1 00:00:14,480 --> 00:00:17,040 Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you happy? Tuesday? Welcome into another 2 00:00:17,079 --> 00:00:20,040 Speaker 1: episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Paroltz. 3 00:00:20,040 --> 00:00:22,240 Speaker 1: You guys can follow me across all socials at Sports 4 00:00:22,360 --> 00:00:25,320 Speaker 1: Talk Matt. This podcast being brought to you by our 5 00:00:25,320 --> 00:00:29,280 Speaker 1: friends at Omaha Steaks dot Com. Special url don't know 6 00:00:29,400 --> 00:00:32,080 Speaker 1: by now omah Steaks dot com slash Juice. They have 7 00:00:32,120 --> 00:00:34,920 Speaker 1: subscriptions available right now. If you guys go there and 8 00:00:34,960 --> 00:00:37,720 Speaker 1: you get one, you get free burgers for life, ten 9 00:00:37,760 --> 00:00:42,480 Speaker 1: percent off everything you buy, and one money back guarantee 10 00:00:42,560 --> 00:00:45,760 Speaker 1: as well. Omaha Steaks dot Com slash Juice. All right, 11 00:00:45,760 --> 00:00:49,080 Speaker 1: two in one night, good start to Monday. Up point nine, 12 00:00:49,440 --> 00:00:52,920 Speaker 1: which is nice. We get two of the three totals, right, 13 00:00:53,000 --> 00:00:57,080 Speaker 1: Portland does not come in Milwaukee? Does Brooklyn does. I'm 14 00:00:57,080 --> 00:00:59,480 Speaker 1: gonna keep on betting Brooklyn. That's three in a row. 15 00:00:59,520 --> 00:01:02,960 Speaker 1: Now Brooklyn nets to the under, and I'm coming back 16 00:01:03,000 --> 00:01:07,520 Speaker 1: with three totals to NBA in one in college on 17 00:01:07,560 --> 00:01:10,039 Speaker 1: our totals Tuesday. We haven't done this in a while, 18 00:01:10,440 --> 00:01:12,319 Speaker 1: but I got three bets as we normally do here 19 00:01:12,319 --> 00:01:14,640 Speaker 1: on the Daily Juice, and we're gonna come up with 20 00:01:14,680 --> 00:01:18,280 Speaker 1: three totals. Let's start in college and then we'll go 21 00:01:18,360 --> 00:01:21,520 Speaker 1: to the pros a couple of things. There's a bunch 22 00:01:21,560 --> 00:01:23,880 Speaker 1: of games I'm waiting on and I'm gonna watch the 23 00:01:23,920 --> 00:01:27,320 Speaker 1: line movement and I got to see like Purdue Illinois. 24 00:01:27,400 --> 00:01:29,840 Speaker 1: I'm not exactly sure on that, Like I think I 25 00:01:29,880 --> 00:01:33,160 Speaker 1: want to bet Illinois, but I don't know. There's other 26 00:01:33,240 --> 00:01:36,000 Speaker 1: games on the board that are really pretty interesting to 27 00:01:36,080 --> 00:01:38,559 Speaker 1: look at to see how it's gonna wind up going, 28 00:01:38,920 --> 00:01:42,960 Speaker 1: you know, Kansas at home against Kansas State, UNLV at 29 00:01:42,959 --> 00:01:47,920 Speaker 1: home against San Diego State, some of the tournament games 30 00:01:47,920 --> 00:01:50,920 Speaker 1: that are going on right now. Vermont's at you and H. 31 00:01:51,080 --> 00:01:53,680 Speaker 1: I like Vermont to blow out U and H there. 32 00:01:54,200 --> 00:01:56,800 Speaker 1: So I don't know. Laying points on the road not 33 00:01:56,920 --> 00:01:59,560 Speaker 1: smart at the moment. Senior nights and whatnot. You gotta 34 00:01:59,600 --> 00:02:03,920 Speaker 1: be careful. So I don't have a side bet yet 35 00:02:04,040 --> 00:02:07,640 Speaker 1: for us. Instead, this is sort of just an automatic 36 00:02:07,800 --> 00:02:12,720 Speaker 1: play with Alabama at Florida. The total is one seventy six. 37 00:02:12,919 --> 00:02:15,639 Speaker 1: Alabama is eleven and three on the road to the 38 00:02:15,720 --> 00:02:19,000 Speaker 1: over this year. They're twenty one and eight overall to 39 00:02:19,080 --> 00:02:21,799 Speaker 1: the over this year. They are eleven and five in 40 00:02:21,880 --> 00:02:24,760 Speaker 1: the SEC to the over this year and they're eight 41 00:02:24,840 --> 00:02:28,919 Speaker 1: and two over their last ten to the over. Alabama 42 00:02:29,000 --> 00:02:31,480 Speaker 1: is a straight over team. This is like the Alabama 43 00:02:31,600 --> 00:02:33,960 Speaker 1: Kentucky bet when they were on the road at Kentucky 44 00:02:34,000 --> 00:02:37,000 Speaker 1: and we saw a one hundred and seventy six total 45 00:02:37,080 --> 00:02:42,200 Speaker 1: get blown out by thirty six points. Florida four of 46 00:02:42,240 --> 00:02:45,680 Speaker 1: the last five have gone over eight and six to 47 00:02:45,760 --> 00:02:49,280 Speaker 1: the over at home this year, seventeen eleven and one 48 00:02:49,760 --> 00:02:53,919 Speaker 1: overall for Florida. Kempalm has this as a one seventy 49 00:02:54,000 --> 00:02:57,680 Speaker 1: nine total and we're betting one seventy six and a half. 50 00:02:57,760 --> 00:02:59,800 Speaker 1: I know people are gonna say bet the under in this, 51 00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:04,079 Speaker 1: but Florida's thirty second in pace. We know that they 52 00:03:04,120 --> 00:03:07,880 Speaker 1: want to run. Alabama is thirteenth in pace. We know 53 00:03:07,960 --> 00:03:10,720 Speaker 1: how many three point shots they're gonna put up. This 54 00:03:10,760 --> 00:03:13,680 Speaker 1: is a defense for Florida that's not great at stopping 55 00:03:13,680 --> 00:03:17,280 Speaker 1: the three. They're okay, they're ninety sixth in three point 56 00:03:17,520 --> 00:03:20,919 Speaker 1: percentage defense. They're one hundred and twenty sixth in two 57 00:03:21,000 --> 00:03:24,520 Speaker 1: point percentage defense. And we know all about Alabama, right, 58 00:03:24,560 --> 00:03:27,400 Speaker 1: I mean, Bama's defense is not very good. They're seventy 59 00:03:27,400 --> 00:03:29,799 Speaker 1: fifth and three point defense one hundred and ninety fifth 60 00:03:30,000 --> 00:03:32,560 Speaker 1: in two point defense. They're one hundred and thirty second 61 00:03:32,639 --> 00:03:36,000 Speaker 1: effective field goal percentage in one hundredth defensively in efficiency, 62 00:03:36,520 --> 00:03:41,040 Speaker 1: Florida is fifteenth in offensive efficiency. They don't shoot to 63 00:03:41,280 --> 00:03:44,760 Speaker 1: great shots, but they do get to the rim. They 64 00:03:44,800 --> 00:03:47,080 Speaker 1: do score a lot of their points in the paint. 65 00:03:47,160 --> 00:03:49,880 Speaker 1: Over fifty two percent of their points are scored in 66 00:03:49,960 --> 00:03:53,200 Speaker 1: the paint. Alabama with thirty eight percent of their points 67 00:03:53,240 --> 00:03:56,200 Speaker 1: scored from beyond the three point line. You got a 68 00:03:56,200 --> 00:03:58,480 Speaker 1: team that's not great at stopping the three against one 69 00:03:58,480 --> 00:04:00,480 Speaker 1: of the best three point shooting teams and the most 70 00:04:00,480 --> 00:04:03,800 Speaker 1: heavily reliant three point shooting teams in college basketball. They 71 00:04:03,800 --> 00:04:08,560 Speaker 1: shoot forty eight threes a game. That's tenth in college basketball. 72 00:04:09,360 --> 00:04:13,440 Speaker 1: I mean, they just they jacket. They just straight up jacket. 73 00:04:13,520 --> 00:04:16,800 Speaker 1: So I mean, we're gonna see a lot of shots 74 00:04:16,800 --> 00:04:19,480 Speaker 1: coming up for Alabama on the three three point line, 75 00:04:19,560 --> 00:04:25,560 Speaker 1: so we'll see I guess that's uh yeah, right, it's 76 00:04:25,600 --> 00:04:31,040 Speaker 1: forty forty percent or forty eight shots. I gotta see 77 00:04:31,040 --> 00:04:32,560 Speaker 1: what this is. But anyways, we know Obama shoot a 78 00:04:32,600 --> 00:04:35,440 Speaker 1: ton looking at Kempom numbers, but we know they shoot 79 00:04:35,440 --> 00:04:39,160 Speaker 1: a ton of threes. Over one seventy six and a 80 00:04:39,160 --> 00:04:42,640 Speaker 1: half one point one units. Alabama Florida. I can't see 81 00:04:42,640 --> 00:04:45,560 Speaker 1: this game. I mean people, the sharps are gonna been under. Okay, 82 00:04:45,600 --> 00:04:46,960 Speaker 1: I can tell you right now. Pros will be a 83 00:04:47,120 --> 00:04:49,880 Speaker 1: little bit under. They'll just say it's too easy. Can't 84 00:04:49,880 --> 00:04:53,800 Speaker 1: be this easy? Well, at home against Missouri is one 85 00:04:53,839 --> 00:04:55,520 Speaker 1: fifty three and a half. Went over by three and 86 00:04:55,520 --> 00:04:58,240 Speaker 1: a half against Alabama in the first meeting, it was 87 00:04:58,279 --> 00:05:00,640 Speaker 1: one seventy four and a half, went over by sixteen 88 00:05:00,680 --> 00:05:04,240 Speaker 1: and a half points. Yes, the Auburn game went under. Yes, 89 00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:07,080 Speaker 1: the LSU game went under. Both those games were at home, 90 00:05:07,120 --> 00:05:09,279 Speaker 1: but the Kentucky game was one seventy and a half 91 00:05:09,279 --> 00:05:11,920 Speaker 1: on the road, went over by fourteen and a half points. 92 00:05:12,120 --> 00:05:14,400 Speaker 1: They were home against Georgia with one sixty and a 93 00:05:14,440 --> 00:05:16,360 Speaker 1: half and it went over by thirty nine and a 94 00:05:16,400 --> 00:05:20,760 Speaker 1: half points. Bama doesn't play defense. Tennesee Florida didn't play defense. 95 00:05:20,880 --> 00:05:24,119 Speaker 1: They both shoot threes in run over one seventy six 96 00:05:24,160 --> 00:05:27,960 Speaker 1: and a half for one point one units. Second bet 97 00:05:28,360 --> 00:05:30,520 Speaker 1: or the second and third bets. Let's go to the NBA. 98 00:05:31,240 --> 00:05:36,480 Speaker 1: Orlando is at Charlotte. The total is twoh eight. On 99 00:05:36,520 --> 00:05:41,320 Speaker 1: the road, Orlando is sixteen sixteen in one. However, five 100 00:05:41,560 --> 00:05:48,039 Speaker 1: straight unders for Orlando Charlotte, they are fifteen and fifteen 101 00:05:48,080 --> 00:05:51,200 Speaker 1: at home flat. However, they're eight and two to the 102 00:05:51,279 --> 00:05:54,000 Speaker 1: under over their last ten. They're four and one to 103 00:05:54,040 --> 00:05:57,400 Speaker 1: the under over the last five. If you look at 104 00:05:57,400 --> 00:06:00,240 Speaker 1: the way these games have been getting played for I 105 00:06:00,279 --> 00:06:04,680 Speaker 1: mean since the middle of February, February twelve, only one 106 00:06:04,760 --> 00:06:08,600 Speaker 1: game has gone over so far here for the Charlotte Hornets. 107 00:06:08,880 --> 00:06:12,440 Speaker 1: On the other side, for the Orlando Magic, five straight 108 00:06:12,560 --> 00:06:17,240 Speaker 1: unders dating back to the twenty fourth of February. It's 109 00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:20,200 Speaker 1: gone under by four, twenty one and a half, twenty one, 110 00:06:20,520 --> 00:06:23,880 Speaker 1: four and twelve and a half, more than one possession 111 00:06:23,960 --> 00:06:26,680 Speaker 1: every single time on this stretch here, two of the 112 00:06:26,680 --> 00:06:29,279 Speaker 1: games were on the road, to three of the games 113 00:06:29,279 --> 00:06:31,920 Speaker 1: were at home. This game is back on the road 114 00:06:31,960 --> 00:06:36,080 Speaker 1: now for Orlando up against Charlotte. It's just going to 115 00:06:36,160 --> 00:06:38,360 Speaker 1: come down to pace of play. It's a low total. 116 00:06:38,400 --> 00:06:40,400 Speaker 1: It opened up a two oh nine, it's been bet 117 00:06:40,440 --> 00:06:42,640 Speaker 1: down to two to oh eight. I'm just going to 118 00:06:42,760 --> 00:06:46,320 Speaker 1: ride the trend here. More unders coming in NBA basketball 119 00:06:46,680 --> 00:06:50,400 Speaker 1: under two oh eight Charlotte and Orlando for one point 120 00:06:50,440 --> 00:06:55,360 Speaker 1: one units and lastly another total that we're going to 121 00:06:55,440 --> 00:06:58,720 Speaker 1: look at for coming up tonight, and that is Detroit 122 00:06:59,120 --> 00:07:02,159 Speaker 1: up against Myami on the road for the Miami Heat. 123 00:07:02,279 --> 00:07:06,039 Speaker 1: Detroit has been much like Brooklyn, an absolute under machine. 124 00:07:06,120 --> 00:07:08,960 Speaker 1: The total is two eighteen and a half at FanDuel tonight. 125 00:07:09,640 --> 00:07:12,760 Speaker 1: Detroit on the year is thirty twenty nine and one 126 00:07:13,320 --> 00:07:16,880 Speaker 1: on the year. However, on the road they are eighteen 127 00:07:16,920 --> 00:07:20,400 Speaker 1: and thirteen. You're like, wow, they're an overteam. Nope, nine 128 00:07:20,440 --> 00:07:24,720 Speaker 1: straight games they've gone under nine for Detroit, nine to 129 00:07:24,840 --> 00:07:28,760 Speaker 1: one over the last ten, five and zero over the 130 00:07:28,880 --> 00:07:31,200 Speaker 1: last five. And you look at the way they've been 131 00:07:31,200 --> 00:07:33,760 Speaker 1: going under. There have been some close calls on the road. 132 00:07:34,200 --> 00:07:39,120 Speaker 1: Orlando twelve and a half points under, Chicago under by 133 00:07:39,120 --> 00:07:42,880 Speaker 1: twenty three, but the Knicks went under by one, Indiana 134 00:07:42,920 --> 00:07:45,280 Speaker 1: went under by two and a half, Phoenix went under 135 00:07:45,280 --> 00:07:48,559 Speaker 1: by twenty two, Lakers went under by seven and a half, 136 00:07:48,680 --> 00:07:53,080 Speaker 1: Clippers went under by eighteen. Only two of those games 137 00:07:53,120 --> 00:07:56,280 Speaker 1: of the nine have been at home. The rest of 138 00:07:56,320 --> 00:08:00,080 Speaker 1: them have been on the under. Seven straight unders for 139 00:08:00,720 --> 00:08:05,320 Speaker 1: the Detroit Pistons on the road to eighteen and a half. 140 00:08:05,520 --> 00:08:09,520 Speaker 1: We're gonna ride it, in particular because Miami now they're 141 00:08:09,560 --> 00:08:12,560 Speaker 1: fifteen and fourteen to the under at home. But they're 142 00:08:12,640 --> 00:08:15,920 Speaker 1: seven and three to the under over their last ten games. 143 00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:17,920 Speaker 1: And you look at the way they played at home. Yes, 144 00:08:17,960 --> 00:08:22,120 Speaker 1: their last game against Utah went over, but against Boston 145 00:08:22,160 --> 00:08:25,320 Speaker 1: it went under by nine. San Antonio went under by eight. 146 00:08:25,560 --> 00:08:28,040 Speaker 1: Orlando did go over, but the Clippers went under by 147 00:08:28,080 --> 00:08:32,280 Speaker 1: twenty five. Sacramento went under by seven, Phoenix went under 148 00:08:32,320 --> 00:08:36,800 Speaker 1: by seven. So yes, last two games at home. Sorry, 149 00:08:36,880 --> 00:08:40,320 Speaker 1: last game at home went over, but that snapped a 150 00:08:40,360 --> 00:08:45,040 Speaker 1: streak of one two Orlando went over two, So two 151 00:08:45,120 --> 00:08:49,360 Speaker 1: and two, three and two, four and two, five and 152 00:08:49,440 --> 00:08:52,320 Speaker 1: two over the last seven games at home. To the 153 00:08:52,440 --> 00:08:55,680 Speaker 1: under for the Miami Heat just comes down to pace 154 00:08:55,720 --> 00:08:57,360 Speaker 1: of play and the way the Pistons play. They get 155 00:08:57,360 --> 00:09:00,000 Speaker 1: blown out all the time. They're not a good basketball team, 156 00:09:00,000 --> 00:09:03,319 Speaker 1: one of the worst teams in the NBA. They give 157 00:09:03,400 --> 00:09:04,840 Speaker 1: up a lot a lot of points, but they don't 158 00:09:04,840 --> 00:09:07,240 Speaker 1: score a ton of points themselves to contribute to the over. 159 00:09:07,520 --> 00:09:10,200 Speaker 1: That's where we're going under to eighteen and a half 160 00:09:10,320 --> 00:09:13,839 Speaker 1: Detroit at Miami for one point one units. All right, 161 00:09:13,880 --> 00:09:16,640 Speaker 1: if I like anything else from the college basketball Slate, 162 00:09:16,679 --> 00:09:19,160 Speaker 1: I'll let you know in the discord channel. Maybe it'll 163 00:09:19,200 --> 00:09:21,160 Speaker 1: be a personal play, might be an official play. I 164 00:09:21,160 --> 00:09:25,240 Speaker 1: don't really have a solid feel at the moment. There's 165 00:09:25,240 --> 00:09:29,160 Speaker 1: some really wild numbers that like this time of the year, 166 00:09:29,280 --> 00:09:32,280 Speaker 1: it's so tough late in the year to bet until 167 00:09:32,320 --> 00:09:34,400 Speaker 1: we get to the conference tournament play because a senior 168 00:09:34,480 --> 00:09:37,880 Speaker 1: day and you know, teams do they care about playing 169 00:09:37,920 --> 00:09:39,720 Speaker 1: their last game or two? They want to just go 170 00:09:39,880 --> 00:09:43,240 Speaker 1: get out of there. You know, Georgia's at home laying 171 00:09:43,360 --> 00:09:46,120 Speaker 1: points to Mississippi, like Mississppi's awful on the road, but 172 00:09:46,160 --> 00:09:49,040 Speaker 1: George's laying points. Are you kidding me? Like wait, what really? 173 00:09:49,320 --> 00:09:55,040 Speaker 1: Oklahoma's laying six to again Cincinnati. Oklahoma's laying six points 174 00:09:55,040 --> 00:09:59,040 Speaker 1: against anybody. Wyoming is laying seven against air Force. Really, Like, 175 00:09:59,520 --> 00:10:02,560 Speaker 1: there's some big numbers out there that are definitely you know, 176 00:10:02,600 --> 00:10:04,720 Speaker 1: to stop you and go h I mean Alabama Florida. 177 00:10:04,760 --> 00:10:07,360 Speaker 1: Alabama opened as a one point favorite. Now Florida's favorite. 178 00:10:07,360 --> 00:10:09,480 Speaker 1: It flipped. So I mean, right then and there, it's 179 00:10:09,520 --> 00:10:13,559 Speaker 1: like first move was a Florida home. It is senior 180 00:10:13,640 --> 00:10:16,920 Speaker 1: night for Florida, you know, So, I mean, laying points 181 00:10:16,920 --> 00:10:18,839 Speaker 1: on the road on senior nights is not a good idea. 182 00:10:19,080 --> 00:10:20,959 Speaker 1: Really hard to do that. But I mean, you want 183 00:10:20,960 --> 00:10:22,439 Speaker 1: to lay seven and a half or eight and a 184 00:10:22,480 --> 00:10:26,079 Speaker 1: half or Providence on the road against Georgetown. No, I don't. 185 00:10:26,840 --> 00:10:29,800 Speaker 1: So there's not a lot of numbers that really jump 186 00:10:29,800 --> 00:10:32,240 Speaker 1: off the board and I go, yeah, there's value, like 187 00:10:32,280 --> 00:10:35,200 Speaker 1: the numbers are super sharp. How about North Carolina? You 188 00:10:35,240 --> 00:10:39,000 Speaker 1: want to lay fifteen points at home? For North Carolina? 189 00:10:39,040 --> 00:10:42,480 Speaker 1: After what just happened against NC State, they were laying 190 00:10:42,520 --> 00:10:44,160 Speaker 1: ten and a half in that game. They didn't cover 191 00:10:44,240 --> 00:10:47,640 Speaker 1: the one by nine. You want to lay fifteen, Now fifteen. 192 00:10:47,880 --> 00:10:51,320 Speaker 1: This is senior night though for North Carolina. So in 193 00:10:51,480 --> 00:10:54,240 Speaker 1: game that game, wait, get a lower number, get like seven, 194 00:10:54,320 --> 00:10:56,319 Speaker 1: eight nine. If you can't, hopefully it starts slow and 195 00:10:56,400 --> 00:11:00,560 Speaker 1: jump in on North Carolina. So nothing really jumps out 196 00:11:00,559 --> 00:11:03,760 Speaker 1: at me and says bet besides Alabama Florida, So Bama 197 00:11:03,840 --> 00:11:07,679 Speaker 1: Florida over one seventy six and a half, Charlotte under 198 00:11:07,720 --> 00:11:10,880 Speaker 1: two oh eight, Detroit under two eighteen and a half, 199 00:11:11,280 --> 00:11:14,199 Speaker 1: all for one point one units, three bets on a totals. 200 00:11:14,240 --> 00:11:17,120 Speaker 1: Tuesday Min's Matt Parol thumbing across all socials at Sports 201 00:11:17,120 --> 00:11:20,040 Speaker 1: Talk Matt. Every morning Dale Juice podcast was being brought 202 00:11:20,080 --> 00:11:36,600 Speaker 1: to you by olmah stakes dot com.