Speaker 1: Welcome into everybody to Fantasy pros MLB. This is Leading
Speaker 1: Off Live, brought to you by Bet three six five.
Speaker 1: Of course, bet five bucks get one hundred and fifteen
Speaker 1: bonus bets when you use the promo code leading Off
Speaker 1: only at Bet three sixty five. It is me Joey
Speaker 1: p That of course is the Welsh, and it's you,
Speaker 1: the Peanuts and the Crackerjacks. We're back with a regular
Speaker 1: week of baseball after the All Star breaking all the wackiness.
Speaker 1: By the way, Casha missed it, and you're just you know,
Speaker 1: you took a vacation from baseball for a week, which
Speaker 1: is fair. I know a lot of people will do that.
Speaker 1: But you're back here. Go check out the MLB draft
Speaker 1: we just did. It was fantastic, Welsh, ind a whole
Speaker 1: breakdown of the first round. Help you with your dynasty teams. Heck,
Speaker 1: it will probably help you with your redraft teams next
Speaker 1: year too. That's the way the world goes. And speaking
Speaker 1: of minor league baseball, Welsh, I was at the Somerset
Speaker 1: Patriots double A. Got to see a walk off two
Speaker 1: to one game. I got to see some fireworks. They
Speaker 1: do a great job over there with the fireworks, and
Speaker 1: they got a special chicken sandwich there by a local
Speaker 1: restaurant that is just delicious and you can get it
Speaker 1: in all like five different ways. You can do the
Speaker 1: Buffalo War version. They got like a BLT version, all
Speaker 1: kinds of stuff. But Welsh chicken sandwiches, baseball fireworks sounds
Speaker 1: like America to me.
Speaker 2: I mean a lot of the questions about America lately,
Speaker 2: but sounds like you were living the American I was.
Speaker 1: I was, and I you know what, I know, you're
Speaker 1: a hack connoisseur. I was talking before the show with you.
Speaker 1: They got some cool hats, the little Diners the logo
Speaker 1: because you know, like every minor league team has their
Speaker 1: alternate whatever. The diners with the little hot chocolate guy
Speaker 1: with the mug with the little low cream on top.
Speaker 1: You gonna have to look at It's pretty. It's pretty
Speaker 1: damn cool. Speaking of the things you should look up
Speaker 1: too before we get to the breakdowns of everything today,
Speaker 1: a lot of baseball to get to Ozzy Albi's injury.
Speaker 1: The Hall of Fame happened this weekend too. I know
Speaker 1: Welsh doesn't care about these things.
Speaker 2: Why are all these videos about Adrian Belchray and David
Speaker 2: Ortiz's funny.
Speaker 1: Ortiz did touch his head, which was great. But I
Speaker 1: want to talk for a moment again. You know, they
Speaker 1: employ these artists to do these statues or busts or
Speaker 1: whatever the heck, the busts for the Hall of Fame.
Speaker 1: They're rough a lot of the time, and I don't
Speaker 1: know why they're not better. Well, I want to take
Speaker 1: a look at the Joe Mauer one, because Joe Maller,
Speaker 1: I would say, is a handsome man. I don't think that.
Speaker 1: I think that that's a that's not.
Speaker 3: Debate voter on Joe Maher, how you're doing.
Speaker 1: He looks like someone who's playing the banjo on the
Speaker 1: porch somewhere in this. I mean, really, it's it's very
Speaker 1: sling lady, and I don't think it's up for debate.
Speaker 1: I think it's pretty obvious that you know, Joe Mauer again,
Speaker 1: handsome man. Look at the face Joe Mauer is making
Speaker 1: in this other picture. That's my face that I made
Speaker 1: when I saw this plaque. Look at that. It's horrendous. YEA,
Speaker 1: sure do like them. I like them bets with the
Speaker 1: cork in it. Sure it's good. I got them browsing
Speaker 1: bags sometimes fifty percent off of du I mean, dude,
Speaker 1: come on, all that money, Come on seriously, guys, like
Speaker 1: it's just so bad. I can't even imagine. We're never
Speaker 1: going in the Hall of Fame of anything. I can't
Speaker 1: imagine how bad.
Speaker 3: Some of those looked, like Angel Hernandez made that thing.
Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the headlines here. Let's start
Speaker 1: with Seth Lugo. I want to start with him first
Speaker 1: career complete game, one of my favorite pictures in the
Speaker 1: Black Book this year that I wrote up. He is
Speaker 1: so far exceeded my expectations. He's twelve and four with
Speaker 1: a two three eight era he was dirt cheap this year.
Speaker 1: Everything was screaming, Hey, this guy's really turned a corner.
Speaker 1: He's really seemed to flourished. It's a matter of hey,
Speaker 1: can he stand up to the evenings. I'm trying to
Speaker 1: think Welsh. You know, at this point in the season,
Speaker 1: is Seth Lugo become a guy that A has been
Speaker 1: the best return on investment of any picture in ADP
Speaker 1: and B. Do you think this is a guy next
Speaker 1: year is going to see a massive optic or will
Speaker 1: people not believe all the good work that he's done
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty four.
Speaker 2: That's a good question because I think like Skeens belongs
Speaker 2: in that conversation Jack Flaherty.
Speaker 1: But Skeins had popping circumstance, He had all of the
Speaker 1: bells and whistles where people were aggressive on him. There
Speaker 1: was no buzz I feel like on Seth Lugo. Besides
Speaker 1: maybe some shows now he did. We were the buzzy
Speaker 1: guy Rangers Warrez, Ranger Swarrez would have been. I mean,
Speaker 1: set Seth Lugo is like the spin king right now.
Speaker 1: On his slurve this year it averages thirty one. I
Speaker 1: guess that's the peak thirty one on the RPM. Those
Speaker 1: are ridiculous spin numbers. So he's he's the spin doctor,
Speaker 1: if you will. He's been that guy.
Speaker 3: One thing you.
Speaker 2: Can see, like some of the expected stats are going
Speaker 2: in the wrong direction. He's got a two three eight era.
Speaker 2: Expected era is three eight seven, but he's induced a
Speaker 2: lot less barrels, less hard hit than last year, walking
Speaker 2: a little bit less. But also if you look at
Speaker 2: the heat map on his top three pitches, you've got fastball, sinker, curveball.
Speaker 3: If you look at last year, there was a jumble
Speaker 3: where they were all kind of in the middle.
Speaker 2: He's created separation. He's moved them and been more accurate.
Speaker 2: Fastball still kind of owns the middle, but sinker he's
Speaker 2: moved over on a corner, curveball a little bit more
Speaker 2: in a corner where everything was just kind of sitting
Speaker 2: dead red. So with those big spin numbers, that has
Speaker 2: probably equated to a lot less of a really good contact.
Speaker 2: And sometimes he's not a huge strikeout guy though he's
Speaker 2: had them. You know, the weak induced contact even if
Speaker 2: you're giving up a decent amount and not really like
Speaker 2: you know, awesome strikeout walk numbers and everything, and the
Speaker 2: batting average probably equating to why that expected ERA should
Speaker 2: be higher. But there are guys that overperform their expected stats.
Speaker 2: Expected stats are not everything, it's just a barometer for
Speaker 2: us to talk about players with.
Speaker 3: There are guys that are.
Speaker 2: Within a range of expected and then there's guys that
Speaker 2: completely defeat They completely beat those expected numbers, and Lugo
Speaker 2: is one of.
Speaker 3: The players that can do.
Speaker 1: It, which is a lost art form. Yeah, knowing where
Speaker 1: the outs are in lineups, knowing the weaknesses of certain hitters,
Speaker 1: knowing how to attack those things, and Seth Lugo is
Speaker 1: always a quality arm when he was in the Mets bullpen,
Speaker 1: when he came up years and years ago, I always
Speaker 1: thought Seth Lugo was a guy that like, maybe eventually
Speaker 1: you give this guy a real crack at the rotation.
Speaker 1: The Mets never did, and then he has this time
Speaker 1: in San Diego. But last year they were to me,
Speaker 1: everything was pointing in the right direction and he was
Speaker 1: so dirt cheap, and I wish I had more shares
Speaker 1: of him. It just didn't not happen in leagues, But
Speaker 1: said Lugo, fantastic year. Also one of our favorite guys.
Speaker 1: Jared Duran, Oh sorry, go ahead, Oh no.
Speaker 2: No, I was just saying, though, I think the big
Speaker 2: key about like Lugo is like it can maintain like
Speaker 2: he can maintain a great guy the rest of the season,
Speaker 2: and that's what's good for fantasy.
Speaker 1: Jared Duran continues to be hot. I love watching this
Speaker 1: kid play baseball. It's just great. He is really coming
Speaker 1: into his own two run homer, four runs driven in
Speaker 1: on Sunday. Great night for him. Not a great night
Speaker 1: for Julia Rodriguez. Well, I guess great in one way.
Speaker 1: The X Rays were negative because at the end of
Speaker 1: the day, so he hurt his ankle this weekend not
Speaker 1: the best look. He did have a home run too,
Speaker 1: but I don't know. I mean, the WHU this year
Speaker 1: has just been so frustrating. And again, I just.
Speaker 2: Like there's a rumor, there's a rumor out there right
Speaker 2: now that this week is going to be the big
Speaker 2: trade week. I know, there's like nine days, so it's
Speaker 2: like when else can it be, but like that things
Speaker 2: are really going to start like going and maybe early.
Speaker 3: The Mariners need.
Speaker 2: To or get off the pot with this situation because
Speaker 2: it's like Julio going down, like what are you? I mean,
Speaker 2: that's that's but that's what I'm saying. It's like you
Speaker 2: need to be aggressive to make that move. Teams need
Speaker 2: to go, they need to pull the trigger. And a
Speaker 2: little bit of a problem is now you're getting a
Speaker 2: few more teams that are kind of getting out of
Speaker 2: it that might be in the cell club. You got
Speaker 2: to get someone that's going to be hyper aggressive, and the.
Speaker 1: Reds are in this cell clubs is there anybody from
Speaker 1: the Reds that could? I mean, that seems to be
Speaker 1: the direction.
Speaker 3: Well there is gone the rumor.
Speaker 2: With them has been that it's going to be like
Speaker 2: contractual stuff. So guy like Frankie Montas, like they would
Speaker 2: look to move a Frankie Montas. I think they would
Speaker 2: probably move a Candelario. But I'm really not sure that,
Speaker 2: like what else on the hitting side is it going
Speaker 2: to do for anybody. I think they're going to be
Speaker 2: selling some just mid type pieces.
Speaker 1: Speaking of unsung heroes too, we were talking about Duran
Speaker 1: and Lugo. Alec Burlson to another guy two for five
Speaker 1: with another home real slash on the year two ninety four,
Speaker 1: three twenty four, five hundred. I mean that is really solid,
Speaker 1: Like that is just a completely solid dude. He's got
Speaker 1: the eighteen bombs already. Somebody that I don't think was
Speaker 1: all on a lot of people's radars. I know I
Speaker 1: did a Waiver Wire video about him early on when
Speaker 1: he first got called up, which was like, hey, you know,
Speaker 1: I kind of compared him to Ben Zobrist statistically, like
Speaker 1: I thought he could be that kind of player, and
Speaker 1: he has been basically like the best version of that.
Speaker 1: Here's a question for you going into next year looking
Speaker 1: at Alec Burlson and everything you've seen so far, because
Speaker 1: of the versatility because of the statistical profile. Is Alec
Speaker 1: Burlson a player next year that is going to be
Speaker 1: a really good mid round value or more of a
Speaker 1: one year wonder for you.
Speaker 3: I think there's a good chance he's going to be
Speaker 3: a mid round value. Like eighteen homers.
Speaker 2: He might walk out of the season with the quietest
Speaker 2: twenty five plus homers of anybody.
Speaker 3: The reasons to be excited.
Speaker 2: He does all of this with an incredibly low strikeout
Speaker 2: rate thirteen percent. His expected batting average is just about
Speaker 2: two ninety, and.
Speaker 3: He's got a really good power distribution.
Speaker 2: Last year the only had eight homers, seven off the fastball,
Speaker 2: and one off breaking pitches.
Speaker 3: This year eight fastball, six breaking, four offspeed. The distribution
Speaker 3: has been good.
Speaker 2: He's really destroying fastballs, which he's seeing a whole lot
Speaker 2: more of, but he's not hitting really under two forty
Speaker 2: against anything.
Speaker 3: So it's been really good contact.
Speaker 2: And the biggest change if you're looking at the profile,
Speaker 2: like where where he's he kind of unlocked this because
Speaker 2: it's not like an elite barrel guy getting the ball
Speaker 2: in the air more. It was a twelve percent launch
Speaker 2: or twelve degree launch angle last year over fifteen this year,
Speaker 2: we've seen guys unlock that when you can make really
Speaker 2: good contact, Guys like hasun Kim from the year before.
Speaker 3: CJ.
Speaker 2: Abrams did it last year. Even if the power projection
Speaker 2: isn't like massive, these guys are doing a really good
Speaker 2: job getting the bat in the plane and getting it
Speaker 2: up in the air with really good pull numbers. And
Speaker 2: that's what Alec Burlson has done this year in droves.
Speaker 2: You know, his own percentage is way up. He's chasing less.
Speaker 3: I mean, he's doing everything that you need to do
Speaker 3: and it's really optimized.
Speaker 2: So yeah, I think Burlson probably going to be a
Speaker 2: twenty to twenty five home run guy throughout. And I
Speaker 2: really don't know if a lot of this is like unbelievable,
Speaker 2: you know.
Speaker 1: For I think he's a twenty to twenty five I
Speaker 1: don't think he's a thirty guy. Twenty twenty five I
Speaker 1: definitely not real last year. Here's a good question for
Speaker 1: Lee g is Burlson this year's Lane Thomas. I mean
Speaker 1: Lane Thomas was so much about the stolen base combination
Speaker 1: and the hundred runs scored and all that stuff.
Speaker 3: I think he's right in like the he's a better contact.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll tell you what, He's a better lane. Thomas
Speaker 1: Roto in theory is a better player, but Burlson and
Speaker 1: points leagues, I'd rather have the contact version Burlson, to
Speaker 1: be honest, because you know.
Speaker 2: I think this is like, I think the idea is right.
Speaker 2: It's not the same player because Thomas was like a twenty.
Speaker 1: Twenty but in the same like out of nowhere ish
Speaker 1: kind of feel nowhere. Yeah, show to ten more strikeouts
Speaker 1: for him, one run, seven innings, getting back on track
Speaker 1: against the d Backs. Ozzie Albi's we tease it at
Speaker 1: the top though he's gonna miss a few months here
Speaker 1: with a fractured left wrist. He was making a tag
Speaker 1: and things did not go well. So instead we're gonna
Speaker 1: get a look at Nacho Alvarez. Now, before we talk
Speaker 1: about Nacho Alpharez, Welsh, I feel like we should do
Speaker 1: something here, which was just make a little bit of
Speaker 1: a swap here. If we're gonna talk about Nacho Alpharez,
Speaker 1: we're gonna go back to the lugendor screen here because
Speaker 1: old school Jose Canoli and well, cheezbo my my Lucidor
Speaker 1: Mascus is back here. Are you putting yours on or
Speaker 1: I could, all right, we could talk about Nacho Alphareez.
Speaker 1: That's fine, let's talk about I'm not.
Speaker 2: Suchos, all right, So Nachos coming, all right, so.
Speaker 1: Here we go. All right, so it's not really great.
Speaker 1: There you go? All right? How does he work in
Speaker 1: this thing? Okay? So Nacho Alvarez, let's talk about him.
Speaker 1: Uh he is, you know right now in Triple A
Speaker 1: three point thirty six seven home runs, twenty four rbi,
Speaker 1: twenty one steals in seventy six games between Double A
Speaker 1: and Triple A. So he's made that jump already. But
Speaker 1: there's a wrinkle. There's a fly in the ointment, which
Speaker 1: is the Braves just signed Witt and Meryfield to a
Speaker 1: major league contract, now a minor league contract, I'm majorly contract.
Speaker 1: So well, Chiezmo, What I want to know from you
Speaker 1: is should people be chasing? That's gonna be hard to
Speaker 1: have had on the mask? Look at you. That's a
Speaker 1: professional right there. So I want to know from you.
Speaker 1: Are you going with Nacho Alvarez and emptying the fab
Speaker 1: tank if you're an Albie's owner, or are you hedging
Speaker 1: your bets and thinking, oh I don't like this wit
Speaker 1: and Merryfield, you bring in the veteran and you just
Speaker 1: kind of go through it. I know Meryfield hasn't done
Speaker 1: much this year, which is why you got let go.
Speaker 1: But we've seen the veterans in these situations sometimes take over.
Speaker 1: So is it Alvarez, is it Merryfield or is it
Speaker 1: some awful combination of both?
Speaker 2: Ooh, brother, it's neither. It's absolutely neither of them. Not
Speaker 2: unloading any fab for either one.
Speaker 3: Can I take us off?
Speaker 1: Now? This is a ken if you want to, Okay,
Speaker 1: I'm going to leave. It's very comfortable.
Speaker 3: All right. Oh, there's my head just through.
Speaker 1: The Knacho Alvarez segment. That's all.
Speaker 2: So it's not wit Maorfield, for sure, it could be
Speaker 2: not Cho Alvarez. Here are the things to be excited
Speaker 2: about with Nacho. High contact kind of like what we
Speaker 2: talk with Girlson, low strikeouts. He has never struck out
Speaker 2: nineteen percent of the time at any level since he's
Speaker 2: been in the majors, in the minors, but under nineteen
Speaker 2: percent high walk rate. Here was the trippy thing about him,
Speaker 2: because this is a guy, like I said, he's always
Speaker 2: going to have like really good contact rates. But the
Speaker 2: power complete suppression of power. In double A, he had
Speaker 2: zero homers over forty eight games. He goes to triple
Speaker 2: A in twenty eight games. All seven of his home
Speaker 2: runs came in triple A, so he kind of was
Speaker 2: able to re unlock that get the ball in the air.
Speaker 2: I think this is a guy that he's gonna just
Speaker 2: here's the problem with It's going to hit in the
Speaker 2: back of the order. He's going to probably score some runs,
Speaker 2: make good contact. Maybe it's gonna be you know, some
Speaker 2: some counting stats in there.
Speaker 3: He did start to show off the power. I think
Speaker 3: this is.
Speaker 2: Along the lines of like a notch below with Jacob
Speaker 2: Wilson who just got hurt.
Speaker 1: I was gonna say that frustrating the Jacob Wilson thing
Speaker 1: like that, I mean, comes up, gets a hit, then
Speaker 1: he pulls a hamstring. I mean, it doesn't get much
Speaker 1: worse than that. I don't know, it's frustrating.
Speaker 3: It doesn't.
Speaker 2: But even Welsh cheese Mo I could do like a
Speaker 2: puppet Welsh cheez Mo Welsh and Welsh Cheesemo say in
Speaker 2: a points league maybe because he's not going to strike out,
Speaker 2: but he's gonna hit in the back of the order.
Speaker 2: So I'm not running to pick up either one of
Speaker 2: these guys. But Nacho's hit tool could be a game
Speaker 2: changer in it and maybe you would pick him up.
Speaker 3: So it's a lot easier for you to take that off.
Speaker 1: I don't it is, I don't have to do my
Speaker 1: hair again. But yeah, it's it's hot in there by
Speaker 1: Ray Mysterio. What a tough guy, all right. So, besides
Speaker 1: the obvious about Jacob Wilson, which is very frustrating, Jackson
Speaker 1: Curio on a good note, we talked a couple weeks ago,
Speaker 1: now it was like six weeks ago. It feels like
Speaker 1: about the slow upturn of Jackson Curio and over the
Speaker 1: last thirty games now he's slashing three eleven, three sixty eight,
Speaker 1: four seventy six. He has really started to come into
Speaker 1: his own. So tell me about Jackson Curio rest of season. Now,
Speaker 1: have you seen enough where you're gonna see this version
Speaker 1: of him, which is look, if he keeps up a
Speaker 1: slash that's anything close to this. This is a rock
Speaker 1: star player right here, Like this is the guy that
Speaker 1: we wanted. The problem is either got he dropped or
Speaker 1: traded in a lot of leagues where the original person
Speaker 1: doesn't have Jackson Churio anymore. But if you do have
Speaker 1: my your roster, is this version of him that we've
Speaker 1: seen the last thirty games, your expectation that we're gonna see.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think so.
Speaker 2: Two straight months of hitting three hundred, which has been huge.
Speaker 2: He's been able to drop down the strikeout rates under
Speaker 2: twenty three percent, solid hard hit numbers, very good barrel
Speaker 2: numbers you'd like to get up. He's still not getting
Speaker 2: the ball quite in the air, but you know, like
Speaker 2: Ellie O'Neil Cruz are still learning.
Speaker 3: To do that type of stuff as well well.
Speaker 2: But he's had a really good, relatively good even distribution
Speaker 2: as far as like the type of BA you know,
Speaker 2: whether it's breaking pitches or fastballs and stuff that he's hitting.
Speaker 2: And essentially eighty nine percent of pitches seen he's hitting
Speaker 2: two forty or higher. And you know, he has made
Speaker 2: a concerted effort with the strikeouts going down, the power
Speaker 2: kind of going up. Ten homers, twelve stolen bases.
Speaker 3: You know, it's funny. I should go back and look.
Speaker 2: I did a Welsh projections on CBS before the season
Speaker 2: with minor leaguers just completely being silly about it. I
Speaker 2: actually might not be off on where I have Cheerio
Speaker 2: because he's got a legit shot. Especially if he starts
Speaker 2: running a little bit more, he might pull off a
Speaker 2: fifteen twenty, maybe a twenty twenty season out of this.
Speaker 2: But yeah, I think carrying in those two three hundred
Speaker 2: batting average months that he's currently on through July, he
Speaker 2: is a must own. He's a top probably one twenty
Speaker 2: five player moving forward with the counting stats, and he's
Speaker 2: hitting higher in the lineup. So yeah, I'm all here
Speaker 2: for Cheerio.
Speaker 1: He's a rookie.
Speaker 3: Anything could happen. I think a really fun question is
Speaker 3: Cheerio versus James Wood rest of season.
Speaker 1: Wood two for four with a three run homer yesterday
Speaker 1: in the eighth, so looking pretty solid up there, three
Speaker 1: up and three down. It was all about the stars yesterday.
Speaker 1: What's that?
Speaker 3: But who would you take?
Speaker 1: Wood or Cheerio? Uh? You know it's funny. Profile wise
Speaker 1: would But because Cheerio has been up longer, I kind
Speaker 1: of feel like he is settling in, and I think
Speaker 1: I would lean towards Cheerio because now it's like, Okay,
Speaker 1: you had a big league hiccup. You've had that you
Speaker 1: made the adjustment. Now you're there like Woods could still
Speaker 1: have that what could still have that adjustment period ahead
Speaker 1: of him? That's my only concern there, Like that could be.
Speaker 3: I think I'm with you. I'm with Cheerio on this
Speaker 3: one as well, because that.
Speaker 2: Surprise you're saying that, Actually, well no, But I think
Speaker 2: like from an upside perspective in that redraft league that
Speaker 2: I do my home league. By the way, I took
Speaker 2: Albi's of course I suck, but I also took James
Speaker 2: Wood and I got this big value on him.
Speaker 3: But James Wood is kind of.
Speaker 2: In his you know, learning the game, thirty percent strikeout rate,
Speaker 2: not seeing a lot of fastballs. He's seeing three percent
Speaker 2: less fastballs than Cheerio right now, so you know he's
Speaker 2: got some adjustment period.
Speaker 3: The thing is is his raw tools are so stupid.
Speaker 2: That you know, like he could hit two fifty and
Speaker 2: he could become more valuable in fantasy. But I think
Speaker 2: Cheerio has gotten to the level where he has stabilized
Speaker 2: and we're gonna start seeing that game the rest of
Speaker 2: the way through, maybe running a little bit more that
Speaker 2: I'll take Cheerio rest of this season just this.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I would too, I'm like I said, I'm surprised
Speaker 1: that's where you went. But it's good that we're both
Speaker 1: on the same page. There, three up and three down. Look,
Speaker 1: this is about the superstars here in the three up.
Speaker 1: O Tani his thirtieth home arn was massive. If you
Speaker 1: missed it, go run to the X machine or Twitter
Speaker 1: machine and go see it was amazing. I'll go it
Speaker 1: on Alvarez a huge day for him, hitting for the
Speaker 1: cycle with a pair of ribies and two runs scored,
Speaker 1: and Aaron Judge two for four with a three run homer.
Speaker 1: He now is thirty five, so pretty damn good. The
Speaker 1: three down Aaron Savale newly acquired, maybe not so new anymore,
Speaker 1: five earned runs of four and a third. Thank you
Speaker 1: for playing. Kevin Gospin continues to be up and down.
Speaker 1: Run three him five minutes. I mean, this is just
Speaker 1: the Kevin Gosmin rollercoaster. This is what it is. And Schwellenbach,
Speaker 1: that's right, the Schwelly balls himself four runs, seven hits,
Speaker 1: six innings. He's not very good injuries. Yoshinobu Ya Momotu
Speaker 1: spoke to reporters and said that apparently his goal is
Speaker 1: to rejoin the Dodgers before the end of the season.
Speaker 1: Oh that's great.
Speaker 3: What a wonderful goal. I think all of ours was too, And.
Speaker 1: Yeah, what a fantastic goal to have. God he has
Speaker 1: been I'm sorry. I mean, can we say it a bust?
Speaker 1: Is it safe to say busts?
Speaker 3: I think it's about But I think it well, I
Speaker 3: don't know. I think the ad injury.
Speaker 1: I don't care.
Speaker 3: Dude, he went he went high. He was going above,
Speaker 3: way too high, massive massive players.
Speaker 1: Yeah, when the openings happened, I was higher than anybody
Speaker 1: on the Amamoto and then people rocketed past me and
Speaker 1: I stayed the same, and I just like I couldn't
Speaker 1: believe it. I was like, what are we doing here?
Speaker 1: It just made no sense.
Speaker 3: Yeah, but I think it's the injury.
Speaker 2: I think, like if you were to if we had
Speaker 2: a full season of him, because like what we're.
Speaker 1: Well, it's also in April. Let's it was crap in
Speaker 1: April and he was really good for me and June
Speaker 1: and then he got hurt. Like that's that's a crap
Speaker 1: return on investments.
Speaker 2: Sorry, but Joe, it was a sub three era twenty
Speaker 2: eight percent K percentage and then that was pretty solid
Speaker 2: six and two record before he went down. Now I
Speaker 2: think it was like, it's only a bust because of
Speaker 2: the injury, and we can't really like we can't label
Speaker 2: bust dude in no, but we.
Speaker 1: Can say, look, you are the guy that said, too
Speaker 1: you were concerned about the size of the player and
Speaker 1: the durability of the player. Yeah, that's what happened. Uh.
Speaker 1: Max Freed fifteen day il left forearm neuritis. So I
Speaker 1: think it's gonna be at least a few starts here.
Speaker 1: Max Schures are, by the way, left Saturday's game against
Speaker 1: the Orioles because he has arm fatigue. So that's great.
Speaker 1: I think I have Max sures are fatigue. I am
Speaker 1: fatigued when it comes to Max Suzer. Ryan Peppio goes
Speaker 1: to the iel. It's a good thing. The Rays have
Speaker 1: a lot of depth in that rotation, isn't it? Right
Speaker 1: knee infection? That sounds painful. The Dodgers activated Jason Hayward.
Speaker 1: That's what it says, right knee, and I.
Speaker 3: Do you infect your knee?
Speaker 1: Cut?
Speaker 3: Not cleaning? Put some clean, some tussing.
Speaker 1: On it, back teams, some tousin, run rum, some beer
Speaker 1: in it. Maybe I don't know. Reeze Olsen goes to
Speaker 1: the I L with a shoulder strain. In Code I Senga,
Speaker 1: who had a terrible start, was supposed to be his
Speaker 1: last one terrible start this weekend. Apparently he's still gonna
Speaker 1: come back against Atlanta this week Code I Senga. So
Speaker 1: you're throwing Code I Sanga back to the Wolves and
Speaker 1: starting him when he makes his debut. Or are you
Speaker 1: hesitant because of how bad the last start the minor
Speaker 1: leagues was?
Speaker 3: Who are they? Do?
Speaker 2: We know who they're playing at Atlanta? I might Atlanta's
Speaker 2: got like, I mean, they're reeling right now. Their offense
Speaker 2: is kind of falling apart, massive massive chase rates too.
Speaker 2: I mean I might pick on them, might pick on
Speaker 2: them today a little bit. I might if I'm trying
Speaker 2: to like really baby and hold ratios and stuff like that.
Speaker 2: There definitely is a chance, you know, Matt Olsen or
Speaker 2: Austin Bradley could get to him. But they're falling.
Speaker 3: They're falling.
Speaker 2: Boom boo boom, all those braves and big strikeout stuff
Speaker 2: from Senga.
Speaker 3: I don't know. I think I might be willing to
Speaker 3: do it.
Speaker 2: It's like a it's not a must start, but I'm
Speaker 2: not one hundred percent sitting him, So it's a fifty
Speaker 2: to fifty probably depending where I'm at.
Speaker 1: All right, let's get to everyone's favorite part. It's a
Speaker 1: fresh week, I think it is. Look, it was really
Speaker 1: good week. It's a bad Friday, but a great week,
Speaker 1: at least for me. So it's Monday. It's time to
Speaker 1: get back on the horse for the best Bets of
Speaker 1: the day day.
Speaker 3: Oh it's supposed to be me.
Speaker 1: Oh wait a minute, let's try that again. The Best
Speaker 1: Bets of the Day with Joey p and the Welsh.
Speaker 1: Don't forget to make your bets over at Bet three
Speaker 1: six five bet five bucks, get one hundred and fiftyen
Speaker 1: bonus bets when you use the promo code leading off,
Speaker 1: and of course don't forget if you have a gambling
Speaker 1: problem called one hundred gambler or one one hundred bets
Speaker 1: off in Iowa, terms and conditions apply. Sorry I stepped
Speaker 1: on your line there. Do you think you were with that?
Speaker 1: It's Monday, Yeah, it's Monday. Somebody's got a case of
Speaker 1: the Mondays. It's me, But I don't know how to
Speaker 1: shake that went into money. So let's go first to Detroit,
Speaker 1: to the Tigers on the money line. In Cleveland, Scooble
Speaker 1: on the mound against Carrasco. Carrasco stinks. Scoobl goes out there.
Speaker 1: It's minus one twenty on the money line. But I
Speaker 1: like it anyway, So go ahead, go full scoople today
Speaker 1: and the juice isn't too bad, but I support this message. Next, Houston,
Speaker 1: Alvarez is on fire right now. Let's go to the
Speaker 1: run line. Even though Arragetty's on the mound, it's just
Speaker 1: the Oakland A's. It's in Oakland. I get it, but
Speaker 1: still minus one and a half at plus one twenty.
Speaker 1: Give me the Houston Astros. I think they're gonna pound
Speaker 1: the A's in the submission today. And I'm gonna go
Speaker 1: oppo here today. Ready for this, I'm gonna go against
Speaker 1: the Dodgers, that's right, San Francisco with Blake Snell on
Speaker 1: the mound on the money line and plus one twenty five.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go against the Dodgers against Shoe a Otani.
Speaker 1: Maybe against the better judgment. I don't know, but Snow
Speaker 1: has been pretty good since his return. I like him
Speaker 1: in this matchup here today. I like the plus side
Speaker 1: so I like the money line on the Tigers the Giants,
Speaker 1: and give me the run line today on the Houston Ashros. Welsh,
Speaker 1: what do you have for the people?
Speaker 3: All right?
Speaker 2: Bet bet bets first up on the bets. Speaking of
Speaker 2: those strikeouts, that's what we're gonna do. We're gonna go
Speaker 2: Cincinnati Hunter Green strikeout six and a half over minus
Speaker 2: one twenty five, a little bit more juice than I
Speaker 2: usually like to pair together. But as I mentioned before,
Speaker 2: with the Braves Brave strikeout rate, especially against Righty's over
Speaker 2: the last like it's thirty days, sitting around like twenty
Speaker 2: eight percent with a thirty percent chase rate right now,
Speaker 2: and Hunter Green has got too straight you don't count
Speaker 2: the last like one ning thing two straight starts where
Speaker 2: he went seven or higher. So I actually think this
Speaker 2: is a pretty decent one for a Braves team that's
Speaker 2: reeling for a big strikeout pitcher in Hunter Green. So
Speaker 2: six and a half over just under the range that
Speaker 2: I'm comfortable with. There's actually a couple nervies that I'm
Speaker 2: gonna some are riskier than others. Is one that I'm
Speaker 2: gonna put up on the betting prosapp bettingpros dot Com
Speaker 2: slash Welsh if you care to follow, if you're wanting
Speaker 2: to follow. But the one I'm gonna give you for
Speaker 2: the play today is the Chicago Cubs and the Brewers.
Speaker 2: Toby Meyers and Javier Asad are both up here, and
Speaker 2: both of them are in the bottom fifteen of first
Speaker 2: run scoring, so I actually like that matchup. And it's
Speaker 2: minus one thirty five, so that's a pretty and I
Speaker 2: think I've picked on Javier Asad a couple times for
Speaker 2: those offenses starting out. So Cubs and Brewers nurfee. Finally,
Speaker 2: actually I should have done this in paradating realized they
Speaker 2: did it. But I'm going back to Cincinnati Cincinnati money line.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take the straight up money line at big
Speaker 2: plus money plus one twenty Hunter Green and those Reds
Speaker 2: going up against the Braves.
Speaker 3: So those are my three bets.
Speaker 2: Have a couple more Betting Pros dot Com slash Well.
Speaker 1: There you go. Make sure you go download the Betting
Speaker 1: Pros app to get ready for NFL season, for your
Speaker 1: MLB season, for every season only on Bettingpros dot com,
Speaker 1: the place that has the tools to help you bet smarter,
Speaker 1: not harder. Who wants the bet harder. That sounds like
Speaker 1: a terrible idea. So download the BP app today and
Speaker 1: go make some cash.
Speaker 3: I like money.
Speaker 1: I like money. You know else, Like, yeah, this sounds
Speaker 1: like something that this version of Joe Mauer would say,
Speaker 1: a'll lock ah, sure dude, oh my boy.
Speaker 3: Yeah, this is an that's a character from Idiocracy. Welcome
Speaker 3: to Costco.
Speaker 1: One hundred percent. This guy is definitely working the stock
Speaker 1: room at you know, Walmart, yeah, or Costco or one
Speaker 1: of the Like I just come on.
Speaker 3: A new episode of ol mind.
Speaker 1: Can you imagine Joe Mallers reacts like, I know this
Speaker 1: is not Christian Christiano Ronaldo bad, Like that's the worst
Speaker 1: thing I've ever seen, Like that that was like the worst.
Speaker 1: Whoever did that had like a vendetta against him because
Speaker 1: that was so bad. But man, like Portio Mallory, the
Speaker 1: the Revealer, not the worst?
Speaker 3: Is it the worst one? Though?
Speaker 1: And like, like Christian Ronaldo is really bad. When there's
Speaker 1: that Brandy Chastain one, I think they did want to
Speaker 1: hear too that it's just.
Speaker 2: Scary one out there that's really bad.
Speaker 3: Yeah, there's a couple others, but.
Speaker 1: You want to you want hey, get kids listening out there,
Speaker 1: you want to go career path for yourself, bronze statue making.
Speaker 1: If you can make bronze, bust them say you get
Speaker 1: a good job with that, forget it. You're gonna be or.
Speaker 3: You don't even have to do a good job with it.
Speaker 3: You can still get the job. Just clearly. No one
Speaker 3: is there.
Speaker 1: You go, there, you go. All right, Let's go right
Speaker 1: now to the leaderboard for home runs and see what
Speaker 1: happened over the weekend. I'm still stuck at twenty six,
Speaker 1: but I'm still on the board, baby, I'll scale at
Speaker 1: thirty five, still at the very top of the board again.
Speaker 1: That Vlad Guerrero that autographed by Laddie is going to somebody.
Speaker 1: You can join our discord a fantasybords dot com slash
Speaker 1: chat so Welsh. Today, I'm gonna keep it simple. Rafael
Speaker 1: Devers is my home run call? Where are you going
Speaker 1: for your home run call today?
Speaker 2: I kind of wanted to go Devers too, but now
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go in the opposite side. I'm gonna go
Speaker 2: Tyler O'Neill. Tyler, He's still active, isn't he? Tyler O'Neill
Speaker 2: for it?
Speaker 3: I got twenty two. I'm four away from the board.
Speaker 2: So I mean, we've got we got a couple of
Speaker 2: days nine days before, yeah, nine ten days before the
Speaker 2: Joe disappearing. So I don't think it's unless I get
Speaker 2: some double homer days and you get none. I don't
Speaker 2: think I'm gonna get on that board before you're gone,
Speaker 2: but I am pretty close to twenty two.
Speaker 3: Would Trey Turner over the week?
Speaker 1: My joy would be like, August second, you get on
Speaker 1: the board just as I go, just oh no.
Speaker 2: It'd be well because technically I've got you were gonna
Speaker 2: come on. August second is your last show. But August
Speaker 2: third would be hilarious for me to get on the
Speaker 2: board this day.
Speaker 1: Weekend, you pick Aaron joj and he has three home
Speaker 1: runs that day, You're like just so salty and angry
Speaker 1: about it.
Speaker 3: Yeah, exactly exactly.
Speaker 1: But I'm welcoming everybody back to I know the also
Speaker 1: break is a weird time. But again, as well, I said,
Speaker 1: we're going to be here, you know, rocking out shows
Speaker 1: every single day Monday through Friday, still rest of July.
Speaker 1: So don't worry. Baseball is not going anywhere. It's gonna
Speaker 1: be just fine. Everything's fine.
Speaker 3: It's just Joe a tiny bit and I believe.
Speaker 1: Bit bless Joe, which I think everybody could agree is
Speaker 1: probably a good thing.
Speaker 2: Nah, the dynamic, the dynamic duo of you and I,
Speaker 2: it's gonna be hard to be But Casey Bubba, I
Speaker 2: believe is the Tuesday is the Tuesday host here or
Speaker 2: the analyst who's gonna be making his first appearance of
Speaker 2: the season on Tuesday and then left Joe Rico on Thursday.
Speaker 2: So Joe is still here three times a week through
Speaker 2: July with a couple of our other buddies who are
Speaker 2: going to be jumping in on leading off out the
Speaker 2: rest of the season. So everybody can get acclimated and
Speaker 2: we can poke, and we can pride right, and we
Speaker 2: can get the inside jokes.
Speaker 1: And leaders believe in the team, and I believe in
Speaker 1: the team. So we're putting the other guys out there
Speaker 1: on the team and letting them play a little just
Speaker 1: like them. I know, Joe Rico, Cannitt lefties and Casey Bubba.
Speaker 1: You know, Casey Boba has a liability after the second
Speaker 1: time through the lineup. But we can we can make
Speaker 1: it work. We can make it work. Leaders.
Speaker 3: Leaders believe in the team.
Speaker 1: Joe Pete's Chemo send us out for today.
Speaker 2: Ooh, we love you all, but we're gonna go.
Speaker 3: I can't do the voice.
Speaker 1: We're gonna get out of here.
Speaker 3: The story of the game goes on for Joe and
Speaker 3: We's cheez Mo. It's leading off. We'll talk to you tomorrow.
Speaker 1: Brothers.
Speaker 3: There's no ying team, but there is in Wells Cheezmo.
Speaker 3: There's not.
Speaker 1: Actually. Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Baseball podcast.
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