WEBVTT - Leading Off July 22nd, 2024 (Ep. 869) 0:00:05.720 --> 0:00:10.320 Welcome into everybody to Fantasy pros MLB. This is Leading 0:00:10.320 --> 0:00:12.440 Off Live, brought to you by Bet three six five. 0:00:12.680 --> 0:00:14.760 Of course, bet five bucks get one hundred and fifteen 0:00:14.800 --> 0:00:17.040 bonus bets when you use the promo code leading Off 0:00:17.079 --> 0:00:19.320 only at Bet three sixty five. It is me Joey 0:00:19.320 --> 0:00:21.560 p That of course is the Welsh, and it's you, 0:00:21.680 --> 0:00:23.920 the Peanuts and the Crackerjacks. We're back with a regular 0:00:23.960 --> 0:00:27.040 week of baseball after the All Star breaking all the wackiness. 0:00:27.040 --> 0:00:29.040 By the way, Casha missed it, and you're just you know, 0:00:29.080 --> 0:00:31.639 you took a vacation from baseball for a week, which 0:00:31.680 --> 0:00:33.440 is fair. I know a lot of people will do that. 0:00:33.520 --> 0:00:36.760 But you're back here. Go check out the MLB draft 0:00:36.920 --> 0:00:39.800 we just did. It was fantastic, Welsh, ind a whole 0:00:40.080 --> 0:00:43.960 breakdown of the first round. Help you with your dynasty teams. Heck, 0:00:44.000 --> 0:00:45.839 it will probably help you with your redraft teams next 0:00:45.880 --> 0:00:48.120 year too. That's the way the world goes. And speaking 0:00:48.159 --> 0:00:50.720 of minor league baseball, Welsh, I was at the Somerset 0:00:50.800 --> 0:00:53.400 Patriots double A. Got to see a walk off two 0:00:53.400 --> 0:00:56.279 to one game. I got to see some fireworks. They 0:00:56.280 --> 0:00:59.080 do a great job over there with the fireworks, and 0:00:59.120 --> 0:01:01.960 they got a special chicken sandwich there by a local 0:01:02.000 --> 0:01:05.840 restaurant that is just delicious and you can get it 0:01:05.880 --> 0:01:07.560 in all like five different ways. You can do the 0:01:07.560 --> 0:01:10.280 Buffalo War version. They got like a BLT version, all 0:01:10.400 --> 0:01:15.520 kinds of stuff. But Welsh chicken sandwiches, baseball fireworks sounds 0:01:15.560 --> 0:01:16.440 like America to me. 0:01:17.200 --> 0:01:19.640 I mean a lot of the questions about America lately, 0:01:19.720 --> 0:01:22.080 but sounds like you were living the American I was. 0:01:22.880 --> 0:01:24.800 I was, and I you know what, I know, you're 0:01:24.800 --> 0:01:27.920 a hack connoisseur. I was talking before the show with you. 0:01:28.240 --> 0:01:31.199 They got some cool hats, the little Diners the logo 0:01:31.240 --> 0:01:33.039 because you know, like every minor league team has their 0:01:33.080 --> 0:01:36.000 alternate whatever. The diners with the little hot chocolate guy 0:01:36.040 --> 0:01:38.720 with the mug with the little low cream on top. 0:01:38.959 --> 0:01:40.440 You gonna have to look at It's pretty. It's pretty 0:01:40.480 --> 0:01:42.120 damn cool. Speaking of the things you should look up 0:01:42.120 --> 0:01:44.279 too before we get to the breakdowns of everything today, 0:01:44.880 --> 0:01:47.640 a lot of baseball to get to Ozzy Albi's injury. 0:01:48.200 --> 0:01:50.360 The Hall of Fame happened this weekend too. I know 0:01:50.440 --> 0:01:51.880 Welsh doesn't care about these things. 0:01:53.600 --> 0:01:56.520 Why are all these videos about Adrian Belchray and David 0:01:56.640 --> 0:01:57.800 Ortiz's funny. 0:01:58.000 --> 0:02:01.360 Ortiz did touch his head, which was great. But I 0:02:01.400 --> 0:02:04.160 want to talk for a moment again. You know, they 0:02:04.240 --> 0:02:08.120 employ these artists to do these statues or busts or 0:02:08.160 --> 0:02:10.200 whatever the heck, the busts for the Hall of Fame. 0:02:11.000 --> 0:02:12.880 They're rough a lot of the time, and I don't 0:02:12.919 --> 0:02:14.799 know why they're not better. Well, I want to take 0:02:14.800 --> 0:02:16.919 a look at the Joe Mauer one, because Joe Maller, 0:02:17.000 --> 0:02:19.919 I would say, is a handsome man. I don't think that. 0:02:19.960 --> 0:02:21.560 I think that that's a that's not. 0:02:21.600 --> 0:02:24.919 Debate voter on Joe Maher, how you're doing. 0:02:25.280 --> 0:02:27.760 He looks like someone who's playing the banjo on the 0:02:27.800 --> 0:02:34.120 porch somewhere in this. I mean, really, it's it's very 0:02:34.160 --> 0:02:36.480 sling lady, and I don't think it's up for debate. 0:02:36.560 --> 0:02:40.120 I think it's pretty obvious that you know, Joe Mauer again, 0:02:40.200 --> 0:02:43.119 handsome man. Look at the face Joe Mauer is making 0:02:43.120 --> 0:02:45.440 in this other picture. That's my face that I made 0:02:45.480 --> 0:02:48.120 when I saw this plaque. Look at that. It's horrendous. YEA, 0:02:51.520 --> 0:02:53.920 sure do like them. I like them bets with the 0:02:53.960 --> 0:02:58.000 cork in it. Sure it's good. I got them browsing 0:02:58.040 --> 0:03:02.840 bags sometimes fifty percent off of du I mean, dude, 0:03:02.960 --> 0:03:07.280 come on, all that money, Come on seriously, guys, like 0:03:07.919 --> 0:03:10.720 it's just so bad. I can't even imagine. We're never 0:03:10.800 --> 0:03:13.360 going in the Hall of Fame of anything. I can't 0:03:13.360 --> 0:03:14.320 imagine how bad. 0:03:14.200 --> 0:03:16.519 Some of those looked, like Angel Hernandez made that thing. 0:03:16.600 --> 0:03:21.440 All right, let's get to the headlines here. Let's start 0:03:21.440 --> 0:03:24.720 with Seth Lugo. I want to start with him first 0:03:24.800 --> 0:03:27.079 career complete game, one of my favorite pictures in the 0:03:27.080 --> 0:03:29.280 Black Book this year that I wrote up. He is 0:03:29.360 --> 0:03:32.160 so far exceeded my expectations. He's twelve and four with 0:03:32.240 --> 0:03:35.600 a two three eight era he was dirt cheap this year. 0:03:36.240 --> 0:03:38.880 Everything was screaming, Hey, this guy's really turned a corner. 0:03:39.120 --> 0:03:41.400 He's really seemed to flourished. It's a matter of hey, 0:03:41.400 --> 0:03:44.080 can he stand up to the evenings. I'm trying to 0:03:44.120 --> 0:03:46.360 think Welsh. You know, at this point in the season, 0:03:46.720 --> 0:03:49.840 is Seth Lugo become a guy that A has been 0:03:49.880 --> 0:03:52.360 the best return on investment of any picture in ADP 0:03:52.640 --> 0:03:55.800 and B. Do you think this is a guy next 0:03:55.880 --> 0:03:58.080 year is going to see a massive optic or will 0:03:58.080 --> 0:04:01.280 people not believe all the good work that he's done 0:04:01.320 --> 0:04:02.280 in twenty twenty four. 0:04:03.200 --> 0:04:05.920 That's a good question because I think like Skeens belongs 0:04:05.960 --> 0:04:08.040 in that conversation Jack Flaherty. 0:04:08.680 --> 0:04:11.440 But Skeins had popping circumstance, He had all of the 0:04:11.480 --> 0:04:14.520 bells and whistles where people were aggressive on him. There 0:04:14.560 --> 0:04:17.200 was no buzz I feel like on Seth Lugo. Besides 0:04:17.360 --> 0:04:19.279 maybe some shows now he did. We were the buzzy 0:04:19.320 --> 0:04:22.400 guy Rangers Warrez, Ranger Swarrez would have been. I mean, 0:04:22.440 --> 0:04:26.240 set Seth Lugo is like the spin king right now. 0:04:26.240 --> 0:04:30.920 On his slurve this year it averages thirty one. I 0:04:30.960 --> 0:04:34.320 guess that's the peak thirty one on the RPM. Those 0:04:34.320 --> 0:04:37.440 are ridiculous spin numbers. So he's he's the spin doctor, 0:04:37.480 --> 0:04:38.920 if you will. He's been that guy. 0:04:39.960 --> 0:04:40.520 One thing you. 0:04:40.480 --> 0:04:43.560 Can see, like some of the expected stats are going 0:04:43.560 --> 0:04:45.640 in the wrong direction. He's got a two three eight era. 0:04:45.880 --> 0:04:49.120 Expected era is three eight seven, but he's induced a 0:04:49.200 --> 0:04:53.239 lot less barrels, less hard hit than last year, walking 0:04:53.279 --> 0:04:55.560 a little bit less. But also if you look at 0:04:55.560 --> 0:04:59.440 the heat map on his top three pitches, you've got fastball, sinker, curveball. 0:05:00.000 --> 0:05:02.760 If you look at last year, there was a jumble 0:05:02.880 --> 0:05:04.480 where they were all kind of in the middle. 0:05:04.680 --> 0:05:08.520 He's created separation. He's moved them and been more accurate. 0:05:08.680 --> 0:05:11.640 Fastball still kind of owns the middle, but sinker he's 0:05:11.680 --> 0:05:14.280 moved over on a corner, curveball a little bit more 0:05:14.279 --> 0:05:16.039 in a corner where everything was just kind of sitting 0:05:16.080 --> 0:05:18.800 dead red. So with those big spin numbers, that has 0:05:18.880 --> 0:05:21.400 probably equated to a lot less of a really good contact. 0:05:21.400 --> 0:05:24.080 And sometimes he's not a huge strikeout guy though he's 0:05:24.120 --> 0:05:27.880 had them. You know, the weak induced contact even if 0:05:27.920 --> 0:05:30.720 you're giving up a decent amount and not really like 0:05:30.880 --> 0:05:33.480 you know, awesome strikeout walk numbers and everything, and the 0:05:33.520 --> 0:05:36.680 batting average probably equating to why that expected ERA should 0:05:36.720 --> 0:05:41.320 be higher. But there are guys that overperform their expected stats. 0:05:41.360 --> 0:05:44.080 Expected stats are not everything, it's just a barometer for 0:05:44.160 --> 0:05:45.440 us to talk about players with. 0:05:45.839 --> 0:05:47.039 There are guys that are. 0:05:47.040 --> 0:05:49.880 Within a range of expected and then there's guys that 0:05:50.400 --> 0:05:54.360 completely defeat They completely beat those expected numbers, and Lugo 0:05:54.400 --> 0:05:54.760 is one of. 0:05:54.760 --> 0:05:56.280 The players that can do. 0:05:56.240 --> 0:05:58.400 It, which is a lost art form. Yeah, knowing where 0:05:58.400 --> 0:06:01.640 the outs are in lineups, knowing the weaknesses of certain hitters, 0:06:01.680 --> 0:06:04.120 knowing how to attack those things, and Seth Lugo is 0:06:04.160 --> 0:06:06.320 always a quality arm when he was in the Mets bullpen, 0:06:06.360 --> 0:06:08.559 when he came up years and years ago, I always 0:06:08.560 --> 0:06:10.800 thought Seth Lugo was a guy that like, maybe eventually 0:06:10.839 --> 0:06:12.480 you give this guy a real crack at the rotation. 0:06:12.520 --> 0:06:13.960 The Mets never did, and then he has this time 0:06:14.000 --> 0:06:17.240 in San Diego. But last year they were to me, 0:06:17.279 --> 0:06:18.919 everything was pointing in the right direction and he was 0:06:18.960 --> 0:06:21.000 so dirt cheap, and I wish I had more shares 0:06:21.040 --> 0:06:22.919 of him. It just didn't not happen in leagues, But 0:06:23.200 --> 0:06:25.720 said Lugo, fantastic year. Also one of our favorite guys. 0:06:25.760 --> 0:06:28.120 Jared Duran, Oh sorry, go ahead, Oh no. 0:06:28.000 --> 0:06:29.599 No, I was just saying, though, I think the big 0:06:29.680 --> 0:06:33.000 key about like Lugo is like it can maintain like 0:06:33.040 --> 0:06:35.839 he can maintain a great guy the rest of the season, 0:06:35.880 --> 0:06:37.280 and that's what's good for fantasy. 0:06:38.400 --> 0:06:41.360 Jared Duran continues to be hot. I love watching this 0:06:41.440 --> 0:06:44.080 kid play baseball. It's just great. He is really coming 0:06:44.080 --> 0:06:46.719 into his own two run homer, four runs driven in 0:06:46.760 --> 0:06:50.000 on Sunday. Great night for him. Not a great night 0:06:50.000 --> 0:06:52.360 for Julia Rodriguez. Well, I guess great in one way. 0:06:52.400 --> 0:06:54.120 The X Rays were negative because at the end of 0:06:54.120 --> 0:06:56.400 the day, so he hurt his ankle this weekend not 0:06:56.520 --> 0:06:58.560 the best look. He did have a home run too, 0:06:58.680 --> 0:07:00.840 but I don't know. I mean, the WHU this year 0:07:00.880 --> 0:07:03.520 has just been so frustrating. And again, I just. 0:07:03.480 --> 0:07:05.560 Like there's a rumor, there's a rumor out there right 0:07:05.600 --> 0:07:09.960 now that this week is going to be the big 0:07:10.080 --> 0:07:12.240 trade week. I know, there's like nine days, so it's 0:07:12.280 --> 0:07:14.280 like when else can it be, but like that things 0:07:14.320 --> 0:07:17.040 are really going to start like going and maybe early. 0:07:17.880 --> 0:07:19.160 The Mariners need. 0:07:18.960 --> 0:07:22.400 To or get off the pot with this situation because 0:07:22.400 --> 0:07:26.160 it's like Julio going down, like what are you? I mean, 0:07:26.280 --> 0:07:28.240 that's that's but that's what I'm saying. It's like you 0:07:28.320 --> 0:07:30.920 need to be aggressive to make that move. Teams need 0:07:30.960 --> 0:07:33.160 to go, they need to pull the trigger. And a 0:07:33.160 --> 0:07:34.720 little bit of a problem is now you're getting a 0:07:34.720 --> 0:07:36.680 few more teams that are kind of getting out of 0:07:36.720 --> 0:07:38.520 it that might be in the cell club. You got 0:07:38.520 --> 0:07:40.880 to get someone that's going to be hyper aggressive, and the. 0:07:40.840 --> 0:07:43.480 Reds are in this cell clubs is there anybody from 0:07:43.520 --> 0:07:46.560 the Reds that could? I mean, that seems to be 0:07:47.040 --> 0:07:47.480 the direction. 0:07:47.560 --> 0:07:50.120 Well there is gone the rumor. 0:07:49.840 --> 0:07:51.800 With them has been that it's going to be like 0:07:52.080 --> 0:07:55.160 contractual stuff. So guy like Frankie Montas, like they would 0:07:55.160 --> 0:07:57.320 look to move a Frankie Montas. I think they would 0:07:57.320 --> 0:08:00.840 probably move a Candelario. But I'm really not sure that, 0:08:00.960 --> 0:08:02.640 like what else on the hitting side is it going 0:08:02.720 --> 0:08:04.440 to do for anybody. I think they're going to be 0:08:04.520 --> 0:08:06.840 selling some just mid type pieces. 0:08:06.960 --> 0:08:10.600 Speaking of unsung heroes too, we were talking about Duran 0:08:10.720 --> 0:08:13.760 and Lugo. Alec Burlson to another guy two for five 0:08:13.800 --> 0:08:17.240 with another home real slash on the year two ninety four, 0:08:17.280 --> 0:08:20.920 three twenty four, five hundred. I mean that is really solid, 0:08:20.960 --> 0:08:23.520 Like that is just a completely solid dude. He's got 0:08:23.560 --> 0:08:27.800 the eighteen bombs already. Somebody that I don't think was 0:08:27.800 --> 0:08:29.280 all on a lot of people's radars. I know I 0:08:29.280 --> 0:08:31.160 did a Waiver Wire video about him early on when 0:08:31.200 --> 0:08:33.160 he first got called up, which was like, hey, you know, 0:08:33.160 --> 0:08:35.680 I kind of compared him to Ben Zobrist statistically, like 0:08:35.760 --> 0:08:37.840 I thought he could be that kind of player, and 0:08:38.160 --> 0:08:40.319 he has been basically like the best version of that. 0:08:41.040 --> 0:08:43.720 Here's a question for you going into next year looking 0:08:43.720 --> 0:08:46.760 at Alec Burlson and everything you've seen so far, because 0:08:46.800 --> 0:08:50.040 of the versatility because of the statistical profile. Is Alec 0:08:50.080 --> 0:08:52.880 Burlson a player next year that is going to be 0:08:53.160 --> 0:08:55.560 a really good mid round value or more of a 0:08:55.559 --> 0:08:56.600 one year wonder for you. 0:08:57.600 --> 0:08:59.000 I think there's a good chance he's going to be 0:08:59.000 --> 0:09:01.679 a mid round value. Like eighteen homers. 0:09:01.679 --> 0:09:03.600 He might walk out of the season with the quietest 0:09:03.640 --> 0:09:05.719 twenty five plus homers of anybody. 0:09:06.320 --> 0:09:07.719 The reasons to be excited. 0:09:08.240 --> 0:09:11.040 He does all of this with an incredibly low strikeout 0:09:11.080 --> 0:09:15.079 rate thirteen percent. His expected batting average is just about 0:09:15.080 --> 0:09:16.440 two ninety, and. 0:09:16.559 --> 0:09:18.480 He's got a really good power distribution. 0:09:18.920 --> 0:09:22.199 Last year the only had eight homers, seven off the fastball, 0:09:22.280 --> 0:09:23.760 and one off breaking pitches. 0:09:23.880 --> 0:09:29.280 This year eight fastball, six breaking, four offspeed. The distribution 0:09:29.360 --> 0:09:29.960 has been good. 0:09:30.160 --> 0:09:32.720 He's really destroying fastballs, which he's seeing a whole lot 0:09:32.760 --> 0:09:35.559 more of, but he's not hitting really under two forty 0:09:35.559 --> 0:09:36.280 against anything. 0:09:36.320 --> 0:09:37.719 So it's been really good contact. 0:09:37.960 --> 0:09:40.600 And the biggest change if you're looking at the profile, 0:09:40.679 --> 0:09:43.200 like where where he's he kind of unlocked this because 0:09:43.240 --> 0:09:45.600 it's not like an elite barrel guy getting the ball 0:09:45.640 --> 0:09:48.040 in the air more. It was a twelve percent launch 0:09:48.120 --> 0:09:51.800 or twelve degree launch angle last year over fifteen this year, 0:09:52.000 --> 0:09:54.800 we've seen guys unlock that when you can make really 0:09:54.840 --> 0:09:57.760 good contact, Guys like hasun Kim from the year before. 0:09:58.040 --> 0:09:58.319 CJ. 0:09:58.440 --> 0:10:01.000 Abrams did it last year. Even if the power projection 0:10:01.120 --> 0:10:03.959 isn't like massive, these guys are doing a really good 0:10:04.000 --> 0:10:06.319 job getting the bat in the plane and getting it 0:10:06.400 --> 0:10:08.559 up in the air with really good pull numbers. And 0:10:08.600 --> 0:10:12.160 that's what Alec Burlson has done this year in droves. 0:10:12.240 --> 0:10:14.960 You know, his own percentage is way up. He's chasing less. 0:10:15.120 --> 0:10:16.920 I mean, he's doing everything that you need to do 0:10:17.000 --> 0:10:18.480 and it's really optimized. 0:10:18.520 --> 0:10:21.120 So yeah, I think Burlson probably going to be a 0:10:21.160 --> 0:10:24.080 twenty to twenty five home run guy throughout. And I 0:10:24.200 --> 0:10:27.800 really don't know if a lot of this is like unbelievable, 0:10:27.960 --> 0:10:28.240 you know. 0:10:28.200 --> 0:10:29.599 For I think he's a twenty to twenty five I 0:10:29.600 --> 0:10:31.480 don't think he's a thirty guy. Twenty twenty five I 0:10:31.520 --> 0:10:33.640 definitely not real last year. Here's a good question for 0:10:33.720 --> 0:10:38.760 Lee g is Burlson this year's Lane Thomas. I mean 0:10:38.840 --> 0:10:42.280 Lane Thomas was so much about the stolen base combination 0:10:42.360 --> 0:10:44.360 and the hundred runs scored and all that stuff. 0:10:45.120 --> 0:10:48.080 I think he's right in like the he's a better contact. 0:10:48.160 --> 0:10:50.840 Yeah, I'll tell you what, He's a better lane. Thomas 0:10:50.920 --> 0:10:53.120 Roto in theory is a better player, but Burlson and 0:10:53.160 --> 0:10:55.280 points leagues, I'd rather have the contact version Burlson, to 0:10:55.320 --> 0:10:56.120 be honest, because you know. 0:10:56.120 --> 0:10:58.480 I think this is like, I think the idea is right. 0:10:58.520 --> 0:11:00.760 It's not the same player because Thomas was like a twenty. 0:11:00.559 --> 0:11:02.760 Twenty but in the same like out of nowhere ish 0:11:02.840 --> 0:11:07.360 kind of feel nowhere. Yeah, show to ten more strikeouts 0:11:07.360 --> 0:11:09.600 for him, one run, seven innings, getting back on track 0:11:09.600 --> 0:11:12.320 against the d Backs. Ozzie Albi's we tease it at 0:11:12.320 --> 0:11:14.880 the top though he's gonna miss a few months here 0:11:14.880 --> 0:11:17.439 with a fractured left wrist. He was making a tag 0:11:17.480 --> 0:11:22.640 and things did not go well. So instead we're gonna 0:11:22.679 --> 0:11:26.480 get a look at Nacho Alvarez. Now, before we talk 0:11:26.520 --> 0:11:28.559 about Nacho Alpharez, Welsh, I feel like we should do 0:11:28.600 --> 0:11:30.199 something here, which was just make a little bit of 0:11:30.200 --> 0:11:33.319 a swap here. If we're gonna talk about Nacho Alpharez, 0:11:33.360 --> 0:11:37.240 we're gonna go back to the lugendor screen here because 0:11:37.520 --> 0:11:41.120 old school Jose Canoli and well, cheezbo my my Lucidor 0:11:41.240 --> 0:11:43.120 Mascus is back here. Are you putting yours on or 0:11:44.080 --> 0:11:46.480 I could, all right, we could talk about Nacho Alphareez. 0:11:46.480 --> 0:11:48.720 That's fine, let's talk about I'm not. 0:11:49.120 --> 0:11:55.720 Suchos, all right, So Nachos coming, all right, so. 0:11:57.400 --> 0:11:59.240 Here we go. All right, so it's not really great. 0:12:00.280 --> 0:12:02.240 There you go? All right? How does he work in 0:12:02.320 --> 0:12:05.360 this thing? Okay? So Nacho Alvarez, let's talk about him. 0:12:05.600 --> 0:12:09.720 Uh he is, you know right now in Triple A 0:12:09.760 --> 0:12:12.720 three point thirty six seven home runs, twenty four rbi, 0:12:13.080 --> 0:12:15.160 twenty one steals in seventy six games between Double A 0:12:15.200 --> 0:12:18.120 and Triple A. So he's made that jump already. But 0:12:18.520 --> 0:12:20.560 there's a wrinkle. There's a fly in the ointment, which 0:12:20.559 --> 0:12:22.320 is the Braves just signed Witt and Meryfield to a 0:12:22.520 --> 0:12:24.960 major league contract, now a minor league contract, I'm majorly contract. 0:12:25.040 --> 0:12:29.040 So well, Chiezmo, What I want to know from you 0:12:29.240 --> 0:12:31.840 is should people be chasing? That's gonna be hard to 0:12:31.840 --> 0:12:33.360 have had on the mask? Look at you. That's a 0:12:33.360 --> 0:12:35.839 professional right there. So I want to know from you. 0:12:36.559 --> 0:12:40.200 Are you going with Nacho Alvarez and emptying the fab 0:12:40.240 --> 0:12:42.040 tank if you're an Albie's owner, or are you hedging 0:12:42.080 --> 0:12:43.920 your bets and thinking, oh I don't like this wit 0:12:44.000 --> 0:12:45.959 and Merryfield, you bring in the veteran and you just 0:12:46.040 --> 0:12:48.160 kind of go through it. I know Meryfield hasn't done 0:12:48.200 --> 0:12:49.720 much this year, which is why you got let go. 0:12:49.920 --> 0:12:53.440 But we've seen the veterans in these situations sometimes take over. 0:12:53.520 --> 0:12:56.400 So is it Alvarez, is it Merryfield or is it 0:12:56.480 --> 0:12:58.040 some awful combination of both? 0:12:58.640 --> 0:13:02.320 Ooh, brother, it's neither. It's absolutely neither of them. Not 0:13:02.400 --> 0:13:04.000 unloading any fab for either one. 0:13:04.040 --> 0:13:04.720 Can I take us off? 0:13:04.760 --> 0:13:06.680 Now? This is a ken if you want to, Okay, 0:13:06.800 --> 0:13:08.319 I'm going to leave. It's very comfortable. 0:13:08.360 --> 0:13:09.720 All right. Oh, there's my head just through. 0:13:09.640 --> 0:13:11.360 The Knacho Alvarez segment. That's all. 0:13:11.640 --> 0:13:16.960 So it's not wit Maorfield, for sure, it could be 0:13:17.280 --> 0:13:19.200 not Cho Alvarez. Here are the things to be excited 0:13:19.200 --> 0:13:22.080 about with Nacho. High contact kind of like what we 0:13:22.080 --> 0:13:25.360 talk with Girlson, low strikeouts. He has never struck out 0:13:25.440 --> 0:13:28.120 nineteen percent of the time at any level since he's 0:13:28.160 --> 0:13:32.000 been in the majors, in the minors, but under nineteen 0:13:32.040 --> 0:13:35.240 percent high walk rate. Here was the trippy thing about him, 0:13:35.240 --> 0:13:37.200 because this is a guy, like I said, he's always 0:13:37.240 --> 0:13:39.040 going to have like really good contact rates. But the 0:13:39.040 --> 0:13:44.160 power complete suppression of power. In double A, he had 0:13:44.440 --> 0:13:47.720 zero homers over forty eight games. He goes to triple 0:13:47.800 --> 0:13:51.480 A in twenty eight games. All seven of his home 0:13:51.559 --> 0:13:54.400 runs came in triple A, so he kind of was 0:13:54.440 --> 0:13:57.079 able to re unlock that get the ball in the air. 0:13:57.400 --> 0:13:59.120 I think this is a guy that he's gonna just 0:13:59.200 --> 0:14:00.640 here's the problem with It's going to hit in the 0:14:00.679 --> 0:14:03.280 back of the order. He's going to probably score some runs, 0:14:03.360 --> 0:14:07.280 make good contact. Maybe it's gonna be you know, some 0:14:07.280 --> 0:14:08.520 some counting stats in there. 0:14:08.559 --> 0:14:10.280 He did start to show off the power. I think 0:14:10.320 --> 0:14:10.640 this is. 0:14:10.600 --> 0:14:13.480 Along the lines of like a notch below with Jacob 0:14:13.520 --> 0:14:14.880 Wilson who just got hurt. 0:14:15.000 --> 0:14:19.200 I was gonna say that frustrating the Jacob Wilson thing 0:14:19.280 --> 0:14:21.160 like that, I mean, comes up, gets a hit, then 0:14:21.160 --> 0:14:22.800 he pulls a hamstring. I mean, it doesn't get much 0:14:22.800 --> 0:14:25.760 worse than that. I don't know, it's frustrating. 0:14:25.280 --> 0:14:26.200 It doesn't. 0:14:26.240 --> 0:14:29.920 But even Welsh cheese Mo I could do like a 0:14:29.920 --> 0:14:33.480 puppet Welsh cheez Mo Welsh and Welsh Cheesemo say in 0:14:33.560 --> 0:14:35.960 a points league maybe because he's not going to strike out, 0:14:36.080 --> 0:14:37.480 but he's gonna hit in the back of the order. 0:14:37.520 --> 0:14:39.080 So I'm not running to pick up either one of 0:14:39.120 --> 0:14:42.800 these guys. But Nacho's hit tool could be a game 0:14:42.920 --> 0:14:44.640 changer in it and maybe you would pick him up. 0:14:44.640 --> 0:14:46.240 So it's a lot easier for you to take that off. 0:14:46.280 --> 0:14:47.680 I don't it is, I don't have to do my 0:14:47.760 --> 0:14:50.800 hair again. But yeah, it's it's hot in there by 0:14:50.920 --> 0:14:54.360 Ray Mysterio. What a tough guy, all right. So, besides 0:14:55.080 --> 0:14:57.880 the obvious about Jacob Wilson, which is very frustrating, Jackson 0:14:57.920 --> 0:15:01.520 Curio on a good note, we talked a couple weeks ago, 0:15:01.600 --> 0:15:03.200 now it was like six weeks ago. It feels like 0:15:03.240 --> 0:15:06.360 about the slow upturn of Jackson Curio and over the 0:15:06.440 --> 0:15:11.040 last thirty games now he's slashing three eleven, three sixty eight, 0:15:11.080 --> 0:15:14.440 four seventy six. He has really started to come into 0:15:14.480 --> 0:15:19.520 his own. So tell me about Jackson Curio rest of season. Now, 0:15:19.520 --> 0:15:22.400 have you seen enough where you're gonna see this version 0:15:22.480 --> 0:15:24.400 of him, which is look, if he keeps up a 0:15:24.400 --> 0:15:26.680 slash that's anything close to this. This is a rock 0:15:26.760 --> 0:15:28.520 star player right here, Like this is the guy that 0:15:28.560 --> 0:15:31.800 we wanted. The problem is either got he dropped or 0:15:31.840 --> 0:15:34.280 traded in a lot of leagues where the original person 0:15:34.280 --> 0:15:36.360 doesn't have Jackson Churio anymore. But if you do have 0:15:36.480 --> 0:15:39.280 my your roster, is this version of him that we've 0:15:39.280 --> 0:15:41.840 seen the last thirty games, your expectation that we're gonna see. 0:15:42.040 --> 0:15:42.720 Yeah, I think so. 0:15:42.960 --> 0:15:46.240 Two straight months of hitting three hundred, which has been huge. 0:15:46.280 --> 0:15:48.640 He's been able to drop down the strikeout rates under 0:15:48.680 --> 0:15:52.640 twenty three percent, solid hard hit numbers, very good barrel 0:15:52.680 --> 0:15:54.680 numbers you'd like to get up. He's still not getting 0:15:54.760 --> 0:15:56.520 the ball quite in the air, but you know, like 0:15:57.040 --> 0:15:59.080 Ellie O'Neil Cruz are still learning. 0:15:58.840 --> 0:16:00.120 To do that type of stuff as well well. 0:16:00.200 --> 0:16:03.560 But he's had a really good, relatively good even distribution 0:16:03.840 --> 0:16:06.320 as far as like the type of BA you know, 0:16:06.400 --> 0:16:08.960 whether it's breaking pitches or fastballs and stuff that he's hitting. 0:16:09.240 --> 0:16:13.320 And essentially eighty nine percent of pitches seen he's hitting 0:16:13.320 --> 0:16:15.920 two forty or higher. And you know, he has made 0:16:15.960 --> 0:16:18.920 a concerted effort with the strikeouts going down, the power 0:16:19.000 --> 0:16:21.760 kind of going up. Ten homers, twelve stolen bases. 0:16:22.320 --> 0:16:24.000 You know, it's funny. I should go back and look. 0:16:24.080 --> 0:16:28.200 I did a Welsh projections on CBS before the season 0:16:28.280 --> 0:16:31.280 with minor leaguers just completely being silly about it. I 0:16:31.320 --> 0:16:34.080 actually might not be off on where I have Cheerio 0:16:34.200 --> 0:16:36.640 because he's got a legit shot. Especially if he starts 0:16:36.680 --> 0:16:38.840 running a little bit more, he might pull off a 0:16:38.920 --> 0:16:42.680 fifteen twenty, maybe a twenty twenty season out of this. 0:16:42.760 --> 0:16:46.400 But yeah, I think carrying in those two three hundred 0:16:46.800 --> 0:16:49.640 batting average months that he's currently on through July, he 0:16:49.760 --> 0:16:52.760 is a must own. He's a top probably one twenty 0:16:52.840 --> 0:16:55.320 five player moving forward with the counting stats, and he's 0:16:55.360 --> 0:16:57.360 hitting higher in the lineup. So yeah, I'm all here 0:16:57.400 --> 0:16:57.880 for Cheerio. 0:16:58.120 --> 0:16:58.880 He's a rookie. 0:16:59.000 --> 0:17:01.720 Anything could happen. I think a really fun question is 0:17:01.800 --> 0:17:04.720 Cheerio versus James Wood rest of season. 0:17:04.800 --> 0:17:07.080 Wood two for four with a three run homer yesterday 0:17:07.080 --> 0:17:10.320 in the eighth, so looking pretty solid up there, three 0:17:10.400 --> 0:17:13.560 up and three down. It was all about the stars yesterday. 0:17:13.640 --> 0:17:13.920 What's that? 0:17:14.600 --> 0:17:15.440 But who would you take? 0:17:15.880 --> 0:17:20.600 Wood or Cheerio? Uh? You know it's funny. Profile wise 0:17:20.600 --> 0:17:23.680 would But because Cheerio has been up longer, I kind 0:17:23.680 --> 0:17:27.280 of feel like he is settling in, and I think 0:17:27.280 --> 0:17:29.600 I would lean towards Cheerio because now it's like, Okay, 0:17:29.680 --> 0:17:32.119 you had a big league hiccup. You've had that you 0:17:32.119 --> 0:17:34.320 made the adjustment. Now you're there like Woods could still 0:17:34.359 --> 0:17:37.160 have that what could still have that adjustment period ahead 0:17:37.160 --> 0:17:39.639 of him? That's my only concern there, Like that could be. 0:17:39.920 --> 0:17:42.719 I think I'm with you. I'm with Cheerio on this 0:17:42.760 --> 0:17:44.640 one as well, because that. 0:17:44.840 --> 0:17:47.240 Surprise you're saying that, Actually, well no, But I think 0:17:47.280 --> 0:17:50.639 like from an upside perspective in that redraft league that 0:17:50.840 --> 0:17:52.160 I do my home league. By the way, I took 0:17:52.200 --> 0:17:55.040 Albi's of course I suck, but I also took James 0:17:55.040 --> 0:17:56.720 Wood and I got this big value on him. 0:17:57.160 --> 0:17:58.920 But James Wood is kind of. 0:17:58.880 --> 0:18:03.120 In his you know, learning the game, thirty percent strikeout rate, 0:18:03.640 --> 0:18:06.440