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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go spreading the corn.

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Speaker 1: Ten seconds remaining, can just go throw up to the basket,

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Speaker 1: under the basket.

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Speaker 3: It's the true for the wind God, big up miracle.

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Speaker 3: I'm up the water. Hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast. I'm Mike

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Speaker 1: Calibery's joined by Greg Waddell. We are going to get

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Speaker 1: into the college basketball slate coming up this weekend. With

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Speaker 1: college ball winding down, we are ramping up our college

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Speaker 1: hoops coverage. That means a lot of Greg, a lot

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Speaker 1: of Stuck, and some other players in the Action Network

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Speaker 1: universe checking into the game, including Tander McGrath. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: have programming all the way through the final four of

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Speaker 1: the season, the National Championship Selection, Sunday, everything you've come

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Speaker 1: to love about March, but it's starting here in January.

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Speaker 1: So Greg, I'm gonna throw it to you to get

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Speaker 1: us started. We like to start with some high level

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Speaker 1: observations about the college game, sprinkle in some futures before

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Speaker 1: we get into our Friday Saturday Sunday picks and college basketball.

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Speaker 1: A lot of movement. Tennessee just got thumped starts. You know,

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Speaker 1: the season with an undefeated run number one on the

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Speaker 1: ap pole and then they lay an egg at the Odome?

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Speaker 1: Do you hold that against them? Let me ask you

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Speaker 1: that first. What are your thoughts on the balls following

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Speaker 1: a historic loss from an unbeaten number one team?

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Speaker 3: You know, broadly, I do not. It's hard to win

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Speaker 3: on the road. It's hard to go undefeated. They were

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Speaker 3: fourteen and zero, like at a certain point this was

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Speaker 3: going to come crashing down. But I will be honest,

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Speaker 3: just I test why stylistically in this game there are

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Speaker 3: some lingering doubts that will probably be in my mind

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Speaker 3: in the back of my brain on selection Sunday with

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Speaker 3: this team when I'm feeling out my bracket, because you know,

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Speaker 3: the narrative driven discussion with Tennessee is is chas Lanier

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Speaker 3: Dalton connect And it's honestly become such a talked about

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Speaker 3: thing that it's driving me crazy. Doesn't have to be

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Speaker 3: Dalton connect. They can be different. We don't have to

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Speaker 3: try and mimic last year's team. But the reality is

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Speaker 3: the roster Rick Barnes built is supposed to be so

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Speaker 3: similar to last year's and that means it is entirely

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Speaker 3: dependent on what Lanier's gonna do in the biggest moments

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Speaker 3: this season, and in this game he was a shell

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Speaker 3: of himself. He was three for sixteen from the floor.

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Speaker 3: I thought he was pressing in the first four minutes.

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Speaker 3: I think he started zero for five from the floor,

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Speaker 3: and then he really took ten minutes where he wasn't pressing,

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Speaker 3: he wasn't aggressive enough. The one thing you could say

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Speaker 3: with connect, even if he had a bad shooting day,

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Speaker 3: never had to question how that kid was wired mentally

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Speaker 3: last season. And I'm not really trying to attack lanear mentally.

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Speaker 3: Maybe it was just a bad game, but from a

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Speaker 3: trust standpoint, this is the first moment where you know

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Speaker 3: your numbers of what you did in the non conference

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Speaker 3: are meaningless. To me. Florida punched you in the mouth.

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Speaker 3: How did you respond? Lanier left a lot to be

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Speaker 3: desired for a team that has dreams of winning a

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Speaker 3: national championship.

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Speaker 2: I wrote up that game in the New York Post.

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Speaker 1: I was on Florida not to toot my own horn,

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Speaker 1: but I felt as though Tennessee was right for an upset,

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Speaker 1: particularly going It's a team we talk about this a

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Speaker 1: lot stuck likes this phrase. Styles make fights, and Florida

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Speaker 1: wants to speed you up, and Tennessee has that fortress

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Speaker 1: like half court defense. If they can settle in and

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Speaker 1: make it a half court affair, which a lot of

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Speaker 1: times in March madness with stoppages and reviews and timeouts,

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Speaker 1: those games can turn into half court affairs. They're better positioned.

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Speaker 1: But if they get sped up by a team like Florida,

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Speaker 1: by a team like Alabama on their prize and they

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Speaker 1: certainly can find themselves in deep water and offensively, do

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Speaker 1: they have the firepower to win in different ways? I

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Speaker 1: think that brings up legitimate questions now. I also saw

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Speaker 1: on the pre show document you want to talk about

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Speaker 1: Duke and Auburn.

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Speaker 2: How good are these teams?

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Speaker 1: I know that Cooper flag he has that you know

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Speaker 1: ESPN Top ten moment. He puts that kid on a

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Speaker 1: poster that's gonna, you know, go platinum at fratthouses around

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Speaker 1: the country.

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Speaker 3: Is Duke really that good? I already feel that.

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Speaker 1: Way about Auburn. I don't even really need to get

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Speaker 1: into weeds about Auburn. You look at the advanced metrics community.

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Speaker 1: Everyone is, you know, drooling over what Bruce Pearl has

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Speaker 1: built on the planes, but Duke, I still have my questions,

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Speaker 1: where are you with the Blue Devils right now?

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Speaker 3: So I think they are going to be a lot

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Speaker 3: better by the end of the season than they are now.

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Speaker 3: That's part of why I'm really buying into, as I

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Speaker 3: call them my baby Blue Devils. That's this super young

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Speaker 3: team that has sort of just taken the sport by storm.

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Speaker 3: So right now, as we sit and record this, it's

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Speaker 3: Thursday night, January ninth. Duke and Auburn identical net rankings

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Speaker 3: and adjusted efficiency margins on Kempom, Duke is technically number one.

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Speaker 3: I don't know what ken Pom's using to sort. Maybe

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Speaker 3: there's a seventh decimal somewhere that says Duke is better

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Speaker 3: than Auburn, But they're basically two historically awesome teams by

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Speaker 3: that metric right now. The question is are they going

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Speaker 3: to sustain them as the season goes on? And I

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Speaker 3: think when you try to make the case, I think

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Speaker 3: both can, but I think it's more likely that Duke

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Speaker 3: does when you think about what's coming for them, if

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Speaker 3: they've already risen to what the analytics say is an

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Speaker 3: equal level to Auburn Duke has won six straight by

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Speaker 3: twenty or more points. They play one more team that's

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Speaker 3: ranked in the top thirty on Kenpom for the entire

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Speaker 3: rest of the season, and it's Illinois. It's not even

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Speaker 3: a conference game, So I think we could see some

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Speaker 3: historic blowouts as this team continues to grow and improve,

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Speaker 3: and that's only going to help your efficiency margins. That's

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Speaker 3: only going to make you look analytically more impressive. And

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Speaker 3: I did a little digging on this because it does

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Speaker 3: feel rare, right, this wasn't really supposed to be the

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Speaker 3: year of dominant teams. This was supposed to be maybe

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Speaker 3: a more parody driven year where a lot of teams

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Speaker 3: could jump up and after Yukon was sort of just

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Speaker 3: taking a step backwards. It's not really what has happened.

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Speaker 3: It's incredibly rare to see two teams that grate out

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Speaker 3: this strongly this early on Kenpom's the history of the

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Speaker 3: Kempom database. These two currently, if they sustain this level,

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Speaker 3: would finish in the top five highest rated teams in

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Speaker 3: the history of the database going all the way back

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Speaker 3: to nineteen ninety seven. Of the six others that rank

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Speaker 3: in the top eight that aren't Auburn and Duke. This season,

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Speaker 3: all of them made the Final four, five of them

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Speaker 3: made the National Championship game, three of them won the

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Speaker 3: national title. So I'm sitting here starting to wonder if

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Speaker 3: maybe we shouldn't be getting cute, maybe we shouldn't overthink this.

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Speaker 3: It's likely to meet the Duke ends the season number one,

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Speaker 3: Auburn ends the season number two, and we could see

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Speaker 3: another crash course between the two best teams in the sport.

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Speaker 1: Last question on the Tigers and Blue Devils to play

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Speaker 1: Devil's advocate here, Duke, as you mentioned, there's a potential

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Speaker 1: for them there to be a red carpet to selection

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Speaker 1: Sunday for them, does that hurt them? Where Auburn's clearly

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Speaker 1: going to be battle tested over the next two months.

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Speaker 1: You saw what they did in Mallie, playing a team

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Speaker 1: like Iowa State like they have those scars and winning

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Speaker 1: DNA to be able to look back and say, all, right,

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Speaker 1: here's what we ran, here's how we were thinking about

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Speaker 1: it in the last timeouts on the whiteboard, Here's how

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Speaker 1: we executed, Here's what we learned. Where Duke, if they

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Speaker 1: go two months and they're just smoking everybody I still

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Speaker 1: have some of those flashbacks to Cooper trying to be

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Speaker 1: a stretch for you know, somebody ball dominant at the

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Speaker 1: end of the games I believe against Kentucky and Kansas

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Speaker 1: and not getting it done. So I understand that they

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Speaker 1: are playing at this incredibly high level. But do you

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Speaker 1: put any value or stock in that or do you

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Speaker 1: think that's a little bit overblown, particularly talking in January

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Speaker 1: as opposed to, you know, looking deeper into the season.

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Speaker 3: No, I think it's a totally fair critique because it

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Speaker 3: is something that you would like to think they can

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Speaker 3: work on before March. But if you are going to

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Speaker 3: play a bunch of cupcakey opponents, you probably won't get

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Speaker 3: a ton of reps at that. I think the counterpoint

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Speaker 3: for me would be, even if this was something they

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Speaker 3: were getting game reps in consistently, I'm not sure the

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Speaker 3: concerns would go away. Given what the makeup is. This

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Speaker 3: is a front court heavy team that has this transcendent

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Speaker 3: wing that we have no idea what to do with that.

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Speaker 3: When Flag and Malilocker on the court together, it's an

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Speaker 3: all time, all time great defense. And then any given

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Speaker 3: night you might get threes from con you might get

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Speaker 3: three and D from Sion. You might get a good

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Speaker 3: Procter game, you might get a bad Procter game, and

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Speaker 3: somebody off the bench is stepping in. So it's not

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Speaker 3: like they have guards that are kind of going to

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Speaker 3: close games well for them anyway, it's gonna come down

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Speaker 3: to plays that flag makes. But I think Duke would

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Speaker 3: probably tell you the best way to win close games

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Speaker 3: is to not play close games. Let's just blow teams out,

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Speaker 3: and that's certainly something they can do. And then quickly

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Speaker 3: to flip on the Auburn side, you mentioned how impressive

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Speaker 3: they are, how battle tested they are. Seven wins already

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Speaker 3: versus the top fifty this season, their only loss to

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Speaker 3: Duke at Duke. I mean, I really am. The more

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Speaker 3: I look at these two teams, I'm blown away by

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Speaker 3: how good they've been, and I'm blown away by how

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Speaker 3: good they can be by the end of the year.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's keep these good feelings rolling here. Let's

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Speaker 1: talk about Illinois, who somehow is even better than they

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Speaker 1: were last year.

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Speaker 2: They go to the lad Aid.

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Speaker 1: Last year they lose everybody. They're at the bottom of

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Speaker 1: the Power Conference teams in terms of returning production. Now

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Speaker 1: they got five players in double figures, massive youth movement.

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Speaker 1: You got Will Riley coming off the bench. Morez Johnson

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Speaker 1: Junior steps up, you know, against the game against Penn

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Speaker 1: State and goes for twenty to ten with the double

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Speaker 1: double out of nowhere. And then you have the best

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Speaker 1: Lithuanian prospect outside of the Sabonis bloodline in Yaku Chonas

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Speaker 1: leading the Fighting a LIONI in points, assists, steals. He's

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Speaker 1: flirting with the ninety fifty forty club. He's suddenly in

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Speaker 1: the conversation to be a top five pick in the

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Speaker 1: NBA draft. I thought this team, to be honest, you know,

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Speaker 1: in the preseason, would be sink or swim. With Kylon

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Speaker 1: Boswell at the point if he was able to take

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Speaker 1: a big leap from what he did at Arizona last year,

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Speaker 1: I'd like their chances to finish in the top three

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Speaker 1: in the Big Ten.

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Speaker 2: Boy was I wrong?

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Speaker 1: Because he still can't shoot. Yes, he doesn't turn over

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Speaker 1: the ball. He's not required to be doing all that

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Speaker 1: much playmaking for the Fighting ALIONI, but he's just a

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Speaker 1: secondary player in terms of this you know movie that

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Speaker 1: Underwood's putting on. And I gotta say, I love Underwood,

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Speaker 1: everything that he's done, you know, going back through.

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Speaker 2: His time at steven F. Austin.

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Speaker 1: They were a point away from making it to the

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Speaker 1: Sweet sixteen and that heartbreaker against Notre Dame. And when

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Speaker 1: you look at their losses this season, their only loss

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Speaker 1: is they got three of them, an overtime heartbreaker at Northwestern,

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Speaker 1: No shame in that one, Tennessee by two, and then

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Speaker 1: they got in the track.

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Speaker 2: Meet with Alabama.

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Speaker 1: That can happen to anybody and lose a game like that.

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Speaker 1: So what are your thoughts on the fighting lin night

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Speaker 1: to both win the regular season title in the Big Ten,

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Speaker 1: having just gone to the West Coast and completed what

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Speaker 1: I think, There's going to be a lot of inkspilled

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Speaker 1: on this, and rightfully so, this is national conference now,

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Speaker 1: this is an airplane conference.

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Speaker 3: Being able to.

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Speaker 1: Handle your long road trips and be able to stack

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Speaker 1: some wins. They crush Oregon in historic fashion, and they

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Speaker 1: don't they avoid a letdown against the Huskies. Really, at

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Speaker 1: this point, I think the last road trip for them

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Speaker 1: is going to be at the Rack at Rutgers. And

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Speaker 1: right now, without Dylan Harper playing at player of the

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Speaker 1: year levels, they're not all that intimidating in terms of

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Speaker 1: a road matchup. So how high do you think the

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Speaker 1: ceiling is on the fighting lin Ni?

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Speaker 3: It's national championship for sure, and I think it's a

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Speaker 3: little weird to say it out loud. People are coming

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Speaker 3: around to realize how good this team is. And it's

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Speaker 3: kind of funny to me as someone who's wat Illinois

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Speaker 3: game and we covered the Big Ten so much on

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Speaker 3: our YouTube channel, it's funny that the moment of awakening

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Speaker 3: for everyone on Illinois is after a game without their

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Speaker 3: best player, Like this is one of the most impressive

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Speaker 3: wins I can recall in the last decade of college basketball,

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Speaker 3: the way they just slaughtered a Penn State team that

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Speaker 3: I think is pretty good. Let's not forget Purdue went

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Speaker 3: to Penn State a couple weeks ago and Penn State

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Speaker 3: was up twenty points before the first half ended in

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Speaker 3: that game. So you know, it's one of those things.

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Speaker 3: Illinois became sort of this darling team down the stretch

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Speaker 3: last season with the story of Tarren Shannon, how he

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Speaker 3: returned to the lineup and ultimately was found innocent of

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Speaker 3: the crime they accused him of, and you know, it

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Speaker 3: was just kind of this feel good, fun team to

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Speaker 3: watch that had been through so much and everyone believed.

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Speaker 3: Everyone believed there was a Final Four title ceiling for

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Speaker 3: that team by the end of the year. This year's

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Speaker 3: team is better the last year's team. Ken Palm agrees,

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Speaker 3: But it's better because they have a constant this year.

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Speaker 3: Last year they wanted to score one hundred points. They

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Speaker 3: were three points reliant, and if they didn't make shots,

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Speaker 3: you never knew what was going to happen. This year,

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Speaker 3: they're one of the best defenses in the country, seventh

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Speaker 3: best in adjusted defensive efficiency right now. They do so

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Speaker 3: many elements of the game of basketball at like a

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Speaker 3: dramatic rate that favors them and hurts the opponent. They

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Speaker 3: are a great offensive rebounding team. They don't give up

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Speaker 3: second chances. They are a team that shoots a bunch

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Speaker 3: of threes. They don't allow three point attempts. It is

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Speaker 3: just a smart formula from what rad Underwood's doing. He's

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Speaker 3: got size at every position, he's got a superstar in

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Speaker 3: the backcourt. And you know, it might take another month

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Speaker 3: for people to realize that this team is better than

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Speaker 3: last year's team, but there's gonna be a certain point

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Speaker 3: where it's a wake up call, and everybody's scooping up

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Speaker 3: to pick this team to maybe win it all this year.

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Speaker 3: And I really don't blame them. You did mention Big

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Speaker 3: Ten title hopes, and I got to comment on this.

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Speaker 3: There's one other team that's doing a similar thing analytically

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Speaker 3: right now that also swept their West coast trip and

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Speaker 3: his game up on the standings on Illinois, and that's

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Speaker 3: the Michigan Wolverines. They've got to star themselves with Danny Wolff.

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Speaker 3: So I do think it's almost a bit of a

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Speaker 3: two horse race in the Big Ten. Michigan has the

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Speaker 3: advantage based on what they've done thus far. They didn't

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Speaker 3: drop again into Northwestern like Illinois did become March. Give

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Speaker 3: me the ALIGNI to go the furthest out of this

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Speaker 3: Big Ten conference.

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Speaker 1: All right, a little bit of a palette cleanser after

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Speaker 1: all that positivity.

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Speaker 2: Give me your quick.

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Speaker 1: Rants coming into the weekend. Something to get off your chest.

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Speaker 1: Maybe a team, a player, a coach.

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Speaker 3: Remember this is a safe space.

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Speaker 1: You know what pisses me off most of all.

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Speaker 3: Okay, you're randing now, baby.

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Speaker 2: I'm ran Why not?

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Speaker 3: You gotta let it out somehow?

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Speaker 1: I could certainly go on about Mick Cronin just being

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Speaker 1: an insufferable blowhard, and oh, poor Mick. You picked all

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Speaker 1: these players and they don't seem to work together, and

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Speaker 1: all of a sudden, you know, the season's over. Even

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Speaker 1: though you have wins over. I believe Oregon and the

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Speaker 1: Zags as well. He is one of my least favorite

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Speaker 1: people in all of college sports, and to see him

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Speaker 1: just being a full on cry baby after getting worked

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Speaker 1: by Michigan. You just mentioned it's not a bad loss. Yes,

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Speaker 1: they needed to show more fight in that game. That

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Speaker 1: rants I'm gonna put aside. I'm gonna get more specific

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Speaker 1: on another team in the Big Twelve? Where are you

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Speaker 1: going here?

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Speaker 3: So? I got a question for you, Mike. Did you

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Speaker 3: ever watch the show Dexter?

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Speaker 2: I love Dexter.

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Speaker 3: Yes, it's a fantastic show as long as.

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Speaker 1: You skip like the last couple of seasons, it was

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Speaker 1: a fantastic show.

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Speaker 3: So what on a little bit too long? I think? Right,

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Speaker 3: maybe the first half of the eight season run of

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Speaker 3: Dexter was fantastic and the last half was you're still

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Speaker 3: watching it, but it's not as great. Well, you know,

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Speaker 3: after those eight seasons ended, they took some time away

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Speaker 3: and that was probably a good thing. Well, then they

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Speaker 3: brought back a sequel series. Now I'm getting ads for

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Speaker 3: a prequel series. How many different versions of the same

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Speaker 3: show that are watered down and worse than the original?

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Speaker 3: Am I going to have to watch to get to

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Speaker 3: the end of this series? Guess what? That's John Caliperry

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Speaker 3: at Arkansas. For me, I'm done with this experiment. I

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Speaker 3: think John Caliperry's done with this experiment. It's really just

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Speaker 3: such a worse version of everything he was doing at Kentucky,

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Speaker 3: which was already a worse version than what he was

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Speaker 3: doing a decade ago. His assistant coaching staff. Not to

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Speaker 3: just make a joke out of these people, but he

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Speaker 3: hired Kenny Payne as one of his lead assistants after

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Speaker 3: what he just did at Louisville. His son Brad is

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Speaker 3: on staff, Tyler Ulis is on staff. It's the Caliperry

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Speaker 3: family at this point, and anybody gets to come in.

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Speaker 3: DJ Wagner gets to play as many minutes as he want,

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Speaker 3: even though he has the same issues that he had

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Speaker 3: last year, starting over Rea Sheperd and Rob Dillingham. This

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Speaker 3: offense is bad it's just straight up bad a dude.

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Speaker 3: Thierro is their best player. He was a horrible offensive

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Speaker 3: player at times last year, and I give him credit

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Speaker 3: for making strides, but you know, they're fifty ninth and

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Speaker 3: adjusted offensive efficiency. They don't seem to have much of

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Speaker 3: a plan. The offensive guru that he had with him

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Speaker 3: at Kentucky last year isn't on his staff at Arkansas.

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Speaker 3: And if they finish at this number, which is honestly generous,

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Speaker 3: I think that number is going to go down for

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Speaker 3: them as conference play continues. It would be the lowest

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Speaker 3: rated offense from a Caliperry team since two thousand and

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Speaker 3: five at Memphis. And now he has the audacity to

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Speaker 3: hit the podium after losing at home to All Miss

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Speaker 3: and say, you know, I didn't think it would be

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Speaker 3: this hard in the SEC this year. Cal just spare us.

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Speaker 3: If you're not into this, let's all move on. You're

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Speaker 3: a Hall of famer, and I appreciate what you did

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Speaker 3: in the two thousands, the twenty and tens. This is

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Speaker 3: twenty twenty five, and you're doing nobody any favors to

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Speaker 3: put a stinky product out on the court at Arkansas.

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Speaker 4: Speaking of not.

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Speaker 2: Being ready for the SEC.

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Speaker 1: I misspoke a moment ago and said that I had

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Speaker 1: a big twelve team to rant about. It's actually an

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Speaker 1: SEC team, But have they even really arrived in the SEC?

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Speaker 2: Texas? Looking at you?

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Speaker 1: You get drilled by A and M, you get boat

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Speaker 1: raced in the early going by Auburn.

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Speaker 2: You may. I mean, I think if.

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Speaker 1: Somebody just looks at the final score, they say, hey,

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Speaker 1: that's a good loss to an Alburn team, only losing

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Speaker 1: by five. They're done sixteen with five minutes to go

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Speaker 1: in that game, and really they've been lousy since Thanksgiving.

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Speaker 1: You know, yukhon't control the game against them. I mentioned,

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Speaker 1: you know the Aggi's absolutely thumping them by twenty and

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Speaker 1: a lot of this is on Trey Johnson, and I

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Speaker 1: know that he's dealing with a hip injury. He comes back,

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Speaker 1: he needs to be special Otherwise is this team not

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Speaker 1: gonna make the tournament? I mean, you look at bracket

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Speaker 1: matrix right now, they're on that ten to eleven line.

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Speaker 1: They're certainly in danger if he doesn't get it going.

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Speaker 1: Because against A and M and Oli Burn, he shoots

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Speaker 1: seven for twenty six in the field, oh for eight

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Speaker 1: from three point range? Did very little on the glass

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Speaker 1: or facilitating for his teammates. And when you look around

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Speaker 1: that backcourt, who is going to help them score? Jordan

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Speaker 1: Pope if you take away his game against New Orleans,

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Speaker 1: no disrespect to the Privateers, he goes for forty two

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Speaker 1: in that game, but he's been so quiet everywhere else.

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Speaker 1: He's been held to eleven points or fewer in ten

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Speaker 1: of the longhorns fifteen games this season. I'm selling on

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Speaker 1: Rodney Terry. I think you know this turnaround is going

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Speaker 1: to be It's gonna be uphill at this point, to

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Speaker 1: be honest, because you got Tennessee, you got Oklahoma, you

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Speaker 1: got Florida on the rise, and two of those three

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Speaker 1: are on the road. I think the Texas team is

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Speaker 1: going to take on Water in a really deep SEC.

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Speaker 1: So I'll throw another log on the fire of teams

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Speaker 1: that are throwing up the flag or the wayeflag early

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Speaker 1: here in SEC basketball play. What are your thoughts on

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Speaker 1: the Longhorns and their struggles and specifically Trey Johnson's struggles.

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Speaker 3: I love Trey Johnson. If he's not himself, this team

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Speaker 3: has no chance. And that's what I've seen since he returned.

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Speaker 3: If you really step back and think about it. Rodney

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Speaker 3: Terry brought in some of the losingest players in college

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Speaker 3: basketball from last season. I mean, Jordan Pope, Tremon Mark,

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Speaker 3: Arthur Kaluma probably combined for more losses last year than

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Speaker 3: any trio of players that now start at their new

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Speaker 3: transfer destination. And I don't know if he had other

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Speaker 3: choices or not, but you know, there's a lot of

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Speaker 3: services out there that can tell you what a players

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Speaker 3: good or bad at winning should be. One of them,

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Speaker 3: have you been in a winning locker room or not?

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Speaker 3: And you know he's kind of in the what I

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Speaker 3: call the Juwan Howard zone. Mike, this is something I've

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Speaker 3: been through. Fans reach a point where it's almost better

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Speaker 3: to bottom out historically off y than it is to

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Speaker 3: hover in what I call the Mike Woodson zone, which

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Speaker 3: is you're just good enough to keep your job. And

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Speaker 3: now we're on year four of the same issues and

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Speaker 3: you can't even sell out your home games anymore. That's

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Speaker 3: where Texas is. It's a scary place to be at

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Speaker 3: the bottom of the SEC this season.

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Speaker 1: Before we get into our plays for the weekend, we're

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Speaker 1: going to talk some futures. Once Stucky joins us. In

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Speaker 1: the next episode, we'll make this a round table feature.

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Speaker 1: We'll vote on it.

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Speaker 2: He'll be the.

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Speaker 1: Deciding vote to see who we're going to add to

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Speaker 1: our portfolio. But I'll keep this short because we talked

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Speaker 1: about the fighting line e its on. I like them

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Speaker 1: at eight to one over on DraftKings to make the

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Speaker 1: final score final four. Their schedule breaks in a really

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Speaker 1: nice way. I can see Illinois fighting their way up

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Speaker 1: to the two line if everything kind of plays out

435
00:19:49,160 --> 00:19:51,399
Speaker 1: the way I'm envisioning down the stretch. I mentioned they

436
00:19:51,440 --> 00:19:53,760
Speaker 1: already did their West coast trip. They got that Rucker's

437
00:19:53,800 --> 00:19:56,199
Speaker 1: trip on February fifth. The rest of it is pretty

438
00:19:56,240 --> 00:19:59,040
Speaker 1: manageable in terms of travel, and that's something that you

439
00:19:59,200 --> 00:20:02,119
Speaker 1: need to take, you know, a cautionary look at this

440
00:20:02,240 --> 00:20:05,400
Speaker 1: is basically an NBA league. You're gonna have those nights

441
00:20:05,440 --> 00:20:08,240
Speaker 1: where you're going, you know, Tuesday Saturday, when you're flying

442
00:20:08,320 --> 00:20:10,840
Speaker 1: back and forth across the country that has to come

443
00:20:10,880 --> 00:20:13,600
Speaker 1: into play college football. We talk a lot about situational

444
00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:17,240
Speaker 1: spots college basketball. Sometimes we miss those on a season

445
00:20:17,280 --> 00:20:19,520
Speaker 1: long basis. But at this point, the aligne I have

446
00:20:19,600 --> 00:20:21,679
Speaker 1: done their hard work early in the season. I think

447
00:20:21,720 --> 00:20:25,119
Speaker 1: they're going to benefit. They also have a huge opportunity.

448
00:20:25,280 --> 00:20:28,320
Speaker 1: On February twenty second at MSG, they're playing Duke on

449
00:20:28,320 --> 00:20:30,359
Speaker 1: a neutral floor. They win a game like that, all

450
00:20:30,359 --> 00:20:32,359
Speaker 1: of a sudden, they have a mulligan if they flame

451
00:20:32,359 --> 00:20:34,520
Speaker 1: out early in the Big ten tournament and still being

452
00:20:34,520 --> 00:20:37,280
Speaker 1: able to achieve a top three seeds. As I said,

453
00:20:37,280 --> 00:20:39,560
Speaker 1: I love what Underwood has done. He went eighty nine

454
00:20:39,640 --> 00:20:42,200
Speaker 1: and fourteen at steven f Austin. You just mentioned it.

455
00:20:42,240 --> 00:20:44,600
Speaker 1: With Texas and the players they brought in, winning is

456
00:20:44,640 --> 00:20:47,360
Speaker 1: a habit. He has brought that habit to Champagne. I'm

457
00:20:47,400 --> 00:20:49,480
Speaker 1: a believer in this guy. You'll get the last four

458
00:20:49,560 --> 00:20:52,359
Speaker 1: years in Big ten play finished second, tie for first,

459
00:20:52,560 --> 00:20:54,960
Speaker 1: tied for fifth, and second. I think he's going to

460
00:20:55,000 --> 00:20:56,880
Speaker 1: have a top three finish here again. And I think

461
00:20:56,920 --> 00:20:58,960
Speaker 1: eight to one is plenty of value on a team

462
00:20:59,000 --> 00:21:00,920
Speaker 1: that I don't even think that if they're sealing yet,

463
00:21:00,960 --> 00:21:01,959
Speaker 1: if everybody's healthy.

464
00:21:02,160 --> 00:21:04,080
Speaker 2: Hopefully the news that's.

465
00:21:04,520 --> 00:21:10,479
Speaker 1: Losing their star Lithuanian NBA millionaire was just a tiny

466
00:21:10,520 --> 00:21:13,240
Speaker 1: little blip and not something to monitor going forward.

467
00:21:13,359 --> 00:21:15,120
Speaker 2: A forearm injury. This is in tennis.

468
00:21:15,320 --> 00:21:18,960
Speaker 1: Hopefully, this is not something to get ourselves all worried about.

469
00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:23,040
Speaker 1: But whenever there's not hard reporting, I always kind of

470
00:21:23,040 --> 00:21:25,520
Speaker 1: bristled just a little bit, so before firing this in,

471
00:21:25,720 --> 00:21:27,280
Speaker 1: see if you can find out the latest piece of

472
00:21:27,320 --> 00:21:28,840
Speaker 1: information on his availability.

473
00:21:29,000 --> 00:21:30,560
Speaker 3: Otherwise I'm all in on.

474
00:21:30,480 --> 00:21:31,320
Speaker 4: The fighting line night.

475
00:21:31,680 --> 00:21:33,359
Speaker 3: I'm right there with you. You don't have to talk me

476
00:21:33,400 --> 00:21:35,400
Speaker 3: into betting on a Brad Underwood team at this point.

477
00:21:35,480 --> 00:21:37,480
Speaker 3: Let's just hope he doesn't see Dan Hurley at full

478
00:21:37,480 --> 00:21:40,120
Speaker 3: strength again in March. But luckily I don't think we're

479
00:21:40,119 --> 00:21:42,080
Speaker 3: going to have to fear that for much longer. I

480
00:21:42,119 --> 00:21:44,200
Speaker 3: got one future for you as well, Mike. I'm looking

481
00:21:44,240 --> 00:21:47,400
Speaker 3: at all Miss to make a final four. So let's

482
00:21:47,440 --> 00:21:49,880
Speaker 3: step back on Ole Miss for a second, because they

483
00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:52,920
Speaker 3: are not the sexiest team in the SEC. There's quite

484
00:21:52,960 --> 00:21:55,159
Speaker 3: a lot of headline makers in this league, and we

485
00:21:55,320 --> 00:21:57,399
Speaker 3: just talked about how great the league is as a whole.

486
00:21:57,760 --> 00:21:59,800
Speaker 3: For anyone who makes it out of the middle of

487
00:21:59,800 --> 00:22:01,920
Speaker 3: the in the SEC, you're going to reap the benefits

488
00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:04,120
Speaker 3: when you get to March because you're going to be tested,

489
00:22:04,280 --> 00:22:06,120
Speaker 3: and your resume is going to be full of quality

490
00:22:06,119 --> 00:22:09,399
Speaker 3: wins and you're probably gonna get a pretty flashy seed

491
00:22:09,440 --> 00:22:11,720
Speaker 3: opportunity here. I think we'll see quite a few SEC

492
00:22:11,760 --> 00:22:14,320
Speaker 3: teams on the top four seed lines. It's not out

493
00:22:14,359 --> 00:22:16,679
Speaker 3: of the question that all miss gets there. Let's not

494
00:22:16,760 --> 00:22:19,960
Speaker 3: forget the last head coach to play in the National

495
00:22:20,040 --> 00:22:23,880
Speaker 3: Championship game from an SEC programer currently in an SEC program,

496
00:22:24,040 --> 00:22:26,880
Speaker 3: Chris beard An all missed to a zero conference play.

497
00:22:27,000 --> 00:22:29,080
Speaker 3: Right now, they already have five wins over top one

498
00:22:29,119 --> 00:22:32,600
Speaker 3: hundred opponents. This value at twenty to one has them

499
00:22:32,680 --> 00:22:35,320
Speaker 3: as if they are the ninth best SEC team. Ken

500
00:22:35,359 --> 00:22:38,719
Speaker 3: Palm currently says that the seventh best SEC team. I

501
00:22:38,760 --> 00:22:40,600
Speaker 3: think that's a little bit low as well. I think

502
00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:42,640
Speaker 3: before this season ends, you're going to see them leap

503
00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:46,159
Speaker 3: froga team like Mississippi State, potentially even leap frog a

504
00:22:46,240 --> 00:22:48,840
Speaker 3: team like Kentucky and end up closer to fourth or

505
00:22:48,880 --> 00:22:52,080
Speaker 3: fifth best team in this league. They can go anywhere,

506
00:22:52,080 --> 00:22:54,960
Speaker 3: they can play anywhere. They go nine deep. Their top

507
00:22:55,080 --> 00:22:57,879
Speaker 3: seven are all in their fourth or fifth year in

508
00:22:57,920 --> 00:23:01,720
Speaker 3: a college basketball program. Really are just a well rounded

509
00:23:01,760 --> 00:23:06,480
Speaker 3: basketball team. They're in both offense and defense. They're top

510
00:23:06,520 --> 00:23:11,000
Speaker 3: thirty in adjusted efficiency. There's a huge, huge trend going

511
00:23:11,040 --> 00:23:14,240
Speaker 3: back through all the last decade where you need to

512
00:23:14,359 --> 00:23:17,399
Speaker 3: be really good on both sides of the ball. Top

513
00:23:17,520 --> 00:23:19,879
Speaker 3: ten in both sides of the ball means you have

514
00:23:19,920 --> 00:23:22,719
Speaker 3: a great chance to win a national championship in March. Now,

515
00:23:22,760 --> 00:23:24,879
Speaker 3: I'm not saying this team's gonna cut down the nets,

516
00:23:25,119 --> 00:23:27,280
Speaker 3: but if they can get up from maybe the thirties

517
00:23:27,320 --> 00:23:30,119
Speaker 3: to the twenties, maybe even in the teams in both

518
00:23:30,400 --> 00:23:33,280
Speaker 3: it is a team that can beat you offensively or defensively.

519
00:23:33,560 --> 00:23:35,879
Speaker 3: They're great at forcing turnovers. They never turn over the

520
00:23:35,880 --> 00:23:38,400
Speaker 3: ball themselves. I think twenty to one for a team

521
00:23:38,480 --> 00:23:40,000
Speaker 3: that really will be in the thick of it in

522
00:23:40,040 --> 00:23:42,360
Speaker 3: the SEC is phenomenal value.

523
00:23:42,920 --> 00:23:46,440
Speaker 1: Sean Padula or Jalen Murray for your March Madness hero.

524
00:23:46,840 --> 00:23:50,440
Speaker 1: As you're wearing the old miss gear on your road

525
00:23:50,480 --> 00:23:52,199
Speaker 1: to the final four, which of those two do you

526
00:23:52,200 --> 00:23:53,280
Speaker 1: think does the heavy lifting?

527
00:23:53,720 --> 00:23:58,800
Speaker 3: It feels like Padulla is the shot maker, but he's

528
00:23:58,840 --> 00:24:00,600
Speaker 3: not the better player between all.

529
00:24:00,680 --> 00:24:02,720
Speaker 1: Right, before we get into the weekends and our best

530
00:24:02,760 --> 00:24:05,480
Speaker 1: bets for Friday, Saturday and Sunday, a special guest has

531
00:24:05,640 --> 00:24:11,080
Speaker 1: made his arrival. We're looking at Stucky right now, and

532
00:24:11,119 --> 00:24:13,080
Speaker 1: it's a beautiful face to see. Stucky has been in

533
00:24:13,080 --> 00:24:15,320
Speaker 1: the bunker doing the Lord's work, doing an NFL doing

534
00:24:15,359 --> 00:24:18,439
Speaker 1: college football, ready to talk college basketball? Coming out guns

535
00:24:18,480 --> 00:24:21,040
Speaker 1: blazing here, give us one of your future picks. Let's

536
00:24:21,080 --> 00:24:22,399
Speaker 1: throw it in and let's see if we can come

537
00:24:22,440 --> 00:24:24,760
Speaker 1: to a consensus here at the roundtable for what we

538
00:24:24,800 --> 00:24:28,080
Speaker 1: should be adding to the official BBOC portfolio moving forward.

539
00:24:28,240 --> 00:24:31,160
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's going to be back better late than never.

540
00:24:31,280 --> 00:24:34,880
Speaker 4: For first episode of the year, I totally fell asleep

541
00:24:35,080 --> 00:24:37,240
Speaker 4: about an hour and a half ago. Close, sat down,

542
00:24:37,280 --> 00:24:39,639
Speaker 4: closed my eyes and sorry f being late.

543
00:24:39,760 --> 00:24:41,600
Speaker 3: No napping, Newborn's nap.

544
00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:45,480
Speaker 4: To catch everyone up. Love this year. I think March's

545
00:24:45,480 --> 00:24:47,560
Speaker 4: gonna be amazing. It's gonna think it's gonna make up

546
00:24:47,600 --> 00:24:50,000
Speaker 4: for next for last year. I don't think we have

547
00:24:50,800 --> 00:24:54,200
Speaker 4: a Yukon. It's just going to dominate the tournament. Greg,

548
00:24:54,359 --> 00:24:55,720
Speaker 4: I think your Michigan team is going to be a

549
00:24:55,720 --> 00:24:59,240
Speaker 4: hard out. One of my biggest takeaways with that unique offense,

550
00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:05,879
Speaker 4: the SEC depth is insane. I mean that conference outside

551
00:25:05,880 --> 00:25:09,320
Speaker 4: of LSU is just a brutal watch. I mean every

552
00:25:09,359 --> 00:25:12,560
Speaker 4: single night it's just going to be an absolute war.

553
00:25:12,600 --> 00:25:14,720
Speaker 4: And my rant of the week is USC. If I

554
00:25:14,960 --> 00:25:16,960
Speaker 4: lose any more money on USC this year, I need

555
00:25:17,000 --> 00:25:21,000
Speaker 4: someone to come to my house and take my phone

556
00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:25,439
Speaker 4: in computers away from me. I hate that team. So

557
00:25:26,760 --> 00:25:31,240
Speaker 4: for my future, I'm going to go to that deep

558
00:25:31,600 --> 00:25:36,480
Speaker 4: sec and I'm going to give out the only future

559
00:25:36,520 --> 00:25:38,960
Speaker 4: that I have right now. It's when I got last

560
00:25:39,000 --> 00:25:41,600
Speaker 4: year too. We've bet on the show. I'm gonna go

561
00:25:41,600 --> 00:25:45,000
Speaker 4: to Texas A and M to make the final four

562
00:25:45,760 --> 00:25:50,399
Speaker 4: fifteen to one. I think this is the last time

563
00:25:50,440 --> 00:25:52,080
Speaker 4: we get a price like this that like that implies

564
00:25:52,119 --> 00:25:57,320
Speaker 4: what eight that implies six six seven percent chance. I

565
00:25:57,560 --> 00:25:59,439
Speaker 4: have them around eight and a half. I think if

566
00:25:59,480 --> 00:26:02,200
Speaker 4: you look at like Quarbick, they're like nine percent. But

567
00:26:02,840 --> 00:26:07,760
Speaker 4: this team is basically last year's team. But they you know,

568
00:26:07,800 --> 00:26:11,320
Speaker 4: you lose Radford, you add Phelps, had you had another

569
00:26:11,359 --> 00:26:14,960
Speaker 4: big They're They're as experience as you can get in

570
00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:18,320
Speaker 4: the country. They're well coached, they have a guard and

571
00:26:18,400 --> 00:26:21,000
Speaker 4: Wade Tailer can always take over a game, and they're

572
00:26:21,080 --> 00:26:24,879
Speaker 4: kind of just match up proof. Their defense is better.

573
00:26:25,600 --> 00:26:28,200
Speaker 4: They're kind of matchup proof because if you get their

574
00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:32,240
Speaker 4: threes falling, like I always said, great, If not, they're

575
00:26:32,240 --> 00:26:35,280
Speaker 4: going to get a million offensive rebounds, and with their defense,

576
00:26:35,320 --> 00:26:37,359
Speaker 4: they're gonna be in any game. They can beat anybody.

577
00:26:37,880 --> 00:26:42,240
Speaker 4: I love this team. They're super experienced. I love their backcourt.

578
00:26:42,520 --> 00:26:46,960
Speaker 4: I love what I saw last night go to Oklahoma.

579
00:26:48,200 --> 00:26:51,159
Speaker 4: Wade tailors out with an injury. They're down. I think

580
00:26:51,160 --> 00:26:54,600
Speaker 4: they're around eighteen in that second half, and Phelps takes

581
00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:57,399
Speaker 4: over that game. I think that was just a huge,

582
00:26:57,680 --> 00:27:01,880
Speaker 4: huge boost for him and that entire team. I think

583
00:27:01,920 --> 00:27:06,639
Speaker 4: that there's a fifteen to one still out there. I

584
00:27:06,680 --> 00:27:09,760
Speaker 4: know that you guys went with just filled me in.

585
00:27:09,800 --> 00:27:12,480
Speaker 4: You went with Ole Miss and then who'd you go

586
00:27:12,560 --> 00:27:12,880
Speaker 4: with again?

587
00:27:13,800 --> 00:27:17,439
Speaker 2: Illinois, which I agree with both.

588
00:27:17,960 --> 00:27:24,880
Speaker 4: I like both of those teams. Illinois is super talented

589
00:27:25,400 --> 00:27:30,440
Speaker 4: that them in Michigan in I think they're the big

590
00:27:30,480 --> 00:27:33,119
Speaker 4: ten teams that I think have the best chance of

591
00:27:33,160 --> 00:27:35,960
Speaker 4: making the Final four. And I don't think it's a

592
00:27:36,000 --> 00:27:38,000
Speaker 4: coincidence that both went out to the West Coast and

593
00:27:39,240 --> 00:27:42,040
Speaker 4: took care of business on a West coast road trip.

594
00:27:42,119 --> 00:27:44,440
Speaker 4: So if you knew here, we each vote for one

595
00:27:44,800 --> 00:27:47,679
Speaker 4: and you can't vote for your own. If it's a tie,

596
00:27:48,080 --> 00:27:52,359
Speaker 4: then I'll break the tie as the host, although my

597
00:27:52,440 --> 00:27:54,480
Speaker 4: punishment this week should be that I don't get to

598
00:27:54,480 --> 00:27:57,000
Speaker 4: break the tie. Calvary's you get to break the tie

599
00:27:57,040 --> 00:28:02,600
Speaker 4: if it's tie. Fair, hold up, one for oh Miss,

600
00:28:03,280 --> 00:28:07,440
Speaker 4: two for Illinois, three for Texas A and m all right,

601
00:28:07,480 --> 00:28:13,080
Speaker 4: three two one, all right, We're going with.

602
00:28:13,080 --> 00:28:16,560
Speaker 2: The essentially yak Ya Chonas.

603
00:28:17,359 --> 00:28:20,200
Speaker 1: I just need him to not be any in any

604
00:28:20,320 --> 00:28:24,399
Speaker 1: legal trouble or have any serious lingering injuries from his

605
00:28:25,000 --> 00:28:27,600
Speaker 1: parent forum injuries, got cuts on his arms like some

606
00:28:27,720 --> 00:28:30,080
Speaker 1: in weird's going on, but we've seen this with this

607
00:28:30,119 --> 00:28:33,160
Speaker 1: Illinois program. But lots of weird stuff happens and sometimes

608
00:28:33,160 --> 00:28:35,720
Speaker 1: it shakes out and it's totally fine. But they cannot

609
00:28:35,880 --> 00:28:38,760
Speaker 1: miss this guy. He is everything. He is somebody with

610
00:28:39,120 --> 00:28:42,120
Speaker 1: triple double upside on a nightly basis that you don't

611
00:28:42,160 --> 00:28:44,880
Speaker 1: hear that statement said all that often in college basketball.

612
00:28:45,120 --> 00:28:47,080
Speaker 1: He is going to be the player to drag them

613
00:28:47,120 --> 00:28:49,800
Speaker 1: to the final four. Not that this is a one

614
00:28:49,880 --> 00:28:52,600
Speaker 1: man show. They certainly have depth. They have players coming

615
00:28:52,600 --> 00:28:54,640
Speaker 1: off of their bench. I love the potential of Will

616
00:28:54,720 --> 00:28:57,040
Speaker 1: Riley to get more involved Johnson.

617
00:28:57,080 --> 00:28:58,840
Speaker 2: We just saw him against Penn State and what he

618
00:28:58,880 --> 00:28:59,440
Speaker 2: was able to do.

619
00:28:59,720 --> 00:29:03,800
Speaker 1: Please please, please, though this Lithuanian superstar, I need him.

620
00:29:04,120 --> 00:29:06,480
Speaker 1: I need some good intel before I punch this in.

621
00:29:06,560 --> 00:29:08,480
Speaker 1: But eight to one I think is a number that's

622
00:29:08,520 --> 00:29:12,240
Speaker 1: probably if you're listening right now, open up those drafting apps.

623
00:29:12,600 --> 00:29:14,200
Speaker 2: That's not gonna be hanging around for all that long.

624
00:29:14,240 --> 00:29:17,840
Speaker 1: So maybe you should fire regardless of the uncertainty surrounding

625
00:29:18,480 --> 00:29:20,240
Speaker 1: Yaku chonas.

626
00:29:20,080 --> 00:29:22,400
Speaker 4: I mean, even during Big Ten play, I mean, when

627
00:29:22,440 --> 00:29:25,000
Speaker 4: teams get familiar with them, it's still there's there's still

628
00:29:25,040 --> 00:29:27,200
Speaker 4: gonna be tough to be but especially when they get

629
00:29:27,600 --> 00:29:31,400
Speaker 4: outside a conference play, and Michigan with those like how

630
00:29:31,400 --> 00:29:35,040
Speaker 4: many teams can play like Michigan with with those two

631
00:29:35,040 --> 00:29:39,920
Speaker 4: bigs and uh, they are just a matchup nightmare. There's

632
00:29:39,920 --> 00:29:42,960
Speaker 4: not many teams that can match it. If Michigan just

633
00:29:44,360 --> 00:29:47,440
Speaker 4: I'd be scoring ninety four in u c LA. That's

634
00:29:47,480 --> 00:29:51,080
Speaker 4: that's super impressive. But if Michigan just well they're gonna

635
00:29:51,120 --> 00:29:53,280
Speaker 4: do they have time to do this, just clean up

636
00:29:53,400 --> 00:29:57,680
Speaker 4: some of the turnovers and man, they're gonna be dangerous.

637
00:29:57,720 --> 00:30:04,080
Speaker 4: But all right, So that's the first future of the

638
00:30:04,160 --> 00:30:08,320
Speaker 4: year that we're adding to the official portfolio, is Illinois

639
00:30:08,880 --> 00:30:11,080
Speaker 4: to make the final four. We'll do that once a

640
00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:14,720
Speaker 4: week throughout the season, all right, So let's get to

641
00:30:15,440 --> 00:30:18,760
Speaker 4: rapid fire bets. We'll look at the weekend. We obviously

642
00:30:18,800 --> 00:30:22,600
Speaker 4: don't have any lines right now, but we'll just talk

643
00:30:22,600 --> 00:30:28,240
Speaker 4: about matchups or games that we do have circled Calbarys.

644
00:30:28,400 --> 00:30:32,640
Speaker 4: I know that you have something for Friday night.

645
00:30:33,200 --> 00:30:36,160
Speaker 1: Fairly Dickinson catching two with Leamoye. The Dolphins should not

646
00:30:36,240 --> 00:30:38,880
Speaker 1: be laying points against anybody. I know that they're both

647
00:30:38,920 --> 00:30:40,840
Speaker 1: five and eleven. This is one of those games you

648
00:30:40,920 --> 00:30:44,520
Speaker 1: immediately swipe past and you say to yourself, this is

649
00:30:44,680 --> 00:30:45,760
Speaker 1: absolute trash.

650
00:30:45,800 --> 00:30:46,720
Speaker 2: Why would I bet on this?

651
00:30:47,040 --> 00:30:49,720
Speaker 1: Well, Leamoyn's strength of schedule to this point five and eleven,

652
00:30:49,760 --> 00:30:52,000
Speaker 1: one hundred and ninety third in the country. Fairly Dickinson

653
00:30:52,080 --> 00:30:54,200
Speaker 1: has taken a ton of pay check games their top

654
00:30:54,200 --> 00:30:57,600
Speaker 1: one hundred strength to schedule, and the Knights are road warriors.

655
00:30:57,640 --> 00:30:59,200
Speaker 1: They're nine to two against the spread on the road

656
00:30:59,200 --> 00:31:02,080
Speaker 1: this season, five in a row that includes keeping things

657
00:31:02,080 --> 00:31:05,240
Speaker 1: close with Nova, Minnesota, Boston College, all swept free covers.

658
00:31:05,520 --> 00:31:07,760
Speaker 1: They finally get into anycplay, They go on the road

659
00:31:07,800 --> 00:31:10,040
Speaker 1: and bam outright win at Wagner. As a dog, they

660
00:31:10,080 --> 00:31:13,480
Speaker 1: crush the Seahawks by twelve. Terrence Brown is probably the

661
00:31:13,480 --> 00:31:16,560
Speaker 1: best rebounding guard among low major players, and he's a

662
00:31:16,600 --> 00:31:19,479
Speaker 1: walking bucket. He's averaging twenty two and six. Despite as

663
00:31:19,480 --> 00:31:22,680
Speaker 1: I mentioned, playing six power programs already, they defend the

664
00:31:22,680 --> 00:31:25,160
Speaker 1: three point line really well, and I think that's where

665
00:31:25,160 --> 00:31:27,480
Speaker 1: this game is going to swing. Their opponents are shooting

666
00:31:27,600 --> 00:31:30,280
Speaker 1: less than thirty percent from long range, and Lamoyne already

667
00:31:30,280 --> 00:31:33,400
Speaker 1: struggles in that department. So the fluky nature the three

668
00:31:33,440 --> 00:31:36,320
Speaker 1: point variants that we talk about a lot, the Dolphins

669
00:31:36,320 --> 00:31:38,440
Speaker 1: are three hundred and thirtieth and three point accuracy. So

670
00:31:38,720 --> 00:31:41,560
Speaker 1: I'm gonna throw in one last little tidbit here on Lamoyne.

671
00:31:41,560 --> 00:31:43,400
Speaker 1: I know this is not what people are listening for,

672
00:31:43,600 --> 00:31:45,680
Speaker 1: but if you want a little extra confidence, maybe take

673
00:31:45,720 --> 00:31:48,400
Speaker 1: fairly Dickinson on the money line. The Dolphins combined for

674
00:31:48,480 --> 00:31:51,240
Speaker 1: one of the worst turnover margins in the entire country,

675
00:31:51,280 --> 00:31:53,920
Speaker 1: and they also are just dreadful on the glass. So

676
00:31:54,080 --> 00:31:58,680
Speaker 1: extra opportunities, turnovers, offensive boards, knocking down threes, none of

677
00:31:58,680 --> 00:32:00,800
Speaker 1: those things are going to happen in this So give me.

678
00:32:00,920 --> 00:32:04,600
Speaker 4: Fdu All right, good stuff there, Creig, I'll throw to you.

679
00:32:04,760 --> 00:32:06,160
Speaker 4: I don't know if you have anything Friday night or

680
00:32:06,160 --> 00:32:08,000
Speaker 4: if you just want to get right into Saturday.

681
00:32:08,520 --> 00:32:10,600
Speaker 3: I got one for Friday and night. We've talked a

682
00:32:10,640 --> 00:32:14,959
Speaker 3: little bit about mccronin on this very episode, and gentlemen,

683
00:32:15,080 --> 00:32:20,040
Speaker 3: I am suspicious that this UCLA team may be a

684
00:32:20,280 --> 00:32:23,360
Speaker 3: sheep in wolf's clothing, and the clothing may already be

685
00:32:23,400 --> 00:32:27,080
Speaker 3: coming off with back to back lost his last week,

686
00:32:27,120 --> 00:32:30,640
Speaker 3: everybody expected that that home game against Michigan to be

687
00:32:30,720 --> 00:32:33,120
Speaker 3: the return to form. It's not easy to go to Lincoln.

688
00:32:33,440 --> 00:32:37,120
Speaker 3: They got got by Hoiberg, and you know, they really

689
00:32:37,120 --> 00:32:39,760
Speaker 3: put up a stinker. I mean, it ended up a

690
00:32:39,760 --> 00:32:42,880
Speaker 3: blowout loss. But Michigan built a huge lead in the

691
00:32:42,920 --> 00:32:45,760
Speaker 3: first half, like they seem to always do. UCLA did

692
00:32:45,800 --> 00:32:49,080
Speaker 3: clawback in the second, but they had this massive opportunity

693
00:32:49,360 --> 00:32:51,600
Speaker 3: four point lead with a Wolf and Golden on the

694
00:32:51,640 --> 00:32:55,000
Speaker 3: bench in foul trouble, no Roddy Gale for Michigan, essentially

695
00:32:55,080 --> 00:32:58,360
Speaker 3: down three starters, and I did not like the fight

696
00:32:58,480 --> 00:33:01,440
Speaker 3: that I saw from UCLA game. I don't think McK

697
00:33:01,480 --> 00:33:04,560
Speaker 3: cronin did either. And you know, this is a team,

698
00:33:04,640 --> 00:33:09,520
Speaker 3: let's not forget that last year really was a streaky team.

699
00:33:09,640 --> 00:33:12,240
Speaker 3: They kind of played their season in chapters. They would

700
00:33:12,240 --> 00:33:14,480
Speaker 3: lose eight of nine, and then they would win eight

701
00:33:14,520 --> 00:33:16,640
Speaker 3: of nine, and then they would lose five straight again.

702
00:33:16,640 --> 00:33:18,600
Speaker 3: At the end of the season, it added up to

703
00:33:18,640 --> 00:33:22,840
Speaker 3: a losing basketball team. I'm not really sure the guys

704
00:33:22,960 --> 00:33:27,120
Speaker 3: in that locker room are prone to avoiding skids when

705
00:33:27,120 --> 00:33:29,960
Speaker 3: they hit them. I mean, sky Clark was the savior here,

706
00:33:30,520 --> 00:33:33,240
Speaker 3: and I think it's hurt their backcourt play. They're getting

707
00:33:33,280 --> 00:33:35,840
Speaker 3: worse play than they just got from Dylan Andrews last

708
00:33:35,880 --> 00:33:39,120
Speaker 3: year without sky Clark added to the mix. So you know,

709
00:33:39,160 --> 00:33:41,720
Speaker 3: I like Tyler Billadel. He's very good. You saw what

710
00:33:41,800 --> 00:33:43,880
Speaker 3: he did against Flag Golden Blag Golden had a career

711
00:33:44,000 --> 00:33:46,480
Speaker 3: night and put thirty six on his head. The Maryland

712
00:33:46,560 --> 00:33:49,680
Speaker 3: front court is going to destroy those guys. Derek Queen

713
00:33:49,800 --> 00:33:52,480
Speaker 3: has been dominant at times this season, and they have

714
00:33:52,560 --> 00:33:54,720
Speaker 3: Julian Reese with him. It's another two big look that

715
00:33:54,800 --> 00:33:57,720
Speaker 3: can at least do a diet version of what Michigan's

716
00:33:57,720 --> 00:34:00,600
Speaker 3: front court did. Maryland doesn't turn it over either. Their

717
00:34:00,640 --> 00:34:03,800
Speaker 3: fifteenth nationally, they only flip at fourteen percent of possessions.

718
00:34:04,000 --> 00:34:06,240
Speaker 3: I think they're going to be comfortable, or as comfortable

719
00:34:06,240 --> 00:34:09,600
Speaker 3: as a team can be against the UCLA pressure defense.

720
00:34:09,680 --> 00:34:12,279
Speaker 3: So give me Maryland to win big, give me a

721
00:34:12,600 --> 00:34:14,840
Speaker 3: kind of this skid to continue for the Bruins in

722
00:34:14,920 --> 00:34:16,239
Speaker 3: a double digit loss.

723
00:34:16,760 --> 00:34:19,320
Speaker 4: Yeah, you see that as an interesting team. I don't

724
00:34:19,600 --> 00:34:23,279
Speaker 4: like the defense is going to travel the defenses on

725
00:34:23,360 --> 00:34:27,000
Speaker 4: most nights. Although giving up I know Michigan's very good.

726
00:34:27,080 --> 00:34:31,640
Speaker 4: Giving up ninety four to Michigan pretty ugly sight. I

727
00:34:31,920 --> 00:34:34,160
Speaker 4: agree with you and Maryland. I like this Maryland. Maryland

728
00:34:34,160 --> 00:34:38,120
Speaker 4: team dry queen Is. I think he can play. He's

729
00:34:38,120 --> 00:34:42,560
Speaker 4: a baller and that helps reach tremendously. Reese will still

730
00:34:42,600 --> 00:34:45,960
Speaker 4: get by the way. Maryland last year was my UFC.

731
00:34:46,040 --> 00:34:47,680
Speaker 4: This year like the team that I would bet on,

732
00:34:48,280 --> 00:34:53,719
Speaker 4: and then a player that I can't afford to get

733
00:34:53,719 --> 00:34:56,640
Speaker 4: into foul trouble always gets into fatrible. That was Julian

734
00:34:56,640 --> 00:34:59,440
Speaker 4: Reece last year if I would bet on because last year,

735
00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:03,719
Speaker 4: if Reis got into foul trouble, which would happen a lot,

736
00:35:04,040 --> 00:35:08,640
Speaker 4: then Marilyn was done inside, like just absolutely cooked. This

737
00:35:08,760 --> 00:35:11,759
Speaker 4: year it's it's Desmond Claude for USCO. Every time I

738
00:35:11,800 --> 00:35:13,920
Speaker 4: betham will get in foul trouble, then they can't run

739
00:35:13,960 --> 00:35:18,960
Speaker 4: offense without them. But the one I go back and forth,

740
00:35:19,080 --> 00:35:20,799
Speaker 4: So yeah, I mean Queen I think helps a ton

741
00:35:20,920 --> 00:35:25,840
Speaker 4: And yeah, this UCLA offense it's I don't trust it

742
00:35:25,920 --> 00:35:28,680
Speaker 4: on the road now do you get a desperation effort

743
00:35:28,760 --> 00:35:36,879
Speaker 4: here going across the country after that loss and Mick

744
00:35:37,200 --> 00:35:39,040
Speaker 4: kind of going on a rant. He had said the

745
00:35:39,040 --> 00:35:41,279
Speaker 4: same thing about Maryland. They went out on a west

746
00:35:41,320 --> 00:35:44,000
Speaker 4: coast swing, lost to in a row. Now coming back

747
00:35:44,080 --> 00:35:47,000
Speaker 4: home will be the more rested team here. The one

748
00:35:47,040 --> 00:35:51,000
Speaker 4: thing that gives me pause with UCLA that I don't

749
00:35:51,280 --> 00:35:53,839
Speaker 4: I think can go one of two directions, because Mick

750
00:35:53,920 --> 00:35:59,399
Speaker 4: had a similar rant last year and when he called

751
00:35:59,440 --> 00:36:01,080
Speaker 4: out his team, and it was after they lost a

752
00:36:01,280 --> 00:36:05,359
Speaker 4: Utah and I mean they lost ninety to forty four

753
00:36:06,120 --> 00:36:09,520
Speaker 4: to Utah, and I believe that was their eighth loss

754
00:36:09,880 --> 00:36:13,440
Speaker 4: in nine games, and then they went on a bit

755
00:36:13,520 --> 00:36:18,640
Speaker 4: of a run. So does this team respond similarly? And

756
00:36:18,680 --> 00:36:22,920
Speaker 4: as you mentioned, they were very streaky last year. But

757
00:36:23,800 --> 00:36:25,000
Speaker 4: I tend to agree with you there.

758
00:36:25,400 --> 00:36:28,560
Speaker 3: I have one quick counter to that stuck again the

759
00:36:28,640 --> 00:36:31,320
Speaker 3: guy I keep naming. He's the big name guy in

760
00:36:31,400 --> 00:36:34,439
Speaker 3: the backcourt that they brought in Sky Clark. He has

761
00:36:34,480 --> 00:36:37,640
Speaker 3: a bit of a history with a coach that has

762
00:36:37,719 --> 00:36:39,800
Speaker 3: got a lot of praise on this episode. It's not

763
00:36:39,880 --> 00:36:44,080
Speaker 3: afraid to criticize players publicly. He left Illinois mid season

764
00:36:44,320 --> 00:36:47,440
Speaker 3: when Brad Underwood criticized him publicly. So if there is

765
00:36:47,520 --> 00:36:50,920
Speaker 3: one guy I don't trust to respond to mix charades here,

766
00:36:51,280 --> 00:36:52,600
Speaker 3: it would be their start point guard.

767
00:36:53,040 --> 00:36:56,279
Speaker 4: Yep, yeah, and Eric Dally just doesn't really fit on

768
00:36:56,400 --> 00:36:59,960
Speaker 4: both either either side like it's I don't I don't

769
00:37:00,120 --> 00:37:02,600
Speaker 4: love the CCLA team either. I've faded them a bunch

770
00:37:02,680 --> 00:37:07,799
Speaker 4: this year already and did have Maryland Circle as well.

771
00:37:07,880 --> 00:37:10,480
Speaker 4: For Friday night, I'll throw out one and I'll move

772
00:37:10,520 --> 00:37:15,359
Speaker 4: on to Saturday. Don't have much circled for Friday. I'm

773
00:37:15,360 --> 00:37:18,440
Speaker 4: going to ring. Let's go. I'm going to bring a

774
00:37:18,480 --> 00:37:21,240
Speaker 4: new segment that I do as one of my weekend

775
00:37:21,320 --> 00:37:23,760
Speaker 4: picks every week that I do in college football, trash

776
00:37:23,840 --> 00:37:26,560
Speaker 4: pick of the week, the trash man pick of the week.

777
00:37:27,120 --> 00:37:28,200
Speaker 2: I'm the trash man.

778
00:37:28,560 --> 00:37:31,440
Speaker 1: Just throw me the trash, your garbage, and you know it,

779
00:37:31,920 --> 00:37:34,640
Speaker 1: totally unreliable, undependable, that's it.

780
00:37:34,760 --> 00:37:35,359
Speaker 2: You've been told off.

781
00:37:35,440 --> 00:37:36,600
Speaker 4: How do you like that? Good?

782
00:37:38,120 --> 00:37:40,279
Speaker 1: I'm bringing it to college I can challenge you because

783
00:37:40,680 --> 00:37:42,800
Speaker 1: I'm in the waste management been with you.

784
00:37:42,880 --> 00:37:44,200
Speaker 3: So let's see how deep you're going here.

785
00:37:44,280 --> 00:37:49,920
Speaker 4: Stuck all right, I'm gonna go with Steven F. Austin

786
00:37:50,560 --> 00:37:56,319
Speaker 4: at Lamar and Stephen F Austin has been I mean,

787
00:37:56,400 --> 00:37:59,480
Speaker 4: their offense is arguably they've been one of the three

788
00:37:59,600 --> 00:38:04,640
Speaker 4: or four worst in all of college basketball. But I think,

789
00:38:05,280 --> 00:38:07,239
Speaker 4: and if you look at some of the analytical sites

790
00:38:07,280 --> 00:38:09,640
Speaker 4: out there, projected to get I don't know, seven eighty nine,

791
00:38:10,160 --> 00:38:13,000
Speaker 4: depending on where you look, we'd love to get seven

792
00:38:13,120 --> 00:38:16,480
Speaker 4: or above. I think I think this is the best

793
00:38:16,520 --> 00:38:19,360
Speaker 4: Bilow Cell high spot on the board. Stephen of Austin,

794
00:38:19,400 --> 00:38:21,880
Speaker 4: oh and FOIGN League play Lamar four and O. Lamar's

795
00:38:21,960 --> 00:38:24,120
Speaker 4: up about one hundred spots on kem hoom since the

796
00:38:24,160 --> 00:38:26,840
Speaker 4: beginning of the year. Stevehen F Austin's down about one hundred.

797
00:38:27,760 --> 00:38:30,280
Speaker 4: Steven of Austin hits the road after two really bad losses.

798
00:38:30,520 --> 00:38:33,600
Speaker 4: I like that, two bad losses at home. I should

799
00:38:33,600 --> 00:38:37,040
Speaker 4: say they still have a really good defense, and especially

800
00:38:37,120 --> 00:38:40,600
Speaker 4: in transition. They're ninety seven percentile points for posessional out overall,

801
00:38:40,680 --> 00:38:44,399
Speaker 4: ninety third in transition. That's key against Lamar. Lamar wants

802
00:38:44,400 --> 00:38:46,279
Speaker 4: to run, they want to get out in transition. They're

803
00:38:46,320 --> 00:38:50,080
Speaker 4: good there eighty seven percentile, but they are absolutely hard

804
00:38:50,160 --> 00:38:55,399
Speaker 4: in the half court, just awful ten percentile. They when

805
00:38:55,400 --> 00:38:56,799
Speaker 4: they're in the half court, they try to run through

806
00:38:56,800 --> 00:38:58,600
Speaker 4: the post. You can't do that against Stephen f Austin.

807
00:38:58,880 --> 00:39:04,080
Speaker 4: So defense will play here now they're Lamar's defense has

808
00:39:04,120 --> 00:39:06,040
Speaker 4: been pretty good and they've been a pleasant surprise in

809
00:39:06,080 --> 00:39:08,000
Speaker 4: that conference so far. They're going to press a lot.

810
00:39:08,880 --> 00:39:10,840
Speaker 4: They pressed the fifth most in the country. But Stephen

811
00:39:10,920 --> 00:39:13,000
Speaker 4: f Elson's actually been okay there. It's like the one

812
00:39:13,160 --> 00:39:16,160
Speaker 4: thing that their offense is just like, hey, this has

813
00:39:16,239 --> 00:39:19,560
Speaker 4: been okay. It's not good, but everything else has been

814
00:39:19,680 --> 00:39:25,520
Speaker 4: so bad, and their offense is horrendous, like it's it's

815
00:39:25,640 --> 00:39:30,000
Speaker 4: it's hard to describe, but a shot will eventually go

816
00:39:30,160 --> 00:39:32,799
Speaker 4: in for this team. They are shooting twenty three point

817
00:39:32,880 --> 00:39:35,720
Speaker 4: seven percent from three. That's the worst in the country.

818
00:39:35,840 --> 00:39:40,080
Speaker 4: The next worst. Calbriy says, your Delta Devils the City

819
00:39:40,200 --> 00:39:42,239
Speaker 4: Valley State twenty four point seven.

820
00:39:42,560 --> 00:39:45,200
Speaker 1: And the worst Devil's got their own shout out on

821
00:39:45,280 --> 00:39:47,520
Speaker 1: the athletic just talking about how hard it is to

822
00:39:47,640 --> 00:39:51,360
Speaker 1: win down there. I appreciate a little bit of notoriety

823
00:39:51,440 --> 00:39:53,080
Speaker 1: for him, but I agree. I thought for sure you

824
00:39:53,120 --> 00:39:55,680
Speaker 1: were going to transition to the next worst three point

825
00:39:55,719 --> 00:39:57,759
Speaker 1: shooting team, Texas A and M. But I think they're

826
00:39:57,760 --> 00:40:00,680
Speaker 1: actually one hundred spots better than Steven f.

827
00:40:00,719 --> 00:40:01,719
Speaker 2: Austin from long range.

828
00:40:02,200 --> 00:40:06,480
Speaker 4: Any improvement is is good for Texas A and M.

829
00:40:06,880 --> 00:40:10,120
Speaker 4: On that end, how about yes, as you mentioned your

830
00:40:10,200 --> 00:40:12,399
Speaker 4: Delta Devils, it's hard to win when you shoot twenty

831
00:40:12,440 --> 00:40:14,640
Speaker 4: four point seven percent for three, while twenty three point

832
00:40:14,680 --> 00:40:18,600
Speaker 4: seven makes Stephen harder. How about thirteen percent that's their

833
00:40:18,640 --> 00:40:22,600
Speaker 4: shooting in their four league games from three. Lamar's opponents

834
00:40:22,640 --> 00:40:27,239
Speaker 4: are shooting twenty one percent from three, So there's some

835
00:40:27,360 --> 00:40:30,479
Speaker 4: potential shooting regression here. Even at the free throw line.

836
00:40:31,080 --> 00:40:34,279
Speaker 4: The free throw line, they're fifty eight percent. I think

837
00:40:34,360 --> 00:40:38,520
Speaker 4: that's worse. They're right down there, and we have data

838
00:40:38,920 --> 00:40:42,239
Speaker 4: on we have past data on guys on the roster.

839
00:40:42,680 --> 00:40:47,440
Speaker 4: There's a they're one of their bigs is shooting like

840
00:40:48,040 --> 00:40:51,520
Speaker 4: fifty five percent on pretty high volume. He's a seventy

841
00:40:51,560 --> 00:40:55,080
Speaker 4: five percent career free throw shooter. You can look at

842
00:40:55,120 --> 00:40:57,560
Speaker 4: the you have guys that are thirty two, thirty eight,

843
00:40:57,680 --> 00:41:00,840
Speaker 4: thirty six percent career three point shooters that are shooting

844
00:41:01,400 --> 00:41:06,160
Speaker 4: twenty two to twenty five twenty seven percent. So I

845
00:41:06,239 --> 00:41:10,200
Speaker 4: think this is the very very bottom their defense will

846
00:41:10,239 --> 00:41:13,000
Speaker 4: play here. There'll be a ton of both teams will

847
00:41:13,000 --> 00:41:15,439
Speaker 4: get a ton of offensive rebounds. They just can't turn

848
00:41:15,480 --> 00:41:17,319
Speaker 4: it over a million times is what I worry about.

849
00:41:18,000 --> 00:41:21,080
Speaker 4: But I think this is a good spot to buy

850
00:41:21,120 --> 00:41:25,600
Speaker 4: loo on Steven F. Austin. So that's my trash pick

851
00:41:25,680 --> 00:41:27,560
Speaker 4: of the week. Calbary swhere you aheaded next?

852
00:41:28,040 --> 00:41:30,040
Speaker 1: I mean, look at this, you parachute into the episode.

853
00:41:30,080 --> 00:41:33,160
Speaker 1: We already have synergy because I'm also on a lumberjack team.

854
00:41:33,200 --> 00:41:36,399
Speaker 1: Here give me Northern Arizona catching the points at Montana State.

855
00:41:36,800 --> 00:41:39,040
Speaker 1: Bad luck recently for the Jacks. They blow a nine

856
00:41:39,040 --> 00:41:41,240
Speaker 1: point lead with about five minutes to go against Idaho

857
00:41:41,280 --> 00:41:43,799
Speaker 1: State at home. That was a bad loss. Then they

858
00:41:43,840 --> 00:41:46,040
Speaker 1: get into a fifteen round fight with Weber State because

859
00:41:46,040 --> 00:41:48,320
Speaker 1: they lose their best player in the front court, Carson

860
00:41:48,400 --> 00:41:51,040
Speaker 1: Taut gets ejected just eight minutes into that game. So

861
00:41:51,160 --> 00:41:54,040
Speaker 1: instead of blowing out the Wildcats, it's a three point

862
00:41:54,120 --> 00:41:56,759
Speaker 1: win for them. I think that's suppressing this line. And

863
00:41:56,960 --> 00:41:59,080
Speaker 1: if they just close out the Bengals in Idaho State

864
00:41:59,320 --> 00:42:01,560
Speaker 1: and have Taut play that entire time against Webra, as

865
00:42:01,600 --> 00:42:04,320
Speaker 1: I mentioned, he averages fourteen and eleven per night, I

866
00:42:04,400 --> 00:42:06,359
Speaker 1: think this number is closer to a pick them. Now,

867
00:42:06,400 --> 00:42:08,759
Speaker 1: why is this number going to be North of two

868
00:42:08,760 --> 00:42:10,879
Speaker 1: possessions at all, at least you know the projections from

869
00:42:11,239 --> 00:42:15,080
Speaker 1: Bart Torvik and Evan Miya. Well, Northern Arizona has gone

870
00:42:15,160 --> 00:42:17,200
Speaker 1: nine years without a winning record in the Big Sky.

871
00:42:17,360 --> 00:42:18,759
Speaker 1: I know that they're off to a good start here.

872
00:42:18,800 --> 00:42:22,560
Speaker 1: There's a promising you know stats around them. They certainly

873
00:42:22,600 --> 00:42:25,720
Speaker 1: have an inside outside game with Taut and Trent mcm

874
00:42:26,840 --> 00:42:27,719
Speaker 1: McLaughlin as well.

875
00:42:28,080 --> 00:42:29,160
Speaker 3: But this is a game that I.

876
00:42:29,239 --> 00:42:32,520
Speaker 1: Think is going to be a coming out party for

877
00:42:32,640 --> 00:42:35,080
Speaker 1: Northern Arizona here, and a big part of it is

878
00:42:35,200 --> 00:42:38,600
Speaker 1: they have not beat Montana State in their house since

879
00:42:38,640 --> 00:42:40,800
Speaker 1: Obama was in the Oval office. I think this is

880
00:42:40,840 --> 00:42:43,440
Speaker 1: an opportunity for them to finally stake their claim that

881
00:42:43,520 --> 00:42:46,400
Speaker 1: they're going to be in this regular season race for

882
00:42:46,480 --> 00:42:49,640
Speaker 1: the Big Sky crown all the way through late February

883
00:42:49,760 --> 00:42:52,000
Speaker 1: early March. I think they're going to get it done.

884
00:42:52,080 --> 00:42:55,280
Speaker 1: And I love that we're already back on schedule here stuck.

885
00:42:55,320 --> 00:42:58,360
Speaker 1: We're talking about three point regression despite a five and

886
00:42:58,480 --> 00:43:01,000
Speaker 1: ten start to the season for on Tanna State. The

887
00:43:01,080 --> 00:43:04,240
Speaker 1: Bob's opponents are shooting twenty seven percent from long range.

888
00:43:04,640 --> 00:43:07,160
Speaker 1: Northern Arizona is a better shooting team than that. I

889
00:43:07,239 --> 00:43:08,719
Speaker 1: think They're going to get it done with their best

890
00:43:08,880 --> 00:43:11,440
Speaker 1: players on the floor. The best two players on the

891
00:43:11,520 --> 00:43:13,960
Speaker 1: floor are playing for Northern Arizona in this one. So

892
00:43:14,560 --> 00:43:17,920
Speaker 1: any number above four, I'm taking it. I'm seeing projections

893
00:43:17,960 --> 00:43:20,000
Speaker 1: between seven and eight points. I think that's just a

894
00:43:20,160 --> 00:43:23,239
Speaker 1: historical overreaction to what they've been able to do on

895
00:43:23,320 --> 00:43:25,000
Speaker 1: this long road trip. This is one of the longest

896
00:43:25,280 --> 00:43:28,200
Speaker 1: in all mid major basketball. This is just one of

897
00:43:28,280 --> 00:43:32,000
Speaker 1: those spots where I think the historical data is leading

898
00:43:32,040 --> 00:43:33,920
Speaker 1: the public in the wrong direction. So I'm gonna go

899
00:43:33,920 --> 00:43:36,400
Speaker 1: with my man, Carson Taut to get off the pine

900
00:43:36,520 --> 00:43:39,400
Speaker 1: after that eight minutes. He's gonna have fresh legs in

901
00:43:39,480 --> 00:43:41,399
Speaker 1: this one. I'm gonna see a double double for him.

902
00:43:41,600 --> 00:43:43,800
Speaker 1: Let's call it sixteen and twelve, and they get it

903
00:43:43,840 --> 00:43:44,440
Speaker 1: done on the road.

904
00:43:45,680 --> 00:43:51,239
Speaker 4: Max sagbunk Polo for Montana State. Who Yeah, they they've

905
00:43:51,560 --> 00:43:53,239
Speaker 4: taken a nose out of the past couple of years.

906
00:43:53,680 --> 00:43:59,000
Speaker 4: He's still around. He was at USC like six years ago. Greg,

907
00:43:59,160 --> 00:44:01,800
Speaker 4: we had an assume you go on to Saturday.

908
00:44:02,239 --> 00:44:04,239
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll go to Saturday. So the theme of my

909
00:44:04,680 --> 00:44:09,040
Speaker 3: picks for this weekend is tearing down big brand teams

910
00:44:09,120 --> 00:44:12,080
Speaker 3: that I think are tad fraudulent that the market hasn't

911
00:44:12,080 --> 00:44:14,560
Speaker 3: caught up to yet, and I'm coming after the two

912
00:44:14,640 --> 00:44:18,160
Speaker 3: time defending national champs next. I don't like this Yukon

913
00:44:18,280 --> 00:44:21,479
Speaker 3: team when fully healthy. I certainly don't like them without

914
00:44:21,560 --> 00:44:24,840
Speaker 3: Liam McNeely. He is so important to everything that they do,

915
00:44:25,440 --> 00:44:28,600
Speaker 3: just point blank. They don't have a bucket getter without it.

916
00:44:28,840 --> 00:44:33,440
Speaker 3: They have to run special set based offensive stuff, which yes,

917
00:44:33,600 --> 00:44:37,200
Speaker 3: Dan Hurley and staff are phenomenal at, but it is

918
00:44:37,400 --> 00:44:40,640
Speaker 3: not nearly as dangerous or as potent when you don't

919
00:44:40,760 --> 00:44:43,320
Speaker 3: have players that can just read and react put the

920
00:44:43,360 --> 00:44:46,040
Speaker 3: ball on the floor and take those advantages that Hurley

921
00:44:46,080 --> 00:44:49,160
Speaker 3: and staff create for them and capitalize on them, which

922
00:44:50,080 --> 00:44:53,800
Speaker 3: saw that in the Gonzaga game, right Yeah, And McNeely

923
00:44:53,880 --> 00:44:55,920
Speaker 3: has shpited to him. It will work long term when

924
00:44:55,960 --> 00:44:58,719
Speaker 3: he's back. You can buy hopefully a dip from them,

925
00:44:58,760 --> 00:45:01,440
Speaker 3: honestly if you're looking for value. But for now, I

926
00:45:01,520 --> 00:45:03,879
Speaker 3: mean you saw it at the end of their lost

927
00:45:04,040 --> 00:45:07,040
Speaker 3: Kyle Neptune and Villanova a couple days ago. They had

928
00:45:07,120 --> 00:45:09,200
Speaker 3: no idea where to turn with a minute left. They

929
00:45:09,239 --> 00:45:11,640
Speaker 3: had about five possessions to try and win this game,

930
00:45:12,000 --> 00:45:15,560
Speaker 3: and it was a lot of just killing clock, dribbling nowhere,

931
00:45:15,719 --> 00:45:18,359
Speaker 3: Caravan needing to save the day, and that's not his game.

932
00:45:18,560 --> 00:45:21,200
Speaker 3: So I look at this Georgetown team. It's a good

933
00:45:21,280 --> 00:45:24,680
Speaker 3: spot for Georgetown in my opinion, Georgetown at home here

934
00:45:24,960 --> 00:45:27,920
Speaker 3: off of the Marquette loss, where you could argue they

935
00:45:27,960 --> 00:45:31,160
Speaker 3: outplayed Marquette for big stretches of that game. Marquette, to me,

936
00:45:31,640 --> 00:45:34,279
Speaker 3: head and shoulders above every other team in this Big

937
00:45:34,320 --> 00:45:36,520
Speaker 3: East Conference. If you can go on the road and

938
00:45:36,680 --> 00:45:39,239
Speaker 3: hold up against that pressure of defense, I think you

939
00:45:39,320 --> 00:45:41,840
Speaker 3: can hold up anywhere here. And my big concern with

940
00:45:41,880 --> 00:45:46,839
Speaker 3: Georgetown is turning it over. That's not a concern against Yukon. Really.

941
00:45:46,920 --> 00:45:51,279
Speaker 3: Yukon's offense right now relies so heavily on shooting well

942
00:45:51,320 --> 00:45:53,440
Speaker 3: at the rim, and even in that Villanova game they

943
00:45:53,440 --> 00:45:57,000
Speaker 3: were seventy percent from two point range, it still wasn't

944
00:45:57,120 --> 00:45:59,359
Speaker 3: enough to win that game. They're not going to get

945
00:45:59,400 --> 00:46:03,040
Speaker 3: that on the to Georgetown, Thomas Sorber has been quietly

946
00:46:03,160 --> 00:46:05,960
Speaker 3: one of the most spectacular bigs in the country. They

947
00:46:06,000 --> 00:46:08,880
Speaker 3: have a top five two point percentage defense. I think

948
00:46:08,920 --> 00:46:10,799
Speaker 3: they have the advantage in the front court. I also

949
00:46:10,880 --> 00:46:12,759
Speaker 3: think they have the best guard in this game, and

950
00:46:12,840 --> 00:46:15,720
Speaker 3: Eliite Mac. I like Georgetown to win this game outright,

951
00:46:15,840 --> 00:46:17,879
Speaker 3: and my guess would be you get plus money at home.

952
00:46:19,040 --> 00:46:21,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, I agree, I have this circle too. Sorber has

953
00:46:21,400 --> 00:46:26,440
Speaker 4: been great in running that at Cooley offense, and Cooley

954
00:46:26,680 --> 00:46:32,800
Speaker 4: seems to be turning that program around. I will Apps

955
00:46:32,880 --> 00:46:37,040
Speaker 4: play and how important is he that he does for you?

956
00:46:37,880 --> 00:46:40,000
Speaker 4: It would have been a no touch for me before

957
00:46:40,080 --> 00:46:44,440
Speaker 4: seeing the Marquette game. I am hearing just pure questionable

958
00:46:44,520 --> 00:46:48,080
Speaker 4: right now. But to me, they looked good.

959
00:46:48,000 --> 00:46:51,680
Speaker 3: Enough without Epps against Marquette that I don't think I

960
00:46:51,840 --> 00:46:53,840
Speaker 3: need him in lineup. It would just be a bonus.

961
00:46:54,520 --> 00:46:58,200
Speaker 4: Yeah. I've been really, really, really impressed with Georgetown. I mean,

962
00:46:59,000 --> 00:47:04,800
Speaker 4: Sorber is exceeded all expectations as a freshman. The pieces

963
00:47:04,920 --> 00:47:08,880
Speaker 4: just seemed to fit together this year. And you're right

964
00:47:08,920 --> 00:47:11,040
Speaker 4: the turnovers are an issue, but that's not an issue

965
00:47:11,080 --> 00:47:14,200
Speaker 4: against Yukon. They don't really get to the line, but

966
00:47:14,239 --> 00:47:17,480
Speaker 4: they might be able to against Yukon Yukon. You mentioned

967
00:47:17,520 --> 00:47:20,359
Speaker 4: like their offense. Their offense is still really good, although

968
00:47:20,360 --> 00:47:22,319
Speaker 4: they do miss mcnelia. I really don't like this team

969
00:47:22,320 --> 00:47:25,879
Speaker 4: without mcmuli, but a team that lost, they missed Cam

970
00:47:25,920 --> 00:47:28,600
Speaker 4: Spencer in so many different ways. Right, The big names

971
00:47:28,600 --> 00:47:31,200
Speaker 4: that they lost are clinging. You can see the loss

972
00:47:31,239 --> 00:47:35,720
Speaker 4: of him and his impact and their two point defense,

973
00:47:36,160 --> 00:47:39,680
Speaker 4: but they also lost obviously Newton and Castle. Their defense,

974
00:47:40,000 --> 00:47:42,920
Speaker 4: and you talk about their offense, their defense, especially in

975
00:47:43,000 --> 00:47:47,560
Speaker 4: the post, has taken a nose dive. They have problems

976
00:47:47,760 --> 00:47:51,560
Speaker 4: all over on defense outside of their transition d which

977
00:47:51,600 --> 00:47:55,640
Speaker 4: is still solid. But again that's not really an issue

978
00:47:55,760 --> 00:47:59,839
Speaker 4: against Georgetown, Like Georgetown doesn't need to get up and run.

979
00:48:00,800 --> 00:48:05,399
Speaker 4: So yeah, I think the market still hasn't fully caught

980
00:48:05,480 --> 00:48:09,319
Speaker 4: up to this Ukon team, especially without McNeely. I'm sure

981
00:48:09,360 --> 00:48:13,120
Speaker 4: this staff will figure it out, but I also don't think,

982
00:48:13,600 --> 00:48:16,239
Speaker 4: like I don't really like to say this out loud

983
00:48:16,280 --> 00:48:19,840
Speaker 4: and to doubt Hurly, I'll go around the horn. This

984
00:48:20,040 --> 00:48:24,160
Speaker 4: is a team that's to me, I'm gonna say, first

985
00:48:24,360 --> 00:48:26,319
Speaker 4: weekend exit you Gray.

986
00:48:26,880 --> 00:48:29,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, Cam Sponsor's not walking through that door like he

987
00:48:29,600 --> 00:48:32,240
Speaker 1: just he was able to translate the fire from Hurley

988
00:48:32,760 --> 00:48:35,640
Speaker 1: into the kind of aggression and toughness on the floor

989
00:48:35,719 --> 00:48:38,040
Speaker 1: that they need. Now it's just hurtly like waving his

990
00:48:38,200 --> 00:48:41,000
Speaker 1: arms like he's one of those crazy inflatable two men

991
00:48:41,120 --> 00:48:44,319
Speaker 1: trying to get people to the used car salesman like office.

992
00:48:44,080 --> 00:48:45,680
Speaker 3: Like this team does not.

993
00:48:46,120 --> 00:48:47,640
Speaker 1: I don't think it does not have the kind of

994
00:48:47,719 --> 00:48:50,880
Speaker 1: leadership on the floor and in the locker room to

995
00:48:51,000 --> 00:48:53,960
Speaker 1: be able to navigate which I think there's some tricky

996
00:48:54,320 --> 00:48:57,839
Speaker 1: matchups within Biggie's play. There's some clear situations where there's

997
00:48:57,880 --> 00:49:01,200
Speaker 1: going to be some dogs who finally have an opportunity

998
00:49:01,440 --> 00:49:03,319
Speaker 1: to take a shot at Yukon that they've just been

999
00:49:03,680 --> 00:49:06,000
Speaker 1: absolutely blown off the floor in the last couple of years.

1000
00:49:06,080 --> 00:49:07,880
Speaker 1: So I think they're going to take some losses and

1001
00:49:07,960 --> 00:49:10,359
Speaker 1: not in the same way in the past two years

1002
00:49:10,480 --> 00:49:12,680
Speaker 1: or January, they just lost focus a little bit and

1003
00:49:12,719 --> 00:49:15,080
Speaker 1: then repped up the engine and you know, one fifteen

1004
00:49:15,120 --> 00:49:17,600
Speaker 1: of sixteen to close the season. I think I agree

1005
00:49:17,600 --> 00:49:19,759
Speaker 1: with you, Stuck. I think Yukon is a team that

1006
00:49:19,880 --> 00:49:22,279
Speaker 1: has a lot of issues that I don't think it's

1007
00:49:22,320 --> 00:49:24,439
Speaker 1: going to get fixed this year. This is an off

1008
00:49:24,520 --> 00:49:27,400
Speaker 1: season portal. Look in the mirror. You didn't bring in

1009
00:49:27,440 --> 00:49:29,279
Speaker 1: the right pieces this year. What did you learn from

1010
00:49:29,320 --> 00:49:30,960
Speaker 1: that early? How do you move on next year?

1011
00:49:31,560 --> 00:49:33,719
Speaker 4: Yeah, and there's no clinging. I mean the loss of

1012
00:49:33,800 --> 00:49:38,400
Speaker 4: clinging on the defensive ends can't be understated, can't be overstated.

1013
00:49:38,440 --> 00:49:42,400
Speaker 4: Excuse me, I'm going to go. Let me get a

1014
00:49:42,800 --> 00:49:44,880
Speaker 4: big twelve play. I'm going to this a spot I

1015
00:49:44,960 --> 00:49:48,560
Speaker 4: have circled Texas Tech at home against Iowa State. I

1016
00:49:48,719 --> 00:49:52,359
Speaker 4: love this Iowa State team that like the final four

1017
00:49:52,440 --> 00:49:55,959
Speaker 4: good I think everyone would agree there. They added post

1018
00:49:56,000 --> 00:49:58,000
Speaker 4: scoring in the portal, which was kind of a weakness

1019
00:49:58,520 --> 00:50:01,440
Speaker 4: last year, and you're bringing guys like Jefferson and Jackson.

1020
00:50:01,960 --> 00:50:04,560
Speaker 4: They've gone from the thirty fourth percentile in post scoring

1021
00:50:05,080 --> 00:50:08,600
Speaker 4: two points per possession to the ninety ninth. I love

1022
00:50:09,040 --> 00:50:11,359
Speaker 4: Curtis Jones, one of the best spark plugs off the bench.

1023
00:50:11,360 --> 00:50:13,720
Speaker 4: You can get red hot from three. The offensive spidery

1024
00:50:13,719 --> 00:50:18,120
Speaker 4: me comes in love this team. But it's a good

1025
00:50:18,160 --> 00:50:19,920
Speaker 4: matchup and a good spot for a Red Raider team

1026
00:50:19,960 --> 00:50:22,160
Speaker 4: that I think finally finding his stride now that you

1027
00:50:22,400 --> 00:50:26,120
Speaker 4: topping is back and fully assimilated into the lineup. What

1028
00:50:26,239 --> 00:50:27,879
Speaker 4: does Texas Tech do well. They do a good job

1029
00:50:27,960 --> 00:50:30,319
Speaker 4: denying at the rim. They deny and transition. Those are

1030
00:50:30,360 --> 00:50:34,359
Speaker 4: important things against Iowa State. I do worry a bit

1031
00:50:34,840 --> 00:50:38,279
Speaker 4: about offensive rebounding for Iowa State, but Texas Tech has

1032
00:50:38,360 --> 00:50:43,680
Speaker 4: the shooters to beat Iowa States no middle and that's

1033
00:50:43,800 --> 00:50:46,160
Speaker 4: key here. They also don't turn it over. They can

1034
00:50:46,200 --> 00:50:50,239
Speaker 4: get after the offensive offensive glass that's important against the Cyclones.

1035
00:50:50,640 --> 00:50:55,080
Speaker 4: They're amazing and cutting action ninety eighth percentile. That's one

1036
00:50:55,120 --> 00:50:59,600
Speaker 4: of Iowa State's biggest weaknesses. They're third percentile defending cutting

1037
00:50:59,640 --> 00:51:03,720
Speaker 4: action and Texas Tech is not reliant on transition offense,

1038
00:51:03,840 --> 00:51:07,040
Speaker 4: which you're not going to get against Iowa State. I

1039
00:51:07,120 --> 00:51:10,040
Speaker 4: think this is an undervalued home court in big games.

1040
00:51:10,560 --> 00:51:13,480
Speaker 4: So I love this Iowa State team. I think this

1041
00:51:13,600 --> 00:51:17,359
Speaker 4: is a good spot and a good matchup for Texas Tech.

1042
00:51:18,640 --> 00:51:22,200
Speaker 4: Guns up, Greg, youive any thoughts there?

1043
00:51:23,080 --> 00:51:23,120
Speaker 1: No.

1044
00:51:23,600 --> 00:51:26,480
Speaker 3: I like the Texas Tech backcourt too. Like Elijah Hawkins

1045
00:51:26,520 --> 00:51:28,880
Speaker 3: has been a really underrated ad and I think in

1046
00:51:29,080 --> 00:51:33,919
Speaker 3: order to really feel good about fading Iowa State, you've

1047
00:51:34,040 --> 00:51:36,840
Speaker 3: got to believe in whatever the guard play is of

1048
00:51:36,960 --> 00:51:39,560
Speaker 3: design you're taking against him. So I agree with you.

1049
00:51:39,640 --> 00:51:42,640
Speaker 3: The spot is great for Texas Tech, and I think

1050
00:51:42,640 --> 00:51:43,480
Speaker 3: they can hold up well.

1051
00:51:44,680 --> 00:51:46,120
Speaker 4: Cabrey's what do you what else you got?

1052
00:51:47,360 --> 00:51:48,080
Speaker 3: On Sunday?

1053
00:51:48,239 --> 00:51:51,960
Speaker 1: I really like UAB. They're playing on the road at FAU.

1054
00:51:52,239 --> 00:51:53,840
Speaker 1: If they're catching any points, I like it. This is

1055
00:51:53,880 --> 00:51:55,719
Speaker 1: going to be a moneyline play one way or the other.

1056
00:51:55,880 --> 00:51:58,480
Speaker 1: For me, this is kind of a conversation of is

1057
00:51:58,560 --> 00:52:00,600
Speaker 1: there a team that's going to emerge that's going to

1058
00:52:00,719 --> 00:52:03,160
Speaker 1: challenge Memphis or at least slides that two slot in

1059
00:52:03,239 --> 00:52:06,160
Speaker 1: the American And I think UAB finally pulling out of

1060
00:52:06,239 --> 00:52:08,600
Speaker 1: that early season those tip they're four and one straight

1061
00:52:08,680 --> 00:52:10,440
Speaker 1: up in the last five. They're only lost their a

1062
00:52:10,440 --> 00:52:13,160
Speaker 1: buzzer beater indentse into North Texas. You know, the me

1063
00:52:13,200 --> 00:52:14,839
Speaker 1: and Green are pretty tough on their home floor. IM

1064
00:52:14,840 --> 00:52:17,120
Speaker 1: not going to hold that against him. Lendenborg is playing

1065
00:52:17,200 --> 00:52:18,920
Speaker 1: like the AAC player of the year we thought he

1066
00:52:19,000 --> 00:52:21,200
Speaker 1: might be in the preseason. He just gave TWU lane

1067
00:52:21,280 --> 00:52:24,560
Speaker 1: twenty five thirteen and eight with four stocks, so he's

1068
00:52:24,640 --> 00:52:27,080
Speaker 1: doing absolutely everything when he stays out of foul trouble.

1069
00:52:27,320 --> 00:52:29,239
Speaker 1: This is a kind of player who can elevate in

1070
00:52:29,239 --> 00:52:32,399
Speaker 1: an entire team. And the drop off from Dusty may

1071
00:52:32,600 --> 00:52:35,520
Speaker 1: leaving to John Jackis who the only time he's been

1072
00:52:35,560 --> 00:52:38,279
Speaker 1: a head coach was in Macedonia. I think this is

1073
00:52:38,360 --> 00:52:40,520
Speaker 1: the time when you look at a team that's floundering

1074
00:52:40,560 --> 00:52:43,040
Speaker 1: a little bit in FAU, do they have a coach

1075
00:52:43,040 --> 00:52:45,879
Speaker 1: who's able to pull some different strings to make it happen.

1076
00:52:46,360 --> 00:52:48,359
Speaker 1: I don't necessarily want to put any stock in him

1077
00:52:48,440 --> 00:52:50,640
Speaker 1: this early in his career, his first head coaching job

1078
00:52:51,000 --> 00:52:52,200
Speaker 1: at the Division one level.

1079
00:52:52,600 --> 00:52:54,920
Speaker 3: And the thing is, like FAU is who they are.

1080
00:52:55,040 --> 00:52:56,719
Speaker 1: They want to speed you up, and in a lot

1081
00:52:56,760 --> 00:52:59,120
Speaker 1: of cases, playing in up tempo brand of basketball is

1082
00:52:59,160 --> 00:53:02,000
Speaker 1: going to help them in the American but UAB isn't

1083
00:53:02,000 --> 00:53:04,440
Speaker 1: one of those teams. They're comfortable running and gunning. I

1084
00:53:04,520 --> 00:53:06,040
Speaker 1: think this is going to be an issue for FAU.

1085
00:53:06,080 --> 00:53:08,600
Speaker 1: They're just awful on the glass and I think they

1086
00:53:08,680 --> 00:53:11,080
Speaker 1: lose shooters far too often. If you watch the Alves

1087
00:53:11,120 --> 00:53:13,640
Speaker 1: play this year, there's a reason why opponents are shooting

1088
00:53:13,680 --> 00:53:16,720
Speaker 1: forty percent from three point range. It's not just random

1089
00:53:16,920 --> 00:53:19,800
Speaker 1: three point variants. People are wide open on the perimeter.

1090
00:53:20,040 --> 00:53:21,560
Speaker 1: So when you add that to what they have on

1091
00:53:21,640 --> 00:53:24,319
Speaker 1: the low block with Lendenborg, I think UAB is going

1092
00:53:24,360 --> 00:53:26,560
Speaker 1: to be able to win this game and really create

1093
00:53:26,600 --> 00:53:28,480
Speaker 1: a lot of turnovers and do a lot of work

1094
00:53:28,520 --> 00:53:31,480
Speaker 1: on the glass. Even if they don't necessarily shoot all

1095
00:53:31,560 --> 00:53:33,879
Speaker 1: that well, you know, close to fifty percent from the floor,

1096
00:53:34,080 --> 00:53:36,839
Speaker 1: they have different paths to victory in a critical road

1097
00:53:37,000 --> 00:53:38,000
Speaker 1: AAC game.

1098
00:53:38,280 --> 00:53:39,160
Speaker 3: So I like the Blazers.

1099
00:53:40,840 --> 00:53:43,320
Speaker 4: All right, I'm going to go. Let's go out West.

1100
00:53:43,400 --> 00:53:43,800
Speaker 3: I'm going to go.

1101
00:53:43,920 --> 00:53:48,000
Speaker 4: Boise State projected some of the analytics like six to

1102
00:53:48,080 --> 00:53:55,040
Speaker 4: seven point underdog at Utah State. I'm struggling with how

1103
00:53:55,080 --> 00:53:59,040
Speaker 4: Boise State will fare against Utah State's zone heavy zone

1104
00:53:59,120 --> 00:54:03,719
Speaker 4: defense because Boisees really can't shoot the ball, and their

1105
00:54:03,800 --> 00:54:05,759
Speaker 4: numbers are decent against zone this year, but they saw

1106
00:54:05,800 --> 00:54:10,640
Speaker 4: it against Oakland and I think Utah Tech that's about it.

1107
00:54:10,800 --> 00:54:15,320
Speaker 4: So this is obviously a different caliber of zone. But

1108
00:54:15,360 --> 00:54:19,000
Speaker 4: I think it could be a big game for Deaganheart

1109
00:54:19,360 --> 00:54:23,640
Speaker 4: and keep an eye It's hard to project, but keep

1110
00:54:23,680 --> 00:54:27,840
Speaker 4: an eye on panut Well. His name is Piercing Carmichael.

1111
00:54:27,840 --> 00:54:30,600
Speaker 4: They call him Peanut Carmichael. He's two time Oregon State

1112
00:54:30,640 --> 00:54:33,839
Speaker 4: Player of the Year freshman. They burned his red shirt

1113
00:54:34,000 --> 00:54:37,760
Speaker 4: last game and he played. He had played eighteen minutes

1114
00:54:37,800 --> 00:54:43,160
Speaker 4: against UNLV scored eight eight points. Sharp shooting from Oregon

1115
00:54:43,239 --> 00:54:45,759
Speaker 4: two time high school State player of the Year. I

1116
00:54:46,320 --> 00:54:49,879
Speaker 4: think he can add, especially against his zone, some much

1117
00:54:50,080 --> 00:54:56,120
Speaker 4: needed firepower from the outside. And when you look at

1118
00:54:56,160 --> 00:54:59,400
Speaker 4: this Utah State team, in order to stop them, you

1119
00:54:59,800 --> 00:55:04,920
Speaker 4: have to stop them in transition and you have to

1120
00:55:05,040 --> 00:55:08,839
Speaker 4: limit their chances at the RIM and Boise State can

1121
00:55:08,960 --> 00:55:13,000
Speaker 4: do both. I think They're in this game throughout, so

1122
00:55:13,160 --> 00:55:16,759
Speaker 4: I'll be looking to back the Broncos on the road

1123
00:55:17,520 --> 00:55:21,319
Speaker 4: in a hostile environment and also throughout. Greg And I'm

1124
00:55:21,360 --> 00:55:23,120
Speaker 4: krisky your thought's going to get a RAN against Cal.

1125
00:55:24,560 --> 00:55:27,600
Speaker 4: Arkansas is in a great spot. You know you have

1126
00:55:27,680 --> 00:55:31,360
Speaker 4: Florida coming off that game against Tennessee. Or Tennessee I

1127
00:55:31,400 --> 00:55:34,480
Speaker 4: think started one of twenty four from three. Arkansas has

1128
00:55:34,520 --> 00:55:37,400
Speaker 4: been horrendous from three of the past two games. Again,

1129
00:55:37,520 --> 00:55:42,799
Speaker 4: I think they're poorly coached, but in a way can

1130
00:55:42,880 --> 00:55:45,279
Speaker 4: they play? Can Arkansas play the game that they need

1131
00:55:45,400 --> 00:55:49,040
Speaker 4: to in this to pick up a big win in

1132
00:55:49,120 --> 00:55:51,799
Speaker 4: that it'll be fast paced up and down. They're great

1133
00:55:51,880 --> 00:55:59,520
Speaker 4: in transition because ole mess really limits transition opportunities. Not

1134
00:55:59,719 --> 00:56:03,680
Speaker 4: the best matchup for Arkansas should get a desperation effort here.

1135
00:56:04,280 --> 00:56:10,160
Speaker 4: I love this Florida team a final flour upside. Probably

1136
00:56:10,160 --> 00:56:12,400
Speaker 4: a big coaching this match, which weighs me here. But

1137
00:56:12,560 --> 00:56:14,960
Speaker 4: is this a game where you could trust Cal? Or

1138
00:56:15,080 --> 00:56:16,600
Speaker 4: Are you all the way out on Arkansas?

1139
00:56:17,280 --> 00:56:20,360
Speaker 3: You know I can buy because of spot. It's the

1140
00:56:20,480 --> 00:56:23,759
Speaker 3: spot of the week at least right like when you

1141
00:56:23,880 --> 00:56:26,000
Speaker 3: look at where both these two teams are coming off

1142
00:56:26,080 --> 00:56:28,640
Speaker 3: of like, it makes a lot of sense if you

1143
00:56:28,800 --> 00:56:31,920
Speaker 3: have any shred of belief in cal and what he's

1144
00:56:31,960 --> 00:56:33,800
Speaker 3: going to do this season. I just don't. I'm so

1145
00:56:34,000 --> 00:56:36,840
Speaker 3: out on it, especially after hearing his comments to me

1146
00:56:37,000 --> 00:56:41,720
Speaker 3: the path to an Arkansas marquee victory really against anybody.

1147
00:56:41,800 --> 00:56:45,040
Speaker 3: But the only win of substance at all that they

1148
00:56:45,080 --> 00:56:47,480
Speaker 3: have this season is a win that will hold up

1149
00:56:47,520 --> 00:56:50,200
Speaker 3: really well over Michigan. And it was a boogiey Flan

1150
00:56:50,400 --> 00:56:52,640
Speaker 3: game where he really got going in the second half.

1151
00:56:52,760 --> 00:56:58,000
Speaker 3: DJ Wagner was cooking as well. I can't really see

1152
00:56:58,280 --> 00:57:02,160
Speaker 3: the Arkansas guards getting loose against the Florida Guards, though,

1153
00:57:02,239 --> 00:57:05,520
Speaker 3: with how physical they were against Tennessee's. I mean, respectfully,

1154
00:57:05,640 --> 00:57:07,919
Speaker 3: if Lanier couldn't, I understand it was on the road,

1155
00:57:08,080 --> 00:57:11,719
Speaker 3: but I don't know that I trust the inexperience of

1156
00:57:11,760 --> 00:57:13,840
Speaker 3: the Arkansas guards to do it. It's also one of

1157
00:57:13,880 --> 00:57:18,520
Speaker 3: those things where I think a home court can sometimes

1158
00:57:18,720 --> 00:57:22,680
Speaker 3: hurt you when we might be at that strung already

1159
00:57:22,720 --> 00:57:25,960
Speaker 3: with Arkansas fans starting to sour on this with where

1160
00:57:26,040 --> 00:57:29,440
Speaker 3: Cal is so, I wouldn't touch it personally. I understand

1161
00:57:29,520 --> 00:57:31,920
Speaker 3: why you would, but I'm out on the experiment.

1162
00:57:32,640 --> 00:57:35,960
Speaker 4: Yeah might. My counter would just be like that to

1163
00:57:36,040 --> 00:57:38,080
Speaker 4: that mission game, that one big win that they had,

1164
00:57:38,600 --> 00:57:40,320
Speaker 4: Like that's the type of game they need to win,

1165
00:57:40,480 --> 00:57:44,560
Speaker 4: just like high scoring, up and down and that's what

1166
00:57:44,720 --> 00:57:50,400
Speaker 4: we could get with Florida here, and that's like they need.

1167
00:57:51,040 --> 00:57:53,520
Speaker 4: They just it's like, you're not going to get execution.

1168
00:57:54,160 --> 00:57:56,040
Speaker 4: You're not going to out execute anyone in the half court.

1169
00:57:56,120 --> 00:57:58,680
Speaker 4: You're not going to win a game in the seventies

1170
00:57:58,720 --> 00:58:01,280
Speaker 4: against the league teams. They need to just Hey, we

1171
00:58:01,360 --> 00:58:03,240
Speaker 4: have a ton of talent, get the offense going, and

1172
00:58:03,400 --> 00:58:07,240
Speaker 4: just up and down as a dog. Little intriguing to me.

1173
00:58:07,280 --> 00:58:09,440
Speaker 4: So I'll see where the line opens up. These spot

1174
00:58:09,560 --> 00:58:11,880
Speaker 4: taxes are getting crazy in college basketball, and then they

1175
00:58:11,920 --> 00:58:15,240
Speaker 4: get a tax even more as the night and morning

1176
00:58:15,320 --> 00:58:16,680
Speaker 4: go on. So we'll see where it ends up. Great,

1177
00:58:16,680 --> 00:58:17,920
Speaker 4: did you have anything else you wanted to close out

1178
00:58:17,960 --> 00:58:18,520
Speaker 4: with her? Are you good?

1179
00:58:19,040 --> 00:58:21,480
Speaker 3: I've got one more for you, guys, And it's a

1180
00:58:21,560 --> 00:58:24,919
Speaker 3: Sunday game and it closes the loop on my fade.

1181
00:58:25,000 --> 00:58:27,400
Speaker 3: The big brands that I think are a tad fraudulent.

1182
00:58:27,720 --> 00:58:31,360
Speaker 3: This time I'm targeting the Michigan State Spartan. So this

1183
00:58:31,600 --> 00:58:34,840
Speaker 3: team is twelve and two, up to seventeen on Ken Palm.

1184
00:58:34,920 --> 00:58:38,200
Speaker 3: Everybody has sort of just, I guess, agreed to the

1185
00:58:38,360 --> 00:58:41,000
Speaker 3: terms that this is a Big Ten contender because they're

1186
00:58:41,080 --> 00:58:43,960
Speaker 3: undefeated in the conference right now. They haven't beaten a

1187
00:58:44,040 --> 00:58:47,600
Speaker 3: top thirty opponent this year. They had one of the

1188
00:58:47,680 --> 00:58:50,440
Speaker 3: ugliest games of this season against Kansas. They kept it close,

1189
00:58:50,520 --> 00:58:53,840
Speaker 3: which they will because this team's very good defensively, and

1190
00:58:54,280 --> 00:58:57,400
Speaker 3: Memphis really never felt like Michigan State had a grasp

1191
00:58:57,480 --> 00:59:00,400
Speaker 3: on that game in Maui. Their wins are not holding

1192
00:59:00,480 --> 00:59:03,520
Speaker 3: up well whatsoever. I mean, overtime win over North Carolina

1193
00:59:03,520 --> 00:59:06,640
Speaker 3: and Maui, I don't think is even something you necessarily

1194
00:59:06,760 --> 00:59:10,640
Speaker 3: want on the resume. Long term home win over Nebraska

1195
00:59:10,880 --> 00:59:14,440
Speaker 3: is probably that in at Ohio State is the only

1196
00:59:14,480 --> 00:59:16,360
Speaker 3: other thing to look at. I just don't think they've

1197
00:59:16,400 --> 00:59:19,880
Speaker 3: beaten anybody with a pulse. You could argue Northwestern doesn't

1198
00:59:19,920 --> 00:59:22,640
Speaker 3: have a pulse, but I'm kind of hoping again back

1199
00:59:22,680 --> 00:59:27,080
Speaker 3: to the spot moment here, Northwestern returning home after a

1200
00:59:27,120 --> 00:59:30,000
Speaker 3: trip to Macki Arena where they really got humbled and

1201
00:59:31,160 --> 00:59:33,520
Speaker 3: really back to back row games they lost to Penn State.

1202
00:59:34,040 --> 00:59:36,200
Speaker 3: This is sort of a season on the line performance.

1203
00:59:36,200 --> 00:59:38,600
Speaker 3: If Northwestern wants to be an NCAA tournament team, they

1204
00:59:38,640 --> 00:59:40,800
Speaker 3: need to get some big wins at home. They've been

1205
00:59:40,880 --> 00:59:44,120
Speaker 3: sneaky spectacular at home going over the last two seasons.

1206
00:59:44,200 --> 00:59:47,840
Speaker 3: Northwestern is twenty three and two outright seven to zero

1207
00:59:47,960 --> 00:59:51,560
Speaker 3: versus top fifty opponents at Welsh Ryan. They beat Purdue

1208
00:59:51,640 --> 00:59:54,240
Speaker 3: last season. They've beaten Illinois twice in a row at home,

1209
00:59:54,280 --> 00:59:57,800
Speaker 3: including this year. So I like this spot. Barnheiser and

1210
00:59:57,880 --> 01:00:01,560
Speaker 3: Martinelli two nineteen points a game scorer with size. Michigan

1211
01:00:01,680 --> 01:00:04,040
Speaker 3: State is a great defense. They do not have many

1212
01:00:04,160 --> 01:00:07,400
Speaker 3: wing defenders. They're full of guards, little guards six to

1213
01:00:07,520 --> 01:00:09,920
Speaker 3: four and down. I don't know that it's going to

1214
01:00:10,000 --> 01:00:13,080
Speaker 3: work to put a Jace Richardson or a Jeremy fears On,

1215
01:00:13,200 --> 01:00:16,640
Speaker 3: a Brooks Barnheiser here. And lastly, Michigan State I think

1216
01:00:16,720 --> 01:00:20,560
Speaker 3: thrives on forcing turnovers. Northwestern does not turn it over

1217
01:00:20,720 --> 01:00:23,760
Speaker 3: nineteenth in the country at protecting that they've won three

1218
01:00:23,840 --> 01:00:26,640
Speaker 3: of four Chris Collins has against Tom Izzo in this series.

1219
01:00:26,960 --> 01:00:28,680
Speaker 3: I think it's a back against the wall spot for

1220
01:00:28,760 --> 01:00:31,840
Speaker 3: Northwestern against the Michigan State team prime to lose to

1221
01:00:31,920 --> 01:00:32,760
Speaker 3: somebody with a pulse.

1222
01:00:33,400 --> 01:00:35,760
Speaker 4: Yeah, looking at by the way, looking at the Big Ten.

1223
01:00:36,440 --> 01:00:38,360
Speaker 4: We'll talk way more about this as the season goes on.

1224
01:00:38,880 --> 01:00:41,280
Speaker 4: I think the only Final four threats are the ones

1225
01:00:41,320 --> 01:00:43,600
Speaker 4: we mentioned, Illinois and Michigan. I'm all the way out

1226
01:00:43,600 --> 01:00:46,960
Speaker 4: on Purdue making a run. Creig, I know you always

1227
01:00:47,000 --> 01:00:49,919
Speaker 4: have hot takes on Purdue. Would you agree it's gross?

1228
01:00:50,040 --> 01:00:53,120
Speaker 4: They got three players, Yeah, no depth and if you pressure,

1229
01:00:53,120 --> 01:00:54,920
Speaker 4: if you get up and can pressure pressure them on

1230
01:00:55,000 --> 01:00:58,480
Speaker 4: the ball, they're you know, especially an elite team, they're toast.

1231
01:01:00,000 --> 01:01:01,880
Speaker 4: I don't see anyone else, Kyle Race, you see anybody

1232
01:01:01,880 --> 01:01:03,959
Speaker 4: else in the Big ten that you would could see

1233
01:01:04,640 --> 01:01:05,880
Speaker 4: making a Final four run.

1234
01:01:06,560 --> 01:01:10,880
Speaker 1: I mean, if everything plays out perfectly for Maryland's and

1235
01:01:11,040 --> 01:01:13,600
Speaker 1: maybe if some other teams along the way get banged

1236
01:01:13,680 --> 01:01:16,480
Speaker 1: up and they get an ideal you know, seating and

1237
01:01:16,600 --> 01:01:19,960
Speaker 1: they avoid being in a monster region with Duke or Auburn,

1238
01:01:20,960 --> 01:01:22,920
Speaker 1: perhaps four graspin at straws.

1239
01:01:22,920 --> 01:01:25,520
Speaker 4: Outside of those top teams. By the way, one thing

1240
01:01:25,560 --> 01:01:27,919
Speaker 4: that I would have mentioned that Duke defense. Wow, Cooper

1241
01:01:28,000 --> 01:01:30,440
Speaker 4: fag gets all the credit, but that Duke defense is incredible.

1242
01:01:30,720 --> 01:01:33,680
Speaker 1: I just have one one quick aside. When you brought

1243
01:01:33,760 --> 01:01:36,120
Speaker 1: up Peanut Carmichael, in my mind, I was like, well,

1244
01:01:36,120 --> 01:01:38,000
Speaker 1: I haven't seen this guy play. I'm sure he's a

1245
01:01:38,080 --> 01:01:41,440
Speaker 1: compact guard, maybe like looks like Jamie Nelson. And then

1246
01:01:41,480 --> 01:01:44,439
Speaker 1: I pull it up and Pierson Carmichael is a six

1247
01:01:44,560 --> 01:01:48,200
Speaker 1: foot seven, two hundred and fifteen pounds stretched for Why

1248
01:01:48,280 --> 01:01:51,920
Speaker 1: does the driven snow with rosy cheeks just size him

1249
01:01:51,920 --> 01:01:54,680
Speaker 1: for a Patagonia vest and give him a summer intern

1250
01:01:54,760 --> 01:01:57,480
Speaker 1: badge at JP Morgan Chase. That's exactly what this guy

1251
01:01:57,560 --> 01:01:59,760
Speaker 1: looks like. So thank you for making my night on

1252
01:01:59,840 --> 01:02:00,200
Speaker 1: that one.

1253
01:02:00,280 --> 01:02:00,520
Speaker 4: Stuck.

1254
01:02:00,600 --> 01:02:01,640
Speaker 3: That was a big shocker.

1255
01:02:01,680 --> 01:02:02,840
Speaker 1: When I pulled up at espn BA.

1256
01:02:02,880 --> 01:02:06,400
Speaker 4: I'm here. I'm curious to watch them in a big

1257
01:02:06,480 --> 01:02:08,840
Speaker 4: game in which would be a competitive game. Hopefully it

1258
01:02:08,840 --> 01:02:10,400
Speaker 4: doesn't make me look like a full week can make

1259
01:02:11,520 --> 01:02:14,320
Speaker 4: a couple of threes here, which Bois needs against a

1260
01:02:14,440 --> 01:02:19,840
Speaker 4: Utah State zone. That will do it for us. Thank you,

1261
01:02:19,920 --> 01:02:24,200
Speaker 4: gentlemen calling for carrying me early. Will not be late

1262
01:02:24,960 --> 01:02:26,640
Speaker 4: the rest of the season. How to keep you on

1263
01:02:26,720 --> 01:02:29,240
Speaker 4: your toes On my first episode out of the Future

1264
01:02:29,240 --> 01:02:31,600
Speaker 4: of the portfolio, got some spots circle for the weekend.

1265
01:02:32,520 --> 01:02:34,680
Speaker 4: That'll do it. For us. Thank you to Greg and

1266
01:02:34,760 --> 01:02:37,360
Speaker 4: Mike for joining, or I guess I should say thank

1267
01:02:37,400 --> 01:02:39,400
Speaker 4: you to myself for joining both of them. Thank you

1268
01:02:39,480 --> 01:02:42,480
Speaker 4: to them for carrying me. Thanks to our producer David

1269
01:02:42,520 --> 01:02:44,200
Speaker 4: Pann on the back end. Most motly, thanks to all

1270
01:02:44,200 --> 01:02:48,200
Speaker 4: of you for tuning in. Good luck on your wagers

1271
01:02:48,240 --> 01:02:51,160
Speaker 4: this weekend. Enjoy the playoff football, the college basketball, to

1272
01:02:51,280 --> 01:02:54,840
Speaker 4: supplement at all, it's conference play. Everything is getting good.

1273
01:02:55,920 --> 01:02:57,880
Speaker 4: We'll see you next week. Cheers.

1274
01:03:11,680 --> 01:03:16,200
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1275
01:03:16,240 --> 01:03:19,040
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1276
01:03:19,040 --> 01:03:22,120
Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler