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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Sunday?

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Speaker 2: Welcome in to another episode of the Daily Juice podcast

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Speaker 2: with me Matt Perrelt. You guys can go and follow

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Speaker 2: me across socials at Sports Talk Matt. This podcast being

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Speaker 2: brought to you by Omaha Steaks dot Com anniversary sale

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Speaker 2: the code Juice in the search bar at Omaha Steaks

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Speaker 2: dot Com. Okay, so a one and two night yesterday.

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Speaker 2: We haven't done the math yet, so I'm not exactly sure.

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Speaker 1: Where we are.

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Speaker 2: I think we're pretty much flat for the week. So

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Speaker 2: I think the whole week comes down to today if

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Speaker 2: my memory serves me correctly. But it might be off

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Speaker 2: a little bit. It might be up a unit down unit.

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Speaker 2: Not exactly positive, but we're right in that same striking

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Speaker 2: range work. I think we were winning Sunday. We should

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Speaker 2: have a winning week. So we just watched the Jake

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Speaker 2: Paul fight. It went pretty much how I thought it

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Speaker 2: was going to go, although I did think that Logan

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Speaker 2: Paul sort of logo one that Jake Paul would potentially

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Speaker 2: knock out or stopped Nate. He's so durable. But those

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Speaker 2: rabbit punches. I mean, there's such a difference between throwing

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Speaker 2: a punch with a four ounce glove versus throwing a

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Speaker 2: punch with a ten ounce glove.

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Speaker 1: You saw it.

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Speaker 2: I mean Nate normally gets cut up like crazy with

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Speaker 2: four ounce gloves, and the difference is just dramatic. I mean,

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Speaker 2: I've never been hit by a four ounce glove, so

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Speaker 2: I couldn't tell you. I can tell you the difference

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Speaker 2: between a sixteen ounce glove and a ten ounce glove.

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Speaker 2: I have been hit with a sixteen and a ten.

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Speaker 2: There is a pretty big difference. But I know from

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Speaker 2: you know, speaking to people who do mma, the difference

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Speaker 2: between a ten ounce glove and a four ounce glove

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Speaker 2: is absolutely dramatic. I mean, completely a different sport, as

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Speaker 2: you saw, because Connor McGregor is punching power not even

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Speaker 2: you know, didn't phase Mayweather at all. Nate's same thing,

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Speaker 2: you know, these lefties who don't use their lower half.

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Speaker 1: Boxing is about your legs.

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Speaker 2: Everyone thinks that boxers run like the rocky steps and

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Speaker 2: all that stuff. They run for cardio, And while that

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Speaker 2: is true, cardio is significant, that's not why we run.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I say we because I box, but I'm

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Speaker 2: not really a boxer, but you run for your legs

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Speaker 2: to be strong later in the rounds.

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Speaker 1: It's not about you.

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Speaker 2: Know your cardio is there, but realistically boxing is start

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Speaker 2: and stop. Running doesn't really help boxing. You're never gonna

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Speaker 2: run a marathon like you know. Boxing is all about

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Speaker 2: your ability to recover after short three minute bursts. That's

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Speaker 2: why you see boxers run stairs. Because you run up,

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Speaker 2: your heart rate spikes dramatically and you have to find

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Speaker 2: a way to contain that and to keep that at

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Speaker 2: a certain level. It's frustrating to watch that and have

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Speaker 2: that be called boxing. Somebody tweeted tonight that Jake Paul

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Speaker 2: has elevated the sport of boxing. You can't take that

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Speaker 2: away from him, Yes I can. What Jake Paul has

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Speaker 2: shown is that Americans will buy pretty much anything if

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Speaker 2: they know the people involved and there's violence involved. Popularity

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Speaker 2: on YouTube can lead towards you having a fight career.

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Speaker 2: He's fought one professional boxer and Tommy Fury's not good

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Speaker 2: and he lost. Okay, fighting these MMA guys, it's easy payday.

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Speaker 2: He actually had the guts to say and the gall

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Speaker 2: to say, I'm back back to what taking people's money.

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Speaker 1: I mean, it's it's a sideshow.

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Speaker 2: I love the sport, so I can't be too mad

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Speaker 2: because he's not making boxer boxing better, but it is

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Speaker 2: highlighting the sport so people can go watch good boxing.

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Speaker 2: The same thing's gonna happen, by the way, Tyson Fury

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Speaker 2: against Francis and Gano, it's gonna be the same thing. Okay,

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Speaker 2: the same situation's gonna happen in Ghano hits incredibly hard.

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Speaker 2: I'm not debating his ability to translate. But Fury knows

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Speaker 2: how to box, he knows how to move, roll with

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Speaker 2: the punches. His stamina is going to be different. MMA

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Speaker 2: is twenty five minutes, okay. A ten round fight is

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Speaker 2: thirty minutes plus. It's start and stop. It's different. You

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Speaker 2: can also grapple in MMA. If you're tired, you can

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Speaker 2: go grapple. You can get your wind back. You can't

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Speaker 2: do that in boxing. It's a different level of cardio,

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Speaker 2: different level of experience needed. And all these MMA guys

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Speaker 2: going over into boxing because if boxing is a bit

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Speaker 2: is a big payday. That's what I don't like. Okay,

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Speaker 2: That's what bothers me. Congratstonate Diaz. He got a check.

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Speaker 2: I think the same as Jake Paul as I did

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Speaker 2: going into it. He is a YouTuber who is a

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Speaker 2: young kid who's in shape, who's shown you that you

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Speaker 2: can learn how to set a box. I mean, look,

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Speaker 2: I learned how to box at forty. Okay, boxing is

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Speaker 2: the simplest of all of the combat sports disciplines. Boxing

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Speaker 2: is the simplest. You can go in the gym and

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Speaker 2: you can be fighting in a master's division fight in

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Speaker 2: a year. I mean, it doesn't take long to pick

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Speaker 2: it up. It's just hands placement. Now. You can't learn quickness,

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Speaker 2: you can't learn you know, stamina and punching power. That's

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Speaker 2: all stuff that's got to be naturally there. But you

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Speaker 2: can learn the x's and o's of boxing really fast,

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Speaker 2: as Jake Paul has shown. Proper teaching a work ethic,

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Speaker 2: the time to do it on top of that gets

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Speaker 2: you there. So I know it's a long rant. I

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Speaker 2: just watched the fight. I'm furious about it. It's just

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Speaker 2: very mad about how that is being shown talked about

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Speaker 2: as a positive for boxing. It's not a positive for boxing. Okay,

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Speaker 2: that's a positive for Jake Paul's bank account, I guess,

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Speaker 2: and Nate Diaz's bank account. But there's no positive for

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Speaker 2: the sport of boxing except that people might actually look

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Speaker 2: out and search out good quality boxing matches. But again,

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Speaker 2: if you're a name and you say you know I

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Speaker 2: want to fight you, I e. Mark Zuckerberg taking on

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Speaker 2: Elon Musk. People know you, you talk, they want to

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Speaker 2: see it. They'll pay for it simply because they know

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Speaker 2: who you are. So turn YouTube popularity into an audience

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Speaker 2: and there you go. That's Jake Paul. Not a boxing career. Again,

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Speaker 2: Oh to one against a profile and Tommy Fury is

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Speaker 2: not a good pro fighter and he lost that fight

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Speaker 2: to him. So back to fighting washed up MMA guys.

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Speaker 2: I guess for Jake Paul, but don't buy the fight

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Speaker 2: next time. Don't buy those fights. I mean, my guy,

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Speaker 2: I have to because I work in this business.

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Speaker 1: But yuck. Not fun.

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Speaker 2: Okay, So one or two yesterday, let's go to what's

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Speaker 2: now become the Sunday norm. We're bet NASCAR. We're betting

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Speaker 2: NASCAR today, guys, and WNBA, I'm not betting baseball. Forget

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Speaker 2: baseball taking the day off, Okay, I gonna you know,

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Speaker 2: it's been a slow burn, been paper cuts here with baseball.

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Speaker 2: This is the Michigan Raceway that I'm not gonna say.

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Speaker 2: You're gonna have fun watching this fight. Okay, we're watching

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Speaker 2: this race. It's gonna kind of be like the fight.

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Speaker 2: It's a long race. Last year it led NASCAR in

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Speaker 2: the longest twenty lap stretches of green flag racing.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: Michigan is a stretched out International Speedway super speedway without

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Speaker 2: a lot of racing, not a lot of contact. Okay,

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Speaker 2: these are long runs. You can get a big lead here.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: Your pit crew, your fuel management, your tire management are

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Speaker 2: all very important here. Yes, being a good driver is

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Speaker 2: important too. But there are certain drivers who have done

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Speaker 2: very well here, and Ford has done very well here. Okay,

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Speaker 2: let me tell you how I'm going to be betting this.

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Speaker 2: You know who I'm going to do ahead to head with, right,

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Speaker 2: It's Kevin Harvick. Okay, last two weeks, Kevin Harvick has cashed.

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Speaker 2: Kevin Harvick is the defending winner, defending race champion here

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Speaker 2: at Michigan. He has five wins in his last seven attempts.

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Speaker 2: He's got six times. He's come in the top two

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Speaker 2: in his last eight starts on this two mile track

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Speaker 2: top five finish as well at other tracks similar three

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Speaker 2: executive top five finishes on this season as well, two

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Speaker 2: of which we've been on him with head to heads

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Speaker 2: Kyle Busch. Kyle Busch's odds are shorter to win this

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Speaker 2: thing than Kevin Harvick. I got Kevin Harvick, and you

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Speaker 2: can sprinkle on this. I got Kevin Harvick to win

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Speaker 2: this race tonight at twenty five to one. It's a sprinkle.

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Speaker 2: But Kevin Harvick has done really well at this track.

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Speaker 2: Ford's have done really, really well at this track. And

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Speaker 2: we're gonna sit here and say what I mean some

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Speaker 2: stats to know about Toyota hasn't won at Michigan since

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Speaker 2: twenty fifteen. Ford has been unbelievable here at this racetrack.

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Speaker 2: They've been completely dominant. Fords have eight to zero here

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Speaker 2: over the last eight races since twenty eighteen. Ford has

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Speaker 2: come in with four different drivers for Ford winning this thing.

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Speaker 1: So what are we doing?

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Speaker 2: We're gonna bet Ford against everyone else one a Ford

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Speaker 2: driver to win this race plus two seventy the super

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Speaker 2: book if you have it in your state. That's where

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Speaker 2: I got that plus two seventy on a Ford to

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Speaker 2: win this race.

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Speaker 1: I'm going full unit. Let's just have some fun here, Okay,

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Speaker 1: full unit on this. It may blow up in my face.

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Speaker 2: I may give back the two units I made betting

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Speaker 2: NASCAR in last two weeks. That's fine. I'm two and

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Speaker 2: zero bet NASCAR. If I go zero to two, we

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Speaker 2: just give back what we've already made. So I'm betting

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Speaker 2: with house money here. I'm going to Ford. Let's go

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Speaker 2: nine to oh for Ford to win this, plus two

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Speaker 2: to seventy on a Ford vehicle to win at Michigan.

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Speaker 2: Here for Nascar, I found a wild head to head

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Speaker 2: at the super book. You have the defending champ, a

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Speaker 2: plus one sixty dog to Kyle Busch, who is one

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Speaker 2: for thirty four.

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Speaker 1: Okay, he's not been great.

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Speaker 2: He's had some success at this race track, but nothing

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Speaker 2: like Kevin Harvick.

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Speaker 1: Kevin Harvick.

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Speaker 2: If he wins this, clearly the head to head's gonna cash.

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Speaker 2: If he comes in on the top ten, it's gonna

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Speaker 2: be very interesting to see where it goes. But I

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Speaker 2: don't think Kyle Busch is gonna win this thing. He

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Speaker 2: wrecked last year at this race track, and I get

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Speaker 2: it at plus one sixty Kevin Harvick one unit plus

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Speaker 2: one sixty and a head to head against Kyle Busch.

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Speaker 1: Yes, please, superbook has that. I'm jumping in on that.

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Speaker 2: Let's see if Kevin Harvick can come in and cash

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Speaker 2: again for us. That would be phenomenal if we're able

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Speaker 2: to get that again. I like these heads to heads.

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Speaker 2: If you're looking for somebody else potentially you want to

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Speaker 2: go up against, you could do if you can find it.

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Speaker 2: The William Byron head to head. We hit that last week, right,

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Speaker 2: Harvick over Byron. You can do it again if you

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Speaker 2: can find a book that I mean Harvick is I

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Speaker 2: mean Byron has been not done well at all here

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Speaker 2: at Michigan, He's not been successful at all.

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Speaker 1: So you might be able to fade that.

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Speaker 2: But officially one unit forward to win a race, this

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Speaker 2: race Michigan the fire Keepers four hundred, fire Keepers Casino

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Speaker 2: four hundred. We can't lose this thing, can we? My gosh,

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Speaker 2: let's go. We're gonna jump in here with Michigan. Another

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Speaker 2: Ford four to win the thing. No tell Rits plus

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Speaker 2: two seventy one unit. Next bet Kevin Harvick plus one

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Speaker 2: sixty one unit up against Kyle busch head to head

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Speaker 2: in finishing position here again, I'm up two units playing

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Speaker 2: with house money.

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Speaker 1: Let's have some fun here with NASCAR. Now.

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Speaker 2: Like I said, I'm bailing on baseball today. The biggest

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Speaker 2: game of the day is in the WNBA. We have

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Speaker 2: the Las Vegas Aces only four and a half point

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Speaker 2: favorites at the New York Liberty. They crushed the Liberty

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Speaker 2: in Las Vegas in the one and only meetings so

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Speaker 2: far this season, Vegas has won eight straight. They're twenty

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Speaker 2: four to two. Vegas kills people. They're averaging nearly ninety

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Speaker 2: five points per game. There are team totals potentially you

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Speaker 2: could jump in with here if you would like. There's

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Speaker 2: also a lot of say lack thereof for defense here

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Speaker 2: for Vegas. Over the last couple of weeks, it's been

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Speaker 2: an interesting situation to watch them because I've bet their

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Speaker 2: team total uncertain games. I've bet their opponents team total

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Speaker 2: uncertain certain games. And it's not that they don't want

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Speaker 2: to play defense, it's just that they don't play it

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Speaker 2: all that aggressively because they get out to really big leads.

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Speaker 2: This game's on ABC. This is a three pm Eastern

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Speaker 2: time start. It's a noon Pacific time start. They get

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Speaker 2: the big bird here, the big channel for this, and

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Speaker 2: you've got two teams, Vegas averaging ninety four point four

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Speaker 2: points per game, New York averages eighty seven point seven

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Speaker 2: points per game. New York allows eighty one point four

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Speaker 2: Vegas allows seventy eight point nine. First matchup, ninety eight

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Speaker 2: to eighty one was the total in the game. Now,

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Speaker 2: these teams have played similar competition obviously, but Vegas defensively,

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Speaker 2: I think may have a difficult time stopping the three

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Speaker 2: point shooting for the Liberty. Liberty are twenty one and

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Speaker 2: six on the year. They're the second seed, right behind Vegas.

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Speaker 2: They're ten and four straight up at home. New York

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Speaker 2: is averaging, like I said, about seven points per game.

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Speaker 2: Bianna Stewart's having an incredible season. She should win the MVP.

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Speaker 2: I mean, twenty two point seven points per game, three

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Speaker 2: point six assists. New York shooting about thirty seven percent

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Speaker 2: from behind the arc. They shoot really well from the

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Speaker 2: free throw line. They are a team themselves defensively, They've

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Speaker 2: allowed sixty nine, seventy nine.

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Speaker 1: Eighty eight, eighty four eighty two over their last five games.

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Speaker 2: Vegas has allowed seventy two, ninety one, ninety five, eighty

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Speaker 2: one sixty three over their last five games.

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Speaker 1: Pace of play is.

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Speaker 2: Gonna matter a lot here in this game, and I

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Speaker 2: think you have to you have to really shop around, Okay,

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Speaker 2: you have to find the best price for you on

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Speaker 2: this game because certain books are going to put it up.

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Speaker 1: Certain books are not.

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Speaker 2: Certain books are going to be interested in putting things

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Speaker 2: up like first half numbers. Other books will not. FanDuel

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Speaker 2: is a pretty good book for this, okay. They've got

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Speaker 2: a bunch of different options, a bunch of different things

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Speaker 2: you can jump in with here on this There is

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Speaker 2: a first half winner bet available here, which is pretty interesting.

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Speaker 2: The tie is plus eighteen hundred. The liberty to leave

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Speaker 2: a lead at the half is plus one thirty five vegas.

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Speaker 2: To lead at the half is minus one seventy vegas

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Speaker 2: is minus two fifteen on the money line here in

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Speaker 2: this game, the total is one seventy six and a half. Okay,

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Speaker 2: so the first game wound up at one seventy nine,

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Speaker 2: so the books are anticipating kind of a similar situation.

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Speaker 2: We're going to be right there. Here's the thing about

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Speaker 2: the numbers. They've been dead on here with the Aces

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Speaker 2: the books. The book have enough data on Vegas where

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Speaker 2: they feel pretty good. This may come all the way down.

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Speaker 2: I lean towards the Liberty. Okay, plus four and a half.

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Speaker 1: They're at home.

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Speaker 2: This is a bigger game for them, and until Vegas

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Speaker 2: is back to becoming one hundred percent. And look, they're

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Speaker 2: still very good with their four the stud four players,

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Speaker 2: but Kendas Parker is still out until she comes back.

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Speaker 1: If she comes back, I.

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Speaker 2: Think the Liberty are still at home and this is

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Speaker 2: a super huge monster game for them. Not saying Vegas

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Speaker 2: doesn't want it, but I think the better play is

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Speaker 2: the over seventy six and a half. I don't think

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Speaker 2: it's gonna be easy, but I do think there's a

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Speaker 2: chance here for this game to go over, simply because

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Speaker 2: the Liberty have been an over team. Uh. The Aces

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Speaker 2: are six and two to the over over the last

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Speaker 2: eight games. Liberty have been playing games recently over four

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Speaker 2: and won in the last five home games. I think

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Speaker 2: it's safer to bet the over than it is to

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Speaker 2: bet the dog. Normally it's dogging under, but I think

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Speaker 2: it might be dogging over here in this game.

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Speaker 1: For these two.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna bet the over one point one units minus

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Speaker 2: one ten one seventy six and a half over one

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Speaker 2: seventy six and a half for the Aces and the Liberty.

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Speaker 2: Expect high flying and look, you could bet the under

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Speaker 2: here if you want to.

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Speaker 1: I get the idea.

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Speaker 2: You can say, Matt, wait a minute, two top teams,

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Speaker 2: it's gonna be like a playoff game. They're gonna knuckle down,

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Speaker 2: bite down on their on their mouth pieces, and really

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Speaker 2: get after it defensively. Yes, I can understand that principle,

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Speaker 2: but I think the Liberty can shoot enough threes to

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Speaker 2: force Vegas to open up, and if the threes are

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Speaker 2: falling for the Liberty, the pace of play will open up,

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Speaker 2: and then Vegas, I think, has to go in an attack.

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Speaker 2: And if Vegas attacks, Vegas can score one hundred points.

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Speaker 2: And if Vegas scores one hundred points, we're going over. Okay,

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Speaker 2: So there's a key if you want to look at

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Speaker 2: like what bet to make the uh. The team totals

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Speaker 2: are not out at the moment for FanDuel. Normally they

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Speaker 2: come out. I think day of if the Vegas goal,

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Speaker 2: if the Vegas Aces team total is somewhere around ninety

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Speaker 2: five ninety five and a half, ninety six, I would

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Speaker 2: feel okay with betting the over, but it'll be right.

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Speaker 2: It's gonna be close. It's gonna be right there. The

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Speaker 2: first matchup they scored ninety eight. They average ninety four,

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Speaker 2: so it could be around their average. I think Vegas

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Speaker 2: does get close to that number, but it might be

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Speaker 2: just a little bit short. So that's why I'm a

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Speaker 2: little bit more concerned. I want to make sure that

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Speaker 2: if it's like a you know, a ninety to eighty

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Speaker 2: five type type of bait game, we're right there on

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Speaker 2: the over, and obviously ninety eighty five wouldn't get us

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Speaker 2: there for the total it's one seventy five, but we're

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Speaker 2: right there, you know what I mean, Like, we're close

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Speaker 2: to get there. So Vegas scores their average, they scored

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Speaker 2: ninety five, it's ninety five ninety and we're going over.

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Speaker 2: So that's what I think this game is going to

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Speaker 2: look like. It's gonna be a lot of fun. I'm

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Speaker 2: betting the over aces in the Liberty over one seventy

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Speaker 2: six and a half at minus one ten. Okay, WNBA

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Speaker 2: and NASCAR, some of you whine when I do this,

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Speaker 2: don't care. Okay, football will be here before we know it,

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Speaker 2: and we won't bet this on Sundays. We're betting lots

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Speaker 2: of football games. College football is rapidly approaching. We're three

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Speaker 2: Saturdays away from the start of college football, okay, so

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Speaker 2: bear with us as we get through these next couple

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Speaker 2: of weeks and we get ourselves right into football coming

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Speaker 2: very soon. Some of you have asked, by the way,

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Speaker 2: about NFL futures. Those are coming, but I don't bet

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Speaker 2: them until after the second preseason game because I want

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Speaker 2: to make sure we get through injuries. Okay, we've seen

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Speaker 2: a litany of injuries across the league with star players

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Speaker 2: getting hurt. Worries me about betting futures until we know

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Speaker 2: for sure who's going to be on the field. Here

350
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Speaker 2: for teams, get them through camp, get them through the

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Speaker 2: first two preseason games, and then the third game is

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Speaker 2: a joke, no one plays, and we can bet it.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: So that's where and I wait, that's when I'll fire

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Speaker 2: here for the daily juice on some futures in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: So stay tuned, coming up for that in a little bit.

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Speaker 2: All right forward to win the fire Keepers Casino four

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Speaker 2: hundred in Michigan plus two to seventy Kevin Harvick over

359
00:18:54,080 --> 00:18:56,720
Speaker 2: Kyle Busch head to head in the race. Plus one

360
00:18:56,800 --> 00:18:59,440
Speaker 2: sixty one unit down in each of those bets over

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Speaker 2: one seven, six and a half aces Liberty WNBA today

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00:19:03,359 --> 00:19:06,159
Speaker 2: minus one ten one point one units down on that

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Speaker 2: three point one units in play on a Sunday.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parott.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across social ad sports to

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Speaker 2: talk Matt every single morning.

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Speaker 1: It is the Delijuice Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I was being brought to you by Omaha Steaks dot

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Speaker 2: com