on the sidelines. A lot of

0:33:10.000 --> 0:33:12.720
<v Speaker 1>people less the market and march out of fear, and

0:33:12.760 --> 0:33:14.600
<v Speaker 1>now they're having trouble trying to figure out how to

0:33:14.640 --> 0:33:16.480
<v Speaker 1>get into the market. And that's why most of these

0:33:16.760 --> 0:33:18.760
<v Speaker 1>down drafts you see people buying on the dips as

0:33:18.760 --> 0:33:21.080
<v Speaker 1>they're trying to get back into equity. Sarah'm eager to

0:33:21.120 --> 0:33:23.240
<v Speaker 1>get your take on Biden's economic team and what the

0:33:23.280 --> 0:33:25.840
<v Speaker 1>market is saying about it. We saw today that he's

0:33:25.920 --> 0:33:29.440
<v Speaker 1>officially nominated near a tandin for OMP Wally Damo for

0:33:29.520 --> 0:33:34.400
<v Speaker 1>Deputy treasure Secretary, and of course for Treasury Secretary Janet Yelling. Um,

0:33:34.600 --> 0:33:38.160
<v Speaker 1>what do investors think? And just kind of about forty seconds. Yeah,

0:33:38.240 --> 0:33:41.040
<v Speaker 1>the investors basically have been pretty positive so far on it.

0:33:41.160 --> 0:33:45.040
<v Speaker 1>That Janet Yelling is fairly market friendly, regulatory friendly, and

0:33:45.120 --> 0:33:47.400
<v Speaker 1>so I think people like this economic team. It's more

0:33:47.480 --> 0:33:49.440
<v Speaker 1>moderated in the middle and that should again and be

0:33:49.520 --> 0:33:52.360
<v Speaker 1>a positive and less noisy for the market. Alright, good stuff,

0:33:52.400 --> 0:33:54.520
<v Speaker 1>Thank you so much, really appreciate it. Sarah Malic, a

0:33:54.640 --> 0:33:56.760
<v Speaker 1>head of Global Equities ever at Navine one point one

0:33:56.800 --> 0:34:02.680
<v Speaker 1>trillion in assets under management, on the phone from San Francisco. Yeah,

0:34:03.440 --> 0:34:06.960
<v Speaker 1>go Mustangs, Go Mustangs. It'd be nice to be in California,

0:34:07.000 --> 0:34:08.719
<v Speaker 1>and it would be do you go back there much

0:34:09.040 --> 0:34:10.759
<v Speaker 1>I used to? I mean, this will be the first

0:34:10.800 --> 0:34:12.839
<v Speaker 1>Christmas that we don't go back in a long time.

0:34:13.880 --> 0:34:15.799
<v Speaker 1>Will you get back there? Will be in this summer.

0:34:15.960 --> 0:34:18.480
<v Speaker 1>Thanks so much for listening to Bloomberg Business Week. Download

0:34:18.520 --> 0:34:21.680
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0:34:21.840 --> 0:34:23.879
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0:34:23.920 --> 0:34:26.600
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0:34:26.640 --> 0:34:29.640
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0:34:29.719 --> 0:34:29.959
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