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Speaker 1: Good morning, and welcome to the Wednesday morning edition of

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Speaker 1: the Daily J Juste Podcast. My name is Matt Peralti.

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Speaker 1: You can follow me on Twitter at sports Talkmatt here

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Speaker 1: Off of Bettingpros dot com, and this podcast always being

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Speaker 1: brought to you by bet MGM. All right, so it's

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Speaker 1: been kind of a weird week. Monday Tuesday we're pretty

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Speaker 1: much flat. Now that's better than being down, obviously, right,

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Speaker 1: we rather would be up. Monday we were down just

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Speaker 1: a little tiny bit, and Tuesday we're down just a

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Speaker 1: little tiny bit, with a two and two mark on

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Speaker 1: Monday and a one in one mark on Tuesday. And

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Speaker 1: since today is another light day, I thought it might

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Speaker 1: be a good time for us to talk a little

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Speaker 1: bit about teasers. Now, this has been a question that's

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Speaker 1: been brought up a lot, and I thought I could

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Speaker 1: get into Wong teasers a little bit here and then

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Speaker 1: give you the plays on the baseball game here, and

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Speaker 1: then I'm gonna hold off on Thursday games until Thursday

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Speaker 1: because it's the Eagles and I need to see the

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Speaker 1: injury report for the Eagles and the Giants, and then

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Speaker 1: we have another Sun Belt game to talk about coming

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Speaker 1: up on Thursday. And so yeah, we'll bet it. But

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Speaker 1: I'm just saying that we're gonna wait a little while.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna wait till Thursday's podcast before we get into

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Speaker 1: Thursday's games. So just on Wednesday, we're gonna have two

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Speaker 1: plays half of into each, much like last night, and

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Speaker 1: we're gonna play it again coming up here on a Wednesday.

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Speaker 1: But before we do that, let me tell you about

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Speaker 1: this with the Rays or the Dodgers. You bet one

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Speaker 1: dollar on either team to win on any game. If

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Speaker 1: either team hits a home run and there was a

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Speaker 1: bunch of them in Game one, you win one hundred

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Speaker 1: dollar money line right on the race or the Dodgers

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Speaker 1: one hundred bucks in free bets if either team hits

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Speaker 1: a home run. Per terms and conditions you're gonna go

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Speaker 1: to betmgm dot com. You must be twenty one years

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Speaker 1: or older and physically located in Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey,

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Speaker 1: or West Virginia. Please gamble responsibly if you do have

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Speaker 1: a gambling problem called one hundred five two to two

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Speaker 1: forty seven hundred in Colorado, Nevada, one hundred gambler in

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Speaker 1: New Jersey and West Virginia, or one hundred and nine

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Speaker 1: with it in Indiana. All right, So on the live stream,

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Speaker 1: and by the way, we're so darn close to one

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Speaker 1: thousand and shutting up Dan Harris and saying see we

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Speaker 1: can do it. We're running out of days. It's the

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Speaker 1: twenty first of October. We have twenty four more subs

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Speaker 1: to go. Let's do it. Come on, get me to

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Speaker 1: one thousand, get me there, get your girlfriend's account. I

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Speaker 1: don't care. Get to one thousand subs, right, let's get

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Speaker 1: to a thousand subs on YouTube for betting pros. And

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Speaker 1: during the live stream, a bunch of people have said,

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Speaker 1: you know, Matt, how do you play teasers? And its early?

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Speaker 1: Its late, it's you know, in between the early games

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Speaker 1: and the like. In the late games. You know, part

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Speaker 1: of the podcast. Look, I tell you guys plays that

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Speaker 1: I like my favorite place if you will before the podcast,

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Speaker 1: but I'm betting overnight. You have to understand what happens

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Speaker 1: when things change, right, injuries happen, or new stories break.

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Speaker 1: So I do bet a lot day off, and I

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Speaker 1: do bet a lot in game. So it's not just

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Speaker 1: like the plays on the podcast. You know, you could say, oh, Matt,

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Speaker 1: you suck this week. Okay, yeah, but those are the

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Speaker 1: public plays. If you look at my radio show, I

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Speaker 1: have a hashtag PTO picks, They're often different because I

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Speaker 1: tell you on the radio show they can be different

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Speaker 1: than the night before. They rarely ever contradict, but they

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Speaker 1: are different plays because of different information at different times.

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Speaker 1: Wong teasers or something that I have done because I

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Speaker 1: learned how to do them about I don't know. Three

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Speaker 1: years ago, four years ago, moving to Vegas, and I

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Speaker 1: had a buddy of mine who was a professional gambler,

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Speaker 1: and I was doing an interview with him and he

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Speaker 1: had brought up Wong teasers and I was like, what

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Speaker 1: the hell is a Wong teaser? And he explained to

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Speaker 1: me that there is this strategy that has been used

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Speaker 1: for a lot a long time. Basically, Stanford Wong wrote

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Speaker 1: a book in two thousand and nine called Sharp Sports Betting.

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Speaker 1: You can read it on Amazon, and if you like teasing,

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Speaker 1: I think it's worth reading it and reading about sports gambling.

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Speaker 1: And basically you're gonna, you know, favorites get teased down

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Speaker 1: in underdogs get teased up. So this is the formula, essentially,

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Speaker 1: right to six point teaser. And for a six point

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Speaker 1: teaser to break even, the better must win each leg

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Speaker 1: seventy two point three percent of the time. All Right,

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Speaker 1: this is not easy, This is not easy to do.

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Speaker 1: But the magic formula is this, go so as close

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Speaker 1: to kickoff as possible. All right, So if so one

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Speaker 1: o'clock Eastern time game, you're gonna open up your sports

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Speaker 1: gambling apps at like twelve forty five, twelve forty five,

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Speaker 1: you're gonna play only a two team six point teaser

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Speaker 1: in games with a total of forty nine or less. Alright,

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Speaker 1: totals of forty nine or less. And remember in today's

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Speaker 1: NFL there are numerous games fifty and higher, numerous games

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Speaker 1: forty nine and a half. Don't play it forty nine

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Speaker 1: and lower. That's a key, all right, You're gonna tease

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Speaker 1: a home favorite of seven and a half, eight, eight

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Speaker 1: and a half or nine. Down right, get to three

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Speaker 1: or below. You're gonna tease home underdogs of one, one

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Speaker 1: and a half, two or two and a half up.

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Speaker 1: This is all in the NFL. Okay if I didn't

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Speaker 1: say that, sorry, NFL. We're talking about here. You're gonna

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Speaker 1: tease road underdogs of one and a half, two or

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Speaker 1: two and a half. Okay. So if you're taking a

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Speaker 1: road underdog at one, you're teasing it to seven. Road

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Speaker 1: dog becomes plus seven. Home underdog goes from two to eight.

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Speaker 1: All right, home favorite goes from eight down to two.

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Speaker 1: We're crossing key numbers of three and seven. But you're

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Speaker 1: doing it right before kickoff. This is important, all right,

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Speaker 1: this is very very important. But this has been a

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Speaker 1: profitable way of teasing games in the NFL for a while.

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Speaker 1: Like I've mentioned, if the sports books could get rid

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Speaker 1: of one thing, you go ask a book maker, what's

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Speaker 1: the one thing you'd want to get rid of if

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Speaker 1: you could get rid of it. The thing they're going

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Speaker 1: to tell you is a two leg NFL teaser. That's

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Speaker 1: why in Vegas we play we pay rather minus one

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Speaker 1: forty juice because the books don't like it. They want

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Speaker 1: to get rid of it. Now, every book is different.

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Speaker 1: Some books a might as one twenty, some of minus

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Speaker 1: one thirty, some fluctuate. But but in Vegas, where they've

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Speaker 1: been doing it for quite a long time, it's very expensive.

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Speaker 1: Why to discourage you, the average gambler, the professional gambler,

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Speaker 1: square or pro whatever, to not do it. They don't

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Speaker 1: want anyone to do it, so they're gonna price it up. Okay,

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Speaker 1: minus one forty is expensive, but I think it's worth it,

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Speaker 1: so I like teasing again. Okay, just to recap this.

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Speaker 1: Long teasers are two team six point teasers with totals

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Speaker 1: of forty nine or less. Right before kickoff, teasing home

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Speaker 1: favorites a seven and a half, eight, eight and a

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Speaker 1: half nine down home dogs up from one one and

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Speaker 1: a half two to two and a half. Tease row

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Speaker 1: dogs of one one and a half two, two and

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Speaker 1: a half up. Okay, that's a long teaser. It's not foolproof,

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Speaker 1: but if you've never done it before, try it this Sunday.

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Speaker 1: Try it. See what happens. Find two legs you like?

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Speaker 1: I always give you guys one teaser. We're now four

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Speaker 1: and two on the teaser after opening up four and oh,

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Speaker 1: we're now four and two on that's so I gotta

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Speaker 1: find a winner that I like here coming up on Sunday,

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Speaker 1: and I'm gonna I'm winning my teaser this week. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna scour the lines like crazy and I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: get there. But I do like doing other teasers too.

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Speaker 1: I like teasing for kickoff. I do. I like seeing

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Speaker 1: who's playing. I like seeing the weather reports. We're into

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Speaker 1: the part of the part of the year where weather matters.

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Speaker 1: You gotta be careful with the weather reports for a

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Speaker 1: lot of these games, in particular in the northern part

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Speaker 1: of the country where you can get like spot up

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Speaker 1: snowshowers or really cold temperatures or whatever. So that's important.

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Speaker 1: So check that out. Okay, try to do that. You

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Speaker 1: can go DM me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt

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Speaker 1: if you guys have any questions if I ever went

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Speaker 1: too fast, if that didn't make sense as to how

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Speaker 1: I'm talking about it. But that's a philosophy and a strategy.

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Speaker 1: If you've never heard of that before that try it.

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Speaker 1: It's fun. I like doing it, and it might wind

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Speaker 1: up being profitable for you. But again, it's important to

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Speaker 1: do it before kickoff as late as possible, right before

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Speaker 1: kickoff to do it. Okay, let's talk about Game two tonight.

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Speaker 1: So we got the first five over right thanks to

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Speaker 1: the Dodgers explosion in the fifth inning Clayton Kershaw. I'm

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Speaker 1: so happy for Clayton kershaw Man. That was an unbelievable performance.

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Speaker 1: Nineteen swing and missus eleven on the slider. He was

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Speaker 1: great last night. Dominant, absolutely dominant. Dodgers are at plus

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Speaker 1: three thirty for me, they win the World Series. I'm

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Speaker 1: a happy camber. Okay, I want them to win the

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Speaker 1: World Series. I'm all about it. If you want to

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Speaker 1: bet the Rays right now, you can get them at

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Speaker 1: like plus three thirty. And that's pretty much the case

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Speaker 1: where I knew people would hammer me for betting the

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Speaker 1: Rays before the series, and I was waiting for it.

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Speaker 1: I've gotten already. People were like, why don't you just

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Speaker 1: wait for after game one? If Kershaw was great, you

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Speaker 1: would have gotten much better than plus one eighty odds.

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Speaker 1: I don't care, Okay, I told you I didn't care.

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Speaker 1: I didn't care then, I don't care now I'm in

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Speaker 1: the black anyway. Anyway, the series goes, I'm in the black,

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Speaker 1: so I want the Dodgers to win for a variety

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Speaker 1: of reasons. It's killing me that Mookie Bets is so

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Speaker 1: damn good and the Dodgers have him and the Red

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Speaker 1: Sox traded him. But I'm happy for Mooki the world.

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Speaker 1: If you don't know who he is, they know about

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Speaker 1: him now after the way he's playing, and he was

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Speaker 1: a little bit young when the Red Sox won it

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Speaker 1: in twenty eighteen. The dudes like in his prime. I mean,

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Speaker 1: just the power, the arm, the skill, the glove. He's

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Speaker 1: just incredible. So I mean the Dodgers in the World Series.

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Speaker 1: I'm so pumped up and psyched for Kershaw. I'm happy

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Speaker 1: for Mooki Bets. I hate the city of Los Angeles, not,

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Speaker 1: I guess, not the city. I hate the teams in

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Speaker 1: Los Angeles, but I would be happy for the Dodgers

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Speaker 1: and Kershaw in particular if he finally gets a ring.

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Speaker 1: So they're three wins away from that happening. Let's talk

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Speaker 1: about Game two. So this is Blake Snell going to

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Speaker 1: the mound for the Rays. It's gonna be a bullpen game.

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Speaker 1: It looks like here for the Dodgers. But the bullpen

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Speaker 1: for the Dodgers not horrible. Right, May may come out

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Speaker 1: and may may start. You've got some arms out there

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Speaker 1: that are pretty good. They're young, but it's not like

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Speaker 1: it's gonna be a blow up game. It's not like

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Speaker 1: it's a bad bullpen for the Dodgers. And going to

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Speaker 1: a bullpen type of game, I don't think that it's

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Speaker 1: that horrible to do that. And sometimes when you're mixing

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Speaker 1: and matching, you can really match up well against a lineup,

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Speaker 1: so it makes it a little bit difficult. I have

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Speaker 1: gone back and forth here as to how this game

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Speaker 1: is going to go in terms of a total. Like

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Speaker 1: I can see the under here. I really can see

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Speaker 1: the under. However, this is baseball right now, and this

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Speaker 1: is offenses that are kicking the crap out of the baseball.

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Speaker 1: I just can't bet the eight. I can't bet the under.

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Speaker 1: I want to bet the under, I really do. I

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Speaker 1: want to bet the under. I just can't do it.

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Speaker 1: I want to bet it, I just can't. So I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna go ahead and I'm gonna bet the over eight

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Speaker 1: runs here, and I'm gonna think that Blake Snell gives

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Speaker 1: up a couple. I think the Bats are gonna come

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Speaker 1: to life here. I do think the Bats are gonna score.

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Speaker 1: I got it at eight minus one, twenty half a

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Speaker 1: unit on the over, eight runs for the Dodgers and

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Speaker 1: the Rays in Game two off. It has come to life.

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Speaker 1: There's just so much firepower on both sides. But here's

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Speaker 1: the thing with the game. So the Rays didn't use

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Speaker 1: some of their biggest arms last night in Game one. Now,

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Speaker 1: they got hit, obviously, and it didn't go well for

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Speaker 1: the guys who were on the mount, but they didn't

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Speaker 1: use Fairbanks, they didn't use Anderson. And if Snell can

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Speaker 1: be good, if Snell can come out and give the team,

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Speaker 1: give the Rays five or six innings of really solid,

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Speaker 1: you know, two three runs, I think they can win

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Speaker 1: this game. This is gonna be a tighter series than

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Speaker 1: people think. I think. I mean, I have Dodgers in six. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: going down two games to none is really really bad.

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Speaker 1: And if the bullpen doesn't pitch well, it helps out

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Speaker 1: the over obviously, so it gives a chance to hit

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Speaker 1: the over pretty easily. But I do think we're gonna

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Speaker 1: see offense from the Rays, home runs from the Rays,

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Speaker 1: And I do think the Dodgers are gonna score. I

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Speaker 1: just don't think the race, even with their great pitching,

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Speaker 1: I don't think in today's baseball, with the ball in

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Speaker 1: that ballpark, just not buying it, just not buying. I

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Speaker 1: don't know if it's gonna be eleven runs, but I

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Speaker 1: think eight is decent. I think eight is a number

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Speaker 1: you can at least get a push out of. And

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna go ahead and talk about the first

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Speaker 1: five innings this time because I'm a little concerned about

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Speaker 1: the bullpen for the Dodgers. I don't really know what

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Speaker 1: they're gonna throw, how long they're gonna go with somebody,

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Speaker 1: or maybe they get, you know, one of these arms

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Speaker 1: or of these young arms to come out and they're

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Speaker 1: just stellar, and the Rays don't score for a while

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Speaker 1: until they get to a different bullpen arm. So I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna stay away from the first five. We got that

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Speaker 1: right last night. We had the Rays winning last night,

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Speaker 1: and we were wrong. It was plus one fifty five

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Speaker 1: last night and they lost in a number dropped. So

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Speaker 1: that signals to me a little bit that the books

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Speaker 1: are a little concerned here about what the Rays will

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Speaker 1: do the whole you know, ping pong betting. First team loses,

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Speaker 1: you come in and bet on the other team. The

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Speaker 1: number didn't go up, it went down. We got it

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Speaker 1: at one fifty five last night. It's now one thirty five.

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Speaker 1: So that kind of signaled to me a little bit

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Speaker 1: here as to where the books are. So we're going

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Speaker 1: raise half a unit money line plus one thirty five

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Speaker 1: and the over eight runs at minus one twenty half

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Speaker 1: a unit on either play here on a Wednesday, we're

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Speaker 1: gonna get into football tomorrow, one college game, one pro game.

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Speaker 1: We may keep going with the World Series as well,

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Speaker 1: but we'll definitely get into football tomorrow, and then Friday.

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Speaker 1: We got two football games on Friday again, that's gonna

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Speaker 1: be a lot of fun. And then Saturday the full slate.

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Speaker 1: I liked this college football slate a lot more than

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Speaker 1: the college football slate for last weekend. And I don't

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Speaker 1: know what I want to do about Ohio State and

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Speaker 1: Nebraska because I didn't bet it when I wanted to,

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Speaker 1: and I should have was twenty three, and I should

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Speaker 1: have bet it because Ohio State's gonna kick the living

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Speaker 1: daylights out of Nebraska. I just it's twenty six. I

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Speaker 1: think now that bothers me. I wanted to get the

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Speaker 1: better number there. We didn't get the good number. That stinks.

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Speaker 1: Oh well, but college? What blaze coming up for Saturday?

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Speaker 1: For sure. My name is Matt Parolt. You can follow

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Speaker 1: me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Every single morning

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Speaker 1: it is the Daily Juice podcast here off of bettingpros

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Speaker 1: dot Com, present it by BETFGM