WEBVTT - Good Game: WBD, Tricolor, TAE

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news.

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<v Speaker 2>Our last podcast recording of the year. Yeah, it's been

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<v Speaker 2>an interesting year.

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<v Speaker 1>One thing I never do.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I know, you tell all.

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<v Speaker 1>Years of media does any sort of year end wrap

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<v Speaker 1>up or look forward? Which is so good among the

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<v Speaker 1>best parts of my life as a media person. Is

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<v Speaker 1>not ever doing that. But people want that. People are like, oh,

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<v Speaker 1>would you like to contribute to twenty themes for the

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<v Speaker 1>year ahead? And I say no, no, no, get worry.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm sorry for introducing a hint of reflection.

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<v Speaker 1>It's okay, it's okay. We can reflect about my lack

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<v Speaker 1>of reflection.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that's good.

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<v Speaker 1>How about your themes for next year? What are you

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<v Speaker 1>looking forward to?

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<v Speaker 2>Looking forward to the introduction of multi share classes?

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<v Speaker 1>Boy? See, yeah, that'll be like that. Not to be

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<v Speaker 1>looking forward to that, Hey.

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<v Speaker 2>Could be big. What are you looking forward to next year? Oh?

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<v Speaker 2>I wasn't supposed to ask you that.

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<v Speaker 1>But I'm looking forward to coming in each day. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>to find weird news and write about it delightedly. And

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<v Speaker 1>if I knew what it would be, it wouldn't be

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<v Speaker 1>that weird, it wouldn't be that exciting, it wouldn't be delightful.

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<v Speaker 1>It wouldn't be.

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<v Speaker 2>It wouldn't be as much mirth, wouldn't be.

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<v Speaker 1>The spontaneity and joy that I bring to my job

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<v Speaker 1>every day. There, it's didna sound like it? Hello, and

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<v Speaker 1>welcome to the Money Stuff Podcast, your weekly podcast where

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<v Speaker 1>we talk about stuff related to money. I'm Matt Levine

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<v Speaker 1>and I write the Money Stuff column for Bloomberg Opinion.

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<v Speaker 2>And I'm Katie Greifeld, a reporter for Bloomberg News and

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<v Speaker 2>an anchor for Bloomberg Television.

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<v Speaker 1>What are you talking about today, Katie, it says on

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<v Speaker 1>my script, Shoot.

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<v Speaker 2>What do you want to talk about? First? We actually

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<v Speaker 2>have four topics today?

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<v Speaker 1>Four topics? Do you wan the winner situation?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it's pret Louise. Yeah, remember you were reluctant to

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<v Speaker 2>talk about that.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, okay, So here's the thing. It went from being

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<v Speaker 1>like a big media merger with like a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>moving pieces and a lot of like stuff that people

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<v Speaker 1>are cared about in terms of like anti trust and

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<v Speaker 1>like creative direction of Hollywood and like the Trump involvement

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<v Speaker 1>and who will own CNN and all these things, And

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<v Speaker 1>it went from that to being a really drawn out

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<v Speaker 1>fight about closing certainty and merger agreements, which is much

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<v Speaker 1>more my area of interest, and it's kind of wild,

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<v Speaker 1>like what is happening, which is that there's some debate

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<v Speaker 1>about who has the higher bid, but Paramount are pretty

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<v Speaker 1>sure they have the higher bid. They also think they

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<v Speaker 1>have a better regulatory path. But Netflix has said no

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<v Speaker 1>to them for the number of reasons, including bid valuations.

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<v Speaker 1>But what they really leaned on in their most recent

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<v Speaker 1>like they've made an official filing telling Warner shareholders to

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<v Speaker 1>reject the Paramount tender offer, and the Warner board really

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<v Speaker 1>leaned on the fact that Paramount's money. I mean, Paramu

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<v Speaker 1>doesn't have money, right, Paramount is much smaller company than More,

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<v Speaker 1>and it has documentments which are fairly standard UG commitments,

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<v Speaker 1>and it has some equity commitments from like Middle Eastern

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<v Speaker 1>sabon wealth people that Warner is kind of casting us

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<v Speaker 1>persians on. But really the equity is backslots by a

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<v Speaker 1>forty billion dollar commitment from Larry Ellison's personal trust Larry Allison,

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<v Speaker 1>the dad of parame CEO David Allison, and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the fifth ish richest person in the world two hundred

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<v Speaker 1>and fifty billion dollars of Oracle stock. But it's all

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<v Speaker 1>on this trust, and the incredibly weird thing that's happening

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<v Speaker 1>here is that the commitment papers are all apparently being

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<v Speaker 1>signed by the trust. And Warner says, well, but you

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<v Speaker 1>could take all this stuff out of the trust and

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<v Speaker 1>then when it comes time to the close, we'll go

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<v Speaker 1>to you and we'll go to the trust and be like,

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<v Speaker 1>all right, we need the forty billion in the trust

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<v Speaker 1>can be like I don't have any money. I'm just

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<v Speaker 1>like an empty shell. And I think that's right. I

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<v Speaker 1>think that as a technical analysis is right. And the

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<v Speaker 1>paramount people are like, this is crazy. Yeah, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>Larry Elison is good for the money. He has sign

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<v Speaker 1>and other big merger commitments as the trust, right, Like

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<v Speaker 1>he committed to Elms Twitter deal and to the Electronic

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<v Speaker 1>Arts deal. Look, he was not the principal there, he's

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<v Speaker 1>not the person on the hook for the whole deal.

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<v Speaker 1>He's like, yeah, he's committing an Elon's deal. And so

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<v Speaker 1>basically Paraman is like, no, look, this is fine. This

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<v Speaker 1>is a crazy technicality and you're misleading people by saying

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<v Speaker 1>that this matters. And Winner's like, no, no, no, we really

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<v Speaker 1>need you to commit your money. And the solution to

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<v Speaker 1>this seems so easy that I don't understand what is happening.

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<v Speaker 1>It's so like the easy solution I think Warner has

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<v Speaker 1>asked for this is in the piece of paper, where

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<v Speaker 1>like instead of saying, like, the Larry Ellison trust signs

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<v Speaker 1>this deal, you just say Larry Ellison signs this deal, right,

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<v Speaker 1>and then like he owes the money and if he

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<v Speaker 1>takes it out of his trust or any other you know,

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<v Speaker 1>personal vehicle, he has to close the deal. And I

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<v Speaker 1>don't understand what's happening because the winners are just sign

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<v Speaker 1>it in your personal you know, personally, aren't did and

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<v Speaker 1>paramounts so far, I don't know they've said no, but

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<v Speaker 1>they haven't said yes. That's where we are.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it's very weird. Yeah, ag ansel thought I had

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<v Speaker 2>is that you mentioned Larry Elson, the fifth wealthiest person

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<v Speaker 2>in the world. Oracle stock has gotten pretty flattened over

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<v Speaker 2>the past couple of weeks. It's just gotten rocked. I

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<v Speaker 2>wonder how about that person.

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<v Speaker 1>Right, So, like, I don't think that it is reasonable

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<v Speaker 1>for Warner to think this guy with let's say two

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<v Speaker 1>hundred and fifty billion dollars of Oracle stock less than

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<v Speaker 1>it was a few weeks ago. But you know, two

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<v Speaker 1>hundred fifty billion is I think it's reasonable for them

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<v Speaker 1>to think he's not good for a forty billion dollars.

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<v Speaker 1>I can agree, right, you know, it's a meaningful chunk

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<v Speaker 1>of as well, but it's yeah, twenty percent. The thing

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<v Speaker 1>that I'm struggling to understand here is if you're Warner,

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<v Speaker 1>the situation that they're positing is kind of absurd, right.

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<v Speaker 1>The situation they're positing is like Paramount or Ellison changed

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<v Speaker 1>their minds and they don't close the deal, and Warner

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<v Speaker 1>sues them, and Para is like, we have money, and

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<v Speaker 1>then Larry Ellison's like, oh no, it's the trust and

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<v Speaker 1>the trust doesn't have any money anywhere, right, Haha. It's

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<v Speaker 1>a crazy thing for them to do. And I think

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<v Speaker 1>like part of what Paramount is saying here is kind

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<v Speaker 1>of like that would be a crazy thing for us

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<v Speaker 1>to do, and just like as a reputational matter, like

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<v Speaker 1>you shouldn't worry about it. Yeah, but I think they're

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<v Speaker 1>like ever so slightly maintaining the legal flexibility to do

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<v Speaker 1>it if they really have to. And you could imagine

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<v Speaker 1>that being part of a story of Yeah, the oracle

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<v Speaker 1>stock clout line, and you can imagine that being like

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<v Speaker 1>if things get really bad when we join the shares

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<v Speaker 1>out of the trust and Steff Warner, then maybe right, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>and like that's a you know, if your stock is

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<v Speaker 1>riding high, that's a different story than if you like

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<v Speaker 1>you're getting slammed in the market for having too much

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<v Speaker 1>AI lease obligations.

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<v Speaker 2>Well to add insult to injury, did you also see

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<v Speaker 2>the Jared Kushner's Affinity Partners is withdrawing from the battle

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<v Speaker 2>all together.

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<v Speaker 1>And it's a little interesting, right.

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<v Speaker 2>It is a little bit interesting.

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<v Speaker 1>So like generally you're like, oh, this is such a

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<v Speaker 1>great deal, we really want to win, and then you're like,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, one random equity partners, Yeah, it's a bad

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<v Speaker 1>sign somehow.

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<v Speaker 2>The statement from the firm was that with two strong

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<v Speaker 2>competitors to secure the future of this unique American asset,

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<v Speaker 2>Affinity has decided to no longer pursue the opportunity. We

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<v Speaker 2>continue to believe there is strong strategic rationale for Paramount's offer.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, so it's just weird.

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<v Speaker 2>It's like a very very like good luck, you know.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah. One thing that people really commented on and about

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<v Speaker 1>the Affinity involvement early was you know, the deal environment

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<v Speaker 1>is so politicized, and like the sort of subtext of the

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<v Speaker 1>Paramoun's bid was Netflix will not get anti trust approval

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<v Speaker 1>one because it raises anti trust concerns and two because

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<v Speaker 1>we're friends with Trump and he'll tell them not to

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<v Speaker 1>approve the deal. Right, And like with Jared Kushner on

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<v Speaker 1>Paramount's side, there's some enhancement to that argument. And if

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<v Speaker 1>him gone, it's like, oh, maybe that argument's off the table.

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<v Speaker 2>So where does this leave Paramount.

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<v Speaker 1>I feel, like I said this last week, they should

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<v Speaker 1>probably raise their bid because they have said in public

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<v Speaker 1>on television that their bid is not best in the

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<v Speaker 1>final And then they should probably have Larry Ellison sign

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<v Speaker 1>a personal guarantee for the deal.

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<v Speaker 2>It seems signary.

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<v Speaker 1>It seems very easy, and I'm very puzzled that it's

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<v Speaker 1>not as easy for him as we thought, as I think.

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<v Speaker 1>Can I talk about one other thing about the Warner deal?

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<v Speaker 2>I really want you to.

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<v Speaker 1>There is a great Financial Time story about the advisors

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<v Speaker 1>who you know, any big merger, Right, It's like the

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<v Speaker 1>south side advisors are going to get paid and then

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<v Speaker 1>like one by side team of advisors is going to

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<v Speaker 1>get paid an ocean of money and the other one

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<v Speaker 1>is not. So you know, it's a bitter battle. But

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<v Speaker 1>they also quite people talking about how it's a deal

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<v Speaker 1>that like kind of got negotiated over Thanksgiving and is

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<v Speaker 1>now heating up into Christmas. And they quote like one

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<v Speaker 1>of the advisors saying, when the NBA players play on

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<v Speaker 1>Christmas Day, nobody says our holidays are ruined. They say,

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<v Speaker 1>isn't it great You're in the NBA. This is as

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<v Speaker 1>good as it gets for investment bankers.

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<v Speaker 2>It's like a perfect quote.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a perfect It's also true there was nothing special

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<v Speaker 1>if but like I worked in like high stakes of

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<v Speaker 1>a day, and like one way you know it's high

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<v Speaker 1>stakes is you're like working all night on holidays, right,

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<v Speaker 1>and like it's like you feel cool about it. It's

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<v Speaker 1>as good as it gets for investment backers. And that

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<v Speaker 1>happens to me, and it happens for Christmas.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, do you want to talk about Excel sheets?

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah?

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<v Speaker 2>So tricolor, I think it's try color. I don't know,

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<v Speaker 2>can we just call it try?

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<v Speaker 1>In America, it was a subprime auto retailer and lender.

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<v Speaker 1>So you could like buy your car from Trickler and

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<v Speaker 1>then they would lend you the money to pay for

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<v Speaker 1>the car, and they went bankrupt this year because they

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<v Speaker 1>want some trouble with their creditors. The creditors had some complaints,

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<v Speaker 1>and when they went bankrupt, the story was kind of

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<v Speaker 1>they were like double pledging loans, which makes sense, right.

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<v Speaker 1>They make a bunch of car loans, they put them

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<v Speaker 1>all on an excel file. They send the excel file

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<v Speaker 1>to one of six lenders. And you know, if you

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<v Speaker 1>send the the same excel file to two different lenders

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<v Speaker 1>and you can borrow twice as much twenty That's kind

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<v Speaker 1>of what people were talking about and what they assumed.

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<v Speaker 1>But this week the CEO of Track Color, Daniel Cheu,

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<v Speaker 1>was indicted by federal prosecutors, and the accusation is, yes,

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of double pledging, but also sillier stuff. The

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<v Speaker 1>one that I think everyone really enjoyed is that so

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<v Speaker 1>they made a lot of like subprime model loans, and

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of them are not current, right, people don't

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<v Speaker 1>make payments, and so the way that their deals with

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<v Speaker 1>their lenders work is that you can't borrow against the

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<v Speaker 1>loan that's more than sixty days delinquent, right, Like if

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<v Speaker 1>people haven't paid in two months. Then you can't use

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<v Speaker 1>that as your borrowing base to borrow from your lenders.

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<v Speaker 1>And they had a lot of those loans and they

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<v Speaker 1>needed money, and so they're we're just going to pretend

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<v Speaker 1>those loans are current. So they marked them all as

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<v Speaker 1>current and they could then borrow more money against them.

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<v Speaker 1>But they made a little mistake, which is that if

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<v Speaker 1>the loan is current, then it's getting paid every month,

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<v Speaker 1>which means that it goes down. The balance goes down

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<v Speaker 1>every month, right, because each month you make a little

0:10:56.880 --> 0:10:58.520
<v Speaker 1>payment on your car loan, and your carlan goes down

0:10:58.520 --> 0:11:03.480
<v Speaker 1>at And they didn't decrease the amount of these loans

0:11:03.520 --> 0:11:05.400
<v Speaker 1>because they weren't current. They weren't getting paid, and they

0:11:05.440 --> 0:11:08.920
<v Speaker 1>just marked them current to trick their lenders. Yeah, and

0:11:08.960 --> 0:11:11.720
<v Speaker 1>this worked for a while. And then the reporting from

0:11:11.760 --> 0:11:14.560
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg is that it's a junior analyst that Waterfall Capital

0:11:14.840 --> 0:11:15.199
<v Speaker 1>is one of.

0:11:15.120 --> 0:11:17.840
<v Speaker 2>Their lenders, very fitting name for the situation.

0:11:18.679 --> 0:11:21.640
<v Speaker 1>Looked at this that these accel sheets and said why

0:11:21.679 --> 0:11:25.360
<v Speaker 1>are these bounces not going down? And so the lender

0:11:25.920 --> 0:11:28.640
<v Speaker 1>called them called tri color. I was like, hey, what's up?

0:11:29.120 --> 0:11:33.520
<v Speaker 1>And so like two things happen there. When is that

0:11:33.559 --> 0:11:36.360
<v Speaker 1>Tricolor and like Daniel Chu are like scrambling too, or

0:11:36.400 --> 0:11:39.319
<v Speaker 1>allegedly scrambling to tell the lender some story.

0:11:39.520 --> 0:11:39.679
<v Speaker 2>Right.

0:11:39.720 --> 0:11:41.199
<v Speaker 1>But the other thing that's happening is that like the

0:11:41.240 --> 0:11:43.600
<v Speaker 1>people who are marking the spreadsheet are like, oh, I

0:11:43.679 --> 0:11:48.480
<v Speaker 1>need a lawyer. So there are calls. The indictment says

0:11:48.559 --> 0:11:51.960
<v Speaker 1>their calls among the Tricolor executives that one or more

0:11:52.040 --> 0:11:54.040
<v Speaker 1>like some of them were recorded by two different people

0:11:54.080 --> 0:11:56.560
<v Speaker 1>on the call because everyone is like, I need to

0:11:56.559 --> 0:11:59.240
<v Speaker 1>be able to bring something to prosecutors so that I

0:11:59.280 --> 0:12:01.640
<v Speaker 1>get the cooperation agreement, so I'm not the one who

0:12:01.640 --> 0:12:04.600
<v Speaker 1>goes to prison on this deal, which is really like yeah,

0:12:04.800 --> 0:12:07.319
<v Speaker 1>quick thinking. So there are all these recorded calls where

0:12:07.360 --> 0:12:11.120
<v Speaker 1>they say wild things, including Daniel Chio allegedly had a

0:12:11.120 --> 0:12:14.040
<v Speaker 1>call with Waterfall where he was like, oh no, no,

0:12:14.080 --> 0:12:15.720
<v Speaker 1>this is some sort of system's problem. I don't know

0:12:15.679 --> 0:12:19.120
<v Speaker 1>what it is, but we'll fix it. And he said, quote, look,

0:12:19.200 --> 0:12:21.280
<v Speaker 1>if we were trying to commit fraud, we wouldn't be

0:12:21.320 --> 0:12:23.520
<v Speaker 1>so stupid as to keep the same balances on there.

0:12:23.760 --> 0:12:24.640
<v Speaker 1>Nobody would be that.

0:12:24.640 --> 0:12:29.280
<v Speaker 2>Stall, which is just like it's perfect, yeah, hiding in

0:12:29.320 --> 0:12:29.880
<v Speaker 2>plain sight.

0:12:30.200 --> 0:12:32.920
<v Speaker 1>Right. I said in my column, like nobody would be

0:12:32.920 --> 0:12:34.480
<v Speaker 1>so stupid as to do fraud this way. I was, like,

0:12:34.960 --> 0:12:37.240
<v Speaker 1>it sounds appealing, but it's not a good argument, because, like,

0:12:37.280 --> 0:12:38.600
<v Speaker 1>there are a lot of stupid frauds out there.

0:12:38.640 --> 0:12:40.920
<v Speaker 2>I mean, the defense did work for a little bit.

0:12:41.080 --> 0:12:42.640
<v Speaker 1>He says on the call that I worked, but like

0:12:42.679 --> 0:12:45.760
<v Speaker 1>the thing unraveled pretty quickly afterwards. I don't think it worked. Worked.

0:12:45.960 --> 0:12:48.160
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I also love this detail. This is from the

0:12:48.200 --> 0:12:51.520
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg News story that by late August, Cho was plotting

0:12:51.520 --> 0:12:55.240
<v Speaker 2>with other Tricolor executives, including co defendant David good Game

0:12:55.559 --> 0:12:58.880
<v Speaker 2>another great name, and Jerome Caller on how to settle

0:12:58.920 --> 0:13:02.880
<v Speaker 2>with JP Morgan. Except during the call, she likened Tricolors

0:13:03.200 --> 0:13:06.360
<v Speaker 2>melt down to Enron, the energy giant felled by counting fraud.

0:13:06.600 --> 0:13:08.840
<v Speaker 2>He even discussed the idea of pinning the blame on

0:13:09.080 --> 0:13:12.720
<v Speaker 2>banks for allegedly ignoring reg flags, a threat they hope

0:13:12.760 --> 0:13:14.160
<v Speaker 2>to wield as leverage.

0:13:14.559 --> 0:13:19.040
<v Speaker 1>Right, it's bold. Hey guys, what if we were en Rod?

0:13:19.320 --> 0:13:22.400
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, well, he did say Enron has a nice ring

0:13:22.440 --> 0:13:25.480
<v Speaker 2>to it, right, She said, Enron raises the blood pressure

0:13:25.520 --> 0:13:26.640
<v Speaker 2>of lenders when they see that.

0:13:26.720 --> 0:13:30.960
<v Speaker 1>He added, yeah, yeah, really a high wire act to

0:13:31.000 --> 0:13:34.560
<v Speaker 1>be like we're Enron, but we're not going to prison.

0:13:35.080 --> 0:13:40.000
<v Speaker 2>And also perhaps this is your fault. It's a difficult needle, but.

0:13:40.520 --> 0:13:43.200
<v Speaker 1>This is your fault. Argument is like, we were so

0:13:43.280 --> 0:13:47.000
<v Speaker 1>blatantly committing from that, I can't believe you didn't catch us.

0:13:47.040 --> 0:13:50.480
<v Speaker 1>So when you think about it, it's your fault. You

0:13:50.559 --> 0:13:53.080
<v Speaker 1>got to make that argument to then settle with the

0:13:53.120 --> 0:13:55.240
<v Speaker 1>banks and have them not go to the police. And

0:13:56.000 --> 0:13:58.400
<v Speaker 1>it's tough. Doesn't seem to work here.

0:13:58.600 --> 0:14:01.520
<v Speaker 2>Really charming though, this was a nice December read.

0:14:01.800 --> 0:14:04.080
<v Speaker 1>Yes, yes, you know what else was?

0:14:04.320 --> 0:14:05.520
<v Speaker 2>Tell me no one else.

0:14:05.360 --> 0:14:08.000
<v Speaker 1>Has a real I was going to say end of

0:14:08.080 --> 0:14:10.400
<v Speaker 1>year vibe, but really more like end of civilization. But

0:14:10.640 --> 0:14:14.920
<v Speaker 1>oh god, Trump Media, the three billion dollar public company

0:14:14.960 --> 0:14:17.360
<v Speaker 1>that runs a social media site and also like a

0:14:17.880 --> 0:14:24.800
<v Speaker 1>ETU of some kind. I can't say with the straight

0:14:24.880 --> 0:14:27.120
<v Speaker 1>face they bought a nuclear fusion company.

0:14:27.280 --> 0:14:28.240
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, they sure did.

0:14:28.440 --> 0:14:29.560
<v Speaker 1>Why not? Really? Why not?

0:14:29.960 --> 0:14:32.400
<v Speaker 2>Yeah? This was very sign of the times. I'm not

0:14:32.400 --> 0:14:35.520
<v Speaker 2>going to pretend to really really know what nuclear fusion is.

0:14:35.800 --> 0:14:38.360
<v Speaker 1>Nuclear fission is when you like smash your atoms together

0:14:38.400 --> 0:14:40.560
<v Speaker 1>and they go flying out and they produce energy from

0:14:40.560 --> 0:14:42.920
<v Speaker 1>like breaking apart. A nuclear fusion is when you smash

0:14:42.920 --> 0:14:44.720
<v Speaker 1>your adams together and they stay together and they produce

0:14:44.760 --> 0:14:47.360
<v Speaker 1>even more energy from staying together. Nuclear fusion is what

0:14:47.400 --> 0:14:50.760
<v Speaker 1>power is such notable sources of power as the sun,

0:14:51.040 --> 0:14:53.920
<v Speaker 1>oh sure, and not a ton of commercial nuclear fusion

0:14:54.000 --> 0:14:57.440
<v Speaker 1>generation currently. Yeah, but a lot of people have thought

0:14:57.440 --> 0:14:59.800
<v Speaker 1>about it because it would be pretty good source of power.

0:15:00.480 --> 0:15:02.200
<v Speaker 1>And some of the people who thought about it worked

0:15:02.240 --> 0:15:05.240
<v Speaker 1>for this company called tay which is a nuclear fusion company,

0:15:05.280 --> 0:15:07.640
<v Speaker 1>found it in nineteen ninety eight, like you know, real people.

0:15:07.720 --> 0:15:11.000
<v Speaker 1>So as I can tell from their investor presentation, they

0:15:11.000 --> 0:15:13.440
<v Speaker 1>seem to have first all raised over a billion dollars

0:15:13.480 --> 0:15:16.400
<v Speaker 1>in funding from like you know, people like Google and Chevron,

0:15:16.600 --> 0:15:20.120
<v Speaker 1>and secondly too you know the pictures of reactors, right,

0:15:20.160 --> 0:15:22.520
<v Speaker 1>so yeah, maybe they're on their way to commercial grade

0:15:22.560 --> 0:15:25.480
<v Speaker 1>nuclear fusion. But in any case, yeah, they e merged

0:15:25.600 --> 0:15:27.200
<v Speaker 1>with truth social hate.

0:15:27.000 --> 0:15:28.760
<v Speaker 2>Me a picture of a world where this makes sense?

0:15:29.000 --> 0:15:30.200
<v Speaker 2>What could be the logic here?

0:15:31.880 --> 0:15:33.560
<v Speaker 1>I want to just make sure that we keep my

0:15:33.640 --> 0:15:36.560
<v Speaker 1>laughing into me? But no, I mean, okay, there's a

0:15:36.560 --> 0:15:38.200
<v Speaker 1>press release. You can read the press release.

0:15:38.280 --> 0:15:38.520
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:15:38.640 --> 0:15:41.080
<v Speaker 1>One thing in the press release is like one thing

0:15:41.080 --> 0:15:43.640
<v Speaker 1>they say about their mission is that's to like free

0:15:43.800 --> 0:15:46.600
<v Speaker 1>the world of big tech censorship, which not applicable to

0:15:46.680 --> 0:15:48.840
<v Speaker 1>nuclear fusion probably. But another thing is like, oh, it's

0:15:48.880 --> 0:15:52.120
<v Speaker 1>America first strategic, like it all kind of like fits

0:15:52.120 --> 0:15:57.000
<v Speaker 1>in a vague like strategic America nuclear power. Yeah. But

0:15:57.040 --> 0:15:59.720
<v Speaker 1>the other reason for the deal, which is also in

0:15:59.760 --> 0:16:02.480
<v Speaker 1>the press is they say in the press, pays the

0:16:02.520 --> 0:16:07.160
<v Speaker 1>deal is to quote combine tmtg's access to significant capital

0:16:07.240 --> 0:16:12.760
<v Speaker 1>and tay's leading fusion technology. So like one way to

0:16:12.760 --> 0:16:16.480
<v Speaker 1>put that on way to rephrase that Trump Media has

0:16:16.560 --> 0:16:18.480
<v Speaker 1>raised a lot of money, has a big stock price.

0:16:19.720 --> 0:16:22.240
<v Speaker 1>Isn't like doing a ton with that stock price. Stock

0:16:22.280 --> 0:16:25.440
<v Speaker 1>price was higher, now it's lower because people had high

0:16:25.440 --> 0:16:27.720
<v Speaker 1>hopes they bought the stock and then like yeah, it's

0:16:27.760 --> 0:16:31.760
<v Speaker 1>like social media like ets whatever, right, and like there's

0:16:31.800 --> 0:16:33.760
<v Speaker 1>not been a ton of exciting news and the stock

0:16:33.880 --> 0:16:36.640
<v Speaker 1>is drifted off. But they have a lot of access

0:16:36.680 --> 0:16:39.160
<v Speaker 1>to capital. They announced big news, the stock will go up.

0:16:39.200 --> 0:16:42.840
<v Speaker 1>The stock was up a lot on Thursday. And one

0:16:42.880 --> 0:16:44.160
<v Speaker 1>thing you might do if you have a lot of

0:16:44.200 --> 0:16:47.880
<v Speaker 1>access to capital and not much of a profitable or

0:16:48.320 --> 0:16:51.720
<v Speaker 1>revenue generating business is use your access to capital by

0:16:51.720 --> 0:16:53.720
<v Speaker 1>other businesses, because then at the end of the day,

0:16:54.280 --> 0:16:57.320
<v Speaker 1>you have a nuclear fusion company, right, You've used your

0:16:57.320 --> 0:17:00.240
<v Speaker 1>access to capital markets to acquire real assets, right, Yeah,

0:17:00.280 --> 0:17:03.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, like the truth social is an asset, is not,

0:17:03.160 --> 0:17:05.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, not three billion dollars of assets. And then

0:17:05.600 --> 0:17:08.840
<v Speaker 1>from taste perspective, if you are building nuclear fusion reactors,

0:17:08.960 --> 0:17:11.120
<v Speaker 1>you have a lot of need for capital. And if

0:17:11.240 --> 0:17:13.520
<v Speaker 1>someone has a lot of access to capital, and like,

0:17:13.600 --> 0:17:16.480
<v Speaker 1>that's a good trade for you, right, So like Trump

0:17:16.520 --> 0:17:20.880
<v Speaker 1>media brings the stock raising ability and hey brings the

0:17:20.880 --> 0:17:24.280
<v Speaker 1>possibility of nuclear fusion. But it's a very strange combination

0:17:24.359 --> 0:17:27.960
<v Speaker 1>because it's like people whose business is somewhere between like

0:17:28.040 --> 0:17:30.680
<v Speaker 1>running a social media company and like being friends with

0:17:30.800 --> 0:17:33.600
<v Speaker 1>Donald Trump. Yeah, and like now they're in charge of

0:17:33.680 --> 0:17:35.840
<v Speaker 1>nuclear fusion. It's just a strange pivot.

0:17:35.960 --> 0:17:38.639
<v Speaker 2>You point to AMC buying a gold mine. There is

0:17:38.680 --> 0:17:41.720
<v Speaker 2>they did do that thing some some tenuous precedent for this.

0:17:42.520 --> 0:17:46.840
<v Speaker 1>Is there precedent for meme stocks getting into unrelated businesses

0:17:46.880 --> 0:17:49.040
<v Speaker 1>because like, you know, the point of a meme stock

0:17:49.119 --> 0:17:51.760
<v Speaker 1>is that your stock is really high without necessarily the

0:17:51.880 --> 0:17:54.920
<v Speaker 1>underlying business justifying it. So you're like, well, Okay, I'm

0:17:54.920 --> 0:17:56.680
<v Speaker 1>going to use this high stock price to go buy

0:17:56.760 --> 0:17:59.040
<v Speaker 1>an underlying business that justifies it, right, Like we're totally

0:17:59.080 --> 0:18:02.480
<v Speaker 1>precedent for that, Like games that was playing that game

0:18:02.520 --> 0:18:04.920
<v Speaker 1>for years, you know, like, yeah, there's definitely a precedent

0:18:05.000 --> 0:18:06.359
<v Speaker 1>for trying that, for trying it.

0:18:06.480 --> 0:18:10.399
<v Speaker 2>Game Stop never went out and bought anything super cool though, right, No,

0:18:10.880 --> 0:18:12.800
<v Speaker 2>I just revealed that. I think buying a gold mine

0:18:12.840 --> 0:18:14.000
<v Speaker 2>is super cool. But that's fine.

0:18:14.760 --> 0:18:18.200
<v Speaker 1>It's kind of unarguably cool, Like it's cool. Yeah, like

0:18:18.240 --> 0:18:22.760
<v Speaker 1>whatever else it is, that was a cool yeah. Yeah,

0:18:23.520 --> 0:18:27.480
<v Speaker 1>nuclear fusion. Also, you got to give it to them.

0:18:29.480 --> 0:18:31.440
<v Speaker 1>I was not expecting that, and I was like.

0:18:32.720 --> 0:18:36.520
<v Speaker 2>Good game, good game. Not of course the co defendant

0:18:36.840 --> 0:18:39.720
<v Speaker 2>in the tricolor good game.

0:18:54.960 --> 0:18:56.800
<v Speaker 1>Should talking about watching videos?

0:18:56.920 --> 0:19:00.000
<v Speaker 2>Yes, tell me about this. So South Korean's right.

0:19:00.080 --> 0:19:03.119
<v Speaker 1>South Koreans they love They didn't know this until recently.

0:19:03.119 --> 0:19:08.520
<v Speaker 1>They love crazy trading in American financial products, probably also

0:19:08.560 --> 0:19:11.919
<v Speaker 1>South Korean financial products. But like there's yeah, and so

0:19:12.000 --> 0:19:16.800
<v Speaker 1>like Leverty ETFs great up the time, and so there's

0:19:16.840 --> 0:19:22.640
<v Speaker 1>a big boom in South Korean retail speculation on stuff

0:19:22.680 --> 0:19:24.919
<v Speaker 1>like Leverty dfs, which we've talked about. Are you know,

0:19:24.960 --> 0:19:27.560
<v Speaker 1>they're a product that sometimes loses people money and that

0:19:27.720 --> 0:19:30.679
<v Speaker 1>like how it works is not necessarily intuitive to everyone

0:19:30.720 --> 0:19:32.800
<v Speaker 1>who looks at it, right. I mean, in particular, like

0:19:32.840 --> 0:19:36.080
<v Speaker 1>the way Levertyts work is they provide two or three

0:19:36.240 --> 0:19:39.880
<v Speaker 1>x the daily returns, and so they don't provide necessarily

0:19:39.960 --> 0:19:41.640
<v Speaker 1>two to three xts the yearly returns.

0:19:41.880 --> 0:19:42.240
<v Speaker 2>Discuss.

0:19:42.359 --> 0:19:44.040
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, if you buy an hold of leverty TF, it

0:19:44.119 --> 0:19:46.480
<v Speaker 1>might might rip your hand off, hurt, might not might

0:19:46.520 --> 0:19:51.960
<v Speaker 1>be great, not investment advice. But the South Korean regulators

0:19:52.000 --> 0:19:54.800
<v Speaker 1>are sick of this, and so they've said, like, as

0:19:54.840 --> 0:19:57.720
<v Speaker 1>of this week, brokerage as will this is from a

0:19:57.800 --> 0:20:01.560
<v Speaker 1>Financial Times story. As of this week, brokerages will automatically

0:20:01.600 --> 0:20:04.040
<v Speaker 1>block investors wanting to put their funds into leveraged or

0:20:04.080 --> 0:20:06.720
<v Speaker 1>in verse ETFs and who cannot provide the certification number

0:20:06.960 --> 0:20:09.199
<v Speaker 1>given to those who have completed a one hour online

0:20:09.200 --> 0:20:10.160
<v Speaker 1>training one hour.

0:20:10.560 --> 0:20:12.840
<v Speaker 2>Okay, so I didn't read the story click through.

0:20:12.680 --> 0:20:14.639
<v Speaker 1>An online they get an hour long online.

0:20:14.720 --> 0:20:17.520
<v Speaker 2>I was thinking, like the little video ad you get

0:20:17.560 --> 0:20:20.480
<v Speaker 2>before YouTube video where it's fifteen seconds and then you

0:20:20.480 --> 0:20:21.200
<v Speaker 2>can click through.

0:20:21.560 --> 0:20:25.720
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, right, us chance, Literally it's like with like options,

0:20:25.840 --> 0:20:28.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, like you have to click some forms to

0:20:28.320 --> 0:20:30.920
<v Speaker 1>be approved to trade options, right, and like an hour

0:20:31.080 --> 0:20:34.080
<v Speaker 1>is aggressive? Yeah, there's someone emailed me to be like

0:20:34.160 --> 0:20:37.320
<v Speaker 1>there's going to be an aftermarket in those codes, Like

0:20:38.080 --> 0:20:39.600
<v Speaker 1>he has the video, you're right down the corde. You

0:20:39.640 --> 0:20:41.160
<v Speaker 1>send it to some of your friends for money.

0:20:41.200 --> 0:20:45.280
<v Speaker 2>Can make an ETF out of that. Yeah, levered a

0:20:45.320 --> 0:20:46.080
<v Speaker 2>few times.

0:20:47.000 --> 0:20:49.640
<v Speaker 1>But I will say I love those.

0:20:49.800 --> 0:20:53.840
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, because you think that there should be gated access

0:20:53.880 --> 0:20:54.760
<v Speaker 2>to the products?

0:20:54.760 --> 0:20:58.560
<v Speaker 1>Absolutely, Wow, Yeah, I'm a gatekeeper. Wow, I think there

0:20:58.560 --> 0:21:00.480
<v Speaker 1>should be gated access. I also think that, like, if

0:21:00.520 --> 0:21:03.240
<v Speaker 1>you're a securities regulator, one real bind that you have

0:21:03.480 --> 0:21:07.680
<v Speaker 1>is that when stuff is going up, if you are

0:21:07.680 --> 0:21:09.639
<v Speaker 1>ever like we don't want people to be able to

0:21:09.640 --> 0:21:11.280
<v Speaker 1>invest in this stuff, Like, people get really mad at

0:21:11.280 --> 0:21:13.120
<v Speaker 1>you because you're standing in the way of the fun.

0:21:13.560 --> 0:21:16.160
<v Speaker 1>And then when this stuff goes down, it's like, oh,

0:21:16.240 --> 0:21:18.760
<v Speaker 1>this was a terrible product. They come to the regulators

0:21:18.840 --> 0:21:21.280
<v Speaker 1>like where were you on stopping this terrible product? And

0:21:21.320 --> 0:21:23.240
<v Speaker 1>as if you're the regulators, it's an unpleasant bind to

0:21:23.280 --> 0:21:27.160
<v Speaker 1>be in. A Yeah, you can't really do anything other

0:21:27.240 --> 0:21:30.280
<v Speaker 1>than try to put the decision on the retail investors

0:21:30.400 --> 0:21:32.240
<v Speaker 1>and try to give them as much information as you

0:21:32.320 --> 0:21:36.160
<v Speaker 1>can and also like make it not your problem, which

0:21:36.240 --> 0:21:39.520
<v Speaker 1>means like you know people. Maybe like there's gonna be

0:21:39.520 --> 0:21:42.080
<v Speaker 1>an aftermarket in those codes, right, Like, yeah, people are

0:21:42.080 --> 0:21:45.080
<v Speaker 1>going to trade these ETFs without watching the hour long video. Yeah,

0:21:45.080 --> 0:21:47.760
<v Speaker 1>but like that's not a problem because from the regulat's perspective,

0:21:47.840 --> 0:21:50.000
<v Speaker 1>those people can't complain. Right if you like didn't watch

0:21:50.040 --> 0:21:51.560
<v Speaker 1>the video and then you buy the ETF and you

0:21:51.560 --> 0:21:53.159
<v Speaker 1>go to the regulatory Oh why did you let me

0:21:53.200 --> 0:21:55.360
<v Speaker 1>buy the CTF? I didn't watch the video. The regulator

0:21:55.400 --> 0:21:57.040
<v Speaker 1>is like, you're a problem man. You should have watched

0:21:57.080 --> 0:21:57.440
<v Speaker 1>the video.

0:21:57.520 --> 0:21:57.760
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:21:57.800 --> 0:21:59.240
<v Speaker 1>I don't know, Like I think it's a good move.

0:21:59.400 --> 0:22:03.679
<v Speaker 2>I have some practical questions. Is this before every single

0:22:03.800 --> 0:22:05.159
<v Speaker 2>purchase that you make or is.

0:22:05.160 --> 0:22:06.960
<v Speaker 1>It just like it's like to get turned onto trade

0:22:07.040 --> 0:22:09.239
<v Speaker 1>levery you tube. Oh interesting, So I do think that,

0:22:09.280 --> 0:22:11.000
<v Speaker 1>like if it works, you can have a separate airline

0:22:11.000 --> 0:22:13.360
<v Speaker 1>training video for all sorts of products. I really want

0:22:13.400 --> 0:22:16.560
<v Speaker 1>to like record the library of like dark by these

0:22:16.640 --> 0:22:17.359
<v Speaker 1>product videos.

0:22:17.400 --> 0:22:20.000
<v Speaker 2>People would actually watch the video, then good, that would

0:22:20.040 --> 0:22:20.360
<v Speaker 2>be fun.

0:22:20.600 --> 0:22:22.159
<v Speaker 1>I should turn this podcast into that.

0:22:22.520 --> 0:22:25.680
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, yeah, we can monetize that. This reminded me of

0:22:27.200 --> 0:22:31.800
<v Speaker 2>episode in twenty twenty two, when Finra apparently opened a

0:22:31.840 --> 0:22:38.280
<v Speaker 2>consultation on whether complex exchange traded products should be basically curbed,

0:22:38.800 --> 0:22:42.200
<v Speaker 2>so complex in their world means leverage and in verse crypto,

0:22:42.400 --> 0:22:45.879
<v Speaker 2>certain crypto funds, and some of the things that they

0:22:45.920 --> 0:22:49.639
<v Speaker 2>were considering were enhanced disclosure and a knowledge check for

0:22:49.720 --> 0:22:53.560
<v Speaker 2>retail customers. So basically like a little quiz was the

0:22:53.640 --> 0:22:56.439
<v Speaker 2>understanding at the time, and I was saying to look

0:22:56.480 --> 0:22:59.560
<v Speaker 2>at my reporting from the time. Apparently when I wrote

0:22:59.560 --> 0:23:04.000
<v Speaker 2>this in mid May, FINRA had received twelve thousand comments

0:23:04.480 --> 0:23:07.960
<v Speaker 2>on this proposal, and for context, usually FINRA notices get

0:23:07.960 --> 0:23:13.800
<v Speaker 2>fewer than twenty comments, So it meant violent opposition in

0:23:13.840 --> 0:23:16.359
<v Speaker 2>the US, right, But I think I assume.

0:23:16.040 --> 0:23:19.120
<v Speaker 1>That's not like mostly from burkers being like I want

0:23:19.119 --> 0:23:21.480
<v Speaker 1>to sell stuffs or roobs. You don't understand it. I

0:23:21.480 --> 0:23:23.840
<v Speaker 1>think it's mostly from retail customers I don't want to

0:23:23.880 --> 0:23:26.200
<v Speaker 1>watch a video before I buy stuff, yeah.

0:23:26.080 --> 0:23:27.640
<v Speaker 2>Or like I don't want to take a little quiz.

0:23:27.720 --> 0:23:30.760
<v Speaker 1>Yeah. I'm surprised that it met with violent onsicion. I

0:23:30.840 --> 0:23:31.199
<v Speaker 1>just like it.

0:23:31.240 --> 0:23:33.239
<v Speaker 2>I would love that. I would love to take the

0:23:33.359 --> 0:23:37.640
<v Speaker 2>quiz though. I think that sounds fun. Someone I don't

0:23:37.680 --> 0:23:40.760
<v Speaker 2>know had one. I'd be interested in taking it soon.

0:23:40.840 --> 0:23:46.040
<v Speaker 2>Could check our knowledge good game have a great holiday season.

0:23:46.440 --> 0:23:47.320
<v Speaker 1>We'll see you back here.

0:23:47.560 --> 0:23:49.160
<v Speaker 2>Well, they'll see us on January second.

0:23:49.240 --> 0:23:51.720
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I was gonna say we're off next week. Yeah,

0:23:52.119 --> 0:23:55.200
<v Speaker 1>but probably back the following week with a mel back

0:23:55.200 --> 0:23:58.400
<v Speaker 1>episode US something goes wrong, uns it goods to leave

0:23:58.440 --> 0:24:06.960
<v Speaker 1>it looks. And that was The Money Stuff Podcast.

0:24:07.280 --> 0:24:09.400
<v Speaker 2>I'm Matt Levine and I'm Katie Greifeld.

0:24:09.600 --> 0:24:11.760
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<v Speaker 1>Thanks for listening to The Money Stuff Podcast.