WEBVTT - Coronavirus Vaccine Distribution and Potential Mutations

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser. Every day

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<v Speaker 1>listening to Bloomberg Business Week Carol Masser along with Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Quick Takes, Tim Stanovic and a lot of headlines too,

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<v Speaker 1>and I just breaking them down for some of our audiences.

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<v Speaker 1>But what's interesting is Bloomberg does a COVID resilience ranking.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a measure of the best places to be in

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<v Speaker 1>the COVID nineteen era, and the US ranking drops deeply

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<v Speaker 1>as we've seen the death toll surge, with one American

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<v Speaker 1>dying from the virus every forty one seconds over the

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<v Speaker 1>past month. Yeah, it's been it's been shocking to see

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<v Speaker 1>the way that other countries have handled it. So much

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<v Speaker 1>better than we have. But that at this point is

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<v Speaker 1>like an old story, except for the fact that it

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<v Speaker 1>keeps getting worse here in the US by many metrics, right, exactly,

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<v Speaker 1>all right, So let's get into it. Global nineteen uh

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<v Speaker 1>COVID nineteen cases right now passing seventy eight million. So

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<v Speaker 1>let's bring in Dr Sophia Thomas, president of the American

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<v Speaker 1>Association of Nurse Practitioners, a doctor of nursing practice herself,

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<v Speaker 1>um and she joins us on the phone in Louisiana

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<v Speaker 1>along with Bloomberg News Health Team editor John Lowerman. He's

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<v Speaker 1>on the phone from Boston. So John, I do want

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<v Speaker 1>to start with you because Tim and I have been

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<v Speaker 1>talking a little bit about this mutation of the virus.

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<v Speaker 1>What do we need to know and what do we

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<v Speaker 1>need to know about the COVID nineteen vaccine in our

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<v Speaker 1>protection against this mutation? Well, I would say at this

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<v Speaker 1>point we need to know almost everything, because there's a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of information out there. There's been some reports of

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<v Speaker 1>the mutations that are in this virus in this particular

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<v Speaker 1>strain um. The UK government has been saying that they

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<v Speaker 1>believe this strain spreads more easily. Monster slowe who is

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<v Speaker 1>the UM scientific director of Opera and more Speeds and

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<v Speaker 1>the press conference today that he hasn't seen any hard

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<v Speaker 1>evidence of that. So I think, you know, the jury

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<v Speaker 1>is still out on what you know exactly what this

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<v Speaker 1>UM strain is, UM, what it does, and whether it

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<v Speaker 1>has any impact on the vaccines. Now the e m A,

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<v Speaker 1>the European Medicine Agent Medicines Agency that just approved fiser

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<v Speaker 1>and biosos vaccine today so that they did not believe

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<v Speaker 1>it would have an impact on the effectiveness of that vaccine.

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<v Speaker 1>So I think, you know, more work is going to

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<v Speaker 1>be needed to be done on this, but we really

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<v Speaker 1>don't have any solid concrete answers there. When will we

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<v Speaker 1>get those solid concrete answers? I mean, do they have

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<v Speaker 1>to actually do a clinical trial with this new strain

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<v Speaker 1>in order cylical trial is what's needed? I think you

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<v Speaker 1>you know, so the way that the vaccines work just

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<v Speaker 1>in general, you know, UM, just to kind of recap,

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<v Speaker 1>is they raise these antibodies. The antibodies are called neutralizing

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<v Speaker 1>aut advice. They show the immune system of protein and

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<v Speaker 1>that sparks the development of these antibodies, and so you

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<v Speaker 1>need to know, UM, you can probably tell in the

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<v Speaker 1>test tube. But whether or not these antibodies are the

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<v Speaker 1>same antibodies that the body makes in response to the vaccine,

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<v Speaker 1>are going to neutralize this mute strain and then of

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<v Speaker 1>course the other issues. You know, you'll see it in

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<v Speaker 1>the activity uh of the of the vaccine going forward.

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<v Speaker 1>But um yeah, I don't think another clinical trial as

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<v Speaker 1>in order. And right now, all right, I want to

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<v Speaker 1>bring in Dr Sophia Thomas. So Dr Thomas, nice to

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<v Speaker 1>have you along with John here. So John really laying

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<v Speaker 1>out kind of what we need to understand about this

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<v Speaker 1>mutation and how the vaccine will protect us against it.

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<v Speaker 1>Tell us about your observations with this news and what

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<v Speaker 1>you're thinking about, especially when it comes to other nurse

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<v Speaker 1>practitioners and those folks that you are working with. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, since COVID nineteen has started, really the news

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<v Speaker 1>has changed every day, right, We've had um uh new news.

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<v Speaker 1>Things are trending. We learn new things literally every day,

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<v Speaker 1>and that's why all the scientists, and my hat goes

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<v Speaker 1>off to all the scientists who are really monitoring this closely.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, as as this continues to develop, we'll see.

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<v Speaker 1>But I think for the most part, those of us

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<v Speaker 1>on the front lines of health care will continue to

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<v Speaker 1>do what we do every day, masking up UM, using

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<v Speaker 1>our PPE, social distancing, and recommending that for our patients

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<v Speaker 1>and and the general public. You know, this virus is

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<v Speaker 1>transmitted from person to person, There's no question about that.

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<v Speaker 1>And the one thing that we can do to really

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<v Speaker 1>help prevent the spread is for all of us to

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<v Speaker 1>do our part. Really be good neighbors and neighbors and

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<v Speaker 1>uh use the protective equipment, wash our hands, social distance

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<v Speaker 1>where those masks UM even just down to the grocery

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<v Speaker 1>store and you know, you may be fine, you may

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<v Speaker 1>be carrying that the virus and not even realize it.

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<v Speaker 1>But you know, people have the risk of transmitting it

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<v Speaker 1>to other people. And we know now that it's not

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<v Speaker 1>just impacting UM the most elderly and the most sickly,

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<v Speaker 1>although UM it's think those are the significant numbers of

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<v Speaker 1>people who are impacted, but we're having perfectly healthy people

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<v Speaker 1>that are having suffering from complications from COVID that were

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<v Speaker 1>you know, unforeseen. So every day with this virus, we're

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<v Speaker 1>learning more. We're learning more about the virus UM, the mutations,

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<v Speaker 1>as well as all the downstream complications that can arise

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<v Speaker 1>after having this, so Dr Thomas to that end. And

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<v Speaker 1>when it comes to the vaccine, what are you advising

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<v Speaker 1>members of the American Association of Nurse Practitioners and when

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<v Speaker 1>do you think they will be completely vaccinated because they

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<v Speaker 1>are among those who are on the front lines. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>we actually this week already have our our colleagues that

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<v Speaker 1>are working in hospital systems being vaccinated and I'm so

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<v Speaker 1>proud to see all their posts and social media. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>we want to get the word out to the general

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<v Speaker 1>public that we in healthcare aren't ready willing and able

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<v Speaker 1>and happy to take this vaccine. And when your number

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<v Speaker 1>comes up, UM, it's certainly we encourage everybody to get

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<v Speaker 1>vaccinated as soon as possible UM, and we support the

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<v Speaker 1>CDC recommendations regarding the prioritization of the at risk population UM,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, including the frontline health workers and seniors and

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<v Speaker 1>those with colude morbid conditions. And we really look forward

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<v Speaker 1>to UM not only working with the general same local

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<v Speaker 1>authorities to ensure the most effective and efficient vaccination process

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<v Speaker 1>possible to protect the health of patients nationwide, but we

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<v Speaker 1>look forward to the day when when all Americans can

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<v Speaker 1>say they've been vaccinated and they're protected. Um, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, John, I want to go back to you

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<v Speaker 1>or kick it off with you here, Uh for this block.

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<v Speaker 1>You've got a story on the Bloomberg about vaccines. Don't

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<v Speaker 1>mean we'll see the last of COVID. You've been talking

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<v Speaker 1>to experts. Um, this disease is going to be with us,

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<v Speaker 1>what for a for a really long time, maybe forever. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>that's hard to say. I think the point is the

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<v Speaker 1>vaccines that we have that are coming online for COVID

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<v Speaker 1>right now, they look actually very good. Um and uh,

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<v Speaker 1>I think that it's it's um as we've heard. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>Medical people want to take these vaccines and they want

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<v Speaker 1>to protect themselves. So there's nothing wrong with the vaccine.

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<v Speaker 1>The issue is that mass vaccination programs often take a

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<v Speaker 1>long time, they aren't always completely successful. And as a

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<v Speaker 1>matter of fact, we know that the only one of

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<v Speaker 1>only one disease that's really been eradicated as a result

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<v Speaker 1>of vaccine in that small pox. But people have been

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<v Speaker 1>trying to eliminate um diseases like pollio for decades and

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<v Speaker 1>it's just very difficult to do. It's very difficult to

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<v Speaker 1>get everybody to take a vaccine. At the same time,

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<v Speaker 1>and when you don't have the entire population vaccinated, you

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<v Speaker 1>have poc to people who are unvaccinated, and then they

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<v Speaker 1>tend to affect one and affect one another, and then

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<v Speaker 1>other people who who for whatever reason don't have the

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<v Speaker 1>vaccine or declined to take the vaccine, those people become

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<v Speaker 1>infected as well. And then so you you have this

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<v Speaker 1>continual reservoir that can last and last. And that's basically

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<v Speaker 1>the idea. So it's very difficult, despite the despite the

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<v Speaker 1>existence of effective vaccines, to actually eliminate or eradicated disease.

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<v Speaker 1>So what does that mean for the future? John? Does

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<v Speaker 1>it mean that we're going to have COVID hotspots like

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<v Speaker 1>we do with other diseases that we've tried to eradicate,

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<v Speaker 1>or does it mean that it will sort of always

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<v Speaker 1>be lurking there. I think there's a good possibility or

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<v Speaker 1>at least this is what my source has told me,

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<v Speaker 1>that it won't be eradicated. It's an extremely contagious disease.

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<v Speaker 1>Um diseases that have been eradicated, or the loan disease

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<v Speaker 1>that's been eradicated. Small pox is not actually all that contagious.

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<v Speaker 1>But you know, as we've talked about a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>um this new strain, Uh, they sort of more transmissible,

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<v Speaker 1>but COVID is known to you know, reach people, um

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<v Speaker 1>who are working apart from each other in the packing plans.

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<v Speaker 1>That's terrifying. It's a very cannas to zo. Drs Thomas.

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<v Speaker 1>I want to bring you back in because I know

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<v Speaker 1>something that you've been focusing certainly is about some of

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<v Speaker 1>the inequities about about there. You know, we are concerned

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<v Speaker 1>that everybody gets access to the vaccine. Ultimately, what are

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<v Speaker 1>your thoughts on that. Well, you know, ultimately that that's

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<v Speaker 1>the goal and that's the ideal but ideal, but as

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<v Speaker 1>as John just said, you know, getting everybody to take

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<v Speaker 1>that vaccine is going to be quite difficult. So so

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<v Speaker 1>COVID will probably be with us for a long time.

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<v Speaker 1>And you know, you know, I'm proud to be a

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<v Speaker 1>nurse part of one of the most trusted professions and

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<v Speaker 1>and I you know, calm a nursing colleagues to encourage

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<v Speaker 1>patients as much as possible to take it. UM. We

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<v Speaker 1>also don't know how long um we're going to have

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<v Speaker 1>that immunity from the scene, and we might be looking

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<v Speaker 1>at a situation where we get the vaccine annually. UM,

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<v Speaker 1>it might be part of our annual flu vaccine. We

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<v Speaker 1>just don't know yet. There's a lot of there are

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of unknown So Dr Thomas, what is what

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<v Speaker 1>is the way that you communicate to patients and you

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<v Speaker 1>tell your nurse practitioners to communicate to patients that this

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<v Speaker 1>is a vaccine that there need to get, especially when

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<v Speaker 1>there is so much skepticism out there. And just got

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<v Speaker 1>about forty seconds here, absolutely that you know, the message

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<v Speaker 1>to patients is we have a vaccine that's available that

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<v Speaker 1>can help prevent you from getting COVID nineteen, hopefully prevent

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<v Speaker 1>you from getting it and spreading it to another person.

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<v Speaker 1>And then the message is always at the end of

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<v Speaker 1>the day, where a masked social distance practice proper infection

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<v Speaker 1>control measures right, right. We know over and over everyone

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<v Speaker 1>says that that's what works. UM, Thank you so much.

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Sophia Thomas, President of the American Association of Nurse

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<v Speaker 1>Practitioners with us on the phone from Louisiana. John Larriman,

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<v Speaker 1>healthy manager at Bloomberg News on the phone from Boston.

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<v Speaker 1>You can check met Lowerman John on Twitter and also

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<v Speaker 1>of course at Bloomberg dot comment on the Bloomberg This

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<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>I gotta say this is our world in a headline,

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<v Speaker 1>It's been a great year for stocks and a bear

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<v Speaker 1>market for humans. Investors ignoring the pain of the pandemic

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<v Speaker 1>and betting on a future where well, we'll just let

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<v Speaker 1>maybe in the future will come back as stocks and

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<v Speaker 1>not humans. I don't know, I'll let I'll let the

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<v Speaker 1>next to explain it all. Michael Reagan is senior editor

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<v Speaker 1>and lead blogger of Bloomberg Markets Live Blog. He's with

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<v Speaker 1>us from New Jersey. Also Bloomberg Business Week editor Joe

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<v Speaker 1>Weber on the Access Line in Brooklyn. It is that headline,

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<v Speaker 1>Joel just sums up our year so perfectly. Yeah, And

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<v Speaker 1>it's almost like you don't need to read the story,

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<v Speaker 1>but you should because it just sits it all in

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<v Speaker 1>one place for you. Um and and coming back as

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<v Speaker 1>a stock sounds sounds kind of terribul but maybe not maybe.

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<v Speaker 1>Uh you know, uh. This is like one of the

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<v Speaker 1>great joys of my job is being able to like

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<v Speaker 1>just reach out to somebody like Mike Reagan and be like, um,

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<v Speaker 1>I feel like we need to do some business together

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<v Speaker 1>and he comes back with something like this, which started

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<v Speaker 1>with some thoughts about big numbers, um, and some of

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<v Speaker 1>them are are kind of humbling. So so Mike, walk

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<v Speaker 1>us through how you arrived at the story. Yeah. So,

0:12:17.240 --> 0:12:19.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, I feel like the whole year, we've all

0:12:19.080 --> 0:12:22.640
<v Speaker 1>been sort of really had this fixation on these statistics

0:12:22.679 --> 0:12:25.319
<v Speaker 1>that have just been crossing in the headlines every day,

0:12:25.400 --> 0:12:29.400
<v Speaker 1>just eye popping numbers that we never thought we'd ever

0:12:29.400 --> 0:12:31.200
<v Speaker 1>seen in our life times, whether it be you know,

0:12:31.520 --> 0:12:35.080
<v Speaker 1>the millions of jobs lost, then we cover you know,

0:12:35.679 --> 0:12:39.720
<v Speaker 1>three hundred thousands and counting deaths from the fires. Just

0:12:40.679 --> 0:12:42.160
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people talk about it as the year

0:12:42.240 --> 0:12:44.559
<v Speaker 1>that where all charts were broken, because if you look

0:12:44.600 --> 0:12:48.800
<v Speaker 1>at so many different statistics, is just so off the

0:12:48.840 --> 0:12:51.360
<v Speaker 1>map that you can't even figure out what's going on

0:12:51.440 --> 0:12:53.680
<v Speaker 1>in other years. But to me, it's just to spend

0:12:53.760 --> 0:12:57.560
<v Speaker 1>this dichotomy all year that it's just I think that's

0:12:57.600 --> 0:13:01.120
<v Speaker 1>surprising and um, it's of alarming to a lot of

0:13:01.160 --> 0:13:05.160
<v Speaker 1>people just how well the markets done in the face

0:13:05.280 --> 0:13:09.040
<v Speaker 1>of just such heartbreaking, um human suffering. You know, not

0:13:09.320 --> 0:13:12.640
<v Speaker 1>only the the thickness and the death, but just so

0:13:12.760 --> 0:13:15.280
<v Speaker 1>many people still out of work. We're still down about

0:13:15.320 --> 0:13:18.559
<v Speaker 1>ten million jobs from where we were before the pandemic,

0:13:19.040 --> 0:13:22.120
<v Speaker 1>something like twenty seven million people in the country that

0:13:22.200 --> 0:13:25.000
<v Speaker 1>don't have enough to eat, and yet the market is

0:13:25.040 --> 0:13:27.920
<v Speaker 1>acting like it's, you know, the best of times, or

0:13:27.960 --> 0:13:30.240
<v Speaker 1>at least expecting the best of times. So, you know,

0:13:30.440 --> 0:13:33.040
<v Speaker 1>we cover the markets every day, sort of every twist

0:13:33.040 --> 0:13:35.680
<v Speaker 1>and turn of the tap on any given day, it

0:13:35.720 --> 0:13:39.640
<v Speaker 1>just felt like a good time to step back and say, Wow,

0:13:39.679 --> 0:13:42.440
<v Speaker 1>what just happened this year? What? What? What is the

0:13:42.520 --> 0:13:46.520
<v Speaker 1>deal with this sort of this disparity between the heartbreaking

0:13:46.640 --> 0:13:50.960
<v Speaker 1>economic and human suffering statistics and these stock market statistics

0:13:51.000 --> 0:13:53.400
<v Speaker 1>that are just off the charts. Do it, um so

0:13:53.440 --> 0:13:56.280
<v Speaker 1>as an attempt to sort of reconcile those two and

0:13:56.360 --> 0:13:58.800
<v Speaker 1>try to just take a step back, take a breath,

0:13:58.880 --> 0:14:03.480
<v Speaker 1>and write out what a bizarre year was from that perspective.

0:14:03.600 --> 0:14:05.080
<v Speaker 1>So here we are at almost at the end of

0:14:05.080 --> 0:14:08.319
<v Speaker 1>the year, with a little bit of the benefit of hindsight.

0:14:09.240 --> 0:14:12.839
<v Speaker 1>What has allowed the market to be so disconnected from

0:14:12.840 --> 0:14:15.839
<v Speaker 1>main street? Yeah, I think there's a couple of things,

0:14:16.000 --> 0:14:18.760
<v Speaker 1>um From one, obviously, the Fed keeping interest rates as

0:14:18.800 --> 0:14:21.320
<v Speaker 1>low as they did and sort of innoculating the quipate

0:14:21.400 --> 0:14:24.560
<v Speaker 1>credit market and buying up a lot of treasuries every month.

0:14:24.840 --> 0:14:28.560
<v Speaker 1>It's kind of almost you know, forced this risk seeking

0:14:28.600 --> 0:14:31.880
<v Speaker 1>behavior in financial markets. Um. At the same time, for

0:14:31.920 --> 0:14:34.680
<v Speaker 1>those of us who were lucky enough to keep our

0:14:34.760 --> 0:14:37.680
<v Speaker 1>jobs this year, you know, well, there was really no

0:14:37.760 --> 0:14:41.080
<v Speaker 1>option to spend that sort of discretionary money that you

0:14:41.240 --> 0:14:44.480
<v Speaker 1>would have spent on, say, taking a vacation somewhere, going

0:14:44.520 --> 0:14:47.240
<v Speaker 1>to a baseball game or a concert. So you know,

0:14:47.280 --> 0:14:49.920
<v Speaker 1>I think there's evidence that a lot of that savings

0:14:50.200 --> 0:14:52.640
<v Speaker 1>ended up getting puts work in the stock market. And

0:14:52.680 --> 0:14:55.360
<v Speaker 1>the rest I think Wall Street is looking at with

0:14:55.400 --> 0:14:58.880
<v Speaker 1>bug Eys just saving dreeks at amount and tad this

0:14:58.960 --> 0:15:02.840
<v Speaker 1>year and thinking, once the world is back to normal,

0:15:03.440 --> 0:15:06.280
<v Speaker 1>that there's just kind of this bottlenecks of demand, the

0:15:06.400 --> 0:15:10.600
<v Speaker 1>bottleneck of money and savings, that that should get trickle

0:15:10.760 --> 0:15:13.920
<v Speaker 1>fact maybe in gushing back into the economy once we're

0:15:13.960 --> 0:15:16.120
<v Speaker 1>all you know, able to go out and enjoy the

0:15:16.120 --> 0:15:18.000
<v Speaker 1>world again. But the only thing, you know, Mike, there's

0:15:18.040 --> 0:15:21.240
<v Speaker 1>a line in your story investors seem to be betting

0:15:21.240 --> 0:15:22.960
<v Speaker 1>on a permanent shift in the structure of work in

0:15:22.960 --> 0:15:25.200
<v Speaker 1>the economy. I do think we were just talking about

0:15:25.200 --> 0:15:27.520
<v Speaker 1>real estate, Tim and I you know that we're seeing

0:15:27.520 --> 0:15:29.800
<v Speaker 1>people buy up some distressed assets. I do think that

0:15:29.840 --> 0:15:33.720
<v Speaker 1>there are going to be structural changes, whether it's retail,

0:15:33.760 --> 0:15:36.520
<v Speaker 1>whether it's medicine, whether it's education, whether it's how we

0:15:36.600 --> 0:15:38.320
<v Speaker 1>use real estate. I do think there's gonna be things

0:15:38.360 --> 0:15:40.840
<v Speaker 1>that are lasting, and I think to some extent investors

0:15:40.880 --> 0:15:45.160
<v Speaker 1>are seeing past that and incorporating that in I I

0:15:45.200 --> 0:15:47.160
<v Speaker 1>agree with Carl and I think, you know, there was

0:15:47.160 --> 0:15:50.200
<v Speaker 1>a very interesting I'm actually recycled that. Uh, that's that

0:15:50.440 --> 0:15:54.240
<v Speaker 1>comestily about My colleagues are conduct earlier years talk to

0:15:54.320 --> 0:15:58.400
<v Speaker 1>love and since uh studies at the Stone expert creature

0:15:58.840 --> 0:16:02.400
<v Speaker 1>and he ran some numbers that showed that the companies

0:16:02.560 --> 0:16:06.360
<v Speaker 1>that are at least dependent on their human workforce, Uh,

0:16:06.400 --> 0:16:09.200
<v Speaker 1>this year just totally killed it in the stock market

0:16:09.200 --> 0:16:12.200
<v Speaker 1>did way better than companies that are very dependent on

0:16:12.280 --> 0:16:16.320
<v Speaker 1>human workforce. And I know it's the one only thing

0:16:16.360 --> 0:16:17.800
<v Speaker 1>to think about. I think it's the kind of a

0:16:17.840 --> 0:16:19.800
<v Speaker 1>de questive thing to think about. But obviously the stock

0:16:19.840 --> 0:16:23.560
<v Speaker 1>market forever has sort of rewarded companies that are able

0:16:23.560 --> 0:16:27.120
<v Speaker 1>to reduce labor costs, to cut those costs to the bone,

0:16:27.680 --> 0:16:31.640
<v Speaker 1>and that's that phenomenon that tendency to sort of you know,

0:16:31.840 --> 0:16:34.800
<v Speaker 1>always improve those margins, even if it's at the expense

0:16:34.960 --> 0:16:38.440
<v Speaker 1>of human workers. I think that tendency really, uh was

0:16:38.760 --> 0:16:42.360
<v Speaker 1>turbo charged this year because of the pandemic and because

0:16:42.400 --> 0:16:46.600
<v Speaker 1>of this sort of acceleration in technology trends and sort

0:16:46.600 --> 0:16:49.200
<v Speaker 1>of bringing forward of the demand that a lot of companies,

0:16:49.600 --> 0:16:52.400
<v Speaker 1>um we presumably would have had in the future to

0:16:52.480 --> 0:16:55.520
<v Speaker 1>sort of automate more of their workforce ort to you know,

0:16:55.720 --> 0:16:59.120
<v Speaker 1>sort of get ahead of the technology curve as a

0:16:59.200 --> 0:17:02.320
<v Speaker 1>margin margin boosting the element of their business. So, um,

0:17:02.360 --> 0:17:05.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, a really alarmic thing happened when we saw

0:17:05.280 --> 0:17:08.240
<v Speaker 1>the job mark the destimating the way it was, um,

0:17:08.280 --> 0:17:10.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, Mike. The the other thing that's worth mentioning

0:17:10.560 --> 0:17:14.080
<v Speaker 1>here is the something of an outlier to the robot trend.

0:17:14.520 --> 0:17:20.560
<v Speaker 1>Number two best performing stock in SMP, Etsy, I love that.

0:17:21.840 --> 0:17:24.679
<v Speaker 1>So can you talk about that? And and if you

0:17:24.840 --> 0:17:26.440
<v Speaker 1>came back as a stock, would you be et C

0:17:26.680 --> 0:17:31.440
<v Speaker 1>or something? Now that there's anything wrong with being at

0:17:31.440 --> 0:17:37.080
<v Speaker 1>c Hlwebber interesting exception to the rule that pres little

0:17:37.320 --> 0:17:40.760
<v Speaker 1>the rally that the good time for all the people

0:17:40.800 --> 0:17:46.280
<v Speaker 1>meeting and potters and factors at home great source of

0:17:46.359 --> 0:17:50.840
<v Speaker 1>Christmas presents in my household just for the really no,

0:17:50.960 --> 0:17:53.119
<v Speaker 1>but it says a lot. I mean that just blows.

0:17:53.440 --> 0:17:58.040
<v Speaker 1>It's up three twenty nine almost three. Uh yeah, Actually

0:17:58.320 --> 0:18:01.399
<v Speaker 1>was it one of the CBS news programs Amendament, CBS

0:18:01.480 --> 0:18:04.720
<v Speaker 1>Sunday or somebody did showed a couple of people who

0:18:04.880 --> 0:18:06.760
<v Speaker 1>who've been on who just like kind of got onto

0:18:06.800 --> 0:18:09.159
<v Speaker 1>Etsy recently. And it's just you know, it's like a

0:18:09.160 --> 0:18:13.879
<v Speaker 1>mother and a daughter making candles. Uh. It's pretty amazing. Um,

0:18:13.920 --> 0:18:17.120
<v Speaker 1>how they just kind of find their way. Yeah. And um, look,

0:18:17.160 --> 0:18:20.160
<v Speaker 1>the investor and investors this year have loved the company's stock.

0:18:20.200 --> 0:18:23.000
<v Speaker 1>I guess the question is, you know, can it continue? Yeah? Well,

0:18:23.080 --> 0:18:24.960
<v Speaker 1>and there's people who find something and then like stick

0:18:25.000 --> 0:18:27.960
<v Speaker 1>with it. Um. Great, great story. Mike Reagan, as always

0:18:28.119 --> 0:18:30.800
<v Speaker 1>as Joel says, you know I need something interesting. Hey Mike,

0:18:30.840 --> 0:18:32.840
<v Speaker 1>what are you up to? Uh? And Mike always delivers.

0:18:32.840 --> 0:18:34.919
<v Speaker 1>Mike Reagan a senior editor and lead blog or at

0:18:34.920 --> 0:18:37.720
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Markets Live blog on the phone from New Jersey.

0:18:37.760 --> 0:18:42.320
<v Speaker 1>Check them at it Reagan Anonymous on Twitter and also

0:18:42.400 --> 0:18:44.240
<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg dot com. Joell Webber, of course, editor of

0:18:44.240 --> 0:18:46.520
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week. And you can check out the new

0:18:46.560 --> 0:18:48.880
<v Speaker 1>issue of Bloomberg business Week magazine, which is all about

0:18:48.960 --> 0:18:51.760
<v Speaker 1>kind of how our work world has changed dramatically, the

0:18:51.840 --> 0:18:55.080
<v Speaker 1>urban Exodus. It's my favorite color cover that we've had.

0:18:55.280 --> 0:18:59.800
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer from Bloomberg Radio.

0:19:00.080 --> 0:19:01.720
<v Speaker 1>You know, it's interesting. I was listening to David Western

0:19:01.800 --> 0:19:03.879
<v Speaker 1>earlier and he had on Nicholas Burns at the Harvard

0:19:03.960 --> 0:19:07.000
<v Speaker 1>Kennedy School who said that the recent cyber attack on

0:19:07.040 --> 0:19:10.360
<v Speaker 1>the US government and corporations and think tanks may turn

0:19:10.400 --> 0:19:12.399
<v Speaker 1>out to be the largest cyber attack on the US

0:19:12.520 --> 0:19:16.400
<v Speaker 1>up to this point. Yeah, it's pretty significant. So we're

0:19:16.600 --> 0:19:19.040
<v Speaker 1>kind of unpacking this, so let's get into it and

0:19:19.080 --> 0:19:21.399
<v Speaker 1>what you need to know with us right now. Is

0:19:21.400 --> 0:19:25.000
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg News cybersecurity editor Andy Martin on the phone in

0:19:25.040 --> 0:19:28.560
<v Speaker 1>New Jersey, along with Neil Bridges, who cybersecurity advisor at

0:19:28.640 --> 0:19:32.200
<v Speaker 1>Root Access Protection consultant for tech training from I NY.

0:19:32.359 --> 0:19:34.600
<v Speaker 1>He is on the phone from Chicago, and Andy, I

0:19:34.640 --> 0:19:36.399
<v Speaker 1>want to start off with you briefly just kind of

0:19:36.400 --> 0:19:38.720
<v Speaker 1>set the stage. Where are we in terms of what

0:19:38.800 --> 0:19:41.800
<v Speaker 1>we know about this? Because I know a bunch of officials,

0:19:41.840 --> 0:19:45.160
<v Speaker 1>including Attorney General William Barr said that this was likely

0:19:45.200 --> 0:19:48.120
<v Speaker 1>carried out by Russia. Other administration officials have also said

0:19:48.160 --> 0:19:51.520
<v Speaker 1>the same. Yeah, I mean, I think it's still very

0:19:51.560 --> 0:19:54.920
<v Speaker 1>early day. I mean, this is a UM was a

0:19:55.040 --> 0:20:00.480
<v Speaker 1>very clever and spifated attack that that targeted UM, a

0:20:00.560 --> 0:20:05.080
<v Speaker 1>popular software program that's used to manage it by by

0:20:05.119 --> 0:20:09.440
<v Speaker 1>government agencies and companies around the world. So UM basically,

0:20:09.520 --> 0:20:14.240
<v Speaker 1>whoever UH updated the software between March and June of

0:20:14.320 --> 0:20:19.240
<v Speaker 1>last year, UM UH may have gotten a kind of

0:20:19.280 --> 0:20:22.479
<v Speaker 1>a backdoor that these hackers installed in it that they

0:20:22.480 --> 0:20:25.280
<v Speaker 1>could then go back and and sort of use it

0:20:25.280 --> 0:20:29.679
<v Speaker 1>as a sort of staging round from attack. So UM.

0:20:29.680 --> 0:20:33.880
<v Speaker 1>This company, Solar Winds, who produced the software, said as

0:20:33.920 --> 0:20:37.960
<v Speaker 1>many as eighteen thousand customers may have gotten this malicious

0:20:38.000 --> 0:20:42.240
<v Speaker 1>back door. So what's happening now is UM customers of

0:20:42.320 --> 0:20:45.080
<v Speaker 1>Solar Winds are going into their networks. They're trying to

0:20:45.160 --> 0:20:49.040
<v Speaker 1>identify whether or not they have this malicious update. And

0:20:49.160 --> 0:20:51.680
<v Speaker 1>after that comes the hard part, which is trying to

0:20:51.720 --> 0:20:57.800
<v Speaker 1>figure out if these hackers actually entered their network. UM.

0:20:57.840 --> 0:20:59.680
<v Speaker 1>You know, there's a lot of reasons that it's difficult,

0:20:59.680 --> 0:21:03.040
<v Speaker 1>but one is, you know, the way the software operations

0:21:03.080 --> 0:21:04.960
<v Speaker 1>as I understand it is. You know, they would have

0:21:05.520 --> 0:21:10.040
<v Speaker 1>UM administrative credentials when they're in these networks, and they're

0:21:10.040 --> 0:21:13.320
<v Speaker 1>hard to trap because they look like an authorized user.

0:21:13.480 --> 0:21:17.160
<v Speaker 1>So UM, so far it looks like it's the Russians.

0:21:17.200 --> 0:21:20.760
<v Speaker 1>But again it's right days William Barr said that um

0:21:21.920 --> 0:21:25.960
<v Speaker 1>UM and Mike Pompeius said that, but not the President China.

0:21:26.960 --> 0:21:30.320
<v Speaker 1>But it looks like it's the Russian It's so Neil.

0:21:30.359 --> 0:21:33.040
<v Speaker 1>I want to bring you you in here, cybersecurity advisor

0:21:33.119 --> 0:21:35.960
<v Speaker 1>at Root Access Protection. I'm wondering, giving your career, where

0:21:35.960 --> 0:21:38.560
<v Speaker 1>does what we know about this hack and what you've

0:21:38.560 --> 0:21:40.440
<v Speaker 1>seen thus far, where does it fall on the spectrum

0:21:40.440 --> 0:21:44.000
<v Speaker 1>of what you've seen. UM, Thanks to appreciate that and

0:21:44.280 --> 0:21:46.080
<v Speaker 1>thanks for having me on. I think that this definitely

0:21:46.119 --> 0:21:47.840
<v Speaker 1>represents I think what a lot of us are calling

0:21:47.840 --> 0:21:51.600
<v Speaker 1>in the industry as as as close to the cyber

0:21:51.640 --> 0:21:54.720
<v Speaker 1>security pearl harbor as I think we've come in the

0:21:54.760 --> 0:21:58.680
<v Speaker 1>in the number of years given. You know what I said,

0:21:58.720 --> 0:22:03.040
<v Speaker 1>not good, no, no, and I think you hear you

0:22:03.080 --> 0:22:05.880
<v Speaker 1>hear Andy talk about you know, potentially eighteen thousand customers

0:22:05.880 --> 0:22:08.679
<v Speaker 1>haven't have instlved this. Just to understand the size of

0:22:08.680 --> 0:22:11.040
<v Speaker 1>this plume solar winds is installed in over three hundred

0:22:11.040 --> 0:22:14.119
<v Speaker 1>thousand you know, environments across the globe, and that's been

0:22:14.119 --> 0:22:16.520
<v Speaker 1>whittled down to, you know, just what the community has

0:22:16.520 --> 0:22:20.159
<v Speaker 1>been able to have attacked about potentially eighteen thousand um,

0:22:20.200 --> 0:22:22.480
<v Speaker 1>you know that could have had this malicious back door installed.

0:22:22.920 --> 0:22:24.119
<v Speaker 1>One of the things that we have to look at

0:22:24.119 --> 0:22:25.840
<v Speaker 1>those that if this is indeed the Russians, if it

0:22:25.880 --> 0:22:28.159
<v Speaker 1>does indeed proved to be you know, you know, definitively

0:22:28.200 --> 0:22:30.920
<v Speaker 1>the Russians, and this does end up being an espionage campaign,

0:22:31.320 --> 0:22:33.600
<v Speaker 1>and that really only narrows it down to about probably

0:22:33.680 --> 0:22:36.439
<v Speaker 1>the top fifty you know companies that would have allowed

0:22:36.480 --> 0:22:40.280
<v Speaker 1>them to basically further their strategic advantage, um, you know,

0:22:40.359 --> 0:22:44.840
<v Speaker 1>from a Russian cyber attack. Respect is. Yeah, it's really fascinating,

0:22:44.840 --> 0:22:47.320
<v Speaker 1>Martin Microsoft. Well, and hang on it for a second.

0:22:47.320 --> 0:22:49.320
<v Speaker 1>I just want to tell our audience that right now

0:22:49.359 --> 0:22:53.119
<v Speaker 1>President elect Joe Biden is getting ready to get a

0:22:53.200 --> 0:22:57.679
<v Speaker 1>COVID nineteen vaccine. Actually he just got it. Uh So,

0:22:57.760 --> 0:22:59.520
<v Speaker 1>I just wanted to bring it to everyone, and we

0:22:59.600 --> 0:23:02.919
<v Speaker 1>know various officials around the world we're seeing that happen.

0:23:03.000 --> 0:23:06.919
<v Speaker 1>But again, presidelect Joe Biden just getting the COVID nineteen vaccine,

0:23:07.320 --> 0:23:10.120
<v Speaker 1>so watching that, but also watching the cybersecurity So Neil,

0:23:10.200 --> 0:23:14.199
<v Speaker 1>I mean, um, should this not have happened? Uh? Solar

0:23:14.240 --> 0:23:17.040
<v Speaker 1>Winds is saying that they warned a lack of security.

0:23:17.240 --> 0:23:21.520
<v Speaker 1>What happened here. I don't think it's don't think it's

0:23:21.520 --> 0:23:23.119
<v Speaker 1>fair to say that this shouldn't happen. I think one

0:23:23.119 --> 0:23:25.480
<v Speaker 1>of the things that that is critical in our industry

0:23:25.560 --> 0:23:28.240
<v Speaker 1>is that we assume a breach mentality as Hey, Neil,

0:23:28.359 --> 0:23:30.080
<v Speaker 1>I'm sorry, hang on for a second. We just want

0:23:30.080 --> 0:23:32.760
<v Speaker 1>to take everyone to where Joe Biden is president elec

0:23:32.800 --> 0:23:34.760
<v Speaker 1>Joe Biden because he is making some comments listen to

0:23:34.840 --> 0:23:41.440
<v Speaker 1>everyone my next visit and uh. But the important thing

0:23:41.640 --> 0:23:45.399
<v Speaker 1>is that it's worth stating that, you know, this is

0:23:45.520 --> 0:23:48.840
<v Speaker 1>just the beginning. It's one thing to get the vaccine

0:23:48.840 --> 0:23:54.480
<v Speaker 1>out now. Dermot Is is going to be on the

0:23:54.560 --> 0:23:58.400
<v Speaker 1>road as well, but it's gonna take time. It's gonna

0:23:58.400 --> 0:24:01.720
<v Speaker 1>take time and then meantime. I know, I don't want

0:24:01.720 --> 0:24:04.640
<v Speaker 1>to sound like a seller note here, but I hope

0:24:04.640 --> 0:24:08.480
<v Speaker 1>people listen to all the experts from the doctor fauci

0:24:08.560 --> 0:24:12.639
<v Speaker 1>is on talking about the need to wear masks during

0:24:12.640 --> 0:24:17.679
<v Speaker 1>this Christmas and New Year's holidays, wear masks socially distanced

0:24:18.320 --> 0:24:21.840
<v Speaker 1>and uh. And if you don't have to travel, don't travel.

0:24:22.400 --> 0:24:25.720
<v Speaker 1>Don't travel. It's really important because we're still in the

0:24:25.840 --> 0:24:29.080
<v Speaker 1>thick of this. It's one thing to have the vaccine

0:24:29.119 --> 0:24:32.280
<v Speaker 1>show up at the hospital. There's another thing to get

0:24:32.320 --> 0:24:37.320
<v Speaker 1>the vaccine from that vial indo a needle into an arm.

0:24:37.440 --> 0:24:41.359
<v Speaker 1>And uh, there's millions of people out there. They're gonna

0:24:41.440 --> 0:24:44.800
<v Speaker 1>need this front line workers first. But I just want

0:24:44.840 --> 0:24:48.520
<v Speaker 1>to thank everyone for all that they've done. Is some

0:24:48.640 --> 0:25:00.600
<v Speaker 1>real heroes, some real heroes. You're among them. Thank you.

0:25:04.440 --> 0:25:07.000
<v Speaker 1>All Right, you're seeing President elect Joe Biden. For those

0:25:07.040 --> 0:25:08.879
<v Speaker 1>of you obviously in radio can't see this, We're just

0:25:08.880 --> 0:25:12.360
<v Speaker 1>watching a live feed President elect Joe Biden fist bumping

0:25:12.720 --> 0:25:17.359
<v Speaker 1>uh the healthcare uh individual who just administered the COVID

0:25:17.440 --> 0:25:21.639
<v Speaker 1>nineteen vaccine to him. So um again, we're starting to see,

0:25:21.720 --> 0:25:24.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, a lot of people and certainly are higher

0:25:24.040 --> 0:25:28.200
<v Speaker 1>officials Joe um. President elect Joe Biden, of course older

0:25:28.280 --> 0:25:30.640
<v Speaker 1>and certainly makes sense for him to begin in that vaccine.

0:25:31.359 --> 0:25:33.080
<v Speaker 1>We saw, yeah, and it absolutely as we saw a

0:25:33.080 --> 0:25:35.239
<v Speaker 1>lot of members of Congress to posting photos from over

0:25:35.240 --> 0:25:37.840
<v Speaker 1>the weekend getting it of getting the vaccine. Yeah, alright,

0:25:37.880 --> 0:25:39.920
<v Speaker 1>so watching that of course, COVID nineteen. We do want

0:25:39.920 --> 0:25:41.960
<v Speaker 1>to get back to our guests and our apologies for

0:25:42.040 --> 0:25:44.879
<v Speaker 1>the interruption. We are talking about this cyber attack on

0:25:44.920 --> 0:25:47.159
<v Speaker 1>the US government and companies. Annie Martin still with a

0:25:47.240 --> 0:25:50.040
<v Speaker 1>cybersecurity editor Bloomberg News. Neil Bridge is still with US

0:25:50.200 --> 0:25:54.439
<v Speaker 1>cybersecurity advisor Root Access Protection consultant Protect Training Firm. I

0:25:54.560 --> 0:25:57.960
<v Speaker 1>any so, Neil, Um, I was saying you were you

0:25:58.000 --> 0:25:59.679
<v Speaker 1>were talking about and I kind of said, you know,

0:25:59.680 --> 0:26:02.840
<v Speaker 1>should should this have happened? I mean, Solar Winds was

0:26:02.920 --> 0:26:06.000
<v Speaker 1>kind of there was an advisor there. Um, this was

0:26:06.080 --> 0:26:10.359
<v Speaker 1>the company that warned you know, his management management of

0:26:10.400 --> 0:26:13.199
<v Speaker 1>cybersecurity risks and had laid out a plan to improve it,

0:26:13.240 --> 0:26:17.640
<v Speaker 1>but was ultimately ignored. Um. Is it just maybe more

0:26:17.640 --> 0:26:20.800
<v Speaker 1>surprising that something like this didn't happen sooner rather than

0:26:21.359 --> 0:26:25.120
<v Speaker 1>now absolutely care? And that's what kind before that. I think.

0:26:25.160 --> 0:26:26.919
<v Speaker 1>I think what companies have to do is they have

0:26:27.000 --> 0:26:30.000
<v Speaker 1>to assume um, you know, if reach mentality. And this

0:26:30.040 --> 0:26:32.600
<v Speaker 1>is why I've focused on the people and the training

0:26:32.680 --> 0:26:35.760
<v Speaker 1>is incredibly important. You know, you you cided in this

0:26:35.880 --> 0:26:37.880
<v Speaker 1>In this instance, they didn't listen to the folks when

0:26:37.920 --> 0:26:41.840
<v Speaker 1>when these types of security vulnerabilities were highlighted UM coming

0:26:41.880 --> 0:26:44.040
<v Speaker 1>from the teams that are ultimately responsible with the security

0:26:44.040 --> 0:26:46.520
<v Speaker 1>inside of Solar winds Um. I think that that shows

0:26:46.600 --> 0:26:50.159
<v Speaker 1>just a lack of transparency and lack of accountability UM

0:26:50.160 --> 0:26:52.960
<v Speaker 1>at the highest levels of leadership and organization like Solar

0:26:52.960 --> 0:26:55.439
<v Speaker 1>winds Um to not be able to to take that

0:26:55.560 --> 0:26:58.520
<v Speaker 1>information into consideration and be able to protect not just

0:26:58.640 --> 0:27:01.639
<v Speaker 1>their own data, but the valuable access that they have

0:27:01.800 --> 0:27:04.760
<v Speaker 1>to over you know, over over, you know, the course

0:27:04.760 --> 0:27:08.040
<v Speaker 1>of the three thousand clients that they have globally. Yeah,

0:27:08.440 --> 0:27:10.520
<v Speaker 1>one thing I would like to kneel about. I mean

0:27:11.520 --> 0:27:15.200
<v Speaker 1>our story today about Solo Leans. I mean, it does

0:27:15.240 --> 0:27:19.760
<v Speaker 1>appear that Solo Leans had some security issues UM historically

0:27:19.880 --> 0:27:21.720
<v Speaker 1>or they didn't address some of the things that the

0:27:22.160 --> 0:27:26.200
<v Speaker 1>cyber advisors are recommending. But you know, these actors, whether

0:27:26.240 --> 0:27:31.280
<v Speaker 1>they're Chinese or Russian or US are extremely talented UM,

0:27:31.800 --> 0:27:34.600
<v Speaker 1>and my senses that if they really want to get

0:27:34.640 --> 0:27:36.800
<v Speaker 1>into a network, even if they would have had really

0:27:36.840 --> 0:27:40.520
<v Speaker 1>good defenses, they probably couldn't kneel what you say, your

0:27:40.560 --> 0:27:44.080
<v Speaker 1>sense agree and That's that's why I get back to

0:27:44.640 --> 0:27:47.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, organizations, you know, need to need to adoptimize

0:27:47.640 --> 0:27:49.520
<v Speaker 1>that that it's not a matter of if they're going

0:27:49.600 --> 0:27:51.440
<v Speaker 1>to get hacked, it's a matter of when they're going

0:27:51.480 --> 0:27:54.240
<v Speaker 1>to get hacked. UM. That way they can focus on

0:27:54.480 --> 0:27:57.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, you know, the identification of of these types

0:27:57.720 --> 0:27:59.960
<v Speaker 1>of tales of of when their organization may be comper

0:28:00.080 --> 0:28:04.119
<v Speaker 1>minds being able to respond faster to those indicators. And

0:28:04.119 --> 0:28:06.280
<v Speaker 1>then we need to have more transparency and that needs

0:28:06.320 --> 0:28:09.960
<v Speaker 1>to be driven UM, you know, by consumers, by organizations

0:28:09.960 --> 0:28:13.080
<v Speaker 1>and by Wall Street, UM, so that we get more

0:28:13.359 --> 0:28:16.280
<v Speaker 1>more more forthcoming information about these cyber attacks so that

0:28:16.359 --> 0:28:19.960
<v Speaker 1>we can we can respond to them, you know appropriately. So, Andy,

0:28:20.000 --> 0:28:22.720
<v Speaker 1>what what happens now? What do we see play out

0:28:22.760 --> 0:28:26.160
<v Speaker 1>over the next few months as companies discover their vulnerabilities

0:28:26.200 --> 0:28:29.480
<v Speaker 1>and the data that was accessed. Well, I mean, I

0:28:29.520 --> 0:28:33.040
<v Speaker 1>think the big question we don't know is the potential

0:28:33.080 --> 0:28:36.320
<v Speaker 1>scope of this is Neil point alluded to, is huge,

0:28:36.680 --> 0:28:38.320
<v Speaker 1>But we don't know what they took or what they

0:28:38.320 --> 0:28:41.040
<v Speaker 1>were looking for. And I think, you know, there's this

0:28:41.160 --> 0:28:46.760
<v Speaker 1>painstaking investigative process going forward in these US agencies and

0:28:46.760 --> 0:28:51.040
<v Speaker 1>and in UM private companies that were breached to try

0:28:51.120 --> 0:28:54.960
<v Speaker 1>to go and retrace the hackers steps to figure out

0:28:55.160 --> 0:28:57.800
<v Speaker 1>what they got, what they're looking for, what the motive is.

0:28:57.800 --> 0:28:59.400
<v Speaker 1>We don't know what the motive is, right, We don't

0:28:59.440 --> 0:29:02.520
<v Speaker 1>know what they're lookingclen the Treasuring Department or the Department

0:29:02.520 --> 0:29:05.239
<v Speaker 1>of Homeland Security or what might have been stolen. And

0:29:05.280 --> 0:29:09.600
<v Speaker 1>so um I think now the process is just trying

0:29:09.640 --> 0:29:14.240
<v Speaker 1>to like retrace uh and and and and assess the

0:29:14.360 --> 0:29:17.320
<v Speaker 1>damage well and with all with all due respect of

0:29:17.360 --> 0:29:19.200
<v Speaker 1>that thing, Andy, I think, um, you know, we may

0:29:19.240 --> 0:29:20.920
<v Speaker 1>never know what they were trying to access on the

0:29:20.920 --> 0:29:23.040
<v Speaker 1>government side, but one thing is for certain is that

0:29:23.160 --> 0:29:26.520
<v Speaker 1>companies like Microsoft and Cisco, UM and some of these

0:29:26.520 --> 0:29:29.720
<v Speaker 1>other large name organizations that were you know, also impacted

0:29:29.720 --> 0:29:33.000
<v Speaker 1>by by the security breach. We know that these adversaries,

0:29:33.000 --> 0:29:35.840
<v Speaker 1>if they were indeed on an espionage campaign, we're utilizing

0:29:35.880 --> 0:29:39.280
<v Speaker 1>those companies to gain access to some of these other

0:29:39.320 --> 0:29:42.760
<v Speaker 1>government entities. UM. I think that those organizations should start

0:29:42.760 --> 0:29:46.120
<v Speaker 1>to look and see what what interconnectivity that they have

0:29:46.720 --> 0:29:48.880
<v Speaker 1>with with other high profile clients, and that would be

0:29:49.000 --> 0:29:50.800
<v Speaker 1>good indicator is to to some of the other ones

0:29:50.840 --> 0:29:53.440
<v Speaker 1>that they have access to. So I don't know, Neil.

0:29:53.640 --> 0:29:55.720
<v Speaker 1>You know what's interesting is too I wonder like, what

0:29:55.760 --> 0:29:58.680
<v Speaker 1>do we learn from this? Um, you're a former member

0:29:58.720 --> 0:30:00.680
<v Speaker 1>of the U. S. Air Forces, I think network war

0:30:00.840 --> 0:30:04.040
<v Speaker 1>for Warfare unit. Excuse me, so you served at cyber

0:30:04.080 --> 0:30:07.360
<v Speaker 1>command there. Um, what is it that the government now

0:30:07.520 --> 0:30:10.800
<v Speaker 1>is going? What is it that the government is going

0:30:10.840 --> 0:30:13.840
<v Speaker 1>to have to do differently now? Um? And really just

0:30:14.000 --> 0:30:16.560
<v Speaker 1>to make sure that our systems are secure. We're talking

0:30:16.560 --> 0:30:20.800
<v Speaker 1>about really serious parts of our government that that you know,

0:30:21.280 --> 0:30:25.680
<v Speaker 1>we're attacked and people got access to absolutely, And I

0:30:25.680 --> 0:30:27.840
<v Speaker 1>think I think the first thing is to break down

0:30:27.840 --> 0:30:29.360
<v Speaker 1>a little bit of that barrier, right, is that this

0:30:29.440 --> 0:30:31.680
<v Speaker 1>is this is another day in the office for for

0:30:31.720 --> 0:30:34.320
<v Speaker 1>the government, especially the network warfare teams, both on the

0:30:34.360 --> 0:30:36.640
<v Speaker 1>offense and the defensive side. This this just happens to

0:30:36.640 --> 0:30:38.479
<v Speaker 1>be one that made it, you know, kind of bubbled

0:30:38.520 --> 0:30:40.920
<v Speaker 1>up to the top from a news perspective, So so

0:30:41.120 --> 0:30:42.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, it is another day in the office. I

0:30:42.720 --> 0:30:44.640
<v Speaker 1>think what makes this one different, right, is that it

0:30:44.680 --> 0:30:49.400
<v Speaker 1>has led over into having some some real commercial impact.

0:30:49.440 --> 0:30:52.040
<v Speaker 1>And I think that what that really highlights for you know,

0:30:52.080 --> 0:30:54.320
<v Speaker 1>folks who may be listening or or or worried about

0:30:54.320 --> 0:30:57.920
<v Speaker 1>their companies and our organizations, is that that line between

0:30:58.000 --> 0:31:01.000
<v Speaker 1>cyber warfare you know that the government is oftentimes engaged

0:31:01.040 --> 0:31:04.520
<v Speaker 1>with you know, you know, across the cyber boundaries. It

0:31:04.720 --> 0:31:06.680
<v Speaker 1>is now really starting to pull in a lot of

0:31:06.840 --> 0:31:10.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, you know, household name businesses like Microsoft, like Cisco,

0:31:10.760 --> 0:31:13.560
<v Speaker 1>um and you may actually see that that more organizations

0:31:13.560 --> 0:31:16.640
<v Speaker 1>are susceptible or in those crosshairs, um you know, of

0:31:16.640 --> 0:31:19.719
<v Speaker 1>of being involved in this cyber warfare. Then then probably

0:31:19.760 --> 0:31:22.280
<v Speaker 1>what you're typically used to to thinking about from a

0:31:22.360 --> 0:31:24.480
<v Speaker 1>government on government perspective. But I think back to your

0:31:24.480 --> 0:31:28.080
<v Speaker 1>original question, um, you knows, as the government starts to

0:31:28.160 --> 0:31:30.920
<v Speaker 1>unpack this and and see what what potentially this could

0:31:30.960 --> 0:31:34.520
<v Speaker 1>have had from an espionage perspective, they're looking to see,

0:31:35.120 --> 0:31:37.440
<v Speaker 1>you know what what potential types of um, you know,

0:31:37.560 --> 0:31:40.160
<v Speaker 1>tactics they may have have to change, what potential types

0:31:40.200 --> 0:31:43.440
<v Speaker 1>of access that they did get inside of the Treasury

0:31:43.520 --> 0:31:46.320
<v Speaker 1>or Department Homeland Security or some of the other you know,

0:31:46.360 --> 0:31:50.200
<v Speaker 1>impacted industries are impacted in areas of the government, and

0:31:50.200 --> 0:31:52.560
<v Speaker 1>then take that data and try to to pivot and

0:31:52.760 --> 0:31:55.440
<v Speaker 1>and obfuscated and hide it more. I think what we

0:31:55.480 --> 0:31:57.640
<v Speaker 1>really need to look at is, you know, the level

0:31:57.720 --> 0:32:00.840
<v Speaker 1>of trust that we're putting into company like Solar Winds

0:32:00.880 --> 0:32:03.360
<v Speaker 1>and countries like Microsoft and some of these other third

0:32:03.360 --> 0:32:06.400
<v Speaker 1>party companies. Andy to that ended. One thing that really

0:32:06.400 --> 0:32:09.520
<v Speaker 1>surprised me and opened my eyes in reading about the

0:32:09.520 --> 0:32:11.680
<v Speaker 1>Solar wins hack over the last few days was the

0:32:11.760 --> 0:32:14.760
<v Speaker 1>reliance that the U s Government has on third parties,

0:32:14.880 --> 0:32:16.840
<v Speaker 1>the reliance of the US government has on the private

0:32:16.840 --> 0:32:20.600
<v Speaker 1>sector in order to keep this data safe. Because you

0:32:20.600 --> 0:32:22.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, you are only as strong as your weakest link,

0:32:22.880 --> 0:32:25.800
<v Speaker 1>and if the software you're using can be accessed by

0:32:25.880 --> 0:32:30.120
<v Speaker 1>rogue actors, then that's not necessarily an okay thing. Does

0:32:30.160 --> 0:32:33.800
<v Speaker 1>this make the US government question their reliance on the

0:32:33.840 --> 0:32:38.440
<v Speaker 1>private sector for this type of work? You know, I

0:32:38.440 --> 0:32:40.160
<v Speaker 1>don't know the answer to that question, to be honest.

0:32:40.200 --> 0:32:43.120
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I think one of the issues we have

0:32:43.200 --> 0:32:45.680
<v Speaker 1>to sort of try to address this Toronto is to

0:32:45.760 --> 0:32:49.280
<v Speaker 1>figure out what went wrong and why the US didn't

0:32:49.320 --> 0:32:53.120
<v Speaker 1>have all the money they spent on cybersecurity. Why didn't

0:32:53.120 --> 0:32:55.440
<v Speaker 1>they have a way to sort of flag the fact

0:32:55.520 --> 0:32:58.640
<v Speaker 1>that hackers were in their networks for months at a time.

0:32:59.160 --> 0:33:01.320
<v Speaker 1>I don't know the answer, want, I don't know what

0:33:01.520 --> 0:33:05.040
<v Speaker 1>the failure was. I mean, certainly, yes, they got into

0:33:05.120 --> 0:33:09.880
<v Speaker 1>this third party, but UM, I don't we don't understand

0:33:09.960 --> 0:33:13.160
<v Speaker 1>yet why they were able to sort of stay in

0:33:13.200 --> 0:33:16.120
<v Speaker 1>these networks so long on detective mail. What's your thoughts

0:33:16.120 --> 0:33:19.080
<v Speaker 1>on on that on that question, and especially when you

0:33:19.080 --> 0:33:21.800
<v Speaker 1>think about the government thinking about kind of its supply chain,

0:33:21.960 --> 0:33:26.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, tech technologically, the the government's really starting to

0:33:26.600 --> 0:33:28.600
<v Speaker 1>expand out its reliance on third party. If you if

0:33:28.600 --> 0:33:30.160
<v Speaker 1>you look at some of the contracts that have happened

0:33:30.160 --> 0:33:31.880
<v Speaker 1>over the last couple of years, especially as they move

0:33:31.880 --> 0:33:35.800
<v Speaker 1>into some of their d O deep private cloud uh,

0:33:35.960 --> 0:33:39.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, contract conversations between like Google and Amazon. UM.

0:33:39.600 --> 0:33:41.440
<v Speaker 1>You know, I don't think we're going to see a

0:33:41.520 --> 0:33:44.920
<v Speaker 1>decrease reliance on on the private sector. I think that UM,

0:33:44.960 --> 0:33:49.520
<v Speaker 1>with the advent of the the government's Cybersecurity Maturity Model

0:33:49.560 --> 0:33:52.240
<v Speaker 1>that went into effect on the first December. UM, that's

0:33:52.280 --> 0:33:54.960
<v Speaker 1>a move in the right direction to try to put

0:33:55.000 --> 0:33:57.240
<v Speaker 1>some more controls in place to validate some of these

0:33:57.240 --> 0:34:00.480
<v Speaker 1>companies and that the protections that they're putting in place. UM.

0:34:00.920 --> 0:34:03.600
<v Speaker 1>You know, supposedly companies like Solar Winds and Microsoft have

0:34:03.720 --> 0:34:07.480
<v Speaker 1>those controls in place and are that that level of compliance. UM.

0:34:07.560 --> 0:34:09.280
<v Speaker 1>But This gets back to what I was saying before,

0:34:09.320 --> 0:34:12.160
<v Speaker 1>is that we have to assume that that no system

0:34:12.200 --> 0:34:14.000
<v Speaker 1>is impenetrable, and we have to get used to the

0:34:14.200 --> 0:34:15.480
<v Speaker 1>fact that we're going to see more and more these

0:34:15.480 --> 0:34:18.480
<v Speaker 1>cyber attacks. And can I assume that the US is

0:34:18.520 --> 0:34:22.640
<v Speaker 1>similarly similarly doing this on other governments as well, Neil,

0:34:23.760 --> 0:34:26.440
<v Speaker 1>I think that that's absolutely fair. I think it's completely

0:34:26.480 --> 0:34:28.840
<v Speaker 1>fair to assume that that any government out there in

0:34:28.880 --> 0:34:32.120
<v Speaker 1>the world, whether it's you know, Russian, US, Chinese, you

0:34:32.160 --> 0:34:34.799
<v Speaker 1>know India, you know, France, whatever the cases, they all

0:34:34.880 --> 0:34:38.040
<v Speaker 1>have you know, offensive cyber operations going on um to

0:34:38.080 --> 0:34:41.719
<v Speaker 1>try to protect their national sovereignty. Yeah, do you if

0:34:42.000 --> 0:34:46.080
<v Speaker 1>Neil QUI really quickly though, Andy Nel, what's the what's

0:34:46.080 --> 0:34:48.319
<v Speaker 1>the precedent for this attack? I'm trying to think of

0:34:48.320 --> 0:34:50.560
<v Speaker 1>one that's sort of I mean, maybe they're not pet

0:34:50.600 --> 0:34:52.080
<v Speaker 1>you attack, but as there are others that you could

0:34:52.120 --> 0:34:55.440
<v Speaker 1>think of that sort of resemble it in terms of

0:34:55.440 --> 0:34:59.120
<v Speaker 1>its scope. Got about thirty seconds. Neil, Sure, absolutely, I

0:34:59.400 --> 0:35:01.560
<v Speaker 1>I think I think not PETYA is a good way

0:35:01.640 --> 0:35:04.480
<v Speaker 1>to to look at this from a global scale perspective.

0:35:04.480 --> 0:35:07.800
<v Speaker 1>I think this is vastly different because the control that

0:35:07.880 --> 0:35:10.800
<v Speaker 1>an organization like Solar Winds from a singular company has

0:35:11.239 --> 0:35:13.520
<v Speaker 1>um what was far greater than what we saw from

0:35:13.560 --> 0:35:16.640
<v Speaker 1>a not PETYA plus that was very driven by financial

0:35:17.160 --> 0:35:19.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, gained by the by the by the company

0:35:19.520 --> 0:35:21.719
<v Speaker 1>that or the country that perpetuated it. This one was

0:35:21.760 --> 0:35:24.920
<v Speaker 1>done for espionage. I think the motives are vastly different. Alright,

0:35:24.920 --> 0:35:27.439
<v Speaker 1>great stuff, guys, Thank you so much. That was really

0:35:27.480 --> 0:35:30.600
<v Speaker 1>a wonderful deep dive into that cyber attack. Annie Martin,

0:35:30.920 --> 0:35:34.040
<v Speaker 1>cybersecurity editor, up Bloomberg News on the phone from New Jersey.

0:35:34.040 --> 0:35:37.719
<v Speaker 1>Neal Bridges, cybersecurity advisor, a root access protection consultant for

0:35:37.800 --> 0:35:40.919
<v Speaker 1>tech training from Irony on the phone from Chicago. Get

0:35:40.920 --> 0:35:42.640
<v Speaker 1>ready for more is all I'm gonna say. Ye, turn

0:35:42.719 --> 0:35:45.640
<v Speaker 1>on that two factor authentication is what the cybersecurity experts

0:35:45.760 --> 0:35:54.600
<v Speaker 1>remind everybody, right ro journal Yeah, but you let me drive?

0:35:54.880 --> 0:36:01.919
<v Speaker 1>Oh no, no, no, no no, all right, please, I want

0:36:01.920 --> 0:36:17.560
<v Speaker 1>to drive, just drives the questions drying. Yeah, this is

0:36:17.600 --> 0:36:20.960
<v Speaker 1>the drive to the globe community. Thanks, we'll drying us

0:36:21.480 --> 0:36:24.680
<v Speaker 1>Dawn on Bluebird Radio. It is time for the drive

0:36:24.719 --> 0:36:26.440
<v Speaker 1>to the close back with us. As Brian Yackman, he

0:36:26.600 --> 0:36:30.040
<v Speaker 1>is chief Investment Officer and portfolio manager lead manager of

0:36:30.080 --> 0:36:32.200
<v Speaker 1>the y CG Enhanced Fund that fun by the way,

0:36:32.480 --> 0:36:35.440
<v Speaker 1>in the ercentile of the past five years, returning nearly

0:36:35.480 --> 0:36:39.480
<v Speaker 1>six on average annually and count some big names that

0:36:39.520 --> 0:36:42.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, MasterCard, Nike, Moody's amongst some of its top holdings.

0:36:42.880 --> 0:36:45.600
<v Speaker 1>Brian is based in Austin, Texas. That's exactly where we

0:36:45.640 --> 0:36:47.799
<v Speaker 1>find him. Brian, Nice to have you here with Tim

0:36:47.800 --> 0:36:51.319
<v Speaker 1>and myself. How are you. It's great to be back,

0:36:52.120 --> 0:36:55.480
<v Speaker 1>doing really well, enjoying the season. Yeah, every everybody's moving

0:36:55.560 --> 0:36:57.439
<v Speaker 1>to Austin. Yeah, I was just gonna say that, Brian.

0:36:57.480 --> 0:36:59.200
<v Speaker 1>How does it feel to be in like the coolest

0:36:59.239 --> 0:37:02.000
<v Speaker 1>place in the world right now in the US for businesses?

0:37:02.040 --> 0:37:04.560
<v Speaker 1>I guess well we planned it that way, of course,

0:37:04.920 --> 0:37:09.480
<v Speaker 1>of course. So's it's great, like we you can almost

0:37:09.520 --> 0:37:11.760
<v Speaker 1>get the winter months here. So we were out caroling

0:37:11.800 --> 0:37:15.800
<v Speaker 1>with our kids last night, bringing cookies to neighbors and such,

0:37:15.880 --> 0:37:19.279
<v Speaker 1>and you can go out in a T shirt and

0:37:19.360 --> 0:37:22.520
<v Speaker 1>we could not do that here. Um. So let's talk

0:37:22.560 --> 0:37:25.960
<v Speaker 1>about the market environment right now. I know you specifically

0:37:25.960 --> 0:37:29.960
<v Speaker 1>look at names, so right now where it feels like

0:37:30.000 --> 0:37:33.759
<v Speaker 1>record after record, despite maybe a little bit lower today, Um,

0:37:33.880 --> 0:37:37.080
<v Speaker 1>are you finding opportunities right now, are feeling like you

0:37:37.160 --> 0:37:39.160
<v Speaker 1>want to commit new money or is it just kind

0:37:39.160 --> 0:37:45.239
<v Speaker 1>of holding strategy right now. So I don't know if

0:37:45.239 --> 0:37:47.799
<v Speaker 1>i'd say a whole lot of brand new names, um,

0:37:47.880 --> 0:37:50.640
<v Speaker 1>but there are some names that we feel more excited

0:37:50.680 --> 0:37:54.600
<v Speaker 1>about relative to others. UM. I think that you know,

0:37:54.760 --> 0:37:56.960
<v Speaker 1>it's no surprise as to anybody that most talks are

0:37:57.200 --> 0:38:00.319
<v Speaker 1>way more expensive now. UM, But I think it maybe

0:38:00.320 --> 0:38:02.560
<v Speaker 1>a little bit of a surprise to some that that's

0:38:02.600 --> 0:38:06.080
<v Speaker 1>the case with some of these recovery plays, because even

0:38:06.080 --> 0:38:09.560
<v Speaker 1>though they are individual stock prices may be lower relative

0:38:09.560 --> 0:38:12.800
<v Speaker 1>to the beginning of the year, you know, like airlines, cruises, hotels,

0:38:13.560 --> 0:38:15.759
<v Speaker 1>many of them are actually way more expensive when you

0:38:15.800 --> 0:38:19.080
<v Speaker 1>look at the entire enterprise divided by their cash flows.

0:38:19.080 --> 0:38:22.280
<v Speaker 1>And I'm not just talking like next year's cash flows,

0:38:22.280 --> 0:38:25.000
<v Speaker 1>but I'm saying, even beyond into the recovery, they're looking

0:38:25.040 --> 0:38:28.200
<v Speaker 1>way more expensive because they've burned through so much cash

0:38:28.239 --> 0:38:31.000
<v Speaker 1>and as they've incurred all these losses and then they

0:38:31.000 --> 0:38:34.359
<v Speaker 1>need to take on so much debt to survive, and uh,

0:38:35.239 --> 0:38:38.000
<v Speaker 1>these businesses, we're saying, man, they're more expensive than they

0:38:38.000 --> 0:38:39.799
<v Speaker 1>were at the beginning of the year. Despite not having

0:38:39.880 --> 0:38:44.400
<v Speaker 1>recovered UM. But then you have other companies, like you

0:38:44.480 --> 0:38:47.080
<v Speaker 1>just mentioned Moody's being in our top UM. We started

0:38:47.080 --> 0:38:50.600
<v Speaker 1>to add to SMP Global UM and another one I

0:38:50.600 --> 0:38:54.000
<v Speaker 1>bring up is Progressive. They've all had great, I mean

0:38:54.040 --> 0:38:57.960
<v Speaker 1>incredible business performance UM this year, but interestingly, their stocks

0:38:57.960 --> 0:39:01.600
<v Speaker 1>haven't really participate paid it and rebounded nearly as much

0:39:01.640 --> 0:39:04.680
<v Speaker 1>as these others UM relative to the beginning of the year.

0:39:04.719 --> 0:39:06.680
<v Speaker 1>I mean, they're doing well, but not they're not blowing

0:39:06.680 --> 0:39:13.919
<v Speaker 1>things away. Yeah, like their performances is killing it. But

0:39:13.920 --> 0:39:16.920
<v Speaker 1>but what I'm saying is when you adjust when when

0:39:16.920 --> 0:39:20.239
<v Speaker 1>you look at price relative to their total I'm looking

0:39:20.239 --> 0:39:22.800
<v Speaker 1>at the total valuation, right, So their businesses the stock

0:39:22.840 --> 0:39:25.719
<v Speaker 1>prices up, but it's not up nearly as much as

0:39:25.760 --> 0:39:28.319
<v Speaker 1>you'd expect it to be given how well it's outperformed.

0:39:29.239 --> 0:39:32.560
<v Speaker 1>So like, if you look at like the staff companies UM,

0:39:32.600 --> 0:39:34.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, they've all had great performance and a lot

0:39:34.520 --> 0:39:37.799
<v Speaker 1>of acceleration of demand, and their stock prices in a

0:39:37.800 --> 0:39:40.880
<v Speaker 1>lot of cases they've gone up way faster than revenues

0:39:40.880 --> 0:39:46.480
<v Speaker 1>and cash flows. You know, like the zooms, Shopify, Dated Dog, Twilio,

0:39:46.640 --> 0:39:49.360
<v Speaker 1>all that stuff. But these guys, what I'm saying, is

0:39:49.400 --> 0:39:52.800
<v Speaker 1>their performance has also been amazing, but their stock prices

0:39:52.840 --> 0:39:55.480
<v Speaker 1>haven't reacted. You'd think they'd be up just as much

0:39:55.480 --> 0:39:58.640
<v Speaker 1>as all those guys. And I think it's because people

0:39:58.640 --> 0:40:00.680
<v Speaker 1>are fearful that they're good results for maybe just a

0:40:00.719 --> 0:40:04.279
<v Speaker 1>one time exceptional result, and that will lead to a

0:40:04.280 --> 0:40:07.799
<v Speaker 1>hard comparison next year. But we don't think that's necessarily

0:40:07.800 --> 0:40:11.719
<v Speaker 1>the case. And really, to us, that's the kind of

0:40:11.719 --> 0:40:15.960
<v Speaker 1>the perfect opportunity is when investors are saying, hey, this

0:40:16.000 --> 0:40:18.120
<v Speaker 1>business is really great in the long run, but we're

0:40:18.160 --> 0:40:21.160
<v Speaker 1>fearful that maybe it's gonna have tough comparisons year over year.

0:40:21.560 --> 0:40:24.040
<v Speaker 1>Now is not the time to buy it. Those short

0:40:24.120 --> 0:40:29.280
<v Speaker 1>term concerns usually lead to some of the best mispricing opportunities,

0:40:30.160 --> 0:40:33.319
<v Speaker 1>and especially well, I was just gonna saying, especially if

0:40:33.320 --> 0:40:36.000
<v Speaker 1>it's connected to it's such a high quality business. High

0:40:36.040 --> 0:40:39.000
<v Speaker 1>quality tends to almost perpetually be undervalued, and so we

0:40:39.360 --> 0:40:42.200
<v Speaker 1>think investors are wedding both of those principles leading to

0:40:42.200 --> 0:40:44.360
<v Speaker 1>great opportunities in those companies. What do you think of

0:40:44.400 --> 0:40:46.840
<v Speaker 1>just where we are right now big picture? You know,

0:40:46.880 --> 0:40:48.719
<v Speaker 1>we're we're at this place where we're at the end

0:40:48.719 --> 0:40:50.840
<v Speaker 1>of the year, the market has done incredibly well, but

0:40:50.880 --> 0:40:54.400
<v Speaker 1>it's so disconnected from the actual real economy where millions

0:40:54.400 --> 0:40:58.360
<v Speaker 1>of people are unemployed and underemployed. When is the market

0:40:58.360 --> 0:41:01.640
<v Speaker 1>going to catch up to main Street and see some

0:41:01.680 --> 0:41:06.319
<v Speaker 1>sort of pullback? Well, I think that it's you know,

0:41:06.320 --> 0:41:10.040
<v Speaker 1>there's so much liquidity slashing around. It's obvious and and

0:41:10.080 --> 0:41:13.600
<v Speaker 1>there's no question that we see evidences of what just

0:41:13.640 --> 0:41:18.799
<v Speaker 1>seemed to be very speculative um type behavior across the board.

0:41:18.920 --> 0:41:23.040
<v Speaker 1>But I think the problem is that when when people

0:41:23.040 --> 0:41:26.360
<v Speaker 1>are investing purely based on saying, well, I'm waiting or

0:41:26.360 --> 0:41:29.719
<v Speaker 1>anticipating the pullback, I think those things are too difficult

0:41:29.719 --> 0:41:33.640
<v Speaker 1>to predict and we don't really know. Could this turn

0:41:33.680 --> 0:41:36.400
<v Speaker 1>into like a Japan like environment. You know, before the

0:41:36.440 --> 0:41:40.760
<v Speaker 1>whole Lost Decades happened in Japan, the Chiller cape ratio,

0:41:40.760 --> 0:41:43.400
<v Speaker 1>as an example, went up to about ninety. We're at

0:41:43.440 --> 0:41:47.120
<v Speaker 1>like a thirties something. I'm not, by any means saying

0:41:47.239 --> 0:41:49.640
<v Speaker 1>I think that this is not me saying I'm super

0:41:49.680 --> 0:41:52.200
<v Speaker 1>bullish and we should. I think the market's gonna double

0:41:52.239 --> 0:41:55.319
<v Speaker 1>from here, triple. What I'm saying is is that you

0:41:55.360 --> 0:41:59.680
<v Speaker 1>can go for decades with a cape ratio being highly elevated,

0:42:00.360 --> 0:42:02.640
<v Speaker 1>and with all the liquidity slashing around, it's trying to

0:42:02.640 --> 0:42:05.880
<v Speaker 1>find places to go. And I think that the dangerous

0:42:05.920 --> 0:42:09.520
<v Speaker 1>people reaching for yield trying to find it in probably

0:42:09.520 --> 0:42:12.080
<v Speaker 1>some of the most dangerous places. And so we think

0:42:12.120 --> 0:42:14.200
<v Speaker 1>the right move is just to on these global champions

0:42:14.239 --> 0:42:16.960
<v Speaker 1>that have enduring pricing power so that you don't have

0:42:17.000 --> 0:42:18.880
<v Speaker 1>to try to time the market, right, you just know

0:42:18.960 --> 0:42:21.440
<v Speaker 1>that you feel confident you're in good place. Hey, listen,

0:42:21.480 --> 0:42:25.319
<v Speaker 1>just got about forty five seconds here. Wells Fargo is

0:42:25.320 --> 0:42:31.560
<v Speaker 1>a name, um that you guys like it's down this year?

0:42:31.680 --> 0:42:34.120
<v Speaker 1>When does it? And I understand right, probably a great

0:42:34.160 --> 0:42:37.880
<v Speaker 1>value play if it ultimately turns around. Um, is that

0:42:37.920 --> 0:42:41.920
<v Speaker 1>what you're banking on? Yeah, I mean it certainly is

0:42:42.040 --> 0:42:44.640
<v Speaker 1>way cheaper than all the other great banks out there.

0:42:44.680 --> 0:42:47.879
<v Speaker 1>We do own JP Morgan and Bank of America as well, UM,

0:42:47.920 --> 0:42:50.240
<v Speaker 1>and I think they're kind of better one stop business model,

0:42:50.680 --> 0:42:54.560
<v Speaker 1>um globally, But you know, I just it's one of

0:42:54.600 --> 0:42:56.640
<v Speaker 1>those that, Yeah, it's a it's a value play that

0:42:56.680 --> 0:42:58.440
<v Speaker 1>we think is a little bit too cheap to pass up,

0:42:59.200 --> 0:43:02.479
<v Speaker 1>and uh have unfortunately we owned it before it became

0:43:02.520 --> 0:43:05.640
<v Speaker 1>a problem. It's not one we're proud to own. But

0:43:05.680 --> 0:43:07.759
<v Speaker 1>it is a it's definite. It's one of the few

0:43:07.760 --> 0:43:11.960
<v Speaker 1>contrarian plays in the portfolio. Yeah, interesting stuff, Um, listen.

0:43:11.960 --> 0:43:14.759
<v Speaker 1>We always love talking names with you, Brian, so thank

0:43:14.800 --> 0:43:17.960
<v Speaker 1>you so much. Brian Yachman, he's chief investment officer at

0:43:18.080 --> 0:43:22.040
<v Speaker 1>y CG Investments, joining us on the phone from Austin, Texas.

0:43:22.280 --> 0:43:24.840
<v Speaker 1>Thanks so much for listening to Bloomberg Business Week. Download

0:43:24.880 --> 0:43:28.160
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0:43:28.239 --> 0:43:30.239
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0:43:30.280 --> 0:43:32.960
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0:43:32.960 --> 0:43:36.360
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