1 00:00:02,440 --> 00:00:08,039 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. As we make our 2 00:00:08,039 --> 00:00:10,640 Speaker 1: way into a fresh trading and business week. We're here, 3 00:00:10,640 --> 00:00:13,360 Speaker 1: of course, at the first HSBC Global Investment sum and 4 00:00:13,440 --> 00:00:15,440 Speaker 1: it begins today. It's for three days, of course, of 5 00:00:15,480 --> 00:00:18,200 Speaker 1: a thousand more than a thousand people gathering here. We'll 6 00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:19,800 Speaker 1: talk more really of what's in store and what the 7 00:00:19,840 --> 00:00:22,960 Speaker 1: plans are these next few days or so. In the meantime, though, 8 00:00:23,040 --> 00:00:25,799 Speaker 1: let's have a conversation with someone I think who works. 9 00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:26,000 Speaker 2: At the bank. 10 00:00:26,079 --> 00:00:29,920 Speaker 1: Nol QUINNBC CEO is here with us on set to 11 00:00:29,920 --> 00:00:31,800 Speaker 1: discuss its Good morning, and thank you for having us here. 12 00:00:31,840 --> 00:00:32,680 Speaker 2: By the way, thank you. 13 00:00:33,080 --> 00:00:35,960 Speaker 1: So we were supposed to start this interview about ten 14 00:00:35,960 --> 00:00:38,840 Speaker 1: to fifteen minutes earlier, but I understand we had competition 15 00:00:39,400 --> 00:00:41,760 Speaker 1: with John Lee, the Hong Kong Chief Executive, wanted some 16 00:00:41,840 --> 00:00:45,160 Speaker 1: minutes of your time indulge us. What did you guys 17 00:00:45,360 --> 00:00:45,840 Speaker 1: talk about. 18 00:00:46,000 --> 00:00:48,200 Speaker 3: It's a really good conversation with John, and he really 19 00:00:48,320 --> 00:00:51,720 Speaker 3: reinforced this commitment so continuing to develop the economy of 20 00:00:52,000 --> 00:00:55,800 Speaker 3: Hong Kong very much focused on how we build new 21 00:00:55,840 --> 00:00:58,800 Speaker 3: momentum into the economy, and that's what this conference is 22 00:00:58,800 --> 00:01:02,680 Speaker 3: all about. The Global Investment it's really all about connecting 23 00:01:03,080 --> 00:01:05,680 Speaker 3: the economies of the world. And we've got over three thousand, 24 00:01:05,760 --> 00:01:09,120 Speaker 3: five hundred dedicates here this week, over oney one hundred 25 00:01:09,120 --> 00:01:13,600 Speaker 3: financial institutions from around the world, over forty countries represented, 26 00:01:14,160 --> 00:01:17,720 Speaker 3: and we got over two hundred and fifty corporates presenting 27 00:01:17,760 --> 00:01:20,880 Speaker 3: to those financial institutions. In total, I think there's going 28 00:01:20,920 --> 00:01:23,920 Speaker 3: to be around about five thousand blateral meetings taking place 29 00:01:24,000 --> 00:01:27,479 Speaker 3: between institutions and corporates. And the whole purpose of this 30 00:01:28,080 --> 00:01:30,960 Speaker 3: is to talk about the development of the world economy, 31 00:01:31,120 --> 00:01:34,720 Speaker 3: particularly here in Asia and particularly Hong Kong. And that 32 00:01:34,840 --> 00:01:37,279 Speaker 3: was the conversation that we had with John before the summit. 33 00:01:37,640 --> 00:01:40,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, he did mention that, you know, developing the wealth 34 00:01:40,840 --> 00:01:43,800 Speaker 1: management sector does remain a policy priority, which of course 35 00:01:43,800 --> 00:01:45,560 Speaker 1: it's a very very big, big business for you guys 36 00:01:45,600 --> 00:01:47,760 Speaker 1: as well. I just want to get a sense really 37 00:01:47,800 --> 00:01:50,200 Speaker 1: of there have been some polarizing. 38 00:01:49,560 --> 00:01:50,560 Speaker 2: Comments around Hong Kong. 39 00:01:50,640 --> 00:01:53,040 Speaker 1: Not to get into the politics, of course, for one, 40 00:01:53,520 --> 00:01:55,960 Speaker 1: Stephen Roachi, of course, of Yale, Morgan Stanley, next Marquess 41 00:01:56,440 --> 00:02:00,280 Speaker 1: Hong Kong is over. That's one extreme real in the 42 00:02:00,280 --> 00:02:03,040 Speaker 1: back has a different position now to see that nothing 43 00:02:03,080 --> 00:02:05,280 Speaker 1: has changed in Hong Kong would be at the service. 44 00:02:05,960 --> 00:02:08,400 Speaker 1: How do you think things have changed and what do 45 00:02:08,400 --> 00:02:09,920 Speaker 1: you think people had to keep in mind as you 46 00:02:09,919 --> 00:02:10,600 Speaker 1: do business here. 47 00:02:11,320 --> 00:02:12,480 Speaker 2: Let me just give you some facts. 48 00:02:12,480 --> 00:02:15,280 Speaker 3: If you look at what we did in twenty twenty 49 00:02:15,520 --> 00:02:18,200 Speaker 3: three the performance of our wealth and personal banking business 50 00:02:18,520 --> 00:02:22,040 Speaker 3: here in Hong Kong, we saw significant customer acquisition growth. 51 00:02:22,919 --> 00:02:25,240 Speaker 3: We also saw a round about a fifty percent growth 52 00:02:25,240 --> 00:02:27,720 Speaker 3: in our insurance and wealth business in terms of the 53 00:02:27,760 --> 00:02:31,240 Speaker 3: new business they were writing last year. So the facts 54 00:02:31,280 --> 00:02:35,040 Speaker 3: are wealth management is continuing to develop and grow here 55 00:02:35,080 --> 00:02:37,919 Speaker 3: in Hong Kong. The liquidity base here in Hong Kong 56 00:02:37,960 --> 00:02:42,200 Speaker 3: today is higher than pre COVID levels, So I still 57 00:02:42,200 --> 00:02:45,640 Speaker 3: see Hong Kong as a vibrant financial center. Capital markets 58 00:02:45,680 --> 00:02:48,280 Speaker 3: are subdued at the moment, but that's a function of 59 00:02:48,960 --> 00:02:52,840 Speaker 3: still coming out of COVID economies waiting to recover what 60 00:02:52,880 --> 00:02:55,760 Speaker 3: will inflation and interest rates do. But we see in 61 00:02:55,800 --> 00:02:58,320 Speaker 3: some early signs of the deck capital markets starting to 62 00:02:58,320 --> 00:03:01,399 Speaker 3: pick up as well. Facts I think support the fact 63 00:03:01,440 --> 00:03:03,800 Speaker 3: that Hong Kong still is a vibrant financial market. 64 00:03:04,080 --> 00:03:08,040 Speaker 1: Right now, I know you're set to report your first 65 00:03:08,120 --> 00:03:09,720 Speaker 1: quarter earnings in a couple of weeks, so you can't 66 00:03:09,760 --> 00:03:11,440 Speaker 1: get into the details as well, but we just wrapped up, 67 00:03:11,440 --> 00:03:13,440 Speaker 1: of course the calendar quarter. Yeah, if you could also 68 00:03:13,480 --> 00:03:15,080 Speaker 1: indulge us, how do you think the quarter went for 69 00:03:15,120 --> 00:03:15,880 Speaker 1: you guys gently week? 70 00:03:15,880 --> 00:03:17,560 Speaker 2: Well, twenty twenty three went extremely well. 71 00:03:17,560 --> 00:03:20,840 Speaker 3: Over thirty billion dollars a profit record, a record profit, 72 00:03:21,440 --> 00:03:23,400 Speaker 3: and that's a culmination of the hard work of our 73 00:03:23,440 --> 00:03:26,840 Speaker 3: colleagues over the past four and a half years and 74 00:03:26,880 --> 00:03:30,040 Speaker 3: also the loyalty of our customers. They've been very supportive 75 00:03:30,040 --> 00:03:34,680 Speaker 3: of HSBC as we went through COVID and transition. Our 76 00:03:34,720 --> 00:03:39,040 Speaker 3: return our returns were the best for over ten years, 77 00:03:39,800 --> 00:03:42,400 Speaker 3: and our dividend that sixty one cents was the best 78 00:03:42,400 --> 00:03:45,360 Speaker 3: dividend for fifteen years. So I was really pleased with 79 00:03:45,400 --> 00:03:49,000 Speaker 3: the performance. We never can place it. We're making sure 80 00:03:49,040 --> 00:03:52,160 Speaker 3: that we're well positioned for the future and we're continuing 81 00:03:52,160 --> 00:03:55,120 Speaker 3: to invest in the business. We're investing in wealth management 82 00:03:55,160 --> 00:03:58,080 Speaker 3: here in Asia. We've done a number of acquisitions to 83 00:03:58,160 --> 00:04:01,120 Speaker 3: do that. The most recent one that we announced was 84 00:04:01,120 --> 00:04:03,440 Speaker 3: the acquisition of the City Bank wealth management business in 85 00:04:03,480 --> 00:04:07,360 Speaker 3: mainland China. We bought an insurance business off Axa in Singapore, 86 00:04:07,760 --> 00:04:10,520 Speaker 3: and we born us in management business in India, and 87 00:04:10,600 --> 00:04:13,560 Speaker 3: again just to put it into context, every region performed 88 00:04:13,560 --> 00:04:16,880 Speaker 3: well last year and every business line in India we 89 00:04:16,880 --> 00:04:19,800 Speaker 3: made over one and a half billion dollars profit. If 90 00:04:19,800 --> 00:04:22,920 Speaker 3: you put BOCOM and our own shareholding of our own 91 00:04:22,960 --> 00:04:25,160 Speaker 3: bank in China we made over three and a half 92 00:04:25,200 --> 00:04:29,880 Speaker 3: billion dollar profit, so well distributed profit across the world, 93 00:04:30,400 --> 00:04:33,239 Speaker 3: and all parts of the bank doing extremely well. 94 00:04:33,279 --> 00:04:36,400 Speaker 1: I'm surfficed to say it's thirty billion the minimum target 95 00:04:36,440 --> 00:04:38,040 Speaker 1: this year because it was such a good year lasted. 96 00:04:38,080 --> 00:04:39,440 Speaker 1: Do you think you'll surpass it this year? 97 00:04:39,520 --> 00:04:41,960 Speaker 3: Well, nice, try, David, but I can't give properly forecasts 98 00:04:41,960 --> 00:04:42,640 Speaker 3: at this stage. 99 00:04:42,720 --> 00:04:44,039 Speaker 2: Well in the close period. 100 00:04:44,200 --> 00:04:45,960 Speaker 1: Okay, let me take some of the guy that you 101 00:04:45,960 --> 00:04:49,039 Speaker 1: guys mentioned in the previous financial statement, which was you're 102 00:04:49,040 --> 00:04:51,440 Speaker 1: looking to at least make forty one billion in that 103 00:04:51,600 --> 00:04:53,719 Speaker 1: interest income this year so far. That was in the 104 00:04:53,760 --> 00:04:56,920 Speaker 1: assumption of rates two three months back. It doesn't seem 105 00:04:57,000 --> 00:05:00,960 Speaker 1: rates are going to come down though substantially, and wondering 106 00:05:00,960 --> 00:05:03,640 Speaker 1: whether the forty one is a conservative figure. 107 00:05:03,839 --> 00:05:06,039 Speaker 3: We listen, we will update our view as we go 108 00:05:06,160 --> 00:05:09,080 Speaker 3: through each quarter, but we hold that guidance set up 109 00:05:09,120 --> 00:05:12,320 Speaker 3: of at least forty one billion I think if you 110 00:05:12,400 --> 00:05:15,360 Speaker 3: look at consensus at the moment, it's probably got US 111 00:05:15,360 --> 00:05:17,800 Speaker 3: in or around forty two billion. But we will not 112 00:05:17,920 --> 00:05:20,480 Speaker 3: update our guidance until we do Q one results. 113 00:05:21,520 --> 00:05:23,280 Speaker 1: Q one results are coming out. I think people are 114 00:05:23,279 --> 00:05:25,719 Speaker 1: expecting a special dividend from the DEA investment of course 115 00:05:25,760 --> 00:05:28,280 Speaker 1: in Canada as well. Yeah, the shareholders you'll need to 116 00:05:28,320 --> 00:05:29,800 Speaker 1: vote on that. Is that a done deal? Is that 117 00:05:29,839 --> 00:05:32,279 Speaker 1: money in the park as a shareholders at this morning time. 118 00:05:32,240 --> 00:05:33,920 Speaker 3: No, the board have to make a decision with the 119 00:05:34,000 --> 00:05:38,360 Speaker 3: Q one results on that dividend. It's our intention that 120 00:05:38,520 --> 00:05:40,599 Speaker 3: when we look at Q one results and we close 121 00:05:40,640 --> 00:05:43,680 Speaker 3: on that quarter, it would be our intention if the 122 00:05:43,680 --> 00:05:46,440 Speaker 3: board feel comfortable to then pay that special dividend of 123 00:05:46,520 --> 00:05:49,440 Speaker 3: twenty one cents. And that twenty one CeNSE is very deliberate. 124 00:05:49,480 --> 00:05:52,680 Speaker 3: That's a very important catch up on the dividend that 125 00:05:52,720 --> 00:05:56,039 Speaker 3: we canceled many many a few years ago during COVID, 126 00:05:56,680 --> 00:06:00,280 Speaker 3: and I want to actually reward the loyalty of our 127 00:06:00,320 --> 00:06:04,120 Speaker 3: customers in shareholders and remember many of our shareholders our 128 00:06:04,160 --> 00:06:08,279 Speaker 3: retail customers, our retail customers here in Hong Kong, and 129 00:06:08,360 --> 00:06:10,120 Speaker 3: therefore we want to pay that special dividiles. 130 00:06:10,120 --> 00:06:12,720 Speaker 1: I remember that. I remember that meeting a few years back. 131 00:06:13,279 --> 00:06:16,320 Speaker 1: Speaking of divestments. We've done some reporting on your plans 132 00:06:16,360 --> 00:06:18,279 Speaker 1: around your assets in Germany. I was wondering if you 133 00:06:18,279 --> 00:06:20,800 Speaker 1: could comment on what your plans are for the staff. 134 00:06:21,000 --> 00:06:24,080 Speaker 3: We remain absolutely committed to being an international wholesale bank 135 00:06:24,120 --> 00:06:26,600 Speaker 3: across all of Europe, including in Germany, so there's no 136 00:06:26,680 --> 00:06:27,280 Speaker 3: change to that. 137 00:06:28,120 --> 00:06:29,040 Speaker 1: So there's an not for sale. 138 00:06:29,120 --> 00:06:29,880 Speaker 2: Those are offical. 139 00:06:30,120 --> 00:06:33,040 Speaker 3: We have some business lines in Germany that are non 140 00:06:33,120 --> 00:06:37,919 Speaker 3: essential to international wholesale banking and we're considering options for those, 141 00:06:38,000 --> 00:06:40,880 Speaker 3: and that's what the rumor and the speculation was, but 142 00:06:41,720 --> 00:06:45,680 Speaker 3: that is not about our international wholesale banking proposition or 143 00:06:45,920 --> 00:06:47,719 Speaker 3: a corporate banking proposition in Germany. 144 00:06:48,080 --> 00:06:50,599 Speaker 1: Thank you for clarifying assets in Russia. I know the 145 00:06:50,640 --> 00:06:52,479 Speaker 1: bank has also been looking at that. If you could 146 00:06:52,480 --> 00:06:55,120 Speaker 1: give us an update on whether those are actually up 147 00:06:55,160 --> 00:06:57,000 Speaker 1: for sale and when you want those, well, we have 148 00:06:57,080 --> 00:06:57,560 Speaker 1: a price. 149 00:06:57,400 --> 00:07:00,240 Speaker 3: Tag, we have regulatory approval to sell that business. We're 150 00:07:00,279 --> 00:07:03,600 Speaker 3: going through the final stages of trying to close that transaction, 151 00:07:04,480 --> 00:07:07,640 Speaker 3: but it is our intention to sell the business. We 152 00:07:07,760 --> 00:07:10,320 Speaker 3: have regulatory approval on it and we're in the close 153 00:07:10,480 --> 00:07:12,680 Speaker 3: We're in the process of trying to close that transaction. 154 00:07:12,840 --> 00:07:14,920 Speaker 1: Okay, since we're here, I want to ask you about China, 155 00:07:14,920 --> 00:07:17,400 Speaker 1: and you mentioned China already. I know you've done. The 156 00:07:17,480 --> 00:07:21,080 Speaker 1: most recent transaction was the city's wealth manager business that's 157 00:07:21,120 --> 00:07:22,960 Speaker 1: been fully folding into the business. 158 00:07:23,000 --> 00:07:25,560 Speaker 3: At this point in time, we have yet closed. We're 159 00:07:25,560 --> 00:07:27,880 Speaker 3: closing shortly, so we've agreed to sale. We're going through 160 00:07:27,920 --> 00:07:30,880 Speaker 3: regulatory approval and that transaction will close. But let me 161 00:07:30,920 --> 00:07:33,000 Speaker 3: bring you back to our business in China. Last year, 162 00:07:33,800 --> 00:07:38,520 Speaker 3: HSBC China made over a billion dollars a profit and 163 00:07:38,600 --> 00:07:41,000 Speaker 3: it grew its profit by nine percent last year. So 164 00:07:41,160 --> 00:07:43,760 Speaker 3: last year, some commentations would say it was a challenging 165 00:07:43,840 --> 00:07:46,160 Speaker 3: year for China, but we still managed to grow our 166 00:07:46,160 --> 00:07:49,440 Speaker 3: business and we're very One of the jobs that we 167 00:07:49,560 --> 00:07:51,840 Speaker 3: always do and have done for nearly one hundred and 168 00:07:51,920 --> 00:07:56,040 Speaker 3: sixty years, it's connecting the world. Our role as a bank, 169 00:07:56,360 --> 00:07:59,080 Speaker 3: as an international and global bank, is to connect the 170 00:07:59,120 --> 00:08:03,200 Speaker 3: economies of the world. Those economies are changing, the patterns 171 00:08:03,200 --> 00:08:05,880 Speaker 3: of trade are changing, the patterns of investment are changing. 172 00:08:06,920 --> 00:08:11,440 Speaker 3: But we firmly believe that it is not deglobalization, it 173 00:08:11,520 --> 00:08:15,280 Speaker 3: is reglobalization, and the patterns of trade are changing and 174 00:08:15,320 --> 00:08:17,720 Speaker 3: will help our clients and will help the economies of 175 00:08:17,760 --> 00:08:20,400 Speaker 3: the world connect in the new form right. 176 00:08:20,440 --> 00:08:23,920 Speaker 1: And you know, people talk about de risking, for example, 177 00:08:24,000 --> 00:08:28,320 Speaker 1: between the two global economic superpowers. You see the data, 178 00:08:28,360 --> 00:08:30,680 Speaker 1: because you're a global trade back, you see these flows 179 00:08:30,720 --> 00:08:34,040 Speaker 1: and you back these transactions. Are you seeing any science 180 00:08:34,080 --> 00:08:36,160 Speaker 1: of decoupling actually between the two countries. 181 00:08:36,559 --> 00:08:38,640 Speaker 2: No, But trade patterns are changing. 182 00:08:38,960 --> 00:08:42,520 Speaker 3: I think one of the lessons of COVID was supply 183 00:08:42,720 --> 00:08:48,280 Speaker 3: chain concentration cause resilience issues. It's not just geopolitics that 184 00:08:48,320 --> 00:08:52,040 Speaker 3: are changing trade patterns, it's also domestic economies are changing. 185 00:08:52,400 --> 00:08:55,440 Speaker 3: The trade route between the Middle Eastern Asia is much 186 00:08:55,480 --> 00:08:58,680 Speaker 3: more vibrant today than it would have been ten years ago. 187 00:08:59,080 --> 00:09:04,120 Speaker 3: Saudi Arabia presents huge opportunities for Asia, for Asia corporates 188 00:09:04,240 --> 00:09:08,040 Speaker 3: to trade with Saudi Arabia. So too the UAU very 189 00:09:08,120 --> 00:09:11,959 Speaker 3: dynamic economy growing strongly. More and more dialogue is happening 190 00:09:12,040 --> 00:09:14,360 Speaker 3: between the Middle East and Asia than what have been 191 00:09:14,400 --> 00:09:15,400 Speaker 3: happening in ten years ago. 192 00:09:15,920 --> 00:09:17,160 Speaker 2: That's the nature of trade. 193 00:09:17,240 --> 00:09:20,760 Speaker 3: It changes, and we're here to connect the new trading 194 00:09:20,840 --> 00:09:22,319 Speaker 3: patterns going forward. 195 00:09:22,480 --> 00:09:24,840 Speaker 1: It certainly become a very dominant part of the conversation 196 00:09:24,920 --> 00:09:27,120 Speaker 1: these links between the Middle East. The final question for you, No, 197 00:09:27,280 --> 00:09:32,400 Speaker 1: I know you're busy today. You mentioned built on acquisitions 198 00:09:32,440 --> 00:09:34,839 Speaker 1: in China, for example, So given your footprint right now 199 00:09:35,000 --> 00:09:38,959 Speaker 1: city business, what else are you looking to complement in 200 00:09:39,080 --> 00:09:41,280 Speaker 1: China a longer term strategy? What do you want in 201 00:09:41,280 --> 00:09:44,360 Speaker 1: the bank's presence to look like in mainland China, we. 202 00:09:44,360 --> 00:09:45,320 Speaker 2: Really want to grow out. 203 00:09:45,760 --> 00:09:48,240 Speaker 3: We've got a really strong wealth management business here in 204 00:09:48,240 --> 00:09:52,679 Speaker 3: Hong Kong. I want an equally strong wealth management capability 205 00:09:53,360 --> 00:09:57,320 Speaker 3: in mainland China, in Singapore for us here and in India. 206 00:09:57,400 --> 00:09:58,520 Speaker 2: And what I really want. 207 00:09:58,440 --> 00:10:02,559 Speaker 3: Is a platform of four strong pillars of wealth management. 208 00:10:02,760 --> 00:10:05,680 Speaker 3: And in wealth management I include insurance, as in management, 209 00:10:05,920 --> 00:10:10,000 Speaker 3: private banking. And therefore our acquisitions are being tended to 210 00:10:10,040 --> 00:10:15,080 Speaker 3: be acquiring product or distribution capability in those markets. 211 00:10:15,400 --> 00:10:16,560 Speaker 2: And that's what we've been doing. 212 00:10:16,679 --> 00:10:19,040 Speaker 1: And do we expect any transactions to be announced this year? 213 00:10:19,040 --> 00:10:19,960 Speaker 1: It sounds like you guys, we. 214 00:10:20,679 --> 00:10:23,520 Speaker 2: Will only announced when we're ready. We do not pre announce. 215 00:10:23,720 --> 00:10:26,120 Speaker 1: Okay, when you look at China, just to judges it 216 00:10:26,200 --> 00:10:29,320 Speaker 1: very very quickly, your expectations and the economy, your recovery 217 00:10:29,360 --> 00:10:31,800 Speaker 1: has been slow. Do things get better? Materially this year. 218 00:10:32,520 --> 00:10:35,120 Speaker 3: Well, listen, a five point two percent GDP growth last 219 00:10:35,200 --> 00:10:37,719 Speaker 3: year is not a bad performance. That's a good performance 220 00:10:37,720 --> 00:10:41,360 Speaker 3: in the first year after recovery. China economy is going 221 00:10:41,400 --> 00:10:44,480 Speaker 3: through transition, but I am confident they'll do their around 222 00:10:44,480 --> 00:10:47,440 Speaker 3: five percent GDP growth this year. And I think we 223 00:10:47,559 --> 00:10:50,679 Speaker 3: have to realize and focus very much on the medium 224 00:10:50,679 --> 00:10:54,560 Speaker 3: and long term opportunity in China. The urbanization that's taken 225 00:10:54,559 --> 00:10:57,080 Speaker 3: place over the past two to three decades in China 226 00:10:57,600 --> 00:11:02,040 Speaker 3: is a strong growth driver of going forward for the 227 00:11:02,040 --> 00:11:05,160 Speaker 3: next ten to twenty years. And that's why we're still 228 00:11:05,200 --> 00:11:08,520 Speaker 3: investing in China because we see that long term potential 229 00:11:09,160 --> 00:11:12,640 Speaker 3: transition is taking place. Now is the time to invest, 230 00:11:12,679 --> 00:11:14,880 Speaker 3: in my view, in China to be part of that 231 00:11:15,000 --> 00:11:16,720 Speaker 3: transition and the future growth