Speaker 1: Welcome, players, Welcome. It's time now Penny the Penny. It
Speaker 1: is Benny versus the Penny. Week thirteen in the NFL.
Speaker 1: Now we are smack dab in the middle of this
Speaker 1: on the fifth hour with Ben Mallory. We already had
Speaker 1: three games that were playing on Thanksgiving. He had the
Speaker 1: Bears and the Lions, the Bills and the Cowboys, and
Speaker 1: the Saints and the Falcons. So rather than talk about
Speaker 1: those games, we have to look forward. We don't look back.
Speaker 1: We look forward. Now we can look back to last weekend,
Speaker 1: because when I do well, I like to look back.
Speaker 1: And this podcast the keeper of the penny is the
Speaker 1: annoying narcissist David Gascon as he is with me. You know,
Speaker 1: it doesn't say much on this podcast, but I guess
Speaker 1: goan last week. How did we do against the spread
Speaker 1: against the number where that's separate rates the adults from
Speaker 1: the children. How did we do against the spread in
Speaker 1: week twelve? You can also call me a good looking
Speaker 1: and charming You can do that if you'd like I was.
Speaker 1: If I was blind in death, I would say that
Speaker 1: you've finished ten and four in a week. Numbers twelve
Speaker 1: of the National Football No need to clap guests, Scoon,
Speaker 1: there's no need to clap their ten and four. That's
Speaker 1: a seven fourteen winning percentage. Do we hardest goes? What?
Speaker 1: What thing do we shine the penny in in postseason football?
Speaker 1: Or will you? Will you dip your toes into that?
Speaker 1: I know Weeks seven teams a little cautious. Um, yeah,
Speaker 1: I usually don't do a Week seventeen because it's horrible.
Speaker 1: There's only a couple of games where both teams are
Speaker 1: trying and I find it repulsive. So I my advice
Speaker 1: is always not to bet on Week seventeen. So I
Speaker 1: don't even know if we're gonna do it for Weeks seventeen.
Speaker 1: But and the other thing is like I usually just
Speaker 1: did Benny Versus the Penning on the radio, but we
Speaker 1: could do it on the podcast. I just don't think
Speaker 1: we can do a standalone podcast with one or two games,
Speaker 1: you know what I'm like, While our weekend we could
Speaker 1: probably do it because there's four games on a wild
Speaker 1: card weekend, but then it quickly, uh you know, it
Speaker 1: whittles down pretty quick in the playoffs. Well, can we
Speaker 1: test your your Benny versus the Penny metal and and
Speaker 1: dip our toes into the bowl season of college football. Uh,
Speaker 1: we could do some of that. I'd be I'd be
Speaker 1: open to that, but it has to be like, uh,
Speaker 1: you know, it's gotta be I'm not doing the Weed
Speaker 1: Either Bowl or the Bahamas Bowl. It's gotta be like,
Speaker 1: I'll do a few of the big games, the the
Speaker 1: grand daddy of them all, the Rose Bowl and the
Speaker 1: BCS playing there. They're called the BCS. The college Football
Speaker 1: playoffs set up and all that. Yeah, we could do that.
Speaker 1: I'll keep you away from any kind of Mac or
Speaker 1: Mountain West activity, Uh, any kind of Independence Bowls or
Speaker 1: anything like that, so we can we can do that
Speaker 1: because right now we have Ohio State, l s U, Clemson,
Speaker 1: and Georgia as your one through four, and the playoff
Speaker 1: rankings that they stay as is. It should be a
Speaker 1: nice set up as we get ready towards. Uh. Here's that.
Speaker 1: I will show you my vast knowledge of college sports,
Speaker 1: and uh, I will impress, I will impress the masses.
Speaker 1: All well, let's get to it. It is again Week
Speaker 1: thirteen in the NFL, the first game up for us. Now,
Speaker 1: before we give you the games, a disclaimer, UH, this
Speaker 1: is for entertainment purposes only unless you win, uh, then
Speaker 1: you must tip the dealer if you win. Uh. And
Speaker 1: also this is designed to give you. We're giving you
Speaker 1: a lot of opinions on these games. So I always
Speaker 1: tell people who are new to the podcast, the the
Speaker 1: Benny versus the Penny version, that what you really should
Speaker 1: do is wait, it handicapped the game yourself. And if
Speaker 1: I agree and you agree, you do your own homework.
Speaker 1: And if if our thoughts line up on that game,
Speaker 1: that's a game you should probably bet on. So that's
Speaker 1: that's how we should do. Is We'll start out with
Speaker 1: Green Bay eight and three at New Jersey. They're playing
Speaker 1: the Giants. It's on Fox. You better watch. Are we
Speaker 1: doing the Dick Stockton game this week? Yes, but that
Speaker 1: is not the game. Uh No, it is not the
Speaker 1: Dick Stockton game. That is a Tom Brennaman Chris Spielman game.
Speaker 1: And the Packers opened up a seven and a half
Speaker 1: point favorite. They're favorite by six and a half. The
Speaker 1: forecast in the Tri state area calls for thunderstorms thirty
Speaker 1: six degrees at kickoff at met Life Stadium in the
Speaker 1: swamp Lands of New Jersey. The pick is in. I'll
Speaker 1: be taking the Giants in this game. Now, a couple
Speaker 1: of thoughts. A Matt Laflare the coach at green Bay.
Speaker 1: I believe he on the sidelines. He did not have
Speaker 1: green Bay Packer gear. He was wearing a hazmat suit
Speaker 1: last weekend watching the Packers melt down against the forty
Speaker 1: Niners and that Sunday night game that was a placement
Speaker 1: test game. And it appears green Bay has to repeat
Speaker 1: the third grade. Now, obviously this is a much easier opponent,
Speaker 1: but Green Bay was not ready to play, and they
Speaker 1: were not ready to play in both games in California.
Speaker 1: And it's an odd thing with the Packers because they
Speaker 1: have this gaudy aden free record. Aaron Rodgers has eighteen
Speaker 1: touchdowns and two interceptions, and yet the eyeball test says
Speaker 1: he's leaving some money on the table. He's not playing
Speaker 1: as well as he could play. And just for example,
Speaker 1: Sam Donald in particular, Sam Donald has been a better
Speaker 1: quarterback on the road this season than Aaron Rodgers. So
Speaker 1: I thought that was that was interesting. This game is
Speaker 1: a road game. You've got the growing pains of Daniel Jones. Lately,
Speaker 1: Sequon Barkley has been a shell of what he had
Speaker 1: been because of injury, but he's still playing. I'll give
Speaker 1: him credit for that. But the main reason I like
Speaker 1: the Giants despite all that the public is on green Bay.
Speaker 1: The professional gamblers, the ones that are supposed to know
Speaker 1: and bet the most, there on the side of the Giants.
Speaker 1: Now green Bay is over rated. Uh, the Giants are
Speaker 1: a bad team. But there's value here, all right. There's
Speaker 1: value that the home team, Packers have not played well
Speaker 1: in the road recently, and you're getting almost a touchdown,
Speaker 1: so you have the possibility of a backdoor cover in
Speaker 1: the fourth quarter, which is exactly what the Giants did
Speaker 1: against Chicago last week. So I am taking the Packers
Speaker 1: to win, but the Giants to cover. Packers twenty, Giants seventeen.
Speaker 1: And the Penny is going with the New York Giants. Alright,
Speaker 1: So the Penny piggybacking my work. They're knowing that I
Speaker 1: am a great prognosticator. That's what more about age versus beauty.
Speaker 1: I think since you're the elder statesman, Deepenny relies on
Speaker 1: you going first, and then she goes. I think the
Speaker 1: term for that is a copycat. That's a copycat. Dependis
Speaker 1: a copycat. Next up Washington at Carolina. The Redskins are
Speaker 1: two and nine, Carolina is five and six. It's on CBS.
Speaker 1: This game not a Fox game, even though it's two
Speaker 1: NFC teams. They've done that a few times this year.
Speaker 1: It's Greg Gumbel and Trent Green at CBS. Now Carolina
Speaker 1: opened a nine point favorite. They're favored by ten. It's
Speaker 1: typical late November weather and the Carolinas light rain, temperatures
Speaker 1: in the mid sixties that kickoff at Bank of America
Speaker 1: Stadium in Charlotte. I am gonna pick the Carolina Panthers
Speaker 1: in this game. I'm gonna do it now. Dwayne Haskins
Speaker 1: has not only been a quarterback, he has been wretched.
Speaker 1: And I love the story last week that he was
Speaker 1: celebrated in some circles for getting his first win as
Speaker 1: an NFL quarterback. He was taking selfies with fans and
Speaker 1: all that Haskins had in that game against the Lions
Speaker 1: a hundred and fifty six yards passing, no touchdowns, an interception.
Speaker 1: His passer rating was below fifty and yet the perception is, well,
Speaker 1: he's the winning quarterback, he must have played well. Uh.
Speaker 1: Now they're even making excuses because he's been tremendously inaccurate
Speaker 1: Dwayne Haskins, who was pretty accurate at the Ohio State University,
Speaker 1: and now some people around the Redskins are saying that
Speaker 1: he's got this phantom wrist injury. I'm skeptical. Washington simply
Speaker 1: cannot compete against an average or above average team with
Speaker 1: this incompetent quarterback. The way Haskins is playing. I believe
Speaker 1: Haskins will eventually be pretty good, but he ain't pretty
Speaker 1: good right now. This is a non starter. Plus, the
Speaker 1: Redskins mission statement is to lose, to suck, and to blow.
Speaker 1: They can't be winning back to back games here. They
Speaker 1: can't now. The other thing, and the only concern I
Speaker 1: have is Carolina, because Carolina, on my mind, they are
Speaker 1: on fumes. They showed more fight against the Saints last week.
Speaker 1: But are they gonna come out deflated and and just
Speaker 1: go through the motions and play lethargic football because their
Speaker 1: season is pretty much over there not making the playoffs now.
Speaker 1: Kyle Allen, he had sucked for several weeks. He was
Speaker 1: a puke, and he came out of the penalty box
Speaker 1: and he played his first good game in several weeks.
Speaker 1: He had three touchdowns in the Bayou and and did
Speaker 1: a solid job. And if if he plays anywhere close
Speaker 1: to that this week, Carolina wins this game by at
Speaker 1: least twenty one points. Now, if the Panthers lose, Ron
Speaker 1: Rivera should be fired on the spot to lose to
Speaker 1: Dwayne Haskins at home. Panthers thirty one Redskins. Penny's gots
Speaker 1: the Carolina Panthers. Be sure to catch live editions of
Speaker 1: The Ben Maller Show weekdays at two am Eastern eleven
Speaker 1: pm Pacific on Fox Sports Radio the I Heart Radio Whip. Alright,
Speaker 1: so we agree on that kind of defeating the purpose
Speaker 1: of Benny versus the penny. If it's a year ox
Speaker 1: copy every time. Next up, Santa Clara tennant one. This
Speaker 1: is the game of the year in the NFL. Santa
Speaker 1: clar A tenant one Baltimore nine and two. It's on Fox.
Speaker 1: So you better watch who's calling this game. You think
Speaker 1: it's a Dick Stockton game. No, I think this is
Speaker 1: a Kevin Burkhard game. That is correct. It is Kevin
Speaker 1: Burkhard and Charles Davis have the call. In the early
Speaker 1: television window. I'm guessing the NFL wishes they had moved
Speaker 1: this to prime time. They did not. This would be
Speaker 1: a game you would expect to see in the late
Speaker 1: TV window at the very least. But it is an
Speaker 1: early one o'clock kickoff in Baltimore. The Ravens. Prior to
Speaker 1: Monday night game, we're favored by four and a half.
Speaker 1: Baltimore is now favored by six points. In this game.
Speaker 1: You got a ten in one team against the nine
Speaker 1: and two team, and the nine and two team is
Speaker 1: favored by almost in touchdown. The four forecast at MNT
Speaker 1: Bank Stadium, the House that Sports with Coleman built rainy
Speaker 1: and forty three degrees at kickoff in Baltimore, the pick
Speaker 1: is in. I'm painting for gold with the forty Niners.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the forty Niners in this game. Now,
Speaker 1: First of all, this should be a slobber knocker. The
Speaker 1: Ravens are the darlings of the NFL. We all know
Speaker 1: that for the recent performance, a deservedly so. It's one
Speaker 1: of the great runs we've seen in NFL history. It's
Speaker 1: such a dominant run it reminds me of the greatest
Speaker 1: show on turf of the old St. Louis rams back
Speaker 1: in the day. But it's not like the forty Niners
Speaker 1: have been shop liver here in mince meat. They've been
Speaker 1: turning teams into mince meat all year. They're the real McCoy.
Speaker 1: So it's the number one defense for the forty Niners
Speaker 1: against the most lethal dual threat quarterback who's been clicking
Speaker 1: on all cylinders here in Lamar Jackson, who's got a
Speaker 1: ridiculous sizzle reel. So what happens? You got the unstoppable force,
Speaker 1: meaning the immovable object. We're gonna find out. I believe
Speaker 1: the forty Niners are the right side here. Now. The
Speaker 1: second thing, the real pressure is on Garoppolo, Jimmy Garoppolo
Speaker 1: and the Niners running game collectively corroborative effort. They've got
Speaker 1: to come out in what figures to be soggy conditions
Speaker 1: in Baltimore play with the league right, come out early
Speaker 1: in the game. We saw this before with Cleveland. Baltimore
Speaker 1: style of play lends itself to being a front runner, right,
Speaker 1: meaning that if they fall behind, that eliminates the dual
Speaker 1: threat that puts the kabbash on the running game. They
Speaker 1: then have to scramble with throws to try and get
Speaker 1: back in the game. You know, people are overreacting a
Speaker 1: wee bit to the Monday night game because of the
Speaker 1: Ramps did not show up in that game. And the
Speaker 1: Ravens are the same team that lost to Cleveland at home,
Speaker 1: then the same team that had to go to overtime
Speaker 1: against the Baltimore Ravens. So it's it's not like that
Speaker 1: this team is invincible. They're hot right now if you
Speaker 1: believe in such things. They lost one of their key
Speaker 1: offensive line in their centers out for the year in
Speaker 1: the Rams game. The forty Niners got George Kittle back.
Speaker 1: That's huge as he returned to Santa Clara's lineup. And
Speaker 1: at the time we are recording many versus the Penny,
Speaker 1: it sounds like Matt Brita and d Ford a couple
Speaker 1: of other key players could be back either way. Uh,
Speaker 1: you got a ten in one team with the number
Speaker 1: one defense and that great defensive line that should be
Speaker 1: able to bottleneck the running game and and all that.
Speaker 1: Getting over six points. You gotta be kidding me. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna take that every day of the week as certainly
Speaker 1: gonna take that. This is one of my better plays.
Speaker 1: The forty Niners not a fraud. They will square the circle.
Speaker 1: They will find the cheat code to Lamar Jackson Niners
Speaker 1: Ravens seven in a Classic, and the penny is Got's
Speaker 1: cheat sheet. It is San Francisco for the one. Be
Speaker 1: sure to catch live editions of The Ben Miller Show
Speaker 1: wheat days at two a m. Eastern eleven pm Pacific.
Speaker 1: Wait wait, wait, so we've done three games here so far,
Speaker 1: so good. All right, you should be happy about this.
Speaker 1: You finished ten four last week. You were gloating about
Speaker 1: your performance. You don't know how hardiness go over and
Speaker 1: win games. You need to win fifty five percent to
Speaker 1: make any kind of profit and gambling. Blah blah blah
Speaker 1: blah blah. You should be happy about the penny. Well, no,
Speaker 1: it's it's just not exciting. And people like when we disagree.
Speaker 1: But fine whatever, I fine, we agree, I'm right, so
Speaker 1: as always I'm right. Next up, now, this is another game.
Speaker 1: This is a game that Lucas Oil Stadium is a dome.
Speaker 1: It's gonna be cloudy and forty one degrees outside the
Speaker 1: dome in Indianapolis at golf of this game, the Colts
Speaker 1: are the pick. I'm gonna take Indianapolis. Now, this is
Speaker 1: the game. Originally, when I first looked at the game,
Speaker 1: I was leaning towards Tennessee. But the I started crunching
Speaker 1: the numbers, and I started looking at the different angles
Speaker 1: to this game, and and then I realized there's a
Speaker 1: dense fog advisory around the Titans. And so I'm gonna
Speaker 1: be on the home team here, the Colts. And I'll
Speaker 1: tell you why I don't trust Ryan Tannehill. Period hard
Speaker 1: stop right and Tannehill right now is playing above his skis.
Speaker 1: He's leading the NFL in the yards for attempt, He's
Speaker 1: completing over seventy of his passes. This is the last
Speaker 1: quarterback to do it is Joe Montana. This is an
Speaker 1: out of body experience. However, I'm not drinking the kool
Speaker 1: aid yet for two reasons. Number one, I believe these
Speaker 1: are hollow numbers. Why because Ryan Tannehill has beaten up
Speaker 1: a bunch of lightweights, hasn't done it against a good
Speaker 1: or above average team. The Colts are a much better test.
Speaker 1: They're a better team than anyone he's faced so far.
Speaker 1: And the second thing here is that if you look
Speaker 1: at the track record of the Dolphins career of Ryan Tannehill,
Speaker 1: before he got to Tennessee. And this tells you what
Speaker 1: has happened, doesn't tell you what's gonna happen. But Tannehill
Speaker 1: would have occasional games where he looked amazing and it
Speaker 1: would give this false hope to the Miami fan. But
Speaker 1: we we dubbed this thing gas on the Tannehill to step.
Speaker 1: You know what the Tannehill too step is. This is
Speaker 1: similar Ryan Fitzpatrick. Right, you do something good, then you
Speaker 1: throw a bunch of I N T s next game. Well,
Speaker 1: it's a dance move. It's you take one step forward
Speaker 1: and two steps back. And that's what Tannehill has done. Right,
Speaker 1: he'll have a masterpiece and then he'll come back and
Speaker 1: he'll have a reversal of fortune. Now, sometimes he has
Speaker 1: a couple of masterpieces and then he follows it up
Speaker 1: with three pieces of of feces that you know, just projectile,
Speaker 1: vomit all that. So that's that's a concern. Secondly, uh,
Speaker 1: it's not perfect. Its bets not perfect, because any is
Speaker 1: still a mash munit unit. They are the guys, the
Speaker 1: key players, several of them are out. The backups have
Speaker 1: done a pretty good job. But let's not go overboard.
Speaker 1: Here they still don't have Marlon Mack. They don't he's out.
Speaker 1: Eric Ebron's gone the tight end, so it is up
Speaker 1: to the replacements. Here. They're gonna have to run the
Speaker 1: ball because Jacoby Brissette struggles to throw the ball. But
Speaker 1: I like the coltst Dave Roberts would say, I like
Speaker 1: the Colts in this spot, coming off a loss to
Speaker 1: the Texans, having extra time to prepare. Frank Reich is
Speaker 1: the better coach. So if it comes down to the
Speaker 1: fourth quarter, close game, I'd rather have Frank wright Uh
Speaker 1: in the game than Mike rabel And and plus the
Speaker 1: public is all over Ryan Tannell. If he was a musician,
Speaker 1: they'd say he's Mozart. I don't believe he's Mozarty. This
Speaker 1: is a a key game. I will go with the
Speaker 1: grit and the moxie of the cold to muck up
Speaker 1: the game too. Muck it up and they will win
Speaker 1: ugly yet again, but they will barely buy the skin
Speaker 1: on their chinny chin chin cover the spread Indianapolis twenty
Speaker 1: three and the Tennessee Titans twenty The penny is gone
Speaker 1: with the Tennessee Titans. The hair on your tennage chins
Speaker 1: and dummy. Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk
Speaker 1: lineup in the nation. Catch all of our shows at
Speaker 1: Fox sports Radio dot com and within the I Heart
Speaker 1: Radio app. Search f s R to listen live. That
Speaker 1: is incorrect. The hair hey stupid. The expression works both ways.
Speaker 1: You can either use the skin on their chinny chin chin,
Speaker 1: or you can use hair on their chinny chin chin.
Speaker 1: If you google it, you will see that I am
Speaker 1: correct and that you are just unevolved. You're uneducated, and
Speaker 1: you do not know the nuance of language the way
Speaker 1: I do. All I do is study language, right, That's
Speaker 1: all I do. You're out there on those dating sites
Speaker 1: is what you're doing. I'm I'm studying language. Okay. Oh well,
Speaker 1: I can see that. That's uh, it's working quite well
Speaker 1: for you. Moving on, let repress on. Oh wow, alright,
Speaker 1: moving on another win for me there Philadelphia five and
Speaker 1: six at Miami two and nine. It's on Fox. Now.
Speaker 1: Is this is this game with Dick Stockton game? I
Speaker 1: was going between him and Kenny Albert and this one.
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna say, yeahs Dick Stockton on this one.
Speaker 1: David Guest, Karen, congratulations, you just lost the Dick Stockton
Speaker 1: game you did not win. It is Kenny Albert who
Speaker 1: has the call should have gone, you should have gone
Speaker 1: behind curtain number one. That's a bad job by you.
Speaker 1: Guess guy, what did he? It's odd because normally Kenny
Speaker 1: Albert does every Giant's game, or or if they occasionally
Speaker 1: get a Jets game. But yeah, he's doing. Dolphins Eagles
Speaker 1: in beautiful Miami now Philly open attend They actually opened
Speaker 1: a seven and appoint favorite. The line is all the
Speaker 1: way up to ten. It's gonna be sunny eighty degrees
Speaker 1: at kickoff at hard Rock Stadium in Miami with a
Speaker 1: bunch of dudes from South Philly in the Delaware Valley
Speaker 1: who will infiltrate Miami. I'm gonna take the Dolphins in
Speaker 1: this game, and I know that's against popular opinion. I'll
Speaker 1: be the contrarian here. A couple of thoughts. At first, Lance,
Speaker 1: I agree that the Eagles should win this game in
Speaker 1: a cake walk. But very few things have gone easy.
Speaker 1: Very few things have gone easy for the Birds. Their
Speaker 1: twenty nineteen offense is field goal or punch. That's the
Speaker 1: offense of the Philadelphia Eagles this year. Carson Wentz has
Speaker 1: been in a nick. His numbers are not bad. But
Speaker 1: check this out. Twenty two games, last twenty two games
Speaker 1: Carson Wentz is started, the Eagles have a losing record.
Speaker 1: They're ten and twelve with Carson Wentz as their quarterback
Speaker 1: the last twenty two games. The Eagles are lacking playmakers.
Speaker 1: They are lacking the wow factor Carson Wentz. Now they're
Speaker 1: making excuses saying he's got a mangled hand. These are
Speaker 1: not positives when you're talking about a double digit point spread.
Speaker 1: Now I'm not here advocating. Secondly, for the Dolphins. They
Speaker 1: have so many issues. They need more than therapy. They
Speaker 1: probably need to be institutionalized in the Miami Dolphins. But
Speaker 1: but this is more of a bet against Philly than
Speaker 1: it is a confidence play on Miami. And I like
Speaker 1: to look at the psychological part of gambling. The Eagles
Speaker 1: are coming off too high profile games against the Patriots
Speaker 1: and the Seahawks games in Philly, games they lost, and
Speaker 1: now now they are playing the Dolphins, a team nobody
Speaker 1: gets up for. Plus they have the distraction of South
Speaker 1: Beach and you're leaving Philly where it's forty degrees or
Speaker 1: thirty five degrees, are going to Miami where it's eighty degrees. Uh,
Speaker 1: so you have a chance, not a lot of opportunity,
Speaker 1: but a night to get into some debauchery. But double
Speaker 1: digit home doogs and being willing to bet on bad
Speaker 1: teams has been a very good formula to win some
Speaker 1: money over the years. The public almost always prefers road
Speaker 1: favorites instead. I like to go against the public. So
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Philly to win. But to not cover
Speaker 1: Eagles twenty four Dolphins twenty you stubborn bathroom. You never
Speaker 1: learn your lesson, and Penny is picking the Eagles. Fly Fly,
Speaker 1: fly fly right into weed Man's house there in South Florida.
Speaker 1: Al right, next up Tampa Bay at Jacksonville. It's on Fox.
Speaker 1: You better watch four and seven, four and seven the
Speaker 1: records here? Who's calling this game? Is this? You've already
Speaker 1: lost the Dick Stockton game. But is this the Dick
Speaker 1: Stockton game? That is correct? This is the Dick Stockton
Speaker 1: Mark Flare game. So you didn't win, but you came
Speaker 1: close to winning the Dick Stockton game. And this game open,
Speaker 1: how about this line? Do you see the line movement
Speaker 1: on this Jackson Jacksonville open a four and a half
Speaker 1: point favorite. They are now favored by one one stinking point.
Speaker 1: At t i a a bank field in Jacksonville, be
Speaker 1: cloudy and seventies seven degrees at kickoff cloudy and seventy
Speaker 1: seven degrees. I'm taking Tampa Bay in this game, and
Speaker 1: and I'll walk you through how I got the Tampa
Speaker 1: Bay Alright, Ay, this is the Sunshine Bowl. Whoever wins
Speaker 1: this game wins the bragging rights for Florida because the
Speaker 1: Dolphins are worse than both these teams. Uh. Now, I
Speaker 1: saw it where Jacks coach douglall Ron says that Nick
Speaker 1: Foles gives his team the best chance to win, so
Speaker 1: that's why he's starting Nick Foles. Let me, I would
Speaker 1: like to translate that, Yes, can I have a Dakota ring?
Speaker 1: What he left out, Doug Moron was the end of
Speaker 1: that sentence. There should be a COMMA at the end
Speaker 1: of Nick Foles gives us the best chance to win,
Speaker 1: Comma because we are paying him fifty million dollars of
Speaker 1: guaranteed money. Because that's really why Nick Foles is starting.
Speaker 1: If it was based on performance, he would not be
Speaker 1: the starting quarterback here. Uh, that's just the reality. Jackson
Speaker 1: has been outscored seventy five to thirty since Nick Foles
Speaker 1: came back from injury to the starting lineup. Keep in mind,
Speaker 1: though that doesn't sound that bad, I guess being outscored
Speaker 1: by forty five points, twenty one of those points came
Speaker 1: in garbage time. So with Nick Foles in competitive football,
Speaker 1: they've only gotten three field goals. Jacksonville has I cannot
Speaker 1: bet on the Jacks until Nick Foles either improves or
Speaker 1: or minshoe Mania returns Gardner Minshew comes back as the quarterback. Now. Secondly,
Speaker 1: on the flip side, you've got Jameis wins Now. We
Speaker 1: talked about him on the radio show. He is a
Speaker 1: case study on being really good and really bad at
Speaker 1: the same time. Right, is the glass half full? Is
Speaker 1: the glass half empty? He is unpaced to throw for
Speaker 1: close to five thousand yards a gazillion touchdowns, and at
Speaker 1: the same time he's leading the NFL in interceptions, and
Speaker 1: he's a turnover factory. So all those interceptions dismantle all
Speaker 1: the goodwill that the passing yards and the touchdowns provide,
Speaker 1: and it really harpoons the Buccaneers chances of winning most
Speaker 1: of the time. They did beat Atlanta last week. The
Speaker 1: other factor is Tampa based defense is atrocious. Despite all that, again,
Speaker 1: I want to quote Dave Roberts. I liked the Bucks
Speaker 1: in this spot. But it's get more to bet against
Speaker 1: Nick Foles than it is to take take advantage of
Speaker 1: of anything else. You've got to really go against the
Speaker 1: incompetent Nick Foles. I don't even think the Buck's defense
Speaker 1: is gonna make him look good. Buccaneers thirty four, Jags twenty,
Speaker 1: and the Pangs on the opposite way. Going to Jaguars
Speaker 1: on this one, Going with Jackson, all right. Next up
Speaker 1: the New York Jets at Cincinnati. It's on CBS with
Speaker 1: Spirodidas and Adam Archiletta. Now, the Jets opened a three
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. They are still a three
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite in this game. It'll be
Speaker 1: partly sunny and fifty degrees that kick off at Paul
Speaker 1: Brown Stadium. The O and eleven Bengals the four and
Speaker 1: seven Jets. I am gonna side with Mr oh and
Speaker 1: Elevin here. I'm gonna take the Cincinnati Fungals in this game.
Speaker 1: I'll tell you why, all right. I understand things have
Speaker 1: been rolling along for the Big Green machine there in
Speaker 1: all phases, by land, by air, by water. It is
Speaker 1: amazing seeing what playing bad teams can do for your confidence.
Speaker 1: The Jets are the NFL's number one defensive yards per
Speaker 1: game the last three weeks. They're ahead of the forty Niners.
Speaker 1: They're ahead of the Ravens, They're ahead of the Pacers.
Speaker 1: There ahead of everybody. You toss in the fact that
Speaker 1: Sam Donald is no longer dealing with motto, he's no
Speaker 1: longer seeing ghosts. I guess the ghostbusters came in and
Speaker 1: figured all this out, and you see why the Jets
Speaker 1: fans are excited. The last three weeks against the Giants, Redskins,
Speaker 1: and Raiders, Sam Donald has seven touchdowns and one interception.
Speaker 1: He's averaging over nine yards per attempt. That's great, but
Speaker 1: the law of averages say he is due for a regression,
Speaker 1: even against the bad team. And in the second thing, now,
Speaker 1: the Bengals are a total ship show. I am not
Speaker 1: gonna sit here and and say anything different, but if
Speaker 1: you look at what they did. They originally benched Andy Dalton,
Speaker 1: they brought in Ryan Finley. Now, Ryan Finley has been
Speaker 1: such a nebbish, he has been so incompetent. He's had
Speaker 1: such reckless disregard for his ability to play quarterback that
Speaker 1: Cincinnati was forced to go back to the red rifle.
Speaker 1: This is dysfunction junction. What is your function? Is what
Speaker 1: it is? So it's rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic. Uh.
Speaker 1: Now that said, this is a big opportunities, a brass
Speaker 1: ring situation for Dalton. He gets another opportunity. Think of
Speaker 1: this is a casting call, an open audition for Dalton. Really,
Speaker 1: not for the Bengals because they're gonna draft some quarterback
Speaker 1: with the number one pick, But for Dalton, Dalton, they
Speaker 1: get a job somewhere else to get an opportunity to
Speaker 1: compete for a starting job. Of Philip Rivers retires in
Speaker 1: in l a. Or or to go to Pittsburgh of
Speaker 1: Roethlisberger's out. The public is all over the Jets, and
Speaker 1: that has me running for the Hills. The Bengals at
Speaker 1: least have a puncher's chance. They certainly have a shot
Speaker 1: with Andy Dalton to hang around. And the Jets, I
Speaker 1: still don't believe they should be favored by over a
Speaker 1: field goal against anyone. I liked my home dogs, Our
Speaker 1: Jets twenty three, Bengals twenty one that's a cover for
Speaker 1: Cincinnati and for the one that got away. I will
Speaker 1: see the penny taking the New York Jets, Jets Jets
Speaker 1: thirty four points in the last three victories. Then keep
Speaker 1: rolling with that. Yeah, well, all good things come to
Speaker 1: an end. All good you will learn that lesson that
Speaker 1: the front running all right? Next up Cleveland five and
Speaker 1: six at Pittsburgh six and five. It's on CBS. I
Speaker 1: An Eagle and Dan Fouts have the call. This game
Speaker 1: opened Pittsburgh by three. The Browns are favored by two.
Speaker 1: The weather calls for light rain forty six degrees at
Speaker 1: Hines Field in beautiful Pittsburgh. I'm gonna take the Steelers
Speaker 1: in this game. Mike tomlin Is is right now like
Speaker 1: a circus clown juggling quarterbacks. You've got Mason Rudolph gone
Speaker 1: to the bench. Now Duck Hodges is taking over. I
Speaker 1: love the whole redneck back story, the ridiculous name, the
Speaker 1: duck calling. But instead of chicken fingers, I guess he
Speaker 1: eats like raccoons stew or something like that. But can
Speaker 1: can the guy play? I I don't know that the
Speaker 1: jury is still out on whether or not you play
Speaker 1: the Steelers offense is gonna be dumbed down here. They
Speaker 1: have been even with Hut. They've been running a dumb
Speaker 1: down office for a couple weeks. But but they've been
Speaker 1: like the ox in the ditch. You know what. They
Speaker 1: can't get out of it. You're in a ditch, you
Speaker 1: can't get out of it. This is a revenge spot
Speaker 1: for Pittsburgh against the team they traditionally beat, who they
Speaker 1: lost to just a couple of weeks ago. And you
Speaker 1: have that cloud of bad blood hanging over this particular game.
Speaker 1: The second that the Browns they're still getting this sugar
Speaker 1: rush from feasting on all these cupcakes. Do they now
Speaker 1: choke on a little piece of banana cream pie on
Speaker 1: the road. The bookmaker knows the public is all over
Speaker 1: the Cleveland Browns, so they have to cover themselves and
Speaker 1: they have to, you know, cover their losses. And they
Speaker 1: have the Browns favored by two. This is a five
Speaker 1: point line disparity, meaning again Pittsburgh should be favored by
Speaker 1: three in this game. Instead you're getting five points because
Speaker 1: the Browns are favored by two. I just don't agree
Speaker 1: with that, the thinking that that Cleveland's all in. I've
Speaker 1: been on Cleveland several times. I've bet against Cleveland several times. Listen, Uh,
Speaker 1: look at this. The Browns picked up five points and
Speaker 1: all they did was play the Dolphins in between the
Speaker 1: last time they played the Steelers and Miles Garrett eight
Speaker 1: playing you'll go be bashing people over the head somewhere else.
Speaker 1: But he ain't gonna show up in Pittsburgh. Uh So
Speaker 1: we don't even know if Duck Hodges is that bad.
Speaker 1: He could be fine. As I said, it's it's an
Speaker 1: open question. But just when you think Baker Mayfield has
Speaker 1: turned the corner, that's normally the time a trapdoor opens
Speaker 1: up and you fall into a pit of flames. So
Speaker 1: Cleveland should win the game, but they should not be favored.
Speaker 1: And Pittsburgh traditionally even with bums at quarterbacks, but a
Speaker 1: very good home team Steelers seventeen. Brown's sixteen penny gun
Speaker 1: with the Cleveland Browns and Bernie cos Are Birdy Cosa.
Speaker 1: I think Ozzy Newsom's gonna have a big game. I
Speaker 1: believe that if you go downlast Webster Slaughter could be
Speaker 1: the key of that. What about Dante Stalwarth it's more
Speaker 1: of a newer generation Brown player. I just don't keep
Speaker 1: him out of the driver's seat. You'll be alright, right,
Speaker 1: dirty days manslaughter, it's reasonable. All right, let's go to
Speaker 1: Oatland six and five at Kansas City seven and four.
Speaker 1: Notice that we're not we're not getting trivia this week.
Speaker 1: That's uh, that's a good job by you. Well, it's
Speaker 1: Thanksgiving week and I just wanna I want to expedite
Speaker 1: the process game. And I know, I know you. You
Speaker 1: probably have something to do. You've got to go talk
Speaker 1: to some corporate muckety MUCKs or do some stupid conference calls.
Speaker 1: So we'll we'll just expedite the process. We'll get we'll
Speaker 1: get trivial next week. Okay, can we get trivial next week? Sure? Ye? Alright?
Speaker 1: Oakland six and five Kansas City seven or four. It's
Speaker 1: on CBS with Jim Nance and Toe Knee row Bow. Now,
Speaker 1: the Chiefs open at eight and a half point favorite.
Speaker 1: They are favored by ten at Arrowhead Cloudy in thirty
Speaker 1: eight degrees at kick off at Arrowhead Stadium. I'm taking
Speaker 1: the Raiders in this game. Now. I know public perception
Speaker 1: has shifted and people whatever they see they think is
Speaker 1: gonna happen again. And the Raiders played like dog crap.
Speaker 1: They played like dog piss against the Jets in the
Speaker 1: blink of an eye, right, the Raiders. If they just
Speaker 1: squeaked out and win against the Jets, this would have
Speaker 1: set up the epic a f C West Game of
Speaker 1: the year, right underdog story of redemption the football Orphans
Speaker 1: their last year in Oakland before they go to Vegas.
Speaker 1: But now since they lost to the Jets, it's the
Speaker 1: same old Raiders. Now, I'm not gonna tell you they
Speaker 1: didn't play like mongrels in that game. They actually did
Speaker 1: play like mongrels, not only in that game, but the
Speaker 1: game before which they squeaked out a win against the
Speaker 1: Cincinnati Bengals. They played like vermin in that game also,
Speaker 1: So there's a couple of dud performances by the Raiders here. Uh,
Speaker 1: they had no pulse in the game against the Jets. Now,
Speaker 1: this is a late game, it's not an early game.
Speaker 1: It's against the traditional division rival. But there is a
Speaker 1: saying in sports wager, and it's also said by football coach,
Speaker 1: if you get caught in a trap game, which is
Speaker 1: clearly what happened that the Raiders were peeking ahead at
Speaker 1: Kansas City, if you get caught looking ahead in the
Speaker 1: peek a boo, then you've gotta in the game you
Speaker 1: were looking ahead to. And even though this is not
Speaker 1: as sexy matchup because the Raiders lost, if the Raiders
Speaker 1: win this game, they will still be tied with Kansas City.
Speaker 1: And you know, Oakland will be seven and five, Kansas
Speaker 1: City will be seven and five at the end of
Speaker 1: play on Sunday, So it's still a big game. Secondly,
Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. I know some people love
Speaker 1: them because they had a bye week and they had
Speaker 1: to little see Esta in Mexico against the Chargers. But
Speaker 1: Kansas City did not impress me in that game. They
Speaker 1: were fortunate to beat the lowly Chargers, and that is
Speaker 1: with Philip Rivers throwing all those interceptions. Now, now that
Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson is the flavor of the month, Patrick Mahomes
Speaker 1: has to take a back seat in the pecking order
Speaker 1: of NFL quarterbacks, but he could certainly return some market
Speaker 1: share here if he has a big game against the
Speaker 1: Raiders and treats them like silly puppy. I understand Kansas
Speaker 1: City is getting some guys back. The Chiefs should win
Speaker 1: this game big. What I happen to love double digit dogs.
Speaker 1: And what do I always say when you get over
Speaker 1: a touchdown in a divisional game? You don't ask questions.
Speaker 1: You take the points. The Raiders have to kick knee,
Speaker 1: elbow poked the Chiefs in the eye. Uh to get
Speaker 1: that cover, that backdoor cover. I believe it will happen.
Speaker 1: Chiefs thirty four, Raiders twenty six. Penny also in agreement
Speaker 1: with you and go with the Opalanda Redda's all right.
Speaker 1: Next up on Penny versus the Penny the l A Raiders,
Speaker 1: actually the Raiders the l A Rams. Oh boy, why
Speaker 1: that cover? L A Rams at five? There's a throwback
Speaker 1: to like the eighties and early nineties, the l A
Speaker 1: Ram six and five at the Arizona Cardinals, who are
Speaker 1: three seven and one. It's on Fox and a Man
Speaker 1: that's part of the Fox Sports Radio Alumni Association. A
Speaker 1: proud alumnus Chris Myers along with Darryl Moose Johnson to
Speaker 1: have the call. All now. The Rams opened a three
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. They're favored by four in
Speaker 1: this game. The weather, it's gonna be sunny fifty nine
Speaker 1: degrees at kickoff at State Farms Stadium in Arizona and
Speaker 1: I'm gonna surprise you guesscan I as an as an
Speaker 1: active charity. I am gonna take the guy riding the
Speaker 1: short bus. Yes, I'm gonna do it. I'm doing it now.
Speaker 1: Now for before you say I'm a prison of the moment,
Speaker 1: It's not just because the Rams got steam rolled by
Speaker 1: the Ravens on Monday night. Unless it is just because
Speaker 1: the Rams got steam rolled by the Ravens on Monday night.
Speaker 1: You have the perfect storm working against Los Angeles. You've
Speaker 1: got the distraction of Thanksgiving weekend. You have them as
Speaker 1: a road favorite against the team they traditionally beat, an
Speaker 1: opponent that you do not get up for. You are
Speaker 1: coming off an emotional prime time loss where you were
Speaker 1: emasculated by Lamar Jackson. Look like you should be playing
Speaker 1: pop Orner football instead of the NFL. All of these
Speaker 1: things are working against the Rams. From the psychology psychology
Speaker 1: part of gambling, Sean McVeigh had no answers to Lamar Jackson.
Speaker 1: This is the kind of neutering that takes place the
Speaker 1: the and Lingers. Uh. The Ravens have the Rams balls
Speaker 1: on a shelf somewhere in Maryland right now. Uh, good
Speaker 1: luck getting back that back the Rams are a more
Speaker 1: talented team. I believe they are a better team than
Speaker 1: the Cardinals, and all things being equal, they should absolutely
Speaker 1: win this game. But when you handicap a game, you
Speaker 1: gotta look at all these other things and all of that.
Speaker 1: Every box is checked against the l A Rams right there,
Speaker 1: they're they're getting close to give up mode. It looked
Speaker 1: like they gave up against the Ravens. Now. Secondly, you
Speaker 1: are what your record says you are. The Cardinals are
Speaker 1: one of the worst teams in the NFL. So this
Speaker 1: is not a confidence play on Arizona Kyler Murray. As
Speaker 1: we have pointed out, we're the only ones to do
Speaker 1: this because we're the grown ups here. This guy's been
Speaker 1: a Mama Luke Alright, his numbers are misleading. He's fatten
Speaker 1: up his stats and games the Cardinals were way behind,
Speaker 1: and and so you know, he's not as good as
Speaker 1: his numbers. In a kay even though his numbers aren't
Speaker 1: all that good. The Cardinals defensively are a football atrocity.
Speaker 1: They are second worst to the oh and eleven Bengals.
Speaker 1: And yet even with that, I still believe that Jared
Speaker 1: Golf will be flummix going against Arizona the last three games.
Speaker 1: Golf has no touchdowns, five interceptions, and a passer rating
Speaker 1: below sixty. There's no way on God's green Earth that
Speaker 1: I am gonna bet on the Rams until Jared Goff
Speaker 1: either gets benched. I'd rather bet on Blake Bortles or
Speaker 1: he proves that he is not a fraud. Give me
Speaker 1: Ale Gator Arms. Murray the oompa loompa of the NFL
Speaker 1: Cardinals twenty Rams seventeen. Penny likes the way you think
Speaker 1: and go with the up and coming Cayler Murray and
Speaker 1: the Arizona Cardinals. You love, you love Shorty. You your
Speaker 1: favorite movie was Get Shorty Right? That was? I think
Speaker 1: you have vastly under estimated the power of Cayler Murray,
Speaker 1: even in his rookie campaign. So he will. He will
Speaker 1: not make you eat crow this weekend since you have
Speaker 1: taken him and there's in the Cardinals. But he will
Speaker 1: surprise you when you're number two. Yes, you, You've always
Speaker 1: had a place for the pips weeak. You like the
Speaker 1: guy's barely bigger than a garden. Do you understand that
Speaker 1: your pairs he can play? He has played, He's played
Speaker 1: great this season he's played great. What I think I
Speaker 1: watch football? Wait? Wait, wait wait you said the word great.
Speaker 1: You use the adjective great. I have I did I
Speaker 1: want you as a teacher. If I had had you
Speaker 1: as a teacher, guest scout, I would have been a
Speaker 1: I would have several degrees if I had had you
Speaker 1: as a professor, and instead you have how many? I have? Zero?
Speaker 1: Not a hey, schmuck, I have agree from the streets,
Speaker 1: streets of hard knocks, all right, I have, I have
Speaker 1: won the hard Marcus Mariota got benched. He had a
Speaker 1: higher passer rating than Kyler Murray has right now. Gardner
Speaker 1: Minshew also got benched. Guess what higher passer rating than
Speaker 1: Kyler Murray has right now. And according to David Gascon,
Speaker 1: who clearly shows sympathy because Kyler Murray is a teeny
Speaker 1: leeny eaty bitty little spider, uh you you feel bad
Speaker 1: for him, and so as an act of charity, you're
Speaker 1: pulling for the guy who's small potatoes. He's got no
Speaker 1: offensive line, he's got absolutely no running game, he's got
Speaker 1: very few weapons on the outside, and he has an
Speaker 1: atrocious defense. Yes, I actually think he's a pretty darn
Speaker 1: good quarterback in his rookie season, despite all that working
Speaker 1: against him, hold On said, I'm gonna play some music.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna I've got the world's smallest violin. I'm gonna
Speaker 1: play that for Kyler Murray. Okay, can I do that? Yes? Yeah,
Speaker 1: you can do whatever you want. Yeah, that's right, all right,
Speaker 1: go choke up some ravioli, all right. Next the l
Speaker 1: A Chargers four and seven at Denver three and eight.
Speaker 1: It's on CBS. Andrew Catalan and James Lofton have the call.
Speaker 1: The Chargers opened and underdog Broncos were originally favored by
Speaker 1: one and a half, but now the Charges are favored
Speaker 1: by two and a half. I don't understand this mostly
Speaker 1: sunny thirty five degrees at kickoff for your favorite NFL team.
Speaker 1: Gag on, you love the Broncos who played in power
Speaker 1: field at Mile High. I'm taking the Broncos. I'm riding
Speaker 1: with the horses this week. Now. To me, this is
Speaker 1: an even matchup. The Charges of the NFL's two ranked team,
Speaker 1: the Broncos of the ranked team according to Football Outsiders,
Speaker 1: So two even teams. I don't understand how the Bolts
Speaker 1: are favorite in this game. Denver traditionally has been a
Speaker 1: tough place to play. Uh, it's just all because Derwin James.
Speaker 1: The safety is coming back to the charges. Are you
Speaker 1: telling me a safety not not a quarterback. We're not
Speaker 1: talking about a quarterback. We're talking about safety. That that
Speaker 1: is why the charges are favored on the road. I
Speaker 1: don't get it now. Philip Rivers over the last four
Speaker 1: weeks has not only been a quarterback. He has been
Speaker 1: the thirty first ranked quarterback in a thirty two quarterback league.
Speaker 1: He has been number four. He is aging before our eyes.
Speaker 1: He has continued to be reckless. Seven interceptions the past
Speaker 1: two games. He's also mixed in a couple of fumbles.
Speaker 1: He is as bad as any quarterback in the NFL.
Speaker 1: Right now. He's a hot mess. I've seen no evidence
Speaker 1: that he's gonna turn this thing around. Everyone says, well,
Speaker 1: he'll be fine, don't worry. He's never has three bad
Speaker 1: games in a row. Okay, all right. The Bolts offensive
Speaker 1: line still blows. They still think, uh steak. And then
Speaker 1: you've got Vic Fangio, who's supposed to be a defensive wizard.
Speaker 1: He hasn't been so far. He's got his own quarterback
Speaker 1: conundrum now, I would love the Broncos. This would be
Speaker 1: one of my better players of Drew Lock plays, because
Speaker 1: I think Drew Lock will be all right who have
Speaker 1: some beginner's luck. He isn't likely to start this game,
Speaker 1: at least at the time we're doing the podcast, but
Speaker 1: could come off the bench in relief. Brandon Allen is
Speaker 1: a limp noodle, is what he is. Right, he needs
Speaker 1: a little blue pill. Uh he's lethargic. He's just he's
Speaker 1: a junior varsity level quarterback. He's not a starting quarterback.
Speaker 1: And nevertheless, the value tholways on the Broncos because interceptions
Speaker 1: create opportunity for an underdog. Denver will play a very conservative,
Speaker 1: close to the vest offense. Uh We talked about that
Speaker 1: remedial game plan where you don't have a good quarterback,
Speaker 1: you just try to not make mistakes. And uh so
Speaker 1: I had a lot of swing passes, bubble screens, try
Speaker 1: to run, run early, run late, ground and pound all
Speaker 1: that kind of football. So if you do that, you
Speaker 1: don't turn the ball over and you expect Rivers to
Speaker 1: have at least two interceptions. I'm taking the Broncos to
Speaker 1: win the game outright. Denver twenty four The Chargers, and
Speaker 1: he was going with the Broncos as well. No surprise. Yeah,
Speaker 1: you can't bet on the gun Slinger, the aging gun Slinger.
Speaker 1: Not the way to go, not a good winning formula,
Speaker 1: guest gun not at all all right, Uh, Next up
Speaker 1: Sunday Night Football, New England Tenant one at Houston, seven
Speaker 1: and four on and b C with Al Michaels and
Speaker 1: Chris collins with you know Michael's I I know you
Speaker 1: saw this last night. Michaels did not call the NBC
Speaker 1: game on Thursday night because he's so old now he
Speaker 1: wants to enjoy Thanksgiving. So and I think he's only
Speaker 1: in his contract he only works one game a week,
Speaker 1: and so he couldn't do both that game on Thanksgiving
Speaker 1: and the Sunday night game, so he chose the Sunday
Speaker 1: night game in Houston and Collinsworth also did not do
Speaker 1: the game on Thanksgiving. Well, I'm gonna take I'm gonna
Speaker 1: take the Patriots here that Patriots are three point favorite.
Speaker 1: They opened four and a half, so small road favorite,
Speaker 1: clear and sixty degrees at kickoff in the Dome at
Speaker 1: NRG Stadium in Houston. Now, first of all, this is
Speaker 1: another chapter in the teacher versus the pupil. Matchup of
Speaker 1: Bill Belichick's coaching tree. Belichick against Bill O'Brien, a disciple
Speaker 1: of his, has. They've coached against each other five times.
Speaker 1: Belichick is five and all. Now, some of those games
Speaker 1: the Texans were bad. Many of those games the Texas
Speaker 1: were pretty good, had nice records like they do now
Speaker 1: seven and four record. In fact, Belichick that five and
Speaker 1: old record is by far his best record against any
Speaker 1: former assistant. This is a gigantic coaching mismatch. In fact,
Speaker 1: Belichick against all of his former assistance has He's coached
Speaker 1: eighteen games. Against his former assistance, he's nine and nine,
Speaker 1: So that means using mallar math. Against anyone other than
Speaker 1: Bill O'Brien, who used to coach on belichick staff, he's
Speaker 1: four and nine, but against O'Brien, five and oh. The
Speaker 1: one monkey wrench for the Patriots is Tom Brady's tender elbow,
Speaker 1: which got extra treatment after the Cowboy game. But let's
Speaker 1: be honest here, Ill. We love Brady, but the Patriots
Speaker 1: also just try to win the turnover battle. They want
Speaker 1: to maintain offensive balance, but they also run a very
Speaker 1: safe offensive game plan, which requires Belichick or Brady rather
Speaker 1: to throw a lot of dump all off in short passes,
Speaker 1: high percentage passes. And Brady is so smart he rarely
Speaker 1: makes the wrong throw so he doesn't turn the ball over,
Speaker 1: he covers for his offensive line. Those are all reasons
Speaker 1: to like the Patriots in this particular game. Now. Secondly,
Speaker 1: the Patriots are going to have to repeat the script
Speaker 1: from these recent games. Right they have to play a
Speaker 1: wonky plotting style of offense. As he said, limit the mistakes,
Speaker 1: hold on the ball while the defense can create some
Speaker 1: turbulence against the Shawn Watson. There is opportunity here against
Speaker 1: the Shawn Watson. It is a formula that has stood
Speaker 1: the test of time for Belichick. Against these high flying,
Speaker 1: one dimensional teams Houston, they have to play at a
Speaker 1: frenetic pace in the passing game. They are a one
Speaker 1: trick pony. They struggle to run the ball. If you're
Speaker 1: the defense, if you're the defensive coordinator and you know
Speaker 1: that team struggles to run the ball, that sets up
Speaker 1: a hyper aggress of defense, a chance to be a
Speaker 1: ball hawking defense because you know you're gonna be throwing
Speaker 1: a lot the other team is that you can mix
Speaker 1: in some exotic blitzes and change it up and and
Speaker 1: just mess with Deshaun Watson. Uh so, yeah, I love
Speaker 1: the Patriots defense in this game. And and the other
Speaker 1: way to bet on the Patriots has a bet on
Speaker 1: the defense. Uh the Texans with this style of play,
Speaker 1: it's either boom or bust. I'm expecting a lot of mistakes.
Speaker 1: Patriots twenty three the Texans sixteen. Man, the pay is
Speaker 1: gone with the turbulence of the defense and the Patriots
Speaker 1: taken New England. All right? Next up, Monday Night Football.
Speaker 1: This is the last game, will wrap up the Turkey
Speaker 1: Week edition of Benny Versus the Penny minuteso to eight
Speaker 1: and three at Seattle nine and two. It's on ESPN
Speaker 1: with Joe test It Tour and Booger Booker McFarland. Uh,
Speaker 1: you're a big fan of his brought cast team. A
Speaker 1: lot of a lot of gravy on a Thanksgiving weekend. Yes,
Speaker 1: this is gravy on top of gravy, on top of gravy.
Speaker 1: Yes it is. Uh, how many Thanksgiving cliche's will Joe
Speaker 1: Tessa Tore throw out on the broadcast? Well we'll find out.
Speaker 1: But the line of this game Seattle open a three
Speaker 1: point favorite. They are favored by three. It'll be cloudy
Speaker 1: forty degrees that kick off at Century Link Field in Seattle.
Speaker 1: Remember on the if you download the other podcast, the
Speaker 1: Mallard Man March and schedule to take place in Seattle.
Speaker 1: So I have a special place in my heart for
Speaker 1: the people of Seattle, the Mallard Militia, men and women,
Speaker 1: the p Ones that are holding this event on December
Speaker 1: twenty nine. More on that on the other podcast. But
Speaker 1: I'm sorry, I gotta take the vikings here. As a gambler,
Speaker 1: I gotta take the vikings. I'll tell you why. In
Speaker 1: the past you would always bet against Kirk Cousins because
Speaker 1: he was jinx in prime time games. I that was
Speaker 1: always the argument. The guy would be fine at one
Speaker 1: o'clock in the afternoon or noon Midwestern time, uh newon kickoffs.
Speaker 1: But but against the better teams in the prime time games,
Speaker 1: he's like, well, Cousins is two and oh this season
Speaker 1: in night games. He put up an oil painting against
Speaker 1: the Cowboys in Dallas not that long ago, and the
Speaker 1: one week spot Seattle has h to exploit here. And
Speaker 1: the one thing that concerns me about the vikings is
Speaker 1: the butterfingers. Cousins has eight fumbles. He's only been sacked
Speaker 1: twenty two times. Ball security. That can lead to a
Speaker 1: big flip in what you handicap in a game. Now. Secondly,
Speaker 1: Pete Carroll check this out. Since he became the coach
Speaker 1: in Seattle back in almost a decade, there have only
Speaker 1: been three quarterbacks that have won multiple games on the
Speaker 1: road in Seattle. Only three Carson Palmer retired, Matt the
Speaker 1: Ice of the Falcons, and Jared Goff. Believe it or not,
Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins has already won a game in the Pacific
Speaker 1: Northwest back when he was with the Washington Redskins. I
Speaker 1: believe it was in a couple of years ago in
Speaker 1: uh he can add his name to that that rare
Speaker 1: list with a win here. The Seahawks have been playing
Speaker 1: Russian Roulette all season. They have been weaning by very
Speaker 1: thin margins. Here they almost lost at home to the Bengals,
Speaker 1: Bucks and Rams. It took a missed field goal by
Speaker 1: the Rams kicker there the Legatron character for the Rams
Speaker 1: lose the Buccaneers. Some crazy things happened for Tampa Bay
Speaker 1: to win that game, and the Seahawks were blown out
Speaker 1: by the Ravens and uh in the Saints in Seattle,
Speaker 1: they've got issues. Despite their GATTI nine and two record,
Speaker 1: it has not been smooth sailing for the Sea Birds. UH.
Speaker 1: They have problem they have problems in their secondary they
Speaker 1: have problems on their offensive line. You add on that
Speaker 1: Mike Zimmer has been traditionally great when given extra time
Speaker 1: to prepare. That's what the Vikings have here. They were
Speaker 1: on vacation last week. It all adds up from a
Speaker 1: gambling standpoint to take the Vikings. Now. Remember, I want
Speaker 1: the Seahawks to win this game. I hope I'm wrong
Speaker 1: because that makes the Mallard Man March, Mallard Stock Mallar
Speaker 1: Palooza a much bigger deal December twenty nine. But Vikings
Speaker 1: thirty three, Seahawks thirty your final penny looking at the
Speaker 1: magic number three and going at the Minnesota Games, and
Speaker 1: that is it. We put the baby to bed gas
Speaker 1: On and I want the people to know too. Podcasts
Speaker 1: have dropped holiday weekend. The podcast machine does not stop
Speaker 1: showing you the great the determination that I have to
Speaker 1: come in and do this podcast. And I think the
Speaker 1: audio quality on this better than any other. I guess
Speaker 1: we've done so far. I'd have to agree part of
Speaker 1: that reasons because like a good lead, I have a
Speaker 1: voice that kind of masks the deficiencies of your pipes
Speaker 1: in the old and rotten age that you live in.
Speaker 1: So um, I agree with you. It's well said. Yes
Speaker 1: again David gascon proving he is the narcissist. Narcissist here
Speaker 1: on the show, very superficial and whatnot there, And uh,
Speaker 1: I think, well, in another life you were a prima donna,
Speaker 1: right as that was your job before prima donna. I hope.
Speaker 1: I wish there was some kind of way to prove
Speaker 1: that to would be nice to see what kind of
Speaker 1: money I had back in an alternate life. But uh,
Speaker 1: but yeah, right now I'm just living the American dream, dude,
Speaker 1: which is holding the water for Ben Mallory. Yeah, in
Speaker 1: life there are good guys and villains. I'm the good guy.
Speaker 1: You're the villain. That's the way. Anyway, have a great weekend,
Speaker 1: way back to the radio Sunday night into Monday, and
Speaker 1: we'll catch you next time. And thank you for supporting
Speaker 1: The Fifth Hour with Ben Maller