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Now here's 10 00:00:27,080 --> 00:00:30,800 Speaker 1: a highlight from Coast to Coast AM on iHeart Radio 11 00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:33,720 Speaker 1: and welcome back our final segment with Bart costco as 12 00:00:33,760 --> 00:00:36,000 Speaker 1: we take your phone calls. He is a professor of 13 00:00:36,000 --> 00:00:40,199 Speaker 1: PhD of d, of course, and he is the doctor. 14 00:00:40,600 --> 00:00:43,559 Speaker 1: He is a professor of electrical engineering and Law at 15 00:00:43,560 --> 00:00:47,800 Speaker 1: the University of Southern California and an award winning pioneer 16 00:00:47,840 --> 00:00:51,400 Speaker 1: and author in the machine learning fields of artificial intelligence 17 00:00:51,400 --> 00:00:55,480 Speaker 1: and neural networks. What do you think comes first, Bart uh, 18 00:00:55,640 --> 00:01:01,880 Speaker 1: the bigger breakthroughs an AI or the neural network technology? 19 00:01:01,800 --> 00:01:04,800 Speaker 1: The pretty much the same these days, George. Neural networks 20 00:01:04,959 --> 00:01:07,640 Speaker 1: used to be considered separate from AI. For example, I 21 00:01:07,760 --> 00:01:12,399 Speaker 1: organized the first I Tripoli International Conference. We call that 22 00:01:12,480 --> 00:01:15,760 Speaker 1: the Big Bang of pomputer neural networks. And in those 23 00:01:15,880 --> 00:01:18,200 Speaker 1: days it was very separate. Neural networks was on the 24 00:01:18,200 --> 00:01:21,800 Speaker 1: electrical engineering side. AI was on the computer science side. 25 00:01:21,840 --> 00:01:25,120 Speaker 1: Today they have fully merged. But there's a problem. What 26 00:01:25,280 --> 00:01:28,880 Speaker 1: neural networks do and do real well as recognized patterns. 27 00:01:28,920 --> 00:01:32,160 Speaker 1: They work in an effect at the subconscious level. But 28 00:01:32,240 --> 00:01:35,880 Speaker 1: what they don't do is reason well. And that's the 29 00:01:36,000 --> 00:01:39,280 Speaker 1: next step in AI where we can go beyond merely 30 00:01:39,319 --> 00:01:42,560 Speaker 1: recognizing patterns like your face and an image or looking 31 00:01:42,880 --> 00:01:47,800 Speaker 1: at a cancer padge at cancer pattern in a display 32 00:01:47,840 --> 00:01:52,160 Speaker 1: on the screen, go from that to intelligent reasoning, way 33 00:01:52,200 --> 00:01:56,960 Speaker 1: beyond what we have today. And it's just the way 34 00:01:57,000 --> 00:02:00,320 Speaker 1: the technology is moving is amazing. What is fuel the 35 00:02:00,440 --> 00:02:05,120 Speaker 1: rapid speed of it. What's happening at the computer level, 36 00:02:05,280 --> 00:02:08,600 Speaker 1: it's the rapid increase in ship density, and that is 37 00:02:08,639 --> 00:02:11,440 Speaker 1: to say, the on off circuits and something called Moore's law. 38 00:02:11,480 --> 00:02:14,280 Speaker 1: It was doubling about every eighteen months or two years. 39 00:02:14,280 --> 00:02:16,480 Speaker 1: That slowed down a little bit, but it's still continuing 40 00:02:16,560 --> 00:02:18,639 Speaker 1: and some version of it will continue for a long time. 41 00:02:19,040 --> 00:02:21,920 Speaker 1: So a lot of what you're seeing today is simply 42 00:02:22,160 --> 00:02:25,760 Speaker 1: very very old algorithm, especially for example, new networks running 43 00:02:25,760 --> 00:02:30,040 Speaker 1: on vastly faster computers. Are there other countries that are 44 00:02:30,120 --> 00:02:35,080 Speaker 1: keeping pace with us in this arena? Absolutely? For example, 45 00:02:35,400 --> 00:02:38,760 Speaker 1: is maybe not at the forefront, but it is certainly trying. 46 00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:43,200 Speaker 1: It has I think a superior educational infrastructure. Russia is 47 00:02:43,240 --> 00:02:48,000 Speaker 1: another company. How about India. I think India's is it 48 00:02:48,080 --> 00:02:51,280 Speaker 1: still has that British system, and they have this wonderful 49 00:02:51,360 --> 00:02:55,400 Speaker 1: system called the Indian Institute of Technology. I T we 50 00:02:55,880 --> 00:02:59,600 Speaker 1: all scramble to higher I I t a PhD students 51 00:03:00,200 --> 00:03:03,160 Speaker 1: and it's it trains well and it has a lot 52 00:03:03,200 --> 00:03:07,120 Speaker 1: of entrepreneurs. Between those two countries George, India and Chinese, 53 00:03:07,120 --> 00:03:10,120 Speaker 1: you've got a third of the planet. And many other 54 00:03:10,160 --> 00:03:14,400 Speaker 1: countries are far ahead Europe, for example, Britain. So it's 55 00:03:14,440 --> 00:03:17,680 Speaker 1: not just a US game anymore. It's worldwide. Part Apple 56 00:03:17,760 --> 00:03:22,040 Speaker 1: says that's going to stop revealing individual sales of its iPhones, 57 00:03:22,080 --> 00:03:25,480 Speaker 1: it's iPads and things like that. They're you know, a 58 00:03:25,560 --> 00:03:28,919 Speaker 1: free technology is beginning to slow down. How much more 59 00:03:29,000 --> 00:03:32,600 Speaker 1: can you keep changing things? My gosh, a lot, an 60 00:03:32,600 --> 00:03:36,640 Speaker 1: awful lot, really, absolutely again, most of the algorithms that 61 00:03:36,720 --> 00:03:40,080 Speaker 1: we have don't scale up. This is another problem. They 62 00:03:40,160 --> 00:03:43,560 Speaker 1: run into what we call the curse of dimensionality. And 63 00:03:43,720 --> 00:03:45,280 Speaker 1: it's one of the one of the few things that 64 00:03:45,400 --> 00:03:47,560 Speaker 1: works and keeps working, is that what I mentioned before 65 00:03:47,600 --> 00:03:51,040 Speaker 1: the break Monte Carlo. It doesn't depend upon the number 66 00:03:51,080 --> 00:03:53,120 Speaker 1: of dimensions. So for example, in finance, if you have 67 00:03:53,160 --> 00:03:56,120 Speaker 1: a portfolio with a few stocks and bonds, it's very 68 00:03:56,120 --> 00:03:59,240 Speaker 1: difficult predicting its future. As you add more stocks and 69 00:03:59,360 --> 00:04:02,520 Speaker 1: bonds to the at the dimensionality increases, it comes much 70 00:04:02,560 --> 00:04:06,400 Speaker 1: more difficult. And without a simulation technique like Monte Carlo 71 00:04:06,520 --> 00:04:09,240 Speaker 1: enhanced by computers, we would be pretty much had a 72 00:04:09,240 --> 00:04:12,760 Speaker 1: loss already. So that's going to continue. But the next 73 00:04:13,520 --> 00:04:16,160 Speaker 1: great leap is when we go from an effect of 74 00:04:16,240 --> 00:04:19,040 Speaker 1: subconscious of AI where we are now to the more 75 00:04:19,040 --> 00:04:21,680 Speaker 1: of the conscious part. And fuzzy logic, by the way, 76 00:04:21,760 --> 00:04:25,080 Speaker 1: is a very big part of that other other than 77 00:04:25,400 --> 00:04:29,480 Speaker 1: of course, um like my with my smartphone, I can text, 78 00:04:29,680 --> 00:04:32,479 Speaker 1: I can call, I can go online, I can look 79 00:04:32,480 --> 00:04:35,279 Speaker 1: at the internet, I can email. What more do I 80 00:04:35,320 --> 00:04:37,760 Speaker 1: want to do? Well, one thing you want to do 81 00:04:37,839 --> 00:04:40,920 Speaker 1: is have image recognition. So when you go shopping, you 82 00:04:41,040 --> 00:04:42,560 Speaker 1: come out of the store and so where did I 83 00:04:42,600 --> 00:04:45,320 Speaker 1: park my car? You've lost your car and you want 84 00:04:45,360 --> 00:04:47,560 Speaker 1: to hold up your smartphone so it can scan the 85 00:04:47,600 --> 00:04:51,159 Speaker 1: parking lot and recognize your car or similar cars. That's 86 00:04:51,200 --> 00:04:55,760 Speaker 1: a very tough computational problem, but it is something that's feasible. 87 00:04:55,920 --> 00:04:58,240 Speaker 1: It's something we can do right now if the computers 88 00:04:58,240 --> 00:04:59,839 Speaker 1: go fast. Well, there's a matter of fact, there's a 89 00:05:00,000 --> 00:05:02,680 Speaker 1: company that has that where you can you get a 90 00:05:02,720 --> 00:05:06,680 Speaker 1: little device from them which you keep in your cigarette 91 00:05:06,760 --> 00:05:09,400 Speaker 1: lighter in your car and then you get the app 92 00:05:09,800 --> 00:05:11,960 Speaker 1: and you turn the app on and it finds your 93 00:05:11,960 --> 00:05:15,200 Speaker 1: car for you. Right. But beyond that, just the ability 94 00:05:15,279 --> 00:05:18,719 Speaker 1: to walk through the shopping mall and to recognize different 95 00:05:18,800 --> 00:05:22,560 Speaker 1: kinds of objects. That's something that's beyond the current capability. 96 00:05:22,560 --> 00:05:25,280 Speaker 1: But it's coming. And what's in your smartphone I think 97 00:05:25,279 --> 00:05:28,400 Speaker 1: will likely be in some form embedded in your retina. 98 00:05:28,680 --> 00:05:31,600 Speaker 1: That's where this is headed, I believe. And look at 99 00:05:31,640 --> 00:05:34,520 Speaker 1: the brains behind this stuff, you know, beyond Facebook and 100 00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:37,599 Speaker 1: what they've done for you know, the social networking, whether 101 00:05:37,640 --> 00:05:41,000 Speaker 1: you like it or not. Um look at the technology 102 00:05:41,040 --> 00:05:45,200 Speaker 1: of Uber for example. Uh, you know, I love our 103 00:05:45,240 --> 00:05:47,599 Speaker 1: cab drivers. We had lots of cab drivers who listen 104 00:05:47,640 --> 00:05:51,919 Speaker 1: to our program. Uh. Yet Uber technology has really hurt 105 00:05:51,960 --> 00:05:56,680 Speaker 1: the cab business uh in more ways than one. But 106 00:05:56,920 --> 00:05:59,960 Speaker 1: I mean, what an amazing technology. Bart. You could literally 107 00:06:00,240 --> 00:06:04,839 Speaker 1: see the car of the driver coming to pick you up, 108 00:06:05,640 --> 00:06:09,560 Speaker 1: going down the road, making a turn, stopping, and then 109 00:06:09,600 --> 00:06:11,960 Speaker 1: you see it coming down with its lights on if 110 00:06:11,960 --> 00:06:13,800 Speaker 1: it's at night, and you go look there it is, 111 00:06:13,880 --> 00:06:15,680 Speaker 1: and you look at your phone and it matches it. 112 00:06:16,440 --> 00:06:19,720 Speaker 1: I mean, my gosh, who came up with that? A 113 00:06:19,720 --> 00:06:22,760 Speaker 1: lot of people didn't. That also depends on GPS. But 114 00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:25,640 Speaker 1: what we really want wanted for decades or smart cars 115 00:06:26,160 --> 00:06:28,440 Speaker 1: that you can just sit in the back and I 116 00:06:28,440 --> 00:06:30,400 Speaker 1: don't want to do that. Well, you don't want to 117 00:06:30,400 --> 00:06:32,760 Speaker 1: do it now, George, but in the future I think 118 00:06:33,200 --> 00:06:35,360 Speaker 1: I think you will want to and I definitely because 119 00:06:35,360 --> 00:06:37,839 Speaker 1: of jobs. I don't want to see a driverless truck. 120 00:06:38,960 --> 00:06:41,320 Speaker 1: I think that's a very long way off. There'll still 121 00:06:41,360 --> 00:06:45,240 Speaker 1: be truck drivers. I think, to the first approximation, this 122 00:06:45,240 --> 00:06:48,520 Speaker 1: will assist them and what they do will drive more efficiently. 123 00:06:48,880 --> 00:06:51,359 Speaker 1: But it takes something like Uber, the smart car and 124 00:06:51,480 --> 00:06:55,760 Speaker 1: many other devices. There is an inevitable automation here and 125 00:06:55,800 --> 00:06:58,560 Speaker 1: so some jobs will inevitably be lost or reduced, and 126 00:06:58,600 --> 00:07:04,200 Speaker 1: many many others will be hated. What's next for smart technology? 127 00:07:04,240 --> 00:07:06,640 Speaker 1: I mean, I didn't think of Uberg. I didn't even 128 00:07:06,640 --> 00:07:09,560 Speaker 1: cross my mind. As a matter of fact, it was 129 00:07:09,600 --> 00:07:12,480 Speaker 1: a couple of years ago. Some people in Los Angeles 130 00:07:13,280 --> 00:07:15,960 Speaker 1: has said, Hey, we're going to take an Uber home 131 00:07:15,960 --> 00:07:18,760 Speaker 1: and I want what's that? I mean, they knew about 132 00:07:18,760 --> 00:07:21,520 Speaker 1: it way before I did, and then it started catching 133 00:07:21,600 --> 00:07:23,960 Speaker 1: on and it turned out to be huge. They even 134 00:07:24,000 --> 00:07:28,200 Speaker 1: started advertising on our program a year ago. There's something else, George, 135 00:07:28,240 --> 00:07:31,960 Speaker 1: that is coming. We have a forerunner and that's what's 136 00:07:32,000 --> 00:07:36,040 Speaker 1: called blockchain. And the great example that is bitcoin. Okay 137 00:07:36,280 --> 00:07:39,320 Speaker 1: came into existence almost exactly ten years ago with this 138 00:07:40,240 --> 00:07:43,440 Speaker 1: anonymous genius that goes by the name of Satashi Nakamoto. 139 00:07:43,480 --> 00:07:44,840 Speaker 1: We we gotta who he is. We can give this 140 00:07:44,880 --> 00:07:47,840 Speaker 1: guy a Nobel Prize in economics. It was probably worth 141 00:07:47,880 --> 00:07:51,400 Speaker 1: a hundred billion dollars, probably worth more than Jeff Bezos 142 00:07:51,440 --> 00:07:54,960 Speaker 1: from Amazon well be but he introduced something or they 143 00:07:55,040 --> 00:07:59,120 Speaker 1: introduced something, whoever Satashi is, that is truly radical in 144 00:07:59,120 --> 00:08:02,160 Speaker 1: the smart world. The idea of a secure ledger. If 145 00:08:02,200 --> 00:08:04,280 Speaker 1: I want to sell my house to you or vice versa. 146 00:08:04,360 --> 00:08:06,560 Speaker 1: You had and I go through an scrow, we have 147 00:08:06,560 --> 00:08:10,400 Speaker 1: a trusted third party. Blockchain gets rid of that. It's 148 00:08:10,440 --> 00:08:14,920 Speaker 1: an open ledger, and yet it's cryptographically secure, and that's 149 00:08:14,960 --> 00:08:19,040 Speaker 1: something secure severely lacking, and not just implants and devices 150 00:08:19,080 --> 00:08:21,320 Speaker 1: like that, but really in all of our communications, can 151 00:08:21,360 --> 00:08:24,440 Speaker 1: you trust it? I think you can trust blockchain because 152 00:08:24,480 --> 00:08:28,520 Speaker 1: in order to outsmart it, you would need vast computational facilities, 153 00:08:29,040 --> 00:08:30,680 Speaker 1: and that's one of the genius things about it. But 154 00:08:30,720 --> 00:08:33,120 Speaker 1: blockchain has many many of their applications. In fact, it's 155 00:08:33,120 --> 00:08:36,080 Speaker 1: one of the ways to boost the security of the 156 00:08:36,120 --> 00:08:38,920 Speaker 1: Internet of things. But no one saw that coming. And 157 00:08:39,120 --> 00:08:41,920 Speaker 1: just think about it. We have a currency actually is 158 00:08:41,960 --> 00:08:44,400 Speaker 1: more than one. But just to take bitcoin that has 159 00:08:44,400 --> 00:08:46,760 Speaker 1: no government behind it, and a lot of governments are 160 00:08:46,800 --> 00:08:49,560 Speaker 1: quite suspicious of it hasn't been perfect. No, you and 161 00:08:49,600 --> 00:08:52,640 Speaker 1: I can't walk into a store in general and purchase 162 00:08:52,720 --> 00:08:55,480 Speaker 1: coffee with bitcoin, and a lot of criminals use that. 163 00:08:55,520 --> 00:08:58,600 Speaker 1: I understand that. But it's amazing, George, that this thing 164 00:08:58,720 --> 00:09:01,640 Speaker 1: exists at all and persists after ten years and a 165 00:09:01,679 --> 00:09:04,360 Speaker 1: lot of attempts to bring it down. That is pretty 166 00:09:04,440 --> 00:09:08,280 Speaker 1: radical in it promises something that we're severely lacking with 167 00:09:08,320 --> 00:09:11,320 Speaker 1: the Internet and social media. It is amazing. Listen to 168 00:09:11,360 --> 00:09:14,319 Speaker 1: more Coast to Coast a m. Every weeknight at one 169 00:09:14,400 --> 00:09:17,120 Speaker 1: a m. Eastern and go to Coast to Coast am 170 00:09:17,200 --> 00:09:18,200 Speaker 1: dot com for more