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Speaker 1: Lots of guys. How are you happy? Monday? Welcome in

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Speaker 1: to another episode of the Daily Juice podcast with memap

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Speaker 1: Parole to at Sports Talk Matt to follow me on Twitter.

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Speaker 1: This podcast being brought to you by our friends at

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Speaker 1: new users. Okay, first losing week since my return to

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice Sunday was riding on everything. We went

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Speaker 1: up to units on Friday and Saturday and then gave

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Speaker 1: back four plus on Sunday ugly oh and two in

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Speaker 1: college basketball, oh and two now in the NHL, so

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Speaker 1: we dropped it down. I think the record now was

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Speaker 1: thirty five and twenty five since my return in the NHL,

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Speaker 1: which takes us I think right around nine units being

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Speaker 1: up and that drops me down. I can't remember the

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Speaker 1: exact number, but I think I'm up four point five

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Speaker 1: units in college basketball. So we end the regular season

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Speaker 1: because now it's the postseason. I know the conference tournament

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Speaker 1: is considered the postseason, but I think it's still like

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Speaker 1: you're still playing your conference, so you're still playing the

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Speaker 1: regular season. It's a neutral site, but the numbers tend

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Speaker 1: to apply. So now we're in the postseason. Now we're

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Speaker 1: on brand new courts. Now we are into a totally

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Speaker 1: different environment, travel and cross conference games and everything else

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Speaker 1: going into the NCAA Tournament. So now is so we

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Speaker 1: end the college basketball season, although it was abbreviated obviously

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Speaker 1: with my return in February, So we end it basically

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Speaker 1: up four and a half. I think it's yeah, four

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Speaker 1: and a half units or so. Now not great, but

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Speaker 1: not bad. NHL is still going gonna tap the brakes

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Speaker 1: a bit on the NHL. Here's what I think is

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Speaker 1: gonna happen in the NHL. We need to pick our

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Speaker 1: spots and be pretty selective because we're heading down the

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Speaker 1: home stretch. Here. We're looking at, you know, fifteen, sixteen,

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Speaker 1: seventeen games left for most teams in the regular season,

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Speaker 1: and there's gonna be a lot of very important games

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Speaker 1: with high intensity and high pressure. Does that lead towards

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Speaker 1: tons of overs? I don't know. I think we're gonna

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Speaker 1: start to see some games go under like this. The

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Speaker 1: Buffalo Sabers are starting to play a bunch of under games.

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Speaker 1: They're playing tonight ont a bit over with them, the

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Speaker 1: play would be over. But I don't know. I think

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Speaker 1: we're gonna have to start to play some ugly unders

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Speaker 1: with the numbers being against us here in the last

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Speaker 1: month or two of the six weeks of the regular season,

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Speaker 1: So heads up on that. I mean, way wrong. In

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Speaker 1: the Wild, I was very concerned about the Coyotes. They

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Speaker 1: were just wide open. They weren't They don't play any

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Speaker 1: defense at all. Five to four win for the Wild.

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Speaker 1: We played under six and then Buffalo went went under again.

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Speaker 1: And I've been now oh and two or the Rangers

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Speaker 1: went under. Sorry, so I've now been oh and two

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Speaker 1: because I had the Rangers and the Sabers that game

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Speaker 1: went under. I had the Rangers and the Penguins that

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Speaker 1: game went under, and I had I mean, so I'm

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Speaker 1: not coming back again with another one. So just a

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Speaker 1: heads up on how I'm going to approach the NHL.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to take a break today kind of recap

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Speaker 1: calibrat a little bit. I only have one bet today, Okay,

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Speaker 1: I've got one NBA bet, Yeah, buckle up. I have

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Speaker 1: an NBA bet that I'm going to give you, and

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Speaker 1: then I've got my first two NTUBA tournament bets. The

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Speaker 1: reason why I'm going to go light here is because

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Speaker 1: Tomorrow will bet both basketball games. Wednesday will bet both

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Speaker 1: basketball games, maybe an NBA game, maybe an NHL game

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Speaker 1: in there as well. And then we have the dance

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Speaker 1: and we have a litany of things to bet. And

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Speaker 1: this is where you can do very well or you

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Speaker 1: can get killed. The books are loaded with information. They

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Speaker 1: know what's going on, Okay, they know what the public's

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Speaker 1: gonna bet, and they're gonna shade things like crazy. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna have to be selective and pick our spots here. Okay.

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Speaker 1: So I have a game on Thursday and a game

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Speaker 1: on Friday that I've already bet. But I want to

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Speaker 1: give you guys here officially if you'd like to trail

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Speaker 1: fade or follow up to you. But I got two

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Speaker 1: plays I'm gonna give you here for the NAA tournament

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Speaker 1: for games in the first round, and an NBA game

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Speaker 1: that I'm gonna give you here in just one second.

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Speaker 1: twenty bucks off your first purchase. Okay, let's talk about

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Speaker 1: the one game happening tonight in the NBA that I'm

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Speaker 1: taking to look at. Sons Warriors Game of the Night right,

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Speaker 1: big flashy hellbi. It should have been the return of

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Speaker 1: Kevin Durant in a Phoenix Sun's uniform. Would have been huge, right,

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Speaker 1: would have been monster not happening. Kevin Durant's hurt and

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Speaker 1: we don't know how long he'll be out. Phoenix can

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Speaker 1: still play with anybody. We know this. Sons Cannons are

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Speaker 1: the Warriors can as well. Warriors just went to overtime

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Speaker 1: with the Bucks and beat them. Game went over. Here's

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Speaker 1: the thing that game went over the current number of

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Speaker 1: the Suns and the Warriors of two thirty nine and

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Speaker 1: a half. It went over, but twoint forty one was

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Speaker 1: the total. It barely went over and it went to overtime.

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Speaker 1: That was the first time in seven games that a

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Speaker 1: home game over hit for the Warriors. The Warriors are

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Speaker 1: twenty fourteen and one to the under at home. They

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Speaker 1: are seven and three to the under over their last

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Speaker 1: ten overall, and they're seven and three to the under

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Speaker 1: over their last ten at home, six and one, And

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Speaker 1: there was a six game stretch there where the Warriors

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Speaker 1: were going under. Five of those games were at home.

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Speaker 1: They were writing that big time into the game against Milwaukee.

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Speaker 1: Now Phoenix is seventeen sixteen and one to the over.

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Speaker 1: On the road. They're four and one overall to the

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Speaker 1: over over their last five. But the last game was

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Speaker 1: two thirty between the Suns and the Warriors. It went

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Speaker 1: over by eight. The first game was two twenty six,

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Speaker 1: the second game was two twenty seven. The over is

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Speaker 1: three and oh in these games between the Warriors and

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Speaker 1: the Suns. But now the total is two thirty nine

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Speaker 1: and a half. So what the books have done is

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Speaker 1: they've just systematic the raised the number, raise the number,

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Speaker 1: and they've gone from two thirty to two thirty nine

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Speaker 1: and a half without Kevin Durant, with the Warriors playing

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Speaker 1: really well at home, and with the Warriors being an

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Speaker 1: under team at home, I lean Warriors to win the game.

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Speaker 1: But I'm not laying points in the NBA when I

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Speaker 1: come back. Okay, I know laying unders in the NBA

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Speaker 1: is also very scary, but I think this is one team.

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Speaker 1: If the Warriors win, I think this game goes under.

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Speaker 1: I lean laying the points at four and a half.

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Speaker 1: You want something an extra, I take the Warriors minus

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Speaker 1: four and a half. But it's over two possessions. It's

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Speaker 1: a little scaries or two buckets. I should say it's

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Speaker 1: totaling two possessions, a three and a two. But I'm

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Speaker 1: worried about it. I just I don't know Suns could

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Speaker 1: win the game. They've won already at Golden State this

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Speaker 1: year without Kevin Durant. They went there and won that game,

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Speaker 1: went that game would have gone under two thirty nine

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Speaker 1: and a half. It went over, but would have gone

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Speaker 1: under two thirty nine and a half. Two hundred and

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Speaker 1: two twenty five was scored by the Suns, though, So

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Speaker 1: I'm a little scared to go lay points and say

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Speaker 1: the Warriors win. Even though the Warriors are tremendous at home,

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Speaker 1: with only seven home losses so far this year. They

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Speaker 1: stank on the road, but they're great at home. Just

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Speaker 1: gonna play. I think the Warriors win, and because that,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna bet the under one point one units down

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Speaker 1: two thirty nine and a half Warriors sons. I'm going

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Speaker 1: under Warrior suns at two thirty nine and a half

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Speaker 1: for one point one units only. Bet going here on

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Speaker 1: a Monday. Okay, let's go to Grand Canyon. You I

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Speaker 1: referenced them last night on the pod. Somebody on the

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Speaker 1: Discord channel. And by the way, if you guys aren't

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Speaker 1: in the Discord channel, why not. Someone made an awesome point. Yes,

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Speaker 1: the podcast had a losing week. However, if you were

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Speaker 1: in the pod, you were in the Discord channel, bettingpros

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Speaker 1: dot com slash chats, if you paid attention to the

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Speaker 1: things I was recommending, the things that I was betting.

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Speaker 1: And one person said, look, I played most of the

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Speaker 1: stuff that you told us to play, and I had

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Speaker 1: a winning week. It's fair because, like, take the Houston

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Speaker 1: game for a second, I knew Purdue was gonna win,

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Speaker 1: even the Perdue only one by two scare at the end,

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Speaker 1: so I started betting in game. I took Memphis plus

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Speaker 1: three and a half that cashed. I took Houston plus

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Speaker 1: eight that should have cast it didn't, but only took

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Speaker 1: it for half a unit. I took Memphis plus three

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Speaker 1: and a half for a full unit that got me

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Speaker 1: out of the two leg parlay for Purdue in Houston.

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Speaker 1: Memphis wins the game out right. Should have bet Memphis

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Speaker 1: money line earlier, but I just I took three and

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Speaker 1: a half, so I got that back for a full unit.

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Speaker 1: So I was flat. So I still lost a half

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Speaker 1: a unit on the game, but I didn't lose a

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Speaker 1: full unit on the game. I was betting in game

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Speaker 1: with other things. About the entire week, I had leans

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Speaker 1: the B's and C's parlay. I mean, I hit so

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Speaker 1: many parlays yesterday that you know, I gave a lot

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Speaker 1: of it back today. But I hit so much yesterday

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Speaker 1: there was great. So I hit four parlays yesterday, all

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Speaker 1: of which I posted in the Discord channel. A lot

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Speaker 1: of you guys were asking me, like, hey, could you

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Speaker 1: post your full card because I was really hot yesterday

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Speaker 1: going eight and one. No, I couldn't because I was

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Speaker 1: running around today, I was wild springing ahead, had me

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Speaker 1: all messed up, was with my clocks. So you know,

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Speaker 1: that's where you guys should be, okay, especially during the

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Speaker 1: NAA tournament. You should be in the Discord channel. If

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Speaker 1: you're not in there yet, get in there now. Bettingpros

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Speaker 1: dot Com slash jats to join. Let's talk about Grand Canyon,

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Speaker 1: a student section that I'm guessing is going to make

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Speaker 1: the trek to Denver. I mean, this student section is unbelievable. Now,

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Speaker 1: a couple fun things about Grand Canyon. You they're the

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Speaker 1: only Division one for profit university in the country. What

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Speaker 1: does that mean, Well, they can do things that other

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Speaker 1: schools can't. I was in line getting something from my

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Speaker 1: daughter and started talking to two nice young ladies, one

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Speaker 1: from one from from Chicago, and one from Houston, and

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Speaker 1: they said the Grand Canyon paid for a thousand students

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Speaker 1: to come to the game, to the Whack Tournament. Huh.

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Speaker 1: I was like, wait, that can't be right. It's anecdotal,

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Speaker 1: it might be wrong. But she told me she got

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Speaker 1: on a plane to fly to the Whack Tournament and

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Speaker 1: the school paid for it because they wanted to have

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Speaker 1: fans there. I don't know how many fans as they're

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Speaker 1: bringing to the game against Gonzaga, but my guess is

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Speaker 1: they're gonna bring a bunch and they're gonna they're bringing

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Speaker 1: a party. Okay, they're bringing energy and they're bringing fun.

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Speaker 1: The total for this game is one fifty seven. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: that's high. But Gonzaga can score with anybody in the country.

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Speaker 1: Gonzaga twenty five and eight GCU to the over this year,

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Speaker 1: twenty five and eight, Gonzaga nineteen and thirteen to the

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Speaker 1: over neutral court. It's in Denver, you know, Spokane, Washington.

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Speaker 1: People are showing up. It's gonna be the Gonzaga Invitational.

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Speaker 1: But these numbers are dumb when you start going through

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Speaker 1: what these two offenses are gonna have. Grand Canyon runs

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Speaker 1: the fifty fourth most efficient offense in the country. Okay,

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Speaker 1: out of the whack. Defensively, they're not any good, Okay,

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Speaker 1: but they can score and they can shoot the rock.

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Speaker 1: They're sixty third effective field goal percentage. They are twenty

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Speaker 1: third in the country. Three point percentage twenty third. Guess

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Speaker 1: what Gonzaga sucks at doing stopping the three? Gonzaga two

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Speaker 1: dred and forty eighth in the country three point defense.

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Speaker 1: That's not great, okay, not good two four percentage and

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Speaker 1: Grand Canyon is okay. They're not great at that's they're

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Speaker 1: not great hitting their free throws either, but they are

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Speaker 1: okay at rebounding good enough. But they shoot the rock.

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Speaker 1: They get good shots and they score. This Harrison kid

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Speaker 1: scored thirty one points for them. He was phenomenal and

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Speaker 1: the whack final Ray Harrison named a pay attention to.

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Speaker 1: Kid could absolutely score thirty percent of the time he's

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Speaker 1: taken shots for the offense. He shoots it at thirty

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Speaker 1: three percent from three to fifty percent from two. He

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Speaker 1: can fill it up six foot four, six foot four

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Speaker 1: guard that you know, Gonzaga is gonna put immense pressure

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Speaker 1: on Okay, somebody else. Other players have to hit threes. Look,

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Speaker 1: this number opened up at sixteen, was bet down to fourteen,

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Speaker 1: was bet back up to sixteen. This number has moved

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Speaker 1: around a lot, all right, that's what the total. I'm

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Speaker 1: very curious. Gonzaga has the number one most efficient offense

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Speaker 1: in the country up against the two hundredth or one

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Speaker 1: ninety eighth defense for Grand Canyon. Number two in effective

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Speaker 1: field goal percentage thirty six for Grand Canyon. That's not horrible.

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Speaker 1: But here's the problem. Grand Canyon doesn't cause turnovers at all,

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Speaker 1: and Grand Canyon cannot rebound to save their lives. Two

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Speaker 1: hundred and sixty fourth in the country for offensive rebound percentage.

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Speaker 1: Defense on the defensive glass thirty one percent. That's ninety

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Speaker 1: seventh best, twelfth best three point percentage in Gonzaga, second

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Speaker 1: best two point percentage for Gonzaga. They block, they're good

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Speaker 1: enough at free throws are not great, but they're good enough.

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Speaker 1: Pace of this game is going to be fast. Ginzaga

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Speaker 1: defensively doesn't make you work all that hard one hundred

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Speaker 1: and seventy fifth average possession link. Defensively, Grand Cannon actually

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Speaker 1: is pretty slow. Gonzaga is really fast. Gonzag is thirty

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Speaker 1: third in average possession length. They want to go. Grand

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Speaker 1: Canyon's gonna want to go as well. The only thing

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Speaker 1: that stops this game from going over in my mind,

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Speaker 1: is whether or not we see the rims and we

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Speaker 1: see just a neutral court, and these these teams miss

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Speaker 1: everything because they're gonna jack a ton of shots. Yes,

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Speaker 1: one fifty seven is high, okay, but I just need

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Speaker 1: seventy points out of Grand Canyon and this game goes over,

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Speaker 1: I'll I may come back here in bet Gonzaga. I

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Speaker 1: may lay the points here. I may be on Gonzaga

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Speaker 1: and the over here. But I got to figure out

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Speaker 1: whether I want to lay sixteen or not. In the

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Speaker 1: first round of the tournament. I don't know, probably, but

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Speaker 1: I saw enough of Grand Canyon in just terms of

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Speaker 1: their overall speed and them jacking shots and shooting threes.

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Speaker 1: Gonzag is not great defensively, Okay, we know that they're

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Speaker 1: just trying to outscore people. Zags very well might score

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Speaker 1: one hundred on their own. I'm serious. That's not out

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Speaker 1: of the realm for Gonzaga to put one hundred up

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Speaker 1: on goins on Grand Canyon. I'll go over. First bet

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Speaker 1: over one fifty seven for Gonzaga and Grand Canyon, Denver, Friday,

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Speaker 1: that game tipping off at seven thirty five Eastern time

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Speaker 1: on True TV. Second bet Thursday, Iowa and Auburn. Auburn

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Speaker 1: now favored by one. This number opened up at a pick.

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Speaker 1: Now bumped Auburn minus one. Here's the thing. Iowa was

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Speaker 1: zero and four this year ATS on neutral site games.

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Speaker 1: The end of the year two and four ATS with

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Speaker 1: losses to Ohio State, Nebraska, and Wisconsin. Auburn's the exact opposite.

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Speaker 1: Auburn took Alabama to the wire. Auburn beat Tennessee coming

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Speaker 1: down the stretch. Auburn is a really good defensive team. Yes,

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Speaker 1: Iowa has the number three ranked adjusted efficiency offensive offense

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Speaker 1: in the country, but they can't shoot away from home.

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Speaker 1: They're great at home, they're horrible away from home. It's crazy.

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Speaker 1: They are a complete Jekyll and High team. I don't

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Speaker 1: know what happened in the Indiana game. The Indiana game

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Speaker 1: for Iowa was a complete anomaly because they went to

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Speaker 1: Chicago and played like crap and lost to Ohio State.

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Speaker 1: Auburn is a top thirty adjusted efficiency defense, a top

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Speaker 1: fifteen effective field goal percentage defense. They are nearly a

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Speaker 1: top one hundred defense for turning you over. They are

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Speaker 1: phenomenal at three point percentage, which is what Iowa needs

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Speaker 1: to hit in order for Iowa to win games. Twenty

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Speaker 1: eight point eight percent three point percentage. That's fifth best

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Speaker 1: in the country. You don't jack threes on these guys.

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Speaker 1: Bruce Pearl's team, they d you up two point percentage

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Speaker 1: top fifty and two point percentage as well. They are

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Speaker 1: great at blocks, they're good enough on the glass, and offensively,

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Speaker 1: Auburn is a top fifty offense effective efficiency for offense

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Speaker 1: in the country. They're not great for effective field goal

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Speaker 1: percentage two hundred and twenty fourth. That's kind of a problem.

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Speaker 1: They don't hit threes, Okay. They win these things on defense,

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Speaker 1: in heart and efforts athletes. Iowa doesn't have athletes, all right,

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Speaker 1: they just don't. Iowa's a jump shooting team that occasionally

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Speaker 1: will drive to the basket. That works against the Big ten.

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Speaker 1: It's not going to work against the SEC. Okay, Auburn

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Speaker 1: I think wins this game going away. I don't think

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Speaker 1: I always got much of a shot here. This is

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Speaker 1: a really bad matchup in my mind for Iowa. This

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Speaker 1: game is at Thursday. This game is in Birmingham. Okay,

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Speaker 1: should have kind of buried the lead. This game's in Birmingham.

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Speaker 1: This is going to be a home game for Auburn

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Speaker 1: minus one uh six fifty Eastern Time on TNT on Thursday.

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Speaker 1: Auburn minus one one point one units to lay that

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Speaker 1: against Iowa here in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament.

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Speaker 1: All right, so we're going under two thirty nine and

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Speaker 1: a half for the Suns and the Warriors. Tonight in

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Speaker 1: the NBA Thursday, Auburn minus one against Iowa again for

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Speaker 1: one point one units. And then on Friday, we're going

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Speaker 1: over one point fifty seven for Gonzaga and Grand Canyon

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Speaker 1: University for one point one units. That's a Monday. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna limp into the week, see if we can lick

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Speaker 1: our wounds a little bit after Sunday, get ourselves back

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Speaker 1: on the winning track and get ourselves rolling here into Tuesday, Wednesday,

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Speaker 1: and then Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday. The madness is upon us.

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Speaker 1: Pace yourself, make sure your bank rolls day is healthy.

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Speaker 1: Don't kill yourself here. Don't go, you know, burning yourself

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Speaker 1: out fast. We got a lot of games to bet

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Speaker 1: and a lot of fun to happen this coming week.

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Speaker 1: Get in the Discord channel, bettingpros dot Com, slash Chat.

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Speaker 1: I'm Att Pereltz. Follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: Every morning, the Daily Juice being brought to you by

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Speaker 1: bet I'MGM