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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Friday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Parol, guys, and following because all my socials at

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Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt and as you guys can see or here,

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Speaker 1: I am back in New Hampshire, back after the trip

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Speaker 1: to DC. Thank you for everybody who wished me a

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Speaker 1: happy New Year. Happy New Year to you guys as well,

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Speaker 1: and we are often running here in twenty twenty five,

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Speaker 1: day number three for us to recap last night. I

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Speaker 1: do not know what basketball outcome bestowed upon us because

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Speaker 1: that game tips off at ten o'clock on the East

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Speaker 1: and I am not staying up for Oregon basketball. So

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Speaker 1: we'll see how Oregon plays tonight. But Notre Dame does

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Speaker 1: win that hedged off of the Georgia. So the Irish

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Speaker 1: come through with a big victory and they get the

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Speaker 1: one unit for US. Georgia at plus six hundred goes down,

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Speaker 1: so we are flat for the day today on a

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Speaker 1: Thursday into a Friday. So a couple quick thoughts on

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Speaker 1: Notrdame and the loss for Georgia. So I was on

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Speaker 1: the plane watching it, so I can't say I was

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Speaker 1: watching it as closely as I normally do on a

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Speaker 1: big screen TV. But I was very impressed with the Irish.

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Speaker 1: I'm very impressed with their defense more than anything. And

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Speaker 1: I think when you look at the way that Riley

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Speaker 1: Leonard plays and his ability to keep plays alive with

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Speaker 1: his legs, he really is a difference maker for that

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Speaker 1: offense because they can play smash mouth. Not Dame always

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Speaker 1: has great offensive lineman. I mean that's what they've had.

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Speaker 1: Their wide receivers are good enough, they're good, They're good

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Speaker 1: enough to be top ten caliber. The running game, obviously

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Speaker 1: with Love is tremendous. They've always had that, but now

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Speaker 1: they've got a quarterback who can really hurt defenses when

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Speaker 1: there's nothing open, he can pick up first downs. I

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Speaker 1: felt like that really hurt Georgia as they simply couldn't

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Speaker 1: get off the fie. There's too many third down conversions,

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Speaker 1: too many missed opportunities, and when you're playing with a quarterback.

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Speaker 1: I mean, right at the end of the half, that

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Speaker 1: strip sack that wound up being a touchdown at the

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Speaker 1: end of the half, that was such a massive, massive loss, huge,

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Speaker 1: huge momentum gain for Notre Dame. But to go up

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Speaker 1: thirteen to ten. And like I talked about four and oh,

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Speaker 1: I don't know if you guys better or not, but

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Speaker 1: if you did, you went four and oh. Taking teams

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Speaker 1: that played in the opening round of the playoffs against

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Speaker 1: the number, they went four and oh. So every team

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Speaker 1: that went on a bye lost. Okay, I talked about

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Speaker 1: this dating back in August. I thought that the teams

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Speaker 1: playing a home game that got a taste of playoff

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Speaker 1: football would have a big advantage. And boy did they ever.

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Speaker 1: All four teams lost that got buys. So coming up

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Speaker 1: next year, I would expect a big change in the

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Speaker 1: way that these things are seated. Teams are gonna not

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Speaker 1: want to play a by yet you know, have a buy.

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Speaker 1: Teams are going to have a home game because of

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Speaker 1: the atmosphere and because of just the rhythm of it all.

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Speaker 1: Keeping themselves in shape and keeping themselves in game shape.

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Speaker 1: I mean, look at Cam Skatabu. Look how much I

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Speaker 1: mean he hadn't played in a fourth quarter or in

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Speaker 1: overtime for so long. He was puking on the sidelines

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Speaker 1: because he had had, you know, just conditioning issues just

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Speaker 1: about having to play so much football. So I think

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Speaker 1: teams are really going to take a hard look at this,

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Speaker 1: not saying that they're going to throw at things or

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Speaker 1: anything to like, you know, they want the not to

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Speaker 1: win the conference championship or something. But I think we're

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Speaker 1: going to see a big change in the way that

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Speaker 1: the tournament is seeded coming up next year. But I

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Speaker 1: do have two college football bets to give you, guys,

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Speaker 1: including one semi final bet, one future play that I

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Speaker 1: will tell you about here in just one second, and

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Speaker 1: then we've got a college basketball play that I want

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Speaker 1: to get into here on a Friday night. Obviously, we've

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Speaker 1: got a lot of NFL coming up on Saturday, a

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Speaker 1: lot of NFL coming up on Sunday. It's Week eighteen

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Speaker 1: in the NFL with two games on Saturday, in a

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Speaker 1: ton of games on Sunday. So we've got those going

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Speaker 1: for us here today, and we're going to talk about

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Speaker 1: that a lot on Saturday and Sunday. So just one

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Speaker 1: game here on a Friday to talk about. From a

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Speaker 1: college basketball perspective, I don't like either bowl game, although

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Speaker 1: if I had to be forced, I would take Va

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Speaker 1: Tech plus. The points. Just too many points, I think

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Speaker 1: in a bowl game like that. In the Duke Mail Bowl,

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Speaker 1: but other than that, there's something really that jumps off

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Speaker 1: the page for me when it comes to that. But

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Speaker 1: we do have some cool things to give you guys

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Speaker 1: here from an announcement standpoint, and congratulations are in order

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Speaker 1: your last name congratulations, Stink. You have won the signed

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Speaker 1: autograph Stefan Diggs jersey. And if you would like to

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Speaker 1: our friends at Pristine Auction. All right, let's talk about

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame and Penn State. This has been a very

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Speaker 1: chalky tournament. Okay, this has been a somewhat predictable tournament

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Speaker 1: as to what has happened in what should happen. Notre

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Speaker 1: Dame is gonna beat Penn State. Okay, I am not

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Speaker 1: trusting James Franklin, not by any means. Now, I get it.

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Speaker 1: Marcus Freeman, what has he won? Okay, Marcus Freeman has

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Speaker 1: not exactly been the greatest of coaches in power spots,

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Speaker 1: but there are certain confidences that come when you play

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Speaker 1: at certain schools, and to me, James Franklin does not

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Speaker 1: have the pedigree or the background to take Penn State

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Speaker 1: to a national championship game Notre Dame. I don't think

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Speaker 1: either one of these teams will beat Ohio State. But

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Speaker 1: I don't think we're getting an all Big Ten championship game.

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Speaker 1: I don't think that's happening. I think Ohio State is

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Speaker 1: going to win the national championship. I don't think anybody's

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Speaker 1: beating them. Okay, I think Ohio State has been the

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Speaker 1: most talented team all year, and they finally woke up

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Speaker 1: and realized it. They finally realized like, oh yeah, that's right,

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Speaker 1: we're Ohio State. After losing to Michigan, which is the

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Speaker 1: best thing that could have happened to them, they got

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Speaker 1: the rest, They got to sit back and watch the

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Speaker 1: Big Ten title game and get really angry about it.

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Speaker 1: And I think they are just Trista Krik, who's a

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Speaker 1: phenomenal social media follow and somebody who has been on

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Speaker 1: my other show quite a bit, has worked for a

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Speaker 1: variety of media outlets. She called Ohio State a badger

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Speaker 1: in a box. It's great analogy, not that it's a

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Speaker 1: Wisconsin Badger, but like a pissed off animal in a

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Speaker 1: small confined area that's going to rip your head off

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Speaker 1: and rip your face off to get out and through you.

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Speaker 1: And that's what Ohio State did to Oregon. I mean

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Speaker 1: just blitz them, just blasted them from the word go.

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Speaker 1: It was thirty one to nothing before we said go

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Speaker 1: game over. No one's beating Ohio State. Okay, no one's

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Speaker 1: beating Ohio State. That this team is far too talented.

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Speaker 1: They just and they're not going to play in arch rival.

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Speaker 1: They're not going to play someone they gotta really worry

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Speaker 1: all that much about. I'm not sure if these games

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Speaker 1: are going to be close. Texas is gonna have a

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Speaker 1: big problem. They got a big problem. Their defense will

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Speaker 1: keep them in the game. Okay, their defense, but I

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Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna be able to guard and cover

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Speaker 1: the wide receivers for Ohio State. And Will Howard just

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Speaker 1: playing at an incredible level right now. But that defense

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Speaker 1: for Ohio State is just ridiculous. I quin yours. It's

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Speaker 1: gonna have a big problem. Okay. The receivers for Texas,

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Speaker 1: they just don't get open enough for me, Like I

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Speaker 1: just I don't sold more than them here in just

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Speaker 1: one second. But the numbers for James Franklin, He's seven

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Speaker 1: and twenty five straight up as an underdog. Penn State

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Speaker 1: hasn't won as an underdog since twenty twenty one. I mean,

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Speaker 1: Franklin is a dominant from between six and twenty four points.

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Speaker 1: James Franklin is an automatic bet on. We We've talked

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Speaker 1: about this, but against top five opponents. This dude is

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Speaker 1: one in seventeen straight up, okay, And Notre Dame is

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Speaker 1: the top five opponent. Okay, they're a top five team.

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Speaker 1: They're just as good as anybody in the country. And

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Speaker 1: I just if Penn State was favored in this game,

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Speaker 1: I would say, Okay, Penn State's gonna win this game.

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Speaker 1: But even at a I would take Notre Dame. But

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Speaker 1: I can't see Penn State going off as a favorite

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Speaker 1: in this game. The Irish, I think, will be the favorite.

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Speaker 1: And I'll take it now before it gets too high.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I'll take it right now. With Penn State

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Speaker 1: and Notre Dame in the national semi final, Notre Dame

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Speaker 1: laying one and a half points, I'll take it now

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Speaker 1: before this number starts to climb, and I think this

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Speaker 1: number will climb. I think we'll get a two and

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Speaker 1: a half. I think we might even get to three

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Speaker 1: before it's all said and done, as people start to

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Speaker 1: wake up and they watch injuries. I'll take an early

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Speaker 1: play on this. I'll take an early number and I'll

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Speaker 1: jump in here and I'll take Notre Dame. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: lay the one and a half points here. With the

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Speaker 1: Irish up against Penn State again, I'm not in love

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Speaker 1: with Marcus Freeman, but I think Drew Aller's got an

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Speaker 1: you know he's coming back already for a reason. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I don't think Penn State's gonna score on that Irish defense.

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Speaker 1: I think they're gonna have a really hard time running

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Speaker 1: the football. Georgia sure as heck did. I don't think

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Speaker 1: that they can have a game where Drew Aler is

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Speaker 1: back there throwing the ball twenty five to thirty times

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Speaker 1: against that secondary. For the Irish, I think they're too opportunistic.

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Speaker 1: I think they'll turn the football all over and frankly,

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Speaker 1: Penn State's defense is it can be had. We saw

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Speaker 1: what Oregon did do it, okay, and I felt like

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Speaker 1: there were moments in the game with Penn State in

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Speaker 1: their quarterfinal game that you know, they could have given

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Speaker 1: up more points than they did, and so I think

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Speaker 1: the Irish will take advantage. I think it's a low

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Speaker 1: scoring game. I'll probably be on the under as well,

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Speaker 1: but I want to wait and see what that number

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Speaker 1: does over the next couple of days. But initially just

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Speaker 1: first blush jumping in early Irish minus one and a

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Speaker 1: half for one point one units. I'll take it now

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Speaker 1: simply because I think that the number is going to

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Speaker 1: climb and I don't want it to be higher than two,

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Speaker 1: two and a half three, I don't want it. I'll

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Speaker 1: take it now. Notre Dame minus one and a half

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Speaker 1: for one point one units in the semi final to

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Speaker 1: beat Penn State and make it to the national championship game.

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Speaker 1: On the other side of the bracket, let's talk about

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Speaker 1: Ohio State. So Ohio State's a big favorite here, okay,

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Speaker 1: and Ohio State being as big of a favorite as

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Speaker 1: they are in their matchup, I take a look at

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Speaker 1: the number at six, go man, we might get six

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Speaker 1: and a half. It's minus two to twenty five on

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Speaker 1: the money line. Rather than play that number because I

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Speaker 1: think Ohio State's beating Texas and making the National Championship game.

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Speaker 1: We know that if Ohio State plays Notre Dame, they're

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Speaker 1: probably going to be three and a half point favorites

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Speaker 1: or higher. Right, Okay, so this is sort of a

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Speaker 1: play on Ohio State getting a plus one ten. You

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Speaker 1: could say, Matt, what about just like rolling it over

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Speaker 1: but minus two twenty five. I don't want to lay

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Speaker 1: it up of juice with Ohio siting against Texas. I

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Speaker 1: think Ohio State beats Texas Texas. I think the plus

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Speaker 1: one ten is too good to pass up, and then

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Speaker 1: you gotta jump on it. Ohio State to win the

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Speaker 1: National Championship is plus one ten. One unit. Take it.

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Speaker 1: It's better money line play in the National Championship game.

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Speaker 1: It's a better price that we're gonna get. They're gonna

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Speaker 1: be big favorites minus two thirty, minus two forty. I mean,

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Speaker 1: these are numbers that we're going to see here for

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Speaker 1: the Ohio State Buckeyes. If they're facing either Penn State

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Speaker 1: or if they play Penn State or they play Notre Dame,

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Speaker 1: they're gonna be big favorites over both. Probably a bigger

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Speaker 1: favorite than they are over Texas, to be quite honest.

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Speaker 1: So this is just simply, if you like Ohio State

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Speaker 1: to beat Texas, why not bet them to the National

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Speaker 1: Championship and don't even play around with either one of

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Speaker 1: these games. Lay the one unit on Ohio State plus

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Speaker 1: one ten money line to win the National Championship, to

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Speaker 1: beat Texas and to beat whoever is on the other

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Speaker 1: side of the bracket here and frankly, we'll be able

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Speaker 1: to hedge off of it if you want. I mean,

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Speaker 1: you can come in and play, depending on what the

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Speaker 1: number is. If it's too high, we can take a

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Speaker 1: plus on the dog, take plus six plus seven, whatever

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Speaker 1: it might wind up being, and maybe Ohio State wins,

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Speaker 1: but they don't cover in the National Championship game and

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Speaker 1: we keep both bets. So just a way of taking

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Speaker 1: a position early here in the in the semi final

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Speaker 1: final matchups with Ohio State at plus one ten to

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Speaker 1: win the National Championship for one unit, so the Iris

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Speaker 1: miss one and a half against Penn State in the

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Speaker 1: first semi final and Ohio State to win the National

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Speaker 1: Championship at plus one ten for one unit. Now Friday

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Speaker 1: Night college basketball, just one bet for us here tonight

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Speaker 1: and Marquette is hosting the Creighton Blue Jays. The Jays

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Speaker 1: have lost at home this year to Nebraska. They have

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Speaker 1: lost here at Austin Vegas badly to San Diego State.

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Speaker 1: They lost by four to Texas A and M. They

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Speaker 1: lost on the road at Alabama, they lost on the

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Speaker 1: road at Georgia, and now they have a team in

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Speaker 1: Marquette that is just playing incredible basketball right now. The Jays,

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Speaker 1: according to kempom, will lose this game by eleven points.

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Speaker 1: The current number is eight and a half. I think

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Speaker 1: this is a really bad matchup for the Creighton Blue Jays.

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Speaker 1: Cam Jones is so darn good. Without Pop Isaacs on

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Speaker 1: this roster, Steven Ashworth can't cover this guy. And then

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Speaker 1: I think when you talk about the bench players coming in,

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Speaker 1: whether it be Neil mc andrew can't can't guard him.

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Speaker 1: There's no way. I mean, I just don't think there's

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Speaker 1: nobody who can stop Cam Jones here. Marquette is twelfth

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Speaker 1: in offensive efficiency. There's seventy first in effective field goal percentage.

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Speaker 1: They don't hit threes, but they don't need to because

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Speaker 1: they're in the top twenty five of two point percentage

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Speaker 1: in the country. And frankly, the Creighton offense just has

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Speaker 1: not been good this year, and I think it's being

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Speaker 1: it's calling us, you know, calling it what it is.

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Speaker 1: The Jays have to hit threes and they're outside the

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Speaker 1: top one one hundred and three point shooting. That just

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Speaker 1: simply isn't going to get it done. They turn the

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Speaker 1: basketball over way too many times, and Marquette is in

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Speaker 1: the top ten and turnover percentage. They turn you over.

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Speaker 1: It's Shaka Smart, It's what they do. This is a

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Speaker 1: nine pm Eastern time game on Fox Sports one. This

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Speaker 1: is a bad matchup. You have a Marquette school right

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Speaker 1: now that currently They lost to Iowa State on the

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Speaker 1: road badly, but that was a tight game of runs.

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Speaker 1: We were on Iowa State in that game. And they

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Speaker 1: lost to Dayton on the road. But then they bounce

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Speaker 1: back with wins at Xavier and at Providence. They've won

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Speaker 1: games against Butler at home this year. They've beaten Georgia

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Speaker 1: on a neutral, they beat Purdue at home, they beat

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Speaker 1: Maryland on the road. This is this is a tournament team.

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Speaker 1: This is a really talented team, and I think Shaka

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Speaker 1: Smart's team is really going to frustrate the holy heck

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Speaker 1: out of the Crate and Blue Jays. I think they'll

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Speaker 1: have a defense. It's a game plan to shut down

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Speaker 1: Cockbrenner on the inside. I think this is ugly. I'll

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Speaker 1: lay the eight and a half points here Marquette minus

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Speaker 1: eight and a half for one point one units to

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Speaker 1: take the J's and blow the Jas out tonight here

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Speaker 1: on a Friday night. So plays for us here Norday

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Speaker 1: minus one and a half in one national semi final

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Speaker 1: for football Ohio is eight to win the national championship

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Speaker 1: but plus one ten for one unit, and Marquette laying

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Speaker 1: eight and a half at home against the Creighton Blue

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Speaker 1: Jays for one point one units. My name is Matt Pearl.

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Speaker 1: You guys can follow me acause all of my socials

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Speaker 1: at sports Talk Matt. Every morning it's the Daily Juice

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Speaker 1: podcast wherever you guys get your podcasts.