1 00:00:00,640 --> 00:00:04,160 Speaker 1: Hi, I'm Molly John Fast and this is Fast Politics, 2 00:00:04,360 --> 00:00:07,120 Speaker 1: where we discussed the top political headlines with some of 3 00:00:07,160 --> 00:00:12,160 Speaker 1: today's best minds. And Beijing has called JD. Van's ignorant 4 00:00:12,440 --> 00:00:15,920 Speaker 1: over his Chinese peasant remarks. We have a great show 5 00:00:15,960 --> 00:00:19,560 Speaker 1: for you today. Risk Reversal's own Dan Nathan. 6 00:00:19,200 --> 00:00:21,640 Speaker 2: Stops by to tell us about. 7 00:00:21,400 --> 00:00:25,119 Speaker 1: The business world's reaction to Trump's insane tariffs. 8 00:00:25,360 --> 00:00:26,320 Speaker 2: They don't like it. 9 00:00:26,400 --> 00:00:29,200 Speaker 1: Then we'll talk to John Allen and Amy Parnis about 10 00:00:29,240 --> 00:00:32,199 Speaker 1: their new book, Fight Inside the Wildest Battle for the 11 00:00:32,200 --> 00:00:32,680 Speaker 1: White House. 12 00:00:32,680 --> 00:00:34,200 Speaker 2: But first the news smile. 13 00:00:34,320 --> 00:00:36,879 Speaker 3: You know who I think of. I want spying on 14 00:00:37,000 --> 00:00:40,120 Speaker 3: my data to see if I'm saying things bad and 15 00:00:40,320 --> 00:00:43,560 Speaker 3: slack or whatever. Your workplace thing is a guy named 16 00:00:43,560 --> 00:00:44,120 Speaker 3: big Boss. 17 00:00:44,640 --> 00:00:48,440 Speaker 2: Oh, we're back to big balls. Big balls. 18 00:00:48,560 --> 00:00:52,040 Speaker 1: Yes, So it turns out the Environmental Protection Agency, though, 19 00:00:52,320 --> 00:00:56,200 Speaker 1: by the way, it is so insane that Elon. While 20 00:00:56,240 --> 00:01:00,560 Speaker 1: Donald Trump is ruining the capital markets, crashing the gap markets, 21 00:01:00,600 --> 00:01:04,440 Speaker 1: Elon is continued taking a chainsaw to the federal government 22 00:01:04,560 --> 00:01:11,480 Speaker 1: doge spying on federal workers for anti Trump, anti Musk messages. Shockingly, 23 00:01:11,840 --> 00:01:15,640 Speaker 1: the Environmental Protection Agency here are the people who just 24 00:01:15,880 --> 00:01:20,600 Speaker 1: want to protect the environment. Supposedly, the DOGE staff are 25 00:01:20,720 --> 00:01:24,840 Speaker 1: using AI to spy and communication sent by federal workers 26 00:01:24,840 --> 00:01:30,120 Speaker 1: to detect anti Trump or anti Musk language. What are 27 00:01:30,160 --> 00:01:34,280 Speaker 1: we doing here? First of all, why do you even care? 28 00:01:34,680 --> 00:01:38,319 Speaker 1: Right people say bad things about you? This is one 29 00:01:38,360 --> 00:01:41,920 Speaker 1: of the facts of being a famous person. I'm sorry, guys, 30 00:01:42,000 --> 00:01:43,440 Speaker 1: like this is what it is. 31 00:01:43,680 --> 00:01:46,720 Speaker 3: Man, It's called a workplace in America. 32 00:01:46,880 --> 00:01:50,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, well not for these two. Reuters cites two anonymous 33 00:01:50,880 --> 00:01:53,400 Speaker 1: people with knowledge of the matter. By the way, everyone 34 00:01:53,400 --> 00:01:56,280 Speaker 1: in the federal government is now leaking. 35 00:01:56,120 --> 00:01:57,320 Speaker 2: Like a fucking SIEV. 36 00:01:58,000 --> 00:02:01,720 Speaker 1: Who said this happened to the ep They had been 37 00:02:01,760 --> 00:02:04,480 Speaker 1: told so by Trump appointed officials. By the way, I'm 38 00:02:04,480 --> 00:02:07,800 Speaker 1: sure this's happening in every branch of the federal government. 39 00:02:08,000 --> 00:02:10,560 Speaker 1: If they're doing it at the EPA, they're doing it everywhere. 40 00:02:10,600 --> 00:02:12,600 Speaker 1: We have been told they're looking for anti Trump or 41 00:02:12,600 --> 00:02:14,120 Speaker 1: anti Musk language. 42 00:02:14,240 --> 00:02:15,160 Speaker 2: Before they were. 43 00:02:15,040 --> 00:02:20,760 Speaker 1: Just looking for DEI right, anti racism. Now they're looking 44 00:02:20,840 --> 00:02:24,400 Speaker 1: for naughty speak. By the way, I'm going to ask you, Jesse, 45 00:02:24,840 --> 00:02:28,639 Speaker 1: I don't think that Elon Musk is a free speech absolutist. 46 00:02:29,000 --> 00:02:31,919 Speaker 3: Well, what we've learned is that thing is facts. Don't 47 00:02:31,960 --> 00:02:34,000 Speaker 3: care about your feelings less they're his feelings. 48 00:02:34,240 --> 00:02:35,280 Speaker 2: That's right, baby. 49 00:02:35,639 --> 00:02:39,160 Speaker 1: In true Axio style, we can ask ourselves why it matters. 50 00:02:39,240 --> 00:02:44,080 Speaker 1: It matters because it's against law, and it's also I 51 00:02:44,080 --> 00:02:46,760 Speaker 1: mean again, it may not be against law, depending on 52 00:02:47,040 --> 00:02:50,760 Speaker 1: what kind of waivers or legal machinations you've signed on to, 53 00:02:51,320 --> 00:02:54,960 Speaker 1: but it is pretty bad and it certainly undermines the 54 00:02:54,960 --> 00:02:58,600 Speaker 1: whole idea that these people care about free speech. Elon Musk, 55 00:02:58,800 --> 00:03:02,919 Speaker 1: the billionaire CEO of both Tesla and SpaceX, which have 56 00:03:03,160 --> 00:03:09,200 Speaker 1: been taking a hammering lightly due to Donald Trump's Tara fiasco, 57 00:03:09,760 --> 00:03:12,800 Speaker 1: is leading efforts of DOGE to cut what it identifies 58 00:03:12,840 --> 00:03:16,480 Speaker 1: as fraud or waste, though technically a lot of that 59 00:03:16,520 --> 00:03:20,000 Speaker 1: fraud is government programs he doesn't like. Trump has long 60 00:03:20,160 --> 00:03:23,560 Speaker 1: railed against what he calls the deep state, the federal government, 61 00:03:24,080 --> 00:03:27,480 Speaker 1: and anyone who he thinks is not going along with 62 00:03:27,560 --> 00:03:31,560 Speaker 1: his agenda. Look, this is just yet another way to 63 00:03:31,720 --> 00:03:36,560 Speaker 1: turn the federal government against you, to dehumanize these people. 64 00:03:36,800 --> 00:03:38,480 Speaker 1: And by the way, I want to just say this 65 00:03:38,480 --> 00:03:41,080 Speaker 1: one more time. The people work in the federal government 66 00:03:41,120 --> 00:03:44,000 Speaker 1: are working in the federal government because they believe in 67 00:03:44,040 --> 00:03:47,400 Speaker 1: what the federal government is doing. Many many, many of 68 00:03:47,440 --> 00:03:50,240 Speaker 1: these people could make a lot more money in the 69 00:03:50,280 --> 00:03:54,920 Speaker 1: private sector the way Elon Musk did. But these people 70 00:03:55,080 --> 00:03:57,880 Speaker 1: are doing this because they believe in the sort of 71 00:03:58,000 --> 00:04:01,520 Speaker 1: good work that the government does. And it is really 72 00:04:01,560 --> 00:04:05,720 Speaker 1: disheartening to watch these people cut it up. 73 00:04:05,960 --> 00:04:09,040 Speaker 3: Speaking of cutting it up, many people notice that Social 74 00:04:09,040 --> 00:04:12,320 Speaker 3: Security is website crashed this week. Guess what caused it? 75 00:04:12,320 --> 00:04:15,800 Speaker 3: It was doge And now there's a very very interesting 76 00:04:15,880 --> 00:04:16,680 Speaker 3: reaction to this. 77 00:04:17,360 --> 00:04:20,520 Speaker 2: So I know you're going to be shocked again. 78 00:04:20,720 --> 00:04:24,279 Speaker 1: But part of what's happening here is that what Trump 79 00:04:24,320 --> 00:04:27,800 Speaker 1: and Elon considered to be fraud, waste, and abuse are 80 00:04:27,839 --> 00:04:30,280 Speaker 1: things they don't like. One of the things they don't 81 00:04:30,360 --> 00:04:34,039 Speaker 1: like is Social Security because it's expensive and it makes 82 00:04:34,120 --> 00:04:36,799 Speaker 1: up a lot of the government spending money that Donald Trump. 83 00:04:37,200 --> 00:04:38,800 Speaker 1: I don't know if you know this, but yesterday Donald 84 00:04:38,839 --> 00:04:42,440 Speaker 1: Trump said that they're going to up the Pentagon budget 85 00:04:42,520 --> 00:04:43,240 Speaker 1: a ton. 86 00:04:43,320 --> 00:04:45,400 Speaker 3: Right by trillion dollars, by. 87 00:04:45,440 --> 00:04:49,000 Speaker 1: Trillion dollars, and that money needs to come from somewhere, 88 00:04:49,080 --> 00:04:52,280 Speaker 1: and they would like it to come from Medicare, Medicaid, 89 00:04:52,400 --> 00:04:53,440 Speaker 1: and Social Security. 90 00:04:53,560 --> 00:04:55,320 Speaker 3: So who do we think we'll get some of that 91 00:04:55,360 --> 00:04:56,279 Speaker 3: Pentagon budget? 92 00:04:56,400 --> 00:05:01,440 Speaker 1: I don't know, certainly not private contractor Elon. So, look, 93 00:05:01,520 --> 00:05:04,479 Speaker 1: they want social Security not to work so that people 94 00:05:04,520 --> 00:05:05,400 Speaker 1: can't collect it. 95 00:05:05,520 --> 00:05:06,960 Speaker 2: And that's what we're seeing here. 96 00:05:07,400 --> 00:05:12,400 Speaker 1: The website is used by about seventy million Social Security 97 00:05:12,440 --> 00:05:17,000 Speaker 1: benefit recipients. By the way, you pay into social Security. 98 00:05:17,120 --> 00:05:21,040 Speaker 2: This is your money. This is not Elon Musk's money. 99 00:05:21,440 --> 00:05:21,960 Speaker 2: What to know. 100 00:05:22,000 --> 00:05:25,640 Speaker 1: The website has experienced multiple crashes and errors in recent weeks. 101 00:05:25,760 --> 00:05:29,359 Speaker 1: Just like Elon did to X nay Twitter, he is 102 00:05:29,400 --> 00:05:33,320 Speaker 1: now doing to Social Security. Earlier this months, some disability 103 00:05:33,320 --> 00:05:37,160 Speaker 1: payment recipients received notice on the my Social Security porthole 104 00:05:37,240 --> 00:05:40,080 Speaker 1: that they were no longer receiving benefits. The Washing Post 105 00:05:40,160 --> 00:05:44,640 Speaker 1: has a really heart wrenching story of a mother with 106 00:05:44,760 --> 00:05:49,520 Speaker 1: a disabled son who got an email that she was 107 00:05:49,600 --> 00:05:53,480 Speaker 1: not getting his Social Security benefits anymore. There's just a 108 00:05:53,760 --> 00:05:58,600 Speaker 1: ton of real hardship here. People are being retraumatized by 109 00:05:58,720 --> 00:06:02,839 Speaker 1: Elon Musk. And know this man, this is what he does, 110 00:06:02,960 --> 00:06:05,440 Speaker 1: so be prepared, non surprised. 111 00:06:06,000 --> 00:06:09,000 Speaker 3: So also speaking of things that does not surprise me. 112 00:06:09,200 --> 00:06:12,719 Speaker 3: The Supreme Court fucking sucks. This ruling they made about 113 00:06:12,880 --> 00:06:15,120 Speaker 3: deportations is not good. 114 00:06:15,680 --> 00:06:19,279 Speaker 1: Yes and no, this is a complicated ruin. They said 115 00:06:19,600 --> 00:06:23,200 Speaker 1: that Trump has a little more time on this, right, 116 00:06:23,360 --> 00:06:26,480 Speaker 1: they weren't going to get the guy back in the 117 00:06:26,600 --> 00:06:31,240 Speaker 1: time that they needed, So in that way, I don't 118 00:06:31,320 --> 00:06:33,600 Speaker 1: think it was a total victory for Trump, and I've 119 00:06:33,800 --> 00:06:38,240 Speaker 1: I've read a bunch about this. Basically, Barrett sided with 120 00:06:38,680 --> 00:06:42,440 Speaker 1: the liberals. They are saying that he can use this 121 00:06:42,560 --> 00:06:47,520 Speaker 1: Alien Enemies Act for deportation, but they're saying that these 122 00:06:47,680 --> 00:06:51,120 Speaker 1: people are entitled to due process, despite the fact that 123 00:06:51,200 --> 00:06:54,520 Speaker 1: they are not in this country legally. Trump world took 124 00:06:54,600 --> 00:06:57,280 Speaker 1: this as a big win, but the reality is Trump 125 00:06:57,360 --> 00:07:00,640 Speaker 1: World had been saying that people not in this country, 126 00:07:00,680 --> 00:07:04,480 Speaker 1: we're not entitled to do process. This decision says they 127 00:07:04,520 --> 00:07:08,880 Speaker 1: are entitled to do process. So well, Trump is able 128 00:07:08,960 --> 00:07:12,920 Speaker 1: to use the Alien Enemies Act, which is, by the way, bonkers, right, 129 00:07:13,040 --> 00:07:16,800 Speaker 1: it's a wartime power. You know, there's no war, so 130 00:07:17,120 --> 00:07:21,400 Speaker 1: it's completely bonkers. But at least there is one good thing, 131 00:07:21,440 --> 00:07:24,160 Speaker 1: which is it means that these people are entitled to 132 00:07:24,160 --> 00:07:26,960 Speaker 1: do process, which we all knew to be true. That 133 00:07:27,200 --> 00:07:29,880 Speaker 1: said Sonya, So to my air my one of my 134 00:07:30,040 --> 00:07:34,040 Speaker 1: favorite Supreme Court justices wrote a staggering descent. We as 135 00:07:34,080 --> 00:07:36,680 Speaker 1: a nation and a court of law should be better 136 00:07:36,720 --> 00:07:39,640 Speaker 1: than this. But there are five. 137 00:07:39,640 --> 00:07:42,320 Speaker 2: Fox News justices who say otherwise. 138 00:07:46,400 --> 00:07:50,280 Speaker 1: Dan Nathan is a c NBC contributor and co host 139 00:07:50,360 --> 00:07:52,560 Speaker 1: of the podcast Risk Reversal. 140 00:07:52,880 --> 00:07:55,440 Speaker 2: Welcome to Fast Politics, Dan Nathan. 141 00:07:55,400 --> 00:07:56,640 Speaker 4: Molly, it's great to be back with you. 142 00:07:56,920 --> 00:07:59,640 Speaker 2: Explain to us what is going on with the public markets? 143 00:07:59,840 --> 00:08:02,240 Speaker 5: All right, So we have a situation here where there's 144 00:08:02,320 --> 00:08:04,120 Speaker 5: very little guidance coming out of the White House. I 145 00:08:04,120 --> 00:08:06,440 Speaker 5: think there's very little clarity about what they're trying to 146 00:08:06,520 --> 00:08:08,560 Speaker 5: achieve with their tariff policy. 147 00:08:08,600 --> 00:08:09,800 Speaker 4: There's fears that the. 148 00:08:09,880 --> 00:08:13,240 Speaker 5: Tariff situation right here, if not resolved anytime soon, is 149 00:08:13,280 --> 00:08:16,520 Speaker 5: going to cause an economic recession. Markets usually try to 150 00:08:16,640 --> 00:08:18,160 Speaker 5: sniff that out ahead of time. 151 00:08:18,200 --> 00:08:19,679 Speaker 4: I think that's what they're doing here. 152 00:08:19,720 --> 00:08:21,679 Speaker 5: And so again you're going to hear this again and again, 153 00:08:21,720 --> 00:08:23,280 Speaker 5: and I've heard it on your podcast over the last 154 00:08:23,320 --> 00:08:25,760 Speaker 5: couple weeks. We can get talking about this. Public markets 155 00:08:25,800 --> 00:08:29,200 Speaker 5: do not like uncertainty. They like a level of clarity, 156 00:08:29,480 --> 00:08:32,720 Speaker 5: at least if they can't figure out what the endgame is. 157 00:08:32,800 --> 00:08:34,960 Speaker 5: They like to know the rules. And I think right 158 00:08:35,000 --> 00:08:37,600 Speaker 5: now the rules aren't particularly clear, and that's why you've 159 00:08:37,600 --> 00:08:41,440 Speaker 5: had this swoon lower in stocks, which really started in February. 160 00:08:41,480 --> 00:08:43,040 Speaker 5: But I think it was just a little bit of 161 00:08:43,040 --> 00:08:46,440 Speaker 5: trepidation that normally happens in the markets when you have 162 00:08:46,840 --> 00:08:49,880 Speaker 5: uncertainty about the economy. But then you throw in this 163 00:08:50,000 --> 00:08:53,520 Speaker 5: monkey wrench that really could you know, upend the US 164 00:08:53,600 --> 00:08:57,400 Speaker 5: economy and thus the global economy, and therefore investors start 165 00:08:57,520 --> 00:09:02,720 Speaker 5: discounting future earnings right, which basically causes them to sell stocks. 166 00:09:02,720 --> 00:09:04,360 Speaker 5: And that's what we've had over the last couple weeks. 167 00:09:04,480 --> 00:09:08,400 Speaker 1: Everyone is going to listen to this on Wednesday, and 168 00:09:08,920 --> 00:09:12,280 Speaker 1: so we'll have more volatility, whatever that looks like. But 169 00:09:12,360 --> 00:09:15,240 Speaker 1: I'm curious if you could just explain to us sort 170 00:09:15,240 --> 00:09:18,160 Speaker 1: of what you think would help the markets at this moment. 171 00:09:18,480 --> 00:09:21,800 Speaker 5: Yeah, one thing that helped yesterday was the notion that, 172 00:09:22,000 --> 00:09:23,960 Speaker 5: you know, there might be a push out of the 173 00:09:24,000 --> 00:09:26,120 Speaker 5: tariffs that are going into place this week, and I 174 00:09:26,160 --> 00:09:28,679 Speaker 5: think the rumor and it was unfounded that there was 175 00:09:28,720 --> 00:09:32,080 Speaker 5: going to be a ninety day moratorium basically on these 176 00:09:32,120 --> 00:09:34,680 Speaker 5: and giving some time to do these bilateral talks with 177 00:09:34,840 --> 00:09:38,120 Speaker 5: first Canada and Mexico and the EU and Japan. And 178 00:09:38,120 --> 00:09:40,840 Speaker 5: so that caused a massive rally in the stock market 179 00:09:40,840 --> 00:09:44,200 Speaker 5: that had been down fifteen percent in three trading days. 180 00:09:44,200 --> 00:09:47,360 Speaker 5: So here we are today, it's Tuesday, on the open. 181 00:09:47,640 --> 00:09:50,760 Speaker 5: The market followed through to the upside. So as we 182 00:09:50,840 --> 00:09:54,000 Speaker 5: say as traders, we see a sea of green out 183 00:09:54,040 --> 00:09:56,920 Speaker 5: there and a lot of stocks that got really over sold, 184 00:09:57,240 --> 00:09:59,320 Speaker 5: a rallying, and some of the ones that are meant 185 00:09:59,360 --> 00:10:02,400 Speaker 5: to be the hard hit by tariffs. Right, So you've 186 00:10:02,400 --> 00:10:05,960 Speaker 5: had this momentum back to the upside. But if nothing materializes, 187 00:10:06,400 --> 00:10:08,480 Speaker 5: you know, over the next few days or so, you're 188 00:10:08,480 --> 00:10:12,520 Speaker 5: going to see market participants kind of sell stocks again 189 00:10:12,720 --> 00:10:15,200 Speaker 5: because they don't again have the clarity. One thing I 190 00:10:15,200 --> 00:10:17,240 Speaker 5: want to be really clear about also is that you 191 00:10:17,280 --> 00:10:20,640 Speaker 5: know I just mentioned earnings, right, those are the drivers 192 00:10:20,640 --> 00:10:24,560 Speaker 5: of stocks for the most part. Every year, every quarter 193 00:10:24,840 --> 00:10:28,400 Speaker 5: we see four times that companies report their earnings and 194 00:10:28,440 --> 00:10:31,240 Speaker 5: they give guidance going forward about how they think that 195 00:10:31,760 --> 00:10:33,400 Speaker 5: those earnings are going to be over the next three 196 00:10:33,440 --> 00:10:33,880 Speaker 5: months or so. 197 00:10:34,240 --> 00:10:36,160 Speaker 4: That starts this Friday. 198 00:10:36,240 --> 00:10:40,040 Speaker 5: Some of the biggest banks, JP, Morgan, Wells, Fargo, Morgan Stanley, 199 00:10:40,160 --> 00:10:42,480 Speaker 5: They're all going to be reporting earnings, and what these 200 00:10:42,520 --> 00:10:45,839 Speaker 5: CEOs have to say about the current environment and then 201 00:10:45,920 --> 00:10:48,240 Speaker 5: looking past, let's say the next few months is going 202 00:10:48,320 --> 00:10:51,800 Speaker 5: to be really important for market sentiment. And so if 203 00:10:51,920 --> 00:10:54,240 Speaker 5: Jamie Diamond, the CEO of the largest bank in the 204 00:10:54,280 --> 00:10:57,600 Speaker 5: world on Friday morning, suggests that we don't have a 205 00:10:57,600 --> 00:11:00,920 Speaker 5: lot of clarity about how consumers are going to be spending, 206 00:11:01,080 --> 00:11:03,679 Speaker 5: how businesses are going to be spending, that's the sort 207 00:11:03,720 --> 00:11:06,200 Speaker 5: of thing that could really weigh on the stock market 208 00:11:06,280 --> 00:11:08,720 Speaker 5: as we get into this Q one earing season. 209 00:11:08,960 --> 00:11:11,280 Speaker 1: So one of the things that Trump World is pushing 210 00:11:11,320 --> 00:11:13,439 Speaker 1: back with is they're saying, well, there are people coming 211 00:11:13,480 --> 00:11:15,880 Speaker 1: to the negotiating table. We saw best and say that, 212 00:11:16,440 --> 00:11:21,800 Speaker 1: Terasury Secretary Scott Besson. But overnight we saw China go yeah, 213 00:11:21,920 --> 00:11:24,520 Speaker 1: but we're not. And in fact, they are sort of 214 00:11:24,600 --> 00:11:26,960 Speaker 1: escalating the trade war. And then Trump came back with 215 00:11:27,080 --> 00:11:30,840 Speaker 1: more tariffs, which would eat cool some crazy number of 216 00:11:31,040 --> 00:11:33,920 Speaker 1: you know, more tariff than the cost of the good 217 00:11:34,320 --> 00:11:35,640 Speaker 1: talk us through where that is. 218 00:11:35,960 --> 00:11:36,240 Speaker 4: Yeah. 219 00:11:36,280 --> 00:11:38,080 Speaker 5: So, and I think you and I talked about this 220 00:11:38,080 --> 00:11:39,600 Speaker 5: a couple of weeks ago, and it was last done. 221 00:11:39,760 --> 00:11:42,280 Speaker 5: I mean, I think a lot of folks, at least 222 00:11:42,360 --> 00:11:44,679 Speaker 5: in the markets, feel like, you know, the Trump administration 223 00:11:44,760 --> 00:11:46,840 Speaker 5: did this ass backwards. Right if you had gone to 224 00:11:47,000 --> 00:11:51,000 Speaker 5: our largest trading partners, which are also our largest allies 225 00:11:51,120 --> 00:11:54,280 Speaker 5: or most important allies and really behind the scenes struck 226 00:11:54,320 --> 00:11:56,600 Speaker 5: some deals that could have been used as a framework 227 00:11:56,679 --> 00:11:59,480 Speaker 5: right as you kind of expand out some of this 228 00:11:59,679 --> 00:12:02,960 Speaker 5: kind of tariff talk beyond those folks, you could have 229 00:12:03,040 --> 00:12:07,000 Speaker 5: then had a united front against China and really try 230 00:12:07,040 --> 00:12:09,480 Speaker 5: to get the rest of the world behind you and 231 00:12:09,559 --> 00:12:12,160 Speaker 5: the leadership and really kind of focus on, you know, 232 00:12:12,240 --> 00:12:14,200 Speaker 5: some of the ills that are kind of you know, 233 00:12:14,320 --> 00:12:17,760 Speaker 5: China and they're manufacturing have placed on the rest of 234 00:12:17,800 --> 00:12:20,640 Speaker 5: the world, and so that you know, the situation right 235 00:12:20,679 --> 00:12:22,719 Speaker 5: here is like as soon as you get. 236 00:12:22,520 --> 00:12:25,400 Speaker 4: A Japan deal or an EU deal, or a Canada. 237 00:12:25,120 --> 00:12:29,800 Speaker 5: Or Mexico, then the biggest target is China. And so again, 238 00:12:29,840 --> 00:12:32,160 Speaker 5: the Chinese are sitting back here and yeah, they're not 239 00:12:32,240 --> 00:12:35,720 Speaker 5: particularly excited about all the threats from Trump, but they're 240 00:12:35,760 --> 00:12:39,240 Speaker 5: looking at, you know, the fraying of relations between the 241 00:12:39,400 --> 00:12:41,720 Speaker 5: US and some of their biggest partners, and it goes 242 00:12:41,800 --> 00:12:45,600 Speaker 5: beyond just the economic implications. It goes to security and 243 00:12:45,640 --> 00:12:48,320 Speaker 5: the like. And you know, before this trade situation got 244 00:12:48,360 --> 00:12:51,120 Speaker 5: all dialed up, we were focused on the war in 245 00:12:51,240 --> 00:12:54,680 Speaker 5: Ukraine and some other geopolitical situations, and so they're looking 246 00:12:54,720 --> 00:12:57,400 Speaker 5: around and saying, you know what our economy is weak. 247 00:12:57,559 --> 00:13:00,320 Speaker 5: We're willing to stimulate it right now to kind of 248 00:13:00,320 --> 00:13:02,720 Speaker 5: help abate some of the kind of worst case scenarios 249 00:13:02,760 --> 00:13:05,079 Speaker 5: as it relates to this trade war. And we're also 250 00:13:05,160 --> 00:13:07,840 Speaker 5: going to play a heavy hand back to them because 251 00:13:07,840 --> 00:13:10,640 Speaker 5: you know the Chinese, you know that whole notion of face. 252 00:13:10,679 --> 00:13:13,520 Speaker 5: They don't like to be embarrassed. So the ratcheting up 253 00:13:13,559 --> 00:13:16,200 Speaker 5: of this with China really only makes the stakes that 254 00:13:16,320 --> 00:13:18,840 Speaker 5: much higher. And ultimately, if you do get some sort 255 00:13:18,880 --> 00:13:21,520 Speaker 5: of deal, it may end up being the sort of 256 00:13:21,520 --> 00:13:26,480 Speaker 5: situation that's not particularly palatable to either economy or either country, 257 00:13:26,520 --> 00:13:29,320 Speaker 5: and it could weigh on global growth and thus put 258 00:13:29,320 --> 00:13:32,240 Speaker 5: the potentially the world in a recession, which will not 259 00:13:32,360 --> 00:13:35,760 Speaker 5: be obviously a good thing from an economic standpoint, from 260 00:13:35,800 --> 00:13:38,439 Speaker 5: a political standpoint, and then also as you think about 261 00:13:38,440 --> 00:13:41,120 Speaker 5: what's going on in markets, which is kind of important 262 00:13:41,160 --> 00:13:43,160 Speaker 5: if you just think about the wealth of nations, the 263 00:13:43,200 --> 00:13:45,640 Speaker 5: wealth of consumers and the like. The last time we 264 00:13:45,760 --> 00:13:50,000 Speaker 5: had a major global recession was the financial crisis, obviously, 265 00:13:50,000 --> 00:13:52,520 Speaker 5: and you could think about COVID and you know, financial 266 00:13:52,559 --> 00:13:54,960 Speaker 5: assets get absolutely destroyed in those environments. 267 00:13:55,200 --> 00:13:58,160 Speaker 1: Trump has a sort of opportunity now to sort of 268 00:13:58,200 --> 00:14:01,679 Speaker 1: make some deals and then sort of back down and 269 00:14:01,760 --> 00:14:04,120 Speaker 1: save face the way he kind of did with NATO 270 00:14:04,240 --> 00:14:07,440 Speaker 1: the first time, right where he sort of renegotiated a 271 00:14:07,480 --> 00:14:10,040 Speaker 1: deal that didn't really make any difference. And you know, 272 00:14:10,080 --> 00:14:12,760 Speaker 1: he's kind of like been very good at solving problems 273 00:14:12,880 --> 00:14:16,320 Speaker 1: that he created, very very good at that. But if 274 00:14:16,440 --> 00:14:19,200 Speaker 1: China keeps going with this trend ward, he won't be 275 00:14:19,240 --> 00:14:20,320 Speaker 1: able to is that right? 276 00:14:20,760 --> 00:14:23,560 Speaker 5: Well, it really depends that you think about, you know, 277 00:14:23,600 --> 00:14:26,840 Speaker 5: the Chinese and their manufacturing infrastructure, and you know when 278 00:14:26,920 --> 00:14:29,760 Speaker 5: he looks at the deficit that we have, you know, 279 00:14:29,800 --> 00:14:32,520 Speaker 5: we import a lot more than they import from us. 280 00:14:32,640 --> 00:14:34,680 Speaker 5: That is really at the crux of kind of the 281 00:14:34,720 --> 00:14:37,080 Speaker 5: way he's thinking about this as zero sum game, and 282 00:14:37,200 --> 00:14:38,800 Speaker 5: it just isn't that, you know what I mean When 283 00:14:38,840 --> 00:14:40,880 Speaker 5: you think about it, China is one of the largest 284 00:14:40,920 --> 00:14:43,920 Speaker 5: holders of our debt. When they hold our debt in 285 00:14:44,040 --> 00:14:47,240 Speaker 5: dollar terms, they help fund our debt, right, So the 286 00:14:47,320 --> 00:14:51,280 Speaker 5: idea that we export more to China, right then they 287 00:14:51,440 --> 00:14:54,840 Speaker 5: export to us. Well, when they have that net difference, 288 00:14:54,880 --> 00:14:57,600 Speaker 5: they're buying US treasuries because US treasuries are meant to 289 00:14:57,640 --> 00:15:00,800 Speaker 5: be the safest risk asset on the planet. Also, more 290 00:15:00,880 --> 00:15:04,600 Speaker 5: demand for US dollars, right, which helps US fund our debt. 291 00:15:04,800 --> 00:15:07,800 Speaker 5: So if a big part of this trade policy or 292 00:15:07,840 --> 00:15:12,320 Speaker 5: these tariffs are basically to help lower our debt and deficit, 293 00:15:12,640 --> 00:15:14,400 Speaker 5: you know, it doesn't make a lot of sense that 294 00:15:14,440 --> 00:15:16,640 Speaker 5: you're going to, you know, basically deenalize some of the 295 00:15:16,720 --> 00:15:19,440 Speaker 5: largest holders of our debt. So you know, it's obviously 296 00:15:19,480 --> 00:15:21,800 Speaker 5: pretty complicated. If you're sitting out here and you listen 297 00:15:21,840 --> 00:15:23,760 Speaker 5: to Mali and you're a politico and you're trying to 298 00:15:23,760 --> 00:15:26,120 Speaker 5: make sense of this, you know, maybe what I'm speaking 299 00:15:26,120 --> 00:15:28,120 Speaker 5: to is a little bit of Greek. But when I 300 00:15:28,200 --> 00:15:31,760 Speaker 5: think about what I'm hearing from the Trump administration by 301 00:15:31,960 --> 00:15:35,560 Speaker 5: supposedly some very smart people like Treasury Secretary Scott Besson, 302 00:15:35,800 --> 00:15:37,920 Speaker 5: they're not making a lot of sense. When I hear 303 00:15:37,960 --> 00:15:40,840 Speaker 5: Besson go on Meet the Press on Sunday morning and 304 00:15:40,880 --> 00:15:43,680 Speaker 5: I listen to what he's trying to articulate to a 305 00:15:43,680 --> 00:15:47,280 Speaker 5: bunch of folks that are not staring at markets every day, right, 306 00:15:47,280 --> 00:15:49,840 Speaker 5: They're not that in tune with what goes on with 307 00:15:49,920 --> 00:15:53,480 Speaker 5: the economy. I don't think it's a particularly calming sort 308 00:15:53,480 --> 00:15:55,240 Speaker 5: of commentary that he had. And by the way, I 309 00:15:55,280 --> 00:15:57,120 Speaker 5: don't know if you saw this. He looks really nervous 310 00:15:57,240 --> 00:15:59,760 Speaker 5: and he wasn't making a whole a lot of sense. 311 00:16:00,040 --> 00:16:02,200 Speaker 5: So I think a lot of folks watching this over 312 00:16:02,280 --> 00:16:06,200 Speaker 5: the weekend. Maybe they weren't paying attention last week, but 313 00:16:06,280 --> 00:16:08,640 Speaker 5: they certainly were paying attention over the weekend. And I 314 00:16:08,760 --> 00:16:11,040 Speaker 5: think that when they see their four to one ks 315 00:16:11,160 --> 00:16:13,920 Speaker 5: lose value in the speed in which they did, they 316 00:16:13,960 --> 00:16:16,360 Speaker 5: start thinking to themselves, wait a minute, we have a 317 00:16:16,400 --> 00:16:19,480 Speaker 5: real confidence problem. And when investors lose confidence in the 318 00:16:19,560 --> 00:16:21,600 Speaker 5: leaders who are meant to kind of steer the ship, 319 00:16:21,720 --> 00:16:23,800 Speaker 5: that's when you get the sort of volatility, at least 320 00:16:23,800 --> 00:16:25,880 Speaker 5: the downward volatility that we've seen over the last week 321 00:16:25,920 --> 00:16:26,640 Speaker 5: and a half or so. 322 00:16:26,800 --> 00:16:29,760 Speaker 1: Some of this stuff Trump Blantz is not actually deliberable. 323 00:16:29,840 --> 00:16:32,760 Speaker 1: I'm thinking about the EU. He's very mad at the 324 00:16:32,800 --> 00:16:35,640 Speaker 1: EU for any number of reasons. He said that it 325 00:16:35,800 --> 00:16:39,600 Speaker 1: was set up to cheat the US. The EU has 326 00:16:39,760 --> 00:16:42,720 Speaker 1: a bunch of fees that are not really tariffs, but 327 00:16:42,760 --> 00:16:44,240 Speaker 1: that everyone has to pay. 328 00:16:44,360 --> 00:16:46,000 Speaker 2: He is very offended by this. 329 00:16:46,320 --> 00:16:49,080 Speaker 1: I mean, doesn't this seem like a situation that would 330 00:16:49,120 --> 00:16:51,360 Speaker 1: be theoretically at least impossible to win. 331 00:16:51,640 --> 00:16:54,440 Speaker 5: It would because he's trying to change tax policy in 332 00:16:54,480 --> 00:16:57,360 Speaker 5: these countries or this block, right, And that's one of 333 00:16:57,400 --> 00:16:59,160 Speaker 5: the things, is like it's one thing if you want 334 00:16:59,160 --> 00:17:02,000 Speaker 5: to impose tear it kind of even the playing field 335 00:17:02,000 --> 00:17:04,160 Speaker 5: as you think about, you know, you kind of being 336 00:17:04,200 --> 00:17:07,159 Speaker 5: disadvantaged in one way, shape or form. And obviously autos 337 00:17:07,240 --> 00:17:08,800 Speaker 5: is a big part of this. You know, the Germans 338 00:17:08,800 --> 00:17:11,560 Speaker 5: obviously produce a lot of automobiles. And he's pissed off 339 00:17:11,600 --> 00:17:15,320 Speaker 5: that we sell so much fewer, right cars into let's say, 340 00:17:15,320 --> 00:17:17,080 Speaker 5: the EU than the vice versa. 341 00:17:17,200 --> 00:17:18,320 Speaker 4: But they make better cars. 342 00:17:18,320 --> 00:17:20,760 Speaker 5: It's just that simple, right, And they make different cars 343 00:17:20,760 --> 00:17:23,000 Speaker 5: that have different you know, kind of sensibilities as it 344 00:17:23,040 --> 00:17:26,119 Speaker 5: relates to you know, size and power and all that 345 00:17:26,160 --> 00:17:28,679 Speaker 5: sort of stuff and energy consumption or whatever. So you know, 346 00:17:28,760 --> 00:17:31,000 Speaker 5: some of these things are just for him. He's locked 347 00:17:31,040 --> 00:17:33,160 Speaker 5: in the eighties and we know this, you know, when 348 00:17:33,200 --> 00:17:36,320 Speaker 5: the US was at this economic war over autos with 349 00:17:36,680 --> 00:17:38,960 Speaker 5: you know Japan and you know the Japanese. It's the 350 00:17:39,000 --> 00:17:41,480 Speaker 5: same sort of situation. He bitches and moans about that 351 00:17:41,520 --> 00:17:44,679 Speaker 5: there's no US cars you know on the on the 352 00:17:44,800 --> 00:17:47,240 Speaker 5: on the roads in Japan. Well, it's the same sort 353 00:17:47,240 --> 00:17:50,119 Speaker 5: of thing. They have different sensibilities, they make better cars. 354 00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:52,520 Speaker 5: Their people want to buy those cars. So a lot 355 00:17:52,520 --> 00:17:54,199 Speaker 5: of this stuff and I think you just said it, 356 00:17:54,200 --> 00:17:56,120 Speaker 5: and you know, he's looking through the lens of kind 357 00:17:56,160 --> 00:17:59,520 Speaker 5: of forty years ago. He creates problems, he tries to 358 00:17:59,560 --> 00:18:02,040 Speaker 5: create his own solutions so he can kind of, you know, 359 00:18:02,200 --> 00:18:04,560 Speaker 5: kind of I don't know, you know, suggest that he 360 00:18:04,600 --> 00:18:07,479 Speaker 5: got to win. So yeah, and it's just not working 361 00:18:07,480 --> 00:18:10,200 Speaker 5: with global trade. It's just, you know, the more globalization 362 00:18:10,320 --> 00:18:12,520 Speaker 5: we have, the more that we depend on each other, 363 00:18:12,720 --> 00:18:14,960 Speaker 5: you know, for manufacturing and parts and all this sort 364 00:18:15,000 --> 00:18:16,960 Speaker 5: of stuff, the harder it is to kind of put 365 00:18:16,960 --> 00:18:19,320 Speaker 5: these sort of economic barriers on because you do have 366 00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:22,520 Speaker 5: the potential for the sort of dislocation that the markets 367 00:18:22,560 --> 00:18:23,600 Speaker 5: are pricing in right now. 368 00:18:23,760 --> 00:18:27,399 Speaker 1: We have historically always had American guards and they're actually 369 00:18:27,480 --> 00:18:27,920 Speaker 1: really good. 370 00:18:27,920 --> 00:18:30,399 Speaker 2: But the problem is a lot of them are enormous. 371 00:18:30,520 --> 00:18:34,000 Speaker 1: So you're not going to be selling Chevy suburbans or 372 00:18:34,080 --> 00:18:38,880 Speaker 1: Chevy tahoes too small countries in Europe with tiny cobblestone streets. 373 00:18:38,880 --> 00:18:41,400 Speaker 1: It's just not going to happen. And I think that 374 00:18:41,560 --> 00:18:45,159 Speaker 1: is also a consideration. I'm curious this is, you know what. 375 00:18:45,200 --> 00:18:47,560 Speaker 1: There's also we talk a lot about those sort of 376 00:18:47,640 --> 00:18:51,960 Speaker 1: market numbers. But these tariffs, they're not even in effect yet, right, 377 00:18:52,040 --> 00:18:53,800 Speaker 1: and they're already making. 378 00:18:53,480 --> 00:18:56,080 Speaker 2: Things more expensive. Talk to me about where we're going 379 00:18:56,160 --> 00:18:59,720 Speaker 2: to see that. I was reading online that guyde work 380 00:18:59,720 --> 00:19:01,800 Speaker 2: where he's one of my favorites, and he was talking 381 00:19:01,800 --> 00:19:05,080 Speaker 2: about how surt's are even twenty thirty dollars more already. 382 00:19:05,240 --> 00:19:08,240 Speaker 2: Explain to us why trade wars are so inflationary. 383 00:19:08,680 --> 00:19:10,280 Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, at the end of the day, if 384 00:19:10,280 --> 00:19:15,120 Speaker 5: Trump is trying to convince US companies to reshore manufacturing, right, 385 00:19:15,200 --> 00:19:17,400 Speaker 5: and so if that really is you know, what they're 386 00:19:17,400 --> 00:19:19,280 Speaker 5: trying to do, then all of a sudden, you know, 387 00:19:19,440 --> 00:19:23,840 Speaker 5: demand here in the US, you know, for the manufacturing 388 00:19:23,960 --> 00:19:26,359 Speaker 5: of these factories is going to cause inflation. 389 00:19:26,560 --> 00:19:26,760 Speaker 3: Right. 390 00:19:26,800 --> 00:19:29,960 Speaker 5: It's going to hit margins of companies that manufacture this 391 00:19:30,040 --> 00:19:32,200 Speaker 5: sort of stuff, So they're going to have to raise prices, 392 00:19:32,240 --> 00:19:35,000 Speaker 5: which is going to actually have an effect on demand. 393 00:19:35,200 --> 00:19:37,119 Speaker 5: Right when you think about that, So you get in 394 00:19:37,160 --> 00:19:40,639 Speaker 5: a situation where you can foresee that the dislocations of 395 00:19:40,680 --> 00:19:44,000 Speaker 5: supply chains which we saw during COVID made the price 396 00:19:44,080 --> 00:19:47,080 Speaker 5: of goods and services go up, right, So if you're 397 00:19:47,119 --> 00:19:50,919 Speaker 5: forcing US companies to bring back manufacturing here, there's no 398 00:19:51,119 --> 00:19:53,919 Speaker 5: other way that it's going to raise prices because of 399 00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:56,800 Speaker 5: all the costs to kind of reorient that, to retool 400 00:19:56,840 --> 00:20:00,200 Speaker 5: factories or build factories, to kind of hire workers here. 401 00:20:00,240 --> 00:20:02,080 Speaker 5: They're a lot more expensive here than they are in 402 00:20:02,160 --> 00:20:04,639 Speaker 5: Vietnam or China and the like here. So when you 403 00:20:04,680 --> 00:20:07,439 Speaker 5: think about all this in the near term, all this 404 00:20:07,600 --> 00:20:12,320 Speaker 5: uncertainty causes companies outside the idea of you know, reshoring 405 00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:15,879 Speaker 5: manufacturing to kind of slow up some other sort of 406 00:20:15,920 --> 00:20:19,000 Speaker 5: expenditures that they have, which is capax you know, outside 407 00:20:19,000 --> 00:20:21,600 Speaker 5: of manufacturing or R and D I'm in the like. 408 00:20:21,680 --> 00:20:23,600 Speaker 5: And so you get into a situation that we've talked 409 00:20:23,640 --> 00:20:27,359 Speaker 5: about for a while. If that slows growth right and 410 00:20:27,440 --> 00:20:30,720 Speaker 5: demand is weakened because of weakening economy, then you get 411 00:20:30,720 --> 00:20:34,320 Speaker 5: in the stagflationary sort of environment, which again is not 412 00:20:34,440 --> 00:20:35,760 Speaker 5: a good situation. 413 00:20:35,600 --> 00:20:36,080 Speaker 4: To be in. 414 00:20:36,160 --> 00:20:38,439 Speaker 5: We haven't been there since kind of the mid to 415 00:20:38,520 --> 00:20:42,359 Speaker 5: late seventies or so, and so again, what's different about 416 00:20:42,359 --> 00:20:45,520 Speaker 5: this time versus let's say the seventies, is just the 417 00:20:45,680 --> 00:20:49,199 Speaker 5: increased globalization, the reliance that we have on all of 418 00:20:49,200 --> 00:20:52,199 Speaker 5: these supply chains, whether it's manufacturing of cars here and 419 00:20:52,280 --> 00:20:55,760 Speaker 5: parts coming from Mexico or Canada, whether it's housing here 420 00:20:56,000 --> 00:20:59,680 Speaker 5: and the reliance on you know, lumber from Canada. I mean, 421 00:20:59,720 --> 00:21:04,199 Speaker 5: it's reliance on rare earth materials and electric batteries that 422 00:21:04,280 --> 00:21:09,120 Speaker 5: come from China into Tesla cars or other evs here 423 00:21:09,119 --> 00:21:12,240 Speaker 5: in the US, right, whether it's our reliance on energy 424 00:21:12,280 --> 00:21:13,960 Speaker 5: from those sorts of things. So if you have this 425 00:21:14,040 --> 00:21:16,280 Speaker 5: tip for Tad and you go back and forth with 426 00:21:16,359 --> 00:21:19,560 Speaker 5: your trading partners ratcheting up the taxes, and make no 427 00:21:19,680 --> 00:21:23,199 Speaker 5: mistake about it, these tariffs are on taxes, it's going 428 00:21:23,280 --> 00:21:26,479 Speaker 5: to cause inflation. And we know that inflation hurts the 429 00:21:26,520 --> 00:21:29,840 Speaker 5: middle class and lower earners here in the US. So 430 00:21:30,160 --> 00:21:34,480 Speaker 5: again that's the risk of causing consumer slow down and spending, 431 00:21:34,760 --> 00:21:37,639 Speaker 5: corporate slow down and spending based on all of this 432 00:21:37,840 --> 00:21:42,520 Speaker 5: demand for reshoring of manufacturing here, which you're going to 433 00:21:42,560 --> 00:21:45,200 Speaker 5: take a long time to do. It's going to take three, five, 434 00:21:45,520 --> 00:21:47,679 Speaker 5: ten years for a lot of this sort of stuff 435 00:21:47,680 --> 00:21:49,639 Speaker 5: to happen. And that's one of the reasons why you 436 00:21:49,720 --> 00:21:52,480 Speaker 5: see now the billionaire class. Ken Griffin one of the 437 00:21:52,560 --> 00:21:55,520 Speaker 5: richest men here in the US. He runs Citadel, which 438 00:21:55,560 --> 00:21:57,760 Speaker 5: is one of the most successful hedge funds. He's out 439 00:21:57,800 --> 00:22:01,680 Speaker 5: this morning suggesting that this is a horrible policy. We've 440 00:22:01,680 --> 00:22:04,840 Speaker 5: seen this by a bunch of others, Stan Druckemiller, who's 441 00:22:04,880 --> 00:22:06,800 Speaker 5: also one of the wealthiest men in the world, also 442 00:22:06,840 --> 00:22:09,640 Speaker 5: a hedge funder. This is the sort of stuff that 443 00:22:09,800 --> 00:22:12,960 Speaker 5: might actually start to get into the thick skull of 444 00:22:13,000 --> 00:22:16,000 Speaker 5: Treasury Secretary Beston, who, by the way, used to work 445 00:22:16,160 --> 00:22:17,119 Speaker 5: for drug a Miller. 446 00:22:17,240 --> 00:22:18,120 Speaker 4: Right, so a lot of. 447 00:22:18,040 --> 00:22:21,000 Speaker 5: These folks speak his language, but for some reason he's 448 00:22:21,040 --> 00:22:23,919 Speaker 5: speaking the language of Trump, which gives you know, I 449 00:22:23,960 --> 00:22:27,040 Speaker 5: think it gives a CEO class and consumers less confidence 450 00:22:27,080 --> 00:22:27,320 Speaker 5: in the. 451 00:22:27,240 --> 00:22:30,680 Speaker 1: Policies explained to us about stagflation, because we've talked about 452 00:22:30,680 --> 00:22:31,080 Speaker 1: it a lot. 453 00:22:31,160 --> 00:22:33,960 Speaker 2: It's the nightmare scenario. Just give us two minutes on 454 00:22:34,040 --> 00:22:35,240 Speaker 2: what it is and what it does. 455 00:22:35,520 --> 00:22:37,520 Speaker 5: Yeah, and so this goes back to the whole idea 456 00:22:37,680 --> 00:22:40,800 Speaker 5: of restoring or just increased costs that are you know, 457 00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:43,600 Speaker 5: kind of put on a US consumer. Let's just focus 458 00:22:43,640 --> 00:22:47,080 Speaker 5: on the US here because of you know, these teriffs, right, 459 00:22:47,119 --> 00:22:48,560 Speaker 5: and then that causes a. 460 00:22:48,640 --> 00:22:50,120 Speaker 4: Slowing of growth. Right. 461 00:22:50,280 --> 00:22:54,480 Speaker 5: Two thirds of our GDP of our economy basically is 462 00:22:54,680 --> 00:22:57,879 Speaker 5: US consumer spending, which also speaks a little bit too, 463 00:22:58,240 --> 00:23:02,880 Speaker 5: why we have these trade deficits. We are addicted to consuming, right, 464 00:23:02,920 --> 00:23:05,280 Speaker 5: We also like cheap goods. So if you have a 465 00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:09,880 Speaker 5: situation where growth is slowing, unemployment is going higher because 466 00:23:09,880 --> 00:23:12,800 Speaker 5: of the tariffs, right, and you have inflation that's sticking 467 00:23:12,840 --> 00:23:15,320 Speaker 5: around for a lot of the same reasons, then you 468 00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:20,160 Speaker 5: get into the stagflationary environment, which actually hurts consumer spending. 469 00:23:20,200 --> 00:23:22,840 Speaker 5: Going back full circle here, and so it's just an 470 00:23:22,920 --> 00:23:26,960 Speaker 5: environment that if you're focused on investments, if you're focused 471 00:23:27,000 --> 00:23:29,359 Speaker 5: on your four oh one k, it will not be 472 00:23:29,520 --> 00:23:32,080 Speaker 5: good for us corporate earnings, which goes back to what 473 00:23:32,080 --> 00:23:34,040 Speaker 5: we were just talking about, which should be one of 474 00:23:34,080 --> 00:23:38,240 Speaker 5: the major drivers, right of the stock market. And so 475 00:23:38,440 --> 00:23:42,400 Speaker 5: stagflation bad for risk assets, bad for employment, bad for 476 00:23:42,600 --> 00:23:45,159 Speaker 5: you know, like consumers who are trying to kind of 477 00:23:45,280 --> 00:23:47,399 Speaker 5: keep a nest egg here. And so that's one of 478 00:23:47,440 --> 00:23:49,399 Speaker 5: the situations where I think a lot of folks are 479 00:23:49,480 --> 00:23:54,439 Speaker 5: very worried about protracted trade war causing stagflation at a 480 00:23:54,480 --> 00:23:57,240 Speaker 5: time where we're worried about that last year before we 481 00:23:57,320 --> 00:23:58,560 Speaker 5: got into this trade war. 482 00:23:58,640 --> 00:23:59,960 Speaker 4: And so that's one of the reasons why I think 483 00:24:00,000 --> 00:24:00,359 Speaker 4: a lot. 484 00:24:00,200 --> 00:24:02,520 Speaker 5: Of folks want to see a quick end to this. 485 00:24:02,520 --> 00:24:06,840 Speaker 2: Trade war and stagflation is sort of self perpetuating. Right. 486 00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:09,600 Speaker 1: Often in the recession, things will get cheaper, but this 487 00:24:09,840 --> 00:24:13,520 Speaker 1: is a recession with inflation, so it means everything is 488 00:24:13,560 --> 00:24:17,440 Speaker 1: more expensive. Plus the economies in a downturn. Right, that's 489 00:24:17,520 --> 00:24:19,320 Speaker 1: the night nurse scenario now. 490 00:24:19,119 --> 00:24:22,320 Speaker 5: And you might see the headline numbers of inflation come 491 00:24:22,359 --> 00:24:25,679 Speaker 5: in a little bit, especially as consumers have less buying 492 00:24:25,760 --> 00:24:28,600 Speaker 5: power and there's less demand for goods and services. But 493 00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:31,040 Speaker 5: you have to think of it now as the cumulative 494 00:24:31,160 --> 00:24:34,840 Speaker 5: nature of inflation over the last four years. You also 495 00:24:34,920 --> 00:24:37,560 Speaker 5: have to think about the fact that interest rates are 496 00:24:37,720 --> 00:24:40,720 Speaker 5: likely to stay high to battle inflation, because the last 497 00:24:40,720 --> 00:24:42,480 Speaker 5: thing they want to do is kind of go into 498 00:24:42,480 --> 00:24:45,640 Speaker 5: a situation where inflation picks up a great deal at 499 00:24:45,640 --> 00:24:48,320 Speaker 5: a time where going back to the growth where growth 500 00:24:48,359 --> 00:24:50,600 Speaker 5: is kind of weak. Right, So that's the push and 501 00:24:50,600 --> 00:24:52,280 Speaker 5: pull here. And the last thing I'll just say about 502 00:24:52,280 --> 00:24:56,040 Speaker 5: this is that in past recessionary environments, what the US 503 00:24:56,080 --> 00:24:59,840 Speaker 5: Federal Reserve would do is lower interest rates. 504 00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:04,080 Speaker 1: One thing Trump desperately wants and is trying to transmit. 505 00:25:04,359 --> 00:25:07,040 Speaker 5: He's trying to transmit that he doesn't have control over 506 00:25:07,160 --> 00:25:10,719 Speaker 5: the US Federal Reserve, which sets policy as it relates 507 00:25:10,760 --> 00:25:14,160 Speaker 5: to interest rates. They don't want to lower interest rates 508 00:25:14,200 --> 00:25:18,159 Speaker 5: because they feel like that could stoke inflation once again. 509 00:25:18,280 --> 00:25:21,000 Speaker 5: So the Trump administration has kind of backed themselves in 510 00:25:21,080 --> 00:25:24,960 Speaker 5: a corner coming out so aggressive on the terrace, because 511 00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:27,560 Speaker 5: if they are not able to strike some sort of 512 00:25:27,640 --> 00:25:31,240 Speaker 5: deals right at this point, then there's really nothing that 513 00:25:31,280 --> 00:25:33,679 Speaker 5: they can do because the Fed is most focused on 514 00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:37,280 Speaker 5: really keeping inflation at bay, and they're also really focused 515 00:25:37,280 --> 00:25:38,080 Speaker 5: on the jobs market. 516 00:25:38,160 --> 00:25:39,120 Speaker 4: They have a dual mandate. 517 00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:42,199 Speaker 5: It's stable prices, that's as you speak about inflation and 518 00:25:42,280 --> 00:25:46,720 Speaker 5: full employment, and they're worried about a recession causing employment 519 00:25:47,000 --> 00:25:50,359 Speaker 5: to go basically much lower it Right now, you know, 520 00:25:50,640 --> 00:25:53,680 Speaker 5: the unemployment rate is really near lows at four point 521 00:25:53,720 --> 00:25:55,959 Speaker 5: two percent or something like that. So the Fed has 522 00:25:56,040 --> 00:25:58,280 Speaker 5: a really tricky job and the White House has kind 523 00:25:58,280 --> 00:26:00,560 Speaker 5: of backed themselves in a corner. But they've also put 524 00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:03,320 Speaker 5: a lot of pressure on Fed shairpal to do something 525 00:26:03,320 --> 00:26:04,600 Speaker 5: that he does not want to do. 526 00:26:04,960 --> 00:26:07,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, and it's really not up to Trump, it's really 527 00:26:07,880 --> 00:26:10,359 Speaker 1: up to the Fed. So we will see more push 528 00:26:10,400 --> 00:26:13,920 Speaker 1: and pull, and again I'm interesting to see everybody come 529 00:26:13,960 --> 00:26:14,720 Speaker 1: out against this. 530 00:26:14,920 --> 00:26:18,240 Speaker 2: We'll see how it goes. Dan Nathan, thank you so much. 531 00:26:18,720 --> 00:26:20,320 Speaker 4: Thanks Molly. Great to be back with you. 532 00:26:22,400 --> 00:26:26,640 Speaker 1: John Allen is a senior national political reporter at NBC. 533 00:26:26,960 --> 00:26:31,360 Speaker 1: Amy Parnis is a senior correspondent at The Hill, and 534 00:26:31,400 --> 00:26:34,760 Speaker 1: they are both the authors of Fight Inside the Wildest 535 00:26:34,800 --> 00:26:39,840 Speaker 1: Battle for the White House. Welcome to Fast Politics, Amy and. 536 00:26:39,840 --> 00:26:43,720 Speaker 2: John, Thanks Molly, thank you. Let's talk about this book. Fight. 537 00:26:44,119 --> 00:26:48,320 Speaker 1: First of all, it starts with the debate that basically 538 00:26:48,400 --> 00:26:49,440 Speaker 1: changed everything. 539 00:26:49,760 --> 00:26:51,320 Speaker 2: You get into people's heads. 540 00:26:51,440 --> 00:26:54,000 Speaker 1: You have a bunch of sort of different people who 541 00:26:54,000 --> 00:26:58,240 Speaker 1: are processing the debate. I know why you started there, 542 00:26:58,320 --> 00:27:01,240 Speaker 1: but I also want to know, like, as it was happening, 543 00:27:01,280 --> 00:27:04,640 Speaker 1: because all of this just happened, were you guys like, oh, 544 00:27:04,680 --> 00:27:06,160 Speaker 1: this is where we're going to start this. 545 00:27:06,560 --> 00:27:09,960 Speaker 6: So interestingly, Molly, when the debate happened, we didn't even 546 00:27:10,080 --> 00:27:12,560 Speaker 6: have a book deal. We were not planning to write 547 00:27:12,560 --> 00:27:14,560 Speaker 6: a book about this election. We wrote one about the 548 00:27:14,600 --> 00:27:17,280 Speaker 6: twenty sixteen election. We were on about the twenty twenty election, 549 00:27:17,400 --> 00:27:19,040 Speaker 6: and we were off on a different project and this 550 00:27:19,160 --> 00:27:21,959 Speaker 6: debate happens, and we had looked at this election as 551 00:27:22,040 --> 00:27:23,480 Speaker 6: kind of I don't want to say. 552 00:27:23,480 --> 00:27:25,360 Speaker 4: Dull, but maybe a little more doll. 553 00:27:25,480 --> 00:27:28,280 Speaker 6: I mean you've got Joe Biden running against Donald Trump 554 00:27:28,359 --> 00:27:29,880 Speaker 6: in a rematch, and it. 555 00:27:29,840 --> 00:27:32,040 Speaker 2: Just wasn't Yeah, double haters. 556 00:27:32,440 --> 00:27:35,879 Speaker 6: Yeah, that's right. It was the double hater election. Like 557 00:27:35,920 --> 00:27:39,160 Speaker 6: who's going to be least aided by the double haters? 558 00:27:39,160 --> 00:27:41,639 Speaker 6: And so when the debate happened, we didn't even know 559 00:27:41,720 --> 00:27:44,000 Speaker 6: we were going to write. And then, you know, a 560 00:27:44,040 --> 00:27:49,040 Speaker 6: week into the Democratic infighting, maybe ten days, the publisher 561 00:27:49,080 --> 00:27:51,120 Speaker 6: called an asked us if we would do an election book, 562 00:27:51,119 --> 00:27:52,959 Speaker 6: and we were so like, we jumped out it. We 563 00:27:52,960 --> 00:27:56,320 Speaker 6: were like, absolutely, because whatever happens from now until November 564 00:27:56,400 --> 00:27:59,359 Speaker 6: is going to be the most electric, most intense, most 565 00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:02,399 Speaker 6: revealing period of American politics in our entire lives. And 566 00:28:02,600 --> 00:28:03,800 Speaker 6: it turned out to be all of that. 567 00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:05,159 Speaker 2: Do you think that's true? 568 00:28:05,440 --> 00:28:05,840 Speaker 4: Yeah? 569 00:28:05,960 --> 00:28:08,400 Speaker 6: Why would I say that if I didn't. 570 00:28:08,880 --> 00:28:12,320 Speaker 1: I'm just like thinking through sort of that's a bold statement, 571 00:28:12,440 --> 00:28:12,959 Speaker 1: my friend. 572 00:28:13,119 --> 00:28:17,359 Speaker 7: I mean, what election results in a candidate switch to 573 00:28:17,560 --> 00:28:21,840 Speaker 7: attempted assassinations? It was intense. We've covered quite a few 574 00:28:21,880 --> 00:28:25,440 Speaker 7: of these, John, and this was pretty much the most 575 00:28:25,480 --> 00:28:26,240 Speaker 7: intense one. 576 00:28:26,720 --> 00:28:29,600 Speaker 1: Let's sort of go through writing this book. It's very 577 00:28:29,640 --> 00:28:33,399 Speaker 1: heavily reported, but then told in a sort of novelistic way. 578 00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:36,119 Speaker 1: You know, it's funny because it's like the thing that 579 00:28:36,160 --> 00:28:39,640 Speaker 1: the right will seize on and they're not wrong to do. 580 00:28:39,720 --> 00:28:44,640 Speaker 1: It is just how out of it Biden was. Everything 581 00:28:44,680 --> 00:28:46,960 Speaker 1: I've read so far, it doesn't seem like there's a 582 00:28:47,040 --> 00:28:49,800 Speaker 1: concerted cover up. It seems like there's a lot of 583 00:28:49,840 --> 00:28:53,200 Speaker 1: anxiety about his age. He's definitely sort of back and forth. 584 00:28:53,280 --> 00:28:56,200 Speaker 1: But it doesn't I don't quite see like the kind 585 00:28:56,240 --> 00:28:57,560 Speaker 1: of nefariousness. 586 00:28:58,200 --> 00:29:00,959 Speaker 6: This is not written as a book about a cover up. 587 00:29:01,000 --> 00:29:03,240 Speaker 6: I do think that there's collective neglect. I do think 588 00:29:03,240 --> 00:29:06,200 Speaker 6: that there are decisions that put their own interests or 589 00:29:06,440 --> 00:29:09,560 Speaker 6: different sets of interests above, you know, either the Democratic 590 00:29:09,560 --> 00:29:11,640 Speaker 6: Party's interests or the country's interests. And I think for 591 00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:13,720 Speaker 6: most of the people in the Democratic Party they believe 592 00:29:13,760 --> 00:29:16,320 Speaker 6: the party's interests are the country's interests. I don't look 593 00:29:16,360 --> 00:29:18,800 Speaker 6: at this and say, here was this massive cover up 594 00:29:18,920 --> 00:29:21,120 Speaker 6: to sort of pretend there was a president who wasn't 595 00:29:21,920 --> 00:29:24,880 Speaker 6: fully there or anything like that. What I do think 596 00:29:25,000 --> 00:29:28,120 Speaker 6: is that if you are somebody who gets to the 597 00:29:28,240 --> 00:29:30,959 Speaker 6: very top working for President Biden or really working for 598 00:29:30,960 --> 00:29:32,720 Speaker 6: any other president, you're not the type of person that 599 00:29:32,800 --> 00:29:34,800 Speaker 6: raises your hand and says Hey, wait a second. Guys, 600 00:29:34,960 --> 00:29:36,520 Speaker 6: you're not in the position where you're like, hey, wait 601 00:29:36,520 --> 00:29:38,880 Speaker 6: a second, maybe what we're doing is wrong here, or 602 00:29:38,920 --> 00:29:41,040 Speaker 6: maybe what we're doing here isn't going to work. Powerful 603 00:29:41,040 --> 00:29:44,120 Speaker 6: people tend to surround themselves those sick events that and 604 00:29:44,240 --> 00:29:47,800 Speaker 6: even close family members become, you know, part of the ride. 605 00:29:47,800 --> 00:29:48,840 Speaker 4: This is the you know. 606 00:29:48,920 --> 00:29:51,840 Speaker 6: One person said to us that Mike Donellan, who is 607 00:29:51,880 --> 00:29:56,000 Speaker 6: basically the closest Biden advisor, explained why he was running 608 00:29:56,040 --> 00:29:58,160 Speaker 6: for reelection in the first place, and the answer was, 609 00:29:58,360 --> 00:30:00,560 Speaker 6: you know, nobody wants to give up the playing the 610 00:30:00,600 --> 00:30:03,280 Speaker 6: helicopter in the house. Further, the person that we were 611 00:30:03,280 --> 00:30:06,040 Speaker 6: talking to and their own view was not only was 612 00:30:06,080 --> 00:30:09,840 Speaker 6: the staff highly invested in trying to keep Biden in offices, 613 00:30:09,840 --> 00:30:12,000 Speaker 6: they were the best jobs they were going to ever have, 614 00:30:12,520 --> 00:30:15,320 Speaker 6: but that the first lady, Jill Biden, was you know, 615 00:30:15,440 --> 00:30:18,960 Speaker 6: doubly so invested in you know, this is the best 616 00:30:19,000 --> 00:30:22,080 Speaker 6: thing that's going to be there for her. And frankly, 617 00:30:22,160 --> 00:30:25,840 Speaker 6: I think Joe Biden, whether accurate or delusional or whatever, 618 00:30:26,160 --> 00:30:28,560 Speaker 6: like I think Joe Biden truly believed he was the 619 00:30:28,600 --> 00:30:31,000 Speaker 6: only person who could beat Donald Trump. Like I don't 620 00:30:31,040 --> 00:30:33,200 Speaker 6: think that's fake. I think he really believes it. I 621 00:30:33,200 --> 00:30:36,080 Speaker 6: think he believed it even after the debate where everyone 622 00:30:36,080 --> 00:30:39,040 Speaker 6: in the Democratic Party realized that there was a problem, 623 00:30:39,720 --> 00:30:42,160 Speaker 6: and you know, long after I think most of the 624 00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:44,080 Speaker 6: Republican Party realized that there was a problem. 625 00:30:44,200 --> 00:30:47,640 Speaker 7: Though he could win even after the election, right, No, 626 00:30:47,840 --> 00:30:51,440 Speaker 7: he said that, yeah, yeah, I read that part about 627 00:30:51,680 --> 00:30:54,600 Speaker 7: the First Lady had wanted him not to run and 628 00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:56,960 Speaker 7: written on her stomach no. 629 00:30:57,600 --> 00:31:01,520 Speaker 2: But there was like a huge changeover Will you explain that. 630 00:31:01,880 --> 00:31:04,240 Speaker 6: Yeah, that was two thousand and four, and so over 631 00:31:04,320 --> 00:31:06,680 Speaker 6: twenty years, you know, her huge change that I think 632 00:31:06,840 --> 00:31:09,320 Speaker 6: being first Lady was a pretty good deal. And in 633 00:31:09,320 --> 00:31:11,480 Speaker 6: two thousand and four she had a variety of sets 634 00:31:11,520 --> 00:31:13,720 Speaker 6: of reasons for why she didn't want him to run. 635 00:31:13,720 --> 00:31:16,920 Speaker 6: But by twenty twenty four, as they're running for reelection, 636 00:31:17,640 --> 00:31:19,640 Speaker 6: it means giving up a lot if he doesn't run. 637 00:31:19,760 --> 00:31:21,760 Speaker 6: And by the way, I think one of the interesting 638 00:31:21,800 --> 00:31:23,400 Speaker 6: things that you see in this book, and one of 639 00:31:23,440 --> 00:31:26,840 Speaker 6: our sources called it the quote unquote original sin, is 640 00:31:27,000 --> 00:31:31,440 Speaker 6: that there was no discussion about whether Biden should seek reelection. 641 00:31:31,760 --> 00:31:34,240 Speaker 6: It was about Owen when he would announce. You know, 642 00:31:34,360 --> 00:31:36,120 Speaker 6: he decided in his mind he was going to run 643 00:31:36,160 --> 00:31:39,640 Speaker 6: for reelection. There was no real debate internally within the 644 00:31:39,680 --> 00:31:43,000 Speaker 6: inner circle about doing that, and he set his party 645 00:31:43,000 --> 00:31:45,360 Speaker 6: and himself on a course that I think, you know, 646 00:31:45,440 --> 00:31:48,560 Speaker 6: all of them are disappointed with now, and put himself 647 00:31:48,600 --> 00:31:51,480 Speaker 6: in it, I think, a vulnerable position. I mean, anybody 648 00:31:51,480 --> 00:31:54,160 Speaker 6: that watched that debate, it's hard not to feel sympathy, 649 00:31:54,400 --> 00:31:57,440 Speaker 6: you know, in that moment of him struggling so mightily, 650 00:31:57,880 --> 00:32:00,160 Speaker 6: and in other moments that we'd seen before that, but 651 00:32:00,240 --> 00:32:03,360 Speaker 6: not in quite such dramatic fashion, And in other moments 652 00:32:03,440 --> 00:32:05,720 Speaker 6: that we've seen since that, again not in quite so 653 00:32:05,880 --> 00:32:06,720 Speaker 6: dramatic fashion. 654 00:32:06,920 --> 00:32:08,960 Speaker 1: And what I thought was interesting, what you had in there, 655 00:32:09,160 --> 00:32:12,760 Speaker 1: was that there was really no love lost between Obama 656 00:32:12,880 --> 00:32:13,440 Speaker 1: and Biden. 657 00:32:13,480 --> 00:32:14,360 Speaker 2: Will you talk about that. 658 00:32:14,680 --> 00:32:17,720 Speaker 7: It's a very interesting relationship that they have. You know, 659 00:32:17,760 --> 00:32:22,120 Speaker 7: they were close when they were partners after the Obama administration, 660 00:32:22,720 --> 00:32:25,680 Speaker 7: actually before it ended. He wanted to run for president 661 00:32:25,840 --> 00:32:29,360 Speaker 7: but president and Obama at the time preferred Hillary Clinton, 662 00:32:29,800 --> 00:32:33,280 Speaker 7: and that caused a lot of tension. Obama's aid sort 663 00:32:33,280 --> 00:32:36,080 Speaker 7: of pretty much told Biden at the time that he 664 00:32:36,160 --> 00:32:39,320 Speaker 7: shouldn't run, and Biden remembered it and wrote about it 665 00:32:39,360 --> 00:32:42,240 Speaker 7: in his book, And you know, so it starts there, 666 00:32:42,320 --> 00:32:46,120 Speaker 7: but fast forward to this election. I think President Obama 667 00:32:46,160 --> 00:32:49,640 Speaker 7: doesn't think that his former vice president now president is 668 00:32:49,680 --> 00:32:52,120 Speaker 7: a good candidate. We report in the book that he 669 00:32:52,240 --> 00:32:56,520 Speaker 7: talks to Nancy Pelosi several times to figure out what 670 00:32:56,640 --> 00:33:00,640 Speaker 7: to do about him post debate. We also report that 671 00:33:00,680 --> 00:33:04,000 Speaker 7: he has his own conversation with Joe Biden where he's 672 00:33:04,400 --> 00:33:06,680 Speaker 7: not telling him to leave the race, but he's kind 673 00:33:06,720 --> 00:33:10,640 Speaker 7: of prodding and asking him questions and seeing what his 674 00:33:10,840 --> 00:33:14,920 Speaker 7: plan is, and the relationship remains pretty divisive. I think 675 00:33:14,960 --> 00:33:15,600 Speaker 7: to this day. 676 00:33:16,000 --> 00:33:20,240 Speaker 1: One of the really interesting parts is that George Clooney 677 00:33:20,360 --> 00:33:23,000 Speaker 1: is somehow and again you saw that with the op ed, 678 00:33:23,440 --> 00:33:27,360 Speaker 1: but he's sort of had this sense that there's something off. 679 00:33:27,760 --> 00:33:31,960 Speaker 7: Yes, So the whole George Clooney thing, really it happens 680 00:33:32,000 --> 00:33:35,600 Speaker 7: also around the time that Nancy Pelosi's out there kind 681 00:33:35,640 --> 00:33:38,880 Speaker 7: of saying that Biden had a decision to make. George 682 00:33:38,880 --> 00:33:42,200 Speaker 7: Clooney comes out with this letter. The Biden campaign knew 683 00:33:42,240 --> 00:33:44,800 Speaker 7: about it, and they were trying to kind of put 684 00:33:44,800 --> 00:33:46,959 Speaker 7: the cabash on it for a couple of days. They 685 00:33:47,000 --> 00:33:51,000 Speaker 7: have Jeffrey Katzenberg reach out and try to kill it, 686 00:33:51,240 --> 00:33:54,040 Speaker 7: but it ends up running and that was really one 687 00:33:54,080 --> 00:33:56,760 Speaker 7: of the I think it was one of the nails 688 00:33:56,760 --> 00:33:57,400 Speaker 7: in the coffin. 689 00:33:58,000 --> 00:34:01,760 Speaker 1: Right, there's sort of a group with the George Clooney 690 00:34:01,840 --> 00:34:07,000 Speaker 1: Obama crew. It does seem to me like the takeaway 691 00:34:07,000 --> 00:34:11,160 Speaker 1: from this is that Democrats were not harsh enough with 692 00:34:11,239 --> 00:34:14,720 Speaker 1: their own that they sort of let him keep going 693 00:34:14,960 --> 00:34:16,680 Speaker 1: even when they had doubts. 694 00:34:16,719 --> 00:34:18,080 Speaker 2: Do you think that's correct? 695 00:34:18,480 --> 00:34:18,800 Speaker 4: Correct? 696 00:34:18,800 --> 00:34:21,000 Speaker 6: But I also think that it's very difficult to get 697 00:34:21,000 --> 00:34:23,600 Speaker 6: a sitting president to step aside or to have a 698 00:34:23,640 --> 00:34:26,800 Speaker 6: real primary process. You know, the DNC and the White 699 00:34:26,800 --> 00:34:29,479 Speaker 6: House work to change the primary calendar to put South 700 00:34:29,480 --> 00:34:31,680 Speaker 6: Carolina first so that anybody that was going to try 701 00:34:31,719 --> 00:34:34,120 Speaker 6: to beat Biden would have to basically beat him in 702 00:34:34,120 --> 00:34:36,880 Speaker 6: his best state starting out out of the gate. I mean, 703 00:34:37,520 --> 00:34:40,200 Speaker 6: there were a lot of moves made to protect the president, 704 00:34:40,200 --> 00:34:41,960 Speaker 6: which is not and when they say that, I mean 705 00:34:42,000 --> 00:34:45,480 Speaker 6: politically protect him, which is not unusual. It's not unusual 706 00:34:45,520 --> 00:34:48,120 Speaker 6: for the president's team to find a way for them, 707 00:34:48,239 --> 00:34:50,879 Speaker 6: the best way for the to win reelection. I do think, 708 00:34:50,960 --> 00:34:54,399 Speaker 6: Molly that like there are these scenes in the backstabbing, 709 00:34:54,480 --> 00:34:58,480 Speaker 6: all that stuff. It's very exciting for the news headlines 710 00:34:58,520 --> 00:35:01,080 Speaker 6: and for the clips and and we obviously are willing 711 00:35:01,080 --> 00:35:02,640 Speaker 6: to talk about all that stuff. I do think what 712 00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:04,840 Speaker 6: you get out of this book is you start to 713 00:35:04,840 --> 00:35:07,799 Speaker 6: get a sense of which of the leaders in the 714 00:35:07,840 --> 00:35:10,520 Speaker 6: Democratic Party, which are the people in the Democratic Party 715 00:35:10,840 --> 00:35:13,520 Speaker 6: put their party in their country above their own interests, 716 00:35:13,719 --> 00:35:17,560 Speaker 6: and those who let their own interests become more important 717 00:35:17,560 --> 00:35:20,719 Speaker 6: than what they thought what collectively the Democratic Party thought, 718 00:35:20,719 --> 00:35:22,960 Speaker 6: and by that I mean the voters thought was the 719 00:35:23,000 --> 00:35:25,440 Speaker 6: biggest thing here, which was to prevent Donald Trump from 720 00:35:25,480 --> 00:35:27,200 Speaker 6: becoming president of the United States. 721 00:35:27,440 --> 00:35:28,080 Speaker 4: And you can. 722 00:35:28,040 --> 00:35:31,360 Speaker 6: See how these jealousies, these ambitions. 723 00:35:31,040 --> 00:35:32,719 Speaker 2: So tell us who those people are. 724 00:35:33,080 --> 00:35:34,600 Speaker 6: One of the things that comes out of this book 725 00:35:34,719 --> 00:35:37,719 Speaker 6: is that Nancy Pelosi is probably the person in the 726 00:35:37,719 --> 00:35:41,240 Speaker 6: Democratic Party who is best at identifying what the interests 727 00:35:41,280 --> 00:35:44,080 Speaker 6: of the party. And again, you know what Democrats believe 728 00:35:44,080 --> 00:35:46,840 Speaker 6: were the interests of the country above her own interests. 729 00:35:46,880 --> 00:35:48,760 Speaker 6: She didn't want to get in a fight with Joe Biden. 730 00:35:48,800 --> 00:35:52,200 Speaker 6: She really likes and cares about Joe Biden. She didn't 731 00:35:52,200 --> 00:35:54,640 Speaker 6: want to be seen as being in a cabal to 732 00:35:54,680 --> 00:35:57,480 Speaker 6: take him out. She didn't want her fingerprints at the 733 00:35:57,520 --> 00:35:59,719 Speaker 6: scene of the crime. And at the same time, she 734 00:35:59,760 --> 00:36:01,680 Speaker 6: belie believe that he needed to get out of the race. 735 00:36:02,120 --> 00:36:04,680 Speaker 6: She helped that along, and she took on a role 736 00:36:04,719 --> 00:36:07,840 Speaker 6: that so many of her colleagues were just unwilling to do. 737 00:36:08,040 --> 00:36:09,840 Speaker 6: I mean, you know, you talk to members of Congress. 738 00:36:09,880 --> 00:36:12,839 Speaker 6: We would talk to members of converse anonymously and they say, yeah, 739 00:36:12,840 --> 00:36:14,800 Speaker 6: Biden's got to get out, But they wouldn't call for 740 00:36:14,920 --> 00:36:17,520 Speaker 6: him to get out because they were worried about dividing 741 00:36:17,560 --> 00:36:19,680 Speaker 6: the Democrats in their own districts and in their own 742 00:36:19,719 --> 00:36:22,680 Speaker 6: states and hurting themselves for reelection. You know, you go 743 00:36:22,760 --> 00:36:25,279 Speaker 6: through the various characters. Joe Biden wants to hold on 744 00:36:25,320 --> 00:36:28,160 Speaker 6: to power so much so that even when he gets 745 00:36:28,200 --> 00:36:30,160 Speaker 6: out of the race three and a half weeks after 746 00:36:30,200 --> 00:36:33,160 Speaker 6: a debate performance that I think most people believed should 747 00:36:33,160 --> 00:36:36,000 Speaker 6: have been disqualifying. When he gets out of the race, 748 00:36:36,080 --> 00:36:39,680 Speaker 6: he pushes Kamala Harris to not run her own race, 749 00:36:39,960 --> 00:36:42,800 Speaker 6: to not distance herself for things that aren't working for 750 00:36:42,920 --> 00:36:47,000 Speaker 6: his campaign and break apart. He keeps telling her no daylight, kid, 751 00:36:47,239 --> 00:36:49,279 Speaker 6: that there can't be any daylight between them. And by 752 00:36:49,280 --> 00:36:51,400 Speaker 6: the way, he's still the sitting president of the United States, 753 00:36:51,400 --> 00:36:54,759 Speaker 6: So there's any inherent or an implicit threaten that that 754 00:36:54,800 --> 00:36:57,959 Speaker 6: if she gets too far away from him, he's gonna 755 00:36:57,960 --> 00:36:59,959 Speaker 6: punish her for it, you know, or come out again 756 00:37:00,000 --> 00:37:02,600 Speaker 6: InTru in some way. You know, he made her beg 757 00:37:02,760 --> 00:37:06,000 Speaker 6: for an immediate endorsement because he wanted to bask in 758 00:37:06,080 --> 00:37:09,000 Speaker 6: the glory of his exit and take a victory lap 759 00:37:09,040 --> 00:37:11,239 Speaker 6: and talk about how he was like George Washington when 760 00:37:11,560 --> 00:37:14,239 Speaker 6: she really needed an immediate endorsement from him to lock 761 00:37:14,320 --> 00:37:17,560 Speaker 6: down the delegates to get the nomination, which eventually happened, 762 00:37:17,600 --> 00:37:20,279 Speaker 6: but only and we report in detail on this conversation, 763 00:37:20,360 --> 00:37:22,839 Speaker 6: two conversations between them on the day that he gets 764 00:37:22,880 --> 00:37:25,239 Speaker 6: out where he's basically saying, I'm not going to endorse 765 00:37:25,280 --> 00:37:26,560 Speaker 6: you for a while, and she's like, you got to 766 00:37:26,600 --> 00:37:28,600 Speaker 6: endorse me now, and eventually he does it. But I 767 00:37:28,640 --> 00:37:31,000 Speaker 6: think you can see in that like a with that 768 00:37:31,160 --> 00:37:33,640 Speaker 6: set of people, you know, where the loyalties and the 769 00:37:33,680 --> 00:37:36,840 Speaker 6: ambitions and and the selflessness. I think that there's there 770 00:37:36,880 --> 00:37:39,680 Speaker 6: are rare acts of selflessness in this story. You get 771 00:37:39,680 --> 00:37:41,839 Speaker 6: to see that in those people. And I also think 772 00:37:41,840 --> 00:37:44,680 Speaker 6: that it's an important lesson for voters to see the 773 00:37:44,760 --> 00:37:47,680 Speaker 6: difference between you know, what some of these public officials 774 00:37:47,719 --> 00:37:50,440 Speaker 6: are saying, some of these party leaders are saying out 775 00:37:50,480 --> 00:37:52,840 Speaker 6: in public and what they are saying behind the scenes, 776 00:37:52,920 --> 00:37:55,760 Speaker 6: and the gulf between what the voters need and should 777 00:37:55,800 --> 00:37:58,759 Speaker 6: be demanding from their leaders in terms of honesty and 778 00:37:59,239 --> 00:38:03,120 Speaker 6: fidelity to parties goals and what is actually going on. 779 00:38:03,200 --> 00:38:05,560 Speaker 6: And so as you look forward to twenty twenty eight 780 00:38:05,800 --> 00:38:08,000 Speaker 6: and the twenty twenty mid Times, I think there are 781 00:38:08,040 --> 00:38:10,480 Speaker 6: just a lot of lessons here for voters in terms 782 00:38:10,480 --> 00:38:13,400 Speaker 6: of grassroots donors and activists in terms of what do 783 00:38:13,440 --> 00:38:15,640 Speaker 6: they need to be seeing from their candidates. Who's going 784 00:38:15,719 --> 00:38:18,000 Speaker 6: to put the interests of the public put the interests 785 00:38:18,000 --> 00:38:19,600 Speaker 6: of the party voters first? 786 00:38:19,800 --> 00:38:22,920 Speaker 2: What were the sort of worst hipocrisies you saw? 787 00:38:23,239 --> 00:38:24,640 Speaker 6: I guess the way that I would put it is 788 00:38:24,640 --> 00:38:26,959 Speaker 6: that less hipocrisy and more gas lighting. 789 00:38:27,400 --> 00:38:29,680 Speaker 1: Okay, so what was the worst case of gas lighting 790 00:38:29,680 --> 00:38:30,760 Speaker 1: that you report in the book. 791 00:38:30,960 --> 00:38:31,240 Speaker 4: Yeah. 792 00:38:31,280 --> 00:38:33,160 Speaker 6: So, by the way, this is reporting in the book, 793 00:38:33,200 --> 00:38:36,840 Speaker 6: this isn't our objective analysis. I mean, right after the debate, 794 00:38:36,960 --> 00:38:40,400 Speaker 6: the campaign leadership team is meeting with the national finance 795 00:38:40,440 --> 00:38:43,439 Speaker 6: team for the campaign in a hotel in Atlanta where 796 00:38:43,440 --> 00:38:46,200 Speaker 6: the debate was the next morning, and a campaign leadership 797 00:38:46,239 --> 00:38:48,320 Speaker 6: is telling all the donors everything's spine. There was nothing 798 00:38:48,320 --> 00:38:50,200 Speaker 6: really wrong with Joe Biden. It was a bad night, 799 00:38:50,520 --> 00:38:52,400 Speaker 6: and their donors are like, like, what the fuck are 800 00:38:52,440 --> 00:38:55,680 Speaker 6: you talking about? It backfired, like the whole exercise in 801 00:38:56,200 --> 00:38:58,799 Speaker 6: you know, you have to repeat our talking points and 802 00:38:58,840 --> 00:39:01,680 Speaker 6: believe what we're telling you instead of what you saw 803 00:39:01,719 --> 00:39:04,520 Speaker 6: with your own eyes. I mean, it just totally backfired 804 00:39:04,560 --> 00:39:07,080 Speaker 6: on the campaign. You know, we talked to people in 805 00:39:07,120 --> 00:39:09,760 Speaker 6: the campaign who felt like their leadership, with the leadership 806 00:39:09,760 --> 00:39:12,600 Speaker 6: of the campaign was gaslighting the lower level campaign people 807 00:39:13,120 --> 00:39:17,000 Speaker 6: about Joe Biden's standing about Kamala Harris is standing. David 808 00:39:17,000 --> 00:39:19,239 Speaker 6: Pluff went out and told the country that she was 809 00:39:19,280 --> 00:39:22,279 Speaker 6: going to win seven swing states. Kamala Harris believed on 810 00:39:22,360 --> 00:39:25,000 Speaker 6: election night, we report on you know, we go into 811 00:39:25,040 --> 00:39:27,799 Speaker 6: the Vice President's residence on election night. You know, a 812 00:39:27,840 --> 00:39:31,760 Speaker 6: conversation she's having and the feeling she's having as she's 813 00:39:31,800 --> 00:39:34,800 Speaker 6: crestfallen because she's shocked. She thought she was in position 814 00:39:34,840 --> 00:39:37,520 Speaker 6: to win. Yeah, and then she loses. And I don't 815 00:39:37,560 --> 00:39:39,120 Speaker 6: want to spoil the end of the book, but you know, 816 00:39:39,320 --> 00:39:41,160 Speaker 6: let's just say that she felt gas lit. 817 00:39:41,080 --> 00:39:43,480 Speaker 7: Too, and so did Tim Walls. By the way, we 818 00:39:43,640 --> 00:39:46,160 Speaker 7: also take you inside his hotel room and he's sitting 819 00:39:46,200 --> 00:39:48,719 Speaker 7: there and doesn't know what to say. His wife has 820 00:39:48,760 --> 00:39:51,040 Speaker 7: to talk because he can't find the words. 821 00:39:51,360 --> 00:39:55,880 Speaker 1: One of the things that I noticed, just from my 822 00:39:56,000 --> 00:39:58,920 Speaker 1: own experience of this campaign was that they were pretty 823 00:39:59,239 --> 00:40:04,080 Speaker 1: afraid of their own shadow and unwilling to engage with 824 00:40:04,480 --> 00:40:07,400 Speaker 1: I mean, you could see this just clearly, like unwilling 825 00:40:07,440 --> 00:40:12,600 Speaker 1: to engage in podcasts and social media and just very 826 00:40:12,640 --> 00:40:15,960 Speaker 1: sort of locked down. Did you see this? And also 827 00:40:16,440 --> 00:40:18,680 Speaker 1: do you think that this is some of why they lost? 828 00:40:19,200 --> 00:40:21,480 Speaker 7: Yeah, And you know, they were criticized by Itt Molly 829 00:40:21,760 --> 00:40:24,200 Speaker 7: coming out of the convention. You know a lot of 830 00:40:24,200 --> 00:40:26,240 Speaker 7: people thought that they were just running out the clock 831 00:40:26,320 --> 00:40:28,600 Speaker 7: at the time and that they didn't have to do 832 00:40:28,640 --> 00:40:31,360 Speaker 7: any media interviews. And at the same time, you're seeing 833 00:40:31,640 --> 00:40:36,520 Speaker 7: Donald Trump going on various podcasts everything, doing all of it. 834 00:40:36,840 --> 00:40:38,480 Speaker 7: And you know, we report in the book that she 835 00:40:38,640 --> 00:40:42,000 Speaker 7: does try to go on Rogan's podcasts, but it turns 836 00:40:42,000 --> 00:40:45,400 Speaker 7: into this whole you know, like they're negotiating back and 837 00:40:45,480 --> 00:40:48,879 Speaker 7: forth and Rogan is coming back and maybe his people 838 00:40:48,880 --> 00:40:52,719 Speaker 7: aren't being as forthcoming as they should be. They're negotiating 839 00:40:52,719 --> 00:40:55,279 Speaker 7: and it never amounts to anything. She ends up moving 840 00:40:55,320 --> 00:40:59,200 Speaker 7: a whole entire rally to Texas so she can be 841 00:40:59,360 --> 00:41:03,960 Speaker 7: in the place where Rogan is and that doesn't happen. Meanwhile, 842 00:41:04,160 --> 00:41:06,920 Speaker 7: Trump is everywhere, as you said, and he is relying 843 00:41:06,960 --> 00:41:09,720 Speaker 7: on his son Baron, which we report in the book. 844 00:41:09,880 --> 00:41:12,520 Speaker 7: Baron is giving guidance to him on how to reach 845 00:41:12,600 --> 00:41:15,920 Speaker 7: these younger people and it ends up being really successful 846 00:41:15,960 --> 00:41:16,319 Speaker 7: for him. 847 00:41:16,800 --> 00:41:19,560 Speaker 1: Just tell me one last thing. Do you think that 848 00:41:20,200 --> 00:41:24,840 Speaker 1: this consultant class around Harris should be in charge of 849 00:41:24,880 --> 00:41:29,400 Speaker 1: other elections for Democrats? Do you think they made good decisions? 850 00:41:29,719 --> 00:41:32,760 Speaker 6: I think that the term consultant class kind of nails 851 00:41:32,760 --> 00:41:33,160 Speaker 6: at Molly. 852 00:41:33,440 --> 00:41:37,360 Speaker 1: I'm thinking the precision strategy crew that came in from 853 00:41:37,520 --> 00:41:38,400 Speaker 1: Pluff to Cutter. 854 00:41:38,600 --> 00:41:42,879 Speaker 6: Yeah, no, I know, David Pluff and Stephanie Stephanie Kenner dept. 855 00:41:42,880 --> 00:41:45,400 Speaker 6: For O'Malley Dillon. You know, look, we say this in 856 00:41:45,440 --> 00:41:48,520 Speaker 6: the book about about O'Malley Dillon. It's interesting she chooses 857 00:41:48,560 --> 00:41:51,480 Speaker 6: to run this campaign, which most people would not have 858 00:41:51,640 --> 00:41:54,400 Speaker 6: done usually if you want a campaign, and she was 859 00:41:54,440 --> 00:41:57,080 Speaker 6: a campaign manager for twenty twenty, which I think was 860 00:41:57,080 --> 00:41:59,520 Speaker 6: a lot closer than a lot of Democrats wanted to 861 00:41:59,560 --> 00:42:01,879 Speaker 6: think about. Out of forty four thousand votes over three 862 00:42:01,920 --> 00:42:04,239 Speaker 6: states in the electoral College. Most of them, you know, 863 00:42:04,280 --> 00:42:05,719 Speaker 6: were like, I'm going to go off on a high 864 00:42:05,719 --> 00:42:08,120 Speaker 6: note and I'm not going to risk losing my second election. 865 00:42:08,239 --> 00:42:10,000 Speaker 6: She made a different decision there, and I think that 866 00:42:10,000 --> 00:42:13,200 Speaker 6: that was at least in large part due to feeling 867 00:42:13,200 --> 00:42:15,480 Speaker 6: some loyalty to the president and thinking she'd be good 868 00:42:15,520 --> 00:42:18,240 Speaker 6: at it, right. But yeah, I think they make bad decisions, 869 00:42:18,239 --> 00:42:21,000 Speaker 6: and I think they make bad decisions that are just 870 00:42:21,200 --> 00:42:24,200 Speaker 6: jaw dropping. And I'll give you an example from the book. 871 00:42:24,239 --> 00:42:26,760 Speaker 6: And this is not The reason that this is important 872 00:42:26,840 --> 00:42:30,440 Speaker 6: is not necessarily the impact of the episode itself, but 873 00:42:30,640 --> 00:42:34,360 Speaker 6: just how it's so emblematic of the problem. The transad 874 00:42:34,480 --> 00:42:37,760 Speaker 6: that the Trump campaign ran, which had video of Kamala 875 00:42:37,840 --> 00:42:42,080 Speaker 6: Harris endorsing the state of California paying for trans surgery 876 00:42:42,360 --> 00:42:45,279 Speaker 6: for illegal immigrants in prison or you know who have 877 00:42:45,320 --> 00:42:48,239 Speaker 6: been in prison in California, that ends with the tagline, 878 00:42:48,320 --> 00:42:51,560 Speaker 6: Kamala Harris is for they them, President Trump is for you. 879 00:42:51,880 --> 00:42:54,279 Speaker 6: That's the most effective political ad I've ever seen. The 880 00:42:54,280 --> 00:42:56,680 Speaker 6: first time I saw it, I was like, this is 881 00:42:56,800 --> 00:43:00,920 Speaker 6: unbelievably effective. I can't imagine a better set of issues 882 00:43:00,920 --> 00:43:02,480 Speaker 6: for them to hammer her on in SOMs of it's 883 00:43:02,520 --> 00:43:04,799 Speaker 6: like a perfect blight, three or four issues that are 884 00:43:04,840 --> 00:43:10,480 Speaker 6: intertwined there with imprisoned immigrants and transsurgery and the them 885 00:43:10,600 --> 00:43:13,360 Speaker 6: versus you, I mean, the whole thing, and an economic 886 00:43:13,400 --> 00:43:15,880 Speaker 6: issue because the state's paying for it. But we report 887 00:43:15,920 --> 00:43:18,400 Speaker 6: that Bill Clinton saw this ad on the campaign trail 888 00:43:18,560 --> 00:43:21,480 Speaker 6: and he called everyone he could find to say, please 889 00:43:21,719 --> 00:43:24,719 Speaker 6: respond to this ad. This is killing her. People are 890 00:43:24,719 --> 00:43:27,440 Speaker 6: talking to me about it on rope lines. I just 891 00:43:27,520 --> 00:43:30,319 Speaker 6: keep hearing about this trans ad. Please respond. And the 892 00:43:30,440 --> 00:43:33,879 Speaker 6: answer he got back from the campaign brass and at 893 00:43:33,920 --> 00:43:36,360 Speaker 6: this point Harris campaign. But it's the same people that 894 00:43:36,360 --> 00:43:38,799 Speaker 6: were running the Biden campaign. The answer they got back 895 00:43:38,880 --> 00:43:42,839 Speaker 6: is we tested that ad, and we tested possible responses. 896 00:43:43,200 --> 00:43:46,359 Speaker 6: Our data shows us that it's not that effective. It's 897 00:43:46,400 --> 00:43:48,600 Speaker 6: not that big of a deal. This way of thinking, 898 00:43:48,600 --> 00:43:50,839 Speaker 6: we're like, you're so tied. 899 00:43:50,920 --> 00:43:54,800 Speaker 2: To data that does nothing for you, and that's been wrong. 900 00:43:55,320 --> 00:43:57,480 Speaker 6: I was just going to say, you're making strategic decisions 901 00:43:57,920 --> 00:44:01,400 Speaker 6: that are so fundamentally at odds with like what anybody 902 00:44:01,440 --> 00:44:05,520 Speaker 6: who knows anything about politics would believe based on incremental 903 00:44:05,560 --> 00:44:06,640 Speaker 6: differences in your data. 904 00:44:07,120 --> 00:44:11,160 Speaker 1: So interesting, you guys, I'm sorry we ran along, John Amy, 905 00:44:11,640 --> 00:44:13,000 Speaker 1: thank you, thank you. 906 00:44:16,200 --> 00:44:23,080 Speaker 3: They're no momental secretly, Jesse Cannon my junk fast. So 907 00:44:23,120 --> 00:44:26,479 Speaker 3: we have had Justice Allison Riggs on this podcast many 908 00:44:26,520 --> 00:44:28,680 Speaker 3: times because this is a thing that you and I 909 00:44:28,800 --> 00:44:31,879 Speaker 3: find very alarming in how a little coverage it gets. Well, 910 00:44:32,160 --> 00:44:35,839 Speaker 3: the Supreme Court has gotten involved with her race, which 911 00:44:35,880 --> 00:44:38,280 Speaker 3: is the last race to be decided of the twenty 912 00:44:38,320 --> 00:44:41,760 Speaker 3: twenty four election, and it is fucking April. 913 00:44:42,280 --> 00:44:47,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, so basically, the Republican you are lost, and the 914 00:44:47,040 --> 00:44:50,319 Speaker 1: Republicans have decided that if they lose sometimes they just 915 00:44:50,480 --> 00:44:52,879 Speaker 1: decide that they're going to not go along with it, 916 00:44:53,080 --> 00:44:58,080 Speaker 1: and they're going to demand recan after recann after recant. Now, 917 00:44:58,480 --> 00:45:03,440 Speaker 1: Judge Griffin has cea dismissed the ballots cast by sixty 918 00:45:03,480 --> 00:45:06,480 Speaker 1: five thousand people. He has argued that a majority of 919 00:45:06,520 --> 00:45:09,840 Speaker 1: them were ineligible to vote because they did not supply 920 00:45:10,000 --> 00:45:11,560 Speaker 1: certain required identifications. 921 00:45:11,640 --> 00:45:13,000 Speaker 2: This is what Republicans do. 922 00:45:13,160 --> 00:45:16,080 Speaker 1: This is all, by the way, caused by Donald Trump's 923 00:45:16,120 --> 00:45:19,160 Speaker 1: twenty twenty election, where he was like, I didn't win 924 00:45:19,400 --> 00:45:21,360 Speaker 1: and so it was not fair. 925 00:45:21,640 --> 00:45:22,839 Speaker 2: You will see more of this. 926 00:45:23,280 --> 00:45:27,080 Speaker 1: It is just incredibly fucked up, and that is why 927 00:45:27,200 --> 00:45:28,960 Speaker 1: it is our moment of fuckery. 928 00:45:29,640 --> 00:45:30,560 Speaker 2: That's it for. 929 00:45:30,560 --> 00:45:37,279 Speaker 1: This episode of Fast Politics. Tune in every Monday, Wednesday, Thursday, 930 00:45:37,480 --> 00:45:41,399 Speaker 1: and Saturday to hear the best minds and politics make 931 00:45:41,520 --> 00:45:45,480 Speaker 1: sense of all this chaos. If you enjoy this podcast, 932 00:45:45,880 --> 00:45:49,280 Speaker 1: please send it to a friend and keep the conversation going. 933 00:45:49,760 --> 00:45:50,880 Speaker 2: Thanks for listening.