1 00:00:11,039 --> 00:00:14,480 Speaker 1: Everybody. Welcome back to the Betting Pros NFL podcast, brought 2 00:00:14,520 --> 00:00:17,680 Speaker 1: to you by bet MGM. I'm your host, Dan Harris 3 00:00:17,680 --> 00:00:19,960 Speaker 1: and you can find me on Twitter at Dan Harris Ady. 4 00:00:20,360 --> 00:00:22,239 Speaker 1: It is time to break down some of our favorite 5 00:00:22,239 --> 00:00:25,720 Speaker 1: and our least favorite bets for the week fifteen. Goodness 6 00:00:25,760 --> 00:00:28,360 Speaker 1: gracious NFL slate With me to talk about it all 7 00:00:28,480 --> 00:00:32,200 Speaker 1: is Andrew Kayley, a senior publishing editor over It Covers. 8 00:00:32,200 --> 00:00:36,519 Speaker 1: You can find him on Twitter at Covers Underscore Kaylee. 9 00:00:36,520 --> 00:00:39,000 Speaker 1: That's c A L. E. Y, Andrew. What's going on? 10 00:00:39,680 --> 00:00:41,880 Speaker 2: Not much? Just can't believe that the season we're already 11 00:00:41,880 --> 00:00:44,920 Speaker 2: in week fifteen, semi finals for fantasy playoffs already. It's 12 00:00:45,040 --> 00:00:47,279 Speaker 2: just it's like we say it every week and every 13 00:00:47,320 --> 00:00:50,680 Speaker 2: year it's like, oh okay this week, but now it's 14 00:00:50,680 --> 00:00:51,240 Speaker 2: almost over. 15 00:00:51,600 --> 00:00:54,320 Speaker 1: I mean, I'm a huge baseball fan, right, like I 16 00:00:54,400 --> 00:00:58,200 Speaker 1: cover both sports. I'm huge, and legitimately it's like halfway 17 00:00:58,200 --> 00:01:00,160 Speaker 1: through the baseball season, I'm like, how is it it's 18 00:01:00,200 --> 00:01:02,560 Speaker 1: not over already? You know, it's like it goes by 19 00:01:02,640 --> 00:01:05,720 Speaker 1: at a snail's place. Football you legitimately blink your eye 20 00:01:05,800 --> 00:01:08,560 Speaker 1: and it's completely over, which is crazy, you know, We'll 21 00:01:08,600 --> 00:01:10,399 Speaker 1: have a lot more going on even into the playoffs, 22 00:01:10,400 --> 00:01:12,479 Speaker 1: so we have plenty of more bets to talk about. 23 00:01:12,520 --> 00:01:15,279 Speaker 1: But for right now, we're going to talk about Week fifteen. 24 00:01:15,360 --> 00:01:17,160 Speaker 1: But before we do, we're gonna do the full Monty 25 00:01:17,200 --> 00:01:20,360 Speaker 1: where we review everything that happened last week. I hit 26 00:01:20,400 --> 00:01:22,319 Speaker 1: on the Ravens lank six to the Bills and the 27 00:01:22,360 --> 00:01:25,720 Speaker 1: Titans length three to the Raiders, but I missed pretty 28 00:01:25,800 --> 00:01:28,640 Speaker 1: hard on the forty nine Ers Saints under forty four 29 00:01:28,680 --> 00:01:32,240 Speaker 1: they just about doubled that, and Darius Guy's over seventy 30 00:01:32,240 --> 00:01:34,679 Speaker 1: five rushing yards. But I'm not going to take blame 31 00:01:34,760 --> 00:01:37,119 Speaker 1: for him getting injured. Yeah, that's not my fault. I'm 32 00:01:37,120 --> 00:01:39,600 Speaker 1: not taking it. Our guest Ian McMillan, he hit on 33 00:01:39,640 --> 00:01:41,280 Speaker 1: the forty nine Ers getting two and a half from 34 00:01:41,280 --> 00:01:43,720 Speaker 1: the Saints and the Dolphins getting five from the Jets, 35 00:01:44,040 --> 00:01:46,080 Speaker 1: but he missed on the Patriots getting three from the 36 00:01:46,120 --> 00:01:49,120 Speaker 1: Chiefs and narrowly on Nick Chubb over one hundred and 37 00:01:49,120 --> 00:01:50,640 Speaker 1: twenty five rushing yards. So a bit of a mixed 38 00:01:50,640 --> 00:01:54,480 Speaker 1: bag last week overall, but not the worst. So are 39 00:01:54,520 --> 00:01:56,720 Speaker 1: you ready to get going? It's not bad. Are you 40 00:01:56,760 --> 00:01:59,200 Speaker 1: ready to get going? I'm ready all right, So what 41 00:01:59,280 --> 00:02:02,000 Speaker 1: you got for your first pick in pick sicks? And again, 42 00:02:02,000 --> 00:02:03,680 Speaker 1: before we get into it, let me just make it clear. 43 00:02:04,000 --> 00:02:06,240 Speaker 1: Any odds that Andrew and I reference, they're going to 44 00:02:06,280 --> 00:02:09,160 Speaker 1: be the bettingpros dot Com consensus odds. Those are the 45 00:02:09,200 --> 00:02:11,560 Speaker 1: aggregate of the odds that you're gonna find available in 46 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:13,440 Speaker 1: the marketplace. All right, sorry to cut you off. Let's 47 00:02:13,440 --> 00:02:14,960 Speaker 1: get started with pick six. What do you have here? 48 00:02:14,960 --> 00:02:15,440 Speaker 1: First pick? 49 00:02:15,720 --> 00:02:18,920 Speaker 2: So the first pick, we are going with the Seattle 50 00:02:19,040 --> 00:02:26,160 Speaker 2: Seahawks minus six, laying six points on the road in Carolina. 51 00:02:26,400 --> 00:02:29,240 Speaker 2: It doesn't seem like a great number on the road. 52 00:02:29,400 --> 00:02:32,440 Speaker 2: But the Panthers fired Ron Riviera and then they come 53 00:02:32,440 --> 00:02:36,040 Speaker 2: out and look like they have absolutely no fight in them, 54 00:02:36,080 --> 00:02:38,960 Speaker 2: Like that move seemed completely wrong, Like let them finish 55 00:02:39,040 --> 00:02:40,960 Speaker 2: out the season they at least play for this guy. 56 00:02:41,000 --> 00:02:43,560 Speaker 2: And then they get beat down forty to twenty by 57 00:02:43,720 --> 00:02:45,920 Speaker 2: a Falcons team that had, well, I guess the Falcons 58 00:02:45,960 --> 00:02:48,240 Speaker 2: to be fair, have now beaten them twice. They account 59 00:02:48,240 --> 00:02:53,480 Speaker 2: for half of their wins against the Panthers. But now 60 00:02:53,520 --> 00:02:56,000 Speaker 2: they go up against the Seahawks team that is gonna 61 00:02:56,000 --> 00:02:58,600 Speaker 2: really want to bounce back after what I thought was 62 00:02:58,680 --> 00:03:02,240 Speaker 2: kind of a weird game against the Rams, like they 63 00:03:02,280 --> 00:03:05,240 Speaker 2: could move the ball, but they just couldn't score. And 64 00:03:05,880 --> 00:03:08,079 Speaker 2: I don't know, they just ran some weird sets on offense, 65 00:03:08,320 --> 00:03:12,240 Speaker 2: and uh, now they're gonna try to bounce back and 66 00:03:12,400 --> 00:03:14,519 Speaker 2: keep pace with the Niners of course in the NFC West, 67 00:03:14,720 --> 00:03:16,640 Speaker 2: And this just doesn't line up well for the Panthers 68 00:03:16,680 --> 00:03:20,520 Speaker 2: at all this game, this matchup, Carolina is barn on 69 00:03:20,800 --> 00:03:23,959 Speaker 2: the worst rushing defense in the NFL, and of course 70 00:03:23,960 --> 00:03:25,919 Speaker 2: the Seahawks are one of the best rushing teams in 71 00:03:25,960 --> 00:03:29,679 Speaker 2: the NFL. Just some fun Carolina rushing defense stats. First, 72 00:03:29,680 --> 00:03:31,720 Speaker 2: they ranked twenty ninth and rushing yards allowed per game. 73 00:03:32,400 --> 00:03:35,200 Speaker 2: They also rank last in yards per attempt at five 74 00:03:35,280 --> 00:03:38,400 Speaker 2: point three per carry, and they also rank dead last 75 00:03:38,400 --> 00:03:42,080 Speaker 2: in Football Outsiders DVA rating against the rush. They've also 76 00:03:42,120 --> 00:03:45,080 Speaker 2: given up twenty one rushing touchdowns this season. That's the 77 00:03:45,080 --> 00:03:48,680 Speaker 2: most in the NFL and seven more than the next 78 00:03:48,680 --> 00:03:52,600 Speaker 2: closest team. Meanwhile, the Seahawks rank fifth and rushing TV 79 00:03:52,680 --> 00:03:55,640 Speaker 2: away seventh the yards per attempt. I know the ox 80 00:03:55,720 --> 00:03:57,920 Speaker 2: for Shrod Penny for the year, but there's still some 81 00:03:58,600 --> 00:04:01,560 Speaker 2: backfield death with I think Precise is back there, still 82 00:04:01,600 --> 00:04:04,080 Speaker 2: backing up Carson. I really like Carson this week. I 83 00:04:04,120 --> 00:04:06,320 Speaker 2: think he has a really big game. And of course 84 00:04:06,320 --> 00:04:08,600 Speaker 2: they still have that Russell Wilson guy who's pretty good 85 00:04:09,360 --> 00:04:12,880 Speaker 2: and well the past Panthers pass defense excuse me, the 86 00:04:12,920 --> 00:04:16,039 Speaker 2: Panthers pass defense. I say that five times fast. Is 87 00:04:16,960 --> 00:04:19,240 Speaker 2: they haven't been as effective the last over the last 88 00:04:19,279 --> 00:04:22,480 Speaker 2: month or so, and for a team that just seems 89 00:04:22,480 --> 00:04:24,720 Speaker 2: to have it sould gutted. I'm taking I'm laying the 90 00:04:24,720 --> 00:04:27,360 Speaker 2: points with the Seahawks here. They're they're they're motivated, they 91 00:04:27,400 --> 00:04:29,800 Speaker 2: have to win. They're frankly the much better team. Lay 92 00:04:29,800 --> 00:04:30,240 Speaker 2: the points. 93 00:04:30,640 --> 00:04:33,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm in completely agreement with you on this one. 94 00:04:33,440 --> 00:04:37,239 Speaker 1: I'm a little surprised that, you know, our consensus isn't 95 00:04:37,400 --> 00:04:40,279 Speaker 1: more overwhelming. I mean, it's sixty seven percent taking sand 96 00:04:40,400 --> 00:04:42,720 Speaker 1: which is a pretty big number, and I'm surprised it's 97 00:04:42,760 --> 00:04:44,920 Speaker 1: not like eighty five percent. I mean, when you look 98 00:04:44,920 --> 00:04:47,000 Speaker 1: at the breakdown of both the number of bets in 99 00:04:47,040 --> 00:04:49,320 Speaker 1: the market and the money coming in, it is strongly 100 00:04:49,360 --> 00:04:52,320 Speaker 1: skewed towards Seattle, and I completely agree with you. I 101 00:04:52,360 --> 00:04:54,599 Speaker 1: feel like it's a little difficult at this point for 102 00:04:54,640 --> 00:04:57,440 Speaker 1: bookmakers because you know, everybody's got their models, and that's 103 00:04:57,440 --> 00:04:59,680 Speaker 1: why you see some of these lines and you're like, well, 104 00:05:00,080 --> 00:05:02,640 Speaker 1: I feel like, generally speaking, the line should be much 105 00:05:02,720 --> 00:05:05,560 Speaker 1: greater than it necessarily is. And that's a lot because 106 00:05:05,640 --> 00:05:08,440 Speaker 1: you know, these the bookmakers, they don't react as heavily 107 00:05:08,800 --> 00:05:10,760 Speaker 1: to one or two games as maybe the public does. 108 00:05:10,960 --> 00:05:13,680 Speaker 1: But I mean, at this point, it is obvious from 109 00:05:13,720 --> 00:05:17,279 Speaker 1: ten thousand feet away that the Panthers are just mailing 110 00:05:17,320 --> 00:05:20,680 Speaker 1: it in at this point, right, they just can't do anything, 111 00:05:21,160 --> 00:05:24,360 Speaker 1: get anything right. The defense you mentioned it, they're terrible 112 00:05:24,480 --> 00:05:27,560 Speaker 1: against the run, and they've just completely given up since then. 113 00:05:27,560 --> 00:05:30,040 Speaker 1: They look like they just have no interest in tackling anybody. 114 00:05:30,120 --> 00:05:33,080 Speaker 1: Kyle Allen has completely come back down to earth. I'm 115 00:05:33,120 --> 00:05:35,120 Speaker 1: not even sure he's going to survive this entire game 116 00:05:35,200 --> 00:05:37,719 Speaker 1: as a starting quarterback at this point. And like you 117 00:05:37,760 --> 00:05:41,000 Speaker 1: mentioned the Seahawks, I mean, not only are they coming 118 00:05:41,000 --> 00:05:43,600 Speaker 1: off a loss, but they're pretty desperate for a win. 119 00:05:43,720 --> 00:05:46,039 Speaker 1: I mean it might be the difference between the number 120 00:05:46,040 --> 00:05:49,279 Speaker 1: two seed and the number five seeds, so it's pretty big. 121 00:05:49,320 --> 00:05:51,560 Speaker 1: So for me, I think this is a smash game 122 00:05:51,640 --> 00:05:53,800 Speaker 1: for everybody. I think Chris Carson's going to go nuts. 123 00:05:53,920 --> 00:05:55,640 Speaker 1: I think Russell Wilson's going to go nuts. I think 124 00:05:55,680 --> 00:05:59,719 Speaker 1: Tyler Lockett, who's finally recovered from his illnesses, is going 125 00:05:59,800 --> 00:06:01,920 Speaker 1: to go nuts. And again, you know, to the extent 126 00:06:02,360 --> 00:06:05,520 Speaker 1: you know, the Seattle pass defense has been not Seattle. 127 00:06:05,520 --> 00:06:08,160 Speaker 1: I'm sorry. The Carolina pass defense the whole season has 128 00:06:08,200 --> 00:06:10,880 Speaker 1: been decent. But I mean, I really think James Bradbury 129 00:06:10,960 --> 00:06:12,760 Speaker 1: is probably gonna match up on. 130 00:06:12,920 --> 00:06:15,560 Speaker 2: Metcalf at this point, right, I'd say so? Yeah, And 131 00:06:15,560 --> 00:06:18,599 Speaker 2: so that that whole unit has really come together, like 132 00:06:18,720 --> 00:06:21,760 Speaker 2: especially with now that Lockett is is healthy. I like 133 00:06:21,800 --> 00:06:24,080 Speaker 2: the way that Metcalf is playing. Even Josh Gordon is 134 00:06:24,120 --> 00:06:27,640 Speaker 2: like Carvin's his a little niche there, and it's it's 135 00:06:27,640 --> 00:06:28,760 Speaker 2: fun to see them play together. 136 00:06:29,000 --> 00:06:30,720 Speaker 1: Yeah. No, So I agree with you. I think this 137 00:06:30,839 --> 00:06:32,960 Speaker 1: is a smash butt for Seattle. I have, I mean 138 00:06:33,040 --> 00:06:34,800 Speaker 1: under a touchdown. I love it. I'm all over it 139 00:06:34,880 --> 00:06:37,680 Speaker 1: as well. So I'm with you for your first pick. 140 00:06:37,920 --> 00:06:39,920 Speaker 1: I think you're gonna be with me for my first 141 00:06:39,960 --> 00:06:42,359 Speaker 1: pick as well. And that's gonna be the Jaguars and 142 00:06:42,400 --> 00:06:46,719 Speaker 1: the Raiders going over forty five points. Since the Jaguars 143 00:06:46,760 --> 00:06:50,360 Speaker 1: by they have allowed thirty three, forty two, twenty eight 144 00:06:50,520 --> 00:06:53,480 Speaker 1: and forty five points. This is a defense that has 145 00:06:53,520 --> 00:06:54,479 Speaker 1: completely mailed it in. 146 00:06:54,480 --> 00:06:56,440 Speaker 2: I mean, you want to it makes it. 147 00:06:56,440 --> 00:06:59,080 Speaker 1: It makes Carolina look like they're playing their butts off 148 00:06:59,080 --> 00:07:01,200 Speaker 1: and desperately trying to get to the playoffs. Their rushed 149 00:07:01,200 --> 00:07:03,400 Speaker 1: defense is thirty first in the league in yards per 150 00:07:03,440 --> 00:07:06,560 Speaker 1: carried running backs at five point three, thirtieth in yards 151 00:07:06,560 --> 00:07:08,320 Speaker 1: per game at one hundred and forty one point one, 152 00:07:08,360 --> 00:07:11,000 Speaker 1: but that is nothing compared to their last three games, 153 00:07:11,000 --> 00:07:13,400 Speaker 1: in which they have allowed one hundred and sixty two 154 00:07:13,600 --> 00:07:17,200 Speaker 1: point seven rushing yards per game income the Raiders. Despite 155 00:07:17,200 --> 00:07:20,440 Speaker 1: their various offensive deficiencies, they can still run the ball 156 00:07:20,480 --> 00:07:23,400 Speaker 1: behind that offensive line. It sounds like Josh Jacobs is 157 00:07:23,440 --> 00:07:24,520 Speaker 1: gonna play this weekend. 158 00:07:24,520 --> 00:07:26,760 Speaker 2: I mean, Joe's weird. Yeah, it was like, oh, he 159 00:07:26,840 --> 00:07:28,440 Speaker 2: might be done for the year, and now they're saying like, 160 00:07:28,520 --> 00:07:29,480 Speaker 2: oh no, just day to day. 161 00:07:29,960 --> 00:07:31,600 Speaker 1: I mean in the end, First of all, there were 162 00:07:31,600 --> 00:07:33,360 Speaker 1: a couple I mean, it sounds like John Gruden doesn't 163 00:07:33,400 --> 00:07:35,720 Speaker 1: want to play him necessarily, but their reports say they 164 00:07:35,760 --> 00:07:38,320 Speaker 1: looked great. And again, remember this is their last game 165 00:07:38,680 --> 00:07:41,120 Speaker 1: in Oakland, right, This is they want to they want 166 00:07:41,160 --> 00:07:43,320 Speaker 1: to have a big performance here, so he's probably gonna 167 00:07:43,320 --> 00:07:46,520 Speaker 1: play but even if he doesn't, DeAndre Washington is kind 168 00:07:46,560 --> 00:07:48,440 Speaker 1: of an underrated running back in the league. I think 169 00:07:48,480 --> 00:07:50,600 Speaker 1: he showed last week he can carry the load. They're 170 00:07:50,600 --> 00:07:53,720 Speaker 1: passing offense not great, but car played well against the Titans. 171 00:07:53,720 --> 00:07:56,160 Speaker 1: They still have Darren Waller. They're capable of moving the ball. 172 00:07:56,240 --> 00:07:58,000 Speaker 1: I don't think Miles Jack is really going to be 173 00:07:58,000 --> 00:08:00,480 Speaker 1: able to shut Waller down. And all though you know 174 00:08:00,520 --> 00:08:03,720 Speaker 1: the Jaguars run defense is abysmal, their pass defense lately 175 00:08:03,920 --> 00:08:07,080 Speaker 1: is almost just as bad. You saw Philip Rivers in 176 00:08:07,120 --> 00:08:10,760 Speaker 1: the midst of a horrific season totally light them up. 177 00:08:10,760 --> 00:08:12,800 Speaker 1: They've allowed a ninety six point three passer raigning to 178 00:08:12,840 --> 00:08:15,480 Speaker 1: opposing quarterbacks on the season. That is tenth worst in 179 00:08:15,520 --> 00:08:18,520 Speaker 1: the league. It's been getting worse lately. This is really 180 00:08:18,680 --> 00:08:23,280 Speaker 1: just an understanding that the Jaguars have totally mailed it in. Now, Okay, fine, 181 00:08:23,320 --> 00:08:27,680 Speaker 1: that's defensively, but the Raiders they're pretty equally inept defensively 182 00:08:27,720 --> 00:08:31,280 Speaker 1: at the moment. Thirty four forty forty two points. Those 183 00:08:31,320 --> 00:08:33,320 Speaker 1: are the points allowed over the last three games. One 184 00:08:33,320 --> 00:08:36,439 Speaker 1: of those is to my beloved Jets. The Raiders defense 185 00:08:36,600 --> 00:08:38,920 Speaker 1: has been abysmal against the past all season, right on 186 00:08:38,960 --> 00:08:41,560 Speaker 1: the surface, they've been decent against the run, but I've 187 00:08:41,559 --> 00:08:43,840 Speaker 1: never really bought that. I think their run defense has 188 00:08:43,920 --> 00:08:46,560 Speaker 1: largely been a little overrated, hidden a bit by the 189 00:08:46,559 --> 00:08:49,920 Speaker 1: fact that they are so bad against the pass. And look, 190 00:08:49,960 --> 00:08:52,080 Speaker 1: there's no shame in getting beat up by Derrick Henry, 191 00:08:52,080 --> 00:08:54,280 Speaker 1: but you saw what happened last week eighteen carries for 192 00:08:54,320 --> 00:08:56,840 Speaker 1: one hundred and three yards, and again, the pass defense 193 00:08:56,960 --> 00:08:58,800 Speaker 1: just terrible. They allowed two hundred and sixty eight passing 194 00:08:58,840 --> 00:09:00,920 Speaker 1: yards per game, twenty eighth in the league, one hundred 195 00:09:00,920 --> 00:09:03,800 Speaker 1: and five point nine QB rating against thirty first in 196 00:09:03,840 --> 00:09:06,319 Speaker 1: the league, and the Jags passing offense hasn't been great 197 00:09:06,520 --> 00:09:08,559 Speaker 1: even with Gardner Minshew. They're probably going to be down 198 00:09:08,600 --> 00:09:10,320 Speaker 1: Djhark in this game, but I think they can do 199 00:09:10,440 --> 00:09:14,000 Speaker 1: enough against this defense. Again, my only worry here legitimately 200 00:09:14,040 --> 00:09:15,880 Speaker 1: is that because it's the last game in Oakland, you 201 00:09:15,920 --> 00:09:17,719 Speaker 1: see that crowd is going to be crazy. I'm sure 202 00:09:17,720 --> 00:09:19,680 Speaker 1: the Raiders are going to put up points. You could 203 00:09:19,679 --> 00:09:22,360 Speaker 1: see maybe their defense playing, you know, getting up for 204 00:09:22,400 --> 00:09:25,200 Speaker 1: this game and maybe shutting down the Jaguars. But overall, 205 00:09:25,280 --> 00:09:26,520 Speaker 1: I think in the end there's going to be a 206 00:09:26,559 --> 00:09:28,080 Speaker 1: lot of points scoring this game, So I'll take the 207 00:09:28,160 --> 00:09:30,120 Speaker 1: over forty five and not sweat too much about him. 208 00:09:30,440 --> 00:09:32,480 Speaker 2: I can't, I can't disagree too much. Of these teams 209 00:09:32,520 --> 00:09:38,160 Speaker 2: rank twenty ninth and thirty first in defensive DVOA this year, 210 00:09:38,320 --> 00:09:41,400 Speaker 2: so yeah, I like. Also, I also like, I think 211 00:09:41,800 --> 00:09:44,280 Speaker 2: Leonard Fournette will get a little more on track in 212 00:09:44,320 --> 00:09:46,640 Speaker 2: this game. He's been pretty pretty outstanding all year, which 213 00:09:46,679 --> 00:09:50,040 Speaker 2: is a relief to his fantasy owners. 214 00:09:50,240 --> 00:09:50,840 Speaker 1: Yeah. 215 00:09:51,000 --> 00:09:54,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, but the Raiders are going to have their hands full. 216 00:09:54,880 --> 00:09:57,720 Speaker 2: He seems to still be trying. I'll give him. I'll 217 00:09:57,720 --> 00:09:58,559 Speaker 2: give him the credits. 218 00:09:58,640 --> 00:10:01,079 Speaker 1: Hey, and Minshew's trying. I mean he's out there, He's 219 00:10:01,160 --> 00:10:02,280 Speaker 1: running around like crazy. 220 00:10:02,360 --> 00:10:05,000 Speaker 2: But I love me some inshumanias. 221 00:10:05,120 --> 00:10:08,120 Speaker 1: Everybody loves it all. Let's move on to your second pick. 222 00:10:08,160 --> 00:10:08,520 Speaker 1: What do you have? 223 00:10:09,040 --> 00:10:13,000 Speaker 2: So we're jumping back into the same Seahawks and Panthers 224 00:10:13,040 --> 00:10:18,800 Speaker 2: game because while the Seahawks are doing have an opportunity 225 00:10:18,840 --> 00:10:22,400 Speaker 2: to put a lot of points on offense, the defense 226 00:10:22,640 --> 00:10:27,080 Speaker 2: also has some some issues that are I guess being 227 00:10:27,080 --> 00:10:30,920 Speaker 2: overlooked at this point. The Panthers have allowed thirty three 228 00:10:31,000 --> 00:10:33,160 Speaker 2: points per game over their last four games, so yeah, 229 00:10:33,160 --> 00:10:36,880 Speaker 2: they've they've quite slipped quite a bunch, and the Seahawks 230 00:10:36,920 --> 00:10:39,200 Speaker 2: there's no reason to think they can't have a similar output. 231 00:10:39,640 --> 00:10:43,080 Speaker 2: Like we said before, or you said before, Wilson's gonna 232 00:10:43,080 --> 00:10:45,600 Speaker 2: have a great game. I think that as well. I 233 00:10:45,720 --> 00:10:47,559 Speaker 2: like we I also mentioned how I love how the 234 00:10:47,800 --> 00:10:52,079 Speaker 2: wide receiver Cord looks he has. Wilson has a standing 235 00:10:52,120 --> 00:10:54,600 Speaker 2: numbers this year thirty four hundred yards, sixty seven percent completions, 236 00:10:54,600 --> 00:10:57,600 Speaker 2: twenty six touchdowns, just five picks. And we also mentioned 237 00:10:57,800 --> 00:11:01,360 Speaker 2: that the Panthers pass defense is just not up to 238 00:11:01,400 --> 00:11:03,199 Speaker 2: snuff anymore. But the question here is whether or not 239 00:11:03,600 --> 00:11:05,720 Speaker 2: Carolina can score enough points to get this one over, 240 00:11:05,800 --> 00:11:08,400 Speaker 2: and I think they can. Seattle doesn't grade out the 241 00:11:08,440 --> 00:11:12,319 Speaker 2: best on defense, ranking twenty second against the rush in DVOA, 242 00:11:12,760 --> 00:11:15,079 Speaker 2: and now they have to deal with Christian McCaffrey this week. 243 00:11:15,120 --> 00:11:18,079 Speaker 2: I know he has definitely cooled off and he's definitely 244 00:11:18,120 --> 00:11:21,800 Speaker 2: not any part of the MVP conversation anymore, but we 245 00:11:21,840 --> 00:11:24,400 Speaker 2: all know what he's capable of, and he can break 246 00:11:24,440 --> 00:11:27,360 Speaker 2: a big one at any time. The Seahawks are also 247 00:11:27,480 --> 00:11:29,920 Speaker 2: really vulnerable over the middle of the field, particularly against 248 00:11:30,120 --> 00:11:32,600 Speaker 2: tight ends, and now I hear that Greg Olsen might 249 00:11:32,679 --> 00:11:38,000 Speaker 2: be back. I'm not sure why, but I think Ian 250 00:11:38,240 --> 00:11:41,880 Speaker 2: Thomas can also be effective in this spot. And obviously 251 00:11:41,960 --> 00:11:43,600 Speaker 2: Kyle Allen is not going to vow you in any 252 00:11:43,600 --> 00:11:46,439 Speaker 2: shape or form, but he has some good weapons. That 253 00:11:46,559 --> 00:11:49,960 Speaker 2: is a disposal. And yeah, I think the Seahawks are 254 00:11:49,960 --> 00:11:53,120 Speaker 2: gonna have some issues come playoff time, but in and 255 00:11:53,400 --> 00:11:55,800 Speaker 2: I think the Panthers can actually show that by scoring 256 00:11:55,840 --> 00:11:58,440 Speaker 2: some points here. And I like the over forty eight. 257 00:12:00,160 --> 00:12:03,319 Speaker 1: Disagree. I think that in the end, like I said, 258 00:12:03,640 --> 00:12:05,560 Speaker 1: I expect this to be kind of a smash game 259 00:12:05,640 --> 00:12:08,960 Speaker 1: for the Seahawks, especially offensively. The thing is like, you know, 260 00:12:09,000 --> 00:12:11,440 Speaker 1: you think about the Seahawks and historically you're like, ooh, 261 00:12:11,600 --> 00:12:14,520 Speaker 1: you know, they've got this really great defense, you know, 262 00:12:14,679 --> 00:12:17,040 Speaker 1: and you reliant rust Wilson, but it's not really the 263 00:12:17,120 --> 00:12:20,280 Speaker 1: case anymore. I mean, their defense is fine, but it's 264 00:12:20,320 --> 00:12:22,319 Speaker 1: not elite at this point anymore. So, I you know, 265 00:12:22,360 --> 00:12:24,480 Speaker 1: as much as I don't have faith in Kyle Allen, 266 00:12:24,920 --> 00:12:26,200 Speaker 1: I do think that they're gonna be able to put 267 00:12:26,240 --> 00:12:28,360 Speaker 1: a points in this game. And again, I expect a 268 00:12:28,360 --> 00:12:31,080 Speaker 1: lot of points from the Seahawks at this point. So 269 00:12:31,559 --> 00:12:33,640 Speaker 1: I like both of those picks. So far, so so far, 270 00:12:33,720 --> 00:12:35,520 Speaker 1: we're doing good. We're on the same page. I don't. 271 00:12:35,520 --> 00:12:36,680 Speaker 1: I hope you're good. 272 00:12:37,160 --> 00:12:40,560 Speaker 2: Sorry. I think if they get anywhere around seventeen to 273 00:12:40,559 --> 00:12:42,640 Speaker 2: twenty points, I think, I think this one goes over 274 00:12:42,920 --> 00:12:43,240 Speaker 2: all right. 275 00:12:43,240 --> 00:12:45,440 Speaker 1: For my second pick, I'm going to be taking the 276 00:12:45,520 --> 00:12:49,400 Speaker 1: Eagles and the Redskins under. It's now at thirty nine, okay, 277 00:12:49,440 --> 00:12:51,920 Speaker 1: And this happens almost every time I take my pick. 278 00:12:52,080 --> 00:12:54,120 Speaker 1: I get it in and then when I check right 279 00:12:54,120 --> 00:12:56,480 Speaker 1: before we record, it has moved. And at least that 280 00:12:56,520 --> 00:12:59,320 Speaker 1: gives me some confidence that my inkling was correct. Thirty 281 00:12:59,400 --> 00:13:01,480 Speaker 1: nine is a small I originally had it at forty 282 00:13:01,480 --> 00:13:03,319 Speaker 1: and a half. It was forty when I decided to 283 00:13:03,360 --> 00:13:05,679 Speaker 1: take it here, and now it's thirty nine. I don't care. 284 00:13:05,720 --> 00:13:08,160 Speaker 1: I'm still taking it back in college, all right, Uh, Andrew, 285 00:13:08,280 --> 00:13:10,000 Speaker 1: my buddies and I were sitting around late at night 286 00:13:10,080 --> 00:13:13,400 Speaker 1: and some really dumb infomercial came on. I do not 287 00:13:13,440 --> 00:13:16,080 Speaker 1: remember the product. It was something that no rational human 288 00:13:16,200 --> 00:13:19,599 Speaker 1: would ever buy. And one of the guys just randomly 289 00:13:19,640 --> 00:13:23,080 Speaker 1: blurted out in kind of a weird voice, whatever they're asking, 290 00:13:23,520 --> 00:13:26,800 Speaker 1: I'll double it. And that line has always like popped 291 00:13:26,840 --> 00:13:28,440 Speaker 1: into my head whenever I see something that I am 292 00:13:28,480 --> 00:13:30,880 Speaker 1: actually interested in. So I was talking about this total 293 00:13:30,960 --> 00:13:32,640 Speaker 1: with one of the guys and he said, oh, I 294 00:13:32,679 --> 00:13:34,840 Speaker 1: wonder what the big is on it, And all I 295 00:13:34,840 --> 00:13:38,200 Speaker 1: could think was, whatever they're asking, I'll double it. I 296 00:13:38,240 --> 00:13:40,480 Speaker 1: don't care what this is. At this point. I'm all 297 00:13:40,520 --> 00:13:42,520 Speaker 1: in on this game. I'm having a hard time seeing 298 00:13:42,520 --> 00:13:46,040 Speaker 1: how this total gets past like thirty six, maybe at max. 299 00:13:46,080 --> 00:13:48,160 Speaker 1: I mean, kudos to the Eagles for beating the Giants 300 00:13:48,200 --> 00:13:50,880 Speaker 1: on Monday Night, but are you kidding me? Right now? 301 00:13:50,960 --> 00:13:53,040 Speaker 1: With this offense? Alshon Jeffrey is done for the year. 302 00:13:53,120 --> 00:13:55,480 Speaker 1: Lane Johnson is not going to play. You're pinning your 303 00:13:55,480 --> 00:13:58,679 Speaker 1: hopes on Nelson Agalore, which is really a scary proposition, 304 00:13:58,720 --> 00:14:01,839 Speaker 1: and he's probably gonna be too, so literally, it's gonna 305 00:14:01,840 --> 00:14:05,240 Speaker 1: be Carson Wentz, Miles Sanders and like fifty tight ends 306 00:14:05,240 --> 00:14:06,920 Speaker 1: that they're just going to be throwing out there. It's 307 00:14:06,960 --> 00:14:08,720 Speaker 1: really difficult to see them moving the ball, even if 308 00:14:08,800 --> 00:14:11,440 Speaker 1: Jordan Howard comes back, which sounds like he actually might 309 00:14:11,480 --> 00:14:15,040 Speaker 1: have a chance. The Redskins, though they have not mailed 310 00:14:15,080 --> 00:14:17,480 Speaker 1: it in. I mean, they continue to play hard. They 311 00:14:17,480 --> 00:14:19,520 Speaker 1: get a lot of pressure on the quarterback. They are 312 00:14:19,560 --> 00:14:22,960 Speaker 1: top five in the league at getting pressure. Especially without 313 00:14:23,040 --> 00:14:25,720 Speaker 1: Lane Johnson protecting Wentz, it's gonna make it a little 314 00:14:25,760 --> 00:14:29,640 Speaker 1: tough for him. And overall, the defense is not the worst. 315 00:14:29,680 --> 00:14:32,200 Speaker 1: They're decent upfront, and it's really about just how the 316 00:14:32,240 --> 00:14:35,760 Speaker 1: Eagles are so decimated offensively and now they are coming 317 00:14:35,760 --> 00:14:37,920 Speaker 1: off this short week. And then on the other side 318 00:14:37,920 --> 00:14:39,440 Speaker 1: of the ball, you have the Redskins, a team led by 319 00:14:39,520 --> 00:14:42,760 Speaker 1: Dwayne Haskins and a coach who is legitimately trying to 320 00:14:42,840 --> 00:14:44,800 Speaker 1: run out the season. They run the ball nearly as 321 00:14:44,880 --> 00:14:47,120 Speaker 1: much as any team other than the Raven since Bill 322 00:14:47,160 --> 00:14:49,800 Speaker 1: Callahan took over, the fifth most in the league in 323 00:14:49,840 --> 00:14:53,560 Speaker 1: that span. Dwayne Haskins, as anybody who has watched a 324 00:14:53,640 --> 00:14:57,520 Speaker 1: football game understands, is not performing particularly well for obvious 325 00:14:57,560 --> 00:15:00,520 Speaker 1: reasons this year. He also takes a ton of sacks. 326 00:15:00,720 --> 00:15:03,320 Speaker 1: The Redskins take a ton of time in between plays. 327 00:15:03,320 --> 00:15:06,600 Speaker 1: They're legitimately trying to run out the season. And the Eagles, 328 00:15:07,360 --> 00:15:09,440 Speaker 1: they have a really solid run defense. That's the one 329 00:15:09,440 --> 00:15:10,880 Speaker 1: thing that you can kind of count on with them. 330 00:15:11,080 --> 00:15:13,840 Speaker 1: You're not gonna see many explosive plays, especially with Darius 331 00:15:13,880 --> 00:15:16,840 Speaker 1: Geis out. You've got Adrian Peterson carrying the ball. That's 332 00:15:16,880 --> 00:15:19,520 Speaker 1: not gonna make these you know, huge chunk plays or 333 00:15:19,560 --> 00:15:22,240 Speaker 1: anything like Geist was at least cable to get. Really, 334 00:15:22,320 --> 00:15:25,280 Speaker 1: I just see that both teams are gonna run the 335 00:15:25,280 --> 00:15:27,600 Speaker 1: ball a lot. It's difficult to see either one of 336 00:15:27,680 --> 00:15:30,280 Speaker 1: them having much success. Running leads to clock movement, which 337 00:15:30,360 --> 00:15:32,360 Speaker 1: tem swards the under So even at thirty nine a 338 00:15:32,360 --> 00:15:34,480 Speaker 1: low number, I'm okay with it, I'm gonna take it. 339 00:15:35,720 --> 00:15:39,400 Speaker 2: Uh, yeah, I have. I have no real disagreement here. 340 00:15:39,640 --> 00:15:41,440 Speaker 2: You stole a bunch of my notes leading into my 341 00:15:41,480 --> 00:15:44,880 Speaker 2: next pick. Here, I'm I'm taking the Eagles minus four 342 00:15:44,920 --> 00:15:48,600 Speaker 2: and a half for my final pick. But my first 343 00:15:48,640 --> 00:15:52,240 Speaker 2: line was here, Bill Callahan literally looks like he's trying 344 00:15:52,280 --> 00:15:56,680 Speaker 2: to run out the clock on the season. Yeah one, 345 00:15:57,560 --> 00:16:00,760 Speaker 2: Like you said, Dwayne Haskins not look good. Guy's done 346 00:16:00,800 --> 00:16:02,200 Speaker 2: for the year, which is kind of a bummer because 347 00:16:02,200 --> 00:16:06,400 Speaker 2: I really was enjoyed watching him play. But they also 348 00:16:06,560 --> 00:16:09,520 Speaker 2: rank thirty first in Offensive DVD away because of that 349 00:16:10,080 --> 00:16:13,640 Speaker 2: play from Haskins and the way Adrian Peterson runs the 350 00:16:13,680 --> 00:16:16,520 Speaker 2: ball plots. He's definitely more of a plotter these days. 351 00:16:17,840 --> 00:16:20,280 Speaker 2: And they also here are the teams with fewer yards 352 00:16:20,320 --> 00:16:24,360 Speaker 2: per play than Washington this year, Chicago, Miami and your 353 00:16:24,440 --> 00:16:27,840 Speaker 2: New York Jets. You mentioned the Eagles are not great 354 00:16:27,880 --> 00:16:31,600 Speaker 2: ton of injuries all that, But I think Doug Peterson 355 00:16:31,720 --> 00:16:36,160 Speaker 2: is finally recognizing the talent he has. And Miles Sanders, 356 00:16:36,320 --> 00:16:38,080 Speaker 2: I think he's set up for a big game here 357 00:16:38,840 --> 00:16:42,480 Speaker 2: against a Washington defense that doesn't greed well against the run. 358 00:16:42,520 --> 00:16:47,520 Speaker 2: They do get pressure. But Wentz, I don't know. Wentz 359 00:16:47,560 --> 00:16:49,600 Speaker 2: is an enigma to me, Like sometimes he makes these 360 00:16:50,000 --> 00:16:53,640 Speaker 2: great throws that he shouldn't be making, and then other 361 00:16:53,720 --> 00:16:56,880 Speaker 2: times he misses these really easy throws. It's really frustrating, 362 00:16:56,920 --> 00:16:58,240 Speaker 2: so it's hard to have faith in him. But I 363 00:16:58,280 --> 00:17:01,440 Speaker 2: think they lean on Sanders in this game. I think 364 00:17:01,560 --> 00:17:05,240 Speaker 2: Ertz will probably have a good game as well. Maybe 365 00:17:05,240 --> 00:17:08,040 Speaker 2: a guy like Dallas Goddard has like eight receptions for 366 00:17:08,160 --> 00:17:10,760 Speaker 2: like fifty yards and sets up a touchdown or something. 367 00:17:10,840 --> 00:17:13,159 Speaker 2: I don't know, but I think this number at this 368 00:17:13,320 --> 00:17:15,200 Speaker 2: number was higher before. As we talked of off area, 369 00:17:15,200 --> 00:17:16,840 Speaker 2: it was close. It was six before, and now it's 370 00:17:16,880 --> 00:17:18,639 Speaker 2: coming down to four and a half. Anything under six 371 00:17:18,760 --> 00:17:21,160 Speaker 2: I'm comfortable taking, just because I don't I don't see 372 00:17:21,240 --> 00:17:24,200 Speaker 2: Washington scoring for the most part, and which leads into 373 00:17:24,240 --> 00:17:28,120 Speaker 2: your underplay, so we'll we'll take We'll take the Eagles 374 00:17:28,160 --> 00:17:29,760 Speaker 2: as well at minus four and a half. 375 00:17:30,160 --> 00:17:32,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't have a great feel for it. I'm 376 00:17:32,040 --> 00:17:33,879 Speaker 1: gonna be honest. I mean, I think if I was 377 00:17:34,000 --> 00:17:36,160 Speaker 1: forced to take aside probably at four and a half, 378 00:17:36,160 --> 00:17:39,840 Speaker 1: there's value with with the Eagles at that point. I 379 00:17:39,880 --> 00:17:41,240 Speaker 1: did lock in, I'll be honest. I mean, you go 380 00:17:41,280 --> 00:17:43,719 Speaker 1: to betting pros dot com. You can see how I 381 00:17:44,000 --> 00:17:46,480 Speaker 1: or any of you know, the top betting experts in 382 00:17:46,520 --> 00:17:49,199 Speaker 1: the country really are betting any particular game. And I 383 00:17:49,280 --> 00:17:52,240 Speaker 1: locked it in when I saw the Redskins getting six. 384 00:17:52,480 --> 00:17:54,280 Speaker 1: As you talked about it, sounds like you really wouldn't 385 00:17:54,280 --> 00:17:57,200 Speaker 1: necessarily be interested in the Eagles at that number. And again, 386 00:17:57,240 --> 00:18:00,280 Speaker 1: part of it is just it's really difficult to see 387 00:18:00,560 --> 00:18:04,440 Speaker 1: the Eagles putting up a ton of points here, right, No, right, 388 00:18:04,680 --> 00:18:06,280 Speaker 1: But at four and a half it's a little closer. 389 00:18:06,320 --> 00:18:08,320 Speaker 1: It's not a game that I would personally bet because 390 00:18:08,320 --> 00:18:10,760 Speaker 1: it's something that makes me a little bit nervous just 391 00:18:10,840 --> 00:18:13,560 Speaker 1: backing the Eagles in any capacity at this point. 392 00:18:13,960 --> 00:18:17,399 Speaker 2: They're motivated now though they're so close to that division title. 393 00:18:17,520 --> 00:18:18,919 Speaker 1: I know, man, but they're gonna be able to get 394 00:18:18,920 --> 00:18:20,880 Speaker 1: that division title no matter what. They could just beat 395 00:18:20,880 --> 00:18:22,840 Speaker 1: the Cowboys at the end, so it's all good. I 396 00:18:22,840 --> 00:18:25,520 Speaker 1: love how everybody who's terrible just controls her own destiny 397 00:18:25,560 --> 00:18:26,240 Speaker 1: because it doesn't. 398 00:18:26,240 --> 00:18:29,000 Speaker 2: Matter now what it's dumpster fires is this? 399 00:18:29,119 --> 00:18:31,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, Yeah, it's funny. I mean, look, I like once, 400 00:18:31,280 --> 00:18:34,040 Speaker 1: I think he's a good quarterback. I understand the criticism 401 00:18:34,200 --> 00:18:36,960 Speaker 1: of them, but right now he's just got absolutely nothing 402 00:18:37,000 --> 00:18:40,199 Speaker 1: going on that he can no no skill players that 403 00:18:40,200 --> 00:18:42,119 Speaker 1: he can really get the ball to. So he's hanging 404 00:18:42,160 --> 00:18:45,320 Speaker 1: in there. It's an interesting game. I don't really love 405 00:18:45,359 --> 00:18:47,719 Speaker 1: it at this point. If you know at six I 406 00:18:47,840 --> 00:18:49,439 Speaker 1: liked the Redskins at four and a half, a bit 407 00:18:49,480 --> 00:18:50,240 Speaker 1: of a stay away from me. 408 00:18:50,400 --> 00:18:52,359 Speaker 2: They'll lead into a little later where I like, I 409 00:18:52,400 --> 00:18:53,960 Speaker 2: don't like a lot on this week's board. 410 00:18:54,040 --> 00:18:56,199 Speaker 1: So oh, this is a tough board for sure, And 411 00:18:56,280 --> 00:18:57,600 Speaker 1: a lot of the games I like, I feel like 412 00:18:57,600 --> 00:19:00,240 Speaker 1: are the big, big numbers, and that always makes me 413 00:19:00,280 --> 00:19:03,200 Speaker 1: a little queasy, especially when I'm looking at mostly favorites. 414 00:19:03,440 --> 00:19:06,480 Speaker 1: This one is a smaller number, but it is a favorite, 415 00:19:06,520 --> 00:19:10,600 Speaker 1: And I like the Browns laying three to the Cardinals 416 00:19:10,640 --> 00:19:13,280 Speaker 1: in Arizona, So when I first looked at this game, 417 00:19:13,760 --> 00:19:16,320 Speaker 1: I did not want much of it. I've kind of 418 00:19:16,359 --> 00:19:18,600 Speaker 1: given up on relying on the Browns this year. They're 419 00:19:18,640 --> 00:19:21,360 Speaker 1: in this group of teams that I just don't know 420 00:19:21,560 --> 00:19:23,439 Speaker 1: what I'm gonna get when they come out to play. 421 00:19:23,480 --> 00:19:26,680 Speaker 1: But I feel pretty comfortable with what I'll get from 422 00:19:26,720 --> 00:19:30,280 Speaker 1: the Cardinals at this point, and that is nothing great. 423 00:19:30,359 --> 00:19:32,840 Speaker 1: The Browns are still alive for a playoff spot. They're 424 00:19:32,880 --> 00:19:35,520 Speaker 1: going to be playing hard, and the Cardinals have three 425 00:19:35,560 --> 00:19:38,440 Speaker 1: wins this year. They've beaten the Bengals by three, they 426 00:19:38,520 --> 00:19:41,679 Speaker 1: beat a decimated Falcons team that was pretty much quitting 427 00:19:41,720 --> 00:19:45,320 Speaker 1: by one, and a really bad Giants team by six. Yeah, 428 00:19:45,359 --> 00:19:48,920 Speaker 1: they occasionally hang around. As a general matter, though, they're 429 00:19:49,080 --> 00:19:53,600 Speaker 1: just not that good, particularly defensively. They're okay against the run, fine, 430 00:19:53,680 --> 00:19:56,040 Speaker 1: but Cleveland's two edit attack of Nick Chubb and Cream 431 00:19:56,080 --> 00:19:59,240 Speaker 1: Hunt can move the ball against anyone, and the weakness 432 00:19:59,320 --> 00:20:02,320 Speaker 1: of the Browns of offense is its passing game. Baker 433 00:20:02,320 --> 00:20:04,760 Speaker 1: Mayfield has not been good all season. He was knockod 434 00:20:04,760 --> 00:20:07,119 Speaker 1: against the Bengals last week, and he's got more interceptions 435 00:20:07,119 --> 00:20:09,919 Speaker 1: and touchdowns. It has not been a good year for Baker, 436 00:20:10,080 --> 00:20:13,080 Speaker 1: but the Cardinals pass defense is a joke. They're fourth 437 00:20:13,080 --> 00:20:16,280 Speaker 1: worst in passing DVA. They're worst in the in the 438 00:20:16,400 --> 00:20:19,720 Speaker 1: league in YOURDS per game, in completion percentage, and QB 439 00:20:19,840 --> 00:20:22,639 Speaker 1: rating against. Their cornerbacks have been two of the worst 440 00:20:22,680 --> 00:20:24,960 Speaker 1: in football all season long, and that is shocking since 441 00:20:24,960 --> 00:20:27,159 Speaker 1: one of them is Patrick Peterson, but he has been 442 00:20:27,200 --> 00:20:30,920 Speaker 1: graded terribly by Pro Football Focus. They cannot cover tight ends, 443 00:20:30,960 --> 00:20:34,240 Speaker 1: and David Joku is back to practicing in full he 444 00:20:34,320 --> 00:20:36,840 Speaker 1: should be back ready to go in full capacity this week. 445 00:20:36,880 --> 00:20:38,360 Speaker 1: I just think that the Browns are gonna be able 446 00:20:38,400 --> 00:20:41,359 Speaker 1: to score pretty easily here, and I think the Cardinals 447 00:20:41,359 --> 00:20:43,280 Speaker 1: are gonna put up some points too. But the Browns 448 00:20:43,320 --> 00:20:47,080 Speaker 1: Achilles heel is really their run defense, right. They allow 449 00:20:47,240 --> 00:20:49,760 Speaker 1: four point eight yards per carry, and the running game 450 00:20:49,840 --> 00:20:52,159 Speaker 1: is fine for Arizona, but they're not a team that 451 00:20:52,240 --> 00:20:54,960 Speaker 1: just runs it forty times right down your throat unless 452 00:20:55,000 --> 00:20:57,879 Speaker 1: Kyler Murray gets more involved. The Browns are solid against 453 00:20:57,920 --> 00:21:01,680 Speaker 1: the pass despite missing both their cornerbacks for the vast 454 00:21:01,680 --> 00:21:03,960 Speaker 1: majority of the season. They're both healthy now. Their top 455 00:21:03,960 --> 00:21:06,439 Speaker 1: ten in passing yards allowed per game. They get pressure 456 00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:09,199 Speaker 1: on the quarterback pretty consistently, even without Miles Garrett so 457 00:21:09,440 --> 00:21:12,520 Speaker 1: this is much much more of a fade of Arizona, 458 00:21:12,800 --> 00:21:15,640 Speaker 1: and I liked it better when it was originally under 459 00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:16,840 Speaker 1: a field goal. I saw a two and a half 460 00:21:16,840 --> 00:21:18,439 Speaker 1: at one point, even at a field goal, though, I'm 461 00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:20,000 Speaker 1: still gonna take it. So I will take the Browns 462 00:21:20,040 --> 00:21:22,320 Speaker 1: in Arizona laying three to the Cardinals. 463 00:21:22,560 --> 00:21:24,240 Speaker 2: You're not gonna get an argument for me on that. 464 00:21:24,200 --> 00:21:27,679 Speaker 1: One, all right, Fading Arizona. I'm gonna be mad if 465 00:21:27,680 --> 00:21:29,880 Speaker 1: I get an argument from anybody at that point. All right, 466 00:21:30,040 --> 00:21:32,600 Speaker 1: let's quickly review. You like the Seahawks laying six to 467 00:21:32,680 --> 00:21:35,840 Speaker 1: the Panthers and the total over forty eight and a 468 00:21:35,880 --> 00:21:38,720 Speaker 1: half in that game, and you like the Eagles laying 469 00:21:38,800 --> 00:21:41,199 Speaker 1: four and a half to the Redskins. I'm going to 470 00:21:41,240 --> 00:21:43,720 Speaker 1: take the Jaguars and the Raiders over forty five, the 471 00:21:43,760 --> 00:21:47,119 Speaker 1: Eagles and the Redskins under thirty nine, and the Browns 472 00:21:47,160 --> 00:21:50,680 Speaker 1: laying three to the Cardinals. Before we move on. There 473 00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:53,399 Speaker 1: is this thing called the bet MGM Sports app, and 474 00:21:53,440 --> 00:21:56,520 Speaker 1: they basically give you boosted bets that are impossible to 475 00:21:56,600 --> 00:21:59,840 Speaker 1: lose legitimately, if you've opened an account with bet mgm 476 00:21:59,920 --> 00:22:02,679 Speaker 1: and placed your first waiter at any point in the 477 00:22:02,680 --> 00:22:04,959 Speaker 1: past of our weeks, then you are wealthier today than 478 00:22:05,000 --> 00:22:07,640 Speaker 1: you were. Then They have boosted bets where you win 479 00:22:07,640 --> 00:22:09,720 Speaker 1: one hundred times your money in free bets for things 480 00:22:09,760 --> 00:22:13,120 Speaker 1: like the forty nine Ers beating the Redskins, Tom Brady 481 00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:16,520 Speaker 1: completing a pass against the Chiefs, and the Patriots scoring 482 00:22:16,600 --> 00:22:20,160 Speaker 1: a point against the Ravens. Legitimately, these are the types 483 00:22:20,200 --> 00:22:23,200 Speaker 1: of bets that MGM has offered to new users who 484 00:22:23,240 --> 00:22:25,280 Speaker 1: sign up using our promo code over the past of 485 00:22:25,359 --> 00:22:28,280 Speaker 1: our weeks and place their first bet. And this week 486 00:22:28,600 --> 00:22:32,080 Speaker 1: is a beauty. The Rams Cowboys line. We didn't talk 487 00:22:32,080 --> 00:22:34,840 Speaker 1: about it, but it's been moving heavily in favor of 488 00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:37,240 Speaker 1: the Rams all week. It started at like Cowboys laying 489 00:22:37,320 --> 00:22:40,439 Speaker 1: three or four. It's now the Rams laying one, one 490 00:22:40,480 --> 00:22:43,160 Speaker 1: and a half. But if you place a one dollar 491 00:22:43,280 --> 00:22:45,840 Speaker 1: money line bet on the Cowboys, then you win one 492 00:22:45,920 --> 00:22:48,920 Speaker 1: hundred dollars in free bets. If Dak Prescott completes even 493 00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:52,000 Speaker 1: one pass. It does not matter if the Cowboys win 494 00:22:52,119 --> 00:22:54,320 Speaker 1: or lose. You get one hundred dollars in free bets. 495 00:22:54,320 --> 00:22:58,800 Speaker 1: When Dak completes his first pass regardless, that is guaranteed money. 496 00:22:58,800 --> 00:23:01,520 Speaker 1: As I just said, things like that are not a 497 00:23:01,600 --> 00:23:04,639 Speaker 1: rarity over at BETMGM. They happen all the time. So 498 00:23:04,720 --> 00:23:06,680 Speaker 1: here's what you need to do. Search for the bet 499 00:23:06,800 --> 00:23:09,719 Speaker 1: MGM sports app on your phone, download it, sign up 500 00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:12,720 Speaker 1: for an account, use our promo code. Harris that is 501 00:23:12,760 --> 00:23:15,119 Speaker 1: my last name. Make sure your first bet is a 502 00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:17,560 Speaker 1: one dollar money line. Bet on the Cowboys to beat 503 00:23:17,560 --> 00:23:20,480 Speaker 1: the Rams this weekend, and when Dak completes his first pass, 504 00:23:20,560 --> 00:23:23,359 Speaker 1: congratulations who have won one hundred dollars, So hurry up 505 00:23:23,600 --> 00:23:25,879 Speaker 1: and sign up with our promo code. These winnings are 506 00:23:25,920 --> 00:23:28,120 Speaker 1: paid in free bets. You must be twenty one years 507 00:23:28,160 --> 00:23:29,959 Speaker 1: or older. And although you can sign up an easily 508 00:23:29,960 --> 00:23:32,159 Speaker 1: deposit money anywhere, you must be in the state of 509 00:23:32,200 --> 00:23:35,200 Speaker 1: New Jersey to place a sports bet, and certain restrictions apply. 510 00:23:35,560 --> 00:23:38,399 Speaker 1: Visit betmgms dot com for the fullest of terms and conditions. 511 00:23:38,560 --> 00:23:40,639 Speaker 1: And if you've got a gambling problem, call one eight 512 00:23:40,720 --> 00:23:44,240 Speaker 1: hundred gambler. All right, Andrew, it is time for it's 513 00:23:44,280 --> 00:23:46,080 Speaker 1: a trap where we list the line we are avoiding. 514 00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:46,760 Speaker 1: Start us off. 515 00:23:48,760 --> 00:23:51,479 Speaker 2: Like we said, there's a lot of lines to avoid 516 00:23:51,520 --> 00:23:54,520 Speaker 2: this week. It's like I'm looking on the board. I 517 00:23:54,520 --> 00:23:56,960 Speaker 2: see the Titans there minus three at home, but I 518 00:23:57,000 --> 00:24:01,040 Speaker 2: still can't shake the idea that Ryan Tannehill is good. 519 00:24:01,720 --> 00:24:03,439 Speaker 2: I have no idea what to make of that Bills 520 00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:07,400 Speaker 2: and Steelers line as well. I'm looking at the Vikings 521 00:24:07,400 --> 00:24:10,840 Speaker 2: line as short faves and that's super suspicious, like definitely 522 00:24:10,840 --> 00:24:12,960 Speaker 2: a trap there. I remember we talked about the Packers 523 00:24:13,000 --> 00:24:15,920 Speaker 2: doing going out to San Diego. I did it, darn 524 00:24:16,800 --> 00:24:17,679 Speaker 2: Los Angeles. 525 00:24:17,920 --> 00:24:20,320 Speaker 1: It's been like two years, man, time, you got to 526 00:24:20,359 --> 00:24:20,960 Speaker 1: get past it. 527 00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:25,679 Speaker 2: But they did the same thing, and the Packers went 528 00:24:25,720 --> 00:24:27,760 Speaker 2: out there and we were like, oh my goodness, that's 529 00:24:27,480 --> 00:24:30,439 Speaker 2: that line. Looks suspicious And of course the Packers lost. 530 00:24:31,000 --> 00:24:33,840 Speaker 2: But funny enough, the line I am not trusting the 531 00:24:33,840 --> 00:24:37,960 Speaker 2: most is that Rams and Cowboys line. Like you said, 532 00:24:38,000 --> 00:24:40,920 Speaker 2: it's been jumping all over the place, and I think 533 00:24:40,960 --> 00:24:43,840 Speaker 2: that has to do with the fact that nobody really 534 00:24:43,880 --> 00:24:48,359 Speaker 2: knows how to grade either of these teams. They the 535 00:24:48,440 --> 00:24:53,480 Speaker 2: Rams look wonderful on offense one week and the next 536 00:24:53,720 --> 00:24:57,120 Speaker 2: it takes Jared Goff fifty passes to throw two hundred 537 00:24:57,119 --> 00:25:01,359 Speaker 2: and forty yards. And with the Cowboys, the Cowboys are 538 00:25:01,440 --> 00:25:05,159 Speaker 2: just I guess they're just a mess. A team that 539 00:25:05,320 --> 00:25:09,199 Speaker 2: talented at seven and the defense isn't as good as 540 00:25:09,240 --> 00:25:11,880 Speaker 2: they thought it would be. H vander Esch being hurt 541 00:25:11,920 --> 00:25:16,520 Speaker 2: has really has really affected them. But I wouldn't be 542 00:25:16,560 --> 00:25:18,560 Speaker 2: surprised if they came out here and won this game. 543 00:25:18,680 --> 00:25:20,160 Speaker 2: And now they're getting like a point and a half 544 00:25:20,200 --> 00:25:24,480 Speaker 2: at home. So I'm just no, thank you staying away, 545 00:25:26,400 --> 00:25:30,320 Speaker 2: Jason Garrett, see you later. Let's get Urban Meyer in 546 00:25:30,400 --> 00:25:31,760 Speaker 2: here and try it all over again. 547 00:25:32,080 --> 00:25:36,400 Speaker 1: I can't remember a line swinging quite this much from opening, right. 548 00:25:36,480 --> 00:25:38,320 Speaker 1: I mean, this is crazy. It's like five and a 549 00:25:38,359 --> 00:25:40,720 Speaker 1: half points at this point right now the Cowboys are 550 00:25:40,720 --> 00:25:43,440 Speaker 1: getting one and a half. I mean, look, I agree 551 00:25:43,440 --> 00:25:46,000 Speaker 1: with you. I'm not going anywhere near this. I really want. 552 00:25:46,040 --> 00:25:48,360 Speaker 1: I mean when I look at it and I kind 553 00:25:48,359 --> 00:25:51,080 Speaker 1: of break down the entire game. There is value now 554 00:25:51,160 --> 00:25:53,520 Speaker 1: with the Cowboys. You're getting value at this point with 555 00:25:53,600 --> 00:25:55,959 Speaker 1: them playing at home getting one and a half points. 556 00:25:56,240 --> 00:26:01,719 Speaker 1: But I cannot stake my betting life. I'm Jason Garrett, right, 557 00:26:01,760 --> 00:26:04,160 Speaker 1: I just can't at this point. And the Rams look 558 00:26:04,240 --> 00:26:07,000 Speaker 1: really good, but again, you know it's hard to not 559 00:26:07,119 --> 00:26:09,520 Speaker 1: overreact to what you just saw. And you know, the 560 00:26:09,600 --> 00:26:12,080 Speaker 1: Rams have looked really good lately. The Cowboys have looked bad. 561 00:26:12,080 --> 00:26:15,720 Speaker 1: But again, Cowboys at home kind of you know the 562 00:26:15,800 --> 00:26:17,920 Speaker 1: values there, but I can't get involved in that. And 563 00:26:18,000 --> 00:26:20,719 Speaker 1: that is coming from somebody who just took a Freddy 564 00:26:20,800 --> 00:26:24,520 Speaker 1: Kitchens led team on the road at Arizona, and I'm saying, man, 565 00:26:24,600 --> 00:26:26,959 Speaker 1: with Jason Garrett there, I can't get involved. So I 566 00:26:27,000 --> 00:26:28,959 Speaker 1: agree with you on that one. Man. It really is 567 00:26:29,000 --> 00:26:33,000 Speaker 1: something where wow, the line, the movement in the line, 568 00:26:33,119 --> 00:26:35,080 Speaker 1: you know, the public is all over it. It just 569 00:26:35,440 --> 00:26:38,440 Speaker 1: it scares me, So I agree with you. I'm staying 570 00:26:38,440 --> 00:26:42,040 Speaker 1: away for my pick. I am going to avoid the 571 00:26:42,160 --> 00:26:45,479 Speaker 1: Packers laying four and a half to the Bears. I 572 00:26:45,600 --> 00:26:47,919 Speaker 1: just I cannot get a read on this game. The 573 00:26:47,960 --> 00:26:52,120 Speaker 1: Bears have been playing better, but the defense is still solid. 574 00:26:52,200 --> 00:26:55,560 Speaker 1: It's not great, and they just lost Rokwan Smith. And 575 00:26:55,600 --> 00:26:58,760 Speaker 1: the Packers are kind of just like coasting along. They 576 00:26:58,840 --> 00:27:02,080 Speaker 1: rarely look impressive, but they're generally finding ways to win. 577 00:27:02,200 --> 00:27:04,520 Speaker 1: And it's basically a must a must win game kind 578 00:27:04,560 --> 00:27:06,439 Speaker 1: of for both teams. The Bears need to keep their 579 00:27:06,440 --> 00:27:09,000 Speaker 1: playoff hopes alive. The Packers need to not only stay 580 00:27:09,000 --> 00:27:11,159 Speaker 1: ahead of the Vikings, but they're also in play for 581 00:27:11,240 --> 00:27:14,399 Speaker 1: the number two seed if things break right. Divisional opponents 582 00:27:14,440 --> 00:27:17,120 Speaker 1: who know each other well second meaning of the year. 583 00:27:17,280 --> 00:27:19,880 Speaker 1: It's just not a game I really want to get 584 00:27:19,880 --> 00:27:21,800 Speaker 1: involved in. If I was forced to choose a side, 585 00:27:21,880 --> 00:27:24,639 Speaker 1: I guess it would be the Bears. But it's really 586 00:27:24,680 --> 00:27:26,640 Speaker 1: in limbo. It's just not a game that I feel 587 00:27:26,680 --> 00:27:27,239 Speaker 1: comfortable with. 588 00:27:27,640 --> 00:27:30,040 Speaker 2: I couldn't agree more the Bear. The Bears are one 589 00:27:30,040 --> 00:27:32,119 Speaker 2: of those teams that fall into that category of like, 590 00:27:32,119 --> 00:27:34,359 Speaker 2: are you gonna get good Mitch or bad Mitch? And 591 00:27:35,720 --> 00:27:37,639 Speaker 2: if you get good Mitch, you're gonna get some some 592 00:27:37,720 --> 00:27:39,520 Speaker 2: good results. I think a lot of the like you said, 593 00:27:39,560 --> 00:27:42,200 Speaker 2: the defense has been good, not like they haven't been 594 00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:43,840 Speaker 2: like as outstanding as we want, but I think a 595 00:27:43,840 --> 00:27:47,280 Speaker 2: lot to do with uh, the fact that those for 596 00:27:47,359 --> 00:27:49,680 Speaker 2: most of the season, the Bears just haven't been able 597 00:27:49,720 --> 00:27:52,560 Speaker 2: to sustain drives and they're they're getting gassed and they're 598 00:27:52,600 --> 00:27:55,200 Speaker 2: getting tired and teams kind of wear them out throughout 599 00:27:55,200 --> 00:27:58,240 Speaker 2: the game. But yeah, I uh like the Packers on 600 00:27:58,280 --> 00:28:00,280 Speaker 2: the other hand, like I don't I don't know what 601 00:28:00,359 --> 00:28:03,400 Speaker 2: to make of mattliflur in that offense right now. They 602 00:28:03,480 --> 00:28:06,120 Speaker 2: like you said, they find ways to win, but it's 603 00:28:06,160 --> 00:28:09,200 Speaker 2: been ugly. But I guess maybe it comes playoff time 604 00:28:09,200 --> 00:28:12,080 Speaker 2: and then their experienced when and ugly, which is what 605 00:28:12,119 --> 00:28:14,160 Speaker 2: you need in the playoffs. So who knows. That's why 606 00:28:14,160 --> 00:28:14,879 Speaker 2: I'm staying away. 607 00:28:16,520 --> 00:28:18,879 Speaker 1: As you mentioned, there's like five or six games that 608 00:28:18,960 --> 00:28:21,520 Speaker 1: can usually fall into this category. Right, there's a bunch 609 00:28:21,520 --> 00:28:23,880 Speaker 1: of games that neither one of us won want to touch. 610 00:28:23,920 --> 00:28:26,040 Speaker 1: But for now, I will avoid the Packers giving four 611 00:28:26,040 --> 00:28:27,680 Speaker 1: and a half to the Bears, and you will avoid 612 00:28:27,720 --> 00:28:31,200 Speaker 1: the Rams laying one and a half now to the Cowboys. 613 00:28:31,560 --> 00:28:33,520 Speaker 1: So before we get onto our final segment, I want 614 00:28:33,560 --> 00:28:35,720 Speaker 1: to remind everyone about our giveaway. It is a signed 615 00:28:35,960 --> 00:28:38,800 Speaker 1: Michael Thomas Saints helmet. You can go to Betting Pros 616 00:28:38,840 --> 00:28:41,480 Speaker 1: dot com slash contest for more details, but to enter, 617 00:28:41,520 --> 00:28:43,480 Speaker 1: just leave a review for the show on Apple Podcasts 618 00:28:43,560 --> 00:28:46,160 Speaker 1: or Stitcher, send the screenshot of that review to contest 619 00:28:46,200 --> 00:28:48,600 Speaker 1: at bettingpros dot com, And if you have already entered 620 00:28:48,640 --> 00:28:51,320 Speaker 1: a previous contest, you are automatically injured for this one. 621 00:28:51,600 --> 00:28:53,840 Speaker 1: So no worries there now that Thomas helmet. All of 622 00:28:53,880 --> 00:28:56,480 Speaker 1: our signed helmets they come from Pristine Auction, where they 623 00:28:56,560 --> 00:28:59,600 Speaker 1: offer a ton of great memorabilia with thousands of auctions 624 00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:03,040 Speaker 1: every Just go to Pristineauction dot com. That's p R 625 00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:05,680 Speaker 1: I S t I n E auction dot com. And 626 00:29:05,760 --> 00:29:08,000 Speaker 1: when you go there use our promo code Betting Pros 627 00:29:08,240 --> 00:29:11,400 Speaker 1: win a free five dollars voucher instantly. All right, let's 628 00:29:11,400 --> 00:29:14,000 Speaker 1: finish up with our top prop where we give our 629 00:29:14,120 --> 00:29:16,520 Speaker 1: top player prop bet of the week. What do you have? 630 00:29:17,360 --> 00:29:19,840 Speaker 2: My best prop of the week, which you can also 631 00:29:19,880 --> 00:29:22,920 Speaker 2: find over at Covers Propshop podcast, which we do every week, 632 00:29:23,360 --> 00:29:26,560 Speaker 2: is Jarvis Landry to go along with your Cleveland Browns, 633 00:29:26,560 --> 00:29:29,040 Speaker 2: but to go over his receiving yards total of seventy 634 00:29:29,120 --> 00:29:32,959 Speaker 2: six and a half yards. Like you broke down all 635 00:29:33,000 --> 00:29:36,080 Speaker 2: the reasons why we like the Browns to cover that spread, 636 00:29:36,320 --> 00:29:39,000 Speaker 2: and that kind of goes into why I like Landry 637 00:29:39,320 --> 00:29:42,320 Speaker 2: in this game as well. I looked at Baker's yardage 638 00:29:42,360 --> 00:29:45,760 Speaker 2: total as well, but he's just like there's some some 639 00:29:45,880 --> 00:29:47,800 Speaker 2: of his games are so inconsistent you don't know what 640 00:29:47,840 --> 00:29:50,320 Speaker 2: you're gonna get with him. Juice has been consistent, and 641 00:29:50,360 --> 00:29:52,200 Speaker 2: he's back to me and that target monster we're used to, 642 00:29:52,280 --> 00:29:55,400 Speaker 2: averaging over ten targets and nearly eighty yards per game 643 00:29:55,440 --> 00:29:59,160 Speaker 2: over his last seven games. Like you said, this, Cardinal's 644 00:29:59,200 --> 00:30:01,960 Speaker 2: past events really and it's like we said, shocking because 645 00:30:01,960 --> 00:30:04,520 Speaker 2: that includes Patrick Peterson, but either way, I think Peterson's 646 00:30:04,560 --> 00:30:08,200 Speaker 2: probably gonna be on Odell most of the time anyway. 647 00:30:08,360 --> 00:30:12,240 Speaker 2: And another area that the Cardinals are really terrible that 648 00:30:12,760 --> 00:30:16,120 Speaker 2: is defending tight ends. They're like really like worst in 649 00:30:16,120 --> 00:30:19,520 Speaker 2: the league at defending tight ends, and not that they're 650 00:30:19,560 --> 00:30:22,440 Speaker 2: gonna you mentioned inn Djoko, but they can also use 651 00:30:23,000 --> 00:30:25,520 Speaker 2: Landry all over the field, and he does his best 652 00:30:25,520 --> 00:30:27,160 Speaker 2: work in the middle of the field, which is a 653 00:30:27,280 --> 00:30:30,080 Speaker 2: spot where the Cardinals are lacking. So I like them 654 00:30:30,080 --> 00:30:32,360 Speaker 2: to take advantage in that spot and go over his 655 00:30:32,920 --> 00:30:34,760 Speaker 2: receiving yards of seventy six and a half. 656 00:30:35,000 --> 00:30:37,880 Speaker 1: Yep, love it. Mayfield is somebody who you know, I 657 00:30:37,920 --> 00:30:40,040 Speaker 1: do a lot of fantasy, as we kind of alluded to, 658 00:30:41,160 --> 00:30:43,880 Speaker 1: and you know Mayfield just you know, I'll probably have 659 00:30:43,960 --> 00:30:48,200 Speaker 1: him ranked relatively decently, But he's not somebody who I 660 00:30:48,280 --> 00:30:50,160 Speaker 1: love because you just can't trust him. But you can 661 00:30:50,240 --> 00:30:52,960 Speaker 1: pretty much trust Landry. He's really the one part of 662 00:30:53,000 --> 00:30:55,040 Speaker 1: the passing game that you can druss. So I like it. 663 00:30:55,080 --> 00:30:56,640 Speaker 1: I think they're gonna have a big game, as I mentioned, 664 00:30:56,680 --> 00:30:58,080 Speaker 1: and I do think the Landry is gonna get a 665 00:30:58,080 --> 00:31:00,120 Speaker 1: big piece of it. I am going sort of to 666 00:31:00,240 --> 00:31:02,600 Speaker 1: dovetail into one of your other picks, and I'm going 667 00:31:02,600 --> 00:31:06,160 Speaker 1: to go with Chris Carson over one hundred and twenty 668 00:31:06,280 --> 00:31:09,920 Speaker 1: five rushing yards at plus plus two ten. All right, 669 00:31:10,000 --> 00:31:12,160 Speaker 1: so you know we're getting we're getting some juice on that. 670 00:31:12,280 --> 00:31:14,480 Speaker 1: The Panthers, as you mentioned, I mean, you basically gave 671 00:31:14,520 --> 00:31:15,880 Speaker 1: it all anyway, so I don't really have to go 672 00:31:15,920 --> 00:31:17,920 Speaker 1: into it too much. But as you mentioned, the Panthers 673 00:31:17,960 --> 00:31:21,480 Speaker 1: are last in the league in rushing defensive DVOA. They've 674 00:31:21,520 --> 00:31:24,040 Speaker 1: completely mailed it in. The Panthers have a lot. They 675 00:31:24,120 --> 00:31:26,080 Speaker 1: have a lot one hundred and seventy five rushing yards 676 00:31:26,080 --> 00:31:29,000 Speaker 1: per game over their last three games. You mentioned Rashot 677 00:31:29,000 --> 00:31:31,480 Speaker 1: Penny is out for this game, that they don't have 678 00:31:31,520 --> 00:31:34,440 Speaker 1: anybody else really to run. They desperately need to win. 679 00:31:34,440 --> 00:31:37,120 Speaker 1: Brian shot and hyper wants to run the ball. They're 680 00:31:37,160 --> 00:31:39,040 Speaker 1: gonna do so. Again here it's you know, it's a 681 00:31:39,040 --> 00:31:40,880 Speaker 1: big number, one hundred and twenty five yards, but you 682 00:31:40,880 --> 00:31:42,520 Speaker 1: know you're getting two to one in your money, more 683 00:31:42,560 --> 00:31:44,719 Speaker 1: than two to one in your money. So again, this 684 00:31:44,760 --> 00:31:46,880 Speaker 1: is a game where I think everybody on the Seattle 685 00:31:46,920 --> 00:31:51,240 Speaker 1: offense goes crazy. But specifically Chris Carson, especially with Penny 686 00:31:51,240 --> 00:31:54,040 Speaker 1: out with Penny in, they're basically splitting Carrieres WITHO him, CJ. 687 00:31:54,160 --> 00:31:56,400 Speaker 1: Pross is not going to really siphon off all that much. 688 00:31:56,440 --> 00:31:58,360 Speaker 1: It's gonna be a lot of Carson. It's gonna be 689 00:31:58,400 --> 00:32:01,400 Speaker 1: a lot of yards. I'll take over one twenty five 690 00:32:01,760 --> 00:32:02,560 Speaker 1: at plus two ten. 691 00:32:03,280 --> 00:32:03,640 Speaker 2: Love it. 692 00:32:04,480 --> 00:32:06,800 Speaker 1: I knew you would given your plays bad but yeah, 693 00:32:06,800 --> 00:32:09,080 Speaker 1: he's He's a big one, and if you are playing fantasy, 694 00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:12,320 Speaker 1: certainly Carson should be considered probably a top five back 695 00:32:12,360 --> 00:32:14,320 Speaker 1: this week this week. All right, that's gonna do it 696 00:32:14,360 --> 00:32:16,440 Speaker 1: for today's show. Thanks again for joining me, Andrew. Remind 697 00:32:16,440 --> 00:32:18,600 Speaker 1: everybody where they can find more of you and your work. 698 00:32:19,080 --> 00:32:22,360 Speaker 2: You can find me at covers dot com and on 699 00:32:22,440 --> 00:32:26,000 Speaker 2: Twitter at Covers Underscore. Kaylee, we're getting ready for bowl 700 00:32:26,080 --> 00:32:30,200 Speaker 2: season now too. That's how crazy the the how crazy 701 00:32:30,200 --> 00:32:32,680 Speaker 2: fast the football season goes. We're already coming up to 702 00:32:32,680 --> 00:32:35,560 Speaker 2: bowl season, so we'll have breakdowns of every single bowl 703 00:32:35,560 --> 00:32:37,560 Speaker 2: game this season, so look forward to that. 704 00:32:38,280 --> 00:32:40,160 Speaker 1: Awesome. Well, thanks again for coming on the show. This 705 00:32:40,240 --> 00:32:43,040 Speaker 1: might be your fourth time on the show or something 706 00:32:43,080 --> 00:32:43,360 Speaker 1: like that. 707 00:32:43,800 --> 00:32:44,800 Speaker 2: I think it's something like that. 708 00:32:44,920 --> 00:32:46,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, we'll call it, we'll call it. I 709 00:32:46,600 --> 00:32:48,560 Speaker 1: always enjoy having you on. You're really easy to talk to. 710 00:32:48,960 --> 00:32:51,720 Speaker 1: You don't insult my jets too much. It's it's a 711 00:32:51,800 --> 00:32:54,040 Speaker 1: rarity for a guess, so really appreciate it. Hopefully we 712 00:32:54,080 --> 00:32:54,800 Speaker 1: can do it again soon. 713 00:32:55,440 --> 00:32:55,960 Speaker 2: Can't wait? 714 00:32:56,320 --> 00:32:58,320 Speaker 1: All right? I want to remind everybody about bet MGM, 715 00:32:58,400 --> 00:33:01,240 Speaker 1: where you can win one hundred dollars in free bets 716 00:33:01,240 --> 00:33:03,480 Speaker 1: on your one dollar money line bet on the Cowboys 717 00:33:03,520 --> 00:33:06,000 Speaker 1: to beat the Rams so long as Dak Prescott completes 718 00:33:06,000 --> 00:33:08,600 Speaker 1: even a single pass. If you sign up for an 719 00:33:08,600 --> 00:33:11,240 Speaker 1: account using our promo code Harris, and don't forget to 720 00:33:11,280 --> 00:33:13,360 Speaker 1: leave us a review on Apple, podcast or Stitcher, send 721 00:33:13,400 --> 00:33:16,040 Speaker 1: a screenshot of that review to contest at bettingpros dot 722 00:33:16,040 --> 00:33:19,640 Speaker 1: com to be entered into our Michael Thomas signed helmet giveaway. 723 00:33:19,840 --> 00:33:22,040 Speaker 1: Good luckily your wagers this week, and everybody, we'll be 724 00:33:22,080 --> 00:33:24,400 Speaker 1: back breaking down the early lines for week sixteen on 725 00:33:24,520 --> 00:33:28,880 Speaker 1: Monday