Speaker 1: You found Fantasy Football Weekly Micro a deep dive on
Speaker 1: one player in just five to ten minutes. Now, here's
Speaker 1: your host, Paul Georgian. Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly Micro Edition.
Speaker 1: I am Paul Chargy in. This is addition number two
Speaker 1: Fantasy Football Weekly Micro. My co host remains Tyler Kenneybilely. Hey, Tyler,
Speaker 1: we're back. We are back. We broke down yesterday, we
Speaker 1: broke down Kyle Pitts. We saw that one pretty differently.
Speaker 1: We're gonna go to another player that's gonna be pretty polarizing,
Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor today and again the focus on Fantasy Football
Speaker 1: Weekly Micro Edition. We do a deep dive on one
Speaker 1: player lasting five to ten ish minutes or so. Although
Speaker 1: I think our last one with eleven don't tell anybody
Speaker 1: it'll still we need it to feel micro and the ideas.
Speaker 1: We can give you one of these every day, at
Speaker 1: least every weekday. Let's talk John and Taylor. Let's begin here.
Speaker 1: Everybody knows that he was the first running back taken
Speaker 1: in Fantasy football drafts last year, and everybody knows he
Speaker 1: didn't live up to anywhere near that billing because he
Speaker 1: was hobbled all seasoned with on and off ankle injuries. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I mean right now, he's going where he went RB
Speaker 1: one last year. As you said, he's going as the
Speaker 1: RB three right now, so end of round one and
Speaker 1: he finished like RB eighteen and points for game in
Speaker 1: twenty two, only played eleven games through that injury. And
Speaker 1: I feel like this is definitely going to be one
Speaker 1: of those situations where the same people who were in
Speaker 1: drafting McCaffrey and Barkley last off season because they were
Speaker 1: injury prone, if you had Jonathan Taylor last season, you're
Speaker 1: not gonna be You got burned big time. So you
Speaker 1: better hope the person the one on one last year
Speaker 1: is drafting right in front of you in the first
Speaker 1: round this year, because he is going to be one
Speaker 1: of those players that some people just never draft again
Speaker 1: because he burned them so badly. He did. And unfortunately
Speaker 1: Taylor got hurt right out of the game, like I
Speaker 1: believe it was game one week one, got hurt and
Speaker 1: then he was just missed games played hurt clearly not himself.
Speaker 1: And the offensive line for the Colts was dreadful obviously,
Speaker 1: coaching change, quarterback changes, just everything went wrong. Interesting that
Speaker 1: he's that Jonathan Taylor is still RB three. Most people
Speaker 1: feel like the bounce back is still coming. So let's
Speaker 1: let's let's do Let's dig into the let's dig into
Speaker 1: some of the extra stats on him. What did we
Speaker 1: learn from him last year? Yeah? From last year, well, honestly,
Speaker 1: I think we would be doing him justice if we
Speaker 1: didn't at least touch on his twenty twenty one season,
Speaker 1: where he was the RB one. He was awesome. So
Speaker 1: according to the next Sense stats, he led all running
Speaker 1: backs in the yards overexpected four hundred eighty one, rushes
Speaker 1: of twenty plus miles per hour six, and rushing yards
Speaker 1: after contact fourteen hundred eighteen. That was fourteen hundred and
Speaker 1: eighteen of his eighteen hundred total rushing yards at which
Speaker 1: is after contact. Yes, yeah, he had a if you
Speaker 1: have fourteen hundred yards after contact, fourteen hundred yards leads
Speaker 1: the NFL and rushing times. Yes, So this is a
Speaker 1: guy who can make people miss. And if you've just
Speaker 1: compared kind of those similar stats to last season, he
Speaker 1: was fifteenth in expected yards per attempts, where in the
Speaker 1: year probably who's obviously number one, but he still finished
Speaker 1: above guys like Kenneth Walker, Austin Eckler and Josh Jacobs
Speaker 1: all guys who might have won you leagues last year.
Speaker 1: So it's not did it on the through the air? Yeah,
Speaker 1: so you know, he know the running was not magical
Speaker 1: for him. But yes, I just think it's worth noting
Speaker 1: that these are guys that did when you league last
Speaker 1: year and he still played good last year. I just
Speaker 1: I truly think, I truly think if the situation was
Speaker 1: even a just average, yeah, we would have gotten a
Speaker 1: better version of Jonathan Taylor if he was healthy. Of course,
Speaker 1: now we've got a change at head coach, We've got
Speaker 1: a looming change a quarterback. Let's talk about looking forward
Speaker 1: what some of these changes might mean. I think if
Speaker 1: we just kind of so. Obviously, Shane Stekeen's the new
Speaker 1: head coach who was the play caller offensive coordinator in
Speaker 1: Philadelphia and one of the things he did, for sure
Speaker 1: run the football in Philadelphia, correct, So I know the
Speaker 1: personnels are different. We'll get into the Jalen Hurts without
Speaker 1: Jone Hurts comparison here in a minute. Good but the
Speaker 1: Eagles finished with the fourth most rushing yards per game
Speaker 1: last season, the most rushing touchdowns, and the most rushing attempts. Now,
Speaker 1: I know some of you're gonna be like, oh, yeah,
Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts. Yeah right, How much of that was driven
Speaker 1: by Jalen Hurts alone? Because he's special and different? And
Speaker 1: unless the Colts go Anthony Richardson in the draft, which
Speaker 1: they might, that's not going to be there. So let's
Speaker 1: talk about this. How much of that, how much of
Speaker 1: that Shane steke in offense was rushing offense was driven
Speaker 1: by Jalen Hurts. So if you'd removed Jalen Hurts his
Speaker 1: rushing totals and replace it with league average stats, yes,
Speaker 1: the Eagles would have finished tenth and rushing attempts per game,
Speaker 1: still still top ten, ninth and rushing yards, and they
Speaker 1: would have finished first and rushing touchdowns even if you
Speaker 1: take away half, if you take away half of Jalen
Speaker 1: Hurts rushing tds, they still would have finished first. Okay,
Speaker 1: And but the league average was three point eight for
Speaker 1: attempts per game for running But I'm saying, if so,
Speaker 1: it was kind of a thing when you're looking at
Speaker 1: the stats where Jalen Hurts he had like thirteen rushing touchdowns.
Speaker 1: If you take away obviously thirteen of those, like They're
Speaker 1: not gonna be number one anymore, right, But but some
Speaker 1: quarterbacks usually run in three four exactly. I don't know
Speaker 1: if he can. So even if it was, even if
Speaker 1: you take a half away, that's still I did six.
Speaker 1: They still had the most rushing touchdowns. Okay, And another
Speaker 1: thing that's really gonna bode well I think for Jonathan
Speaker 1: Taylor is the Miles Sanders factory of this. This is
Speaker 1: the staff that surprised me. Miles Sanders finished tied third
Speaker 1: in red zone touches last season with Jalen Hurts on
Speaker 1: his team. He had forty four red zone touches. Jalen
Speaker 1: Hurts had forty three red zone touches. Wow. So even
Speaker 1: if you take away because I'm assuming it depends on
Speaker 1: what quarterback the Colts are gonna draft, obviously, but if
Speaker 1: a draft someone like Bryce Young, Bright, Song's not gonna
Speaker 1: have forty three now, He's not, I mean, Andthony Richardson
Speaker 1: will see Gardner Minshew definitely not. So. I mean, it's
Speaker 1: just it's just a crazy sets. So even if you
Speaker 1: take away half of those, he's gonna he would have
Speaker 1: finished as the you take away half of Jalen Hurts
Speaker 1: is red zone touches and gave him to Miles Sanders,
Speaker 1: which is Denny probably would have been number one. He
Speaker 1: would have he would have just edged out Austin Eckler. Yeah,
Speaker 1: that makes that makes sense, So I love that part.
Speaker 1: Shane Steken, dude never passed near the goal line. Iyan,
Speaker 1: it was just all running near the goal line and
Speaker 1: that probably doesn't change and why should it. He just
Speaker 1: went to the Super Bowl on this methodology and he's
Speaker 1: got Jonathan Taylor. His disposals way better than Miles Sanders.
Speaker 1: I also think he's the person all to do it
Speaker 1: as well. They had the thirteenth best run blocking old
Speaker 1: line according to PF that was it was ninth in
Speaker 1: twenty twenty one, so pretty much the same kind of group.
Speaker 1: I believe Quinn Elsone was hurt a little bit last few. Yeah,
Speaker 1: so they're hopefully getting him back. And I just think
Speaker 1: this is gonna be a team that wants to run
Speaker 1: the football, especially when you think about the they're gonna
Speaker 1: have to draft a rookie quarterback. I mean think everyone
Speaker 1: expects them the exactly. So I did a little digging
Speaker 1: and this is a list of running backs and they're
Speaker 1: finishes the year their team drafts a first round rookie quarterback.
Speaker 1: The thinking behind it, obviously is you're not gonna want
Speaker 1: your rookie quarterback throwing fifty times a game and just
Speaker 1: kind of ruining his confidence that you want to play
Speaker 1: kind of through somebody else, like a Jonathan Taylor or
Speaker 1: someone like that, to kind of ease him in NFL life.
Speaker 1: So here's what I found. So in Chicago the draft
Speaker 1: Justin Fields, Dave Montgomery was RB fifteen, Okay, that was
Speaker 1: two years ago. Two years ago, yep. Cincinnati Joe Burrow,
Speaker 1: Joe Mixon was RB eleven, Charges drafted Justin Herbert aus
Speaker 1: Eckler RB twelve. New York Giants draft Daniel Jones, se
Speaker 1: Quon RB seven, Cardinals Kyler, Murray, Kenny and Drake RB fourteen. Okay,
Speaker 1: So those were all the players, like those are first
Speaker 1: round quarterbacks. And how the rookie or sorry, first round
Speaker 1: rookie quarterbacks, and how the running backs did in that offense. Yeah,
Speaker 1: these are good running backs Montgomery, Mixon, Eckler, Barkley, well
Speaker 1: not Kenyan Drake, but those are good running backs. What
Speaker 1: stands out is RB fifteen, RB eleven, RB twelve, RB
Speaker 1: seven RB fourteen. Those aren't great numbers. Yeah, Well, the
Speaker 1: first off, it's it's average points per game, so it's
Speaker 1: not you not accounting injuries into that. So I'm sure
Speaker 1: some of these might be a little bit inflated. But
Speaker 1: that's the kind of thing that scares me a little
Speaker 1: bit too, is these You're drafting that RB three right now, yeah,
Speaker 1: and these are nobody's getting close to that exactly. I
Speaker 1: think the one thing we should say is that these
Speaker 1: I think Jonathan Taylor might be better than all of
Speaker 1: these running backs in terms of actually running the football.
Speaker 1: Maybe sa Quan you can at least have an argument,
Speaker 1: but David Joe, Austin Eckler, Kenny Drake, Jonathan Taylor is
Speaker 1: better than all these running backs, and he finished as
Speaker 1: an RB one before. Yeah, so I think that's worth mentioning.
Speaker 1: And just for the sake of people, I'm guessing you're like,
Speaker 1: what about Trevor Lawrence, Kenny Pickett. Those were like the
Speaker 1: good running backs that I had listed, and then then
Speaker 1: the running backs that didn't finish as hot, So Pittsburgh
Speaker 1: Kenny Pickett, nag Harris Rby twenty Jackson, So yet Trevor Lawrence,
Speaker 1: James Robinson Rby twenty three, Zach Wilson gets drafted, Michael Carter,
Speaker 1: I'll be thirty five, and then so it's funny Dwayne
Speaker 1: Haskins and then Adrian Peterson. Wow. Yeah, Adrian Peterson was
Speaker 1: at the obviously the bitter end of his career. This
Speaker 1: is RB twenty eight. Okay, the exemptions were obviously Shortan
Speaker 1: Love and Trey lands Day. That's you know, that's not
Speaker 1: that's not very that's not data that suggests that Jonathan
Speaker 1: Taylor is likely to live up to RB three, which
Speaker 1: is really interesting when they do bring in the rookie
Speaker 1: quarterback and obviously, you know the rookies are learning on
Speaker 1: the job, and that doesn't you know a lot of
Speaker 1: defenses are going to be able to have the luxury
Speaker 1: to just key in and this case on Jonathan Taylor.
Speaker 1: A quick question. If let's say the Colts drafts, Yeah,
Speaker 1: let's go, let's go Will Levis. Okay, say they take
Speaker 1: Will Levis. Yeah, do you think that Will Levis leads
Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor to to similar numbers what Carson Wentz did
Speaker 1: when Jonathan Taylor was Darby one. Do you think Will
Speaker 1: Levis can do what Carson Wentz was in Indianapolis. Carson
Speaker 1: Wentz is so polarizing that way. Um, you know, I
Speaker 1: guess if historically no would be the answer, he wouldn't
Speaker 1: quite be at the Carson Wentz level. And I don't
Speaker 1: have Wentz's number from twenty twenty one in front of me,
Speaker 1: but I want to say he's through like twenty eight touchdowns,
Speaker 1: which is not likely for a rookie to get to
Speaker 1: and so probably not quite no. And so I don't
Speaker 1: I don't know that you can say, yeah, well, will
Speaker 1: Levis in his rookie especially him in particular, because he's
Speaker 1: he's a very polar he is super polarizing quarterback. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I don't know that. I don't think he would spur
Speaker 1: that to you. No, I don't, Yeah, I don't think so.
Speaker 1: I think John, I think John had. I feel like
Speaker 1: when we were just watching that season when you finished
Speaker 1: RB one, it's a lot of breakaway want runs like
Speaker 1: something that I don't know well can be replicated. But
Speaker 1: then again, John Davis just a beast. When he's healthy,
Speaker 1: you know he's gonna be a top five back in
Speaker 1: the league. So I guess I'm I'm I'm a hold
Speaker 1: on the RB three, right now let's see some more pieces,
Speaker 1: kind of get at that offense and maybe all a
Speaker 1: better decision. I wanted to get better value on Jonathan
Speaker 1: Taylor off the bad season. RB three is not the value. Yeah,
Speaker 1: i think I'm out at RB three. I think I'm
Speaker 1: gonna let somebody else take him at pick three or
Speaker 1: pick four of a draft. I'll take you know, I'll
Speaker 1: take Travis Kelsey. There you go. I'll play it safe
Speaker 1: and go a different direction. Thank you, Tyler, and thank
Speaker 1: you for listening to Fantasy Football Weekly Micro addition. Back
Speaker 1: tomorrow with another player to break down. Do we preview
Speaker 1: the player? Should we do that? Let's do it. Let's
Speaker 1: talk about Derek Carr. New landing space for Derek Carr,
Speaker 1: surrounded by young, talented weapons. It's very exciting. What do
Speaker 1: we think about Derek Carr's prospects twenty twenty three? Talk
Speaker 1: to you tomorrow, everybody,