1 00:00:00,680 --> 00:00:03,480 Speaker 1: Why from our nations this budget thing is going to 2 00:00:03,560 --> 00:00:06,320 Speaker 1: do nothing space forts. I still think it's interesting President 3 00:00:06,320 --> 00:00:10,000 Speaker 1: Trump not playing his cards yet headlines Policy and Politics 4 00:00:10,039 --> 00:00:13,720 Speaker 1: colliding to sound on with Kevin's really the insiders, the 5 00:00:13,920 --> 00:00:17,760 Speaker 1: influencers insides, I would rather see a congressional solution. It's 6 00:00:17,760 --> 00:00:20,720 Speaker 1: part of my DNA. The Senate map in looks a 7 00:00:20,760 --> 00:00:23,040 Speaker 1: lot different than it looked in You really have a 8 00:00:23,079 --> 00:00:26,360 Speaker 1: divide within Team Trump. The President has to do exactly 9 00:00:26,400 --> 00:00:27,960 Speaker 1: what people send in here to do, which is to 10 00:00:28,000 --> 00:00:31,560 Speaker 1: get it done. He's sound on with Kevin's your relate 11 00:00:31,880 --> 00:00:37,200 Speaker 1: on Bloomberg and f M h D two Boltemore. They've 12 00:00:37,240 --> 00:00:38,800 Speaker 1: got to get a deal on the debt ceiling and 13 00:00:38,880 --> 00:00:43,120 Speaker 1: President Trump is being non committal. Tonight, just as the 14 00:00:43,159 --> 00:00:48,040 Speaker 1: clock ticks down to August recess, Secretary Manution and Nancy Pelosi, 15 00:00:48,120 --> 00:00:51,680 Speaker 1: Speaker of the House, they say reportedly they've got a 16 00:00:51,720 --> 00:00:54,280 Speaker 1: deal on the debt ceiling. Will break down all of 17 00:00:54,280 --> 00:00:59,160 Speaker 1: the policy specifics, plus still more fallout between President Trump 18 00:00:59,200 --> 00:01:01,480 Speaker 1: and the squad will dive into whether or not there 19 00:01:01,480 --> 00:01:05,320 Speaker 1: are any policy implications on that front. And at the 20 00:01:05,319 --> 00:01:10,200 Speaker 1: White House earlier today, Pakistani Prime Minister Khan meeting with 21 00:01:10,280 --> 00:01:13,920 Speaker 1: President Trump to discuss a host of different geo political 22 00:01:14,360 --> 00:01:18,560 Speaker 1: tensions in the Middle East. Are the Pakistani's going to 23 00:01:18,640 --> 00:01:22,679 Speaker 1: be more supportive of the United States? And how will 24 00:01:22,720 --> 00:01:27,280 Speaker 1: President Trump respond to that? All of that plus Huawei developments, 25 00:01:27,600 --> 00:01:31,240 Speaker 1: will US businesses get to do business with? Wild Way, 26 00:01:31,319 --> 00:01:34,000 Speaker 1: We have an all star panel here to break down 27 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:38,960 Speaker 1: the policy, the politics, and the personalities. Sapor Bloomberg News 28 00:01:39,040 --> 00:01:44,800 Speaker 1: national political correspondent. Lawn zelt Republican strategist, founder of Zeltz Communications, 29 00:01:44,800 --> 00:01:48,440 Speaker 1: co founder I Believe, co founder of Zeltz Communications, Nina 30 00:01:48,480 --> 00:01:50,400 Speaker 1: Turner is going to call in. She's the national co 31 00:01:50,560 --> 00:01:54,840 Speaker 1: chair of the Bernie Sanders presidential campaign. And Daniel Lippman. 32 00:01:55,480 --> 00:01:57,840 Speaker 1: Daniel Littman is back in the house fresh off of 33 00:01:57,920 --> 00:02:02,040 Speaker 1: his job promotion Politico. He is now a White House 34 00:02:02,040 --> 00:02:05,560 Speaker 1: reporter for Politico. Alright, busy day at the White House 35 00:02:05,640 --> 00:02:09,480 Speaker 1: today as President Trump met with Pakistani Prime Minister Khan. 36 00:02:09,800 --> 00:02:13,480 Speaker 1: Will get into the geo political fallout for all of 37 00:02:13,520 --> 00:02:16,000 Speaker 1: the that, but it was also a busy day with 38 00:02:16,040 --> 00:02:17,960 Speaker 1: regards to the debt ceiling. And that's where I want 39 00:02:17,960 --> 00:02:20,800 Speaker 1: to begin. Why because we're just ahead of the August 40 00:02:20,840 --> 00:02:24,640 Speaker 1: recess and Speaker Nancy Pelosi, as well as Treasury Secretary 41 00:02:24,680 --> 00:02:27,640 Speaker 1: Stephen Venusian have been back and forth, back and forth, 42 00:02:27,680 --> 00:02:29,760 Speaker 1: all on the phones for the past a week or 43 00:02:29,800 --> 00:02:33,680 Speaker 1: so trying to get a deal on the debt ceiling. 44 00:02:33,800 --> 00:02:35,880 Speaker 1: Now there's a story out on the Bloomberg Terminal which 45 00:02:35,919 --> 00:02:40,240 Speaker 1: suggests that President or that which suggests that Secretary Venution 46 00:02:40,760 --> 00:02:43,960 Speaker 1: and Speaker Pelosi have agreed to some type of two 47 00:02:44,080 --> 00:02:48,320 Speaker 1: year extension with regards to the debt ceiling. But the 48 00:02:48,320 --> 00:02:51,080 Speaker 1: big question mark is whether or not President Trump is 49 00:02:51,120 --> 00:02:53,680 Speaker 1: going to sign off on it. Daniel Litman is a 50 00:02:53,680 --> 00:02:56,880 Speaker 1: White House reporter for Politico. Lawren Zelt is a Republican 51 00:02:56,919 --> 00:03:00,840 Speaker 1: strategist and co founder of Zelt Communications, and saw Hill 52 00:03:00,919 --> 00:03:05,680 Speaker 1: Kapoor is Bloomberg News national political correspondent. Saw Hill first question, 53 00:03:06,320 --> 00:03:08,480 Speaker 1: will President Trump signed off on the deal that his 54 00:03:08,560 --> 00:03:13,080 Speaker 1: Treasury secretary has reportedly made with Speaker Pelosi? I think, Kevin, 55 00:03:13,120 --> 00:03:15,680 Speaker 1: this is the question that markets are itching to know. 56 00:03:16,440 --> 00:03:19,080 Speaker 1: Nobody quite knows what the president will do. He moves 57 00:03:19,120 --> 00:03:22,240 Speaker 1: back and forth, sometimes from a stated position, much like 58 00:03:22,280 --> 00:03:24,359 Speaker 1: the last budget deal, where he swerved at the last 59 00:03:24,400 --> 00:03:27,680 Speaker 1: second ended up shutting down the government and UH created 60 00:03:27,720 --> 00:03:30,400 Speaker 1: a lot of consternation for his allies as well as markets. 61 00:03:30,680 --> 00:03:33,040 Speaker 1: Now the President has made very clear he wants the 62 00:03:33,080 --> 00:03:35,680 Speaker 1: debt limit raised. This is not uh, this is not 63 00:03:35,840 --> 00:03:37,880 Speaker 1: a game of chicken that he wants to play or 64 00:03:37,920 --> 00:03:41,120 Speaker 1: that anybody really wants to play, because the consequences are 65 00:03:41,160 --> 00:03:43,680 Speaker 1: so catastrophic. The question is does he want a debt 66 00:03:43,680 --> 00:03:46,480 Speaker 1: limit increase? Absolutely yes. Is he gonna be comfortable with 67 00:03:46,520 --> 00:03:49,240 Speaker 1: these spending levels? Probably not? But how far does he 68 00:03:49,240 --> 00:03:51,560 Speaker 1: want to push this doubt to the brain? But see, Lauren, 69 00:03:51,680 --> 00:03:54,640 Speaker 1: I I respectfully like I get what saw Hill saying. 70 00:03:54,640 --> 00:03:56,720 Speaker 1: But then there's like another side of me that that 71 00:03:56,880 --> 00:04:00,600 Speaker 1: is like, given the backdrop of the squaw Odd versus 72 00:04:00,640 --> 00:04:06,040 Speaker 1: President Trump, given the backdrop of the immigration issue, when 73 00:04:06,040 --> 00:04:09,200 Speaker 1: Steven Miller's out on Fox with Chris with Chris Wallace 74 00:04:09,240 --> 00:04:13,120 Speaker 1: over the weekend, I don't know. This president doesn't seem 75 00:04:13,160 --> 00:04:15,200 Speaker 1: like someone to shy away from a fight. And the 76 00:04:15,280 --> 00:04:19,159 Speaker 1: debt ceiling and defaulting on on the nation's on the 77 00:04:19,240 --> 00:04:21,599 Speaker 1: nation's credit rating. I mean it would he would be 78 00:04:21,600 --> 00:04:24,560 Speaker 1: able to hammer hammer Democrats and say, well, they're not 79 00:04:24,600 --> 00:04:27,240 Speaker 1: taking care of veterans. I think that's right, But I 80 00:04:27,279 --> 00:04:30,120 Speaker 1: think that also at this point, the president is given 81 00:04:30,160 --> 00:04:32,480 Speaker 1: all of this fighting that we're seeing at the moment, 82 00:04:32,520 --> 00:04:35,320 Speaker 1: I think he is hungry for a political win, and 83 00:04:35,360 --> 00:04:38,760 Speaker 1: I think basically everybody agrees that, you know, if an 84 00:04:38,800 --> 00:04:41,480 Speaker 1: agreement is not reached UM that is that the consequences 85 00:04:41,520 --> 00:04:43,640 Speaker 1: could be disastrous. I mean, you know, look from a 86 00:04:43,640 --> 00:04:45,960 Speaker 1: conservative perspective, though, I have to say, you're going to 87 00:04:46,040 --> 00:04:49,000 Speaker 1: see more conservative members of Congress um there. They've already 88 00:04:49,000 --> 00:04:51,560 Speaker 1: come out and said that they're unhappy, um with what 89 00:04:51,600 --> 00:04:55,320 Speaker 1: they've heard about the potential agreement reached between Secretary Unition. 90 00:04:56,000 --> 00:04:59,200 Speaker 1: They're not just unhappy, they're livid. Yeah, they're livid. The 91 00:04:59,279 --> 00:05:01,719 Speaker 1: Freedom cauc Is can stand this. They only got half 92 00:05:02,000 --> 00:05:04,560 Speaker 1: I'm serious, according to this story on the Bloomberg terminal 93 00:05:04,600 --> 00:05:08,640 Speaker 1: by Eric Wasson and Salamos, and they're saying that Republicans 94 00:05:08,680 --> 00:05:11,240 Speaker 1: are only going to get are you ready for this? 95 00:05:11,960 --> 00:05:16,680 Speaker 1: Just about half half of the savings that they sought 96 00:05:17,200 --> 00:05:20,320 Speaker 1: from I put the same question, and I apologize for interrupting, 97 00:05:20,480 --> 00:05:22,880 Speaker 1: but I put this question to Special Counsel to the 98 00:05:22,920 --> 00:05:26,760 Speaker 1: President Kelly and Conway earlier today on the Pebble Beach. 99 00:05:27,000 --> 00:05:29,080 Speaker 1: It's called you know, like that next strip of that 100 00:05:29,120 --> 00:05:31,599 Speaker 1: goes into the White House. I said, is this something 101 00:05:31,640 --> 00:05:33,880 Speaker 1: that the president can sign off on? Take a listen 102 00:05:33,880 --> 00:05:36,080 Speaker 1: to what she told me. I'm aware of it, and 103 00:05:36,120 --> 00:05:38,640 Speaker 1: I cannot comment on it. We'll see what the President 104 00:05:38,640 --> 00:05:41,920 Speaker 1: has to say. But I think he's made his spending 105 00:05:42,200 --> 00:05:45,440 Speaker 1: priorities are very obvious. He will always support more money 106 00:05:45,480 --> 00:05:48,440 Speaker 1: for the military, and the last two measures the President 107 00:05:48,440 --> 00:05:52,600 Speaker 1: signed into law did exactly that. She doesn't sounds like 108 00:05:52,880 --> 00:05:54,560 Speaker 1: she doesn't sound like she's got the pen out for 109 00:05:54,600 --> 00:05:57,560 Speaker 1: Trump to sign. Well, she doesn't. But the reality of 110 00:05:57,560 --> 00:05:59,159 Speaker 1: the situation is, Look, we have to go back to 111 00:05:59,160 --> 00:06:01,400 Speaker 1: the fact that don Trump is not really a conservative. 112 00:06:01,400 --> 00:06:03,880 Speaker 1: He was a Democrat for many years, and in this instance, 113 00:06:04,000 --> 00:06:07,040 Speaker 1: he's hungry for a deal UM. And I think that, yes, 114 00:06:07,040 --> 00:06:09,120 Speaker 1: the Freedom Caucus is going to continue to bark as 115 00:06:09,120 --> 00:06:11,680 Speaker 1: well most conservatives. I'd actually be curious to see what 116 00:06:11,800 --> 00:06:14,640 Speaker 1: the reaction to this is from the Heritage Foundation, because 117 00:06:14,640 --> 00:06:17,000 Speaker 1: they have been cheering on a lot of the President's policies. 118 00:06:17,040 --> 00:06:20,160 Speaker 1: But you know, on matters of fiscal conservatism, I mean, 119 00:06:20,200 --> 00:06:22,719 Speaker 1: this deal that you know apparently has been reached UM 120 00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:25,880 Speaker 1: is not considered to be fiscally conservative and slightest but 121 00:06:26,040 --> 00:06:28,520 Speaker 1: I ultimately think that the President will sign it, he 122 00:06:28,520 --> 00:06:30,599 Speaker 1: will tout it as a win, and he will likely 123 00:06:30,640 --> 00:06:34,880 Speaker 1: continue these other political fights, um simultaneously, let me get nerdy. Here, 124 00:06:35,520 --> 00:06:38,080 Speaker 1: deal or no deal. I think there's gonna be a 125 00:06:38,080 --> 00:06:42,279 Speaker 1: deal because Trump doesn't want to default on our debt. 126 00:06:42,600 --> 00:06:46,000 Speaker 1: He would view that as negative for his reelection chances. Uh. 127 00:06:46,040 --> 00:06:49,039 Speaker 1: And he doesn't care that much about fiscal responsibility. That 128 00:06:49,120 --> 00:06:52,720 Speaker 1: tax cut that they signed, uh, you know a year 129 00:06:52,760 --> 00:06:57,240 Speaker 1: or two ago, that was not good for our deficit 130 00:06:57,320 --> 00:06:59,880 Speaker 1: in our debt. Uh. And this is a guy who 131 00:07:00,040 --> 00:07:03,000 Speaker 1: a liberal Democrat, you know, twenty years ago, and only 132 00:07:03,040 --> 00:07:06,600 Speaker 1: switched to being a Republican when Barack Obama entered the scene. 133 00:07:07,080 --> 00:07:11,160 Speaker 1: And so he's not a core conservative and carrying too 134 00:07:11,240 --> 00:07:15,880 Speaker 1: much about fiscal responsibility. And the government has never had 135 00:07:15,920 --> 00:07:18,320 Speaker 1: more read ink than it as today. Yeah, so there's 136 00:07:18,320 --> 00:07:20,640 Speaker 1: a lot of market jitters in terms of watching this. 137 00:07:20,720 --> 00:07:24,000 Speaker 1: As Sahoka Poor Bloomberg News National political reporter pointed out, 138 00:07:24,680 --> 00:07:26,880 Speaker 1: I'm just going through some of these numbers. It would 139 00:07:26,920 --> 00:07:31,720 Speaker 1: be a seventeen billion dollar increase for defense, seventeen billion 140 00:07:31,760 --> 00:07:37,880 Speaker 1: dollar increase for domestic programs in twenty nineteen levels that 141 00:07:37,920 --> 00:07:41,960 Speaker 1: gives Democrats the parody. They sought for increases in both 142 00:07:42,080 --> 00:07:47,040 Speaker 1: categories of spending Sentiminarity Leader Chuck Schumer, Well, he had 143 00:07:47,080 --> 00:07:49,239 Speaker 1: this to say about it. Take a listen. We're willing 144 00:07:49,280 --> 00:07:52,080 Speaker 1: to go a good ways. But the bottom line is 145 00:07:52,120 --> 00:07:55,680 Speaker 1: the administration has to compromise as well. It seems when 146 00:07:55,800 --> 00:08:00,000 Speaker 1: Mr Mulvaney gets involved, they asked for things that are outlandish. 147 00:08:00,120 --> 00:08:02,400 Speaker 1: Well that was I mean, he's he's referencing there a 148 00:08:02,440 --> 00:08:05,480 Speaker 1: point that Lauren Zelt, co founder of Zelt Communications of 149 00:08:05,520 --> 00:08:09,160 Speaker 1: Republican Strategists, just made, which is essentially Mike mamulvady was 150 00:08:09,200 --> 00:08:11,480 Speaker 1: in the Freedom Caucus. He was one of the founders 151 00:08:11,920 --> 00:08:15,200 Speaker 1: of the Freedom Caucus. Uh and but when he was 152 00:08:15,240 --> 00:08:19,120 Speaker 1: a congressman before he has become the President's chief of staff. 153 00:08:19,200 --> 00:08:22,760 Speaker 1: Coming up, we're gonna talk more politics, more policy. Panel stays. 154 00:08:23,000 --> 00:08:26,400 Speaker 1: You can download the Sound On podcast by downloading Apple iTunes. 155 00:08:26,760 --> 00:08:28,920 Speaker 1: You can also find us on Radio dot Com, I 156 00:08:29,000 --> 00:08:33,000 Speaker 1: Heart Radio, and Spotify, or by downloading the Bloomberg Business app. 157 00:08:33,080 --> 00:08:43,120 Speaker 1: I'm Kevin CURRELLI you're listening to Bloomberg. This is Sound 158 00:08:43,160 --> 00:08:47,520 Speaker 1: On with Kevin Serrelate on Bloomberg one and one oh 159 00:08:47,559 --> 00:08:50,920 Speaker 1: five point seven F M H D two Boltimore. I'm 160 00:08:50,920 --> 00:08:55,480 Speaker 1: not gonna be watching Mueller. Uh, because you can't take 161 00:08:56,080 --> 00:08:59,560 Speaker 1: all those bites out of the apple. We had no collusion, 162 00:09:00,320 --> 00:09:04,200 Speaker 1: no obstruction. Well, I guess I guess that again continues 163 00:09:04,240 --> 00:09:06,200 Speaker 1: to talk President Trump. I guess for what it's worth, 164 00:09:06,200 --> 00:09:09,679 Speaker 1: he's not going to be watching Special Counsel Bob Muller, 165 00:09:09,720 --> 00:09:12,960 Speaker 1: who was scheduled to appear before two House Committee or 166 00:09:13,000 --> 00:09:17,240 Speaker 1: before the House Judiciary Committee and then the House Intelligence 167 00:09:17,240 --> 00:09:21,079 Speaker 1: Committee later this week. We'll be watching Mr President. We'll 168 00:09:21,120 --> 00:09:23,520 Speaker 1: be covering it live from Capitol Hill. I'm Kevin Cirelli, 169 00:09:23,559 --> 00:09:27,280 Speaker 1: Chief Washington correspondent for Bloomberg Television and Bloomberg Radio. I'm 170 00:09:27,360 --> 00:09:32,760 Speaker 1: joined by Sahil Kapoor, Bloomberg News national political correspondent, Lauren Zelt, 171 00:09:32,760 --> 00:09:37,079 Speaker 1: Republican strategist, founder of Zelt Communications, and Dan Littman. Dan Littman, 172 00:09:37,120 --> 00:09:41,199 Speaker 1: who was just promoted to White House reporter at Politico. 173 00:09:41,320 --> 00:09:44,440 Speaker 1: Congrats on that, Mr Littman. Thank you, Kevin. All Right, 174 00:09:44,480 --> 00:09:46,600 Speaker 1: So there's a lot of a lot of developments on 175 00:09:46,640 --> 00:09:50,720 Speaker 1: the trade front this week, Lauren. Uh, today in particular, 176 00:09:50,800 --> 00:09:52,840 Speaker 1: So we we started the day when I was at 177 00:09:52,840 --> 00:09:55,200 Speaker 1: the White House when we got word that they were 178 00:09:55,240 --> 00:09:59,680 Speaker 1: going to be representatives from tech companies, including Qualcom at 179 00:09:59,720 --> 00:10:04,839 Speaker 1: the White House meeting with top administration officials about what 180 00:10:05,240 --> 00:10:09,120 Speaker 1: you guessed it. Huawei. Huawei, as we all know, is 181 00:10:09,160 --> 00:10:15,600 Speaker 1: a China telecommunications giants that many in the intelligence community 182 00:10:15,640 --> 00:10:20,439 Speaker 1: have raised national security concerns, as have Democrats and Republicans 183 00:10:20,559 --> 00:10:24,000 Speaker 1: up on Capitol Hill. The President has said, and trying 184 00:10:24,040 --> 00:10:26,920 Speaker 1: to get a deal with the Chinese, that he would 185 00:10:26,960 --> 00:10:30,520 Speaker 1: be willing to allow US businesses to do business with 186 00:10:30,600 --> 00:10:37,240 Speaker 1: Huahwei provided provided the Chinese make additional agricultural purchases, i e. 187 00:10:37,400 --> 00:10:41,960 Speaker 1: Help out the farmers. Is this smart policy? You know? 188 00:10:42,040 --> 00:10:45,680 Speaker 1: From my perspective, I've been focused on the reports today 189 00:10:45,720 --> 00:10:50,480 Speaker 1: that Huahwei is involved in building telecommunications in North Korea. 190 00:10:51,080 --> 00:10:54,760 Speaker 1: I think given the President's tough stance on North Korea, 191 00:10:55,360 --> 00:10:57,280 Speaker 1: UM you know, I think you've seen a lot of 192 00:10:57,320 --> 00:11:00,319 Speaker 1: criticism of him, you know, perhaps being too close, um 193 00:11:00,320 --> 00:11:02,600 Speaker 1: you know, with that administration. But I do think he's 194 00:11:02,600 --> 00:11:04,440 Speaker 1: trying to take a hard line on North Korea. So 195 00:11:04,520 --> 00:11:07,240 Speaker 1: I think that the news out of the White House today, UM, 196 00:11:07,320 --> 00:11:11,400 Speaker 1: regarding any potential deals that would enable US businesses to 197 00:11:11,480 --> 00:11:15,960 Speaker 1: do business with Huahwei. It makes me nervous that they 198 00:11:16,120 --> 00:11:18,560 Speaker 1: are engaging with North Korea. And and this is something 199 00:11:18,600 --> 00:11:21,080 Speaker 1: that we've been that has been undern investigation since at 200 00:11:21,120 --> 00:11:23,760 Speaker 1: least twenty six teen. Sahapoor, I mean, Lauren makes such 201 00:11:23,760 --> 00:11:28,240 Speaker 1: a great, great point in terms of just how this 202 00:11:28,360 --> 00:11:34,480 Speaker 1: has raised consistent bipartisan national security concerns. But from the 203 00:11:34,480 --> 00:11:37,120 Speaker 1: White House perspective, I mean, it's not like the Europeans 204 00:11:37,280 --> 00:11:41,360 Speaker 1: are following the US lead and not doing business with Huahwei. 205 00:11:41,600 --> 00:11:44,400 Speaker 1: It's not like the Europeans are backing off. So I mean, 206 00:11:44,559 --> 00:11:49,800 Speaker 1: this is a fascinating, shifting, shifting debate. No, especially as 207 00:11:49,840 --> 00:11:52,680 Speaker 1: we try to lay the groundwork for five G technology. Yeah, 208 00:11:52,720 --> 00:11:57,120 Speaker 1: it certainly bolsters the idea of Huawei as a national 209 00:11:57,120 --> 00:12:00,400 Speaker 1: security threat, as the United States government has did determined 210 00:12:00,480 --> 00:12:03,480 Speaker 1: if the United States strategy is to isolate North Korea 211 00:12:03,600 --> 00:12:07,240 Speaker 1: until it changes its behavior, and here we have Huawei using, 212 00:12:07,800 --> 00:12:11,440 Speaker 1: you know, basically funneling resources to North Korea to help 213 00:12:11,520 --> 00:12:13,560 Speaker 1: them in this regard. So it does create a complex 214 00:12:13,559 --> 00:12:16,200 Speaker 1: situation for President Trump, who is trying to make over 215 00:12:16,280 --> 00:12:19,240 Speaker 1: trip to North Korey. He's talked about the love I'm 216 00:12:19,320 --> 00:12:22,240 Speaker 1: literally quoting here the love that he and Kim jongn 217 00:12:22,280 --> 00:12:25,320 Speaker 1: have shared. Um it creates it creates a bit of 218 00:12:25,320 --> 00:12:27,360 Speaker 1: a dilemma here. How hard does he push on Huawei? 219 00:12:27,400 --> 00:12:30,640 Speaker 1: What are the consequences there with China? And if he doesn't, 220 00:12:31,000 --> 00:12:33,160 Speaker 1: what does that mean for for his strategy with North Korea? 221 00:12:33,160 --> 00:12:35,760 Speaker 1: I mean, qua when I interviewed Senator Rubio the other week, 222 00:12:35,800 --> 00:12:38,839 Speaker 1: I mean, Huawei was making a play for Venezuela. Take 223 00:12:38,880 --> 00:12:40,680 Speaker 1: a listen to what President Trump had to say about 224 00:12:40,720 --> 00:12:42,959 Speaker 1: all this. He says, it's about five G technology here 225 00:12:43,120 --> 00:12:47,000 Speaker 1: is I know all about it. I know all about Huahwei. 226 00:12:47,200 --> 00:12:50,640 Speaker 1: I know all about five G, and we're working on it. 227 00:12:50,679 --> 00:12:52,800 Speaker 1: And we have companies that are now getting very very 228 00:12:52,800 --> 00:12:55,439 Speaker 1: strong in that department, and we're gonna have five G. 229 00:12:55,559 --> 00:12:57,160 Speaker 1: We're gonna have the best five G in the world, 230 00:12:57,240 --> 00:12:59,880 Speaker 1: just like we have everything else are Silico and Silica 231 00:13:00,080 --> 00:13:04,360 Speaker 1: Valley cannot be competed with Silical Valley. Is is in 232 00:13:04,400 --> 00:13:08,720 Speaker 1: a tough spot here, though, saw Hill, because they've got 233 00:13:08,720 --> 00:13:11,920 Speaker 1: to they've got to navigate number one, the Trump White 234 00:13:11,960 --> 00:13:16,120 Speaker 1: House and the Trump tweets number two, but also laying 235 00:13:16,120 --> 00:13:18,000 Speaker 1: the groundwork for five G. I mean, that's what this 236 00:13:18,080 --> 00:13:20,480 Speaker 1: is about. It's who's going to have the upper hand 237 00:13:20,800 --> 00:13:23,720 Speaker 1: when it comes to five G technology? And do you 238 00:13:23,760 --> 00:13:26,320 Speaker 1: work with Huawei? Do you? I mean all out We 239 00:13:26,360 --> 00:13:29,120 Speaker 1: all know what Google ran into with China, so they're 240 00:13:29,160 --> 00:13:31,920 Speaker 1: in a really tough spot. Yeah. I think it's consistently 241 00:13:31,960 --> 00:13:34,280 Speaker 1: a challenge for Silicon Valley to try to predict this 242 00:13:34,320 --> 00:13:36,600 Speaker 1: White House. I think it's consistently a challenge for various 243 00:13:36,600 --> 00:13:39,079 Speaker 1: sectors of the economy, as I think we're seeing in 244 00:13:39,400 --> 00:13:41,880 Speaker 1: many in many facets of the Washington debate, including the 245 00:13:41,920 --> 00:13:45,800 Speaker 1: debt limit, including um, the president's policy with technology, including 246 00:13:45,840 --> 00:13:48,240 Speaker 1: his kind of back and forth with social media companies. 247 00:13:48,240 --> 00:13:52,640 Speaker 1: He's he's hit on this thread of them being biased 248 00:13:52,800 --> 00:13:57,000 Speaker 1: towards his political movement towards conservatives. Debatable to say the least, 249 00:13:57,040 --> 00:14:00,280 Speaker 1: but um, you know, that's kind of his approach. It's 250 00:14:00,280 --> 00:14:03,040 Speaker 1: it's a new layer in these challenges that's Alicon Valley 251 00:14:03,040 --> 00:14:04,880 Speaker 1: has to face with the White House. The the U 252 00:14:05,000 --> 00:14:08,960 Speaker 1: S perspective that their their concerns with Huawei are are 253 00:14:09,040 --> 00:14:11,400 Speaker 1: well documented. It dates all the way back, I believe, 254 00:14:12,320 --> 00:14:16,120 Speaker 1: or twenty eleven, even in the Obama administration, that they've 255 00:14:16,160 --> 00:14:19,560 Speaker 1: they've sought for restructuring of Huawei's corporate governance. They've sought 256 00:14:19,680 --> 00:14:24,320 Speaker 1: for more transparency at the company. Uh, they've alleged essentially 257 00:14:24,400 --> 00:14:28,000 Speaker 1: that this is a China state run operation. But this 258 00:14:28,080 --> 00:14:31,760 Speaker 1: is really in the five g fight. I mean, this 259 00:14:31,840 --> 00:14:36,000 Speaker 1: is reality now, Lauren, because they've got to decide if 260 00:14:36,000 --> 00:14:38,760 Speaker 1: you don't do business with Huawei. I mean there's significant risk, 261 00:14:38,880 --> 00:14:41,320 Speaker 1: especially if Europe is and especially if emerging markets. I 262 00:14:41,360 --> 00:14:43,040 Speaker 1: don't know if I can call North Korea an emerging 263 00:14:43,080 --> 00:14:46,840 Speaker 1: market yet, but I mean they're they're trying to penetrate 264 00:14:47,040 --> 00:14:50,200 Speaker 1: those areas, sir, well, you know, as any corporation does. 265 00:14:50,240 --> 00:14:52,320 Speaker 1: They're trying to expand their business as much as they can. 266 00:14:52,520 --> 00:14:56,080 Speaker 1: I mean, I just think that the idea of engaging 267 00:14:56,480 --> 00:14:59,440 Speaker 1: on something as important as five g um, you know, 268 00:14:59,560 --> 00:15:02,560 Speaker 1: with a company like Quahwei, given these you know, pretty 269 00:15:02,560 --> 00:15:05,720 Speaker 1: significant national security concerns. I mean, all I've been thinking 270 00:15:05,760 --> 00:15:07,560 Speaker 1: in the back of my head is America First, and 271 00:15:07,600 --> 00:15:09,560 Speaker 1: this just doesn't seem like a very much America first 272 00:15:09,560 --> 00:15:13,600 Speaker 1: policy to me. And I just you know, I'm not 273 00:15:13,640 --> 00:15:16,240 Speaker 1: a Silicon Valley expert, but I think that the president 274 00:15:16,280 --> 00:15:19,680 Speaker 1: needs to tread lightfully here, or tread lately politically, because 275 00:15:19,760 --> 00:15:21,880 Speaker 1: I think that there is a lot of potential for 276 00:15:21,960 --> 00:15:25,320 Speaker 1: danger here, especially as we learn more about their dealings 277 00:15:25,320 --> 00:15:27,680 Speaker 1: with North Korea. What are what's Senator around? Paul thinks, 278 00:15:27,680 --> 00:15:32,120 Speaker 1: since he's essentially the co State Department Secretary of State. 279 00:15:32,120 --> 00:15:34,440 Speaker 1: All right, coming up, we're gonna talk politics. Get this. 280 00:15:34,520 --> 00:15:40,120 Speaker 1: We've got the national co chair of Bernie Sanders presidential campaign, 281 00:15:40,240 --> 00:15:43,600 Speaker 1: Nina Turner, calls in. We'll ask her about, well, how 282 00:15:43,600 --> 00:15:45,440 Speaker 1: are they going to pay for all this stuff? Coming 283 00:15:45,520 --> 00:15:48,160 Speaker 1: up only on sound On. You can download the sound 284 00:15:48,200 --> 00:15:51,200 Speaker 1: On podcast on Apple iTunes by downloading the Bloomberg Business app, 285 00:15:51,360 --> 00:15:54,600 Speaker 1: or by checking us out on radio dot com, I 286 00:15:54,720 --> 00:15:58,280 Speaker 1: Heart Radio, and Spotify. Panel stays, I'm Kevin Cirelli. You're 287 00:15:58,320 --> 00:16:08,480 Speaker 1: listening to Bloomberg nine one. This is sound On with 288 00:16:08,560 --> 00:16:12,800 Speaker 1: Kevin's relate on Bloomberg one and one oh five point 289 00:16:12,840 --> 00:16:16,360 Speaker 1: seven f M h D two, Baltimore. I'm Kevin Curreli, 290 00:16:16,480 --> 00:16:21,560 Speaker 1: Chief Washington correspondent from Bloomberg Television and Bloomberg Radio. We 291 00:16:21,640 --> 00:16:24,800 Speaker 1: are waiting to get Nina Turner on the line. She's 292 00:16:24,920 --> 00:16:29,280 Speaker 1: national co chair of the Bernie Sanders presidential campaign. We're 293 00:16:29,280 --> 00:16:33,920 Speaker 1: gonna ask her all about the upcoming Democratic presidential debate. 294 00:16:33,960 --> 00:16:37,080 Speaker 1: Sho coopors here while we wait for Nina sapor Is 295 00:16:37,080 --> 00:16:41,560 Speaker 1: Bloomberg News national political correspondent, as is Daniel Lettman. He 296 00:16:41,720 --> 00:16:44,080 Speaker 1: is covers all things the White House for Politico and 297 00:16:44,160 --> 00:16:49,680 Speaker 1: Laurens Out, Republican strategist co founder of ZELT Communication style. 298 00:16:50,240 --> 00:16:54,240 Speaker 1: What are you looking for the Sanders campaign to do 299 00:16:54,440 --> 00:16:57,840 Speaker 1: to differentiate themselves from Elizabeth Warren? Well, this is a 300 00:16:57,920 --> 00:17:01,680 Speaker 1: complex question for Bernie sander Is because going after her. 301 00:17:01,680 --> 00:17:03,520 Speaker 1: Attacking Elizabeth Warren is not going to be a good 302 00:17:03,560 --> 00:17:06,320 Speaker 1: look for him. They the two mostly agree on the issues. 303 00:17:06,359 --> 00:17:09,040 Speaker 1: The debate could be the first night of the debate 304 00:17:09,080 --> 00:17:11,040 Speaker 1: could be a love fest between those two. Because I 305 00:17:11,119 --> 00:17:14,040 Speaker 1: especially don't see any incentive for Elizabeth Warren, who has 306 00:17:14,040 --> 00:17:16,600 Speaker 1: been rising in the polls chipping away at Bernie Center support, 307 00:17:16,840 --> 00:17:18,520 Speaker 1: to go after him. But what's he going to do? 308 00:17:18,560 --> 00:17:20,960 Speaker 1: I suspect what he's going to do. Kevin Is point 309 00:17:20,960 --> 00:17:24,000 Speaker 1: out that he has been offering the same message for decades. 310 00:17:24,040 --> 00:17:26,439 Speaker 1: He has been talking about the need to raise the minimum, 311 00:17:26,480 --> 00:17:29,520 Speaker 1: ways they need to expand the safety net, um, the 312 00:17:29,640 --> 00:17:32,720 Speaker 1: need to change the structure of politics so money has 313 00:17:32,800 --> 00:17:34,480 Speaker 1: less of an influence for a long time, and the 314 00:17:34,480 --> 00:17:37,520 Speaker 1: Democratic Party has caught up with him. The first night 315 00:17:37,520 --> 00:17:39,240 Speaker 1: of the debate is going to be a battle for 316 00:17:39,400 --> 00:17:42,119 Speaker 1: the progressive lane. The second night of the debate Kamala 317 00:17:42,160 --> 00:17:45,520 Speaker 1: Harris versus Joe Biden, the rematch, the rematch, the rematch, 318 00:17:45,560 --> 00:17:47,200 Speaker 1: more than anything else, that's going to be a battle 319 00:17:47,240 --> 00:17:50,159 Speaker 1: for the black vote, which has been utterly essential to 320 00:17:50,240 --> 00:17:53,880 Speaker 1: the last five open contested Democrat You know, again, Saho, 321 00:17:54,080 --> 00:17:57,159 Speaker 1: you know, a huge fan of Sah. Just gonna say that. 322 00:17:57,200 --> 00:17:59,520 Speaker 1: But I kind of disagree with him because here's where 323 00:17:59,560 --> 00:18:01,359 Speaker 1: I disagree, lawd, because I don't think it's just about 324 00:18:01,359 --> 00:18:04,560 Speaker 1: the African American but I think it's like Joe Biden 325 00:18:04,560 --> 00:18:07,160 Speaker 1: has to show that he can fight, right. I mean, 326 00:18:07,240 --> 00:18:10,160 Speaker 1: he's got a lot of US political watchers and again 327 00:18:10,200 --> 00:18:12,159 Speaker 1: most of the country hasn't plugged did But would you 328 00:18:12,200 --> 00:18:14,320 Speaker 1: agree that he's got to show that. You know, he 329 00:18:14,400 --> 00:18:17,280 Speaker 1: gave that interview on Morning Joe where he's like, come on, man, 330 00:18:17,359 --> 00:18:19,159 Speaker 1: I can fight. Well, like he's got a show that 331 00:18:19,200 --> 00:18:21,439 Speaker 1: he can throw a political punch, no doubt he cannot 332 00:18:21,480 --> 00:18:25,040 Speaker 1: stumble again. And I don't disagree with your point at all. Um. 333 00:18:25,080 --> 00:18:27,320 Speaker 1: My theory is in terms of constituency. What is the 334 00:18:27,359 --> 00:18:29,159 Speaker 1: strongest one that that they're going after, And I think 335 00:18:29,160 --> 00:18:31,679 Speaker 1: it's African American voters. But you're right, Joe Biden cannot 336 00:18:31,880 --> 00:18:35,080 Speaker 1: have another moment like that where still number one. He 337 00:18:35,160 --> 00:18:38,159 Speaker 1: is still number one and pretty much consistently. So he 338 00:18:38,200 --> 00:18:40,680 Speaker 1: has lost some He has lost some points since the 339 00:18:40,680 --> 00:18:43,840 Speaker 1: first debate, and Harris has clearly risen since the first debate. 340 00:18:44,119 --> 00:18:46,520 Speaker 1: But Biden has to show that that he can take 341 00:18:46,520 --> 00:18:49,000 Speaker 1: a punch, that he can counter, and that he won't 342 00:18:49,040 --> 00:18:51,840 Speaker 1: be caught like last time, failing to show some empathy 343 00:18:51,880 --> 00:18:55,440 Speaker 1: when Kamala Harris launches a personal scathing attack. Larsa and 344 00:18:55,480 --> 00:18:57,080 Speaker 1: I were talking to the break and Litman, I know 345 00:18:57,160 --> 00:18:59,720 Speaker 1: you got you heard this, but I don't. I don't 346 00:18:59,720 --> 00:19:03,240 Speaker 1: think that anyone expects for Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders 347 00:19:03,280 --> 00:19:06,520 Speaker 1: to go like politically nuclear against one another the first 348 00:19:06,600 --> 00:19:08,800 Speaker 1: night of the debate. But the Warrant campaign has been 349 00:19:08,840 --> 00:19:13,720 Speaker 1: doing slow and steady marathon, not a sprint on the prize, 350 00:19:14,000 --> 00:19:16,280 Speaker 1: and she really hasn't dipped or gone up. She's just 351 00:19:16,400 --> 00:19:18,800 Speaker 1: hovered in the top tier candidates. So I don't think 352 00:19:18,840 --> 00:19:21,080 Speaker 1: she's really gonna go after anyone but John Delaney is 353 00:19:21,119 --> 00:19:23,879 Speaker 1: on that stage, and I know everyone's counting him out. 354 00:19:24,200 --> 00:19:27,119 Speaker 1: But John Delaney, just because he needs to have a 355 00:19:27,119 --> 00:19:31,080 Speaker 1: breakout moment, I think he will definitely try to contrast 356 00:19:31,160 --> 00:19:34,640 Speaker 1: himself aggressively against someone like a Sanders or a Warren. Yeah, 357 00:19:34,680 --> 00:19:37,199 Speaker 1: I mean, I think that's absolutely possible, especially on the 358 00:19:37,200 --> 00:19:39,960 Speaker 1: heels of reports um that some of his own staff 359 00:19:40,040 --> 00:19:42,320 Speaker 1: has asked him to drop out of the race. He 360 00:19:42,359 --> 00:19:44,480 Speaker 1: needs to do. He needs to have a breakout moment. 361 00:19:44,480 --> 00:19:46,600 Speaker 1: You're right, but you know, I think that you're also 362 00:19:46,680 --> 00:19:49,159 Speaker 1: right to Kevin and that it's a little bit early 363 00:19:49,320 --> 00:19:52,879 Speaker 1: for Bernie and Elizabeth Warren to go at each other's throats, 364 00:19:52,880 --> 00:19:54,720 Speaker 1: but at some point they're going to have to because 365 00:19:54,720 --> 00:19:58,240 Speaker 1: they essentially share the same lane in terms of their message. 366 00:19:58,240 --> 00:20:01,480 Speaker 1: And she's saying it's I can hear the Warren crowd 367 00:20:01,520 --> 00:20:03,840 Speaker 1: just totally grimacing for what I'm about to say. But 368 00:20:03,880 --> 00:20:06,840 Speaker 1: this is what I think she's playing the Ted Cruise playbook, 369 00:20:06,840 --> 00:20:09,760 Speaker 1: which is, you know, I'm electable. I'm the liberal who's electable. 370 00:20:09,840 --> 00:20:12,480 Speaker 1: Cruiz said that she that's her argument. I mean, I see, 371 00:20:12,760 --> 00:20:15,359 Speaker 1: but Cruise campaign said, I'm the conservative that's electable. If 372 00:20:15,359 --> 00:20:18,440 Speaker 1: you don't want Trump vote Cruz. Remember that, and now 373 00:20:18,520 --> 00:20:21,159 Speaker 1: she's going to say, if you don't want, you know, 374 00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:24,280 Speaker 1: win with Warren is there is their slogan. Sure, and 375 00:20:24,320 --> 00:20:27,400 Speaker 1: you're absolutely right Ted Ted Cruise did do that in work. 376 00:20:27,480 --> 00:20:30,760 Speaker 1: I'm not saying I know, I'm just a reporter. I mean, 377 00:20:30,920 --> 00:20:33,600 Speaker 1: it was very funny to watch a lot of Conservatives 378 00:20:33,600 --> 00:20:37,480 Speaker 1: and Republicans find themselves cheering for Ted Cruz. Um, you know, 379 00:20:37,600 --> 00:20:41,680 Speaker 1: towards the end of the primary. I found it ironic 380 00:20:41,720 --> 00:20:44,840 Speaker 1: because it was very ironic. Yeah, but I just I 381 00:20:44,880 --> 00:20:47,959 Speaker 1: don't I don't think Elizabeth Warren is electable. She's just 382 00:20:48,160 --> 00:20:52,280 Speaker 1: entirely too far to the left. Moderate Republicans and independence 383 00:20:52,440 --> 00:20:54,000 Speaker 1: I don't think are going to go for her just 384 00:20:54,080 --> 00:20:58,399 Speaker 1: because of how far left she is the one teaching. 385 00:20:58,520 --> 00:21:03,480 Speaker 1: The biggest difference between the Republican primary and the Democratic 386 00:21:04,160 --> 00:21:07,520 Speaker 1: primary in terms of strategy is that the Democrats who 387 00:21:07,560 --> 00:21:10,320 Speaker 1: matter are going after the front runner. The Republicans didn't 388 00:21:10,400 --> 00:21:12,879 Speaker 1: lay a finger on the front runner, Donald Trump until 389 00:21:12,920 --> 00:21:15,320 Speaker 1: maybe January or so, and that was Ted Cruz. And 390 00:21:15,440 --> 00:21:18,000 Speaker 1: Rubio loses South Carolina and suddenly discovers that he has 391 00:21:18,000 --> 00:21:20,080 Speaker 1: to go after Donald Trump because he's a front runner. 392 00:21:20,280 --> 00:21:22,560 Speaker 1: This time, you had Kamala Harris go after Joe Biden 393 00:21:22,560 --> 00:21:26,040 Speaker 1: in the first debate. It's a big difference, and it 394 00:21:26,080 --> 00:21:28,919 Speaker 1: took aim at at Joe Biden, uh shortly after he 395 00:21:29,040 --> 00:21:34,200 Speaker 1: launched with talking about the bankruptcy bill and five go ahead. Well, 396 00:21:34,240 --> 00:21:36,719 Speaker 1: I think there's a lot of democratic competives. If if 397 00:21:36,720 --> 00:21:40,080 Speaker 1: you talk to them, they will say that they used 398 00:21:40,119 --> 00:21:43,040 Speaker 1: to be against Warren and now that she you know 399 00:21:43,080 --> 00:21:46,080 Speaker 1: that she's won them over. That's what I hear that 400 00:21:46,200 --> 00:21:50,640 Speaker 1: you uh when you talk to them. Uh, they say, well, 401 00:21:50,720 --> 00:21:54,240 Speaker 1: she was unelectable before, but she's become a much better candidate. Uh, 402 00:21:54,280 --> 00:21:56,960 Speaker 1: and she is better on the stump, and it's more 403 00:21:57,040 --> 00:22:00,119 Speaker 1: charismatic and could actually win over the country if she 404 00:22:00,240 --> 00:22:04,680 Speaker 1: gets that national platform of a nomination. And so they 405 00:22:04,680 --> 00:22:08,120 Speaker 1: are not they are still skeptical that Sanders could win 406 00:22:08,400 --> 00:22:11,320 Speaker 1: a general elections since he is kind of an avowed socialist, 407 00:22:11,840 --> 00:22:15,680 Speaker 1: but it's it's harder to accuse Warren of being a socialist. 408 00:22:15,680 --> 00:22:18,600 Speaker 1: She's more of a let's fix the system. Of course 409 00:22:18,640 --> 00:22:21,760 Speaker 1: they're gonna be radical fixes and major changes, but she's 410 00:22:21,840 --> 00:22:24,200 Speaker 1: not a tear down this house. She was a professor 411 00:22:24,240 --> 00:22:26,920 Speaker 1: at Harvard Law school, so it's not like she's out 412 00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:30,359 Speaker 1: of the total mainstream. Well, a lot of the financial crowd. 413 00:22:30,760 --> 00:22:32,879 Speaker 1: Last week when we were talking about the reinstatement of 414 00:22:32,920 --> 00:22:36,160 Speaker 1: Glass Stiegel, my phone was blowing up because they were 415 00:22:36,200 --> 00:22:38,320 Speaker 1: like last Steagel. I mean, like, if you ever want 416 00:22:38,320 --> 00:22:40,959 Speaker 1: to see some bankers get nervous, just mentioned two words, 417 00:22:41,000 --> 00:22:44,320 Speaker 1: Glass and Stiegel coming up. We're gonna talk more about politics. 418 00:22:44,320 --> 00:22:46,320 Speaker 1: Hopefully we can get Nina Turner on the line from 419 00:22:46,320 --> 00:22:49,320 Speaker 1: the Sanders campaign. I'll ask her about Glass Stiegel. If not, 420 00:22:49,359 --> 00:22:52,840 Speaker 1: we're gonna talk more policy and politics. Panel stays. Download 421 00:22:52,880 --> 00:22:56,480 Speaker 1: the Sound On podcast by downloading Apple iTunes, by downloading 422 00:22:56,480 --> 00:22:59,080 Speaker 1: the Bloomberg Business app. Check us out on radio dot Com, 423 00:22:59,119 --> 00:23:02,320 Speaker 1: I Heart Radio, and Spotify. I'm Kevin Crelli. You're listening 424 00:23:02,320 --> 00:23:09,520 Speaker 1: to Bloomberg. You're listening to Sound On with Kevin Serelli 425 00:23:09,880 --> 00:23:13,520 Speaker 1: on Bloomberg and one oh five point seven of m 426 00:23:13,640 --> 00:23:16,560 Speaker 1: h D two Botimore. If they want to make a deal, 427 00:23:17,240 --> 00:23:20,040 Speaker 1: it's it's frankly, it's getting harder for me to want 428 00:23:20,080 --> 00:23:22,760 Speaker 1: to make a deal with the run because they behave 429 00:23:22,880 --> 00:23:28,720 Speaker 1: very badly. That was President Trump speaking earlier today. Uncertainty 430 00:23:28,760 --> 00:23:31,359 Speaker 1: whether or not he will get a deal with Iran. 431 00:23:32,119 --> 00:23:35,440 Speaker 1: This is Iran has locked in a worsening political standoff 432 00:23:35,480 --> 00:23:39,240 Speaker 1: with Western powers. They've they've handed down death sentences to 433 00:23:39,359 --> 00:23:42,359 Speaker 1: several nationals who they're accusing of being part of the 434 00:23:42,400 --> 00:23:46,199 Speaker 1: c I A uh. That, of course is something that 435 00:23:46,240 --> 00:23:50,520 Speaker 1: the US is totally denying. President Trump tweeting out earlier 436 00:23:50,560 --> 00:23:53,520 Speaker 1: today that that is quote unquote totally false and breaking news. 437 00:23:53,840 --> 00:23:57,520 Speaker 1: Breaking news tonight, the president did get a deal with Congress. 438 00:23:57,720 --> 00:24:01,000 Speaker 1: President Trump just tweeting out within the last minute, quote, 439 00:24:01,000 --> 00:24:02,959 Speaker 1: I am pleased to announce that a deal has been 440 00:24:03,000 --> 00:24:06,360 Speaker 1: struck with Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, Senate Minority Leader 441 00:24:06,440 --> 00:24:08,959 Speaker 1: Chuck Schumer, Speaker of the House Pelosi, and House Seminarity 442 00:24:09,080 --> 00:24:13,040 Speaker 1: Leader Kevin McCarthy on a two year budget and debt 443 00:24:13,320 --> 00:24:16,719 Speaker 1: ceiling with no poison bills. This was a real compromise 444 00:24:17,119 --> 00:24:20,240 Speaker 1: in order to give another big victory to our great 445 00:24:20,720 --> 00:24:24,720 Speaker 1: military and vets and quote the President tweeting an out 446 00:24:24,840 --> 00:24:28,199 Speaker 1: redhead on the Bloomberg terminal, Trump says, lawmakers have reached 447 00:24:28,200 --> 00:24:32,479 Speaker 1: deal on debt limit suspension, and we've got an all 448 00:24:32,520 --> 00:24:36,320 Speaker 1: star panel to dive into this. Lawn Zelt Republican strategist, 449 00:24:36,320 --> 00:24:40,240 Speaker 1: founder of ZELPT Communications, Daniel Lippman, white House reporter reporter 450 00:24:40,320 --> 00:24:44,240 Speaker 1: at Politico, and saw Hill Kapoor, who has Bloomberg News 451 00:24:44,640 --> 00:24:48,160 Speaker 1: national political correspondent. They got a deal style and now 452 00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:49,760 Speaker 1: we'll see if it has the votes to pass. Do 453 00:24:49,760 --> 00:24:51,919 Speaker 1: you think it does at this point? I think the 454 00:24:51,960 --> 00:24:55,359 Speaker 1: president's tweets helped. Tweeting helps get Republican support. They were 455 00:24:55,400 --> 00:24:57,600 Speaker 1: bleeding a little bit on the right with conservatives. Some 456 00:24:57,640 --> 00:24:59,719 Speaker 1: of them said the spending cuts or the spending increases 457 00:24:59,760 --> 00:25:02,280 Speaker 1: are too much, not enough of them are offset. But 458 00:25:02,320 --> 00:25:04,800 Speaker 1: you have a Trump tweet endorsing something, and every Republican 459 00:25:04,880 --> 00:25:06,840 Speaker 1: is going to think twice about coming out against it, 460 00:25:07,080 --> 00:25:12,640 Speaker 1: go on vacation law or debate the death I mean, 461 00:25:12,760 --> 00:25:15,520 Speaker 1: they can hear the lawmakers being like, please just schedule 462 00:25:15,640 --> 00:25:18,800 Speaker 1: this vote. I think it's no coincidence that we're here 463 00:25:18,840 --> 00:25:22,040 Speaker 1: at the end of July, August recesses on the horizon. 464 00:25:22,080 --> 00:25:24,639 Speaker 1: But no, I think some hills right. Any time the 465 00:25:24,680 --> 00:25:28,160 Speaker 1: president puts his full weight behind something, it puts Republicans, 466 00:25:28,320 --> 00:25:31,280 Speaker 1: especially those from you know, re read states or districts. 467 00:25:31,840 --> 00:25:34,719 Speaker 1: It puts them in a pickle, even if they're fiscally conservative. 468 00:25:35,359 --> 00:25:37,920 Speaker 1: It's going against the President, and he's when he's coming 469 00:25:38,000 --> 00:25:41,480 Speaker 1: out strongly for something like this deal is very difficult, 470 00:25:41,520 --> 00:25:43,320 Speaker 1: and if they go against it, they're probably going to 471 00:25:43,359 --> 00:25:46,480 Speaker 1: hear from their constituents back home. So, whether it's fiscally 472 00:25:46,600 --> 00:25:49,840 Speaker 1: conservative or not, I think the President backing it strongly 473 00:25:49,880 --> 00:25:52,920 Speaker 1: means that it likely will passed. Game set match. I agree, 474 00:25:52,960 --> 00:25:55,280 Speaker 1: I don't. I don't see how. I don't see how 475 00:25:55,280 --> 00:25:57,120 Speaker 1: they don't get a deal litment. But it would also 476 00:25:57,200 --> 00:25:59,960 Speaker 1: suggest that in the middle of what I would say 477 00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:04,960 Speaker 1: is one of the most heated rhetorical weeks in American politics, 478 00:26:05,240 --> 00:26:09,639 Speaker 1: where the President has used racial rhetoric to attack for 479 00:26:09,840 --> 00:26:13,280 Speaker 1: freshman congresswomen, and there's the back and forth, the political 480 00:26:13,320 --> 00:26:15,640 Speaker 1: ping pong, back and forth, back and forth that we've 481 00:26:15,680 --> 00:26:18,880 Speaker 1: seen that even continue today, where the President tweeted out 482 00:26:18,960 --> 00:26:22,679 Speaker 1: that Congresswoman Alexandria Accacio Cortez and the other members of 483 00:26:22,720 --> 00:26:26,560 Speaker 1: the so called squad as they called themselves, that that 484 00:26:27,080 --> 00:26:31,719 Speaker 1: is didn't really matter Speaker Pelosi, President Trump, they were 485 00:26:31,760 --> 00:26:34,399 Speaker 1: able to hammer out a two year deal. Yeah. I 486 00:26:34,400 --> 00:26:38,640 Speaker 1: think a lot of people have been resolved to try 487 00:26:38,680 --> 00:26:41,120 Speaker 1: to get business done for the American people instead of 488 00:26:42,160 --> 00:26:45,760 Speaker 1: worry about Trump's attacks. He's always going to attack his 489 00:26:45,960 --> 00:26:49,920 Speaker 1: political enemies and his you know, his cabinet members will 490 00:26:49,960 --> 00:26:53,840 Speaker 1: attack they're people who are against them to like Wilbur 491 00:26:53,960 --> 00:26:58,080 Speaker 1: Ross did with my story today, that story pretty much 492 00:26:58,119 --> 00:27:00,560 Speaker 1: said that no one I mean, and actually I know 493 00:27:00,600 --> 00:27:02,840 Speaker 1: a lot of people who like Commerce Secretary Wilbert Ross, 494 00:27:02,880 --> 00:27:05,520 Speaker 1: but no one. Yeah, no, no one's saying that, uh, 495 00:27:05,640 --> 00:27:08,359 Speaker 1: you know, he's a bad guy or that he's unlikable. 496 00:27:08,400 --> 00:27:12,280 Speaker 1: It's I guess just my story revealed is that Commerce's 497 00:27:12,480 --> 00:27:16,879 Speaker 1: rudderless and that he is focused too much on winning 498 00:27:16,920 --> 00:27:19,080 Speaker 1: favorite at the White House with Trump and keeping his 499 00:27:19,160 --> 00:27:23,440 Speaker 1: job then actually talking to employees or even holding staff meetings. 500 00:27:24,040 --> 00:27:27,000 Speaker 1: And there's worries that uh, you know, help fall asleep 501 00:27:27,080 --> 00:27:30,720 Speaker 1: and so any wish he's done in multiple meetings over 502 00:27:30,840 --> 00:27:34,480 Speaker 1: his tenure. And so they were pretty angry about that story. 503 00:27:34,520 --> 00:27:36,600 Speaker 1: If you read the tweet, well, she I mean, but 504 00:27:36,600 --> 00:27:39,400 Speaker 1: but but as you move forward, though, Lauren, in terms 505 00:27:39,440 --> 00:27:42,560 Speaker 1: of again this breaking news just happening within the last 506 00:27:42,600 --> 00:27:44,960 Speaker 1: five minutes that President Trump tweeting out that they have 507 00:27:45,080 --> 00:27:49,880 Speaker 1: reached a deal with lawmakers for a two year budget 508 00:27:49,920 --> 00:27:53,959 Speaker 1: and debt ceiling deal to raise the debt limit. This, 509 00:27:54,040 --> 00:27:57,000 Speaker 1: of course, has been something that Republicans have said they 510 00:27:57,040 --> 00:28:01,320 Speaker 1: don't want to do. Hardliner Republicans, Freedom Caucus, ultra conservative Republicans. 511 00:28:01,359 --> 00:28:03,360 Speaker 1: And then I interviewed some Democrats who are like, get 512 00:28:03,440 --> 00:28:05,720 Speaker 1: rid of the debt limit altogether. And I'm like, well, 513 00:28:05,720 --> 00:28:08,840 Speaker 1: then there's that debate that rages on. But here we 514 00:28:08,880 --> 00:28:11,280 Speaker 1: are a two year deal. So I guess the next 515 00:28:11,280 --> 00:28:14,280 Speaker 1: time we'll do this will be after oh my god, 516 00:28:15,359 --> 00:28:18,159 Speaker 1: oh my gosh, you guys, And we didn't even the 517 00:28:18,280 --> 00:28:23,440 Speaker 1: last debt ceiling fight. We get before the election. Debt 518 00:28:23,440 --> 00:28:26,000 Speaker 1: ceiling fights. Now it's just good or bad for the 519 00:28:26,119 --> 00:28:28,040 Speaker 1: for for I mean, it's great for the I mean 520 00:28:28,080 --> 00:28:30,720 Speaker 1: I think it's a good thing for the credit, right, 521 00:28:31,440 --> 00:28:35,920 Speaker 1: I think, Kevin, this was the bolden opportunity for Congress 522 00:28:35,960 --> 00:28:37,880 Speaker 1: to abolish the debt limit. The only way it would 523 00:28:37,880 --> 00:28:40,360 Speaker 1: happen is under a Republican president. You know, Republicans would 524 00:28:40,400 --> 00:28:43,680 Speaker 1: never allow that under a Democratic president. Um and the 525 00:28:43,680 --> 00:28:46,040 Speaker 1: fact that House Democrats view this as a headache and 526 00:28:46,080 --> 00:28:48,200 Speaker 1: a nuisance and they're not gonna want to take it hostage. 527 00:28:48,240 --> 00:28:52,120 Speaker 1: The way House Republicans led by it, led by someone 528 00:28:52,160 --> 00:28:55,360 Speaker 1: including mcmulvaney, now the White House Chief of stopped ironically 529 00:28:55,480 --> 00:28:58,920 Speaker 1: did inn but they didn't do that. It looks like 530 00:28:58,920 --> 00:29:00,960 Speaker 1: there's a cohort of center as Democrats in the House 531 00:29:00,960 --> 00:29:03,680 Speaker 1: that genuinely does care about the deficit through Republican and 532 00:29:03,760 --> 00:29:08,840 Speaker 1: Democratic presidencies, which has not been the case for everybody else. Lauren, Yeah, 533 00:29:08,920 --> 00:29:10,400 Speaker 1: you know, I mean, I just think the timing is 534 00:29:10,520 --> 00:29:13,280 Speaker 1: very interesting, you know, obviously kicking it until after the election, 535 00:29:13,440 --> 00:29:17,280 Speaker 1: but you're right, Republicans wouldn't have let that happen under 536 00:29:17,320 --> 00:29:20,160 Speaker 1: a democratic administration. But I do think you'll have a 537 00:29:20,200 --> 00:29:22,560 Speaker 1: lot of fiscal conservatives upset with this. I think they'll 538 00:29:22,560 --> 00:29:24,720 Speaker 1: probably vote against it, but ultimately I think it will 539 00:29:24,760 --> 00:29:28,040 Speaker 1: pass because Republicans will be reticent to disagree with the President. 540 00:29:28,200 --> 00:29:30,400 Speaker 1: So I'm just fascinated by all of this because again, 541 00:29:30,440 --> 00:29:34,160 Speaker 1: the backdrop is the President sparring an aggressive rhetoric against 542 00:29:34,160 --> 00:29:38,120 Speaker 1: four freshman congresswomen, in rhetoric that I would argue, we 543 00:29:38,200 --> 00:29:42,600 Speaker 1: have not seen and really ever in this administration. And here, 544 00:29:42,920 --> 00:29:45,520 Speaker 1: you know, even Kelly and Conway, when she was speaking 545 00:29:45,520 --> 00:29:48,600 Speaker 1: at the White House earlier today, going on the offensive, 546 00:29:48,800 --> 00:29:53,680 Speaker 1: doubling down and that criticism continuing to draw those political attacks. 547 00:29:53,760 --> 00:29:58,280 Speaker 1: President Trump tweeting out this morning that this was that 548 00:29:58,280 --> 00:30:01,440 Speaker 1: that they calling them racists. Um, you know, we all 549 00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:05,239 Speaker 1: remember last week where Speaker Pelosi had that vote on 550 00:30:05,320 --> 00:30:08,239 Speaker 1: the House floor condemning this. But in the middle of 551 00:30:08,360 --> 00:30:10,959 Speaker 1: all of that, I mean, this is huge. In the 552 00:30:11,000 --> 00:30:13,959 Speaker 1: middle of all of that, Speaker Pelosi was working the 553 00:30:14,000 --> 00:30:19,560 Speaker 1: phones on with every night, virtually every night, with Treasury 554 00:30:19,600 --> 00:30:23,520 Speaker 1: Secretary Stephen Manutian to hammer out a two year budget 555 00:30:23,520 --> 00:30:25,840 Speaker 1: and debt ceiling deal. And there's gonna be no debt 556 00:30:25,880 --> 00:30:29,880 Speaker 1: ceiling fight between now and election day, provided this thing 557 00:30:29,920 --> 00:30:33,760 Speaker 1: gets voted on Sawhill. What messaging does that pose or 558 00:30:33,800 --> 00:30:36,760 Speaker 1: how does Speaker Pelosi play this tonight? Does she say, look, 559 00:30:36,800 --> 00:30:38,400 Speaker 1: I was able to get this deal in the middle 560 00:30:38,440 --> 00:30:42,560 Speaker 1: of this awful, horrific week, or is she gonna face 561 00:30:42,880 --> 00:30:44,720 Speaker 1: people on the left who say, why are you doing that? 562 00:30:44,760 --> 00:30:48,600 Speaker 1: Impeach the guy Kevin. I think her message is a 563 00:30:48,840 --> 00:30:51,320 Speaker 1: this is not optional. The government has to be funded, 564 00:30:51,360 --> 00:30:54,080 Speaker 1: the debt limit has to be extended. There's no way 565 00:30:54,120 --> 00:30:56,600 Speaker 1: Congress can refuse to do this. Now she can go 566 00:30:56,640 --> 00:30:59,600 Speaker 1: to her members and sell the fact that Democrats secured 567 00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:02,640 Speaker 1: one one to one parody, and at least we believe 568 00:31:02,640 --> 00:31:04,320 Speaker 1: they did based on the contours of the deal so far, 569 00:31:04,400 --> 00:31:07,320 Speaker 1: one to one parity in domestic spending increases, in military 570 00:31:07,360 --> 00:31:10,160 Speaker 1: spending increases. They got something like eight to nine cents 571 00:31:10,160 --> 00:31:12,440 Speaker 1: on the dollar last year when they were in the minority, 572 00:31:12,480 --> 00:31:14,920 Speaker 1: and they upped the anti this time. So there's certainly 573 00:31:14,960 --> 00:31:17,640 Speaker 1: something for progressives to like in this deal in the 574 00:31:17,640 --> 00:31:20,960 Speaker 1: form of higher domestic spending. And beyond that, you can say, look, 575 00:31:20,960 --> 00:31:22,800 Speaker 1: I'm dealing with a Republican president. I'm dealing with the 576 00:31:22,840 --> 00:31:25,560 Speaker 1: Republicans Senate. What exactly do you want from me? Well, 577 00:31:25,560 --> 00:31:28,760 Speaker 1: what do they want from Lauren? I mean, I think 578 00:31:28,800 --> 00:31:30,800 Speaker 1: what you hear from a lot of Democrats. You know, 579 00:31:30,840 --> 00:31:32,560 Speaker 1: I talked to you a lot of Democrats. I have 580 00:31:32,720 --> 00:31:35,200 Speaker 1: many Democrat friends, if you might imagine, and and a 581 00:31:35,200 --> 00:31:37,440 Speaker 1: lot of them are very frustrated on the impeachment issue 582 00:31:37,440 --> 00:31:40,520 Speaker 1: in general. I think that Nancy Pelosi is being smart 583 00:31:40,800 --> 00:31:43,160 Speaker 1: um to not really pursue it aggressively. I know they 584 00:31:43,160 --> 00:31:45,440 Speaker 1: had that vote UM recently, and I know it did 585 00:31:45,480 --> 00:31:49,320 Speaker 1: not go very very far. But a lot of Democrats 586 00:31:49,320 --> 00:31:52,920 Speaker 1: out there are they are tired of of the president, 587 00:31:52,920 --> 00:31:55,520 Speaker 1: and they're and they're upset with Speaker Pelosi for not 588 00:31:55,640 --> 00:32:00,680 Speaker 1: impeaching or not beginning impeachment proceedings. Now. Ultimately, though, I 589 00:32:00,720 --> 00:32:03,040 Speaker 1: think that this is not going to be the dead 590 00:32:03,080 --> 00:32:04,840 Speaker 1: ceiling deal is not going to be talked about as 591 00:32:04,920 --> 00:32:07,719 Speaker 1: much as the feud between the President and the squad is, 592 00:32:07,760 --> 00:32:10,800 Speaker 1: as you alladed to earlier, Kevin, And you know, while 593 00:32:10,840 --> 00:32:12,640 Speaker 1: I've got the mic on it, I just not to 594 00:32:12,680 --> 00:32:15,240 Speaker 1: go all Maryan Williamson on everybody, but are you going 595 00:32:15,240 --> 00:32:20,520 Speaker 1: with this? But I also say what I mean, I 596 00:32:20,520 --> 00:32:23,360 Speaker 1: don't understand why more people don't just say that the 597 00:32:23,480 --> 00:32:26,040 Speaker 1: rhetoric on both sides needs to stop. I understand that 598 00:32:26,400 --> 00:32:32,720 Speaker 1: everyone's well, but more prominent law say that. You know, 599 00:32:32,760 --> 00:32:35,120 Speaker 1: I think our politics right now we are sort of 600 00:32:35,160 --> 00:32:37,640 Speaker 1: at the apex of a pendulum swing. I think everything 601 00:32:37,680 --> 00:32:39,280 Speaker 1: is very hot. I don't know what's going to have 602 00:32:39,320 --> 00:32:43,320 Speaker 1: to happen to bring it back down. Yeah, child side, Yeah, 603 00:32:44,080 --> 00:32:46,520 Speaker 1: sorry not to be no, no, no, I don't know 604 00:32:46,560 --> 00:32:48,400 Speaker 1: what's going to bring us back down to a place 605 00:32:48,560 --> 00:32:50,920 Speaker 1: of more respectful rhetoric. I don't think that we can 606 00:32:50,960 --> 00:32:53,120 Speaker 1: stay here for very long because I think the long 607 00:32:53,240 --> 00:32:55,960 Speaker 1: term consequences are very severy you know, I think I'm 608 00:32:56,040 --> 00:32:58,120 Speaker 1: about to get on a soapbox. I apologize. I just 609 00:32:58,200 --> 00:33:01,880 Speaker 1: mentioned Marian Williamson's not okay. I appreciate that. I appreciate it. 610 00:33:02,000 --> 00:33:04,280 Speaker 1: And you're up here. You're based in North Carolina now, 611 00:33:04,520 --> 00:33:07,160 Speaker 1: so I mean you're in d C. You know what 612 00:33:07,160 --> 00:33:11,040 Speaker 1: it is? Just like talk how you want others to 613 00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:13,520 Speaker 1: talk to you? Yeah, what's on your radar? Litman, you 614 00:33:13,600 --> 00:33:17,200 Speaker 1: got less than a minute? Go soccer tomorrow night at field. 615 00:33:17,400 --> 00:33:20,880 Speaker 1: Yes for one listening. No, I think Lauren makes a 616 00:33:20,920 --> 00:33:23,360 Speaker 1: good point that, uh, you know, if you look at 617 00:33:23,560 --> 00:33:26,000 Speaker 1: what Pelosi is and Manut and are trying to do, 618 00:33:26,040 --> 00:33:29,040 Speaker 1: they don't think that this is a fight worth having. 619 00:33:29,080 --> 00:33:32,960 Speaker 1: That the American people's interests should be put up at first. Uh. 620 00:33:32,960 --> 00:33:36,280 Speaker 1: And you know, Manu can say what he wants to 621 00:33:36,320 --> 00:33:40,160 Speaker 1: protect the president on the racist stuff, but that's not 622 00:33:40,720 --> 00:33:42,840 Speaker 1: their angle. Right now, we're gonna leave it there again. 623 00:33:42,880 --> 00:33:46,160 Speaker 1: Breaking news tonight, President Trump says lawmakers have reached a 624 00:33:46,160 --> 00:33:50,160 Speaker 1: deal on the debt limit suspension two year deal. Two 625 00:33:50,240 --> 00:33:54,720 Speaker 1: year deal. Now the question becomes, will Republicans get on board? 626 00:33:54,760 --> 00:33:57,080 Speaker 1: Do they have the votes? I want to thank our panel, 627 00:33:57,160 --> 00:34:00,560 Speaker 1: Lawrence Lt. Daniel Littmann Sail Kapoor. You can download the 628 00:34:00,640 --> 00:34:04,080 Speaker 1: sound on podcast on Apple iTunes by downloading the Bloomberg 629 00:34:04,080 --> 00:34:07,240 Speaker 1: Business app. You can also find us on radio dot Com, 630 00:34:07,320 --> 00:34:11,000 Speaker 1: I Heart Radio, and Spotify. I'm Kevin Cirelli, Chief Washington 631 00:34:11,000 --> 00:34:14,960 Speaker 1: correspondent for Bloomberg Television and Bloomberg Radio, and you're listening 632 00:34:15,000 --> 00:34:17,000 Speaker 1: to Bloomberg One