WEBVTT - It Could Happen Here Weekly 29

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<v Speaker 1>Hey, everybody, Robert Evans here, and I wanted to let

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<v Speaker 1>you know this is a compiletion episode. So every episode

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<v Speaker 1>of the week that just happened is here in one

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<v Speaker 1>convenient and with somewhat less ads package for you to

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<v Speaker 1>listen to in a long stretch if you want. If

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<v Speaker 1>you've been listening to the episodes every day this week,

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<v Speaker 1>there's gotta be nothing new here for you, but you

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<v Speaker 1>can make your own decisions. Welcome to it could happen

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<v Speaker 1>here a podcast where we talk about things falling apart,

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<v Speaker 1>and this week we're talking about our ability to have

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<v Speaker 1>things that that don't get co opted by fascists falling apart. Garrison, Hello,

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<v Speaker 1>take us, take us away. Yes, So today we're going

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<v Speaker 1>to talk about kind of why maybe it's great not

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<v Speaker 1>to see any aesthetic ground to fascists anytime it's uncomfortable

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<v Speaker 1>to do. So we've brought on someone who I found

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<v Speaker 1>on Twitter who wrote a very very great article about

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<v Speaker 1>some kind of ongoing debate and drama around like anarchists

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<v Speaker 1>symbols um and fascists trying to use symbols um. But

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<v Speaker 1>I'm we are talking to a black ram. Hello, Hey,

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<v Speaker 1>I was I was things I'm I'm I'm actually I'm

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<v Speaker 1>actually doing okay, I've been I've been looking forward to

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<v Speaker 1>this chat for a while. So yes, if, um, if

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<v Speaker 1>people are unfamiliar, it looks like the past few weeks

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<v Speaker 1>people have really freaked out about an eight pointed star.

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<v Speaker 1>People really really seem concerned about it. Um. Yeah, this

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<v Speaker 1>has a lot tied in with what's been happening in

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<v Speaker 1>Ukraine because, as always happens when there's a new story

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<v Speaker 1>that has anything to do with the far right, um,

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<v Speaker 1>people got acquainted with some symbols that they had not

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<v Speaker 1>been aware of before, particularly the san and rad, which

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<v Speaker 1>is a common symbol that you'll see on members of

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<v Speaker 1>the as Off Battalion kind of some other far right

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<v Speaker 1>organization in Ukraine as well as elsewhere. You know, the

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<v Speaker 1>christ Church shooter wore a son and rad, and then

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<v Speaker 1>they started identifying all sorts of things that they felt

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<v Speaker 1>looked like son and rad's everywhere on the internet, and

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<v Speaker 1>things kind of spiraled from there. Well, and I think

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<v Speaker 1>there's actually a little bit more to it than that. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>we're gonna get into we're gonna get into black Ram's

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<v Speaker 1>article here shortly. But yeah, I kind of first one

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<v Speaker 1>just briefly go through. I think why it's this kind

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<v Speaker 1>of why this debate happened now, because the debate has

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<v Speaker 1>happened before, but it's never gotten this like intense. A

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<v Speaker 1>big part of this his tied to Russia's invasion of

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<v Speaker 1>Ukraine and everyone wanting to play like where's Waldo with

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<v Speaker 1>symbols being like can you spot the son and red

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<v Speaker 1>on the on the pictures of the as Off Battalion

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<v Speaker 1>UM and I think the other so like so everyone's

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<v Speaker 1>already kind of looking for symbols as like a fun game.

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<v Speaker 1>But the other thing that's kind of happening is because

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<v Speaker 1>of the Russia Dugan connection. Of Dugan's like a political

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<v Speaker 1>fascist writer who's a very influential inside Russia. UM. But

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<v Speaker 1>because of the Russia Dugan connection, some people are now

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<v Speaker 1>seeing Dugan's symbol, the Uration Square for the first time, right,

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<v Speaker 1>And now that they've seen the square, they're seeing anarchists

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<v Speaker 1>using the Chaos Star, which looks a little similar. They're

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<v Speaker 1>they're not the same, but they're because they just because

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<v Speaker 1>they just learned about the Uration Square, now they're seeing

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<v Speaker 1>the Chaos Star and they've never really noticed the castAR before.

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<v Speaker 1>Maybe they're they just don't really care about what symbols

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<v Speaker 1>random people use. But now that they see the uration

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<v Speaker 1>symbol and they see the chaostar, they're making this connection

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<v Speaker 1>here and they think this is a new development, right.

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<v Speaker 1>They think this is like like they're they're asking themselves like,

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<v Speaker 1>why are anarchists suddenly using this fascist symbol um, which

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<v Speaker 1>they either think to themselves or they think out loud

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<v Speaker 1>on Twitter dot com. Uh, which is really rich because

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, anarchists have been using the chaost are longer

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<v Speaker 1>than Dugan has been using his Uration square. And if

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<v Speaker 1>you have been watching anarchists for any amount of time

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<v Speaker 1>on the internet, I know you you would have seen

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<v Speaker 1>them using the chaos star. Uh. It's not it's not

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<v Speaker 1>a new development by any means. But because everyone's trying

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<v Speaker 1>to like wear's Waldo and oh sent their way through

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<v Speaker 1>the war, they're they're kind of drawing these false connections,

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<v Speaker 1>which is kind of unfortunate because because there is actually

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<v Speaker 1>some interesting things to talk about in terms of how

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<v Speaker 1>Doogan did kind of base his design off of Michael

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<v Speaker 1>Moorecox Chaos Star and a whole bunch of stuff around,

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<v Speaker 1>like why anarchists use the chaos star and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>there's a whole there's there's a nice debate to be

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<v Speaker 1>had there around fascists always in asserting themselves in these

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<v Speaker 1>subcultures and trying to gain ground, whether it be like

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<v Speaker 1>the punk scene, the industrial music scene, uh, you know

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<v Speaker 1>online gaming, right, fascists always trying to do this. Just

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<v Speaker 1>often we want to we try to push back on that, right,

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<v Speaker 1>like Nazia punks fuck off. But it seems specifically with

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<v Speaker 1>the Chaos Star, a whole bunch of people just want

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<v Speaker 1>to cave and let them kind of take this symbol,

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<v Speaker 1>which is I know, I think not not a not

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<v Speaker 1>a great instinct um, but to to kind of kind

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<v Speaker 1>of talk about this and other kind of background stuff,

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<v Speaker 1>like I said, we brought on a black ram Hello

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<v Speaker 1>to help to help talk about this. So yeah, what

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<v Speaker 1>kind of prompted you to write your article? I guess, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, watching this debate kind of go down, what

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<v Speaker 1>what kind of actually just like what was what was

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<v Speaker 1>the straw that broke the camel's back? And being like, Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>now I need to write like a decently long article

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<v Speaker 1>on this topic. I think I've said this on like

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<v Speaker 1>on the on Twitter a little while before writing the

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<v Speaker 1>actual article, But I think the the spark was a

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<v Speaker 1>friend from a guy you may or may not have

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<v Speaker 1>seen him around. He's like somebody who's like, well demn

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<v Speaker 1>Stock but but but he has like anarchists leading on

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<v Speaker 1>his bio, which I guess sort of which I guess

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<v Speaker 1>sort of communicates the idea that he would probably like

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<v Speaker 1>anarchism if he did not consider it to be impractical. Sure. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>but anyways, I actually I kind of wavered on the

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<v Speaker 1>idea of covering it at all. I thought it would

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<v Speaker 1>I thought it would only go for like a few days,

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<v Speaker 1>and it was sort of a Johnny come Lately by

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<v Speaker 1>maybe a day or so, admittedly, but the figured it

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<v Speaker 1>would be sort of ephemeral. But there's things I sort

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<v Speaker 1>of kept seeing. But in the midst of writing it,

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<v Speaker 1>there was like some tanking who went even fervor and

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<v Speaker 1>made the link to the Chaos Star and I think

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<v Speaker 1>it was the logo of the Sith Empire from certain

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<v Speaker 1>Star Wars media. We'll talk about that like it's it's like, well,

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<v Speaker 1>it's like, well, one has six lines and they're not

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<v Speaker 1>even arrows. They're just like blocks in like a sort

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<v Speaker 1>of hexagonal shape. But it's like the same guys really

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<v Speaker 1>like the idea that the logo of the Ukrainian Armed

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<v Speaker 1>Forces is actually the iron cross. Yeah. A big chunk

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<v Speaker 1>of this, I think kind of the prehistory of why

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<v Speaker 1>this became such a specific problem started with kind of

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<v Speaker 1>Unite the Right in the period after that, where you

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<v Speaker 1>had all these new fascist groups on the ground of

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<v Speaker 1>the United States and they all had their symbols, and

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<v Speaker 1>you know, I was a part of this to to

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<v Speaker 1>to the degree that there's some culpability here. Um, a

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<v Speaker 1>number of researchers, including myself, we're warning people like, hey,

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<v Speaker 1>there's some like symbols that people are are taking to

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<v Speaker 1>right wing gatherings and they're claiming to be normal conservatives,

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<v Speaker 1>and these are these are symbols of groups like the

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<v Speaker 1>Phineest Priesthood or groups like different kind of fascist organizations,

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<v Speaker 1>and you might not be aware of them, and so

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<v Speaker 1>you should know what kind of these, you know, the

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<v Speaker 1>Khakistan flag or whatever means, because people are trying to

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<v Speaker 1>kind of signpost their sympathy to these extreme groups. And

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<v Speaker 1>that I think that was important because those people were

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<v Speaker 1>legitimate problems, and um, they were trying to kind of

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<v Speaker 1>stealthily hide they're very radical right wing sympathies behind some

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<v Speaker 1>like obscure images. But the problem is that it got

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of people looking not just looking for fascist

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<v Speaker 1>symbols and everything, but also looking for the clout that

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<v Speaker 1>comes from like pointing something like that out. And I

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<v Speaker 1>think that's that's kind of the root of a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of these these problems. And it's not surprising that it

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<v Speaker 1>happened with Dugan's symbol that there's no absolutely not um

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<v Speaker 1>because it does, like, again, if you're just like kind

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<v Speaker 1>of a casual observer, it does look a lot like

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<v Speaker 1>the chaos star and it makes its point and star

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<v Speaker 1>with arrows, yeah, and it makes If you know anything

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<v Speaker 1>about Dugan's philosophy, Alexander Dugan is a essentially a Russian

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<v Speaker 1>political theorist and author. Um. There's a lot that's kind

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<v Speaker 1>of said about how close he is to Putin. He

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<v Speaker 1>certainly was at one point closer to Putin. There's a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of debate as to whether or not Putin kind

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<v Speaker 1>of saw him as more of like a useful uh

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<v Speaker 1>person to kind of a useful propaganda Oregan, or whether

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<v Speaker 1>or not he really bought into what Dugan was saying.

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<v Speaker 1>But Dugan is and was a really big advocate of

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<v Speaker 1>like what he called like multipolar um international politics, multipolarity,

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<v Speaker 1>which is this idea that like the United States should

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<v Speaker 1>not be a the hegemonic power in the world right,

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<v Speaker 1>which it kind of was after the fall of the

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<v Speaker 1>Soviet units. This idea that there should be a bunch

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<v Speaker 1>of equivalent powers um, which is number one. You can

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<v Speaker 1>see how a lot of folks on the left would

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<v Speaker 1>be drawn in by that, even if they weren't particularly

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<v Speaker 1>fans of putin just the idea that like, oh well, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's been a problem that the United States, it's

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<v Speaker 1>this massive hegemonic power. Perhaps it would be better if

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<v Speaker 1>there were a bunch of equivalent powers um. And and

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<v Speaker 1>it's one of those things where there's a logic to that,

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<v Speaker 1>but it does kind of require ignoring all of the

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<v Speaker 1>times in the past when we had a multipolar world

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<v Speaker 1>and there was tremendous violence. There's a root error in

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<v Speaker 1>this sort of pathway which sort of like refuses to

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<v Speaker 1>deal with imperialism as a global system. Yeah. The reason

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<v Speaker 1>that's a hang up is because once you once you

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<v Speaker 1>think of imperialism as a global system, you you then

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<v Speaker 1>have to move on to the idea that it a

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<v Speaker 1>global system that then has to be dismantled globally. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>you can't quite do that with capita because it implicates

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<v Speaker 1>nations that are supposed to serve as like moments of

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<v Speaker 1>world historic progress against like hegemonic capitalism, and it is

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<v Speaker 1>one of those spooks of the mind that people kind

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<v Speaker 1>of have to do away with well, which the Adicist

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<v Speaker 1>movement sort of does pretty successfully, because that mostly comes

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<v Speaker 1>from the fact that it starts off from the position

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<v Speaker 1>of like the state as an actual sort of structural presence.

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<v Speaker 1>It's sort of funny that, like the Marxist argument is

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<v Speaker 1>usually down to like hyper focus on the state and

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<v Speaker 1>hierarchy is idealist, which is odd when you consider that

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<v Speaker 1>hierarchy and the state are very much material in the

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<v Speaker 1>same way that capitalism itself is. So it's like it's

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<v Speaker 1>it feels more like a sort of argument that's like, well,

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<v Speaker 1>my materialism is the materialism, Your materialism is in fact

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<v Speaker 1>a form of idealism. I think with with that, we're

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<v Speaker 1>gonna go on a quick a quick quick head break,

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<v Speaker 1>and then we're gonna come back. And I think we

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<v Speaker 1>should probably now talk about like the origins of the

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<v Speaker 1>Chaos Star and and Michael Moorecock and discordionism um, and

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<v Speaker 1>then we'll kind of get into the kind of current

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<v Speaker 1>current debate on it. Uh some more so anyway, here's

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<v Speaker 1>here's here's some here's some ads for your ears coming

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<v Speaker 1>in through the ear waves. Oh yeah, yeah, it's time.

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<v Speaker 1>It's time to talk about more time for more so. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>I guess, uh black Crab you you actually did a

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<v Speaker 1>pretty good insistinct kind of things on how the Chaos

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<v Speaker 1>Star came into being, initially via Michael Moorecock. Do you

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<v Speaker 1>want it to just like as brief briefly talk about

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<v Speaker 1>kind of how he came up with the symbol for

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<v Speaker 1>his books and stuff. Okay, so full disclosure, I haven't

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<v Speaker 1>really read books themselves. I've read some Michael Moorecock. A

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<v Speaker 1>lot of what a lot of my familiarity from him

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<v Speaker 1>is pretty secondhand. One of the main things of that

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<v Speaker 1>is Serifungal being like this, this sort of eighties band

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<v Speaker 1>that I sort of think back to. Their whole vibe

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<v Speaker 1>is more Cox works. But but but anyways, the reason

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<v Speaker 1>why the Chaos Star is the shape that it is

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<v Speaker 1>is because what it's supposed to represent is meant to

0:12:28.800 --> 0:12:33.560
<v Speaker 1>extend outward endlessly. Yeah, the counter symbol for order is

0:12:33.559 --> 0:12:38.640
<v Speaker 1>a single a single upward pointing arrow voted with Funny enough.

0:12:39.080 --> 0:12:41.480
<v Speaker 1>When I thought about that, I thought about the twas

0:12:41.640 --> 0:12:44.880
<v Speaker 1>room or like tear. It doesn't really have to say meaning,

0:12:44.960 --> 0:12:47.760
<v Speaker 1>but it's like upward pointing arrow in a symbolic context.

0:12:47.880 --> 0:12:51.680
<v Speaker 1>That's the other example I have. But but that upward

0:12:51.679 --> 0:12:56.800
<v Speaker 1>pointing arrow significies a straight and narrow expression of where

0:12:56.840 --> 0:13:01.680
<v Speaker 1>possibility goes, where potential sort of goes, which create structure.

0:13:02.400 --> 0:13:05.960
<v Speaker 1>The other the chaos Star, by contrast, has like the

0:13:06.040 --> 0:13:09.120
<v Speaker 1>eight directions are meant to represent all directions in a

0:13:09.200 --> 0:13:13.319
<v Speaker 1>circular sort of space, like a compass of sorts, and

0:13:13.360 --> 0:13:16.760
<v Speaker 1>the energy and the potential and possibility goes out and

0:13:16.840 --> 0:13:20.880
<v Speaker 1>all of them. We have no set path, no definite limit,

0:13:21.240 --> 0:13:24.280
<v Speaker 1>no boundaries. It just goes. It just sort of goes

0:13:24.800 --> 0:13:28.960
<v Speaker 1>out there. It's little wonder why the chaos magic movement

0:13:29.040 --> 0:13:32.240
<v Speaker 1>embraced it for a very similar set of reasons. Yes,

0:13:32.360 --> 0:13:34.640
<v Speaker 1>it's even because even though it is kind of a

0:13:34.679 --> 0:13:38.320
<v Speaker 1>myth that there's absolutely no rules in chaos magic, what

0:13:38.559 --> 0:13:43.199
<v Speaker 1>is true is that you can explore very a very

0:13:43.360 --> 0:13:47.160
<v Speaker 1>very broad and like almost limitless range of like practical

0:13:47.240 --> 0:13:51.480
<v Speaker 1>possibilities within that movement and that sort of within that

0:13:51.559 --> 0:13:54.679
<v Speaker 1>sort of frame. It's a it's a very like post structuralist,

0:13:54.720 --> 0:13:57.760
<v Speaker 1>post modern view of it. But this modern is how

0:13:57.800 --> 0:14:00.319
<v Speaker 1>I've heard it described. And kind of getting back to

0:14:00.360 --> 0:14:03.400
<v Speaker 1>the like what Morecock was in brief, because I do

0:14:03.400 --> 0:14:05.000
<v Speaker 1>you think we need to kind of give an overview

0:14:05.040 --> 0:14:08.840
<v Speaker 1>of who he is. Um, he's still alive. Um, last

0:14:08.880 --> 0:14:11.319
<v Speaker 1>I checked. At least he's alive. I I heard him

0:14:11.320 --> 0:14:14.640
<v Speaker 1>talking at an anarchist sci fi conference a few weeks ago.

0:14:15.120 --> 0:14:17.800
<v Speaker 1>If you didn't immediately know who he was, he is

0:14:17.840 --> 0:14:20.840
<v Speaker 1>the most influential fantasy author you have not heard of?

0:14:20.920 --> 0:14:23.480
<v Speaker 1>He he he is like a George RR. Martin level

0:14:23.520 --> 0:14:27.480
<v Speaker 1>of influence, if not significantly more so. Like he's he

0:14:27.800 --> 0:14:30.640
<v Speaker 1>some people will say he's the most influential fantasy author

0:14:30.720 --> 0:14:35.280
<v Speaker 1>since Tolkien. UM. And among his you've you've noted the

0:14:35.280 --> 0:14:37.200
<v Speaker 1>band Sirith Ungle if you've, if you've been a fan

0:14:37.280 --> 0:14:41.200
<v Speaker 1>of of any of the Warhammer games. Um, he's a

0:14:41.240 --> 0:14:43.920
<v Speaker 1>huge influence on that because the thing that he created

0:14:44.120 --> 0:14:47.520
<v Speaker 1>was kind of the the concept of chaos as a

0:14:47.600 --> 0:14:49.880
<v Speaker 1>sort of religious entity. And I'm not going to get

0:14:49.920 --> 0:14:51.840
<v Speaker 1>into like the depths of the lore in his books,

0:14:51.840 --> 0:14:53.120
<v Speaker 1>but a lot of it is about kind of the

0:14:53.120 --> 0:14:57.760
<v Speaker 1>struggle between order and chaos um and so the Chaos

0:14:57.800 --> 0:15:03.400
<v Speaker 1>Star he he created that specifically like for this kind

0:15:03.440 --> 0:15:08.240
<v Speaker 1>of theological like conflict that occurs throughout his books, and

0:15:08.280 --> 0:15:11.320
<v Speaker 1>it became the symbol of like one of the sides

0:15:11.520 --> 0:15:14.560
<v Speaker 1>in Warhammer, and this very like there's tens of thousands

0:15:14.560 --> 0:15:17.120
<v Speaker 1>of people who have the Chaos star tattooed on them,

0:15:17.160 --> 0:15:21.400
<v Speaker 1>not because of Warhammer, but or not because of any

0:15:21.480 --> 0:15:23.800
<v Speaker 1>political reason or because of chast Mensic, because they were

0:15:23.800 --> 0:15:28.120
<v Speaker 1>fans of like Warhammer forty or whatever. And it's interesting

0:15:28.200 --> 0:15:30.520
<v Speaker 1>because in the same time, when I first got into

0:15:30.520 --> 0:15:35.760
<v Speaker 1>anarchist political theory before long before I considered calling myself one,

0:15:35.800 --> 0:15:37.800
<v Speaker 1>it was because I came across a book published by

0:15:37.800 --> 0:15:40.680
<v Speaker 1>A k press Um I think I bought it in

0:15:40.720 --> 0:15:44.040
<v Speaker 1>two thousands seven called No Gods, No Masters, and it

0:15:44.120 --> 0:15:46.480
<v Speaker 1>was it's a collection. A lot of people have a

0:15:46.520 --> 0:15:48.800
<v Speaker 1>copy of this book in in their house if they're

0:15:48.800 --> 0:15:51.920
<v Speaker 1>into anarchist theory. It's like a collection of early anarchists,

0:15:51.920 --> 0:15:55.320
<v Speaker 1>like people like Prudon essays on like the kind of

0:15:55.360 --> 0:15:58.400
<v Speaker 1>the first wave of anarchist political theory and it has

0:15:58.440 --> 0:16:01.640
<v Speaker 1>a chaos star on the cover. UM because number one

0:16:02.040 --> 0:16:05.720
<v Speaker 1>Michael Moorecock identify is an anarchist. Um is a is

0:16:05.800 --> 0:16:09.080
<v Speaker 1>a uh like as a like is both an author

0:16:09.120 --> 0:16:13.040
<v Speaker 1>and someone who identifies as an anarchistic and yeah politically,

0:16:13.040 --> 0:16:18.360
<v Speaker 1>and so his books had were particularly popular among anarchists, um,

0:16:18.360 --> 0:16:20.520
<v Speaker 1>who don't always get a lot of chunks of pop

0:16:20.560 --> 0:16:25.840
<v Speaker 1>culture to themselves. UM. And so he's he's. It was

0:16:25.960 --> 0:16:30.040
<v Speaker 1>kind of from the beginning, both this nerdy fantasy symbol

0:16:30.080 --> 0:16:32.560
<v Speaker 1>that you could see, you could you could put alongside

0:16:32.560 --> 0:16:34.200
<v Speaker 1>a bunch of different ships from the Lord of the Rings.

0:16:34.240 --> 0:16:35.760
<v Speaker 1>Not that I love the Lord of the Rings, but

0:16:35.840 --> 0:16:38.600
<v Speaker 1>like you could see it as like like like somebody

0:16:38.640 --> 0:16:41.560
<v Speaker 1>having a tattoo in Elvish. But it also took on

0:16:41.840 --> 0:16:45.520
<v Speaker 1>almost immediately this dual meaning where it was actually representing

0:16:46.400 --> 0:16:49.440
<v Speaker 1>aspects of anarchist political theory, and so it was put

0:16:49.480 --> 0:16:52.320
<v Speaker 1>in printed on like books that were about political theory

0:16:52.360 --> 0:16:54.480
<v Speaker 1>and had nothing to do with fantasy. So it's I

0:16:54.520 --> 0:16:58.480
<v Speaker 1>can't actually I cannot actually think of another symbol with

0:16:58.560 --> 0:17:01.760
<v Speaker 1>a similar pedigree. It's it's a really pretty unique case.

0:17:01.880 --> 0:17:04.000
<v Speaker 1>It is. It is because it's it's less of like

0:17:04.040 --> 0:17:07.560
<v Speaker 1>an anarchist symbol, but more a symbol created and used

0:17:07.560 --> 0:17:09.639
<v Speaker 1>by anarchists. Like it was like it was, it was,

0:17:09.680 --> 0:17:11.760
<v Speaker 1>it was, it was invented by an anarchist. It was.

0:17:11.920 --> 0:17:14.440
<v Speaker 1>It was a symbol invented by an anarchist to represent

0:17:14.560 --> 0:17:18.160
<v Speaker 1>something in fiction that had such resonance that people adopted

0:17:18.160 --> 0:17:21.480
<v Speaker 1>it as an actual political symbol. Yeah. It honestly, it

0:17:21.560 --> 0:17:25.399
<v Speaker 1>honestly doesn't require that much reach to see why people

0:17:25.400 --> 0:17:28.200
<v Speaker 1>who would why people who like the idea of there

0:17:28.240 --> 0:17:32.280
<v Speaker 1>being no hierarchy and no state, even if not total freedom,

0:17:32.320 --> 0:17:35.240
<v Speaker 1>there's still like the most range that you could get

0:17:35.320 --> 0:17:38.640
<v Speaker 1>that results in that negation. It doesn't take a lot

0:17:38.680 --> 0:17:42.919
<v Speaker 1>of elaboration to see why the symbol expressly meant for

0:17:42.960 --> 0:17:46.600
<v Speaker 1>the symbol of chaos would gain traction. Absolute. Absolutely, Yeah.

0:17:46.600 --> 0:17:48.760
<v Speaker 1>I was talking with Margaret Keilnjoy about this a while ago,

0:17:49.200 --> 0:17:51.679
<v Speaker 1>and she was like, yeah, like if you were in

0:17:51.680 --> 0:17:53.359
<v Speaker 1>the two thousands and then you were like a traveling

0:17:53.359 --> 0:17:58.040
<v Speaker 1>crust punk, at least like people would have chaostar tattoos,

0:17:58.080 --> 0:18:01.080
<v Speaker 1>because that's because that's like it's a yeah, expanding out

0:18:01.080 --> 0:18:04.440
<v Speaker 1>in all directions, you know, you're those the single arrow

0:18:04.480 --> 0:18:07.200
<v Speaker 1>is law and order. Instead, we're expanding out every in

0:18:07.359 --> 0:18:10.040
<v Speaker 1>every possible way. Yeah, I mean I have a cast

0:18:10.359 --> 0:18:15.240
<v Speaker 1>tattooed on me and I it's it's it's for primarily

0:18:15.680 --> 0:18:18.240
<v Speaker 1>ideological reasons, as opposed to the fact that I spent

0:18:18.280 --> 0:18:23.840
<v Speaker 1>my entire child with playing Warhammer of so, so yeah,

0:18:23.880 --> 0:18:26.320
<v Speaker 1>it's I think now, so it is worth mentioning. So

0:18:26.480 --> 0:18:29.520
<v Speaker 1>the cas star was invented in the sixties by Michael Morcock.

0:18:29.600 --> 0:18:31.720
<v Speaker 1>Of course there is There's been other eight pointed stars

0:18:31.720 --> 0:18:34.119
<v Speaker 1>over the course of thousands of years of history. Of

0:18:34.280 --> 0:18:36.240
<v Speaker 1>course it is it is. It is like a broad

0:18:36.359 --> 0:18:40.879
<v Speaker 1>like geometrical shape. Every kind of star has meant something, yes,

0:18:41.119 --> 0:18:45.120
<v Speaker 1>but the specific design was was made by Michael Morcock um.

0:18:45.160 --> 0:18:47.560
<v Speaker 1>And then because of because of more cocks like anarchist

0:18:47.600 --> 0:18:50.640
<v Speaker 1>tendencies in fiction, his work was used or at least

0:18:50.640 --> 0:18:52.840
<v Speaker 1>appreciated by a lot of the Discordians, which is also

0:18:52.840 --> 0:18:56.000
<v Speaker 1>popular around the sixties a lot of the situationists um.

0:18:56.080 --> 0:18:59.520
<v Speaker 1>And then as the Discordian situationist movement kind of morphed

0:19:00.240 --> 0:19:03.480
<v Speaker 1>and started to kind of intermingle with parts of occultism,

0:19:03.520 --> 0:19:06.200
<v Speaker 1>we have the chaos magic movement starting in the late seventies,

0:19:06.560 --> 0:19:10.920
<v Speaker 1>which started also using the the Chaos Star, which makes

0:19:10.920 --> 0:19:12.960
<v Speaker 1>sense because like what Robert you you were talking about

0:19:12.960 --> 0:19:16.360
<v Speaker 1>how it's like it's like it's almost like personifying chaos

0:19:16.400 --> 0:19:19.240
<v Speaker 1>as like a thing to worship um, which is actually

0:19:19.280 --> 0:19:22.119
<v Speaker 1>a big part of early chaos magic text is is

0:19:22.160 --> 0:19:25.760
<v Speaker 1>like like reveling in the idea of like chaos is

0:19:25.800 --> 0:19:27.919
<v Speaker 1>like a primordial god, which there's there's a lot of

0:19:27.920 --> 0:19:31.320
<v Speaker 1>primordial gods um in like the actual world, you know,

0:19:31.359 --> 0:19:34.560
<v Speaker 1>like if you look like through through histories of various cultures,

0:19:34.600 --> 0:19:37.399
<v Speaker 1>like chaos is one of the original primordial gods. So

0:19:37.440 --> 0:19:39.280
<v Speaker 1>it is there's a big part of that in early

0:19:39.359 --> 0:19:42.320
<v Speaker 1>chaos magic books about kind of looking at chaos as

0:19:42.359 --> 0:19:45.439
<v Speaker 1>this like this very ancient force that should be kind

0:19:45.480 --> 0:19:48.600
<v Speaker 1>of respected, and I think that that is of that

0:19:48.720 --> 0:19:50.960
<v Speaker 1>is a big part of why the chaos magicians started

0:19:51.040 --> 0:19:54.000
<v Speaker 1>using uh, the the Star. I mean, obviously there's a

0:19:54.040 --> 0:19:56.840
<v Speaker 1>lot of crossover between like sci fi writers like Robert

0:19:56.840 --> 0:20:00.000
<v Speaker 1>Anton Wilson Um and Michael Moorecock who then Robert Anton

0:20:00.000 --> 0:20:02.719
<v Speaker 1>Wilson was very influential in the chaos magic movement, so

0:20:02.880 --> 0:20:04.720
<v Speaker 1>you can see how this gets carried over from like

0:20:04.720 --> 0:20:07.680
<v Speaker 1>anarchist sci fi to chaos magic, and then because it's

0:20:07.680 --> 0:20:09.879
<v Speaker 1>in chaos magic, it gets way more visibility. So then

0:20:09.880 --> 0:20:13.120
<v Speaker 1>it starts then he starts seeing it inside more more

0:20:13.160 --> 0:20:17.840
<v Speaker 1>like underground anarchist scenes um. And then so around around

0:20:17.840 --> 0:20:20.560
<v Speaker 1>this time, Dugan was starting his political career, and he

0:20:20.640 --> 0:20:22.080
<v Speaker 1>was he was u was dabbling in a lot of

0:20:22.160 --> 0:20:25.280
<v Speaker 1>various like occult circles himself. Right now, he's he's more

0:20:25.320 --> 0:20:28.720
<v Speaker 1>of like a traditionalist, like a more like a Christian traditionalist.

0:20:28.760 --> 0:20:31.280
<v Speaker 1>That is kind of his primarily. That is like, is

0:20:31.400 --> 0:20:35.240
<v Speaker 1>that is his primary kind of a cult interest as

0:20:35.320 --> 0:20:38.320
<v Speaker 1>long as it can be called a cult. Yeah, it's

0:20:38.400 --> 0:20:40.960
<v Speaker 1>it's it's not it's not worth getting too much into

0:20:40.960 --> 0:20:43.879
<v Speaker 1>the weeds on on doing at this point, I think people,

0:20:44.040 --> 0:20:45.560
<v Speaker 1>I think it's it's it's worth it. Like like he

0:20:45.640 --> 0:20:48.240
<v Speaker 1>like he because he obviously did rip the he did

0:20:48.520 --> 0:20:51.240
<v Speaker 1>take inspiration from the Chaos Star to make his own

0:20:51.480 --> 0:20:54.280
<v Speaker 1>version of it. He's certainly because he was in those

0:20:54.320 --> 0:20:58.720
<v Speaker 1>same circles, a cultic leanings and and a degree of knowledge.

0:20:58.760 --> 0:21:01.120
<v Speaker 1>I think again, with a lot of things, a lot

0:21:01.119 --> 0:21:04.320
<v Speaker 1>of things about Dugan are overstated, including his closeness to

0:21:04.400 --> 0:21:07.680
<v Speaker 1>putin because he's this really easy in part because he's

0:21:07.720 --> 0:21:10.560
<v Speaker 1>like so prolific, and and there's a lot available on

0:21:10.640 --> 0:21:12.840
<v Speaker 1>him in English. It's really easy to kind of tie

0:21:12.920 --> 0:21:17.480
<v Speaker 1>everything happening in Russia to do him to him. Um. Yeah,

0:21:17.520 --> 0:21:19.400
<v Speaker 1>and I think that's kind of a degree of what's

0:21:19.440 --> 0:21:22.840
<v Speaker 1>happening here. There's a website I've forgotten the name of,

0:21:23.359 --> 0:21:25.320
<v Speaker 1>but I think it had like a bunch of like

0:21:25.920 --> 0:21:30.200
<v Speaker 1>online reproduction of Dugan's various writings from the nineties, all

0:21:30.200 --> 0:21:33.800
<v Speaker 1>sorts of weird shit about occultism and Yeah, and yet

0:21:34.080 --> 0:21:38.159
<v Speaker 1>I do think that there's a very obvious gulf between

0:21:38.200 --> 0:21:42.720
<v Speaker 1>the Dugan of that weird eccentric, like esoteric Nazi sort

0:21:42.760 --> 0:21:46.720
<v Speaker 1>of phase of like his relative youth versus today where

0:21:47.359 --> 0:21:52.080
<v Speaker 1>he frames his entire rationale for multiplorality as a kind

0:21:52.080 --> 0:21:56.600
<v Speaker 1>of Christian a Christian crusade against the hegemony that he

0:21:57.440 --> 0:22:02.200
<v Speaker 1>legitimately believes to be a Satanic fire. Yes, basically said that,

0:22:02.280 --> 0:22:05.199
<v Speaker 1>and it's not the only thing he considers satanic, like

0:22:05.960 --> 0:22:08.480
<v Speaker 1>like we should point out that like one of the

0:22:08.600 --> 0:22:11.520
<v Speaker 1>one of the main forces that were that we're going

0:22:11.680 --> 0:22:15.400
<v Speaker 1>like against pussy Riot, where Eurasianists at that of that time,

0:22:15.440 --> 0:22:18.639
<v Speaker 1>and he called them like devils and witches and taught

0:22:18.680 --> 0:22:22.080
<v Speaker 1>his followers to show up with pitchforks. People in the

0:22:22.119 --> 0:22:25.000
<v Speaker 1>West don't really understand them. So you get guys like

0:22:25.640 --> 0:22:29.840
<v Speaker 1>when you get both Alexander Reid Ross describing him as

0:22:29.840 --> 0:22:33.240
<v Speaker 1>an adherent of chaos magic and some guy from the

0:22:33.320 --> 0:22:36.240
<v Speaker 1>National Review referring to him as the leader of a

0:22:36.240 --> 0:22:41.640
<v Speaker 1>satanic cult somehow. Yeah, and and boy, I mean, there's

0:22:41.680 --> 0:22:44.919
<v Speaker 1>a long history of people liking to flat liking to

0:22:45.080 --> 0:22:50.520
<v Speaker 1>flatten um fascist movements with an occultic tradition to just Satanism.

0:22:50.560 --> 0:22:53.560
<v Speaker 1>We're not gonna talk about that at length, but it

0:22:54.080 --> 0:22:56.919
<v Speaker 1>whenever whenever you hear people talking about a problem and

0:22:57.000 --> 0:22:59.480
<v Speaker 1>like they reduce it to its satanists, you should be

0:22:59.520 --> 0:23:02.520
<v Speaker 1>a little on edge because usually they're wrong or at

0:23:02.560 --> 0:23:06.399
<v Speaker 1>least incomplete um and they just have have kind of

0:23:06.480 --> 0:23:09.399
<v Speaker 1>over Anyway, we don't need to get terribly into that.

0:23:09.520 --> 0:23:11.080
<v Speaker 1>The only the only person I wanted to bring that

0:23:11.160 --> 0:23:13.320
<v Speaker 1>up is because like this is around the same time

0:23:13.400 --> 0:23:16.480
<v Speaker 1>that people that are fascists, we're trying to enter in

0:23:16.560 --> 0:23:19.119
<v Speaker 1>a lot of different politicals, like some cultures, whether it

0:23:19.200 --> 0:23:23.240
<v Speaker 1>be like the punk scene and industrial music, um, including

0:23:23.280 --> 0:23:26.640
<v Speaker 1>like the the occulture, because that that is like their

0:23:26.680 --> 0:23:30.359
<v Speaker 1>primary means, right, Like they try to like they are

0:23:30.400 --> 0:23:32.640
<v Speaker 1>an aesthetic driven movement, they try to cop to any

0:23:32.640 --> 0:23:35.800
<v Speaker 1>aesthetic and use it for their own gains and to

0:23:35.800 --> 0:23:38.960
<v Speaker 1>to kind of overlook the anarchist origins of this thing

0:23:39.320 --> 0:23:41.840
<v Speaker 1>just because fascists tried to cop it at some point.

0:23:41.880 --> 0:23:43.679
<v Speaker 1>I think it's very silly, because then, like, what are

0:23:43.720 --> 0:23:45.880
<v Speaker 1>you going to throw away all punk music like come

0:23:45.920 --> 0:23:49.600
<v Speaker 1>up or even like or even like crosses like, yeah,

0:23:49.680 --> 0:23:54.600
<v Speaker 1>a fascist still used variations of Christian crosses that still

0:23:54.680 --> 0:23:59.520
<v Speaker 1>have essentially political Christian meanings. But I'd probably still assume

0:23:59.600 --> 0:24:03.280
<v Speaker 1>that the majority of religious fascists do lean on some

0:24:03.359 --> 0:24:07.080
<v Speaker 1>kind of Christianity, And to the extent that there's neopagans involved,

0:24:07.520 --> 0:24:10.680
<v Speaker 1>there's sort of a minority. There's a couple of things

0:24:10.760 --> 0:24:12.600
<v Speaker 1>that this is. Like. One of them would be kind

0:24:12.600 --> 0:24:15.119
<v Speaker 1>of in the United States, fascist co option of of

0:24:15.480 --> 0:24:18.480
<v Speaker 1>the flag of the United States, which we can talk

0:24:18.520 --> 0:24:20.880
<v Speaker 1>a lot about like the fact that the United States

0:24:20.960 --> 0:24:24.480
<v Speaker 1>is an imperialist power um and the genocide is done

0:24:24.480 --> 0:24:29.320
<v Speaker 1>on under that flag without while still acknowledging that attempts

0:24:29.520 --> 0:24:32.159
<v Speaker 1>by fascist movements to co opt it as a purely

0:24:32.160 --> 0:24:36.199
<v Speaker 1>fascist symbol are problematic. In part because that symbol, the

0:24:36.280 --> 0:24:38.479
<v Speaker 1>United States flag, has a lot of power to a

0:24:38.480 --> 0:24:41.199
<v Speaker 1>lot of people. And so if you if the fascists

0:24:41.320 --> 0:24:46.119
<v Speaker 1>kind of co opted totally, um, that's a harmful thing.

0:24:46.280 --> 0:24:48.160
<v Speaker 1>That's a thing that can like allow them to get

0:24:48.200 --> 0:24:51.200
<v Speaker 1>their brain worms into more people. Which doesn't mean like

0:24:51.480 --> 0:24:53.960
<v Speaker 1>you should take and wave the US flag, but it

0:24:54.000 --> 0:24:57.280
<v Speaker 1>does mean that, like it's just a matter of don't

0:24:57.359 --> 0:25:01.919
<v Speaker 1>you don't have to let them take the ground, you know. Um.

0:25:01.960 --> 0:25:04.719
<v Speaker 1>And I think on a kind of a different angle.

0:25:05.000 --> 0:25:07.520
<v Speaker 1>One of the things I think about a lot is, uh,

0:25:07.640 --> 0:25:10.639
<v Speaker 1>the first time I went to India, seeing especially in

0:25:10.680 --> 0:25:13.880
<v Speaker 1>a large parts of India, you'll see swastika's hanging over

0:25:14.080 --> 0:25:16.440
<v Speaker 1>the doors of many, many houses all over the place.

0:25:16.480 --> 0:25:20.040
<v Speaker 1>You'll see them hanging from cars. They're they're constant things.

0:25:20.440 --> 0:25:24.000
<v Speaker 1>And it's only unsettling if you have allowed yourself to

0:25:24.040 --> 0:25:27.200
<v Speaker 1>forget that the swastika is a symbol that the Nazis

0:25:27.280 --> 0:25:30.560
<v Speaker 1>stole from another culture, co opted and invested with a

0:25:30.600 --> 0:25:36.479
<v Speaker 1>new meaning. Jan yeah, yeah, And why should people in

0:25:37.600 --> 0:25:39.399
<v Speaker 1>other parts of the world, who have been using it

0:25:39.400 --> 0:25:41.840
<v Speaker 1>for a totally different purpose for thousands of years, why

0:25:41.840 --> 0:25:43.400
<v Speaker 1>should they be like, well, I guess we don't get

0:25:43.400 --> 0:25:47.800
<v Speaker 1>this now. It's like in India has had to deal

0:25:47.840 --> 0:25:51.960
<v Speaker 1>with their own fashion. Yes, and and and there's I

0:25:51.960 --> 0:25:55.040
<v Speaker 1>mean again, we're delving into a lot of very deep

0:25:55.080 --> 0:25:56.720
<v Speaker 1>topics because there's a lot to be said about how

0:25:56.800 --> 0:25:59.520
<v Speaker 1>the fact that the Nazis took the swastika lead to

0:26:00.040 --> 0:26:03.160
<v Speaker 1>degrees of sympathy within areas of Indian culture that allowed

0:26:03.200 --> 0:26:06.200
<v Speaker 1>some fascist ideology to creep in. And like that's also

0:26:06.280 --> 0:26:09.159
<v Speaker 1>tied to the fact that both the Nazis and a

0:26:09.200 --> 0:26:11.840
<v Speaker 1>lot of Indian nationalists were fighting against the British Empire.

0:26:12.000 --> 0:26:17.760
<v Speaker 1>It's all very complicated, right. They're guys, guys like vds

0:26:17.840 --> 0:26:21.840
<v Speaker 1>of Our Care did who were founders of the Hinduva movement, Yeah,

0:26:22.000 --> 0:26:25.520
<v Speaker 1>did openly praise Hitler. Oh yeah, Yeah. It's kind of

0:26:25.560 --> 0:26:27.840
<v Speaker 1>easy for some people to think of it as entirely

0:26:27.880 --> 0:26:31.679
<v Speaker 1>motivated by religion, but his whole concept of nationhood is

0:26:31.880 --> 0:26:35.359
<v Speaker 1>entirely racial. Yeah. It says himself that it has nothing

0:26:35.400 --> 0:26:40.640
<v Speaker 1>to do with religion. So yeah, and it's it's it's

0:26:40.640 --> 0:26:42.919
<v Speaker 1>one of those things. If you actually want to understand

0:26:43.000 --> 0:26:45.720
<v Speaker 1>things and engage with them in a useful area, you

0:26:45.800 --> 0:26:48.719
<v Speaker 1>have to understand that history and grapple with it without

0:26:48.800 --> 0:26:52.200
<v Speaker 1>like looking at a year old Hindu temple and going, well,

0:26:52.240 --> 0:26:58.320
<v Speaker 1>I guess they were Nazis hash hash hashtag problematic. Yeah, ugly.

0:26:59.440 --> 0:27:02.320
<v Speaker 1>The last thing actually want to talk about is how

0:27:03.280 --> 0:27:06.080
<v Speaker 1>how how the kind of debate around symbols US to

0:27:06.080 --> 0:27:09.040
<v Speaker 1>symbols has just kind of morphed into just fast jacketing

0:27:09.119 --> 0:27:13.440
<v Speaker 1>anarchists in general and worrying about like, oh, the fascists

0:27:13.440 --> 0:27:16.840
<v Speaker 1>are secretly infiltrating the anarchists and they're gonna turn anarchists

0:27:16.840 --> 0:27:19.040
<v Speaker 1>into fascists. Just pretty silly, because I mean, if you're

0:27:19.040 --> 0:27:21.160
<v Speaker 1>gonna I you're gonna turn anyone into fascists. Think anarchists

0:27:21.160 --> 0:27:23.080
<v Speaker 1>are one of the hardest people to do to do

0:27:23.119 --> 0:27:24.919
<v Speaker 1>that too. This is this is there's a lot of

0:27:24.920 --> 0:27:28.159
<v Speaker 1>other people it's way easier to convince to become fascists

0:27:28.160 --> 0:27:33.200
<v Speaker 1>than when anarchists go fascists they pretty hard well, yeah,

0:27:33.480 --> 0:27:38.400
<v Speaker 1>but they the type of like fear mongering around it

0:27:38.440 --> 0:27:42.199
<v Speaker 1>is still it's really frustrating because like I'm looking at

0:27:42.200 --> 0:27:45.320
<v Speaker 1>all these I'm looking at all these tanky's like fast

0:27:45.359 --> 0:27:48.120
<v Speaker 1>jacketing anarchists for using us for using a symbol created

0:27:48.119 --> 0:27:51.600
<v Speaker 1>by anarchists which has been used by anarchists for decades, right, um,

0:27:51.640 --> 0:27:54.600
<v Speaker 1>But then you also have like Tanky superstar Kalin Malplin

0:27:54.880 --> 0:27:58.720
<v Speaker 1>regularly hanging out with like like Melvin regularly hangs out

0:27:58.720 --> 0:28:01.359
<v Speaker 1>with dougod Of. And then you have someone who's like

0:28:01.359 --> 0:28:04.520
<v Speaker 1>another like pretty like popular, like like tinky influencer like

0:28:04.760 --> 0:28:09.600
<v Speaker 1>Ben Norton who openly uses Dugan's multipolar theory. Right, and

0:28:09.680 --> 0:28:11.720
<v Speaker 1>so if if if, if you're looking for the most

0:28:11.800 --> 0:28:16.480
<v Speaker 1>visible example of fascist nationalist rhetoric trying to enter into leftism,

0:28:16.520 --> 0:28:19.600
<v Speaker 1>you should look at like the growing like patriotic communists,

0:28:19.680 --> 0:28:25.399
<v Speaker 1>you know, people people like patriotic socialists, but yeah, the

0:28:25.480 --> 0:28:28.480
<v Speaker 1>idea is basically the same. But yeah, it's like people

0:28:28.480 --> 0:28:32.119
<v Speaker 1>like Peter Coffin and this like growing like patriot communist

0:28:32.160 --> 0:28:35.679
<v Speaker 1>socialist kind of live streamer grifft um, which is like

0:28:35.920 --> 0:28:39.280
<v Speaker 1>because like the easiest entry on the left for fascism

0:28:39.400 --> 0:28:42.800
<v Speaker 1>is informs of nationalist authoritarian communism. Right, It's like you

0:28:42.800 --> 0:28:44.520
<v Speaker 1>know that that's that that is how you get like

0:28:44.640 --> 0:28:47.960
<v Speaker 1>national socialism. Right. Uh. It's like they just had this

0:28:48.040 --> 0:28:50.720
<v Speaker 1>like super cringe e Nauz Bill convention just a few

0:28:50.720 --> 0:28:53.960
<v Speaker 1>weeks ago with with some of the best moments on

0:28:54.560 --> 0:28:57.560
<v Speaker 1>until Will Smith slapped that guy. Yeah, but like you know,

0:28:57.600 --> 0:28:59.960
<v Speaker 1>you have you have like Coffin and Malpin hanging out

0:29:00.120 --> 0:29:02.720
<v Speaker 1>and like Mopid regularly regularly hangs out with Doo Good.

0:29:02.760 --> 0:29:04.480
<v Speaker 1>It's like, if you're gonna lift, if you want to

0:29:04.520 --> 0:29:07.440
<v Speaker 1>be watching out for like a fascist creep, maybe you

0:29:07.440 --> 0:29:09.640
<v Speaker 1>should direct it towards the people and just like doing

0:29:09.640 --> 0:29:11.960
<v Speaker 1>it out in the open and not fast jacketing like

0:29:12.120 --> 0:29:14.200
<v Speaker 1>queer anarchists who have been doing the thing that they've

0:29:14.240 --> 0:29:16.360
<v Speaker 1>been doing for like decades. I guess one of the

0:29:16.400 --> 0:29:20.560
<v Speaker 1>last things I bele mention is, uh, the hilarious incidents

0:29:20.720 --> 0:29:23.960
<v Speaker 1>with the Sith Empire thing of people just fully of

0:29:24.160 --> 0:29:27.440
<v Speaker 1>like fully getting consumed by their own brain worms and

0:29:27.480 --> 0:29:30.720
<v Speaker 1>trying to insist that a Star Wars symbol uh is

0:29:30.960 --> 0:29:35.960
<v Speaker 1>secretly uh fascist chaos star um and then doing the

0:29:36.000 --> 0:29:40.080
<v Speaker 1>same thing to the Warhammer symbol um it is it

0:29:40.200 --> 0:29:44.680
<v Speaker 1>is in in. I mean it's funny because like in

0:29:45.600 --> 0:29:48.160
<v Speaker 1>Star Wars it is a fascist symbol, right, that is,

0:29:48.200 --> 0:29:50.320
<v Speaker 1>that's not a fascist symbol in the real world, but

0:29:50.360 --> 0:29:52.680
<v Speaker 1>it is within the world of of Star Wars that

0:29:52.800 --> 0:29:55.040
<v Speaker 1>is absolutely a fascist. It's also it's also not a

0:29:55.120 --> 0:29:58.080
<v Speaker 1>chaos star. It's not a chaos star. Uh. And in

0:29:58.160 --> 0:30:00.240
<v Speaker 1>Warhammer it is a chaos star, but it's not a

0:30:00.280 --> 0:30:03.719
<v Speaker 1>fascist symbol. It's actually an anti fascist symbol. Within the

0:30:03.760 --> 0:30:08.040
<v Speaker 1>World War you can basically argue that, yeah, because it is.

0:30:08.080 --> 0:30:10.080
<v Speaker 1>It is just frustrating looking at all these people being

0:30:10.120 --> 0:30:12.000
<v Speaker 1>like trying to play trying to play the Wears Waldo

0:30:12.080 --> 0:30:15.840
<v Speaker 1>game just to all like dunkan anarchists, and it's just

0:30:16.000 --> 0:30:18.480
<v Speaker 1>kind of shows a fundamental misunderstanding of the history of

0:30:18.520 --> 0:30:22.320
<v Speaker 1>anarchists culture um, and the history of like anti fascist anarchists.

0:30:22.520 --> 0:30:26.120
<v Speaker 1>You know, most of the anti fascists that I know

0:30:26.800 --> 0:30:29.240
<v Speaker 1>use the chaos star because it's because it's a red symbol.

0:30:29.280 --> 0:30:33.760
<v Speaker 1>It looks rad, it looks cool. Um. And Yeah, trying

0:30:33.760 --> 0:30:36.600
<v Speaker 1>to like in insisting that we must see this ground

0:30:37.040 --> 0:30:40.280
<v Speaker 1>and let fascists use anything that they think is esthetically cool.

0:30:40.680 --> 0:30:42.760
<v Speaker 1>I think is is a first of all, like a

0:30:42.760 --> 0:30:45.160
<v Speaker 1>losing battle to actually just like to just just to

0:30:45.320 --> 0:30:48.280
<v Speaker 1>to to start that now, I think is you would

0:30:48.320 --> 0:30:51.320
<v Speaker 1>have some pretty bad implications for fascism and its use

0:30:51.440 --> 0:30:54.120
<v Speaker 1>of aesthetics. You don't have to give them things just

0:30:54.160 --> 0:30:57.080
<v Speaker 1>because they want to take those things. It makes sense

0:30:57.120 --> 0:30:59.800
<v Speaker 1>that you would see like tankyas do it, because then

0:31:00.040 --> 0:31:03.120
<v Speaker 1>with your tankie you could basically get into a position

0:31:03.200 --> 0:31:08.080
<v Speaker 1>where you can basically discard all sorts of symbolisms and

0:31:08.240 --> 0:31:12.320
<v Speaker 1>just replace everything with like old like Soviet symbology or

0:31:12.360 --> 0:31:15.720
<v Speaker 1>so which is which is obviously not tied to eddie

0:31:15.720 --> 0:31:21.280
<v Speaker 1>a trocity stead of happens, right, Oh, oh it's dentally.

0:31:21.440 --> 0:31:25.240
<v Speaker 1>Don't ever tell them about Georgia. Yeah, don't don't tell

0:31:25.280 --> 0:31:31.960
<v Speaker 1>them about Georgia, Kazakhstan, Ukraine, Ukraine, that giant lake that

0:31:32.040 --> 0:31:34.360
<v Speaker 1>was like the largest lake in Europe that they turned

0:31:34.400 --> 0:31:36.960
<v Speaker 1>into a pile of poison. You know. Don't mention a

0:31:37.000 --> 0:31:41.160
<v Speaker 1>few things, and Trotsky would be proud considering he wanted

0:31:41.200 --> 0:31:44.880
<v Speaker 1>to turn mountains into like city structure. I mean that

0:31:44.880 --> 0:31:47.960
<v Speaker 1>that actually is one of the things I think Trotsky

0:31:48.600 --> 0:31:53.080
<v Speaker 1>was on the right ball about more ministrits, more minisirats.

0:31:53.160 --> 0:31:57.000
<v Speaker 1>Let's tear it up some mountains. So any any any

0:31:57.080 --> 0:32:01.920
<v Speaker 1>final thoughts on our lovely circular the chaos a chaos star.

0:32:02.680 --> 0:32:06.040
<v Speaker 1>I'm thinking I'm thinking of a quote from like, uh,

0:32:06.360 --> 0:32:09.440
<v Speaker 1>what was his name, Pablo Freer Day. I hope I've

0:32:09.440 --> 0:32:13.040
<v Speaker 1>gotten that name right. A quote I've seen going around

0:32:13.040 --> 0:32:14.920
<v Speaker 1>that I think goes around something to the effect that

0:32:15.240 --> 0:32:18.520
<v Speaker 1>when the point of education isn't liberation, the goal is

0:32:18.560 --> 0:32:22.840
<v Speaker 1>to become the oppressor. Um. You could sort of usually

0:32:23.040 --> 0:32:26.560
<v Speaker 1>that quote is like relevant to like the material processes

0:32:26.600 --> 0:32:31.000
<v Speaker 1>of like being inculcated into a capitalist system. So so

0:32:31.200 --> 0:32:32.640
<v Speaker 1>so you can kind of make the most sense of

0:32:32.680 --> 0:32:36.720
<v Speaker 1>it as basically like you are educated to become a

0:32:36.800 --> 0:32:41.080
<v Speaker 1>boss instead of wanting to abolish all bosses vot. But

0:32:41.080 --> 0:32:43.440
<v Speaker 1>but on but on a micro level, you can sort

0:32:43.480 --> 0:32:47.040
<v Speaker 1>of apply it to the to the ways in which people,

0:32:47.200 --> 0:32:50.880
<v Speaker 1>even in like radical spaces sort of to sort of

0:32:50.920 --> 0:32:54.320
<v Speaker 1>become like self styled cops as it were. That I

0:32:54.360 --> 0:32:57.160
<v Speaker 1>think is a phenomenon that a lot of the unarcho

0:32:57.280 --> 0:33:01.240
<v Speaker 1>nihilist tendency sort of responds to. Anyway, this is coming

0:33:01.240 --> 0:33:04.680
<v Speaker 1>from a perspective that is sort of flirtatious towards an

0:33:04.760 --> 0:33:09.040
<v Speaker 1>arco nihilism, but not necessarily. But it's like you could

0:33:09.520 --> 0:33:12.480
<v Speaker 1>a lot of the interactions with like they like certain

0:33:12.480 --> 0:33:16.320
<v Speaker 1>people demonstrate that. There are some instances of it where

0:33:16.360 --> 0:33:20.960
<v Speaker 1>I think I can't quite tell if it's po or not. Um.

0:33:21.000 --> 0:33:24.000
<v Speaker 1>Somebody I s s somebody posted like a photo of

0:33:24.040 --> 0:33:27.240
<v Speaker 1>themselves with like a like a jacket and they had

0:33:27.280 --> 0:33:30.840
<v Speaker 1>like the upside down cross and the inverted pedogram on board,

0:33:30.880 --> 0:33:35.600
<v Speaker 1>and somebody someone, somebody with like basically no followers who

0:33:35.680 --> 0:33:40.200
<v Speaker 1>somehow blew somehow blew up when they posted that photo

0:33:40.680 --> 0:33:43.360
<v Speaker 1>next to like a Nazi uniform to try and compare

0:33:43.440 --> 0:33:47.560
<v Speaker 1>to the inverted cross to a swastika or no not,

0:33:47.640 --> 0:33:50.240
<v Speaker 1>if not a swastika, then like maybe some other part

0:33:50.240 --> 0:33:53.040
<v Speaker 1>of the jacket and the pentagram to like the arm

0:33:53.120 --> 0:33:56.400
<v Speaker 1>band or something like yeah, yeah, And I think I'm

0:33:56.440 --> 0:33:59.720
<v Speaker 1>still not sure if that was entirely serious. See, that's

0:33:59.800 --> 0:34:02.680
<v Speaker 1>that's the thing is, like we have to be careful,

0:34:02.720 --> 0:34:06.440
<v Speaker 1>like I don't like anarchist in fighting. It's rarely useful, um,

0:34:06.760 --> 0:34:09.719
<v Speaker 1>and we have to be quick to be watchful for

0:34:09.760 --> 0:34:11.640
<v Speaker 1>like how much of it is just people trolling or

0:34:11.640 --> 0:34:14.879
<v Speaker 1>people trying to prompt in fighting just for the sake

0:34:14.880 --> 0:34:18.120
<v Speaker 1>of infighting. Right, So if if like I tried for

0:34:18.160 --> 0:34:20.160
<v Speaker 1>a long time to not engage in this debate because

0:34:20.239 --> 0:34:22.719
<v Speaker 1>I don't like talking about this, like I don't like

0:34:22.840 --> 0:34:24.960
<v Speaker 1>in fighting with anarchists. I don't like I don't like

0:34:25.239 --> 0:34:29.000
<v Speaker 1>having these types of debates. So hopefully the next time

0:34:29.040 --> 0:34:30.920
<v Speaker 1>this debate starts. We don't need to because we can

0:34:30.960 --> 0:34:32.600
<v Speaker 1>just we can just point to how this last one

0:34:32.600 --> 0:34:36.200
<v Speaker 1>went and say, no, look, we clearly demonstrated that this

0:34:36.239 --> 0:34:38.040
<v Speaker 1>has a this has a long history of use by

0:34:38.080 --> 0:34:41.680
<v Speaker 1>anarchists and invented by anarchists, and not starting, not starting,

0:34:42.200 --> 0:34:45.120
<v Speaker 1>and not start the debate again because we we don't

0:34:45.200 --> 0:34:46.640
<v Speaker 1>we we don't need to do it, and there's no

0:34:46.719 --> 0:34:48.839
<v Speaker 1>telling if people are doing it sincerely or people doing

0:34:48.840 --> 0:34:51.040
<v Speaker 1>it ironically, or people just doing it just to get

0:34:51.080 --> 0:34:54.279
<v Speaker 1>you know, people upset um. And I mean like if

0:34:54.280 --> 0:34:57.040
<v Speaker 1>you want to look at anarchists and look at I

0:34:57.120 --> 0:34:59.920
<v Speaker 1>where where is right wing people whereas fascist trying to

0:35:00.120 --> 0:35:03.200
<v Speaker 1>kind of blended with anarchists, Like look at like books right,

0:35:03.520 --> 0:35:06.439
<v Speaker 1>look at and d caps right. These people who try

0:35:06.440 --> 0:35:09.040
<v Speaker 1>to claim to be anarchists are very bad and actually

0:35:09.040 --> 0:35:11.600
<v Speaker 1>blending in because they can't help themselves when they start

0:35:11.640 --> 0:35:14.960
<v Speaker 1>talking about like the validity of anarcho capitalism or the

0:35:15.040 --> 0:35:18.080
<v Speaker 1>validity of like small nation states like it's it is,

0:35:18.200 --> 0:35:22.000
<v Speaker 1>it is. It is hard. It's hard to actually infiltrate anarchists.

0:35:22.040 --> 0:35:24.200
<v Speaker 1>This is the thing that the FBI has said multiple

0:35:24.360 --> 0:35:27.200
<v Speaker 1>multiple times. It's hard to actually do so whenever fascists

0:35:27.200 --> 0:35:30.000
<v Speaker 1>try to blend in whether they're boogloo boys, they can't

0:35:30.000 --> 0:35:32.960
<v Speaker 1>help but use their old like boogaloo symbols. They can't help,

0:35:33.000 --> 0:35:35.640
<v Speaker 1>but just like like give hints. It is it is

0:35:35.680 --> 0:35:39.040
<v Speaker 1>astonishing how how bad they are at this thing. So

0:35:39.239 --> 0:35:42.320
<v Speaker 1>also bad at like the protection that they claimed to offer,

0:35:42.480 --> 0:35:44.840
<v Speaker 1>Like there was a there was an article from like

0:35:44.960 --> 0:35:48.399
<v Speaker 1>last year going over oh we're going over well, part

0:35:48.400 --> 0:35:51.000
<v Speaker 1>of it mentioned that they were basically at this like

0:35:51.080 --> 0:35:54.879
<v Speaker 1>purported protests that they were supposed to offer protection from,

0:35:54.920 --> 0:35:56.719
<v Speaker 1>and most and most of what they did was get

0:35:56.800 --> 0:36:00.000
<v Speaker 1>drunk and like this on the sidewalks. The boogloo boys,

0:36:00.000 --> 0:36:02.319
<v Speaker 1>I've seen it, actual protests who are like with like

0:36:02.320 --> 0:36:04.800
<v Speaker 1>with like cops stacking protesters, the bogle of voice of

0:36:04.840 --> 0:36:10.239
<v Speaker 1>the first ones to run because their cowards. Yeah, all right,

0:36:10.360 --> 0:36:14.399
<v Speaker 1>well I guess where can where can people bay? Where

0:36:14.400 --> 0:36:16.000
<v Speaker 1>can people find in you on line? Where can people

0:36:16.400 --> 0:36:19.600
<v Speaker 1>read your read your article like chaos Nihilism and the

0:36:19.640 --> 0:36:24.279
<v Speaker 1>Way of No Surrender WordPress? Basically, um I could I

0:36:24.320 --> 0:36:27.320
<v Speaker 1>call it a site left the rotical domain, but the

0:36:27.719 --> 0:36:30.200
<v Speaker 1>but the link goes like my thoughts born from fire

0:36:30.280 --> 0:36:34.399
<v Speaker 1>dot WordPress dot com. I actually try I actually try

0:36:34.520 --> 0:36:36.680
<v Speaker 1>changing the U r L once I changed it to

0:36:36.719 --> 0:36:39.040
<v Speaker 1>a left the radical domain I think in two Bells

0:36:39.040 --> 0:36:43.080
<v Speaker 1>of thirteen fourteen, but I figured that doing so would

0:36:43.080 --> 0:36:45.520
<v Speaker 1>funk up all of the stats and whatever, so I

0:36:45.560 --> 0:36:48.520
<v Speaker 1>just didn't bother. Well, thank thank you so much for

0:36:48.880 --> 0:36:52.600
<v Speaker 1>kind of writing, I would say, probably the most definitive

0:36:52.640 --> 0:36:54.839
<v Speaker 1>stance on this debate at the moment, which we can

0:36:54.840 --> 0:36:59.680
<v Speaker 1>always point point back to whenever this inevitably comes up again,

0:36:59.680 --> 0:37:02.920
<v Speaker 1>and like a year or two, because I've seen it.

0:37:02.920 --> 0:37:05.200
<v Speaker 1>I've seen it come up like every every few years.

0:37:05.239 --> 0:37:07.640
<v Speaker 1>You see it. So thank you, thank you for that,

0:37:07.680 --> 0:37:10.960
<v Speaker 1>and thank you for coming on. Um yeah, if you

0:37:10.960 --> 0:37:13.200
<v Speaker 1>want to follow follow us, you can do it at

0:37:13.239 --> 0:37:15.200
<v Speaker 1>the thing, you know, the thing, you know what our

0:37:15.239 --> 0:37:18.279
<v Speaker 1>Instagram had happened here pod and cool Zone Media. You

0:37:18.280 --> 0:37:22.120
<v Speaker 1>can look at my unhinged chaos tweets at Hungry bow Tie.

0:37:22.560 --> 0:37:28.160
<v Speaker 1>Um yeah, nothing is true and everything is permitted. Also

0:37:28.320 --> 0:37:30.959
<v Speaker 1>at a skatinus is where I go to like sort

0:37:30.960 --> 0:37:35.560
<v Speaker 1>of ramble about politics and occasionally the occult and other things.

0:37:36.280 --> 0:37:38.120
<v Speaker 1>We do. We do. We do love a good we

0:37:38.160 --> 0:37:40.920
<v Speaker 1>do love a good ramble. All right, that that that

0:37:40.920 --> 0:37:59.399
<v Speaker 1>doesn't for us today, Uh, funk fascists, Nazi punks, fuck off, etcetera, etcetera, etcetera.

0:38:02.000 --> 0:38:05.239
<v Speaker 1>Welcome to it could happen here the only podcast where

0:38:05.239 --> 0:38:09.040
<v Speaker 1>the hosts asks all listeners and guests to provide their

0:38:09.080 --> 0:38:14.759
<v Speaker 1>Social Security number and bank account number, routing number, all

0:38:14.800 --> 0:38:18.600
<v Speaker 1>that good stuff. UM. This is a podcast about how

0:38:18.680 --> 0:38:21.279
<v Speaker 1>things aren't always great, uh, and maybe are kind of

0:38:21.280 --> 0:38:24.480
<v Speaker 1>falling apart a little bit. And and it has also

0:38:24.600 --> 0:38:29.000
<v Speaker 1>not been, for the most part, a podcast about the

0:38:29.080 --> 0:38:32.920
<v Speaker 1>expanded war in Ukraine. UM, for a variety of reasons.

0:38:33.200 --> 0:38:36.360
<v Speaker 1>We have done some coverage of that, but we've focused

0:38:36.400 --> 0:38:40.800
<v Speaker 1>specifically on stories of individual people and and that's generally

0:38:40.800 --> 0:38:43.800
<v Speaker 1>where I feel like our strength is as a program.

0:38:43.840 --> 0:38:46.359
<v Speaker 1>But people have been repeatedly requesting we do a little

0:38:46.360 --> 0:38:48.640
<v Speaker 1>bit of a bigger picture look at what's gone on

0:38:48.719 --> 0:38:51.759
<v Speaker 1>in that conflict, and so I have brought Aram Chambanian

0:38:52.280 --> 0:38:55.640
<v Speaker 1>into the studio. Aram, how are you doing, buddy? Oh?

0:38:55.719 --> 0:38:57.960
<v Speaker 1>Not too bad man? How you doing today? Fine and

0:38:58.040 --> 0:39:01.799
<v Speaker 1>dandy like sour candy. Now, would you describe kind of

0:39:01.880 --> 0:39:05.560
<v Speaker 1>your your who you are and what you do and

0:39:05.560 --> 0:39:09.120
<v Speaker 1>why why you're you're someone people should listen to when

0:39:09.160 --> 0:39:12.160
<v Speaker 1>we're talking about a conflict like this, because you are

0:39:12.239 --> 0:39:15.000
<v Speaker 1>one of the people who when everyone was like, there's

0:39:15.040 --> 0:39:18.759
<v Speaker 1>no way Russia will invade, was was saying, well, maybe

0:39:19.200 --> 0:39:23.120
<v Speaker 1>it might happen. Yeah, I mean, um well, I think

0:39:23.280 --> 0:39:25.319
<v Speaker 1>one of the things that that sets me aside from

0:39:25.320 --> 0:39:27.080
<v Speaker 1>a lot of other analysts out there is that I

0:39:27.120 --> 0:39:29.239
<v Speaker 1>never thought I would become an analyst, and I never

0:39:29.280 --> 0:39:32.040
<v Speaker 1>thought that I would do this. Um. I it wasn't

0:39:32.080 --> 0:39:34.160
<v Speaker 1>set in stone from me. From the beginning. I thought

0:39:34.160 --> 0:39:35.920
<v Speaker 1>I was going to be like a high school history teacher.

0:39:36.000 --> 0:39:38.920
<v Speaker 1>And so I've always studied the world in terms of

0:39:38.920 --> 0:39:41.520
<v Speaker 1>reading books on different conflicts around the world, and and

0:39:41.560 --> 0:39:44.920
<v Speaker 1>I've tried to keep appraised on where these books have

0:39:45.040 --> 0:39:46.960
<v Speaker 1>led to. Right, So if I read a book about

0:39:47.160 --> 0:39:50.200
<v Speaker 1>the Second Congo War, it makes sense to then follow

0:39:50.320 --> 0:39:52.920
<v Speaker 1>current events that are related to what happened after the

0:39:52.960 --> 0:39:56.239
<v Speaker 1>Second Congo War. As a result, I followed things going

0:39:56.280 --> 0:40:00.200
<v Speaker 1>on in Ukraine starting with year am I done? Um

0:40:00.200 --> 0:40:02.319
<v Speaker 1>and elsewhere in the world, But but Ukraine has been

0:40:02.360 --> 0:40:06.160
<v Speaker 1>one that I've focused on pretty heavily because um there's

0:40:06.160 --> 0:40:09.160
<v Speaker 1>been a lot of information about Ukraine ever since because

0:40:09.160 --> 0:40:12.240
<v Speaker 1>of how late the war happened in terms of human history,

0:40:12.400 --> 0:40:16.560
<v Speaker 1>and in terms of recent conflicts, isn't that long ago?

0:40:17.160 --> 0:40:20.839
<v Speaker 1>UM and so uh, I started following it back then.

0:40:20.960 --> 0:40:25.360
<v Speaker 1>And I think that if you combine modern open source tools,

0:40:25.600 --> 0:40:29.200
<v Speaker 1>modern technology, some of the stuff that organizations like Belling

0:40:29.239 --> 0:40:32.960
<v Speaker 1>Cat can do with traditional research and and and knowledge

0:40:33.040 --> 0:40:35.319
<v Speaker 1>some of the stuff that I've done in school, you

0:40:35.400 --> 0:40:39.879
<v Speaker 1>have a really powerful tool to combat disinformation. UM. And

0:40:39.920 --> 0:40:41.120
<v Speaker 1>I think that's one of the best tools we have

0:40:41.160 --> 0:40:45.320
<v Speaker 1>to combat disinformation is wedding oh sent with traditional research UM.

0:40:45.680 --> 0:40:49.440
<v Speaker 1>And Yeah, when it comes to open source intelligence, UM,

0:40:50.719 --> 0:40:52.560
<v Speaker 1>the Ukrainian War is actually kind of one of the

0:40:52.680 --> 0:40:55.319
<v Speaker 1>It's not the conflict where that really started to become

0:40:55.320 --> 0:40:57.239
<v Speaker 1>a thing. That would probably be the Libyan Civil War

0:40:57.360 --> 0:41:01.040
<v Speaker 1>when when that UM big and to be something people

0:41:01.040 --> 0:41:03.880
<v Speaker 1>were talking about in a big way. But the Ukrainian

0:41:04.520 --> 0:41:08.080
<v Speaker 1>the invasion of Ukraine by Russia in particular in two

0:41:08.080 --> 0:41:12.560
<v Speaker 1>thousand fourteen, UM is really where open source intelligence kind

0:41:12.560 --> 0:41:16.399
<v Speaker 1>of came into its own in a really widely known way.

0:41:16.400 --> 0:41:20.600
<v Speaker 1>That's when Belling Cats reporting on the downing of MH

0:41:20.640 --> 0:41:22.520
<v Speaker 1>on seven like went out, and that was kind of

0:41:22.560 --> 0:41:28.000
<v Speaker 1>like the first first really huge international story involving like

0:41:28.080 --> 0:41:32.840
<v Speaker 1>open source intelligent cracking a case. Um, and now since

0:41:32.960 --> 0:41:37.239
<v Speaker 1>the expanded invasion of Russia back in February, we've kind

0:41:37.239 --> 0:41:40.800
<v Speaker 1>of entered and again this isn't really where this period started,

0:41:40.840 --> 0:41:43.759
<v Speaker 1>but this has been kind of we've seen an explosion

0:41:43.880 --> 0:41:46.040
<v Speaker 1>of what I think would be fair to call open

0:41:46.080 --> 0:41:52.600
<v Speaker 1>source intelligence disinformation. Um. Yeah, you want to talk a

0:41:52.640 --> 0:41:54.799
<v Speaker 1>little bit about kind of some of the stuff that

0:41:54.840 --> 0:41:57.240
<v Speaker 1>you've seen, because there's there's a number of accounts claiming

0:41:57.280 --> 0:42:00.640
<v Speaker 1>to be doing os and on the Ukrainian war, um,

0:42:00.680 --> 0:42:04.279
<v Speaker 1>and boy howdy, they are not all giving out good information,

0:42:04.360 --> 0:42:07.279
<v Speaker 1>and it can be difficult for people to tell what

0:42:07.320 --> 0:42:09.719
<v Speaker 1>they should trust because if you're if you're kind of

0:42:09.760 --> 0:42:13.319
<v Speaker 1>just scanning over it, bad ocean or even outright fake

0:42:13.320 --> 0:42:16.879
<v Speaker 1>ocean can look very similar to good ocean, right and

0:42:16.880 --> 0:42:19.120
<v Speaker 1>and so I would put a lot of the ocean

0:42:19.200 --> 0:42:24.839
<v Speaker 1>community into four rough categories. Uh there's uh osan analysts

0:42:24.840 --> 0:42:27.520
<v Speaker 1>and those are pretty rare. Those are the kind of

0:42:27.520 --> 0:42:30.239
<v Speaker 1>people who combine what they're seeing in real time on

0:42:30.320 --> 0:42:33.600
<v Speaker 1>social media with a background of knowledge in the area.

0:42:33.680 --> 0:42:37.160
<v Speaker 1>So like a Ukraine regional expert combining that with what

0:42:37.200 --> 0:42:40.400
<v Speaker 1>they're seeing happen in Ukraine. That's an ocean analyst. There's

0:42:40.440 --> 0:42:43.879
<v Speaker 1>some Twitter accounts that are more ocean aggregators. They don't

0:42:43.920 --> 0:42:46.279
<v Speaker 1>really have much analysis that put into what they're what

0:42:46.280 --> 0:42:49.200
<v Speaker 1>they're producing, but they spit out a lot of information

0:42:49.360 --> 0:42:51.680
<v Speaker 1>in real time, and so if you follow the right

0:42:51.760 --> 0:42:54.640
<v Speaker 1>ones that use the right sources, you can get some

0:42:54.719 --> 0:42:57.759
<v Speaker 1>pretty decent information from them. Then there's more of the

0:42:57.840 --> 0:43:00.840
<v Speaker 1>misinformation aggregators, which are accounts that just kind of spread

0:43:00.840 --> 0:43:03.520
<v Speaker 1>whatever they see without regards to whether it's true or not.

0:43:04.080 --> 0:43:09.600
<v Speaker 1>Um they'll sensationalized stories. You know, if there's the uh

0:43:09.680 --> 0:43:12.360
<v Speaker 1>a rare command and control plane takes off somewhere in

0:43:12.360 --> 0:43:15.560
<v Speaker 1>America that's known as the doomsday plane during the Cold War,

0:43:15.840 --> 0:43:17.799
<v Speaker 1>they'll tweet out the doomsday plane is in the air.

0:43:17.920 --> 0:43:21.160
<v Speaker 1>Doesn't mean the clear war right, And they're not doing

0:43:21.200 --> 0:43:23.400
<v Speaker 1>it to be hurtful, they're doing it for likes. And

0:43:23.440 --> 0:43:27.080
<v Speaker 1>then there's disinformation aggregators who are deliberately out there trying

0:43:27.080 --> 0:43:30.439
<v Speaker 1>to sow discord and so problems. And those are four

0:43:30.480 --> 0:43:32.520
<v Speaker 1>categories that I've seen all of them develop in their

0:43:32.560 --> 0:43:36.080
<v Speaker 1>own ways in the last ten years. UM. I think

0:43:36.120 --> 0:43:40.040
<v Speaker 1>the best best example of that final category, there's an

0:43:40.040 --> 0:43:43.520
<v Speaker 1>account on Twitter called s MM Syria and If you

0:43:43.560 --> 0:43:46.360
<v Speaker 1>look at the account, it looks almost identical to the

0:43:46.400 --> 0:43:50.680
<v Speaker 1>os CES Special Monitoring Mission to Ukraine. It takes the

0:43:50.719 --> 0:43:52.640
<v Speaker 1>same kind of graphics and it has the same kind

0:43:52.640 --> 0:43:57.080
<v Speaker 1>of terminology, but it's an assaddist disinformation outlet and so

0:43:57.280 --> 0:44:00.040
<v Speaker 1>but they've woven their way into if you just like

0:44:00.120 --> 0:44:02.440
<v Speaker 1>a casual glance at the war in Syria, you might

0:44:02.520 --> 0:44:05.879
<v Speaker 1>believe that it's a valid source. And that's the kind

0:44:05.920 --> 0:44:08.800
<v Speaker 1>of more malicious disinformation that I'm talking about, where like

0:44:09.120 --> 0:44:11.799
<v Speaker 1>they know what they're doing and they're trying to confuse people,

0:44:12.480 --> 0:44:15.160
<v Speaker 1>and it's there's you know, I think one of the

0:44:15.239 --> 0:44:20.080
<v Speaker 1>best examples of something that really struck me recently as

0:44:20.160 --> 0:44:22.600
<v Speaker 1>problematic in in the war in Ukraine, as you've got

0:44:22.640 --> 0:44:26.520
<v Speaker 1>a video going around um of that purports to show

0:44:26.800 --> 0:44:32.200
<v Speaker 1>Ukrainian soldiers shooting captured Russian soldiers um which is a

0:44:32.239 --> 0:44:35.480
<v Speaker 1>war crime. And uh, I think credible people within the

0:44:35.560 --> 0:44:38.839
<v Speaker 1>Ocean community have said this is something that desperately needs

0:44:38.880 --> 0:44:42.560
<v Speaker 1>to be investigated more seriously. This this like is very

0:44:42.960 --> 0:44:45.239
<v Speaker 1>has a very good chance of being legitimate and people

0:44:45.239 --> 0:44:48.280
<v Speaker 1>should be looking into this. Whereas you've also seen folks

0:44:48.320 --> 0:44:52.560
<v Speaker 1>who kind of reflectively jumped to defend Ukraine against these

0:44:52.560 --> 0:44:56.360
<v Speaker 1>allegations putting out what I think is fairly shoddy ocean

0:44:56.640 --> 0:44:59.360
<v Speaker 1>claiming to show like issues with the video and stuff,

0:44:59.400 --> 0:45:02.719
<v Speaker 1>and it's like circling blurry sections of the video and

0:45:02.880 --> 0:45:04.799
<v Speaker 1>saying like this is you know, looks like it could

0:45:04.800 --> 0:45:07.040
<v Speaker 1>be edited, or this doesn't look credible, and it is

0:45:07.120 --> 0:45:09.799
<v Speaker 1>the kind of thing. I think One reason people can

0:45:09.840 --> 0:45:12.400
<v Speaker 1>get tripped up by that is prior to the invasion

0:45:12.440 --> 0:45:15.080
<v Speaker 1>of Ukraine, there were some Russian false flag events that

0:45:15.200 --> 0:45:18.720
<v Speaker 1>involved like cadavers, bodies that had been autopsy and stuff,

0:45:18.719 --> 0:45:21.000
<v Speaker 1>which was broken down by people like Elliot Higgins at

0:45:21.040 --> 0:45:23.520
<v Speaker 1>Belling cat Um and one of the things that again

0:45:23.640 --> 0:45:25.719
<v Speaker 1>if you're just kind of looking at the surface level,

0:45:26.040 --> 0:45:28.560
<v Speaker 1>you can see like, oh, well that those were videos

0:45:28.640 --> 0:45:31.359
<v Speaker 1>that were faked, and so these like the o cent

0:45:31.480 --> 0:45:33.960
<v Speaker 1>around this people like pointing out different sections of the

0:45:34.040 --> 0:45:37.920
<v Speaker 1>video looks the same. Some of the differences are for example, Um,

0:45:38.239 --> 0:45:41.479
<v Speaker 1>when they were analyzing the bodies and those those false

0:45:41.520 --> 0:45:47.560
<v Speaker 1>flag footage, they brought in actual you know, corpse cutter ruppers, morticians, yes,

0:45:47.760 --> 0:45:50.400
<v Speaker 1>to analyze like the cuts in the in the skulls

0:45:50.480 --> 0:45:53.040
<v Speaker 1>and whatnot, as opposed to again just kind of a

0:45:53.080 --> 0:45:55.400
<v Speaker 1>guy circling aspects of a video and being like this

0:45:55.520 --> 0:45:58.239
<v Speaker 1>doesn't seem right, and it's like, um, but you can

0:45:58.320 --> 0:46:00.320
<v Speaker 1>I can see why people get tripped up by it,

0:46:00.480 --> 0:46:02.840
<v Speaker 1>and it it is important not to get tripped up

0:46:02.880 --> 0:46:06.080
<v Speaker 1>by that kind of stuff because um, war crimes are bad,

0:46:06.480 --> 0:46:08.759
<v Speaker 1>I think is a general attitude that we we both

0:46:08.840 --> 0:46:12.560
<v Speaker 1>share um and and should be investigated regardless of like

0:46:12.719 --> 0:46:15.879
<v Speaker 1>whether or not they're being done by the side who's

0:46:15.880 --> 0:46:18.600
<v Speaker 1>also towing Russian tanks away with tractors. That you're you're

0:46:18.640 --> 0:46:20.879
<v Speaker 1>on the side of right, like right, And I think

0:46:20.920 --> 0:46:24.080
<v Speaker 1>that that's that's exactly an important distinction to because like,

0:46:24.680 --> 0:46:26.920
<v Speaker 1>there are certain claims that have come out from the

0:46:27.040 --> 0:46:29.839
<v Speaker 1>Ukrainian side, certain statements that have come out that as

0:46:29.920 --> 0:46:33.360
<v Speaker 1>an osan analyst, I could probably look into more and

0:46:33.560 --> 0:46:36.160
<v Speaker 1>maybe poke holes and stuff like the number of kills

0:46:36.280 --> 0:46:40.560
<v Speaker 1>that the ghost of keys, right, Okay, maybe it's not

0:46:40.760 --> 0:46:42.600
<v Speaker 1>thirty kills or whatever it is that people are saying,

0:46:42.760 --> 0:46:47.680
<v Speaker 1>maybe he's not really, but that's not harmful as much

0:46:47.800 --> 0:46:50.960
<v Speaker 1>as did these guys shoot people in the legs? Right? Right?

0:46:51.040 --> 0:46:54.360
<v Speaker 1>So one of those bears examination just because of the

0:46:54.480 --> 0:46:56.840
<v Speaker 1>nature of the claim. The other one maybe we can

0:46:56.920 --> 0:46:59.600
<v Speaker 1>examine it after the war when it's not it doesn't

0:46:59.640 --> 0:47:03.320
<v Speaker 1>really matter. If there is a Ukrainian ace fighter pilot

0:47:03.360 --> 0:47:05.920
<v Speaker 1>who's dropped a bunch of a crazy number like obviously

0:47:05.920 --> 0:47:08.520
<v Speaker 1>in a military sense of Russian jets are being down to,

0:47:08.640 --> 0:47:11.600
<v Speaker 1>that doesn't matter. But like from the perspective of people

0:47:11.719 --> 0:47:15.640
<v Speaker 1>just kind of observing this war as as news consumers,

0:47:15.719 --> 0:47:18.480
<v Speaker 1>it doesn't really matter, whereas whether or not a country

0:47:18.560 --> 0:47:22.080
<v Speaker 1>gets away with a war crime absolutely matters, and people

0:47:22.120 --> 0:47:24.680
<v Speaker 1>are treating it with the same reflective handwave as they

0:47:24.719 --> 0:47:28.440
<v Speaker 1>do when they accept these ghost of Kiev yes myths. Right,

0:47:28.600 --> 0:47:30.440
<v Speaker 1>they're saying like, well, no, but I want the Ukrainian

0:47:30.480 --> 0:47:32.960
<v Speaker 1>side to win this war, so we can't even look

0:47:33.000 --> 0:47:35.120
<v Speaker 1>into any claims of war crimes. And that's just not

0:47:35.160 --> 0:47:38.280
<v Speaker 1>how it's supposed to be. Like you condemn the crimes

0:47:38.400 --> 0:47:41.760
<v Speaker 1>up front, and you investigate and you try to move forward,

0:47:41.880 --> 0:47:44.320
<v Speaker 1>and that's how we prove that we're better than the

0:47:44.400 --> 0:47:47.919
<v Speaker 1>opposing side. Like that's that's been the rule in this war,

0:47:48.080 --> 0:47:50.000
<v Speaker 1>and it's been the rule in war's past. You know,

0:47:50.320 --> 0:47:52.680
<v Speaker 1>you you prove that you're better than your opponents by

0:47:52.800 --> 0:47:56.839
<v Speaker 1>being more decent. Yeah, and it's it's I have seen

0:47:56.920 --> 0:47:59.960
<v Speaker 1>some really unsettling logic from some people along the line

0:48:00.160 --> 0:48:03.400
<v Speaker 1>of like, well, these were artillerymen who have been you know,

0:48:03.520 --> 0:48:06.919
<v Speaker 1>shelling civilian areas, so why shouldn't they be be shot

0:48:06.960 --> 0:48:09.239
<v Speaker 1>in the leg? And the answer is because, like that's

0:48:09.320 --> 0:48:12.480
<v Speaker 1>number one, it is a war crime to shoot captured prisoners.

0:48:12.640 --> 0:48:14.800
<v Speaker 1>Likely that that is a thing that we as a

0:48:15.040 --> 0:48:18.920
<v Speaker 1>as a species have attempted to make illegal um and

0:48:19.239 --> 0:48:20.920
<v Speaker 1>problems and ought to be it is a thing that

0:48:21.080 --> 0:48:22.759
<v Speaker 1>like should not be done. And there's actually of a

0:48:22.800 --> 0:48:25.840
<v Speaker 1>wide variety of like tactical reasons why it's bad for Ukraine.

0:48:26.120 --> 0:48:29.360
<v Speaker 1>If Russian soldiers believe they will be shot after being captured,

0:48:29.440 --> 0:48:31.839
<v Speaker 1>it makes, among other things, it makes soldiers less likely

0:48:31.920 --> 0:48:35.640
<v Speaker 1>to turn themselves in. UM. One of the wiser decisions

0:48:35.719 --> 0:48:37.799
<v Speaker 1>that the Ukrainian government has made in this war has

0:48:37.880 --> 0:48:42.920
<v Speaker 1>been really deliberately pushing um the idea that like, hey, Russians,

0:48:43.000 --> 0:48:46.719
<v Speaker 1>if you surrender, will pay you, you can get Ukrainian citizenship,

0:48:46.880 --> 0:48:49.280
<v Speaker 1>Like bring in your tanks, you know, land your planes

0:48:49.360 --> 0:48:51.600
<v Speaker 1>or whatever, like, well, you know, we'll make it worth

0:48:51.680 --> 0:48:55.920
<v Speaker 1>your while. Um, which is a lot which is potentially

0:48:56.000 --> 0:48:59.319
<v Speaker 1>a force multiplier, right, UM, If Russian soldiers think when

0:48:59.360 --> 0:49:01.600
<v Speaker 1>I get captured, they will shoot me. Then they will

0:49:01.640 --> 0:49:04.000
<v Speaker 1>fight to the death, and Ukraine will lose more people

0:49:04.520 --> 0:49:07.439
<v Speaker 1>in that fight, as opposed to if Russian soldiers think, well, ship,

0:49:07.520 --> 0:49:10.000
<v Speaker 1>I could actually have a pretty decent life if I

0:49:10.120 --> 0:49:12.319
<v Speaker 1>just turned myself into these guys and refused to fight.

0:49:12.719 --> 0:49:15.800
<v Speaker 1>That means less people you have to fight. Um. So

0:49:15.920 --> 0:49:18.920
<v Speaker 1>it it does. It does really matter whether or not

0:49:19.200 --> 0:49:23.320
<v Speaker 1>this is happening. Um. And it's also just like on

0:49:23.400 --> 0:49:25.520
<v Speaker 1>a moral level, you you shouldn't accept it. And I

0:49:25.600 --> 0:49:27.640
<v Speaker 1>see some really I think one of the things that

0:49:27.880 --> 0:49:31.520
<v Speaker 1>I find so unsettling about that logic like these are uh,

0:49:31.920 --> 0:49:35.120
<v Speaker 1>these are you know, artillerymen who have been targeting civilian areas.

0:49:35.120 --> 0:49:37.920
<v Speaker 1>Why shouldn't they be shot? Um, it's not that much

0:49:37.960 --> 0:49:40.120
<v Speaker 1>of a leap to like some other ship we saw

0:49:40.200 --> 0:49:43.520
<v Speaker 1>people saying in Vietnam, you know, these villages are harboring insurgents.

0:49:43.560 --> 0:49:45.800
<v Speaker 1>Why shouldn't we treat them like the enemy? You know,

0:49:45.960 --> 0:49:49.040
<v Speaker 1>Like all of this logic leads to people getting murdered

0:49:49.040 --> 0:49:53.000
<v Speaker 1>who don't deserve to get murdered, and that is bad. Right.

0:49:53.120 --> 0:49:55.520
<v Speaker 1>There's the snowball effect, the slippery slope effect with the

0:49:55.600 --> 0:49:57.080
<v Speaker 1>moral side of it, and then like you're saying the

0:49:57.120 --> 0:49:59.120
<v Speaker 1>practical side of it. I mean, if you look at

0:50:00.040 --> 0:50:02.560
<v Speaker 1>part of the reason members of ISIS fought so hard

0:50:02.600 --> 0:50:06.400
<v Speaker 1>in places like most of which because once you're in

0:50:06.480 --> 0:50:09.040
<v Speaker 1>that organization, your options are a bullet or like a

0:50:09.200 --> 0:50:12.279
<v Speaker 1>desert cell. If you're lucky, they're not going to treat

0:50:12.320 --> 0:50:14.920
<v Speaker 1>you well and reintegrate you into society. Come on, like, no,

0:50:15.239 --> 0:50:17.279
<v Speaker 1>that's not how it works, so you fight like hell,

0:50:18.120 --> 0:50:20.959
<v Speaker 1>you know that's that's a very basic rule. That's pretty

0:50:20.960 --> 0:50:24.400
<v Speaker 1>easy to understand, I would think. So that's why this

0:50:24.480 --> 0:50:26.800
<v Speaker 1>needs to be looked into. And if it's proven false,

0:50:28.120 --> 0:50:30.439
<v Speaker 1>if it's proven it to not be a correct true video,

0:50:30.960 --> 0:50:32.880
<v Speaker 1>that just strengthens the Ukrainian side. But if it is

0:50:32.920 --> 0:50:35.000
<v Speaker 1>proven to be true, it's something that needs to be investigated.

0:50:35.040 --> 0:50:37.160
<v Speaker 1>It can't be overlooked. It can't be swept under the

0:50:37.239 --> 0:50:39.680
<v Speaker 1>under the rug. Just because we we want one side

0:50:39.719 --> 0:50:41.880
<v Speaker 1>of this war to come out on top doesn't mean

0:50:41.920 --> 0:50:45.520
<v Speaker 1>that we have to ignore you're committing Like one, A

0:50:45.840 --> 0:50:48.879
<v Speaker 1>good rule of thumb to approach a war from when

0:50:48.920 --> 0:50:52.200
<v Speaker 1>you're trying to analyze it is that there there has

0:50:52.280 --> 0:50:54.560
<v Speaker 1>never been a side in a war who have not

0:50:54.719 --> 0:50:58.600
<v Speaker 1>committed war crimes. Um. So that should always be on

0:50:58.640 --> 0:51:00.640
<v Speaker 1>your mind when you're trying to evaluate the reality of

0:51:00.680 --> 0:51:02.040
<v Speaker 1>a war crame. It doesn't mean every claim of a

0:51:02.080 --> 0:51:04.560
<v Speaker 1>war crime is true. That would be a very silly

0:51:04.600 --> 0:51:06.440
<v Speaker 1>way to translate that. But it does mean that when

0:51:06.840 --> 0:51:09.040
<v Speaker 1>there is a claim that the side you support has

0:51:09.080 --> 0:51:11.719
<v Speaker 1>been responsible for a war crime, your default should be

0:51:12.040 --> 0:51:15.080
<v Speaker 1>this is not impossible, and I should I should proceed

0:51:15.160 --> 0:51:17.239
<v Speaker 1>from the area that this could have happened, and and

0:51:17.360 --> 0:51:21.040
<v Speaker 1>it should be analyzed without reflectively dismissing it, and also

0:51:21.120 --> 0:51:23.640
<v Speaker 1>without saying that like war crimes committed by a group

0:51:23.719 --> 0:51:26.080
<v Speaker 1>of soldiers in a single part of a theater necessarily

0:51:26.200 --> 0:51:29.800
<v Speaker 1>mean that the the war itself is being prosecuted in

0:51:29.840 --> 0:51:33.080
<v Speaker 1>a criminal level by that government. Um. Because for example, well,

0:51:33.080 --> 0:51:36.360
<v Speaker 1>I mean I was about to say U. S. Soldiers

0:51:36.360 --> 0:51:38.880
<v Speaker 1>committed war crimes in World War Two, but actually the

0:51:38.960 --> 0:51:40.920
<v Speaker 1>prosecution of that war was criminal in a lot of

0:51:40.960 --> 0:51:47.960
<v Speaker 1>fundamental ways. But it does. That doesn't mean that like

0:51:48.160 --> 0:51:51.520
<v Speaker 1>your granddad committed war crimes because other U. S. Soldiers

0:51:51.560 --> 0:51:56.799
<v Speaker 1>who were in the field executed captured German POW's you know, um, Yeah,

0:51:57.239 --> 0:51:59.000
<v Speaker 1>which I think is something people have an easier time

0:51:59.080 --> 0:52:01.879
<v Speaker 1>understanding and it's not a war. They feel the need

0:52:01.960 --> 0:52:05.719
<v Speaker 1>to have a series of character or less takes on

0:52:05.920 --> 0:52:09.880
<v Speaker 1>in Twitter. Yeah, it's That's the weirdest thing about about

0:52:10.200 --> 0:52:13.880
<v Speaker 1>the social media age and and kind of sent in general,

0:52:14.040 --> 0:52:17.279
<v Speaker 1>is that while it does make it very accessible and

0:52:17.400 --> 0:52:21.960
<v Speaker 1>easy for anybody to get involved in investigating these crimes

0:52:22.000 --> 0:52:24.920
<v Speaker 1>and these events, it also means that everybody thinks they

0:52:24.920 --> 0:52:28.080
<v Speaker 1>have an opinion that matters on it and uh and

0:52:28.280 --> 0:52:30.799
<v Speaker 1>and in that sense, they muddy the waters. They they

0:52:31.360 --> 0:52:34.520
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people can can imitate the ocent look

0:52:34.600 --> 0:52:38.000
<v Speaker 1>pretty well. They can circle things in pictures that look similar,

0:52:38.200 --> 0:52:40.600
<v Speaker 1>or as we saw in Syria, a lot they'd take

0:52:40.680 --> 0:52:44.160
<v Speaker 1>two pictures of two totally different dudes and say these

0:52:44.200 --> 0:52:46.160
<v Speaker 1>are the same guy, they're both members of Al Nustra

0:52:46.560 --> 0:52:49.760
<v Speaker 1>are something like that, and they would compare the eyes

0:52:49.800 --> 0:52:51.680
<v Speaker 1>and compare the chins and stuff, and it looks kind

0:52:51.680 --> 0:52:54.520
<v Speaker 1>of like a belling cat image, but it wasn't right.

0:52:56.560 --> 0:52:59.600
<v Speaker 1>That's the danger here is that like everybody can can help,

0:52:59.680 --> 0:53:01.919
<v Speaker 1>but every what he can hurt now too, Yeah, yeah,

0:53:01.960 --> 0:53:05.920
<v Speaker 1>And it's one of those things, every every aspect of

0:53:06.000 --> 0:53:09.320
<v Speaker 1>this cuts both ways, because like the thing people started saying. Rightfully,

0:53:09.400 --> 0:53:12.600
<v Speaker 1>so after the invasion or the expanded invasion I should

0:53:12.640 --> 0:53:15.399
<v Speaker 1>say of Ukraine by Russia is like, well, now all

0:53:15.440 --> 0:53:17.919
<v Speaker 1>of these people who were experts in whatever the last

0:53:17.960 --> 0:53:19.960
<v Speaker 1>big story was are going to become experts on the

0:53:20.080 --> 0:53:22.880
<v Speaker 1>Ukrainian conflict, right, which is absolutely a thing that happened.

0:53:22.880 --> 0:53:24.480
<v Speaker 1>You get all of these people who I think are

0:53:25.239 --> 0:53:28.680
<v Speaker 1>pretty bad journalists and reporters who suddenly like rushed to

0:53:28.880 --> 0:53:30.880
<v Speaker 1>to have their commentary on this thing that they have

0:53:30.920 --> 0:53:34.320
<v Speaker 1>ignored for the last eight years. Um. But at the

0:53:34.400 --> 0:53:37.200
<v Speaker 1>same time, it's to talk about Belling Cat. The founder

0:53:37.280 --> 0:53:39.960
<v Speaker 1>of Belling Cat, my old boss, Elliott Higgins, was like

0:53:40.200 --> 0:53:43.480
<v Speaker 1>literally an unemployed dude sitting on his couch when he

0:53:43.560 --> 0:53:47.160
<v Speaker 1>started analyzing war footage um and is now one of

0:53:47.320 --> 0:53:50.800
<v Speaker 1>the most respected conflict analysts in the world. UM. And

0:53:50.920 --> 0:53:53.480
<v Speaker 1>that is a thing the Internet has made possible. UM.

0:53:53.560 --> 0:53:56.880
<v Speaker 1>I think a great example would be the Caliber Obscura Twitter,

0:53:57.000 --> 0:53:59.480
<v Speaker 1>which is just like a dude in the UK who

0:53:59.600 --> 0:54:04.760
<v Speaker 1>has an almost impossible ability to recognize firearms and pieces

0:54:04.800 --> 0:54:08.960
<v Speaker 1>of firearms and so just analyzes people send him footage

0:54:09.000 --> 0:54:10.880
<v Speaker 1>from all over the planet and he'll say, like, these

0:54:10.880 --> 0:54:12.480
<v Speaker 1>are these guns? And this is where they came from.

0:54:12.560 --> 0:54:14.840
<v Speaker 1>And this is uh, this one is like looks like

0:54:14.920 --> 0:54:18.279
<v Speaker 1>this kind of gun, but it's actually, um, a fake

0:54:18.360 --> 0:54:20.640
<v Speaker 1>one that's being made locally in this country, and it

0:54:20.760 --> 0:54:22.120
<v Speaker 1>is supposed to look like this. And you can tell

0:54:22.160 --> 0:54:25.759
<v Speaker 1>because like, um, that's not a person who Caliber did

0:54:25.840 --> 0:54:29.000
<v Speaker 1>not like go to some sort of fancy gun school.

0:54:29.080 --> 0:54:32.200
<v Speaker 1>They just are Uh. I mean, it's definitely not right

0:54:32.200 --> 0:54:34.239
<v Speaker 1>to call them an amateur because quite frankly, I don't

0:54:34.280 --> 0:54:37.319
<v Speaker 1>know any people who are working at institutes and better

0:54:37.400 --> 0:54:40.560
<v Speaker 1>at the thing that Caliber does than Caliber is right, Um,

0:54:40.600 --> 0:54:42.640
<v Speaker 1>But they did just start as a person on Twitter.

0:54:42.800 --> 0:54:45.440
<v Speaker 1>You know. Well, that's the thing about this, this is

0:54:45.520 --> 0:54:48.919
<v Speaker 1>that you get people who were not kind of born

0:54:49.040 --> 0:54:51.280
<v Speaker 1>with an idea that they were going to become analysts

0:54:51.320 --> 0:54:54.120
<v Speaker 1>and in this field. And so you have people like

0:54:54.400 --> 0:54:56.680
<v Speaker 1>both of both of the people you mentioned, whom I

0:54:56.840 --> 0:54:59.080
<v Speaker 1>I know personal I don't know Elliott personally, but I

0:54:59.160 --> 0:55:02.239
<v Speaker 1>remember him for our days are shared days on a

0:55:02.360 --> 0:55:06.800
<v Speaker 1>comedy website together. It's the website that show remained nameless,

0:55:08.560 --> 0:55:13.120
<v Speaker 1>right Um. And then and then you know, uh, Caliber

0:55:13.160 --> 0:55:15.200
<v Speaker 1>and I have talked on Twitter a bunch, and you

0:55:15.239 --> 0:55:17.080
<v Speaker 1>know we're friends there and it's just interesting to see that,

0:55:17.120 --> 0:55:20.400
<v Speaker 1>like both of them are very real people behind like

0:55:20.560 --> 0:55:24.799
<v Speaker 1>their professional personality and their their expertise, they're also down

0:55:24.880 --> 0:55:27.680
<v Speaker 1>to earth, real people, which is rare in this field

0:55:27.719 --> 0:55:30.480
<v Speaker 1>because a lot of people are kind of elitist. Um

0:55:30.680 --> 0:55:34.520
<v Speaker 1>and and and yeah Gatekeeper and neither of them are

0:55:34.640 --> 0:55:37.080
<v Speaker 1>about that. They're both all about like getting as many

0:55:37.120 --> 0:55:40.319
<v Speaker 1>people doing this as possible because more eyes are better, Like, yeah,

0:55:40.960 --> 0:55:43.040
<v Speaker 1>Elliott is is uh, I mean, the whole reason my

0:55:43.160 --> 0:55:45.920
<v Speaker 1>career with Belling Cat existed is because, like I emailed

0:55:45.960 --> 0:55:47.480
<v Speaker 1>him out of the blue one day and said, hey,

0:55:47.520 --> 0:55:50.360
<v Speaker 1>I've been noticing this weird thing in videos of fascists

0:55:50.960 --> 0:55:52.960
<v Speaker 1>talking to cops. Can I write a thing for you?

0:55:53.200 --> 0:55:55.640
<v Speaker 1>And he was just like okay, And and that was

0:55:55.880 --> 0:55:57.960
<v Speaker 1>I mean, like that was how that started. Um And

0:55:58.080 --> 0:56:00.719
<v Speaker 1>he's I've met him since a couple at times, and yeah,

0:56:00.760 --> 0:56:04.360
<v Speaker 1>it is a very I think is very informed. Because

0:56:04.440 --> 0:56:06.600
<v Speaker 1>of the fact that he did not come from sort

0:56:06.600 --> 0:56:10.240
<v Speaker 1>of this big institutional background. UM has has a humility

0:56:10.520 --> 0:56:14.439
<v Speaker 1>with which he approaches his investigations that, uh, I think

0:56:15.239 --> 0:56:17.480
<v Speaker 1>is one of the things you should look for in

0:56:17.600 --> 0:56:20.880
<v Speaker 1>trying to decide whether or not open source intelligence that

0:56:20.920 --> 0:56:23.879
<v Speaker 1>you're seeing on Twitter. Whatever is credible is how how

0:56:24.760 --> 0:56:28.319
<v Speaker 1>how conclusive are they stating their claims? Are? How many

0:56:28.400 --> 0:56:30.800
<v Speaker 1>times do they offer only a single possibility for what

0:56:31.000 --> 0:56:33.960
<v Speaker 1>something is? Like? Um, you know, there's a number of

0:56:34.000 --> 0:56:36.279
<v Speaker 1>things you can do. I think at this point we

0:56:36.280 --> 0:56:39.600
<v Speaker 1>should probably move to a separate area of discussion, which

0:56:39.680 --> 0:56:46.840
<v Speaker 1>is how's the how's this war going? Who, who's who's winning? What? Um? Well, so,

0:56:47.000 --> 0:56:51.040
<v Speaker 1>I I made a statement on my Facebook page, my

0:56:51.160 --> 0:56:53.919
<v Speaker 1>personal Facebook page, three weeks ago, and I still feel

0:56:53.960 --> 0:56:57.040
<v Speaker 1>confident in that statement, and that is that well, Ukraine

0:56:57.120 --> 0:57:00.839
<v Speaker 1>has yet to win this war. Sha has already lost.

0:57:01.040 --> 0:57:04.400
<v Speaker 1>They've already lost their objectives, They've already lost what they

0:57:04.560 --> 0:57:06.239
<v Speaker 1>what their goals were. And at this point it's a

0:57:06.320 --> 0:57:09.400
<v Speaker 1>face saving venture on the Russian part. But a raum um.

0:57:10.239 --> 0:57:14.279
<v Speaker 1>Russia carried out a cutting faint action to distract while

0:57:14.320 --> 0:57:17.080
<v Speaker 1>they while they took the East by burning a fifth

0:57:17.120 --> 0:57:20.040
<v Speaker 1>of their general staff and all of their armored vehicles.

0:57:20.680 --> 0:57:23.400
<v Speaker 1>It was a cunning fat Yeah I saw someone on

0:57:23.520 --> 0:57:29.200
<v Speaker 1>Twitter positive actually uh a move to use up all

0:57:29.200 --> 0:57:35.440
<v Speaker 1>of Ukraine's ammunition. Brilliant, Yeah, just very very zab Brannigan logic.

0:57:35.880 --> 0:57:41.440
<v Speaker 1>Half of Vladimir Putin. Ukrainians have a preset kill limit

0:57:41.480 --> 0:57:44.479
<v Speaker 1>and once they hit ten generals, the army will shut down.

0:57:46.760 --> 0:57:48.480
<v Speaker 1>But no, the war is not going well for Russia.

0:57:48.960 --> 0:57:51.120
<v Speaker 1>Um and that's not to say that it's going great

0:57:51.160 --> 0:57:54.960
<v Speaker 1>for Ukraine either, but no one needs to do less

0:57:55.040 --> 0:58:01.200
<v Speaker 1>well to succeed here. Yes, it's a I mean because

0:58:01.240 --> 0:58:02.920
<v Speaker 1>one of the things that is a black box, right.

0:58:03.040 --> 0:58:05.800
<v Speaker 1>I do think because there was a lot of discussion

0:58:05.880 --> 0:58:08.040
<v Speaker 1>earlier in the ward, particularly like how credible are these

0:58:08.120 --> 0:58:10.920
<v Speaker 1>numbers that the Ukrainian government is putting out for for

0:58:11.040 --> 0:58:14.520
<v Speaker 1>dead and for destroyed vehicles? And I think the oceans

0:58:14.960 --> 0:58:18.160
<v Speaker 1>out there, like the verified vehicle casualties and stuff that

0:58:18.160 --> 0:58:21.040
<v Speaker 1>we can verify, means that like obviously the Ukrainian government

0:58:21.160 --> 0:58:24.080
<v Speaker 1>is patting their numbers, but not by as much as

0:58:24.160 --> 0:58:27.280
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people might have, like it's not wildly off.

0:58:28.360 --> 0:58:31.080
<v Speaker 1>Saw their first casualty account. I think first casual account.

0:58:31.080 --> 0:58:35.920
<v Speaker 1>I think it was like day two or three, and

0:58:36.000 --> 0:58:38.080
<v Speaker 1>then like all of the western and held me. Yeah,

0:58:38.520 --> 0:58:44.360
<v Speaker 1>actually yeah, it's probably about two Oh my god. Wow. Yeah.

0:58:44.960 --> 0:58:47.320
<v Speaker 1>In perspective for some people who may not that number

0:58:47.400 --> 0:58:50.640
<v Speaker 1>may not jump out to them. We lost you know,

0:58:51.160 --> 0:58:54.360
<v Speaker 1>just shy of three thousand soldiers killed during the Iraq Wars.

0:58:54.440 --> 0:58:57.120
<v Speaker 1>So yeah, two thousand in a couple of days is

0:58:57.280 --> 0:59:00.480
<v Speaker 1>an extraordinary number of losses. Yeah. And of course the

0:59:00.520 --> 0:59:02.520
<v Speaker 1>black box here we don't have nearly as good an

0:59:02.560 --> 0:59:05.320
<v Speaker 1>information on is what kind of casualties is the Ukrainian

0:59:05.400 --> 0:59:08.320
<v Speaker 1>military suffered and what kind of civilian casualties have been suffered?

0:59:08.480 --> 0:59:13.640
<v Speaker 1>And um, Obviously civilian casualties nearly always take much longer

0:59:13.760 --> 0:59:16.240
<v Speaker 1>to get, um to the extent that it's ever. I

0:59:16.320 --> 0:59:19.720
<v Speaker 1>think we have a better chance of getting objective civilian

0:59:19.800 --> 0:59:22.280
<v Speaker 1>casualties for this because, unlike a lot of other conflicts,

0:59:22.400 --> 0:59:27.160
<v Speaker 1>these civilians being killed, our civilians under the ages of

0:59:27.240 --> 0:59:30.440
<v Speaker 1>a government that is a functional state, as opposed to Syria,

0:59:30.520 --> 0:59:34.400
<v Speaker 1>for example, where the there's basically the only people with

0:59:34.440 --> 0:59:36.760
<v Speaker 1>an interest in accurately reporting the death count are a

0:59:36.880 --> 0:59:42.280
<v Speaker 1>number of different non governmental organizations. Um, because the people

0:59:42.440 --> 0:59:44.440
<v Speaker 1>being are being killed by one government or the other,

0:59:44.560 --> 0:59:46.960
<v Speaker 1>right including like this is this was the same thing

0:59:47.080 --> 0:59:49.760
<v Speaker 1>like in Iraq. The civilians who died in Mosel were

0:59:49.800 --> 0:59:54.600
<v Speaker 1>technically under the Iraqi governments. You know, whatever. Protection seems

0:59:54.640 --> 0:59:56.600
<v Speaker 1>like the wrong word to say, but I can tell

0:59:56.640 --> 0:59:59.919
<v Speaker 1>you from my experience there, there was no We still

1:00:00.040 --> 1:00:02.560
<v Speaker 1>do not have anything that approaches a credible civilian death

1:00:02.680 --> 1:00:05.720
<v Speaker 1>count for for that conflict, um and probably never will

1:00:06.440 --> 1:00:09.680
<v Speaker 1>right and and on that note, on the civilian casualties note,

1:00:10.520 --> 1:00:14.560
<v Speaker 1>we were talking earlier about what how you can identify

1:00:14.640 --> 1:00:16.840
<v Speaker 1>a credible ostan account versus a one that you probably

1:00:16.840 --> 1:00:18.920
<v Speaker 1>shouldn't give too much credence to. And one of the

1:00:18.960 --> 1:00:22.240
<v Speaker 1>best ways to do that, honestly is is, ah, look

1:00:22.280 --> 1:00:25.960
<v Speaker 1>at their their morals. I guess if they're ever posting

1:00:26.080 --> 1:00:29.760
<v Speaker 1>and celebrating the death of civilians anywhere, you should probably

1:00:29.880 --> 1:00:33.560
<v Speaker 1>disregard them. Like, yeah, I'll never see Elliott Higgins being like, yeah,

1:00:33.680 --> 1:00:36.280
<v Speaker 1>suck at people of belowgrad like you got hit with

1:00:36.320 --> 1:00:38.520
<v Speaker 1>a missile, Like it's not it's you know, it's not

1:00:38.520 --> 1:00:41.200
<v Speaker 1>gonna happen. Yeah, it's not. It's the same thing as like,

1:00:42.200 --> 1:00:48.320
<v Speaker 1>I get why people celebrate h, you know, battlefield victories. Obviously,

1:00:48.400 --> 1:00:51.439
<v Speaker 1>I don't think, especially if you're literally a Ukrainian living,

1:00:51.840 --> 1:00:53.919
<v Speaker 1>you know, in the area affected, I don't think there's

1:00:53.920 --> 1:00:59.720
<v Speaker 1>anything morally wrong with celebrating opposing soldiers being defeated. But

1:01:00.080 --> 1:01:03.600
<v Speaker 1>I am I continue to be deeply unsettled by footage

1:01:03.920 --> 1:01:08.080
<v Speaker 1>celebrating things like the destruction of armored personnel carriers full

1:01:08.120 --> 1:01:11.919
<v Speaker 1>of nineteen year old kids, um, even though a non

1:01:12.160 --> 1:01:15.560
<v Speaker 1>insignificant number of those nineteen year old kids are accessories

1:01:15.600 --> 1:01:18.600
<v Speaker 1>to war crimes. Right, Like, it doesn't mean like I'm

1:01:18.840 --> 1:01:21.320
<v Speaker 1>broadly okay with it. I do. I do feel a

1:01:21.360 --> 1:01:25.000
<v Speaker 1>lot better about celebrating losses of special forces units like

1:01:25.040 --> 1:01:28.360
<v Speaker 1>the vdv UM that have been heavily involved in war

1:01:28.480 --> 1:01:30.800
<v Speaker 1>crimes around the world, like that I have less kind

1:01:30.840 --> 1:01:34.520
<v Speaker 1>of an issue with. But and I felt that personally.

1:01:34.640 --> 1:01:37.840
<v Speaker 1>You know, I'm Armenian and during the Carback War, it

1:01:37.960 --> 1:01:40.760
<v Speaker 1>was just day, every day I would wake up to

1:01:41.320 --> 1:01:44.800
<v Speaker 1>dozens of videos of Armenian conscripts and soldiers being blown

1:01:44.920 --> 1:01:47.920
<v Speaker 1>up and hunted from the air, and people on Twitter

1:01:48.040 --> 1:01:50.360
<v Speaker 1>cheering for it because they were, for one reason or another,

1:01:50.440 --> 1:01:52.840
<v Speaker 1>on the ZERI side. And like, I get it, you know,

1:01:53.000 --> 1:01:55.320
<v Speaker 1>like you were saying, you want to cheer your battlefield victories,

1:01:56.120 --> 1:01:59.120
<v Speaker 1>and I understand that from people who live on the

1:01:59.160 --> 1:02:03.080
<v Speaker 1>battlefield and live near the battlefield, I get it. It's

1:02:03.120 --> 1:02:06.640
<v Speaker 1>happening to you, to people thousands of miles away cheerleading

1:02:06.680 --> 1:02:09.720
<v Speaker 1>on the internet. What the hell is wrong with you? Yeah,

1:02:09.920 --> 1:02:12.320
<v Speaker 1>maybe don't do that. Maybe don't do that, like you

1:02:12.680 --> 1:02:14.840
<v Speaker 1>what the hell? Like you know, those are real people

1:02:15.120 --> 1:02:18.040
<v Speaker 1>in that video that never did anything to you. And

1:02:18.160 --> 1:02:19.840
<v Speaker 1>this is not like a sporting event where like they

1:02:19.880 --> 1:02:21.200
<v Speaker 1>go home at the end of the day and they've

1:02:21.280 --> 1:02:24.080
<v Speaker 1>just lost, like they're dead even when they do. Like,

1:02:24.240 --> 1:02:28.000
<v Speaker 1>I've spent a huge amount of my career talking directly

1:02:28.120 --> 1:02:30.400
<v Speaker 1>face to face with victims of ISIS, Right, I have

1:02:30.520 --> 1:02:34.640
<v Speaker 1>been to like eight or nine refugee camps in two

1:02:34.920 --> 1:02:38.360
<v Speaker 1>countries at this point, specifically for that were in addition

1:02:38.440 --> 1:02:41.760
<v Speaker 1>to days spent on the refugee trail in between Hungary

1:02:41.800 --> 1:02:45.800
<v Speaker 1>and Serbia talking to two Syrians and talking to um

1:02:46.240 --> 1:02:49.760
<v Speaker 1>um people who had like fled the region. Uh. But

1:02:49.880 --> 1:02:53.040
<v Speaker 1>at the same time, I can't help but like, like

1:02:53.160 --> 1:02:55.480
<v Speaker 1>I've literally been under fire by ISIS and then had

1:02:55.520 --> 1:02:58.040
<v Speaker 1>those ISIS guys gotten killed, and I have celebrated and

1:02:58.160 --> 1:03:01.200
<v Speaker 1>cheered when that's happened. Um, And I'll never forget we

1:03:01.280 --> 1:03:03.400
<v Speaker 1>were embedded with this mortar team and we were under

1:03:03.440 --> 1:03:06.920
<v Speaker 1>fire from this sniper and the mortar team. I forget

1:03:07.000 --> 1:03:08.640
<v Speaker 1>you can. In the article I wrote on it, I

1:03:08.760 --> 1:03:10.280
<v Speaker 1>list the exact number of rounds fired, but it was

1:03:10.280 --> 1:03:12.840
<v Speaker 1>like nine or ten something like that, where they're gradually

1:03:12.920 --> 1:03:16.400
<v Speaker 1>walking in mortars until they get this guy um. And

1:03:16.800 --> 1:03:19.200
<v Speaker 1>obviously we like cheered when they fucking killed this dude

1:03:19.240 --> 1:03:21.200
<v Speaker 1>because he was shooting at us. And I remember, like

1:03:21.320 --> 1:03:24.080
<v Speaker 1>kind of on our way out away from the front,

1:03:24.280 --> 1:03:28.520
<v Speaker 1>my fixer Sangar was like, how many rounds did they

1:03:28.600 --> 1:03:30.080
<v Speaker 1>drop before they got him? And I was like, I

1:03:30.080 --> 1:03:31.200
<v Speaker 1>don't know. I think it was like nine or ten.

1:03:31.240 --> 1:03:32.960
<v Speaker 1>I've got the footage somewhere, and he was like, I

1:03:33.040 --> 1:03:38.640
<v Speaker 1>wonder what else they hit and and sang sangarsa Uhum

1:03:38.840 --> 1:03:41.200
<v Speaker 1>like was born and raised in mosle Um, And it

1:03:41.320 --> 1:03:43.520
<v Speaker 1>was one of those things we spent the very next day.

1:03:43.560 --> 1:03:46.480
<v Speaker 1>We were like talking to people fleeing their homes and stuff.

1:03:46.560 --> 1:03:49.080
<v Speaker 1>And not only did we we like see some of

1:03:49.160 --> 1:03:52.520
<v Speaker 1>those people who lost family members too misses both by

1:03:52.720 --> 1:03:56.080
<v Speaker 1>Iraqi forces and by coalition aircraft and stuff, but like

1:03:56.200 --> 1:03:58.880
<v Speaker 1>we came upon this dead ices fighter in a fighting

1:03:58.920 --> 1:04:01.560
<v Speaker 1>position where you could he he had been in there

1:04:01.640 --> 1:04:04.080
<v Speaker 1>with his wife for days, and he had been wounded

1:04:04.120 --> 1:04:06.680
<v Speaker 1>two or three days before he got killed, and you

1:04:06.720 --> 1:04:09.240
<v Speaker 1>could see the evidence of the first aide she had

1:04:09.320 --> 1:04:10.720
<v Speaker 1>done on him, and it was one of those things.

1:04:10.800 --> 1:04:12.760
<v Speaker 1>I guess I could try to make the case that like, well,

1:04:12.800 --> 1:04:15.320
<v Speaker 1>maybe she was a captive and didn't want to do it,

1:04:15.440 --> 1:04:18.120
<v Speaker 1>but quite frankly, everything I saw in there makes me

1:04:18.240 --> 1:04:21.200
<v Speaker 1>believe like she cared deeply for him and stayed with

1:04:21.320 --> 1:04:23.960
<v Speaker 1>him until the bitter end, trying to keep him alive

1:04:24.040 --> 1:04:26.680
<v Speaker 1>and fighting. Um. And that doesn't mean he's not like

1:04:26.800 --> 1:04:28.640
<v Speaker 1>a monster, and it doesn't mean he shouldn't have been

1:04:28.760 --> 1:04:31.120
<v Speaker 1>killed because he's a fucking dashi who was in the

1:04:31.200 --> 1:04:34.720
<v Speaker 1>middle of doing enabling a series of terrible things. But

1:04:34.800 --> 1:04:38.280
<v Speaker 1>he's also like, you can't you can't ignore the humanity

1:04:39.000 --> 1:04:42.280
<v Speaker 1>of of somebody when you have seen that element of

1:04:42.400 --> 1:04:45.800
<v Speaker 1>what what happens in the conflict, and that has stayed

1:04:45.880 --> 1:04:49.280
<v Speaker 1>with me quite a bit ever since. Yeah, and it's

1:04:50.480 --> 1:04:53.920
<v Speaker 1>it's one of those things. And you gotta you gotta

1:04:53.960 --> 1:04:57.479
<v Speaker 1>remember that the majority of young men of fighting age

1:04:57.480 --> 1:05:01.000
<v Speaker 1>around the world who joined a military or armed organization

1:05:01.120 --> 1:05:03.320
<v Speaker 1>or an insurgent group, whatever it may be, they do

1:05:03.520 --> 1:05:06.160
<v Speaker 1>so typically because it's whomever is in charge of the

1:05:06.240 --> 1:05:09.240
<v Speaker 1>area they're growing up in. Right, You don't join the

1:05:09.320 --> 1:05:11.560
<v Speaker 1>Russian Army because you wait all the options, and the

1:05:11.600 --> 1:05:14.040
<v Speaker 1>Brazilian Army offer some good aid, you know, some good

1:05:14.240 --> 1:05:16.760
<v Speaker 1>healthcare packages. And I looked at the Italian Army, but

1:05:16.800 --> 1:05:18.240
<v Speaker 1>really I want to go with the Russian. No, you

1:05:18.320 --> 1:05:21.840
<v Speaker 1>go with wherever you were born, yeah, whether, And you know,

1:05:21.920 --> 1:05:23.920
<v Speaker 1>and I was talking to my roommate about this last night.

1:05:24.280 --> 1:05:26.760
<v Speaker 1>We were watching this footage from the flood of nineties

1:05:27.040 --> 1:05:29.240
<v Speaker 1>here in Oregon, you know, and it's this National Guard

1:05:29.280 --> 1:05:31.920
<v Speaker 1>a helicopter where they're pushing bales of hay out of

1:05:31.920 --> 1:05:34.360
<v Speaker 1>the back of the helicopter down to cows stranded out

1:05:34.360 --> 1:05:37.240
<v Speaker 1>in your tillamook. And so depending on when you join

1:05:37.280 --> 1:05:39.800
<v Speaker 1>the National Guard, you either fed cows hey from a

1:05:39.880 --> 1:05:44.640
<v Speaker 1>helicopter or deployed to Irock. That's the luck of the draw, right,

1:05:44.920 --> 1:05:48.400
<v Speaker 1>That's not fair. No, they don't deserve to die any

1:05:48.440 --> 1:05:49.840
<v Speaker 1>more than the guys dropping the hay out of the

1:05:49.880 --> 1:05:55.200
<v Speaker 1>helicopter did, right. But people get yeah, they get carried

1:05:55.240 --> 1:05:57.800
<v Speaker 1>away with like turning it into a sport almost, and

1:05:57.880 --> 1:05:59.320
<v Speaker 1>they forget that there's people on the other end, and

1:05:59.360 --> 1:06:02.040
<v Speaker 1>that like, well, some of them are threats and they

1:06:02.080 --> 1:06:05.000
<v Speaker 1>may need to be dealt with. It's like, you know,

1:06:05.880 --> 1:06:08.440
<v Speaker 1>a bear comes at you in the woods. You shoot it,

1:06:08.560 --> 1:06:10.640
<v Speaker 1>you don't, you don't skin it and make fun of it,

1:06:10.880 --> 1:06:15.560
<v Speaker 1>like yeah, you know, I go kill its kids. You know,

1:06:15.720 --> 1:06:17.480
<v Speaker 1>that's not that's not how it works, you know. So

1:06:17.760 --> 1:06:20.439
<v Speaker 1>like yeah, yeah, don't don't be don't be a piece

1:06:20.480 --> 1:06:24.320
<v Speaker 1>of ship, Like don't don't don't don't lose your humanity, um,

1:06:24.600 --> 1:06:26.760
<v Speaker 1>because I mean, one of the things that makes it

1:06:26.840 --> 1:06:29.840
<v Speaker 1>easy to lose your humanity is that like videos of

1:06:29.880 --> 1:06:32.960
<v Speaker 1>ship getting blown up looks dope, right like it it does.

1:06:33.000 --> 1:06:35.000
<v Speaker 1>It looks cool to watch things get blown up. That's

1:06:35.040 --> 1:06:37.440
<v Speaker 1>in fact, I suspect how a lot of people who

1:06:37.560 --> 1:06:40.320
<v Speaker 1>become very good oh since investigators part of what draws

1:06:40.360 --> 1:06:41.760
<v Speaker 1>them in. It's just like I'm sure that was a

1:06:41.800 --> 1:06:44.680
<v Speaker 1>part of why Caliber started obsessively researching guns. Is like

1:06:44.760 --> 1:06:47.760
<v Speaker 1>their neat guns are neat. You know, weapons are interesting.

1:06:47.880 --> 1:06:52.320
<v Speaker 1>People are inherently interested in in weaponry. Um, which is

1:06:53.320 --> 1:06:55.280
<v Speaker 1>not a good thing. It's just the thing, you know.

1:06:55.400 --> 1:06:56.840
<v Speaker 1>It's not a bad thing either. It's just like a

1:06:56.960 --> 1:07:00.120
<v Speaker 1>thing human beings will always be interested in. But as

1:07:00.160 --> 1:07:04.800
<v Speaker 1>warfare is as natural to us as eating and fucking. Um, well,

1:07:04.840 --> 1:07:07.160
<v Speaker 1>you're talking about the mortars, right, the mortars walking in

1:07:07.240 --> 1:07:09.920
<v Speaker 1>And there's this video on YouTube of made by an

1:07:09.920 --> 1:07:14.720
<v Speaker 1>American Navy attack squadron of them dropping bomb after bomb

1:07:14.840 --> 1:07:18.160
<v Speaker 1>on targets and muzzle and and and uh rocca places

1:07:18.200 --> 1:07:21.080
<v Speaker 1>like that, and it's set to the Devil's going to

1:07:21.160 --> 1:07:23.200
<v Speaker 1>cut you down, And every time there's a beat in

1:07:23.280 --> 1:07:25.600
<v Speaker 1>the music, and you see a bomb drop, and some

1:07:25.680 --> 1:07:27.960
<v Speaker 1>of these bombs it's like four bombs dropping at a time,

1:07:28.040 --> 1:07:30.560
<v Speaker 1>dropping an eight story building. And so I'm sure there

1:07:30.640 --> 1:07:32.440
<v Speaker 1>was a guy inside there with a weapon, but like

1:07:32.800 --> 1:07:34.680
<v Speaker 1>you want to tell me there wasn't anybody else in

1:07:34.760 --> 1:07:37.880
<v Speaker 1>that eighth story building, And like, okay, yeah, you're celebrating

1:07:37.880 --> 1:07:39.720
<v Speaker 1>the death of the combatant there, but like also all

1:07:39.760 --> 1:07:42.760
<v Speaker 1>those other people are being celebrated indirectly, and so like

1:07:43.080 --> 1:07:45.760
<v Speaker 1>you gotta remember that, like these bombs explode and they

1:07:45.800 --> 1:07:47.800
<v Speaker 1>take out a large area, and these fights are happening

1:07:47.840 --> 1:07:50.720
<v Speaker 1>in cities a lot of the time. Yeah, the weaponry

1:07:50.840 --> 1:07:55.120
<v Speaker 1>that the United States uses is more precise than something

1:07:55.200 --> 1:07:58.520
<v Speaker 1>like a barrel bomb, but not by as midy orders

1:07:58.560 --> 1:08:02.600
<v Speaker 1>of magnitude as you would hope. Um. And and precision

1:08:02.680 --> 1:08:07.920
<v Speaker 1>doesn't precision matters, Yes, it's not a non important an

1:08:08.080 --> 1:08:11.160
<v Speaker 1>important thing, but Ultimately, it doesn't matter if your missile

1:08:11.240 --> 1:08:13.600
<v Speaker 1>went right into that living room full of civilians and

1:08:13.640 --> 1:08:15.680
<v Speaker 1>blew them all up, or if you leveled the block

1:08:15.800 --> 1:08:18.840
<v Speaker 1>and maybe you know, killed them indirectly. Like you gotta

1:08:18.880 --> 1:08:21.320
<v Speaker 1>know what you're hitting. The target is what really matters, right,

1:08:21.600 --> 1:08:23.040
<v Speaker 1>So it doesn't matter if you can hit the target,

1:08:23.040 --> 1:08:24.960
<v Speaker 1>you gotta make sure it's the right target. And that's

1:08:25.040 --> 1:08:27.000
<v Speaker 1>where we're starting to have issues now, is like we

1:08:27.080 --> 1:08:29.880
<v Speaker 1>can hit targets really well, we just aren't always sure

1:08:29.920 --> 1:08:32.720
<v Speaker 1>that it's the right yes, as opposed I mean, and

1:08:32.880 --> 1:08:35.560
<v Speaker 1>and you are seeing. So let's let's talk about we

1:08:35.680 --> 1:08:40.320
<v Speaker 1>we started this chatting about Ukrainian potential Ukrainian war crime. Um,

1:08:40.479 --> 1:08:44.120
<v Speaker 1>what we have absolute documentation of a tremendous amount of

1:08:44.200 --> 1:08:48.120
<v Speaker 1>war crimes on behalf of the Russian UH invaders, including

1:08:48.200 --> 1:08:50.680
<v Speaker 1>a thing that they have done repeatedly in Syria, which

1:08:50.760 --> 1:08:55.040
<v Speaker 1>is the targeting of hospitals and medical facilities, um with

1:08:55.320 --> 1:08:58.200
<v Speaker 1>with terrible civilian casualties as a as a result. And

1:08:58.280 --> 1:09:00.719
<v Speaker 1>this is something that the New York Times actually published

1:09:00.760 --> 1:09:03.639
<v Speaker 1>an incredible article based on a mix of O cent

1:09:03.880 --> 1:09:06.479
<v Speaker 1>and like I'm not entirely sure how they got them,

1:09:06.560 --> 1:09:10.040
<v Speaker 1>but combat flight recorders, like the audio that these these

1:09:10.120 --> 1:09:13.360
<v Speaker 1>Russian fighter pilots were sending back and forth to command

1:09:13.400 --> 1:09:16.639
<v Speaker 1>as they attacked hospitals in Syria. Um, so we actually

1:09:16.640 --> 1:09:19.120
<v Speaker 1>have a tremendous amount of detail about like what it

1:09:19.320 --> 1:09:22.599
<v Speaker 1>looks like inside the cockpit and in like the control

1:09:22.680 --> 1:09:25.600
<v Speaker 1>room and whatnot, as air strikes are being ordered on

1:09:25.760 --> 1:09:28.840
<v Speaker 1>medical facilities. I really recommend people check that article out.

1:09:29.520 --> 1:09:33.120
<v Speaker 1>Um it's it's pretty harrowing. Ship. But UM, yeah, are

1:09:33.160 --> 1:09:35.320
<v Speaker 1>you are you surprised at all by kind of what

1:09:35.520 --> 1:09:37.800
<v Speaker 1>you are what you've seen so far in behalf of

1:09:37.840 --> 1:09:40.760
<v Speaker 1>the Russian forces in Ukraine. No, no, not even not

1:09:40.840 --> 1:09:43.760
<v Speaker 1>even the slightest, Because I followed the war and in

1:09:44.000 --> 1:09:47.000
<v Speaker 1>Syria rather closely. And uh, I mean there was a

1:09:47.040 --> 1:09:49.320
<v Speaker 1>point when they had to stop marking the hospitals with

1:09:49.439 --> 1:09:52.520
<v Speaker 1>hospital marketings because the Russians would target them so consistently.

1:09:52.880 --> 1:09:55.000
<v Speaker 1>The United Nations had to stop giving the Russians the

1:09:55.080 --> 1:09:57.519
<v Speaker 1>coordinates of the hospitals and in Aleppo because they kept

1:09:57.560 --> 1:10:02.040
<v Speaker 1>getting targeted. Um. There was an AID convoy that was struck,

1:10:02.200 --> 1:10:05.200
<v Speaker 1>I believe by Syrian aircraft, but it was the targeting

1:10:05.280 --> 1:10:07.720
<v Speaker 1>was given to them by Russian aircraft. Um. It was

1:10:07.760 --> 1:10:10.040
<v Speaker 1>just an AID convoy coming into Aleppo, a United Nations

1:10:10.080 --> 1:10:12.760
<v Speaker 1>and Aid convoy, and it was bombed and strafe repeatedly

1:10:12.880 --> 1:10:16.160
<v Speaker 1>for you know, several hours. Um. Things like that that

1:10:16.320 --> 1:10:20.240
<v Speaker 1>happened so regularly in Syria to the relative silence of

1:10:20.320 --> 1:10:23.400
<v Speaker 1>the rest of the world. Um, that led me to

1:10:23.439 --> 1:10:25.760
<v Speaker 1>believe that when they go into Ukraine, they're not going

1:10:25.800 --> 1:10:29.400
<v Speaker 1>to be any gentler. Um. A lot of people suspected

1:10:29.439 --> 1:10:33.160
<v Speaker 1>early on that, like, well, they it's harder to demonize

1:10:33.160 --> 1:10:34.960
<v Speaker 1>people who look like you, so they're not going to

1:10:36.040 --> 1:10:39.200
<v Speaker 1>have as much of an easy time demonizing Ukrainians. And

1:10:39.560 --> 1:10:42.320
<v Speaker 1>I think there has been some degree of difficulty with that,

1:10:42.760 --> 1:10:44.439
<v Speaker 1>at least in terms of some of the conscripts on

1:10:44.439 --> 1:10:46.920
<v Speaker 1>the Russian side. But the other thing we're seeing is that,

1:10:47.000 --> 1:10:49.360
<v Speaker 1>like a lot of these a lot of people seem

1:10:49.439 --> 1:10:53.800
<v Speaker 1>to genuinely believe the mission of denazifying Ukraine. And so

1:10:54.360 --> 1:10:59.439
<v Speaker 1>if that's what you believe you're doing, then the bombing

1:10:59.760 --> 1:11:02.439
<v Speaker 1>does surprised, It doesn't become a surprise. Right. If you

1:11:02.560 --> 1:11:04.920
<v Speaker 1>think that you're going into Ukraine to suppress it and

1:11:05.000 --> 1:11:07.879
<v Speaker 1>occupy it, then bombing city city is full of Russians,

1:11:07.960 --> 1:11:10.920
<v Speaker 1>Russians and Russian speakers seems like a bad idea, but

1:11:11.040 --> 1:11:14.479
<v Speaker 1>if you believe that they're all Nazis, then it makes

1:11:14.960 --> 1:11:17.240
<v Speaker 1>sense that you might just blow them up because they're

1:11:17.240 --> 1:11:19.080
<v Speaker 1>all the enemy. I'm not saying I'm not condoning it.

1:11:19.160 --> 1:11:20.920
<v Speaker 1>I'm saying no, But I mean that is literally what

1:11:21.040 --> 1:11:23.719
<v Speaker 1>the US government in the British government did in World

1:11:23.760 --> 1:11:29.320
<v Speaker 1>War you know exactly. There have been claims made that

1:11:30.120 --> 1:11:33.439
<v Speaker 1>what Russia is doing in places like mary A Pole

1:11:34.280 --> 1:11:37.759
<v Speaker 1>amounts to an active genocide. Um, what is your opinion

1:11:37.800 --> 1:11:45.760
<v Speaker 1>on that? Genocide is a big word. It's yeah, but

1:11:45.960 --> 1:11:47.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, it has a lot of meaning behind it,

1:11:47.439 --> 1:11:50.160
<v Speaker 1>in the sense that like, just because somebody is killing

1:11:50.240 --> 1:11:52.479
<v Speaker 1>large numbers of people and doing so in heinous ways

1:11:52.560 --> 1:11:54.760
<v Speaker 1>does not make it a genocide. You have to an

1:11:54.760 --> 1:11:57.720
<v Speaker 1>attempt to destroy culture and destroy heritage and things of

1:11:57.800 --> 1:12:01.680
<v Speaker 1>that nature. Um, as it stands, I would say that

1:12:01.800 --> 1:12:05.800
<v Speaker 1>it looks likely that there are signs of potential genocide

1:12:06.360 --> 1:12:08.599
<v Speaker 1>in Mariable. I am not confident enough to come out

1:12:08.600 --> 1:12:11.840
<v Speaker 1>and say that I conclusively think it's happening, but the

1:12:11.920 --> 1:12:14.320
<v Speaker 1>way that it looks like the the city is being

1:12:14.439 --> 1:12:18.719
<v Speaker 1>deliberately targeted to either force the entire population to flee

1:12:19.240 --> 1:12:22.680
<v Speaker 1>or to radicalize them one way or the other. Is

1:12:23.520 --> 1:12:27.760
<v Speaker 1>it goes beyond military target you know. I think the

1:12:27.880 --> 1:12:32.120
<v Speaker 1>thing that were that I that is the most like

1:12:32.560 --> 1:12:36.800
<v Speaker 1>troubling potential sign of an intention of genocide is the

1:12:37.000 --> 1:12:40.960
<v Speaker 1>reports that the Russian government has been evacuating civilians that

1:12:41.040 --> 1:12:43.400
<v Speaker 1>they have in parts of Mariopole. They have captured two

1:12:43.640 --> 1:12:47.000
<v Speaker 1>places in Russia, which is this is a misconception. You

1:12:47.040 --> 1:12:49.280
<v Speaker 1>don't have to just be killing people, as you stated,

1:12:49.280 --> 1:12:51.519
<v Speaker 1>it's an attempt to destroy a culture, which you can

1:12:51.600 --> 1:12:53.479
<v Speaker 1>do by killing, but you can also do by things

1:12:53.600 --> 1:12:58.479
<v Speaker 1>like separating moving people, like forced migration and whatnot. Like

1:12:58.680 --> 1:13:00.840
<v Speaker 1>there's aspects of that at again, look at like the

1:13:00.920 --> 1:13:03.240
<v Speaker 1>genocide of the Native Americans in the United States. It

1:13:03.320 --> 1:13:05.320
<v Speaker 1>was not all straight up killing. A lot of it

1:13:05.479 --> 1:13:09.000
<v Speaker 1>was forced migration, um, which is an act of genocide

1:13:09.040 --> 1:13:11.360
<v Speaker 1>as well. Um. And that's the kind of thing where

1:13:11.400 --> 1:13:14.080
<v Speaker 1>I'm I'm kind of waiting for more reporting on that

1:13:14.800 --> 1:13:17.320
<v Speaker 1>to the to see here exactly what's happening in the

1:13:17.360 --> 1:13:19.439
<v Speaker 1>extent to what's happening, But that really troubles me in

1:13:19.600 --> 1:13:22.800
<v Speaker 1>terms of potential signs of a genocide. Yeah, and when

1:13:22.840 --> 1:13:25.439
<v Speaker 1>they when they coined the term genocide after World War Two.

1:13:26.080 --> 1:13:29.240
<v Speaker 1>It was it was with reference to the Holocaust, but

1:13:29.720 --> 1:13:32.920
<v Speaker 1>but what they had in mind was the Armenian genocide. Yeah,

1:13:33.920 --> 1:13:36.800
<v Speaker 1>when it when they when they drafted these words, and

1:13:37.720 --> 1:13:40.160
<v Speaker 1>because it was beyond just sheer number of people killed,

1:13:40.160 --> 1:13:42.919
<v Speaker 1>if we're talking sheer number of people killed, the Nazis

1:13:43.000 --> 1:13:46.519
<v Speaker 1>also killed six million other people in addition to the

1:13:46.560 --> 1:13:48.960
<v Speaker 1>six million Jews they killed. The reason we talked about

1:13:49.000 --> 1:13:51.880
<v Speaker 1>the Jews is one, six million is a lot of people.

1:13:52.200 --> 1:13:54.960
<v Speaker 1>And two it was a deliberate attempt to destroy their

1:13:55.120 --> 1:13:59.720
<v Speaker 1>entire culture. You make them have never existed, and that's

1:13:59.840 --> 1:14:03.000
<v Speaker 1>very different and very scary. Dying is also very bad,

1:14:03.680 --> 1:14:05.599
<v Speaker 1>the idea of dying and then all of the people

1:14:05.640 --> 1:14:07.880
<v Speaker 1>who were like you just don't exist anymore, and all

1:14:07.920 --> 1:14:12.760
<v Speaker 1>your books and your literature are gone. Like that's that's monstrous. Yeah,

1:14:13.080 --> 1:14:16.639
<v Speaker 1>And that's why there's a difference between genocide and mass killing. Yeah,

1:14:16.760 --> 1:14:19.080
<v Speaker 1>And it's it's the difference. Like we talked about US

1:14:19.120 --> 1:14:21.160
<v Speaker 1>war crimes in World War Two, of which there were many,

1:14:21.200 --> 1:14:24.160
<v Speaker 1>including the fire bombing of Dresden. I would argue, but

1:14:24.280 --> 1:14:26.760
<v Speaker 1>it's not an act of genocide because when they fire

1:14:26.840 --> 1:14:31.200
<v Speaker 1>bombed Dresden. It was certainly um the killing of civilians

1:14:31.280 --> 1:14:35.200
<v Speaker 1>without particular regard to the direct military efficacy of the action,

1:14:35.280 --> 1:14:37.799
<v Speaker 1>But it was not an attempt to destroy German culture

1:14:37.920 --> 1:14:41.360
<v Speaker 1>or obliterate the German people. And you brought up the

1:14:41.479 --> 1:14:44.080
<v Speaker 1>Armenian genocide. Well, we'll talk about this at some point

1:14:44.240 --> 1:14:47.040
<v Speaker 1>behind the bastards, but you mentioned that that was kind

1:14:47.080 --> 1:14:50.799
<v Speaker 1>of what the people when the term genocide was invented,

1:14:51.439 --> 1:14:53.880
<v Speaker 1>that was what people were looking at, even though it

1:14:53.960 --> 1:14:55.720
<v Speaker 1>was kind of a direct response to the Holocaust. It's

1:14:55.720 --> 1:14:59.520
<v Speaker 1>also worth noting that like when the Nazis planned the Holocaust,

1:14:59.640 --> 1:15:03.160
<v Speaker 1>they to the Armenian genocide as a model. Um Hitler's

1:15:03.240 --> 1:15:06.479
<v Speaker 1>literal statement was when people when he was asked during

1:15:06.560 --> 1:15:08.720
<v Speaker 1>like one of his his dinners with a bunch of

1:15:08.920 --> 1:15:13.200
<v Speaker 1>Nazi officials, like what what about kind of the international

1:15:13.320 --> 1:15:15.880
<v Speaker 1>reaction to what we're planning to do? He was like, well,

1:15:15.880 --> 1:15:18.560
<v Speaker 1>who remembers the Armenians? You know? Like that was his

1:15:18.760 --> 1:15:20.240
<v Speaker 1>That was his attitude, is like, we'll get away with

1:15:20.320 --> 1:15:23.439
<v Speaker 1>it because nobody did anything during this genocide, right and

1:15:23.600 --> 1:15:27.160
<v Speaker 1>and and I think while I would hesitate to call

1:15:27.320 --> 1:15:31.200
<v Speaker 1>the entire war in Ukraine and genocide. Yes, as of yet.

1:15:31.680 --> 1:15:33.840
<v Speaker 1>I would say that there's a similarity between the Armenian

1:15:33.920 --> 1:15:38.120
<v Speaker 1>genocide and and how that led to the Holocaust. There's

1:15:38.120 --> 1:15:40.799
<v Speaker 1>a similarity between the Russian war crimes committed in Syria

1:15:41.120 --> 1:15:43.559
<v Speaker 1>and how that led to the war crimes being committed

1:15:43.600 --> 1:15:45.800
<v Speaker 1>in Ukraine, in the sense that if the world had

1:15:45.800 --> 1:15:49.800
<v Speaker 1>stood up earlier, we would not be seeing this now. Yeah.

1:15:50.800 --> 1:15:53.439
<v Speaker 1>The problem is the world looked the other way when

1:15:53.479 --> 1:15:57.919
<v Speaker 1>the Russians bombed hospitals in Syria, when they repeatedly bombed hospitals.

1:15:57.960 --> 1:16:01.320
<v Speaker 1>In fact, the world didn't just look away. A lot

1:16:01.400 --> 1:16:04.320
<v Speaker 1>of people in the West mocked it. I'm sure you've

1:16:04.360 --> 1:16:06.200
<v Speaker 1>heard it as often as I have. The last Hospital

1:16:06.280 --> 1:16:09.080
<v Speaker 1>and Aleppo joke, right where, oh they're bombing the lost

1:16:09.200 --> 1:16:11.880
<v Speaker 1>last hospital and Aleppo again. Well, the reason that happened

1:16:11.960 --> 1:16:13.720
<v Speaker 1>is because when you bomb the hospital, they build a

1:16:13.760 --> 1:16:16.200
<v Speaker 1>new one, and then it gets bombed again three days later,

1:16:16.280 --> 1:16:18.479
<v Speaker 1>so they've bombed the last one again. So it wasn't

1:16:18.479 --> 1:16:20.519
<v Speaker 1>a joke. It was just a tragedy that kept playing

1:16:20.520 --> 1:16:23.920
<v Speaker 1>out that people couldn't really fathom, so they mocked, right.

1:16:24.000 --> 1:16:25.960
<v Speaker 1>And so when that's the attitude of a lot of

1:16:26.000 --> 1:16:28.400
<v Speaker 1>the world, it's no surprise that what's what's happened in

1:16:28.520 --> 1:16:32.400
<v Speaker 1>Ukraine as has run out of control? M hm, Where

1:16:32.400 --> 1:16:34.040
<v Speaker 1>do you think we go from here? What are you

1:16:34.080 --> 1:16:36.840
<v Speaker 1>what are you expecting to kind of see next within

1:16:36.960 --> 1:16:39.759
<v Speaker 1>this conflict? You know, the most recent kind of reporting

1:16:39.840 --> 1:16:42.599
<v Speaker 1>is that Russia's pulling. Russia's framing it is they're pulling

1:16:42.680 --> 1:16:46.080
<v Speaker 1>back from Kiev to to focus on other fronts. Uh.

1:16:46.200 --> 1:16:48.679
<v Speaker 1>The Ukrainian side is saying like, well, they've been defeated

1:16:48.760 --> 1:16:50.639
<v Speaker 1>around Kiev and they're pulling back. What do you think

1:16:50.680 --> 1:16:53.040
<v Speaker 1>kind of we're seeing next? What is your opinion on

1:16:53.160 --> 1:16:55.760
<v Speaker 1>kind of the next stages here? So I think it

1:16:55.840 --> 1:17:00.160
<v Speaker 1>really depends on Vladimir Prutin's power and how long he

1:17:00.280 --> 1:17:03.800
<v Speaker 1>remains in a position of unchecked power. I'm not saying

1:17:04.040 --> 1:17:06.960
<v Speaker 1>necessarily he will fall from power. I'm saying that how

1:17:07.040 --> 1:17:09.679
<v Speaker 1>long can he go as the only guy calling the shots?

1:17:09.760 --> 1:17:12.920
<v Speaker 1>Because as it stands right now, it doesn't look like

1:17:13.280 --> 1:17:15.320
<v Speaker 1>he's the same Vladimir Putin that we were used to

1:17:15.400 --> 1:17:17.640
<v Speaker 1>dealing with. It seems like something may have changed with him.

1:17:18.320 --> 1:17:22.599
<v Speaker 1>And that's a wild card because if if Vladimir Putin

1:17:22.680 --> 1:17:24.760
<v Speaker 1>wants to continue to escalate here he can continue to

1:17:24.800 --> 1:17:27.040
<v Speaker 1>do so because he may not be getting the same

1:17:27.080 --> 1:17:29.200
<v Speaker 1>reporting that we are about the condition of his army.

1:17:29.720 --> 1:17:31.519
<v Speaker 1>He may think his army is doing better than they're

1:17:31.560 --> 1:17:34.160
<v Speaker 1>doing and that they actually are just repositioning. So if

1:17:34.240 --> 1:17:36.439
<v Speaker 1>that's the case, there's a chance to he'll escalate against

1:17:36.680 --> 1:17:40.240
<v Speaker 1>potentially in NATO country. I find that unlikely, but there's

1:17:40.240 --> 1:17:42.360
<v Speaker 1>still a chance for it. I think what's more likely

1:17:42.479 --> 1:17:44.880
<v Speaker 1>is that we're going to see the Russian military refocused

1:17:45.000 --> 1:17:48.599
<v Speaker 1>efforts in the east, in in Donetskan Luhansk, with an

1:17:48.600 --> 1:17:50.960
<v Speaker 1>attempts to create a land bridge to Crimea through the

1:17:51.000 --> 1:17:55.120
<v Speaker 1>area through Mariopol Melitopa area UM and I think they're

1:17:55.120 --> 1:17:56.760
<v Speaker 1>going to try to rucify the area as much as

1:17:56.840 --> 1:17:59.920
<v Speaker 1>possible and remove as many of the Ukrainians as possible

1:18:00.520 --> 1:18:03.120
<v Speaker 1>UM one way or the other. And I don't know

1:18:03.160 --> 1:18:05.400
<v Speaker 1>if they'll be successful in that, but I think simultaneously

1:18:05.400 --> 1:18:06.720
<v Speaker 1>while they do that, they're going to try to tie

1:18:06.800 --> 1:18:09.080
<v Speaker 1>down and destroy as much of the Ukrainian military as

1:18:09.120 --> 1:18:12.160
<v Speaker 1>possible UM, which will be difficult because the units in

1:18:12.200 --> 1:18:16.000
<v Speaker 1>the east are Ukraine's best equip units. So I don't

1:18:16.080 --> 1:18:18.720
<v Speaker 1>know how this ends. I don't see a reasonable end

1:18:18.760 --> 1:18:21.840
<v Speaker 1>to this insight, but that's just because there's too many

1:18:21.880 --> 1:18:24.960
<v Speaker 1>variables at the moment. I do think one thing that's

1:18:25.000 --> 1:18:28.440
<v Speaker 1>kind of worth looking at this war in a historical context.

1:18:29.479 --> 1:18:31.519
<v Speaker 1>A number of comparisons have been made to both of

1:18:31.560 --> 1:18:34.439
<v Speaker 1>the world wars here, um, I think the thing that

1:18:34.600 --> 1:18:37.320
<v Speaker 1>it most reminds me of is World War One, not

1:18:37.880 --> 1:18:40.720
<v Speaker 1>in that it's a conflagration on that scale or in

1:18:40.840 --> 1:18:43.519
<v Speaker 1>that um it's a similar war in terms of the combat,

1:18:44.040 --> 1:18:47.160
<v Speaker 1>but it is an example of the first big war

1:18:47.600 --> 1:18:50.360
<v Speaker 1>that utilizes a variety of weapons and tactics that have

1:18:50.520 --> 1:18:54.960
<v Speaker 1>been battlefield tested in a series of smaller wars, right, um,

1:18:55.280 --> 1:18:58.040
<v Speaker 1>And I think we are seeing in Ukraine for the

1:18:58.120 --> 1:19:01.920
<v Speaker 1>first time the actual will. I think one thing that

1:19:02.000 --> 1:19:04.280
<v Speaker 1>we have seen is that drones. And I'm not talking

1:19:04.320 --> 1:19:06.000
<v Speaker 1>about the big ones here. You know, they get a

1:19:06.000 --> 1:19:07.599
<v Speaker 1>lot of the bay rock tar and stuff like get

1:19:07.680 --> 1:19:11.040
<v Speaker 1>that gets a lot of attention, but like small the

1:19:11.200 --> 1:19:13.559
<v Speaker 1>kind of drones anyone listening to this could pick up

1:19:13.600 --> 1:19:17.479
<v Speaker 1>and buy today, right, Those drones, I think are proving

1:19:17.560 --> 1:19:20.600
<v Speaker 1>to be a game changer on a tactical level, in

1:19:20.680 --> 1:19:23.479
<v Speaker 1>a similar manner to the machine gun in in the

1:19:23.560 --> 1:19:27.000
<v Speaker 1>turn of the last century. Before the last century. Yeah,

1:19:27.080 --> 1:19:30.960
<v Speaker 1>with the drones, I've often machine guns are good good comparison.

1:19:31.040 --> 1:19:33.680
<v Speaker 1>I've often thought of it as like the airplane, and

1:19:33.800 --> 1:19:36.160
<v Speaker 1>that we had airplanes and we haven't had combat airplanes.

1:19:36.240 --> 1:19:38.120
<v Speaker 1>Before World War One, we didn't have very many of

1:19:38.200 --> 1:19:40.519
<v Speaker 1>them because nobody really realized the utility of them in war.

1:19:41.040 --> 1:19:43.040
<v Speaker 1>And then as the war got closer and then the

1:19:43.080 --> 1:19:45.880
<v Speaker 1>war started, countries started to slowly build up these small

1:19:45.920 --> 1:19:47.920
<v Speaker 1>fleets of aircraft, and then by the end of the war,

1:19:48.800 --> 1:19:50.760
<v Speaker 1>everybody had an air force. I think we see the

1:19:50.760 --> 1:19:52.800
<v Speaker 1>same thing with these small consumer drones, is that like,

1:19:53.280 --> 1:19:56.360
<v Speaker 1>by the end of this war or whatever conflagrations are

1:19:56.400 --> 1:19:59.360
<v Speaker 1>coming after it, every military in the world is going

1:19:59.400 --> 1:20:02.800
<v Speaker 1>to have little little you know, phantom phantom threes or whatever,

1:20:02.920 --> 1:20:06.320
<v Speaker 1>basically for every infantry squad. One of the things that's

1:20:06.320 --> 1:20:09.840
<v Speaker 1>so wild is that if if you again, if you're

1:20:09.840 --> 1:20:13.599
<v Speaker 1>sitting here right now, have not an insignificant amount of money,

1:20:13.640 --> 1:20:17.360
<v Speaker 1>let's say three to four thousand dollars and the enough

1:20:17.560 --> 1:20:23.080
<v Speaker 1>mechanical like competence to carry out modest repairs on your

1:20:23.120 --> 1:20:28.120
<v Speaker 1>own car, you could, with things entirely available over the shelf,

1:20:28.600 --> 1:20:32.120
<v Speaker 1>build a weapon system capable of disabling a variety of

1:20:32.240 --> 1:20:35.360
<v Speaker 1>armored vehicles at night. You know, like you that that

1:20:35.520 --> 1:20:38.280
<v Speaker 1>is a thing that individual people, You could do that

1:20:38.439 --> 1:20:39.760
<v Speaker 1>and you can have it up and running in a

1:20:39.840 --> 1:20:43.719
<v Speaker 1>matter of days. I just I'm imagining the next protest

1:20:43.840 --> 1:20:48.720
<v Speaker 1>in unnamed city. Yeah, and a consumer drone flies over

1:20:48.800 --> 1:20:50.640
<v Speaker 1>the police line and drops a little thing on him.

1:20:50.640 --> 1:20:55.760
<v Speaker 1>This is bang. Yeah, yeah, yeah, exactly. Like there's a

1:20:55.840 --> 1:20:59.799
<v Speaker 1>lot of people, even even as as influential and meaningful

1:20:59.840 --> 1:21:01.720
<v Speaker 1>as they've been on the battlefield in Ukraine, I think

1:21:01.720 --> 1:21:04.320
<v Speaker 1>people still are kind of slow to understand the extent.

1:21:04.439 --> 1:21:06.439
<v Speaker 1>Like there's one of the wildest stories that's come out

1:21:06.479 --> 1:21:09.439
<v Speaker 1>of it is that the Ukrainian military has a an

1:21:09.520 --> 1:21:14.800
<v Speaker 1>outfit of civilian drone operators using hacked and home built

1:21:14.920 --> 1:21:18.800
<v Speaker 1>drones to attack Russian forces at night. UM and they

1:21:18.880 --> 1:21:22.000
<v Speaker 1>have been The documented of efficacy of their raids has

1:21:22.040 --> 1:21:24.840
<v Speaker 1>been significant, And I can I can remember spending a

1:21:24.880 --> 1:21:27.920
<v Speaker 1>brief period of time with an Iraqi military unit that

1:21:28.080 --> 1:21:30.120
<v Speaker 1>was just using d g I phantoms that they had

1:21:30.200 --> 1:21:33.840
<v Speaker 1>rigged to drop what were since essentially mortar shells with

1:21:33.880 --> 1:21:36.599
<v Speaker 1>shuttlecocks on them from a height. UM, and they were

1:21:36.760 --> 1:21:39.479
<v Speaker 1>very effective at killing people. UM. As isis, drones were

1:21:39.520 --> 1:21:42.920
<v Speaker 1>effective at sort of spotting, you know, mortars for folks well.

1:21:42.920 --> 1:21:44.400
<v Speaker 1>And one of the things I saw I SIS used

1:21:44.400 --> 1:21:47.760
<v Speaker 1>their more their drones for great effect wasn't so much

1:21:47.960 --> 1:21:50.680
<v Speaker 1>to kill large numbers of enemy soldiers. It was to

1:21:50.760 --> 1:21:53.360
<v Speaker 1>do the same thing that American predator drones and report

1:21:53.439 --> 1:21:56.160
<v Speaker 1>drones had done for for decades by that point the

1:21:56.320 --> 1:21:58.439
<v Speaker 1>terror groups, which is let them know you can't gather

1:21:58.560 --> 1:22:01.240
<v Speaker 1>in large numbers. Yeah, if you gather in large numbers

1:22:01.240 --> 1:22:03.040
<v Speaker 1>of your target. And so you saw a Rocky soldier

1:22:03.120 --> 1:22:04.800
<v Speaker 1>saying no more than two or three in a group, ye,

1:22:05.080 --> 1:22:06.720
<v Speaker 1>any more than that will get targeted, you know, And

1:22:06.880 --> 1:22:10.120
<v Speaker 1>so they flipped the equation basically yep, and don't I

1:22:10.200 --> 1:22:13.560
<v Speaker 1>mean I one of the reasons why I I have

1:22:13.720 --> 1:22:16.799
<v Speaker 1>a general policy heavily informed by my time in Mozle

1:22:16.920 --> 1:22:20.080
<v Speaker 1>that the last place I want to be in a

1:22:20.439 --> 1:22:24.040
<v Speaker 1>anywhere near a war zone is an armored vehicle. Um.

1:22:24.479 --> 1:22:28.240
<v Speaker 1>Because that's really unless you are in something that's heavily

1:22:28.320 --> 1:22:32.000
<v Speaker 1>up armored, like an im wrap. Little bombs dropped by

1:22:32.080 --> 1:22:34.559
<v Speaker 1>drones can do significant damage to something like a humpy

1:22:34.720 --> 1:22:36.960
<v Speaker 1>and that's exactly what you target. You don't target a

1:22:37.040 --> 1:22:40.240
<v Speaker 1>Toyota Corolla with a drone like that, unless you specifically

1:22:40.320 --> 1:22:42.639
<v Speaker 1>know an individuals in that Corolla that you want to kill.

1:22:43.280 --> 1:22:46.240
<v Speaker 1>But you may just behind the lines see a target

1:22:46.280 --> 1:22:49.240
<v Speaker 1>of opportunity in an armor see an armored lightly armored vehicle,

1:22:49.320 --> 1:22:52.200
<v Speaker 1>and drop a immunition on it. And that's one of

1:22:52.240 --> 1:22:54.519
<v Speaker 1>the things this is done. There's a lot of talk

1:22:54.640 --> 1:22:57.920
<v Speaker 1>prior to the expanded Russian invasion about how immediately Russia

1:22:58.000 --> 1:23:00.040
<v Speaker 1>was going to get air superiority, and that's obviously a

1:23:00.120 --> 1:23:03.000
<v Speaker 1>bigger story than just drones. There's a lot of factors

1:23:03.080 --> 1:23:06.360
<v Speaker 1>and why Russia. It's probably accurate to say they have

1:23:06.479 --> 1:23:09.040
<v Speaker 1>superiority in a number of parts of the war, but

1:23:09.120 --> 1:23:11.320
<v Speaker 1>they don't have supremacy like that. It's not like an

1:23:11.320 --> 1:23:14.559
<v Speaker 1>absolute matter. And part of that is because, um, it's

1:23:14.600 --> 1:23:18.320
<v Speaker 1>not really possible to at this moment. Someday, I suspect

1:23:18.360 --> 1:23:21.040
<v Speaker 1>there will be more effective ways of stopping drones and

1:23:21.840 --> 1:23:25.519
<v Speaker 1>at like a theater level. Um, maybe, but it certainly

1:23:25.560 --> 1:23:29.040
<v Speaker 1>hasn't happened yet. Yeah. Yeah, And and that's the thing.

1:23:29.120 --> 1:23:31.040
<v Speaker 1>You know, there's there's the drones, and then there's also

1:23:31.479 --> 1:23:34.000
<v Speaker 1>on the Ukrainian side, they you know, I think they

1:23:34.120 --> 1:23:37.920
<v Speaker 1>recognize that air force against air force, the Russians have

1:23:37.960 --> 1:23:41.680
<v Speaker 1>a numerical superiority. So you can deny the Russians air

1:23:41.760 --> 1:23:45.439
<v Speaker 1>supremacy by shooting down their planes with man pads. You

1:23:45.520 --> 1:23:47.559
<v Speaker 1>don't have to have an air force to deny your opponent.

1:23:48.600 --> 1:23:50.400
<v Speaker 1>You just have to dine them the ability to freely

1:23:50.439 --> 1:23:53.320
<v Speaker 1>operate in your airspace. And this is one of those things.

1:23:53.400 --> 1:23:55.880
<v Speaker 1>There's been a lot of talk about a no fly zone, um,

1:23:56.080 --> 1:23:58.120
<v Speaker 1>which I tend to think would be a bad idea

1:23:58.200 --> 1:24:00.360
<v Speaker 1>in the traditional sense in terms of like the US

1:24:00.880 --> 1:24:03.920
<v Speaker 1>and NATO sending in planes to down Russian planes over Ukraine.

1:24:03.920 --> 1:24:06.439
<v Speaker 1>There's a number of reasons why that's concerning. But you

1:24:06.560 --> 1:24:09.360
<v Speaker 1>can effectively establish a no fly zone by shipping in

1:24:09.400 --> 1:24:13.800
<v Speaker 1>a funckload of man pads exactly. Yeah, And I'm not

1:24:13.920 --> 1:24:16.200
<v Speaker 1>against that. I think in terms of what kind of

1:24:16.640 --> 1:24:20.719
<v Speaker 1>what kind of armed arms support is ethical to provide,

1:24:21.360 --> 1:24:25.320
<v Speaker 1>giving people the ability to stop planes from bombing cities

1:24:25.600 --> 1:24:28.120
<v Speaker 1>is broadly speaking, one of the most ethical things you

1:24:28.200 --> 1:24:31.559
<v Speaker 1>can do in terms of shipping munitions around the world, right,

1:24:31.640 --> 1:24:34.360
<v Speaker 1>and the other advantages that man pads. I'm sure somebody

1:24:34.400 --> 1:24:37.960
<v Speaker 1>could turn it into a lethal ground weapon, but they're

1:24:38.000 --> 1:24:42.559
<v Speaker 1>pretty hard to yeah, use against ground targets, against houses,

1:24:42.600 --> 1:24:45.560
<v Speaker 1>things like that, not really what they're designed for. So

1:24:46.400 --> 1:24:51.560
<v Speaker 1>it's not like just handing over, you know, some indiscriminate

1:24:51.600 --> 1:24:54.200
<v Speaker 1>weapon to the Ukrainians to use against Russian cities. You're

1:24:54.280 --> 1:24:57.719
<v Speaker 1>you're giving them a weapon that's specifically used against military aircraft.

1:24:57.920 --> 1:25:00.520
<v Speaker 1>Like most man pads can't reach the altitude the airliners

1:25:00.520 --> 1:25:04.400
<v Speaker 1>are out even so yep, so I think that's probably

1:25:04.520 --> 1:25:07.080
<v Speaker 1>what we want to talk about today. Um, you wanna

1:25:07.600 --> 1:25:09.639
<v Speaker 1>plug your plug ables, tell people where they can find

1:25:09.680 --> 1:25:13.120
<v Speaker 1>you in your analysis out in the wild. Yeah, so

1:25:13.479 --> 1:25:15.759
<v Speaker 1>you can. You can follow me on Twitter. My handle

1:25:15.880 --> 1:25:20.240
<v Speaker 1>is at Shabanian Rum and uh I work I published

1:25:20.240 --> 1:25:23.000
<v Speaker 1>occasionally with the New Lines Institute. Uh so you can

1:25:23.040 --> 1:25:24.880
<v Speaker 1>see my work there as well. And I have a

1:25:24.960 --> 1:25:27.920
<v Speaker 1>website that I seldom update, the Folded Gap dot com

1:25:28.479 --> 1:25:31.800
<v Speaker 1>um hasn't been updated and probably eight months now because

1:25:31.880 --> 1:25:35.360
<v Speaker 1>I've been tired. But um, yeah, those are the places

1:25:35.400 --> 1:25:38.200
<v Speaker 1>to find me and uh d m s are open

1:25:38.240 --> 1:25:40.000
<v Speaker 1>on Twitter. So if you ever have questions or anything

1:25:40.040 --> 1:25:41.840
<v Speaker 1>like that, let me know. I'm happy to talk with

1:25:41.840 --> 1:25:44.439
<v Speaker 1>anybody who's got questions on these kind of things. Hell yeah,

1:25:44.840 --> 1:25:50.120
<v Speaker 1>well that's gonna be us. So you know, enjoy this

1:25:50.520 --> 1:25:54.320
<v Speaker 1>analysis of the of the war in Ukraine. Um, before

1:25:54.400 --> 1:25:57.320
<v Speaker 1>we return you to your regularly scheduled multi part series

1:25:57.400 --> 1:26:00.439
<v Speaker 1>on Nazi cat girls. Uh. The primary focus of this

1:26:00.560 --> 1:26:21.760
<v Speaker 1>podcast money money. This is welcome, Dick had happen here?

1:26:22.000 --> 1:26:24.439
<v Speaker 1>It is me, Christopher Long. Uh, this is a This

1:26:24.560 --> 1:26:27.360
<v Speaker 1>is a podcast about things falling apart, things putting back

1:26:27.360 --> 1:26:29.760
<v Speaker 1>together again. And also today it's just about money. Um.

1:26:30.680 --> 1:26:32.639
<v Speaker 1>And also well, okay, it is not just about money.

1:26:32.680 --> 1:26:37.799
<v Speaker 1>It is about money and is about seemingly seemingly esoteric

1:26:38.479 --> 1:26:41.400
<v Speaker 1>arguments about the nature of money that actually turned out

1:26:41.439 --> 1:26:44.040
<v Speaker 1>to be extremely important for any post revolutionary society or

1:26:44.040 --> 1:26:48.200
<v Speaker 1>even just this society. So yeah, and and joining joining

1:26:48.240 --> 1:26:50.559
<v Speaker 1>me to talk about this are Kyle Flannery and Steve

1:26:50.680 --> 1:26:53.280
<v Speaker 1>manned where the co editors of Strange Matters magazine, which

1:26:53.320 --> 1:26:55.479
<v Speaker 1>is a new workers co op that's in the middle

1:26:55.479 --> 1:26:58.479
<v Speaker 1>of a fundraising drive. So yeah, go Stworth the magazine.

1:26:58.600 --> 1:27:01.880
<v Speaker 1>And uh, even Kyle, welcome to the show. It's great

1:27:01.880 --> 1:27:04.719
<v Speaker 1>to be here, Chris, thanks for having us. The basis

1:27:04.760 --> 1:27:07.320
<v Speaker 1>of this interview is a piece that is coming out,

1:27:07.439 --> 1:27:09.720
<v Speaker 1>actually when is it coming out that that's a good

1:27:09.800 --> 1:27:12.800
<v Speaker 1>question that I should probably have asked of this. Um,

1:27:13.160 --> 1:27:16.559
<v Speaker 1>let's see, it will come out later this month. Okay, Yeah,

1:27:16.720 --> 1:27:19.200
<v Speaker 1>there'll be out later this month. That is about the

1:27:19.320 --> 1:27:22.360
<v Speaker 1>history of money and what money is. So I guess

1:27:22.400 --> 1:27:25.840
<v Speaker 1>we can we can start there, which is, yeah, can

1:27:25.920 --> 1:27:29.759
<v Speaker 1>can you walk us through a bit about the debate

1:27:29.880 --> 1:27:33.360
<v Speaker 1>over what money is and how sort of various people

1:27:33.439 --> 1:27:36.479
<v Speaker 1>have gotten parts of it wrong and parts of it right. Sure.

1:27:36.920 --> 1:27:41.799
<v Speaker 1>I got into this debate as a economics graduate student

1:27:41.960 --> 1:27:45.920
<v Speaker 1>in eleven and a book that really kind of shaped

1:27:46.160 --> 1:27:49.320
<v Speaker 1>my initial understanding was David Graeber's Depth the First five

1:27:49.400 --> 1:27:55.479
<v Speaker 1>Thousand Years and yeah, it's excellent. Um it's it's very long,

1:27:55.560 --> 1:27:58.760
<v Speaker 1>and it's a bit scattered, but I love what he

1:27:58.840 --> 1:28:01.920
<v Speaker 1>put together with it. And um, so he kind of

1:28:01.960 --> 1:28:07.320
<v Speaker 1>introduced me to ideas of from a school of economic

1:28:07.439 --> 1:28:10.640
<v Speaker 1>thought called chartile is UM and chartial is M is

1:28:10.760 --> 1:28:14.960
<v Speaker 1>kind of the theoretical forbear of M M T and

1:28:15.280 --> 1:28:19.160
<v Speaker 1>m M T is, which is modern monetary theory is

1:28:19.240 --> 1:28:21.920
<v Speaker 1>kind of in the news now as a theory which

1:28:22.000 --> 1:28:25.360
<v Speaker 1>is saying, like, okay, if you if you're a government

1:28:25.840 --> 1:28:29.880
<v Speaker 1>that issues its own money, its own currency, that is

1:28:29.960 --> 1:28:32.439
<v Speaker 1>not really backed by anything. It's not backed by any

1:28:32.520 --> 1:28:37.080
<v Speaker 1>other currency or any other commodity. Then you don't really

1:28:37.400 --> 1:28:40.240
<v Speaker 1>face a financial limit as far as how much you

1:28:40.320 --> 1:28:42.920
<v Speaker 1>can produce. You you're the sole source of that money,

1:28:43.520 --> 1:28:47.120
<v Speaker 1>and you can spend it into existence, spend by buying

1:28:47.240 --> 1:28:51.680
<v Speaker 1>things the money into existence, and people will accept it

1:28:51.760 --> 1:28:54.240
<v Speaker 1>to the extent that they either need it or they

1:28:54.320 --> 1:28:58.640
<v Speaker 1>want it. And that's one theory that's kind of in

1:28:58.680 --> 1:29:02.120
<v Speaker 1>the air now. But chartali is Um, over a hundred

1:29:02.200 --> 1:29:06.559
<v Speaker 1>years before this, is putting out very similar ideas around

1:29:06.760 --> 1:29:10.120
<v Speaker 1>money that is um created by states in order to

1:29:10.400 --> 1:29:15.080
<v Speaker 1>martial physical resources. They call it biophysical resources, which is

1:29:15.200 --> 1:29:22.599
<v Speaker 1>just a fancy word of meaning all of the material, people, techniques, um,

1:29:22.840 --> 1:29:28.320
<v Speaker 1>physical processes that are required to create economic activity. So

1:29:29.040 --> 1:29:31.120
<v Speaker 1>to the extent that people either need or want your

1:29:31.160 --> 1:29:34.600
<v Speaker 1>money UM, you can use it as a social technology

1:29:34.720 --> 1:29:38.560
<v Speaker 1>sort of to marshal those resources into action, and you

1:29:38.720 --> 1:29:43.240
<v Speaker 1>being a state, chartali is Um says, so from Chartalism

1:29:43.280 --> 1:29:45.800
<v Speaker 1>we got m MT. But David Graverer's book is about

1:29:45.800 --> 1:29:48.680
<v Speaker 1>a lot more than just Churtleism and MT, So it's

1:29:48.680 --> 1:29:52.320
<v Speaker 1>about the origins of money, and origins of money, it

1:29:52.439 --> 1:29:55.640
<v Speaker 1>turns out, are at least five thousand years ago. As

1:29:55.680 --> 1:30:00.960
<v Speaker 1>the title says, UM, there are examples of UM early

1:30:01.040 --> 1:30:07.240
<v Speaker 1>accounting systems that are where people are just UM. Rather

1:30:07.320 --> 1:30:10.240
<v Speaker 1>than there being a circulating medium of exchange type money

1:30:10.400 --> 1:30:13.519
<v Speaker 1>like a coin or something or a daughter bill, there

1:30:13.560 --> 1:30:16.280
<v Speaker 1>were just records of what people own and what people

1:30:16.360 --> 1:30:20.600
<v Speaker 1>owe and their debts and credits against each other. And

1:30:21.760 --> 1:30:26.840
<v Speaker 1>it was in early Mesopotamia there. So we have these

1:30:26.880 --> 1:30:32.040
<v Speaker 1>early accounting systems that yield more advanced credit systems over time,

1:30:32.360 --> 1:30:36.000
<v Speaker 1>that are ruled by temples UM, which are sort of

1:30:36.040 --> 1:30:38.519
<v Speaker 1>proto states in a way in terms of like they

1:30:38.600 --> 1:30:42.919
<v Speaker 1>administer the flow of goods and services through their territory

1:30:43.120 --> 1:30:48.080
<v Speaker 1>and between their territory and another temple's territory using their

1:30:48.160 --> 1:30:53.440
<v Speaker 1>domestic money, but also international money. International money was facilitated

1:30:53.520 --> 1:30:58.320
<v Speaker 1>through trade networks. Trade networks use things like UM. They

1:30:58.400 --> 1:31:01.639
<v Speaker 1>needed to convert between a domestic money and international money.

1:31:02.920 --> 1:31:06.639
<v Speaker 1>And Gregory goes through these like wonderful examples of UM,

1:31:06.840 --> 1:31:11.040
<v Speaker 1>silver and other medals being used as like international means

1:31:11.080 --> 1:31:16.000
<v Speaker 1>of payment. UM. That's sort of our term in our

1:31:16.080 --> 1:31:20.160
<v Speaker 1>piece basically, which is covering them foreign exchange. But UM.

1:31:21.160 --> 1:31:23.320
<v Speaker 1>He says, like in order to get from the domestic

1:31:23.400 --> 1:31:26.479
<v Speaker 1>money into the international money. UM. You need to have

1:31:26.800 --> 1:31:31.760
<v Speaker 1>these linkages of experts in the temple and the trade

1:31:31.840 --> 1:31:36.800
<v Speaker 1>networks to get together and make um credit instruments which

1:31:36.920 --> 1:31:41.479
<v Speaker 1>knit them together into this trade network. And from there

1:31:41.760 --> 1:31:44.599
<v Speaker 1>we go into UM. I don't want to spend too

1:31:44.680 --> 1:31:47.000
<v Speaker 1>much time on the history, but we go from there

1:31:47.120 --> 1:31:54.439
<v Speaker 1>to situations thousands of years later, we get coins. Coins

1:31:54.720 --> 1:32:02.080
<v Speaker 1>are being minted by starting in the fulle six hundred BC.

1:32:02.720 --> 1:32:08.040
<v Speaker 1>I want to say, Carl, yeah, that that sounds about right.

1:32:08.160 --> 1:32:12.120
<v Speaker 1>So um the first I someone can correct me if

1:32:12.160 --> 1:32:14.640
<v Speaker 1>I'm wrong. But I've been doing some homework on this

1:32:14.800 --> 1:32:16.840
<v Speaker 1>because I've been on a few podcasts and there's like

1:32:17.040 --> 1:32:22.200
<v Speaker 1>like numismatists in the comments and whatnot. But um, the

1:32:22.400 --> 1:32:26.880
<v Speaker 1>first okay, the first mixed gold and silver coin was

1:32:27.280 --> 1:32:32.639
<v Speaker 1>sometime in the seventh century BC, and the first gold

1:32:32.720 --> 1:32:35.560
<v Speaker 1>coin was not long after. I think it was like

1:32:35.960 --> 1:32:41.040
<v Speaker 1>they were both Lydian kings, like one after another. Anyway,

1:32:41.040 --> 1:32:42.840
<v Speaker 1>I just wanted to hit that because someone said I

1:32:42.880 --> 1:32:49.080
<v Speaker 1>got wrong earlier. But um uh, these coins were kind

1:32:49.080 --> 1:32:54.200
<v Speaker 1>of the first widely used sort of retail means of

1:32:54.320 --> 1:32:58.599
<v Speaker 1>settling debts, like at the point of sale between people.

1:32:59.040 --> 1:33:01.280
<v Speaker 1>So it wasn't just an accounting system. It was an

1:33:01.280 --> 1:33:04.160
<v Speaker 1>elaborate credit system with no circulating means of payment. It

1:33:04.280 --> 1:33:08.640
<v Speaker 1>was a circulating money. Now and it's getting around um

1:33:09.040 --> 1:33:13.960
<v Speaker 1>based on military conquest. Military conquest in the excellent age

1:33:14.520 --> 1:33:17.920
<v Speaker 1>spread the use of coins much wider than the domestic

1:33:18.000 --> 1:33:20.960
<v Speaker 1>spheres in which they were first minted. Yeah, and I

1:33:21.240 --> 1:33:23.439
<v Speaker 1>think we should like just just to talk about it

1:33:23.439 --> 1:33:26.439
<v Speaker 1>about like roughly when this is like you know like

1:33:26.479 --> 1:33:27.960
<v Speaker 1>if if if you go back, I mean this this

1:33:28.080 --> 1:33:30.840
<v Speaker 1>is slightly later, but one of the huge sort of

1:33:30.960 --> 1:33:34.360
<v Speaker 1>like like the periods where like the entire Mediterraneans using coinage,

1:33:34.439 --> 1:33:36.040
<v Speaker 1>right is you know you're this this is this is

1:33:36.080 --> 1:33:38.160
<v Speaker 1>when you're dealing with you're sort of like classical Greek

1:33:38.320 --> 1:33:40.120
<v Speaker 1>like you have you have your gree your Greeks and

1:33:40.200 --> 1:33:41.960
<v Speaker 1>your Persians, and you have your sort of like Athens

1:33:42.000 --> 1:33:45.840
<v Speaker 1>and sparta Um and that those guys are very much uh,

1:33:46.160 --> 1:33:49.320
<v Speaker 1>they're engaged in this thing that Graver calls the the

1:33:49.400 --> 1:33:54.599
<v Speaker 1>military industrial coinage slavery complex, the military industrial coinage complex. Yeah,

1:33:54.800 --> 1:33:56.439
<v Speaker 1>and I yeah, I think he has slavery on the

1:33:56.520 --> 1:33:58.599
<v Speaker 1>end because it's yeah, it's it's this giant sort of places,

1:33:58.720 --> 1:34:02.240
<v Speaker 1>giant warfare system. Right, these are like like Athens is

1:34:02.240 --> 1:34:04.559
<v Speaker 1>an empire, right, they run around, they steal, they see

1:34:04.640 --> 1:34:07.160
<v Speaker 1>people's gold, this golden silver byance, and they like have

1:34:07.320 --> 1:34:09.320
<v Speaker 1>slaves that work in this this whole sort of light

1:34:10.720 --> 1:34:13.479
<v Speaker 1>like this. Yeah, you get the system of empire that

1:34:13.720 --> 1:34:17.120
<v Speaker 1>is like what the actual ages sort of defined by. Yeah. Yeah,

1:34:17.200 --> 1:34:21.439
<v Speaker 1>And it's like whereas previously, like so precious medals did circulate,

1:34:21.520 --> 1:34:23.720
<v Speaker 1>but they weren't in coin form, and they were more

1:34:24.040 --> 1:34:27.639
<v Speaker 1>as like a bulk means of payment stored from one

1:34:27.680 --> 1:34:30.519
<v Speaker 1>temple to the next, almost as if they are central banks,

1:34:30.560 --> 1:34:35.000
<v Speaker 1>but central banks don't exist yet, and actual actual age

1:34:35.080 --> 1:34:39.360
<v Speaker 1>coinage system gave rise to the more much more sophisticated

1:34:39.439 --> 1:34:43.559
<v Speaker 1>medieval coinage system. And I'm going breezily through this because um,

1:34:43.680 --> 1:34:47.920
<v Speaker 1>there's a lot there, but several years, there's several thousands

1:34:48.000 --> 1:34:50.400
<v Speaker 1>years they're passing in a few minutes here, so um,

1:34:50.680 --> 1:34:57.160
<v Speaker 1>bear with me. But there are there now in the Mediva,

1:34:57.400 --> 1:35:00.040
<v Speaker 1>Medieval and Renaissance times, not only do we have the

1:35:00.080 --> 1:35:03.479
<v Speaker 1>coin is circulating, but we also have credit instruments um

1:35:03.960 --> 1:35:11.559
<v Speaker 1>which uh are being submitted, transferred, transmitted rather between banks uh,

1:35:12.720 --> 1:35:17.639
<v Speaker 1>between banks in different countries and territories that are saying, hey,

1:35:17.880 --> 1:35:21.759
<v Speaker 1>you don't even need to based on what is written

1:35:21.800 --> 1:35:24.439
<v Speaker 1>on this piece of paper, I already know you're good

1:35:24.479 --> 1:35:28.280
<v Speaker 1>for it. I will dispense with the coins uh that

1:35:28.600 --> 1:35:31.360
<v Speaker 1>I have in my bank because this paper signifies that

1:35:31.479 --> 1:35:34.880
<v Speaker 1>they you're good for it, basically, and so that greatly

1:35:35.200 --> 1:35:40.479
<v Speaker 1>speeds things up in terms of UM settling commerce debts

1:35:41.320 --> 1:35:47.560
<v Speaker 1>and and uh settling bills between different UM states. So

1:35:48.840 --> 1:35:50.760
<v Speaker 1>but going through all this history, the point of it

1:35:50.960 --> 1:35:53.960
<v Speaker 1>is that at every at every sort of step of

1:35:54.040 --> 1:35:56.479
<v Speaker 1>the way, you see, okay, there's a lot of different

1:35:56.520 --> 1:35:59.960
<v Speaker 1>types of money. They're circulating and they're being exchanged against

1:36:00.040 --> 1:36:02.599
<v Speaker 1>one another, and there also seems to be a domestic

1:36:02.680 --> 1:36:08.320
<v Speaker 1>sphere and international sphere. The international means of payment, which

1:36:08.439 --> 1:36:11.920
<v Speaker 1>is a analytic category that um I and my co

1:36:12.080 --> 1:36:16.120
<v Speaker 1>author John Michael Cloone thought up, is kind of sort

1:36:16.160 --> 1:36:21.960
<v Speaker 1>of sets the tune as far as what uh, what

1:36:22.360 --> 1:36:25.840
<v Speaker 1>kind of hierarchy of money, if you will, develops in

1:36:26.160 --> 1:36:30.080
<v Speaker 1>each of these ages. So like in the prior to

1:36:30.120 --> 1:36:33.600
<v Speaker 1>the Axle Age, there were both there was bulk settlements

1:36:33.720 --> 1:36:36.639
<v Speaker 1>from one temple to the next in terms of silver

1:36:36.920 --> 1:36:40.360
<v Speaker 1>although it wasn't coins, it was just UM like bullion

1:36:40.840 --> 1:36:44.880
<v Speaker 1>basically UM, and then and then later it was coins,

1:36:44.920 --> 1:36:47.280
<v Speaker 1>and then later it was bills of exchange, and then

1:36:48.800 --> 1:36:54.160
<v Speaker 1>after a while there emerged gold standards UM that existed

1:36:54.200 --> 1:36:58.960
<v Speaker 1>between nations, and they had central banks eventually, which UM

1:36:59.200 --> 1:37:02.360
<v Speaker 1>hoarded goal old not because not just because they are

1:37:02.439 --> 1:37:06.000
<v Speaker 1>fetishizing it or something something basic like that, but rather

1:37:06.200 --> 1:37:10.280
<v Speaker 1>because it was the established international means of payment. And

1:37:11.240 --> 1:37:13.840
<v Speaker 1>if you either you need that or you need something

1:37:13.920 --> 1:37:18.120
<v Speaker 1>that is easily transferable into that in order to conduct

1:37:18.200 --> 1:37:23.560
<v Speaker 1>your trade, especially if you're developing country or um A

1:37:23.880 --> 1:37:29.439
<v Speaker 1>otherwise like an upstart state of some type. Now today

1:37:29.600 --> 1:37:34.000
<v Speaker 1>we're in a dollarized world. The dollar is the international

1:37:34.080 --> 1:37:39.519
<v Speaker 1>means of payment from one onwards the M M T story, Yeah,

1:37:39.560 --> 1:37:43.560
<v Speaker 1>I mean that's basically true. The E then the for

1:37:44.240 --> 1:37:47.880
<v Speaker 1>the US government as the issuer the sole issue of

1:37:48.000 --> 1:37:50.680
<v Speaker 1>the dollar, which is a fiat currency which is not

1:37:50.800 --> 1:37:53.960
<v Speaker 1>backed by anything UM. Yeah, you can make as much

1:37:54.000 --> 1:37:56.560
<v Speaker 1>of that as what you want. You could make, you

1:37:56.640 --> 1:38:00.760
<v Speaker 1>can create and spend into existence as need dollars as

1:38:00.840 --> 1:38:04.559
<v Speaker 1>the US government wants, and then delete it from existence

1:38:04.640 --> 1:38:08.759
<v Speaker 1>by taxing it away. And that makes perfect sense totally

1:38:08.760 --> 1:38:12.200
<v Speaker 1>acknowledged that. But there's some problems nonetheless in terms of

1:38:12.280 --> 1:38:16.759
<v Speaker 1>how they apply that into a more general theory, because

1:38:16.800 --> 1:38:19.680
<v Speaker 1>it's like, can you, okay, you can make as much

1:38:19.720 --> 1:38:22.439
<v Speaker 1>of your own money, what about other types of money

1:38:23.120 --> 1:38:27.680
<v Speaker 1>from the perspective of a US state craft interested individual,

1:38:27.920 --> 1:38:32.880
<v Speaker 1>Like why would you care about other people's money? Basically,

1:38:33.000 --> 1:38:35.720
<v Speaker 1>if you're just the full sole source of the of

1:38:35.800 --> 1:38:38.320
<v Speaker 1>the US dollar, which happens to also be the international

1:38:38.360 --> 1:38:42.439
<v Speaker 1>means of payment, of course you wouldn't are if you're like, say,

1:38:42.560 --> 1:38:50.200
<v Speaker 1>to Tunisia. The Tunisian dollar is accepted almost nowhere as payment. Yeah,

1:38:50.280 --> 1:38:51.840
<v Speaker 1>And and one one of the big things, I mean,

1:38:52.000 --> 1:38:54.360
<v Speaker 1>it's not the soul driver and people start for emphasize this.

1:38:54.439 --> 1:38:56.880
<v Speaker 1>I'm going to caveat this immediately because people will yell

1:38:56.920 --> 1:38:58.080
<v Speaker 1>at me. But like, one of one of the very

1:38:58.080 --> 1:39:00.840
<v Speaker 1>important things about the dollar is that the dollar is

1:39:00.880 --> 1:39:04.280
<v Speaker 1>what you can buy oil in. And this is extremely

1:39:04.320 --> 1:39:06.880
<v Speaker 1>important because if you are a society in the world,

1:39:07.160 --> 1:39:11.560
<v Speaker 1>you need oil. Um, this is basically universally true. And

1:39:11.800 --> 1:39:14.680
<v Speaker 1>and this you know, but and the fact that you

1:39:14.760 --> 1:39:16.160
<v Speaker 1>need to buy oil, and and the fact that you

1:39:16.160 --> 1:39:17.320
<v Speaker 1>need to buy a lot of other things that are

1:39:17.360 --> 1:39:20.280
<v Speaker 1>manufactured in the US means you have to find some

1:39:20.400 --> 1:39:23.360
<v Speaker 1>way to get U S dollars. Now, again, the US doesn't.

1:39:23.360 --> 1:39:24.920
<v Speaker 1>This doesn't matter for the U S because we can

1:39:24.960 --> 1:39:28.439
<v Speaker 1>just make them. Well okay, a, this is another thing.

1:39:29.240 --> 1:39:32.840
<v Speaker 1>This stuff gets very weird and convoluted very quickly. Um.

1:39:32.960 --> 1:39:37.680
<v Speaker 1>But the essentially the US can just sort of make

1:39:37.840 --> 1:39:40.559
<v Speaker 1>this money technically speaking as a federal reserve. And there's

1:39:40.600 --> 1:39:44.840
<v Speaker 1>all of this just incredibly convoluted finance stuff. But yeah,

1:39:44.880 --> 1:39:46.760
<v Speaker 1>the the US like doesn't the US does not have

1:39:46.920 --> 1:39:48.840
<v Speaker 1>to worry about obtaining U S dollars. You could just

1:39:48.920 --> 1:39:51.760
<v Speaker 1>do it. But you know, yeah, if if you're if

1:39:51.800 --> 1:39:53.720
<v Speaker 1>you're if you're I don't know if true Trenisia, if

1:39:53.760 --> 1:39:57.519
<v Speaker 1>you're Denmarks an example, Yeah, den Mark. Yeah, like you

1:39:57.760 --> 1:39:59.400
<v Speaker 1>you you need to find a way to get US

1:39:59.439 --> 1:40:01.200
<v Speaker 1>dollars because you need to have stuff, you need to

1:40:01.320 --> 1:40:04.280
<v Speaker 1>use US dollars to buy it. Mhm. Yeah. And so

1:40:04.479 --> 1:40:07.400
<v Speaker 1>in our national context, this is after all of the

1:40:07.479 --> 1:40:10.800
<v Speaker 1>history I just went through, since about or so when

1:40:10.880 --> 1:40:13.439
<v Speaker 1>we went off the gold standard. Um, we have a

1:40:13.520 --> 1:40:17.320
<v Speaker 1>system of central banks dominated by the dollar, and the

1:40:17.439 --> 1:40:25.519
<v Speaker 1>dollar represents about of settlement of all trade and the

1:40:25.640 --> 1:40:29.879
<v Speaker 1>next five or so currencies are plus the US account

1:40:30.000 --> 1:40:34.080
<v Speaker 1>for like a d of all trade, so there's really

1:40:34.240 --> 1:40:38.679
<v Speaker 1>just a few currencies which dominate everything, with the US

1:40:38.760 --> 1:40:43.240
<v Speaker 1>being outsized among them. And when you look at the

1:40:43.320 --> 1:40:47.200
<v Speaker 1>historical record, this is like very similar to other forms

1:40:47.240 --> 1:40:49.800
<v Speaker 1>of international means of payment, where it's like, okay, I

1:40:49.840 --> 1:40:51.599
<v Speaker 1>either need to have the one that's at the top,

1:40:52.200 --> 1:40:56.920
<v Speaker 1>or failing that, one of the other sort of reserve currencies,

1:40:57.160 --> 1:41:00.639
<v Speaker 1>even though that that that terminology didn't really exists prior

1:41:00.680 --> 1:41:05.960
<v Speaker 1>to about eighty years ago. Um. But yeah, so like

1:41:06.080 --> 1:41:08.120
<v Speaker 1>if you don't if it's not gold, then okay, it's

1:41:08.120 --> 1:41:10.800
<v Speaker 1>the US dollar, So we need dollars or we either

1:41:10.920 --> 1:41:13.120
<v Speaker 1>need to be printing dollars because we're the U S

1:41:13.240 --> 1:41:16.000
<v Speaker 1>or for not them, then we need to get into

1:41:16.120 --> 1:41:18.599
<v Speaker 1>either U S Dollar or the yen or the euro

1:41:18.920 --> 1:41:23.280
<v Speaker 1>or one of the major trading currencies. And um, like China,

1:41:25.120 --> 1:41:28.120
<v Speaker 1>China does a lot of trade with the US and

1:41:28.800 --> 1:41:32.799
<v Speaker 1>they sell things to us, We give them dollars. They're rational,

1:41:33.040 --> 1:41:36.160
<v Speaker 1>they put their dollars into treasuries to gain a little

1:41:36.160 --> 1:41:38.240
<v Speaker 1>bit of a return instead of just holding the dollars

1:41:38.320 --> 1:41:40.800
<v Speaker 1>themselves for no return. Do we explain I guess what

1:41:40.880 --> 1:41:44.320
<v Speaker 1>a treasury is because yeah, sorry, Uh, the treasury bill

1:41:44.680 --> 1:41:47.040
<v Speaker 1>is if you receive dollars, you can use them to

1:41:47.120 --> 1:41:49.880
<v Speaker 1>purchase what's called a treasury note or a treasury bill

1:41:50.400 --> 1:41:52.800
<v Speaker 1>and notes too. So if you ever hear something to

1:41:52.840 --> 1:41:55.240
<v Speaker 1>talk about tea notes, that that's what this is. Yeah.

1:41:55.320 --> 1:41:57.680
<v Speaker 1>So it's a way to learn. It's like moving from

1:41:57.720 --> 1:42:00.760
<v Speaker 1>your checking to your savings account essentially. So if you

1:42:00.840 --> 1:42:03.439
<v Speaker 1>have just dollars in a bank, it doesn't earn hardly anything.

1:42:03.760 --> 1:42:05.560
<v Speaker 1>If you're in a saving if you go into the

1:42:05.640 --> 1:42:08.800
<v Speaker 1>savings account, which is basically the treasury the treasury bills,

1:42:09.000 --> 1:42:11.720
<v Speaker 1>you'll learn a little more and you'll learn dollars. You

1:42:11.760 --> 1:42:15.320
<v Speaker 1>won't earn reminity from them. You'll learn more dollars and

1:42:15.439 --> 1:42:18.800
<v Speaker 1>dollars for the international means of payments. So that's good. Yeah.

1:42:18.840 --> 1:42:21.920
<v Speaker 1>So so like basically like there's the US government puts

1:42:21.920 --> 1:42:23.800
<v Speaker 1>out a bond and like you buy it and then

1:42:24.640 --> 1:42:26.880
<v Speaker 1>when when whatever it like expires or there's like a

1:42:26.960 --> 1:42:29.200
<v Speaker 1>ten year team note that people talk about that's like

1:42:29.880 --> 1:42:32.120
<v Speaker 1>years you buy it and yeah, it'll give it'll give

1:42:32.120 --> 1:42:34.720
<v Speaker 1>you like a certain amount of dollars like later on

1:42:34.840 --> 1:42:37.519
<v Speaker 1>that is more than what you paid for it HM exactly,

1:42:37.720 --> 1:42:39.519
<v Speaker 1>So you'll learn a little bit of interest over time,

1:42:39.920 --> 1:42:41.840
<v Speaker 1>and then you may earn like a little lump sum

1:42:41.920 --> 1:42:47.360
<v Speaker 1>when it matures in in the future. So China has

1:42:47.720 --> 1:42:50.840
<v Speaker 1>tons of dollars. It's part of a huge strategy that

1:42:50.960 --> 1:42:55.599
<v Speaker 1>they have in order to manage their foreign their foreign

1:42:55.640 --> 1:42:59.800
<v Speaker 1>currency reserves or what's called for X. So for X

1:43:00.120 --> 1:43:03.280
<v Speaker 1>is the that's the term. We're going to use a

1:43:03.320 --> 1:43:07.400
<v Speaker 1>lot um. That just is the foreign currency reserves you

1:43:07.520 --> 1:43:10.400
<v Speaker 1>have on hand in order to pay for things that

1:43:10.520 --> 1:43:15.080
<v Speaker 1>are only available for sale in currencies that you can't

1:43:15.120 --> 1:43:17.639
<v Speaker 1>make yourself. Okay. So you know you have this question

1:43:17.720 --> 1:43:19.519
<v Speaker 1>of like why do we care about this? Right, Like

1:43:19.880 --> 1:43:21.679
<v Speaker 1>why do we people who want to make the world

1:43:21.720 --> 1:43:25.960
<v Speaker 1>better care about this? And the answer is, okay, take

1:43:26.040 --> 1:43:29.759
<v Speaker 1>take take your hypothetical scenario, your your Your hypothetical scenario

1:43:30.080 --> 1:43:33.679
<v Speaker 1>is the scenario in which like a a a bunch

1:43:33.720 --> 1:43:36.559
<v Speaker 1>of workers in alliance with like tribal confederations have taken

1:43:36.680 --> 1:43:39.360
<v Speaker 1>Vancouver Island, right, and they've set up a new They've

1:43:39.360 --> 1:43:40.880
<v Speaker 1>they've set up a new government that they have worked

1:43:40.920 --> 1:43:44.120
<v Speaker 1>out sovereignty arrangements. Things have happened. You now have a

1:43:44.200 --> 1:43:47.000
<v Speaker 1>new you have you have a new sort of entity

1:43:47.120 --> 1:43:51.560
<v Speaker 1>that that is in Vancouver Island. Um. Yeah, so so

1:43:51.760 --> 1:43:56.760
<v Speaker 1>immediately you have you have both you have both resources

1:43:56.800 --> 1:43:59.240
<v Speaker 1>and you have problems. Right. You have a certain amount

1:43:59.240 --> 1:44:02.680
<v Speaker 1>of resources that on Vancouver Island, right, you have you know,

1:44:02.800 --> 1:44:05.560
<v Speaker 1>you have like you have literally like what what you

1:44:05.680 --> 1:44:06.960
<v Speaker 1>have the things that are on the island. Right. You

1:44:07.040 --> 1:44:10.280
<v Speaker 1>have cars, you have like probably some yaches you've managed

1:44:10.320 --> 1:44:13.519
<v Speaker 1>to like steal you have you know, you have you

1:44:13.560 --> 1:44:17.920
<v Speaker 1>have shops, you have production facilities, you have extremely large

1:44:18.000 --> 1:44:26.880
<v Speaker 1>number of very good Chinese restaurants. Uh you have trees. Trees, yeah,

1:44:26.920 --> 1:44:30.040
<v Speaker 1>you know restaurants. I mean also it's true like I yeah,

1:44:30.080 --> 1:44:32.360
<v Speaker 1>my my my family spent a lot of time like

1:44:32.479 --> 1:44:36.639
<v Speaker 1>specifically going going to Vancouver Island just to eat Chinese food. Uh. Yeah,

1:44:36.720 --> 1:44:38.479
<v Speaker 1>you know, and say say like, let' let's say you've

1:44:38.479 --> 1:44:40.360
<v Speaker 1>taken Vancouver Island and you you expand out and you

1:44:40.439 --> 1:44:42.920
<v Speaker 1>now have like a swath of Canada, right that that

1:44:43.080 --> 1:44:44.639
<v Speaker 1>is that is that is now sort of been liberated,

1:44:44.720 --> 1:44:46.479
<v Speaker 1>and you know, you have you have you have a

1:44:46.520 --> 1:44:48.640
<v Speaker 1>lot of resources. You have sort of timber, you have

1:44:49.880 --> 1:44:52.400
<v Speaker 1>I don't know, maybe you have coal, maybe you have

1:44:52.680 --> 1:44:54.360
<v Speaker 1>other stuff you have, you have, and you also have

1:44:54.400 --> 1:44:59.400
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people and yeah, you have a lot

1:44:59.439 --> 1:45:01.519
<v Speaker 1>of labor and and those people have a lot of skills,

1:45:01.640 --> 1:45:04.439
<v Speaker 1>they have a lot of education, they have like you know,

1:45:04.560 --> 1:45:06.240
<v Speaker 1>they have, they have, they have, they have a belief

1:45:06.280 --> 1:45:08.439
<v Speaker 1>that you can make the world a better place. And

1:45:08.640 --> 1:45:12.200
<v Speaker 1>I think this is where you know, this is this

1:45:12.360 --> 1:45:15.799
<v Speaker 1>is the arena in which MMT can sort of explain

1:45:15.920 --> 1:45:20.800
<v Speaker 1>what you're doing next. Mhm Yeah. So you have this um,

1:45:21.479 --> 1:45:24.680
<v Speaker 1>you have a territory, this undergone revolutionary change, and you

1:45:24.760 --> 1:45:29.599
<v Speaker 1>have biophysical resources that are in it and biophysical resources

1:45:29.680 --> 1:45:34.400
<v Speaker 1>that could be in it. And you have and you

1:45:34.479 --> 1:45:37.280
<v Speaker 1>also have the social technology of money. Some of the

1:45:37.320 --> 1:45:40.080
<v Speaker 1>money you can just make yourself. Other moneys you cannot

1:45:41.200 --> 1:45:44.519
<v Speaker 1>um M m T in the is applicable in the

1:45:44.600 --> 1:45:47.760
<v Speaker 1>sense that it says in this scenario. I think the

1:45:47.840 --> 1:45:50.840
<v Speaker 1>most the way MMT is most acclicable is to say

1:45:51.880 --> 1:45:56.639
<v Speaker 1>everyone can be employed. Who wants to be employed, Yeah,

1:45:56.680 --> 1:45:58.880
<v Speaker 1>there's they're the One of their principal ideas is a

1:45:58.960 --> 1:46:01.639
<v Speaker 1>job you're in a federal job guarantee. And it could

1:46:01.640 --> 1:46:06.040
<v Speaker 1>be applied just as easily conceptually in this situation. It says,

1:46:07.479 --> 1:46:12.439
<v Speaker 1>UM there's nothing preventing a revolutionary government of some type, um,

1:46:12.640 --> 1:46:15.840
<v Speaker 1>not necessarily a states, but any any non state type

1:46:15.880 --> 1:46:20.360
<v Speaker 1>of administration from setting up something sort of like a

1:46:20.479 --> 1:46:24.640
<v Speaker 1>central bank to make its own money, to martial domestic resources,

1:46:24.800 --> 1:46:30.000
<v Speaker 1>domestic in terms of within its own territory, and to

1:46:30.680 --> 1:46:34.040
<v Speaker 1>get everyone everyone who wants to be employed, to be

1:46:34.160 --> 1:46:37.200
<v Speaker 1>employed and to be paid for their work. Like not

1:46:37.360 --> 1:46:40.560
<v Speaker 1>to be too vulgar, but like why why this is

1:46:40.600 --> 1:46:43.519
<v Speaker 1>stuff is important? This monetary theory in this history is like,

1:46:43.960 --> 1:46:47.080
<v Speaker 1>people want to be paid for their work. They're not

1:46:47.200 --> 1:46:50.120
<v Speaker 1>going to go inviter things. They want to get paid. Yeah,

1:46:50.160 --> 1:46:52.479
<v Speaker 1>And I think this is something that like you know,

1:46:52.520 --> 1:46:54.080
<v Speaker 1>if if if if you look at sort of like

1:46:54.560 --> 1:46:56.679
<v Speaker 1>the thing that gets held up was like the classic

1:46:56.720 --> 1:46:59.160
<v Speaker 1>example of an anarchist revolution, right is is what happens

1:46:59.200 --> 1:47:02.519
<v Speaker 1>in Spain necinety six. And if if if you look

1:47:02.560 --> 1:47:07.559
<v Speaker 1>at what they do right like very almost immediately after

1:47:07.600 --> 1:47:10.080
<v Speaker 1>the revolution, what happens is you have basically like a

1:47:10.240 --> 1:47:13.280
<v Speaker 1>union of all of the bank workers, and those guys

1:47:13.360 --> 1:47:15.840
<v Speaker 1>take over all the banks, um, and you you have

1:47:15.960 --> 1:47:18.439
<v Speaker 1>you have the individual work like workers in different unions

1:47:18.439 --> 1:47:20.800
<v Speaker 1>starts seizing, they start seasing the factories that start seizing

1:47:20.880 --> 1:47:23.880
<v Speaker 1>like the trains. And once they've done that, they start

1:47:24.000 --> 1:47:27.000
<v Speaker 1>just pulling all of their resources into you know, like

1:47:27.080 --> 1:47:29.240
<v Speaker 1>in into like they have they they now have this

1:47:29.439 --> 1:47:31.080
<v Speaker 1>like they have they have the banking union. The banking

1:47:31.160 --> 1:47:33.080
<v Speaker 1>union is is that the sort of sexual body that

1:47:33.200 --> 1:47:36.160
<v Speaker 1>has resources that can distribute it. And you know what

1:47:36.320 --> 1:47:38.680
<v Speaker 1>what what MMT is essentially saying is like, yeah, so

1:47:40.040 --> 1:47:43.000
<v Speaker 1>as long as what you're moving around is the resources

1:47:43.040 --> 1:47:45.560
<v Speaker 1>that you have in your territory, like you can just

1:47:45.840 --> 1:47:48.360
<v Speaker 1>create money in order to do that, and you can

1:47:48.439 --> 1:47:50.280
<v Speaker 1>sort of you know, and you can use this to

1:47:50.320 --> 1:47:51.880
<v Speaker 1>get people to do certain things. And like you know,

1:47:52.000 --> 1:47:56.479
<v Speaker 1>the Catalonians, like they they the equals if one's wages,

1:47:56.560 --> 1:47:58.280
<v Speaker 1>for example, I mean, it would be better if we

1:47:58.320 --> 1:48:01.000
<v Speaker 1>equalize everyone's wages. I do agree with that. Yeah, well,

1:48:01.160 --> 1:48:02.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, I mean they did do with a lot

1:48:02.960 --> 1:48:05.080
<v Speaker 1>of other stuff that's like okay, so like they get

1:48:05.200 --> 1:48:07.400
<v Speaker 1>rid of a lot of jobs that are like sort

1:48:07.439 --> 1:48:10.120
<v Speaker 1>of managerial stuff or like just bullshit jobs they just

1:48:10.200 --> 1:48:12.439
<v Speaker 1>kind of eliminate and yeah, and you know, and this

1:48:12.600 --> 1:48:15.360
<v Speaker 1>this frees up people to like do stuff that actually

1:48:15.439 --> 1:48:18.160
<v Speaker 1>matters and is real instead of sort of dislike this

1:48:18.240 --> 1:48:23.120
<v Speaker 1>sort of bureaucratic hierarchy that's above them. And yeah, but

1:48:23.240 --> 1:48:24.519
<v Speaker 1>and I think the other thing they do that's that's

1:48:24.600 --> 1:48:27.120
<v Speaker 1>very important for our sort of scenario for us talking

1:48:27.120 --> 1:48:29.960
<v Speaker 1>about money is that like they they immediately start like

1:48:30.200 --> 1:48:34.280
<v Speaker 1>they start seizing gold and they start seizing you know,

1:48:34.360 --> 1:48:37.360
<v Speaker 1>like they start seasing foreign currency. And yeah, and I

1:48:37.400 --> 1:48:38.880
<v Speaker 1>think that this this is where we can get into

1:48:38.920 --> 1:48:41.840
<v Speaker 1>where where I guess MP doesn't work because m T

1:48:42.800 --> 1:48:47.559
<v Speaker 1>like it's it's it's it doesn't. It doesn't really think

1:48:47.720 --> 1:48:50.920
<v Speaker 1>much about the fact that like, Okay, you have Vancouver Island,

1:48:51.000 --> 1:48:54.320
<v Speaker 1>you have a part of like Canada, right, there is

1:48:54.400 --> 1:48:58.760
<v Speaker 1>a lot of resources that you don't have. Absolutely, Yeah,

1:48:58.800 --> 1:49:03.759
<v Speaker 1>that's that's that's gonna be a lot of why foreign

1:49:03.800 --> 1:49:09.160
<v Speaker 1>exchange matters so much as that, you know, you inevitably

1:49:09.240 --> 1:49:13.719
<v Speaker 1>you think, what if we just made an autartic society.

1:49:13.920 --> 1:49:17.160
<v Speaker 1>That's sorry, that's a little I probably jump got a

1:49:17.160 --> 1:49:19.360
<v Speaker 1>little bit there. What if we just made everything ourselves?

1:49:19.439 --> 1:49:23.880
<v Speaker 1>What if we made a society that was fully economically independent. Um,

1:49:24.360 --> 1:49:27.000
<v Speaker 1>that's what autarchy tends to be used to mean. And

1:49:27.160 --> 1:49:32.080
<v Speaker 1>the answer to that is because that sucks. The problem

1:49:32.120 --> 1:49:35.559
<v Speaker 1>with it is that it sucks like you, you don't

1:49:35.760 --> 1:49:38.560
<v Speaker 1>want to be trying to manage an autartic society on

1:49:38.800 --> 1:49:45.439
<v Speaker 1>multiple grounds, uh, not least of which is that I mean,

1:49:45.479 --> 1:49:48.160
<v Speaker 1>we've we've we've seen societies try to do it, and uh,

1:49:48.439 --> 1:49:51.479
<v Speaker 1>you know, we me, me and Steve could go for

1:49:51.600 --> 1:49:54.479
<v Speaker 1>hours and hours and hours talking about historical precedents of

1:49:54.560 --> 1:49:57.439
<v Speaker 1>previous economic systems, many of which did try to be autartic,

1:49:57.520 --> 1:49:59.920
<v Speaker 1>because that was something that monarchy has liked a lot,

1:50:00.360 --> 1:50:03.800
<v Speaker 1>was the idea that their their kingdom could be fully independent.

1:50:04.040 --> 1:50:07.479
<v Speaker 1>Because the thing is that when you're economically independent, that

1:50:07.560 --> 1:50:10.360
<v Speaker 1>means that you've got a certain amount of security, of

1:50:10.439 --> 1:50:13.439
<v Speaker 1>international security. Uh. And there's kind of a trade off

1:50:13.560 --> 1:50:16.400
<v Speaker 1>where the more stuff that you're reliant on importing, the

1:50:16.520 --> 1:50:19.280
<v Speaker 1>more vulnerable you are to the people you're importing and

1:50:19.560 --> 1:50:25.040
<v Speaker 1>screwing you. But it's just so massively difficult to be

1:50:25.240 --> 1:50:28.200
<v Speaker 1>a good producer of every possible good. Yeah, and and

1:50:28.280 --> 1:50:30.080
<v Speaker 1>this and this is this is true even if you

1:50:30.200 --> 1:50:32.760
<v Speaker 1>have an annoyance amount of resources, like I think, you know,

1:50:32.800 --> 1:50:34.639
<v Speaker 1>we can talk about one case study of this, which

1:50:34.720 --> 1:50:37.639
<v Speaker 1>is socialist period China, and you know, social spirit China.

1:50:39.200 --> 1:50:42.960
<v Speaker 1>They they have they they they're they're getting resources, and

1:50:43.080 --> 1:50:45.160
<v Speaker 1>especially the early periods, you're getting some resources from like

1:50:45.240 --> 1:50:47.519
<v Speaker 1>Hong Kong, they're getting some stuff from the Soviets. But

1:50:48.120 --> 1:50:52.720
<v Speaker 1>you know they get into like Mao famously does not

1:50:52.880 --> 1:50:55.280
<v Speaker 1>like markets. Um, this is a this is the thing

1:50:55.320 --> 1:50:57.360
<v Speaker 1>that is known about Mao, and so Mao is like, Okay,

1:50:57.400 --> 1:50:59.040
<v Speaker 1>We're like no, we're going to shut off the sort

1:50:59.080 --> 1:51:01.639
<v Speaker 1>of like ket system that we that we've been running

1:51:01.640 --> 1:51:05.160
<v Speaker 1>sort of through Hong Kong. And then you know, China

1:51:05.200 --> 1:51:08.680
<v Speaker 1>have been getting technology transfers and aid from the USSR.

1:51:08.880 --> 1:51:10.599
<v Speaker 1>But you know, the US are in China got into

1:51:10.600 --> 1:51:12.680
<v Speaker 1>a bunch of political fights and the US are like

1:51:12.720 --> 1:51:16.000
<v Speaker 1>pulls out all of advisors and you know China, China

1:51:16.120 --> 1:51:18.360
<v Speaker 1>has an enormous amount of resources, right, they have a

1:51:18.439 --> 1:51:22.280
<v Speaker 1>large population, they have they have just an enormous geographic mass,

1:51:23.479 --> 1:51:27.960
<v Speaker 1>and so they basically try to you know, build into

1:51:28.000 --> 1:51:29.720
<v Speaker 1>target society and they try to sort of just okay,

1:51:29.760 --> 1:51:31.720
<v Speaker 1>well we'll just what does martial our resources and we'll

1:51:31.760 --> 1:51:33.360
<v Speaker 1>just sort of like, well, we'll plan a way out

1:51:33.400 --> 1:51:34.600
<v Speaker 1>of it. And they run into this problem, which is

1:51:34.640 --> 1:51:36.320
<v Speaker 1>that there is actually things that they need from other countries,

1:51:36.360 --> 1:51:39.320
<v Speaker 1>which is technology, and they hit this thing I've talked

1:51:39.360 --> 1:51:42.400
<v Speaker 1>about before, which is, uh, like they basically get this bottle,

1:51:42.439 --> 1:51:44.280
<v Speaker 1>this production bottleneck where it's like, well, okay, so in

1:51:44.400 --> 1:51:46.639
<v Speaker 1>order to produce more industrial goods, than need more food.

1:51:47.400 --> 1:51:49.120
<v Speaker 1>But the problem is, in order to produce more food

1:51:49.160 --> 1:51:52.120
<v Speaker 1>to support a large urban population, uh, you need more

1:51:52.120 --> 1:51:54.519
<v Speaker 1>industrial goods, right, You need your like fertilizers, need your

1:51:54.560 --> 1:51:57.720
<v Speaker 1>tractors and need stuff like that, and you know, and

1:51:58.240 --> 1:52:00.200
<v Speaker 1>once they're cut off from sort of the rest of

1:52:00.240 --> 1:52:01.880
<v Speaker 1>the world from through Hong Kong, and for the U. S.

1:52:01.960 --> 1:52:05.000
<v Speaker 1>S R. They don't have what they you know, they're

1:52:05.000 --> 1:52:06.760
<v Speaker 1>they're sort of they're sort of scrambling to figure out

1:52:06.800 --> 1:52:09.519
<v Speaker 1>how we do this. And their solution is a greatly forward,

1:52:10.200 --> 1:52:13.160
<v Speaker 1>which is essentially we're we're we're gonna just bust through

1:52:13.200 --> 1:52:14.679
<v Speaker 1>this whole thing, and we're gonna do it by forcing

1:52:14.720 --> 1:52:18.559
<v Speaker 1>everyone to work for like an absolutely enormous like increase

1:52:18.600 --> 1:52:20.160
<v Speaker 1>in hours. Right Like, We're we're gonna we're gonna have

1:52:20.160 --> 1:52:22.759
<v Speaker 1>peasants working in the fields literally until they collasse some exhaustion,

1:52:23.400 --> 1:52:25.080
<v Speaker 1>and it just doesn't work. It is a it is

1:52:25.160 --> 1:52:28.640
<v Speaker 1>a epocal failure. There are millions of people die from

1:52:28.680 --> 1:52:32.519
<v Speaker 1>famines and you know, and the sort of the response

1:52:32.600 --> 1:52:36.360
<v Speaker 1>to this is that, like is that China eventually ends

1:52:36.439 --> 1:52:39.200
<v Speaker 1>up like winds up opening its economy again. Yeah and

1:52:39.400 --> 1:52:40.880
<v Speaker 1>yeah and yeah, and like you know, and this is

1:52:40.920 --> 1:52:44.240
<v Speaker 1>the thing, like if if China, which has like just

1:52:44.560 --> 1:52:47.800
<v Speaker 1>just an astounding breath of natural resources, can't pull this off,

1:52:48.200 --> 1:52:53.000
<v Speaker 1>like it's probably just not a good idea because it's like, yeah, well,

1:52:53.080 --> 1:52:55.160
<v Speaker 1>I mean we even have like a very you know,

1:52:55.240 --> 1:52:59.160
<v Speaker 1>a very contemporary example that you know, makes they will

1:52:59.280 --> 1:53:01.040
<v Speaker 1>make certainly makes my blood, boy, and I'm sure we

1:53:01.040 --> 1:53:04.920
<v Speaker 1>will make some of the listeners blood boil. The vaccines, uh,

1:53:05.120 --> 1:53:10.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, the realistically, you know, the the coronavirus is

1:53:10.400 --> 1:53:13.320
<v Speaker 1>fund is a more or less is an incredible threat

1:53:13.360 --> 1:53:15.559
<v Speaker 1>to basically adding every state on the planet at this point.

1:53:16.080 --> 1:53:22.280
<v Speaker 1>And the really really chemical and biomedical research is done

1:53:22.320 --> 1:53:25.080
<v Speaker 1>in just a handful of places on the planet. Uh.

1:53:25.560 --> 1:53:29.920
<v Speaker 1>And there have been attempts to create vaccines outside of

1:53:30.000 --> 1:53:33.800
<v Speaker 1>those places, and they have been somewhat successful, but it

1:53:33.960 --> 1:53:37.880
<v Speaker 1>has been difficult, and most places are just not in

1:53:37.960 --> 1:53:44.000
<v Speaker 1>a position to create a to develop their own competing technology. Uh.

1:53:44.120 --> 1:53:48.480
<v Speaker 1>And even China struggled with creating their own competing vaccination technology.

1:53:48.479 --> 1:53:52.120
<v Speaker 1>And I'm not at all a bio biology expert, understand

1:53:52.200 --> 1:53:56.360
<v Speaker 1>it's a not quite a sufficient vaccine, the sinovac. But

1:53:57.400 --> 1:53:59.559
<v Speaker 1>at the end of the day, this is like South

1:53:59.600 --> 1:54:02.080
<v Speaker 1>Africa not developing their own independent vaccine. That's a quite

1:54:02.120 --> 1:54:06.040
<v Speaker 1>sophisticatedicated economy. All of all the very South American countries

1:54:06.080 --> 1:54:08.800
<v Speaker 1>could have pulled their resources together in theory, but it's

1:54:08.880 --> 1:54:12.879
<v Speaker 1>so hard to turn a dime and develop from scratch

1:54:12.960 --> 1:54:18.120
<v Speaker 1>a primary research industry. Uh, it's so difficult, and it's

1:54:18.160 --> 1:54:20.880
<v Speaker 1>so not worth it. It's you know, if you have

1:54:21.240 --> 1:54:25.479
<v Speaker 1>trade relations with a country that has technology developments in

1:54:25.560 --> 1:54:28.040
<v Speaker 1>a field that you really care about, it's just not

1:54:28.840 --> 1:54:32.080
<v Speaker 1>really worth it. Like we don't the United States doesn't

1:54:32.080 --> 1:54:34.960
<v Speaker 1>really compete with several sort of forms of Japanese technology

1:54:35.040 --> 1:54:40.080
<v Speaker 1>because it's just not worth the bother. Uh. Just let

1:54:40.560 --> 1:54:43.600
<v Speaker 1>Korea and Japan handle that for US, and we buy

1:54:43.640 --> 1:54:46.280
<v Speaker 1>it and they accept our our four x they accept

1:54:46.320 --> 1:54:50.720
<v Speaker 1>our dollars. But you know, let's say you're the Philippines, Yeah,

1:54:51.720 --> 1:54:54.480
<v Speaker 1>how are you going to get those? And uh, this

1:54:54.680 --> 1:54:57.720
<v Speaker 1>is this is now international trade and international politics. And

1:54:58.680 --> 1:55:02.200
<v Speaker 1>if we're creating our now independent Vancouver Island, we have

1:55:02.280 --> 1:55:05.960
<v Speaker 1>now entered into this territory, we have now entered into

1:55:06.360 --> 1:55:11.040
<v Speaker 1>international politics and international trade. Yeah, and and this this

1:55:11.160 --> 1:55:13.920
<v Speaker 1>is an arena that's fraud in a lot of ways

1:55:14.040 --> 1:55:16.240
<v Speaker 1>because it's it's you know, as you've sort of been

1:55:16.240 --> 1:55:18.080
<v Speaker 1>talking about, right, it's it's not just that you need.

1:55:19.520 --> 1:55:21.360
<v Speaker 1>It's not sing that you need for XP. It's like example,

1:55:21.400 --> 1:55:23.880
<v Speaker 1>like you know, if you have you have your sort

1:55:23.920 --> 1:55:27.240
<v Speaker 1>of like you know, you you you you have your

1:55:27.280 --> 1:55:31.040
<v Speaker 1>new society and like Vancouver, right mack you violence, you

1:55:31.120 --> 1:55:32.960
<v Speaker 1>know you need the thing you need mostly is dollars.

1:55:34.280 --> 1:55:39.240
<v Speaker 1>And this is this is a real problem because this

1:55:39.440 --> 1:55:42.760
<v Speaker 1>requires you to have something that you can turn into dollars.

1:55:43.960 --> 1:55:45.760
<v Speaker 1>And you know, okay, so you're you're going to have

1:55:45.920 --> 1:55:49.360
<v Speaker 1>some amount of dollars that are just there right from

1:55:49.400 --> 1:55:51.720
<v Speaker 1>from when you see society. There's there's assets you can

1:55:51.760 --> 1:55:53.520
<v Speaker 1>sort of just sell off that like okay, like do

1:55:53.600 --> 1:55:56.040
<v Speaker 1>we really need this yacht? Like okay, we can, we

1:55:56.080 --> 1:55:57.600
<v Speaker 1>can we can sell this for some amount of dollars.

1:55:58.480 --> 1:56:03.360
<v Speaker 1>But this becomes a real economic problem because you need

1:56:03.440 --> 1:56:07.440
<v Speaker 1>to produce something that you can exchange for dollars, and

1:56:07.640 --> 1:56:10.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, there's there's a pretty good chance that like

1:56:10.600 --> 1:56:12.760
<v Speaker 1>whatever sort of new currency whatever new sort of like

1:56:12.920 --> 1:56:16.880
<v Speaker 1>MMT currency that's like, oh, it's it's controlled because we're producing.

1:56:16.920 --> 1:56:19.360
<v Speaker 1>It moves our resources around. We can make a bustment

1:56:19.400 --> 1:56:21.840
<v Speaker 1>as we want, Like yeah, you have to actually be

1:56:21.840 --> 1:56:24.920
<v Speaker 1>able to look convert that into dollars. And you know

1:56:25.360 --> 1:56:27.280
<v Speaker 1>why why does the U? Y is the US going

1:56:27.320 --> 1:56:30.920
<v Speaker 1>to want your currency? Yeah, it's a bit dialectical because

1:56:31.000 --> 1:56:33.839
<v Speaker 1>you have to. Okay, you have your m m T currency,

1:56:33.960 --> 1:56:37.320
<v Speaker 1>which domestically is accepted because of text receive ability or

1:56:37.400 --> 1:56:42.520
<v Speaker 1>something uh or or national fervor if you will to

1:56:42.840 --> 1:56:50.440
<v Speaker 1>um create a new democratic confederalists society um, and that's

1:56:50.440 --> 1:56:52.880
<v Speaker 1>accepted there. But yeah, you need US sellars. So like

1:56:54.440 --> 1:56:56.400
<v Speaker 1>you need us sellars. But why do you need them?

1:56:56.880 --> 1:57:00.480
<v Speaker 1>Partly because like you eventually want to not need them. Yeah,

1:57:01.000 --> 1:57:03.400
<v Speaker 1>and so you have what you can You have assets

1:57:03.520 --> 1:57:06.480
<v Speaker 1>right now that you can just sell, so that's one way,

1:57:06.800 --> 1:57:08.920
<v Speaker 1>but long term you can't do that. So you need

1:57:09.000 --> 1:57:12.839
<v Speaker 1>to have cash flow over the long haul that allows

1:57:12.920 --> 1:57:17.360
<v Speaker 1>you to buy what are called capital goods, which are

1:57:18.560 --> 1:57:21.920
<v Speaker 1>is a fancy term for machines that make machines or

1:57:22.080 --> 1:57:25.480
<v Speaker 1>machines that make some sort of like in product, which

1:57:25.560 --> 1:57:27.720
<v Speaker 1>is a physical thing. It's not like a service or something.

1:57:29.040 --> 1:57:36.600
<v Speaker 1>And um, you want to classic like really classic economic

1:57:36.680 --> 1:57:41.200
<v Speaker 1>development advice that is actually pretty good is you want

1:57:41.280 --> 1:57:44.120
<v Speaker 1>to move up what's called a value chain and eventually

1:57:44.360 --> 1:57:47.720
<v Speaker 1>be not producing, um, just like a stable crop or something,

1:57:47.880 --> 1:57:52.160
<v Speaker 1>but doing really innovative advanced technology things later on. So

1:57:52.320 --> 1:57:54.480
<v Speaker 1>you like, here's where I am, here's what I have,

1:57:55.560 --> 1:57:59.280
<v Speaker 1>Here's what I could have. Though, how do I get there? Um,

1:57:59.600 --> 1:58:02.200
<v Speaker 1>part of of part of the formula to get there

1:58:02.520 --> 1:58:06.640
<v Speaker 1>is yes, acquiring for X, but it's other things like saying,

1:58:07.240 --> 1:58:11.440
<v Speaker 1>how do I cultivate political alliances that will yield trade

1:58:11.480 --> 1:58:14.520
<v Speaker 1>partners such that I have a stable flow of for

1:58:14.880 --> 1:58:18.640
<v Speaker 1>X and uh, maybe even technology transfers you know, or

1:58:18.720 --> 1:58:22.000
<v Speaker 1>something down the line which could be a game changer. Um,

1:58:22.320 --> 1:58:25.160
<v Speaker 1>you need to have an education system. Like if you're

1:58:25.280 --> 1:58:29.280
<v Speaker 1>a fan of the economist Torstin Veblen, he thought like

1:58:29.440 --> 1:58:32.400
<v Speaker 1>in his mind he thought the economic development was ultimately

1:58:32.560 --> 1:58:36.320
<v Speaker 1>from the human intellect and like everything was downstream of that.

1:58:37.200 --> 1:58:40.320
<v Speaker 1>So like you need to have money to um, you

1:58:40.360 --> 1:58:42.120
<v Speaker 1>can use your m M T money to create a

1:58:42.200 --> 1:58:45.680
<v Speaker 1>basic education system and you can augment it with buying

1:58:45.880 --> 1:58:49.800
<v Speaker 1>importing things that you can't yet make and using it

1:58:49.920 --> 1:58:52.800
<v Speaker 1>to create like a university or something which can do

1:58:53.440 --> 1:58:58.080
<v Speaker 1>R and D work. Um, you have to you have

1:58:58.200 --> 1:59:02.040
<v Speaker 1>to find tools to get enough of the money that

1:59:02.160 --> 1:59:05.160
<v Speaker 1>you can't just infinitely produce for X in order to

1:59:05.800 --> 1:59:10.280
<v Speaker 1>augment what your society can produce beyond what initially could

1:59:11.000 --> 1:59:14.200
<v Speaker 1>and show essentially that you, okay, I can make a

1:59:14.280 --> 1:59:19.560
<v Speaker 1>better mouse trap like I. I don't need to. I

1:59:19.640 --> 1:59:24.360
<v Speaker 1>don't need donations from well meaning imperial powers or something.

1:59:24.880 --> 1:59:27.680
<v Speaker 1>We're building what we need in order to move up

1:59:27.720 --> 1:59:30.959
<v Speaker 1>the value chain and then build out our productive capacity

1:59:31.720 --> 1:59:34.680
<v Speaker 1>in such a way that, um, it doesn't leave anyone behind.

1:59:34.880 --> 1:59:38.360
<v Speaker 1>Everyone is everyone's employed because we're doing the classic M

1:59:38.440 --> 1:59:40.680
<v Speaker 1>M T stuff on the home front, such as a

1:59:40.800 --> 1:59:45.560
<v Speaker 1>job guarantee, but we're also doing the international economic development

1:59:45.680 --> 1:59:51.520
<v Speaker 1>stuff of assiduationally monitoring our foreign foreign currency reserves and

1:59:51.640 --> 1:59:54.280
<v Speaker 1>then using them to import things that we cannot yet

1:59:54.360 --> 1:59:59.400
<v Speaker 1>make but can make things internally and then have a

2:00:00.880 --> 2:00:04.440
<v Speaker 1>a snowballing effect as far as being able to sell

2:00:04.680 --> 2:00:09.160
<v Speaker 1>even higher value things which UM to our trade partners

2:00:09.560 --> 2:00:12.920
<v Speaker 1>who are hopefully share our values of like democratic confederalism

2:00:13.080 --> 2:00:17.640
<v Speaker 1>or whatever you whatever you're chosen guidelines are yeah, and

2:00:17.920 --> 2:00:22.040
<v Speaker 1>this is something that like, this is something that that

2:00:22.120 --> 2:00:25.480
<v Speaker 1>becomes very difficult in like the current market. You know,

2:00:25.760 --> 2:00:27.200
<v Speaker 1>this is this is to some extent like why the

2:00:27.280 --> 2:00:29.360
<v Speaker 1>Cold War went the way it did, right, which is

2:00:29.480 --> 2:00:32.800
<v Speaker 1>that you know, once once you have the Zinosovie explant,

2:00:32.800 --> 2:00:34.640
<v Speaker 1>and once you have like you have Chinese and Russian

2:00:34.640 --> 2:00:38.160
<v Speaker 1>troops killing each other on the border um China, it

2:00:38.880 --> 2:00:41.440
<v Speaker 1>like enters the situation where it's like, well, okay, so

2:00:42.320 --> 2:00:44.960
<v Speaker 1>we still want to do economic developments, but we've lost

2:00:45.160 --> 2:00:46.960
<v Speaker 1>the Soviet unions as a typology as a way to

2:00:47.000 --> 2:00:48.720
<v Speaker 1>get to knowledgy transfers, and their solution to that was

2:00:48.760 --> 2:00:51.440
<v Speaker 1>to ally with the U S. And this is like

2:00:53.880 --> 2:00:55.680
<v Speaker 1>it works out for the Chinese economy. It is an

2:00:55.680 --> 2:00:59.760
<v Speaker 1>apocal disaster for like literally everyone else on earth because

2:01:00.200 --> 2:01:02.480
<v Speaker 1>it means that capitalism is the thing that wins the

2:01:02.560 --> 2:01:04.400
<v Speaker 1>Cold War. And and this means that like you know,

2:01:04.480 --> 2:01:06.040
<v Speaker 1>I mean like if you look if you look at

2:01:06.120 --> 2:01:10.440
<v Speaker 1>how you know, like the things that China are doing

2:01:10.600 --> 2:01:12.440
<v Speaker 1>in order to be able to get technology transfers for

2:01:12.480 --> 2:01:16.520
<v Speaker 1>the US. It's like like there's so there there are

2:01:16.640 --> 2:01:20.760
<v Speaker 1>joints like Chinese CIA like operations inside of China that

2:01:20.840 --> 2:01:23.000
<v Speaker 1>are like monitoring Soviet missile site. So there's just like

2:01:23.400 --> 2:01:26.120
<v Speaker 1>CIA app post just like in China that are just

2:01:26.400 --> 2:01:29.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, doing spying. Like for for the U. S. Government.

2:01:29.760 --> 2:01:34.600
<v Speaker 1>There's like they invade Vietnam, which is you know, and

2:01:34.640 --> 2:01:36.520
<v Speaker 1>it's such as the invade neenomen's like they've made Vietnam

2:01:36.600 --> 2:01:38.600
<v Speaker 1>and then they fight this like this really you know,

2:01:39.240 --> 2:01:41.240
<v Speaker 1>the immediate war just last that long, but they fight

2:01:41.320 --> 2:01:43.520
<v Speaker 1>this like horrible border war that goes on for like

2:01:43.600 --> 2:01:47.440
<v Speaker 1>a decade that kills enormous numbers of people, and you know,

2:01:47.560 --> 2:01:49.320
<v Speaker 1>and the end result of this is like yeah, like

2:01:49.400 --> 2:01:51.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, trying to get the signalogy transfers and they

2:01:51.160 --> 2:01:55.960
<v Speaker 1>developed economy, but everyone else on Earth, yeah, because is

2:01:56.040 --> 2:01:58.720
<v Speaker 1>like everyone who's ever tried to be a labor organizer

2:01:58.880 --> 2:02:03.040
<v Speaker 1>in like you know, and like how Salvador gets murdered

2:02:03.120 --> 2:02:07.840
<v Speaker 1>by a bunch of fascists and every development econ is

2:02:07.960 --> 2:02:11.160
<v Speaker 1>so fucking frustrating because every single step of the way,

2:02:11.800 --> 2:02:14.520
<v Speaker 1>there's like there's like a really razor thin line between

2:02:14.680 --> 2:02:18.040
<v Speaker 1>risk and reward at every step of the way. And

2:02:18.160 --> 2:02:22.720
<v Speaker 1>so like imperial powers will dangle technology transfers or extended

2:02:22.760 --> 2:02:28.000
<v Speaker 1>trade agreements on some favorable terms in exchange for allowing

2:02:28.080 --> 2:02:30.640
<v Speaker 1>them to just like go to war with your neighbors,

2:02:30.840 --> 2:02:37.120
<v Speaker 1>like or rope you into it, or or extract resources

2:02:37.160 --> 2:02:41.600
<v Speaker 1>that would be value for you later in your development phases. Yeah. Actually,

2:02:41.720 --> 2:02:44.000
<v Speaker 1>uh this leads to me, um, you know, going to

2:02:44.120 --> 2:02:47.320
<v Speaker 1>our hypothetical here thinking about Vancouver Island, the People's Republic

2:02:47.400 --> 2:02:50.400
<v Speaker 1>of Vancouver Island, and we can kind of talk about

2:02:50.440 --> 2:02:52.320
<v Speaker 1>some of development traps because that's kind of what I'm

2:02:52.600 --> 2:02:55.360
<v Speaker 1>was turning through my head right now because I'm looking

2:02:55.360 --> 2:02:58.360
<v Speaker 1>at the Wikipedia page for Vancouver Island. Is that incredibly

2:02:58.400 --> 2:03:02.600
<v Speaker 1>deep research, and so what they listen under the economy

2:03:02.800 --> 2:03:08.000
<v Speaker 1>is there's a tech sector, logging, fishing, tourism, and food um.

2:03:08.440 --> 2:03:10.400
<v Speaker 1>And so you know we're talked first about like you

2:03:10.440 --> 2:03:12.760
<v Speaker 1>could like sell off like the yachts and the cars

2:03:12.840 --> 2:03:15.600
<v Speaker 1>and stuff like that. Uh, and that's I don't even

2:03:15.600 --> 2:03:17.160
<v Speaker 1>know if that counts as a sector of the economy

2:03:17.200 --> 2:03:22.640
<v Speaker 1>at that level. That's a yeah, you can start sale.

2:03:24.120 --> 2:03:26.480
<v Speaker 1>But you know, logging and fishing, those are those are

2:03:26.480 --> 2:03:29.960
<v Speaker 1>pretty solid primary sector economies, you know, you know, to

2:03:30.760 --> 2:03:33.240
<v Speaker 1>that describe the terminology, you know, they've got this. This

2:03:33.400 --> 2:03:35.520
<v Speaker 1>is part of that hierarchy that Steve was talking about

2:03:35.560 --> 2:03:38.680
<v Speaker 1>that you know, the chain of development, and a primary

2:03:38.760 --> 2:03:43.320
<v Speaker 1>sector is like a basic extractive element of your economy

2:03:43.800 --> 2:03:49.879
<v Speaker 1>a mine, uh, logging, phishing, food production, you know, basic goods.

2:03:50.320 --> 2:03:52.400
<v Speaker 1>And then you know, you talk about a secondary development,

2:03:52.480 --> 2:03:54.720
<v Speaker 1>which is like manufacturing in the territiary, which is you

2:03:54.760 --> 2:03:58.040
<v Speaker 1>know services. Those are kind of your basic Those are

2:03:58.120 --> 2:04:00.120
<v Speaker 1>usually considered like sectors of the economy, but in a

2:04:00.120 --> 2:04:03.680
<v Speaker 1>way they kind of correspond to development um and they

2:04:03.760 --> 2:04:06.800
<v Speaker 1>require different amounts of developments. And you know the thing

2:04:06.840 --> 2:04:11.200
<v Speaker 1>about primaries that everybody needs those things, Like unless people

2:04:11.360 --> 2:04:14.280
<v Speaker 1>just stop using wood for construction, which we are very

2:04:14.360 --> 2:04:16.520
<v Speaker 1>far from doing. We still use a lot of wood

2:04:16.560 --> 2:04:19.440
<v Speaker 1>for construction. Uh, your logging industry is going to have

2:04:19.520 --> 2:04:24.000
<v Speaker 1>buyers um until people stop buying eating fish. Your fishing

2:04:24.040 --> 2:04:27.200
<v Speaker 1>industry is going to have buyers. Yeah, up to a

2:04:27.400 --> 2:04:31.440
<v Speaker 1>really ludicrously bottomless reserve. But you're gonna be stopped on

2:04:31.440 --> 2:04:34.800
<v Speaker 1>that secondary industry until you have capital. Like I don't

2:04:34.840 --> 2:04:36.360
<v Speaker 1>mean just like the sense of having a lot of money,

2:04:36.440 --> 2:04:40.320
<v Speaker 1>but you know the right money, and well, you need capital.

2:04:40.400 --> 2:04:43.120
<v Speaker 1>Production need capital, you need the machine, you need, you

2:04:43.160 --> 2:04:48.000
<v Speaker 1>need major factories, you need your need yeah. Uh, and

2:04:48.520 --> 2:04:52.240
<v Speaker 1>wealthy countries partly in order to maintain their powers they

2:04:52.520 --> 2:04:55.800
<v Speaker 1>have they they want to be the only seller of

2:04:55.840 --> 2:04:58.280
<v Speaker 1>capital kids. Yeah, and and they're gonna be very withholding

2:04:58.280 --> 2:05:01.880
<v Speaker 1>about it. Like a really good example for right now,

2:05:02.040 --> 2:05:04.000
<v Speaker 1>I like all of the inflation stuff going on, like

2:05:04.080 --> 2:05:09.040
<v Speaker 1>the chip shortage. Yeah, so the machines that make the

2:05:09.200 --> 2:05:12.920
<v Speaker 1>machines that make the chips, Holy sh it, those are

2:05:13.040 --> 2:05:15.960
<v Speaker 1>like those are they only make like fifty of those

2:05:16.000 --> 2:05:20.600
<v Speaker 1>a year? Yeah, and it's all two companies. Yeah, you know,

2:05:21.920 --> 2:05:23.480
<v Speaker 1>the thing with the thing with the chip shortage. Right.

2:05:23.480 --> 2:05:26.760
<v Speaker 1>It's also like so if you can be like the

2:05:26.920 --> 2:05:28.480
<v Speaker 1>people who do that, that gives you a lot of

2:05:28.560 --> 2:05:31.560
<v Speaker 1>economic power. Like this is this is one of Taiwan's things, right,

2:05:31.640 --> 2:05:33.560
<v Speaker 1>which is that like you know, it's like, okay, so

2:05:33.600 --> 2:05:35.600
<v Speaker 1>why hasn't Taiwan just sort of been bowled over by

2:05:35.880 --> 2:05:37.920
<v Speaker 1>by China? And like, I mean, there's a lot of

2:05:38.000 --> 2:05:40.160
<v Speaker 1>sort of geopolitical reasons for them. It's also partly it's

2:05:40.200 --> 2:05:42.680
<v Speaker 1>just that like, yeah, like Taiwan has this enormous chipmaking

2:05:42.760 --> 2:05:46.480
<v Speaker 1>industry and it's incredibly advanced, and you know, it has

2:05:46.600 --> 2:05:49.000
<v Speaker 1>like you know this this is I think and everything

2:05:49.080 --> 2:05:51.120
<v Speaker 1>that that that's a real problem for sort of revelation

2:05:51.280 --> 2:05:54.200
<v Speaker 1>society doing this is that like yeah, like Taiwan's chip

2:05:54.320 --> 2:06:00.240
<v Speaker 1>making economy, like it's not like people like fall in

2:06:00.360 --> 2:06:04.000
<v Speaker 1>like vats of chemicals like a lot, like there's a

2:06:04.080 --> 2:06:06.000
<v Speaker 1>lot of there's a lot like just horrible sort of

2:06:06.080 --> 2:06:08.000
<v Speaker 1>labor application. And then this comes back to even you're

2:06:08.000 --> 2:06:10.080
<v Speaker 1>sort of like like you know, if you're talking about

2:06:10.080 --> 2:06:14.240
<v Speaker 1>your your sort of primary primary sector stuff in the economy,

2:06:14.280 --> 2:06:16.400
<v Speaker 1>which is that like okay, well yeah, I mean like

2:06:16.480 --> 2:06:18.160
<v Speaker 1>oils particularly example of this, but like you know, same

2:06:18.200 --> 2:06:20.080
<v Speaker 1>with timber, and same same with fishes, like these are

2:06:20.120 --> 2:06:24.880
<v Speaker 1>extractive industries, and this becomes a real problem for a

2:06:25.000 --> 2:06:27.600
<v Speaker 1>lot of your sort of like newly revolutionary developing societies

2:06:27.680 --> 2:06:30.960
<v Speaker 1>because you get this tension between um like and you

2:06:31.080 --> 2:06:33.320
<v Speaker 1>see this a lot in Latin America's like this is

2:06:33.360 --> 2:06:35.480
<v Speaker 1>there's a huge tension like this Simplivia for example, he

2:06:35.480 --> 2:06:37.880
<v Speaker 1>se as an Ecuador two where like you have different

2:06:37.920 --> 2:06:40.840
<v Speaker 1>factions of do you have different factors of the political

2:06:40.880 --> 2:06:42.920
<v Speaker 1>movements where you have people who are like okay, yeah,

2:06:43.000 --> 2:06:46.080
<v Speaker 1>I'm I'm okay with just like you know, building these

2:06:46.160 --> 2:06:49.560
<v Speaker 1>highways through indigenous land or just like doing massy forestation

2:06:49.840 --> 2:06:53.240
<v Speaker 1>or like doing doing open pit mining, and those people

2:06:53.280 --> 2:06:55.040
<v Speaker 1>will be like, those people will be leftist right there.

2:06:55.200 --> 2:06:56.480
<v Speaker 1>People are like, Okay, well we need to do this

2:06:56.560 --> 2:06:58.160
<v Speaker 1>because we need to like you know, this is an

2:06:58.200 --> 2:06:59.960
<v Speaker 1>antipoverty measure. We have to be at the value chain,

2:07:00.080 --> 2:07:02.400
<v Speaker 1>we have to increase your production. But then you know

2:07:02.520 --> 2:07:06.160
<v Speaker 1>you have the indigenous people who's like, homes these are right, Yeah, yeah,

2:07:06.520 --> 2:07:10.680
<v Speaker 1>you can rationalize, yeah, the intellectual backing. Yeah, and like

2:07:10.720 --> 2:07:12.960
<v Speaker 1>and this this happens like in in China too. There's

2:07:13.000 --> 2:07:16.360
<v Speaker 1>like like a lot of the interstation has been absolutely devastating,

2:07:16.520 --> 2:07:19.560
<v Speaker 1>like and and and this this becomes a real like

2:07:19.880 --> 2:07:23.880
<v Speaker 1>the fact that you need for REX becomes this like

2:07:24.200 --> 2:07:28.040
<v Speaker 1>incredible trap that that you you sink into because it's like,

2:07:28.800 --> 2:07:31.480
<v Speaker 1>on the one hand, like, yeah, like there are resources

2:07:32.520 --> 2:07:34.720
<v Speaker 1>that you need in order to have a function anxiety,

2:07:34.800 --> 2:07:37.080
<v Speaker 1>but it's also that that you can't get in your territory.

2:07:37.120 --> 2:07:40.320
<v Speaker 1>But also like the cost of getting that for REX

2:07:40.440 --> 2:07:43.680
<v Speaker 1>is enormous and and a lot of times it's it's

2:07:43.720 --> 2:07:47.120
<v Speaker 1>it's it's a it's something that just simply destroys the

2:07:47.120 --> 2:07:49.760
<v Speaker 1>revolutionary project. Well it hit me when I looked at

2:07:49.800 --> 2:07:55.400
<v Speaker 1>this list of Vancouver's economic sectors was uh, you know,

2:07:55.480 --> 2:07:57.520
<v Speaker 1>tourism being listed among the big ones in my mind

2:07:57.560 --> 2:08:01.680
<v Speaker 1>immediately into Cuba two pre revolution, precastro Cuba, and your

2:08:01.720 --> 2:08:04.600
<v Speaker 1>precast Cuba has all these things going for it. Off

2:08:05.080 --> 2:08:07.240
<v Speaker 1>when you're when you're looking at from like a developmental standpoint,

2:08:07.240 --> 2:08:09.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's got this like very good productive base

2:08:10.200 --> 2:08:15.200
<v Speaker 1>of primary resources like sugar. Uh. It has great relations

2:08:15.240 --> 2:08:20.920
<v Speaker 1>with the United States of America, particularly through the mafia. Uh. Yeah, wonderful, right,

2:08:21.640 --> 2:08:26.200
<v Speaker 1>it has, Uh, the tourism industry is very successful. It's

2:08:26.240 --> 2:08:29.480
<v Speaker 1>producing manufactured cigar, so it even has a secondary industry bridge,

2:08:30.040 --> 2:08:33.760
<v Speaker 1>but is still absolutely failing to develop in a way

2:08:33.800 --> 2:08:36.760
<v Speaker 1>that is meaningful for the people living in Cuba. You know,

2:08:36.960 --> 2:08:41.240
<v Speaker 1>pre pre castro Cuba was a nightmare for most people. Uh.

2:08:41.680 --> 2:08:45.880
<v Speaker 1>And that's you know that, that's like Steve said, you know,

2:08:45.960 --> 2:08:50.520
<v Speaker 1>there's this razor thin thing between risk and reward. And

2:08:51.640 --> 2:08:53.800
<v Speaker 1>during that, you know, during the fourties and fifties in Cuba,

2:08:54.680 --> 2:08:56.480
<v Speaker 1>it was just it just made so much sense to

2:08:56.600 --> 2:09:03.640
<v Speaker 1>just stick with this impoverty, extractive tourists, heavy mafia friendly economy.

2:09:03.800 --> 2:09:06.000
<v Speaker 1>And yeah they were friends with the US. They could

2:09:06.000 --> 2:09:10.960
<v Speaker 1>have gone technology transfers in principle, but were they actually

2:09:11.000 --> 2:09:13.920
<v Speaker 1>going to h And I's something we have to think

2:09:13.920 --> 2:09:16.400
<v Speaker 1>about with our our people's republic of Vancouver Island, is

2:09:16.440 --> 2:09:18.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, yeah, like people are going to want our logs,

2:09:18.880 --> 2:09:21.280
<v Speaker 1>people are gonna want our fishing. American tourists are going

2:09:21.320 --> 2:09:24.000
<v Speaker 1>to come here and go whale watching and that's gonna

2:09:24.120 --> 2:09:25.680
<v Speaker 1>bring in forex. But are we gonna be able to

2:09:25.800 --> 2:09:30.040
<v Speaker 1>like leverage that and how leg Yeah? Yeah, And I

2:09:30.160 --> 2:09:32.200
<v Speaker 1>kind of want to move the conversation to like I

2:09:32.280 --> 2:09:35.000
<v Speaker 1>think people might be listening and saying like, Okay, yeah,

2:09:35.000 --> 2:09:36.880
<v Speaker 1>I can see why far actually be important, but like,

2:09:37.120 --> 2:09:41.760
<v Speaker 1>what are the specific ways in which we can acquire

2:09:41.840 --> 2:09:44.920
<v Speaker 1>it but also manage it? And it's like, okay, well

2:09:46.600 --> 2:09:54.520
<v Speaker 1>without which we want without tell being socialists who want democracy? Um, okay,

2:09:55.040 --> 2:09:59.560
<v Speaker 1>So I think if we're I'm I'm picturing some sort

2:09:59.560 --> 2:10:03.000
<v Speaker 1>of a sim Belie structure taking shape because I'm a

2:10:03.080 --> 2:10:09.720
<v Speaker 1>lipsock Libertrian socialist. Um and uh it could be something else,

2:10:09.960 --> 2:10:13.960
<v Speaker 1>but any case, Uh, I think they should appoint fifty

2:10:14.120 --> 2:10:16.160
<v Speaker 1>or so people, some of them experts, some of them

2:10:16.240 --> 2:10:22.320
<v Speaker 1>not two examine. They should do a thorough economic analysis

2:10:22.360 --> 2:10:25.720
<v Speaker 1>of the entire island, and you should do it on

2:10:25.800 --> 2:10:29.360
<v Speaker 1>the basis of here are the assets we have, Here's

2:10:29.360 --> 2:10:32.080
<v Speaker 1>where we want to go in terms of assets, how

2:10:32.120 --> 2:10:34.840
<v Speaker 1>do we get from here to there? And one of

2:10:34.920 --> 2:10:36.760
<v Speaker 1>the assets that you have is, okay, we have so

2:10:36.880 --> 2:10:39.280
<v Speaker 1>many U S dollars, we have so many Canadian dollars,

2:10:39.720 --> 2:10:43.320
<v Speaker 1>we have reserve balances. So we need to import things.

2:10:44.320 --> 2:10:47.000
<v Speaker 1>We can make some of it ourselves. We need to

2:10:47.080 --> 2:10:50.440
<v Speaker 1>buy the rest of it. We can't buy all of

2:10:50.520 --> 2:10:53.240
<v Speaker 1>it now. We need to cash flow some of this.

2:10:53.640 --> 2:10:58.440
<v Speaker 1>We need to We need to do export led growth.

2:10:59.080 --> 2:11:02.600
<v Speaker 1>As the developed the classic development ECON people would say,

2:11:03.000 --> 2:11:06.200
<v Speaker 1>where we say, we have some industries where we can

2:11:07.280 --> 2:11:10.240
<v Speaker 1>gradually and consistently ramp up to the point that they

2:11:10.320 --> 2:11:12.640
<v Speaker 1>give They give us the types of money which we

2:11:12.760 --> 2:11:16.120
<v Speaker 1>need in order to input capital goods. The machines that

2:11:16.160 --> 2:11:21.480
<v Speaker 1>build machines two, buy them, learn how to use them

2:11:22.520 --> 2:11:27.520
<v Speaker 1>and maintain them, and then build more ourselves. Ideally and

2:11:27.840 --> 2:11:31.880
<v Speaker 1>over the course of say, basically, I'm basically suggesting that

2:11:32.080 --> 2:11:37.120
<v Speaker 1>Vancouver Island should have a ten year plan. They should

2:11:37.120 --> 2:11:40.640
<v Speaker 1>have a ten year plan for further economic development, and

2:11:41.120 --> 2:11:45.640
<v Speaker 1>it should be as democratically decided upon as possible within

2:11:45.720 --> 2:11:48.160
<v Speaker 1>the limits of like Okay, there's some experts which will

2:11:48.200 --> 2:11:52.720
<v Speaker 1>obviously be needed and not everyone can do that. But um,

2:11:53.560 --> 2:11:57.960
<v Speaker 1>whatever assembly structure you have should be given oversight ultimately

2:11:59.080 --> 2:12:03.120
<v Speaker 1>and you should say, um, just be really frank with it,

2:12:03.320 --> 2:12:07.800
<v Speaker 1>Like we have these are biophysical resources. Now in ten

2:12:07.920 --> 2:12:11.440
<v Speaker 1>years they should be this in order to get there,

2:12:11.560 --> 2:12:14.160
<v Speaker 1>each year, these things need to happen. We have to

2:12:14.200 --> 2:12:17.520
<v Speaker 1>have this much foreign currency, we have to have this

2:12:17.760 --> 2:12:22.800
<v Speaker 1>many workers involved in this industry. Um, we can change

2:12:22.840 --> 2:12:25.800
<v Speaker 1>things along the way, but we're constrained by these factors

2:12:26.480 --> 2:12:31.680
<v Speaker 1>where like we need trade partners, we need uh two

2:12:33.160 --> 2:12:36.960
<v Speaker 1>reverse engineers, some technology that we've acquired or something in

2:12:37.160 --> 2:12:40.960
<v Speaker 1>order to to educate ourselves on how to create chips

2:12:41.080 --> 2:12:46.360
<v Speaker 1>or something in the future. UM yeah, there's like there

2:12:46.360 --> 2:12:50.080
<v Speaker 1>should be like an extremely vigorous discussion of what assets

2:12:50.120 --> 2:12:52.560
<v Speaker 1>do we have, what do we need, what's our goal

2:12:53.240 --> 2:12:56.920
<v Speaker 1>and then thread together a development plan from there and

2:12:57.040 --> 2:12:59.880
<v Speaker 1>then use your m m T money to marshal the

2:13:00.040 --> 2:13:02.880
<v Speaker 1>resources that you currently have and that you need for

2:13:03.000 --> 2:13:08.200
<v Speaker 1>like the next year, say domestically, while monitoring and augmenting

2:13:08.880 --> 2:13:14.240
<v Speaker 1>your foreign currency reserves and um, using the tools of

2:13:14.440 --> 2:13:19.040
<v Speaker 1>monetary policy to safeguard those reserves and economize on them

2:13:19.240 --> 2:13:22.160
<v Speaker 1>in order to import what you can't yet make so

2:13:22.240 --> 2:13:25.200
<v Speaker 1>that you can make it in the future. I think

2:13:25.240 --> 2:13:28.240
<v Speaker 1>the thing that we should learn from the fact that

2:13:28.360 --> 2:13:31.960
<v Speaker 1>like a lot of these projects haven't worked is well,

2:13:32.000 --> 2:13:34.480
<v Speaker 1>I think it's twofold. One is that you have okay,

2:13:34.520 --> 2:13:40.080
<v Speaker 1>there there there's constant sort of like there's traps you

2:13:40.160 --> 2:13:42.640
<v Speaker 1>have to avoid that have to do with like, for example,

2:13:42.720 --> 2:13:45.680
<v Speaker 1>like who actually has access to the forex because this

2:13:45.840 --> 2:13:47.560
<v Speaker 1>is what this is a way that like you know,

2:13:47.680 --> 2:13:51.200
<v Speaker 1>and also like because it's it's very very easy to

2:13:51.280 --> 2:13:54.520
<v Speaker 1>like access to sort of like incidentally redeveloped ruling classes

2:13:54.560 --> 2:13:56.400
<v Speaker 1>when you're trying to do playing technology stuff and when

2:13:56.400 --> 2:13:58.800
<v Speaker 1>you're trying when you're dealing with enormous amounts of foreign currency,

2:14:00.040 --> 2:14:02.440
<v Speaker 1>and this is a problem and you know. And in

2:14:02.560 --> 2:14:04.440
<v Speaker 1>the second problem has to do with sort of like

2:14:06.360 --> 2:14:08.360
<v Speaker 1>how how how do you make sure that your economy

2:14:08.480 --> 2:14:12.040
<v Speaker 1>essentially doesn't end up as a resource colony and this

2:14:12.200 --> 2:14:13.760
<v Speaker 1>has this has other components and you know, and I

2:14:13.840 --> 2:14:16.600
<v Speaker 1>think I think this is something that like like there

2:14:16.760 --> 2:14:19.120
<v Speaker 1>is a lot that can be done if you control

2:14:19.440 --> 2:14:24.480
<v Speaker 1>like a regid of territory but there's there's political limits

2:14:24.520 --> 2:14:26.120
<v Speaker 1>on it. And the political limits have to do with

2:14:27.240 --> 2:14:30.960
<v Speaker 1>you know, who actually controls the sort of like vast

2:14:31.000 --> 2:14:35.560
<v Speaker 1>majority of resources and technology. And the only way to

2:14:35.800 --> 2:14:38.400
<v Speaker 1>really deal with that is that like, you know, you

2:14:38.520 --> 2:14:41.480
<v Speaker 1>can't you can't sort of have like you if if

2:14:41.560 --> 2:14:43.839
<v Speaker 1>if you want to actually have sort of long term stability,

2:14:43.880 --> 2:14:46.120
<v Speaker 1>you can't just have your sort of like your your

2:14:46.280 --> 2:14:49.120
<v Speaker 1>like libertary and social counsels in one country. I guess

2:14:49.160 --> 2:14:50.800
<v Speaker 1>it's a it's a thing that has to like keep

2:14:50.880 --> 2:14:54.520
<v Speaker 1>moving and keep spreading because otherwise it becomes it becomes

2:14:54.560 --> 2:14:58.000
<v Speaker 1>just increasingly difficult, and you come under increasing pressures, you know,

2:14:58.280 --> 2:15:00.600
<v Speaker 1>for you know, in order to do things that you

2:15:00.840 --> 2:15:02.040
<v Speaker 1>be that you need to do in order to make

2:15:02.040 --> 2:15:03.800
<v Speaker 1>sure people don't starve, in order to make sure that

2:15:03.960 --> 2:15:06.240
<v Speaker 1>people have educations, to make sure that people you know,

2:15:06.280 --> 2:15:08.160
<v Speaker 1>are able to sort of live with their lives, and

2:15:08.200 --> 2:15:09.600
<v Speaker 1>also like in order to make sure that you don't

2:15:09.640 --> 2:15:12.960
<v Speaker 1>just annihilate the annihilate the entire environment doing this, because

2:15:12.960 --> 2:15:15.160
<v Speaker 1>that's something that happens a lot when in these developmental

2:15:15.320 --> 2:15:19.200
<v Speaker 1>estates is that like, you know, you get you you

2:15:19.280 --> 2:15:21.240
<v Speaker 1>know you you you get groups who are like come

2:15:21.280 --> 2:15:23.120
<v Speaker 1>in the power and are like, well, okay, we're like

2:15:23.120 --> 2:15:25.080
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna be an ecological regime, and then you know,

2:15:25.400 --> 2:15:27.000
<v Speaker 1>they wind up having to they wind up doing oil

2:15:27.040 --> 2:15:31.560
<v Speaker 1>extraction and like well prepit mining, because that's you know,

2:15:31.640 --> 2:15:34.760
<v Speaker 1>that that's the easiest way to to get money. And

2:15:34.840 --> 2:15:41.800
<v Speaker 1>I think I think, like I I think it's it's

2:15:41.920 --> 2:15:44.920
<v Speaker 1>valuable that like, these are things that if you're serious

2:15:44.920 --> 2:15:48.320
<v Speaker 1>about taking power, you have to think about. But I

2:15:48.520 --> 2:15:51.120
<v Speaker 1>also think it's it's important to keep in mind just

2:15:52.440 --> 2:15:56.720
<v Speaker 1>the the inherent limits that you have if you're just

2:15:56.800 --> 2:16:00.440
<v Speaker 1>sort of if you're if you're completely isolated, like if

2:16:00.480 --> 2:16:02.680
<v Speaker 1>you're a completely isolated referee street movement in one place,

2:16:02.720 --> 2:16:04.680
<v Speaker 1>it doesn't have people where that you can you know,

2:16:05.400 --> 2:16:08.880
<v Speaker 1>give stuff to and move stuff around between. Yeah, I mean,

2:16:08.960 --> 2:16:11.320
<v Speaker 1>it's it's it's always been kind. I mean, that's that's

2:16:11.360 --> 2:16:14.080
<v Speaker 1>been like a kind of inevitable thing that like, you know,

2:16:14.840 --> 2:16:19.240
<v Speaker 1>there are there are communes in my extended family. You know,

2:16:19.280 --> 2:16:22.440
<v Speaker 1>I've got members of my family who live on you know,

2:16:22.920 --> 2:16:29.640
<v Speaker 1>those little farm communes, and they're not fully economically independent. Um,

2:16:29.760 --> 2:16:31.640
<v Speaker 1>and I'm sure that we could find people who would

2:16:31.640 --> 2:16:33.200
<v Speaker 1>be willing to say, oh, you know this is like,

2:16:33.920 --> 2:16:36.480
<v Speaker 1>this is totally fake. This is not a real commune

2:16:36.520 --> 2:16:41.280
<v Speaker 1>because they you know sell uh, you know, sell sunflower

2:16:41.360 --> 2:16:46.680
<v Speaker 1>seeds at the farmers market and stuff. Uh. And that's

2:16:46.920 --> 2:16:49.200
<v Speaker 1>kind of the unfortunate. That's kind of like the tough

2:16:49.280 --> 2:16:57.920
<v Speaker 1>reality that unless you managed to create a truly global revolution,

2:16:57.959 --> 2:16:59.680
<v Speaker 1>as I said, unlet's until you've got like two thirds

2:16:59.720 --> 2:17:04.400
<v Speaker 1>of the population under your umbrella. Uh, you're going to

2:17:04.440 --> 2:17:07.000
<v Speaker 1>have foreign relations and you're going to have foreign trade,

2:17:08.400 --> 2:17:12.520
<v Speaker 1>which is going to uh, it's going to be it's

2:17:12.520 --> 2:17:14.520
<v Speaker 1>going to be difficult to manage. You know, you're going

2:17:14.600 --> 2:17:15.840
<v Speaker 1>to have to be both. You're going to have to

2:17:15.920 --> 2:17:18.400
<v Speaker 1>have like a you know, a diplomatic core. That's something

2:17:18.440 --> 2:17:20.920
<v Speaker 1>we're barely mentioning here, but like we're gonna need to

2:17:21.000 --> 2:17:23.840
<v Speaker 1>have diplomats coming out of this council if we're talking

2:17:23.879 --> 2:17:27.480
<v Speaker 1>about them having relations with the US and Canada. Uh,

2:17:27.640 --> 2:17:29.760
<v Speaker 1>and you're negotiating these trade deals. You know, these trade

2:17:29.840 --> 2:17:33.560
<v Speaker 1>deals don't happen out of nowhere. Um. And you know,

2:17:33.640 --> 2:17:35.800
<v Speaker 1>we kind of brushed this aside, but it's a it's

2:17:35.800 --> 2:17:37.720
<v Speaker 1>a bit of as a bit of a misperception that

2:17:37.760 --> 2:17:42.560
<v Speaker 1>people tend to have that the United States is pro

2:17:42.840 --> 2:17:45.680
<v Speaker 1>free trade in like an extreme sense that like any

2:17:45.720 --> 2:17:48.080
<v Speaker 1>trade of the United States is done without any tariffs.

2:17:48.440 --> 2:17:53.160
<v Speaker 1>Oh dead, No, I don't think that you if you

2:17:53.320 --> 2:17:56.760
<v Speaker 1>believe that without having done a lot of research, I

2:17:56.840 --> 2:17:58.880
<v Speaker 1>do not think that that is an absurd thing to believe,

2:17:59.040 --> 2:18:04.040
<v Speaker 1>because that is the propaganda that is passed along in

2:18:04.240 --> 2:18:09.720
<v Speaker 1>common knowledge. A very quick examination of how trade works

2:18:09.800 --> 2:18:13.800
<v Speaker 1>between international actors will reveal that there are thousands and

2:18:13.879 --> 2:18:16.320
<v Speaker 1>thousands and thousands of tariffs active all the time in

2:18:16.480 --> 2:18:19.720
<v Speaker 1>every trade to Yeah, and like the like the big

2:18:19.800 --> 2:18:22.680
<v Speaker 1>one with the US agricultural subsidies, which are just it

2:18:22.840 --> 2:18:25.040
<v Speaker 1>is it is it is illegal to have them. We

2:18:25.200 --> 2:18:28.920
<v Speaker 1>have like just in just like billions and billions of

2:18:28.920 --> 2:18:33.080
<v Speaker 1>billions of dollars agricultural subsidies that have producing cheap food.

2:18:33.200 --> 2:18:35.280
<v Speaker 1>That's like we're not even good at making it. Like

2:18:35.480 --> 2:18:38.960
<v Speaker 1>it's it's a complete disaster. It Let mean this like this,

2:18:39.160 --> 2:18:42.280
<v Speaker 1>this is just single handedly annihilated the economies of like

2:18:42.640 --> 2:18:44.960
<v Speaker 1>enormous swass of the globe because because no one can

2:18:45.000 --> 2:18:47.080
<v Speaker 1>compete with withoth American agri culture subsidies. And it's you know,

2:18:47.200 --> 2:18:48.840
<v Speaker 1>and and but like when when you join the free

2:18:48.879 --> 2:18:50.960
<v Speaker 1>trade system, like that's one of the carve outs. That

2:18:51.080 --> 2:18:52.680
<v Speaker 1>was that's that's that's in the w t O is

2:18:52.760 --> 2:18:55.760
<v Speaker 1>you can't have uh subsidies for for your culture programs

2:18:55.920 --> 2:18:59.520
<v Speaker 1>except for the US and it's it's great and I

2:18:59.600 --> 2:19:01.680
<v Speaker 1>mean food one dies. Well, there's all sorts of like

2:19:01.760 --> 2:19:05.200
<v Speaker 1>weird technical ways that you can create pseudo subsidies, you know. Uh.

2:19:05.640 --> 2:19:10.280
<v Speaker 1>You know, Italy very famously has a price floor on wine. Uh.

2:19:10.520 --> 2:19:13.800
<v Speaker 1>And this means that you know, if you if you

2:19:13.879 --> 2:19:17.120
<v Speaker 1>make a bottle of wine that nobody would buy for

2:19:17.200 --> 2:19:19.280
<v Speaker 1>the minimum price, the government will buy it off of

2:19:19.320 --> 2:19:21.680
<v Speaker 1>you for that price. And so there there are wineries

2:19:21.680 --> 2:19:24.040
<v Speaker 1>in Italy that just produced wine at such a this

2:19:24.200 --> 2:19:26.080
<v Speaker 1>so bad nobody would buy nobody you would have to

2:19:26.120 --> 2:19:29.039
<v Speaker 1>pay people to drink it. But the government just buys

2:19:29.080 --> 2:19:31.400
<v Speaker 1>it at this minimum set price and then throws it

2:19:31.520 --> 2:19:35.000
<v Speaker 1>enough in a giant Olympic swimming pool that uh to

2:19:35.120 --> 2:19:40.200
<v Speaker 1>go rot uh And like there are yeah, there there there.

2:19:40.280 --> 2:19:43.560
<v Speaker 1>The trade is, you know, there's a lot more complex.

2:19:44.200 --> 2:19:46.440
<v Speaker 1>The free trade is kind of a meth at the

2:19:46.480 --> 2:19:52.520
<v Speaker 1>international level. Uh. It is at it's at the most cynical.

2:19:52.720 --> 2:19:56.000
<v Speaker 1>Free trade as a doctrine is a cudgel used by

2:19:56.080 --> 2:19:58.880
<v Speaker 1>more powerful countries that they impose that you have to

2:19:58.920 --> 2:20:01.280
<v Speaker 1>do free trade with um and that they get to

2:20:01.320 --> 2:20:05.280
<v Speaker 1>do protract and trade with you. Well, it's a it's well, firstly,

2:20:05.360 --> 2:20:09.120
<v Speaker 1>like you mentioned, it's a myth. And historically speaking, we

2:20:09.280 --> 2:20:13.200
<v Speaker 1>had like, we had infant industries in this country that

2:20:13.320 --> 2:20:18.440
<v Speaker 1>we're highly protected from the verily earliest days through most

2:20:18.520 --> 2:20:21.480
<v Speaker 1>of the nineteenth century and into this one century, and

2:20:21.680 --> 2:20:26.199
<v Speaker 1>we had uh, we had expert lead growth from infant

2:20:26.280 --> 2:20:30.959
<v Speaker 1>lead for infant industries in the US. And that's precisely

2:20:31.080 --> 2:20:34.200
<v Speaker 1>the opposite advice we now turn around and give via

2:20:34.480 --> 2:20:38.600
<v Speaker 1>our imperial like apparatus from the I m F and

2:20:38.680 --> 2:20:42.920
<v Speaker 1>the World Bank to developing counts and like countries. Countries

2:20:43.120 --> 2:20:45.880
<v Speaker 1>that that examined what the US was telling them to

2:20:45.959 --> 2:20:48.920
<v Speaker 1>do and did the opposite. Are the ones that succeeded. Yes,

2:20:49.200 --> 2:20:53.000
<v Speaker 1>like South Korea said no, funk that, and there they

2:20:53.040 --> 2:20:55.760
<v Speaker 1>went up the value chain and they did all of

2:20:55.800 --> 2:20:59.400
<v Speaker 1>the things that we said Vancouver Island should do basically, yeah,

2:20:59.400 --> 2:21:01.720
<v Speaker 1>except except not being evil. They did not do that.

2:21:02.160 --> 2:21:05.440
<v Speaker 1>They were evil. They were evil for a time, and

2:21:05.480 --> 2:21:08.880
<v Speaker 1>they were dictatorial, but in terms of their economic development

2:21:08.959 --> 2:21:11.840
<v Speaker 1>plan divorced from political reality, which is probably naive of

2:21:11.920 --> 2:21:14.640
<v Speaker 1>me to say, um, they took the opposite advice of

2:21:14.680 --> 2:21:18.080
<v Speaker 1>the I m F in terms of that narrow scope. Well, yeah,

2:21:18.360 --> 2:21:20.360
<v Speaker 1>I think the other thing that's kind of important here

2:21:20.400 --> 2:21:21.960
<v Speaker 1>that I haven't really touched on yet, is it, like

2:21:22.800 --> 2:21:24.200
<v Speaker 1>so part part of part of what was going on

2:21:24.320 --> 2:21:26.480
<v Speaker 1>with with South Korea's economy is that South Korea's economy

2:21:26.560 --> 2:21:29.280
<v Speaker 1>was was a war economy, and it was a war

2:21:29.320 --> 2:21:31.360
<v Speaker 1>economy designed to build I mean, originally just it was

2:21:31.440 --> 2:21:33.800
<v Speaker 1>it was war economy because they were finding a war, right,

2:21:33.879 --> 2:21:36.320
<v Speaker 1>But then it became this i mean ess central access

2:21:36.320 --> 2:21:38.040
<v Speaker 1>of sort of the corruction of the Korean War, and

2:21:38.080 --> 2:21:41.880
<v Speaker 1>that it became this access that like it became a

2:21:42.000 --> 2:21:44.400
<v Speaker 1>huge part of the American sort of arms industry in

2:21:44.560 --> 2:21:46.600
<v Speaker 1>in Vietnam. And this is the sending that Japan has

2:21:46.640 --> 2:21:49.320
<v Speaker 1>this too, where both these economies are like a huge

2:21:49.360 --> 2:21:50.920
<v Speaker 1>part of the reason why they're able to develop is

2:21:50.959 --> 2:21:53.760
<v Speaker 1>because they get enormous amounts of just money and the

2:21:54.080 --> 2:21:56.880
<v Speaker 1>guaranteed contract and stuff like that from American military development.

2:21:56.920 --> 2:21:58.880
<v Speaker 1>And this is a this is another really big problem

2:21:59.600 --> 2:22:03.160
<v Speaker 1>for like you're sort of free state that like you've

2:22:03.200 --> 2:22:05.400
<v Speaker 1>created like whatever you're sort of like Council Republic, you're

2:22:05.440 --> 2:22:08.720
<v Speaker 1>like if on the zone, you're like indigenous confederation. Is

2:22:08.800 --> 2:22:14.640
<v Speaker 1>that like you need weapons and the people who make

2:22:14.720 --> 2:22:19.640
<v Speaker 1>guns are like the US and Russia And this is

2:22:19.680 --> 2:22:21.320
<v Speaker 1>a really you know and and you know, we've we've

2:22:21.360 --> 2:22:25.080
<v Speaker 1>been talking on this show about about producing like three

2:22:25.160 --> 2:22:28.600
<v Speaker 1>D point weapons, but I mean, you know, in terms

2:22:28.640 --> 2:22:31.360
<v Speaker 1>of things like you know, you're like artillery, right, like

2:22:31.840 --> 2:22:33.680
<v Speaker 1>k of your mortars and like things like that, were like,

2:22:33.760 --> 2:22:35.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, you you can't. You can't three D prints

2:22:35.959 --> 2:22:39.920
<v Speaker 1>the best of my knowledge, And I'm like ent sure

2:22:39.920 --> 2:22:43.040
<v Speaker 1>about this that like unless you had extremely advanced facilities,

2:22:43.040 --> 2:22:44.920
<v Speaker 1>and even then it's not clear. Like I I like,

2:22:45.879 --> 2:22:47.640
<v Speaker 1>I don't think anyone on Earth has ever pred three

2:22:47.680 --> 2:22:50.680
<v Speaker 1>D printed like an anti aircraft rocket, like you can

2:22:50.720 --> 2:22:52.640
<v Speaker 1>you can you know, you can't make you can't make stingers,

2:22:52.680 --> 2:22:54.039
<v Speaker 1>you can't make man pads. You can't make like anti

2:22:54.080 --> 2:22:57.120
<v Speaker 1>tank anti aircraft weapons. Not to get too much into it,

2:22:57.240 --> 2:23:00.280
<v Speaker 1>but like the way in which Ukraine is fighting like

2:23:00.440 --> 2:23:05.080
<v Speaker 1>Russian tanks and it's very specifics is kind of encouraging. Actually, yeah,

2:23:05.160 --> 2:23:08.280
<v Speaker 1>but like because you feel like the like specific yeah,

2:23:08.320 --> 2:23:10.360
<v Speaker 1>I mean there's only a few companies for making the

2:23:10.400 --> 2:23:13.920
<v Speaker 1>components for these things. Yeah, it's a problem. And that's

2:23:13.959 --> 2:23:18.720
<v Speaker 1>that's like the personnel launched the in law or whatever things. Yeah,

2:23:18.840 --> 2:23:21.360
<v Speaker 1>like the anti taking and takers like if you can

2:23:21.440 --> 2:23:24.840
<v Speaker 1>get them, they're effective and they do they do stuffing

2:23:26.400 --> 2:23:29.200
<v Speaker 1>from by the US or the UK. Yeah, yeah, and

2:23:29.320 --> 2:23:31.760
<v Speaker 1>that's that's that's a huge problem if you're you know,

2:23:32.040 --> 2:23:35.280
<v Speaker 1>not trying to like be a political colony of these

2:23:35.280 --> 2:23:37.240
<v Speaker 1>two things. And and this this is another trap that

2:23:37.360 --> 2:23:40.200
<v Speaker 1>you see, like you see did Cares especially falling into,

2:23:40.280 --> 2:23:42.880
<v Speaker 1>which is that that they you know, Okay, so like

2:23:42.920 --> 2:23:44.880
<v Speaker 1>on the one hand, yeah, you do need weapons, right,

2:23:44.959 --> 2:23:47.360
<v Speaker 1>like you you need you need some kind of military complex,

2:23:47.560 --> 2:23:49.800
<v Speaker 1>and you need arms order to make sure that like

2:23:50.520 --> 2:23:52.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, you're not like the US doesn't rull tanks

2:23:52.600 --> 2:23:56.240
<v Speaker 1>across the border. But simultaneously, like there's there's a thing

2:23:56.320 --> 2:23:59.000
<v Speaker 1>that happens a lot with this is happticularly with Petro States,

2:23:59.040 --> 2:24:02.880
<v Speaker 1>where you know, okay, so the the the the US

2:24:03.000 --> 2:24:05.040
<v Speaker 1>is like, okay, so we need this oil, right, and

2:24:05.280 --> 2:24:06.400
<v Speaker 1>how how do you how do you deal with the

2:24:06.440 --> 2:24:08.120
<v Speaker 1>sort of balance payments ephas And the answer is we

2:24:08.160 --> 2:24:10.840
<v Speaker 1>just sell them like a hundred billion tanks and we

2:24:11.000 --> 2:24:12.920
<v Speaker 1>just like we just like dump f thirty fives on them,

2:24:13.640 --> 2:24:15.560
<v Speaker 1>and you can get into these scenarios where like you

2:24:15.680 --> 2:24:18.560
<v Speaker 1>get these like because I mean, the problem with weapons,

2:24:18.640 --> 2:24:19.920
<v Speaker 1>right it is like okay, so you need them to survive,

2:24:19.959 --> 2:24:22.200
<v Speaker 1>but they also they don't produce anything, right, in fact

2:24:22.240 --> 2:24:24.160
<v Speaker 1>that they're sort of they're sort of net economic negatives

2:24:24.160 --> 2:24:25.720
<v Speaker 1>because the only thing you could do with a gun

2:24:26.040 --> 2:24:27.760
<v Speaker 1>is I mean, I guess you could technically hunt, but

2:24:27.840 --> 2:24:29.720
<v Speaker 1>like you know that the thing you're doing with the

2:24:29.760 --> 2:24:32.760
<v Speaker 1>weapon is destroying value. Yeah yeah. And I mean and

2:24:32.920 --> 2:24:36.000
<v Speaker 1>then they were crying maintenance. Yeah yeah, Like these things

2:24:36.040 --> 2:24:39.080
<v Speaker 1>are substantial net negatives. Yeah, and and and you know,

2:24:39.120 --> 2:24:41.400
<v Speaker 1>and and countries get sucked into these traps. Were like

2:24:42.200 --> 2:24:44.960
<v Speaker 1>you know, okay, we're just gonna keep buying American weapons

2:24:45.080 --> 2:24:47.879
<v Speaker 1>because of security or like uh we we we want

2:24:47.920 --> 2:24:49.920
<v Speaker 1>to invade some other country. You're like, well, you know,

2:24:49.959 --> 2:24:51.920
<v Speaker 1>and you see this so hew weaponry to like back

2:24:51.920 --> 2:24:53.720
<v Speaker 1>back when that was the thing and today modern Russian

2:24:53.760 --> 2:24:56.120
<v Speaker 1>trap wheny where it's like you can you can get

2:24:56.240 --> 2:24:58.560
<v Speaker 1>funneled into these traps were like the ruling class of

2:24:58.640 --> 2:25:01.160
<v Speaker 1>your society just decides it's the thing that it wants

2:25:01.200 --> 2:25:03.800
<v Speaker 1>to spend his four X on his weapons, and you

2:25:03.920 --> 2:25:06.280
<v Speaker 1>have to be very very like you have to be

2:25:06.520 --> 2:25:08.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, and this is the thing that happens like

2:25:10.400 --> 2:25:12.880
<v Speaker 1>like Evner Hoax for example, famously like makes just a

2:25:12.920 --> 2:25:16.039
<v Speaker 1>bunch of bunkers, right and like militarized society and it's like, well,

2:25:17.000 --> 2:25:19.480
<v Speaker 1>you know, part of this is just Hoax being extremely weird,

2:25:19.560 --> 2:25:25.520
<v Speaker 1>but like, yeah, you have to be very careful when

2:25:25.560 --> 2:25:28.360
<v Speaker 1>your society that is genuinely under threat that you're not

2:25:28.600 --> 2:25:32.480
<v Speaker 1>sort of like just throwing all of your resources into

2:25:32.959 --> 2:25:35.520
<v Speaker 1>into stuff like that where you know, it doesn't it

2:25:35.520 --> 2:25:38.440
<v Speaker 1>doesn't pre us anything, but you know, and yeah, also

2:25:38.480 --> 2:25:41.720
<v Speaker 1>I mean this is it is a need like like

2:25:42.280 --> 2:25:48.280
<v Speaker 1>whatever the Vancouver Economic Planning whatever group should like one

2:25:48.400 --> 2:25:52.119
<v Speaker 1>of one of the objectives would frank would be military

2:25:52.480 --> 2:25:56.240
<v Speaker 1>of course, Yeah, um you need to. I don't know

2:25:56.320 --> 2:25:58.200
<v Speaker 1>if you could get your hands on in laws or

2:25:58.280 --> 2:26:02.720
<v Speaker 1>man pads or anything like that, but you, um, I

2:26:02.800 --> 2:26:07.240
<v Speaker 1>think you would be foolish frankly not too distribute and

2:26:07.320 --> 2:26:11.960
<v Speaker 1>train on weapons and stuff like that. Yeah, and that yeah, yeah,

2:26:12.000 --> 2:26:13.200
<v Speaker 1>like I think I think like, yeah, it's like you

2:26:13.280 --> 2:26:14.280
<v Speaker 1>have to use some of it for that and it

2:26:14.400 --> 2:26:16.520
<v Speaker 1>sucks because this is something that like this, this sucks

2:26:16.520 --> 2:26:22.280
<v Speaker 1>you into the arms complex, right, Yeah, Rose is using

2:26:22.520 --> 2:26:30.000
<v Speaker 1>its oil revenues um to fund its expenditure almost is

2:26:30.760 --> 2:26:33.800
<v Speaker 1>at least like in the last time I checked, was

2:26:34.840 --> 2:26:39.160
<v Speaker 1>to defense forces. Yeah, and like and a lot of that,

2:26:39.360 --> 2:26:44.560
<v Speaker 1>a lot of that came from dollars, euros and turkishly

2:26:44.680 --> 2:26:48.640
<v Speaker 1>right that they required to oil. Yeah, and like this

2:26:48.800 --> 2:26:50.120
<v Speaker 1>and this is the thing that like, yeah, this, this

2:26:50.200 --> 2:26:51.720
<v Speaker 1>is this is a problem if you're into your revolution

2:26:51.800 --> 2:26:54.040
<v Speaker 1>society surrounding people who just literally want to murder you,

2:26:54.480 --> 2:26:56.360
<v Speaker 1>or it's like stuff like this winds up happening and

2:26:56.400 --> 2:26:59.000
<v Speaker 1>you wind it like I don't blame them, Yeah, it's

2:26:59.000 --> 2:27:04.680
<v Speaker 1>like it's obviously it's like reality. Yeah, And I think

2:27:04.720 --> 2:27:06.680
<v Speaker 1>that's a you know that that that's a good example

2:27:06.760 --> 2:27:09.680
<v Speaker 1>of like what happens if the revolution doesn't spread and

2:27:09.760 --> 2:27:11.760
<v Speaker 1>if you get sort of like you get isolated, contained

2:27:11.800 --> 2:27:13.960
<v Speaker 1>by imperial powers who just want to murder to you,

2:27:14.600 --> 2:27:19.720
<v Speaker 1>is that you wind up, like you basically you want,

2:27:19.760 --> 2:27:22.600
<v Speaker 1>you wind up fighting an endless war against both the

2:27:22.640 --> 2:27:24.800
<v Speaker 1>proxy forces and the real forces of RBS that are

2:27:24.840 --> 2:27:28.440
<v Speaker 1>significantly large and more powerful than you. And yeah, and

2:27:28.480 --> 2:27:30.120
<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of times there's not much you can

2:27:30.160 --> 2:27:32.600
<v Speaker 1>do about it. But it's like I think, you know,

2:27:32.720 --> 2:27:35.039
<v Speaker 1>in terms of like like in the school of high principle,

2:27:35.120 --> 2:27:37.360
<v Speaker 1>like this is why internationalism is important. I mean yeah,

2:27:37.360 --> 2:27:39.560
<v Speaker 1>And of course obviously the other answer is, you know,

2:27:39.640 --> 2:27:42.880
<v Speaker 1>selling out on the revolution and you know, we we we.

2:27:43.640 --> 2:27:45.640
<v Speaker 1>You know that there's the example that people didn't think

2:27:45.640 --> 2:27:48.560
<v Speaker 1>about of Serritza. You know, Sursa gets elected on all

2:27:48.600 --> 2:27:50.920
<v Speaker 1>these like radical promises for Greece and then just doesn't

2:27:50.920 --> 2:27:53.200
<v Speaker 1>do any of them. Um. And then you can look

2:27:53.240 --> 2:27:57.160
<v Speaker 1>at say Nepal, and you know, the communist one in Nepal,

2:27:57.480 --> 2:28:01.120
<v Speaker 1>and then they establish a government that's functionally you know,

2:28:01.680 --> 2:28:04.920
<v Speaker 1>it's a liberal government. My my, my, my. My favorite

2:28:05.000 --> 2:28:08.880
<v Speaker 1>Nepal fact is that, Okay, so Nepol has like seventeen

2:28:09.000 --> 2:28:11.840
<v Speaker 1>different like Maoist factions, but the guy ahead of of

2:28:12.080 --> 2:28:15.800
<v Speaker 1>the of the largest Maoist faction, uh yeah, I think

2:28:15.800 --> 2:28:17.920
<v Speaker 1>it's him. Is he's the one who now lives in

2:28:18.040 --> 2:28:19.600
<v Speaker 1>the mansion of the guy who used to be the

2:28:19.680 --> 2:28:25.160
<v Speaker 1>Nepalese head of security. And it's like, uh, we've well

2:28:25.240 --> 2:28:27.720
<v Speaker 1>this is this, this has gone great. We've we've changed

2:28:27.800 --> 2:28:33.360
<v Speaker 1>the person in the mansion kind of yeah. And I

2:28:33.440 --> 2:28:37.200
<v Speaker 1>mean the and you know, uh, not too surprisingly. You know,

2:28:37.280 --> 2:28:40.280
<v Speaker 1>the second leader a couple about a year ago, Karen

2:28:40.520 --> 2:28:42.680
<v Speaker 1>was on the verge of declaring a new people's war

2:28:42.720 --> 2:28:47.760
<v Speaker 1>against the Maoist faction. Yeah, Maoist war against the malice.

2:28:47.920 --> 2:28:50.840
<v Speaker 1>Like yeah, I mean that's you know, you you you

2:28:51.000 --> 2:28:56.960
<v Speaker 1>end up. It's yeah, it's it's tricky to try to

2:28:57.120 --> 2:29:00.160
<v Speaker 1>like game it out, so to speak, because you know,

2:29:00.320 --> 2:29:06.080
<v Speaker 1>my I maybe I'm just squeamish. I am hoping for

2:29:06.200 --> 2:29:08.800
<v Speaker 1>things to not happen with the river of blood. Yeah,

2:29:09.959 --> 2:29:12.200
<v Speaker 1>in life, I hope that, uh, I hope that we

2:29:12.280 --> 2:29:16.200
<v Speaker 1>don't get rivers of blood. Um oh, plan plan for

2:29:16.240 --> 2:29:19.800
<v Speaker 1>war so you get you get peace. Yeah. Yeah, but

2:29:19.920 --> 2:29:21.280
<v Speaker 1>you like, like like Chris has said, you know, you

2:29:21.320 --> 2:29:24.680
<v Speaker 1>can get trapped into like that that escalating security dilemma. Uh.

2:29:24.800 --> 2:29:26.760
<v Speaker 1>And of course, you know, investing in security doesn't actually

2:29:26.800 --> 2:29:29.400
<v Speaker 1>necessarily to security. We have you know, over a century

2:29:29.440 --> 2:29:32.760
<v Speaker 1>of looking at Latin American countries that investments in the

2:29:32.800 --> 2:29:35.760
<v Speaker 1>military is just investments in the next civil war. Yeah,

2:29:36.320 --> 2:29:39.120
<v Speaker 1>or you get cooled, and then that's that's another problem. Like,

2:29:39.520 --> 2:29:41.640
<v Speaker 1>like I mean, it's weird because it's like it's a

2:29:41.640 --> 2:29:44.160
<v Speaker 1>double edged strey because like the twenty century, like there's

2:29:44.160 --> 2:29:47.440
<v Speaker 1>all there's a lot of like socialistic governments that come

2:29:47.480 --> 2:29:51.600
<v Speaker 1>into power just from military coups, but also like probably

2:29:51.680 --> 2:29:54.920
<v Speaker 1>more of those governments like get overthrown by their own coups.

2:29:55.000 --> 2:29:58.000
<v Speaker 1>And it's yeah, there's there was one lesson I learned

2:29:58.120 --> 2:30:03.440
<v Speaker 1>from playing Tropical It's good if you've tried to invest

2:30:03.600 --> 2:30:05.560
<v Speaker 1>more in your No matter how much you invest in

2:30:05.640 --> 2:30:07.920
<v Speaker 1>your military, it only will ever get you up to

2:30:08.879 --> 2:30:15.680
<v Speaker 1>surviving a coup. Yeah, don't have colonels and don't have generals. Yeah,

2:30:16.320 --> 2:30:21.560
<v Speaker 1>then then you get captain's cups. It's always colonels. Yeah,

2:30:21.560 --> 2:30:24.040
<v Speaker 1>there's always colonels. It's because they're like passed up for

2:30:24.240 --> 2:30:28.240
<v Speaker 1>general ship by the next administration or something. Yeah. Again again,

2:30:28.320 --> 2:30:31.119
<v Speaker 1>sometimes sometimes you do get like stumes as you get

2:30:31.200 --> 2:30:33.120
<v Speaker 1>like your pinochet, and so sometimes you do get your

2:30:33.160 --> 2:30:36.280
<v Speaker 1>captain's cups, and it's like this is a that goes

2:30:36.440 --> 2:30:41.200
<v Speaker 1>that's ambition right there when the cap is the government. Yeah. Well,

2:30:41.320 --> 2:30:45.959
<v Speaker 1>once your captains of hit fucket mode, it's a bad Yeah,

2:30:46.520 --> 2:30:49.160
<v Speaker 1>that's indicative of like bigger, deeper problems. Yeah. Well, I

2:30:49.240 --> 2:30:51.160
<v Speaker 1>think like the baths are an interesting example of this

2:30:51.240 --> 2:30:53.440
<v Speaker 1>because like, okay, like the Baptists were never like good,

2:30:54.120 --> 2:30:58.119
<v Speaker 1>but like, you know, the Bathists like originally like we're

2:30:58.400 --> 2:31:01.520
<v Speaker 1>kind of a mass movement, but then and increasingly, like

2:31:01.640 --> 2:31:03.480
<v Speaker 1>over time, as as they consult their power to the

2:31:03.520 --> 2:31:07.160
<v Speaker 1>military sort of revolutions, like it becomes increasingly just the

2:31:07.240 --> 2:31:10.119
<v Speaker 1>Baptists are powerful because they have control of like various

2:31:10.120 --> 2:31:12.600
<v Speaker 1>portions of the military, and you know, and like the

2:31:12.720 --> 2:31:15.080
<v Speaker 1>the the end result of this is like instead of

2:31:15.120 --> 2:31:17.560
<v Speaker 1>having revolutions like you just get you just get all

2:31:17.600 --> 2:31:19.680
<v Speaker 1>political power has nothing to do with whatever is happening

2:31:19.680 --> 2:31:21.360
<v Speaker 1>in the street. You get these giant protests that are

2:31:21.400 --> 2:31:22.640
<v Speaker 1>like we want to go back to being part of

2:31:22.640 --> 2:31:26.160
<v Speaker 1>the United the the United Republic, and it just doesn't

2:31:26.200 --> 2:31:28.920
<v Speaker 1>matter because the actual political power is just what happens

2:31:28.959 --> 2:31:32.880
<v Speaker 1>when the army fights itself. And yeah, I think like

2:31:35.120 --> 2:31:37.120
<v Speaker 1>there's no easy solution to that other than just like

2:31:37.520 --> 2:31:40.560
<v Speaker 1>don't have an armed body that's separate from just the

2:31:40.680 --> 2:31:44.760
<v Speaker 1>masses of people, which is difficult to do, but also

2:31:44.920 --> 2:31:48.760
<v Speaker 1>like or just armed the people somewhat. Yeah, and and

2:31:49.120 --> 2:31:53.360
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's means of violence should be more evenly distributed. Yeah,

2:31:54.400 --> 2:31:56.160
<v Speaker 1>I will say that was I guess part of why

2:31:56.200 --> 2:31:58.520
<v Speaker 1>the scenario we had started off with like you've declared

2:31:58.560 --> 2:32:00.520
<v Speaker 1>that people's republic, because the question how you get that

2:32:00.560 --> 2:32:06.400
<v Speaker 1>people's republic feels like that's of your podcast podcast episodes. Yeah, yeah,

2:32:06.760 --> 2:32:09.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, we've done, we've done, we've done, just like

2:32:09.240 --> 2:32:12.080
<v Speaker 1>a miracle has occurred, but like a revolution has occurred

2:32:12.440 --> 2:32:15.680
<v Speaker 1>and then I don't know, they like or something like

2:32:16.640 --> 2:32:17.880
<v Speaker 1>as I like to say, it's good to have a

2:32:17.959 --> 2:32:20.680
<v Speaker 1>plan for it if you win. Yeah, well, and I

2:32:21.040 --> 2:32:24.600
<v Speaker 1>like to win and then fumble once you've already gotten Yeah,

2:32:24.640 --> 2:32:26.520
<v Speaker 1>and this this this is something that like that actually

2:32:26.520 --> 2:32:29.520
<v Speaker 1>does happen a lot, which is like you get into that,

2:32:29.600 --> 2:32:35.160
<v Speaker 1>you get into these revolutionary like moments, but then there's

2:32:35.240 --> 2:32:38.560
<v Speaker 1>just sort of like no like no one has any

2:32:38.560 --> 2:32:40.200
<v Speaker 1>idea what to do next, and so they sort of

2:32:40.280 --> 2:32:43.160
<v Speaker 1>bungle it or you know, you get into scenarios, yeah,

2:32:43.240 --> 2:32:46.119
<v Speaker 1>or you get too revolution scenarios where like nobody's thought

2:32:46.200 --> 2:32:49.080
<v Speaker 1>about what happens next, and that that's that's another way

2:32:49.120 --> 2:32:50.600
<v Speaker 1>that like, yeah, these things class at the time, and

2:32:50.600 --> 2:32:53.120
<v Speaker 1>that's another way you get like you know, this this

2:32:53.240 --> 2:32:56.320
<v Speaker 1>isn't somethings like the whole of the sort of like

2:32:56.400 --> 2:32:58.440
<v Speaker 1>the trial and error of the point of the twentieth century,

2:32:58.480 --> 2:33:00.200
<v Speaker 1>which most of which is sort of and in an

2:33:00.320 --> 2:33:03.560
<v Speaker 1>error is that, you know, a bunch of people were

2:33:03.560 --> 2:33:05.360
<v Speaker 1>experimenting and a lot of stuff they tried didn't work,

2:33:05.879 --> 2:33:07.800
<v Speaker 1>and there are lots of reasons for that. But you like,

2:33:08.120 --> 2:33:10.040
<v Speaker 1>you have to in order to win, you have to

2:33:10.080 --> 2:33:13.480
<v Speaker 1>actually be serious about taking power, and you have to

2:33:13.560 --> 2:33:16.640
<v Speaker 1>be you know, you have to be thinking strategically and

2:33:17.120 --> 2:33:19.760
<v Speaker 1>have a like, have at least a vision of what

2:33:19.879 --> 2:33:22.520
<v Speaker 1>you're going to do before you like you know, like

2:33:23.000 --> 2:33:26.040
<v Speaker 1>before things happen, because otherwise there's just sort of like

2:33:26.320 --> 2:33:27.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, because you just you just get sort of

2:33:27.840 --> 2:33:30.680
<v Speaker 1>mass confusion and yeah, and say what say what you

2:33:30.760 --> 2:33:32.440
<v Speaker 1>all about the fascists they know what they're gonna do

2:33:32.480 --> 2:33:36.320
<v Speaker 1>when they see its power. They're not confused about it. There.

2:33:36.480 --> 2:33:39.840
<v Speaker 1>Their problems are what you do after. Yeah, they're not

2:33:39.920 --> 2:33:42.520
<v Speaker 1>confused about that those first like hours when things start

2:33:42.600 --> 2:33:45.040
<v Speaker 1>out the way. I hope that nothing we've said. I

2:33:45.040 --> 2:33:47.000
<v Speaker 1>hope that nothing we've said on this podcast kind of

2:33:47.320 --> 2:33:49.320
<v Speaker 1>makes people think like, oh, they so they have like

2:33:49.440 --> 2:33:52.920
<v Speaker 1>one weird trick basically to like secure secure your power,

2:33:54.720 --> 2:33:57.200
<v Speaker 1>um and like and that and that we aren't like

2:33:57.360 --> 2:34:02.119
<v Speaker 1>singularly focused on acquiring for X or something. Also, it's

2:34:02.160 --> 2:34:07.120
<v Speaker 1>just like it's an important lever too to have at

2:34:07.160 --> 2:34:09.920
<v Speaker 1>your disposal. Like, well, number one, you should know that

2:34:09.959 --> 2:34:12.680
<v Speaker 1>it's important. Number two, you should have tools in place,

2:34:12.720 --> 2:34:18.480
<v Speaker 1>such as like running a running a fixed extra fixed

2:34:18.480 --> 2:34:20.480
<v Speaker 1>exchange rate or something to make it a bit easier

2:34:20.560 --> 2:34:23.640
<v Speaker 1>to acquire for X on the whole, or doing capital

2:34:23.720 --> 2:34:26.680
<v Speaker 1>controls or doing price controls or something like that. And

2:34:26.800 --> 2:34:29.920
<v Speaker 1>you should have these tools in mind in order to

2:34:30.040 --> 2:34:34.720
<v Speaker 1>get from year one to year ten in terms of

2:34:34.800 --> 2:34:37.480
<v Speaker 1>your biophysical resources, like here's what we have, here's what

2:34:37.560 --> 2:34:40.840
<v Speaker 1>we need, and you know, some of that could be military,

2:34:40.959 --> 2:34:43.360
<v Speaker 1>some of that could be economic, and some of that

2:34:43.400 --> 2:34:48.800
<v Speaker 1>could be political. And um, no, one like I don't

2:34:48.800 --> 2:34:51.720
<v Speaker 1>know the answers. We don't know the answers, but um,

2:34:52.560 --> 2:34:54.879
<v Speaker 1>at each step of the way, you need to find

2:34:54.959 --> 2:34:57.800
<v Speaker 1>groups of people who can come together and think objectively

2:34:57.800 --> 2:35:03.400
<v Speaker 1>about them. Yeah, I I want. Yeah, it's not that

2:35:03.440 --> 2:35:06.880
<v Speaker 1>I think that there is an answer. I'm kind of

2:35:06.959 --> 2:35:10.160
<v Speaker 1>thinking about almost a little bit parallel to like, we

2:35:10.320 --> 2:35:13.000
<v Speaker 1>know that if we create our you know, if if

2:35:13.520 --> 2:35:16.200
<v Speaker 1>socialist managed to sees any amount of power they're going

2:35:16.280 --> 2:35:20.000
<v Speaker 1>to reform whatever health care system they're currently existing in. Uh.

2:35:20.640 --> 2:35:22.920
<v Speaker 1>We know this is going to be better, because it

2:35:22.920 --> 2:35:26.080
<v Speaker 1>would be hard for it to be worse. Uh. But

2:35:27.959 --> 2:35:30.920
<v Speaker 1>you know that's making a good hospital system is not

2:35:31.080 --> 2:35:34.200
<v Speaker 1>the entire thing that makes a revolution happen. It is

2:35:34.240 --> 2:35:35.680
<v Speaker 1>just one of those things that you need to do

2:35:35.800 --> 2:35:40.920
<v Speaker 1>and you need to think about it. And my objective here,

2:35:41.120 --> 2:35:44.480
<v Speaker 1>and it's a lot of my objective with you know,

2:35:44.600 --> 2:35:49.640
<v Speaker 1>making this whole magazine project, is that my socialism means

2:35:49.680 --> 2:35:53.000
<v Speaker 1>that we all we have say over our lives. You know,

2:35:53.160 --> 2:35:55.760
<v Speaker 1>that's fundamental to me, that we have say over what

2:35:55.959 --> 2:35:58.039
<v Speaker 1>we do with our lives. And I want to make

2:35:58.120 --> 2:36:01.240
<v Speaker 1>sure that the people who are in this with me,

2:36:01.320 --> 2:36:03.800
<v Speaker 1>which is hopefully everybody. I am an optimist. I'm hoping

2:36:03.840 --> 2:36:07.000
<v Speaker 1>that everybody is with me on creating a better socialist world,

2:36:07.280 --> 2:36:10.440
<v Speaker 1>that all of us are at least somewhat informed about

2:36:10.480 --> 2:36:13.920
<v Speaker 1>the decisions we're making. I'm not actually economically trained, you know,

2:36:14.000 --> 2:36:16.720
<v Speaker 1>I'm I I've learned this stuff as I've gone. It's

2:36:16.720 --> 2:36:22.879
<v Speaker 1>not insurmountable. Ah, and uh, it's you know, I would

2:36:22.959 --> 2:36:25.280
<v Speaker 1>want the decision about how do we make a socialist

2:36:25.360 --> 2:36:28.280
<v Speaker 1>economy you know, the core of socialism worker control of

2:36:28.320 --> 2:36:31.400
<v Speaker 1>the means of production that the people involved. Again, hopefully

2:36:31.400 --> 2:36:37.480
<v Speaker 1>everybody uh has you know, at least has an inkling

2:36:37.520 --> 2:36:39.240
<v Speaker 1>of what's going on. I don't want people to be

2:36:40.120 --> 2:36:43.760
<v Speaker 1>confused and baffled by the decisions being made on their behalf. That's,

2:36:43.920 --> 2:36:47.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, a fundamental evil of a capitalist system. We

2:36:47.879 --> 2:36:49.920
<v Speaker 1>don't know what the fun decisions are being made for

2:36:50.160 --> 2:36:54.400
<v Speaker 1>us by powerful people. Well, part of the part of

2:36:54.440 --> 2:36:57.160
<v Speaker 1>the problem comes back to education, because like people are

2:36:57.560 --> 2:37:03.400
<v Speaker 1>um the rois of hogged. They've hearted the knowledge of

2:37:03.640 --> 2:37:06.880
<v Speaker 1>how to plan in certain respects, and I think socialists

2:37:07.640 --> 2:37:10.520
<v Speaker 1>socialists will sometimes look at the body of knowledge in

2:37:10.680 --> 2:37:15.320
<v Speaker 1>terms of planning and economy and say, like, well, because

2:37:15.520 --> 2:37:17.320
<v Speaker 1>they are the only ones who know how to do that,

2:37:17.600 --> 2:37:21.160
<v Speaker 1>the knowledge itself is tainted, and like, I don't need

2:37:21.200 --> 2:37:24.080
<v Speaker 1>to learn this because it's evil. Basically, I don't need

2:37:24.120 --> 2:37:27.280
<v Speaker 1>to learn how to manage a currency board or do

2:37:27.520 --> 2:37:34.160
<v Speaker 1>forex management because that's money and that's evil stuff. Yeah,

2:37:34.240 --> 2:37:36.320
<v Speaker 1>I hope, I hope. What we've described so far says

2:37:36.400 --> 2:37:38.440
<v Speaker 1>like I don't know if it's evil or not, but

2:37:38.600 --> 2:37:42.800
<v Speaker 1>it's important and it should be. I think I honestly

2:37:42.879 --> 2:37:46.280
<v Speaker 1>think you're going to probably probably fail if you don't

2:37:47.000 --> 2:37:50.160
<v Speaker 1>consider these things at each step of the way. Yeah,

2:37:50.360 --> 2:37:53.800
<v Speaker 1>and and even in your like one of the things

2:37:53.879 --> 2:37:56.720
<v Speaker 1>that that you see a lot with socialist countries is

2:37:57.000 --> 2:37:59.360
<v Speaker 1>they have basically have like a firewall, right where they

2:37:59.480 --> 2:38:01.680
<v Speaker 1>try to keep a separation between the parts of their

2:38:01.720 --> 2:38:05.320
<v Speaker 1>economy that like are planned and the parts of their

2:38:05.360 --> 2:38:11.800
<v Speaker 1>economy that like are about moving forwards around. And I think, like, okay,

2:38:11.840 --> 2:38:15.840
<v Speaker 1>like there are varying degrees of effectiveness of this, but

2:38:15.959 --> 2:38:18.640
<v Speaker 1>like this is like even even if you're like, okay,

2:38:18.760 --> 2:38:20.680
<v Speaker 1>like we want to get rid of the economy, right,

2:38:20.760 --> 2:38:21.960
<v Speaker 1>like we want to get rid of labor, We want

2:38:21.959 --> 2:38:23.280
<v Speaker 1>to get rid of all the stuff as a concept,

2:38:23.400 --> 2:38:28.920
<v Speaker 1>like you're gonna have to deal like until until you

2:38:29.120 --> 2:38:32.280
<v Speaker 1>like win, right like until until you've like until you've

2:38:32.600 --> 2:38:38.600
<v Speaker 1>raised a flag over like New York, Berlin, Shanghai, like

2:38:39.160 --> 2:38:41.640
<v Speaker 1>a New Delhi at the same time, right like you're

2:38:41.680 --> 2:38:43.680
<v Speaker 1>you're gonna be you're gonna have to be dealing with

2:38:43.800 --> 2:38:48.879
<v Speaker 1>this stuff. And how how you do that and how

2:38:49.000 --> 2:38:51.440
<v Speaker 1>quickly you're able to figure this out, how quickly you're

2:38:51.560 --> 2:38:53.480
<v Speaker 1>you're able to implement, and how quickly you're able to

2:38:53.600 --> 2:38:58.120
<v Speaker 1>sort of like seize control of and use the resources

2:38:58.160 --> 2:39:01.400
<v Speaker 1>that you have in order to advanta your political object use.

2:39:02.120 --> 2:39:03.880
<v Speaker 1>You know that that that that's going to be one

2:39:03.959 --> 2:39:05.800
<v Speaker 1>of the things that tourms whether or not your revolution

2:39:05.840 --> 2:39:09.840
<v Speaker 1>survives no matter what it's fighting for. Mm hmm. Like

2:39:09.959 --> 2:39:14.760
<v Speaker 1>in addition to all the military stuff, um, military and economic,

2:39:15.040 --> 2:39:18.960
<v Speaker 1>I think you have to just say, like you have

2:39:19.000 --> 2:39:21.320
<v Speaker 1>to get to a point economically and militarily and all

2:39:21.360 --> 2:39:23.240
<v Speaker 1>their other stuff to where you can just say to

2:39:23.440 --> 2:39:26.720
<v Speaker 1>international powers like I don't need to make some moral

2:39:26.800 --> 2:39:29.160
<v Speaker 1>claim to you, I've built a better mouse trap. I'm

2:39:29.160 --> 2:39:31.440
<v Speaker 1>going to let the people decide. And it's like it

2:39:31.600 --> 2:39:36.560
<v Speaker 1>just shows people living freely together, uh and enjoying a

2:39:36.680 --> 2:39:40.320
<v Speaker 1>good standard of living and they don't need to exploit

2:39:40.360 --> 2:39:44.720
<v Speaker 1>each other to get it. And like for not everyone,

2:39:45.480 --> 2:39:48.000
<v Speaker 1>but many people, that will be really appealing. And you

2:39:48.080 --> 2:39:51.480
<v Speaker 1>have to have like, uh, well more than just a

2:39:51.520 --> 2:39:54.400
<v Speaker 1>diplomatic corps, you have to have like an entire like

2:39:54.520 --> 2:39:58.600
<v Speaker 1>a full court international push to say like it's just

2:39:58.720 --> 2:40:03.280
<v Speaker 1>a better mass trap. It's like it's, um, I don't

2:40:03.360 --> 2:40:07.039
<v Speaker 1>need to focus on moral claims about like well it's

2:40:07.080 --> 2:40:10.240
<v Speaker 1>better because you should just care about people because of like,

2:40:11.000 --> 2:40:14.240
<v Speaker 1>you should care about people more than capitalism permits because

2:40:14.280 --> 2:40:17.800
<v Speaker 1>it's just morally right. Um, that may be the case.

2:40:18.080 --> 2:40:19.960
<v Speaker 1>But also people want to get paid and they want

2:40:20.000 --> 2:40:22.400
<v Speaker 1>to be treated well and have a decent standard of

2:40:22.440 --> 2:40:24.720
<v Speaker 1>living at the same time, and we can do it.

2:40:24.959 --> 2:40:28.879
<v Speaker 1>So here's so here's how like you've you've shown them

2:40:28.959 --> 2:40:33.640
<v Speaker 1>specific steps you've taken, and you've shown them the material

2:40:33.760 --> 2:40:39.320
<v Speaker 1>standard of living that is shared democratically, and um, it's

2:40:39.360 --> 2:40:42.440
<v Speaker 1>not just like a state giving handing things out to people.

2:40:43.320 --> 2:40:48.720
<v Speaker 1>It's like a a um, true industrial democracy where it's

2:40:48.760 --> 2:40:52.119
<v Speaker 1>like you you get plugged in, you make decisions along

2:40:52.160 --> 2:40:59.520
<v Speaker 1>the way, and um, yeah, basically that Yeah, I think

2:40:59.560 --> 2:41:02.360
<v Speaker 1>I think I think that's a pretty good note to

2:41:02.840 --> 2:41:06.040
<v Speaker 1>to end on as a a a thing that we

2:41:06.200 --> 2:41:08.640
<v Speaker 1>want and things that are going to have to be

2:41:09.640 --> 2:41:13.600
<v Speaker 1>components of it. And also I guess thinking about you know,

2:41:13.959 --> 2:41:17.880
<v Speaker 1>like rejecting theories about money as incomplete that don't deal

2:41:17.959 --> 2:41:20.200
<v Speaker 1>with the fact that you don't have all the resources

2:41:20.280 --> 2:41:23.040
<v Speaker 1>in your country and you in fact indeed other things

2:41:23.120 --> 2:41:27.880
<v Speaker 1>to acquire them that you cannot simply create into existence. Yeah,

2:41:28.120 --> 2:41:30.600
<v Speaker 1>do you too have anything else you want to say

2:41:30.879 --> 2:41:33.560
<v Speaker 1>before I guess you move into plugs. I mean, like

2:41:33.720 --> 2:41:36.800
<v Speaker 1>like I said, I mean, I you know, we we

2:41:36.959 --> 2:41:38.720
<v Speaker 1>This might have sounded like a whole bunch of you know,

2:41:38.840 --> 2:41:43.039
<v Speaker 1>high minded, theoretical egghead crap, but again I am I'm

2:41:43.080 --> 2:41:46.840
<v Speaker 1>not formally educated on this stuff. This is stuff that

2:41:47.280 --> 2:41:50.920
<v Speaker 1>I have learned and participated in as a socialist first

2:41:50.959 --> 2:41:54.840
<v Speaker 1>and foremost. And it's been driven uh from the get go,

2:41:54.920 --> 2:41:58.880
<v Speaker 1>at least for me, from um, a really fundamental desire

2:41:59.000 --> 2:42:02.640
<v Speaker 1>for ecal for egalitarianism, and for people having a say

2:42:02.680 --> 2:42:06.160
<v Speaker 1>in their own lives. And I hope that the people,

2:42:06.800 --> 2:42:10.240
<v Speaker 1>uh who have stuck with us through this, who didn't

2:42:10.240 --> 2:42:14.320
<v Speaker 1>know these concepts before, feel a little bit more equipped

2:42:14.360 --> 2:42:19.400
<v Speaker 1>to participate in a discussion about, um, how you would

2:42:19.400 --> 2:42:21.680
<v Speaker 1>handle these things. And as as I kind of alluded to,

2:42:21.800 --> 2:42:23.520
<v Speaker 1>this scale is all the way down to you know,

2:42:24.720 --> 2:42:28.240
<v Speaker 1>twelve hippies on a farm. Uh, you know this, This

2:42:29.200 --> 2:42:30.800
<v Speaker 1>the scales all the way up until you've got a

2:42:30.920 --> 2:42:36.480
<v Speaker 1>total total global communism pretty much anything below that. This

2:42:37.040 --> 2:42:42.080
<v Speaker 1>this this principal scale, and I I hope that people

2:42:42.240 --> 2:42:48.080
<v Speaker 1>feel um more able and more willing to engage both

2:42:48.160 --> 2:42:50.000
<v Speaker 1>first of all, you know, to to tell liberals to

2:42:50.400 --> 2:42:53.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, shut the funk up that I should have

2:42:54.000 --> 2:42:56.879
<v Speaker 1>a say over how I participate in the economy, even

2:42:56.959 --> 2:42:59.160
<v Speaker 1>when that's things like for X that seemed very abstract

2:42:59.240 --> 2:43:03.160
<v Speaker 1>and far away. I am, I'm a person who's affected

2:43:03.160 --> 2:43:04.680
<v Speaker 1>by this. Therefore I've got a stake there for my

2:43:04.800 --> 2:43:08.200
<v Speaker 1>opinion matters. Uh, and that you you can get there,

2:43:08.440 --> 2:43:10.760
<v Speaker 1>you can learn, and you should be allowed to participate

2:43:10.840 --> 2:43:15.360
<v Speaker 1>in that. And yeah, this is what I'm trying to create,

2:43:15.440 --> 2:43:18.520
<v Speaker 1>is you know that socialists do not feel like they can.

2:43:18.879 --> 2:43:20.560
<v Speaker 1>Those are just get brow beaten out of the room

2:43:20.640 --> 2:43:23.640
<v Speaker 1>of a discussion because some liberal nerd pushed up their

2:43:23.640 --> 2:43:25.560
<v Speaker 1>glasses a whole bunch and spun their bow tie and

2:43:25.640 --> 2:43:30.040
<v Speaker 1>then sense of bullshit, like you know, you it is

2:43:30.120 --> 2:43:35.120
<v Speaker 1>your life, and ah, you have a right to have

2:43:35.200 --> 2:43:37.920
<v Speaker 1>an opinion on it. And this is not an insurmountable

2:43:38.000 --> 2:43:40.440
<v Speaker 1>thing too, It's it's hard. I want to be clear here.

2:43:40.520 --> 2:43:42.120
<v Speaker 1>This is hard, and I want but I want you

2:43:42.200 --> 2:43:47.000
<v Speaker 1>in the discussion. Well so, yeah, so I guess speaking

2:43:47.080 --> 2:43:50.360
<v Speaker 1>speaking of things that people are involved in, I can.

2:43:50.400 --> 2:43:54.520
<v Speaker 1>I can do transitions like this because I'm a professional. Um, yeah,

2:43:54.560 --> 2:43:55.680
<v Speaker 1>do you do, you too? Want to talk a bit

2:43:55.680 --> 2:43:59.280
<v Speaker 1>about your magazine. Sure. Like we mentioned at up top,

2:43:59.480 --> 2:44:02.520
<v Speaker 1>we're uh. Kyle and I are both co editors of

2:44:02.640 --> 2:44:05.520
<v Speaker 1>Strange Matters magazine, and we're in the middle of a

2:44:05.560 --> 2:44:08.800
<v Speaker 1>fundraiser right now, and you can find the fundraiser at

2:44:08.840 --> 2:44:12.640
<v Speaker 1>the r L tiny url dot com slash Strange Matters

2:44:13.240 --> 2:44:17.160
<v Speaker 1>no no dashes or anything um. You can also follow

2:44:17.280 --> 2:44:23.080
<v Speaker 1>us on Twitter at Strange Underscore Matters. And the magazine

2:44:23.120 --> 2:44:27.360
<v Speaker 1>itself is going to be a We're a literary magazine,

2:44:27.680 --> 2:44:32.359
<v Speaker 1>and each issue we're publishing in both prints and digital.

2:44:33.720 --> 2:44:38.200
<v Speaker 1>And the print issue one is about three pages, and

2:44:38.280 --> 2:44:41.880
<v Speaker 1>it's split in a half between the front pages which

2:44:41.959 --> 2:44:49.000
<v Speaker 1>is um topics like economics, philosophy, politics, um more technical fields,

2:44:49.320 --> 2:44:55.280
<v Speaker 1>and then the back pages is art um uh like

2:44:55.440 --> 2:45:03.720
<v Speaker 1>culture reviews, um apology, anthropology like uh more, sir. We

2:45:04.440 --> 2:45:06.440
<v Speaker 1>we kind of attached it to the word meaning like

2:45:06.640 --> 2:45:12.000
<v Speaker 1>meaning development, and and there's a middle resting spot which

2:45:12.080 --> 2:45:14.600
<v Speaker 1>is actually called the phuton, which is a play on

2:45:14.680 --> 2:45:18.360
<v Speaker 1>the word fujutan, which is like kind of a resting

2:45:18.440 --> 2:45:21.240
<v Speaker 1>spot between those two halves where there's going to be

2:45:21.400 --> 2:45:26.840
<v Speaker 1>short pieces of usually humorous nature, and overall it's going

2:45:26.959 --> 2:45:31.360
<v Speaker 1>to cover a wide range of topics and you can

2:45:31.400 --> 2:45:33.879
<v Speaker 1>find out more of us. You can find out more

2:45:33.920 --> 2:45:37.360
<v Speaker 1>about us on our fundraiser on our website Strange Managers

2:45:37.440 --> 2:45:39.440
<v Speaker 1>dot co op. We've got a couple of articles already

2:45:39.480 --> 2:45:42.720
<v Speaker 1>off on Strange Matters dot co op. We have a

2:45:43.280 --> 2:45:46.560
<v Speaker 1>Steve wrote an amazing piece explaining of some very uh

2:45:46.879 --> 2:45:49.680
<v Speaker 1>in very layman's terms of arguments about what inflation is

2:45:49.800 --> 2:45:51.440
<v Speaker 1>and why we should care about it. You know they're

2:45:51.480 --> 2:45:55.560
<v Speaker 1>quite good, yeah, very relevant. Right now, we have a

2:45:56.240 --> 2:46:02.600
<v Speaker 1>truly delightful review of very contemporary, very recently made cyberpunk

2:46:02.640 --> 2:46:07.240
<v Speaker 1>works by Elizabeth Sanderford, author of Neo Reaction of Bassilisk,

2:46:07.280 --> 2:46:09.160
<v Speaker 1>which anybody who listens to this podcast needs to read

2:46:09.200 --> 2:46:12.720
<v Speaker 1>New Reaction of bass Lisk uh, and she did as

2:46:12.760 --> 2:46:15.280
<v Speaker 1>the wonderful favor of doing a pop culture review for us.

2:46:16.520 --> 2:46:20.400
<v Speaker 1>We've yeah, we've also got a work by the editors

2:46:21.000 --> 2:46:25.959
<v Speaker 1>Words for Our Present Reality about what how how can

2:46:26.120 --> 2:46:28.960
<v Speaker 1>we discuss what actually exists in the world and what

2:46:29.120 --> 2:46:33.040
<v Speaker 1>are the shortcomings with our current just like the basic

2:46:33.160 --> 2:46:35.600
<v Speaker 1>levels of our discourse, and how can we advance beyond

2:46:36.840 --> 2:46:39.320
<v Speaker 1>beyond this difficulty? And it's you know, it's something that

2:46:39.360 --> 2:46:41.880
<v Speaker 1>sounds like it's supposed to be this very high level philosophy,

2:46:41.959 --> 2:46:44.600
<v Speaker 1>but we've been I think, uh, I don't want to

2:46:44.600 --> 2:46:46.200
<v Speaker 1>take too much credit for this, because I was not

2:46:46.360 --> 2:46:48.680
<v Speaker 1>the main writer on it. Uh. I think that we've

2:46:48.720 --> 2:46:53.760
<v Speaker 1>successfully managed to bring it down to a to a

2:46:53.879 --> 2:46:56.960
<v Speaker 1>lower brow level, uh, you know, to a to a

2:46:57.120 --> 2:47:00.280
<v Speaker 1>level that doesn't require you to have eighteen letter after

2:47:00.360 --> 2:47:04.320
<v Speaker 1>your name of various college degrees. We also managed to

2:47:04.400 --> 2:47:08.480
<v Speaker 1>publish a piece by a Russian dissidents, And I'm very

2:47:08.520 --> 2:47:10.720
<v Speaker 1>excited for the works that people are going to see

2:47:10.720 --> 2:47:12.160
<v Speaker 1>in the future from us. We've got a history of

2:47:12.240 --> 2:47:17.360
<v Speaker 1>black cooperative movements. We've I wrote a nice little diddy

2:47:17.400 --> 2:47:21.560
<v Speaker 1>about colonialism in modern board games. Uh. I'm I'm very

2:47:21.600 --> 2:47:23.320
<v Speaker 1>excited for people to get the chance to read these

2:47:23.440 --> 2:47:25.240
<v Speaker 1>and uh you know, it's all kind of in the

2:47:25.320 --> 2:47:33.920
<v Speaker 1>service of I was creating a more almost democratizing the

2:47:34.040 --> 2:47:38.040
<v Speaker 1>socialist world and making it, making it meaningful, making it useful,

2:47:38.160 --> 2:47:41.760
<v Speaker 1>and also making it pleasurable for people to be socialists

2:47:42.000 --> 2:47:46.160
<v Speaker 1>and to fight for a freer and more equitable world. Yeah,

2:47:46.280 --> 2:47:47.840
<v Speaker 1>do you two? Do you two want people to find

2:47:47.879 --> 2:47:51.880
<v Speaker 1>you on social media? And if so, where, Okay you

2:47:51.920 --> 2:47:55.120
<v Speaker 1>can say no to this. People do sometimes because first

2:47:55.400 --> 2:47:58.720
<v Speaker 1>hell sight. Okay, well I don't have social media, so

2:48:00.120 --> 2:48:03.200
<v Speaker 1>your is not really on social media. I am on

2:48:03.480 --> 2:48:07.600
<v Speaker 1>some social media, so you can find You can find

2:48:07.680 --> 2:48:11.320
<v Speaker 1>me at at kept him in Whackham and I'll spell

2:48:11.400 --> 2:48:14.680
<v Speaker 1>that out because it's kind of confusing at C A

2:48:15.000 --> 2:48:22.040
<v Speaker 1>p M in w A C c M spelling your

2:48:22.040 --> 2:48:29.360
<v Speaker 1>own nat name. Um. Yeah, so strange matters is our

2:48:29.480 --> 2:48:32.680
<v Speaker 1>our campaign will run through this month and it's going

2:48:32.760 --> 2:48:36.280
<v Speaker 1>pretty good so far. But we can use uh, every

2:48:36.320 --> 2:48:38.760
<v Speaker 1>little bit of support goes a long way, so yeah,

2:48:39.120 --> 2:48:42.440
<v Speaker 1>find find us at our website and also the fundraiser. Yeah,

2:48:42.480 --> 2:48:45.000
<v Speaker 1>we're not getting paid. Just to be clear, this is

2:48:45.120 --> 2:48:47.240
<v Speaker 1>the we We need to pay the authors, we need

2:48:47.320 --> 2:48:49.200
<v Speaker 1>to pay for the printers. But you know this is

2:48:49.280 --> 2:48:51.600
<v Speaker 1>not us trying to make a quick book. This is

2:48:51.760 --> 2:48:54.480
<v Speaker 1>us trying to make sure we we are not willing

2:48:54.520 --> 2:48:59.240
<v Speaker 1>to accept paying our writer's substandard. We're going to pay

2:48:59.280 --> 2:49:03.039
<v Speaker 1>our writers higher than market rate as on principle, because

2:49:03.080 --> 2:49:04.920
<v Speaker 1>we think the market rate is just too low. It

2:49:05.080 --> 2:49:09.160
<v Speaker 1>really is. Yeah. And um oh and by the way,

2:49:09.800 --> 2:49:13.240
<v Speaker 1>we're I think I mentioned it, but we're our workers cooperative,

2:49:13.360 --> 2:49:16.440
<v Speaker 1>so we're a d percent worker own in control. There's

2:49:16.520 --> 2:49:20.640
<v Speaker 1>no there are no levels of employment or ownership. We're

2:49:20.680 --> 2:49:27.560
<v Speaker 1>all horizontal. Yeah yeah, so yeah, go go check our

2:49:27.640 --> 2:49:31.280
<v Speaker 1>change matters. Um. Yeah, thank thank you too, both for

2:49:31.480 --> 2:49:34.400
<v Speaker 1>thank you both for joining us. It was a wonderful time. Chris,

2:49:34.560 --> 2:49:37.400
<v Speaker 1>thank you, thank you for having us. Yeah, and if

2:49:37.400 --> 2:49:40.200
<v Speaker 1>you want to find more of us, Uh, we're at

2:49:40.360 --> 2:49:44.039
<v Speaker 1>Happens your pod on Twitter, Instagram. I keep saying Instagram.

2:49:44.080 --> 2:49:47.800
<v Speaker 1>I've never actually I'm not on Instagram. So I've been

2:49:47.840 --> 2:49:51.280
<v Speaker 1>told we have one. I've never interacted with it. Uh yeah,

2:49:51.440 --> 2:49:55.920
<v Speaker 1>and uh, cools and media. It has our other shows.

2:49:56.080 --> 2:50:00.200
<v Speaker 1>Go listen to them. Uh, they're good and we work

2:50:00.240 --> 2:50:21.280
<v Speaker 1>a lot on them. By Oh, it could happen here,

2:50:21.879 --> 2:50:27.440
<v Speaker 1>and it's currently happening there there being Ukraine, which is

2:50:27.920 --> 2:50:32.039
<v Speaker 1>in the midst of an invasion by the Russian government.

2:50:32.200 --> 2:50:34.640
<v Speaker 1>I'm Robert Evans. This is a podcast about bad things

2:50:34.920 --> 2:50:37.640
<v Speaker 1>and how to make them better, joined as often by

2:50:37.720 --> 2:50:41.760
<v Speaker 1>Garrison and Chris, my co hosts, and we are talking

2:50:41.879 --> 2:50:46.640
<v Speaker 1>about some of the advice, good and bad, that's been

2:50:46.680 --> 2:50:50.480
<v Speaker 1>going around on social media about how to disable and

2:50:50.560 --> 2:50:53.000
<v Speaker 1>destroy armored vehicles. This is something we've kind of waited

2:50:53.040 --> 2:50:55.440
<v Speaker 1>to do until the conflict was a little bit more

2:50:55.480 --> 2:50:57.880
<v Speaker 1>of a mature state. But in brief, if you have

2:50:58.000 --> 2:51:01.320
<v Speaker 1>been following what's been happening in Russia through the lens

2:51:01.400 --> 2:51:03.240
<v Speaker 1>of social media or what's pepping at Ukraine through the

2:51:03.320 --> 2:51:05.240
<v Speaker 1>lens of social media, one thing that has happened is

2:51:05.600 --> 2:51:07.879
<v Speaker 1>in the early stages of the invasion, a whole bunch

2:51:07.959 --> 2:51:12.280
<v Speaker 1>of people flocked, particularly to Twitter, but also not this

2:51:12.400 --> 2:51:14.199
<v Speaker 1>did not just stay on Twitter. There were a large

2:51:14.320 --> 2:51:17.440
<v Speaker 1>number of mainstreams news articles published on the subject of

2:51:17.480 --> 2:51:20.199
<v Speaker 1>the things people were saying to talk about different ways

2:51:20.240 --> 2:51:25.200
<v Speaker 1>civilians could disable Russian armored vehicles or otherwise stymy and

2:51:25.360 --> 2:51:30.160
<v Speaker 1>thwart the progress of Russian military units through their cities. Um.

2:51:30.280 --> 2:51:32.439
<v Speaker 1>And this has been accompanied by things like the Ukrainian

2:51:32.480 --> 2:51:35.800
<v Speaker 1>government giving out information on how to make molotov cocktails

2:51:35.840 --> 2:51:37.880
<v Speaker 1>we talked about this in our Molotov Cocktail episode, and

2:51:37.920 --> 2:51:41.480
<v Speaker 1>putting out really neat infographics on where to throw molotov

2:51:41.560 --> 2:51:44.280
<v Speaker 1>cocktails to disable armored vehicles. Um. But it's also come

2:51:44.320 --> 2:51:46.720
<v Speaker 1>with a lot of bad advice that I don't want

2:51:46.800 --> 2:51:50.280
<v Speaker 1>people who are maybe looking at the potential of urban

2:51:50.360 --> 2:51:53.879
<v Speaker 1>combat happening in their future to take away from this conflict,

2:51:53.920 --> 2:51:55.560
<v Speaker 1>because there's also a lot of disinfos, So that's what

2:51:55.560 --> 2:51:59.080
<v Speaker 1>we're talking about today. Yes, and I guess one of

2:51:59.120 --> 2:52:03.360
<v Speaker 1>the first places to probably discuss this urban combat idea

2:52:03.920 --> 2:52:06.680
<v Speaker 1>is they probably the guy who's tried to make kind

2:52:06.720 --> 2:52:08.720
<v Speaker 1>of a career and of talking about urban combat, which

2:52:08.720 --> 2:52:12.640
<v Speaker 1>would be who wrote a relatively viral Twitter thread on

2:52:12.720 --> 2:52:15.280
<v Speaker 1>this topic, and it's been writing about this thing for

2:52:15.400 --> 2:52:20.040
<v Speaker 1>the past few years. Um, he's a he's the the

2:52:20.200 --> 2:52:23.640
<v Speaker 1>chair of Urban Warfare Studies at West Points Modern War

2:52:23.760 --> 2:52:26.720
<v Speaker 1>Institute and served for like a quarter of a century

2:52:26.760 --> 2:52:31.640
<v Speaker 1>as an infantry soldier, including two deployments into Iraq. And yeah,

2:52:31.680 --> 2:52:33.440
<v Speaker 1>the past few years, he's tried to kind of make

2:52:33.480 --> 2:52:35.360
<v Speaker 1>a name for himself as the guy who writes about

2:52:35.480 --> 2:52:40.560
<v Speaker 1>urban combat. And obviously since this was happening largely when

2:52:40.640 --> 2:52:44.440
<v Speaker 1>Russian started invading Kiev, John Spetzer put put together some

2:52:44.520 --> 2:52:47.040
<v Speaker 1>of his thoughts that went pretty viral on this on

2:52:47.120 --> 2:52:50.080
<v Speaker 1>this said topic. Yeah, and it's it's frustrating. You've got

2:52:50.160 --> 2:52:52.000
<v Speaker 1>a quote in here from one of the articles about

2:52:52.040 --> 2:52:53.640
<v Speaker 1>he was giving out that says some of his advice,

2:52:53.680 --> 2:52:56.720
<v Speaker 1>which is preparing simple Molotov cocktails. It's already being seen

2:52:56.760 --> 2:52:58.960
<v Speaker 1>on the streets of Kiev, which is kind of framing

2:52:59.040 --> 2:53:04.640
<v Speaker 1>it as if Spin Sir advised the Ukrainians. Absolutely not true.

2:53:04.720 --> 2:53:07.320
<v Speaker 1>Before he made that thread, the government was urging people

2:53:07.800 --> 2:53:11.760
<v Speaker 1>to rest. And also, like Molotov cocktails got their name

2:53:11.840 --> 2:53:15.000
<v Speaker 1>from people in Finland not super far from Ukraine resisting

2:53:15.040 --> 2:53:17.640
<v Speaker 1>the Russian military in a very similar way to add

2:53:17.640 --> 2:53:20.880
<v Speaker 1>they're being used by Ukrainian civilians. Now, um what I

2:53:21.080 --> 2:53:23.200
<v Speaker 1>I believe what John Spencer did. He's a guy with

2:53:23.280 --> 2:53:27.760
<v Speaker 1>some qualifications. Um, certainly like not a random person. We'll

2:53:27.800 --> 2:53:30.720
<v Speaker 1>talk about random people giving advice to on Twitter. But

2:53:31.080 --> 2:53:34.400
<v Speaker 1>he's also all None of his advice is new, none

2:53:34.400 --> 2:53:37.959
<v Speaker 1>of it is from him, none of it is counter intuitive.

2:53:38.080 --> 2:53:40.280
<v Speaker 1>A good deal of it is bad, And most of

2:53:40.360 --> 2:53:42.440
<v Speaker 1>what he said that is good is just him pulling

2:53:42.520 --> 2:53:46.199
<v Speaker 1>things from US military combat manuals and from Ukrainian military

2:53:46.280 --> 2:53:49.760
<v Speaker 1>combat manuals and then putting it up in social media

2:53:49.800 --> 2:53:51.920
<v Speaker 1>in order to go viral and try to get another

2:53:52.000 --> 2:53:55.760
<v Speaker 1>book deal by making it look as if he is

2:53:55.920 --> 2:53:58.400
<v Speaker 1>giving advice that is being adopted in real time, which

2:53:58.480 --> 2:54:00.680
<v Speaker 1>is not what is happening. I mean, Like a good,

2:54:00.760 --> 2:54:03.840
<v Speaker 1>good instance of this is yeah claiming that they're making

2:54:03.920 --> 2:54:06.520
<v Speaker 1>Mulotov cocktails due to his advice. I mean, there's a

2:54:06.600 --> 2:54:09.280
<v Speaker 1>picture in that very article that was taken before he

2:54:09.320 --> 2:54:12.280
<v Speaker 1>even posted that thread. So it's like, no, they're they're

2:54:13.000 --> 2:54:15.080
<v Speaker 1>people know how to make Multov cocktails. That's not hard

2:54:15.120 --> 2:54:17.160
<v Speaker 1>to find out. In a lot of cases, the Ukrainian

2:54:17.640 --> 2:54:20.040
<v Speaker 1>Ukrainian government was giving out instructions on how to do it.

2:54:20.360 --> 2:54:21.680
<v Speaker 1>And I mean, and if you if you look at

2:54:21.680 --> 2:54:24.600
<v Speaker 1>this picture, um, it looks very similar to a lot

2:54:24.680 --> 2:54:28.840
<v Speaker 1>of a lot of like the the almost like small

2:54:29.120 --> 2:54:33.200
<v Speaker 1>defensive weapons factories that we saw across the States. We

2:54:33.240 --> 2:54:36.880
<v Speaker 1>would often see just collections of bottles, uh, just ready

2:54:36.920 --> 2:54:39.000
<v Speaker 1>to be thrown, all kind of laid out in in

2:54:39.200 --> 2:54:42.080
<v Speaker 1>in in milk crates, very similar to this photo. Now

2:54:42.160 --> 2:54:45.560
<v Speaker 1>there was there was less actual Mulotov cocktails, but the

2:54:45.680 --> 2:54:47.520
<v Speaker 1>way that this is whole, the way this all set

2:54:47.560 --> 2:54:51.560
<v Speaker 1>up looks looks very similar to any kind of insurgency

2:54:51.640 --> 2:54:54.960
<v Speaker 1>tactics of being like, yeah, there's gonna be spontaneous on

2:54:55.000 --> 2:54:57.200
<v Speaker 1>the ground organizing because people are just kind of naturally

2:54:57.720 --> 2:55:00.480
<v Speaker 1>gifted at that. And on a on an object ti level,

2:55:00.560 --> 2:55:03.800
<v Speaker 1>Molotov cocktails have a place on an urban battlefield. They

2:55:03.840 --> 2:55:08.320
<v Speaker 1>can be useful weapons for disabling armored vehicles, for causing distractions,

2:55:08.440 --> 2:55:12.960
<v Speaker 1>for injuring and even sometimes killing soldiers. They are they

2:55:13.000 --> 2:55:15.560
<v Speaker 1>are capable of doing that, and they that's part of

2:55:15.600 --> 2:55:18.840
<v Speaker 1>why the Ukrainian government put out these guides showing like

2:55:18.959 --> 2:55:20.760
<v Speaker 1>where to huck the sons of bitches in order to

2:55:20.800 --> 2:55:24.440
<v Speaker 1>disable you know, transports and armored vehicles and whatnot. Now

2:55:25.000 --> 2:55:29.160
<v Speaker 1>that said, attempting to attack a military column with a

2:55:29.240 --> 2:55:34.560
<v Speaker 1>molotov cocktail in most circumstances is very close to suicidal,

2:55:34.640 --> 2:55:36.600
<v Speaker 1>and I've watched a number of videos of Ukrainians do it.

2:55:36.600 --> 2:55:38.840
<v Speaker 1>In the times that seemed to be most successful is

2:55:38.920 --> 2:55:41.680
<v Speaker 1>when you have areas where the Russians are attempting to

2:55:41.800 --> 2:55:46.600
<v Speaker 1>establish control, You have small groups of vehicles that are

2:55:46.680 --> 2:55:51.240
<v Speaker 1>moving down residential streets, you have a significant amount of traffic,

2:55:51.360 --> 2:55:56.040
<v Speaker 1>of civilian traffic occurring alongside those military convoys, and as

2:55:56.160 --> 2:55:59.280
<v Speaker 1>they passed the convoy, a civilian hucks a molotov, or

2:55:59.360 --> 2:56:02.120
<v Speaker 1>as they pass of building, a civilian hucks a molotov

2:56:02.800 --> 2:56:06.240
<v Speaker 1>um And those seem to be, broadly speaking, the situations

2:56:06.280 --> 2:56:08.000
<v Speaker 1>in which people have kind of gotten away with it.

2:56:08.520 --> 2:56:10.680
<v Speaker 1>We don't have any kind of I'm not aware of

2:56:10.720 --> 2:56:14.200
<v Speaker 1>any kind of solid UH overarching analysis of all of

2:56:14.240 --> 2:56:17.960
<v Speaker 1>the use of molotovs in this but that is broadly speaking,

2:56:18.120 --> 2:56:21.880
<v Speaker 1>a potentially effective way to use a molotov cocktail UH

2:56:22.000 --> 2:56:25.760
<v Speaker 1>in order to degrade military capacity of an occupier. What

2:56:26.000 --> 2:56:28.480
<v Speaker 1>doesn't work and what Spencer and a number of other

2:56:28.520 --> 2:56:31.840
<v Speaker 1>people suggested is HU can paint at tanks or other

2:56:31.959 --> 2:56:35.720
<v Speaker 1>armored vehicles. And that may be surprising to a lot

2:56:35.800 --> 2:56:38.160
<v Speaker 1>of people. I think there's a lot of folks who

2:56:38.959 --> 2:56:42.400
<v Speaker 1>want to believe this UH, want to believe that that

2:56:42.560 --> 2:56:46.560
<v Speaker 1>that could really work, because it's like you walk ship right,

2:56:46.680 --> 2:56:48.560
<v Speaker 1>it feels like the kind of thing in surgeon should

2:56:48.600 --> 2:56:53.080
<v Speaker 1>be doing. Yes, But here is the thing. When you

2:56:53.440 --> 2:56:56.000
<v Speaker 1>have police officers who are tear gassing an area and

2:56:56.080 --> 2:56:57.560
<v Speaker 1>you huck a bunch of paint and you get it

2:56:57.600 --> 2:57:00.600
<v Speaker 1>over their face masks and they cannot see, it reduces

2:57:00.640 --> 2:57:03.320
<v Speaker 1>their ability to tear gas you for a while. It

2:57:03.400 --> 2:57:06.520
<v Speaker 1>makes them uncomfortable, it makes them have less fun, and

2:57:06.600 --> 2:57:09.240
<v Speaker 1>it damages gear. When you huck a bunch of paint

2:57:09.280 --> 2:57:12.600
<v Speaker 1>at an armored vehicle, the armored vehicle will return fire

2:57:12.720 --> 2:57:16.000
<v Speaker 1>with a fifty caliber mounted Dashka or some other similar

2:57:16.080 --> 2:57:18.840
<v Speaker 1>gun which fires bullets. That are large enough to take

2:57:18.959 --> 2:57:21.160
<v Speaker 1>chunks the size of your head out of concrete, and

2:57:21.240 --> 2:57:23.800
<v Speaker 1>you will be torn apart in your organs, liquefied in

2:57:23.840 --> 2:57:27.080
<v Speaker 1>a hail of metal. Um. Meanwhile, the paint that you

2:57:27.160 --> 2:57:30.800
<v Speaker 1>are attempting to throw at that vehicle is almost certain

2:57:30.879 --> 2:57:33.680
<v Speaker 1>to have no impact on it. Um. Not only are

2:57:33.720 --> 2:57:36.120
<v Speaker 1>you unlikely to get close enough to use the paint,

2:57:36.160 --> 2:57:38.760
<v Speaker 1>because you have to be considerably closer to do that

2:57:38.920 --> 2:57:41.400
<v Speaker 1>than you have to with a molotov in most situations,

2:57:41.800 --> 2:57:45.680
<v Speaker 1>but also tanks are built with the understanding that it

2:57:45.800 --> 2:57:47.960
<v Speaker 1>is possible that one or more of the ways in

2:57:48.040 --> 2:57:52.200
<v Speaker 1>which they see will be obstructed. Tank drivers are trained

2:57:52.320 --> 2:57:55.920
<v Speaker 1>to drive blind. There are ways of utilizing tanks when

2:57:56.000 --> 2:57:58.240
<v Speaker 1>vision is obstructed, because in the kinds of fights that

2:57:58.360 --> 2:58:00.720
<v Speaker 1>tanks are built to get into, they are often in

2:58:00.840 --> 2:58:05.000
<v Speaker 1>situations where there was so much smoke around the exactly

2:58:05.360 --> 2:58:08.360
<v Speaker 1>that there is effectively zero visibility, which is why when

2:58:08.400 --> 2:58:11.560
<v Speaker 1>Spencer started talking about people throwing paint at tanks, a

2:58:11.640 --> 2:58:14.640
<v Speaker 1>number of tank drivers came out and said, that's actually

2:58:14.720 --> 2:58:17.960
<v Speaker 1>horrible advice, like, they don't work that way, And I

2:58:18.080 --> 2:58:20.720
<v Speaker 1>was I was chatting with a couple of people. Um,

2:58:20.840 --> 2:58:23.480
<v Speaker 1>there was one fellow former Green brand name Mike Nelson,

2:58:23.520 --> 2:58:26.320
<v Speaker 1>who was posting about Spencer and very angry that he

2:58:26.440 --> 2:58:29.840
<v Speaker 1>was basically copying material directly from stuff published by the

2:58:29.920 --> 2:58:33.600
<v Speaker 1>Ukrainian government, and then like getting up anytime journalists or

2:58:33.680 --> 2:58:37.400
<v Speaker 1>media figures would comment about Ukraine, would like there's a

2:58:37.480 --> 2:58:40.560
<v Speaker 1>nasty post here where Anne Cabrera, who I think is

2:58:40.640 --> 2:58:43.240
<v Speaker 1>some sort of reporter, was like, I feel heartsick upon

2:58:43.280 --> 2:58:45.360
<v Speaker 1>the latest news out of Mariopol. My god, just like

2:58:45.480 --> 2:58:49.359
<v Speaker 1>expressing hard and human terry and tragedy. And Spencer posts

2:58:49.480 --> 2:58:52.040
<v Speaker 1>a link to his personal website and says me too,

2:58:52.440 --> 2:58:54.240
<v Speaker 1>not sure if you saw my MANI manual for the

2:58:54.320 --> 2:58:57.800
<v Speaker 1>Urban Defender, but it is available in English and Ukrainian. Yeah,

2:58:58.040 --> 2:59:01.600
<v Speaker 1>it's it's so like anyway grifty ship like that. But

2:59:02.120 --> 2:59:04.520
<v Speaker 1>because that it is all that's very different than also

2:59:04.640 --> 2:59:07.880
<v Speaker 1>like throwing paint at like a squad car or like

2:59:08.080 --> 2:59:10.840
<v Speaker 1>a riot like a riot truck that's coming through because

2:59:10.840 --> 2:59:12.760
<v Speaker 1>if obscure their vision, the worst that they can do

2:59:12.879 --> 2:59:14.880
<v Speaker 1>is crash into a wall. They're not going to start

2:59:14.959 --> 2:59:20.520
<v Speaker 1>firing uh massive explosion rounds from a central Uh. Yeah,

2:59:20.879 --> 2:59:23.680
<v Speaker 1>so they they do not like for one thing, the

2:59:24.080 --> 2:59:27.000
<v Speaker 1>like the police as bad as they can be. Their

2:59:27.120 --> 2:59:30.960
<v Speaker 1>default when they come under any kind of like attack

2:59:31.320 --> 2:59:35.119
<v Speaker 1>is not to start firing machine guns wildly in all directions,

2:59:36.080 --> 2:59:41.160
<v Speaker 1>which Russian not yet at least um. But you know,

2:59:41.240 --> 2:59:43.840
<v Speaker 1>the other thing, I was chatting with Matthew Mora, who's

2:59:43.879 --> 2:59:46.560
<v Speaker 1>a is has been one of the guys who's biling

2:59:46.600 --> 2:59:49.080
<v Speaker 1>ailing get Spencer on Twitter. Matthew was a Marine Corps

2:59:49.080 --> 2:59:52.200
<v Speaker 1>tank commander and was blown up in Afghanistan. So he

2:59:52.400 --> 2:59:54.480
<v Speaker 1>was in a tank that was attacked several times and

2:59:54.520 --> 2:59:58.480
<v Speaker 1>eventually destroyed. UM, So he's he has some firsthand knowledge

2:59:58.480 --> 3:00:00.600
<v Speaker 1>about what works and does not work a against tanks.

3:00:01.040 --> 3:00:02.800
<v Speaker 1>And one of the things he pointed out is that

3:00:03.200 --> 3:00:05.960
<v Speaker 1>the people who destroyed his tank put together I don't know,

3:00:06.640 --> 3:00:10.920
<v Speaker 1>hundred two hundred dollars worth of various accelerants and random

3:00:11.000 --> 3:00:13.520
<v Speaker 1>scrap metal and made a bomb that destroyed an Abrams

3:00:13.560 --> 3:00:17.640
<v Speaker 1>tank that works a lot better than paint. And it's

3:00:17.720 --> 3:00:20.280
<v Speaker 1>it's the kind of thing where I think one of

3:00:20.320 --> 3:00:22.680
<v Speaker 1>the things that's frustrating here is you've got a lot

3:00:22.720 --> 3:00:25.600
<v Speaker 1>of these like American kind of military academic guys and

3:00:25.640 --> 3:00:28.400
<v Speaker 1>I know Spencer served, but that doesn't necessarily mean much

3:00:28.440 --> 3:00:30.880
<v Speaker 1>that doesn't mean just being deployed to Iraq doesn't mean

3:00:30.920 --> 3:00:33.879
<v Speaker 1>you did anything. But they were deployed and maybe they

3:00:33.920 --> 3:00:36.920
<v Speaker 1>did see urban combat. But I have watched United States

3:00:36.959 --> 3:00:40.800
<v Speaker 1>soldiers in an intense urban combat environment UH, and most

3:00:40.879 --> 3:00:43.320
<v Speaker 1>of what they did was be inside of m wraps

3:00:43.680 --> 3:00:46.440
<v Speaker 1>because it's very hard to blow those up. While the

3:00:46.520 --> 3:00:48.600
<v Speaker 1>Iraqi military did a great deal of the fighting, and

3:00:48.640 --> 3:00:51.440
<v Speaker 1>when US soldiers did engage in fighting, they did so

3:00:51.640 --> 3:00:55.840
<v Speaker 1>with absolute air supremacy and with artillery supremacy UM. Which

3:00:55.879 --> 3:00:57.680
<v Speaker 1>isn't to say that it wasn't dangerous, but it is

3:00:57.680 --> 3:01:01.160
<v Speaker 1>a profoundly different situation than engaging in urban combat when

3:01:01.200 --> 3:01:03.480
<v Speaker 1>the airspace is contested and when you do not have

3:01:03.680 --> 3:01:08.520
<v Speaker 1>artillery supremacy. So what does that mean in terms of

3:01:08.600 --> 3:01:12.480
<v Speaker 1>like what can people actually take away that's useful from

3:01:12.520 --> 3:01:16.240
<v Speaker 1>this um? Well, on an individual level, something have been

3:01:16.560 --> 3:01:22.160
<v Speaker 1>extremely effective. Ukrainian territorial defense militias have been very effective

3:01:22.200 --> 3:01:25.840
<v Speaker 1>at doing things like picking up small arms, going out

3:01:25.920 --> 3:01:30.440
<v Speaker 1>in small patrols into UH rural environments around the area

3:01:30.480 --> 3:01:34.199
<v Speaker 1>where Russian troops are moving in small convoys, and oftentimes,

3:01:34.720 --> 3:01:36.480
<v Speaker 1>because of the way the advance went, you would have

3:01:36.560 --> 3:01:39.879
<v Speaker 1>a single or a couple of Russian munition trucks essentially

3:01:39.920 --> 3:01:43.400
<v Speaker 1>alone and unsupported, trying to find their way around. Um.

3:01:43.600 --> 3:01:46.400
<v Speaker 1>You had civilians doing stuff like turning signs around, like

3:01:46.560 --> 3:01:49.840
<v Speaker 1>removing signs, which they were instructed to by the areas

3:01:50.000 --> 3:01:52.480
<v Speaker 1>creating officials as well. Yes, yes, and which I'm sure

3:01:52.520 --> 3:01:54.400
<v Speaker 1>some people just started doing because it seemed like a

3:01:54.440 --> 3:01:57.480
<v Speaker 1>good idea. UM. But that sort of ship causes them

3:01:57.520 --> 3:02:00.080
<v Speaker 1>to burn fuel, causes them to abandon vehicles. You had

3:02:00.200 --> 3:02:03.800
<v Speaker 1>these kind of independent groups of farmers towing away abandoned vehicles.

3:02:04.280 --> 3:02:10.160
<v Speaker 1>You had small raiding parties attacking convoys and attacking isolated units.

3:02:10.840 --> 3:02:14.240
<v Speaker 1>You had cases where you know, Russian military units early

3:02:14.320 --> 3:02:17.160
<v Speaker 1>in the fight would get into Kiev uh kind of

3:02:17.240 --> 3:02:20.680
<v Speaker 1>on accident and be ambushed by territorial defense units and

3:02:20.760 --> 3:02:23.680
<v Speaker 1>wiped out. And those are all very effective examples of

3:02:24.080 --> 3:02:29.280
<v Speaker 1>of decentralized kind of ground up resistance against a major

3:02:29.400 --> 3:02:31.560
<v Speaker 1>military force. Now, one thing we don't know that is

3:02:31.600 --> 3:02:34.520
<v Speaker 1>important if you think about the potential that you might

3:02:34.600 --> 3:02:36.240
<v Speaker 1>have to endure something like this, is we have no

3:02:36.400 --> 3:02:38.560
<v Speaker 1>idea what the casualties were like among those kids. It

3:02:38.680 --> 3:02:42.360
<v Speaker 1>is a total black box, and it's it's probable that

3:02:42.520 --> 3:02:45.840
<v Speaker 1>part of why Russian forces did the war crime they

3:02:45.879 --> 3:02:48.760
<v Speaker 1>did in Bucca Um was because they had an attitude

3:02:48.760 --> 3:02:52.080
<v Speaker 1>that all civilians were insurgents, which is, you know what

3:02:52.240 --> 3:02:54.400
<v Speaker 1>happens when you have kind of a people's war, which

3:02:54.400 --> 3:02:58.440
<v Speaker 1>doesn't justify an active genocide, um, but it is something

3:02:58.520 --> 3:03:00.680
<v Speaker 1>people should keep aware of. When you start fucking with

3:03:00.800 --> 3:03:04.200
<v Speaker 1>the signs and ambushing the convoys and throwing molotovs, one

3:03:04.280 --> 3:03:06.360
<v Speaker 1>of the things that will happen is it will accelerate

3:03:06.480 --> 3:03:09.040
<v Speaker 1>the violence that is being done. Yeah, and it makes

3:03:09.080 --> 3:03:14.000
<v Speaker 1>to the civilian justified target in some you know propaganda lens, Yeah, exactly.

3:03:14.080 --> 3:03:17.040
<v Speaker 1>And that doesn't mean like it's you should resist if

3:03:17.120 --> 3:03:20.000
<v Speaker 1>you are invaded, um. But these are things that also

3:03:20.040 --> 3:03:22.760
<v Speaker 1>should be noted is this is what happens when you resist,

3:03:22.959 --> 3:03:25.280
<v Speaker 1>right that This is what a modern war of this

3:03:25.400 --> 3:03:28.320
<v Speaker 1>type looks like. Other things that I'm not sure if

3:03:28.320 --> 3:03:31.120
<v Speaker 1>they've been effective, but they're certainly not bad strategies is

3:03:31.200 --> 3:03:33.960
<v Speaker 1>the construction of a lot of vehicle barriers tank traps.

3:03:35.160 --> 3:03:39.440
<v Speaker 1>Next is the barricade thing, both than what we've been

3:03:39.600 --> 3:03:42.920
<v Speaker 1>kind of seeing or speculated about in the East and

3:03:43.000 --> 3:03:46.000
<v Speaker 1>then how we've seen you know, barricade set ups a

3:03:46.080 --> 3:03:48.600
<v Speaker 1>lot in the past few years in various resistance movements

3:03:49.000 --> 3:03:52.320
<v Speaker 1>to you know, a variety of success levels and non

3:03:52.400 --> 3:03:57.280
<v Speaker 1>success levels. Yeah, and and and these are like you know, barriers,

3:03:57.320 --> 3:03:59.960
<v Speaker 1>tank traps of a very long history and in warfare.

3:04:00.040 --> 3:04:02.440
<v Speaker 1>So they absolutely can be and have been effective many

3:04:02.480 --> 3:04:04.280
<v Speaker 1>many times on the battlefield. So this is not an

3:04:04.320 --> 3:04:07.080
<v Speaker 1>area of does this thing work? But it is a

3:04:07.160 --> 3:04:09.480
<v Speaker 1>question of like and and this is something we just

3:04:09.560 --> 3:04:12.440
<v Speaker 1>don't seem to have perfect data on did it Did

3:04:12.520 --> 3:04:15.520
<v Speaker 1>it particularly play a role in what's happening here? And Um,

3:04:16.040 --> 3:04:18.400
<v Speaker 1>that's harder to tell. Um. And it's probably going to

3:04:18.480 --> 3:04:21.160
<v Speaker 1>be different, you know, depending on the tactical in an

3:04:21.280 --> 3:04:23.600
<v Speaker 1>area you're talking about, which kind of like theater you're

3:04:23.600 --> 3:04:27.600
<v Speaker 1>talking about. But um, you know one thing that's like

3:04:27.760 --> 3:04:30.720
<v Speaker 1>the way in which these kind of barriers, hedgehawgs and

3:04:30.920 --> 3:04:34.400
<v Speaker 1>like whatnot work, is there there an area denial tool.

3:04:34.520 --> 3:04:37.960
<v Speaker 1>It's like an area denial tool four vehicles, um. And

3:04:38.040 --> 3:04:41.480
<v Speaker 1>it makes military units slow down, it makes them take

3:04:41.520 --> 3:04:44.400
<v Speaker 1>more time in clearing area. Um they have to tow

3:04:44.560 --> 3:04:47.640
<v Speaker 1>things away or blow them up. Um. And they also

3:04:47.720 --> 3:04:49.800
<v Speaker 1>can provide, depending on the type of thing, cover for

3:04:49.879 --> 3:04:53.200
<v Speaker 1>infantry and in urban combat situations, which obviously can cut

3:04:53.360 --> 3:04:55.879
<v Speaker 1>both ways a little bit. But there's a reason why

3:04:55.959 --> 3:04:58.240
<v Speaker 1>you see these kinds of things in every conflict and

3:04:58.280 --> 3:05:01.320
<v Speaker 1>also a reason why p will put them up in protests.

3:05:01.520 --> 3:05:03.960
<v Speaker 1>It can be very useful to deny the vehicles of

3:05:04.040 --> 3:05:07.440
<v Speaker 1>the enemy access to an area temporarily, and a big

3:05:07.560 --> 3:05:11.200
<v Speaker 1>pile of metal always does that of the time. It

3:05:11.320 --> 3:05:14.280
<v Speaker 1>requires something to deal with it. Yeah, that was something

3:05:14.360 --> 3:05:17.280
<v Speaker 1>that was very kind of considered when there was an

3:05:17.320 --> 3:05:20.920
<v Speaker 1>increase in like vehicular attacks, uh during like a lot

3:05:20.920 --> 3:05:24.280
<v Speaker 1>of vehicles running into a massive, massive marches, there was

3:05:24.400 --> 3:05:27.879
<v Speaker 1>definitely a concerted effort to try to block off streets

3:05:28.520 --> 3:05:30.720
<v Speaker 1>where stuff is happening, whether that be like you know,

3:05:31.080 --> 3:05:34.240
<v Speaker 1>corkers for marches of people who specifically block off the

3:05:34.400 --> 3:05:36.800
<v Speaker 1>sides of streets with their own cars to follow the

3:05:36.840 --> 3:05:39.960
<v Speaker 1>march around, or you know, less less effective arricades like

3:05:40.040 --> 3:05:41.760
<v Speaker 1>throwing a chain like fence in the middle of the street,

3:05:42.080 --> 3:05:45.119
<v Speaker 1>which is I guess better than nothing sometimes but also

3:05:45.200 --> 3:05:47.800
<v Speaker 1>maybe not the most effective thing. Yeah, in terms of

3:05:47.920 --> 3:05:50.960
<v Speaker 1>trying to like build layered barricades, that's not just you know,

3:05:51.120 --> 3:05:54.800
<v Speaker 1>one flimsy wall, but it's a series of things that

3:05:54.920 --> 3:05:58.800
<v Speaker 1>can compress down. And when you're talking about barricades in

3:05:59.040 --> 3:06:01.920
<v Speaker 1>a kind of militant situation, there's there's broadly speaking, going

3:06:02.000 --> 3:06:05.280
<v Speaker 1>to be two purposes. One of those purposes is to

3:06:06.440 --> 3:06:09.800
<v Speaker 1>create a to add to the friction that you are

3:06:09.800 --> 3:06:12.560
<v Speaker 1>attempting to create for the enemy. And that's that's all

3:06:12.680 --> 3:06:16.440
<v Speaker 1>insurg All insurgent warfare is about creating friction, right, because

3:06:16.520 --> 3:06:21.600
<v Speaker 1>friction degrades assets. It's over time. It it called basically like, okay,

3:06:21.640 --> 3:06:23.040
<v Speaker 1>so say you've blocked off a bunch of roads and

3:06:23.080 --> 3:06:26.960
<v Speaker 1>you've added fifteen twenty miles to the transport distance that

3:06:27.040 --> 3:06:30.160
<v Speaker 1>this convoy has to go. Well, generally speaking, in the

3:06:30.240 --> 3:06:33.119
<v Speaker 1>case of war, when you're talking about war, it's assumed

3:06:33.160 --> 3:06:35.640
<v Speaker 1>that about one mile is in terms of wear and

3:06:35.720 --> 3:06:39.480
<v Speaker 1>tear like tins plus miles um. Because of how much

3:06:39.520 --> 3:06:42.600
<v Speaker 1>more difficult the strain on vehicles is in those situations.

3:06:42.800 --> 3:06:45.240
<v Speaker 1>So you've added a great deal more strain on the vehicles.

3:06:45.280 --> 3:06:47.080
<v Speaker 1>That increases the chance that one of them is gonna

3:06:47.120 --> 3:06:48.920
<v Speaker 1>blow a tire, one of them gonna crack an axle,

3:06:49.120 --> 3:06:50.640
<v Speaker 1>one of them is going to have an engine block

3:06:51.040 --> 3:06:54.640
<v Speaker 1>go like blow or whatever, um, Which means over time,

3:06:54.720 --> 3:06:56.400
<v Speaker 1>if you're doing this a bunch. If you're setting up

3:06:56.440 --> 3:07:00.160
<v Speaker 1>barricades and you're effectively increasing or all the amount of

3:07:00.240 --> 3:07:02.560
<v Speaker 1>travel time or at least the amount of idoling time

3:07:02.600 --> 3:07:05.080
<v Speaker 1>that forces have to go in by a significant amount.

3:07:05.560 --> 3:07:09.160
<v Speaker 1>Your guaranteeing a certain number of those vehicles are going

3:07:09.240 --> 3:07:11.320
<v Speaker 1>to break or be rendered inoperable in that time. And

3:07:11.400 --> 3:07:14.000
<v Speaker 1>you're also the other thing that they do is they

3:07:14.120 --> 3:07:18.640
<v Speaker 1>allow you to deny area and funnel the enemy into

3:07:18.840 --> 3:07:22.520
<v Speaker 1>a specific into a place more advantageous for you, right,

3:07:22.600 --> 3:07:24.200
<v Speaker 1>And this can be advantageous if you're trying to set

3:07:24.280 --> 3:07:26.280
<v Speaker 1>up an ambush, if you're just trying to buy time

3:07:26.360 --> 3:07:29.000
<v Speaker 1>for forces to move back to a better position. Um,

3:07:29.520 --> 3:07:31.960
<v Speaker 1>it can you know, there's a number of uses for it.

3:07:32.040 --> 3:07:34.880
<v Speaker 1>But if you set up a series of obstacles like

3:07:35.000 --> 3:07:36.720
<v Speaker 1>this and guarantee that they're going to have to find

3:07:36.760 --> 3:07:39.520
<v Speaker 1>an alternate route, and you know, broadly speaking, because it's

3:07:39.560 --> 3:07:42.280
<v Speaker 1>your terrain, what kind of route they're going to take, um,

3:07:42.480 --> 3:07:44.680
<v Speaker 1>then you could do stuff like drop throw a drone

3:07:44.720 --> 3:07:47.119
<v Speaker 1>at them, or if because of the damage you've done

3:07:47.160 --> 3:07:49.200
<v Speaker 1>to the roads and the difficulty of how difficult you

3:07:49.280 --> 3:07:50.840
<v Speaker 1>made it to advance, they wind up just parked for

3:07:50.920 --> 3:07:53.480
<v Speaker 1>a long time. That's also a great situation to bomb

3:07:53.520 --> 3:07:56.040
<v Speaker 1>people with a drone, which is by far the most

3:07:56.080 --> 3:08:00.680
<v Speaker 1>effective weapons unit that we have seen built civilians in

3:08:00.720 --> 3:08:03.400
<v Speaker 1>this war. By the way, UH, it's not molotovs, it's

3:08:03.400 --> 3:08:07.959
<v Speaker 1>certainly not paint. It is UH civilian volunteers who put

3:08:08.080 --> 3:08:12.920
<v Speaker 1>together combat drones using generally d j I drones that

3:08:13.040 --> 3:08:18.200
<v Speaker 1>they have upgraded with thermal imaging cameras in order to

3:08:18.280 --> 3:08:20.800
<v Speaker 1>see at night. And they have used three D printed

3:08:20.879 --> 3:08:23.440
<v Speaker 1>parts in order to drop bombs from UM and they

3:08:23.520 --> 3:08:27.520
<v Speaker 1>have done carried out for weeks now hundreds of extremely

3:08:27.640 --> 3:08:30.720
<v Speaker 1>successful night time raids on Russian positions. This has been

3:08:30.720 --> 3:08:32.400
<v Speaker 1>effective for a couple of reasons. One of them is

3:08:32.440 --> 3:08:37.360
<v Speaker 1>that the Russian military does not widespread half effective night vision. UM.

3:08:37.720 --> 3:08:40.320
<v Speaker 1>We don't need to get The reasons for this are complicated,

3:08:40.400 --> 3:08:43.000
<v Speaker 1>based in a mix of like appropriations, corruption, issues with

3:08:43.080 --> 3:08:46.120
<v Speaker 1>the technologies they do have, YadA, YadA, YadA, but they

3:08:46.200 --> 3:08:49.080
<v Speaker 1>do not have the capacity in large scale to carry

3:08:49.080 --> 3:08:52.600
<v Speaker 1>out operations at night to the extent that the Ukrainians do. UM.

3:08:52.760 --> 3:08:56.080
<v Speaker 1>And so you get when nighttime comes these forces that

3:08:56.160 --> 3:08:59.480
<v Speaker 1>were advancing in places like Kiev clustering up and huddling

3:08:59.560 --> 3:09:02.160
<v Speaker 1>for the night, and then these hunter killer drones would

3:09:02.200 --> 3:09:04.720
<v Speaker 1>sneak in at night and they are impossible to fucking

3:09:04.760 --> 3:09:07.200
<v Speaker 1>see in daytime. I can tell you from experience. At night,

3:09:07.520 --> 3:09:11.760
<v Speaker 1>their ghosts just dropping bombs on on armored vehicles and

3:09:12.000 --> 3:09:15.280
<v Speaker 1>on groups of soldiers. Um and these you know what

3:09:15.480 --> 3:09:17.640
<v Speaker 1>you have seen with these units which have been integrated.

3:09:17.680 --> 3:09:20.200
<v Speaker 1>They are like started out as civilian volunteer groups. They

3:09:20.240 --> 3:09:23.400
<v Speaker 1>have been integrated into the military to a significant extent.

3:09:23.800 --> 3:09:26.560
<v Speaker 1>And I think what you do have Some of this

3:09:26.760 --> 3:09:28.640
<v Speaker 1>is conjecture on my part, but you've had a lot

3:09:28.640 --> 3:09:31.880
<v Speaker 1>of Russian officers in generals killed generally because they have

3:09:31.959 --> 3:09:35.320
<v Speaker 1>been communicating over open phone lines. And I suspect some

3:09:35.480 --> 3:09:37.520
<v Speaker 1>of what's been going on is when they figure out

3:09:37.520 --> 3:09:39.120
<v Speaker 1>where one of these guys is, they send some of

3:09:39.160 --> 3:09:41.240
<v Speaker 1>these fucking drone units and to blow them up, because

3:09:41.240 --> 3:09:43.600
<v Speaker 1>it's not hard if you know where someone is to

3:09:43.720 --> 3:09:46.160
<v Speaker 1>kill them with the drone. In this way, I think

3:09:46.200 --> 3:09:48.000
<v Speaker 1>the other thing to talk about in terms of you know,

3:09:48.120 --> 3:09:52.320
<v Speaker 1>building obstacles, building barricades is the whole cover versus concealment

3:09:52.360 --> 3:09:54.240
<v Speaker 1>thing where a lot of people think that if they

3:09:54.320 --> 3:09:57.960
<v Speaker 1>hide behind a barricade, there now impervious, which obviously isn't

3:09:57.959 --> 3:10:00.520
<v Speaker 1>true if a drone is gonna get you, and obviously

3:10:00.680 --> 3:10:03.640
<v Speaker 1>isn't true for a large a large number of the

3:10:03.640 --> 3:10:08.600
<v Speaker 1>ammunitions that get fired, whether they be bullets or tank grounds. Yeah, yeah,

3:10:08.680 --> 3:10:11.400
<v Speaker 1>I mean it's and I think that's something In videos

3:10:11.440 --> 3:10:15.280
<v Speaker 1>I have watched of Russian soldiers responding to contact, you

3:10:15.360 --> 3:10:18.680
<v Speaker 1>have seen a lot of people in ambushes that they

3:10:18.760 --> 3:10:22.720
<v Speaker 1>lost hiding behind vehicles, UM, which if it's an armored vehicle,

3:10:22.959 --> 3:10:25.560
<v Speaker 1>definitely can protect you from small arm fire. But if

3:10:25.600 --> 3:10:29.000
<v Speaker 1>somebody shoots that vehicle with a with a javelin, you

3:10:29.080 --> 3:10:31.959
<v Speaker 1>may find yourself next to a cooking off tank. UM.

3:10:32.400 --> 3:10:36.560
<v Speaker 1>And I have seen it like people hiding behind fucking fences,

3:10:36.680 --> 3:10:40.280
<v Speaker 1>which is terrible to hide behind, UM, failing to go

3:10:40.400 --> 3:10:43.760
<v Speaker 1>to ground, which is always your best bet is to

3:10:43.840 --> 3:10:45.879
<v Speaker 1>kind of get behind a burm or something, get loaded

3:10:45.879 --> 3:10:48.480
<v Speaker 1>the fucking ground. And it's It's interesting to me a

3:10:48.560 --> 3:10:51.120
<v Speaker 1>lot of the worst videos of responding to contact that

3:10:51.160 --> 3:10:53.600
<v Speaker 1>I've seen on the Russian side have been there. The

3:10:53.879 --> 3:10:57.000
<v Speaker 1>Ross Guardia units. I'm not great at pronouncing Russian, but

3:10:57.080 --> 3:11:01.480
<v Speaker 1>they are essentially police special forces units that actually makes sense.

3:11:02.400 --> 3:11:05.600
<v Speaker 1>They have every video I've seen of these guys handle

3:11:05.720 --> 3:11:08.760
<v Speaker 1>being ambushed very poorly because they're not trained for that.

3:11:08.840 --> 3:11:11.560
<v Speaker 1>They're trained to go bust into a house and arrest somebody,

3:11:11.680 --> 3:11:14.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, like this is not where they're what they're

3:11:14.760 --> 3:11:18.480
<v Speaker 1>supposed to be doing. The other thing that Spencer really

3:11:18.520 --> 3:11:22.720
<v Speaker 1>focuses on is this whole like um sniper idea of

3:11:23.120 --> 3:11:26.640
<v Speaker 1>of being afraid of someone, of someone just cutting you

3:11:26.720 --> 3:11:29.800
<v Speaker 1>down from above, which obviously kind of is you know,

3:11:30.040 --> 3:11:32.160
<v Speaker 1>more of a thing with the drone stuff as well,

3:11:32.560 --> 3:11:35.440
<v Speaker 1>but this idea of not even being good at firearms,

3:11:35.520 --> 3:11:37.879
<v Speaker 1>but just having the threat of taking fire from somewhere

3:11:37.879 --> 3:11:40.920
<v Speaker 1>as you can't see in terms of like knowing your

3:11:41.040 --> 3:11:44.600
<v Speaker 1>terrain better than whatever invading force does and knowing how

3:11:44.680 --> 3:11:47.879
<v Speaker 1>to set up spots where it's it's less you're less

3:11:47.920 --> 3:11:52.920
<v Speaker 1>likely to get shelled. Um, I mean yeah, and that's

3:11:53.040 --> 3:11:55.440
<v Speaker 1>that's very I mean, this is very basic and old

3:11:56.080 --> 3:12:01.000
<v Speaker 1>military doctrine. But this is like, you know, the ways

3:12:01.360 --> 3:12:03.840
<v Speaker 1>a sniper can work in a deservein environment is you

3:12:03.920 --> 3:12:06.000
<v Speaker 1>have a large number of guys and they are trying

3:12:06.080 --> 3:12:09.720
<v Speaker 1>to move to a specific area and if they take fire, um,

3:12:10.760 --> 3:12:14.199
<v Speaker 1>that limits their options from forward movement unless they're willing

3:12:14.280 --> 3:12:16.720
<v Speaker 1>to just risk getting hit, and generally they're not, and

3:12:16.800 --> 3:12:19.680
<v Speaker 1>then you find yourself kind of holding up for time

3:12:19.760 --> 3:12:22.600
<v Speaker 1>to take out the sniper, which can be uninvolved in

3:12:22.680 --> 3:12:25.879
<v Speaker 1>difficult process for just a single sniper. And yeah, that's

3:12:25.920 --> 3:12:27.640
<v Speaker 1>definitely a thing like that. You don't have to be

3:12:28.120 --> 3:12:32.560
<v Speaker 1>the fucking of Chris Kyle in order to effectively work

3:12:32.640 --> 3:12:35.200
<v Speaker 1>in that kind of situation. Now, what makes that effective

3:12:35.200 --> 3:12:38.800
<v Speaker 1>Because if you just have a sniper attacking police officers

3:12:38.920 --> 3:12:43.080
<v Speaker 1>or soldiers in an urban environment, generally speaking, there exists

3:12:43.200 --> 3:12:45.880
<v Speaker 1>the ability to deal with that pretty fucking quickly. But

3:12:46.000 --> 3:12:49.839
<v Speaker 1>if you have small units of snipers kind of oftentimes

3:12:49.920 --> 3:12:52.840
<v Speaker 1>just like civilians with hunting rifles who are doing that

3:12:53.000 --> 3:12:56.760
<v Speaker 1>within the context of soldiers also being resisted by other

3:12:56.920 --> 3:13:00.680
<v Speaker 1>soldiers and dealing with like an active combat environment, then yeah,

3:13:00.720 --> 3:13:03.519
<v Speaker 1>a handful of people with rifles can be a significant

3:13:03.560 --> 3:13:06.280
<v Speaker 1>force multiplier. It's a lot extra to deal with, and

3:13:06.360 --> 3:13:09.000
<v Speaker 1>I suspect ship like that has been part of why

3:13:09.640 --> 3:13:13.320
<v Speaker 1>you have seen cities like Mariopold resists so long under

3:13:13.400 --> 3:13:18.600
<v Speaker 1>overwhelming forces that there's a pretty wide, comprehensive amount of

3:13:19.400 --> 3:13:23.320
<v Speaker 1>resistance going on in those areas um And yeah, a

3:13:23.400 --> 3:13:27.119
<v Speaker 1>single person if they're not like the only person engaging

3:13:27.400 --> 3:13:30.320
<v Speaker 1>with the enemy in that in that area, UM, can

3:13:30.400 --> 3:13:32.520
<v Speaker 1>make it a lot harder for them to effectively respond

3:13:32.520 --> 3:13:35.840
<v Speaker 1>to contact. I think the last thing I wanted to

3:13:35.879 --> 3:13:39.240
<v Speaker 1>kind of get into today is the whole I mean,

3:13:39.720 --> 3:13:42.080
<v Speaker 1>this kind of ties into the weaponized on reality aspect

3:13:42.600 --> 3:13:45.600
<v Speaker 1>of being like all of these people who are giving

3:13:46.320 --> 3:13:48.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, I just listened advice on Twitter dot com,

3:13:48.440 --> 3:13:51.120
<v Speaker 1>whether they be John Spencer, whether they be you know,

3:13:51.600 --> 3:13:54.880
<v Speaker 1>the wife of a former marine, whether they be tank

3:13:55.000 --> 3:13:58.119
<v Speaker 1>mechanics whatever, like everyone's everyone's doing this now, and it's

3:13:58.120 --> 3:14:00.640
<v Speaker 1>all seen as like completely valid. Right, We're giving instructions

3:14:00.680 --> 3:14:03.440
<v Speaker 1>on how to do urban insurgency online, um, and this

3:14:03.640 --> 3:14:07.680
<v Speaker 1>is totally fine. Yet when you know, when information from

3:14:07.840 --> 3:14:11.800
<v Speaker 1>Hong Kong gets used in protest kind of uh propaganda

3:14:12.000 --> 3:14:17.080
<v Speaker 1>for urban insurgency instructions, then it's like international like organized

3:14:17.360 --> 3:14:20.320
<v Speaker 1>like terrorism. Yeah. Yeah, if you're telling people had to

3:14:20.480 --> 3:14:24.040
<v Speaker 1>use fucking laser pointers, yeah, it's like the selective thing.

3:14:24.160 --> 3:14:26.280
<v Speaker 1>How but you're like, Okay, we're allowed to tell people

3:14:26.320 --> 3:14:29.680
<v Speaker 1>how to do urban insurgency right now, but when this

3:14:29.840 --> 3:14:32.280
<v Speaker 1>is over or in the past, it's it's it's not allowed. Right,

3:14:32.320 --> 3:14:34.800
<v Speaker 1>you have John Spencer, who I doubt would be giving

3:14:34.879 --> 3:14:37.560
<v Speaker 1>I doubt was a big fan of any Black Lives

3:14:37.600 --> 3:14:43.119
<v Speaker 1>Matter demonstration just but but I mean, I certainly doubt

3:14:43.200 --> 3:14:46.560
<v Speaker 1>was giving people instructions and how to disable bearcats. Yeah,

3:14:46.720 --> 3:14:48.360
<v Speaker 1>I don't think he was giving instructions and how to

3:14:48.400 --> 3:14:52.240
<v Speaker 1>ambush police officers or anything like that. So you have

3:14:52.320 --> 3:14:55.680
<v Speaker 1>this whole coalition of people on Twitter dot com giving

3:14:55.760 --> 3:14:59.200
<v Speaker 1>all this advice out how to do urban insurgency and whatever. Well, also,

3:14:59.360 --> 3:15:02.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, when ever something is happening like that where

3:15:02.879 --> 3:15:05.480
<v Speaker 1>they live, it is that that is obviously bad and

3:15:05.520 --> 3:15:08.520
<v Speaker 1>obviously not a good thing, whether you know, for you know,

3:15:08.600 --> 3:15:11.600
<v Speaker 1>you could talk about whatever like ideological drive people have,

3:15:12.080 --> 3:15:13.680
<v Speaker 1>but I think this is just an interesting thing worth

3:15:13.720 --> 3:15:16.160
<v Speaker 1>talking about in terms of how we will offer we

3:15:16.200 --> 3:15:18.240
<v Speaker 1>will view. You know, this type of discussion of urban

3:15:18.240 --> 3:15:20.520
<v Speaker 1>insurgency is always like a bad thing, all right. It's

3:15:20.520 --> 3:15:22.640
<v Speaker 1>always this thing that like terrorists do you're helping, you know,

3:15:22.760 --> 3:15:25.800
<v Speaker 1>you're you're always you're mooting for the destruction of civilization

3:15:25.879 --> 3:15:28.119
<v Speaker 1>or whatever, um. And then it just takes a few

3:15:28.200 --> 3:15:30.480
<v Speaker 1>things for you get you know, an instructor at West

3:15:30.520 --> 3:15:33.760
<v Speaker 1>Point to start, you know, posting threads to help sell

3:15:33.800 --> 3:15:37.080
<v Speaker 1>his new book on these very same topics. Yeah, I

3:15:37.120 --> 3:15:39.200
<v Speaker 1>mean there's I think a little degree to which I

3:15:39.280 --> 3:15:41.720
<v Speaker 1>might push back on some of that, not necessarily, Spencer,

3:15:41.800 --> 3:15:44.119
<v Speaker 1>But I can't remember during like the Fed War in Portland,

3:15:44.200 --> 3:15:46.280
<v Speaker 1>which was the probably the part of Portland that like

3:15:46.400 --> 3:15:48.120
<v Speaker 1>most people are aware of, when you had a bunch

3:15:48.120 --> 3:15:51.119
<v Speaker 1>of federal agents snatching people, it was the most warlike

3:15:51.240 --> 3:15:54.879
<v Speaker 1>part of the you you had for this brief period

3:15:54.920 --> 3:15:57.720
<v Speaker 1>of time a lot of folks because I took part

3:15:58.240 --> 3:16:01.720
<v Speaker 1>giving out advice on Twitter to respond to and handle

3:16:01.800 --> 3:16:05.600
<v Speaker 1>police munitions. Um that when I think that certainly went

3:16:06.120 --> 3:16:09.879
<v Speaker 1>more viral than it would have gone in a different

3:16:09.920 --> 3:16:12.840
<v Speaker 1>sort of situation. Um And I think you do have.

3:16:13.280 --> 3:16:14.800
<v Speaker 1>I think part of what you're seeing in Ukraine, and

3:16:14.840 --> 3:16:16.360
<v Speaker 1>this is just sort of a general thing that happens

3:16:16.400 --> 3:16:21.600
<v Speaker 1>online is when something a news moment, blows up in

3:16:21.680 --> 3:16:24.120
<v Speaker 1>a way that is like big enough it disrupts the

3:16:24.240 --> 3:16:26.720
<v Speaker 1>norms and suddenly for a while you can talk about

3:16:26.800 --> 3:16:29.680
<v Speaker 1>things like how to disable government armored vehicles and fight

3:16:29.920 --> 3:16:33.000
<v Speaker 1>like you know, the reality suddenly becomes so much bigger,

3:16:33.360 --> 3:16:37.360
<v Speaker 1>and what is what is acceptable discourse suddenly expands out

3:16:37.879 --> 3:16:40.040
<v Speaker 1>much bigger than what it usually tells. It becomes a

3:16:40.080 --> 3:16:42.480
<v Speaker 1>lot more permeable. And I do think broadly, Like we're

3:16:42.480 --> 3:16:46.000
<v Speaker 1>shooting on Spencer here because he's frustrating to me. Um,

3:16:46.120 --> 3:16:48.880
<v Speaker 1>but I do think that, like, really really broadly. Um,

3:16:49.440 --> 3:16:51.280
<v Speaker 1>it's good when stuff like it's good for people to

3:16:51.400 --> 3:16:54.520
<v Speaker 1>think about. Even if I don't, I certainly don't. I

3:16:54.600 --> 3:16:57.039
<v Speaker 1>certainly do not want there to be I don't want

3:16:57.120 --> 3:17:00.000
<v Speaker 1>anyone listening to this who has not experienced urban warfare

3:17:00.160 --> 3:17:03.040
<v Speaker 1>to experienced urban warfare. I will absolutely I will. I

3:17:03.120 --> 3:17:06.320
<v Speaker 1>will say that right now. But it is not bad

3:17:06.720 --> 3:17:09.160
<v Speaker 1>for people to be thinking about and talking about the

3:17:09.200 --> 3:17:12.320
<v Speaker 1>ways in which a civilian population can do damage to

3:17:12.440 --> 3:17:16.880
<v Speaker 1>an invading organized military force. That's not a bad discourse

3:17:16.959 --> 3:17:20.240
<v Speaker 1>to exist, and it's not bad for people to be

3:17:20.440 --> 3:17:23.720
<v Speaker 1>thinking in this way. And it's not bad for the

3:17:24.760 --> 3:17:28.920
<v Speaker 1>people who are potentially in power to have that in

3:17:29.040 --> 3:17:31.960
<v Speaker 1>the back of their heads, you know. Yeah, I mean, like,

3:17:32.160 --> 3:17:34.560
<v Speaker 1>the one of the first things you sent me when

3:17:34.560 --> 3:17:36.520
<v Speaker 1>I started working for it could happen here was the

3:17:37.360 --> 3:17:40.360
<v Speaker 1>was the city is not neutral peace? Um on Urban

3:17:40.680 --> 3:17:47.440
<v Speaker 1>combat is hard. Um. Yeah, it's definitely. It's the thing that, Yeah,

3:17:47.560 --> 3:17:49.400
<v Speaker 1>it's it's always it's it's worth thinking about, but you

3:17:49.400 --> 3:17:51.920
<v Speaker 1>don't want to. We're not trying to wish on anybody.

3:17:51.959 --> 3:17:53.800
<v Speaker 1>And I think you can. You can look at all

3:17:53.840 --> 3:17:57.040
<v Speaker 1>of like the weirdos on the internet who have like

3:17:57.600 --> 3:17:59.680
<v Speaker 1>you know this, you know this is some degree of

3:17:59.760 --> 3:18:01.120
<v Speaker 1>like not sees who have done this, but also just

3:18:01.200 --> 3:18:04.240
<v Speaker 1>like random other people who have flown to Ukraine to

3:18:04.440 --> 3:18:07.400
<v Speaker 1>help join fight off the Russians because they think it's

3:18:07.400 --> 3:18:08.720
<v Speaker 1>going to be cool and they'll be able to work

3:18:08.760 --> 3:18:11.240
<v Speaker 1>with the Azov Batalion or something, who then get stationed

3:18:11.280 --> 3:18:14.320
<v Speaker 1>to basically be cannon fodder because they're this like twenty

3:18:14.400 --> 3:18:17.160
<v Speaker 1>year old from America who's never actually held a gun before.

3:18:17.400 --> 3:18:20.240
<v Speaker 1>I hope that one's true. It is just like a

3:18:20.360 --> 3:18:22.560
<v Speaker 1>post because if it's true, then it means that someone

3:18:22.640 --> 3:18:25.400
<v Speaker 1>in the Ukrainian government is consciously making the choice to

3:18:25.520 --> 3:18:28.000
<v Speaker 1>use one of the Azov veterans as cannon fodder, which

3:18:28.040 --> 3:18:31.600
<v Speaker 1>is funny, funny, extremely funny. If it's happening, right, we don't,

3:18:31.760 --> 3:18:35.920
<v Speaker 1>that's not that's not confirmed. Certainly, a percentage, probably not

3:18:36.000 --> 3:18:38.680
<v Speaker 1>an insignificant percentage of dudes who have done shown up

3:18:38.720 --> 3:18:40.400
<v Speaker 1>to do this have like been like, oh my God,

3:18:40.480 --> 3:18:43.000
<v Speaker 1>what the fuck? Um, some of them I'm sure just

3:18:43.040 --> 3:18:44.840
<v Speaker 1>didn't have much experience. I'm sure some of them were

3:18:44.920 --> 3:18:48.080
<v Speaker 1>dudes who had experience being on the side with overwhelming

3:18:48.120 --> 3:18:51.440
<v Speaker 1>air power. Um, and we're like, oh fuck, but you

3:18:51.560 --> 3:18:54.280
<v Speaker 1>also do It's fair to note like the stories of

3:18:54.360 --> 3:18:57.960
<v Speaker 1>people like having like freaking out go viral. Um. There's

3:18:58.000 --> 3:19:00.840
<v Speaker 1>plenty of videos of like mixed foreign or units in

3:19:01.000 --> 3:19:04.120
<v Speaker 1>heavy combat, including a bunch where you can hear US

3:19:04.200 --> 3:19:07.360
<v Speaker 1>and British dudes. Finally, like, because a lot there's a

3:19:07.400 --> 3:19:10.720
<v Speaker 1>lot of people who have legitimate, like hard combat experience

3:19:10.760 --> 3:19:13.000
<v Speaker 1>who have have volunteered to go do this. Yeah. The

3:19:13.200 --> 3:19:15.600
<v Speaker 1>one thing I also do find kind of uncomfortable is,

3:19:16.400 --> 3:19:18.800
<v Speaker 1>I mean, no, it's not super unlike what what what

3:19:18.879 --> 3:19:20.320
<v Speaker 1>we're doing now that we're trying to come at it

3:19:20.360 --> 3:19:25.120
<v Speaker 1>from a more uh like critical standpoint, but like Americans

3:19:25.200 --> 3:19:27.600
<v Speaker 1>who maybe have gone to a protest or two but

3:19:28.040 --> 3:19:31.480
<v Speaker 1>no real experience, just going on Twitter dot com and

3:19:31.640 --> 3:19:35.240
<v Speaker 1>talking about how they think beating an army is best done,

3:19:35.440 --> 3:19:37.760
<v Speaker 1>how that works. Yeah. Well, and like you know, if

3:19:37.800 --> 3:19:41.680
<v Speaker 1>if you look at like the okay, like the times

3:19:41.800 --> 3:19:44.400
<v Speaker 1>that like the US has actually attempted to fight its

3:19:44.440 --> 3:19:47.880
<v Speaker 1>own Army, right, Like the last time this happened was

3:19:48.040 --> 3:19:51.080
<v Speaker 1>the L L A. Riot and ninety two and they

3:19:51.200 --> 3:19:56.119
<v Speaker 1>got their ship pushed in like it it went really

3:19:56.280 --> 3:19:58.520
<v Speaker 1>really badly for the people on This was really ugly.

3:19:58.600 --> 3:20:00.640
<v Speaker 1>There was a lot of bodies. Yeah, and like and

3:20:00.720 --> 3:20:02.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, and part part of what you know, and

3:20:02.360 --> 3:20:04.800
<v Speaker 1>I will say, like part of what's I guess you

3:20:04.879 --> 3:20:06.320
<v Speaker 1>still about this is like yeah, this is I mean,

3:20:06.400 --> 3:20:07.760
<v Speaker 1>this is the thing that is I mean I wasn't

3:20:07.800 --> 3:20:10.880
<v Speaker 1>alive for it, but like at like Robert, you were

3:20:10.879 --> 3:20:14.120
<v Speaker 1>alive for that, like like that that that is a

3:20:14.240 --> 3:20:16.920
<v Speaker 1>thing like in living memory. The Army has been deployed

3:20:17.400 --> 3:20:19.600
<v Speaker 1>on American soil and one of the things that went

3:20:19.680 --> 3:20:23.920
<v Speaker 1>wrong is that the people on the ground had basically

3:20:23.959 --> 3:20:25.760
<v Speaker 1>no time. And this is something you can read from

3:20:25.879 --> 3:20:28.640
<v Speaker 1>from like the Army's accounts of this, is that like

3:20:28.800 --> 3:20:30.879
<v Speaker 1>the people that they were dealing with had no tactical

3:20:30.920 --> 3:20:32.760
<v Speaker 1>experience what wherever they did it, they had no conception

3:20:32.800 --> 3:20:35.560
<v Speaker 1>of tactics, and the Army was able to very quickly

3:20:35.600 --> 3:20:38.520
<v Speaker 1>crush them. And you know, if if you don't want

3:20:38.560 --> 3:20:40.600
<v Speaker 1>that to happen to you, yeah, like that there there

3:20:40.680 --> 3:20:43.720
<v Speaker 1>there is a way which is stuff is important to

3:20:43.800 --> 3:20:46.480
<v Speaker 1>be thinking about. But also like dear God, that is

3:20:46.640 --> 3:20:52.240
<v Speaker 1>the worst ship, Like yeah you that here. Here's what's

3:20:53.040 --> 3:20:57.560
<v Speaker 1>what's important to understand about that anytime you are dealing

3:20:58.320 --> 3:21:03.960
<v Speaker 1>with any kind of conflict, like physical conflict that involves

3:21:04.080 --> 3:21:06.760
<v Speaker 1>violence and and that can be as narrow as like

3:21:06.840 --> 3:21:09.760
<v Speaker 1>a protest, you know, where people are squaring off with

3:21:09.840 --> 3:21:14.320
<v Speaker 1>the cops, or an actual like full on military conflict,

3:21:15.480 --> 3:21:18.960
<v Speaker 1>the winner is the person who is most disruptive to

3:21:19.160 --> 3:21:24.840
<v Speaker 1>the enemies. Ode loop, right, um, observe, orient, decide act.

3:21:25.080 --> 3:21:26.959
<v Speaker 1>That's the loop that you go through when you are

3:21:27.000 --> 3:21:28.760
<v Speaker 1>trying to decide how to act in any kind of

3:21:28.800 --> 3:21:32.400
<v Speaker 1>a kinetic situation UM on the streets and a protest.

3:21:32.520 --> 3:21:34.280
<v Speaker 1>One of the things where I where we have all

3:21:34.360 --> 3:21:38.600
<v Speaker 1>seen people be the most successful against cops is when

3:21:38.640 --> 3:21:40.879
<v Speaker 1>you change the rules on them. Is when they are

3:21:40.920 --> 3:21:43.680
<v Speaker 1>in a situation they did not anticipate being in, because

3:21:43.720 --> 3:21:45.640
<v Speaker 1>they tend to freak out and they tend to respond

3:21:45.720 --> 3:21:48.480
<v Speaker 1>and effectively, right, you do not want to if you

3:21:48.560 --> 3:21:50.840
<v Speaker 1>see them preparing to act in a certain way because

3:21:50.840 --> 3:21:54.000
<v Speaker 1>they believe you were doing a specific thing, you ideally

3:21:54.120 --> 3:21:56.200
<v Speaker 1>do not then do the thing they are preparing for

3:21:56.400 --> 3:21:58.400
<v Speaker 1>because that is a situation which you're gonna wind a

3:21:58.440 --> 3:22:01.480
<v Speaker 1>battering yourself against a riot line. Right. Um, that's what

3:22:01.640 --> 3:22:04.119
<v Speaker 1>the that's the core of the move be like water

3:22:04.280 --> 3:22:06.600
<v Speaker 1>thing from Hong Kong, is the idea that do not

3:22:06.840 --> 3:22:09.240
<v Speaker 1>engage them in a way they are prepared for, and

3:22:09.320 --> 3:22:11.240
<v Speaker 1>that that that is a that is a piece of advice.

3:22:11.320 --> 3:22:14.200
<v Speaker 1>Broadly speaking, that's just as true in a war as

3:22:14.240 --> 3:22:17.200
<v Speaker 1>it is in a protest situation. On their own terms.

3:22:17.480 --> 3:22:20.680
<v Speaker 1>What this also means is that you don't want to

3:22:20.720 --> 3:22:24.680
<v Speaker 1>be playing by a set of rules that are ineffective

3:22:24.720 --> 3:22:26.840
<v Speaker 1>in the situation you're getting into. So like when you

3:22:26.959 --> 3:22:30.280
<v Speaker 1>had protesters in in l A engaging with the military,

3:22:30.680 --> 3:22:32.480
<v Speaker 1>they were playing by the rules of how do you

3:22:32.640 --> 3:22:36.439
<v Speaker 1>deal with cops and suddenly they were dealing with soldiers

3:22:36.920 --> 3:22:41.039
<v Speaker 1>and boy, howdy are the rules different? You know? Um?

3:22:41.879 --> 3:22:46.800
<v Speaker 1>And likewise, the Russian military was trained and blooded to

3:22:46.920 --> 3:22:50.600
<v Speaker 1>a large extent in conflicts in places like Syria, where

3:22:50.840 --> 3:22:55.320
<v Speaker 1>again they had air supremacy, Um, they had artillery supremacy.

3:22:55.600 --> 3:22:58.920
<v Speaker 1>They were backing the state that was fighting against these insurgents,

3:22:59.360 --> 3:23:02.959
<v Speaker 1>and so they're soldiers gained the combat experience they had

3:23:03.360 --> 3:23:07.879
<v Speaker 1>with every advantage in their pocket. Um. Meanwhile, the Ukrainian military,

3:23:08.040 --> 3:23:10.720
<v Speaker 1>if you're talking really about like because we've talked about

3:23:10.760 --> 3:23:12.680
<v Speaker 1>a lot of little things that have maybe had an

3:23:12.680 --> 3:23:14.320
<v Speaker 1>impact on the conflict here, and they're one of the

3:23:14.360 --> 3:23:16.920
<v Speaker 1>things that's had the biggest impact on how the Ukrainian

3:23:17.000 --> 3:23:21.080
<v Speaker 1>military has responded and and comported itself in this war

3:23:21.200 --> 3:23:24.800
<v Speaker 1>so far versus the Russian is for years eight years

3:23:24.840 --> 3:23:28.560
<v Speaker 1>since this conflict started, the Ukrainian military has developed a

3:23:28.920 --> 3:23:32.680
<v Speaker 1>posture of having soldiers sign up for these brief contracts,

3:23:32.920 --> 3:23:36.160
<v Speaker 1>sending and rotating them through the battleground and the dawn

3:23:36.240 --> 3:23:39.000
<v Speaker 1>boss so that when this war started, they had a

3:23:39.200 --> 3:23:41.879
<v Speaker 1>huge number, more than anyone else in Europe, of combat

3:23:42.000 --> 3:23:45.560
<v Speaker 1>veterans who got their experience fighting against a peer adversary

3:23:45.720 --> 3:23:48.520
<v Speaker 1>when they did not have supremacy and artillery or air

3:23:48.600 --> 3:23:52.160
<v Speaker 1>support when they engaged them um. And then the Ukrainian

3:23:52.240 --> 3:23:56.560
<v Speaker 1>military very intelligently spread these guys out amongst their their

3:23:56.760 --> 3:23:58.760
<v Speaker 1>their units, which is what you want to do. Any

3:23:58.840 --> 3:24:01.039
<v Speaker 1>military is going to want to spread out your veterans

3:24:01.040 --> 3:24:02.840
<v Speaker 1>among units, because you're not everyone's not going to be

3:24:02.879 --> 3:24:04.640
<v Speaker 1>a combat veteran, but you want some guys who know

3:24:04.800 --> 3:24:07.160
<v Speaker 1>what it's like to be shot at and every kind

3:24:07.200 --> 3:24:09.039
<v Speaker 1>of unit that might get shot at because they stiff

3:24:09.080 --> 3:24:11.400
<v Speaker 1>in the back of everybody else. And this is what

3:24:11.600 --> 3:24:14.039
<v Speaker 1>So again, when when the war started, to get back

3:24:14.040 --> 3:24:17.320
<v Speaker 1>to what I'm saying, the Russian military entered preparing for

3:24:17.560 --> 3:24:20.560
<v Speaker 1>a police action like the ones they carried out in Czechnia,

3:24:21.040 --> 3:24:23.920
<v Speaker 1>um like what they did have done for Assad in Syria,

3:24:24.280 --> 3:24:26.760
<v Speaker 1>and they got a war, and the Ukrainians came into

3:24:26.800 --> 3:24:30.880
<v Speaker 1>that fight prepared for a war. So you you, I

3:24:31.000 --> 3:24:32.640
<v Speaker 1>think one of the things that is important when you

3:24:32.720 --> 3:24:35.800
<v Speaker 1>look at consider any kind of possibility of being involved

3:24:35.959 --> 3:24:38.880
<v Speaker 1>in a conflict is you want to know what are

3:24:38.959 --> 3:24:43.560
<v Speaker 1>the rules your opponent is going in ready to abide by, right,

3:24:43.600 --> 3:24:45.600
<v Speaker 1>what are the things they are expecting to happen, What

3:24:45.800 --> 3:24:48.160
<v Speaker 1>is kind of the rubric with which they are looking at,

3:24:48.240 --> 3:24:52.280
<v Speaker 1>what they expect to occur in this conflict? And by god,

3:24:52.400 --> 3:24:55.119
<v Speaker 1>you want to be going in there with a different one,

3:24:55.400 --> 3:24:58.480
<v Speaker 1>you know, um And that again, depending on how you

3:24:58.560 --> 3:25:00.240
<v Speaker 1>do it, that can go badly or that can go

3:25:00.360 --> 3:25:02.320
<v Speaker 1>really well, because like I said, if you're if you're

3:25:02.360 --> 3:25:04.320
<v Speaker 1>going and prepared to fight cops and you wind up

3:25:04.320 --> 3:25:08.480
<v Speaker 1>dealing with soldiers, that's not great. Um. But if you

3:25:08.920 --> 3:25:12.280
<v Speaker 1>have prepared, if you are able to kind of lock

3:25:12.360 --> 3:25:14.880
<v Speaker 1>your enemy into the kind of conflict that they're not

3:25:15.240 --> 3:25:19.480
<v Speaker 1>ready to face, um, then generally speaking you'll win. We

3:25:19.560 --> 3:25:22.040
<v Speaker 1>have twenty years of experience in the War on Terror

3:25:22.120 --> 3:25:25.040
<v Speaker 1>of more or less that going down. Yeah, there's a

3:25:25.120 --> 3:25:26.880
<v Speaker 1>there's a there's a good example of this also with

3:25:27.920 --> 3:25:30.160
<v Speaker 1>the like with the i d F s a war

3:25:30.160 --> 3:25:31.879
<v Speaker 1>against hes Blo in two thousand and six, where it's

3:25:31.920 --> 3:25:34.560
<v Speaker 1>like the IDEF is a really good army, but they'd

3:25:34.600 --> 3:25:36.920
<v Speaker 1>spent like I don't know, like they spent like forty

3:25:37.080 --> 3:25:40.360
<v Speaker 1>years basically just sort of like, yeah, they've been about

3:25:40.400 --> 3:25:43.080
<v Speaker 1>forty years doing police actions. Yeah, and then they run

3:25:43.120 --> 3:25:45.520
<v Speaker 1>into Hesbla and they expect Hesbah is going to just

3:25:45.720 --> 3:25:47.360
<v Speaker 1>you know, they've made Lebanon jails and six and their

3:25:47.360 --> 3:25:49.520
<v Speaker 1>expectations that Hesblah is going to go to ground, They're

3:25:49.520 --> 3:25:51.880
<v Speaker 1>gonna do a guerrilla war and instead has blood like

3:25:52.360 --> 3:25:54.000
<v Speaker 1>when they go into bunkers. But they stand in fight

3:25:54.080 --> 3:25:56.800
<v Speaker 1>and the id F gets smashed and like you know,

3:25:56.920 --> 3:25:58.840
<v Speaker 1>they pull out and they spend a bunch of time

3:25:58.879 --> 3:26:00.760
<v Speaker 1>just like murdering people from the air. But like they

3:26:00.760 --> 3:26:03.760
<v Speaker 1>don't win the war. And like like that that happens

3:26:03.800 --> 3:26:06.720
<v Speaker 1>a lot, especially with these armies that are used to dealing,

3:26:06.879 --> 3:26:08.520
<v Speaker 1>used to doing these sort of police action things, and

3:26:08.560 --> 3:26:11.960
<v Speaker 1>they losed enemies that like the fact that the I

3:26:12.040 --> 3:26:14.960
<v Speaker 1>d F Lost Award has blood is like by like

3:26:15.120 --> 3:26:17.960
<v Speaker 1>balance of forces. It's like this is inconceivable, Like how

3:26:18.040 --> 3:26:19.920
<v Speaker 1>on earth did they possibly lose this? But it's like, yeah,

3:26:20.040 --> 3:26:23.720
<v Speaker 1>this stuff happens because they weren't like, yeah, they they

3:26:23.959 --> 3:26:25.600
<v Speaker 1>were they were doing they were doing this police action thing,

3:26:25.640 --> 3:26:28.199
<v Speaker 1>and they weren't used to They hadn't fought an enemy

3:26:28.240 --> 3:26:29.680
<v Speaker 1>that was actually going to stick in and fight them

3:26:29.720 --> 3:26:32.520
<v Speaker 1>since like the seventies. Yeah, I mean a lot of

3:26:32.640 --> 3:26:38.200
<v Speaker 1>the great defeats in military history because a force came

3:26:38.280 --> 3:26:40.920
<v Speaker 1>into a situation expecting a different kind of fight than

3:26:41.000 --> 3:26:43.000
<v Speaker 1>what they got. That was a part of what happened

3:26:43.040 --> 3:26:45.600
<v Speaker 1>to Napoleon when he invaded Russia, right, and the Russians

3:26:45.840 --> 3:26:48.120
<v Speaker 1>did not respond the way that he expected a state

3:26:48.200 --> 3:26:51.840
<v Speaker 1>to respond to having their capital occupied, um, and effectively

3:26:51.959 --> 3:26:53.520
<v Speaker 1>kind of starved him out. There was other ship going

3:26:53.560 --> 3:26:57.640
<v Speaker 1>on there. Attrician had really depleted the French military before

3:26:57.720 --> 3:27:00.640
<v Speaker 1>it got there. But but yeah, um, yeah, how how

3:27:00.680 --> 3:27:02.160
<v Speaker 1>I went on how I would want to wrap up

3:27:02.200 --> 3:27:05.040
<v Speaker 1>this is basically saying like and all of that stuff

3:27:05.080 --> 3:27:08.160
<v Speaker 1>regarding how this war has really prompted a lot of

3:27:08.680 --> 3:27:12.760
<v Speaker 1>things that were seemingly more unexpected and seemingly thought to

3:27:12.840 --> 3:27:16.600
<v Speaker 1>be previously more impossible. UM in terms of how fast

3:27:17.160 --> 3:27:20.240
<v Speaker 1>both rhetoric around these these types of conflicts can spread

3:27:20.360 --> 3:27:23.160
<v Speaker 1>and more and the role in which like disinformation and

3:27:23.240 --> 3:27:26.640
<v Speaker 1>misformation is used for you know, both both sides to

3:27:26.840 --> 3:27:29.480
<v Speaker 1>to to gain digging ground on the other and how

3:27:30.520 --> 3:27:32.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, relating back to it could happen here is

3:27:32.320 --> 3:27:34.960
<v Speaker 1>MS in terms of like the urban crumbles or like

3:27:35.080 --> 3:27:38.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, the small small like urban collapses, um, and

3:27:38.920 --> 3:27:43.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, escalating escalating like inter inter country conflict in

3:27:43.280 --> 3:27:47.240
<v Speaker 1>various places around the world. How fast certain things can

3:27:47.320 --> 3:27:49.560
<v Speaker 1>happen that we once thought are kind of more impossible

3:27:49.680 --> 3:27:52.960
<v Speaker 1>or improbable at the very least. You know, how how

3:27:53.040 --> 3:27:56.000
<v Speaker 1>fast you can get people giving advice on how to

3:27:56.120 --> 3:27:58.800
<v Speaker 1>take out armored vehicles on Twitter dot com. How fast

3:27:58.840 --> 3:28:01.000
<v Speaker 1>you can get you know, people like people who are

3:28:01.080 --> 3:28:04.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, seemingly are part you know, seemingly not not

3:28:04.520 --> 3:28:08.120
<v Speaker 1>tied to certain just certain like ideas or theologies giving

3:28:08.160 --> 3:28:11.320
<v Speaker 1>out you know, information on types of types of ways

3:28:11.400 --> 3:28:16.000
<v Speaker 1>to resist invading or oppressing forces. It is it is

3:28:16.000 --> 3:28:19.879
<v Speaker 1>an interesting kind of It's like case studies the wrong

3:28:19.920 --> 3:28:22.959
<v Speaker 1>word because it is it's it's obviously having horrible effects

3:28:23.040 --> 3:28:26.280
<v Speaker 1>with you know, thousands and thousands of people being slaughtered um,

3:28:26.879 --> 3:28:29.880
<v Speaker 1>but it is it is intriguing to watch, how, you know,

3:28:30.120 --> 3:28:32.920
<v Speaker 1>in terms of like the microcos of macrocosm idea of

3:28:34.080 --> 3:28:37.840
<v Speaker 1>of eventually you know, conflict, if conflict breaks out in

3:28:37.920 --> 3:28:39.640
<v Speaker 1>other places around the world, and next in the next

3:28:39.680 --> 3:28:42.560
<v Speaker 1>few years, how are current like social media landscape, How

3:28:43.280 --> 3:28:47.800
<v Speaker 1>are kind of rules around like urban conflict, like urban

3:28:47.879 --> 3:28:50.120
<v Speaker 1>conflict and all of these things kind of interact with

3:28:50.160 --> 3:28:53.720
<v Speaker 1>each other and how we view Yeah, what is what

3:28:53.959 --> 3:28:56.080
<v Speaker 1>is likely and what we you know, who who you're

3:28:56.080 --> 3:28:58.400
<v Speaker 1>going to predict is gonna do X thing based on

3:28:58.800 --> 3:29:03.119
<v Speaker 1>people invading a city that it's not theirs? Yeah, um,

3:29:03.520 --> 3:29:05.440
<v Speaker 1>I mean I think in terms of stuff that that

3:29:05.560 --> 3:29:09.880
<v Speaker 1>people can take out of this, you know, without necessarily

3:29:09.959 --> 3:29:12.680
<v Speaker 1>needing to prepare to fight in an urban insurgency. One

3:29:12.720 --> 3:29:17.000
<v Speaker 1>of them is that anytime big ship happens and and

3:29:17.120 --> 3:29:18.920
<v Speaker 1>more big ship is going to keep happening for us,

3:29:18.959 --> 3:29:21.720
<v Speaker 1>you have a window of opportunity through which you can

3:29:21.800 --> 3:29:24.320
<v Speaker 1>get things across to people that they would not normally

3:29:24.400 --> 3:29:28.440
<v Speaker 1>listen to. UM. And that is a really important time,

3:29:29.040 --> 3:29:31.920
<v Speaker 1>and it helps to think about the kind of situations

3:29:32.000 --> 3:29:34.320
<v Speaker 1>that might occur in the kind of things that you

3:29:34.400 --> 3:29:36.600
<v Speaker 1>want to push out into the world. UM. Because this

3:29:36.760 --> 3:29:38.680
<v Speaker 1>is this is is true with climate change as it

3:29:38.800 --> 3:29:41.080
<v Speaker 1>is with war. Right, We're going to have more disasters,

3:29:41.400 --> 3:29:45.120
<v Speaker 1>and when those disasters hit, it will be easier to

3:29:45.320 --> 3:29:48.600
<v Speaker 1>get people to talk about radical solutions to things like

3:29:48.720 --> 3:29:51.520
<v Speaker 1>climate change, and it will be easier to do things

3:29:51.600 --> 3:29:54.160
<v Speaker 1>like get out in the fucking streets and get large

3:29:54.200 --> 3:29:57.640
<v Speaker 1>groups of people agitated. You know, we're we're at some point,

3:29:58.200 --> 3:30:01.640
<v Speaker 1>fucking God willing, we will have of the climate change

3:30:01.680 --> 3:30:05.560
<v Speaker 1>equivalent to what happened in where something so terrible and

3:30:05.640 --> 3:30:07.440
<v Speaker 1>fucked up happens that a lot of people take to

3:30:07.440 --> 3:30:11.840
<v Speaker 1>the streets, and hopefully we will succeed to a greater

3:30:11.959 --> 3:30:15.520
<v Speaker 1>extent in forcing actual change than maybe we did in

3:30:17.720 --> 3:30:20.680
<v Speaker 1>But but that's that's something like that could very well happen.

3:30:20.800 --> 3:30:22.280
<v Speaker 1>And so that's one of the lessons I think you

3:30:22.320 --> 3:30:24.640
<v Speaker 1>can take out of this again without sort of obsessing

3:30:24.720 --> 3:30:29.040
<v Speaker 1>over military technology or getting into gunfights with fucking soldiers

3:30:29.240 --> 3:30:34.240
<v Speaker 1>is Ukraine is hard evidence that that is the way

3:30:34.280 --> 3:30:37.280
<v Speaker 1>the media environment works. You get these moments where you

3:30:37.360 --> 3:30:40.920
<v Speaker 1>can really push some wild ship to people. That's that's

3:30:40.959 --> 3:30:44.400
<v Speaker 1>why I like the whole uprising or insurrection model more

3:30:44.480 --> 3:30:48.800
<v Speaker 1>than the revolution model, because the uprising model posits that basically,

3:30:49.000 --> 3:30:51.800
<v Speaker 1>you have you know, base base society based reality, you know,

3:30:51.920 --> 3:30:54.920
<v Speaker 1>always at like the base side level, then uprising happens.

3:30:54.959 --> 3:30:57.199
<v Speaker 1>It's like it's like shooting up onto a graph. Suddenly,

3:30:57.320 --> 3:31:00.440
<v Speaker 1>so many things that are outside the normal way that

3:31:00.560 --> 3:31:03.640
<v Speaker 1>we view you know, systems, the governance systems of you know,

3:31:03.760 --> 3:31:06.160
<v Speaker 1>social control. So many things become so much more possible

3:31:06.200 --> 3:31:08.680
<v Speaker 1>in this like heightened place. Um. And that's what the

3:31:08.800 --> 3:31:11.879
<v Speaker 1>uprising does. It gets things that were suddenly that were

3:31:11.959 --> 3:31:14.600
<v Speaker 1>once so far away and once just only in the imagination.

3:31:15.000 --> 3:31:18.199
<v Speaker 1>It almost it makes them so much closer. Right. There's

3:31:18.240 --> 3:31:20.600
<v Speaker 1>this feeling in like July during the height of the

3:31:20.640 --> 3:31:23.360
<v Speaker 1>fed war, being like so many things feel possible in

3:31:23.440 --> 3:31:26.680
<v Speaker 1>this one moment, nothing is true and all is permitted,

3:31:26.920 --> 3:31:30.200
<v Speaker 1>Like you can you can get away with some ship. Yeah,

3:31:30.440 --> 3:31:33.400
<v Speaker 1>And so using the uprising model, yeah, it can really

3:31:34.120 --> 3:31:36.360
<v Speaker 1>and or or the or the instruction model like it

3:31:36.400 --> 3:31:39.640
<v Speaker 1>can really it can really make things feel so much

3:31:39.760 --> 3:31:42.760
<v Speaker 1>more possible than what they usually feel like. And that

3:31:42.920 --> 3:31:45.560
<v Speaker 1>there's you know, brief moments in time where massive social

3:31:45.680 --> 3:31:48.039
<v Speaker 1>change can happen, and you know you have to learn

3:31:48.080 --> 3:31:50.400
<v Speaker 1>how to recognize when this moment are happening and then

3:31:50.560 --> 3:31:56.880
<v Speaker 1>organize effectively when they do happen. Yeah, yep, well I

3:31:57.000 --> 3:32:00.520
<v Speaker 1>believe that does it for us today. Um yeah, we

3:32:00.600 --> 3:32:02.720
<v Speaker 1>when we've been wanting to talk about this topic for

3:32:02.720 --> 3:32:04.480
<v Speaker 1>a while in terms of you know, one of the

3:32:04.760 --> 3:32:08.800
<v Speaker 1>very first things that's not happening was various governments giving

3:32:08.879 --> 3:32:11.800
<v Speaker 1>guides out on where to attack armored vehicles with ball tops.

3:32:11.840 --> 3:32:13.920
<v Speaker 1>We're like, oh wow, this is this is intriguing to

3:32:14.000 --> 3:32:17.240
<v Speaker 1>have a government giving out instructions. Um, this is probably

3:32:17.280 --> 3:32:19.920
<v Speaker 1>has some implications on how we view you know, uh,

3:32:20.560 --> 3:32:23.600
<v Speaker 1>collapse in the in a in a general concept. So yeah, Ever,

3:32:23.680 --> 3:32:25.440
<v Speaker 1>since that's not happening, we wanted to talk about it.

3:32:25.640 --> 3:32:28.360
<v Speaker 1>So yeah, it certainly leaves us with a lot to

3:32:28.360 --> 3:32:30.480
<v Speaker 1>think about. And I didn't get to go on my

3:32:30.640 --> 3:32:33.800
<v Speaker 1>rant about the structure of the Russian military visa VI

3:32:33.879 --> 3:32:35.640
<v Speaker 1>their lack of an n c O COREP. But maybe

3:32:35.640 --> 3:32:37.520
<v Speaker 1>we'll talk about that in the future. I'm sure we'll

3:32:37.560 --> 3:32:42.320
<v Speaker 1>have enough time to talk about this in the future. Uh. Well, everyone,

3:32:42.680 --> 3:32:46.080
<v Speaker 1>h I don't know, do do something productive? Yeah, do

3:32:46.200 --> 3:32:49.959
<v Speaker 1>do something productive. I don't charge armored vehicles. Don't charge

3:32:50.080 --> 3:32:54.640
<v Speaker 1>armored vehicles with paint. Maybe think about the different things

3:32:54.920 --> 3:32:58.000
<v Speaker 1>you would like to get a bunch of people suddenly

3:32:58.160 --> 3:33:02.080
<v Speaker 1>radicalized on Twitter to do in the immediate wake of

3:33:02.160 --> 3:33:05.000
<v Speaker 1>a horrible climate disaster in which large numbers of folks

3:33:05.040 --> 3:33:07.640
<v Speaker 1>are suddenly willing to take to the streets seemingly overnight.

3:33:07.720 --> 3:33:11.760
<v Speaker 1>Maybe thinking about that and and trying to talking with

3:33:11.840 --> 3:33:14.400
<v Speaker 1>your buddies about it, and being like, hey, if everybody

3:33:14.440 --> 3:33:17.000
<v Speaker 1>gets out in the streets again, what kind of information

3:33:17.080 --> 3:33:18.920
<v Speaker 1>do I want to spread? What would be good to

3:33:19.000 --> 3:33:21.560
<v Speaker 1>get people talking about in that instance when they're suddenly

3:33:21.640 --> 3:33:24.120
<v Speaker 1>listening for I don't know about two weeks. It feels

3:33:24.120 --> 3:33:29.200
<v Speaker 1>like you get about two weeks to honestly, Yeah, Well,

3:33:29.879 --> 3:33:32.440
<v Speaker 1>in the wake of the new I PCC report, we

3:33:32.520 --> 3:33:34.119
<v Speaker 1>have what we should certainly have a lot to think about.

3:33:35.080 --> 3:33:55.959
<v Speaker 1>All right, Bye bye, it's goblin mode. Welcome to Happen

3:33:56.080 --> 3:33:59.320
<v Speaker 1>here a podcast that is today in goblin mode. Uh,

3:34:00.000 --> 3:34:01.520
<v Speaker 1>you know what it's about you've her to say it

3:34:01.640 --> 3:34:06.240
<v Speaker 1>like about twenty million times. But yeah, I'm your host,

3:34:06.320 --> 3:34:10.320
<v Speaker 1>Christopher Wong and uh with me today we have Juniper,

3:34:10.440 --> 3:34:16.120
<v Speaker 1>who is a really twitter ship post extraordinary extraordinaire, on

3:34:16.320 --> 3:34:18.960
<v Speaker 1>to discuss language, media, culture, of the nature of reality,

3:34:19.000 --> 3:34:23.199
<v Speaker 1>and Goblin Mode. Junifer, Welcome to the show. Hiy, how's

3:34:23.240 --> 3:34:26.039
<v Speaker 1>it gone. It's going good. It's going much better. Since

3:34:26.080 --> 3:34:31.200
<v Speaker 1>Goblin rode ceased control of the world, we are now

3:34:31.320 --> 3:34:36.600
<v Speaker 1>living in the age of Mode. And Drew mar Show

3:34:36.680 --> 3:34:42.959
<v Speaker 1>said this morning, apparently it's quite a time. I didn't

3:34:43.000 --> 3:34:47.280
<v Speaker 1>realize just posting would like just posting would influence so

3:34:47.400 --> 3:34:50.080
<v Speaker 1>much around me. I guess it's been an interesting time

3:34:50.200 --> 3:34:52.480
<v Speaker 1>for sure. Yeah. So, so I wanted to talk to

3:34:52.560 --> 3:34:56.840
<v Speaker 1>you about sort of the absurdity that is Goblin Mode. Um,

3:34:57.080 --> 3:34:58.840
<v Speaker 1>and I want to hold off on talking about what

3:34:58.879 --> 3:35:01.360
<v Speaker 1>Goblin Mode like is isn't for a bit because I

3:35:01.400 --> 3:35:03.920
<v Speaker 1>think that's actually, weirdly the less interesting part. And I

3:35:04.000 --> 3:35:07.280
<v Speaker 1>want to start with instead the story of how Goblin

3:35:07.320 --> 3:35:11.440
<v Speaker 1>Mode became like a thing and why I am reading. Uh.

3:35:13.280 --> 3:35:15.320
<v Speaker 1>I keep I keep like, every every time I look

3:35:15.320 --> 3:35:18.160
<v Speaker 1>for more Goblin Mode headlines, there's more goblin mode headlines

3:35:18.720 --> 3:35:23.560
<v Speaker 1>like the I think my favorite so far is from Bloomberg.

3:35:23.680 --> 3:35:26.960
<v Speaker 1>It's a dieselent. Diesel prices have gone goblin mode. Forget

3:35:27.080 --> 3:35:30.280
<v Speaker 1>crude oil. This could be the real energy emergency. Yeah,

3:35:30.360 --> 3:35:32.080
<v Speaker 1>that that is by far one of my favorites to

3:35:32.520 --> 3:35:35.600
<v Speaker 1>uh the full headline too, if you search for that

3:35:35.760 --> 3:35:39.000
<v Speaker 1>one is it's what you said, but then it adds

3:35:39.040 --> 3:35:44.360
<v Speaker 1>on thanks to the Ukraine War. An official Bloilberg headline

3:35:44.440 --> 3:35:48.640
<v Speaker 1>with goblin mode and the Ukraine word. I gotta that's

3:35:48.640 --> 3:35:53.040
<v Speaker 1>just by part of my favorite one amazing. The other

3:35:53.080 --> 3:35:55.840
<v Speaker 1>part of three that's extremely funny is that so the

3:35:56.080 --> 3:35:59.119
<v Speaker 1>people who are doing these articles, I keep getting asked,

3:35:59.160 --> 3:36:01.320
<v Speaker 1>so someone someone's asking like an intern to find a

3:36:01.400 --> 3:36:03.680
<v Speaker 1>picture of a goblin, and they keep posting pictures of orcs,

3:36:04.280 --> 3:36:10.840
<v Speaker 1>which is like enormously funny to me. Okay, so I'm

3:36:10.840 --> 3:36:12.920
<v Speaker 1>not sure what they're searching to get those. I don't know.

3:36:13.280 --> 3:36:18.680
<v Speaker 1>It's really incredible, Okay, So yeah, I guess I should.

3:36:18.680 --> 3:36:20.840
<v Speaker 1>So we should start from the beginning of this story,

3:36:21.000 --> 3:36:23.800
<v Speaker 1>which is, yeah, can you talk about your ship post

3:36:23.959 --> 3:36:26.440
<v Speaker 1>and uh, what you were thinking at the time when

3:36:26.480 --> 3:36:29.879
<v Speaker 1>you made a ship post that randomly like has has

3:36:29.920 --> 3:36:36.960
<v Speaker 1>had months long ripple effects on the world. Sure, I

3:36:37.879 --> 3:36:41.200
<v Speaker 1>think you were right though, like the post itself, and

3:36:41.360 --> 3:36:44.160
<v Speaker 1>that's like the least interesting part of all of goblin

3:36:44.240 --> 3:36:47.600
<v Speaker 1>mode in my opinion as well, Like just seeing the

3:36:47.680 --> 3:36:50.160
<v Speaker 1>ripple effect is what's been super interesting and really funny

3:36:50.200 --> 3:36:55.080
<v Speaker 1>to me. But um sure yeah the post. Um basically,

3:36:55.200 --> 3:36:58.760
<v Speaker 1>I think it was like the day that um what

3:36:59.200 --> 3:37:02.640
<v Speaker 1>Kanye West and Julia Fox, which there's a quick note,

3:37:02.680 --> 3:37:05.280
<v Speaker 1>I've never heard of Julia Fox before any of this.

3:37:05.920 --> 3:37:08.840
<v Speaker 1>So I like sometimes if like you know, Twitter is

3:37:08.879 --> 3:37:11.520
<v Speaker 1>all talking about one thing, the most recent thing being

3:37:11.640 --> 3:37:14.040
<v Speaker 1>like the Will Smith slap, like everyone's talking about that.

3:37:14.560 --> 3:37:16.760
<v Speaker 1>So whenever like some like big event like that is

3:37:16.840 --> 3:37:19.120
<v Speaker 1>happening and everyone's posting about it, I try to like

3:37:19.320 --> 3:37:22.240
<v Speaker 1>think of some creative different posts I can do, you know,

3:37:22.400 --> 3:37:24.760
<v Speaker 1>just to get in on the the discourse or whatever

3:37:24.800 --> 3:37:28.040
<v Speaker 1>you wanna call it. So I just I really don't

3:37:28.080 --> 3:37:30.640
<v Speaker 1>know what compelled me to make a fake headline, But basically,

3:37:30.720 --> 3:37:33.120
<v Speaker 1>I just I just decided to search. I think I

3:37:33.160 --> 3:37:34.840
<v Speaker 1>was driving home from work and I just decided to

3:37:34.879 --> 3:37:38.720
<v Speaker 1>search like Kanye West, Julia Fox, and I just found

3:37:38.800 --> 3:37:41.800
<v Speaker 1>the first headline and I just edited it to say, um,

3:37:42.160 --> 3:37:46.200
<v Speaker 1>Kanye West doesn't like it when Julia Fox goes goneling basically,

3:37:46.240 --> 3:37:47.720
<v Speaker 1>and that's why they broke up. That was that was

3:37:47.760 --> 3:37:51.119
<v Speaker 1>the whole lessons of the of the post itself. Um,

3:37:51.320 --> 3:37:54.640
<v Speaker 1>and I really didn't think too deeply about it beyond

3:37:54.840 --> 3:37:58.320
<v Speaker 1>just making the post, and it just it caught fire

3:37:58.440 --> 3:38:00.520
<v Speaker 1>with like I guess what we would probably all normally

3:38:00.760 --> 3:38:04.400
<v Speaker 1>normally Twitter like people that aren't even like necessarily leftists

3:38:04.520 --> 3:38:07.480
<v Speaker 1>or anything like us. Um, it just really caught a

3:38:07.520 --> 3:38:11.280
<v Speaker 1>hold with the whole of Twitter and pretty much like

3:38:11.600 --> 3:38:13.200
<v Speaker 1>most of the people that saw it. You can you

3:38:13.240 --> 3:38:15.400
<v Speaker 1>can go back and check the replies. Most people think

3:38:15.440 --> 3:38:20.560
<v Speaker 1>it's real at the time and replying about all things

3:38:20.560 --> 3:38:23.160
<v Speaker 1>it's real, and no one, like hardly anyone verified it.

3:38:23.520 --> 3:38:26.440
<v Speaker 1>It was like kind of insane to see yeah and

3:38:27.000 --> 3:38:30.000
<v Speaker 1>just just cost yeah, I think it's funny because again,

3:38:30.080 --> 3:38:31.600
<v Speaker 1>like you could very you could you could just google

3:38:31.720 --> 3:38:34.320
<v Speaker 1>this right, Like you can just google it and it'd

3:38:34.320 --> 3:38:35.560
<v Speaker 1>be like, oh, wait, hol on, this isn't real. But

3:38:35.640 --> 3:38:41.160
<v Speaker 1>like no one did that, and it was like, yeah,

3:38:41.280 --> 3:38:43.760
<v Speaker 1>like you could have just easily searched the main part

3:38:43.760 --> 3:38:45.840
<v Speaker 1>of the headline, like Kanye West to Julia Fox. It

3:38:45.959 --> 3:38:49.600
<v Speaker 1>was literally the second or third headlines you can have

3:38:49.720 --> 3:38:52.440
<v Speaker 1>found the same website, same author, but seeing that it

3:38:52.560 --> 3:38:56.680
<v Speaker 1>wasn't the correct headline. Although that does remind me when

3:38:57.120 --> 3:39:00.480
<v Speaker 1>there was the initial article about my post um, I

3:39:00.600 --> 3:39:04.840
<v Speaker 1>forget who wrote it at this point, I think I was, Yes,

3:39:04.959 --> 3:39:08.400
<v Speaker 1>that's right, it was the focus they they they for

3:39:08.520 --> 3:39:11.080
<v Speaker 1>some reason, it made the assumption when they decided when

3:39:11.120 --> 3:39:15.000
<v Speaker 1>they decided to talk about my tweet that the website,

3:39:15.800 --> 3:39:19.720
<v Speaker 1>like the headline that I made made up the original

3:39:19.840 --> 3:39:23.080
<v Speaker 1>website like edited that part out. So they thought that

3:39:23.200 --> 3:39:26.800
<v Speaker 1>my headline was real, but it was just and taken away.

3:39:27.120 --> 3:39:31.200
<v Speaker 1>And so that also affected what some people thought about

3:39:31.240 --> 3:39:33.080
<v Speaker 1>it too, Like they thought a lot of people thought

3:39:33.120 --> 3:39:35.600
<v Speaker 1>it was really real. That's that's what's insane to me

3:39:35.640 --> 3:39:39.240
<v Speaker 1>about this. Yeah, and like you and like like Vogue

3:39:39.360 --> 3:39:41.400
<v Speaker 1>like picked this up. This was just like a thing

3:39:41.959 --> 3:39:44.920
<v Speaker 1>that that like everyone believes us real. Everyone was just

3:39:45.000 --> 3:39:48.920
<v Speaker 1>reporting on it as news and there's so much like

3:39:49.879 --> 3:39:53.120
<v Speaker 1>there's so much like incredible stuff about this, like part

3:39:53.160 --> 3:39:58.400
<v Speaker 1>of it, you know, so what if the articles that

3:39:58.600 --> 3:40:00.960
<v Speaker 1>that gets published about this after so like there's this

3:40:01.000 --> 3:40:03.400
<v Speaker 1>initial period where everyone is running around going like oh

3:40:03.480 --> 3:40:06.280
<v Speaker 1>my god, it was goblin Mode, and then Julia Fox

3:40:06.560 --> 3:40:09.640
<v Speaker 1>has to make a statement that's like, no, there was

3:40:09.720 --> 3:40:13.080
<v Speaker 1>no goblin Mode. No one said this. Yeah, yeah, that's

3:40:13.160 --> 3:40:16.320
<v Speaker 1>That's the interesting about the evolution of goblin Mode, like

3:40:16.600 --> 3:40:20.400
<v Speaker 1>stemming from my post specifically, is at first the coverage

3:40:20.440 --> 3:40:23.120
<v Speaker 1>was talking about whether my post was real or fake

3:40:23.240 --> 3:40:26.959
<v Speaker 1>and talking about that aspect of it. But as time

3:40:27.000 --> 3:40:29.200
<v Speaker 1>has gone on, it's kind of evolved away from that.

3:40:29.320 --> 3:40:31.920
<v Speaker 1>Like you you won't see any goblin Mode article talk

3:40:32.000 --> 3:40:35.400
<v Speaker 1>about the original like Julia Fox tweet that jump started

3:40:35.440 --> 3:40:38.279
<v Speaker 1>this whole thing anymore. It's kind of like shifted away

3:40:39.160 --> 3:40:42.640
<v Speaker 1>from that initial that initial post, which I found really

3:40:42.680 --> 3:40:46.640
<v Speaker 1>interesting that that's what sustaining this. I feel like, yeah,

3:40:46.879 --> 3:40:51.800
<v Speaker 1>I wanted to read a uh, I wanted to read

3:40:52.200 --> 3:40:54.680
<v Speaker 1>a passage from one of the art I don't know

3:40:54.680 --> 3:40:57.920
<v Speaker 1>why I'm calling it a passage. It's just like a sentence,

3:40:58.240 --> 3:41:00.440
<v Speaker 1>but read part of one of the art goals that

3:41:00.520 --> 3:41:02.520
<v Speaker 1>that came from up from the the initial search, which

3:41:02.600 --> 3:41:06.360
<v Speaker 1>is from the streetwear company called high Snobby. Don't tell

3:41:06.400 --> 3:41:10.080
<v Speaker 1>me if I'm like pronouncing that wrong. Uh well, okay,

3:41:10.120 --> 3:41:12.040
<v Speaker 1>that's not not to Twitter. If I'm pronouncing that wrong.

3:41:12.280 --> 3:41:18.760
<v Speaker 1>My Twitter is at I right, okay, yell there, Um yeah,

3:41:18.879 --> 3:41:21.160
<v Speaker 1>but I want I want to read this quote because

3:41:21.160 --> 3:41:23.400
<v Speaker 1>I think it's interesting. So the article, they have this

3:41:23.480 --> 3:41:25.640
<v Speaker 1>whole thing that's like, Okay, they get to the denial,

3:41:25.760 --> 3:41:27.560
<v Speaker 1>they post your tweet about like, oh my god, I

3:41:27.560 --> 3:41:29.320
<v Speaker 1>can't believe Julia Fox had to respond to this, and

3:41:29.360 --> 3:41:32.320
<v Speaker 1>then they say, I'm not saying Fox was lying, but

3:41:32.440 --> 3:41:35.959
<v Speaker 1>wearing a borderline not suited for work dress, a purse

3:41:36.040 --> 3:41:39.160
<v Speaker 1>trimmed and human DNA and d I y I make

3:41:39.240 --> 3:41:41.880
<v Speaker 1>up to an Oscar's after party? Is goblin mode to

3:41:41.959 --> 3:41:45.800
<v Speaker 1>a t? And I think this brings up an interesting question,

3:41:46.200 --> 3:41:49.080
<v Speaker 1>which is to what extent was goblin mode real in

3:41:49.160 --> 3:41:51.920
<v Speaker 1>the first place before You're sort of mean to went

3:41:52.040 --> 3:41:58.360
<v Speaker 1>went viral? So like the phrase itself, you mean yeah, yeah,

3:41:58.440 --> 3:42:02.000
<v Speaker 1>like I want part of the phrase existed before my post. Yeah,

3:42:02.080 --> 3:42:05.000
<v Speaker 1>And I think it was also like what were you thinking, Like,

3:42:05.120 --> 3:42:07.400
<v Speaker 1>did you have like a conception of what goblin mode

3:42:07.720 --> 3:42:13.440
<v Speaker 1>like was before he made the post? So so the

3:42:13.600 --> 3:42:16.320
<v Speaker 1>only thing I had in my mind at that point. Um,

3:42:16.640 --> 3:42:19.920
<v Speaker 1>it's it stems from specifically, Um, do you do you

3:42:20.000 --> 3:42:24.360
<v Speaker 1>know the user on Twitter hottie pants? Do you happen

3:42:24.360 --> 3:42:29.080
<v Speaker 1>to know that guy, I don't think so now he

3:42:29.200 --> 3:42:31.600
<v Speaker 1>goes by I think his ad is like punished Pants

3:42:31.680 --> 3:42:35.040
<v Speaker 1>or something like that. But anyways, he around that time,

3:42:35.080 --> 3:42:37.360
<v Speaker 1>he was posting a lot about like goblins. He was

3:42:37.480 --> 3:42:39.760
<v Speaker 1>He would post a lot about like goblin time and

3:42:39.840 --> 3:42:41.480
<v Speaker 1>like it's oh, it's goblin time, and he would just

3:42:41.520 --> 3:42:43.560
<v Speaker 1>make like a bunch of just like posts like that.

3:42:44.040 --> 3:42:46.000
<v Speaker 1>So goblins were on my mind at that point. And

3:42:46.080 --> 3:42:49.560
<v Speaker 1>then I forget his user name, but his um I

3:42:49.640 --> 3:42:54.120
<v Speaker 1>think his user name is um uncontrolled. I for I

3:42:54.160 --> 3:42:56.560
<v Speaker 1>forget his user I'll have to tell you afterwards or something.

3:42:57.120 --> 3:42:58.800
<v Speaker 1>I I don't remember off the top of my head,

3:42:59.200 --> 3:43:01.720
<v Speaker 1>but he he may a post that went viral, uh,

3:43:02.000 --> 3:43:05.560
<v Speaker 1>something to the effect of like um, your honor UM.

3:43:06.040 --> 3:43:07.720
<v Speaker 1>I was going goblin mode at that time, you know

3:43:07.800 --> 3:43:11.280
<v Speaker 1>that format that's like you're in the court, but excuses like, oh,

3:43:11.360 --> 3:43:13.840
<v Speaker 1>I'm going goblin mode. It really in my head. That's

3:43:13.879 --> 3:43:17.360
<v Speaker 1>really the only reference I had, So I didn't make

3:43:17.440 --> 3:43:19.240
<v Speaker 1>up the phrase. A lot of people think I made

3:43:19.280 --> 3:43:22.640
<v Speaker 1>up the phrase goblin mode, which I definitely did not. Um,

3:43:23.840 --> 3:43:26.039
<v Speaker 1>but I think just there was a lot of people

3:43:26.080 --> 3:43:28.400
<v Speaker 1>posting about about goblins around that time, like early in

3:43:28.440 --> 3:43:31.720
<v Speaker 1>mid March, and I just in my mind, I was like, oh,

3:43:31.760 --> 3:43:34.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, I'm just gonna say Goblin Mode on this

3:43:34.879 --> 3:43:37.360
<v Speaker 1>this ship post Aboulia Fox. I don't. I really don't

3:43:37.400 --> 3:43:39.600
<v Speaker 1>know why. It's just the first thing that popped in

3:43:39.680 --> 3:43:41.920
<v Speaker 1>my head. And whenever something pops in my head, like

3:43:42.160 --> 3:43:44.119
<v Speaker 1>a tweet idea, and I laughed myself. I'm like, okay,

3:43:44.160 --> 3:43:46.320
<v Speaker 1>I should post it. I don't know, and it seemed

3:43:46.360 --> 3:43:50.440
<v Speaker 1>to work. Did you end up so one of these things?

3:43:50.480 --> 3:43:52.040
<v Speaker 1>What are these things? I think is really interesting? Is

3:43:52.120 --> 3:43:55.080
<v Speaker 1>that right? So okay, so you have you have your

3:43:55.120 --> 3:43:57.960
<v Speaker 1>first wave of like it's the goblin Mode thing, and

3:43:58.000 --> 3:43:59.720
<v Speaker 1>then you have your second wave articles that are trying

3:43:59.720 --> 3:44:03.200
<v Speaker 1>to blaine what goblin Mode is. And I was I

3:44:03.280 --> 3:44:05.440
<v Speaker 1>was wondering if if you'd see if you'd actually even

3:44:05.600 --> 3:44:07.880
<v Speaker 1>seen the post. I just like I linked to the

3:44:08.000 --> 3:44:11.320
<v Speaker 1>chat um. There was like like the thing I'd seen

3:44:11.360 --> 3:44:15.240
<v Speaker 1>from goblin Mode before thislike all started, was just like Reddit.

3:44:15.320 --> 3:44:17.840
<v Speaker 1>It was someone on Twitter had a tweet that went

3:44:17.920 --> 3:44:20.600
<v Speaker 1>viral about goblin Mode and it was about just like

3:44:20.760 --> 3:44:22.560
<v Speaker 1>someone It was about this Reddit post of like someone

3:44:22.640 --> 3:44:28.080
<v Speaker 1>creeping around their house and pretending acting like a goblin. Yes, yes,

3:44:28.560 --> 3:44:31.040
<v Speaker 1>So I didn't see that until I made my post,

3:44:31.520 --> 3:44:34.800
<v Speaker 1>like in my initial because I think someone linked it

3:44:34.920 --> 3:44:37.120
<v Speaker 1>under my post and I was like, oh, Ship, this

3:44:37.160 --> 3:44:38.920
<v Speaker 1>is just like a thing, Like this is actually like

3:44:39.000 --> 3:44:41.080
<v Speaker 1>a thing. And then I started popping off more because

3:44:41.120 --> 3:44:43.560
<v Speaker 1>people saw that reply. I'm real like, oh, Ship, this

3:44:43.720 --> 3:44:46.600
<v Speaker 1>is like actually a thing. And to my surprise, that

3:44:46.680 --> 3:44:49.320
<v Speaker 1>like totally worked out for me, like everything kind of

3:44:49.400 --> 3:44:53.360
<v Speaker 1>just came together and it really insane fashion. Oh that's

3:44:53.360 --> 3:44:55.640
<v Speaker 1>another tweet to the one that you linked the That's

3:44:55.680 --> 3:44:57.600
<v Speaker 1>when I was going, that's when I was in goblin mode.

3:44:57.879 --> 3:45:00.880
<v Speaker 1>That came before my tweet too. Had you had you

3:45:01.000 --> 3:45:05.160
<v Speaker 1>seen that one before you made it? I followed her,

3:45:06.240 --> 3:45:08.480
<v Speaker 1>I followed Telgore. I might have seen it. I don't remember.

3:45:08.560 --> 3:45:12.039
<v Speaker 1>I remember the other one I was referencing before. Um,

3:45:12.320 --> 3:45:14.440
<v Speaker 1>I might have seen that one now, yeah, like I

3:45:15.000 --> 3:45:16.960
<v Speaker 1>I think like that. That was what was interesting to

3:45:17.000 --> 3:45:20.640
<v Speaker 1>me about this was that, like the moment it went viral,

3:45:21.120 --> 3:45:24.920
<v Speaker 1>there was this whole sort of like attempt because there

3:45:24.959 --> 3:45:26.880
<v Speaker 1>was an attempt to figure out what it is, and

3:45:26.920 --> 3:45:29.360
<v Speaker 1>then there was an attempt to like back project a

3:45:29.440 --> 3:45:31.280
<v Speaker 1>history on it, and so you get a lot of

3:45:31.320 --> 3:45:32.600
<v Speaker 1>these articles and you get a lot of people like

3:45:32.760 --> 3:45:34.160
<v Speaker 1>I don't know, like I would talk to people about

3:45:34.200 --> 3:45:36.520
<v Speaker 1>this and they would like, you know, okay, so they

3:45:36.520 --> 3:45:38.200
<v Speaker 1>do this thing or it's like okay, so they go

3:45:38.320 --> 3:45:40.960
<v Speaker 1>to know your meme, they look at the Google trends,

3:45:41.200 --> 3:45:44.840
<v Speaker 1>and then like the people sort of like, you know, okay,

3:45:44.879 --> 3:45:47.200
<v Speaker 1>Like there was an urban Dictionary thing from like two

3:45:47.280 --> 3:45:49.320
<v Speaker 1>thousand nine that was like a completely like a weird

3:45:49.320 --> 3:45:52.120
<v Speaker 1>sex thing. It was like completely unrelated to this, but

3:45:52.200 --> 3:45:56.480
<v Speaker 1>it was interesting to me the way that people like, Okay,

3:45:56.520 --> 3:45:59.840
<v Speaker 1>so you have this thing that goes viral, right, and

3:46:00.160 --> 3:46:03.480
<v Speaker 1>like you're just sucking around like there's no act, Like

3:46:03.560 --> 3:46:08.680
<v Speaker 1>it's just sounds cool. But then like yeah, there's an

3:46:08.680 --> 3:46:11.160
<v Speaker 1>extent which it becomes this like you know, it gets

3:46:11.200 --> 3:46:13.640
<v Speaker 1>into the sort of like viralty machine, and so you

3:46:13.720 --> 3:46:16.080
<v Speaker 1>have all these journalists who like have to cover it

3:46:16.280 --> 3:46:18.120
<v Speaker 1>right because like, you know, the the way the journalism

3:46:18.160 --> 3:46:21.520
<v Speaker 1>bottle works is okay, so you have this trend, right,

3:46:22.000 --> 3:46:24.160
<v Speaker 1>people can see it trending. You see something on Twitter,

3:46:25.040 --> 3:46:27.520
<v Speaker 1>you do like four sets of Googles, and you write

3:46:27.520 --> 3:46:30.560
<v Speaker 1>an article about it, and it's like, well, okay, because

3:46:30.560 --> 3:46:32.680
<v Speaker 1>they're trying to you're trying to capitalize on on the

3:46:32.720 --> 3:46:34.720
<v Speaker 1>clicks as fast as possible. So when someone googles what

3:46:34.840 --> 3:46:36.560
<v Speaker 1>is goblin mode, it's like, okay, your thing comes up.

3:46:37.160 --> 3:46:39.080
<v Speaker 1>But it's interesting because it's like it's like they have

3:46:39.160 --> 3:46:42.800
<v Speaker 1>to fill the content in because there isn't any Yeah. Yeah,

3:46:42.840 --> 3:46:45.440
<v Speaker 1>that's what what was interesting about the specific that first one,

3:46:45.520 --> 3:46:47.680
<v Speaker 1>the focus article, it was just a lot of like

3:46:47.840 --> 3:46:51.800
<v Speaker 1>filling in where there was really nothing. Yeah, and that's

3:46:51.840 --> 3:46:54.360
<v Speaker 1>what's interesting about that. Yeah. And then and then like

3:46:54.480 --> 3:46:57.280
<v Speaker 1>after that, like all the other articles are like you

3:46:57.360 --> 3:46:59.120
<v Speaker 1>get to see this proliferation sort of of how the

3:46:59.160 --> 3:47:01.760
<v Speaker 1>media works where it's okay, so you have the initial article,

3:47:01.800 --> 3:47:04.400
<v Speaker 1>the initial article google some stuff and it's basically just

3:47:04.480 --> 3:47:07.280
<v Speaker 1>making it up because they're they're trying to like give

3:47:07.360 --> 3:47:09.960
<v Speaker 1>coherence or like give am meeting to an empty signifier.

3:47:10.040 --> 3:47:12.800
<v Speaker 1>And then after that, it's like all of the other

3:47:12.920 --> 3:47:16.040
<v Speaker 1>articles are just copying off of the first article, and

3:47:16.160 --> 3:47:19.440
<v Speaker 1>you get this like Ora boris of like everyone just

3:47:19.600 --> 3:47:21.520
<v Speaker 1>is repeating the same thing over and over again, and

3:47:21.560 --> 3:47:24.160
<v Speaker 1>none of them seem to understand that, like it was

3:47:24.879 --> 3:47:27.120
<v Speaker 1>not that the thing that they originally talking about was

3:47:27.200 --> 3:47:34.560
<v Speaker 1>just kind of like that's really all it was, and

3:47:35.760 --> 3:47:38.160
<v Speaker 1>it's it is interesting to see how it is just

3:47:38.280 --> 3:47:41.480
<v Speaker 1>able to proliferate off of as you as you were saying,

3:47:41.520 --> 3:47:44.560
<v Speaker 1>they just google search urban, they find an urban dictionary,

3:47:44.600 --> 3:47:47.600
<v Speaker 1>and it's like my article urban dictionary is is a

3:47:47.640 --> 3:47:52.120
<v Speaker 1>good source. Yeah, and like I think this this is

3:47:52.240 --> 3:47:53.640
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I think there's there's like a few interesting

3:47:53.680 --> 3:47:57.040
<v Speaker 1>things here, one of which is about how yeah, like

3:47:57.080 --> 3:47:59.000
<v Speaker 1>I had this before, Like I'm not sure if I

3:47:59.000 --> 3:48:00.840
<v Speaker 1>actually talked about this on the show. So the day

3:48:00.879 --> 3:48:04.760
<v Speaker 1>of the Atlantis shooting, Garrison and I spent a lot

3:48:04.840 --> 3:48:07.720
<v Speaker 1>of time trying to like track down the shooter, and

3:48:08.320 --> 3:48:10.200
<v Speaker 1>there was there was this like fake Facebook post that

3:48:10.280 --> 3:48:13.360
<v Speaker 1>was going around and you know, Garrison I has spent

3:48:13.400 --> 3:48:14.600
<v Speaker 1>like a lot of time looking for this guy and

3:48:14.640 --> 3:48:16.600
<v Speaker 1>we okay, well we realized that this guy just doesn't

3:48:16.600 --> 3:48:19.040
<v Speaker 1>have a Facebook, right, and so we were like so

3:48:19.160 --> 3:48:20.560
<v Speaker 1>like I was like look at this, Like I saw

3:48:20.640 --> 3:48:21.920
<v Speaker 1>his fake Facebook post and I was like, oh, this

3:48:22.040 --> 3:48:26.680
<v Speaker 1>is fake. And then like a bunch of a bunch

3:48:26.760 --> 3:48:28.840
<v Speaker 1>of like a bunch of like actual journalists like found

3:48:28.959 --> 3:48:31.160
<v Speaker 1>you know people because journalists have been passing around the

3:48:31.200 --> 3:48:34.120
<v Speaker 1>fake Facebook post as like this is a suppost alleged

3:48:34.160 --> 3:48:35.400
<v Speaker 1>to be a thing, and then and then suddenly they

3:48:35.440 --> 3:48:37.080
<v Speaker 1>were like, oh, hey this is fake. Hey you can

3:48:37.120 --> 3:48:40.160
<v Speaker 1>see all these things like oh look, it's like uh,

3:48:41.640 --> 3:48:46.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, like there was like the it was pretty

3:48:46.480 --> 3:48:48.400
<v Speaker 1>clear of it, like his face had been copied and

3:48:48.440 --> 3:48:51.080
<v Speaker 1>pasted into like a thing that's it was supposed to

3:48:51.120 --> 3:48:52.680
<v Speaker 1>look like a Facebook post because there was all these

3:48:52.720 --> 3:48:54.240
<v Speaker 1>like minor details about that, which is wrong, and it

3:48:54.320 --> 3:48:57.440
<v Speaker 1>was like, okay, so this isn't real. But the media

3:48:57.520 --> 3:49:00.440
<v Speaker 1>cycle of it was like all of these people saw

3:49:00.600 --> 3:49:02.960
<v Speaker 1>my Twitter post that was like this is fake, and

3:49:03.000 --> 3:49:04.600
<v Speaker 1>then they just wrote a story off of it and

3:49:04.680 --> 3:49:06.640
<v Speaker 1>like never mentioned that that that they literally got it

3:49:06.760 --> 3:49:11.200
<v Speaker 1>from like me fucking around on Twitter. Like it's like

3:49:13.000 --> 3:49:14.760
<v Speaker 1>and it's like and it's like you look at this

3:49:14.800 --> 3:49:20.400
<v Speaker 1>stuff and the extent to which these people are just

3:49:21.200 --> 3:49:22.680
<v Speaker 1>like these people who are journalist, who are you know,

3:49:22.680 --> 3:49:25.520
<v Speaker 1>supposed to people journalists are just like woefully unprepared. Even

3:49:25.560 --> 3:49:28.680
<v Speaker 1>people even who people who are extremely online like wind

3:49:28.800 --> 3:49:35.200
<v Speaker 1>up being woefully unprepared to deal with like anything, like

3:49:35.520 --> 3:49:38.040
<v Speaker 1>they're woefully unprepared to deal with anything of any complexity

3:49:38.200 --> 3:49:44.280
<v Speaker 1>or deal or like figure out that they're being like hoaxed. Yeah, yeah, no,

3:49:44.400 --> 3:49:46.600
<v Speaker 1>you're you're you're really right about that. I mean, I

3:49:46.640 --> 3:49:48.640
<v Speaker 1>mean I think this it's I don't know what I

3:49:48.680 --> 3:49:52.240
<v Speaker 1>would call this phenomena, but there's definitely something there where

3:49:52.280 --> 3:49:55.840
<v Speaker 1>it's like they we'll see something like I don't know,

3:49:55.960 --> 3:49:58.960
<v Speaker 1>and I don't know what it is about specifically Twitter

3:49:59.120 --> 3:50:01.040
<v Speaker 1>that like I feel like it's where a lot of

3:50:01.200 --> 3:50:04.240
<v Speaker 1>people get news just in general, but I feel like

3:50:04.240 --> 3:50:06.760
<v Speaker 1>a lot of journalists just assume anything that they see.

3:50:07.280 --> 3:50:10.840
<v Speaker 1>Maybe I'm over generalizing, but if they see something on Twitter,

3:50:11.480 --> 3:50:14.200
<v Speaker 1>even if it's like a joke, like they'll just assume

3:50:14.280 --> 3:50:16.600
<v Speaker 1>it's real or something I'm not. I'm not entirely sure.

3:50:16.800 --> 3:50:19.360
<v Speaker 1>Like it's super easy to make a fake post. I

3:50:19.440 --> 3:50:21.520
<v Speaker 1>do it all the time. I make all sorts of

3:50:21.760 --> 3:50:23.960
<v Speaker 1>like fake fake things. Most of them are more obvious

3:50:23.960 --> 3:50:27.280
<v Speaker 1>than Goblin But I guess, but I don't know that

3:50:27.400 --> 3:50:31.240
<v Speaker 1>they're I don't want to say journalists are too trusting. Yeah, well,

3:50:31.280 --> 3:50:34.960
<v Speaker 1>and but I will say, like there are times where

3:50:34.960 --> 3:50:37.480
<v Speaker 1>there's genuine Like when when you first started posting the

3:50:37.600 --> 3:50:40.440
<v Speaker 1>headlines of like the actual Twitter articles that were about

3:50:40.440 --> 3:50:42.240
<v Speaker 1>Goblin mode, I like I didn't do about it looking

3:50:42.400 --> 3:50:45.040
<v Speaker 1>up because I just assumed they were fake. Yeah, it

3:50:45.200 --> 3:50:48.960
<v Speaker 1>was like a lot of people told me, Like I

3:50:49.040 --> 3:50:52.560
<v Speaker 1>think specifically, the the one that like most of my

3:50:52.680 --> 3:50:55.320
<v Speaker 1>followers realized that they weren't fake anymore was the one

3:50:55.400 --> 3:51:00.240
<v Speaker 1>that was like, um as a disabled uh them in

3:51:00.640 --> 3:51:05.760
<v Speaker 1>goblin mode. This goblin mode trend is really problematic, and

3:51:05.920 --> 3:51:08.240
<v Speaker 1>people people decided to look that one up and we're like, oh,

3:51:08.320 --> 3:51:10.120
<v Speaker 1>it's real. And then everyone was like, wait, we're all

3:51:10.160 --> 3:51:11.920
<v Speaker 1>these other ones that you were posting real And I'm

3:51:11.920 --> 3:51:19.440
<v Speaker 1>like they were all real, Julia Foxlan real. It was

3:51:20.800 --> 3:51:23.440
<v Speaker 1>agencies have been all these news organizations. I've been writing

3:51:23.440 --> 3:51:28.040
<v Speaker 1>all this insane shit about nothing. Yeah, and there's there's

3:51:28.160 --> 3:51:30.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, I mean, I think that this one is

3:51:30.040 --> 3:51:31.920
<v Speaker 1>funny just because like yeah, I mean like it's goblin

3:51:31.960 --> 3:51:34.280
<v Speaker 1>mode right, like it's it's it's it's just funny, like

3:51:34.360 --> 3:51:36.160
<v Speaker 1>there's no like you know. But but I mean, I

3:51:36.200 --> 3:51:38.280
<v Speaker 1>think that there's an interesting thing that happens with with

3:51:38.440 --> 3:51:41.200
<v Speaker 1>the specifically the disabilities one, because the disabilities one isn't

3:51:41.600 --> 3:51:45.160
<v Speaker 1>like it's basically about something completely different that the Goblin

3:51:45.240 --> 3:51:47.480
<v Speaker 1>mode things spawned, which is that like, like the the

3:51:47.600 --> 3:51:50.760
<v Speaker 1>other thing that happened with Goblin Mode. Was that Okay,

3:51:50.800 --> 3:51:53.280
<v Speaker 1>So people saw Goblin Mode and then physicularly on like

3:51:53.360 --> 3:51:55.920
<v Speaker 1>TikTok Um. I don't I don't know if they knew

3:51:55.960 --> 3:51:59.880
<v Speaker 1>where it came from, but like people like people turn

3:52:00.120 --> 3:52:02.920
<v Speaker 1>just gobblin mode into an actual thing where like it

3:52:03.040 --> 3:52:06.640
<v Speaker 1>became this thing about like I like, I I think

3:52:06.640 --> 3:52:09.400
<v Speaker 1>I think this is also influenced by like some of

3:52:09.480 --> 3:52:11.800
<v Speaker 1>the like ship post answers that you gave the media

3:52:11.880 --> 3:52:14.200
<v Speaker 1>people that were like gobblin Boe could be whatever you want.

3:52:15.080 --> 3:52:17.880
<v Speaker 1>It's when you aren't awake of the padel or like

3:52:17.960 --> 3:52:20.240
<v Speaker 1>you're not doing your makeup in the pandemic or whatever.

3:52:20.880 --> 3:52:27.200
<v Speaker 1>Like yeah, but but but it's interesting that field like that.

3:52:27.760 --> 3:52:30.160
<v Speaker 1>I really don't know if the TikTok's thing came before

3:52:30.240 --> 3:52:35.400
<v Speaker 1>or after. I think it's after. Yeah, from what I've seen,

3:52:35.840 --> 3:52:38.080
<v Speaker 1>it's it seems like it actually became a thing after.

3:52:38.200 --> 3:52:40.000
<v Speaker 1>And that was really interesting to me too, because it

3:52:40.120 --> 3:52:44.840
<v Speaker 1>was like it's this way in which, like you know, okay,

3:52:44.920 --> 3:52:48.920
<v Speaker 1>so you start running into these sort of like fundamental

3:52:49.000 --> 3:52:51.800
<v Speaker 1>problems about the nature of reality where it's like, okay,

3:52:51.840 --> 3:52:54.960
<v Speaker 1>so we made this thing that is fake, right, but

3:52:55.120 --> 3:52:58.680
<v Speaker 1>then it became real because enough enough people believed it

3:52:58.800 --> 3:53:01.960
<v Speaker 1>was real that it turned into a thing that people

3:53:02.000 --> 3:53:03.640
<v Speaker 1>actually use to describe stuff. And then you know that

3:53:03.720 --> 3:53:05.880
<v Speaker 1>that's how you get to like you get a bunch

3:53:05.920 --> 3:53:08.960
<v Speaker 1>of people complaining about how like there was an article

3:53:09.040 --> 3:53:12.320
<v Speaker 1>that was like the Great resignation and going Goblin mode

3:53:12.400 --> 3:53:14.280
<v Speaker 1>or like the two great threats to employers as they

3:53:14.320 --> 3:53:19.520
<v Speaker 1>try to force people back to work. Like yeah, it's

3:53:19.600 --> 3:53:24.560
<v Speaker 1>it's like the goblin mode, like self manifested into reality.

3:53:24.720 --> 3:53:26.880
<v Speaker 1>Like I feel like a lot of journalists are saying,

3:53:27.000 --> 3:53:29.560
<v Speaker 1>like people being lazy and like, you know how the

3:53:30.000 --> 3:53:32.280
<v Speaker 1>whole meme of like, oh, no one wants to work anymore.

3:53:32.680 --> 3:53:34.080
<v Speaker 1>I feel like a lot of people are trying to

3:53:34.160 --> 3:53:36.800
<v Speaker 1>like attributing like oh, not wanting to work and being

3:53:36.880 --> 3:53:40.480
<v Speaker 1>lazy to goblin mode, and it's it's self manifested through

3:53:40.520 --> 3:53:42.920
<v Speaker 1>the media or TikTok or whatever whatever it might be.

3:53:43.480 --> 3:53:46.520
<v Speaker 1>I actually don't know, but it's it's become a thing

3:53:46.640 --> 3:53:49.760
<v Speaker 1>now and in a really strange way. Yeah, yeah, And

3:53:49.880 --> 3:53:51.280
<v Speaker 1>I think I think this is like this is an

3:53:51.320 --> 3:53:53.160
<v Speaker 1>interesting way of looking like, you know, like this was

3:53:53.280 --> 3:53:57.080
<v Speaker 1>the whole sort of like like in in terms of

3:53:57.200 --> 3:54:02.200
<v Speaker 1>like okay, in so far as posting can actually affect reality,

3:54:02.360 --> 3:54:04.760
<v Speaker 1>which it can, but not as much as people seem

3:54:04.800 --> 3:54:07.360
<v Speaker 1>to think, like there are there are there are people

3:54:07.400 --> 3:54:10.560
<v Speaker 1>who like seem to think that like the three letter

3:54:10.600 --> 3:54:12.880
<v Speaker 1>agencies care what they post on Twitter, which is like

3:54:13.720 --> 3:54:15.280
<v Speaker 1>it's like no, no, no, hold on, hold on if

3:54:15.320 --> 3:54:18.280
<v Speaker 1>if we post correctly interventions, it won't happen. It's like

3:54:19.400 --> 3:54:22.360
<v Speaker 1>if you've seen the c I A like like like

3:54:22.480 --> 3:54:25.960
<v Speaker 1>there's there's this whole thing where it's like you know,

3:54:25.960 --> 3:54:28.800
<v Speaker 1>I mean this, it's okay, this this is gonna be

3:54:28.920 --> 3:54:30.760
<v Speaker 1>the like someone's gonna pull this out of context and

3:54:30.880 --> 3:54:32.560
<v Speaker 1>be like, hey, look at Don Chris is but like

3:54:32.600 --> 3:54:33.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, like this is this is kind of what

3:54:33.800 --> 3:54:35.640
<v Speaker 1>happened with Trump, which like this is this isn't like

3:54:35.720 --> 3:54:37.360
<v Speaker 1>what the meme magic was like if if you just

3:54:37.520 --> 3:54:40.080
<v Speaker 1>meme something long enough, you can kind of turn it

3:54:40.120 --> 3:54:43.160
<v Speaker 1>into reality by just sort of convincing enough people that

3:54:43.320 --> 3:54:45.880
<v Speaker 1>it's real, that it and and you know and once

3:54:45.880 --> 3:54:48.080
<v Speaker 1>you've done that, like you you have effectively made the

3:54:48.160 --> 3:54:52.640
<v Speaker 1>thing real. Right. It was interesting about this one is

3:54:52.840 --> 3:54:54.120
<v Speaker 1>it's just like it's like a lot of people like

3:54:54.160 --> 3:54:55.840
<v Speaker 1>do that on purpose, right, Like this is how this

3:54:55.920 --> 3:54:57.560
<v Speaker 1>is like there's a lot of propaganda stuff that works

3:54:57.600 --> 3:54:58.840
<v Speaker 1>like this or like, you know, this is like what

3:54:58.960 --> 3:55:02.440
<v Speaker 1>the meme before jan Trump bullshit was, Like you just

3:55:02.560 --> 3:55:06.680
<v Speaker 1>this like completely like as a joke on accidents. Yeah,

3:55:06.720 --> 3:55:08.360
<v Speaker 1>I didn't. I didn't intend this. I just mean I

3:55:08.720 --> 3:55:10.800
<v Speaker 1>just wanted to make a one off joke. Yeah, I

3:55:10.840 --> 3:55:12.880
<v Speaker 1>didn't think that would happen. But if you're you're you're

3:55:12.920 --> 3:55:15.200
<v Speaker 1>totally right about the whole, Like I don't. I don't

3:55:15.200 --> 3:55:17.360
<v Speaker 1>know how much like the Trump magic was really a

3:55:17.480 --> 3:55:21.160
<v Speaker 1>self manifestation of him kind of just winning the election

3:55:21.240 --> 3:55:24.120
<v Speaker 1>and keep becoming popular with a certain people. But it

3:55:24.200 --> 3:55:28.040
<v Speaker 1>definitely feels like like that self manifestation of like posting

3:55:28.360 --> 3:55:31.640
<v Speaker 1>to a certain extent really can become real if it

3:55:31.760 --> 3:55:33.880
<v Speaker 1>just like hits a certain ziteguist of some sort and

3:55:34.080 --> 3:55:36.200
<v Speaker 1>like they just didn't. I think a crucial part of

3:55:36.280 --> 3:55:37.680
<v Speaker 1>it is it needs to get picked up by the

3:55:37.760 --> 3:55:42.240
<v Speaker 1>media and taken seriously by journalists specifically, because the thing

3:55:42.320 --> 3:55:44.880
<v Speaker 1>that really, uh, I feel like broke the camel's back

3:55:45.040 --> 3:55:48.960
<v Speaker 1>for Goblin about specifically was the first journalist that reached

3:55:48.960 --> 3:55:51.640
<v Speaker 1>out to me because she she wanted to interview me

3:55:51.800 --> 3:55:54.680
<v Speaker 1>about the whole. The whole experience, like and and her

3:55:54.720 --> 3:55:56.840
<v Speaker 1>coverage of it was about the whole fake mame thing

3:55:56.880 --> 3:55:59.360
<v Speaker 1>and then how it became sort of a thing in

3:55:59.760 --> 3:56:05.440
<v Speaker 1>that aspect um, and then um from there, they all

3:56:05.960 --> 3:56:08.680
<v Speaker 1>a lot of different journalists and websites referred back to

3:56:08.800 --> 3:56:11.120
<v Speaker 1>that article, and now it seems to be the one

3:56:11.240 --> 3:56:14.720
<v Speaker 1>that everyone's referring to now is the Guardian article about

3:56:14.760 --> 3:56:17.000
<v Speaker 1>it that seems to be like the media's favorite piece

3:56:17.040 --> 3:56:19.280
<v Speaker 1>about it, which is the one that talks more about

3:56:19.320 --> 3:56:22.680
<v Speaker 1>it being like a lifestyle trend. And I think that's

3:56:22.720 --> 3:56:25.600
<v Speaker 1>where it really went off, is when like some people

3:56:27.120 --> 3:56:29.920
<v Speaker 1>took in the TikTok aspect of it and kind of

3:56:29.960 --> 3:56:32.480
<v Speaker 1>manifested it that way. I think it's a couple of

3:56:32.520 --> 3:56:35.320
<v Speaker 1>interesting political consequences of this, one of which is that like,

3:56:36.760 --> 3:56:39.880
<v Speaker 1>like Twitter as a platform isn't really I mean, since

3:56:39.920 --> 3:56:42.360
<v Speaker 1>Trump got banned, it's kind of like it hasn't really

3:56:42.520 --> 3:56:47.800
<v Speaker 1>been where most like stuff is happening, like TikTok is exploding.

3:56:48.080 --> 3:56:49.920
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you still have like the boomers on Facebook,

3:56:50.080 --> 3:56:52.440
<v Speaker 1>Like it hasn't like it hasn't been the sort of

3:56:52.480 --> 3:56:55.240
<v Speaker 1>like driving force of politics that normally is. But the

3:56:55.360 --> 3:56:56.840
<v Speaker 1>one thing that it has is that all of the

3:56:56.920 --> 3:57:00.400
<v Speaker 1>journalists are still on there, and that means that yeah,

3:57:00.400 --> 3:57:02.280
<v Speaker 1>like there's all these weird political consequences. Were like, yeah,

3:57:02.280 --> 3:57:04.840
<v Speaker 1>you can sort of like like you can just sort

3:57:04.880 --> 3:57:09.080
<v Speaker 1>of will things into existence by convincing journalists that it's real.

3:57:10.120 --> 3:57:13.960
<v Speaker 1>And that's I think really scary in a lot of ways,

3:57:14.720 --> 3:57:16.720
<v Speaker 1>because you know, like the people who are really really

3:57:16.720 --> 3:57:18.560
<v Speaker 1>good at the sort of manipulation are right wingers, and

3:57:18.640 --> 3:57:21.440
<v Speaker 1>right wingers could have sort of like like I don't know,

3:57:21.520 --> 3:57:23.560
<v Speaker 1>like I people are probably mad about me for this,

3:57:23.640 --> 3:57:25.160
<v Speaker 1>but like one of the things that I remember from

3:57:25.240 --> 3:57:29.840
<v Speaker 1>like God was just two dozen sixteen. It was like

3:57:29.920 --> 3:57:34.600
<v Speaker 1>there was this whole discourse about like, uh, like there's

3:57:34.600 --> 3:57:36.560
<v Speaker 1>a bunch of like all a bunch of people are

3:57:36.600 --> 3:57:38.720
<v Speaker 1>really mad about like there being a black stonone trooper

3:57:38.800 --> 3:57:45.480
<v Speaker 1>and Star Wars, yeah, the whole Yeah, it's interesting about it.

3:57:45.560 --> 3:57:48.840
<v Speaker 1>Was like yeah, I think I think that was just yeah, yeah,

3:57:49.080 --> 3:57:50.680
<v Speaker 1>there there. There's the thing that was interesting about it

3:57:50.760 --> 3:57:53.240
<v Speaker 1>was like so I know people who like who like

3:57:53.760 --> 3:57:55.800
<v Speaker 1>looked into it beforehand, and it was like the only

3:57:55.840 --> 3:57:58.240
<v Speaker 1>people who were talking about this it was like people

3:57:58.280 --> 3:58:00.520
<v Speaker 1>who were confused because they thought that Star Troopers were

3:58:00.520 --> 3:58:03.920
<v Speaker 1>all clones and we're like wait, why wait? And then

3:58:04.040 --> 3:58:05.680
<v Speaker 1>and the other thing there are other group of people

3:58:05.680 --> 3:58:09.360
<v Speaker 1>who were mad about this was storm Front, and store

3:58:09.440 --> 3:58:12.680
<v Speaker 1>Front was able to like turn this into like like

3:58:13.040 --> 3:58:15.080
<v Speaker 1>a discourse, like they able to they were able to

3:58:15.080 --> 3:58:16.840
<v Speaker 1>convince journalists like this was a real thing that like

3:58:16.880 --> 3:58:18.560
<v Speaker 1>a significant number people are mad about, and then it

3:58:18.640 --> 3:58:20.480
<v Speaker 1>like actually turned into a thing that a stnificant number

3:58:20.480 --> 3:58:22.080
<v Speaker 1>of people are were mad about. Because you can sort

3:58:22.080 --> 3:58:24.760
<v Speaker 1>of just like like you you can start these like

3:58:25.200 --> 3:58:26.840
<v Speaker 1>panics and like this is one of the things we're

3:58:26.840 --> 3:58:29.560
<v Speaker 1>talking about in our trans episodes where like, you know,

3:58:30.920 --> 3:58:34.640
<v Speaker 1>a fairly small network of well funded people can cause

3:58:35.480 --> 3:58:39.880
<v Speaker 1>like enormous swass of the US to just lose their

3:58:40.000 --> 3:58:44.320
<v Speaker 1>ship and get extremely violence and get like you know,

3:58:44.400 --> 3:58:47.280
<v Speaker 1>and and the specific thing they're mad about changes like

3:58:48.080 --> 3:58:52.480
<v Speaker 1>pretty frequently. But you can just sort of like if

3:58:52.480 --> 3:58:54.360
<v Speaker 1>if you're able to manipulate the media well enough and

3:58:54.440 --> 3:58:55.960
<v Speaker 1>you you know that there's other ways to do this,

3:58:56.120 --> 3:58:57.960
<v Speaker 1>Like you know, you could do it by like weird memes.

3:58:58.040 --> 3:59:00.800
<v Speaker 1>You can do it by you know, being the cops

3:59:00.880 --> 3:59:03.120
<v Speaker 1>are just like having press releases that you send out,

3:59:03.280 --> 3:59:04.440
<v Speaker 1>you can have you can do it through like these

3:59:04.480 --> 3:59:07.560
<v Speaker 1>sort of like astro turf, Like I don't know you

3:59:07.640 --> 3:59:09.920
<v Speaker 1>have like an astro turf intellectual, like what's his name,

3:59:10.000 --> 3:59:13.760
<v Speaker 1>Margaret Upo, But it's it's it's interesting to me that

3:59:13.880 --> 3:59:17.760
<v Speaker 1>like they all seem to work, like the pathway through

3:59:17.800 --> 3:59:19.720
<v Speaker 1>it all seems to be very similar. Which is what

3:59:19.880 --> 3:59:21.520
<v Speaker 1>you do is you convince aboutch of media people or

3:59:21.520 --> 3:59:24.880
<v Speaker 1>something is real, and then once once they start taking

3:59:24.920 --> 3:59:29.760
<v Speaker 1>it seriously, it sort of manifests itself into reality. Yeah,

3:59:29.800 --> 3:59:32.840
<v Speaker 1>I know that, that is what I realized what was happening,

3:59:33.080 --> 3:59:35.240
<v Speaker 1>Like I one of my initial points that I was

3:59:35.280 --> 3:59:38.680
<v Speaker 1>trying to make after um, the whole goblin thing, after

3:59:38.760 --> 3:59:41.200
<v Speaker 1>the first article came out, I was like, it really

3:59:41.280 --> 3:59:44.880
<v Speaker 1>made me realized, like how potent fake I hate saying

3:59:44.920 --> 3:59:48.360
<v Speaker 1>this phrase just because it's become such like a nothing

3:59:48.440 --> 3:59:50.840
<v Speaker 1>sort of phrase, but like fake news is how how

3:59:50.960 --> 3:59:54.400
<v Speaker 1>easy it is to just like instead of goblin mode.

3:59:54.480 --> 3:59:56.680
<v Speaker 1>I decided like maybe let's say I'm like a crazy

3:59:56.800 --> 4:00:00.520
<v Speaker 1>right winger and I had this weird digeist moment causing

4:00:00.560 --> 4:00:02.800
<v Speaker 1>a panic about like trans people, and I made like

4:00:02.880 --> 4:00:06.000
<v Speaker 1>a fake tweet like that you would we see that

4:00:06.120 --> 4:00:08.920
<v Speaker 1>happened all the time, like trans people people, A lot

4:00:08.960 --> 4:00:11.560
<v Speaker 1>of people hate us, um, and it would be super

4:00:11.640 --> 4:00:15.120
<v Speaker 1>easy put it in the right community. UM, make this

4:00:15.240 --> 4:00:18.760
<v Speaker 1>fake tweet or a fake headline, and people right wing

4:00:18.840 --> 4:00:22.040
<v Speaker 1>or specifically will go wild and it'll really influence the discourse.

4:00:22.080 --> 4:00:24.000
<v Speaker 1>I mean, look at the current I mean it's it's

4:00:24.040 --> 4:00:26.720
<v Speaker 1>kind of over now. But the last it it was

4:00:26.800 --> 4:00:30.720
<v Speaker 1>last week, the swimmer, the trans swimmer, that one, the

4:00:30.760 --> 4:00:34.800
<v Speaker 1>women's competition. I mean, the amount of vitriol that was

4:00:35.120 --> 4:00:37.800
<v Speaker 1>able to be created over that. Just imagine what, like,

4:00:37.880 --> 4:00:40.640
<v Speaker 1>as you said, like a well funded height network of

4:00:41.840 --> 4:00:44.200
<v Speaker 1>um but I don't know, but for lack of a

4:00:44.240 --> 4:00:47.600
<v Speaker 1>better phrase, like fake news creators, just all they would

4:00:47.640 --> 4:00:49.480
<v Speaker 1>need to do is put something out on Facebook, the

4:00:49.520 --> 4:00:53.520
<v Speaker 1>boomers see it, and then it's over. Yea, what what? What?

4:00:53.680 --> 4:00:55.600
<v Speaker 1>What are the things I learned about? Like, well, I

4:00:55.720 --> 4:00:59.520
<v Speaker 1>was doing research for Weirdly an episode about Reverend Moon.

4:00:59.720 --> 4:01:02.240
<v Speaker 1>Was that like people figured so this is sort of

4:01:02.280 --> 4:01:03.960
<v Speaker 1>like this is like how Republicans came to power, Like

4:01:04.000 --> 4:01:05.280
<v Speaker 1>that they figured out you could do shoot like this,

4:01:05.400 --> 4:01:09.080
<v Speaker 1>and like Rubber Fiugieri like in like in like the

4:01:09.360 --> 4:01:12.240
<v Speaker 1>sixties figured out that like if you just if you

4:01:12.440 --> 4:01:17.080
<v Speaker 1>sent like you could just send letters to like they work.

4:01:17.080 --> 4:01:18.480
<v Speaker 1>I guess they weren't even boomers that if you just

4:01:18.520 --> 4:01:21.200
<v Speaker 1>send letters to old people that would say stuff like

4:01:21.760 --> 4:01:24.720
<v Speaker 1>planned parenthood is harvesting baby fetuses, you could just get

4:01:24.760 --> 4:01:27.800
<v Speaker 1>the really mad and it's like and it's funny because

4:01:27.800 --> 4:01:29.440
<v Speaker 1>you know in the citties like he's he's doing this

4:01:29.520 --> 4:01:32.840
<v Speaker 1>like by mail, right, like he is mailing you a

4:01:33.000 --> 4:01:40.760
<v Speaker 1>chain letter. It's just stuff. Yeah, it became just like yeah, yeah,

4:01:40.880 --> 4:01:42.800
<v Speaker 1>it's like he's just like it's it's weird because you

4:01:42.800 --> 4:01:45.120
<v Speaker 1>can watch them invent this and then it's like, oh, yeah,

4:01:45.160 --> 4:01:49.680
<v Speaker 1>this guy was funded by like a weird cult guy

4:01:49.760 --> 4:01:51.760
<v Speaker 1>who was trying to take over the world, who was

4:01:52.120 --> 4:01:55.320
<v Speaker 1>being backed by the Korean CIA, and it's like, I

4:01:55.360 --> 4:01:58.640
<v Speaker 1>don't know, it gets into this, Yeah, it all sort

4:01:58.680 --> 4:02:01.960
<v Speaker 1>of comes back into this weird thing where yeah, I

4:02:02.000 --> 4:02:03.960
<v Speaker 1>mean I like one of one of the what the

4:02:04.120 --> 4:02:06.240
<v Speaker 1>political transformations I've had since I started working here was

4:02:06.320 --> 4:02:08.440
<v Speaker 1>like I didn't take like it's sort of a similar

4:02:08.440 --> 4:02:09.520
<v Speaker 1>to what you were saying, Like I didn't take the

4:02:09.600 --> 4:02:12.400
<v Speaker 1>like weaponized unreality like fake new stuff like that seriously.

4:02:12.480 --> 4:02:16.200
<v Speaker 1>And then it was like you cover it every day

4:02:16.280 --> 4:02:19.680
<v Speaker 1>and it's like, oh my god like the like the weird,

4:02:19.800 --> 4:02:22.800
<v Speaker 1>like like watching like four Chan like invents the I

4:02:22.800 --> 4:02:28.840
<v Speaker 1>actoually don't know if it's portunately was one of watching

4:02:28.920 --> 4:02:31.600
<v Speaker 1>like just weird right wing like message boards invent like

4:02:31.760 --> 4:02:35.920
<v Speaker 1>the Ukrainian biolab thing, which like grand Mean Wall now

4:02:35.960 --> 4:02:38.960
<v Speaker 1>tweets about and like like like the like the official

4:02:39.000 --> 4:02:41.720
<v Speaker 1>state media of Russia and China are like talking about

4:02:41.760 --> 4:02:45.800
<v Speaker 1>these bio labs and it's like it's turned into this

4:02:45.960 --> 4:02:49.080
<v Speaker 1>weird like like thing where like yeah, like like actual

4:02:49.200 --> 4:02:55.880
<v Speaker 1>countries with like nuclear weapons are like basically using ship

4:02:56.000 --> 4:02:59.000
<v Speaker 1>posters as like as like a way to do propaganda,

4:02:59.000 --> 4:03:03.400
<v Speaker 1>and it's it's just like really the weird. I don't know,

4:03:03.800 --> 4:03:07.200
<v Speaker 1>it's this really weird and incredibly disturbing media space to

4:03:07.240 --> 4:03:10.520
<v Speaker 1>live in. Yeah, it's it's like a it's a weird

4:03:10.600 --> 4:03:14.760
<v Speaker 1>synthesis of ship posters just posting online to like whatever audience,

4:03:15.080 --> 4:03:17.520
<v Speaker 1>and I guess like media of some sort and not

4:03:17.960 --> 4:03:20.320
<v Speaker 1>maybe not like um in the in the case with

4:03:20.400 --> 4:03:23.520
<v Speaker 1>the biolot I don't know too much about that, especially

4:03:23.560 --> 4:03:25.680
<v Speaker 1>cause I'm black by gun Greenwald, so I don't see

4:03:25.680 --> 4:03:30.560
<v Speaker 1>a lot of stuff. But you know, it's it's interesting

4:03:30.640 --> 4:03:33.760
<v Speaker 1>how how kind of interlocked there. And and to your

4:03:33.800 --> 4:03:36.720
<v Speaker 1>point about the earlier about the whole Trump me magic thing,

4:03:37.240 --> 4:03:39.440
<v Speaker 1>like I didn't take that too seriously at the time,

4:03:40.080 --> 4:03:43.200
<v Speaker 1>Like in I was like, Oh, all these silly right

4:03:43.240 --> 4:03:47.040
<v Speaker 1>wingers making these means like this isn't gonna do anything,

4:03:47.240 --> 4:03:48.680
<v Speaker 1>Like I I don't. I really don't know if it

4:03:48.720 --> 4:03:52.120
<v Speaker 1>really had an effect, but I mean it's we can't

4:03:52.160 --> 4:03:55.200
<v Speaker 1>really ignore the power of that. Just simply manifesting something,

4:03:55.320 --> 4:03:58.600
<v Speaker 1>even if it's artificial, can actually have a hole about

4:03:58.640 --> 4:04:02.560
<v Speaker 1>certain people. Um as we were saying with the mailing letters.

4:04:03.200 --> 4:04:06.640
<v Speaker 1>I mean, if you just say enough, if you say

4:04:06.760 --> 4:04:09.400
<v Speaker 1>something enough to the right type of person, they'll just

4:04:09.520 --> 4:04:12.040
<v Speaker 1>believe it. I mean, it's it's not hard to lie

4:04:12.080 --> 4:04:14.320
<v Speaker 1>to people as horrible as those to say. It's really

4:04:14.360 --> 4:04:16.920
<v Speaker 1>not that hard to lie to people. Yeah, Like I

4:04:17.000 --> 4:04:19.560
<v Speaker 1>mean that's the whole sort of like everyone yelling groomer

4:04:19.800 --> 4:04:22.280
<v Speaker 1>like constantly about trans people. It's like, yeah, they just

4:04:22.800 --> 4:04:24.720
<v Speaker 1>lied over and over again. And like half the people

4:04:24.760 --> 4:04:27.360
<v Speaker 1>who were like saying this stuff are actually pedophiles. And

4:04:27.400 --> 4:04:30.760
<v Speaker 1>it doesn't matter because you know, if you just like

4:04:30.960 --> 4:04:33.080
<v Speaker 1>do this ship over and over again, you get these

4:04:33.200 --> 4:04:37.200
<v Speaker 1>you get just get these like hate bobs and it's yeah, no,

4:04:37.360 --> 4:04:40.600
<v Speaker 1>the right wing, right wing or specifically are phenomenal at

4:04:40.720 --> 4:04:45.320
<v Speaker 1>creating hate mobs. Yeah, it's kind of incredible to witness.

4:04:45.360 --> 4:04:47.960
<v Speaker 1>It's it's really scary, but it's it's an incredible thing

4:04:48.040 --> 4:04:50.040
<v Speaker 1>to see. There's not really an equivalent, i would say,

4:04:50.040 --> 4:04:53.880
<v Speaker 1>on the left in the way that um even maybe

4:04:54.040 --> 4:04:56.680
<v Speaker 1>in liberals there's an equivalent, but like on the on

4:04:56.760 --> 4:04:58.520
<v Speaker 1>the left, there's not really like an equivalent to like

4:04:59.200 --> 4:05:05.240
<v Speaker 1>some like mob in that way. Yeah, yeah, I mean

4:05:05.320 --> 4:05:08.080
<v Speaker 1>I think that's you know, like, Okay, there's always an

4:05:08.120 --> 4:05:10.480
<v Speaker 1>extent to which like these stuff the stuff has like

4:05:10.680 --> 4:05:14.040
<v Speaker 1>material constraints, Like you know, I thought to talk about

4:05:14.080 --> 4:05:16.880
<v Speaker 1>like constantly on this show, the fact that like this

4:05:17.120 --> 4:05:18.840
<v Speaker 1>is like this is the stuff that the DEO cons

4:05:18.880 --> 4:05:20.960
<v Speaker 1>believed and then they ran into the material constraints of

4:05:20.960 --> 4:05:23.680
<v Speaker 1>the Iraq War and their entire project imploded. And like,

4:05:24.200 --> 4:05:25.680
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I think one of the reasons why this

4:05:25.800 --> 4:05:29.840
<v Speaker 1>is easier for the right is that like there's the

4:05:30.080 --> 4:05:32.120
<v Speaker 1>there there's a there's a there's there's a there's always

4:05:32.320 --> 4:05:35.600
<v Speaker 1>a political base for them that is there that they

4:05:35.640 --> 4:05:38.000
<v Speaker 1>can access fairly easily, which is okay, they they they

4:05:38.240 --> 4:05:42.000
<v Speaker 1>have access to like you know that they have access

4:05:42.000 --> 4:05:45.920
<v Speaker 1>to like a vast swath the petit boars. Well, they

4:05:45.920 --> 4:05:47.760
<v Speaker 1>have access to a bunch of of white business owners.

4:05:47.840 --> 4:05:51.960
<v Speaker 1>They have access to like this sort of like this

4:05:52.120 --> 4:05:54.160
<v Speaker 1>like white professional class. They have access to this sort

4:05:54.160 --> 4:05:56.960
<v Speaker 1>of like white gentry e class, and like those people

4:05:57.960 --> 4:06:02.320
<v Speaker 1>can very easily be of like whipped into a frothing rage.

4:06:02.360 --> 4:06:04.440
<v Speaker 1>And like part of it is because like that that's

4:06:04.560 --> 4:06:06.640
<v Speaker 1>essentially that's just what they're That's what their class interest is,

4:06:06.880 --> 4:06:09.280
<v Speaker 1>that's what they're sort of like like their status, the

4:06:09.800 --> 4:06:13.640
<v Speaker 1>racial hierarchy like brings them to do already. And you

4:06:13.680 --> 4:06:16.480
<v Speaker 1>could sort of like you know, if you just shovel

4:06:16.560 --> 4:06:18.120
<v Speaker 1>a bit of coal on it, you can you can

4:06:18.160 --> 4:06:21.400
<v Speaker 1>you can make the fire go absolutely. And I mean

4:06:22.160 --> 4:06:24.080
<v Speaker 1>it's talked about a lot, I'm sure, but like the

4:06:24.640 --> 4:06:28.760
<v Speaker 1>one thing that is really powerful is Fox News. Fox

4:06:28.840 --> 4:06:31.040
<v Speaker 1>News will pick up literally anything like I saw I

4:06:31.120 --> 4:06:34.120
<v Speaker 1>saw a post on Twitter just the other day, screenshot

4:06:34.440 --> 4:06:37.960
<v Speaker 1>or just just a picture of Fox News and they

4:06:38.080 --> 4:06:42.320
<v Speaker 1>they cited the lives of TikTok Twitter account talking about

4:06:42.520 --> 4:06:45.440
<v Speaker 1>school classrooms. It's like, what is that like not like

4:06:45.560 --> 4:06:47.600
<v Speaker 1>the right wingers will just take the source of a

4:06:47.720 --> 4:06:51.560
<v Speaker 1>random Twitter user that has a take that takes messages

4:06:51.680 --> 4:06:54.520
<v Speaker 1>from random people that message them and then that's their news.

4:06:54.920 --> 4:06:57.080
<v Speaker 1>Like that is just insane to to to to to

4:06:57.480 --> 4:06:59.040
<v Speaker 1>be fair to Fox News, which is not a thing

4:06:59.120 --> 4:07:01.960
<v Speaker 1>I will ever say a and uh, it wouldn't It

4:07:01.960 --> 4:07:04.680
<v Speaker 1>wouldn't surprise me if that whole thing like because so

4:07:04.840 --> 4:07:06.560
<v Speaker 1>the I don't know if you saw this the lives

4:07:06.560 --> 4:07:08.840
<v Speaker 1>of TikTok person is like, is that that thing is

4:07:08.920 --> 4:07:12.120
<v Speaker 1>run by an old Bush administration person? I did not

4:07:12.240 --> 4:07:14.840
<v Speaker 1>know that. Yeah, so it wouldn't. I mean, Okay, like

4:07:15.080 --> 4:07:17.200
<v Speaker 1>the there there there's probably a three and four chance

4:07:17.240 --> 4:07:19.400
<v Speaker 1>that they just saw someone who's like trying to own

4:07:19.440 --> 4:07:20.920
<v Speaker 1>the libs on TikTok. But there's like a one in

4:07:21.000 --> 4:07:23.880
<v Speaker 1>four chance that like all the old like Bush network

4:07:23.960 --> 4:07:26.800
<v Speaker 1>people like know each other and that's why they're promoting it.

4:07:27.960 --> 4:07:29.920
<v Speaker 1>That's that's a good point. That's a good point. I

4:07:30.000 --> 4:07:35.160
<v Speaker 1>mean that, well maybe I don't know, like it's it's

4:07:35.240 --> 4:07:37.120
<v Speaker 1>it's one of those things where it's like it becomes

4:07:38.200 --> 4:07:42.400
<v Speaker 1>I don't know, it becomes really difficult to to know

4:07:42.640 --> 4:07:47.360
<v Speaker 1>the extent to which the beliefs. Yeah, well how organized

4:07:47.360 --> 4:07:48.880
<v Speaker 1>they are into the extent to which they believe what

4:07:48.920 --> 4:07:51.880
<v Speaker 1>they're saying, because part of that, like that becomes like

4:07:51.920 --> 4:07:53.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, if if, if you know who's behind that,

4:07:54.000 --> 4:07:55.920
<v Speaker 1>it becomes easier to sort of be like, oh yeah,

4:07:55.920 --> 4:07:57.280
<v Speaker 1>we're just sort of playing a game. But it could

4:07:57.280 --> 4:07:59.760
<v Speaker 1>also just be like, no, this is this is content

4:07:59.800 --> 4:08:02.240
<v Speaker 1>that we like, uh, we were all too lazy to

4:08:02.280 --> 4:08:04.880
<v Speaker 1>go or just message the person to see who they are,

4:08:05.360 --> 4:08:09.480
<v Speaker 1>Like I mean, they had the specifically in this case,

4:08:09.560 --> 4:08:12.680
<v Speaker 1>the lives of TikTok Lady. They had her like on

4:08:13.440 --> 4:08:17.400
<v Speaker 1>TALX news once talking oh yeah yeah, referenced her multiple times,

4:08:17.440 --> 4:08:22.360
<v Speaker 1>so they have to know her. Yeah yeah, yeah, that's that.

4:08:22.480 --> 4:08:24.200
<v Speaker 1>That's another technique that they do a lot, which that

4:08:24.640 --> 4:08:26.480
<v Speaker 1>they take someone who is like you know, like a

4:08:26.600 --> 4:08:29.800
<v Speaker 1>like an old part like who's literally a Republican operative, right,

4:08:30.680 --> 4:08:33.040
<v Speaker 1>and just laundered them as an actress. Actually, the funny

4:08:33.080 --> 4:08:35.880
<v Speaker 1>part is you see like like the New York Times

4:08:35.960 --> 4:08:37.680
<v Speaker 1>and Ship like all the main street outlets do the

4:08:37.760 --> 4:08:41.040
<v Speaker 1>same thing too, where it's like yeah, well, well, like

4:08:41.840 --> 4:08:44.160
<v Speaker 1>any time you see an article that is like I

4:08:44.320 --> 4:08:46.080
<v Speaker 1>was a Democratic voter, but I'm going to vote for

4:08:46.080 --> 4:08:49.280
<v Speaker 1>the Republicans nine times out of ten that person is

4:08:49.280 --> 4:08:51.280
<v Speaker 1>a Republican operative and if you google their name and

4:08:51.440 --> 4:08:54.320
<v Speaker 1>look hard enough, you can just find it. And it's like,

4:08:57.200 --> 4:09:00.720
<v Speaker 1>and that's the only thing that other thing was like

4:09:00.720 --> 4:09:03.440
<v Speaker 1>I don't know whether they whether they're just lazy and

4:09:03.520 --> 4:09:06.760
<v Speaker 1>don't check, or whether they're just sort of like doing

4:09:06.920 --> 4:09:11.320
<v Speaker 1>this kind of like I don't know that what what

4:09:11.480 --> 4:09:15.280
<v Speaker 1>what whe whether they're doing this on purpose? Because I

4:09:15.320 --> 4:09:17.040
<v Speaker 1>mean that you know, That's that's the thing with journalism,

4:09:17.120 --> 4:09:20.440
<v Speaker 1>Like it's it's difficult to like, when someone screws something up,

4:09:20.440 --> 4:09:22.440
<v Speaker 1>it's it's difficult to determine a lot of times whether

4:09:22.480 --> 4:09:25.960
<v Speaker 1>it's malice or whether it's they're just the only research

4:09:26.000 --> 4:09:31.640
<v Speaker 1>they did was they googled something. Yeah, I feel like

4:09:32.000 --> 4:09:34.400
<v Speaker 1>in the realblem that we're talking about right now, it's

4:09:34.440 --> 4:09:37.120
<v Speaker 1>like right wingers, I think a lot of it. Obviously

4:09:37.160 --> 4:09:40.960
<v Speaker 1>it's pretty malicious a lot of the times. But in

4:09:41.120 --> 4:09:43.880
<v Speaker 1>terms of like the whole goblin mode situation where that

4:09:44.000 --> 4:09:47.680
<v Speaker 1>that stemmed off just from like random like Guardian whatever articles,

4:09:47.680 --> 4:09:50.880
<v Speaker 1>I think I think that was just more of like, oh,

4:09:51.000 --> 4:09:53.560
<v Speaker 1>let's kind of trying to explain this thing that is

4:09:53.600 --> 4:09:57.520
<v Speaker 1>apparently now a trend and we're manifesting it in real time. Yeah,

4:09:57.640 --> 4:10:00.720
<v Speaker 1>I do think there's like this distinct in between. Next,

4:10:01.040 --> 4:10:04.240
<v Speaker 1>I feel there's no like like with God, there's there's

4:10:04.240 --> 4:10:08.080
<v Speaker 1>no nefarious aspect of it, but that like technique can

4:10:08.200 --> 4:10:10.960
<v Speaker 1>be used in a very nefarious way, and I think

4:10:11.000 --> 4:10:15.120
<v Speaker 1>that manifests in the most easy to waste, the easiest

4:10:15.360 --> 4:10:18.840
<v Speaker 1>to see ways in right wing media. Yeah, I do

4:10:18.960 --> 4:10:21.880
<v Speaker 1>want to also mention that, like the Yeah, I I

4:10:22.400 --> 4:10:24.680
<v Speaker 1>think I said briefly, like the people who do this

4:10:24.840 --> 4:10:29.520
<v Speaker 1>the most often are cops, Like the cops. And if

4:10:29.640 --> 4:10:31.560
<v Speaker 1>if you see a story about the police in a

4:10:31.640 --> 4:10:34.560
<v Speaker 1>manship newspaper and you see the same story in another paper,

4:10:34.680 --> 4:10:37.840
<v Speaker 1>it's because they're basically printing a press release. And you know,

4:10:37.920 --> 4:10:40.160
<v Speaker 1>I mean this this gets used to like launder just

4:10:40.560 --> 4:10:45.240
<v Speaker 1>straight up police lies about shootings they manufactured, like the

4:10:45.480 --> 4:10:49.160
<v Speaker 1>entire crime wave thing, like the whole thing about people

4:10:49.240 --> 4:10:52.560
<v Speaker 1>taking boxes off of trains. It's like, yeah, you look

4:10:52.640 --> 4:10:54.080
<v Speaker 1>into it and it's like, yeah, there's these like the

4:10:54.440 --> 4:10:58.120
<v Speaker 1>there's the sort of like shadowy police networks of people

4:10:58.160 --> 4:11:00.840
<v Speaker 1>who are basically running I mean they have enormous budgets

4:11:00.840 --> 4:11:02.840
<v Speaker 1>to do this too, Like they have these enormous um

4:11:04.320 --> 4:11:08.680
<v Speaker 1>like departmental like public outreach budgets, and those public outreach

4:11:08.720 --> 4:11:13.240
<v Speaker 1>budgets are basically them running information ops on us, which

4:11:13.320 --> 4:11:18.000
<v Speaker 1>is incredibly fun. You know that that is absolutely like

4:11:18.080 --> 4:11:20.840
<v Speaker 1>a real phenomena. I I don't know too much about

4:11:20.880 --> 4:11:22.720
<v Speaker 1>it specifically in cops, but I know, I know the

4:11:22.720 --> 4:11:25.640
<v Speaker 1>White House does that all the time, where it's like, oh,

4:11:25.720 --> 4:11:28.120
<v Speaker 1>there's a White House leap and it's like, oh, no,

4:11:28.320 --> 4:11:32.280
<v Speaker 1>they wanted people to see this. This is entirely intentional. Yeah,

4:11:32.320 --> 4:11:34.240
<v Speaker 1>they try a balloon stuff a lot, and that's I

4:11:34.280 --> 4:11:40.160
<v Speaker 1>don't know, and like that this is this is goblin mode.

4:11:40.240 --> 4:11:42.680
<v Speaker 1>Is like the fun version of looking at how all

4:11:42.800 --> 4:11:46.400
<v Speaker 1>this stuff works. But this stuff happens with stuff that

4:11:46.600 --> 4:11:51.880
<v Speaker 1>is extremely deadly and has real world consequences. And yeah,

4:11:52.080 --> 4:11:54.080
<v Speaker 1>it's it's some It's something we need to be thinking

4:11:54.160 --> 4:11:58.320
<v Speaker 1>about and trying to I don't know if used for

4:11:58.440 --> 4:12:00.800
<v Speaker 1>good is the right thing, but like it's something that

4:12:00.920 --> 4:12:05.200
<v Speaker 1>we need to be really conscious of as we're dealing with,

4:12:06.240 --> 4:12:10.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, a bunch of fascists trying to murder everyone. Absolutely,

4:12:10.320 --> 4:12:12.720
<v Speaker 1>I mean that that's been the most interesting thing about

4:12:12.800 --> 4:12:16.360
<v Speaker 1>this to me is watching Like I hate calling it this,

4:12:16.520 --> 4:12:18.000
<v Speaker 1>but just for lack of a better word, kind of

4:12:18.080 --> 4:12:22.480
<v Speaker 1>like goblin mode is like being manufactured, like manufacturing consent

4:12:22.560 --> 4:12:25.000
<v Speaker 1>in real time, like from the genesis of my post,

4:12:25.320 --> 4:12:27.800
<v Speaker 1>watching it in real time, seeing all these articles come

4:12:27.840 --> 4:12:29.960
<v Speaker 1>out and kind of all tie into each other and

4:12:30.080 --> 4:12:31.840
<v Speaker 1>refer back to each other. It's been it's been kind

4:12:31.840 --> 4:12:36.520
<v Speaker 1>of eye opening about this topic that I think a

4:12:36.600 --> 4:12:38.360
<v Speaker 1>lot of leftists kind of know a lot about, like

4:12:38.440 --> 4:12:42.760
<v Speaker 1>in terms of like medium manipulation and you're it's you're

4:12:42.840 --> 4:12:45.760
<v Speaker 1>right when you said it's like the fun version of that. Yeah,

4:12:45.880 --> 4:12:47.920
<v Speaker 1>and it has been the fun version of it. But

4:12:48.080 --> 4:12:49.880
<v Speaker 1>deep down it's like, oh, this is kind of like

4:12:50.840 --> 4:12:53.880
<v Speaker 1>watching like how they did like they this might be dramatic,

4:12:53.960 --> 4:12:56.520
<v Speaker 1>but like how they did the Iraq War in real time,

4:12:56.840 --> 4:13:01.440
<v Speaker 1>Like this is on some level that's very similar media strategy.

4:13:02.040 --> 4:13:03.800
<v Speaker 1>And I think, I mean, I think I think there's

4:13:04.760 --> 4:13:07.320
<v Speaker 1>specifically gobler mode. I think there's because because like the

4:13:07.360 --> 4:13:10.640
<v Speaker 1>Iraq War, there's a lot of malice there and but

4:13:10.800 --> 4:13:12.400
<v Speaker 1>but in this one, it's like, yeah, like that, you know,

4:13:12.960 --> 4:13:16.880
<v Speaker 1>not all of the media, like all of them, like okay,

4:13:17.720 --> 4:13:20.720
<v Speaker 1>in order for something that's completely fake to get traction,

4:13:21.200 --> 4:13:24.800
<v Speaker 1>it doesn't require everyone involved being malicious. What it requires

4:13:24.960 --> 4:13:27.000
<v Speaker 1>is one person saying a thing and then a bunch

4:13:27.000 --> 4:13:29.200
<v Speaker 1>of journalists being too lazy to actually look into something,

4:13:29.280 --> 4:13:31.840
<v Speaker 1>and that just you know, basically reprinting the article, but

4:13:31.960 --> 4:13:36.040
<v Speaker 1>like rewriting a few things, which happens constantly, and yeah,

4:13:36.080 --> 4:13:39.120
<v Speaker 1>and and that, like you know, the thing I think

4:13:39.120 --> 4:13:41.480
<v Speaker 1>that's scary about that is it reduces the number of

4:13:41.560 --> 4:13:44.240
<v Speaker 1>actors who actually have to be involved in a thing

4:13:44.840 --> 4:13:47.840
<v Speaker 1>for it to just sort of like take off like this,

4:13:48.800 --> 4:13:52.760
<v Speaker 1>which yeah, because like I think like there's there's an

4:13:52.800 --> 4:13:57.040
<v Speaker 1>extent to which okay, like it rocks, Like something on

4:13:57.160 --> 4:14:01.840
<v Speaker 1>that scale is pretty rare because it requires, like in

4:14:01.920 --> 4:14:05.720
<v Speaker 1>an enormous amount of buying from a lot of people.

4:14:06.400 --> 4:14:09.760
<v Speaker 1>But there's lots of small examples of this stuff that

4:14:09.880 --> 4:14:13.720
<v Speaker 1>just happened sort of constantly and that stuff like yeah,

4:14:13.720 --> 4:14:15.520
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you know, as we've been talking about like that,

4:14:15.640 --> 4:14:17.920
<v Speaker 1>that that kind of thing with small numbers actors and

4:14:18.000 --> 4:14:22.120
<v Speaker 1>then people just sort of lazily reprinting articles like that stuff. Right.

4:14:22.200 --> 4:14:24.120
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I think the best example of this is currently,

4:14:24.160 --> 4:14:26.040
<v Speaker 1>at least just in my mind, because I am trans,

4:14:26.240 --> 4:14:29.480
<v Speaker 1>the the whole trans panic that's happening right now. I

4:14:29.600 --> 4:14:31.720
<v Speaker 1>think that's a really good example of it is just

4:14:31.800 --> 4:14:35.120
<v Speaker 1>where like some website will print this certain thing and

4:14:35.240 --> 4:14:41.600
<v Speaker 1>then it becomes a hysterical panic talking about it. Yeah,

4:14:41.600 --> 4:14:43.280
<v Speaker 1>Like I think that the best. The most recent example

4:14:43.360 --> 4:14:45.520
<v Speaker 1>that was that spa where it was like some person

4:14:45.840 --> 4:14:49.800
<v Speaker 1>claimed like made it made a bunch of claims where

4:14:49.800 --> 4:14:53.440
<v Speaker 1>they were like they might have seen a trans person maybe,

4:14:54.080 --> 4:14:57.720
<v Speaker 1>and it turned into just like literally mobs showing up

4:14:57.800 --> 4:15:00.880
<v Speaker 1>at this spa, like anti trans bobs, like a bunch

4:15:00.960 --> 4:15:04.400
<v Speaker 1>of fascists showing up, a bunch of like like yeah,

4:15:04.480 --> 4:15:10.200
<v Speaker 1>and that kind of stuff. Yeah, that's that affects reality. Yeah,

4:15:11.400 --> 4:15:13.840
<v Speaker 1>that really affects people. Yeah. And and like the the

4:15:13.960 --> 4:15:15.440
<v Speaker 1>the other one, the other one that that we've talked

4:15:15.480 --> 4:15:18.160
<v Speaker 1>about in the trans episodes is people to people are

4:15:18.200 --> 4:15:21.080
<v Speaker 1>starting to do this kind of stuff with ginger clinics,

4:15:21.160 --> 4:15:24.760
<v Speaker 1>and it's you know, yeah, it's like yeah, like that

4:15:24.880 --> 4:15:27.520
<v Speaker 1>that's only a matter of time before they start killing people,

4:15:28.160 --> 4:15:33.760
<v Speaker 1>Like yeah, yeah. The media can easily whip someone into

4:15:33.920 --> 4:15:36.200
<v Speaker 1>frenzy to do that. I mean we've seen that in

4:15:36.280 --> 4:15:38.640
<v Speaker 1>the past with I think, as you referenced before, like

4:15:38.720 --> 4:15:42.000
<v Speaker 1>the whole like abortion whole, like in the nineties and

4:15:42.080 --> 4:15:45.120
<v Speaker 1>early two thousands, the whole abortion panic. Yeah, I mean

4:15:45.200 --> 4:15:47.320
<v Speaker 1>we saw we saw people die over stuff like that.

4:15:47.800 --> 4:15:52.720
<v Speaker 1>It's yeah, bombings like and you know. And the other

4:15:52.800 --> 4:15:55.320
<v Speaker 1>thing is that like they're winning, like they are on

4:15:55.480 --> 4:15:59.440
<v Speaker 1>the verge of after this like half a century long battle,

4:15:59.520 --> 4:16:01.480
<v Speaker 1>like they are on the verge of over turning ro

4:16:01.600 --> 4:16:05.040
<v Speaker 1>he weighed. Yeah, yeah, like you know that. And that's

4:16:07.120 --> 4:16:10.280
<v Speaker 1>I think a really grim thing for the left where

4:16:10.320 --> 4:16:14.280
<v Speaker 1>it's like, like, what one of the asymmetries here is

4:16:14.440 --> 4:16:17.960
<v Speaker 1>that like if a leftist like assassinated the head of

4:16:18.040 --> 4:16:22.040
<v Speaker 1>Ice right like they were, like I would be in

4:16:22.160 --> 4:16:24.960
<v Speaker 1>prison in like a day and a half. There'd be

4:16:25.040 --> 4:16:29.040
<v Speaker 1>like fifteen people who be shot in police raids. Like yeah,

4:16:29.120 --> 4:16:30.400
<v Speaker 1>but you know, but like when when the right wing

4:16:30.480 --> 4:16:33.240
<v Speaker 1>just like it does terrorism, like just murders abortion right

4:16:33.280 --> 4:16:38.240
<v Speaker 1>as it works, And that's a really grim asymmetry. But

4:16:38.640 --> 4:16:43.280
<v Speaker 1>it's sort of the reality of the situation that Brian right,

4:16:43.880 --> 4:16:46.440
<v Speaker 1>And yeah, that reminds me of the This is a

4:16:46.520 --> 4:16:48.880
<v Speaker 1>while ago. This was during the Black Lives Matter protests.

4:16:48.880 --> 4:16:52.120
<v Speaker 1>I don't even remember why he was on the fed's radar,

4:16:52.440 --> 4:16:54.600
<v Speaker 1>but there was the dude I think in Portland, and

4:16:54.720 --> 4:16:56.960
<v Speaker 1>there was like a there was like a raid and

4:16:57.040 --> 4:17:00.240
<v Speaker 1>they just shot the dude in the remember that. Yeah, yeah,

4:17:00.240 --> 4:17:02.240
<v Speaker 1>I mean it happened again in Uh. Yeah, they just

4:17:02.320 --> 4:17:04.600
<v Speaker 1>murdered him. And then like it happened again with Winston

4:17:04.640 --> 4:17:09.280
<v Speaker 1>Smith in uh in Minneapolis where like the like the

4:17:09.360 --> 4:17:11.480
<v Speaker 1>cops were mad at him because he was like he

4:17:11.600 --> 4:17:13.760
<v Speaker 1>was one of the leaders of what's happening in Minneapolis

4:17:13.880 --> 4:17:18.160
<v Speaker 1>and they just walked up and shot him. Yeah and yeah,

4:17:18.640 --> 4:17:23.800
<v Speaker 1>and it's it's it is a really bleak look at

4:17:25.640 --> 4:17:28.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, how this country actually works, which is not

4:17:28.320 --> 4:17:30.640
<v Speaker 1>really what I expected this episode to be. Ending up.

4:17:31.520 --> 4:17:33.200
<v Speaker 1>I just like, we'll do a fun episode about Goblin

4:17:33.280 --> 4:17:34.720
<v Speaker 1>Bode and now it's like, yeah, he was the state

4:17:34.880 --> 4:17:38.040
<v Speaker 1>just assassinating people and they're gonna keep doing it. And

4:17:38.120 --> 4:17:40.440
<v Speaker 1>also they're gonna like to start bombing abortion not well,

4:17:40.480 --> 4:17:42.400
<v Speaker 1>I mean to keep bombing abortion clinics and start bombing

4:17:42.440 --> 4:17:45.600
<v Speaker 1>gender clinics, and it's like that doesn't actually happen, but

4:17:45.800 --> 4:17:49.040
<v Speaker 1>but yeah, I think it was our point was that

4:17:49.120 --> 4:17:51.560
<v Speaker 1>it was like we've seen that happen in the past. Yeah,

4:17:52.960 --> 4:17:58.120
<v Speaker 1>of the reactionary media feeling the hysteria through it doesn't

4:17:58.120 --> 4:18:00.800
<v Speaker 1>even matter if it's real or fake stories that's that's

4:18:00.840 --> 4:18:02.520
<v Speaker 1>the main issue is it can be totally fake and

4:18:02.760 --> 4:18:08.440
<v Speaker 1>it'll it'll just fuel hysterics against anyone, any any target. Yeah,

4:18:08.520 --> 4:18:12.480
<v Speaker 1>that's just like yeah, like what the we should probably

4:18:12.560 --> 4:18:14.800
<v Speaker 1>close out. But like the one that's been fun for me,

4:18:14.960 --> 4:18:17.720
<v Speaker 1>and by fun, I mean dear God, has been the

4:18:18.560 --> 4:18:22.200
<v Speaker 1>fucking the Wuhuan biolab ship, which was like literally like

4:18:22.440 --> 4:18:24.800
<v Speaker 1>like literally this this was this like literally this whole

4:18:24.880 --> 4:18:27.320
<v Speaker 1>thing was a psi oup by Steve Bannett who was like,

4:18:27.400 --> 4:18:28.920
<v Speaker 1>this is how we can have Trump win the election

4:18:29.120 --> 4:18:33.360
<v Speaker 1>by by by uniting everyone in like anti Asian hate,

4:18:33.960 --> 4:18:36.360
<v Speaker 1>and like it worked. Like well, I mean, okay, he

4:18:36.480 --> 4:18:39.200
<v Speaker 1>he lost the election, but like you know, all like

4:18:39.280 --> 4:18:45.720
<v Speaker 1>eventually this is this just like completely crank, like absolutely batship.

4:18:45.840 --> 4:18:48.000
<v Speaker 1>All the people who are advocating for it are like

4:18:48.760 --> 4:18:51.560
<v Speaker 1>like they like they're like mushroom scientists or they're like

4:18:51.760 --> 4:18:55.480
<v Speaker 1>people who like you know, like like they're they're like weird.

4:18:55.520 --> 4:18:58.520
<v Speaker 1>I ever met In Truthers, Like all these people, you know,

4:18:58.640 --> 4:19:00.920
<v Speaker 1>like were were legitim mice by the media and like

4:19:01.080 --> 4:19:05.240
<v Speaker 1>that had that had an enormous impact on the last

4:19:05.400 --> 4:19:07.960
<v Speaker 1>sort of two years of anti ation violence. Like that's

4:19:08.680 --> 4:19:10.560
<v Speaker 1>like that that's the thing that way to get as

4:19:10.600 --> 4:19:12.920
<v Speaker 1>bad as it did. And again, it is just completely fake.

4:19:13.000 --> 4:19:15.800
<v Speaker 1>There's nothing, it's it's there. They're just they're just you know,

4:19:16.520 --> 4:19:19.000
<v Speaker 1>like a bunch of fascists made up a lie about

4:19:19.760 --> 4:19:21.840
<v Speaker 1>a plague so that they could try to win an

4:19:21.880 --> 4:19:25.040
<v Speaker 1>election by like burdering Asian people. And yeah, yeah, and

4:19:25.160 --> 4:19:27.520
<v Speaker 1>it's it's that. That's the interesting thing is that if

4:19:27.600 --> 4:19:30.520
<v Speaker 1>you look at um, like poles about like, oh, how

4:19:30.560 --> 4:19:32.880
<v Speaker 1>do you feel about China, Like you go back even

4:19:32.920 --> 4:19:35.880
<v Speaker 1>just four years ago, most people were like, I don't

4:19:35.920 --> 4:19:38.880
<v Speaker 1>have exact numbers on my head, um, but most people

4:19:39.000 --> 4:19:41.720
<v Speaker 1>it was like maybe split like oh, like China is

4:19:41.760 --> 4:19:44.040
<v Speaker 1>kind of scary, or like China, China is okay. But

4:19:44.120 --> 4:19:46.040
<v Speaker 1>like most Americans at this point, even like a lot

4:19:46.120 --> 4:19:49.120
<v Speaker 1>of liberals do not like China. Like it's like even

4:19:49.200 --> 4:19:52.040
<v Speaker 1>the rest like China. It's like it was just manifested

4:19:52.120 --> 4:19:55.759
<v Speaker 1>through the whole maybe not all through the whole Buhanu

4:19:56.200 --> 4:19:58.520
<v Speaker 1>lab but just the last few years and years of

4:19:59.200 --> 4:20:05.280
<v Speaker 1>both by the government and Trump's government ratcheting hard against China,

4:20:05.440 --> 4:20:09.240
<v Speaker 1>and just like anti China or even anti Chinese like

4:20:09.360 --> 4:20:12.520
<v Speaker 1>people sentiments. Yeah, and there's an interesting thing there too,

4:20:12.560 --> 4:20:14.960
<v Speaker 1>where it's like, okay, so for the first about so

4:20:15.080 --> 4:20:17.840
<v Speaker 1>that this pivot starts when which when Trump starts a

4:20:17.880 --> 4:20:21.240
<v Speaker 1>trade war, right, and there's this interesting thing where it's

4:20:21.320 --> 4:20:24.360
<v Speaker 1>like for the first about two years of it, it

4:20:24.520 --> 4:20:26.400
<v Speaker 1>was like the views about China were changing, but the

4:20:26.400 --> 4:20:29.880
<v Speaker 1>actual level of anti Asian violence wasn't doing much. But

4:20:29.960 --> 4:20:31.640
<v Speaker 1>then when COVID hit, it was like you know it

4:20:31.880 --> 4:20:33.800
<v Speaker 1>was it was it was kind of like an abstract thing, right,

4:20:33.880 --> 4:20:35.240
<v Speaker 1>it was like, okay, well we don't like China, but

4:20:35.360 --> 4:20:39.760
<v Speaker 1>like there was nothing that there wasn't like a super

4:20:40.520 --> 4:20:45.040
<v Speaker 1>strong like the thing you could point to to directly

4:20:45.120 --> 4:20:47.280
<v Speaker 1>tie it to Asian people. And then the moment the

4:20:47.360 --> 4:20:49.280
<v Speaker 1>moment the pandemic started and then the moment that like

4:20:49.320 --> 4:20:52.120
<v Speaker 1>Wuhan shit started, it was like suddenly there was like

4:20:52.160 --> 4:20:54.200
<v Speaker 1>a concrete thing that you could point to, and it

4:20:54.280 --> 4:20:56.880
<v Speaker 1>was that was like, hey, look it's the Chinese people.

4:20:57.040 --> 4:20:59.880
<v Speaker 1>The they're they're they're they're spreading the plague, they benefactured

4:20:59.920 --> 4:21:02.520
<v Speaker 1>the played a lab is because they're dirty. Like the

4:21:02.680 --> 4:21:06.200
<v Speaker 1>moments became that was when everything just like all the

4:21:06.320 --> 4:21:08.800
<v Speaker 1>tax skyrockety like that. That's that's that's when like everything

4:21:08.920 --> 4:21:15.160
<v Speaker 1>just sort of like really like kicked off, and that

4:21:15.440 --> 4:21:18.320
<v Speaker 1>was like hysterics. That was like the targeted hysteria of

4:21:21.560 --> 4:21:23.720
<v Speaker 1>I would say, yeah, yeah, and it's well, you know,

4:21:23.880 --> 4:21:26.600
<v Speaker 1>the fun thing I'm bracing for is like, yeah, this

4:21:26.600 --> 4:21:28.960
<v Speaker 1>looks like it's gonna be the Democrat strategy two as

4:21:28.960 --> 4:21:32.280
<v Speaker 1>well as Republican strategy, and it's like, oh, hey, more

4:21:32.360 --> 4:21:34.040
<v Speaker 1>of us are gonna die. This is gonna be fun.

4:21:34.760 --> 4:21:41.040
<v Speaker 1>So yeah, yeah, yeah, it's kind of scary. Yeah, this

4:21:41.160 --> 4:21:43.680
<v Speaker 1>just started out as a fun episode. But yeah, it's

4:21:43.760 --> 4:21:47.400
<v Speaker 1>how kind that was fun, So I guess it was

4:21:47.440 --> 4:21:49.720
<v Speaker 1>still a lot of fun. Yeah, yeah. Do you have

4:21:49.760 --> 4:21:51.280
<v Speaker 1>anything else that you want to say or do you

4:21:51.360 --> 4:21:53.840
<v Speaker 1>want to tell people where to find you? Um? I

4:21:53.880 --> 4:21:56.480
<v Speaker 1>don't really have anything to say necessarily. All I really

4:21:56.560 --> 4:21:59.080
<v Speaker 1>do on the internet, at least like my my whole

4:21:59.120 --> 4:22:02.240
<v Speaker 1>internet in that prevate presence right now is just on Twitter. UM.

4:22:02.520 --> 4:22:06.600
<v Speaker 1>If you want to follow me, it's um at meAll meu. UM.

4:22:07.200 --> 4:22:09.280
<v Speaker 1>I don't know if you'll have like that link or anything.

4:22:09.640 --> 4:22:12.160
<v Speaker 1>It's kind of hard to spell with the last the

4:22:12.360 --> 4:22:15.680
<v Speaker 1>whole MEU it's i'm eu w. But that's really all

4:22:15.720 --> 4:22:18.280
<v Speaker 1>I have is just my Twitter. Yeah, that's all. That's

4:22:18.320 --> 4:22:22.000
<v Speaker 1>all I really do online. I mean, it is extremely funny,

4:22:22.000 --> 4:22:25.320
<v Speaker 1>and every once in a while you create Goblin Mode

4:22:27.240 --> 4:22:32.960
<v Speaker 1>as an actual thing, which is Yeah, it's fun. Yeah,

4:22:32.960 --> 4:22:35.320
<v Speaker 1>I have a good time on Twitter people. People complain

4:22:35.320 --> 4:22:38.280
<v Speaker 1>about that website a lot. But yeah, since I joined

4:22:38.320 --> 4:22:40.560
<v Speaker 1>the like twenty nineteen or whatever, I haven't looked back.

4:22:40.600 --> 4:22:42.440
<v Speaker 1>It's it's a lot of fun about a lot of

4:22:42.480 --> 4:22:45.760
<v Speaker 1>cool people. Yeah, I've known of you for a while,

4:22:45.920 --> 4:22:51.160
<v Speaker 1>but it's nice to actually talk to you. You too, Yeah, yeah,

4:22:51.240 --> 4:22:54.680
<v Speaker 1>it was. It was a good time. Yeah, So go

4:22:54.920 --> 4:23:01.200
<v Speaker 1>Goblin Mode. Don't let the fascist murder trans people. H Yeah. Yeah,

4:23:01.880 --> 4:23:05.240
<v Speaker 1>this is manning. It happen here. You can find us

4:23:05.280 --> 4:23:12.840
<v Speaker 1>on Twitter, Instagram at happen here pod. Uh. Yeah, have fun,

4:23:13.400 --> 4:23:19.160
<v Speaker 1>find cool trinkets suppressed the turfs gotta you gotta have

4:23:19.240 --> 4:23:22.000
<v Speaker 1>the trinkets. You gotta find the that's what Goblin knows

4:23:22.040 --> 4:23:34.440
<v Speaker 1>all about getting trinkets. That's right, all right, by folks. Hey,

4:23:34.600 --> 4:23:37.680
<v Speaker 1>we'll be back Monday with more episodes every week from

4:23:37.720 --> 4:23:40.320
<v Speaker 1>now until the heat death of the universe. It could

4:23:40.320 --> 4:23:42.640
<v Speaker 1>happen Here is a production of cool Zone Media. For

4:23:42.800 --> 4:23:45.520
<v Speaker 1>more podcasts from cool Zone Media, visit our website, cool

4:23:45.560 --> 4:23:47.520
<v Speaker 1>zone media dot com, or check us out on the

4:23:47.600 --> 4:23:50.280
<v Speaker 1>I Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen

4:23:50.280 --> 4:23:53.240
<v Speaker 1>to podcasts. You can find sources for It could happen here,

4:23:53.320 --> 4:23:56.720
<v Speaker 1>updated monthly at cool zone media dot com slash sources.

4:23:57.000 --> 4:23:57.760
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for listening.