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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Wednesday morning edition of the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 1: I'm your host, Matt barraltire off Bettingpros dot Com, and

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Speaker 1: welcome to Baseball Week. Everybody. Boy, it is great to

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Speaker 1: have baseball back. We're gonna get games going now. Will

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Speaker 1: we play the full season, we don't know, but we've

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Speaker 1: got games and I've got two plays for you here

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Speaker 1: on the first day, the first game, Opening Day, the

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Speaker 1: Nationals and the Yankees. But before we get to the

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Speaker 1: game and the pick, I wanted to steal a minute

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Speaker 1: of this podcast just to kind of get you in

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Speaker 1: the baseball mood a little bit. Look, I'm a kid

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Speaker 1: from Boston. I grew up going to Fenway Park, and

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Speaker 1: the days of summer are so different than what they

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Speaker 1: were when I was growing up, as we are right

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Speaker 1: now in this pandemic. But you know, walking up from

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Speaker 1: the concourse and the bowels of Fenway Park and you

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Speaker 1: go through this little corridor and you go up to

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Speaker 1: your seat and you get into the sunlight, and then

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Speaker 1: you just see that incredible field and that huge green monster.

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Speaker 1: It will always be one of my favorite moments as

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Speaker 1: a sports fan. And then you get into the park

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Speaker 1: and the smells of it and the sounds of the

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Speaker 1: ball hitting leather and wood, and it's just so special.

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Speaker 1: And look, sure you're here for sports gambling picks. I

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Speaker 1: get that, but but you love sports. Right. Let's hear

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Speaker 1: from James Earl Jones, just for one second. Let's go

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Speaker 1: back to nineteen eighty nine and that field in Iowa,

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Speaker 1: that field where the White Sox and the Cardinals will

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Speaker 1: play this year, and the voice from the heavens that

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Speaker 1: brought us all back to play and catch with our fathers.

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Speaker 2: And they'll watch the game. It'll be as if they

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Speaker 2: dip themselves in magic waters. The memories will be so

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Speaker 2: thick they have to brush them way from their faces. Ray.

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Speaker 2: When the bank opens in the morning, they'll foreclose, will come. Ray.

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Speaker 1: You're broke, Ray, you sell now, or you lose everything.

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Speaker 2: The one constant through all the years, Ray, it's been

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Speaker 2: baseball America has ruled by like an army of steam rulers.

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Speaker 2: It's been erased like a blackboard, rebuilt and erased again.

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Speaker 2: But baseball has marked the time. This field, this game,

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Speaker 2: it's a part of our past. Ray. It reminds us

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Speaker 2: of all that once was good, and it could be

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Speaker 2: a kid. Oh, people will come, Ray, people will most

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Speaker 2: definitely come.

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Speaker 1: All right, now that you're in the mood for baseball,

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Speaker 1: let me tell you about an offer from bet MGM

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Speaker 1: right now. That's on the game that I'm gonna make

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Speaker 1: two plays on here for this edition of the Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice podcast on a Wednesday morning, the Yankees in the

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Speaker 1: Nash betmgm's got this offer for you guys. If you

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Speaker 1: bet one dollar for either team to win, for either

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Speaker 1: team to win on Thursday night, you will win one

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Speaker 1: hundred dollars in free bets from BETMGM if either team

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Speaker 1: hits a home run. This is available at www dot

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Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot com, slash BETMGM, Bettingpros dot com slash betmgm

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Speaker 1: paid out in free bets available in West Virginia, Colorado,

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Speaker 1: and Indiana. You bet on either team to win just

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Speaker 1: one dollar to win one hundred dollars in free wagers

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Speaker 1: from BETMGM if either team, the Nationals or the Yankees

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Speaker 1: hit a home run on opening Day on Opening Night

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Speaker 1: for either side for one hundred dollars from BETMGM. All right,

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Speaker 1: let's start talking about these two teams now, first and foremost,

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Speaker 1: before we do anything else on the Yankees and the Nationals.

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Speaker 1: Let me tell you about a betting philosophy that I

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Speaker 1: think you have to adapt. We don't know what these

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Speaker 1: games are going to look like. We have no idea.

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Speaker 1: These games are very difficult to judge anyway. But now

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Speaker 1: with COVID nineteen, the second summer camp or second spring training,

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Speaker 1: and whether or not guys like Jipper Jones and Mark

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Speaker 1: Tesera are right when they say that the pitchers are

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Speaker 1: going to be way ahead of the batters. I don't

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Speaker 1: know if that's the case. I've been watching these practice games,

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Speaker 1: if you will, and I don't know. It looks like

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Speaker 1: the pitchers don't have their stuff, and the batters have

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Speaker 1: been doing nothing but taking batting practice, and they look fine.

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Speaker 1: I mean, the batters look on time. The batters look good.

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Speaker 1: And I know it's difficult to go from batting practice

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Speaker 1: or hitting off a tee and going up against ninety

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Speaker 1: five and then an eighty eight mile prour slider and

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Speaker 1: a seventy five mile broad curveball. I understand all of

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Speaker 1: that and the difficulties that comes with hitting a round

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Speaker 1: ball with a round bat and just not having your timing.

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Speaker 1: I do get that, but I think offenses might be

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Speaker 1: a little bit better early than we're giving them credit for.

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Speaker 1: And I'm just not sold that pitchers are going to

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Speaker 1: have enough to just come firing out of the gate

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Speaker 1: in Dominate. But I don't know how we bet on

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Speaker 1: any of these teams. So I'm recommending this for anybody

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Speaker 1: that is going to get into this. You have to

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Speaker 1: play it with half units or quarter units. You've got

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Speaker 1: to tip your toe into this, you know, don't go

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Speaker 1: jumping head first into opening day, don't go firing on

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Speaker 1: every game, don't blow your bank roll right away, because frankly,

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Speaker 1: I mean, these games are coin flips anyway, but this

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Speaker 1: is going to be even worse for a coin flip

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Speaker 1: because we don't know what these teams are going to

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Speaker 1: look like, and we don't know how they're going to

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Speaker 1: deal with the fact that fans aren't there. We don't

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Speaker 1: know how they're going to deal with the fact that

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Speaker 1: they don't have the same environment that they're used to,

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Speaker 1: and it's you know, it's fine for a practice game,

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Speaker 1: but when it counts and it's real, how do these

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Speaker 1: guys handle it? How do they deal with it? Are

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Speaker 1: they going to be comfortable wearing Masks. So are they

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Speaker 1: comfortable being socially distanced? Are they comfortable not having the

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Speaker 1: same type of cambaraderie in the dugout and being able

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Speaker 1: to be close to their guys and do what they

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Speaker 1: normally do during a game. I mean, does that throw

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Speaker 1: guys off just mentally? Are they just not there mentally

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Speaker 1: as they should be for a major league based So

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Speaker 1: we don't know how to predict. We don't know how

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Speaker 1: to you know, look at this team and say, Okay, yeah,

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Speaker 1: the Yankees are gonna come flying out in sixty games

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Speaker 1: and last year they went over one hundred, so they're

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Speaker 1: gonna blow right through it. The entire American League. I

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Speaker 1: don't know. I mean, I don't know. Nobody does. We

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Speaker 1: have to wait and see. I mean, COVID nineteen is

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Speaker 1: a serious problem for everyone in this world right now

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Speaker 1: or all this Chapman is the closer for the Yankees.

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Speaker 1: He has COVID nineteen, he's gonna be gone for a

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Speaker 1: while and now they've got other options and Zach Britain's

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Speaker 1: gonna be the closer for a while for this Yankee team.

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Speaker 1: But I mean there's some real concerns here. I mean

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Speaker 1: concerns for everybody is. You know, they've done a pretty

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Speaker 1: good job of keeping COVID nineteen away after the initial

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Speaker 1: intake from Major League Baseball, but it's front and center.

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Speaker 1: You just look at the game. It looks so different.

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Speaker 1: They're piping in crowd noise, for goodness sakes, it sounds

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Speaker 1: really weird. I don't hate on it, but it still

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Speaker 1: sounds really weird when they're piping in crowd noise. It

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Speaker 1: just doesn't come across the way you want it to. So,

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Speaker 1: you know, I think you have to go slow. You

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Speaker 1: have to dip your toe in the water. And like

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Speaker 1: we've been talking about here. Look, I'm fourteen and twelve

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Speaker 1: since this podcast has begun, and we got a bunch

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Speaker 1: of future wagers to you know, in play and going

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Speaker 1: right now. But we're not gonna talk about units because

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Speaker 1: it's too complicated. But you know, I'm not gonna go

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Speaker 1: back and do all the math. Every day we're making

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Speaker 1: bets for making picks or making plays, and I'm recommending

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Speaker 1: this and recommending that. You know, we'll keep talking of

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Speaker 1: my record, but in terms of the units, like I'm

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Speaker 1: not gonna go and say, you know, the juice is

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Speaker 1: one seventy or plus one fifty or whatever. It just

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Speaker 1: gets to be too complicated whether I'm telling you to

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Speaker 1: play a half unit or a whole unit. And sometimes

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Speaker 1: I may even say, well are two unit. If I

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Speaker 1: get really cocky and say I really like this play,

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Speaker 1: I'll double up and really go you know, above and beyond.

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Speaker 1: But for the vast majority of time, I'm not gonna

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Speaker 1: do that. So but but in the beginning with baseball

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Speaker 1: and with basketball and hockey, I think you gotta go

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Speaker 1: with half units and maybe even quarter units here and

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Speaker 1: so you don't get yourself in trouble and you don't feel,

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Speaker 1: you know, bad about not seeing a game right or

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Speaker 1: picking a game wrong. That's how I'm gonna play it,

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Speaker 1: because I fully understand this is gonna be tough. Now,

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Speaker 1: I'm not going to give you any place on the

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Speaker 1: late game on Thursday. I'm gonna wait till Thursday morning

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Speaker 1: to see where some of the numbers are gonna go.

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Speaker 1: There's a lot of money coming in heavy on the

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Speaker 1: Dodgers and the Giants. Now that's because the Giants aren't

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Speaker 1: that good. The Dodgers are gonna be really good. But offense,

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Speaker 1: the total opened up at seven and a half it's

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Speaker 1: already at eight. It may climb even more, and I

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Speaker 1: think offense will be scored. But I don't know if

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Speaker 1: I want to play the under on the total or

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Speaker 1: the over on the first five, which right now is

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Speaker 1: four and a half in climbing. So Kershaw's on the

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Speaker 1: mound against Jodny Quato, So I'm gonna wait and hold

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Speaker 1: off on that game. There's no real value on the

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Speaker 1: Dodgers at minus three hundred right there, but there may

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Speaker 1: be some value on the Dodgers on the run line

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Speaker 1: tomorrow night, so I may wait. So Thursday morning you

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Speaker 1: have to come back. I'll make my pick and my

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Speaker 1: play for the Dodgers and the Giants coming up for

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Speaker 1: that game on Thursday morning. So today we're just gonna

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Speaker 1: focus on the Nationals and the Yankees. Let's talk about

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Speaker 1: weather here because obviously weather forecasts are really important when

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Speaker 1: it comes to baseball. And it looks like the game

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Speaker 1: should be okay to be played. I mean, it is

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Speaker 1: the DC area, and it can be a little bit,

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Speaker 1: you know, humid, and you get pop up thunderstorm from

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Speaker 1: time to time, but it looks like we're talking about

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Speaker 1: like a fifty percent chance of rain and maybe a

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Speaker 1: pop up thunderstorm here or there, so no real win

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Speaker 1: to talk about. Mid seventies, upper seventies for game time,

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Speaker 1: so weatherwise should be fine. We're out of the gate

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Speaker 1: with Garrett Cole versus Max Scherzer. I mean, my goodness, gracious, Okay,

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Speaker 1: we go all this time without sports, we go all

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Speaker 1: these many weeks without watching In the first time we

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Speaker 1: watch a baseball game that really is a big deal,

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Speaker 1: we get Garrett Cole versus Max Schurzer. You serious, I mean,

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Speaker 1: my gosh, We're gonna get a treat here. Garrett Cole

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Speaker 1: coming off of his World Series opponents with the Houston Astros.

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Speaker 1: Last time he pitched in a Major League Baseball game,

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Speaker 1: he was facing these Washington Nationals, and well, in Game

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Speaker 1: five he pitched pretty well. Game one didn't pitch. Well,

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Speaker 1: it's a really weird series. Remember that Nationals won every

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Speaker 1: game on the road and want up winning the World

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Speaker 1: Series somehow someway the Nationals. And I'll tell the stories

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Speaker 1: in sometime other time on this podcast about my World

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Speaker 1: Series betting and how crazy I got betting the World

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Speaker 1: Series for futures and how I pingpong back and forth

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Speaker 1: with betting on the Nationals and betting on the Astros first,

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Speaker 1: and then betting on the Nationals, and then betting on

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Speaker 1: the Astros, and then betting on the Nationals, and then

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Speaker 1: ultimately cashing a bunch of tickets on the Nationals. That

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Speaker 1: was big plus money, like plus eight hundred plus nine hundred.

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Speaker 1: So I'll tell that story some other time. But the

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Speaker 1: World Series was very good to me. It was a

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Speaker 1: lot of fun to bet the World Series that way,

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Speaker 1: going back and forth with the Astros and the two

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Speaker 1: to oh and then the other team winning two oh

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Speaker 1: and then winning the three games on the road. It

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Speaker 1: was just it was insane. So we'll get to that

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Speaker 1: story some other time. But this is a huge game,

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Speaker 1: first time wearing pinstripes for Garrett Cole, and the numbers

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Speaker 1: are indicative of that. The Yankees are favored minus one

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Speaker 1: thirty nine to win this game. Nationals plus one twenty nine.

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Speaker 1: The total of seven and a half. The run line

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Speaker 1: is plus one twenty five for the y for the

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Speaker 1: Yankees plus one and a half for the Nationals is

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Speaker 1: minus one forty five. And the first five right now,

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Speaker 1: you've got the Yankees. Three and a half is the

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Speaker 1: number for the first five juice up to minus one

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Speaker 1: twenty five and the under is plus one oh five

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Speaker 1: for under three and a half runs for the first five. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so the Yankees are a team that everyone is expecting

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Speaker 1: to put up big, big numbers. And I'm not saying

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Speaker 1: they're not gonna put up big, big numbers, but I

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Speaker 1: just I think you have to bet the under for

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Speaker 1: them for their win totals. And the Nationals. I just

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Speaker 1: don't know what to make of the Nationals, to be

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Speaker 1: quite honest. I mean, I got to see what this

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Speaker 1: team looks like the fact that they've lost some big players.

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Speaker 1: Rendon is not on this team anymore. I mean, did

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Speaker 1: they got their ring? So how do they respond? Normally

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Speaker 1: there's some regression for the team that wins the World Series.

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Speaker 1: But normally you've got you know, the layover, the hangover,

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Speaker 1: whatever into spring training and they get off to a

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Speaker 1: slow start in April, in May. Well, this is June

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Speaker 1: and July. Now, so these guys have been ready to go.

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Speaker 1: So what does it mean like, are they you know,

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Speaker 1: did they get out of that, did they work off

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Speaker 1: the banquet circuit? Are they in shape? Are they good

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Speaker 1: to go? And they're gonna throw Max Scherzer out there,

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Speaker 1: who gave up eighteen home runs last year, facing a

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Speaker 1: lineup that's gonna have some pretty big bats back. So

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Speaker 1: you got Aaron Judge, and you got John Carlos Stanton,

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Speaker 1: and you've got this Yankees team that can score a

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Speaker 1: lot of runs and scored a lot of runs early

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Speaker 1: in games last year. And so they were second in

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Speaker 1: score through the first five innings in twenty nineteen. And

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Speaker 1: this team is pretty much healthy now now the other

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Speaker 1: full complement of bats, but they still have a couple

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Speaker 1: of the big ones, and their lineup is going to

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Speaker 1: be really, really scary. Look, Surezer can give up a

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Speaker 1: lot of home runs, give up eighteen last year, So

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Speaker 1: the Yankees, I think, could put up some numbers here.

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Speaker 1: On the other side, Garrett Cole can get hit around.

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Speaker 1: And it's opening day now. He might have a tremendous outing.

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Speaker 1: He may destroy this roster, but he also might have

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Speaker 1: a couple of hiccups here. He might get in trouble

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Speaker 1: a little bit and give up a run or two.

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Speaker 1: You know, if he gets in any trouble, maybe they

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Speaker 1: might come get him. The BULLPENMP for the Yankees really good.

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Speaker 1: But I'm looking at my first bet as the first

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Speaker 1: five over three and a half runs, first five, three

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Speaker 1: and a half, its juice to minus one twenty five.

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Speaker 1: But I think, Surezer, he can give up a lot

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Speaker 1: of home runs to this lineup, and I think Gerrett

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Speaker 1: Cole could give up a run er two as well.

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Speaker 1: I think in the first five, I think you're gonna

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Speaker 1: see some offense. Nerves are gonna be there for both pitchers.

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Speaker 1: No crap, I think we were gonna see an over

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Speaker 1: three and a half runs in the first five. So

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Speaker 1: that's my first play here in this game. And my

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Speaker 1: second play is, well, it's the Yankees. I'm not gonna

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Speaker 1: overthink this. I just think they're the better baseball team,

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Speaker 1: and they have the better bullpen. They get the lead,

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Speaker 1: they go to the bullpen, even without earl of this Chapman,

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Speaker 1: they got arms upon arms upon arms. I'm just gonna

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Speaker 1: lay here the minus one thirty nine. I don't think

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Speaker 1: it's too expensive to lay the juice here on an

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Speaker 1: opening day. Yep, it's a road game for the Yankees.

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Speaker 1: But I just don't know what to make of the

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Speaker 1: Nationals Yankees minus one thirty five thirty nine. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: take the Yankees to win, and I'm gonna take the

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Speaker 1: over on the first five plus three and a half

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Speaker 1: or over three and a half runs for the Nationals

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Speaker 1: and the Yankees. Remember the offer from BETMGM. If you

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Speaker 1: go to Bettingpros dot com slash bet MGM one dollar

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Speaker 1: on either the Nationals or the Yankees to win this game.

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Speaker 1: If either team hits a home run, which I think

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Speaker 1: they will, you will win one hundred dollars from bet MGM.

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Speaker 1: It's pretty simple. It's available in Indiana, Colorado, and West Virginia.

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Speaker 1: Go to betting dot com slash bet MGM one dollar

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Speaker 1: on this game the Nationals and the Yankees. A single

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Speaker 1: home run will win you one hundred dollars in free

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Speaker 1: plays from bet MGM. I'm at Perrault. Follow me on

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Speaker 1: Twitter at sports Talk Matt. We're back on Thursday. I

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Speaker 1: will have plays on the Dodgers and the Giants, Kershaw

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Speaker 1: in action against Cueto. We'll wait to see where these

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Speaker 1: numbers wind up falling for that game on Thursday mornings.

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice. Make sure you come back every day for

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Speaker 1: the Dili Juice podcast. Here off Bettingpros dot Com.