1 00:00:01,000 --> 00:00:03,160 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,200 --> 00:00:05,600 Speaker 1: your bets. It is me, Joey Paijo pi'sa being with me, 3 00:00:05,640 --> 00:00:08,680 Speaker 1: of course, is Andrew Erickson. It's Friday, it's week three, 4 00:00:08,760 --> 00:00:11,160 Speaker 1: so it's time to talk some props. Who better to 5 00:00:11,200 --> 00:00:15,320 Speaker 1: talk props with than the prophet himself, mister big pod energy. 6 00:00:15,480 --> 00:00:18,320 Speaker 1: Andrew and I are gonna go through our five favorite 7 00:00:18,320 --> 00:00:21,560 Speaker 1: prop bets of the week for the NFL. Week three 8 00:00:21,640 --> 00:00:23,920 Speaker 1: is already upon us. Thursday night was a good night. 9 00:00:23,960 --> 00:00:26,360 Speaker 1: Hopefully you joined us on the live stream yesterday because 10 00:00:26,400 --> 00:00:29,480 Speaker 1: Bogwin and I nailed it. I even almost. Andrew was 11 00:00:29,560 --> 00:00:33,720 Speaker 1: so close to the real score. I said thirty one thirteen, 12 00:00:34,680 --> 00:00:38,720 Speaker 1: thirty to twelve, so close, Andrew, so close, but they 13 00:00:38,800 --> 00:00:41,280 Speaker 1: covered as we thought that they would yesterday. So again, 14 00:00:41,360 --> 00:00:44,080 Speaker 1: join us every Monday every Thursday, five pm Eastern live 15 00:00:44,120 --> 00:00:46,080 Speaker 1: here on the channel. Subscribe click the bell to lit 16 00:00:46,120 --> 00:00:48,159 Speaker 1: goos ding so you could join us for getting all 17 00:00:48,159 --> 00:00:50,640 Speaker 1: of your bets in for these standalone games and Andrew 18 00:00:50,680 --> 00:00:53,840 Speaker 1: rickson today. On top of our prop bets we're gonna do, 19 00:00:53,880 --> 00:00:56,200 Speaker 1: we're also gonna do some anytime touchdown scores, which you 20 00:00:56,240 --> 00:00:58,720 Speaker 1: and I absolutely love, So I hope you brought some 21 00:00:58,760 --> 00:00:59,960 Speaker 1: good ones for the people today. 22 00:01:00,800 --> 00:01:02,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I'm looking forward to that. 23 00:01:02,040 --> 00:01:05,000 Speaker 3: I think that that's actually one of the markets that 24 00:01:05,080 --> 00:01:07,080 Speaker 3: I've had the most fun with so far this year, 25 00:01:07,120 --> 00:01:10,000 Speaker 3: just from a betting perspective, you know, as someone that 26 00:01:10,040 --> 00:01:13,160 Speaker 3: comes from a fantasy background, like you're always looking at, okay, 27 00:01:13,200 --> 00:01:15,920 Speaker 3: who's getting red zone uses, like who's getting snaps, who's 28 00:01:15,959 --> 00:01:18,560 Speaker 3: getting targets end zone targets, targets inside the ten yard line? 29 00:01:18,560 --> 00:01:21,039 Speaker 3: And that translates. That was the reason we were on 30 00:01:21,200 --> 00:01:23,959 Speaker 3: Jake Ferguson last week because the guy led the NFL 31 00:01:24,000 --> 00:01:25,840 Speaker 3: in red zone targets and what do you know, he 32 00:01:25,920 --> 00:01:26,679 Speaker 3: scored a touchdown. 33 00:01:26,720 --> 00:01:27,880 Speaker 2: It just happened to be the first one. 34 00:01:28,040 --> 00:01:30,000 Speaker 3: So that was a big hit for us last week 35 00:01:30,000 --> 00:01:31,600 Speaker 3: because I know some of my other props did not 36 00:01:31,720 --> 00:01:34,280 Speaker 3: do as well. But hopefully that's steady the bankroll because 37 00:01:34,319 --> 00:01:35,920 Speaker 3: that was a longer shot prop. 38 00:01:36,440 --> 00:01:39,120 Speaker 1: Yes, and some good ones here, and there's some potential 39 00:01:39,120 --> 00:01:41,760 Speaker 1: blowout games too, which could make things a little bit dicey, 40 00:01:41,800 --> 00:01:43,720 Speaker 1: but also a few over games I think we're both 41 00:01:43,760 --> 00:01:45,759 Speaker 1: looking at as well. It's funny, I didn't even look 42 00:01:45,760 --> 00:01:49,200 Speaker 1: at what the Ferguson anytime touchdown prop was this week. 43 00:01:49,200 --> 00:01:51,760 Speaker 1: I don't know if you did, but it's plus two 44 00:01:51,840 --> 00:01:53,360 Speaker 1: fifty over at fandels. 45 00:01:53,000 --> 00:01:54,640 Speaker 3: Right, it's probably still a good bet. Like it's still 46 00:01:54,680 --> 00:01:56,000 Speaker 3: probably a good bet to just keep me. 47 00:01:56,600 --> 00:01:58,680 Speaker 1: In red zone targets in the tight end position with 48 00:01:58,760 --> 00:02:02,440 Speaker 1: eight just saying Ferguson, I did TikTok about it this week. 49 00:02:02,480 --> 00:02:03,760 Speaker 1: I don't know if you know that, Eric Soon, I'm 50 00:02:03,760 --> 00:02:05,960 Speaker 1: famous on TikTok. Now, how does that make you feel? 51 00:02:06,840 --> 00:02:07,320 Speaker 2: Jealous? 52 00:02:07,600 --> 00:02:11,160 Speaker 1: Jealous, intimidated. I'm a TikTok influencer in my forties. That's 53 00:02:11,200 --> 00:02:13,239 Speaker 1: just what happens here. But again, we're gonna kick things 54 00:02:13,240 --> 00:02:15,160 Speaker 1: off here before we do, just a reminder, if you're 55 00:02:15,160 --> 00:02:16,840 Speaker 1: watching the show, and I know you are because you're 56 00:02:16,880 --> 00:02:20,440 Speaker 1: hearing me say these words, drop a comment below. Subscribe 57 00:02:20,480 --> 00:02:22,600 Speaker 1: to the Betting Pros channel because when you do, you 58 00:02:22,680 --> 00:02:26,840 Speaker 1: could win a James Cook Buffalo Bills autograph jersey signed 59 00:02:26,880 --> 00:02:29,760 Speaker 1: by James Cook himself. The area have it. It's a 60 00:02:29,760 --> 00:02:32,120 Speaker 1: beautiful thing. So go ahead and get that jersey again. 61 00:02:32,200 --> 00:02:35,120 Speaker 1: Comment subscribe, click the bell so we can notify you 62 00:02:35,200 --> 00:02:37,040 Speaker 1: if you're the big winner. And that's it. That's all 63 00:02:37,040 --> 00:02:38,839 Speaker 1: you gotta do. So Ericson'll want you to kick things 64 00:02:38,840 --> 00:02:42,280 Speaker 1: off for Week three for us, let's talk props. What's 65 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:44,520 Speaker 1: first on the list for you to start betting on? 66 00:02:45,240 --> 00:02:47,079 Speaker 3: Yep so, my favorite one this week is gonna be 67 00:02:47,240 --> 00:02:49,880 Speaker 3: Jalen Warren over two and a half reception. You get 68 00:02:49,880 --> 00:02:52,959 Speaker 3: this at plus money over at bet MGM. So running 69 00:02:52,960 --> 00:02:54,760 Speaker 3: back for the Pittsburgh Steelers. So he has two and 70 00:02:54,760 --> 00:02:58,000 Speaker 3: a half catches four straight games. He's including four and 71 00:02:58,040 --> 00:03:00,560 Speaker 3: a half per game over his last two this seas so. 72 00:03:00,680 --> 00:03:03,320 Speaker 3: Jalen Warren is the technically the number two running back 73 00:03:03,320 --> 00:03:06,680 Speaker 3: on the Pittsburgh Steelers, but he's the preferred receiving back 74 00:03:06,760 --> 00:03:09,359 Speaker 3: over Najie Harris, and I think that two and a 75 00:03:09,360 --> 00:03:12,880 Speaker 3: half reception is just way too low. They're facing the 76 00:03:12,960 --> 00:03:15,560 Speaker 3: Raiders this week. The Raiders leave the NFL and completion 77 00:03:15,639 --> 00:03:18,840 Speaker 3: percentage allowed at eighty two percent. Because they play this 78 00:03:18,919 --> 00:03:21,760 Speaker 3: cover two shell, they always have their safeties back, and 79 00:03:21,800 --> 00:03:24,120 Speaker 3: what does that mean? The tight ends and running backs 80 00:03:24,160 --> 00:03:26,400 Speaker 3: just run wild underneath. If you look at just the 81 00:03:26,400 --> 00:03:28,440 Speaker 3: teams that have faced the Raiders so far this year, 82 00:03:28,639 --> 00:03:31,120 Speaker 3: whether it's the running backs and Titans, it's all overs. 83 00:03:31,520 --> 00:03:33,280 Speaker 3: In week when it was Denver, all their running backs 84 00:03:33,320 --> 00:03:36,400 Speaker 3: caught a bunch of passes last week, James Cook super 85 00:03:36,400 --> 00:03:39,160 Speaker 3: involved in the passing game, over over over, so Jalen 86 00:03:39,200 --> 00:03:40,960 Speaker 3: Warren at two and a half receptions where he's been 87 00:03:41,000 --> 00:03:43,560 Speaker 3: over this in four straight games dating back to last 88 00:03:43,600 --> 00:03:47,080 Speaker 3: year at plus money. Joe, Come on, man, this is 89 00:03:47,640 --> 00:03:49,240 Speaker 3: my stone cold lock of the week. Jalen won over 90 00:03:49,240 --> 00:03:50,200 Speaker 3: two and a half receptions. 91 00:03:50,360 --> 00:03:53,440 Speaker 1: It's one of my favorite ones. Actually this morning, when 92 00:03:53,440 --> 00:03:55,440 Speaker 1: I was looking for my favorite prop bets of the 93 00:03:55,440 --> 00:03:57,920 Speaker 1: week before investing, I saw this on the prop bet 94 00:03:58,000 --> 00:04:00,080 Speaker 1: cheat sheet, which, if you don't know what that is, 95 00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:02,480 Speaker 1: still what are you doing with your life? I'm questioning 96 00:04:02,480 --> 00:04:05,200 Speaker 1: your life decisions. But over on Betting Pros, either on 97 00:04:05,240 --> 00:04:07,200 Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot com or on the app, you can go 98 00:04:07,240 --> 00:04:09,080 Speaker 1: to the prop betch Sheet's gonna show you automatically the 99 00:04:09,080 --> 00:04:11,840 Speaker 1: best prop bets of the week versus the fantasy projections, 100 00:04:12,080 --> 00:04:13,840 Speaker 1: and then the best place to bet them. And I 101 00:04:13,880 --> 00:04:15,560 Speaker 1: saw Jalen Warren. I think it was like the second 102 00:04:15,640 --> 00:04:17,000 Speaker 1: or third one I saw it. I was like, oh, 103 00:04:17,040 --> 00:04:19,640 Speaker 1: well that's great, let's do that one. And then Andrew 104 00:04:19,640 --> 00:04:21,400 Speaker 1: had it in the sheet already, so I was I 105 00:04:21,480 --> 00:04:24,000 Speaker 1: was slow to the sheet today. What are you gonna do? 106 00:04:24,120 --> 00:04:26,400 Speaker 1: Things happen? But I've got one for you. Andrew Erickson, 107 00:04:26,400 --> 00:04:28,200 Speaker 1: I know he only had four catches last week, but 108 00:04:28,560 --> 00:04:30,200 Speaker 1: I'm ready for the four and a half and the 109 00:04:30,240 --> 00:04:33,200 Speaker 1: over on Za Flowers, he had nine receptions and ten 110 00:04:33,240 --> 00:04:36,000 Speaker 1: targets in that first outing. I think this is one 111 00:04:36,040 --> 00:04:40,000 Speaker 1: where the more time this personnel has with the Todd 112 00:04:40,040 --> 00:04:43,520 Speaker 1: munkin offense, I do believe, the better they're going to get. 113 00:04:43,600 --> 00:04:45,960 Speaker 1: And I know Mark Andrews is back, but also Odell 114 00:04:46,000 --> 00:04:48,600 Speaker 1: Beckham obviously the health there is a problem. So Zy 115 00:04:48,680 --> 00:04:51,160 Speaker 1: Flowers I think as a real good opportunity. And I 116 00:04:51,200 --> 00:04:52,800 Speaker 1: don't know if you guys realize this, but you're getting 117 00:04:52,920 --> 00:04:55,960 Speaker 1: plus money, big time plus money on this plus one 118 00:04:56,120 --> 00:04:58,480 Speaker 1: thirty over at bet three sixty five. And this is 119 00:04:58,520 --> 00:05:00,240 Speaker 1: why you use the Betting Pros app. This is why 120 00:05:00,240 --> 00:05:02,039 Speaker 1: you make sure you sink your sports books so you 121 00:05:02,040 --> 00:05:05,120 Speaker 1: can find these incredible values out there. Because right now 122 00:05:05,360 --> 00:05:07,040 Speaker 1: I was looking before on Fandle, which is where I 123 00:05:07,120 --> 00:05:08,640 Speaker 1: do a lot of my betting, and it wasn't there. 124 00:05:09,000 --> 00:05:11,120 Speaker 1: So I went right to of course Betting Pros and 125 00:05:11,120 --> 00:05:13,400 Speaker 1: I found it out there. Ze Flowers. Oh look at 126 00:05:13,400 --> 00:05:16,320 Speaker 1: that number. It's a beautiful thing. So give me Zay Flowers. 127 00:05:16,800 --> 00:05:18,960 Speaker 1: I think he's gonna get pepper with targets yet again, 128 00:05:19,000 --> 00:05:21,679 Speaker 1: I think he's their best wide receiver by a country mile. 129 00:05:21,920 --> 00:05:24,240 Speaker 1: I've been saying that for three months though, and now 130 00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:27,960 Speaker 1: everybody's starting to finally realize it. But Vegas hasn't quite 131 00:05:27,960 --> 00:05:29,960 Speaker 1: caught on yet. So give me Zay Flowers with the 132 00:05:30,000 --> 00:05:31,960 Speaker 1: four and a half on the over. Again, that's at 133 00:05:31,960 --> 00:05:34,800 Speaker 1: plus one thirty a bet three sixty five. Andrew Rickson, 134 00:05:34,839 --> 00:05:35,920 Speaker 1: what do you have next for the people. 135 00:05:36,600 --> 00:05:38,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, so we'll just stay on the Zay Flowers train 136 00:05:38,440 --> 00:05:40,800 Speaker 3: because I also like Zay Flowers overs, except I like 137 00:05:40,880 --> 00:05:43,000 Speaker 3: him with the receiving yards over forty eight and a 138 00:05:43,040 --> 00:05:45,480 Speaker 3: half receiving yards so he's already hit this and both 139 00:05:45,480 --> 00:05:47,520 Speaker 3: of his games played this year. So even when Mark 140 00:05:47,560 --> 00:05:50,400 Speaker 3: Andrews came back last week, we saw less targets, he 141 00:05:50,480 --> 00:05:52,240 Speaker 3: was still super productive because when he gets the ball 142 00:05:52,240 --> 00:05:54,080 Speaker 3: in his hand, he's making plates. 143 00:05:54,279 --> 00:05:55,920 Speaker 2: So he may to have me need a ton of. 144 00:05:55,880 --> 00:05:58,840 Speaker 3: Targets potentially to go over this receiving yards prop at 145 00:05:58,839 --> 00:06:02,760 Speaker 3: forty eight and a half. Look through two games, Flowers 146 00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:05,160 Speaker 3: ranks fifth in the NFL with thirty one percent target chair. 147 00:06:05,279 --> 00:06:07,480 Speaker 3: He's running around on ninety percent of the dropbacks. He's 148 00:06:07,520 --> 00:06:10,120 Speaker 3: clearly the wide receiver one on the Baltimore Ravens. And 149 00:06:10,200 --> 00:06:12,080 Speaker 3: the matchup this week, we're gonna see some Flowers on 150 00:06:12,120 --> 00:06:15,400 Speaker 3: Flowers Crime this week. Joe Dallas Flowers for the Colts. 151 00:06:15,800 --> 00:06:18,039 Speaker 3: I'm sorry, man, like it's gonna be it's gonna be 152 00:06:18,120 --> 00:06:20,520 Speaker 3: ugly for him. The Colts have allowed fourth most receiving 153 00:06:20,560 --> 00:06:24,760 Speaker 3: yards and receptions to wide receivers this season. So Jay Flowers, 154 00:06:24,800 --> 00:06:26,800 Speaker 3: even if he ends up, if he does not hit 155 00:06:26,839 --> 00:06:28,800 Speaker 3: on that receptions prop, I think he's still going to 156 00:06:28,839 --> 00:06:30,760 Speaker 3: go over the receiving yards because he's so explosive with 157 00:06:30,800 --> 00:06:32,800 Speaker 3: the ball in his hands, and they're looking for ways 158 00:06:32,839 --> 00:06:35,359 Speaker 3: to get him. The ball designed looks so and he 159 00:06:35,360 --> 00:06:37,240 Speaker 3: can pick up a lot of yards with his abilities. 160 00:06:37,279 --> 00:06:39,400 Speaker 1: So it's not just the screens, I guess, not just 161 00:06:39,440 --> 00:06:41,239 Speaker 1: the bubble screens you saw last week. What he's capable 162 00:06:41,240 --> 00:06:43,120 Speaker 1: of doing. That that big catch he had that is 163 00:06:43,560 --> 00:06:46,960 Speaker 1: quintessential Jay Flowers at Boston College, Like he used to 164 00:06:46,960 --> 00:06:49,120 Speaker 1: make those plays all of the time. He can go 165 00:06:49,160 --> 00:06:51,600 Speaker 1: downfield and get it. I know Derek and I have 166 00:06:51,640 --> 00:06:53,159 Speaker 1: been talking about him a lot the first two weeks 167 00:06:53,160 --> 00:06:55,440 Speaker 1: of the season on the DFS show, which, by the way, 168 00:06:55,480 --> 00:06:57,840 Speaker 1: you can also find here on our podcast feed. It's 169 00:06:57,880 --> 00:07:01,000 Speaker 1: on the YouTube channels, just on the VP feed for 170 00:07:01,040 --> 00:07:04,680 Speaker 1: the podcast on audio only. But again, he's underpriced and 171 00:07:04,760 --> 00:07:07,440 Speaker 1: I'm rostering him everywhere again because of everything Andrew and 172 00:07:07,480 --> 00:07:09,720 Speaker 1: I are talking about. This is how you make investments 173 00:07:09,760 --> 00:07:11,040 Speaker 1: in the week you see it. If you like it 174 00:07:11,080 --> 00:07:12,800 Speaker 1: in DFS, you should like it in the wagering market, 175 00:07:12,800 --> 00:07:15,160 Speaker 1: you like it in the fantasy market. They all intertwine 176 00:07:15,200 --> 00:07:17,200 Speaker 1: as what we're trying to do here for you, all right, 177 00:07:17,240 --> 00:07:19,200 Speaker 1: So enough to say flowers love at least for now. 178 00:07:19,440 --> 00:07:21,559 Speaker 1: I'm sure we'll circle back next week. In the week after, 179 00:07:21,800 --> 00:07:24,280 Speaker 1: let's do another one. And I know my boy Debro 180 00:07:24,400 --> 00:07:26,880 Speaker 1: loves this one too. Keenan Allen, I like him for 181 00:07:26,920 --> 00:07:30,440 Speaker 1: two here. This game we've talked about on Monday, we've 182 00:07:30,480 --> 00:07:32,840 Speaker 1: talked about yesterday when we had Joe Lisi on the program. 183 00:07:32,840 --> 00:07:35,640 Speaker 1: If you missed that, go back and listen. But I 184 00:07:35,680 --> 00:07:40,080 Speaker 1: don't see how this Charger Minnesota game is underwhelming in 185 00:07:40,160 --> 00:07:43,800 Speaker 1: terms of points. Therefore, since neither of these defenses seem 186 00:07:43,840 --> 00:07:45,720 Speaker 1: to be able to stop anybody from scoring it will 187 00:07:46,080 --> 00:07:49,480 Speaker 1: Let's go take advantage of the man scheme that Brian 188 00:07:49,520 --> 00:07:51,840 Speaker 1: Flores continues to run out there, and let's take advantage 189 00:07:51,840 --> 00:07:54,560 Speaker 1: of Keenan Allen six and a half receptions and seventy 190 00:07:54,600 --> 00:07:56,320 Speaker 1: one and a half receiving yards. I want to put 191 00:07:56,320 --> 00:07:58,760 Speaker 1: these two things together. You can get them at minus 192 00:07:58,760 --> 00:08:00,960 Speaker 1: one oh four. If you them together, you can obviously 193 00:08:00,960 --> 00:08:03,600 Speaker 1: get a plus number on that. So let's do that together. 194 00:08:03,720 --> 00:08:06,440 Speaker 1: Caesars has this right now again, the minus one oh 195 00:08:06,520 --> 00:08:08,360 Speaker 1: four for each of them. So I would be looking 196 00:08:09,000 --> 00:08:11,760 Speaker 1: at this Keenan Allen prop here because I do believe 197 00:08:11,760 --> 00:08:13,320 Speaker 1: it's a Keenan Allen day. Now, you could say Mike 198 00:08:13,360 --> 00:08:15,240 Speaker 1: Williams is the guy who can really go up and 199 00:08:15,280 --> 00:08:17,800 Speaker 1: beat man to man, and he can. But Mike Williams 200 00:08:17,800 --> 00:08:19,760 Speaker 1: is always a tough investment because you just never know 201 00:08:20,000 --> 00:08:22,080 Speaker 1: if he's going to finish a game. And that is 202 00:08:22,120 --> 00:08:24,280 Speaker 1: something that and you know, we laugh about it like 203 00:08:24,360 --> 00:08:28,280 Speaker 1: it's facetious, but it's not. It's not, because I mean 204 00:08:28,440 --> 00:08:32,360 Speaker 1: the clip is terrifying, which he doesn't finish games. So 205 00:08:32,880 --> 00:08:35,720 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go and make the investment in Keenan Allen instead. Again, 206 00:08:35,760 --> 00:08:37,880 Speaker 1: I don't think this total is a problem. I don't 207 00:08:37,920 --> 00:08:41,360 Speaker 1: think either of these two props together here for Keenan 208 00:08:41,440 --> 00:08:43,600 Speaker 1: Allen are problem. So I would just pair them together 209 00:08:43,920 --> 00:08:45,880 Speaker 1: get the plus money on them, and that's a very 210 00:08:45,920 --> 00:08:47,960 Speaker 1: simple way to do it. Ericson, you're in with me, 211 00:08:48,000 --> 00:08:50,680 Speaker 1: with Keenan Allen and this big giant total that is 212 00:08:50,679 --> 00:08:53,320 Speaker 1: still gonna go into the sixties. I think yeah. 213 00:08:53,360 --> 00:08:55,280 Speaker 3: I mean I think that just betting the overs and 214 00:08:55,320 --> 00:08:57,520 Speaker 3: the Chargers, like that's the only way I feel confident, 215 00:08:57,600 --> 00:08:59,880 Speaker 3: like approaching the Chargers like, am I gonna bet them 216 00:08:59,880 --> 00:09:01,480 Speaker 3: to in the game, Like I'm gonna bet them to 217 00:09:01,520 --> 00:09:03,360 Speaker 3: cover it now? Like that has been just a painful 218 00:09:03,440 --> 00:09:06,640 Speaker 3: experience betting on the charges over the last two weeks, 219 00:09:06,800 --> 00:09:08,680 Speaker 3: And the only time I can see it being profitable 220 00:09:08,800 --> 00:09:11,480 Speaker 3: is just betting on the offense and just betting on yards, 221 00:09:11,520 --> 00:09:13,520 Speaker 3: like that's where they can deliver, and that's where they're 222 00:09:13,559 --> 00:09:15,640 Speaker 3: gonna come through, I think here again, especially against the 223 00:09:15,720 --> 00:09:16,760 Speaker 3: Vikings horrible defense. 224 00:09:17,080 --> 00:09:19,440 Speaker 1: All right, let's continue on here, and just remember when 225 00:09:19,480 --> 00:09:22,079 Speaker 1: you're making your bets, make sure that you also join 226 00:09:22,120 --> 00:09:24,080 Speaker 1: the NFL contest so you can reap all the benefits 227 00:09:24,080 --> 00:09:25,600 Speaker 1: of that, because all you gotta do is make picks. 228 00:09:25,800 --> 00:09:28,360 Speaker 1: That's it. Make picks, five picks a week, one hundred 229 00:09:28,400 --> 00:09:30,480 Speaker 1: for the whole season, and just like that, you're eligible. 230 00:09:30,520 --> 00:09:33,680 Speaker 1: So go to Bettingpros dot com slash NFL contest or 231 00:09:33,840 --> 00:09:35,800 Speaker 1: if you have the app and I know you do, 232 00:09:35,840 --> 00:09:38,000 Speaker 1: just drop down in the community tab and go click 233 00:09:38,080 --> 00:09:41,080 Speaker 1: NFL Contests and join and start betting against everybody and 234 00:09:41,120 --> 00:09:43,160 Speaker 1: have some fun. Because the grand prize winner is gonna 235 00:09:43,160 --> 00:09:46,320 Speaker 1: get a JSN jersey. We're giving away BPCE wag fpece Wag. 236 00:09:46,480 --> 00:09:50,520 Speaker 1: We're also giving away some upgrades for premium services of 237 00:09:50,559 --> 00:09:52,520 Speaker 1: Fantasy Pros and Betting Pros, So make sure you get 238 00:09:52,520 --> 00:09:55,319 Speaker 1: in on that as soon as possible and reap all 239 00:09:55,320 --> 00:09:57,040 Speaker 1: the benefits of what we're trying to do here. We 240 00:09:57,120 --> 00:09:59,560 Speaker 1: love the community of betting Pros. We want to continue 241 00:09:59,559 --> 00:10:00,920 Speaker 1: to grow that and we want you to be a 242 00:10:00,920 --> 00:10:03,480 Speaker 1: part of it. So come make your picks, have some fun, 243 00:10:03,960 --> 00:10:06,720 Speaker 1: cost you nothing, and it's all upside baby. That's where 244 00:10:06,920 --> 00:10:09,640 Speaker 1: I mean. Come on, you're a betting person, bet on 245 00:10:09,720 --> 00:10:12,600 Speaker 1: this because it's all upside. You're wrong with your picks, 246 00:10:12,600 --> 00:10:15,400 Speaker 1: so what you're right with your picks free stuff ericson 247 00:10:16,000 --> 00:10:17,320 Speaker 1: help the people win some free stuff. 248 00:10:18,320 --> 00:10:21,160 Speaker 3: Yes, all right, so we're gonna go here with I'm 249 00:10:21,160 --> 00:10:24,120 Speaker 3: gonna stick with the Ravens. So Lamar Jackson over seven 250 00:10:24,120 --> 00:10:26,480 Speaker 3: and a half rushing attempts, So this is minus one 251 00:10:26,559 --> 00:10:29,559 Speaker 3: twenty five over at bet MGM. So the seven and 252 00:10:29,559 --> 00:10:32,560 Speaker 3: a half rushing attempts prop is this is just a 253 00:10:32,559 --> 00:10:34,640 Speaker 3: crazy low number. So he's hit the over in ten 254 00:10:34,679 --> 00:10:37,120 Speaker 3: of his last fourteen games. So far this year, he's 255 00:10:37,120 --> 00:10:40,600 Speaker 3: averaging nine rushing nine rushing attempts per game. He has 256 00:10:40,640 --> 00:10:44,240 Speaker 3: twelve scrambles and six design runs, but five of those 257 00:10:44,240 --> 00:10:47,080 Speaker 3: design runs came last week when we're starting to see 258 00:10:47,120 --> 00:10:50,600 Speaker 3: this offense kind of come to form, so he's already 259 00:10:50,640 --> 00:10:54,600 Speaker 3: scrambling a ton. The offensive play caller, Todd Munkett is 260 00:10:54,640 --> 00:10:58,400 Speaker 3: calling design runs, more design runs for Lamar Jackson because oh, well, 261 00:10:58,440 --> 00:11:00,280 Speaker 3: you don't have any healthy running backs, Like yeah, like, 262 00:11:00,400 --> 00:11:02,199 Speaker 3: let's use Lamar Jackson more instead of just giving it 263 00:11:02,240 --> 00:11:04,640 Speaker 3: to Gus Edwards Justice Hill. We know he's also dealing 264 00:11:04,640 --> 00:11:07,920 Speaker 3: with an injury. So I just think it's more rushing 265 00:11:07,960 --> 00:11:10,280 Speaker 3: attempts for Lamar Jackson. I think he's gonna see plenty 266 00:11:10,280 --> 00:11:11,920 Speaker 3: of usage as a rusher. Again, this is a number 267 00:11:11,960 --> 00:11:15,080 Speaker 3: he's consistently hit week in and week out. So over 268 00:11:15,120 --> 00:11:16,800 Speaker 3: seven a half rushing attemps. I feel like this is 269 00:11:16,800 --> 00:11:19,160 Speaker 3: just like you're betting on other Ravens here and there. 270 00:11:19,160 --> 00:11:21,280 Speaker 3: You're betting Ravens to cover the spread your betton on 271 00:11:21,360 --> 00:11:23,679 Speaker 3: Ze Flowers. Just add that Lamar Jackson over seven a 272 00:11:23,679 --> 00:11:26,000 Speaker 3: half rushing attempts to a single game parlay. 273 00:11:26,040 --> 00:11:27,160 Speaker 2: I like it in a lot of props. 274 00:11:27,440 --> 00:11:30,000 Speaker 1: Love it, love it. Let's continue on here with another 275 00:11:30,000 --> 00:11:32,439 Speaker 1: guy got my eye on in DFS. I think it's 276 00:11:32,480 --> 00:11:35,760 Speaker 1: time to take the training wheels off of Javonte Williams 277 00:11:35,840 --> 00:11:39,600 Speaker 1: this week. Why because you have to at this point, 278 00:11:39,760 --> 00:11:42,079 Speaker 1: like the Denver Broncos are in must win mode here, 279 00:11:42,080 --> 00:11:43,640 Speaker 1: they're oh and two. They do not want to go 280 00:11:43,679 --> 00:11:47,400 Speaker 1: oh to three, They've blown leads. Look, Javonte Williams looks good. 281 00:11:47,600 --> 00:11:50,120 Speaker 1: It's time to go past this number. I know last 282 00:11:50,120 --> 00:11:52,040 Speaker 1: week it was at twelve. I know he's on this 283 00:11:52,080 --> 00:11:54,280 Speaker 1: pitch count. I think that pitch count disappears this week. 284 00:11:54,600 --> 00:11:56,400 Speaker 1: Twelve and a half is the number you're getting plus 285 00:11:56,440 --> 00:11:59,120 Speaker 1: money over on DK on this one. So for me, 286 00:11:59,280 --> 00:12:01,360 Speaker 1: I think this is time I'm to hey, it's week three. 287 00:12:01,360 --> 00:12:03,640 Speaker 1: We waited a couple of weeks. We're going slow. We 288 00:12:03,720 --> 00:12:05,880 Speaker 1: need him. We've got to figure out ways to get 289 00:12:05,880 --> 00:12:07,559 Speaker 1: this guy in the football. And I think he's gonna 290 00:12:07,559 --> 00:12:09,680 Speaker 1: go over twelve and a half attempts. I'm not saying 291 00:12:09,679 --> 00:12:12,000 Speaker 1: it's gonna be twenty, but I think you're definitely gonna 292 00:12:12,000 --> 00:12:14,000 Speaker 1: be in that fourteen to fifteen range. I think that's 293 00:12:14,440 --> 00:12:17,280 Speaker 1: just a necessity right now for the Denver Broncos to 294 00:12:17,320 --> 00:12:19,840 Speaker 1: get back on track. This is not a good situation 295 00:12:19,960 --> 00:12:24,040 Speaker 1: for them where they're going oh in two. I don't 296 00:12:24,080 --> 00:12:26,120 Speaker 1: necessarily think they're going to not come out of this 297 00:12:26,160 --> 00:12:28,880 Speaker 1: game oh and three. But at the same time, the 298 00:12:28,960 --> 00:12:30,800 Speaker 1: way that defense has given up leads here in the 299 00:12:30,880 --> 00:12:33,280 Speaker 1: last two weeks. You got to run the football. You've 300 00:12:33,320 --> 00:12:35,840 Speaker 1: got to take some clock out of this equation and 301 00:12:35,880 --> 00:12:38,240 Speaker 1: do your best here. So for me, especially with the 302 00:12:38,240 --> 00:12:41,120 Speaker 1: plus money on Javonte Williams, I'm all in. I know 303 00:12:41,200 --> 00:12:42,439 Speaker 1: Derek and I are going to talk about on the 304 00:12:42,480 --> 00:12:45,240 Speaker 1: DFS show we're recording right after this again, that's gonna 305 00:12:45,240 --> 00:12:48,520 Speaker 1: be on the podcast feed. Javante's in play this week. 306 00:12:48,559 --> 00:12:50,560 Speaker 1: He's well priced, but also this twelve and a half. 307 00:12:50,600 --> 00:12:53,600 Speaker 1: I am in on plus money too. Let's go ericson. 308 00:12:53,840 --> 00:12:55,839 Speaker 1: Let's go back to you with another prop here for 309 00:12:56,040 --> 00:12:57,440 Speaker 1: week three in the NFL. What do you have? 310 00:12:58,200 --> 00:13:00,800 Speaker 3: Well, because I'm the lame one on this show, I'm 311 00:13:00,840 --> 00:13:03,560 Speaker 3: always going to come with with the unders that seeming 312 00:13:03,600 --> 00:13:06,920 Speaker 3: we never seemed to hit because I'm I'm the pestimistic. 313 00:13:06,960 --> 00:13:09,280 Speaker 1: London under with you. Last week, I was holding your hand. 314 00:13:09,640 --> 00:13:11,240 Speaker 1: I thought we'd get it two weeks in a row, 315 00:13:11,960 --> 00:13:12,520 Speaker 1: but we did so. 316 00:13:12,559 --> 00:13:15,280 Speaker 3: So the issue is I've been I've been taking unders 317 00:13:15,280 --> 00:13:18,400 Speaker 3: on too much talent, right, you know, too much talent. 318 00:13:18,520 --> 00:13:19,080 Speaker 2: Not this time. 319 00:13:19,160 --> 00:13:23,120 Speaker 3: No Zeka Elliott under seven and a half receiving yards 320 00:13:23,160 --> 00:13:25,440 Speaker 3: minus won twenty over at at MGM number one. 321 00:13:25,559 --> 00:13:27,640 Speaker 2: Zeke's dust, So just going to get that out there. 322 00:13:27,679 --> 00:13:29,280 Speaker 2: He's dust. He's not talented anymore. 323 00:13:29,559 --> 00:13:31,959 Speaker 3: And last week he ran around on nineteen percent of 324 00:13:32,000 --> 00:13:34,319 Speaker 3: the dropbacks, was zero targets, so this was very different 325 00:13:34,320 --> 00:13:37,560 Speaker 3: from week one where he had seven targets for like 326 00:13:37,800 --> 00:13:39,840 Speaker 3: ten yards. And I was just pulling my hair out 327 00:13:39,880 --> 00:13:42,760 Speaker 3: watching this game as they continue to feed Ezekiel Elliott 328 00:13:42,760 --> 00:13:43,640 Speaker 3: in the passing game. 329 00:13:43,520 --> 00:13:44,760 Speaker 2: For zero production. 330 00:13:45,360 --> 00:13:47,480 Speaker 3: So they fixed the problem in Week two, they just 331 00:13:47,520 --> 00:13:49,400 Speaker 3: totally went away from him in the receiving game. But 332 00:13:49,480 --> 00:13:51,520 Speaker 3: I don't think the books have necessarily caught up to that, 333 00:13:51,559 --> 00:13:53,439 Speaker 3: where like, oh, well, he had this one game where 334 00:13:53,440 --> 00:13:55,719 Speaker 3: he had a lot of targets, had a lot of receptions, Like, 335 00:13:55,760 --> 00:13:58,280 Speaker 3: we can't just make it like half a reception of it, 336 00:13:58,320 --> 00:14:01,480 Speaker 3: putting his line. So right now, the receiving line is 337 00:14:01,480 --> 00:14:03,920 Speaker 3: seven and a half, his reception line is actually one 338 00:14:03,920 --> 00:14:04,360 Speaker 3: and a half. 339 00:14:04,440 --> 00:14:05,800 Speaker 2: So I like the under on both of them. 340 00:14:05,960 --> 00:14:08,520 Speaker 3: But I prefer the receiving yards because even if Zeke 341 00:14:08,559 --> 00:14:11,880 Speaker 3: gets a screen pass, like, I have zero confidence he's 342 00:14:11,880 --> 00:14:14,240 Speaker 3: gonna beat me in the open field, like he's gonna 343 00:14:14,240 --> 00:14:16,719 Speaker 3: pick up enough yardage to actually get over seven and 344 00:14:16,760 --> 00:14:18,840 Speaker 3: a half receiving yards. He could catch four passes and 345 00:14:18,880 --> 00:14:20,720 Speaker 3: I still think he'd fall under seven a half receiving 346 00:14:20,760 --> 00:14:23,560 Speaker 3: yards because on this year, Elliott is averaging fewer than 347 00:14:23,600 --> 00:14:26,960 Speaker 3: three yards per catch this season. So I am just 348 00:14:27,000 --> 00:14:29,000 Speaker 3: pounding the under on the seven and half receiving yards. 349 00:14:29,000 --> 00:14:29,280 Speaker 2: Again. 350 00:14:29,520 --> 00:14:32,840 Speaker 3: Remember the Patriots leave the NFL in passing attempts through 351 00:14:32,840 --> 00:14:36,800 Speaker 3: two weeks. That's because they've been spotting their opponents two 352 00:14:36,840 --> 00:14:39,960 Speaker 3: touchdowns and have had to go into full on comeback 353 00:14:40,000 --> 00:14:42,320 Speaker 3: mode in the second quarter. That's not gonna be the 354 00:14:42,360 --> 00:14:44,080 Speaker 3: case against the New York Jets. Least, I don't think 355 00:14:44,080 --> 00:14:45,720 Speaker 3: that's gonna be the case. I think they're going to 356 00:14:45,800 --> 00:14:47,800 Speaker 3: actually establish what they want to do on offense, I 357 00:14:47,920 --> 00:14:49,200 Speaker 3: think is a little bit more balanced. They want to 358 00:14:49,240 --> 00:14:51,640 Speaker 3: run the football, so Zeke. Yeah, sure, he'll probably get 359 00:14:51,640 --> 00:14:54,280 Speaker 3: some rushing attempts here or there, but there's no way 360 00:14:54,320 --> 00:14:56,240 Speaker 3: I see him going over the seven and half receiving yards. 361 00:14:56,240 --> 00:14:58,200 Speaker 3: So I'm taking the under there on a Zekiel in 362 00:14:58,200 --> 00:15:00,440 Speaker 3: a game that I'm going to watch, but I'm probably 363 00:15:00,440 --> 00:15:01,480 Speaker 3: not gonna be happy watching it. 364 00:15:01,680 --> 00:15:04,040 Speaker 1: Oh I'm gonna watch it. I think any Patriot fan 365 00:15:04,120 --> 00:15:07,680 Speaker 1: wants to watch them beat the Jets, and if they loot, look, 366 00:15:07,680 --> 00:15:09,600 Speaker 1: I'm gonna be in a miserable mood at four o'clock 367 00:15:09,640 --> 00:15:11,760 Speaker 1: if they lose. I'm just just putting that out there. 368 00:15:12,080 --> 00:15:14,240 Speaker 1: But Zach Wilson's the gift that keeps on kimming. So 369 00:15:14,280 --> 00:15:16,400 Speaker 1: I'm just gonna hope that he's a giver. He's gonna 370 00:15:16,400 --> 00:15:18,280 Speaker 1: get given the football over to the Patriots. By the way, 371 00:15:18,360 --> 00:15:20,600 Speaker 1: Patriots down another corner and off. He saw that today, 372 00:15:20,960 --> 00:15:24,640 Speaker 1: so he's gonna be out us for the season. It 373 00:15:24,680 --> 00:15:26,600 Speaker 1: was a Jones. I gotta like, I just saw. 374 00:15:26,800 --> 00:15:29,200 Speaker 2: A lot of Jones, a lot of Jones. 375 00:15:29,240 --> 00:15:31,080 Speaker 1: I don't know which ones it was, mister Jones. It 376 00:15:31,080 --> 00:15:31,800 Speaker 1: was one of the Jones. 377 00:15:31,840 --> 00:15:34,200 Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure Marcus Jones. 378 00:15:34,320 --> 00:15:36,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, he gos Marcus Jones. Yes, he got Marcus Jones. 379 00:15:36,840 --> 00:15:38,720 Speaker 1: So he's gonna be probably they say only ir but 380 00:15:38,760 --> 00:15:41,520 Speaker 1: probably out for the year is what we're hearing now. 381 00:15:41,560 --> 00:15:43,240 Speaker 1: So there you go. It's a Trebuon Digs out for 382 00:15:43,280 --> 00:15:46,680 Speaker 1: the year. I mean, just everyone's just practicing too hard, 383 00:15:46,720 --> 00:15:48,760 Speaker 1: That's what I'm saying. All right, let's get to that 384 00:15:48,920 --> 00:15:51,000 Speaker 1: same game. I want to go on the other side. 385 00:15:51,040 --> 00:15:52,880 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with the jet prop. So if I'm miserable, 386 00:15:53,160 --> 00:15:55,200 Speaker 1: at least I could win some money. Here with Breeze Hall, 387 00:15:55,600 --> 00:16:00,320 Speaker 1: Breese Hall was chirping. Brees Hall is saying, hey, give 388 00:16:00,320 --> 00:16:03,760 Speaker 1: me the football. This is the only chance. I'm interpreting 389 00:16:03,800 --> 00:16:06,280 Speaker 1: Breese Hall for you. This is the only chance we 390 00:16:06,320 --> 00:16:08,320 Speaker 1: have to win this football game is if you give 391 00:16:08,360 --> 00:16:10,440 Speaker 1: me the football. Just give you the football. Give me 392 00:16:10,440 --> 00:16:11,960 Speaker 1: the football, Give me the football. You know what I think, 393 00:16:11,960 --> 00:16:13,920 Speaker 1: Breese Hall is right. I think Breeze Hall is one 394 00:16:13,960 --> 00:16:15,680 Speaker 1: hundred percent right, So I'm going to go with you. 395 00:16:15,720 --> 00:16:19,400 Speaker 1: Breeze Hall forty five and a half the over you're 396 00:16:19,400 --> 00:16:22,520 Speaker 1: getting minus one fifteen over at bet MGM. Also the 397 00:16:22,600 --> 00:16:26,040 Speaker 1: eight and a half receptions of receiving yards excuse me 398 00:16:26,040 --> 00:16:28,920 Speaker 1: for him too, you can get so that's a very 399 00:16:28,960 --> 00:16:31,920 Speaker 1: small number, eight and a half receiving yards. So let's 400 00:16:31,960 --> 00:16:34,240 Speaker 1: do this. Let's throw the ball to Breeze Hall. Let's 401 00:16:34,360 --> 00:16:36,680 Speaker 1: run the ball with Breeze Hall minus one ten you're 402 00:16:36,680 --> 00:16:38,880 Speaker 1: getting on the eight and a half receiving yards number 403 00:16:39,120 --> 00:16:41,040 Speaker 1: also at bet MGM. So this one just makes sense 404 00:16:41,040 --> 00:16:42,640 Speaker 1: to me. So kind of like the Keenan Allen one, 405 00:16:43,320 --> 00:16:45,120 Speaker 1: I'm going to invest in a player, so I bet 406 00:16:45,120 --> 00:16:46,840 Speaker 1: them both separately and then put them together and get 407 00:16:46,880 --> 00:16:48,680 Speaker 1: a plus number and put a smaller unit on that. 408 00:16:48,760 --> 00:16:50,400 Speaker 1: And I think that's just the way to go with these. 409 00:16:50,440 --> 00:16:52,920 Speaker 1: When you just are in on a player being a 410 00:16:52,920 --> 00:16:55,320 Speaker 1: big part of a game, you might as well go 411 00:16:55,400 --> 00:16:57,600 Speaker 1: all in on that. And I think Breecee Hall, Keenan Allen, 412 00:16:57,640 --> 00:16:59,000 Speaker 1: those are the two guys you really want to go 413 00:16:59,160 --> 00:17:02,800 Speaker 1: all in on this week under those circumstances. So ericson 414 00:17:02,760 --> 00:17:05,280 Speaker 1: and I are both into this Jets Patriots game in 415 00:17:05,359 --> 00:17:08,520 Speaker 1: terms of investment into it. In terms of excitement, that's 416 00:17:08,560 --> 00:17:12,840 Speaker 1: another question that might fall short. It's thirteen to ten. 417 00:17:13,920 --> 00:17:16,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, that's that's kind of what I expecting. The under 418 00:17:16,600 --> 00:17:19,200 Speaker 3: I'm expecting. I mean, the weather's all supposed to be 419 00:17:19,280 --> 00:17:22,520 Speaker 3: kind of like iffy with some weird cyclone thing coming 420 00:17:22,840 --> 00:17:24,320 Speaker 3: on the East coast, so that should. 421 00:17:24,040 --> 00:17:27,000 Speaker 1: Be rained all week. It's gonna start raining tonight on 422 00:17:27,040 --> 00:17:29,480 Speaker 1: Friday night in Jersey, and it's gonna rain all the 423 00:17:29,480 --> 00:17:32,480 Speaker 1: way through till Monday afternoon from what I see, So 424 00:17:32,520 --> 00:17:35,200 Speaker 1: that's gonna be fantastic. That means I get to stay 425 00:17:35,200 --> 00:17:36,920 Speaker 1: home and watch college football and I have to coach 426 00:17:37,200 --> 00:17:39,320 Speaker 1: flag football on Saturday if we get rained out, So 427 00:17:39,600 --> 00:17:42,520 Speaker 1: that's a plus. That's a plus for me. But anyway, 428 00:17:42,600 --> 00:17:45,280 Speaker 1: let's talk about some more plus things here. Might not 429 00:17:45,320 --> 00:17:47,080 Speaker 1: be plus money, but you have a good feeling about 430 00:17:47,080 --> 00:17:48,640 Speaker 1: your last one here. What do you have for Week 431 00:17:48,680 --> 00:17:49,359 Speaker 1: three in the NFL? 432 00:17:49,440 --> 00:17:52,439 Speaker 3: Go Andrew Yep, going back to the unders. Terry McLaurin 433 00:17:52,560 --> 00:17:55,440 Speaker 3: under four and a half reception so minus one thirty 434 00:17:55,480 --> 00:17:59,280 Speaker 3: six overt fan duel. So Terry McLaurin basically this year, 435 00:17:59,440 --> 00:18:02,080 Speaker 3: has total six catches for fifty five yards through two 436 00:18:02,119 --> 00:18:05,359 Speaker 3: games when you remove the one thirty yard touchdown he 437 00:18:05,400 --> 00:18:08,120 Speaker 3: caught last week, Like that's the one big play he's 438 00:18:08,119 --> 00:18:10,919 Speaker 3: had all year long. Outside of that six catches for 439 00:18:10,920 --> 00:18:13,959 Speaker 3: fifty five yards, he has a fourteen percent target rate 440 00:18:13,960 --> 00:18:17,080 Speaker 3: per out run sixteen percent target share, So I just 441 00:18:17,119 --> 00:18:20,280 Speaker 3: don't see him vacuuming up a ton of targets in 442 00:18:20,359 --> 00:18:22,280 Speaker 3: this Commander's offense. It's really kind of spread the ball 443 00:18:22,280 --> 00:18:24,440 Speaker 3: out with Sam Howell as the quarterback. The Bills have 444 00:18:24,480 --> 00:18:26,640 Speaker 3: a good secondary six twise yards out to the catch, 445 00:18:26,640 --> 00:18:28,560 Speaker 3: allout fewer than two hundred passing yards. In both of 446 00:18:28,600 --> 00:18:31,840 Speaker 3: their games this year, the Commanders had one play of 447 00:18:31,840 --> 00:18:34,040 Speaker 3: twenty plus yards against the Cardinals in Week one. The 448 00:18:34,040 --> 00:18:36,760 Speaker 3: Cardinals defense in a dome, they had one play of 449 00:18:36,760 --> 00:18:38,920 Speaker 3: twenty plus yards and a lot of Sam Howell's big 450 00:18:38,920 --> 00:18:41,760 Speaker 3: plays last week were like screens that guys just took 451 00:18:41,800 --> 00:18:44,199 Speaker 3: like thirty yards to the house. So I'm betting on 452 00:18:44,240 --> 00:18:47,240 Speaker 3: that not happening again against the Buffalo defense. Again mentioned 453 00:18:47,240 --> 00:18:49,720 Speaker 3: the weather that's going to affect this game being played 454 00:18:49,800 --> 00:18:53,920 Speaker 3: in Maryland and Washington, so I think that McLaurin under, 455 00:18:53,960 --> 00:18:55,960 Speaker 3: I'm just kind of betting against the commander's passing game. 456 00:18:56,000 --> 00:18:58,159 Speaker 3: And I think that because the weather has been in 457 00:18:58,240 --> 00:19:00,800 Speaker 3: the minds of these teams, this is gonna be a 458 00:19:00,880 --> 00:19:02,679 Speaker 3: Brian Robinson game where they're like, we just want to 459 00:19:02,800 --> 00:19:05,000 Speaker 3: load up Brian Robinson with as many carriers as we can. 460 00:19:05,400 --> 00:19:06,680 Speaker 2: We don't want to be a shootout. 461 00:19:06,880 --> 00:19:08,960 Speaker 3: We don't want Sam Howe to have to outduel Josh 462 00:19:09,000 --> 00:19:11,520 Speaker 3: Allen because that's what mistakes happened, and that's when turnovers happened. 463 00:19:11,720 --> 00:19:13,679 Speaker 3: So I'm just kind of betting against the commander's passing 464 00:19:13,680 --> 00:19:17,040 Speaker 3: game and that starts McLaurin under four and a half receptions, all. 465 00:19:17,000 --> 00:19:19,920 Speaker 1: Right, last one for me is Patrick Mahomes. But it 466 00:19:20,000 --> 00:19:21,720 Speaker 1: might not be the way you think. I know everyone 467 00:19:21,720 --> 00:19:23,840 Speaker 1: thinks are gonna blow the doors off the Chicago Bears, 468 00:19:23,880 --> 00:19:26,760 Speaker 1: and they should, but things haven't exactly gone to plan. 469 00:19:26,840 --> 00:19:28,600 Speaker 1: I think for the Kansasity Chiefs so far. Maybe you 470 00:19:28,600 --> 00:19:30,840 Speaker 1: can blame Matt Eneggy, maybe you can blame the Drops. 471 00:19:30,880 --> 00:19:33,240 Speaker 1: I don't know. I could just blame Cadarius Tony, I 472 00:19:33,240 --> 00:19:35,080 Speaker 1: guess at the end of the day. But instead I'm 473 00:19:35,080 --> 00:19:37,080 Speaker 1: gonna look for a different sort of prop because everything 474 00:19:37,119 --> 00:19:39,840 Speaker 1: everybody's on the passing stuff for Mahomes, and they should be, 475 00:19:40,720 --> 00:19:42,959 Speaker 1: But how about the rushing side for Patrick Mahomes. Can 476 00:19:43,040 --> 00:19:44,320 Speaker 1: we take a little look at the game log so 477 00:19:44,359 --> 00:19:48,200 Speaker 1: far this year? Andrew Rickson Week one, forty five rushing 478 00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:51,120 Speaker 1: yards against the Detroit Lions. We two thirty rushing yards 479 00:19:51,119 --> 00:19:54,560 Speaker 1: against the Jacksonville Jaguars this week against a terrible Chicago 480 00:19:54,600 --> 00:19:56,960 Speaker 1: Bears defense. I don't see why he can't crush the 481 00:19:57,040 --> 00:20:00,119 Speaker 1: number he's got Andrew. That number is seventeen and and 482 00:20:00,200 --> 00:20:03,080 Speaker 1: half minus one ten over at bet three sixty five. 483 00:20:04,080 --> 00:20:05,879 Speaker 1: This feels like a gimme to me, Like, if you 484 00:20:05,960 --> 00:20:07,600 Speaker 1: like the Chiefs to win this game with the twelve 485 00:20:07,640 --> 00:20:09,920 Speaker 1: and a half or whatever number you're getting it at, 486 00:20:10,359 --> 00:20:12,040 Speaker 1: you go ahead, you put the Chiefs, you put this 487 00:20:12,080 --> 00:20:14,040 Speaker 1: Mahomes together, and I think those are two locks where 488 00:20:14,040 --> 00:20:16,520 Speaker 1: you get it into plus money and away we go. 489 00:20:17,000 --> 00:20:19,440 Speaker 1: Let's go. I think this is one of the easiest 490 00:20:19,440 --> 00:20:21,840 Speaker 1: ones out there, and I just want it. I'm gonna 491 00:20:21,840 --> 00:20:24,040 Speaker 1: go ahead, I'm gonna take this one for Mahomes and 492 00:20:24,080 --> 00:20:26,520 Speaker 1: I'm gonna stay away from I think what's going to 493 00:20:26,520 --> 00:20:30,280 Speaker 1: be a very heavily bet Mahomes passing market as it 494 00:20:30,320 --> 00:20:32,840 Speaker 1: should be because they gotta get on track. But I 495 00:20:32,880 --> 00:20:34,880 Speaker 1: don't think it's despite the fact that he's still gonna 496 00:20:34,880 --> 00:20:36,560 Speaker 1: get out there in space and make place. We've seen 497 00:20:36,560 --> 00:20:39,520 Speaker 1: Mahomes get out there, get out from the pocket. He 498 00:20:39,520 --> 00:20:42,120 Speaker 1: could pick this up in two rushes, just getting flush 499 00:20:42,160 --> 00:20:44,480 Speaker 1: from the pocket. So for me, this is a lock, 500 00:20:44,840 --> 00:20:47,720 Speaker 1: my lock of the week. Everyone's looking at the passing props, 501 00:20:47,720 --> 00:20:50,400 Speaker 1: I'm looking at the rushing for Patrick Mahomes. So give 502 00:20:50,480 --> 00:20:53,080 Speaker 1: me the Kansasity Chiefs along with this one, and I 503 00:20:53,080 --> 00:20:55,360 Speaker 1: think you can have a very nice little skinny parlay. 504 00:20:55,520 --> 00:20:57,800 Speaker 1: I like the little skinny parlays. I don't want too 505 00:20:57,840 --> 00:21:00,640 Speaker 1: many calories. That's what I want. All right, It's time 506 00:21:00,680 --> 00:21:03,720 Speaker 1: to have some fun, Andrew. It's time to call some touchdowns, 507 00:21:03,760 --> 00:21:05,160 Speaker 1: as what we love to do here on the show. 508 00:21:05,280 --> 00:21:07,960 Speaker 1: So you may begin, my friend, let's look at it. 509 00:21:08,000 --> 00:21:10,080 Speaker 1: Anytime touchdown call for Week three? 510 00:21:10,160 --> 00:21:13,040 Speaker 2: What do you have going to Monday night football? Los 511 00:21:13,080 --> 00:21:13,879 Speaker 2: Angeles Rams. 512 00:21:13,880 --> 00:21:16,200 Speaker 3: I'm going with Tyler Higbee tight end for the Los 513 00:21:16,240 --> 00:21:18,360 Speaker 3: Angeles Rams. So Tyler Higby has a really good role 514 00:21:18,400 --> 00:21:20,480 Speaker 3: in this offense. Third in the NFL and routes run 515 00:21:20,520 --> 00:21:23,440 Speaker 3: fourth in route participation among tight ends. He's just wanted 516 00:21:23,520 --> 00:21:25,639 Speaker 3: nine tight ends to play at least ninety percent of 517 00:21:25,680 --> 00:21:29,119 Speaker 3: their team's red zone snaps this season. Last year finished 518 00:21:29,119 --> 00:21:31,800 Speaker 3: third in targets inside the ten yard line. So the 519 00:21:31,840 --> 00:21:33,960 Speaker 3: thing that's kind of being overlooked about this Rams offense, 520 00:21:34,000 --> 00:21:35,440 Speaker 3: like they're running a lot of plays, they're throwing a 521 00:21:35,480 --> 00:21:38,240 Speaker 3: lot of yards, they're dialing up a lot of passing attempts. 522 00:21:38,320 --> 00:21:40,719 Speaker 3: They're not throwing passing touchdowns, Like that's the one thing. 523 00:21:40,880 --> 00:21:42,760 Speaker 3: It's all been going to Kien Williams basically, like Kian 524 00:21:42,760 --> 00:21:44,639 Speaker 3: Williams been putting the ball in the end zone. So 525 00:21:45,240 --> 00:21:47,640 Speaker 3: if we see a scenario where we started to see 526 00:21:47,720 --> 00:21:50,639 Speaker 3: some positive passing touchdown regression, we're going to see a RAMS. 527 00:21:50,640 --> 00:21:53,080 Speaker 3: One of these Rams receivers catch touchdown. Pooka still hasn't 528 00:21:53,080 --> 00:21:55,040 Speaker 3: caught a touchdown yet, so maybe it's him that costs 529 00:21:54,920 --> 00:21:58,720 Speaker 3: as a touchdown. But the usage for Higbee specifically in 530 00:21:58,720 --> 00:22:00,960 Speaker 3: the red zones, specifically how the team is leaned on 531 00:22:01,000 --> 00:22:03,200 Speaker 3: him in the past in the red zone, Bengals a 532 00:22:03,240 --> 00:22:04,920 Speaker 3: lot of receiving touchdown to a tight end for two 533 00:22:04,920 --> 00:22:09,159 Speaker 3: straight games, and given how slow the slow start for 534 00:22:09,280 --> 00:22:09,879 Speaker 3: the Bengals. 535 00:22:10,080 --> 00:22:11,879 Speaker 2: I think it's a chance that the Rams strike first. 536 00:22:12,200 --> 00:22:14,399 Speaker 3: So I even like the first touchdown score Monday Night 537 00:22:14,400 --> 00:22:16,600 Speaker 3: Football to be Tyler Higbye, which you can get at 538 00:22:17,000 --> 00:22:20,360 Speaker 3: plus three thousand. Like I like Tyler Higby a lot 539 00:22:20,400 --> 00:22:23,280 Speaker 3: in this particular matchup. Bengals allowing the tenth highest passing 540 00:22:23,359 --> 00:22:25,960 Speaker 3: touchdown rate this season. I think that Stafford's gonna throw 541 00:22:26,080 --> 00:22:27,840 Speaker 3: more than one touchdown in this game, and I think 542 00:22:27,840 --> 00:22:29,919 Speaker 3: the Higby's been his guy in the red zone. So 543 00:22:30,200 --> 00:22:32,800 Speaker 3: for me, anytime you touchdown call, it's gonna be Tyler Higby. 544 00:22:32,840 --> 00:22:35,040 Speaker 3: And I like sprinkling in that first touchdown because I 545 00:22:35,040 --> 00:22:36,800 Speaker 3: think we could see the Rams strike first if there's 546 00:22:36,800 --> 00:22:39,280 Speaker 3: no Joe Burrow or Joe Burrow is limited. 547 00:22:39,600 --> 00:22:41,840 Speaker 1: I'd love to see Pooka finally get a touchdown. I heard, 548 00:22:42,080 --> 00:22:44,199 Speaker 1: by the way, he's having breakfast with Matthew Stafford, and 549 00:22:44,200 --> 00:22:46,440 Speaker 1: that's the way to his heart. The man loves breakfast. 550 00:22:46,520 --> 00:22:48,240 Speaker 1: So Cooper Cup did this Do you think if you 551 00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:50,520 Speaker 1: and I had breakfast with Matthew Stafford we did, maybe 552 00:22:50,560 --> 00:22:53,320 Speaker 1: we could catch the touchdowns nice. 553 00:22:53,400 --> 00:22:54,840 Speaker 2: That would be the idea. I mean, if that's all 554 00:22:54,880 --> 00:22:56,919 Speaker 2: it takes, like it seems like all it takes. You 555 00:22:56,920 --> 00:22:59,359 Speaker 2: know what happens at these breakfasts, like I don't. 556 00:22:59,240 --> 00:23:02,160 Speaker 1: Know, man, some series stuff. Man, there's some pancakes and 557 00:23:02,240 --> 00:23:05,120 Speaker 1: some some some plays union. 558 00:23:05,520 --> 00:23:07,960 Speaker 3: Someone needs to talk to Calvin Johnson about this. I mean, 559 00:23:08,119 --> 00:23:10,680 Speaker 3: did he start they starting only a soon back in Detroit. 560 00:23:10,840 --> 00:23:12,720 Speaker 1: Calvin was more of a brunch guy. I think he's 561 00:23:12,800 --> 00:23:15,040 Speaker 1: more of a punch guy. But look, let me tell you, man, 562 00:23:15,280 --> 00:23:17,720 Speaker 1: Pookas got thirty five targets, twenty five receptions. I can't 563 00:23:17,720 --> 00:23:19,200 Speaker 1: believe he doesn't have a touchdown yet. I mean, I 564 00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:22,320 Speaker 1: emphasize yet, because that kind of volume is just kind 565 00:23:22,320 --> 00:23:25,439 Speaker 1: of crazy. It hasn't happened all right, speaking of volume 566 00:23:25,640 --> 00:23:28,280 Speaker 1: on my end, here, we're gonna go back to that 567 00:23:28,280 --> 00:23:30,920 Speaker 1: that game with Kirk Cousins and Justin Herbert slinging the 568 00:23:30,960 --> 00:23:34,400 Speaker 1: football over the place. I went extra credit here. I'm 569 00:23:34,400 --> 00:23:37,560 Speaker 1: giving you two in the same game. TJ. Hockinson plus 570 00:23:37,600 --> 00:23:41,080 Speaker 1: one seventy anytime touchdown score, it's beautiful. It's nearly two 571 00:23:41,160 --> 00:23:43,520 Speaker 1: to one. I don't know what people were watching here. 572 00:23:43,560 --> 00:23:45,240 Speaker 1: People were telling you that, you know, t J. Hawkinson 573 00:23:45,320 --> 00:23:47,399 Speaker 1: come to this year. Wasn't the number two tight end 574 00:23:47,440 --> 00:23:50,440 Speaker 1: in all fantasy because he was. I know people got 575 00:23:50,480 --> 00:23:53,080 Speaker 1: off that narrative. I did not. I'm on that narrative. 576 00:23:53,080 --> 00:23:54,840 Speaker 1: I'm gonna be on that narrative for the rest of 577 00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:58,240 Speaker 1: the season. Jordan Adison's the other guy too. Eventually you're 578 00:23:58,240 --> 00:24:01,760 Speaker 1: gonna try to double triple cup Justin Jefferson, who, by 579 00:24:01,800 --> 00:24:04,640 Speaker 1: the way, his touchdown number is minus, so don't even 580 00:24:04,640 --> 00:24:06,879 Speaker 1: look at it unless you look at for multiples. But 581 00:24:07,040 --> 00:24:10,520 Speaker 1: Jordan Addison has been that guy who gets free, gets 582 00:24:10,560 --> 00:24:14,040 Speaker 1: loose when they're bracketing Justin Jefferson, and that guy can 583 00:24:14,040 --> 00:24:16,439 Speaker 1: find the end zone. Two. His number is even better 584 00:24:16,760 --> 00:24:19,560 Speaker 1: plus two thirty over on Fandle. So both of these 585 00:24:19,640 --> 00:24:22,879 Speaker 1: numbers on Fandle Addison plus two to thirty, Hockinson plus 586 00:24:22,880 --> 00:24:25,600 Speaker 1: one seventy. Give me those two vikings to score touchdowns 587 00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:28,639 Speaker 1: and what's going to be a game full of touchdowns 588 00:24:28,640 --> 00:24:30,000 Speaker 1: this Sunday. Just just go. 589 00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:33,000 Speaker 2: If you're gonna give two, I gotta give to too. Okay, 590 00:24:33,000 --> 00:24:35,040 Speaker 2: I want to give it out another any times as well, 591 00:24:35,080 --> 00:24:36,719 Speaker 2: or just a two two a second. It's not too 592 00:24:36,760 --> 00:24:37,040 Speaker 2: do out. 593 00:24:37,080 --> 00:24:39,119 Speaker 3: Well, because we've been talking about this game, I've been 594 00:24:39,119 --> 00:24:41,280 Speaker 3: given out a lot of picks for this Chargers Vikings game. 595 00:24:41,280 --> 00:24:45,719 Speaker 3: Here's my pick for anytime touchdown. Let's go Donald Parham Junior. 596 00:24:46,000 --> 00:24:49,640 Speaker 3: Ah got tight end not last week. So Donald Parum 597 00:24:49,680 --> 00:24:53,000 Speaker 3: Junior out snapped Gerald Everett in week two. So you're 598 00:24:53,040 --> 00:24:56,240 Speaker 3: potentially looking at a potential starting tight end who's six 599 00:24:56,280 --> 00:24:59,440 Speaker 3: foot eight that in week one had three targets. 600 00:24:59,520 --> 00:25:00,240 Speaker 2: They were all. 601 00:25:00,080 --> 00:25:02,359 Speaker 3: Inside the seven yard line. He got a touchdown in 602 00:25:02,359 --> 00:25:05,560 Speaker 3: week one. His odds are plus four to twenty five. 603 00:25:06,040 --> 00:25:07,879 Speaker 3: He's the starting tight end for the Chargers and he's 604 00:25:07,880 --> 00:25:10,320 Speaker 3: six foot eight. People, you can't miss him, and neither 605 00:25:10,400 --> 00:25:13,920 Speaker 3: can Justin Herbert in the red zone. So I think 606 00:25:13,920 --> 00:25:16,879 Speaker 3: Donald Parum Junior for me as a long shot, especially 607 00:25:16,880 --> 00:25:19,880 Speaker 3: first touchdown plus three thousand. Again, I love these first 608 00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:22,680 Speaker 3: touchdown props because they hit it right from the get going. 609 00:25:22,720 --> 00:25:24,120 Speaker 2: You're just and you're just on cloud. 610 00:25:24,359 --> 00:25:27,800 Speaker 3: Major week, you major week. So I like Donald parm 611 00:25:27,880 --> 00:25:30,280 Speaker 3: Junior a lot. He's a massive red zone role in 612 00:25:30,320 --> 00:25:33,120 Speaker 3: the Chargers offense. And again, there's going to be touchdowns 613 00:25:33,119 --> 00:25:35,160 Speaker 3: in this game. So who better than the six foot 614 00:25:35,160 --> 00:25:37,760 Speaker 3: eight tight end that's now carving out a larger role 615 00:25:37,800 --> 00:25:38,439 Speaker 3: on his offense. 616 00:25:38,520 --> 00:25:40,840 Speaker 1: I noticed it last week too. I had the same 617 00:25:40,880 --> 00:25:43,040 Speaker 1: observation you did about Partum, But that's a great call 618 00:25:43,080 --> 00:25:46,440 Speaker 1: by you because that's one that's the dart throw. Maybe 619 00:25:46,440 --> 00:25:49,040 Speaker 1: even DFS too, Maybe gotta get roster him, fade all 620 00:25:49,080 --> 00:25:51,480 Speaker 1: the big tight ends for Donald Partum, it's just getting 621 00:25:51,480 --> 00:25:51,840 Speaker 1: that touched. 622 00:25:51,880 --> 00:25:52,800 Speaker 2: The biggest tight end. 623 00:25:53,000 --> 00:25:55,960 Speaker 1: Just give me that touchdown point six foot eight maybe true, 624 00:25:56,040 --> 00:25:57,960 Speaker 1: but from a price standpoint, very cheap. But the good 625 00:25:58,000 --> 00:25:59,720 Speaker 1: thing is you catch a touchdown, you're a tight end 626 00:25:59,720 --> 00:26:01,840 Speaker 1: one week. That's it. That's all you gotta do. All 627 00:26:01,880 --> 00:26:03,520 Speaker 1: you have to do is drop a comment below and 628 00:26:03,560 --> 00:26:06,360 Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel here on YouTube of Betting Pros 629 00:26:06,359 --> 00:26:08,800 Speaker 1: and you can win that James Cook Jersey, download the app, 630 00:26:09,320 --> 00:26:12,280 Speaker 1: use that prop bet cheat sheet, use the prop bet analyzer. 631 00:26:12,359 --> 00:26:15,960 Speaker 1: Make your bets smarter, not harder. That's what we're trying 632 00:26:15,960 --> 00:26:18,400 Speaker 1: to do here. You can follow us to bettingpros dot com, 633 00:26:18,400 --> 00:26:22,440 Speaker 1: slash Joe, slash ericson and that's about it. Man. I 634 00:26:22,440 --> 00:26:26,240 Speaker 1: can't believe this week flew by, So go enjoy Week three. Everybody, 635 00:26:26,240 --> 00:26:29,119 Speaker 1: go place your bets, make some money, have some fun, 636 00:26:29,520 --> 00:26:31,320 Speaker 1: and we'll be back again on Monday to do it again. 637 00:26:31,359 --> 00:26:32,760 Speaker 1: That'll do it for us. But the story of the 638 00:26:32,800 --> 00:26:35,920 Speaker 1: game goes on for Andrew Erickson. I'm Joey P. We'll 639 00:26:35,920 --> 00:26:38,960 Speaker 1: see you next time. Kids. Thanks for listening to the 640 00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:42,159 Speaker 1: Betting Pros podcast. Follow us on x and TikTok at 641 00:26:42,160 --> 00:26:46,240 Speaker 1: Betting Pros and Instagram at betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe 642 00:26:46,240 --> 00:26:49,359 Speaker 1: to our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.