WEBVTT - Drive Time: Dolphins Bills Week 4 Preview

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<v Speaker 1>Drive Time with Travis Wingfield begins.

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<v Speaker 2>Now let me check your pulse if you're not for

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<v Speaker 2>what is up? Dolphins?

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<v Speaker 3>And welcome to the Draft Time Podcast, part of the

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<v Speaker 3>Miami Dolphins podcast network covering your team, your Miami Dolphins.

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<v Speaker 2>How's it going everybody?

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<v Speaker 3>I am your host, Travis Wingfield And on today's show,

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<v Speaker 3>I'm fired up for this one.

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<v Speaker 2>I got really into the Weeds.

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<v Speaker 3>So it's going to be a dense Dolphins Bills matchup

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<v Speaker 3>preview as we shift our focus to a team we

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<v Speaker 3>know all too well in those rival Buffalo Bills. We'll

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<v Speaker 3>preview the big matchup for AFC E supremacy at the

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<v Speaker 3>quarter point of the season. Tell you why this game

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<v Speaker 3>is so crucial, Key matchups, key numbers, big storylines, much

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<v Speaker 3>much more. From the Baptist Health Studios inside the Baptist

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<v Speaker 3>Health Training Complex. This is the Draft Time Podcast. Maggie gaff.

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<v Speaker 2>I would like to give Coach.

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<v Speaker 3>The opening line here he was asked about motivation for

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<v Speaker 3>this game? Was last next year's disappointing ending to these guys,

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<v Speaker 3>two losses up there in their building inside of one month?

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<v Speaker 3>Was that motivation for this game? Here's Coach went back

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<v Speaker 3>to the check your pulse.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, you know, I think division opponents and like you know,

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<v Speaker 1>you have what what what's been really uh, I don't know,

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<v Speaker 1>probably under talked about, is an opponent of this caliber

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<v Speaker 1>coming off and I mean nine sack, five turnover day.

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<v Speaker 1>If you need to be motivated for a game like this,

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<v Speaker 1>check your pulse or maybe consider a career adjustment. So

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of revent, I mean, I don't think when

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<v Speaker 1>you when you're playing an a quality opponent in your

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<v Speaker 1>division like that, there's always going to be you know,

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<v Speaker 1>it's the Bills. It's a Bills game, is the way

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<v Speaker 1>you know, it feels to us, And they have earned

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<v Speaker 1>the right to be the division champion for several years

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<v Speaker 1>and they continue to play at a high level. So

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<v Speaker 1>you know, I think it's a very very difficult challenge

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<v Speaker 1>that I think our players are pumped for because you

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<v Speaker 1>sign up to to play the best and I think

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<v Speaker 1>they fit that.

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<v Speaker 2>And it is Buffalo Bills week.

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<v Speaker 3>We get two of these, or got two of these

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<v Speaker 3>last year in their building and both games were right

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<v Speaker 3>there for us. So when you look at what these

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<v Speaker 3>two teams did this offseason, it was about did Miami

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<v Speaker 3>do enough to close the gap. Did Buffalo do it

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<v Speaker 3>enough to take that jump to the next step, And

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<v Speaker 3>we had our squad at about as full strength as

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<v Speaker 3>you can ask in that December game, I know we

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<v Speaker 3>had a lot of attrition on the offensive line in

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<v Speaker 3>the defensive backfield, but two, it wasn't there right, not

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<v Speaker 3>the same story in January and played in that game.

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<v Speaker 3>There's no doubt Miami runs away with that contest. But still,

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<v Speaker 3>even if there was a four game gap by the

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<v Speaker 3>end of the season thirteen compared to nine wins, I

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<v Speaker 3>think the context shows you these teams were much closer

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<v Speaker 3>than that last year, as the results were similar in

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<v Speaker 3>the end, even if the route to get to those

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<v Speaker 3>final scores up in Buffalo, you know, three point losses

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<v Speaker 3>were not similar. One was all takeaways and defensive scores

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<v Speaker 3>and the other one was offense going up another field.

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<v Speaker 3>So it was competitive right down to the very end

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<v Speaker 3>in both those games. And one of the reasons I

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<v Speaker 3>feel confident picking the Dolphins to win this division this

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<v Speaker 3>year was that Buffalo just didn't do a lot to

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<v Speaker 3>improve their roster from an offseason acquisition standpoint, while Miami

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<v Speaker 3>did a ton. Evident by what you've seen on the

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<v Speaker 3>offensive line, with five good players opposed to three. The

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<v Speaker 3>backfield's a lot better, the receivers are better, the defense

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<v Speaker 3>is better, even if it's not actually good yet. Just

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<v Speaker 3>wait for a few weeks and number five comes back.

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<v Speaker 3>The Bills big ads Connor McGovern, Trent Sherfield, Damian Harris,

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<v Speaker 3>Taylor Rapp one of those guys as a starter. On

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<v Speaker 3>the other side, they didn't lose a whole lot. The

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<v Speaker 3>only real notable was Tremaine Edmonds. But they just didn't

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<v Speaker 3>add to last year's recipe. And I guess they were

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<v Speaker 3>a thirteen win team, so they have that to fall

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<v Speaker 3>back on. But I read, I read too frequently, as

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<v Speaker 3>I give you that shpiel this summer, the Buffalo's window

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<v Speaker 3>was closing, and that's just nonsense, Like, don't think that, please,

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<v Speaker 3>because you're gonna be disappointed if you think that they're

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<v Speaker 3>one of the five best teams in the NFL right now.

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<v Speaker 3>I think I would put them just outside the top

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<v Speaker 3>four with Kate, with us KC, Dallas and Philly and

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<v Speaker 3>McDaniel made the point an oppresser a while back that

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<v Speaker 3>I found interesting. He talked about the advantages of having

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<v Speaker 3>a really good division you play in and sure enough,

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<v Speaker 3>each of the last two years, these Super Bowl representatives

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<v Speaker 3>from each conference came from divisions that had two and

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<v Speaker 3>three teams, with the Eagles with the Giants and Cowboys

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<v Speaker 3>last year in Kansas City, last year with Los Angeles

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<v Speaker 3>making the playoffs, and then twenty twenty one, the Steelers

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<v Speaker 3>joined the Bengals in the playoffs and the four nine

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<v Speaker 3>Ers and Cardinals were in there along with the Rams

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<v Speaker 3>back that year. And I know, it seems like we've

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<v Speaker 3>been in a division with a twelve game winner every

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<v Speaker 3>single year since two thousand and three, because well we

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<v Speaker 3>have except for a year or two, with one of

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<v Speaker 3>those being where Brady you know, tours ACL in the

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<v Speaker 3>first quarter of the first game. So while winning a

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<v Speaker 3>division where second place is under five hundred sounds like

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<v Speaker 3>a little bit less stressful of a season, I think

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<v Speaker 3>it's these types of battles that prepare you to be

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<v Speaker 3>successful once you get to that point. Now it's still September,

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<v Speaker 3>so chill on all that talk, right, And I have

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<v Speaker 3>to do a better job of reminding myself as well,

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<v Speaker 3>because you never know what can happen in this league.

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<v Speaker 3>But I bring it back up because these are tests

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<v Speaker 3>that I think the team will look back on and

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<v Speaker 3>be thankful they were part of. I mean, we get

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<v Speaker 3>to go to Buffalo, to Philly and some version of

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<v Speaker 3>a road game with Kansas City Eldos in Germany, and

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<v Speaker 3>finish the year with three teams that I expect to

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<v Speaker 3>be in the postseason with Dallas, Baltimore and Buffalo if

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<v Speaker 3>we make the playoffs.

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<v Speaker 2>When we make the playoffs, when we.

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<v Speaker 3>Get there, we're going to have played six or seven

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<v Speaker 3>games against teams that I personally believe will not just

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<v Speaker 3>be in the tournament come January, but be factors and

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<v Speaker 3>actual contenders to make the run all the way. So

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<v Speaker 3>you'll have massive games along the way. And that got

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<v Speaker 3>sideways a little bit, but I think it tracks with

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<v Speaker 3>the intro here because you've heard me do this so

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<v Speaker 3>many times now with the Buffalo Bills, you don't have

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<v Speaker 3>to have me repeat the spiel. In twenty seven team

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<v Speaker 3>they built one of the game's best secondaries in one

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<v Speaker 3>fell swoop by signing Poyer and Hide and drafting Tredavius White.

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<v Speaker 3>The next year, they land their quarterback. They continue to

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<v Speaker 3>draft pretty well and that had become the foundation of

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<v Speaker 3>their team, but recently quietly their draft classes have not

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<v Speaker 3>produced a ton of hits, and that's why I say

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<v Speaker 3>I don't think this team has gotten much better from

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<v Speaker 3>what they were in twenty twenty one, and the dolphins

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<v Speaker 3>continuous trajectory bodes well for closing that gap. It has

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<v Speaker 3>left them relatively thin Buffalo on the offensive line. I

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<v Speaker 3>think it's better than it was last year because of

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<v Speaker 3>some incumbents improving. But they're also like super thinn at

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<v Speaker 3>wide receiver once you get beyond Stefan Diggs and the

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<v Speaker 3>second level of their defense. I mean, aside from the

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<v Speaker 3>three guys I mentioned, got to be concerned about what.

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<v Speaker 2>You might have back there.

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<v Speaker 3>I have two rabbit hats we're gonna don in that

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<v Speaker 3>defensive back seven. We'll stay tuned for more of that

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<v Speaker 3>here later on. But they're a great example of something

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<v Speaker 3>I believe, you don't have to win a championship to

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<v Speaker 3>be a successful team. And you might come at me

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<v Speaker 3>and say that's a loser mentality.

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<v Speaker 2>Whatever.

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<v Speaker 3>Man, They've won thirteen, eleven and thirteen games the last

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<v Speaker 3>three years. They've won four playoff games over those three years,

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<v Speaker 3>and yes, it sets up for a crushing end of

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<v Speaker 3>the season. But if I told you right now that

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<v Speaker 3>Miami would average more than twelve wins per year over

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<v Speaker 3>the next three seasons and win four playoff games. I'm

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<v Speaker 3>pretty sure ninety nine percent of you would sign up

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<v Speaker 3>for that right now. Maybe you wouldn't take it with

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<v Speaker 3>the caveat that we lose a Super Bowl or whatever

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<v Speaker 3>or don't get one at all, but I think you

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<v Speaker 3>would take that if you didn't know the end result

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<v Speaker 3>of those playoff trips.

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<v Speaker 2>So the Buffalo Bills have made some changes.

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<v Speaker 3>Leslie Frazier is out at DC, which means Sean McDermott

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<v Speaker 3>has taken back over the play calling. I think it's

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<v Speaker 3>worked pretty well so far. You're going to learn a

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<v Speaker 3>theme throughout this podcast. The Buffalo's defense looks great, but

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<v Speaker 3>they've played Sam Howell, They've played Jimmy Garoppolo, who looks

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<v Speaker 3>like not the same Groppolo we saw on Kyle Shanahan's offense,

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<v Speaker 3>and they also played Zach Wilson. So yeah, you know,

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<v Speaker 3>we'll talk about that more in the next matchup in

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<v Speaker 3>personnel deployment section. But this is a defense that has

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<v Speaker 3>put the absolute clamps on those first three opponents.

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<v Speaker 2>What are those teams going to be this year?

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<v Speaker 3>We'll see, but I think it's safe to say they

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<v Speaker 3>have not seen an attack quite to Miami's standard. When

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<v Speaker 3>they protect the football on offense, they are as dangerous

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<v Speaker 3>as anybody. We've seen Josh Allen struggle when teams play

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<v Speaker 3>those high shells and force him to be patient. If

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<v Speaker 3>it doesn't click right away, he can start to get

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<v Speaker 3>really out in front of the skis and attack situations

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<v Speaker 3>that just are not, you know, profitable for the offense.

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<v Speaker 3>Now that said, I thought he was at his best

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<v Speaker 3>in twenty twenty one doing that, and I thought that

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<v Speaker 3>last year they felt the impact of Brian Dable exiting

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<v Speaker 3>to take the head coaching job with the Giants. And

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<v Speaker 3>we'll see if Ken Dorsey can you know, put together

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<v Speaker 3>a more consistent offense and year number two together. But

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<v Speaker 3>I think this game, I think it should be a

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<v Speaker 3>tight game. I think there's routes to victory for both teams.

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<v Speaker 3>I think there's things the Buffalo can do to attack

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<v Speaker 3>potential vulnerabilities of Miami, and I just think we're looking

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<v Speaker 3>at one of the game's best of the season on

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<v Speaker 3>the schedule so far. In fact, I think it is

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<v Speaker 3>the best matchup we've seen through four weeks in terms

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<v Speaker 3>of rivalry, talent, and importance in the standings. And again,

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<v Speaker 3>I know this won't be received super well, but this

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<v Speaker 3>game is more important for them than it is for us.

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<v Speaker 3>And I say that thinking like it's pretty important for

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<v Speaker 3>us too. But if they win, we'll have the same

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<v Speaker 3>record and a chance to get them back here at

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<v Speaker 3>home in Week eighteen. And if the Dolphins are as

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<v Speaker 3>good as we all think they are, that game will

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<v Speaker 3>be at least for some divisional implications, right, they'll have

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<v Speaker 3>that attached to it if they're as good as we

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<v Speaker 3>think they are.

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<v Speaker 2>Now, if the.

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<v Speaker 3>Dolphins win, then yeah, it does shift the landscape quite drastically.

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<v Speaker 3>And that's why I think it's more important for Buffalo,

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<v Speaker 3>because a loss to them kind of derails them more

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<v Speaker 3>than a loss to US would, not saying it ends

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<v Speaker 3>their season, but a two game lead with that future

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<v Speaker 3>home date in Week eighteen, two divisional losses on the

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<v Speaker 3>books for Buffalo and what would amount to a two

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<v Speaker 3>and a half game deficit against US just four games in,

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<v Speaker 3>when their final six games are like Dallas, Cincinnati, KSE

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<v Speaker 3>US and like Baltimore. I forget exactly who it is,

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<v Speaker 3>but they have a murderer's row down the stretch. So

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<v Speaker 3>if you can get this one, you're basically putting yourself

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<v Speaker 3>in position to be either ahead or with any striking

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<v Speaker 3>distance when you get to that stretch of the late

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<v Speaker 3>part of the season, and that would be massive for

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<v Speaker 3>us obviously. But then also that's why it's important for them,

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<v Speaker 3>because they cannot afford to go into that hole. We

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<v Speaker 3>can afford the results of a loss, although I do

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<v Speaker 3>not want to, because if you win this game, things

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<v Speaker 3>get very, very fun.

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<v Speaker 2>It's supposed to be a beautiful day in Buffalo.

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<v Speaker 3>I didn't know this existed, but apparently they do this

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<v Speaker 3>time around right around seventy degrees sunshine. And before we

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<v Speaker 3>talk about the storylines, I asked Mike McDaniel, what are

0:10:50.200 --> 0:10:52.360
<v Speaker 3>some lessons you can take from those two games last

0:10:52.400 --> 0:10:55.160
<v Speaker 3>winter up in Buffalo and apply to this year.

0:10:55.320 --> 0:10:59.800
<v Speaker 1>Here's coach, you use them for knowing what the experience

0:11:00.160 --> 0:11:03.960
<v Speaker 1>be like. On the surface level, what you do know

0:11:04.880 --> 0:11:09.959
<v Speaker 1>is that they're gonna play very hard and together, and

0:11:10.000 --> 0:11:13.040
<v Speaker 1>they're not going to give anything away, so you have

0:11:13.080 --> 0:11:18.440
<v Speaker 1>to earn them. It is a different team, so you

0:11:18.520 --> 0:11:20.120
<v Speaker 1>have to take that with a grain of salt. But

0:11:20.760 --> 0:11:24.360
<v Speaker 1>I think you know that. Being so it was the

0:11:24.440 --> 0:11:27.520
<v Speaker 1>last game that we played in twenty twenty two, which

0:11:27.559 --> 0:11:32.760
<v Speaker 1>I think technically was twenty three, and you know, it

0:11:32.800 --> 0:11:38.720
<v Speaker 1>was a hard fought loss down the stretch of the season,

0:11:39.920 --> 0:11:43.199
<v Speaker 1>and those things they do live with you in terms

0:11:43.240 --> 0:11:48.199
<v Speaker 1>of what that felt like, and so to me, it

0:11:48.280 --> 0:11:54.480
<v Speaker 1>really represents the idea of what we have to kind

0:11:54.520 --> 0:11:57.200
<v Speaker 1>of the p's and the cues that we have to

0:11:57.200 --> 0:12:02.240
<v Speaker 1>be on to have of a result that's different than

0:12:02.360 --> 0:12:05.720
<v Speaker 1>the one last year, which well, I know, one thing

0:12:07.400 --> 0:12:14.079
<v Speaker 1>to even to even conceive that you have to it's

0:12:14.120 --> 0:12:17.120
<v Speaker 1>gonna have to be earned. And that's a cool thing

0:12:17.160 --> 0:12:19.800
<v Speaker 1>about what they do is they make you earn every inch.

0:12:20.800 --> 0:12:23.360
<v Speaker 1>So it will take a group effort for sixty minutes,

0:12:24.200 --> 0:12:25.199
<v Speaker 1>there's no doubt in that.

0:12:26.160 --> 0:12:28.720
<v Speaker 3>Before we take that first break and break down Dolphins

0:12:28.760 --> 0:12:32.720
<v Speaker 3>offense versus Buffalo defense. Some storylines here that three games

0:12:32.720 --> 0:12:35.319
<v Speaker 3>and twenty twenty two were all decided by three points

0:12:35.400 --> 0:12:37.440
<v Speaker 3>or a fewer. Of course, the Dolphins win twenty one

0:12:37.480 --> 0:12:40.600
<v Speaker 3>to nineteen. Down here when Josh Allen skipped a pretty

0:12:40.600 --> 0:12:44.240
<v Speaker 3>easy fastball to the turf. Week number fifteen, Dolphins lose

0:12:44.360 --> 0:12:46.800
<v Speaker 3>thirty two to twenty nine, despite having the football up

0:12:46.800 --> 0:12:49.080
<v Speaker 3>by a touchdown in the fourth quarter and scoring range

0:12:49.360 --> 0:12:52.800
<v Speaker 3>Ah that one hurt the wild card round loss thirty

0:12:52.840 --> 0:12:55.160
<v Speaker 3>four to thirty one. Buffalo wins that after Miami had

0:12:55.200 --> 0:12:56.839
<v Speaker 3>the ball at midfield with a round two minutes to

0:12:56.880 --> 0:12:59.480
<v Speaker 3>go and could not convert, although they misspoted the football

0:12:59.480 --> 0:13:03.000
<v Speaker 3>and third down and really boned us there. Previous Bills

0:13:03.160 --> 0:13:06.040
<v Speaker 3>dominance in the series also a big storyline. Prior to

0:13:06.120 --> 0:13:09.160
<v Speaker 3>last year, the Bills had beaten the Dolphins, break the

0:13:09.160 --> 0:13:11.480
<v Speaker 3>breaks off the Dolphins. They swept him in twenty twenty

0:13:11.480 --> 0:13:14.240
<v Speaker 3>one with a point differential of plus fifty, and that

0:13:14.320 --> 0:13:16.080
<v Speaker 3>was the biggest reason I thought we had to, you know,

0:13:16.320 --> 0:13:20.040
<v Speaker 3>go get someone like Mike because Buffalo ran rough shot

0:13:20.120 --> 0:13:22.000
<v Speaker 3>over us every year in the previous regime. Prior to

0:13:22.000 --> 0:13:24.400
<v Speaker 3>twenty twenty two, Buffalo had won seven straight with an

0:13:24.400 --> 0:13:27.280
<v Speaker 3>average margin of nineteen point three points. I think that

0:13:27.320 --> 0:13:30.640
<v Speaker 3>dominance is long gone. We'll see about Josh Allen's That's

0:13:30.640 --> 0:13:32.439
<v Speaker 3>a big test for this defense here a Vic Fangio

0:13:32.480 --> 0:13:35.680
<v Speaker 3>potential masterclass Fangio versus Allen. How can he match up

0:13:35.679 --> 0:13:38.920
<v Speaker 3>against an elite quarterback like this? Because Allen has ran

0:13:39.040 --> 0:13:41.480
<v Speaker 3>for a billion yards, He's thrown for a billion touchdowns.

0:13:41.640 --> 0:13:45.480
<v Speaker 3>He's posted dubs on us and he versus Christian Wilkins.

0:13:46.280 --> 0:13:47.719
<v Speaker 3>He's gotten the better of that in terms of the

0:13:47.760 --> 0:13:50.080
<v Speaker 3>team's success, but I do think that Christian's ability to

0:13:50.120 --> 0:13:52.319
<v Speaker 3>get into his head's always fun to watch. He drew

0:13:52.320 --> 0:13:54.440
<v Speaker 3>a penalty on Allen last year in the home game

0:13:54.559 --> 0:13:56.319
<v Speaker 3>and should have had another one in the playoff game

0:13:56.360 --> 0:13:59.040
<v Speaker 3>when Josh Allen went to full you know, B mode

0:13:59.040 --> 0:14:01.560
<v Speaker 3>when he freeked doubt on Wilkins and got knocked over

0:14:01.600 --> 0:14:02.959
<v Speaker 3>because he tried to block him and then tried to

0:14:02.960 --> 0:14:04.800
<v Speaker 3>throw a punch or whatever, not a punch, but trying

0:14:04.800 --> 0:14:06.600
<v Speaker 3>to get into his face, and then walked away when

0:14:06.640 --> 0:14:08.439
<v Speaker 3>he realized he wasn't getting the better of that. The

0:14:08.520 --> 0:14:11.319
<v Speaker 3>number one offense first, the number two defense again. The

0:14:11.360 --> 0:14:13.840
<v Speaker 3>Bills moved from Fraser to McDermott taking over play calling,

0:14:14.000 --> 0:14:16.600
<v Speaker 3>but the second year of play calling Harry McDaniel's offense

0:14:16.600 --> 0:14:19.120
<v Speaker 3>has been a huge boon, the way they've added wrinkles

0:14:19.160 --> 0:14:21.600
<v Speaker 3>off of their different packages and looks and dressed things up.

0:14:21.800 --> 0:14:23.920
<v Speaker 3>I cannot wait to watch them attack this defense this

0:14:24.000 --> 0:14:26.760
<v Speaker 3>time around, because I think in both the games last year,

0:14:26.800 --> 0:14:29.040
<v Speaker 3>and you know, having a third string quarterback didn't really

0:14:29.320 --> 0:14:31.880
<v Speaker 3>let this manifest, but the first game with Tua, they

0:14:31.880 --> 0:14:33.920
<v Speaker 3>had the Bills defense and some hell there, and of

0:14:33.920 --> 0:14:36.200
<v Speaker 3>course the elements kind of came into play late there.

0:14:36.200 --> 0:14:38.800
<v Speaker 3>But I think Miami's ability to take that tape and

0:14:38.880 --> 0:14:41.480
<v Speaker 3>expand upon it, with their quarterback playing better than any

0:14:41.560 --> 0:14:43.840
<v Speaker 3>quarterback in the NFL right now, could be a big

0:14:43.840 --> 0:14:46.200
<v Speaker 3>benefit for this team. Scoring another thirty forty points in

0:14:46.200 --> 0:14:48.200
<v Speaker 3>this one, and then again the importance of the game

0:14:48.920 --> 0:14:51.960
<v Speaker 3>if we win. You know you heard the the ramifications

0:14:51.960 --> 0:14:54.760
<v Speaker 3>two game lead, the head to head tiebreaker divisional loss

0:14:54.760 --> 0:14:56.800
<v Speaker 3>for the Bills will be number two. Miami would have

0:14:56.840 --> 0:15:00.080
<v Speaker 3>two road divisional wins and four wins in the conference. Like,

0:15:00.320 --> 0:15:03.040
<v Speaker 3>you're putting a pretty good stranglehold on the tie breaking

0:15:03.040 --> 0:15:05.720
<v Speaker 3>scenarios if you go get this one, especially with that

0:15:05.800 --> 0:15:07.480
<v Speaker 3>loss of the Jets is so big, man, because we

0:15:07.520 --> 0:15:10.160
<v Speaker 3>have two games against the Jets coming up in November

0:15:10.200 --> 0:15:13.360
<v Speaker 3>and December. And do you really think that Trevor Simeon

0:15:13.560 --> 0:15:16.120
<v Speaker 3>or Zach Wilson or Tim Boyle can match points to

0:15:16.160 --> 0:15:19.000
<v Speaker 3>this offense. I don't, so I put those and then

0:15:19.040 --> 0:15:21.360
<v Speaker 3>a Patriots game at home, Like I kind of think Miami,

0:15:22.120 --> 0:15:25.600
<v Speaker 3>I have a pretty good feeling. Miami's going to if

0:15:25.640 --> 0:15:27.960
<v Speaker 3>they win this game, go into the final Buffalo game

0:15:28.000 --> 0:15:29.880
<v Speaker 3>five and zero the division. So if they lose at

0:15:29.880 --> 0:15:31.960
<v Speaker 3>four and one and then you would still if you

0:15:32.080 --> 0:15:35.160
<v Speaker 3>just win one against Buffalo, that Jets loss is your tiebreaker.

0:15:35.200 --> 0:15:36.560
<v Speaker 2>So Miami essentially gets.

0:15:36.400 --> 0:15:38.600
<v Speaker 3>A game advantage in the division race because of that

0:15:38.640 --> 0:15:40.040
<v Speaker 3>potential tie breaking scenario.

0:15:40.320 --> 0:15:43.160
<v Speaker 2>So massive. No trophy's gonna be handed out this week.

0:15:43.200 --> 0:15:46.040
<v Speaker 3>No seasons will be ended either, but it's still a

0:15:46.160 --> 0:15:49.160
<v Speaker 3>huge game with huge playoff implications. Let's go ahead and

0:15:49.200 --> 0:15:51.160
<v Speaker 3>take our first break and comeback on the other side

0:15:51.200 --> 0:15:52.480
<v Speaker 3>and break this matchup down.

0:15:52.800 --> 0:15:54.080
<v Speaker 2>I have a lot of notes in this one.

0:15:54.080 --> 0:15:56.800
<v Speaker 3>I spent forty eight hours really kind of watching film

0:15:56.800 --> 0:15:59.480
<v Speaker 3>and comparing this one. That's next Draft Time podcast, your

0:15:59.520 --> 0:16:01.720
<v Speaker 3>host Travis Wingfield, brought to you by AutoNation.

0:16:04.600 --> 0:16:05.360
<v Speaker 2>You guys know the.

0:16:05.280 --> 0:16:08.760
<v Speaker 3>Scene in Moneyball when Brad Pitt asked Jonah Hill about

0:16:08.800 --> 0:16:10.920
<v Speaker 3>the rite ups he asked him to do, and he

0:16:10.920 --> 0:16:13.120
<v Speaker 3>asked him for like eight ride ups, and Jonah Hill said,

0:16:13.120 --> 0:16:15.240
<v Speaker 3>I did forty seven, and then he goes, I lied,

0:16:15.280 --> 0:16:16.080
<v Speaker 3>I did fifty three.

0:16:16.120 --> 0:16:18.000
<v Speaker 2>I don't know why I lied. Just now that's me

0:16:18.160 --> 0:16:19.520
<v Speaker 2>right now, I watched every Bills game.

0:16:19.640 --> 0:16:22.520
<v Speaker 3>I went back through PFF data from last year from

0:16:22.560 --> 0:16:26.120
<v Speaker 3>this year and was just really into this matchup because

0:16:26.200 --> 0:16:28.000
<v Speaker 3>I want to win it, and it's fun covering a

0:16:28.000 --> 0:16:33.720
<v Speaker 3>team that's this damn good.

0:16:32.120 --> 0:16:34.600
<v Speaker 2>Precious field trip. That's a little Chris Farley on Billy

0:16:34.600 --> 0:16:35.360
<v Speaker 2>Madison for you.

0:16:35.440 --> 0:16:37.800
<v Speaker 3>On a deep cut, Let's talk about Dolphins offense versus

0:16:37.800 --> 0:16:40.760
<v Speaker 3>the Buffalo Bills defense. You know by now the Dolphins lineup,

0:16:40.960 --> 0:16:44.120
<v Speaker 3>how the Bills match up with that, our quarterback safety matchup,

0:16:44.160 --> 0:16:46.840
<v Speaker 3>you know the drill. Poyer and Hyde have both played

0:16:46.880 --> 0:16:49.840
<v Speaker 3>eighty eight percent plus of the snaps, and they've introduced

0:16:49.840 --> 0:16:53.280
<v Speaker 3>a new third safety formerly of the Rams and Washington Huskies,

0:16:53.280 --> 0:16:56.280
<v Speaker 3>Taylor Rapp has played twenty three percent of their snaps.

0:16:56.560 --> 0:16:58.360
<v Speaker 3>I think you might see more of him this week

0:16:58.400 --> 0:17:02.360
<v Speaker 3>because of the pensity. We might see of three safety packages,

0:17:02.360 --> 0:17:05.440
<v Speaker 3>maybe some dime defense. I mean, the Bills never get

0:17:05.440 --> 0:17:06.919
<v Speaker 3>out of their Nichols, so we'll find out about that.

0:17:06.960 --> 0:17:08.680
<v Speaker 3>But those are the three guys they use the most.

0:17:08.760 --> 0:17:11.200
<v Speaker 3>Christian Benford as their top corner right now one hundred

0:17:11.240 --> 0:17:14.479
<v Speaker 3>percent of the snaps, White Tradevius has played ninety one

0:17:14.520 --> 0:17:16.360
<v Speaker 3>and then nobody else over eight. So if you get

0:17:16.400 --> 0:17:19.080
<v Speaker 3>one injury here, you're introducing a player who just.

0:17:19.000 --> 0:17:20.399
<v Speaker 2>Has not played at all this season.

0:17:20.640 --> 0:17:22.399
<v Speaker 3>Something to keep an eye on, as Dolphins tend to

0:17:22.400 --> 0:17:24.800
<v Speaker 3>have a way of making cornerback skill a little bit

0:17:24.880 --> 0:17:28.399
<v Speaker 3>tight in the hamstring area. Not advocating that, I'm just

0:17:28.400 --> 0:17:29.840
<v Speaker 3>saying like it's something to the keeping eye because the

0:17:29.840 --> 0:17:32.399
<v Speaker 3>depth there is thin. And the slot Barrio Smyth and

0:17:32.480 --> 0:17:35.760
<v Speaker 3>Julian Hill, who had a great debut last week, up

0:17:35.800 --> 0:17:38.840
<v Speaker 3>against Taron Johnson who's played seventy eight percent of the snaps.

0:17:38.880 --> 0:17:41.040
<v Speaker 3>He might be their best player on defense. He's awesome,

0:17:42.040 --> 0:17:43.840
<v Speaker 3>but I also think that his presence makes them play

0:17:43.880 --> 0:17:45.679
<v Speaker 3>a defense that I just doesn't make a lot of

0:17:45.680 --> 0:17:48.120
<v Speaker 3>sense to me. We'll talk more about that. On the interior,

0:17:48.200 --> 0:17:51.800
<v Speaker 3>Williams win and Hunt up against Oliver who played sixty

0:17:51.800 --> 0:17:54.080
<v Speaker 3>five percent of the snaps this year, Daikwan Jones fifty.

0:17:54.320 --> 0:17:56.680
<v Speaker 3>You guys remember Jordan Phillips thirty four percent this year.

0:17:56.720 --> 0:18:00.240
<v Speaker 3>Then Tim Settle thirty one percent. Off the edge will

0:18:00.240 --> 0:18:03.679
<v Speaker 3>get more Armstead and Austin Jackson with Gregory Russeau has

0:18:03.680 --> 0:18:05.680
<v Speaker 3>played sixty percent of the snaps. We got the right

0:18:05.720 --> 0:18:07.919
<v Speaker 3>cane there, Shaq loss and you guys know him. He

0:18:07.920 --> 0:18:10.520
<v Speaker 3>and Leonard Floyd have both played forty seven percent of

0:18:10.560 --> 0:18:13.399
<v Speaker 3>their snaps, and then aj Epinesa forty one and then

0:18:13.400 --> 0:18:17.520
<v Speaker 3>that linebacker. Both Milano and Terrel Bernard have played ninety

0:18:17.520 --> 0:18:20.119
<v Speaker 3>one percent of Buffalo snaps. So they have varied mixtures

0:18:20.440 --> 0:18:22.720
<v Speaker 3>of edge interior players that you can see there. Like

0:18:22.720 --> 0:18:25.480
<v Speaker 3>all those percentage that gave you, guys, it's pretty varied.

0:18:26.000 --> 0:18:29.040
<v Speaker 3>Milano and Bernard play the exact same number of reps,

0:18:29.040 --> 0:18:32.240
<v Speaker 3>and the dbs are essentially always the same. Again, Rap

0:18:32.320 --> 0:18:34.960
<v Speaker 3>is the only defensive back that comes into the game

0:18:35.000 --> 0:18:37.479
<v Speaker 3>aside from those top five guys I mentioned, and then

0:18:37.520 --> 0:18:39.520
<v Speaker 3>you have eight guys up front who play a lot

0:18:39.560 --> 0:18:42.679
<v Speaker 3>because are a lot of numbers there for several guys. Stylistically,

0:18:43.359 --> 0:18:47.280
<v Speaker 3>it's mostly like power and strength type of players compared

0:18:47.280 --> 0:18:49.520
<v Speaker 3>to like speed guys. That's Oliver his game, although he's

0:18:49.520 --> 0:18:50.120
<v Speaker 3>got really good.

0:18:50.040 --> 0:18:51.960
<v Speaker 2>Quicks as well. But Rousseau wants to win.

0:18:51.920 --> 0:18:53.600
<v Speaker 3>With his length in a secondary move and I think

0:18:53.640 --> 0:18:57.080
<v Speaker 3>Miami has the pieces equipped to handle him. Shaq Lawson

0:18:57.119 --> 0:18:59.760
<v Speaker 3>and aj Epanessa, I don't think they're scaring anybody in

0:18:59.760 --> 0:19:03.359
<v Speaker 3>their rush department. I mean I thought Epanes would have

0:19:03.400 --> 0:19:04.920
<v Speaker 3>more of a career in loss and you know, since

0:19:04.920 --> 0:19:07.119
<v Speaker 3>he left here hasn't made a big splash. But they

0:19:07.119 --> 0:19:09.320
<v Speaker 3>are peer power players that want to play through you.

0:19:09.600 --> 0:19:11.840
<v Speaker 3>And then Floyd has the most juice, I think, but

0:19:12.119 --> 0:19:13.960
<v Speaker 3>he's like in his thirties at this point. And then

0:19:14.240 --> 0:19:17.800
<v Speaker 3>Phillips is super quick inside and Settle is a tree trunks.

0:19:17.800 --> 0:19:20.160
<v Speaker 3>They have a bit of varied usage there, so they

0:19:20.160 --> 0:19:21.720
<v Speaker 3>have that mixture of what they can do to beat you.

0:19:21.760 --> 0:19:24.320
<v Speaker 3>But I think Miami with their run game disguise, can

0:19:24.440 --> 0:19:27.200
<v Speaker 3>really take advantage of these guys in their overplay because

0:19:27.200 --> 0:19:29.520
<v Speaker 3>they're aggressive. They want a one gap and get upfield,

0:19:29.760 --> 0:19:32.199
<v Speaker 3>and right now, the way our offensive line's going, I

0:19:32.320 --> 0:19:34.720
<v Speaker 3>just give them them a great chance to solidify their

0:19:34.800 --> 0:19:37.520
<v Speaker 3>strong start with a proven defense and go whip a

0:19:37.720 --> 0:19:40.080
<v Speaker 3>Bills front that they whipped last year in that second

0:19:40.160 --> 0:19:42.960
<v Speaker 3>game up in December. As far as their personnel usage,

0:19:43.119 --> 0:19:45.600
<v Speaker 3>there's no need to break down their grouping by grouping

0:19:46.240 --> 0:19:49.439
<v Speaker 3>usage here because if you listen to the podcast regularly.

0:19:49.240 --> 0:19:50.440
<v Speaker 2>You already know what you're gonna get.

0:19:50.560 --> 0:19:54.840
<v Speaker 3>Ninety eight point six percent Nickel deployment. That's five defensive

0:19:54.880 --> 0:19:57.960
<v Speaker 3>backs with six up in your front part of the formation,

0:19:58.960 --> 0:20:02.119
<v Speaker 3>and that usually leads to light boxes. It's one hundred

0:20:02.119 --> 0:20:04.320
<v Speaker 3>percent on third and fourth down, so that means that

0:20:04.600 --> 0:20:07.080
<v Speaker 3>they're playing it on first down ninety eight point five

0:20:07.119 --> 0:20:09.800
<v Speaker 3>percent of the time and ninety eight percent on second down.

0:20:09.840 --> 0:20:12.240
<v Speaker 3>They almost never get out of nickel, although there are

0:20:12.280 --> 0:20:14.919
<v Speaker 3>some base looks mixed in there, like I mentioned, so

0:20:15.080 --> 0:20:19.480
<v Speaker 3>you know you're gonna get defensively on rush plays. This

0:20:19.520 --> 0:20:21.960
<v Speaker 3>is so fascinating to me. They have six in the box.

0:20:22.000 --> 0:20:24.080
<v Speaker 3>It's a very like sevens a light box, but six

0:20:24.160 --> 0:20:26.840
<v Speaker 3>is a super light box. Against the running game, they

0:20:26.880 --> 0:20:29.640
<v Speaker 3>have thirty snaps and seven in the box on fourteen

0:20:29.680 --> 0:20:31.960
<v Speaker 3>snaps and then eight down the box, which is a

0:20:31.960 --> 0:20:35.400
<v Speaker 3>heavy box just seven times. So they're saying we want

0:20:35.440 --> 0:20:37.080
<v Speaker 3>you to try to run the ball with one on

0:20:37.080 --> 0:20:39.200
<v Speaker 3>one hat on a hat matchup that you we don't

0:20:39.200 --> 0:20:41.040
<v Speaker 3>have enough guys to fit the gaps you can play with.

0:20:41.280 --> 0:20:44.280
<v Speaker 3>And on those forty four carries against light boxes, teams

0:20:44.320 --> 0:20:47.439
<v Speaker 3>have a rush success rate of sixty three percent and

0:20:47.520 --> 0:20:50.280
<v Speaker 3>have produced three hundred and eight yards that's seven yards

0:20:50.280 --> 0:20:53.160
<v Speaker 3>of clip guys fifty five of the fifty six rush

0:20:53.200 --> 0:20:55.560
<v Speaker 3>attempts against the Bills. This year came when they were

0:20:55.560 --> 0:20:58.400
<v Speaker 3>in their nickel defense, and the results are fifty five

0:20:58.480 --> 0:21:01.480
<v Speaker 3>for three thirty three six point one per carry. That

0:21:01.560 --> 0:21:03.760
<v Speaker 3>sounds like what Miami's doing to teams. And go back

0:21:03.760 --> 0:21:05.720
<v Speaker 3>and watch the game in Buffalo with two of last year.

0:21:06.240 --> 0:21:08.880
<v Speaker 3>It's an alec ingold game. He's going to kick their ass.

0:21:08.960 --> 0:21:10.720
<v Speaker 3>He's going to help us run the ball for two

0:21:10.800 --> 0:21:12.959
<v Speaker 3>hundred yards and I'm sure there's going to be some

0:21:13.000 --> 0:21:15.919
<v Speaker 3>wrinkles that generate from that in the passing game to

0:21:16.040 --> 0:21:18.800
<v Speaker 3>play the overplay because Buffalo knows this, they know they

0:21:18.840 --> 0:21:20.840
<v Speaker 3>have to be aggressive and make sure that we stop

0:21:20.840 --> 0:21:23.879
<v Speaker 3>our running backs and our tracks because you're also simply

0:21:23.960 --> 0:21:26.439
<v Speaker 3>not just gonna go away from Tyreek and Waddle and

0:21:26.560 --> 0:21:28.439
<v Speaker 3>just let them wilt on the sideline. So I cannot

0:21:28.440 --> 0:21:31.919
<v Speaker 3>wait to see what McDaniel's response to the response is

0:21:31.960 --> 0:21:33.600
<v Speaker 3>because he's been the best in the league at that

0:21:33.640 --> 0:21:36.879
<v Speaker 3>this year. And also those safeties they have, they are

0:21:36.920 --> 0:21:39.280
<v Speaker 3>a step slower this year. In fact, that defense might

0:21:39.320 --> 0:21:41.639
<v Speaker 3>be one of the slower defenses in football. That's not

0:21:41.720 --> 0:21:43.520
<v Speaker 3>a good matchup there. They're thirty three and thirty two

0:21:43.600 --> 0:21:46.560
<v Speaker 3>years old, and so moster are in a chain speed.

0:21:46.600 --> 0:21:48.800
<v Speaker 3>The anglely racing. If you get a big play, you

0:21:48.880 --> 0:21:50.639
<v Speaker 3>might get to maximize it and take it all the

0:21:50.640 --> 0:21:54.320
<v Speaker 3>way to Pagert Same with Reek and Waddle. Remember cooked

0:21:54.320 --> 0:21:56.800
<v Speaker 3>Tredavius White on that twenty five yard touchdown catch last

0:21:56.840 --> 0:21:58.960
<v Speaker 3>year and Waddle went for like sixty eight or whatever

0:21:58.960 --> 0:22:01.080
<v Speaker 3>it was where he ran by everybody. I know it

0:22:01.119 --> 0:22:03.520
<v Speaker 3>wasn't the same two safeties, but those guys, in terms

0:22:03.520 --> 0:22:06.160
<v Speaker 3>of next gen stats, are not any faster. I think

0:22:06.200 --> 0:22:07.639
<v Speaker 3>if you look at the matchup as a way to

0:22:07.680 --> 0:22:11.479
<v Speaker 3>get your offensive production, you know, consistent ground game, explosive plays,

0:22:11.760 --> 0:22:14.720
<v Speaker 3>but you do need better conversions on third down and

0:22:14.760 --> 0:22:16.600
<v Speaker 3>in the red zone. We had two drops in the

0:22:16.680 --> 0:22:19.520
<v Speaker 3>end zone last year. Sherfield and Tyreek dropped easy touchdowns

0:22:19.800 --> 0:22:21.679
<v Speaker 3>that led to a field goal. That's four points you

0:22:21.720 --> 0:22:23.800
<v Speaker 3>left on the board and you lost by three. We

0:22:23.840 --> 0:22:26.720
<v Speaker 3>also failed on third and short four times. Flip the

0:22:26.760 --> 0:22:29.840
<v Speaker 3>script there, convert two of those, extend two drives. That's

0:22:29.840 --> 0:22:32.280
<v Speaker 3>more points. I think, score the touchdown, that's four more points.

0:22:32.440 --> 0:22:34.719
<v Speaker 3>I think you can find thirty plus points pretty easily.

0:22:34.960 --> 0:22:37.760
<v Speaker 3>Scored twenty nine in that game even with those shortcomings.

0:22:37.800 --> 0:22:40.000
<v Speaker 3>And if they get you in third and long, well

0:22:40.240 --> 0:22:43.280
<v Speaker 3>that's where they really excel and maximizing that nickel package

0:22:43.280 --> 0:22:45.720
<v Speaker 3>where they have a swarm of players who can come

0:22:45.800 --> 0:22:49.040
<v Speaker 3>or drop and really muddy up your protection. The Dolphins

0:22:49.119 --> 0:22:52.439
<v Speaker 3>have been stellar this year, iding and keying and finding

0:22:52.440 --> 0:22:55.320
<v Speaker 3>the blitz because the quarterback has been phenomenal at finding

0:22:55.320 --> 0:22:58.080
<v Speaker 3>holes in their pass rush with if they go drop seven,

0:22:58.160 --> 0:23:00.640
<v Speaker 3>drop eight, I mean, let's be real. Defense has been

0:23:00.640 --> 0:23:03.000
<v Speaker 3>elite at everything they've done this year. As far as

0:23:03.000 --> 0:23:05.800
<v Speaker 3>the Bills defense third down defense this year, I think

0:23:05.840 --> 0:23:08.640
<v Speaker 3>these numbers are very skewed because of their opponents, but whatever,

0:23:08.920 --> 0:23:11.719
<v Speaker 3>thirty one percent on third down third and seven plus

0:23:11.840 --> 0:23:14.359
<v Speaker 3>teams are three for fourteen on them compared to six

0:23:14.400 --> 0:23:16.840
<v Speaker 3>of fifteen and third and medium in short, so third

0:23:16.880 --> 0:23:19.720
<v Speaker 3>and long is a non starter for opposing offenses that

0:23:19.920 --> 0:23:22.320
<v Speaker 3>have Sam Howell and Zach Wilson and Jimmy Garoppolo. Their

0:23:22.359 --> 0:23:25.560
<v Speaker 3>blitz rate is seventeen point two percent. They have two

0:23:25.600 --> 0:23:29.639
<v Speaker 3>picks three sacks on fifteen dropbacks against the blitz, but

0:23:29.680 --> 0:23:32.080
<v Speaker 3>they have allowed seven for twelve for seventy seven yards,

0:23:32.119 --> 0:23:35.160
<v Speaker 3>So they create chaos when they go to that blitz package.

0:23:35.200 --> 0:23:39.399
<v Speaker 3>Not very unlike Vic Fangio, their non blitz pressure seventy

0:23:39.440 --> 0:23:42.040
<v Speaker 3>two plays. They create pressure when they don't blitz seventy

0:23:42.040 --> 0:23:43.960
<v Speaker 3>two times five picks and nine sack.

0:23:44.040 --> 0:23:45.719
<v Speaker 2>That's really good. You have to avoid that.

0:23:46.040 --> 0:23:48.960
<v Speaker 3>Overall, they have a thirty percent pressure rate and that's

0:23:49.040 --> 0:23:52.240
<v Speaker 3>twelve point eight percentage higher than their blitz rate. That's

0:23:52.280 --> 0:23:54.159
<v Speaker 3>a very good number for a defense to have. So

0:23:54.560 --> 0:23:57.520
<v Speaker 3>it's a good defense. But again, their opposition, I don't

0:23:57.560 --> 0:24:02.320
<v Speaker 3>know all that. What does that tell you? Super super aggressive defense,

0:24:02.320 --> 0:24:04.000
<v Speaker 3>and they have to be because they're not that fast.

0:24:04.280 --> 0:24:07.320
<v Speaker 3>It's driven by a great middle linebacker, Matt Mulano. But

0:24:07.359 --> 0:24:09.520
<v Speaker 3>they want to play lots of variations of too high

0:24:09.560 --> 0:24:12.800
<v Speaker 3>two man and use those very intelligent safeties boy're in

0:24:12.880 --> 0:24:17.639
<v Speaker 3>hide to disguise their coverage. So Tua against that I

0:24:17.680 --> 0:24:20.440
<v Speaker 3>think is paramount. I mean, let's actually go ahead and

0:24:20.480 --> 0:24:21.680
<v Speaker 3>hear from Mike right now, because this is a great

0:24:21.680 --> 0:24:25.120
<v Speaker 3>place to interject this. He talked on Wednesday about TUIs preparation,

0:24:25.280 --> 0:24:27.000
<v Speaker 3>and I think that that is the key rate. Here

0:24:27.040 --> 0:24:29.680
<v Speaker 3>is how TUA deciphers what coverage they're in on a

0:24:29.720 --> 0:24:30.280
<v Speaker 3>given snap.

0:24:30.320 --> 0:24:30.960
<v Speaker 2>Here's coach.

0:24:31.359 --> 0:24:35.120
<v Speaker 3>He was asked about Tua's enthusiasm during the last game,

0:24:35.359 --> 0:24:37.719
<v Speaker 3>hyping up Mike White on the long touchdown dropping by

0:24:37.800 --> 0:24:41.439
<v Speaker 3>toront Armstead's press conference postgame, but he took it further

0:24:41.640 --> 0:24:44.240
<v Speaker 3>and talked about TUIs preparation where that confidence he plays

0:24:44.240 --> 0:24:47.160
<v Speaker 3>what comes from because he has no doubts or regrets

0:24:47.200 --> 0:24:49.160
<v Speaker 3>about the way he prepared all week long, because he's

0:24:49.160 --> 0:24:51.720
<v Speaker 3>fully committed and invested. I just gave you the whole quote,

0:24:51.720 --> 0:24:52.520
<v Speaker 3>but here's coachingway.

0:24:52.560 --> 0:24:58.000
<v Speaker 1>Obviously he enjoys the positivity from outside looking in. But

0:24:58.560 --> 0:25:03.480
<v Speaker 1>what I think is, you know, he really the source

0:25:03.560 --> 0:25:07.400
<v Speaker 1>of what you're seeing is a guy that is one

0:25:07.440 --> 0:25:11.960
<v Speaker 1>hundred percent prepared and committed for him to do what

0:25:12.440 --> 0:25:17.800
<v Speaker 1>he has a God given skill set that's very unique

0:25:17.800 --> 0:25:21.680
<v Speaker 1>and special and he's able to showcase that and has

0:25:21.840 --> 0:25:25.119
<v Speaker 1>no harbors, no regrets or I should have wold I

0:25:25.160 --> 0:25:27.760
<v Speaker 1>could a by his daily process. I mean he is.

0:25:28.520 --> 0:25:33.439
<v Speaker 1>He is fully invested. He's every walk through that we

0:25:33.560 --> 0:25:35.679
<v Speaker 1>just had to walk through, every walkthrough. It's not like

0:25:35.760 --> 0:25:39.080
<v Speaker 1>he's he's in a great mood joking around. He is

0:25:39.119 --> 0:25:42.119
<v Speaker 1>so focused. And that's what you know. The kind of

0:25:42.160 --> 0:25:44.359
<v Speaker 1>vision is for a lot of the guys is to

0:25:44.440 --> 0:25:49.000
<v Speaker 1>understand how you know, we work, you prepare all week

0:25:49.320 --> 0:25:53.000
<v Speaker 1>so that Sunday can be fun because that is you,

0:25:53.119 --> 0:25:56.399
<v Speaker 1>That is that is a part of your identity, that man,

0:25:56.440 --> 0:25:59.080
<v Speaker 1>you've earned and you should go enjoy it. And you're

0:25:59.119 --> 0:26:02.439
<v Speaker 1>able to enjoy it when you're not cramming for a test.

0:26:03.960 --> 0:26:08.439
<v Speaker 1>And on top of that, he's starting to see, you know,

0:26:08.640 --> 0:26:14.320
<v Speaker 1>the power that that he holds at that position when

0:26:14.400 --> 0:26:18.200
<v Speaker 1>you are in charge of giving the play and executing

0:26:18.240 --> 0:26:23.399
<v Speaker 1>each and every play with ball handling and assignments. But

0:26:23.520 --> 0:26:26.040
<v Speaker 1>what it can do for teammates, because that's that's the

0:26:26.080 --> 0:26:29.080
<v Speaker 1>best thing about football is you're not you're not an

0:26:29.080 --> 0:26:33.800
<v Speaker 1>independent contractor where much of life is that. Now you

0:26:33.800 --> 0:26:37.520
<v Speaker 1>have a group of people that wow, the what I

0:26:39.640 --> 0:26:43.800
<v Speaker 1>how I work, and then what my talents are those

0:26:43.880 --> 0:26:48.160
<v Speaker 1>combined have residual effects on a lot of people's journeys.

0:26:48.160 --> 0:26:51.280
<v Speaker 1>So I think he's very much leaning into and enjoying

0:26:51.320 --> 0:26:55.679
<v Speaker 1>that more than any of the necessary I mean, the

0:26:55.720 --> 0:26:59.480
<v Speaker 1>results are that's really cool for him. I know he's

0:26:59.720 --> 0:27:02.320
<v Speaker 1>happy with that, but he's I think he's more happy

0:27:02.320 --> 0:27:06.400
<v Speaker 1>with who he is as a man, as a father

0:27:06.480 --> 0:27:10.040
<v Speaker 1>and his a husband and a professional athlete.

0:27:10.280 --> 0:27:12.639
<v Speaker 3>And that's where these two guys hide and employer I

0:27:12.640 --> 0:27:15.080
<v Speaker 3>think make their money. Their ability to show one thing

0:27:15.119 --> 0:27:18.120
<v Speaker 3>and rotate to something else. They'll come down and show pressure,

0:27:18.200 --> 0:27:20.960
<v Speaker 3>phantom pressure. They'll roll out, they'll double row where they

0:27:20.960 --> 0:27:23.480
<v Speaker 3>both jump crossers, they'll invert where they come down and

0:27:23.480 --> 0:27:25.920
<v Speaker 3>play the corner. Let the wide corners flip back and

0:27:25.920 --> 0:27:28.280
<v Speaker 3>play the safety role. It's a great chest match between

0:27:28.320 --> 0:27:30.200
<v Speaker 3>these two guys, and to a tongue of by low,

0:27:30.240 --> 0:27:31.680
<v Speaker 3>but I just like to wear a quarterback is seeing

0:27:31.720 --> 0:27:34.320
<v Speaker 3>it right now. Upfront, they want to one gap and

0:27:34.400 --> 0:27:36.560
<v Speaker 3>play downhill and that could create some issues that the

0:27:36.600 --> 0:27:39.360
<v Speaker 3>Dolphins can if they can do what they've been doing

0:27:39.400 --> 0:27:42.480
<v Speaker 3>and craft the game plan that capitalizes on that overplay.

0:27:42.640 --> 0:27:44.560
<v Speaker 3>And again it's easier said than done, but the way

0:27:44.560 --> 0:27:48.280
<v Speaker 3>the Dolphins have utilized motion, crackbacks, play action, end around

0:27:48.320 --> 0:27:51.520
<v Speaker 3>jet sweep action, split versus full flow, it's just a

0:27:51.520 --> 0:27:53.639
<v Speaker 3>lot to deal with. Like I'm sure you're sitting there saying,

0:27:53.760 --> 0:27:55.720
<v Speaker 3>what the hell did you just say? That's how opposing

0:27:55.760 --> 0:27:57.959
<v Speaker 3>defenses have to react as well. And I think the

0:27:58.000 --> 0:28:01.159
<v Speaker 3>combination of our line play two was released and the

0:28:01.200 --> 0:28:04.359
<v Speaker 3>offensive design all kind of play equal parts. Not to

0:28:04.400 --> 0:28:06.240
<v Speaker 3>mention they've put so much on tape, you have to

0:28:06.240 --> 0:28:08.679
<v Speaker 3>prepare for that coach can just pull the rug out

0:28:08.760 --> 0:28:10.720
<v Speaker 3>and do something completely different, and all of a sudden,

0:28:10.720 --> 0:28:13.320
<v Speaker 3>you've spent two days game planning for a run game

0:28:13.640 --> 0:28:17.200
<v Speaker 3>that you just never see and you know. It's a

0:28:17.200 --> 0:28:18.840
<v Speaker 3>big part of why I think Tua is the least

0:28:18.840 --> 0:28:22.440
<v Speaker 3>pressured quarterback in football. His stats really shine a light

0:28:22.480 --> 0:28:24.720
<v Speaker 3>on his ability. He has the second lowest pressure to

0:28:24.800 --> 0:28:28.359
<v Speaker 3>sack rate at four point five percent. Only Mahomes is lower,

0:28:28.600 --> 0:28:31.080
<v Speaker 3>and the third place quarterback in that regards eight point

0:28:31.119 --> 0:28:34.040
<v Speaker 3>five percent. So he is again like he is most

0:28:34.080 --> 0:28:37.720
<v Speaker 3>stats besides Mahomes here lapping the field and how he

0:28:38.120 --> 0:28:42.240
<v Speaker 3>gets away from pressure. The Bills pressures by individual nothing

0:28:42.240 --> 0:28:44.400
<v Speaker 3>pops off the tape here. Oliver has ten that leads

0:28:44.440 --> 0:28:48.840
<v Speaker 3>the team. Rousseau, Floyd, and Daikwan Jones all have eight. Epanessa, Lawston,

0:28:48.880 --> 0:28:50.880
<v Speaker 3>and Phillips all have five, and that goes back to

0:28:50.880 --> 0:28:52.760
<v Speaker 3>what coach and about how they play as a team together.

0:28:53.240 --> 0:28:53.760
<v Speaker 2>Very true.

0:28:54.040 --> 0:28:57.240
<v Speaker 3>Bernard and Milano both have two. They're off ball linebackers,

0:28:57.480 --> 0:29:01.080
<v Speaker 3>only nineteen pass rush reps among them. Not a frequently

0:29:01.120 --> 0:29:04.280
<v Speaker 3>blitzing team, the fourth lowest rate in the National Football League.

0:29:04.360 --> 0:29:06.560
<v Speaker 3>But getting at Oliver blocked inside to me is the

0:29:06.640 --> 0:29:08.920
<v Speaker 3>key of this entire group as far as run stops.

0:29:08.920 --> 0:29:12.040
<v Speaker 3>Bernard leads in with nine, Oliver and Milano both has six,

0:29:12.120 --> 0:29:14.600
<v Speaker 3>Jones has five or so, and Floyd have four, and

0:29:14.600 --> 0:29:17.360
<v Speaker 3>then Johnson, Ployer, and Hide all have three. And that's

0:29:17.680 --> 0:29:20.360
<v Speaker 3>interesting to me because those three guys having nine, those

0:29:20.400 --> 0:29:21.880
<v Speaker 3>safeties are the ones that have to come down and

0:29:21.880 --> 0:29:24.160
<v Speaker 3>support the run game because they just do not line

0:29:24.240 --> 0:29:27.920
<v Speaker 3>up with enough hats and gaps in terms of their

0:29:27.920 --> 0:29:30.400
<v Speaker 3>front seven. Those guys have to be solid against the run.

0:29:30.640 --> 0:29:33.640
<v Speaker 3>If Raheem Moster devon Ah Chain makes those guys miss,

0:29:33.960 --> 0:29:36.000
<v Speaker 3>they're not going to have a good time. It's interesting

0:29:36.040 --> 0:29:39.200
<v Speaker 3>because I think these teams are constructed relatively similarly in

0:29:39.240 --> 0:29:41.960
<v Speaker 3>that the offense can score by the time you finished blinking,

0:29:42.360 --> 0:29:44.920
<v Speaker 3>and ideally they get you behind big early in the

0:29:44.920 --> 0:29:47.880
<v Speaker 3>scoreboard and make you one dimensional. The Bills were able

0:29:47.920 --> 0:29:50.120
<v Speaker 3>to do that against the Commanders and Raiders the last

0:29:50.120 --> 0:29:52.719
<v Speaker 3>two weeks and just bullied and battered them on third downs.

0:29:52.880 --> 0:29:55.360
<v Speaker 3>Commanders were one for nine on third down, ran the

0:29:55.400 --> 0:29:57.360
<v Speaker 3>ball just thirteen times, but it did go for one

0:29:57.400 --> 0:29:59.360
<v Speaker 3>hundred and five yards, So that furthers the point that

0:29:59.400 --> 0:30:01.800
<v Speaker 3>if you can run the ball volume, you can get

0:30:01.840 --> 0:30:05.720
<v Speaker 3>your stats, sustained drives and score points. The Raiders went

0:30:05.760 --> 0:30:08.240
<v Speaker 3>three for seven on third downs, but they had just

0:30:08.280 --> 0:30:11.480
<v Speaker 3>thirteen first downs compared to Buffalo's twenty nine and could

0:30:11.520 --> 0:30:14.120
<v Speaker 3>only run the ball fifteen times as a result, picking

0:30:14.200 --> 0:30:16.440
<v Speaker 3>up just fifty five yards in the process. They also

0:30:16.520 --> 0:30:19.240
<v Speaker 3>turned it over three times, which is obviously a problem.

0:30:19.360 --> 0:30:21.320
<v Speaker 3>But go back to Week one, and this game is

0:30:21.360 --> 0:30:23.960
<v Speaker 3>a bit of an anomaly because Allen had four turnovers

0:30:23.960 --> 0:30:25.840
<v Speaker 3>in that one and it kept the Jets and Zach

0:30:25.880 --> 0:30:28.560
<v Speaker 3>Wilson in the game. But because the score was so close,

0:30:28.600 --> 0:30:30.800
<v Speaker 3>the Jets ran twenty eight times for a buck seventy

0:30:30.800 --> 0:30:33.360
<v Speaker 3>two and they were five for thirteen on third downs.

0:30:33.400 --> 0:30:35.680
<v Speaker 3>Not great, but considering the quarterback in the game, who

0:30:35.720 --> 0:30:38.280
<v Speaker 3>can't complete a pass in this league, that's pretty.

0:30:38.040 --> 0:30:38.520
<v Speaker 2>Good for them.

0:30:38.680 --> 0:30:41.480
<v Speaker 3>Anytime you look at opposing units, you try to figure

0:30:41.480 --> 0:30:44.960
<v Speaker 3>out the guys outside the all pros, right Channing Crowder

0:30:44.960 --> 0:30:46.880
<v Speaker 3>always tells a story about when he got to Miami,

0:30:47.080 --> 0:30:48.720
<v Speaker 3>it was Zach j T Junior.

0:30:48.760 --> 0:30:51.040
<v Speaker 2>Sam Who do you think they're going to attack Crowder?

0:30:51.080 --> 0:30:53.640
<v Speaker 3>It's you. You get the rabbit hat. In Buffalo, you

0:30:53.680 --> 0:30:56.560
<v Speaker 3>look at Hyde, Poyer, White, Malano Tarron Johnson. Really the

0:30:56.720 --> 0:30:58.880
<v Speaker 3>entire defensive line, and you look at the guys who

0:30:59.280 --> 0:31:01.960
<v Speaker 3>don't have those, and you're gonna call me crazy here,

0:31:01.960 --> 0:31:04.360
<v Speaker 3>but I'm gonna pick out two players where I put

0:31:04.360 --> 0:31:07.160
<v Speaker 3>the rabbit hat. Number one's Christian Benford, a sixth round

0:31:07.240 --> 0:31:09.520
<v Speaker 3>draft pick who beat out first round pick kayri Elam

0:31:09.560 --> 0:31:12.040
<v Speaker 3>who never sees the field at cornerback, and second year

0:31:12.120 --> 0:31:15.960
<v Speaker 3>linebacker last year's Defensive Player of the Week Terrell Bernard.

0:31:16.320 --> 0:31:18.200
<v Speaker 3>Why am I doing that? Because both those guys are

0:31:18.240 --> 0:31:20.800
<v Speaker 3>playing well. Bernard had a ton of splash plays last week,

0:31:20.840 --> 0:31:23.760
<v Speaker 3>got that award for himself. He also leads the team

0:31:23.760 --> 0:31:26.520
<v Speaker 3>in run stops, and they completed nine of twelve passes

0:31:26.560 --> 0:31:29.960
<v Speaker 3>on him for ninety eight yards on seventy seven coverage snaps,

0:31:29.960 --> 0:31:31.880
<v Speaker 3>throwing at him. That's exactly why right there. He is

0:31:31.960 --> 0:31:34.200
<v Speaker 3>very instinctive. He wants to play downhill. I think Miami

0:31:34.280 --> 0:31:36.080
<v Speaker 3>uses that to their advantage. I think they involve the

0:31:36.160 --> 0:31:37.920
<v Speaker 3>running backs in the passing game on him and go

0:31:38.040 --> 0:31:40.760
<v Speaker 3>after him. I think they also go after Benford, who

0:31:40.760 --> 0:31:42.880
<v Speaker 3>has given up just sixty eight yards on ninety four

0:31:42.920 --> 0:31:45.840
<v Speaker 3>coverage snaps. But you know, I know one yard per

0:31:45.920 --> 0:31:49.200
<v Speaker 3>coverge snap is great and he's well below that, but

0:31:49.320 --> 0:31:50.240
<v Speaker 3>watch the tape.

0:31:50.480 --> 0:31:51.480
<v Speaker 2>This is a damn good unit.

0:31:51.560 --> 0:31:54.000
<v Speaker 3>Terran Johnson does what he always does, fifty three yards

0:31:54.000 --> 0:31:57.160
<v Speaker 3>and eighty one snaps. He's just so smooth in his transitions.

0:31:57.200 --> 0:31:59.320
<v Speaker 3>I think they'll really try to let him win when

0:31:59.360 --> 0:32:02.000
<v Speaker 3>we put our spiad merchants inside. But even then, do

0:32:02.000 --> 0:32:04.920
<v Speaker 3>you ever feel good about going one on one against

0:32:04.960 --> 0:32:08.920
<v Speaker 3>Tyreek Hill and Jalen Waddell. I wouldn't they play super aggressive?

0:32:09.080 --> 0:32:10.840
<v Speaker 3>They go a light box and then challenge you on

0:32:10.880 --> 0:32:13.240
<v Speaker 3>the outside and try to get home with four Milano

0:32:13.320 --> 0:32:15.600
<v Speaker 3>one of the best cover backers of the last decade

0:32:15.680 --> 0:32:17.479
<v Speaker 3>or so, so you might not be able to get

0:32:17.560 --> 0:32:19.600
<v Speaker 3>much from the backs on him. But I think you

0:32:19.640 --> 0:32:21.600
<v Speaker 3>do go after Bernard that way, and I think it's

0:32:21.640 --> 0:32:23.760
<v Speaker 3>why you attack with the commitment to the running game

0:32:23.800 --> 0:32:26.680
<v Speaker 3>to force their structure to move downhill and create that

0:32:26.720 --> 0:32:28.760
<v Speaker 3>space in the passing game behind it. And it made

0:32:28.840 --> 0:32:32.200
<v Speaker 3>me curious to watch how teams who operate heavily in

0:32:32.280 --> 0:32:35.200
<v Speaker 3>twelve or twenty one personnel fair against this defense that

0:32:35.320 --> 0:32:37.840
<v Speaker 3>is exclusively a nickel defense. We were one of the

0:32:37.840 --> 0:32:39.720
<v Speaker 3>top teams in that regard last year at the number

0:32:39.760 --> 0:32:43.880
<v Speaker 3>one non eleven personnel offenses, and with Tua in the game,

0:32:43.920 --> 0:32:46.280
<v Speaker 3>we averaged six point three six yards per play against

0:32:46.280 --> 0:32:49.640
<v Speaker 3>Buffalo they allowed five point one. On the season, they

0:32:49.680 --> 0:32:52.280
<v Speaker 3>faced two of the other teams who were in top

0:32:52.320 --> 0:32:55.280
<v Speaker 3>five of non eleven personnel packages. What that means is

0:32:55.280 --> 0:32:57.040
<v Speaker 3>there's more tight ends of running backs in the field

0:32:57.200 --> 0:32:59.239
<v Speaker 3>than typical. The Niners were the only team they did

0:32:59.280 --> 0:33:03.480
<v Speaker 3>not see who fit that criteria, but Baltimore and Minnesota

0:33:03.520 --> 0:33:06.080
<v Speaker 3>were on their schedule, and Minnesota averaged six point oh

0:33:06.200 --> 0:33:09.000
<v Speaker 3>eight yards per play, Baltimore just four point sixty three.

0:33:09.000 --> 0:33:11.560
<v Speaker 3>But the four team totals versus Buffalo from that group

0:33:11.640 --> 0:33:14.320
<v Speaker 3>last year fourteen hundred yards on two hundred and thirty

0:33:14.320 --> 0:33:16.680
<v Speaker 3>eight plays. It was good for five point eight six

0:33:16.760 --> 0:33:19.440
<v Speaker 3>yards per play compared to four point eight nine yards

0:33:19.480 --> 0:33:22.520
<v Speaker 3>per play otherwise about a full yard more. So you

0:33:22.520 --> 0:33:25.080
<v Speaker 3>can see why it's a big difference there. Stylistically, they

0:33:25.080 --> 0:33:28.000
<v Speaker 3>play seventy one percent zone versus twenty nine percent man,

0:33:28.080 --> 0:33:30.440
<v Speaker 3>so they're not gonna let Tyree and Jalen Ren and

0:33:30.480 --> 0:33:33.040
<v Speaker 3>man cover John them all day. Single high is just

0:33:33.880 --> 0:33:35.959
<v Speaker 3>is the thirtieth lowest in the NFL, and they run

0:33:36.040 --> 0:33:38.400
<v Speaker 3>split safety fifty two percent of the time. That's the

0:33:38.400 --> 0:33:40.440
<v Speaker 3>second highest in the league. And they played the most

0:33:40.600 --> 0:33:42.840
<v Speaker 3>bump and run, which is a lot of two man

0:33:43.040 --> 0:33:46.320
<v Speaker 3>man under half half zone that's typically beat by middle

0:33:46.320 --> 0:33:48.280
<v Speaker 3>of the field shots, the deep ball to Wattle last

0:33:48.320 --> 0:33:51.000
<v Speaker 3>year on both games that I should say, honey hole

0:33:51.040 --> 0:33:53.240
<v Speaker 3>shots to the perimeter, and also the running game. I

0:33:53.280 --> 0:33:56.880
<v Speaker 3>think we've shown proficiency in all those categories to provide

0:33:56.960 --> 0:34:00.640
<v Speaker 3>problems for this Bill's defense. And the more I about this,

0:34:00.720 --> 0:34:02.480
<v Speaker 3>the more I think I just like the Dolphins in

0:34:02.480 --> 0:34:04.680
<v Speaker 3>this game so much because I think Buffalo's defense is

0:34:04.800 --> 0:34:06.840
<v Speaker 3>very good, but I think it's propped up by those

0:34:06.880 --> 0:34:09.880
<v Speaker 3>teams they've played, and the best offenses just don't get stopped.

0:34:09.920 --> 0:34:10.960
<v Speaker 2>Not in today's league.

0:34:11.040 --> 0:34:13.000
<v Speaker 3>Your best bet is to keep the roof on and

0:34:13.040 --> 0:34:15.120
<v Speaker 3>try to make us kick field goals in the red zone.

0:34:15.320 --> 0:34:17.520
<v Speaker 3>Nobody better at that in the league than the Patriots,

0:34:17.680 --> 0:34:19.560
<v Speaker 3>and we are two missed field goals away from breaking

0:34:19.600 --> 0:34:21.840
<v Speaker 3>thirty in that game as well. Now I think Buffalo

0:34:21.920 --> 0:34:23.600
<v Speaker 3>is going to do it differently. I think you're gonna

0:34:23.600 --> 0:34:26.440
<v Speaker 3>see light boxes, no blitzing, and uber aggressive corner play.

0:34:26.640 --> 0:34:28.800
<v Speaker 3>And the issue there to go back to Christian Benford

0:34:28.800 --> 0:34:31.720
<v Speaker 3>and Tredivious White is White wants no part of bump

0:34:31.719 --> 0:34:33.839
<v Speaker 3>and run against Tyreek and Jalen. They cooked him last

0:34:33.880 --> 0:34:36.560
<v Speaker 3>year with that, and then go watch Benford and rerouting.

0:34:36.760 --> 0:34:39.040
<v Speaker 3>It's the biggest weakness in his game. So he likes

0:34:39.040 --> 0:34:42.560
<v Speaker 3>to grab two so penalties some shots to those two receivers.

0:34:42.719 --> 0:34:44.520
<v Speaker 3>I think we run the ball for six plus yards

0:34:44.520 --> 0:34:46.640
<v Speaker 3>per carry. I think we attack vertically and hit some

0:34:46.680 --> 0:34:49.120
<v Speaker 3>deep shots on this defense and force them out of

0:34:49.120 --> 0:34:51.400
<v Speaker 3>that to go back to, you know, keep the shell

0:34:51.440 --> 0:34:54.719
<v Speaker 3>on and play ball underneath. I think we can top

0:34:54.760 --> 0:34:57.000
<v Speaker 3>thirty and push for forty in this game. Can we

0:34:57.080 --> 0:34:58.960
<v Speaker 3>hold the Bills under that? Let's go ahead and take

0:34:58.960 --> 0:35:01.239
<v Speaker 3>a break and comeback on the side and find out.

0:35:01.360 --> 0:35:03.840
<v Speaker 3>Draft Time podcast, your host Travis Wingfield, brought to you

0:35:03.880 --> 0:35:09.360
<v Speaker 3>by I don't know you took up the entire allotment

0:35:09.400 --> 0:35:12.080
<v Speaker 3>of the show on Dolphins offense first Bill's defense. So

0:35:12.080 --> 0:35:13.880
<v Speaker 3>go ahead and finish up here on the other side.

0:35:14.200 --> 0:35:16.280
<v Speaker 3>And it starts obviously with Josh Allen.

0:35:16.320 --> 0:35:18.480
<v Speaker 2>He does not leave the field. The receivers.

0:35:18.520 --> 0:35:21.120
<v Speaker 3>Tefon Diggs has played eighty percent this year, gave Davis

0:35:21.120 --> 0:35:24.640
<v Speaker 3>eighty one and then Khalil Shaker on the outside sixteen percent.

0:35:25.000 --> 0:35:28.080
<v Speaker 3>Inside sherfield you guys know him thirty four percent, with

0:35:28.640 --> 0:35:31.719
<v Speaker 3>Deontay Hartney twenty percent, and then their two tight ends

0:35:31.800 --> 0:35:35.640
<v Speaker 3>Knox and King Kid seventy one and sixty three percent respectively.

0:35:35.920 --> 0:35:39.080
<v Speaker 3>They have a new interior offensive line. Connor McGovern was

0:35:39.160 --> 0:35:41.360
<v Speaker 3>kind of their big free agent get from Dallas. He

0:35:41.440 --> 0:35:44.239
<v Speaker 3>pivots to guard though, and then Osiris Torrance was an

0:35:44.280 --> 0:35:46.359
<v Speaker 3>early draft pick of Theirs, and he's clicked pretty well

0:35:46.400 --> 0:35:48.239
<v Speaker 3>for them. And then Mitch Moore. You guys know him.

0:35:48.239 --> 0:35:49.880
<v Speaker 3>He's been the center there for a long long time.

0:35:50.120 --> 0:35:53.200
<v Speaker 3>Off the edge, Dion Dawkins and Spencer Brown, one of

0:35:53.200 --> 0:35:55.319
<v Speaker 3>those guys is great. One of those guys. We have

0:35:55.400 --> 0:35:57.399
<v Speaker 3>a matchup advantage there.

0:35:57.480 --> 0:35:58.320
<v Speaker 2>More on that in a moment.

0:35:58.520 --> 0:36:00.640
<v Speaker 3>And then at running back, James Cook is is their

0:36:00.640 --> 0:36:02.960
<v Speaker 3>go to guys sixty percent of the workload, and then

0:36:03.040 --> 0:36:06.759
<v Speaker 3>Latavious Murray twenty three percent, and I just forgot his name,

0:36:06.840 --> 0:36:10.480
<v Speaker 3>Damien Harris, sorry, formerly the Patriots just fifteen percent.

0:36:10.520 --> 0:36:10.919
<v Speaker 2>This year.

0:36:11.080 --> 0:36:13.239
<v Speaker 3>They do trot out a fullback for ten percent of

0:36:13.239 --> 0:36:15.960
<v Speaker 3>their snaps. And again it all starts at the quarterback position.

0:36:16.080 --> 0:36:19.280
<v Speaker 3>Josh Allen is hell to defend. You can do everything

0:36:19.360 --> 0:36:21.520
<v Speaker 3>right from a rule standpoint, and he can still make

0:36:21.560 --> 0:36:23.840
<v Speaker 3>a play on you. And you know, he gets a

0:36:23.840 --> 0:36:26.800
<v Speaker 3>lot of crap for the inaccurate passes or the turnover

0:36:26.920 --> 0:36:29.320
<v Speaker 3>plays or the bonehead decisions, but at the end of

0:36:29.360 --> 0:36:32.480
<v Speaker 3>the day, he is the best creator off script maybe

0:36:32.480 --> 0:36:35.080
<v Speaker 3>of all time, with the ability to threaten you in

0:36:35.120 --> 0:36:37.440
<v Speaker 3>the running game as well. But he also lives on

0:36:37.520 --> 0:36:39.920
<v Speaker 3>the edge of dazzling and head scratching, so it's like

0:36:39.960 --> 0:36:42.719
<v Speaker 3>a give or take, and it kind of He's kind

0:36:42.760 --> 0:36:46.760
<v Speaker 3>of the guy that I think bucks what current quarterback

0:36:46.840 --> 0:36:48.880
<v Speaker 3>scouting is, like everyone's.

0:36:48.480 --> 0:36:51.440
<v Speaker 2>Like armstrng run the ball six foot six.

0:36:51.280 --> 0:36:55.840
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, rare, yeah, but like you have to learn to

0:36:55.920 --> 0:36:58.920
<v Speaker 3>live with the misses on layups and the turnovers because

0:36:59.400 --> 0:37:01.120
<v Speaker 3>on the back and he pays you off with more

0:37:01.120 --> 0:37:03.200
<v Speaker 3>explosive plays because of the nature with which how he

0:37:03.239 --> 0:37:05.160
<v Speaker 3>plays the game. So you know, we talked about this

0:37:05.200 --> 0:37:07.600
<v Speaker 3>going back to twenty twenty with how many chances we've

0:37:07.600 --> 0:37:10.040
<v Speaker 3>had for takeaways on this guy and we just never

0:37:10.080 --> 0:37:13.360
<v Speaker 3>get them until last year's final two games, which ironically

0:37:13.440 --> 0:37:16.920
<v Speaker 3>were both losses. But the Week three game last year,

0:37:16.960 --> 0:37:19.160
<v Speaker 3>like or back in twenty twenty, rather the Week two game,

0:37:19.360 --> 0:37:22.120
<v Speaker 3>we had like five turnover opportunities and didn't get them

0:37:22.280 --> 0:37:25.040
<v Speaker 3>and lost the game by three. Same story the following year,

0:37:25.040 --> 0:37:27.480
<v Speaker 3>and then last season the first game, didn't get the

0:37:27.480 --> 0:37:30.840
<v Speaker 3>takeaways early on, had chances for it, but eventually stopped

0:37:30.840 --> 0:37:32.799
<v Speaker 3>them on downs a couple of times, and then again

0:37:32.840 --> 0:37:36.080
<v Speaker 3>last year in the late games four turnovers or for

0:37:36.880 --> 0:37:39.120
<v Speaker 3>Miami's defense, three turnovers in that game. Then this year

0:37:39.160 --> 0:37:41.279
<v Speaker 3>week number one against the Jets, they turned the ball

0:37:41.320 --> 0:37:45.040
<v Speaker 3>over four times and scored just thirteen points. Last two games,

0:37:45.120 --> 0:37:48.040
<v Speaker 3>no Allen turnovers, and if sure enough, they rolled to

0:37:48.360 --> 0:37:50.920
<v Speaker 3>massive victories with thirty points in both those games. And

0:37:51.040 --> 0:37:53.760
<v Speaker 3>as far as the Bills record the last two seasons

0:37:53.840 --> 0:37:56.560
<v Speaker 3>this year and last, when Allen turns the ball over

0:37:56.600 --> 0:37:58.840
<v Speaker 3>two times or more, they're two and four. When he

0:37:58.960 --> 0:38:02.000
<v Speaker 3>has a single turnover or none, they're fourteen to Oh.

0:38:02.080 --> 0:38:02.719
<v Speaker 2>So there you go.

0:38:02.920 --> 0:38:05.240
<v Speaker 3>And last year we saw Javon Holland have an excellent

0:38:05.320 --> 0:38:07.920
<v Speaker 3>spy rap on him. We covered pretty well early, but

0:38:07.960 --> 0:38:10.680
<v Speaker 3>eventually he made some plays. I'm really curious to see

0:38:10.680 --> 0:38:13.400
<v Speaker 3>what Vic dials up here, because he's shown you that

0:38:13.520 --> 0:38:16.160
<v Speaker 3>he will call it opponents specific you know, blitz or

0:38:16.160 --> 0:38:18.400
<v Speaker 3>not and we saw the Dolphins be effective with the

0:38:18.880 --> 0:38:21.360
<v Speaker 3>you know, making him play patient last year, and we

0:38:21.400 --> 0:38:23.600
<v Speaker 3>saw them have a pretty good playoff game by just

0:38:23.640 --> 0:38:26.359
<v Speaker 3>coming after him NonStop. So there's multiple ways to do

0:38:26.400 --> 0:38:29.680
<v Speaker 3>this and trying to find a way to limit Stefon Diggs.

0:38:29.680 --> 0:38:31.920
<v Speaker 3>To me, that's the key. He's the straw that stirs

0:38:31.920 --> 0:38:34.120
<v Speaker 3>the drink. I'm not sure what the matchups look like

0:38:34.160 --> 0:38:37.520
<v Speaker 3>here obviously, but I think that if you go look, look,

0:38:37.560 --> 0:38:39.800
<v Speaker 3>I'll put it this way, do not let Examing Howard

0:38:39.800 --> 0:38:43.480
<v Speaker 3>covers Toefon Diggs one on one. Either help him heavy

0:38:43.560 --> 0:38:45.879
<v Speaker 3>in that matchup or go cater And even then I'd

0:38:45.880 --> 0:38:48.640
<v Speaker 3>help Cater on Diggs because I think the play here

0:38:48.920 --> 0:38:51.440
<v Speaker 3>is to go X on Davis because that's physical on

0:38:51.480 --> 0:38:53.920
<v Speaker 3>physical and even though ex is struggling again this year,

0:38:53.920 --> 0:38:55.879
<v Speaker 3>I think that's a good matchup for him, and then

0:38:55.920 --> 0:38:58.640
<v Speaker 3>Cater on Diggs with an eye of help, and maybe

0:38:58.640 --> 0:39:01.680
<v Speaker 3>you get Apple on a Sure or Shakur. Those are

0:39:01.680 --> 0:39:03.520
<v Speaker 3>the matchups you have to win one on one, Davis

0:39:03.520 --> 0:39:05.760
<v Speaker 3>one on one and then Sherfield or Shaker one on one.

0:39:06.000 --> 0:39:07.879
<v Speaker 2>Win those matchup on the tight ends.

0:39:07.880 --> 0:39:10.000
<v Speaker 3>And I like our chances to do that because our

0:39:10.040 --> 0:39:12.960
<v Speaker 3>tight ends are very good in coverage, especially Javon Holland, who's.

0:39:12.760 --> 0:39:14.160
<v Speaker 2>Playing really well right now.

0:39:14.320 --> 0:39:16.600
<v Speaker 3>I think Deshaun Elliott's had two good games in a row,

0:39:17.080 --> 0:39:19.480
<v Speaker 3>and then the potential of possibly Brandon Jones getting back

0:39:19.520 --> 0:39:23.040
<v Speaker 3>into the fold here and speaking of you know, tight

0:39:23.160 --> 0:39:25.560
<v Speaker 3>ends and jamming into the formation and running the football,

0:39:25.840 --> 0:39:27.560
<v Speaker 3>I think the same thing applies. What we talked about

0:39:27.560 --> 0:39:29.560
<v Speaker 3>on our side of the ball is that our defense

0:39:29.719 --> 0:39:32.840
<v Speaker 3>traditionally plays lighter boxes, and James Cook has ran the

0:39:32.880 --> 0:39:35.640
<v Speaker 3>ball well, but if you can get them out of

0:39:35.680 --> 0:39:37.480
<v Speaker 3>that early on and shut them down in the run

0:39:37.520 --> 0:39:40.279
<v Speaker 3>game early, they have a propensity to go away from it.

0:39:40.320 --> 0:39:42.080
<v Speaker 3>And I think that's why you brought in David Long

0:39:42.160 --> 0:39:45.640
<v Speaker 3>to help you have more range and instincts with light

0:39:45.680 --> 0:39:48.719
<v Speaker 3>boxes to shoot gaps and make plays to limit a

0:39:48.960 --> 0:39:52.279
<v Speaker 3>running offense that can really make them one dimensional and

0:39:52.320 --> 0:39:56.080
<v Speaker 3>put an explosive play but more of a turnover worthy play,

0:39:56.120 --> 0:39:59.240
<v Speaker 3>pro and quarterback in more peril by making them play

0:39:59.239 --> 0:39:59.920
<v Speaker 3>one dimensionals.

0:40:00.040 --> 0:40:00.959
<v Speaker 2>That's kind of the hope there.

0:40:01.080 --> 0:40:04.200
<v Speaker 3>As far as their personnel, eleven personnel just thirty seven

0:40:04.239 --> 0:40:06.680
<v Speaker 3>percent of the time they do operate from twelve personnel

0:40:06.760 --> 0:40:08.680
<v Speaker 3>forty five percent so those two tight ends are out

0:40:08.680 --> 0:40:11.279
<v Speaker 3>there a lot together, and then twenty one personnel, two

0:40:11.320 --> 0:40:14.880
<v Speaker 3>backs with that fullback eight percent, and they sprinkle in

0:40:14.920 --> 0:40:17.239
<v Speaker 3>some variations of two thirteen and twenty two, which is,

0:40:17.480 --> 0:40:19.480
<v Speaker 3>you know, multiple backs and tight ends back there as well.

0:40:19.560 --> 0:40:20.840
<v Speaker 2>So I think you're going.

0:40:20.680 --> 0:40:22.799
<v Speaker 3>To see lots of bass, which to me is a

0:40:22.800 --> 0:40:25.359
<v Speaker 3>good thing because it means less Eli Apple and more

0:40:25.400 --> 0:40:27.960
<v Speaker 3>of an extra linebacker or a defensive lineman like a

0:40:28.080 --> 0:40:30.759
<v Speaker 3>Van Ginkel, maybe a Rakwon Davis, or maybe even a

0:40:30.800 --> 0:40:31.480
<v Speaker 3>third safety.

0:40:31.560 --> 0:40:33.120
<v Speaker 2>I think Brandon Jones could be.

0:40:33.040 --> 0:40:35.920
<v Speaker 3>A guy you roll out a big Nickel package this

0:40:36.000 --> 0:40:39.279
<v Speaker 3>week and utilize Deshaun or Brandon as kind of a

0:40:39.320 --> 0:40:42.080
<v Speaker 3>box defender or a spy on Josh Allen.

0:40:42.280 --> 0:40:43.600
<v Speaker 2>That might be the way to go here.

0:40:43.800 --> 0:40:45.759
<v Speaker 3>And I wonder if you would be able to do

0:40:45.800 --> 0:40:47.839
<v Speaker 3>that and continue to match up on the tight ends

0:40:47.920 --> 0:40:49.719
<v Speaker 3>that they want to throw the ball to, you know,

0:40:49.800 --> 0:40:52.279
<v Speaker 3>frequently in this game with Knox and King Kid, because

0:40:52.280 --> 0:40:54.080
<v Speaker 3>I think that Allen can match up there really well.

0:40:54.160 --> 0:40:55.839
<v Speaker 3>And then Deshaun Elliott two is that might be kind

0:40:55.840 --> 0:40:58.000
<v Speaker 3>of my move there is use Brandon Jones as kind

0:40:58.040 --> 0:41:00.120
<v Speaker 3>of that rat in the whole, that fifth rusher and

0:41:00.120 --> 0:41:02.480
<v Speaker 3>then have your two safeties that have been playing mostly

0:41:02.800 --> 0:41:03.800
<v Speaker 3>be more cover guys.

0:41:04.040 --> 0:41:05.320
<v Speaker 2>I don't know, there's lots of options.

0:41:05.440 --> 0:41:07.480
<v Speaker 3>Let's go ahead and finish up on the inside here

0:41:07.760 --> 0:41:11.440
<v Speaker 3>because the pressures allowed for the bills go as follows.

0:41:11.600 --> 0:41:14.040
<v Speaker 3>Spencer Brown the right tackle has allowed nine. That leads

0:41:14.080 --> 0:41:16.719
<v Speaker 3>the team this year more than any Miami Dolphin so

0:41:16.800 --> 0:41:18.879
<v Speaker 3>as much Morse he has seven, that's the second most.

0:41:18.920 --> 0:41:21.879
<v Speaker 3>At the center position. McGovern and Torrance the guards six

0:41:21.920 --> 0:41:25.120
<v Speaker 3>and five respectively, and then Dion Dawkins at left tackle five.

0:41:25.200 --> 0:41:28.319
<v Speaker 3>He's pretty locked down. JP had his best game last

0:41:28.360 --> 0:41:30.440
<v Speaker 3>year I think against Spencer Brown whipped him. I think

0:41:30.480 --> 0:41:31.960
<v Speaker 3>you can expect to get more of that if he

0:41:32.000 --> 0:41:34.279
<v Speaker 3>gets more one on one chances. But what you really

0:41:34.280 --> 0:41:36.520
<v Speaker 3>need here, I think is Wilkins and sealer to really

0:41:36.520 --> 0:41:40.320
<v Speaker 3>give it to Torrance and McGovern inside because with the occasional

0:41:40.360 --> 0:41:42.320
<v Speaker 3>blitz as well, because if you can move those guys

0:41:42.920 --> 0:41:45.000
<v Speaker 3>off their spot, you're going to create more chances for

0:41:45.040 --> 0:41:47.840
<v Speaker 3>big plays with Josh extending, but also more chances he

0:41:47.880 --> 0:41:48.520
<v Speaker 3>puts the ball.

0:41:48.400 --> 0:41:50.319
<v Speaker 2>In harm's way. And that's how you beat this team.

0:41:50.360 --> 0:41:52.120
<v Speaker 3>If you turn this team over twice, I think on Sunday,

0:41:52.280 --> 0:41:54.640
<v Speaker 3>I think you roll to a pretty easy victory. So

0:41:54.719 --> 0:41:57.279
<v Speaker 3>my keys to victory are Number one, keep the run

0:41:57.360 --> 0:41:59.520
<v Speaker 3>game rolling. We heard two of his press conference on

0:41:59.520 --> 0:42:02.400
<v Speaker 3>Wednesdays say that these guys are gonna line up in nickel,

0:42:02.520 --> 0:42:03.680
<v Speaker 3>They're going to show you what they want to do,

0:42:03.719 --> 0:42:04.759
<v Speaker 3>and they're going to run it, and you have to

0:42:04.800 --> 0:42:07.000
<v Speaker 3>go beat them. I think Miami's equipped to do that.

0:42:07.040 --> 0:42:08.239
<v Speaker 3>And if you want to line up in one thing

0:42:08.280 --> 0:42:11.200
<v Speaker 3>and not disguise, good freaking luck against this offense, you

0:42:11.280 --> 0:42:13.440
<v Speaker 3>have to exploit those matchups. You have to stay out

0:42:13.480 --> 0:42:15.840
<v Speaker 3>a third and long and go after their light defense

0:42:15.840 --> 0:42:18.279
<v Speaker 3>with your heavy twenty one twelve personnel attack and run

0:42:18.320 --> 0:42:21.319
<v Speaker 3>the football. I expect two hundred more yards here. Number two,

0:42:21.360 --> 0:42:23.920
<v Speaker 3>create splash plays on defense. You heard it the turnover stat.

0:42:24.160 --> 0:42:26.400
<v Speaker 3>Get two takeaways on Josh, you'll win the game. And

0:42:26.440 --> 0:42:29.160
<v Speaker 3>the third key to victory is protect against the Bills

0:42:29.160 --> 0:42:31.960
<v Speaker 3>four man rush. If they can generate pressure without blitzing,

0:42:32.040 --> 0:42:34.640
<v Speaker 3>that's obviously playing right into their hand. Force them to

0:42:34.719 --> 0:42:37.080
<v Speaker 3>change what they do to try to make two uncomfortable,

0:42:37.120 --> 0:42:39.400
<v Speaker 3>and then you can start hitting big explosives if you

0:42:39.400 --> 0:42:44.200
<v Speaker 3>stay patient and beat that four man pass rush with consistency. Okay,

0:42:44.440 --> 0:42:47.120
<v Speaker 3>I predicted thirty twenty seven in Game one against the Chargers,

0:42:47.120 --> 0:42:49.080
<v Speaker 3>pretty close. We came out on top there thirty six

0:42:49.200 --> 0:42:51.799
<v Speaker 3>thirty four. I went thirty one to seventeen. In Game two.

0:42:51.960 --> 0:42:53.920
<v Speaker 3>I think those two missfield goals were the reason we

0:42:53.920 --> 0:42:57.600
<v Speaker 3>didn't get within a point there at thirty to seventeen

0:42:57.680 --> 0:42:59.759
<v Speaker 3>winds up being twenty four to seventeen. And then I

0:42:59.760 --> 0:43:02.960
<v Speaker 3>said forty four to twenty four last week. Now, I

0:43:03.000 --> 0:43:05.239
<v Speaker 3>think I get a pass for not predicting seventy but

0:43:05.280 --> 0:43:08.839
<v Speaker 3>predicting forty four. That's pretty uncommon, Like people don't usually

0:43:08.880 --> 0:43:11.480
<v Speaker 3>go that high. It's usually in the in the low thirties.

0:43:11.480 --> 0:43:13.400
<v Speaker 3>As this high as we'll go. And then just you know,

0:43:13.480 --> 0:43:15.960
<v Speaker 3>four points off from Denver score, which I gave him

0:43:16.000 --> 0:43:18.400
<v Speaker 3>that much because of the garbage time production I expected

0:43:18.440 --> 0:43:21.160
<v Speaker 3>the kickoff return. This week, I'm gonna go even more

0:43:21.200 --> 0:43:22.960
<v Speaker 3>specific and tell you exactly how this game will go.

0:43:23.000 --> 0:43:25.960
<v Speaker 3>You ready, the Dolphins will get the football in the

0:43:26.000 --> 0:43:28.360
<v Speaker 3>middle of the third quarter with a thirty one to

0:43:28.440 --> 0:43:31.200
<v Speaker 3>thirty lead, and Tua is going to take us right

0:43:31.239 --> 0:43:34.080
<v Speaker 3>down the field with a brilliant mix of run and pass.

0:43:34.360 --> 0:43:37.000
<v Speaker 3>We score a touchdown we go for two, which Seth

0:43:37.040 --> 0:43:39.399
<v Speaker 3>and oj are going to hate. But I love making

0:43:39.440 --> 0:43:41.680
<v Speaker 3>it a two possession game whenever you can, because if

0:43:41.719 --> 0:43:43.200
<v Speaker 3>you miss, they still have to score. Go down the

0:43:43.200 --> 0:43:45.239
<v Speaker 3>whole field and score a touchdown and like.

0:43:45.360 --> 0:43:47.440
<v Speaker 2>But they don't score a two point conversion there, Travis.

0:43:47.520 --> 0:43:49.040
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, but you can make it a two score game,

0:43:49.040 --> 0:43:51.080
<v Speaker 3>which is way more valuable than making it an eight

0:43:51.160 --> 0:43:51.680
<v Speaker 3>point game.

0:43:51.840 --> 0:43:53.680
<v Speaker 2>They go for two, they get it. It's thirty nine

0:43:53.680 --> 0:43:54.120
<v Speaker 2>to thirty.

0:43:54.239 --> 0:43:56.440
<v Speaker 3>Buffalo gets the ball back with less than two minutes,

0:43:56.640 --> 0:43:59.399
<v Speaker 3>trailing by two scores, and we turn Josh Allen over

0:43:59.560 --> 0:44:01.160
<v Speaker 3>and the Dolphin go to four and oh and come

0:44:01.200 --> 0:44:02.320
<v Speaker 3>home very very happy.

0:44:02.360 --> 0:44:03.200
<v Speaker 2>That's your podcast.

0:44:03.440 --> 0:44:06.719
<v Speaker 3>We'll have Joe Marino from Lockdown Bills on tomorrow, and

0:44:06.800 --> 0:44:09.919
<v Speaker 3>Tracy Wolfson, the great CBS sile On reporter, will join

0:44:09.960 --> 0:44:12.640
<v Speaker 3>us for the podcast on Friday as well. Plenty more

0:44:12.640 --> 0:44:14.600
<v Speaker 3>coming your way this week on the Draft Time podcast,

0:44:14.600 --> 0:44:17.080
<v Speaker 3>But in the meantime, that will be my time you all.

0:44:17.120 --> 0:44:19.840
<v Speaker 3>Please be sure to subscribe to the podcast on Apple,

0:44:19.880 --> 0:44:22.279
<v Speaker 3>on Spotify, wherever you get your podcasts from. Leave us

0:44:22.320 --> 0:44:24.360
<v Speaker 3>a rating, leave us a review. You can follow me

0:44:24.480 --> 0:44:27.680
<v Speaker 3>on Twitter at linkfold NFL. Follow the team at Miami Dolphin.

0:44:27.760 --> 0:44:29.880
<v Speaker 3>Check out the Fish Tank podcast with Seth and Juice.

0:44:30.000 --> 0:44:32.839
<v Speaker 3>Check out the YouTube channel for media availabilities and Dolphins Today,

0:44:32.960 --> 0:44:35.480
<v Speaker 3>much much more. At last, but not least, Miami Dolphins

0:44:35.520 --> 0:44:38.040
<v Speaker 3>dot Com. Until next time, fins up, Carolina Cameron Daddy,

0:44:38.320 --> 0:44:38.960
<v Speaker 3>He's coming Hold