1 00:00:01,000 --> 00:00:03,240 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,279 --> 00:00:05,840 Speaker 1: your bets and beat Joey p joe Pi Zafia and 3 00:00:05,960 --> 00:00:09,119 Speaker 1: this is VP ANDFL. It's time to look ahead to 4 00:00:09,160 --> 00:00:11,800 Speaker 1: the props for week seven in the NFL and to 5 00:00:11,800 --> 00:00:14,000 Speaker 1: help get the bets in on time at the window, 6 00:00:14,320 --> 00:00:18,040 Speaker 1: the Undertaker Andrew ericson the Welsh and of course we 7 00:00:18,079 --> 00:00:20,439 Speaker 1: appreciate everyone joining us here on our YouTube channel. Subscribe 8 00:00:20,480 --> 00:00:22,720 Speaker 1: to the YouTube channel, hang out with us, talk betting 9 00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:25,040 Speaker 1: and of course week seven's got its host of injuries, 10 00:00:25,040 --> 00:00:28,040 Speaker 1: so a lot of opportunities here for some players that 11 00:00:28,080 --> 00:00:30,000 Speaker 1: are going to get some opportunities that maybe we didn't 12 00:00:30,040 --> 00:00:33,159 Speaker 1: think of going into last week. So whether it's the 13 00:00:33,200 --> 00:00:35,519 Speaker 1: Tess Johnson's of the world to the Jordan Winnington's of 14 00:00:35,560 --> 00:00:37,240 Speaker 1: the world, but there's gonna be a lot of guys 15 00:00:37,240 --> 00:00:40,480 Speaker 1: who are going to make an impact potentially in week seven. 16 00:00:40,479 --> 00:00:41,879 Speaker 1: We'll see if the guys want to bet on any 17 00:00:41,880 --> 00:00:44,239 Speaker 1: of those or maybe some of the returning guys like 18 00:00:44,280 --> 00:00:47,640 Speaker 1: Cidee Lamb and Mike Evans Fingers crossed. But before we 19 00:00:47,680 --> 00:00:49,680 Speaker 1: get after all that, don't forget download the Betting Pros 20 00:00:49,720 --> 00:00:52,400 Speaker 1: app as well. Start betting smarter, not harder. Use the tools, 21 00:00:52,400 --> 00:00:54,320 Speaker 1: don't be a tool. And let's take a look at 22 00:00:54,320 --> 00:00:56,400 Speaker 1: the leader board from last week two and three for 23 00:00:56,440 --> 00:00:59,120 Speaker 1: the Welsh, last week one and four for ericson everyone's 24 00:00:59,160 --> 00:01:02,280 Speaker 1: licking their wounds. But fear not, everybody, I'm still leading 25 00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:05,800 Speaker 1: the charge in touchdown calls. Seven, baby, let's go. And 26 00:01:05,840 --> 00:01:08,560 Speaker 1: I've got some special touchdown calls for you later in 27 00:01:08,640 --> 00:01:11,440 Speaker 1: the program, so don't miss those. All right, Welsh, let's 28 00:01:11,520 --> 00:01:14,960 Speaker 1: turn things around from week six into week seven into 29 00:01:15,000 --> 00:01:18,400 Speaker 1: the positive. We've got the Giants traveling to Denver. Denver 30 00:01:18,560 --> 00:01:20,640 Speaker 1: likes to run the football. The Giants have trouble with 31 00:01:20,720 --> 00:01:23,240 Speaker 1: the run. So what does that mean for JK. Dobbins. 32 00:01:23,480 --> 00:01:25,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, by the way, both my touchdown calls last week, 33 00:01:25,920 --> 00:01:26,560 Speaker 2: so that got buried. 34 00:01:26,959 --> 00:01:28,319 Speaker 3: That was a nice little added edition. 35 00:01:28,840 --> 00:01:31,280 Speaker 1: You know what, I just assumed you were at five. 36 00:01:31,319 --> 00:01:32,880 Speaker 1: I was like, I forgot you had been at three. 37 00:01:32,920 --> 00:01:33,920 Speaker 1: I thought you were keeping pace. 38 00:01:34,000 --> 00:01:37,000 Speaker 2: You just jumped right, heels, that's right, heels, tending it 39 00:01:37,080 --> 00:01:38,360 Speaker 2: back in the touchdowns. 40 00:01:37,880 --> 00:01:40,199 Speaker 1: For the record. You know, I listened and I bet 41 00:01:40,200 --> 00:01:42,240 Speaker 1: the Tucker craft over on the yardage and I didn't 42 00:01:42,240 --> 00:01:44,080 Speaker 1: get it. So I was very upset about Tucker Craft, 43 00:01:44,080 --> 00:01:45,720 Speaker 1: but he did get in the end zone, so that 44 00:01:45,800 --> 00:01:47,040 Speaker 1: did save the day for you guys. 45 00:01:47,120 --> 00:01:50,240 Speaker 3: So yeah, we were all bummed about that. All right. 46 00:01:50,520 --> 00:01:52,360 Speaker 3: So back to my first bet here. 47 00:01:52,800 --> 00:01:54,840 Speaker 2: We're going to go in with some rushing yard props 48 00:01:54,840 --> 00:01:59,440 Speaker 2: this week, and we got JK. Dobbins JK Dobbins rushing 49 00:01:59,520 --> 00:02:04,360 Speaker 2: yards fifty seven point five and that wonderful, beautiful bet 50 00:02:04,400 --> 00:02:06,720 Speaker 2: you can go and find over at hard Rock. Hard 51 00:02:06,760 --> 00:02:09,280 Speaker 2: Rock had the best line that was floating out there, 52 00:02:09,520 --> 00:02:11,680 Speaker 2: really like this one. He has hit this in five 53 00:02:11,840 --> 00:02:15,600 Speaker 2: of six games this season, averaging two point six yards 54 00:02:15,600 --> 00:02:20,160 Speaker 2: before contact over two yards after contact. He is averaging 55 00:02:20,200 --> 00:02:23,680 Speaker 2: seventy three yards per game and has had an average 56 00:02:23,720 --> 00:02:27,560 Speaker 2: of over sixteen carries per game over his last three games. 57 00:02:27,600 --> 00:02:29,640 Speaker 3: So we've got over this marker. 58 00:02:29,840 --> 00:02:32,360 Speaker 2: We've got over on the carries the Giants in general, 59 00:02:32,520 --> 00:02:35,200 Speaker 2: they're averaging ninety eight yards given up, which might not 60 00:02:35,240 --> 00:02:38,760 Speaker 2: seem like a ton, but that's on eighteen. 61 00:02:38,320 --> 00:02:39,680 Speaker 3: Rush attempts they have been given. 62 00:02:39,680 --> 00:02:41,800 Speaker 2: I'm saying average a lot, but I'm giving you the averages, 63 00:02:42,160 --> 00:02:45,000 Speaker 2: and they're averaging over five and a half yards given 64 00:02:45,080 --> 00:02:47,840 Speaker 2: up on the ground per game to running back, so 65 00:02:48,360 --> 00:02:51,240 Speaker 2: everything is lining up. This is a team that is 66 00:02:51,280 --> 00:02:53,440 Speaker 2: going to stack into a little bit more on the 67 00:02:53,520 --> 00:02:55,600 Speaker 2: rushing side. Like I'm not worried about this being an 68 00:02:55,639 --> 00:02:59,200 Speaker 2: eighteen rush attempt game for this team with over sixteen 69 00:02:59,240 --> 00:03:02,000 Speaker 2: rush attempts per on the averages on the ground. 70 00:03:02,160 --> 00:03:02,960 Speaker 3: I love JK. 71 00:03:03,080 --> 00:03:04,080 Speaker 2: Dobbins in this spot. 72 00:03:04,320 --> 00:03:06,760 Speaker 3: Projections like this as well. If you want to. 73 00:03:06,680 --> 00:03:10,200 Speaker 2: Look at Fantasy Pro's aggregate projections we have on the 74 00:03:10,240 --> 00:03:14,200 Speaker 2: fantasy side, this is over seventy yards, So the projections 75 00:03:14,240 --> 00:03:16,560 Speaker 2: are with me. I think everything is lining up. 76 00:03:16,639 --> 00:03:16,880 Speaker 3: JK. 77 00:03:16,960 --> 00:03:19,520 Speaker 2: Dobbins has been getting the heavy workload and this was 78 00:03:19,560 --> 00:03:21,760 Speaker 2: the very very first one that I locked into this week. 79 00:03:21,800 --> 00:03:25,160 Speaker 2: So JK Dobbins fifty seven point five over rushing yards, 80 00:03:25,200 --> 00:03:26,560 Speaker 2: best line over at hard Rock. 81 00:03:26,880 --> 00:03:29,200 Speaker 1: All right, for Andrew Erickson, we're gonna go across the 82 00:03:29,240 --> 00:03:31,280 Speaker 1: pond here for the international game with the Rams and 83 00:03:31,320 --> 00:03:34,200 Speaker 1: the Jags. We're gonna talk about Kyen Williams. Now Kien 84 00:03:34,200 --> 00:03:36,960 Speaker 1: Williams has gone under sixteen and a half rushing attempts 85 00:03:37,000 --> 00:03:40,160 Speaker 1: for three straight weeks. Why is this week different, Andrew? 86 00:03:40,240 --> 00:03:42,040 Speaker 1: Is it just simply because no pukuin akua? 87 00:03:42,600 --> 00:03:45,120 Speaker 4: I think that's part of this type of bet talked 88 00:03:45,120 --> 00:03:46,840 Speaker 4: about it last week. The only bet I hit last 89 00:03:46,880 --> 00:03:49,200 Speaker 4: week was Tony Pollard, and it wasn't because of his 90 00:03:49,360 --> 00:03:51,920 Speaker 4: recent track rider is because of injuries and a guy 91 00:03:52,000 --> 00:03:53,960 Speaker 4: being back into the offense that kind of changes the 92 00:03:53,960 --> 00:03:56,520 Speaker 4: outlook of that player. So a lot of my props 93 00:03:56,520 --> 00:03:59,360 Speaker 4: this week are actually based about Pukuina Koua and how 94 00:03:59,560 --> 00:04:01,920 Speaker 4: big of impact he has on the Rams offense. They 95 00:04:01,920 --> 00:04:03,480 Speaker 4: have to do things a little bit differently, and we 96 00:04:03,520 --> 00:04:05,880 Speaker 4: do have a sample size of last season when Pooka 97 00:04:05,960 --> 00:04:08,200 Speaker 4: missed a big chunk of games to start the year. 98 00:04:08,480 --> 00:04:10,800 Speaker 4: So last year, in four of the five games without 99 00:04:10,800 --> 00:04:13,680 Speaker 4: pook Nakua, Kyle Williams rush for at least eighteen attempts 100 00:04:13,880 --> 00:04:16,120 Speaker 4: in four of those five games. So you factor in 101 00:04:16,160 --> 00:04:19,400 Speaker 4: no Pooka Nakua, and also that Blake Korum, the second 102 00:04:19,440 --> 00:04:21,520 Speaker 4: running back for the Rams, has also been banged up. 103 00:04:21,720 --> 00:04:24,800 Speaker 4: He's been limited in practice throughout the week if he's 104 00:04:24,839 --> 00:04:26,480 Speaker 4: not seeing big workload. He's also kind of been in 105 00:04:26,520 --> 00:04:28,599 Speaker 4: the doghouse after he had one of these other fumbles. 106 00:04:28,920 --> 00:04:30,839 Speaker 4: I think it's just going to go back to Sean McVay. 107 00:04:30,960 --> 00:04:32,920 Speaker 4: Loves Kyen Williams and he's going to feed him the 108 00:04:33,000 --> 00:04:34,960 Speaker 4: rock when he has the opportunity to do so. So 109 00:04:35,000 --> 00:04:37,440 Speaker 4: I think it's going to be a big Kyra Williams workload. 110 00:04:37,440 --> 00:04:38,960 Speaker 4: It's going to take the over on sixty and a 111 00:04:39,000 --> 00:04:40,320 Speaker 4: half rushing attempts. 112 00:04:40,880 --> 00:04:43,080 Speaker 1: All right, So we have an over on the rushing 113 00:04:43,120 --> 00:04:47,080 Speaker 1: attempts for Kyra and Williams, breaking that three week downturn. Clearly, 114 00:04:47,120 --> 00:04:49,480 Speaker 1: Welsh is really hyper focused this week, by the way, 115 00:04:49,560 --> 00:04:53,240 Speaker 1: on that Denver Giants game because he's got another prop there, 116 00:04:53,480 --> 00:04:55,160 Speaker 1: and this one also makes sense to me too. Let's 117 00:04:55,160 --> 00:04:56,320 Speaker 1: talk about Courtland Sutton. 118 00:04:56,760 --> 00:04:58,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, just two of my favorite just locked in on 119 00:04:59,000 --> 00:05:01,560 Speaker 2: the Denver side going up against the Giants, and we 120 00:05:01,640 --> 00:05:04,480 Speaker 2: are going to go with Courtland Sutton receiving yards fifty 121 00:05:04,560 --> 00:05:07,160 Speaker 2: six point five. So obviously I need their offense to 122 00:05:07,200 --> 00:05:09,120 Speaker 2: get going because I'm going on the rushing and the 123 00:05:09,160 --> 00:05:11,960 Speaker 2: receiving side. But Courtland Sutton has hit this in four 124 00:05:12,080 --> 00:05:14,560 Speaker 2: six games this year, and three of his last four. 125 00:05:14,600 --> 00:05:16,960 Speaker 2: He's coming off of an atrocious was a three target, 126 00:05:17,000 --> 00:05:20,920 Speaker 2: one catch game, but this is after a three week 127 00:05:21,000 --> 00:05:25,040 Speaker 2: stretch where he received twenty four targets. This is a 128 00:05:25,080 --> 00:05:28,200 Speaker 2: good matchup grade on PFF as far as wide receiver 129 00:05:28,279 --> 00:05:31,440 Speaker 2: cornerbacks go. The Giants have given this receiving yard prop 130 00:05:31,520 --> 00:05:35,000 Speaker 2: up to a wide receiver in every single game this year, 131 00:05:35,160 --> 00:05:36,960 Speaker 2: So if there is someone that is going to do that, 132 00:05:37,000 --> 00:05:39,080 Speaker 2: it is going to be the Broncos getting back right 133 00:05:39,120 --> 00:05:41,240 Speaker 2: with Courtland Sutton. And as you can kind of tell, like, 134 00:05:41,600 --> 00:05:43,800 Speaker 2: I think the Broncos are going to be able to 135 00:05:43,880 --> 00:05:45,400 Speaker 2: kind of at will do what they need to do. 136 00:05:45,400 --> 00:05:46,840 Speaker 2: They're gonna be able to run, They're gonna be able 137 00:05:46,880 --> 00:05:48,760 Speaker 2: to pass. I know they do float the ball out 138 00:05:48,800 --> 00:05:50,400 Speaker 2: in a lot of different spots, but I think this 139 00:05:50,440 --> 00:05:54,440 Speaker 2: is going to recenter back into Courtland Sutton. The Pros 140 00:05:55,160 --> 00:05:57,680 Speaker 2: projections are at sixty two, so I've got a little 141 00:05:57,680 --> 00:05:59,200 Speaker 2: bit of a cushion on this as well. So this 142 00:05:59,279 --> 00:06:02,200 Speaker 2: is a Fantasy Pros thumbs up as far as the 143 00:06:02,240 --> 00:06:06,760 Speaker 2: receiving yard reception projections go. So I'm locked in Courtland Sutton. 144 00:06:06,800 --> 00:06:09,040 Speaker 2: Give me the receiving yards over again? 145 00:06:09,200 --> 00:06:10,600 Speaker 3: Is it the over? Yes? 146 00:06:11,200 --> 00:06:13,599 Speaker 1: Yes, yes, yes, all right, So you are focusing on 147 00:06:13,640 --> 00:06:16,320 Speaker 1: the Giants Denver game, and Ericson continues to be locked 148 00:06:16,320 --> 00:06:19,680 Speaker 1: in to London. Here Matthew Stafford is the player or 149 00:06:19,680 --> 00:06:21,560 Speaker 1: so where are we going for his passing yards? 150 00:06:21,800 --> 00:06:23,880 Speaker 4: Yeah, I want to win my money before the one 151 00:06:23,920 --> 00:06:26,880 Speaker 4: o'clock games even start on Sunday, So that's why I'm 152 00:06:27,000 --> 00:06:29,960 Speaker 4: hyper focusing on this London game. So mine's a correlated 153 00:06:30,000 --> 00:06:32,360 Speaker 4: play here with Matthew Stafford going under thirty four and 154 00:06:32,360 --> 00:06:35,279 Speaker 4: a half passing attempts, I want. I'm going bigger going 155 00:06:35,279 --> 00:06:36,920 Speaker 4: home with these props speak. So it's either going to 156 00:06:37,000 --> 00:06:38,360 Speaker 4: be a five and oh week or an oh and 157 00:06:38,440 --> 00:06:41,960 Speaker 4: five kind of week. So Stafford is going to pass 158 00:06:42,160 --> 00:06:44,719 Speaker 4: West without pookin Nakula again, going back to the sample 159 00:06:44,760 --> 00:06:46,680 Speaker 4: size and just listed up. If Karen Williams is getting 160 00:06:46,720 --> 00:06:49,320 Speaker 4: eighteen carries or nineteen carries in this game, then Stafford's 161 00:06:49,360 --> 00:06:53,320 Speaker 4: not gonna be thrown nearly as much without Nikoua. Last year, 162 00:06:53,720 --> 00:06:56,760 Speaker 4: Stafford was under this number in four of his five games. 163 00:06:57,040 --> 00:07:00,360 Speaker 4: So yeah, there you go, Simples. 164 00:07:00,720 --> 00:07:02,760 Speaker 1: There you go. Keeping it simple. That's what into Ericson 165 00:07:02,839 --> 00:07:04,240 Speaker 1: is doing, all right. We also like to keep it 166 00:07:04,279 --> 00:07:06,120 Speaker 1: simple here with the sponsor the show hard Rock Bet, 167 00:07:06,480 --> 00:07:08,679 Speaker 1: makes it easy, makes it fun. The app is terrific. 168 00:07:08,680 --> 00:07:10,640 Speaker 1: They are the sponsor of our programs this year. And 169 00:07:10,680 --> 00:07:12,080 Speaker 1: if you sign up at hard Rock Bet today and 170 00:07:12,120 --> 00:07:14,240 Speaker 1: place your first bet of five bucks. If it wins, 171 00:07:14,280 --> 00:07:16,120 Speaker 1: you'll get one hundred and fifty and bonus bets on 172 00:07:16,120 --> 00:07:18,360 Speaker 1: top of your winnings. Just one more reason to check 173 00:07:18,400 --> 00:07:20,320 Speaker 1: out the hard rock Bet app and see why so 174 00:07:20,440 --> 00:07:23,560 Speaker 1: many stars and so many good ratings follow it wherever 175 00:07:23,600 --> 00:07:25,680 Speaker 1: it goes. And it's our last show of the week 176 00:07:25,680 --> 00:07:27,840 Speaker 1: before Sunday, So if you're looking for more insights on 177 00:07:27,840 --> 00:07:30,160 Speaker 1: what can be bet before, just check out the hard 178 00:07:30,240 --> 00:07:33,720 Speaker 1: rock Stats hub over on hard Rock Bet right there 179 00:07:33,760 --> 00:07:35,680 Speaker 1: on the app. Kansas City has won thirteen in a row. 180 00:07:35,760 --> 00:07:39,040 Speaker 1: Is home favorites the Jets. The Jets have lost eleven 181 00:07:39,120 --> 00:07:41,400 Speaker 1: straight against the NFC South and guess who they play 182 00:07:41,440 --> 00:07:44,920 Speaker 1: this week, Carolina. So stats like that, streaks like that 183 00:07:45,040 --> 00:07:47,160 Speaker 1: you can bet on the hard rock app. Christian McCaffrey's 184 00:07:47,160 --> 00:07:50,080 Speaker 1: on eight game touchdown streak in October, so there you go. 185 00:07:50,160 --> 00:07:53,120 Speaker 1: He likes to score touchdowns when the leaves change. In 186 00:07:53,160 --> 00:07:55,440 Speaker 1: our hard Rock Bet, you get the profit boosts as 187 00:07:55,480 --> 00:07:58,560 Speaker 1: well for football parlays every single day through Monday, back 188 00:07:58,560 --> 00:08:01,160 Speaker 1: to back college profit boosts today and Saturday, plus a 189 00:08:01,160 --> 00:08:04,280 Speaker 1: profit boost for the Sunday games and another Monday night. 190 00:08:04,360 --> 00:08:06,440 Speaker 1: There's new promos every day, so no matter what you 191 00:08:06,520 --> 00:08:09,360 Speaker 1: listen to. This is the time to open up the 192 00:08:09,400 --> 00:08:11,480 Speaker 1: app and check out what you've got here from hard 193 00:08:11,560 --> 00:08:13,720 Speaker 1: Rock Bet this week. So download the hard Rock Bet 194 00:08:13,720 --> 00:08:16,880 Speaker 1: app today and make your first deposit payable and bonus 195 00:08:16,920 --> 00:08:18,920 Speaker 1: bets not a cash offer offered by the Seminole Tribe 196 00:08:18,920 --> 00:08:21,520 Speaker 1: of Florida. In Florida, offered by Seminal hard Rock Digital LLC. 197 00:08:21,600 --> 00:08:25,960 Speaker 1: In other states. Must be twenty one and physically president Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, 198 00:08:25,960 --> 00:08:28,360 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia to play. Terms and 199 00:08:28,360 --> 00:08:31,000 Speaker 1: conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida called one eight 200 00:08:31,080 --> 00:08:33,600 Speaker 1: eight eight admit it in Indiana. If you are somebody 201 00:08:33,559 --> 00:08:35,400 Speaker 1: you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 202 00:08:35,480 --> 00:08:37,800 Speaker 1: one eight hundred and nine with it. Gambling problem called 203 00:08:37,800 --> 00:08:41,800 Speaker 1: one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 204 00:08:43,280 --> 00:08:45,880 Speaker 1: Let's talk about Ashton genty here. I missed this by 205 00:08:46,040 --> 00:08:49,079 Speaker 1: a half a yard last week. Still salty about it. 206 00:08:49,080 --> 00:08:50,600 Speaker 1: It was seventy five and a half. He had seventy 207 00:08:50,640 --> 00:08:53,600 Speaker 1: five yards. I am not happy, but looks like Welsh 208 00:08:53,640 --> 00:08:56,199 Speaker 1: is at least ready to love again. The number of 209 00:08:56,200 --> 00:08:58,680 Speaker 1: this week is fifty eight and a half. That seems easy, 210 00:08:58,720 --> 00:09:01,760 Speaker 1: but again it is against the Chiefs defense that's pretty good, 211 00:09:02,200 --> 00:09:04,160 Speaker 1: and on top of which a game script that might 212 00:09:04,200 --> 00:09:07,160 Speaker 1: not be in their favor, although weird things do happen 213 00:09:07,200 --> 00:09:09,120 Speaker 1: sometimes between the Raiders and the Chiefs. 214 00:09:09,600 --> 00:09:11,959 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I actually had this bet last week. 215 00:09:12,280 --> 00:09:12,760 Speaker 3: I hit it. 216 00:09:12,840 --> 00:09:15,240 Speaker 2: If you listen when I dropped the show, that line 217 00:09:15,520 --> 00:09:17,840 Speaker 2: was a move in. So we did end up cashing it. 218 00:09:17,880 --> 00:09:19,440 Speaker 2: And now I'm going back to the well, which I'm 219 00:09:19,480 --> 00:09:21,880 Speaker 2: not sure if I've ever done, so that might. 220 00:09:21,720 --> 00:09:22,520 Speaker 3: Be bad or good. 221 00:09:22,880 --> 00:09:25,000 Speaker 2: As we've done this show, it's either gonna go one 222 00:09:25,040 --> 00:09:26,680 Speaker 2: way or he's gonna have like thirty yards he's gonna 223 00:09:26,679 --> 00:09:28,520 Speaker 2: have ninety yards, because I don't think I've ever gone 224 00:09:28,520 --> 00:09:30,960 Speaker 2: back to back on the same prop, but with Ashton 225 00:09:30,960 --> 00:09:33,600 Speaker 2: genty like. Yeah, first, the number is really low, but 226 00:09:33,640 --> 00:09:37,000 Speaker 2: it's against the Chiefs digging. In four of six games 227 00:09:37,000 --> 00:09:39,440 Speaker 2: this year, the Chiefs have given up this rushing yard prop. 228 00:09:39,480 --> 00:09:42,040 Speaker 3: Two running backs. Any running back. 229 00:09:42,120 --> 00:09:45,200 Speaker 2: That received sixteen or more carries against the Chiefs have 230 00:09:45,400 --> 00:09:48,480 Speaker 2: hit this prop. That's really key because we had more 231 00:09:48,520 --> 00:09:52,680 Speaker 2: confirmation this week about Carol talking. Hey, the twenty touch 232 00:09:53,080 --> 00:09:55,439 Speaker 2: range is exactly where we want to hit no Less 233 00:09:55,480 --> 00:09:58,520 Speaker 2: every single week on Ashton genty, So really hone in 234 00:09:58,559 --> 00:10:00,880 Speaker 2: on that. The Chiefs are giving up four point seven 235 00:10:01,120 --> 00:10:04,240 Speaker 2: yards per attempt to running back so far this year, 236 00:10:04,520 --> 00:10:08,400 Speaker 2: genty third most rush attempts of any running back over 237 00:10:08,400 --> 00:10:11,320 Speaker 2: the last three weeks. He's averaging ninety three yards per 238 00:10:11,400 --> 00:10:14,280 Speaker 2: game in that span. And an interesting fact, at least 239 00:10:14,320 --> 00:10:16,920 Speaker 2: I thought in that time span, he has just a 240 00:10:16,960 --> 00:10:20,760 Speaker 2: one point three percent explosive run rate. So he is 241 00:10:20,920 --> 00:10:24,199 Speaker 2: grinding down, dudes. He's not making this out on huge, 242 00:10:24,200 --> 00:10:28,560 Speaker 2: big plays. He is grinding out three, five, seven. That's 243 00:10:28,600 --> 00:10:30,760 Speaker 2: just how he's playing it out. He's gonna get a 244 00:10:30,760 --> 00:10:32,760 Speaker 2: big bulk. And as I said, any running back that 245 00:10:32,760 --> 00:10:35,200 Speaker 2: has had sixteen or more carries has hit this. The 246 00:10:35,240 --> 00:10:37,240 Speaker 2: lines are a little bit disier because of the matchup 247 00:10:37,280 --> 00:10:40,080 Speaker 2: is projections, but the projections do support this at a 248 00:10:40,080 --> 00:10:43,280 Speaker 2: low number, which shout out to hard Rock had the 249 00:10:43,320 --> 00:10:46,400 Speaker 2: best line on Ashton genty. So fifty eight point five 250 00:10:46,679 --> 00:10:48,240 Speaker 2: is what I've got locked in and that is bet 251 00:10:48,280 --> 00:10:48,840 Speaker 2: number three. 252 00:10:49,120 --> 00:10:52,000 Speaker 1: All right, Andrew Rickson for bet number three this week 253 00:10:52,040 --> 00:10:54,680 Speaker 1: in Week seven. You are also staying in this game 254 00:10:54,720 --> 00:10:57,079 Speaker 1: with a running back, but it's Isaiah Pacheco, So let's 255 00:10:57,120 --> 00:10:58,920 Speaker 1: talk about his forty and a half rushing yards and 256 00:10:59,000 --> 00:11:00,880 Speaker 1: going over or or undertaker. 257 00:11:01,480 --> 00:11:04,360 Speaker 4: Check yourself before you wreck yourself, guys taking the over 258 00:11:04,559 --> 00:11:08,520 Speaker 4: on Isaiah Pachecko, whoa monster game for him coming this week. 259 00:11:08,559 --> 00:11:11,920 Speaker 4: So I like how we've seen more usage for Pachecko. 260 00:11:12,400 --> 00:11:14,400 Speaker 4: Last week he had a seventy seven percent snapshare that 261 00:11:14,440 --> 00:11:17,160 Speaker 4: was a season high, season high in carries at twelve, 262 00:11:17,559 --> 00:11:19,920 Speaker 4: and I like the matchup specifically against the Raiders. The 263 00:11:20,000 --> 00:11:24,160 Speaker 4: Raiders have the highest rate of stuffed boxes this season, 264 00:11:24,240 --> 00:11:26,280 Speaker 4: so they're really putting all their guys to stop the 265 00:11:26,360 --> 00:11:28,720 Speaker 4: run in the box. You look at Pachecko, He's actually 266 00:11:28,720 --> 00:11:30,800 Speaker 4: averaged seven point five yards per carrie, which is the 267 00:11:30,800 --> 00:11:34,040 Speaker 4: third highest against stack boxes this season, fourth and rushing 268 00:11:34,040 --> 00:11:36,720 Speaker 4: success rate. So I think that it's a really low 269 00:11:36,760 --> 00:11:39,120 Speaker 4: number for Pacheco. And even though he hasn't hit this 270 00:11:39,320 --> 00:11:42,600 Speaker 4: number in four consecutive weeks, he's gone over his rushing 271 00:11:42,720 --> 00:11:45,840 Speaker 4: yards prop in four consecutive weeks, so he's starting to 272 00:11:45,880 --> 00:11:48,480 Speaker 4: heat up. He's performing above expectation, and I think the 273 00:11:48,559 --> 00:11:51,240 Speaker 4: Chiefs noticed that this office is cooking at home. Against 274 00:11:51,280 --> 00:11:53,520 Speaker 4: the Raiders. I think Pacheco can have at least a 275 00:11:53,520 --> 00:11:55,840 Speaker 4: decent role here get over forty and a half yards, 276 00:11:55,880 --> 00:11:57,200 Speaker 4: which I just I think is a really low. 277 00:11:57,080 --> 00:12:00,439 Speaker 1: Bar to pass going out on a list here and 278 00:12:00,520 --> 00:12:03,720 Speaker 1: Isaiah Pacheco. Also, if you're looking for more healthier props 279 00:12:03,880 --> 00:12:06,079 Speaker 1: bettingpros dot Com slash Props, that's where the prop bet 280 00:12:06,120 --> 00:12:07,840 Speaker 1: cheat sheet lives, or you can just download the app 281 00:12:07,840 --> 00:12:09,520 Speaker 1: wherever you get your apps, so don't forget about that 282 00:12:09,720 --> 00:12:12,280 Speaker 1: can show all the values based on the projections and 283 00:12:12,360 --> 00:12:14,480 Speaker 1: the best houses to bet them. That's how you make 284 00:12:14,640 --> 00:12:17,680 Speaker 1: value happen for you, So use the prop bet cheat sheet, 285 00:12:17,679 --> 00:12:20,120 Speaker 1: one of the many incredible tools on the Betting Pros 286 00:12:20,160 --> 00:12:23,200 Speaker 1: app downloaded today. And well let's bring us to number 287 00:12:23,320 --> 00:12:28,320 Speaker 1: four for the Welsh. My guy MVP Baker Mayfield. If 288 00:12:28,360 --> 00:12:29,880 Speaker 1: you listen to the shows last week, you got it 289 00:12:29,960 --> 00:12:32,480 Speaker 1: plus nine fifty. I can't help you now. That was 290 00:12:32,520 --> 00:12:35,120 Speaker 1: the time to get in, so hopefully the trend continues. 291 00:12:35,120 --> 00:12:36,800 Speaker 1: This would be a huge game here for him too, 292 00:12:36,840 --> 00:12:40,280 Speaker 1: beating the Lions on the road. Hopefully we're getting Mike 293 00:12:40,280 --> 00:12:42,320 Speaker 1: Evans back for this game. But Welsh, this is another 294 00:12:42,360 --> 00:12:44,760 Speaker 1: one where if they win this game on the road 295 00:12:44,800 --> 00:12:47,800 Speaker 1: against this NFC opponent, they have to me at least 296 00:12:48,640 --> 00:12:51,200 Speaker 1: a possible clear path to having the one seed and 297 00:12:51,240 --> 00:12:53,160 Speaker 1: the buy and that is huge. And you play two 298 00:12:53,160 --> 00:12:54,960 Speaker 1: home games to potentially get to the super Bowl. So 299 00:12:55,000 --> 00:12:57,079 Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield I think could be in the driver's seat. 300 00:12:57,120 --> 00:12:59,280 Speaker 1: And I think that's not lost on the bucks this week. 301 00:12:59,640 --> 00:13:02,120 Speaker 2: Yeah, this is in the betting markets. This is the 302 00:13:02,120 --> 00:13:04,800 Speaker 2: second highest implied total of the week at fifty two 303 00:13:04,840 --> 00:13:08,600 Speaker 2: point five. We were joking about this. There's like seven 304 00:13:08,720 --> 00:13:11,280 Speaker 2: players that are all minus money to score touchdowns in 305 00:13:11,400 --> 00:13:14,679 Speaker 2: this game. So like, the expectation is not just like 306 00:13:15,000 --> 00:13:16,960 Speaker 2: it's fifty two point five all. 307 00:13:16,840 --> 00:13:19,000 Speaker 1: Those other guys. It's going to be the backup tight ends. 308 00:13:19,040 --> 00:13:22,360 Speaker 1: It's gonna be Tess Johnson three to one. It's gonna 309 00:13:22,360 --> 00:13:22,960 Speaker 1: be all that stuff. 310 00:13:23,120 --> 00:13:24,120 Speaker 3: Yeah, no, one hundred percent. 311 00:13:24,160 --> 00:13:26,559 Speaker 2: But what I do like is I like Baker Mayfield 312 00:13:26,600 --> 00:13:29,240 Speaker 2: in this spot for his passing yards. It's two forty 313 00:13:29,240 --> 00:13:31,600 Speaker 2: four point five, and we are going with the over. 314 00:13:31,880 --> 00:13:34,760 Speaker 2: Mayfield has hit this number in three straight games. The 315 00:13:34,800 --> 00:13:37,560 Speaker 2: return of Mike Evans is obviously huge. I mean, losing 316 00:13:37,640 --> 00:13:41,079 Speaker 2: at BUKA is not a great spot here, but also 317 00:13:41,120 --> 00:13:44,080 Speaker 2: with the run game, you know, with the situation they've 318 00:13:44,080 --> 00:13:45,720 Speaker 2: got going on there, I think it keeps the ball 319 00:13:45,760 --> 00:13:47,360 Speaker 2: in the air a little bit more. That's where Rashad 320 00:13:47,400 --> 00:13:51,080 Speaker 2: White kind of thrives. The Lions have given this passing 321 00:13:51,160 --> 00:13:53,800 Speaker 2: yard prop up in three of the last four games, 322 00:13:54,320 --> 00:13:58,280 Speaker 2: and the projections. Again, this is whether I love Fantasy 323 00:13:58,320 --> 00:14:02,040 Speaker 2: pros project because it's an aggregate system of a couple 324 00:14:02,040 --> 00:14:04,319 Speaker 2: different and then I also like to compare it against 325 00:14:04,320 --> 00:14:05,360 Speaker 2: a place like PFF. 326 00:14:05,559 --> 00:14:07,040 Speaker 3: Both of these are supportive of it. 327 00:14:07,280 --> 00:14:10,240 Speaker 2: There's not a huge major cushion, but I really really 328 00:14:10,320 --> 00:14:13,280 Speaker 2: like the high implied total. I like Mike Evans getting 329 00:14:13,320 --> 00:14:15,199 Speaker 2: back in here, Kate Otten. I think they're going to 330 00:14:15,240 --> 00:14:17,800 Speaker 2: slang the ball. Ted Johnson, by the way, you can. 331 00:14:17,679 --> 00:14:18,920 Speaker 3: Have two catches for eighty yards. 332 00:14:18,960 --> 00:14:21,200 Speaker 2: You've got some explosive young receivers that are in there 333 00:14:21,200 --> 00:14:22,640 Speaker 2: that I think this team is going to still feel 334 00:14:22,800 --> 00:14:25,800 Speaker 2: very comfortable passing the ball, and with some of the 335 00:14:25,920 --> 00:14:29,080 Speaker 2: team banged up, if they are behind, it's even more 336 00:14:29,120 --> 00:14:30,920 Speaker 2: reason because the Lions are going to put up points 337 00:14:30,920 --> 00:14:32,080 Speaker 2: on this Bucks defense. 338 00:14:32,120 --> 00:14:32,720 Speaker 3: It's not great. 339 00:14:33,200 --> 00:14:34,760 Speaker 2: They're going to be playing from behind and they're going 340 00:14:34,800 --> 00:14:36,000 Speaker 2: to be slaying the ball. So I think there's a 341 00:14:36,040 --> 00:14:38,200 Speaker 2: lot of pieces in here that work well for this. 342 00:14:38,240 --> 00:14:40,720 Speaker 2: So give me Baker Mayfield overpassing yards two forty four 343 00:14:40,760 --> 00:14:41,240 Speaker 2: point five. 344 00:14:41,560 --> 00:14:43,720 Speaker 1: All right, So Baker Mayfield getting the job done even 345 00:14:43,760 --> 00:14:47,240 Speaker 1: without make Abuka this week? Can the Eagles get it 346 00:14:47,280 --> 00:14:51,280 Speaker 1: done this week against the Minnesota Vikings. Andrew Ericksson Eagles 347 00:14:51,360 --> 00:14:53,720 Speaker 1: two in a row. They've dropped here, one to a 348 00:14:53,720 --> 00:14:55,800 Speaker 1: division opponent. Two that's not great. Now they're going to 349 00:14:55,840 --> 00:14:58,400 Speaker 1: go on the road to take on the Minnesota Vikings. 350 00:14:58,400 --> 00:15:00,920 Speaker 1: And AJ Brown continues to chir a. J Brown still 351 00:15:01,400 --> 00:15:03,840 Speaker 1: hasn't quite received the love. Does it get it this 352 00:15:03,880 --> 00:15:05,280 Speaker 1: week from Jalen Hurts? 353 00:15:05,560 --> 00:15:08,320 Speaker 4: No, he does not. He gets It's like that meme 354 00:15:08,360 --> 00:15:10,040 Speaker 4: where you pull up with the thing. It's like a 355 00:15:10,040 --> 00:15:12,120 Speaker 4: bunch of nothing, you could eat nothing. That's exactly what's 356 00:15:12,160 --> 00:15:14,160 Speaker 4: gonna happen to A J. Brown. So under on the 357 00:15:14,200 --> 00:15:16,640 Speaker 4: sixty three and a half receiving yards for Brown. It's 358 00:15:16,680 --> 00:15:19,120 Speaker 4: a really brutal matchup for I think the entire Eagles 359 00:15:19,120 --> 00:15:22,480 Speaker 4: passing game against Brian Flores blitz heavy defense, zone heavy 360 00:15:22,520 --> 00:15:26,600 Speaker 4: defense against zone defenses. This year, Jalen Hurts has the 361 00:15:26,640 --> 00:15:31,120 Speaker 4: second lowest success rate in the NFL trailing only Dylan Gabriel, 362 00:15:31,320 --> 00:15:33,600 Speaker 4: so not a great spot for Jalen Hurts. As a passer, 363 00:15:33,640 --> 00:15:36,000 Speaker 4: AJ Brown has struggled against zone coverage this year. He's 364 00:15:36,040 --> 00:15:38,120 Speaker 4: average career lows and catch rate, yards per target, and 365 00:15:38,200 --> 00:15:40,920 Speaker 4: yards per route run when facing zone coverage this season. 366 00:15:41,320 --> 00:15:43,960 Speaker 4: He's been under this number in four of six games played, 367 00:15:44,440 --> 00:15:47,320 Speaker 4: and when he plays alongside a healthy DeVonta Smith and 368 00:15:47,360 --> 00:15:49,880 Speaker 4: Dallas Goddard, He's actually gone under this number in six 369 00:15:49,920 --> 00:15:52,480 Speaker 4: of his last nine games dating back to last season. 370 00:15:52,800 --> 00:15:57,400 Speaker 4: So all indications are, hey, vibes aren't great, matchups terrible. 371 00:15:57,640 --> 00:16:00,200 Speaker 4: The Vikings are actually having the fewest Fantasy points game 372 00:16:00,240 --> 00:16:02,680 Speaker 4: to perimeter wide receiver, so he's not even getting a 373 00:16:02,720 --> 00:16:04,800 Speaker 4: benefit of lining up in the slot where he can 374 00:16:04,800 --> 00:16:07,600 Speaker 4: get some layup targets. So even if the volume is 375 00:16:07,640 --> 00:16:09,240 Speaker 4: there for him, it's been there for him for most 376 00:16:09,280 --> 00:16:11,320 Speaker 4: of these weeks, and he's been under this numbers. So 377 00:16:11,520 --> 00:16:14,200 Speaker 4: I'm confidatting me under on aj Brown, and I think 378 00:16:14,240 --> 00:16:16,360 Speaker 4: this game is just going to be underwhelming in general, 379 00:16:16,800 --> 00:16:19,360 Speaker 4: between Hurts and this Brian Flores defense. Carson Wentz in 380 00:16:19,360 --> 00:16:24,560 Speaker 4: a revenge game, just no thanks to points in Vikings Eagles. 381 00:16:24,360 --> 00:16:26,640 Speaker 1: All right, one more pick for each of the guys 382 00:16:26,680 --> 00:16:28,520 Speaker 1: and we'll get to the touchdown calls here for the week. 383 00:16:28,600 --> 00:16:31,480 Speaker 1: Let's start with Jayden Daniels in a game you're talking 384 00:16:31,520 --> 00:16:34,320 Speaker 1: about high implied totals. Well, this certainly has one against 385 00:16:34,360 --> 00:16:36,880 Speaker 1: some uncertainty about the health of the wide receiver core. 386 00:16:37,000 --> 00:16:39,320 Speaker 1: So what does that mean potentially for Jaden Daniels this week? 387 00:16:39,360 --> 00:16:41,320 Speaker 2: Well, I think this is number one. I think this 388 00:16:41,400 --> 00:16:44,200 Speaker 2: is number one in implied total for this week. I 389 00:16:44,240 --> 00:16:47,160 Speaker 2: am going with touchdowns, but it doesn't play our normal 390 00:16:47,200 --> 00:16:50,960 Speaker 2: touchdowns because this is passing touchdowns for Jayden Daniels one 391 00:16:51,040 --> 00:16:56,280 Speaker 2: point five over, so two touchdowns passing minus one fifteen. 392 00:16:56,320 --> 00:16:58,000 Speaker 2: I think it was hard Rock again had one of 393 00:16:58,000 --> 00:16:59,800 Speaker 2: the best lines this kind. This one's kind of floating 394 00:16:59,840 --> 00:17:03,720 Speaker 2: a little bit. Cowboys have given up two passing touchdowns 395 00:17:03,760 --> 00:17:08,320 Speaker 2: two quarterbacks in five of six games this year, and 396 00:17:08,920 --> 00:17:12,400 Speaker 2: in five straight games, so it was literally week one. 397 00:17:12,400 --> 00:17:14,920 Speaker 2: They did in every other moment. Doesn't matter who the 398 00:17:14,960 --> 00:17:17,840 Speaker 2: quarterback is, we are slaying it. Daniels has done this 399 00:17:17,920 --> 00:17:20,320 Speaker 2: so far in two of four games this year. An 400 00:17:20,320 --> 00:17:24,080 Speaker 2: interesting thing in the projection world is passing touchdowns is 401 00:17:24,119 --> 00:17:25,920 Speaker 2: like a weird one to go and look at Jadan 402 00:17:25,960 --> 00:17:28,439 Speaker 2: Daniels is at the tippy top of most at like 403 00:17:28,480 --> 00:17:30,399 Speaker 2: one point nine to one point eight, so they're already 404 00:17:30,480 --> 00:17:34,000 Speaker 2: leaning in that direction. Obviously, the banged up wide receivers 405 00:17:34,040 --> 00:17:36,280 Speaker 2: makes this a little bit of a question if you 406 00:17:36,280 --> 00:17:37,840 Speaker 2: you know, in some world, if you're not to have 407 00:17:37,880 --> 00:17:39,760 Speaker 2: like Deebo and Terry McLaurin, you feel a little bit 408 00:17:39,760 --> 00:17:42,320 Speaker 2: more uncomfortable about it. But you know he's gonna slang 409 00:17:42,359 --> 00:17:44,280 Speaker 2: it to Ertz. I think there's still a lot of 410 00:17:44,359 --> 00:17:46,680 Speaker 2: options for Jayden Daniels that I don't think they need 411 00:17:46,680 --> 00:17:48,840 Speaker 2: to keep it on the ground. That is an obvious worry, 412 00:17:48,840 --> 00:17:51,200 Speaker 2: but we've seen Jayden Daniels absolutely light this up. I 413 00:17:51,200 --> 00:17:53,480 Speaker 2: think Debo's gonna play, and if McLaurin plays, this makes 414 00:17:53,480 --> 00:17:55,560 Speaker 2: it even better. And I think this line will move 415 00:17:56,000 --> 00:18:01,360 Speaker 2: and the Cowboys secondary absolutely stinks. So Jadan Daniels two 416 00:18:01,480 --> 00:18:04,240 Speaker 2: passing touchdowns. That's my final on the prop bet card. 417 00:18:04,520 --> 00:18:06,399 Speaker 1: Yeah, I can see both teams getting into the thirties 418 00:18:06,400 --> 00:18:08,480 Speaker 1: in this one. I think that over is pretty safe. 419 00:18:08,680 --> 00:18:11,720 Speaker 1: Let's talk about Caleb Williams coming off a victory against 420 00:18:11,720 --> 00:18:14,280 Speaker 1: the Washington Commanders last week, So what does that mean 421 00:18:14,440 --> 00:18:17,720 Speaker 1: for this week's contest for Caleb and the Bears Andrew. 422 00:18:17,800 --> 00:18:20,960 Speaker 4: It means less passing volume for Caleb Williams. He's going 423 00:18:21,000 --> 00:18:23,240 Speaker 4: to under thirty one and a half passing attempts. This 424 00:18:23,320 --> 00:18:25,720 Speaker 4: is courtesy of the prop bet cheat sheet on betting 425 00:18:25,760 --> 00:18:28,320 Speaker 4: pros a five star bet. Sometimes I just let the 426 00:18:28,320 --> 00:18:30,200 Speaker 4: prop bet cheat sheet take the wheel and fill out 427 00:18:30,200 --> 00:18:32,760 Speaker 4: my drops for me. So there you go. If you 428 00:18:32,800 --> 00:18:35,440 Speaker 4: look at the last four games that Caleb Williams has 429 00:18:35,480 --> 00:18:38,639 Speaker 4: been a home favorite, zero to four towards his passing 430 00:18:38,640 --> 00:18:41,520 Speaker 4: attempts prop So I like those types of odds. It's 431 00:18:41,520 --> 00:18:43,040 Speaker 4: something that you can always filter when you're using the 432 00:18:43,080 --> 00:18:45,600 Speaker 4: prop bet cheat sheet. I like using it because favorites 433 00:18:45,680 --> 00:18:47,760 Speaker 4: and underdogs. It has a little bit of okay, well, 434 00:18:47,760 --> 00:18:49,119 Speaker 4: what's the game script going to be? 435 00:18:49,280 --> 00:18:49,359 Speaker 1: Like? 436 00:18:49,840 --> 00:18:51,919 Speaker 4: Basically, if the Bears are winning in a game like, 437 00:18:51,920 --> 00:18:54,040 Speaker 4: they're more likely to run the football, and we saw 438 00:18:54,040 --> 00:18:55,960 Speaker 4: that against the Commanders. What did they do? They came 439 00:18:55,960 --> 00:18:58,639 Speaker 4: out against DeAndre Swift. He looked like DeAndre Swift for 440 00:18:58,680 --> 00:19:00,399 Speaker 4: five years ago when he was running up and all 441 00:19:00,400 --> 00:19:01,959 Speaker 4: and down the field. So I know he's dealing with 442 00:19:02,000 --> 00:19:04,120 Speaker 4: maybe an injury here, So that's something to keep in mind. 443 00:19:04,960 --> 00:19:07,440 Speaker 4: But Caleb Williams, I think they're trying to balance the 444 00:19:07,480 --> 00:19:09,119 Speaker 4: offense a little bit more. We know killib Williams is 445 00:19:09,160 --> 00:19:11,800 Speaker 4: also a threat to use his legs taking pass attempts 446 00:19:11,800 --> 00:19:13,680 Speaker 4: out of the offense. He's been under this number and 447 00:19:13,760 --> 00:19:16,240 Speaker 4: three of his five games played this season. New Orleans 448 00:19:16,600 --> 00:19:19,439 Speaker 4: is actually thirty second in quarterback scrambles this year, So 449 00:19:19,680 --> 00:19:22,200 Speaker 4: I think wims is actually gonna find rushing lanes where 450 00:19:22,359 --> 00:19:24,440 Speaker 4: he's more oft to actually use his legs instead of 451 00:19:24,480 --> 00:19:26,679 Speaker 4: dropping back to throw. Four and six quarterbacks that New 452 00:19:26,720 --> 00:19:28,960 Speaker 4: Orleans his face have actually attempted fewer than twenty seven 453 00:19:29,000 --> 00:19:32,280 Speaker 4: pass attempts. So I like the matchup. Betting Bros. Prova 454 00:19:32,320 --> 00:19:34,119 Speaker 4: at cheat Sheet loves the matchup, So give me the 455 00:19:34,200 --> 00:19:35,760 Speaker 4: under Cal Williams pass attempts. 456 00:19:36,200 --> 00:19:38,359 Speaker 1: All right, Let's get to the touchdown calls, and remember 457 00:19:38,400 --> 00:19:40,760 Speaker 1: the touchdown score report is there to help support your 458 00:19:40,800 --> 00:19:44,080 Speaker 1: touchdown calls. Go to bettingpros dot com slash touchdown. If 459 00:19:44,080 --> 00:19:46,000 Speaker 1: you're looking for the edge and touchdown bets this week, 460 00:19:46,080 --> 00:19:48,320 Speaker 1: that's the place to go. It compares any time touchdown 461 00:19:48,359 --> 00:19:50,560 Speaker 1: stats to prop bet odds and projections to help you 462 00:19:50,640 --> 00:19:54,040 Speaker 1: find the very best at any time touchdown odds, So 463 00:19:54,160 --> 00:19:55,800 Speaker 1: make sure you go to betting pros dot com slash 464 00:19:55,880 --> 00:19:59,400 Speaker 1: touchdown and use the touchdown score report. I'll kick things 465 00:19:59,400 --> 00:20:01,840 Speaker 1: off here today. You know what, I've got a bonus 466 00:20:01,840 --> 00:20:03,720 Speaker 1: one for you. I'm not gonna count it, but I'm 467 00:20:03,720 --> 00:20:05,919 Speaker 1: gonna tell everybody just the bonus one at the end 468 00:20:05,920 --> 00:20:08,160 Speaker 1: of my two touchdown calls here because I found too 469 00:20:08,160 --> 00:20:11,240 Speaker 1: that I looked a little bit more reasonable. But Javonte 470 00:20:11,320 --> 00:20:15,600 Speaker 1: Williams anytime touchdown in the first half once again minus odds. 471 00:20:15,680 --> 00:20:18,040 Speaker 1: I'm playing the total here. I'm playing what I've seen 472 00:20:18,080 --> 00:20:21,120 Speaker 1: out of the Commanders, what they did or should I say, 473 00:20:21,119 --> 00:20:23,680 Speaker 1: did not do against DeAndre Swift last week. I think 474 00:20:23,720 --> 00:20:26,560 Speaker 1: Javonte Williams is gonna run a muck. Yes, you also 475 00:20:26,760 --> 00:20:29,320 Speaker 1: have a returning Ceedee Lamb that opens up things quite 476 00:20:29,320 --> 00:20:32,280 Speaker 1: a bit as well. So we will once again get 477 00:20:32,320 --> 00:20:35,680 Speaker 1: in the plus plus one fifty with Javonte finding paid 478 00:20:35,680 --> 00:20:38,120 Speaker 1: her in the first half of this game, and then 479 00:20:38,680 --> 00:20:42,040 Speaker 1: Cam Scataboo. He is the unstoppable for us. He is 480 00:20:42,080 --> 00:20:44,199 Speaker 1: the immovable object. Yes, I think it's gonna be a 481 00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:46,400 Speaker 1: tough day at the office for the Giants, but that's 482 00:20:46,400 --> 00:20:48,960 Speaker 1: what Cam Scataboo lives. For Give him the football. He 483 00:20:49,080 --> 00:20:52,640 Speaker 1: is gonna find a way even against Denver in mile High, 484 00:20:52,800 --> 00:20:55,240 Speaker 1: to get in the touchdown zone there. So give me 485 00:20:55,680 --> 00:20:57,879 Speaker 1: plus one oh five on Cam Scataboo to cross the 486 00:20:57,920 --> 00:21:01,000 Speaker 1: goal line this week. And just for us as a geez, again, 487 00:21:01,040 --> 00:21:04,239 Speaker 1: this is not official. This is unofficial. Jonathan Taylor, You're 488 00:21:04,280 --> 00:21:07,679 Speaker 1: getting three to one if he scores two touchdowns. I 489 00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:09,440 Speaker 1: think that line is just wrong. I've been saying it 490 00:21:09,440 --> 00:21:11,000 Speaker 1: all week. I think the Colts are gonna win that 491 00:21:11,040 --> 00:21:13,399 Speaker 1: football game against the Chargers were beat up who barely 492 00:21:13,400 --> 00:21:16,560 Speaker 1: got past Miami. So I would also say take a 493 00:21:16,560 --> 00:21:18,600 Speaker 1: look at that getting three to one on Jonathan Taylor 494 00:21:18,640 --> 00:21:20,840 Speaker 1: scoring two touchdowns. He has been that offense. He has 495 00:21:20,880 --> 00:21:23,840 Speaker 1: carried that team. He's been great, Warren's been great. Jones 496 00:21:23,920 --> 00:21:27,120 Speaker 1: is not screwed up, which is good enough. So Welsh, 497 00:21:27,280 --> 00:21:29,680 Speaker 1: where are you going for your touchdown calls this week? 498 00:21:30,080 --> 00:21:30,399 Speaker 1: All right? 499 00:21:30,480 --> 00:21:33,720 Speaker 2: Try to pick up my first two and two touchdown week. 500 00:21:33,800 --> 00:21:36,600 Speaker 2: This is kind of a correlative one. I've got Baker 501 00:21:36,600 --> 00:21:40,399 Speaker 2: Mayfield ever passing yards, second highest implied total. Mike Evans 502 00:21:40,480 --> 00:21:43,840 Speaker 2: even money, yes, sir, plus one hundred, So even money 503 00:21:43,840 --> 00:21:46,119 Speaker 2: on Mike Evans. That one is probably gonna look different 504 00:21:46,119 --> 00:21:49,320 Speaker 2: when you guys get into your books. But even money 505 00:21:49,400 --> 00:21:52,119 Speaker 2: love mikeh I mean, you think that the Bucks are 506 00:21:52,119 --> 00:21:54,359 Speaker 2: going to get into the red zone and that the 507 00:21:54,400 --> 00:21:56,840 Speaker 2: ball cannot go to Mike Evans an entire drive. But 508 00:21:56,880 --> 00:21:59,200 Speaker 2: you think they're inside the tent and every single pass 509 00:21:59,200 --> 00:22:01,920 Speaker 2: isn't going to Mike Evan Evans, You're crazy. So Mike 510 00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:04,920 Speaker 2: Evans even money on the touchdown one of my more 511 00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:07,680 Speaker 2: favorite deeper ones. This probably, I think the biggest odds 512 00:22:07,720 --> 00:22:09,639 Speaker 2: I've played. I think Erickson played like a four to 513 00:22:09,720 --> 00:22:11,639 Speaker 2: one last week. I'm going to play a three and 514 00:22:11,680 --> 00:22:14,360 Speaker 2: a half to one. But I think it's a little criminal. 515 00:22:14,400 --> 00:22:17,479 Speaker 2: The weather's not good, the quarterback's not good, but Harold 516 00:22:17,480 --> 00:22:20,760 Speaker 2: Fannin is good. It doesn't look like in Djokho's gonna play. 517 00:22:21,080 --> 00:22:24,560 Speaker 2: Gabriel has already targeted him. He loves tight ends and 518 00:22:24,840 --> 00:22:27,160 Speaker 2: here is one of the big pushes outside of like 519 00:22:27,400 --> 00:22:32,360 Speaker 2: you know, weather situation everything. Quinjhon Jutkins numbers are crazy 520 00:22:32,560 --> 00:22:34,879 Speaker 2: this week. I would love to bet Quinchhn Jutkins, but 521 00:22:34,920 --> 00:22:37,720 Speaker 2: they like open almost opened up a hundred. It's insane 522 00:22:37,760 --> 00:22:40,560 Speaker 2: for rushing his rush attempts are over twenty and it's 523 00:22:40,600 --> 00:22:42,840 Speaker 2: like minus one forty for the rush attemps. So here's 524 00:22:42,840 --> 00:22:45,160 Speaker 2: where I'm getting at Judkins. Because they're going to run 525 00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:46,840 Speaker 2: all over the Dolphins are gonna be able to set 526 00:22:46,880 --> 00:22:48,960 Speaker 2: up great play action. You get in the red zone, 527 00:22:49,040 --> 00:22:51,240 Speaker 2: perfect opportunity for a short pass to Fan and who 528 00:22:51,280 --> 00:22:53,680 Speaker 2: Gabriel loves. That's three and a half to one without 529 00:22:53,720 --> 00:22:57,960 Speaker 2: in Djoku. So Harold fannin anytime touchdown plus three forty 530 00:22:58,000 --> 00:22:59,160 Speaker 2: is what I got at, locked in at. 531 00:22:59,359 --> 00:23:02,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think Judkins stuff. You gotta get Judkins over 532 00:23:03,440 --> 00:23:05,080 Speaker 1: with the touchdown scorer. 533 00:23:05,119 --> 00:23:07,360 Speaker 2: I can't think that's the I even remember last week 534 00:23:07,359 --> 00:23:10,479 Speaker 2: where my unofficial was do Rico doubles something and all 535 00:23:10,520 --> 00:23:11,960 Speaker 2: the somethings paid all something. 536 00:23:12,359 --> 00:23:13,920 Speaker 1: Correct, it's the jud kids something this week. 537 00:23:14,240 --> 00:23:14,960 Speaker 3: I would love to. 538 00:23:14,960 --> 00:23:18,399 Speaker 2: Douce Jutkins something, but they're all just so high. 539 00:23:18,560 --> 00:23:19,840 Speaker 3: It's so crazy high. 540 00:23:19,880 --> 00:23:21,800 Speaker 2: So you're gonna have to do those silly like you know, 541 00:23:22,240 --> 00:23:24,800 Speaker 2: like you're saying, like pair the yards with a touchdown 542 00:23:24,840 --> 00:23:26,360 Speaker 2: if you like to do that. That's the only way 543 00:23:26,560 --> 00:23:28,400 Speaker 2: I think to get involved with Jutkins this week. 544 00:23:28,480 --> 00:23:30,160 Speaker 1: All right, ericson what do you have for the people 545 00:23:30,200 --> 00:23:32,760 Speaker 1: this week on the touchdown calls, lock of all. 546 00:23:32,600 --> 00:23:35,760 Speaker 4: Locks, DeVonta Adams. He's gonna score touchdown minus one fifteen. 547 00:23:35,840 --> 00:23:38,560 Speaker 4: There's no Poganakua. Davanta Adams leads the NFL in red 548 00:23:38,600 --> 00:23:41,720 Speaker 4: zone targets. He has caught two of them zero for touchdowns, 549 00:23:41,760 --> 00:23:43,560 Speaker 4: like all of his touches to come outside of the 550 00:23:43,600 --> 00:23:46,199 Speaker 4: red zone this year. So against the Jaguars, who have 551 00:23:46,240 --> 00:23:50,360 Speaker 4: been brutal against perimeter wide receivers. Look his numbers again. 552 00:23:50,400 --> 00:23:53,840 Speaker 4: Talking about Judkins and juice up numbers, Davanta adams numbers 553 00:23:53,880 --> 00:23:56,040 Speaker 4: are wicked juiced up as well. I think the best 554 00:23:56,040 --> 00:23:57,840 Speaker 4: bet for him is just he's gonna score. 555 00:23:58,240 --> 00:23:59,760 Speaker 1: Say, the New England came out a little bit there, 556 00:24:00,240 --> 00:24:00,640 Speaker 1: that's fair. 557 00:24:01,240 --> 00:24:03,080 Speaker 2: If I started, if I started sitting Hella. 558 00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:04,960 Speaker 3: Then there's the California that. 559 00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:07,760 Speaker 1: Once while the show up there. 560 00:24:08,160 --> 00:24:13,080 Speaker 4: Yeah, Adams wicked touchdowns this week for the Rams. My 561 00:24:13,160 --> 00:24:15,800 Speaker 4: next one is Keenan Allen. He's going to score touchdown 562 00:24:15,800 --> 00:24:18,800 Speaker 4: plus two hundred. He leads the Chargers in red zone 563 00:24:18,800 --> 00:24:22,040 Speaker 4: targets this season. The Colts secondary has been decimated by injuries. 564 00:24:22,160 --> 00:24:24,800 Speaker 4: They had the leagu's second highest pats in touchdown rate, 565 00:24:25,040 --> 00:24:26,560 Speaker 4: So I like Keenan Allen. That's kind of where his 566 00:24:26,600 --> 00:24:28,919 Speaker 4: biggest role is in this offense. Even though Quin Johnson 567 00:24:28,920 --> 00:24:31,120 Speaker 4: looks like he's going to be returning, lat McConkie obviously 568 00:24:31,359 --> 00:24:34,720 Speaker 4: second year receiver, very involved. Justin Herbert still looks to 569 00:24:34,880 --> 00:24:37,200 Speaker 4: Keenan Allen very frequently. And I also want to give 570 00:24:37,200 --> 00:24:39,399 Speaker 4: a bonus here too, because Joe's giving up bonuses. I 571 00:24:39,440 --> 00:24:41,400 Speaker 4: want to give a bonus out of the two because 572 00:24:41,400 --> 00:24:43,240 Speaker 4: I think this for this particular player. I think it's 573 00:24:43,320 --> 00:24:47,359 Speaker 4: a redemption arc for as a night Mitchell plus five hundred. 574 00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:50,480 Speaker 4: Anytime touchdown you look at Josh downs, he's going to 575 00:24:50,520 --> 00:24:51,080 Speaker 4: be out of this game. 576 00:24:51,119 --> 00:24:51,440 Speaker 1: That's true. 577 00:24:51,520 --> 00:24:54,800 Speaker 4: Cushion Ashton Doolan also dealing with an injury, so he 578 00:24:54,840 --> 00:24:57,480 Speaker 4: has a chance that he misses this game. Remember, the 579 00:24:57,520 --> 00:25:00,680 Speaker 4: Colts are going to Los Angeles again. They're going back 580 00:25:00,680 --> 00:25:04,160 Speaker 4: to Sofi Stadium again. This is the same stadium where 581 00:25:04,400 --> 00:25:07,240 Speaker 4: aDNA Mitchell made the bonehead mistake of not scoring an 582 00:25:07,320 --> 00:25:09,399 Speaker 4: end zone touchdown. If they're going to win this game, 583 00:25:09,400 --> 00:25:11,040 Speaker 4: I think they're gonna have to need Mitchell to step 584 00:25:11,119 --> 00:25:13,119 Speaker 4: up because they're down so many of their wide receivers. 585 00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:15,240 Speaker 4: So if he gets a chance to get to the 586 00:25:15,240 --> 00:25:17,800 Speaker 4: red zone, get into that end zone, He's gonna squeeze 587 00:25:17,840 --> 00:25:20,960 Speaker 4: the football all the way through. So ad I Mitchell, Yeah, 588 00:25:21,040 --> 00:25:22,040 Speaker 4: sneaky play this week. 589 00:25:22,280 --> 00:25:24,400 Speaker 1: I do like a good redemption story. That's what damn sure. 590 00:25:24,480 --> 00:25:26,640 Speaker 1: Let me look at Joe Flacco last night. The hell 591 00:25:26,760 --> 00:25:28,160 Speaker 1: redemption story feels good. 592 00:25:28,680 --> 00:25:30,520 Speaker 3: The Ady Mitchell is the sick o bet of the week. 593 00:25:30,560 --> 00:25:34,120 Speaker 3: By the way, I didn't give fifths. 594 00:25:33,080 --> 00:25:36,000 Speaker 1: The sick o bet of the week for you there, 595 00:25:36,040 --> 00:25:37,920 Speaker 1: all right, make sure you follow us over on Betting 596 00:25:37,960 --> 00:25:39,920 Speaker 1: Pros so you're tracking all of our best and track 597 00:25:39,920 --> 00:25:42,520 Speaker 1: of your bets as well, and of course subscribe to 598 00:25:42,520 --> 00:25:44,280 Speaker 1: the channel here on Betting Pros. That'll do it for us. 599 00:25:44,320 --> 00:25:45,879 Speaker 1: But the story of the game goes on for the 600 00:25:45,880 --> 00:25:48,480 Speaker 1: Welsh and the Undertaker. I'm Joey p. We'll see you 601 00:25:48,480 --> 00:25:48,840 Speaker 1: next time. 602 00:25:48,920 --> 00:25:49,240 Speaker 4: Kids. 603 00:25:49,320 --> 00:25:50,920 Speaker 1: Enjoy Week seven. Props. 604 00:25:51,840 --> 00:25:54,480 Speaker 5: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 605 00:25:54,520 --> 00:25:56,879 Speaker 5: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 606 00:25:56,920 --> 00:26:00,000 Speaker 5: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or spot 607 00:26:00,600 --> 00:26:03,240 Speaker 5: follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 608 00:26:03,320 --> 00:26:06,960 Speaker 5: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 609 00:26:07,040 --> 00:26:09,520 Speaker 5: channel at YouTube dot com. Slash Betting Pros