WEBVTT - Drive Time: Dolphins Browns Week 17 Preview

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<v Speaker 1>What is up Dolphins and welcome to the Drift Time Podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>I am your host, Travis Wingfield. And on today's show,

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<v Speaker 1>our penultimate game of the season takes us to the

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<v Speaker 1>Mistake by the Lake Lake Erie, Cleveland, Brown's four.

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<v Speaker 2>H five Clickoff.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a chance to give back to five hundred and

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<v Speaker 1>hopefully a chance to keep our playoff hopes alive. From

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<v Speaker 1>the Baptist Health Studios inside the Baptist Health Training Complex.

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<v Speaker 2>This is the Drive Time Podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>Maybe and by the time the Dolphins do click off,

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<v Speaker 1>it could be curtains on the season. And before we

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<v Speaker 1>get into that real quick, just want to mention, so

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<v Speaker 1>two and zero so far through the week. As this

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<v Speaker 1>podcast comes out ahead of Thursday Night football, We're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>take the Seahawks over the Bears tonight. Isn't it funny

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<v Speaker 1>how clear of a line of demarcation there is in

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<v Speaker 1>the AFC pretty much every single year, Kansas City, Baltimore

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<v Speaker 1>and Buffalo. I knew going into that the Christmas Games,

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<v Speaker 1>I knew the Steelers were pretenders.

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<v Speaker 2>I was weary of the Texans.

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<v Speaker 1>Maybe thought that they could after the bye week get

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<v Speaker 1>things together, which they did defensively but offensively. Still not

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<v Speaker 1>really clicking there in Houston. It's the same damn three teams. Man.

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<v Speaker 1>We fight about this all offseason. We fight about the

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<v Speaker 1>drop off of the Bills. We fight about the Baltimore

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<v Speaker 1>Ravens losing so many coaches on their staff and their

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<v Speaker 1>defense falls apart, and oh, the Chiefs don't have the

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<v Speaker 1>same explosive offense, so they're fifteen to one. The Ravens

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<v Speaker 1>are gonna win the North. The Bills have are already

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<v Speaker 1>basically clinched into the two seed. It's those teams and

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<v Speaker 1>everybody else, man, So we got to find a way

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<v Speaker 1>to break that next year. But I mean that tells

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<v Speaker 1>you how the AFC playoffs are gonna go. Hopefully Buffalo

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<v Speaker 1>has to go through both teams, and I think they

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<v Speaker 1>probably will if Baltimore gets the three seed, and then

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<v Speaker 1>they they both win their wild card games, and then

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<v Speaker 1>Baltimore goes into Buffalo.

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<v Speaker 2>That's gonna be a fun game.

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<v Speaker 1>And then you're gonna have to rely on the Chiefs

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<v Speaker 1>once again to beat the Buffalo Bills.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't really.

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<v Speaker 1>Hate the Chiefs winning this many chancesampionships because it means

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<v Speaker 1>that the other teams I don't like don't win championships,

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<v Speaker 1>you know what I mean, Like, Okay, keep it was

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<v Speaker 1>like with the Patriots a certain point, just keep letting

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<v Speaker 1>Brady win them all because that way the teams I

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<v Speaker 1>don't like otherwise are not getting their championships.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't know, man, We'll see.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's gonna be a fun couple of weeks

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<v Speaker 1>here in the NFL, but it's all kind of leading

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<v Speaker 1>up to just basically Bills and Chiefs or Chiefs and

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<v Speaker 1>Ravens or whatever it might be, right, and then we'll see,

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<v Speaker 1>like Eagles and Lions. Can either of those teams compete

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<v Speaker 1>in the Super Bowl with the Chiefs or the Bills

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<v Speaker 1>or the Ravens. I don't think so, but we shall see.

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<v Speaker 1>The Lions could have if they were healthy, but they

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<v Speaker 1>are not. Anyway, That's the whole point. We have a

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<v Speaker 1>must win game here coming up on Sunday, and we

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<v Speaker 1>have to get some help. I think we will get

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<v Speaker 1>that help, and I put it on Blue Sky. I

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<v Speaker 1>think that the Dolphins and Jets game is going to

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<v Speaker 1>have a very likelihood of being flexed into Saturday based

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<v Speaker 1>upon how I feel the results will go Sunday, and

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<v Speaker 1>they usually break that out Sunday night after the games

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<v Speaker 1>are after the Sunday Night Football game raps and with

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<v Speaker 1>Commanders and Falcons on Sunday Night Football, I imagine, and that's

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<v Speaker 1>going to be a pretty early declaration because the way

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<v Speaker 1>I see it, I don't think the Lions and Vikings

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<v Speaker 1>game is going to be for the division in the

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<v Speaker 1>one seed because I think the Vikings are going to

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<v Speaker 1>lose to the Packers this week.

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<v Speaker 2>I think the Lions are going to be the Niners.

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<v Speaker 1>We'll talk about that in the picks, and the way

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<v Speaker 1>the rest of the stuff goes, I basically think the

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<v Speaker 1>only games are going to matter for playoff implications are

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<v Speaker 1>going to be those wild card spots across the AFC.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's going to be the Chargers, the Colts, the Dolphins,

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<v Speaker 1>the Bengals and Broncos competing for two spots in my opinion. Again,

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<v Speaker 1>we'll get to that on the picks tomorrow, but I

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<v Speaker 1>think Miami has a real shot of being flexed to

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<v Speaker 1>Saturday against the Jets in the finale. But first you

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<v Speaker 1>have to win this one week seventeen at the Cleveland

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<v Speaker 1>Browns Huntington Bay Bank Field. I had no idea what

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<v Speaker 1>was called that back when I was in like high

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<v Speaker 1>school and junior high and I would do this season

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<v Speaker 1>predictions and write the Dolphins schedule on my peachy folders,

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<v Speaker 1>whatever the hell I.

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<v Speaker 2>Was doing back then.

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<v Speaker 1>I always knew the name of every stadium because most

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<v Speaker 1>of them had like team associated names. We were getting

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<v Speaker 1>into the corporate world of stadium naming back then. But

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<v Speaker 1>Huntington Bank Field since win, I had to look that up.

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<v Speaker 1>Four h five kickoff on CBS. It's gonna be about

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<v Speaker 1>fifty five degrees at kickoff, drops to the forties after sunset,

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<v Speaker 1>So not that bad from a cold perspective, but there

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<v Speaker 1>is a good chance for rain, about a fifty percent

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<v Speaker 1>chance some ten to fifteen mile prior win projections. It

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<v Speaker 1>feels like we've avoided rain for a couple of years.

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<v Speaker 1>Now you might break that run this week. Let's get

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<v Speaker 1>to know the Browns here real quick, and O man,

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<v Speaker 1>you think the Dolphins have had it bad? This team

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<v Speaker 1>in To say the last few years for the Browns

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<v Speaker 1>has been tumultuous would be the understatement of the year.

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<v Speaker 1>And think about that statement. Think about that statement on

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<v Speaker 1>its own. When you consider the three hundred and sixty

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<v Speaker 1>five days ago. This was a team that was in

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<v Speaker 1>the midst of a winning streak that would produce an

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<v Speaker 1>eleven and six campaign and basically put all the other

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<v Speaker 1>wild card contenders beneath them. And had the Browns not

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<v Speaker 1>done that, Miami would have been on the road in

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<v Speaker 1>Houston in the wildcard round last year. It's a winnable game,

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<v Speaker 1>a lot more winnable than the freaking twenty five to

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<v Speaker 1>blow zero degrees. The Chiefs game was you know what

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<v Speaker 1>I'm saying, and they go back to the post's they

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<v Speaker 1>get wiped by the Houston Texans.

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<v Speaker 2>Now, quite frankly, you know, how's the saying go? You

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<v Speaker 2>reput you so?

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<v Speaker 1>And I say, they got exactly what they deserve by

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<v Speaker 1>acquiring that quarterback and giving him the most guaranteed contract,

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<v Speaker 1>the fully guaranteed contract anybody's ever gotten. But I guess

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<v Speaker 1>in this country, with enough money, you can make sexual

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<v Speaker 1>improprieties go away. In fact, they're not even career enders,

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<v Speaker 1>true for politicians and true for quarterbacks. It's been fitting

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<v Speaker 1>that when he went down last year, Flacco came in

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<v Speaker 1>and did what he did.

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<v Speaker 2>Then this year they.

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<v Speaker 1>Actually get some fun football out of Jamis Winston. Browns

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<v Speaker 1>fans can enjoy going to games again even if it

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<v Speaker 1>wasn't winning football.

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<v Speaker 2>So we'll see where they go next year.

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<v Speaker 1>But to recap the recent run, I think it began

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<v Speaker 1>back in the Baker Mayfield draft in twenty eighteen to

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<v Speaker 1>lect him first overall. He takes over and takes the

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<v Speaker 1>city by storm. He's in every damn commercial you turn

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<v Speaker 1>the TV on. They go seven to eight and one

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<v Speaker 1>with a pretty bad football team that year and become

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<v Speaker 1>the it team for twenty nineteen. Go out and acquire

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<v Speaker 1>Odell Beckham Junior, but fall short of expectations at six

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<v Speaker 1>and ten, but then they hit the expectations eleven and five.

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<v Speaker 1>They win a playoff game against the Pittsburgh Steelers for

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<v Speaker 1>the first time in like twenty years, and it makes us,

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<v Speaker 1>besides the Lions recently, the longest playoff wins rout team

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<v Speaker 1>in the NFL. Damn near beat the Chiefs in the

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<v Speaker 1>Divisional round that year, but then Baker plays a full

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<v Speaker 1>season with a shoulder injury. They go eight to nine

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<v Speaker 1>and move off of him, looking for greener pastures. They

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<v Speaker 1>go seven to ten in the Jacoby Brissett slash Deshaun

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<v Speaker 1>Watson era or first year, I should say then last

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<v Speaker 1>year Deshaun gets the opening day start and produces one

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<v Speaker 1>of the lowest QB epas we've ever seen in the NFL,

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<v Speaker 1>gets himself hurt. Flacko arrives mid season and leads them

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<v Speaker 1>to a four game winning streak and into the postseason.

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<v Speaker 1>To Shawn returns this year and it's right on par

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<v Speaker 1>with twenty twenty three. Maybe there is a god. He

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<v Speaker 1>gets hurt. Jamis Winstig nites them for a bit, but

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<v Speaker 1>shows you all the signs of a quarterback who once

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<v Speaker 1>had a thirty thirty five thousand season my favorite stat

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<v Speaker 1>of all time. Thirty touchdowns, thirty picks, five thousand passing yards,

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<v Speaker 1>highs and lows. And now they're on their third quarterback

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<v Speaker 1>Dorian Thompson Robinson and have floated the idea of Bailey

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<v Speaker 1>Zappi would be next should dtr not be available. Man

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<v Speaker 1>rough couple of weeks here for the Cleveland Browns. It's

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<v Speaker 1>a super talented defense with likely the two time Defensive

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<v Speaker 1>Player of the Year award winner and Miles Garrett. I

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<v Speaker 1>think he wins it again this year. A true number

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<v Speaker 1>one cornerback, good linebacker play if he's going to be available.

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<v Speaker 1>Jeremiah Wusu Kormoa and an offensive line that has big

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<v Speaker 1>name but injury issues, a star running back that came

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<v Speaker 1>back from agrusive injury only to get injured again, and

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<v Speaker 1>a wide receiver cord that's pretty damn good, but led

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<v Speaker 1>by a player they acquired in season in Jerry Judy.

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<v Speaker 1>Truly one of the more fascinating teams in recent memory.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's go ahead and stick with the president and get

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<v Speaker 1>to know the Cleveland Browns offense and if it isn't

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<v Speaker 1>our third consecutive Shannahan Tree offense, which is also true

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<v Speaker 1>for the fourth time in the last five games going

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<v Speaker 1>back to the Packer game. Now that said it is

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<v Speaker 1>an offshoot, but it wasn't what they were always doing.

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<v Speaker 1>The Browns have actually pivoted back to it this year

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<v Speaker 1>after going away from it to accommodate.

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<v Speaker 2>I really want to say what I want to say

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<v Speaker 2>about the quarterback, but we'll.

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<v Speaker 1>Keep it there so comedy Watson, right, he gets his way,

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<v Speaker 1>and then they pivoted right back to it when he

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<v Speaker 1>got hurt. It's almost exclusively under Watson, a shotgun offense

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<v Speaker 1>compared to under center play action outside zone game that

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<v Speaker 1>was more spread it out, get your vertical shots in

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<v Speaker 1>through Max protection and play to Deshaun's strengths, which is well,

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<v Speaker 1>doesn't really have anyone anymore. But it used to be

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<v Speaker 1>big play hunting and scrambling around and creating off script.

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<v Speaker 1>But since he went down, they have pivoted back somewhat

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<v Speaker 1>more to the under center play action outside zone game.

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<v Speaker 1>But the overarching issue is they went from this awesome

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<v Speaker 1>pre game or pre Deshaun Watson run game to even

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<v Speaker 1>down the stretch last year with Joe Flacco having it

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<v Speaker 1>back to Watson's offense, where the run game went away again,

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<v Speaker 1>and now they're back to the original Stefanski attack. The

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<v Speaker 1>run game has not returned with him and that offense

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<v Speaker 1>coming back. It is now the twenty seventh ranked rushing attack,

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<v Speaker 1>and we know this is an attack that uses They

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<v Speaker 1>utilize a lot of multiple tight ends, multiple back sets,

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<v Speaker 1>but that's where the pivot came into. Eleven personnel was

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<v Speaker 1>ran seventy two percent this year and twelve personnel was

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<v Speaker 1>seventeen percent. They do dabble in some four wide one

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<v Speaker 1>running back, no tight end, which is weird because that's

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<v Speaker 1>their best player on offense to me is David Nijoku.

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<v Speaker 1>It's only three percent, but they do run that sometimes,

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<v Speaker 1>but there's no thirteen personnel, there's no two backs that

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<v Speaker 1>It's been a tough year, as it would for anyone

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<v Speaker 1>playing that many quarterbacks. For the Browns, they're thirtieth in

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<v Speaker 1>yards per play, thirty first in points last and EPA

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<v Speaker 1>per play success rate and third down conversions over expected.

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<v Speaker 1>So for Miami, you have to look at this matchup

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<v Speaker 1>as a chance to suffocate them, possibly shut them out.

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<v Speaker 1>That's how bad they've been offensively. Now, how do you

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<v Speaker 1>attack it? To be perfectly frank with you, guys, I

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<v Speaker 1>don't really have a passage here. Greg Olsen, the great

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<v Speaker 1>play by play man who should be on Fox is

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<v Speaker 1>number one booth.

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<v Speaker 2>But I digress had a.

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<v Speaker 1>Quote on the game he broadcasted earlier this season that

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<v Speaker 1>I found on social saying, quote, they have tailored an

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<v Speaker 1>offense to their head coach is unfamiliar with around a

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<v Speaker 1>quarterback who can't do anything to make it go. There

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<v Speaker 1>has to be a breaking point coming end quote. And

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<v Speaker 1>that was after an October sixth game to the Eagles

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<v Speaker 1>with the Browns could not move the football at all.

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<v Speaker 1>And of course he has since been removed due to injury.

0:10:08.280 --> 0:10:10.000
<v Speaker 1>And I think we saw the glimpses of hope and

0:10:10.040 --> 0:10:12.640
<v Speaker 1>return to some of those vertical passing concepts that paired

0:10:12.880 --> 0:10:15.840
<v Speaker 1>with the horizontal stretch, an outside zone game with Jerome

0:10:15.920 --> 0:10:19.280
<v Speaker 1>Ford and when they had Nick Chubb going where Winston

0:10:19.440 --> 0:10:21.760
<v Speaker 1>was able to get that going to a certain degree.

0:10:21.840 --> 0:10:24.760
<v Speaker 1>So one in seven with Watson, Winston comes in and

0:10:24.760 --> 0:10:27.280
<v Speaker 1>they beat Baltimore. They get blown out by the Chargers

0:10:27.280 --> 0:10:30.000
<v Speaker 1>and Saints. They get that super fun TNF snow win

0:10:30.080 --> 0:10:31.640
<v Speaker 1>against the Steelers that I thought was gonna be a

0:10:31.640 --> 0:10:33.560
<v Speaker 1>big game for the Dolphins because look at Steelers now.

0:10:33.679 --> 0:10:35.559
<v Speaker 1>I thought they could just lose all those games down

0:10:35.600 --> 0:10:37.720
<v Speaker 1>the stretch. And they beat the Bengals barely or not barely.

0:10:37.800 --> 0:10:39.480
<v Speaker 1>They beat him pretty soundly. But it was the one

0:10:39.520 --> 0:10:41.800
<v Speaker 1>game the Steelers won to keep themselves ahead of us

0:10:41.840 --> 0:10:45.360
<v Speaker 1>in the playoff race. They get that heartbreaking for Dolphins

0:10:45.440 --> 0:10:48.400
<v Speaker 1>fans lost to the Broncos where Jamis had four touchdowns

0:10:48.400 --> 0:10:51.400
<v Speaker 1>and three picks, two of those back six for touchdowns.

0:10:51.600 --> 0:10:53.840
<v Speaker 1>Then things flat lined against the Steelers last week and

0:10:53.840 --> 0:10:56.360
<v Speaker 1>they make the switch to dtr who has thrown no

0:10:56.440 --> 0:10:59.320
<v Speaker 1>touchdowns and five career picks or five picks this season.

0:10:59.559 --> 0:11:01.000
<v Speaker 1>I really don't know what else to tell you, guys,

0:11:01.000 --> 0:11:03.680
<v Speaker 1>I have to give three things against this offense, Like

0:11:03.760 --> 0:11:06.600
<v Speaker 1>that's how the show works. I don't really have any

0:11:06.800 --> 0:11:08.280
<v Speaker 1>I think if you show up and hold them to

0:11:08.320 --> 0:11:12.679
<v Speaker 1>single digits, like they benched Winston because of his iont rate. Right, well,

0:11:12.679 --> 0:11:15.120
<v Speaker 1>he has a four point one percent interception rate and

0:11:15.160 --> 0:11:18.200
<v Speaker 1>that's really bad. Like Kirk Cousins leads the NFL and picks,

0:11:18.360 --> 0:11:21.959
<v Speaker 1>but his iont rate is three point five. Anthony Richardson

0:11:22.000 --> 0:11:24.160
<v Speaker 1>has the highest ion t rate in the NFL at

0:11:24.200 --> 0:11:27.120
<v Speaker 1>four point five. But Dorian Thompson Robinson who does not

0:11:27.200 --> 0:11:30.120
<v Speaker 1>qualify because it pass attempts, how about a seven point

0:11:30.120 --> 0:11:33.679
<v Speaker 1>one interception rate? Bucko, This is not an NFL quarterback

0:11:33.840 --> 0:11:37.040
<v Speaker 1>Lea's not right now. And if they don't, if they

0:11:37.080 --> 0:11:38.559
<v Speaker 1>don't go with him, it sounds like it'll be a

0:11:38.559 --> 0:11:42.360
<v Speaker 1>Bailey Zappi, which is he an NFL quarterback? No, So,

0:11:42.480 --> 0:11:45.120
<v Speaker 1>after a brutal year of bad scheduling luck, it looks

0:11:45.200 --> 0:11:48.360
<v Speaker 1>like we, like, seriously, we get Kyler at maybe his

0:11:48.400 --> 0:11:51.160
<v Speaker 1>peak of his career. The Rams got everyone back for

0:11:51.160 --> 0:11:53.000
<v Speaker 1>that game against US. The Packers were well out of

0:11:53.000 --> 0:11:55.120
<v Speaker 1>their funk by that point, the Texans coming off there

0:11:55.120 --> 0:11:57.240
<v Speaker 1>by even though they still look like they kind of stink. Hell,

0:11:57.320 --> 0:11:59.600
<v Speaker 1>even the Jets have played better football since their bye week,

0:11:59.640 --> 0:12:01.560
<v Speaker 1>and we get them twice post by week. I'm just

0:12:01.640 --> 0:12:04.640
<v Speaker 1>asking for one damn layup all year. Since this has

0:12:04.679 --> 0:12:07.560
<v Speaker 1>been a year of no cup game games for the Dolphins,

0:12:07.720 --> 0:12:10.280
<v Speaker 1>especially when all the cupcakes you did have where during

0:12:10.280 --> 0:12:13.080
<v Speaker 1>the stretch of games or two was down. This seems

0:12:13.360 --> 0:12:15.600
<v Speaker 1>like your first layup spot of the season. Big three

0:12:15.679 --> 0:12:18.280
<v Speaker 1>versus the Browns offense Number one, Keep changing the picture.

0:12:18.520 --> 0:12:20.000
<v Speaker 1>These are going to be a little bit shorter than

0:12:20.040 --> 0:12:22.080
<v Speaker 1>what we normally do because I really don't think it

0:12:22.120 --> 0:12:24.079
<v Speaker 1>has to be that complex this week. This is a

0:12:24.120 --> 0:12:26.559
<v Speaker 1>group that has struggled, a group that has is playing

0:12:26.559 --> 0:12:30.760
<v Speaker 1>an inexperienced quarterback that has really just based on what

0:12:30.840 --> 0:12:33.680
<v Speaker 1>we do. I think I trust the guy calling defense

0:12:33.679 --> 0:12:36.040
<v Speaker 1>to really make their young quarterbacks head swim. There was

0:12:36.080 --> 0:12:38.319
<v Speaker 1>a great snapshot ahead of the Cater pick last week

0:12:38.320 --> 0:12:40.200
<v Speaker 1>where the Dolphins show a Cover one and run it.

0:12:40.400 --> 0:12:42.400
<v Speaker 1>Then later in the game on the Cater pick, they

0:12:42.400 --> 0:12:45.400
<v Speaker 1>show the exact same look but rotate into zone coverage,

0:12:45.440 --> 0:12:47.840
<v Speaker 1>which gets Cater with eyes to the quarterback on that

0:12:47.880 --> 0:12:51.720
<v Speaker 1>glance route. One beat of hesitation allows our our pick

0:12:51.760 --> 0:12:54.240
<v Speaker 1>stunt to arrive with Kalaias Campbell putting this shot across

0:12:54.280 --> 0:12:56.560
<v Speaker 1>the bow of Brock Purdy and then Cater picks it

0:12:56.600 --> 0:12:59.280
<v Speaker 1>off game over, so he was able to confuse Rock Purdy.

0:12:59.520 --> 0:13:02.679
<v Speaker 1>And that's a stuff against Thompson Robinson that should be

0:13:02.920 --> 0:13:04.800
<v Speaker 1>a walk in the park. Or if we see Jamis

0:13:04.880 --> 0:13:06.760
<v Speaker 1>or even if we see Bailey Zappy, I don't care.

0:13:06.920 --> 0:13:09.000
<v Speaker 1>It's the same across the board. The Browns turn the

0:13:09.040 --> 0:13:11.120
<v Speaker 1>ball over a lot, and I think that we can

0:13:11.360 --> 0:13:13.200
<v Speaker 1>do that in this game, especially if it rains.

0:13:13.360 --> 0:13:15.000
<v Speaker 2>One of the keys for the offense is going to.

0:13:15.000 --> 0:13:16.920
<v Speaker 1>Be to protect the football because I do believe that's

0:13:16.920 --> 0:13:20.200
<v Speaker 1>the only way that Miami leaves Cleveland without a victory

0:13:20.240 --> 0:13:23.319
<v Speaker 1>if they lose the turnover battle. And by that token,

0:13:23.920 --> 0:13:26.359
<v Speaker 1>if you can force a turnover pron offense into turnovers,

0:13:26.480 --> 0:13:28.280
<v Speaker 1>then I think you can get up early and put

0:13:28.280 --> 0:13:31.640
<v Speaker 1>this one away pretty quickly. Dtr seven point four interception

0:13:31.760 --> 0:13:34.120
<v Speaker 1>rate is just way too much. You got to catch

0:13:34.120 --> 0:13:37.080
<v Speaker 1>those interception opportunities. I think there's a chance for Jalen

0:13:37.160 --> 0:13:39.480
<v Speaker 1>Ramsey to get his hands on some footballs and go

0:13:39.559 --> 0:13:41.280
<v Speaker 1>back the other way. That takes us to our second key,

0:13:41.360 --> 0:13:44.400
<v Speaker 1>rate here. Number two, you gotta have answers for Ray

0:13:44.480 --> 0:13:47.600
<v Speaker 1>Joe Day and Elijah Moore. With David Dajokus status in question,

0:13:47.600 --> 0:13:49.400
<v Speaker 1>I don't think he's gonna play in the game on Sunday.

0:13:49.559 --> 0:13:52.240
<v Speaker 1>Nick Chubbs down, it is Jerry Judy, it is Elijah Moore,

0:13:52.360 --> 0:13:54.920
<v Speaker 1>and then a massive drop off in target share. Judy

0:13:54.960 --> 0:13:58.000
<v Speaker 1>has one hundred and fourteen targets Najoku set ninety seven

0:13:58.160 --> 0:14:00.839
<v Speaker 1>more ninety two, and then Amari Cooper, who's been with

0:14:00.880 --> 0:14:02.960
<v Speaker 1>the Buffalo Bills for the last nine weeks, has the

0:14:03.040 --> 0:14:06.640
<v Speaker 1>fourth most targets on the Cleveland Browns. But Judy's had

0:14:06.640 --> 0:14:09.080
<v Speaker 1>a revival here in Cleveland, seventy two grabs for one

0:14:09.120 --> 0:14:11.760
<v Speaker 1>thousand and seventy two yards, four touchdowns. He's back to

0:14:11.800 --> 0:14:14.120
<v Speaker 1>the crisp route running. We saw the Alabama and it

0:14:14.160 --> 0:14:16.240
<v Speaker 1>seems like maybe he's got his head on straight this time.

0:14:16.400 --> 0:14:18.600
<v Speaker 1>And I think you have to make him your focal point,

0:14:18.600 --> 0:14:22.640
<v Speaker 1>whether whether you go Ramsey shadow or give consistent attention.

0:14:23.160 --> 0:14:25.760
<v Speaker 1>You know, some see one special, some cover one special.

0:14:25.800 --> 0:14:27.880
<v Speaker 1>Part of what they ran against the Niners where you

0:14:27.920 --> 0:14:30.880
<v Speaker 1>basically run cover one and instead of having your safety

0:14:30.880 --> 0:14:33.920
<v Speaker 1>play a buzzing role, he goes and double somebody, which

0:14:33.960 --> 0:14:36.880
<v Speaker 1>I think is a quite frankly, my preferred option a

0:14:36.920 --> 0:14:39.640
<v Speaker 1>special on Judy with Storm and that safety, because I

0:14:39.640 --> 0:14:40.960
<v Speaker 1>assume Kendall Fuller will not go.

0:14:41.000 --> 0:14:42.800
<v Speaker 2>It sounds like he actually won't go in the game.

0:14:42.960 --> 0:14:45.400
<v Speaker 1>Let Jaylen Ramsey play a lot of man on Elijah

0:14:45.440 --> 0:14:48.480
<v Speaker 1>Moore and see if they can beat you with Cedric Tillman,

0:14:48.680 --> 0:14:53.600
<v Speaker 1>Jordan Aikens, Michael Woods. You know, just a random note.

0:14:53.720 --> 0:14:56.760
<v Speaker 1>I walked past Jayalen in the lunch room today. Every

0:14:56.800 --> 0:15:00.000
<v Speaker 1>time I see that guy, I'm like, that's a corner.

0:15:00.760 --> 0:15:03.120
<v Speaker 1>That dude looks like a linebacker. Back To the point,

0:15:03.720 --> 0:15:05.920
<v Speaker 1>I think your scheme versatility on the back end against

0:15:05.920 --> 0:15:08.840
<v Speaker 1>an inexperienced quarterback and a group of eligibles that could

0:15:08.880 --> 0:15:11.320
<v Speaker 1>be down its top two guys and was somewhat thin

0:15:11.400 --> 0:15:13.640
<v Speaker 1>to begin with after the Amari Cooper trade. I mean,

0:15:13.960 --> 0:15:16.440
<v Speaker 1>Judy is a game breaker outside more plays a lot

0:15:16.440 --> 0:15:18.640
<v Speaker 1>more on the slot inside. That's a matchup I think

0:15:18.680 --> 0:15:21.760
<v Speaker 1>Cateror has can handle as well. It's but that big

0:15:21.840 --> 0:15:23.800
<v Speaker 1>nickel we've shown as well. I think from a scheme

0:15:23.840 --> 0:15:25.840
<v Speaker 1>and personnel standpoint, we stand to have some pretty good

0:15:25.840 --> 0:15:29.080
<v Speaker 1>matchups here against this Browns offense, Judy can beat you deep,

0:15:29.320 --> 0:15:31.480
<v Speaker 1>and that's the best way for Miami to lose this game,

0:15:31.520 --> 0:15:34.000
<v Speaker 1>in my opinion, turning it over on offense and letting

0:15:34.080 --> 0:15:36.640
<v Speaker 1>Judy get behind the defense. But luckily we've done a

0:15:36.640 --> 0:15:38.520
<v Speaker 1>pretty good job of limiting those this year. And the

0:15:38.560 --> 0:15:40.960
<v Speaker 1>quarterback has not seen throwing the ball down the field

0:15:40.960 --> 0:15:41.320
<v Speaker 1>at all.

0:15:41.440 --> 0:15:42.800
<v Speaker 2>I think we could have that well covered.

0:15:42.840 --> 0:15:45.800
<v Speaker 1>He has thrown five balls twenty plus yards this year,

0:15:46.000 --> 0:15:49.760
<v Speaker 1>no completions, two picks. Opposing teams have blitzed him on

0:15:49.880 --> 0:15:52.400
<v Speaker 1>thirty two percent of his dropbacks, and that has produced

0:15:52.440 --> 0:15:55.560
<v Speaker 1>two picks, no touchdowns, and a two yard per attempt average.

0:15:55.600 --> 0:15:58.360
<v Speaker 1>When not blitzed, it's four point six no touchdowns, three picks.

0:15:58.480 --> 0:16:00.760
<v Speaker 1>This is not an NFL offense. Guys, All right, let's

0:16:00.760 --> 0:16:02.480
<v Speaker 1>go ahead and take our first break or right there,

0:16:02.680 --> 0:16:05.000
<v Speaker 1>come back on the other side, do the third thing

0:16:05.000 --> 0:16:07.640
<v Speaker 1>against the Cleveland offense. We'll do the defensive Browns, which

0:16:07.640 --> 0:16:09.680
<v Speaker 1>is actually a good unit against the Dolphins offense.

0:16:09.880 --> 0:16:11.360
<v Speaker 2>What's at stake? Range of outcomes?

0:16:11.360 --> 0:16:13.960
<v Speaker 1>Pick the game keys, all of that more Draft Time podcast,

0:16:14.000 --> 0:16:16.760
<v Speaker 1>your host Travis Wingfield, brought to you by AutoNation.

0:16:20.160 --> 0:16:20.960
<v Speaker 2>The top two.

0:16:20.840 --> 0:16:24.160
<v Speaker 1>Keys against the Browns offense is to constantly change the

0:16:24.200 --> 0:16:26.400
<v Speaker 1>picture for a quarterback who struggles to see it. And

0:16:26.480 --> 0:16:30.520
<v Speaker 1>number two always have answers for Jerry Judy and Elijah Moore.

0:16:30.560 --> 0:16:33.680
<v Speaker 1>And number three is to match their strength at guard

0:16:33.760 --> 0:16:37.080
<v Speaker 1>with our strength at defensive tackle. Strength on strength here,

0:16:37.280 --> 0:16:40.240
<v Speaker 1>I'd be stunned if the Browns approach isn't to run,

0:16:40.360 --> 0:16:43.640
<v Speaker 1>run some more, especially if it's raining and look thirty

0:16:43.680 --> 0:16:46.680
<v Speaker 1>second in run success rate. That's something you probably invite.

0:16:47.240 --> 0:16:49.400
<v Speaker 1>But Jerome Ford is like Jerry Judy in the sense

0:16:49.400 --> 0:16:51.080
<v Speaker 1>that he has some gidea up to his game. My

0:16:51.200 --> 0:16:53.840
<v Speaker 1>number one goal is to prevent the explosives from those

0:16:53.840 --> 0:16:56.520
<v Speaker 1>two guys. Jerome Ford has six explosive runs this season.

0:16:56.560 --> 0:16:59.000
<v Speaker 1>He has a sixty six yard touchdown run. We can't

0:16:59.000 --> 0:17:01.160
<v Speaker 1>allow those. He averages five and a half yards per carry.

0:17:01.200 --> 0:17:03.080
<v Speaker 1>Best kind of his game, it's the three runs that

0:17:03.120 --> 0:17:05.720
<v Speaker 1>don't get much. Then he springs the fourth run, just

0:17:05.800 --> 0:17:09.400
<v Speaker 1>not quite as frequently as Barry Sanders did. Right, and

0:17:09.440 --> 0:17:12.600
<v Speaker 1>on your wins, you create long down distances. That's when

0:17:12.640 --> 0:17:15.040
<v Speaker 1>you get into your bag of coverages. You institute your

0:17:15.080 --> 0:17:17.280
<v Speaker 1>rush games for a quarterback that struggles to see it

0:17:17.520 --> 0:17:19.240
<v Speaker 1>and a line that has a lot of changes that

0:17:19.320 --> 0:17:21.040
<v Speaker 1>can cause some communication issues.

0:17:21.320 --> 0:17:23.399
<v Speaker 2>Get your takeaways, get your field position.

0:17:23.880 --> 0:17:27.000
<v Speaker 1>Like the only time I remember us having a short

0:17:27.000 --> 0:17:29.159
<v Speaker 1>field is the Patriots game, right that they got the

0:17:29.440 --> 0:17:32.800
<v Speaker 1>stripsack on Drake May and then we had the touchdown

0:17:32.880 --> 0:17:35.520
<v Speaker 1>like two plays later. I feel like we haven't had

0:17:35.560 --> 0:17:37.320
<v Speaker 1>short fields at all the whole year.

0:17:37.760 --> 0:17:38.040
<v Speaker 2>Now.

0:17:38.720 --> 0:17:40.719
<v Speaker 1>If there's a strength of your team for the Browns,

0:17:40.760 --> 0:17:43.159
<v Speaker 1>it's the offensive line. But again it's not been the

0:17:43.200 --> 0:17:45.760
<v Speaker 1>same production because if you peel back the curtain, I

0:17:45.760 --> 0:17:48.720
<v Speaker 1>mean Joel Potonio, Wyatt Teller were the best guard combo

0:17:48.760 --> 0:17:51.359
<v Speaker 1>and football for years and they still probably are. Like

0:17:51.400 --> 0:17:54.320
<v Speaker 1>in the conversation, Ethan Posik was a hot commodity and

0:17:54.359 --> 0:17:56.159
<v Speaker 1>free agency and a good player in the middle in

0:17:56.200 --> 0:17:58.400
<v Speaker 1>the pivot. Jack Conklin was one of the game's best

0:17:58.440 --> 0:18:00.520
<v Speaker 1>right tackles in football for a while well, and then

0:18:00.520 --> 0:18:03.200
<v Speaker 1>the left tackles in for Jeddrick Wills, it's Germaine of Fetti,

0:18:03.240 --> 0:18:05.199
<v Speaker 1>the backup. The smallest guy on the line is three

0:18:05.320 --> 0:18:07.879
<v Speaker 1>hundred and ten pounds and that's Conklin. They're big guys

0:18:07.880 --> 0:18:09.720
<v Speaker 1>that want to push you around, and that's where I

0:18:09.720 --> 0:18:12.280
<v Speaker 1>think Jordan Brooks's ability to impact the rush lanes as

0:18:12.280 --> 0:18:15.719
<v Speaker 1>a blitzer, how they use chopping, various roles and overloads

0:18:15.720 --> 0:18:18.840
<v Speaker 1>and sim pressures. By the way, Chop Robinson is a superstar, right,

0:18:18.880 --> 0:18:19.640
<v Speaker 1>we all agree.

0:18:19.440 --> 0:18:22.040
<v Speaker 2>On that he's going to be. He's that he's got

0:18:22.119 --> 0:18:25.720
<v Speaker 2>that movement. Man. We've seen so many pass not a lot.

0:18:25.800 --> 0:18:27.200
<v Speaker 1>We've seen a few pass which was coming to the

0:18:27.280 --> 0:18:30.000
<v Speaker 1>league and just move differently right away. We got one

0:18:30.000 --> 0:18:32.240
<v Speaker 1>of them now. Cannot wait to watch him get back

0:18:32.240 --> 0:18:35.000
<v Speaker 1>with you in Phillips next season. I think you can

0:18:35.119 --> 0:18:37.960
<v Speaker 1>really challenge their lateral movement skills and recognition with those

0:18:37.960 --> 0:18:40.159
<v Speaker 1>games that you could run with Steeler and Campbell setting

0:18:40.200 --> 0:18:42.560
<v Speaker 1>those picks, and then you have the speed from Chop

0:18:42.560 --> 0:18:44.840
<v Speaker 1>and JB. That's been the beauty of the mighty pass rush.

0:18:44.880 --> 0:18:47.520
<v Speaker 1>Their speed with the size and strength of ninety two

0:18:47.560 --> 0:18:49.880
<v Speaker 1>to ninety three to complement each other. And don't forget

0:18:49.920 --> 0:18:51.960
<v Speaker 1>Benito Jones, who to me has played his way into

0:18:51.960 --> 0:18:54.880
<v Speaker 1>garnering a long term role within this defense to bring

0:18:54.920 --> 0:18:56.520
<v Speaker 1>it back to the size and what I assume will

0:18:56.520 --> 0:18:58.680
<v Speaker 1>be a concerted effort to run the ball off the edge.

0:18:58.880 --> 0:19:01.960
<v Speaker 1>I've been so impressed by Quinton Bell's run defense could

0:19:01.960 --> 0:19:04.200
<v Speaker 1>be a nice workload for him to fight through that size.

0:19:04.200 --> 0:19:06.280
<v Speaker 1>They have the polers, the tight ends, the split flow

0:19:06.320 --> 0:19:09.000
<v Speaker 1>action to just go out and win some rundowns and

0:19:09.080 --> 0:19:11.880
<v Speaker 1>create some second down longs for Chop Probinson, Dependazier's back

0:19:12.040 --> 0:19:16.080
<v Speaker 1>and go rush the quarterback for posterity. Their past block

0:19:16.119 --> 0:19:18.439
<v Speaker 1>efficiency scores are bad.

0:19:18.680 --> 0:19:19.240
<v Speaker 2>It's bad.

0:19:19.440 --> 0:19:21.600
<v Speaker 1>Ninety four to one for a Feti is well below

0:19:21.640 --> 0:19:25.119
<v Speaker 1>the threshold. Ninety seven six for Bentonio is like good,

0:19:25.280 --> 0:19:27.280
<v Speaker 1>but it's like not great, and then same for Post

0:19:27.400 --> 0:19:29.280
<v Speaker 1>ninety seven point six. You want your centers to be

0:19:29.320 --> 0:19:32.240
<v Speaker 1>above ninety eight, but it's close enough. Teller ninety seven

0:19:32.280 --> 0:19:35.080
<v Speaker 1>point five is right on that fringe again, and then

0:19:35.119 --> 0:19:37.760
<v Speaker 1>Conklin ninety five point eight. I should note he's fifth

0:19:37.800 --> 0:19:40.639
<v Speaker 1>and run block win rate, and further, he's off total

0:19:40.680 --> 0:19:43.840
<v Speaker 1>knee reconstruction from week one injury last year, and each

0:19:43.840 --> 0:19:45.040
<v Speaker 1>week he looks more and more.

0:19:44.960 --> 0:19:46.040
<v Speaker 2>Like the old Jack Conklin.

0:19:46.400 --> 0:19:49.760
<v Speaker 1>But that pass block efficiency score is not very good,

0:19:49.760 --> 0:19:51.439
<v Speaker 1>so you can get him in pass protection. To me,

0:19:51.440 --> 0:19:53.680
<v Speaker 1>it's Quintin bell on rundowns and Chop Probins, not pass

0:19:53.680 --> 0:19:56.280
<v Speaker 1>downs against him. And again all those are under the

0:19:56.320 --> 0:19:58.960
<v Speaker 1>threshold of what's been good pass protection. So the goal

0:19:59.000 --> 0:20:01.240
<v Speaker 1>should be to shut these guy out, like for real,

0:20:01.320 --> 0:20:03.199
<v Speaker 1>for real, dog, let's go ahead and pivot here.

0:20:03.200 --> 0:20:05.160
<v Speaker 2>I don't have any more additional parts on this Browns offense.

0:20:05.160 --> 0:20:06.439
<v Speaker 1>I wanted to get through that as quick as I

0:20:06.440 --> 0:20:09.240
<v Speaker 1>possibly could and get to the Dolphins offense versus the

0:20:09.240 --> 0:20:11.600
<v Speaker 1>Browns defense, which as a scheme. If you want to

0:20:11.640 --> 0:20:13.720
<v Speaker 1>see a coach who knows what he wants to do

0:20:14.600 --> 0:20:17.680
<v Speaker 1>and does it until the wheels fall off, that's Jim Schwartz.

0:20:17.920 --> 0:20:20.480
<v Speaker 1>You guys are familiar with fire zones. Yeah, it's essentially

0:20:20.520 --> 0:20:23.119
<v Speaker 1>a five man rush with a three to three second

0:20:23.160 --> 0:20:25.639
<v Speaker 1>and third level matching kind of like in soccer that

0:20:25.760 --> 0:20:28.119
<v Speaker 1>doesn't show a post player off the snap, or they

0:20:28.160 --> 0:20:30.680
<v Speaker 1>can rotate their coverage to get different guys into the post.

0:20:30.920 --> 0:20:33.399
<v Speaker 1>It can look like man, it can be man match,

0:20:33.640 --> 0:20:35.720
<v Speaker 1>but it's likely a zone at its heart that brings

0:20:35.720 --> 0:20:38.560
<v Speaker 1>a rusher and replaces that rusher with a dropper. So

0:20:38.640 --> 0:20:40.880
<v Speaker 1>kind of like when you see Benito Jones peeling back

0:20:40.880 --> 0:20:43.199
<v Speaker 1>into the hook zone, that's a fire zone. So they

0:20:43.240 --> 0:20:45.280
<v Speaker 1>can dress it up with six or seven or even

0:20:45.280 --> 0:20:47.280
<v Speaker 1>eight on the line of scrimmage. They can sim it.

0:20:47.440 --> 0:20:49.480
<v Speaker 1>They can still bring more than you can block, so

0:20:49.480 --> 0:20:51.960
<v Speaker 1>it's imperative for tu to be sharp at the line

0:20:51.960 --> 0:20:54.480
<v Speaker 1>of scrimmage pre snap. By the numbers, there are ninth

0:20:54.480 --> 0:20:56.720
<v Speaker 1>and blitz rate at twenty nine percent and that comes

0:20:56.760 --> 0:20:58.920
<v Speaker 1>the twenty eight percent pressure rate, third in the NFL.

0:20:58.960 --> 0:21:00.560
<v Speaker 2>So they cook up your quarterback pretty good.

0:21:00.800 --> 0:21:03.359
<v Speaker 1>Now you'd think that comes with splash plays, right, But

0:21:03.400 --> 0:21:05.800
<v Speaker 1>they have only thirty seven sack which is fine, But

0:21:05.840 --> 0:21:08.080
<v Speaker 1>it's the middle of the packets fifteenth and just four

0:21:08.160 --> 0:21:10.760
<v Speaker 1>picks and only the Giants have fewer, and they're one

0:21:10.760 --> 0:21:13.119
<v Speaker 1>of five teams that has just six or fewer picks

0:21:13.119 --> 0:21:15.119
<v Speaker 1>on the entire year. They do allow four and a

0:21:15.160 --> 0:21:17.400
<v Speaker 1>half yards per carrying one hundred and twenty seven yards

0:21:17.440 --> 0:21:19.959
<v Speaker 1>per game on the ground. But let's make no mistakes

0:21:20.000 --> 0:21:22.440
<v Speaker 1>about it. This is a good defense that's well coached.

0:21:22.720 --> 0:21:24.600
<v Speaker 1>You won't see it by the three and twelve record

0:21:24.720 --> 0:21:26.399
<v Speaker 1>or by the game you watch against the Broncos a

0:21:26.440 --> 0:21:28.919
<v Speaker 1>few weeks back, but they can cause some issues on

0:21:28.960 --> 0:21:30.280
<v Speaker 1>this side of the football.

0:21:30.480 --> 0:21:31.560
<v Speaker 2>How do you attack it? Now?

0:21:32.400 --> 0:21:35.800
<v Speaker 1>I think we have the operation to expose some of

0:21:35.840 --> 0:21:38.040
<v Speaker 1>the stuff they do that makes them vulnerable. We have

0:21:38.080 --> 0:21:40.200
<v Speaker 1>the best quick game quarterback in the NFL, and those

0:21:40.240 --> 0:21:42.960
<v Speaker 1>fire zone blitzes, you can vacate short areas of the

0:21:43.000 --> 0:21:45.760
<v Speaker 1>field and create real matchup problems. And that's why I

0:21:45.760 --> 0:21:48.320
<v Speaker 1>think John news Smith could be poised for a big

0:21:48.359 --> 0:21:50.800
<v Speaker 1>day in this one and Jalen Waddle if he's on

0:21:50.840 --> 0:21:53.359
<v Speaker 1>the field. But really that's every game, right because Smith

0:21:53.359 --> 0:21:55.560
<v Speaker 1>and Waddle two of the most efficient players in the

0:21:55.600 --> 0:21:57.240
<v Speaker 1>league in terms of their targets what they do with them,

0:21:57.440 --> 0:21:58.960
<v Speaker 1>and that's where the Dolphins have been successful.

0:21:59.000 --> 0:21:59.880
<v Speaker 2>Throwing to those two guys.

0:22:00.080 --> 0:22:02.440
<v Speaker 1>Devon h Chan and pretty much everybody else has been

0:22:02.520 --> 0:22:05.679
<v Speaker 1>a negative operation this year. It's a great week to

0:22:05.720 --> 0:22:08.520
<v Speaker 1>have Tron and Kendall coming off a great performance and

0:22:08.560 --> 0:22:11.800
<v Speaker 1>having two veterans against a defense that wants to confuse

0:22:11.800 --> 0:22:13.760
<v Speaker 1>your protection in a way that creates one on one

0:22:13.800 --> 0:22:17.000
<v Speaker 1>opportunities for Miles Garrett, who can be a grinch out

0:22:17.000 --> 0:22:19.120
<v Speaker 1>there as much like Patrick Paul and think he's gonna

0:22:19.119 --> 0:22:20.680
<v Speaker 1>be a really good left tackle in this league for

0:22:20.720 --> 0:22:23.920
<v Speaker 1>a long time. There's like five guys in this league

0:22:23.960 --> 0:22:26.280
<v Speaker 1>that can neutralize Miles Garrett, and Toront Armstead's one of

0:22:26.320 --> 0:22:29.040
<v Speaker 1>those guys. So I'm glad he's playing the Big Three

0:22:29.160 --> 0:22:32.439
<v Speaker 1>versus Brown's defense. Number One, you have to decipher the

0:22:32.480 --> 0:22:34.840
<v Speaker 1>exotic looks, not the erotic looks like we heard on

0:22:34.840 --> 0:22:38.360
<v Speaker 1>a podcast a couple weeks ago. Here, you don't correct

0:22:37.800 --> 0:22:40.639
<v Speaker 1>your guest, but that was funny if you know what

0:22:40.640 --> 0:22:42.200
<v Speaker 1>I'm talking about. If not, we're gonna let you guys

0:22:42.200 --> 0:22:44.600
<v Speaker 1>figure it out. Number one, decipher the exotic looks. So

0:22:44.600 --> 0:22:47.080
<v Speaker 1>we covered the process and structure of the defense to

0:22:47.160 --> 0:22:49.840
<v Speaker 1>continue it. They play cover one thirty four percent of

0:22:49.880 --> 0:22:52.560
<v Speaker 1>the time, which is the second highest rate in the league.

0:22:52.640 --> 0:22:54.080
<v Speaker 1>So if you want to take your deep shots, this

0:22:54.160 --> 0:22:55.800
<v Speaker 1>could be a shot a chance for that, and I

0:22:55.800 --> 0:22:57.560
<v Speaker 1>think we saw a lot of that last week. Personally,

0:22:57.760 --> 0:23:00.520
<v Speaker 1>it used to be punishable by long touchdown if you

0:23:00.600 --> 0:23:03.560
<v Speaker 1>dared played man coverage against the Dolphins, but this year

0:23:03.640 --> 0:23:07.040
<v Speaker 1>has not been as effective. Tua's passer rating is down

0:23:07.040 --> 0:23:10.080
<v Speaker 1>from fourth against man coverage to sixteenth this year, and

0:23:10.160 --> 0:23:13.600
<v Speaker 1>the biggest difference is targeting. Tyreek Waddle actually beats man

0:23:13.640 --> 0:23:15.439
<v Speaker 1>coverage at a better rate this year. He has a

0:23:15.480 --> 0:23:17.639
<v Speaker 1>higher yards per target and a higher passer rating against

0:23:17.640 --> 0:23:20.840
<v Speaker 1>man coverage, but Reek's yard per target against man coverage

0:23:20.880 --> 0:23:23.520
<v Speaker 1>is down from ten point one last year to five

0:23:23.560 --> 0:23:23.959
<v Speaker 1>point two.

0:23:24.040 --> 0:23:24.680
<v Speaker 2>This year, you talk.

0:23:24.600 --> 0:23:27.159
<v Speaker 1>About losing the step, losing some juice, losing some gusto.

0:23:27.440 --> 0:23:29.040
<v Speaker 1>It's right there. The proopose in the putting half the

0:23:29.080 --> 0:23:32.200
<v Speaker 1>production against man coverage, which is daring you to beat

0:23:32.240 --> 0:23:34.920
<v Speaker 1>them yourself. We'll circle back to this in the second key,

0:23:34.920 --> 0:23:36.800
<v Speaker 1>but I thought it was important to detail the Browns

0:23:36.800 --> 0:23:39.480
<v Speaker 1>coverage structure to round that out. They run Cover three

0:23:39.600 --> 0:23:41.879
<v Speaker 1>thirty percent of the time, so you're basically two thirds

0:23:41.880 --> 0:23:43.800
<v Speaker 1>of the time to side from between Cover one and

0:23:43.840 --> 0:23:46.560
<v Speaker 1>Cover three, which is the smoothest disguise you can possibly

0:23:46.640 --> 0:23:49.800
<v Speaker 1>operate from right. It's kind of the same responsibilities. It's

0:23:49.880 --> 0:23:52.040
<v Speaker 1>just a little bit of a variation. We do plenty

0:23:52.119 --> 0:23:54.320
<v Speaker 1>of that show one bail into three, and we saw

0:23:54.359 --> 0:23:56.080
<v Speaker 1>the Jets do a lot of that against TUA and

0:23:56.200 --> 0:23:58.960
<v Speaker 1>just went to work pounding out the intermedia and short

0:23:59.000 --> 0:24:00.680
<v Speaker 1>perimeter throws against that coverage.

0:24:00.760 --> 0:24:02.160
<v Speaker 2>So when it is Cover three and they.

0:24:02.080 --> 0:24:04.080
<v Speaker 1>Back up and get their depth, you can attack that

0:24:04.200 --> 0:24:06.520
<v Speaker 1>area of the field. I tend to think the Browns

0:24:06.520 --> 0:24:08.560
<v Speaker 1>will play up and challenge us at the line of

0:24:08.600 --> 0:24:11.600
<v Speaker 1>scrimmage and attempt to confuse our protection assignments and play the

0:24:11.640 --> 0:24:13.720
<v Speaker 1>quick game and be a little bit more vulnerable vertically

0:24:13.760 --> 0:24:15.520
<v Speaker 1>because I feel like they might think that we can't

0:24:15.560 --> 0:24:17.400
<v Speaker 1>do that because we haven't done it this year that much.

0:24:17.520 --> 0:24:19.360
<v Speaker 1>So this feels like a spot where you again could

0:24:19.400 --> 0:24:21.440
<v Speaker 1>find the deep ball, but we've been tailing that all

0:24:21.480 --> 0:24:24.560
<v Speaker 1>year and we haven't had that deep ball opportunities too often,

0:24:24.880 --> 0:24:26.639
<v Speaker 1>especially if you catch them in a bad coverage like

0:24:26.720 --> 0:24:28.560
<v Speaker 1>the Broncos is a couple of weeks back. They ran

0:24:28.640 --> 0:24:31.160
<v Speaker 1>that inverted two look, which is your safety's come down,

0:24:31.160 --> 0:24:33.840
<v Speaker 1>and played the short the curl flat or the cloud

0:24:33.880 --> 0:24:36.800
<v Speaker 1>whatever you call the cover two underneath area and the

0:24:36.840 --> 0:24:39.840
<v Speaker 1>cornerbacks flip back and rotate into your deep halves, and

0:24:39.880 --> 0:24:42.439
<v Speaker 1>they got burned up top on a third and eleven

0:24:42.480 --> 0:24:44.720
<v Speaker 1>from inside the five yard line. That just ran Marvin

0:24:44.800 --> 0:24:47.040
<v Speaker 1>Mims right down the scene from the slot and he

0:24:47.119 --> 0:24:49.440
<v Speaker 1>ran right past their defense for a ninety seven yard

0:24:49.440 --> 0:24:51.680
<v Speaker 1>touch on or whatever that was. I just don't think

0:24:51.720 --> 0:24:54.200
<v Speaker 1>it's in Jim Schwartz's DNA to have the game come

0:24:54.240 --> 0:24:56.719
<v Speaker 1>to him. He's aggressive, and I see no reason to

0:24:56.760 --> 0:24:59.199
<v Speaker 1>expect that to change this week. And if we get Wattle,

0:24:59.440 --> 0:25:02.040
<v Speaker 1>that makes it pretty big difference, because well, yeah, he's

0:25:02.080 --> 0:25:04.679
<v Speaker 1>one of the most efficient receivers in the league again, Like,

0:25:04.720 --> 0:25:07.320
<v Speaker 1>how about this? Did you know Waddle has been targeted

0:25:07.680 --> 0:25:10.040
<v Speaker 1>eight times on third and long this year and he's

0:25:10.040 --> 0:25:11.520
<v Speaker 1>converted six of them for first downs.

0:25:11.720 --> 0:25:13.000
<v Speaker 2>It's our go to receiver rate there.

0:25:13.000 --> 0:25:15.680
<v Speaker 1>It's a third and seven plus and he's usually doing

0:25:15.680 --> 0:25:17.840
<v Speaker 1>that on routes they're trying to take away, like outside

0:25:17.920 --> 0:25:20.679
<v Speaker 1>leverage against an outbreaker, and he still wins that. So

0:25:20.760 --> 0:25:22.360
<v Speaker 1>Waddle is a key. He's going to be a key

0:25:22.359 --> 0:25:24.679
<v Speaker 1>here for a long time. And it feels crazy to

0:25:24.680 --> 0:25:27.560
<v Speaker 1>say this, but I feel like he's entering vastly underrated

0:25:27.640 --> 0:25:29.720
<v Speaker 1>territory in terms of what he is as a player.

0:25:29.720 --> 0:25:31.679
<v Speaker 1>I see people say, like this is at number one receiver,

0:25:31.680 --> 0:25:34.440
<v Speaker 1>he's on top twenty, Like yeah, dude, all that stuff

0:25:34.480 --> 0:25:36.159
<v Speaker 1>that he does is still in there. This's a guy that,

0:25:36.440 --> 0:25:39.159
<v Speaker 1>when he was properly featured, had fourteen hundred yards, Like

0:25:39.480 --> 0:25:40.359
<v Speaker 1>he's an elite player.

0:25:40.560 --> 0:25:41.360
<v Speaker 2>Back to the main thing.

0:25:41.680 --> 0:25:44.600
<v Speaker 1>Sixteen percent Cover two and they love to dress up

0:25:44.640 --> 0:25:47.399
<v Speaker 1>how to get there. There's eight percent quarters, five percent

0:25:47.440 --> 0:25:50.200
<v Speaker 1>cover six. So they'll do some extra stuff, but it's

0:25:50.240 --> 0:25:51.879
<v Speaker 1>mostly cover one and cover three.

0:25:52.000 --> 0:25:53.000
<v Speaker 2>What are we getting at here?

0:25:53.000 --> 0:25:56.520
<v Speaker 1>Well, Jim Schwartz has coached football since I was two

0:25:56.600 --> 0:25:58.679
<v Speaker 1>years old. I'm thirty seven years old. He has a

0:25:58.720 --> 0:26:01.000
<v Speaker 1>deep menu and he unfer all of it. And this

0:26:01.040 --> 0:26:04.000
<v Speaker 1>team plays this scheme very well. They've really struggled on offense,

0:26:04.000 --> 0:26:07.040
<v Speaker 1>but this defense is not a joke. Garrett versus Armsteads,

0:26:07.040 --> 0:26:10.080
<v Speaker 1>Tyson versus holy Field, best on best. If Tran wins

0:26:10.080 --> 0:26:12.879
<v Speaker 1>that matchup, it tilts the entire game. And my expectation

0:26:13.000 --> 0:26:14.720
<v Speaker 1>is that te Staid is that he wins against whoever

0:26:14.760 --> 0:26:16.520
<v Speaker 1>he goes up again, so I think he will. He

0:26:16.600 --> 0:26:19.400
<v Speaker 1>shut down Nick Bosa last week. He climbed and defeated

0:26:19.400 --> 0:26:21.320
<v Speaker 1>Fred Warner time and time again in the running game.

0:26:21.520 --> 0:26:23.240
<v Speaker 1>This is a Hall of Fame talent we're talking about

0:26:23.240 --> 0:26:25.879
<v Speaker 1>here against another guy who's for sure already you know,

0:26:25.960 --> 0:26:28.120
<v Speaker 1>basically got his measurements for the gold jacket coming up.

0:26:28.280 --> 0:26:31.360
<v Speaker 1>That's Marquee football while we love it, but also keep

0:26:31.400 --> 0:26:34.400
<v Speaker 1>an eye on Dalvin Tomlinson and Michael Hall inside. They're

0:26:34.440 --> 0:26:37.120
<v Speaker 1>both wicked pass rushers with a good combo of first

0:26:37.160 --> 0:26:40.240
<v Speaker 1>step quickness and power. Especially Tomlinson. Man, he's one of

0:26:40.280 --> 0:26:42.720
<v Speaker 1>those freaks of nature that's three hundred and twenty five pounds,

0:26:42.720 --> 0:26:44.639
<v Speaker 1>but he moves like a gymnast, like I bet he

0:26:44.640 --> 0:26:46.639
<v Speaker 1>can do the splits. Hall is like that too, but

0:26:46.680 --> 0:26:49.040
<v Speaker 1>at three hundred pounds. Because they're so adept at that.

0:26:49.119 --> 0:26:50.960
<v Speaker 1>Schwartz loves to peel them into the hook zone on

0:26:51.000 --> 0:26:54.000
<v Speaker 1>those fire zones undercut stuff, and then they have to

0:26:54.080 --> 0:26:58.080
<v Speaker 1>incorporate Jeremiah Wusa Koramoa, who's the modern day linebacker athlete

0:26:58.160 --> 0:27:00.480
<v Speaker 1>in terms of how he moves both vertically and down hill.

0:27:00.760 --> 0:27:01.800
<v Speaker 2>But he hasn't played in a while.

0:27:01.840 --> 0:27:04.199
<v Speaker 1>Stefanski said that he's week to week last week, so

0:27:04.280 --> 0:27:06.480
<v Speaker 1>we could see him back for this game. But I

0:27:06.560 --> 0:27:09.119
<v Speaker 1>kind of always wonder, like, why, what's the point with

0:27:09.200 --> 0:27:10.000
<v Speaker 1>two games to go?

0:27:10.359 --> 0:27:10.920
<v Speaker 2>That's a key.

0:27:11.080 --> 0:27:13.280
<v Speaker 1>I think that he makes that front rush drop all

0:27:13.359 --> 0:27:16.000
<v Speaker 1>tied together better than anybody else on that side. All

0:27:16.040 --> 0:27:18.439
<v Speaker 1>of that athleticism, all of that strength, all of that

0:27:18.480 --> 0:27:21.119
<v Speaker 1>pass rush in a system that they've been playing in

0:27:21.160 --> 0:27:24.360
<v Speaker 1>for a while, it's a challenge, especially for your communication.

0:27:24.720 --> 0:27:26.520
<v Speaker 1>Brewer has to be one of the best, or has

0:27:26.560 --> 0:27:28.280
<v Speaker 1>been one of the best helpers in the entire league

0:27:28.320 --> 0:27:30.440
<v Speaker 1>in pass pro. And if I had to guess, I'm

0:27:30.440 --> 0:27:32.879
<v Speaker 1>gonna guess that they're gonna try to put Brewer against

0:27:32.920 --> 0:27:35.040
<v Speaker 1>a nose tackle head up at a zero technique like

0:27:35.040 --> 0:27:37.439
<v Speaker 1>a Tomlinson and try to have him deal with power

0:27:37.640 --> 0:27:40.080
<v Speaker 1>to try to create isolations on the perimeter for Toront

0:27:40.160 --> 0:27:43.560
<v Speaker 1>Armstead and Miles Garrett or Shelby Harris off the other side.

0:27:43.560 --> 0:27:45.800
<v Speaker 1>But he's also missed some games as well, or recently,

0:27:45.840 --> 0:27:47.640
<v Speaker 1>I should say. I think it was a great sign

0:27:47.680 --> 0:27:49.800
<v Speaker 1>to see Isaiah Win step in and play as well

0:27:49.800 --> 0:27:52.159
<v Speaker 1>as he did, and quite frankly the entire offensive line.

0:27:52.280 --> 0:27:54.000
<v Speaker 1>That was a physical game from the Boys, and if

0:27:54.000 --> 0:27:56.080
<v Speaker 1>they do that, they're going to be tough to beat.

0:27:56.280 --> 0:27:58.560
<v Speaker 1>But it'll be imperative for two to decide for quickly

0:27:58.640 --> 0:28:01.040
<v Speaker 1>what he sees for the guys up front, to get

0:28:01.080 --> 0:28:03.879
<v Speaker 1>surge in the running game and communicate their protection assignments

0:28:03.960 --> 0:28:06.720
<v Speaker 1>against the many looks of Jim Schwartz. They haven't played

0:28:06.720 --> 0:28:08.879
<v Speaker 1>the Niners, they haven't played the Rams, Packers or Texans,

0:28:08.880 --> 0:28:11.680
<v Speaker 1>but they did put the Bengals twice, which is somewhat

0:28:11.680 --> 0:28:15.400
<v Speaker 1>a comparable scheme here, somewhat not necessarily, and I think

0:28:15.440 --> 0:28:17.639
<v Speaker 1>the Burrow plays similar to to US. I want to

0:28:17.640 --> 0:28:19.639
<v Speaker 1>see what they did against Joe Burrow to see what

0:28:19.640 --> 0:28:21.840
<v Speaker 1>they might do against Tua. They blitzed him twenty one

0:28:21.840 --> 0:28:23.560
<v Speaker 1>percent of the time in the first meeting and then

0:28:23.640 --> 0:28:25.760
<v Speaker 1>seventeen percent in the second meeting, So maybe it's fewer

0:28:25.800 --> 0:28:28.239
<v Speaker 1>blitzers and what we're used to. We shall see. This

0:28:28.320 --> 0:28:30.560
<v Speaker 1>is the most fun matchup of the game. Let's go

0:28:30.600 --> 0:28:32.720
<v Speaker 1>ahead and take a break right there, come back and

0:28:32.760 --> 0:28:35.679
<v Speaker 1>do segment three, Keys two and three versus the Browns defense.

0:28:35.800 --> 0:28:38.920
<v Speaker 1>Big picture, what's at stake, range of outcomes, keys to victory,

0:28:38.920 --> 0:28:41.960
<v Speaker 1>all of that. Next Draft Time podcast, your host Travis Wingfield,

0:28:42.120 --> 0:28:47.719
<v Speaker 1>brought to you by AutoNation. I hope all of your

0:28:47.800 --> 0:28:51.080
<v Speaker 1>Christmas is We're Mary. All of the holidays however you celebrate,

0:28:51.120 --> 0:28:54.560
<v Speaker 1>We're fantastic. Plenty of family time, football, presence, food, all

0:28:54.600 --> 0:28:56.200
<v Speaker 1>the fun stuff that we love this time of year,

0:28:56.560 --> 0:29:00.400
<v Speaker 1>like December, the entire month of December when you have

0:29:00.480 --> 0:29:00.880
<v Speaker 1>young ones.

0:29:00.920 --> 0:29:04.120
<v Speaker 2>At least for me, Man, it has really ratcheted up.

0:29:04.160 --> 0:29:06.040
<v Speaker 1>How much better this time of year is than any

0:29:06.080 --> 0:29:07.880
<v Speaker 1>other time of year, especially in South Florida when the

0:29:07.920 --> 0:29:10.760
<v Speaker 1>weather's perfect. But man, just seeing my kids like go

0:29:10.800 --> 0:29:14.320
<v Speaker 1>crazy over Christmas lights and the gifts. My son got trucks,

0:29:14.320 --> 0:29:16.160
<v Speaker 1>trucks and more trucks. And for those of you that

0:29:16.160 --> 0:29:19.200
<v Speaker 1>are not from the Pacific Northwest. There was you know,

0:29:19.280 --> 0:29:23.240
<v Speaker 1>like how baseball teams have their local commercials. The Seattle

0:29:23.280 --> 0:29:28.520
<v Speaker 1>Mariners had legendary slugger. Jay Buhner is the spokesperson for

0:29:28.680 --> 0:29:31.880
<v Speaker 1>Northwest Motorsports where they have trucks, trucks and more trucks.

0:29:32.080 --> 0:29:35.200
<v Speaker 1>And he'd always say stop buying Northwest Motor Sports and

0:29:35.240 --> 0:29:37.880
<v Speaker 1>tell him the Bone Sentchuck because his nickname was the Bone.

0:29:37.960 --> 0:29:39.320
<v Speaker 2>So my son is the Bone.

0:29:39.360 --> 0:29:41.479
<v Speaker 1>He is truck trucks, more trucks, because all he got

0:29:41.560 --> 0:29:44.600
<v Speaker 1>for Christmas was a garbage truck, was a RC truck

0:29:44.800 --> 0:29:46.880
<v Speaker 1>where monster trucks, where race trucks.

0:29:46.880 --> 0:29:48.040
<v Speaker 2>All he got was.

0:29:48.320 --> 0:29:53.200
<v Speaker 1>Rocks, rocks and more trucks on River Road in Pewalla,

0:29:53.400 --> 0:29:56.280
<v Speaker 1>and tell them the Bone sent Chuck and all of

0:29:56.320 --> 0:30:00.560
<v Speaker 1>that sound engineering is like flames and cool trans So

0:30:00.760 --> 0:30:02.800
<v Speaker 1>what you could expect from the Bone, right. One of

0:30:02.840 --> 0:30:05.360
<v Speaker 1>my lifelong dreams is to go to Northwest mater Sports

0:30:05.360 --> 0:30:07.080
<v Speaker 1>and say I'm here for a truck and the Bone

0:30:07.160 --> 0:30:09.000
<v Speaker 1>sent me one of these days, one of these days.

0:30:09.160 --> 0:30:12.800
<v Speaker 1>Key number two against the Cleveland Browns defense is to

0:30:12.840 --> 0:30:16.680
<v Speaker 1>be privy of the stars Miles Garrett and Denzel Ward,

0:30:16.720 --> 0:30:18.840
<v Speaker 1>picking it back up from the first paragraph and key

0:30:18.920 --> 0:30:21.600
<v Speaker 1>number one. Ward is one of the few cornerbacks in

0:30:21.640 --> 0:30:24.240
<v Speaker 1>the league who can draw consistent shadow roles within the

0:30:24.240 --> 0:30:27.160
<v Speaker 1>game plan. He is very, very good, smart player with

0:30:27.200 --> 0:30:29.920
<v Speaker 1>elite change of direction skills, ball skills, knows how to

0:30:29.960 --> 0:30:32.440
<v Speaker 1>play with physicality and win to back off. He can press,

0:30:32.480 --> 0:30:34.880
<v Speaker 1>he can mirror. He's the reason they play as much

0:30:34.920 --> 0:30:37.280
<v Speaker 1>man coverage as they do now. Martin Emerson and Cam

0:30:37.320 --> 0:30:41.840
<v Speaker 1>Mitchell Nope, Danny DeVito Meme, Nope. I don't like that

0:30:41.960 --> 0:30:44.680
<v Speaker 1>they've had tougher years at the other two cornerback spots.

0:30:44.720 --> 0:30:47.280
<v Speaker 1>Ward allows a fifty percent catch rate and just an

0:30:47.320 --> 0:30:49.640
<v Speaker 1>eighty two passer rating against when he's in coverage. He

0:30:49.720 --> 0:30:52.520
<v Speaker 1>is a true lockdown number one cornerback, and with all

0:30:52.560 --> 0:30:54.560
<v Speaker 1>that man coverage and the way they mix up the front,

0:30:54.760 --> 0:30:56.760
<v Speaker 1>I think some of your best matchups are tight ends

0:30:56.800 --> 0:31:00.560
<v Speaker 1>and backs on safeties and linebackers. Especially if Coromoa cannot go,

0:31:00.680 --> 0:31:03.520
<v Speaker 1>his replacement has been Jordan Hicks. He runs the green

0:31:03.560 --> 0:31:07.240
<v Speaker 1>dot now and then elevating in his position is Mohammu Diabate.

0:31:07.400 --> 0:31:08.560
<v Speaker 1>I don't know if I got that right, but I

0:31:08.560 --> 0:31:11.200
<v Speaker 1>hope I did. I apologize filling in at the other spot.

0:31:11.240 --> 0:31:13.440
<v Speaker 1>They love to bring in Grant Delpit into the rush equation,

0:31:13.800 --> 0:31:16.440
<v Speaker 1>and when they do that, it can indicate man coverage roles,

0:31:16.600 --> 0:31:18.560
<v Speaker 1>or you can get a matchup where he wheels out

0:31:18.560 --> 0:31:20.800
<v Speaker 1>and has to cover Devon eight Chan, which I like

0:31:20.840 --> 0:31:23.360
<v Speaker 1>that matchup against their safety as well. If there is

0:31:23.400 --> 0:31:25.440
<v Speaker 1>no Wattle, I think it's a big opportunity to target

0:31:25.440 --> 0:31:27.840
<v Speaker 1>those two guys John Neu Smith and Devon eight Chan.

0:31:27.920 --> 0:31:30.800
<v Speaker 1>But to the larger point, Ward and Garrett are game changers,

0:31:31.040 --> 0:31:33.120
<v Speaker 1>and I think sometimes you have to ask your guys

0:31:33.120 --> 0:31:35.160
<v Speaker 1>to go up against their best and beat their best,

0:31:35.560 --> 0:31:37.640
<v Speaker 1>and we have that. Toront Armstead hasn't been that way

0:31:37.680 --> 0:31:39.440
<v Speaker 1>for Tyreek Kill this year, but that's what you pay

0:31:39.520 --> 0:31:41.480
<v Speaker 1>him that money for, is to beat the top cornerbacks

0:31:41.480 --> 0:31:44.400
<v Speaker 1>in the league. Delpit can be had man. He's a

0:31:44.440 --> 0:31:47.560
<v Speaker 1>penalty machine. He's over aggressive. After what we saw in

0:31:47.560 --> 0:31:50.040
<v Speaker 1>the Houston game. If they do go Ward on Hill,

0:31:50.400 --> 0:31:53.600
<v Speaker 1>I'm not taking those contested opportunities ever against an elite

0:31:53.600 --> 0:31:55.880
<v Speaker 1>cornerback because it resulted in three picks last time we

0:31:55.880 --> 0:31:58.440
<v Speaker 1>tried that against man coverage. Now Waddle on any of

0:31:58.480 --> 0:32:00.800
<v Speaker 1>the cornerbacks, I love that a matchup, so I'd even

0:32:00.840 --> 0:32:03.560
<v Speaker 1>look to have Malik Washington in an expanded role that way.

0:32:03.880 --> 0:32:06.160
<v Speaker 1>Key number three is just protect the football. That could

0:32:06.200 --> 0:32:08.480
<v Speaker 1>be the entire segment right there. Just protect the football.

0:32:08.640 --> 0:32:10.240
<v Speaker 1>I say it's going to be a shorter version here,

0:32:10.240 --> 0:32:11.960
<v Speaker 1>and I think when it comes down to this, if

0:32:11.960 --> 0:32:15.320
<v Speaker 1>the Dolphins can play a smart, clean game where they

0:32:15.320 --> 0:32:18.520
<v Speaker 1>limit mistakes, penalties and protect the football, I think they

0:32:18.520 --> 0:32:20.640
<v Speaker 1>can go to Cleveland in a must win spot and

0:32:20.720 --> 0:32:23.280
<v Speaker 1>wipe the floor with them. The turnover numbers on the

0:32:23.280 --> 0:32:25.640
<v Speaker 1>Browns this year are wild. They have a league high

0:32:25.680 --> 0:32:28.600
<v Speaker 1>twenty picks they've thrown. They've gotten the second fewest picks,

0:32:28.600 --> 0:32:31.240
<v Speaker 1>taking away four of their own. They're thirty first and

0:32:31.280 --> 0:32:33.560
<v Speaker 1>turnovers and twenty eighth enforcing them.

0:32:33.640 --> 0:32:35.720
<v Speaker 2>It's not supposed to be cold, but it could be wet.

0:32:35.760 --> 0:32:38.840
<v Speaker 1>Ball security has been much better of late in terms

0:32:38.840 --> 0:32:42.360
<v Speaker 1>of ball carriers. The last true fumble we lost outside

0:32:42.400 --> 0:32:44.520
<v Speaker 1>of a sack fumble or a failed exchange between the

0:32:44.560 --> 0:32:47.080
<v Speaker 1>backup quarterback and the backup running back against the Patriots

0:32:47.280 --> 0:32:49.760
<v Speaker 1>was actually where he mostarts fumble in Buffalo, which if

0:32:49.760 --> 0:32:51.680
<v Speaker 1>that doesn't happen, maybe we're in the playoffs right now.

0:32:51.680 --> 0:32:52.240
<v Speaker 2>I digress.

0:32:52.480 --> 0:32:55.560
<v Speaker 1>So that type of ball security, good process for TUA

0:32:55.720 --> 0:32:57.800
<v Speaker 1>being where we're supposed to be as eligibles.

0:32:58.000 --> 0:32:58.720
<v Speaker 2>These are all.

0:32:58.600 --> 0:33:01.280
<v Speaker 1>Among the keys within the keys this week, they don't

0:33:01.280 --> 0:33:02.480
<v Speaker 1>take it away very often.

0:33:02.680 --> 0:33:04.560
<v Speaker 2>Don't let them start this week. What's at stake?

0:33:04.680 --> 0:33:06.840
<v Speaker 1>You guys know how this goes, We will know by

0:33:06.920 --> 0:33:10.360
<v Speaker 1>kickoff whether this game has any meeting to it. In fact,

0:33:10.640 --> 0:33:13.040
<v Speaker 1>you'll wake up Sunday knowing whether that's the case or not.

0:33:13.120 --> 0:33:15.880
<v Speaker 1>A Chargers loss or a Broncos loss Saturday means we

0:33:15.960 --> 0:33:18.560
<v Speaker 1>have life regardless of what happens on Sunday.

0:33:18.800 --> 0:33:19.880
<v Speaker 2>And then we have the idea.

0:33:20.080 --> 0:33:23.480
<v Speaker 1>Will the Chiefs play their starters against the Broncos in

0:33:23.520 --> 0:33:25.400
<v Speaker 1>Week eighteen? I think it sounds like they might not,

0:33:25.560 --> 0:33:27.720
<v Speaker 1>although it will be twenty five days between their last

0:33:27.760 --> 0:33:29.880
<v Speaker 1>game and the divisional game if they do that, so

0:33:29.880 --> 0:33:31.600
<v Speaker 1>maybe they'll start play a quarter.

0:33:31.880 --> 0:33:32.280
<v Speaker 2>I don't know.

0:33:32.320 --> 0:33:35.400
<v Speaker 1>We saw the Dolphins, you know, I don't think it's

0:33:35.400 --> 0:33:38.360
<v Speaker 1>an automatic win, if you know, if that's what you

0:33:38.400 --> 0:33:41.600
<v Speaker 1>see with Denver and Case again, I think that they

0:33:41.640 --> 0:33:43.640
<v Speaker 1>could play some guys because of that twenty five day

0:33:43.680 --> 0:33:45.400
<v Speaker 1>rest off. It's a lot of time for your number

0:33:45.400 --> 0:33:47.400
<v Speaker 1>ones to not play and Hey, we had the same

0:33:47.400 --> 0:33:49.840
<v Speaker 1>situation against the Buffalo Bills back in twenty twenty, and

0:33:49.880 --> 0:33:51.959
<v Speaker 1>they played Josh Allen for one half of football and

0:33:52.000 --> 0:33:54.960
<v Speaker 1>beat US fifty six to twenty. I think the Broncos

0:33:55.080 --> 0:33:57.000
<v Speaker 1>team and this year is about the same as the

0:33:57.040 --> 0:34:00.000
<v Speaker 1>Dolphins in twenty twenty. Ideally the Colts lose this week,

0:34:00.080 --> 0:34:01.640
<v Speaker 1>but I'm not sure the Giants would take a win

0:34:01.680 --> 0:34:02.920
<v Speaker 1>even if you gave it to them, because they're in

0:34:02.920 --> 0:34:05.360
<v Speaker 1>line for the number one pick now. Dable seems to

0:34:05.400 --> 0:34:07.840
<v Speaker 1>have had a full blown meltdown last week, so maybe

0:34:07.840 --> 0:34:09.799
<v Speaker 1>they have like one more in them, and hopefully it's

0:34:09.800 --> 0:34:12.600
<v Speaker 1>this week. And if Richardson decides to throw thirty percent,

0:34:12.680 --> 0:34:15.719
<v Speaker 1>like it's always possible. But I like the idea of

0:34:15.840 --> 0:34:19.000
<v Speaker 1>beat the Jets. Broncos lose to the Chiefs and that's

0:34:19.040 --> 0:34:21.319
<v Speaker 1>all we need if that happens, I actually like our

0:34:21.440 --> 0:34:24.360
<v Speaker 1>chances in Week eighteen, But then you add mac Jones

0:34:24.400 --> 0:34:26.600
<v Speaker 1>having to beat the Colts. I like that a lot less.

0:34:26.760 --> 0:34:29.600
<v Speaker 1>Or if the Chargers lose to the Patriots, which spoiler

0:34:29.600 --> 0:34:32.280
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna pick that, I actually think that will happen.

0:34:32.560 --> 0:34:34.759
<v Speaker 1>I then losing to the Raiders in Week eighteen don't

0:34:34.800 --> 0:34:37.520
<v Speaker 1>like that either. So go Giants, go Bengals, and then

0:34:37.560 --> 0:34:39.920
<v Speaker 1>go Chiefs. In Week eighteen, you get those three results.

0:34:40.000 --> 0:34:41.840
<v Speaker 1>You beat Cleveland the Jets, you get a trip to

0:34:41.920 --> 0:34:45.160
<v Speaker 1>Orchard Park first week of the playoffs. Since overmatches that

0:34:45.280 --> 0:34:48.560
<v Speaker 1>sounds hey, like Allen has two hand injuries.

0:34:48.719 --> 0:34:50.280
<v Speaker 2>We took them to the brink back in November.

0:34:50.320 --> 0:34:51.960
<v Speaker 1>We almost beat them two years ago in that same

0:34:51.960 --> 0:34:54.600
<v Speaker 1>spot with a quarterback that can't play this level. It's

0:34:55.000 --> 0:34:57.040
<v Speaker 1>but also it would be another big game, a road

0:34:57.120 --> 0:34:59.960
<v Speaker 1>environment and experience to bank, which to me has value.

0:35:00.120 --> 0:35:03.200
<v Speaker 1>The range of outcomes for Dolphins and Browns, the DTR

0:35:03.280 --> 0:35:06.160
<v Speaker 1>experiment should already be over with. And then what Bailey's appy,

0:35:06.280 --> 0:35:08.759
<v Speaker 1>So the range of outcomes for the Browns without Nick

0:35:08.800 --> 0:35:11.600
<v Speaker 1>Chubb is no more than ten points. Guys, they scored

0:35:11.640 --> 0:35:13.640
<v Speaker 1>six points against the Bengals. The Bengals, a team that

0:35:13.680 --> 0:35:16.319
<v Speaker 1>has arguably the best quarterback in the league right now

0:35:16.440 --> 0:35:18.799
<v Speaker 1>scoring thirty points a game, and is still seven to

0:35:18.840 --> 0:35:21.560
<v Speaker 1>eight because they can't stop anybody on defense almost impossible

0:35:21.600 --> 0:35:24.600
<v Speaker 1>to do, and the Browns couldn't score on that Weavers

0:35:24.640 --> 0:35:28.160
<v Speaker 1>in his bag right now. I think DTR and possibly

0:35:28.200 --> 0:35:30.799
<v Speaker 1>without a young quarterback's best friend David Njoku. Yeah, this

0:35:30.840 --> 0:35:32.680
<v Speaker 1>is going to be an ugly showing for the Cleveland offense.

0:35:32.680 --> 0:35:35.439
<v Speaker 1>So I'll say we win a twenty three to three game.

0:35:35.520 --> 0:35:37.600
<v Speaker 1>I could see it being like thirty ten, but I

0:35:37.600 --> 0:35:39.439
<v Speaker 1>think it'll rain. I think it could be a little

0:35:39.440 --> 0:35:42.200
<v Speaker 1>bit sloppy. Twenty three to three. Dolphins win keys to victory,

0:35:42.560 --> 0:35:43.600
<v Speaker 1>win that turnover battle.

0:35:43.680 --> 0:35:44.359
<v Speaker 2>That should be easy.

0:35:44.440 --> 0:35:46.040
<v Speaker 1>That they don't do very well in that job, and

0:35:46.560 --> 0:35:49.640
<v Speaker 1>that proposition number two is to prevent explosive plays. Don't

0:35:49.680 --> 0:35:52.799
<v Speaker 1>let them beat you with just some tomfoolry and number three,

0:35:53.200 --> 0:35:54.600
<v Speaker 1>find offensive answers.

0:35:54.600 --> 0:35:55.560
<v Speaker 2>Pre snap for Tua.

0:35:55.680 --> 0:35:57.239
<v Speaker 1>Just be as sharp as you can pre snap to

0:35:57.760 --> 0:36:00.880
<v Speaker 1>and get those Jim Schwartz fire zone blitz is settled

0:36:00.880 --> 0:36:01.920
<v Speaker 1>before you snap the football.

0:36:01.920 --> 0:36:02.279
<v Speaker 2>There you go.

0:36:02.480 --> 0:36:05.280
<v Speaker 1>Tomorrow, we're gonna have Daniel Ojafusi from the Cleveland Browns

0:36:05.320 --> 0:36:07.719
<v Speaker 1>beat Kyle Kraz taking a look at the next round

0:36:07.760 --> 0:36:10.279
<v Speaker 1>of college football playoffs. We'll pick the games in much

0:36:10.320 --> 0:36:12.319
<v Speaker 1>much more. Let's get out of here. Subscribe to the

0:36:12.320 --> 0:36:15.960
<v Speaker 1>podcast rate review, follow me on social at Wingfold NFL.

0:36:16.040 --> 0:36:18.200
<v Speaker 2>The team at Miami Dolphins. Check out the fish Tank

0:36:18.239 --> 0:36:19.399
<v Speaker 2>podcast with Seth and Juice.

0:36:19.440 --> 0:36:22.000
<v Speaker 1>The YouTube channel for media availabilities and the brand new

0:36:22.000 --> 0:36:24.439
<v Speaker 1>episode of Dolphins HQ next week. We're off this week

0:36:24.640 --> 0:36:26.960
<v Speaker 1>and last, butt not least Miami Dolphins dot com until

0:36:27.000 --> 0:36:27.319
<v Speaker 1>next time.

0:36:27.320 --> 0:36:29.879
<v Speaker 2>Fins Up, Carolina, Cameron, Daddy, He's coming home.