1 00:00:13,720 --> 00:00:16,640 Speaker 1: Hey, everybody, Welcome back to the Betting Pros Podcast. I'm 2 00:00:16,680 --> 00:00:18,720 Speaker 1: your host, Dan Harris. You can find me on Twitter 3 00:00:18,760 --> 00:00:21,320 Speaker 1: at Dan Harris eighty. It is time to talk some 4 00:00:21,360 --> 00:00:24,919 Speaker 1: more NCAA tournament the Sweet sixteen. With me to do 5 00:00:25,000 --> 00:00:27,840 Speaker 1: it is Matt Parott. Find him on Twitter at sports 6 00:00:27,920 --> 00:00:28,560 Speaker 1: Talk Matt. 7 00:00:28,680 --> 00:00:29,000 Speaker 2: Matt. 8 00:00:29,200 --> 00:00:31,240 Speaker 1: We got eight games to go through, none of which 9 00:00:31,280 --> 00:00:33,280 Speaker 1: I had in my bracket. I will talk about it 10 00:00:33,280 --> 00:00:36,199 Speaker 1: from a betting perspective, But how did your How is 11 00:00:36,240 --> 00:00:39,080 Speaker 1: your bracket looking there? You feel that you had Illinois? 12 00:00:39,200 --> 00:00:41,000 Speaker 2: Is that right to do for Theloyd going all the way? 13 00:00:40,960 --> 00:00:43,879 Speaker 3: Yeah, I've lost three of my four, but I have 14 00:00:43,960 --> 00:00:45,680 Speaker 3: Gonzaga going to the final game. 15 00:00:46,040 --> 00:00:48,559 Speaker 2: Yep, so I'm still alive. I guess with that. 16 00:00:49,320 --> 00:00:53,360 Speaker 3: But uh yeah no, not not exactly the final four 17 00:00:53,400 --> 00:00:55,840 Speaker 3: I had predicted, or the Sweet sixteen I've predicted either. 18 00:00:55,880 --> 00:00:58,400 Speaker 3: In terms of what I thought we would be sitting here, 19 00:00:58,440 --> 00:01:01,160 Speaker 3: I thought this is gonna be a very chalky tournament. Yeap, 20 00:01:01,680 --> 00:01:04,000 Speaker 3: not a very chalky tournament. Maybe the Oregon pick the 21 00:01:04,000 --> 00:01:06,000 Speaker 3: Oregon into this organ into the sweet sixteen. It is 22 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:07,800 Speaker 3: probably the best pick I made throughout the attack. 23 00:01:08,440 --> 00:01:12,120 Speaker 1: I legitimately have gun Zaga and Baylor, and now I 24 00:01:12,160 --> 00:01:14,200 Speaker 1: have them meeting in the finals, but that's all I 25 00:01:14,200 --> 00:01:16,959 Speaker 1: have left. It's funny because I got my son into it. 26 00:01:17,000 --> 00:01:19,640 Speaker 1: You know, my son is seven. Anything that's competitive, he 27 00:01:19,640 --> 00:01:21,120 Speaker 1: gets really into it. So this is kind of a 28 00:01:21,120 --> 00:01:23,240 Speaker 1: shock to a system. Thankfully, we also filled out and 29 00:01:23,720 --> 00:01:25,760 Speaker 1: women's bracket and we are crushing on that one, so 30 00:01:25,800 --> 00:01:28,600 Speaker 1: he's very excited there. Yeah, Oh, we're crushing. Absolutely, We're 31 00:01:28,840 --> 00:01:30,920 Speaker 1: we're crushing. But anyway, we're gonna be talking about the 32 00:01:30,959 --> 00:01:34,000 Speaker 1: eight games in the Sweet sixteen. But we have plenty 33 00:01:34,200 --> 00:01:36,559 Speaker 1: of more for you. Number one, go to Betting Pros 34 00:01:36,600 --> 00:01:39,280 Speaker 1: dot com click on the March Madness tab. You will 35 00:01:39,280 --> 00:01:41,880 Speaker 1: see a ton on the games in the Sweet sixteen 36 00:01:41,959 --> 00:01:45,560 Speaker 1: and going forward. Number two YouTube dot com slash betting Pros. 37 00:01:45,560 --> 00:01:48,440 Speaker 1: Matt's gonna be doing two live streams this week and 38 00:01:48,440 --> 00:01:51,480 Speaker 1: one on Saturday, one on Sunday, both at one pm 39 00:01:51,560 --> 00:01:53,600 Speaker 1: Eastern Matt, Is that right ten am your time? 40 00:01:54,000 --> 00:01:57,480 Speaker 3: I believe that's what we said. If that's what I said, Yes, okay, okay, 41 00:01:58,360 --> 00:02:00,400 Speaker 3: that's what we said. Normally we're doing it o'clock. So 42 00:02:00,520 --> 00:02:01,960 Speaker 3: I appreciate the opportunity to sleep in. 43 00:02:02,200 --> 00:02:04,360 Speaker 1: So I think it's just that we're basically get an 44 00:02:04,360 --> 00:02:06,200 Speaker 1: hour before tip off, so that's what you get. But 45 00:02:06,240 --> 00:02:08,360 Speaker 1: either way, go to YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros. 46 00:02:08,400 --> 00:02:10,239 Speaker 1: It is on there. We have an event created, so Matt, 47 00:02:10,280 --> 00:02:11,520 Speaker 1: when you want to know when you're gonna be on, 48 00:02:11,560 --> 00:02:12,960 Speaker 1: you can go ahead and check that right as well. 49 00:02:13,280 --> 00:02:16,360 Speaker 1: That's where that is. And finally, the Daily Juice Podcast. 50 00:02:16,360 --> 00:02:18,280 Speaker 1: So we're gonna be talking obviously about all eight games, 51 00:02:18,320 --> 00:02:21,120 Speaker 1: but I know exactly how Matt feels about two of 52 00:02:21,160 --> 00:02:24,520 Speaker 1: them already because he has already bet them and he 53 00:02:24,800 --> 00:02:26,959 Speaker 1: you know, you were right on fie of them. 54 00:02:27,040 --> 00:02:29,760 Speaker 2: I bet five of them already. Well, not on the Juice, right, 55 00:02:29,880 --> 00:02:30,400 Speaker 2: I just haven't. 56 00:02:30,440 --> 00:02:33,959 Speaker 3: I just haven't like I'm doing break this, like I 57 00:02:34,120 --> 00:02:35,519 Speaker 3: might give them all out at once. You know, you 58 00:02:35,600 --> 00:02:37,760 Speaker 3: got to keep the masses coming back for more. 59 00:02:38,160 --> 00:02:40,239 Speaker 1: I got. I got every day. By the way, the 60 00:02:40,320 --> 00:02:43,320 Speaker 1: Daily Juice Podcast, we were joking about it, Matt has 61 00:02:43,560 --> 00:02:47,240 Speaker 1: bet because that's what the podcast is, Matt places, that's 62 00:02:47,280 --> 00:02:48,799 Speaker 1: every day since when did it start? 63 00:02:48,840 --> 00:02:49,919 Speaker 2: Matt? Was it July seventh? 64 00:02:50,600 --> 00:02:53,840 Speaker 1: July seventh, five straight days at the time of taping, 65 00:02:54,160 --> 00:02:57,480 Speaker 1: And how many of those days did you say to 66 00:02:57,520 --> 00:02:59,800 Speaker 1: your wife. You know, out of however many two hundred 67 00:02:59,800 --> 00:03:01,760 Speaker 1: six whatever is, how many days did you actually say 68 00:03:01,760 --> 00:03:03,359 Speaker 1: to your wife, man, I don't I don't think I 69 00:03:03,400 --> 00:03:04,520 Speaker 1: want to bet today. How many of it? 70 00:03:04,560 --> 00:03:06,560 Speaker 2: Out of those two of them, there's been two days. 71 00:03:06,639 --> 00:03:08,480 Speaker 3: Yeah, there's been two of the two hundred and sixty 72 00:03:08,520 --> 00:03:10,919 Speaker 3: five where I literally was it was like eight thirty 73 00:03:10,919 --> 00:03:14,320 Speaker 3: at night and I hadn't either. One time I was 74 00:03:14,400 --> 00:03:16,800 Speaker 3: really hot and I wanted to just enjoy it, and 75 00:03:16,840 --> 00:03:18,920 Speaker 3: one time I was really cold and I just didn't 76 00:03:18,960 --> 00:03:19,480 Speaker 3: want to fire. 77 00:03:19,520 --> 00:03:22,240 Speaker 2: Again. I was just like, man, I don't want to 78 00:03:22,280 --> 00:03:22,959 Speaker 2: do this today. 79 00:03:23,040 --> 00:03:25,600 Speaker 3: Like, there's only been two times where I've actually had to, like, 80 00:03:25,720 --> 00:03:27,399 Speaker 3: you know, it's kind of like eating your vegetables. 81 00:03:27,400 --> 00:03:29,880 Speaker 2: But yeah, the other two sixty three have been a ball. 82 00:03:30,280 --> 00:03:32,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's pretty impressive. I'm right now you are on 83 00:03:32,320 --> 00:03:34,480 Speaker 1: a hot streak. You're twelve and three as the time 84 00:03:34,560 --> 00:03:36,560 Speaker 1: that we tape this, so again, go out check it 85 00:03:36,560 --> 00:03:39,520 Speaker 1: out Daily Juice podcast anywhere you you know, listen to 86 00:03:39,560 --> 00:03:41,120 Speaker 1: podcasts or on betting pros dot com. 87 00:03:41,160 --> 00:03:43,160 Speaker 3: Side Yeah, and by the way, to the guy who 88 00:03:43,200 --> 00:03:45,680 Speaker 3: listened to the last time we did this, who said 89 00:03:45,760 --> 00:03:48,480 Speaker 3: he was stupider from listening to the two of us talk, 90 00:03:48,880 --> 00:03:52,000 Speaker 3: so like, like, I want to appreciate your listening, but 91 00:03:52,000 --> 00:03:55,440 Speaker 3: but two, you do realize that everyone's bracket is destroyed, right? 92 00:03:55,520 --> 00:03:58,200 Speaker 3: I mean, I don't think I'm alone by saying that 93 00:03:58,280 --> 00:04:00,840 Speaker 3: I did not have many teams here in the Sweet 94 00:04:00,880 --> 00:04:02,440 Speaker 3: sixteen making it here. 95 00:04:02,520 --> 00:04:03,800 Speaker 2: I don't think I'm alone in that. 96 00:04:03,920 --> 00:04:06,040 Speaker 3: So yeah, go ahead and crap on us if you 97 00:04:06,120 --> 00:04:09,000 Speaker 3: want for not having these you know, all these sixteen teams, right, 98 00:04:09,080 --> 00:04:11,920 Speaker 3: but betting over brackets, buddy, betting over brackets. 99 00:04:12,040 --> 00:04:13,920 Speaker 1: Don't worry about it. Let's get into it. Let's start 100 00:04:13,920 --> 00:04:16,600 Speaker 1: with Loyola Chicago now laying six and a half to 101 00:04:16,760 --> 00:04:19,880 Speaker 1: Oregon State. The total is one twenty five and half. 102 00:04:19,920 --> 00:04:21,400 Speaker 1: So break this game down, man, how do you see 103 00:04:21,400 --> 00:04:21,920 Speaker 1: it happening? 104 00:04:21,960 --> 00:04:24,240 Speaker 3: Man? This is a hard game. I can really make 105 00:04:24,240 --> 00:04:28,120 Speaker 3: a strong case for either side. And I'm gonna I'll 106 00:04:28,160 --> 00:04:29,480 Speaker 3: tell you what I did with this game, along with 107 00:04:29,520 --> 00:04:30,960 Speaker 3: the Baylor game here in a second, how I'm going 108 00:04:31,000 --> 00:04:34,080 Speaker 3: to be playing it. But I think the defensive effort 109 00:04:34,120 --> 00:04:36,440 Speaker 3: for Layola Chicago is so impressive. And don't call them 110 00:04:36,440 --> 00:04:39,000 Speaker 3: a Cinderella because they're not. You've got a big who 111 00:04:39,080 --> 00:04:41,400 Speaker 3: is one of the best. Just he doesn't look like 112 00:04:41,839 --> 00:04:44,760 Speaker 3: a great player, but he is, and they run everything 113 00:04:44,800 --> 00:04:47,359 Speaker 3: through him and Krutwig is a difficult matchup for so 114 00:04:47,400 --> 00:04:49,840 Speaker 3: many teams. And look, Porter Mooser is a guy I've 115 00:04:49,880 --> 00:04:52,240 Speaker 3: known for a really long time. He's a phenomenal coach. 116 00:04:52,279 --> 00:04:54,960 Speaker 3: He's a better person. He's a great, great guy, and 117 00:04:55,040 --> 00:04:57,440 Speaker 3: I couldn't be happier for somebody like that to have 118 00:04:57,520 --> 00:04:59,640 Speaker 3: all the success. He's a Chicago guy through and through, 119 00:04:59,720 --> 00:05:03,000 Speaker 3: cup fan, loves Chicago, doesn't want to go anywhere, wants 120 00:05:02,960 --> 00:05:04,719 Speaker 3: to stick around, and I think he's going to be 121 00:05:04,720 --> 00:05:07,440 Speaker 3: in his second Final four. I think they win this game. 122 00:05:07,720 --> 00:05:10,520 Speaker 3: I just don't know about the margin. It seems heavy. 123 00:05:10,560 --> 00:05:12,440 Speaker 3: I mean seven points seems six and a half. Seven 124 00:05:12,480 --> 00:05:15,480 Speaker 3: points seems heavy to me. So I think Loyola wins. 125 00:05:16,160 --> 00:05:18,200 Speaker 3: But if I had to bet, I take the points. 126 00:05:18,520 --> 00:05:20,800 Speaker 1: You don't like the I mean it's minus three thirty 127 00:05:20,839 --> 00:05:22,520 Speaker 1: five on the money line. That's way too steep for you. 128 00:05:22,680 --> 00:05:23,400 Speaker 1: Right for the list? 129 00:05:23,880 --> 00:05:26,160 Speaker 2: You can part, you can parlay it and get it down. 130 00:05:26,920 --> 00:05:27,839 Speaker 1: Is that what you would do? Is that? 131 00:05:27,880 --> 00:05:29,960 Speaker 2: How you? That's what I've done. I'll tell you. 132 00:05:30,320 --> 00:05:31,680 Speaker 3: I'll tell you what I've done here in a second 133 00:05:31,720 --> 00:05:33,680 Speaker 3: once we get to the second game. But that that 134 00:05:33,800 --> 00:05:36,200 Speaker 3: is that's how I'm I'm playing this on the money 135 00:05:36,240 --> 00:05:38,320 Speaker 3: line as a part of a two team parlay just 136 00:05:38,400 --> 00:05:42,160 Speaker 3: because I think they win, but I don't love the 137 00:05:42,200 --> 00:05:45,240 Speaker 3: total is so low, yeah, that it could be like 138 00:05:45,279 --> 00:05:47,800 Speaker 3: a fifty five to fifty win for Layola. Like the 139 00:05:47,920 --> 00:05:50,599 Speaker 3: under one twenty five, the under still has value with 140 00:05:50,640 --> 00:05:51,920 Speaker 3: the way with how slow. 141 00:05:52,440 --> 00:05:55,039 Speaker 2: I mean, this game could have sixty five possessions. 142 00:05:54,520 --> 00:05:57,039 Speaker 3: Like He's just gonna be an absolute walk the ball 143 00:05:57,160 --> 00:05:59,960 Speaker 3: up the court every single trip, and neither team will 144 00:06:00,160 --> 00:06:02,360 Speaker 3: wants to score. So when you see a total that 145 00:06:02,480 --> 00:06:04,960 Speaker 3: low at one twenty five and then one team is 146 00:06:05,000 --> 00:06:07,320 Speaker 3: favored by seven or six and a half, it just 147 00:06:07,400 --> 00:06:10,240 Speaker 3: doesn't really correlate there. I mean it it would pan 148 00:06:10,320 --> 00:06:12,640 Speaker 3: out to be a closer game, even the Leola might 149 00:06:12,680 --> 00:06:13,400 Speaker 3: dominate it. 150 00:06:13,760 --> 00:06:17,479 Speaker 1: Right and interesting, I mean you mentioned seven. I checked 151 00:06:17,800 --> 00:06:19,680 Speaker 1: right before, you know, a half hour before we went 152 00:06:19,760 --> 00:06:21,920 Speaker 1: taping the consensus line, which is what I use when 153 00:06:21,920 --> 00:06:24,080 Speaker 1: I give the lines, the betting pros consensus line. We 154 00:06:24,120 --> 00:06:26,520 Speaker 1: take lines from sports books all across and we give 155 00:06:26,520 --> 00:06:28,720 Speaker 1: you the consensus. It now has moved to seven. There 156 00:06:28,760 --> 00:06:31,239 Speaker 1: are still some six and a halfs out there bet MGM, notably, 157 00:06:31,480 --> 00:06:33,880 Speaker 1: but it is at seven right now. But yeah, I 158 00:06:33,920 --> 00:06:36,599 Speaker 1: mean I'm with you. I don't like it at all, 159 00:06:37,000 --> 00:06:40,600 Speaker 1: but if I if I had to, I'm just staying 160 00:06:40,600 --> 00:06:41,960 Speaker 1: this is stay away from me, forget. I'm not even 161 00:06:41,960 --> 00:06:43,440 Speaker 1: gonna I'm not even gonna pretend that I like it 162 00:06:43,440 --> 00:06:46,360 Speaker 1: because it's just a game. And again, Lola Chicago, I mean, 163 00:06:47,160 --> 00:06:49,640 Speaker 1: they weren't an eight, right, That's the thing. They weren't 164 00:06:49,680 --> 00:06:52,400 Speaker 1: an eight. They were put there to get the game 165 00:06:53,240 --> 00:06:57,120 Speaker 1: against you know, Illinois. So it really just no not 166 00:06:57,320 --> 00:07:01,159 Speaker 1: I'm staying away. Baylor laying now seven and half to Villanova. 167 00:07:01,240 --> 00:07:03,880 Speaker 1: And the total is one forty one and a half. 168 00:07:03,920 --> 00:07:05,720 Speaker 1: So go ahead and talk about this game, because I've 169 00:07:05,760 --> 00:07:06,840 Speaker 1: heard you talk about itim before. 170 00:07:07,080 --> 00:07:09,239 Speaker 2: Yeah, so this is my first bet. It's Baylor minus 171 00:07:09,240 --> 00:07:10,040 Speaker 2: six and a half. 172 00:07:10,840 --> 00:07:13,400 Speaker 3: I've got a running gag with Dave Sherriff Penoma radio show, 173 00:07:13,400 --> 00:07:15,360 Speaker 3: and he calls it. We call it's the Bostoning versus 174 00:07:15,360 --> 00:07:17,680 Speaker 3: the Book, So it's bb and when he loves a play, 175 00:07:17,680 --> 00:07:20,000 Speaker 3: he calls it a b square bag play and he 176 00:07:20,080 --> 00:07:21,720 Speaker 3: thinks this is like an empty the. 177 00:07:21,680 --> 00:07:23,840 Speaker 2: Bank roll type play on Baylor. 178 00:07:23,880 --> 00:07:27,400 Speaker 3: And this is gonna be I'm nervous because the number 179 00:07:27,400 --> 00:07:29,840 Speaker 3: of people that I'm talking to that are seeing the 180 00:07:29,880 --> 00:07:32,160 Speaker 3: game exactly how I'm seeing the game, and that is 181 00:07:32,160 --> 00:07:34,880 Speaker 3: basically that the backcourt for Baylor is so talented and 182 00:07:34,920 --> 00:07:37,560 Speaker 3: without calling Gillespie there to control tempo for Villanova, They're 183 00:07:37,560 --> 00:07:39,480 Speaker 3: gonna have a really tough time here. This is where 184 00:07:39,520 --> 00:07:41,880 Speaker 3: the injury really catches up to them. They can get 185 00:07:41,880 --> 00:07:44,760 Speaker 3: past Winthrop, they can get path North Texas just based 186 00:07:44,800 --> 00:07:47,280 Speaker 3: upon talent and just their their front court being as 187 00:07:47,280 --> 00:07:50,360 Speaker 3: good as it is. But when you go up against Baylor, 188 00:07:50,440 --> 00:07:53,480 Speaker 3: you need everyone yea, and not having Gillespie here, it's 189 00:07:53,520 --> 00:07:55,840 Speaker 3: gonna be a big, big problem. I think Baylor's gonna 190 00:07:55,920 --> 00:07:57,920 Speaker 3: run him out of the gym. This is probably a 191 00:07:57,920 --> 00:08:00,400 Speaker 3: double digit win for Baylor. They can most likely name 192 00:08:00,440 --> 00:08:03,360 Speaker 3: their score, so I bet it at six and a half. 193 00:08:03,640 --> 00:08:06,360 Speaker 3: Numbers moved now into seven and a half. But the 194 00:08:06,400 --> 00:08:09,640 Speaker 3: way you can play Loyola and Baylor together, you can 195 00:08:09,680 --> 00:08:12,480 Speaker 3: get about minus one twenty odds on this money line 196 00:08:12,520 --> 00:08:17,080 Speaker 3: parlayk Baylor and Layola Chicago two leg money line parlay. 197 00:08:17,160 --> 00:08:17,680 Speaker 2: I've done it. 198 00:08:17,680 --> 00:08:19,680 Speaker 3: You get miaus one twenty on this depending on the 199 00:08:19,720 --> 00:08:22,840 Speaker 3: book one twenty three, one twenty five, somewhere in that range, 200 00:08:23,160 --> 00:08:25,000 Speaker 3: and you get both games, and you can have action 201 00:08:25,120 --> 00:08:27,440 Speaker 3: on both games, and I think both teams win and 202 00:08:27,480 --> 00:08:29,760 Speaker 3: you're not gonna sweat the last second free throw to hopefully, 203 00:08:29,760 --> 00:08:31,520 Speaker 3: you know, you cover your six seven and a half 204 00:08:31,520 --> 00:08:34,440 Speaker 3: point line. So I did lay the six and a half, 205 00:08:34,679 --> 00:08:36,240 Speaker 3: but you also can do a two leg money line 206 00:08:36,280 --> 00:08:37,760 Speaker 3: parlay and both Layola and Baylor. 207 00:08:38,040 --> 00:08:40,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, they're both sitting at basically the same thing, Loyla 208 00:08:40,440 --> 00:08:42,760 Speaker 1: Chicago with minus three thirty five on the money line, 209 00:08:42,840 --> 00:08:44,880 Speaker 1: Baylor at minus three forty five. So look, you called 210 00:08:44,880 --> 00:08:46,440 Speaker 1: this some daily juice because you mentioned this a couple 211 00:08:46,440 --> 00:08:47,920 Speaker 1: of days ago. You said, I'm betting it now at 212 00:08:47,960 --> 00:08:50,319 Speaker 1: six and a half because it's gonna move, and even right, 213 00:08:50,480 --> 00:08:52,839 Speaker 1: do you think it continues to move here in favor? 214 00:08:52,920 --> 00:08:53,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I think it. 215 00:08:53,920 --> 00:08:58,000 Speaker 3: Just what's really interesting about the Daily Juice or any 216 00:08:58,040 --> 00:09:01,640 Speaker 3: of these daily podcasts that now popped up afterwards, is 217 00:09:01,679 --> 00:09:05,800 Speaker 3: that these people are paying attention. And not to say 218 00:09:05,840 --> 00:09:08,480 Speaker 3: that we're talking to the insiders all the time, but 219 00:09:08,559 --> 00:09:10,560 Speaker 3: a lot of times in this type of game, you know, 220 00:09:10,800 --> 00:09:13,360 Speaker 3: if everyone's on one side and it feels like it's 221 00:09:13,360 --> 00:09:15,960 Speaker 3: gonna be the right side. The public is just gonna trail, 222 00:09:16,400 --> 00:09:19,160 Speaker 3: so books are gonna move the number just because they 223 00:09:19,200 --> 00:09:22,000 Speaker 3: need to entice dog money. So if they keep on 224 00:09:22,040 --> 00:09:24,520 Speaker 3: getting hammered over and over again, they're gonna keep on 225 00:09:24,559 --> 00:09:26,160 Speaker 3: going up and up until they hit a number that 226 00:09:26,160 --> 00:09:28,800 Speaker 3: the that the pros will come back on with Villanova. 227 00:09:29,240 --> 00:09:32,640 Speaker 3: So there's a number out there that pros will take Villanova. 228 00:09:32,720 --> 00:09:35,200 Speaker 3: We just haven't really hit it yet. So eight eight 229 00:09:35,200 --> 00:09:35,640 Speaker 3: and a half. 230 00:09:35,679 --> 00:09:37,720 Speaker 2: It wouldn't shock me if that's the closing number. 231 00:09:38,000 --> 00:09:39,839 Speaker 1: All right, So let's say that you have not placed 232 00:09:39,840 --> 00:09:41,920 Speaker 1: a bet on this yet and that you want to 233 00:09:42,000 --> 00:09:44,120 Speaker 1: bet it because you see this as Baylor winning and 234 00:09:44,160 --> 00:09:46,640 Speaker 1: winning handily. What do you think your limit would be 235 00:09:46,760 --> 00:09:48,640 Speaker 1: as to what that number would get to where you'd 236 00:09:48,720 --> 00:09:50,560 Speaker 1: be like, Okay, I'm this is too high for me. 237 00:09:50,800 --> 00:09:51,760 Speaker 1: I'm not getting in on it. 238 00:09:51,760 --> 00:09:54,400 Speaker 3: It's getting close. I mean, okay, you know eight would 239 00:09:54,400 --> 00:09:56,400 Speaker 3: be my limit. I wouldn't go any higher than eight 240 00:09:56,440 --> 00:09:59,640 Speaker 3: on this. I think they probably win by by double digits. 241 00:09:59,640 --> 00:10:02,120 Speaker 3: But basket polls, you know, it is a game of 242 00:10:02,280 --> 00:10:05,800 Speaker 3: buckets scored by two and three points. So it's different 243 00:10:05,800 --> 00:10:08,040 Speaker 3: when you're talking about six to eight to ten to twelve. 244 00:10:08,040 --> 00:10:08,760 Speaker 2: I mean it's tough. 245 00:10:09,040 --> 00:10:10,880 Speaker 3: So like you're talking about if I bet six and 246 00:10:10,920 --> 00:10:13,280 Speaker 3: a half and you bet eight, it's one bucket. We're 247 00:10:13,280 --> 00:10:15,840 Speaker 3: talking about that separating us from hitting or not. So 248 00:10:16,440 --> 00:10:19,079 Speaker 3: it does get a little dicey in terms of laying 249 00:10:19,120 --> 00:10:20,000 Speaker 3: bigger numbers. 250 00:10:20,000 --> 00:10:23,280 Speaker 2: So I would be careful. Eight would probably be my max. 251 00:10:23,559 --> 00:10:26,000 Speaker 1: All right, let's go to the next game. Arkansas laying 252 00:10:26,080 --> 00:10:29,120 Speaker 1: eleven and a half to Oral Roberts. The total is 253 00:10:29,240 --> 00:10:31,400 Speaker 1: one fifty nine. So what do you think here? 254 00:10:31,840 --> 00:10:34,560 Speaker 3: I have no interest in playing this game. This is 255 00:10:34,600 --> 00:10:36,199 Speaker 3: the one game all weekend that I'm not going to 256 00:10:36,200 --> 00:10:39,000 Speaker 3: touch because look, the two teams played earlier in the year. 257 00:10:39,400 --> 00:10:42,120 Speaker 3: Or Roberts lost by nine. In the game, Oral Roberts 258 00:10:42,200 --> 00:10:45,040 Speaker 3: was up by double digits. Arkansas came back won the 259 00:10:45,080 --> 00:10:47,920 Speaker 3: game by nine. But there won't be any mistique to 260 00:10:48,160 --> 00:10:51,440 Speaker 3: Arkansas for or Roberts. They've seen these guys before. Or 261 00:10:51,520 --> 00:10:54,120 Speaker 3: Roberts also just took down Ohio State in Florida. They 262 00:10:54,120 --> 00:10:56,760 Speaker 3: did so by hitting their threes and hitting free throws. 263 00:10:56,760 --> 00:10:58,439 Speaker 3: This is the number one free throw shooting team in 264 00:10:58,440 --> 00:11:00,240 Speaker 3: the country, and Oral Roberts in the top ten. Twenty 265 00:11:00,280 --> 00:11:02,720 Speaker 3: three point shooting team in the country. The problem is 266 00:11:02,720 --> 00:11:05,600 Speaker 3: that Arkansas can really defend, and they can get out, 267 00:11:05,640 --> 00:11:08,000 Speaker 3: and they can be physical, and they're just a deeper 268 00:11:08,040 --> 00:11:10,480 Speaker 3: basketball team than Florida. The Ohio State game is the 269 00:11:10,520 --> 00:11:12,520 Speaker 3: one that kind of gives me pause, and I'm like, man, 270 00:11:12,880 --> 00:11:16,040 Speaker 3: the numbers eleven and a half. It feels super heavy. 271 00:11:16,240 --> 00:11:17,560 Speaker 3: But I know a lot of people that think that 272 00:11:17,640 --> 00:11:20,480 Speaker 3: Arkansas is a much different team now than they were 273 00:11:20,520 --> 00:11:23,080 Speaker 3: when they faced Oral Roberts earlier in the year, and 274 00:11:23,120 --> 00:11:26,000 Speaker 3: they expect the Razorbacks just to boat race Oral Roberts. 275 00:11:26,480 --> 00:11:26,960 Speaker 2: I don't know. 276 00:11:27,400 --> 00:11:29,560 Speaker 3: I'm staying away from it for that matter, because I 277 00:11:29,559 --> 00:11:32,160 Speaker 3: think if I had to play it, I take the points. 278 00:11:32,200 --> 00:11:33,280 Speaker 1: Okay, And what about the total. 279 00:11:33,320 --> 00:11:37,760 Speaker 3: I mean, it's look, no one's gonna stop anybody. It's 280 00:11:37,760 --> 00:11:39,320 Speaker 3: gonna go up and down. I mean, if I was 281 00:11:39,320 --> 00:11:41,080 Speaker 3: gonna I don't like that. It's really high. I think 282 00:11:41,080 --> 00:11:42,960 Speaker 3: it's the highest one on the board right now. Creighton 283 00:11:43,000 --> 00:11:47,400 Speaker 3: and got Gonzaga is close to that. If not, yeah, yeah, So, 284 00:11:47,400 --> 00:11:49,960 Speaker 3: I mean it's the highest total of the weekend. So 285 00:11:50,240 --> 00:11:52,720 Speaker 3: it's about the three point shot. It's about moving up 286 00:11:52,760 --> 00:11:55,040 Speaker 3: and down really fast. I would bet the over. I 287 00:11:55,040 --> 00:11:57,280 Speaker 3: wouldn't bet the under in this game, no way. But 288 00:11:57,559 --> 00:11:59,560 Speaker 3: I would play the over. But I'm not going to 289 00:11:59,679 --> 00:12:02,000 Speaker 3: just because we've seen funny things happen in tournament games 290 00:12:02,040 --> 00:12:03,720 Speaker 3: where no one hit a shot and all of a sudden, 291 00:12:03,760 --> 00:12:04,840 Speaker 3: it's you know, the under comes in. 292 00:12:05,200 --> 00:12:06,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, let's go to the next one again. 293 00:12:06,760 --> 00:12:08,040 Speaker 1: I know how you feel about this one. This is 294 00:12:08,080 --> 00:12:10,439 Speaker 1: Houston laying now six and a half is the consensus 295 00:12:10,440 --> 00:12:13,760 Speaker 1: line to Syracuse. The total is at one forty. So 296 00:12:13,840 --> 00:12:15,320 Speaker 1: are we just at the point right now where like 297 00:12:15,360 --> 00:12:17,160 Speaker 1: you get to the tournament and the two three zone 298 00:12:17,240 --> 00:12:19,040 Speaker 1: just can't be solved and that's all there is to it? 299 00:12:19,160 --> 00:12:20,360 Speaker 1: Or what? How do you see this one? 300 00:12:20,440 --> 00:12:22,760 Speaker 3: Look to me, it's the injury to Giroux for Houston. 301 00:12:22,800 --> 00:12:25,120 Speaker 3: I mean, it's just such a big injury for them, 302 00:12:25,120 --> 00:12:27,360 Speaker 3: And when he was out of the game against Rutgers, 303 00:12:27,360 --> 00:12:30,000 Speaker 3: they were a mess. He came back in, he gutted 304 00:12:30,040 --> 00:12:33,680 Speaker 3: it out. Here's here's the debate, and this is why 305 00:12:33,720 --> 00:12:37,040 Speaker 3: the lines go into Houston because against the two three zone, 306 00:12:37,120 --> 00:12:40,160 Speaker 3: the one thing you cannot do is rebound, and the 307 00:12:40,200 --> 00:12:42,640 Speaker 3: one thing that Houston does maybe better than anybody else 308 00:12:42,679 --> 00:12:45,679 Speaker 3: in college basketball is rebound. So what they're what people 309 00:12:45,679 --> 00:12:48,040 Speaker 3: are saying is that Houston's gonna get a lot of 310 00:12:48,080 --> 00:12:52,000 Speaker 3: easy buckets off of misses the rebound, offensive rebound, and 311 00:12:52,000 --> 00:12:53,920 Speaker 3: they'll have a lot of pipbacks. And they also are 312 00:12:53,920 --> 00:12:55,880 Speaker 3: fading that Buddy bayhim's not going to keep going the 313 00:12:55,920 --> 00:12:56,560 Speaker 3: way that he is. 314 00:12:57,280 --> 00:13:00,559 Speaker 2: I'm baking on that he is. I'm baking on that. Shoot. 315 00:13:00,760 --> 00:13:03,520 Speaker 3: He's in the same city, he's not traveling, and I 316 00:13:03,559 --> 00:13:05,800 Speaker 3: don't see why he would cool off from the ACC 317 00:13:05,920 --> 00:13:08,480 Speaker 3: Tournament to the first two games of the NAA tournaments. 318 00:13:08,760 --> 00:13:10,400 Speaker 3: Why is he not going to hit every shot he's 319 00:13:10,440 --> 00:13:12,640 Speaker 3: taking right now? I just I don't get that. So 320 00:13:13,120 --> 00:13:15,679 Speaker 3: I think Houston probably wins. But I think six points 321 00:13:15,720 --> 00:13:17,840 Speaker 3: now six and a half, I'm taking the dog in that. 322 00:13:17,920 --> 00:13:20,120 Speaker 3: I mean, you're going to a better number than I bet. 323 00:13:20,160 --> 00:13:23,160 Speaker 3: I bet Syracuse plus six already, so I like Q's. 324 00:13:23,640 --> 00:13:27,079 Speaker 1: It's actually at seven now at betend lot. So yeah, 325 00:13:27,120 --> 00:13:28,679 Speaker 1: so you know if you want that? So are you 326 00:13:28,760 --> 00:13:30,280 Speaker 1: going to keep hitting it? Man? I mean, does any 327 00:13:30,320 --> 00:13:32,000 Speaker 1: of it give you pause of number? 328 00:13:32,200 --> 00:13:33,640 Speaker 3: No, of course it gives me pause. Yeah, I mean 329 00:13:33,720 --> 00:13:36,040 Speaker 3: when when when line, when line goes against you? Of course, 330 00:13:36,040 --> 00:13:38,040 Speaker 3: it gives me pause. But I mean, look, I've had 331 00:13:38,040 --> 00:13:40,640 Speaker 3: these things in college basketball this year. The whole idea 332 00:13:40,679 --> 00:13:42,720 Speaker 3: of closing line value is kind of out the window 333 00:13:43,120 --> 00:13:45,080 Speaker 3: because I bet. I can't tell you how many bets 334 00:13:45,080 --> 00:13:47,040 Speaker 3: I've lost this year where I've had four points of 335 00:13:47,080 --> 00:13:50,040 Speaker 3: closing line value and I've been like, oh, this is great, 336 00:13:50,120 --> 00:13:51,840 Speaker 3: I bet too, and now the line is six and 337 00:13:51,880 --> 00:13:52,520 Speaker 3: this is awesome. 338 00:13:52,840 --> 00:13:55,120 Speaker 2: Yeah, and then and then the team loses outright, Like 339 00:13:55,160 --> 00:13:58,200 Speaker 2: it's just so I've had a lot. 340 00:13:57,960 --> 00:14:00,000 Speaker 3: Of, you know, not great success with this, and then 341 00:14:00,080 --> 00:14:02,120 Speaker 3: the tournament. I know a lot of people think Syracuse 342 00:14:02,160 --> 00:14:06,360 Speaker 3: wins this game outright. So you know, I may the 343 00:14:06,800 --> 00:14:09,559 Speaker 3: higher the line goes, the more plus money I'm getting 344 00:14:09,600 --> 00:14:12,400 Speaker 3: on the money line, and the more attractive that BET's. 345 00:14:12,160 --> 00:14:14,439 Speaker 2: Going to be for me to jump on Syracuse money line. 346 00:14:14,760 --> 00:14:17,280 Speaker 1: Yeah. So right now the money line on Syracuse is 347 00:14:17,320 --> 00:14:19,520 Speaker 1: plus two twenty. So I mean it's not, you know, 348 00:14:19,600 --> 00:14:20,440 Speaker 1: not crazy, but it's. 349 00:14:20,320 --> 00:14:23,280 Speaker 2: Worth a sprinkle. It's worth the sprinkle, worth the sprinkle. 350 00:14:23,320 --> 00:14:25,480 Speaker 1: And again, if the line keeps moving, that number is 351 00:14:25,520 --> 00:14:27,480 Speaker 1: just going to continue to grow. All right, Let's go 352 00:14:27,520 --> 00:14:30,160 Speaker 1: to your boys, Let's go to Creighton Blue Jays. Gonzaga 353 00:14:30,200 --> 00:14:32,920 Speaker 1: is now laying thirteen to Creighton, and the total, again 354 00:14:32,960 --> 00:14:35,200 Speaker 1: we mentioned it not the highest on the Board's second 355 00:14:35,280 --> 00:14:38,880 Speaker 1: highest total is one fifty eight. So, Matt, Creton's your team. 356 00:14:38,920 --> 00:14:39,760 Speaker 1: What do you think? All right? 357 00:14:39,800 --> 00:14:41,600 Speaker 3: So, am I gonna give up all the Deli Juice 358 00:14:41,600 --> 00:14:42,880 Speaker 3: plays because I can do it if you want me to. 359 00:14:43,480 --> 00:14:45,160 Speaker 1: I mean, you can do whatever you want, Matt. I 360 00:14:45,200 --> 00:14:48,280 Speaker 1: mean it's two I'm sure we have some crossover listeners 361 00:14:48,320 --> 00:14:50,120 Speaker 1: and stuff like that, but you know it's its own 362 00:14:50,160 --> 00:14:50,880 Speaker 1: separate podcast. 363 00:14:50,960 --> 00:14:52,280 Speaker 2: So yeah, so I'll all right. 364 00:14:52,320 --> 00:14:54,320 Speaker 3: So what I'll do is tonight I'll give up because 365 00:14:54,360 --> 00:14:57,040 Speaker 3: I gave away my plays on Saturday on Thursday, so 366 00:14:57,160 --> 00:14:59,360 Speaker 3: for the Deli Juice podcast coming up on Friday, I'll 367 00:14:59,360 --> 00:15:00,520 Speaker 3: give my place Sunday. 368 00:15:00,720 --> 00:15:02,640 Speaker 2: Ok So, I have two bets on this game. 369 00:15:03,160 --> 00:15:07,760 Speaker 3: So first, Creighton and Gonzaga first half over seventy four 370 00:15:07,800 --> 00:15:10,560 Speaker 3: and a half is what I bet. Okay, these two 371 00:15:10,560 --> 00:15:13,160 Speaker 3: teams have the potential to come out and the Blue 372 00:15:13,240 --> 00:15:16,040 Speaker 3: Jays know that they have to score. They are not 373 00:15:16,120 --> 00:15:19,800 Speaker 3: going to stop Gonzaga, right There's matchup problems all over 374 00:15:19,840 --> 00:15:20,240 Speaker 3: the place. 375 00:15:20,760 --> 00:15:23,160 Speaker 2: I don't know how they stop Timmy. I like Christian 376 00:15:23,200 --> 00:15:23,840 Speaker 2: Bishop a lot. 377 00:15:23,880 --> 00:15:27,440 Speaker 3: He's given up size and weight and just he's athletic 378 00:15:27,480 --> 00:15:29,680 Speaker 3: and fun, but he's not a post player. He's a 379 00:15:29,760 --> 00:15:32,000 Speaker 3: kid who grew from a point guard body into a 380 00:15:32,000 --> 00:15:32,720 Speaker 3: post player. 381 00:15:33,200 --> 00:15:34,160 Speaker 2: And the Jays love him. 382 00:15:34,320 --> 00:15:37,000 Speaker 3: But Timmy's a legitimate NBA post player, and you're gonna 383 00:15:37,000 --> 00:15:40,800 Speaker 3: have a problem with Timmy from Gonzaga. I love Marko Zegarowski. 384 00:15:40,920 --> 00:15:43,440 Speaker 3: He's a really fun point guard. But Jalen Suggs is 385 00:15:43,480 --> 00:15:46,200 Speaker 3: going to destroy him. So here's my So I think 386 00:15:46,200 --> 00:15:48,640 Speaker 3: the first half over seventy four and a half. Okay, 387 00:15:49,160 --> 00:15:52,200 Speaker 3: thirteen and a half is the number I played, and 388 00:15:52,240 --> 00:15:53,440 Speaker 3: I took the Blue Jays. 389 00:15:53,840 --> 00:15:54,760 Speaker 2: Let me tell you why. 390 00:15:55,400 --> 00:15:57,760 Speaker 3: If you look at historically speaking, this is one of 391 00:15:57,800 --> 00:16:00,640 Speaker 3: the biggest spreads we have ever seen in the Sweet sixteen. 392 00:16:01,640 --> 00:16:04,760 Speaker 3: Just funky things happen when you're playing on this level. 393 00:16:05,000 --> 00:16:06,280 Speaker 2: The referees get. 394 00:16:06,080 --> 00:16:09,680 Speaker 3: Involved like you don't normally see games decided by fifteen 395 00:16:09,680 --> 00:16:13,880 Speaker 3: to twenty points. The Jays have talent and Mitch Baylock, 396 00:16:14,200 --> 00:16:17,720 Speaker 3: Marco Zegarowski and the three point shot better go for 397 00:16:17,720 --> 00:16:18,720 Speaker 3: the creaton Blue Jays. 398 00:16:19,080 --> 00:16:21,320 Speaker 2: I think they lose by ten. I think thirteen and 399 00:16:21,360 --> 00:16:22,400 Speaker 2: a half is too high. 400 00:16:22,720 --> 00:16:25,200 Speaker 3: Gonzago wins, but I'll take the points with the Creighton 401 00:16:25,240 --> 00:16:27,040 Speaker 3: Blue Jays at thirteen and a half, and I think 402 00:16:27,080 --> 00:16:29,560 Speaker 3: it's gonna be sweaty. I think we're talking about free 403 00:16:29,560 --> 00:16:32,560 Speaker 3: throws at the end and layups at the buzzer, and 404 00:16:32,600 --> 00:16:35,200 Speaker 3: like it's gonna be right there. Just like the last 405 00:16:35,240 --> 00:16:38,600 Speaker 3: game against Oklahoma for Gonzaga was had a late tee, 406 00:16:38,920 --> 00:16:41,680 Speaker 3: some controversial endings that got to sixteen. They covered that 407 00:16:41,720 --> 00:16:44,200 Speaker 3: fifteen and a half point line. I expect a very 408 00:16:44,240 --> 00:16:47,560 Speaker 3: similar like one or two plays will dictate the total 409 00:16:47,600 --> 00:16:48,200 Speaker 3: here in this game. 410 00:16:48,240 --> 00:16:50,080 Speaker 2: But I'll take the thirteen and a half, all right. 411 00:16:50,120 --> 00:16:51,920 Speaker 1: And so I know you don't like the under because 412 00:16:51,960 --> 00:16:53,800 Speaker 1: you don't like any unders at this point, But what 413 00:16:53,920 --> 00:16:56,800 Speaker 1: about over on the one to fifty eight, Well. 414 00:16:56,680 --> 00:16:58,240 Speaker 3: I mean, I'm playing the over in the first half, 415 00:16:58,240 --> 00:17:00,400 Speaker 3: so they over in the first half, hitch on pace 416 00:17:00,440 --> 00:17:01,720 Speaker 3: to go for the over of the game. So I 417 00:17:01,720 --> 00:17:03,720 Speaker 3: don't hate to play the over in the game. It 418 00:17:03,880 --> 00:17:06,800 Speaker 3: just a matter of what does Gonzaga pull off the 419 00:17:06,920 --> 00:17:10,440 Speaker 3: gas if they're up big, like they know they've got 420 00:17:10,440 --> 00:17:12,000 Speaker 3: to go ahead and play a bunch of games here. 421 00:17:12,080 --> 00:17:13,959 Speaker 3: Their goal is to win the championship. They don't care 422 00:17:13,960 --> 00:17:16,280 Speaker 3: about the final score, so that would be my only 423 00:17:16,320 --> 00:17:19,640 Speaker 3: concern about Gonzaga maybe taking their foot off the gas 424 00:17:19,720 --> 00:17:22,040 Speaker 3: and it turns into like a seventy five sixty five 425 00:17:22,119 --> 00:17:24,639 Speaker 3: victory and you don't get to the you don't get over. 426 00:17:25,240 --> 00:17:28,119 Speaker 3: So I think the first half over at seventy four 427 00:17:28,160 --> 00:17:30,399 Speaker 3: and a half is a more is a safer play, Okay. 428 00:17:30,880 --> 00:17:33,600 Speaker 1: Michigan lank two and a half to Florida State with 429 00:17:33,640 --> 00:17:35,359 Speaker 1: a total at one forty three and a half. I 430 00:17:35,400 --> 00:17:37,199 Speaker 1: will be honest, I did not think Michigan was going 431 00:17:37,240 --> 00:17:39,800 Speaker 1: to make it here without Livers. I really didn't. So 432 00:17:39,840 --> 00:17:41,399 Speaker 1: I had that totally peg wrong. So what do you 433 00:17:41,440 --> 00:17:43,119 Speaker 1: think you're favored by two and a half with the 434 00:17:43,200 --> 00:17:44,600 Speaker 1: one forty three and a half total. 435 00:17:44,800 --> 00:17:46,399 Speaker 3: I'm gonna get kicked in the teeth again for this, 436 00:17:46,440 --> 00:17:49,840 Speaker 3: but I'm taking Florida State, and I just like you said, 437 00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:52,160 Speaker 3: I had LSU beating Michigan. 438 00:17:52,359 --> 00:17:52,600 Speaker 1: Yep. 439 00:17:52,800 --> 00:17:55,600 Speaker 3: I think LSU would have beaten Michigan if it wasn't 440 00:17:55,640 --> 00:17:57,600 Speaker 3: for the fact that LSU was tired. 441 00:17:58,440 --> 00:18:00,880 Speaker 1: That was by the way I was explos to my son, 442 00:18:00,920 --> 00:18:03,199 Speaker 1: because I told you he's very invested in the bracket 443 00:18:03,200 --> 00:18:04,920 Speaker 1: and we were talking about LSU and like he went 444 00:18:04,960 --> 00:18:07,040 Speaker 1: to bed and ls was winning and then that was 445 00:18:07,200 --> 00:18:09,520 Speaker 1: like and then it was just totally out of gas. 446 00:18:09,640 --> 00:18:10,320 Speaker 1: Like that was just it. 447 00:18:10,720 --> 00:18:12,679 Speaker 3: Yeah, they just couldn't hit their shots. I mean their 448 00:18:12,680 --> 00:18:16,159 Speaker 3: guards looked exhausted. And credit Michigan. I mean they tired 449 00:18:16,200 --> 00:18:18,800 Speaker 3: them out in that game, and they used their depth 450 00:18:19,119 --> 00:18:21,800 Speaker 3: and they used their conditioning and they made LSU tired. 451 00:18:22,119 --> 00:18:24,439 Speaker 3: And that's a credit to Michigan. But I think against 452 00:18:24,440 --> 00:18:27,840 Speaker 3: Florida State, they've got length on length on length. And 453 00:18:27,960 --> 00:18:29,919 Speaker 3: I got a crazy stat today before I bet the 454 00:18:29,960 --> 00:18:33,440 Speaker 3: game that I believe it's ten games in a row 455 00:18:33,680 --> 00:18:36,879 Speaker 3: where Florida State has played a ranked opponent and they've covered. 456 00:18:37,800 --> 00:18:40,760 Speaker 3: So they just play ranked teams really really well. In 457 00:18:40,880 --> 00:18:44,119 Speaker 3: Michigan's a one seed. So maybe Michigan wins on the 458 00:18:44,200 --> 00:18:46,520 Speaker 3: last second shot, maybe it's a two point victory, but 459 00:18:46,560 --> 00:18:47,480 Speaker 3: I took the two and a half. 460 00:18:47,520 --> 00:18:49,280 Speaker 2: I'll take Florida State plus two and a half. 461 00:18:49,480 --> 00:18:51,240 Speaker 1: Any thoughts on the total one forty three and a 462 00:18:51,240 --> 00:18:52,160 Speaker 1: half or stay away, I. 463 00:18:52,160 --> 00:18:55,600 Speaker 3: Really don't because Florida State can play either way. So 464 00:18:56,000 --> 00:18:58,160 Speaker 3: I don't know what type of I don't know the strategy. 465 00:18:58,240 --> 00:19:00,600 Speaker 3: I don't think Florida State wants to run with Michigan. 466 00:19:00,680 --> 00:19:02,880 Speaker 3: It'd be surprising if they want to get into a real, 467 00:19:02,920 --> 00:19:05,720 Speaker 3: real up tempo game with them, but they might. So 468 00:19:06,280 --> 00:19:07,840 Speaker 3: that's why I don't have a good read on the 469 00:19:07,840 --> 00:19:10,680 Speaker 3: total in that game. But the three point shot definitely 470 00:19:10,680 --> 00:19:12,040 Speaker 3: puts that number in jeopardy. 471 00:19:12,600 --> 00:19:15,000 Speaker 1: All right, let's go to Alabama laying six and a 472 00:19:15,040 --> 00:19:18,440 Speaker 1: half to UCLA with the total at one forty five 473 00:19:18,520 --> 00:19:19,400 Speaker 1: and a half. What do you think? 474 00:19:19,640 --> 00:19:21,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, so I won't This is one of the games 475 00:19:21,440 --> 00:19:23,600 Speaker 3: where I'm gonna wait, maybe until the live stream to 476 00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:24,359 Speaker 3: make this bet. 477 00:19:24,440 --> 00:19:25,240 Speaker 2: I don't know yet. 478 00:19:25,320 --> 00:19:27,560 Speaker 3: Right now, Obama is one of my teams, so I've 479 00:19:27,560 --> 00:19:30,280 Speaker 3: been riding Alabama betting Alabama making a good amount of 480 00:19:30,320 --> 00:19:34,080 Speaker 3: money on Bama all year. And I love their senior leadership. 481 00:19:34,240 --> 00:19:36,479 Speaker 3: I like Nate Oates a lot. I think Petty's a 482 00:19:36,520 --> 00:19:39,600 Speaker 3: really really underrated leader and a really good player. They're 483 00:19:39,600 --> 00:19:42,000 Speaker 3: getting Primo back for this game, which is huge for 484 00:19:42,080 --> 00:19:45,520 Speaker 3: the three point shooting. So that leads me to go 485 00:19:46,200 --> 00:19:48,840 Speaker 3: Alabama lay in the six and a half. But I 486 00:19:48,920 --> 00:19:52,920 Speaker 3: doubted Ucla against Michigan State and they won the game outrights, 487 00:19:53,280 --> 00:19:55,159 Speaker 3: and I doubted them in their last game, and I 488 00:19:55,160 --> 00:19:56,800 Speaker 3: was kind of like, come on, there's just no way 489 00:19:56,840 --> 00:19:58,879 Speaker 3: Ucla is making this sweet sixteen. I mean, this is 490 00:19:59,200 --> 00:20:01,040 Speaker 3: but here we go again with a team playing in 491 00:20:01,080 --> 00:20:04,000 Speaker 3: the opening round, when the first four making a run 492 00:20:04,680 --> 00:20:09,119 Speaker 3: and McK cronin's a really good coach and they're hitting everything. 493 00:20:09,160 --> 00:20:12,439 Speaker 3: I mean, Ucla can't miss, like they're just on fire. 494 00:20:12,880 --> 00:20:16,200 Speaker 3: So I don't know yet. Right now, at the time 495 00:20:16,240 --> 00:20:18,240 Speaker 3: of tape, I'm on Alabama minus six and a half, 496 00:20:18,280 --> 00:20:18,800 Speaker 3: but I don't know. 497 00:20:19,320 --> 00:20:21,399 Speaker 1: Okay, and the total at all one forty five and 498 00:20:21,400 --> 00:20:21,920 Speaker 1: a half or. 499 00:20:22,359 --> 00:20:24,960 Speaker 3: I have zero reid because Ucla, I think, will want 500 00:20:25,000 --> 00:20:26,720 Speaker 3: to I would play the under if I had to bet, 501 00:20:26,760 --> 00:20:28,920 Speaker 3: it would be under, but that three point shot would 502 00:20:28,960 --> 00:20:30,639 Speaker 3: be I mean, Ucla is gonna take the air out 503 00:20:30,640 --> 00:20:31,040 Speaker 3: of the ball. 504 00:20:31,280 --> 00:20:31,679 Speaker 2: They're not. 505 00:20:31,840 --> 00:20:34,600 Speaker 3: They have no interest in running with Bama none, so 506 00:20:35,040 --> 00:20:38,959 Speaker 3: they're gonna play really slow. I just don't know. I 507 00:20:39,040 --> 00:20:41,120 Speaker 3: just don't know right now. I would say the under, 508 00:20:41,160 --> 00:20:42,600 Speaker 3: but I don't like the total in that game. 509 00:20:42,960 --> 00:20:46,159 Speaker 1: All right, final game US ceiling two to Oregon with 510 00:20:46,200 --> 00:20:48,840 Speaker 1: the total of one thirty eight and a half. What 511 00:20:48,880 --> 00:20:49,600 Speaker 1: do you think? All right? 512 00:20:49,680 --> 00:20:53,199 Speaker 3: Right back to the bias of me, Okay, Dane Altman 513 00:20:53,320 --> 00:20:57,080 Speaker 3: is an incredible coach, and I like Oregon a lot. 514 00:20:57,760 --> 00:20:59,919 Speaker 3: I'm taking the two points and I'm taking Oregon, and 515 00:20:59,920 --> 00:21:01,840 Speaker 3: I know a ton of people who are against me. 516 00:21:02,320 --> 00:21:04,919 Speaker 3: These two teams played in their first meeting in the 517 00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:08,560 Speaker 3: regular season in UCLA. Boat raced Oregon like he wasn't 518 00:21:08,600 --> 00:21:10,880 Speaker 3: even It was fifteen to two was the opening number 519 00:21:10,880 --> 00:21:14,240 Speaker 3: when I when it started. The length of usc Mobley 520 00:21:14,359 --> 00:21:17,760 Speaker 3: is an NBA player lottery pick, I mean, top three 521 00:21:17,800 --> 00:21:21,240 Speaker 3: pick in the draft. I just think that Oregon has 522 00:21:21,680 --> 00:21:23,520 Speaker 3: I just like the way they're playing. It's why I 523 00:21:23,560 --> 00:21:27,520 Speaker 3: like them against Iowa. They're long, they're athletic, their guards 524 00:21:27,560 --> 00:21:30,040 Speaker 3: play really well. The three point shots a monster weapon. 525 00:21:30,080 --> 00:21:32,600 Speaker 3: They can do their three quarter court diamond press the coach, 526 00:21:33,119 --> 00:21:35,239 Speaker 3: coach Alltman has been running since I started watching him 527 00:21:35,280 --> 00:21:36,360 Speaker 3: back in two thousand and four. 528 00:21:37,280 --> 00:21:38,480 Speaker 2: It's the same green press. 529 00:21:38,480 --> 00:21:40,320 Speaker 3: You'll see him put his two fists up and shake 530 00:21:40,359 --> 00:21:42,240 Speaker 3: his fists and then put a diamond together, and that's 531 00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:44,000 Speaker 3: the presses that they're gonna run. He's been doing it 532 00:21:44,000 --> 00:21:46,160 Speaker 3: for years, so it's the same thing and it's worth 533 00:21:46,600 --> 00:21:48,000 Speaker 3: Oregon's gone to a final four. 534 00:21:49,000 --> 00:21:50,600 Speaker 2: I'll go with Oregon plus the two. 535 00:21:51,160 --> 00:21:54,239 Speaker 1: Okay, I need feelings on the total one thirty eight 536 00:21:54,240 --> 00:21:54,600 Speaker 1: and a half. 537 00:21:54,800 --> 00:21:57,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, that one. I think the over is good play there. Yeah, 538 00:21:57,240 --> 00:22:00,399 Speaker 3: Oregon the the over for Oregon. Eight straight games for 539 00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:02,440 Speaker 3: the for Oregon. It's while I was on the over 540 00:22:02,520 --> 00:22:05,639 Speaker 3: personally for the Iowa game at one forty nine and 541 00:22:05,880 --> 00:22:08,280 Speaker 3: live the live total for that game got as high 542 00:22:08,280 --> 00:22:11,359 Speaker 3: as one eighty eight and a half, which is, if 543 00:22:11,400 --> 00:22:14,359 Speaker 3: you know total for college basketball, that's a low NBA game. 544 00:22:14,520 --> 00:22:16,720 Speaker 3: I mean, I've seen NBA games approaching like one ninety, 545 00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:18,919 Speaker 3: so that's sick for one eighty and a half. It finally, 546 00:22:18,920 --> 00:22:20,720 Speaker 3: I mean he didn't get there, but it's still that 547 00:22:20,800 --> 00:22:22,600 Speaker 3: was the live line for how much scoring was going 548 00:22:22,600 --> 00:22:24,720 Speaker 3: on between Iowa and Oregon. So Oregon games has been 549 00:22:24,800 --> 00:22:27,040 Speaker 3: going over very consistently. Eight straight I'd bet the over. 550 00:22:27,240 --> 00:22:29,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, they can all score, you know, that's basically what 551 00:22:29,359 --> 00:22:30,840 Speaker 1: it is. All right, let me recap, let me make 552 00:22:30,920 --> 00:22:33,040 Speaker 1: let me see if I can, you know, basically recap 553 00:22:33,400 --> 00:22:35,399 Speaker 1: what I think some of your favorite plays are. So 554 00:22:35,480 --> 00:22:39,040 Speaker 1: you like the money line parlay with Loyal, the Chicago 555 00:22:39,080 --> 00:22:39,800 Speaker 1: and Baylor. 556 00:22:39,560 --> 00:22:40,360 Speaker 2: Right, yeah, mm hmm. 557 00:22:40,600 --> 00:22:42,120 Speaker 1: And you said, what what do you get that out 558 00:22:42,160 --> 00:22:43,320 Speaker 1: about minus one twenty. 559 00:22:43,520 --> 00:22:44,919 Speaker 3: Yeah, I got it at one twenty, But you can 560 00:22:45,000 --> 00:22:47,159 Speaker 3: chop around. Depends on the numbers that you're gonna wind 561 00:22:47,240 --> 00:22:48,879 Speaker 3: up getting. And I got it when it was when 562 00:22:48,880 --> 00:22:50,160 Speaker 3: I got it when it was six and a half, 563 00:22:50,160 --> 00:22:52,160 Speaker 3: not seven and a half. So that's going to impact 564 00:22:52,160 --> 00:22:54,760 Speaker 3: the odds a little bit. But so maybe the odds 565 00:22:54,800 --> 00:22:56,679 Speaker 3: because the number has gone, the line's gone up, and 566 00:22:56,680 --> 00:22:58,280 Speaker 3: the money line total has gone down a little bit, 567 00:22:58,320 --> 00:22:59,880 Speaker 3: the odds might be a little bit worse. But that's 568 00:22:59,880 --> 00:23:01,760 Speaker 3: a way of having action in both those games if 569 00:23:01,800 --> 00:23:03,000 Speaker 3: you want to get away from the points spread. 570 00:23:03,280 --> 00:23:05,440 Speaker 1: Okay, and you do like Baylor, obviously you got it 571 00:23:05,480 --> 00:23:07,120 Speaker 1: at six and a half. It has moved. You still 572 00:23:07,160 --> 00:23:08,359 Speaker 1: like it at seven and a half? Right now? You 573 00:23:08,400 --> 00:23:10,360 Speaker 1: basically yeah, I kind of half out. 574 00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:12,400 Speaker 3: I like it now, but eight's the max. I think 575 00:23:12,400 --> 00:23:13,680 Speaker 3: you still played at seven and a half. 576 00:23:13,960 --> 00:23:16,159 Speaker 1: You also like Syracuse that are now getting six and 577 00:23:16,160 --> 00:23:17,879 Speaker 1: a half. So you took it at six, as we 578 00:23:17,920 --> 00:23:20,040 Speaker 1: talked about Adela Duce, So you like it at anything 579 00:23:20,080 --> 00:23:21,240 Speaker 1: higher than six, right, Yeah, I. 580 00:23:21,200 --> 00:23:22,400 Speaker 2: Thought it would go the other way. I was wrong. 581 00:23:22,560 --> 00:23:24,240 Speaker 2: I thought the number would come down, not up. It's 582 00:23:24,240 --> 00:23:24,600 Speaker 2: gone up. 583 00:23:24,640 --> 00:23:27,160 Speaker 3: So there's Houston money coming in, and maybe because Duro's playing, 584 00:23:27,200 --> 00:23:30,719 Speaker 3: people think, Okay, Calvin's Colvin sim Colvin Sampson said it's 585 00:23:30,720 --> 00:23:32,560 Speaker 3: gonna be seventy five percent and he hasn't practiced in 586 00:23:32,560 --> 00:23:34,480 Speaker 3: three days. I don't know if that's a good thing 587 00:23:34,520 --> 00:23:36,120 Speaker 3: and why you want to bet on Houston. But he's 588 00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:38,200 Speaker 3: gonna play, so I guess people think he's playing. So 589 00:23:38,200 --> 00:23:39,520 Speaker 3: such good news for the Cougars. 590 00:23:39,880 --> 00:23:43,280 Speaker 1: All right. And you like Creighton getting thirteen from Gonzaga, right, 591 00:23:43,400 --> 00:23:46,280 Speaker 1: thirteen and a half, yes, thirteen and a half from Gonzaga, okay. 592 00:23:46,720 --> 00:23:49,680 Speaker 1: And you like Florida State getting two and a half 593 00:23:49,760 --> 00:23:53,840 Speaker 1: from Michigan, correct, correct, yep. Finally Oregon getting the two 594 00:23:53,840 --> 00:23:54,880 Speaker 1: from USC Is that right? 595 00:23:55,160 --> 00:23:55,400 Speaker 2: Yep? 596 00:23:55,560 --> 00:23:59,520 Speaker 3: It's been a dog tournament and so I'm just gonna 597 00:23:59,560 --> 00:24:02,080 Speaker 3: kind of roll here. I'm laying a couple couple favorites, 598 00:24:02,119 --> 00:24:04,800 Speaker 3: but I don't like laying big chalk and tournament games. 599 00:24:04,800 --> 00:24:07,120 Speaker 3: And I think that the dogs. I think the dogs 600 00:24:07,119 --> 00:24:08,760 Speaker 3: are gonna have a day again or weekend again. 601 00:24:09,160 --> 00:24:11,719 Speaker 1: All right, final question for you, Matt, because you are 602 00:24:11,760 --> 00:24:14,600 Speaker 1: a Creighton guy. What has to happen for Creighton to 603 00:24:14,600 --> 00:24:17,760 Speaker 1: take down Gunzaga. They're plus six fifty on the money line. 604 00:24:19,640 --> 00:24:22,439 Speaker 2: The hotel lock, the hotel rooms have to lock, and 605 00:24:22,560 --> 00:24:26,080 Speaker 2: Gonzaga's players can't get out. Okay about you're a realists, 606 00:24:26,200 --> 00:24:26,560 Speaker 2: That's all. 607 00:24:26,560 --> 00:24:29,320 Speaker 1: I wanted to make sure. I want some cred, all right. 608 00:24:29,320 --> 00:24:31,040 Speaker 2: I would love to look at I would love it. 609 00:24:31,359 --> 00:24:34,600 Speaker 2: I will be cheering. I will have my CEU gear. 610 00:24:34,800 --> 00:24:37,240 Speaker 3: I got one of my favorite shout out to Lawler's, 611 00:24:37,240 --> 00:24:39,040 Speaker 3: which is in Omaha, Nebraska. Used to be one of 612 00:24:39,040 --> 00:24:40,960 Speaker 3: my favorite places to go and shop and I live there. 613 00:24:40,960 --> 00:24:43,320 Speaker 3: They're sending me Creighton gear for the game. I'm gonna 614 00:24:43,320 --> 00:24:45,560 Speaker 3: have a Creighton Sweet sixteen shirt that's gonna arrive on 615 00:24:45,960 --> 00:24:48,879 Speaker 3: tomorrow on Friday, just in time. They're FedExing overnight to 616 00:24:48,920 --> 00:24:51,120 Speaker 3: me so I can wear it during the game. I 617 00:24:51,200 --> 00:24:54,639 Speaker 3: am a huge Jay supporter. I love coach McDermott. I 618 00:24:54,760 --> 00:24:56,760 Speaker 3: like this team a lot. They don't have a killer, 619 00:24:56,840 --> 00:24:58,879 Speaker 3: which scares me all year long. I'm saying, who's the 620 00:24:58,880 --> 00:25:00,680 Speaker 3: guy taking the shot to knock out a number one 621 00:25:00,680 --> 00:25:04,800 Speaker 3: seed here's the game. Maybe it is Marcus Zagarowski. I 622 00:25:04,840 --> 00:25:08,080 Speaker 3: need Mitch Baylock to hit five threes. Okay, he needs 623 00:25:08,119 --> 00:25:12,399 Speaker 3: five threes. Zagarowski's gonna score twenty and Timmy's gotta be 624 00:25:12,400 --> 00:25:16,160 Speaker 3: in foul trouble. If those things happen, maybe there's. 625 00:25:15,960 --> 00:25:17,880 Speaker 1: A Now you're talking to yourself into the. 626 00:25:18,560 --> 00:25:21,280 Speaker 3: I'm gonna one fanboy, talk myself into this and there's 627 00:25:21,280 --> 00:25:23,600 Speaker 3: no debitting, and then Gonzaga probably wins by forty. 628 00:25:23,800 --> 00:25:26,000 Speaker 2: This is Gonzaga. I mean, they're just so darn good. 629 00:25:26,640 --> 00:25:29,000 Speaker 2: It's just that I liked what the Jays looked like 630 00:25:29,080 --> 00:25:31,800 Speaker 2: against Ohio. That looked like the good version of Creighton. 631 00:25:32,000 --> 00:25:34,879 Speaker 1: So all right, all right, fair enough, all right. Anyway, 632 00:25:34,960 --> 00:25:37,359 Speaker 1: so look Matt, what Matt does. And again, if you 633 00:25:37,400 --> 00:25:39,920 Speaker 1: listen to Daily Juice podcast, you know this man. He 634 00:25:40,400 --> 00:25:43,400 Speaker 1: takes information from everybody and he continues to process hit 635 00:25:43,520 --> 00:25:45,800 Speaker 1: and he's gonna give you his final thoughts on the 636 00:25:45,880 --> 00:25:49,600 Speaker 1: games on YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros on Saturday 637 00:25:49,680 --> 00:25:52,920 Speaker 1: at one pm Eastern on Sunday at one pm Eastern. 638 00:25:53,119 --> 00:25:54,720 Speaker 1: So you get more of that. Again, you can go 639 00:25:54,720 --> 00:25:56,719 Speaker 1: to Betting Pros dot com and got breakdowns of all 640 00:25:56,760 --> 00:26:00,000 Speaker 1: the games, and again subscribe to the Daily Juice podcast. 641 00:26:00,119 --> 00:26:02,800 Speaker 1: Can get that anywhere that you listen to podcasts or 642 00:26:02,840 --> 00:26:05,600 Speaker 1: on Bettingpros dot com Slash Daily Juice or Bettingpros dot 643 00:26:05,640 --> 00:26:08,960 Speaker 1: Com Slash Podcast. As always, we will be back next 644 00:26:09,000 --> 00:26:12,920 Speaker 1: week with another episode, and until then, enjoy your games 645 00:26:12,960 --> 00:26:24,560 Speaker 1: this weekend and you're sweet sixteen