WEBVTT - FFW Micro - Jonathan Taylor

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<v Speaker 1>You found Fantasy Football Weekly Micro a deep dive on

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<v Speaker 1>one player in just five to ten minutes. Now, here's

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<v Speaker 1>your host, Paul Georgian. Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly Micro Edition.

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<v Speaker 1>I am Paul Chargy in. This is addition number two

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<v Speaker 1>Fantasy Football Weekly Micro. My co host remains Tyler Kenneybilely. Hey, Tyler,

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<v Speaker 1>we're back. We are back. We broke down yesterday, we

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<v Speaker 1>broke down Kyle Pitts. We saw that one pretty differently.

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<v Speaker 1>We're gonna go to another player that's gonna be pretty polarizing,

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<v Speaker 1>Jonathan Taylor today and again the focus on Fantasy Football

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<v Speaker 1>Weekly Micro Edition. We do a deep dive on one

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<v Speaker 1>player lasting five to ten ish minutes or so. Although

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<v Speaker 1>I think our last one with eleven don't tell anybody

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<v Speaker 1>it'll still we need it to feel micro and the ideas.

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<v Speaker 1>We can give you one of these every day, at

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<v Speaker 1>least every weekday. Let's talk John and Taylor. Let's begin here.

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<v Speaker 1>Everybody knows that he was the first running back taken

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<v Speaker 1>in Fantasy football drafts last year, and everybody knows he

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<v Speaker 1>didn't live up to anywhere near that billing because he

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<v Speaker 1>was hobbled all seasoned with on and off ankle injuries. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean right now, he's going where he went RB

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<v Speaker 1>one last year. As you said, he's going as the

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<v Speaker 1>RB three right now, so end of round one and

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<v Speaker 1>he finished like RB eighteen and points for game in

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<v Speaker 1>twenty two, only played eleven games through that injury. And

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<v Speaker 1>I feel like this is definitely going to be one

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<v Speaker 1>of those situations where the same people who were in

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<v Speaker 1>drafting McCaffrey and Barkley last off season because they were

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<v Speaker 1>injury prone, if you had Jonathan Taylor last season, you're

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<v Speaker 1>not gonna be You got burned big time. So you

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<v Speaker 1>better hope the person the one on one last year

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<v Speaker 1>is drafting right in front of you in the first

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<v Speaker 1>round this year, because he is going to be one

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<v Speaker 1>of those players that some people just never draft again

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<v Speaker 1>because he burned them so badly. He did. And unfortunately

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<v Speaker 1>Taylor got hurt right out of the game, like I

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<v Speaker 1>believe it was game one week one, got hurt and

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<v Speaker 1>then he was just missed games played hurt clearly not himself.

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<v Speaker 1>And the offensive line for the Colts was dreadful obviously,

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<v Speaker 1>coaching change, quarterback changes, just everything went wrong. Interesting that

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<v Speaker 1>he's that Jonathan Taylor is still RB three. Most people

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<v Speaker 1>feel like the bounce back is still coming. So let's

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<v Speaker 1>let's let's do Let's dig into the let's dig into

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<v Speaker 1>some of the extra stats on him. What did we

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<v Speaker 1>learn from him last year? Yeah? From last year, well, honestly,

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<v Speaker 1>I think we would be doing him justice if we

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<v Speaker 1>didn't at least touch on his twenty twenty one season,

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<v Speaker 1>where he was the RB one. He was awesome. So

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<v Speaker 1>according to the next Sense stats, he led all running

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<v Speaker 1>backs in the yards overexpected four hundred eighty one, rushes

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<v Speaker 1>of twenty plus miles per hour six, and rushing yards

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<v Speaker 1>after contact fourteen hundred eighteen. That was fourteen hundred and

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<v Speaker 1>eighteen of his eighteen hundred total rushing yards at which

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<v Speaker 1>is after contact. Yes, yeah, he had a if you

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<v Speaker 1>have fourteen hundred yards after contact, fourteen hundred yards leads

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<v Speaker 1>the NFL and rushing times. Yes, So this is a

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<v Speaker 1>guy who can make people miss. And if you've just

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<v Speaker 1>compared kind of those similar stats to last season, he

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<v Speaker 1>was fifteenth in expected yards per attempts, where in the

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<v Speaker 1>year probably who's obviously number one, but he still finished

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<v Speaker 1>above guys like Kenneth Walker, Austin Eckler and Josh Jacobs

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<v Speaker 1>all guys who might have won you leagues last year.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's not did it on the through the air? Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>so you know, he know the running was not magical

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<v Speaker 1>for him. But yes, I just think it's worth noting

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<v Speaker 1>that these are guys that did when you league last

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<v Speaker 1>year and he still played good last year. I just

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<v Speaker 1>I truly think, I truly think if the situation was

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<v Speaker 1>even a just average, yeah, we would have gotten a

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<v Speaker 1>better version of Jonathan Taylor if he was healthy. Of course,

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<v Speaker 1>now we've got a change at head coach, We've got

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<v Speaker 1>a looming change a quarterback. Let's talk about looking forward

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<v Speaker 1>what some of these changes might mean. I think if

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<v Speaker 1>we just kind of so. Obviously, Shane Stekeen's the new

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<v Speaker 1>head coach who was the play caller offensive coordinator in

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<v Speaker 1>Philadelphia and one of the things he did, for sure

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<v Speaker 1>run the football in Philadelphia, correct, So I know the

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<v Speaker 1>personnels are different. We'll get into the Jalen Hurts without

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<v Speaker 1>Jone Hurts comparison here in a minute. Good but the

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<v Speaker 1>Eagles finished with the fourth most rushing yards per game

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<v Speaker 1>last season, the most rushing touchdowns, and the most rushing attempts. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>I know some of you're gonna be like, oh, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>Jalen Hurts. Yeah right, How much of that was driven

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<v Speaker 1>by Jalen Hurts alone? Because he's special and different? And

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<v Speaker 1>unless the Colts go Anthony Richardson in the draft, which

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<v Speaker 1>they might, that's not going to be there. So let's

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<v Speaker 1>talk about this. How much of that, how much of

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<v Speaker 1>that Shane steke in offense was rushing offense was driven

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<v Speaker 1>by Jalen Hurts. So if you'd removed Jalen Hurts his

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<v Speaker 1>rushing totals and replace it with league average stats, yes,

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<v Speaker 1>the Eagles would have finished tenth and rushing attempts per game,

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<v Speaker 1>still still top ten, ninth and rushing yards, and they

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<v Speaker 1>would have finished first and rushing touchdowns even if you

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<v Speaker 1>take away half, if you take away half of Jalen

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<v Speaker 1>Hurts rushing tds, they still would have finished first. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>And but the league average was three point eight for

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<v Speaker 1>attempts per game for running But I'm saying, if so,

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<v Speaker 1>it was kind of a thing when you're looking at

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<v Speaker 1>the stats where Jalen Hurts he had like thirteen rushing touchdowns.

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<v Speaker 1>If you take away obviously thirteen of those, like They're

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<v Speaker 1>not gonna be number one anymore, right, But but some

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<v Speaker 1>quarterbacks usually run in three four exactly. I don't know

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<v Speaker 1>if he can. So even if it was, even if

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<v Speaker 1>you take a half away, that's still I did six.

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<v Speaker 1>They still had the most rushing touchdowns. Okay, And another

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<v Speaker 1>thing that's really gonna bode well I think for Jonathan

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<v Speaker 1>Taylor is the Miles Sanders factory of this. This is

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<v Speaker 1>the staff that surprised me. Miles Sanders finished tied third

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<v Speaker 1>in red zone touches last season with Jalen Hurts on

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<v Speaker 1>his team. He had forty four red zone touches. Jalen

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<v Speaker 1>Hurts had forty three red zone touches. Wow. So even

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<v Speaker 1>if you take away because I'm assuming it depends on

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<v Speaker 1>what quarterback the Colts are gonna draft, obviously, but if

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<v Speaker 1>a draft someone like Bryce Young, Bright, Song's not gonna

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<v Speaker 1>have forty three now, He's not, I mean, Andthony Richardson

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<v Speaker 1>will see Gardner Minshew definitely not. So. I mean, it's

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<v Speaker 1>just it's just a crazy sets. So even if you

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<v Speaker 1>take away half of those, he's gonna he would have

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<v Speaker 1>finished as the you take away half of Jalen Hurts

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<v Speaker 1>is red zone touches and gave him to Miles Sanders,

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<v Speaker 1>which is Denny probably would have been number one. He

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<v Speaker 1>would have he would have just edged out Austin Eckler. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>that makes that makes sense, So I love that part.

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<v Speaker 1>Shane Steken, dude never passed near the goal line. Iyan,

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<v Speaker 1>it was just all running near the goal line and

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<v Speaker 1>that probably doesn't change and why should it. He just

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<v Speaker 1>went to the Super Bowl on this methodology and he's

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<v Speaker 1>got Jonathan Taylor. His disposals way better than Miles Sanders.

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<v Speaker 1>I also think he's the person all to do it

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<v Speaker 1>as well. They had the thirteenth best run blocking old

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<v Speaker 1>line according to PF that was it was ninth in

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<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty one, so pretty much the same kind of group.

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<v Speaker 1>I believe Quinn Elsone was hurt a little bit last few. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>so they're hopefully getting him back. And I just think

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<v Speaker 1>this is gonna be a team that wants to run

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<v Speaker 1>the football, especially when you think about the they're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>have to draft a rookie quarterback. I mean think everyone

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<v Speaker 1>expects them the exactly. So I did a little digging

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<v Speaker 1>and this is a list of running backs and they're

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<v Speaker 1>finishes the year their team drafts a first round rookie quarterback.

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<v Speaker 1>The thinking behind it, obviously is you're not gonna want

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<v Speaker 1>your rookie quarterback throwing fifty times a game and just

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<v Speaker 1>kind of ruining his confidence that you want to play

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<v Speaker 1>kind of through somebody else, like a Jonathan Taylor or

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<v Speaker 1>someone like that, to kind of ease him in NFL life.

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<v Speaker 1>So here's what I found. So in Chicago the draft

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<v Speaker 1>Justin Fields, Dave Montgomery was RB fifteen, Okay, that was

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<v Speaker 1>two years ago. Two years ago, yep. Cincinnati Joe Burrow,

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<v Speaker 1>Joe Mixon was RB eleven, Charges drafted Justin Herbert aus

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<v Speaker 1>Eckler RB twelve. New York Giants draft Daniel Jones, se

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<v Speaker 1>Quon RB seven, Cardinals Kyler, Murray, Kenny and Drake RB fourteen. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>So those were all the players, like those are first

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<v Speaker 1>round quarterbacks. And how the rookie or sorry, first round

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<v Speaker 1>rookie quarterbacks, and how the running backs did in that offense. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>these are good running backs Montgomery, Mixon, Eckler, Barkley, well

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<v Speaker 1>not Kenyan Drake, but those are good running backs. What

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<v Speaker 1>stands out is RB fifteen, RB eleven, RB twelve, RB

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<v Speaker 1>seven RB fourteen. Those aren't great numbers. Yeah, Well, the

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<v Speaker 1>first off, it's it's average points per game, so it's

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<v Speaker 1>not you not accounting injuries into that. So I'm sure

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<v Speaker 1>some of these might be a little bit inflated. But

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<v Speaker 1>that's the kind of thing that scares me a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit too, is these You're drafting that RB three right now, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>and these are nobody's getting close to that exactly. I

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<v Speaker 1>think the one thing we should say is that these

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<v Speaker 1>I think Jonathan Taylor might be better than all of

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<v Speaker 1>these running backs in terms of actually running the football.

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<v Speaker 1>Maybe sa Quan you can at least have an argument,

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<v Speaker 1>but David Joe, Austin Eckler, Kenny Drake, Jonathan Taylor is

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<v Speaker 1>better than all these running backs, and he finished as

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<v Speaker 1>an RB one before. Yeah, so I think that's worth mentioning.

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<v Speaker 1>And just for the sake of people, I'm guessing you're like,

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<v Speaker 1>what about Trevor Lawrence, Kenny Pickett. Those were like the

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<v Speaker 1>good running backs that I had listed, and then then

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<v Speaker 1>the running backs that didn't finish as hot, So Pittsburgh

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<v Speaker 1>Kenny Pickett, nag Harris Rby twenty Jackson, So yet Trevor Lawrence,

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<v Speaker 1>James Robinson Rby twenty three, Zach Wilson gets drafted, Michael Carter,

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<v Speaker 1>I'll be thirty five, and then so it's funny Dwayne

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<v Speaker 1>Haskins and then Adrian Peterson. Wow. Yeah, Adrian Peterson was

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<v Speaker 1>at the obviously the bitter end of his career. This

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<v Speaker 1>is RB twenty eight. Okay, the exemptions were obviously Shortan

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<v Speaker 1>Love and Trey lands Day. That's you know, that's not

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<v Speaker 1>that's not very that's not data that suggests that Jonathan

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<v Speaker 1>Taylor is likely to live up to RB three, which

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<v Speaker 1>is really interesting when they do bring in the rookie

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<v Speaker 1>quarterback and obviously, you know the rookies are learning on

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<v Speaker 1>the job, and that doesn't you know a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>defenses are going to be able to have the luxury

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<v Speaker 1>to just key in and this case on Jonathan Taylor.

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<v Speaker 1>A quick question. If let's say the Colts drafts, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>let's go, let's go Will Levis. Okay, say they take

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<v Speaker 1>Will Levis. Yeah, do you think that Will Levis leads

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<v Speaker 1>Jonathan Taylor to to similar numbers what Carson Wentz did

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<v Speaker 1>when Jonathan Taylor was Darby one. Do you think Will

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<v Speaker 1>Levis can do what Carson Wentz was in Indianapolis. Carson

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<v Speaker 1>Wentz is so polarizing that way. Um, you know, I

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<v Speaker 1>guess if historically no would be the answer, he wouldn't

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<v Speaker 1>quite be at the Carson Wentz level. And I don't

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<v Speaker 1>have Wentz's number from twenty twenty one in front of me,

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<v Speaker 1>but I want to say he's through like twenty eight touchdowns,

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<v Speaker 1>which is not likely for a rookie to get to

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<v Speaker 1>and so probably not quite no. And so I don't

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know that you can say, yeah, well, will

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<v Speaker 1>Levis in his rookie especially him in particular, because he's

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<v Speaker 1>he's a very polar he is super polarizing quarterback. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know that. I don't think he would spur

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<v Speaker 1>that to you. No, I don't, Yeah, I don't think so.

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<v Speaker 1>I think John, I think John had. I feel like

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<v Speaker 1>when we were just watching that season when you finished

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<v Speaker 1>RB one, it's a lot of breakaway want runs like

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<v Speaker 1>something that I don't know well can be replicated. But

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<v Speaker 1>then again, John Davis just a beast. When he's healthy,

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<v Speaker 1>you know he's gonna be a top five back in

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<v Speaker 1>the league. So I guess I'm I'm I'm a hold

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<v Speaker 1>on the RB three, right now let's see some more pieces,

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<v Speaker 1>kind of get at that offense and maybe all a

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<v Speaker 1>better decision. I wanted to get better value on Jonathan

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<v Speaker 1>Taylor off the bad season. RB three is not the value. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>i think I'm out at RB three. I think I'm

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<v Speaker 1>gonna let somebody else take him at pick three or

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<v Speaker 1>pick four of a draft. I'll take you know, I'll

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<v Speaker 1>take Travis Kelsey. There you go. I'll play it safe

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<v Speaker 1>and go a different direction. Thank you, Tyler, and thank

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<v Speaker 1>you for listening to Fantasy Football Weekly Micro addition. Back

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<v Speaker 1>tomorrow with another player to break down. Do we preview

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<v Speaker 1>the player? Should we do that? Let's do it. Let's

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<v Speaker 1>talk about Derek Carr. New landing space for Derek Carr,

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<v Speaker 1>surrounded by young, talented weapons. It's very exciting. What do

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<v Speaker 1>we think about Derek Carr's prospects twenty twenty three? Talk

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<v Speaker 1>to you tomorrow, everybody,