WEBVTT - Buy or Sell These 10 Popular Sleepers (Ep. 614) 0:00:00.280 --> 0:00:05.120 Sleeper or pretender. Let's talk to the pros. Welcome in 0:00:05.160 --> 0:00:08.320 everybody to Fantasy Pros. This is the Fantasy Baseball Podcast 0:00:08.360 --> 0:00:11.360 as me Joey P Joe Pisapia, and today we're gonna 0:00:11.360 --> 0:00:14.680 talk about sleepers. That's right. We've got ten very popular 0:00:14.880 --> 0:00:19.040 buzzy names of sleepers in the fantasy baseball community right now, 0:00:19.079 --> 0:00:21.799 that a lot of people are talking about for different reasons. 0:00:22.120 --> 0:00:24.440 And we're gonna talk to Welsh here and figure out 0:00:24.440 --> 0:00:28.160 whether or not we're sleeping with these guys or maybe 0:00:28.200 --> 0:00:30.000 we're going away from them. I don't know. That's a 0:00:30.000 --> 0:00:33.640 weird way to phrase it now that we're amore No, 0:00:33.840 --> 0:00:36.960 I guess not. But anyway, jokes aside, ha ha. We're 0:00:36.960 --> 0:00:38.919 gonna talk about these sleepers. We're gonna talk about whether 0:00:39.000 --> 0:00:42.400 or not they deserve spots in your rosters in twenty 0:00:42.479 --> 0:00:45.159 twenty three. And speaking of those rosters, if you are 0:00:45.240 --> 0:00:48.479 starting to prepare already for twenty twenty three baseball, we 0:00:48.560 --> 0:00:50.639 got you cover to Fantasy Pros because that draft kit 0:00:50.760 --> 0:00:53.560 is out, it is live, it's amazing. It's got the rankings, 0:00:53.560 --> 0:00:56.200 the chee cheets, the projections, all the articles you can 0:00:56.240 --> 0:01:00.480 imagine and guess what, it's free fantasypros dot Com Draft Kit. 0:01:00.600 --> 0:01:02.400 Check it out, and of course if you upgrade the 0:01:02.440 --> 0:01:05.920 premium and unlocks even more draft strategy content, including all 0:01:05.959 --> 0:01:08.200 that extra stuff you get with the Draft Wizards. So 0:01:08.280 --> 0:01:11.760 don't delay. Go premium today. Wow that rhyme. That was 0:01:11.800 --> 0:01:14.080 pretty good. It was very doctor Seusan me. But don't forget. 0:01:14.319 --> 0:01:16.920 The draft kit is here fanacypros dot com Slash Draft Kit, 0:01:16.959 --> 0:01:18.680 at least for free. Go check it out. How much 0:01:18.680 --> 0:01:21.039 you're gonna need more baseball? Go get more? Yes, Welsh, 0:01:21.080 --> 0:01:21.440 what do you got? 0:01:21.440 --> 0:01:22.319 How much? How much was it? 0:01:22.360 --> 0:01:29.679 Again? It was free? Free? I know, I can't believe it. Yeah. 0:01:29.680 --> 0:01:32.800 The special thing where I come to draft your team 0:01:32.880 --> 0:01:35.520 for you is somewhere in the Hall of Fame subscription. 0:01:35.720 --> 0:01:37.880 Your Welsh and I come over, we do a private 0:01:37.920 --> 0:01:40.160 session with you. We get your focused for we get 0:01:40.160 --> 0:01:43.200 you pumped up for the for the actual draft. You know, 0:01:43.360 --> 0:01:44.759 it's it's a whole big thing we do. 0:01:45.080 --> 0:01:48.160 Can you imagine if you and I went to like 0:01:48.440 --> 0:01:51.840 someone's house and we're drafting. Can you imagine the chaos 0:01:51.880 --> 0:01:53.120 that person with them? 0:01:53.200 --> 0:01:56.000 Oh my gosh, great, you know, it's like the Angel 0:01:56.000 --> 0:01:58.080 and devil on the other side of the people you 0:01:58.200 --> 0:01:59.360 I'll tell you them, don't take this guy. 0:01:59.600 --> 0:02:02.600 God opens up. We're just like, hey, everybody would make 0:02:02.640 --> 0:02:04.080 ourselves at home. We're getting in. 0:02:05.600 --> 0:02:07.720 Yeah, that's probably what we would get. But that's okay. 0:02:07.800 --> 0:02:10.320 We're used to that. That's what our families say too. 0:02:10.360 --> 0:02:12.280 So let's get to the sleepers. Let's talk about these 0:02:12.320 --> 0:02:14.600 guys that are out there. And let's start with a 0:02:14.639 --> 0:02:17.120 guy who, ironically, you know, he's in the top fifty, 0:02:17.280 --> 0:02:19.880 is right at fifty in the ADP, but he is 0:02:20.040 --> 0:02:22.480 considered a sleeper right now. He's actually somebody I drafted. 0:02:22.520 --> 0:02:24.920 If you saw the first draft show we've done already 0:02:24.919 --> 0:02:26.840 of the season, we just did it earlier this week. 0:02:27.080 --> 0:02:30.320 The worm Ryan Warmley joined us for that show. But 0:02:30.440 --> 0:02:33.560 in twenty twenty one, this guy had thirty home runs 0:02:33.600 --> 0:02:35.200 at one hundred and six, where he's one hundred and 0:02:35.200 --> 0:02:37.639 eight runs scored. He was a highly coveted player. He's 0:02:37.680 --> 0:02:40.800 Ozzie Albi's second basement of the Atlanta Braves. Now I 0:02:40.880 --> 0:02:43.880 do believe he's being slightly undervalued. This is a guy 0:02:43.919 --> 0:02:46.600 that's already shown you thirty twenty, if not twenty five, 0:02:46.720 --> 0:02:49.680 fifteen at the bare minimum. He is still a relatively 0:02:49.760 --> 0:02:53.000 young player too by all accounts last year obviously played 0:02:53.000 --> 0:02:56.240 just sixty four games, but Welsh he is just around 0:02:56.240 --> 0:02:59.280 top fifty, and to me, I think he is kind 0:02:59.280 --> 0:03:01.280 of a sleeper. I think he's still an elite player 0:03:01.320 --> 0:03:03.160 you're getting in a discount. So what do you think 0:03:03.200 --> 0:03:05.079 of starting this off with Ozzie Alby's Do you think 0:03:05.080 --> 0:03:07.080 he is a sleeper or is he still too good 0:03:07.400 --> 0:03:10.320 in your opinion to hit that mark now? 0:03:10.400 --> 0:03:13.120 I think he qualifies as a sleeper because I mean, 0:03:13.160 --> 0:03:14.959 and this is why people are doing it, because he's 0:03:15.000 --> 0:03:18.280 his ADPs round fifty right now and he's clumped in 0:03:18.400 --> 0:03:20.480 and I and the projections I think are the thing 0:03:20.520 --> 0:03:22.840 that are really leading this as well, because he did 0:03:22.880 --> 0:03:24.960 not have a good year last year, obviously dealing with 0:03:25.000 --> 0:03:27.280 injuries and miss time, but a lot of the underlining 0:03:27.320 --> 0:03:31.840 stuff was not there, and the projections don't feed into 0:03:31.880 --> 0:03:34.280 that because the projections are looking at not only a 0:03:34.320 --> 0:03:37.000 three year marker, but they're also kind of ignoring twenty twenty, 0:03:37.040 --> 0:03:39.040 so you're getting twenty nineteen that are put in those 0:03:39.080 --> 0:03:42.520 as well, and that's creating this bigger story of a 0:03:42.560 --> 0:03:45.520 track record for him. So the projections are bat x 0:03:45.560 --> 0:03:48.600 as almost as a twenty twenty guy this year, and 0:03:48.640 --> 0:03:51.200 he's going in the fifties and he's clumped in. I 0:03:51.240 --> 0:03:53.960 think it's kind of funny because he's put in with 0:03:54.480 --> 0:03:57.200 Jazz Chism and there's kind of injuries there as well. 0:03:57.280 --> 0:03:59.160 Jazz has been a little bit more injury prone, but 0:03:59.200 --> 0:04:03.480 people don't feel that injury thing with Ozzi Albi's yet 0:04:03.520 --> 0:04:05.960 they do with Jazz, and everyone's like, I don't want jazz. 0:04:06.400 --> 0:04:08.920 The idea is that if he's a twenty twenty guy, 0:04:08.920 --> 0:04:12.040 Ozzi Albi's could be the very top second baseman in 0:04:12.120 --> 0:04:14.880 a really bad group of those players. So when you 0:04:14.880 --> 0:04:17.240 look at top fifty players and you say, hey, how 0:04:17.279 --> 0:04:20.080 many of these guys have the opportunity to potentially return 0:04:20.160 --> 0:04:23.000 me top fifteen or even first round value overall, that'd 0:04:23.000 --> 0:04:25.440 be top fifteen in a roto Ozzi Albi's kind of 0:04:25.480 --> 0:04:27.720 still fits that mold because if you remember last year, 0:04:28.080 --> 0:04:30.560 Ozzi Albi's was the first round pick, very popular first 0:04:30.680 --> 0:04:31.640 round pick on. 0:04:31.560 --> 0:04:33.800 The wheel, like a guy like pretty much at the 0:04:33.880 --> 0:04:36.160 turn last year, and now he's going at fifty. Yeah, 0:04:36.200 --> 0:04:38.640 to me, you get this guy third fourth round. I 0:04:38.680 --> 0:04:42.360 mean that's tremendous value there still. I mean, you got 0:04:42.520 --> 0:04:44.080 I'm not saying you have to pay the cost of 0:04:44.120 --> 0:04:47.719 the wheel pick, but to see him going at fifty 0:04:47.800 --> 0:04:49.560 and like I said, I snagged him the other day 0:04:49.640 --> 0:04:51.120 in our draft too. I think he was the third 0:04:51.200 --> 0:04:53.039 round selection. For me. I was like, I can't pass 0:04:53.120 --> 0:04:55.080 them up. I just can't do it too much power 0:04:55.120 --> 0:04:58.120 speed combination, especially those leagues where you have the middle 0:04:58.200 --> 0:05:00.600 infielders you have to worry about. Speaking of middline, we 0:05:00.680 --> 0:05:02.240 got another guy here in the list who's going right 0:05:02.240 --> 0:05:04.960 around here, Corey Seeger at fifty five. His ADP has 0:05:04.960 --> 0:05:06.760 actually gone up a little bit in the last twenty 0:05:06.800 --> 0:05:08.600 four hours since we put the show together, all the 0:05:08.600 --> 0:05:10.560 way up to forty nine, if you can believe it. 0:05:11.520 --> 0:05:14.400 But Corey Seeger, you know, to me, I wasn't surprised 0:05:14.440 --> 0:05:17.880 at all that the you know, the Corey Seeger first 0:05:17.920 --> 0:05:20.080 season in Texas was what it was, because when you 0:05:20.120 --> 0:05:22.159 see the guy sign the Mega deals, it's typically what 0:05:22.240 --> 0:05:24.359 it is. You saw Marcus Sime and his teammates struggle 0:05:24.400 --> 0:05:26.280 with the same thing in the first half, and we 0:05:26.320 --> 0:05:28.080 all know what happened in the second half for him. 0:05:28.320 --> 0:05:32.159 What was interesting about Corey Seger though, was that, you know, 0:05:32.200 --> 0:05:33.880 the power really started to come on there once you 0:05:33.960 --> 0:05:36.800 hit July. He had fourteen home runs between July and August. 0:05:37.320 --> 0:05:40.560 And if you pay attention to all these deep metrics 0:05:40.560 --> 0:05:43.360 about the shift, he is one of the top three 0:05:43.400 --> 0:05:46.159 guys where the lack of shift is going to benefit 0:05:46.240 --> 0:05:49.520 him in a very positive way. So, in your opinion, 0:05:49.680 --> 0:05:52.320 is Corey Seeger a quote unquote sleeper still because just 0:05:52.360 --> 0:05:54.039 a couple of years this is another player that was 0:05:54.120 --> 0:05:56.760 kind of going around the turn not that long ago. 0:05:57.240 --> 0:05:59.800 Yeah, so it's interesting you wrap the shft because that's 0:05:59.800 --> 0:06:02.120 a no that I have here. He actually last year 0:06:02.200 --> 0:06:05.800 was the tenth most shifted player with a ninety two 0:06:05.920 --> 0:06:08.760 percent shift rate, And the difference is in why he's 0:06:08.800 --> 0:06:10.760 going to benefit in what you were talking about. He 0:06:10.800 --> 0:06:14.200 had a three twenty six wOBA on the shift non 0:06:14.320 --> 0:06:19.000 shift three ninety seven. That is huge. You take on 0:06:19.040 --> 0:06:20.560 top of it that the guy for the last couple 0:06:20.560 --> 0:06:23.080 of years has completely just altered in how he hits 0:06:23.120 --> 0:06:25.279 the ball, hits it really hard. Even in all of 0:06:25.279 --> 0:06:28.360 that mess last year, like Corey Seger wasn't phenomenal or 0:06:28.400 --> 0:06:30.080 any by any of me. I mean thirty three homers 0:06:30.120 --> 0:06:31.240 was good, but only a two forty five. 0:06:32.360 --> 0:06:35.479 July and August got really hot and then just the 0:06:35.520 --> 0:06:37.560 bottom fell out in September and it really hurt the 0:06:37.680 --> 0:06:41.000 Splits overall. But there was definitely like I would say, 0:06:41.000 --> 0:06:43.400 it was a weird three act season where it started 0:06:43.400 --> 0:06:45.159 off rough, then it got really good, and then it 0:06:45.279 --> 0:06:46.440 ended poorly unfortunately. 0:06:46.440 --> 0:06:48.120 And sometimes these guys are like that. Sometimes they're just 0:06:48.120 --> 0:06:50.719 s treating players like that. But in all of that mess, 0:06:50.760 --> 0:06:52.280 think about this, this is a guy that hit two 0:06:52.440 --> 0:06:56.640 forty five. He still was top four percent in the 0:06:56.760 --> 0:07:00.640 league in XBA, which is expected batting average and top 0:07:00.800 --> 0:07:05.080 three percent and expected slug and x slug. So both 0:07:05.120 --> 0:07:06.800 of those numbers, you take the slug in the batting 0:07:06.839 --> 0:07:09.600 average and expected stats being top three and top four 0:07:09.920 --> 0:07:12.120 on top of it, is going to take a huge 0:07:12.160 --> 0:07:15.680 benefit on the shift. Corey Seeger doesn't have the stolen 0:07:15.720 --> 0:07:17.760 bases and lacks some of that you know, that sexy 0:07:17.800 --> 0:07:21.640 fantasy appeal, but he is a guy that if he's 0:07:21.680 --> 0:07:24.480 going to put up a two seventy two eighty average 0:07:24.520 --> 0:07:26.680 with thirty five plus homers, you don't usually get that 0:07:26.720 --> 0:07:29.080 at shortstop. You're not going to get the stolen bases. 0:07:29.520 --> 0:07:31.000 But if you get four cat, if you get three 0:07:31.000 --> 0:07:34.880 elite categories with a fourth solid and you sacrifice stolen bases, 0:07:34.960 --> 0:07:36.960 he's going to be a second round player. The only 0:07:37.040 --> 0:07:39.960 bummer is that he's boosting up. I mean literally when 0:07:40.000 --> 0:07:43.400 I put this together, like what three days ago, he 0:07:43.480 --> 0:07:46.080 was fifty five ADP and it's already changed as people 0:07:46.120 --> 0:07:48.880 are going, or fifty five ECR and he's moved up 0:07:49.200 --> 0:07:51.720 inside the top fifty. That's the bummer as far as 0:07:51.720 --> 0:07:54.560 the sleeper goes. The more that he moves up, the 0:07:54.560 --> 0:07:56.280 more that you're kind of just taking out the top 0:07:56.400 --> 0:07:58.800 end of value. But regardless of the point, this is 0:07:58.840 --> 0:08:00.360 a guy that looks like he is going to be 0:08:00.400 --> 0:08:02.960 able to rebound and benefit. You hit thirty three homers 0:08:03.120 --> 0:08:06.120 with a two forty five batting average, you click back 0:08:06.160 --> 0:08:09.480 into some of those expected stats, and no shift probably 0:08:09.520 --> 0:08:11.200 going to be on the top end of a really, 0:08:11.200 --> 0:08:14.000 really good return as far as the statsco at the 0:08:14.000 --> 0:08:16.600 short stop position, which is pretty deep. So yes, I'm 0:08:16.600 --> 0:08:19.440 not the biggest Albi's as a sleeper, but I am 0:08:19.480 --> 0:08:20.880 a Corey Seeger as a sleeper. 0:08:21.240 --> 0:08:23.120 Yeah, I see. This is like the ADP that I'm 0:08:23.120 --> 0:08:27.160 not buying, right, I bet you dollars to doughnuts whatever 0:08:27.200 --> 0:08:30.640 that means that you are going to get Corey Seeger 0:08:30.760 --> 0:08:32.640 slipping in drafts. I think a little bit past this 0:08:32.720 --> 0:08:34.360 fifty ringe would love it because I think there'll be 0:08:34.400 --> 0:08:36.320 some people that are just a little hesitant, or they'll 0:08:36.360 --> 0:08:38.480 be reaching for outfield or reaching for pitching. I think 0:08:38.520 --> 0:08:40.079 we're in those actual drafts. I think you're going to 0:08:40.120 --> 0:08:42.320 see that happen potentially, and you've seen it like you've 0:08:42.320 --> 0:08:44.920 seen them as worse as seventy, best as twenty seven. 0:08:45.120 --> 0:08:46.600 I think you're gonna lot to see a lot more 0:08:47.880 --> 0:08:50.040 shares of him closer to seventy than to thirty. 0:08:50.280 --> 0:08:51.960 Well, and one of the reasons behind that, too, is 0:08:51.960 --> 0:08:55.040 because this position is so deep. You just did a 0:08:55.080 --> 0:08:58.560 fifteen team mock on in this league, and we were 0:08:58.600 --> 0:09:01.880 past one hundred and you still had Wander Franco Jeremy 0:09:01.880 --> 0:09:04.280 Pania still out there the mock that we did right 0:09:04.320 --> 0:09:06.120 here in Fantasy Pros, you guys can go and check 0:09:06.120 --> 0:09:08.320 out I've got wan A Franco at one fifteen. The 0:09:08.400 --> 0:09:11.280 position is so deep that I don't think people feel 0:09:11.320 --> 0:09:13.000 the need to jump in. Who are the guys that 0:09:13.040 --> 0:09:15.280 you feel the need to jump up on, guys that 0:09:15.360 --> 0:09:18.240 also give you those stolen bases. Oneil Cruz I think 0:09:18.280 --> 0:09:21.160 has a better possibility of jumping Corey Seeger, and if 0:09:21.200 --> 0:09:23.280 you can take care of your stolen bases in other spots, 0:09:23.360 --> 0:09:28.079 which is totally doable this year, Corey Seeger falling backwards, it's. 0:09:27.880 --> 0:09:30.760 Going to be a huge value Onnel Cruz at eighty 0:09:30.840 --> 0:09:34.160 one right now in the overall, so not that far off. 0:09:34.200 --> 0:09:36.400 But that guy like that, You're right, it's going to 0:09:36.520 --> 0:09:38.360 get smaller spills, especially if he has a good spring. 0:09:38.400 --> 0:09:42.080 That's going to change. Villa pass Quentino, first baseman for 0:09:42.160 --> 0:09:45.400 the Kansas City Royals, heard George Brett on the other 0:09:45.480 --> 0:09:47.640 day talking about him. So when George Brett saying nice 0:09:47.640 --> 0:09:49.480 things about you, I think everybody you'd pay attention because 0:09:49.480 --> 0:09:52.160 that guy knows a thing or two about hitting. Last 0:09:52.240 --> 0:09:54.800 year in Triple A at eighteen bombs seventy ribies at 0:09:54.800 --> 0:09:57.920 two seventy seven, came up at two ninety five over 0:09:58.000 --> 0:10:01.640 seventy two games, ten dinger for him. I know this 0:10:01.720 --> 0:10:04.160 is a polarizing player. He's gonna be twenty five this year, 0:10:04.640 --> 0:10:06.800 But to me, I still think that this is a 0:10:06.800 --> 0:10:10.640 player that tracks in that sleeper range ninety four overall, 0:10:10.720 --> 0:10:12.480 that feels about right if you miss out on the 0:10:12.520 --> 0:10:14.560 elite first base, and I think it's worth taking a shot. 0:10:14.600 --> 0:10:16.880 But are we running the risk here? Is this the 0:10:16.920 --> 0:10:20.079 next Luke Voight or the next sleeper that really becomes 0:10:20.120 --> 0:10:21.439 a thing more like a Pee Alonzo. 0:10:22.080 --> 0:10:24.200 Well, the Luke void thing. That's interesting, but no. I 0:10:24.200 --> 0:10:28.040 mean the reason that everyone's so excited about him is 0:10:28.080 --> 0:10:30.920 a what he did in the short term of last season. 0:10:31.240 --> 0:10:33.800 Had ten homers in seventy two games while hitting two 0:10:33.960 --> 0:10:38.040 ninety five and had a higher walk percentage than his 0:10:38.080 --> 0:10:41.720 strikeout percentage. So we take a rookie with that and 0:10:41.800 --> 0:10:44.800 the big physicalness that he is in general, he had 0:10:44.840 --> 0:10:48.000 eighteen homers in the same amount of games by the 0:10:48.040 --> 0:10:50.640 seventy or seventy three games in Triple A, so he 0:10:50.720 --> 0:10:53.960 hit twenty eight homers across, you know, essentially a full 0:10:54.000 --> 0:10:56.280 season in Triple A in the major leagues. You take 0:10:56.320 --> 0:10:58.360 all of that with the plate discipline, and people get 0:10:58.440 --> 0:11:01.240 really excited about it. Another thing we got to go 0:11:01.240 --> 0:11:04.160 back to the Corey seeker thing. He was the eighth 0:11:04.520 --> 0:11:07.760 most shifted as far as percentage player goes. Last season, 0:11:08.120 --> 0:11:11.640 ninety three point two percent of the seventy games he 0:11:11.800 --> 0:11:13.840 was shifted on. And this is another one of those 0:11:14.120 --> 0:11:18.280 three sixty two wOBA on the shift, four twenty two 0:11:18.600 --> 0:11:23.080 Whoba on non shift. So you take great plate discipline, 0:11:23.160 --> 0:11:26.480 you take potential power, you take great contact skills. A 0:11:26.480 --> 0:11:28.320 guy that hit two ninety five in his debut and 0:11:28.360 --> 0:11:31.360 then you say shift big one. So this is a 0:11:31.400 --> 0:11:34.360 player at ninety four that people are like, oh, you know, 0:11:34.440 --> 0:11:36.800 you get a drop off after Matt Olson. I think 0:11:36.840 --> 0:11:39.240 a lot of people see a potential, you know, top 0:11:39.360 --> 0:11:45.160 fifty overall return. The divisiveness, though, Joe is about projections 0:11:45.160 --> 0:11:47.839 this year because Steamer went through the roof, people got 0:11:47.840 --> 0:11:51.679 excited to seventy five twenty one homers. The Batex poured 0:11:51.720 --> 0:11:55.559 water on it. Sixteen homers with a two seventy batting average, 0:11:55.640 --> 0:11:57.400 and he's kind of low in RBI and run totals 0:11:57.440 --> 0:12:00.520 no matter what, which is why I actually fade a 0:12:00.520 --> 0:12:02.880 little bit. I think based on this ADP, I do 0:12:02.920 --> 0:12:05.400 think he's kind of a he is the potential of 0:12:05.440 --> 0:12:08.400 the sleeper, but I'm fading because the team context is 0:12:08.400 --> 0:12:09.960 also not good. I think I said this a whole bunch, 0:12:10.040 --> 0:12:12.360 Like I'd rather have jose A Bray you at about 0:12:12.400 --> 0:12:15.199 the same cost than Vinnie pas Quentino. But you can 0:12:15.240 --> 0:12:18.120 see why he is such a sleeper and the cost 0:12:18.160 --> 0:12:19.959 has jumped up like a lot of these other guys. 0:12:20.000 --> 0:12:21.680 I would agree with that logic. I think he's a 0:12:21.679 --> 0:12:24.000 sleeper in the right spot. He's a good one to target. 0:12:24.040 --> 0:12:25.720 But if you're gonna get jose A Brew in that 0:12:25.720 --> 0:12:28.440 same area. I know some people whole concerned with some 0:12:28.440 --> 0:12:30.280 of the drop offs in some of the stats last 0:12:30.360 --> 0:12:32.280 year with the Breu, but dropping them there with Houston 0:12:32.800 --> 0:12:34.720 in that lineup is pretty good. Not that not that 0:12:34.800 --> 0:12:36.400 the White Socks are a bad lineup, but god, they 0:12:36.400 --> 0:12:38.520 had so many injuries last year too. It's such a 0:12:38.600 --> 0:12:40.520 like weird season for them. 0:12:40.800 --> 0:12:43.800 The Royals too. He played seventy two games, pass Quentino 0:12:43.840 --> 0:12:47.440 did in twenty six RBIs. He had ten homers twenty 0:12:47.640 --> 0:12:51.040 six RBIs in seventy two games. It's really hard when 0:12:51.040 --> 0:12:53.480 you look at this team to figure out where are 0:12:53.520 --> 0:12:56.520 the run and RBI opportunities going to come from. Overall, 0:12:56.679 --> 0:12:59.600 so as good as he can individually be, you can 0:12:59.640 --> 0:13:03.920 probably find more boring players. Nate Low CJ. Krohn, Christian Walker, 0:13:04.040 --> 0:13:06.880 who are just gonna overall put up bigger counting stats. 0:13:07.000 --> 0:13:09.040 They might give you the average, but you're probably gonna 0:13:09.040 --> 0:13:11.240 get more at homers, You're gonna get more runs in RBI, 0:13:11.280 --> 0:13:13.480 and that's almost guaranteed, probably on all those players I 0:13:13.559 --> 0:13:16.640 just listed. So that's why he is a huge sleeper name, 0:13:17.120 --> 0:13:20.080 but he's not on like my sleeper list all right. 0:13:20.120 --> 0:13:21.720 Before we get to the next Gunner list, just a 0:13:21.760 --> 0:13:23.560 reminder too, if you want to be part of our 0:13:23.679 --> 0:13:26.640 rankings at Fantasy Pros, go to fantasypros dot com slash 0:13:26.679 --> 0:13:28.800 rank for your chance to be part of our expert consensus, 0:13:28.840 --> 0:13:32.520 because that's what we're talking about here. Whether it be NBA, MLB, NHL, 0:13:32.600 --> 0:13:35.840 doesn't matter, Dynasty, Debbie, best Ball, forget it. We got 0:13:35.840 --> 0:13:38.240 it all of them, so go check it out again 0:13:38.280 --> 0:13:40.200 Fantasypros dot Com slash rank. If you want to make 0:13:40.240 --> 0:13:42.920 your voice heard and you've got a good voice in 0:13:42.960 --> 0:13:45.160 the industry, not like me, terrible voice. How I ended 0:13:45.200 --> 0:13:51.199 up on hold a cold easily and h Jeffrey Springs 0:13:51.240 --> 0:13:54.960 He's not the worst. His ADP fluctuates as well. Uh. 0:13:55.160 --> 0:13:57.560 The ECRs at one eighty three on him, the best 0:13:57.600 --> 0:14:00.280 at one sixteen, the worst at two seventy four. Now, 0:14:00.320 --> 0:14:02.920 again it's very early, but this is a player. Last 0:14:02.960 --> 0:14:05.200 year Welsh one hundred and thirty five innings gave up 0:14:05.240 --> 0:14:07.480 just one hundred and fourteen hits one hundred and forty 0:14:07.480 --> 0:14:11.360 four strikeouts to just thirty three walks. Their very solid 0:14:11.360 --> 0:14:14.920 performance at two four six ERA. Why isn't this guy 0:14:14.960 --> 0:14:17.880 getting more buzz? I almost feel like I do believe 0:14:17.920 --> 0:14:20.560 he is a sleeper. What's holding this guy back? Right now? 0:14:20.600 --> 0:14:24.120 With ADP, I agree, I would say one of the 0:14:24.160 --> 0:14:27.400 biggest reasons why he's held back is because of how 0:14:27.440 --> 0:14:29.040 the Rays have used him in the past. You know, 0:14:29.080 --> 0:14:31.720 this was a guy that was kind of in that 0:14:32.160 --> 0:14:34.840 pretty much Drew Resmussen was kind of like an opener. Like, 0:14:34.920 --> 0:14:38.560 I think there's that feel that forever and always Jeffrey 0:14:38.600 --> 0:14:41.360 Springs is going to be held back from being a heavy, 0:14:41.800 --> 0:14:44.680 dominant innings type of a pitcher, and I think that's 0:14:44.680 --> 0:14:46.920 one of the biggest reasons behind it. Also just raised 0:14:46.960 --> 0:14:49.760 in general that they're going to ever unleash him. This 0:14:49.840 --> 0:14:52.280 is one of mine, I think Jeffrey Springs, I think 0:14:52.280 --> 0:14:54.400 a lot of people agree. One to seventy is a steal. 0:14:54.880 --> 0:14:57.160 I think Jeffrey Springs is on the precipice. If the 0:14:57.160 --> 0:15:00.200 team does just allow him to go and unlow code, 0:15:00.640 --> 0:15:02.440 this is going to be a big positive. This past year, 0:15:02.440 --> 0:15:04.040 he had one hundred and thirty five innings, and like 0:15:04.080 --> 0:15:06.200 that's what I'm talking about. Can you I a think're 0:15:06.240 --> 0:15:07.880 gonna go to a one fifty? You know, like they 0:15:07.920 --> 0:15:10.320 really hold these guys back as far as those innings go. 0:15:10.360 --> 0:15:13.200 Maybe they didn't plan a hand. If you can unleash 0:15:13.280 --> 0:15:15.480 him over a full season, you're gonna have two hundred 0:15:15.520 --> 0:15:18.200 plus strikeouts. He had a two four six ERA this 0:15:18.280 --> 0:15:20.760 past year. And check this out. He had a three 0:15:20.920 --> 0:15:23.720 three two Sierra. So people pay attention to the Sierra 0:15:23.920 --> 0:15:26.200 maybe a little bit more of a realistic look at 0:15:26.240 --> 0:15:29.320 what There's so many era predictors now, you know, you 0:15:29.360 --> 0:15:31.400 can look at X FIP or FIP, and then Sierra 0:15:31.560 --> 0:15:34.480 tends to be more commonly like a better predictor of 0:15:34.480 --> 0:15:37.280 what your actual era would look like. So two four 0:15:37.360 --> 0:15:40.280 six cra a three three two Sierra. That three three 0:15:40.280 --> 0:15:43.960 two Sierra was tied with Zach Gallon. Zach Gallen had 0:15:44.000 --> 0:15:47.600 the exact same Sierra. Then you go to his K percentage. 0:15:47.640 --> 0:15:49.760 She had a twenty six point two K percentage last 0:15:49.840 --> 0:15:54.200 year that was higher than you, Darvish and just behind 0:15:54.760 --> 0:15:56.960 Zach Allen. So I'm not trying to say that he 0:15:57.000 --> 0:15:59.520 needs he's going to be Zach Allen. But I'm saying 0:15:59.520 --> 0:16:01.560 he's got you to pick up. If his innings push up, 0:16:01.600 --> 0:16:04.680 he could push two hundred. It's a pretty good team context. 0:16:04.760 --> 0:16:07.240 I love Jeffrey Springs. I think he's a massive sleeper 0:16:07.240 --> 0:16:08.880 in value post one point fifty. 0:16:09.120 --> 0:16:11.640 All right, next, got on the list here, Lars newt Bar. 0:16:12.600 --> 0:16:14.560 He's going around pick one to ninety right now on 0:16:14.600 --> 0:16:18.240 the expert consensus as of us recording the show last year, 0:16:18.520 --> 0:16:21.080 fourteen bombs, forty ribbies, and one hundred and eight games. 0:16:21.160 --> 0:16:23.000 If you look at the minor league track record, though, 0:16:23.200 --> 0:16:25.880 it's a player with an ops of seven eighteen over 0:16:25.880 --> 0:16:30.360 two hundred and nine games. I have a tough time 0:16:30.360 --> 0:16:32.200 with this one. I know he is a very trendy name. 0:16:32.720 --> 0:16:34.080 I don't think this is a sleeper. I'm going to 0:16:34.120 --> 0:16:35.840 be in on this year. What are your thoughts on Nudbar. 0:16:36.360 --> 0:16:38.720 I'm very much gonna be on Lars Newbar. Loved him 0:16:38.760 --> 0:16:41.000 since the AFL where he was being used as kind 0:16:41.000 --> 0:16:42.720 of a leadoff hitter. You go and look at his 0:16:42.720 --> 0:16:46.680 Baseball Savant page. It is red. It is the red sea, 0:16:46.920 --> 0:16:49.560 and it's not parting because it's still red the entire 0:16:49.600 --> 0:16:53.760 way through. Ninety percentile and average exit velocity. What's one 0:16:53.760 --> 0:16:56.400 thing I really look Ninety one point seven was his 0:16:56.480 --> 0:17:00.120 average exit velocity with a one thirteen max TV. You know, 0:17:00.160 --> 0:17:01.840 MaxV is what a lot of people pay attention to. 0:17:01.880 --> 0:17:03.520 But to be able to hold it that high is 0:17:03.680 --> 0:17:07.679 very solid. Eighty nine percentile max exit velocity. Hard hit 0:17:07.720 --> 0:17:10.200 percentage was in the top eighty percent x woeba eighty 0:17:10.240 --> 0:17:13.399 two percent. He is just a strong ability as far 0:17:13.400 --> 0:17:16.000 as a leadoff hitter goes. He can run, He's gotten 0:17:16.040 --> 0:17:18.359 bigger this past year. He's very pull heavy to watch, 0:17:18.640 --> 0:17:22.280 but high walk percentage, good contact rate. He's a good 0:17:22.440 --> 0:17:24.439 leadoff homer, stolen base com I think he'd be a 0:17:24.440 --> 0:17:27.200 five tool player. I'm very very much into large new part. 0:17:27.200 --> 0:17:29.720 The only problem is he is one of the highest 0:17:29.720 --> 0:17:32.920 moving up players as far as like the last month, 0:17:32.920 --> 0:17:34.960 as far as drafts have gone, he's moved up maybe 0:17:35.000 --> 0:17:36.439 more than anybody as far as ADP. 0:17:37.000 --> 0:17:38.639 Yeah, this is a guy. I'm just not in on 0:17:38.720 --> 0:17:40.080 again that you've got to prove more to me in 0:17:40.119 --> 0:17:42.040 the minor league track record a cup of coffee up 0:17:42.040 --> 0:17:44.840 here Onredan. One hundred eight games is a good sample size. 0:17:44.840 --> 0:17:47.320 But I don't know, man. I'm looking at the three 0:17:47.400 --> 0:17:50.399 seventy three careers lugging in the minor leagues. That's not 0:17:50.600 --> 0:17:53.920 super impressive. The three forty five OVP that's not super 0:17:53.960 --> 0:17:56.240 impressive for the leadoff guy that I want. And two 0:17:56.240 --> 0:17:58.359 fifty seven batting average again, two hundred games in the 0:17:58.359 --> 0:18:01.960 minor leagues. Look, players are with Maryfield was a mediocre 0:18:01.960 --> 0:18:04.320 minor leaguer who then took the world by storm and 0:18:04.320 --> 0:18:06.199 had some great seasons. We'll see if he's the next one. 0:18:06.240 --> 0:18:08.640