1
00:00:01,480 --> 00:00:05,040
Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast podcast.

2
00:00:05,760 --> 00:00:08,920
Speaker 2: If you are even remotely a savage, you'll run these

3
00:00:09,000 --> 00:00:22,000
Speaker 2: people over for a second.

4
00:00:28,080 --> 00:00:32,000
Speaker 1: Welcome into the Action Network Podcast presented by the FanDuel Sportsbook.

5
00:00:32,000 --> 00:00:35,559
Speaker 1: I'm your host Brendan las Sheen, joined by Sean Zarrillo

6
00:00:35,720 --> 00:00:39,080
Speaker 1: and Billy Ward Means. We have a UFC betting preview

7
00:00:39,159 --> 00:00:42,240
Speaker 1: for you UFC two ninety two this weekend from t

8
00:00:42,400 --> 00:00:43,839
Speaker 1: D Garden in Boston.

9
00:00:43,920 --> 00:00:45,640
Speaker 3: Twelve fights that were breaking down.

10
00:00:46,000 --> 00:00:49,200
Speaker 1: We'll look at underdogs, props and finish up with best

11
00:00:49,280 --> 00:00:52,960
Speaker 1: bets per usual. First, we start with the co main event,

12
00:00:53,040 --> 00:00:57,840
Speaker 1: the bantamweight main event title fight between al Jamaine Sterling

13
00:00:58,000 --> 00:01:01,360
Speaker 1: and Sean O'Malley. As of right now over at Fandel

14
00:01:01,400 --> 00:01:04,080
Speaker 1: O'Malley at plus two o five Sterling the favorite at

15
00:01:04,080 --> 00:01:09,320
Speaker 1: minus two sixty highly anticipated matchup Zarillo for this title fight.

16
00:01:09,840 --> 00:01:11,920
Speaker 3: How do you break this one down? And how do

17
00:01:11,959 --> 00:01:14,160
Speaker 3: you want to go about betting it? Considering we have

18
00:01:14,560 --> 00:01:17,640
Speaker 3: Sterling as a significant favor.

19
00:01:17,760 --> 00:01:20,440
Speaker 4: Sovalley and based on how I project these fights, is

20
00:01:20,480 --> 00:01:23,560
Speaker 4: a very public pick this week. The consensus odds have

21
00:01:23,640 --> 00:01:26,920
Speaker 4: him winning this fight around twenty seven to thirty percent

22
00:01:26,959 --> 00:01:29,600
Speaker 4: of the time. Right in the betting market, well across

23
00:01:29,640 --> 00:01:32,520
Speaker 4: places where you can select Sean O'Malley or al Jamain

24
00:01:32,560 --> 00:01:34,640
Speaker 4: Sterling is the winner of this fight. People are picking

25
00:01:34,720 --> 00:01:37,040
Speaker 4: him closer to a forty percent rate, so a very

26
00:01:37,080 --> 00:01:41,000
Speaker 4: obvious public underdog in my opinion, Sean O'Malley, I think

27
00:01:41,080 --> 00:01:42,640
Speaker 4: he is a big fan base, and I also think

28
00:01:42,680 --> 00:01:45,360
Speaker 4: al Jamain Sterling given the way his career has played out,

29
00:01:45,680 --> 00:01:47,840
Speaker 4: the illegal need thrown by peoter Yan, the way he

30
00:01:47,920 --> 00:01:50,880
Speaker 4: reacted to that. People didn't like how he won the

31
00:01:50,880 --> 00:01:54,640
Speaker 4: belt initially. The subsequent split decision when that he had

32
00:01:54,640 --> 00:01:57,040
Speaker 4: over Yon, I think gave more fuel to that fire.

33
00:01:57,120 --> 00:01:59,360
Speaker 4: And there are a lot of people who do not

34
00:01:59,480 --> 00:02:01,840
Speaker 4: like alie Ma Sterling. But I think he is a

35
00:02:01,960 --> 00:02:04,960
Speaker 4: nightmare matchup for Sean O'Malley because he does two things

36
00:02:04,960 --> 00:02:08,720
Speaker 4: in particular that O'Malley does not like. The first is

37
00:02:08,800 --> 00:02:11,120
Speaker 4: leg kicks. We've seen O'Malley get kind of drop foot

38
00:02:11,200 --> 00:02:14,840
Speaker 4: in two separate fights now, both losses against Cheeto Vera.

39
00:02:16,120 --> 00:02:16,960
Speaker 5: Not both losses.

40
00:02:17,000 --> 00:02:19,320
Speaker 4: He did end up beating Andrea Supman toaf but he

41
00:02:19,400 --> 00:02:21,239
Speaker 4: spent a lot of time on bottom in that fight,

42
00:02:21,280 --> 00:02:23,919
Speaker 4: and basically one with his leg falling off and kind

43
00:02:23,919 --> 00:02:27,600
Speaker 4: of flopping around. You know, that's an issue that we

44
00:02:27,639 --> 00:02:30,080
Speaker 4: haven't seen crop up again, but it certainly seems like

45
00:02:30,120 --> 00:02:32,040
Speaker 4: there's some sort of issue with his peronnial nerve and

46
00:02:32,320 --> 00:02:34,680
Speaker 4: sometimes he gets kicked and that foot just goes dead.

47
00:02:34,800 --> 00:02:37,920
Speaker 4: So that factor certainly a concern for me. Considering how

48
00:02:38,000 --> 00:02:40,520
Speaker 4: much Sterling kicks the leg. I think the striking could

49
00:02:40,560 --> 00:02:43,520
Speaker 4: be very competitive because Sterling does throw a lot of volume.

50
00:02:43,639 --> 00:02:46,960
Speaker 4: O'Malley probably the better overall distance striker, but if this

51
00:02:47,080 --> 00:02:49,720
Speaker 4: was a twenty five minute kickboxing fight, I think it

52
00:02:49,720 --> 00:02:52,240
Speaker 4: would be pretty much a minus one ten pick him

53
00:02:52,240 --> 00:02:55,040
Speaker 4: on either side. You bake in all of the grappling

54
00:02:55,120 --> 00:02:57,200
Speaker 4: upside for Sterling in this fight, and I think you

55
00:02:57,200 --> 00:03:00,280
Speaker 4: could justify him as a more substantial favorite, and he

56
00:03:00,440 --> 00:03:03,480
Speaker 4: already is saw in o'mealley's last fight against Pyotr Jan

57
00:03:04,000 --> 00:03:07,760
Speaker 4: taken down actually body locked, which is Sterling's best trait.

58
00:03:07,840 --> 00:03:10,800
Speaker 4: His ability to backpack opponents and lock in that body

59
00:03:10,840 --> 00:03:13,120
Speaker 4: triangle on them quickly basically the end of the round,

60
00:03:13,520 --> 00:03:15,480
Speaker 4: if not the end of the fight. Put away Corey

61
00:03:15,560 --> 00:03:20,440
Speaker 4: Sanhagen with a backpack reneked choke very quickly, so Sterling's

62
00:03:20,480 --> 00:03:23,320
Speaker 4: ability to take the back to Land takedowns here to

63
00:03:23,400 --> 00:03:26,120
Speaker 4: chain wrestle and get O'Malley out of his comfort zone.

64
00:03:26,400 --> 00:03:29,800
Speaker 4: I just think this makes a complete mismatch in terms

65
00:03:29,800 --> 00:03:33,400
Speaker 4: of the grappling, especially compared to Sterling's recent opponents. This

66
00:03:33,520 --> 00:03:37,920
Speaker 4: is such a much lesser defensive grappling opponent for him

67
00:03:37,920 --> 00:03:40,800
Speaker 4: and O'Malley than in his recent fight. So al Jamaine

68
00:03:40,800 --> 00:03:42,960
Speaker 4: Sterling gives more ways to win. I like him to

69
00:03:43,000 --> 00:03:45,480
Speaker 4: win inside the distance at plus one fifteen. I also

70
00:03:45,560 --> 00:03:47,760
Speaker 4: like the fight to end inside the distance at minus

71
00:03:47,800 --> 00:03:50,240
Speaker 4: two to fifteen. Corected those lines closer to about minus

72
00:03:50,280 --> 00:03:53,320
Speaker 4: one eleven and minus two to sixty, respectively, So value

73
00:03:53,320 --> 00:03:55,800
Speaker 4: on both of those props also slight value on Sterling's

74
00:03:55,800 --> 00:03:58,120
Speaker 4: money line. Kind of figuring out where I want to

75
00:03:58,120 --> 00:04:00,320
Speaker 4: add more to I want to allocate more, or to

76
00:04:00,680 --> 00:04:02,760
Speaker 4: the fight to end inside the distance, or just on

77
00:04:02,880 --> 00:04:05,680
Speaker 4: Sterling straight up, but you know, kind of figuring out

78
00:04:05,680 --> 00:04:08,560
Speaker 4: how much decision equity I would give him, how much

79
00:04:08,640 --> 00:04:11,200
Speaker 4: I think finish equity I give O'Malley because we've seen

80
00:04:11,240 --> 00:04:13,520
Speaker 4: Sterling put out in the past, So figuring out the

81
00:04:13,640 --> 00:04:15,440
Speaker 4: dynamics more so if I want to play the fight,

82
00:04:15,480 --> 00:04:18,040
Speaker 4: but right now I have it allocated where Sterling wins

83
00:04:18,040 --> 00:04:20,800
Speaker 4: inside the distance, I win both bets. O'Malley finishes him,

84
00:04:21,120 --> 00:04:24,200
Speaker 4: I push, and then either fighter wins by decision, I

85
00:04:24,240 --> 00:04:25,160
Speaker 4: lose to a fast.

86
00:04:25,920 --> 00:04:28,680
Speaker 1: Zarella and Billy have full coverage in the action app

87
00:04:28,720 --> 00:04:31,599
Speaker 1: Action network dot com and Billy you penned your weekly

88
00:04:32,320 --> 00:04:36,680
Speaker 1: luck ratings yesterday, and I just it's interesting because a

89
00:04:36,680 --> 00:04:38,960
Speaker 1: lot of times you'll you'll say, at the top fighters

90
00:04:38,960 --> 00:04:41,000
Speaker 1: to bet now undervalued fighters, But in this case, you

91
00:04:41,040 --> 00:04:42,760
Speaker 1: want to wait a little bit longer, right as it

92
00:04:42,839 --> 00:04:46,599
Speaker 1: pertains to Aljamin and Sterling, because there could be a

93
00:04:46,600 --> 00:04:49,040
Speaker 1: better line with all the public money coming in o'maley.

94
00:04:49,920 --> 00:04:52,320
Speaker 5: Yeah, Sean referenced it. I haven't bet this one yet.

95
00:04:52,480 --> 00:04:54,920
Speaker 5: I've been really, really hoping that we're getting a better

96
00:04:54,960 --> 00:04:57,680
Speaker 5: line at some point on Sterling's money line, because I

97
00:04:57,680 --> 00:05:01,000
Speaker 5: do think that's probably the most comfortable wait about this one.

98
00:05:01,200 --> 00:05:03,480
Speaker 5: I've seen reports from a bunch of different sports books,

99
00:05:03,520 --> 00:05:05,839
Speaker 5: you know, eighty percent of tickets coming in on O'Malley

100
00:05:05,880 --> 00:05:08,560
Speaker 5: all this stuff all throughout the week, and they are

101
00:05:08,600 --> 00:05:11,600
Speaker 5: not moving the line, which tells you something about how

102
00:05:11,600 --> 00:05:14,159
Speaker 5: they feel about this fight. When all the sports books

103
00:05:14,200 --> 00:05:16,520
Speaker 5: are happy to take a position on al Jamaine Sterling.

104
00:05:16,839 --> 00:05:18,520
Speaker 5: That's a pretty big sign what's going on here and

105
00:05:18,560 --> 00:05:22,480
Speaker 5: what everyone thinks. You know, from a luck rating standpoint,

106
00:05:22,720 --> 00:05:25,960
Speaker 5: Shan O'Malley was losing the first round against Peter Munoz,

107
00:05:26,000 --> 00:05:28,160
Speaker 5: pokes him in the eye, gets declared to no contest,

108
00:05:28,480 --> 00:05:30,120
Speaker 5: and then we kind of all just pretended he won

109
00:05:30,160 --> 00:05:32,320
Speaker 5: that fight and kept moving him up the rankings even

110
00:05:32,320 --> 00:05:34,720
Speaker 5: though he it was officially a no contest, but he

111
00:05:34,760 --> 00:05:37,680
Speaker 5: was losing. Then he has a split decision with poter Yan,

112
00:05:38,000 --> 00:05:41,200
Speaker 5: like al Jamaine Sterling did. Aljro split over poter Yon

113
00:05:41,400 --> 00:05:44,640
Speaker 5: was I think a much better win than Shan O'Malley's

114
00:05:44,640 --> 00:05:47,599
Speaker 5: split decision over Poterion, which most of us thought was

115
00:05:47,600 --> 00:05:50,760
Speaker 5: a pretty bad call. So just from that standpoint, you know,

116
00:05:50,800 --> 00:05:53,719
Speaker 5: Sterling's a far better fighter here. O'Malley doesn't really deserve

117
00:05:53,760 --> 00:05:55,520
Speaker 5: a title fight at this point in his career with

118
00:05:55,560 --> 00:05:58,240
Speaker 5: the people he's fought. The one thing that makes me

119
00:05:58,279 --> 00:06:00,679
Speaker 5: a little bit nervous is the quick turnaround for Sterling.

120
00:06:00,880 --> 00:06:02,480
Speaker 5: You know, he wanted this one to be in September.

121
00:06:02,520 --> 00:06:04,880
Speaker 5: He wanted a couple weeks off to recover. I think

122
00:06:04,880 --> 00:06:07,320
Speaker 5: the delta between these two guys skill wise for most

123
00:06:07,320 --> 00:06:09,640
Speaker 5: of the reason Zerrello pointed out is big enough that

124
00:06:09,680 --> 00:06:12,680
Speaker 5: he should overcome that. So as it stands now, if

125
00:06:12,680 --> 00:06:14,680
Speaker 5: I had to bet right now at you know, eleven

126
00:06:14,720 --> 00:06:17,480
Speaker 5: am on Friday, I would probably go Aljo in rounds

127
00:06:17,480 --> 00:06:19,840
Speaker 5: four or five or by decision at plus one forty five.

128
00:06:20,480 --> 00:06:23,680
Speaker 5: A finish here wouldn't surprise me. I think O'Malley's defensive

129
00:06:23,680 --> 00:06:26,280
Speaker 5: grappling is a little bit underrated, and it's going to

130
00:06:26,320 --> 00:06:29,520
Speaker 5: be in deeper waters if it does happen. But I'm

131
00:06:29,560 --> 00:06:31,320
Speaker 5: really hoping I can get something better than minus two

132
00:06:31,360 --> 00:06:35,119
Speaker 5: fifty on Aljo would be comfortable taking that, just really hoping. Again,

133
00:06:35,120 --> 00:06:38,000
Speaker 5: people keep betting Sean O'Malley, pump all that money into it,

134
00:06:38,200 --> 00:06:39,840
Speaker 5: maybe one of these books will blink and try to

135
00:06:39,880 --> 00:06:40,840
Speaker 5: balance out a little bit.

136
00:06:41,880 --> 00:06:45,120
Speaker 4: And just for contacts, you know, al jaminer Sterling did

137
00:06:45,240 --> 00:06:48,120
Speaker 4: just out wrestle an Olympic champion in Henry's hudo, so

138
00:06:48,680 --> 00:06:52,359
Speaker 4: it's a it's a big differential in wrestling skill, you know.

139
00:06:52,600 --> 00:06:54,920
Speaker 4: I agree Sean O'Malley. Like Connor McGregor, I think Sean

140
00:06:54,920 --> 00:06:59,400
Speaker 4: O'Malley's defensive grappling is pretty underrated. Defensive Brazilian jiu jitsu,

141
00:06:59,440 --> 00:07:02,200
Speaker 4: probably under I don't know if Aldro just cuts through

142
00:07:02,279 --> 00:07:05,120
Speaker 4: him like he did with Sanhagen, but I think he's

143
00:07:05,160 --> 00:07:07,000
Speaker 4: gonna have a lot of chances to do it from

144
00:07:07,000 --> 00:07:08,520
Speaker 4: the back and to potentially finish his fight.

145
00:07:09,400 --> 00:07:12,000
Speaker 5: I'm glad you phrased that how you did. I misspoke there.

146
00:07:12,040 --> 00:07:15,280
Speaker 5: I said defensive grappling. I really meant submission defense. His

147
00:07:15,320 --> 00:07:18,840
Speaker 5: wrestling defense is not good, but he competes in some

148
00:07:18,840 --> 00:07:21,120
Speaker 5: fairly high level submission stuff has gone in there with

149
00:07:21,160 --> 00:07:24,040
Speaker 5: tough guys. Tends to lose on points against you know,

150
00:07:24,440 --> 00:07:27,880
Speaker 5: borderline elite grapplers, so that part. I don't think Sterling

151
00:07:27,960 --> 00:07:29,280
Speaker 5: just comes and taps him out in a minute and

152
00:07:29,320 --> 00:07:31,600
Speaker 5: a half with you know, flying armbar or anything like that.

153
00:07:31,960 --> 00:07:35,040
Speaker 5: I think it'll be grinding him out, backpacking him later.

154
00:07:35,120 --> 00:07:38,080
Speaker 5: Submissions more likely than earlier and under.

155
00:07:37,880 --> 00:07:41,320
Speaker 1: The co main event of UFC two ninety two in Boston,

156
00:07:41,360 --> 00:07:44,920
Speaker 1: we've got a great matchup in the women's side of things,

157
00:07:45,000 --> 00:07:51,000
Speaker 1: the women's strawweight title fight. We've got Wiley Jiang the

158
00:07:51,120 --> 00:07:55,040
Speaker 1: favorite taking on Amanda Laimos. She's at plus two fifty

159
00:07:55,560 --> 00:07:59,880
Speaker 1: on the money line right now over at Fandel Sportsbook

160
00:08:00,240 --> 00:08:03,640
Speaker 1: Zerrilla same question, how do you assess this matchup and

161
00:08:03,760 --> 00:08:06,080
Speaker 1: are their edges to want to side with an underdog

162
00:08:06,120 --> 00:08:08,400
Speaker 1: here as opposed to what we just talked about with O'Malley.

163
00:08:08,560 --> 00:08:10,600
Speaker 3: There's a lot of public money coming in on his side.

164
00:08:11,760 --> 00:08:14,080
Speaker 4: I think Jangueli is going to be a big parlay

165
00:08:14,120 --> 00:08:16,440
Speaker 4: piece this weekend for people, and I'm actually going to

166
00:08:16,480 --> 00:08:18,960
Speaker 4: take Billy's approach with the main event and wait to

167
00:08:19,080 --> 00:08:22,000
Speaker 4: bet potentially at Amandal Leimos at hopefully three to one

168
00:08:22,040 --> 00:08:24,320
Speaker 4: are better. It seems like her money line is in

169
00:08:24,360 --> 00:08:26,400
Speaker 4: that plus two sixty to post eighty range. I've seen

170
00:08:26,440 --> 00:08:28,720
Speaker 4: it bump up to plus two eighty come back down.

171
00:08:29,120 --> 00:08:31,840
Speaker 4: I'm hoping by fight time I'm able to get three

172
00:08:31,840 --> 00:08:34,200
Speaker 4: to one or better on a land Amanda Lemos, who

173
00:08:34,480 --> 00:08:36,680
Speaker 4: should have her best success early in this fight. She

174
00:08:36,800 --> 00:08:41,079
Speaker 4: tends to be more of an early finisher archetype fighter.

175
00:08:41,120 --> 00:08:43,200
Speaker 4: Now we've seen in recent fights she's been able to

176
00:08:43,200 --> 00:08:45,800
Speaker 4: extend that out, get second round finishes, third round finishes,

177
00:08:45,840 --> 00:08:49,120
Speaker 4: and I think that is encouraging in terms of her cardio,

178
00:08:49,200 --> 00:08:52,600
Speaker 4: her ability to maintain finish ability latent to fights put

179
00:08:52,640 --> 00:08:54,360
Speaker 4: damage on opponents latent to fights.

180
00:08:54,920 --> 00:08:55,560
Speaker 5: There's a big.

181
00:08:55,440 --> 00:08:59,040
Speaker 4: Discrepancy here though in terms of five round experience, and

182
00:08:59,400 --> 00:09:01,960
Speaker 4: I do think even though Xangueli doesn't have the best

183
00:09:01,960 --> 00:09:04,280
Speaker 4: cardio for the division, I do think she has the

184
00:09:04,320 --> 00:09:07,439
Speaker 4: cardio advantage probably against the Mandalimo. So down the stretch

185
00:09:07,800 --> 00:09:10,480
Speaker 4: rounds four and five, I think probably tips a little

186
00:09:10,480 --> 00:09:14,920
Speaker 4: bit more towards Jang, but particularly in the earlier rounds,

187
00:09:15,040 --> 00:09:18,240
Speaker 4: not only can Amandallemosh keep this competitive win minutes, I

188
00:09:18,240 --> 00:09:20,959
Speaker 4: think she could potentially finish it. We've seen Jang knocked

189
00:09:20,960 --> 00:09:23,280
Speaker 4: out via head kick, had damage put on her, had

190
00:09:23,280 --> 00:09:27,960
Speaker 4: her face swelled up against Joanna. There's definitely potential for

191
00:09:28,000 --> 00:09:30,200
Speaker 4: Amanda to finish her in some way. I like her

192
00:09:30,280 --> 00:09:32,680
Speaker 4: knockout prop at around five and a half to one,

193
00:09:32,800 --> 00:09:35,280
Speaker 4: projected that closer to plus four to fifty, and I

194
00:09:35,360 --> 00:09:36,640
Speaker 4: made her money line around.

195
00:09:36,400 --> 00:09:37,120
Speaker 5: Plus two to fifty.

196
00:09:37,200 --> 00:09:39,440
Speaker 4: So, as I said, if that money line floats up

197
00:09:39,520 --> 00:09:44,760
Speaker 4: closer to three to one, I'm definitely gonna end up poking. It.

198
00:09:44,840 --> 00:09:48,199
Speaker 4: Wasn't really expecting to necessarily go against Jang, but I

199
00:09:48,240 --> 00:09:51,760
Speaker 4: think the price is sort of dictating my hand. Lemos

200
00:09:51,880 --> 00:09:53,880
Speaker 4: just has a really high floor. She hits very hard,

201
00:09:54,120 --> 00:09:56,600
Speaker 4: and there's not a lot of finishing upside in this division.

202
00:09:56,760 --> 00:10:00,000
Speaker 4: So you know, generally woman straweight fights go to decision,

203
00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:02,400
Speaker 4: and I believe around sixty percent of the time this

204
00:10:02,440 --> 00:10:05,000
Speaker 4: fight is juiced up to around minus three fifty ten

205
00:10:05,040 --> 00:10:07,800
Speaker 4: inside the distance, which is pretty drastic. I think, if anything,

206
00:10:07,840 --> 00:10:09,240
Speaker 4: you probably have to lean to the fight to go

207
00:10:09,280 --> 00:10:11,840
Speaker 4: to a decision or the over giving the pricing there.

208
00:10:11,880 --> 00:10:14,959
Speaker 4: But for the same analysis in the prising, I think

209
00:10:15,000 --> 00:10:17,960
Speaker 4: you have to go to the underdogs one Billy.

210
00:10:18,120 --> 00:10:21,280
Speaker 1: Seven wins for both of these fighters, four finishes for Xang,

211
00:10:21,400 --> 00:10:23,319
Speaker 1: five for Laimosh Lemosh?

212
00:10:23,520 --> 00:10:25,520
Speaker 3: Is it Lama Laimo? Am I saying it right? How

213
00:10:25,600 --> 00:10:25,679
Speaker 3: is it?

214
00:10:26,120 --> 00:10:28,440
Speaker 4: It's it's I believe it's Lemosh. It's you know, it's

215
00:10:28,520 --> 00:10:33,600
Speaker 4: the Brazilian pronunciation. So put through a little Portuguese heat

216
00:10:33,640 --> 00:10:33,920
Speaker 4: on there.

217
00:10:35,320 --> 00:10:39,720
Speaker 1: Sorry, Amanda, trying to get your name right, Amanda Lemosh. Okay, Billy,

218
00:10:39,760 --> 00:10:41,880
Speaker 1: you're on kind of the same page here as Arilla. Right,

219
00:10:41,920 --> 00:10:46,640
Speaker 1: there's a Amanda Lemosh might be slightly undervalued.

220
00:10:46,840 --> 00:10:49,760
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean pretty much in lockstep with him. I

221
00:10:49,840 --> 00:10:51,839
Speaker 5: like that she has a three inch reach advantage despite

222
00:10:51,880 --> 00:10:53,560
Speaker 5: being the same height here. She can land, you know,

223
00:10:53,600 --> 00:10:56,680
Speaker 5: some straight shots. Her best attribute might be a straight

224
00:10:56,760 --> 00:10:59,000
Speaker 5: right hand from range. So to have that reach advantage

225
00:10:59,040 --> 00:11:02,240
Speaker 5: helps her more than it helps some fighters. But yeah,

226
00:11:02,280 --> 00:11:04,640
Speaker 5: I mean Jang is probably skill for skill, a better

227
00:11:04,679 --> 00:11:07,320
Speaker 5: fighter at everything. Leimosh just has that huge power that

228
00:11:07,440 --> 00:11:09,520
Speaker 5: can equalize a lot of stuff. She only needs to

229
00:11:09,600 --> 00:11:12,080
Speaker 5: land one. We see a lot of finishes in this

230
00:11:12,160 --> 00:11:14,880
Speaker 5: division where it's a lot of volume. You know, someone's

231
00:11:14,920 --> 00:11:17,040
Speaker 5: kind of cowered up against the fence and Therough steps

232
00:11:17,040 --> 00:11:20,559
Speaker 5: in and saves you. Those aren't Amanda's finishes. Amanda hits

233
00:11:20,640 --> 00:11:23,400
Speaker 5: you and people just explode and are like out out.

234
00:11:23,640 --> 00:11:25,960
Speaker 5: It's just a different level of power than we usually

235
00:11:25,960 --> 00:11:28,760
Speaker 5: see at this division, which can equalize a lot of stuff.

236
00:11:28,800 --> 00:11:32,400
Speaker 5: You know, I don't think Jang is the best wrestler. Like,

237
00:11:32,440 --> 00:11:34,320
Speaker 5: she's got some takedown upside, but she's not one of

238
00:11:34,320 --> 00:11:37,160
Speaker 5: those super persistent grapplers. She's going to force it to

239
00:11:37,200 --> 00:11:39,320
Speaker 5: be a grappling match, and as long as it's on

240
00:11:39,360 --> 00:11:41,560
Speaker 5: the feet, you know, Lemosh has a shot at finishing

241
00:11:41,559 --> 00:11:43,920
Speaker 5: it at any point. So in terms of betting it, yep,

242
00:11:44,000 --> 00:11:45,360
Speaker 5: knockout prop love that.

243
00:11:46,520 --> 00:11:46,720
Speaker 2: You know.

244
00:11:47,600 --> 00:11:49,280
Speaker 5: I thought this might be the best line we get

245
00:11:49,280 --> 00:11:51,880
Speaker 5: on Memosh. I thought there'd be more money pushing that down,

246
00:11:51,920 --> 00:11:55,000
Speaker 5: but it's kind of wavered throughout the week. Don't mind

247
00:11:55,000 --> 00:11:57,800
Speaker 5: her money line as it stands, and then we'll probably

248
00:11:57,800 --> 00:12:00,600
Speaker 5: look to hedge off with Wyley live after a rounds

249
00:12:00,640 --> 00:12:03,760
Speaker 5: if Lamosh hurts her but doesn't finish her Like I

250
00:12:03,760 --> 00:12:07,000
Speaker 5: feel like Lamosh has one finishing sequence in her and

251
00:12:07,040 --> 00:12:08,880
Speaker 5: if it doesn't happen, she doesn't really have a plan

252
00:12:08,920 --> 00:12:09,920
Speaker 5: B for what to do after that.

253
00:12:10,960 --> 00:12:12,360
Speaker 4: Yeah, I feel like for at least the first ten

254
00:12:12,400 --> 00:12:14,120
Speaker 4: minutes or so, this is she's going to look like

255
00:12:14,120 --> 00:12:16,160
Speaker 4: a plus one fifty dog. At worst, you know, this

256
00:12:16,240 --> 00:12:18,880
Speaker 4: might look like a minus one ten fight just in

257
00:12:18,960 --> 00:12:22,080
Speaker 4: terms of her skill and the power for the first

258
00:12:22,080 --> 00:12:25,880
Speaker 4: ten minutes. I think Wailey probably justifies her favoritism after that.

259
00:12:25,880 --> 00:12:28,520
Speaker 4: But as you said, Billy, you can Batlemosh pre fight

260
00:12:28,600 --> 00:12:30,400
Speaker 4: plus two fifty and then hedge off.

261
00:12:30,240 --> 00:12:32,880
Speaker 5: Live lemoshin Jang should be should be good.

262
00:12:32,880 --> 00:12:36,280
Speaker 1: And again, that price right now at fan duel for

263
00:12:36,679 --> 00:12:37,920
Speaker 1: Lemosh is at.

264
00:12:37,679 --> 00:12:38,880
Speaker 3: Plus two point fifty.

265
00:12:39,200 --> 00:12:40,719
Speaker 5: As we've discussed so.

266
00:12:40,760 --> 00:12:44,600
Speaker 1: On the subject of underdogs, Zarrillo, you were saying before

267
00:12:44,600 --> 00:12:48,120
Speaker 1: we recorded today's podcast that this card is littered with

268
00:12:48,200 --> 00:12:49,320
Speaker 1: dogs that you're interested in.

269
00:12:49,480 --> 00:12:52,240
Speaker 4: It certainly is, and six of the seven dogs on

270
00:12:52,280 --> 00:12:54,560
Speaker 4: the prelims, I believe two of the five underdogs on

271
00:12:54,600 --> 00:12:57,839
Speaker 4: the main card are all fighters and potentially betting or

272
00:12:57,880 --> 00:13:01,000
Speaker 4: targeting in variety of ways. My favored amongst them, though,

273
00:13:02,000 --> 00:13:04,760
Speaker 4: is my long islwand brother Chris Widman, coming back from

274
00:13:04,960 --> 00:13:07,400
Speaker 4: the worst leg injury or the worst injury I've ever

275
00:13:07,440 --> 00:13:11,280
Speaker 4: seen live. I guess I wasn't watching the NCAA tournament

276
00:13:11,520 --> 00:13:13,920
Speaker 4: when that kid on Louisville blew out his leg. That's

277
00:13:13,960 --> 00:13:17,120
Speaker 4: probably the most widely viewed gruesome injury of all time.

278
00:13:17,160 --> 00:13:19,800
Speaker 4: But I think Chris Widman's injury in the midst of

279
00:13:19,800 --> 00:13:22,000
Speaker 4: the pandemic, with no other live sports going on and

280
00:13:22,040 --> 00:13:24,840
Speaker 4: a lot of casual viewers tuning into that pay per

281
00:13:24,920 --> 00:13:28,960
Speaker 4: view in particular, that was probably the second most that

282
00:13:29,040 --> 00:13:32,520
Speaker 4: widely viewed awful injury of all time. Ron ji Orski

283
00:13:32,640 --> 00:13:35,760
Speaker 4: up there too, so it sticks in people's minds right,

284
00:13:35,840 --> 00:13:38,640
Speaker 4: like how bad that leg injury is, the recovery he

285
00:13:38,679 --> 00:13:40,480
Speaker 4: had to go through just to get back to this point.

286
00:13:41,040 --> 00:13:42,280
Speaker 4: I don't know if I'm going to be able to

287
00:13:42,280 --> 00:13:44,000
Speaker 4: be in the room watching it until he throws a

288
00:13:44,040 --> 00:13:45,880
Speaker 4: leg kick like I might. I might be listening to

289
00:13:45,880 --> 00:13:49,040
Speaker 4: the broadcast and be like, oh, John Annick said he

290
00:13:49,080 --> 00:13:50,600
Speaker 4: threw a leg kick and he's fine, Like I can

291
00:13:50,640 --> 00:13:53,480
Speaker 4: come back in the room now, because it's it's gonna

292
00:13:53,480 --> 00:13:55,920
Speaker 4: be a cringe worthy moment when he throws one, like

293
00:13:56,000 --> 00:13:58,280
Speaker 4: you're going to be holding your breath. He might even

294
00:13:58,320 --> 00:14:01,880
Speaker 4: be holding his own breath. But in terms of the

295
00:14:01,960 --> 00:14:04,400
Speaker 4: fight and how the style plays out, and where these

296
00:14:04,440 --> 00:14:06,640
Speaker 4: guys are at in their respective careers, I don't know

297
00:14:06,679 --> 00:14:09,720
Speaker 4: how you don't bet Chris Widman here at plus two ten,

298
00:14:10,400 --> 00:14:13,400
Speaker 4: so peak for peak Chris Widman for middleweight champion. Brad

299
00:14:13,400 --> 00:14:17,400
Speaker 4: Tavera has never cracked the top ten. Chris Widman sort

300
00:14:17,440 --> 00:14:19,560
Speaker 4: of later in his career, right even before the leg injury,

301
00:14:19,880 --> 00:14:24,000
Speaker 4: Chin was fading getting knocked out more frequently. Now he's

302
00:14:24,000 --> 00:14:27,400
Speaker 4: had significant layoff to help that Chin recover. But also

303
00:14:27,440 --> 00:14:30,520
Speaker 4: Brad Tavera's leave one finish at the UFC level, He's

304
00:14:30,560 --> 00:14:33,840
Speaker 4: a decision fighter, he's a point fighter. Brad Taveras also

305
00:14:33,880 --> 00:14:36,360
Speaker 4: knocked out brutally in his last fight and has not

306
00:14:36,480 --> 00:14:39,320
Speaker 4: beaten anybody I believe who's still currently in the UFC.

307
00:14:39,360 --> 00:14:41,080
Speaker 4: So Brad Tavera is very much at the end of

308
00:14:41,080 --> 00:14:44,560
Speaker 4: his career. Two. So if you just assume they've made

309
00:14:44,600 --> 00:14:47,640
Speaker 4: a similar decline relative to their primes, there's still a

310
00:14:47,720 --> 00:14:50,360
Speaker 4: huge gap and skill. I think Chris Widman is the

311
00:14:50,360 --> 00:14:54,560
Speaker 4: better boxer prime for prime. So really, everything you're baking

312
00:14:54,560 --> 00:14:58,960
Speaker 4: into the line justifying Tavera's as a favoritism is assuming

313
00:14:59,040 --> 00:15:02,320
Speaker 4: that Wideman has dropped off of a cliff and either

314
00:15:02,320 --> 00:15:04,200
Speaker 4: cannot take a punch or cannot take a kick, or

315
00:15:04,240 --> 00:15:07,400
Speaker 4: won't be able to kick, or just can't do anything athletically.

316
00:15:07,640 --> 00:15:11,840
Speaker 4: And I don't necessarily know that you can assume all

317
00:15:11,880 --> 00:15:13,840
Speaker 4: of that making him a plus two ten hunderdog. This

318
00:15:13,880 --> 00:15:15,240
Speaker 4: is a guy who has one hundred percent of the

319
00:15:15,240 --> 00:15:19,760
Speaker 4: grappling upside in this fight, and assuming assuming they're at

320
00:15:19,920 --> 00:15:23,320
Speaker 4: where they were before Wideman's injury, Wideman's the better striker too.

321
00:15:23,640 --> 00:15:26,960
Speaker 4: So like I said, I think anything making Wide mean

322
00:15:27,040 --> 00:15:29,480
Speaker 4: a dog here has to do with the leg injury

323
00:15:29,840 --> 00:15:32,080
Speaker 4: and people just assuming he can't fight anymore. I think

324
00:15:32,120 --> 00:15:33,560
Speaker 4: he kind of do have to lean into it, even

325
00:15:33,560 --> 00:15:35,440
Speaker 4: if it's a quarter you in to play something like that.

326
00:15:35,440 --> 00:15:38,040
Speaker 4: Plus two ten is a crazy line on Chris Wide.

327
00:15:38,120 --> 00:15:40,120
Speaker 4: He's one hundred percent of the grappling upside in this fight.

328
00:15:41,080 --> 00:15:43,400
Speaker 4: And as I said, assuming he is where he was

329
00:15:44,000 --> 00:15:46,320
Speaker 4: before the injury, the striking should be close if not

330
00:15:46,440 --> 00:15:47,280
Speaker 4: favor him as well.

331
00:15:47,440 --> 00:15:49,760
Speaker 1: Bill, you're on a pair of dogs, and there's one

332
00:15:49,800 --> 00:15:51,560
Speaker 1: dog that you're going to start with that has a

333
00:15:51,600 --> 00:15:56,200
Speaker 1: couple of layers to it that you'd like to discuss.

334
00:15:56,720 --> 00:15:58,600
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm with Sean. This is a great card for

335
00:15:58,680 --> 00:16:02,040
Speaker 5: underdogs real quick. He's like minus a thousand to throw

336
00:16:02,040 --> 00:16:03,920
Speaker 5: that leg kick in the first ten seconds of the fight,

337
00:16:04,000 --> 00:16:06,040
Speaker 5: by the way, like he's gonna come out and fire one.

338
00:16:06,040 --> 00:16:07,520
Speaker 5: We're all gonna hold our breath and then we can

339
00:16:07,600 --> 00:16:08,240
Speaker 5: get to the fight.

340
00:16:08,720 --> 00:16:09,920
Speaker 4: Like I hold.

341
00:16:09,960 --> 00:16:13,000
Speaker 1: There's a camera on Annik. I really hope so in

342
00:16:13,040 --> 00:16:13,640
Speaker 1: his reaction.

343
00:16:14,360 --> 00:16:17,840
Speaker 5: For sure. I would never steal the Long Island Homer

344
00:16:17,880 --> 00:16:19,760
Speaker 5: pick from Zerulo, but I like that one as well.

345
00:16:20,280 --> 00:16:22,400
Speaker 5: First one, I'm looking at Neil Magni stepping in a

346
00:16:22,440 --> 00:16:25,240
Speaker 5: short notice to fight Ian Gary. I would absolutely love

347
00:16:25,320 --> 00:16:27,600
Speaker 5: this pick if Magni had a full camp. I'm a

348
00:16:27,600 --> 00:16:30,240
Speaker 5: little bit nervous about it as it stands. The biggest

349
00:16:30,240 --> 00:16:32,280
Speaker 5: thing that stands out for me, though, is most of

350
00:16:32,320 --> 00:16:35,200
Speaker 5: Ian Gary's game is being taller and longer than people.

351
00:16:35,360 --> 00:16:37,280
Speaker 5: A couple of his knockouts are from a pole right

352
00:16:37,280 --> 00:16:39,640
Speaker 5: hook or pole right hand where he just slides just

353
00:16:39,720 --> 00:16:42,360
Speaker 5: out of range, touches people where they can't touch him.

354
00:16:42,600 --> 00:16:45,240
Speaker 5: He's fighting, I believe the longest fighter in the welterweight

355
00:16:45,320 --> 00:16:48,920
Speaker 5: division by reach at eighty inches in Neil Magni and

356
00:16:49,120 --> 00:16:51,200
Speaker 5: Magni has I would argue a little bit of the

357
00:16:51,240 --> 00:16:54,800
Speaker 5: grappling upside here. Gary has some in theory. He's a

358
00:16:54,800 --> 00:16:57,120
Speaker 5: black belt in both judo and jiu jitsu. We never

359
00:16:57,160 --> 00:16:58,920
Speaker 5: really see him do it, and I've seen him taken

360
00:16:58,960 --> 00:17:00,840
Speaker 5: down in a lot of clinch tos in his last

361
00:17:00,840 --> 00:17:03,120
Speaker 5: few fights, so I'm not not quite sure why that

362
00:17:03,200 --> 00:17:06,040
Speaker 5: hasn't translated it for him. Maybe he just wants to strike.

363
00:17:06,359 --> 00:17:08,560
Speaker 5: But in theory, Magnie can make this a really competitive

364
00:17:08,560 --> 00:17:11,760
Speaker 5: grappling match, and plus three nineties just a really long

365
00:17:11,800 --> 00:17:13,560
Speaker 5: odds on that. Part of it is because of the

366
00:17:13,560 --> 00:17:15,800
Speaker 5: short notice, but I think Magni is enough of a

367
00:17:15,880 --> 00:17:19,000
Speaker 5: professional he'll be okay there. What I really love, though,

368
00:17:19,080 --> 00:17:21,199
Speaker 5: is on spots where you can bet the spread is

369
00:17:21,200 --> 00:17:23,640
Speaker 5: Neil Magne plus three and a half. That basically means

370
00:17:23,680 --> 00:17:25,439
Speaker 5: he just needs to win one round, so if he

371
00:17:25,440 --> 00:17:27,400
Speaker 5: can do some cage push, hold him against the fence,

372
00:17:27,480 --> 00:17:30,720
Speaker 5: mix in a takedown, steal around, and then not get finished.

373
00:17:30,920 --> 00:17:33,359
Speaker 5: You cash that bet at plus one sixty five. So

374
00:17:33,400 --> 00:17:35,440
Speaker 5: if you have the spread betting option and that's one

375
00:17:35,480 --> 00:17:37,879
Speaker 5: of two I'm going to talk about tonight, that's a

376
00:17:37,920 --> 00:17:39,879
Speaker 5: great one. But I'm gonna take a little sprinkle at

377
00:17:39,880 --> 00:17:43,000
Speaker 5: plus three ninety and then my other one Andrea Lee

378
00:17:43,000 --> 00:17:45,360
Speaker 5: plus two seventy. This is just a pure luck ratings pick.

379
00:17:45,480 --> 00:17:48,000
Speaker 5: She is zero in three and split split decisions in

380
00:17:48,040 --> 00:17:51,280
Speaker 5: her career. Just lost a split decision to Macy Barber.

381
00:17:51,359 --> 00:17:54,080
Speaker 5: That was pretty bad. I think most people thought she

382
00:17:54,119 --> 00:17:59,159
Speaker 5: won in fighting a relatively unproven, unproven Natalia Silva. So

383
00:17:59,280 --> 00:18:02,320
Speaker 5: plus two seven. Again, small sprinkle here, but had she

384
00:18:02,440 --> 00:18:05,480
Speaker 5: been given the decision against Barber, she'd probably be plus

385
00:18:05,600 --> 00:18:07,800
Speaker 5: one twenty at worst if not favored here.

386
00:18:08,440 --> 00:18:10,600
Speaker 1: Billy, you know who isn't an underdog when it comes

387
00:18:10,640 --> 00:18:11,320
Speaker 1: to skincare?

388
00:18:12,240 --> 00:18:14,440
Speaker 5: Who's that? Brandon calledder A Lab.

389
00:18:14,640 --> 00:18:19,040
Speaker 1: Caldera Lab has been a very supportive group here at

390
00:18:19,080 --> 00:18:21,800
Speaker 1: Action Network. These guys at Caldera Lab have figured out

391
00:18:21,840 --> 00:18:25,040
Speaker 1: skincare for men. So you, Billy, don't have to simply

392
00:18:25,080 --> 00:18:27,880
Speaker 1: the best products and ingredients to round out your well

393
00:18:27,880 --> 00:18:30,360
Speaker 1: inness routine. Have you guys seen their ads? Check out

394
00:18:30,359 --> 00:18:33,399
Speaker 1: their website Action Network listeners. I keep getting hit on

395
00:18:33,400 --> 00:18:35,639
Speaker 1: social media. It's pretty cool. These guys are the best

396
00:18:35,720 --> 00:18:37,840
Speaker 1: of the best and their products show it. I've got

397
00:18:37,840 --> 00:18:40,159
Speaker 1: the clean slate. I brought it with me on my

398
00:18:40,840 --> 00:18:44,200
Speaker 1: remote trip to Parts Unknown. I use it once in

399
00:18:44,240 --> 00:18:47,000
Speaker 1: the morning, once at night, and I feel fresh as daisies.

400
00:18:47,000 --> 00:18:49,080
Speaker 3: I'm ready to bet some UFC. Here in the Action

401
00:18:49,160 --> 00:18:50,520
Speaker 3: Network podcast.

402
00:18:50,760 --> 00:18:55,159
Speaker 1: Caldera Lab encourages you that skincare is important and it

403
00:18:55,200 --> 00:18:57,359
Speaker 1: doesn't have to be difficult. One minute in the morning,

404
00:18:58,040 --> 00:19:01,680
Speaker 1: once at night is all you need to reduce the wrinkles.

405
00:19:01,280 --> 00:19:03,320
Speaker 3: Fine lines and signs of aging.

406
00:19:03,960 --> 00:19:08,080
Speaker 1: Use the promo code action that's part of our exclusive offer.

407
00:19:08,160 --> 00:19:11,320
Speaker 1: Use the promo code action for their best available offer

408
00:19:11,359 --> 00:19:15,600
Speaker 1: now at Caldero Lab dot com. Twenty percent off is

409
00:19:15,640 --> 00:19:17,280
Speaker 1: what we are offering right now if you use the

410
00:19:17,320 --> 00:19:21,600
Speaker 1: promo code action at Caldero Lab dot com.

411
00:19:21,920 --> 00:19:23,960
Speaker 5: Got that, Billy, I do?

412
00:19:24,760 --> 00:19:25,119
Speaker 3: Okay?

413
00:19:25,280 --> 00:19:27,480
Speaker 1: Very good. Those are our friends at Caldera Lab. Thank

414
00:19:27,520 --> 00:19:30,000
Speaker 1: you for their support. Not an underdog when it comes

415
00:19:30,040 --> 00:19:34,400
Speaker 1: to skincare. Let's move on to our top props available

416
00:19:34,440 --> 00:19:37,440
Speaker 1: for UFC two ninety two in Boston, Zilla what jumps out.

417
00:19:37,960 --> 00:19:40,159
Speaker 4: So there's not too many props on this card that

418
00:19:40,240 --> 00:19:42,399
Speaker 4: I love beyond the fights that we were already going

419
00:19:42,440 --> 00:19:44,359
Speaker 4: to talk about. I should have mentioned Chris Widman by

420
00:19:44,400 --> 00:19:46,960
Speaker 4: decision at plus five hundred in addition to his money line.

421
00:19:47,040 --> 00:19:50,080
Speaker 4: Absolutely going to be playing Widman by the decision. But

422
00:19:50,240 --> 00:19:52,520
Speaker 4: in terms of the fight the Billy just mentioned Neo

423
00:19:52,520 --> 00:19:55,840
Speaker 4: Magne versus Ian Gary, I would lean to the over

424
00:19:55,920 --> 00:19:59,199
Speaker 4: one and a half rounds. Neo Magni largely throughout his career,

425
00:20:00,160 --> 00:20:02,800
Speaker 4: a guy who is a decision fighter, point based fighter.

426
00:20:02,880 --> 00:20:06,360
Speaker 4: He's been getting finished much more frequently in his recent losses,

427
00:20:06,760 --> 00:20:09,720
Speaker 4: but I don't necessarily view Ian Gary as some big

428
00:20:09,760 --> 00:20:12,000
Speaker 4: time finisher. One via head kick in his last fight

429
00:20:12,040 --> 00:20:14,720
Speaker 4: and follow up shots against the Rod, has a first

430
00:20:14,760 --> 00:20:18,000
Speaker 4: round finish against Williams and his USC debut where he

431
00:20:18,160 --> 00:20:20,560
Speaker 4: was losing the entire first round and then landed a

432
00:20:20,600 --> 00:20:22,960
Speaker 4: beautiful counter with two seconds left and put him away.

433
00:20:23,680 --> 00:20:25,760
Speaker 4: Was knocked down in the first round against Son Kanan

434
00:20:25,920 --> 00:20:28,040
Speaker 4: ended up beating him in the third round of the finish,

435
00:20:28,560 --> 00:20:31,080
Speaker 4: But again, I don't necessarily view Ian Gary as this

436
00:20:31,320 --> 00:20:35,199
Speaker 4: huge puncher or even some sort of dynamic attritional finisher

437
00:20:35,240 --> 00:20:39,120
Speaker 4: where he's working the body, you know, over and over.

438
00:20:39,200 --> 00:20:40,000
Speaker 5: He throws a.

439
00:20:39,920 --> 00:20:43,000
Speaker 4: Head kick combination and landed it, which is great. He

440
00:20:43,080 --> 00:20:46,479
Speaker 4: throws that head kick combination a lot. My biggest concern

441
00:20:46,560 --> 00:20:51,800
Speaker 4: is Neil Magni's age durability seemingly fading, getting slower in fights.

442
00:20:52,480 --> 00:20:55,040
Speaker 4: So that's why I'm a little bit skeptical about maybe

443
00:20:55,040 --> 00:20:56,879
Speaker 4: betting the over one and a half here at minus

444
00:20:56,880 --> 00:20:58,960
Speaker 4: one sixty five. But it does seem like a nice

445
00:20:59,000 --> 00:21:02,280
Speaker 4: square price to get a guy like Magni who spends

446
00:21:02,320 --> 00:21:05,280
Speaker 4: a lot of time clinching his opponents, looking for takedowns,

447
00:21:05,680 --> 00:21:08,720
Speaker 4: putting his opponents in positions where there's just time running

448
00:21:08,760 --> 00:21:10,600
Speaker 4: off the clock and not a lot is happening. So

449
00:21:11,240 --> 00:21:13,119
Speaker 4: the over one and a half for Magne Gary at

450
00:21:13,160 --> 00:21:16,160
Speaker 4: minus one sixty five, I bet I'm considering making haven't

451
00:21:16,200 --> 00:21:18,800
Speaker 4: fired at yet. And then the under one and a

452
00:21:18,800 --> 00:21:22,639
Speaker 4: half and Gregory Rodriguez and Dennis t. Lulin at around

453
00:21:22,680 --> 00:21:25,960
Speaker 4: minus one ninety. This is the most heavily favored fight

454
00:21:26,040 --> 00:21:28,040
Speaker 4: on the card to end inside the distance. I believe

455
00:21:28,040 --> 00:21:32,199
Speaker 4: it's minus six fifty to end inside the distance. I

456
00:21:32,280 --> 00:21:34,240
Speaker 4: made it around minus five to fifty, so I don't

457
00:21:34,280 --> 00:21:37,360
Speaker 4: necessarily project an edge on it. But this is such

458
00:21:37,400 --> 00:21:40,639
Speaker 4: a binary fight. Rodriguez has a bad chin tends to

459
00:21:40,640 --> 00:21:43,480
Speaker 4: get in firefights. He has a huge grappling advantage in

460
00:21:43,480 --> 00:21:46,280
Speaker 4: this fight, though, and one takedown is probably enough to

461
00:21:46,320 --> 00:21:48,800
Speaker 4: get a choke and ended. So I don't really see

462
00:21:48,840 --> 00:21:52,719
Speaker 4: this one extending unless Rodriguez decides to strike and he

463
00:21:52,800 --> 00:21:55,959
Speaker 4: just doesn't get knocked out. And that is a concern

464
00:21:56,000 --> 00:21:58,560
Speaker 4: because he's doesn't have the best gas tank and he

465
00:21:58,680 --> 00:22:01,520
Speaker 4: knows it, so he doesn't all pursue takedowns right away

466
00:22:01,560 --> 00:22:04,480
Speaker 4: because he wants to conserve his gas. So that's the

467
00:22:04,480 --> 00:22:06,240
Speaker 4: concern betting the under one and a half. But I

468
00:22:06,240 --> 00:22:08,439
Speaker 4: do think the fight likely ends at some point, just

469
00:22:09,000 --> 00:22:11,000
Speaker 4: maybe ends at the eight or nine minute marked in

470
00:22:11,080 --> 00:22:14,280
Speaker 4: the seven or six minute marks, So that's why you know,

471
00:22:14,280 --> 00:22:17,160
Speaker 4: a bit hesitant about laying juice on both of those props.

472
00:22:17,440 --> 00:22:19,320
Speaker 4: Maybe I end up parlaying them together, though you know,

473
00:22:19,359 --> 00:22:20,720
Speaker 4: the under one and a half and the over one

474
00:22:20,800 --> 00:22:23,600
Speaker 4: and a half in either fight parlayed and reduce my

475
00:22:23,680 --> 00:22:26,000
Speaker 4: risk on either fight. That's that's how I'm leaning, Billy.

476
00:22:26,000 --> 00:22:28,000
Speaker 4: I'm curious if you have thoughts on either of those totals,

477
00:22:28,040 --> 00:22:30,639
Speaker 4: and maybe you can push me to passing or end

478
00:22:30,760 --> 00:22:31,600
Speaker 4: up taking one of them.

479
00:22:32,080 --> 00:22:34,479
Speaker 1: And by the way that Rodriguez fight Sorillo, you're right

480
00:22:34,520 --> 00:22:38,000
Speaker 1: minus six fifty to the inside the distance line minus

481
00:22:38,040 --> 00:22:38,600
Speaker 1: six fifty.

482
00:22:38,640 --> 00:22:40,000
Speaker 4: No, yeah, no.

483
00:22:40,280 --> 00:22:43,240
Speaker 5: I think we're similarly aligned on the Magnet Gary fight,

484
00:22:43,280 --> 00:22:45,560
Speaker 5: where we're trying to find ways to bet that this

485
00:22:45,640 --> 00:22:48,840
Speaker 5: is closer than the market thinks it is, but not

486
00:22:48,960 --> 00:22:51,919
Speaker 5: necessarily have to rely on a Neil Magni win to

487
00:22:52,040 --> 00:22:54,240
Speaker 5: pay off our bet, because that's kind of where I'm at, Like,

488
00:22:54,280 --> 00:22:56,639
Speaker 5: this is probably closer than I think. This might be

489
00:22:56,680 --> 00:22:59,480
Speaker 5: the most lopsided money line fight on the card right now.

490
00:22:59,720 --> 00:23:01,360
Speaker 5: I think it should be closer than that, But how

491
00:23:01,359 --> 00:23:03,800
Speaker 5: do we profit on that without needing a Magni win?

492
00:23:04,160 --> 00:23:05,720
Speaker 5: Over one and a half feels like a good way

493
00:23:05,720 --> 00:23:08,399
Speaker 5: to do it, too. Obviously, my spread bet relies on

494
00:23:08,480 --> 00:23:10,520
Speaker 5: him not getting finished as well, so we're kind of

495
00:23:10,520 --> 00:23:11,720
Speaker 5: in the same boat then.

496
00:23:11,640 --> 00:23:13,920
Speaker 4: On Neil Maggie's made a career out of turning away

497
00:23:13,960 --> 00:23:17,480
Speaker 4: guys like this, being a gatekeeper, taking these rising prospects

498
00:23:17,560 --> 00:23:19,680
Speaker 4: and saying, yeah, you're not moving up the rankings today,

499
00:23:19,760 --> 00:23:22,680
Speaker 4: So it's like it's other than the short notice, I'd

500
00:23:22,680 --> 00:23:24,920
Speaker 4: be all over Neil Magni here. Other than the fact

501
00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:27,439
Speaker 4: that Neil Magnie looks like he's declining as he's getting older.

502
00:23:27,880 --> 00:23:29,480
Speaker 4: I'd be all over new Magni here. You give me

503
00:23:29,520 --> 00:23:31,879
Speaker 4: Neil Magni two years ago in this spot, it's probably

504
00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:34,480
Speaker 4: a max beat today it's like, do I want to

505
00:23:34,480 --> 00:23:34,880
Speaker 4: bet it?

506
00:23:34,960 --> 00:23:38,520
Speaker 5: So? But yeah, And as for the other one you mentioned,

507
00:23:38,680 --> 00:23:41,320
Speaker 5: Rodriguez likely to get knocked out while it's on the feet,

508
00:23:41,359 --> 00:23:43,119
Speaker 5: but he's got big power too, So if it stays

509
00:23:43,160 --> 00:23:45,200
Speaker 5: on the feet, it feels like one of them gets

510
00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:47,720
Speaker 5: knocked out. I'm not confident saying who. Then if it

511
00:23:47,720 --> 00:23:49,919
Speaker 5: goes to the ground, it feels like a hobocop finished

512
00:23:49,920 --> 00:23:53,280
Speaker 5: pretty easily. So like both of those, I prefer the

513
00:23:53,320 --> 00:23:55,639
Speaker 5: Magne one out of those choices, especially given the price.

514
00:23:56,280 --> 00:23:59,000
Speaker 5: And then the one I'm looking at. Don't necessarily love

515
00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:00,600
Speaker 5: this one. I was hoping I'm not gonna catch some

516
00:24:00,640 --> 00:24:04,040
Speaker 5: plus money. But Andre Petroski inside the distance at minus

517
00:24:04,040 --> 00:24:08,679
Speaker 5: one ten against GM three just a humongous grappling advantage here.

518
00:24:08,680 --> 00:24:11,080
Speaker 5: Petrotski is another one of those Henzo Gracie Philly guys.

519
00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:13,320
Speaker 5: They're all built the same. They're all like these short,

520
00:24:13,359 --> 00:24:15,679
Speaker 5: stocky jack dudes. I don't understand how they all have

521
00:24:15,760 --> 00:24:19,000
Speaker 5: the same physique, and GM three kind of longer, leaner.

522
00:24:19,560 --> 00:24:21,680
Speaker 5: I don't like that. If it does get to the grappling.

523
00:24:21,920 --> 00:24:24,719
Speaker 5: Petrotski I believe has finished three of his four UFC fights,

524
00:24:25,280 --> 00:24:27,520
Speaker 5: and GM three's getting a little bit up there in yours.

525
00:24:27,520 --> 00:24:30,320
Speaker 5: He's chronologically not that much older than Petroski, but he's

526
00:24:30,320 --> 00:24:32,440
Speaker 5: been around a while. I think we've seen his best

527
00:24:32,480 --> 00:24:35,600
Speaker 5: work already, and he's willing to engage in grappling. He

528
00:24:35,640 --> 00:24:37,679
Speaker 5: likes to go for guillotines, which I think is the

529
00:24:37,680 --> 00:24:39,800
Speaker 5: worst thing you can do rather than defend a takedown,

530
00:24:40,320 --> 00:24:42,679
Speaker 5: especially against a guy like Petrowski with his upside so

531
00:24:43,280 --> 00:24:45,520
Speaker 5: minus one ten. I can see the plus two hundred

532
00:24:45,560 --> 00:24:48,440
Speaker 5: submission line being viable as well. But I'm always worried

533
00:24:48,440 --> 00:24:50,800
Speaker 5: that Petroski just uses his grappling edge to beat him

534
00:24:50,840 --> 00:24:52,000
Speaker 5: up instead of tap him out.

535
00:24:53,640 --> 00:24:56,679
Speaker 1: Are you concerned at all about his opponent having a

536
00:24:56,720 --> 00:24:57,919
Speaker 1: bit of a reach advantage?

537
00:24:58,560 --> 00:25:00,560
Speaker 5: No, because you don't have a rich advantage on the ground.

538
00:25:01,359 --> 00:25:04,960
Speaker 5: Oh true, you know, and if GM three wasn't willing

539
00:25:04,960 --> 00:25:07,960
Speaker 5: to engage in grappling that matters more. But I'd like

540
00:25:08,000 --> 00:25:09,560
Speaker 5: to hear Sean's thoughts on this one too.

541
00:25:09,960 --> 00:25:12,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, so GM three live, I think is how I

542
00:25:12,119 --> 00:25:14,600
Speaker 4: target it. I mean, GM three is just the king

543
00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:17,320
Speaker 4: of like coming back from the dead, and I believe

544
00:25:17,320 --> 00:25:19,040
Speaker 4: he has the most finishes in middleweight history or the

545
00:25:19,040 --> 00:25:22,159
Speaker 4: most emissions in middleweight history, one of the two. But

546
00:25:22,200 --> 00:25:24,560
Speaker 4: it just seems like, especially as he's getting older, he

547
00:25:24,560 --> 00:25:27,080
Speaker 4: gets wobbled in the first round of every fight. If

548
00:25:27,119 --> 00:25:29,200
Speaker 4: his opponent doesn't put him away, he has a strong

549
00:25:29,280 --> 00:25:31,440
Speaker 4: chance of coming back. More often than not the ref

550
00:25:31,480 --> 00:25:34,320
Speaker 4: steps in. But a lot of these refs know to

551
00:25:34,359 --> 00:25:37,200
Speaker 4: give him a longer leash because they see him come

552
00:25:37,240 --> 00:25:39,600
Speaker 4: back all the time, So that'd be concerned with betting

553
00:25:39,640 --> 00:25:42,080
Speaker 4: the inside the distance. On the Petroski side, Billy, is

554
00:25:42,119 --> 00:25:44,960
Speaker 4: that Petrowski's definitely going to have him in trouble. I

555
00:25:44,960 --> 00:25:46,560
Speaker 4: don't know if the ref is actually going to step

556
00:25:46,560 --> 00:25:48,040
Speaker 4: in and stop it in the first round, and if

557
00:25:48,080 --> 00:25:50,280
Speaker 4: he doesn't, I think GM three is a decent chance

558
00:25:50,280 --> 00:25:51,840
Speaker 4: of coming back because he does it all the time

559
00:25:51,840 --> 00:25:54,959
Speaker 4: on people. I don't think Petrowski has the best cardio,

560
00:25:55,520 --> 00:25:57,400
Speaker 4: and there's a chance too, where if he puts GM

561
00:25:57,400 --> 00:25:59,560
Speaker 4: three in trouble and can't finish him, he might gas

562
00:25:59,560 --> 00:26:02,000
Speaker 4: out to finish him. So just keep an eye on

563
00:26:02,040 --> 00:26:04,280
Speaker 4: how that first round plays out. I think there may

564
00:26:04,320 --> 00:26:06,160
Speaker 4: be a chance to jump in on GM three live

565
00:26:06,200 --> 00:26:09,080
Speaker 4: at like a huge price after he gets beat up

566
00:26:09,119 --> 00:26:11,400
Speaker 4: in round one, and we've seen him come back and

567
00:26:11,520 --> 00:26:13,840
Speaker 4: finish opponents in round two and round three in the past,

568
00:26:13,840 --> 00:26:16,520
Speaker 4: So yeah, probably a pass for me from a pre

569
00:26:16,560 --> 00:26:20,080
Speaker 4: fight perspective would actually lean to the underdog maybe if anything,

570
00:26:20,119 --> 00:26:22,480
Speaker 4: just because of the dynamics, But I think you get

571
00:26:22,480 --> 00:26:23,800
Speaker 4: a better price after round one.

572
00:26:23,840 --> 00:26:26,760
Speaker 5: Any No, that's a good point. I've talked about it

573
00:26:26,760 --> 00:26:28,800
Speaker 5: in the past with some of these heavily jiu jitsu

574
00:26:28,840 --> 00:26:31,639
Speaker 5: based fighters, their matches when they do jiu jitsu are

575
00:26:31,720 --> 00:26:34,520
Speaker 5: one round. Like these guys usually if they go all

576
00:26:34,560 --> 00:26:36,160
Speaker 5: out for the finish because they only get that one

577
00:26:36,240 --> 00:26:38,600
Speaker 5: round and then if it's not there. We saw it

578
00:26:38,600 --> 00:26:40,639
Speaker 5: with Jeremiah Wells, who has all over it looked like

579
00:26:40,680 --> 00:26:43,959
Speaker 5: a minus one hundred thousand favorite for two rounds got

580
00:26:44,040 --> 00:26:46,600
Speaker 5: himself finished in the third. Petrowsky is a teammate of

581
00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:48,639
Speaker 5: Wells too, so yeah, you've definitely convinced me on the

582
00:26:48,680 --> 00:26:50,920
Speaker 5: live angle. If this one doesn't cash for me in

583
00:26:51,000 --> 00:26:53,080
Speaker 5: round one, I'm hopefully be able to get plus money

584
00:26:53,080 --> 00:26:53,600
Speaker 5: coming back.

585
00:26:54,480 --> 00:26:55,919
Speaker 4: Yeah, you may get a huge non I mean, it

586
00:26:55,960 --> 00:26:59,080
Speaker 4: might be a ten eight round one legitimately, and then

587
00:26:59,119 --> 00:27:01,800
Speaker 4: you get ten one on mirror shart after round two

588
00:27:01,880 --> 00:27:04,639
Speaker 4: or after round one. I should say so, Yeah, I

589
00:27:04,640 --> 00:27:07,120
Speaker 4: think this fight probably finishes. But I also don't think

590
00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:09,880
Speaker 4: you can justify betting it at minus two thirty either.

591
00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:11,960
Speaker 4: You know, Petrowski might just get tired and lay on

592
00:27:12,000 --> 00:27:14,879
Speaker 4: top of him. I think it either finishes early or

593
00:27:14,880 --> 00:27:18,359
Speaker 4: it finishes because Petroski gets tired. I don't think Petrowski

594
00:27:18,440 --> 00:27:20,800
Speaker 4: is going to like grind him out and finish him late.

595
00:27:20,920 --> 00:27:24,479
Speaker 4: I don't think GM three is necessarily gonna ko him

596
00:27:24,520 --> 00:27:27,280
Speaker 4: in round one. So there's like there's pockets where this finish,

597
00:27:27,320 --> 00:27:29,320
Speaker 4: but I don't I don't see it being this like

598
00:27:29,400 --> 00:27:31,600
Speaker 4: crazy fight that is going to have moments throughout.

599
00:27:32,160 --> 00:27:36,160
Speaker 1: Finally, a consensus final bet best bet, Zerillo.

600
00:27:36,600 --> 00:27:38,520
Speaker 3: Why don't you tell us who it is? It's another underdog.

601
00:27:39,320 --> 00:27:41,160
Speaker 4: Yeah, and this is an actual best bet this week.

602
00:27:41,240 --> 00:27:44,000
Speaker 4: So Pedro Muniaz takes a lot of boxes that we

603
00:27:44,040 --> 00:27:46,960
Speaker 4: talk about betting underdogs fight heavily favored to go to

604
00:27:47,040 --> 00:27:50,400
Speaker 4: a decision fighter with all of the grappling upside at

605
00:27:50,400 --> 00:27:53,520
Speaker 4: plus money. You look at Peeder Romunia as his career

606
00:27:53,880 --> 00:27:57,200
Speaker 4: and he's a guy who has insane Brazilian jiu jitsu

607
00:27:57,320 --> 00:27:59,960
Speaker 4: finishing skill, but you don't see him employed a lot

608
00:28:00,040 --> 00:28:02,480
Speaker 4: because he doesn't get to wrestle. It's one of those

609
00:28:02,480 --> 00:28:04,320
Speaker 4: things where you're not really sure if he can wrestle,

610
00:28:04,400 --> 00:28:05,680
Speaker 4: but like a lot of guys with jiu jitsu, you

611
00:28:05,720 --> 00:28:07,600
Speaker 4: don't know if he can wrestle, or based on the

612
00:28:07,640 --> 00:28:10,399
Speaker 4: opponents he's faced, you don't know if he's had the

613
00:28:10,440 --> 00:28:12,919
Speaker 4: ability to wrestle because he's faced a lot of guys

614
00:28:12,960 --> 00:28:16,960
Speaker 4: who were really good counter grapplers or very good grapplers

615
00:28:16,960 --> 00:28:19,639
Speaker 4: and have the wrestling advantage in their own right. Dom Cruz, Jose, Aldo,

616
00:28:20,160 --> 00:28:24,360
Speaker 4: Jimmy Rivera, Frankie egger, Al, Jamaine Sterling, Cody Garbrandt. Other

617
00:28:24,440 --> 00:28:27,280
Speaker 4: than Sean O'Malley, that's his recent competition and in his

618
00:28:27,320 --> 00:28:30,440
Speaker 4: last fight against Chris Gutierrez, he didn't go for a takedown,

619
00:28:30,480 --> 00:28:33,000
Speaker 4: but he did get a knockdown and ended up getting

620
00:28:33,119 --> 00:28:36,800
Speaker 4: top position. And Cheato Vera is by far the worst

621
00:28:36,800 --> 00:28:40,920
Speaker 4: defensive wrestler that Peedro Munos is faced in about fifteen

622
00:28:40,960 --> 00:28:44,640
Speaker 4: fights ten fights. It's been quite a long time since

623
00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:46,680
Speaker 4: Pedro Munoz has gone into a fight and said, I

624
00:28:46,720 --> 00:28:49,440
Speaker 4: can take this guy down and consolidate top position and

625
00:28:49,520 --> 00:28:52,200
Speaker 4: lay on top of him. Also add in the fact

626
00:28:52,680 --> 00:28:55,479
Speaker 4: that Cheato Vera is much better in five round fights

627
00:28:55,600 --> 00:28:59,440
Speaker 4: than three round fights. He consistently starts slow and loses

628
00:28:59,480 --> 00:29:01,960
Speaker 4: the first round, looks to get a read on his opponents,

629
00:29:02,320 --> 00:29:03,800
Speaker 4: and then he sort of picks up the pace and

630
00:29:03,840 --> 00:29:06,320
Speaker 4: comes alive. That has cost him in the past. In

631
00:29:06,400 --> 00:29:09,040
Speaker 4: three round fights, he typically falls behind. You can typically

632
00:29:09,120 --> 00:29:12,560
Speaker 4: bet Cheeto Vera better at a better live number after

633
00:29:12,640 --> 00:29:14,760
Speaker 4: round one, then you would get pre fight. If you're

634
00:29:14,800 --> 00:29:17,080
Speaker 4: looking to bet Cheato here, I think that's the way

635
00:29:17,120 --> 00:29:19,640
Speaker 4: to play it. You bet Cheato live after round one,

636
00:29:20,120 --> 00:29:22,960
Speaker 4: probably closer to a pick him number after a close

637
00:29:23,000 --> 00:29:25,640
Speaker 4: and competitive first round, because I think there's a chance

638
00:29:25,640 --> 00:29:27,840
Speaker 4: Pedro mune just grapples from the outst fights with the

639
00:29:27,840 --> 00:29:30,080
Speaker 4: top camp American top team. They're going to tell him

640
00:29:30,080 --> 00:29:32,400
Speaker 4: to grapple by one hundred percent, No, they're going to

641
00:29:32,440 --> 00:29:34,800
Speaker 4: tell him to wrestle. It's very obvious that he can

642
00:29:34,880 --> 00:29:36,880
Speaker 4: land takedowns if he wants them here, and that Cheeto's

643
00:29:36,920 --> 00:29:39,360
Speaker 4: going to accept takedowns and not look to get off

644
00:29:39,360 --> 00:29:41,640
Speaker 4: of his back if he does get taken down. So

645
00:29:42,200 --> 00:29:44,680
Speaker 4: all of the grappling upside fight heavily favored to go

646
00:29:44,720 --> 00:29:47,720
Speaker 4: to a decision. Very easy to bet the underdog here

647
00:29:48,000 --> 00:29:50,160
Speaker 4: in a fight that I think, even if it stays standing,

648
00:29:50,520 --> 00:29:52,000
Speaker 4: is basically a fifty to fifty matchup.

649
00:29:52,360 --> 00:29:55,080
Speaker 1: Okay, that price is coming down. It's at plus one

650
00:29:55,200 --> 00:29:59,120
Speaker 1: sixty at FanDuel Billy. Anything to add to Zorillo's breakdown

651
00:29:59,280 --> 00:30:01,320
Speaker 1: of Munyos.

652
00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:03,760
Speaker 5: Yeah, he nailed the technical elements of it. I'm very

653
00:30:03,800 --> 00:30:07,840
Speaker 5: glad he mentioned the five round discrepancy with Cheeto because

654
00:30:07,840 --> 00:30:09,640
Speaker 5: my favorite way to play this one again, if you

655
00:30:09,640 --> 00:30:13,320
Speaker 5: have access to spreadbats, is Munyo's plus three and a half.

656
00:30:14,400 --> 00:30:16,720
Speaker 5: We've talked about Vera always loses the first round. I

657
00:30:16,760 --> 00:30:18,760
Speaker 5: went through and looked at all of his scorecards, even

658
00:30:18,800 --> 00:30:21,480
Speaker 5: fights that he's won by finish. Of his last seven,

659
00:30:21,600 --> 00:30:23,560
Speaker 5: the only fight he won the first round was against

660
00:30:23,560 --> 00:30:26,800
Speaker 5: Sean O'Malley, who he finished in the first round. He

661
00:30:26,800 --> 00:30:28,680
Speaker 5: has lost every fight that made it out of the

662
00:30:28,680 --> 00:30:31,960
Speaker 5: first round. The judges were going against him. Pedro Munos

663
00:30:32,040 --> 00:30:34,640
Speaker 5: has never been finished as a professional. So if we

664
00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:37,400
Speaker 5: can assume that Pedro Munos wins the first round and

665
00:30:37,480 --> 00:30:40,480
Speaker 5: doesn't get finished, that's the spread bat right there. Vera

666
00:30:40,560 --> 00:30:43,720
Speaker 5: starting so slow, not great for a three round fight,

667
00:30:44,560 --> 00:30:46,440
Speaker 5: basically has to come back and finish him or you know,

668
00:30:46,520 --> 00:30:48,479
Speaker 5: win both of the last two rounds. And again, if

669
00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:50,160
Speaker 5: we're taking the spread plus three and a half, even

670
00:30:50,160 --> 00:30:53,040
Speaker 5: if he wins rounds two and three were fine. So yep,

671
00:30:53,080 --> 00:30:56,000
Speaker 5: Sean nailed the breakdown of the technical side. I have

672
00:30:56,040 --> 00:30:58,800
Speaker 5: a written piece up on it as well, and then

673
00:30:58,840 --> 00:31:01,840
Speaker 5: real quick because we've gone law. But really, like Karany Silva,

674
00:31:01,960 --> 00:31:05,240
Speaker 5: minus one forty, can't believe this is not a longer line.

675
00:31:05,280 --> 00:31:06,680
Speaker 5: I thought this was going to go the other way

676
00:31:06,680 --> 00:31:08,680
Speaker 5: earlier in the week. Love it at minus one forty

677
00:31:08,720 --> 00:31:09,600
Speaker 5: if you can get that one.

678
00:31:09,800 --> 00:31:13,800
Speaker 1: Excellent fellas, great work looking forward to it. Zillo has

679
00:31:13,880 --> 00:31:16,280
Speaker 1: encouraged me to maybe wait for the prelims to start.

680
00:31:16,280 --> 00:31:18,000
Speaker 1: Maybe I'll go check this thing out at the garden

681
00:31:18,120 --> 00:31:20,960
Speaker 1: on Saturday, because I don't really have any plans in

682
00:31:21,000 --> 00:31:21,640
Speaker 1: the afternoon.

683
00:31:21,920 --> 00:31:22,640
Speaker 3: I'm in Boston.

684
00:31:22,640 --> 00:31:25,360
Speaker 1: For those of you that didn't know, so I'm kind

685
00:31:25,360 --> 00:31:27,400
Speaker 1: of I want to check this thing out, so we'll

686
00:31:27,440 --> 00:31:31,040
Speaker 1: see how steep will the price get Zillo for a ticket?

687
00:31:31,400 --> 00:31:33,960
Speaker 4: What do you think it's usually like the the upper

688
00:31:34,040 --> 00:31:36,680
Speaker 4: level seats are in like the two hundredths, you know,

689
00:31:37,280 --> 00:31:38,360
Speaker 4: before the fight start.

690
00:31:39,440 --> 00:31:41,000
Speaker 3: Well, if I just hit all my bets, then I'll

691
00:31:41,000 --> 00:31:41,440
Speaker 3: be all right.

692
00:31:41,640 --> 00:31:44,600
Speaker 4: You know, it depends what your unit size is there, Brendan,

693
00:31:45,320 --> 00:31:49,960
Speaker 4: but you should be a you know, I think you'd

694
00:31:49,960 --> 00:31:53,160
Speaker 4: be well enough, you know now announcing some WNBA games,

695
00:31:53,160 --> 00:31:54,880
Speaker 4: doing some podcasting for us. Think you might be able

696
00:31:54,840 --> 00:31:55,560
Speaker 4: to ford some tickets.

697
00:31:55,600 --> 00:31:57,560
Speaker 3: Okay, Oh, I want to say hi to your hometown

698
00:31:57,600 --> 00:31:59,920
Speaker 3: friend too. Let him know that you.

699
00:32:02,080 --> 00:32:04,520
Speaker 4: Think it's currently about four hundred bucks. So you know,

700
00:32:04,800 --> 00:32:07,080
Speaker 4: we'll we'll steep. They haven't been to Boston in a minute,

701
00:32:07,200 --> 00:32:09,280
Speaker 4: so yeah, very excited for this card.

702
00:32:09,800 --> 00:32:12,720
Speaker 5: John was very un brand and recommending that you live

703
00:32:12,720 --> 00:32:15,840
Speaker 5: bet a ticket after the event has started rather rather

704
00:32:15,920 --> 00:32:18,040
Speaker 5: than make one pre fight. I love that's yeah. Live

705
00:32:18,040 --> 00:32:20,880
Speaker 5: bet after round one, live bet after fight one, get

706
00:32:20,880 --> 00:32:22,719
Speaker 5: a better price on the ticket. There you go.

707
00:32:23,640 --> 00:32:25,720
Speaker 1: I will be sure to if I do end up going,

708
00:32:25,760 --> 00:32:27,440
Speaker 1: I will alert both of you if I if I

709
00:32:27,480 --> 00:32:28,840
Speaker 1: catch anything that seems off.

710
00:32:29,600 --> 00:32:30,680
Speaker 5: Appreciate any edges.

711
00:32:30,920 --> 00:32:33,080
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm gonna I'm gonna set the over two seventy

712
00:32:33,120 --> 00:32:35,320
Speaker 4: five and a half for the price that you would

713
00:32:35,360 --> 00:32:36,520
Speaker 4: have to pay per ticket to get in.

714
00:32:37,120 --> 00:32:38,360
Speaker 5: Okay, well I might pass.

715
00:32:38,440 --> 00:32:41,120
Speaker 3: Then find shown Zillo and Billy Ward.

716
00:32:40,880 --> 00:32:43,040
Speaker 1: In the Action app if they add anything of course

717
00:32:43,160 --> 00:32:46,800
Speaker 1: during as the card unfolds and anything they might add

718
00:32:46,840 --> 00:32:51,600
Speaker 1: pre pre Saturday before the card gets underway at t

719
00:32:51,760 --> 00:32:55,400
Speaker 1: D Garden in Boston for UFC two ninety two. Frendi

720
00:32:55,440 --> 00:32:59,160
Speaker 1: Glasheen signing off on the Action Network podcast presented by

721
00:32:59,200 --> 00:33:01,320
Speaker 1: the Fandal Sports, and we will talk to you again

722
00:33:01,480 --> 00:33:01,920
Speaker 1: next week.

723
00:33:01,960 --> 00:33:11,040
Speaker 3: Have a great weekend. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

724
00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:14,280
Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

725
00:33:14,560 --> 00:33:17,200
Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

726
00:33:17,280 --> 00:33:18,080
Speaker 1: hundred Gambler