Speaker 1: The volume. In the NBA, the games can change in
Speaker 1: an instant, but no matter how the action unfold. Do
Speaker 1: you know that DraftKings Sportsbook has you covered? This week?
Speaker 1: New customers can score one hundred and fifty dollars instantly
Speaker 1: in bonus bets by just betting five bucks on basketball.
Speaker 1: How good of a deal is that? From Draftking sports Book?
Speaker 1: Win or lose you get the instant w instant Download
Speaker 1: the DraftKings Sportsbook app now. Please use the code Colin
Speaker 1: Coli and new customers one hundred and fifty bucks instantly
Speaker 1: in bonus bets for betting just five The code is
Speaker 1: Colin Coli and only on DraftKings Sportsbook. Download the app
Speaker 1: code colin. The crown is Yours gambling problem called one
Speaker 1: eight hundred gambler or visit www dot one eight hundred
Speaker 1: gambler dot net. In New York call eight seven seven
Speaker 1: eight hope and Y, or text hope and Y four
Speaker 1: six seven three six nine. In Connecticut, help is available
Speaker 1: for problem gambling Call eighty eight seventy eight nine seven
Speaker 1: seven seven seven or visit CCPG dot org. Please play
Speaker 1: responsibly on behalf if a boothill casino in Resort KS
Speaker 1: licensee partner Golden Nugget Lake Charles twenty one plus. Age
Speaker 1: varies by jurisdiction Voyden, Ontario. Bonus Betts expired one hundred
Speaker 1: and sixty eight hours after issuance. C Sportsbook dot DraftKings
Speaker 1: dot com, slash Basketball terms for eligibility and deposit restrictions,
Speaker 1: terms and responsible gaming resources. All right, welcome in instant reaction.
Speaker 1: Don't forget. In ten minutes we will have Chad Milman
Speaker 1: sharp or square, you know, so ironic. We finally get
Speaker 1: a good game on Thursday Night Football and Joe Burrow
Speaker 1: gets hurt at the great tight end Mark Andrews, So
Speaker 1: the Ravens gets hurt, and Lamar Jackson's limping around did
Speaker 1: not get hurt. But I mean in both instances, Lamar
Speaker 1: Jackson and Joe Burrow got hurt and weren't touched. So
Speaker 1: I can remember having this discussion years ago with the
Speaker 1: NFL player Trent Dilfer, and he said, by week four,
Speaker 1: nobody's healthy. Everybody's banged up. In fact, I had Julian
Speaker 1: Edelman on my FS one show today, the former Patriot,
Speaker 1: great twelve year pro three rings, and he's like, come on,
Speaker 1: everybody's hurt. You just have to have pain tolerance and
Speaker 1: get through it. So I will say this, and I listen,
Speaker 1: the smartest guys in the NFL miss all the time
Speaker 1: during drafts. And I didn't know what Lamar Jackson was
Speaker 1: going to be. I really didn't know. I don't think
Speaker 1: anybody did. That's why virtually everybody passed on him, and
Speaker 1: the Baltimore Ravens got him at the end of the
Speaker 1: first round. I mean, as good as Russell Wilson was
Speaker 1: in his prime, everybody passed on him, including Seattle a
Speaker 1: couple of times. Everybody passed on Brady five times and
Speaker 1: six in many instances. So there's no great valor in saying,
Speaker 1: you know, well, you were wrong on a quarterback. Everybody's wrong.
Speaker 1: The best GMS in the history of the league are wrong.
Speaker 1: But you know, it became very evident, very quickly with
Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson when he started Week eleven of year one.
Speaker 1: He was really a unique talent. And I say this
Speaker 1: all the time, and I would say this. I argued
Speaker 1: with Jason McIntyre today about Brock Purty. Every great quarterback
Speaker 1: in my life there is something that is special, which
Speaker 1: it Brock pretty There's not he throws a good ball,
Speaker 1: not a great ball. There's no wow with Lamar Jackson.
Speaker 1: I don't get the critics. I just I don't. I
Speaker 1: don't get it when you watch him. He had a
Speaker 1: couple of plays in the first half. One in the
Speaker 1: second half it was incomplete. He threw a ball deep
Speaker 1: into the end zone. It was caught, but out of
Speaker 1: the end zone. His escapability, his ability to move to
Speaker 1: his left or is right and keep his eyes down field,
Speaker 1: his ability to throw accurately deep when he's running. Lamar
Speaker 1: Jackson just doesn't play the game like anybody else. And
Speaker 1: you know, when he first broke into the league, the
Speaker 1: knock was, well, he doesn't play well from behind. For
Speaker 1: the record, almost nobody does. You know, outside of Pat Mahomes,
Speaker 1: almost nobody has a winning record playing from behind if
Speaker 1: they've played, you know, at least fifty starts in their career.
Speaker 1: And now the knock is, well, he can't. He can't
Speaker 1: keep a lead. So we know he can play from behind.
Speaker 1: I can't can't hold a lead. He can hold a lead.
Speaker 1: A lot of that's on the defense. You know, his
Speaker 1: turnovers are up this shy, he can be frenetic. He
Speaker 1: can play a little bit too fast, but just ask
Speaker 1: yourself Herbert size wow, arm strength wow, Josh Allen Mahomes
Speaker 1: Burrow's accuracy if your quarterback doesn't have any wow. That
Speaker 1: was the knock on c. J. Stroud. He's big enough,
Speaker 1: he was accurate, but it was sort of His comp
Speaker 1: was Jared Goff, and I had said with Goff and
Speaker 1: I still say it, there's not a lot of juice
Speaker 1: with Jared Goff, but he's really good. And that's c J. Stroud.
Speaker 1: His it is at his ability to see the field
Speaker 1: very quickly, recognize and throw the ball accurately. Burrow and c. J.
Speaker 1: Stroud have the same WOW, and it's the ability to
Speaker 1: accurately throw a football from forty five yards in with
Speaker 1: dead eye accuracy that is wow. Drew Brees's wow was
Speaker 1: accuracy like through a tire from thirty yards, you know,
Speaker 1: regularly over and over and over. Your WOW doesn't have
Speaker 1: to be size or speed or arm strength. It can
Speaker 1: be just Drew Brees, Joe Burrow, CJ. Stroud accuracy that
Speaker 1: there's just not that many people can just drop a
Speaker 1: ball over linebackers in front of safeties twenty eight yards
Speaker 1: on a dime every time. But Lamar's just jumps off
Speaker 1: the television set. Like when I watch him, I'm like, yeah,
Speaker 1: I didn't know how it would work. But if you're
Speaker 1: still denying it, I don't know what you're watching. The
Speaker 1: guys won seventy eight percent of his games. This is
Speaker 1: the first year he's had good receivers. He's got a
Speaker 1: good tight end, but he's had running back injuries and
Speaker 1: O line injuries and Ronnie Stanley, and I think the
Speaker 1: guy's just incredibly special. As far as Joe Burrow, he's
Speaker 1: injury prone. Cross your fingers. Listen to the AFC's got
Speaker 1: good teams. The Chargers are under five hundred. The Bengals
Speaker 1: are going to be five hundred. I mean, look at
Speaker 1: Buffalo right now struggling. I mean the teams that are
Speaker 1: struggling in the NFC are like the Commanders or the
Speaker 1: Giants or the Bears and the Packers. Those aren't good
Speaker 1: football teams. You got the Bills, the Bengal and the Chargers,
Speaker 1: and depending on what happens with the Jaguars, I mean
Speaker 1: you got really good teams with four and five losses.
Speaker 1: In the AFC, it is different, no doubt about it.
Speaker 1: I want to talk about Jim Harbaugh. So, Jim Harbaugh
Speaker 1: has accepted a three game punishment, so he will not
Speaker 1: be able to be on the sidelines for Maryland, where
Speaker 1: Michigan is a twenty one point favorite, and he will
Speaker 1: not be on the sidelines for Ohio State, where that
Speaker 1: has always been a game that you need everything if
Speaker 1: you're Michigan or Ohio State to win. But I think
Speaker 1: what's interesting about it is the reason Jim Harbaugh said, Okay,
Speaker 1: I'll accept that because it takes care of the Big
Speaker 1: Ten punishment. Now it's the NCAA punishment. I do not
Speaker 1: think it will be that severe. I mean, I'm sure
Speaker 1: he'll be a loss of scholarships. I don't think it's
Speaker 1: going to be vacating wins and vacating a potential national championship.
Speaker 1: We'll see. But I always like when a story has
Speaker 1: a quick solution, because I can remember years ago when
Speaker 1: Kobe and Shaq broke up with the Lakers. I was
Speaker 1: on team Kobe, and I had said it, and the
Speaker 1: reason I was on team Kobe is because I'd been
Speaker 1: told by somebody in the Lakers organization that Kobe was
Speaker 1: a better practice player, Kobe was more reliable, Kobe was
Speaker 1: in better shape, Kobe would last longer. Shaq was kind
Speaker 1: of physically falling apart for the first few years after
Speaker 1: that though, because Shaq joined you know, pat Riley d
Speaker 1: Wade and Twine Walker, you know, an all star team
Speaker 1: down in Miami and won a title. You know, I
Speaker 1: had to eat a dirt sandwich, right, Like, even though
Speaker 1: I knew I was on the right side of the
Speaker 1: argument that Kobe over time, when he got his next
Speaker 1: great teammate, Pau Gasol, eventually that Kobe would last longer
Speaker 1: and have just an incredibly redeemable career. But in the
Speaker 1: short term, you know, I looked like I didn't know
Speaker 1: what I was talking about. So I like when I
Speaker 1: make a prediction, like I always the gratification for a
Speaker 1: stand up comic. You tell a joke, people react, and
Speaker 1: you know instantly if it bombs or it hits you
Speaker 1: could be a comedy writer. You know, your work doesn't
Speaker 1: get on screen for four years. So it's almost like
Speaker 1: I prefer, like, here's a line, here's a prediction. In
Speaker 1: two days, we'll know if I'm right. So I don't
Speaker 1: believe that Michigan is beating people because of the sign stealing.
Speaker 1: I don't think it hurts, But teams generally change signals
Speaker 1: more than once in a season, especially before big rivalry games.
Speaker 1: If you're on a big national TV game, teams know
Speaker 1: that game's taped. So like let's say you're Ohio State
Speaker 1: and you play Penn State or Wisconsin camp Randall Saturday
Speaker 1: night National TV. You know, you know those signals are
Speaker 1: being gleaned by all the other schools programs all the
Speaker 1: time change signals, especially after they've been on a big
Speaker 1: now national TV game, or right before you play a
Speaker 1: huge rival Ohio State, Michigan, Michigan to Ohio State. So
Speaker 1: but I don't think that's the reason. I think Michigan
Speaker 1: was beating everybody in the conference except Ohio State. And
Speaker 1: then they got JJ McCarthy. And if you go look
Speaker 1: at Andrew, look at Stanford and Colin Kaepernick in the
Speaker 1: NFL and his San Diego job. When Jim gets the quarterback,
Speaker 1: he goes from beating people to crushing them. It takes
Speaker 1: him a while to find the right quarterback, because it
Speaker 1: takes everybody in the NFL a while to find the
Speaker 1: right quarterback. Loo look at Andy Reid. How many years
Speaker 1: did he coached before he got Patrick Mahomes right. Belichick
Speaker 1: got fired in Cleveland, had Bledsoe in New England. Bledsoe
Speaker 1: got hurt. Then he got Tom Brady. It's hard to
Speaker 1: find the right quarterback. Nick Saban at Alabama for years
Speaker 1: and years it was all about defense. It wasn't until
Speaker 1: the end, you know, in the last eight years, he's
Speaker 1: been getting the tuas, you know, like the really high
Speaker 1: end quarterbacks. For years and years, it was just kind
Speaker 1: of college quarterbacks. So it took a while at Michigan
Speaker 1: get the right quarterback. And I think that's why over
Speaker 1: the last two years they're thumping people. But will know
Speaker 1: if they can thump Ohio State and Arbor. Well, we
Speaker 1: know they're not stealing calls. Now we know they didn't.
Speaker 1: They weren't using bat signals against Penn State, and they
Speaker 1: didn't have to throw a pass and dominated the nitty lyons.
Speaker 1: And if they clobber Maryland, which they are a twenty
Speaker 1: one point favorite, will know if they dominate and decimated
Speaker 1: Ohio State, it's not the signs, it's the nineteen NFL
Speaker 1: players on the roster, which is what I suspect. Now
Speaker 1: Buckeye fans thinks it's just the sign stealing and that
Speaker 1: when you take that away, that you know Michigan is
Speaker 1: just very ordinary. I do not think that is the case.
Speaker 1: So my prediction is Michigan wins out until the playoff
Speaker 1: and that the signce stealing it certainly didn't hurt, and
Speaker 1: I'm sure there's a player or two over the course
Speaker 1: of a game that it could help. But I don't
Speaker 1: think that's why they beat Ohio State. But I could
Speaker 1: be very wrong, and we'll find out in a couple
Speaker 1: of weeks. I like those kind of predictions. Let's get
Speaker 1: the Chad Milman. November is here. We are in the
Speaker 1: heart of the football season, hockey and basketball just starting up.
Speaker 1: Best way to get tickets to any of these games
Speaker 1: is on game Time, the fastest growing ticket app in
Speaker 1: the United States. Game Time it's obsessed with finding ways
Speaker 1: to help you save money on tickets. That's what they do.
Speaker 1: You can find exclusive flash deals, ways to help you
Speaker 1: save money, sponsor deals on games and concerts on a
Speaker 1: daily basis pretty sweet. With zone deals, you pick the
Speaker 1: section you want and game Time picks the seat. Big
Speaker 1: time savings there, and with the Game Time guarantee, you'll
Speaker 1: always get the best price you'll find tickets in the
Speaker 1: same section, same row for less. Game Time will credit
Speaker 1: one hundred and ten percent of the difference. So take
Speaker 1: the guesswork out of buying tickets and go with game Time,
Speaker 1: the fastest growing ticket app in the United States. Download
Speaker 1: the game Time app. Creat an account. The redeem code
Speaker 1: is Colin. That's me Coli in twenty dollars off your
Speaker 1: first purchase. Terms apply again creating an account. The redeem
Speaker 1: code cooln twenty dollars off. Download game Time Today, last
Speaker 1: minute deals, lowest priced tickets guaranteed sharper Square. Chad Millman,
Speaker 1: CEO Action Network, I actually this week love the lines
Speaker 1: and I love dogs everywhere. This week I'm going I'm
Speaker 1: going value shopping because I've been heavy on the favorites
Speaker 1: for about a month. It's do me, okay, you ready go.
Speaker 2: I'm ready, brother, Let me hear what you're selling.
Speaker 1: I don't like the line as much now. But Chicago
Speaker 1: plus seven and a half at Detroit Lions off a
Speaker 1: big win. Justin fields is capable of big plays, Detroit
Speaker 1: gives up a lot of them. Lost in that win
Speaker 1: is that the Chargers marched up and down the field
Speaker 1: and then five straight touchdowns at the end, and often
Speaker 1: very quickly. I would love it. At nine and a half,
Speaker 1: I thought it was the second best line of the week.
Speaker 1: But at seven and a half, I would take the
Speaker 1: bear Sharper square.
Speaker 2: Totally sharp. Look, you're still getting more than a touchdown.
Speaker 2: The line was at ten on Tuesday, went to nine,
Speaker 2: went to eight and a half, went to eight. Woke
Speaker 2: up Thursday morning, forty eight hours later, it's at seven
Speaker 2: and a half. A couple things going on here. One
Speaker 2: when it was at ten, a load of inflation. And
Speaker 2: what I mean is the Lions are now a public team.
Speaker 2: People want to bet them. People who don't know anything
Speaker 2: about football want to bet on the Lions the same
Speaker 2: way they used to want to bet in the Patriots,
Speaker 2: the same way they used to want to bet on
Speaker 2: the Packers, the same way they still want to bet
Speaker 2: on the Cowboys. Right, So there was inflation, and that's
Speaker 2: why the wise guys came in and took the ten,
Speaker 2: and took the nine, and took the eight, and now
Speaker 2: it's down to seven and a half. That's number one.
Speaker 2: Number two. Divisional matchups. Divisional matchups favor the road team,
Speaker 2: They favor the underdog. So when you get that, then
Speaker 2: diagram you want to bet the road underdog. It's a
Speaker 2: lot of divisional matchups this week. This is when the
Speaker 2: wise guys spoted right away.
Speaker 1: This I'm gonna throw my theory at you. I like
Speaker 1: the Vikings plus two and a half at Denver. Denver,
Speaker 1: you always talk about lucky. That was the luckiest win
Speaker 1: in the league this year. Twelve man, multiple fumbles, three
Speaker 1: drop passes. I mean, how many time did the Broncos
Speaker 1: get a drive starting at the fifty and not give
Speaker 1: me points? Meanwhile, Buffalo was a bit unlucky. Twelfth man
Speaker 1: among them. Minnesota, I think a lot of people think, hey,
Speaker 1: it's a cute story. Well, it's more than that. Josh
Speaker 1: Dobbs is effective. He's accurate, justin Jefferson could come back.
Speaker 1: They have an excellent offensive coach. I like their personal
Speaker 1: lot two and a half is too much, I think.
Speaker 1: I think Minnesota is a real team. The Josh job thing.
Speaker 1: He's more mobile now than Russell. He's accurate. They have
Speaker 1: better weapons too. I know the numbers telling me to
Speaker 1: bet Denver. I'm gonna take Minnesota plus two and a
Speaker 1: half sharper square square.
Speaker 2: The wise guys are taking Denver. The public is taking Minnesota.
Speaker 2: You can see this by what's called the reverse line move.
Speaker 2: You see all the bets coming in on Minnesota. He
Speaker 2: yet the line continues to go up. It's gone from
Speaker 2: one to one and a half before the Buffalo game,
Speaker 2: is at one and a half. After the game, it
Speaker 2: only went up to two. Because bookmakers are trying to
Speaker 2: figure out which way is the public and which way
Speaker 2: the wise guy's going to go. With two teams that
Speaker 2: are winning in surprising ways, the public came in on Minnesota,
Speaker 2: the wise guys came in on Denver. So what you're
Speaker 2: saying about Josh Jobs is totally accurate. But let's look
Speaker 2: at what Denver has done. Denver has won three games
Speaker 2: in a row. After that devastating loss to the Chiefs
Speaker 2: on a Thursday night, Russell Wilson had fewer than one
Speaker 2: hundred yards passing, He had two picks. That was following
Speaker 2: up a week in which they lost to the Jets,
Speaker 2: in which the game was clinched by Russell Wilson scrambling
Speaker 2: and then forcing his own fumble by knocking the ball
Speaker 2: out of his hand with his own leg, and the
Speaker 2: Jets pick it up and run it back for a touchdown.
Speaker 2: Since then, they've completely retooled, not just this defense, which
Speaker 2: has been considerably better, but Russell Wilson in this offense.
Speaker 2: They get him into a position to make a decision faster.
Speaker 2: They were snapping the ball with ten seconds or less
Speaker 2: too often. Now they're not doing that. Even saw it
Speaker 2: last week against the Bills. They weren't game changing plays,
Speaker 2: except they were plays that didn't cause Denver to lose
Speaker 2: yardage and lose momentum. It was a simple pass under
Speaker 2: the first quarter. Russell Wilson second and one, looks down
Speaker 2: the field instead of scrambling, instead of trying to find
Speaker 2: someone deep, he just stumps it off right first down.
Speaker 2: Very next play, pass rush is coming up both sides.
Speaker 2: The middle of the field opens, Russell Wilson doesn't hesitate,
Speaker 2: sprints for ten yards. Russell Wilson has eighteen touchdown passes,
Speaker 2: second in the league behind Tua. Four interceptions, second fewest,
Speaker 2: seventh best rated passer against the rush according to PFF.
Speaker 2: They're a better team right now. I'm gonna tecres bet
Speaker 2: all right.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Seattle minus one at the Rams. I
Speaker 1: don't think the Rams are rebuilding roster can sweep the
Speaker 1: Seahawks this year. I don't care McVeigh, Pete Carroll. I
Speaker 1: just don't think the Rams are very good. I think
Speaker 1: their best players are all past their prime, and I
Speaker 1: think Seattle's a good team. They got a little unlucky
Speaker 1: not covering against the Commanders because two of their dbs collided,
Speaker 1: but they came back. Gino had a great drive. I
Speaker 1: just think Seattle's a better team. They travel pretty well.
Speaker 1: Home crowd means absolutely nothing. Stafford's going to play, not
Speaker 1: one hundred percent. I would take Seattle minus one to
Speaker 1: win the game. I think there's no way the Rams
Speaker 1: can sweep this team.
Speaker 2: Sharper Square wise, guys like the Rams. Seattle's wins have
Speaker 2: not been impressive. Giants, Panther, Cardinals, Washington on a miracle.
Speaker 2: Gino's been good, but not as good as last year.
Speaker 2: I think people don't believe the Seahawks defense is as
Speaker 2: good as it's rated. They think it might be a
Speaker 2: little fraudulent because of who they played. Look at that
Speaker 2: first game the Rams out gaining by four, it was
Speaker 2: four twenty six to one eighty. They double them up
Speaker 2: in first down twenty seven to thirteen. That was without
Speaker 2: Cooper Cup. So if you look at the strength of
Speaker 2: schedule adjusted the Rams have played, it's better the Rams
Speaker 2: have a better QB. The line is sort of settled
Speaker 2: at one, but it's moving in the Rams direction because
Speaker 2: the wise guys are moving it there.
Speaker 1: I like the Cardinals plus four and a half at
Speaker 1: the Texans. Texans off maybe their biggest win in several years.
Speaker 1: I think Arizona again, this feels like a close game
Speaker 1: to me. I'm a huge fan of Kyler Murray. I
Speaker 1: don't trust young teams off big wins. I think they
Speaker 1: pull back a little. I think because it was Joe Burrell.
Speaker 1: Remember Cincinnati drops a touchdown pass and the end zoner.
Speaker 1: Cincinnati probably wins. Texans are still a rebuilding roster like Arizona.
Speaker 1: I would take the four and a half with Arizona
Speaker 1: sharper square totally split.
Speaker 2: This line opened at five and a half for Arizona,
Speaker 2: was plus five and a half, got bet down to five,
Speaker 2: got bet down to four and a half, got bet
Speaker 2: down to four. All wise guy money. Then at the
Speaker 2: four wise guys on the other side started coming back
Speaker 2: and betting up on Houston. It's because nobody really can
Speaker 2: find how they feel about CJ. Stroud. He's a little
Speaker 2: bit of a code breaker, right. Everything you believe about
Speaker 2: what you have done historically with betting, CJ. Stroud is
Speaker 2: breaking those rules coming back two weeks in a row.
Speaker 2: The way he's come back, his odds for MVP have
Speaker 2: dropped from two hundred to one to twenty to one.
Speaker 2: The last time a rookie one MVP Jim Brown nineteen
Speaker 2: fifty seven. So there's a lot of sentiment that maybe CJ.
Speaker 2: Stroud is one of those guys who breaks all the trends,
Speaker 2: and he's been much better at home. So it's Byron
Speaker 2: Bware on this one. You're getting both sides.
Speaker 1: Okay, there's a line and it happens maybe twice a
Speaker 1: year that I do not get. And my instinct is
Speaker 1: Vegas knows something I don't, and this is the first
Speaker 1: one this year. The Bills minus seven against the Jets
Speaker 1: seems outrageous. Vegas knows. I'm taking Buffalo minus seven. That
Speaker 1: line makes no sense. The Jets are an awful, awful
Speaker 1: third down team. They can't move the chains. Buffalo is
Speaker 1: incredibly unlucky between drops and penalties. Against Denver, they were
Speaker 1: the better team. This line I thought, I guess lines
Speaker 1: before they come out. I'm like three. I'm like seven
Speaker 1: Buffalo fires a coach in spot. I heard everybody's backs
Speaker 1: against the wall. The country's bailed on them, the cities
Speaker 1: on their ass. I'm taking Buffalo minus seven here sharper square.
Speaker 2: So in the same way that CJ. Stroud might be
Speaker 2: a bit of a cheat code, Zach Wilson is the
Speaker 2: opposite in every way. Wise guys want to take the
Speaker 2: Jets in this spot, a much much better defense, a
Speaker 2: team in the Bills that is fading. They are now
Speaker 2: not even They're not even in plus money to make
Speaker 2: their minus money to make the playoffs. They're not favorites
Speaker 2: to make the playoffs anymore. They're in real struggle spot.
Speaker 2: Except nobody wants to back Zach Wilson. They just can't
Speaker 2: find it within themselves to back this quarterback at this number,
Speaker 2: no matter how big it is. Meanwhile, Josh Allen historically
Speaker 2: in this spot at home, when Josh Allen wins, he
Speaker 2: covers that isn't the story this year, right, It's been
Speaker 2: a lot more of a struggle. There's zero consensus on
Speaker 2: this colin Like, you're not going to find any wise
Speaker 2: guy who's like, oh my god, I love Josh Allen
Speaker 2: at minus seven. There are games where they do like
Speaker 2: big favorites. This week, you're on your own on this one.
Speaker 2: There's nobody who's like, yeah, I got it, there's value
Speaker 2: on this one. Don't forget whise. Guys like to bet
Speaker 2: where they think they have an edge. They do not
Speaker 2: have an on the field edge against this number.
Speaker 1: It makes sense to take the Titans plus six and
Speaker 1: a half against the Jaguars divisional game of Vrabel's a
Speaker 1: great underdog coach. It felt like one of the obvious ones.
Speaker 1: I think Jacksonville wins. I would rather bet the team
Speaker 1: that I think wins. But you can run on the Jaguars.
Speaker 1: The Titans will. They're very physical. I also think the
Speaker 1: Jags are a bit beat up after that loss, a
Speaker 1: bit shocked. I would take the Titans plus six and
Speaker 1: a half. Feels like that Cleveland. It feels like kind
Speaker 1: of that Cleveland Baltimore game last week. Just go to
Speaker 1: the divisional rival in a point sharper square.
Speaker 2: Totally sure. That's that Mike Rabel most profitable coach against
Speaker 2: the spread the past twenty years. He wins outright as
Speaker 2: an underdog more than any other coach in the past
Speaker 2: twenty years. Plus the stats right road teams since twenty
Speaker 2: fifteen in the division covering it a fifty three percent
Speaker 2: clip road dogs covering it a fifty five percent clip
Speaker 2: Wise guys will be on the Titans.
Speaker 1: Finally, Eagles plus three at the Chiefs. Jalen Hurts has
Speaker 1: beaten twelve straight winning teams. This is weird. I never
Speaker 1: do this. I think Philly blows them out. I think
Speaker 1: Philly blows out Kansas City. I think it's one of
Speaker 1: those games that makes for great sports talk radio on Tuesday.
Speaker 1: I'm going to take Philly like thirty three twenty six,
Speaker 1: thirty three twenty three physically pushes him around Sharper square.
Speaker 2: Dude, this is the scariest game on the board. I
Speaker 2: have bet the Eagles my first instinct on this game.
Speaker 2: Me and Simon Hunter, both professional bet Simon Hunter the
Speaker 2: coast in my podcast with me, we looked at this
Speaker 2: game and we're like, the Eagles are the better team, right, Like,
Speaker 2: every single way you look at it, they are the
Speaker 2: better team, and we bet the Eagles. We've heard some
Speaker 2: wise guys coming in on the Eagles. But what's scary
Speaker 2: is Patrick Mahomes, This isn't hyperbole. Virtually unbeatable in November December,
Speaker 2: virtually unbeatable as a favorite of three or less. Andy
Speaker 2: Reid great off the buy like we're talking about we're
Speaker 2: talking about bucking incredibly strong historical trends. You and I
Speaker 2: can make an executive decision on this. I'm with you.
Speaker 2: I think the Eagles are going to cover, but we're
Speaker 2: not gonna find a ton of support from the betting
Speaker 2: community that is consensus on this. There are games where
Speaker 2: we're gonna get consensus. They say one of them.
Speaker 1: Okay, give me as you know. There's a game I
Speaker 1: thought about I want you to talk me into and
Speaker 1: then pull one or two out that I didn't think of.
Speaker 1: So the number was smaller earlier. But I think Miami
Speaker 1: could destroy the Raiders. I think it could be absolutely
Speaker 1: one of the ugly games of the year. Last week
Speaker 1: I took Dallas over the Giants. I felt great about it.
Speaker 1: That thing was over in eight minutes. I think Miami's
Speaker 1: going to win by three touchdowns over the Raiders. The
Speaker 1: numbers now like minus thirteen and a half. I would
Speaker 1: take the huge favorite Sharper square.
Speaker 2: One hundred percent that's that's the play. The reason this
Speaker 2: number's gone from eleven and a half to twelve, to
Speaker 2: twelve and a half to thirteen to thirteen and a
Speaker 2: half in the past forty eight hours. Weis guys are
Speaker 2: piling on. They're not looking at the Raiders going too
Speaker 2: and zero with Antonio Pearson eight in O'Connell and thinking, oh, yeah,
Speaker 2: they got a shot. When the Dolphins played bad teams,
Speaker 2: they blow them out. When they play good teams, they lose.
Speaker 2: That's just their m right now. Maybe one day they'll
Speaker 2: get better. Maybe one day they'll be competitive with more
Speaker 2: higher caliber teams, but they blow out bad teams. Look
Speaker 2: at that Carolina again, remember it at Carolina was up
Speaker 2: by fourteen. You're like, oh my god, they got a shot.
Speaker 2: Before halftime it was thirty five fourteen.
Speaker 1: All right, give me a game that I have missed.
Speaker 1: Chad Milman, CEO Action Network all ONNS provided by Draft Kings,
Speaker 1: usually a dumpster dive. By the way, the last four weeks,
Speaker 1: the game I have not picked that's been my sixth
Speaker 1: pick in Blazing five is four to zero. So of course, yeah,
Speaker 1: of course in Denver, Minnesota is that game for me
Speaker 1: this week? I may pass. Okay, give me a game
Speaker 1: that I haven't thought about.
Speaker 2: Let me ask something. When you're watching those games that
Speaker 2: you decided not to go with, Oh yeah, are you
Speaker 2: rooting against decide you would have bet just so you
Speaker 2: can feel better, Because that's what I did.
Speaker 1: No, I root for the side because I do want
Speaker 1: to say on the air, hey, I'm an idiot, But
Speaker 1: that was because I always say on Friday, here's the
Speaker 1: game that didn't make the cut, have three and oh
Speaker 1: on these last week it was Arizona, so I twice
Speaker 1: it was the Jets, and I should have bet them
Speaker 1: and I didn't. So you know, it's just one of
Speaker 1: those things where I had a push last week on Detroit.
Speaker 1: I told you on this podcast, I told you Detroit
Speaker 1: minus one was the I thought the best beat of
Speaker 1: the week. Minus three. It's a pust. I have five
Speaker 1: pushes this year, so above five hundred and five pushes.
Speaker 1: But there's there's got to be a game I've missed here.
Speaker 2: Well, this is why you're a genius, by the way,
Speaker 2: because I'm rooting against the team that I would have
Speaker 2: bet on because I don't want to feel bad, and
Speaker 2: you're thinking it's all content it's all content, baby, that's it.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go on after the games are over, i
Speaker 2: can make a video for the volume YouTube page, and
Speaker 2: I'm just going to talk about how sad it would
Speaker 2: have been speaking of Carolina.
Speaker 1: You know it does Just do it.
Speaker 2: Don't even give me your excuses. Be my betting buddy
Speaker 2: and do it.
Speaker 1: Put it in the Carolina plus ten and a half.
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a game. The wise guys love it this week,
Speaker 2: love it. Just do it. Do it.
Speaker 1: Dallas is on the road off a ridiculous win. Frank
Speaker 1: Wright needs to be competitive like he's getting major heat.
Speaker 1: Is that the argument?
Speaker 2: The argument is that Dallas is so overinflated and this
Speaker 2: is a prime trap game. They just had a cake
Speaker 2: walk that everyone is believing that they are the best
Speaker 2: offense in the NFL, that Dak Prescott to see Dee
Speaker 2: Lamb cannot be stopped. Now they're going to Carolina. Carolina's defense,
Speaker 2: they got some playmakers. They play better at home. When
Speaker 2: when Bryce Young last week, like against the Bears, it
Speaker 2: wasn't pretty, but he can find a way if if
Speaker 2: they get a couple of breaks, and ten and a
Speaker 2: half is a lot, it's a lot for a team
Speaker 2: to cover when they are on the road coming off
Speaker 2: the win that they just came off of. So I
Speaker 2: actually took a little bit of taste of care line
Speaker 2: on the money line.
Speaker 1: All right, Melman, that's pretty good. Good to see you're
Speaker 1: back from doucial door for wherever you were at, it
Speaker 1: was very listen.
Speaker 2: It was Copenhagen. You love Copenhagen. You want to move there,
Speaker 2: Hagen copin. Thank you for correcting me. Yeah, you know
Speaker 2: what you got content, you got class.
Speaker 1: I don't know about that, all right, buddy, I see there.
Speaker 1: The volume in sports, the scoreboard doesn't always tell the
Speaker 1: complete story. The dad who happens to be a world
Speaker 1: class quarterback, untold tales of athletes you thought you knew,
Speaker 1: the heart racing, pressure for the heart, soul, and survival
Speaker 1: of the multi billion dollar business of F one. Stories
Speaker 1: about college kids who were given a last shot, a
Speaker 1: last chance at redemption. David Beckham's meteoric rise not only
Speaker 1: as a global soccer superstar, but becoming a pop culture icon. Upsets, injured,
Speaker 1: come from behind victories, You're gonna get it all and
Speaker 1: I've seen it all with Netflix Sports. These are the
Speaker 1: stories that turn all of us into sports fans and
Speaker 1: give everybody something to cheer for, to feel for, to
Speaker 1: hold your breath for, and to get up out of
Speaker 1: your seat for. Whether you're a diehard or a brand
Speaker 1: new fan. Intense are casual shows like f one, Drive,
Speaker 1: to Survive, Quarterback, Full Swing, Untold Beckham, and more. Netflix
Speaker 1: has a story for every type of fan. Netflix turns
Speaker 1: us all into fans.