Speaker 1: The trade war isn't just about tariffs anymore. It's about
Speaker 1: control of global trade, and it's exposing China's second fatal mistake,
Speaker 1: one that could cost them global power for the next
Speaker 1: one hundred years.
Speaker 2: Now.
Speaker 1: They already blew it once in eighteen seventy three when
Speaker 1: the world shifted monetary systems and China chose wrong, losing
Speaker 1: its leadership on the global stage. Now, while headlines scream
Speaker 1: about tariffs and trade deals, behind the scenes, a new
Speaker 1: monetary revolution is underway.
Speaker 2: I'm Mark Moss.
Speaker 1: I've spent two decades tracking money markets and the geopolitical
Speaker 1: shifts that shape empires. My video from four years ago
Speaker 1: called out China's big mistake, and now it's time for
Speaker 1: an update. So in this video, I'm going to show
Speaker 1: you what China missed, what the US just did, and
Speaker 1: why the shift will redefine global power for the next century.
Speaker 1: Because this isn't just a trade war, it's a monetary war,
Speaker 1: and Trump's trade offensive is the spark that's magnifying the consequences. Now,
Speaker 1: almost no one is connecting these dots. But once you
Speaker 1: see it, you can't unsee it.
Speaker 2: So let's go.
Speaker 1: All right, So we're getting right into this, and we're
Speaker 1: talking about on the surface, it seems like a trade war.
Speaker 2: Now.
Speaker 1: A couple days ago, at the time of this recording,
Speaker 1: we had what Trump was calling Liberation Day, which is
Speaker 1: we're going to stop letting the world take advantage of
Speaker 1: the United States. We're going to put retaliatory or even
Speaker 1: tariffs on each other to even out the playing field.
Speaker 1: And there was a big announcement. Trump had this big
Speaker 1: board showing all the different tariff rates against each of
Speaker 1: these individual countries. Now, since that time, the world has
Speaker 1: gone into a tailspin. We've seen the S and P
Speaker 1: five hundred start to crater down, as you can see
Speaker 1: this gap in the market right here showing the big
Speaker 1: big step down. The Nasdaq doing the same thing with
Speaker 1: these big gaps as it's dropping down. And so the
Speaker 1: world is sort of in a panic. But I think
Speaker 1: they're watching sort of the wrong thing.
Speaker 3: Now.
Speaker 2: People say that Trump is playing forty chess, So it's
Speaker 2: not just the Tterarff's just forty chess.
Speaker 1: Well, I won't lay out the entire playbook, although I'm
Speaker 1: working on that.
Speaker 2: If you want to video on that, let me know.
Speaker 1: But let's talk about a big piece of this now
Speaker 1: since then, there's already been.
Speaker 2: A lot of movement. So a lot of people say,
Speaker 2: it's the art of the deal.
Speaker 1: So he throws out this as an anchor, and then
Speaker 1: he negotiates back.
Speaker 2: So fifty percent tariffs on you, Okay, we'll take ten
Speaker 2: or whatever.
Speaker 1: So we use these as negotiating tactics, and it seems
Speaker 1: to be working. As a matter of fact, at the
Speaker 1: time of this recording, a lot of the world is
Speaker 1: already coming around and wanted to strike deals. We've seen
Speaker 1: India announce that they're gonna even the playing field, Argentina, Vietnam,
Speaker 1: lots of countries at the time it's recording. As of today,
Speaker 1: as of this morning, even the EU says that they
Speaker 1: will probably cave.
Speaker 2: Which seems like the EU is gonna hold out. So
Speaker 2: all of these countries are coming around.
Speaker 1: As a matter of fact, Trump said that over fifty
Speaker 1: nations have agreed to come in and work this out,
Speaker 1: but China seems to be wanted to fight back.
Speaker 2: As a matter of.
Speaker 1: Fact, China announced retaliatory tariffs against the United States and
Speaker 1: they will probably be the last one to come to
Speaker 1: the table. Why is that, Well, we're gonna break that down.
Speaker 1: We have to understand this is not just a trade war.
Speaker 1: This is not just about goods or prices or jobs.
Speaker 1: This is about monetary policy. And this is where the
Speaker 1: two big dogs want to battle this out, the monetary policy. Okay, So,
Speaker 1: if you watch my videos for a long time, I
Speaker 1: used to do this where let's go back in time.
Speaker 1: Let's go back in history and see what the historical
Speaker 1: precedent is for what we're witnessing right now. So let's
Speaker 1: go jump back about one hundred and fifty years. By
Speaker 1: the way, if you've been watching my videos long enough
Speaker 1: to remember this, drop me in the comments. Let me
Speaker 1: know how long you've been watching and supporting this channel. Okay,
Speaker 1: let's go back to China's first fatal mistake. Now we're
Speaker 1: going back to about eighteen seventy three, and this is
Speaker 1: when the whole world monetary system shifted as well.
Speaker 2: You see, at the.
Speaker 1: Time, the world had what was known as a bi metallities.
Speaker 1: We had gold and we had silver, Okay, And what
Speaker 1: happened is the world started changing, the world order started changing,
Speaker 1: and the entire world, or most of the developed world,
Speaker 1: that is, the United States and countries in Europe, decided
Speaker 1: that they were going to go to a gold standard.
Speaker 1: The problem is for countries like China is they had
Speaker 1: a bunch of silver and they didn't want to go
Speaker 1: onto a gold standard because they had silver, so they
Speaker 1: were going to stay on a silver standard. And so
Speaker 1: we can see some of the headlines from this era
Speaker 1: say like how the silver standard wrecked China's economy. So
Speaker 1: by deciding to stay in the old monetary order when
Speaker 1: the new monetary order was shifted, it wrecked their economy.
Speaker 1: And it didn't just wreck their economy, as a matter
Speaker 1: of fact, we can see that it did a lot
Speaker 1: more than that. So here we have the year eighteen
Speaker 1: seventy three marked a turning point in monetary history, and
Speaker 1: that is when the world shifted. So the German Empire
Speaker 1: went from silver to a gold mark. In September, the
Speaker 1: Parish Mint limited silver coinage into the double gold silver standard,
Speaker 1: so they went to gold. Earlier that year, the US
Speaker 1: Congress legislative phasing out of the temporary paper currency and
Speaker 1: replaced it with gold dollar. United Kingdom already on the
Speaker 1: gold by the end of the eight eighteen seventies, silver
Speaker 1: which until eighteen seventy three, that's the turning point, had
Speaker 1: been on an equal footing with gold became a secondary
Speaker 1: currency medal used by mostly periphery countries. So leading countries
Speaker 1: made the move. If you wanted to be a third
Speaker 1: rate country, perifery nation, you stayed with that.
Speaker 2: The montary impact was stark.
Speaker 1: Between eighteen seventy three and the end of the decade,
Speaker 1: silver depreciated by some twenty percent, and so as China
Speaker 1: decided not to go to gold and decided to hang
Speaker 1: onto silver, it continued to lose its purchasing power. Now
Speaker 1: it lost twenty percent, ended up losing thirty percent. So
Speaker 1: the nation China saw their national.
Speaker 2: Purchasing power dropped by thirty percent.
Speaker 1: It's a massive, a massive drop in standard of living.
Speaker 1: We can see by nineteen thirty three. In November of
Speaker 1: that year, the Chinese government threw in the towel. They
Speaker 1: nationalized what silver was left, and they put the country
Speaker 1: on a paper currency standard and said, so they decided
Speaker 1: finally to capitulate. Finally, okay, we lost the world went
Speaker 1: to gold.
Speaker 2: We didn't.
Speaker 1: We stayed and said, okay, we lost thirty percent of
Speaker 1: our personal power. Okay, let's throw on the towel and
Speaker 1: we'll eventually capitulate. And we'll move over after they lost
Speaker 1: thirty percent. But it wasn't just thirty percent they lost.
Speaker 2: They lost their.
Speaker 1: Position as one of the global dominant world leaders. They
Speaker 1: became a prefer nation, as it said. Now, that was
Speaker 1: their first fatal mistake. Now they've spent the last one
Speaker 1: hundred years were longer, trying to catch up, trying to
Speaker 1: fix or right the wrongs of that past. So for
Speaker 1: the last one hundred years they've been trying to get
Speaker 1: back to the gold standard. They've been trying to get
Speaker 1: as much gold as they possibly could, and they've been
Speaker 1: adding more gold during this recent time than any other.
Speaker 2: Nation out there.
Speaker 1: As a matter of fact, we can see that China
Speaker 1: has been rumored to be laying the foundation for the
Speaker 1: next world gold standard system. This was written back in
Speaker 1: twenty sixteen, so they appear to be laying the foundation
Speaker 1: to bring the world back to the gold standard.
Speaker 2: Like it used to be.
Speaker 1: For those that don't understand, President Richard Nixon nineteen seventy
Speaker 1: one cut the ties to the gold standard, so they're
Speaker 1: saying bring it back to that. Now we can see
Speaker 1: that China has been buying more and more gold as
Speaker 1: the trade war drags on. Now this is twenty nineteen.
Speaker 1: Trade war drags on twenty nineteen. Why is that, Well,
Speaker 1: in Trump's first term is when the tariffs really started.
Speaker 1: That's when this trade war started between the US and China,
Speaker 1: two dominant superpowers, and so this has been going on
Speaker 1: for a long time. They've been buying more and more
Speaker 1: gold as this trade war drags on. Now, how much
Speaker 1: gold do they have? Well, we can see that number one.
Speaker 1: We don't really know, but let's do a little bit
Speaker 1: of math. We know that the US gold holdings officially, officially,
Speaker 1: the record shows, which by the way, I don't know
Speaker 1: if it's been audited, shows the US owns about eighty
Speaker 1: one hundred eight one hundred and thirty three tons of.
Speaker 2: Gold in Fort Knox. We want to see that audited.
Speaker 2: But China's officially declared holdings. This is where it gets sticky.
Speaker 1: Officially holdings is one, nine hundred and forty eight tons,
Speaker 1: make up just three percent of his three point two
Speaker 1: trillion and four exchange holdings, but the real number is
Speaker 1: much larger than that.
Speaker 2: China has been the world's largest.
Speaker 1: Gold producer since two thousand and seven, the largest producer
Speaker 1: this past decade. It is produced about fifteen percent of
Speaker 1: all the gold miners in the world. Last year produced
Speaker 1: three hundred and eighty tons. That's twenty percent more than
Speaker 1: the world's second largest producer, which is Australia. So not
Speaker 1: only is it the largest producer, but it's also one
Speaker 1: of the largest buyers. But I want you to understand
Speaker 1: what its policy was. It's key for understanding this. We
Speaker 1: can see that China has roughly mined about sixty five
Speaker 1: hundred tons mine sixty five hundred tons. Now, the key
Speaker 1: behind this is that the gold it mines, it keeps.
Speaker 1: Exporting of domestic mine production is not allowed. So basically
Speaker 1: China says, hey, come minu as much gold as you
Speaker 1: want in China.
Speaker 2: But you have to sell it to us.
Speaker 1: You can't export that gold. So all of this being
Speaker 1: produced in China is being bought by China. Chinese mining
Speaker 1: companies have also been buying assets abroad, So not only
Speaker 1: have they've been mined in China Sunday China, but they've
Speaker 1: also been buying assets abroad Africa, South America, Asia, et cetera.
Speaker 1: The world's biggest producer, China is the world's biggest import
Speaker 1: So not only are the largest producer and the buyt all,
Speaker 1: they're also the biggest buyer. At the same time, over
Speaker 1: six thousand tons is entered the country since two thousand.
Speaker 1: Of that cumulat gold production since two thousand, you.
Speaker 2: Get to a figure of about thirteen thousand, two hundred tons.
Speaker 2: This is like back of a napkin math. A lot
Speaker 2: of it's like hidden. We'll skip ahead here.
Speaker 1: We can see that a lot of it doesn't go
Speaker 1: through the main channels. Since two thousand and eight, roughly
Speaker 1: twenty thousand tons have been withdrawn from the Shanghai Gold Exchange.
Speaker 1: So if we add all this up, the rumors are
Speaker 1: that China could own somewhere between twenty to thirty thousand
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Speaker 1: China's hoarding goal to challenge the US dollar. Again, this
Speaker 1: has been going on for a long time.
Speaker 2: This is twenty fourteen. So we have the two big
Speaker 2: dogs come into the table.
Speaker 1: And the US now is trying to force not just
Speaker 1: tariffs on them, not just trade tariffs. But this is
Speaker 1: a monetary shift of monetary restructuring.
Speaker 2: Now.
Speaker 1: Rumors also are that maybe China's paving the way for
Speaker 1: a gold back you on, and so they might actually
Speaker 1: want to back their currency with gold, which then means
Speaker 1: they sort of in the dollar dominance. Other nations would
Speaker 1: rather buy a gold back currency like a Chinese yuan. Now,
Speaker 1: I've done other videos on this. If you want to
Speaker 1: see that, we'll link to it down below if you
Speaker 1: want to understand more about that, But that's not the
Speaker 1: key point.
Speaker 2: That we want to dig into right now.
Speaker 1: Okay, what we really want to understand is that the
Speaker 1: last time this happened, as the world shifted to a
Speaker 1: new monetary standard, China decide to stick with the old
Speaker 1: standard and they lost a position in the world. Now
Speaker 1: we're seeing a new monetary evolution while China is still
Speaker 1: trying to build the previous one.
Speaker 2: What am I talking about.
Speaker 1: Well, of course, bitcoin has been the best performing asset
Speaker 1: in the world. It is the most scarce digital asset
Speaker 1: in the world, and right now we have people, corporations,
Speaker 1: governments all jumping into it. Now, I will talk about
Speaker 1: this as an evolution, monetary evolution and the reason why
Speaker 1: if you look back through thousands of years of history
Speaker 1: of monetary history, you understand that it's an evolutionary process.
Speaker 1: So we've had feathers, rock, seashells, all types of things
Speaker 1: become money. Eventually gold emerged as the best form money.
Speaker 1: But it's an evolutionary process. It first starts as a
Speaker 1: collectible like oh, look at this cool rock, or this
Speaker 1: cool feather, the cool seashell, Look those cool baseball card
Speaker 1: or whatever it is. Now some not most collectibles don't,
Speaker 1: but some become a store of value. So the wealthy
Speaker 1: store their wealth in collectible. So for example, not all
Speaker 1: baseball cards, but some baseball cards are worth a lot
Speaker 1: of money. Not every painting, but some paintings, some old cards.
Speaker 1: So some collectibles do become a store of value. Then
Speaker 1: some things could become a medium of exchange that we
Speaker 1: use it for exchanges, for buying goods and services, but
Speaker 1: only if it has the right attributes, which are portable, durable, divisible, recognizable,
Speaker 1: fungible things like that. So the mona lisa is not divisible,
Speaker 1: A cow is divisible, but it's not fungible. One like
Speaker 1: a rabbi is not the same as a liver. A
Speaker 1: banana would be no good because it's not durable. But
Speaker 1: gold fit all of those things. However, it's not very portable, right,
Speaker 1: It's very hard to move large amounts of gold. So
Speaker 1: now we understand that bitcoin was a collectible. Oh it's cool,
Speaker 1: magic Internet money. Today we know that the United States
Speaker 1: government calls it a store of value and it's put
Speaker 1: it on the Strategic Reserve. But we also know that
Speaker 1: it has better attributes that could allow it to become
Speaker 1: a meni of exchange. So we're seeing it go through
Speaker 1: this monetary evolution and we understand that in these technology cycles,
Speaker 1: we have a fifty year cycle as they reach adoption,
Speaker 1: and there's two distinct phases. First one was the retail
Speaker 1: phase twenty ten to twenty twenty.
Speaker 2: We're past that.
Speaker 1: Twenty twenty to twenty thirty is what we call the
Speaker 1: institutional phase, where Wall Street comes in, the corporations come in,
Speaker 1: the sovereigns come in, and we're clearly.
Speaker 2: In that phase.
Speaker 1: Now we don't know all the implications because we're still
Speaker 1: in the evolutionary phase. But this is where China's second
Speaker 1: fatal mistake comes in.
Speaker 2: Now.
Speaker 1: You see China is they had a scarcity mindset because
Speaker 1: it's a communist country, so they have to protect their protection.
Speaker 1: So they can't allow their people to look on the
Speaker 1: internet to see what other people are doing in other
Speaker 1: parts of the world. They can't allow other technologies to
Speaker 1: come in. They have to have this scarcity mindset, so
Speaker 1: when people start innovating with different things, they can miss
Speaker 1: out on that they want to stop it before it
Speaker 1: takes office, so they missed the innovation. So, for example,
Speaker 1: they had a lot of bitcoin in China, but they
Speaker 1: banned it over and over and over. As a matter
Speaker 1: of fact, China banned bitcoin thirteen times since twenty twelve.
Speaker 1: Didn't work the first time, the second time, and third time,
Speaker 1: Well let's try thirteen times.
Speaker 2: And it's because it can't be banned, it can't be stopped.
Speaker 1: But what they could do, and this is where really
Speaker 1: the second fatal mistake really kicked in, is that China
Speaker 1: had over sixty percent of the bitcoin network.
Speaker 2: Mining hash power in their country. They had control of
Speaker 2: it bitcoin miners.
Speaker 1: China's cryptocurrency crack down pushes companies overseas.
Speaker 2: So they decided to get all of the mining out
Speaker 2: of China. Now what do they do with gold mining?
Speaker 2: Whe They're the largest producer and the largest buyer.
Speaker 1: So with gold mining, come mine all you want, but
Speaker 1: sell it to us. They had all the bitcoin mining
Speaker 1: happening in China, they could have done the same policy,
Speaker 1: Hey you can mine it.
Speaker 2: Here, but you have to sell it to us. But
Speaker 2: instead they pushed it all out. Now where did it go.
Speaker 1: China's kicking out more than half the world's bitcoin miners,
Speaker 1: about sixty percent, and a whole lot of them could
Speaker 1: be headed to Texas. So the United States became the
Speaker 1: main beneficiary of this. And that's why you hear Donald
Speaker 1: Trump saying, now we want all the bitcoin that's created
Speaker 1: to be created in America. He has claimed it to
Speaker 1: be a strategic initiative for the US to be the
Speaker 1: world dominant leader in bitcoin. Create it here, store it
Speaker 1: here in the US has moved first partly because we're
Speaker 1: not a communist country. We can have innovation. Now we
Speaker 1: have some of the largest most influential people in the
Speaker 1: world or in the United States and the world, like
Speaker 1: Larry Fink from Black Rile, who is the largest asset
Speaker 1: manager in the world, who has now said that bitcoin
Speaker 1: is an asset. Bitcoin is a store by asset. We
Speaker 1: have Scopasent, the new Treasury Secretary was just on Tucker
Speaker 1: the other day and they said, it is a store value.
Speaker 1: Bitcoin is a store value. We have Howard Lutnik. He
Speaker 1: is the Secretary of Commerce for the new Trump administration.
Speaker 1: And before I tell you what he said, let's just
Speaker 1: hear from him directly. Multi billionaire Wall Street fund manager
Speaker 1: and now the Secretary of Commerce. Let's hear directly from him.
Speaker 3: It's the easiest way to get a clear view of
Speaker 3: where bitcoin is going.
Speaker 2: Over the next five years.
Speaker 3: Let's take a look at the last five right the
Speaker 3: last five Bitcoin has been an outsider in the finance business,
Speaker 3: becoming closer and closer and closer. Right now, there's an
Speaker 3: ETF just starting to go a little bit mainstream media.
Speaker 3: You will see all the traditional financial service companies, that
Speaker 3: big banks, the grograge companies, they're all gonna go headfirst
Speaker 3: into Bigtin Tom. That's what's going to happen, and it's
Speaker 3: coming and when that happens, you're going to see bigcoin move.
Speaker 3: They're very very strong positive direction.
Speaker 2: So that's why I'm a fan of bigtoin.
Speaker 3: It's going to go much higher. He always bounces around
Speaker 3: like any other financial asset. But ultimately, over the next
Speaker 3: five years, as it gets invited into this party, up we.
Speaker 1: Got so you can hear he said that every institution
Speaker 1: wants to get in and this will just push the
Speaker 1: price up, up, up. And even the Trump family, his
Speaker 1: son Eric Trump, was just on TV saying how they're
Speaker 1: pivoting from real estate, which the Trump name is anonymous
Speaker 1: with real estate, and they're pivoting into bitcoin. Now, this
Speaker 1: is all happening right now, and it's not just all
Speaker 1: of those individuals I mentioned, Like I said, this is
Speaker 1: a new global asset. Because now the United States, with
Speaker 1: the dominant global position as the US dollars the reserve
Speaker 1: currency of the world, has made it a strategic reserve.
Speaker 1: They've created a thesis where they said, again, Trump wants
Speaker 1: it all made here, he wants the US to lead
Speaker 1: in this, and they're building a strategic reserve of bitcoin.
Speaker 2: Now, back to China, they had the dominance, they had the.
Speaker 1: Bitcoin there, they had sixty percent of the hash power
Speaker 1: in their country. But then they kicked it all out.
Speaker 1: So the US is now home to a majority of
Speaker 1: the bitcoin hash rate. Now the US is home to
Speaker 1: public and private reserves of bitcoin. The United States has
Speaker 1: the dominant upper hand while China is still trying to
Speaker 1: compete for the old monetary system of gold. The US
Speaker 1: and the world is moving into something different. And so really,
Speaker 1: if we look at the situation, it's not just about trade.
Speaker 2: It's not just about teriffs. It's monetary wars.
Speaker 1: The tariffs are a distraction for what's really going on.
Speaker 1: The real war is about the monetary system, because whoever
Speaker 1: controls the money controls the world. Now China keeps banning innovation,
Speaker 1: they keep stifling it, they keep pushing it out, and
Speaker 1: so they're not able to take advantage of things like this.
Speaker 1: It's a real conundrum that countries find themselves in. If
Speaker 1: we allow the people to be free and have access
Speaker 1: to the Internet and ideas and information, they may reject
Speaker 1: our authoritarian views. But if we don't allow them to
Speaker 1: have that information, then we stifle our own growth. And
Speaker 1: they're trying to play that line, if you will, But
Speaker 1: they keep banning innovation.
Speaker 2: But the US is now embracing innovation.
Speaker 1: Now. The United States diverted under the Biden administration. It
Speaker 1: was overly tough on bitcoin and cryptocurrencies in general. The
Speaker 1: Trump administration has gone completely the other way. Now we
Speaker 1: see bitcoin adoption and the Global Reserve is positioning for
Speaker 1: it specifically, just like gold before Breton Woods. Now some
Speaker 1: of you might say, yeah, but can't China just buy
Speaker 1: it later?
Speaker 2: So what if the US moves first? China can just
Speaker 2: buy it later?
Speaker 1: They certainly can, just like China eventually capitulated and boy gold,
Speaker 1: they certainly can. But China lost its position in the
Speaker 1: world because it waited until it lost thirty percent of
Speaker 1: its wealth before doing that. That's where game theory and
Speaker 1: first move advantage comes in. Now, what does all this mean, Well,
Speaker 1: what this means is that what's going on right now
Speaker 1: with the global monetary system is really shaping the next century,
Speaker 1: the next one hundred years of power. Just like we
Speaker 1: saw in the first Fatal Mistake, we're seeing the same thing.
Speaker 1: We're we're living through monetary history. This is exciting for
Speaker 1: me because you know how much I love history, and
Speaker 1: so we're literally living through a period that history of
Speaker 1: books we'll be talking about, and we get to live
Speaker 1: through it.
Speaker 2: We get a witness it in the real time.
Speaker 1: Owning bitcoin is running all of these other nations like China,
Speaker 1: They're going to come around eventually. We like to say
Speaker 1: that everyone buys bitcoin at the price they deserve. But
Speaker 1: you and I get a chance to front run this
Speaker 1: right now, and we're going to see wealth consolidate before
Speaker 1: the world catches on, because everyone will come around eventually.
Speaker 2: A quote that I say often is that the future
Speaker 2: is not evenly distributed.
Speaker 1: So we have access to information today that the rest
Speaker 1: of the world is going to catch up to eventually.
Speaker 1: But it gives all of us a way to consolidate
Speaker 1: and build.
Speaker 2: Our wealth before the world catches on.
Speaker 1: Don't be like China. Don't make another fatal mistake with
Speaker 1: your own portfolio. Instead, be a first mover like bitcoin now.
Speaker 1: If you'd like to know where I think bitcoin is
Speaker 1: headed in twenty thirty, twenty forty, and twenty fifty, you
Speaker 1: might want to.
Speaker 2: Watch this video right here.
Speaker 1: Otherwise, thumbs up if you like it, thumbs down. If
Speaker 1: you don't leave me a comment, let me know why.
Speaker 1: And that's what I got.
Speaker 2: To your success.
Speaker 1: I'm out.