WEBVTT - Benny vs The Penny, Round 13 0:00:01.400 --> 0:00:12.720 Welcome, players, Welcome. It's time now Penny the Penny. It 0:00:12.880 --> 0:00:17.120 is Benny versus the Penny. Week thirteen in the NFL. 0:00:17.200 --> 0:00:20.640 Now we are smack dab in the middle of this 0:00:20.880 --> 0:00:23.480 on the fifth hour with Ben Mallory. We already had 0:00:23.520 --> 0:00:25.880 three games that were playing on Thanksgiving. He had the 0:00:25.920 --> 0:00:29.400 Bears and the Lions, the Bills and the Cowboys, and 0:00:29.440 --> 0:00:32.080 the Saints and the Falcons. So rather than talk about 0:00:32.080 --> 0:00:35.320 those games, we have to look forward. We don't look back. 0:00:35.680 --> 0:00:38.080 We look forward. Now we can look back to last weekend, 0:00:38.479 --> 0:00:40.880 because when I do well, I like to look back. 0:00:41.000 --> 0:00:45.200 And this podcast the keeper of the penny is the 0:00:45.280 --> 0:00:49.559 annoying narcissist David Gascon as he is with me. You know, 0:00:49.600 --> 0:00:52.000 it doesn't say much on this podcast, but I guess 0:00:52.080 --> 0:00:56.640 goan last week. How did we do against the spread 0:00:56.680 --> 0:01:01.480 against the number where that's separate rates the adults from 0:01:01.480 --> 0:01:03.760 the children. How did we do against the spread in 0:01:03.840 --> 0:01:06.120 week twelve? You can also call me a good looking 0:01:06.160 --> 0:01:08.760 and charming You can do that if you'd like I was. 0:01:09.040 --> 0:01:11.560 If I was blind in death, I would say that 0:01:11.840 --> 0:01:14.360 you've finished ten and four in a week. Numbers twelve 0:01:14.400 --> 0:01:17.440 of the National Football No need to clap guests, Scoon, 0:01:17.520 --> 0:01:19.880 there's no need to clap their ten and four. That's 0:01:19.880 --> 0:01:24.720 a seven fourteen winning percentage. Do we hardest goes? What? 0:01:24.720 --> 0:01:28.600 What thing do we shine the penny in in postseason football? 0:01:28.800 --> 0:01:31.120 Or will you? Will you dip your toes into that? 0:01:31.160 --> 0:01:34.679 I know Weeks seven teams a little cautious. Um, yeah, 0:01:34.760 --> 0:01:37.759 I usually don't do a Week seventeen because it's horrible. 0:01:37.880 --> 0:01:39.679 There's only a couple of games where both teams are 0:01:39.680 --> 0:01:42.840 trying and I find it repulsive. So I my advice 0:01:42.920 --> 0:01:45.000 is always not to bet on Week seventeen. So I 0:01:45.000 --> 0:01:46.960 don't even know if we're gonna do it for Weeks seventeen. 0:01:48.200 --> 0:01:50.360 But and the other thing is like I usually just 0:01:50.440 --> 0:01:52.160 did Benny Versus the Penning on the radio, but we 0:01:52.200 --> 0:01:53.880 could do it on the podcast. I just don't think 0:01:53.920 --> 0:01:58.720 we can do a standalone podcast with one or two games, 0:01:58.760 --> 0:02:00.800 you know what I'm like, While our weekend we could 0:02:00.800 --> 0:02:02.800 probably do it because there's four games on a wild 0:02:02.840 --> 0:02:06.400 card weekend, but then it quickly, uh you know, it 0:02:06.440 --> 0:02:09.440 whittles down pretty quick in the playoffs. Well, can we 0:02:09.520 --> 0:02:13.120 test your your Benny versus the Penny metal and and 0:02:13.200 --> 0:02:18.520 dip our toes into the bowl season of college football. Uh, 0:02:18.560 --> 0:02:20.640 we could do some of that. I'd be I'd be 0:02:20.680 --> 0:02:23.200 open to that, but it has to be like, uh, 0:02:23.240 --> 0:02:25.440 you know, it's gotta be I'm not doing the Weed 0:02:25.440 --> 0:02:28.800 Either Bowl or the Bahamas Bowl. It's gotta be like, 0:02:29.040 --> 0:02:31.040 I'll do a few of the big games, the the 0:02:31.200 --> 0:02:33.519 grand daddy of them all, the Rose Bowl and the 0:02:33.960 --> 0:02:37.520 BCS playing there. They're called the BCS. The college Football 0:02:37.560 --> 0:02:39.960 playoffs set up and all that. Yeah, we could do that. 0:02:40.360 --> 0:02:43.160 I'll keep you away from any kind of Mac or 0:02:43.320 --> 0:02:47.160 Mountain West activity, Uh, any kind of Independence Bowls or 0:02:47.160 --> 0:02:49.120 anything like that, so we can we can do that 0:02:49.120 --> 0:02:52.480 because right now we have Ohio State, l s U, Clemson, 0:02:52.600 --> 0:02:55.520 and Georgia as your one through four, and the playoff 0:02:55.600 --> 0:02:57.519 rankings that they stay as is. It should be a 0:02:57.600 --> 0:03:00.480 nice set up as we get ready towards. Uh. Here's that. 0:03:01.320 --> 0:03:04.160 I will show you my vast knowledge of college sports, 0:03:04.200 --> 0:03:07.680 and uh, I will impress, I will impress the masses. 0:03:07.680 --> 0:03:09.799 All well, let's get to it. It is again Week 0:03:09.880 --> 0:03:12.960 thirteen in the NFL, the first game up for us. Now, 0:03:12.960 --> 0:03:16.760 before we give you the games, a disclaimer, UH, this 0:03:16.880 --> 0:03:20.359 is for entertainment purposes only unless you win, uh, then 0:03:20.480 --> 0:03:23.400 you must tip the dealer if you win. Uh. And 0:03:23.440 --> 0:03:26.639 also this is designed to give you. We're giving you 0:03:26.720 --> 0:03:29.239 a lot of opinions on these games. So I always 0:03:29.240 --> 0:03:32.320 tell people who are new to the podcast, the the 0:03:32.400 --> 0:03:35.960 Benny versus the Penny version, that what you really should 0:03:36.040 --> 0:03:41.880 do is wait, it handicapped the game yourself. And if 0:03:41.920 --> 0:03:44.280 I agree and you agree, you do your own homework. 0:03:44.320 --> 0:03:48.000 And if if our thoughts line up on that game, 0:03:48.040 --> 0:03:50.600 that's a game you should probably bet on. So that's 0:03:50.640 --> 0:03:52.200 that's how we should do. Is We'll start out with 0:03:52.280 --> 0:03:56.520 Green Bay eight and three at New Jersey. They're playing 0:03:56.560 --> 0:04:00.440 the Giants. It's on Fox. You better watch. Are we 0:04:00.520 --> 0:04:03.560 doing the Dick Stockton game this week? Yes, but that 0:04:03.760 --> 0:04:06.880 is not the game. Uh No, it is not the 0:04:06.960 --> 0:04:10.920 Dick Stockton game. That is a Tom Brennaman Chris Spielman game. 0:04:11.800 --> 0:04:14.840 And the Packers opened up a seven and a half 0:04:14.880 --> 0:04:17.760 point favorite. They're favorite by six and a half. The 0:04:17.920 --> 0:04:22.640 forecast in the Tri state area calls for thunderstorms thirty 0:04:22.839 --> 0:04:26.919 six degrees at kickoff at met Life Stadium in the 0:04:26.960 --> 0:04:31.200 swamp Lands of New Jersey. The pick is in. I'll 0:04:31.200 --> 0:04:34.159 be taking the Giants in this game. Now, a couple 0:04:34.160 --> 0:04:38.640 of thoughts. A Matt Laflare the coach at green Bay. 0:04:38.760 --> 0:04:40.920 I believe he on the sidelines. He did not have 0:04:41.040 --> 0:04:43.800 green Bay Packer gear. He was wearing a hazmat suit 0:04:44.279 --> 0:04:48.640 last weekend watching the Packers melt down against the forty 0:04:48.760 --> 0:04:51.320 Niners and that Sunday night game that was a placement 0:04:51.360 --> 0:04:55.039 test game. And it appears green Bay has to repeat 0:04:55.080 --> 0:04:58.040 the third grade. Now, obviously this is a much easier opponent, 0:04:58.520 --> 0:05:01.000 but Green Bay was not ready to play, and they 0:05:01.040 --> 0:05:05.400 were not ready to play in both games in California. 0:05:05.520 --> 0:05:08.160 And it's an odd thing with the Packers because they 0:05:08.200 --> 0:05:12.120 have this gaudy aden free record. Aaron Rodgers has eighteen 0:05:12.160 --> 0:05:17.320 touchdowns and two interceptions, and yet the eyeball test says 0:05:17.360 --> 0:05:21.240 he's leaving some money on the table. He's not playing 0:05:21.279 --> 0:05:24.920 as well as he could play. And just for example, 0:05:25.080 --> 0:05:27.919 Sam Donald in particular, Sam Donald has been a better 0:05:28.040 --> 0:05:33.480 quarterback on the road this season than Aaron Rodgers. So 0:05:33.560 --> 0:05:36.200 I thought that was that was interesting. This game is 0:05:36.240 --> 0:05:40.040 a road game. You've got the growing pains of Daniel Jones. Lately, 0:05:40.120 --> 0:05:43.080 Sequon Barkley has been a shell of what he had 0:05:43.120 --> 0:05:47.160 been because of injury, but he's still playing. I'll give 0:05:47.240 --> 0:05:50.359 him credit for that. But the main reason I like 0:05:50.440 --> 0:05:53.600 the Giants despite all that the public is on green Bay. 0:05:53.880 --> 0:05:58.080 The professional gamblers, the ones that are supposed to know 0:05:58.320 --> 0:06:00.880 and bet the most, there on the side of the Giants. 0:06:00.920 --> 0:06:05.880 Now green Bay is over rated. Uh, the Giants are 0:06:05.920 --> 0:06:09.479 a bad team. But there's value here, all right. There's 0:06:09.600 --> 0:06:12.800 value that the home team, Packers have not played well 0:06:12.800 --> 0:06:17.400 in the road recently, and you're getting almost a touchdown, 0:06:17.839 --> 0:06:20.520 so you have the possibility of a backdoor cover in 0:06:20.560 --> 0:06:22.720 the fourth quarter, which is exactly what the Giants did 0:06:22.720 --> 0:06:27.000 against Chicago last week. So I am taking the Packers 0:06:27.040 --> 0:06:32.599 to win, but the Giants to cover. Packers twenty, Giants seventeen. 0:06:35.960 --> 0:06:39.960 And the Penny is going with the New York Giants. Alright, 0:06:40.000 --> 0:06:43.680 So the Penny piggybacking my work. They're knowing that I 0:06:43.720 --> 0:06:48.120 am a great prognosticator. That's what more about age versus beauty. 0:06:48.320 --> 0:06:52.200 I think since you're the elder statesman, Deepenny relies on 0:06:52.279 --> 0:06:54.839 you going first, and then she goes. I think the 0:06:54.960 --> 0:06:58.039 term for that is a copycat. That's a copycat. Dependis 0:06:58.080 --> 0:07:03.120 a copycat. Next up Washington at Carolina. The Redskins are 0:07:03.120 --> 0:07:07.320 two and nine, Carolina is five and six. It's on CBS. 0:07:07.360 --> 0:07:09.200 This game not a Fox game, even though it's two 0:07:09.279 --> 0:07:12.480 NFC teams. They've done that a few times this year. 0:07:12.800 --> 0:07:19.880 It's Greg Gumbel and Trent Green at CBS. Now Carolina 0:07:19.960 --> 0:07:23.480 opened a nine point favorite. They're favored by ten. It's 0:07:23.560 --> 0:07:27.960 typical late November weather and the Carolinas light rain, temperatures 0:07:27.960 --> 0:07:30.320 in the mid sixties that kickoff at Bank of America 0:07:30.360 --> 0:07:35.040 Stadium in Charlotte. I am gonna pick the Carolina Panthers 0:07:35.280 --> 0:07:38.720 in this game. I'm gonna do it now. Dwayne Haskins 0:07:39.400 --> 0:07:42.200 has not only been a quarterback, he has been wretched. 0:07:42.880 --> 0:07:45.080 And I love the story last week that he was 0:07:45.120 --> 0:07:48.160 celebrated in some circles for getting his first win as 0:07:48.160 --> 0:07:52.280 an NFL quarterback. He was taking selfies with fans and 0:07:52.320 --> 0:07:56.400 all that Haskins had in that game against the Lions 0:07:56.800 --> 0:08:00.800 a hundred and fifty six yards passing, no touchdowns, an interception. 0:08:01.160 --> 0:08:08.440 His passer rating was below fifty and yet the perception is, well, 0:08:08.440 --> 0:08:11.600 he's the winning quarterback, he must have played well. Uh. 0:08:11.760 --> 0:08:15.640 Now they're even making excuses because he's been tremendously inaccurate 0:08:15.720 --> 0:08:19.000 Dwayne Haskins, who was pretty accurate at the Ohio State University, 0:08:19.320 --> 0:08:21.280 and now some people around the Redskins are saying that 0:08:21.320 --> 0:08:27.120 he's got this phantom wrist injury. I'm skeptical. Washington simply 0:08:27.360 --> 0:08:31.400 cannot compete against an average or above average team with 0:08:31.520 --> 0:08:35.800 this incompetent quarterback. The way Haskins is playing. I believe 0:08:35.840 --> 0:08:38.640 Haskins will eventually be pretty good, but he ain't pretty 0:08:38.679 --> 0:08:41.400 good right now. This is a non starter. Plus, the 0:08:41.440 --> 0:08:45.520 Redskins mission statement is to lose, to suck, and to blow. 0:08:46.240 --> 0:08:49.360 They can't be winning back to back games here. They 0:08:49.400 --> 0:08:52.000 can't now. The other thing, and the only concern I 0:08:52.040 --> 0:08:57.480 have is Carolina, because Carolina, on my mind, they are 0:08:57.600 --> 0:09:01.640 on fumes. They showed more fight against the Saints last week. 0:09:02.440 --> 0:09:05.480 But are they gonna come out deflated and and just 0:09:05.559 --> 0:09:08.680 go through the motions and play lethargic football because their 0:09:08.760 --> 0:09:13.080 season is pretty much over there not making the playoffs now. 0:09:13.240 --> 0:09:17.960 Kyle Allen, he had sucked for several weeks. He was 0:09:18.120 --> 0:09:21.160 a puke, and he came out of the penalty box 0:09:21.240 --> 0:09:25.040 and he played his first good game in several weeks. 0:09:25.040 --> 0:09:28.640 He had three touchdowns in the Bayou and and did 0:09:28.679 --> 0:09:32.760 a solid job. And if if he plays anywhere close 0:09:32.800 --> 0:09:34.680 to that this week, Carolina wins this game by at 0:09:34.760 --> 0:09:37.520 least twenty one points. Now, if the Panthers lose, Ron 0:09:37.600 --> 0:09:40.079 Rivera should be fired on the spot to lose to 0:09:40.160 --> 0:09:50.760 Dwayne Haskins at home. Panthers thirty one Redskins. Penny's gots 0:09:50.840 --> 0:09:54.160 the Carolina Panthers. Be sure to catch live editions of 0:09:54.240 --> 0:09:57.199 The Ben Maller Show weekdays at two am Eastern eleven 0:09:57.240 --> 0:10:02.200 pm Pacific on Fox Sports Radio the I Heart Radio Whip. Alright, 0:10:02.240 --> 0:10:04.600 so we agree on that kind of defeating the purpose 0:10:04.679 --> 0:10:06.560 of Benny versus the penny. If it's a year ox 0:10:06.679 --> 0:10:09.840 copy every time. Next up, Santa Clara tennant one. This 0:10:09.920 --> 0:10:12.160 is the game of the year in the NFL. Santa 0:10:12.200 --> 0:10:15.960 clar A tenant one Baltimore nine and two. It's on Fox. 0:10:16.760 --> 0:10:18.679 So you better watch who's calling this game. You think 0:10:18.720 --> 0:10:21.920 it's a Dick Stockton game. No, I think this is 0:10:21.960 --> 0:10:25.360 a Kevin Burkhard game. That is correct. It is Kevin 0:10:25.360 --> 0:10:29.440 Burkhard and Charles Davis have the call. In the early 0:10:29.520 --> 0:10:32.480 television window. I'm guessing the NFL wishes they had moved 0:10:32.480 --> 0:10:37.200 this to prime time. They did not. This would be 0:10:37.200 --> 0:10:38.640 a game you would expect to see in the late 0:10:38.640 --> 0:10:40.640 TV window at the very least. But it is an 0:10:40.640 --> 0:10:45.400 early one o'clock kickoff in Baltimore. The Ravens. Prior to 0:10:45.520 --> 0:10:47.720 Monday night game, we're favored by four and a half. 0:10:48.360 --> 0:10:52.960 Baltimore is now favored by six points. In this game. 0:10:53.080 --> 0:10:55.400 You got a ten in one team against the nine 0:10:55.440 --> 0:10:57.680 and two team, and the nine and two team is 0:10:57.720 --> 0:11:02.199 favored by almost in touchdown. The four forecast at MNT 0:11:02.400 --> 0:11:06.319 Bank Stadium, the House that Sports with Coleman built rainy 0:11:06.480 --> 0:11:11.600 and forty three degrees at kickoff in Baltimore, the pick 0:11:11.720 --> 0:11:17.319 is in. I'm painting for gold with the forty Niners. 0:11:17.320 --> 0:11:19.120 I'm gonna take the forty Niners in this game. Now, 0:11:19.120 --> 0:11:22.520 First of all, this should be a slobber knocker. The 0:11:22.679 --> 0:11:26.320 Ravens are the darlings of the NFL. We all know 0:11:26.400 --> 0:11:28.960 that for the recent performance, a deservedly so. It's one 0:11:29.000 --> 0:11:31.960 of the great runs we've seen in NFL history. It's 0:11:32.000 --> 0:11:34.959 such a dominant run it reminds me of the greatest 0:11:35.000 --> 0:11:38.400 show on turf of the old St. Louis rams back 0:11:38.440 --> 0:11:41.640 in the day. But it's not like the forty Niners 0:11:41.640 --> 0:11:44.640 have been shop liver here in mince meat. They've been 0:11:44.720 --> 0:11:48.480 turning teams into mince meat all year. They're the real McCoy. 0:11:48.520 --> 0:11:51.440 So it's the number one defense for the forty Niners 0:11:51.559 --> 0:11:56.199 against the most lethal dual threat quarterback who's been clicking 0:11:56.240 --> 0:12:00.080 on all cylinders here in Lamar Jackson, who's got a 0:12:00.200 --> 0:12:04.720 ridiculous sizzle reel. So what happens? You got the unstoppable force, 0:12:04.840 --> 0:12:08.160 meaning the immovable object. We're gonna find out. I believe 0:12:08.240 --> 0:12:11.280 the forty Niners are the right side here. Now. The 0:12:11.360 --> 0:12:16.079 second thing, the real pressure is on Garoppolo, Jimmy Garoppolo 0:12:16.240 --> 0:12:21.079 and the Niners running game collectively corroborative effort. They've got 0:12:21.080 --> 0:12:23.920 to come out in what figures to be soggy conditions 0:12:23.920 --> 0:12:27.080 in Baltimore play with the league right, come out early 0:12:27.160 --> 0:12:30.359 in the game. We saw this before with Cleveland. Baltimore 0:12:30.480 --> 0:12:34.040 style of play lends itself to being a front runner, right, 0:12:34.160 --> 0:12:38.360 meaning that if they fall behind, that eliminates the dual 0:12:38.400 --> 0:12:41.640 threat that puts the kabbash on the running game. They 0:12:41.640 --> 0:12:44.560 then have to scramble with throws to try and get 0:12:44.600 --> 0:12:48.800 back in the game. You know, people are overreacting a 0:12:48.880 --> 0:12:51.640 wee bit to the Monday night game because of the 0:12:51.720 --> 0:12:55.120 Ramps did not show up in that game. And the 0:12:55.240 --> 0:12:57.800 Ravens are the same team that lost to Cleveland at home, 0:12:57.800 --> 0:12:59.640 then the same team that had to go to overtime 0:13:00.160 --> 0:13:04.880 against the Baltimore Ravens. So it's it's not like that 0:13:05.040 --> 0:13:08.600 this team is invincible. They're hot right now if you 0:13:08.640 --> 0:13:11.439 believe in such things. They lost one of their key 0:13:11.440 --> 0:13:13.400 offensive line in their centers out for the year in 0:13:13.440 --> 0:13:16.800 the Rams game. The forty Niners got George Kittle back. 0:13:16.880 --> 0:13:20.679 That's huge as he returned to Santa Clara's lineup. And 0:13:21.000 --> 0:13:23.960 at the time we are recording many versus the Penny, 0:13:24.000 --> 0:13:27.120 it sounds like Matt Brita and d Ford a couple 0:13:27.120 --> 0:13:30.760 of other key players could be back either way. Uh, 0:13:30.840 --> 0:13:33.560 you got a ten in one team with the number 0:13:33.559 --> 0:13:38.120 one defense and that great defensive line that should be 0:13:38.200 --> 0:13:41.480 able to bottleneck the running game and and all that. 0:13:41.800 --> 0:13:45.440 Getting over six points. You gotta be kidding me. I'm 0:13:45.440 --> 0:13:48.520 gonna take that every day of the week as certainly 0:13:48.520 --> 0:13:50.560 gonna take that. This is one of my better plays. 0:13:50.880 --> 0:13:54.880 The forty Niners not a fraud. They will square the circle. 0:13:55.240 --> 0:13:58.800 They will find the cheat code to Lamar Jackson Niners 0:14:00.600 --> 0:14:07.680 Ravens seven in a Classic, and the penny is Got's 0:14:08.040 --> 0:14:11.720 cheat sheet. It is San Francisco for the one. Be 0:14:11.840 --> 0:14:14.280 sure to catch live editions of The Ben Miller Show 0:14:14.280 --> 0:14:17.240 wheat days at two a m. Eastern eleven pm Pacific. 0:14:18.040 --> 0:14:21.840 Wait wait, wait, so we've done three games here so far, 0:14:21.960 --> 0:14:26.400 so good. All right, you should be happy about this. 0:14:26.560 --> 0:14:29.440 You finished ten four last week. You were gloating about 0:14:29.440 --> 0:14:33.360 your performance. You don't know how hardiness go over and 0:14:33.400 --> 0:14:35.480 win games. You need to win fifty five percent to 0:14:35.520 --> 0:14:37.680 make any kind of profit and gambling. Blah blah blah 0:14:37.680 --> 0:14:41.520 blah blah. You should be happy about the penny. Well, no, 0:14:42.640 --> 0:14:45.800 it's it's just not exciting. And people like when we disagree. 0:14:45.840 --> 0:14:48.440 But fine whatever, I fine, we agree, I'm right, so 0:14:48.800 --> 0:14:52.760 as always I'm right. Next up, now, this is another game. 0:14:52.800 --> 0:14:55.520 This is a game that Lucas Oil Stadium is a dome. 0:14:55.600 --> 0:14:58.440 It's gonna be cloudy and forty one degrees outside the 0:14:58.440 --> 0:15:01.640 dome in Indianapolis at golf of this game, the Colts 0:15:02.200 --> 0:15:04.440 are the pick. I'm gonna take Indianapolis. Now, this is 0:15:04.440 --> 0:15:06.520 the game. Originally, when I first looked at the game, 0:15:07.480 --> 0:15:11.080 I was leaning towards Tennessee. But the I started crunching 0:15:11.080 --> 0:15:14.160 the numbers, and I started looking at the different angles 0:15:14.200 --> 0:15:16.960 to this game, and and then I realized there's a 0:15:17.000 --> 0:15:21.280 dense fog advisory around the Titans. And so I'm gonna 0:15:21.320 --> 0:15:23.040 be on the home team here, the Colts. And I'll 0:15:23.040 --> 0:15:28.600 tell you why I don't trust Ryan Tannehill. Period hard 0:15:28.680 --> 0:15:33.000 stop right and Tannehill right now is playing above his skis. 0:15:33.240 --> 0:15:35.920 He's leading the NFL in the yards for attempt, He's 0:15:35.960 --> 0:15:39.160 completing over seventy of his passes. This is the last 0:15:39.240 --> 0:15:42.200 quarterback to do it is Joe Montana. This is an 0:15:42.240 --> 0:15:46.440 out of body experience. However, I'm not drinking the kool 0:15:46.480 --> 0:15:49.840 aid yet for two reasons. Number one, I believe these 0:15:49.840 --> 0:15:54.040 are hollow numbers. Why because Ryan Tannehill has beaten up 0:15:54.040 --> 0:15:57.880 a bunch of lightweights, hasn't done it against a good 0:15:58.160 --> 0:16:01.720 or above average team. The Colts are a much better test. 0:16:01.800 --> 0:16:04.160 They're a better team than anyone he's faced so far. 0:16:05.320 --> 0:16:09.600 And the second thing here is that if you look 0:16:09.600 --> 0:16:13.840 at the track record of the Dolphins career of Ryan Tannehill, 0:16:13.880 --> 0:16:16.520 before he got to Tennessee. And this tells you what 0:16:16.600 --> 0:16:19.160 has happened, doesn't tell you what's gonna happen. But Tannehill 0:16:19.360 --> 0:16:23.240 would have occasional games where he looked amazing and it 0:16:23.240 --> 0:16:26.520 would give this false hope to the Miami fan. But 0:16:26.920 --> 0:16:29.960 we we dubbed this thing gas on the Tannehill to step. 0:16:30.280 --> 0:16:33.000 You know what the Tannehill too step is. This is 0:16:33.160 --> 0:16:35.840 similar Ryan Fitzpatrick. Right, you do something good, then you 0:16:35.880 --> 0:16:37.960 throw a bunch of I N T s next game. Well, 0:16:37.960 --> 0:16:40.560 it's a dance move. It's you take one step forward 0:16:40.640 --> 0:16:43.960 and two steps back. And that's what Tannehill has done. Right, 0:16:43.960 --> 0:16:47.120 he'll have a masterpiece and then he'll come back and 0:16:47.200 --> 0:16:49.800 he'll have a reversal of fortune. Now, sometimes he has 0:16:49.840 --> 0:16:51.960 a couple of masterpieces and then he follows it up 0:16:52.360 --> 0:16:56.760 with three pieces of of feces that you know, just projectile, 0:16:56.960 --> 0:17:01.200 vomit all that. So that's that's a concern. Secondly, uh, 0:17:02.080 --> 0:17:04.920 it's not perfect. Its bets not perfect, because any is 0:17:04.960 --> 0:17:07.480 still a mash munit unit. They are the guys, the 0:17:07.680 --> 0:17:09.879 key players, several of them are out. The backups have 0:17:09.920 --> 0:17:12.680 done a pretty good job. But let's not go overboard. 0:17:12.720 --> 0:17:17.000 Here they still don't have Marlon Mack. They don't he's out. 0:17:17.440 --> 0:17:20.679 Eric Ebron's gone the tight end, so it is up 0:17:20.720 --> 0:17:23.600 to the replacements. Here. They're gonna have to run the 0:17:23.640 --> 0:17:26.480 ball because Jacoby Brissette struggles to throw the ball. But 0:17:26.560 --> 0:17:28.720 I like the coltst Dave Roberts would say, I like 0:17:28.760 --> 0:17:31.679 the Colts in this spot, coming off a loss to 0:17:31.720 --> 0:17:36.600 the Texans, having extra time to prepare. Frank Reich is 0:17:36.640 --> 0:17:38.720 the better coach. So if it comes down to the 0:17:38.720 --> 0:17:42.280 fourth quarter, close game, I'd rather have Frank wright Uh 0:17:42.440 --> 0:17:46.359 in the game than Mike rabel And and plus the 0:17:46.440 --> 0:17:50.520 public is all over Ryan Tannell. If he was a musician, 0:17:50.560 --> 0:17:53.720 they'd say he's Mozart. I don't believe he's Mozarty. This 0:17:53.800 --> 0:17:57.080 is a a key game. I will go with the 0:17:57.280 --> 0:18:01.160 grit and the moxie of the cold to muck up 0:18:01.200 --> 0:18:05.280 the game too. Muck it up and they will win 0:18:05.720 --> 0:18:08.679 ugly yet again, but they will barely buy the skin 0:18:08.800 --> 0:18:12.399 on their chinny chin chin cover the spread Indianapolis twenty 0:18:12.480 --> 0:18:21.359 three and the Tennessee Titans twenty The penny is gone 0:18:21.359 --> 0:18:24.320 with the Tennessee Titans. The hair on your tennage chins 0:18:24.400 --> 0:18:27.840 and dummy. Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk 0:18:27.920 --> 0:18:30.640 lineup in the nation. Catch all of our shows at 0:18:30.640 --> 0:18:34.040 Fox sports Radio dot com and within the I Heart 0:18:34.119 --> 0:18:37.399 Radio app. Search f s R to listen live. That 0:18:37.920 --> 0:18:47.879 is incorrect. The hair hey stupid. The expression works both ways. 0:18:48.000 --> 0:18:50.800 You can either use the skin on their chinny chin chin, 0:18:51.080 --> 0:18:53.360 or you can use hair on their chinny chin chin. 0:18:53.840 --> 0:18:56.200 If you google it, you will see that I am 0:18:56.240 --> 0:19:00.320 correct and that you are just unevolved. You're uneducated, and 0:19:00.400 --> 0:19:02.960 you do not know the nuance of language the way 0:19:03.000 --> 0:19:06.120 I do. All I do is study language, right, That's 0:19:06.119 --> 0:19:08.879 all I do. You're out there on those dating sites 0:19:08.960 --> 0:19:13.560 is what you're doing. I'm I'm studying language. Okay. Oh well, 0:19:13.680 --> 0:19:15.880 I can see that. That's uh, it's working quite well 0:19:15.920 --> 0:19:20.200 for you. Moving on, let repress on. Oh wow, alright, 0:19:20.480 --> 0:19:24.480 moving on another win for me there Philadelphia five and 0:19:24.600 --> 0:19:30.480 six at Miami two and nine. It's on Fox. Now. 0:19:30.640 --> 0:19:37.199 Is this is this game with Dick Stockton game? I 0:19:37.320 --> 0:19:39.520 was going between him and Kenny Albert and this one. 0:19:39.680 --> 0:19:42.880 So I'm gonna say, yeahs Dick Stockton on this one. 0:19:43.160 --> 0:19:47.880 David Guest, Karen, congratulations, you just lost the Dick Stockton 0:19:47.960 --> 0:19:51.560 game you did not win. It is Kenny Albert who 0:19:51.600 --> 0:19:56.360 has the call should have gone, you should have gone 0:19:56.400 --> 0:19:58.639 behind curtain number one. That's a bad job by you. 0:19:58.720 --> 0:20:04.200 Guess guy, what did he? It's odd because normally Kenny 0:20:04.200 --> 0:20:07.960 Albert does every Giant's game, or or if they occasionally 0:20:08.000 --> 0:20:11.800 get a Jets game. But yeah, he's doing. Dolphins Eagles 0:20:12.080 --> 0:20:16.720 in beautiful Miami now Philly open attend They actually opened 0:20:16.760 --> 0:20:19.720 a seven and appoint favorite. The line is all the 0:20:19.760 --> 0:20:22.879 way up to ten. It's gonna be sunny eighty degrees 0:20:23.080 --> 0:20:26.639 at kickoff at hard Rock Stadium in Miami with a 0:20:26.680 --> 0:20:30.840 bunch of dudes from South Philly in the Delaware Valley 0:20:31.200 --> 0:20:35.359 who will infiltrate Miami. I'm gonna take the Dolphins in 0:20:35.400 --> 0:20:38.400 this game, and I know that's against popular opinion. I'll 0:20:38.400 --> 0:20:41.840 be the contrarian here. A couple of thoughts. At first, Lance, 0:20:42.160 --> 0:20:44.399 I agree that the Eagles should win this game in 0:20:44.440 --> 0:20:48.840 a cake walk. But very few things have gone easy. 0:20:49.119 --> 0:20:51.480 Very few things have gone easy for the Birds. Their 0:20:51.520 --> 0:20:55.879 twenty nineteen offense is field goal or punch. That's the 0:20:56.000 --> 0:20:59.359 offense of the Philadelphia Eagles this year. Carson Wentz has 0:20:59.359 --> 0:21:02.760 been in a nick. His numbers are not bad. But 0:21:03.160 --> 0:21:06.119 check this out. Twenty two games, last twenty two games 0:21:06.119 --> 0:21:09.320 Carson Wentz is started, the Eagles have a losing record. 0:21:09.359 --> 0:21:13.000 They're ten and twelve with Carson Wentz as their quarterback 0:21:13.080 --> 0:21:16.640 the last twenty two games. The Eagles are lacking playmakers. 0:21:16.600 --> 0:21:20.440 They are lacking the wow factor Carson Wentz. Now they're 0:21:20.480 --> 0:21:24.040 making excuses saying he's got a mangled hand. These are 0:21:24.080 --> 0:21:27.320 not positives when you're talking about a double digit point spread. 0:21:27.359 --> 0:21:31.520 Now I'm not here advocating. Secondly, for the Dolphins. They 0:21:31.600 --> 0:21:35.919 have so many issues. They need more than therapy. They 0:21:35.960 --> 0:21:39.160 probably need to be institutionalized in the Miami Dolphins. But 0:21:39.160 --> 0:21:42.000 but this is more of a bet against Philly than 0:21:42.040 --> 0:21:44.479 it is a confidence play on Miami. And I like 0:21:44.560 --> 0:21:47.640 to look at the psychological part of gambling. The Eagles 0:21:47.680 --> 0:21:51.240 are coming off too high profile games against the Patriots 0:21:51.320 --> 0:21:55.680 and the Seahawks games in Philly, games they lost, and 0:21:55.760 --> 0:22:00.720 now now they are playing the Dolphins, a team nobody 0:22:00.800 --> 0:22:03.760 gets up for. Plus they have the distraction of South 0:22:03.880 --> 0:22:07.760 Beach and you're leaving Philly where it's forty degrees or 0:22:07.840 --> 0:22:11.520 thirty five degrees, are going to Miami where it's eighty degrees. Uh, 0:22:11.600 --> 0:22:13.679 so you have a chance, not a lot of opportunity, 0:22:13.720 --> 0:22:17.480 but a night to get into some debauchery. But double 0:22:17.640 --> 0:22:20.680 digit home doogs and being willing to bet on bad 0:22:20.760 --> 0:22:25.919 teams has been a very good formula to win some 0:22:25.960 --> 0:22:28.960 money over the years. The public almost always prefers road 0:22:29.040 --> 0:22:33.040 favorites instead. I like to go against the public. So 0:22:33.640 --> 0:22:36.119 I'm gonna take Philly to win. But to not cover 0:22:36.480 --> 0:22:44.160 Eagles twenty four Dolphins twenty you stubborn bathroom. You never 0:22:44.280 --> 0:22:47.280 learn your lesson, and Penny is picking the Eagles. Fly Fly, 0:22:47.440 --> 0:22:53.080 fly fly right into weed Man's house there in South Florida. 0:22:53.920 --> 0:22:59.200 Al right, next up Tampa Bay at Jacksonville. It's on Fox. 0:22:59.400 --> 0:23:02.240 You better watch four and seven, four and seven the 0:23:02.280 --> 0:23:05.560 records here? Who's calling this game? Is this? You've already 0:23:05.600 --> 0:23:07.600 lost the Dick Stockton game. But is this the Dick 0:23:07.600 --> 0:23:12.200 Stockton game? That is correct? This is the Dick Stockton 0:23:12.280 --> 0:23:16.000 Mark Flare game. So you didn't win, but you came 0:23:16.040 --> 0:23:19.680 close to winning the Dick Stockton game. And this game open, 0:23:19.720 --> 0:23:21.399 how about this line? Do you see the line movement 0:23:21.400 --> 0:23:24.720 on this Jackson Jacksonville open a four and a half 0:23:24.760 --> 0:23:29.119 point favorite. They are now favored by one one stinking point. 0:23:29.320 --> 0:23:34.639 At t i a a bank field in Jacksonville, be 0:23:34.720 --> 0:23:38.639 cloudy and seventies seven degrees at kickoff cloudy and seventy 0:23:38.680 --> 0:23:43.119 seven degrees. I'm taking Tampa Bay in this game, and 0:23:43.119 --> 0:23:46.440 and I'll walk you through how I got the Tampa 0:23:46.480 --> 0:23:52.600 Bay Alright, Ay, this is the Sunshine Bowl. Whoever wins 0:23:52.640 --> 0:23:55.840 this game wins the bragging rights for Florida because the 0:23:55.880 --> 0:23:58.240 Dolphins are worse than both these teams. Uh. Now, I 0:23:58.280 --> 0:24:00.960 saw it where Jacks coach douglall Ron says that Nick 0:24:01.040 --> 0:24:04.080 Foles gives his team the best chance to win, so 0:24:04.119 --> 0:24:06.280