1 00:00:00,880 --> 00:00:04,440 Speaker 1: Welcome to Sharper Square, presented by hard Rod bet We 2 00:00:04,480 --> 00:00:07,080 Speaker 1: are part of the Volume podcast network. This is the 3 00:00:07,080 --> 00:00:09,840 Speaker 1: betting show that makes it square. Sharper makes the wise 4 00:00:09,880 --> 00:00:14,600 Speaker 1: guys pay attention all season and off season long. I 5 00:00:14,680 --> 00:00:18,160 Speaker 1: am Shad moment. I am joined by my co host, 6 00:00:18,480 --> 00:00:26,960 Speaker 1: my bff, my companion, my compadre professional better Simon Hunter. Hello, Simone. 7 00:00:27,120 --> 00:00:29,240 Speaker 2: I felt like we had what two three week loll 8 00:00:29,280 --> 00:00:31,760 Speaker 2: there and now we're right back in the thick of it. 9 00:00:31,800 --> 00:00:32,680 Speaker 2: Feels like with the NFL. 10 00:00:32,760 --> 00:00:36,720 Speaker 1: Brother, dude, there is no rest for the wicked in 11 00:00:36,800 --> 00:00:40,639 Speaker 1: the NFL season. You're you got a nice little new 12 00:00:40,680 --> 00:00:45,160 Speaker 1: spot there, You're loaded with like a whole new situation. 13 00:00:46,840 --> 00:00:49,040 Speaker 2: Yep, I got I got a new studio, and I 14 00:00:49,080 --> 00:00:51,520 Speaker 2: got all my collectors behind me on my one piece 15 00:00:51,680 --> 00:00:56,000 Speaker 2: my Pokemon and uh yeah, finally set up and hopefully 16 00:00:56,080 --> 00:00:58,440 Speaker 2: I'll have this spot until the season, so we'll see. 17 00:00:58,480 --> 00:01:01,200 Speaker 2: But definitely definitely looked much better than I did last 18 00:01:01,200 --> 00:01:02,360 Speaker 2: week on the handheld. 19 00:01:02,920 --> 00:01:08,600 Speaker 1: Yeah. People always forget about your deep, deep investment in 20 00:01:08,640 --> 00:01:14,840 Speaker 1: the essentially anime space with all those cards and how 21 00:01:14,840 --> 00:01:19,959 Speaker 1: committed you are to the risk and leveraging across all fronts, 22 00:01:20,040 --> 00:01:22,319 Speaker 1: not just football signmon, not just football. 23 00:01:22,880 --> 00:01:25,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, and I would say I'm someone that's always looking 24 00:01:25,440 --> 00:01:27,480 Speaker 2: for another option than cash. Chad knows this. I'm a 25 00:01:27,480 --> 00:01:30,280 Speaker 2: crazy person. If I can get gold rather than cash 26 00:01:30,319 --> 00:01:33,240 Speaker 2: my whole life, I've done it. And yeah, being very 27 00:01:33,240 --> 00:01:35,640 Speaker 2: skeptical of our government has paid out very well for 28 00:01:35,720 --> 00:01:39,959 Speaker 2: your boy and Pokemon as well. You could have bought 29 00:01:40,000 --> 00:01:44,120 Speaker 2: the worst box ever printed. It's only doubled in value. 30 00:01:44,200 --> 00:01:46,040 Speaker 2: So it's one of those things were in my whole life. 31 00:01:46,440 --> 00:01:49,000 Speaker 2: I've been investing in buying it, and like I said, 32 00:01:49,040 --> 00:01:52,320 Speaker 2: the worst stuff, if you held on it for ten years, 33 00:01:52,640 --> 00:01:55,960 Speaker 2: it goes up one hundred percent. So it's something like 34 00:01:56,000 --> 00:01:58,360 Speaker 2: you know, I just like having assets, and yeah, it's 35 00:01:58,400 --> 00:01:59,720 Speaker 2: fun to show it off in the background. 36 00:02:00,000 --> 00:02:02,720 Speaker 1: Well, listen if you're talking about fiance currencies like the 37 00:02:03,200 --> 00:02:05,840 Speaker 1: US dollar. I just spent the past weekend at the 38 00:02:05,880 --> 00:02:10,760 Speaker 1: Sloan Sports Analytics Conference, and I did and I actually 39 00:02:12,120 --> 00:02:13,680 Speaker 1: a lot look A lot of it was AI but 40 00:02:14,040 --> 00:02:18,040 Speaker 1: almost all of it was prediction markets. And obviously, you know, 41 00:02:18,120 --> 00:02:20,560 Speaker 1: crypto is a huge part of the conversation. That's why 42 00:02:20,560 --> 00:02:23,040 Speaker 1: I brought up the FIAT currencies is a huge part 43 00:02:23,080 --> 00:02:25,480 Speaker 1: of the conversation. For prediction markets. And by the way, 44 00:02:25,480 --> 00:02:28,240 Speaker 1: we have a guest coming on a massive guest to 45 00:02:28,360 --> 00:02:31,360 Speaker 1: talk NFL free agency. But I do think this is 46 00:02:31,360 --> 00:02:36,120 Speaker 1: interesting for people because I ultimately moderated a panel with 47 00:02:36,320 --> 00:02:40,480 Speaker 1: Shane Copeland, who's the CEO of Polymarket, as well as 48 00:02:40,560 --> 00:02:45,600 Speaker 1: Nate Silver, obviously famous now doing the substacks Silver bulletin 49 00:02:45,680 --> 00:02:48,440 Speaker 1: created five point thirty eight, and another guy named Rick Best, 50 00:02:48,440 --> 00:02:52,520 Speaker 1: who runs the prediction market desk for Susquehanna, the massive 51 00:02:53,440 --> 00:02:56,119 Speaker 1: trading firm, and that are getting deep, deep, deep into 52 00:02:56,120 --> 00:02:58,680 Speaker 1: prediction markets and they're opening their own prediction market at 53 00:02:58,720 --> 00:03:02,280 Speaker 1: JV with Robin Hood. Obviously, I'm writing quite a bit 54 00:03:02,320 --> 00:03:06,440 Speaker 1: about prediction markets for my book that's coming out early 55 00:03:06,520 --> 00:03:12,839 Speaker 1: next year. And it was fascinating because, you know, two 56 00:03:12,919 --> 00:03:18,320 Speaker 1: days before I was interviewing Shane on this panel, two 57 00:03:18,360 --> 00:03:22,240 Speaker 1: different senators had proposed a bill called the End Prediction 58 00:03:22,440 --> 00:03:28,359 Speaker 1: Market Corruption Act because as America started a war with Iran, 59 00:03:29,840 --> 00:03:33,359 Speaker 1: there were all these trades about when that would actually 60 00:03:33,400 --> 00:03:39,440 Speaker 1: start happening, and about a thousand people made trades on 61 00:03:39,560 --> 00:03:42,960 Speaker 1: Polymarket that this would happen within twenty four hours, and 62 00:03:43,440 --> 00:03:45,480 Speaker 1: it was about eight hundred and fifty five thousand dollars 63 00:03:45,520 --> 00:03:49,840 Speaker 1: worth of bets, and people were many, many people. I 64 00:03:49,840 --> 00:03:53,360 Speaker 1: think close to twenty people won or earned more than 65 00:03:53,400 --> 00:03:56,200 Speaker 1: one hundred thousand dollars on these bets. Several others I 66 00:03:56,200 --> 00:03:59,160 Speaker 1: think another one hundred people earned more than nineteen thousand 67 00:03:59,160 --> 00:04:01,520 Speaker 1: dollars on the bets. You know, earlier in the year 68 00:04:01,600 --> 00:04:04,200 Speaker 1: there was the bet where someone had won four hundred 69 00:04:04,280 --> 00:04:07,120 Speaker 1: thousand dollars on when Maduro was going to be captured. 70 00:04:07,440 --> 00:04:11,320 Speaker 1: So there's been a lot of conversation about insider the 71 00:04:11,360 --> 00:04:18,600 Speaker 1: idea of insiders profiting from inside information on political and 72 00:04:18,839 --> 00:04:26,360 Speaker 1: geopolitical markets on these prediction exchanges. So I asked Shane 73 00:04:26,400 --> 00:04:29,039 Speaker 1: about this and he answered the question, which I thought 74 00:04:29,080 --> 00:04:31,400 Speaker 1: was great. He answered a lot of questions that were 75 00:04:31,480 --> 00:04:34,480 Speaker 1: challenging about how to manage this. I just thought it 76 00:04:34,520 --> 00:04:36,760 Speaker 1: was fascinating. And we're talking a lot about these things. 77 00:04:37,520 --> 00:04:40,120 Speaker 1: Look these things and these guys who are creating them, 78 00:04:40,160 --> 00:04:45,240 Speaker 1: whether it's Cawshi probably market. They are libertarian in the 79 00:04:45,320 --> 00:04:50,960 Speaker 1: parlance of prediction exchanges Hyekian, meaning like they fully believe 80 00:04:51,040 --> 00:04:53,440 Speaker 1: in the freedom to trade whatever they want to trade 81 00:04:53,480 --> 00:04:58,080 Speaker 1: without government or interference, and their visions and bombast is 82 00:04:58,160 --> 00:05:05,120 Speaker 1: running up against public backlash and regulatory frameworks that are 83 00:05:05,160 --> 00:05:10,080 Speaker 1: being proposed that are challenging these real ideas. Fascinating time 84 00:05:10,160 --> 00:05:12,039 Speaker 1: to be in this space, and obviously they're getting bigger 85 00:05:12,040 --> 00:05:14,720 Speaker 1: and bigger into sports, which which we'll get into. But 86 00:05:14,800 --> 00:05:17,719 Speaker 1: if anyone wants to watch it, go check out forty 87 00:05:17,720 --> 00:05:23,400 Speaker 1: two analytics dot com. That's the Sloan Sports website and 88 00:05:23,520 --> 00:05:25,880 Speaker 1: it's on there. You know, I've got all the streams 89 00:05:25,920 --> 00:05:28,000 Speaker 1: for the days and this was the first one on Saturday, 90 00:05:28,040 --> 00:05:30,480 Speaker 1: so it's the very first one that's live on Saturday. 91 00:05:30,560 --> 00:05:33,800 Speaker 1: Great conversation that that that was had. 92 00:05:33,839 --> 00:05:36,800 Speaker 2: So just to put a bonent, my favorite line chat 93 00:05:36,800 --> 00:05:38,680 Speaker 2: from the whole thing you just said was the senator 94 00:05:38,960 --> 00:05:41,040 Speaker 2: I am not joking people. This man actually says this 95 00:05:41,760 --> 00:05:46,600 Speaker 2: was no one should profit off war that works for 96 00:05:46,640 --> 00:05:49,560 Speaker 2: the US government, you know what's funny, And he was 97 00:05:49,640 --> 00:05:52,320 Speaker 2: being dead serious when he's in the irony at all. 98 00:05:52,400 --> 00:05:54,640 Speaker 1: So here's the problem. And then we're going to get 99 00:05:54,640 --> 00:05:57,960 Speaker 1: to our guest, who's actually a mainstay at Sloan and 100 00:05:58,120 --> 00:06:01,719 Speaker 1: is one of the guys who like people idolize who 101 00:06:01,720 --> 00:06:03,560 Speaker 1: are moving up in the space because of what he's 102 00:06:03,560 --> 00:06:06,560 Speaker 1: been able to do with analytics and football. What I 103 00:06:06,560 --> 00:06:09,360 Speaker 1: will say about this, And I'm working on the book 104 00:06:09,440 --> 00:06:13,400 Speaker 1: right now, and I wrote this line in relation to 105 00:06:13,520 --> 00:06:16,640 Speaker 1: the proposal that was put forth in advance of when 106 00:06:16,640 --> 00:06:20,480 Speaker 1: I was doing this panel. I'm like, it just reaked 107 00:06:21,120 --> 00:06:29,640 Speaker 1: of political grand standing proposing the bill, but Prediction Exchanges 108 00:06:29,680 --> 00:06:32,960 Speaker 1: brought it upon themselves because of the backlash, and they're 109 00:06:33,000 --> 00:06:37,280 Speaker 1: allowing politicians to stand their ground on this kind of 110 00:06:38,640 --> 00:06:42,240 Speaker 1: notion that they can get away with this. So it's 111 00:06:42,279 --> 00:06:44,760 Speaker 1: going to be fascinating to see what happens. But that's 112 00:06:44,760 --> 00:06:48,400 Speaker 1: a good transition to bringing in our guest. NFL free 113 00:06:48,400 --> 00:06:52,640 Speaker 1: agency officially has kicked off. The player movement has been 114 00:06:52,720 --> 00:06:58,760 Speaker 1: fast and furious across the NFL. Our guest posted the 115 00:06:58,839 --> 00:07:03,400 Speaker 1: definitive column of how to judge winners and losers in 116 00:07:03,440 --> 00:07:08,680 Speaker 1: this market today, which is why we're lucky to be 117 00:07:08,760 --> 00:07:12,520 Speaker 1: having him on a very special returning to the show. 118 00:07:12,640 --> 00:07:17,760 Speaker 1: Longtime writer for ESPN, veteran sports media personality, an originator 119 00:07:17,800 --> 00:07:22,440 Speaker 1: in every sense, a guy who has taking analytics used 120 00:07:22,480 --> 00:07:28,680 Speaker 1: it for football intelligence for a mass audience. He's universally beloved. 121 00:07:28,680 --> 00:07:32,280 Speaker 1: The article I'm talking about NFL free agency Winners and 122 00:07:32,360 --> 00:07:35,760 Speaker 1: Losers is on ESPN dot Com the front page, top 123 00:07:35,800 --> 00:07:38,280 Speaker 1: of the page. Right now, host of the Bill Barnwell Show. 124 00:07:38,320 --> 00:07:45,120 Speaker 1: Welcome back Bill Barnwell BB from Queens. How you doing chat? 125 00:07:45,160 --> 00:07:48,440 Speaker 3: How are you Simon? I have not delved in the 126 00:07:48,480 --> 00:07:52,920 Speaker 3: Pokemon universe, but I did grab a couple of like 127 00:07:53,080 --> 00:07:56,280 Speaker 3: giant lego sets and hold them for you for years, 128 00:07:56,280 --> 00:07:59,520 Speaker 3: and that was a surprising source of value. So the 129 00:07:59,560 --> 00:08:01,320 Speaker 3: only problem was I had to lug them around to 130 00:08:01,320 --> 00:08:04,320 Speaker 3: the East coast in like three different moves, these like enormous, 131 00:08:04,320 --> 00:08:07,560 Speaker 3: like thousand piece lego sets. That wasn't fun, but it 132 00:08:07,640 --> 00:08:10,920 Speaker 3: turns out they are a propitable place of value as well. 133 00:08:11,520 --> 00:08:13,200 Speaker 2: Story of my life for you just summed my life 134 00:08:13,280 --> 00:08:14,760 Speaker 2: right there. When I was moving, I go, why did 135 00:08:14,760 --> 00:08:18,920 Speaker 2: I buy all this? It is the worst moveing, especially 136 00:08:18,960 --> 00:08:21,880 Speaker 2: for a collector. But yeah, like you said, Pokemon, it's 137 00:08:22,200 --> 00:08:25,200 Speaker 2: it's got a crazy, crazy market these fans. 138 00:08:25,000 --> 00:08:30,560 Speaker 1: It's worldwide, fellas. I don't want anyone to forget since 139 00:08:30,600 --> 00:08:32,839 Speaker 1: we have a very popular guest on it. Anyone can 140 00:08:32,840 --> 00:08:35,439 Speaker 1: get the show with Sharper Square on YouTube. They can subscribe, 141 00:08:35,440 --> 00:08:37,880 Speaker 1: they can like the video, they can subscribe to Sharper Square, 142 00:08:38,320 --> 00:08:41,800 Speaker 1: Apple Pods, Spotify, wherever you get your pods. Bill, let's 143 00:08:41,840 --> 00:08:46,680 Speaker 1: not dilly dally. I want to talk about to signing 144 00:08:46,720 --> 00:08:51,680 Speaker 1: with the Falcons because he gets outsized attention because of 145 00:08:51,720 --> 00:08:55,320 Speaker 1: the contract. Because going back to like the draft and 146 00:08:55,360 --> 00:08:57,280 Speaker 1: who should take him and where he should be taken, 147 00:08:57,320 --> 00:09:00,480 Speaker 1: and the up and down success, and they can hushions 148 00:09:00,480 --> 00:09:03,959 Speaker 1: and everything else. He's getting paid fifty four million by 149 00:09:03,960 --> 00:09:07,199 Speaker 1: the Dolphins no matter what. Now he's signing with the Falcons. 150 00:09:07,960 --> 00:09:10,160 Speaker 1: Give us your take on this, because I thought what 151 00:09:10,200 --> 00:09:14,240 Speaker 1: you were saying in the column was spot on. How 152 00:09:14,240 --> 00:09:15,080 Speaker 1: are you feeling about this? 153 00:09:16,520 --> 00:09:19,040 Speaker 3: I have to say from tuist perspective, I mean it 154 00:09:19,040 --> 00:09:23,360 Speaker 3: feels pretty good as far as potential landing spots. I 155 00:09:23,400 --> 00:09:26,120 Speaker 3: when I looked at to his market, obviously he wasn't 156 00:09:26,120 --> 00:09:28,000 Speaker 3: going to cost anything because, like you said, the Dolphins 157 00:09:28,000 --> 00:09:30,040 Speaker 3: are paying him fifty four million dollars. He gets that 158 00:09:30,080 --> 00:09:33,200 Speaker 3: weather he makes twenty million dollars with the other team, 159 00:09:33,200 --> 00:09:34,960 Speaker 3: whether he makes a million dollars with another team, So 160 00:09:35,000 --> 00:09:37,199 Speaker 3: no one's going to pay him more than the league 161 00:09:37,280 --> 00:09:39,840 Speaker 3: minimum because it would just offset what the Dolphins pay. 162 00:09:40,200 --> 00:09:43,600 Speaker 3: So he's getting fifty four million dollars. Really, his team 163 00:09:43,640 --> 00:09:44,960 Speaker 3: is paying one and a half million. 164 00:09:44,800 --> 00:09:45,280 Speaker 2: Dollars or so. 165 00:09:46,120 --> 00:09:49,680 Speaker 3: But there were a lot of teams who either have 166 00:09:49,720 --> 00:09:52,280 Speaker 3: a quarterback or I think would say I don't know 167 00:09:52,320 --> 00:09:54,040 Speaker 3: if he's really for us, or it might not be 168 00:09:54,080 --> 00:09:55,640 Speaker 3: a great fit for Tua. I mean if him like 169 00:09:55,640 --> 00:09:58,280 Speaker 3: the Browns for example, Yes they have an opening at 170 00:09:58,360 --> 00:10:02,080 Speaker 3: quarterback to compete with various guys they have in the building, 171 00:10:02,160 --> 00:10:04,160 Speaker 3: but that's a cold weather city who has not played 172 00:10:04,160 --> 00:10:06,120 Speaker 3: well in cold weather. It is an offense that has 173 00:10:06,400 --> 00:10:10,280 Speaker 3: five new starting offensive linemen coming in twenty twenty six, 174 00:10:10,360 --> 00:10:14,000 Speaker 3: potentially to a obviously needs a healthy offensive line to 175 00:10:14,000 --> 00:10:16,400 Speaker 3: play his best football and a good offensive line to 176 00:10:16,440 --> 00:10:18,719 Speaker 3: play his best football. I don't think you want to 177 00:10:18,760 --> 00:10:20,360 Speaker 3: put too much on his shoulders. I think you want 178 00:10:20,360 --> 00:10:24,040 Speaker 3: to have a really heavy play action game. And look 179 00:10:24,080 --> 00:10:26,640 Speaker 3: at the teams who could have signed to who don't 180 00:10:26,679 --> 00:10:29,320 Speaker 3: play outdoors, who have a decent offensive line, who have 181 00:10:29,360 --> 00:10:32,199 Speaker 3: a decent run game, and who have an opening at quarterback. 182 00:10:33,559 --> 00:10:35,480 Speaker 3: Falcons and Cardinals felt like the two best fits to 183 00:10:35,480 --> 00:10:37,800 Speaker 3: be and the Falcons I think make a lot of sense. 184 00:10:37,800 --> 00:10:40,360 Speaker 3: They have Michael Penix coming off with Tory. ACL don't 185 00:10:40,360 --> 00:10:41,800 Speaker 3: know what his status is going to be in twenty 186 00:10:41,800 --> 00:10:45,959 Speaker 3: twenty six. The people who inexplicably signed Kirk Cousins and 187 00:10:45,960 --> 00:10:48,520 Speaker 3: then drafted Michael Penix in the top ten are gone. 188 00:10:48,640 --> 00:10:52,160 Speaker 3: So there's not the organizational sort of like commitment to 189 00:10:52,160 --> 00:10:54,160 Speaker 3: Michael Penix. Maybe there would have been if those people 190 00:10:54,240 --> 00:10:57,480 Speaker 3: were still in the building. Kemi Stefanski, you know, has 191 00:10:57,520 --> 00:11:01,680 Speaker 3: not exactly had the how Cannes. It's nicely the greatest 192 00:11:01,760 --> 00:11:04,280 Speaker 3: crop of quarterbacks to work with over the course of 193 00:11:04,320 --> 00:11:06,280 Speaker 3: his career, but I think he's typically done a good 194 00:11:06,360 --> 00:11:09,080 Speaker 3: job with the guys he had to. Sean Watson maybe 195 00:11:09,080 --> 00:11:11,640 Speaker 3: a notable exception. I I don't know if anybody can 196 00:11:11,679 --> 00:11:14,480 Speaker 3: fix out bad Deshaun Watson has been since joining the 197 00:11:14,480 --> 00:11:16,880 Speaker 3: Cleveland Browns. But you have an offense that I think 198 00:11:16,960 --> 00:11:18,600 Speaker 3: is going to be heavy play action based a lot 199 00:11:18,640 --> 00:11:21,120 Speaker 3: of booting to the left. Chemistefanski loves booting to the left. 200 00:11:21,280 --> 00:11:24,440 Speaker 3: That's a Falcons team that stylistically was already playing to 201 00:11:24,480 --> 00:11:26,680 Speaker 3: the left last year because Michael Penix was the quarterback 202 00:11:26,720 --> 00:11:29,280 Speaker 3: for most of the season. So I think Tua fits 203 00:11:29,320 --> 00:11:32,920 Speaker 3: in and it is a to me, the best opportunity 204 00:11:33,080 --> 00:11:35,000 Speaker 3: to win a job. I think even if he had 205 00:11:35,040 --> 00:11:37,000 Speaker 3: gone elsewhere, you know, I floated him even going to 206 00:11:37,040 --> 00:11:39,520 Speaker 3: the Chiefs. It's like these sort of like September Patrick 207 00:11:39,559 --> 00:11:42,160 Speaker 3: Mahomes replacement that would have been fine, but obviously no 208 00:11:42,280 --> 00:11:44,560 Speaker 3: chance of him being the starter there. In the long term, 209 00:11:45,000 --> 00:11:48,199 Speaker 3: he has a shot at winning a starting job in 210 00:11:48,240 --> 00:11:50,960 Speaker 3: Atlanta for an entire season, if not into the future 211 00:11:51,040 --> 00:11:53,480 Speaker 3: after the Dolphins stopped paying his contract. 212 00:11:53,840 --> 00:11:58,439 Speaker 1: You know what's interesting, Simon, We rip on the NFC 213 00:11:58,520 --> 00:12:06,400 Speaker 1: South all the time, just a quartet of nondescript regional 214 00:12:06,440 --> 00:12:11,640 Speaker 1: fan bases that have no real national prominence, don't really 215 00:12:11,679 --> 00:12:15,400 Speaker 1: make an impact. They're always they perennial. Are the team 216 00:12:15,440 --> 00:12:19,040 Speaker 1: that the division with teams that are eight and nine, 217 00:12:19,240 --> 00:12:22,560 Speaker 1: nine and eight, you know, ten and seven, they'll win 218 00:12:22,640 --> 00:12:24,760 Speaker 1: the division. They'll get a good seed, but only because 219 00:12:24,800 --> 00:12:29,160 Speaker 1: of the lack of competition in their division. So between 220 00:12:29,640 --> 00:12:32,319 Speaker 1: the Falcons and Stefanski, who I think we can agree 221 00:12:32,360 --> 00:12:36,600 Speaker 1: as a good coach and kind of got job with 222 00:12:36,679 --> 00:12:41,080 Speaker 1: a lack of talent at quarterback by the Browns. The 223 00:12:41,120 --> 00:12:46,000 Speaker 1: Panthers signed Jalen Phillips. Bill, I know you love that signing, Simon. 224 00:12:46,120 --> 00:12:49,600 Speaker 1: Before we came on the air, you were skeptical. The 225 00:12:49,679 --> 00:12:55,880 Speaker 1: Saints signed Travis Dtn they've made some moves. You know, 226 00:12:55,920 --> 00:12:58,839 Speaker 1: we'll see how we feel about Shock going into year two. 227 00:12:59,400 --> 00:13:02,600 Speaker 1: Let's assay us from each of your points of view, 228 00:13:03,480 --> 00:13:05,880 Speaker 1: how each team has moved in this division, because it's 229 00:13:06,120 --> 00:13:08,760 Speaker 1: all of a sudden it could be a fascinating division. 230 00:13:08,840 --> 00:13:10,880 Speaker 1: Simon Europe first. 231 00:13:10,559 --> 00:13:12,360 Speaker 2: And I'll say for the top, Chat is the one 232 00:13:12,400 --> 00:13:14,640 Speaker 2: has all those feelings For NFC South. I love the 233 00:13:14,760 --> 00:13:18,520 Speaker 2: NFC South. It's my money maker and my favorite Dallas 234 00:13:18,559 --> 00:13:22,559 Speaker 2: clown on Dallas Cowboys denesc South has gone to Every 235 00:13:22,600 --> 00:13:24,880 Speaker 2: team has gone to Super Bowl. The Cowboys of not 236 00:13:24,960 --> 00:13:26,760 Speaker 2: in the last thirty years. So that's that's all you 237 00:13:26,760 --> 00:13:28,360 Speaker 2: need to know about the Cowboys organization. 238 00:13:29,040 --> 00:13:33,360 Speaker 1: And for the record, don't forget Chad's choice last week 239 00:13:33,800 --> 00:13:38,559 Speaker 1: in our season win totals Part one was Carolina over 240 00:13:38,640 --> 00:13:41,120 Speaker 1: six and a half. And you said, I was, I 241 00:13:41,280 --> 00:13:43,240 Speaker 1: was what you said? You said it was a trap. 242 00:13:43,760 --> 00:13:48,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's it's job tap line. But yeah, I'll just 243 00:13:48,440 --> 00:13:52,800 Speaker 2: start for the quarterback move for Tua. I agree with Bill, 244 00:13:52,840 --> 00:13:55,800 Speaker 2: Like to me, that was a great move because they 245 00:13:55,920 --> 00:13:58,160 Speaker 2: have they're gonna have two lost seasons here right if 246 00:13:58,200 --> 00:13:59,839 Speaker 2: maybe they hit on Tua and that'll be great. But 247 00:14:00,760 --> 00:14:03,320 Speaker 2: you draft a quarterback in the top ten. That's a miss. 248 00:14:03,360 --> 00:14:05,240 Speaker 2: That's looking like a miss, and you pay Kirk all 249 00:14:05,280 --> 00:14:07,920 Speaker 2: that money, that's going to set your organization back three 250 00:14:07,960 --> 00:14:10,160 Speaker 2: four years. There's still a window. Though. There's still a 251 00:14:10,200 --> 00:14:12,439 Speaker 2: window because they have so much talent, so Tua can't 252 00:14:12,440 --> 00:14:14,960 Speaker 2: come in there playing the offense be fixed. Great. Penks 253 00:14:15,000 --> 00:14:17,320 Speaker 2: come back early and he is more comfortable now in 254 00:14:17,360 --> 00:14:19,640 Speaker 2: this offense and it's year three for him. Great. So 255 00:14:19,760 --> 00:14:22,640 Speaker 2: to me, I love the move organizationally from Atlanta. For 256 00:14:22,720 --> 00:14:25,800 Speaker 2: the Carolina Panthers getting Phillips, I love the move chat 257 00:14:25,880 --> 00:14:29,160 Speaker 2: because it's not mine money. So to me, they overpaid 258 00:14:29,160 --> 00:14:31,120 Speaker 2: for a player, but they filled a void, they had 259 00:14:31,120 --> 00:14:33,480 Speaker 2: a weakness. They went out and overpaid for a guy 260 00:14:33,480 --> 00:14:35,760 Speaker 2: that has not proven to be worth that type of 261 00:14:35,760 --> 00:14:38,640 Speaker 2: money in any way. But you see the upside is 262 00:14:38,640 --> 00:14:40,560 Speaker 2: someone that is an Eagles fan that watched him this year. 263 00:14:40,880 --> 00:14:43,480 Speaker 2: He was always a step late on getting the sack, 264 00:14:43,600 --> 00:14:46,720 Speaker 2: so his stats might not look amazing the outside, but 265 00:14:46,800 --> 00:14:49,480 Speaker 2: he did put a ton of pressure on QBS and 266 00:14:49,800 --> 00:14:51,880 Speaker 2: he played very well for coming too a new system 267 00:14:51,880 --> 00:14:54,880 Speaker 2: midway through the year. So to me, Carolina, that's a 268 00:14:54,880 --> 00:14:56,360 Speaker 2: move they needed to make. They have an owner with 269 00:14:56,400 --> 00:14:58,840 Speaker 2: a ton of money who's had some big misses. I 270 00:14:59,000 --> 00:15:01,680 Speaker 2: like the move for them. I agree with Bill that 271 00:15:02,320 --> 00:15:04,080 Speaker 2: it's a good move for Caroline. I just don't know. 272 00:15:04,680 --> 00:15:06,160 Speaker 2: I don't know if I'd want mine to be paying 273 00:15:06,160 --> 00:15:07,800 Speaker 2: that type of money for a guy like them, though. 274 00:15:08,640 --> 00:15:12,080 Speaker 3: Bill, Yeah, I mean, it's a good player. But to 275 00:15:12,120 --> 00:15:16,120 Speaker 3: Simon's point, like he's never been a thirty million dollars 276 00:15:16,120 --> 00:15:18,920 Speaker 3: a year player, he might have that potential. Simon's randan 277 00:15:18,960 --> 00:15:21,520 Speaker 3: that he has great pressure numbers, just not great sac numbers, 278 00:15:22,040 --> 00:15:25,000 Speaker 3: and the pressures matter, you know, creating pressures what you 279 00:15:25,040 --> 00:15:27,880 Speaker 3: want your pass rushers to do. But we're talking about 280 00:15:27,920 --> 00:15:33,080 Speaker 3: a guy who retired in college because he had concussion concerns, 281 00:15:33,440 --> 00:15:35,720 Speaker 3: who suffered concussion last year with the Eagles, thankfully did 282 00:15:35,760 --> 00:15:38,680 Speaker 3: not miss time because of it, who has a torn 283 00:15:38,720 --> 00:15:42,600 Speaker 3: acl a torn achilles in his first five NFL seasons. 284 00:15:43,480 --> 00:15:45,480 Speaker 3: If you could promise me we were getting seventeen games 285 00:15:45,480 --> 00:15:47,800 Speaker 3: of jail and Phillips, I would be thrilled. I'd say, Okay, great, 286 00:15:48,000 --> 00:15:51,480 Speaker 3: I'm in for thirty million dollars a year. But that's 287 00:15:51,520 --> 00:15:54,080 Speaker 3: a really big risk, and it's something for the Panthers 288 00:15:54,080 --> 00:15:57,920 Speaker 3: where I think it makes evaluating them tougher because, like, yes, 289 00:15:58,000 --> 00:16:00,960 Speaker 3: there's a scenario where the the guys they have who 290 00:16:01,040 --> 00:16:03,040 Speaker 3: are really good stay healthy, and that could be a 291 00:16:03,080 --> 00:16:08,000 Speaker 3: really fun team. But I just have my concerns that 292 00:16:08,640 --> 00:16:11,840 Speaker 3: even though they have some really significant investments up front 293 00:16:11,840 --> 00:16:14,560 Speaker 3: on the defensive line, obviously I've invested a ton on 294 00:16:14,600 --> 00:16:19,480 Speaker 3: their offensive line, I just don't know that I really 295 00:16:19,520 --> 00:16:21,840 Speaker 3: have a lot of faith in those guys being consistent. 296 00:16:22,000 --> 00:16:24,960 Speaker 3: And like, yes, they made the postseason. I think they're 297 00:16:25,000 --> 00:16:27,880 Speaker 3: sort of like they get a little bonus bump in 298 00:16:27,960 --> 00:16:31,360 Speaker 3: people's heads. But you have to remember the Falcons finished 299 00:16:31,480 --> 00:16:34,280 Speaker 3: with the exact same record as the Carolina Panthers. The 300 00:16:34,280 --> 00:16:36,680 Speaker 3: Panthers won the division, and so they see it's like, oh, 301 00:16:36,680 --> 00:16:39,040 Speaker 3: we're taking a step in the right direction. We you know, 302 00:16:39,080 --> 00:16:41,040 Speaker 3: we're gonna we have the right people around, We're gonna 303 00:16:41,040 --> 00:16:43,640 Speaker 3: spend more money. The Falcons fired everyone with the same 304 00:16:43,680 --> 00:16:47,160 Speaker 3: exact record, So I just sort of feel like, maybe 305 00:16:47,160 --> 00:16:50,080 Speaker 3: we're The difference between those two teams is being overstated 306 00:16:50,080 --> 00:16:51,600 Speaker 3: by the fact that one made it to the postseason 307 00:16:51,920 --> 00:16:54,760 Speaker 3: and another turned over pretty much their entire organization. 308 00:16:55,000 --> 00:16:57,680 Speaker 1: Well, look, the season win total for the Falcons is 309 00:16:57,720 --> 00:17:00,160 Speaker 1: seven and a half. The season win total for the 310 00:17:00,200 --> 00:17:03,640 Speaker 1: Saints is seven and a half. The season win total 311 00:17:03,720 --> 00:17:09,679 Speaker 1: for the Panthers is six and a half. What do 312 00:17:09,720 --> 00:17:12,080 Speaker 1: we think, Simon the market is telling us right now 313 00:17:12,520 --> 00:17:17,760 Speaker 1: when the Saints have vaulted over the Panthers in their 314 00:17:17,800 --> 00:17:20,040 Speaker 1: season win totals. What are we supposed to take from that? 315 00:17:20,720 --> 00:17:23,920 Speaker 2: Very easy? It's basically, you win your division, you play 316 00:17:23,960 --> 00:17:26,679 Speaker 2: a first place schedule. So that's exactly what the Panthers 317 00:17:26,680 --> 00:17:28,760 Speaker 2: are looking at. And it's a team that I mean 318 00:17:28,760 --> 00:17:32,320 Speaker 2: billigs nail it. They overachieved, They went above expectations last year. 319 00:17:32,400 --> 00:17:34,400 Speaker 2: Not me and you chat we believed in them last year. 320 00:17:34,680 --> 00:17:36,399 Speaker 2: But would be the first to admit Bryce shungk some 321 00:17:36,440 --> 00:17:38,879 Speaker 2: of the games he put together you were never going 322 00:17:38,920 --> 00:17:41,399 Speaker 2: to see coming. I mean that the games against the 323 00:17:41,480 --> 00:17:43,520 Speaker 2: Rams as well, those are some of his best games 324 00:17:43,600 --> 00:17:46,200 Speaker 2: of his career. It was impressive how well he played 325 00:17:46,200 --> 00:17:49,200 Speaker 2: against a really good Rams defense. So you know, when 326 00:17:49,240 --> 00:17:50,760 Speaker 2: I look at that team like you just said that, 327 00:17:50,840 --> 00:17:54,359 Speaker 2: in that division, it's so fluky, I'm more inclined to 328 00:17:54,400 --> 00:17:57,000 Speaker 2: tick the under especially the books. The books are tin 329 00:17:57,080 --> 00:17:59,280 Speaker 2: on themselves here. They are getting ninety nine percent of 330 00:17:59,320 --> 00:18:02,359 Speaker 2: the over money to the Carolina Panthers. Right, it's people 331 00:18:02,480 --> 00:18:04,600 Speaker 2: very earlier taking that over because of what you just said. 332 00:18:04,640 --> 00:18:07,120 Speaker 2: It just feels naturally they should improve on last year, 333 00:18:07,400 --> 00:18:09,960 Speaker 2: especially the fact they've hatter for agency. But on the 334 00:18:09,960 --> 00:18:12,159 Speaker 2: other way, where it's like, I know they overachieved. I 335 00:18:12,240 --> 00:18:16,919 Speaker 2: know they stole two games last year. Mathematically, atlanta'sh a 336 00:18:16,960 --> 00:18:19,439 Speaker 2: little better. If the Saints are a little better, If 337 00:18:19,440 --> 00:18:22,000 Speaker 2: the Bucks don't lose eight straight games and they're a 338 00:18:22,040 --> 00:18:24,240 Speaker 2: little better, that's gonna be a really tough for them 339 00:18:24,280 --> 00:18:25,679 Speaker 2: to get the seven to one's jet. It's just a 340 00:18:25,720 --> 00:18:29,160 Speaker 2: tough division, especially when youini Bryce Shung could take another step. 341 00:18:30,400 --> 00:18:32,399 Speaker 3: And that would say the other thing for the Saints 342 00:18:32,480 --> 00:18:36,000 Speaker 3: perspective here is timing matters, right. I mean, the Saints 343 00:18:36,000 --> 00:18:39,920 Speaker 3: team was two to ten heading into December and then 344 00:18:39,920 --> 00:18:41,720 Speaker 3: they win four straight games right at the end of 345 00:18:41,760 --> 00:18:44,560 Speaker 3: the year. Easy for people, I think to say, hey, 346 00:18:44,640 --> 00:18:48,040 Speaker 3: they've got momentum moving forward. They have a quarterback who 347 00:18:48,040 --> 00:18:50,200 Speaker 3: we believe in and Tyler Shook And man, I'll tell 348 00:18:50,240 --> 00:18:52,679 Speaker 3: you what I thought. Tyler Shook looked good last year. 349 00:18:52,720 --> 00:18:54,919 Speaker 3: I thought Spencer Rantley looked last year, which tells me 350 00:18:55,280 --> 00:18:57,919 Speaker 3: I think Kellen Moore is a pretty darn good NFL 351 00:18:57,960 --> 00:19:00,080 Speaker 3: head coach and offensive play designer because he had two quarter 352 00:19:00,400 --> 00:19:02,920 Speaker 3: I did not have high hopes or playing well last year, 353 00:19:02,960 --> 00:19:06,919 Speaker 3: but go to that four game winning streak. I know 354 00:19:06,960 --> 00:19:09,320 Speaker 3: a lot of people we're not sending around in the 355 00:19:09,320 --> 00:19:11,440 Speaker 3: middle of December and saying, you know what I'm gonna 356 00:19:11,440 --> 00:19:15,440 Speaker 3: watch today. I'm watching Saints Bucks, I'm watching Saints Panthers, 357 00:19:15,680 --> 00:19:18,320 Speaker 3: I'm watching Saints Jets. And I could tell you a 358 00:19:18,400 --> 00:19:22,240 Speaker 3: lot of people. We're not watching Saints Titans in Week seventeen, 359 00:19:22,480 --> 00:19:24,320 Speaker 3: nor should they have been. There's better things to do 360 00:19:24,359 --> 00:19:26,520 Speaker 3: with your life than watching those games. I watched them 361 00:19:26,600 --> 00:19:30,480 Speaker 3: because I am a sicko. But we're talking about four 362 00:19:30,520 --> 00:19:35,119 Speaker 3: defenses that range from mid to really bad. Jets defense 363 00:19:35,440 --> 00:19:39,600 Speaker 3: was actively revolting against Aaron Glenn late in the season. 364 00:19:39,720 --> 00:19:42,760 Speaker 3: Tennessee's defense was bad all year in secondary, Tampa Bay 365 00:19:42,960 --> 00:19:44,960 Speaker 3: did not have a good defense against the pass all year. 366 00:19:45,200 --> 00:19:47,680 Speaker 3: Carolina's defense is okay, a couple good cornerbacks, but they 367 00:19:48,040 --> 00:19:49,960 Speaker 3: to the point of signing Jalen Filips not have a 368 00:19:49,960 --> 00:19:52,479 Speaker 3: great pass rush from the edge a year ago, and 369 00:19:52,520 --> 00:19:56,320 Speaker 3: so there are reasons to be optimistic about what the 370 00:19:56,359 --> 00:19:58,879 Speaker 3: Saints have, but they are going to be losing a 371 00:19:58,880 --> 00:20:00,960 Speaker 3: bunch of talent this year. They finally have a little 372 00:20:00,960 --> 00:20:02,960 Speaker 3: bit of money to spend. Their cap situations better than 373 00:20:03,000 --> 00:20:05,320 Speaker 3: it's been before, which is great, but they have not 374 00:20:05,400 --> 00:20:08,359 Speaker 3: had great drafts in recent years. They lost a Lota Taylor, 375 00:20:08,400 --> 00:20:12,320 Speaker 3: who was their best quarterback, to free agency, so I 376 00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:14,800 Speaker 3: do think there's reasons to be optimistic. But at the 377 00:20:14,800 --> 00:20:17,520 Speaker 3: same time, this was a five win team that played 378 00:20:17,560 --> 00:20:19,879 Speaker 3: one of the easiest schedules in football. I think people 379 00:20:19,880 --> 00:20:22,280 Speaker 3: are doing a lot of projecting about Tyler Schuck in 380 00:20:22,320 --> 00:20:25,080 Speaker 3: that late game stretch being more meaningful than perhaps the 381 00:20:25,119 --> 00:20:26,960 Speaker 3: earlier stretch where they were, like I said, two win 382 00:20:27,119 --> 00:20:28,840 Speaker 3: ten and not playing very good football. 383 00:20:29,280 --> 00:20:31,760 Speaker 1: So at the end of the day, it might be 384 00:20:31,800 --> 00:20:37,120 Speaker 1: the same as it always is Fox Falcons, Panthers, Saints. 385 00:20:37,280 --> 00:20:40,720 Speaker 1: That we've given the NFCC South so much time, and 386 00:20:40,760 --> 00:20:42,520 Speaker 1: at the end of the day, it's going to be 387 00:20:42,560 --> 00:20:45,520 Speaker 1: the same as it ever was. Bill, I can tell 388 00:20:45,520 --> 00:20:49,280 Speaker 1: you right now, we watched every second of every Saints 389 00:20:49,320 --> 00:20:53,399 Speaker 1: game because of the two hundred to one Tyler shuk 390 00:20:54,960 --> 00:20:58,600 Speaker 1: bet that Simon gave out right when he was about 391 00:20:58,640 --> 00:21:01,000 Speaker 1: to go into his run that ended up with him 392 00:21:01,000 --> 00:21:05,000 Speaker 1: barely losing out on Offensive Rookie of the Year. You 393 00:21:05,040 --> 00:21:07,520 Speaker 1: just said something though, that's interesting to me about your 394 00:21:07,600 --> 00:21:10,080 Speaker 1: kind of a sicko. And you had a great line 395 00:21:10,440 --> 00:21:16,440 Speaker 1: in the column today about Jalen Phillips and his next 396 00:21:16,520 --> 00:21:20,160 Speaker 1: Gen Stats chip rate, and that what the Panthers are 397 00:21:20,160 --> 00:21:22,639 Speaker 1: really paying for. And by the way, we're spending so 398 00:21:22,720 --> 00:21:24,760 Speaker 1: much time on this because the two biggest winners in 399 00:21:24,760 --> 00:21:29,080 Speaker 1: Bill's column were Tua and Jalen Phillips. So you talked 400 00:21:29,080 --> 00:21:32,159 Speaker 1: about his next gen stats rate, the chip rate for 401 00:21:32,200 --> 00:21:34,600 Speaker 1: next gen stats, and that's really what they're paying for. 402 00:21:36,400 --> 00:21:40,240 Speaker 1: What I'm always curious about in your columns are you 403 00:21:40,320 --> 00:21:46,920 Speaker 1: going through eight million stats across multiple deep analytics platforms, 404 00:21:47,040 --> 00:21:49,000 Speaker 1: Like how are you figuring out which to go to 405 00:21:49,119 --> 00:21:51,800 Speaker 1: so quickly? Because you're also turning these things around so quickly. 406 00:21:52,240 --> 00:21:55,720 Speaker 1: It's an inside baseball store question. But I gotta know 407 00:21:56,960 --> 00:21:59,639 Speaker 1: it's my job. That's what I how would good at Listen. 408 00:21:59,760 --> 00:22:01,840 Speaker 1: I know it's your job. It's also why I'm trying 409 00:22:01,840 --> 00:22:04,640 Speaker 1: to hire you eight million times at Action Network. You're very, 410 00:22:04,760 --> 00:22:07,760 Speaker 1: very good at it, but I need to know, like, 411 00:22:07,840 --> 00:22:09,399 Speaker 1: how are you getting it done? So quickly. How do 412 00:22:09,400 --> 00:22:10,800 Speaker 1: you figure out where you're going to go? Like what 413 00:22:10,920 --> 00:22:12,840 Speaker 1: the best thing is to look at so fast? 414 00:22:13,359 --> 00:22:16,199 Speaker 3: Well, I mean I'm watching the games and so I 415 00:22:16,200 --> 00:22:18,119 Speaker 3: have like it's not like I'm sitting or saying, oh 416 00:22:18,119 --> 00:22:21,479 Speaker 3: it is Jealen Phillip's good than anything? Like what does 417 00:22:21,520 --> 00:22:23,320 Speaker 3: he is? He good enough? Like I know from watching 418 00:22:23,960 --> 00:22:26,920 Speaker 3: the games each week, watching all twenty two each week, 419 00:22:27,000 --> 00:22:29,199 Speaker 3: Jalen Phillips created a ton of pressures, Like I have 420 00:22:29,320 --> 00:22:31,280 Speaker 3: that in my head already, And so I know, okay, 421 00:22:31,720 --> 00:22:33,760 Speaker 3: who has the pressure numbers I trust the most. That's 422 00:22:33,800 --> 00:22:36,679 Speaker 3: next gen status just because they are tracking not just 423 00:22:37,119 --> 00:22:39,679 Speaker 3: all pressures, but specifically the pressures I really think are 424 00:22:39,760 --> 00:22:42,399 Speaker 3: valuable are quick pressures. Those are usually two two and 425 00:22:42,440 --> 00:22:44,800 Speaker 3: a half seconds. Are you beating a guy quickly and 426 00:22:44,800 --> 00:22:47,120 Speaker 3: getting right out the quarterback? That's a really valuable stack 427 00:22:47,160 --> 00:22:49,639 Speaker 3: to me. So I know, okay, I know Jealen phillips 428 00:22:49,640 --> 00:22:52,080 Speaker 3: Sac numbers aren't great because he didn't have double digit 429 00:22:52,119 --> 00:22:54,800 Speaker 3: sacks this year or anywhere close. But if my instinct 430 00:22:54,800 --> 00:22:56,959 Speaker 3: from watching all those games says he has a lot 431 00:22:56,960 --> 00:22:59,240 Speaker 3: of pressures, let me go to the pressure source I 432 00:22:59,240 --> 00:23:01,119 Speaker 3: trust most. Let me see where he ranks. Oh, you 433 00:23:01,160 --> 00:23:03,479 Speaker 3: rex pretty well, great, we are good. I don't need 434 00:23:03,520 --> 00:23:05,520 Speaker 3: to look for anything else. If I look for I 435 00:23:05,680 --> 00:23:08,159 Speaker 3: don't out the way I figured. I'd go back and say, say, okay, well, 436 00:23:08,200 --> 00:23:11,399 Speaker 3: maybe it's just not accurately capturing what I saw. Did 437 00:23:11,440 --> 00:23:13,760 Speaker 3: I not see enough of a sample? You know, I 438 00:23:14,000 --> 00:23:17,240 Speaker 3: haven't watched every single play, but I've watched every third down, 439 00:23:17,240 --> 00:23:20,240 Speaker 3: I've watched every pressure, I've watched every you know, pass 440 00:23:20,280 --> 00:23:22,920 Speaker 3: attempt over the course of the season. So I've seen 441 00:23:22,960 --> 00:23:25,920 Speaker 3: a lot of stuff. So sometimes the numbers don't agree 442 00:23:25,920 --> 00:23:28,040 Speaker 3: with me, and I say, okay, well, maybe my opinion 443 00:23:28,080 --> 00:23:30,000 Speaker 3: is wrong, or maybe my evidence is wrong, or maybe 444 00:23:30,160 --> 00:23:32,240 Speaker 3: there's something in the data that I need to account 445 00:23:32,280 --> 00:23:35,320 Speaker 3: for more accurately. I'll give you a good example. The 446 00:23:35,320 --> 00:23:39,760 Speaker 3: Packers traded for Rashan Gary yesterday, and I was like, well, 447 00:23:39,800 --> 00:23:42,200 Speaker 3: you know, okay player, Like, like, you know, the price 448 00:23:42,240 --> 00:23:43,760 Speaker 3: tag a little higher than I would have hoped for, 449 00:23:44,119 --> 00:23:46,720 Speaker 3: but like solid numbers against the past rush I've seen 450 00:23:46,760 --> 00:23:49,040 Speaker 3: him make some play this year. When I look back 451 00:23:49,080 --> 00:23:51,480 Speaker 3: at his pressure numbers, they weren't very good. Like it's 452 00:23:51,520 --> 00:23:53,800 Speaker 3: sort of like it maybe leaned down a bit versus 453 00:23:53,800 --> 00:23:56,840 Speaker 3: where my expectations were when I looked at that trade 454 00:23:56,840 --> 00:24:01,040 Speaker 3: to begin with. So, you know, I think I'm trying 455 00:24:01,080 --> 00:24:03,480 Speaker 3: to use numbers to have evidence, and I'm not using 456 00:24:03,520 --> 00:24:06,680 Speaker 3: the numbers to like distort what I'm trying to say. 457 00:24:06,720 --> 00:24:10,840 Speaker 3: I'm not trying to just blow people's minds with crazy numbers. 458 00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:12,800 Speaker 3: I think you have to put everything in context. 459 00:24:12,800 --> 00:24:14,520 Speaker 2: But like the. 460 00:24:14,480 --> 00:24:16,960 Speaker 3: Reality is, I'm not a former player, i am not 461 00:24:17,000 --> 00:24:19,199 Speaker 3: a former coach. If I'm going to say something, I 462 00:24:19,240 --> 00:24:21,400 Speaker 3: have to have evidence for what I say. And so 463 00:24:21,840 --> 00:24:24,920 Speaker 3: some of that evidence is anecdotal, it's big picture watching games, 464 00:24:24,920 --> 00:24:28,840 Speaker 3: and some of it is using data that I trust 465 00:24:28,920 --> 00:24:32,000 Speaker 3: to reinforce that, Okay, this thing I saw actually is 466 00:24:32,240 --> 00:24:33,120 Speaker 3: real and accurate. 467 00:24:33,640 --> 00:24:40,480 Speaker 1: How often do you get calls from scouts, GMS personnel 468 00:24:40,560 --> 00:24:45,560 Speaker 1: people to either yell at you because they disagree or 469 00:24:46,200 --> 00:24:49,720 Speaker 1: tell you like, yeah, you're totally nailing it. 470 00:24:50,520 --> 00:24:55,160 Speaker 3: I got one during our taping, so just now, yeah, 471 00:24:55,320 --> 00:25:01,840 Speaker 3: just once every half hour. So during the during the 472 00:25:01,880 --> 00:25:04,240 Speaker 3: first few days of free agency, people have a little 473 00:25:04,240 --> 00:25:06,320 Speaker 3: bit of free time and they read stuff and want 474 00:25:06,320 --> 00:25:08,720 Speaker 3: to yell at me or it's one actually was more complimentary. 475 00:25:08,800 --> 00:25:11,639 Speaker 1: I was gonna say, give me the context. Did this person. 476 00:25:11,720 --> 00:25:13,560 Speaker 1: Tell me what this person said, you know, tell me 477 00:25:13,800 --> 00:25:14,240 Speaker 1: it was. 478 00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:17,880 Speaker 3: I We'm not going to reveal what I'll tell you 479 00:25:17,920 --> 00:25:22,040 Speaker 3: off the air what the person said, but I'll just 480 00:25:22,040 --> 00:25:25,159 Speaker 3: say it was. Very Rarely, once in a while, I 481 00:25:25,160 --> 00:25:27,280 Speaker 3: get something wrong and so I look at people saying, hey, 482 00:25:27,400 --> 00:25:29,480 Speaker 3: like you didn't consider this, or maybe you didn't realize 483 00:25:29,480 --> 00:25:31,760 Speaker 3: this was the case, and that's that's meaningful and valuable. 484 00:25:32,200 --> 00:25:35,480 Speaker 3: But usually it's more like if it's something they don't like, 485 00:25:36,040 --> 00:25:39,640 Speaker 3: it's usually a thoughtful hey, this is what we were thinking. 486 00:25:40,040 --> 00:25:43,000 Speaker 3: This is why it made sense to us. Sometimes with 487 00:25:43,119 --> 00:25:45,720 Speaker 3: some teams there's there's just straight up anger, like how 488 00:25:45,720 --> 00:25:48,680 Speaker 3: could you even consider this? But usually it's complimentary. Usually 489 00:25:48,680 --> 00:25:51,399 Speaker 3: it's like yeah, glad you saw that. Yeah that makes sense, 490 00:25:51,880 --> 00:25:55,200 Speaker 3: or someone saying, oh, we didn't know why this team 491 00:25:55,240 --> 00:25:57,600 Speaker 3: did this, and it actually made sense when you put 492 00:25:57,680 --> 00:26:01,399 Speaker 3: it in context for me. So it really is more 493 00:26:02,680 --> 00:26:05,480 Speaker 3: it's not as like dramatic they say, what's Every year, 494 00:26:05,840 --> 00:26:09,040 Speaker 3: I get like a really angry executive calling me, and 495 00:26:09,359 --> 00:26:12,280 Speaker 3: that's usually a fun hour where I sit there and 496 00:26:12,320 --> 00:26:15,720 Speaker 3: just sort of like talk them down from whatever they 497 00:26:15,720 --> 00:26:18,200 Speaker 3: want to vented me. But usually it's pretty positive. I 498 00:26:18,200 --> 00:26:22,000 Speaker 3: will say, people generally like people who seek me out, 499 00:26:22,080 --> 00:26:24,919 Speaker 3: who have my number, who are trying to get in 500 00:26:24,960 --> 00:26:27,440 Speaker 3: touch with me usually are more like minded than you 501 00:26:27,520 --> 00:26:27,960 Speaker 3: might think. 502 00:26:28,119 --> 00:26:30,439 Speaker 2: Well, I gotta know, are these teams reaching out to 503 00:26:30,560 --> 00:26:32,920 Speaker 2: my two favorite moves so far this year I've been 504 00:26:32,920 --> 00:26:34,439 Speaker 2: done by the Rams. I love what the Rams have 505 00:26:34,520 --> 00:26:37,560 Speaker 2: done in this freegency. I would love are you getting 506 00:26:37,560 --> 00:26:40,199 Speaker 2: text from people asking you or compting about what are 507 00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:42,680 Speaker 2: the Chiefs doing? This is not the Chiefs were used 508 00:26:42,680 --> 00:26:46,399 Speaker 2: to going out and paying are running back that is 509 00:26:46,440 --> 00:26:48,399 Speaker 2: not worthy of that money? In my opinion, I know 510 00:26:48,440 --> 00:26:51,280 Speaker 2: they have the same number as I do, and it 511 00:26:51,359 --> 00:26:54,400 Speaker 2: is the most desperate, bizarre move by a Chiefs organization 512 00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:58,200 Speaker 2: that seems so smart calculating all their moves. Our teams 513 00:26:58,200 --> 00:27:00,840 Speaker 2: around the league texting you being like laughing about are 514 00:27:00,840 --> 00:27:02,879 Speaker 2: they all saying, oh, this is a good move. What 515 00:27:02,920 --> 00:27:04,639 Speaker 2: are teams saying about the Chiefs? Because I in my 516 00:27:04,800 --> 00:27:07,880 Speaker 2: circles a lot of guys raising eyebrows. It's like something's 517 00:27:07,920 --> 00:27:10,720 Speaker 2: different about the Chiefs organization they've been in the past. Yeah, 518 00:27:10,760 --> 00:27:11,520 Speaker 2: it's a good question. 519 00:27:11,800 --> 00:27:15,119 Speaker 3: I do find that certain teams get the benefit of 520 00:27:15,119 --> 00:27:17,280 Speaker 3: the doubt, you know, like when when the Patriots were 521 00:27:17,359 --> 00:27:21,120 Speaker 3: rolling with Belichick. I remember even publicly, you'd hear about, 522 00:27:21,440 --> 00:27:23,600 Speaker 3: you know, when the Patriots like, what would suggest a 523 00:27:23,680 --> 00:27:26,080 Speaker 3: rule change, people wouldn't want to vote for it because 524 00:27:26,080 --> 00:27:27,960 Speaker 3: they were like, Oh, Belichick knows something we don't. He's 525 00:27:27,960 --> 00:27:30,119 Speaker 3: going to break something that we don't realize. I'm not 526 00:27:30,200 --> 00:27:32,199 Speaker 3: voting for that. I'm not giving Belichick anything, even if 527 00:27:32,200 --> 00:27:34,960 Speaker 3: it was like a totally innocuous rule change. The Chiefs 528 00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:38,119 Speaker 3: don't have that sort of like hold over people, but 529 00:27:38,160 --> 00:27:41,520 Speaker 3: there is an element of like people talk themselves into 530 00:27:41,600 --> 00:27:44,359 Speaker 3: it when it comes to a lot of what the 531 00:27:44,440 --> 00:27:46,600 Speaker 3: Chiefs do. Like I'll give you an example, trading Tyreek 532 00:27:46,640 --> 00:27:49,200 Speaker 3: Hill a couple of years ago. There were definitely people 533 00:27:49,480 --> 00:27:51,239 Speaker 3: who would have you know, I think if it had 534 00:27:51,280 --> 00:27:53,720 Speaker 3: been a different team said, hey, what are they thinking? 535 00:27:54,320 --> 00:27:57,120 Speaker 3: These are the Chiefs. Patrick Mahomes's top receiver is gone. 536 00:27:57,119 --> 00:27:58,760 Speaker 3: He's in the prime of his career. We're in win 537 00:27:58,840 --> 00:28:01,040 Speaker 3: now mode. You're trading him for draft picks, like you 538 00:28:01,040 --> 00:28:02,480 Speaker 3: don't even know who's going to be catching the ball 539 00:28:02,520 --> 00:28:05,679 Speaker 3: for you next year. And that worked out, okay. I 540 00:28:05,680 --> 00:28:07,840 Speaker 3: Mean there wasn't like Terry Hill was bad in Miami. 541 00:28:07,840 --> 00:28:10,680 Speaker 3: He was a superstar for two years, but all things 542 00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:12,760 Speaker 3: being equal, just won two Super Bowls after that. Traine, 543 00:28:12,800 --> 00:28:15,760 Speaker 3: I think it worked. You know, they're not perfect. They 544 00:28:15,760 --> 00:28:20,639 Speaker 3: don't hit a hundred. I understand why they made this 545 00:28:20,760 --> 00:28:23,399 Speaker 3: move for Kenneth Walker. To me, it's about explosive plays. 546 00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:26,040 Speaker 3: They were just not generating anything explosive in their run game, 547 00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:29,159 Speaker 3: and Kenneth Walker is someone who has his limitations. Not 548 00:28:29,200 --> 00:28:31,960 Speaker 3: a great receiver, not a great pass bocker, but does 549 00:28:32,040 --> 00:28:34,639 Speaker 3: create a lot of explosive plays, chunk plays in the 550 00:28:34,720 --> 00:28:36,919 Speaker 3: run game. Who's gonna see a lot of light boxes. 551 00:28:36,920 --> 00:28:39,800 Speaker 3: Based on what Kansas City season defense, Could they have 552 00:28:39,840 --> 00:28:43,760 Speaker 3: gotten that for less money by signing Kenny Gainwell or 553 00:28:43,800 --> 00:28:48,240 Speaker 3: signing ric O'Donnell. I do think so, But I guess 554 00:28:48,720 --> 00:28:52,200 Speaker 3: the thing that I would based on My concern was 555 00:28:52,240 --> 00:28:54,160 Speaker 3: that they were gonna draft Jeremiah Love at nine, and 556 00:28:54,240 --> 00:28:56,400 Speaker 3: Jeremiah is going to be a good player, But the 557 00:28:56,480 --> 00:28:59,680 Speaker 3: opportunity cost of taking a running back at nine when 558 00:28:59,720 --> 00:29:02,680 Speaker 3: you have other positions that are much harder to fill 559 00:29:02,840 --> 00:29:04,920 Speaker 3: that you're going to finally get a chance to address 560 00:29:04,920 --> 00:29:06,280 Speaker 3: in the top ten of the draft, whether that be 561 00:29:06,360 --> 00:29:09,800 Speaker 3: edg Rusher, whether that be tackle, whether that be wide receiver, 562 00:29:09,880 --> 00:29:12,080 Speaker 3: whether it be cornerback, which they have a huge need 563 00:29:12,160 --> 00:29:14,600 Speaker 3: for now with the Rams, like you mentioned sid getting 564 00:29:14,720 --> 00:29:17,800 Speaker 3: Kansas City's two best corners away via trade and via 565 00:29:17,840 --> 00:29:21,280 Speaker 3: free agency, you have to take that shot on those guys. 566 00:29:21,320 --> 00:29:23,720 Speaker 3: Then you just cannot afford to take a running back. 567 00:29:23,880 --> 00:29:24,520 Speaker 2: In the first round. 568 00:29:24,520 --> 00:29:27,200 Speaker 3: We saw them do with clyde Erwards Hilaire and everyone 569 00:29:27,280 --> 00:29:30,040 Speaker 3: loved it. I loved it, scouts loved it. It was 570 00:29:30,080 --> 00:29:32,280 Speaker 3: a great move. And then Jonathan Taylor was off the 571 00:29:32,280 --> 00:29:34,080 Speaker 3: board in the second round and t Higgins was the 572 00:29:34,120 --> 00:29:35,959 Speaker 3: next player taken, and that would have been a much 573 00:29:36,000 --> 00:29:38,240 Speaker 3: more valuable player for them over the ensuing five years, 574 00:29:38,280 --> 00:29:39,880 Speaker 3: even though it didn't look like they needed a wide 575 00:29:39,920 --> 00:29:43,320 Speaker 3: receiver at the time. And so all of this goes 576 00:29:43,360 --> 00:29:47,000 Speaker 3: to say people are generally respectful. There's like there's a 577 00:29:47,000 --> 00:29:49,160 Speaker 3: certain level of reverence for Andy Reid that I feel 578 00:29:49,200 --> 00:29:51,240 Speaker 3: like would lead to if this were a different team, 579 00:29:51,280 --> 00:29:53,080 Speaker 3: I think there'd be more criticism. But I think in 580 00:29:53,120 --> 00:29:55,720 Speaker 3: the NFL, the Chiefs generally get the benefit of the doubt. 581 00:29:56,400 --> 00:29:59,160 Speaker 1: Let's do a quick break from our friends at hard Rock. 582 00:29:59,200 --> 00:30:02,000 Speaker 1: On the other side, I get bills take on desperate 583 00:30:02,040 --> 00:30:07,520 Speaker 1: signings and teams that have improved themselves the most and 584 00:30:07,560 --> 00:30:11,080 Speaker 1: the biggest losers. We'll be right back. Today's show is 585 00:30:11,080 --> 00:30:13,920 Speaker 1: brought to you by our presenting sponsor, hard Rock Bet, 586 00:30:14,080 --> 00:30:18,520 Speaker 1: Florida's sportsbook. March is here and that means college hoops 587 00:30:18,560 --> 00:30:22,440 Speaker 1: take center stage. The stakes are rising, the shots are falling, 588 00:30:22,600 --> 00:30:25,480 Speaker 1: and now is the time to hit the hardwood with 589 00:30:25,640 --> 00:30:30,240 Speaker 1: hard Rock Bet. 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In Ohio, call 609 00:31:34,960 --> 00:31:40,040 Speaker 1: one eight hundred my reset gambling problem called one eight 610 00:31:40,120 --> 00:31:44,040 Speaker 1: hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Tennessee, 611 00:31:44,640 --> 00:31:48,080 Speaker 1: and Virginia. All right, Bill, the person who texted you 612 00:31:48,440 --> 00:31:52,320 Speaker 1: were they like, this was a great take on a 613 00:31:52,640 --> 00:31:56,200 Speaker 1: complimentary move, or whis is a great take on a 614 00:31:56,520 --> 00:31:57,840 Speaker 1: bad move by a team? 615 00:31:58,920 --> 00:31:59,320 Speaker 2: It wasn't. 616 00:31:59,360 --> 00:32:04,280 Speaker 3: It was neither a. It was arguing that a thing 617 00:32:04,400 --> 00:32:05,880 Speaker 3: I did not like was actually good. 618 00:32:06,800 --> 00:32:12,880 Speaker 1: Interesting, interesting. Okay, why can't you tell us that that's Oh, 619 00:32:12,920 --> 00:32:14,400 Speaker 1: you don't want to name the team that you wrote 620 00:32:14,400 --> 00:32:18,600 Speaker 1: about that's involved, got it right? I can respect that, 621 00:32:18,920 --> 00:32:22,880 Speaker 1: but I hope you can respect my follow up as 622 00:32:22,920 --> 00:32:26,560 Speaker 1: a Capitol j journalist to try to get to the 623 00:32:26,600 --> 00:32:31,480 Speaker 1: bottom of this truth. Give me your most improved teams 624 00:32:31,480 --> 00:32:33,680 Speaker 1: because look, a lot of these season win totals haven't 625 00:32:34,400 --> 00:32:37,000 Speaker 1: moved off a free agency in the first twenty four hours. 626 00:32:37,000 --> 00:32:40,600 Speaker 1: So Simon just mentioned the Rams, who are your most 627 00:32:40,640 --> 00:32:44,040 Speaker 1: improved teams right now, including the Chicago Bears. 628 00:32:44,600 --> 00:32:48,240 Speaker 3: I would throw the Rams out there. I love what 629 00:32:48,280 --> 00:32:51,680 Speaker 3: they did. I mean it was attacking their biggest need 630 00:32:51,840 --> 00:32:54,840 Speaker 3: outside of kicker. Kicker is their biggest need. But by 631 00:32:54,880 --> 00:32:57,800 Speaker 3: the way, would you guys not be impressed if the 632 00:32:57,880 --> 00:33:04,160 Speaker 3: Rams offered Harrison or not Harrison Bucker, Brendan Aubrey excuse me, 633 00:33:04,560 --> 00:33:06,680 Speaker 3: very similar names in terms of like if they offered 634 00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:08,520 Speaker 3: Brendan Aubrey ten million dollars a year and dare at 635 00:33:08,560 --> 00:33:11,120 Speaker 3: the Cowboys to match a second round pick. 636 00:33:11,560 --> 00:33:11,760 Speaker 2: Love it. 637 00:33:12,160 --> 00:33:14,080 Speaker 1: But by the way, you talk about Benford of the doubt, 638 00:33:14,240 --> 00:33:17,000 Speaker 1: you're talking about benefit of doubt less Snead would get 639 00:33:17,040 --> 00:33:20,240 Speaker 1: the benefit of the doubt. That that is a brilliant move, 640 00:33:20,640 --> 00:33:23,960 Speaker 1: right If if the Browns did it, they'd be like God, 641 00:33:24,000 --> 00:33:25,040 Speaker 1: the fucking Browns. 642 00:33:24,720 --> 00:33:30,200 Speaker 3: Idiots, no question. But their two biggest weaknesses were in 643 00:33:30,200 --> 00:33:32,840 Speaker 3: the kicking game, on special teams and at quarnerback. When 644 00:33:32,880 --> 00:33:34,720 Speaker 3: they lost games. Last year, they lost to the Eagles, 645 00:33:34,840 --> 00:33:37,040 Speaker 3: They lost to the Carolina Panthers, who we mentioned earlier. 646 00:33:37,240 --> 00:33:40,160 Speaker 3: They lost to the Seahawks in the NFC Championship game. 647 00:33:40,400 --> 00:33:42,080 Speaker 3: They could not stop bigger receivers. 648 00:33:42,120 --> 00:33:42,600 Speaker 2: They were. 649 00:33:43,000 --> 00:33:46,840 Speaker 3: They a great defensive line, young, cheap, super talented, They 650 00:33:46,880 --> 00:33:48,800 Speaker 3: have good safeties. They brought back Cam Curl, which I 651 00:33:48,880 --> 00:33:51,920 Speaker 3: like they were just getting by all your cornerback. It 652 00:33:51,920 --> 00:33:54,960 Speaker 3: was one of those cases where people like me looked 653 00:33:54,960 --> 00:33:58,040 Speaker 3: at the roster in September and said, if they fail, 654 00:33:58,360 --> 00:34:01,480 Speaker 3: it's gonna be because of this, and not always right, 655 00:34:01,840 --> 00:34:03,840 Speaker 3: but this was a case where it was because that 656 00:34:03,880 --> 00:34:06,080 Speaker 3: was what cost them in the biggest games, and so 657 00:34:06,760 --> 00:34:09,960 Speaker 3: I love what they did. They addressed cornerback, the trade, 658 00:34:10,080 --> 00:34:12,160 Speaker 3: the late first round pick. We know le Steed hates 659 00:34:12,360 --> 00:34:14,120 Speaker 3: late first round picks. He loves other picks. I know 660 00:34:14,160 --> 00:34:18,520 Speaker 3: that there's the famous uh okay, I say this in 661 00:34:18,520 --> 00:34:21,799 Speaker 3: a Disney friendly way to heck with those picks. Attitude 662 00:34:22,040 --> 00:34:25,919 Speaker 3: towards uh from Lestie. But that's towards the gay bottom part. 663 00:34:27,000 --> 00:34:31,360 Speaker 1: We am were you're you're on a Colin Cowhard platform. 664 00:34:31,520 --> 00:34:33,360 Speaker 1: He's he's a wild card. 665 00:34:34,880 --> 00:34:39,080 Speaker 3: I I am very reserved. 666 00:34:39,440 --> 00:34:40,200 Speaker 1: Yes of course. 667 00:34:41,200 --> 00:34:44,040 Speaker 3: But but you're talking about a Rams team that needed 668 00:34:44,080 --> 00:34:47,279 Speaker 3: to get cornerback better immediately, because unlike other teams where 669 00:34:47,320 --> 00:34:49,000 Speaker 3: you hear about the Ravens being in win now mode 670 00:34:49,000 --> 00:34:51,640 Speaker 3: when they trade for Max Crosby, the Rams actually are 671 00:34:51,800 --> 00:34:54,640 Speaker 3: in win now mode. There is no solution of quarnerback 672 00:34:54,640 --> 00:34:57,120 Speaker 3: beyond Matthew Stafford, who knows the Sean McVay is going 673 00:34:57,160 --> 00:34:59,200 Speaker 3: to be there when Stafford retires. He's been rumored to 674 00:34:59,239 --> 00:35:01,960 Speaker 3: go to the media. I'm sure he has like a 675 00:35:01,680 --> 00:35:03,600 Speaker 3: you know, a thirty million dollar a year job lined 676 00:35:03,680 --> 00:35:05,600 Speaker 3: up the moment he decides to retire, and he's gonna 677 00:35:05,600 --> 00:35:09,920 Speaker 3: be very good at that. But they need to fix cornerback, 678 00:35:10,000 --> 00:35:12,720 Speaker 3: and so getting Trent McDuffie, who's gonna be the perfect 679 00:35:12,719 --> 00:35:14,960 Speaker 3: fit for what they need playing inside on that side, 680 00:35:15,160 --> 00:35:17,640 Speaker 3: blitzing playing near the line of scrimmage is a great fit. 681 00:35:17,920 --> 00:35:20,879 Speaker 3: And then Jalen Watson giving one touchdown over the last 682 00:35:20,880 --> 00:35:24,479 Speaker 3: two years at cornerback and again a very achieve plays 683 00:35:24,480 --> 00:35:27,680 Speaker 3: a lot of man forces you to cover against exotic 684 00:35:27,719 --> 00:35:29,319 Speaker 3: blitzz that forces you to play in a lot of 685 00:35:29,600 --> 00:35:32,080 Speaker 3: sub packages. That's what the Rams want to do. They 686 00:35:32,120 --> 00:35:35,640 Speaker 3: played dime four times the league average rate. Last year, 687 00:35:35,640 --> 00:35:37,560 Speaker 3: they played dime more than anybody else in football, and 688 00:35:37,560 --> 00:35:39,400 Speaker 3: they would have played it more if they had defensive 689 00:35:39,400 --> 00:35:43,359 Speaker 3: backs and cornerbacks specifically they felt good about. Now they 690 00:35:43,360 --> 00:35:45,600 Speaker 3: can live in that world. They can play five six 691 00:35:45,640 --> 00:35:47,640 Speaker 3: defensive backs all the time, the way the Seahawks did 692 00:35:47,840 --> 00:35:50,040 Speaker 3: on their way to the Super Bowl. They can play 693 00:35:50,040 --> 00:35:52,200 Speaker 3: coverage behind those great front four. They can run all 694 00:35:52,200 --> 00:35:55,240 Speaker 3: the exotic blitzer and sim pressures they want. That feels 695 00:35:55,280 --> 00:35:59,120 Speaker 3: like just the perfect fit for what the Rams needed. 696 00:35:59,239 --> 00:36:02,360 Speaker 3: And then I'll give you another one. I will not 697 00:36:02,480 --> 00:36:05,600 Speaker 3: go far from Los Angeles. I will go to Las Vegas, 698 00:36:05,960 --> 00:36:09,840 Speaker 3: where the last Vegas Raiders did spend a lot of money. 699 00:36:10,080 --> 00:36:15,719 Speaker 3: And like the economist in me, I'm not a trained economist, 700 00:36:15,719 --> 00:36:19,080 Speaker 3: but the economist in me knows and paying Tyler Linderbaum 701 00:36:19,160 --> 00:36:22,840 Speaker 3: fifty percent more per year than any center in NFL 702 00:36:22,920 --> 00:36:27,320 Speaker 3: history is too much money. But that's not my problem. 703 00:36:27,680 --> 00:36:30,200 Speaker 3: I'm not paying the money. They don't have a significant 704 00:36:30,200 --> 00:36:33,400 Speaker 3: opportunity cost because they have a ton of money to spend. 705 00:36:33,560 --> 00:36:36,440 Speaker 3: They're gonna have a quarterback, the first overall pick, presumably 706 00:36:36,440 --> 00:36:39,239 Speaker 3: in Fernando Mendoza, who needs help their offensive line on 707 00:36:39,280 --> 00:36:42,040 Speaker 3: the interior was a mess last year, and you're bringing 708 00:36:42,080 --> 00:36:44,000 Speaker 3: in a guy who is gonna help you in all 709 00:36:44,000 --> 00:36:46,360 Speaker 3: facets of the game. He's gonna help your quarterback in protection. 710 00:36:46,680 --> 00:36:49,279 Speaker 3: He's good, a pretty good, I think, an underrated one 711 00:36:49,280 --> 00:36:51,400 Speaker 3: on one pass blocker at center. Next Gen stats with 712 00:36:51,480 --> 00:36:52,920 Speaker 3: him as like one of the best of one to 713 00:36:53,000 --> 00:36:55,160 Speaker 3: one blockers at center in all of football last year, 714 00:36:55,560 --> 00:36:57,600 Speaker 3: and he's a great piece in the run game. Klint 715 00:36:57,640 --> 00:37:00,920 Speaker 3: Kubiak plays, as we saw at Seattle, a very zone heavy, 716 00:37:01,960 --> 00:37:05,120 Speaker 3: moving the interior. Ligneman a lot of screens. You need 717 00:37:05,200 --> 00:37:07,800 Speaker 3: mobile interior alignment for that offense that scheme to work, 718 00:37:08,040 --> 00:37:10,719 Speaker 3: and Linderbom is a great fit there. On defense, they 719 00:37:10,760 --> 00:37:12,399 Speaker 3: brought back Eric Stokes, so I think was really good 720 00:37:12,440 --> 00:37:16,000 Speaker 3: last year behind a very bad pass rush Kway Walker 721 00:37:16,200 --> 00:37:19,399 Speaker 3: Nikobe Dean much improves at a linebacker. Some guys who 722 00:37:19,400 --> 00:37:23,239 Speaker 3: can blitz, who can play in coverage. There's still work 723 00:37:23,320 --> 00:37:25,200 Speaker 3: to be done. I didn't love signing Jillen Naylor for 724 00:37:25,280 --> 00:37:27,239 Speaker 3: more than ten million dollars eleven million dollars a year. 725 00:37:27,840 --> 00:37:30,000 Speaker 3: They still need another wide receiver. I thought they might 726 00:37:30,080 --> 00:37:31,719 Speaker 3: make a run at Mike Evans, who ended up going, 727 00:37:31,760 --> 00:37:34,680 Speaker 3: of course to the Niners. They still need pieces up front. 728 00:37:34,680 --> 00:37:36,840 Speaker 3: They just lost Max Crosby, who's pretty darn good. But 729 00:37:37,520 --> 00:37:41,400 Speaker 3: there's a much more realistic sense to what can we 730 00:37:41,480 --> 00:37:45,000 Speaker 3: do to get better quickly logically, and they have those 731 00:37:45,000 --> 00:37:46,600 Speaker 3: two first round picks, which is gonna go a long 732 00:37:46,640 --> 00:37:48,160 Speaker 3: way Simon. 733 00:37:49,080 --> 00:37:54,360 Speaker 1: The Rams right now are plus seven to seventy five 734 00:37:54,800 --> 00:37:57,520 Speaker 1: to win the Super Bowl. They have the shortest odds 735 00:37:57,719 --> 00:38:01,960 Speaker 1: other than the Seahawks. The Raiders are one hundred and 736 00:38:02,040 --> 00:38:05,359 Speaker 1: fifty to one to win the Super Bowl. Well, I'm 737 00:38:05,400 --> 00:38:07,759 Speaker 1: not saying the Raiders can win the Super Bowl, but 738 00:38:08,160 --> 00:38:11,239 Speaker 1: I do love what the Raiders have done, not just 739 00:38:11,360 --> 00:38:14,560 Speaker 1: in and also they get Colton millerback, who was an 740 00:38:14,560 --> 00:38:17,760 Speaker 1: excellent offensive lineman and when he went down that really 741 00:38:17,840 --> 00:38:22,640 Speaker 1: changed the trajectory of their team. I think they're putting 742 00:38:22,719 --> 00:38:28,560 Speaker 1: together a team that will support Fernando Mendoza. But also 743 00:38:28,640 --> 00:38:31,120 Speaker 1: Klint Kubiak like, how often do we see these teams 744 00:38:32,520 --> 00:38:36,080 Speaker 1: hire a coach and then not give them any pieces 745 00:38:36,120 --> 00:38:39,520 Speaker 1: that are helpful to what they like to do. The 746 00:38:39,600 --> 00:38:43,400 Speaker 1: Jets never give their coaches help, right, You got to 747 00:38:43,440 --> 00:38:45,239 Speaker 1: admire a little bit of what the Raiders are doing here. 748 00:38:45,920 --> 00:38:49,040 Speaker 2: Love that organizationally, it just shows that you know, they 749 00:38:49,520 --> 00:38:54,280 Speaker 2: missed last year, right Pete Gino, huge swing, huge miss. 750 00:38:55,160 --> 00:38:57,400 Speaker 2: They'll always have that Week one against the Patriots that 751 00:38:57,600 --> 00:39:01,200 Speaker 2: was that was their super Bowl. But to me, I 752 00:39:01,239 --> 00:39:02,799 Speaker 2: love all these I already knew me and you were 753 00:39:02,840 --> 00:39:05,080 Speaker 2: probably gonna be on there over five and a half 754 00:39:05,280 --> 00:39:07,760 Speaker 2: at hard Rock. But I look at all these lines 755 00:39:07,760 --> 00:39:10,120 Speaker 2: and I just think to myself, Okay, we have a 756 00:39:10,200 --> 00:39:12,600 Speaker 2: quarterback we love, that's a winner. We have an offensive 757 00:39:12,640 --> 00:39:15,799 Speaker 2: mind that seems like he's pretty smart, like caters to 758 00:39:15,880 --> 00:39:18,560 Speaker 2: his guys' strengths, of voys the weaknesses. And then you 759 00:39:18,600 --> 00:39:20,880 Speaker 2: see what they've done in the offseason, attack in that 760 00:39:20,920 --> 00:39:23,680 Speaker 2: offensive line, attacking the defense, which was to me a 761 00:39:23,719 --> 00:39:25,879 Speaker 2: lost cause it's like this, this defense is gonna take 762 00:39:25,920 --> 00:39:28,919 Speaker 2: three years to fix, not an offseason. So that's still 763 00:39:28,920 --> 00:39:32,200 Speaker 2: gonna be a major weakness. But Brenana Mendoza a winner 764 00:39:32,400 --> 00:39:35,640 Speaker 2: with that team. I can talk myself into them getting 765 00:39:35,640 --> 00:39:38,879 Speaker 2: a couple wins here in this division that everyone's so on, 766 00:39:39,000 --> 00:39:41,799 Speaker 2: the Chargers, so on, the Chiefs so on. You know 767 00:39:42,080 --> 00:39:45,160 Speaker 2: what could possibly be another great year from Denver. No 768 00:39:45,200 --> 00:39:47,400 Speaker 2: one's gonna be thinking about this Vegas team so I 769 00:39:47,440 --> 00:39:49,839 Speaker 2: do think. I like what Bills take is like it's 770 00:39:49,840 --> 00:39:52,440 Speaker 2: a they're a sneaky team, where yes, they've overpaid for guys, 771 00:39:52,440 --> 00:39:54,840 Speaker 2: but like Bill said, it's the guys you want to 772 00:39:54,840 --> 00:39:58,200 Speaker 2: overpay with the center with a young quarterback, that's my 773 00:39:58,320 --> 00:40:00,879 Speaker 2: dream scenario. Pay that man that money. I know Bill 774 00:40:00,880 --> 00:40:04,239 Speaker 2: agrees with that, but I just the Jason Kelcey, what 775 00:40:04,280 --> 00:40:06,160 Speaker 2: he did for Hurtz. And you've heard all these other 776 00:40:06,200 --> 00:40:08,759 Speaker 2: quarterbacks talk about how important the center is that can 777 00:40:08,840 --> 00:40:11,239 Speaker 2: call what the what they're going to do, all on 778 00:40:11,280 --> 00:40:14,160 Speaker 2: the offensive line. It's just massive. So I love that 779 00:40:14,239 --> 00:40:16,040 Speaker 2: tick from Bill. 780 00:40:16,239 --> 00:40:19,719 Speaker 3: Yeah, I will say when when you see teams make 781 00:40:19,760 --> 00:40:23,480 Speaker 3: a significant leap, the two things that almost always change 782 00:40:24,080 --> 00:40:28,080 Speaker 3: are upgraded quarterback, upgrade a head coach. The Raiders could 783 00:40:28,080 --> 00:40:31,080 Speaker 3: make that case. The only problem is I was sitting 784 00:40:31,160 --> 00:40:33,600 Speaker 3: here a year ago and saying, yeah, I think the 785 00:40:33,719 --> 00:40:35,960 Speaker 3: Raiders are going to be better because they upgraded a 786 00:40:36,040 --> 00:40:38,799 Speaker 3: quarterback and upgraded the head coach. And it turned out 787 00:40:39,400 --> 00:40:42,200 Speaker 3: they did not upgrade a quarterback or upgraded a head coach. 788 00:40:43,200 --> 00:40:46,480 Speaker 1: Who are And by the way, Bill, your breakdown in 789 00:40:46,520 --> 00:40:52,799 Speaker 1: the column today about the salaries for centers and the 790 00:40:52,840 --> 00:40:57,520 Speaker 1: decision matrix that the Ravens went through for Linderbaum when 791 00:40:57,560 --> 00:41:00,400 Speaker 1: his option came up, and how the market has just 792 00:41:00,480 --> 00:41:08,000 Speaker 1: exploded was great. But I'm I'm surprised they didn't. I'm 793 00:41:08,040 --> 00:41:11,000 Speaker 1: surprised they didn't do it last year when it's become 794 00:41:11,080 --> 00:41:13,520 Speaker 1: so clear how important the center is. Like, as a 795 00:41:13,560 --> 00:41:17,520 Speaker 1: Bears fan, I'm freaking out that Drew Dollman retired, right 796 00:41:17,719 --> 00:41:21,239 Speaker 1: And like, I know, that's not on anyone's radar and 797 00:41:21,320 --> 00:41:23,880 Speaker 1: it was a one day blip of a story. But 798 00:41:23,920 --> 00:41:25,480 Speaker 1: I can tell you right now, the text chain that 799 00:41:25,560 --> 00:41:27,279 Speaker 1: is going on between me and my kid about Drew 800 00:41:27,320 --> 00:41:33,400 Speaker 1: Dolmen is intense because the centers, because of Jason Kelcey, 801 00:41:34,000 --> 00:41:35,640 Speaker 1: have been elevated in importance. 802 00:41:37,880 --> 00:41:42,480 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, it is a legitimately important position and 803 00:41:42,520 --> 00:41:46,840 Speaker 3: it's just making your young quarterbacks life easier. I just 804 00:41:46,880 --> 00:41:50,200 Speaker 3: think about Mahomes who had as a consenter's his entire career, 805 00:41:50,239 --> 00:41:52,920 Speaker 3: most recently Creed Humphrey, who's the highest paid center in football. 806 00:41:53,320 --> 00:41:55,080 Speaker 1: Like you said, not anymore. 807 00:41:55,480 --> 00:41:57,920 Speaker 3: Not anymore, but he was for a long was for 808 00:41:57,960 --> 00:42:02,040 Speaker 3: a couple of years. It's just like, and you think 809 00:42:02,080 --> 00:42:04,319 Speaker 3: about some guys who have struggled, who have not had 810 00:42:04,360 --> 00:42:07,280 Speaker 3: great centers. To Jay Stroud has not ever really developed 811 00:42:07,320 --> 00:42:08,719 Speaker 3: beyond what he was as a rookie, even though I 812 00:42:08,719 --> 00:42:11,680 Speaker 3: think he's an awesome player, because they have had different 813 00:42:11,719 --> 00:42:14,319 Speaker 3: centers and not very good centers each season for him 814 00:42:14,640 --> 00:42:18,759 Speaker 3: in Houston. It really is a I think it's something 815 00:42:18,760 --> 00:42:21,680 Speaker 3: that has been underrated when it comes to evaluating players. 816 00:42:21,680 --> 00:42:23,719 Speaker 3: I think it's not true for every team. Like I 817 00:42:23,760 --> 00:42:26,160 Speaker 3: think it's nice for Tom Brady to have a good center, 818 00:42:26,239 --> 00:42:29,000 Speaker 3: but like Tom Brady was able to set his own protections, 819 00:42:29,040 --> 00:42:32,400 Speaker 3: reset them, get the ball out quick, redefenses like not 820 00:42:32,440 --> 00:42:35,279 Speaker 3: that young quarterbacks can't do that. It's just tougher. And 821 00:42:35,320 --> 00:42:38,080 Speaker 3: so I do believe this is a position that was 822 00:42:38,280 --> 00:42:40,640 Speaker 3: probably underpaid for a while. 823 00:42:40,840 --> 00:42:42,080 Speaker 2: And we'll see. 824 00:42:42,000 --> 00:42:43,920 Speaker 3: Other teams might say, hey, this is a contract that 825 00:42:43,920 --> 00:42:45,640 Speaker 3: we're not gonna match. But I think a lot of 826 00:42:45,640 --> 00:42:48,200 Speaker 3: guys are gonna get paid based off of what Linderbaum 827 00:42:48,320 --> 00:42:49,520 Speaker 3: just got from the Raiders. 828 00:42:49,800 --> 00:42:51,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, I totally agree this. I mean, it's you don't 829 00:42:51,719 --> 00:42:54,560 Speaker 2: overpay for center. Few of Matthew Stafford, right, you overpay 830 00:42:54,640 --> 00:42:57,160 Speaker 2: him if you've got a young quarterback. That's that to 831 00:42:57,200 --> 00:42:58,880 Speaker 2: me is nail on the head. And you know, I 832 00:42:58,920 --> 00:43:00,839 Speaker 2: don't want to be the negative. God, we do need 833 00:43:00,880 --> 00:43:02,640 Speaker 2: to get the teams that didn't make any moves, who 834 00:43:02,719 --> 00:43:05,200 Speaker 2: was least improved. And you know, me and Chad joked 835 00:43:05,239 --> 00:43:08,000 Speaker 2: back going back five years, I wondered what my Eagles 836 00:43:08,000 --> 00:43:10,560 Speaker 2: team just did. They didn't make a single move. That's 837 00:43:10,640 --> 00:43:13,520 Speaker 2: the dream. That means you've drafted really well, you're paying 838 00:43:13,560 --> 00:43:15,879 Speaker 2: in house. That's where you want to be in life. 839 00:43:15,880 --> 00:43:20,000 Speaker 2: But we saw last year New England biggest spender out 840 00:43:20,040 --> 00:43:21,920 Speaker 2: of every team in the off season. They made two 841 00:43:21,920 --> 00:43:24,560 Speaker 2: Super Bowl So now people are a little torn because 842 00:43:24,600 --> 00:43:27,240 Speaker 2: it's like, Okay, the cap has moved so much nowadays, 843 00:43:27,239 --> 00:43:29,600 Speaker 2: you do want to spend the offseason, but there's a balance, 844 00:43:29,680 --> 00:43:32,080 Speaker 2: right If you're not paying your own homegrown guys, you 845 00:43:32,120 --> 00:43:34,000 Speaker 2: are missing out. So am I am I over thinking 846 00:43:34,000 --> 00:43:36,080 Speaker 2: of the Eagles missing out right now because they've made 847 00:43:36,160 --> 00:43:38,920 Speaker 2: zero moves and they do need pieces, right, they need 848 00:43:38,920 --> 00:43:41,319 Speaker 2: a tight end. They need to do something. But how 849 00:43:41,320 --> 00:43:42,360 Speaker 2: he's being very patient. 850 00:43:43,000 --> 00:43:45,680 Speaker 3: I would give them an incomplete. I mean when I 851 00:43:45,719 --> 00:43:47,759 Speaker 3: used to do grades for ESPN when it came to 852 00:43:47,760 --> 00:43:49,919 Speaker 3: free agency, and the first eight grades, I'm not gonna 853 00:43:49,960 --> 00:43:52,600 Speaker 3: lie always a little more negative than people thought. Because 854 00:43:52,640 --> 00:43:55,719 Speaker 3: those moves typically do not work out. I mean, it's 855 00:43:55,719 --> 00:43:58,319 Speaker 3: just a really low hit rate for for moves on 856 00:43:58,360 --> 00:43:59,920 Speaker 3: the on the first day, the first sort of third 857 00:44:00,200 --> 00:44:03,920 Speaker 3: six hours of free agency. So it's incomplete. Because if 858 00:44:04,040 --> 00:44:06,160 Speaker 3: we're sitting here a month from now and they have 859 00:44:06,160 --> 00:44:08,799 Speaker 3: not done anything, that to me is a problem. They 860 00:44:08,800 --> 00:44:12,280 Speaker 3: have pieces they need to add. They could add another 861 00:44:12,280 --> 00:44:14,760 Speaker 3: outside corner back. They're gonna have to Ad Campbell takeover 862 00:44:14,760 --> 00:44:16,920 Speaker 3: for Ni Kobe Dean. But that defensive line was not 863 00:44:16,960 --> 00:44:19,239 Speaker 3: as deep last year as it wasn't years past. Now 864 00:44:19,280 --> 00:44:21,680 Speaker 3: they've lost Dylan Phillips, They've lost Brandon Graham to retirement. 865 00:44:21,680 --> 00:44:23,919 Speaker 3: They're gonna have to rebuild a little bit of their 866 00:44:23,960 --> 00:44:27,120 Speaker 3: depth along the defensive line. Maybe let's sign Trey Hendrickson. 867 00:44:27,239 --> 00:44:29,000 Speaker 3: Will be sitting here saying, well, Eagles made a big 868 00:44:29,000 --> 00:44:31,080 Speaker 3: splash and just waited a day to do it. But 869 00:44:31,440 --> 00:44:34,160 Speaker 3: I do think they're in a good spot. I mean, 870 00:44:34,200 --> 00:44:36,320 Speaker 3: like you said, Jordan Davis, they signed to an extension, 871 00:44:36,320 --> 00:44:38,440 Speaker 3: They're gonna have Jyllan Carter coming to do for an extension. 872 00:44:38,880 --> 00:44:41,280 Speaker 3: We don't know what's gonna happen with AJ Brown. Obviously, 873 00:44:41,280 --> 00:44:42,960 Speaker 3: that could stretch all the way until the summer. I 874 00:44:43,000 --> 00:44:45,880 Speaker 3: still think he's gonna stay in the big picture, so 875 00:44:46,040 --> 00:44:48,760 Speaker 3: that to me is an incomplete grade. I would say 876 00:44:49,480 --> 00:44:52,960 Speaker 3: a team that I think has negatively harmed themselves is 877 00:44:53,040 --> 00:44:56,440 Speaker 3: the Baltimore Ravens, where I know they traded for Max Crosby. 878 00:44:56,680 --> 00:45:00,479 Speaker 3: Max Crosby is an awesome football player, but they trade 879 00:45:00,480 --> 00:45:02,880 Speaker 3: two first round picks to get Max Crosby as he 880 00:45:02,920 --> 00:45:05,319 Speaker 3: approaches his age twenty nine season, He's still going to 881 00:45:05,320 --> 00:45:07,600 Speaker 3: be a good player. But you're not like the Rams 882 00:45:07,640 --> 00:45:10,200 Speaker 3: trading for guys as they're entering their peak or for 883 00:45:10,239 --> 00:45:13,400 Speaker 3: a quarterback. We just haven't seen teams give up that 884 00:45:13,520 --> 00:45:16,120 Speaker 3: much for guys at this point of their careers in 885 00:45:16,160 --> 00:45:18,120 Speaker 3: a very long time. That's just not a trade we 886 00:45:18,160 --> 00:45:21,080 Speaker 3: have seen. The Ravens needed edge rusher help. They struck 887 00:45:21,080 --> 00:45:22,960 Speaker 3: out in some of their guys. They traded at Al Fayoway, 888 00:45:23,040 --> 00:45:25,960 Speaker 3: who signed elsewhere in free agency after we got traded 889 00:45:26,000 --> 00:45:29,279 Speaker 3: to the Chargers. But that team now is missing two 890 00:45:29,280 --> 00:45:32,600 Speaker 3: first round picks. They lost a bunch of valuable pieces. Yesterday. 891 00:45:32,640 --> 00:45:35,440 Speaker 3: They lost Isaiah Likely Draymond Jones, who was starting on 892 00:45:35,440 --> 00:45:37,200 Speaker 3: the edge for them, A Lohi Gilman who really helped 893 00:45:37,239 --> 00:45:40,799 Speaker 3: them after he came over. It's safety, and you just 894 00:45:40,880 --> 00:45:44,760 Speaker 3: don't have as many pieces to resolve those missing holes 895 00:45:44,760 --> 00:45:46,600 Speaker 3: in the roster. And I think I look at that 896 00:45:46,600 --> 00:45:49,160 Speaker 3: team when I think, Okay, they draft really well usually, 897 00:45:49,200 --> 00:45:50,879 Speaker 3: but now you're missing your two top picks. You can't 898 00:45:50,920 --> 00:45:52,760 Speaker 3: trade down out of the first round. You're not getting 899 00:45:53,000 --> 00:45:55,440 Speaker 3: those Kyle Hamilton caliber pieces in the first round who 900 00:45:55,440 --> 00:45:58,680 Speaker 3: are going to be your incredible surplus value options. They're 901 00:45:58,719 --> 00:46:01,680 Speaker 3: going to have to hit on all of those second, third, fourth, 902 00:46:01,719 --> 00:46:04,319 Speaker 3: fifth round picks or a lot of them. You can 903 00:46:04,440 --> 00:46:06,640 Speaker 3: do that, but do you have a quarterback making as 904 00:46:06,680 --> 00:46:08,560 Speaker 3: much as Lamar Jackson's gonna make on his new deal, 905 00:46:08,719 --> 00:46:11,720 Speaker 3: as much as Max Crosby's making, as Kyle Hamilton, ropequand 906 00:46:11,760 --> 00:46:13,160 Speaker 3: Smith Rodney Stanley's making. 907 00:46:13,480 --> 00:46:14,600 Speaker 2: They have a really. 908 00:46:14,360 --> 00:46:17,680 Speaker 3: Expensive top four, top five, top six on that roster 909 00:46:17,960 --> 00:46:21,240 Speaker 3: and a lot of guys who unfortunately have significant injury 910 00:46:21,239 --> 00:46:25,120 Speaker 3: histories over the last few years, and so it feels 911 00:46:25,239 --> 00:46:27,320 Speaker 3: very tenuous to me. It feels like they're going to 912 00:46:27,360 --> 00:46:29,839 Speaker 3: be very top heavy, and that's just not a good 913 00:46:29,880 --> 00:46:31,960 Speaker 3: place to be. You really have to get everything right 914 00:46:32,000 --> 00:46:35,120 Speaker 3: to win with that formula. And I don't know if 915 00:46:35,120 --> 00:46:36,080 Speaker 3: that's gonna happen. 916 00:46:35,800 --> 00:46:42,480 Speaker 1: For the Baltimore You Simon before, actually you mentioned CJ. Stroud, 917 00:46:43,320 --> 00:46:46,440 Speaker 1: and you also noted in the column in terms of 918 00:46:46,480 --> 00:46:48,960 Speaker 1: teams that did not do them out any favor and 919 00:46:49,000 --> 00:46:51,719 Speaker 1: do themselves any favors, the Houston Texas are one of them. 920 00:46:52,160 --> 00:46:53,000 Speaker 1: Explain yourself. 921 00:46:53,680 --> 00:46:56,799 Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't know if you guys watched the postseason 922 00:46:56,840 --> 00:46:59,359 Speaker 3: game where c J. Stroud got the heck beat out 923 00:46:59,400 --> 00:47:02,719 Speaker 3: of him by the Patriots in the snow. The Texans 924 00:47:02,719 --> 00:47:05,080 Speaker 3: saw that, and we're like, yeah, we're good. Yeah, back 925 00:47:05,160 --> 00:47:07,040 Speaker 3: pretty much with these dudes, I felt like we were 926 00:47:07,040 --> 00:47:09,520 Speaker 3: on the good spot. I mean, they trade away Titus Howard, 927 00:47:09,560 --> 00:47:12,240 Speaker 3: who had passed, played some right tackle, played left guard. 928 00:47:12,280 --> 00:47:15,000 Speaker 3: Was expensive. I think he wants to play right tackle, 929 00:47:15,000 --> 00:47:16,400 Speaker 3: and I don't think Heuston wants to play him in 930 00:47:16,480 --> 00:47:20,920 Speaker 3: right tackle. But you're down one lineman. You trade Jew Scruggs, 931 00:47:20,920 --> 00:47:22,520 Speaker 3: who has not worked out as a second round pick. Okay, 932 00:47:22,520 --> 00:47:26,760 Speaker 3: you're down another offensive lineman. You bring back Ed Ingram, 933 00:47:26,760 --> 00:47:29,160 Speaker 3: who was a okay run blocker last year, not a 934 00:47:29,160 --> 00:47:31,239 Speaker 3: good pass bocker. One thing to bring him back and 935 00:47:31,239 --> 00:47:32,759 Speaker 3: pay him a couple million dollars the way they did 936 00:47:32,840 --> 00:47:34,839 Speaker 3: last year, in the final year of his deal, they 937 00:47:34,880 --> 00:47:38,040 Speaker 3: give him thirteen million dollars a year or so on 938 00:47:38,080 --> 00:47:40,319 Speaker 3: a contract they used signed Trent Brown, who was a 939 00:47:40,440 --> 00:47:43,439 Speaker 3: good player when he's healthy, but he's missed significant time 940 00:47:43,880 --> 00:47:45,919 Speaker 3: pretty much every single year since he won the Super 941 00:47:45,920 --> 00:47:48,680 Speaker 3: Bowl at the Patriots. And he's getting up to seven 942 00:47:48,719 --> 00:47:50,880 Speaker 3: million dollars. The money's not a big conservative were just 943 00:47:50,920 --> 00:47:52,560 Speaker 3: they're putting him in and saying, Okay, you're gonna be 944 00:47:52,640 --> 00:47:55,160 Speaker 3: our right tackle. We're gonna count on you. I know 945 00:47:55,200 --> 00:47:58,640 Speaker 3: they have the draft still to come, but they trade 946 00:47:58,640 --> 00:48:01,560 Speaker 3: a fourth round pick for David Montgomery, who's going from 947 00:48:01,600 --> 00:48:03,680 Speaker 3: one of the best situations for running back in football 948 00:48:03,719 --> 00:48:05,840 Speaker 3: to one of the worst situations in football. It just 949 00:48:05,840 --> 00:48:10,080 Speaker 3: feels like they're shopping in the wrong order. They're getting 950 00:48:10,120 --> 00:48:11,920 Speaker 3: the running back first when you should be getting the 951 00:48:12,000 --> 00:48:14,520 Speaker 3: running back last, and fixing the line first, and so 952 00:48:15,120 --> 00:48:18,680 Speaker 3: it just feels like there's last year they decided to 953 00:48:18,680 --> 00:48:21,239 Speaker 3: fix the offensive line by shaking everything up, trading way 954 00:48:21,320 --> 00:48:24,400 Speaker 3: Larramy Tunsil, moving everybody around, drafting a bunch of guys, 955 00:48:24,440 --> 00:48:26,640 Speaker 3: acquiring a bunch of guys. Nothing wrong with that. I 956 00:48:26,680 --> 00:48:29,359 Speaker 3: could see the logic and doing most of that. Now 957 00:48:29,400 --> 00:48:31,680 Speaker 3: it feels like that didn't work, So our new solution 958 00:48:31,800 --> 00:48:34,040 Speaker 3: is just to keep everything pretty much back in place 959 00:48:34,080 --> 00:48:36,680 Speaker 3: and just kind of get your continuity. It just feels 960 00:48:36,680 --> 00:48:39,200 Speaker 3: like they're like min maxing these strategies. Doesn't feel like 961 00:48:39,200 --> 00:48:42,320 Speaker 3: there's any real long term vision to how to build 962 00:48:42,520 --> 00:48:46,439 Speaker 3: the infrastructure around CJ. Stroud And now CJ. Strowd's gonna 963 00:48:46,440 --> 00:48:48,479 Speaker 3: get expensive. Ja Strowd is eligible for a new deal, 964 00:48:48,960 --> 00:48:51,480 Speaker 3: and I would bet his agent's going to be asking, 965 00:48:51,480 --> 00:48:53,680 Speaker 3: even though he played poorly last year for a contract 966 00:48:53,760 --> 00:48:56,359 Speaker 3: that starts with a six for sixty million dollars plus 967 00:48:56,440 --> 00:48:59,560 Speaker 3: a season. Well, Anderson, who is awesome, one of the 968 00:48:59,600 --> 00:49:01,680 Speaker 3: best player in football, is going to get a new deal. 969 00:49:01,719 --> 00:49:04,040 Speaker 3: He's going to be the highest paid at rusher, highest 970 00:49:04,040 --> 00:49:06,719 Speaker 3: paid defender in football when he signed to do contract 971 00:49:06,800 --> 00:49:08,600 Speaker 3: that's going to be forty five million dollars a year 972 00:49:08,680 --> 00:49:09,080 Speaker 3: or more. 973 00:49:09,440 --> 00:49:09,520 Speaker 2: So. 974 00:49:09,640 --> 00:49:13,760 Speaker 3: Now, if you can't win or can't build a great team, 975 00:49:14,200 --> 00:49:17,880 Speaker 3: when CJ. Startle, Will Anderson are making fifteen million dollars 976 00:49:17,880 --> 00:49:20,319 Speaker 3: a year, how are you gonna do that? When they're 977 00:49:20,320 --> 00:49:23,000 Speaker 3: making one hundred and five million dollars a year, which 978 00:49:23,040 --> 00:49:26,000 Speaker 3: is where they're gonna be as early as twenty twenty. 979 00:49:25,719 --> 00:49:29,600 Speaker 1: Six along these lines. Not that we like to be 980 00:49:29,680 --> 00:49:37,279 Speaker 1: negative because I'm irrationally optimistic, but what's signing to you 981 00:49:38,760 --> 00:49:42,720 Speaker 1: has been the most desperate signing. 982 00:49:43,440 --> 00:49:47,239 Speaker 3: I'll go Tennessee. Where I like Tennessee. This year, I 983 00:49:47,239 --> 00:49:50,200 Speaker 3: think cam Ward was sort of like you're one Drake 984 00:49:50,280 --> 00:49:52,360 Speaker 3: Mayish in a lot of ways where you watch the 985 00:49:52,400 --> 00:49:55,239 Speaker 3: tape and you're like, man, this dude is getting no help, 986 00:49:55,480 --> 00:49:57,799 Speaker 3: but there's so much fun stuff. He's hidden throws, he's 987 00:49:57,800 --> 00:50:02,320 Speaker 3: making plays. I think he's really good. But they needed 988 00:50:02,320 --> 00:50:05,440 Speaker 3: to add help for cam Ward this offseason, and Brian 989 00:50:05,520 --> 00:50:08,960 Speaker 3: Dabele was like, guys, I know exactly the place to go. 990 00:50:10,360 --> 00:50:14,520 Speaker 3: The New York Giants. We're gonna run it back. We're 991 00:50:14,560 --> 00:50:16,640 Speaker 3: gonna go to Tennessee. A lot of people move from 992 00:50:16,640 --> 00:50:18,440 Speaker 3: New York to the South as they get older. They 993 00:50:18,440 --> 00:50:20,879 Speaker 3: want to be in warmer weather. I understand nothing wrong 994 00:50:20,920 --> 00:50:24,920 Speaker 3: with that, but Wandell Robinson is like kind of a 995 00:50:24,960 --> 00:50:27,719 Speaker 3: gadget player. Jam Mary d k was a gadget player 996 00:50:27,719 --> 00:50:30,719 Speaker 3: for Tennessee last year. It's kind of marginalizing one of 997 00:50:30,719 --> 00:50:32,919 Speaker 3: your more exciting young players from last year's roster, which 998 00:50:32,920 --> 00:50:35,520 Speaker 3: they did not have very many of Unfortunately, they signed 999 00:50:35,560 --> 00:50:38,040 Speaker 3: Daniel Bellinger. Okay, you did a blocking tight end. He's okay, 1000 00:50:39,480 --> 00:50:41,160 Speaker 3: Dan to one of the worst run games in football 1001 00:50:41,160 --> 00:50:43,319 Speaker 3: when he was there. They pay him eight million dollars 1002 00:50:43,360 --> 00:50:45,840 Speaker 3: a year. I mean, you really needed to get a 1003 00:50:45,960 --> 00:50:48,399 Speaker 3: Day one blocking tight end just because he knew Brian 1004 00:50:48,440 --> 00:50:50,120 Speaker 3: Dabeles scene. He couldn't have waited for one of the 1005 00:50:50,160 --> 00:50:52,279 Speaker 3: eighty four other blocking tight ends. We were gonna make 1006 00:50:52,520 --> 00:50:54,960 Speaker 3: a million or two million dollars a couple weeks from 1007 00:50:55,000 --> 00:51:00,640 Speaker 3: now to get that deal done. It just felt very 1008 00:51:00,800 --> 00:51:03,160 Speaker 3: It felt like they knew we needed to add something, 1009 00:51:03,760 --> 00:51:07,960 Speaker 3: but they added pieces that good teams develop, where they 1010 00:51:08,520 --> 00:51:10,920 Speaker 3: find a catch a guy in the on Day three 1011 00:51:10,960 --> 00:51:12,600 Speaker 3: of the draft, the way that that d game might 1012 00:51:12,640 --> 00:51:15,120 Speaker 3: have been. They find blocking tight ends in the draft 1013 00:51:15,400 --> 00:51:18,399 Speaker 3: or in frenency for a couple million dollars. Tennessee paid 1014 00:51:18,400 --> 00:51:20,480 Speaker 3: a premium to add those guys, and I don't think 1015 00:51:20,480 --> 00:51:23,120 Speaker 3: they've really solved anything. They still need a receiving tight end, 1016 00:51:23,360 --> 00:51:25,719 Speaker 3: they still need a running back who they trust in 1017 00:51:25,760 --> 00:51:28,200 Speaker 3: pass protection. They still need a number one wide receiver, 1018 00:51:28,680 --> 00:51:30,600 Speaker 3: and maybe they get Jeremiah up, maybe that solves one 1019 00:51:30,600 --> 00:51:33,560 Speaker 3: of their problems. I hope it does, but they just 1020 00:51:33,680 --> 00:51:36,279 Speaker 3: it feels like they didn't really solve anything and spent 1021 00:51:36,360 --> 00:51:39,000 Speaker 3: twenty five million dollars a year in the process. 1022 00:51:39,920 --> 00:51:41,920 Speaker 2: You don't know, Oh yeah, go ahead, So I go 1023 00:51:41,920 --> 00:51:44,359 Speaker 2: with Pittsburgh. I don't really get. I just I don't 1024 00:51:44,400 --> 00:51:46,960 Speaker 2: know who they are anymore. Chad. It's it's like you've 1025 00:51:46,960 --> 00:51:49,640 Speaker 2: been in love for ten years with a woman and 1026 00:51:49,680 --> 00:51:51,160 Speaker 2: then you wake up one day you just don't know 1027 00:51:51,160 --> 00:51:53,160 Speaker 2: who she is anymore. That's how I feel about Pittsburgh. 1028 00:51:53,160 --> 00:51:56,400 Speaker 2: They are not who they used to be. They used 1029 00:51:56,440 --> 00:51:58,440 Speaker 2: to pay guys in house. Now they're going out and 1030 00:51:58,440 --> 00:52:01,800 Speaker 2: signing a second receiver. The whole thing is so bizarre. 1031 00:52:01,840 --> 00:52:04,680 Speaker 2: Maybe they know they're getting Rogers back, but I didn't 1032 00:52:04,719 --> 00:52:07,080 Speaker 2: understand that signing, like they're you know, they're paying a 1033 00:52:07,120 --> 00:52:11,200 Speaker 2: linebacker they didn't really need, you know. It's I had 1034 00:52:11,239 --> 00:52:14,719 Speaker 2: a lot of questions about Pittsburgh and the Colts. I'm 1035 00:52:14,719 --> 00:52:17,080 Speaker 2: totally lost with them, and they they put themselves at 1036 00:52:17,080 --> 00:52:19,080 Speaker 2: a corner now where Daniel Jones is asking for real 1037 00:52:19,120 --> 00:52:21,640 Speaker 2: money even though he's not a real quarterback there he 1038 00:52:21,680 --> 00:52:24,800 Speaker 2: had eight good games and he's looking for fifteen million 1039 00:52:24,840 --> 00:52:27,480 Speaker 2: a year. Where if I am them. If they had 1040 00:52:27,480 --> 00:52:30,839 Speaker 2: a real owner, they would step in and they would say, 1041 00:52:30,960 --> 00:52:33,880 Speaker 2: we're going Kyler one point five million and roll the dice. 1042 00:52:34,160 --> 00:52:38,120 Speaker 2: I would much rather that than committing three years fifteen 1043 00:52:38,120 --> 00:52:41,080 Speaker 2: million per year to Daniel Jones. I could not believe 1044 00:52:41,120 --> 00:52:45,160 Speaker 2: Daniel Jones' agency's asking for that money. I feel bad 1045 00:52:45,160 --> 00:52:46,960 Speaker 2: for the Colts. They're totally stuck, and I'll give you 1046 00:52:47,000 --> 00:52:49,719 Speaker 2: one sleeper team. I actually loved that. No one's giving 1047 00:52:49,760 --> 00:52:51,759 Speaker 2: any love out there. I need to give a little 1048 00:52:51,800 --> 00:52:55,200 Speaker 2: love to them, because Chad knows. I basically went scorch 1049 00:52:55,280 --> 00:52:58,880 Speaker 2: earth on this organization, Arizona Cardinals. I basically said they 1050 00:52:58,880 --> 00:53:01,719 Speaker 2: should fold up. They shouldn't finish that last year. After 1051 00:53:01,760 --> 00:53:04,680 Speaker 2: that embarrassing with lost of Tennessee, the owner listened to 1052 00:53:05,080 --> 00:53:07,799 Speaker 2: me and all the fans, he is burning it all down. 1053 00:53:07,880 --> 00:53:09,319 Speaker 2: That's what they need to do. They need to burn 1054 00:53:09,360 --> 00:53:11,480 Speaker 2: it all down. I know people are like, well, they 1055 00:53:11,560 --> 00:53:14,239 Speaker 2: signed Minshew, I think, and they're gonna roll Brissett at 1056 00:53:14,280 --> 00:53:17,439 Speaker 2: the quarterback again. Yes, that is exactly what you want. 1057 00:53:17,480 --> 00:53:20,879 Speaker 2: In that division. You are five years behind every team 1058 00:53:20,920 --> 00:53:23,160 Speaker 2: of your division. You were in the hardest division of football. 1059 00:53:23,520 --> 00:53:25,239 Speaker 2: You need to do what Arizona did, so I am 1060 00:53:25,360 --> 00:53:28,200 Speaker 2: so happy Arizona is going this route because you know, 1061 00:53:28,600 --> 00:53:30,880 Speaker 2: if Manning is that guy Manning has a great year 1062 00:53:30,920 --> 00:53:33,399 Speaker 2: and he's gonna be a number one pick, Arizona set 1063 00:53:33,440 --> 00:53:35,640 Speaker 2: themselves right up for that. Them and the Jets are 1064 00:53:35,640 --> 00:53:37,799 Speaker 2: trying to set themselves up for that Banning Whoever's gonna 1065 00:53:37,800 --> 00:53:39,920 Speaker 2: be a number one pick. And I think Arizona right 1066 00:53:39,960 --> 00:53:42,400 Speaker 2: now is the lead start because I think the Jets 1067 00:53:42,400 --> 00:53:44,719 Speaker 2: are just a very still I'm scale stub called Jets 1068 00:53:44,719 --> 00:53:47,480 Speaker 2: an organization. I know what they're really doing. Arizona, I 1069 00:53:47,520 --> 00:53:49,600 Speaker 2: know exactly what they're doing right now. They are all 1070 00:53:49,640 --> 00:53:52,040 Speaker 2: in I'll get to that number one pick and restarting this. 1071 00:53:52,120 --> 00:53:54,520 Speaker 2: So yeah, I'll give a little bit of love Arizona 1072 00:53:54,560 --> 00:53:56,480 Speaker 2: not taking the over four and a half, that's definitely 1073 00:53:56,480 --> 00:53:58,560 Speaker 2: an underlook. But yeah, that that to me is a 1074 00:53:58,560 --> 00:54:01,080 Speaker 2: team that no one's talking about them because theydn't do much. 1075 00:54:01,080 --> 00:54:04,960 Speaker 2: But I love the full on tank by them. Yeah. 1076 00:54:05,200 --> 00:54:07,560 Speaker 3: I like what the Cardinals did. I think they're in 1077 00:54:07,600 --> 00:54:09,440 Speaker 3: a good spot. Like you said, for many of the 1078 00:54:09,440 --> 00:54:16,160 Speaker 3: reasons that you suggested. The Steelers, it just feels like 1079 00:54:16,360 --> 00:54:20,680 Speaker 3: they have a very deluded idea of where they stand 1080 00:54:20,920 --> 00:54:23,680 Speaker 3: and what they need to be. The way I described 1081 00:54:23,680 --> 00:54:26,760 Speaker 3: them a couple of weeks ago, was incurious about baking 1082 00:54:26,800 --> 00:54:29,720 Speaker 3: it past the opening round of the playoffs. No, everyone 1083 00:54:29,719 --> 00:54:31,360 Speaker 3: else is trying to win a Super Bowl, or I 1084 00:54:31,360 --> 00:54:33,520 Speaker 3: guess the Cardinals are trying to get art manding. The 1085 00:54:33,560 --> 00:54:37,360 Speaker 3: Steelers are trying to make it to the postseason and 1086 00:54:37,400 --> 00:54:39,759 Speaker 3: don't care about anything else once they get there. And 1087 00:54:39,840 --> 00:54:41,800 Speaker 3: so when you look at their moves from that lens, 1088 00:54:41,840 --> 00:54:44,440 Speaker 3: it makes sense you trade for Michael Pittman, who's basically 1089 00:54:44,480 --> 00:54:46,719 Speaker 3: a salary dump for the Colts when they signed Alec Pierce. Well, 1090 00:54:47,800 --> 00:54:50,080 Speaker 3: Michael Pittman's averaged like ten yards a reception over the 1091 00:54:50,160 --> 00:54:52,440 Speaker 3: last few years. That is perfect for the Steelers. That's 1092 00:54:52,480 --> 00:54:54,839 Speaker 3: exactly what Aaron Rodgers wants to do. Get the ball out, quick, 1093 00:54:55,160 --> 00:54:58,600 Speaker 3: throw screens, throw slants, don't get hit, move on, have 1094 00:54:58,680 --> 00:55:01,480 Speaker 3: a nice day. They sided good player, not a question 1095 00:55:01,520 --> 00:55:05,520 Speaker 3: about adding a good player. But they have signed veteran 1096 00:55:05,560 --> 00:55:11,160 Speaker 3: cornerback after veteran cornerback Patrick Peterson Jalen Ramsey in years past, 1097 00:55:11,160 --> 00:55:14,000 Speaker 3: and those moves typically have not been great for the 1098 00:55:14,040 --> 00:55:16,600 Speaker 3: Pittsburgh So they having with those guys to safety by 1099 00:55:16,719 --> 00:55:17,359 Speaker 3: the bid. 1100 00:55:17,400 --> 00:55:19,520 Speaker 2: Do you think Joey Porter Junior is a number one 1101 00:55:19,560 --> 00:55:21,120 Speaker 2: corner in this league. 1102 00:55:21,360 --> 00:55:25,640 Speaker 3: He's really good. But I just to your point, like 1103 00:55:26,400 --> 00:55:29,000 Speaker 3: I think about I actually rot about this. When Tomlin left, 1104 00:55:29,680 --> 00:55:31,560 Speaker 3: I went back and looked at all of those great 1105 00:55:31,600 --> 00:55:33,959 Speaker 3: Steelers teams who made it in the Super Bowl under 1106 00:55:34,000 --> 00:55:38,239 Speaker 3: tom On under Cower twenty one twenty two of their 1107 00:55:38,280 --> 00:55:40,200 Speaker 3: most used players were guys who were drafted by the 1108 00:55:40,200 --> 00:55:42,400 Speaker 3: Steelers or aujected free agents with the Steelers brought in 1109 00:55:42,440 --> 00:55:45,400 Speaker 3: and developed. They were not training for DK Metcalf, they 1110 00:55:45,440 --> 00:55:47,920 Speaker 3: were not training for Michael Pittman, they were not importing 1111 00:55:48,000 --> 00:55:51,560 Speaker 3: half of their roster from outside the building. And that 1112 00:55:51,600 --> 00:55:54,120 Speaker 3: feels like they just have lost what makes the Steelers 1113 00:55:54,160 --> 00:55:57,640 Speaker 3: the Steelers. They have really talented young players. Joey Porter's good, 1114 00:55:58,440 --> 00:56:01,640 Speaker 3: kelevib Benton is good, May Simmercormick is good, Troy Fotana 1115 00:56:01,760 --> 00:56:05,359 Speaker 3: is good, Zach Fraser's good. If they just leaned into that, 1116 00:56:05,960 --> 00:56:08,160 Speaker 3: I think they would be fine. But leading into that 1117 00:56:08,200 --> 00:56:09,960 Speaker 3: means you're going to have a two or three year 1118 00:56:10,000 --> 00:56:12,920 Speaker 3: window where you stake, and the Steelers would rather go 1119 00:56:13,080 --> 00:56:15,239 Speaker 3: nine to eight year after year after year. And I 1120 00:56:15,280 --> 00:56:17,520 Speaker 3: have no hope of winning a Super Bowl, then take 1121 00:56:17,600 --> 00:56:20,239 Speaker 3: that step backwards in the hopes of actually taking a 1122 00:56:20,239 --> 00:56:23,080 Speaker 3: bigger step forward if they can find a young quarterback 1123 00:56:23,120 --> 00:56:23,960 Speaker 3: and build around it. 1124 00:56:25,840 --> 00:56:30,800 Speaker 1: Bill Barnwell, you get the last word, I'm sharp or square. 1125 00:56:31,680 --> 00:56:36,160 Speaker 1: This month, as a reminder, we'll still have new episodes 1126 00:56:36,160 --> 00:56:39,560 Speaker 1: every Tuesday and Thursday. This Thursday, one of my favorite 1127 00:56:39,600 --> 00:56:42,799 Speaker 1: episodes of the year, we're talking Academy Awards with our 1128 00:56:42,800 --> 00:56:47,200 Speaker 1: good friend, Hollywood insider Michael Lasker, who knows everything about 1129 00:56:47,200 --> 00:56:50,160 Speaker 1: the Askers. Then next week we got March Madness, part 1130 00:56:50,200 --> 00:56:53,480 Speaker 1: two of our NFL Win Totals episode, which is rapidly 1131 00:56:53,560 --> 00:56:57,800 Speaker 1: changing given the free agency dynamics. This has been Sharper Square, 1132 00:56:57,880 --> 00:57:00,719 Speaker 1: part of the Volume podcast Network. I want to thank 1133 00:57:01,200 --> 00:57:04,640 Speaker 1: Bill Barnwell. Go listen to The Bill Barnwell Show from 1134 00:57:04,719 --> 00:57:09,480 Speaker 1: our friends at ESPN Watch or listen on YouTube at 1135 00:57:09,480 --> 00:57:11,840 Speaker 1: Sharper Square. Like this video, Subscribe to the channel download 1136 00:57:11,880 --> 00:57:14,080 Speaker 1: from Spotify Apple Pods where we get your pods, rate reviews. 1137 00:57:14,080 --> 00:57:17,280 Speaker 1: Subscribe Levis five stars say whatever you want. Feedback is 1138 00:57:17,320 --> 00:57:19,680 Speaker 1: a gift. Until next time, Love you,